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Episode 2574 CWSA 08/22/24

Episode #2574 Aug 22, 2024 1:06:46 28,924 views

DNC hoaxes, fake data everywhere, and more fun. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.

Opening General Commentary

Well, what a show it's going to be today. You know, I'm so excited for you that you don't even need to be excited yourself. That's how good it's going to be. All right, everybody, strea

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SimultaneousSip General Commentary

m on in here and get excited. Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, the best time you'll ever have in your whole life. And if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny s…

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NewsReaction Persuasion

p, and it happens now. Oh, oh, oh. That's good stuff. Well, let's talk about some fun science updates and then politics. Politics we'll get to it. So there's some research published in Science Advances saying that the simpler your headline, the more clicks you get. That's right. If people reading…

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MainContent Health & Biohacking

time you heard the media criticize Trump for his simplistic communication style? Bet you didn't realize it completely disappeared, didn't it? What? Honestly, it's been years. I think it's been years since they brought that up. "Oh, he uses simple vocabulary." Do you know why? Because at this point e…

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MainContent Climate & Environment

working on for a long time. The other day I had a very bad mental attitude. I woke up just feeling a sense of dread and doom that wasn't really connected to anything happening in the world that was different than the day before when I felt fine. You know, surely there are problems in the world but w…

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MainContent Media & Fake News

uld be burning a lot of stuff. So the climate models assume more people equals more burning. That's a basic part of the models. But it turns out that when you look at the ice samples, the more humans there are, the less biomass there is that's burned. It's opposite. So one of the key assumptions th…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

how it works. All right, female doctors. There's another study says female doctors have a far greater risk of taking their own life than even male doctors but higher than other professions. Now when I used to be a banker it was my job to make loans to doctors and dentists and professionals like tha…

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MainContent Career & Life Strategy

nt named Ner, that's the last name, Ner, N-A-I-R anyway, made it clear that she wants to get rid of all the white supremacy in the nuclear weapons group, get rid of the white supremacy in the nuclear field. And she wants to gay up the nuclear weapons as part of the diversity, equity and inclusion. S…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

eople who didn't know who the people involved were for this quiz, you said all right here's a list of characteristics of JFK. So President JFK, you know what was he all about? Just describe what he wanted and his policies. And then do a description of Trump and what he wanted but you take out all th…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

ot listed as an author. That is a fake fact check. What makes it fake is not that it's wrong because it's actually right. What makes it fake is if you watch the network and that's the only thing that got fact checked you would believe the other. You'd say well they would fact check it. They got this…

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Closing General Commentary

im. They might do it today. They might do it tomorrow. It could take eight years. They're going to kill him. There's nothing that's going to stop it. And by the way if you were Israel you'd feel the same way. Now am I encouraging it, promoting it, embracing it? I'm not even involved. I'm just observ…

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Well, what a show it's going to be today. You know, I'm so excited for you that you don't even need to be excited yourself. That's how good it's going to be. All right, everybody, stream on in here and get excited.

Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, the best time you'll ever have in your whole life. And if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need is a cup or mug or a glass, a tankard, chalice or stein, a canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

Oh, oh, oh. That's good stuff.

Well, let's talk about some fun science updates and then politics. Politics we'll get to it. So there's some research published in Science Advances saying that the simpler your headline, the more clicks you get. That's right. If people reading the news see your headline and they understand what all the words mean, they're more likely to click it. If they don't understand what you're trying to say in the headline or it's a little too clever, they won't click it because why would they? They don't even know what it's about.

Now who could have told you that without the research? Who could have told you that if you understand what the topic is of the story, you're more likely to click it versus not knowing what the story is about because they use big confusing words? Oh, they could have asked me. They could have saved some money. "Scott, we're thinking of doing this study to see if dumbass big freaking academic-looking titles get as many clicks as clear, fun, short ones." And I would have said, "Whoa, good thing you asked me. Save your money. Those clear short ones are going to get more interest."

Now here's the fun part. How many of you remember back in 2015 and 2016 when Donald Trump was considered the dumbest person in all of public life because when he talked, he talked like he had a sixth-grade vocabulary? I mean, my goodness, how could he possibly be a president with a sixth-grade vocabulary? He's always using simple words. And what's wrong with that guy, huh? And then I told you that's perfect. The thing they're criticizing is the best communication style of all time according to every study and every observable experience.

When was the last time you heard the media criticize Trump for his simplistic communication style? Bet you didn't realize it completely disappeared, didn't it? What? Honestly, it's been years. I think it's been years since they brought that up. "Oh, he uses simple vocabulary." Do you know why? Because at this point everybody figured out that was the better way to communicate because the world is not as smart as writers and people who make headlines. The people who make headlines went to college and the college told them to use big words and so they do to impress their editors and their friends. And then the people who read it, who necessarily maybe didn't go to such a good college, they look at it and say, "I don't even know what those words mean. I think I'll click on something else."

So I really could have helped you there. But once you understand that Trump is arguably the best public communicator of all time, you know, even with his flaws, nobody's ever been more persuasive or more clear about what they want than he has. So shorter is better.

There's a medical study saying that it's published in JAMA Psychiatry. Publication anyway shows that kids who had persistent inflammation as kids, body inflammation, were far more likely to develop serious mental health disorders including psychosis and depression. Now to their credit, the article about it says very clearly that they have not established that the inflammation causes the other problems. It could be either related or associated. So the first thing I'll say is congratulations for clearly writing about science in a way that makes sense. But at what point in the article did they tell you that it wasn't necessarily causation? Was it up at the top? Was the first sentence "We don't know if this is causation but there's a great correlation between"? Do you think it did that? No, it did not. No, you had to read a long time before they confessed, "Yeah, we don't know if the inflammation causes the problems. Could be just correlation."

So I'm only going to give them partial credit because the reason that you would click it and read it is that you thought that they had established some causation. And if you knew that they did not establish any causation because they don't have the data to do that yet, maybe you would have read it differently or not read it. But here's my hypothesis that I've been working on for a long time. The other day I had a very bad mental attitude. I woke up just feeling a sense of dread and doom that wasn't really connected to anything happening in the world that was different than the day before when I felt fine. You know, surely there are problems in the world but why did I feel fine yesterday and then I wake up one day and then I feel like dread and doom? Do you know what the answer is? It's how my body felt. When my body feels suboptimal, my brain follows along.

If you're still under the model that your brain and your body are two different functions, you're going to be, your odds of happiness are practically zero. Let me say that again. If you think that your brain and your, well, let's put it this way. If you think that your body is not a component of your mind and that it's only that little brain thing that's inside your skull that's part of your mind, oh, you're not going to succeed at anything. You have to get rid of that. Your body is your brain.

Here's what I mean. How did I solve the problem that I felt a sense of doom and dread and, you know, I would have even called it like a mild depression? It was because my body didn't feel good. I didn't have enough exercise. I had some inflammation maybe. So I basically take a, you know, an Epsom salt hot bath and my inflammation goes away and I eat some food I like and I get some sleep and all the doom went away. So my brain problem was just my body. So as soon as you realize that your brain is your body and that imagining they're two separate systems gets you all the wrong answers, your body is your brain. I'm depressed. What am I going to do about it? Do some brain stuff? No. Do something with your body. Get outside, get some sun, get some vitamin D, work on your inflammation if you have a problem. So that's my hypothesis based on my observation in my own life is that whenever my body hurts, my brain is in a bad place. Whenever my body feels extraordinary, my brain's fine. No problems at all.

Anyway, it's a good thing that climate models are dependable. Oh well, there's a new story that two prominent and very experienced climate scientists, you've probably heard of them before, they're sort of the contrarians in that space. Richard Lindzen, I've talked about him before, and William Happer. Now they're both very highly qualified professionals in science, specifically spent a lot of time in the global climate change stuff. Here's what they say. Apparently their claim is the following, that if you add some CO2 to the air it might warm the environment or does actually. So they would agree that if you add CO2, you produce CO2 to the air and there's not much there already, that as you're adding a little bit to the air it'll cause some warming. But here's the surprising part. They claim is that when you reach a certain level, which we have already reached, that the science is very clear that the CO2 will stop having that same warming property. In other words, we've already reached peak CO2 warming potential. Adding more won't make any difference at all.

So their claim is, let's see if I can get it in their words, that the physics of carbon dioxide is that CO2's ability to warm the planet is determined by its ability to absorb heat. So if it doesn't absorb heat it doesn't warm the planet. But its ability to absorb heat, this is the CO2, decreases rapidly as CO2 concentration increases. So it's basically the opposite of all of climate change. That it does correlate with an increase in temperature at lower rates but when you reach about where we are now it should plateau. So they're saying basically it's not going to add any warming because it can't. As soon as you have enough concentration of CO2, which is where we're at, you could add more but it won't get any warmer.

Now do all scientists agree? Of course not. But these are two very qualified, well-known, you know, even I know these names not in the scientific field but I'm well aware of these two scientists. So if they're right then everything about the climate models is wrong. And they've made a fairly simple claim, one that you think could be tested. Now I'm not going to claim that these scientists are right and all the other scientists are wrong. I'm going to claim that we don't know anything about anything. Like all of our sense of certainty is all artificial. It's, you know, we imagine that the data is never going to change and nobody's lying and all the assumptions they made are true and that it's actually possible to predict the future based on a multivariable model. It's not. It's not even close to possible and everybody in the field knows it but you don't.

All right, so but if that were the only problem that would be the end of the climate crisis completely. And it does seem like a testable claim. Could you not test in a laboratory the increasing CO2 in let's say just a laboratory setting, a totally controlled environment? And I think they've done that, right? I'm pretty sure I've seen tests where in the laboratory if you introduce CO2 to a little closed environment you can demonstrate that it causes warming. So if the claim is that a certain saturation level stops doing that instead of infinitely creating more warming, that would be easy to test, wouldn't it? Couldn't you just build a little terrarium or something that looks like Earth in a box or, you know, in a sealed environment, introduce some CO2, measure the temperature. Sure enough we added CO2 and the temperature went up. Now keep adding it until you get to the concentration we're at today in the real world. Does it keep going up as you keep adding to it or does it plateau as these two scientists would suggest?

So the fascinating thing about this is it seems so testable. Maybe we'll find out it's real. Who knows? I'm not going to tell you that these scientists are right and the others are wrong because I have no way to know that. But I love the fact that they're very qualified people and they've got a very different idea of what's going on. But at least the rest of climate model stuff is all pretty solid, you know. It's only that one assumption that they have to test. You know, the one assumption that drives everything. That's the only one they're questioning. The one assumption that makes everything different. But are there any other assumptions in these climate models, huh?

Well it turns out that there have been some new studies of ice and they can melt the ice in a special scientific way and figure out what kind of gases and stuff were in the ice and then they can reconstruct things about the past to know if their climate models today would have worked in the past as well. That's pretty important. So what they find out? Well it turns out that the amount of biomass that has burned over time has been decreasing as the population of the world increases. So biomass burning means like a forest fire, right? Just a natural fire outdoors is a biomass burning. So the climate models assumed that the more people you added to the world, the more burning there would be. I assume they mean because people would burn forest to plant farms, people would burn wood to heat themselves, people, humans would be burning a lot of stuff. So the climate models assume more people equals more burning. That's a basic part of the models.

But it turns out that when you look at the ice samples, the more humans there are, the less biomass there is that's burned. It's opposite. So one of the key assumptions that people equals more burning and that's fed into the model is opposite according to these new studies. Now again, does it mean the new study is correct and all the things in the model are incorrect? I don't know that. I'm just saying that one part of science that should be taken as credibly as the rest probably is saying that they got that big variable opposite.

So suppose there were only two problems with the models that have lots of variables and suppose the only two problems were they got this biomass thing backwards and they got the CO2 doesn't do anything after it reaches a certain saturation. What if they got those two things wrong? Well then the entire models are nothing. Garbage.

Now let me say something again that if you're not convinced yet, oh I'm going to wear you down. It goes like this. There is no such thing as accurate data for anything that matters. If it doesn't matter or it's something we all observe like yes there's a hurricane, yes the news says there's a hurricane, science says there's a hurricane. Okay, the easy stuff we all agree that's real. But all the stuff that really has big dollars involved, it's never real. You can't have data collection and big dollars involved at the same time. But unfortunately that's the only way anything happens because the only people willing to spend all the money it would take to collect data on something as big as the climate would be people who have a lot of money involved. So there isn't actually a system in place in the world to get accurate data about anything that matters. Think about that. It's not a set of accidents. It's not like well we looked at this data and it turns out that somebody involved was gaming the system but then we looked at some other data. Ah it turned out there was something wrong with that data too. And you say to yourself wow I'm sure all the rest of the data in the world is good but these two look like they were wrong. No. There is no way that it's even possible for data to be correct about anything important because the people presenting it have an interest and they're only going to show it to you if they can make that data look whatever it is that they need it to look.

So now there's no such thing as accurate data about anything that matters. And don't be confused by the data on things that don't matter. There's probably plenty of data on things that don't matter to anybody politically or monetarily. But if it matters and there's money involved, it's never real. It can't be. Design is destiny. The design of the system is the only people who collect the data are the people who have a lot of money involved in it being one way. That's our system.

If you suppose you designed that on paper and you presented it to somebody as a way to run the world, suppose nobody had ever collected any data for anything before and you said you know what if we started collecting data in this world and we applied some science we'd be way ahead. So they come up with the idea of collecting data and they say all right here's how we're going to do it. It's going to be expensive to collect any data that really matters and it's going to move the needle. So who's going to be doing the collecting? The government. Oh no, the government might be biased. You know, might be Democrats in office versus Republicans. You can't really trust the government with data. So then I'd say wait, so you're saying that all information that comes from the government will be fake? Oh yes, of course it will. Of course it will. Because it's either Democrats in charge or Republicans in charge and neither of them have an interest in telling you the truth, right? They have a gigantic monetary and other career interests in telling you the truth they want you to hear.

