Episode 1498 Scott Adams - Put Earmuffs on the Children When I Talk About Our Broken Election System
Find my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com Content: ----------- - COVID is now "endemic"...we're ALL going to get it - Humor writing lesson, the 3rd part - A winning campaign formula for President Trump - Make elections fully auditable - 21 day extreme quarantine in China - Democrats plan will massively tax elites? ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Coffee with Scott Adams. I know, I know, it's the highlight of your day. You're already sad thinking about the fact that it might end later. Yeah, I know. But don't think that yet. Just enjoy it. Just be in the moment. Now this one comes with a warning, because the California election is happening…
View segment →Chelsea-style canteen, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine, the other thing that makes everything better except for elections. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now. Go. Ah. Wow. All right…
View segment →ternal politicians campaigning for a candidate. Do you think it helps? Do you think people think that makes a difference when the celebrities and the external candidates are helping out? Well, most people say no, but shockingly 30 percent say it's important or somewhat important. The celebrities and…
View segment →a garbage study. And Andres Backhaus is also warning us it's going to fall apart. So if you're worried about young boys having a little heart risk with the vaccination, the first thing you should do is compare it to the risk of getting COVID itself. Because I think it was Scott Gottlieb, ex-head of…
View segment →r door with three IDs and made us scream its name while asking us for its home address. I'll just let that sit there for a moment. Now here's a humor writing lesson. You ready? Humor writing lesson. What makes this sentence funny? We wouldn't recognize good science and good data if it showed up at…
View segment →e valuable just the way they are, you don't need to do anything? Or would it be the group that's told they're worthless unless they do something, succeed? So which ones do better? Well as I've said before, women are biologically more valuable just by existing because they can have babies and men ca…
View segment →ery here. But here's my question. Is any country intentionally infecting any other country? Do you think that's a thing? Because it would be horrible of course. But are you telling me that there's no natural enemy countries that haven't thought, you know it would be kind of evil but if our rival we…
View segment →t Democrats disparaged the COVID vaccine while he was president and now they wonder why some are hesitant, says Trump. Do you buy that? That the reason people are hesitant may be in part because the Democrats disparaged it? What do you think? I don't know, maybe a little. But I can't believe that th…
View segment →lve. And whatever women as a group want to come up with, make it legal, make it illegal. If women are okay with it I'm going to back it. And I would ask that same standard in reverse. Should there be a topic in which it's really a man's question because it doesn't apply to women for one reason or an…
View segment →ave children. You know they're seen as people who can have children or did. Yeah I don't care about whether trans are part of it. That's not going to move the needle enough. All right, that's all for now. YouTube, I'll talk to you later.
View segment →Coffee with Scott Adams. I know, I know, it's the highlight of your day. You're already sad thinking about the fact that it might end later. Yeah, I know. But don't think that yet. Just enjoy it. Just be in the moment.
Now this one comes with a warning, because the California election is happening right now, the recall election, and I got a little bit triggered. So there will be cursing later. Just warning you. So put the earmuffs on the children. I think the rest of you adults will be able to handle this, but if you'd like to get fortified so that the cursing doesn't bother you, what would be a good way to do that? Yeah, coffee. That's right.
And all you need is a cup, a mug, or a glass, a tankard, a Chelsea-style canteen, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine, the other thing that makes everything better except for elections. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.
Go. Ah. Wow. All right, it's all going down.
Well, Rasmussen asked people what they think about celebrities or external politicians campaigning for a candidate. Do you think it helps? Do you think people think that makes a difference when the celebrities and the external candidates are helping out? Well, most people say no, but shockingly 30 percent say it's important or somewhat important. The celebrities and outside politicians help campaign.
Now I don't think I've ever been influenced by a celebrity endorsement. I don't know if I've been influenced by a politician endorsement, although those seem more weighty. But I feel like it works. I feel like it works because if Newsom is campaigning with a celebrity or with Kamala Harris or Biden, he just gets more attention. And the attention is the thing that gets you elected, right? The more attention you get, the better. So I think that these celebrity endorsements do work just because they draw people in and they draw attention. I don't think it has anything to do with the endorsement per se.
Well, do you remember, most of you who watch this recently, I think it was yesterday, I was talking about what? Yes, the preprint paper about young boys getting some myocarditis from the vaccination itself. And I said to you, do not be too confident that this is correct, because even peer-reviewed studies, you know, half of them turn out not to be right. And this is before it's even peer-reviewed. So a preprint should be your lowest level of credibility within the scientific realm. And I warned you that maybe these initial findings might not hold up.
Well, that took about 24 hours. And Alistair McAlpine, MD, so he's a doctor, he says of this major study that showed that young boys were having heart problems from the vaccination, he points out that it's non-peer-reviewed, it's an unpublished preprint, it's based on data dumpster diving through a non-verified database that once listed becoming the Incredible Hulk as a side effect, and it uses outdated statistics to paint a false picture.
So that's one opinion. All right, so one knowledgeable opinion is it's a garbage study. And Andres Backhaus is also warning us it's going to fall apart. So if you're worried about young boys having a little heart risk with the vaccination, the first thing you should do is compare it to the risk of getting COVID itself. Because I think it was Scott Gottlieb, ex-head of the FDA, who is now calling this an endemic, meaning you're gonna get it. You get that, right?
So we used to think, well, maybe we could keep some people from getting COVID. Nope, not anymore. Apparently you're all going to get it. It's just a matter of when. Maybe you won't this year, could be five years from now, but it's gonna be around. You're all going to get it. And if that's the case, then you have to compare the vaccination to getting COVID. Not a percentage chance of getting COVID. You're not at a 10 percent chance of getting COVID, but you're going to get COVID.
So now if you know you're going to get it, even though there would be a timing difference, you can basically now compare the risk of heart problems from COVID versus the risk of heart problems from the vaccination. It turns out that COVID is worse. So at the moment I would say there is zero credible evidence that young boys have extra risk. Zero credible evidence. It could still be true, right? Because when I talk about credibility, that doesn't mean true or false. That just means do you have evidence that's the kind of evidence that should convince you or not? We don't have the kind of evidence that should make you make a different decision based on that factor. Maybe later we will, but we don't now.
All right, there are two things we know for sure. And I tweeted this, and I'm going to read it because I tweeted it so well that I can't improve upon it. So I'm just going to read it. I said there are two things we know for sure. Number one, we must use good science and good data to make decisions. Absolutely. Number two, we know for sure we wouldn't recognize good science and good data if it showed up at our door with three IDs and made us scream its name while asking us for its home address.
I'll just let that sit there for a moment.
Now here's a humor writing lesson. You ready? Humor writing lesson. What makes this sentence funny? We wouldn't recognize good science and good data if it showed up at our door with three IDs and made us scream its name while asking us for its home address. What makes that work? Well, it's visual, right? It's also cruel. It's bizarre. You know, these are the dimensions of humor. If you get any two of the six dimensions of humor in there, it's gonna be funny. So you've got cruelty, bizarre, it's clever. It's got basically three or four.
But here's the technique I want to share with you. It's that third and last clause, "at its home address," right? So if you're going to exaggerate something, this is a simple humor technique. You just say, okay, something's bad. Let me describe how bad it is in a funny way. Now if I said we wouldn't know good science and good data if it showed us three IDs, is that funny? We wouldn't know it if it showed us three sources of identification. No, not really. It just sort of sits there, makes a point, you know, in an analogy kind of way, but it just sits there, right?
If I say we wouldn't know good science and good data if it showed us three IDs and made us scream its name while asking us, well now you're talking. Now it's getting a little funny because we've got the naughty part in there and it's bizarre and it's got everything. But here's the part I want to teach you. It's the third thing that sells it, right? The second part, you know, the first part is just a setup. We wouldn't know good science if it showed us three IDs. Not funny yet. It's just a setup. But then the payoff is making us scream its name while asking us. But then the real dessert, you know, the thing that ties this together, makes it work, is the third thing. Because it's hard to come up with three things that fit, three things that cause you to be able to positively identify it. And the third thing was it's at its home address, which took a little work to come up with that third thing.
So that's the technique. If you're going to exaggerate, have three levels of exaggeration. First one, okay, it's just setting me up. Second one, you need to get the laugh. Second one needs to make them laugh. All right, all right, I see where you're going. You're done now, right? As soon as they think you're done, that's where you add the third one. The third one is what puts it over the line and makes it, you know, one for the ages. Two could be funny if you could get that third one in there. People will remember that, right? So that's your lesson for the day on humor.
Well, apparently CNN is already worried about Trump. He is the top story today. Can you believe it? Trump is the top story on CNN. Do you know what made Trump the top story on CNN? He talked. He just opened his mouth. He just talked. And he's the biggest story in the world. And what he talked about was that he's reminding people that he believes the election was rigged and that that might be a major theme of his reelection.
Now do you think Trump could get reelected making the election itself a major theme? Would that be strong enough if he just said, hey, I got robbed, I got robbed, let's do this right, reelect me, it was rigged? I say no. I say no. Yeah, and I'm seeing more no's in the comments. No way, right? Because it's whiny. It's small, right? It's small. It's whiny. And you just think maybe if he tried already he could have won, right? So even if you think it's true, it doesn't work, does it? Because you feel like he should win anyway, right?
If you're complaining about the referee, well maybe you should have shot better baskets. If you think you lost the game because of the ref, well maybe you should have played better. I mean that's sort of automatically what we think. Complaining about the rules, it's too small. That's about him, right? That's not even about you. You don't want your president running for him or her. You want the president running for you.
Well when Trump ran the first time he said make America great again. That was about you. When he said build a wall, that was for you. And people recognized it. But if he runs because he's got a personal gripe about the election, that's not going to work. That's not going to work. This is not strong enough. I mean he could win it anyway. I mean maybe he could make that work because people just are sick of whatever's happening. But it's not a good approach even if he got elected anyway.
But here's what would be. You ready? Let's take Trump's complaint that really is all about himself and now let's turn that into a winning campaign formula. You ready? I'm going to give Trump the winning formula. This is the campaign issue that would work. We can't know if I won or not. I happen to think I did. But we have to make elections auditable. Make elections fully auditable. You should know if you voted the moment the elections close. At the moment the votes close you should get a text to say yeah we got your vote, here it is. Or some kind of a system. I'm not saying that that would be the system.
But if President Trump runs for reelection and makes his main campaign theme I'm going to fix elections, now could he do that? Because the federal government has limited capabilities when it comes to the states. Yeah, he could. He could make money available. He could threaten the states with losing money. He could do a lot. I mean I don't know if he could fix it in one term but he can do a lot, I think. Now I need a fact check from smarter people to tell me if that's practical, but I think it is. And if he does that, then it's about us, right?
