Back to episode — Episode 3000 CWSA 10/26/25
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n AI will never get you to intelligence basically and that the whole pattern, you language, the large language models, you could train them forever and it would never create intelligence. So the head of AI at Meta is saying exactly what I've said for two years, that there's no logical way you can get from pattern recognition of words to intelligence. But it might look like people. It might look a…
← Previous segment →st voting, just lots and lots of numbers, which would suggest that the conclusion is already a done deal. And it would suggest that Mamdani is going to win easily. We'll have to wait for the result, but that's what it suggests.
So I wasn't really following this whole Canada and Ronald Reagan tariff advertising story, but it just persisted a little bit longer than I wanted, so I'll mention it. So the basic idea was that things were starting to go well with negotiating a trade deal with Canada, but then the Ontario Premier Doug Ford somehow he got millions and millions of dollars to run an ad campaign that used Ronald Reagan and I think they aired him to make it look like he didn't like tariffs. And he did that to sort of embarrass Trump in the United States and to essentially use our golden Reagan against us.
Trump didn't like that at all and so he decided to cancel their trade talks based on an advertisement on TV and add another 10 percent to their tariffs and he said apparently they had agreed to take it down earlier than they are. They're going to let it run through the weekend and that's what he was mad about. If they had taken it down immediately when he asked, I guess he'd be okay with it grudgingly. But they seem to have, he's indicating Trump is, that they may have misled him, possibly lied to him. And I think it's the lying to him part that he's responding to as much as the Reagan part. But he's got two things that got under his skin. Don't mess with our Reagan. Neighbors, don't lie to us. You don't get to do that. Yeah, we'll still be your best friends, but don't mess with our Reagan. Don't lie to us. Then we're fine. We're not asking a lot there. Let's not ask a lot.
Anyway, we'll see where that goes. That'll probably calm down a little bit.
Trump's over in Asia right now doing what I hope will be some kind of a victory tour. He's good at this overseas stuff, but he's already gone viral for dancing when he got off the Malaysian plane. So he lands in Malaysia and they have this giant welcoming party outside the plane on the tarmac. And most of the people there are dancers. So they're doing some native dance. And Trump sees the dancers. He starts, yeah. He joins right in with his Trump fist pump dance that doesn't move much except the fists, but we still like seeing it. I don't know why, but we all like seeing him do it. And then that became a giant story that he was bonding with the locals just so immediately because leaders of major countries don't get off the plane and start dancing, right?
Can you imagine Putin going out there and seeing the dancers like, "Yeah, yeah." And you know, he starts doing that Russian dance. Can't imagine it. Can you imagine President Xi coming out with his Winnie the Pooh face that never changes and then suddenly you see the dancers and going, oh you can't even imagine it right? You can't even imagine it. If I wanted to imagine a leader who would be loose enough and celebrity enough to do what Trump did which is just a little bit dance, you'd have to go all the way to Boris Johnson just to give somebody that you could even imagine would try it.
So only Trump and I'm sure they love him for it. They probably, that will be the Malaysian news will probably just cover that nonstop for all day long, just showing him dancing with the locals and then everybody like, "Hey, we like this guy." So he's signed some deals, I think, already, but they were sort of things we knew were going to happen. Maybe some improvements on the trade. I think he's already signed some of that. And I guess he's finalizing a deal that would already been done between Thailand and Cambodia so that they're no longer on a warring basis. That was already a done deal, but I guess they made it official.
So he's got stuff to sign that's not groundbreaking, but it's all good news. This end of fighting, end of trade negotiations, so we can get ourselves a good deal. So that's all good. And Thailand, according to Reuters, Thailand and Malaysia are going to play a bigger role with our critical minerals. So if what Trump gets out of this is they like him better over there and he gets some better trade deals, he nails down his eight out of nine or eight or nine wars that he's ended according to him. And he gets some extra mineral play. Pretty successful. Pretty good. And we just have access to three countries' markets that have been, Reuters says, enhanced. Good. That's just free money.
Now, didn't he promise us that the trade deals would basically just be free money? Free money. It looks like we got a better deal. And it's not 100 percent obvious that these Asian companies also feel they got a better deal. They might just because more trade is more better. But it looks like he's winning.
Have you heard Peter Zeihan talk about the impending collapse of China for demographic reasons? He's got a fairly strong argument that China doesn't have any mechanism for survival, that there's no path and that it's brought on by their demographic manipulations. So they have so few young people compared to old people that they really don't have any way to survive if you're looking 10, 20 years out. Now I'm confident that they'll figure it out. Robots or some damn thing. But he does make a strong argument that the size of their problem is not like the size of our problems. The US actually, even though we've got that demographic problem too, it's small compared to theirs. So maybe this is the biggest thing that'll happen in the future.
Well, I'm still loving the ballroom story distraction because Trump can go over there and make a bunch of news that all looks like good news for him while the Democrats are left to argue that you should not upgrade a building that is often upgraded. That's what they have. Okay, you guys go work on you don't like upgrading the building that has been upgraded many times and is the responsibility of the president to upgrade it. All right, we'll be making some trade deals while you're doing that.
