Episode 1070 Scott Adams - Protests, Fake News Determining Elections, Sandmann Puts Fake News 2 Sleep

hey everybody come on in it's time for another exciting and amazing episode of coffee with scott adams yep it's just about the best thing you've ever seen in your life what is happening my security camera's going off there's a mouse outside i literally picked up a mouse on my security camera that's good security so but enough about me what about you how are you doing great yeah good because it's a great day today and it's just going to get better and one of the things that will make it better is a simultaneous set but i hope you'll join me now all you need is a copper bunga glass attacker challenger stein a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine of the day the thing makes everything better including pandemics economics you name it go ah oh let's talk about all the things happening today so yesterday trump signed uh for are they executive orders i guess then they're all designed to lower uh pharmaceutical costs in this country now there are a few interesting things about this aside from the fact that wouldn't it be good to have lower pharmaceutical costs number one interesting thing why wasn't this done before even the president says should have been done long ago well he's been president for three years so long ago also includes the current presidency and so the question is why wasn't it done before now let me i don't know the details of the executive orders but one of them is to have most favored nation status which is fairly common in contracts common enough that you know people know it exists and the idea is that uh we can't be charged more in this country than some other country so we don't want to be the ones who are subsidizing other countries by paying high costs so that some other country could have low cost that's pretty basic contract stuff but the government had not been involved rather these were you know private companies doing private things so why is it that now the president can make this kind of a change which seems to comply to all common sense and on the surface it looks like just a smart thing to do why'd it take so long same with buying from canada apparently we'll have the option now of getting some meds from canada where the prices are lower which is similar to the most favored nations thing and then a few other things that do the same thing and here's what i think it is but i need to see some reporting on this by smarter people yeah you're saying in the comments uh where i was going could you tell i was teasing for the answer because i think the answer is that the supreme court has upheld enough executive orders from the past and i think it was with daca and maybe obamacare so that's the part of murky on so somebody can fill me in on the supreme court part of it but i think what's happened is that trump has discovered he has more power as a president than anybody would have imagined meaning that the supreme court has now set a standard that says that trump can do this now because he's doing this that's about the same size of this-ness of other things that the supreme court has allowed and so it gave him room to operate that didn't exist before so here's the fun part the supreme court by voting against the president's wishes a few times has turned him into the dictator that nobody wanted but as long as he's a benevolent dictator it's going to be okay and the same with obama right obama did some big executive orders but as long as society looked at them and said yeah well your intention was good and a lot of people do like it not everybody agrees but it's not like the worst thing in the world the supreme court can let that stand so uh you can you can never underestimate no you can never overestimate i always say it wrong i tweeted that wrong this morning um there's there's a big impact of the uh what do you call it the the accidental consequences of anything and the accidental consequences of the president losing a few supreme court battles is that he can lower our health care costs yeah you could never underestimate thank you that's what i should say so the the accidental consequences the unintended consequences were to give the president more power and then he took his power and he solved one of society's biggest problems with it thank you for unintended yes um now who saw that coming who who on their prediction card said president will lose important supreme court cases and that will allow him to lower our drug costs what and you're going to see a lot of exciting things i think happening as we get closer to election day because the president has this one gigantic advantage and it's enormous which is the president can do things whereas joe biden can't do things so the president doesn't have to just talk about lowering drug costs he can just do it and apparently he's well on his way to doing it we'll see if this stuff holds but i'll bet it will um you all had a good laugh or i think celebrated silently when uh covington kid nick sandman won his his suit well he got he had a kind of settlement which is different from winning although it's a kind of winning and so this is his second win in a row he won he got a settlement i guess from cnn and he got a settlement of unnamed amount from washington post that he's got a few more outlets to sue and the basic idea here is that the the news the fake news painted him as the bad guy when in fact he was just standing there and he was sort of the one that was approached not the one who was causing trouble so his reputation got destroyed by this sufficiently that a court or at least you know it looked like it was it was something he could win sufficiently that the other side decided to sell so that's how bad it was so this raises an interesting question and it goes like this could somebody who had lost their job or had been attacked let's say physically attacked and i guess there were a few of them even last night at the protesters at the protest if if people who are trump supporters are physically attacked or fired for being trump supporters here's the question i ask the legal experts could those people sue the fake news for the fine people hoax and for the you know the covington kid hoax and the russia collusion hoax in other words could you say the reason i lost my job for being a trump supporter is because the fake news has run enough hoaxes that i'm demonized just for being a supporter i lost my job could they make the case that the media by knowingly running hoaxes and of course the fine people hoax is the classic one where you know they know the real answer because it's in the transcript it's not really an interpretation problem it's right there you just read it so could you win a case against the same fake news companies if you had been abused in any way for being a trump supporter because i i think it's a pretty solid line from from there speaking of which uh rasmussen uh who does polling which you rarely will hear mentioned on the news apparently rasmussen is banned from being mentioned on the news did you know that and i think it's banned on both on both the left and the right now they claim and i think there's evidence to support it to be the most accurate polling company in the country for political stuff now is that true is that true i think so i think they're the most accurate and they can't be mentioned so there must be a counter argument to that but i don't know what it is but one of the things that rasmussen tweeted this morning is that if you look at what people believed during the 2018 midterm elections you'd find that 30 just before the vote for the midterms in 2018 30 of the country believed the russia collusion hoax 30 of the country believed it and that includes republicans now if 30 percent of your country believe the fake news that that russia was controlling the president what would you expect the midterm to look like you'd expect it to look like it did people would vote in democrats because they think the president is owned by russia now think about how much that changed the world because because it probably flipped the house and i haven't even added the second part if the only thing that happened was the russia collusion hoax which you had to know that the media pushing it had some suspicion it wasn't true or no it wasn't true but they pushed it anyway what about the fine people hoax i would say that the fine people hoax was believed by maybe 70 of the country when it first came out wouldn't you say i would guess that 70 percent of the country because that includes a lot of republicans believed the fine people hoax now that's quite that's changed quite a bit i tweeted this morning because i you know i periodically tweet that it's a hoax and a phd doctor type guy who wrote a anti-trump book weighed in to say it's not a hoax darth dilbert see that's the funny part because my critics call me dilbert but he called me darth dilbert so that's like really really funny very clever and he was not aware according to his tweet that it was a hoax and i thought to myself how could you be an educated person in the united states and think that the fine people hoax was real now in 2020 i totally get why people believed in in 2018 because it was fresh and it was being misreported but after two years of unraveling this thing you'd think most people would know it's a hoax by now but think of those those two hoaxes the russia collusion hoax and then i would call it the tentpole race hoax because everything else about trump would seem different if you took away that that one thing that they think they got the smoking gun on right because everything else is sort of a well 30 years ago there was that that full-page ad about the central park five so what about that well if you were looking at it in isolation and you had not heard the fine people hoax and you're just looking at it on its own you'd say well he wrote an ad that says nothing about race there's nothing in there about race it was about crime the people accused happened to be black but it wasn't any part of trump's point so if you saw that in isolation you'd say yeah i can see why people are saying it feels racist but there's nothing there i mean there's nothing in what he did that even you know indirectly implies race so if you take away the charlottesville find people hoax which is the one that people said ah finally now we don't have to read his mind anymore we don't have to think he was thinking something wrong even though he didn't do things wrong we could we know he was thinking bad things now we have the actual proof so once you have the proof it proves all the other things it's like now that we've heard this we know all of his secret thoughts are confirmed so i would say that those two hoaxes actually completely determined the midterm result and that means that the fake news literally is running the country at this point if you're worried about uh foreign interference you should rethink that on a statistical on a statistical basis because what we have now it looks like you probably have a russia which wouldn't mind having trump again i think i'm not sure but it feels like it and then you've got a china that absolutely doesn't want trump because biden is china friendly so it looks like it's a contest between china and maybe russia intelligence to try to thwart the fake news in this country which will otherwise determine the election so we have foreign interfec this is literally true we have foreign interference in our fake news which will cause the fake news to less reliably throw the election and make it illegitimate now i'm not coming out in favor of foreign interference i'm simply pointing out the irony that it might be the only thing that could save us again not in favor of it i'm not making i'm not making a pro-russian statement i'm just saying that if the fake news was going to do another 2018 job on the country and just completely rigged the election by fake information what if russia successfully interfered with our election in a way that thwarted the fake news would that be bad in theory it would be bad hypothetically it would be terrible to have foreign interference except that our domestic interference is far worse right so sort of uh two wrongs making a right situation sometimes it works senator tom cotton continues to make news he's good at making news and he wants to ban a federal funding from any school that has include included the what is called