I don't mind his complaint that he thinks he won, despite no proof of that at the moment. I don't mind that complaint because that's an opinion. He gets to have an opinion. But if he tells me he's going to fix the system or work hard at it or at least work as hard as he did on the wall even if it didn't work out, we need somebody who cares to make our system auditable again.
If Trump runs with a main theme of fixing our election system, I'm all in. So let me say that again. Like most of you, I haven't made any decision about who I would support in 2024. I don't even know who's running. But if Trump makes this a major theme, to fix the elections, to make them auditable, I'm all in. Because you know what? I don't care about anything else.
So OAN is reporting that some Republicans are being told when they go to vote in the election recall, which is happening right now, they're being told that they already voted. Now it's on OAN, so you can reasonably ask yourself, is that accurate? How many people? Is this one person or more? We don't know. All right, so because it's in the media you have to say to yourself is it true? I don't know. Doesn't mean it's true just because it's reported.
But and also Project Veritas, I saw they're asking Californians if they see anything that looks sketchy to let them know. I can report that I have heard reports of something very sketchy. I'm not going to mention it yet, but personally I've heard anecdotally a report that sounded sketchy as hell to me. Don't know if it's true, so I'm not going to repeat it.
Now these, the fact that we have these reports, anecdotal and not 100 percent reliable, does that mean that the election is bad? Does that mean that this election is corrupt or rigged because we hear these stories? No, it doesn't mean that. I mean we don't have anything that's like some kind of proof of that. But here's what we also don't have. We don't have an election that we could audit fully. So when it's done we won't know if we voted or not. And we no longer live in a world in which trusting our officials makes sense at all.
Now as I was looking at this I thought to myself, you know this is a bad situation that you've got elections that people don't trust in a way that our system requires them to trust it in order to work. And I thought to myself that's bad and that makes me angry. But not as angry as this. We had two years to fix this, right? And we've also got time to fix it for 2022. But as far as I know nobody's working on it. And we have, maybe Texas made a step, but even they don't have an auditable system. Yeah, maybe they have a system that's just captured by Republicans instead of Democrats, right? So you know maybe different states are captured by different parties.
But 2022 is coming and 2024 is coming and nobody's working on fixing the problem. I'm going to lose my mind. It's one thing to have a problem and you know you can complain about it, but the people in charge have not even made this a priority. It's not even mentioned. And so I'd like to say to all of our elected officials and even those running for election who are not talking about this as their top priority, every one of you, you're a goddamn useless piece of shit. You need to give us an election system that we can trust.
I don't even give a shit who gets elected. Give us a system that is compatible with democracy and the republic. Give us an effort. I don't even care if it's hard and you can't figure out how to do it. Tell us it's your top priority. Because you know what my top priority is? This. Everything else matters less. If we don't know who was in the country or how they got elected, it doesn't matter what your policies are, right? Because you lost your country. We need to get the country back. And the only way that's going to happen is to fix the election process so it's fully auditable. And instantly somebody needs to be working on that.
If nobody's working on it, we don't have a government. We don't even have a government if nobody's working on that. We don't have a government that's on our side. We have a government that's, I don't know, working for itself or not working or I don't know what they're doing, but they're not working for us. This needs to be our number one, number one topic. Needs to be bigger than climate change. Because how are you going to change climate if you can't even run your government, right? It needs to be bigger than the defense budget. It needs to be bigger than everything. Bigger than Afghanistan, bigger than the wall, bigger than all that.
There is no bigger problem in the country than the election system not being credible to the public. And if you give me a politician who will say that out loud with some kind of an effort towards fixing it that looks credible, I will be fully behind that politician. And I don't give a shit what their other policies are. If they can get that one thing done for me, I would even sign up to vote for the first time.
All right, so how about, hey, tell us about your fiscal policy, Joe Biden. No. Your fiscal policy, your infrastructure, your immigration plan, your vaccinations, everything about you, your goddamn dysfunctional brain that's basically a bowl of oatmeal at this moment, everything about you, fix the election or at least work on it, at least tell us it's a priority.
President Trump, I got some tough love for you too. If you run for election and all you're doing is complaining about the election was rigged, that you don't have as your top priority some way to fix it, don't run. Don't run. You're no good to us. You have no value, Mr. Trump, who I liked by the way. I like him personally. But tough love, right? Tough love. If this isn't right at the top of your priorities and all you're doing is complaining about the last time, I don't care. I don't care if you run. I'm not going to support that. All right, it's just going to make things worse, wouldn't it? I mean it's just going to make a revolution or something. So no Trump, no Biden. We want an election system. I don't care who it is that runs on that platform.
Andrew Yang looks like he might be joining a third party or something. If you come up with a plan to fix our election system, I don't even care what the other stuff is. Don't even care. Just fix the election system and I will give you my full support if you can have a credible idea and you know some actual chance of doing that.
So here's where I am on all that. Nothing else matters. And you're doing this right in front of us, politicians. So yeah, I guess that's maybe the part that made me snap. It would be one thing if things happen and you go, oh God, I didn't know that was happening. Man, that happened without me noticing. Afghanistan, for example, snuck up on me, right? If you had asked me, hey Scott, you know a month ago, do you think that's going to be a disaster, the withdrawal, I would have said I don't know. And maybe, maybe not. Who knows? It was just sort of opaque.
But the election problem is not opaque. I know exactly what the problem is. The problem is it can't be audited. It's very objective. And you're not working on it. And it's our top problem, number one problem, and you're not working on it. Nothing.
All right, well I'm disgusted.
Here's a thought experiment. I'm changing topics a little bit here. Suppose there were two groups of humans and the only thing you knew about them that was different is that one group was told they're valuable just by existing. Hey you group, you are valuable. You just have to exist. Just be healthy, be whatever you are. Just exist. You are valuable. Now there's a second group. You're told that their value is only from what they do. They have to perform. They have to be useful. They have to make something work. They've got to build something. They gotta make some money. They gotta go do something.
Then you check back in 20 years. Which of the two groups excelled at making money and success? Was it the group that is told that they are valuable just the way they are, you don't need to do anything? Or would it be the group that's told they're worthless unless they do something, succeed? So which ones do better?
Well as I've said before, women are biologically more valuable just by existing because they can have babies and men can't. And you only need one man to impregnate lots of women. So we're not very valuable, men, from a biological standpoint, unless we do stuff.
And Mark Schneider, who had this very interesting tweet, I'm just going to read it to you. He said the fact is that as men we are expendable until we can prove we are not. My father, stepfather and grandfathers instilled this in me. And I thought to myself that sounds about right. I remember being told quite explicitly that I had to like do something, you know, I had to succeed by doing something. I'm not exactly sure my sister got the same message. I'd love to ask her that. I don't know that she did because I was told explicitly that you know success was my goal. I had to succeed. I don't know if my sister was told that. I mean not in direct language. I mean she did succeed, you know. She put together a very successful life. But I don't know. Could be different.
I'm a middle child by the way. And so I wonder if that's a part of the difference in outcomes. You know obviously there could be biological differences, a million other social differences, but I would think that this would be at least one of them. That if you don't think that your human value is much affected by accomplishment, why would you try? I mean there's got to be a factor, right?
All right. China, they've got this 21-day extreme quarantine situation they use. So if you've been exposed or if you came from another country back into China, you'd have 14 days of compulsory hotel quarantine. You'd have another seven days in some kind of centralized quarantine at designated locations. And then before returning home you'd be health monitored. And then I think you have to, and you've got all kinds of testing even before that stuff happens. And still an infection got into the country.
So they think they know who it was. I don't think so. It doesn't sound like they know who it was to me. But they think they know it was. And they say that this fellow had come in from, I don't know, Malaysia or Indonesia or someplace. And he tested negative for the virus nine times during 21 days of quarantine before testing positive on Friday, 37 days after entering China. He tested positive. What's going on? It doesn't sound like they know exactly what's going on. It sounds like there's still mystery here.
But here's my question. Is any country intentionally infecting any other country? Do you think that's a thing? Because it would be horrible of course. But are you telling me that there's no natural enemy countries that haven't thought, you know it would be kind of evil but if our rival were more infected than we were that might be good for us? Does anybody think that way? I wonder. Because I think that way. I mean I'm not saying I would implement that plan but I would think of it. I would certainly think of it.
Do you think that nobody is intentionally infecting China? Really? Because that would be amazing restraint, you know. Maybe it's just hard to do. But it seems like it would be an amazing expression of restraint to not intentionally infect China if you thought China was the source of it and you thought China was evil and everything else.
So China has this plan of trying to basically stamp it out completely. And they've done an impressive job trying to do that. But since we know it's going to be an endemic and not a pandemic, isn't their strategy a failed strategy? Because aren't they all going to get it just the way we're all going to get it? Just a matter of time.
No, it could be that the reason China is taking an extreme position is, wait for it, that their health care system wouldn't be able to handle any extra stress the way an American system can. Because we managed to expand and do some impressive stuff when we had to. But what happens if China's health care system gets overloaded? I mean I assume that the cities have pretty good health care systems. But in rural China, what happens when you're sick? Do they all have good health care in rural China? I don't know.
So I would wonder if China has potentially a gigantic problem, which is that they can't handle any level of infection similar to other countries because it would crash the country, right? It might be just a way bigger risk in China than it is in other places. It could even threaten the government, I would think. The stability of the government would fall if their health care system collapsed. Am I right? If China's health care system collapsed right in front of the whole world, even the leadership would be in trouble, right?
So it seems to me that China is only a few super spreaders away from falling, potentially. I mean that's not the odds on, but a non-zero chance. There is a non-zero chance that high infections in China would crash the government. Because I think the Chinese people would start to see their government as the problem. You know if they believe it originated there. The propaganda is trying to tell the local citizens it didn't originate in China. But if the health care system crashes they're all going to know it. They're going to know their relatives couldn't get that heart transplant and everything else.
Somebody says it's wild conjecture. The U.S. has a worse health care system. Here's my speculation. So it is conjecture, you're right. But the speculation is this, that our rural health care is far better. I think if you looked city to city it might not be that different. Maybe even Chinese is better. But if you looked at rural, I feel like we'd have a big advantage. Now that's the part you'd have to fact check, right? So we'll see.
So China, there's also a thought that China might have to vaccinate the rest of the world to protect itself. So imagine that the United States continues on its current path. We should have enough vaccinations plus herd immunity, normal infections, that we're going to be something back to normal even though we might be masked and boosted and that for years we'll be able to have an economy in something like a life. But China hasn't gone through this. And I don't know if their low quality of vaccinations are going to be good enough if they have to go through this.
