Episode 1336 Scott Adams - How to Quit Coke and Other Junk Food, Virus News, and Updates

well well well yeah i'm a little bit late a little bit late you know have you ever wondered what would it be like to watch coffee with scott adams if he had no time to prepare and had literally just awakened 15 minutes earlier what would that be like well you're going to find out and if you'd like to enjoy it and i know you would i mean why not why not enjoy it right all you need is a copper bug or glass a tanker challenger style canteen jugger flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip if you haven't tried it oh i feel sorry for you those of you who have get ready it's happening now do you remember some of you have been watching me for a while i once told you that if you take the dale carnegie course one of the things that teaches you is really really valuable for some situations one of those situations is happening right now and let me tell you a little bit of a story before i get into that yeah um years ago i was doing a book tour going around the country signing books for whatever book was out and i got to a denver bookstore one of the biggest ones in i don't know the country or denver just some massive bookstore that had a room with a stadium audience and everything i mean it was just a big bookstore and i get there and the owner of the bookstore greets me and says all right people uh have been waiting for uh two hours to see you and i said ah that's great and and i thought they meant to sign books and they said yeah they can't wait to hear your speech and i said what yeah your speech that you're going to give in 10 minutes they're really excited about it and i said huh i didn't know i was giving a speech in 10 minutes no idea i thought i was just there to sign books but apparently the the audience had already assembled so there were i don't know several hundred people in the room waiting to hear my speech which didn't exist so uh my point is the if you take the dale carnegie course they actually teach you how to be prepared to always have a speech so you can walk into these situations as i did i just gave a speech because you just always have one now it's usually pieces of speeches right so you have these little components that if you get in one of these situations you can just take them off the shelf you say okay i'll take one of these one of these one of these and i'll just put them together on the fly which is what i just did so that story about the bookstore some of you have heard it before and the point of it is it's one of my shelf points always keep a few on the shelf so anytime you get you get a little situation like this you go oh i'll introduce it by the the denver bookstore story and then i'll have a good momentum going and then i'll find other pieces as i go i'm going to give you today my first mandatory twitter follow recommendation you ready now when i say mandatory i'm going to the next level i'm taking it up because i've told you before there are some people you should follow i'll probably mention them again but there are a number of people who are just way better to follow than other people because they have some kind of insight or they're just good at tweeting or something and i'm going to give you my first ever mandatory follow meaning that if you follow me i'm telling you it's mandatory glenn greenwald now if you don't already follow glenn greenwald here's the first thing you need to know has nothing to do with politics he talks about politics so his domain is politics but that's not the recommendation he's one of the few people who every time he writes or tweets he can take the the curtain of reality it just pushes it back and then he's done and then he then he brings it back you know after you're done reading them and then you have to live in that other artificial world for a while and then glenn greenwald says something and he pulls the curtain back again and you can see the real world for a little bit now usually he's pulling back the curtain on um the media itself so that you can see that you're living in an artificial world literally that you've created an artificial subjective world that you're living in and he's one of the people and there aren't many of them who don't live in that world i don't know why i would love to know the history of what you know hallucinogenics he's ever tried in his life if any i would love to know how he became who he is because somehow he lives outside that world and he can just pull the curtain back and look and show you it's kind of amazing so he's a mandatory follow because he shows you what's on the other side of the curtain and you don't get that from everybody i'll give you other mandatories as we go along here here's a way to know if you were dumb a lot of you have been wondering am i dumb do you ever have that thought sometimes it might be the imposter effect you're not really dumb but you worry that you are compared to other people um but one way to know you are dumb is if you hear an argument and the first thing you think is oh you love that person you're talking about why don't you just kiss them apparently you love them okay that that if that's your response to an argument you're kind of dumb you're not really ready for talking in public okay if you say oh oh scott you're defending you're defending the worst person you're an apologist for the worst person if you if that's your feeling you're dumb because you can't you for some reason you can't separate an argument which could be good or bad from the people who are making it if you can't do that you just probably shouldn't talk in public maybe that's not for you okay have i set you up enough all right let's talk about matt gates because i i refuse to be limited by dumb people not understanding that you can talk about people you can talk about their situation but you're not an apologist defending people you're just not that person right can we do that all right i would like to know that the people who follow me are smart enough to separate an argument from people if you can't do that you're you're on the wrong live stream so let's do that as these stories go and of course you all know the weird matt gates story there's allegations of orgies with underage people with no evidence that we've seen to suggest any of that's true but the longer you wait don't you expect the evidence to come out big old story like this you know more and more evidence is coming out so it becomes a different story the longer you wait it starts as one thing and now it's it's evolving and it's it has so evolved to sort of a new thing and that's that's what i'm going to describe right now number one matt gates has said from the beginning that any allegations that he was with a 70 year old excuse me i don't know and the allegations that he was with the 17 year old are just completely false it just doesn't exist but he's gone further to say that the accuser doesn't exist that's pretty gutsy isn't it how many people accused of something like this would go so far as to say not only did i not do it but the accuser doesn't exist now that's a pretty big claim later if you find out that the accuser does exist you know then there's a separate question of whether anything happened with that accuser similar to what was accused but isn't that is that an unusual claim don't you think because if somebody knew that the accuser would exist in other words if matt gates knew the person exists wouldn't that be the worst defense to say that they don't even exist right unless is true if put yourself in that position right now we can't read his mind okay so we're not reading his mind but put yourself in the position you've been accused of something with an underage person 17 would you say if you knew you'd been accused of that would you say no we did not do that thing i know who you're talking about but certainly we didn't do that thing that's very different from saying nobody exists that they just don't exist that's really different i don't know that like you'd have to be pretty sure they don't exist would you because for sure the most the simplest thing to prove is that a person exists am i wrong is there anything easier to prove than that a person exists he's really it's interesting isn't it because what happens if they produce the person he looks really really bad would he put himself in a position and it's not it's obvious that he's thought about it and planned his defense right it's not like an off-the-cuff thing he said he's saying this repeatedly and often the person doesn't exist now if that person ends up existing that's going to completely change what i think about the situation and for you too i would think but at the moment every day that goes by when we don't hear that the person exists and by the way i don't think the person would be still 17 right a number of months have gone by since the accusations even began so statistically speaking it seems deeply unlikely that there's still a minor involved at least today it would be somebody over 18.

