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Episodes Episode #2228

Episode 2228 Scott Adams - Bad Behavior By Everyone - I Call It "The News." Bring Coffee

Episode #2228 Sep 11, 2023 1:23:55 34,022 views

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Opening General Commentary

Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization, possibly Mars. The civilization, not just to the future. Oh, YouTube doesn't have sound probably. YouTube would be better if I put my microphone on. Probably this would be better if I had my microphone on too. I bet everythi…

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SimultaneousSip General Commentary

they're not organic. I think somebody's sending them here. So we're gonna ignore them. But if you'd like to take your experience up to levels which I've never seen before, all you need is a copper mug or glass, a tankard, Chelsea style, again teen. Jokers, fill with your favorite liquid. I like cof…

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MainContent Cognitive Reframing

erything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. Go. Ah, so good. So good. Well, I hear the people who are ordering my hard copper hardcover version of "Reframing Your Brain." The notice says it's taken to October 19th, which means you probably don't want to wait beyond November to order it if y…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

is was Djokovic. And Djokovic is famous for what besides tennis? Famous for rejecting vaccinations to the point where, was it last year, he was not even allowed to play in the U.S. Open because he was unvaccinated. Well he came back, he won the damn tournament. And he was not only the winner but the…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

are not part of this study are not so sure that we're getting dumber. Some of them are saying oh yes generally speaking the bigger the brain the smarter you are. But there could be an exception where if you have more folds it could be tighter and more compact like a microchip so it might actually be…

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MainContent AI & Technology

hatGPT is biased toward the left but not in every way. Not in every way. It still will give you facts sometimes. So if you let ChatGPT do an automatic fact checking it would destroy the Democratic Party. Because their entire operation involves gaslighting their own team. It just doesn't work on the…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

because it looks like propaganda. But we're not allowed to talk to people in other countries under what conditions? Are we not allowed to talk to other people? Because I'm not aware of any law that would prevent me from talking to anybody under any conditions. Who can tell me who I can talk to in an…

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NewsReaction Health & Biohacking

the people who are trying to game it. But it's just so unethical it's almost hard to keep it in your head. Anyway there's this new book on Musk. It's a biography by Walter Isaacson. And Musk himself must be happy about it because I saw him sending a post in which he was recommending an interview wi…

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MainContent General Commentary

rybody else. And they would just force people to do it. So he was one of the biggest forces for realistic diversity in entertainment at least and also the world. So he basically went to the mat against discrimination. But there was another story that I hadn't heard until I watched this. So apparent…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

planted. It didn't look organic to me. And it looked like there would be some point to it. And the only other point I could think would be to scare China or Russia into thinking we have some technology that they don't know about. Maybe. I mean that's another plausible explanation. But it feels like…

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QandA Affirmations

ardboard and plastic bottles they are not going to be the winner. Right? Again I remind you I'm no military analyst but if I were a military analyst I would not place a large bet on the people who were making weapons out o

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MainContent Affirmations

f wood. That's just me. They did the same thing during World War One and Two. They did. Yeah I'm not saying it's a bad strategy. I'm just saying it doesn't sound like the winner's strategy. It sounds like in addition that the other side has better weapons. Because I don't think Russia is doing that…

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Closing General Commentary

ld be unrelated to the effectiveness. You wouldn't need any faith. There's just a mechanical process. You could add faith but it would neither add to or detract from the outcome. Somebody says God works best. I'm going to agree with you because we're all different. So I very much think that for some…

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Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization, possibly Mars. The civilization, not just to the future. Oh, YouTube doesn't have sound probably. YouTube would be better if I put my microphone on. Probably this would be better if I had my microphone on too. I bet everything would be better with sound. That's what I think.

If you'd like to take your uh... oh, apparently I have to turn off the comments for every episode. I thought I'd have them off, but the YouTube comments I will be ignoring because there's too many anti-Semites. If you'd like to make comments you could always be on the subscription locals platform or you could be on the X platform that's streaming live right now at the same time. But too many anti-Semites on YouTube, and I think they're not organic. I think somebody's sending them here. So we're gonna ignore them.

But if you'd like to take your experience up to levels which I've never seen before, all you need is a copper mug or glass, a tankard, Chelsea style, again teen. Jokers, fill with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine, the other day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. Go.

Ah, so good. So good.

Well, I hear the people who are ordering my hard copper hardcover version of "Reframing Your Brain." The notice says it's taken to October 19th, which means you probably don't want to wait beyond November to order it if you're going to get it for gifts. Now a lot of people are buying five to ten copies of the book because it turns out it's sort of the perfect gift for literally everyone. Anybody who can read. Because it will change lives. It's guaranteed.

And some people told me that the best thing about giving this book as a gift is this. The first time they can explain who I am. Because a lot of people are getting heat for listening to me. If you've been getting heat for listening to me, this book will explain me in a way that other people will understand for the first time. So that's one benefit from it. If you're having a hard time explaining why you would listen to somebody like me, that'll do it for you. It's already changing lives in a very big way. So don't wait too long or you won't have yours by Christmas.

All right. Because as you know, reality likes to follow the path of most entertainment.

The winner of the U.S. Open tennis was Djokovic. And Djokovic is famous for what besides tennis? Famous for rejecting vaccinations to the point where, was it last year, he was not even allowed to play in the U.S. Open because he was unvaccinated. Well he came back, he won the damn tournament. And he was not only the winner but the sponsor of the tournament. Let's see, one of them was Moderna. Moderna. And so he was featured in the Moderna shot of the day. That's right. They showed a highlight of Djokovic, the most famous denier of vaccinations, and it was labeled the shot of the day. Moderna. Yeah. Yep. Yep.

That's almost as bad as TikTok advertising on Fox News. As soon as you hear the advertiser you go, oh man, what's going on here?

So that's happened. There's a company called Voyager Labs who theoretically, hypothetically can predict a crime before it happens. Now New York City is using the software but not in that way. So that's not the only thing it does. So they say New York City is not using it to predict crime, but it could do it. There's a thought that it could do it. But here's my question.

As much as I'm not sure I want the government to be able to predict crime, because you know that that's going to go terribly wrong, right? If the government can predict crime this is not a good, not a good predictive sort of thing. But here's a question I ask you. What if citizens could use it to protect themselves? Would that be wrong?

Suppose you could run it against everybody that AI knows is living in your neighborhood. And even if you could check the police that are your local police that are on your streets. Suppose you got stopped by a police for speeding or something. Suppose you could tell immediately if your police officer was going to be dangerous to people like you. Yeah, wouldn't that be useful? If as soon as you saw the police officer come up and you saw the name, if somehow you had some way to know, oh this one's a bad one. You know this one's been accused of five different abuses already so you better keep it under wraps. Or suppose it would tell you to move. Suppose you ran this offer and said you're a single woman living in this neighborhood. Your odds of being abused are 80 percent. You better get the hell out of here.

I don't know. I feel like something that was predictive of crime would be useful to citizens. Because you could even know if your own friends are likely to steal from you. Wouldn't that be handy to know if the people you're working with or the people you want to deal with are likely to rob you? That's an interesting question. I don't know if the software could actually identify that kind of risk. But if it could, if it could, would you use it? It's kind of creepy. It would definitely discriminate but it would also keep you safe.

Well, Joe Biden. Can anybody confirm that this really happened? I saw it on a tweet but I did not see a source. Is it true that Joe Biden said, I guess yesterday maybe, that China has become too weak to invade Taiwan because their economy is so bad? He actually said that. What do you think of that? Do you think that's true?

You know what's interesting is it might be a little bit true. It's certainly not true enough, right? It's not 100 percent true and it's probably not 50 percent true. But it's an interesting point that their economy is a little bit sketchy. But I would be surprised if they couldn't mount a war with their existing assets. So I think that's an overstatement but it's a variable. It might be a variable that's making Xi have second thoughts.

Imagine if you are President Xi. And sure you're a dictator so you got a lot of control but you still need to keep other people happy, right? Because the other elites could gang up on you if you were just totally out of control. So even the head of China needs to make other people happy. Imagine if you're the head of China, President Xi, and you see that you've got all these other economic woes. And the really big ones like demographic problems, things you can't really easily fix. So let's say you see manufacturing is leaving. You're maybe losing some of your access to some high-tech stuff. Yeah, you're a little bit pressured by everybody. You got to spend a lot on social services. You've got 50 percent unemployment among the youth. Suppose you've got all those problems. And at the moment they're sort of a little bit under wraps, meaning that the average Chinese citizen is probably not thinking about them every moment of the day. So you're kind of stable. But there's a lot of stuff, a lot of big stuff that could be a problem and fairly soon.

Under those conditions would you want to take the chance of your economy imploding coincidentally at the same time that you started a war? Because the problem is if it looked like you made a mistake starting a war at the same time it looked like you made a mistake managing the economy, that might be too many mistakes. So if you're a Chinese leader, could you stand the internal national pressure of having a failed economy and a war that's not maybe going too smoothly? Because who knows what would happen.

I feel like Biden is on to something. I feel like if China's economy were 100 percent solid, President Xi could take a chance of screwing up a war and still stay in power. But if the economy is bad and there's a war, the Chinese public are going to say why are we spending money on a war when we've got these other problems. You know, just like the American public. So it could be that the best thing to reduce the chance of war in the world is bad economies. Because wars make economies worse, especially if you lose.

All right. So maybe Biden's onto something a little bit there.

So Biden was in Vietnam embarrassing the country. But he picked the right country to do it. You know if you're going to send Biden onto the international stage, wouldn't you want to send him to a country that values the elderly? Yeah, I don't think we should send Biden anywhere where they don't have a real strong cultural preference for showing respect to the elderly. Because can you imagine the face of the Vietnamese leaders who were greeting him? Yeah, you're totally all right. Uh-huh. The things coming out of your mouth totally makes sense. Oh we respect you, you elder. Yeah, I got a feeling that they could fake it better than other countries.

Can you imagine the Russians? Imagine Biden taking this performance to Russia. You know as if he would travel to Russia. But imagine the Russians watching Biden flustered and mumbling around and wandering off. They would literally be drinking and laughing. But you take him to Vietnam and everybody's like we respect the elderly. Let's just let him be.

So I don't know. The fact that there's sort of a cats on the roof quality to the old Biden experience. You know what I mean? Biden is failing right in front of us. But because every day is sort of similar to the day before but you know half a percent worse every day, you say ah today, well it's not that much worse than it was yesterday. And then the next day it's just not that much worse than yesterday. But if you start adding it up, you know at least half of one percent worse every day, things are looking pretty bad in six months if you know what I mean. Compounding. Compounding interest.

So that's how we got here to this absurd ridiculous situation.

I guess Kamala Harris was sent to the 9/11 event today and Biden said he was going back to bed after he talked to the people in Vietnam. Now to be fair the time change must be brutal. You know beyond a certain age traveling and time changes and tough schedules, it's got to be brutal. I have to admit. But maybe you shouldn't say it out loud. I'm going back to bed.

All right. California is kind of quietly looking to reverse a California law that would punish doctors for spreading COVID misinformation. Now in all of the, can we call it, of the pandemic somehow I'd forgotten that California had a law that doctors who are doing their best to help their customers, but if they happen to say something that was not the approved orthodoxy of what you can say, they could be punished for being wrong according to other people. Not for being wrong. We're not talking about punishing the doctors for being wrong. No that's not even the topic. It's not about being wrong. It's that they can't even say it if it's against the standard interpretation.

So the fact that it's not about being right or wrong should be the scariest thing in the world. It's really just about not being with the government's allowed interpretation. So there's slowly, it looks like they're sticking it in some other legislation, kind of slowly walk it back. But at least as we walk back, however, you can't be too happy about it because it existed in the first place in modern times. In our lifetime that existed. That was a real thing. That was a real law. And still is by the way. They just haven't reversed it yet.

I mean the level of wrongness that we've experienced in less than five years or so, I think it's unprecedented.

Now I saw a scientific study that is being questioned so we don't know if it's true. That the human brain has shrunk in the past, I don't know, however many thousands of years. And that we used to have bigger brains, you know right before the ice age or something. So our brains used to be bigger than ours now. Smaller. Do you know what that would explain? What would that explain if our brains in fact got smaller? Now the answer is everything. It would explain everything. Yeah. You know how we couldn't understand how the ancients could build pyramids but we wouldn't know how to do it today using their technology. What if they were just smarter? That's the whole story. It's like well if you're as smart as we used to be you could have built a pyramid too. Maybe that's the whole answer. Maybe the answer to what's wrong with everything is that we're dumber. And maybe there's nothing else to it.

I don't think so. And the other scientists who are not part of this study are not so sure that we're getting dumber. Some of them are saying oh yes generally speaking the bigger the brain the smarter you are. But there could be an exception where if you have more folds it could be tighter and more compact like a microchip so it might actually be better. But there's one theory that says that brains shrunk because we didn't need to think individually. The ones you can depend on other people to remember things and do some of your thinking for you. Sort of group thinking. That you didn't need as much individual intelligence to stay alive and that therefore it atrophied because you didn't need this so much. Not buying that.

So what should you believe about this new study about brain shrinking? Nothing. Including the fact that they shrunk. Because even that's questioned. Other people say you can't really measure the size of a brain back then because you know it's not preserved and blah blah blah. You can't really tell. So ignore all that.

So here's the CNN narrative on Trump courtesy of Stephen Collinson. And by the way I try to predict who the opinion piece will be based on the title. So I look at the title of the opinion piece before you see the name associated. You try to guess which person it is. And this one I as soon as I saw I was like that looks like Stephen Collinson to me. Sure enough.

Here are some things it says. The Republican front runner, meaning Trump, his stark speech. They're saying stark instead of dark. I think we embarrassed them off dark and so it's now turned stark. So it's very stark. The front runner's stark speech raised the prospect of a second presidency that would be even more extreme and challenging to the rule of law than his first.

Now do you believe that? You could objectively make the case that the Trump administration was just purely objectively had more or less a disregard for law than the Biden administration? Does anybody think that's the case? I can only think of one instance where this is even a question. And the one instance is January 6. And January 6 is a misinformation op by the left. It's not even real. It's not even real in the sense that obviously it wasn't an insurrection. But half of the country thinks you can overturn a country with some paperwork and some trespassing.

So the thing with the Democrats is that they're so brainwashed to believe that they're the good guys that you can just put this out there like it's true and you don't have to support it. Well you know there's this one administration that was ignoring the law and the Democrats go oh yeah oh yeah thank goodness we've got an administration that just follows the law.

Now is it amazing to me? It's just like mind-boggling that there's even a possibility that somebody thinks that they could measure one administration's flouting of the law compared to the other. How in the world would you even compare? So that's brainwashing propaganda point number one. Is to make you accept uncritically that one of them is the honest one. And we just started from there. Well start from the assumption that one is the honest side. Now look at all these crimes. Whoa yeah. How about we check that assumption of which one flouts the law.

And Collinson goes on to say that talk about Trump, his view that the Oval Office confers unfettered powers. Wait. So Stephen Collinson on CNN wrote this sentence about Trump. His view that the Oval Office confers unfettered powers. What evidence is there of that exactly? What evidence is there of his internal unspoken thoughts? It's just put here like it's a fact. Yes, mind reading. It's mind reading.

Once I introduce the idea that a lot of what you see in politics is people pretending they could read minds when obviously they can't, once you see it you see it everywhere, right? The mind reading phrase. It's like pervasive. And then once you realize that it's completely illegitimate speech, meaning that it's just somebody trying to brainwash you, it's not somebody who has a real opinion.

So let me finish this. This is mind blowing. His view, as if he could know this, his view that the Oval Office confers unfettered powers suggests Trump would indulge in similar conduct as that for which he is awaiting trial.

All right. So let's see if I can put this all together. Because he's talking about January 6. So the fake accusations about January 6 form a base. Completely fake accusations that we see that if we read his mind, and we read his mind we see that he's likely to do more of the thing that never happened. Because we read his mind. Did I state that right? They read his mind, Trump's mind, and in it they can see that he's likely to do more of the things he's falsely accused of. That's called the news on the left. That's the news. It's an opinion piece but it's on a news site.

Well there's a lot of concern by the people who care about AI that there will be an October surprise. You know that's the big news story that you don't expect but of course you always expect that before an election. The October before the election. So that not this year but one year from this October they will have an AI inspired deep fake that will be convincing enough that will change the election.

Now here's my question. I feel as if this could go either way. We might have reached the point where people will stop looking at photos and videos. Suppose you had a site that wouldn't show you any of it. They wouldn't show you a video and they would never show you a picture. They would only describe it. That would be as close as you could get to real news. Because videos and pictures lie. They're the biggest liars.

So I feel like if I knew a human wrote the story and there were no pictures or videos to distract me and lie to me that might be closer to real. But also if there's no picture or video it's easier to lie. So there's no real good solution here. But what do you think? Do you think that there will be a deep fake October surprise?

I say no. And the reasons I say no, there'll be lots of attempts. So there'll be plenty of deep fake attempts. But I think we'll be so on to the fakes that we will be primed to see everything is fake even when it's not. I think it's more likely we'll think a real thing is fake.

Oh okay. Here's my prediction. Here's my prediction. It's more likely we'll think a real thing was faked than we'll think a fake thing was real. Anybody want to take the other side of that bet? It'd be hard to prove but look for a situation where there's a real thing that one side or the other believes is fake. I think that's slightly more likely than actually believing a deep fake.

Now we might believe a deep fake for a day but we wouldn't believe a deep fake for two days if we're following, if we're watching the news. Because it would get debunked pretty quickly. And then I think that AI will be able to detect AI. So we should have pretty quickly an AI that's a watchdog of other AI.

Hey do you know why there's no such thing as an AI fact check? Isn't that the obvious thing? If ChatGPT can do search shouldn't it also be able to watch your posts on social media and automatically add a fact check? It already, we have that ability right now, right? How hard would it be? It would be somewhat easy.

Do you know why you don't see it? Why is there no ChatGPT fact check? Because the Democrats can't control it. They do know that ChatGPT is biased toward the left but not in every way. Not in every way. It still will give you facts sometimes. So if you let ChatGPT do an automatic fact checking it would destroy the Democratic Party. Because their entire operation involves gaslighting their own team. It just doesn't work on the other side because the other side is you know they're sort of primed to reject everything that comes from this side just automatically. So it doesn't work except for their own team.