So what happens if we go through this and get to the other end, turned it into an endemic where it's a problem but you know doesn't stop anything from happening, and they just started and they just get taken out by the virus? I think that could happen. And the only thing that they can do to try to prevent that is to try to vaccinate everywhere else in the world so that they can travel and do stuff and not get it back in their country. China is going to have to vaccinate the rest of the world. The United States apparently isn't looking to do that and our vaccinations are the good ones. So their vaccinations might not even be good enough. So keep an eye on that.
So I would say that China has at least 10 gigantic problems that don't even look solvable. China's in big, big trouble.
Now what about the question of business in China? I can't imagine that we're going to be moving more American factories into China. Didn't that stop? Can somebody tell me what was the last time a major American company made a decision to move into China with a factory as it happened in the past year? Probably can't because of the pandemic. But Tesla's plans were older than that. But has anybody made a new plan in the last six months or last year to move into China? I haven't heard of any. Yeah, I think it stopped completely. Now it could be the pandemic is what stopped it because you can't travel so it's impossible to do that sort of thing. Yeah, I think it'll end up in Vietnam.
All right, and China's stocks are getting hit. So there's a thought that China's plan, their Marxist plan, I'd never heard this before. Tell me if you've ever heard this before. That Marxism, this doesn't make any sense. I read this but it's got to be wrong so ignore the next things that come out of my mouth. But the idea is that Marxism requires you to have money to do it and you have to have some capitalism first so that China's plan is to be capitalist, make a bunch of money, which will cause inequality, and then to introduce socialism which will suck some of that money away from the richest and give it to the poor. And then there's a third phase which is communism, which is apparently if you've made enough with your capitalism, you've made it more equal with your socialism, that somehow there's this good thing called communism at the end. I don't know how that could possibly work but maybe somebody smarter could explain the details.
However it does look like Xi is trying to rebalance things and is trying to take money from the elites and give it to the public through various social policies. And that is a gigantic change if it works. So China's got another gigantic challenge which is that capitalism would destroy it because the inequality would become too enormous at some point and they would fall just from the inequality, some say. And trying to fix it seems like an enormous problem too. So good luck to them.
So do you think Texas's economy will suffer because of the new anti-abortion laws? Well Salesforce, a gigantic company, is going to offer to relocate employees and their families from Texas if they want to move because of that. So does Texas win because the godless liberals move out and then you've got more Republicans running things? Well so does Texas come out ahead because these mostly tech companies I think decide to boycott it? Or does Texas come out behind because companies won't move there to do their business?
My estimate is that Texas will come out behind. Now it's just a guess but here's why. If Salesforce did not already have facilities in Texas, would they move there? No, clearly. Clearly Salesforce moved there because they could move there when they did and now you know they're there so it's too hard to move out. But they are moving their employees out if the employees want to go. I don't think many will take that. But I guarantee that the next big tech company can't move into Texas. I guarantee it. I guarantee that no billion dollar tech company will move into Texas while that abortion law is happening. Does anybody want to take that bet?
So it's got to be at least a billion dollar tech company and I'm saying that not one of them will move in that hasn't already made the plans. I know Tesla's made their plans etc. But people who have not made any plans from this point forward, no new tech company will move into Texas. Now the counter argument is yeah but Texas gets to attract all these Republicans and they manage things well and they'll be fine maybe. But I think if you make it too hard for tech companies to move in, eventually you're going to suffer I think. And especially because Texas is a tech state.
Trump is saying that Democrats disparaged the COVID vaccine while he was president and now they wonder why some are hesitant, says Trump. Do you buy that? That the reason people are hesitant may be in part because the Democrats disparaged it? What do you think? I don't know, maybe a little. But I can't believe that the Democrats would have influenced Republicans, right? Democrats influence Democrats. But Democrats are getting the shots now. The two populations, the black Americans and Republicans, are the ones that are having the most hesitancy. So it's in both parties. I'm not so sure that would have made a difference.
Business Insider, which is interestingly owned in part by Jeff Bezos, is printing a leaked tax plan from the Democrats. So this is not official. It's just a leaked draft. Could be real, different. And of course it's showing gigantic tax increases on the rich. What are the odds that that's going to get passed? Do you think there's any chance that the elites who run everything are going to massively tax themselves? Because if you think the elites run everything there's no chance that this is going to happen, right? No chance.
So I almost think that the size of the plans that the Democrats are pushing are designed to fail, right? Does it seem that the Democrats are asking for so much in their spending package, you know the trillions and trillions, it seems like they designed it to ask for so much they can't possibly get passed because the elites, it's the last thing they want. The last thing they want is a giant spend and tax plan because they'll get taxed. So I'm just going to put that out there. Is Nancy Pelosi smart enough to push a plan that can't get passed because she doesn't want it to get passed or her backers don't want it to get passed? I wonder. I doubt it. I doubt it. But you can't rule it out in today's world, can you? It's terrible that you can't rule it out. But I'm going to predict that getting a tax bill through that would rape the elites who actually run the country feels unlikely unless they don't really run the country. I guess we'll find out, won't we?
If you believe that the elites are running everything no matter what party they're in, it's just the elites, then the tax plan won't pass, right? Because follow the money. The money predicts, totally predicts that that tax plan won't be implemented. It totally predicts that. So how often is it wrong when money predicts? Not often. Money usually does predict. But we will find out if the elites are in charge. Because if the elites are in charge they won't let it get passed.
All right, at the press conference Rose McGowan said she's no longer a Democrat because they're the ones who harassed, stalked and stole from her in her time in Hollywood. Interesting. And I would also add to that that Republicans are better people. Republicans are, well I'll say conservatives. Conservatives are better people now. That's just an opinion of course. It's subjective. Now I don't identify as conservative. I identify as socially super liberal. Not crazy liberal, not woke to the point of crippled, but socially liberal for sure. So I'm not a conservative. But I can tell you that if I have to spend time with a certain group of people that conservatives are just on average, on average they're just nicer people. Now I'm not talking about anybody who's like full out racist or something. You know both parties have people who are just. But on average Republicans are nicer. They're just nicer. That's my experience. Now again it's purely subjective, right? Yours may differ.
All right. I believe, Scott do you think abortion at eight, five months is okay? Let me answer. So I've been asked a question about abortion. I'd like to answer that question by dropping my pants and showing you my penis. I won't do that. You're welcome. I won't do that. But the point is I have a penis. It does not produce babies. If my penis produced babies and the vagina did not, do you think I would care about a woman's opinion about whether I should be able to have an abortion? If only penises made babies, no I don't want a woman's opinion about my penis at all. None. I barely want a man's opinion but at least there would be some credibility if it came from a man.
Likewise do you think women want my penis opinion about their vagina? I don't think so. It doesn't make the decision better. Doesn't add any credibility to it. So it's not my question to solve. And whatever women as a group want to come up with, make it legal, make it illegal. If women are okay with it I'm going to back it. And I would ask that same standard in reverse. Should there be a topic in which it's really a man's question because it doesn't apply to women for one reason or another? I don't want to hear your opinion at all. I don't want to hear your opinion at all unless you're an expert. I mean if a man is an expert on some element of biology or abortion then yeah. But I'm not an expert.
Somebody says weak. It's weak? Is it? I would say that's pretty subjective. Fortified skins agree abortion is a human rights issue. That's an opinion because you start with the answer. So when you say abortion is a human rights issue I think what you're saying is that the fetus has a human right. I think that's where you're going with that comment. But you've started the argument with your assumption. If your assumption is it's human, well there's no debate to be made. So you haven't really debated. You just put an assumption in there and said you're done.
And this is another reason why I don't get into the actual debate because you can't win in the debate. The only thing you can do with abortion is make sure that the right person makes the decision.
How many of you are fans of Thomas Sowell if I pronounced his name right? I hope I did. Thomas Sowell, you know the famous black economist. And because it's 2021 and we're all, I have to throw in the black part like that mattered. It didn't. It didn't make any difference to the point I'm going to make that he's black. But it's 2021 so you have to throw that in there. Someday we'll just be able to say economist. We're not quite there yet like we hope we will be there but someday.
Anyway one of the things that Thomas Sowell says that I love is that it's not so much what the decision is, it's who gets to make it. Now he's using it in a different context but same thing with abortion. I'm less concerned with what the decision is because there's no right decision. It's awful either way. It's just awful in different ways to different people. So what I care about is the decision was made by the right people. And the only thing I know for sure is I'm not one of them. I'm not one of the right people. So the best thing I can do for the system is to take a shower when you're deciding what to do and then I'll back it.
Now I'd be a jerk if I say you make the decision but I'll criticize you for it. Nope. You make the decision, you being women or any men who want to because you have a right. You have a right to be part of the decision. I'm not arguing that all men have a right to be part of the process. But after you make a decision I'll back it whatever it is. Yeah, 80 year old women also have a say. Women who can't produce children have a say because they're all in the same pot meaning that their lives are most affected by this even if they can't have children. You know they're seen as people who can have children or did.
Yeah I don't care about whether trans are part of it. That's not going to move the needle enough.
All right, that's all for now. YouTube, I'll talk to you later.
coffee with Scott Adams I know I know it's the highlight of your day you're already sad thinking about the fact that it might end later yeah I know but don't don't think that yet just enjoy it just be in the moment now this one comes with a warning because the California election is happening right now the recall election and I got a little bit triggered so there will be cursing later uh just warning you so put the earmuffs on the children and I think the rest of you adults will be able to handle this but if you'd like to get fortified so that the cursing doesn't bother you what would be a good way to do that yeah coffee that's right and all you need is a cup of mug or a glass of tanker Chelsea style canteen chocolate flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine the other day the thing that makes everything better except our up elections is called the simultaneous Sip and it happens now go ah wow all right it's all going now well Rasmussen uh asked people what do they think about celebrity or external politicians campaigning for a candidate do you think it helps do you think people think that makes a difference when the celebrities and the external candidates are are helping out well most people say no but shockingly 30 percent say it's important or somewhat important the celebrities and outside politicians help campaign now I don't think I've ever been influenced by a celebrity endorsement I don't know if I've been influenced by a politician endorsement although those seem more weighty but um I feel like it works I feel like it works because if if Newsom is campaigning with a celebrity or with you know Kamala Harris or Biden he just gets more attention and the tension is the thing that gets you elected right the more attention you get the better so I think that these celebrity endorsements do work just because they draw people and they draw attention I don't think it has anything to do with the endorsement per se well you do you remember most of you who watch this recently I think it was yesterday I was talking about what yes the pre-print paper about young boys getting some myocarditis from the vaccination itself and I said to you do not be too confident that this is correct because even peer-reviewed studies or you know half of them turn out not to be right and this is before it's even peer-reviewed so a pre-print should be your lowest level of credibility within the scientific realm and I I warned you that maybe these initial findings might not hold up Well that took about 24 hours and uh Aleister Mc.
