Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive August 22, 2026
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Episodes Episode #1638

Episode 1638 Scott Adams - Come Watch a Hypnotist Reframe Reality Right in Front of You

Episode #1638 Jan 29, 2022 1:09:00 22,653 views

Find my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com Content: ----------- - Wishing a new deadly variant into existence - Australian media blames Fauci for the pandemic - Diversion Narrative? Zelensky Kremlin compromised - Whiteboard1: Military Financial Reframe - George Soros controls U.S., but can't be President? - Democrat scams? BLM, Antifa, Occupy Wall Street ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.

Opening General Commentary

Good morning everybody. Welcome to the most amazing hour you're likely to ever spend in your entire life. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams. Normally it's tremendous. On an average day it's better than anything you've ever experienced. But today even the normal Coffee with Scott Adams experience i…

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SimultaneousSip General Commentary

f you, get a nice warm blanket because you're going to need to swaddle your brain. But first, how about a simultaneous sip? All you need is a cup or a margarita glass, a tankard, a chalice, a canteen, a jug or flask, vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid, a beverage some would say,…

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MainContent Two Movie Screen

, the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better, and I mean everything in every reality better. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now. Go. Would you like to see the matrix? You know some people think that we live in a simulation. And if this were a simulation you wo…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

g that's real if anything is. So my prediction is this. There can never be a major story that has only one interpretation. You always, there could be exceptions of course, but let's say in general that the headlines will always tend toward two interpretations even when it's not just a Democrat-Repu…

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MainContent Cognitive Reframing

to believe it would have none. Even if the only thing it did is affect somehow the way we acted because you know that you're drawn toward things you think about a lot. Your behavior is attracted to whatever you're thinking about the most just somewhat automatically and subconsciously. So could we j…

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MainContent Cognitive Reframing

narrative before? How about Trump-Russia collusion? That's a diversion narrative for the fact that Hillary was literally colluding with Russia apparently. All right I'll say allegedly or apparently. How often are diversion narratives really all we're seeing and how often are we just wrong? Because…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

his might create an opening for this second narrative that Zelensky is a puppet of the Kremlin and he's practically inviting them in. And then the other narrative that nothing like that is happening. So once again two worlds. Does the simulation require that in every case? And I'm not even sure thi…

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Whiteboard Politics as Persuasion

s them down to what weapons can you use in these smaller conflicts? And so finance is everything. And so when Biden says you can line up your military on the border if you want but at your own peril, it's time for the military financial crossover point. Boom. Now I submit to you that I do not know…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

l parent that could become a rift that lasts forever and becomes a problem. Now I'm not saying every family is the same. You know I think there's a world of difference between a stepkid that you get as a baby and the original parent was never in the picture. That's effectively just a biological par…

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Tangent General Commentary

nt. It was t-shirt weather. Beautiful day. So if you don't mind the high taxes and the crime and the drought and the forest fires that are blotting out the sun, if you don't mind that stuff it's a pretty good place to be. And if you can stay away from the tsunamis and the earthquakes but you know I…

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MainContent Health & Biohacking

ediately adjust because we're real good at that. We adjust. Probably the single thing that makes humans the dominant species over the planet, although fungi are doing pretty well but you know humans we're having a good run, is because we adjust so well. You know is it Bret Weinstein who says this?…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

universe because you happen to be the right gender at the right time in history that probably would raise your testosterone wouldn't it? Because you would just walk around feeling like oh yeah I'm in charge. Now what would happen if instead you were born in the more current era and you were told th…

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MainContent Cognitive Reframing

ost stereotypically racist let's put that out there. What would be the most stereotypically racist thing you could imagine would be that you know a Black organization stole a bunch of money right? That's what the racist brain would go there immediately. And then the story comes out that looks like t…

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Closing General Commentary

can handle the complexity. My story and yours don't have to match anymore because I'm in my own subjective reality and it'll never make any difference if your story and mine never match. So every future story even if it doesn't line up perfectly with Democrat and Republican should branch into multi…

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Good morning everybody. Welcome to the most amazing hour you're likely to ever spend in your entire life. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams. Normally it's tremendous. On an average day it's better than anything you've ever experienced. But today even the normal Coffee with Scott Adams experience is going to go to a new level. It will. Yeah.

And if you'd like to get us started off right, and by the way you might need a little swaddling for your brain, find a nice warm blanket unless you're exercising. If you're running on the beach right now and you hear me laughing in your ear as you're running on the beach and you're saying, "Damn it, he's making me laugh when I'm running on the beach. I think he's talking about me." And I am. So keep running on the beach. But the rest of you, get a nice warm blanket because you're going to need to swaddle your brain. But first, how about a simultaneous sip?

All you need is a cup or a margarita glass, a tankard, a chalice, a canteen, a jug or flask, vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid, a beverage some would say, and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better, and I mean everything in every reality better. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now. Go.

Would you like to see the matrix? You know some people think that we live in a simulation. And if this were a simulation you would be subject to resource constraints, wouldn't you? If we were any kind of computer simulation, the one thing you could be reasonably sure of is it would have some kind of limits because everything has to have a limit just logically. And so could we ever spot the limits of our own simulation as evidence that that's what we're in?

Here's the frame that I'm going to give you for today's entire episode and it goes like this. Did you ever wonder why cognitive dissonance is so common? Or to put it more generally, why people have completely different views of reality? And it doesn't just apply to the news. Don't you know that sometimes you'll be talking to your friends you've known forever and you'll have completely different memories of events in which you both were there? What's up with that?

Why do we have memory but our memory is so close to fantasy that sometimes you can't even untangle them? Why do we so often live in what seems like completely different worlds? And here's the answer. It has to be that way because of resource constraints. Cognitive dissonance isn't a flaw, it's a feature. You couldn't program the simulation without that requirement. Here's why.

Imagine creating a simulation. And by the way, if those of you who have programmed back me up on this. If you were creating a simulation in which every character's actions had to be known to every other object and item in the entire universe because they might someday interact, and someday you might hear about something that somebody else did and it has to be consistent, if our memories were perfect it would have to be consistent.

So if you tried to build an artificial world in which everybody's story, their narrative if you will, or their subjective reality, if they had to be consistent in all ways with all other stories, the resources would be astronomical to the point where it's unimaginable that it could be programmed. But could you build a world in which people believed they were seeing an accurate view of the reality but in fact the accuracy was only a trick of the mind? That'd be a lot easier.

So watch, if you will, the predictive power of the simulation hypothesis. Do I tell you that the simulation is the true way to see the world? Never. Nope. The only thing I could tell you is that some ways of looking at things might be more predictive than others. And that's probably the closest you can get to something that's real if anything is.

So my prediction is this. There can never be a major story that has only one interpretation. You always, there could be exceptions of course, but let's say in general that the headlines will always tend toward two interpretations even when it's not just a Democrat-Republican thing. Because take vaccinations for example. You saw that a lot of, let's say, the Black population and the Republicans were often on the same page. So it wasn't even a left-right thing.

But every story has to have multiple interpretations because that's the only way you could program the simulation.

Let's talk about a few things that are happening now. One is the continuing of what I call the Roganization of the news. The Roganization of the news is another indication that we live in a simulation, that we're reusing themes because it's just simpler. It uses less resources.

So the way we saw the news used to be through a Trump filter and now we see it through a Joe Rogan filter. So if we talk about vaccinations we talk about Joe Rogan. If it's about ivermectin, Joe Rogan. You know, the government taking away our rights, Joe Rogan. Freedom of speech, Joe Rogan. And now even music and streaming, Joe Rogan.

Now some of it is just you get something in your mind and it sticks and he's gigantic in terms of his reach so it makes sense in the same way it made sense that we talked about everything through a Trump filter. But think about how that simplifies the programming. We all just think the same way. We just go through the same filter. It's a big simplification if you were going to program a simulation.

So here's what else is happening. The story is that the following four people, and before you fact-check me I'm going to fact-check myself when I'm done, that the following four people have said they don't want to be on Spotify, the streaming service, if that Joe Rogan is on there with his misinformation about health-related things.

So it started with Neil Young but now then we heard that Barry Manilow joined and then we heard that Peter Frampton was on board and then Joni Mitchell. How much of that story is true? It's like every story, right? There's a true version and a fake version.

And so here's the details. Barry Manilow came out and said, "I don't know. I don't know where that started. It didn't come from me. Didn't come from anybody who represents me." So the Barry Manilow part of the story was completely fake. So at least 25 percent of the story is fake.

And then there's a Peter Frampton tweet in which he said he's always been an Apple guy. So you know he uses Apple streaming. And I said to myself, wait a minute, is Peter Frampton saying he doesn't want to be on Spotify? Is he saying he's never been on Spotify? Or is he saying that he's not even talking as a creator anymore because I don't know the last time he published any music. But is he talking as a consumer? Is he just saying that he didn't use Spotify before to listen to music?

I feel like Peter Frampton trended just because he says he listens to music on a different streaming service. I think that's what happened. Now if that's true, if I'm interpreting it correctly, and again you know we're all going to have different stories, it has to be that way, that would be 50 percent of the story isn't real. So that would leave Joni Mitchell on the side of Neil Young.

And if you take Joni Mitchell's music off of Spotify, well you won't be able to go to Spotify to hear Joni Mitchell's big hit. Joni Mitchell's big hit, she was really big when I was young, had a lot of hits actually. She was very famous. And then her big hit was, I don't know, but I'm going to miss it. I'm going to miss it is what I'm saying.

I never used Spotify before. I was kind of a different streaming guy. But in case you want to put that in the headlines I think I should be trending. Wait a minute, I'm on Spotify aren't I? I'm on Spotify am I not? Can somebody confirm that? I think I am, right? Yeah I mean we, I just published the podcast wherever. I think so. I think it's on there.

Well why the hell did nobody ask me if I am willing to be on Spotify with my highly valuable podcast which probably gets roughly as many listens as Neil Young? But I feel that I've been overlooked. Am I wrong? Should I make a public statement now? I think I'm going to have to. I'm going to have to go on the record.

I think everybody who is on Spotify needs to give their Joe Rogan opinion. And I'm embarrassed to be on Spotify honestly now that I know that Barry Manilow is still on there. So I refuse. I refuse to be on Spotify. I would like my representation to pull all of my podcasts immediately because, you know, Copacabana. It's not really music is it? It's not music. It's sort of like an ear worm that gets in your head and makes you happy and you can't get it out.

Now I personally have spent many, many hours as a busboy in my early days when I was a busboy and we would clean the dining room all at the same time after all the guests had left. It was a hotel and they would play Copacabana over and over again through the ceiling speakers because we only had a few songs for whatever reason. And I've heard more Copacabana than any human has ever heard. And I don't know if I can be on Spotify with that man. Excellent music, very successful, but you got to draw the line somewhere.

Edward Snowden had a funny tweet. He said nobody has stronger opinions about Joe Rogan than people who have never listened to Joe Rogan. And I thought, you know I bet that's exactly true. You know this is one of those tweets where you say to yourself, well that's not, I'm sure that's not true completely. And then you think about it and then you think now that might be actually true for every single human in the conversation. It might literally be true of everybody who is against him is that you haven't heard the context.

Now I don't know how many of you could say the same but I feel like I've been following his career since the earliest days literally on NewsRadio. And do you remember that he had a show, I can't remember the name of the show, you'll probably tell me in which he looked into stuff like Bigfoot. He actually went looking for Bigfoot. Who remembers that? What was the name of the show? You'll remember. I think you'll remind me. No it wasn't Fear Factor. What was it? Come on it wasn't on for a long time. Oh, Joe Rogan Questions Everything. Was that it? Joe Rogan's Questions Everything, right?

So now I'm not going to characterize Joe Rogan's opinion about Bigfoot. You know who knows what he was thinking when or what. But if you know that part of his arc, you know, include literally being an actor, literally being a huge stand-up comic, and literally at one point searching for Bigfoot, all in the name of entertainment, right? If you understand that then don't you have a better appreciation of any other content that he presents? Which is that the larger context is if it's interesting I'm going to put it on.

I don't think there's any other criteria. Does he claim any other criteria for putting on entertainment? This just has to be good, right? Either it has to be funny, it has to be interesting, provocative, something. It just has to be good. So if you understand that the context is things that are interesting then you listen to the rogue doctor and you make your own decision. You're not watching it like the news.

But what if you've only seen clips of his show? You don't know anything about his history, his other work. You know maybe you don't even know he's a stand-up comic. Don't you think a lot of people, his critics, maybe you know vaguely know he's done that kind of work but don't know he would be one of the biggest in the country at the moment? So you know I think the context makes a big difference. Not only the context within the show but the larger context that if it's interesting he's going to let us see it. And who, how do you complain about that, right?

If you know the larger context, if it's interesting I think I'll show it to you. What the hell? How do you get mad at that? Form your own opinion. He's not telling you what to think. If he told you what to think that'd be a whole different conversation wouldn't it? But nowhere are you going to find anything in his record that tells you what to think. Fact-check me on that, right? I'm pretty sure if you scour his record you're not going to find him telling you how to think. He's just going to show you interesting and you make up your own mind. It's a good model.

Those of you who have experienced doing mushrooms, you know that you have a much better understanding of our reality as being a subjective reality. So even if you discard this simulation hypothesis you probably would agree that we are living in our own subjective reality in lots of different ways. And we'll talk about some of those ways.

Number one is many people have lived for the last two years in a subjective reality in which the elites are using COVID as a plot to take control for the great reset and it was never a problem etc. Others, and again I'm not, I don't have an opinion on that right now. I mean I have opinions but not right now. My larger point is that didn't we live in different worlds?

There are some people who just said hey there's a deadly virus. People doing the best they can but people are weasels and liars and so this is what you get. So that was my reality. My reality is just a whole bunch of weasels and liars doing the best they could usually for themselves and this is what you get when you have weasels and liars and a crisis along with lots of people trying to do the right thing. It wasn't like everybody was lying but it's not like everybody was telling the truth. It's not like everybody was trying to get an advantage on other people. Some people were literally just trying to help and nothing else.

And a lot of people, you know that's the best thing that came out of the pandemic by far is the kindness that was expressed pretty much universally at least by the citizens. So those are different worlds that we've been living in for the last two years.

How about what happens if we are a simulation and the way we think affects it? Here's something that worries me because I worry about weird things. What if we wish a new variant into existence? What happens if everyone in the world expects a new deadly variant just because we've been primed that way? Can we actually make that happen? Can we just will it into existence?

You know I worry about that like actually literally because I think our understanding of the reality we live in such as it is is so weak. You know what we actually understand about reality is so weak that I wouldn't discount seven billion people expecting exactly the same thing to happen having no causal effect. Like it might not have enough causal effect that I could believe but it's hard to believe it would have none. Even if the only thing it did is affect somehow the way we acted because you know that you're drawn toward things you think about a lot. Your behavior is attracted to whatever you're thinking about the most just somewhat automatically and subconsciously.