But what would happen if they thought ChatGPT was real enough and that it kept disagreeing with their own team? There's no way the Democrats can allow ChatGPT to become, or AI in general to be part of the public conversation, unless they've biased it so badly that it can't possibly be useful. Just think about that.

So that's my prediction. My prediction is Democrats will never allow AI to be part of fact checking unless they've corrupted it so badly that it can't really do the fact checking. Anybody want to take the other side of that prediction? You don't want to take the other side of that one. There will never be an AI fact checker approved by Democrats. It can't happen. Just think about that fact.

So this is going to be the biggest dog not barking. Once it becomes incredibly clear to every citizen that ChatGPT could identify the, you're going to ask why it's not doing it. If it can identify fakes and facts that are just spin and of course it could do that, why aren't we massively using it? That doesn't mean it will get everything right. It could just flag things you should look into more deeply. But wouldn't that be useful? Yeah. Look how useful the community notes are on the X platform. The best thing ever. The community notes where they add the context. Because the community notes do not seem to be targeting one side. Would you agree? If you've watched any, the community notes have taken down people on the left and the right. It's just the fact is the fact. So yeah I think that's the most, I think the community notes are the most successful fact-checking process so far.

All right. Jake Tapper looks like he's trying to get Elon Musk assassinated or jailed. Because he's pushing a narrative via his questioning. He's pushing the narrative. I was talking to Tony Blinken and he says, I'll paraphrase, but Jake Tapper said that Musk effectively sabotaged a military attack against a U.S. ally.

Now his version of it is that Musk deactivated the Starlink satellites, his own satellites that Ukraine was using. And they were planned to use it for a maritime attack which would have been essentially a Pearl Harbor attack on the Russian fleet. Before the Russian fleet, you know I don't think they're all in one place now. So there was at one point during the early part of the war when the fleet was in one place or a lot of it. And an attack of that size would have made Musk uncomfortable because he says he talked to some high-ranking Russians who threatened nuclear response if things got too bad. And that looked like it was possibly a nuclear trigger. And that Musk himself apparently decided that he would not turn on those satellites.

And there's some difference in the reporting. The way Tapper describes it it sounds like he turned them off but indeed they were never on in the first place. So they were actually asking him to participate in something that could have started World War III and he said no. He just said no. He never promised coverage over Crimea because he thought Crimea was a red line.

Now Blinken quite wisely, I thought he handled it well. Instead of saying anything good or bad about Musk or what he did or did not do, Blinken just said, and this is the right answer, this you know I've never been a big Blinken fan but he gave the exact right answer. He said we think Starlink is important, has been important and will be important to the future in our war. And then you know and then Tapper tried to humiliate him for avoiding the question. To which I say thank you for avoiding that question. I wanted you to avoid that question. I wanted you to say Starlink is important and we're going to keep using it where we can. That's all I want to hear. I don't want to hear you say anything about an American citizen who's trying to help every way he can. I don't want to hear any criticisms about him in that context. I mean criticism is fun but not in that context.

So Blinken played that exactly right. Because you don't want to piss off Musk if he controls the biggest asset in the sky. But to watch Jake Tapper frame this in a way that would get Musk killed or jailed is probably one of the least ethical things I've ever seen in my life. Would you agree? If anybody saw the clip did it look like the least moral and ethically responsible thing you've ever seen?

And the idea here is that Musk was doing his own foreign policy which would be illegal. Now at what point is talking to somebody else foreign policy? Where is it the fact that he didn't turn on the satellites as a foreign policy? If I don't give you assets for your military stuff is that interfering? Am I doing my own foreign policy if I decide not to go kill people you want me to kill? That's my own foreign policy? Yeah. Refusing to help in a war that doesn't look legitimate to some people, that would be foreign policy?

Well let me say this. We would have a big conversation about what foreign policy means. Because do you think I've never talked to anybody in another country? That's what the X platform does. It allows people in other countries to DM me. Are there not plenty of public figures, and I would be one of them, who have had conversations with people in other countries in which they tell me things that inform my opinion? You know in many cases I don't believe them because it looks like propaganda. But we're not allowed to talk to people in other countries under what conditions? Are we not allowed to talk to other people? Because I'm not aware of any law that would prevent me from talking to anybody under any conditions. Who can tell me who I can talk to in another country? Is there a law about that?

You know if it's my job to go over there and influence them that's something. But I can't have a conversation where I learn things and they learn things that are not secrets. Yeah you know there's, it's one thing to be, I guess Kerry was kind of negotiating with Iran somebody said. So I mean that's the real kind that might be a problem. But if all Musk did is talk to a bunch of high-ranking Russians and they told him something that is a little bit obvious, you know that they would consider nukes under some situations, and then he acted on that, how is that wrong? Like what kind of law did that violate? Not wanting to be involved in starting World War III is doing your own foreign policy? That's quite a stretch.

So to me it looks like powers on the left are ganging up to take down Trump or to take down Musk. I think that they need him gone in order for their propaganda gaslighting machine to work. Because if you can't get the X platform to go along it's a little more obvious what you're up to.

Well let's talk about Nikki Haley whose prospects seem to be rising. A lot of people are liking her. But she is pro Ukraine and funding it. Whereas Trump and Vivek, to name two, would be a little more aggressive in trying to wind down that war and get us out of there. But she said a win for Russia in that war is a win for China. Do you see that? A win for Russia is a win for China. That feels like a weak reason doesn't it? There's something about that reason that makes me think she doesn't have a reason. Yeah it's like why do you have to stretch? You're giving billions of dollars for a war and you've got to come up with some third-party effect for why it's important. There's not a first-party effect as in people dying right now and it either does make us safer or not in terms of Russia. But the real concern is China.

Is she just bad at explaining things or is that her actual reason? I know I feel like her explanations of the Ukraine situation, I'm not saying that they're wrong but they're at the very least poorly explained. And I don't think you could have a war that's poorly explained. Like that feels like really important to explain it accurately. So yeah this whole win for Russia is a win for China that's a little too thin. That's some weak soup right there. Which is different from saying we should or should not fund them. All right I have my opinions on that. But what we're talking about now is just this explanation just doesn't even feel real. It sounds like somebody had to sit down and think it up.

All right can you come up with a reason why we're funding this war? Well Russia well uh we'll let's see we'll be safer from Russia. Now we're not going to be safer from Russia. We'll actually be in more danger from Russia. So the reason would be to save Ukraine. Well now Ukraine's totally destroyed so it's not about saving Ukraine. It's about making sure that NATO is not really, I mean it's not really about NATO. So I feel like it was somebody who had to come up with an essay for a college class and he had to say something that somebody hadn't said already. Oh I think I'll write an essay. Well let's say I'll talk about the third effect you know downstream. I mean it doesn't even, it just doesn't seem real. It sounds like CIA. Let's just say what it sounds like. It sounds like somebody in a propaganda job came up with this ridiculous, you know China is really about that. Russia is really about China and Ukraine is really about China. I'm sorry. Nope. Nope.

Yeah. Did you know what you'll never see? Now you'll definitely see somebody like Vivek say that you know we should be focusing on China and it's not helping us to be focused over here. That's a lot different than saying a win for Russia is a win for China. Those don't sound the same to me. But I get the fact that our focus is in the wrong place. But wait a minute I've got this backwards. So Vivek is saying we should get out because being there is good for China. And Nikki Haley is saying we should stay there and fund it because getting out would be good for China. So there are two major Republicans who can't even tell you for sure, well one of them's right but we don't know which one's right. I'm not smart enough. So we can't even tell if a war is good or bad for our main let's say competition in China. That's a pretty fundamental problem.

Do you know what I say when you can't decide if a war is good or bad for you? How do you handle it when you can't decide if it's good or bad for you? You don't do it. You don't do a war if you're not sure. Right? Unless it's a defensive war and then you're sure. But that's pretty scary. Even the Republicans don't know why we're there.

Yeah. Here's a little interesting tidbit. There's a drug called memantine that's given to adults with dementia. It's a memory drug. So it's already approved existing memory drug. And there's some newer studies that say it might be useful for reducing ADHD. But hold on. But you won't be able to find this in the news. Do you know why? Why would you not be able to find that there's an existing drug that maybe, and by the way you should not take any medical advice from me. I'm not making the claim that it works. I'm not making the claim that it works. How would I know? I'm not a doctor. Do not take any drugs because you heard it on the show. All right let's be clear. I'm just spitballing here. There's no medical advice. However there are at least some doctors who work in the field who are pretty sure that it's having some effect.

Why is it that if you did a search for it would be hard to find? Could it be that there's some other drug that makes a lot of money that is the current thing that works for ADHD? Could it be there's some other drug? So here's how you understand drug news. If you do a search and it says hey there's this one drug that everybody should use for this situation it probably means that whoever sells that drug did a good job of managing the search engine optimization so that their thing comes up and anything else doesn't come up.

Now as you know I gave you a direct example of this the other day where there's something I have personal knowledge of because I am in fact cured by surgery on my throat. But if you searched for my condition good luck going way down the search to find the known cure. Instead you will find out that Botox is the gold standard of treatment which in fact is by far a less good cure than the surgery. Now the surgery doesn't work for every person so there's some risk to it but the Botox doesn't work for every person either. So we do know with some certainty, I can tell you with personal experience, that the search engine optimization for drugs that work doesn't work. So that the search engines are all owned. They're essentially been neutered by the drug companies.

So if there were a drug, and I'm not saying there is, you wouldn't know about it. So your social media would prevent you from knowing about cures that would totally change your life. Like really change your life. Imagine having ADHD that wasn't properly treated and that you wouldn't know that there was something out there that could help you. Maybe. Again don't take my word for it. I'm not a doctor. But the level of evil that we're seeing because when it comes to medical stuff regular marketing shouldn't even be legal. Because the way you market a normal consumer product is you say ours is the best and the other person sucks and that doesn't even necessarily need to be true. You might not have the best one. It might be overpriced. Your competition might have a better one. But we're kind of used to that when it's just some consumer good.

But when it comes to life and death like that your quality of life is below the worth living point but it could be above it if you simply have this little information about what would make you better. And the search engines will just bury that. Not intentionally perhaps. It's just maybe gaming from the people who are trying to game it. But it's just so unethical it's almost hard to keep it in your head.

Anyway there's this new book on Musk. It's a biography by Walter Isaacson. And Musk himself must be happy about it because I saw him sending a post in which he was recommending an interview with Walter Isaacson without even seeing it. Because he said everything that guy says is kind of interesting. So they like each other apparently. So that's good to know. Just when you're trying to evaluate how true the biography is it's good to know that the biographer and the subject got along.

And yeah I guess Walter Isaacson was talking to Lex Fridman on a podcast which probably be quite interesting I would imagine. There's a few anecdotes coming out. And one of them is about the relationship between Elon Musk and Bill Gates which you might know is not ideal.

Now the funniest thing about this was that they didn't always know each other. Isn't that weird? That only a few years ago they seemed to have met for the first time. How is that even possible? How did Elon Musk and Bill Gates not end up in the same room just naturally a bunch of times without even trying?

Yeah. So by the way my trigonometry podcast is up today apparently. Trigonometry. Look for that if you know that. It's one of the best podcasts.

So here are some things we learned from the biography. That Musk was really mad at Gates for shorting Tesla stock. Now if you're not an investor a short is a bet that the stock will plunge and go down and then you can make money by betting against the stock. So you can either buy a stock and make money when it goes up or you can do what's called selling a short where you make money when it goes down. But that's considered putting pressure on a stock. Like if somebody buys a big short it makes other people say well what do you know that I don't know? So it's a big pressure on the stock price. So it's kind of a messed up thing to do if you're the person who owns a lot of stock in that company.

And so Musk apparently challenged him when Gates wanted to bring one of his children to watch a launch. Oh here's a subcategory. There's part of the story that's also interesting. When Gates wanted to schedule with Musk to bring Gates' kid to see launch or see a rocket or something, Musk told him that he fired his schedulers because he didn't like them having too much control over his schedule. So that to schedule with him you'd have to call him directly. Like call his phone number. So Bill Gates wanted to schedule it and have his secretary set it up but he couldn't send his secretary to call Musk directly because it would just sort of be inappropriate. So he had to schedule it himself. So Bill Gates called Musk and scheduled it.

So apparently when they got together one of there was some disagreement about whether there could ever be a Tesla semi truck. I just saw one. So Musk said it would be impossible to use battery power to make the big semi trucks. And I think Musk was saying that they were already running at the time that he said that it were impossible. They were like already up and running and you know and now they're in lots of places. I saw one yesterday or the other day. So I guess Gates was completely wrong about the capability of the batteries. And it turns out that Musk knew a lot more about batteries than Gates does. Surprise. And that Gates was just totally wrong about everything about Tesla and his potential.

Now Musk's problem is that Gates is not just a guy who's investing to make money. And so he asked him reportedly, Musk asked Gates why he would have a short on the one company that is doing the most to get us away from fossil fuels. And Gates basically said he did it to make money. He bet against the most important anti-fossil fuel company, the one that would be doing the most to make fossil fuels unnecessary. He bet against it in a way that could damage it like severely to make money. And he said it directly. Yeah he just did it to make money.

So and then I guess the quote from Musk after learning this was, Musk said in a note to somebody at this point I am convinced that he, meaning Gates, is categorically insane. And then I then parenthetically in an aside to the core Ed buff said I did actually want to like him. So in person Elon Musk says he's either crazy or just an asshole who doesn't care about anything.

So now I know you're going to extend this and you're going to say but Scott Adams you said he doesn't invest just to make money. You said he's using his fortune to make the world a better place. And haven't I been telling you that he's evil and he's trying to destroy the world? I don't think you could use this example to make that case. Here's why. You don't think that the previous richest person in the world has any bad feelings about the current richest person in the world? You don't think that Gates and Musk have a personal situation that is primarily what's driving them and that has nothing to do with anything else that Gates does anywhere else?

Yeah to me it just looked personal. It just looked like Gates lost his mojo to Musk. Musk is now the better Gates basically. Because when I grew up Bill Gates was the standard of high-tech entrepreneurial success. But he's not at the moment. At the moment that's Musk. So imagine going most of your life being the guy like you're the guy for technology and now there's another the guy. And you're getting all this trouble for your personal behavior etc. I don't know. To me it just looked personal. I think that Gates would have been happy to see a Tesla go down because it would have made Gates look smarter. But I don't think you could take that which is pretty ugly and extend it to the reason he's making toilets in Africa is to make money. That's a pretty big stretch. But people are complex so they're neither all good nor all bad. Yeah yeah it just seems personal to me. So I'd say I doubt he's insane but to the core appears to be consistent with what people have said about Gates from the first days.

I would never argue that he's not an asshole. You didn't hear that did you? I've never made that case. I'm not saying that if you were there in person you'd be a good guy. I doubt it.

I was watching last night I was watching a special on Frank Sinatra. And here's something I didn't know about Frank Sinatra. In my opinion his greatest accomplishments we never talk about. Like if you think of Frank Sinatra you think oh you know a great singer and he was in movies and successful and stuff. But it turns out that his maybe most awesome accomplishments had nothing to do with those things. Those things allowed him to be Frank Sinatra so he could do the other things.

For example he had in his rat pack you know his group of guys included Sammy Davis Jr. Now in the days in the 50s Sammy Davis Jr. couldn't even stay at the hotels where they performed. He wasn't allowed to stay there or to eat there or something. Yeah because the racism was so bad. But because Sinatra was so powerful he would just go in and say yes you are. You absolutely going to change that. You know no discrimination when I'm here. Sammy is going to be treated like everybody else. And they would just force people to do it. So he was one of the biggest forces for realistic diversity in entertainment at least and also the world. So he basically went to the mat against discrimination.

But there was another story that I hadn't heard until I watched this. So apparently at the time that Sinatra had moved to Palm Springs I think it was Palm Springs and other rich people wanted to spend some time there too. It was just a good place for rich people. But a lot of the rich Jewish actors and Hollywood people couldn't even join the big golf club in Palm Springs. I don't know how many there were but there was one big one that they would want to be a member of but they were not allowed. So they were rich enough they decided to start their own golf club so that all the Jewish members could play but it wouldn't be restricted. So you didn't have to be Jewish it's just that they wouldn't restrict anybody. So it ended up being lots of Jewish members.

Well Frank Sinatra who is not Jewish he actually moved his home onto the golf course so that Frank Sinatra was basically endorsing this new arrangement that was not discriminating against his friends. So if this club isn't going to let my friends in you're not going to see me there. And seeing Frank Sinatra was sort of a big deal. So he put the hammer down on two very notable situations in which he would not tolerate discrimination. And to me that was his greater accomplishments.

But this is not even why I was going to talk about it. I was going to talk about him because he was also a miserable drunk and apparently he was just terrible to people when he was drunk and he really liked to drink so it wasn't that uncommon. But when you watch the people talk about him they talked like they were seeing a god. It's like oh my god he was so nice. And apparently he did just incredible amount of charity work like for individuals but also for organizations. He did like just all kinds of charities. He said yes to everything. So he was in fact a genuine charitable guy who did things which I think could have changed history. I mean it might be that important. But he could also be a pretty mean guy.

So how do you handle the fact that somebody is sometimes terrible and sometimes an angel? And he could be both guys. It could be both people. And I think you have to keep that in mind when you're looking at any anybody like Bill Gates. So if you want to say that he's like pure evil that doesn't feel likely to me. That feels really unlikely. But if you told me that everything he does is noble and for the good of humanity I would say clearly not. Clearly not. But he could be both. He could be one of the most useful people to society and also an asshole. There's no competition there. He could be both.

I speak from personal experience. I like to do things that help the world but am I flawless? No obviously. All right people are complex. That's my only point.

Do you remember when Forbes the publication was a respectable publication? Oh my god I don't know what happened but oh my god. So there's an article here about how the richer more unethical than the poor. The rich are more unethical and immoral than the poor. It's in Forbes. This informed. And here are the examples without any believable data to back it. That the rich have lax attitude toward the rules so they're more prone to break laws while driving. Hinting at a belief that certain rules might not apply to them. Yeah because when I'm afraid of a crime for example I don't want to be around rich people. Yeah no. If you want to be free from crime go to the poorest part of the country because that's where people are morally strong. You can leave your door unlocked. Just go to any inner city. Just leave your door unlocked because there are no rich people there to take your stuff because they're all immoral. There's rich people.