the race baiting 1619 project in the curriculum now the 1619 project 1619 refers to the first date of slavery i think uh the beginning of slavery and the curriculum would include the fact that the white the white race is quote barbaric devils and quote bloodsuckers so tom cotton thinks that schools should not give federal funding if they're teaching that white people are barbaric devils and bloodsuckers i'm thinking to myself that sounds pretty reasonable tom cotton i have to say i haven't always agreed with tom cotton he's got some opinions that you know a little uh a little outside my uh range of happiness but not this one this one seems right down the center like this one doesn't even look right-wing to me does it i like you could argue that this is oh he's a right-wing guy but not this this is right down the middle so will this get passed i doubt it but i'm glad he's doing it um here's an interesting story that i don't know what to make of it you know about the uh the book and the movie plandemic right so you know that there's a a doctor who's suggesting that uh i guess there's going to be a tv the sinclair local tv stations are gonna air and the sinclair stations by the way own a lot of local tv stations so this is a big deal uh they're gonna air the pandemic uh that it's a it's called a researcher's conspiracy theory now conspiracy theory is what you call anything you don't agree with so keep an open mind about what's a conspiracy theory and what isn't but the plandemic claims that dr fauci uh was responsible for creating the coronavirus and they sent it to china and it's so found she's responsible for the coronavirus now i suppose we live in a world where anything's possible right anything's possible but um and and then other people weighed in and said that this is the most widely debunked conspiracy theory ever now i told you before that one of the authors of the pandemic book lives locally around here and he's lobbied me i think he sent me three books so far he's lobbied me to get him on here to my periscopes which makes me uh think he might be watching right now so i can't heck it lively so i did get your messages and the reason that i haven't responded is that i can't vet this sort of stuff so eric balling apparently had uh you know the doctor on there recently and he got some criticism for not knowing ahead of time the other things that they had claimed etc and i don't want to i don't want to make the mistake that eric bowling made which is putting on one side of a controversial scientific claim if i can't argue the claim in other words if i don't know enough about the topic or i could push back on a claim i don't want that person talking in public with you know my help because at any any single claim and a context uh looks persuasive so i don't have an opinion about whether the planet is totally debunked as other people say or there's something to part of it but maybe not all of it don't know but i'd also suggest that you don't know and for the fact that the sinclair stations are going to run this i think is completely irresponsible unless it also runs something from the critics if it's balanced if they say well this is what the experts say here's what the plan dammit movie says and let's go back to the experts and see what they say if they do something like that then fine you know maybe it's a public interest to know to see both sides but i don't think that's going to happen let me give you a good example of what happens when you only look at one side of an argument in the comments tell me was michael jackson totally definitely a child molester or not in the comments tell me your opinion and i'll tell you why i'm asking this i'm asking because this goes to my point about how if you see one side of an argument it's always convincing if one lawyer gets the talk and the other side doesn't get to talk that one lawyer will will convince you pretty much every time i'm looking at your your comments about michael jackson and you'll see that they're mixed which is what i was expecting you'll see a bunch of yeses you receive a bunch of no's now how can it be that we get to this point in time and you've got a bunch of yeses and you've got a bunch of no's well let me tell you my experience i went from saying well gosh i don't know could be true could be true could be not true and then i watched uh a netflix special i think it was netflix in which uh he showed two of his accusers now adults telling their story now when you hear the adults telling the story of what happened to them when they're younger it is a hundred percent credible you could have it would be hard to watch that documentary and walk away thinking that jackson was innocent i mean it would be really hard it's completely convincing so therefore michael jackson definitely a child buster right very convincing except last night i watched another documentary last night i watched one called uh square one and it was it took the other side and it went through the description of how the initial accuser made the accusation etc and i don't want to give it away oh was it an hbo special somebody's correcting me uh and was it something wonderland or yeah that was the name of it so anyway so i watched the the other side of it and let me tell you the other side of it that says he was not a child molester is 100 credible blew my freaking head off if you had told me that there was an other side to this story after i'd seen the completely convincing evidence that he was obviously a child blesser when you see the other side it'll blow your head off let me give you just a flavor of it and let me tell you you should watch this because if if you believe that michael jackson definitely is guilty and i'm not going to say he is or not i'm going to only talk about the quality of the arguments do i know anything yeah i wasn't there it was not there let me give you some examples the very first accuser who ended up ended up settling when you hear the story of how that scam came about and you hear that even the kid didn't think anything happened he talked to his friends and said nothing happened even after the fact i mean when you hear the whole story it really was just a con artist who figured out a way to make michael jackson pay and here was the part of the story i'd never heard before and it goes like this there were two court cases one was criminal and one was civil so one tries to get money and one is trying to see if michael jackson goes to jail typically the way you do those is you do the criminal case first and then depending on how that turns out that gives you a basis to to do or not do a um a civil suit where you're trying to get money now the problem is that in the michael jordan in the michael jackson case his civil suit was on a a faster schedule which meant that he would have had to give away his entire defense in the civil suit before the criminal case was run and if you do that the experts say that the criminal case people get to craft and recraft their case so that the defense doesn't work and therefore it's massively unconstitutional or at least unfair i think it's actually passed constitutional muster since then but in my opinion it's unconstitutional because it guarantees an unfair trial in the criminal case guarantees it it guarantees an unfair trial and so michael jackson had the following situation he could either settle for something that definitely didn't happen or he could risk going to jail because he knew that his defense would be laid bare in the in the civil suit and when he went to criminal court basically he would get eaten alive and probably be convicted for something that didn't happen and so he settled once he settled there became another thing that happened and here's the key part the fake news business at the time was paying people who would come forward and say that something bad happened at michael jackson's house what happens when you pay massive amounts of money to people who are willing to lie on television what happens you get a lot of people who are willing to lie on television and the ones who came after were just sort of obvious liars so now you've got one case the jackson settled because he got this weird legal bind that he just had to do the same thing that created the first story that generated fake news paying people for more stories because they got a lot of clicks so now you have a pattern and when you say to yourself but what about those you know the two older ones that you saw in the other documentary they're adults it doesn't seem like they have anything to gain by making something up well here's the thing they also have some connection to some of the badness and they won't give it away but they don't the the documentary that excuses jackson doesn't too directly deal with those latest adult accusations but it does completely eliminate the bulk of the ones you've heard and they are absolutely they look pretty fake the other ones who knows but let me give you a little uh a little anecdote here uh colleen colleen mcculkin was saying this when you hear the story that uh michael jackson let children they had been visiting sleep over in his bedroom what do you think you you see them all in the same bed right and here's here's a one of the stories that colleen mcculken was saying he goes the first thing you don't understand is that michael jackson's bedroom was two stories it was two stories so you could be in his bedroom without even being in the same room and he told the story about some kid who wanted to sleep in in his bedroom in his bed and michael jackson asked one of the adult staff members to sleep in the room with him and the the two of them slept on the floor and let the kids use the big bed now i don't know how common it was for him to do that but the fact that it happened even once tells you that michael jackson was aware that you don't want to be alone with a kid in your bed did he ever do it before i don't know so here's the point i don't know what michael jackson did or did not do i do know that a huge part of that story about what he did looks completely not credible that doesn't mean all the rest of it is not credible it just means that the fake news basically destroyed this person all right if you took the fake news business out of the equation michael jackson would still probably be performing today i don't even know if he'd be dead so keep that in mind uh you gotta you have to watch both of those documentaries if you don't watch them both you're really not gonna get the feel of this two-world situation um i saw on social media but i'm looking for a confirmation that something like half of all coronavirus deaths happen to diabetics is that really true is it true that half of coronavirus deaths are diabetics and the diabetics are still walking around just like they have the same risk of everybody else i mean i would hope that they're hiding pretty well by now but it feels like we could really make something happen if that's true um there are also two movies and two worlds about all the protests if you look at fox news you'll see lots of articles and photos of things burning and things being thrown at police and and dangerous lasers uh blinding them etc a bunch of police have been literally blinded by these lasers from the protesters now um i just i i'm so angry about that in particular it's one thing to get hit with a blunt object i mean that could be bad enough but to be blinded just because you went to work uh i don't know if the police just opened fired on on the protesters with the with the i think they should shoot to kill anybody who's got a laser that they should that they're putting in people's eyes that's just my opinion now probably would cause a lot of problems it may be more problems than it solves but i think if you actually saw somebody aiming the laser that no matter where that laser was aimed if it's a deadly weapon meaning that it will blind somebody i think the police should be able to shoot to kill if they even see the laser you know the the moment the laser comes out that should be a shoot to kill situation because it would be if it were a gun right if somebody brought out a gun that'd be a shoot to kill situation if it looked like they were going to use it if somebody brings out a laser to blind a police officer let me let me say as clearly as i can possibly can you put me on that jury that police officer is free put me on the jury that tries to convict a police officer for shooting somebody