Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive October 9, 2026
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Episode 1498 Scott Adams - Put Earmuffs on the Children When I Talk About Our Broken Election System

Episode #1498 Sep 13, 2021 48:40 33,309 views

Find my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com Content: ----------- - COVID is now "endemic"...we're ALL going to get it - Humor writing lesson, the 3rd part - A winning campaign formula for President Trump - Make elections fully auditable - 21 day extreme quarantine in China - Democrats plan will massively tax elites? ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.

Opening General Commentary

Coffee with Scott Adams. I know, I know, it's the highlight of your day. You're already sad thinking about the fact that it might end later. Yeah, I know. But don't think that yet. Just enjoy it. Just be in the moment. Now this one comes with a warning, because the California election is happening…

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SimultaneousSip General Commentary

Chelsea-style canteen, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine, the other thing that makes everything better except for elections. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now. Go. Ah. Wow. All right…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

ternal politicians campaigning for a candidate. Do you think it helps? Do you think people think that makes a difference when the celebrities and the external candidates are helping out? Well, most people say no, but shockingly 30 percent say it's important or somewhat important. The celebrities and…

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Tangent General Commentary

a garbage study. And Andres Backhaus is also warning us it's going to fall apart. So if you're worried about young boys having a little heart risk with the vaccination, the first thing you should do is compare it to the risk of getting COVID itself. Because I think it was Scott Gottlieb, ex-head of…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

r door with three IDs and made us scream its name while asking us for its home address. I'll just let that sit there for a moment. Now here's a humor writing lesson. You ready? Humor writing lesson. What makes this sentence funny? We wouldn't recognize good science and good data if it showed up at…

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MainContent Cognitive Reframing

e valuable just the way they are, you don't need to do anything? Or would it be the group that's told they're worthless unless they do something, succeed? So which ones do better? Well as I've said before, women are biologically more valuable just by existing because they can have babies and men ca…

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MainContent Health & Biohacking

ery here. But here's my question. Is any country intentionally infecting any other country? Do you think that's a thing? Because it would be horrible of course. But are you telling me that there's no natural enemy countries that haven't thought, you know it would be kind of evil but if our rival we…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

t Democrats disparaged the COVID vaccine while he was president and now they wonder why some are hesitant, says Trump. Do you buy that? That the reason people are hesitant may be in part because the Democrats disparaged it? What do you think? I don't know, maybe a little. But I can't believe that th…

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QandA Politics as Persuasion

lve. And whatever women as a group want to come up with, make it legal, make it illegal. If women are okay with it I'm going to back it. And I would ask that same standard in reverse. Should there be a topic in which it's really a man's question because it doesn't apply to women for one reason or an…

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Closing General Commentary

ave children. You know they're seen as people who can have children or did. Yeah I don't care about whether trans are part of it. That's not going to move the needle enough. All right, that's all for now. YouTube, I'll talk to you later.

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Coffee with Scott Adams. I know, I know, it's the highlight of your day. You're already sad thinking about the fact that it might end later. Yeah, I know. But don't think that yet. Just enjoy it. Just be in the moment.

Now this one comes with a warning, because the California election is happening right now, the recall election, and I got a little bit triggered. So there will be cursing later. Just warning you. So put the earmuffs on the children. I think the rest of you adults will be able to handle this, but if you'd like to get fortified so that the cursing doesn't bother you, what would be a good way to do that? Yeah, coffee. That's right.

And all you need is a cup, a mug, or a glass, a tankard, a Chelsea-style canteen, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine, the other thing that makes everything better except for elections. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

Go. Ah. Wow. All right, it's all going down.

Well, Rasmussen asked people what they think about celebrities or external politicians campaigning for a candidate. Do you think it helps? Do you think people think that makes a difference when the celebrities and the external candidates are helping out? Well, most people say no, but shockingly 30 percent say it's important or somewhat important. The celebrities and outside politicians help campaign.

Now I don't think I've ever been influenced by a celebrity endorsement. I don't know if I've been influenced by a politician endorsement, although those seem more weighty. But I feel like it works. I feel like it works because if Newsom is campaigning with a celebrity or with Kamala Harris or Biden, he just gets more attention. And the attention is the thing that gets you elected, right? The more attention you get, the better. So I think that these celebrity endorsements do work just because they draw people in and they draw attention. I don't think it has anything to do with the endorsement per se.

Well, do you remember, most of you who watch this recently, I think it was yesterday, I was talking about what? Yes, the preprint paper about young boys getting some myocarditis from the vaccination itself. And I said to you, do not be too confident that this is correct, because even peer-reviewed studies, you know, half of them turn out not to be right. And this is before it's even peer-reviewed. So a preprint should be your lowest level of credibility within the scientific realm. And I warned you that maybe these initial findings might not hold up.

Well, that took about 24 hours. And Alistair McAlpine, MD, so he's a doctor, he says of this major study that showed that young boys were having heart problems from the vaccination, he points out that it's non-peer-reviewed, it's an unpublished preprint, it's based on data dumpster diving through a non-verified database that once listed becoming the Incredible Hulk as a side effect, and it uses outdated statistics to paint a false picture.

So that's one opinion. All right, so one knowledgeable opinion is it's a garbage study. And Andres Backhaus is also warning us it's going to fall apart. So if you're worried about young boys having a little heart risk with the vaccination, the first thing you should do is compare it to the risk of getting COVID itself. Because I think it was Scott Gottlieb, ex-head of the FDA, who is now calling this an endemic, meaning you're gonna get it. You get that, right?

So we used to think, well, maybe we could keep some people from getting COVID. Nope, not anymore. Apparently you're all going to get it. It's just a matter of when. Maybe you won't this year, could be five years from now, but it's gonna be around. You're all going to get it. And if that's the case, then you have to compare the vaccination to getting COVID. Not a percentage chance of getting COVID. You're not at a 10 percent chance of getting COVID, but you're going to get COVID.

So now if you know you're going to get it, even though there would be a timing difference, you can basically now compare the risk of heart problems from COVID versus the risk of heart problems from the vaccination. It turns out that COVID is worse. So at the moment I would say there is zero credible evidence that young boys have extra risk. Zero credible evidence. It could still be true, right? Because when I talk about credibility, that doesn't mean true or false. That just means do you have evidence that's the kind of evidence that should convince you or not? We don't have the kind of evidence that should make you make a different decision based on that factor. Maybe later we will, but we don't now.

All right, there are two things we know for sure. And I tweeted this, and I'm going to read it because I tweeted it so well that I can't improve upon it. So I'm just going to read it. I said there are two things we know for sure. Number one, we must use good science and good data to make decisions. Absolutely. Number two, we know for sure we wouldn't recognize good science and good data if it showed up at our door with three IDs and made us scream its name while asking us for its home address.

I'll just let that sit there for a moment.

Now here's a humor writing lesson. You ready? Humor writing lesson. What makes this sentence funny? We wouldn't recognize good science and good data if it showed up at our door with three IDs and made us scream its name while asking us for its home address. What makes that work? Well, it's visual, right? It's also cruel. It's bizarre. You know, these are the dimensions of humor. If you get any two of the six dimensions of humor in there, it's gonna be funny. So you've got cruelty, bizarre, it's clever. It's got basically three or four.

But here's the technique I want to share with you. It's that third and last clause, "at its home address," right? So if you're going to exaggerate something, this is a simple humor technique. You just say, okay, something's bad. Let me describe how bad it is in a funny way. Now if I said we wouldn't know good science and good data if it showed us three IDs, is that funny? We wouldn't know it if it showed us three sources of identification. No, not really. It just sort of sits there, makes a point, you know, in an analogy kind of way, but it just sits there, right?

If I say we wouldn't know good science and good data if it showed us three IDs and made us scream its name while asking us, well now you're talking. Now it's getting a little funny because we've got the naughty part in there and it's bizarre and it's got everything. But here's the part I want to teach you. It's the third thing that sells it, right? The second part, you know, the first part is just a setup. We wouldn't know good science if it showed us three IDs. Not funny yet. It's just a setup. But then the payoff is making us scream its name while asking us. But then the real dessert, you know, the thing that ties this together, makes it work, is the third thing. Because it's hard to come up with three things that fit, three things that cause you to be able to positively identify it. And the third thing was it's at its home address, which took a little work to come up with that third thing.

So that's the technique. If you're going to exaggerate, have three levels of exaggeration. First one, okay, it's just setting me up. Second one, you need to get the laugh. Second one needs to make them laugh. All right, all right, I see where you're going. You're done now, right? As soon as they think you're done, that's where you add the third one. The third one is what puts it over the line and makes it, you know, one for the ages. Two could be funny if you could get that third one in there. People will remember that, right? So that's your lesson for the day on humor.

Well, apparently CNN is already worried about Trump. He is the top story today. Can you believe it? Trump is the top story on CNN. Do you know what made Trump the top story on CNN? He talked. He just opened his mouth. He just talked. And he's the biggest story in the world. And what he talked about was that he's reminding people that he believes the election was rigged and that that might be a major theme of his reelection.

Now do you think Trump could get reelected making the election itself a major theme? Would that be strong enough if he just said, hey, I got robbed, I got robbed, let's do this right, reelect me, it was rigged? I say no. I say no. Yeah, and I'm seeing more no's in the comments. No way, right? Because it's whiny. It's small, right? It's small. It's whiny. And you just think maybe if he tried already he could have won, right? So even if you think it's true, it doesn't work, does it? Because you feel like he should win anyway, right?

If you're complaining about the referee, well maybe you should have shot better baskets. If you think you lost the game because of the ref, well maybe you should have played better. I mean that's sort of automatically what we think. Complaining about the rules, it's too small. That's about him, right? That's not even about you. You don't want your president running for him or her. You want the president running for you.

Well when Trump ran the first time he said make America great again. That was about you. When he said build a wall, that was for you. And people recognized it. But if he runs because he's got a personal gripe about the election, that's not going to work. That's not going to work. This is not strong enough. I mean he could win it anyway. I mean maybe he could make that work because people just are sick of whatever's happening. But it's not a good approach even if he got elected anyway.

But here's what would be. You ready? Let's take Trump's complaint that really is all about himself and now let's turn that into a winning campaign formula. You ready? I'm going to give Trump the winning formula. This is the campaign issue that would work. We can't know if I won or not. I happen to think I did. But we have to make elections auditable. Make elections fully auditable. You should know if you voted the moment the elections close. At the moment the votes close you should get a text to say yeah we got your vote, here it is. Or some kind of a system. I'm not saying that that would be the system.