Do you think we could see that effect in the real world if the government has an incentive to lie to you all the time? Well let's look at some data. Have you heard about the jobs reports that are being revised by over 800,000 because they were all fake? Turns out it's way worse than that because we might be looking at jobs that were created as fake jobs to get PPP money during the pandemic. So there's some suggestion that there might be 5 million fake jobs because people pretended they had employees so they could get money from the government and pretended they had companies. So some people think that our jobs numbers are completely just ridiculous and just made up and now they're being revised. So that's exactly what you would expect to happen if in fact your design of how you collect data was wrong and delegated to the people who had the most interest in lying to you.

The current situation, let's see what else. How about our numbers about crime? Do you think our crime statistics that come from the government are pretty good, pretty accurate? No, because some people stopped collecting crime and then they started just making stuff up. And I think we're all aware at this point that the crime numbers are made up. Would you agree? And even when they're not made up they put it in the wrong context like comparing to the pandemic versus not the pandemic which is no comparison at all. So we don't have jobs numbers that are real and we don't have crime numbers that are real and it's because the government is in charge of those numbers. And there is no scenario in which the government wants you to have real numbers. Every scenario no matter who's in charge they want it to look like it's good for their team, period.

So if you were to ask private companies to get you information, let's say drug companies to do drug studies, what should you expect if you were going to put that design, if you were going to design that system on paper? All right, the people who could make a billion dollars if the drug is safe are in charge of telling you that the data says it's safe. What do you expect? Yeah, the design of the system guarantees that all important data is fake. We've designed the system. See you have to understand that it's a system design problem. It's not a bunch of people who have made a mistake coincidentally in each of these important domains. That's not what's going on. There's no mistakes happening. People have a great interest in making assumptions that will drive the numbers the way they want them to be driven. And whoever collects numbers gets to make the assumptions. "Oh these numbers are good enough. These numbers don't look dependable to me. I'll leave these out." That's how it works.

All right, female doctors. There's another study says female doctors have a far greater risk of taking their own life than even male doctors but higher than other professions. Now when I used to be a banker it was my job to make loans to doctors and dentists and professionals like that for a while. That was my job. And one of the risks of making loans to medical professionals especially dentists is that they had unusually high rates of taking their own lives. Dentists in particular have like career-wise are right at the top of taking their own lives. I'm not surprised that doctors may be a little higher and that female doctors are the highest. And I have a hypothesis to add to this. You know the obvious things would be that being a doctor isn't as good as it used to be and you don't have the same prestige and the work is terrible and a lot of the time you're just doing work that's just busy work to make sure you stayed up all night because for some reason the medical field wants to torture you when you're a new doctor. I've never understood that, to make you stay up 21 hours and all that stuff.

But here's my hypothesis. Since all of those things would be pretty common male or female, I think it's access to pills. If you were a doctor and you were deciding to end it all wouldn't you do it with pills? I would think so. And if you had access to them because you could get all you wanted I would think that would explain most of it actually. It seems like there are a lot of people who probably think about doing something to themselves but it's sort of hard. You're not quite sure how to do it in a way that you'd be willing to do it. But if your job was giving out pills and you could get all you wanted, if you could have asked me you didn't have to do the study. Scott, do you think that the industry that can get all the tools of taking your own life very easily, do you think they would have higher rates of doing it? I'd say yeah, probably. If you can get exactly the tool and it's easier for you, sure.

Well it looks like the headlines say that Andrew Tate has been detained again by the Romanian officials. So he got arrested. Do you know what is the weird part of this? The headline says Andrew Tate detained again in Romania but you read it and it says his brother was picked up too. I feel sorry for Andrew Tate's brother Tristan. He's always the also guy. Andrew Tate gets picked up by the Romanian cops and he has a brother too. So here's my question. Since we don't know what those charges are and Tate says he doesn't know what the charges are based on what evidence, he says there's no evidence. I don't have an opinion about whether he did or didn't do anything wrong. I will state again that even a citizen of Romania is innocent until proven guilty based on our standards. He hasn't been proven guilty so he's innocent until proven guilty in my personal standard of these things.

But here's the question. Do you think he would have been picked up if there were not an American election coming? I feel like he's one of those people who can move young votes, especially young males. I think that maybe Romania was asked to pick him up by somebody associated with the United States because he's exactly the kind of person you want to take off the field when you know people under 30 are looking to figure out who to vote for after not thinking about it until the last minute. He's exactly the kind of person they don't want talking for the next few months. To me this looks very suspicious. The timing looks suspicious. The lack of any obvious evidence that we could see, the public can see of guilt. And again I want to be very clear it's not my job to defend them from any charges. I have no idea what they did or did not do. I have no awareness of any of that. I'm just saying that if I were to, if you would ask me to guess, would they be picked up just about now? I think I might have put a bet on it. If you'd said all right take a bet, give me your bet. Would you bet that the Tates would be rearrested and maybe never charged, you know just taking off the field and taking off the social media before the American election? Would you place a bet on that? I think I would have. I think I would have placed a bet on that that they would be arrested again only because they're effective people. Listen to them. They have a big platform and they're presumably going to be more pro-Trump than pro-Biden or pro-Kamala Harris.

Anyway there's a report that the Chinese tech companies are hiring quote cheerleaders to motivate the programmers. Now based on the photo the cheerleaders would look like they would be heterosexual attractive young women whose job they say is to do stuff like buy breakfast for the programmers, have a conversation with them and play ping-pong. Now if that's true America just has to give up and surrender because we can't compete with that. No. What if our programmers suddenly found it enjoyable to go to work? Well that would be pretty sexist. Yeah this sounds so sexist that could never happen in the United States so we can never compete with this, these happy programmers. But maybe American programmers work harder because they know they have to get rich if they want a girlfriend. So that's plenty of incentive. They probably have all the incentive they need right now.

All right, so there's a report that Osama Bin Laden once said, and it must be in a document somewhere that we've captured after Bin Laden got taken down, but apparently there's some document in which he was saying it would be okay for Al-Qaeda to try to assassinate Obama during Obama's term but they wanted to make sure that they didn't assassinate Joe Biden the vice president. Do you know why Bin Laden thought it would be acceptable and desirable to assassinate the president of the United States but not the vice president? Do you know what his reasoning is for that? Well allegedly his reasoning is that Joe Biden was incompetent and it would be really good luck for Al-Qaeda if he ever became president of the United States because he would destroy the United States with his own bumbling incompetence. That was Bin Laden. Now do you believe that? I kind of believe it. It's a little too on the nose so maybe I'll put a little skepticism in there. I think that would be more appropriate. Yeah I think I was falling into the trap of wanting to believe it because it was a good recreational story like oh that's a good fun story but I don't really think Bin Laden had that insight actually. The more I think about it I'm going to call it false. I think I'm going to call this one fake news. You know maybe there's some document but who knows who made it. Seems a little fake newsy. I don't know. Seems like Russian disinformation to me. No it doesn't. But so I'm going to use the it's a little too close to exactly what some people would want to hear to make me believe it happened just that way.

But here's a weird thing. Do you know if you took the name Bin Laden and simply removed the letters N L and A that all happen they're next to each other. So if you take Bin Laden and remove some of the letters N L N A do you know what you have? Biden. You literally can't spell Bin Laden without Biden. I don't know if the simulation is telling us something but there it is.

Anyway there's a story that one of the officials in the government nuclear weapons department is trying to make the nuclear weapons group way gayer. So it's the National Nuclear Security Administration's special assistant named Ner, that's the last name, Ner, N-A-I-R anyway, made it clear that she wants to get rid of all the white supremacy in the nuclear weapons group, get rid of the white supremacy in the nuclear field. And she wants to gay up the nuclear weapons as part of the diversity, equity and inclusion. So there's actually somebody who's feeling that the important thing about nuclear war is to make sure that diverse people launch them so that when we all die in a giant nuclear fireball we can say ah I'm melting but at least diversity was achieved. That's my impression of dying after a nuclear blast. Probably not on point. Probably not.

Now am I saying that I don't want any gay people working in nuclear weapons? No, obviously I'm not saying that. Am I saying that it would be bad to have diversity? No I'm not saying that. Am I saying that a DEI hire is necessarily incompetent? No I'm not saying that. What I'm saying is if you design a system where one of the top priorities is not, oh let's say avoiding a nuclear war or winning one if you have to be in one, if your top priority of any individual who's got power in that organization is to make sure you have more diversity, you've designed a system for failure and almost guaranteed nuclear war. If you said to me what would be a good way to create a nuclear war I'd say well stop hiring based strictly on merit and make sure you've got a good diversity in there. Again no complaints about anybody's genes or gender preference or gender or any of that. That has nothing to do with any of my points. My point is that if you force a certain population no matter who they are and you force them into the system you're going to get incompetence. So there's somebody whose job is to inject incompetence into our nuclear operation. You'd think there'd be some limit to how stupid we could be but apparently not. There's no limit to how stupid we could be but we're very diverse.

What time is RFK Jr. going to make his announcement today? So allegedly, and I'm not sure the reports are completely reliable, but allegedly RFK Jr. was going to suspend his campaign and maybe even endorse Trump. I don't feel that that's 100 percent certain. I think there's a good chance of it. You know if I had to bet I'd bet that it's going to happen. And here's the amazing thing. Like how is that even possible that somebody whose family and he were just life to him Democrats, how badly do you have to abuse somebody before a Kennedy will become potentially endorsing a Republican? You've got to be really, really, really terrible people. And I think RFK Jr. is just reacting to how he was being treated.

So I would also point out that if you gave a quiz to people who didn't know who the people involved were for this quiz, you said all right here's a list of characteristics of JFK. So President JFK, you know what was he all about? Just describe what he wanted and his policies. And then do a description of Trump and what he wanted but you take out all the hyper so that you're just factually saying JFK wanted this stuff, Trump wants this stuff. I think that would look kind of similar, don't you? There wouldn't be that much difference between what JFK thought was a good idea and what Trump thinks is a good idea. So it's not that big of a leap, weirdly, because the Democrats became wildly left progressive and crazy and Trump is obviously he's more Republican than Democrat but if you were to look at a historical model Trump is pretty commonsensical. So I don't even see Trump as being on the right. I never have really. I mean he has to fit somewhere because we like to put things in boxes so I get that he's in that box but I just see all of his policies as not having a right or left dimension to them. Am I the only one? I just don't see right or left in what he does because he shows you his work. He says this works, this doesn't. This makes sense, this doesn't. And you could look at it yourself and you could say okay there's precedent for why this would work and there's no precedent for why this stupid idea would work. He just seems like the common sense obvious path kind of guy.

Anyway so people are saying would RFK Jr. join a Trump administration? Trump has acted positively about it. I don't know if RFK Jr. has ever answered it. I think you don't answer those questions while you're running. But I'm still fascinated by how many roles you could imagine RFK Jr. taking. This is a real compliment to RFK Jr. because you know I always talk about talent stacks. You want to get as many talents as you can so you're ready for anything. So you could easily imagine RFK Jr. being the head of the CIA to clean it up. You could imagine him being head of the FDA. You could imagine him being attorney general. Maybe there's five more jobs that you can imagine him being the top advisor. But whatever he does I would love to see him be in charge of food and medical drug testing so that we'd have some chance of getting at least a clearer picture of those things.

So anyway I also wonder has it ever been confirmed that RFK Jr. has testosterone supplements? Has he ever talked about that? I feel like I sort of maybe remember he mentioned it because his muscular development suggests that he's doing something that's both legal and very effective for muscle development. So do we know that he's had his testosterone boosted or is it just obvious? I'm seeing some yeses but here's the interesting thing. Do you think that he would consider citing or endorsing Republicans if he had not boosted his testosterone? Think about it. I think it's the defining factor.

And let me tie this into my next story which is you know CNN and MSNBC covering the Democrat convention. They were trying to sell the fact that Doug Emhoff and Tim Walz are the example of the new male role models and that they were different from, and this is actually what the commentators were saying this is not me saying it, it was different from the testosterone-filled macho Republican people. And so both MSNBC and CNN's the women, the female pundits and observers were saying that the Democrats have this new model of male optimal male behavior which is supporting a woman being your boss and that if you could be more let's say less macho Hulk Hogan and less Dana White and more Doug Emhoff and more Tim Walz that that's the model that the Democrats want to put forward as modern male leadership. And then RFK Jr. comes along he's just like bristling with muscles and he's willing to skin a dead bear and he just doesn't fit their model.

So I'm going to say again do you think, now I'm making an assumption here that if we assume that he's at least friendly with the Trump campaign, do we think that he would have any chance of endorsing or working with Trump if he had not boosted his testosterone? Which if I haven't told you this before your body and your brain are the same organ. Your body is your brain. If RFK Jr.'s body is rippling with a high level of testosterone that's his brain and it would make him way less likely to be far left. So don't rule out that this is entirely chemical. I don't think it's about issues and facts because the issues are all lies and the facts are all lies. But you can see testosterone and you could look at the people attending the DNC and you don't see any. It looks like all the testosterone went to another city that day.

Anyway so we'll keep an eye out waiting. What's the time for the RFK Jr. announcement? Does anybody know when that's slated to happen? I haven't seen anything about that yet. Anyway we'll look for that.