who has a blinding laser that they that they're is in their hand you're a free man or free woman yeah you put me on that jury no way i'm gonna convict the cop for shooting a guy with a laser that blinds people no way if you're wondering what's going to happen with all their urban centers i suggest you learn about insurance and banking because when you see all the shops that were destroyed by the the looters in the urban areas you say to yourself well you know they'll wait for the tension to go down and then they'll rebuild or maybe other people will come in other tenants will take over and rebuild but there's a problem you kind of need insurance to have a viable business if you need a bank loan the bank the bank's gonna want you to have insurance too so that you're covered in case something happens now insurance companies will often if not always exclude riots so riots would not be covered by your insurance now that was probably not a big problem in the past because when you're filling out your insurance policy you're thinking well what are the odds i'm going to lose my business to a riot you know that doesn't seem very likely so you still buy the insurance but would you buy insurance with no riot protection in the very places that have recently been destroyed by riots and no end in sight i would i would suggest that you can predict what's going to happen to at least the retail parts of the inner cities by looking at banking and insurance and entrepreneurs and how they manage risk and at this point the risk is just too high and that's going to persist for years so i don't see any situation in which the urban areas quickly come back if they come back at all let's see um they're uh i was tweeting about 5g and you know people think there might be some health dangers from 5g which is the new faster technology for phones now the first thing i want to say about it is as i said my tweet i don't think society understands that this new faster speed for phones called 5g because it sounds like 4g and 3g and you knew what those were right oh 3g was dated but it was kind of slow 4g is pretty snappy pretty fast 5g is going to be better it'll be a little faster right if that's why you're thinking you're missing the show 5g is not a little bit faster data 5g will change civilization 5g will just change civilization in a way similar to how smartphones did because i don't know about you but i i'm using my phone for getting all my delivery of my food you know because i'm quarantined at the moment in anticipation of some surgery upcoming and so if i didn't have my phone i could barely do what i do i mean the smartphones i think you would agree have transformed civilization but not as much as 5g and here's why 5g is going to give you a augmented reality world it won't be long before that my glasses are connected to my phone and my phone has 5g that's pretty much guaranteed there's no way that won't happen because it's just too it's too there i mean it's too obvious that that's going to be a thing once you have enough people who have the the types of glasses or they don't really need them they could just hold up their phone and see and see an augmented reality through the you know just like a camera but those people will be living in a much improved world because with your glasses on you won't just see the things that are there you'll see a menu for everything there there's a television across the room i would see a remote control pop up and i could control my tv in the air because in the air i would see an actual remote control so i could get directions on anything i could find out you know really i would have this whole enhanced reality such that when i took my glasses off at night it would start to feel the way you feel when you accidentally leave home without your phone have you had that experience ever get in your car and you're driving some place you're going to be gone for a while and you look for your phone and it's not there and you think oh god what if what if i get a problem i want you know it's not the end of the world but it definitely bothers you right now imagine if you had an enhanced reality world an augmented reality where you're seeing things floating that don't exist you can call up a screen that floats in front of you to watch a to watch a movie that floats in the air that only you can see you know because you got your your your earbuds into so you're walking around watching a movie you meet somebody their their social media profile appears above their head try to live without that it will be so addictive and useful it'll be like if you didn't have a smartphone so i think that the world will start to bifurcate into people who are essentially cyborgs because once you get to the point where you're living in an enhanced reality with you know labels and messages and instructions and more detail and all that you're basically a cyborg now uh i've argued for a long time and elon musk said something similar recently that the smartphones already made us cyborgs so we're you know the fact that you can leave it at home and drive away is sort of trivial because you'll wish you hadn't right but as soon as you've got the the what's it called the neural link uh which is also elon musk's one of his companies they're going to embed a little sensor for your brains you maybe could control things um just by thinking it now imagine if you if you could see through your glasses and enhance reality with augmented stuff and you can just think them to change so you could just look around you could see a tv and you you could just blink at it and it would come on because your your brain knew that you wanted it to be on so put those things together and we are fully into the cyborg cyborg era but here's the problem what if everybody doesn't become a cyborg will there be a human organic movement of people who don't have any technology probably i just don't know how big it will be will it be you know amish country small or will be a third of the country doesn't want to be a cyborg now if you ask me oh i can't wait make me a cyborg as quickly as you can but anyway people don't realize what a big deal that is but here's the funny part of my story there's nothing more amusing well there probably is but it's amusing when you're on social media and people don't know what your background is and they challenge you on a point that you might be the one person in the world who knows more about it than anybody so it's sort of like that woody allen movie i think it was annie hall where he's standing in line for a show and they're arguing about some public figure marshall mcluhan an author and marsha mcluhan ends up in this movie scene the actual marshall mcluhan is standing in line right behind him and gets into the conversation and and corrects something and that that movie scene always stuck with me because you see that playing out in real life and it happened here so somebody said to me on social media that 5g hasn't been tested because the the big companies that are going to roll it out they would have no interest in testing it to find out that it's dangerous and therefore it's not been tested sort of logically you say to yourself well logically they don't want to hear that it's bad for you they want to make a trillion dollars the phone companies mostly so you know and the phone makers so nobody would have studied it now that's what somebody said to me on social media and here was my answer i used to work for the phone company and part of my job was was doing the economic projections of whether we should do more wireless stuff i actually personally worked on that and part of my economic decision was informed with by my co-worker who i often sat right next to whose job it was to study all the the health studies of the cell cell phones so that was the um prior to 5g technology that was probably a 3g kind of a technology and we studied it because that's part of the economics i wasn't going to give management an economic analysis that says looks like we'll make a billion dollars on this and ignore the fact that it might kill people i'm not going to leave that out that's pretty important to the economics of a project if you leave out the part where it kills 100 million people i don't think you've done your work right so this person was arguing me with me that a phone company would ignore this part of the economic impact you know the health part which also has an economic impact and she was talking to somebody who literally was the guy who did it i actually worked at a phone company i actually did those economics and i sat next to the guy who did look in detail at the health studies and then summarized them for management so management was comfortable that it wouldn't be killing people now years have passed has anybody died from their cell phone you know can we say that my economic analysis was accurate that i didn't need to include it can we say that my co-worker who studied it got it right now if you're telling me that apple apple i mean think about this you're telling me that apple is going to bet a trillion dollars because it'll be something like that you know eventually you tell me apple is going to bet a trillion dollars on the business plan without looking at the most obvious biggest thing that you should look at i think they looked at it now you can make the argument that whoever's looked at it has looked at the wrong stuff you could make the argument that the studies weren't good enough there are lots of things you could argue that i wouldn't argue back there are plenty of bad studies but here's what i will not allow anybody to tell me and without pushing back don't tell me they haven't looked into it are you kidding don't tell me that they haven't looked into it and if any of those things were credible from the brain cancer to gives you coronavirus or makes it worse to stunt your growth if any of that was backed by science companies like apple are not going to wade into it with that that kind of a risk that's a that is a company destroying risk you just don't take that risk it's just not a thing but that's different from saying let me be very clear i'm not a doctor i don't know what causes risk and what doesn't but i'm telling you they looked into it that's all i'm going to tell you there's some evidence based on we don't have much information on it yet it comes from a tweet from somebody who seems to know a lot of stuff that the houston consulate that was closed the chinese consulate that had evidence apparently of spying on american companies and intellectual property theft and all that apparently there's some information we haven't seen yet that would suggest that china is backing black lives matter now i ask you does that sound likely does it seem likely or unlikely to you that china might have at least tried i don't know how successful they were but at least tried to encourage black lives matter to do a little more protesting because here's the calculation you should look at when trying to decide if that's true number one would they think of it of course of course so you don't have to wonder hey did china have that idea had they considered it did anybody suggest hey maybe you should back the protesters who are you know making the united states look bad of course they thought of it because if this situation were reversed we would have thought of it i mean i'm sure we've backed dissidents and protesters in other countries that's pretty basic the second thing you should ask for is what would be the penalty for getting caught and we already know the penalty for getting caught it's nothing that's nothing this consular closed but they have other consulates the the the penalty is basically nothing one consulate got closed like it's not as if they don't have computers and hackers and thieves and other consulates i don't know how how much difference does it make if you live in in houston versus you got a consulate somewhere else so i don't think there is any risk you know it just costs a little money right they've got to remove move a consulate but it's not like anybody died it's not like we completely decoupled over this it didn't tell us anything we didn't already know no risk so if there's no risk but there's a potential big reward and there could be if they're destabilizing the united states of course it's happening in the in the situation where they think of it there are lots of people involved you know in china there's lots of people involved