Episode 1613 Scott Adams - Let's Talk About the Elephant in the Room That Only Some People Can See

well i just remembered that i forgot to tweet that youtube would be live too so you might have a smaller audience than usual smaller audience but really better in many ways and congratulations on making here because this is the best thing that'll ever happen to you in your whole damn life and to make it even better all you need is a couple of my girl glasses a tanker cello sue stein a canteen jugger flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the the dopamine hit of the day some people call it syphinosis it's called the simultaneous step it happens now go ah that is some good hypnosis right there can you taste the persuasion i think you can i think you can well are you surprised that i'm here anybody because i did my best to get canceled yesterday here i am here i am now in case anybody missed it i was essentially taking a challenge the challenge was that i could say things that violated the main the mainstream narrative about vaccinations and even and i tossed in the election of 2016 just to make it extra dangerous so i violated the narrative i think maybe harder than anybody's ever violated it at least according to my viewers i said i did i did succeed in violating the narrative still here still here didn't get even demonetized and i get demonetized for all kinds of stuff didn't get demonetized and did not get a strike did not get a warning nothing nothing now i predicted that that would be the case despite being a fairly high profile you know pundit who talks about stuff in public now how many of you would accept that the test showed something you know it's not a science so you can't make any hard conclusions about it but would you but would you say the the demonstration was useful i don't know if it conclusive is a little bit too much to say but was it useful yeah colin i hear you not yet not yet okay well maybe i'll get cancelled later um so a lot of the uh a lot of the concern that i'm getting from both the reasonable critics and the unreasonable ones is that i talk too much about covid and on top of that too much about my own critics would you say that's fair fair criticism i i agree with that completely but have you seen the news lately do you know what the do you know what the the biggest news story is today is snowed that's it that's it that's all this happening the biggest news story today is snowed we'll talk about that in a little bit i would like to tell you that unfortunately since i talk about the headlines i'm a little bit captive to what's going on there and i would talk a lot less about myself i hope if if something interesting were going on in the world but there isn't at the moment i mean it'll heat up i mean this is going to be a good year 2022 will be lit for politics but um let me let me give you one partial defense when i'm talking about the pandemic i don't feel like i'm talking about the pandemic and apparently that's not getting through do you know what i mean by that that all of my pandemic talk you know unless i'm just like telling you some new update or something but when i'm talking about the you know the meat of it and how we deal with it it's not really about the pandemic at all it should be about how we determine who's hallucinating and who is thinking clearly that that's what it's supposed to be about if i have confused you to make you think that i am either persuading you to do or not do something in the pandemic none of that's happening none of that is happening or at least intentionally i don't have an intention or a really even a motivation to give you medical advice or or anything like that so none of that's happening but uh there is a fascinating thing that's happening at the moment that does involve me i'm in the middle of something that i consider fascinating but to be honest i don't know if you will if i can be honest everything's more fascinating when it affects you personally but i believe you will learn something as i talk about this today so i think you're going to see something that may open your eyes a little bit and it will look like i'm just defending against my critics and there's some of that certainly but i'm going to go a little deeper and try to teach you something that's seriously useful okay so if you stick with me you're gonna hear some topics you're sick of and god i'm sick of them i am so sick i don't even want to hear the word vaccination again for the rest of my life we're all sick of it but my promise will be if you stick with me i'm going to give you at least one really really useful tip for discerning what's real and what isn't so just stay with me see if i can deliver that okay but first some other things um i saw a tweet from michael sokolow on twitter he says it's interesting how nbc is plugging the quote winter olympics and apparently they're not mentioning that it's in beijing or china so nbc is maybe at least allegedly we don't know what's in their minds but and michael goes on to say even the graphic they're showing has a big winter olympics with only a small beijing in the lower corner now have we reached a point where willingly doing business with china is embarrassing yes or no have we reached the point where an american company doing business with china is literally embarrassing yeah yeah we're there it's literally a corporate embarrassment to do business with china now i feel sorry for nbc because you know they make these deals years in advance i imagine probably four years ago they knew they would handle the olympics maybe they could have seen the signs then but this is going to be i think a ratings disaster is that is that a pretty safe um prediction do you think we'll be surprised and the ratings will be sort of normal i feel like it's going to be at least in america i think it's going to be a disaster we'll see um china's got really big problems right now i don't know if i've ever seen a country with bigger problems so they've got that default of the big real estate company going on over there they've got a demographic bomb they you know they're being blamed for the coronavirus they've got the uyghurs so now they've got a giant karma problem uyghur uighur karma if the hashtag uighur karma ever gets traction i don't know even the government could fall in china i know that seems really really unlikely that the entire government could fall but it could it could uh rasmussen is uh did a poll and they were asking people about their opinions of the fbi and apparently 46 percent either feel strongly or somewhat agreeing with roger stone in the following sentence now this will blow you away a little bit this will blow you away this is the united states public and 46 of them agree with roger stone quote that a group of politicized thugs at the top of the fbi who are using it are using it as biden's personal gestapo so the thought that biden uses the fbi as his personal gestapo is agreed to somewhat or or a lot by 46 percent of the public 46 percent of the public thinks it's fair to liken the fbi to the gestapo how many of you would agree with that i think all 46 percent of you are on my live stream right now pretty wide agreement yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes you know this is exactly the kind of uh accusation that i usually avoid all right is that fair maybe maybe i don't that may be my own self-image but i like to stay out of the this group is like hitler and that group is like hitler and who's like the holocaust i don't like to get in any of that stuff it's just that's sort of what you argue when you run out of argument but i find that uh characterization you know hyperbolic of course but not untrue you know it feels like a hyperbolic way to say it hyperbole but it isn't too far from what i see to me it does look like biden has some control over the fbi and that they are doing some of his bidding and that would look very disturbing now we don't know we don't know but maybe elizabeth holmes who is on trial for uh defrauding people i guess got found guilty on several of the charges and looks like she's got some serious jail time or fines coming and i don't know that there's much to say about this john carroll says in the comments the other 54 don't know what the gestapo is no you're not totally wrong there um you know i'm only mentioning the elizabeth holmes story because it's in the news but there's nothing interesting about it is there um she broke the law she got caught she got prosecuted i think that's the whole story now there is definitely an element to this of how in the world did she convince so many people that she was legitimate i think that elizabeth holmes convinced more smart people that she was real than just about anybody how'd she do it is it because she's female now i don't think it was the sex appeal per se i didn't see her really selling sex she whenever i saw her she was dressed conservatively etc i think it's because she is a woman not because of the sex part you know i don't think necessarily the you know any sexual interest is why people believed her but how many how many investors do you think would love to have a successful female entrepreneur in their portfolio i think it was a portfolio decision that they all need a they need a successful black person that they're funding so they can say they are which is not a bad impulse right you want your activities to have some correlation with the demographic of the country on average on average not every person every time but to me this looks like a gender preference thing meaning that there were so many people who knew they hadn't invested enough in women's startups that they probably were just primed to throw money at her as soon as she looked legitimate unfortunately she wasn't totally legitimate so that's that whole story they're interesting uh part of the epstein gillane maxwell story so apparently when epstein did a settlement back in 2000 whatever 2009 he paid half a million dollars to i guess virginia jeff jeffries accusations and apparently part of that agreement because it was a civil lawsuit is that it would uh basically keep everybody else quiet and they wouldn't be able to sue or something like that in other words we we may have a perfect uh concealment of the truth so you got epstein who's dead you've got glade maxwell whose records are sealed and now it looks like there won't even be maybe the option for civil settlements because that may have been preempted by other agreements they whoever worked on this and was virtuous behind this 2009 thing do i have that right i know dershowitz was involved with defending epstein at one point but this is kind of kind of brilliant i i would say that whoever was behind if if somebody was behind it if this is a cover-up is really really good because it looks like they're covering it up right in front of us totally getting away with it does anybody think they won't get away with it if if what we're seeing is exactly what it looks like which is it looks like a massive cover up it looks like it's working right what do you say and the weird thing is that they're doing it right in front of us the i don't think there's anybody who thinks oh they're playing it transparently or anything no they're covering it right in front of us and there's nothing you can do about it and it's the kind of issue where because it doesn't affect most of us except in the the general way that you want you know criminals to go to jail but because i don't have any connection to any anything in this story i can watch the powers that be apparently covering up horrible you know activity by famous people and i just say huh well that's suboptimal and then i go on with my life the fact that almost nobody else really really cares about the case allows them to do this right in front of us and we're like ah suboptimal i got other things to worry about it's kind of amazing usually these things at least have a little bit of a a little bit of a cover story that oh no there's nothing like that going on goodness no nobody's covering anything up here's what's really happening but this doesn't even have a cover story does it there's not even a cover story it's like no we're just going to cover this up pelosi is probably going to step down as speaker no matter what and the speculation has begun about who will replace her isn't this the same problem that the democrats have about running a candidate for president which is they don't have any talent it really you don't really notice until they need a leader yeah no bench you don't really notice until it was like well who the hell are they gonna run for president like like name a name like who would even be like a legitimate candidate and now they speak of that same thing and you look at the names that they're floating and i'm thinking do any of them look like they could do what um do what nancy pelosi did they don't they don't really look like they have the weight that she had if you know what i mean the gravitas or something new some maybe i think newsome is too polarizing but i suppose you could say that about everybody you've heard of all right you saw the story about the major interstate in eastern virginia so snow closed the road while people are on it so it snowed until people couldn't move and there were people who were stuck on the road for 19 hours they were in their car on the road now obviously many of those cars ran out of gas um so you know they were stuck and then there was snow and then the cars out of gas and so even senator tim kaine was in that and he he spent 19 hours on the road now you should read some of the threads of people there's there's one by i think a news person who was stuck there it it's really scary now somebody says where do you go to the bathroom i have to think there was a lot of yellow snow by the end of two days because it was sort of like an overnight almost two days situated i don't even think it's resolved yet it's not resolved right there's still some of them still there but there had to be a lot of yellow snow um some people didn't bring food some did people ran out of gas it was amazing now i'd like to answer a question that many of you have asked me many times i've been asked the following question scott how could you live in california with all the problems there well i'll tell you the number one reason i live in california that generally speaking i do not risk death by walking outdoors that's it that that's my reason i have lots of other reasons right but that's the reason i moved here because i once uh had my car break down i've told this story before in the middle of the winter just about now is you know i think it was february-ish uh in my senior year of high of college and i was miles from civilization in in a snowstorm like this one but i was the only car and my car broke and there was no other cars and i didn't bring a jacket in the middle of the winter because i was just going to be in my car and i was in college right if you're you know if you're 19 what was i 20 i guess if you're 20 years old and you're just going from your car to a building you don't really need that jacket until your car breaks down 25 miles from civilization so when i read this story i am super triggered by this i gotta tell you just personally because if you haven't almost died from exposure you don't quite understand how scary this was really really scary do you carry a black a jacket or blanket in my car yeah yes there is a spare jacket in the back of my car that is correct and that's in california but as soon as the weather turns you know below 70 there's a spare jacket in the back of my car yes and always probably will be well here's the topic that you're sick of hearing about but i'm going to try to give you some value so those of you who are tired of hearing about this i'm not going to be offended if you want to do something else but i'm going to try to give you something you haven't seen yet okay you've all heard now about mass formation psychosis and dr malone talked about it he's not the creator of the idea but he was popularizing it and the idea is that we're we're all so uncertain and confused and scared that our minds are not working correctly is that good enough for a summary that we're all so uh isolated scared and we don't know what's true because the news is so confusing that we're in a state of easily easily being persuaded but also simply not thinking correctly like we've lost our ability to reason does that seem like what we're in do you feel that we're in that now i've said to it we're always in it so it's not really the pandemic you know we've been in it since at least the 50s so that that's my contribution this is not new but it's definitely here i'm certainly not questioning whether it exists i'm just saying it's not new all right however i just tied two things together today that finally made sense to me i tweeted this morning that there are a ton of people who are really mad at me but their anger seems not to have a reason which they are willing to offer and so finally in frustration i tweeted today can somebody give me an idea why so many people are angry with me because i actually don't even know the topic is it vaccinations is it is that i said something about the joe rogan interviews that were sub-optimal you know even while saying he's a national treasure and so i asked the question smoking hot wife jealousy somebody says uh could be could be and so i asked the question and the answers were all over the board they were all over the board now what have i taught you is happening if you ask a question and you let's say you ask a question about something and everybody gives you one of two or three standard answers what what would you judge about that situation you would judge that maybe you have a you have a different opinion and that