Alpine MD so he's a doctor he says of this major study that showed that young boys were having heart problems from the vaccination he points out that it's non-peer-reviewed it's an unpublished preprint it's based on data dumpster diving through a non-verified database that once listed becoming the Incredible Hulk as a side effect and it uses his outdated statistics to paint a false picture so that's one opinion all right so one one knowledgeable opinion is it's a garbage study uh and Andres backhaus is also warning us it's going to fall apart so if you're worried about uh young boys having little heart risk with the vaccination the first thing you should do is compare it to the risk of getting coveted itself because I think it was uh Scott Gottlieb ex head of the FDA who is now calling this an endemic meaning you're gonna get it you get that right so we used to think well maybe we could keep some people from getting covered nope not anymore apparently you're all going to get it uh it's just a matter of when maybe you won't be this year could be five years from now but it's gonna be around you're all going to get it and if that's the case then you have to compare the vaccination to getting covet not a percentage chance of getting covered you're not a not a 10 chance of getting covered but you're going to get covered so now if you know you're going to get it even though there would be a timing difference you can basically now compare the risk of heart problems from covid versus the risk of heart problems from the vaccination it turns out that covet is worse so at the moment I would say there is zero credible evidence that young boys have extra risk zero credible evidence it could still be true right because when I talk about credibility that doesn't mean true or false that just means do you have evidence that's the kind of evidence they should convince you or not we don't we don't have the kind of evidence that should make you make a different decision based on that factor maybe later we will but we don't know all right there are two things we know for sure and I tweeted this and I'm going to read it because I tweeted it so well that I can't improve upon it so I'm just going to read it I said there are two things we know for sure number one we must use good science and good data to make decisions absolutely number two we know for sure we wouldn't recognize good science and good data if it showed us three IDs and made a scream its name while ass us at his home address I'll just let that sit there for a moment now here's a humor writing lesson you ready humor writing lesson what makes this sentence funny we wouldn't recognize good science and good data if it showed us three IDs and made us scream its name while ass us at his home address what makes that work well it's visual right it's also it's cruel it's bizarre you know these are the dimensions of humor if you get any two of The Six Dimensions of humor in there it's gonna be funny so you got you know cruelty bizarre it's clever it's got basically three or four but here's the technique I want to share with you is that third and last clause at its home address right so if you're going to exaggerate something this is you know a simple humor technique you just say okay something's bad let me describe how bad it is in a funny way now if I said we wouldn't know good science and good data if it showed us three IDs is that funny we wouldn't know it if it showed us three sources of identification no not really just sort of sits there makes a point you know in an analogy kind of way but it just sits there right if I say we wouldn't know good science and good data if it showed us three IDs and made a scream his name while ass us well now you're talking now it's getting a little funny because we got the we got the naughty part in there and it's bizarre and you know it's it's got everything but here's the part I want to teach you it's the third thing that sells it right the second part part you know the first part is just a setup we wouldn't know if we wouldn't know good science if it showed us three IDs not funny yet it's just a setup but then the the payoff is making us scream its name while ass us but then the real dessert you know the thing that ties this together makes it work is the third thing because it's hard to come with with three things that fit three things that cause you to be able to positively identify it and the third thing was it's we're at its home address which took a little work to come up with that third thing so that's the technique if you're going to exaggerate have three levels of exaggeration first one okay it's just setting me up second one you need to get the laugh second one needs to make them laugh all right all right I see where you're going you're done now right as soon as they think you're done that's where you add the third one the third one is what puts it over the line and makes it you know one for the ages two could be funny if you could get that third one in there people will remember that right so that's your lesson for the day on humor well apparently CNN is already worried about Trump he is the top the top story today can you believe it Trump is the top story on CNN do you know what made Trump the top story on CNN he talked he just opened his mouth he just talked and he's the biggest story in the world and what he talked about was that he's reminding people that he believes the election was rigged and that that might be a major theme of is reelection now do you think Trump could get reelected making the election itself a major theme would that be strong enough to if he just said hey I got robbed I got robbed let's do this right re-elect me it was rigged I say no I say no yeah and I'm seeing more no's in the comments no way right because it's whiny it's small right it's small it's whiny and you just think maybe if he tried already could have won right so even if you think it's true it doesn't work does it because you feel like he should win anyway right if you're complaining about the referee well maybe you should have shot better baskets right if you think you lost the game because of the ref well maybe you should have played better I mean that's sort of automatically what we think complaining about the rules it's too small that's about him right that's not even about you you don't want your president running for him or her you want you want the president running for you well when Trump ran the first time he said make America great again that was about you when he said build a wall that was for you and people recognized it but if he runs because he's got a personal gripe about the election that's not going to work that's not going to work this is not strong enough I mean he could he could win it anyway I mean maybe he could make that work because people just are sick of whatever's happening but it's not a good approach even if even if he got elected anyway but here's what would be you ready let's take Trump's complaint that really is all about himself and now let's turn that into a winning campaign formula you ready I'm going to give Trump the winning formula this is the campaign issue that would work we can't know if I won or not I happen to think I did but we have to make elections auditable make elections fully auditable you should know if you voted the moment the elections close at the moment the votes close you should get a text to say yeah we got your vote here it is or or some kind of a system I'm not saying that that would be the system but if president Trump runs for re-election and makes his main Campaign theme I'm going to fix elections now could he do that because the federal government has limited capabilities when it comes to the states yeah you could be good he could make money available he could threaten the states with losing money he could do a lot I mean I don't know if he could fix it in one term but he can do a lot I think now I need a fact check from smarter people to tell me if that's practical but I think it is um and if he does that then it's about us right I don't mind his complaint that he thinks he won despite no proof of that at the moment I don't mind that complaint because that's an opinion he's you know he gets to have an opinion but if he tells me he's going to fix the system or work hard at it or at least work as hard as he did on the wall even if it didn't work out we need somebody who cares to make our system auditable again if Trump wins I'm sorry if Trump runs with a main theme of fixing our election system I'm all in so let me say that again um like most of you I haven't made any decision about who I would support in 2024.
I don't even know who's running but if Trump makes this a major theme to fix the elections to make them auditable I'm all in because you know what I don't care about anything else so uh oam is reporting uh that some Republicans are being told when they go to vote in the election recall which is happening right now they're being told that they already voted now it's on oan so you can reasonably ask yourself is that accurate how many people is this is this one person or more we don't know all right so because it's in the media you have to say to yourself is it true I don't know doesn't mean it's true just because it's reported but uh and also project Veritas I saw their their asking Californians if they see anything that looks sketchy to let them know I can report that I have heard reports of something very sketchy I'm not going to mention it yet but personally I've heard anecdotally a report that sounded sketchy as hell to me don't know if it's true so I'm not going to repeat it now these the fact that we have these reports anecdotal and not 100 reliable does that mean that the election is bad does that mean that this election is is corrupt or rigged because we hear these stories no it doesn't mean that I mean there's we don't have anything that's like some kind of proof of that but here's what we also don't have we don't have an election that we could audit fully so when it's done we won't know if we voted or not and we no longer live in a world in which trusting our officials makes sense at all now as I was looking at this I thought to myself you know this is a bad situation that you've got elections that people don't trust in a way that our system requires them to trust it in order to work and I thought to myself that's bad and that makes me angry but not as angry as this we had two years to fix this right and we've also got time to fix it for 2022 but as far as I know nobody's working on it and we have maybe Texas made a made a step but even they don't have an auditable system yeah maybe they have a system that's just captured by Republicans instead of Democrats right so you know maybe different states are captured by different parties but 2022 is coming in 2024 is coming and nobody's working on fixing the problem I'm going to lose my is one thing to have a problem and you know you can complain about it but the people in charge have not even made this a priority it's not even mentioned and so I'd like to say to all of our elected officials and even those running for election who are not talking about this as their top party every one of you your goddamn useless piece of you need to give us a election system that we can trust I don't even give a who gets elected give us a system that is compatible with democracy and the Republic give us a effort I don't even care if it's hard and you can't figure out how to do it tell us is your top priority because you know what my top priority is this everything else matters less if we don't know who was in the country or how they got elected it doesn't matter what your policies are right because you lost your country we need to get the country back and the only way that's going to happen is to fix the election process so it's fully auditable and instantly somebody needs to be working on that if nobody's working on it we don't have a government we don't even have a government if nobody's working on that we don't have a government that's on our side we don't we have a government that's I don't know working for itself or not working or I don't know what the they're doing but they're not working for us this needs to be our number one number one topic needs to be bigger than climate change because how are you going to change climate if you can't even run your government right it needs to be bigger than the defense budget it needs to be bigger than everything bigger than Afghanistan bigger than wall bigger than all that there is no bigger problem in the country than the election system not being credible to the public and if you give me a politician who will say that out loud with some kind of an effort towards fixing it that looks credible I will be fully behind that politician and I'll give a what part either in I don't give a what their other policies are if they can get that one thing done for me I would even sign up to vote for the first time all right so how about um hey tell us about your fiscal policy Joe Biden no you your fiscal policy your infrastructure your immigration plan your vaccinations everything about you your goddamn dysfunctional brain that's basically a bowl of oatmeal at this moment everything about you fix the election or at least work on it at least tell us it's a priority president Trump I got some tough love for you too if you run for election and all you're doing is complaining about the election was rigged that you don't have as your top priority some way to fix it don't run don't run you're no good to us you have no value Mr.