and there's a big payoff and a small risk it'll happen every time every time it's going to happen i mean mischief will happen under those conditions so cnn continues to be funny in trying to be serious so caitlyn caitlin collins who's one of their local anti-trump voices she was mocking him in a written article i think there was a from a video piece because he decided to cancel the republican national convention which of course she would agree with because cnn is sort of anti-large gatherings unless they're protests and then she says that he would cancel his convention despite pushing for schools to reopen now the the implication is that that would be inconsistent why would the president not think it was safe to have a convention if he does think it's safe to send kids to school is that a fair comparison you know i complain all the time that people who um come up through a journalism or you know some specific profession if they don't have a broad understanding of how to make decisions and how to compare things the way an economist or an engineer or scientist would that they say consistently dumb things but don't know it and i don't think anything could be dumber than saying i don't understand the consistency if the president thinks that a bunch of older adults packed into a room is dangerous why doesn't he think that the group who basically doesn't get coronavirus why wouldn't he think they're dangerous they couldn't be more different situations they couldn't be more different now is it true that opening schools will also cause spread of the coronavirus yes yes everybody knows that the president knows that nobody's denying it it's just that we think that's a level that's controllable if you're you know comparing it to the presumed benefits of getting kids back to school that there is a risk but it's one that the president decides is worth it i don't know how cnn can pretend that they can't see the difference there and they're they're looking for these little gachas um five seattle uh news organizations were ordered by a judge to turn over their video and photos for protests so law enforcement wanted to get a hold of all the video and pictures of protests so they could find out who to arrest etc news organizations resisted and now the king county superior court said that they have to give it up interesting so all of the news organizations just became weaponized by the police will that change i don't know so uh can the news organizations continue to send news crews who will take pictures and video knowing that those pictures and video will go directly to the police and then they will be the news organizations will be part of what's disbanding black lives matter very ticklish position to be in wouldn't you say i saw somebody asking me about uh what's his name portnoy and barstool barstool sports he did an interview with president trump people are saying and i would agree with him i like to use that trump phrase people are saying that that that's the best interview with the president that they've ever seen and i would say i would agree okay in in terms of entertainment and in terms of humanizing the president and just having fun with it probably the best one i i would say i would say it's the best interview with the president i've seen now the president was very good at avoiding uh and avoiding the questions so it was this weird situation yeah dave portney dave portnoy it was this weird situation where dave would ask a question such as you know do you always use the power handshake with world leaders wouldn't you like to know the answer to that question it was like he asked the question that i've thought about for so long and nobody's ever asked it now of course the president completely ignored the question and just talked about handshakes and coronavirus and how world leaders love him and stuff which was perfectly executed media spin if you will in other words the president is just really good at turning the question into whatever he wanted the question to be which is what you actually learn when you take media training you learn how to do that it's something the president does great and most politicians do it doing well as well um the only thing that bothered me about dave portnoy's interview is that it should have been me and when i say a show to bed b it just means i'm jealous yeah so i'm just jealous because if there was anybody who would give an irreverent uh interview with the president they would still be watchable i would be on that list of people that you should watch interview the president now i do have her uh informally i did put a request in but i probably need to formalize that because i think that between now and november an interview with me with president trump i think would be useful for the country uh i wouldn't be just entertaining i'd want it to be useful so i think i could frame things in a way that you would quite enjoy it but yes i i'll have to confess there are very few things that make me jealous because it's just not a it's just not an emotion i spend any time with but and that's why this caught me off guard and it's why it's it's why i'm mentioning it that was the first time like i genuinely felt jealous i mean it's a small thing right it has no real impact in my life but he was that good so you want to be so good at your job as dave portnoy is you want to be so good that somebody else who does that job goes oh damn it damn it that should have been me so a plus watch it if you haven't seen it i cheekily am continuing to say that um oh by the way i just one more thing about the find people hoax in the past when i've tweeted that the find people hoax is a hoax my comment feed would just fill with people who would say no it isn't it's totally true i heard it myself today i i tweeted that and got almost no people who thought it was true now i don't know if that's because all of the democrats now know it wasn't true or if they gave up you just suddenly they stopped refuting that point that doesn't make sense i feel like maybe we made a dent collectively because at least my critics have backed off and just you know let it go that i'm stating it as a fact that it's a hoax and then they're letting it go now which i think is capitulation but i might be a little optimistic on that at least for the commenters not for the i think biden still says it all right my last point here i've said this before but you cannot um i don't think you could ignore the effect of fiction has on how we look at the real world because everything you look at needs to fit some model of understanding so and ideally you want the new information to fit some existing model in your head and you just populate that existing model that's called confirmation bias and you see it in everything right you see the left agrees to the left the right agrees to the right but there's there's a statement about human beings that i think you would all agree with which is it's difficult to do something anything until you can first imagine it so you don't really attempt to do things you can't imagine can work the wright brothers um invented an airplane because they could well imagine you know they could see it flying you know i assume i assume that they imagined it working and then then they worked on anywhere now all the things you imagine don't work necessarily when you try to do them but you're not going to do anything until you can first imagine it's a thing and that makes me get to my impression or the filter that i just sort of automatically have on watching the protests the first filter is it looks very female lead and i don't know how many of you are also getting that feeling but antifa in particular and i think black lives matter as well but they seem like they are mostly female leaders or at least the leaders that are the most vocal or maybe the most effective most aggressive seem to be female so it's like a female lead organization and the males at least the antifa males not so much the black lives matter males but the antifa males seem to fall into a category of not as manly if we could say that and again this isn't an insult you know i'm not saying that if you're if you don't have a manly persona you're worth less or anything nothing like that i'm left to burning so if you want to be every letter in lgbtq i'm cool with that i'm 100 cool with that you can be any letter you want you can be any lifestyle you want if it doesn't bother me you can be whatever you want so there's no criticism implied here i'm just observing that there's a certain kind of man who is enjoying this anti-foss situation and they you know if i could use the diminutive term beta males they kind of fall into that category now again this is not an insult because i think that it's a big world i'm not saying it's a good thing to be an alpha male or that it's a bad thing to be a beta male they both exist it's a preference it's the way you're born or it's a lifestyle it doesn't matter it's all okay with me alright if you're not breaking the law if you're not violating the constitution it's just none of my business period could not care less about your personal lifestyle choices if they don't affect me so i say that just because my filter is that it looks like the it looks like game of thrones with uh daenerys so you got the strong female leader the queen of dragons and she formed an army of of literally eunuchs so their their men had been cast castrated to make them more you know docile and obedient soldiers i guess i don't know what the theory was there exactly but i don't know why you'd want castrated soldiers it feels like the wrong idea but it reminded me of that and it looks like it's the queen of dragons that are unique army but they're reenacting the joker movie and i said this before to great pushback which i enjoy of course and the pushback was that if the joker movie had not been such a universally you know acclaimed movie and a lot of people saw it if you hadn't first pictured the joke or movie would it have been as easy to recreate it because that's what the protests and the looting effectively did it recreated the look and feel of the joker movie is that a coincidence is it simply that there are movies and they're in my head and so i just interpret the world through those movies and that's all it is or is there a causal relationship in other words if you can only do the things you can imagine and what you could imagine was not you know everybody's doing well but what you could imagine was that joker movie you're more likely to do the thing you could imagine so i do think that fiction has a big role in how we're interpreting our reality but also how we act on it because you just don't act on things you can't imagine all right um i'm just looking at your comments yeah you know um i don't think that i don't think we should make a judgment about what's better or worse when it comes to people's biological situation but it is fair to say it's different you know nobody would argue with the fact that you know there are differences among people but we don't have to put a value judgment on that anyone see zuckerberg's face in hawaii yeah yeah zuckerberg uses a lot of a lot of sunscreen but i don't if you've seen his complexion you know there's a good reason for that but where is the imagining from well it's coming from fiction that's the point somebody says you're reaching on the joker thing in my opinion well you know the the best opinions are the ones that you say to yourself in fact i i try to stay in the space as much as possible my favorite opinions to present here are the ones where you say to yourself i'm not so sure that's true i've got a little skepticism about that those are my favorite places to be i will tell you that based on everything i know from hypnosis from persuasion and living a life in which i've done everything from marketing to selling that the the models that you have in your head of what the world can look like are very persuasive now if you have less experience in hypnosis and persuasion than i do and your opinion is different from mine about this topic you should ask yourself would your opinion change if you knew as much as i did about this specific topic and that's where i want you to be i want you to be thinking maybe maybe i should look into that maybe that's a thing or maybe i'll look for it in the future look forward in the future and you might be surprised but you don't have to believe everything i say i wouldn't talk to you later

