Episode 1463 Scott Adams - Viruses, Climate, and Other Scary Persuasion

well well well you have come to the right place this is the place for coffee with scott adams the best time of the whole day once again it's going to be a good one a barn burner they say and all you need is a copper mug or glass a tanker challengers die in a candy jugger flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip it's gonna happen now go oh yeah yeah that was tremendous as good as you imagined it would be probably probably oh a good drawing of a robot there in the comments thank you well well well let me start with uh the funniest tweet of the day from glenn greenwald you all know about obama having a big birthday party his 60th birthday party and he invited a lot of what the new york times call sophisticated vaccinated people so unlike your sturgis where there's a bunch of unsophisticated people obama's birthday had sophisticated vaccinated people much safer well glenn greenwald uh tweeted on this perfectly and said uh there was a photo attached he said here's biden's climate crisis is our john kerry arriving on his private jet to attend obama's masculist party it's all there everything you need to know about the world in one tweet the climate climate is ours on a private jet and obama's got a maskless mass gathering so how about the rest of you how was your maskless mass gathering was it as good as mine that's right we didn't have one so everybody's mad about the hypocrisy and i guess they should uh there's a some cdc official but not all of them finally said this he said that we will all be exposed to the coronavirus by the end of the year maybe next year now what does exposed mean exposed we'll all be exposed to the virus mostly the delta variant i think does exposed mean that if you have a vaccination and you are exposed to it do you carry any of the virus with you still a little bit uncertain because we know that vaccinated people do not only carry the virus but can have as much viral load as someone who's not vaccinated at all at least in some cases that we've determined but does that mean that let's say you're vaccinated and you don't have any symptoms but you got some virus are you going to put off as much i would think not logically because if you're not coughing you're not spreading it as much and if you're not gasping for air because your lungs are not working maybe you're not breathing as much but you'd still be putting off plenty i mean if you had the same full viral load just breathing would be a problem i would think so i tend to agree with the cdc guy who says we'll all be exposed because i don't see anything in the in the works that would change it do you is there anything happening that would change the fact we'll all be exposed because it doesn't look like we're even close to something that would look like shutting it down and you'd have to shut it down sort of everywhere all over the world for it to make a difference in any country assuming borders open up again so i just don't think we can get there and i feel that we should be a little more honest about that so the reason to get the vaccination is not to stop the virus but to stop it from progressing in your own body um there's a i guess israel has a new drug for targeting the chronovirus it looks pretty promising because the way it works and they've tested it in a small test so we don't have any randomized controlled trials yet but in a small test a whole bunch of people who were very sick left the hospital in five days or less and i guess 93 percent of 90 chronoviruses that were serious in several greek hospitals they had to test the israelis had to test their covax their covenant drug in greece because there wasn't enough covenant in israel israel did such a good job that they didn't have they couldn't do a test of it there so they tested it there and it was hugely successful what it does is it targets the cytokine cytokine whatever you what whatever that is storm that happens the thing that makes you so sick is that your own immune response goes nuts so apparently this drug uh just calms down your immune response presumably just from this from the virus i don't know but uh gigantic potential but how long does it take i don't think this is going to get some kind of emergency authorization so maybe it doesn't matter it might take too long i'd like to give you an update on my personal quest to make masks impractical at least in certain places so was it yesterday yesterday i went to a restaurant and did not wear a mask now a mask was required and if they had asked me to put it on i would have but as soon as you sit down i think it's probably the same everywhere as soon as you sit down at the table and they bring you a glass of water or even before they do you take your mask off so the only reason for the mask is to stand at the hostess stand for five seconds and then walk twelve feet to where you're going to take your mask off in the same space the whole time kind of ridiculous so i tried to see what would happen if i just didn't wear a mask and the host had to see me without a mask what would the host do and the answer is the host ignored my maskless state and seated me also ignored the entire party in front of me that checked in just before me all maskless the restaurant just has already given up they've given up here's a sign you should put on your gym you ready for this here's the sign i want on your gym it says masks are mandated by the state if you don't wear a mask we'll ask you to put one on and that's all we'll do that's the sign master mandated if you're not wearing one we will ask you to put one on and that's all we'll do message received right and then you just go to the gym without your mask and they'll say hey put your mask on and then you say thanks for thanks for reminding me and you just go on with your business wouldn't that work i know we'll find out i think well the ipcc has a new report on climate let me guess huh do you think the ipcc will say we're doing a great job on climate and everything's getting better do you think that's what they came up with or do you think they uh waited several years for a new report and said you know it looks exactly the same as the last time we reported on it you think that's going to happen in our world or just maybe just maybe will the report look like can i can i bring a special guest in i believe some of you know him his name is dale dale can you give us the highlight summary of the new ipcc report on the climate we're all going to die we're going gonna die die in a giant fireball we're all dead see yeah that's pretty much what the report said we're we're all we're