so do you think that there is somebody deeply involved in some kind of a secret investigation who doesn't want to be known at this point and and the leaks don't produce that person i don't know there's something sketchy about the fact that the longer you wait you don't find out now if tomorrow we hear the name of the person and the person exists change everything right i'm just saying that every day that goes by you have to say i'm starting to wonder if this person exists that's the reasonable question here's the other part that i haven't heard anybody say there's this weird element of it where apparently the gases had involved the fbi before any of this broke they had involved the fbi and what they believed was an extortion attempt all right so here's the key point uh that the the gates father and son both believed that it was an extortion attempt so much so that they got the law enforcement involved all right now we've seen the documents if you haven't seen them yet they're they're in the news today we see the documents and emails going back and forth between the two attorney types who were proposing to gates a senior that for 25 million dollars they could get this alleged um what would you call him captive back from iran who may or may not exist right he may he may or may not be alive we don't know there's indication he's not alive but these two people said they had indication he was alive you and i don't know so we don't know if that guy exists but imagine you're the gates and the and people approach you and say for 25 million dollars we can maybe get this hostage back that you think might not even be real okay you're saying to yourself i'm not even sure there's a real guy alive that could be saved and if he is why isn't the government doing it right so it's kind of sketchy right the government wouldn't do this are you saying that there's nobody in the government of the united states who would be interested in getting back this hostage so right away it's sketchy right now you could argue oh the government tried or they don't care or they don't believe the story but it's true so you could maybe maybe come up with some stretch of a story that would say yeah this is the way to do it you wouldn't use the government you would you would make some deal with a private citizen i mean it doesn't yeah it doesn't pass to the stiffness right but but it doesn't fail it so badly that you could say it's impossible all right it doesn't pass the sniff test but it's not completely ruled out okay now i looked at the documents the emails back and forth and the way it's the way it's presented is that hey there's an extra benefit if you help us out with this 25 million dollars that they call the loan but i don't know if you would call it a loan because a loan is something you expect to get repaid i don't know if anybody expected that to be repaid so let's let's first say that characterizing it as a loan is maybe a subjective call even if there was some alleged plan to repay it feels a little iffy to me now when you looked at the documents did you say to yourself there's an extortion thing because part of the offer was that they would try to lobby the government to get matt gates cleared or pardoned presidentially pardoned of some wrongdoings which were unspecific about whatever they heard about these sex crimes now do you believe that these two lawyers had enough weight that they could have done anything at all to get a pardon for matt gates should he have done anything that so far we're not aware of right so let me say it again there's no evidence of a specific anything none no evidence right to the public we don't know if anybody else has seen anything but you and i have seen no evidence of a crime now imagine you're the gates's and you've got this offer that will help you will help you get out of this alleged crime if you help us with this alleged loan for a captive who is allegedly alive what do you do with that well what the gates did is they went to law enforcement they said this feels like extortion all right now let me ask you this we're amateurs looking from the outside right and we take the clues and carpe good to see you uh that wasn't worth twenty dollars you should just text me um but thank you uh what was i saying i was just good to see you carpe carpe duncan joins has just joined the uh the show here um so we're looking at this situation and here's my question that i haven't seen answered what would cause the gases to think this was extortion what would cause them to think that i think one thing that would certainly cause you to think that is wait for it if you were matt gates and you knew for sure that you had not been involved in any sex crimes right if you thought you had been involved in sexual crimes and these people said we have a way to maybe help you get out wouldn't you be a little bit interested in talking to him if you've done the crime because if you've done the crime and allegedly there's an investigation you know there's witnesses and you know there's real evidence now you know you're in real big trouble you would at least listen to the offer wouldn't you yeah you would the only situation in which you would say my god this looks like an obvious scam is if you knew there was no crime thank you kevin uh yeah and i haven't seen anybody mention that it seems to me that given that these documents and the offer from the the two lawyer people were um they were kind of sketchy the way they handled it was as if they didn't believe there was any crime that's the way they handled it that means something they didn't handle it as if well maybe there is a crime here they handled it like no crime existed that's the way you'd handle it this must be a scam because there's no crime they're trying to extort me over no crime you go right to law enforcement but suppose you had done the crime and you knew it is the first thing you do get to get law enforcement involved i don't think so like it doesn't it doesn't quite fit does it so i would say the the documents are quite exculpatory but we are far from knowing the you know the final conclusion to any of this i'm just going to say that the gates situation is looking better for gates every day and worse for his accusers but we'll keep watching this meanwhile world war iii has begun i don't know if you've heard about this world war three is underway and i'm not even kidding there's an actual world war that just hasn't started apparently the way it's begun is that china has started to capture philippine fishing territory by just moving 220 fishing boats to fish but they're not exactly there to fish