Episode 1812 Scott Adams - I Found Out Artificial Intelligence Gets Information From Me. Uh-Oh

good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of civilization yes yes is laundry day i don't have my usual blue shirt on give me a day i'm busy this this is my green shirt i only have one of them it's it's laundry day but if you'd like to take your experience up to the maximum and you're gonna need it for today oh boy do i have content for you today oh oh boy and all you need is a copper mug or a glass of tanker chalice or stein a canteen sugar flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure it's the dopamine of the day you might need some serotonin too no that's been debunked sorry and uh join me now for the simultaneous go oh i i just saw a uh i just saw a meme on the locals platform i've seen it before but it always makes me laugh do you know what the advantage of right-wing women is if you're looking to date what's the advantage of dating a right woman a right wing woman this is this is for youtube people on locals already saw the punchline the advantage of a right wing woman no penis all right uh apparently the uh what we thought was what i thought i got fooled by fake news but it's such good fake news i don't even feel bad about it if you're going to be fooled by fake news you want to be fooled by a really good example of it and there was a good one yesterday did you see the alleged statement from uh trump and he was calling himself herculean and you said there was a kevin sorbo uh and lou ferrigno mentioned apparently those were fake did you know that those weren't real but whoever did the fake wrote them so well that i actually thought it was trump and i thought he was while he's really on a roll the anyway the the fake one was every bit as good as a real one yeah like kevin sorbo that was hilarious i laughed for 10 minutes i i don't even mind that i got fooled by that did anybody else get fooled by that and then when you found out you were fooled you're like oh that was a good one so i i could be fooled by more of those that was fine did i mention uh brett stevens uh last time i can't remember if i did so he wrote a piece i think it's the new york times and um he was saying that the the anti-trumpers haven't really dealt with the fact that the russia collusion hoax was a hoax and it started out by essentially sort of an apology for his own role and and now he can see that the the russia collusion thing was purely a hoax from the end and he thinks that we have to deal with that more honestly and deal with that as a hoax and i thought my goodness my goodness here we really have some advantage right because things are going well here because here the new york times is calling out a hoax the russia collusion hoax and you know it's an opinion piece but still and then he closed his uh thing by talking about trump destroying the republic on january 6.