But if President Trump runs for reelection and makes his main campaign theme I'm going to fix elections, now could he do that? Because the federal government has limited capabilities when it comes to the states. Yeah, he could. He could make money available. He could threaten the states with losing money. He could do a lot. I mean I don't know if he could fix it in one term but he can do a lot, I think. Now I need a fact check from smarter people to tell me if that's practical, but I think it is. And if he does that, then it's about us, right?

I don't mind his complaint that he thinks he won, despite no proof of that at the moment. I don't mind that complaint because that's an opinion. He gets to have an opinion. But if he tells me he's going to fix the system or work hard at it or at least work as hard as he did on the wall even if it didn't work out, we need somebody who cares to make our system auditable again.

If Trump runs with a main theme of fixing our election system, I'm all in. So let me say that again. Like most of you, I haven't made any decision about who I would support in 2024. I don't even know who's running. But if Trump makes this a major theme, to fix the elections, to make them auditable, I'm all in. Because you know what? I don't care about anything else.

So OAN is reporting that some Republicans are being told when they go to vote in the election recall, which is happening right now, they're being told that they already voted. Now it's on OAN, so you can reasonably ask yourself, is that accurate? How many people? Is this one person or more? We don't know. All right, so because it's in the media you have to say to yourself is it true? I don't know. Doesn't mean it's true just because it's reported.

But and also Project Veritas, I saw they're asking Californians if they see anything that looks sketchy to let them know. I can report that I have heard reports of something very sketchy. I'm not going to mention it yet, but personally I've heard anecdotally a report that sounded sketchy as hell to me. Don't know if it's true, so I'm not going to repeat it.

Now these, the fact that we have these reports, anecdotal and not 100 percent reliable, does that mean that the election is bad? Does that mean that this election is corrupt or rigged because we hear these stories? No, it doesn't mean that. I mean we don't have anything that's like some kind of proof of that. But here's what we also don't have. We don't have an election that we could audit fully. So when it's done we won't know if we voted or not. And we no longer live in a world in which trusting our officials makes sense at all.

Now as I was looking at this I thought to myself, you know this is a bad situation that you've got elections that people don't trust in a way that our system requires them to trust it in order to work. And I thought to myself that's bad and that makes me angry. But not as angry as this. We had two years to fix this, right? And we've also got time to fix it for 2022. But as far as I know nobody's working on it. And we have, maybe Texas made a step, but even they don't have an auditable system. Yeah, maybe they have a system that's just captured by Republicans instead of Democrats, right? So you know maybe different states are captured by different parties.

But 2022 is coming and 2024 is coming and nobody's working on fixing the problem. I'm going to lose my mind. It's one thing to have a problem and you know you can complain about it, but the people in charge have not even made this a priority. It's not even mentioned. And so I'd like to say to all of our elected officials and even those running for election who are not talking about this as their top priority, every one of you, you're a goddamn useless piece of shit. You need to give us an election system that we can trust.

I don't even give a shit who gets elected. Give us a system that is compatible with democracy and the republic. Give us an effort. I don't even care if it's hard and you can't figure out how to do it. Tell us it's your top priority. Because you know what my top priority is? This. Everything else matters less. If we don't know who was in the country or how they got elected, it doesn't matter what your policies are, right? Because you lost your country. We need to get the country back. And the only way that's going to happen is to fix the election process so it's fully auditable. And instantly somebody needs to be working on that.

If nobody's working on it, we don't have a government. We don't even have a government if nobody's working on that. We don't have a government that's on our side. We have a government that's, I don't know, working for itself or not working or I don't know what they're doing, but they're not working for us. This needs to be our number one, number one topic. Needs to be bigger than climate change. Because how are you going to change climate if you can't even run your government, right? It needs to be bigger than the defense budget. It needs to be bigger than everything. Bigger than Afghanistan, bigger than the wall, bigger than all that.

There is no bigger problem in the country than the election system not being credible to the public. And if you give me a politician who will say that out loud with some kind of an effort towards fixing it that looks credible, I will be fully behind that politician. And I don't give a shit what their other policies are. If they can get that one thing done for me, I would even sign up to vote for the first time.

All right, so how about, hey, tell us about your fiscal policy, Joe Biden. No. Your fiscal policy, your infrastructure, your immigration plan, your vaccinations, everything about you, your goddamn dysfunctional brain that's basically a bowl of oatmeal at this moment, everything about you, fix the election or at least work on it, at least tell us it's a priority.

President Trump, I got some tough love for you too. If you run for election and all you're doing is complaining about the election was rigged, that you don't have as your top priority some way to fix it, don't run. Don't run. You're no good to us. You have no value, Mr. Trump, who I liked by the way. I like him personally. But tough love, right? Tough love. If this isn't right at the top of your priorities and all you're doing is complaining about the last time, I don't care. I don't care if you run. I'm not going to support that. All right, it's just going to make things worse, wouldn't it? I mean it's just going to make a revolution or something. So no Trump, no Biden. We want an election system. I don't care who it is that runs on that platform.

Andrew Yang looks like he might be joining a third party or something. If you come up with a plan to fix our election system, I don't even care what the other stuff is. Don't even care. Just fix the election system and I will give you my full support if you can have a credible idea and you know some actual chance of doing that.

So here's where I am on all that. Nothing else matters. And you're doing this right in front of us, politicians. So yeah, I guess that's maybe the part that made me snap. It would be one thing if things happen and you go, oh God, I didn't know that was happening. Man, that happened without me noticing. Afghanistan, for example, snuck up on me, right? If you had asked me, hey Scott, you know a month ago, do you think that's going to be a disaster, the withdrawal, I would have said I don't know. And maybe, maybe not. Who knows? It was just sort of opaque.

But the election problem is not opaque. I know exactly what the problem is. The problem is it can't be audited. It's very objective. And you're not working on it. And it's our top problem, number one problem, and you're not working on it. Nothing.

All right, well I'm disgusted.

Here's a thought experiment. I'm changing topics a little bit here. Suppose there were two groups of humans and the only thing you knew about them that was different is that one group was told they're valuable just by existing. Hey you group, you are valuable. You just have to exist. Just be healthy, be whatever you are. Just exist. You are valuable. Now there's a second group. You're told that their value is only from what they do. They have to perform. They have to be useful. They have to make something work. They've got to build something. They gotta make some money. They gotta go do something.

Then you check back in 20 years. Which of the two groups excelled at making money and success? Was it the group that is told that they are valuable just the way they are, you don't need to do anything? Or would it be the group that's told they're worthless unless they do something, succeed? So which ones do better?

Well as I've said before, women are biologically more valuable just by existing because they can have babies and men can't. And you only need one man to impregnate lots of women. So we're not very valuable, men, from a biological standpoint, unless we do stuff.

And Mark Schneider, who had this very interesting tweet, I'm just going to read it to you. He said the fact is that as men we are expendable until we can prove we are not. My father, stepfather and grandfathers instilled this in me. And I thought to myself that sounds about right. I remember being told quite explicitly that I had to like do something, you know, I had to succeed by doing something. I'm not exactly sure my sister got the same message. I'd love to ask her that. I don't know that she did because I was told explicitly that you know success was my goal. I had to succeed. I don't know if my sister was told that. I mean not in direct language. I mean she did succeed, you know. She put together a very successful life. But I don't know. Could be different.

I'm a middle child by the way. And so I wonder if that's a part of the difference in outcomes. You know obviously there could be biological differences, a million other social differences, but I would think that this would be at least one of them. That if you don't think that your human value is much affected by accomplishment, why would you try? I mean there's got to be a factor, right?

All right. China, they've got this 21-day extreme quarantine situation they use. So if you've been exposed or if you came from another country back into China, you'd have 14 days of compulsory hotel quarantine. You'd have another seven days in some kind of centralized quarantine at designated locations. And then before returning home you'd be health monitored. And then I think you have to, and you've got all kinds of testing even before that stuff happens. And still an infection got into the country.

So they think they know who it was. I don't think so. It doesn't sound like they know who it was to me. But they think they know it was. And they say that this fellow had come in from, I don't know, Malaysia or Indonesia or someplace. And he tested negative for the virus nine times during 21 days of quarantine before testing positive on Friday, 37 days after entering China. He tested positive. What's going on? It doesn't sound like they know exactly what's going on. It sounds like there's still mystery here.

But here's my question. Is any country intentionally infecting any other country? Do you think that's a thing? Because it would be horrible of course. But are you telling me that there's no natural enemy countries that haven't thought, you know it would be kind of evil but if our rival were more infected than we were that might be good for us? Does anybody think that way? I wonder. Because I think that way. I mean I'm not saying I would implement that plan but I would think of it. I would certainly think of it.

Do you think that nobody is intentionally infecting China? Really? Because that would be amazing restraint, you know. Maybe it's just hard to do. But it seems like it would be an amazing expression of restraint to not intentionally infect China if you thought China was the source of it and you thought China was evil and everything else.

So China has this plan of trying to basically stamp it out completely. And they've done an impressive job trying to do that. But since we know it's going to be an endemic and not a pandemic, isn't their strategy a failed strategy? Because aren't they all going to get it just the way we're all going to get it? Just a matter of time.

No, it could be that the reason China is taking an extreme position is, wait for it, that their health care system wouldn't be able to handle any extra stress the way an American system can. Because we managed to expand and do some impressive stuff when we had to. But what happens if China's health care system gets overloaded? I mean I assume that the cities have pretty good health care systems. But in rural China, what happens when you're sick? Do they all have good health care in rural China? I don't know.

So I would wonder if China has potentially a gigantic problem, which is that they can't handle any level of infection similar to other countries because it would crash the country, right? It might be just a way bigger risk in China than it is in other places. It could even threaten the government, I would think. The stability of the government would fall if their health care system collapsed. Am I right? If China's health care system collapsed right in front of the whole world, even the leadership would be in trouble, right?

So it seems to me that China is only a few super spreaders away from falling, potentially. I mean that's not the odds on, but a non-zero chance. There is a non-zero chance that high infections in China would crash the government. Because I think the Chinese people would start to see their government as the problem. You know if they believe it originated there. The propaganda is trying to tell the local citizens it didn't originate in China. But if the health care system crashes they're all going to know it. They're going to know their relatives couldn't get that heart transplant and everything else.

Somebody says it's wild conjecture. The U.S. has a worse health care system. Here's my speculation. So it is conjecture, you're right. But the speculation is this, that our rural health care is far better. I think if you looked city to city it might not be that different. Maybe even Chinese is better. But if you looked at rural, I feel like we'd have a big advantage. Now that's the part you'd have to fact check, right? So we'll see.