Trump who I liked by the way I like him personally but tough love right tough love if this isn't if this isn't right at the top of your priorities and all you're doing is complaining about the last time I don't care I don't care if you run I'm not going to support that all right it's just going to make things worse wouldn't it I mean it's just going to make a what a revolution or something um so no Trump no Biden we won an election system I don't care who it is it runs on that platform Andrew yang Andrew Yang looks like he might be joining a third party or something if you come up with a plan to fix our election system I don't even care what the other stuff is don't even care just fix the election system and I will give you my full support if you can have a credible idea and you know some actual chance of doing that so here's where I am on all that nothing else matters and you're doing this right in front of us politicians so yeah I guess that's maybe that's the part that made me snap it would be one thing if things happen and you go oh God I didn't know that was happening man that happened without me noticing Afghanistan for example snuck up on me right if you had asked me hey Scott you know a month ago do you think that's going to be a disaster the withdrawal I would have said I don't know and maybe maybe not who knows it was just sort of opaque but the election problem is not opaque I know exactly what the problem is the problem is it can't be audited it's very objective and you're not working on it and it's our top problem number one problem and you're not working on it nothing all right well I'm disgusted Here's a thought experiment I'm changing topics a little bit here um Suppose there were two groups of humans and the only thing you knew about them that was different is that one group was told they're valuable just by existing hey you group you are valuable you just have to exist just be healthy be whatever you are just exist you are valuable now there's a second group you're told that their value is only from what they do they have to perform they have to they have to be useful they have to make something work they've got to build something they gotta make some money they gotta go do something then he checked back in 20 years which of the two groups excelled at making money and success was it the group that is told that they are valuable just the way they are you don't need to do anything or would it be the group that's told they're worthless unless they do something succeed so which ones do better well as I've said before women are biologically more valuable just by existing because they could have babies and men can't and you'll need you know one man to impregnate lots of women so we're not very valuable men from a biological standpoint unless we do stuff and Mark Schneider who had this very interesting tweet I'm just going to read it to you he said the fact is that as men we are expendable until we can prove we are not my father stepfather and grandfathers instilled this in me and I thought to myself that sounds about right I remember being told quite explicitly that I had to like do something you know I had to succeed by doing something I'm not exactly sure my sister got the same message I'd love to ask you that I don't know that she because I was told explicitly that you know success was my goal I had to succeed I don't know if my sister was told that I mean not in direct language I mean she did succeed you know she she put together a very successful life but I don't know could be different I'm a middle child by the way um and so I wonder if that's a part of the difference in outcomes you know obviously there could be biological differences million other social differences but I would think that this would be at least one of them that if you don't think that your human value is much affected by accomplishment why would you try I mean there's got to be a factor right all right um China they've got this 21 day extreme quarantine situation they use so if you've been exposed or if you came from another country it back into China uh you'd have 14 days of compulsory Hotel quarantine you'd have another seven days and some kind of centralized quarantine that designated locations and then before returning home you'd be Health monitored and then I think you have to uh and you've got all kinds of testing even before that stuff happens and still an infection got into the country so they think they know who it was I don't think so it doesn't sound like they know who it was to me but they think they know it was and they say that this fellow had come in from um I don't know Malaysia or Indonesia or someplace and the attested negative for the virus nine times during 21 days of quarantine before testing positive on Friday 37 days after entering China you tested positive what's going on it doesn't sound like they know exactly what's going on it sounds like there's still mystery here but here's my question is any country intentionally infecting any other country do you think that's a thing because it would be horrible of course but are you telling me that there's no natural enemy countries they haven't thought you know it would be kind of evil but if our rival were more infected than we were that might be good for us does anybody think that way I wonder because I think that way I mean I'm not sure I'm not saying I would Implement that plan but I would think of it I would certainly think of it do you think that nobody is intentionally infecting China really because that would be amazing restraint you know maybe it's just hard to do but it seems like it would be an amazing uh expression of restraint to not intentionally infect China if you thought China was the source of it and you thought China was evil and everything else so China has this plan of trying to basically you know stop it stamp it out completely and they've done impressive job trying to do that but since we know it's going to be an endemic and not a pandemic isn't their strategy a failed strategy because aren't they all going to get it just the way we're all going to get it just a matter of time No it should it could be that the reason China is taking an extreme position is wait for it that their Health Care system wouldn't be able to handle any extra stress the way an American system can because we we managed to expand and you know do some impressive stuff when we had to but what happens if China's Health Care System gets overloaded I mean I assume that the cities have pretty good Health Care Systems but in rural China what happens when you're sick do they all have good health care in rural China I don't know so I would wonder if China has potentially a gigantic problem which is that they can't they can't handle any level of infection similar to other countries because it would crash the country right it might be just a way bigger risk in China than it is in other places it could even um it could even threaten the government I would think the stability of the government would fall if their Health Care System collapsed am I right if China's Health Care System collapsed right in front of the whole world even the leadership would be in trouble right so it seems to me that China is only a few super spreaders away from falling potentially I mean that's you know it's not the odds on but a non-zero chance there is a non-zero chance that high infections in China would crash the government because I think the Chinese people would start to see their government as the problem you know if they believe it or originated there the propaganda is trying to tell the local citizens it didn't originate in China but if the Health Care System crashes they're all going to know it they're going to know their relatives couldn't get that heart transplant and everything else somebody says it's wild conjecture the U.S has a worse Health Care system um here's my uh speculation so it is it is conjecture you're right but the speculation is this that our rural Health Care is far better I think if you looked City to City it might not be that different maybe even Chinese is better but if you looked at rural feel like we'd have a big Advantage now that's the part you'd have to fact check right so we'll see so um China there's also a thought that China might have to vaccinate the rest of the world to protect itself so imagine that the United States continues on its current path we should have enough vaccinations plus herd immunity normal infections that we're going to be something back to normal even though we might be masked and boosted and that for years we'll be able to have an economy in something like a life but China hasn't gone through this and I don't know if there are low quality of vaccinations are going to be good enough if they have to go through this so what happens if we go through this and get to the other end turned it into an endemic where it's a problem but you know doesn't stop anything from happening and they just started and they just get taken out by the virus I think that could happen and the only thing that they can do to try to prevent that is to try to vaccinate everywhere else in the world so that the that they can travel and do stuff and not get it back in their country China is going to have to vaccinate the rest of the world the United States apparently isn't looking to do that in our vaccinations are the good ones so their vaccinations might not even be good enough so keep an eye on that so I would say that China has at least 10 gigantic problems that don't even look solvable uh China's in big big trouble now what about the question of uh business in China I can't imagine that we're going to be moving more American factories into China didn't that stop can somebody tell me what was the last time a major American company made a decision to move into China with a factory as it happened in the past year probably can't because of the pandemic but but what Tesla's plans were older than that but has anybody made a new plan in the last six months or less year to move into China I haven't heard of any yeah I think it stopped completely now it could be the pandemic is what stopped it because you can't you can't travel so it's impossible to do that sort of thing um yeah I think it'll end up in Vietnam all right and China's stocks are getting hit so there's a thought that China's plan their Marxist planned I'd never heard this before tell me if you've ever heard this before that Marxism this doesn't make any sense I read this but I it's got to be wrong so ignore the next things that come out of my mouth but the the idea is that Marxism requires you to have money to do it and you have to have some capitalism first so that China's plan is to be capitalist make a bunch of money which will cause inequality and then to introduce socialism which will suck some of that money away from the richest and give it to the poor and then there's a third phase which is communism which is apparently if you've made enough with your capitalism you've made it more equal with your socialism that somehow there's this good thing called communism at the end I don't know how that could possibly work but maybe somebody smarter could explain the the details however it does look like she is trying to rebalance things and is trying to you know take money from the elites and give it to the public through various social policies and that is a gigantic change if it works so China's got another gigantic challenge which is that capitalism would destroy it because the inequality would become too enormous at some point and they would fall just from the inequality some say um and tried to fix it seems like an enormous problem too so good luck to them so do you think Texas's uh economy will suffer because of the new anti-abortion laws well Salesforce a gigantic company is going to offer to relocate employees and their families from Texas if they want to move because of that so does Texas win because the uh the Godless liberals move out and then you've got more Republicans running things well so does Texas come out ahead because these mostly tech companies I think decide to boycott it or does Texas come out behind because companies won't move there to do their business my my estimate is that Texas will come out behind now it's just a guess but here's why if Salesforce did not already have facilities in Texas would they move there no clearly clearly Salesforce moved there because they could move there when they did and now you know they're there so it's too hard to move out but they are moving their employees out if the employees want to go I don't think many will take that but I guarantee that the next big tech company can't move into Texas I guarantee it I guarantee that no billion dollar tech company will move into Texas while that abortion law is happening does anybody want to take that bet so it's got to be at least a billion dollar tech company and I'm saying that not one of them will move in that hasn't already made the plans I know Tesla's made their plans Etc but people who have not made any plans from this point forward no new tech company will move into Texas now the counter argument is yeah but Texas gets to attract all these Republicans and they manage things well and they'll be fine maybe but I think if you um if you make tech companies if you make it too hard for tech companies to move in eventually you're going to suffer I think and especially because Texas is a tech state um Trump is saying that Democrats disparaged the coveted vaccine while he was president and now they wonder why some are hesitant says Trump do you buy that that the reason people are hesitant may be in part because the Democrats disparaged it what do you think I don't know maybe a little but I can't believe that the Democrats would have influenced Republicans right Democrats influence Democrats but Democrats are getting the shots now the two populations the black Americans and Republicans are the ones that are having the most hesitancy so it's in both parties I'm not so sure that would have made a difference um Business Insider which is interestingly owned in part by Jeff Bezos is printing a leaked tax plan from the Democrats so this is not official it's just a leaked draft could be real different and of course it's showing you know gigantic tax increases on the rich what are the odds that that's going to get passed do you think there's any chance that the elites who run everything are going to massively tax themselves because if you think the elites run everything there's no chance that this is going to happen right no chance so I and I almost think that the size of the plans that the Democrats are pushing are designed to fail right does it seem that the Democrats are asking for so much in their spending package you know that the trillions and trillions it seems like they designed it to ask for so much they can't possibly get passed because the elites it's the last thing they want the last thing they want is a giant spend and uh and tax plan because they'll get taxed so I'm just going to put that out there is Nancy Pelosi smart enough to push a plan that can't get past because she doesn't want it to get passed or her backers don't want it to get passed I wonder I doubt it I doubt it but you can't rule it out in today's world can you it's it's terrible that you can't rule it out but I'm going to predict that getting a tax bill through that would rape the elites who actually run the country feels unlikely unless they don't really run the country I guess we'll find out won't we if you believe that the elites are running everything no matter what party they're in it's just the elites then the tax plan won't pass right because follow the money the money predicts totally predicts that that tax plan won't be implemented it totally predicts that so how often is it wrong when money predicts not often money usually does predict but we will find out if the elites are in charge because if the elites are in charge they won't get passed all right at the press conference Rose Mc.