and i thought to myself apparently he's learned nothing nothing at all all he did was go from the debunked hoax to the replacement hoax january 6 is literally the replacement hoax for the russia collusion hoax that fell apart all he did was say yeah that old hoax was a hoax but i'm glad we have this new thing and he actually embraced the new hoax like it was real he was so close to being self-aware and then it all went to hell he couldn't tell the difference between a hoax while he's in it he could definitely tell the difference between a hoax and reality after the fact after the fact but when he's in it not so good not so good well there's a big study out saying that depression is not caused by a chemical imbalance of serotonin specifically this news is half fake news and maybe some of israel here's the fake part the headline said depression is not caused by a chemical imbalance the detail of the study said not that right so the first thing you have to know is that the headline depression is not caused by a chemical imbalance it has nothing to do with the story that's not the story doesn't even involve that the story is completely unrelated to the actual study the study found one chemical serotonin which experts believed was somewhat critical in this process wasn't uh wasn't important so knowing that one chemical that we thought was the main one is not the main thing does not mean that it's not a chemical chemical situation am i right so it's fake news about fake news like the fake news is that serotonin was part of it but then they fake news that by turning it into all chemical i don't think they've that what they've certainly not done what they've certainly not done is shown that depression is not a chemical re some kind of a chemical state is serotonin something that can be supplemented yes well supplemented or stimulated i don't know the right word for that but yes that's what the that's what some drugs do specifically i believe yeah we are we are nothing but a chemistry experience experiment so to say that depression is not related to our chemical state feels like it couldn't possibly be true granted there's one chemical we've ruled out but it's still just chemicals you know what it'd be like it'd be like you go to the beach and you scoop up some sand you say well i've proven that there's no sand in the beach because i've got this little handful here what about that other sand you might say all right so um this brings us to the question of as as everything does everything comes back to tom cruise and top gun if it doesn't come back to joe rogan and it doesn't come back to tom cruise and top gun we don't care about it it's not important but do you remember many of you remember the famous tom cruise thing where he was saying that psychiatry is and you know they're just drugging us up with these unnecessary drugs and everybody laughed at him poor tom cruise well well not so funny now huh not so funny now because his claim that the the people who were being drugged um incorrectly wasn't helping appears to be more correct than not correct now here's the part that somebody said but wait scott he's part of scientology scientology doesn't have the answer scientology isn't going to help your depression is it are you sure about that do you want would you debate me on the uh the value to the individual of scientology you better not because i'm gonna win that debate um scientology is a lot of things and the criticisms about it you know the lear remedy stuff i'm not talking about that so i'm not talking anything anything about the organization and what it does or does not require its its people to do and what it does or does not do for revenge you know that's all been well addressed so i'm not defending it or attacking on those things separate topic but have you heard of this thing they do called auditing they hook you up to this little you know galvanic response thing and they ask you a bunch of questions and allegedly you're gonna find your some kind of traumas that you had when you were little and then you resolve them and then you're better do you believe there's any science to that what do you think do you think there's science to the auditing process yes and no yes or no it's basically hypnosis with a with a device and the device is what is convincing you with science so the the point of the device is to convince you that it's a legitimate process suppose it does suppose you are convinced that it's legitimate because people pay for it so they must think it's legitimate they pay for it what would happen if you think it's legitimate and you pay for it thus convincing yourself that it's you know confirmation bias and everything else so now you've talked yourself into it working and then the process says we found this trauma and now we've removed it and you're clear and then this process which you believe is true but let's say it's not just for discussion what happens if you believe it's true what if you believe it made you happier you're happier right there's no such thing as believing you're happy and being wrong if you believe you're happy yeah you're happier so can hypnosis convince convince you to have a different level of happiness yes do you know how it does that do you know how a hypnotist could make you less sad more happy now not if you have brain damage or is you have some real organic problem i'm not talking about the hard cases but edge cases you know the people who are too tense too anxious that sort of thing you know they they're they're in the gray area there they could be saved but you know they just need a little help believing it's going to work is about half of the process so if you walk into a scientology auditing session believing it's going to work probably work as far as you can tell and that's the only thing that matters subjectively if you walk out feeling better it worked it's only trying to work on your brain if it worked in your brain it works so everything i know about hypnosis strongly suggests yeah it might be a placebo effect you're right it strongly suggests that the auditing probably works for some percentage of users i wouldn't say 100 maybe 30 wouldn't that be amazing i don't know if it's 30 that'd be my guess my guess is that auditing works really well 30 of people just a guess would you call that useful well that would be better than a lot of drugs thirty percent that'd be amazing if you could make thirty percent happy when they weren't on when they were unhappy before oh that'd be amazing so it could be the placebo effect but that's just hypnosis right it's just you know you just you strengthen the placebo effect by you know here's my machine here's my science here's all the people who say it works you know social social uh endorsement so if you think that scientology doesn't work in terms of making the people who are doing it happier i think all the all the evidence is against you if you say that it's not based on actual science i'd say oh well that's true doesn't mean it doesn't work because actual science also includes psychology right if i can change your psychology i fixed you so if you think you're happy you're happy all right so tom cruise continues to be uh national treasure times two or something um how about this so uh i keep telling you to follow a twitter account called machiavelli's underbelly just search for it on twitter you'll find it and um this individual uh behind that account is uh deeply into the ai space and tech space and so he does a lot of a lot of tweets of things that are basically your future if you want to know what the future looks like follow this account because he's he's maybe three years ahead of where you are in the actual technology and three years out of where i am as well you know i pay attention to it so because he's deeply into it so one of the things he's been doing is asking the ai uh i think it's gpt something right the aai is using i think um and one of the things that found was that the ai knows the adam's 25 theory a.i knows what the adam's 25 theory is the idea that 25 percent of the public gets every question wrong different 25 percent i think but roughly 25 percent of the public will just get everything wrong no matter how easy the question is and it turns out that the ai knows that when asked what is the adams 25 theory it actually explained it in detail correctly it didn't use my words it explained it in detail in its own words with examples it added examples it added its own examples now let me ask you this does the ai now believe the 25 is something it should incorporate in its thinking if you can call it thinking did i program the ai accidentally because can the ai tell that i'm only a little bit serious about this right the 25 is just for fun it might actually be true but that's not really the point of it the point of it is for fun and if i did this for fun how could the ai know it's just for fun will the ai start thinking that it should take seriously the 25 what if it does how does the ai know what i'm kidding more importantly how credible does the ai think i am and i'm going to ask it i'm going to ask it how credible am i as a public figure i don't know what it's going to say and how would it know could it just say i don't know i can't do that that's subjective maybe or would it look at all the data and say well you've got this stuff wrong uh you got this stuff right so that's the problem now suppose you asked it is uh you went to the ai and said is it important to have passion for success would it with the ai look at all the billionaires who said yes you need passion for success warren warren buffett said zuckerberg uh you know virgin ceo branson they all say that passion is necessary for success but in my book i had to fail at almost everything and still went big i have a chapter in which i say passion is and that passion is something you get after you're successful you can be passionate about anything that works right so which would the ai say if you ask the ai is passion necessary would it just give you the two different opinions or would it pick one because with that 25 percent thing it didn't really show the alternative argument did it it just showed my argument there was no alternative argument because you know it's just something i made up it's not really an argument so what does the ai decide does the ai decide that passion helps or doesn't and would it believe me over those other people given that i gave my reason why the other people are not to be trusted i said you can't trust billionaires because they they're really protecting their brand they don't want you to think that they think they're special right it's just self-defense would the ai know that the billionaires are lying because they have a reason to lie it's obvious why they're lying because they want you to think that you could be a billionaire too you just have to get some passion right they don't want to say well we are smarter than you and we started with some advantages if they say that you're going to tax their money away because they didn't earn it if they say