So China, there's also a thought that China might have to vaccinate the rest of the world to protect itself. So imagine that the United States continues on its current path. We should have enough vaccinations plus herd immunity, normal infections, that we're going to be something back to normal even though we might be masked and boosted and that for years we'll be able to have an economy in something like a life. But China hasn't gone through this. And I don't know if their low quality of vaccinations are going to be good enough if they have to go through this.

So what happens if we go through this and get to the other end, turned it into an endemic where it's a problem but you know doesn't stop anything from happening, and they just started and they just get taken out by the virus? I think that could happen. And the only thing that they can do to try to prevent that is to try to vaccinate everywhere else in the world so that they can travel and do stuff and not get it back in their country. China is going to have to vaccinate the rest of the world. The United States apparently isn't looking to do that and our vaccinations are the good ones. So their vaccinations might not even be good enough. So keep an eye on that.

So I would say that China has at least 10 gigantic problems that don't even look solvable. China's in big, big trouble.

Now what about the question of business in China? I can't imagine that we're going to be moving more American factories into China. Didn't that stop? Can somebody tell me what was the last time a major American company made a decision to move into China with a factory as it happened in the past year? Probably can't because of the pandemic. But Tesla's plans were older than that. But has anybody made a new plan in the last six months or last year to move into China? I haven't heard of any. Yeah, I think it stopped completely. Now it could be the pandemic is what stopped it because you can't travel so it's impossible to do that sort of thing. Yeah, I think it'll end up in Vietnam.

All right, and China's stocks are getting hit. So there's a thought that China's plan, their Marxist plan, I'd never heard this before. Tell me if you've ever heard this before. That Marxism, this doesn't make any sense. I read this but it's got to be wrong so ignore the next things that come out of my mouth. But the idea is that Marxism requires you to have money to do it and you have to have some capitalism first so that China's plan is to be capitalist, make a bunch of money, which will cause inequality, and then to introduce socialism which will suck some of that money away from the richest and give it to the poor. And then there's a third phase which is communism, which is apparently if you've made enough with your capitalism, you've made it more equal with your socialism, that somehow there's this good thing called communism at the end. I don't know how that could possibly work but maybe somebody smarter could explain the details.

However it does look like Xi is trying to rebalance things and is trying to take money from the elites and give it to the public through various social policies. And that is a gigantic change if it works. So China's got another gigantic challenge which is that capitalism would destroy it because the inequality would become too enormous at some point and they would fall just from the inequality, some say. And trying to fix it seems like an enormous problem too. So good luck to them.

So do you think Texas's economy will suffer because of the new anti-abortion laws? Well Salesforce, a gigantic company, is going to offer to relocate employees and their families from Texas if they want to move because of that. So does Texas win because the godless liberals move out and then you've got more Republicans running things? Well so does Texas come out ahead because these mostly tech companies I think decide to boycott it? Or does Texas come out behind because companies won't move there to do their business?

My estimate is that Texas will come out behind. Now it's just a guess but here's why. If Salesforce did not already have facilities in Texas, would they move there? No, clearly. Clearly Salesforce moved there because they could move there when they did and now you know they're there so it's too hard to move out. But they are moving their employees out if the employees want to go. I don't think many will take that. But I guarantee that the next big tech company can't move into Texas. I guarantee it. I guarantee that no billion dollar tech company will move into Texas while that abortion law is happening. Does anybody want to take that bet?

So it's got to be at least a billion dollar tech company and I'm saying that not one of them will move in that hasn't already made the plans. I know Tesla's made their plans etc. But people who have not made any plans from this point forward, no new tech company will move into Texas. Now the counter argument is yeah but Texas gets to attract all these Republicans and they manage things well and they'll be fine maybe. But I think if you make it too hard for tech companies to move in, eventually you're going to suffer I think. And especially because Texas is a tech state.

Trump is saying that Democrats disparaged the COVID vaccine while he was president and now they wonder why some are hesitant, says Trump. Do you buy that? That the reason people are hesitant may be in part because the Democrats disparaged it? What do you think? I don't know, maybe a little. But I can't believe that the Democrats would have influenced Republicans, right? Democrats influence Democrats. But Democrats are getting the shots now. The two populations, the black Americans and Republicans, are the ones that are having the most hesitancy. So it's in both parties. I'm not so sure that would have made a difference.

Business Insider, which is interestingly owned in part by Jeff Bezos, is printing a leaked tax plan from the Democrats. So this is not official. It's just a leaked draft. Could be real, different. And of course it's showing gigantic tax increases on the rich. What are the odds that that's going to get passed? Do you think there's any chance that the elites who run everything are going to massively tax themselves? Because if you think the elites run everything there's no chance that this is going to happen, right? No chance.

So I almost think that the size of the plans that the Democrats are pushing are designed to fail, right? Does it seem that the Democrats are asking for so much in their spending package, you know the trillions and trillions, it seems like they designed it to ask for so much they can't possibly get passed because the elites, it's the last thing they want. The last thing they want is a giant spend and tax plan because they'll get taxed. So I'm just going to put that out there. Is Nancy Pelosi smart enough to push a plan that can't get passed because she doesn't want it to get passed or her backers don't want it to get passed? I wonder. I doubt it. I doubt it. But you can't rule it out in today's world, can you? It's terrible that you can't rule it out. But I'm going to predict that getting a tax bill through that would rape the elites who actually run the country feels unlikely unless they don't really run the country. I guess we'll find out, won't we?

If you believe that the elites are running everything no matter what party they're in, it's just the elites, then the tax plan won't pass, right? Because follow the money. The money predicts, totally predicts that that tax plan won't be implemented. It totally predicts that. So how often is it wrong when money predicts? Not often. Money usually does predict. But we will find out if the elites are in charge. Because if the elites are in charge they won't let it get passed.

All right, at the press conference Rose McGowan said she's no longer a Democrat because they're the ones who harassed, stalked and stole from her in her time in Hollywood. Interesting. And I would also add to that that Republicans are better people. Republicans are, well I'll say conservatives. Conservatives are better people now. That's just an opinion of course. It's subjective. Now I don't identify as conservative. I identify as socially super liberal. Not crazy liberal, not woke to the point of crippled, but socially liberal for sure. So I'm not a conservative. But I can tell you that if I have to spend time with a certain group of people that conservatives are just on average, on average they're just nicer people. Now I'm not talking about anybody who's like full out racist or something. You know both parties have people who are just. But on average Republicans are nicer. They're just nicer. That's my experience. Now again it's purely subjective, right? Yours may differ.

All right. I believe, Scott do you think abortion at eight, five months is okay? Let me answer. So I've been asked a question about abortion. I'd like to answer that question by dropping my pants and showing you my penis. I won't do that. You're welcome. I won't do that. But the point is I have a penis. It does not produce babies. If my penis produced babies and the vagina did not, do you think I would care about a woman's opinion about whether I should be able to have an abortion? If only penises made babies, no I don't want a woman's opinion about my penis at all. None. I barely want a man's opinion but at least there would be some credibility if it came from a man.

Likewise do you think women want my penis opinion about their vagina? I don't think so. It doesn't make the decision better. Doesn't add any credibility to it. So it's not my question to solve. And whatever women as a group want to come up with, make it legal, make it illegal. If women are okay with it I'm going to back it. And I would ask that same standard in reverse. Should there be a topic in which it's really a man's question because it doesn't apply to women for one reason or another? I don't want to hear your opinion at all. I don't want to hear your opinion at all unless you're an expert. I mean if a man is an expert on some element of biology or abortion then yeah. But I'm not an expert.

Somebody says weak. It's weak? Is it? I would say that's pretty subjective. Fortified skins agree abortion is a human rights issue. That's an opinion because you start with the answer. So when you say abortion is a human rights issue I think what you're saying is that the fetus has a human right. I think that's where you're going with that comment. But you've started the argument with your assumption. If your assumption is it's human, well there's no debate to be made. So you haven't really debated. You just put an assumption in there and said you're done.

And this is another reason why I don't get into the actual debate because you can't win in the debate. The only thing you can do with abortion is make sure that the right person makes the decision.

How many of you are fans of Thomas Sowell if I pronounced his name right? I hope I did. Thomas Sowell, you know the famous black economist. And because it's 2021 and we're all, I have to throw in the black part like that mattered. It didn't. It didn't make any difference to the point I'm going to make that he's black. But it's 2021 so you have to throw that in there. Someday we'll just be able to say economist. We're not quite there yet like we hope we will be there but someday.

Anyway one of the things that Thomas Sowell says that I love is that it's not so much what the decision is, it's who gets to make it. Now he's using it in a different context but same thing with abortion. I'm less concerned with what the decision is because there's no right decision. It's awful either way. It's just awful in different ways to different people. So what I care about is the decision was made by the right people. And the only thing I know for sure is I'm not one of them. I'm not one of the right people. So the best thing I can do for the system is to take a shower when you're deciding what to do and then I'll back it.

Now I'd be a jerk if I say you make the decision but I'll criticize you for it. Nope. You make the decision, you being women or any men who want to because you have a right. You have a right to be part of the decision. I'm not arguing that all men have a right to be part of the process. But after you make a decision I'll back it whatever it is. Yeah, 80 year old women also have a say. Women who can't produce children have a say because they're all in the same pot meaning that their lives are most affected by this even if they can't have children. You know they're seen as people who can have children or did.

Yeah I don't care about whether trans are part of it. That's not going to move the needle enough.

All right, that's all for now. YouTube, I'll talk to you later.

coffee with Scott Adams I know I know it's the highlight of your day you're already sad thinking about the fact that it might end later yeah I know but don't don't think that yet just enjoy it just be in the moment now this one comes with a warning because the California election is happening right now the recall election and I got a little bit triggered so there will be cursing later uh just warning you so put the earmuffs on the children and I think the rest of you adults will be able to handle this but if you'd like to get fortified so that the cursing doesn't bother you what would be a good way to do that yeah coffee that's right and all you need is a cup of mug or a glass of tanker Chelsea style canteen chocolate flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine the other day the thing that makes everything better except our up elections is called the simultaneous Sip and it happens now go ah wow all right it's all going now well Rasmussen uh asked people what do they think about celebrity or external politicians campaigning for a candidate do you think it helps do you think people think that makes a difference when the celebrities and the external candidates are are helping out well most people say no but shockingly 30 percent say it's important or somewhat important the celebrities and outside politicians help campaign now I don't think I've ever been influenced by a celebrity endorsement I don't know if I've been influenced by a politician endorsement although those seem more weighty but um I feel like it works I feel like it works because if if Newsom is campaigning with a celebrity or with you know Kamala Harris or Biden he just gets more attention and the tension is the thing that gets you elected right the more attention you get the better so I think that these celebrity endorsements do work just because they draw people and they draw attention I don't think it has anything to do with the endorsement per se well you do you remember most of you who watch this recently I think it was yesterday I was talking about what yes the pre-print paper about young boys getting some myocarditis from the vaccination itself and I said to you do not be too confident that this is correct because even peer-reviewed studies or you know half of them turn out not to be right and this is before it's even peer-reviewed so a pre-print should be your lowest level of credibility within the scientific realm and I I warned you that maybe these initial findings might not hold up Well that took about 24 hours and uh Aleister Mc.