Gowan said she's uh she's no longer a Democrat because they're the ones who harass stalked and stole from her in her time in Hollywood interesting and um I would also add to that that Republicans are better people Republicans are well I'll say conservatives conservatives are better people now um that's just an opinion of course it's subjective now I don't identify as conservative I identify as socially you know super liberal uh not crazy liberal not not woke to the point of crippled but um socially liberal for sure so I'm not a conservative but I can tell you that if I have to spend time with a certain group of people that conservatives are just on average on average they're just nicer people now I'm not talking about anybody who's like full out racist or something you know both parties have you know people who are just but on average Republicans are nicer they're just nicer um that's my experience now again it's purely subjective right yours may differ all right I believe uh Scott do you think abortion at eight five months is okay um let me answer so I've been asked a question about abortion I'd like to answer that question by dropping my pants and showing you my penis I won't do that you're welcome I won't do that but the point is I have a penis it does not produce babies if my penis produced babies and the vagina did not do you think I would care about a woman's opinion about whether I should be able to have an abortion if only penises made babies no I don't want a woman's opinion about my penis at all none I barely want a man's opinion but at least there would be some credibility if it came from a man likewise do you think women want my penis opinion about their vagina I don't think so it doesn't make the decision better doesn't add any credibility to it so um it's not my question to solve and whatever women as a as a group want to come up with make it legal make it illegal if women are okay with it I'm going to back it and I would ask that same standard in reverse should there be a topic in which it's really a man's question because it doesn't apply to women for one reason or another I don't want to hear your opinion at all I don't want to hear your opinion at all unless you're an expert I mean if a man is an expert on some element of you know biology or abortion then yeah but I'm not an expert somebody says week it's weak is it I would say that's pretty subjective fortified skins agree abortion is a human rights issue that's an opinion because you you start with the answer So when you say abortion is a human rights I think what you're saying is that the you know the fetus has a human right I think that's where you're going with that comment but you've you started the argument with your assumption if your assumption is it's human well there's no debate to be made so you you haven't really debated you just put an assumption in there and said you're done and this is another another reason why I don't get into the actual debate because it's you can't win in the debate the only thing you can do with abortion is make sure that the right person makes the decision how many of you are fans of Thomas Sowell if I pronounce his right his name right I hope I did Thomas you know the famous uh black economists and because it's 2021 and we're all I have to throw in the black part like that mattered it didn't it didn't make any difference to the point I'm going to make that he's black but it's 20 21 so you have to throw that in there someday we'll just be able to say economist we're not quite there yet like we hope we will be there but someday anyway one of the things that Thomas Soul says that I love is that it's not so much what the decision is it's who gets to make it now he's using it in a different context but same thing with abortion I'm less concerned with what the decision is because there's no right decision it's awful either way it's just awful in different ways to different people so what I care about is the decision was made by the right people and the only thing I know for sure is I'm not one of them I'm not one of the right people so the best thing I can do for the system is to take a shower when you're deciding what to do and then I'll back it now I'd be a jerk if I say you make the decision but I'll I'll criticize you for it nope you make the decision you being women or any men who want to because you have a right you have a right to be part of the decision I'm not arguing that all men have a right to be part of the process um but after you make a decision I'll back it Whatever It Is yeah 80 year old women also have a say women who can't produce children have a say because they're all in the same pot meaning that their lives are most affected by this even if they can't have children you know they're they're seen as people who can have children or dead or could all right um yeah I don't care about whether trans or part of it that's not going to move the needle enough all right that's all for now uh You.
Tube I'll talk
coffee with Scott Adams I know I know
it's the highlight of your day you're
already sad thinking about the fact that
it might end later yeah I know but don't
don't think that yet just enjoy it just
be in the moment
now
this one comes with a warning
because the California election is
happening right now the recall election
and I got a little bit triggered
so there will be cursing later
uh just warning you so
put the earmuffs on the children
and I think the rest of you adults will
be able to handle this but if you'd like
to get fortified so that the cursing
doesn't bother you what would be a good
way to do that yeah coffee that's right
and all you need is a cup of mug or a
glass of tanker Chelsea style canteen
chocolate flask a vessel of any kind
fill it with your favorite liquid
I like coffee and join me now for the
unparalleled pleasure the dopamine the
other day the thing that makes
everything better except our up
elections is called the simultaneous Sip
and it happens now go
ah
wow all right it's all going now
well Rasmussen uh asked people what do
they think about celebrity or external
politicians campaigning for a candidate
do you think it helps do you think
people think that makes a difference
when the celebrities and the external
candidates are are helping out well most
people say no but shockingly 30 percent
say it's important or somewhat important
the celebrities and outside politicians
help campaign
now I don't think I've ever been
influenced by a celebrity endorsement
I don't know if I've been influenced by
a politician endorsement although those
seem more weighty
but
um I feel like it works
I feel like it works because
if if Newsom is campaigning with a
celebrity or with you know Kamala Harris
or Biden he just gets more attention
and the tension is the thing that gets
you elected right the more attention you
get the better so I think that these
celebrity endorsements do work just
because they draw people and they draw
attention I don't think it has anything
to do with the endorsement per se
well you do you remember most of you who
watch this recently I think it was
yesterday I was talking about what yes
the pre-print paper about young boys
getting some myocarditis
from the vaccination itself
and I said to you do not be too
confident that this is correct because
even peer-reviewed studies
or you know half of them turn out not to
be right and this is before it's even
peer-reviewed
so a pre-print should be your lowest
level of credibility within the
scientific realm and I I warned you that
maybe these initial
findings might not hold up
Well that took about 24 hours
and uh Aleister
McAlpine MD so he's a doctor
he says of this major study that showed
that young boys were having heart
problems from the vaccination
he points out that it's
non-peer-reviewed it's an unpublished
preprint it's based on data dumpster
diving
through a non-verified database that
once listed becoming the Incredible Hulk
as a side effect
and it uses his outdated statistics to
paint a false picture
so that's one opinion all right so one
one knowledgeable opinion is it's a
garbage study
uh and Andres backhaus is also warning
us it's going to fall apart
so
if you're worried
about uh young boys having little heart
risk with the vaccination
the first thing you should do is compare
it to the risk of getting coveted itself
because I think it was uh Scott Gottlieb
ex head of the FDA who is now calling
this an endemic meaning you're gonna get
it
you get that right so we used to think
well maybe we could keep some people
from getting covered
nope not anymore apparently you're all
going to get it
uh it's just a matter of when maybe you
won't be this year could be five years
from now but it's gonna be around you're
all going to get it
and if that's the case
then you have to compare the vaccination
to getting covet
not a percentage chance of getting
covered you're not a not a 10 chance of
getting covered but you're going to get
covered so now if you know you're going
to get it even though there would be a
timing difference
you can basically now compare the risk
of heart problems from covid
versus the risk of heart problems from
the vaccination
it turns out that covet is worse
so
at the moment
I would say there is zero credible
evidence that young boys have extra risk
zero credible evidence it could still be
true
right because when I talk about
credibility that doesn't mean true or
false that just means do you have
evidence that's the kind of evidence
they should convince you or not
we don't we don't have the kind of
evidence that should make you make a
different decision based on that factor
maybe later we will but we don't know
all right there are two things we know
for sure
and I tweeted this and I'm going to read
it because
I tweeted it so well
that I can't improve upon it so I'm just
going to read it
I said there are two things we know for
sure
number one we must use good science and
good data to make decisions absolutely
number two we know for sure we wouldn't
recognize good science and good data if
it showed us three IDs and made a scream
its name while ass us at his
home address
I'll just let that sit there for a
moment
now here's a humor writing lesson you
ready
humor writing lesson
what makes this sentence funny we
wouldn't recognize good science and good
data if it showed us three IDs and made
us scream its name while ass us
at his home address
what makes that work
well it's visual right it's also it's
cruel it's bizarre you know these are
the dimensions of humor if you get any
two of The Six Dimensions of humor in
there it's gonna be funny so you got you
know cruelty bizarre it's clever it's
got basically three or four but here's
the technique I want to share with you
is that third and last clause
at its home address
right so if you're going to exaggerate
something
this is you know a simple humor
technique you just say okay something's
bad let me describe how bad it is in a
funny way
now if I said
we wouldn't know good science and good
data if it showed us three IDs is that
funny
we wouldn't know it if it showed us
three sources of identification no not
really just sort of sits there makes a
point you know in an analogy kind of way
but it just sits there right if I say we
wouldn't know good science and good data
if it showed us three IDs and made a
scream his name while ass us
well now you're talking
now it's getting a little funny because
we got the we got the naughty part in
there and it's bizarre and you know it's
it's got everything
but here's the part I want to teach you
it's the third thing that sells it right
the second part part you know the first
part is just a setup
we wouldn't know if we wouldn't know
good science if it showed us three IDs
not funny yet it's just a setup but then
the the payoff is making us scream its
name while ass us
but then the real dessert you know the
thing that ties this together makes it
work is the third thing
because it's hard to come with with
three things that fit
three things that cause you to be able
to positively identify it and the third
thing was it's we're at its home address
which took a little work to come up with
that third thing so that's the technique
if you're going to exaggerate
have three levels of exaggeration first
one okay it's just setting me up
second one you need to get the laugh
second one needs to make them laugh all
right all right I see where you're going
you're done now right
as soon as they think you're done
that's where you add the third one the
third one is what puts it over the line
and makes it you know one for the ages
two could be funny if you could get that
third one in there
people will remember that right so
that's your lesson for the day on humor
well apparently CNN is already worried
about Trump he is the top the top story
today
can you believe it Trump is the top
story on CNN
do you know what made Trump the top
story on CNN
he talked
he just opened his mouth he just talked
and he's the biggest story in the world
and what he talked about was that he's
reminding people that he believes the
election was rigged
and that that might be a major theme of
is reelection
now
do you think Trump could get reelected
making the election itself a major theme
would that be strong enough
to if he just said hey I got robbed I
got robbed let's do this right re-elect
me it was rigged
I say no I say no yeah and I'm seeing
more no's in the comments no way right
because it's whiny it's small
right it's small
it's whiny and you just think maybe if
he tried already could have won
right so even if you think it's true
it doesn't work does it because you feel
like he should win anyway right if
you're complaining about the referee
well maybe you should have shot better
baskets
right if you think you lost the game
because of the ref
well maybe you should have played better
I mean that's sort of automatically what
we think complaining about the rules
it's too small
that's about him right that's not even
about you
you don't want your president running
for him
or her you want you want the president
running for you well when Trump ran the
first time he said make America great