The rich also according to the Forbes article, it's an opinion piece I guess, skewed ethical compasses. Yeah because that's something that the rich have but not the poor. They're inconsiderate. Yeah they're richer inconsiderate unlike the poor who just they're so considerate. And the rich have something called an overemphasis on winning whether in games or work. Yeah those stupid rich people they have an over emphasis on winning. So you wouldn't want any of that around you would you? Let me get away from those winners. My god.

Now do I even need to add commentary to this? This is Forbes and they're basically saying kill rich people indirectly. I mean all the rich people are the bad people so if you did something bad to a rich person well that would not even be immoral would it? Because they have it coming. They're all bad people. My god.

Do you think that the left is trying to kill Trump and Musk? Like actually kill them? I don't know if anybody's had a meeting where they said those words but if you were to judge by actions it looks like it. It looks exactly like it.

You know you want to hear here's my conspiracy theory. I'm going to give you the conspiracy theory of all conspiracy theories. I will not say that I believe my own conspiracy theory and therefore you should. But when a situation is created where we're led to a certain set of conclusions whether you like it or not. And the thing that's been bugging me for a long time is the UFO stories. And I've told you before that if I were in charge of let's say some massive brainwashing operation I would want to know if I could test when the public is ready for the big one. And the UFOs would be this nice little silly story that no matter which way it went it would just be kind of funny so it wouldn't hurt you. So you put this UFO story out and then you wait a few weeks and you see how many people believed it.

Now I don't know the answer to that. Can you tell me what percentage of the public believed the UFO story? Less than half. Not 25 but it was fewer than half was it not? Fewer than half believed it was true. I did a fact check on that. You're just guessing.

All right so here's my conspiracy theory. That if 75 percent of the country had believed the UFO story then the brainwashers in charge would know that we're ready for the big one. And the big one would be assassination. The big one would be assassination. And that because the UFO story was not bought hook line and sinker that they pulled back on the plan to kill Trump. And they may have the same plan for Musk for all I know. But now I'm not saying this is true. Not saying this is true. I'm just saying that if you remove any trust in media we're all left with our own devices. So we're all going to look for patterns and then we're going to think those patterns mean something. They don't. A lot of times the patterns are just accidental patterns.

But I'll tell you the pattern I see with the Forbes thing. This basically is trying to change the public's opinion of how much they think about the rich people. Now who do you think of when you think of rich people? Trump and Musk. Like they're defined by being rich people. So if you can make rich people look like they're the bad ones and you can make the public believe anything including UFOs you can just kill the rich people if they're in your way. And then you can tell the public that it was an accident and 75 will believe 25 won't believe but it's not enough to change it. The 25 was probably how many believe that Kennedy was killed by the CIA for most of my life. Probably 25 percent of the public thought the CIA killed Kennedy right? So that was enough that society did not rise up because 25 just isn't enough. 75 said let's just move on. Probably one gunman right?

So that's what scares me about the UFO story. It looks like it's planted. It didn't look organic to me. And it looked like there would be some point to it. And the only other point I could think would be to scare China or Russia into thinking we have some technology that they don't know about. Maybe. I mean that's another plausible explanation. But it feels like a test to see if we're ready to believe literally anything. You would have to get us to Kennedy levels of trust in the system before you can listen to the system say oh no problem it was one bullet. It was a magic bullet but it was just one. Yeah because remember the public believes the magic bullet for most of my life. They believe there was a magic bullet that just like went through and still do. Yeah yeah I don't know how many bullets there were but maybe we'll never know.

So that's what scares me. And that's the reason the study says all these unethical tendencies according to the psychologist is why the rich can succeed in life but fail in love. So the rich fail in love because they're not trusted. That's not why the rich fail in love. Would anybody like me to explain to them why the rich fail in love? There's anybody who doesn't know the obvious answer? That because we can afford it. We can afford it. Why is this a mystery? Rich people have the most options so you have the most temptation. And the let's say the wife if you take a classic situation with a richer guy and marries somebody, a woman who marries a rich guy doesn't have to put up with any because they're going to get enough money even with a prenup even with a pre-nup there's going to be some bag of money involved. So all you do is change the financial incentives and you would get this result. And this psychologist thinks it has something to do with trust. Has nothing to do with trust. It has to do with follow the money. Follow the money works 100 percent of the time. And the money suggests that getting married to a rich guy and then divorcing the rich guy is a really good deal because then you could have money plus a guy you like better. Why wouldn't everybody do it? I don't know how any rich people stay married. To me it would be a miracle if anybody ever stayed married to a rich person. Yeah because the money suggests that you shouldn't. So they don't. It's as simple as that.

All right. The Ukrainians have, I didn't know this but they've developed a substantial weapons manufacturing capacity. Didn't see that coming. But apparently the Ukrainians can make a lot of weapons now locally. Big ones. We're talking about artillery. Now they're made out of plastic and wood and they don't fire any shells. They're used for decoys. So Ukraine has this massive decoy military and industrial process where they're making decoys to use up the Russian artillery. So that they're all happy about their fake radars and stuff. Yeah so they just make it out of wood and they spray paint it and they wait for the Russians to destroy it.

Now on one hand I think this is awesome. Pretty good strategy. I'm sure it works. Yeah it's using up their weapons. On the other side on the other hand I don't know if I would bet on the group that needed to make wooden weapons. I'm just gonna say if there's any way to determine who's winning and who's losing a war I would look to the one that had to make weapons out of cardboard. Right? If one side is making weapons out of cardboard and plastic bottles they are not going to be the winner. Right? Again I remind you I'm no military analyst but if I were a military analyst I would not place a large bet on the people who were making weapons out of wood. That's just me.

They did the same thing during World War One and Two. They did. Yeah I'm not saying it's a bad strategy. I'm just saying it doesn't sound like the winner's strategy. It sounds like in addition that the other side has better weapons. Because I don't think Russia is doing that. Do you think Russia is making a bunch of wooden artillery? They don't need to because they have so much of the real stuff. Yeah I mean it's just an indicator of what's happening there.

All right. I was asked on the locals platform somebody asked me what's the difference between affirmations and wishful thinking. So an affirmation is when you're imagining the thing you want to be true as an aid to making it true. And wishful thinking is just when you wish you had something. And my answer is this. Wishful thinking is just wanting. Affirmations is closer to deciding. Because if you can chant or write down or visualize this goal every single day you probably decided. Because you just wouldn't do that unless you had really committed yourself to it. Because the affirmations are sort of the last thing you do sometimes at first. But typically you know you're already trying to do something in that regard. You're trying to make something happen and then you say all right how about affirmations.

So affirmations are a pretty good sign because you're going to do it every day that you're committed to this thing. Wishful thinking is like me thinking well you know if I were Elon Musk what would I do today. Right? But I'm not trying to make myself Elon Musk. It's just uh wouldn't that be fun. And then you watch a movie and you see somebody's having a good life you say oh wouldn't that be fun. But that's just wanting. And there's no faith involved in either case. Let me be clear. Believing and having some faith has nothing to do with any wishful thinking. There's no faith required for wishful thinking but there's no faith required or belief for affirmations.

The idea behind affirmations which may be not even true is that the simple process of concentrating on a goal makes it more likely to happen. There are several ways that could be true. Way number one is that there's some backwards causation happening. And the way that works is if you can spend 15 minutes a day focusing on your objective it probably means you already decided to do whatever it takes to get there. So it's the deciding whatever it takes to get there that was probably the operational part. But by coincidence there's a correlation between people who are going to do whatever it takes and people who would also do an affirmation. So it could be the affirmations are just attached to people who are going to do whatever it takes. So that you would see a correlation between affirmations of success. Then that would be the least magical explanation right? That would just be pretty straightforward. People who do one thing are likely to do the other thing as well. So it's not the other thing that's predictive it's just associated. So that could explain it all.

I would be one of those personalities. So my personality is once I've decided to do something I'm going to do all of the things. You know I'm going to do all of the things. And one of them might be affirmations whether I think it works or not. Because once I've decided I'm going to do all the things I'm not going to leave out any of the things like if they might work. All right try it.

So that could be one reason they appear to work. Another would be that you there's something called a reticular activation. I didn't make this up. It has to do with the fact that you notice things that are relevant to you. And repeating a goal makes something more relevant to you because it's at the front of your mind. So whatever is at the front of your mind tends to be the filter where you notice things in your environment.

For example if your best friend bought a certain color and model of car from that moment on the moment after you saw your friend bought this car a certain color model you'll see that car everywhere. You get on the highway there's one there's one and you never noticed before. It's because your friend's car moved to the front of your mind and it became your filter and now you're seeing things that you just wouldn't have noticed before because you changed your filter. That's how it works.

Now suppose that you did an affirmation about becoming a famous cartoonist and you didn't know how to do it. Would you notice some opportunities that you wouldn't have noticed before because you set that in the front of your mind? Well that's what made me a cartoonist. I literally was doing the affirmations but didn't know how to become one. And I turned on the TV and I noticed, would I have noticed before don't know, I noticed there was a TV show telling people how to be a cartoonist. Now I missed the show and I wrote a letter and asked some questions and that got me started. But would I have even noticed if I hadn't put that filter in the front of my mind to become a cartoonist? No no.

So it could be just filtering for opportunity. There's a study by Dr. Wiseman who studied luck. Luck. He wanted to see if there was such a thing as luck. There isn't. So it turns out nobody can guess things better than other people. But he did this study I talk about all the time where he asked people to sort themselves by optimists and pessimists. And then he gave them all the same tasks which was to count the number of photographs in a newspaper.

So the pessimists counted the number of photographs and on average they got the right number. Let's say that was 42 just to make up a number. And but it would take them several minutes to go through the newspaper and count them all up but they'd get the right answer. The optimists would also get the right answer but it would take them seconds. They were done in seconds but it took the others minutes. And the reason that the optimists were done in seconds on average again this is just on average is that the optimist noticed that on page two of every newspaper in big writing it said stop counting the photographs there were 42. It was right there in big writing. Stop counting them they're 42.

Now the pessimists were not expecting any luck. That's what pessimists are. So they just said one two photographs three Droopy Dog four five forty two. The optimists are always looking for luck all the time. Something good is going to happen to me. Something good is going to happen. And they're like all right let's start this task. Hey I guess I can stop. I got some luck. I thought this was going to be boring but look I got lucky. Page two it says stop counting. Boom done.

So Dr. Wiseman hypothesized that what's happening here is that people who expect luck are actually adjusting their filter to see more of it. So is it possible that when I was expecting good things to happen you know to become a cartoonist that I just set my filter for good luck and then I saw it and then I saw some good luck?

Maybe. The other possibility for why affirmations could work is it just makes you more serious about your goal. You basically talk yourself into being more serious about it by thinking about it and repeating it every day. So it could be just that. Maybe it makes you focus better. But the experience that people have is almost magical. Like there was some luck that popped up. Maybe they're just noticing the luck.

But here's the weirdest explanation. That we live in a simulation. That this reality of ours is a simulation. And that the way you navigate the simulation is by your intentions. Your intentions. That's what an affirmation is. An affirmation is your intention put into words. When you put an intention into words what happens? Words are the operating system of your brain. They're words just words. So as soon as your intention turns into a set of words then you can reprogram your brain. The intention isn't good enough. You need to word it reinsert it and repeat it and then it becomes the code in your brain. That's what a reframe is.

All right so my book teaches you how to use words in a short sentence to reprogram your brain. There's no effort involved. You just read the words you're done. Read it once and that's all you have to do. That's the entire change. Read one sentence once. And there are 160 of those sentences.

So one possibility in the simulation is that you're not just programming your brain with words which would be good but there might be something even weirder. If we're a simulation it could be that's the way we steer within the simulation. In other words maybe we have lots of possibilities but when you focus on one it actually veers you into a reality in which it's true. So it's not that there's one reality and there's one set of things that could happen. There are infinite dimensions and you can through your affirmations move your path off of a dimension that you're heading toward and toward a different one. So you're not making something happen. That's the way it feels like affirmations feels like you made your environment change. But what if the environment's never changed and all that happened was you moved to a new one? That would be perfectly possible if we're a simulation but not possible under more normal understanding of reality.

Now given that I'm pretty sure we are a simulation because the odds are a trillion to one that we're anything but that. That's a longer discussion. My understanding my operating understanding of affirmations is that it's a steering mechanism to steer toward a reality that's more in my liking.

So wishful thinking is just some thinking about some good things. There's no operational part to that. It's just thinking. Once you have an intention and that intention turns into words and you either read it as a reframe such as my book or you turn it into an affirmation where you say I Scott Adams will have a best-selling book. I actually use that one on my best-selling books. And so that would give you all the tools you need to change dimensions.

All right how many of you just had your minds blown? And anybody's mind just blow up? Laughs. I love watching the comments when I know something's happening. Yeah yeah this is one of those moments when you're saying to yourself holy cow. Yeah this is sort of a holy cow moment isn't it?

Now you understand my entire life. The filter that I just explained to you with affirmations and the simulation and all that that's what I live every day. That's my everyday understanding of my environment is what I explained. It's really nice. It's nice to live in that frame. Whether I don't know what's true. Maybe truth is beyond us. But I can live in that frame and it's really pleasant. Where because I feel like I'm changing my environment but really I'm just changing which environment I choose to experience.

And I would argue that there are other forms of affirmations. Somebody mentioned prayer. If your frame is that there's a supreme being and that praying to that supreme being is the mechanism that causes the thing to happen in your real life that could be nothing but another way to steer toward another dimension. You know one where the things are happening that you want. So it could be that the god model works perfectly well or as well as affirmations because it would be just a steering mechanism in both cases.

Yeah but in my telling of things the faith would be unrelated to the effectiveness. You wouldn't need any faith. There's just a mechanical process. You could add faith but it would neither add to or detract from the outcome. Somebody says God works best. I'm going to agree with you because we're all different. So I very much think that for some types of people the God prayer model is exactly the right one. And for other types of people maybe some other model is the one that works best. But I don't think it's universally true.

All right faith is not even close to being mechanical. That's what I said right? You think you're disagreeing with it? No that's what I said. Faith is not mechanical but you would only need the mechanical part to observe benefits. The faith might be additional but like you said they're not the same. Don't think that the mechanical process and faith are related. The faith is extra.

All right well that got everybody thinking didn't it? I think I'll leave you on this. Don't believe anything in the news. And I will talk to you tomorrow.

So I'm going to say goodbye to the folks on the X platform first and then YouTubers I'll see you tomorrow.

attitude good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization possibly Mars the civilization not to uh just to the Future oh You.

Tube doesn't have sound probably You.

Tube would be better if I put my microphone on probably this would be better if I had my microphone on too I bet everything would be better with sound that's what I think if you'd like to take your uh oh oh apparently I have to turn off the uh the comments for every every episode I thought I'd have them off but the the You.

Tube comments I will be ignoring because there's too many anti-semites if you'd like to make comments you could always be on the subscription locals platform or you could be on the X platform that's streaming live right now at the same time but too many anti-semites on You.

Tube and I think they're not organic I think somebody's sending them here so we're gonna ignore them but if you'd like to take your experience up to levels which I've never seen before all you need is a copper mugger glass a tanker Chelsea Style again teen Jokers fill with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine the other day the thing that makes everything better is called the simultaneous sip go ah so good so good well I hear the people who are ordering my hard copper hardcover version of reframing your brain the notices that's taken to October 19th which means you probably don't want to wait Beyond November to order it if you're going to get it for gifts now a lot of people are buying you know five to ten copies of the book because it turns out it's sort of the perfect gift for literally everyone anybody who can read because it will change lives it's guaranteed and some people told me that the best thing about giving this book as a gift is this the first time they can explain who I am because a lot of people are getting heat for listening to me if you've been getting Heat for listening to me this book will explain me in a way that other people will understand for the first time so that's one benefit from it if you're having a hard time explaining why you would listen to Somebody Like Me that'll do it for you it's already changing lives in a very big way so don't wait too long or you won't have yours by Christmas all right because as you know reality likes to follow the path of most entertainment the winner of the U.S Open tennis was a Djokovic and Djokovic is famous for what besides tennis famous for rejecting vaccinations to the point where was it last year he was not even allowed to play in the U.S open because he was unvaccinated well he came back he won the damn tournament and uh he was not only the winner but the sponsor sponsor of the tournament let's see one of them was a moderna moderna and so he was featured in the moderna shot of the day that's right they showed a highlight of Djokovic the most famous denier of vaccinations and it was labeled the shot of the day moderna yeah yep yep that's almost as bad as uh Tick Tock advertising on Fox News as soon as you hear the advertiser you go oh man what's going on here so that's happened there's a company called Voyager labs who theoretically hypothetically can predict a crime before it happens now New York City is using the software but not in that way so that's not the only thing it does so they say New York City is not using it to predict crime but it could do it there's there's a thought that it could do it but here's my question as much as I'm not sure I want the government to be able to predict crime because you know that that's going to go terribly wrong right if the government can predict crime this is not a good not a good predictive sort of thing but here's a question I ask you what if citizens could use it to protect themselves would that be wrong suppose you could you could run it against everybody that I know AI knows is living in your neighborhood and even if you could check the police that are your local police that are on your streets suppose you got you got uh stopped in a by a police for speeding or something suppose you could tell immediately if your police officer was going to be dangerous to people like you yeah wouldn't that be useful if as soon as you saw the police officer come up and you saw the name if somehow you had some way to know oh this one's a bad one you know this one's been accused of you know five different abuses already so you better better you keep it under wraps or suppose it would tell you to move suppose you ran this offer and said um you're a single woman living in this neighborhood your odds of being abused are 80 80 you better get the hell out of here I don't know I feel I feel like something that was predictive of crime would be useful to Citizens because you could even know if your own friends are likely to steal from you wouldn't that be handy to know if the people you're working with or the people you want to do and deal with are likely to rob you that's an interesting question I don't know if the software could actually identify that kind of risk but if it could if it could would you use it it's kind of creepy it would definitely discriminate but it would also keep you safe well Joe Biden can anybody confirm that this really happened I saw it on a tweet but I did not see a source is it true that Joe Biden said I guess yesterday maybe that China has become too weak to invade Taiwan because their economy is so bad he actually said that what do you think of that do you think that's true you know you know what's interesting is it might be a little bit true it's certainly not true enough right it's not 100 true and it's probably not 50 true but it's an interesting point that that their their economy is a little bit sketchy but I would be surprised if they couldn't mount a war with their existing assets so I think that's an overstatement but it's a variable it might be a variable that's making a try to have second thoughts imagine if you are um president XI and sure you're a dictator so you got a lot of control but you still need to keep other people happy right because the the other Elites could gang up on you if you were just totally out of control so even the head of China needs to make other people happy imagine if imagine if you're the head of China president XI and you see that you've got all these other economic woes and the really big ones like demographic problems things you can't really easily fix so let's say you see manufacturing is leaving you know you're you're maybe losing some of your access to some high-tech stuff yeah you're a little bit uh pressured by everybody you got to spend a lot on Social Services you've got 50 unemployment among the youth suppose you've got all those problems and at the moment they're sort of a little bit under wraps meaning that the average Chinese citizen is probably not not thinking about them every moment of the day so you're you're kind of stable but there's a lot of stuff a lot of big stuff that could be a problem and fairly soon under those conditions would you want to take the chance of your economy imploding coincidentally at the same time that you started a war because the problem is if it looked like you made a mistake starting a war at the same time it looked like you made a mistake managing the economy that might be too many mistakes so if you're a Chinese leader could you stand the the internal National pressure of having a failed economy and a war that's not maybe going too smoothly because who knows what would happen I feel like I feel like Biden is on to something I feel like if China's economy were 100 solid the president she could take a chance of screwing up a war and still stay in power but if the economy is bad and there's a war the Chinese public are going to say why are we spending money on a war when we've got these other problems you know just like the American economy is so it could be that the best thing to reduce the chance of war in the world is bad economies because Wars make economies worse especially if you lose all right so maybe maybe binds onto something a little bit there so Biden was in Vietnam embarrassing the country but he picked the right country to do it you know if you're going to send Biden onto the international stage wouldn't you want to send them to a country that values the elderly yeah I don't think we should send Biden anywhere where they don't have a real strong cultural preference for showing respect to the elderly because can you imagine the face of the Vietnamese uh you know leaders who were greeting them uh yeah you're totally all right uh-huh the things coming out of your mouth totally makes sense oh we respect you you Elder yeah I got a feeling that they could fake it better than other countries can you imagine the Russians imagine Biden imagine Biden taking this performance to Russia you know as if he would travel to Russia but imagine the Russians watching Biden you know flustered and mumbling around and wandering off they would literally be drinking and laughing but you take him to Vietnam and everybody's like we respect the elderly let's let's just let him let him be so I don't know the the fact that there's sort of a cats on the roof quality to the old Biden experience you know what I mean he Biden is failing right in front of us but because every day is sort of similar to the day before but you know half a percent worse every day you say ah today well it's not that much but worse than it was yesterday and then the next day uh it's just not that much worse than yesterday but if you start adding it up you know at least half of one percent of worse every day things are looking pretty bad in six months if you know what I mean compounding compounding interest so that's how we got here to this absurd ridiculous situation uh I guess commonly Harris was sent to the 911.