Alpine MD so he's a doctor he says of this major study that showed that young boys were having heart problems from the vaccination he points out that it's non-peer-reviewed it's an unpublished preprint it's based on data dumpster diving through a non-verified database that once listed becoming the Incredible Hulk as a side effect and it uses his outdated statistics to paint a false picture so that's one opinion all right so one one knowledgeable opinion is it's a garbage study uh and Andres backhaus is also warning us it's going to fall apart so if you're worried about uh young boys having little heart risk with the vaccination the first thing you should do is compare it to the risk of getting coveted itself because I think it was uh Scott Gottlieb ex head of the FDA who is now calling this an endemic meaning you're gonna get it you get that right so we used to think well maybe we could keep some people from getting covered nope not anymore apparently you're all going to get it uh it's just a matter of when maybe you won't be this year could be five years from now but it's gonna be around you're all going to get it and if that's the case then you have to compare the vaccination to getting covet not a percentage chance of getting covered you're not a not a 10 chance of getting covered but you're going to get covered so now if you know you're going to get it even though there would be a timing difference you can basically now compare the risk of heart problems from covid versus the risk of heart problems from the vaccination it turns out that covet is worse so at the moment I would say there is zero credible evidence that young boys have extra risk zero credible evidence it could still be true right because when I talk about credibility that doesn't mean true or false that just means do you have evidence that's the kind of evidence they should convince you or not we don't we don't have the kind of evidence that should make you make a different decision based on that factor maybe later we will but we don't know all right there are two things we know for sure and I tweeted this and I'm going to read it because I tweeted it so well that I can't improve upon it so I'm just going to read it I said there are two things we know for sure number one we must use good science and good data to make decisions absolutely number two we know for sure we wouldn't recognize good science and good data if it showed us three IDs and made a scream its name while ass us at his home address I'll just let that sit there for a moment now here's a humor writing lesson you ready humor writing lesson what makes this sentence funny we wouldn't recognize good science and good data if it showed us three IDs and made us scream its name while ass us at his home address what makes that work well it's visual right it's also it's cruel it's bizarre you know these are the dimensions of humor if you get any two of The Six Dimensions of humor in there it's gonna be funny so you got you know cruelty bizarre it's clever it's got basically three or four but here's the technique I want to share with you is that third and last clause at its home address right so if you're going to exaggerate something this is you know a simple humor technique you just say okay something's bad let me describe how bad it is in a funny way now if I said we wouldn't know good science and good data if it showed us three IDs is that funny we wouldn't know it if it showed us three sources of identification no not really just sort of sits there makes a point you know in an analogy kind of way but it just sits there right if I say we wouldn't know good science and good data if it showed us three IDs and made a scream his name while ass us well now you're talking now it's getting a little funny because we got the we got the naughty part in there and it's bizarre and you know it's it's got everything but here's the part I want to teach you it's the third thing that sells it right the second part part you know the first part is just a setup we wouldn't know if we wouldn't know good science if it showed us three IDs not funny yet it's just a setup but then the the payoff is making us scream its name while ass us but then the real dessert you know the thing that ties this together makes it work is the third thing because it's hard to come with with three things that fit three things that cause you to be able to positively identify it and the third thing was it's we're at its home address which took a little work to come up with that third thing so that's the technique if you're going to exaggerate have three levels of exaggeration first one okay it's just setting me up second one you need to get the laugh second one needs to make them laugh all right all right I see where you're going you're done now right as soon as they think you're done that's where you add the third one the third one is what puts it over the line and makes it you know one for the ages two could be funny if you could get that third one in there people will remember that right so that's your lesson for the day on humor well apparently CNN is already worried about Trump he is the top the top story today can you believe it Trump is the top story on CNN do you know what made Trump the top story on CNN he talked he just opened his mouth he just talked and he's the biggest story in the world and what he talked about was that he's reminding people that he believes the election was rigged and that that might be a major theme of is reelection now do you think Trump could get reelected making the election itself a major theme would that be strong enough to if he just said hey I got robbed I got robbed let's do this right re-elect me it was rigged I say no I say no yeah and I'm seeing more no's in the comments no way right because it's whiny it's small right it's small it's whiny and you just think maybe if he tried already could have won right so even if you think it's true it doesn't work does it because you feel like he should win anyway right if you're complaining about the referee well maybe you should have shot better baskets right if you think you lost the game because of the ref well maybe you should have played better I mean that's sort of automatically what we think complaining about the rules it's too small that's about him right that's not even about you you don't want your president running for him or her you want you want the president running for you well when Trump ran the first time he said make America great again that was about you when he said build a wall that was for you and people recognized it but if he runs because he's got a personal gripe about the election that's not going to work that's not going to work this is not strong enough I mean he could he could win it anyway I mean maybe he could make that work because people just are sick of whatever's happening but it's not a good approach even if even if he got elected anyway but here's what would be you ready let's take Trump's complaint that really is all about himself and now let's turn that into a winning campaign formula you ready I'm going to give Trump the winning formula this is the campaign issue that would work we can't know if I won or not I happen to think I did but we have to make elections auditable make elections fully auditable you should know if you voted the moment the elections close at the moment the votes close you should get a text to say yeah we got your vote here it is or or some kind of a system I'm not saying that that would be the system but if president Trump runs for re-election and makes his main Campaign theme I'm going to fix elections now could he do that because the federal government has limited capabilities when it comes to the states yeah you could be good he could make money available he could threaten the states with losing money he could do a lot I mean I don't know if he could fix it in one term but he can do a lot I think now I need a fact check from smarter people to tell me if that's practical but I think it is um and if he does that then it's about us right I don't mind his complaint that he thinks he won despite no proof of that at the moment I don't mind that complaint because that's an opinion he's you know he gets to have an opinion but if he tells me he's going to fix the system or work hard at it or at least work as hard as he did on the wall even if it didn't work out we need somebody who cares to make our system auditable again if Trump wins I'm sorry if Trump runs with a main theme of fixing our election system I'm all in so let me say that again um like most of you I haven't made any decision about who I would support in 2024.

I don't even know who's running but if Trump makes this a major theme to fix the elections to make them auditable I'm all in because you know what I don't care about anything else so uh oam is reporting uh that some Republicans are being told when they go to vote in the election recall which is happening right now they're being told that they already voted now it's on oan so you can reasonably ask yourself is that accurate how many people is this is this one person or more we don't know all right so because it's in the media you have to say to yourself is it true I don't know doesn't mean it's true just because it's reported but uh and also project Veritas I saw their their asking Californians if they see anything that looks sketchy to let them know I can report that I have heard reports of something very sketchy I'm not going to mention it yet but personally I've heard anecdotally a report that sounded sketchy as hell to me don't know if it's true so I'm not going to repeat it now these the fact that we have these reports anecdotal and not 100 reliable does that mean that the election is bad does that mean that this election is is corrupt or rigged because we hear these stories no it doesn't mean that I mean there's we don't have anything that's like some kind of proof of that but here's what we also don't have we don't have an election that we could audit fully so when it's done we won't know if we voted or not and we no longer live in a world in which trusting our officials makes sense at all now as I was looking at this I thought to myself you know this is a bad situation that you've got elections that people don't trust in a way that our system requires them to trust it in order to work and I thought to myself that's bad and that makes me angry but not as angry as this we had two years to fix this right and we've also got time to fix it for 2022 but as far as I know nobody's working on it and we have maybe Texas made a made a step but even they don't have an auditable system yeah maybe they have a system that's just captured by Republicans instead of Democrats right so you know maybe different states are captured by different parties but 2022 is coming in 2024 is coming and nobody's working on fixing the problem I'm going to lose my is one thing to have a problem and you know you can complain about it but the people in charge have not even made this a priority it's not even mentioned and so I'd like to say to all of our elected officials and even those running for election who are not talking about this as their top party every one of you your goddamn useless piece of you need to give us a election system that we can trust I don't even give a who gets elected give us a system that is compatible with democracy and the Republic give us a effort I don't even care if it's hard and you can't figure out how to do it tell us is your top priority because you know what my top priority is this everything else matters less if we don't know who was in the country or how they got elected it doesn't matter what your policies are right because you lost your country we need to get the country back and the only way that's going to happen is to fix the election process so it's fully auditable and instantly somebody needs to be working on that if nobody's working on it we don't have a government we don't even have a government if nobody's working on that we don't have a government that's on our side we don't we have a government that's I don't know working for itself or not working or I don't know what the they're doing but they're not working for us this needs to be our number one number one topic needs to be bigger than climate change because how are you going to change climate if you can't even run your government right it needs to be bigger than the defense budget it needs to be bigger than everything bigger than Afghanistan bigger than wall bigger than all that there is no bigger problem in the country than the election system not being credible to the public and if you give me a politician who will say that out loud with some kind of an effort towards fixing it that looks credible I will be fully behind that politician and I'll give a what part either in I don't give a what their other policies are if they can get that one thing done for me I would even sign up to vote for the first time all right so how about um hey tell us about your fiscal policy Joe Biden no you your fiscal policy your infrastructure your immigration plan your vaccinations everything about you your goddamn dysfunctional brain that's basically a bowl of oatmeal at this moment everything about you fix the election or at least work on it at least tell us it's a priority president Trump I got some tough love for you too if you run for election and all you're doing is complaining about the election was rigged that you don't have as your top priority some way to fix it don't run don't run you're no good to us you have no value Mr.