all dead well michael sheldon berger has a a different opinion on that in terms of the risk who he agrees of course that humans are a factor in climate change and he agrees that things are getting warmer and he agrees that there will be you know weather disruptions maybe as much as predicted but here's what's different do you know how many people have died from the heat in let's say the last hundred years well i don't know the number but i know the number used to be really big and that was really really small because we have air conditioning as soon as you invent air conditioning it can get pretty warm outside people live in the desert it's really warm out there but they use air conditioning seems to be enough likewise for almost everything that you know would be a real world problem from climate change we're really good at mitigating things we're good at predicting we're going to moving things we're good at communicating transporting you know planning managing we're good at stuff now not like the old days so indeed while the planet might indeed get way way worse and certainly we should be addressing it it's very unlikely it's going to make any difference that you notice but you need to scare people or they'll all be dead you only have two choices if you don't scare people they won't do much about it and presumably we just slide into some bad situation where maybe we are all doomed but if you scare the pants off of enough people they'll do something about it and then you'll probably be fine so i'm very much in favor of scaring other people but i'm not sure how scared you need to be you and i don't need to be that scared but the scientists let's scare the scientists because they'll work harder try to do something about it so here's my question what happens to mass suicides and depression when your ipcc report comes out and every news station reports that we're doomed to die in a fireball now i'm exaggerating a little bit but it sounds pretty bad right if you just read the report it sounds like our future is non-existent so what does that do to depressions and suicides well i'll tell you what i felt like i felt like taking my own life like actually literally when i read the report i was like okay well there's no point there's no point in even trying might as well just go out and take your life and it wasn't until i saw michael schellenberger's tweet thread that i retweeted so you can find it in my twitter feed as well then i started thinking oh okay they're just doing this to me again again scaring me again making it look like life is not worth living so thanks for that um apparently pfizer is maybe a few weeks away from fda approval for the vaccine uh and remember i asked people if they'd be more likely to take it in a little twitter poll unscientific one and a lot of people said yes that if it was fda approved they would take it you know they have all the data already right did you know that they have all the data for fda approval and they're telling you that it's a few weeks away from approval nobody is telling you nobody that it might not get approved right zero people have told you well we're not sure if it'll get approved because of the data in fact the data very clearly says apparently or i'm assuming it would be reported if this were not the case apparently the data says yeah it's good it's good for approval so it's probably just the paperwork and the lawyering and stuff that's that's going to take weeks but if you knew that it was fda approved effectively even before it's officially approved does that change your willingness to get it fda approved in you know in all the pre important ways because the data looks good all right well a lot of you were not uh holding off only for that reason but i do think this will make a pretty big dent in the number of people get vaccinated i would imagine um here's an this is more the uh school of unintended consequences all right the school of unintended consequences mask mandates appear to be leading toward school choice because a number of uh you know state school people are putting together plans to say if if masks are required then students should be able to go take their take their funding and go to another place if they don't want to be in a masked situation now who saw that coming not me if you had told me that masks will accelerate in school choice i would have said well i don't see how exactly but looks like it's going to happen looks like that made a difference well biden's approval is down a little bit so he was uh averaging you know in the low 50 percent approval for his first six months but now according to quinnipiac he's down to 46 percent and then sami is 43 percent blah blah so he's down and approval and it appears to be that the coronavirus performance is the reason now is biden responsible for the delta variant and where we are now not really i mean i don't know that he could have done something much better if biden if trump had been president what do you think we would be looking at right now better or worse probably about the same probably about the same but here's the weird thing i do think trump lost because of the virus a lot of smart people say that and it feels right because the virus caused a lot of rule changes and it was the rule changes that allowed the kind of turnout we got so really i'd say the virus determined who the president is is is really the first president ever elected by a virus well as far as i know so not only did the virus elect biden but now the virus is going to make sure that biden or probably his successor doesn't get re-elected or doesn't get elected so do we have a system in which people get informed and then vote and choose politicians or do we have a system in which a virus determines who's the president because that's what's happening the virus is deciding it's not even us and i would like to point out that the war against this virus is going about as well as the war on drugs and the war in afghanistan it's been a while since we won a war has anybody noticed that the united states and it's warring not doing so good lately yeah maybe maybe did a good job in syria or something but we're not really so good at winning wars conclusively are we yeah there's no money in winning a war somebody says it's a problem uh yeah calling everything a war is probably somebody says golf won you know the first gulf war we won but did we if it just if it just led to problems later did we um all right so let me go back to that message all right so mark dice did a video which you just have to say i tweeted it and it's on youtube in which he stopped people and asked them to sign a petition to put unvaccinated