So could we just think our way into problems? I don't know. But I'd like to at least give consideration to thinking our way out of it instead. And maybe focus a little more on February 1 being over now. You see the real power of that? What happens when everybody says February 1 is the day we stop, or at least with mandates in the United States? Could it have the opposite effect? Could it have an effect that doesn't seem to be directly related to the public rising up? In other words could the virus just burn out as if by magic because everybody was focusing on the same time to make it burn out?

I don't know but I'll tell you that I have this one observation. There's no scientific backing right so this is not science but maybe you could compare it to your own situation. I find that the more clearly I can visualize something potentially happening the more likely it'll happen in my actual life. If I can see it as clear as I can see a photograph in front of me sometimes I can, then it just always happens even if it's unlikely.

I use my example all the time of becoming a best-selling author or becoming a cartoonist, you know famous cartoonist, or visiting the White House and talking to a president. These are things which I visualized really specifically and there are other things that I just sort of want but I don't really visualize them and they don't happen. But the things that I think about specifically, oh my god do they happen on a regular basis in a weird way.

So I just want to put it out there that if you all focus on hashtag February 1 for dropping mandates which is similar to saying that the pandemic itself, the crisis has abated, I'm not going to tell you it'll make it happen but if you want to play it safe, if you want to play it safe I'd rather think about stopping it than having it forever.

All right. Here's a bombshell that's gonna scramble your brain. I saw this on a tweet by a Twitter user called Logic. Bombshell reports from Australia. Australia media places the blame for the pandemic on Fauci, in other words the United States. So there's at least one person, I don't know how many more believe this, but talk about a reframe that made my brain hurt as soon as I heard it.

From somebody else's point of view we just spent two years blaming China. We just spent two years blaming China which you know I'm all on board with that because you know I'm no lover of the Chinese government. But at the same time we were slowly learning Fauci's involvement and somehow it never occurred to me, and I would wonder if this is blowing your mind as well, why had it never occurred to me that the United States is responsible for the pandemic?

I'm not saying we are. I'm not saying we are. I'm saying here's the part. I'm only saying why didn't it occur to me until now? Why did that literally not occur to me? I had only thought of it as a Fauci problem. Did the same thing happen to you? Did you think oh there's a Fauci problem? I never once said to myself this is the United States. We unleashed this pandemic by our actions.

Now does China have some culpability? Probably. Probably. I'm not going to let China off the hook. But why did I never once think of it this way? And I'm going to introduce a new phrase for you and this new phrase is going to act like an antivirus. So it's a phrase that if it catches on would act like an antivirus so that the problem I just described which is my own cognitive blindness, which some of you shared, so I was cognitively blind to America's culpability or potential culpability because you know nothing's proven in this world.

And it's because of what I'm going to call a diversion narrative. A diversion narrative. Watch what happens when you start looking for them and you see how many times there's a narrative about what's true that's really designed primarily as a diversion. What would it do to your brain if you found out that the China is to blame narrative was always a diversion narrative? What if someone in the government or someone always knew that this could come around and become a blame America problem because they knew that chain of events from Fauci to funding to Wuhan to maybe a mistake? We don't know for sure.

What if somebody cooked up the diversion narrative to say it was China so that we would in America be cognitively blind to our own culpability? Have you ever seen anybody cook up a diversion narrative before? How about Trump-Russia collusion? That's a diversion narrative for the fact that Hillary was literally colluding with Russia apparently. All right I'll say allegedly or apparently.

How often are diversion narratives really all we're seeing and how often are we just wrong? Because my usual interpretation of these things is that there are two worlds because there's a Democrat side and a Republican side so we all understand that part. But some of these go beyond that. It seems like there's something else going on besides just the teams. These diversion narratives seem to be almost the operating system of civilization at this point. It's just diversion narratives.

Let's talk about some more as we go. But here's something that I've said a number of times and I just want to explain my thinking on it better because often I'm talking about a topic in the news then we all get diverted about the topic but really I'm trying to say something about the way we think about things.

So if you'll allow me to divorce myself from the topic of something whether it's true or false, all right forget about what's true I don't care about that at the moment. It has to do with a tweet I saw this morning from a Twitter user who calls himself Still Unvaccinated PhD. And he's responding to my thought that the category of rogue experts are generally wrong. And he says rogue doctors and scientists as Adams says likes to call them are often the ones who discover huge breakthroughs in different industries.

Now I agree with that don't you all? Wouldn't you say that the rogues, you know the ones bucking the standard, pretty much create everything good? When you agree, I mean they're all rogues you know all the ones that really make a difference they're all rogues. So have I ever said anything that would be conflicting with that? I've never said anything that conflicts with the fact that pretty much all progress seems to come from rogues and sometimes whistleblowers right?

But is there any conflict with that with the fact that I say that ninety percent of the time the rogues are wrong? You shouldn't think there's any conflict with that. And here's an analogy that's just used to help you see the math better I guess. It goes like this. You know about Google and you know about Amazon.com and you know about Microsoft and you know about all these gigantic companies that at one point were just startups.

If you saw them when they were startups you would have said well the odds are at best one in ten. That's optimistic. It's probably one in twenty. But let's say one in ten. So if you're looking at all startups as ninety percent of them are going to fail and you can be pretty sure that's true. But the ones that become famous are so famous that the narrative of the famous ones makes you cognitively blind to the fact that most things that are like that, most things that are in their category, the category of rogues taking on the world and winning, you know Jeff Bezos is a great example, taking on the world and winning.

So just know that everything important comes from the rogues but mostly they fail. So I use it as a prediction shortcut. So whenever there's a rogue I just say well I'm gonna go with the ninety. I'll vote against it. I'll vote against it.

So when I tell you that I've got suspicions about let's say a Doctor Malone or McCullough, Doctor Corey, any of the names you've seen that are the rogue doctors as I like to call them, I'm not necessarily disagreeing with anything about their science. How would I know? I'm just saying they're in the category that if you and I are going to take a bet I'll bet with the ninety. It's just a category, a category-related prediction that's all. I obviously can't counteract their science.

Jack Posobiec has another tweet and maybe a scoop I don't know but he tweets that Biden chief of staff Ron Klain is planning to start leaking and pushing a narrative. A narrative you say? What kind of a narrative? That President Zelensky of Ukraine is Kremlin compromised. This is according to a White House staffer. And again Jack's got good sources.

So here's the two worlds. Do you see reality just splitting? So I have to admit that when you see Zelensky being less worried about his country being invaded than the United States it's a perfectly reasonable question. Why is Zelensky less worried than we are right? But there's not just one way to explain that.

One explanation is that he is just as worried but he wants to play it differently. He doesn't want to cause panic. So we don't know he's less worried. He's talking about how we talk about it. So he doesn't want the rhetoric to be as high as it is. But this might create an opening for this second narrative that Zelensky is a puppet of the Kremlin and he's practically inviting them in. And then the other narrative that nothing like that is happening.

So once again two worlds. Does the simulation require that in every case? And I'm not even sure this is a Democrat or Republican question is it? Because I think you could find people on both sides of what we should do on Ukraine. But everything has to be at least two stories or more because the simulation can't handle complexity with one story.

If you're coming in late, if we live in the simulation there's got to be a resource constraint like any computer. And so there's a reason that we all have different realities because you couldn't have one reality and make every part of every reality consistent with every other. Too much resources, too many resources.

So the prediction of the simulation is that every major story will branch into multiple realities and that has to happen. You can't program the simulation unless you do that.

Here is my mind-breaking whiteboard for today. The thing you've all been waiting for but you didn't even know it. I call it the military financial reframe and it goes like this. That if you look at the arc of time that power used to be really a military thing which of course was highly correlated with wealth. You know wealth could get you a better military but not necessarily. So if you had a great military you had a lot of power. If you had money that was great. Money was great. But if all you had was money and you didn't have a good military the military next door would come and take your money.

But thanks primarily to the internet and our financial markets becoming global and intertangled and the fact that money has to go through basically wires to get anywhere, it doesn't get on a boat, it's not hidden somewhere, has to go across a wire. So we became so connected with each other because of the internet that finance as a weapon gets more and more powerful the more connected we are and the more trade we do.

And so I would submit to you that Ukraine is our crossover point. The crossover point at which a financial weapon is more useful than a military weapon because the military weapon would guarantee Russia's destruction am I right? So it pretty much guarantees they're not going to go nuclear. So the value of their arsenal is not really that good.

So here they are a nuclear power. They can't really use their nukes so that brings them down to what weapons can you use in these smaller conflicts? And so finance is everything. And so when Biden says you can line up your military on the border if you want but at your own peril, it's time for the military financial crossover point. Boom.

Now I submit to you that I do not know if Ukraine is the point in history at which the experts will say yup that's when it happened. From that day on the larger powers just resolve things through negotiating because you had to use your financial tools. Still there will be plenty of wars with these smaller countries with neighboring conflicts and stuff. But anybody who's a big enough country to have a submarine, I'll just use that as my standard. If your country is big enough to have a submarine in your military probably you're going to work it out financially because you can be taken down by the rest of the world.

Now like I say I don't know if Ukraine is going to be the test case that proves the rule forever but the day will come. You know if it's not Ukraine it's Taiwan or you know it's something. But something is going to prove this rule I think. China-Taiwan is a different situation because of the history there. But I don't see the Russia-Ukraine situation becoming a major shooting war.

So test my prediction. My prediction is that Ukraine probably is the point where the shooting war just stopped making sense. Now I will not rule out minor incursion, minor incursion and continued pressure and cyber and everything else. That stuff probably. But I don't see the Russian military moving in force like a major campaign. And the reason is too expensive. Can't afford it. And Putin is not irrational so he would do a slow but steady pressure probably get what he wants in the end you know. That's why I think a lot. So test that.

I think all the talk about NATO and the US sending some of her forces over there and trainers and sending military and all that I think a lot of that is just theater. And I felt like our own military was saying that. You know they were saying that we're not doing it so much to fight Russia we're doing it to show our allies that we back them. So it was really theater. And I think we said it directly. Well it's sort of theater. We're just showing the allies that we back them. We're not really putting a fighting force there because what would a fighting force look like? A fighting force would look like a real fighting force. I don't think we have anything like that in the neighborhood right? So it's really just for show.

And I think that our military leaders to their credit, to their credit, I think they said so directly and they said it multiple times. This is to show our allies that we have their back. It's a show. Okay so I don't know that that show is something we have to worry about militarily.

All right here's my next provocative question. And I'll start with this priming of your brain. Are all of you aware there's a generally accepted parenting practice that if you're a stepparent you don't do the discipline? Are you all familiar with that rule? Is this generally a universally acknowledged rule?

Now the thinking behind it is fairly solid. The thinking behind it is that there is a biological connection for a biological parent that is a sort of unbreakable bond and that you have this unrestricted love that won't be changed by some punishment. But it is assumed that the non-biological parent doesn't have that. And so if punishment comes from a non-biological parent that could become a rift that lasts forever and becomes a problem.

Now I'm not saying every family is the same. You know I think there's a world of difference between a stepkid that you get as a baby and the original parent was never in the picture. That's effectively just a biological parent for all practical purposes right? But I'm talking about like a stepkid comes in at age 12. Okay that's a different situation. And the real father let's say is still in the picture and involved right? You in that case the stepdad just you just have to step away. You report, observe and report. That's it. Observe and report. Unless it's an immediate danger. If it's an immediate danger then you step in immediately.

But I'm gonna take that analogy to a weird place. Our Constitution has a rule in it that you have to be born in America to be president. You have to be born in America to be president. Not for other jobs but to be president. Do you think of that rule? Does that rule feel appropriate or does it feel racist? Because it is racist I mean an outcome right? It's racist.

Let me give you an example. Do you think that Arnold Schwarzenegger would be a risky president in the sense that he would have too much loyalty to his native-born Austria? Well actually if we ever got into conflict with Austria I would be worried about that. I definitely would be worried about that. But you know we'll never get in a conflict with Austria not realistically. So why is there a constitutional thing that prevents Arnold from running for president? There's no real reason. I mean it just ends up looking racist in his case.

But do you agree with the general statement that people develop a love for the place they were born just ordinarily? It's just the most natural. I don't, must be biological I guess some of it is or a lot of it is cultural but people are very bonded to where they're born. So would most of you have, now given the background, would you all agree that the country is safer, and I'm not even talking about America specifically, or would you give any country probably is a little safer if they restrict their presidents to people born on the soil of any cultural background of course? Yeah most of you would agree with that as reasonable but a little bit racist but it's national defense and that's where we bend things a little bit when we have to right?

You, Elon Musk, perfect example. Would you be worried if Elon Musk were president if he were not born on American soil? I wouldn't. I wouldn't be worried about that at all. It just seems kind of racist that he's, but we still accept I think that a president should be born on the soil of which that president is the president. It just gives you that little extra protection.

This brings us to George Soros who was Hungarian-born but American citizen. Now he can't run for president. Are you happy about that? Are you happy that George Soros with all of his money can't run for president? It's just it's not even an option. I'm saying most people say yes they're glad that in this case they're glad that that rule exists because he did have enough money if you think about it. He did have enough money that if it were constitutionally allowed he probably could have made the grade. Probably could have gotten over the hump because money, I mean you can buy anything.

So we're happy about it there. But here's the provocative question. Why do we allow that same person that we would not trust as a president to donate so much money to activist organizations that they effectively control our government on those issues? Why is that okay? And am I being racist to even ask the question? Because I don't think it's more racist than our current constitutional situation. It's probably equal. They're both racist. I'm just asking the question. That's the podcaster's dodge. I'm just asking the question. But in this case I think that's fair to say I actually wonder why do we allow that? Why is it legal?

No I get that it's constitutional so it's not a constitutional question right now. Why do we allow that? We have all kinds of campaign finance restrictions but why do we not restrict something that is so important to us? It's in the constitution. It's built right into the constitution. It's so fundamental that you want somebody who's let's say biological connection to the soil is unquestionable.

Somebody says it's not racist it's nationalistic. That's a fair characterization. But I would say that almost everything we do has a racist outcome even if you don't intend it for that purpose. It just always does. So I don't think it's, you know I just like mentioning because it gets this one less thing for people to complain about right?

So I think maybe a Republican should run on that if there's a way to do it. Now it might be impossible to stop money because Soros could give money to an entity and say I'm done with it and then the entity could say well now that we have this money it's ours and we'll give it to this cause. So I'm guessing he could probably still launder it somehow and there's no way to stop it. I don't know. Must be a way to do it but don't even try you know if we're concerned about foreign influence so much that we can't have a foreign-born president you know. So we're so concerned that Arnold Schwarzenegger can't be our president who's worried about him being not pro-American enough. Or even Elon Musk. I mean who knows what Elon Musk is thinking. That would be impossible to imagine but I wouldn't be worried.

All right. Here's the answer to the question why I stay in California because people always ask. I'm just going to read this headline from Twitter. The nor'easter storm will bring a major snowstorm and potential blizzard stretching from South Carolina to New England. The storm is predicted to form off the coast of the Carolinas on Friday and move north up the East Coast across the weekend. A storm has brought the East Coast into its first blizzard warning in four years according to blah blah. Airlines have canceled thousands of flights. High winds, heavy snows between six and twelve inches of snow, one to two feet of snow in some places and maybe major power outages. At the same time people be freezing to death in their own homes.