you know it's two people with a different opinion um but what would be your uh take if you asked a hundred people what they were angry about with you and they all had different reasons what would be the take they're all angry with me so it's the same person they're angry about but their reasons are all different and it all happened about the same time how do you explain that here's how i explain it when you see that it's almost a guarantee of of some kind of a mental phenomena right if people had largely the same complaints about me i'd say oh that's something to look at maybe it's me or maybe it's them but if people's if people are mad and the thing that cued me off is that all of their their criticisms were generic so the criticisms all fell into certain categories very reliably so they would say you're coping i don't know what that meant like what was i wrong about they'd say accept the l and i would say i didn't even know i was competing what is even the topic i'm accepting the el on then there were you know another there so all these generic things so have you put together the two things i'm about to put together for you yet who's ahead of me who's ahead of me it's a mass formation psychosis the mass formation psychosis that i've been talking about and dr malone talked about is all in the news is the reason that people are mad at me because if they were mad at me for a specific let's say a prediction or a specific anything they would just say so but it's the mass it is the mass formation psychosis that is exactly the reason people are mad but they don't know why they don't really know why i saw some people offer reasons that might be explanations one was the the best one i saw is that the for a lot of the people on the right which would include a lot of my audience um that joe rogan is a quote lifeboat for their opinion and i put a hole in the lifeboat that's actually not bad good because there's something irrational happening could be that could be that i simply disagree with people's opinions or they think so because here's the weirdest part almost everybody who's mad at me doesn't disagree with me now if you don't think that's true i could pick anybody who is by critic and just walk through what is it you think that i think that's different from you and you wouldn't find anything we disagree on and yet people are still hopping mad hop and mad that is the the mass formation psychosis because because if people had a good solid reason they would just tell me and there would be a similarity to it now the best the best theory i got that had any meat to it was that people believe i once had a different opinion in which i trusted vaccinations and trusted the companies involved but that as time has gone by people say that i've changed my opinion because i realized how wrong i was did anybody see let anything like that happen for those of you who watched me have you seen me change my opinion on vaccinations from the start now the people on locals watch me the most there is a subscription service and almost all of them are saying no but i did see a yes so even even on locals somebody's saying yes but overwhelmingly the people who watched me the most say my opinion has never changed but here's where it gets really weird all right here's your first tip for uh understanding when you're hallucinating and when you have a clear view of the world are you ready for this here's your first clip or your first tip let's take the uh the specific accusation one of the few that i got that multiple people had is that i trusted the big pharma companies too much so that that's that's what people are saying about me that i trusted the big pharma companies too much now here's how you can tell if that's a hallucination and you could use this technique for other people in different situations just for a moment just for a moment try to take yourself out of the fight and just like look at it like you're looking down from space right you're not in it has nothing to do with it you're simply looking down from space at this accusation and the accusation is this that the guy who is the creator of the dilbert comic strip whose 30-year run is almost entirely based on not trusting management and about money distorting things my entire career is based on that principle you can't trust management you can't trust what anybody says the data is all made up right anybody who follows my comic would be aware of that that i am the single most vocal skeptic of large companies in the whole world the whole world you you could search the entire world and you would not find anybody anybody who has spent more time saying you shouldn't trust what people in power tell you now do you think that that guy again remember you're going to pull yourself out you can look at it like your your has nothing to do with you nothing to do with you you have you come to believe that the person who is most identified with not trusting big companies and indeed said it directly a thousand times since the beginning of the pandemic publicly at least a thousand times you think that that guy has a problem in which he trusted big pharma literally one of the least trustable entities of all time just ask yourself does it sound reasonable if you were to take yourself out of it and just say all right here's here's the thing that the person who is most associated with distrusting big companies is actually one of the most trusting of big companies do you think that actually happened this is this is the technique right to ask yourself is that really did that happen if you can say to yourself yeah that sounds actually pretty reasonable well then go with it but i'll tell you what it sounds like to me and of course i'm i'm in the middle of this i'm biased it sounds to me like somebody's saying you know i don't think mcdonald's sells hamburgers that's what it sounds like to me when you say the guy who created dilbert is too trusting of big organizations it sounds exactly like i don't think mcdonald's sells hamburgers i don't think they do me comic is 100 behind you good to know i love me comic it's a good comic um so um i decided i would do a self-audit because uh wouldn't you agree at this point that it's also still possible that i'm experiencing cognitive dissonance and everybody else in the world is right right so i thought i'd do a self-audit so i started compiling my predictions about the pandemic and so i started making my list if you would like to participate in that please remind me or message me on anything you think i got wrong ask me a specific prediction anything you think i got wrong or anything you think i predicted right just in case i don't have a full accounting uh scott could this be someone trying to damage you well it doesn't really look organized it just it looks like uh it looks like a bunch of people who have lost their minds from the mass formation psychosis so but i do think it's fair when hundreds of people tell you that you're losing it that you should take that seriously don't you think you know at the same time i can defend myself and say oh this looks like obviously a delusional thing at the same time don't you think there's a responsibility on my part to take it seriously if so many people are saying it right so i'm gonna do an audit of my own uh i guess sanity if you will and so help me out tell me what things i predicted wrong uh or even right and we'll see how i did just on the pandemic you don't have to go beyond that now other things that people criticized me for was a tweet made before biden was elected i said if joe biden got elected there's a good chance you'll be dead in a year now how many of you think that a tweet that says if joe biden gets elected there's a good chance you'll be dead in a year how many took that as literally uh the holocaust will will be kicked off in less than a year and how many took it that way because if you did you're not you're not really a good reader here's how you should have taken it but i will accept that it could have been clearer right you should have taken it this way things will get a lot more dangerous and especially for republicans does that seem fair that the way you should have interpreted you know because twitter is all about hyperbole so yeah you should be mentally reducing the hyperbole before you interpret it if it's your first day on twitter you're you're excused but if you spend any time there you know that the absolutes are never meant to be absolutes right if you say everybody does x nobody thinks you really mean everybody not everybody everybody just lots of people it's just the way we talk so um i predicted that if biden got elected there's a good chance she'd be dead in a year crime has spiked the number of people dead from corona virus way more than trump um we probably have a little more risk with our nuclear adversaries than under trump although you could argue that one overdoses through the roof um am i leaving anything out suicides through the roof overdoses suicides coronavirus crime and then you throw on top of that the political prisoners the january 6 political prisoners and i think we just have to call them political prisoners at this point i i don't feel i don't feel that we we should assume that they're just part of the justice system it doesn't look like that to me and i think that the government has the burden of proof that they are not screwing us so if you say to me scott can you prove that they're political prisoners i would say nope nope nor do i need to because if you're making it look exactly like their political prisoners that is the assumption that the citizens should operate on it's up to the government to tell us that's not what's happening and they haven't right so the government is guilty until presumed innocent so january 6 those are political prisoners until the government makes an argument that they're not okay so that's the operating assumption uh let's uh test another theory for here's another way to sort out uh truth from hallucination you all know robert o'neill does everybody know robert o'neill rob i think he goes by um he was a little bit famous for uh putting a bullet into osama bin laden i think more than one actually i think he had some fun with it but uh he tweeted today that twitter had deleted joe rogan's interviews with dr robert malone and dr peter mccullough and rob asks us why do you think that is why do you think that is what would be your answer to uh rob's question which is a very good question why do you think those two doctors got deleted now what are the possibilities now one possibility is political right yeah one possibility is uh money that big pharma pushed the right levers and made it happen right so let's let's consider our possibilities so uh one there is a uh a very impressive conspiracy in which the pharma companies can actually have the stuff taken off of social media maybe because they're big advertisers something like that now does that seem reasonable does it seem like a reasonable possibility that big pharma is getting their critics kicked off of social media yeah yeah that could happen it's certainly within the realm of possible right possible okay let's talk about some other possibilities um is it possible that the reason they were those two doctors were kicked off is that they can't even convince other doctors that they're right because i don't think twitter used its doctor judgment do you do you think there's a doctor who works at twitter who said yeah i'm a doctor too i looked at this stuff and i've judged that as my doctor experience tells me this is not right do you think that happened or do you think twitter got advice from experts what do you think um i think that you have to ask this question so rob o'neal's question is a good one now we don't know exactly the answer right why did these two doctors get kicked off that's a good question right but the question that also is a good question is why is it that these two doctors can't convince other doctors that are right but they've done a good job of convincing non-doctors they're right would you be concerned about doctors who could convince people who don't know anything but could not convince people who know as much as they know does that worry you because if they could convince other doctors then twitter wouldn't have kicked them off would they do you think if there was a a solid even a minority but a solid body of other doctors saying yeah you know i've looked at their argument and i gotta say that's pretty strong now you might say to be scott scott scott twitter doesn't even check with other doctors i don't know but you don't know either right i don't know that they do but you don't know that they don't it seems kind of obvious that they would especially if somebody asks how why'd you do that now of course they don't have full transparency so i guess they they could do anything they want so that's my here's my next uh advice for sorting out bs from reality now keep in mind that none of the tips i give you for sorting reality from hallucination will be 100 you got that right these are all sort of rule of thumb way so just as you say you follow the money it predicts almost every time doesn't it but it could also be wrong so would you agree that the that the rule follow the money is a really good rule of thumb for figuring out what's real but you know not every time you give me that so i'm going to give you some more like that so that are in the category of follow the money doesn't work every time but it works a lot and it is if the expert can't convince other experts and they're and they're skipping the other experts because they can't convince them and they're going directly to the public there's a reason for that there's a reason for that i'm seeing a counterpoint here let's see i saw a counterpoint about dr malone having people on his side where is that no i miss it i think there's some counter argument that dr malone has people on his side but you would have to limit that to the specific question wouldn't you so the question is not not dr malone good or bad that's not the question the question is specific claims that are not in the mainstream so if if the doctors have convinced people that their specific claims are true and there are lots of them we should be talking about that right we shouldn't be talking about there's this one doctor who says something we should say there's a whole bunch of doctors and we'll put some more on and they'll say the same thing but why do these two doctors get all the invitations there no other doctors who agree with with them yes you don't even know the claims disputed that's correct i don't know all of them i do know that there is one specific case of dr malone uh tweeting information that was considered false information about the outcomes of the vaccine so i think that's what he got kicked off for my understanding is he got kicked off for tweeting data that was misinterpreted or obviously wrong now it's the obvious part that is where we're going to disagree i would having looked at the debunkers and then looked at the the data that dr malone tweeted uh the debunkers looked stronger to me but could be wrong could be wrong all right so ask yourself why you would ever agree with doctors who can't convince other doctors to agree with them i would never do that by the way um so arthur is saying good point arthur says scott's got not working for me because other doctors are afraid of being canceled let me call complete and total the other doctors are afraid of being canceled absolute complete and i'm surprised that you believe that let me tell you let me tell you what the real world looks like in the real world the people are too different for every person you find who doesn't want to get canceled and there'll be lots of them you're going to find at least one person who likes the attention you will you will find at least one person who likes the attention now the doctors you can trust cannot trust are the ones who need hospital privileges do we all agree on that if you require hospital privileges you can't go against you know the mainstream hospital opinion you'll get kicked down but that still leaves a lot of people right retired people retired doctors what about the other people who worked on the same team with dr malone have you seen all the interviews of the people who have the same experience as dr malone about mrna technology worked with them on the project same experience have you seen the interviews with them why not do you think they're all afraid all of them so this is very similar to the um you're going to hate this but i'm going to do it anyway do you remember the fine people thing in charlottesville and when you go to debunk it people will always go down the what i call the the well until the last thing they have left is that in a big event like that nobody could have unknowingly been there without knowing it was a a nazi neo-nazi event that's like somebody who's never been born in america or never been here any large group of americans have every opinion again i'm speaking weird absolutes but if you take a hundred americans just randomly and put them in a room what do you think they're gonna have two opinions no they have like 100 opinions so if you're telling me that doctors are so are so single-minded that their fear of their career is is the the guiding principle that just got all of them basically the entire industry was so high minded that they had to do what their medical masters told them to do we don't live in any world like that at all in our world people disagree with everything vigorously all the time if they believe it if they believe it have you met any private doctors who agree with him but just don't want to say it there must be some of those right but we don't live in a world where anybody can shut down an entire profession i