people in jail to put unvaccinated people in jail how many people signed the petition without a second thought yeah just what you thought you don't even have to watch the video do you a lot of people sign that that petition without a thought they didn't do it without ask they did it without asking questions they did it without showing any second thoughts all they did was say well it's good for me go to jail it's good for me so why don't you go to jail that's it that's it so um are you worried that we will slide into prison camps for the unvaccinated are you worried i'm not worried about that really but it is true that you can get some portion of the public around 25 if you know what i mean to do just about anything without anything that looks like thought i mean they actually look like automatons would you like to sign this petition to kill everybody in your family why not i don't see why not it is really scary oh the video is blinking i don't know if it's blinking on anybody else's screen yeah female camps coming yeah now you understand why people accepted hitler you can accept almost anything if it's gradual and gradual doesn't have to be that gradual right it just starts as well you know this group of people certainly is a problem and then you can talk about that group of people in a bad way and get away with it and next thing you know you're putting little restrictions on that kind of people the next thing you know it's a holocaust you can slide into anything you just get used to it after a while yeah it's the boiling frog situation exactly and dehumanization well that's about the scariest thing you'll ever see but in terms of entertainment it's really good it's very entertaining so let's see what we got here that is just about all the news there is and i didn't want to be all gloomy today because it's been pointed out to me that i've been i've been less than my optimistic self by the way has anybody noticed that does anybody think i've been less than my optimistic self lately uh yeah and oh interesting there does seem to be a mixture of opinions about whether i've been less optimistic lately you know i think that the um the the trump administration was an optimism-based administration and it was easy to be you know get swept up in that i think i was now i still say the golden age is coming uh and i do think things are better than ever and will continue to be better than ever and we look at the fact that airlines will become electric i mean that's happening so a lot of the things you're worried about for climate change um i i'm not sure so sure that that makes a difference i think that we will invent our way out of climate change and we will mitigate our way around it and we'll be fine but i'm glad that all the scientists and engineers are worried that way a little that way that way they'll do the work all right the most depressing thing is the illegal immigration is it is it because if you don't really have a plan to not get the virus and our hospitals are not overrun yet i mean there's some places that they got real problems apparently in the south but i don't know you know if you see lots of whatever you see pictures of and talk about will seem like your biggest problem what are the odds yeah so here's an experiment for you think about uh your own life right now just think about yourself personally okay think about yourself just your life the things that will affect you personally what are the odds that you personally as a resident of the united states if you are one of the odds that you will be affected in a negative way by immigration it can happen right but right now you could probably get a job just about anywhere because there's more job openings than jobs so it doesn't affect your employment at the moment it does affect that you can get services and goods from people willing to provide them that are maybe here illegally um but one of the odds that you will have a worse life like personally it's not really that high no i see crime right but what are the odds of you personally will be a victim of a crime from an illegal immigrant just personally now i'm not saying that you should i'm in favor of a tight border just to be clear i'm in favor of tight borders for all the obvious reasons but the odds that you personally will be victimized by an immigrant in some direct way i'm seeing people say a hundred percent i guess depending on where you live that could be true if you lived on the border you there's 100 chance you would be affected in some way probably negatively but if you're not living right on the border it probably won't affect you at all probably won't maybe a little inflation i don't know maybe your health care goes up or down i don't know uh but the truth is you probably did not even notice so very much like climate change climate change might be the biggest problem in the world it might be but it probably won't affect you you probably you probably won't know the difference you could probably go through your life just doing what you do and live your whole life and scientists and engineers and the government will take care of the climate change and you'll just buy products that are more you know more energy efficient and that's all you'll do who speaks for the earth well yeah the earth has some issues so my biggest problem is taxes uh debt is a problem but we don't know how much so i think that we'll uh we'll figure our way through this have you noticed that under the biden administration are you worse off probably you could do some statistical stuff to find out that you are gas is more expensive yeah gas is more expensive but how about your specific life do you think it's worse off than if you've been under trump well i don't know i mean you can make a good argument for it and the partisans will say yeah trump would be better might be right but it's probably not that much right because every day i wake up i do this you know i eat i sleep i exercise it feels a lot the same i i don't know i can't think of anything that's different besides the fact that i'm bored i mean i'm bored by biden he just bores the crap out of me but besides that i don't know my life looks pretty much the same the pandemic probably would have been the same under under trump oh ammunition prices yeah i guess that's going up but um scott you do not reflect the population you are correct you are correct but it is true the people who want jobs can get them and that your odds of dying from some new crisis whether it's a corroded virus or climate change is very small for any one person very very small and yeah inflation's definitely a problem definitely a problem all right um yeah inflation is probably