So that's what the people in those states are doing. Yesterday I took a walk in the sun, had some legal cannabis before I went. It was t-shirt weather. Beautiful day. So if you don't mind the high taxes and the crime and the drought and the forest fires that are blotting out the sun, if you don't mind that stuff it's a pretty good place to be. And if you can stay away from the tsunamis and the earthquakes but you know I know where all the faults are. I just stay away from the faults.

Did you know there's a depopulation time bomb facing the West? And one wonders is there a reason we're talking about a depopulation time bomb that we've known about for a long time now? Some of it may be it's just reaching that critical point where everybody notices. Might be because Elon Musk has brought it up. But the West is hitting this problem. China's going to get it first because that one baby problem or policy they had for over 35 years or something. So deaths are going to outstrip births and pretty soon we'll have all these old people that require all this care and we won't have enough young people to work and take care of them.

I think that maybe technology and civilization will adjust. I think we'll adjust. I think that a lot of those old people live in houses and they'll just say hey, and this is something already happening, they'll say hey young person come live rent free in my house and you do some of the work and we both win. So I think that the first thing that will happen is civilization will just immediately adjust because we're real good at that. We adjust. Probably the single thing that makes humans the dominant species over the planet, although fungi are doing pretty well but you know humans we're having a good run, is because we adjust so well.

You know is it Bret Weinstein who says this? It's our ability to adjust that makes us special I think his new book says that. So I think we'll adjust but it's important. Watch it.

And what is behind this depopulation time bomb? Well it's a number of factors, economic, social. But CNN is also reporting that we are too fat to, that wasn't their exact headline but I think once I read this to you you'll think that the headline "too fat to" kind of fits. So CNN says that 43 percent of women and 31 percent of men have some form of sexual dysfunction with obesity and lack of exercise often being factors.

Now I do not do fat shaming because I don't think anybody chooses bad health right? I just don't think anybody does that. And I don't think people choose to be addicts. I don't think we choose to be a lot of things that it looks like we choose but we really don't. So I don't make fun of people who are in whatever situation they're in because you know if I don't have this one problem well I got my own right?

So I tend not to. And I used to be far more judgmental. I would say this is more of a recent evolution in my case. So I feel not judgmental about other people's issues because I don't see my own as being all solved. If I could solve all of my issues like everything that could be solved well then I'll talk about yours and now why don't you be like me and solve all your problems. I solved all of mine. But as long as my problems aren't all solved like your problems are fine you know. We'll talk about them but it's not about you.

Okay so we'll talk about the problem but it's not about you personally. This is a big deal. And again this is this gigantic path for somebody like a DeSantis to walk right through. How many people would like to see an American president, and the reason I say DeSantis is he makes every right move like he reads the room better than anybody's ever read the room. And well Trump read the room pretty well too but the other thing DeSantis does is he responds to it but he also takes free money.

Free money is the thing that anybody could have said but he says you know Trump used to do that all the time. If there's a thing you can say and it's just sort of obvious anybody could say it but only one person does it's like why did everybody leave this free money laying there? So the free money this gigantic is you've got this enormous health and obesity problem in this country. How about a president, how about a DeSantis says look let's not kid ourselves. You know I can do everything in the world to help this country but if you're overeating and not taking care of yourself it's not going to mean anything to you. So please let's figure out how to like get in shape. Let's figure out a system. Let's get some help. Let's put some money on it. Let's put some attention on it. Let's talk about it right? Let's not judge each other. Let's stay out of the judging business. Let's just treat it as a health problem because it is and just go from there.

Gigantic, gigantic opportunity with no disagreement if you do it right. You would always get the people who are advocates for you know people who are larger and they don't want to be mocked for their I guess lifestyle choice in some cases and that's fine but it's really not about them. Nobody's saying you have to do anything. It's not, you know there wouldn't be mandatory gym. You know I'm talking about helping people not forcing people right? The government could certainly help people. It doesn't have to force anybody to do anything.

Yes so if you have low T and you've got sexual dysfunction that can't be helping the population. It just can't be. Although I suspect these days having a kid is more choice than not.

Sean Penn got in trouble for saying that men in America are becoming quote quite feminized. And he said quote there are a lot of I think cowardly genes that lead to people surrendering their jeans meaning the jeans that they're wearing and putting on a skirt. Now he's talking about some famous celebrities I guess more than the public but what do you think about that? Do you think that's an old man that yells at the clouds ah these kids today back in my day men wore pants? Or is he on to something?

Because remember Sean is not right wing by any stretch of the imagination but he's saying something that you would more associate with somebody who was on the right, the political right. Yeah can we at least come together on that?

Now I unlike many in my audience right now I am very supportive of anybody who doesn't want to be like the mainstream in any social way whatsoever. So LGBTQ love you. Just be whatever makes you happy. You know if society can't allow you to do that then society sucks. You should let people live whatever life they want to live. So I'm in favor of the freedom for people to be who they are.

That said let me ask a question just for the women. Can I? If I could I know this is going to be tough for you guys because I have more men than women watching typically. For the men just if you could hold off for a moment. I want to ask a question just for the women watching this. So women if you don't normally comment this would be a good one to jump in. Do you think that there is a shortage of masculine men now? I don't want to use alpha and beta. You could translate that in your own mind.

Okay on Locals I get faster responses and I'm getting 90 percent yes it looks like. On YouTube I'm seeing so far only yeses. Well okay now this may be a reflection of my audience more than a reflection of the world but at least we agree.

Now don't you think that literally the low testosterone is part of it? I mean it has to be right? That is that am I being anti-science? Did I go too far? Wouldn't we see exactly what we see with no other change than lower testosterone now? What causes the lower testosterone? It's not one thing right? Some of it is diet. Some of it may be getting poor sleep because of screen time. Some of it may be the comparison problem. If you compare yourself to the people on Instagram what's that do to your testosterone? It doesn't help right?

If you're comparing yourself to the best whatever's in the world instead of just your neighbor like in the old days. I mean I could only compare myself to people I knew personally because you know there were some people on TV but it wasn't that big a deal. But today you know you're being compared to the best of the best in the whole world. How does it in theory if you're being compared to something that's better than you it should drop your testosterone is that true? Give me a fact check on that. I never know what things I believe forever are because you know you could always find out oh I believed that forever and that was just never true.

But I think that losing a competition has at least a temporary drop in testosterone. That's been proven right? Being embarrassed as opposed to being victorious I'm pretty sure you can measure a difference in testosterone. Now imagine you live in a society where boys are mostly the winners let's say 50s 60s 70s and you could extend that to wherever your politics want you to extend it. If you grew up in a world where you just felt like you were the king of the universe because you happen to be the right gender at the right time in history that probably would raise your testosterone wouldn't it? Because you would just walk around feeling like oh yeah I'm in charge.

Now what would happen if instead you were born in the more current era and you were told that boys are the cause of all problems which isn't too far off from what's happening right now right? No I'm not going to say that men don't cause a lot of problems. Oh we do. We do our share of crime and whatnot but we're also most of the police force most of the emergency stuff you know so I mean we contribute as well.

So some say divorce. Some say divorce yeah that might be a factor. I'm not sure. It's one factor. I think it's everything from and I'm gonna say allegedly on this one so I don't get sued. Allegedly our soy intake. Have you seen how much the soy is in every freaking product? Like the only thing that doesn't have soy in it is like a stalk of broccoli I swear to god. They're going to figure out how to make soy broccoli just so you can't get away with it. Every packaged food seems to have soy in it as some kind of filler or maybe the source of protein or something I don't know. But why does soy have to be in everything? Everything. All right.

So I do think that this testosterone thing is real.

All right now I've got a question just for the men. Just for the men all right? Women you have to ride this one out. Okay just for the men and I'm gonna further segment it. Okay just for the men watching who would consider themselves masculine compared to the average. I know you're all going to say that's you right? You're all going to say that you but just the ones who consider themselves masculine. Have you seen that the demand for what you're selling is the highest it's ever been? Go.

Just because you just happened to be masculine I believe the answers you should on YouTube you should see the answers. On Locals the comments go by the quickness of the comments is based on how many there are. So the faster they answer the faster they sit by. It was just like this wall of yes it just went yes all right. So I'm not imagining it right? I'm not imagining it.

All right here's my next question and maybe my last for today. Do you remember Black Lives Matter and do you remember Antifa and do you remember Occupy Wall Street? And one thing they all had in common is that they were really really big and then they just sort of went away. Were any of them natural? Were they all scams? They were just funded by somebody right?

I think they were all scams based on today's look backwards. Just the fact that they made such a big impact and then went away just as suddenly that does suggest that it was never real. Now what's going to happen when the next one pops up? Are you going to have a Gell-Mann amnesia? Do you know what that would be? So Gell-Mann amnesia I won't give you the whole background of what that means. What it means is when there's another totally group that starts protesting are you going to say oh this one's real? Are you gonna believe the next group after three in a row that are obviously in my just my opinion in my opinion they're obviously. And I thought they were at the time. I wasn't really following Occupy Wall Street but I didn't really understand that one. I mean when it was happening I kept looking at it thinking well that's kind of weird that this suddenly pops up when nothing is much that different. But now I would say it's somewhat clear that these were scams of some sort.

Now when I say they were scams I don't mean that the people who are individually protesting were insincere. I do think that most of the people on the street were sincere in whatever that means for Antifa. I'm not sure what it means to be a sincere Antifa person but I'm talking about the leadership of the funding and the organization though that apparently that was all a scam.

Now here's some news from the Washington Examiner I think. Report yeah the Washington Examiner. So they were looking into who's in charge of Black Lives Matter at the moment. This is just the best story. Now I don't know if it's because I'm the author of the Dilbert comic that I love this story so much because if you could come up with a more Dilbertian scenario than what I'm going to just describe. Now again this is the Washington Examiner's reporting.

So they were looking into who's in charge now that the person who was in charge the co-founder Patrice Cullors so she moved on and she said that she appointed two of the activists to serve as the group's senior directors. So far so good. So we knew who was in charge. She was a co-founder and I guess when she left she was the last of the co-founders and she appointed two activists and we know their names. So good.

So the Washington Examiner went and talked to the two people who were appointed and they said we didn't accept the appointment. What? They said yeah yeah we were appointed but we didn't accept the appointment. Wait what? Well who's got the 60 million dollars allegedly that they have? I don't know. What? Like this is one of those stories that you can't even read to the end because you just keep going what? What?

Now typically let me give you a warning here. Typically a story like this is so on the nose it's probably wrong. It's probably not true right? When you see something that's just too perfectly stereotypically the worst thing that could possibly happen right? What would be the most stereotypically racist let's put that out there. What would be the most stereotypically racist thing you could imagine would be that you know a Black organization stole a bunch of money right? That's what the racist brain would go there immediately. And then the story comes out that looks like that's exactly what happened.

Your first instinct shouldn't be well I told you so. If your first instinct was I told you so well you might be a racist. Your first instinct should be could be true but your first instinct should be that's a little too close. A little too on the nose. So just be warned about this one okay? I don't know that is fact that I'm not or fiction and I'm not going to predict either way so I don't have an opinion whether it's real or not. I'm just saying that whenever you see one that's this close to exactly a racist trope is that the right word? You got to ask yourself is it real? You just have to ask yourself.

All right. But allegedly that's, we don't know who's in charge and money's missing and the two remaining BLM board members, so there are two board members who are different from the two directors who were appointed right? So there's still two board members. We know who they are and they were asked for a comment and they did not return numerous requests for comment.

All right I give up. This story might be exactly what it looks like. It might be.

So I asked this poll on Twitter today. A little poll. I said were Antifa, BLM and Occupy Wall Street real movements that suddenly evaporated or were they always Democrat scams? So when at last I checked 77 percent said they were always Democrat scams and 23 percent said that they were actually real organizations or that they weren't sure. 23 percent. 23 rounding off 23, 25, 25. This will come as no surprise. Our idiots. And it's a very consistent result.

Now I believe I have delivered on my claim that I would show you that every major topic of any complexity has to branch into different stories. Once you see this you will say to yourself wait a minute maybe the problem isn't cognitive dissonance. Maybe cognitive dissonance is a necessity. It's the only way the simulation that runs our reality can handle the complexity. My story and yours don't have to match anymore because I'm in my own subjective reality and it'll never make any difference if your story and mine never match.

So every future story even if it doesn't line up perfectly with Democrat and Republican should branch into multiple versions because it has to. And that ladies and gentlemen is the reframe of the day.

I believe I have delivered on my promise that this is the best live stream of all time bar none. And I will talk to you tomorrow.