they're really there as part of the military to occupy until they have so much functional control of the sea that for all practical purposes china owns it which is what they're doing to the entire south china sea it's hard to see that as not world war three because they are literally conquering territory it just happens to be ocean territory and they're doing it directly with assets it's obvious there's no question about it it is world war iii they are they they are absorbing enormous swaths of the earth and putting it under chinese control parts of the world that people think china doesn't control now the thing that makes it um a little different than say a normal world war a little different is that um china might need might need that ocean to feed its people in the future so apparently it's very rich in fish and i don't think that they want to control it just for export i think that china has a massive problem feeding his people just because there are so many of them and they probably need that fish in the future so it's not like a regular war of conquest it might be a war of necessity and i don't know what historical precedent there is for a war of necessity or presumed advantage slash necessity it's a little different but it's a similar strategy they're using that russia used in the ukraine where you send in i guess the the russians sent in what were called the little green men so they were russian soldiers and they just took off their their uniforms and uh they they just invaded ukraine and said oh no we're not military are you kidding no look at me i'm not even wearing a uniform how could i be russian military until there are so many of them there it's it becomes kind of a fact on the ground that that russia controls some territory so china's doing the same thing with these fishing boats they're just making it a fact that they own it over time let's talk about coca-cola let me start by saying i oppose boycotts i oppose boycotts as soon as you go down that boycott road and you get re-boycotted everybody's boycotting everybody it's just better to let business be business and let politics be politics it's just better right it's better for all of us let's just not be attacking companies but sometimes sometimes the company attacks you that's not your fault right sometimes the company attacks you well that's different i i would say don't boycott a company just because they have some opinion or something but if that company attacks you well you certainly have a right to defend yourself and so let's talk about coke so there are many conservatives who would consider that coke coca-cola the company has attacked them in a way by going after georgia for their voting id laws which conservatives would say are just common sense and it's the same laws or similar laws requiring an id to vote similar to most countries most places nothing unusual about it so this is just an attack by a company on the system and on conservatives basically so many conservatives have called for people to stop drinking coca-cola matt walsh did a tweet which he summed it up well i'll just read it he said coca-cola went from went from indoctrinating its employees and critical race theory to fighting against georgia's voter id law is there any good reason for any conservative to ever buy another coke product again we could cut them off and out of our life with no effort why shouldn't we now here's my take on this quitting diet coke or coke is really hard i know because i had a 12 diet coke a day habit for i don't know 30 years or something and i did quit but it was hard and i'm going to tell you how so i'm going to teach you how to stop your diet coke habit or coke habit soda habit and it's not hard if you do it right if you do it wrong it's pretty hard and i'll teach you how to do it right and it goes like this don't quit anything else at the same time it is such a strong addiction at least that's how i found it to be not addiction in the scientific term but you know functionally it's an addiction that if you if you're trying to let's say improve your entire diet anytime you're quitting diet coke that's a lot to ask of you right you want to be hungry and also not have a diet coke those are two really strong forces to be fighting at the same time so i say take two months give yourself a break on the rest of your diet you know eat healthy food but don't um don't obsess over it and just do one thing just quit diet coke or coke or soda it doesn't have to be coca-cola company just sugary drinks just quit that in two months you will not only not crave it it will look like a chemical experiment and not even look like a food beverage item in two months the way you think of it will completely change just by not drinking it you don't have to do anything else just don't drink it for two months and you will think it's crazy that anybody puts that in their body it won't even look like a beverage i look at i look at a soda now and i think oh my god i just feel sorry for anybody who drinks this stuff after drinking 12 sodas a day for 30 years right so i'm the biggest hypocrite in the world and that's what i'm telling you the moment you go two months without it it doesn't look the same when you're done completely changes what it is subjectively so two months don't do anything else hard just do that and here's the extra extra benefit um you know i like to find the benefit and of chaos right whenever there's chaos there's advantage whenever there's tragedy there's something some little thing somebody created to make money and here's what uh the coca-cola company did for you and you should thank them for this coca-cola just made it the easiest it's ever been to stop drinking soda because they pissed you off use it use it if you're pissed off don't waste that do not waste a good anger employ it use it when that diet coke's looking at you saying drink me drink me use this anger and say i would love to drink you you little freaking bastard but i'm not because i hate you i hate you use it the the diet the coca-cola company made i think a gigantic business mistake because they made it easier for a third of the country to quit their product and it's good for your health if you do now i'm just going to quote people who know more than i do to make that claim that is good for your your health if you do so do it take the good from this which is they made it easy uh dr nicole sapphire tweeted on on these sets of tweets and she said the pandemic side an unhealthy diet contributes to approximately 678 000 deaths each year with diabetes heart disease and obesity making people vulnerable to covenant 19.