Trump who I liked by the way I like him personally but tough love right tough love if this isn't if this isn't right at the top of your priorities and all you're doing is complaining about the last time I don't care I don't care if you run I'm not going to support that all right it's just going to make things worse wouldn't it I mean it's just going to make a what a revolution or something um so no Trump no Biden we won an election system I don't care who it is it runs on that platform Andrew yang Andrew Yang looks like he might be joining a third party or something if you come up with a plan to fix our election system I don't even care what the other stuff is don't even care just fix the election system and I will give you my full support if you can have a credible idea and you know some actual chance of doing that so here's where I am on all that nothing else matters and you're doing this right in front of us politicians so yeah I guess that's maybe that's the part that made me snap it would be one thing if things happen and you go oh God I didn't know that was happening man that happened without me noticing Afghanistan for example snuck up on me right if you had asked me hey Scott you know a month ago do you think that's going to be a disaster the withdrawal I would have said I don't know and maybe maybe not who knows it was just sort of opaque but the election problem is not opaque I know exactly what the problem is the problem is it can't be audited it's very objective and you're not working on it and it's our top problem number one problem and you're not working on it nothing all right well I'm disgusted Here's a thought experiment I'm changing topics a little bit here um Suppose there were two groups of humans and the only thing you knew about them that was different is that one group was told they're valuable just by existing hey you group you are valuable you just have to exist just be healthy be whatever you are just exist you are valuable now there's a second group you're told that their value is only from what they do they have to perform they have to they have to be useful they have to make something work they've got to build something they gotta make some money they gotta go do something then he checked back in 20 years which of the two groups excelled at making money and success was it the group that is told that they are valuable just the way they are you don't need to do anything or would it be the group that's told they're worthless unless they do something succeed so which ones do better well as I've said before women are biologically more valuable just by existing because they could have babies and men can't and you'll need you know one man to impregnate lots of women so we're not very valuable men from a biological standpoint unless we do stuff and Mark Schneider who had this very interesting tweet I'm just going to read it to you he said the fact is that as men we are expendable until we can prove we are not my father stepfather and grandfathers instilled this in me and I thought to myself that sounds about right I remember being told quite explicitly that I had to like do something you know I had to succeed by doing something I'm not exactly sure my sister got the same message I'd love to ask you that I don't know that she because I was told explicitly that you know success was my goal I had to succeed I don't know if my sister was told that I mean not in direct language I mean she did succeed you know she she put together a very successful life but I don't know could be different I'm a middle child by the way um and so I wonder if that's a part of the difference in outcomes you know obviously there could be biological differences million other social differences but I would think that this would be at least one of them that if you don't think that your human value is much affected by accomplishment why would you try I mean there's got to be a factor right all right um China they've got this 21 day extreme quarantine situation they use so if you've been exposed or if you came from another country it back into China uh you'd have 14 days of compulsory Hotel quarantine you'd have another seven days and some kind of centralized quarantine that designated locations and then before returning home you'd be Health monitored and then I think you have to uh and you've got all kinds of testing even before that stuff happens and still an infection got into the country so they think they know who it was I don't think so it doesn't sound like they know who it was to me but they think they know it was and they say that this fellow had come in from um I don't know Malaysia or Indonesia or someplace and the attested negative for the virus nine times during 21 days of quarantine before testing positive on Friday 37 days after entering China you tested positive what's going on it doesn't sound like they know exactly what's going on it sounds like there's still mystery here but here's my question is any country intentionally infecting any other country do you think that's a thing because it would be horrible of course but are you telling me that there's no natural enemy countries they haven't thought you know it would be kind of evil but if our rival were more infected than we were that might be good for us does anybody think that way I wonder because I think that way I mean I'm not sure I'm not saying I would Implement that plan but I would think of it I would certainly think of it do you think that nobody is intentionally infecting China really because that would be amazing restraint you know maybe it's just hard to do but it seems like it would be an amazing uh expression of restraint to not intentionally infect China if you thought China was the source of it and you thought China was evil and everything else so China has this plan of trying to basically you know stop it stamp it out completely and they've done impressive job trying to do that but since we know it's going to be an endemic and not a pandemic isn't their strategy a failed strategy because aren't they all going to get it just the way we're all going to get it just a matter of time No it should it could be that the reason China is taking an extreme position is wait for it that their Health Care system wouldn't be able to handle any extra stress the way an American system can because we we managed to expand and you know do some impressive stuff when we had to but what happens if China's Health Care System gets overloaded I mean I assume that the cities have pretty good Health Care Systems but in rural China what happens when you're sick do they all have good health care in rural China I don't know so I would wonder if China has potentially a gigantic problem which is that they can't they can't handle any level of infection similar to other countries because it would crash the country right it might be just a way bigger risk in China than it is in other places it could even um it could even threaten the government I would think the stability of the government would fall if their Health Care System collapsed am I right if China's Health Care System collapsed right in front of the whole world even the leadership would be in trouble right so it seems to me that China is only a few super spreaders away from falling potentially I mean that's you know it's not the odds on but a non-zero chance there is a non-zero chance that high infections in China would crash the government because I think the Chinese people would start to see their government as the problem you know if they believe it or originated there the propaganda is trying to tell the local citizens it didn't originate in China but if the Health Care System crashes they're all going to know it they're going to know their relatives couldn't get that heart transplant and everything else somebody says it's wild conjecture the U.S has a worse Health Care system um here's my uh speculation so it is it is conjecture you're right but the speculation is this that our rural Health Care is far better I think if you looked City to City it might not be that different maybe even Chinese is better but if you looked at rural feel like we'd have a big Advantage now that's the part you'd have to fact check right so we'll see so um China there's also a thought that China might have to vaccinate the rest of the world to protect itself so imagine that the United States continues on its current path we should have enough vaccinations plus herd immunity normal infections that we're going to be something back to normal even though we might be masked and boosted and that for years we'll be able to have an economy in something like a life but China hasn't gone through this and I don't know if there are low quality of vaccinations are going to be good enough if they have to go through this so what happens if we go through this and get to the other end turned it into an endemic where it's a problem but you know doesn't stop anything from happening and they just started and they just get taken out by the virus I think that could happen and the only thing that they can do to try to prevent that is to try to vaccinate everywhere else in the world so that the that they can travel and do stuff and not get it back in their country China is going to have to vaccinate the rest of the world the United States apparently isn't looking to do that in our vaccinations are the good ones so their vaccinations might not even be good enough so keep an eye on that so I would say that China has at least 10 gigantic problems that don't even look solvable uh China's in big big trouble now what about the question of uh business in China I can't imagine that we're going to be moving more American factories into China didn't that stop can somebody tell me what was the last time a major American company made a decision to move into China with a factory as it happened in the past year probably can't because of the pandemic but but what Tesla's plans were older than that but has anybody made a new plan in the last six months or less year to move into China I haven't heard of any yeah I think it stopped completely now it could be the pandemic is what stopped it because you can't you can't travel so it's impossible to do that sort of thing um yeah I think it'll end up in Vietnam all right and China's stocks are getting hit so there's a thought that China's plan their Marxist planned I'd never heard this before tell me if you've ever heard this before that Marxism this doesn't make any sense I read this but I it's got to be wrong so ignore the next things that come out of my mouth but the the idea is that Marxism requires you to have money to do it and you have to have some capitalism first so that China's plan is to be capitalist make a bunch of money which will cause inequality and then to introduce socialism which will suck some of that money away from the richest and give it to the poor and then there's a third phase which is communism which is apparently if you've made enough with your capitalism you've made it more equal with your socialism that somehow there's this good thing called communism at the end I don't know how that could possibly work but maybe somebody smarter could explain the the details however it does look like she is trying to rebalance things and is trying to you know take money from the elites and give it to the public through various social policies and that is a gigantic change if it works so China's got another gigantic challenge which is that capitalism would destroy it because the inequality would become too enormous at some point and they would fall just from the inequality some say um and tried to fix it seems like an enormous problem too so good luck to them so do you think Texas's uh economy will suffer because of the new anti-abortion laws well Salesforce a gigantic company is going to offer to relocate employees and their families from Texas if they want to move because of that so does Texas win because the uh the Godless liberals move out and then you've got more Republicans running things well so does Texas come out ahead because these mostly tech companies I think decide to boycott it or does Texas come out behind because companies won't move there to do their business my my estimate is that Texas will come out behind now it's just a guess but here's why if Salesforce did not already have facilities in Texas would they move there no clearly clearly Salesforce moved there because they could move there when they did and now you know they're there so it's too hard to move out but they are moving their employees out if the employees want to go I don't think many will take that but I guarantee that the next big tech company can't move into Texas I guarantee it I guarantee that no billion dollar tech company will move into Texas while that abortion law is happening does anybody want to take that bet so it's got to be at least a billion dollar tech company and I'm saying that not one of them will move in that hasn't already made the plans I know Tesla's made their plans Etc but people who have not made any plans from this point forward no new tech company will move into Texas now the counter argument is yeah but Texas gets to attract all these Republicans and they manage things well and they'll be fine maybe but I think if you um if you make tech companies if you make it too hard for tech companies to move in eventually you're going to suffer I think and especially because Texas is a tech state um Trump is saying that Democrats disparaged the coveted vaccine while he was president and now they wonder why some are hesitant says Trump do you buy that that the reason people are hesitant may be in part because the Democrats disparaged it what do you think I don't know maybe a little but I can't believe that the Democrats would have influenced Republicans right Democrats influence Democrats but Democrats are getting the shots now the two populations the black Americans and Republicans are the ones that are having the most hesitancy so it's in both parties I'm not so sure that would have made a difference um Business Insider which is interestingly owned in part by Jeff Bezos is printing a leaked tax plan from the Democrats so this is not official it's just a leaked draft could be real different and of course it's showing you know gigantic tax increases on the rich what are the odds that that's going to get passed do you think there's any chance that the elites who run everything are going to massively tax themselves because if you think the elites run everything there's no chance that this is going to happen right no chance so I and I almost think that the size of the plans that the Democrats are pushing are designed to fail right does it seem that the Democrats are asking for so much in their spending package you know that the trillions and trillions it seems like they designed it to ask for so much they can't possibly get passed because the elites it's the last thing they want the last thing they want is a giant spend and uh and tax plan because they'll get taxed so I'm just going to put that out there is Nancy Pelosi smart enough to push a plan that can't get past because she doesn't want it to get passed or her backers don't want it to get passed I wonder I doubt it I doubt it but you can't rule it out in today's world can you it's it's terrible that you can't rule it out but I'm going to predict that getting a tax bill through that would rape the elites who actually run the country feels unlikely unless they don't really run the country I guess we'll find out won't we if you believe that the elites are running everything no matter what party they're in it's just the elites then the tax plan won't pass right because follow the money the money predicts totally predicts that that tax plan won't be implemented it totally predicts that so how often is it wrong when money predicts not often money usually does predict but we will find out if the elites are in charge because if the elites are in charge they won't get passed all right at the press conference Rose Mc.