the biggest problem that has a direct effect on people i'll give you that inflation is the biggest problem and i do think that trump would have been maybe better on that but we still had to spend our way out of the pandemic so i think there was going to be inflation no matter what um all right can't get a job if i won't take the vaccine yeah well that's your free market working for you there um oh you're now deemed a racist so yes yeah i guess that's worse if you've been deemed a racist but you would have been anyway uh why is oil not going up maybe it already did all right um so i'm seeing a lot of comments here about sunspots if let me tell you oh god i just said the locals platform just crashed somebody said it's doing it every 28 minutes oh yeah it's right it did it exactly in 28 minutes that is correct interesting so it's a 28 minute timer it looks like on the locals platform but it comes right back on all right so it does look like there's a 28 minute uh timer on the locals platform and it times out anyway sunspots if you think those sunspots are are the thing controlling climate change you're probably not operating at a high level of understanding or or knowledge that's that's the sort of problem you have if you do your own research you know i always make fun of people doing their own research because we're not qualified i you know i've got two college degrees and spent a lot of time doing a lot of data analytics and stuff i'm not qualified you know you're not either to do your own research but i'll tell you one thing that is the least likely thing to be true the least likely thing to be true is as sun spots are the the hidden cause of climate change that is the least likely thing of anything about climate change it's the least likely to be true i suppose anything could be true you know you could be wrong or i could be wrong about anything and the reason is because it's so obvious as a thing to check it has been checked extensively and the people who are you know the consensus of experts say there's absolutely nothing there but you can find all over the internet less credible people saying oh it's the sunspots and here's my data and here's my chart and they're all just so yes you have seen lots of data and charts telling you some spots are the real cause i will bet let's see i don't know there's a real way to bet on this because maybe we'll never know the real answer in a way that people will agree but i was uh just think of the setup all of the scientists have heard this theory about sunspots all of them they've all heard it now you're saying to yourself scott if somebody proves climate change is not real they would lose their job and all that now if somebody proved that sunspots were the cause of climate change and actually proved it they would be the most lauded and famous scientist of all time they would be like the wright brothers they would bully like einstein their name would be famous forever they would write best-selling books they would be invited to talk you couldn't get richer than proving sunspots were the cause of climate change and it hasn't happened there is enormous financial incentive to show that some spots or anything else causes climate change now i know what you're saying oh these scientists don't want to buck the buck the mainstream but bucking the mainstream in terms of questioning all their data would be really dangerous but showing your own data that doesn't question anybody else's it's just your own data hey look i found out that the sunspots are causing all this you would be the most famous scientist in the country it would be a ticket to wealth and i think anybody would know that there are there are types of things you can't disagree with let's say evolution if you came out with a scientific theory that said evolution was bunk you'd be dead uh you know your career would be if you came out and said we've measured yeah take the tony heller example if you came out and said we've measured it wrong you're dead you can't you'll never get away with that if you said uh all our ice core samples are wrong you're dead if you say that the uh the sea level rise we we measured it wrong and the models are wrong so it's not really going to happen you're dead but if you said that i did a study all by myself and i found that sunspots were causing all the problems you'd be rich you'd be famous but your study would have to hold up right it'd have to be reproducible it's of course but yeah no you if you dealt with somebody else's data your career is over but if you come up with your own new thing that just can stand alone and explain everything else yeah somebody do that so i don't think there's any chance that scientists haven't looked at it thoroughly and they're the right people to look at it and they just haven't found no correlation so anything you see on the internet that says there is a correlation is i would bet uh well you can't really bet on it because nobody will ever agree agree on the conclusion ever anytime all right um so let me ask you this if sunspots are the cause then they should be able to predict isn't that right because can't we predict sunspots or am i wrong about that so you should be able to make a sunspot related prediction about what the climate will be doing in five years that would be more accurate than the ipcc and if you could do that then maybe you'd have something but uh i wouldn't worry that that's likely i would say the least likely of all the possibilities is that sunspots are doing it and we had no and science hadn't noticed it's the least likely possibility but maybe you know anything's possible um the mini ice age the monitor minimum yeah none of that's real all of that stuff's been studied and debunked thoroughly there's no money tied to sunspots but there is i just told you there is if if an individual scientist or a team of them could prove that the sunspots were the real cause of climate change they would be rich if you doubt that you don't understand anything about anything but the study would have to hold up i mean that's the catch right if they just say it's true and it isn't you don't have much there um yeah the worst phrase ever is the science it says because science doesn't say anything people say stuff and the news tells you stuff but science actually is silent um yeah i know somebody says there's no money in fixing it if it doesn't exist but that doesn't change the fact that the scientist would still have a huge financial incentive to find that sunspots were the real reason if they were so you should assume they're not all right that's all i have to do today and i will talk to you tomorrow youtubers see you then