and this number is much larger than 22 20 20 because of the the pandemic 670 000 people here dying from basically eating themselves to death you know that's the co-morbidity that puts them in a vulnerable position so let's get healthy i i want everybody who watches this live stream to be healthier than the average just just take the tips and put together a system that works for you all right let's talk about the uh floyd trial so there was something interesting that came out of that um you know i've been i've been telling you that the defense for a shaven they'd be missing they'd be missing the most obvious play if they don't challenge the quality of video evidence all right um you want to you want to challenge the idea that just because you think you saw it with your own eyes on video that doesn't mean anything because video lies so the ver the point that video lies and lies a lot and lies easily it has to be communicated to the to the jury because if the jury sits there and thinks well it's on video i saw it with my own eyes it's over so the defense i'm going to give them a they get an a-plus for the following move apparently they had some camera angles in which it showed that shaven's uh knee at some point we don't know how often during the nine minutes we don't know how often this was but at some point shaven's uh knee was actually on the shoulder blade above the neck and it's very clear in the photos but at other times i think he was on the neck so the way that i guess the way the lawyer introduced this was he asked one of the experts whoever was on stand if you'd heard of camera angle bias have you ever heard of camera angle bias and i think the witness said no and then he showed him two photos side by side one the one you've probably seen that looks exactly like the knee is on his neck and then another camera angle of the same thing where it looks like it's on maybe further back on his shoulder blade and you and apparently they time stamped it so you can tell it's the same time now imagine you're you're in the jury the entire time you've been watching these videos so because you've seen them as part of the trial the entire time all you saw all you saw was a knee on the neck and now the defense says okay here's a different angle it's not on the neck now you might say to yourself but scott that doesn't matter because he took his he just took it off at one point put it back on it's not really relevant to anything to which i would say it is relevant to intent the the entire the entire argument is that uh you know he intentionally put floyd in a dangerous situation not intentionally killed him intentionally killed him i think he's a higher charge but intentionally put him in a dangerous situation where if he took his knee off every now and then that would suggest he was trying to mitigate the danger right that he was aware of a situation who was trying to not kill him because sometimes he took his knee off the neck but i think there's other evidence to suggest that might have been after he'd already passed out so he might have been dead by then don't know that part so the only thing i'll say is i don't know if the evidence makes the point the defense wanted to make because the timing it might have been too late when the knee was off but it's a really good play in terms of persuasion because the persuasion of it is that the the jury just learned that they can't trust their own eyes regardless of the timing of when the knee the knee was on the neck or the shoulder the lesson is the same you can't tell by looking at it that's really good defense that's really good we'll see what happens again for the people who are watching this i don't i don't defend shaven i don't defend matt gates we just talk about the persuasion element of it and see if we can learn anything carl bergstrom who often tweets about the virus and statistical truths about it is warning us that uh we're misinterpreting we being the public excuse me that we're misinterpreting um what it means to reach herd immunity and specifically specifically that herd immunity doesn't mean that we're past all the trouble and that the virus goes away so herd immunity you should understand is not the point when you don't have any more virus or more deaths herd immunity is when it doesn't go as fast in other words it's not a another pandemic peak coming but the baseline the baseline infections could just go forever i mean you could just have new babies being born and being infected forever so if you think that getting to herd immunity means oh we're done throw away the masks stop the social distancing unfortunately it might not mean that now i'm not i'm not telling you that we're going to wear masks forever i don't think we will but we the cough has to be a technique somebody says no just woke up and i got a little allergies at the moment um so um here's what i would add to this i'm i'm less less concerned because the weirdness of this virus is that we might be able to vaccinate basically a hundred percent of the people who would die so if the uh it's not a dry cough don't worry uh i don't have code um so i'm gonna disagree with carl bergstrom even though he's about a hundred times smarter than i am on the topic i'm disagreeing and the only thing i'm gonna add is that i think this virus is not like any other virus because you actually could you could vaccinate 100 of the people who might die from it nothing would stop you from doing that all right so what happens if 100 of the people who are vulnerable or something like it get vaccinated do you care if the rest of the people get it i don't know i don't know if you care now you got the long-haul problem but isn't the long-haul problem probably uh you know even that people seem to get over it it's just a really bad problem for several months elon musk said he will not take the vaccine interesting i should tell you that i have scheduled myself to take the vaccine i've been telling you that i wouldn't make a decision until i had to until it was available because i'd get all the all the information i could and i've decided that given my age that i'm gonna i'm gonna take it if i were if i were elon musk's age i don't know i i might think differently but i'm not so i'm gonna call this uh i'm gonna call this early today because i'm going to go do some other things and my allergies are killing me so uh i'm not that old but i've got asthma you know don't take a chance and i will talk to you tomorrow