again
that was about you when he said build a
wall
that was for you
and people recognized it but if he runs
because he's got a personal gripe about
the election
that's not going to work that's not
going to work this is not strong enough
I mean he could he could win it anyway I
mean maybe he could make that work
because people just are sick of
whatever's happening but it's not a good
approach
even if even if he got elected anyway
but here's what would be
you ready
let's take Trump's complaint that really
is all about himself
and now let's turn that into a winning
campaign formula you ready
I'm going to give Trump
the winning formula
this is the campaign issue that would
work
we can't know if I won or not I happen
to think I did
but we have to make elections auditable
make elections fully auditable you
should know if you voted the moment the
elections close
at the moment the votes close you should
get a text to say yeah we got your vote
here it is
or or some kind of a system I'm not
saying that that would be the system but
if president Trump
runs for re-election
and makes his main Campaign theme I'm
going to fix elections
now could he do that because the federal
government has limited capabilities when
it comes to the states
yeah you could be good he could make
money available he could threaten the
states with losing money he could do a
lot I mean I don't know if he could fix
it in one term but he can do a lot I
think now I need a fact check from
smarter people to tell me if that's
practical but I think it is
um
and if he does that then it's about us
right I don't mind his complaint that he
thinks he won despite no proof of that
at the moment
I don't mind that complaint because
that's an opinion
he's you know he gets to have an opinion
but if he tells me he's going to fix the
system or work hard at it or at least
work as hard as he did on the wall even
if it didn't work out we need somebody
who cares
to make our system auditable again
if Trump wins I'm sorry if Trump runs
with a main theme of fixing our election
system
I'm all in
so let me say that again
um like most of you I haven't made any
decision about who I would support in
2024. I don't even know who's running
but
if Trump makes this a major theme
to fix the elections to make them
auditable
I'm all in
because you know what
I don't care about anything else
so uh oam is reporting uh that some
Republicans are being told when they go
to vote in the election recall which is
happening right now
they're being told that they already
voted
now it's on oan so you can reasonably
ask yourself is that accurate how many
people is this is this one person or
more we don't know all right so because
it's in the media you have to say to
yourself is it true I don't know doesn't
mean it's true just because it's
reported
but
uh and also project Veritas I saw their
their asking Californians if they see
anything that looks sketchy to let them
know
I can report that I have heard reports
of something very sketchy I'm not going
to mention it yet
but personally I've heard anecdotally
a report that sounded sketchy as hell to
me
don't know if it's true so I'm not going
to repeat it now
these the fact that we have these
reports anecdotal and not 100 reliable
does that mean that the election is bad
does that mean that this election is is
corrupt or rigged because we hear these
stories no it doesn't mean that I mean
there's we don't have anything that's
like some kind of proof of that
but here's what we also don't have
we don't have an election that we could
audit fully
so when it's done we won't know if we
voted or not
and we no longer live in a world in
which trusting our officials
makes sense at all
now as I was looking at this I thought
to myself you know this is a bad
situation
that you've got elections that people
don't trust in a way that our system
requires them to trust it in order to
work
and I thought to myself that's bad and
that makes me angry
but not as angry as this
we had two years to fix this
right and we've also got time to fix it
for 2022
but as far as I know nobody's working on
it
and we have maybe Texas made a made a
step but even they don't have an
auditable system
yeah maybe they have a system that's
just captured by Republicans instead of
Democrats right so you know maybe
different states are captured by
different parties
but
2022 is coming
in 2024 is coming
and nobody's working on fixing the
problem
I'm going to lose my
is one thing to have a problem and you
know you can complain about it but
the people in charge
have not even made this a priority
it's not even mentioned
and so I'd like to say to all of our
elected officials and even those running
for election who are not talking about
this as their top party
every one of you
your
goddamn useless piece of
you need to give us a election
system that we can trust
I don't even give a who gets
elected
give us a system that is compatible
with democracy and the Republic give us
a effort I don't even care if
it's hard and you can't figure out how
to do it tell us is your top
priority
because you know what my top priority is
this
everything else matters less
if we don't know who was in the country
or how they got elected it doesn't
matter what your policies are
right because you lost your country
we need to get the country back
and the only way that's going to happen
is to fix the election process so it's
fully auditable and instantly somebody
needs to be working on that if nobody's
working on it we don't have a
government
we don't even have a government
if nobody's working on that we don't
have a government that's on our side
we don't we have a government that's I
don't know working for itself or not
working or
I don't know what the they're doing
but they're not working for us this
needs to be our number one
number one topic
needs to be bigger than climate change
because how are you going to change
climate if you can't even run your
government right it needs to be bigger
than the defense budget it needs to be
bigger than everything bigger
than Afghanistan bigger than
wall
bigger than all that
there is no bigger problem in
the country than the election
system not being credible to the public
and if you give me a politician
who will say that out loud
with some kind of an effort towards
fixing it that looks credible I will be
fully behind that politician and I'll
give a what part either in I don't
give a what their other policies
are
if they can get that one thing done for
me
I would even sign up to vote for the
first time
all right
so
how about
um hey tell us about your fiscal policy
Joe Biden no you your fiscal
policy your infrastructure
your immigration plan your
vaccinations everything about you
your goddamn dysfunctional brain
that's basically a bowl of oatmeal at
this moment everything
about you
fix the election
or at least work on it at least tell us
it's a priority
president Trump
I got some tough love for you too
if you run for election and all you're
doing is complaining about the election
was rigged
that you don't have as your top priority
some way to fix it don't run
don't run you're no good to us
you have no value
Mr Trump who I liked by the way I like
him personally
but tough love
right
tough love if this isn't if this isn't
right at the top of your
priorities and all you're doing is
complaining about the last time I don't
care
I don't care if you run I'm not
going to support that
all right it's just going to make things
worse
wouldn't it I mean it's just going to
make a what a revolution or something
um so no Trump
no Biden
we won an election system I don't care
who it is it runs on that platform
Andrew yang
Andrew Yang looks like he might be
joining a third party or something
if you come up with a plan to fix our
election system I don't even care what
the other stuff is
don't even care just fix the election
system
and I will give you my full support
if you can have a credible idea and you
know some actual chance of doing that
so
here's where I am on all that
nothing else matters
and you're doing this right in front of
us politicians so yeah I guess that's
maybe that's the part that made me snap
it would be one thing if things happen
and you go oh God I didn't know that was
happening man that happened without me
noticing Afghanistan for example
snuck up on me right if you had asked me
hey Scott you know a month ago do you
think that's going to be a disaster the
withdrawal I would have said I don't
know and maybe maybe not who knows it
was just sort of opaque
but the election problem is not opaque
I know exactly what the problem is the
problem is it can't be audited it's very
objective
and you're not working on it
and it's our top problem number one
problem and you're not working
on it nothing
all right well I'm disgusted
Here's a thought experiment
I'm changing topics a little bit here
um Suppose there were two groups of
humans
and the only thing you knew about them
that was different is that one group was
told they're valuable just by existing
hey you group you are valuable you just
have to exist just be healthy
be whatever you are just exist you are
valuable
now there's a second group
you're told that their value is only
from what they do
they have to perform
they have to they have to be useful they
have to make something work they've got
to build something they gotta make some
money they gotta go do something
then he checked back in 20 years
which of the two groups
excelled at making money and success was
it the group that is told that they are
valuable just the way they are you don't
need to do anything
or would it be the group that's told
they're worthless
unless they do something succeed
so which ones do better
well as I've said before women are
biologically more valuable just by
existing because they could have babies
and men can't
and you'll need you know one man to
impregnate lots of women so we're not
very valuable men
from a biological standpoint
unless we do stuff
and
Mark Schneider
who had this very interesting tweet I'm
just going to read it to you he said the
fact is that as men we are expendable
until we can prove we are not
my father stepfather and grandfathers
instilled this in me
and I thought to myself
that sounds about right
I remember being
told quite explicitly that I had to like
do something you know I had to succeed
by doing something I'm not exactly sure
my sister got the same message
I'd love to ask you that I don't know
that she because I was told explicitly
that you know success
was my goal
I had to succeed
I don't know if my sister was told that
I mean not in direct language
I mean she did succeed you know she she
put together a very successful life
but
I don't know could be different I'm a
middle child by the way
um
and so I wonder if that's a part of the
difference in outcomes
you know obviously there could be
biological differences million other
social differences but I would think
that this would be at least one of them
that if you don't think that your human
value is much affected by accomplishment
why would you try
I mean
there's got to be a factor right
all right
um
China they've got this 21 day extreme
quarantine situation they use so if
you've been exposed or if you came from
another country it back into China uh
you'd have
[Music]
14 days
of compulsory Hotel quarantine
you'd have another seven days and some
kind of centralized quarantine that
designated locations
and then before returning home you'd be
Health monitored and then I think you
have to uh and you've got all kinds of
testing even before that stuff happens
and still an infection got into the
country
so they think they know who it was I
don't think so it doesn't sound like
they know who it was to me but they
think they know it was and they say that
this fellow had come in from
um I don't know Malaysia or Indonesia or
someplace and the attested negative for
the virus nine times during 21 days of
quarantine
before testing positive on Friday
37 days after entering China
you tested positive
what's going on it doesn't sound like
they know
exactly what's going on it sounds like
there's still mystery here but here's my
question
is any country
intentionally infecting any other
country
do you think that's a thing
because it would be horrible of course
but are you telling me that there's no
natural enemy countries
they haven't thought you know
it would be kind of evil but
if our rival were more infected than we
were
that might be good for us
does anybody think that way
I wonder because I think that way I mean
I'm not sure I'm not saying I would
Implement that plan
but I would think of it
I would certainly think of it
do you think that nobody is
intentionally infecting China
really
because that would be amazing restraint
you know maybe it's just hard to do
but it seems like it would be an amazing
uh expression of restraint
to not intentionally infect China if you
thought China was the source of it and
you thought China was evil and
everything else so China has this plan
of trying to basically you know stop it
stamp it out completely
and they've done impressive job trying
to do that but since we know it's going
to be an endemic and not a pandemic
isn't their strategy a failed strategy
because aren't they all going to get it
just the way we're all going to get it
just a matter of time
No it should it could be that the reason
China is taking an extreme position is
wait for it
that their Health Care system
wouldn't be able to handle any extra
stress
the way an American system can
because we we managed to expand and you
know do some impressive stuff
when we had to
but what happens if China's Health Care
System gets overloaded
I mean I assume that the cities have
pretty good Health Care Systems but in
rural China
what happens when you're sick
do they all have good health care in
rural China
I don't know so I would wonder if China
has potentially a gigantic problem which
is that they can't they can't handle any
level of infection similar to other
countries because it would crash the
country
right it might be just a way bigger risk
in China than it is in other places it
could even
um it could even threaten the government
