Episode 1658 Scott Adams - Freedom, Fuel, Fake News, Ukraine, The Squad Effect, Unwoke Immigrants

good morning and welcome to another highlight of your entire existence it's called coffee with scott adams it's famous all over wherever this live stream is and uh well you think that's mostly a terrestrial thing but we don't know if our signals are being picked up by extraterrestrials but one thing we do know if any space aliens are listening to this live stream it's also the highlight of their entire civilization and let's take it up a notch let's show those space aliens what we can do with the simultaneous sip and all you need is a copper margarita gossip tanker chill sustained canteen drug flask a vessel of any kind not a ufo not a ufo but a vessel that would hold a beverage of any kind i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure it's the dopamine the end of the day it's the thing everybody's talking about it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now go oh yeah well there used to be old saturday night live a joke chevy chase when uh i guess it was uh spain's uh franco died and he would do the the fake news and he would say and spain's uh francisco franco is still dead which was hilarious back in those days the point is that what we consider funny really changes over time however i think of that every time i see that ukraine has not been attacked by russia and what is your current thinking in the comments will russia do a major attack now we all think they're going to keep the pressure on and try to annex things or whatever but will they attack attack he mostly knows mostly knows interesting now here's what's the most interesting about this the news is telling you mostly yes aren't they our intelligence agencies our government are saying any day now any day now and yet most of you almost all of you really well over 90 are saying no you don't think it's going to happen have we reached a point where the lies of the government are now so transparent that they won't have an effect on us i'm going to talk a little bit about things that came from the pandemic that are insanely positive you know the pandemic is set itself of course major tragedy million americans dead six million globally i'm not you know taking away anything from that but with wars of any kind whether it's war against people or a war against the virus you end up with all these unintentional benefits and wow do we get a few you know not enough maybe to pay for the pandemic but the last we'll talk about that a little bit so on ukraine i have this to add you know how important it is that the frame or the the way you look at a problem will really constrain your options in other words if you look at a problem as as we often do for these international things as they only respond to power or the the other side whoever the other side is in this case let's say it's russia they only respond to strength now on one level that's true enough would you agree with me would you agree with me that on the surface level that's pretty true that other countries really do only respond to strength because if anybody sees an opportunity they take it am i wrong there's no exception to that any country that sees a national opportunity if it has a low cost they're going to take it your countries are organized to optimize what's what's good for the country so of course it's true that power is the primary variable that keeps things stable or keeps things unstable so there's no question about the basic truth of that however however when you reframe things here's a little uh secret for you the reframe doesn't need to be true it only needs to work right so what might be true is that strength is the only thing that matters that might be just completely 100 true and if you were a physicist or a scientist and somehow you can measure who has the power and and importantly who knows they have the power and who knows they don't you'd probably be able to predict what will happen almost every time but if you were to reframe the problem this way which might be less true but would it be more effective and this way is what do you want just what do you want here's a scenario i imagine now i'm not hallucinating that this would really work i'm just taking you through a thinking process if i could spend an hour with putin and i don't know let's say amazingly he learned to speak english in the last week so we could just have like a conversation in the same language no no interpreter it's just the two of us in the room and if i could say to him okay look just tell me what you need like what do you need what's in it for you really is it is it the pipelines you know and everything's going to be a little bit yes it's a it's a it's somewhat about national defense it might be about pride it might be about momentum it might be about consolidating leadership over his country it might be writing past injustices it might be about returning russia to its former glory maybe but over here we're just guessing are we don't you feel like we're just guessing because everything depends on just what's happening literally in one person's skull area that's all just one person and and what's happening in this little this little piece of brain like the the actual chemical reaction that's happening there that will determine the life the life and deaths of i don't know a million people that little bit of chemical reaction in one person's brain and it all depends on that so suppose you put me in the room with putin now keep in mind putin is a high-level player we assume he's very persuasive to say the least but so am i you know in in my own different way and if i asked him and i spent enough time with him don't you think i could find out what the real problem is he might not say it directly but alberta would come out you know maybe not in the first five minutes but if you could just hang with him for like an hour and just talk about all the things albeit he would reveal even unintentionally maybe by the one he talks about the most maybe by the one he shows the most uh let's say let's say he mentions there's a whole bunch of reasons but when he mentions one of them he becomes more animated you know when he's talking about it you can see that that's the one you look in his eyes you see that's the one that matters the other ones are all true but maybe one matters more right just to the one person and the one brain and the one skull in the world now do you think that you could not figure out a way to give him what he wants whatever that is the the main thing he wants without giving up something that you don't want to give up i don't know maybe there is no way maybe it is just power but as long as we think that the frame is just power you can't even ask the right question because maybe just maybe just pick one man what if the only thing he cared about was selling energy what if that's the only thing and otherwise he's not actually that worried about nato attacking russia because if you talk to putin would he really say i'm afraid of nato attacking would he i don't know maybe he's not i mean nato is a defensive force by nature but of course everything defensive looks a little bit offensive so is it is it about his legacy suppose you found out that what what putin wanted more than anything is a legacy could you give him a legacy without giving up too much of what you want to give up maybe i don't know maybe not of course but if we're not if we're not asking exactly what he cares about and we can't figure it out how in the world do you get a good outcome by luck or you just let the power go where the power goes and it doesn't matter who wanted what or why it's just the water is going to find its own level and we're just waiting to find out what happens maybe that but i would at least be open to the question of what the hell does you want and on top of that i had a wild idea that kind of connects to my earlier statements about maybe publicly interviewing people which is can you imagine a better interview than me interviewing putin and is it even legal would that even be legal and what would happen to me if he said yes like if i actually you know put it out there and and he said yes because you might he might i mean he is actually quite open to media and by now he knows that you know podcasters have have some little weight in the ecosystem so what if he said yes would that even be legal because i would worry that i would break some kind of treason law if i accidentally gave him a platform where he looked good that'd be a big problem wouldn't it so wouldn't i have to make him look bad to be to be an okay american you know could i continue being an american if i made putin look good accidentally i may be a pretty big risk wouldn't it but if i came at it with the intention of not making him look good first of all why would he do it and second of all why would i do it why would i do it i wouldn't have any interest in that right other people can make him look bad but i would actually legitimately want to know what the hell he's thinking and i think i can get out of him i know you don't but i actually think i can get it out of him because i think i can get it out of anyone of course it depends on this one thing which is speculation that if you knew what he really wanted it wouldn't shock you or surprise you that much that we just need to know what it is and we don't know which of his several fairly good reasons for doing what he's doing we don't know which one is the activating one but if we did i'll bet we could figure out something pretty quickly and he's also a practical person right the one we think would you say that's a fair characterization that whatever you think of putin's you know his breathtaking evil you would also say he's effective and you know you you know he's the least rational player uh lex friedman is going to interview putin is that true is that really happening now that would be interesting um was lex born in russia i don't know his background somebody mentioned that somewhere your naivety with putin is terrifying um let me speak to that my naivety with putin is terrifying now whoever is saying that i'm naive about putin the the assumption built into that comment which by the way is completely correct i'm not disputing your characterization if you're saying that i'm completely naive about putin that's actually my point that's my point but i'm saying that we all are that's the whole point so if you're saying scott you don't know anything about putin you're following correctly that that's the point we don't know what he's thinking now if you don't think i could get it out of him then maybe you don't understand the tools of persuasion but i think somebody with my same type of training and experience probably could get it out of him right you would just have the right kind of person with the right training doing it it's not something that could be done accidentally you know i don't think i don't think stephen colbert could get it out of him i don't think a typical news person could get it out of him but i think i could and i think i could do it in public and i don't think he would be worse off for it i don't not necessarily overconfidence you say that's my trademark overconfidence is exactly where you want to be let me ask you this this is actually an interesting question if you had a choice of three choices show me in the comments you could be underconfident compared to your actual abilities you could be exactly the right amount of confident or you could be overconfident which would be your optimal situation i see a lot of people saying over so uh what's interesting about your what's interesting about your criticisms of me this morning is that they're true but they're they're more like compliments or it was more like agreeing with me but what happened to the real professional trolls they did disappear didn't they because you're seeing the people who uh are actually just regular people making comments this sounds like this doesn't even