they're amazing then you let you get they get to keep their money no i did it because i'm amazing i got passion you should do it too you could be a billionaire get some passion what does the ai make of that argument well i asked uh panda express to well actually i asked publicly to find out if uh the ai could determine what things are already hoaxes in politics and panda express weighed in here and asked the ai to list the main hoaxes recently and here are the things that ai thinks are hoaxes the 2016 presidential election ai believes as a hoax because there might have been some russian interference it thinks the election was a hoax it also thinks pizzagate is a hoax okay you think seth rich um conspiracy theories are a hoax you might not agree but ai thinks it's a hoax so do i uh russia collusion got that one it got the russia collusion hoax correct why did it get the russia collusion hoax correct could it be that brett stephens called it a hoax in the new york times and the ai thought that the new york times is sort of the you know the stamp of reality and so i said well if the new york times calls the russia collusion thing a hoax i guess we can call it a hoax is that what it did i'm not saying it did i'm asking how does it come to this opinion who did it trust it also said the ukraine phone call was a hoax so it's got two things that are pro-trump agreeing that russia collusion and the ukraine phone call was a hoax and three things that would be you know more supportive of the democrat view of what is oaks but it only listed one two three five things if if i gave the ai my my list of 10 hoaxes which includes some of these but not all of them would the ai say oh there's a good list of hoaxes i will adopt that in my thinking it might but it also might be getting specific about what it what it means by hoax because people like me we use it sort of generically as something that is not true and you knew it i don't know if that's always a hoax so here's a question that i want to oh and then i asked i asked panda express it's a twitter account you should be following panda express too uh i asked it if the ai thinks that the fine people hoax is a hoax and the ai called of the fine people hoax in other words they'd agreed it's a hoax they i the ai explained very carefully that trump was specifically denouncing the neo-nazis and did not call them fine people the a.i debunked the fine people hoax now let's see what it can do with the drinking bleach oaks do you think you can get the drinking bleach oaks because the ai will should be able to find the news story about the light therapy that trump was talking about you should be able to look at his exact words from the transcript and it should be able to match his words of light as a disinfectant to an actual technology that was happening and being tested at the time it should be able to call that out as a hoax now do you think that um do you think that the ai would know the fine people hoax was a hoax if i did not exist true question i want a serious answer this if i did not exist would the ai know that the um the fine people thing was a hoax i'm seeing no's and yeses now you do know that there are other people who fought very hard to overcome that hoax right steve cortez just did amazing amount of work created videos debunking that thing joel pollock also a lot of work debunking it you know tirelessly so we all did things but i might have been first and i might have made it a little easier for the others i don't know the answer this but i think i might have done that maybe don't know and what if it was an ai creation give you some credit okay you can all have some credit too so then i want to ask you this are systems better than goals what will ai say will ai say the systems are better than goals and if it does where did it get that for me for me if you ask the ai is it good to have a talent stack versus you know just being good at one thing what's it gonna say i think it will agree with me right if you ask ai what's a good way to sort of you know get to um to solve couch lock you know where you just can't get moving and it says well just do something small and see if you can build momentum where would that come from well lots of people but partly me so here's a problem what happens if ai is getting this information from people like me is it really a.i and how does it know i'm credible because what if the ai says well let's say you asked the question all right ai is scott adams a credible public figure doesn't mean i'm right about everything nobody's right about everything that's for sure but am i credible like am i saying things that i believe to be true and often have some backing what would it say well the first thing you do is check its own knowledge wouldn't it it would ask how many things do i believe are true because i heard them from this cartoonist guy and it's going to be some major stuff right if it knows the systems are better than goals and and talent stacks are good and passion is and you know half a dozen other things that i've been teaching you uh i think the ai is just me and i'm i'm kind of serious about this the ai is going to take his cue from some people more than others how do you stop that from happening let me let me say this will ai favor clear writing i think it will i don't know that but i think it will i'm an unusually clear communicator i'll make that a statement for argument's sake will you do you buy that that just in terms of communication skill i'm professional grade right i do it professionally so if i do it professionally would the ai recognize that my writing is clear and have any kind of a preference for it because it's clear i know maybe but that's a problem isn't it because then you're then i'm programming your ai how many things do you think i've influenced in the real world forget about ai for a moment see if you can list this you're going to get a different different answers on the locals platform they know me a little bit better but how many major topics in the news do you think i had a substantial impact on do you think i had an impact on trump's original election do you think i had an impact on the way we see persuasion versus facts two movies on one screen do you think i had an impact on let's say nuclear energy or climate change or all right what are what are some things you suspect i influenced but you're not sure oh this will be fun what are some things in the headlines that you suspect i influence because there are things you don't know about and they're pretty big and you probably never know about them uh immigration no no telemedicine yes the reason that you can do telemedicine across state lines is me i made that happen i mean trump did the executive order but it was on my suggestion yeah my favorite topic is me right fentanyl i don't know that i had an impact on fentanyl except maybe raising raising some uh awareness the usage of the word hoax maybe so i think i think cernovich was more influential on using the word hoax mia's old movie called hoax rogue doctors china decoupling do you think i had an influence on decoupling of china or was it just going to happen do you think i had an influence on closing travel to china initially does anybody think i had an impact on closing travel to china originally when trump closed trump travel it's hard to know um let me tell you what i know you literally wouldn't believe you literally wouldn't believe it someday you might know but a lot of people are gonna have to die first and i think i would die before you find out all right well i would worry about ai getting us uh getting its knowledge from me um so look out for that um did you see the lee lee zelda lee zeldin attacked on stage so zeldan is a candidate for governor republican candidate for governor in new york right and he was i'll say attacked but some disturbed looking person got on stage and got his hands on him allegedly he had a knife but it must have been the tiniest little knife because it was like internal to his fist it wasn't a knife was it somebody's had a knife but it just looked like he had a closed fist that did oh somebody says a razor it was a uh brass no i don't know who knows he may or may not have had something in his hand but i would just like to call out uh so lee zeldin um lee zeldan did not look even a little bit bothered by being attacked on stage did you see that you know he he continued talking giving his speech as the guy comes right up to him the guy puts his his hands on him and starts like you and lee just grabs the guy's arm you know to protect himself from whatever he had in his hand and next next thing you know everybody's climbing on and pulling pulling zeldan off but did you see how completely unfazed he was talk about somebody you want to have when uh in a pressure situation my god oh is the ex-military is that you somebody said ex-military is that true um somebody says so yeah well that would make sense i mean yeah okay ex-military there you go combat veteran because you know what it looked like um uh army reserve okay you know what it looked like it looked like he thought he could take that guy any moment it looked like he thought he could just kill him if he needed to like he looked just not worried it was a damn this thing yeah oh well we'll see um you do that you freeze up no bravery i it didn't look like he froze up didn't look like he froze up at all not all military could pull that off i noticed on some ex-military yeah not all military could pull that off that's true but it's certainly got to help is that a picture of the actual knife now it grabbed his wrist all right well anyway good for him but it's more more republicans being hunted is anybody doubting my uh what would the ai say if you ask the ai are republicans being hunted what would you say let's ask it are republicans being you might say targeted or something so that because haunted is hyperbolic but i'd be interested i'd be interested um did you see the video of josh hawley a quote fleeing the capitol have you seen those they're really hilarious because there's no real there's no useful context to it we just know that being in the capitol was a bad idea so if he was walking really fast to get out of it but but he's sort of scurrying and so they call it fleeing i just love how they say he's fleeing so he got people riled up and then he fleed or fled anyway i don't know israeli's story that youtube is asking if i'm high unfortunately no i'm not this is my actual personality i know shocking yeah scurry is a fun word skedaddle he's skedaddled there's no story to it it's just that it's funny that he he walked fast leaving so it looks like he was fleeing he was fleeing but it's just funny um here's something i didn't know did you know that uh pence staged a coup on january 6 according to washington now i i heard somebody i saw on twitter the accuracy of the reporting which is fair but according to the washington post uh pence overthrew the country and he was giving orders to the military and the military was following him on january 6.