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hey everybody come on in

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ah oh

let's talk about all the things

happening today

so yesterday trump signed uh for

are they executive orders i guess

then they're all designed to lower uh

pharmaceutical

costs in this country now there are

a few interesting things about this

aside from the fact

that wouldn't it be good to have lower

pharmaceutical costs

number one interesting thing why wasn't

this done before

even the president says should have been

done long ago

well he's been president for three years

so long ago also includes

the current presidency and so the

question is

why wasn't it done before now let me

i don't know the details of the

executive orders

but one of them is to have most favored

nation status which is fairly common

in contracts common enough that you know

people know it exists

and the idea is that uh we can't be

charged more in this country

than some other country so we don't want

to be

the ones who are subsidizing other

countries by paying high costs

so that some other country could have

low cost that's pretty basic

contract stuff but the government had

not been involved

rather these were you know private

companies doing private things

so why is it that now the president can

make this kind of a change

which seems to comply to all

common sense and on the surface it looks

like just a smart thing to do

why'd it take so long same with buying

from canada

apparently we'll have the option now of

getting some meds from canada where the

prices are lower

which is similar to the most favored

nations thing and then a few other

things that

do the same thing and here's what i

think it is but i need to see some

reporting on this by smarter people

yeah you're saying in the comments uh

where i was going

could you tell i was teasing for the

answer

because i think the answer is that the

supreme court

has upheld enough executive orders from

the past

and i think it was with daca and maybe

obamacare

so that's the part of murky on so

somebody can fill me in on the supreme

court part of it

but i think what's happened is that

trump has discovered he has more power

as a president than anybody would have

imagined

meaning that the supreme court has now

set a standard

that says that trump can do this now

because he's doing this that's about the

same size

of this-ness of other things that the

supreme court

has allowed and so it gave him room to

operate that didn't exist before

so here's the fun part the supreme court

by voting

against the president's wishes a few

times

has turned him into the dictator that

nobody wanted

but as long as he's a benevolent

dictator it's going to be okay

and the same with obama right obama did

some big executive orders

but as long as society looked at them

and said yeah

well your intention was good and a lot

of people do like it

not everybody agrees but it's not like

the worst thing in the world

the supreme court can let that stand so

uh you can you can never underestimate

no you can never overestimate i always

say it wrong i tweeted that wrong this

morning

um there's there's a big impact of

the uh what do you call it the the

accidental consequences

of anything and the accidental

consequences

of the president losing a few supreme

court battles

is that he can lower our health care

costs

yeah you could never underestimate thank

you

that's what i should say so the the

accidental consequences

the unintended consequences were to give

the president

more power and then he took his power

and he solved one of society's biggest

problems with it

thank you for unintended yes um

now who saw that coming who who on their

prediction card

said president will lose

important supreme court cases and that

will allow him to

lower our drug costs what

and you're going to see a lot of

exciting things i think happening

as we get closer to election day

because the president has this one

gigantic advantage

and it's enormous which is the president

can do things

whereas joe biden can't do things so the

president doesn't have to just

talk about lowering drug costs he can

just do it

and apparently he's well on his way to

doing it we'll see if this stuff holds

but i'll bet it will um you all had a

good laugh

or i think celebrated silently when

uh covington kid nick sandman won

his his suit well he got he had a kind

of settlement

which is different from winning although

it's a kind of winning

and so this is his second win in a row

he won

he got a settlement i guess from cnn and

he got a settlement of

unnamed amount from washington post that

he's got a few more

outlets to sue and the basic idea here

is that

the the news the fake news painted him

as the bad guy

when in fact he was just standing there

and he was

sort of the one that was approached not

the one who was causing trouble

so his reputation got destroyed by this

sufficiently that a court

or at least you know it looked like it

was it was something he could win

sufficiently that the other side decided

to sell

so that's how bad it was so this raises

an interesting question

and it goes like this could somebody

who had lost their job or had been

attacked let's say physically attacked

and i guess there were a few of them

even last night at the protesters

at the protest if if people who are

trump supporters are physically attacked

or

fired for being trump supporters here's

the question i ask

the legal experts could those people sue

the fake news

for the fine people hoax

and for the you know the covington kid

hoax and the russia collusion hoax

in other words could you say the reason

i lost my job

for being a trump supporter is because

the fake news

has run enough hoaxes that i'm demonized

just for being a supporter

i lost my job could they make the case

that the media by knowingly running

hoaxes and of course the

fine people hoax is the classic one

where you know they know the real answer

because it's in the transcript it's not

really an interpretation

problem it's right there you just read

it

so could you win a case

against the same fake news companies

if you had been abused in any way for

being a trump supporter

because i i think it's a pretty solid

line from from there

speaking of which uh rasmussen

uh who does polling which you rarely

will hear mentioned on the news

apparently rasmussen is banned from

being mentioned on

the news did you know that and i think

it's banned on both

on both the left and the right now they

claim

and i think there's evidence to support

it to be the most

accurate polling company in the country

for political stuff

now is that true is that true i think so

i think they're the most accurate and

they can't be mentioned so

there must be a counter argument to that

but i don't know what it is but one of

the things that

rasmussen tweeted this morning is that

if you look at what people believed

during the 2018 midterm elections

you'd find that 30 just before the vote

for the midterms in 2018

30 of the country believed the russia

collusion

hoax 30 of the country believed it

and that includes republicans

now if 30 percent of your country

believe the fake news

that that russia was controlling the

president

what would you expect the midterm to

look like

you'd expect it to look like it did

people would vote in democrats because

they think the president is owned by

russia

now think about how much that changed

the world

because because it probably flipped the

house

and i haven't even added the second part

if the only thing that happened

was the russia collusion hoax which you

had to know

that the media pushing it had some

suspicion it wasn't true

or no it wasn't true but they pushed it

anyway

what about the fine people hoax i would

say that the fine

people hoax was believed by maybe 70 of

the country when it first came out

wouldn't you say i would guess that 70

percent of the country

because that includes a lot of

republicans believed the fine people

hoax now that's quite that's changed

quite a bit

i tweeted this morning because i you

know i periodically tweet that it's a

hoax

and a phd doctor type guy

who wrote a anti-trump book weighed in

to say

it's not a hoax darth dilbert

see that's the funny part because my

critics call me dilbert

but he called me darth dilbert so that's

like really really funny

very clever and

he was not aware according to his tweet

that it was a hoax

and i thought to myself how could you be

an educated

person in the united states and think

that the fine people hoax was real

now in 2020 i totally get why people

believed in in 2018

because it was fresh and it was being

misreported

but after two years of unraveling this

thing you'd think most people would know

it's a hoax by now

but think of those those two hoaxes the

russia collusion hoax

and then i would call it the tentpole

race hoax because everything else about

trump

would seem different if you took away

that

that one thing that they think they got

the smoking gun on

right because everything else is sort of

a well

30 years ago there was that that

full-page ad about the

central park five so what about that

well if you were looking at it in

isolation and you had not heard

the fine people hoax and you're just

looking at it on its own you'd say

well he wrote an ad that says nothing

about race there's nothing in there

about race

it was about crime the people accused

happened to be black but it wasn't any

part of trump's point

so if you saw that in isolation you'd

say

yeah i can see why people are saying it

feels racist but there's nothing there

i mean there's nothing in what he did

that even you know

indirectly implies race

so if you take away the charlottesville

find people hoax

which is the one that people said ah

finally now we don't have to

read his mind anymore we don't have to

think he was thinking

something wrong even though he didn't do

things wrong we could

we know he was thinking bad things now

we have

the actual proof so once you have the

proof

it proves all the other things it's like

now that we've heard this we know all of

his secret

thoughts are confirmed so

i would say that those two hoaxes

actually completely determined

the midterm result and

that means that the fake news literally

is running the country at this point

if you're worried about uh foreign

interference

you should rethink that on a statistical

on a statistical basis because what we

have now

it looks like you probably have a russia

which wouldn't mind having trump again i

think

i'm not sure but it feels like it and

then you've got a

china that absolutely doesn't want trump

because biden is china friendly

so it looks like it's a contest between

china and maybe russia intelligence

to try to thwart the fake news

in this country which will otherwise

determine the election

so we have foreign interfec this is

literally true

we have foreign interference in our fake

news

which will cause the fake news to less

reliably

throw the election and make it

illegitimate

now i'm not coming out in favor of

foreign interference

i'm simply pointing out the irony that

it might be the only thing that could

save us

again not in favor of it i'm not making

i'm not making a pro-russian statement

i'm just saying that if the fake news

was going to do another 2018 job on the

country

and just completely rigged the election

by fake information

what if russia successfully interfered

with our election

in a way that thwarted the fake news

would that be bad in theory it would be

bad

hypothetically it would be terrible

to have foreign interference except that

our

domestic interference is far worse

right so sort of uh

two wrongs making a right situation

sometimes it works

senator tom cotton continues to make

news

he's good at making news and he wants to

ban a federal funding from any school

that has include

included the what is called the race

baiting 1619 project

in the curriculum now the 1619 project

1619 refers to the

first date of slavery i think uh the

beginning of slavery

and the curriculum would include the

fact that

the white the white race is quote

barbaric devils

and quote bloodsuckers

so tom cotton thinks that schools should

not give federal funding

if they're teaching that white people

are barbaric devils

and bloodsuckers i'm thinking to myself

that sounds pretty reasonable tom cotton

i have to say i haven't always agreed

with tom cotton