sound like trolls it sounds like actual regular people just making comments did something happen with the the paid trolls because some other people noted it but i think it might be confirmation bias or it might be what topics i'm talking about on any given day but it feels like all the trolls just disappeared all the same time i i went from complete troll infestation that lasted i don't know a month or more i mean just really high troll content and then just went to zero did twitter do that it's possible twitter did it it just turned off the trolls maybe i mean they have they do have the technology that if somebody stays trolling long enough they're going to get flagged right so it could be that there was a wave of trolls that signed up and then uh twitter wiped them off and it takes a while for them to ramp up again could be that who knows anyway um another big breakthrough in fusion we keep hearing these and this time it's uh um and by the way i had to predict this and i think i'd predict this in my book loser think can anybody confirm this a few years ago i was saying that ai and i didn't make this up i'd read it somewhere the ai would be the thing that made fusion energy practical so it turns out that that's exactly what looks like what's happening so google's alphabet part of the company there is that the right way to say it or is alphabet its own spin-off now so how do you say that but anyway alphabet whatever the hell that is something about google um the scientists at deepmind which is part of that umbrella organization they figured out how to use a ai to control a fusion reaction which requires thousands of micro corrections per second so the ai can look at this big complex ball of fusion and by the way don't let me get too technical here i i know i'm going really deeply so there's this big ball of fusion that's going in lots of directions and doing lots of things and a human engineering it could never anticipate all the things that fusion reaction could do in any given second so humans can't do it you can't engineer something to do but ai can watch it and learn so they they do the reaction they turn the ai on and they say okay ai figure out how to control this thing and then the ai mostly through trial and error figures out how to control fusion that actually happened like they actually trained in ai to go figure out how to make a fusion reaction work and it worked now the ai only did the one part of it which is keeping it stable apparently but it worked do you know how big a deal that is real big like real real real big like really big it's about as big as anything's ever been in the history of humankind did i oversell that i i think i don't think that's an overstatement that if this ai solution for keeping the fusion stable if it's what it looks like and of course you know anything could be different than the way it looks in the news but if it's what it looks like this could be the key the key element to unlocking fusion we might be pretty close here's another thing that trump was so right about trump's approach was sort of a business person's approach to energy that a country that has a strong energy base or policy or production is always going to be in the best shape it's just a basic rule of thumb that if you have the best energy business producing business you have the best economy like everything works from that cheap energy blah blah blah but here are some of the things that happened once trump's you know pro-energy policies were replaced immediately by bidens stop all the carbon because of climate change stuff so certainly we lost jobs certainly it affected the gdp what biden did which of course affects the tax base which of course affects funding for schools and everything else we we hoped to decrease the carbon use because of climate change but it increased it apparently a major coal company had its best year ever or in many years the coal companies were just killing it coal companies had reduced by 50 percent in terms of how much energy they were producing for the country they had gone down by 50 percent and a lot of that was because the pro-energy policy of trump and and before that um made gas more competitive so you didn't need coal natural gas and so now that that's been reversed more coal has been burned so biden got us more coal fewer jobs lower gdp less tax base for schools we end up with less stable power of course the high price of all forms of energy causes inflation and then we also lose our international leverage if if fuel were cheap americans would be paying low prices our economy would be better but russia would have a lot less money to amass an army on the border of ukraine basically almost everything good comes out of a strong energy economy try to come up with an exception can you think of an economy that has a a strong uh energy base that isn't doing better than its peers i know now you're gonna have to adjust this for you know whether it's nigeria you know make it an african standard versus you know etc but i feel like it's a one to one isn't it pretty close that energy equals good life well russia russia is an example of energy being the only reason they have the lifestyle they have isn't it if you took energy away from russia it wouldn't even be a you know it wouldn't be anything there wouldn't be anything there at all because they couldn't fund the military they would just be this broken military broken nuclear power and we would be talking about how to how to give aid to russia so they don't collapse and lose control of their nukes basically it's a good thing that russia has energy because that's what keeps up a stable country which allows them to control their nuclear arsenal you don't want you don't want russia to fall apart that would be pretty dangerous all right so i'm not sure if people quite understood the ramifications of uh biden's leadership there so yesterday i experienced my uh most let's say uplifting experience of freedom and most crushing feeling at the same time so i went to the gym yesterday where i've been massless for a while while other people wore masks a lot of them did but now i don't think that the osha has changed the state the rules yet but for all practical purposes everybody was massless except well let me do the first part first walking into my gym and seeing the full faces of pretty much all of the patrons was exhilarating now i know i know lots of you have just always been there since the beginning of the pandemic but for those of us who have not been free to walk into a room full of happy people exercising without masks made me cry honestly i mean i actually teared up it was beautiful and and it made me feel for the first time that we got past this thing and then i noticed that the staff were wearing masks am i right do i even need to finish this the staff are still wearing masks now i believe that they have the option i was told that they didn't have to wear them but it didn't look like anybody was taking the option meaning that there was some indirect pressure that the staff for wearing masks now i offered to help i offered to talk to management and see if i could get them unmasked but you know people don't want to cause trouble so i mean i asked i asked one of the staff members i knew well can i do something about this for you you know could i talk to somebody because they would listen to the members of the gym before they would listen to the staff unfortunately and and then you start seeing the pattern and the pattern is truly troubling and the pattern is that the freedoms are coming back in the exact order of your power in society rich white people got their power back first and you know magic johnson i guess so if you were an elite i guess it didn't matter so much your race but if you were elite and rich you were already on a private plane you already could be the governor and take your mask off the rich got there first and i walk into my own my own health club and of course i'm already the elite because you know who can even afford to be a member of a gym really it's not what percentage of the public can even afford that it's not a lot so i'm already in this elite situation and then i look at the the staff still wear a mask and it's just crushing it's crushing it just feels so freakin wrong and watching the kids go to school in their masks the the weakest part of society we protected the worst and we did that at the beginning too the the most vulnerable we didn't we didn't protect them did we not as well as we should have in retrospect but did we learn anything well i don't know maybe that's why we're being extra protective of the kids because the feeling that we failed early in the pandemic maybe i don't know but um we this is a wake-up call isn't it why remember earlier where i was saying that the only thing that matters in international relationships is power that seems to be all that mattered when it came to freedom it only mattered how much power you had the kids don't have any power if the kids had power they would be first am i am i right if the kids had the power they would have been the first to unmask not the last if the prisoners had the power they would be the first not the last if the truckers had the power if the retail workers had the power if the service workers of america if the server at your restaurant had the power they would have unmasked first but they don't and if you think if you think your work is done because your mask is off well you suck basically you suck we got to get these people unmasked all right you gotta we gotta keep the pressure on because the the great claw back isn't gonna happen on its own right we're gonna have to just claw to to get back to where we were and i had a terrible feeling yesterday that my own problems were solved you know what i mean like okay i don't have to wear a mask anymore i guess my own problem is solved but wow that hurts when you see somebody else in a mask it hurts so that's where i'm at but in terms of the good things that came out of the pandemic joy behar says she might continue to wear a mask in public at all times and i say to myself well i didn't see that coming but that does seem like a little bit of a plus i wouldn't discount that we also got a lot of touchless purchases that i really enjoy retail is easier right retail is probably easier forever because we got you know better ways to pay for stuff touchless self-check counts you know grew delivery of everything you know we just got hooked on everything being delivered that's probably good in the long run all right rasmussen as bold says if elections were held today in the sort of a generic midterm election type thing that uh 50 percent of voters would prefer a generic republican and only 37 percent a generic democrat a 13 difference now keep in mind that there are more democrats than there are republicans so if 50 would already vote republican just generically speaking the democrats are just they're dead they're gone and you know what the and you know this of course is what i'm going to call the squad effect has anybody given this a name yet probably somebody already came up with that name maybe i read it somewhere but it feels like the squad effect doesn't it like the squad became the the public face of the most progressive ideas and then they they got their way at least in some stuff it has shocked people everything from critical race theory to um you know women's sports being affected by trans rights stuff and suddenly um there there does seem to be a little bit of a pushback here but here's the weirdest thing apparently there's only one thing that can stay to save moderate democrats there's only one thing do you know what it is only one thing can save the let's say traditional classic democrats i guess if you say it yet trump now maybe desantis too but the but the point is the only thing that can get rid of the progressive power within the democrat base is to get wiped out is to just have all the democrats just get wiped off the map in in 2022.