well well well you have come to the

right place

this is the place for coffee with scott

adams the best time of the whole day

once again it's going to be a good one a

barn burner

they say and all you need is a copper

mug or glass a tanker challengers die in

a candy jugger flask

a vessel of any kind fill it with your

favorite liquid i like coffee

and join me now for the unparalleled

pleasure of the dopamine

of the day the thing that makes

everything better

it's called the simultaneous sip it's

gonna happen now

go

oh yeah yeah that was tremendous

as good as you imagined it would be

probably

probably oh a good drawing of a robot

there in the comments

thank you well well well let me start

with uh

the funniest tweet of the day from glenn

greenwald you all know about obama

having a big

birthday party his 60th birthday party

and he invited a lot of what the new

york times call

sophisticated vaccinated people

so unlike your sturgis where there's a

bunch of

unsophisticated people

obama's birthday had sophisticated

vaccinated people much safer

well glenn greenwald uh tweeted on this

perfectly and said

uh there was a photo attached he said

here's biden's climate crisis is our

john kerry

arriving on his private jet to attend

obama's masculist party

it's all there everything you need to

know about the world

in one tweet the climate

climate is ours on a private jet and

obama's got a maskless

mass gathering so

how about the rest of you how was your

maskless mass gathering was it as good

as mine

that's right we didn't have one so

everybody's mad about the hypocrisy and

i guess they should

uh there's a some cdc official but not

all of them

finally said this he said that we will

all be exposed

to the coronavirus by the end of the

year maybe next year

now what does exposed mean

exposed we'll all be exposed to the

virus mostly the delta variant i think

does exposed mean that if you have a

vaccination and you are exposed to it

do you carry any of the virus with you

still a little bit uncertain

because we know that vaccinated people

do not only carry the virus

but can have as much viral load as

someone who's not vaccinated at all

at least in some cases that we've

determined

but does that mean that

let's say you're vaccinated and you

don't have any symptoms but you got some

virus

are you going to put off as much

i would think not logically

because if you're not coughing you're

not spreading it as much

and if you're not gasping for air

because your lungs are not working

maybe you're not breathing as much but

you'd still be putting off plenty i mean

if you had the same

full viral load just breathing would be

a problem i would think so

i tend to agree with the cdc guy who

says we'll all be exposed because i

don't see anything in the

in the works that would change it do you

is there anything happening

that would change the fact we'll all be

exposed because

it doesn't look like we're even close to

something that would

look like shutting it down and you'd

have to shut it down sort of everywhere

all over the world

for it to make a difference in any

country assuming borders open up again

so i just don't think we can get there

and i feel that

we should be a little more honest about

that so the reason to get the

vaccination is not to stop the virus

but to stop it from progressing in your

own body

um there's a i guess israel has a new

drug

for targeting the chronovirus it looks

pretty promising

because the way it works and they've

tested it in a small test

so we don't have any randomized

controlled trials yet

but in a small test a whole bunch of

people who were very sick

left the hospital in five days or less

and

i guess 93 percent of 90 chronoviruses

that were serious

in several greek hospitals they had to

test

the israelis had to test their covax

their covenant drug in greece because

there wasn't enough covenant in israel

israel did such a good job that they

didn't have they couldn't do a test of

it there

so they tested it there and it was

hugely successful what it does

is it targets the cytokine cytokine

whatever you what whatever that is storm

that happens

the thing that makes you so sick is that

your own immune response goes nuts

so apparently this drug uh just calms

down your immune response

presumably just from this from the virus

i don't know

but uh gigantic potential

but how long does it take i don't think

this is going to get some kind of

emergency authorization so maybe it

doesn't matter it might take too long

i'd like to give you an update on my

personal quest

to make masks impractical

at least in certain places so

was it yesterday yesterday i went to a

restaurant

and did not wear a mask

now a mask was required and if they had

asked me to put it on i would have

but as soon as you sit down i think it's

probably the same everywhere

as soon as you sit down at the table and

they bring you a glass of water or even

before they do

you take your mask off so the only

reason for the mask

is to stand at the hostess stand for

five seconds

and then walk twelve feet to where

you're going to take your mask off in

the same space

the whole time kind of ridiculous

so i tried to see what would happen if i

just didn't wear a mask

and the host had to see me without a

mask

what would the host do and the answer is

the host

ignored my maskless state and seated me

also ignored the entire party in front

of me

that checked in just before me all

maskless

the restaurant just has already given up

they've given up

here's a sign you should put on your gym

you ready for this

here's the sign i want on your gym it

says

masks are mandated by the state

if you don't wear a mask we'll ask you

to put one on

and that's all we'll do that's the sign

master mandated if you're not wearing

one we will ask you to put one on

and that's all we'll do

message received right and then you just

go to the gym without your mask and

they'll say hey

put your mask on and then you say

thanks for thanks for reminding me and

you just go on with your business

wouldn't that work i know

we'll find out i think well the ipcc

has a new report on climate let me guess

huh do you think the ipcc will say

we're doing a great job on climate and

everything's getting

better do you think that's what they

came up with or

do you think they uh waited several

years for a new report and said

you know it looks exactly the same as

the last time we reported on it

you think that's going to happen in our

world

or just maybe

just maybe will the report look like

can i can i bring a special guest in

i believe some of you know him his name

is dale

dale can you give us the highlight

summary of the new ipcc report on the

climate

[Applause]