he's got some opinions that you know a

little

uh a little outside my uh range of

happiness but not this one

this one seems right down the center

like this one doesn't even look

right-wing to me

does it i like you could argue that this

is oh he's a right-wing guy

but not this this is right down the

middle

so will this get passed i doubt it but

i'm glad he's doing it

um here's an interesting story

that i don't know what to make of it you

know about the

uh the book and the movie plandemic

right

so you know that there's a a doctor

who's suggesting that

uh i guess there's going to be

a tv the sinclair local tv stations are

gonna air

and the sinclair stations by the way own

a lot of local tv stations so this is a

big deal

uh they're gonna air the pandemic

uh that it's a it's called a

researcher's conspiracy theory

now conspiracy theory is what you call

anything you don't agree with

so keep an open mind about what's a

conspiracy theory and what isn't

but the plandemic claims that

dr fauci uh was responsible for creating

the coronavirus

and they sent it to china and

it's so found she's responsible for the

coronavirus

now i suppose we live in a world where

anything's possible right anything's

possible

but um and and then other people weighed

in

and said that this is the most widely

debunked

conspiracy theory ever now i told you

before that

one of the authors of the pandemic

book lives locally around here

and he's lobbied me i think he sent me

three books so far

he's lobbied me to get him on here to my

periscopes which makes me uh think he

might be watching right now

so i can't heck it lively so i did get

your messages

and the reason that i haven't responded

is that i can't

vet this sort of stuff so

eric balling apparently had uh

you know the doctor on there recently

and he got some criticism for

not knowing ahead of time the other

things

that they had claimed etc and

i don't want to i don't want to make the

mistake that eric

bowling made which is putting on

one side of a controversial scientific

claim if i can't argue the claim

in other words if i don't know enough

about the topic or i could push back on

a claim

i don't want that person talking in

public

with you know my help because at any any

single claim and a context

uh looks persuasive so i don't have an

opinion about whether the planet is

totally debunked as other people say or

there's something to

part of it but maybe not all of it don't

know

but i'd also suggest that you don't know

and

for the fact that the sinclair stations

are going to run this

i think is completely irresponsible

unless it also runs something from the

critics

if it's balanced if they say well this

is what the experts say

here's what the plan dammit movie says

and let's go back to the experts and see

what they say if they do something like

that then fine

you know maybe it's a public interest to

know

to see both sides but i don't think

that's going to happen

let me give you a good example of what

happens when you only look at one side

of an argument

in the comments tell me was michael

jackson

totally definitely a child molester

or not in the comments tell me your

opinion and i'll tell you why i'm asking

this

i'm asking because this goes to my point

about how if you see one side of an

argument it's always convincing

if one lawyer gets the talk and the

other side doesn't get to talk

that one lawyer will will convince you

pretty much every time

i'm looking at your your comments about

michael jackson and you'll see that

they're mixed

which is what i was expecting you'll see

a bunch of yeses

you receive a bunch of no's now how can

it be

that we get to this point in time and

you've got a bunch of yeses and you've

got a bunch of no's

well let me tell you my experience i

went from

saying well gosh i don't know could be

true

could be true could be not true

and then i watched uh a netflix special

i think it was netflix in which uh he

showed

two of his accusers now adults telling

their story

now when you hear the adults telling the

story of what happened to them when

they're younger

it is a hundred percent credible

you could have it would be hard to watch

that documentary

and walk away thinking that jackson was

innocent

i mean it would be really hard it's

completely convincing

so therefore michael jackson definitely

a child buster right

very convincing except last night

i watched another documentary last night

i watched one called uh

square one and it was it took the other

side

and it went through the description of

how the initial

accuser made the accusation etc

and i don't want to give it away oh was

it an hbo special somebody's correcting

me

uh and was it something wonderland or

yeah that was the name of it so anyway

so i watched the the other side of it

and let me tell you the other side of it

that says he was not

a child molester is

100 credible

blew my freaking head off

if you had told me that there was an

other side to

this story after i'd seen the

completely convincing evidence that he

was obviously a child blesser

when you see the other side it'll blow

your head off

let me give you just a flavor of it and

let me tell you

you should watch this because if if you

believe that michael jackson definitely

is guilty

and i'm not going to say he is or not

i'm going to only talk about the quality

of the arguments

do i know anything yeah i wasn't there

it was not there

let me give you some examples

the very first accuser who ended up

ended up settling

when you hear the story of how that scam

came about

and you hear that even the kid didn't

think anything happened

he talked to his friends and said

nothing happened even after the fact

i mean when you hear the whole story it

really was just a con artist

who figured out a way to make michael

jackson pay

and here was the part of the story i'd

never heard before

and it goes like this there were two

court cases one was criminal and one was

civil so one tries to get money and one

is trying to see if

michael jackson goes to jail typically

the way you do those

is you do the criminal case first and

then depending on how that turns out

that gives you a basis to to do or not

do

a um a civil suit where you're trying to

get money

now the problem is that in the michael

jordan in the michael jackson

case his civil suit was on a

a faster schedule which meant

that he would have had to give away his

entire defense

in the civil suit before the criminal

case was run

and if you do that the experts say

that the criminal case people get to

craft and recraft

their case so that the defense doesn't

work

and therefore it's massively

unconstitutional

or at least unfair i think it's actually

passed constitutional muster since then

but in my opinion it's unconstitutional

because it guarantees an

unfair trial in the criminal case

guarantees it

it guarantees an unfair trial

and so michael jackson had the following

situation he could either settle for

something that definitely didn't happen

or he could risk going to jail because

he knew that his defense

would be laid bare in the in the civil

suit and when he went to criminal court

basically he would get eaten alive and

probably be convicted for something that

didn't happen

and so he settled once he settled

there became another thing that happened

and here's the key part

the fake news business at the time

was paying people who would come forward

and say that something bad happened

at michael jackson's house

what happens when you pay massive

amounts of money

to people who are willing to lie on

television

what happens you get a lot of people who

are willing to lie

on television and the ones who came

after were just

sort of obvious liars so now you've got

one case

the jackson settled because he got this

weird

legal bind that he just had to do the

same thing

that created the first story that

generated

fake news paying people for more stories

because they got a lot of clicks

so now you have a pattern and

when you say to yourself but what about

those you know the two older ones that

you saw in the other documentary

they're adults it doesn't seem like they

have anything to gain by

making something up well here's the

thing

they also have some connection to some

of the badness and they won't

give it away but they don't the the

documentary that excuses jackson

doesn't too directly deal with those

latest adult accusations

but it does completely eliminate the

bulk of the ones you've heard

and they are absolutely they look pretty

fake

the other ones who knows but let me give

you a little uh

a little anecdote here uh colleen

colleen mcculkin was saying this when

you hear the story that

uh michael jackson let children

they had been visiting sleep over in his

bedroom

what do you think you you see them all

in the same bed right

and here's here's a one of the stories

that colleen mcculken was saying he goes

the first thing you don't understand

is that michael jackson's bedroom was

two stories

it was two stories so you could be in

his bedroom

without even being in the same room and

he told the story about

some kid who wanted to sleep in in his

bedroom in his bed

and michael jackson asked one of the

adult staff members

to sleep in the room with him and the

the two of them slept on the floor and

let the kids

use the big bed now i don't know how

common it was for him to do that

but the fact that it happened even once

tells you that michael jackson was aware

that you don't want to be

alone with a kid in your bed did he ever

do it before i don't know

so here's the point i don't know what

michael jackson did or did not do

i do know that a huge part of that story

about what he did

looks completely not credible that

doesn't mean all the rest of it is not

credible

it just means that the fake news

basically destroyed this person

all right if you took the fake news

business out of the equation

michael jackson would still probably be

performing today i don't even know if

he'd be dead

so keep that in mind

uh you gotta you have to watch both of

those documentaries

if you don't watch them both you're

really not gonna get the feel of this

two-world situation um i saw

on social media but i'm looking for a

confirmation that something like

half of all coronavirus deaths happen to

diabetics

is that really true is it true that half

of coronavirus deaths are diabetics

and the diabetics are still walking

around

just like they have the same risk of

everybody else

i mean i would hope that they're hiding

pretty well by now

but it feels like we could really make

something happen if that's true

um there are also

two movies and two worlds about all the

protests if you look at

fox news you'll see lots of articles and

photos of things burning and things

being thrown at police and

and dangerous lasers uh blinding them

etc

a bunch of police have been literally

blinded

by these lasers from the protesters now

um i just

i i'm so angry about that in particular

it's one thing to get

hit with a blunt object i mean that

could be bad enough but to be blinded

just because you went to work

uh i don't know if the police just

opened fired on

on the protesters with the with the

i think they should shoot to kill

anybody who's got a laser that they

should that they're putting in people's

eyes

that's just my opinion now probably

would cause a lot of problems

it may be more problems than it solves

but i think if you actually

saw somebody aiming the laser

that no matter where that laser was

aimed if it's a deadly weapon

meaning that it will blind somebody i

think the police should be able to shoot

to kill

if they even see the laser you know the

the moment the laser comes out that

should be a shoot to kill situation

because it would be if it were a gun

right if somebody brought out a gun

that'd be a shoot to kill situation if

it looked like they were going to use it

if somebody brings out a laser to blind

a police officer

let me let me say as clearly as i can

possibly can

you put me on that jury that police

officer is free

put me on the jury that tries to convict

a police officer

for shooting somebody who has a blinding

laser that they

that they're is in their hand

you're a free man or free woman yeah you

put me on that jury

no way i'm gonna convict the cop for

shooting a guy with a laser that blinds

people

no way if you're wondering what's going

to happen with all their urban centers

i suggest you learn about insurance

and banking because when you see all the