But the ballroom story has so many legs because it's the perfect story for lazy podcasters and lazy news, including myself, because I don't have to do a lot of research to understand construction of a ballroom. Yeah, we all understand that prior presidents built basketball courts and swimming pools and stuff. We all understand what it costs. Now we know we got the full list yesterday of who's donating to the 350 million. Turns out it was really easy to get 350 million. Those companies coughed that money up so fast. Oh yeah, get us on this because they're all smart enough to know that this one's sort of a passion project for Trump. It means more. It's got a sort of an emotional hook. So they're smart enough to know this is not like other things. Oh yeah, we'll put some money behind this. Yeah, we're all in. So a lot of the big companies stepped up. It's already funded. They might even have more money than they need, which is funny.
But it turns out that it's fake news, according to Trump, that he had ever anticipated naming it after himself. Do you remember the news yesterday or the day before said that Trump was going to name it the Donald J. Trump ballroom? Trump says that never happened. We have not even talked about a name for it. He's leaning toward the presidential ballroom. Do you believe that that will be the name? Apparently the staff is already sort of cheekily referring to it as the Trump ballroom, but Trump is very smart to act like that's not a done deal after it gets built and you can't take it back. Do you think he'll still want it to be the presidential ballroom or will he wait to name it when it's done? And the first time you'll hear its actual name is when he cuts the ribbon. And when he cuts the ribbon, he'll say, "I'm introducing the what?" Just before he cuts the ribbon. Introducing the presidential ballroom or the Donald J. Trump ballroom. Clip. Too late to change it. Already made the signs.
So I wouldn't bet against him naming it after himself. And I wouldn't mind it either because he is the one who took the heat and got it done. If it gets done, we assume it will.
Anyway, I guess Tennessee filed an amicus brief with the Supreme Court challenging birthright citizenship on behalf of 24 states. So 24 states don't want people to be a citizen just because their parents from some other country came in and had them here. But I talked to Grok a little bit about this issue. And Grok believes there is no way in the world that the 14th Amendment which talks about the birthright citizenship will be altered. It knows that Trump would like to either narrow it or get rid of it, but it thinks there's no chance of that. Is that your understanding too, that there's really no chance at all that the Supreme Court will get rid of that birthright citizenship? I don't know enough about the law to have an independent opinion about this.
But the only thing it relies on, the people who want to go away the birthright citizenship, is this one line that the people born here would be citizens if they are quote subject to the jurisdiction therein, meaning the laws of the United States. So if they're born in the United States, they live in the United States, and they're subject to all the laws, it would have to be all the laws of the United States, then they're Americans according to the 14th Amendment. So you would have to come up with some example where the babies born here who are not citizens until they're born. Of course you'd have to come up with some example where the jurisdiction does not apply to them. And Grok did not have any examples. It said no, there's no example. Somebody who's born here naturally will be treated exactly the same under our laws. I think that's true, right?
Would they not be draftable? They could be drafted, right? I feel like if you could be drafted, that's the end of the conversation. How many would agree with me? If you're born here and you can be drafted, you know, there's not a draft, but if there were, you could be drafted. You're a citizen. I don't need to have that conversation expand to any other part of the conversation. If you could be drafted, you're on my team. Maybe I don't like it. Maybe I wish the law were different. That's a different conversation. But as long as that's the truth, the reality is that you could be drafted to fight for my freedom. Oh, you're on my team. Yeah, that's it. I hear you if you're disagreeing with it. I understand the arguments on both sides. Yeah. But for me, if you're going to be in the military and take up arms and defend me and my country, you're on my team. That's the end of that story.
But I would like it to go away actually. Yeah, if I could choose, I would want that loophole to go away, but I can't choose.
Apparently the Trump administration found more than a billion dollars in taxpayer money that was going to illegals. I think this was just in one place. Have you been paying attention to this stupid argument on the news where the Democrats will say no money ever goes to healthcare for illegals because it's literally illegal to give illegals healthcare money? And then what do the Republicans say as a response to that? Well, it's not true. And then they say some word salad dumb thing that makes the Democrat look like they were right. I don't think the Democrats are right. But why can't any Republican explain the other side of this issue? And I'm not even sure what it is.
Is it something like we don't directly give the money to the illegals for healthcare because that would be illegal. So instead we fund the hospitals who are covering them. Is that the argument? The Republican response to that is so poor that I've experienced the argument going back and forth several times and I still don't know what the Republican argument is. Do you? Because then I also saw, was it Elizabeth Warren or something who said that if your argument is that they're getting treated at the hospitals that would
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be the same under all scenarios. There's nothing that would change the fact that they'll still get treated at emergency rooms. So what exactly is the Republican argument to that? I believe the Republican argument is the correct one that there is money that's being used for those purposes. But why can't they explain it in a way that sounds like a counterpoint to it's illegal so we don't do it? It'…
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