and it looks like that's what's lining up to happen now anything could happen right i'm not sure i would even make it a prediction at this point because you know there will be scandals and surprises and god knows what between now and then you know we didn't see the pandemic coming either so predicting is a hard business but it's this weird situation where the only thing that can save the standard democrats is trump or somebody who has a trump-like approach to things it could be desantis or somebody else right it's kind of weird isn't it but am i wrong am i wrong that privately democrats are saying the only way we can only way we can get back to what we want is to get rid of the progressives and the only way you can get rid of the progressives is to show that their ideas of defunding the police and you know critical race theory and some other stuff just got you slaughtered it's the only way there's no way there's no other way out and that's that's that power thing again you know just follow the power and the power seems to be lining up in one direction at this point all right um here's a uh here's a little uh predictions last observation that is just fun to me how many of you have any kind of a close relationship with either uh brand new or pretty recent um immigrants from the southern border yeah just in the comments because i live in california so for me it's just part of the normal living environment you're just you're just always having contact so some yes now so for those of you who have close contact experience i'm talking about people if you regularly have conversations with people whose you know uh immigration status you don't quite know which is very common in california right it's everyday experience so here's what i think about the recent immigrants they are the most unwoke people in the united states am i wrong anybody disagree that the recent immigrants are the most unwoke in the united states and it's not as not because they're exactly like republicans or something i'm not saying that i'm saying they literally do not care let me ask you this if i described a following person you tell me what party they're probably in they're very religious they believe in god christians very christian and they're not just religious but it's like it's really baked in it's it's an important part of their life they're big on family super big on family right and work is their guiding principle go to work stay on a jail get an education who did i just describe once you see it you can't unsee it right all right let me let me just check see if something's blowing up here um so i can't even describe my life sometimes all right um so what happens when all of the unwoke immigrants start getting uh more political power let's say the the second generation is born have the democrats accidentally gotten the short-term advantage because if the census counts the immigrants it might give more power to democrat states or something something like that or democrat regions or something so there might be some short-term gain but it looks to me like uh the democrats have opened up the spigot to let in a lot of future conservatives am i wrong those of you who have actual direct personal contact with the immigrant community can you back me up on that they're the least they care the least about any of the woke stuff i've never even seen an immigrant being be let me say something that will blow your mind in all my life in california with you know i've owned two restaurants right so you know that my you know my contact has been high i've never met any immigrant a recent immigrant legal or illegal it doesn't matter the status i've never met a recent immigrant who is ever offended by anything anything have you has anybody had a different experience they just don't care about any of that stuff they just don't care they want a job you know they want to get along want to improve their life but they do not get offended i've never i literally have never seen anybody who was a recent immigrant be offended about anything they just want to work they just want you know the they want the tools of life that's it that's all they want all right and i had missed i guess the significance of this story about the san francisco school board uh recall where three members got uh recalled because i guess they were too woke and uh even san francisco which is the locust of the woke places decided that's too woke do you know what the uh the subtext of the story is the part that might get mentioned in the sentence toward the end of the story do you know what they left out of the story who do you think was the largest energy behind getting rid of the wokeness probably the asian-american community it's reported that that way and i would also assume now and also i would imagine that would include a lot of recent citizens you know recent immigrants maybe second generation but you see where i'm going with this right pretty conservative the the asian american uh public has been the most silent segment of the country in my opinion would you agree well i guess if somebody's more silent i can't think of them to even mention them but um they seem to have decided to you know uh use their power and they used it very in let's say uh in a surgical way they just reached in and just took out three cancers from the larger body and just removed the cancer it looks like so good job to parents in san francisco but the story i missed the part that i com for some reason i just didn't notice it was that they were recalled by votes of like 79 75 and 72 percent oh my god nothing wins by that kind of margin right silent on project veritas i don't know anything about project veritas recent is there a recent project veritas thing anybody somebody's asking me why i'm silent on project veritas is there something happening fda oh is there an fda thing did it happen today or yesterday i didn't see anything in the news today it's two to three days old wow has has social media suppressed that because that's the kind of content that people send to me immediately wow all right i i don't want to alarm you but what are the what are the odds that social media and the news could have kept that story from me for two days do you see what's happening here right i i'm about as plugged in as you could possibly be to that part of the world you know the world that wants to doubt all that stuff how did i not see that because that never came up in anything i saw usually it's a normally if there's a project veritas uh dump i would get it i would get like 50 of them within an hour people would just send it to me over and over again wow that's blowing me away a little bit all right i'll tell you what i'll do i'll go look at it i'll go take a look at it and i'll let you know but if you're if you were thinking that i had uh i had some kind of intention for not talking about it that's not happening i didn't even know what that was now are the what are they what's the gist of it is the gist of it that the numbers are fake or that there's more danger or something is that the gist of it um oh the young man mandates all right well i'll go take a look at that but uh glad you brought that to my attention uh elon musk has new rocket engine in his rocket company there and he's going to get it below 10 million dollars per rocket i don't know if that means per launch is it under 10 million per launch or under 10 million 10 million per rocket either way it's a small number isn't it i mean that's that's a pretty big deal so if you look at just what's happening with fusion plus what elon musk is doing with the economics of space travel because it's a big the new rocket is way way more efficient apparently it's a big deal meanwhile over on cnn they can't uh they can't quit on trump so they're resident hitman stephen collinson uh he's got he does a walls or closing in kind of uh article about trump every every week or so for five years the walls are closing in i don't know if he uses that phrase but that's the essence of it and today's story is about um so this is how steph and colin collinson an opinion person on cnn frames his discussion of trump's legal woes up until now okay so here's how it's framed this is his actual sentence he goes quote and in all of the latest legal threats currently facing him the former president is yet to be proved guilty yet to be proved guilty how about no evidence of a crime or or how about no court has ever found him guilty of anything what's this yet to be proven guilty stuff yet to be proven guilty doesn't that pretty much indicate that it's just a given that he's going to be proven guilty well but not yet but he's coming have you killed anybody not yet are you guilty of terrible sexual offenses not yet did you cheat on your taxes not yet not yet doesn't mean no it's amazing how much propaganda can be slipped into an opinion piece and then i guess the uh cnn's just creaming itself over the fact that ivanka and don jr will testify under oath in the new york state or new york city case that has something to do with trump and taxes and valuations but we don't have any evidence that there's any actual crime like none no evidence whatsoever in the public anyway the public has no evidence whatsoever of any crime and it's big news that ivanka and don jr will testify do you know who i'm not worried about testifying is ivanka and don jr i don't think that that's exactly where all your smoking guns are going to be discovered i mean there are only two possibilities either there's something to hide and they would be good at hiding it or there's nothing to hide and that's the end of it or they don't know anything that that would be damaging so this is about as far away from trump as in danger as anything i've seen but i suppose anybody who's under oath you know has some risk involved with that um but that seems like an artificial risk that's put on them by the by the legal system as opposed to a risk caused by any behavior of the trump organization so keep that clear and then there's a story about uh trump's accountants who did his taxes quitting because they can't stand behind their their accounting job and then people are trying to read read between the lines do all of you know that the accountants are never responsible for the raw data that's given to them by the company that's always been the case all right so the accountant is always free from blame if if a client gave them bad information and then they did the taxes based on bad information but um i think this just looks like a cover your ass situation i don't think any accounting firm wanted to take the heat of defending trump in this context and i think they said something that's just always true do you know it's always true that your accountant can no longer stand behind your accounting job that's always true so it looks like it's news like there's there's some kind of a statement um and uh anyway so i'm sorry that just threw me off my game for a moment so anyway my point is there's no such thing as an accountant firm that stands behind stands behind the numbers accountant firms only stand behind the treatment of the numbers in all cases so so it was fake news because they announced something that's just business as usual that we don't stand behind our are they don't stand behind the statements because they don't know if the data that they got is true that's just always