don't think that can happen you just google it scott google what you've got to be a little more specific than just google it now if you say there are in fact many doctors who publicly agree with dr malone i'd like to see them on interviews get a few more of them you know it'd be great get like three of those doctors bring them in and say here's some claims made what do you think i'd like i'd watch that all right but i i believe it is uh not really a good understanding of the world if you believe an entire profession can be hive minded that easily pick any pick any category of debate in this country do we have any category of debate on any topic from climate change to whatever do we have any topic that you can get this many people on one side not really you can't get that many people on one side over anything and and people will take wild risks that you wouldn't take would any of you take the risks that i take with your careers i guess i'm a good test case you've seen how many risks i take with my career would you do that well somebody says you're rich but i did it before i was rich i did get fired from my day job before my before my uh dilbert job took off because i took a big risk yeah no but even before i had the fu money you're right about that um oh here we go nathan says now i haven't read nathan's whole comment but i'm going to make a prediction that there's something not specific here here we go nathan says people are mad at you meaning me because you say things that are not true okay can you give me an example there won't be one and give yourself outs okay that's generic so so far this would be a sign of cognitive dissonance because it's that new generic thing but let's see if he goes further he says malone is head of organization consisting of sixteen thousand doctors that agree with him on covet issues it's called the unity project that is a claim which could easily be checked so let's take let's say the specific data that dr malone got kicked off of twitter would anybody like to take a bet that his 16 000 people in his unity project disagree with the the data how many of you think that the his 16 000 people who agree with him in general also agree that the data he he promoted on twitter was accurate would anybody want to take a bat with me i'll bet that the majority of the people that you say agree with him would say that the specific data that he got kicked off of twitter for was not reliable or it had been misinterpreted anybody want to take the bet you don't have to agree with every single subject yes but the only things we're talking about with malone or what he got kicked off of social media for and i i i'm going to make a prediction that the people who are on his side don't agree with him on the stuff he got kicked off of twitter for anybody want to take the bet you'd only need to find one person just find one other person who thinks that data was accurate i don't think you can so the problem with malone is and somebody also said that uh they said i was not giving dr malone the credit he deserves for his qualifications in other words i was under selling his credentials i did the opposite of that i basically drooled all over his credentials as some of the most impressive credentials i've ever seen that's unambiguous nobody nobody is questioning his credentials that's the one place we're all starting with okay we all agree has lots of credentials now let's talk so so you can see that the the complaints about me are just actually crazy yeah all right but here's what happens when you separate the uh the expert from the criticisms so dr malone went on joe rogan sam harris uh tweeted a let's say a criticism of dr malone by z-dog anybody watching z-dog you can see him on locals and and elsewhere and z-dog was also md criticized dr malone on a number of specific points and went through them so now now you know something right so now if you've seen if you've seen dr malone's full interview and then you looked at z-dog's criticism of him which didn't happen at the same time right they happened in different places and times you would have a pretty good idea because now you've got the pros you've got the cons right how many would agree with that because now you've seen both sides and z dog remember z dog is a very good communicator and a doctor so he knows what he's talking about well that didn't work out at all because after z dog did his criticisms twitter user paul collider i mentioned him often went in and criticized the criticisms and here's the criticisms of the criticisms is that in each case i don't know if it was every case but in the the ones noted z-dog had misinterpreted dr malone and had criticized a misinterpretation so in other words if i hadn't seen paul collider's criticism of the criticisms i i would have been much more persuaded that z dog was saying something that it was an actual debunk now is paul collider correct that z dog misinterpreted malone i don't know you would need a you would need yet another fact-checker to fact-check paul collider who fact-checked z-dog who fact-checked malone none of this is useful information it turns out that as soon as you uh as soon as you separate the claim from the criticism everything goes to so my problem with the the joe rogan one one one interview is that it removes the criticism and once it's removed then you're not really sure if you're even talking about the same thing anymore and then you get into word thinking and who said what and it's just useless yeah fact checking is dumb because you usually don't have a you don't have a reply to the fact check right that's the problem with fact checking so fact checking is a bad model better than nothing but it's a bad model because it separates in time and space the claim from the debunk they have to happen at the same time otherwise you don't know anything right you need somebody to say oh no no you're misinterpreting me i can't defend that because i never said it so get back on my point and now what's your criticism so that that's why it needs to happen at the same time you need the person who makes the claim to continuously pull the person back into the actual claim because if you know anything when people criticize they make up their own hallucination of what you claimed and then they're off on that you've got to have the claimer say nope stop never said that now let's talk about what i did say right that could work all right so um and then i also uh tweeted one other critique of dr malone and um smart people said but scott that that fact check is like generic and off the point and it looks like they're it looks like the fact check the way it's written is weasel words like with no credibility whatsoever and that was actually a reasonable criticism now keep in mind i didn't tell you the the fact check was right i told you you need to see it you need to see the claim you need to see the fact check but i will say that the doctors who did not agree with dr malone um they did seem to be weaseling about maybe related topics like they like they weren't answering as directly as you think they want that you wanted them to but here was my interpretation one interpretation is you can't trust the fact checkers and that's a fair interpretation the other interpretation is that the doctors were aware of all of malone's claims and um if they thought he was saying something that was true i think they would have addressed it or were false in other words the fact that the the doctors weren't seeing what um malone saw does tell you something even if they didn't address it because it's hard to be specific about that stuff um all right weird comments going on today all right here's your next uh trick for determining who is hallucinating and who is not you've heard it before but every time i apply it to a specific situation it helps more examples you see the better generally speaking generally speaking right i will allow that there will be exceptions um uh addison says do you suppose people are tired of you attacking experts would do it without doing the work to understand the issues yes i believe that that that people believe i'm doing that but i don't think it's happening in other words i've asked for a specific claim and then i say what have i said about that claim and i don't have any examples so it's what you're saying would would be right if we were talking about something specific but nobody can even tell me why they're mad like what do they disagree with i don't think it's only because i've uh because i don't think i've dismissed any experts i've said give me a specific claim and we'll look at it i don't i don't think that that's unreasonable all right here's your your tip general tip but i'm going to apply it to this one if you have four people in a room one of them says there's an elephant standing right in front of us the other three who are just as smart just as capable as spotting elephants are looking in the same room as a little room and they say wait what i don't see an elephant there is an elephant right there right there i'm looking at it look at it and the other three people are like um we don't see the elephant who's right it's a generic situation we're not talking about the pandemic it's a generic situation one person sees an elephant three do not they're all equally trained in spotting elephants and it's it's a little room it's not i'm not talking about a forest or a jungle it's like a little room and you're in there with it who's right somebody says all of them you get extra credit for saying all of them i know what you're going out there yeah i always bet on the three and here's why hallucinations are additions to scenes usually there could be exceptions but a hallucination is something added to the scene you don't have hallucinations of somebody sitting in a room with an elephant who doesn't see it right that hallucination just doesn't happen the hallucination that does happen is is somebody adding something to a scene first of all will you accept that as a good generalization if somebody sees a conspiracy theory let's say a false one and the other people can't see it who's probably right assuming that they can see all the same information right there's no difference in information who's probably right the ones who can't see it right because hallucinations are positive additions dr malone may be seeing things that people with the same amount of experience and vision are not seeing if the other people saw it too i would say well they're all experts you tell me four experts are in the room they all saw the elephant there's an elephant in that room but if four experts walk out of the same room with the same expertise the same experience and three of them say there is no elephant in that room and one of them says i see it clear as day who do you bet on the three who don't see it or the one who does now keep in mind the one who does is showing his work so there's no like extra knowledge or anything like that he's showing his work it's completely transparent and three of them don't see it but one of them does somebody says you'd believe the one i do think that many of you would believe the one however the reason that you might believe the one is that you have been fooled and primed by the following model of reality the people who are the rogue and disagree with the the mainstream sometimes they're right and then they become heroes i'm an example for example when i predicted that trump would win in 2016 i was a weird rogue outlier when i was right that he won in 2016 i got a lot of attention did that make you think that the rogue outlier is right more than wrong it shouldn't because the reason the reason i got a lot of attention is that the odds of the rogue person being right are really low that's the entire reason that i did it because i knew that if i got it right you know it would boost my credibility now i did i was pretty sure he would win for reasons but but i i have experience with this the rogue person is almost always wrong almost always and you have the opposite impression because when they are right it's all we talk about right the reason you know sully did such a good job of landing that plane in the hudson river is because it was rare right that's why you heard of it so your mind your mind imagines that rogues are often right the reality is the wrong 95 percent of the time if you just looked at your whole life and all of the rogues who made a claim five percent of the time not only are they right but it changes history and then you can't get that in your head my god that rogue was right and changed history there was wright brothers there was rogue bicycle making wright brothers they made a plane that nobody said could happen the rogue the rogue is always right now the rogue is almost always wrong so bet against it should you have bet against me in 2016 what was the smart play was the smart play to bet on me or was a smart play to bet on all the experts in the world the smart play was to bet on all the experts in the world all right now i i had a very specific angle into it if you followed that maybe maybe that would be different but in general don't bet on the rogue it's a bad bet all right so that's your other trick so here are your tricks for not being an expert yourself but but but deducing the quality of the experts uh first follow the money of course but i don't see any specific monetary incentive going on here do you now you could argue i don't know some doctors are raising their profile or something but i don't know i don't really see the monetary incentive of the rogues of the rogue doctors so i would discount that one in this case um but i would definitely say why can't they convince people who were um on their side now you say that they have and i say there isn't the slightest chance that the people who are even agreeing with them on the general stuff also think that the data that they got kicked off for twitter for was real now i could be convinced you just have to show me some other doctors who say this data looks real and dr malone got kicked off for it that could you could do that i mean you could convince me but um right now if they can't convince other doctors and i don't see evidence of it um well i could that could change and um i'm not also not aware of anything that i'm especially disagreeing with the doctor about except the things he tweeted about data i'm not through the entire the entire interview but i've gotten through a lot of the good stuff i will finish it off see my problem is that uh you see the problem right i guess i don't have to say it again um and i would i would argue that i have never disagreed with dr malone on his expertise would you accept that um i'm seeing these names steve kirsch brett weinstein steve kirsch brett weinstein why why are you saying that why are holden holden lou keeps repeating these two names and why are you doing that um here is a here's mass formation here so here's a yo-yo gamer is just says in all caps scott equals boomer equal disconnected there's a good comment there all right holden um i'm going to ban you for just repeating the same thing over and over again you are now hidden i thought you had something to say but apparently you didn't um whoops i'm looking at some i watched it all why do you compare yourself to great men what that's a weird comment oh so here's my take on malone i don't believe i've ever challenged him on his uh expertise has anybody seen me do that has anybody seen me challenge dr malone on his expertise i don't think i have why would i that'd be dumb i've only challenged him on my expertise so i believe that i might be better at him at determining what data looks real from a study based on the fact that he tweeted some stuff that looks pretty sketchy and i think i'm good at determining who is hallucinating and who's not that's my expertise i think i'm good at determining bs that's another part of my expertise so i have on one side we have some let's say rules of thumb for determining who's hallucinating and he falls into pretty much all of them which doesn't mean doesn't mean i'm right and he's wrong uh one particular did he state this in question the the one i remember was data that showed that the vaccines were more dangerous for young people than we thought so give me a fact check on this but i believe that's one of them but if you looked at the data he just misread it now is that the one um is that the one where he claimed a lot of myocarditis but the only people they studied were people who had it whatever it was was like a real basic error so that's one of them i know about um all right how many of you think that there some part of the government is trying to train you through the pandemic into being easier to control how many think that was an explicit an explicit goal of somebody i'm seeing some yeses a lot of yeses who do you think was doing that do you think there was a meeting or meetings in which people said you know if we can get people to do a bunch of little stuff like wearing masks it will be easier to get them to do more stuff do you think there was anybody who ever had that conversation i'm going to say no i'm going to say no because i think what it is is just a collection of a whole bunch of people doing what they think is right or good for them i think it's just a whole bunch of self-interest averaged together i don't think there's any big puppet master who's manipulating us into making us more subservient to me that looks sounds a little crazy actually because it would imagine that there's some person or person who has that kind of power and that kind of like long-term plan i mean if you have a name of a person or persons that consider it but there's no evidence of anything like that somebody says not sure but it's the end result is it is it because that's not what i see what i see