shops that were destroyed by the the

looters in the urban areas you say to

yourself

well you know they'll wait for the

tension to go down

and then they'll rebuild or maybe other

people will come in

other tenants will take over and rebuild

but there's a problem you kind of need

insurance to have a viable business

if you need a bank loan the bank the

bank's gonna

want you to have insurance too so that

you're covered in case something happens

now insurance companies will often if

not always

exclude riots so riots

would not be covered by your insurance

now that was probably not a big problem

in the past

because when you're filling out your

insurance policy you're thinking

well what are the odds i'm going to lose

my business to a riot

you know that doesn't seem very likely

so you still buy the insurance

but would you buy insurance with no riot

protection

in the very places that have recently

been destroyed by riots

and no end in sight i would i would

suggest that you can predict what's

going to happen to

at least the retail parts of the inner

cities

by looking at banking and insurance

and entrepreneurs and how they manage

risk

and at this point the risk is just too

high

and that's going to persist for years so

i don't see any situation in which the

urban areas

quickly come back if they come back at

all

let's see um

they're uh i was tweeting about 5g

and you know people think there might be

some health dangers

from 5g which is the new faster

technology for phones

now the first thing i want to say about

it is as i said my tweet i don't think

society understands that this new

faster speed for phones called 5g

because it sounds like 4g and 3g

and you knew what those were right oh 3g

was dated but it was kind of slow

4g is pretty snappy pretty fast

5g is going to be better it'll be a

little faster right

if that's why you're thinking you're

missing the show

5g is not a little bit faster data

5g will change civilization

5g will just change civilization

in a way similar to how smartphones did

because

i don't know about you but i i'm using

my phone for getting all my delivery of

my food

you know because i'm quarantined at the

moment in anticipation of

some surgery upcoming and so if i didn't

have my phone

i could barely do what i do i mean the

smartphones i think you would agree

have transformed civilization but not as

much as 5g and here's why

5g is going to give you a augmented

reality world it won't be long before

that

my glasses are connected to my phone and

my phone has

5g that's pretty much guaranteed

there's no way that won't happen because

it's just too

it's too there i mean it's too obvious

that that's going to be a thing

once you have enough people who have the

the types of glasses or they don't

really need them they could just hold up

their phone

and see and see an augmented reality

through the you know just like a camera

but those people will be living in a

much

improved world because with your glasses

on you won't just see the things that

are there

you'll see a menu for everything there

there's a television across the room i

would see a

remote control pop up and i could

control my tv

in the air because in the air i would

see an actual remote control

so i could get directions on anything i

could find out you know

really i would have this whole enhanced

reality such that when i took my glasses

off at night

it would start to feel the way you feel

when you accidentally leave home without

your phone

have you had that experience ever get in

your car and you're driving some place

you're going to be gone for a while and

you look for your phone and it's not

there

and you think oh god what if what if i

get a problem

i want you know it's not the end of the

world but it definitely bothers you

right now imagine if you had an enhanced

reality world

an augmented reality where you're seeing

things floating that don't exist

you can call up a screen that floats in

front of you to watch a

to watch a movie that floats in the air

that only you can see

you know because you got your your your

earbuds into so you're walking around

watching a movie you meet somebody

their their social media profile appears

above their head

try to live without that it will be

so addictive and useful it'll be like

if you didn't have a smartphone so i

think that the world

will start to bifurcate into people who

are essentially

cyborgs because once you get to the

point where you're living in an enhanced

reality with you know labels and

messages and instructions and

more detail and all that you're

basically a cyborg

now uh i've argued for a long time and

elon musk said something similar

recently

that the smartphones already made us

cyborgs

so we're you know the fact that you can

leave it at home and drive away

is sort of trivial because you'll wish

you hadn't

right but as soon as you've got the the

what's it called the neural link uh

which is

also elon musk's one of his companies

they're going to embed a little sensor

for your brains you maybe could control

things

um just by thinking it now imagine if

you

if you could see through your glasses

and enhance reality with augmented stuff

and you can just think them to change so

you could just look around you could see

a tv

and you you could just blink at it and

it would come on

because your your brain knew that you

wanted it to be on

so put those things together and we are

fully into the cyborg cyborg

era but here's the problem what if

everybody doesn't become a cyborg

will there be a human organic

movement of people who don't have any

technology

probably i just don't know how big it

will be will it be you know

amish country small or will be a third

of the country

doesn't want to be a cyborg now if you

ask me

oh i can't wait make me a cyborg

as quickly as you can

but anyway people don't realize what a

big deal that is but here's the funny

part of my story

there's nothing more amusing well there

probably is but it's amusing

when you're on social media and people

don't know what your background is

and they challenge you on a point that

you might be

the one person in the world who knows

more about it than anybody

so it's sort of like that woody allen

movie i think it was annie hall where

he's standing in line

for a show and they're arguing about

some public figure

marshall mcluhan an author and marsha

mcluhan

ends up in this movie scene the actual

marshall mcluhan

is standing in line right behind him and

gets into the conversation and

and corrects something and that that

movie scene always stuck with me

because you see that playing out in real

life and it happened

here so somebody said to me on social

media

that 5g hasn't been tested because the

the big companies that are going to roll

it out they would have no interest

in testing it to find out that it's

dangerous

and therefore it's not been tested sort

of logically you say to yourself

well logically they don't want to hear

that it's bad for you they want to make

a trillion dollars

the phone companies mostly so you know

and the phone makers

so nobody would have studied it

now that's what somebody said to me on

social media and here was my answer

i used to work for the phone company and

part of my job

was was doing the economic projections

of whether we should do more wireless

stuff

i actually personally worked on that and

part of my

economic decision was informed with by

my co-worker

who i often sat right next to whose job

it was

to study all the the health studies

of the cell cell phones so that was the

um prior to 5g technology that was

probably a 3g kind of a technology

and we studied it because that's part of

the economics

i wasn't going to give management an

economic analysis that says

looks like we'll make a billion dollars

on this and ignore the fact that it

might kill people

i'm not going to leave that out that's

pretty important

to the economics of a project if you

leave out the part where it kills 100

million people

i don't think you've done your work

right so

this person was arguing me with me that

a phone company

would ignore this part of the economic

impact you know the health part which

also has an economic impact

and she was talking to somebody who

literally was the guy who did it

i actually worked at a phone company i

actually did those economics

and i sat next to the guy who did look

in detail

at the health studies and then

summarized them for management so

management was comfortable

that it wouldn't be killing people now

years have passed

has anybody died from their cell phone

you know can we say that

my economic analysis was accurate that i

didn't need to include it

can we say that my co-worker who studied

it got it right

now if you're telling me that apple

apple i mean think about this you're

telling me that apple

is going to bet a trillion dollars

because it'll be something like that

you know eventually you tell me apple is

going to bet a trillion dollars on the

business plan

without looking at the most obvious

biggest thing that you should look at

i think they looked at it now you can

make the argument

that whoever's looked at it has looked

at the wrong stuff

you could make the argument that the

studies weren't good enough

there are lots of things you could argue

that i wouldn't argue back there are

plenty of bad studies

but here's what i will not allow anybody

to tell me

and without pushing back don't tell me

they haven't looked into it

are you kidding don't tell me that they

haven't looked into it

and if any of those things were credible

from the brain cancer to

gives you coronavirus or makes it worse

to

stunt your growth if any of that was

backed by science

companies like apple are not going to

wade into it with that

that kind of a risk that's a that is a

company destroying risk

you just don't take that risk it's just

not a thing

but that's different from saying let me

be very clear

i'm not a doctor i don't know what

causes risk and what doesn't

but i'm telling you they looked into it

that's all i'm going to tell you

there's some evidence based on we don't

have much information on it yet

it comes from a tweet from somebody who

seems to know a lot of stuff

that the houston consulate that was

closed the chinese consulate that

had evidence apparently of spying on

american companies and intellectual

property theft and all that

apparently there's some information we

haven't seen yet

that would suggest that china is backing

black lives matter

now i ask you does that sound likely

does it seem likely or unlikely to you

that china

might have at least tried i don't know

how successful they were but at least

tried

to encourage black lives matter to do a

little more protesting

because here's the calculation you

should look at

when trying to decide if that's true

number one

would they think of it of course of

course so you don't have to wonder

hey did china have that idea had they

considered it

did anybody suggest hey maybe you should

back the

protesters who are you know making the

united states look bad

of course they thought of it because if

this situation

were reversed we would have thought of

it i mean i'm sure we've backed

dissidents and protesters in other

countries that's pretty basic

the second thing you should ask for is

what would be the penalty

for getting caught and we already know

the penalty for getting caught

it's nothing that's nothing this

consular closed

but they have other consulates the the

the penalty is basically nothing one

consulate got closed

like it's not as if they don't have

computers and hackers and thieves

and other consulates i don't know how

how much difference does it make if you

live in

in houston versus you got a consulate

somewhere else

so i don't think there is any risk you

know it just

costs a little money right they've got

to remove move a consulate

but it's not like anybody died it's not

like we

completely decoupled over this it didn't

tell us anything we didn't already know

no risk so if there's no risk but

there's a potential big reward

and there could be if they're

destabilizing the united states

of course it's happening in the in the

situation where

they think of it there are lots of

people involved you know

in china there's lots of people involved

and

there's a big payoff and a small risk

it'll happen every time every time it's

going to happen

i mean mischief will happen under those

conditions

so cnn continues to be