event today and Biden said he was going back to bed after he talked to the people in Vietnam now I to be fair the time change must be brutal you know beyond a certain age traveling and time changes and tough schedules it's got to be brutal I have to admit um but maybe you shouldn't say it out loud I'm going back to bed all right uh California is kind of quietly looking to reverse a California law that would punish doctors for spreading coveted misinformation now in all of the uh can we call it of the pandemic somehow I'd forgotten that California had a law that doctors who are doing their doing their best to help their customers but if if they happen to say something that was not the approved Orthodoxy of what you can say they could be punished for being wrong according to other people not for being wrong we're not talking about punishing the doctors for being wrong no that's not even the topic it's not about being wrong it's that they can't even say it if it's against the you know the standard interpretation so the fact that it's not about being right or wrong should be the scariest thing in the world is really just about not being you know with the government's allowed interpretation so there's slowly it looks like they're they're sticking it in some other legislation kind of kind of slowly walk it back but at least as we walk back however you can't be too happy about it because it existed in the first place in modern times In Our Lifetime that existed that was a real thing that was a real law and still is by the way they just haven't reversed it yet I mean the the the level of wrongness that we've experienced in less than five years or so I think it's unprecedented now I saw a scientific study that is being questioned so we don't know if it's true that the human brain has shrunk in the past I don't know however many thousands of years and that we used to have bigger brains you know right before the ice age or something so our brains used to be bigger than others smaller do you know what that would explain what would that explain if our brains in fact gotten smaller now the answer is everything it would explain everything yeah you know how we couldn't understand how the Ancients could build pyramids but we wouldn't know how to do it today using their technology what if they were just smarter that's that's the whole story it's like well if you're as smart as we used to be you could have built a pyramid too maybe that's the whole answer maybe the maybe the answer to what's wrong with everything is that we're Dumber and maybe there's nothing else to it I don't think so and the other scientists who are not part of this study or not so sure that we're getting Dumber some of them are saying oh yes generally speaking the bigger the brain the smarter you are but there could be an exception where if you have more folds it could be tighter and more compact like a microchip so it might actually be better but there's one theory that says that brains shrunk because we didn't need to to think individually the ones you can depend on other people to remember things and do some of your thinking for you sort of group thinking that you didn't need as much individual intelligence to stay alive and that therefore it atrophied because you didn't need this so much not buying that so what should you believe about this new study about brain shrinking nothing including the fact that they shrunk because even that's questioned other people say you can't really measure the size of a brain back then because you know it's not preserved and blah blah blah you can't really tell so ignore all that so here's the CNN narrative on Trump courtesy of Stefan Collinson and by the way I try to predict who the opinion piece will be based on the title so I look at the title of the opinion piece before you see the name associated you try to guess which which person it is and this one I as soon as I saw I was like that looks like Stephen colinson to me sure enough um here are some things it says the Republican front runner meaning Trump his Stark speech they're saying Stark instead of dark I think we embarrassed them off dark and so it's now it's turned Stark so it's very Stark uh the Front Runners Stark speech raised the prospect of a second presidency that would be even more extreme and challenging to the rule of law than his first now do you believe that you could objectively make the case that the Trump Administration was just purely objectively had more or less a disregard for law than the Biden Administration does anybody think that's the case I can only think of one instance where this is even a question and the one instance is January 6 and January 6 is an up it's a misinformation up by the left it's not even real it's not even real in the sense that obviously it wasn't an Insurrection but half of the country thinks you can overturn a country with some paperwork and some trespassing so so the the thing with the Democrats is that they're so brainwashed to believe that they're the good guys that you can just put this out there like it's true and you don't have to support it well you know there's this one Administration that was ignoring the law and the Democrats go oh yeah oh yeah thank goodness we've got an Administration that just follows the law now is it amazing to me it's just like mind-boggling that there's even a possibility that somebody thinks that they could measure one administration's flouting of the law compared to the other how in the world would even compare so that's uh brainwashing propaganda Point number one is to make you accept uncritically that one of them is the honest one and we just started from there well start from the assumption that one is the honest side now look at all these crimes whoa yeah how about we check that Assumption of which one flouts the law um and Collison goes on to say that talk about Trump his view that the Oval Office confers unfettered powers wait so Stephen Collison on CNN wrote this sentence about Trump his view that the Oval Office confers unfettered powers um what evidences are of that exactly what evidence is there of his internal unspoken thoughts it's just put here like it's a fact yes mind reading it's mind reading once you by the way I'll say this again once I introduce the idea that a lot of what you see in politics is people pretending they could read minds when obviously they can't once you see it you see it everywhere right the the mind reading phrase it's like pervasive and why and then once you realize that it's um completely illegitimate speech meaning that it's just somebody trying to brainwash you it's not somebody who has a like a real opinion so let me finish this this is mind blowing his view as if he could know this his view that the Oval Office confers unfettered Powers suggests Trump would indulge in similar conduct as that for which he is awaiting trial all right so let's see if I can put this all together because he's talking about the January 6.