This story is funny. There's a story I guess the government's probably saying this that both Russia and Iran are quote waging operations to influence the US elections. All right so the idea is that professional trolls from Russia and from Iran are trying to spread disinformation or put their finger on the scales for our election. Do you see anything about that story that is funny? I do. Everything about our election is disinformation. How are they going to add any extra disinformation? You're watching the DNC and 100 percent of what every person said was a lie. 100 percent. There wasn't I don't think there was anything honest that came out of the entire thing so far. The news is completely fake. Our data is completely made up and the citizens don't even know the made up stuff. If you stop them on the street they barely know the name of the people running for president. So in this context do you think that the Russian and Iranian trolls are going to make a difference?

Let me put this in context for you. Okay because remember that Russia had that troll farm in 2016 and I laughed when I saw their memes like these memes look like they were made in high school. There's no way that had any influence on the election. All right here's what I think. Imagine the Grand Canyon. All right you got that picture in your mind. Gigantic canyon. Now imagine if the entire canyon was filled with cow feces. It was just full of cow crap not just to the top but like 100 feet above the top. Every bit of the Grand Canyon full of feces. Now imagine a pigeon flies over the Grand Canyon that's overflowing with cow feces and the pigeon poops on top of it. That's all of the Russian and Iranian trolls. You put them all together and they're one pigeon pooping on top of a gigantic canyon full of it. If you imagine that they could have any impact when everything's already a lie, 100 percent of what both sides are talking about is just completely left-handed context stuff and things that aren't even true and lies and hoaxes. There's no way that Russia or Iran could add anything to that mix that would make it worse than what it is without their help. They can't make that worse. In what way could you make that worse? To me that's just hilarious. It's so ridiculously not a risk that I can't even believe we're talking about it. I guess there's still an illusion that some of our information is real and that if they added their little pigeon poop of misinformation that suddenly our delicate balance of correct information would be set off. There's no correct information. Good luck birds.

There's a report in the Washington Free Beacon that some Soros-funded fake news network is operating in Nevada. Now it's literally an entity that tries to look like a real news entity but their only purpose is fake news for the benefit of Democrats. So you've got a Soros-funded entity that's literally doing fake news stuff. And when I say fake news I don't mean they're real news that says things are fake. They're not even a real news entity. They're just pretending to be one so they can do fake stuff. Now that's what's happening without Russia and Iran. They can't compete with Soros. He's already got the misinformation thing all wrapped up.

Well but at least the government is forthcoming with information when citizens or Congress ask for it. Oh wait. Also the Washington Free Beacon is saying that the Biden-Harris administration, they're stonewalling Congress who is asking for information about the US nonprofits that may or may not have been behind bankrolling the pro-Hamas protesters. So the House Education and Oversight Committee they want to subpoena the information. Apparently the government has some kind of information that would say what kind of nonprofits were funding the protesters. Huh, wouldn't you like to know that? Well I would but the government isn't going to tell it. Do you know why? Because it might be accurate information. Have I ever mentioned to you that if information matters it's all fake? Well this might be a situation where they have some real information and the oversight committee would like to see it because it might really matter who is funding them and that will not be made available according to the current situation. They're just going to ignore the request because the last thing the government wants is accurate information in the public.

All right, there's a September interest rate cut that's likely, say all the smart people. How many of you could have predicted that there would be an interest rate cut in the few months before the election? Well maybe it's a coincidence. Maybe the people who are supposedly independent in this interest rate stuff, maybe they're not so independent. But I'm pretty sure that I could have predicted it. So what does it mean that I could have predicted it? If you had asked me six months ago Scott do you think that the administration in charge would be so lucky that the independent, the Fed would lower the interest rate just to make everything look wonderful before election? I would have said yes. Now it could be that that was just going to happen anyway because that was a natural evolution of the economy. But I'd like to point out I would have predicted it for whatever that's worth.

Well the DNC is rolling on. I have real trouble watching it because it creeps me out. Is anybody else having that? Like I really wanted to watch more of the DNC because it felt like I should be informed but the more I thought about it it's not really moving anybody's needle anywhere is it? How many people could possibly stomach watching the DNC who had not already totally made up their mind that this is their team? Who in the world who is just casually interested in politics and has not yet made up their mind could watch that? It was just completely unwatchable crap. Oh my God. And then Tim Walz comes out and he's, I don't know if he's adopted this just for the campaign or it's natural, but he's gesticulating wildly to the crowd and these somewhat exaggerated, you know his hand when Harris is waving to the crowd she puts one hand up and Walz is standing right next to her and he's got two hands up. First of all do not gesticulate more than the top of the ticket. So Tim Walz can I give you some advice? It goes like this. If you're standing right next to the top of the ticket and the top of the ticket has one hand up waving to the crowd and accepting their applause don't put both hands up and don't act like you're jumping up and down because you're taking attention from the top of the ticket. That's not cool. That's not cool at all. You need to be a vice president so act like a freaking vice president. Look what the top of the ticket is doing body language wise and do that even if your instinct is not to do that. That's your job. Your job is to do what she's doing. Was Harris handling it better than him? I thought so. I think a professional approach to massive applause makes you look pretty strong right? But jumping up and down because you got the applause makes you look like a cheerleader. So I'm going to compliment Harris. She looked like a leader. Tim Walz looked like a cheerleader. I guess they're both leaders but one's a cheerleader.

And then if you didn't see it there is a hilarious meme of Richard Simmons now deceased I believe, Richard Simmons who is the exercise guru who was very effusive and when he would come out to the crowd he'd be both hands are up and he'd be dancing and bowing and blowing kisses stuff. And you see it side by side with Tim Walz coming out to greet the crowd. It does look like Richard Simmons. Now to me and I'm going to say it again Tim Walz is so creepy I just can't even stand a second of him. And it's not because he's a Democrat right. I could watch Obama all day long. I could watch Bill Clinton all day long. Even Hillary Clinton who I really really didn't like as a candidate I mean I didn't have a creepy reaction to it. I just didn't like her. But he gives me a genuine creep out. Does anybody else get that? And I don't know what it's about. I don't have a specific idea what's behind that but oh my God the creepiness level is just off the chart. I think that's why he started with the weird thing to take pressure off himself being so creepy. That's just my take.

Let's see then the DNC mostly wanted to talk about Trump's character and some hoaxes and lies about Trump and they didn't mention crime of course because that's not a strong topic of theirs. But they want you to know that Trump's a bad person. He's so bad. Trump's bad. Their audience will never notice that their focus on Trump is because they're trying to make you forget that they don't have the goods and that the things they've suggested for policies are batshit crazy. They're not just Democrat versus Republican. They found a whole new category that's neither Democrat nor Republican. It's just guaranteed failure. Yeah her tax plan and you know well we've talked about it.

So I'll say again that I think all the hoaxes about Trump that the DNC speakers have presented, they continue to find people. Hoax drinking bleach, hoax, hoax, hoax, hoax. I think they know they're not true and they know that if they can make the Republicans get mad and talk about it oh they're hoaxing us again they're hoaxing us that they'll have less pressure to talk about policies or to have Harris in front of the press. So as a distraction the hoaxes are really working. Worked on me.

Well Oprah is at the DNC and she said quote I have been on the receiving end of racism, sexism and income inequality but somehow she fought through and now she's worth billions of dollars and got invited to the DNC. So anyway but here's the funniest part of that. The way CNN was covering her speech. So CNN's got the camera on Oprah and Oprah's going on and Oprah says and by the way the Vigilant Fox account on X sees that Oprah while she's talking and mocking JD Vance. She's mocking him about the childless cat lady comment. And as Oprah is mocking him about childless cat ladies CNN decides to cut to a closeup of an audience member who is a woman who may or may not be childless and a cat lady. Now there's no mention of whether she's childless or a cat lady but the fact that they cut to her was hilarious. And childless cat ladies and suddenly there's this big old face of somebody in the audience who's really could have been, I don't know but she could be a childless cat lady. She had that look.

All right Bill Clinton was a speaker too and he hilariously mispronounced Kamala as Camela. Now am I the only person who's noticed how many Black Americans call Kamala Kamala? Black Americans do not pronounce her name correctly. White Americans do not pronounce her name correctly. Ex-presidents do not pronounce her name correctly. Maybe it's the name. Maybe it's the name. There's something about that name that's difficult to remember how to pronounce it. Now part of the reason it's hard to remember how to pronounce it is that so many people who are in the business are mispronouncing it. If I didn't see people who should know how to do it consistently doing it wrong I would remember it correctly. So maybe it's just the name. Can we find a little common ground there? I would believe we should all be able to meet at this place which is we'd all like to use people's proper name. You know if we're being polite human beings we do want to use their name correctly but it's hard. I think that's the better framing is it's just hard to remember. You know nobody needs a nickname more than she does. She needs a nickname like a positive nickname from her own team. Something that isn't coach. Trying to think. Go Tim Walz coach is just giving me every creepy vibe. Oh my God I just I can't even watch it.

Anyway MSNBC's Rachel Maddow she was on air talking about how happy everybody was that Tim Walz was giving his speech and she actually said this about the on-air talent at MSNBC that they were literally got up and danced in jubilation to Tim Walz. That's the news. So the news people whose job it is to tell you the news, now obviously they're opinion people but they're on a news network, they say they danced in jubilation. Nobody. Yeah thank you. I see the wrap up messages. I'll wrap up pretty soon. I've got about five more minutes so I should be fine. Thank you.

Anyway well that tells you everything you need to know. If they're literally dancing to the happiness that one team could win. Daniel Dale the most embarrassing job in the world which is to be the political fact checker and ignore most of the lies by one side. They brought him on to fact check the claim by one of the DNC people that Trump wrote Project 2025 which he did not. So Daniel Dale to his credit says that Trump is not named as an author of the document and then he went on to debunk all of the other. No he didn't. Now I don't know what else Daniel Dale debunked but I guarantee he didn't debunk any of the big ones. So I think you have to see this debunk in the context of misinformation. Here's why. If you were watching that and you saw that the only thing that got debunked was that one claim about that document which has the authors listed right on it but Daniel Dale could say he's not listed as an author. That is a fake fact check. What makes it fake is not that it's wrong because it's actually right. What makes it fake is if you watch the network and that's the only thing that got fact checked you would believe the other. You'd say well they would fact check it. They got this guy whose only job is to fact check so all that other stuff must be true. So Daniel Dale actually ended up being the person who's most responsible for spreading fake news by fact checking correctly only this one thing in this sea of other fake news or at least fake claims. So that's humiliating to be him and I can't even imagine how he sleeps at night honestly. I mean he must feel that he's part of a huge disinformation campaign. How could he not feel that? And how can you be okay with that if your only job is lying and you're okay with it?

Anyway Kim.com noted that the Polymarket I guess that's a betting market now has Trump handily up on Harris 53 to 46. They were recently tied and even before that Harris was slightly ahead. And as Kim.com cleverly says the more they talk the more they drop. So the longer the DNC goes on the betting markets are like uh maybe not so much. Maybe not.

I'll wrap it up in a minute here. We just found out that Thomas Crooks the attempted assassin guy, his, we knew he had encrypted messaging apps but now we know that they're on platforms located in Belgium, New Zealand and Germany. Now as General Flynn noted we knew that probably in 24 hours. We meaning the government knew it. Why did they wait till now to tell us? And by the way Belgium, New Zealand and Germany what possible reason would you have to use an encrypted app that is platformed in those countries? Well to keep the United States from seeing your plans would be one. But it does suggest there might be some foreign involvement. It doesn't it's not evidence for it but it's a situation which would be conducive to it. It's hard for me to imagine that this kid had enough wherewithal and knowledge to use these foreign encrypted apps but if he were being let's say managed by somebody in an intelligence group either domestic or foreign they could certainly point him toward those things and say you know you should be off the grid. You'd better use these foreign encrypted apps because America's in the back door of ours. So curiouser and curiouser.

All right the funniest thing is that the head of Hamas senior he's added a requirement to the ceasefire negotiations. He is politely asking if they do a ceasefire could you please not kill me. So one of the requirements of the ceasefire is that Israel has to promise not to kill the guy who was in charge of October 7th. Let me see if I can take a bet on whether Israel will accept that. They will let the mastermind of the October 7th slaughter live so that they can get a ceasefire. No. So there are two possibilities. Either Israel will say no we're not going to agree with that and then they kill him or Israel says oh we totally agree with that and then they kill him. Here's what's not in question. Israel is going to kill him. There is 100 percent chance they're going to kill him. They might do it today. They might do it tomorrow. It could take eight years. They're going to kill him. There's nothing that's going to stop it. And by the way if you were Israel you'd feel the same way. Now am I encouraging it, promoting it, embracing it? I'm not even involved. I'm just observing. There's nothing that will stop Israel from killing that guy and you do the same thing. So I don't have an opinion on it. No opinion is needed. We'll just watch what happens and there's only one way it goes. So he's pretty dead.

That ladies and gentlemen is the end of my show. I've got to do some veterinarian stuff with my dog. She's got a torn ACL and so she's not too happy but we're going to see about getting that fixed if we can. Thanks for joining. I can't go private with you today on Locals because I got to run but thanks for joining and I'll see you tomorrow and Locals I'll see you in the man cave tonight and bye for now everybody. Have a great day.