is the public getting increasingly less likely to do what they're told am i wrong to to me the the entire united states is on the verge of revolution if you think that this caused the citizens of the united states to be more compliant i would say we're very compliant in the short run because you know it's an emergency nobody knows what to do it's like oh tell me what to do i'll do it in the short run americans and everybody else can be very compliant but we are a very non-compliant country in fact you could argue that the entire history of the united states is about non-compliance we're the most non-complying people ever you know do you think somebody's gonna well probably somebody who's gonna wear masks even after they're not required because they did before but i'm pretty sure we're all just dying to get out of these little limitations um all right and then how many of you think that my big problem is my attitude or the the way that i communicate how many how many would say that's that's my big problem that's the way i communicate no no really oh that's interesting i thought i thought that was going to be all yeses and i'm getting more no's and yes's i'm surprised because a lot of people are saying that um the problem is my arrogance and um i'm sensitive to that criticism because um it's not the first time i've heard it so you have to take it seriously if you hear it more than once but i'll tell you what it feels like on the inside on the inside i think i've been telling you that nobody knows what to do like i told you that i guessed about vaccinations and nobody's good at predicting our leaders probably aren't even going to make a difference so to me i've said the opposite of i have the answer and you don't to me i said it's unknowable we're all guessing good luck to me that sounds the opposite of arrogant but does it sound arrogant to you yeah i think it is here's what i think i think when i demolish people's arguments because most people are not good well let me give you a set up here would you agree that uh debating and reasoning are learned skills it takes some natural ability but do you agree with the notion that reasoning and debate are learned skills mostly you know on top of whatever your intelligence is would you agree that somebody who practices it a lot is going to be better than somebody who doesn't practice is that fair i think it is because that would be just like everything else right everything you practice now can you think of anybody who's practiced more than me in fact one of my biggest criticisms is i can't stop practicing because i'm on twitter all the time responding to arguments and criticisms i don't think anybody's practiced more than me and not just on twitter for my entire life i wrote a book on how to think clearly so here's my my take i think that people who don't um have the same amount of practice when they're when they encounter somebody who does it's very triggering because our opinions would be different but i would argue that my opinions are sort of carved out of a lifetime of practice but if your opinion was just something that you you know ginned up on the spot but you're not really somebody who works on you know the technique of debate and rational thought that it would be very off-putting it would be very off-putting to see somebody who's experienced at this tell you that you're wrong so i think some of it is that reaction there's a big difference between practice and talent yes but for the same amount of talent practice will be the difference all right people don't know the difference between facts and opinions weirdly weirdly they act like they don't i mean they do know the difference between facts and opinion but we all consistently act like we don't and i think i fall into that too knowing what you're talking about helps you uh all right interesting all right i think those questions can you comment on aoc's sexual frustrations well i think you mean the comments she made the republicans are uh mad at aoc because they can't date her so she actually tweeted something like that republicans really secretly are frustrated because they can't date her and i thought that was just provocative tweeting which she's good at i wouldn't take any of that too seriously what if the hallucination is you thought you heard elephant but it was really chair well what do you think will be my response when you challenge the analogy if there's one thing i could do like for my career like the the one accomplishment would be i love if people stop challenging my analogies like that's going to help um uh see oh okay addison has a 20 dollar comment here i love you but bo i don't love how you seem to so often disregard individual beliefs as unimportant well i've never done that or delusion uh never done that just some things are delusions and some are not and a good example is your view of trans athletes and women's sports no that's a terrible example that's the worst example you could ever cough with my view of trans athletes in sports is that sports are broken it doesn't even have anything to do with trans i just use the trans topic to make my point that sports themselves are poorly organized for modern life they're great i love sports just played every sport you can think of i love love sports but in in the current mode there they have a lot of problems uh so i use the trans thing only to attack the inadequacy of sports what i mean by that is people should be playing with people who are similar ability you all agree right people should play with the people of similar ability 100 of people agree that that would be a good situation that's all that's my entire opinion my entire opinion is people should play with the people or someone doesn't matter gender or whatever so if you're telling me that the issue with trans is that they they're on a team in which they're demolishing women i say right right that's that's my problem why would you form a team where one person is for whatever reason you know let's say uh when lou el cinder that was his name before uh kareem abdul-jabbar when he was in high school do you think they put i'm just guessing but do you think they put 14-year-old kareem abdul-jabbar on the jv team or do you think he got bumped up to play with the older people because it would be ridiculous to have somebody seven foot four or whatever he was playing with uh you know 14 year olds right so we routinely balance things and say oh okay this is a special case you know yao ming you're not with the regular people you go play with the tall people all i'm saying is we should just do more of that because it works we should never even be having a conversation about gender now some of you say but wait scott that would be unfair to women because they wouldn't get sports scholarships exactly exactly not because there's something wrong with women it's because the sports are broken why the hell are we giving anybody a sports scholarship to college how about don't do that whether you're male or female how about no men get them either would that make more sense do you i went to a college in which i could tell this some of the resources that would have gone to my education had been funneled into the basketball team how's that good for me i'm not on the basketball team so while i think the sports are great and entertaining and good for people etc the sports themselves just need to be fixed you need to get the other thing you need to do is get the traveling teams just get out of that like if there are parents who are dedicating their life to a son or daughter's softball career that isn't even going to get them into college bad idea stop doing it just have friendly games among people who are similarly talented and call it today the best possible sport you could ever have playing with people of similar talent it's amazing all the other stuff get rid of it all right so did that help you i know a lot of you had a problem with my trans opinions but the truth is i don't have an opinion about trans i really don't i have an opinion about sports you you just thought it was an opinion about trans uh somebody asked if you're wearing the one extra coat that i keep in the car what will my hot wife wear and the answer is my hot wife will have a coat and i will freeze to death because i often bring an extra jacket to dinner because females uh for whatever reason don't often dress warm enough if if it doesn't look good so i will bring my one extra coat and then i'll freeze to death over dinner because i have to give up my coat as soon as i sit down so i started to uh uh oh nick says you could be communicated poorly you mean the trans topic you are correct but intentionally in that case i communicated it poorly because i was sort of enjoying all the pushback on the trans stuff uh with people not quite getting that i was never even even on that topic i'm very pro-trans by the way very very pro-trans under the assumption that why can't anybody do what they want why am i telling people what to do it has nothing to do with them or their choices i just don't want to be in the position of telling people how to think and act all right arguing arguing and reasoning is adam dopamine here saying arguing and reasoning is like sex everyone assumes they're good at it because they like doing it yeah bingo bingo um i have a woo all right um i apologize in advance or not in advance i apologize for making this too much about me i hoped i hoped i could deliver which was uh the topic is me but i'm trying to teach you these rules you know elephant in the room if you can't talk the other experts in it don't talk to the lay people don't have uh one person talking to an expert you need you need a proximity so those are the concepts um but i don't care uh you know my role my role in all this is trivial that but the interesting part is how people think um scott you said the three doctors were not credible because they were not id'd i corrected that uh as i said it because somebody said they were id'd right so you said they were not credible because they're not id'd but in fact they were id'd but they're um the way the story was written it was a little misleading to me um your biggest prediction was that someone would withhold vital information until after the election 30 days after election pfizer announced the vaccine did i make that prediction does anybody remember that prediction that did i ever say that somebody would withhold vital information until after the election because that doesn't feel like something i would say because it's so obvious i oh i did so somebody says i did say that yeah i i'm i'm i thought i would not have predicted that because that would just be a statement of the obvious right was barely a prediction because i think everybody said that did i watch don't look up no i didn't uh here here's a comment clot that's my new nickname clot your problem is people know you're smart enough to make everything you say manipulative toward their persuasion ends that's true yeah one of my big problems is that if you think people could fool you you're extra cautious and dr johnson might my mascot is back you all know dr johnson my mascot i used to call my trolls trolls but once they become prominent they become mascots because like at a certain level the troll just becomes part of the entertainment so dr johnson you are promoted to mascot yes why were you so afraid of covet how does anybody determine who was afraid of what how would you know that about me well i examined my own mind to see if you know anybody else's impression of what i'm thinking is even close how often do you think it's close not often um let me tell you where my fears were uh i'll try to be as honest i think i could be honest completely honest about this so i told you that when the pandemic first started and i was shouting to close the borders there were smart people telling me this civilization was about to end actual civilization and the argument wasn't that everybody would get infected but that the the psychological part of it on top of the actual infection would just close everything down and then civilization would crumble there'd be sort of a cyclic um it would build on itself basically now that was a very real risk and his scare duff anime all right now you'd have to know and i'm not going to tell you but you'd have to know what source i was relying on to know about that risk let me just tell you it was a good one it was a good one let me tell you how good the source was now you won't be able to guess um this is how good my source was that told me that civilization might be on the brink of ending it was the same source that told me the leak probably came from the wuhan lab before you ever knew there was a lab there before you had ever heard there was a lab in wuhan i knew privately that it was the source of the leak same source told me civilization could be about ready to end meaning that there would be military on the streets basically and that scared the out of me i'm not going to lie i don't think i've ever been that afraid for civilization and you know for myself of course in the family um so that part yes i was afraid of but the actual risk of getting the virus i think i was in the normal range whatever a normal range is i i definitely took steps to avoid it but as i famously tweeted by the time i'd gotten vaccinated myself at the time i got vaccinated any concerns i had sort of dropped to zero now they weren't zero you know everybody has risk but once the risk gets down into the background noise level like the same risk of getting into your car same risk of a heart attack right once that risk was down with rest i i didn't really worry about it a lot so i would say that i was very worried about civilization i was a normal amount of concerned about getting infected with something that could kill me a sort of on the on the border of whether i have a comorbidity or not age-wise and so i can't say that there was ever a time i made a fear-based decision well except that uh i made the decision to not let civilization end so i wanted to see what i could do about not keeping you know not ending civilization so i will never know if i made any difference but i probably was the most prominent voice saying everything would be okay and i do know who listens to me and who doesn't um somebody says arrogant well let me test that is it arrogant to say is it arrogant to say that i was one of the most prominent voices to say things would be fine true or not true i don't know who else was doing it yeah i mean i think that's just a statement of fact so uh how much impact they had i don't know no way to know all right i've gone way over my my limit and i think it's time to go yes arrogant are we defining arrogant the same i'm not sure if we're defining that word the same wouldn't arrogant suggest that i uh i think your opinion is less than my own on this topic that's what that would mean right but i don't think i'm disagreeing with anybody so i think it's arrogant if you disagree i don't think it's arrogant if you agree is it somebody says you prefer smug i prefer overconfident will you accept overconfident as a description of my demeanor some of you said yes if you if you think i seem overconfident you are accurate because that's exactly what i'm trying to look like i recommend it by the way being a little bit overconfident is is exactly the sweet spot what you don't want is to be exactly accurate or underconfident and you won't you don't want to be too confident then you get into crazy territory you want to be find out what is the exact like reasonable amount of confidence and then just 10 more so so i'm trying to do that so i don't uh i accept that as a valid criticism but not anything i'm going to change and by the way the what you see as my arrogance or overconfidence is part of the reason people come because even even things that are annoying are attractive meaning attractive in a weird way like a car accident you can't look away so some of it's like a car accident you can't look away and i'm completely aware of that uh speaking as if you are the only intelligent person here is not have i done that how many how many you think that character is characterizes me have i spoke as if i'm the only intelligent person on here i don't think so i'm i'm saying no's and yeses so apparently there's a difference of agreement in my opinion this is the smartest audience on the internet like literally i'm not just buttering you up i believe that if you've gone through all of these you know live streams with me i'm positive that you're smarter than the average like a lot if i don't say that enough maybe i should how many of you would agree with that by the way here give you a chance to compliment yourself how many of you would agree with the notion that your ability to reason or at least to detect bs has been improved by watching my live streams how many of you think you got something out of it that's a life skill on locals it's all yeses um see lots of okay let's see so youtube just stalled out for a minute here all right so lots of yeses on youtube as well right and i think that all of that um that training specifically about spotting illusions is one of the most useful life skills you could ever have so i don't think it's an exaggeration to say regardless of what i don't know what the education level is or whatever of the viewers i don't have a good sense of that but i would say in terms of just understanding how to analyze a normal situation you're way above average way above average top 20 percent at least uh i think i just can't find this way to the end here you know what's happening is uh i just enjoy this interaction and so uh there's no school so i don't have a reason to leave at the moment all right that is all for now though so i will go talk to you later sorry if i seem arrogant