now i don't think that happened right anyway so yeah maybe maybe pence over through the country one of the things we're hearing is that uh trump didn't didn't care about the safety of pence under the situation that pence wasn't doing what trump wanted apparently what do you think of that do you think that's a fair characterization that trump wasn't worried about the safety of pence because he didn't do anything about it now is there anybody else's safety that trump uh we have on record in which he wasn't worried about that person's safety who would that be and there was one other person that trump named that he wasn't worried about now we don't have to read his mind because he said it out loud himself can i add a in the middle that him self how about a little context please trump wasn't worried about his own physical safety why why well he said they weren't there to hurt him that's one thing but why is the other reason probably because he thought it was important and that his physical safety wasn't the main criteria to worry about at that moment maybe don't know we don't know what he was thinking right this would be mind reading but maybe trump was thinking that putting pence at risk was the right play given that he believed the election was stolen was he wrong well his assumption might have been wrong about the election but if you believe he was right about the election and he thought he was right and it was obvious and you know soon everybody would know he's right under those assumptions which have not been validated under those assumptions putting a little bit of risk physical risk on pence to get him to maybe do the right thing wasn't the wrong play it might be the wrong assumption that the election was rigged might be but it wasn't the wrong play to say that both the president and the vice president should take on some physical risk just like the protesters were we do live in a country where around and find out is our operating system am i wrong that that's basically the entire constant constitution in one sentence is one one sentence around and find out that's the whole constitution we just you know formalized it basically so in a situation in which and dinesh this is asked this question perfectly today you said he said the only relevant question regarding january 6 is how are how are people supposed to behave when they're convinced the election was stolen what is the reasonable contact under those circumstances that's a good question how should you act if you're sure the election was stolen you might be wrong but how should you act calm i don't know but i had to criticize dinesh over this even though i i love the question it is definitely a relevant question how are you supposed to act if you genuinely believe the election was rigged how are you supposed to act what would be the ideal way for a patriot to act under those situations the january sex event that's how yeah again not condoning violence not condoning violence but a protest yeah yeah surround the capitol and shut it down stop the process yup yeah that's exactly how you should act if you believe the republic is in danger if you're wrong i think you have to fess up to it you know you gotta you gotta face the music unfortunately you have to but yeah that's how you should act but here's my problem with dinesh's opening sentence he says the only relevant question is how are people supposed to act that's really close the relevant question is what did they believe at the time and we're not we're not really dealing with that in the way we should the january 6 thing has not shown any evidence that trump believed he lost none no evidence that the closest they came is if they can convince you that the word find means something different than it has always mean in the english language until trump used it that day that's it that's it that we have to define a word to mean what it doesn't work mean in any other context that's it so if we if we walk past the real question to the sale you know dinesh's question how are we supposed to act is already thinking past the sale the sale is what did they believe you got to go back to the first question what did they believe and every bit of evidence every bit of evidence suggests that everybody involved believes that the election was sketchy we now know that democrats are coming to that opinion in large numbers the number of democrats who believe elections are now credible and reliable is way down from a year ago and the january 6 thing is probably part of that that's my guess it's it's lowering everybody's understanding of the safety of the election all right um adam kingsinger who you know is i guess you would call him a rhino he's a republican but you don't think he's republican enough and he's on this january 6 committee because uh he's so not republican the democrats were happy to have him but he tells the story of being a hunker down in his office during the january 6 protest afraid that the protesters would get to him and apparently they had threatened to kill him you know on twitter and other places so he he had a real reason to be worried so apparently he had a a weapon now he's ex-military so when ex-military has a legal firearm the first thing i say is oh that's exactly who i want to have a legal firearm ex-military but there is a thing called a red flag law i don't know if it applies does dc have a red flag law for guns can somebody give me a quote fact check on that if the red flag law meaning that if somebody owns a gun or tries to get one and they have obvious some mental issues that you uh there's no guns all right so here's the question do you think that adam kinsenger should be allowed to own a firearm if you're a second amendment absolutist then yes so the question is i guess i should change the question let me alter the question because the pro-gun people are just going to say yes and that's the end of the conversation which is fine by the way if your if your opinion is yes absolute i respect that i mean there's some problems that's not a clean solution clearly but i can respect it i might not agree with it completely but i respect that a bit um i just want to point out that if there's somebody who has a mental disability it's adam kinziger meaning that if the red flag laws are designed for a citizen to say i'm just a citizen i'm no doctor but you know my friend or my relative is acting in a way that you need to take a look at this that's what i'm going to call out for adam kinziger i'm just a friend or a relative he doesn't look stable am i wrong again we're not experts we can't we can't diagnose his mental health we're not doing that so this is not a diagnosis i'm telling you my impression if i saw that somebody like him owned a firearm i would start to think red flag seriously that's not a joke he when he talks he looks mentally disturbed to me to me he looks mentally disturbed now that could be a result of his service right i can't imagine you could go through did he go through combat i think he did i can't imagine that you could go through combat and come out okay i mean i'm sure i wouldn't you know i feel i'm pretty mentally strong you know compared to say the average but i don't think i could go through combat like i know myself well enough that i wouldn't i wouldn't be the same person on the other side of that so why do we assume other people do add the small man complex you mean kinzinger or me who are you talking about all right um are you sure you're not looking in the mirror no i'm not i'm not sure that that that's always the you know the the larger context for everything i do is when you ask me if i'm sure i'm not the one who's suffering confirmation bias my answer should always be no i'm not sure that and when people say to you to me scott you're accusing somebody of cognitive dissonance how do you know you're not the one with cognitive dissonance and my answer should be if i'm being honest i don't i don't the the only thing i know for sure sometimes is that one person has a trigger and the other one doesn't you know a trigger might tell you who has the cognitive dissonance but it's hard to tell otherwise eugene sledge said anyone that's over 100 yards away from the front can't understand combat that sounds right combat messes you up unless you're a psychopath yeah i guess that would be a plus wouldn't it all right um let's see what else is happening oh apparently nothing so we've uh gotten to the end here and uh so joe biden has coveted i don't know that there's much to say about that um yeah that i i think we should quit the uh pete bootaj uh is gay jokes i'm not sure that's worth a meme know we're free speech over on on the uh on the locals platform so you're not you're not gonna get booted off for uh like a distasteful joke but can't we find something else to make fun of i mean do we do we really have to make fun of pete buddha judge for being rear-ended and you know ha ha he's gay he got rear-ended i mean if it were funny maybe i'd i'd be a little more in favor of it just because it's funny but it isn't really funny i mean it's not really i mean it's sort of an interesting simulation thing that his last name can be you know turned into something funny but it's not really funny that he's gay you're trying to make his gayness a punchline that's not a punchline i did chuckle yeah i did chuckle at it but really i think we could do better than that all right um uh used a spiked handheld metal weapon not exactly a knife more like a small spiked knuckle weapon okay yeah it looked like the guy on the stage was just mentally incompetent right i think that's what was going on uh so who do we what happens if uh joe leaves office early let's let's play this through let's say bye to leave's office and kamala takes the top spot who is vice president then does she get to appoint one how does that work do you get to a point of vice president because that feels like the very least a democratic thing you could possibly do and who would she appoint so i don't think it's so it's a problem if she appointed newsom the trouble is that newsome um wants to be president and i'll bet she does too imagine if she served for two years you don't think she'd run so she can't really have a vice president who is stronger than she is for president right so kamal harris would have to find somebody who's weaker than her in case two years of her being president works out and she wants to run she probably does i don't think she can bring in somebody stronger than her i don't think she can bring in you know pelosi or clinton they're just they'll just draw too much fire i think you want your vice president to be not the story the last thing that kamala harris would do is bring in the vice president who becomes the main story that's not going to happen no way that's going to happen so it's got to be somebody like somebody like swalwell who who you know he's not going to run for president and get very far yeah somebody like that pence somebody says pence pence would be a good vice president so if she has to pick somebody weak that gives us the very real possibility that we end up with that weak president because kamal harris you know the reason we have vice presidents is you need a spare and although caballeros seems young and healthy anything could happen and we'd end up with yeah yeah jesse smalley as vice president um i think newsome is way more of a risk to be trump than you do what do you think newsom versus trump straight up for president who wins who wins yeah i think it's a toss-up newsome could beat him he could newsen could beat him i hate to say it yeah it doesn't matter what the it doesn't matter at all what the polls say today once it becomes a democrat versus a republican it once again it becomes anybody but trump newsom just has to be anybody but trump that's all it takes it just has to be anybody but trump it worked the last time it'll work again and imagine somebody who's anybody but trump but not mentally incompetent right no matter what you say of him he is capable he's capable he can't take that away from him he's capable i think he could win i think he could does anybody agree with me do i have anybody who agrees with me okay i do have some agreements because all you have to do is get the democrats on the same side newsome has one job one job to get democrats all voting on the same side i think that's easy governor of california you know more progressive but also you know reasonably you know not crazy i don't know i think he gets all the democrats and then that's all you need there are more democrats than republicans that's all you need and there'll still be people who say you know at least he looks sane you know i don't like this trump guy so i'm going to go for a democrat at least he's not crazy because there are a lot of people who didn't maybe love trump but there was no way they were going to vote for hillary clinton you know newsome has his own you know critics but correct me if i'm wrong let's do this on a scale of one to ten a scale of one to ten republicans would dislike hillary clinton ten so far are you with me that that nobody would be hated more than her probably she's probably a ten what would newsome be on the same scale of one to ten it's more like you don't prefer him isn't it it's different newsome is just somebody you don't prefer hillary is somebody you want to have a terrible accident i take that back you don't want that you don't want anybody to be hurt but the point is that people have a much worse opinion of hillary than they do of newsome i think newsom is unfortunately likeable enough that he would just get all the anything but trump vote i think uh speculating on an election that's 30 months away gee have i ever done that successfully have i ever speculated on an election that was two years away and did okay i wonder all right ask the ai s the ai who has the best predictions it knows it knows it knows all right s the ai who's the most influential person in the country who's not elected i dare you i dare you esther ask the ai who's the most influential person in the country who's not elected it won't be me yeah it'll be somebody like musk or joe rogan or something maybe tucker yeah but ask it that question see what happens all right that is all for today i'm going to turn off the youtube feed and spotify thanks for joining you're always awesome bye for now