I think there's a little delay here so this will be my 202nd fake delay while I'm waiting for the feed to catch up so it doesn't seem like I cut you off. Okay I think that's long enough.

well what a show it's going to be today you know I'm so excited for you that you don't even need to be excited yourself that's how good it's going to be all right everybody stream on in here and get excited good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called coffee with Scott Adams the best time you'll ever have in your whole life and if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains all you need is a cup or mug or a glass a tankered chalis or Stein a canteen juger flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparallel pleasure of the dopamine end of the day the thing makes everything better it's called the simultaneous Sip and it happens now go oh oh oh that's good stuff well let's talk about some uh fun sciency updates and then politics politics we'll get to it so there's uh some research uh published in the uh science advances saying that the simpler your headline the more clicks you get that's right if people reading the news see your headline and they understand what all the words mean they're more likely to click it if they don't understand what you're trying to say in the headline or it's a little too clever they won't click it because why would they they don't even know what it's about now who could have told you that without the research who could have told you that if you understand what the topic is of the story you're more likely to click it versus not knowing what the story is about because they use big confusing words oh they could have asked me they could they could have saved some money Scott we're thinking of doing this study to see if dumbass big freaking academic looking titles get as many clicks as clear fun short ones and I would said who good thing you asked me save your money those clear short ones are going to get more interest now here's the fun part how many of you remember back in 2015 and 2016 When Donald Trump was considered the dumbest person in all of public life because when he talked he talked like he talked like he he had a sixth grade um vocabulary I mean my goodness you how could he possibly be a president with a sixth grade vocabulary he's always using simple words and what's wrong with that guy huh and then I told you um that's perfect the thing they're criticizing is the best communication style of all time according to every study and every observable experience when was the last time you heard the media criticize Trump for his simplistic communication style bet you didn't realize it completely disappeared didn't it what honestly it's been years I think it's been years since they brought that oh he uses simple vocabulary do you know why because at this point everybody figured out that was the better way to communicate because the world is not as smart as writers and people who make headlines the people who make headlines went to college and the college told them to use big words and so they do to impress their editors and their friends and then the people who read it who necessarily maybe didn't go to such a good college they look at it and say I don't even know what those words mean I think I'll click on something else so I really could have helped you there but um once you understand that Trump is the arguably the best public Communicator of all time you know even with his flaws nobody's ever been more persuasive or more clear about what they want than he has so shorter is better there's a medical study saying that it's published in the JMA Jama Psychiatry publication anyway shows that kids who had persistent inflammation as kids body inflammation were far more likely to develop serious mental health disorder orders including psychosis and depression now to their credit this the uh article about it says very clearly that they have not established that the inflammation causes the other problems it could be either related or Associated so the first thing I'll say is congratulations for clearly writing about science in a way that makes sense but at what point in the article did they tell you that it wasn't necessarily causation was it up at the top was the first sentence we don't know if this is causation but there's a great correlation between do you think it did that no it did not no you had to read a long time before they confessed yeah we don't know if the inflammation causes the problems could be just correlation so I'm only going to give him impartial credit because the reason that you would click it and read it is that you thought that they had established some causation and if you knew that they did not establish any causation because they they don't have the data to do that yet um maybe you would have read it differently or not read it but here's my hypothesis that I've been working on for a long time the other day uh I had a very bad mental attitude I woke up just feeling the sense of dread and doom that wasn't really connected to anything happening in the world that was different than the day before when I fell fine you know surely there are problems in the world but why did I feel fine yesterday and then I wake up one day and then I feel like Dread and do you know what the answer is it's how my body felt when my body feels suboptimal my brain follows along if if you're still under the model that your brain and your body are two different functions you're going to be your your odds of Happiness are practically zero let me say that again if you think that your brain and your your your well is put it other way if you think that your body is not a component of your mind and that it's only that little brain thing that's inside your skull that's part of your mind oh you're not going to succeed at anything you you have to get rid of that your body is your brain here's how here's what I mean how did I how did I solv the problem that I I felt a sense of Doom and Dread and you know I would have even called it like a mild depression it was because my body didn't feel good I didn't have enough exercise I I had some inflammation maybe so I basically take a you know a uh what do you call it the Epson salt hot bath and my inflammation goes away and I eat some food I like and I get some sleep and all the Doom went away so my brain problem was just my body so as soon as you realize that your brain is your body and that imagining they're two separate systems gets you all the wrong answers your body is your brain I'm depressed what am I going to do about it do some brain stuff no do something with your body get outside get some sun get some vitamin D work on your inflammation if you if you have a problem so that that's my hypothesis based on my observation in my own life is that whenever my body hurts my brain is in a bad place whenever my body feels extraordinary my brain's fine no problems at all anyway it's a good thing that climate models are Dependable oh well there's a new story that uh two prominent and uh very experienced climate scientists you've probably heard of them before they're sort of the contrarians in that in that space Richard Linden I've talked about him before and uh William haer now they're both very highly qualified um Professionals in science in specifically spent a lot of time in the global climate change stuff here's what they say apparently their claim is the following that if you add some CO2 to the air it might warm the environment or or does actually so they they would agree that if you add CO2 hum produce CO2 to the air uh and there's not much there already that as you're adding a little bit to the air it it'll cause some warming but here's the surprising part they claim is that when you reach a certain level which we have already reached that the science is very clear that the CO2 will stop having that same warming property in other words we've already reached Peak CO2 warming potential adding more won't make any difference at all so their claim is let's see if I can get it in their words that uh the physics of carbon dioxide is that co2's ability to warm the planet is determined by its ability to absorb heat so if it doesn't absorb heat it doesn't warm the planet but its ability to absorb heat this is the CO2 decreases rapidly as CO2 concentration increases so it's basically the opposite of all of climate change that it does it does correlate with an increase in temperature at lower rates but when you reach about where we are now it should Plateau so they're saying basically it's not going to add any warming because it it it can't as soon as you have enough concentration of CO2 which is where we're at you could add more but it won't get any warmer now do all scientists agree of course not but these are two very qualified well-known you know even I know these names not in the scientific field but I'm well aware of these two two scientists so if they're right then everything about the climate models is wrong and they've made a they've made a fairly simple claim one that you think could be tested now I'm not going to claim that these scientists are right and all the other scientists are wrong I'm going to claim that we don't know anything about anything like all of our sense of certainty is all artifici official it's you know we imagine that the data is never going to change and nobody's lying and all the assumptions they made are true and and that it's actually possible to predict the future based on a multivariable Model it's not it's not it's not even close to possible and everybody in the field knows it but you don't all right so but if that were the only problem that would be the end of the climate crisis completely and it does seem like a testable claim could you not test in a laboratory the increasing CO2 in let's say just a laboratory setting a totally controlled environment and I think they've done that right I'm pretty sure I've seen tests where in the laboratory if you introduce CO2 to a little closed environment you can demonstrate that it causes warming so if the claim is that a certain saturation level is stops doing that instead of infinitely creating more warming that would be easy to test wouldn't it couldn't you just build a little terrarium or something that looks like Earth in a in a box or you know in a sealed in a sealed environment introduce some CO2 measure the temperature sure enough we added CO2 and the temperature went up now keep adding it until you get to the concentration we're at today in the real world does it keep going up as you keep adding to it or does it Plateau as these two scientists would suggest so the fascinating thing about this is it seems so testable maybe we'll find out it's real who knows I'm not going to tell you that you know these scientists are right and the others are wrong because I have no way to know that but I love the fact that they're very qualified people and they've got a very different idea of what's going on but at least the rest of climate model stuff is all pretty solid you know it's only that one assumption that they have to test you know the one assumption that drives everything that's the only one they're questioning the one assumption that makes everything different but are there any other assumptions in these climate models huh well it turns out that there have been some new studies of ice and they can they can melt the ice in a special scientific way and figure out what kind of gases and stuff were in the ice and then they can reconstruct things about the past to know if their climate models today you know would have worked in the past as well that's pretty important so what they find out well it turns out that uh the amount of biomass that has burned over time has been decreasing as the population of the world increases so biomass burning means like a forest fire right you just a natural fire Outdoors is a biomass burning so the climate models assumed that the more people you added to the world the more burning there would be I assume they mean because people would burn Forest to plant Farms people would burn wood to heat themselves people would you know people humans would be burning a lot of stuff so the climate models assume more people equals more burning that's a basic part of the models but it turns out that when you look at the ice samples uh The More Humans there are the less biomass there is that's burned it's opposite so one of the key assumptions that people equals more burning and that's fed into the model is opposite according to these new studies now again does it mean the new study is correct and all the things in the model are incorrect I don't know that I'm just saying that one part of science that should be taken as credibly as the rest probably uh is saying that they got that big variable opposite so Suppose there were only two problems with the models that have lots of variables and suppose the only two problems were they got this biomass thing backwards and they got the CO2 um doesn't eat anything after it reaches a certain saturation what if they got those two things wrong well then the entire bottles are are nothing garbage now let me say something again that if you're not convinced yet oh I'm going to wear you down it goes like this there is no such thing as accurate data for anything that matters if it doesn't matter or it's something we all observe like yes there's a hurricane yes the news says there's a hurricane science says there's a hurricane okay the easy stuff we all agree that's real but all the stuff that really has big dollars involved it's never real you you can't have data collection and big dollars involved at the same time but unfortunately that's the only way anything happens because the only people willing to spend all the money it would take to collect data on something as big as the climate would be people who have a lot of money involved so there isn't actually a system in place in the world to get accurate data about anything that matters think about that it's not it's not a set of accidents it it's not like well we looked at this data and it turns out that somebody involved was gaming the system but then we looked at some other data ah it turned out there was something wrong with that data too and you say to yourself wow I'm sure all the rest of the data in the world is good but these two look like they were wrong no there is no way that it's even possible for data to be correct about anything important because because the people presenting it have an interest and they're only going to show it to you if they can make that data look whatever it is that they need it to look so now there's no such thing as accurate data about anything that matters and don't be confused by the data on things that don't matter there there's probably plenty of data on things that don't matter to anybody politically or monetarily but if it matters and there's money involved it's never real it can't be design is Destiny the design of the system is the only people who collect the data or the people who have a lot of money involved in it being one way that's our system if you suppose you designed that on paper and you presented it to somebody as a way to run the world suppose nobody had ever collected any data for anything before and you said you know what if we started collecting data in this world and we applied some science we' we'd be way ahead so they come up with the idea of collecting data and they say all right here's how we're going to do it it's going to be expensive to collect any data that you really matters and it's going to move the needle so who's going to be doing the collecting the government oh no the government might be biased you know might be Democrats in office versus Republicans you can't really trust the government with data so then I'd say wait so you're saying that all information that comes from the government will be fake oh yes of course it will of course it will because it's either Democrats in charge or Republicans in charge and neither of them have an interest in telling you the truth right they have a gigantic monetary and you know other career interests in telling you the truth they want you to hear do you think we could see that effect in the real world if the government has an incentive to lie to you all the time well let's uh let's uh look at some data have you heard about the jobs reports that are being uh revised by over 800,000 because they were all fake turns out it's way worse than that because we might be looking at jobs that were created as fake jobs to get PPP money during the pandemic so there's some suggestion that there might be 5 million fake jobs because people pretended they had employees so they could get money from the government and pretended they had companies so some some people think that our jobs numbers are completely just ridiculous and just made up and now they're being revised so that's exactly what you would expect to happen if in fact your design of how you collect data was wrong and delegated to the people who had the most interest in lying to you the current situation let's see what else um how about our uh numbers about crime do you think our crime statistics that come from the government are pretty good pretty accurate no because some people stopped collecting crime and then they started