I would think the stability of the
government would fall if their Health
Care System collapsed
am I right if China's Health Care System
collapsed right in front of the whole
world
even the leadership would be in trouble
right
so it seems to me that China is only a
few super spreaders away from falling
potentially I mean that's you know it's
not the odds on
but a non-zero chance there is a
non-zero chance that high infections in
China would crash the government
because I think the Chinese people would
start to see their government as the
problem you know if they believe it or
originated there the propaganda is
trying to tell the local citizens it
didn't originate in China
but if the Health Care System crashes
they're all going to know it
they're going to know their relatives
couldn't get that heart transplant and
everything else
[Music]
somebody says it's wild conjecture the
U.S has a worse Health Care system
um
here's my uh speculation so it is it is
conjecture you're right but the
speculation is this
that our rural Health Care is far better
I think if you looked City to City it
might not be that different maybe even
Chinese is better
but if you looked at rural
feel like we'd have a big Advantage now
that's the part you'd have to fact check
right
so we'll see
so um
China there's also a thought that China
might have to vaccinate the rest of the
world to protect itself
so imagine that the United States
continues on its current path
we should have enough
vaccinations plus herd immunity normal
infections that we're going to be
something back to normal
even though we might be masked and
boosted and that for years
we'll be able to have an economy in
something like a life
but China hasn't gone through this
and I don't know if there are low
quality of vaccinations are going to be
good enough if they have to go through
this
so what happens if we go through this
and get to the other end
turned it into an endemic where it's a
problem but you know doesn't stop
anything from happening
and they just started
and they just get taken out by the virus
I think that could happen and the only
thing that they can do
to try to prevent that is to try to
vaccinate everywhere else in the world
so that the that they can travel and do
stuff and not get it back in their
country
China
is going to have to vaccinate the rest
of the world
the United States apparently isn't
looking to do that
in our vaccinations are the good ones
so their vaccinations might not even be
good enough
so keep an eye on that so I would say
that China has at least
10
gigantic problems that don't even look
solvable uh China's in big big trouble
now what about the question of uh
business in China
I can't imagine that we're going to be
moving more American factories into
China
didn't that stop
can somebody tell me what was the last
time a major American company made a
decision to move into China with a
factory
as it happened in the past year probably
can't because of the pandemic but
but what Tesla's plans were older than
that but has anybody made a new plan in
the last six months or less year to move
into China
I haven't heard of any
yeah I think it stopped completely now
it could be the pandemic is what stopped
it because you can't you can't travel so
it's impossible to do that sort of thing
um yeah I think it'll end up in Vietnam
all right and China's stocks are getting
hit so there's a thought that
China's plan their Marxist planned I'd
never heard this before tell me if
you've ever heard this before
that Marxism
this doesn't make any sense I read this
but I it's got to be wrong so ignore the
next things that come out of my mouth
but the the idea is that Marxism
requires you to have money to do it and
you have to have some capitalism first
so that China's plan is to be capitalist
make a bunch of money
which will cause inequality and then to
introduce socialism
which will suck some of that money away
from the richest and give it to the poor
and then there's a third phase which is
communism which is apparently if you've
made enough with your capitalism you've
made it more equal with your socialism
that somehow there's this good thing
called communism at the end
I don't know how that could possibly
work but maybe somebody smarter could
explain the the details however it does
look like she is trying to rebalance
things and is trying to you know take
money from the elites and give it to the
public through various social policies
and that is a gigantic change
if it works so China's got another
gigantic challenge which is that
capitalism would destroy it
because the inequality would become too
enormous at some point and they would
fall just from the inequality some say
um
and tried to fix it seems like an
enormous problem too
so good luck to them
so do you think Texas's uh economy will
suffer because of the new anti-abortion
laws well Salesforce a gigantic company
is going to offer to relocate employees
and their families from Texas
if they want to move because of that
so does Texas win because the uh the
Godless liberals move out
and then you've got more Republicans
running things well
so does Texas come out ahead
because these mostly tech companies I
think decide to boycott it
or does Texas come out behind because
companies won't move there to do their
business
my my estimate is that Texas will come
out behind
now it's just a guess but here's why
if Salesforce did not already have
facilities in Texas would they move
there
no clearly
clearly Salesforce moved there because
they could move there when they did and
now you know they're there so it's too
hard to move out but they are moving
their employees out if the employees
want to go I don't think many will take
that
but I guarantee that the next big tech
company can't move into Texas
I guarantee it
I guarantee that no billion dollar tech
company will move into Texas while that
abortion law is happening
does anybody want to take that bet
so it's got to be at least a billion
dollar tech company
and I'm saying that not one of them will
move in that hasn't already made the
plans I know Tesla's made their plans
Etc
but people who have not made any plans
from this point forward no new tech
company will move into Texas now the
counter argument is yeah but Texas gets
to attract all these Republicans and
they manage things well and they'll be
fine maybe but I think if you um
if you make tech companies
if you make it too hard for tech
companies to move in eventually you're
going to suffer I think
and especially because Texas is a tech
state
um
Trump is saying that Democrats
disparaged the coveted vaccine while he
was president and now they wonder why
some are hesitant says Trump
do you buy that that the reason people
are hesitant may be in part because the
Democrats disparaged it
what do you think
I don't know maybe a little
but I can't believe that the Democrats
would have influenced Republicans right
Democrats influence Democrats but
Democrats are getting the shots
now the two populations the black
Americans and Republicans are the ones
that are having the most hesitancy
so it's in both parties
I'm not so sure that would have made a
difference
um
Business Insider
which is interestingly owned in part by
Jeff Bezos
is printing a leaked tax plan from the
Democrats so this is not official it's
just a leaked draft could be real
different and of course it's showing you
know gigantic tax increases on the rich
what are the odds that that's going to
get passed
do you think there's any chance that the
elites
who run everything are going to
massively tax themselves
because if you think the elites run
everything there's no chance that this
is going to happen right
no chance
so
I and I almost think that the size of
the plans that the Democrats are pushing
are designed to fail
right does it seem that the Democrats
are asking for so much in their spending
package you know that the trillions and
trillions it seems like they designed it
to ask for so much they can't possibly
get passed
because the elites
it's the last thing they want the last
thing they want is a giant spend and uh
and tax plan because they'll get taxed
so
I'm just going to put that out there
is Nancy Pelosi smart enough
to push a plan that can't get past
because she doesn't want it to get
passed or her backers don't want it to
get passed I wonder I doubt it
I doubt it
but you can't rule it out in today's
world can you
it's it's terrible that you can't rule
it out
but I'm going to predict that getting a
tax bill through that would rape the
elites who actually run the country
feels unlikely
unless they don't really run the country
I guess we'll find out won't we if you
believe that the elites are running
everything no matter what party they're
in it's just the elites then the tax
plan won't pass
right
because follow the money
the money predicts
totally predicts that that tax plan
won't be implemented it totally predicts
that
so how often is it wrong when money
predicts
not often money usually does predict
but we will find out if the elites are
in charge
because if the elites are in charge they
won't get passed
all right
at the press conference Rose McGowan
said she's uh she's no longer a Democrat
because they're the ones who harass
stalked and stole from her in her time
in Hollywood interesting
and
um
I would also add to that that
Republicans are better people
Republicans are well I'll say
conservatives conservatives are better
people
now
um that's just an opinion of course it's
subjective now I don't identify as
conservative I identify as socially you
know super liberal
uh not crazy liberal not not woke to the
point of crippled but
um socially liberal for sure so I'm not
a conservative but I can tell you that
if I have to spend time with a certain
group of people
that conservatives are just
on average
on average
they're just nicer people
now I'm not talking about anybody who's
like full out racist or something you
know both parties have you know people
who are just but on average
Republicans are nicer
they're just nicer
um that's my experience
now again it's purely subjective right
yours may differ all right
I believe
uh Scott do you think abortion at eight
five months is okay
um let me answer so I've been asked a
question about abortion
I'd like to answer that question by
dropping my pants and showing you my
penis
I won't do that
you're welcome I won't do that but the
point is I have a penis it does not
produce babies
if my penis produced babies and the
vagina did not
do you think I would care about a
woman's opinion
about whether I should be able to have
an abortion if only penises made babies
no I don't want a woman's opinion
about my penis
at all
none I barely want a man's opinion but
at least there would be some credibility
if it came from a man likewise do you
think women
want my penis opinion about their vagina
I don't think so
it doesn't make the decision better
doesn't add any credibility to it
so
um it's not my question to solve and
whatever women as a as a group want to
come up with
make it legal make it illegal if women
are okay with it I'm going to back it
and I would ask that same standard in
reverse should there be a topic in which
it's really a man's question
because it doesn't apply to women for
one reason or another I don't want to
hear your opinion
at all I don't want to hear your opinion
at all unless you're an expert I mean if
a man is an expert on some element of
you know biology or abortion then yeah
but I'm not an expert
somebody says week it's weak
is it
I would say that's pretty subjective
fortified skins agree
abortion is a human rights issue
that's an opinion
because you you start with the answer
So when you say abortion is a human
rights I think what you're saying is
that the you know the fetus has a human
right I think that's where you're going
with that comment but you've you started
the argument with your assumption
if your assumption is it's human
well there's no debate to be made so you
you haven't really debated
you just put an assumption in there and
said you're done
and this is another another reason why I
don't get into the actual debate because
it's you can't win in the debate the
only thing you can do with abortion
is make sure that the right person makes
the decision
how many of you are fans of Thomas
Sowell
if I pronounce his right his name right
I hope I did Thomas you know the famous
uh black economists
and because it's 2021 and we're all
I have to throw in the black
part
like that mattered
it didn't it didn't make any difference
to the point I'm going to make that he's
black but it's 20 21 so you have to
throw that in there
someday we'll just be able to say
economist
we're not quite there yet like we hope
we will be there but someday
anyway one of the things that Thomas
Soul says that I love is that it's not
so much what the decision is
it's who gets to make it now he's using
it in a different context
but same thing with abortion I'm less
concerned with what the decision is
because there's no right decision
it's awful either way it's just awful in
different ways to different people
so what I care about is the decision was
made by the right people and the only
thing I know for sure is I'm not one of
them
I'm not one of the right people so the
best thing I can do for the system is to
take a shower when you're deciding what
to do and then I'll back it now I'd be a
jerk if I say you make the decision but
I'll I'll criticize you for it
nope you make the decision you being
women or any men who want to because you
have a right you have a right to be part
of the decision I'm not arguing that all
men have a right to be part of the
process
um but after you make a decision
I'll back it Whatever It Is
yeah 80 year old women also have a say
women who can't produce children have a
say because they're all in the same pot
meaning that their lives are most
affected by this even if they can't have
children you know they're they're seen
as people who can have children or dead
or could
all right um yeah I don't care about
whether trans or part of it that's not
going to move the needle enough
all right that's all for now uh YouTube
I'll talk