good morning everybody welcome to the most amazing hour you're likely to ever spend in your entire life it's called coffee with scott adams and normally it's tremendous on an average day it's better than anything you've ever experienced but today even the normal coffee with scott adams experience is going to go to a new level it will yeah and if you'd like to get us started off right and by the way you might need a little swaddling for your brain find a nice warm blanket unless you're exercising if you're running on the beach right now and you hear me laughing in your ear as you're running in the beach and you're saying damn it he's making me laugh when i'm running on the beach i think he's talking about me and i am so keep running on the beach but the rest of you get a nice warm blanket because you're going to need to swallow your brain swaddle it but first how about a simultaneous sip but all you need is a copper a margarita glass a tanker chelsea's time to canteen jogger flask vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid a beverage some would say and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dope being the other day the thing that makes everything better and i mean everything in every reality better it's called the simultaneous step and it happens now go well would you like to see the matrix you know some people think that we live in a simulation and if this were a simulation you would be subject to resource constraints wouldn't it if we were any kind of computer simulation the one thing you could be reasonably sure of is it would have some kind of limits because everything has to have a limit just logically and so could we ever spot the limits of our own simulation as evidence that that's what we're in and here's the frame that i'm going to give you for today's entire episode and it goes like this did you ever wonder why cognitive dissonance is so common or to put it more generally why people have completely different views of reality and it doesn't just apply doesn't just apply to the news don't you know that sometimes you'll be talking to your friends you've known forever and you'll have completely different memories of events in which you both were there what's up with that why do we have memory but our memory is so close to fantasy that sometimes you can't even unentangle them why do we so often live in what seems like a completely different worlds and here's the answer it has to be that way because of resource constraints cognitive dissonance isn't a flaw it's a feature you couldn't program the simulation without that requirement here's why imagine creating a simulation and by the way if those of you who have programmed back me up on this all right if you were creating a simulation in which every character's actions had to be known to every other object and item in the entire universe because they might someday interact and someday you might hear about something that somebody else did and it has to be consistent if our memories were perfect it would have to be consistent so if you tried to build an artificial world in which everybody's story their narrative if you will or their subjective reality if they had to be consistent in all ways with all other stories the resources would be astronomical to the point where it's unimaginable that it could be programmed but could you build a world in which people believed they were seeing an accurate view of the reality but in fact the accuracy was only a trick of the mind that'd be a lot easier so watch if you will the predictive power of the simulation hypothesis do i tell you that the simulation is the true way to see the world never nope the only thing i could tell you is that some ways of looking at things might be more predictive than others and that's probably the closest you can get to something that's real if anything is so my prediction is this there can never be a major story that has only one interpretation you always there could be exceptions of course but let's say in general that the headlines will always tend toward two interpretations even when it's not just a democrat republican thing because take vaccinations for example you saw that a lot of let's say the black population and the republicans were often on the same page so it wasn't even a left right thing but every story has to have multiple interpretations because that's the only way you could program the simulation let's talk about a few things that are happening now one is the continued continuing of what i call the roganization of the news the roganization of the news is another indication that we live in a simulation that we're reusing themes because it's just simpler it uses less resources so the way we see the news used to be through a trump filter and now we see it through a joe rogan filter so if we talk about vaccinations we talk about joe rogan if it's about ivermectin joe rogan you know the government uh taking away our rights joe rogan freedom of speech joe rogan and now even music and streaming joe rogan now some of it is just you get something in your mind and his sticks and he's gigantic uh in terms of his reach so it makes sense in the same way it made sense that we talked about everything through a trump filter but think about how that simplifies the programming we all just think the same way we just go through the same filter it's a big simplification if you were going to program a simulation so here's what else is happening the story is that the following four people and before you fact-check me i'm going to fact check myself when i'm done that the following four people have said they don't want to be on spotify the streaming service if that joe rogan is on there with his misinformation about health-related things so it started with neil young but now then we heard that barry manilow joined and then we heard that uh peter frampton was on board and then joni mitchell how much of that story is true it's like every story right there's a true version and a fake version and so here's the the details barry manilow came out and said i don't know i don't know where that started it didn't come from me didn't come from anybody who represents me so the the barry manilow part of the story was completely fake so at least 25 percent of the story is fake and then there's a peter frampton tweet in which he said he's always been an apple guy so you know he he uses apple streaming and i said to myself wait a minute is peter frampton saying he doesn't want to be on spotify is he saying he's never been on spotify or is he saying that he's not even talking as a creator anymore because i don't know the last time he published any music but is he talking as a consumer is he just saying that he didn't use spotify before to listen to music i i feel like peter frampton trended just because he says he listens to music on a different streaming service i think that's what happened now if that's true if i'm interpreting it correctly and again you know we're all going to have different stories it has to be that way uh that would be 50 of the story isn't real so that would leave joni mitchell on the side of neil young and if if you take joni mitchell's music off of spotify um well you won't be able to go to spotify to hear joni mitchell's uh big hit uh joni mitchell's big hit she was really big when i was young had a lot of hits actually she was very famous and then her big hit was i don't know but i'm going to miss it i'm going to miss it is what i'm saying i'd i never used spotify before uh i was kind of a different streaming guy but in case you want to put that in the headlines i think i should be trending wait a minute i'm on spotify aren't i i'm on spotify am i not can somebody confirm that i think i am right yeah i mean we i just published the podcast wherever i think so i think it's on there well why the hell did nobody ask me if i am willing to be on spotify with my highly valuable podcast which probably gets roughly as many listens as neil young but i feel that i've been overlooked am i wrong should i make a public statement now i think i'm going to have to i'm going to have to go on the record i think everybody who is on spotify needs to give their joe rogan opinion and uh uh i'm i'm embarrassed to be on spotify honestly uh now that i know that barry manilow is still on there so i refuse i refuse to be on spotify i would like my representation to pull all of my podcasts immediately because i just go cabana it's not really music is it it's not music it's sort of like a an ear worm that gets in your head and makes you happy and you can't get it out now i personally have spent many many hours as a bus boy in my early days when i was a busboy and we would clean the dining room all at the same time after all the guests had left it was a hotel and they would play copacabana over and over again through the uh ceiling speakers because we only had a few songs for whatever reason and i've heard more copacabana than any human has ever heard and i don't know if i can be on spotify with that man excellent music very successful but you got to draw the line somewhere um edward snowden had a funny tweet he said nobody has a stronger opinion about nobody has stronger opinions about joe rogan than people who have never listened to joe rogan and i thought you know i bet that's exactly true you know this is one of those tweets where you say to yourself well that's not i'm sure that's not true completely and then you think about it and then you think now that might be actually true for every single human in the conversation it might literally be true of everybody who who is against him is that you haven't heard the context now i don't know how many of you could say the same but i feel like i've been following his career since the earliest days literally on news radio and do you remember that he had a show i can't remember the name of the show you'll probably tell me in which he looked into stuff like uh bigfoot he actually went looking for bigfoot who remembers that what was the name of the show you'll remember you i think you'll remind me no it wasn't fear factor what was it come on it it wasn't on for a long time oh joe grogan questions everything was that it joe rogan's questions everything right so now i'm not i'm not going to characterize joe rogan's opinion about bigfoot you know who knows what he was thinking when or or what but if you know that part of his arc you know include literally being an actor literally being a you know huge stand-up comic uh and literally at one point searching for bigfoot all in the name of entertainment right if you understand that then don't you have a better appreciation of any other content that he presents which is that the larger context is if it's interesting i'm going to put it on i don't think there's any other is there another criteria does he claim and does he claim any other any other criteria for putting on entertainment this just has to be good right either it has to be funny it has to be interesting provocative something it just has to be good so if you understand that the context is things that are interesting then you listen to the rogue doctor and you make your own decision you know you're not you're not watching it like the news but what if you've only seen clips of his show you don't know anything about his history his other work you know maybe you don't even know he's a stand-up comic don't you think a lot of people were his critics maybe you know vaguely know he's done that kind of work but don't know he would be one of the biggest in the country at the moment so you know i think the context makes a big difference not only the context within the show but the the larger context that if it's interesting he's going to let us see it and who how do you complain about that right if you know the larger context if it's interesting i think i'll show it to you what the hell how do you get mad at that form your you know make your own opinion he's not telling you what to think if he told you what to think that'd be a whole different conversation wouldn't it but nowhere nowhere are you going to find anything in his record that tells you what to think fact-check me on that right i'm pretty sure if you scour his record you're not going to find him telling you how to think he's just going to show you interesting and you make up your own mind it's a good model well um those of you who have uh experienced doing mushrooms you know that you have a much better understanding of our reality as being a subjective reality so even if you discard this simulation hypothesis you probably would agree that we are living in our own subjective reality in lots of different ways and we'll talk about some of those ways number one is uh many people have lived for the last two years in a subjective reality in which the elites are using covet as a plot to take control for the great reset and it was never a problem etc others and again i'm not i don't have an opinion on that right now i mean i have opinions but not right now my larger point is that didn't we live in different worlds there are some people who just said hey there's a deadly virus people doing the best they can but people are weasels and liars and so this is what you get so that was my reality my reality is just a whole bunch of weasels and liars doing the best they could usually for themselves and this is what you get when when you have weasels and liars and a crisis along with lots of people doing trying to do the right thing it wasn't like everybody was lying but it's not like everybody was telling the truth it's not like everybody was trying to get an advantage on other people some people were literally just trying to help and nothing else and a lot of people right you know that's the best thing that came out of the pandemic by far is the kindness that was expressed pretty much universally at least by the citizens so those are different worlds that we've been living in for the last two years how about um what happens if we are a simulation and the way we think affects it here's something that worries me because i worry about weird things what if we wish a new variant into existence what happens if everyone in the world expects a new deadly variant just because we've been primed that way can we actually make that happen can we just will it into existence you know i worry about that like actually literally because i i think our understanding of the reality we live in such as it is is so weak you know what we actually understand about reality is so weak that i wouldn't discount seven billion people expecting exactly the same thing to happen having no causal effect like it might not have enough causal effect that i could believe but it's hard to believe it would have none even if the only thing it did is affect somehow the way we we acted because you know that you're drawn toward things you think about a lot your behavior is attracted this is whatever you're thinking about the most just some somewhat automatically and subconsciously so could we just think our way into problems i don't know but i would but i'd like to at least give us give a consideration to thinking our way out of it instead and maybe maybe focus a little more on february 1 being over now you see the you see the the real power of that what happens when everybody says february 1's the day we stop or at least with mandates in the united states could have the opposite effect could it have an effect that doesn't seem to be directly related to the public rising up in other words could the virus just burn out as if by magic because everybody was focusing on the same time to make it burn out i don't know but i'll tell you that i have this one observation there's no scientific backing right so this is not a science but maybe you could you know compare it to your own situation i find that the more um clearly i can visualize something potentially happening the more likely it'll happen in my actual life if if i can see it as clear as i can see a photograph in front of me in some sometimes i can then it just always happens even if it's unlikely yeah i use my example all the time of becoming a best-selling author or becoming a cartoonist you know famous cartoonist or visiting the the white house and talking to a president these are things which i visualized really specifically and there are other things that i just sort of want but i don't really visualize them and they don't happen but the things that i think about specifically oh my god do they happen on a regular basis in a weird way so i just want to put it out there that that if you all focus on hashtag february 1 for dropping mandates which is similar to saying that the you know the pandemic itself the crisis has abated i ca i'm not going to tell you it'll make it happen but if you want to play it safe if you want to play a safe i'd rather think about stopping it than having it forever all right um here's a bombshell that's gonna scramble your brain uh the australia i saw this on a tweet by a twitter user called logic bombshell reports from australia australia media places the blame for the pandemic on fouchy in other words the united states so there's at least you know one person in i don't know how many more believe this but talk about a reframe that made my brain hurt as soon as soon as i heard it from somebody else's point of view we just spent two years blaming china we just spent two years blaming china which you know i'm all on board with that because you know i'm no lover of the chinese government but at the same time we were slowly learning you know fouchy's involvement and somehow it never occurred to me and i would wonder if this is blowing your mind as well why had it never occurred to me that's the united statesist that's responsible for the pandemic i'm not saying we are i'm not saying we are i'm saying here's here's the part i'm only saying why didn't it occur to me until until now why did that literally not occur to me i had only thought of it as a fouchy problem did the same thing happen to you did you think oh there's a fouchy problem i never once said to myself this is the united states we unleashed this pandemic by our actions now does china have some culpability probably probably i'm not going to let china off the hook but why did i never once think of it this way and i'm going going to introduce a new phrase for you and this new phrase is going to act like a an anti-virus so it's a phrase that if it catches on would act like an anti-virus so that the problem i just described which is my own cognitive blindness which some of you shared so i was cognitively blind to america's culpability or potential culpability because you know nothing's proven proven in this world and it's because of what i'm going to call a diversion narrative a diversion narrative watch what happens when you start looking for them and you see how many times there's a narrative about what's true that's really designed primarily as a diversion what hap what would what would it do to your brain if you found out that the china is to blame narrative was always a diversion narrative what if someone in the government or someone's always knew that this could come around and become a blame america problem because they knew that chain of events from fouchy to funding to wuhan to maybe a mistake we don't know for sure what if somebody cooked up the diversion narrative to say it was china so that we would in america be cognitively blind to our own culpability have you ever seen anybody cook up a diversion narrative before how about um trump-russia collusion that's a diversion narrative for the fact that hillary was was literally colluding with russia apparently all right i'll say allegedly or apparently how often are diversion narratives really all we're seeing and how often are we just wrong or because because my usual interpretation of these things is that there are two worlds because there's a democrat side and a republican side so we all understand that part but some of these go beyond that it seems like there's something else going on besides just the teams these diversion narratives seem to be almost the operating system of civilization at this point it's just diversion narratives let's talk about some more as we go um but uh here's something that i've said a number of times and i just want to explain my thinking on it better because often i'm talking about a topic in the news then we we all get diverted about the topic but really i'm trying to say something about the way we think about things so if you'll allow me to divorce myself from the topic of something whether it's true or false all right forget about what's true i don't care about that at the moment it has has to do with a tweet i saw this morning from a twitter user who calls himself still unvaccinated phd and he's he's responding to my thought that the category of rogue experts are generally wrong and he says rogue doctors and scientists as adam says likes to call them are often the ones who discover huge breakthroughs in different industries now i agree with that don't you all wouldn't you say that the rogues you know the ones bucking the standard pretty much create everything good when you agree i mean they're all rogues you know all the ones that really make a difference they're all rogues so have i ever said anything that would be conflicting with that i've never said anything that conflicts with the fact that pretty much all progress seems to come from rogues and sometimes whistleblowers right but is there any conflict with that with the fact that i say that ninety percent of the time the rogues are wrong there's you shouldn't think there's any conflict with that and here's an analogy that's just used to help you see the math better i guess it goes like this you know about google and you know about amazon.com and you know about you know microsoft and you know about all these gigantic companies that at one point were just startups if you saw them when they were startups you would have said well the odds are at best one in 10.

that's optimistic it's probably one in 20.

but let's say one in 10.