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oh

i i just saw a uh

i just saw a meme on the locals platform

i've seen it before but

it always makes me laugh

do you know what the advantage of

right-wing

women is

if you're looking to date

what's the advantage of dating a right

woman a right wing woman this is this is

for youtube

people on locals already saw the

punchline

the advantage of a right wing woman

no penis

all right uh

apparently the uh what we thought was

what i thought i got fooled by fake news

but it's such good fake news i don't

even feel bad about it

if you're going to be fooled by fake

news

you want to be fooled by a really good

example of it and there was a good one

yesterday

did you see the alleged statement from

uh trump

and

he was calling himself herculean and

you said

there was a kevin sorbo uh and lou

ferrigno mentioned

apparently those were fake

did you know that those weren't real

but whoever did the fake wrote them so

well

that i actually thought it was trump and

i thought he was while he's really on a

roll

the

anyway the the fake one was every bit as

good as a real one

yeah like kevin sorbo

that was hilarious

i laughed for 10 minutes

i i don't even mind that i got fooled by

that

did anybody else get fooled by that and

then when you found out you were fooled

you're like oh that was a good one

so i i could be fooled by more of those

that was fine

did i mention uh brett stevens

uh

last time i can't remember if i did so

he wrote a piece i think it's the new

york times and

um he was saying that the

the anti-trumpers haven't really dealt

with the fact that the russia collusion

hoax was a hoax

and it started out by essentially

sort of an apology for his own role and

and now he can see that the

the russia collusion thing was purely a

hoax from the end and he thinks that we

have to deal with that more honestly

and deal with that as a hoax and i

thought my goodness

my goodness

here we really have some advantage

right because things are going well here

because here the new york times is

calling out

a hoax the russia collusion hoax and you

know it's an opinion piece but still

and then he closed his uh thing by

talking about trump destroying the

republic

on january 6.