so the fake accusations about January 6 form a base completely fake accusations that we see that if we read his mind and we read his mind we see that he's likely to do more of the thing that never happened because we read his mind did I state that right they read his mind Trump's mind and in it they can see that he's likely to do more of the things he's falsely accused of that's called the news on the left that's the news it's an opinion piece but it's on a news site well uh there's a lot of concern by the people who care about AI that there will be a an October surprise you know that's the big news story that you don't expect but of course you always expect that before before an election the October before the election so that not this not this year but one year from this October they will have an AI inspired deep fake that will be convincing enough that will change the election now here's my question I feel as if this could go either way we might have reached the point where people will stop looking at photos and videos suppose you had a site that wouldn't show you any of it they wouldn't show you a video and they would never show you a picture they would only describe it that would be as close as you could get to real news because videos and pictures lie they're the biggest Liars so I feel like if I knew a human wrote the story and there were no pictures or videos to distract me and lie to me that might be closer to real but also if there's no picture of video it's easier to lie so there's no real good good solution here um but what do you think do you think that there will be a deep fake October surprise I say no and the reasons I say no there'll be lots of attempts so there'll be plenty of default attempts but I think we'll be so on to the fakes that we will be primed to see everything is fake even when it's not I think it's more likely we'll think a real thing is fake oh okay here's my prediction here's my prediction it's more likely we'll think a real thing was faked then we'll think a fake thing was real anybody want to take the other side of that bet it'd be hard to prove but look look for a situation where there's a real thing that one side or the other believes is fake I think that's slightly more likely than actually believing a deep fake now we might believe a deep fake for a day but we wouldn't believe a deep fake for two days if we're following if we're watching the news because it would get debunked pretty quickly and then I think that AI will be able to detect AI so we should have pretty quickly an AI That's a watchdog of other AI hey do you know why there's no such thing as an AI fact check isn't that the obvious thing if chat GPT can do search shouldn't it also be able to watch your posts on social media and automatically add a fact check it already it we have that ability right now right how hard would it be it would be somewhat easy do you know why you don't see it why is there no chat GPT fact check because the Democrats can't control it they they do know that chat GPT is biased toward the left but not in every way not in every way it still will give you facts sometimes so if you let Chachi BT do an automatic fact checking it would destroy the Democratic Party because their entire operation involves gaslighting their own team it just doesn't work on the other side because the other side is you know there's sort of primed to reject everything that comes from this side just automatically so it doesn't work except for their own team but what would happen if they thought chat GPT was real it's real enough and that it kept disagreeing with their own team there's no way the Democrats can allow chat GPT to become or AI in general to be part of the public conversation unless they've biased it so badly that it can't possibly be useful just think about that so that's my prediction my prediction is Democrats will never allow AI to be part of fact checking unless they've corrupted it so badly that it can't really do the fact checking anybody want to take the other side of that prediction you don't want to take the other side of that one there will never be an AI fact Checker approved by democrats it can't happen just think about that fact so this is going to be the biggest dog not barking once it becomes like incredibly clear to every citizen that chat GPT could identify the you're going to ask why it's not doing it uh if it can identify fakes and and uh you know facts that are just to spend and of course I could do that why why aren't we massively using it that doesn't mean it will get everything right it could just flag things you should look into more deeply but wouldn't that be useful yeah look how useful the community notes are on the X platform the best thing ever the community notes where they they add the contacts because the community notes do not seem to be targeting one side would you agree if you've watched any the the community notes have taken down people on the left and the right it's just the fact is the fact so yeah I think that's the most I think the community notes are the most successful fact-checking process so far all right um Jake Tapper uh looks like he's trying to get Elon Musk assassinated or jailed uh because he's pushing a narrative via his questioning he's pushing the narrative I was talking to Tony blinken and he says I'll paraphrase but Jake Tapper said that musk effectively sabotaged a military attack against a U.S Ally now his version of it is that musk deactivated the Skylink satellites his own satellites that Ukraine was using and they were planned to use it for a maritime attack which would have been essentially a Pearl Harbor attack on the Russian Fleet before the Russian Fleet you know I don't think they're all in one place now so so there was at one point during the early part of the war when the fleet was in one place or a lot of it and a an attack of that size would have made musk uncomfortable because he says he talked to some high-ranking Russians who threatened nuclear response if things got too bad and that that looked like it was possibly a nuclear trigger and that musk himself apparently decided that he would not turn on those satellites and there's some difference in the reporting the way the way Tapper describes it it sounds like he turned them off but indeed they were never on in the first place so they were actually asking him to participate in something that could have started World War III and he said no he just said no uh he never he never promised coverage over Crimea because he thought Crimea was a red red and now the uh blinken quite wisely I thought he handled it well instead of saying anything good or bad about musk or what he did or did not do blinken just said and this is the right answer this you know I've I'm not a big blinking fan but he gave the exact right answer he said we think Skylink is important has been important and will be important to the the future in our war and then you know and then Tapper tried to humiliate him for avoiding the question to which I say thank you for avoiding that question I I wanted you to avoid that question I wanted you to say Skylake is important and we're going to keep using it where we can that's all I want to hear I don't want to hear you say anything about an American citizen who's trying to help every way he can I don't want to hear any criticisms about him in that context I mean criticism is fun but not in that context so blinken played that exactly right because you don't want to piss off musk if he controls the biggest asset in the sky uh but to watch Jake Tapper frame this in a way that would get musk killed or jailed is probably one of the least ethical things I've ever seen in my life would you agree if anybody saw the clip did it look like the least moral and ethical ethically responsible thing you've ever seen and the idea here is that musk was doing his own foreign policy which would be illegal now at what point is talking to somebody else foreign policy where is it the fact that he didn't turn on the satellites as a foreign policy if I don't give you assets for your for your military stuff is that interfering am I doing my own foreign policy if I decide not to go kill people you want me to kill that's my own foreign policy yeah refusing to help in a war that doesn't look legitimate to some people that would be foreign policy well let me say this uh we would have a big conversation about what foreign policy means because do you think I've never talked to anybody in another country that's what the x-platform does it allows people in other countries to DM me are there not plenty of public figures and I would be one of them who have had conversations with people in other countries in which they tell me things that inform my opinion you know many cases I don't believe them because it looks like propaganda but we're not allowed to talk to people in other countries under under what conditions are we not allowed to talk to other people because I'm not aware of any law that would prevent me from talking to anybody under any conditions who can tell me who I can talk to in another country is there a law about that I you know if it's my job to go over there and influence them that's something but I can't have a conversation where where I learn things and they learn things that are you know not secrets yeah you know there's it's one thing to be I guess Carrie was kind of negotiating with Iran somebody said so I mean that's the real kind that might be a problem but if all must did is talk to a bunch of high-ranking Russians and they told them something that is a little bit obvious you know that they would consider nukes under some situations and then he acted on that how is that wrong like what what kind of law did that violate not wanting to be involved in starting World War III is doing your own foreign policy that's quite a stretch so to me it looks like um powers on the left are ganging up to take Trump or to take Moscow I think that they need him gone in order for their um propaganda gaslighting machine to work because if you can't get the x-platform to go long it's a little more obvious what you're up to well let's talk about Nikki Haley whose prospects seem to be rising a lot of people are liking her but she is a pro uh or in Ukraine and funding it whereas Trump and Vivek to name two would be a little more aggressive in trying to wind down that war and get us out of there but she said a win for Russia in that war is a win for China do you see that a win for Russia is a win for China that feels like a like a weak reason doesn't it there's something about that reason that makes me think she doesn't have a reason yeah it's like why do you have to stretch you're giving billions of dollars for a war and you've got to come up with some third-party effect for why it's important there's not a first party effect as in people dying right now and it either does make us safer or not in terms of Russia but but the real concern is China is she just bad at explaining things or is that her actual reason I know I I feel like her explanations of the Ukraine situation I'm not saying that they're wrong but they're at the very least poorly explained and I don't think you could have a war that's poorly explained like that feels like really important to explain it accurately so yeah this whole win for Russia is a win for China that's a little too thin that's some weak soup right there which is different from saying we should or should not fund them all right I have my opinions on that but what we're talking about now is just this explanation just doesn't even feel real it sounds like somebody had to sit down and think it up all right can you come up with a reason why we're funding this war well Russia well uh we'll let's see we'll be safer from rush now we're not going to be safer from Russia we'll actually be in more Danger from Russia so the reason would be to save you create well now Ukraine's totally destroyed so it's not it's not about saving Ukraine um it's about making sure that NATO is not really I mean it's not really about NATO so I feel like it was somebody who had to come up with a an essay for a college class and he had to say something that somebody hadn't said already oh I think I'll write an essay well let's say I'll I'll talk about the third third effect you know Downstream I mean it doesn't even it just doesn't seem real it sounds like CIA let's just say what it sounds like it sounds like somebody in a propaganda job came up with this ridiculous you know China is really about that Russia is really about China and Ukraine is really about China I'm sorry nope nope yeah did you know what you'll never see now you'll definitely see somebody like Vivek say that you know we should be focusing on China and it's not helping us to be focused over here that's a lot different than saying a win for Russia is a win for China that those don't sound the same to me but I get the fact that our focus is in the wrong place but um well wait a minute I've got this backwards so Vivek is saying we should get out because being there is good for China and Nikki Haley is saying we should stay there and fund it because getting out would be good for China so so there are two major Republicans who can't even tell you for sure well one of them's right but we don't know which one's right I'm not smart enough so we can't even tell if a war is good or bad for our main let's say competition in China that's a pretty fundamental problem do you know what I say when you can't decide if a war is good or bad for you how do you handle it when you can't decide if it's good or bad for you you don't do it you don't do a war if you're not sure right unless it's a defensive war and then you're sure but that's pretty scary even the Republicans can't don't know why we're there yeah here's a little uh interesting tidbit um there's a drug called mementine that's given to adults with uh dementia it's a Memory drug so it's already approved existing memory drug and there's some newer studies that say it might be useful for reducing ADHD and um but hold on but you won't be able to find this in the news do you know why why would you not be able to find that there's an existing drug that maybe and by the way you should not take any medical advice from me I'm not I'm not making the claim that it works I'm not making the claim that it works how would I know I'm not a doctor do not take any drugs because you heard it on the show all right let's be clear I'm just spitballing here there's no medical advice however there there are at least some doctors who work in the field who are pretty sure that it's having some effect why is it that if you did a search for it would be hard to find that could it be that there's some other drug that makes a lot of money that is the current thing that works for ADHD could it be there's some other drug so here's how you understand drug news if if you do a search and it says hey there's this one drug that everybody should use for this situation it probably means that whoever sells that drug did a good job of managing the search engine optimization so that their thing comes up and anything else doesn't come up now as you know I gave you a direct example of this the other day where there's something I have personal knowledge of because I am in fact cured by surgery on my throat but if you searched for my condition good luck going way down the search to find the known cure instead you will find out that Botox is the gold standard of treatment which in fact is by far a less good um cure than the surgery now the surgery doesn't work for every person so there's some risk to it but the botox doesn't work for every person either so so we do know with some certainty I can tell you with personal experience that the the search engine optimization for drugs that work doesn't work so that the search engines are all um they're all owned they're essentially been neutered by the drug companies so if there were a drug and I'm not saying there were there is I just this is just one story uh you wouldn't know about it so your social media would prevent you from knowing about cures that would totally change your life like really change your life imagine having ADHD that wasn't properly treated and that you wouldn't know that there was something out there that could help you maybe again don't take my word for it I'm not a doctor but the the level of evil that we're seeing because when it comes to medical stuff regular marketing shouldn't even be legal because the way the way you Market a normal consumer product is you say ours is the best and the other person sucks and that doesn't even necessarily need to be true you might not have the best one it might be overpriced your competition might have a better one but we're kind of used to that when it's just some consumer of good but when it comes to life and death like that your quality of life is below the worth living point but it could be above it if you simply have this little information about what would make you better and the search engines will just bury that not intentionally perhaps it's just maybe gaming from the from the people who are trying to game it but uh it's just so unethical it's almost hard to keep it in your head anyway there's this new book on musk it's a biography by Walter Isaacson and musk himself must be happy about it because I saw him sending a post in which he was recommending a interview with Walter Isaacson without even seeing it because he said everything that guy says is kind of interesting so they like each other apparently so that that's good to know just when you're right when you're trying to evaluate how true the biography is it's good to know that the biographer and the subject got along and uh yeah I guess Walter Isaacson was talking to Lex and Friedman and on a podcast which probably be quite interesting I would imagine there's a few anecdotes coming out and one of the one of them is about the relationship between Elon Musk and Bill Gates which you might know is not ideal now the funniest thing about this was that they didn't always know each other isn't that weird that only a few years ago they seemed to have met for the first time how is that even possible how did Elon Musk and Bill Gates not end up in the same room just naturally a bunch of times without even trying yeah um so by the way my trigonometry podcast is up today apparently trigonometry look for that if you know that it's one of the best podcasts um so here are some things we learned from the biography that uh musk was really mad at gates for shorting Tesla stock now if you're not an investor a short is a bet that the stock will plunge and go down and then you can make money by betting against the stock so you can either buy a stock and make money when it goes up or you can do what's called selling a short where you make money when it goes down but that's considered putting pressure on a stock like if somebody buys a big short it makes other people say well what do you know that I don't know so it's a big pressure on the stock price so it's kind of a messed up thing to do if you're the person who owns a lot of stock in that company and so musk apparently challenged him when Gates wanted to bring one of his children to watch a launch uh oh here's a sub category there's part of the story that's also interesting when gase wanted to schedule with musk to bring Gates kid to see launch or see a rocket or something uh musk told them that he fired his schedulers because he didn't like them having too much control over his schedule so that to schedule with him you'd have to call him directly to like call his phone number so Bill Gates wanted to schedule it and have his secretary set it up but he couldn't send his secretary to call musk directly because I would just sort of be inappropriate so he had to you had to schedule it himself so Bill Gates called musk and scheduled it so apparently when they got together uh one of there was some disagreement about whether there could ever be a Tesla semi truck I just saw one so it must said it would be impossible to use battery power to make a the big semi trucks and I think musk was saying that they were already running at the time that he said that it were impossible they were like already up and running and you know and now they're in lots of places I saw one yesterday or the other day so I guess Gates was completely wrong about the um capability of the batteries and it turns out that musk can knew a lot more about batteries than Gates does surprise and that gase was just totally wrong about everything about Tesla and his and his potential Now musk's problem is that gase is not just a guy who's investing to make money and so he asked him reportedly musk asked Gates why he would have a short on the one company that is doing the most to get us away from fossil fuels and Gates basically said he did it to make money he bet against the most important anti-fossil fuel company the one that would be doing doing the most to make fossil fuels unnecessary he bet against it in a way that could damage it like severely to make money and he said it directly yeah he just did it to make money so um and then I guess the quote from musk after learning this was must said in a note to somebody at this point I am convinced that he meaning Gates is categorically insane and then I then parenthetically in an to the Core Ed buff said I did actually want to like him Psy so in person Elon Musk says he's either crazy or just an who doesn't care about anything so um so now I know you're going to extend this and you're going to say Buzz Scott you said he doesn't invest just to make money you said he's you know using his fortune to make the world a better place and haven't I've been telling you that he's he's evil and he's trying to destroy the world I don't think you could use this example to make that case here's why you don't think that the previous richest person in the world has any bad feelings about the current richest person in the world you don't think the gates and musk have a personal situation that is primarily what's driving them and that has nothing to do with anything else the gates does anywhere else yeah to me it just looked personal it just looked like uh Gates lost his Mojo to musk musk is now the the better Gates basically because when I grew up Bill Gates was the the standard of you know high-tech entrepreneurial success but he's not at the moment at the moment that's musk so imagine going most of your life being the guy like you're the guy for technology and now there's another the guy and and you're getting all this trouble for your personal Behavior Etc I don't know to me it just looked personal I I think that Gates would have been happy to see a Tesla go down because it would have made Gates look smarter but I don't think you could take that which is pretty ugly and extended to the reason he's making toilets in Africa is to make money that's a pretty big stretch but people are people are complex so they're neither all good nor all bad yeah yeah it just seems personal to me so I'd say I doubt he's insane but uh to the core appears to be consistent with what people have said about gates from the first days I would never argue that he's not an you didn't hear that did you I've never made that case I'm not saying that if you were there in person you'd be a good guy I doubt it I was watching uh last night I was watching a special on Frank Sinatra and here's something I didn't know about Frank Sinatra in my opinion his greatest accomplishments we never talk about like if you think of Frank Sinatra you think oh you know a great singer and he was in movies and successful and stuff but it turns out that his maybe most awesome accomplishments had nothing to do with those things those things allowed him to be Frank Sinatra so he could do the other things for example he had in his little rack pack you know his group of guys included um uh Sammy Davis Jr now in the days in the 50s Sammy Davis Jr couldn't even stay at the hotels where they performed he wasn't allowed to stay there or or to eat there or something yeah because the racism was so that bad but because Sinatra was so powerful he would just go in and say yes you are you absolutely going to change that you know no discrimination when I'm here Sammy is going to be treated like everybody else and they would just force people to do it so he was one of the biggest forces for you know realistic diversity in in entertainment at least and also the world so he basically went to the mat against um discrimination but there was another story that I hadn't heard until I watched this so apparently at the time that Sinatra had moved to Palm Springs I think it was Palm Springs and other rich people wanted to spend some time there too it was just a good place for rich people but a lot of the rich Jewish actors and Hollywood people couldn't even join the big Golf Club in Palm Springs I don't know how many there were but there was one big one that they would want to be a member of but they were not allowed so they were Rich enough they decided to start their own Golf Club so that all the the Jewish members could play but it wouldn't be restricted so you didn't have to be Jewish it's just that they wouldn't restrict anybody so it ended up being you know lots of Jewish members well Frank Sinatra who is not Jewish um he actually moved his home onto the golf course so that Frank Sinatra was basically endorsing you know this this new Arrangement that was not discriminating against his friends so if you if you and it was a big a very apparently especially for the area it was a big statement like his statement was if this club isn't going to let my friends in you're not going to see me there and seeing Frank Sinatra was sort of a big deal so so he put the hammer down on two very you know notable uh situations in which he would not tolerate discrimination and to me that was his his greater accomplishments but this is not even why I was going to talk about it I was going to talk about him because he was also a miserable drunk and apparently he was just terrible to people when he was drunk and he really liked to drink so it wasn't that uncommon but when you watch the people talk about him they talked like they were seeing a God it's like oh my God he was so nice and apparently he did just incredible amount of charity work like for individuals but also for organizations he did like just all kinds of Charities saying he said yes to everything so he was in fact a genuine charitable guy who did things which I think could have changed history I mean it might might be that important uh but he could also be a pretty mean guy so how do you handle the fact that somebody is sometimes terrible and sometimes an angel and he can be both guys it could be both people and I think you have to keep that in mind when you're looking at any you know anybody like Bill Gates so if you want to say that he's like pure evil that doesn't feel likely to me that feels really unlikely but if you told me that everything he does is noble and for the good of humanity I would say clearly not clearly not but he could be both he could be one of the most useful people to Society and also an there's not there's no competition there he could be both I speak from personal experience I like to do things that help the world but am I flawless no obviously all right people are complex that's my only point um do you remember when Forbes the publication was a respectable publication oh my God I don't know what happened but oh my God so there's an article here about how the Richer more unethical than the poor the rich are more unethical and immoral than the poor it's in Forbes this informed and here are the examples without any no believable data to back it that the rich have lacks attitude toward the rules so they're more prone to break laws while driving hinting at a belief that certain rules might not apply to them yeah because when I'm afraid of a crime for example I don't want to be around rich people yeah no if you want to be free from crime go to the poorest part of the country because that's where people are morally strong you can leave your door unlocked just go to any inner city just leave your door unlocked because there are no rich people there to take your stuff because they're all immoral there's rich people the rich also according to the Forbes article it's an opinion piece of I guess skewed ethical compasses yeah because that's something that the rich have but not the poor they're inconsiderate yeah they're richer inconsiderate unlike the poor who just they they're so considerate and the rich have something called an overemphasis on winning whether in games or work yeah those those stupid rich people they have an over emphasis on winning so you wouldn't want any of that around you would you let me get away from those winners my God now do it do I even need to add commentary to this this is Forbes and they're basically saying kill rich people indirectly I mean all the the rich people are the bad people so if you did something bad to uh if he did something bad to a rich person well that would not even be immoral would it because they have it coming they're all they're all bad people my God do you think that the uh the left is trying to kill Trump and musk like actually kill them uh I don't know if anybody's had a meeting where they said those words but if you were to judge by actions it looks like it it looks exactly like it you know you want to hear here's my conspiracy theory I'm going to give you the conspiracy theory of all conspiracy theories I will not say that I believe my own conspiracy theory and therefore you should but when a situation is created we're we're led to a certain set of conclusions whether you like it or not and the thing that's been bugging me for a long time is the UFO stories and I've told you before that if I were in charge of the let's say some massive brainwashing operation I would want to know if I could test when the public is ready for the the big one and the UFOs would be this nice little silly story that no matter which way it went it would just be kind of funny so it wouldn't hurt you so you put this UFO story out and then you wait a few weeks and you see how many people believed it now I don't know the answer to that can you tell me what percentage of the public believed the UFO story less than half not 25 but it was fewer than half was it not fewer than half believed it was true I did a fact check on that you're just guessing all right so here's my conspiracy theory that if 75 percent of the country had believed the UFO story then the brainwashers in charge would know that we're ready for the big one and the big one would be assassination the big one would be assassination and that because the UFO story was not bought hook line and sinker that they pulled back on the plan to kill Trump and they may have they may have the same plan for musk for all I know but now I'm not saying this is true not saying this is true I'm just saying that if you remove any uh Trust in Media we're all left with our own devices so we're all going to look for patterns and then we're going to think those patterns mean something they don't a lot of times the patterns are just you know accidental patterns uh but I'll tell you the pattern I see with the the Forbes thing this basically is trying to change the public's opinion of how much they think about the rich people now who do you think of when you think of rich people Trump and Musk like they're they're defined by being rich people so if you can make rich people look like they're the bad ones and you can make the public believe anything including UFOs you can just kill the rich people if they're in your way and then you can tell the public that it was an accident and 75 will believe 20 25 won't believe but it's not enough to change it the 25 was probably how many believe that Kennedy was killed by the CIA for most of my life probably 25 percent of the public thought the CIA killed Kennedy right so that was enough that Society did not rise up because 25 just isn't enough 75 said let's let's just move on probably one gunman right so that's what scares me about the UFO story it looks like it's planted it didn't look organic to me and it looked like there would be some point to it and the only other point I could think would be to scare China or Russia into thinking we have some technology that they don't know about maybe I mean that's another plausible explanation but I it feels like a test to see if we're ready to believe literally anything you you would have to get us to Kennedy levels of trust in the system before you can listen to the system say oh no problem it was one bullet it was a Magic Bullet but it was just one yeah because remember the public believes the Magic Bullet for most of my life they believe there was a Magic Bullet that just like went through the and still do yeah yeah I don't know how many bullets there were but maybe we'll never know so that's what scares me um and that's the reason the the study says all these unethical Tendencies according to the psychologist is why the rich uh can succeed in life but fail in love so the rich fell in love because they're not trusted that's not why the rich fell in love would anybody like me to explain to them why the rich fell in love there's anybody who doesn't know the obvious answer that because we can afford it we can afford it why is this a mystery rich people have the most options so you have the most temptation and the let's say the wife if you take a classic situation with a richer guy and marries somebody a a woman who marries a rich guy doesn't have to put up with any chance because they're going to get enough money even with a prenup even with a pre-dop there's going to be some bag of money involved so all you do is change the financial incentives and you would get this result and this psychologist thinks it has something to do with trust has nothing to do with trust it has to do with follow the money follow the money Works 100 of the time and the money suggests that getting married to a rich guy and then divorcing the rich guy is a really good deal because then you could have money plus a guy you like better why wouldn't everybody do it I don't know how any rich people stay buried to me it would be a miracle if anybody ever stayed married to a rich person yeah because the money suggests that you shouldn't so they don't it's as simple as that all right uh the ukrainians have uh I didn't know this but they've developed a substantial uh weapons manufacturing capacity didn't see that coming but apparently the ukrainians can make a lot of weapons now uh locally uh big ones we're talking about artillery now they're made out of plastic and wood and they don't fire any shells they're used for decoys so Ukraine has this massive decoy military and Industrial process where they're making where they're making decoys to use up the Russian Artillery so that they're all happy about their fake fake Radars and stuff yeah so they just make it out of wood and they spray paint it and they wait for the Russians to destroy it now on one hand I think this is awesome pretty good strategy I'm sure it works yeah it's using up their their weapons on the other side on the other hand I don't know if I would bet on the group that needed to make wooden weapons I'm just gonna say if there if there if there's any way to determine who's winning and who's losing a war I would look to the one that had to make weapons out of cardboard right if one side is making weapons out of cardboard and plastic bottles they are not going to be the winner right again I remind you I'm no military analyst but if I were a military analyst I would not place a large bat on the people who were making weapons out of wood that's just me they did the same thing during World War One and Two they did they did yeah I'm not saying it's a bad strategy I'm just saying it doesn't sound like the Winner's strategy it sounds like in addition that the other side has better better weapons because I don't think Russia is doing that do you think Russia is making a bunch of wooden artillery they don't need to because they have so much of the real stuff yeah I mean it's just an indicator of what's happening there all right I was asked uh on the locals platform somebody asked me what's the difference between affirmations and wishful thinking so an affirmation is when you're Imagining the thing you want to be true as an aid to making it true and visual thinking is just when you wish you had something and my answer is this wishful thinking is just wanting affirmations is closer to deciding because if You Can chant or write down or visualize this goal every single day you probably decided because you just wouldn't do that unless you had really committed yourself to it because the affirmations are sort of the last thing you do sometimes at first but typically you know you're already trying to do something in that regard you're trying to make something happen and then you say all right how about affirmations so affirmations are a pretty good sign because you're going to do it every day that you're committed to this thing wishful thinking is like me thinking well you know if I were Elon Musk what would I do today right but I'm not trying to make myself Elon Musk it's just uh wouldn't that be fun and then you watch a movie and you see somebody's having a good life you say oh wouldn't that be fun but that's just wanting and there's no faith involved in either case let me be clear believing and having some faith has nothing to do with any wishful thinking there's no faith required for wishful thinking but there's no faith required or belief for affirmations the idea behind affirmations which may be not even true is that the simple process of concentrating on a goal makes it more likely to happen there are several ways that could be true way number one is that there's some backwards causation happening and the way that works is if you can spend 15 minutes a day focusing on your objective it probably means you already decided to do whatever it takes to get there so it's the deciding whatever it takes to get there that was probably the operational part but by coincidence there's a correlation between people who are going to do whatever it takes and people who would also do an affirmation so it could be the affirmations are just attached to people who are going to do whatever it takes so that you would see a correlation between affirmations of success then that would be the least magical explanation right that would just be pretty straightforward people who do one thing are likely to do the other thing as well so it's not the other thing that's predictive it's just associated so that could explain it all I would be one of those personalities so my personality is once I've decided to do something I'm going to do all of the things you know I'm going to do all of the things and one of them might be affirmations whether I think it works or not because once I've decided I'm going to do all the things I'm not going to leave out any of the things like if they might work all right try it so that could be one reason they appear to work another would be that you there's something called a reticular activation I didn't make this up it has to do with the fact that you notice things that are relevant to you and repeating a goal makes something more relevant to you because it's at the front of your mind so whatever is at the front of your mind tends to be the filter where you notice things in your environment for example if you if your best friend bought a certain color and model of car from that moment on the moment after you saw your friend bought this car a certain color model you'll see that car everywhere you get on the highway there's one there's one and you never noticed before it's because your friend's car moved to the front of your mind and it became your filter and now you're seeing things that you just wouldn't have noticed before because you changed your filter that's how it works now suppose that you did an affirmation about becoming a famous cartoonist and you didn't know how to do it would you notice some opportunities that you wouldn't have noticed before because you set that in the front of your mind well that's what made me a cartoonist I literally was doing the affirmations but didn't know how to become one and I turned on the TV and I noticed would I have noticed before don't know I noticed there was a TV show telling people how to be a cartoonist now I missed the show and I wrote a letter and asked some questions and that got me started but what I have even noticed if I hadn't put that filter in the front of my mind to become a cartoonist no no so it could be just filtering for opportunity there's a study by Dr.