so if you're looking at all startups as 90 of them are going to fail and you can be pretty sure that's true but the ones that become famous are so famous that the narrative of the famous ones makes you cognitively blind to the fact that most things that are like that most things that are in their category the category of rogues taking on the world and winning you know jeff bezos is a great example taking on the world and winning um so just just know that everything important comes from the rogues but mostly they fail so i use it as a prediction shortcut so whenever there's a rogue i just say well i'm gonna i'm gonna go with the ninety i'll vote against it i'll vote against it so when i when i tell you that i've got suspicions about let's say a doctor malone or mcauliffe dr corey any of the names you've seen that are the rogue doctors if as i like to call them i'm not necessarily disagreeing with anything about their science how would i know i'm just saying they're in the category that if you and i are going to take a bet i'll bet with the 90 it's just a category a category related prediction that's all right i i obviously obviously can't um counteract their science all right um jack passovek has another uh tweet and maybe uh maybe a a scoop i don't know but uh he tweets that biden chief of staff ron claim is planning to start leaking and pushing a narrative a narrative you say what kind of a narrative that president zielenski of ukraine is a kremlin compromised this is according to a white house staffer and again jack's got good sources so here's the two worlds do you see reality just splitting so i have to admit that when you see zelinski being less worried about his country being invaded than the united states it's a perfectly reasonable question why is zolensky less worried than we are right but there's not just one way to explain that one explanation is that he is just as worried but he wants to play it differently he doesn't want to cause panic so we don't know he's less worried he's talking about how how we talk about it he so he doesn't want the rhetoric to be as high as it is but this might create an opening for this second narrative that zelensky is a puppet of the kremlin and he's practically inviting them in and then the other narrative that nothing like that is happening so once again two worlds does the simulation require that in every case and i'm not even sure this is a democrat or republican question is it because i think you could find people on both sides of what we should do on uh on ukraine but everything has to be at least two stories or more because the the simulation can't handle complexity with one story if you're coming in late if we live in the simulation there's got to be a resource constraint like any computer and so there's a reason that we all have different realities because you couldn't have one reality and make every part of every reality consistent with every other too much resources too many resources so so the prediction of the simulation is that every major story will branch into multiple uh realities and that has to happen you can't program the simulation unless you do that um here is my mind breaking white board for today the thing you've all been waiting for but you didn't even know it i call it the military financial reframe and it goes like this that if you look at the arc of time that power used to be really a military thing which of course was highly correlated with wealth you know wealth could get you a better military but not necessarily so if you had a great military you had a lot of power if you had money that was great money was great but if all you had was money and you didn't have a good military the military next door would come and take your money but thanks primarily to the internet and our financial markets becoming global and inter intertangled and the fact that money has to go through basically wires to get anywhere it doesn't get on a boat it's not hidden somewhere has to go across a wire so we became so connected with each other because of the internet that finance as a weapon gets more and more powerful the more connected we are and the more trade we do and so i would submit to you that ukraine is our crossover point the crossover point at which a financial weapon is more useful than a military weapon because the military weapon would guarantee russia's destruction am i right so it pretty much guarantees they're not going to go nuclear so the the value of the ar their arsenal is not really that good so here here they are in nuclear power they can't really use their nukes so that brings them down to you know what weapons can you use in these smaller conflicts and so finance is everything and so when biden says you can line up your military on the border if you want but at your own peril it's time for the military financial crossover point boom now i submit to you that i do not know if ukraine is the point in history at which the experts will say yup that's when it happened from that day on the the larger powers just resolve things through negotiating because it was you know you had to use your financial tools still there will be plenty of wars with these smaller countries with neighboring conflicts and stuff but anybody who's a big enough country to have a submarine i'll just use that as my standard if your country is big enough to have a submarine in your military probably you're going to work it out financially because you can be taken down by the rest of the world now like i say i don't know if ukraine is going to be the test case that proves the rule forever but the day will come you know if it's not ukraine this taiwan or you know it's something but but something is going to prove this rule i i think china taiwan is a different situation because of the history there but i don't see the russia-ukraine situation becoming a major shooting war so test my prediction um my prediction is that ukraine probably is the point where the shooting war just stopped making sense now i will not rule out will not rule out minor incursion minor incursion and continued pressure and you know cyber and everything else that stuff probably but i don't see the russian military moving in force like a major campaign and the reason is too expensive can't afford it and putin is not irrational so he would do a slow but steady pressure probably get what he wants in the end you know that's why i think a lot so test that um i think the all the talk about nato and the us and sending some of her forces over there and trainers and sending military and all that i think a lot of that is just theater um and i felt like our own military was saying that you know they were saying that we're not doing it um so much to fight russia we're doing it to show our allies that we back them so it was really theater and i think we said it directly well it's sort of theater we're just showing the allies that we back them we're not really putting a fighting force there because what would a fighting force look like a fighting force would look like a real fighting force i don't think we have anything like that in the neighborhood right so it's really just for show and i think that our military leaders to their credit to their credit i think they said so directly and they said it multiple times this is to show our allies that we have their back it's a show okay so i don't know that that show is something we have to worry about militarily um all right here's my next provocative question um and i'll start with this priming of your brain uh are all of you aware there's a generally accepted parenting practice that if you're a step parent you don't do the discipline are you all familiar with that rule is this generally a universally acknowledged rule now the thinking behind it is fairly solid the thinking behind it is that there is a biological connection for a biological parent that is a sort of unbreakable bond and that you have this um you know unrestricted love that won't be changed by some some punishment but it is assumed that the non-biological parent doesn't have that and so if punishment comes from a non-biological parent that could become a rift that lasts forever and becomes a problem now i'm not saying every family is the same you know i think there's a world of difference between a step kid that you get as a baby and the original parent was never in the picture that's effectively just a biological parent for all for all practical purposes right but i'm talking about like a step kid comes in at age 12.

okay that's a different situation and and the real father let's say you're still in the picture and involved right you in that case in that case the step dad just you just have to step away you you report observe and report that's it observe and report unless it's you know an immediate danger if it's an immediate danger then you step in immediately but um i'm gonna i'm gonna take that analogy to a weird place our constitution has a rule in it that you have to be born in america to be president you have to be born in america to be president not for other jobs but to be president do you what do you think of that rule does that does that rule feel appropriate or does it feel racist because it is racist i mean an outcome right it's racist um let me give you an example do you think that arnold schwarzenegger would be a risky president in the sense that he would have too much loyalty to his native-born austria well actually if we ever got into conflict with austria i would be worried about that i definitely would be worried about that but you know we'll never get in a conflict with austria not realistically so why is there why is there a constitutional thing that prevents arnold from running for president there's no real reason i mean it just ends up looking racist in his case but do you agree with the general statement that people estab they develop a love for the place they were born just ordinarily it's just the most natural i don't must be biological i guess some of it is or a lot of it is cultural but people are very bonded to where they're born so would most of you have now given the background would you all agree that the country is safer and i'm not even talking about america specifically or would you give any country probably is a little safer if they restrict their presidents to people born on the soil of any of any you know cultural background of course yeah most of you would agree with that as a reasonable but a little bit racist but it's national defense and that's where we bend things a little bit when when we have to right you elon musk perfect example would you be worried if elon musk were president if we were not born in american soil i wouldn't i wouldn't i wouldn't be worried about that at all it just seems kind of racist that he's but but we still accept i think that a president should be born on the soil of which that president is the president it just gives you that little extra little extra protection this brings us to george soros who uh was hungor is hungarian-born but american citizen now he can't run for president are you happy about that are you happy that george soros with all of his money can't run for president it's just it's not even an option i'm saying most people say yes they're glad that in this case they're glad that that rule exists because he did he did have enough money if you think about it he did have enough money that if it were constitutionally allowed he probably could have made the grade probably could have gotten over the hump because money i mean you can buy anything so we're happy about it there but here's the provocative question why do we allow that same person that we would not trust as a president to donate so much money to activist organizations that they effectively control our government on those issues why is that okay and am i being racist to even ask the question because i don't think it's more racist than our current constitutional situation it's probably equal they're both racist i'm just asking the question that's the podcaster's dodge i'm just asking the question but in this case i think that's fair to say i actually wonder why do we allow that why is it legal no i get that it's constitutional so it's not a constitutional question right now why do we allow that we have all kinds of campaign finance restrictions but why do we not restrict something that is so important to us it's in the constitution it's built right into the constitution it's so fundamental that you want somebody who's let's say biological connection to the soil is unquestionable somebody says it's not racist it's nationalistic that's a fair characterization but i would say that uh almost everything we do has a racist outcome even if you don't intend it for that purpose it just always does so i don't think it's you know i just like mentioning because it gets this one less thing for people to complain about right so i think i think maybe a republican should run on that if there's a way to do it now it might be impossible to stop money because soros could give money to an entity and say i'm done with it and then the entity could say well now that we have this money it's ours and we'll give it to this cause so i'm guessing he could probably still launder it somehow and there's no way to stop it i don't know must be a way to do it but don't even try you know if we're if we're concerned about foreign influence so much that we can't have a foreign-born president you know so we're so concerned that arnold schwarzenegger couldn't can't be our president who's worried about him being not pro-american enough or even elon musk i mean i don't you know who knows what elon musk is thinking that's that would be impossible to imagine but i wouldn't be worried all right um here's the answer to the question why i stay in california because people always ask i'm going to read i'm just going to read this headline from twitter the nor'easter storm will bring a major snowstorm and potential blizzard stretching from south carolina to new england the storm is predicted to form off the coast of the carolinas on friday and move north up the east coast across the weekend a storm has brought the east coast into its first blizzard warning in four years according to blah blah airlines have canceled thousands of flights high winds heavy snows between 6 and 12 inches of snow one to two feet of snow in some places and maybe maybe major power outages at the same time people be freezing to death in their own homes so that's what uh that's what the people in those states are doing um yesterday uh i took a walk in the sun had some legal cannabis before i went uh it was t-shirt weather beautiful day so if you don't mind if you don't mind the you know the high taxes and the crime and the drought and the forest fires that are blotting out the sun if you don't mind that stuff it's a pretty good place to be and if you can stay away from the uh the tsunamis and the earthquakes but you know i know where all the faults are i just stay away from the falls um did you know there's a depopulation time bomb facing the west and one wonders is there a reason we're talking about a depopulation time bomb that we've known about for a long time now some of it may be it's just reaching that you know critical point where everybody notices might be because elon musk has brought it up um but the west is hitting a uh this problem china's going to get it first because that one one baby problem or policy they had for over 35 years or something so deaths are going to outstrip births and pretty soon we'll have all these old people that require all this care and we won't have enough young people to work and take care of them i think that maybe technology and civilization will adjust i think we'll adjust i think that a lot of those old people live in houses and they'll just say hey and this is something already happening they'll say hey young person come live rent free in my house and you do some of the work and we both win so i think that the first thing that will happen is civilization will just immediately adjust because we're real good at that we we adjust probably the single thing that makes humans the dominant species uh over the planet uh although fungi are doing pretty well but you know humans we're having a good run is because we adjust so well you know other is it uh brett weinstein who says this um it's our ability to adjust that makes us special i think his new book says that um so i think we'll adjust but it's important watch it and what is behind uh this depopulation time bomb well it's a number of factors economic social uh but cnn is also reporting that we are too fat to that wasn't their exact headline but i think once i read this to you you'll think that the headline too fat to kind of fits so cnn says that 43 of women and 31 percent of men have some form of dis sexual dysfunction with obesity and lack of exercise often being factors now i do not do fat shaming because i don't think anybody chooses bad health right i just don't think anybody does that and i don't think people choose to be addicts i don't think we choose to be a lot of things that it looks like we choose but we really don't so i don't make fun of people who are in whatever situation they're in because you know if i don't have this one problem well i got my own right so i tend not to uh and i use i used to be far more judgmental i would say this is more of a recent evolution in my case so i feel not judgmental about other people's issues because i don't see my own as being all solved if i could solve all of my issues like everything that could be solved well then i'll talk about yours and now why don't you be like me and solve all your problems i solved all the mine but as long as my problems aren't all solved like your problems are fine you know we'll we'll talk about them but it's not about you okay so we'll talk about the problem but it's not about you personally this is a big deal and again this is this gigantic path for somebody like a desantis to walk right through how many people would like to see an american president and and the reason i say desantis is he makes every right move like he reads the room better than anybody's ever read the room and well trump read the room pretty well too but the other thing desantis does is he responds to it but he also takes free money free money is the thing that anybody could have said but he says you know trump used to do that all the time if there's a thing you can say and it's just sort of obvious anybody could say it but only one person does it's like why did everybody leave this free money lay in there so the free money this gigantic is you've got this enormous health and obesity problem in this country how about a president how about a desantis says look let's not kid ourselves you know i can do everything in the world to help this country but if you're overeating and not taking care of yourself it's not going to mean anything to you so please let's figure out how to like get in shape let's figure out a system let's get some help let's put some money on it let's put some attention on it let's talk about it right let's not judge each other let's stay out of the judging business let's just treat it as a health problem because it is and and just go from there gigantic gigantic opportunity with no disagreement if you do it right you would always get the the people who are advocates for you know people who are larger and they you know they don't want to be mocked for their i guess lifestyle choice in some cases and that's fine but it's really not about them nobody's saying you have to do anything it's not you know there wouldn't be mandatory gym you know i'm talking about helping people not forcing people right the government could certainly help people it doesn't have to force anybody to do anything yes so if you have a uh low low t and uh you've got sexual dysfunction that can't be helping the population it just can't be although i suspect these days having a kid is more choice than not um sean penn got in trouble for saying that uh men in america are becoming quote quite feminized um and uh he said quote uh there are a lot of i think cowardly genes that lead to people surrendering their their jeans meaning the jeans that they're wearing and putting on a skirt now he's talking about some famous celebrities i guess more than the public but uh what do you think about that do you think that's a old man that yells at the clouds ah these kids today back in my day men wore pants or is he on to something because remember sean is not right wing by any stretch of the imagination but he's saying something that you would more associate with somebody who was on the right the political right yeah can can we at least come together on that now i unlike many in my audience right now i am very supportive of anybody who doesn't want to be like the mainstream in any social way whatsoever so lgbtq love you just just be whatever makes you happy you know if if society can't allow you to do that then society sucks you should let people you know live whatever life they want to live so i'm i'm in favor of the freedom uh for people to be who they are that said let me ask a question just for the women can i if i could i know this is going to be tough for you guys because i have more men than women watching typically for the men just if you could hold off for a moment i want to ask a question just for the women watching this so women if you don't normally comment this would be a good one to jump in do you think that there is a shortage of masculine men now i don't want to use alpha and beta you you know you could translate that in your own mind um okay on locals i get faster responses and i'm getting uh 90 yes it looks like um on youtube i'm seeing so far only yeses well okay now this this may be a reflection of my audience more than a reflection of of the world but at least we agree now don't you think that uh literally the low testosterone is part of it i mean it has to be right that is that am i being anti-science did i go too far wouldn't we see exactly what we see with no other change than lower testosterone now what causes the lower testosterone it's not one thing right some of it is diet some of it may be getting poor sleep because of screen time some of it may be the comparison problem if you compare yourself to the people on instagram what's that do to your testosterone it doesn't help right if you're comparing yourself to the best whatever's in the world instead of just your neighbor like in the old days i mean i could only compare myself to people i knew personally because you know there were some people on tv but it wasn't that big a deal but today you know you're being compared to the best of the best in the whole world how does it in theory if you're being compared to something that's better than you it should drop your testosterone is that true give me a fact check on that i never know what things i i believe forever are because you know you could always find out oh i believed that forever and that was just never true but i think that losing a competition has at least a temporary drop in testosterone that's been proven right uh being embarrassed as opposed to being victorious i'm pretty sure you can measure a difference in testosterone now imagine you are live in a society where boys are mostly the winners let's say 50s 60s 70s and you could extend that to wherever your politics want you to extend it if you grew up in a world where you just felt like you were the you know king of the universe because you happen to be right you happen to be the the right gender at the right time in history that probably would raise your testosterone wouldn't it because you would just walk around feeling like oh yeah i'm in charge now what would happen if instead you were born in the more current era and you were told that boys are the cause of all problems which isn't too far off from what's happening right now right no i'm not going to say that men don't cause a lot of problems oh we do we do our share of crime and whatnot but we're also most of the police force most of the emergency stuff you know so i mean we contribute as well so some say divorce some say divorce yeah that might be a factor i'm not sure it's one factor i think it's everything from and i'm gonna say allegedly on this one so i don't get sued allegedly our soy intake have you seen how much the soy is in every freaking product like the only thing that doesn't have soy in it is like a stalk of broccoli i swear to god they're going to figure out how to make soy broccoli just so you can't get away with it every packaged food seems to have soy in it as some kind of filler or maybe the source of protein or something i don't know but why do soy have to be in everything everything all right so i do think that this uh testosterone thing is real um all right now i've got a question just for the men just for the men all right women you have to ride this one out okay just for the men and i'm gonna further uh segment it okay just for the men watching who would consider themselves a masculine compared to the average i know you're all going to say that's you right you're all going to say that you but just the ones who consider themselves masculine have you seen that the demand for what you're selling is the highest it's ever been go just just because you just happened to be masculine i believe the answers you should uh on youtube you should see the answers on on locals the the comments go by uh the the the quickness of the comments is based on how many there are so the so the faster they answer the faster they sit by it was just like this wall of yes it just went yes all right so i'm not imagining it right i'm not imagining it all right here's my next question and maybe my last for today um do you remember black lives matter and do you remember antifa and do you remember occupy wall street and one thing they all had in common is that they were really really big and then they just sort of went away were any of them natural were they all scams they were just funded by somebody right i think they were all scams based on today's look backwards just the fact that they made such a big impact and then went away just as suddenly that does suggest that it was never real now what's going to happen when the next one pops up are you going to do are you going to have a gel man amnesia do you know what that would be so galban amnesia i won't give you the whole background of what that means what it means is when there's another totally group that starts protesting are you going to say oh this one's real are you gonna believe the next group after after three in a row that are obviously in my just my opinion in my opinion they're obviously and i thought they were at the time i wasn't really following occupy wall street but i didn't really understand that one i mean when it was happening i kept looking at it thinking well that's kind of weird that this suddenly pops up when nothing is much that different but now i would say it's somewhat clear that these were scams of some sort now when i say there were scams i don't mean that the people who are individually protesting were insincere i do think that most of the people on the street were sincere in whatever that means for antifa i'm not sure what it means to be a sincere antifa person but i'm talking about the leadership of the funding and the organization though that apparently that was all a scam now here's some news from the washington examiner i think report yeah the washington examiner so they were looking into who's in charge of black lives matter at the moment this is just the best story now i don't know if it's because i'm the author of the dilbert comic that i love this story so much because if you could come up with a more deliberate scenario than what i'm going to just describe now again this is the washington examiner's reporting so they were looking into who's in charge now that the person who was in charge the co-founder patrice cullers so she moved on and she said that she appointed two of the activists to serve as the group's senior directors so far so good so we knew who was in charge she was a co-founder and i guess when she left she was the last of the co-founders and she appointed two activists and we know their names so good so the washington examiner went and talked to the two people who were appointed and they said we didn't accept the appointment what they said yeah yeah we were appointed but we didn't accept the appointment wait what well who's got the 60 million dollars allegedly that that they have i don't know what what like this is one of those stories that you you can't even read to the end because you just keep going what what now typically let me give you a warning here typically a story like this is so on the nose it's probably wrong it's probably not true right when you see something that's just too perfectly stereotypically the worst thing that could possibly happen right what would be the most stereotypically racist let's put that out there what would be the most stereotypically racist thing you could imagine would be that you know a a black organization stole a bunch of money right that's that the racist brain would go there immediately and then the story comes out that looks looks like that's exactly what happened your first instinct shouldn't be well i told you so if your first thing if your first instinct was i told you so well you might be a racist your first instinct should be could be true but your first instinct could be should be that's a little too close a little too on the nose so just be warned about this one okay i don't know that is fact that i'm not or fiction and i'm not going to predict either way so i don't have an opinion whether it's real or not i'm just saying that whenever you see one that's this close to exactly a racist trope is that the right word you got to ask yourself is it real you just have to ask yourself all right um but allegedly that's we don't know who's in charge and money's missing and uh and the the two remaining blm board members so there are two board members who are different from the two directors who are appointed right so there's still two board members we know who they are and they were asked for a comment and they did not return numerous they did not return numerous requests for comment all right i give up this story might be exactly what it looks like it might be all right so i asked this poll on twitter uh i said on twitter today a little poll i said were antifa blm and occupy wall street's real movements that suddenly evaporated or were they always democrat scams so when at last i checked 77 said they were always democrat scams and uh 23 said that they were actually real organizations or that they weren't sure 23 percent 23 rounding off 23 25 25 um this will come as no surprise our idiots and it's a very consistent result now i believe i have delivered on my claim that i would show you that every major topic of any complexity has to branch into different stories once you see this you will say to yourself wait a minute maybe the problem isn't cognitive dissonance maybe cognitive dissonance is a necessity it's the only way the simulation that runs our reality can handle the complexity my story and yours don't have to match anymore because i'm in my own subjective reality and it'll never make any difference if your story and mine never match so every future story even if it doesn't line up perfectly with democrat and republican should branch into multiple versions because it has to and that ladies and gentlemen is the reframe of the day i believe i have delivered on my promise that this is the best live stream of all time bar none and i will talk to you tomorrow