[Music]

well i just remembered that i forgot to

tweet that youtube would be

live too so you might have a smaller

audience than usual

smaller audience but really better

in many ways

and congratulations on making here

because this is the best thing that'll

ever happen to you in your whole damn

life

and to make it even better all you need

is a couple of my girl glasses a tanker

cello sue stein a canteen jugger flask a

vessel of any kind fill it with your

favorite liquid

i like coffee

and join me now

for the unparalleled pleasure the

the dopamine hit of the day some people

call it

syphinosis

it's called the simultaneous step it

happens now go

ah

that is some good hypnosis right there

can you taste the persuasion i think you

can i think you can

well are you surprised that i'm here

anybody

because i did my best to get canceled

yesterday

here i am

here i am

now

in case anybody missed it

i was essentially taking a challenge

the challenge was that i could say

things that violated the main the

mainstream narrative about vaccinations

and even and i tossed in the

election of 2016 just to make it extra

dangerous

so i violated the narrative i think

maybe harder than anybody's ever

violated it

at least according to my viewers i said

i did i did succeed in violating the

narrative

still here

still here

didn't get even demonetized and i get

demonetized for all kinds of stuff

didn't get demonetized

and

did not get a strike

did not get a warning

nothing

nothing now i predicted that that would

be the case

despite

being a fairly high profile

you know

pundit who talks about stuff in public

now how many of you would accept that

the test showed something

you know it's not a science so you can't

make any hard conclusions about it but

would you but would you say the the

demonstration was

useful

i don't know if it conclusive is a

little bit too much to say but was it

useful

yeah colin i hear you

not yet not yet okay well maybe i'll get

cancelled later

um

so

a lot of the uh

a lot of the concern that i'm getting

from both the reasonable critics and the

unreasonable ones is that i talk too

much about

covid

and on top of that

too much about my own critics would you

say that's fair

fair criticism

i i agree with that completely

but have you seen the news lately

do you know what the do you know what

the the biggest news story is today

is snowed

that's it

that's it that's all this happening the

biggest news story today is snowed

we'll talk about that in a little bit

i would like to

tell you that unfortunately since i talk

about the headlines

i'm a little bit captive to what's going

on there and i would talk a lot less

about myself

i hope

if if something interesting were going

on in the world

but there isn't

at the moment i mean it'll heat up i

mean this is going to be a good year

2022 will be lit for politics

but

um let me let me

give you one partial defense

when i'm talking about the pandemic i

don't feel like i'm talking about the

pandemic

and apparently that's not getting

through

do you know what i mean by that

that all of my pandemic talk

you know unless i'm just like telling

you some new update or something but

when i'm talking about the you know the

meat of it and how we deal with it it's

not really about the pandemic

at all

it should be

about how we determine who's

hallucinating

and who is thinking clearly

that that's what it's supposed to be

about

if i have confused you

to make you think that i am either

persuading you to do or not do something

in the pandemic none of that's happening

none of that is happening or at least

intentionally

i don't have an intention or a

really even a motivation

to give you medical advice or or

anything like that

so none of that's happening

but

uh there is a fascinating thing that's

happening at the moment that does

involve me

i'm in the middle of something that i

consider fascinating but to be honest i

don't know if you will

if i can be honest

everything's more fascinating when it

affects you personally

but

i believe

you will learn something

as i talk about this today

so i think you're going to see something

that may open your eyes a little bit

and it will look like i'm just defending

against my critics and there's some of

that

certainly

but i'm going to go a little deeper

and try to teach you something that's

seriously useful

okay so if you stick with me

you're gonna hear some topics you're

sick of and god i'm sick of them

i am so sick

i don't even want to hear the word

vaccination again for the rest of my

life

we're all sick of it

but my promise will be

if you stick with me

i'm going to give you at least one

really really useful tip

for discerning what's real and what

isn't

so just stay with me see if i can

deliver that okay

but first some other things

um i saw a tweet from michael sokolow on

twitter he says it's interesting how nbc

is plugging the quote

winter olympics

and apparently they're not mentioning

that it's in beijing or china

so nbc is maybe

at least allegedly we don't know what's

in their minds

but

and michael goes on to say even the

graphic they're showing has a big winter

olympics with only a small

beijing

in the lower corner

now

have we reached a point where

willingly doing business with china

is embarrassing

yes or no have we reached the point

where an american company doing business

with china is literally embarrassing

yeah yeah we're there

it's literally a corporate embarrassment

to do business with china

now i feel sorry for nbc because you

know they make these deals

years in advance

i imagine probably four years ago they

knew they would handle the olympics

maybe they could have seen the signs

then but

this is going to be i think a ratings

disaster

is that is that a pretty safe

um prediction

do you think we'll be surprised and the

ratings will be

sort of normal

i feel like it's going to be at least in

america i think it's going to be a

disaster

we'll see

um

china's got really big problems right

now

i don't know if i've ever seen a country

with bigger problems so they've got that

default of the big real estate company

going on over there they've got a

demographic bomb they you know they're

being blamed for the coronavirus they've

got the uyghurs so now they've got a

giant

karma problem

uyghur uighur karma

if the hashtag

uighur

karma ever gets traction

i don't know even the government could

fall in china i know that seems really

really unlikely

that the entire government could fall

but it could it could

uh rasmussen is uh did a poll

and they were asking people about their

opinions of the fbi

and apparently 46 percent either feel

strongly or somewhat

agreeing with roger stone

in the following sentence now this will

blow you away a little bit

this will blow you away

this is the united states public and 46

of them agree with roger stone

quote that a group of politicized thugs

at the top of the fbi

who are using it are using it as biden's

personal gestapo

so the thought that biden uses the fbi

as his personal gestapo

is agreed to somewhat or

or a lot

by 46 percent of the public

46 percent of the public

thinks it's fair to liken the fbi to the

gestapo

how many of you would agree with that

i think all 46 percent of you are on my

live stream right now

pretty wide agreement yes yes yes yes

yes yes yes yes yes yes

you know this is exactly the kind of uh

accusation that i usually avoid

all right

is that fair

maybe maybe i don't that may be my own

self-image but i like to stay out of the

this group is like hitler and that group

is like hitler and who's like the

holocaust i don't like to get in any of

that stuff it's just that's sort of what

you argue when you run out of argument

but

i find that uh characterization

you know hyperbolic of course but not

untrue

you know it feels like a hyperbolic way

to say it hyperbole

but

it isn't too far from what i see

to me it does look like biden

has some control over the fbi and that

they are doing some of his bidding

and that would look very disturbing

now we don't know

we don't know but maybe

elizabeth holmes who is on trial for

uh defrauding people i guess

got found guilty on

several of the charges and looks like

she's got some serious jail time or

fines coming

and i don't know that there's much to

say about this

john carroll says in the comments the

other 54 don't know what the gestapo is

no you're not totally wrong there

um

you know i'm only mentioning the

elizabeth holmes story because it's in

the news

but there's nothing interesting about it

is there

um she broke the law she got caught she

got prosecuted i think that's the whole

story

now there is definitely an element to

this of how in the world did she

convince

so many people that she was legitimate

i think that elizabeth holmes convinced

more smart people that she was real than

just about anybody

how'd she do it

is it because

she's female

now i don't think it was the sex appeal

per se

i didn't see her really selling sex she

whenever i saw her she was dressed

conservatively etc

i think it's because she

is a woman

not because of the sex part you know i

don't think necessarily the

you know any sexual interest is why

people believed her

but how many how many investors

do you think would

love to have a successful female

entrepreneur in their portfolio

i think it was a portfolio decision

that they all need a they need a

successful black person

that they're funding so they can say

they are

which is not a bad impulse right you

want your

activities to have some correlation with

the demographic of the country on

average on average not every person

every time

but to me this looks like a

gender preference thing

meaning that there were so many people

who knew they hadn't invested enough in

women's

startups

that they probably were just primed to

throw money at her as soon as she looked

legitimate

unfortunately she wasn't totally

legitimate

so that's that whole story they're

interesting uh

part of the epstein

gillane maxwell story so apparently

when epstein did a settlement back in

2000

whatever

2009

he paid half a million dollars to i

guess

virginia

jeff jeffries accusations

and

apparently part of that agreement

because it was a civil lawsuit

is that it would uh basically keep

everybody else quiet and they wouldn't

be able to sue or something like that

in other words

we we may have a perfect

uh concealment of the truth

so you got epstein who's dead

you've got glade maxwell whose records

are sealed

and now it looks like there won't even

be maybe the option for civil

settlements

because that may have been

preempted by other agreements

they

whoever worked on this and was virtuous

behind this 2009 thing

do i have that right i know dershowitz

was involved with

defending epstein at one point

but

this is kind of kind of brilliant

i i would say that whoever was behind

if if somebody was behind it

if this is a cover-up

is really really good

[Laughter]