we're all going to die we're going gonna

die

die in a giant fireball we're all

dead see

yeah that's pretty much what the report

said we're we're all

we're all dead well michael sheldon

berger has a

a different opinion on that in terms of

the risk

who he agrees of course that humans are

a factor in climate change

and he agrees that things are getting

warmer and he agrees that there will be

you know weather disruptions

maybe as much as predicted but

here's what's different do you know how

many people have died from the heat

in let's say the last hundred years well

i don't know the number

but i know the number used to be really

big and that was really really small

because we have air conditioning as soon

as you invent air conditioning

it can get pretty warm outside people

live in the desert

it's really warm out there

but they use air conditioning seems to

be enough

likewise for almost everything that you

know would be a real world problem from

climate change

we're really good at mitigating things

we're good at predicting we're going to

moving

things we're good at communicating

transporting

you know planning managing we're good at

stuff now

not like the old days so indeed while

the planet might

indeed get way way worse and

certainly we should be addressing it

it's very unlikely it's going to make

any difference that you notice

but you need to scare people or they'll

all be dead

you only have two choices if you don't

scare people they won't do much about it

and presumably we just slide into some

bad situation where maybe we are all

doomed

but if you scare the pants off of enough

people

they'll do something about it and then

you'll probably be fine

so i'm very much in favor of scaring

other people

but i'm not sure how scared you need to

be

you and i don't need to be that scared

but the scientists

let's scare the scientists because

they'll work harder try to do something

about it

so here's my question

what happens to mass suicides and

depression

when your ipcc report comes out and

every news station

reports that we're doomed to die in a

fireball

now i'm exaggerating a little bit but it

sounds pretty bad right if you just read

the report

it sounds like our future is

non-existent

so what does that do to depressions and

suicides

well i'll tell you what i felt like i

felt like

taking my own life like actually

literally

when i read the report i was like okay

well there's no point

there's no point in even trying might as

well just go out and take your life

and it wasn't until i saw michael

schellenberger's tweet thread that i

retweeted so you can find it in my

twitter feed as well

then i started thinking oh okay they're

just doing this to me again

again scaring me again making it look

like

life is not worth living so thanks for

that

um apparently pfizer is maybe a few

weeks away from fda approval

for the vaccine uh and remember i asked

people if they'd be more likely to take

it

in a little twitter poll unscientific

one and a lot of people said yes

that if it was fda approved they would

take it

you know they have all the data already

right

did you know that they have all the data

for fda approval and they're telling you

that it's a few weeks away from approval

nobody is telling you nobody that it

might not get approved

right zero people have told you well

we're not sure if it'll get approved

because of the data

in fact the data very clearly says

apparently or i'm assuming it would be

reported if this were not the case

apparently the data says yeah it's good

it's good for approval

so it's probably just the paperwork and

the lawyering and stuff that's that's

going to take weeks

but if you knew that it was fda approved

effectively

even before it's officially approved

does that change your

willingness to get it fda approved

in you know in all the pre important

ways

because the data looks good all right

well a lot of you were not

uh holding off only for that reason but

i do think this will make a

pretty big dent in the number of people

get vaccinated i would imagine

um here's an this is more the uh

school of unintended consequences

all right the school of unintended

consequences

mask mandates

appear to be leading toward school

choice

because a number of uh you know state

school people are putting together plans

to say if

if masks are required then students

should be able to go

take their take their funding and go

to another place if they don't want to

be in a masked

situation now who saw that coming

not me if you had told me that masks

will accelerate in school choice

i would have said well i don't see how

exactly but

looks like it's going to happen looks

like that made a difference

well biden's approval is down a little

bit

so he was uh averaging you know in the

low

50 percent approval for his first six

months but now according to quinnipiac

he's down to 46 percent

and then sami is 43 percent blah blah

so he's down and approval and it appears

to be that the coronavirus

performance is the reason now

is biden responsible for the delta

variant

and where we are now not really i mean i

don't know that he could have done

something much

better if biden if

trump had been president what do you

think we would be looking at right now

better or worse probably about the same

probably about the same but here's the

weird thing

i do think trump lost because of the

virus

a lot of smart people say that and it

feels right because the virus caused a

lot of rule changes and

it was the rule changes that allowed the

kind of turnout we got

so really i'd say the virus determined

who the president is

is is really the first president ever

elected by a virus

well as far as i know so not only did

the virus elect

biden but now the virus is going to make

sure that biden

or probably his successor doesn't get

re-elected

or doesn't get elected so

do we have a system in which

people get informed and then vote and

choose

politicians or do we have a system in

which

a virus determines who's the president

because

that's what's happening the virus is

deciding

it's not even us and

i would like to point out that the war

against this virus

is going about as well as the war on

drugs

and the war in afghanistan

it's been a while since we won a war

has anybody noticed that the united

states and it's

warring not doing so good lately

yeah maybe maybe did a good job in syria

or something but

we're not really so good at winning wars

conclusively

are we yeah there's no money in winning

a war somebody says

it's a problem uh yeah calling

everything a war is probably

somebody says golf won

you know the first gulf war we won but

did we

if it just if it just led to problems

later

did we um

all right so let me go back to that

message

all right so mark dice did a video

which you just have to say i tweeted it