Gowan said she's uh she's no longer a Democrat because they're the ones who harass stalked and stole from her in her time in Hollywood interesting and um I would also add to that that Republicans are better people Republicans are well I'll say conservatives conservatives are better people now um that's just an opinion of course it's subjective now I don't identify as conservative I identify as socially you know super liberal uh not crazy liberal not not woke to the point of crippled but um socially liberal for sure so I'm not a conservative but I can tell you that if I have to spend time with a certain group of people that conservatives are just on average on average they're just nicer people now I'm not talking about anybody who's like full out racist or something you know both parties have you know people who are just but on average Republicans are nicer they're just nicer um that's my experience now again it's purely subjective right yours may differ all right I believe uh Scott do you think abortion at eight five months is okay um let me answer so I've been asked a question about abortion I'd like to answer that question by dropping my pants and showing you my penis I won't do that you're welcome I won't do that but the point is I have a penis it does not produce babies if my penis produced babies and the vagina did not do you think I would care about a woman's opinion about whether I should be able to have an abortion if only penises made babies no I don't want a woman's opinion about my penis at all none I barely want a man's opinion but at least there would be some credibility if it came from a man likewise do you think women want my penis opinion about their vagina I don't think so it doesn't make the decision better doesn't add any credibility to it so um it's not my question to solve and whatever women as a as a group want to come up with make it legal make it illegal if women are okay with it I'm going to back it and I would ask that same standard in reverse should there be a topic in which it's really a man's question because it doesn't apply to women for one reason or another I don't want to hear your opinion at all I don't want to hear your opinion at all unless you're an expert I mean if a man is an expert on some element of you know biology or abortion then yeah but I'm not an expert somebody says week it's weak is it I would say that's pretty subjective fortified skins agree abortion is a human rights issue that's an opinion because you you start with the answer So when you say abortion is a human rights I think what you're saying is that the you know the fetus has a human right I think that's where you're going with that comment but you've you started the argument with your assumption if your assumption is it's human well there's no debate to be made so you you haven't really debated you just put an assumption in there and said you're done and this is another another reason why I don't get into the actual debate because it's you can't win in the debate the only thing you can do with abortion is make sure that the right person makes the decision how many of you are fans of Thomas Sowell if I pronounce his right his name right I hope I did Thomas you know the famous uh black economists and because it's 2021 and we're all I have to throw in the black part like that mattered it didn't it didn't make any difference to the point I'm going to make that he's black but it's 20 21 so you have to throw that in there someday we'll just be able to say economist we're not quite there yet like we hope we will be there but someday anyway one of the things that Thomas Soul says that I love is that it's not so much what the decision is it's who gets to make it now he's using it in a different context but same thing with abortion I'm less concerned with what the decision is because there's no right decision it's awful either way it's just awful in different ways to different people so what I care about is the decision was made by the right people and the only thing I know for sure is I'm not one of them I'm not one of the right people so the best thing I can do for the system is to take a shower when you're deciding what to do and then I'll back it now I'd be a jerk if I say you make the decision but I'll I'll criticize you for it nope you make the decision you being women or any men who want to because you have a right you have a right to be part of the decision I'm not arguing that all men have a right to be part of the process um but after you make a decision I'll back it Whatever It Is yeah 80 year old women also have a say women who can't produce children have a say because they're all in the same pot meaning that their lives are most affected by this even if they can't have children you know they're they're seen as people who can have children or dead or could all right um yeah I don't care about whether trans or part of it that's not going to move the needle enough all right that's all for now uh You.