well well well

yeah i'm a little bit late a little bit

late

you know have you ever wondered what

would it be like

to watch coffee with scott adams if he

had

no time to prepare and had literally

just awakened 15 minutes earlier

what would that be like well you're

going to find out

and if you'd like to enjoy it and i know

you would

i mean why not why not enjoy it right

all you need is a copper bug or glass a

tanker challenger style canteen jugger

flask a vessel of any kind

fill it with your favorite liquid i like

coffee join me now

for the unparalleled pleasure the

dopamine hit of the day

the thing that makes everything better

it's called the simultaneous sip if you

haven't tried it oh i feel sorry for you

those of you who have get ready it's

happening now

do you remember some of you have been

watching me for a while

i once told you that if you take the

dale carnegie course

one of the things that teaches you is

really really

valuable for some situations one of

those situations

is happening right now and let me tell

you a little bit of a story

before i get into that

yeah um years ago i was doing a book

tour going around the country

signing books for whatever book was out

and i got to a denver bookstore one of

the biggest ones in

i don't know the country or denver just

some massive bookstore that had

a room with a stadium audience and

everything i mean it was just a big

bookstore

and i get there and the owner of the

bookstore greets me and says all right

people uh have been waiting for uh two

hours

to see you and i said ah that's great

and

and i thought they meant to sign books

and they said yeah they can't wait to

hear your speech

and i said what yeah your speech that

you're going to give in

10 minutes they're really excited about

it and i said

huh i didn't know i was giving a speech

in 10 minutes

no idea i thought i was just there to

sign books

but apparently the the audience had

already assembled

so there were i don't know several

hundred people in the room waiting to

hear my speech

which didn't exist

so uh my point is the if you take the

dale carnegie course

they actually teach you how to be

prepared to always have a speech

so you can walk into these situations as

i did

i just gave a speech because you just

always have one now it's usually

pieces of speeches right so you have

these little components

that if you get in one of these

situations you can just take them off

the shelf

you say okay i'll take one of these one

of these one of these and i'll just put

them together on the fly

which is what i just did so that story

about the

bookstore some of you have heard it

before and the point of it is

it's one of my shelf points

always keep a few on the shelf so

anytime you get

you get a little situation like this you

go oh

i'll introduce it by the the denver

bookstore story

and then i'll have a good momentum going

and then i'll find other pieces as i go

i'm going to give you today my first

mandatory

twitter follow recommendation

you ready now when i say mandatory

i'm going to the next level i'm taking

it up because i've told you before there

are some people you should follow i'll

probably mention them again

but there are a number of people who are

just way better to follow

than other people because they have some

kind of insight or

they're just good at tweeting or

something and i'm going to give you my

first ever

mandatory follow meaning that if you

follow me

i'm telling you it's mandatory glenn

greenwald

now if you don't already follow glenn

greenwald here's the first thing you

need to know

has nothing to do with politics he talks

about politics

so his domain is politics but that's not

the recommendation

he's one of the few people who every

time he writes or tweets

he can take the the curtain of reality

it just pushes it back

and then he's done and then he then he

brings it back you know after you're

done reading them

and then you have to live in that other

artificial world for a while

and then glenn greenwald says something

and he pulls the curtain back again and

you can see the real world for a little

bit

now usually he's pulling back the

curtain on um the media itself

so that you can see that you're living

in an artificial world

literally that you've created an

artificial

subjective world that you're living in

and he's one of the people

and there aren't many of them who don't

live in that world

i don't know why i would love to know

the history of what

you know hallucinogenics he's ever tried

in his life if any

i would love to know how he became who

he is because somehow he lives outside

that world

and he can just pull the curtain back

and look and show you

it's kind of amazing so he's a mandatory

follow

because he shows you what's on the other

side of the curtain

and you don't get that from everybody

i'll give you other mandatories as we

go along here here's a way to know if

you were dumb

a lot of you have been wondering am i

dumb

do you ever have that thought sometimes

it might be the imposter

effect you're not really dumb but you

worry that you are compared to other

people

um but one way to know you are dumb is

if you hear an

argument and the first thing you think

is

oh you love that person you're talking

about

why don't you just kiss them apparently

you love them

okay that that if that's your response

to an argument you're kind of dumb

you're not really ready for talking in

public

okay if you say oh oh scott you're

defending

you're defending the worst person you're

an apologist for

the worst person if you if that's your

feeling

you're dumb because you can't you for

some reason you can't separate

an argument which could be good or bad

from the people who are making it

if you can't do that you just probably

shouldn't talk in

public maybe that's not for you okay

have i set you up enough

all right let's talk about matt gates

because i i refuse to be limited

by dumb people not understanding that

you can talk about people

you can talk about their situation but

you're not an apologist

defending people you're just not that

person right can we do that

all right i would like to know that the

people who follow me are smart enough

to separate an argument from people if

you can't do that you're

you're on the wrong live stream so let's

do that

as these stories go and of course you

all know the weird

matt gates story there's allegations of

orgies with underage people with no

evidence that we've seen

to suggest any of that's true but the

longer you wait

don't you expect the evidence to come

out big old story like this you know

more and more evidence is coming out

so it becomes a different story the

longer you wait

it starts as one thing and now it's it's

evolving

and it's it has so evolved to sort of a

new thing

and that's that's what i'm going to

describe right now

number one matt gates has said from the

beginning

that any allegations that he was with a

70 year old

excuse me i don't know and the

allegations that he was with the 17 year

old are just completely false

it just doesn't exist but he's gone

further to say

that the accuser doesn't exist

that's pretty gutsy isn't it how many

people

accused of something like this

would go so far as to say not only did i

not do it

but the accuser doesn't exist

now that's a pretty big claim

later if you find out that the accuser

does exist

you know then there's a separate

question of whether anything happened

with that accuser

similar to what was accused

but isn't that is that an unusual claim

don't you think because if somebody knew