funny in trying to be serious so caitlyn

caitlin collins who's one of their local

anti-trump

voices she was mocking him in a written

article i think there was a

from a video piece because he decided to

cancel the republican national

convention

which of course she would agree with

because cnn is sort of

anti-large gatherings unless they're

protests

and then she says that he would cancel

his convention

despite pushing for schools to reopen

now the

the implication is that that would be

inconsistent

why would the president

not think it was safe to have a

convention if he does think it's safe to

send kids to school

is that a fair comparison you know i

complain all the time that people

who um come up through a journalism

or you know some specific

profession if they don't have a broad

understanding of how to make decisions

and how to compare

things the way an economist or an

engineer or scientist would

that they say consistently dumb things

but don't know it

and i don't think anything could be

dumber than saying

i don't understand the consistency if

the president thinks that a bunch of

older adults packed into a room

is dangerous why doesn't he think that

the group who basically doesn't get

coronavirus why wouldn't he think

they're dangerous

they couldn't be more different

situations they couldn't be more

different

now is it true that opening schools will

also cause

spread of the coronavirus yes yes

everybody knows that

the president knows that nobody's

denying it

it's just that we think that's a level

that's controllable

if you're you know comparing it to the

presumed

benefits of getting kids back to school

that there is a risk

but it's one that the president decides

is worth it

i don't know how cnn can pretend

that they can't see the difference there

and they're they're looking for these

little

gachas um

five seattle uh news organizations were

ordered by a judge

to turn over their video and photos for

protests

so law enforcement wanted to get a hold

of all the video and pictures of

protests so they could find out

who to arrest etc news organizations

resisted and now the king county

superior court said

that they have to give it up interesting

so all of the news organizations

just became weaponized by the police

will that change i don't know so

uh can the news organizations continue

to send

news crews who will take pictures and

video knowing that those pictures and

video will go directly to the police

and then they will be the news

organizations will be part of what's

disbanding black lives matter very

ticklish position to be in wouldn't you

say

i saw somebody asking me about uh

what's his name portnoy and barstool

barstool sports he did an interview with

president trump people are saying and i

would agree with him

i like to use that trump phrase people

are saying

that that that's the best interview with

the president that they've ever seen

and i would say i would agree okay in

in terms of entertainment and in terms

of

humanizing the president and just having

fun with it

probably the best one i i would say i

would say it's the

best interview with the president i've

seen now the president was very good at

avoiding uh and avoiding the questions

so it was this weird situation yeah dave

portney

dave portnoy it was this weird situation

where dave would ask a question such as

you know do you always use the power

handshake

with world leaders wouldn't you like to

know the answer to that question

it was like he asked the question that

i've thought about for so long

and nobody's ever asked it now of course

the president completely ignored the

question

and just talked about handshakes and

coronavirus and

how world leaders love him and stuff

which was

perfectly executed media

spin if you will in other words the

president is just really good

at turning the question into whatever he

wanted the question to be

which is what you actually learn when

you take media training you learn how to

do that

it's something the president does great

and most politicians do it

doing well as well um

the only thing that bothered me about

dave

portnoy's interview is that it should

have been me

and when i say a show to bed b it just

means i'm jealous

yeah so i'm just jealous because if

there was anybody who would give an

irreverent uh interview with the

president they would still be watchable

i would be on that list of people that

you should watch interview the president

now i do have her uh informally i did

put a request

in but i probably need to formalize that

because i think that between now and

november

an interview with me with president

trump i think would be useful

for the country uh i wouldn't be just

entertaining

i'd want it to be useful so i think i

could

frame things in a way that you would

quite enjoy it

but yes i i'll have to confess there are

very few things that make me jealous

because it's just not a it's just not an

emotion i spend any time with

but and that's why this caught me off

guard and it's why it's

it's why i'm mentioning it that was the

first time

like i genuinely felt jealous i mean

it's a small thing right it has no real

impact in my life

but he was that good so you want to be

so good at your job

as dave portnoy is you want to be so

good that somebody else who does that

job goes

oh damn it damn it that should have

been me so

a plus watch it if you haven't seen it

i cheekily am continuing to say that um

oh by the way i just one more thing

about the find people hoax

in the past when i've tweeted that the

find people hoax is a hoax my

comment feed would just fill with people

who would say no it isn't

it's totally true i heard it myself

today i

i tweeted that and got almost

no people who thought it was true now i

don't know if that's because

all of the democrats now know it wasn't

true

or if they gave up

you just suddenly they stopped refuting

that point that doesn't make sense

i feel like maybe we made a dent

collectively

because at least my critics have backed

off and just

you know let it go that i'm stating it

as a fact that it's a hoax and then

they're letting it go now which

i think is capitulation but i might be a

little

optimistic on that at least for the

commenters not for the

i think biden still says it all right my

last point here

i've said this before but you cannot um

i don't think you could ignore the

effect of fiction has

on how we look at the real world because

everything you look at needs to fit some

model of

understanding so and ideally you want

the new information to fit some

existing model in your head and you just

populate that existing model that's

called

confirmation bias and

you see it in everything right you see

the left agrees to the left the right

agrees to the right

but there's there's a statement about

human beings that i think you would all

agree

with which is it's difficult to do

something

anything until you can first imagine it

so you don't really attempt to do things

you can't imagine

can work the wright brothers um

invented an airplane because they could

well imagine

you know they could see it flying you

know i assume

i assume that they imagined it working

and then

then they worked on anywhere now all the

things you imagine don't work

necessarily when you try to do them but

you're not going to do anything

until you can first imagine it's a thing

and that makes me

get to my impression or the filter that

i just sort of automatically have

on watching the protests the first

filter is

it looks very female lead and

i don't know how many of you are also

getting that feeling

but antifa in particular and i think

black lives matter as well

but they seem like they are mostly

female leaders

or at least the leaders that are the

most vocal or maybe the most effective

most aggressive seem to be female

so it's like a female lead organization

and the males

at least the antifa males not so much

the black lives matter males

but the antifa males seem to fall into a

category of

not as manly if we could say that and

again this isn't an insult

you know i'm not saying that if you're

if you don't have a manly persona

you're worth less or anything nothing

like that

i'm left to burning so if you want to be

every letter in lgbtq i'm cool with that

i'm 100 cool with that you can be any

letter you want

you can be any lifestyle you want if it

doesn't bother me

you can be whatever you want so there's

no criticism

implied here i'm just observing that

there's a certain

kind of man who is enjoying this

anti-foss situation

and they you know if i could use the

diminutive term

beta males they kind of fall into that

category

now again this is not an insult

because i think that it's a big world

i'm not saying it's

a good thing to be an alpha male or that

it's a bad thing to be a beta male

they both exist it's a preference it's

the way you're born

or it's a lifestyle it doesn't matter

it's all okay with me

alright if you're not breaking the law

if you're not violating the constitution

it's just none of my business period

could not care less

about your personal lifestyle choices if

they don't affect me

so i say that just because my filter is

that it looks like the

it looks like game of thrones with uh

daenerys

so you got the strong female leader the

queen of dragons

and she formed an army of of literally

eunuchs

so their their men had been cast

castrated

to make them more you know docile and

obedient soldiers i guess

i don't know what the theory was there

exactly but i don't know why you'd want

castrated soldiers it feels like the

wrong idea

but it reminded me of that

and it looks like it's the queen of

dragons that are unique army but they're

reenacting the joker movie

and i said this before to great pushback

which i enjoy of course and the pushback

was that if the joker movie had not been

such a universally

you know acclaimed movie and a lot of

people saw it

if you hadn't first pictured the joke or

movie

would it have been as easy to recreate

it

because that's what the protests and the

looting effectively did it recreated the

look and feel

of the joker movie is that a coincidence

is it simply that there are movies and

they're in my head

and so i just interpret the world

through those movies and that's all it

is

or is there a causal

relationship in other words if you can

only do the things you can imagine

and what you could imagine was not you

know

everybody's doing well but what you

could imagine was that joker movie

you're more likely to do the thing you

could imagine

so i do think that fiction has a big

role in how we're interpreting our

reality but also

how we act on it because you just don't

act on things you can't imagine

all right um

i'm just looking at your comments

yeah you know um i don't think that

i don't think we should make a judgment

about what's better or worse

when it comes to people's biological

situation

but it is fair to say it's different you

know nobody would argue with the fact

that you know there are differences

among people

but we don't have to put a value

judgment on that

anyone see zuckerberg's face in hawaii

yeah

yeah zuckerberg uses a lot of

a lot of sunscreen but i don't

if you've seen his complexion you know

there's a good reason for that

but where is the imagining from well

it's coming from fiction

that's the point somebody says you're

reaching on the joker thing

in my opinion well you know the the best

opinions are the ones that

you say to yourself in fact i i try to

stay in the space as much as possible

my favorite opinions to present here are

the ones where you say to yourself

i'm not so sure that's true

i've got a little skepticism about that

those are my favorite places to be i

will tell you that based on everything i

know from hypnosis from persuasion

and living a life in which i've done

everything from marketing to selling

that the

the models that you have in your head of

what the world can look like

are very persuasive now if you have less

experience

in hypnosis and persuasion than i do

and your opinion is different from mine

about this topic

you should ask yourself would your

opinion change

if you knew as much as i did about this

specific topic

and that's where i want you to be i want

you to be thinking

maybe maybe i should look into that

maybe that's a thing or maybe i'll look

for it in the future

look forward in the future and you might

be surprised but you don't have to

believe everything i say

i wouldn't talk to you later