true it's always true with every client all right how would you like to see um the secret to reality would you like to have reality explained now you've heard probably that um so i don't have a hard quit time today so you've heard probably that uh one of the the big problems with either the simulation or with the idea that god started the universe or the big bang is what happened before that right so if you could come up with a theory they handled what happened before that would be a big advantage for explaining reality right and you'd also have to explain the simulation and you'd have to explain god you'd have to explain physics you'd have to explain the big bang and here's a little starting point for you here are three things that are the same heat energy and statistics it's just all the same thing because wherever there's more energy there's more heat because coldness is the opposite of energy right it's the opposite of any energy so wherever there's energy there's heat but wherever there's energy there's also luck in other words statistics follow energy if you go to a city where lots of stuff is happening your odds of getting a good job are better right your odds of being lucky in a in a high energy situation or better they're just more opportunities happening all the time if you go to the country and there's one employer and they don't like you there's not much energy there not much odds no there's no no chance for luck to happen now how much energy was there during the singularity the moment before the big bang if when the whole universe was compressed into some impossibly small space i guess how much was possible and the answer is nothing at the moment that no nothing was moving because everything was compressed there should have been no possibility no heat no energy because nothing was moving so how do you explain all of that with the model now here's another little twist i'm going to throw in here do you know that there's no such thing as time einstein would back me up on this there is a thing called space-time meaning that time has no meaning unless you're looking at it in relationship to other things and their positions in space so if space itself changes in other words if two things change in relationship to their distance or you know velocity or any other way in relation to each other time is said to have passed but it's really a change in space so it's sort of that space time thing or really all just the same thing so in the way that energy and luck are basically two ways to talk about the same thing space and time are actually just two words to talk about essentially the same thing things moving in relationship to other things let's put it all together simulation theory god big bang how do you start when there could be no beginning infinity and all the rest well you start with really scratchy handwriting and i say imagine imagine reality looking like this a mobius strip do you know what a mobius strip is basically it's uh just for let's say just for description purposes so i'm not saying there's a physical mobius strip in space somewhere but for conceptual purposes imagine that space and time are circular or just to make it more sciencey it's it's something where if you start here and you keep going you end up in the same place so i could have drawn a circle but this looks more like sciency or science fiction so imagine what happens um what happens after the big bang after the big bang all right so so far i've i've explained time and infinity and we've explained how there could be a beginning because it's illogical that anything has a beginning because there has to be something before that but if space and time are in a loop any kind of a loop then you don't ever need a beginning because it can just loop it just is what it is it just sits there as a loop and needs no beginning but you might say to yourself where'd this come from well maybe it came from a higher level simulation because if anybody creates a simulated world that thinks is real eventually that simulated world will also evolve until they can make its own simulation so in theory the simulations go all the way down every simulation will make another simulation to infinity so there shouldn't be one of these there should be something closer to an infinite amount of them over time we don't know if that's happened yet now how do you explain the fact that the big bang was supposed to create a situation where the gravity because everything has gravity would eventually slow the expansion of the universe and then it would close back in itself and create the big bang again that's what the scientists say but then when they looked at the actual expansion of the universe they found out the expansion was increasing instead of decreasing the gravity was supposed to stop the expansion and then suck it back together over a gazillion years but it's getting it's actually increasing so what happens if all the matter in the universe continues for trillions of years to expand all right think of it in terms of not energy but in terms of the odds right remember because energy is really just another way of saying the odds wherever there's the most energy there's the most possibility so at the moment of the big bang there were no possibilities as soon as one thing changed you know hypothetically if one thing changed in that solid nothing moving world could that one change have made everything unstable and blown up into the entire universe now once the universe is as let's say 14 or 15 billion years old what happens to the odds of anything happening they start getting really good so suddenly you went from the singularity where nothing could happen and the odds of anything happening were basically zero to something happened maybe you could call it god if one particle changed in the singularity and that was all it took to blow it up you would call that a god particle would you just something that happened that shouldn't have happened and nobody can explain it one particle got anna and a whack and boom universe now as soon as the universe is big you go from no possibility when it's a singularity to lots of possibilities there might be aliens on other planets we might be inviting inventing fusion lots and lots of possibilities but now let's play it in a few more trillion years in a few trillion years will there be more energy in any given part of the universe or less well if everything's flying apart do you get to the point where everything's cold and dark and dead and all the possibilities die again because if you do maybe you don't need to get all the way back to a singularity maybe just all the possibilities are exhausted and we when you get back to a situation where all the possibilities are exhausted again maybe it just starts over it's always darkest before the dawn so one model of reality is that there are a whole bunch of looped realities so there's no beginnings and no ends each of these loops is created by a higher level loop which does imply there's one original one original species but i'm not sure it has to because could it be that the original species is also looped could it be that there is nothing to anything except the odds expanding and contracting could it be that the heartbeat of reality is nothing but a multi-trillion-year heartbeat in which we start with nothing is possible it expands to everything is possible and then here's the magic part the moment everything is possible nothing can happen yeah would that do to your brain the moment everything is equally possible nothing can happen and that's the singularity again so there should be a natural heartbeat to the odds of anything happening from zero all the way to everything and then instantly back to zero and then back to everything now how it how it gets out of the nothing is possible would have to be god right so in this model god is the odds god is the possibility that you could go from nothing is possible do everything is possible so god could be the smallest change the smallest change in this stable singularity and it just blew the whole thing up for trillions of years now if you if you looked at it on the smallest scale you would say if that's all god is it's just like it's like one little god particle or it's a muon or some damn thing we haven't discovered yet and all it did was tweak it just went from no possibility to boop it just moved and the whole thing blew up if that's what happened then god would be both the smallest thing in the universe in terms of the smallest initial action and also the biggest it would be everything and everywhere all the time this thing called god under that model now this allows your traditional god and all its beliefs because you might be on a you might be on a loop where your religion is exactly correct for all you know um but other people could be on other loops so i believe this answers all of your questions and let's see if i've lost anything else um oh it's also the only theory that predicts that the universe will keep expanding traditional science has to throw in uh correct me if i'm wrong about that but doesn't traditional science have to throw in dark matter to get the expansion so basically you have to make make believe there's an invisible thing or else the math doesn't work dark energy yeah dark energy i'm sorry not dark matter i've solved the meaning of life that is correct and so would you also like to know what a soul is let me tell you and this model a soul is what happens if your life has a ripple effect that affects other people because any change to anything will change everything forever or it'll change forever like a ripple through time even the smallest changes we know that so when people die they really the the thing you call grief i like to say is them incorporating their energy or the information that mattered from their life into their survivors and they feel that as grief but basically they're just merging with somebody else's soul essentially and taking that forward so that's one definition of a soul and the the other definition of a soul would be some higher level uh entity that's managing your your avatar all right um and that is all i have for you today so all right i need some feedback was this interesting you don't have to believe it by the way i'm not trying to sell you on believing it so i i should get uh i should get a uh lots of lots of extremes this is usually the kind of material where people either hate it or love it word salad alert yeah you know that's not a rom-com what's funny about all of the criticism today is that it's all on point i don't know if you've noticed that yet but like almost every criticism anybody said about what i've said today or who i am or what i'm doing they're all on point like i have a defense for them like well it's not as bad as you think or whatever but they're not wrong not wrong somebody said that this was word salad and to some extent language language restricts you so much that you really can't get out of the word salad when you're when you're on this topic so i mean that's actually a completely reasonable criticism uh for those of you who like this sort of stuff you want to look for my book called god's debris it's not this exactly but if this content you found interesting that's the book that would spin your brain all right and that is all i have for today i will talk to you on youtube tomorrow