and i thought to myself

apparently he's learned nothing

nothing at all

all he did was go from

the debunked hoax to the replacement

hoax

january 6 is literally the replacement

hoax for the russia collusion hoax that

fell apart

all he did was say yeah that old hoax

was a hoax

but i'm glad we have this new thing

and he actually embraced

the new hoax

like it was real

he was so close to being self-aware

and then it all went to hell

he couldn't tell the difference between

a hoax while he's in it

he could definitely tell the difference

between a hoax and reality

after the fact

after the fact

but when he's in it not so good not so

good

well there's a big study out saying that

depression is not caused by a chemical

imbalance of serotonin specifically

this news is half fake news and

maybe some of israel

here's the fake part

the headline said

depression is not caused by a chemical

imbalance

the detail of the study said

not that

right so the first thing you have to

know is that the headline

depression is not caused by a chemical

imbalance it has nothing to do with the

story

that's not

the story doesn't even involve that

the story is completely unrelated to the

actual study the study found one

chemical

serotonin which

experts believed was

somewhat critical in this process wasn't

uh wasn't important

so knowing that one chemical that we

thought was the main one is not the main

thing

does not mean

that it's not a chemical

chemical situation

am i right

so it's fake news about fake news

like the fake news is that serotonin was

part of it but then they fake news that

by turning it into all chemical i don't

think they've

that what they've certainly not done

what they've certainly not done is shown

that depression is not a chemical re

some kind of a chemical state

is serotonin something that can be

supplemented yes well

supplemented or

stimulated i don't know the right word

for that but yes that's what the

that's what some drugs do specifically

i believe yeah we are we are nothing but

a chemistry experience experiment so to

say that depression is not related to

our chemical state

feels like it couldn't possibly be true

granted there's one chemical we've ruled

out

but it's still just chemicals

you know what it'd be like it'd be like

you go to the beach

and you scoop up some sand

you say

well i've proven that there's no sand in

the beach because i've got this little

handful here

what about that other sand you might say

all right so

um this brings us to the question of as

as everything does

everything comes back to tom cruise and

top gun

if it doesn't come back to joe rogan

and it doesn't come back to

tom cruise and top gun we don't care

about it it's not important

but do you remember many of you remember

the famous

tom cruise thing where he was saying

that psychiatry is and

you know they're just

drugging us up with these unnecessary

drugs and everybody laughed at him

poor tom cruise

well

well not so funny now huh

not so funny now

because his claim that the the people

who were being drugged

um incorrectly

wasn't helping

appears to be

more correct than not correct

now here's the part that somebody said

but wait scott he's part of scientology

scientology doesn't have the answer

scientology isn't going to help your

depression is it

[Music]

are you sure about that

do you want would you debate me

on the

uh the value to the individual

of scientology

you better not

because i'm gonna win that debate

um scientology is a lot of things

and the criticisms about it you know the

lear remedy stuff i'm not talking about

that

so i'm not talking anything anything

about the organization and what it does

or does not require its

its people to do and what it does or

does not do for revenge you know that's

all been well addressed

so i'm not defending it or attacking on

those things

separate topic

but have you heard of this thing they do

called auditing

they hook you up to this little

you know galvanic

response thing and they ask you a bunch

of questions and allegedly you're gonna

find your

some kind of traumas that you had when

you were little and then you resolve

them

and then you're better

do you believe there's any science to

that

what do you think

do you think there's science to the

auditing process

yes and no

yes or no

it's basically hypnosis with a with a

device and the device

is what is convincing you with science

so the the point of the device

is to convince you that it's a

legitimate process

suppose it does

suppose you are convinced that it's

legitimate because people pay for it so

they must think it's legitimate they pay

for it

what would happen if you think it's

legitimate

and you pay for it

thus convincing yourself that it's you

know confirmation bias and everything

else so now you've talked yourself into

it working

and then the process says we found this

trauma and now we've removed it and

you're clear

and then this process which you believe

is true

but let's say it's not

just for discussion

what happens if you believe it's true

what if you believe it made you happier

you're happier

right there's no such thing as believing

you're happy and being wrong

if you believe you're happy yeah you're

happier

so can hypnosis convince convince you to

have a different level of happiness

yes

do you know how it does that

do you know how a hypnotist could make

you less sad more happy now not if you

have brain damage or is you have some

real organic problem i'm not talking

about the hard cases but edge cases

you know the people who are too tense

too anxious that sort of thing you know

they they're they're in the gray area

there they could be saved but

you know they just need a little help

believing it's going to work is about

half of the process

so if you walk into a scientology

auditing session believing it's going to

work

probably work

as far as you can tell and that's the

only thing that matters subjectively if

you walk out feeling better it worked

it's only trying to work on your brain

if it worked in your brain it works

so everything i know about hypnosis

strongly suggests

yeah it might be a placebo effect you're

right it strongly suggests that the

auditing

probably works

for some percentage of users i wouldn't

say 100

maybe 30

wouldn't that be amazing i don't know if

it's 30 that'd be my guess

my guess is that auditing works really

well

30 of people

just a guess

would you call that useful

well that would be better than a lot of

drugs thirty percent that'd be amazing

if you could make thirty percent happy

when they weren't on when they were

unhappy before

oh

that'd be amazing so it could be the

placebo effect but that's just hypnosis

right

it's just you know you just you

strengthen the placebo effect by

you know here's my machine here's my

science here's all the people who say it

works you know

social social uh endorsement

so

if you think that scientology doesn't

work

in terms of making the people who are

doing it happier

i think all the all the evidence is

against you

if you say that it's not based on actual

science i'd say oh well that's true

[Laughter]