good morning everybody

welcome

to the most amazing

hour you're likely to ever spend

in your entire life

it's called coffee with scott adams and

normally

it's tremendous on an average day it's

better than anything you've ever

experienced

but today

even the normal coffee with scott adams

experience is going to go to a new level

it will

yeah and if you'd like to get us started

off right

and by the way

you might need a little swaddling for

your brain

find a nice warm

blanket

unless you're exercising

if you're running on the beach right now

and you hear me laughing in your ear as

you're running in the beach and you're

saying damn it he's making me laugh when

i'm running on the beach

i think he's talking about me

and i am

so keep running on the beach but the

rest of you get a nice warm blanket

because you're going to need to swallow

your brain

swaddle it

but first

how about a simultaneous sip but all you

need is a copper a margarita glass a

tanker chelsea's time to canteen jogger

flask vessel of any kind fill it with

your favorite liquid

a beverage some would say

and join me now for the unparalleled

pleasure the dope being the other day

the thing that makes

everything better and i mean everything

in every reality better

it's called the simultaneous step and it

happens now go

well

would you like to see the matrix

you know some people think that we live

in a simulation and if this were a

simulation you would be subject to

resource constraints wouldn't it

if we were any kind of computer

simulation

the one thing you could be reasonably

sure of

is it would have some kind of limits

because everything has to have a limit

just logically

and so

could we ever spot the limits of our own

simulation

as evidence that that's what we're in

and here's the frame that i'm going to

give you for today's entire episode

and it goes like this

did you ever wonder why

cognitive dissonance

is so common

or to put it more generally why people

have completely different views of

reality

and it doesn't just apply

doesn't just apply

to the news

don't you know that sometimes you'll be

talking to your friends you've known

forever and you'll have completely

different memories of events in which

you both were there

what's up with that

why do we have memory

but

our memory is so close to fantasy

that sometimes you can't even

unentangle them

why do we so often live

in what seems like a completely

different worlds

and here's the answer

it has to be that way

because of resource constraints

cognitive dissonance

isn't a flaw

it's a feature

you couldn't program the simulation

without that requirement

here's why

imagine creating a simulation and by the

way if those of you who have programmed

back me up on this

all right

if you were creating a simulation in

which every character's actions

had to be known to every other

object and item in the entire universe

because they might someday interact

and someday you might hear about

something that somebody else did

and it has to be consistent

if our memories were perfect it would

have to be consistent

so if you tried to build

an artificial world in which everybody's

story

their narrative if you will

or their subjective reality

if they had to be consistent

in all ways with all other stories

the resources would be

astronomical to the point where it's

unimaginable that it could be programmed

but

could you build a world

in which people believed they were

seeing an accurate

view of the reality

but in fact

the accuracy was only a trick of the

mind

that'd be a lot easier

so

watch if you will the predictive power

of

the simulation hypothesis

do i tell you that the simulation is the

true way to see the world

never

nope

the only thing i could tell you is that

some ways of looking at things might be

more predictive than others and that's

probably the closest you can get to

something that's

real

if anything is

so my prediction is this

there can never be a major story

that has only one interpretation

you always

there could be exceptions of course but

let's say in general that the headlines

will always tend toward two

interpretations even when

it's not just a democrat republican

thing

because take vaccinations for example

you saw that a lot of let's say the

black population and the republicans

were

often on the same page so it wasn't even

a left right thing

but every story

has to have multiple interpretations

because that's the only way you could

program the simulation let's talk about

a few things that are happening now

one is the continued continuing

of what i call the roganization of the

news

the roganization of the news is another

indication that we live in a simulation

that we're reusing themes because it's

just simpler it uses less resources

so the way we see the news used to be

through a trump filter

and now we see it through a joe rogan

filter

so if we talk about vaccinations we talk

about joe rogan if it's about

ivermectin joe rogan you know the

government uh taking away our rights joe

rogan

freedom of speech

joe rogan

and now even

music and streaming

joe rogan

now some of it is just you get something

in your mind and his sticks and he's

gigantic

uh in terms of his reach so it makes

sense

in the same way it made sense that we

talked about everything through a trump

filter

but think about how that simplifies the

programming

we all just think the same way we just

go through the same filter

it's a big simplification if you were

going to program a simulation so here's

what else is happening

the story is that the following four

people and before you fact-check me i'm

going to fact check myself when i'm done

that the following four people have said

they don't want to be on spotify the

streaming service if that joe rogan

is on there with his misinformation

about health-related things

so it started with neil young

but now then we heard that barry manilow

joined and then we heard that uh peter

frampton was on board and then joni

mitchell

how much of that story is true

it's like every story right

there's a true version and a fake

version and

so here's the the details barry manilow

came out and said i don't know i don't

know where that started it didn't come

from me

didn't come from anybody who represents

me

so the the barry manilow part of the

story was completely fake so at least 25

percent of the story is fake

and then there's a peter frampton tweet

in which he said he's always been an

apple guy

so you know he he uses apple streaming

and i said to myself wait a minute

is peter frampton saying he doesn't want

to be on spotify

is he saying he's never been on spotify

or is he saying that he's not even

talking as a

creator anymore because i don't know the

last time he published any music

but is he talking as a consumer

is he just saying that he didn't use

spotify before to listen to music

i i feel like peter frampton trended

just because he says

he listens to music on a different

streaming service

i think that's what happened now if

that's true if i'm interpreting it

correctly and again

you know we're all going to have

different stories it has to be that way

uh that would be 50 of the story isn't

real

so that would leave joni mitchell

on the side of neil young

and if if you take joni mitchell's music

off of spotify

um

well you won't be able to go to spotify

to hear joni mitchell's uh big hit

uh

joni mitchell's big hit

she was really big when i was young

had a lot of hits actually she was very

famous

and then her big hit was

i don't know but i'm going to miss it

i'm going to miss it is what i'm saying

i'd i never used spotify before

uh i was kind of a

different streaming guy but

in case you want to put that in the

headlines i think i should be trending

wait a minute i'm on spotify

aren't i

i'm on spotify am i not

can somebody confirm that

i think i am right

yeah i mean

we i just published the podcast wherever

i think so i think it's on there

well

why the hell did nobody ask me if i am

willing to be on spotify

with my highly valuable

podcast which probably gets roughly as

many listens as

neil young but

i feel that i've been overlooked

am i wrong

should i make a public statement now

i think i'm going to have to i'm going

to have to go on the record

i think everybody who is on spotify

needs to

give their joe rogan opinion

and uh uh

i'm

i'm embarrassed

to be on spotify honestly

uh now that i know that barry manilow is

still on there

so

i refuse

i refuse to be on spotify

i would like my representation to pull

all of my podcasts immediately

because i just

go cabana it's not really music is it

it's not music it's sort of like a

an ear worm

that gets in your head and makes you

happy and you can't get it out

now i personally have spent

many many hours

as a

bus boy

in my early days

when i was a busboy and we would clean

the dining room all at the same time

after all the guests had left it was a

hotel

and they would play

copacabana over and over again through

the uh ceiling speakers because we only

had a few songs for whatever reason

and i've heard more copacabana than any

human has ever heard and

i don't know if i can be on spotify with

that man

excellent music

very successful

but you got to draw the line somewhere

um edward snowden

had a funny tweet he said nobody has a

stronger opinion about

nobody has stronger opinions about joe

rogan than people who have never

listened to joe rogan

and i thought

you know i bet that's exactly true

you know this is one of those tweets

where you say to yourself well that's

not i'm sure that's not true

completely and then you think about it

and then you think now that might be

actually true for every single human

in the conversation it might literally

be true of everybody

who who is against him is that you

haven't heard the context

now i don't know how many of you could

say the same

but i feel like i've been following his

career

since the earliest days literally on

news radio

and

do you remember that he had a show i

can't remember the name of the show

you'll probably tell me in which he

looked into stuff like uh bigfoot

he actually went looking for bigfoot

who remembers that what was the name of

the show

you'll remember you i think you'll

remind me

no it wasn't fear factor

what was it

come on it it wasn't on for a long time

oh joe grogan questions everything was

that it joe rogan's questions everything

right

so

now i'm not i'm not going to

characterize joe rogan's opinion about

bigfoot

you know who knows what he was thinking

when or or what

but

if you know

that part of his arc

you know include literally being an

actor literally being a you know huge

stand-up comic

uh

and literally at one point searching for

bigfoot all in the name of entertainment

right

if you understand that

then don't you have a better

appreciation of any other content that

he presents

which is that the larger context is

if it's interesting i'm going to put it

on

i don't think there's any other is there

another criteria

does he claim and does he claim any

other

any other criteria for putting on

entertainment this just has to be good

right either it has to be funny

it has to be interesting

provocative

something it just has to be good

so if you understand that the context is

things that are interesting then you

listen to the rogue doctor and you make

your own decision

you know you're not you're not watching

it like the news but what if you've only

seen clips of his show you don't know

anything about his history his other

work you know maybe you don't even know

he's a stand-up comic

don't you think a lot of people were his

critics maybe you know

vaguely know he's done that kind of work

but don't know he would be one of the

biggest in the country at the moment

so you know i think the context makes a

big difference not only the context

within the show but the the larger

context that if it's interesting he's

going to let us see it

and who how do you complain about that

right if you know the larger context if

it's interesting i think i'll show it to

you

what the hell

how do you get mad at that

form your you know make your own opinion

he's not telling you what to think

if he told you what to think that'd be a

whole different conversation wouldn't it

but

nowhere

nowhere are you going to find anything

in his record

that tells you what to think

fact-check me on that

right

i'm pretty sure if you scour his record

you're not going to find him telling you

how to think he's just going to show you

interesting and you make up your

own mind

it's a good model

well

um those of you who have uh experienced

doing mushrooms you know that

you have a much better understanding of

our reality as being a subjective

reality so even if you discard this

simulation

hypothesis

you probably would agree that we are

living in our own subjective reality

in lots of different ways and we'll talk

about some of those ways

number one is

uh many people have lived for the last

two years

in a subjective reality in which the

elites

are using covet as a plot to take

control

for the great reset

and it was never a problem

etc

others and again i'm not i don't have an

opinion on that

right now i mean i have opinions but

not right now my larger point is that

didn't we live in different worlds

there are some people who just said hey

there's a deadly virus

people doing the best they can but

people are weasels and liars and so this

is what you get

so that was my reality

my reality is just a whole bunch of

weasels and liars

doing the best they could usually for

themselves

and this is what you get when when you

have weasels and liars and a crisis

along with lots of people doing trying

to do the right thing

it wasn't like everybody was lying

but it's not like everybody was telling

the truth

it's not like everybody was trying to

get an advantage on other people

some people were literally just trying

to help

and nothing else

and a lot of people right you know

that's the best thing that came out of

the pandemic by far

is the kindness

that was expressed pretty much

universally

at least by the citizens

so

those are different worlds that we've

been living in for the last two years

how about um

what happens

if we are a simulation and the way we

think

affects it

here's something that worries me because

i worry about weird things

what if we wish a new variant into

existence

what happens if everyone in the world

expects

a new deadly variant just because we've

been primed that way

can we actually make that happen can we

just will it into existence

you know i worry about that

like actually literally because i i

think our understanding of the reality

we live in such as it is is so weak

you know what we actually understand

about reality is so weak

that i wouldn't discount

seven billion people expecting exactly

the same thing to happen

having no causal

effect

like it might not have enough causal

effect

that i could believe but it's hard to

believe it would have none

even if the only thing it did is affect

somehow the way we we acted because you

know that you're drawn toward things you

think about a lot

your behavior

is attracted this is whatever you're

thinking about the most

just some somewhat automatically and

subconsciously so could we just think

our way into problems

i don't know

but i would but i'd like to at least

give us give a

consideration

to thinking our way out of it instead

and maybe maybe focus a little more on

february 1 being over

now you see the you see the the real

power of that

what happens when everybody says