just making stuff up and I think we're all aware at this point that the crime numbers are made up would you agree and even when they're not made up they put it in the wrong context like comparing to the pandemic versus not the pandemic which is no comparison at all so we don't have jobs numbers that are real and we don't have crime numbers that are real and it's because the government is in charge of those numbers and there is no scenario in which the government wants you to have real numbers every scenario no matter who's in charge they want it to look like it's good for their team period so if you were to ask private companies to get you information let's say drug companies to do drug studies what you what should you expect if you were going to put that design if you were going to design that system on paper all right the people who could make a billion dollars if the drug is safe are in charge of telling you that the data says it's safe what do you expect yeah the design of the system system guarantees that all important data is fake we've designed the system see you have to understand that it's a system design problem it's not a bunch of people who have made a mistake coincidentally in each of these uh important domains that's not what's going on there's no no mistakes happening people have a great interest in making assumptions that will drive the numbers the way they want them to be driven and whoever collects numbers gets to make the assumptions oh these numbers are good enough they're in these numbers don't look Dependable to me I'll leave these out that's how it works all right uh let's see female doct there's another study says female doctors have a a far greater risk of taking their own life than even male doctors but you know higher than other professions now when I used to be a banker it was my job to make loans to doctors and dentists and professionals like that for a while that was my job and one of the risks of making loans to medical professionals especially dentists is that they had unusually high rates of taking their own lives dentists in particular have like career-wise are right at the top of taking their own lives uh I'm not surprised that doctors may be a little higher and that female doctors are the highest and I have a hypothesis to add to this you know the the obvious things would be that being a doctor isn't as good as it used to be and you know you don't have the same Prestige and you know the work is terrible and a lot of the time you're just doing work that's just busy work to make sure you stayed up all night because for some reason the the medical field wants to torture you when you're a new doctor I I've never understood that to make you stay up 21 hours and all that stuff but um here's my hypothesis since all of those things would be pretty common male or female I think it's access to pills if you were a doctor how and you were deciding to end it all wouldn't you do it with pills I would think so and if you had access to them because you could get all you wanted I would think that would explain most of it actually you it seems like there are a lot of people who probably think about doing something to themselves but it's sort of hard you know you're not quite sure how to do it in a way that you'd be willing to do it but if your job was giving out pills and you could get all you wanted I if you could have asked me you didn't have to do the study Scott do you think that the industry that can get all the uh all the tools of taking your own life very easily do you think they would have higher rates of doing it I'd say yeah probably if you can get exactly the tool and it's easier for you sure well it looks like uh the headlines say that Andrew Tate has been detained Again by the Romanian officials so so he got arrested do you know what is the weird part of this the headline says Andrew Tate detained again in Romania but you read it and it says you his brother was picked up too I I feel sorry for Andrew Tate's brother Tristan he's always the also guy Andrew Tate gets picked up by the Romanian cops and he was a brother too so here's my question since we don't know what those charges are and Tate says he doesn't know what the charges are based on what evidence he says there's no evidence I don't have an opinion about whether he did or did anything wrong I will state again that uh say e even even a citizen of Romania is innocent to proven guilty based on our standards you know he hasn't been proven guilty so he's innocent to proven guilty in my personal standard of these things uh but here's the question do you think he would have been picked up if there were not an American election coming I feel like he's one of those people who can move young votes especially young males I think that maybe Romania was asked to pick him up by somebody associated with the United States because he's exactly the kind of person you want to take off the field when you know people under 30 are looking to figure out who to vote for after not thinking about it until the last minute he's exactly the kind of person they don't they don't want talking for the next few months to me this looks very suspicious the timing looks suspicious the lack of you know any obvious evidence that we could see the public can see of guilt and again I want to be very clear it's not my job to defend them from any charges I have no idea what they did or did not do I have no no awareness of any of that I'm just saying that if I were to if you would ask me to guess would they be picked up just about now I think I might have put a bet on it if you'd said all right take a bet uh give me give me your bet would you bet that the Tates would be rearrested and maybe never charged you know just taking off the field and taking off the social media uh before the American election would you place a bet on that I think I would have I think I would have placed a bet on that that they would be arrested again only because they're effective people listen to them they have a big platform form and they're you know presumably they're going to be more Pro Trump than Pro Biden or Pro uh Pro Comm Harris anyway there's a report that the Chinese tech companies are hiring quote cheerleaders to motivate the programmers now based on the photo the cheerleaders would look like they would be heterosexual uh attractive young women whose job they say is to do stuff like buy breakfast for the programmers uh have a conversation with them and play pingpong now if that's true America just has to give up and surrender because we can't compete with that no what what if our programers suddenly found it enjoyable to go to work well that would be pretty sexist yeah this sounds so sexist that could never happen in the United States so we can never compete with this these happy programmers but maybe American programmers work harder because they know they have to get rich if they want a girlfriend so that's pretty that's plenty of incentive they probably have all the incentive they need right now all right so um there's a report that uh Osama Bin Laden once said and and it must be in a document somewhere that we've captured after Bin Laden got taken down but apparently there's some document in which he was saying it would be okay for Al-Qaeda to try to assassinate Obama during during Obama's term but they wanted to make sure that they didn't assassinate Joe Biden the vice president do you know why Bin Laden thought it would be acceptable and desirable to assassinate the president of the United States but not the vice president do do you know what his reasoning is for that well allegedly his reasoning is that Joe Biden was incompetent and it would be really good luck for Al-Qaeda if he ever became president of the United States because he would destroy the United States with his own bumbling incompetence that was Bin Laden now do you believe that I kind of believe it it's a little too on the nose so may maybe I'll put a little skepticism in there I think that would be more appropriate yeah I think I was falling to the Trap of wanting to believe it because it was a good recreational story like oh that's a good fun story but I don't really think Bin Laden had that Insight actually the more I think about it I'm going to call it false I think I'm gonna call this one fake news you know maybe there's some document but who knows who made it seems a little fake newsy I don't know seems like Russian disinformation to me no it doesn't but uh so I'm going to use the it's a little little too close to exactly what some people would want to hear to make me believe it happened just that way but here's a weird thing do you know if you took the name Bin Laden and simply removed the letters NL and a that all happen they all happen they're next to each other so if you take Bin Laden and remove some of the letters n LNA a do you know what you have Biden you literally can't spell Bin Laden without Biden I don't know if the simulation is telling us something but there it is anyway there's a story that one of the officials in the government um nuclear uh nuclear weapons departments is uh trying to make the nuclear weapons group uh way gayer so uh it's the national nuclear security administration's Special Assistant uh named uh ner that's the last name ner n a i r anyway made it clear that she uh she wants to get rid of all the white supremacy in the nuclear nuclear weapons group get rid of the white supremacy in the nuclear field and she wants to uh you know gay up the nuclear weapons as part of the diversity equity and inclusion so there's actually somebody who's feeling that the important thing about nuclear war is to make sure that diverse people launch them so that when we all die in a giant nuclear Fireball we can say ah I'm melting but at least diversity was achieved that's my impression of dying after nuclear blast probably not to on point probably not now am I saying that I don't want any gay people working in nuclear weapons no obviously I'm not saying that am I saying that it would be bad to have diversity no I'm not saying that am I saying that a Dei hire is necessarily incompetent no I'm not saying that what I'm saying is if you design a system where one of the top priorities is not oh let's say avoiding a nuclear war or winning one if you have to be in one if your top priority of any individual who's got power in that organization is to make sure you have more diversity you've designed a system for failure and almost guaranteed nuclear war if you said to me what would be a good way to create a nuclear war I'd say well stop hiring based strictly on Merit and make sure you got a got a good good diversity in there again no complaints about anybody's genes or gender preference or gender or any of that that has nothing to do with any my points my point is that if you force a certain population no matter who they are and you you force them into the city or into the system you're going to get incompetence so there's somebody whose job is to inject incompetence into our nuclear uh operation you know you'd think there'd be some limit to how stupid we could be but apparently not there's no limit to how stupid we could be but we're very diverse um what time is RFK Jr going to make his announcement today so allegedly and I'm not sure the reports are completely reliable but allegedly RFK Jr was going to suspend his campaign and maybe even endorse Trump I don't I don't feel that that's 100% certain I think there's a good chance of it you know if I had to bet I'd bet that it's going to happen and here's the amazing thing like how is that even possible that somebody who's family and and he were just life to him Democrats how how badly do you have to abuse somebody before a Kennedy will become potentially endorsing a Republican you've got to be really really really terrible people and I think RFK Jr is just reacting to how he was being treated so I would also point out that if you gave a quiz to people who didn't know who the people involved were for this quiz you said all right here's a list of characteristics of JFK so President JFK you know what was he all about just describe why he wanted and his policies and then do a description of trump and what he wanted but you take out all the hyper so that you're just factually saying JFK wanted this stuff Trump wants this stuff I think that would look kind of similar don't you there wouldn't there wouldn't be that much difference between what JFK thought was a good idea and what Trump thinks is a good idea so it's not that big of a leap weirdly because the Democrats became you know wildly left Progressive and crazy and uh Trump is you know obviously he's you know more Republican than Democrat but if you were to look at a historical model uh Trump is pretty common sensical so I don't even see Trump as being on the right I I never have really I mean he has to fit somewhere because we like to put things in boxes so I get that he's in that box but I just see all of his policies as not having a right or left Dimension to them am I the only one I I just don't see right or left in what he does because he shows you his work he he says this works this doesn't this makes sense this doesn't and you could look at it yourself and you could say okay there there's precedent for why this would work and there's you know no precedent for why this stupid idea would work he just seems like the common sense obvious path kind of guy anyway so people are saying would RFK Jr join a trump Administration Trump has acted positively about it I don't know if RFK Jr has ever answered it I think you don't answer those questions while you're running but I'm still fascinated by how many gools you could imagine RFK Jr taking this is real compliment to RFK Jr because you know I always talk about Talent Stacks you want to get as many talents as you can so you're ready for anything so you could you could easily imagine RFK Jr being the head of the CIA to clean it up you could imagine him being a head of the FDA you could imagine him being attorney general uh maybe there's five more jobs the that you can imagine him being the top advisor um but whatever he does I would love to see him be in charge of food and medical drug testing so that we'd have some chance of getting at least a clearer picture of those things so um anyway I also wonder has it ever been confirmed that RFK Jr has testosterone supplements has he ever talked about that I feel like I sort of maybe remember he mentioned it because his his muscular development suggests that he's doing something that's both legal and very effective um for muscle development so do we know that he's had his testosterone boosted or is it just obvious I'm seeing some yeses but here here's the interesting thing do you think that he would cons consider citing or endorsing Republicans if he had not boosted his testosterone think about it I I think it I think it's the defining factor and let me tie this into my next story which is uh you know CNN and MSNBC covering the uh the Democrat convention they were trying to sell the fact that uh Doug mof and Tim wals are the example of the new male role models and that they were different from and this is actually what the commentators were saying this is not me saying it it was different from the the testosterone filled you know Macho Republican people and so both MSNBC and CNN's the women the the female pundits and observer were saying that the Democrats have this new model of male optimal male Behavior which is supporting a woman being your boss and that if you could be more let's say less Macho Hulk Hogan and you know less Dana White and more Doug emof and more Tim wals that that's the model that the Democrats want to put forward as you know modern male leadership and and then RFK Jr comes along he's just like bristling with muscles and he's willing to to skin a dead bear and he he just doesn't he just doesn't fit their model so I'm going to say again do you think now I'm making an assumption here that if we assume that he's at least friendly with the Trump campaign do we think that he would have any chance of endorsing or work working with Trump if he had not boosted his testosterone which if I haven't told you this before your body and your brain are the same organ your body is your brain If RFK Jr's body is Rippling with a high level of testosterone that's his brain and it would make him way less likely to be a farle left so don't rule out that this is entirely chemical I don't think it's about issues and facts because the issues are all lies and the facts are all lies but you can see testosterone and you could look at the the people attending the the DNC and you don't see any it looks like all the testosterone went to another city that day anyway so we'll keep an eye out waiting what's the time for the RFK Jr announcement does anybody know when that's slated to happen I haven't seen anything about that yet anyway we'll look for that um this story is funny there's a story I guess the government's probably saying this that both Russia and Iran are quote waging operations to influence the US elections all right so the idea is that um professional trolls from Russia and from Iran are trying to spread disinformation or or put their finger on the uh the scales for our election do you see anything about that story that is funny I