Back to episode — Episode 663 Scott Adams - The Simultaneous Sip Waits For No One. Unless you see it on Replay
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tional background in those things, one should expect that they don't maybe have a full grasp, if they haven't been exposed to those things, of what to do exactly in every situation because those are pretty useful fields. So let me give you an example of what James Corden said. Now apparently James Corden has been struggling with his own weight for years. I had to look at a picture of him to see wh…
← Previous segment →that zero kids who are overweight do not get fat shamed – so we wouldn't see any fat people if it worked, right?
So I'm looking at your comments and look at the mix. A lot of you say yes, a lot of you saying no. Why is it that it looks like about half of you are yes, half of you are no? Now why is it that you disagree on such a simple question? And here's my hypothesis. Now this won't be true for every one of you. I'm gonna make a general statement. My hypothesis is the people who say this makes sense, on average – not every single person, you could be the exception – but on average the people who think that James Corden is making sense probably have a similar educational background. This is my speculation. Secondly, the people who say he does not make sense probably have backgrounds that are more like economics, probably more like business, maybe more like engineering, maybe more like science, or at least have been exposed to enough of those things that they know how those fields think.
Here's what's wrong with James Corden's sentence and I'll read it again and then tell you why it's completely irrational. "If making fun of fat people made them lose weight there'd be no fat kids in school." Here's what's wrong with it, and half of you already know it. The other half are going to learn it for the first time. We don't know what would have happened if this were a controlled experiment. See where this is going? If this were a controlled experiment we might learn that 90% of people who are fat would go ahead and lose weight. We might find that 10% do. But the thing we don't know is what would happen if we did the experiment.
And let me say I should throw my opinion in here just so I don't get lumped in with one of the two opinions I'm talking about. My opinion is closer to James Corden's opinion that the fat shaming is not good for society. I just have different reasons for it. So I'm anti-fat shaming but his reason he gave is that if fat shaming worked there wouldn't be any fat kids in school. And that is a very sort of an artist's opinion. If all of your education was in the arts you wouldn't know that there was anything wrong with that opinion. If you were a scientist, everyone here who had a scientific background said no controlled experiment, no controlled experiment. Your statement is absolutely just a guess. And half of you took that statement which is nothing more than a speculative guess and said oh yeah that's true, there would be no fat kids if fat shaming worked. I guess that would take care of it all.
So here's the big picture. The big picture is if you'd been exposed to some of the other more productive fields, the way they think – you don't have to be expert in any of them but if you just knew the way they think – you would have picked this up immediately.
There's a funny tweet by President Trump. I forget who he was tweeting at but there was somebody on Twitter who was slightly notable who said in effect that she wouldn't want to be friends with President Trump but would vote for him for president, as opposed to Andrew Yang who she thinks she could be friends with but wouldn't vote for him for president. And President Trump wisely and entertainingly tweeted back to her, "I'm good with that!" with an exclamation point. In other words he was accepting that he would rather be an effective president than to be the president everybody likes for his personality.
And I thought it was a sort of a brilliantly persuasive tweet in terms of framing the public's opinion of the situation. Because the most productive frame that this president could put out there – imagine if President Trump could sell what I'm gonna say next. Good. And that's the first time I've seen him hint at it. Here's the sale: I'm not asking you to like me personally. I get it. I don't want you to like me personally. Sometimes I'm kind of a dick but I'm gonna be a dick for you. Sometimes I'm kind of a bully but I work for you. Now I'm your bully. I'm gonna bully some other countries. I'm gonna bully the Democrats. I'm your bully.
That message is super appealing because people want to. You see that most of President Trump's critics have this problem that they can't get past who he is and they don't want to validate that and they don't want to normalize it. By the president giving this framework which is yeah, I'm n
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ot gonna be your best friend. I could see why you wouldn't like me. My personality isn't for everybody. I get it. And you're fine and I'm fine with that. At the same time let me do this effective job. Look at my statistics, look at unemployment rates, etc. I'm doing a good job. That is a really, really productive frame because it gives people who are on the fence about him a fake because. It's a…
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