Tube I'll talk

coffee with Scott Adams I know I know

it's the highlight of your day you're

already sad thinking about the fact that

it might end later yeah I know but don't

don't think that yet just enjoy it just

be in the moment

now

this one comes with a warning

because the California election is

happening right now the recall election

and I got a little bit triggered

so there will be cursing later

uh just warning you so

put the earmuffs on the children

and I think the rest of you adults will

be able to handle this but if you'd like

to get fortified so that the cursing

doesn't bother you what would be a good

way to do that yeah coffee that's right

and all you need is a cup of mug or a

glass of tanker Chelsea style canteen

chocolate flask a vessel of any kind

fill it with your favorite liquid

I like coffee and join me now for the

unparalleled pleasure the dopamine the

other day the thing that makes

everything better except our up

elections is called the simultaneous Sip

and it happens now go

ah

wow all right it's all going now

well Rasmussen uh asked people what do

they think about celebrity or external

politicians campaigning for a candidate

do you think it helps do you think

people think that makes a difference

when the celebrities and the external

candidates are are helping out well most

people say no but shockingly 30 percent

say it's important or somewhat important

the celebrities and outside politicians

help campaign

now I don't think I've ever been

influenced by a celebrity endorsement

I don't know if I've been influenced by

a politician endorsement although those

seem more weighty

but

um I feel like it works

I feel like it works because

if if Newsom is campaigning with a

celebrity or with you know Kamala Harris

or Biden he just gets more attention

and the tension is the thing that gets

you elected right the more attention you

get the better so I think that these

celebrity endorsements do work just

because they draw people and they draw

attention I don't think it has anything

to do with the endorsement per se

well you do you remember most of you who

watch this recently I think it was

yesterday I was talking about what yes

the pre-print paper about young boys

getting some myocarditis

from the vaccination itself

and I said to you do not be too

confident that this is correct because

even peer-reviewed studies

or you know half of them turn out not to

be right and this is before it's even

peer-reviewed

so a pre-print should be your lowest

level of credibility within the

scientific realm and I I warned you that

maybe these initial

findings might not hold up

Well that took about 24 hours

and uh Aleister

McAlpine MD so he's a doctor

he says of this major study that showed

that young boys were having heart

problems from the vaccination

he points out that it's

non-peer-reviewed it's an unpublished

preprint it's based on data dumpster

diving

through a non-verified database that

once listed becoming the Incredible Hulk

as a side effect

and it uses his outdated statistics to

paint a false picture

so that's one opinion all right so one

one knowledgeable opinion is it's a

garbage study

uh and Andres backhaus is also warning

us it's going to fall apart

so

if you're worried

about uh young boys having little heart

risk with the vaccination

the first thing you should do is compare

it to the risk of getting coveted itself

because I think it was uh Scott Gottlieb

ex head of the FDA who is now calling

this an endemic meaning you're gonna get

it

you get that right so we used to think

well maybe we could keep some people

from getting covered

nope not anymore apparently you're all

going to get it

uh it's just a matter of when maybe you

won't be this year could be five years

from now but it's gonna be around you're

all going to get it

and if that's the case

then you have to compare the vaccination

to getting covet

not a percentage chance of getting

covered you're not a not a 10 chance of

getting covered but you're going to get

covered so now if you know you're going

to get it even though there would be a

timing difference

you can basically now compare the risk

of heart problems from covid

versus the risk of heart problems from

the vaccination

it turns out that covet is worse

so

at the moment

I would say there is zero credible

evidence that young boys have extra risk

zero credible evidence it could still be

true

right because when I talk about

credibility that doesn't mean true or

false that just means do you have

evidence that's the kind of evidence

they should convince you or not

we don't we don't have the kind of

evidence that should make you make a

different decision based on that factor

maybe later we will but we don't know

all right there are two things we know

for sure

and I tweeted this and I'm going to read

it because

I tweeted it so well

that I can't improve upon it so I'm just

going to read it

I said there are two things we know for

sure

number one we must use good science and

good data to make decisions absolutely

number two we know for sure we wouldn't

recognize good science and good data if

it showed us three IDs and made a scream

its name while ass us at his

home address

I'll just let that sit there for a

moment

now here's a humor writing lesson you

ready

humor writing lesson

what makes this sentence funny we

wouldn't recognize good science and good

data if it showed us three IDs and made

us scream its name while ass us

at his home address

what makes that work

well it's visual right it's also it's

cruel it's bizarre you know these are

the dimensions of humor if you get any

two of The Six Dimensions of humor in

there it's gonna be funny so you got you

know cruelty bizarre it's clever it's

got basically three or four but here's

the technique I want to share with you

is that third and last clause

at its home address

right so if you're going to exaggerate

something

this is you know a simple humor

technique you just say okay something's

bad let me describe how bad it is in a

funny way

now if I said

we wouldn't know good science and good

data if it showed us three IDs is that

funny

we wouldn't know it if it showed us

three sources of identification no not

really just sort of sits there makes a

point you know in an analogy kind of way

but it just sits there right if I say we

wouldn't know good science and good data

if it showed us three IDs and made a

scream his name while ass us

well now you're talking

now it's getting a little funny because

we got the we got the naughty part in

there and it's bizarre and you know it's

it's got everything

but here's the part I want to teach you

it's the third thing that sells it right

the second part part you know the first

part is just a setup

we wouldn't know if we wouldn't know

good science if it showed us three IDs

not funny yet it's just a setup but then

the the payoff is making us scream its

name while ass us

but then the real dessert you know the

thing that ties this together makes it

work is the third thing

because it's hard to come with with

three things that fit

three things that cause you to be able

to positively identify it and the third

thing was it's we're at its home address

which took a little work to come up with

that third thing so that's the technique

if you're going to exaggerate

have three levels of exaggeration first

one okay it's just setting me up

second one you need to get the laugh

second one needs to make them laugh all

right all right I see where you're going

you're done now right

as soon as they think you're done

that's where you add the third one the

third one is what puts it over the line

and makes it you know one for the ages

two could be funny if you could get that

third one in there

people will remember that right so

that's your lesson for the day on humor

well apparently CNN is already worried

about Trump he is the top the top story

today

can you believe it Trump is the top

story on CNN

do you know what made Trump the top

story on CNN

he talked

he just opened his mouth he just talked

and he's the biggest story in the world

and what he talked about was that he's

reminding people that he believes the

election was rigged

and that that might be a major theme of

is reelection

now

do you think Trump could get reelected

making the election itself a major theme

would that be strong enough

to if he just said hey I got robbed I

got robbed let's do this right re-elect

me it was rigged

I say no I say no yeah and I'm seeing

more no's in the comments no way right

because it's whiny it's small

right it's small

it's whiny and you just think maybe if

he tried already could have won

right so even if you think it's true

it doesn't work does it because you feel

like he should win anyway right if

you're complaining about the referee

well maybe you should have shot better

baskets

right if you think you lost the game

because of the ref

well maybe you should have played better

I mean that's sort of automatically what

we think complaining about the rules

it's too small

that's about him right that's not even

about you

you don't want your president running

for him

or her you want you want the president

running for you well when Trump ran the

first time he said make America great

again

that was about you when he said build a

wall

that was for you

and people recognized it but if he runs

because he's got a personal gripe about

the election

that's not going to work that's not

going to work this is not strong enough

I mean he could he could win it anyway I

mean maybe he could make that work

because people just are sick of

whatever's happening but it's not a good

approach

even if even if he got elected anyway

but here's what would be

you ready

let's take Trump's complaint that really

is all about himself

and now let's turn that into a winning

campaign formula you ready

I'm going to give Trump

the winning formula

this is the campaign issue that would

work

we can't know if I won or not I happen

to think I did

but we have to make elections auditable

make elections fully auditable you

should know if you voted the moment the

elections close

at the moment the votes close you should

get a text to say yeah we got your vote

here it is

or or some kind of a system I'm not

saying that that would be the system but

if president Trump

runs for re-election

and makes his main Campaign theme I'm

going to fix elections

now could he do that because the federal

government has limited capabilities when

it comes to the states

yeah you could be good he could make

money available he could threaten the

states with losing money he could do a

lot I mean I don't know if he could fix

it in one term but he can do a lot I

think now I need a fact check from

smarter people to tell me if that's

practical but I think it is

um

and if he does that then it's about us

right I don't mind his complaint that he

thinks he won despite no proof of that

at the moment

I don't mind that complaint because

that's an opinion

he's you know he gets to have an opinion

but if he tells me he's going to fix the

system or work hard at it or at least

work as hard as he did on the wall even

if it didn't work out we need somebody

who cares

to make our system auditable again

if Trump wins I'm sorry if Trump runs

with a main theme of fixing our election

system

I'm all in

so let me say that again

um like most of you I haven't made any

decision about who I would support in

2024. I don't even know who's running

but

if Trump makes this a major theme

to fix the elections to make them

auditable

I'm all in

because you know what

I don't care about anything else

so uh oam is reporting uh that some

Republicans are being told when they go

to vote in the election recall which is

happening right now

they're being told that they already

voted

now it's on oan so you can reasonably

ask yourself is that accurate how many

people is this is this one person or

more we don't know all right so because

it's in the media you have to say to

yourself is it true I don't know doesn't

mean it's true just because it's

reported

but

uh and also project Veritas I saw their

their asking Californians if they see

anything that looks sketchy to let them

know

I can report that I have heard reports

of something very sketchy I'm not going

to mention it yet

but personally I've heard anecdotally

a report that sounded sketchy as hell to

me

don't know if it's true so I'm not going

to repeat it now

these the fact that we have these

reports anecdotal and not 100 reliable

does that mean that the election is bad

does that mean that this election is is

corrupt or rigged because we hear these

stories no it doesn't mean that I mean

there's we don't have anything that's

like some kind of proof of that

but here's what we also don't have

we don't have an election that we could

audit fully

so when it's done we won't know if we

voted or not

and we no longer live in a world in

which trusting our officials

makes sense at all

now as I was looking at this I thought

to myself you know this is a bad

situation

that you've got elections that people

don't trust in a way that our system

requires them to trust it in order to

work

and I thought to myself that's bad and

that makes me angry

but not as angry as this

we had two years to fix this

right and we've also got time to fix it

for 2022

but as far as I know nobody's working on

it

and we have maybe Texas made a made a

step but even they don't have an

auditable system

yeah maybe they have a system that's

just captured by Republicans instead of

Democrats right so you know maybe

different states are captured by

different parties

but

2022 is coming

in 2024 is coming

and nobody's working on fixing the

problem

I'm going to lose my

is one thing to have a problem and you

know you can complain about it but

the people in charge

have not even made this a priority

it's not even mentioned

and so I'd like to say to all of our

elected officials and even those running

for election who are not talking about

this as their top party

every one of you

your

goddamn useless piece of

you need to give us a election

system that we can trust

I don't even give a who gets

elected

give us a system that is compatible

with democracy and the Republic give us

a effort I don't even care if

it's hard and you can't figure out how

to do it tell us is your top

priority

because you know what my top priority is

this

everything else matters less

if we don't know who was in the country

or how they got elected it doesn't

matter what your policies are

right because you lost your country

we need to get the country back

and the only way that's going to happen

is to fix the election process so it's

fully auditable and instantly somebody

needs to be working on that if nobody's

working on it we don't have a

government

we don't even have a government

if nobody's working on that we don't

have a government that's on our side

we don't we have a government that's I

don't know working for itself or not

working or

I don't know what the they're doing

but they're not working for us this

needs to be our number one

number one topic

needs to be bigger than climate change

because how are you going to change

climate if you can't even run your

government right it needs to be bigger

than the defense budget it needs to be

bigger than everything bigger

than Afghanistan bigger than

wall

bigger than all that

there is no bigger problem in

the country than the election

system not being credible to the public

and if you give me a politician

who will say that out loud

with some kind of an effort towards

fixing it that looks credible I will be

fully behind that politician and I'll

give a what part either in I don't

give a what their other policies

are

if they can get that one thing done for

me

I would even sign up to vote for the

first time

all right

so

how about

um hey tell us about your fiscal policy

Joe Biden no you your fiscal

policy your infrastructure

your immigration plan your

vaccinations everything about you

your goddamn dysfunctional brain

that's basically a bowl of oatmeal at

this moment everything

about you

fix the election

or at least work on it at least tell us

it's a priority

president Trump

I got some tough love for you too

if you run for election and all you're

doing is complaining about the election

was rigged

that you don't have as your top priority

some way to fix it don't run

don't run you're no good to us

you have no value

Mr Trump who I liked by the way I like

him personally

but tough love

right

tough love if this isn't if this isn't

right at the top of your

priorities and all you're doing is

complaining about the last time I don't

care

I don't care if you run I'm not

going to support that

all right it's just going to make things

worse

wouldn't it I mean it's just going to

make a what a revolution or something

um so no Trump

no Biden

we won an election system I don't care

who it is it runs on that platform

Andrew yang

Andrew Yang looks like he might be

joining a third party or something

if you come up with a plan to fix our

election system I don't even care what

the other stuff is

don't even care just fix the election

system

and I will give you my full support

if you can have a credible idea and you

know some actual chance of doing that

so

here's where I am on all that

nothing else matters

and you're doing this right in front of

us politicians so yeah I guess that's

maybe that's the part that made me snap

it would be one thing if things happen

and you go oh God I didn't know that was

happening man that happened without me

noticing Afghanistan for example

snuck up on me right if you had asked me

hey Scott you know a month ago do you

think that's going to be a disaster the

withdrawal I would have said I don't

know and maybe maybe not who knows it

was just sort of opaque

but the election problem is not opaque

I know exactly what the problem is the

problem is it can't be audited it's very

objective

and you're not working on it

and it's our top problem number one

problem and you're not working

on it nothing

all right well I'm disgusted

Here's a thought experiment

I'm changing topics a little bit here

um Suppose there were two groups of

humans

and the only thing you knew about them

that was different is that one group was

told they're valuable just by existing

hey you group you are valuable you just

have to exist just be healthy

be whatever you are just exist you are

valuable

now there's a second group

you're told that their value is only

from what they do

they have to perform

they have to they have to be useful they

have to make something work they've got

to build something they gotta make some

money they gotta go do something

then he checked back in 20 years

which of the two groups

excelled at making money and success was

it the group that is told that they are

valuable just the way they are you don't

need to do anything

or would it be the group that's told

they're worthless

unless they do something succeed

so which ones do better

well as I've said before women are

biologically more valuable just by

existing because they could have babies

and men can't

and you'll need you know one man to

impregnate lots of women so we're not

very valuable men

from a biological standpoint

unless we do stuff

and

Mark Schneider

who had this very interesting tweet I'm

just going to read it to you he said the

fact is that as men we are expendable

until we can prove we are not

my father stepfather and grandfathers

instilled this in me

and I thought to myself

that sounds about right

I remember being

told quite explicitly that I had to like

do something you know I had to succeed

by doing something I'm not exactly sure

my sister got the same message

I'd love to ask you that I don't know

that she because I was told explicitly

that you know success

was my goal

I had to succeed

I don't know if my sister was told that

I mean not in direct language

I mean she did succeed you know she she

put together a very successful life

but

I don't know could be different I'm a

middle child by the way

um

and so I wonder if that's a part of the

difference in outcomes

you know obviously there could be

biological differences million other

social differences but I would think

that this would be at least one of them

that if you don't think that your human

value is much affected by accomplishment

why would you try

I mean

there's got to be a factor right

all right

um

China they've got this 21 day extreme

quarantine situation they use so if

you've been exposed or if you came from

another country it back into China uh

you'd have

[Music]

14 days

of compulsory Hotel quarantine

you'd have another seven days and some

kind of centralized quarantine that

designated locations

and then before returning home you'd be

Health monitored and then I think you

have to uh and you've got all kinds of

testing even before that stuff happens

and still an infection got into the

country

so they think they know who it was I

don't think so it doesn't sound like

they know who it was to me but they

think they know it was and they say that

this fellow had come in from

um I don't know Malaysia or Indonesia or

someplace and the attested negative for

the virus nine times during 21 days of

quarantine

before testing positive on Friday

37 days after entering China

you tested positive

what's going on it doesn't sound like

they know

exactly what's going on it sounds like

there's still mystery here but here's my

question

is any country

intentionally infecting any other

country

do you think that's a thing

because it would be horrible of course

but are you telling me that there's no

natural enemy countries

they haven't thought you know

it would be kind of evil but

if our rival were more infected than we

were

that might be good for us

does anybody think that way

I wonder because I think that way I mean

I'm not sure I'm not saying I would

Implement that plan

but I would think of it

I would certainly think of it

do you think that nobody is

intentionally infecting China

really

because that would be amazing restraint

you know maybe it's just hard to do

but it seems like it would be an amazing

uh expression of restraint

to not intentionally infect China if you

thought China was the source of it and

you thought China was evil and

everything else so China has this plan

of trying to basically you know stop it

stamp it out completely

and they've done impressive job trying

to do that but since we know it's going

to be an endemic and not a pandemic

isn't their strategy a failed strategy

because aren't they all going to get it

just the way we're all going to get it

just a matter of time

No it should it could be that the reason

China is taking an extreme position is

wait for it

that their Health Care system

wouldn't be able to handle any extra

stress

the way an American system can

because we we managed to expand and you

know do some impressive stuff

when we had to

but what happens if China's Health Care

System gets overloaded

I mean I assume that the cities have

pretty good Health Care Systems but in

rural China

what happens when you're sick

do they all have good health care in

rural China

I don't know so I would wonder if China

has potentially a gigantic problem which

is that they can't they can't handle any

level of infection similar to other

countries because it would crash the

country

right it might be just a way bigger risk

in China than it is in other places it

could even

um it could even threaten the government

I would think the stability of the

government would fall if their Health

Care System collapsed

am I right if China's Health Care System

collapsed right in front of the whole

world

even the leadership would be in trouble

right

so it seems to me that China is only a

few super spreaders away from falling

potentially I mean that's you know it's

not the odds on

but a non-zero chance there is a

non-zero chance that high infections in

China would crash the government

because I think the Chinese people would

start to see their government as the

problem you know if they believe it or

originated there the propaganda is

trying to tell the local citizens it

didn't originate in China

but if the Health Care System crashes

they're all going to know it

they're going to know their relatives

couldn't get that heart transplant and

everything else

[Music]