Wiseman who studied luck luck he wanted to see if there was such a thing as luck there isn't so it turns out nobody can guess things better than other people but he did this study I talk about all the time where he asked people to sort themselves by optimists and pessimists and then he gave them all the same tasks which was to count the number of photographs in a newspaper so the pessimists counted the number of photographs and on average they got the right number let's say that was 42 just to make up a number and but it would take them several minutes to go through the newspaper and count them all up but they'd get the right answer the optimists would also get the right answer but it would take them seconds they were done in seconds but it took the others minutes and the reason that the optimists were done in seconds on average again this is just on average is that The Optimist noticed that on page two of every newspaper in big writing is said stop counting the photographs that were 42.

it was right there in big writing stop counting them they're 42.

now the pessimists were not expecting any luck that's what pessimists are so they just said one two character photographs three Droopy Dog four five forty two the optimists are always looking for luck all the time something good is going to happen to me something good is going to happen and they're like all right let's start this task hey I guess I can stop I got some luck I thought this was going to be boring but look I got lucky page two it says stop counting boom done so Dr.

Weisman hypothesized that What's Happening Here is that people who expect luck are actually adjusting their filter to see more of it so is it possible that when I was expecting good things to happen you know to become a cartoonist that I just set my filter for good luck and then I saw it and then I saw some good luck Maybe the other possibility for why affirmations could work is it just makes you more serious about your goal you basically talk yourself into being more serious about it by thinking about it and repeating it every day so it could be just that maybe it makes you focus better but the experience that people have is almost magical like there was some luck that that popped up maybe they're just noticing the luck but here's the weirdest explanation that we live in a simulation that this reality of ours is a simulation and that the way you navigate the simulation is by your intentions your intentions that's what an affirmation is an affirmation is your intention put into words when you put an intention into words what happens words are the operating system of your brain they're words just words so as soon as your intention turns into a set of words then you can reprogram your brain the intention isn't good enough you need you need to word it reinsert it and repeat it and then it becomes the code in your brain that's what a reframe is all right so my book teaches you how to use words in a short sentence to reprogram your brain there's no effort involved you just read the words you're done read it once and that's all you have to do that's the entire change read one sentence once and there are 160 of those sentences so one possibility in the simulation is that you're not just programming your your brain with Words which would be good but there might be something even weirder if we're a simulation it could be that's the way we steer within the simulation in other words maybe we have lots of possibilities but when you focus on one it actually veers you into a reality in which it's true so it's not that there's one reality and there's one set of things that could happen there are infinite dimensions and you can through your affirmations move your path off of a dimension that you're heading toward and toward a different one so you're not making something happening that's the way that's the way it feels like affirmations feels like you made your environment change but what if the environment's never changed and all that happened was you moved to a new one that would be perfectly possible if we're a simulation but not possible under you know more normal understanding of reality now given that I'm pretty sure we are a simulation because the odds are a trillion to one that were anything but that that's a longer discussion um my understanding my operating understanding of affirmations is that it's a steering mechanism to steer toward a reality that's more in my my liking so wishful thinking is just some thinking about some good things there's no operational part to that it's just thinking once you have an intention and that intention turns into words and you either read it as a reframe such as my book or you turn it into an affirmation where you say I Scott Adams will have a best-selling book I actually use that one on my vessel books and uh so that would give you all the tools you need to change dimensions all right how many you just had to your minds blown and anybody's mind just blow up laughs I love watching the comments when I when I know something's happening yeah yeah this is one of those moments when you're saying to yourself holy cow yeah this is sort of a holy cow moment isn't it now you understand my entire life the the filter that I just explained to you with affirmations and the simulation and all that that's what I live every day that that's my everyday understanding of my environment is what I explained it's really nice it's nice to live in that frame whether I don't know what's true maybe truth is beyond us but I can live in that frame and it's really Pleasant where because I feel like I'm changing my environment but really I'm just changing which environment I choose to experience and I would argue that there are other forms of affirmations somebody mentioned prayer if you were if your frame is that there's a Supreme Being and that praying to that Supreme Being is the mechanism that causes the thing to happen in your real life that could be nothing but another way to steer toward another dimension you know one where the things are happening that you want so it could be that the god model works perfectly well or as well as affirmations because it would be just a steering mechanism in both cases yeah but the but in my telling of things the faith would be um the faith would be unrelated to the effectiveness you wouldn't need any faith there's just a mechanical process you could add Faith but it would it would neither add to or detract from the outcome somebody says God works best I'm going to agree with you because we're all different so I I very much think that for some types of people the God prayer model is exactly the right one and for other types of people maybe some other model is the one that works best but I don't think it's I don't think it's universally true all right faith is not even close to being mechanical that's what I said right you think you're disagreeing with it no that's what I said faith is not mechanical but you would only need the mechanical part to observe benefits the faith might be additional but like you said they're not the same don't think that the mechanical process and Faith are related the faith is extra all right well that got everybody thinking didn't it I think I'll leave you on this don't believe anything in the news uh and uh I will talk to you tomorrow so I'm going to say goodbye to the folks on the X platform first and then You.

Tubers I'll see you tomorrow

attitude

[Music]

good morning everybody and welcome to

the highlight of human civilization

possibly Mars the civilization not to uh

just to the Future

oh YouTube doesn't have sound

probably YouTube would be better if I

put my microphone on

[Music]

probably this would be better if I had

my microphone on too

I bet everything would be better with

sound

that's what I think

if you'd like to take your uh oh oh

apparently I have to turn off the uh the

comments for every every episode I

thought I'd have them off but the the

YouTube comments I will be ignoring

because there's too many anti-semites if

you'd like to make comments you could

always be on the subscription locals

platform

or you could be on the X platform that's

streaming live right now at the same

time but too many anti-semites

on YouTube and I think they're not

organic I think somebody's sending them

here so we're gonna ignore them but if

you'd like to take your experience up to

levels which I've never seen before all

you need is a copper mugger glass a

tanker Chelsea Style again teen Jokers

fill with your favorite liquid I like

coffee

and join me now for the unparalleled

pleasure the dopamine the other day the

thing that makes everything better is

called the simultaneous sip go

ah

so good

so good

well I hear the people who are ordering

my hard copper hardcover version of

reframing your brain

the notices that's taken to October 19th

which means

you probably don't want to wait Beyond

November to order it if you're going to

get it for gifts

now a lot of people are buying you know

five to ten copies of the book because

it turns out it's sort of the perfect

gift for literally everyone

anybody who can read because it will

change lives it's guaranteed

and some people told me that the best

thing about giving this book as a gift

is this the first time they can explain

who I am

because a lot of people are getting heat

for listening to me

if you've been getting Heat

for listening to me

this book will explain me in a way that

other people will understand for the

first time

so that's one benefit from it if you're

having a hard time explaining why you

would listen to Somebody Like Me that'll

do it for you it's already changing

lives in a very big way

so don't wait too long or you won't have

yours by Christmas all right because as

you know reality likes to follow the

path

of most entertainment

the winner of the U.S Open tennis was a

Djokovic

and Djokovic is famous for what besides

tennis

famous for rejecting vaccinations

to the point where was it last year he

was not even allowed to play in the U.S

open

because he was unvaccinated

well he came back he won the damn

tournament and uh he was not only the

winner but the sponsor

sponsor of the tournament let's see one

of them was a moderna

moderna and so he was featured in the

moderna shot of the day

that's right they showed a highlight of

Djokovic the most famous denier of

vaccinations

and it was labeled the shot of the day

moderna

yeah

yep yep

that's almost as bad as uh Tick Tock

advertising on Fox News

as soon as you hear the advertiser you

go oh man what's going on here

so that's happened

there's a company called Voyager labs

who theoretically hypothetically

can predict a crime before it happens

now New York City is using the software

but not in that way so that's not the

only thing it does

so they say New York City is not using

it to predict crime

but it could do it

there's there's a thought that it could

do it but here's my question

as much as I'm not sure I want the

government to be able to predict crime

because you know that that's going to go

terribly wrong right if the government

can predict crime this is not a good not

a good predictive sort of thing

but here's a question I ask you

what if citizens could use it to protect

themselves

would that be wrong

suppose you could you could run it

against everybody that I know AI knows

is living in your neighborhood and even

if you could check the police

that are your local police that are on

your streets

suppose you got you got uh stopped in a

by a police for speeding or something

suppose you could tell immediately if

your police officer was going to be

dangerous to people like you

yeah wouldn't that be useful if as soon

as you saw the police officer come up

and you saw the name if somehow you had

some way to know oh this one's a bad one

you know this one's been accused of you

know five different abuses already so

you better better you keep it under

wraps or suppose it would tell you to

move

suppose you ran this offer and said um

you're a single woman living in this

neighborhood your odds of being abused

are 80 80 you better get the hell out of

here

I don't know I feel I feel like

something that was predictive of crime

would be useful to Citizens because you

could even know if your own friends are

likely to steal from you

wouldn't that be handy to know if the

people you're working with or the people

you want to do and deal with are likely

to rob you

that's an interesting question I don't

know if the software could actually

identify that kind of risk but if it

could

if it could would you use it

it's kind of creepy

it would definitely discriminate but it

would also keep you safe

well Joe Biden can anybody confirm that

this really happened I saw it on a tweet

but I did not see a source is it true

that Joe Biden said I guess yesterday

maybe that China has become too weak to

invade Taiwan

because their economy is so bad

he actually said that what do you think

of that

do you think that's true

you know you know what's interesting is

it might be a little bit true

it's certainly not true enough

right it's not 100 true and it's

probably not 50 true

but it's an interesting point that that

their their economy

is a little bit sketchy but I would be

surprised if they couldn't mount a war

with their existing assets

so

I think that's an overstatement but it's

a variable

it might be a variable that's making a

try to have second thoughts imagine if

you are

um

president XI

and sure you're a dictator so you got a

lot of control but you still need to

keep other people happy

right because the the other Elites could

gang up on you if you were just totally

out of control

so even the head of China needs to make

other people happy

imagine if imagine if you're the head of

China president XI and you see that

you've got all these other economic woes

and the really big ones like demographic

problems things you can't really easily

fix

so let's say you see manufacturing is

leaving you know you're you're maybe

losing some of your access to some

high-tech stuff

yeah you're a little bit uh pressured by

everybody you got to spend a lot on

Social Services you've got 50

unemployment among the youth suppose

you've got all those problems and at the

moment they're sort of a little bit

under wraps

meaning that the average Chinese citizen

is probably not not thinking about them

every moment of the day

so you're you're kind of stable but

there's a lot of stuff a lot of big

stuff that could be a problem and fairly

soon

under those conditions

would you want to take the chance of

your economy imploding

coincidentally at the same time that you

started a war

because the problem is if it looked like

you made a mistake starting a war

at the same time it looked like you made

a mistake managing the economy

that might be too many mistakes

so if you're a Chinese leader could you

stand the the internal National pressure

of having a failed economy and a war

that's not maybe going too smoothly

because who knows what would happen

I feel like I feel like Biden is on to

something

I feel like if China's economy were 100

solid

the president she could take a chance of

screwing up a war

and still stay in power

but if the economy is bad and there's a

war the Chinese public are going to say

why are we spending money on a war

when we've got these other problems you

know just like the American economy is

so it could be that the best thing to

reduce the chance of war in the world is

bad economies

because Wars make economies worse

especially if you lose all right

so maybe maybe binds onto something a

little bit there

so Biden was in Vietnam embarrassing the

country

but he picked the right country to do it

you know if you're going to send Biden

onto the international stage

wouldn't you want to send them to a

country that values the elderly

yeah I don't think we should send Biden

anywhere

where they don't have a real strong

cultural preference

for showing respect to the elderly

because can you imagine the face of the

Vietnamese uh you know leaders who were

greeting them uh

yeah you're totally all right

uh-huh the things coming out of your

mouth totally makes sense oh we respect

you you Elder

yeah I got a feeling that they could

fake it better than other countries

can you imagine the Russians

imagine Biden imagine Biden taking this

performance to Russia you know as if he

would travel to Russia but imagine the

Russians watching Biden you know

flustered and mumbling around and

wandering off

they would literally be drinking and

laughing

but you take him to Vietnam and

everybody's like

we respect the elderly let's let's just

let him let him be

[Laughter]

so I don't know

the the fact that there's sort of a cats

on the roof quality to the old Biden

experience you know what I mean he Biden

is failing right in front of us

but because every day is sort of similar

to the day before but you know half a

percent worse

every day you say ah today well

it's not that much but worse than it was

yesterday

and then the next day uh

it's just not that much worse than

yesterday but if you start adding it up

you know at least half of one percent of

worse every day

things are looking pretty bad in six

months if you know what I mean

compounding compounding interest

so that's how we got here to this absurd

ridiculous situation

uh I guess commonly Harris was sent to

the 911.