do everything about our election is disinformation how are they going to add any extra disinformation you're watching the DNC and 100% of what every person said was a lie 100% there wasn't I don't think there was any anything honest that came out of the entire thing so far the news is completely fake our data is completely made up and the citizens don't even know the made up stuff if you stop them on the street they barely know the name of the people running for president so in this context do you think that the Russian and Iranian trolls are going to make a difference let me put this in context for you okay because remember that Russia had that troll Farm in 2016 and I I laughed when I saw their memes like these memes look like they were made in high school there's no way no way that had any influence on the election all right here's what I think imagine the Grand Canyon all right you got that picture in your mind gigantic Canyon now imagine if the entire Canyon was filled with uh cow feces it was just full of cow crap not just to the top but like you know 100 feet above the top every bit of the Grand Canyon full of feces now now imagine a pigeon flies over the Grand Canyon that's overflowing with cow feces and the pigeon poops on top of it that's the that's all of the Russian and Iranian trolls you put them all together and they're one pigeon pooping on top of a gigantic Canyon full of to if you imagine that they could have any impact when everything's already lie 100% of what's what both sides are talking about is just is just completely left-handed context stuff and things that aren't even true and lies and hoaxes there's no way that Russia or Iran could add anything to that mix that would make it worse than what it is without their help they can't make that worse in what way could you make that worse to me that's just hilarious it's so it's so ridiculously not a risk that I can't even believe we're talking about it I I guess there's still an illusion that some of our information is real and that if they added their little you know pigeon poop of misinformation that suddenly our our delicate balance of correct information would be set off there's no correct information good luck Birds uh there's a report in the Washington Free Beacon that some Soros funded fake News network is operating in uh Nevada now now it's literally an entity that tries to look like a real news entity but their only purpose is fake news for the benefit of Democrats so you've got a Soros funded entity that's literally doing fake news stuff and when I say fake news I don't mean they're real news that says things are fake they're not even a real news entity they're just pretending to be on so they can do fake stuff now that's what that's what's happening without Russia and Iran they can't compete with Soros he he's already got the misinformation the thing all wrapped up well but at least the government is forthcoming with information when citizens or congress ask for it oh wait also the Washington Free Beacon is saying that uh Biden Harris Administration there stonewalling Congress who is asking for information about the US nonprofits that may or may not have been behind bankrolling the pramas protesters so uh the there's a house Ed and oversight committee they want to subpoena the information apparently the government has some kind of information that would say what kind of nonprofits were funding the protesters H wouldn't you like to know that well I would but the government isn't going to tell it do you know why because it might be accurate information have I ever mentioned to you that if information matters it's all fake well this might be a situation where they have some real information and the oversight committee would like to see it because it might really matter who is funding them and that will not be made available according to the current situation they're just going to ignore the request because the last thing the government wants is accurate information in the public all right uh there's a September interest rate cut that's likely say all the smart people uh how many of you could have predicted that there would be an interest rate cut in the few months before the election well maybe it's a coincidence maybe the people who are supposedly independent uh in this interest rate stuff maybe they're not so independent but I'm pretty sure that I could have predicted it so what does it mean that I could have predicted it if you had asked me six months ago Scott do you think that the administration in charge would be so lucky that the independent the independent you know the the FED would uh lower the interest rate just to make everything look wonderful before election I would have said yes now it could be that that was just going to happen anyway because that was a natural evolution of the economy me but I'd like to point out I would have predicted it for whatever that's worth well the DNC is uh rolling on I have a real trouble watching it because it creeps me out is anybody else having that like I really wanted to watch more of the DNC because it felt like I should be informed but the more I thought about it it's not really moving anybody's needle anywhere is it how many people could possibly stomach watching the DNC who had not already totally made up their mind that this is their team who in the world who is just casually interested in politics and has not yet made up their mind could watch that it was just completely unwatchable crap oh my God and then Tim wals comes out and he's I don't know if he's adopted this just for the campaign or it's natural but he's gesticulating wildly to the crowd and these these somewhat exaggerated you know his hand when when when Harris is waving to the crowd she puts one hand up and wals is standing right next to her and he's got two hands up first of all do not gesticulate more than the top of the ticket so Tim Walls can I give you some advice goes like this if you're stay standing right next to the top of the ticket and the top of the ticket has one hand up you know waving to the crowd and accepting their Applause don't put both hands up and don't act like you're jumping up and down because you're taking attention from the top of the ticket that's not cool that's not cool at all you you need to be a vice president so act like a freaking vice president look what look what the top of the ticket is doing body language wise and do that even if your instinct is not to do that that's your job your job is to do that do what she's doing was was Harris handling it better than him I thought so I I think a professional approach to massive Applause makes you look pretty strong right but jumping up and down because you got the Applause makes you look like a cheerleader so I'm going to compliment Harris she looked like like a leader Tim Walls looked like a cheerleader I guess they're both leaders but one's a cheerleader um and then if you didn't see it there is a hilarious meme of Richard Simmons now deceased I believe uh Richard Simmons who is the uh the exercise guru who was very effusive and you know when when he would come out to the crowd he'd be you know both hands are up and he'd be dancing and bowing and blowing kisses stuff and you see it side by side with Tim wals coming out to greet the crowd it does look like Richard Simmons now to me and I'm GNA say it again Tim wals is so creepy I just can't even stand a second of him and it's not because he's a Democrat right I I could watch Obama all day long I could watch Bill Clinton all day long even Hillary Clinton who I really really didn't like as a candidate I mean I I didn't have you know like a creepy reaction to it I just didn't like her but he gives me a genuine creep out does anybody else get that and I don't know what it's about I I don't have a specific idea what what's behind that but oh my God the creepiness level is just off the chart I think that's why he started with the weird thing to take pressure off himself being so creepy that's just my take um let's see then the DC mostly wanted to talk about Trump's character and some hoaxes and lies about Trump um and they didn't mention crime of course because that's not a strong topic of theirs but they want you to know that Trump's a bad person he's so bad Trump's bad Their audience will never notice that their focus on Trump is because they're trying to make you forget that they don't have the goods and that the things they've suggested for policies are batshit crazy they're not just Democrat versus Republican they they found a whole new category that's neither Democrat nor Republican is just guaranteed failure yeah her her tax plan and you know well we've talked about it um so I'll say again that I think all the hoaxes about Trump that the DNC speakers have presented you they continue find people hoax drinking bleach hoax hoax hoax hoax I think they know they're not true and they know that if they can make the Republicans get mad and talk about it oh they're hoaxing us again they're hoaxing us that they'll have less pressure to talk about policies or to have Harris in front of the press so as a distraction the hoaxes are really working worked on me well Oprah is at the DN and she said uh quote I have been on the receiving end of racism sexism and income inequality but somehow she fought through and now she's worth billions of dollars and got invited to the DNC so anyway but here's the funniest part of that um the way CNN was covering her speech so CNN's got the camera on Oprah and Oprah's uh going on and Oprah says and by the way the Vigilant Fox um account on X C this that uh Oprah wire is talking and mocking JD Vance she's mocking him uh about the childless cat lady uh comment and as hoprah is mocking him about childless cat ladies CNN decides to cut to a closeup of a audience member who is a woman who may or may not be child and a cat lady now there's no mention of whether she's childless or a cat lady but the fact that they cut to her was hilarious and childless cat ladies and suddenly there's this big old face of somebody somebody in the audience who's really could have been you I don't know but she could be a childless cat lady she had that look all right um Bill Clinton uh was a speaker too and uh he hilariously mispronounced Kamala as camela now am I the only person who's noticed how many uh Black Americans call Kamala Kamala black Americans do not pronounce her name correctly white Americans do not pronounce her name correctly L president ex-presidents do not pronounce your name correctly maybe it's the name maybe it's the name uh there's something about that name that's difficult to remember how how to pronounce it now part of the reason it's hard to remember how to pronounce it is that so many people who are in the business are mispronouncing it if I didn't see people who should know how to do a corly consistently doing it wrong I would remember it correctly so maybe it's just the name can can we find a little Common Ground there I I would believe we we should all be able to meet at this place which is we'd all like to use people's proper name you know if we're being polite human beings we do want to use their name correctly but it's hard uh I think that's the the better uh framing is it's just our name to remember you know nobody needs a nickname more than she does she needs a nickname like a positive nickname from her own team something something that isn't coach try trying think go Tim walz coach is just giving me every creepy Vibe oh my God I just I can't even watch it anyway MSNBC is Rachel madow she was uh on air talking about uh the how happy everybody was that Tim wals was giving his speech and she actually said this about the onair talent at MSNBC that they were literally got up and danced in Jubilation to toh Tim wals that's the news so the news people who job it is to tell you the news now obviously they're opinion people but they're on a news network uh they say they they danced in Jubilation you nobody yeah thank you I I see the wrap up messages I'll I'll wrap up pretty soon um I've got about five more minutes so I should be fine thank you anyway um well that tells you everything you need to know if if they're literally dancing to the happiness that one team could win Daniel Dale the most uh embarrassing job in the world which is to be the political fact Checker and ignore most of the lies by one side uh they brought him on to fact check the claim by one of the DNC people that Trump wrote a project 2025 which he did not so Daniel Dale to his credit says that Trump is not named as an author of the document and then he went on to debunk all of the other no he didn't now I don't know what else Daniel Dale debunked but I guarantee he didn't debunk any of the big ones so I think you have to see this debunk in the context of misinformation here's why if you were watching that and you saw that the only thing that got debunked was that one Claim about that document which has the authors listed right on it but Daniel Dale could say he's not listed as an author that is a fake fact check what makes it fake is not that it's wrong because it's actually right what makes it fake is if you watch the network and that's the only thing that got fact checked you would believe the other you'd say well they would fact check it they got this guy whose only job is to fact check so all that other stuff must be true so Daniel Dale actually ended up being the person who's most responsible for spreading fake news by factchecking correctly only this one thing in this sea of other fake news or at least fake claims so uh that's humiliating to be him and I can't even imagine how he sleeps at night honestly I mean he must feel that he's part of a huge disinformation campaign how could he not feel that and how can you be okay with that if your your only job is lying and you're okay with it anyway kim.com uh noted that the poly Market I guess that's a betting Market uh now has Trump handily up on Harris 53 to 46 they were recently tied and even before that Harris was slightly had and as kim.com uh cleverly says the more they talk the more they drop so the longer the DNC goes on the betting markets are like uh maybe not not so much maybe not right uh I'll wrap it up in a minute here um we just found out that Thomas krooks the attempted assassin guy um his we knew he had encrypted messaging apps but now we know that they're on platforms located in Belgium New Zealand and Germany now as general Flynn noted we knew that probably in 24 hours we meaning the government knew it why did they wait till now to tell us and by the way by the way Belgium New Zealand and Germany what possible reason would you have to use an encrypted app that is platformed in those countries well to keep the United States from seeing your plans would be one but it does suggest there might be some foreign involvement it doesn't it's not evidence for it but it's a situation which would be cond conducive to it it's hard for me to imagine that this kid had enough wherewithal and knowledge to use these foreign encrypted apps but if he were being let's say managed by somebody in an intelligence group either domestic or foreign they could certainly Point him toward those things and say you know you should be off the grid you'd better use these foreign encrypted apps because America's in the back door of ours so curiouser and curiouser all right the funniest thing is that the the head of Hamas senoir uh he's added a requirement to the ceasefire negotiations he is uh politely asking if they do a ceasefire could you please not kill me so so one of the requirements of the ceasefire is that Israel has to promise not to kill the guy who was in charge of October 7th let me see if I can uh take a bet on whether Israel will accept that they will let the Mastermind of the October 7th uh Slaughter uh live so that they can get a ceasefire no so there are two possibilities either either Israel will say no we're not going to agree with that and then they kill him or Israel says oh we took totally agree with that and then they kill him here's what's not in question Israel is going to kill him there is 100% chance they're going to kill them they might do it today they might do it tomorrow it could take eight years they're G to kill them there's nothing that's going to stop it and by the way if you were Israel you'd feel the same way now am I uh encouraging it promoting it embracing it I'm not even involved I'm just observing there's nothing that will stop Israel from killing that guy and you do the same thing so I don't have an opinion on it no opinion is needed it's we we'll just watch what happens and there's only one way it goes so he's pretty dead that ladies and gentlemen is the end of my show I've got to do some veterinarian stuff with my dog she's got a torn ACL and so she's not too happy but we're going to see about getting that fixed if we can thanks for joining uh I can't I can't go private with you today on locals because I got to run but thanks for joining and uh I'll see you tomorrow and locals I'll see you in the man cave tonight and bye for now everybody have a great day I think there's a little delay here so this will be my 202nd fake delay while I'm waiting for the feed to catch up so it doesn't seem like I cut you off okay I think that's long enough