because it looks like they're covering

it up right in front of us

totally getting away with it

does anybody think they won't get away

with it if

if what we're seeing

is exactly what it looks like

which is it looks like a massive cover

up

it looks like it's working right

what do you say

and the weird thing is that they're

doing it right in front of us

the i don't think there's anybody who

thinks

oh they're playing it transparently or

anything no they're covering it right in

front of us

and there's nothing you can do about it

and

it's the kind of issue where because it

doesn't affect most of us

except in the the general way that you

want you know criminals to go to jail

but because

i don't have any connection to any

anything in this story

i can watch the powers that be

apparently

covering up horrible

you know activity by famous people

and i just say huh

well that's suboptimal and then i go on

with my life the fact that almost nobody

else really really cares about the case

allows them to do this right in front of

us

and we're like ah suboptimal

i got other things to worry about

it's kind of

amazing usually these things at least

have a little bit of a

a little bit of a cover story that oh no

there's nothing like that going on

goodness no nobody's covering anything

up

here's what's really happening but this

doesn't even have a cover story does it

there's not even a cover story it's like

no we're just going to cover this up

pelosi is

probably going to step down as speaker

no matter what

and

the speculation has begun about who will

replace her

isn't this the same problem that the

democrats have about running a candidate

for president

which is they don't have any talent

it really you don't really notice

until they need a leader yeah no bench

you don't really notice until it was

like

well who the hell are they gonna run for

president

like like name a name like who would

even be

like a legitimate candidate and now they

speak of that same thing and you look at

the names that they're floating and i'm

thinking

do any of them look like they could do

what um

do what nancy pelosi did

they don't they don't really look like

they have the weight

that she had if you know what i mean the

gravitas or something

new some

maybe i think newsome is too polarizing

but i suppose you could say that about

everybody you've heard of

all right you saw the story about the

major interstate in eastern virginia so

snow closed the road while people are on

it so it snowed until people couldn't

move

and there were people who were stuck on

the road for

19 hours

they were in

their car

on the road

now obviously many of those cars ran out

of gas

um

so you know they were stuck and then

there was snow and then the cars out of

gas

and so even

senator tim kaine

was in that

and he he spent 19 hours

on the road

now you should read some of the threads

of people there's there's one by i think

a

news person who was stuck there

it it's really scary

now

somebody says where do you go to the

bathroom

i have to think there was a lot of

yellow snow by the end of two days

because it was sort of like an overnight

almost two days situated i don't even

think it's resolved yet

it's not resolved right there's still

some of them still there

but there had to be a lot of yellow snow

um some people didn't bring food some

did

people ran out of gas it was amazing

now i'd like to answer a question that

many of you have asked me

many times i've been asked the following

question

scott

how could you live in california with

all the problems there

well i'll tell you the number one reason

i live in california

that generally speaking

i do not risk death

by walking outdoors

that's it

that that's my reason

i have lots of other reasons right but

that's the reason i moved here

because i once uh had my car break down

i've told this story before in the

middle of the winter just about now is

you know i think it was february-ish

uh in my senior year of high of college

and i was miles from civilization in in

a snowstorm like this one but i was the

only car and my car broke

and there was no other cars

and i didn't bring a jacket

in the middle of the winter

because i was just going to be in my car

and i was in college

right

if you're you know if you're 19 what was

i 20 i guess if you're 20 years old

and you're just going from your car to a

building you don't really need that

jacket

until your car breaks down

25 miles from civilization

so when i read this story i am super

triggered by this i gotta tell you just

personally because if you haven't almost

died

from exposure

you don't quite understand how scary

this was

really really scary

do you carry a black a jacket or blanket

in my car yeah yes there is a spare

jacket in the back of my car

that is correct

and that's in california

but as soon as the weather turns you

know below 70 there's a spare jacket in

the back of my car

yes

and always probably will be

well

here's the topic that you're sick of

hearing about but i'm going to try to

give you some value so

those of you who are tired of hearing

about this

i'm not going to be offended if you want

to do something else but i'm going to

try to give you something you haven't

seen yet okay

you've all heard now about mass

formation psychosis and dr malone talked

about it he's not the creator of the

idea but he was popularizing it

and the idea is that we're we're all so

uncertain and confused and scared

that our minds are not working correctly

is that good enough for a summary

that we're all so uh isolated scared

and we don't know what's true because

the news is so confusing

that we're in a state of easily

easily being persuaded

but also simply not thinking correctly

like we've lost our ability to reason

does that seem like what we're in

do you feel that we're in that

now i've said to it we're always in it

so it's not really the pandemic

you know we've been in it since at least

the 50s

so that that's my contribution this is

not new but it's definitely here

i'm certainly not questioning whether it

exists

i'm just saying it's not new all right

however

i just tied two things together today

that finally made sense to me

i tweeted this morning that there are a

ton of people who are really mad at me

but their anger seems not to have a

reason which they are willing to offer

and so finally in frustration i tweeted

today

can somebody give me an idea

why so many people are angry with me

because i actually don't even know the

topic

is it

vaccinations

is it is that i said something about the

joe rogan interviews that were

sub-optimal you know even while saying

he's a national treasure

and so i asked the question smoking hot

wife jealousy somebody says

uh could be could be

and so i asked the question

and the answers were

all over the board

they were all over the board

now what have i taught you

is happening if you ask a question

and you let's say you ask a question

about something and everybody gives you

one of two or three standard answers

what what would you judge about that

situation

you would judge that maybe you have a

you have a different opinion

and that

you know it's two people with a

different opinion

um

but what would be your uh take

if you asked a hundred people what they

were angry about with you

and they all had different reasons

what would be the take

they're all angry with me so it's the

same person they're angry about

but their reasons

are all different

and it all happened about the same time

how do you explain that

here's how i explain it

when you see that it's almost a

guarantee of of

some kind of a

mental phenomena right

if people had largely the same

complaints about me i'd say oh that's

something to look at maybe it's me

or maybe it's them

but if people's

if people are mad

and the thing that cued me off is that

all of their their

criticisms were generic

so the criticisms all fell into certain

categories

very reliably

so they would say you're coping i don't

know what that meant

like what was i wrong about

they'd say

accept the l

and i would say i didn't even know i was

competing

what is even the topic i'm accepting the

el on

then there were you know another there

so all these generic things

so

have you put together the two things i'm

about to put together for you yet who's

ahead of me

who's ahead of me

it's a mass formation psychosis

the mass formation psychosis

that i've been talking about and dr

malone talked about is all in the news

is the reason

that people are mad at me

because if they were mad at me for a

specific let's say a prediction

or a specific

anything

they would just say so

but it's the mass

it is the mass formation psychosis

that is exactly the reason people are

mad but they don't know why

they don't really know why i saw some

people offer reasons

that might be explanations one was

the the best one i saw is that the

for a lot of the people on the right

which would include a lot of my audience

um

that joe rogan is a quote lifeboat

for their opinion and i put a hole in

the lifeboat

that's actually not bad

good because there's something

irrational happening

could be that

could be that i simply disagree with

people's opinions or they think so

because here's the weirdest part

almost everybody who's mad at me doesn't

disagree with me

now if you don't think that's true

i could pick anybody who is by critic

and just walk through what is it you

think that i think that's different from

you and you wouldn't find anything we

disagree on

and yet people are still hopping mad

hop and mad that is the the mass

formation psychosis

because because if people had a good

solid reason

they would just tell me

and there would be a

similarity to it

now the best the best theory i got

that had any meat to it

was that people believe i once had a

different opinion in which i trusted

vaccinations

and trusted the companies involved

but that as time has gone by

people say

that i've changed my opinion

because i realized how wrong i was

did anybody see let anything like that

happen

for those of you who watched me have you

seen me change my opinion on

vaccinations from the start

now the people on locals watch me the

most there is a subscription service

and

almost all of them are saying no

but i did see a yes

so even even on locals somebody's saying

yes but overwhelmingly the people who

watched me the most

say my opinion has never changed but

here's where it gets really weird

all right here's your first tip

for uh understanding when you're

hallucinating and when you have a clear

view of the world are you ready for this

here's your first

clip or your first tip

let's take the uh the specific

accusation one of the few that i got

that multiple people had

is that i trusted

the big pharma companies too much

so that that's that's what people are

saying about me

that i trusted the big pharma companies

too much

now here's how you can tell if that's a

hallucination

and you could use this technique for

other people in different situations

just for a moment

just for a moment try to take yourself

out of the fight

and just like look at it like you're

looking down from space

right you're not in it has nothing to do

with it you're simply looking down from

space

at this accusation

and the accusation is this

that the guy who is the creator of the

dilbert comic strip

whose 30-year run

is almost entirely

based on not trusting management

and about money distorting things

my entire career

is based on that principle you can't

trust management you can't trust what

anybody says the data is all made up

right

anybody who follows my comic would be

aware of that that i am the single most

vocal skeptic

of large companies in

the whole world

the whole world

you you could search the entire world

and you would not find anybody

anybody

who has spent more time

saying you shouldn't trust

what people in power tell you

now

do you think that that guy again

remember you're going to pull yourself

out you can look at it like your your

has nothing to do with you

nothing to do with you

you have you come to believe

that the person who is most identified

with not trusting big companies

and indeed said it directly a thousand

times

since the beginning of the pandemic

publicly at least a thousand times

you think that that guy

has a problem in which he trusted

big pharma literally one of the least

trustable entities

of all time

just ask yourself

does it sound reasonable

if you were to take yourself out of it

and just say all right here's here's the

thing that the person who is most

associated with distrusting big

companies

is actually

one of the most trusting of big

companies do you think that actually

happened

this is this is the technique

right to ask yourself is that really did

that happen

if you can say to yourself yeah that

sounds actually pretty reasonable

well then go with it

but i'll tell you what it sounds like to

me and of course i'm i'm in the middle

of this i'm biased it sounds to me like

somebody's saying

you know

i don't think mcdonald's sells

hamburgers

that's what it sounds like to me when

you say the guy who created dilbert is

too trusting of big organizations it

sounds exactly like

i don't think mcdonald's sells

hamburgers i don't think they do

me comic is 100 behind you

good to know i love me comic

it's a good comic

um

so um

i decided i would do a self-audit

because uh wouldn't you agree at this

point that it's also still possible

that i'm experiencing cognitive

dissonance and everybody else in the

world is right

right

so i thought i'd do a self-audit so i

started compiling

my predictions about the pandemic

and so i started making my list if you

would like to participate in that

please remind me or message me

on anything you think i got wrong

ask me a specific prediction

anything you think i got wrong

or anything you think i predicted right

just in case

i don't have a full accounting

uh scott could this be someone trying to

damage you well it doesn't really look

organized

it just it looks like uh it looks like a

bunch of people

who have lost their minds

from the

mass formation psychosis

so but i do think it's fair when

hundreds of people tell you that you're

losing it

that you should take that seriously

don't you think

you know

at the same time i can defend myself and

say oh this looks like obviously a

delusional thing

at the same time

don't you think there's a responsibility

on my part to take it seriously

if so many people are saying it right

so i'm gonna do an audit of my own uh i

guess sanity if you will

and so help me out

tell me what things i predicted wrong

uh or even right and we'll see how i did

just on the pandemic you don't have to

go beyond that

now other things that people criticized

me for was a tweet made before biden was

elected i said if joe biden

got elected there's a good chance you'll

be dead in a year

now how many of you think

that a tweet that says

if joe biden gets elected there's a good

chance you'll be dead in a year

how many took that as

literally uh the holocaust will

will be kicked off in less than a year

and

how many took it that way

because if you did you're not you're not

really a good reader

here's how you should have taken it but

i will accept that it could have been

clearer

right

you should have taken it this way things

will get a lot more dangerous and

especially for republicans

does that seem fair

that the way you should have interpreted

you know because twitter is all about

hyperbole so yeah you should be mentally

reducing the hyperbole before you

interpret it

if it's your first day on twitter you're

you're excused but if you spend any time

there

you know that the absolutes are never

meant to be absolutes right

if you say everybody does x nobody

thinks you really mean everybody

not everybody everybody just lots of

people it's just the way we talk

so um i predicted that if biden got

elected there's a good chance she'd be

dead

in a year

crime has spiked

the number of people dead from corona

virus way more than trump

um we probably have a little more risk

with our nuclear adversaries than under

trump although you could argue that one

overdoses through the roof

um

am i leaving anything out

suicides through the roof

overdoses suicides

coronavirus

crime

and then you throw on top of that the

political prisoners

the january 6 political prisoners and i

think we just have to call them

political prisoners at this point i i

don't feel

i don't feel that we we should assume

that they're just part of the justice

system

it doesn't look like that to me and i

think that the government has the burden

of proof

that they are not screwing us

so if you say to me scott can you prove

that they're political prisoners

i would say nope

nope

nor do i need to

because if you're making it look exactly

like their political prisoners that is

the assumption that the citizens should

operate on

it's up to the government to tell us

that's not what's happening and they

haven't

right so the government is guilty until

presumed innocent so january 6 those are

political prisoners

until

the government makes an argument that

they're not

okay

so that's the operating assumption

uh

let's uh test another theory for here's

another way to sort out

uh truth from hallucination

you all know robert o'neill

does everybody know robert o'neill

rob i think he goes by

um he was a little bit famous for uh

putting a bullet into osama bin laden

i think more than one actually i think

he had some fun with it

but uh he tweeted today

that twitter had deleted joe rogan's

interviews with dr robert malone and dr

peter mccullough

and rob asks us why do you think that is

why do you think that is

what would be your answer to uh rob's

question which is a very good question

why do you think those two doctors

got deleted

now what are the possibilities

now one possibility

is political right yeah one possibility

is

uh money

that big pharma

pushed the right levers and made it

happen right

so let's let's consider our

possibilities

so uh one

there is a uh

a very impressive conspiracy

in which the pharma companies

can actually have the stuff taken off of

social media maybe because they're big

advertisers

something like that now does that seem

reasonable

does it seem like a reasonable

possibility

that big pharma is getting their critics

kicked off of social media yeah

yeah that could happen

it's certainly within the realm of

possible right

possible

okay let's talk about some other

possibilities

um is it possible that the reason they

were those two doctors were kicked off

is that they can't even convince

other doctors that they're right

because i don't think twitter used its

doctor judgment

do you

do you think there's a

doctor who works at twitter who said

yeah i'm a doctor too

i looked at this stuff and i've judged

that

as my doctor experience tells me this is

not right

do you think that happened or do you

think twitter

got advice

from experts

what do you think

um i think

that you have to ask this question so

rob o'neal's question is a good one

now we don't know exactly the answer

right why did these two doctors

get kicked off

that's a good question

right

but the question that also is a good

question is

why is it that these two doctors

can't convince other doctors that are

right

but they've done a good job of

convincing

non-doctors they're right

would you be concerned

about doctors who could convince people

who don't know anything

but could not convince people who know

as much as they know

does that worry you

because if they could convince other

doctors

then twitter wouldn't have kicked them

off would they

do you think if there was a

a solid even a minority but a solid body

of other doctors saying yeah you know

i've looked at their argument and i

gotta say that's pretty strong

now you might say to be scott scott

scott

twitter doesn't even check with other

doctors i don't know

but you don't know either right i don't

know that they do

but you don't know that they don't

it seems kind of obvious that they would

especially if somebody asks how why'd

you do that

now of course they don't have full

transparency so i guess they they could

do anything they want

so that's my

here's my next

uh

advice for sorting out bs from reality

now keep in mind that none of the tips i

give you for sorting reality from

hallucination will be 100

you got that right these are all sort of

rule of thumb

way so just as you say you follow the

money