good morning and welcome to another

highlight

of your entire existence

it's called coffee with scott adams it's

famous

all over

wherever this live stream is

and uh well you think that's mostly a

terrestrial thing but we don't know if

our signals are being picked up by

extraterrestrials

but one thing we do know

if any space aliens are listening to

this live stream it's also the highlight

of their entire civilization

and let's take it up a notch let's show

those

space aliens what we can do with the

simultaneous sip and all you need is a

copper margarita gossip tanker chill

sustained canteen drug flask a vessel of

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not a ufo but a vessel that would hold a

beverage of any kind

i like

coffee

and join me now

for the unparalleled pleasure

it's the dopamine the end of the day

it's the thing everybody's talking about

it's called the simultaneous sip

and it happens now go

oh yeah

well there used to be old saturday night

live

a joke chevy chase

when uh i guess it was uh spain's uh

franco died

and he would do the the fake news and he

would say

and spain's uh francisco franco is still

dead

which was hilarious back in those days

the point is

that what we consider funny

really changes over time

however

i think of that every time i see that

ukraine has not been attacked by russia

and what is your current thinking

in the comments

will russia do a major attack now we all

think they're going to keep the pressure

on and try to annex things or whatever

but will they attack attack

he mostly knows

mostly knows interesting

now

here's what's the most interesting about

this

the news is telling you mostly yes

aren't they

our intelligence agencies our government

are saying any day now any day now

and yet most of you almost all of you

really well over 90

are saying no you don't think it's going

to happen have we reached a point where

the lies of the government are now so

transparent

that they won't have an effect on us

i'm going to talk a little bit about

things that came from the pandemic that

are insanely positive

you know the pandemic is set itself of

course major tragedy

million americans dead six million

globally

i'm not you know taking away anything

from that but with wars of any kind

whether it's war against people or a war

against the virus you end up with all

these unintentional benefits

and wow do we get a few

you know not enough maybe to pay for the

pandemic but

the last we'll talk about that a little

bit so on ukraine

i have this to add

you know how important it is that

the frame or the the way you look at a

problem

will really constrain

your options

in other words if you look at a problem

as

as we often do for these international

things as they only respond to power

or the the other side whoever the other

side is in this case let's say it's

russia they only respond to strength

now

on one level

that's true enough would you agree with

me

would you agree with me that on the

surface level

that's pretty true

that other countries really do only

respond to strength because if anybody

sees an opportunity

they take it

am i wrong

there's no exception to that

any country that sees a national

opportunity

if it has a low cost

they're going to take it

your countries are organized to optimize

what's

what's good for the country

so of course it's true that power is the

primary variable

that keeps things stable or keeps things

unstable so there's no question about

the basic truth of that

however

however

when you reframe things

here's a little uh secret for you

the reframe doesn't need to be

true

it only needs to work

right so what might be true

is that strength is the only thing that

matters

that might be just completely 100 true

and if you were a physicist or a

scientist and somehow you can measure

who has the power and and importantly

who knows they have the power

and who knows they don't

you'd probably be able to predict what

will happen almost every time

but

if you were to reframe the problem this

way

which might be less true

but would it be more effective

and this way is

what do you want

just what do you want

here's a

scenario i imagine now i'm not

hallucinating that this would really

work

i'm just taking you through a thinking

process

if i could spend an hour with putin

and i don't know let's say

amazingly he learned to speak english in

the last week

so we could just have like a

conversation in the same language no no

interpreter it's just the two of us in

the room

and if i could say to him okay look

just tell me what you need

like what do you need

what's in it for you really

is it

is it the pipelines you know and

everything's going to be a little bit

yes

it's a it's a it's somewhat about

national defense

it might be about pride it might be

about momentum it might be about

consolidating leadership over his

country

it might be

writing

past injustices it might be about

returning russia to its former glory

maybe

but over here we're just guessing are we

don't you feel like we're just guessing

because everything depends on just

what's happening

literally in one person's skull area

that's all

just one person

and and what's happening in this little

this little piece of brain

like the the actual chemical reaction

that's happening there that will

determine

the life the life and deaths

of i don't know a million people

that little bit of chemical reaction in

one person's brain and it all depends on

that

so

suppose you put me in the room with

putin now keep in mind

putin is a high-level player

we assume he's very persuasive

to say the least

but so am i

you know in in my own different way

and if i asked him and i spent enough

time with him don't you think i could

find out what the real problem is he

might not say it directly

but alberta would come out

you know maybe not in the first five

minutes but if you could just hang with

him for like an hour

and just talk about all the things

albeit he would reveal even

unintentionally

maybe by the one he talks about the most

maybe by the one he

shows the most uh let's say let's say he

mentions there's a whole bunch of

reasons

but when he mentions one of them he

becomes

more animated

you know when he's talking about it you

can see that that's the one you look in

his eyes you see that's the one that

matters the other ones are all true

but maybe one matters more right just to

the one person

and the one brain and the one skull

in the world

now do you think that you could not

figure out a way to give him what he

wants

whatever that is

the the main thing he wants without

giving up something that you don't want

to give up

i don't know

maybe there is no way maybe it is just

power but as long as we think that the

frame is just power you can't even ask

the right question

because maybe

just maybe

just pick one man what if the only thing

he cared about was selling energy

what if that's the only thing

and otherwise he's not actually that

worried about nato attacking russia

because if you talk to putin would he

really say

i'm afraid of nato attacking

would he

i don't know

maybe he's not i mean nato is

a defensive force by

nature but of course everything

defensive looks a little bit offensive

so

is it is it about

his legacy

suppose you found out that what what

putin wanted more than anything is a

legacy

could you give him a legacy

without giving up too much of what you

want to give up

maybe i don't know maybe not of course

but if we're not if we're not asking

exactly what he cares about and we can't

figure it out how in the world do you

get a good outcome

by luck

or you just let the power go where the

power goes and it doesn't matter who

wanted what or why

it's just the water is going to find its

own level and we're just waiting to find

out what happens maybe that

but i would at least be open to the

question of

what the hell does you want and on top

of that

i had a wild idea

that kind of connects to my

earlier statements about

maybe

publicly interviewing people

which is

can you imagine a better interview than

me interviewing putin

and is it even legal

would that even be legal

and what would happen to me if he said

yes

like if i actually you know put it out

there

and and

he said yes

because

you might

he might i mean he is actually quite

open to

media and by now he knows that

you know podcasters have have some

little weight in the ecosystem

so what if he said yes

would that even be legal

because

i would worry that i would break some

kind of treason law

if i accidentally gave him a platform

where he looked good

that'd be a big problem wouldn't it

so wouldn't i have to make him look bad

to be to be an okay american

you know could i continue being an

american if i made putin look good

accidentally i may be a pretty big risk

wouldn't it

but if i came at it with the intention

of not making him look good

first of all why would he do it

and second of all why would i do it

why would i do it

i wouldn't have any interest in that

right other people can make him look bad

but i would actually legitimately want

to know what the hell he's thinking

and i think i can get out of him

i know you don't

but i actually think i can get it out of

him because i think i can get it out of

anyone

of course it depends on this one thing

which is speculation

that if you knew what he really wanted

it wouldn't shock you or surprise you

that much

that we just need to know what it is

and we don't know which of his several

fairly good reasons for doing what he's

doing we don't know which one is the

activating one but if we did i'll bet we

could figure out something pretty

quickly

and he's also a practical person right

the one we think

would you say that's a fair

characterization

that whatever you think of putin's you

know his breathtaking evil

you would also say he's effective and

you know

you

you know he's the least rational player

uh lex friedman is going to interview

putin

is that true

is that really happening

now that would be interesting um

was lex born in russia

i don't know his background somebody

mentioned that somewhere

your naivety with putin is terrifying

um

let me speak to that

my naivety with putin is terrifying now

whoever is saying that i'm naive about

putin

the the assumption built into that

comment which by the way is completely

correct

i'm not disputing your characterization

if you're saying that i'm completely

naive about putin that's actually my

point

that's my point but i'm saying that we

all are

that's the whole point

so if you're saying scott you don't know

anything about putin you're following

correctly

that that's the point we don't know what

he's thinking

now if you don't think i could get it

out of him

then maybe you don't understand the

tools

of persuasion

but i think somebody with my

same

type of training and experience probably

could get it out of him

right you would just have the right kind

of person with the right training doing

it it's not something that could be done

accidentally you know i don't think

i don't think stephen colbert could get

it out of him

i don't think a typical news person

could get it out of him

but i think i could and i think i could

do it in public and i don't think he

would be worse off for it

i don't

not necessarily

overconfidence you say

that's my trademark

overconfidence is exactly where you want

to be

let me ask you this this is actually an

interesting question if you had a choice

of three choices show me in the comments

you could be

underconfident

compared to your actual abilities

you could be exactly the right amount of

confident

or you could be overconfident

which would be your optimal

situation

i see a lot of people saying over

so

uh what's interesting about your what's

interesting about your criticisms of me

this morning

is that they're true but they're they're