and it's on youtube in which he stopped

people and asked them to sign a petition

to put unvaccinated people in jail

to put unvaccinated people

in jail how many people signed the

petition

without a second thought

yeah just what you thought you don't

even have to watch the video do you

a lot of people sign that that petition

without a thought

they didn't do it without ask they did

it without asking questions

they did it without showing any second

thoughts

all they did was say well it's good for

me go to jail

it's good for me so why don't you go to

jail that's it

that's it

so um are you worried that we will

slide into prison camps for the

unvaccinated

are you worried i'm not worried about

that really

but it is true that you can get some

portion of the public

around 25 if you know what i mean to do

just about anything

without anything that looks like thought

i mean they actually look like

automatons

would you like to sign this petition to

kill everybody in your family

why not i don't see why not

it is really scary

oh the video is blinking i don't know if

it's blinking on anybody else's

screen yeah

female camps coming yeah

now you understand why people accepted

hitler you can accept

almost anything if it's gradual

and gradual doesn't have to be that

gradual right it just starts as

well you know this group of people

certainly is a problem

and then you can talk about that group

of people in a bad way and get away with

it and

next thing you know you're putting

little restrictions on that kind of

people the next thing you know it's a

holocaust

you can slide into anything you just get

used to it after a while

yeah it's the boiling frog situation

exactly and dehumanization well that's

about the scariest thing you'll ever see

but in terms of entertainment it's

really good

it's very entertaining so let's see what

we got here

that is just about all the news there is

and i didn't want to be all gloomy today

because

it's been pointed out to me that i've

been i've been less than my optimistic

self

by the way has anybody noticed that does

anybody think i've been less than my

optimistic self lately

uh yeah and

oh interesting there does seem to be a

mixture of opinions

about whether i've been less optimistic

lately you know i think that the

um the the trump

administration was an optimism-based

administration and it was easy to be you

know get swept up in that i think i was

now i still say the golden age is coming

uh and i do think things are better than

ever and will continue to be better than

ever

and we look at the fact that airlines

will become electric

i mean that's happening so a lot of the

things

you're worried about for climate change

um i i'm not sure so sure that that

makes a difference

i think that we will invent our way out

of climate change

and we will mitigate our way around it

and we'll be fine

but i'm glad that all the scientists and

engineers are worried

that way a little

that way that way they'll do the work

all right the most depressing thing is

the illegal immigration is it

is it because if you don't really have a

plan to

not get the virus and our hospitals are

not overrun

yet i mean there's some places that they

got real problems apparently in the

south

but i don't know you know if you see

lots of

whatever you see pictures of and talk

about will seem like your biggest

problem

what are the odds yeah so here's an

experiment for you

think about uh your own life right now

just think about yourself personally

okay think about yourself just your life

the things that will affect you

personally what are the odds that you

personally as a resident of the united

states

if you are one of the odds that you will

be affected in a negative way by

immigration

it can happen right but right now you

could probably get a job just about

anywhere

because there's more job openings than

jobs

so it doesn't affect your employment at

the moment it does affect

that you can get services and goods from

people

willing to provide them that are maybe

here illegally

um but one of the odds that you will

have a worse life

like personally it's not really that

high

no i see crime right but what are the

odds of you personally

will be a victim of a crime from an

illegal immigrant just personally

now i'm not saying that you should i'm

in favor of a tight border

just to be clear i'm in favor of tight

borders

for all the obvious reasons but the odds

that you personally

will be victimized by an immigrant

in some direct way i'm seeing people say

a hundred percent

i guess depending on where you live that

could be true if you lived on the border

you there's 100 chance you would be

affected in some way probably negatively

but if you're not living right on the

border

it probably won't affect you at all

probably won't

maybe a little inflation i don't know

maybe your health care goes up or down

i don't know uh but the truth is you

probably did not even notice

so very much like climate change climate

change might be the biggest problem in

the world

it might be but it probably won't affect

you

you probably you probably won't know the

difference you could probably go through

your life just

doing what you do and live your whole

life and

scientists and engineers and the

government will take care of the climate

change and you'll just buy products that

are more

you know more energy efficient and

that's all you'll do

who speaks for the earth well

yeah the earth has some issues so

my biggest problem is taxes uh debt is a

problem but we don't know how much

so i think that we'll uh we'll figure

our way through this

have you noticed that under the biden

administration

are you worse off probably you could

do some statistical stuff to find out

that you are

gas is more expensive yeah gas is more

expensive

but how about your specific life do you

think it's worse off than if you've been

under trump

well i don't know i mean you can make a

good argument for it

and the partisans will say yeah trump

would be better

might be right but it's probably not

that much

right because every day i wake up

i do this you know i eat i sleep i

exercise

it feels a lot the same

i i don't know i can't think of anything

that's different

besides the fact that i'm bored i mean

i'm bored by biden he just bores the

crap out of me

but besides that i don't know my life

looks pretty much the same the pandemic

probably would have been the same under

under trump

oh ammunition prices yeah i guess that's

going up

but um scott you do not reflect the

population

you are correct you are correct

but it is true the people who want jobs

can get them

and that your odds of dying from some

new crisis

whether it's a corroded virus or climate

change is very small

for any one person very very small

and yeah inflation's definitely a

problem