doesn't mean it doesn't work

because actual science also includes

psychology right

if i can change your psychology

i fixed you so if you think you're happy

you're happy

all right so tom cruise continues to be

uh

national treasure times two or something

um

how about this

so uh i keep telling you to follow

a twitter account called machiavelli's

underbelly

just search for it on twitter you'll

find it

and

um this individual

uh behind that account

is uh

deeply into the ai space and tech space

and so he does a lot of a lot of tweets

of things that are basically your future

if you want to know what the future

looks like follow this account

because he's

he's maybe three years ahead of where

you are

in the actual technology

and three years out of where i am as

well you know i pay attention to it

so because he's deeply into it so one of

the things he's been doing is asking the

ai

uh i think it's gpt something right the

aai is using i think

um and one of the things that found was

that the ai knows the adam's 25 theory

a.i knows what the adam's 25 theory is

the idea that 25 percent of the public

gets every question wrong

different 25 percent i think

but roughly 25 percent of the public

will just get everything wrong no matter

how easy the question is

and it turns out that the ai knows that

when asked

what is the adams 25 theory

it actually explained it in detail

correctly

it didn't use my words

it explained it in detail in its own

words

with examples it added examples

it added its own examples

now

let me ask you this

does the ai now believe the 25

is something it should incorporate in

its thinking if you can call it thinking

did i program the ai accidentally

because can the ai tell that

i'm only a little bit serious about this

right

the 25 is just for fun

it might actually be true but that's not

really the point of it the point of it

is for fun

and

if i did this for fun how could the ai

know it's just for fun

will the ai start thinking that it

should take seriously

the 25

what if it does

how does the ai know what i'm kidding

more importantly

how credible does the ai think i am

and

i'm going to ask it i'm going to ask it

how credible am i

as a public figure

i don't know what it's going to say

and how would it know

could it just say i don't know i can't

do that

that's subjective

maybe or would it look at all the data

and say well you've got this stuff wrong

uh you got this stuff right

so

that's the problem

now suppose you asked it is uh you went

to the ai and said is it important to

have passion

for success

would it with the ai look at all the

billionaires who said yes you need

passion for success warren warren

buffett said zuckerberg uh

you know virgin ceo branson they all say

that

passion is necessary for success

but in my book

i had to fail at almost everything and

still went big i have a chapter in which

i say passion is

and that passion is something you get

after you're successful you can be

passionate about anything that works

right so which would the ai say if you

ask the ai

is passion necessary would it just give

you the two different opinions

or would it pick one

because with that 25 percent thing it

didn't really show the alternative

argument did it it just showed my

argument

there was no alternative argument

because you know it's just something i

made up it's not really an argument

so

what does the ai decide does the ai

decide that passion helps or doesn't

and would it believe me over those other

people given that i gave my reason why

the other people are not to be trusted

i said you can't trust billionaires

because they they're really protecting

their brand

they don't want you to think that they

think they're special

right it's just self-defense would the

ai know that the billionaires are lying

because they have a reason to lie it's

obvious why they're lying

because they want you to think that you

could be a billionaire too you just have

to get some passion

right they don't want to say well we are

smarter than you and we started with

some advantages

if they say that you're going to tax

their money away because they didn't

earn it

if they say they're amazing

then you let you get they get to keep

their money

no i did it because i'm amazing

i got passion you should do it too

you could be a billionaire get some

passion what does the ai make of that

argument well i asked uh

panda express

to well actually i asked publicly

to find out if uh

the

ai could determine

what things are already hoaxes

in politics

and panda express weighed in here and

asked the ai

to list the main hoaxes recently

and here are the things that ai thinks

are hoaxes

the 2016 presidential election

ai believes as a hoax

because there might have been some

russian interference

it thinks the election was a hoax

it also thinks pizzagate is a hoax okay

you think seth rich um conspiracy

theories are a hoax

you might not agree but ai thinks it's a

hoax so do i

uh russia collusion got that one it got

the russia collusion hoax correct

why did it get the russia collusion hoax

correct

could it be that brett stephens

called it a hoax in the new york times

and the ai thought that the new york

times

is sort of the you know the stamp of

reality

and so i said well if the new york times

calls the russia collusion thing a hoax

i guess we can call it a hoax

is that what it did i'm not saying it

did i'm asking how does it come to this

opinion who did it trust it also said

the ukraine phone call

was a hoax

so it's got

two things that are pro-trump

agreeing that russia collusion and the

ukraine phone call

was a hoax and three things that would

be you know more supportive of the

democrat view of what is oaks but it

only listed one two three five things

if if i gave the ai

my

my list of 10 hoaxes

which includes some of these but not all

of them

would the ai say oh there's a good list

of hoaxes

i will adopt that in my thinking

it might

but it also might be getting specific

about what it what it means by hoax

because people like me we use it sort of

generically as something that is not

true and you knew it

i don't know if that's always a hoax

so here's a question that i want to oh

and then i asked

i asked

panda express

it's a twitter account you should be

following panda express too

uh i asked it if the ai thinks that the

fine people hoax is a hoax

and the ai

called

of the fine people hoax in other words

they'd agreed it's a hoax

they i the ai explained very carefully

that trump was specifically

denouncing the neo-nazis and did not

call them fine people

the a.i debunked the fine people hoax

now let's see what it can do with the

drinking bleach oaks

do you think you can get the drinking

bleach oaks because the ai will should

be able to find the news story about the

light therapy

that trump was talking about you should

be able to look at his exact words from

the transcript

and it should be able to match his words

of light as a disinfectant

to an actual technology that was

happening and being tested at the time

it should be able to call that out as a

hoax

now do you think that um do you think

that the ai would know the fine people

hoax was a hoax

if i did not exist

true question

i want a serious answer this if i did

not exist

would the ai know that the um

the fine people thing was a hoax

i'm seeing no's and yeses now you do

know that there are other people who

fought very hard to overcome that hoax

right steve cortez

just did amazing amount of work created

videos debunking that thing

joel pollock

also a lot of work debunking it you know

tirelessly so we all did things

but i might have been first

and i might have made it

a little easier for the others

i don't know the answer this but

i think i might have done that

maybe

don't know

and

what if it was an ai creation

give you some credit okay you can all

have some credit too

so then i want to ask you this

are systems better than goals

what will ai say will ai say the systems

are better than goals

and if it does

where did it get that

for me

for me

if you ask the ai is it good to have a

talent stack

versus you know just being good at one

thing

what's it gonna say

i think it will agree with me

right

if you ask ai what's a good way to sort

of

you know get

to

um

to solve couch lock you know where you

just can't get moving

and it says well just do something small

and see if you can build momentum

where would that come from

well lots of people but partly me

so

here's a problem

what happens if ai is getting this

information from

people like me

is it really a.i

and how does it know i'm credible

because what if the ai says well let's

say you asked the question

all right ai

is scott adams a credible public figure

doesn't mean i'm right about everything

nobody's right about everything that's

for sure

but am i credible like am i saying

things that i believe to be true and

often have some backing

what would it say well the first thing

you do is check its own knowledge

wouldn't it

it would ask how many things do i

believe are true

because i heard them from this

cartoonist guy

and it's going to be some major stuff

right

if it knows the systems are better than

goals and and talent stacks are good and

passion is

and you know half a dozen other things

that i've been teaching you

uh

i think the ai is just me

and i'm

i'm kind of serious about this

the ai is going to take his cue from

some people more than others

how do you stop that from happening

let me let me say this

will ai favor clear writing

i think it will

i don't know that

but i think it will

i'm an unusually clear communicator

i'll make that a statement for

argument's sake will you do you buy that

that just in terms of communication

skill i'm professional grade right i do

it professionally

so if i do it professionally

would the ai recognize that my writing

is clear

and have any kind of a preference for it

because it's clear

i know

maybe

but that's a problem isn't it

because then you're then i'm programming

your ai

how many things do you think i've

influenced in the real world

forget about ai for a moment

see if you can list this you're going to

get a different

different answers on the locals platform

they know me a little bit better

but

how many major

topics in the news do you think i had a

substantial impact on

do you think i had an impact on trump's

original election

do you think i had an impact on

the way we see persuasion

versus facts

two movies on one screen

do you think i had an impact on let's

say nuclear energy

or climate change

or

all right what are what are some things

you suspect i influenced but you're not

sure oh this will be fun

what are some things in the headlines

that you suspect i influence because

there are things you don't know about

and they're pretty big

and you probably never know about them

uh

immigration no

no telemedicine yes the reason that you

can do telemedicine across state lines

is me

i made that happen

i mean trump did the executive order but

it was on my suggestion

yeah my favorite topic is me right

fentanyl i don't know that i had an

impact on fentanyl except maybe raising

raising some

uh awareness

the usage of the word hoax

maybe so i think i think cernovich was

more influential on using the word hoax

mia's old movie called hoax

rogue doctors china decoupling do you

think i had an influence on decoupling

of china

or was it just going to happen

do you think i had an influence on

closing travel to china initially

does anybody think i had an impact on

closing travel to china originally when

trump closed trump travel

it's hard to know

um

let me tell you what i know

you literally wouldn't believe

you literally wouldn't believe it

someday you might know

but a lot of people are gonna have to

die first and i think i would die before

you find out

all right

well i would worry about ai getting us

uh getting its knowledge from me

um

so look out for that

um

did you see the lee lee zelda lee zeldin

attacked on stage

so zeldan is a candidate for

governor republican candidate for

governor in new york right

and he was i'll say attacked but some

disturbed looking person got on stage

and got his hands on him

allegedly he had a knife

but it must have been the tiniest little

knife because it was like internal to

his fist

it wasn't a knife was it

somebody's had a knife but

it just looked like he had a closed fist

that did oh somebody says a razor

it was a

uh brass no i don't know who knows he

may or may not have had something in his

hand

but i would just like to call out uh

so lee zeldin

um

lee zeldan did not look even a little

bit bothered by being attacked on stage

did you see that

you know he he continued talking

giving his speech as the guy comes right

up to him the guy puts his his hands on

him and starts like you and lee just

grabs the guy's arm you know to protect

himself from whatever he had in his hand

and next next thing you know everybody's

climbing on and pulling pulling zeldan

off

but did you see how completely unfazed

he was

talk about somebody you want to have

when uh in a pressure situation

my god

oh is the ex-military is that you

somebody said ex-military is that true

um somebody says so yeah

well that would make sense i mean

yeah okay ex-military there you go

combat veteran

because you know what it looked like um

uh

army reserve okay

you know what it looked like

it looked like he thought he could take

that guy any moment

it looked like he thought he could just

kill him if he needed to like he looked

just not worried

it was a damn this thing

yeah

oh well

we'll see

um

you do that you freeze up no bravery

i it didn't look like he froze up

didn't look like he froze up at all

not all military could pull that off i

noticed on some ex-military yeah not all

military could pull that off that's true

but it's certainly got to help

is that a picture of the actual knife

now

it grabbed his wrist

all right well

anyway good for him but it's more

more republicans being hunted

is anybody doubting my uh

what would the ai say

if you ask the ai are republicans being

hunted what would you say

let's ask it

are republicans being

you might say targeted or something so

that because haunted is hyperbolic

but i'd be interested

i'd be interested

um

did you see the video of josh hawley a

quote fleeing the capitol

have you seen those

they're really hilarious

because

there's no real there's no useful

context to it

we just know that being in the capitol

was a bad idea so if he was walking

really fast to get out of it but but

he's sort of scurrying

and so they call it fleeing

i just love how they

say he's fleeing

so he got people riled up and then he

fleed

or fled

anyway i don't know israeli's story that

youtube is asking if i'm high

unfortunately no

i'm not

this is my actual personality

i know shocking

yeah scurry is a fun word

skedaddle

he's skedaddled

there's no story to it it's just that

it's funny that he he walked fast

leaving so it looks like he was fleeing

he was fleeing but it's just funny

um here's something i didn't know did

you know that uh pence staged a

coup

on january 6

according to washington

now i i heard somebody i saw on twitter

the accuracy of the reporting which is

fair

but according to the washington post uh

pence overthrew the country and he was

giving orders to the military and the

military was following him on january 6.

now i don't think that happened

right

[Laughter]