that the accuser would

exist in other words if matt gates knew

the person exists

wouldn't that be the worst defense to

say that they don't even exist

right unless is true if

put yourself in that position right now

we can't read his mind

okay so we're not reading his mind but

put yourself in the position

you've been accused of something with an

underage person 17

would you say if you knew you'd been

accused of that would you say

no we did not do that thing i know who

you're talking about

but certainly we didn't do that thing

that's very different from saying nobody

exists

that they just don't exist that's really

different

i don't know that like you'd have to be

pretty sure they don't exist

would you because for sure the most

the simplest thing to prove is that a

person exists

am i wrong is there anything easier to

prove

than that a person exists he's really

it's interesting isn't it because what

happens if they produce the person

he looks really really bad would he put

himself in a position and it's not

it's obvious that he's thought about it

and planned his defense right it's not

like an off-the-cuff thing he said he's

saying this repeatedly and often

the person doesn't exist

now if that person ends up existing

that's going to completely change what i

think about the situation

and for you too i would think but at the

moment

every day that goes by when we don't

hear that the person exists

and by the way i don't think the person

would be still 17

right a number of months have gone by

since the accusations even

began so statistically speaking it seems

deeply unlikely

that there's still a minor involved at

least today

it would be somebody over 18. so do you

think that there is somebody deeply

involved in some kind of a

secret investigation who doesn't want to

be

known at this point and and the leaks

don't produce that person

i don't know there's something sketchy

about the fact that the longer you wait

you don't find out now if tomorrow we

hear the name of the person and the

person exists

change everything right i'm just saying

that every day that goes by

you have to say i'm starting to wonder

if this person exists

that's the reasonable question here's

the other part that i haven't heard

anybody say

there's this weird element of it where

apparently the gases

had involved the fbi before any of this

broke

they had involved the fbi and what they

believed was an extortion attempt

all right so here's the key point uh

that the the gates father and son

both believed that it was an extortion

attempt so much so that they got the law

enforcement involved

all right now we've seen the documents

if you haven't seen them yet they're

they're in the news today we see the

documents and emails going back and

forth

between the two attorney types who

were proposing to gates a senior

that for 25 million dollars they could

get this

alleged um what would you call him

captive

back from iran who may or may not exist

right he may

he may or may not be alive we don't know

there's indication he's not alive but

these two people said they had

indication he was alive

you and i don't know so we don't know if

that guy exists

but imagine you're the gates and the and

people approach you and say for 25

million dollars

we can maybe get this hostage back that

you think

might not even be real okay

you're saying to yourself i'm not even

sure there's a real guy

alive that could be saved and

if he is why isn't the government doing

it right so it's kind of sketchy right

the government wouldn't do this are you

saying that there's nobody in the

government of the united states

who would be interested in getting back

this hostage

so right away it's sketchy right now you

could argue oh the government tried or

they don't care or

they don't believe the story but it's

true so you could

maybe maybe come up with some

stretch of a story that would say yeah

this is the way to do it you wouldn't

use the government

you would you would make some deal with

a private citizen

i mean it doesn't yeah it doesn't pass

to the stiffness right

but but it doesn't fail it so badly

that you could say it's impossible all

right it doesn't pass the sniff test

but it's not completely ruled out

okay now i looked at the documents

the emails back and forth and the way

it's the way it's presented

is that hey there's an extra benefit if

you help us out with this 25 million

dollars

that they call the loan but i don't know

if you would call it a loan

because a loan is something you expect

to get repaid

i don't know if anybody expected that to

be repaid so let's

let's first say that characterizing it

as a loan

is maybe a subjective call even if there

was some alleged plan to repay it

feels a little iffy to me now

when you looked at the documents did you

say to yourself there's an extortion

thing because part of the offer was that

they would

try to lobby the government to

get matt gates cleared or pardoned

presidentially pardoned

of some wrongdoings which were

unspecific

about whatever they heard about these

sex crimes now do you believe that these

two lawyers had enough weight

that they could have done anything at

all to get a pardon for matt gates

should he have done anything that so far

we're not aware of

right so let me say it again there's no

evidence of a specific anything

none no evidence right to the public we

don't know if anybody else has seen

anything

but you and i have seen no evidence of a

crime

now imagine you're the gates's and

you've got this offer that will help you

will help you get out of this alleged

crime

if you help us with this alleged loan

for a captive who is allegedly alive

what do you do with that well what the

gates did is they went to law

enforcement they said

this feels like extortion all right

now let me ask you this we're amateurs

looking from the outside right

and we take the clues and

carpe good to see you uh

that wasn't worth twenty dollars you

should just text me um

but thank you uh what was i saying

i was just good to see you carpe carpe

duncan joins has just joined the uh the

show here

um so we're looking at this situation

and here's my question that i haven't

seen answered

what would cause the gases to think this

was extortion

what would cause them to think that

i think one thing that would certainly

cause you to think that is

wait for it if you were matt gates

and you knew for sure that you had not

been involved

in any sex crimes

right if you thought you had been

involved in

sexual crimes and these people said we

have a way to maybe help you get out

wouldn't you be a little bit interested

in talking to him

if you've done the crime because if

you've done the crime

and allegedly there's an investigation

you know there's witnesses and you know

there's real evidence

now you know you're in real big trouble

you would at least listen to the offer

wouldn't you

yeah you would the only situation in

which you would say

my god this looks like an obvious scam

is if you knew there was no crime

thank you kevin uh

yeah and i haven't seen anybody mention

that

it seems to me that given that these

documents and the offer from the the two

lawyer people

were um they were kind of sketchy

the way they handled it was as if they

didn't believe there was any crime

that's the way they handled it that

means something

they didn't handle it as if well maybe

there is a crime here

they handled it like no crime existed

that's the way you'd handle it this must

be a scam

because there's no crime they're trying

to extort me over no crime