event today

and Biden said he was going back to bed

after he talked to the people in Vietnam

now I to be fair the time change must be

brutal you know beyond a certain age

traveling and time changes and tough

schedules it's got to be brutal I have

to admit

um but maybe you shouldn't say it out

loud

I'm going back to bed

all right

uh

California is

kind of quietly looking to reverse a

California law that would punish doctors

for spreading coveted misinformation

now in all of the uh can we call it

of the pandemic

somehow I'd forgotten

that California had a law

that doctors who are doing their doing

their best to help their customers but

if if they happen to say something that

was not the approved Orthodoxy of what

you can say

they could be punished

for being

wrong according to other people not for

being wrong

we're not talking about punishing the

doctors for being wrong

no that's not even the topic it's not

about being wrong it's that they can't

even say it

if it's against the you know the

standard interpretation

so the fact that it's not about being

right or wrong should be the scariest

thing in the world

is really just about not being you know

with the government's allowed

interpretation

so there's slowly it looks like they're

they're sticking it in some other

legislation kind of kind of slowly walk

it back

but at least as we walk back

however you can't be too happy about it

because it existed in the first place

in modern times

In Our Lifetime that existed that was a

real thing that was a real law and still

is by the way they just haven't reversed

it yet

I mean the the the level of wrongness

that we've experienced in less than five

years or so I think it's unprecedented

now I saw a scientific study that is

being questioned so we don't know if

it's true that the human brain has

shrunk

in the past I don't know however many

thousands of years

and that we used to have bigger brains

you know right before the ice age or

something so our brains used to be

bigger than others smaller

do you know what that would explain

what would that explain if our brains in

fact gotten smaller

now the answer is everything it would

explain everything

yeah you know how we couldn't understand

how the Ancients could build pyramids

but we wouldn't know how to do it today

using their technology

what if they were just smarter

that's that's the whole story

it's like well if you're as smart as we

used to be you could have built a

pyramid too

maybe that's the whole answer

maybe the maybe the answer to what's

wrong with everything

is that we're Dumber and maybe there's

nothing else to it

I don't think so and the other

scientists

who are not part of this study or not so

sure that we're getting Dumber some of

them are saying oh yes generally

speaking the bigger the brain the

smarter you are but there could be an

exception where if you have more folds

it could be tighter and more compact

like a microchip so it might actually be

better

but there's one theory that says that

brains shrunk because we didn't need to

to think individually

the ones you can depend on other people

to remember things and do some of your

thinking for you sort of group thinking

that you didn't need as much individual

intelligence to stay alive

and that therefore it atrophied because

you didn't need this so much not buying

that

so what should you believe about this

new study about brain shrinking

nothing including the fact that they

shrunk because even that's questioned

other people say you can't really

measure the size of a brain back then

because you know it's not preserved and

blah blah blah you can't really tell

so ignore all that so here's the CNN

narrative on Trump courtesy of Stefan

Collinson

and by the way I try to predict who the

opinion piece will be based on the title

so I look at the title of the opinion

piece before you see the name associated

you try to guess which which person it

is and this one I as soon as I saw I was

like that looks like Stephen colinson to

me sure enough

um

here are some things it says

the Republican front runner meaning

Trump his Stark speech

they're saying Stark instead of dark

I think we embarrassed them off dark

and so it's now it's turned Stark

so it's very Stark

uh the Front Runners Stark speech raised

the prospect of a second presidency that

would be even more extreme and

challenging to the rule of law than his

first

now do you believe that you could

objectively make the case

that the Trump Administration

was just purely objectively

had more or less a disregard for law

than the Biden Administration

does anybody think that's the case

I can only think of one instance where

this is even a question and the one

instance is January 6 and January 6 is

an up it's a misinformation up by the

left it's not even real it's not even

real in the sense that obviously it

wasn't an Insurrection but half of the

country thinks you can overturn a

country with some paperwork and some

trespassing

so

so the the thing with the Democrats is

that they're so brainwashed to believe

that they're the good guys that you can

just put this out there like it's true

and you don't have to support it well

you know there's this one Administration

that was ignoring the law

and the Democrats go oh yeah oh yeah

thank goodness we've got an

Administration that just follows the law

now

is it amazing

to me it's just like mind-boggling

that there's even a possibility that

somebody thinks that they could measure

one administration's flouting of the law

compared to the other how in the world

would even compare

so that's uh brainwashing

propaganda Point number one is to make

you accept uncritically that one of them

is the honest one and we just started

from there well start from the

assumption that one is the honest side

now look at all these crimes whoa

yeah

how about we check that Assumption of

which one flouts the law

um

and Collison goes on to say that talk

about Trump his view that the Oval

Office confers unfettered powers

wait

so Stephen Collison on CNN wrote this

sentence about Trump his view that the

Oval Office confers unfettered powers

um what evidences are of that

exactly what evidence is there of his

internal unspoken thoughts

it's just put here like it's a fact

yes mind reading it's mind reading once

you by the way I'll say this again once

I introduce the idea

that a lot of what you see in politics

is people pretending they could read

minds when obviously they can't

once you see it you see it everywhere

right the the mind reading phrase

it's like pervasive and why and then

once you realize that it's

um completely illegitimate speech

meaning that it's just somebody trying

to brainwash you it's not somebody who

has a like a real opinion

so let me finish this this is mind

blowing his view as if he could know

this his view that the Oval Office

confers unfettered Powers suggests Trump

would indulge in similar conduct as that

for which he is awaiting trial

all right so let's see if I can put this

all together because he's talking about

the January 6. so the fake accusations

about January 6

form a base completely fake accusations

that we see that if we read his mind

and we read his mind we see that he's

likely to do more of the thing that

never happened

because we read his mind

did I state that right they read his

mind Trump's mind and in it they can see

that he's likely to do more of the

things he's falsely accused of

that's called the news on the left

that's the news it's an opinion piece

but it's on a news site

well uh there's a lot of concern by the

people who care about AI that there will

be a an October surprise

you know that's the big news story that

you don't expect but of course you

always expect that before before an

election the October before the election

so that not this not this year but one

year from this October they will have an

AI inspired deep fake that will be

convincing enough that will change the

election

now here's my question

I feel as if this could go either way

we might have reached the point where

people will stop looking at photos and

videos

suppose

you had a site that wouldn't show you

any of it they wouldn't show you a video

and they would never show you a picture

they would only describe it

that would be as close as you could get

to real news because videos and pictures

lie they're the biggest Liars

so I feel like if I knew a human wrote

the story

and there were no pictures or videos to

distract me and lie to me

that might be closer to real but also if

there's no picture of video it's easier

to lie

so there's no real good good solution

here

um

but what do you think do you think that

there will be a deep fake October

surprise I say no

and the reasons I say no there'll be

lots of attempts

so there'll be plenty of default

attempts but I think we'll be so on to

the fakes that we will be primed to see

everything is fake even when it's not I

think it's more likely we'll think a

real thing is fake

oh okay here's my prediction here's my

prediction it's more likely we'll think

a real thing was faked

then we'll think a fake thing was real

anybody want to take the other side of

that bet it'd be hard to prove but look

look for a situation where there's a

real thing

that one side or the other believes is

fake

I think that's slightly more likely than

actually believing a deep fake now we

might believe a deep fake for a day

but we wouldn't believe a deep fake for

two days if we're following if we're

watching the news because it would get

debunked pretty quickly

and then I think that AI will be able to

detect AI

so we should have pretty quickly an AI

That's a watchdog of other AI

hey do you know why there's no such

thing as an AI fact check

isn't that the obvious thing if chat GPT

can do search

shouldn't it also be able to watch your

posts on social media and automatically

add a fact check

it already it we have that ability right

now right how hard would it be it would

be somewhat easy

do you know why you don't see it

why is there no chat GPT fact check

because the Democrats can't control it

they they do know that chat GPT is

biased toward the left but not in every

way

not in every way it still will give you

facts sometimes

so if you let Chachi BT do an automatic

fact checking it would destroy the

Democratic Party

because their entire operation involves

gaslighting their own team

it just doesn't work on the other side

because the other side is you know

there's sort of primed to reject

everything that comes from this side

just automatically so it doesn't work

except for their own team

but what would happen if they thought

chat GPT was real it's real enough

and that it kept disagreeing with their

own team

there's no way the Democrats can allow

chat GPT to become or AI in general to

be part of the public conversation

unless they've biased it so badly that

it can't possibly be useful

just think about that so that's my

prediction

my prediction is Democrats will never

allow

AI to be part of fact checking unless

they've corrupted it so badly that it

can't really do the fact checking

anybody want to take the other side of

that prediction you don't want to take

the other side of that one there will

never be

an AI

fact Checker approved by democrats

it can't happen just think about that

fact so this is going to be the biggest

dog not barking

once it becomes like incredibly clear to

every citizen that chat GPT could

identify the

you're going to ask why it's not doing

it

uh if it can identify fakes and

and uh you know facts that are just to

spend and of course I could do that

why why aren't we massively using it

that doesn't mean it will get everything

right it could just flag things you

should look into more deeply

but wouldn't that be useful yeah look

how useful the community notes are on

the X platform the best thing ever the

community notes where they they add the

contacts because the community notes do

not seem to be targeting one side would

you agree

if you've watched any the the community

notes have taken down people on the left

and the right

it's just the fact is the fact

so

yeah I think that's the most I think the

community notes are the most successful

fact-checking process

so far

all right

um

Jake Tapper uh looks like he's trying to

get Elon Musk assassinated or jailed uh

because he's pushing a narrative via his

questioning he's pushing the narrative I

was talking to Tony blinken

and he says I'll paraphrase but Jake

Tapper said that musk effectively

sabotaged a military attack against a

U.S Ally

now his version of it is that musk

deactivated the Skylink satellites his

own satellites that Ukraine was using

and they were planned to use it for a

maritime attack which would have been

essentially a Pearl Harbor attack on the

Russian Fleet

before the Russian Fleet you know I

don't think they're all in one place now

so so there was at one point during the

early part of the war when the fleet was

in one place or a lot of it and

a an attack of that size would have made

musk uncomfortable because he says he

talked to some high-ranking Russians who

threatened nuclear response if things

got too bad and that that looked like it

was possibly a nuclear trigger

and that musk himself apparently decided

that he would not turn on those

satellites and there's some difference

in the reporting the way the way Tapper

describes it it sounds like he turned

them off

but indeed they were never on in the

first place so they were actually asking

him to participate

in something that could have started

World War III and he said no

he just said no

uh

he never he never promised coverage over

Crimea because he thought Crimea was a

red red and now the uh

blinken quite wisely I thought he

handled it well instead of saying

anything good or bad about musk or what

he did or did not do blinken just said

and this is the right answer this you

know I've I'm not a big blinking fan

but he gave the exact right answer he

said we think Skylink is important has

been important and will be important to

the the future in our war

and then you know and then Tapper tried

to humiliate him for avoiding the

question

to which I say thank you for avoiding

that question

I I wanted you to avoid that question I

wanted you to say Skylake is important

and we're going to keep using it where

we can

that's all I want to hear

I don't want to hear you say anything

about an American citizen

who's trying to help every way he can

I don't want to hear any criticisms

about him in that context I mean

criticism is fun but not in that context

so blinken played that exactly right

because you don't want to piss off musk

if he controls the biggest asset in the

sky uh

but to watch Jake Tapper frame this in a

way that would

get musk killed or jailed

is probably one of the least ethical

things I've ever seen in my life

would you agree

if anybody saw the clip did it look like

the least moral and ethical ethically

responsible thing you've ever seen

and the idea here is that musk was doing

his own foreign policy

which would be illegal

now at what point is talking to somebody

else

foreign policy

where is it the fact that he didn't turn

on the satellites as a foreign policy if

I don't give you assets for your for

your military stuff is that interfering

am I doing my own foreign policy if I

decide not to go kill people you want me

to kill

that's my own foreign policy

yeah refusing to help in a war that

doesn't look legitimate

to some people that would be foreign

policy

well let me say this

uh we would have a big conversation

about what foreign policy means because

do you think I've never talked to

anybody in another country

that's what the x-platform does it

allows people in other countries to DM

me

are there not plenty of public figures

and I would be one of them who have had

conversations with people in other

countries in which they tell me things

that inform my opinion

you know many cases I don't believe them

because it looks like propaganda but

we're not allowed to talk to people in

other countries

under under what conditions are we not

allowed to talk to other people

because I'm not aware of any law that

would prevent me from talking to anybody

under any conditions

who can tell me who I can talk to in

another country

is there a law about that

I you know if it's my job to go over

there and influence them that's

something but I can't have a

conversation

where where I learn things and they

learn things that are you know not

secrets

yeah you know there's it's one thing to

be I guess Carrie was kind of

negotiating with Iran somebody said so I

mean that's the real kind that might be

a problem but if all must did is talk to

a bunch of high-ranking Russians and

they told them something that is a

little bit obvious you know that they

would consider nukes under some

situations and then he acted on that

how is that wrong

like what what kind of law did that

violate

not wanting to be involved in starting

World War III is doing your own foreign

policy

that's quite a stretch

so to me it looks like um

powers on the left are ganging up to

take Trump or to take Moscow I think

that they need him gone in order for

their

um propaganda gaslighting machine to

work because if you can't get the

x-platform to go long

it's a little more obvious what you're

up to

well let's talk about Nikki Haley whose

prospects seem to be rising a lot of

people are liking her

but she is a pro uh or in Ukraine and

funding it whereas Trump and Vivek to

name two would be a little more

aggressive in trying to wind down that

war and get us out of there but

she said a win for Russia in that war is

a win for China

do you see that a win for Russia is a

win for China

that feels like a

like a weak reason

doesn't it

there's something about that reason that

makes me think she doesn't have a reason

yeah it's like why do you have to

stretch you're giving billions of

dollars for a war and you've got to come

up with some

third-party effect for why it's

important

there's not a first party effect as in

people dying right now and it either

does make us safer or not in terms of

Russia but but the real concern is China

is she just bad at explaining things or

is that her actual reason

I know I I feel like her explanations of

the Ukraine situation

I'm not saying that they're wrong

but they're at the very least poorly

explained and I don't think you could

have a war

that's poorly explained

like that feels like really important to

explain it accurately

so yeah this whole win for Russia is a

win for China

that's a little too thin that's some

weak soup right there

which is different from saying we should

or should not fund them all right I have

my opinions on that but what we're

talking about now is just this

explanation just doesn't even feel real

it sounds like somebody had to sit down

and think it up all right can you come

up with a reason why we're funding this

war well

Russia well uh we'll let's see we'll be

safer from rush now we're not going to

be safer from Russia we'll actually be

in more Danger from Russia so the reason

would be to save you create well now

Ukraine's totally destroyed so it's not

it's not about saving Ukraine

um it's about making sure that NATO is

not really I mean it's not really about

NATO

so I feel like it was somebody who had

to come up with a

an essay for a college class

and he had to say something that

somebody hadn't said already oh I think

I'll write an essay well

let's say I'll I'll talk about the third

third effect you know Downstream

I mean it doesn't even it just doesn't

seem real

it sounds like CIA

let's just say what it sounds like it

sounds like somebody in a propaganda job

came up with this ridiculous

you know China is really about that

Russia is really about China

and Ukraine is really about China

I'm sorry

nope nope yeah did you know what you'll

never see now you'll definitely see

somebody like Vivek say that you know we

should be focusing on China and it's not

helping us to be focused over here

that's a lot different

than saying a win for Russia is a win

for China that those don't sound the

same to me

but I get the fact that our focus is in

the wrong place but

um well wait a minute I've got this

backwards so Vivek is saying we should

get out

because being there

is good for China and Nikki Haley is

saying we should stay there and fund it

because getting out would be good for

China

so so there are two major Republicans

who can't even tell you for sure well

one of them's right but we don't know

which one's right I'm not smart enough

so we can't even tell if a war

is good or bad for our main let's say

competition in China

that's a pretty fundamental problem do

you know what I say when you can't

decide if a war is good or bad for you

how do you handle it when you can't

decide if it's good or bad for you

you don't do it

you don't do a war if you're not sure

right unless it's a defensive war and

then you're sure

but that's pretty scary even the

Republicans can't don't know why we're

there

yeah

here's a little uh interesting tidbit

um there's a drug called mementine

that's given to adults with uh

dementia it's a Memory drug so it's

already approved existing memory drug

and there's some newer studies that say

it might be useful for reducing ADHD

and

um

but hold on

but you won't be able to find this in

the news

do you know why

why would you not be able to find that

there's an existing drug

that maybe and by the way you should not

take any medical advice from me I'm not

I'm not making the claim that it works

I'm not making the claim that it works

how would I know I'm not a doctor do not

take any drugs because you heard it on

the show

all right let's be clear

I'm just spitballing here there's no

medical advice

however

there

there are at least some doctors who work

in the field who are pretty sure that

it's having some effect

why is it that if you did a search for

it would be hard to find that

could it be that there's some other drug

that makes a lot of money

that is the current thing that works for

ADHD

could it be there's some other drug

so here's how you understand drug news

if if you do a search and it says hey

there's this one drug that everybody

should use for this situation it

probably means that whoever sells that

drug did a good job of managing the

search engine optimization so that their

thing comes up and anything else doesn't

come up now as you know I gave you a

direct example of this the other day

where there's something I have personal

knowledge of because I am in fact cured

by surgery on my throat but if you

searched for my condition

good luck going way down the search to

find the known cure

instead you will find out that Botox is

the gold standard of treatment

which in fact is by far

a less good

um

cure

than the surgery now the surgery doesn't

work for every person so there's some

risk to it but the botox doesn't work

for every person either

so so we do know with some certainty I

can tell you with personal experience

that

the the search engine optimization for

drugs that work

doesn't work

so that the search engines are all

um they're all owned they're essentially

been neutered by the drug companies

so if there were a drug and I'm not

saying there were there is I just this

is just one story

uh you wouldn't know about it

so your social media would prevent you

from knowing about cures that would

totally change your life like really

change your life

imagine having ADHD that wasn't properly

treated

and that you wouldn't know that there

was something out there that could help

you maybe again don't take my word for

it I'm not a doctor

but the the level of evil that we're

seeing because when it comes to medical

stuff

regular marketing

shouldn't even be legal

because the way the way you Market a

normal consumer product is you say ours

is the best and the other person sucks

and that doesn't even necessarily need

to be true

you might not have the best one it might

be overpriced your competition might

have a better one but we're kind of used

to that when it's just some consumer of

good

but when it comes to life and death

like that your quality of life is below

the worth living point but it could be

above it if you simply have this little

information about what would make you

better and the search engines will just

bury that

not intentionally perhaps it's just

maybe gaming from the from the people

who are trying to game it but uh

it's just so unethical it's almost hard

to keep it in your head

anyway

there's this new book on musk it's a

biography by Walter Isaacson and musk

himself must be happy about it because

I saw him sending a post in which he was

recommending a interview with Walter

Isaacson

without even seeing it because he said

everything that guy says is kind of

interesting so they like each other

apparently so that that's good to know

just when you're right when you're

trying to evaluate how true the

biography is it's good to know that the

biographer and the subject got along and

uh yeah I guess Walter Isaacson was

talking to Lex and Friedman

and on a podcast which probably be quite

interesting I would imagine

there's a few anecdotes coming out and

one of the one of them is about the

relationship between Elon Musk and Bill

Gates

which you might know

is not ideal

now the funniest thing about this was

that they didn't always know each other

isn't that weird that only a few years

ago they seemed to have met for the

first time

how is that even possible

how did Elon Musk and Bill Gates not end

up in the same room

just naturally a bunch of times

without even trying

yeah

um

so by the way my trigonometry podcast is

up today apparently

trigonometry look for that if you know

that it's one of the best podcasts

um

so here are some things we learned from

the biography that uh musk was really

mad at gates for shorting Tesla stock

now if you're not an investor

a short is a bet that the stock will

plunge and go down and then you can make

money by betting against the stock so

you can either buy a stock and make

money when it goes up or you can do

what's called selling a short

where you make money when it goes down

but that's considered putting pressure

on a stock like if somebody buys a big

short it makes other people say well

what do you know that I don't know so

it's a big pressure on the stock price

so it's kind of a messed up thing to do

if you're the person who owns a lot of

stock in that company

and so musk apparently challenged him

when Gates wanted to bring one of his

children to watch a launch

uh oh here's a sub category there's part

of the story that's also interesting

when gase wanted to schedule with musk

to bring Gates kid to see launch or see

a rocket or something uh musk told them

that he fired his schedulers because he

didn't like them having too much control

over his schedule so that to schedule

with him you'd have to call him directly

to like call his phone number

so Bill Gates wanted to schedule it and

have his secretary set it up but he

couldn't send his secretary to call musk

directly

because I would just sort of be

inappropriate so he had to you had to

schedule it himself so Bill Gates called

musk and scheduled it

so apparently when they got together uh

one of there was some disagreement about

whether there could ever be a

Tesla semi truck

I just saw one

so it must said it would be impossible

to use battery power to make a the big

semi trucks

and I think musk was saying that they

were already running at the time that he

said that it were impossible they were

like already up and running and you know

and now they're in lots of places I saw

one yesterday or the other day

so I guess Gates was completely wrong

about the um capability of the batteries

and

it turns out that musk can knew a lot

more about batteries than Gates does

surprise and that

gase was just totally wrong about

everything about Tesla and his and his

potential Now musk's problem

is that gase is not just a guy who's