more like compliments

or it was more like agreeing with me

but what happened to the real

professional trolls they did disappear

didn't they

because you're seeing the people who

uh

are actually just regular people making

comments this sounds like this doesn't

even sound like trolls

it sounds like actual regular people

just making comments

did something happen with the the paid

trolls

because some other people noted it but i

think it might be confirmation bias or

it might be what topics i'm talking

about on any given day but it feels like

all the trolls just disappeared all the

same time

i i went from complete troll infestation

that lasted

i don't know a month or more

i mean just really high troll content

and then just went to zero

did twitter do that

it's possible twitter did it it just

turned off the trolls maybe

i mean they have they do have the

technology that if somebody stays

trolling long enough they're going to

get flagged right

so it could be that there was a wave of

trolls that signed up and then uh

twitter wiped them off and it takes a

while for them to ramp up again could be

that who knows

anyway

um

another big breakthrough in fusion

we keep hearing these and this time it's

uh um

and by the way i had to predict this and

i think i'd predict this in my book

loser think

can anybody confirm this a few years ago

i was saying that ai and i didn't make

this up i'd read it somewhere the ai

would be the thing that made

fusion

energy practical

so it turns out that that's exactly what

looks like what's happening so google's

alphabet

part of the company there

is that the right way to say it or is

alphabet its own spin-off now so

how do you say that but anyway alphabet

whatever the hell that is something

about google

um

the scientists at deepmind which is part

of that

umbrella organization

they figured out how to use a ai to

control a fusion reaction which requires

thousands of

micro

corrections per second

so the ai

can look at this big

complex ball of

fusion and by the way don't let me get

too technical here i i know i'm going

really deeply so there's this big ball

of fusion

that's going in lots of directions and

doing lots of things

and a human engineering it could never

anticipate

all the things that fusion reaction

could do

in any given second so humans can't do

it you can't engineer something to do

but ai

can watch it and learn

so they they do the reaction they turn

the ai on and they say okay ai figure

out how to control this thing

and then the ai

mostly through trial and error

figures out how to control fusion

that actually happened

like they actually trained in ai

to go figure out how to make a fusion

reaction work and it worked

now the ai only did the one part of it

which is keeping it stable apparently

but it worked

do you know how big a deal that is

real big

like real real real big like really big

it's about as big as anything's ever

been in the history of humankind

did i oversell that

i i think i don't think that's an

overstatement

that if this ai solution for keeping the

fusion stable

if it's what it looks like and of course

you know anything could be different

than the way it looks in the news

but if it's what it looks like

this could be the key

the key element

to unlocking fusion

we might be pretty close

here's another thing that trump was so

right about

trump's approach was sort of a business

person's approach to energy

that a country that has a strong energy

base or policy or production

is always going to be in the best shape

it's just a basic rule of thumb

that if you have the best energy

business producing business

you have the best economy like

everything works from that cheap energy

blah blah blah

but here are some of the things that

happened once trump's you know

pro-energy policies were replaced

immediately by bidens stop all the

carbon because of climate change stuff

so

certainly we lost jobs certainly it

affected the gdp

what biden did which of course affects

the tax base which of course affects

funding for schools and everything else

we we hoped to decrease the carbon use

because of climate change but it

increased it

apparently a major coal company had its

best year ever

or in many years

the coal companies were just killing it

coal companies had reduced by

50 percent in terms of how much energy

they were producing for the country they

had gone down by 50 percent

and a lot of that was because the

pro-energy policy of trump and and

before that

um

made gas more competitive so you didn't

need coal

natural gas

and so now that that's been reversed

more coal has been burned so biden got

us more coal fewer jobs

lower gdp less tax base for schools

we end up with less stable power

of course the high price of all forms of

energy causes inflation

and then we also lose our international

leverage

if if fuel were cheap

americans would be paying low prices

our economy would be better but russia

would have a lot less money to amass an

army on the border of ukraine

basically almost everything good

comes out of a

strong energy economy

try to come up with an exception

can you think of an economy that has a

a strong uh energy base

that isn't doing better than its peers i

know now you're gonna have to adjust

this for you know whether it's nigeria

you know make it an african standard

versus you know etc

but

i feel like it's a one to one isn't it

pretty close

that energy equals good life

well russia

russia is an example of energy being the

only reason they have the lifestyle they

have

isn't it

if you took energy away from russia it

wouldn't even be a

you know

it wouldn't be anything

there wouldn't be anything there at all

because they couldn't fund the military

they would just be this broken military

broken nuclear power and we would be

talking about how to how to give aid to

russia so they don't collapse and lose

control of their nukes

basically it's a good thing that russia

has energy because that's what keeps up

a stable country which allows them to

control their nuclear arsenal

you don't want you don't want russia to

fall apart

that would be pretty dangerous

all right

so i'm not sure if people quite

understood the ramifications of uh

biden's leadership there

so yesterday i experienced my uh most

let's say

uplifting experience of

freedom and most crushing

feeling at the same time

so i went to the gym yesterday

where i've been massless for a while

while other people wore masks a lot of

them did

but

now i don't think that the osha has

changed the state the rules yet but for

all practical purposes everybody was

massless

except

well let me do the first part first

walking into my gym and seeing the full

faces of pretty much all of the patrons

was exhilarating

now i know i know lots of you have just

always been there since the beginning of

the pandemic but for those of us who

have not been free

to walk into a room full of happy people

exercising

without masks

made me cry

honestly i mean i actually teared up it

was beautiful

and

and it made me feel for the first time

that we got past this thing

and then

i noticed that the staff were wearing

masks

am i right

do i even need to finish this

the staff

are still wearing masks now i believe

that they have the option

i was told that they didn't have to wear

them but it didn't look like anybody was

taking the option

meaning that

there was some

indirect pressure that the staff for

wearing masks now i offered to help i

offered to talk to management and see if

i could get them unmasked but you know

people don't want to cause trouble

so i mean i asked i asked one of the

staff members i knew well can i do

something about this for you you know

could i talk to somebody because they

would listen to the members

of the gym before they would listen to

the staff unfortunately

and

and then you start seeing the pattern

and the pattern is truly troubling

and the pattern is that the freedoms are

coming back in the exact order of your

power in society

rich white people got their power back

first

and you know magic johnson i guess

so

if you were an elite i guess it didn't

matter so much your race but if you were

elite

and rich

you were already on a private plane

you already could be the governor and

take your mask off

the rich got there first

and i walk into my own my own health

club and of course i'm already the elite

because you know who can even afford to

be a member of a gym really

it's not

what percentage of the public can even

afford that it's not a lot

so i'm already in this elite situation

and then i look at the the staff

still wear a mask and it's just crushing

it's crushing

it just feels so freakin wrong

and watching the kids

go to school in their masks

the the weakest part of society we

protected the worst

and we did that at the beginning too

the the most vulnerable

we didn't we didn't protect them did we

not as well as we should have in

retrospect but did we learn anything

well i don't know

maybe that's why we're being extra

protective of the kids

because the feeling that we failed

early in the pandemic maybe i don't know

but

um

we this is a wake-up call isn't it

why

remember earlier where i was saying that

the only thing that matters in

international relationships is power

that seems to be all that mattered when

it came to freedom

it only mattered how much power you had

the kids don't have any power

if the kids had power they would be

first

am i am i right

if the kids had the power they would

have been the first to unmask not the

last if the prisoners had the power they

would be the first not the last if the

truckers had the power

if the retail workers had the power if

the service workers of america if the

server at your restaurant had the power

they would have unmasked first but they

don't

and if you think if you think your work

is done

because your mask is off well you suck

basically you suck

we got to get these people unmasked

all right you gotta we gotta keep the

pressure on

because the the great claw back isn't

gonna happen on its own right

we're gonna have to

just claw

to

to get back to where we were and i had a

terrible feeling yesterday that my own

problems were solved

you know what i mean like okay i don't

have to wear a mask anymore i guess my

own problem is solved but wow

that hurts when you see somebody else in

a mask it hurts

so that's where i'm at

but in terms of the good things that

came out of the pandemic joy behar says

she might continue to wear a mask in

public at all times

and i say to myself well i didn't see

that coming

but that does seem like a little bit of

a plus

i wouldn't discount that

we also got a lot of touchless purchases

that i really enjoy

retail is easier

right

retail is probably easier forever

because we got you know better ways to

pay for stuff touchless self-check

counts you know grew delivery of

everything

you know we just got hooked on

everything being delivered that's

probably good in the long run

all right rasmussen as bold says if

elections were held today

in the sort of a generic midterm

election type thing

that uh

50 percent of voters would prefer a

generic republican and only 37 percent

a generic democrat

a 13 difference

now keep in mind that there are more

democrats than there are republicans

so if 50 would already vote republican

just generically speaking

the democrats are just

they're dead

they're gone

and you know what the

and you know this of course is what i'm

going to call the squad effect has

anybody given this a name yet

probably somebody already came up with

that name maybe i read it somewhere

but it feels like the squad effect

doesn't it

like the squad became the

the public face of the most progressive

ideas

and

then they

they got

their way at least in some stuff it has

shocked people everything from critical

race theory to

um

you know