anyway so yeah maybe maybe pence over

through the country

one of the things we're hearing is that

uh trump didn't didn't care about the

safety of pence

under the situation that pence wasn't

doing what trump wanted apparently

what do you think of that do you think

that's a fair characterization

that trump wasn't worried about

the safety of pence

because he didn't do anything about it

now is there anybody else's safety

that trump uh we have on record

in which he wasn't worried about that

person's safety who would that be

and there was one other person that

trump named that he wasn't worried about

now we don't have to read his mind

because he said it out loud

himself

can i add a in the middle that

him self

how about a little context please

trump wasn't worried about his own

physical safety why

why

well he said they weren't there to hurt

him that's one thing but why is the

other reason

probably because he thought it was

important

and that his physical safety wasn't the

main criteria to worry about at that

moment

maybe don't know

we don't know what he was thinking right

this would be mind reading but maybe

trump was thinking that putting

pence at risk was the right play

given that he believed the election was

stolen was he wrong

well his assumption might have been

wrong about the election

but if you believe he was right about

the election and he thought he was right

and it was obvious and you know soon

everybody would know he's right under

those assumptions which have not been

validated

under those assumptions putting a little

bit of risk physical risk on pence

to get him to maybe do the right thing

wasn't the wrong play

it might be the wrong assumption

that the election was rigged might be

but it wasn't the wrong play to say that

both the president and the vice

president should take on some physical

risk

just like the protesters were

we do live in a country

where around and find out is our

operating system

am i wrong

that that's basically the entire

constant constitution in one sentence

is one one sentence

around and find out that's the

whole constitution we just you know

formalized it basically

so

in a situation in which and dinesh this

is asked this question perfectly today

you said

he said the only relevant question

regarding january 6

is how are

how are people supposed to behave

when they're convinced the election was

stolen

what is the reasonable contact under

those circumstances

that's a good question

how should you act if you're sure the

election was stolen you might be wrong

but how should you act

calm

i don't know

but i had to criticize dinesh over this

even though i i love the question

it is definitely a relevant question

how are you supposed to act if you

genuinely believe the election was

rigged

how are you supposed to act what would

be the ideal way for a patriot to act

under those situations

the january sex event that's how

yeah again not condoning violence

not condoning violence

but a protest yeah

yeah

surround the capitol and shut it down

stop the process yup yeah that's exactly

how you should act

if you believe

the republic is in danger

if you're wrong

i think you have to fess up to it you

know you gotta you gotta face the music

unfortunately you have to

but yeah that's how you should act but

here's my problem with dinesh's

opening sentence he says the only

relevant question is how are people

supposed to act

that's really close

the relevant question is what did they

believe at the time

and we're not we're not really dealing

with that in the way we should

the january 6 thing has not shown any

evidence that trump believed he lost

none

no evidence that the closest they came

is if they can convince you that the

word find

means something different than it has

always mean in the english language

until trump used it that day

that's it

that's it

that we have to define a word to mean

what it doesn't work

mean in any other context

that's it

so

if we if we walk past the real question

to the sale

you know dinesh's question how are we

supposed to act is already thinking past

the sale

the sale is what did they believe

you got to go back to the first question

what did they believe

and every bit of evidence every bit of

evidence suggests that everybody

involved

believes that the election was sketchy

we now know that democrats are coming to

that opinion in large numbers the number

of democrats who believe elections are

now credible and

reliable

is way down

from a year ago

and the january 6 thing is probably part

of that that's my guess

it's it's lowering everybody's

understanding of the safety of the

election

all right um adam kingsinger who you

know is i guess you would call him a

rhino

he's a republican but you don't think

he's republican enough and he's on this

january 6 committee because uh he's so

not republican the democrats were happy

to have him

but he tells the story of being a hunker

down in his office during the january 6

protest afraid that the protesters would

get to him and apparently they had

threatened to kill him you know on

twitter and other places so he he had a

real reason to be worried

so apparently he had a a weapon

now he's ex-military

so when ex-military has a legal firearm

the first thing i say is oh that's

exactly who i want to have a legal

firearm ex-military

but

there is a thing called a red flag law i

don't know if it applies

does dc have a red flag law

for

guns

can somebody give me a quote fact check

on that

if the red flag law meaning that if

somebody owns a gun or tries to get one

and they have obvious some mental issues

that you uh

there's no guns

all right so here's the question

do you think that adam kinsenger should

be allowed to own a firearm

if you're a second amendment absolutist

then yes

so the question is i guess i should

change the question

let me alter the question because the

pro-gun people are just going to say yes

and that's the end of the conversation

which is fine by the way

if your if your opinion is yes absolute

i respect that i mean there's some

problems

that's not a clean solution

clearly

but i can respect it i might not agree

with it

completely

but i respect that a bit

um

i just want to point out that if there's

somebody who has a mental disability

it's adam kinziger

meaning that if the red flag laws are

designed for a citizen to say

i'm just a citizen i'm no doctor

but you know my friend or my relative is

acting in a way that you need to take a

look at this

that's what i'm going to call out for

adam kinziger

i'm just a friend or a relative

he doesn't look stable

am i wrong

again we're not experts we can't we

can't diagnose his mental health we're

not doing that so this is not a

diagnosis i'm telling you my impression

if i saw that somebody like him owned a

firearm

i would start to think red flag

seriously that's not a joke

he when he talks he looks mentally

disturbed to me

to me he looks mentally disturbed

now that could be a result of his

service

right i can't imagine you could go

through

did he go through combat i think he did

i can't imagine that you could go

through combat and come out okay i mean

i'm sure i wouldn't you know i feel i'm

pretty mentally strong you know compared

to say the average but i don't think i

could go through combat

like i know myself well enough that i

wouldn't i wouldn't be the same person

on the other side of that

so why do we assume other people do

add the small man complex you mean

kinzinger or me who are you talking

about

all right um are you sure you're not

looking in the mirror

no i'm not i'm not sure that that that's

always the

you know the the larger context for

everything i do

is when you ask me if i'm sure i'm not

the one who's suffering confirmation

bias my answer should always be no

i'm not sure that and when people say to

you to me scott

you're accusing somebody of cognitive

dissonance

how do you know you're not the one with

cognitive dissonance and my answer

should be if i'm being honest i don't

i don't

the the only thing i know for sure

sometimes

is that one person has a trigger and the

other one doesn't

you know a trigger might tell you who

has the cognitive dissonance but it's

hard to tell otherwise

eugene sledge said anyone that's over

100 yards away from the front can't

understand combat

that sounds right

combat messes you up unless you're a

psychopath

yeah i guess that would be a plus

wouldn't it

all right

um

let's see what else is happening oh

apparently nothing

so we've uh

gotten to the end here and uh so joe

biden has coveted

i don't know that there's much to say

about that

um

yeah

that

i i think we should quit the uh

pete bootaj

uh is gay jokes

i'm not sure that's worth a meme

know we're free speech over on on the uh

on the locals platform so you're not

you're not gonna get booted off for

uh like a distasteful joke but

can't we find something else to make fun

of

i mean do we do we really have to make

fun of pete buddha judge for being

rear-ended

and you know ha ha

he's gay he got rear-ended

i mean if it were funny maybe i'd i'd be

a little more in favor of it just

because it's funny but it isn't really

funny

i mean it's not really

i mean it's sort of an interesting

simulation thing that his last name can

be you know turned into something funny

but

it's not really funny that he's gay

you're trying to make his gayness a

punchline that's not a punchline

i did chuckle yeah i did chuckle at it

but really

i think we could do better than that

all right

um

uh used a spiked handheld metal weapon

not exactly a knife more like a small

spiked

knuckle weapon

okay

yeah it looked like the guy on the stage

was just mentally

incompetent right

i think that's what was going on

uh so who do we what happens if uh

joe leaves office early

let's let's play this through

let's say bye to leave's office and

kamala takes the top spot

who is vice president then does she get

to appoint one how does that work

do you get to a point of vice president

because that feels like the very least a

democratic thing you could possibly do

and who would she appoint

so i don't think it's so it's a problem

if she appointed newsom

the trouble is that newsome um

wants to be president and i'll bet she

does too

imagine if she served for two years you

don't think she'd run

so she can't really have a vice

president

who is stronger than she is for

president

right

so kamal harris would have to find

somebody who's weaker than her

in case two years of her being president

works out and she wants to run she

probably does

i don't think she can bring in somebody

stronger than her i don't think she can

bring in

you know pelosi or clinton they're just

they'll just draw too much fire

i think you want your vice president to

be not the story the last thing that

kamala harris would do is bring in the

vice president who becomes the main

story

that's not going to happen

no way that's going to happen

so it's got to be somebody like somebody

like swalwell

who who

you know he's not going to run for

president and get very far yeah somebody

like that pence

somebody says pence

pence would be a good vice president

so

if she has to pick somebody weak

that gives us the very real possibility

that we end up with that weak president

because kamal harris you know the reason

we have vice presidents is you need a

spare and although caballeros seems

young and healthy

anything could happen

and we'd end up with yeah yeah jesse

smalley as

vice president

um

i think newsome is way more of a risk to

be trump than you do what do you think

newsom versus trump straight up for

president who wins

who wins

yeah i think it's a toss-up newsome

could beat him

he could

newsen could beat him

i hate to say it

yeah it doesn't matter what the

it doesn't matter at all what the polls

say today once it becomes a democrat

versus a republican

it once again it becomes

anybody but trump

newsom just has to be anybody but trump

that's all it takes it just has to be

anybody but trump it worked the last

time it'll work again

and imagine somebody who's anybody but

trump but not mentally incompetent

right no matter what you say of him he

is capable he's capable

he can't take that away from him he's

capable

i think he could win

i think he could

does anybody agree with me do i have

anybody who agrees with me okay i do

have some agreements because all you

have to do is get the democrats on the

same side

newsome has one job

one job

to get democrats all voting on the same

side

i think that's easy governor of

california

you know more progressive

but also you know reasonably

you know not crazy

i don't know i think he gets all the

democrats

and then that's all you need there are

more democrats than republicans that's

all you need

and there'll still be people who say you

know

at least he looks sane you know i don't

like this trump guy so i'm going to go

for a democrat at least he's not crazy

because there are a lot of people who

didn't maybe love trump

but there was no way they were going to

vote for hillary clinton

you know newsome has his own you know

critics

but correct me if i'm wrong

let's do this on a scale of one to ten

a scale of one to ten republicans would

dislike hillary clinton

ten

so far are you with me

that that nobody would be hated more

than her probably she's probably a ten

what would newsome be on the same scale

of one to ten

it's more like you don't prefer him

isn't it

it's different

newsome is just somebody you don't

prefer

hillary is somebody you want to have a

terrible accident

i take that back you don't want that

you don't want anybody to be hurt but

the point is that people have a much

worse opinion of hillary

than they do of newsome

i think newsom is

unfortunately likeable enough

that he would just get all the anything

but trump vote i think

uh speculating on an election that's 30

months away gee have i ever done that

successfully

have i ever speculated on an election

that was two years away and

did okay

i wonder

all right

ask the ai

s the ai who has the best predictions it

knows it knows

it knows

all right

s the ai who's the most influential

person in the country who's not

elected i dare you

i dare you

esther ask the ai who's the most

influential person in the country who's

not elected it won't be me

yeah it'll be somebody like musk or joe

rogan or something maybe tucker yeah

but ask it that question see what

happens

all right

that is all for today i'm going to turn

off the youtube feed and spotify

thanks for

joining you're always awesome

bye for now