investing to make money and so he asked

him reportedly musk asked Gates why he

would have a short on the one company

that is doing the most

to get us away from fossil fuels

and Gates basically said he did it to

make money

he bet against the most important

anti-fossil fuel company the one that

would be doing doing the most

to make fossil fuels unnecessary he bet

against it

in a way that could damage it like

severely

to make money

and he said it directly

yeah he just did it to make money

so

um

and then I guess the quote from musk

after learning this was must said in a

note to somebody at this point I am

convinced that he meaning Gates is

categorically insane and then I then

parenthetically in an to the

Core

Ed buff said I did actually want to like

him Psy

so in person Elon Musk says he's either

crazy

or just an who doesn't care

about anything

so

um so now I know you're going to extend

this and you're going to say Buzz Scott

you said he doesn't invest just to make

money

you said he's you know using his fortune

to make the world a better place and

haven't I've been telling you that he's

he's evil and he's trying to destroy the

world

I don't think you could use this example

to make that case here's why

you don't think that the previous

richest person in the world has any bad

feelings about the current richest

person in the world

you don't think the gates and musk have

a personal situation that is primarily

what's driving them

and that has nothing to do with anything

else the gates does anywhere else

yeah to me it just looked personal it

just looked like uh Gates lost his Mojo

to musk musk is now the the better Gates

basically

because when I grew up Bill Gates was

the the standard of you know high-tech

entrepreneurial success but he's not at

the moment

at the moment that's musk so imagine

going most of your life being the guy

like you're the guy for technology and

now there's another the guy

and and you're getting all this trouble

for your personal Behavior Etc

I don't know to me it just looked

personal

I I think that Gates would have been

happy to see a Tesla go down

because it would have made Gates look

smarter

but I don't think you could take that

which is pretty ugly

and extended to the reason he's making

toilets in Africa is to make money

that's a pretty big stretch

but people are people are complex so

they're neither all good nor all bad

yeah yeah it just seems personal to me

so I'd say I doubt he's insane but uh

to the core appears to be

consistent with what people have said

about gates from the first days I would

never argue that he's not an

you didn't hear that did you I've never

made that case

I'm not saying that if you were there in

person

you'd be a good guy

I doubt it

I was watching uh last night I was

watching a special on Frank Sinatra

and

here's something I didn't know about

Frank Sinatra

in my opinion his greatest

accomplishments we never talk about like

if you think of Frank Sinatra you think

oh

you know a great singer and he was in

movies and successful and stuff but it

turns out that his maybe most awesome

accomplishments had nothing to do with

those things those things allowed him to

be Frank Sinatra so he could do the

other things

for example he had in his little rack

pack you know his group of guys included

um

uh Sammy Davis Jr

now in the days in the 50s Sammy Davis

Jr couldn't even stay at the hotels

where they performed

he wasn't allowed to stay there or or to

eat there or something yeah because the

racism was so that bad but because

Sinatra was so powerful

he would just go in and say yes you are

you absolutely going to change that

you know no discrimination when I'm here

Sammy is going to be treated like

everybody else and they would just force

people to do it so he was one of the

biggest forces

for you know realistic diversity in in

entertainment at least and also the

world so he basically went to the mat

against

um discrimination

but there was another story that I

hadn't heard until I watched this so

apparently at the time that Sinatra had

moved to Palm Springs I think it was

Palm Springs

and other rich people wanted to spend

some time there too it was just a good

place for rich people but a lot of the

rich Jewish

actors and Hollywood people

couldn't even join the big Golf Club in

Palm Springs I don't know how many there

were but there was one big one that they

would want to be a member of but they

were not allowed

so they were Rich enough they decided to

start their own Golf Club so that all

the the Jewish members could play but it

wouldn't be restricted so you didn't

have to be Jewish it's just that they

wouldn't restrict anybody so it ended up

being you know lots of Jewish members

well Frank Sinatra who is not Jewish

um

he actually moved his home

onto the golf course

so that Frank Sinatra was basically

endorsing you know this this new

Arrangement that was not discriminating

against his friends

so if you if you and it was a big a very

apparently especially for the area it

was a big statement like his statement

was if this club isn't going to let my

friends in you're not going to see me

there

and seeing Frank Sinatra was sort of a

big deal so so he put the hammer down on

two very you know notable uh situations

in which he would not tolerate

discrimination

and to me that was his his greater

accomplishments but this is not even why

I was going to talk about it

I was going to talk about him because he

was also a miserable drunk

and apparently he was just terrible to

people when he was drunk and he really

liked to drink so it wasn't that

uncommon

but when you watch the people talk about

him they talked like they were seeing a

God it's like oh my God he was so nice

and apparently he did just

incredible amount of charity work like

for individuals but also for

organizations he did like just all kinds

of Charities saying he said yes to

everything so he was in fact

a genuine charitable guy who did things

which I think could have changed history

I mean it might might be that important

uh

but he could also be

a pretty mean guy

so how do you handle the fact that

somebody is sometimes terrible

and sometimes an angel and he can be

both guys it could be both people

and I think you have to keep that in

mind when you're looking at any you know

anybody like Bill Gates

so if you want to say that he's like

pure evil that doesn't feel likely to me

that feels really unlikely but if you

told me that everything he does is noble

and for the good of humanity I would say

clearly not

clearly not

but he could be both

he could be one of the most useful

people to Society and also an

there's not there's no competition there

he could be both

I speak from personal experience

I like to do things that help the world

but am I flawless

no

obviously

all right people are complex that's my

only point

um

do you remember when Forbes the

publication was a respectable

publication

oh my God I don't know what happened

but oh my God

so there's an article here about how

the Richer more unethical than the poor

the rich are more unethical and immoral

than the poor it's in Forbes

this informed

and here are the examples

without any

no believable data to back it

that the rich have lacks attitude toward

the rules so they're more prone to break

laws while driving

hinting at a belief that certain rules

might not apply to them

yeah because when I'm afraid of a crime

for example I don't want to be around

rich people

yeah no if you want to be free from

crime go to the poorest part of the

country

because that's where people are

morally strong

you can leave your door unlocked just go

to any inner city just leave your door

unlocked because there are no rich

people there to take your stuff because

they're all immoral there's rich people

the rich also according to the Forbes

article it's an opinion piece of I guess

skewed ethical compasses yeah because

that's something that the rich have but

not the poor they're inconsiderate yeah

they're richer inconsiderate unlike the

poor

who just

they they're so considerate

and the rich have something called an

overemphasis on winning

whether in games or work

yeah those those stupid rich people they

have an over emphasis on winning

so you wouldn't want any of that around

you would you let me get away from those

winners my God

now do it do I even need to add

commentary to this

this is Forbes

and they're basically saying kill rich

people

indirectly I mean all the the rich

people are the bad people so if you did

something bad to uh if he did something

bad to a rich person well that would not

even be immoral would it because they

have it coming they're all they're all

bad people

my God

do you think that the uh the left is

trying to kill Trump and musk like

actually kill them

uh I don't know if anybody's had a

meeting where they said those words

but if you were to judge by actions

it looks like it

it looks exactly like it

you know you want to hear here's my

conspiracy theory

I'm going to give you the conspiracy

theory of all conspiracy theories I will

not say that I believe my own conspiracy

theory and therefore you should

but when a situation is created

we're we're led to a certain set of

conclusions whether you like it or not

and the thing that's been bugging me for

a long time is the UFO stories

and I've told you before that if I were

in charge of the let's say some massive

brainwashing operation

I would want to know if I could test

when the public is ready for the the big

one

and the UFOs would be this nice little

silly story that no matter which way it

went it would just be kind of funny

so it wouldn't hurt you so you put this

UFO story out and then you wait a few

weeks and you see how many people

believed it

now I don't know the answer to that can

you tell me what percentage of the

public believed the UFO story less than

half

not 25 but it was fewer than half was it

not fewer than half believed it was true

I did a fact check on that you're just

guessing all right so here's my

conspiracy theory

that if 75 percent of the country had

believed the UFO story

then the brainwashers in charge would

know that we're ready for the big one

and the big one would be assassination

the big one would be assassination

and that because the UFO story was not

bought hook line and sinker that they

pulled back on the plan to kill Trump

and they may have they may have the same

plan for musk for all I know but now I'm

not saying this is true

not saying this is true I'm just saying

that if you remove any uh Trust in Media

we're all left with our own devices

so we're all going to look for patterns

and then we're going to think those

patterns mean something they don't

a lot of times the patterns are just you

know accidental patterns

uh but I'll tell you the pattern I see

with the the Forbes thing

this basically is trying to change the

public's opinion

of how much they think about the rich

people

now who do you think of when you think

of rich people

Trump and Musk

like they're they're defined by being

rich people

so if you can make rich people look like

they're the bad ones

and you can make the public believe

anything including UFOs

you can just kill the rich people if

they're in your way

and then you can tell the public that it

was an accident

and 75 will believe

20 25 won't believe but it's not enough

to change it

the 25 was probably how many believe

that Kennedy was killed by the CIA

for most of my life probably 25 percent

of the public thought the CIA killed

Kennedy

right

so that was enough that Society did not

rise up because 25 just isn't enough

75 said let's let's just move on

probably one gunman

right so that's what scares me about the

UFO story

it looks like it's planted it didn't

look organic to me and it looked like

there would be some point to it

and the only other point I could think

would be to scare China or Russia into

thinking we have some technology that

they don't know about

maybe I mean that's another plausible

explanation but I it feels like a test

to see if we're ready to believe

literally anything

you you would have to get us to Kennedy

levels of

trust in the system before you can

listen to the system say oh no problem

it was one bullet it was a Magic Bullet

but it was just one

yeah because remember the public

believes the Magic Bullet

for most of my life

they believe there was a Magic Bullet

that just like

went through the

and still do yeah

yeah I don't know how many bullets there

were but

maybe we'll never know so that's what

scares me

um

[Music]

and that's the reason the the study says

all these unethical Tendencies according

to the psychologist is why the rich uh

can succeed in life but fail in love

so the rich fell in love because they're

not trusted

that's not why the rich fell in love

would anybody like me to explain to them

why the rich

fell in love

there's anybody who doesn't know the

obvious answer that

because we can afford it

we can afford it

why is this a mystery

rich people have the most options

so you have the most temptation

and the let's say the wife if you take a

classic situation with a richer guy and

marries somebody a a woman who marries a

rich guy doesn't have to put up with any

chance

because they're going to get enough

money even with a prenup

even with a pre-dop there's going to be

some bag of money involved so

all you do is change the financial

incentives and you would get this result

and this psychologist thinks it has

something to do with trust

has nothing to do with trust it has to

do with follow the money follow the

money Works 100 of the time

and the money suggests that getting

married to a rich guy and then divorcing

the rich guy is a really good deal

because then you could have money plus a

guy you like better

why wouldn't everybody do it I don't

know how any rich people stay buried

to me it would be a miracle if anybody

ever stayed married to a rich person

yeah because the money suggests that you

shouldn't so they don't

it's as simple as that

all right uh the ukrainians have uh

I didn't know this but they've developed

a substantial uh weapons manufacturing

capacity

didn't see that coming but apparently

the ukrainians can make a lot of weapons

now uh locally

uh big ones we're talking about

artillery now they're made out of

plastic and wood and they don't fire any

shells they're used for decoys

so Ukraine has this massive decoy

military and Industrial process where

they're making where they're making

decoys to use up the Russian Artillery

so that they're all happy about their

fake fake

Radars and stuff yeah so they just make

it out of wood and they spray paint it

and they wait for the Russians to

destroy it

now

on one hand I think this is awesome

pretty good strategy I'm sure it works

yeah it's using up their their weapons

on the other side on the other hand I

don't know if I would bet on the group

that needed to make wooden weapons

I'm just gonna say if there if there if

there's any way to determine who's

winning and who's losing a war

I would look to the one that had to make

weapons out of cardboard

right if one side is making weapons out

of cardboard and plastic bottles

they are not going to be the winner

right again I remind you I'm no military

analyst

but if I were a military analyst

I would not place a large bat on the

people who were making weapons out of

wood

that's just me

they did the same thing during World War

One and Two they did

they did

yeah I'm not saying it's a bad strategy

I'm just saying it doesn't sound like

the Winner's strategy it sounds like in

addition that the other side has better

better weapons

because I don't think Russia is doing

that do you think Russia is making a

bunch of wooden artillery they don't

need to because they have so much of the

real stuff

yeah I mean it's just an indicator of

what's happening there

all right I was asked uh on the locals

platform somebody asked me what's the

difference between affirmations and

wishful thinking

so an affirmation is when you're

Imagining the thing you want to be true

as an aid to making it true

and visual thinking is just when you

wish you had something

and my answer is this

wishful thinking is just wanting

affirmations is closer to deciding

because if You Can chant or write down

or visualize this goal every single day

you probably decided

because you just wouldn't do that

unless you had really committed yourself

to it because the affirmations are sort

of the last thing you do

sometimes at first but typically you

know you're already trying to do

something in that regard you're trying

to make something happen and then you

say all right how about affirmations

so affirmations are a pretty good sign

because you're going to do it every day

that you're committed to this thing

wishful thinking is like me thinking

well you know if I were Elon Musk what

would I do today

right but I'm not trying to make myself

Elon Musk

it's just uh wouldn't that be fun and

then you watch a movie and you see

somebody's having a good life you say oh

wouldn't that be fun but that's just

wanting

and there's no faith involved in either

case

let me be clear believing and having

some faith has nothing to do with any

wishful thinking there's no faith

required for wishful thinking but

there's no faith required or belief for

affirmations

the idea behind affirmations which may

be not even true

is that the simple process of

concentrating on a goal makes it more

likely to happen

there are several ways that could be

true

way number one is that

there's some backwards causation

happening

and the way that works is if you can

spend 15 minutes a day

focusing on your objective

it probably means you already decided to

do whatever it takes to get there

so it's the deciding whatever it takes

to get there that was probably the

operational part

but by coincidence there's a correlation

between people who are going to do

whatever it takes

and people who would also do an

affirmation

so it could be the affirmations are just

attached to people who are going to do

whatever it takes so that you would see

a correlation between affirmations of

success then that would be the least

magical explanation right that would

just be pretty straightforward people

who do one thing are likely to do the

other thing as well

so it's not the other thing that's

predictive it's just associated

so that could explain it all I would be

one of those personalities

so my personality is once I've decided

to do something I'm going to do all of

the things you know I'm going to do all

of the things and one of them might be

affirmations

whether I think it works or not

because once I've decided I'm going to

do all the things I'm not going to leave

out any of the things

like if they might work

all right try it

so that could be one reason they appear

to work another would be that you

there's something called a reticular

activation I didn't make this up it has

to do with the fact that you notice

things that are relevant to you

and repeating a goal makes something

more relevant to you because it's at the

front of your mind

so whatever is at the front of your mind

tends to be the filter where you notice

things in your environment

for example if you if your best friend

bought a certain color and model of car

from that moment on the moment after you

saw your friend bought this car a

certain color model you'll see that car

everywhere

you get on the highway there's one

there's one and you never noticed before

it's because your friend's car moved to

the front of your mind and it became

your filter and now you're seeing things

that you just wouldn't have noticed

before because you changed your filter

that's how it works now suppose

that you did an affirmation about

becoming a famous cartoonist

and you didn't know how to do it

would you notice some opportunities that

you wouldn't have noticed before because

you set that in the front of your mind

well that's what made me a cartoonist

I literally was doing the affirmations

but didn't know how to become one and I

turned on the TV and I noticed

would I have noticed before

don't know I noticed there was a TV show

telling people how to be a cartoonist

now I missed the show and I wrote a

letter and asked some questions and that

got me started

but what I have even noticed if I hadn't

put that filter in the front of my mind

to become a cartoonist no no so it could

be just filtering for opportunity

there's a study by Dr Wiseman

who studied luck luck he wanted to see

if there was such a thing as luck there

isn't so it turns out nobody can guess

things better than other people

but he did this study I talk about all

the time where he asked people

to sort themselves by optimists and

pessimists

and then he gave them all the same tasks

which was to count the number of

photographs in a newspaper

so the pessimists counted the number of

photographs and on average they got the

right number let's say that was 42 just

to make up a number

and but it would take them several

minutes to go through the newspaper and

count them all up but they'd get the

right answer

the optimists would also get the right

answer

but it would take them seconds

they were done in seconds

but it took the others minutes

and the reason that the optimists were

done in seconds

on average again this is just on average

is that The Optimist noticed that on

page two of every newspaper in big

writing

is said stop counting the photographs

that were 42.

it was right there in big writing stop

counting them they're 42.

now the pessimists were not expecting

any luck

that's what pessimists are so they just

said one two character photographs three

Droopy Dog four five forty two

the optimists are always looking for

luck

all the time

something good is going to happen to me

something good is going to happen and

they're like all right let's start this

task

hey I guess I can stop I got some luck I

thought this was going to be boring but

look I got lucky page two it says stop

counting boom done

so Dr Weisman hypothesized that What's

Happening Here is that people who expect

luck are actually adjusting their filter

to see more of it

so is it possible that when I was

expecting good things to happen you know

to become a cartoonist that I just set

my filter for good luck and then I saw

it and then I saw some good luck

Maybe

the other possibility for why

affirmations could work is it just makes

you more serious about your goal you

basically talk yourself into being more

serious about it by thinking about it

and repeating it every day so it could

be just that maybe it makes you focus

better but the experience that people

have is almost magical

like there was some luck that that

popped up

maybe they're just noticing the luck

but here's the weirdest explanation

that we live in a simulation that this

reality of ours is a simulation

and that the way you navigate the

simulation

is by your intentions

your intentions

that's what an affirmation is an

affirmation is your intention

put into words

when you put an intention into words

what happens

words are the operating system of your

brain they're words just words so as

soon as your intention turns into a set

of words then you can reprogram your

brain the intention isn't good enough

you need you need to word it

reinsert it and repeat it and then it

becomes the code in your brain

that's what a reframe is

all right so my book

teaches you how to use words in a short

sentence to reprogram your brain there's

no effort involved you just read the

words you're done read it once and

that's all you have to do that's the

entire change read one sentence once

and there are 160 of those sentences

so

one possibility in the simulation

is that you're not just programming your

your brain with Words which would be

good

but there might be something even

weirder if we're a simulation

it could be that's the way we steer

within the simulation in other words

maybe we have lots of possibilities but

when you focus on one it actually veers

you into a reality in which it's true

so it's not that there's one reality and

there's one set of things that could

happen there are infinite dimensions and

you can through your affirmations move

your path off of a dimension that you're

heading toward and toward a different

one so you're not making something

happening

that's the way that's the way it feels

like affirmations feels like you made

your environment change

but what if the environment's never

changed

and all that happened was you moved to a

new one

that would be perfectly possible if

we're a simulation but not possible

under you know more normal understanding

of reality now given that I'm pretty

sure we are a simulation because the

odds are a trillion to one that were

anything but that

that's a longer discussion

um my understanding my operating

understanding of affirmations is that

it's a steering mechanism

to steer toward a reality that's more in

my my liking

so wishful thinking

is just some thinking about some good

things

there's no operational part to that it's

just thinking

once you have an intention

and that intention turns into words and

you either read it as a reframe such as

my book or you turn it into an

affirmation where you say I Scott Adams

will have a best-selling book

I actually use that one on my vessel

books and

uh so that would give you all the tools

you need to change dimensions

all right how many you just had to your

minds blown

and anybody's mind just blow up

laughs I love watching the comments when

I when I know something's happening yeah

yeah this is one of those moments when

you're saying to yourself

holy cow

yeah this is sort of a holy cow moment

isn't it now you understand my entire

life the the filter that I just

explained to you with affirmations and

the simulation and all that that's what

I live every day

that that's my everyday understanding of

my environment is what I explained

it's really nice

it's nice to live in that frame whether

I don't know what's true

maybe truth is beyond us but I can live

in that frame and it's really Pleasant

where because I feel like I'm changing

my environment but really I'm just

changing which environment I choose to

experience

and I would argue that there are other

forms of affirmations somebody mentioned

prayer

if you were if your frame is that

there's a

Supreme Being

and that praying to that Supreme Being

is the mechanism that causes the thing

to happen in your real life that could

be

nothing but another way to steer toward

another dimension you know one where the

things are happening that you want so it

could be that the god model works

perfectly well

or as well as affirmations because it

would be just a steering mechanism in

both cases

yeah but the but in my telling of things

the faith would be

um the faith would be unrelated to the

effectiveness you wouldn't need any

faith there's just a mechanical process

you could add Faith but it would it

would neither add to or detract from the

outcome

somebody says God works best I'm going

to agree with you because we're all

different

so I I very much think that for some

types of people the God prayer model is

exactly the right one and for other

types of people maybe some other model

is the one that works best

but I don't think it's I don't think

it's universally true

all right faith is not even close to

being mechanical that's what I said

right you think you're disagreeing with

it

no that's what I said

faith is not mechanical

but you would only need the mechanical

part to observe benefits the faith might

be additional but like you said they're

not the same don't think that the

mechanical process and Faith are related

the faith is extra

all right well that got everybody

thinking didn't it I think I'll leave

you on this don't believe anything in

the news

uh and uh I will talk to you

tomorrow

so I'm going to say goodbye to the folks

on the X platform first

and then YouTubers

I'll see you tomorrow