women's sports being affected by trans

rights stuff

and

suddenly

um there there does seem to be a

little bit of a pushback here but here's

the weirdest thing

apparently there's only one thing that

can stay to save

moderate democrats

there's only one thing do you know what

it is

only one thing

can save

the let's say traditional classic

democrats

i guess if you say it yet

trump

now maybe desantis too but the but the

point is

the only thing that can get rid of the

progressive

power within the democrat base is to get

wiped out

is to just have all the democrats just

get wiped off the map in in 2022. and it

looks like that's what's lining up to

happen

now anything could happen right i'm not

sure i would even make it a prediction

at this point because you know there

will be scandals and surprises and

god knows what between now and then you

know we didn't see the pandemic coming

either

so

predicting is a hard business

but it's this weird situation where the

only thing that can save the standard

democrats

is trump

or

somebody who has a trump-like approach

to things it could be desantis or

somebody else

right it's kind of weird isn't it but am

i wrong

am i wrong that privately democrats are

saying the only way we can

only way we can get back to what we want

is to get rid of the progressives and

the only way you can get rid of the

progressives is to show that their ideas

of defunding the police and

you know critical race theory and some

other stuff just got you slaughtered

it's the only way there's no way there's

no other way out and that's that's that

power thing again

you know just follow the power

and the power seems to be lining up in

one direction at this point

all right um

here's a uh

here's a little uh predictions last

observation that is just fun to me

how many of you have any kind of a close

relationship

with either uh brand new or pretty

recent um immigrants from the southern

border

yeah just in the comments because i live

in california so for me it's just part

of the normal living environment you're

just you're just always having contact

so some yes

now so for those of you who have

close contact experience i'm talking

about people

if you regularly have conversations with

people whose

you know uh

immigration status you don't quite know

which is very common in california right

it's everyday experience

so

here's what i think about the recent

immigrants

they are the most unwoke people in the

united states

am i wrong

anybody disagree

that the recent immigrants

are the most unwoke

in the united states and it's not as not

because they're exactly like

republicans or something

i'm not saying that

i'm saying they literally do not care

let me ask you this

if i described a following person

you tell me what party they're probably

in

they're very religious they believe in

god

christians

very christian

and they're not just religious but it's

like it's really baked in it's it's an

important part of their life

they're big on family

super big on family

right

and work

is their guiding principle go to work

stay on a jail

get an education

who did i just describe

once you see it you can't unsee it right

all right let me let me just check see

if something's blowing up here

um

so

i can't even describe my life sometimes

all right um

so what happens when all of the unwoke

immigrants

start getting uh more political power

let's say the the second generation is

born have the democrats accidentally

gotten the short-term advantage

because if the census counts the

immigrants it might give more power to

democrat states or something something

like that

or democrat regions or something so

there might be some short-term gain

but it looks to me like

uh the democrats have opened up the

spigot

to let in

a lot of future conservatives

am i wrong

those of you who have actual direct

personal contact with the immigrant

community

can you back me up on that they're the

least

they care the least about any of the

woke stuff

i've never even seen an immigrant being

be

let me say something that will blow your

mind

in all my life in california

with you know i've owned two restaurants

right so you know that my

you know my contact has been high i've

never met

any immigrant a recent immigrant

legal or illegal it doesn't matter the

status

i've never met a recent immigrant

who is ever offended

by anything

anything

have you

has anybody had a different experience

they just don't care about any of that

stuff they just don't care they want a

job

you know they want to get along

want to improve their life

but they do not get offended i've never

i literally have never seen anybody who

was a recent immigrant be offended about

anything

they just want to work they just want

you know the

they want the tools of life that's it

that's all they want

all right and i had missed i guess the

significance of this story about the san

francisco school board uh recall

where three members got uh recalled

because i guess they were

too woke and uh even san francisco which

is the locust of the woke places decided

that's too woke

do you know what the uh the subtext of

the story is

the part that

might get mentioned in the sentence

toward the end of the story

do you know what they left out of the

story

who do you think was the largest energy

behind getting rid of the wokeness

probably

the asian-american community

it's reported that that way and i would

also assume

now

and also i would imagine that would

include a lot of recent

citizens you know recent immigrants

maybe second generation

but you see where i'm going with this

right

pretty conservative the the asian

american uh public has been the most

silent segment of the country in my

opinion would you agree

well i guess if somebody's more silent i

can't think of them to even mention them

but um

they seem to have decided to you know

uh use their power and they used it very

in let's say uh in a surgical way they

just reached in and just took out

three cancers

from the larger body and just removed

the cancer it looks like so good job

to parents in san francisco but the

story i missed the part that i com

for some reason i just didn't notice it

was that they were recalled by votes of

like 79

75 and 72 percent

oh my god

nothing wins by that kind of margin

right

silent on project veritas i don't know

anything about project veritas recent

is there a recent project veritas thing

anybody

somebody's asking me why i'm silent on

project veritas

is there something happening

fda oh is there an fda thing did it

happen today or yesterday i didn't see

anything in the news today

it's two to three days old

wow

has has social media suppressed that

because that's the kind of content that

people send to me immediately

wow all right

i i don't want to alarm you

but what are the what are the odds that

social media and the news could have

kept that story from me for two days

do you see what's happening here right

i i'm about as plugged in as you could

possibly be

to that part of the world you know the

world that wants to doubt all that stuff

how did i not see that because that

never came up in anything i saw

usually it's a

normally if there's a project veritas uh

dump

i would get it i would get like 50 of

them within an hour people would just

send it to me over and over again

wow

that's blowing me away a little bit all

right i'll tell you what i'll do i'll go

look at it i'll go take a look at it

and i'll let you know

but if you're if you were thinking that

i had uh i had some kind of intention

for not talking about it

that's not happening

i didn't even know what that was

now are the what are they what's the

gist of it

is the gist of it that the numbers

are fake or that there's more danger or

something

is that the gist of it

um

oh the young man mandates

all right well

i'll go take a look at that

but uh glad you brought that to my

attention

uh elon musk has new rocket engine in

his rocket company there

and he's going to get it below 10

million dollars per rocket i don't know

if that means per launch

is it under 10 million per launch or

under 10 million 10 million per rocket

either way it's a small number isn't it

i mean that's that's a pretty big deal

so if you look at just what's happening

with fusion plus what elon musk is doing

with the economics of space travel

because it's a big the new rocket is way

way more efficient apparently

it's a big deal

meanwhile over on cnn they can't uh they

can't quit on trump so they're

resident hitman

stephen collinson

uh he's got he does a walls or closing

in kind of uh article about trump every

every week or so for five years

the walls are closing in i don't know if

he uses that phrase but that's the

essence of it and today's story is about

um

so this is how steph and colin collinson

an opinion person on cnn

frames his discussion of trump's legal

woes up until now

okay

so here's how it's framed this is his

actual sentence he goes quote and in all

of the latest legal threats currently

facing him the former president is yet

to be proved guilty

yet to be proved guilty

how about no evidence of a crime

or or how about no court has ever found

him guilty of anything

what's this yet to be proven guilty

stuff

yet to be proven guilty

doesn't that pretty much indicate that

it's just a given that he's going to be

proven guilty well but not yet

but he's coming

have you killed anybody not yet

are you guilty of terrible sexual

offenses

not yet

did you cheat on your taxes

not yet

not yet doesn't mean no

it's amazing

how much propaganda can be slipped into

an opinion piece

and then i guess the uh cnn's just

creaming itself over the fact that

ivanka and don jr

will testify under oath in the new york

state

or new york city case that has something

to do with trump and taxes and

valuations but we don't have any

evidence that there's any actual crime

like none

no evidence whatsoever in the public

anyway the public has no evidence

whatsoever of any crime

and it's big news that ivanka and don jr

will testify

do you know who i'm not worried about

testifying

is ivanka and don jr

i don't think that that's exactly where

all your smoking guns

are going to be discovered

i mean

there are only two possibilities either

there's something to hide and they would

be good at hiding it or there's nothing

to hide and that's the end of it

or they don't know anything that that

would be damaging

so

this is about as far away from trump as

in danger as anything i've seen but i

suppose anybody who's under oath

you know has some risk involved with

that

um but that seems like an artificial

risk that's put on them by the by the

legal system as opposed to a risk caused

by any behavior of the trump

organization

so keep that clear

and then there's a story about uh

trump's accountants who did his taxes

quitting because they can't stand behind

their their accounting job

and then people are trying to read read

between the lines

do all of you know that the accountants

are never responsible for the raw data

that's given to them by the company

that's always been the case

all right so the accountant is always

free from

blame if if a client gave them bad

information and then they did the taxes

based on bad information

but

um

i think this just looks like a cover

your ass situation

i don't think any accounting firm wanted

to take the heat

of defending trump in this context

and i think they said something that's

just always true

do you know it's always true

that your accountant can no longer stand

behind your accounting job that's always

true

so it looks like it's news

like there's there's some kind of a

statement

um

and

uh

anyway

so i'm sorry that just threw me off my

game for a moment so anyway my point is

there's no such thing as an accountant

firm that stands behind stands behind

the numbers