february 1's the day we stop or at least

with mandates in the united states

could have the opposite effect

could it have an effect that doesn't

seem to be directly related to the

public rising up in other words

could the virus just burn out

as if by magic

because everybody was focusing on the

same time to make it burn out i don't

know

but i'll tell you that i have this one

observation there's no scientific

backing right so this is not a science

but maybe you could you know

compare it to your own situation

i find that the more um

clearly i can visualize something

potentially happening

the more likely it'll happen

in my actual life

if if i can see it as clear as i can see

a photograph in front of me in some

sometimes i can

then it just always happens even if it's

unlikely

yeah i use my example all the time of

becoming a best-selling author or

becoming a cartoonist you know famous

cartoonist

or visiting the

the white house and talking to a

president

these are things which i visualized

really specifically

and there are other things that i just

sort of want

but i don't really visualize them and

they don't happen

but the things that i think about

specifically

oh my god do they happen on a regular

basis in a weird way

so i just want to put it out there that

that if you all focus on

hashtag february 1 for dropping mandates

which is similar to saying that the you

know the pandemic itself the crisis has

abated

i ca i'm not going to tell you it'll

make it happen

but

if you want to play it safe

if you want to play a safe

i'd rather think about stopping it than

having it forever

all right

um

here's a bombshell that's gonna scramble

your brain uh the australia i saw this

on a tweet by a twitter user called

logic

bombshell reports from australia

australia media places the blame for the

pandemic

on fouchy

in other words

the united states

so there's at least you know one person

in i don't know how many more believe

this

but talk about a reframe that made my

brain hurt

as soon as soon as i heard it from

somebody else's point of view

we just spent two years blaming china

we just spent two years blaming china

which you know i'm all on board with

that because

you know

i'm no lover of the chinese government

but

at the same time we were slowly learning

you know

fouchy's involvement and somehow it

never occurred to me

and i would wonder if this is blowing

your mind as well

why had it never occurred to me

that's the united statesist

that's responsible for the

pandemic

i'm not saying we are

i'm not saying we are

i'm saying here's here's the part i'm

only saying

why didn't it occur to me until until

now

why did that literally not occur to me

i had only thought of it as a fouchy

problem

did the same thing happen to you

did you think oh there's a fouchy

problem i never once said to myself this

is the united states

we unleashed

this pandemic by our actions now does

china have some culpability probably

probably i'm not going to let china off

the hook

but why did i never once think of it

this way

and i'm going going to introduce a

new phrase for you

and this new phrase

is going to act like a

an anti-virus

so it's a phrase

that if it catches on would act like an

anti-virus so that the problem i just

described which is my own cognitive

blindness which some of you shared

so i was cognitively blind to america's

culpability or potential culpability

because you know nothing's proven proven

in this world

and it's because of what i'm going to

call a diversion narrative

a diversion narrative

watch what happens when you start

looking for them

and you see how many times there's a

narrative about what's true

that's really designed primarily as a

diversion

what hap what would

what would it do to your brain if you

found out that the china is to blame

narrative was always a diversion

narrative

what if someone in the government or

someone's

always knew that this could come around

and become a blame america problem

because they knew that chain of events

from fouchy to funding

to wuhan to

maybe a mistake we don't know for sure

what if somebody cooked up the diversion

narrative to say it was china so that we

would in america be cognitively blind to

our own culpability

have you ever seen anybody cook up a

diversion narrative before

how about um trump-russia collusion

that's a diversion narrative

for the fact that hillary was

was literally colluding with russia

apparently

all right i'll say allegedly or

apparently

how often are diversion narratives

really all we're seeing

and how often are we just wrong or

because because my usual interpretation

of these things is that there are two

worlds because there's a democrat side

and a republican side so we all

understand that part

but some of these go beyond that

it seems like there's something else

going on besides just the teams these

diversion narratives seem to be

almost the operating system of

civilization at this point

it's just diversion narratives

let's talk about

some more as we go

um

but uh here's something that i've said a

number of times and i just want to

explain my thinking on it better because

often i'm talking about a topic in the

news then we we all get diverted about

the topic but really i'm trying to say

something about the way we think about

things so if you'll allow me

to divorce myself from the topic of

something whether it's true or false

all right forget about what's true

i don't care about that at the moment it

has has to do with a tweet i saw this

morning from a

twitter user who calls himself still

unvaccinated phd

and he's he's responding to my thought

that the category of rogue experts

are generally wrong

and he says rogue doctors and scientists

as adam says likes to call them are

often the ones who discover huge

breakthroughs in different industries

now i agree with that

don't you all wouldn't you say that the

rogues you know the ones bucking the

standard

pretty much create everything good

when you agree

i mean

they're all rogues you know all the ones

that really make a difference they're

all rogues

so

have i ever said anything

that would be conflicting with that

i've never said anything that conflicts

with the fact that pretty much all

progress seems to come from

rogues and sometimes whistleblowers

right

but

is there any conflict with that

with the fact that i say that ninety

percent of the time the rogues are wrong

there's you shouldn't think there's any

conflict with that and here's an analogy

that's just used to help you

see the math better i guess

it goes like this

you know about google and you know about

amazon.com and you know about you know

microsoft and you know about all these

gigantic companies that at one point

were

just startups

if you saw them when they were startups

you would have said well the odds are at

best one in 10.

that's optimistic it's probably one in

20.

but let's say one in 10.

so if you're looking at all startups as

90 of them are going to fail and you can

be pretty sure that's true but the ones

that become famous are so famous

that the narrative of the famous ones

makes you cognitively blind

to the fact that most things that are

like that

most things that are in their category

the category of

rogues taking on the world and winning

you know jeff bezos is a great example

taking on the world and winning

um

so just just know that everything

important comes from the rogues

but mostly they fail

so i use it as a prediction shortcut

so whenever there's a rogue

i just say well i'm gonna i'm gonna go

with the ninety

i'll vote against it

i'll vote against it

so when i when i tell you that i've got

suspicions about let's say a doctor

malone or mcauliffe

dr corey any of the names you've seen

that are the rogue doctors if as i like

to call them i'm not necessarily

disagreeing with anything about their

science

how would i know

i'm just saying they're in the category

that if you and i are going to take a

bet

i'll bet with the 90

it's just a category

a category related prediction that's all

right i i obviously obviously can't

um

counteract their science

all

right um

jack passovek has another uh tweet

and

maybe uh maybe a a scoop i don't know

but uh he tweets that biden chief of

staff ron claim is planning to start

leaking and pushing a narrative a

narrative you say

what kind of a narrative

that president zielenski

of ukraine is a kremlin compromised this

is according to a white house staffer

and again jack's got good sources

so

here's the two worlds

do you see reality just splitting

so i have to admit that when you see

zelinski being

less

worried about his country being invaded

than the united states

it's a perfectly reasonable question

why is zolensky less worried than we are

right

but there's not just one way to explain

that

one explanation is that he is just as

worried but he wants to play it

differently he doesn't want to cause

panic so we don't know he's less worried

he's talking about how how we talk about

it

he so he doesn't want the rhetoric to be

as high as it is

but

this might create an opening for this

second narrative that zelensky is a

puppet of the kremlin and he's

practically inviting them in

and then the other narrative that

nothing like that is happening

so once again

two worlds

does the simulation require

that in every case

and i'm not even sure this is a democrat

or republican question is it

because i think you could find people on

both sides of what we should do on uh on

ukraine

but everything has to be at least two

stories or more

because the the simulation can't handle

complexity

with one story

if you're coming in late

if we live in the simulation there's got

to be a resource constraint like any

computer

and so there's a reason that we all have

different realities because you couldn't

have one reality and make every part of

every reality consistent with every

other too much resources too many

resources

so so the prediction of the simulation

is that every major story

will branch into multiple uh realities

and that has to happen

you can't program the simulation unless

you do that

um

here is my

mind breaking white board for today

the thing you've all been waiting for

but you didn't even know it i call it

the military financial reframe

and it goes like this

that

if you look at the arc of time

that power used to be really a military

thing which of course was highly

correlated with wealth

you know wealth could get you a better

military but not necessarily

so if you had a great military you had a

lot of power

if you had money that was great money

was great but if all you had was money

and you didn't have a good military

the military next door would come and

take your money

but thanks primarily to the internet

and our financial markets becoming

global and inter intertangled and the

fact that money has to go through

basically wires to get anywhere it

doesn't get on a boat it's not hidden

somewhere has to go across a wire

so we became so connected with each

other because of the internet

that finance as a weapon

gets more and more powerful the more

connected we are and the more trade we

do

and so

i would submit to you that ukraine is

our crossover point

the crossover point at which a financial

weapon is more useful

than a military weapon because the

military weapon would guarantee russia's

destruction am i right

so it pretty much guarantees they're not

going to go nuclear

so the the value of the ar their arsenal

is

not really that good

so here here they are in nuclear power

they can't really use their nukes

so

that brings them down to you know what

weapons can you use

in these smaller conflicts

and so finance is everything and so when

biden says

you can line up your military on the

border if you want

but at your own peril

it's time

for

the military financial

crossover point boom

now i submit to you that i do not know

if ukraine is the point in history at

which the experts will say yup that's

when it happened

from that day on the the larger powers

just resolve things

through negotiating because it was

you know you had to use your financial

tools

still there will be plenty of wars with

these smaller countries with neighboring

conflicts and stuff but anybody who's a

big enough country to have a submarine

i'll just use that as my standard

if your country is big enough to have a

submarine in your military

probably you're going to work it out

financially because you can be taken

down by the rest of the world

now

like i say i don't know if ukraine is

going to be the test case

that proves the rule forever

but the day will come

you know if it's not ukraine this taiwan

or you know

it's something but but something is

going to prove this rule

i i think china taiwan is a different

situation because of the history there

but

i don't see the russia-ukraine situation

becoming a major shooting war so test my

prediction

um my prediction is

that ukraine probably is the point where

the shooting war just stopped making

sense

now i will not rule out

will not rule out minor incursion

minor incursion

and continued pressure and you know

cyber and everything else that stuff

probably

but i don't see

the russian military moving in force

like a major campaign

and the reason is too expensive

can't afford it

and putin is not irrational so he would

do a slow but steady pressure

probably get what he wants in the end

you know that's why i think a lot

so test that

um i think

the

all the talk about nato and the us and

sending some of her

forces over there and trainers and

sending military and all that i think a

lot of that is just theater

um and i felt like our own military

was saying that

you know they were saying that we're not

doing it um

so much to fight russia

we're doing it to show our allies that

we back them

so it was really theater

and i think we said it directly well

it's sort of theater we're just showing

the allies that we back them

we're not really putting a fighting

force there

because what would a fighting force look

like

a fighting force would look like a real

fighting force i don't think we have

anything like that

in the neighborhood right

so it's really just for show

and i think that our military leaders to

their credit

to their credit i think they said so

directly

and they said it multiple times this is

to show

our allies that we have their back it's

a show

okay

so i don't know that that show is

something we have to worry about

militarily

um all right here's my next provocative

question

um and i'll start with this priming of

your brain uh are all of you aware

there's a generally accepted

parenting practice

that if you're a step parent you don't

do the discipline

are you all familiar with that rule

is this generally a universally

acknowledged rule now the thinking

behind it is fairly solid

the thinking behind it is that there is

a biological connection

for a biological parent

that is a sort of unbreakable

bond and that you have this um

you know unrestricted love that won't be

changed by some some punishment

but

it is assumed

that the non-biological parent doesn't

have that and so if punishment comes

from a non-biological parent

that could become a rift that lasts

forever and becomes a problem

now

i'm not saying every family is the same

you know i think there's a world of

difference

between a step kid that you get as a

baby and the original parent was never

in the picture

that's effectively just a biological

parent for all for all practical

purposes right but i'm talking about

like a step kid comes in at age 12.