it predicts almost every time doesn't it

but it could also be wrong

so would you agree that the that the

rule follow the money is a really good

rule of thumb for figuring out what's

real but you know not every time

you give me that

so i'm going to give you some more like

that

so that are in the category of follow

the money doesn't work every time

but it works a

lot and it is if the expert can't

convince other experts

and they're and they're skipping the

other experts because they can't

convince them

and they're going directly to the public

there's a reason for that

there's a reason for that

i'm seeing a counterpoint here

let's see

i saw a counterpoint about dr malone

having people on his side

where is that

no i miss it

i think there's some counter argument

that dr malone has

people on his side but you would have to

limit that to the specific question

wouldn't you

so the question is not not dr malone

good or bad

that's not the question the question is

specific claims

that are not in the mainstream

so if if the doctors have convinced

people that their specific claims

are true

and there are lots of them

we should be talking about that right we

shouldn't be talking about

there's this one doctor who says

something

we should say there's a whole bunch of

doctors

and we'll put some more on and they'll

say the same thing

but why do these two doctors get all the

invitations there no other doctors who

agree with with them

yes you don't even know the claims

disputed that's correct i don't know all

of them

i do know that there is one specific

case of dr malone

uh

tweeting information that was considered

false information

about

the outcomes of the vaccine

so i think that's what he got kicked off

for my understanding is he got kicked

off

for

tweeting data

that was misinterpreted or obviously

wrong

now

it's the obvious part

that is where we're going to disagree

i would having looked at the debunkers

and then looked at the the data that dr

malone tweeted

uh the debunkers looked stronger

to me

but could be wrong

could be wrong

all right so ask yourself why you would

ever agree with doctors who can't

convince other doctors to agree with

them i would never do that by the way

um so arthur is saying good point arthur

says scott's got

not working for me because other doctors

are afraid of being canceled

let me call complete and total

the other doctors are afraid of being

canceled

absolute complete and i'm

surprised that you believe that

let me tell you

let me tell you what the real world

looks like

in the real world

the

people are too different

for every person you find

who doesn't want to get canceled and

there'll be lots of them

you're going to find at least one person

who likes the attention

you will

you will find at least one person who

likes the attention now the doctors you

can trust

cannot trust are the ones who need

hospital privileges do we all agree on

that if you require hospital privileges

you can't go against you know the

mainstream hospital opinion

you'll get kicked down

but

that still leaves a lot of people

right retired people retired doctors

what about the other people who worked

on the same team with dr malone have you

seen all the interviews of the people

who have the same experience

as dr malone about mrna technology

worked with them on the project

same experience have you seen the

interviews with them

why not

do you think they're all afraid

all of them

so this is very similar to the um

you're going to hate this but i'm going

to do it anyway do you remember the

fine people

thing in charlottesville and when you go

to debunk it

people will always go down the what i

call the the well

until the last thing they have left

is that

in a big event like that

nobody could have unknowingly been there

without knowing it was a

a nazi neo-nazi event

that's like somebody who's never been

born in america or never been here

any large group of americans have every

opinion

again i'm speaking weird absolutes but

if you take a hundred americans just

randomly and put them in a room what do

you think they're gonna have two

opinions

no they have like 100 opinions

so if you're telling me that doctors are

so

are so single-minded

that their fear of their career

is is the the guiding principle that

just got all of them

basically the entire industry

was so high minded

that they had to do what their medical

masters told them to do

we don't live in any world like that

at all

in our world people disagree with

everything

vigorously all the time if they believe

it

if they believe it

have you met any private doctors

who

agree with him but just don't want to

say it there must be some of those right

but we don't live in a world where

anybody can shut down an entire

profession

i don't think that can happen you

just google it scott google what

you've got to be a little more specific

than

just google it

now

if you say there are in fact many

doctors who publicly agree with

dr malone i'd like to see them on

interviews

get a few more of them you know it'd be

great get like three of those doctors

bring them in and say

here's some claims made what do you

think

i'd like i'd watch that

all right

but i i believe it is uh

not really

a

good understanding of the world if you

believe an entire profession

can be hive minded that easily

pick any

pick any category of

debate in this country

do we have any category of debate on any

topic from climate change to whatever

do we have any topic

that you can get this many people on one

side

not really

you can't get that many people on one

side over anything

and and people will take wild risks that

you wouldn't take

would any of you take the risks that i

take with your careers

i guess i'm a good test case

you've seen how many risks i take with

my career would you do that

well

somebody says you're rich but i did it

before i was rich

i did get fired from my day job before

my

before my uh

dilbert job took off because i took a

big risk

yeah no but even before i had the fu

money you're right about that

um

oh here we go nathan says now

i haven't read nathan's whole comment

but i'm going to make a prediction

that there's something not specific here

here we go

nathan says people are mad at you

meaning me because you say things that

are not true okay can you give me an

example there won't be one and give

yourself outs

okay that's generic

so so far this would be a sign of

cognitive dissonance because it's that

new generic thing but let's see if he

goes further he says malone is head of

organization consisting of sixteen

thousand doctors that agree with him on

covet issues it's called the unity

project

that is a claim

which could easily be checked

so let's take let's say the specific

data

that dr malone got kicked off of twitter

would anybody like to take a bet

that his 16 000

people in his unity project

disagree with the

the data

how many of you think that the his 16

000 people who agree with him in general

also agree that the data he

he promoted on twitter was accurate

would anybody want to take a bat with me

i'll bet that the majority of the people

that you say agree with him would say

that the specific data that he got

kicked off of twitter for

was not reliable

or it had been misinterpreted

anybody want to take the bet

you don't have to agree with every

single subject yes but the only things

we're talking about with malone

or what he got kicked off of social

media for

and i i i'm going to make a prediction

that the people who are on his side

don't agree with him on the stuff he got

kicked off of twitter for

anybody want to take the bet

you'd only need to find one person

just find one other person who thinks

that data was accurate

i don't think you can so the problem

with malone is

and somebody also said that uh

they said i was not giving dr malone the

credit he deserves

for his qualifications in other words i

was under

selling his credentials

i did the opposite of that

i basically drooled all over his

credentials as some of the most

impressive credentials i've ever seen

that's unambiguous

nobody

nobody is questioning his credentials

that's the one place we're all starting

with

okay we all agree has lots of

credentials

now let's talk

so so you can see that the the

complaints about me are just actually

crazy

yeah

all right

but here's what happens when you

separate the uh the expert from the

criticisms so dr malone went on joe

rogan

sam harris uh tweeted a

let's say a

criticism of dr malone by z-dog anybody

watching z-dog you can see him on locals

and and elsewhere

and z-dog was also

md

criticized dr malone on a number of

specific points and went through them

so now now you know something right so

now if you've seen

if you've seen

dr malone's full interview

and then you looked at z-dog's criticism

of him

which didn't happen at the same time

right they happened in different places

and times

you would have a pretty good idea

because now you've got the pros you've

got the cons right

how many would agree with that

because now you've seen both sides and z

dog remember z dog is a very good

communicator

and a doctor

so he knows what he's talking about

well

that didn't work out at all

because

after z dog did his criticisms

twitter user paul collider i mentioned

him often

went in and criticized the criticisms

and here's the criticisms of the

criticisms

is that in each case i don't know if it

was every case but in the the ones noted

z-dog had misinterpreted

dr malone

and had criticized a misinterpretation

so in other words

if i hadn't seen paul collider's

criticism of the criticisms

i i would have been much more persuaded

that z dog was saying something that it

was an actual

debunk

now

is paul collider correct

that z dog

misinterpreted malone

i don't know

you would need a you would need yet

another fact-checker to fact-check paul

collider who fact-checked

z-dog who fact-checked

malone

none of this is useful information

it turns out that as soon as you uh

as soon as you separate the claim

from the criticism

everything goes to

so my problem with the the joe rogan one

one

one interview

is that it removes the criticism and

once it's removed then you're not really

sure if you're even talking about the

same thing anymore and then you get into

word thinking and who said what and it's

just useless

yeah fact checking is dumb because you

usually don't have a you don't have a

reply to the fact check right that's the

problem with fact checking so fact

checking is a bad model better than

nothing but it's a bad model because it

separates in time and space

the claim from the debunk they have to

happen at the same time

otherwise you don't know anything right

you need somebody to say oh no no you're

misinterpreting me

i can't defend that because i never said

it so get back on my point

and now what's your criticism

so that that's why it needs to happen at

the same time you need the person who

makes the claim

to continuously pull the person back

into the actual claim

because if you know anything

when people criticize they make up their

own hallucination of what you claimed

and then they're off on that you've got

to have the claimer say nope

stop

never said that

now let's talk about what i did say

right

that could work

all right so um and then i also uh

tweeted one other critique

of dr malone and um

smart people said but scott that that

fact check

is like generic and off the point and it

looks like they're it looks like the

fact check the way it's written is

weasel words

like with no credibility whatsoever

and that was actually a reasonable

criticism

now keep in mind i didn't tell you the

the fact check was right

i told you you need to see it

you need to see the claim you need to

see the fact check but i will say that

the doctors who did not agree with dr

malone

um they did seem to be weaseling about

maybe related topics like they like they

weren't answering as directly as you

think they want that you wanted them to

but here was my interpretation

one interpretation is you can't trust

the fact checkers

and that's a fair interpretation

the other interpretation is that the

doctors

were aware of all of malone's claims

and

um if they thought he was saying

something that was true

i think they would have addressed it

or

were false in other words the fact that

the

the doctors weren't seeing

what um

malone saw

does tell you something even if they

didn't address it because it's hard to

be specific about

that stuff

um

all right

weird comments going on today

all right here's your next uh trick for

determining who is hallucinating and who

is not you've heard it before but every

time i apply it to a specific situation

it helps more examples you see the

better

generally speaking

generally speaking

right i will allow that there will be

exceptions

um

uh addison says do you suppose people

are tired of you attacking experts would

do it without doing the work to

understand the issues

yes i believe that that that people

believe i'm doing that but i don't think

it's happening

in other words i've asked for a specific

claim

and then i say

what have i said about that claim and i

don't have any examples

so it's

what you're saying would would be right

if we were talking about something

specific but nobody can even tell me why

they're mad

like what do they disagree with i don't

think it's only because i've uh

because i don't think i've dismissed any

experts i've said give me a specific

claim

and we'll look at it

i don't i don't think that that's

unreasonable all right here's your your

tip

general tip but i'm going to apply it to

this one

if you have four people in a room one of

them says

there's an elephant standing right in

front of us

the other three

who are just as smart

just as capable as spotting elephants

are looking in the same room as a little

room and they say

wait what

i don't see an elephant

there is an elephant right there

right there i'm looking at it look at it

and the other three people are like

um we don't see the elephant

who's right

it's a generic situation we're not

talking about the pandemic it's a

generic situation

one person sees an elephant

three do not they're all equally trained

in spotting elephants and it's it's a

little room

it's not i'm not talking about a forest

or a jungle

it's like a little room and you're in

there with it

who's right

somebody says all of them

you get extra credit for saying all of

them i know what you're going out there

yeah

i always bet on the three and here's why

hallucinations are additions to scenes

usually

there could be exceptions

but a hallucination

is something added to the scene

you don't have hallucinations of

somebody sitting in a room with an

elephant

who doesn't see it

right that hallucination just doesn't

happen the hallucination that does

happen

is

is somebody adding something to a scene

first of all

will you accept that as a good

generalization

if somebody sees a conspiracy theory

let's say a false one and the other

people can't see it

who's probably right

assuming that they can see all the same

information right there's no difference

in information who's probably right

the ones who can't see it right because

hallucinations are positive additions

dr malone

may be seeing things

that people with the same amount of

experience and vision

are not seeing

if the other people saw it too

i would say well they're all experts

you tell me four experts are in the room

they all saw the elephant there's an

elephant in that room

but if four experts walk out of the same

room with the same expertise the same

experience and three of them say there

is no elephant in that room and one of

them says i see it clear as day

who do you bet on

the three who don't see it

or the one who does

now keep in mind

the one who does is showing his work

so there's no like extra knowledge or

anything like that he's showing his work

it's completely transparent

and three of them don't see it

but one of them does

somebody says you'd believe the one i do

think that many of you would believe the

one

however

the reason that you might believe the

one is that you have been fooled

and primed

by the following model of reality

the people who are the rogue and

disagree with the the mainstream

sometimes they're right and then they

become heroes

i'm an example

for example when i predicted that trump

would win in 2016 i was a weird rogue

outlier

when i was right

that he won in 2016 i got a lot of

attention

did that make you think that the rogue

outlier is right more than wrong

it shouldn't

because the reason the reason i got a

lot of attention

is that the odds of the rogue

person being right are really low

that's the entire reason that i did it

because i knew that if i got it right

you know it would boost my credibility

now i did i was pretty sure he would win

for reasons

but

but i i have experience with this

the rogue person is almost always wrong

almost always

and you have the opposite impression

because when they are right it's all we

talk about

right the reason you know sully did such

a good job of landing that plane in the

hudson river

is because

it was rare

right that's why you heard of it

so your mind your mind imagines that

rogues are often right

the reality is the wrong 95 percent of

the time

if you just looked at your whole life

and all of the rogues who made a claim

five percent of the time not only are

they right but it changes history

and then you can't get that in your head

my god that rogue was right and changed

history there was wright brothers

there was rogue

bicycle making wright brothers

they made a plane that nobody said could

happen the rogue

the rogue is always right now the rogue

is almost always wrong

so bet against it should you have bet

against me

in 2016

what was the smart play

was the smart play to bet on me

or was a smart play to bet on all the

experts in the world

the smart play was to bet on all the

experts in the world

all right now i i had a very specific

angle into it if you followed that maybe

maybe that would be different but in

general

don't bet on the rogue

it's a bad bet

all right

so that's your other trick so here are

your tricks

for

not being an expert yourself

but but but deducing

the quality of the experts

uh first follow the money of course but

i don't see any specific

monetary incentive going on here do you

now you could argue i don't know some

doctors are raising their profile or

something but i don't know i don't

really see the monetary

incentive of the rogues of the rogue

doctors

so i would discount that one in this

case

um but i would definitely say why can't

they convince people who were

um

on their side

now you say that they have

and i say there isn't the slightest

chance

that the people who are even agreeing

with them on the general stuff

also think that the data that they got

kicked off for twitter for

was real

now i could be convinced you just have

to show me some other doctors who say

this data looks real

and dr malone got kicked off for it that

could you could do that i mean you could

convince me

but

um right now if they can't convince

other doctors and i don't see evidence

of it um well i could that could change

and

um i'm not also not aware of anything

that i'm especially disagreeing with the

doctor about except the things he

tweeted about data

i'm not through the entire the entire

interview

but i've gotten through a lot of the

good stuff

i will finish it off see my problem is

that

uh

you see the problem right

i guess i don't have to say it again

um and i would i would argue that i have

never disagreed with dr malone on his

expertise

would you accept that

um

i'm seeing these names steve kirsch

brett weinstein steve kirsch brett

weinstein why why are you saying that

why are holden

holden lou keeps repeating these two

names

and why are you doing that

um here is a here's

mass formation here so here's a yo-yo

gamer is just says in all caps scott

equals boomer equal disconnected

there's a good comment there

all right holden um i'm going to

ban you

for just repeating the same thing over

and over again

you are now hidden i thought you had

something to say but apparently you

didn't

um

whoops i'm looking at some

i watched it all

why do you compare yourself to great men

what

that's a weird comment

oh so here's my take on malone i don't

believe i've ever challenged him on his

uh expertise

has anybody seen me do that

has anybody seen me challenge dr malone