you go right to law enforcement but

suppose you had done the crime and you

knew it

is the first thing you do get to get law

enforcement involved

i don't think so like it doesn't it

doesn't quite fit does it

so i would say the the documents are

quite exculpatory

but we are far from knowing the you know

the final conclusion to any of this

i'm just going to say that the gates

situation is looking better for gates

every day

and worse for his accusers but we'll

keep watching this

meanwhile world war iii has begun i

don't know if you've heard about this

world war three is underway and i'm not

even kidding

there's an actual world war that just

hasn't started apparently the way it's

begun

is that china has

started to capture philippine fishing

territory

by just moving 220 fishing boats

to fish but they're not exactly there to

fish they're really there as part of the

military to

occupy until they have so much

functional control of the sea that for

all practical purposes

china owns it which is what they're

doing to the entire

south china sea it's hard to see that as

not world war three

because they are literally conquering

territory it just happens to be ocean

territory

and they're doing it directly with

assets

it's obvious there's no question about

it it is world war

iii they are they

they are absorbing enormous swaths of

the earth and putting it under chinese

control

parts of the world that people think

china doesn't control

now the thing that makes it um

a little different than say a normal

world war

a little different is that

um china might need might need that

ocean to feed its

people in the future so apparently it's

very rich in fish

and i don't think that they want to

control it just for export

i think that china has a massive problem

feeding his people just because there

are so many of them and they

probably need that fish in the future so

it's not like a regular war of conquest

it might be a war of necessity and i

don't know

what historical precedent there is for a

war of necessity

or presumed advantage slash necessity

it's a little different but it's a

similar strategy they're using that

russia

used in the ukraine where you send in i

guess the

the russians sent in what were called

the little green men

so they were russian soldiers and they

just took off their their uniforms

and uh they they just invaded ukraine

and said

oh no we're not military are you kidding

no look at me i'm not even wearing a

uniform

how could i be russian military until

there are so many of them there it's

it becomes kind of a fact on the ground

that that russia controls some territory

so china's doing the same thing with

these fishing boats

they're just making it a fact that they

own it over time

let's talk about coca-cola

let me start by saying i oppose boycotts

i oppose boycotts as soon as you go down

that boycott road

and you get re-boycotted everybody's

boycotting everybody

it's just better to let business be

business and let politics be politics

it's just better right it's better for

all of us

let's just not be attacking companies

but sometimes

sometimes the company attacks you that's

not your fault

right sometimes the company attacks you

well that's different i i would say

don't boycott a company just because

they have some opinion or something

but if that company attacks you

well you certainly have a right to

defend yourself and so let's talk about

coke so there are many conservatives who

would consider that coke

coca-cola the company has attacked them

in a way by going after georgia for

their voting

id laws which conservatives would say

are just

common sense and it's the same laws or

similar laws

requiring an id to vote similar to most

countries most places

nothing unusual about it so this is just

an attack

by a company on the system and on

conservatives basically

so many conservatives have called for

people to stop drinking coca-cola

matt walsh did a tweet which he summed

it up well i'll just read it he said

coca-cola went from

went from indoctrinating its employees

and critical race theory

to fighting against georgia's voter id

law is there any good reason

for any conservative to ever buy another

coke product again

we could cut them off and out of our

life with no effort

why shouldn't we now

here's my take on this

quitting diet coke or coke is really

hard

i know because i had a 12 diet coke a

day habit for

i don't know 30 years or something and i

did quit

but it was hard and i'm going to tell

you how

so i'm going to teach you how to stop

your diet coke

habit or coke habit soda habit and

it's not hard if you do it right if you

do it wrong it's pretty hard

and i'll teach you how to do it right

and it goes like this

don't quit anything else at the same

time

it is such a strong addiction at least

that's how i found it to be

not addiction in the scientific term but

you know functionally it's an addiction

that if you if you're trying to let's

say improve your entire diet

anytime you're quitting diet coke that's

a lot to ask of you

right you want to be hungry and also not

have a diet coke

those are two really strong forces to be

fighting at the same time

so i say take two months give yourself a

break on the rest of your diet you know

eat healthy food but don't

um don't obsess over it and just do one

thing

just quit diet coke or coke or soda it

doesn't have to be coca-cola company

just sugary drinks just quit that

in two months you will not only not

crave it

it will look like a chemical experiment

and not even look

like a food beverage item in two months

the way you think of it will completely

change just by not drinking it

you don't have to do anything else just

don't drink it for two months

and you will think it's crazy that

anybody puts that in their body

it won't even look like a beverage

i look at i look at a soda now and i

think oh my god i just feel

sorry for anybody who drinks this stuff

after drinking 12 sodas a day for 30

years right

so i'm the biggest hypocrite in the

world and that's what i'm telling you

the moment you go two months without it

it doesn't look the same when you're

done

completely changes what it is

subjectively

so two months don't do anything else

hard just do that

and here's the extra extra benefit um

you know i like to find the benefit and

of chaos right

whenever there's chaos there's advantage

whenever there's tragedy

there's something some little thing

somebody created to make money

and here's what uh the coca-cola company

did for you

and you should thank them for this

coca-cola just made it the easiest it's

ever been

to stop drinking soda because they

pissed you off

use it use it if you're pissed off

don't waste that do not waste

a good anger employ it

use it when that diet coke's looking at

you saying

drink me drink me

use this anger and say i would love to

drink you

you little freaking bastard but i'm not

because i hate you i hate you use it

the the diet the coca-cola company

made i think a gigantic business mistake

because they made it easier for a third

of the country to quit their product

and it's good for your health if you do

now i'm just

going to quote people who know more than

i do to make that claim that is good for

your

your health if you do so do it

take the good from this which is they

made it easy

uh dr nicole sapphire tweeted on

on these sets of tweets and she said the

pandemic side an unhealthy diet

contributes to approximately

678 000 deaths each year

with diabetes heart disease and obesity

making people vulnerable to covenant 19.