somebody says it's wild conjecture the

U.S has a worse Health Care system

um

here's my uh speculation so it is it is

conjecture you're right but the

speculation is this

that our rural Health Care is far better

I think if you looked City to City it

might not be that different maybe even

Chinese is better

but if you looked at rural

feel like we'd have a big Advantage now

that's the part you'd have to fact check

right

so we'll see

so um

China there's also a thought that China

might have to vaccinate the rest of the

world to protect itself

so imagine that the United States

continues on its current path

we should have enough

vaccinations plus herd immunity normal

infections that we're going to be

something back to normal

even though we might be masked and

boosted and that for years

we'll be able to have an economy in

something like a life

but China hasn't gone through this

and I don't know if there are low

quality of vaccinations are going to be

good enough if they have to go through

this

so what happens if we go through this

and get to the other end

turned it into an endemic where it's a

problem but you know doesn't stop

anything from happening

and they just started

and they just get taken out by the virus

I think that could happen and the only

thing that they can do

to try to prevent that is to try to

vaccinate everywhere else in the world

so that the that they can travel and do

stuff and not get it back in their

country

China

is going to have to vaccinate the rest

of the world

the United States apparently isn't

looking to do that

in our vaccinations are the good ones

so their vaccinations might not even be

good enough

so keep an eye on that so I would say

that China has at least

10

gigantic problems that don't even look

solvable uh China's in big big trouble

now what about the question of uh

business in China

I can't imagine that we're going to be

moving more American factories into

China

didn't that stop

can somebody tell me what was the last

time a major American company made a

decision to move into China with a

factory

as it happened in the past year probably

can't because of the pandemic but

but what Tesla's plans were older than

that but has anybody made a new plan in

the last six months or less year to move

into China

I haven't heard of any

yeah I think it stopped completely now

it could be the pandemic is what stopped

it because you can't you can't travel so

it's impossible to do that sort of thing

um yeah I think it'll end up in Vietnam

all right and China's stocks are getting

hit so there's a thought that

China's plan their Marxist planned I'd

never heard this before tell me if

you've ever heard this before

that Marxism

this doesn't make any sense I read this

but I it's got to be wrong so ignore the

next things that come out of my mouth

but the the idea is that Marxism

requires you to have money to do it and

you have to have some capitalism first

so that China's plan is to be capitalist

make a bunch of money

which will cause inequality and then to

introduce socialism

which will suck some of that money away

from the richest and give it to the poor

and then there's a third phase which is

communism which is apparently if you've

made enough with your capitalism you've

made it more equal with your socialism

that somehow there's this good thing

called communism at the end

I don't know how that could possibly

work but maybe somebody smarter could

explain the the details however it does

look like she is trying to rebalance

things and is trying to you know take

money from the elites and give it to the

public through various social policies

and that is a gigantic change

if it works so China's got another

gigantic challenge which is that

capitalism would destroy it

because the inequality would become too

enormous at some point and they would

fall just from the inequality some say

um

and tried to fix it seems like an

enormous problem too

so good luck to them

so do you think Texas's uh economy will

suffer because of the new anti-abortion

laws well Salesforce a gigantic company

is going to offer to relocate employees

and their families from Texas

if they want to move because of that

so does Texas win because the uh the

Godless liberals move out

and then you've got more Republicans

running things well

so does Texas come out ahead

because these mostly tech companies I

think decide to boycott it

or does Texas come out behind because

companies won't move there to do their

business

my my estimate is that Texas will come

out behind

now it's just a guess but here's why

if Salesforce did not already have

facilities in Texas would they move

there

no clearly

clearly Salesforce moved there because

they could move there when they did and

now you know they're there so it's too

hard to move out but they are moving

their employees out if the employees

want to go I don't think many will take

that

but I guarantee that the next big tech

company can't move into Texas

I guarantee it

I guarantee that no billion dollar tech

company will move into Texas while that

abortion law is happening

does anybody want to take that bet

so it's got to be at least a billion

dollar tech company

and I'm saying that not one of them will

move in that hasn't already made the

plans I know Tesla's made their plans

Etc

but people who have not made any plans

from this point forward no new tech

company will move into Texas now the

counter argument is yeah but Texas gets

to attract all these Republicans and

they manage things well and they'll be

fine maybe but I think if you um

if you make tech companies

if you make it too hard for tech

companies to move in eventually you're

going to suffer I think

and especially because Texas is a tech

state

um

Trump is saying that Democrats

disparaged the coveted vaccine while he

was president and now they wonder why

some are hesitant says Trump

do you buy that that the reason people

are hesitant may be in part because the

Democrats disparaged it

what do you think

I don't know maybe a little

but I can't believe that the Democrats

would have influenced Republicans right

Democrats influence Democrats but

Democrats are getting the shots

now the two populations the black

Americans and Republicans are the ones

that are having the most hesitancy

so it's in both parties

I'm not so sure that would have made a

difference

um

Business Insider

which is interestingly owned in part by

Jeff Bezos

is printing a leaked tax plan from the

Democrats so this is not official it's

just a leaked draft could be real

different and of course it's showing you

know gigantic tax increases on the rich

what are the odds that that's going to

get passed

do you think there's any chance that the

elites

who run everything are going to

massively tax themselves

because if you think the elites run

everything there's no chance that this

is going to happen right

no chance

so

I and I almost think that the size of

the plans that the Democrats are pushing

are designed to fail

right does it seem that the Democrats

are asking for so much in their spending

package you know that the trillions and

trillions it seems like they designed it

to ask for so much they can't possibly

get passed

because the elites

it's the last thing they want the last

thing they want is a giant spend and uh

and tax plan because they'll get taxed

so

I'm just going to put that out there

is Nancy Pelosi smart enough

to push a plan that can't get past

because she doesn't want it to get

passed or her backers don't want it to

get passed I wonder I doubt it

I doubt it

but you can't rule it out in today's

world can you

it's it's terrible that you can't rule

it out

but I'm going to predict that getting a

tax bill through that would rape the

elites who actually run the country

feels unlikely

unless they don't really run the country

I guess we'll find out won't we if you

believe that the elites are running

everything no matter what party they're

in it's just the elites then the tax

plan won't pass

right

because follow the money

the money predicts

totally predicts that that tax plan

won't be implemented it totally predicts

that

so how often is it wrong when money

predicts

not often money usually does predict

but we will find out if the elites are

in charge

because if the elites are in charge they

won't get passed

all right

at the press conference Rose McGowan

said she's uh she's no longer a Democrat

because they're the ones who harass

stalked and stole from her in her time

in Hollywood interesting

and

um

I would also add to that that

Republicans are better people

Republicans are well I'll say

conservatives conservatives are better

people

now

um that's just an opinion of course it's

subjective now I don't identify as

conservative I identify as socially you

know super liberal

uh not crazy liberal not not woke to the

point of crippled but

um socially liberal for sure so I'm not

a conservative but I can tell you that

if I have to spend time with a certain

group of people

that conservatives are just

on average

on average

they're just nicer people

now I'm not talking about anybody who's

like full out racist or something you

know both parties have you know people

who are just but on average

Republicans are nicer

they're just nicer

um that's my experience

now again it's purely subjective right

yours may differ all right

I believe

uh Scott do you think abortion at eight

five months is okay

um let me answer so I've been asked a

question about abortion

I'd like to answer that question by

dropping my pants and showing you my

penis

I won't do that

you're welcome I won't do that but the

point is I have a penis it does not

produce babies

if my penis produced babies and the

vagina did not

do you think I would care about a

woman's opinion

about whether I should be able to have

an abortion if only penises made babies

no I don't want a woman's opinion

about my penis

at all

none I barely want a man's opinion but

at least there would be some credibility

if it came from a man likewise do you

think women

want my penis opinion about their vagina

I don't think so

it doesn't make the decision better

doesn't add any credibility to it

so

um it's not my question to solve and

whatever women as a as a group want to

come up with

make it legal make it illegal if women

are okay with it I'm going to back it

and I would ask that same standard in

reverse should there be a topic in which

it's really a man's question

because it doesn't apply to women for

one reason or another I don't want to

hear your opinion

at all I don't want to hear your opinion

at all unless you're an expert I mean if

a man is an expert on some element of

you know biology or abortion then yeah

but I'm not an expert

somebody says week it's weak

is it

I would say that's pretty subjective

fortified skins agree

abortion is a human rights issue

that's an opinion

because you you start with the answer

So when you say abortion is a human

rights I think what you're saying is

that the you know the fetus has a human

right I think that's where you're going

with that comment but you've you started

the argument with your assumption

if your assumption is it's human

well there's no debate to be made so you

you haven't really debated

you just put an assumption in there and

said you're done

and this is another another reason why I

don't get into the actual debate because

it's you can't win in the debate the

only thing you can do with abortion

is make sure that the right person makes

the decision

how many of you are fans of Thomas

Sowell

if I pronounce his right his name right

I hope I did Thomas you know the famous

uh black economists

and because it's 2021 and we're all

I have to throw in the black

part

like that mattered

it didn't it didn't make any difference

to the point I'm going to make that he's

black but it's 20 21 so you have to

throw that in there

someday we'll just be able to say

economist

we're not quite there yet like we hope

we will be there but someday

anyway one of the things that Thomas

Soul says that I love is that it's not

so much what the decision is

it's who gets to make it now he's using

it in a different context

but same thing with abortion I'm less

concerned with what the decision is

because there's no right decision

it's awful either way it's just awful in

different ways to different people

so what I care about is the decision was

made by the right people and the only

thing I know for sure is I'm not one of

them

I'm not one of the right people so the

best thing I can do for the system is to

take a shower when you're deciding what

to do and then I'll back it now I'd be a

jerk if I say you make the decision but

I'll I'll criticize you for it

nope you make the decision you being

women or any men who want to because you

have a right you have a right to be part

of the decision I'm not arguing that all

men have a right to be part of the

process

um but after you make a decision

I'll back it Whatever It Is

yeah 80 year old women also have a say

women who can't produce children have a

say because they're all in the same pot

meaning that their lives are most

affected by this even if they can't have

children you know they're they're seen

as people who can have children or dead

or could

all right um yeah I don't care about

whether trans or part of it that's not

going to move the needle enough

all right that's all for now uh YouTube

I'll talk