on his expertise i don't think i have

why would i that'd be dumb

i've only challenged him on my expertise

so i believe that i might be better at

him at determining what data looks real

from a study based on the fact that he

tweeted some stuff that looks pretty

sketchy

and

i think i'm good at determining who is

hallucinating and who's not

that's my expertise

i think i'm good at determining bs

that's another part of my expertise

so

i have on one side we have some let's

say rules of thumb for determining who's

hallucinating and he falls into

pretty much all of them

which doesn't mean doesn't mean

i'm right and he's wrong

uh one particular did he state this in

question the the one i remember was data

that showed that the vaccines were more

dangerous for

young people than we thought

so give me a fact check on this but i

believe that's one of them

but if you looked at the data he just

misread it

now is that the one um

is that the one where he claimed a lot

of myocarditis but the only people they

studied were people who had it

whatever it was was like a real basic

error

so that's one of them i know about

um

all right

how many of you think that there some

part of the government is trying to

train you through the pandemic

into

being easier to control

how many think that was an explicit

an explicit

goal of somebody

i'm seeing some yeses

a lot of yeses

who do you think was doing that

do you think there was a meeting or

meetings in which people said you know

if we can get people to do a bunch of

little stuff like wearing masks

it will be easier to get them to do more

stuff do you think there was anybody

who ever had that

conversation

i'm going to say no

i'm going to say no

because i think what it is is just a

collection of a whole bunch of people

doing what they think is right or good

for them

i think it's just a whole bunch of

self-interest

averaged together i don't think there's

any big puppet master who's

manipulating us into making us more

subservient

to me that looks sounds a little crazy

actually

because it would imagine that there's

some person or person who has that kind

of power

and that kind of like long-term plan

i mean if you have a name

of a person or persons that consider it

but

there's no evidence of anything like

that

somebody says not sure but it's the end

result is it

is it because that's not what i see what

i see is the public getting increasingly

less likely

to do what they're told

am i wrong

to to me the the entire united states is

on the verge of revolution

if you think that this caused the

citizens of the united states to be more

compliant

i would say we're very compliant in the

short run

because you know it's an emergency

nobody knows what to do it's like oh

tell me what to do i'll do it in the

short run americans and everybody else

can be very compliant

but we are a very non-compliant country

in fact you could argue that the entire

history of the united states is about

non-compliance

we're the most non-complying people ever

you know do you think somebody's gonna

well probably somebody who's gonna wear

masks even after they're not required

because they did before

but i'm pretty sure we're all just dying

to get out of these

little

limitations

um

all right

and then

how many of you think that my big

problem is my attitude

or the the way that i communicate

how many how many would say that's

that's my big problem

that's the way i communicate

no no really oh that's interesting i

thought i thought that was going to be

all yeses

and i'm getting more no's and yes's

i'm surprised

because a lot of people are saying that

um the problem is my arrogance

and

um i'm sensitive to that criticism

because

um

it's not the first time i've heard it

so you have to take it seriously if you

hear it more than once

but i'll tell you what it feels like on

the inside

on the inside i think i've been telling

you

that nobody knows what to do

like i told you that i guessed about

vaccinations and nobody's good at

predicting our leaders probably aren't

even going to make a difference

so to me i've said the opposite of i

have the answer and you don't to me i

said it's unknowable we're all guessing

good luck

to me that sounds the opposite of

arrogant

but does it sound arrogant to you

yeah i think it is here's what i think i

think when i demolish people's arguments

because most people are not good well

let me give you a set up here

would you agree that uh debating and

reasoning are learned skills

it takes some natural ability but do you

agree with the notion that reasoning and

debate are learned skills mostly

you know on top of whatever your

intelligence is

would you agree

that somebody who practices it a lot

is going to be better than somebody who

doesn't practice

is that fair

i think it is because that would be just

like everything else right everything

you practice

now

can you think of anybody who's practiced

more than me

in fact one of my biggest criticisms is

i can't stop practicing

because i'm on twitter all the time

responding to arguments and criticisms i

don't think anybody's practiced more

than me and not just on twitter for my

entire life

i wrote a book on how to think clearly

so here's my

my take i think that people who don't um

have the same amount of practice

when they're when they encounter

somebody who does

it's very triggering

because our opinions would be different

but i would argue that my opinions are

sort of

carved out of a lifetime of practice

but if your opinion was just something

that you you know ginned up on the spot

but you're not really somebody who works

on

you know the technique of debate and

rational thought

that it would be very off-putting

it would be very off-putting

to see somebody who's experienced at

this tell you that you're wrong

so i think some of it is that reaction

there's a big difference between

practice and talent yes but for the same

amount of talent practice will be the

difference

all right people don't know the

difference between facts and opinions

weirdly weirdly they act like they don't

i mean they do know the difference

between facts and opinion

but we all consistently act like we

don't

and i think i fall into that too

knowing what you're talking about helps

you

uh

all right interesting

all right i think

those questions can you comment on aoc's

sexual frustrations

well i think you mean the comments she

made the republicans are uh

mad at aoc because they can't date her

so she actually tweeted something like

that

republicans really secretly are

frustrated because they can't date her

and i thought that was just provocative

tweeting which she's good at

i wouldn't take any of that too

seriously

what if the hallucination is you thought

you heard elephant but it was really

chair

well

what do you think will be my response

when you challenge the analogy

if there's one thing i could do

like for my career

like the the one accomplishment would be

i love if people stop challenging my

analogies like that's going to help

um

uh see oh okay addison has a 20 dollar

comment here i love you

but bo i don't love how you seem to so

often disregard individual beliefs

as unimportant well i've never done that

or delusion

uh never done that

just some things are delusions and some

are not

and a good example is your view of trans

athletes and women's sports no that's a

terrible example

that's the worst example you could ever

cough with my view of trans athletes in

sports is that sports are broken

it doesn't even have anything to do with

trans i just use the trans topic

to make my point that sports themselves

are

poorly organized

for modern life

they're great i love sports just played

every sport you can think of

i love love sports but in in the current

mode there they have a lot of problems

uh

so i use the trans thing only to

attack the inadequacy of sports

what i mean by that is people should be

playing with people who are similar

ability

you all agree right

people should play with the people of

similar ability

100 of people agree that that would be a

good situation that's all that's my

entire opinion

my entire opinion is people should play

with the people or someone doesn't

matter gender or whatever

so if you're telling me that the issue

with trans is that they they're on a

team in which they're demolishing women

i say right right that's that's my

problem

why would you form a team

where one person is

for whatever reason

you know

let's say uh when lou el cinder that was

his name before uh kareem abdul-jabbar

when he was in high school

do you think they put i'm just guessing

but do you think they put 14-year-old

kareem abdul-jabbar

on the jv team

or do you think he got bumped up to play

with the older people because it would

be ridiculous

to have somebody seven foot four or

whatever he was

playing with uh you know 14 year olds

right

so we routinely

balance things and say oh okay this is a

special case you know yao ming you're

not with the regular people you go play

with the tall people

all i'm saying is we should just do more

of that because it works

we should never even be having a

conversation about gender now some of

you say but wait scott that would be

unfair to women

because they wouldn't get sports

scholarships

exactly

exactly

not because there's something wrong with

women

it's because the sports are broken why

the hell are we giving anybody a sports

scholarship to college

how about don't do that

whether you're male or female how about

no men get them

either would that make more sense do you

i went to a college in which i could

tell this some of the resources that

would have gone to my education had been

funneled into the basketball team

how's that good for me i'm not on the

basketball team

so while i think the sports are great

and entertaining and good for people etc

the sports themselves just need to be

fixed

you need to get the other thing you need

to do is get the traveling teams just

get out of that

like if there are parents who are

dedicating their life

to

a son or daughter's

softball career

that isn't even going to get them into

college

bad idea

stop doing it

just have friendly games among people

who are similarly talented and call it

today the best possible sport you could

ever have playing with people of similar

talent it's amazing

all the other stuff get rid of it

all right so did that help you i know a

lot of you had a problem with my trans

opinions but the truth is i don't have

an opinion about trans

i really don't i have an opinion about

sports

you you just thought it was an opinion

about trans

uh

somebody asked

if you're wearing the one extra coat

that i keep in the car what will my hot

wife wear and the answer is my hot wife

will have a coat

and i will freeze to death

because i often bring an extra jacket to

dinner

because females uh

for whatever reason don't often dress

warm enough if if it doesn't look good

so i will bring my one extra coat and

then i'll freeze to death over dinner

because i have to give up my coat as

soon as i sit down

so i started to uh

uh

oh nick says you could be communicated

poorly you mean the trans topic

you are correct

but

intentionally

in that case i communicated it poorly

because i was sort of enjoying all the

pushback on the trans stuff

uh with people not quite getting that i

was never even

even on that topic

i'm very pro-trans by the way

very very pro-trans

under the assumption that

why can't anybody do what they want

why am i telling people what to do

it has nothing to do with

them or their choices i just don't want

to be in the position of telling people

how to think and act

all right arguing

arguing and reasoning is adam dopamine

here saying

arguing and reasoning is like sex

everyone assumes they're good at it

because they like doing it

yeah bingo

bingo

um

i have a woo

all right um i apologize in advance

or not in advance i apologize

for making this too much about me

i hoped i hoped i could deliver

which was uh the topic is me but i'm

trying to teach you these rules you know

elephant in the room

if you can't talk the other experts in

it don't talk to the lay people

don't have uh

one person talking to an expert you need

you need a proximity so those are the

concepts

um but i don't care

uh you know my role my role in all this

is trivial that but the interesting part

is how people think

um

scott you said the three doctors were

not credible because they were not id'd

i corrected that uh as i said it because

somebody said they were id'd

right so you said they were not credible

because they're not id'd but in fact

they were id'd but they're um

the way the story was written

it was a little misleading to me

um

your biggest prediction

was that someone would withhold vital

information until after the election

30 days after election pfizer announced

the vaccine did i make that prediction

does anybody remember that prediction

that

did i ever say that

somebody would withhold vital

information until after the election

because that doesn't feel like something

i would say because it's so obvious

i

oh i did so somebody says i did say that

yeah i i'm i'm i thought i would not

have predicted that because that would

just be a statement of the obvious

right

was barely a prediction because i think

everybody said that

did i watch don't look up no i didn't

uh

here here's a comment clot that's my new

nickname clot your problem is people

know you're smart enough to make

everything you say manipulative toward

their persuasion ends that's true yeah

one of my big problems is that

if you think people could fool you

you're extra cautious

and

dr johnson might

my mascot is back you all know dr

johnson my mascot i used to call my

trolls trolls but once they become

prominent they become mascots

because like

at a certain level the troll just

becomes part of the entertainment so dr

johnson you are promoted to mascot yes

why were you so afraid of covet

how does anybody determine

who was afraid of what

how would you know that about me

well i examined my own mind to see if

you know anybody else's impression of

what i'm thinking is even close

how often do you think it's close

not often

um

let me tell you where my fears were uh

i'll try to be as honest i think i could

be honest completely honest about this

so i told you that when the pandemic

first started and i was shouting to

close the borders

there were smart people telling me this

civilization was about to end

actual civilization and the argument

wasn't that everybody would get infected

but that the the psychological part of

it on top of the actual infection would

just

close everything down and then

civilization would crumble there'd be

sort of a

cyclic um it would build on itself

basically

now

that

was a very real risk

and his scare duff

anime

all right

now you'd have to know and i'm not going

to tell you but you'd have to know what

source i was relying on to know about

that risk

let me just tell you it was a good one

it was a good one

let me tell you how good the source was

now

you won't be able to guess

um this is how good my source was that

told me that civilization might be on

the brink of ending it was the same

source that told me

the leak probably came from the wuhan

lab

before you ever knew there was a lab

there

before you had ever heard there was a

lab in wuhan

i knew privately

that it was the source of the leak

same source

told me civilization could be about

ready to end meaning that there would be

military on the streets basically

and

that scared the out of me

i'm not going to lie

i don't think i've ever been that afraid

for civilization

and you know for myself of course in the

family

um

so that part

yes i was afraid of but the actual risk

of getting the virus

i think i was in the normal range

whatever a normal range is

i i definitely

took steps to avoid it

but as i famously tweeted by the time

i'd gotten vaccinated myself

at the time i got vaccinated

any concerns i had sort of dropped to

zero

now they weren't zero you know everybody

has risk but once the risk gets down

into the background noise level like the

same risk of getting into your car

same risk of a heart attack right once

that risk was down with rest i i didn't

really worry about it a lot

so i would say that i was very worried

about civilization

i was a normal amount of concerned about

getting infected with something that

could kill me a sort of on the on the

border of whether i have a comorbidity

or not

age-wise

and so

i can't say that there was ever a time i

made a fear-based decision

well except that

uh i made the decision to not let

civilization end

so i wanted to see what i could do about

not keeping you know not ending

civilization

so i will never know if i made any

difference

but i probably was the most prominent

voice saying everything would be okay

and i do know who listens to me

and who doesn't

um

somebody says arrogant

well let me test that

is it arrogant to say

is it arrogant to say that

i was one of the most prominent voices

to say things would be fine

true or not true

i don't know who else was doing it

yeah i mean i think that's just a

statement of fact so

uh how much impact they had i don't know

no way to know

all right i've gone way over my my limit

and

i think it's time to go

yes arrogant are we defining arrogant

the same

i'm not sure if we're defining that word

the same

wouldn't arrogant

suggest that i

uh

i think your opinion is less than my own

on this topic that's what that would

mean right

but i don't think i'm disagreeing with

anybody

so i think it's arrogant if you disagree

i don't think it's arrogant if you agree

is it

somebody says you prefer smug i prefer

overconfident

will you accept overconfident

as a description of my demeanor

some of you said yes

if you if you think i seem overconfident

you are accurate

because that's exactly what i'm trying

to look like

i recommend it by the way being a little

bit overconfident is is exactly the

sweet spot what you don't want is to be

exactly accurate or underconfident and

you won't you don't want to be too

confident then you get into crazy

territory you want to be find out what

is the exact like reasonable amount of

confidence

and then just 10 more

so so i'm trying to do that so i don't

uh i accept that as a valid criticism

but not anything i'm going to change

and by the way the

what you see as my

arrogance or overconfidence

is part of the reason people come

because

even even things that are annoying are

attractive

meaning

attractive in a weird way like a car

accident you can't look away so some of

it's like a car accident you can't look

away and i'm completely aware of that

uh speaking as if you are the only

intelligent person here is not have i

done that

how many

how many you think that character is

characterizes me have i spoke as if i'm

the only intelligent person on here

i don't think so

i'm

i'm saying no's and yeses

so apparently there's a difference of

agreement

in my opinion this is the smartest

audience

on the internet

like literally

i'm not just buttering you up

i believe that if you've gone through

all of these you know live streams with

me

i'm positive that you're smarter than

the average like a lot

if i don't say that enough maybe i

should

how many of you would agree with that by

the way here give you a chance to

compliment yourself how many of you

would agree with the notion

that your ability to reason or at least

to detect bs

has been improved

by watching my live streams how many of

you think you got something out of it

that's a life skill

on locals it's all yeses

um

see lots of

okay let's see

so youtube just stalled out for a minute

here

all right so lots of yeses on youtube as

well

right and i think that all of that um

that training specifically about

spotting illusions

is one of the most useful life skills

you could ever have

so i don't think it's an exaggeration

to say regardless of what i don't know

what the education level is or whatever

of the viewers i don't have a good sense

of that but i would say in terms of just

understanding how to

analyze a normal situation

you're way above average way above

average

top 20 percent at least

uh

i think i just can't find this way to

the end here you know what's happening

is uh i just enjoy this interaction

and so

uh

there's no school so i don't have a

reason to leave at the moment

all right that is all for now though so

i will go talk to you

later sorry if i seem arrogant