accountant firms only stand behind the

treatment of the numbers

in all cases

so

so it was fake news

because they announced something that's

just business as usual that we don't

stand behind our

are

they don't stand behind the statements

because they don't know if the data that

they got is true

that's just always true

it's always true with every client

all right

how would you like to see

um

the secret to reality

would you like to have reality explained

now you've heard probably

that um so i don't have a hard quit time

today

so you've heard probably

that uh one of the the big problems with

either the simulation or with the idea

that god started the universe or the big

bang is what happened before that

right so if you could come up with a

theory

they handled what happened before

that would be a big advantage for

explaining reality right

and you'd also have to explain the

simulation and you'd have to explain god

you'd have to explain physics you'd have

to explain the big bang

and

here's a little starting point for you

here are three things that are the same

heat

energy

and

statistics

it's just all the same thing

because wherever there's more energy

there's more heat

because coldness is the opposite of

energy right it's the opposite of any

energy

so wherever there's energy there's heat

but wherever there's energy there's also

luck in other words statistics

follow energy

if you go to a city where lots of stuff

is happening

your odds of getting a good job are

better

right your odds of being lucky in a in a

high energy situation or better they're

just more opportunities happening all

the time if you go to the country and

there's one employer and they don't like

you

there's not much energy there

not much odds no there's no no chance

for luck to happen

now

how much energy was there during the

singularity the moment before the big

bang

if when the whole universe was

compressed into

some impossibly small space i guess

how much was possible

and the answer is nothing

at the moment that no nothing was moving

because everything was compressed

there should have been no possibility no

heat no energy

because nothing was moving

so

how do you explain all of that with the

model

now here's another little twist i'm

going to throw in here

do you know that there's no such thing

as time

einstein would back me up on this

there is a thing called space-time

meaning that time has no meaning

unless you're looking at it in

relationship to other things and their

positions

in space

so if space itself changes in other

words if two things change in

relationship to their distance or

you know velocity or any other way in

relation to each other

time is said to have passed but it's

really a change in space

so it's sort of that space time thing or

really all just the same thing

so in the way that energy and

luck are basically

two ways to talk about the same thing

space and time

are actually just two words to talk

about essentially the same thing

things moving in relationship to other

things

let's put it all together simulation

theory

god

big bang

how do you start when there could be no

beginning

infinity

and all the rest

well you start with really scratchy

handwriting

and i say imagine imagine reality

looking like this

a mobius strip do you know what a mobius

strip is

basically it's

uh just for

let's say just for description purposes

so i'm not saying there's a physical

mobius strip in space somewhere

but for conceptual purposes imagine that

space and time

are circular or just to make it more

sciencey

it's it's something where if you start

here and you keep going you end up in

the same place

so i could have drawn a circle but this

looks more like sciency

or science fiction

so

imagine

what happens um

what happens after the big bang

after the big bang

all right so so far i've i've explained

time

and infinity

and we've explained how there could be a

beginning

because it's illogical that anything has

a beginning because there has to be

something before that

but if space and time are in a loop

any kind of a loop

then you don't ever need a beginning

because it can just loop

it just is what it is it just sits there

as a loop and needs no beginning

but you might say to yourself

where'd this come from

well maybe it came from a higher level

simulation

because if anybody creates a simulated

world that thinks is real

eventually that simulated world will

also evolve

until they can make its own simulation

so in theory the simulations go all the

way down

every simulation will make another

simulation to infinity so there

shouldn't be one of these

there should be something closer to an

infinite amount of them over time we

don't know if that's happened yet

now how do you explain the fact

that the big bang was supposed to create

a situation where the gravity

because everything has gravity

would eventually slow the expansion of

the universe

and then it would close back in itself

and create the big bang again that's

what the scientists say

but then when they looked at the actual

expansion of the universe they found out

the expansion was increasing

instead of decreasing the gravity was

supposed to stop the expansion and then

suck it back together over a gazillion

years

but it's getting it's actually

increasing so what happens if all the

matter in the universe

continues

for trillions of years to expand

all right think of it in terms of not

energy

but in terms of the odds

right remember because energy

is really just another way of saying the

odds wherever there's the most energy

there's the most possibility

so at the moment of the big bang there

were no possibilities

as soon as one thing changed

you know hypothetically if one thing

changed in that solid nothing moving

world could that one change have made

everything unstable

and blown up

into the entire universe now once the

universe is as let's say 14 or 15

billion years old

what happens to the odds of anything

happening

they start getting really good

so suddenly you went from the

singularity where nothing could happen

and the odds of anything happening were

basically zero

to something happened maybe you could

call it god if one particle changed in

the singularity and that was all it took

to blow it up

you would call that a god particle would

you just something that happened that

shouldn't have happened and nobody can

explain it one particle got anna and a

whack and boom universe

now as soon as the universe is big you

go from no possibility when it's a

singularity to lots of possibilities

there might be aliens on other planets

we might be inviting inventing fusion

lots and lots of possibilities but now

let's play it in a few more trillion

years

in a few trillion years

will there be more energy

in any given part of the universe or

less well if everything's flying apart

do you get to the point where

everything's cold and dark and dead

and all the possibilities die again

because if you do

maybe you don't need to get all the way

back to a singularity maybe just all the

possibilities are exhausted

and we when you get back to a situation

where all the possibilities are

exhausted again

maybe it just starts over

it's always darkest before the dawn

so

one model of reality

is that there are a whole bunch of

looped realities so there's no

beginnings and no ends each of these

loops is created by a higher level loop

which does imply

there's one original

one original species

but i'm not sure it has to

because could it be that the original

species is also looped

could it be that

there is nothing to anything except

the odds expanding and contracting

could it be

that the heartbeat of reality is nothing

but

a multi-trillion-year heartbeat in which

we start with nothing is possible

it expands to everything is possible and

then here's the magic part

the moment everything is possible

nothing can happen

yeah would that do to your brain

the moment everything is equally

possible

nothing can happen

and that's the singularity again

so there should be a natural heartbeat

to the odds of anything happening from

zero

all the way to everything and then

instantly back to zero

and then back to everything now how it

how it gets out of the

nothing is possible

would have to be god

right so in this model god is the odds

god is the possibility

that you could go from nothing is

possible do everything is possible

so god could be the smallest change

the smallest change

in this stable singularity and it just

blew the whole thing up for trillions of

years now if you if you looked at it on

the smallest scale you would say if

that's all god is it's just like

it's like one little god particle or

it's a muon or some damn thing we

haven't discovered yet and all it did

was tweak

it just went from no possibility to boop

it just moved and the whole thing blew

up

if that's what happened

then god would be both the smallest

thing in the universe in terms of the

smallest

initial action

and also the biggest

it would be everything and everywhere

all the time

this thing called god

under that model

now

this allows your traditional god and all

its beliefs because you might be on a

you might be on a loop where your

religion is exactly

correct for all you know

um but other people could be on other

loops

so

i believe this answers all of your

questions and let's see if i've lost

anything else um

oh

it's also the only theory that predicts

that the universe will keep expanding

traditional science has to throw in uh

correct me if i'm wrong about that but

doesn't traditional science have to

throw in

dark matter

to get the expansion so basically you

have to make make believe there's an

invisible thing or else the math doesn't

work

dark energy yeah dark energy i'm sorry

not dark matter

i've solved the meaning of life that is

correct and so

would you also like to know

what a soul is

let me tell you

and this model

a soul

is

what happens if your life has a ripple

effect that affects other people

because any change to anything will

change everything forever or it'll

change forever like a ripple through

time

even the smallest changes we know that

so when people die they really the the

thing you call grief

i like to say is them incorporating

their energy or the information that

mattered from their life into their

survivors

and they feel that as grief but

basically they're just merging

with somebody else's soul essentially

and taking that forward so that's one

definition of a soul

and

the the other definition of a soul would

be some higher level

uh entity that's managing your your

avatar

all right um

and that

is all i have for you today

so

all right i need some feedback

was this interesting

you don't have to believe it by the way

i'm not trying to sell you on believing

it

so i i should get uh

i should get a uh

lots of

lots of extremes this is usually the

kind of material where people either

hate it or love it

word salad alert

yeah you know

that's not a rom-com

what's funny about all of the criticism

today

is that it's all on point

i don't know if you've noticed that yet

but like almost every criticism anybody

said about what i've said today or who i

am or what i'm doing they're all on

point

like i have a defense for them like well

it's not as bad as you think or whatever

but they're not wrong

not wrong somebody said that this was

word salad and to some extent

language

language restricts you so much that you

really can't get out of the word salad

when you're when you're on this topic so

i mean that's actually a completely

reasonable criticism

uh for those of you who like this sort

of stuff

you want to look for my book called

god's debris

it's not this exactly but if this

content you found interesting that's the

book that would spin your brain

all right and that is all i have for

today i will talk to you on youtube

tomorrow