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Episodes Episode #2983 Segments
MainContent Politics as Persuasion

Back to episode — Episode 2983 CWSA 10/09/25

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like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called, that's right, the simultaneous sip. Go. I think it's more delicious when I sell it harder. Don't you think? No. All right. Well, I've set up a little trap behind me for the cats who are wandering around. We're going to do a test to see if the cats like lay…

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e false memories every time. Will some of the memories also be true and richer or deeper than if you hadn't done this? Probably. Yeah, probably. So it's a combination of yeah, it probably works, but the part that works would be completely buried and obscured by the fact that you would make up all kinds of fake memories to satisfy the researchers. That's the if you don't believe that, look into the McMartin preschool legal case. Very famous case of false memories. Do a little research on false memories and you'll know that that's what's happening here. Probably some real ones if they can figure out which ones are real.

Um, here comes the cats.

So the big news, I usually do the technology news before the big news, but the big news is so big apparently, and things could change quickly, even while I'm doing the podcast. There's an agreement between Hamas and it looks like Israel and the United States and all the other Arab countries or Muslim countries in the area, because that includes Turkey, non-Arab. But it looks like we got a deal to release the hostages, all of them. And it looks like it could happen Monday. And as part of that deal, the IDF, the Israeli military, would pull back to some agreed lines, which I think they're still tweaking where those lines would be. And then the rest of the deal that you would need to have a permanent peace, such as what's going to happen with the remaining Hamas leaders, what's going to happen with their weapons? Do they get to keep any small weapons or just give up the big ones? Are they going to have any role going forward? And well, we got some cat action.

And the question is how do we get the other stuff done? Now here's the first question you should ask yourself about this. If it's true, and it does look true, that Hamas has agreed to release all the hostages on Monday in return for just Israel moving its line of forces, why would Hamas give up their only leverage before they had gotten agreement on the things they care about the most? Because they don't care about the hostages. That's just something they were holding for leverage, right? It's not important to them that they have hostages. It's only for that purpose to get the other stuff. So why would they go through all of this and then give back their only leverage without getting agreements on other stuff? Does anybody understand that? Like how in the world does that even make sense?

Well, I would submit to you that when it comes to these war-related issues that the fog of war never really clears up. We talk about the fog of war being in during the middle of the actual fighting or when the war starts or something like that, but the fog of war never goes away and we're still in it. So here's what I suspect, but don't know, just a suspicion, that the only way we would get to the point we're at now where it looks like they're giving hostages back for almost nothing in return because the IDF could pull back and then after they get the hostages, you know, and they get some hostages in return, they get like 2,000 hostages in return. But that's not why they're doing it. I don't think they care about their hostages that much. I think they're doing it because they want to get to the end of the war somehow.

My guess without any evidence whatsoever is that there are some secret deals at work and that the secret deals would look something like if you do this, we'll let the current leadership that remains, you know, I don't know what's left. We'll let you guys leave. You have to leave the area, but we'll let you leave and you can leave with your stolen billion dollars. So you can be rich and you can be alive and then they would think, "Oh, but I can also secretly reconstitute Hamas once they let me free." Well, they don't have to say that part out loud. But you could imagine why the Hamas leadership would take a deal that allowed them to go live in exile with a whole bunch of money and then who could really stop them from reconstituting, you know, do it slowly maybe, but still reconstitute Hamas if that's what they want to do. Maybe from a foreign country, but still doing it.

So I feel like there's a secret deal or there's a secret blackmail as in hello current Hamas leaders. You know those hostages you have? We're going to bury all of them and you too. And we also have control of your family and we're going to bury them at the same time. If one hostage dies, we're gonna bury your family and then send you the video of us killing your family. Something like that. But there's something going on that we don't know about that's controlling this deal in a way that we haven't seen before. Could be anything. Could be a threat, could be a bribe. But as long as it works, that would be the great thing. I just don't see how the rest of this gets negotiated because that was the hard part again unless they've already made a secret deal.

So interestingly, assuming that this goes through and all indications are that it will, some people are sort of mistaking it for like a whole peace deal, but it's not. It might be the most important part of the peace deal in the end. Might be the hardest part maybe, but it's not the whole peace deal for sure. However, as fate would have it, the announcements are tomorrow for the Nobel Peace Prize. Now presumably the Nobel committee has already chosen their peace prize winner and that probably a whole bunch of work has to be done on their side secretly before they announce it. So in all likelihood, there's already a Nobel Peace Prize winner and it's in all likelihood not Trump. So it's possible that they would change all of their plans before tomorrow, but the only situation I could see that happening is if they happened to be MAGA themselves, if the Nobel Peace Prize people were like full MAGA. Yeah. They would just delete whoever they had on their list and say, "Well, you know, this is a really good argument. It's going to look weird if we bypass Trump now. So yeah." So otherwise, we'll just give it to Greta. Yeah, Greta will probably get it.