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the uh science advances saying that the

simpler your headline the more clicks

you get that's right if people reading

the news see your headline and they

understand what all the words mean

they're more likely to click it if they

don't understand what you're trying to

say in the headline or it's a little too

clever they won't click it because why

would they they don't even know what

it's about now who could have told you

that without the research

who could have told you that if you

understand what the topic is of the

story you're more likely to click it

versus not knowing what the story is

about because they use big confusing

words oh they could have asked me they

could they could have saved some money

Scott we're thinking of doing this study

to see if dumbass big freaking academic

looking titles get as many clicks as

clear fun short ones and I would said

who good thing you asked me save your

money those clear short ones are going

to get more

interest now here's the fun

part how many of you remember back in

2015 and 2016 When Donald Trump was

considered the dumbest person in all of

public life because when he talked he

talked like he talked like he he had a

sixth grade um vocabulary I mean my

goodness

you how could he possibly be a president

with a sixth grade vocabulary he's

always using simple words and what's

wrong with that guy huh and then I told

you

um that's

perfect the thing they're criticizing is

the best communication style of all time

according to every study and every

observable

experience when was the last time you

heard the media criticize Trump for his

simplistic communication

style bet you didn't realize it

completely disappeared didn't

it what honestly it's been years I think

it's been years since they brought that

oh he uses simple vocabulary do you know

why because at this point everybody

figured out that was the better way to

communicate because the world is not as

smart as writers and people who make

headlines the people who make headlines

went to college and the college told

them to use big words and so they do to

impress their editors and their friends

and then the people who read it who

necessarily maybe didn't go to such a

good college they look at it and say I

don't even know what those words mean I

think I'll click on something

else so I really could have helped you

there but um once you understand that

Trump is the arguably the best public

Communicator of all time you know even

with his flaws

nobody's ever been more persuasive or

more clear about what they want than he

has so shorter is

better there's a medical study saying

that it's published in the JMA

Jama Psychiatry publication anyway shows

that kids who had persistent

inflammation as kids body

inflammation were far more likely to

develop serious mental health disorder

orders including psychosis and

depression now to their

credit this the uh article about it says

very clearly that they have not

established that the inflammation causes

the other problems it could be either

related or

Associated so the first thing I'll say

is congratulations for clearly writing

about science in a way that makes sense

but at what point in the article did

they tell you that it wasn't necessarily

causation was it up at the top was the

first sentence we don't know if this is

causation but there's a great

correlation between do you think it did

that no it did not no you had to read a

long time before they confessed yeah we

don't know if the inflammation causes

the problems could be just

correlation so I'm only going to give

him impartial credit because the reason

that you would click it and read it is

that you thought that they had

established some causation and if you

knew that they did not establish any

causation because they they don't have

the data to do that yet um maybe you

would have read it differently or not

read it but here's my hypothesis that

I've been working on for a long

time the other

day uh I had a very bad mental attitude

I woke up just feeling the sense of

dread and doom that wasn't really

connected to anything happening in the

world that was different than the day

before when I fell fine you know surely

there are problems in the world but why

did I feel fine yesterday and then I

wake up one day and then I feel like

Dread and do you know what the answer is

it's how my body felt when my body feels

suboptimal my brain follows along if if

you're still under the model that your

brain and your body are two different

functions you're going to be

your your odds of Happiness are

practically

zero let me say that again if you think

that your brain and your your your well

is put it other way if you think that

your body is not a component of your

mind and that it's only that little

brain thing that's inside your skull

that's part of your mind oh you're not

going to succeed at anything

you you have to get rid of that your

body is your

brain here's how here's what I mean how

did I how did I solv the problem that I

I felt a sense of Doom and Dread and you

know I would have even called it like a

mild depression it was because my body

didn't feel good I didn't have enough

exercise I I had some inflammation maybe

so I basically take a you know a uh what

do you call it the Epson salt hot bath

and my inflammation goes away and I eat

some food I like and I get some sleep

and all the Doom went

away so my brain problem was just my

body so as soon as you realize that your

brain is your body and that imagining

they're two separate systems gets you

all the wrong answers your body is your

brain I'm depressed what am I going to

do about it do some brain stuff no do

something with your body get outside get

some sun get some vitamin D work on your

inflammation if you if you have a

problem so that that's my hypothesis

based on my observation in my own life

is that whenever my body hurts my brain

is in a bad place whenever my body feels

extraordinary my brain's fine no

problems at

all anyway it's a good thing that

climate models are

Dependable oh well there's a new story

that uh two prominent and uh very

experienced climate scientists you've

probably heard of them before they're

sort of the contrarians in that in that

space Richard Linden I've talked about

him

before and uh William haer now they're

both very highly

qualified um Professionals in science in

specifically spent a lot of time in the

global climate change

stuff here's what they say

apparently their claim is the

following that if you add some CO2 to

the air it might warm the

environment or or does actually so they

they would agree that if you add CO2 hum

produce CO2 to the air uh and there's

not much there

already that as you're adding a little

bit to the air it it'll cause some

warming but here's the surprising part

they claim is that when you reach a

certain level which we have already

reached that the science is very

clear that the CO2 will stop having that

same warming

property in other words we've already

reached Peak CO2 warming

potential adding more won't make any

difference at all so their claim is

let's see if I can get it in their

words that uh the physics of carbon

dioxide

is that co2's ability to warm the planet

is determined by its ability to absorb

heat so if it doesn't absorb heat it

doesn't warm the planet but its ability

to absorb heat this is the CO2 decreases

rapidly as CO2 concentration

increases so it's basically the opposite

of all of climate change that it does it

does correlate with an increase in

temperature at lower rates but when you

reach about where we are now it should

Plateau so they're saying basically it's

not going to add any warming because it

it it

can't as soon as you have enough

concentration of CO2 which is where

we're at you could add more but it won't

get any

warmer now do all scientists agree of

course not but these are two very

qualified well-known you know even I

know these names not in the scientific

field but I'm well aware of these two

two

scientists so if they're right then

everything about the climate models is

wrong and they've made a they've made a

fairly simple claim one that you think

could be tested now I'm not going to

claim that these scientists are right

and all the other scientists are wrong

I'm going to claim that we don't know

anything about anything like all of our

sense of certainty is all artifici

official it's you know we imagine that

the data is never going to change and

nobody's lying and all the assumptions

they made are true and and that it's

actually possible to predict the future

based on a

multivariable Model it's not it's not

it's not even close to possible and

everybody in the field knows it but you

don't all right so but if that were the

only problem that would be the end of

the climate crisis completely

and it does seem like a testable

claim could you not test in a laboratory

the increasing CO2 in let's say just a

laboratory setting a totally controlled

environment and I think they've done

that right I'm pretty sure I've seen

tests where in the laboratory if you

introduce CO2 to a little closed

environment you can demonstrate that it

causes

warming so if the claim is that a

certain saturation level is stops doing

that instead of infinitely creating more

warming that would be easy to test

wouldn't it couldn't you just build a

little terrarium or something that looks

like Earth in a in a box or you know in

a sealed in a sealed environment

introduce some CO2 measure the

temperature sure enough we added CO2 and

the temperature went up now keep adding

it until you get to the concentration

we're at today in the real

world does it keep going up as you keep

adding to it or does it Plateau as these

two scientists would

suggest so the fascinating thing about

this is it seems so

testable maybe we'll find out it's real

who knows I'm not going to tell you that

you know these scientists are right and

the others are wrong because I have no

way to know that but I love the fact

that they're very qualified people and

they've got a very different idea of

what's going on but at least the rest of

climate model stuff is all pretty

solid you know it's only that one

assumption that they have to test you

know the one assumption that drives

everything that's the only one they're

questioning the one assumption that

makes everything

different but are there any other

assumptions in these climate models huh

well it turns out that there have been

some new studies of ice and they can

they can melt the ice in a special

scientific way and figure out what kind

of gases and stuff were in the ice and

then they can

reconstruct things about the past to

know if their climate models today you

know would have worked in the past as

well that's pretty

important so what they find out well it

turns out that uh the amount of biomass

that has burned over time has been

decreasing as the population of the

world

increases so biomass burning means like

a forest fire right you just a natural

fire Outdoors is a biomass burning so

the climate models assumed that the more

people you added to the world the more

burning there would be I assume they

mean because people would burn Forest to

plant Farms people would burn wood to

heat themselves people would you know

people humans would be burning a lot of

stuff so the climate models assume more

people equals more burning that's a

basic part of the models but it turns

out that when you look at the ice

samples uh The More Humans there are the

less biomass there is that's

burned it's opposite so one of the key

assumptions that people equals more

burning and that's fed into the model is

opposite according to these new studies

now again does it mean the new study is

correct and all the things in the model

are

incorrect I don't know that I'm just

saying that one part of science that

should be taken as credibly as the rest

probably uh is saying that they got that

big variable

opposite so Suppose there were only two

problems with the models that have lots

of variables and suppose the only two

problems were they got this biomass

thing backwards and they got the

CO2 um doesn't eat anything after it

reaches a certain saturation what if

they got those two things wrong well

then the entire bottles are are nothing

garbage now let me say something again

that if you're not convinced yet oh I'm

going to wear you down it goes like this

there is no such thing as accurate data

for anything that matters if it doesn't

matter or it's something we all observe

like yes there's a hurricane yes the

news says there's a hurricane science

says there's a hurricane okay the easy

stuff we all agree that's real but all

the stuff that really has big dollars

involved it's never real you you can't

have data collection and big dollars

involved at the same time but

unfortunately that's the only way

anything happens because the only people

willing to spend all the money it would

take to collect data on something as big

as the climate would be people who have

a lot of money

involved so there isn't actually a

system in place in the world to get

accurate data about anything that

matters think about that it's not it's

not a set of

accidents it it's not like well we

looked at this data and it turns out

that somebody involved was gaming the

system but then we looked at some other

data ah it turned out there was

something wrong with that data too and

you say to yourself wow I'm sure all the

rest of the data in the world is good

but these two look like they were

wrong no there is no

way that it's even possible for data to

be correct about anything important

because because the people presenting it

have an interest and they're only going

to show it to you if they can make that

data look whatever it is that they need

it to look so now there's no such thing

as accurate data about anything that

matters

and don't be confused by the data on

things that don't matter there there's

probably plenty of data on things that

don't matter to anybody politically or

monetarily but if it matters and there's

money involved it's never real it can't

be design is Destiny the design of the

system is the only people who collect

the data or the people who have a lot of

money involved in it being one

way that's our system if you suppose you

designed that on paper and you presented

it to somebody as a way to run the world

suppose nobody had ever collected any

data for anything before and you said

you know what if we started collecting

data in this world and we applied some

science we' we'd be way ahead so they

come up with the idea of collecting data

and they say all right here's how we're

going to do it it's going to be

expensive to collect any data that you

really matters and it's going to move

the needle so who's going to be doing

the collecting

the government oh no the government

might be biased you know might be

Democrats in office versus Republicans

you can't really trust the government

with data so then I'd say wait so you're

saying that all information that comes

from the government will be fake oh yes

of course it will of course it will

because it's either Democrats in charge

or Republicans in charge and neither of

them have an interest in telling you the

truth right they have a gigantic

monetary and

you know other career interests in

telling you the truth they want you to

hear do you think we could see that

effect in the real world if the

government has an incentive to lie to

you all the time well let's uh let's uh

look at some data have you heard about

the jobs reports that are being uh

revised by over 800,000 because they

were all

fake turns out it's way worse than that

because we might be looking at jobs that

were created as fake jobs to get PPP

money during the pandemic so there's

some suggestion that there might be 5

million fake

jobs because people pretended they had

employees so they could get money from

the government and pretended they had

companies so some some people think that

our jobs numbers are completely just

ridiculous and just made up and now

they're being

revised so that's exactly what you would

expect to happen if in fact your design

of how you collect data was wrong and

delegated to the people who had the most

interest in lying to you the current

situation let's see what else um how

about our uh numbers about crime do you

think our crime statistics that come

from the government are pretty good

pretty accurate no because some people

stopped collecting crime and then they

started just making stuff up and I think

we're all aware at this point that the

crime numbers are made up would you

agree and even when they're not made up

they put it in the wrong context like

comparing to the pandemic versus not the

pandemic which is no comparison at all

so we don't have jobs numbers that are

real and we don't have crime numbers

that are real and it's because the

government is in charge of those numbers

and there is no scenario in which the

government wants you to have real

numbers every scenario no matter who's

in charge they want it to look like it's

good for their team

period so if you were to ask private

companies to get you information let's

say drug companies to do drug studies

what you what should you expect if you

were going to put that design if you

were going to design that system on

paper all right the people who could

make a billion dollars if the drug is

safe are in charge of telling you that

the data says it's

safe what do you expect yeah the design

of the system system guarantees that all

important data is fake we've designed

the

system see you have to understand that

it's a system design problem it's not a

bunch of people who have made a mistake

coincidentally in each of these uh

important domains that's not what's

going on there's no no mistakes

happening people have a great interest

in making

assumptions that will drive the numbers

the way they want them to be driven and

whoever collects numbers gets to make

the assumptions oh these numbers are

good enough they're in these numbers

don't look Dependable to me I'll leave

these out that's how it

works all right uh let's see female doct

there's another study says female

doctors have a a far greater risk of

taking their own life than even male

doctors but you know higher than other

professions now when I used to be a

banker it was my job to make loans to

doctors and dentists and professionals

like that for a while that was my job

and one of the risks of making loans to

medical professionals especially

dentists is that they had unusually high

rates of taking their own lives dentists

in particular have like career-wise are

right at the top of taking their own

lives uh I'm not surprised that doctors

may be a little higher and that female

doctors are the highest

and I have a hypothesis to add to this

you know the the obvious things would be

that being a doctor isn't as good as it

used to be and you know you don't have

the same Prestige and you know the work

is terrible and a lot of the time you're

just doing work that's just busy work to

make sure you stayed up all night

because for some reason the the medical

field wants to torture you when you're a

new doctor I I've never understood that

to make you stay up 21 hours and all

that stuff but um here's my

hypothesis since all of those things

would be pretty common male or female I

think it's access to

pills if you were a doctor how and you

were deciding to end it all wouldn't you

do it with

pills I would think so and if you had

access to them because you could get all

you

wanted I would think that would explain

most of it actually you it seems like

there are a lot of people who probably

think about doing something to

themselves but it's sort of hard you

know you're not quite sure how to do it

in a way that you'd be willing to do it

but if your job was giving out pills and

you could get all you

wanted I if you could have asked me you

didn't have to do the study Scott do you

think that the industry that can get all

the uh all the tools of taking your own

life very easily do you think they would

have higher rates of doing it I'd say

yeah probably if you can get exactly the

tool and it's easier for you

sure well it looks like uh the headlines

say that Andrew Tate has been detained

Again by the Romanian officials so so he

got arrested do you know what is the

weird part of this the headline says

Andrew Tate detained again in Romania

but you read it and it says you his

brother was picked up

too I I feel sorry for Andrew Tate's

brother

Tristan he's always the also guy Andrew

Tate gets picked up by the Romanian cops

and he was a brother

too so here's my question since we don't

know what those charges are and Tate

says he doesn't know what the charges

are based on what evidence he says

there's no evidence I don't have an

opinion about whether he did or did

anything

wrong I will state again that uh say

e even even a citizen of Romania is

innocent to proven guilty based on our

standards you know he hasn't been proven

guilty so he's innocent to proven guilty

in my personal standard of these things

uh but here's the question do you think

he would have been picked

up if there were not an American

election

coming I feel like he's one of those

people who can move young votes

especially young males

I think that maybe Romania was asked to

pick him up by somebody associated with

the United States because he's exactly

the kind of person you want to take off

the

field when you know people under