definitely a problem all right um

yeah inflation is probably the biggest

problem that has a direct effect on

people

i'll give you that inflation is the

biggest problem

and i do think that trump would have

been maybe better on that

but we still had to spend our way out of

the pandemic

so i think there was going to be

inflation no matter what

um

all right can't get a job if i won't

take the

vaccine yeah well that's

your free market working for you there

um oh you're now deemed a racist so yes

yeah i guess that's worse if you've been

deemed a racist but you would have been

anyway

uh why is oil not going up

maybe it already did

all right um so

i'm seeing a lot of comments here about

sunspots

if let me tell you oh god i just said

the locals platform just crashed

somebody said it's doing it every 28

minutes

oh yeah it's right it did it exactly in

28 minutes

that is correct interesting so it's a 28

minute timer it looks like

on the locals platform but it comes

right back on

all right so it does look like there's a

28 minute uh

timer on the locals platform and it

times out

anyway sunspots if you think those

sunspots

are are the thing controlling climate

change you're probably not operating at

a high level

of understanding or or knowledge that's

that's the sort of problem you have if

you do your own research you know i

always make fun of people doing their

own research

because we're not qualified i

you know i've got two college degrees

and spent a lot of time doing a lot of

data analytics and stuff i'm not

qualified

you know you're not either to do your

own research but i'll tell you one thing

that is the

least likely thing to be true the least

likely thing to be true is as sun spots

are the

the hidden cause of climate change that

is the

least likely thing of anything about

climate change it's the least likely to

be true i suppose anything could be true

you know you could be wrong or i could

be wrong about anything

and the reason is because it's so

obvious as a thing to check

it has been checked extensively and the

people who are

you know the consensus of experts say

there's absolutely nothing there

but you can find all over the internet

less credible people saying oh it's the

sunspots and here's my data and here's

my chart

and they're all just so yes you

have seen

lots of data and charts telling you some

spots are the real cause

i will bet let's see

i don't know there's a real way to bet

on this because maybe we'll never know

the real answer in a way that people

will agree

but i was uh just think of the setup

all of the scientists have heard this

theory about sunspots

all of them they've all heard it now

you're saying to yourself

scott if somebody proves climate change

is not real

they would lose their job and all that

now if somebody proved that sunspots

were the cause of climate change and

actually proved it

they would be the most lauded and famous

scientist

of all time they would be like the

wright brothers they would bully like

einstein

their name would be famous forever they

would write best-selling books they

would be invited to talk

you couldn't get richer than proving

sunspots were the cause of climate

change

and it hasn't happened there is enormous

financial incentive to show that some

spots or anything else

causes climate change now i know what

you're saying oh these scientists don't

want to buck

the buck the mainstream

but bucking the mainstream in terms of

questioning all their data

would be really dangerous but showing

your own data

that doesn't question anybody else's

it's just your own data

hey look i found out that the sunspots

are causing all this

you would be the most famous scientist

in the country

it would be a ticket to wealth and i

think anybody would know that

there are there are types of things you

can't disagree with let's say evolution

if you came out with a scientific theory

that said evolution was bunk

you'd be dead uh you know your career

would be if you came out and said we've

measured yeah take the tony heller

example

if you came out and said we've measured

it wrong you're dead

you can't you'll never get away with

that if you said

uh all our ice core samples are wrong

you're dead

if you say that the uh the

sea level rise we we measured it wrong

and the models are wrong so it's not

really going to happen

you're dead but if you said that i did a

study all by myself

and i found that sunspots were causing

all the problems you'd be rich

you'd be famous but your study would

have to hold up

right it'd have to be reproducible it's

of course but yeah

no you if you dealt with somebody else's

data

your career is over but if you come up

with your own new thing

that just can stand alone and explain

everything else

yeah somebody do that so i don't think

there's any chance that scientists

haven't looked

at it thoroughly and they're the right

people to look at it and they just

haven't found no correlation so anything

you see on the internet that says there

is a correlation

is i would bet

uh well you can't really bet on it

because nobody will ever agree

agree on the conclusion ever anytime

all right um

so let me ask you this if

sunspots are the cause then they should

be able to predict

isn't that right because can't we

predict sunspots

or am i wrong about that so you should

be able to make a sunspot related

prediction about what the climate will

be doing in five years

that would be more accurate than

the ipcc and if you could do that then

maybe you'd have something

but uh i wouldn't worry that

that's likely i would say the least

likely

of all the possibilities is that

sunspots are doing it and we had no and

science hadn't noticed

it's the least likely possibility but

maybe you know anything's possible

um the mini ice age the monitor minimum

yeah none of that's real

all of that stuff's been studied and

debunked thoroughly

there's no money tied to sunspots but

there is

i just told you there is if if an

individual scientist or a team of them

could prove that the sunspots were the

real cause of climate change

they would be rich if you doubt that you

don't understand

anything about anything but the study

would have to hold up

i mean that's the catch right if they

just say it's true and it isn't

you don't have much there um

yeah the worst phrase ever is the

science it says because science doesn't

say anything

people say stuff and the news tells you

stuff

but science actually is silent um

yeah i know somebody says there's no

money in fixing it if it doesn't exist

but that doesn't change the fact that

the scientist would still have a huge

financial incentive to find

that sunspots were the real reason if

they were so you should assume they're

not

all right that's all i have to do today

and i will talk to you

tomorrow youtubers see you then