However, if this works out and it leads to an expansion of the Abraham Accords and it looks like Gaza is being rebuilt and everything's on the right track a year from now, it's going to be pretty hard not to give it to him a year from now. But I would bet against it happening on Friday. And the fact that it won't happen on Friday, it's going to be another big news story because even CNN, MSNBC, ABC, all of Trump's enemies are saying today, "Okay, there's no way Biden could have gotten this done." Do you realize what a big deal that is? That all of his biggest critics, everyone I've seen, you know, the ones that you expect to look for whatever is the worst case, you know, Abby Phillip, Dana Bash, all of the I don't want to say anti-Trumpers, but certainly not on his side. All of them are calling this out as something that Biden couldn't have done and is kind of amazing. Isn't that weird that that's what it took? It took this for somebody to give him his due.

And I feel like the anti-Trumpers have had this building up that they see the border being closed and they're like, "He did close that border." And then they see the tariffs not being a disaster and in some ways including some I'll tell you about today seeming to work and creating revenue that the government didn't have albeit much of that from citizens but and then they go he did close the border I do like that he is cleaning up crime in these cities. I can't say I like it, but of course I like it. And then the economy, the tariffs, I have to admit the GDP is looking kind of good. And he did get a trillion dollars or whatever the number is of investments that no way Biden would have gotten. And then suddenly you're like, "Oh god, there's a lot of weight pushing me away from TDS. There's a lot of weight, but not enough." And then he does this. How do you hold that? At some point, you're just going to have to admit that Biden was 2% of the president that Trump is. You're just going to have to fold. Yeah, the weight is too great. You cannot carry that much weight on your back as a lying journalist while everybody's watching.

You know that this is the fifth impossible thing he did in a row there. What do they have in common? What are the tariffs and closing the border and getting the hostages back? Maybe the rest of the peace deal. We hope. What do they all have in common? They were all impossible. They were all impossible. How many impossible things does one person have to do? Name one other thing that a president did that was thought to be impossible when he did it. None. I can't think of any. Can you? I can think of things where presidents tried hard things and failed. Jimmy Carter with his helicopters in Iran, for example. I mean, nice try, but it failed. But Trump is dropping precision bombs down Iranian vent holes three times in a row. I thought that was impossible. Honestly thought it was impossible. Now obvious of course you give the credit to the military. Trump was not in the plane. But the way it works is the president gets credit. That's just the way it works. He would get the blame if it didn't work. So maybe we give him a little credit when some miracle works.

So yeah, I think it's just getting impossible for the anti-Trumpers to keep up their fake narrative because they're just watching him do miracles, like one miracle after another. ABC News, one of their guys said today, "Make no mistake. It looks like President Trump has actually pulled off something here that many presidents before him have failed to do." Yeah. You know how many presidents before him have failed to do it? All of them. All of them. When MAGA supporters say that Trump is the best president of all time, it's this. It's this. That's the best president of all time. Even ABC is like, "Nobody else could pull that off."

Now some of it is you have to be in the right place at the right time. So if the Israelis had not killed allegedly 65,000 people in Gaza, could we get to peace? No. If they had not taken out Hezbollah and Iran and weakened Syria and done all of those things that gave them some purchase, could we get to this point? No, probably not. So you can't beat luck. And I think Trump actually said something like that himself. You know, having everybody on the same page and having all the right situations so that you could get to this point. There's luck involved. But what is one of the things that we wanted Trump to bring to the office? I did. I don't know if any of you had this explicit thought, but when I saw Trump running for president, one of the things I said is, "Would it really be bad to have the luckiest guy in the country as your president?" I mean, just look at his life. He just looks like the luckiest guy in the world. I mean, a good day for young Trump, I think a good day for him would look better than all of your good days put together. And that would just be one day. So don't you want the luckiest person in the entire country to be maybe bringing his luck to us? Maybe that's what happened because it does look like there's some luck involved, but a whole bunch of skill. And one of those skills is that he was willing to push Israel as hard as they needed to be pushed. That probably was the magic is that he was willing to push Israel, not just Hamas. Had to push both. I don't know if we had anybody who would do that before or even thought it would work.

Yeah. Anyway, so I guess Trump has officially proposed that his own face would be in a $250 bill to commemorate the 250th anniversary in 2026. Now that's a really good troll. Okay, he's the best troll. I don't know how much he cares about it. Probably doesn't care about it. Probably doesn't think it would necessarily happen. Although, I suppose if it's his administration, maybe they could just pass it with a simple majority if it even needs a vote. I don't know if it needs a vote. But I love that the funny thing is, who needs a $250 bill besides drug dealers? It would only be for drug dealers, but it would have the face of the guy who's going to kill them out. Hey, cartels. I've got an offer for you. We're going to make it much easier to move money around cash because there'll be a new $250 bill. So your piles of money will be much smaller. You'll be able to move you

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r money. So that's the good news. What's the bad news? Well, the bad news is that the picture on the front of the bill is the guy who's going to kill you. So there's that. That's such a good troll. I don't care if it happens or not, but if it did happen, I would never stop laughing. And I would immediately run to the bank and get me one. I would put it on my wall. It would be the best art worth $2…

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