okay that's a different situation

and and the real father let's say you're

still in the picture and involved right

you in that case

in that case the step dad just you just

have to step away you you report

observe and report that's it observe and

report unless it's you know an immediate

danger

if it's an immediate danger then you

step in immediately

but

um i'm gonna i'm gonna take that analogy

to a weird place

our constitution has a rule in it that

you have to be born in america to be

president

you have to be born in america to be

president not for other jobs

but to be president

do you what do you think of that rule

does that does that

rule feel appropriate

or does it feel racist

because it is racist

i mean an outcome

right it's racist

um let me give you an example

do you think that arnold schwarzenegger

would be a risky president in the sense

that he would have too much loyalty to

his native-born austria

well actually if we ever got into

conflict with austria i would be worried

about that i definitely would be worried

about that but you know we'll never get

in a conflict with austria not

realistically

so

why is there why is there a

constitutional

thing that prevents arnold from running

for president

there's no real reason i mean it just

ends up looking racist

in his case

but

do you agree with the general statement

that people estab

they develop a love

for the place they were born

just ordinarily it's just the most

natural

i don't must be biological

i guess some of it is or a lot of it is

cultural

but people are very bonded to where

they're born so

would most of you have now given the

background would you all agree that the

country is safer

and i'm not even talking about america

specifically

or would you give any country

probably is a little safer

if they restrict their presidents to

people born on the soil of any of any

you know cultural background of course

yeah most of you would agree with that

as a reasonable

but a little bit racist

but it's national defense and that's

where we bend things a little bit when

when we have to

right you elon musk perfect example

would you be worried if elon musk were

president if we were not born in

american soil i wouldn't

i wouldn't i wouldn't be worried about

that at all it just seems kind of racist

that he's but but we still accept i

think

that a president should be born on the

soil of which that president is the

president it just gives you that little

extra

little extra protection

this brings us to george soros

who uh was hungor

is hungarian-born but american citizen

now he can't run for president

are you happy about that

are you happy that george soros with all

of his money can't run for president

it's just it's not even an option

i'm saying most people say yes they're

glad that

in this case they're glad that that rule

exists

because he did he did have enough money

if you think about it

he did have enough money that if it were

constitutionally allowed he probably

could have made the grade

probably could have gotten over the hump

because money i mean you can buy

anything

so

we're happy about it there but here's

the provocative question

why do we allow that same person that we

would not trust as a president

to donate so much money to activist

organizations

that they effectively control our

government

on those issues

why is that okay

and am i being racist to even ask the

question

because i don't think it's more racist

than our current constitutional

situation it's probably equal

they're both racist

i'm just asking the question

that's the podcaster's dodge

i'm just asking the question but in this

case i think that's fair to say

i actually wonder

why do we allow that

why is it legal

no i get that it's constitutional so

it's not a constitutional question right

now

why do we allow that

we have all kinds of campaign finance

restrictions

but why do we

not restrict

something that is so important to us

it's in the constitution

it's built right into the constitution

it's so fundamental that you want

somebody who's

let's say biological connection to the

soil is unquestionable

somebody says it's not racist it's

nationalistic

that's a fair characterization

but i would say that uh almost

everything we do has a racist outcome

even if you don't intend it for that

purpose it just always does

so i don't think it's you know i just

like mentioning because it gets this one

less thing for people to complain about

right

so

i think i think maybe a republican

should

run on that

if there's a way to do it now it might

be impossible to stop money

because soros could give money to an

entity and say i'm done with it and then

the entity could say well now that we

have this money it's ours and we'll give

it to this cause

so

i'm guessing he could probably still

launder it somehow and there's no way to

stop it i don't know

must be a way to do it

but

don't even try

you know if we're if we're concerned

about foreign influence so much that we

can't have a foreign-born president

you know so we're so concerned that

arnold

schwarzenegger couldn't can't be our

president who's worried about him being

not pro-american enough or even elon

musk i mean i don't you know who knows

what elon musk is thinking that's that

would be impossible to imagine

but i wouldn't be worried

all right

um

here's the answer to the question why i

stay in california because people always

ask

i'm going to read i'm just going to read

this headline from twitter

the nor'easter storm will bring a major

snowstorm and potential blizzard

stretching from south carolina to new

england

the storm is predicted to

form off the coast of the carolinas on

friday and move north up the east coast

across the weekend a storm has brought

the east coast into its first blizzard

warning in four years according to blah

blah

airlines have canceled thousands of

flights high winds heavy snows between 6

and 12 inches of snow

one to two feet of snow in some places

and maybe maybe major power outages at

the same time people be freezing to

death in their own homes

so that's what uh that's what the people

in those states are doing

um yesterday

uh i took a walk in the sun

had some legal cannabis before i went

uh it was t-shirt weather

beautiful

day so if you don't mind

if you don't mind the you know

the high taxes and the crime and the

drought and the forest fires that are

blotting out the sun

if you don't mind that stuff

it's a pretty good place to be and if

you can stay away from the

uh the tsunamis

and

the earthquakes but you know i know

where all the faults are

i just stay away from the falls

um

did you know there's a depopulation time

bomb facing the west

and one wonders is there a reason we're

talking about a depopulation time bomb

that we've known about for a long time

now some of it may be it's just reaching

that you know critical point where

everybody notices might be because elon

musk has brought it up

um but

the west is hitting a uh this problem

china's going to get it first because

that one

one baby problem or policy they had for

over 35 years or something

so

deaths are going to outstrip births and

pretty soon we'll have all these old

people

that require all this care and we won't

have enough young people to work and

take care of them

i think that maybe technology and

civilization will adjust

i think we'll adjust

i think that a lot of those old people

live in houses and they'll just say hey

and this is something already happening

they'll say hey young person come live

rent free in my house and you do some of

the work and

we both win

so

i think that the first thing that will

happen is civilization will just

immediately adjust because we're real

good at that we we adjust

probably the single thing that makes

humans the dominant species uh over the

planet uh although fungi are doing

pretty well

but you know humans we're having a good

run

is because we adjust so well you know

other

is it uh brett weinstein who says this

um it's our ability to adjust that makes

us special

i think his new book says that

um

so i think we'll adjust

but it's important watch it

and what is behind uh this depopulation

time bomb well

it's a number of factors economic

social

uh but cnn is also reporting that we are

too fat to

that wasn't their exact headline

but i think once i read this to you

you'll think that

the headline too fat to

kind of fits so cnn says that 43 of

women and 31 percent of men

have some form of dis sexual dysfunction

with obesity and lack of exercise often

being factors

now i do not do fat shaming

because i don't think anybody chooses

bad health

right i just don't think anybody does

that and i don't think people choose to

be addicts i don't think we choose to be

a lot of things that it looks like we

choose but we really don't

so i don't make fun of people who are in

whatever situation they're in because

you know if i don't have this one

problem well i got my own right

so i tend not to uh

and i use i used to be far more

judgmental i would say

this is more of a recent evolution in my

case

so i feel not judgmental about other

people's issues

because i don't see my own as being all

solved

if i could solve all of my issues like

everything that could be solved well

then i'll talk about yours

and now why don't you be like me and

solve all your problems i solved all the

mine

but as long as my problems aren't all

solved

like your problems are fine you know

we'll we'll talk about them but it's not

about you okay

so we'll talk about the problem but it's

not about you personally

this is a big deal

and again

this is this gigantic path for somebody

like a desantis to walk right through

how many people would like to see an

american president

and and the reason i say desantis is he

makes every right move

like he reads the room better than

anybody's ever read the room and well

trump read the room pretty well too but

the other thing desantis does is he

responds to it but he also takes free

money

free money is the thing that anybody

could have said

but he says

you know trump used to do that all the

time if there's a thing you can say

and it's just sort of obvious anybody

could say it but only one person does

it's like why did everybody leave this

free money lay in there

so the free money this gigantic

is you've got this enormous health and

obesity problem in this country

how about a president

how about a desantis

says look let's not kid ourselves

you know i can do everything in the

world to help this country but if you're

overeating and not taking care of

yourself

it's not going to mean anything to you

so please let's figure out how to like

get in shape let's figure out a system

let's get some help let's put some money

on it let's put some attention on it

let's talk about it

right let's not judge each other

let's stay out of the judging business

let's just treat it as a health problem

because it is

and and just go from there gigantic

gigantic opportunity with no

disagreement

if you do it right

you would always get the the people who

are advocates for you know people who

are larger

and they you know they don't want to be

mocked for their i guess lifestyle

choice in some cases

and that's fine but it's really not

about them

nobody's saying you have to do anything

it's not you know there wouldn't be

mandatory gym

you know i'm talking about helping

people

not forcing people right the government

could certainly help people

it doesn't have to force anybody to do

anything

yes so if you have a uh

low low t and uh you've got

sexual dysfunction that can't be helping

the population it just can't be although

i suspect these days

having a kid is more choice than

not

um

sean penn got in trouble

for saying that uh men in america are

becoming quote quite feminized

um

and uh

he said

quote uh there are a lot of i think

cowardly genes that lead to people

surrendering their

their jeans meaning the jeans that

they're wearing

and putting on a skirt now he's talking

about some famous celebrities i guess

more than the public

but uh what do you think about that

do you think that's a old man that yells

at the clouds

ah these kids today

back in my day

men wore pants

or is he on to something

because remember

sean is not right wing

by any stretch of the imagination

but he's saying something that you would

more associate with somebody who was on

the right the political right

yeah can can we at least come together

on that

now i unlike many in my audience right

now

i am very supportive of anybody who

doesn't want to be like the mainstream

in any social way whatsoever so lgbtq

love you

just just be whatever makes you happy

you know if if society can't allow you

to do that then society sucks you should

let people you know live whatever life

they want to live so i'm i'm in favor of

the freedom

uh

for people to be who they are that said

let me ask a question just for the women

can i

if i could i know this is going to be

tough for you guys

because i have more men than women

watching typically

for the men just if you could hold off

for a moment

i want to ask a question just for the

women watching this so women if you

don't normally comment this would be a

good one to jump in

do you think that there is a shortage of

masculine men

now i don't want to use alpha and beta

you you know you could translate that in

your own mind

um

okay on locals i get faster responses

and i'm getting uh

90 yes it looks like

um on youtube i'm seeing

so far only yeses

well okay now this this may be a

reflection of my audience more than a

reflection of of the world

but

at least we agree

[Laughter]

now don't you think that uh literally

the low testosterone

is part of it

i mean it has to be right

that is that am i being anti-science did

i go too far

wouldn't we see exactly what we see with

no other change than lower testosterone

now what causes the lower testosterone

it's not one thing right

some of it is diet

some of it may be getting poor sleep

because of screen time

some of it may be the comparison problem

if you compare yourself to the people on

instagram

what's that do to your testosterone

it doesn't help

right if you're comparing yourself to

the best whatever's in the world instead

of just your neighbor like in the old

days i mean i could only compare myself

to people i knew personally

because you know there were some people

on tv but it wasn't that big a deal

but today you know you're being compared

to the best of the best in the whole

world how does it in theory

if you're being compared to something

that's better than you it should drop

your testosterone is that true

give me a fact check on that

i never know what things i i believe

forever are because you know

you could always find out oh i believed

that forever and that was just

never true

but i think that losing a competition

has at least a temporary drop in

testosterone that's been proven right

uh being embarrassed as opposed to being

victorious

i'm pretty sure you can measure a

difference in testosterone

now imagine you are live in a society

where boys are mostly the winners

let's say 50s 60s 70s and you could

extend that

to wherever your politics want you to

extend it

if you grew up in a world where you just

felt like you were the

you know king of the universe because

you happen to be right you happen to be

the

the right gender at the right time in

history that probably would raise your

testosterone wouldn't it

because you would just walk around

feeling like oh yeah

i'm in charge

now what would happen if instead you

were born in the more current era

and you were told that boys are the

cause of all problems

which

isn't too far off from what's happening

right now right

no i'm not going to say that men don't

cause a lot of problems

oh we do we do our share of crime and

whatnot

but we're also most of the police force

most of the emergency

stuff you know so i mean we contribute

as well

so

some say divorce

some say divorce yeah that might be a

factor i'm not sure it's one factor i

think it's everything from

and i'm gonna say allegedly on this one

so i don't get sued

allegedly our soy intake

have you seen how much the soy is in

every freaking product

like the only thing that doesn't have

soy in it is like a

stalk of broccoli

i swear to god they're going to figure

out how to make soy broccoli

just so you can't get away with it

every packaged food seems to have soy in

it as some kind of filler

or maybe the source of protein or

something i don't know

but why do soy have to be in everything

everything

all right

so i do think that this uh testosterone

thing is real

um

all right now i've got a question just

for the men

just for the men

all right women you have to ride this

one out okay

just for the men

and i'm gonna further uh segment it okay

just for the men watching

who would consider themselves a

masculine compared to the average

i know you're all going to say that's

you right

you're all going to say that you but

just the ones who consider themselves

masculine

have you seen that the demand for what

you're selling is the highest it's ever

been go

just just because you just happened to

be masculine

i believe the answers

you should uh on youtube you should see

the answers on on locals the the

comments go by

uh

the the the quickness of the comments is

based on how many there are

so the

so the faster they answer the faster

they sit by it was just like this wall

of yes

it just went

yes

all right so i'm not imagining it right

i'm not imagining it

[Laughter]

all right here's my next question

and maybe my last for today

um

do you remember black lives matter and

do you remember antifa and do you

remember

occupy wall street

and one thing they all had in common is

that they were really really big and

then they just sort of went away

were any of them natural

were they all scams

they were just funded by somebody right

i think they were all scams

based on today's look backwards just the

fact that they

made such a big impact and then went

away just as suddenly

that does suggest that it was never real

now what's going to happen when the next

one pops up

are you going to do

are you going to have a gel man

amnesia do you know what that would be

so galban amnesia i won't give you the

whole background of what that means what

it means is

when there's another totally

group

that starts protesting are you going to

say oh this one's real

are you gonna believe the next

group

after after three in a row that are

obviously in my

just my opinion

in my opinion they're obviously

and i thought they were at the

time i wasn't really following occupy

wall street but i didn't really

understand that one

i mean when it was happening i kept

looking at it thinking

well that's kind of weird that this

suddenly pops up

when nothing is much that different

but now i would say it's somewhat clear

that these were scams of some sort now

when i say there were scams i don't mean

that the people who are individually

protesting were insincere

i do think that most of the people on

the street were sincere in whatever that

means for antifa i'm not sure what it

means to be a sincere antifa person

but i'm talking about the leadership of

the funding and the organization though

that apparently that was all a scam

now here's some news from the

washington examiner i think report yeah

the washington examiner

so they were looking into who's in

charge of black lives matter at the

moment

this is just the best story

now i don't know if it's because i'm the

author of the dilbert comic

that i love this story so much

because if you could come up with a more

deliberate scenario than what i'm going

to just describe

now again this is the washington

examiner's reporting

so they were looking into who's in

charge now that the person who was in

charge

the co-founder patrice cullers

so she moved on

and she said that she appointed two of

the activists to serve as the group's

senior directors

so far so good

so we knew who was in charge

she was a co-founder and i guess when

she left she was the last of the

co-founders

and she appointed two activists and we

know their names so good

so the washington examiner went and

talked to the two people who were

appointed and they said we didn't accept

the appointment

what

they said yeah

yeah we were appointed but we didn't

accept the appointment wait what

well

who's got the 60 million dollars

allegedly that that they have

i don't know

what

what like this is one of those stories

that you you can't even read to the end

because you just keep going what

what

now

typically let me give you a warning here

typically a story like this is so on the

nose

it's probably wrong

it's probably not true

right when you see something that's just

too perfectly

stereotypically the worst thing that

could possibly happen

right what would be the most

stereotypically

racist

let's put that out there what would be

the most stereotypically racist thing

you could imagine

would be that you know a a black

organization stole a bunch of money

right that's that the racist brain would

go there immediately

and then the story comes out

that looks

looks

like that's exactly what happened

your first instinct shouldn't be well i

told you so

if your first thing if your first

instinct was i told you so

well you might be a racist

your first instinct should be

could be true

but your first instinct could be should

be that's a little too close

a little too on the nose so just be

warned about this one okay

i don't know that is fact that i'm not

or fiction and i'm not going to predict

either way

so i don't have an opinion whether it's

real or not i'm just saying that

whenever you see one that's this close

to exactly a racist

trope

is that the right word

you got to ask yourself

is it real

you just have to ask yourself

all right

um

but allegedly that's we don't know who's

in charge and money's missing and uh

and the the two remaining blm board

members so there are two board members

who are different from the two directors

who are appointed right so there's still

two board members we know who they are

and

they were asked for a comment

and they

did not return numerous

they did not return numerous requests

for comment

all right i give up

this story might be exactly what it

looks like

it might be

all right so i asked this poll on

twitter

uh i said on twitter today a little poll

i said were antifa blm and occupy wall

street's real movements that suddenly

evaporated or were they always democrat

scams

so when at last i checked 77 said they

were always democrat scams

and uh 23

said that they were actually real

organizations or that they weren't sure

23 percent

23

rounding off 23

25

25

um this will come as no surprise our

idiots

and it's a very consistent result

now i believe i have delivered on my

claim

that i would show you that every major

topic of any complexity has to branch

into different stories

once you see this you will say to

yourself wait a minute maybe the problem

isn't cognitive dissonance

maybe cognitive dissonance is a

necessity

it's the only way the simulation that

runs our reality can handle the

complexity my story and yours don't have

to match anymore

because i'm in my own subjective reality

and it'll never make any difference if

your story and mine never match

so every future story

even if it doesn't line up perfectly

with democrat and republican

should branch into multiple versions

because it has to

and that ladies and gentlemen

is the reframe of the day

i believe i have delivered on my promise

that this is the best live stream

of all time

bar none

and i will talk to you tomorrow