and this number is much larger than 22

20 20 because of the the pandemic

670 000 people here dying from

basically eating themselves to death you

know that's the co-morbidity that puts

them

in a vulnerable position so

let's get healthy i i want everybody who

watches

this live stream to be healthier

than the average just just take the tips

and

put together a system that works for you

all right let's talk about the uh

floyd trial so there was something

interesting that came out of that

um you know i've been i've been telling

you that the defense

for a shaven they'd be missing they'd be

missing the most obvious play

if they don't challenge the quality of

video evidence

all right um you want to

you want to challenge the idea that just

because you think you saw it with your

own eyes on video

that doesn't mean anything because video

lies

so the ver the point that video lies and

lies a lot

and lies easily it has to be

communicated to the

to the jury because if the jury sits

there and thinks well it's on video

i saw it with my own eyes it's over so

the defense i'm going to give them a

they get an a-plus for the following

move apparently they had some camera

angles

in which it showed that shaven's uh knee

at some point we don't know how often

during the nine minutes we don't know

how often this was

but at some point shaven's uh knee was

actually on the shoulder blade

above the neck and it's very clear in

the photos

but at other times i think he was on the

neck so

the way that i guess the way the lawyer

introduced this was he asked

one of the experts whoever was on stand

if you'd heard of

camera angle bias have you ever heard of

camera angle bias

and i think the witness said no and then

he showed him two photos

side by side one the one you've probably

seen

that looks exactly like the knee is on

his neck and then

another camera angle of the same thing

where it looks like it's on

maybe further back on his shoulder blade

and you and apparently they time stamped

it so you can tell it's the same time

now imagine you're you're in the jury

the entire time you've been watching

these videos so because you've seen them

as part of the trial

the entire time all you saw all you saw

was a knee on the neck and now the

defense says

okay here's a different angle it's not

on the neck

now you might say to yourself but scott

that doesn't matter

because he took his he just took it off

at one point put it back on

it's not really relevant to anything to

which i would say it is relevant to

intent

the the entire the entire argument

is that uh you know he intentionally

put floyd in a dangerous situation not

intentionally killed him

intentionally killed him i think he's a

higher charge but intentionally put him

in a dangerous situation

where if he took his knee off every now

and then that would suggest he was

trying to mitigate the danger

right that he was aware of a situation

who was trying to not kill him

because sometimes he took his knee off

the neck but i think there's other

evidence to suggest that might have been

after he'd already passed out

so he might have been dead by then don't

know that part so the only thing i'll

say is i don't know if the evidence

makes the point the defense wanted to

make because the timing

it might have been too late when the

knee was off but it's a really good play

in terms of persuasion because the

persuasion of it is

that the the jury just learned that they

can't trust their own

eyes regardless of the timing of when

the knee

the knee was on the neck or the shoulder

the lesson is the same

you can't tell by looking at it that's

really good defense

that's really good we'll see what

happens

again for the people who are watching

this i don't

i don't defend shaven i don't defend

matt gates we just talk about the

persuasion element of it and

see if we can learn anything carl

bergstrom who

often tweets about the

virus and statistical truths about it

is warning us that uh we're

misinterpreting

we being the public

excuse me that we're misinterpreting

um what it means to reach herd immunity

and specifically

specifically that herd immunity doesn't

mean that we're

past all the trouble and that the virus

goes away

so herd immunity you should understand

is not the point when you don't have any

more

virus or more deaths herd immunity

is when it doesn't go as fast in other

words it's not a

another pandemic peak coming but the

baseline

the baseline infections could just go

forever

i mean you could just have new babies

being born and being infected

forever so if you think that

getting to herd immunity means oh we're

done

throw away the masks stop the social

distancing

unfortunately it might not mean that now

i'm not

i'm not telling you that we're going to

wear masks forever i don't think we will

but we

the cough has to be a technique somebody

says no just woke up

and i got a little allergies at the

moment um

so um here's what i would add to this

i'm i'm less less concerned because the

weirdness of this virus

is that we might be able to vaccinate

basically a hundred percent of the

people who would die

so if the uh it's not a dry cough don't

worry

uh i don't have code

um so i'm gonna disagree with carl

bergstrom

even though he's about a hundred times

smarter than i am on

the topic i'm disagreeing and the only

thing i'm gonna

add is that i think this virus is not

like any other virus

because you actually could you could

vaccinate 100 of the people who might

die from it

nothing would stop you from doing that

all right so what happens if 100

of the people who are vulnerable or

something like it

get vaccinated do you care if the rest

of the people get it

i don't know i don't know if you care

now you got the long-haul problem but

isn't the long-haul problem probably

uh you know even that people seem to get

over it

it's just a really bad problem for

several months

elon musk said he will not take the

vaccine interesting

i should tell you that i have scheduled

myself to take the vaccine

i've been telling you that i wouldn't

make a decision until i had to

until it was available because i'd get

all the all the information i could

and i've decided that given my age

that i'm gonna i'm gonna take it if i

were

if i were elon musk's age i don't know

i i might think differently but i'm not

so

i'm gonna call this uh i'm gonna call

this

early today because i'm going to go do

some other things and

my allergies are killing me so uh i'm

not that old but i've got asthma

you know don't take a chance and i will

talk to you tomorrow