Back to episode — Episode 884 Scott Adams - Taking Questions and Solving Pandemics Like it's Nothing
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ive with that? That in theory I should be wrong but like a hundred thousand at least. If you're coming back this just bothers the heck out of me if somebody comes back and says you said and it wasn't what I said. I know that's gonna happen. Why am I cranky? I just took a nap. I just woke up from a nap. All right, I got some questions here which I will answer. Jentech Sir says do you think Dr. Fa…
← Previous segment →of deaths. So I don't know how we would continue to fund them but we'll see.
What's your maximum certainty let's say that we'll see some sort of attack by a foreign country while we deal with the COVID-19 here at home? I would say none. The odds that a foreign country would attack us under these circumstances are none. Because first of all who attacks the United States right? You know who would intentionally ever attack the United States? Nobody. What was the last time somebody, somebody who had a standing army let's say, don't let's not terrorists but somebody you could find like with a real government attacked the United States? I mean really when was the last time? So no that's not gonna happen.
Best investments for a 1 2 3. Well I don't give investment advice but I will tell you this generic thing which is diversification is good. And I personally have my money in you know the bulk of it in Fortune 500 fund you know just an unmanaged fund of American companies. So that way I don't have to pick winners and losers. I'm basically betting on America. And I would think that in our current situation as whatever you think will happen to America we're probably going to get through this better than anybody else I think. So if you had to put your money in a country it's still kind of America. We're still America even as big as the budget deficit is and everything else it's still better than the alternatives.
What the hell is up with the CDC? Good question.
Jenny Smith says will you comply as Bill Gates suggests with an electronic certificate identifying antibodies in order to travel? I would yeah I would. There's lots of things that I would do in an emergency situation that I wouldn't do in an ordinary situation but yeah if I had to basically be tagged as somebody who had recovered so I could travel yeah why not. I mean it would just be for my own benefit that I would have this extra power that I could travel.
Dave says tell us about the pranks you alluded to in your book. Can't tell ya. I can't tell ya. I'll tell you one prank though. It's not one of the ones I alluded to but in my first long-term relationship many years ago I was living with a woman and every night she would I think she used them to take off makeup or something these little cotton balls. So she'd have a bag that she would buy with a big ol bunch of cotton balls. Now the thing about cotton balls is that when you take one out of the bag it still looks like the bag is full. You can actually take quite a few balls out before you can even tell that any have even left the bag. I don't know they're expanding or whatever it is. So one day Pam was her name she mentioned so yeah oh geez it seems like you know this it's like an infinite bag of cotton balls. Every time I take one now it seems like you can't even tell the difference. And from that day on I went to the store and I bought my own bag of cotton balls and every day I was very dedicated. Every day I was walking and I would take I think she would use two a day or something. I'd take two cotton balls out of my bag and put it in her bag. So for months and months and months she's taking two cotton balls out of her bag and it never goes down. I think I kept this prank going for like a year. I got like a full year and she never knew that her cotton balls were always replenished. Anyway I'm very dedicated to my pranks.
How to fight through frustration with learning new stuff. I've been stuck in the same project for two days. Well I don't know. I'm not maybe not the best one to ask because I very much dislike that period where you're confused and you can't figure out how to do something. I'll tell you the tricks I use. I mean one trick is to make sure you get a lot of sleep. There are simply things you can solve after a good night's sleep that you just can't when you're tired. So that's one thing. Another thing is ask some other people what they do. You know check the YouTube videos and then just keep chipping away at it. Yeah there are a lot of things that it seems like it's impossible to learn until you do. So just keep chipping away.
Film Ladd says if you were governor of New York. I'm not gonna read the rest of this.
David says should Twitter personalities, who are you talking about David, should Twitter personalities without mathematics science or engineering degrees be allowed to criticize probabilistic epidemiological models they obviously don't understand? I think that's directed at me David. Well let me put it this way. When the epidemiologist says we threw New York in the numbers I don't really have to be an epidemiologist to know that they should have been separated. All right so the answer is apparently yes I should as a Twitter personality I should criticize that. For what it's worth I did that kind of work for a living.
What portion of the people dying are from assisted living facilities that got infected before the shutdown? You know the general question is we don't know who's dying and why. And I've asked this question which is how many doctors who took the hydroxychloroquine before getting anything, how many of them have been hospitalized and ventilated? I'll bet it's zero. That's the dog that doesn't bark in there. That I believe the doctors taking that drug to protect themselves may or may not be getting the virus because I think you could still get it but that it would be trivial if you did. So I'm predicting that nobody who's been taking it for a while and then got exposed will be ventilated. We'll see.
What talent stack do you recommend learning to prepare for a post-corona world? Well I wouldn't be a restaurant server so restaurants are going to be tough for a while. I would say podcasting would be good and anything that you can do at home might make a difference. So I think the real answer is that you should add to your talent stack whatever makes sense with what you're good at and what you already have. So you should build it based on your specific
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situation. Can the numbers we see for confirmed cases be taken seriously? I don't know what seriously means but you've got to take all of the numbers you're seeing, every estimate, every ratio, every raw number. You just really have to be skeptical of it all and I don't see that changing. There's been a steady drumbeat of outrage at the restaurant minister in Florida. I don't know that story. Wa…
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