How many of you know somebody or know somebody who knows somebody who actually has the coronavirus? Because let me warn you about what's coming in case you're not ready for this. So aside from the obvious fact that there will be more infections, the next few weeks are gonna get ugly. There's just no way around it. But then maybe in two weeks or so you're gonna see some fairly dramatic flattening of the curve. And then we'll be on top of it and wrestle it to the ground. I think it may take a while, but I think two weeks is sort of where you should look for a guaranteed it's getting worse. But after that I think there's a reason to believe we might be able to be on top of it. That's just my personal opinion. There's nobody official said anything nearly that optimistic.

Now below me, let me suggest this. If you could imagine two hypothetical people who were trying to predict how things would go from the very beginning, and one of them was an optimist about human ability and one was a pessimist who just said this virus is gonna get us all, which one of them would have been more right? Now the pessimist would have been more right at the start. It caught us off guard and oh man it's bad. So I won't say alarmist because they'd be right. You're not an alarmist if you're right. So the people who had a dark opinion of what was coming turned out to be dead right.

But from the point that humanity organized, it happened very quickly. The smartest people are the ones who predict that we beat the expectations. Because any sense, your common sense of how long things take is completely influenced by the normal world. And we're not in it anymore. We're just not in a world of friction. We're not in a world where if you say I need this to battle the coronavirus, whoever you're talking to says no. In the real world you usually get no almost every time. If you're trying to sell and you get more nos than yeses. So we went from a world of mostly no to almost overnight a world of mostly yes. And how can I help? And now that I've helped, can I help you more? And is there anything else I can do? Can I volunteer? Can I put some muscle into this? Can I put some money into it? You've never seen anything like this. It's remarkable.

I love to believe that some of this is permanent. Maybe a little bit. Maybe the memory of it. Or at least for a generation it could shape us. And I'm looking into the comments here. So here's what I wanted to warn you about. You can get a little sense of it in the comments. You know the Kevin Bacon game where everybody is six degrees of separation from everybody else? Well the Kevin Bacon effect is gonna start hitting you hard. So already I can tell you in my life I know somebody who knows somebody who got it. And I know somebody who got it, probably got it. So already the Kevin Bacon effect has hit me once directly and once a couple of levels removed but close to home.

You're all going to be Kevin Baconed to death. But keep in mind that this is a mathematical sort of illusion. The whole reason the Kevin Bacon game is so fascinating is that your common sense doesn't tell you that you could be just a few jumps away from so many famous people. And that illusion is gonna be smacking us around for a couple weeks because you're gonna hear about people all the time that you have one or two or three jumps away from. And it's going to start to feel scary because that feels close. But just keep in mind it's real easy to be a few levels away from somebody. So it's sort of an objects in the mirror appear closer than they are situation.

So this is my warning. It will feel a lot worse than it is for the next couple weeks. But it will also be worse than it is. So it's gonna be worse in terms of the number of people who have a problem with the virus. There's also going to look worse than that. So just adjust it in your mind to how much it actually is versus how much it feels like it is because you've heard of six Kevin Bacon people you know that they got it this week. Just that's just something's coming.