30 are looking to figure out who to vote

for after not thinking about it until

the last minute he's exactly the kind of

person they don't they don't want

talking for the next few

months to me this looks very suspicious

the timing looks suspicious the lack of

you know any obvious evidence that we

could see the public can see of guilt

and again I want to be very clear it's

not my job to defend them from any

charges I have no idea what they did or

did not

do I have no no awareness of any of that

I'm just saying that if I were to if you

would ask me to guess would they be

picked up just about now I think I might

have put a bet on it if you'd said all

right take a bet uh give me give me your

bet would you bet that the Tates would

be

rearrested and maybe never charged you

know just taking off the field and

taking off the social media uh before

the American election would you place a

bet on that I think I would have I think

I would have placed a bet on that that

they would be arrested again only

because they're effective people listen

to them they have a big platform form

and they're you know presumably they're

going to be more Pro Trump than Pro

Biden or Pro uh Pro Comm

Harris anyway there's a report that the

Chinese tech companies are hiring quote

cheerleaders to motivate the programmers

now based on the photo the cheerleaders

would look like they would be

heterosexual uh attractive young women

whose job they say is to do stuff like

buy breakfast for the programmers uh

have a conversation with them and play

pingpong now if that's

true America just has to give up and

surrender because we can't compete with

that no what what if our programers

suddenly found it enjoyable to go to

work well that would be pretty sexist

yeah this sounds so sexist that could

never happen in the United States so we

can never compete with this these happy

programmers but maybe American

programmers work harder because they

know they have to get rich if they want

a

girlfriend so that's pretty that's

plenty of incentive they probably have

all the incentive they need right

now all

right so um there's a report that uh

Osama Bin Laden once said and and it

must be in a document somewhere that

we've captured after Bin Laden got taken

down but apparently there's some

document in which he was saying it would

be okay for Al-Qaeda to try to

assassinate Obama during during Obama's

term but they wanted to make sure that

they didn't assassinate Joe Biden the

vice president do you know why Bin Laden

thought it would be acceptable and

desirable to assassinate the president

of the United States but not the vice

president do do you know what his

reasoning is for that well allegedly his

reasoning is that Joe Biden was

incompetent and it would be really good

luck for Al-Qaeda if he ever became

president of the United States because

he would destroy the United States with

his own bumbling

incompetence that was Bin

Laden now do you believe

that I kind of believe

it it's a little too on the nose so may

maybe I'll put a little skepticism in

there I think that would be more

appropriate yeah I think I was falling

to the Trap of wanting to believe it

because it was a good recreational story

like oh that's a good fun

story but I don't really think Bin Laden

had that Insight actually the more I

think about it I'm going to call it

false I think I'm gonna call this one

fake news you know maybe there's some

document but who knows who made it seems

a little fake newsy I don't know seems

like Russian disinformation to me no it

doesn't but uh so I'm going to use the

it's a little little too close to

exactly what some people would want to

hear to make me believe it happened just

that

way but here's a weird thing do you know

if you took the name Bin Laden and

simply removed the letters NL and a that

all happen they all happen they're next

to each other so if you take Bin Laden

and remove some of the letters n LNA

a do you know what you

have Biden

you literally can't spell Bin Laden

without

Biden I don't know if the simulation is

telling us something but there it

is anyway there's a story that one of

the officials in the government um

nuclear uh nuclear weapons

departments is uh trying to make the

nuclear weapons group uh way gayer so uh

it's the national nuclear security

administration's Special Assistant uh

named uh

ner that's the last name ner n a i r

anyway made it clear that she uh she

wants to get rid of all the white

supremacy in the

nuclear nuclear weapons group get rid of

the white supremacy in the nuclear field

and she wants to uh you know gay up the

nuclear weapons as part of the diversity

equity and

inclusion so there's actually somebody

who's feeling that the important thing

about nuclear

war is to make sure that diverse people

launch them so that when we all die in a

giant nuclear

Fireball we can say ah I'm melting but

at least diversity was

achieved that's my impression of dying

after nuclear blast probably not to on

point probably not

now am I saying that I don't want any

gay people working in nuclear weapons no

obviously I'm not saying that am I

saying that it would be bad to have

diversity no I'm not saying that am I

saying that a Dei hire is necessarily

incompetent no I'm not saying that what

I'm saying is if you design a

system where one of the top

priorities is not oh let's say avoiding

a nuclear war or winning one if you have

to be in one if your top priority of any

individual who's got power in that

organization is to make sure you have

more diversity you've designed a system

for failure and almost guaranteed

nuclear war if you said to me what would

be a good way to create a nuclear war

I'd say well stop hiring based strictly

on Merit and make sure you got a got a

good good diversity in there again no

complaints about anybody's genes or

gender preference or gender or any of

that that has nothing to do with any my

points my point is that if you force a

certain population no matter who they

are and you you force them into the city

or into the system you're going to get

incompetence so there's somebody whose

job is to inject incompetence into our

nuclear uh operation

you know you'd think there'd be some

limit to how stupid we could be but

apparently not there's no limit to how

stupid we could

be but we're very diverse um what time

is RFK Jr going to make his announcement

today so

allegedly and I'm not sure the reports

are completely reliable but allegedly

RFK Jr was going to suspend his campaign

and maybe even endorse

Trump I don't I don't feel that that's

100%

certain I think there's a good chance of

it you know if I had to bet I'd bet that

it's going to happen and here's the

amazing

thing like how is that even possible

that somebody who's family and and he

were just life to him Democrats how how

badly do you have to abuse

somebody before a Kennedy will

become potentially endorsing a

Republican

you've got to be really really really

terrible

people and I think RFK Jr is just

reacting to how he was being treated so

I would also point out that if you gave

a quiz to people who didn't know who the

people involved were for this quiz you

said all right here's a list of

characteristics of JFK so President

JFK you know what was he all about just

describe why he wanted and his policies

and then do a description of

trump and what he wanted but you take

out all the hyper so that you're just

factually saying JFK wanted this stuff

Trump wants this stuff I think that

would look kind of

similar don't

you there wouldn't there wouldn't be

that much difference between what JFK

thought was a good idea and what Trump

thinks is a good idea

so it's not that big of a leap weirdly

because the Democrats became you know

wildly left Progressive and crazy and uh

Trump is you know obviously he's you

know more Republican than Democrat but

if you were to look at a historical

model uh Trump is pretty common sensical

so I don't even see Trump as being on

the right I I never have really I mean

he has to fit somewhere because we like

to put things in boxes so I get that

he's in that box but I just see all of

his policies as not having a right or

left Dimension to them am I the only one

I I just don't see right or left in what

he does because he shows you his

work he he says this works this doesn't

this makes sense this doesn't and you

could look at it yourself and you could

say okay there there's precedent for why

this would work and there's you know no

precedent for why this stupid idea would

work he just seems like the common sense

obvious path kind of

guy anyway so people are saying would

RFK Jr join a trump Administration Trump

has acted positively about it I don't

know if RFK Jr has ever answered it I

think you don't answer those questions

while you're running but I'm still

fascinated by how many gools you could

imagine RFK Jr taking this is real

compliment to RFK Jr because you know I

always talk about Talent Stacks you want

to get as many talents as you can so

you're ready for anything

so you could you could easily imagine

RFK Jr being the head of the CIA to

clean it up you could imagine him being

a head of the FDA you could imagine him

being attorney

general uh maybe there's five more jobs

the that you can imagine him being the

top

advisor um but whatever he does I would

love to see him be in charge of food and

medical drug

testing so that we'd have some chance of

getting at least a clearer picture of

those things so

um anyway I also

wonder has it ever been confirmed that

RFK Jr has testosterone

supplements has he ever talked about

that I feel like I sort of maybe

remember he mentioned it because his his

muscular development suggests that he's

doing something that's both legal and

very effective um for muscle

development so do we know that he's had

his testosterone boosted or is it just

obvious I'm seeing some yeses but here

here's the interesting

thing do you think that he would cons

consider citing or endorsing

Republicans if he had not boosted his

testosterone think about

it I I think it I think it's the

defining

factor and let me tie this into my next

story which is uh you know CNN and MSNBC

covering the uh the Democrat convention

they were trying to sell the fact that

uh Doug

mof and Tim wals are the example of the

new male role

models and that they were different from

and this is actually what the

commentators were saying this is not me

saying it it was different from the the

testosterone filled you know Macho

Republican people and so both MSNBC and

CNN's the women the the female pundits

and observer

were saying that the Democrats have this

new model of male optimal male Behavior

which is supporting a woman being your

boss and that if you could be more let's

say less Macho Hulk Hogan and you know

less Dana White and more Doug emof and

more Tim wals that that's the model that

the Democrats want to put forward as you

know modern male leadership

and and then RFK Jr comes along he's

just like bristling with muscles and

he's willing to to skin a dead

bear and he he just doesn't he just

doesn't fit their

model so I'm going to say

again do you think now I'm making an

assumption here that if we assume that

he's at least friendly with the Trump

campaign do we think that he would have

any chance of endorsing or work working

with Trump if he had not boosted his

testosterone which if I haven't told you

this before your body and your brain are

the same organ your body is your brain

If RFK Jr's body is Rippling with a high

level of

testosterone that's his brain and it

would make him way less likely to be a

farle left

so don't rule out that this is entirely

chemical I don't think it's about issues

and facts because the issues are all

lies and the facts are all lies but you

can see testosterone and you could look

at the the people attending the the DNC

and you don't see

any it looks like all the testosterone

went to another city that

day anyway so we'll keep an eye out

waiting what's the time for the RFK Jr

announcement does anybody know when

that's slated to happen I haven't seen

anything about that yet anyway we'll

look for that um this story is funny

there's a story I guess the government's

probably saying this that both Russia

and Iran are quote waging operations to

influence the US

elections all right so the idea is that

um professional

trolls from Russia and from Iran are

trying to spread

disinformation or or put their finger on

the uh the scales for our

election do you see anything about that

story that is funny I

do everything about our election is

disinformation how are they going to add

any extra disinformation you're watching

the DNC and 100% of what every person

said was a lie 100% there wasn't I don't

think there was any anything honest that

came out of the entire thing so far the

news is completely fake our data is

completely made up and the citizens

don't even know the made up stuff if you

stop them on the street they barely know

the name of the people running for

president so in this

context do you think that the Russian

and Iranian trolls are going to make a

difference let me put this in context

for you okay because remember that

Russia

had that troll Farm in 2016 and I I

laughed when I saw their memes like

these memes look like they were made in

high school there's no way no way that

had any influence on the

election all right here's what I think

imagine the Grand

Canyon all right you got that picture in

your mind gigantic Canyon now imagine if

the entire Canyon was filled with uh cow

feces

it was just full of cow crap not just to

the top but like you know 100 feet above

the top every bit of the Grand Canyon

full of feces now now imagine a pigeon

flies over the Grand Canyon that's

overflowing with cow feces and the

pigeon poops on top of

it that's the that's all of the Russian

and Iranian trolls

you put them all together and they're

one pigeon pooping on top

of a gigantic Canyon full of

to if you imagine that they could

have any impact when everything's

already lie 100% of what's what both

sides are talking about is just

is just completely left-handed context

stuff and things that aren't even true

and lies and hoaxes

there's no way that Russia or Iran could

add anything to that mix that would make

it worse than what it is without their

help they can't make that worse in what

way could you make that

worse to me that's just hilarious it's

so it's so ridiculously not a risk that

I can't even believe we're talking about

it I I guess there's still an illusion

that some of our information is real and

that if they added their little you know

pigeon poop of misinformation that

suddenly our our delicate balance of

correct information would be set off

there's no correct

information good luck

Birds uh there's a report in the

Washington Free Beacon that some Soros

funded fake News network is operating in

uh Nevada now now it's literally an

entity that tries to look like a real

news entity but their only purpose is

fake

news for the benefit of Democrats so

you've got a Soros funded entity that's

literally doing fake news stuff and when

I say fake news I don't mean they're

real news that says things are fake

they're not even a real news entity

they're just pretending to be on so they

can do fake stuff now that's what that's

what's happening without Russia and

Iran they can't compete with Soros

he he's already got the misinformation

the thing all wrapped

up well but at least the government is

forthcoming with information when

citizens or congress ask for it oh wait

also the Washington Free Beacon is

saying that uh Biden Harris

Administration there stonewalling

Congress who is asking for information

about the US

nonprofits that may or may not have been

behind bankrolling the pramas

protesters

so uh the there's a house Ed and

oversight committee they want to

subpoena the information apparently the

government has some kind of information

that would say what kind of

nonprofits were funding the protesters H

wouldn't you like to know that well I

would but the government isn't going to

tell it do you know why because it might

be accurate

information have I ever mentioned to you

that if information matters it's all

fake well this might be a situation

where they have some real information

and the oversight committee would like

to see it because it might really matter

who is funding them and that will not be

made available according to the current

situation they're just going to ignore

the request because the last thing the

government wants is accurate information

in the public

all right uh there's a September

interest rate cut that's likely say all

the smart people uh how many of you

could have predicted that there would be

an interest rate cut in the few months

before the

election well maybe it's a

coincidence maybe the people who are

supposedly

independent uh in this interest rate

stuff maybe they're not so

independent but I'm pretty sure that I

could have predicted it so what does it

mean that I could have predicted it if

you had asked me six months ago Scott do

you think that the administration in

charge would be so lucky that the

independent the independent you know the

the FED would uh lower the interest rate

just to make everything look wonderful

before election I would have said yes

now it could be that that was just going

to happen anyway because that was a

natural evolution of the economy

me but I'd like to point out I would

have predicted it for whatever that's

worth well the DNC is uh rolling on I

have a real trouble watching it because

it creeps me out is anybody else having

that like I really wanted to watch more

of the DNC because it felt like I should

be informed but the more I thought about

it it's not really moving anybody's

needle anywhere is it

how many people could possibly stomach

watching the DNC who had not already

totally made up their mind that this is

their team who in the world who is just

casually interested in politics and has

not yet made up their mind could watch

that it was just completely unwatchable

crap oh my God and then Tim wals comes

out and he's I don't know if he's

adopted this just for the campaign or

it's natural but he's gesticulating

wildly to the crowd and these these

somewhat exaggerated you know his hand

when when when Harris is waving to the

crowd she puts one hand up and wals is

standing right next to her and he's got

two hands

up first of all do not gesticulate more

than the top of the ticket so Tim Walls

can I give you some advice goes like

this if you're stay standing right next

to the top of the ticket and the top of

the ticket has one hand up you know

waving to the crowd and accepting their

Applause don't put both hands up and

don't act like you're jumping up and

down because you're taking attention

from the top of the ticket that's not

cool that's not cool at

all you you need to be a vice president

so act like a freaking vice president

look what look what the top of the

ticket is doing body language wise and

do

that even if your instinct is not to do

that that's your job your job is to do

that do what she's doing was was Harris

handling it better than him I thought

so I I think a professional approach to

massive Applause makes you look pretty

strong right but jumping up and down

because you got the

Applause makes you look like a

cheerleader so I'm going to compliment

Harris she looked like like a

leader Tim Walls looked like a

cheerleader I guess they're both leaders

but one's a

cheerleader um and then if you didn't

see it there is a hilarious meme of

Richard Simmons now deceased I believe

uh Richard Simmons who is the uh the

exercise guru who was very effusive and

you know when when he would come out to

the crowd he'd be you know both hands

are up and he'd be dancing and bowing

and blowing kisses stuff and you see it

side by side with Tim wals coming out to

greet the crowd it does look like

Richard

Simmons

now to me and I'm GNA say it

again Tim wals is so creepy I just can't

even stand a second of him and it's not

because he's a Democrat right I I could

watch Obama all day long I could watch

Bill Clinton all day long even Hillary

Clinton who I really really didn't like

as a candidate I mean I I didn't have

you know like a creepy reaction to it I

just didn't like her but he gives me a

genuine creep out does anybody else get

that and I don't know what it's about I

I don't have a specific idea what what's

behind that but oh my God the creepiness

level is just off the chart I think

that's why he started with the weird

thing to take pressure off himself being

so creepy

that's just my take um let's see then

the DC mostly wanted to talk about

Trump's character and some hoaxes and

lies about

Trump um and they didn't mention crime

of course because that's not a strong

topic of theirs but they want you to

know that Trump's a bad person he's so

bad Trump's bad Their audience will

never notice that their focus on Trump

is because they're trying to make you

forget that they don't have the goods

and that the things they've suggested

for policies are batshit crazy they're

not just Democrat versus Republican they

they found a whole new category that's

neither Democrat nor Republican is just

guaranteed

failure yeah her her tax plan and you

know well we've talked about it

um so I'll say again that I think all

the hoaxes about Trump that the DNC

speakers have presented you they

continue find people hoax drinking

bleach hoax hoax hoax hoax I think they

know they're not

true and they know that if they can make

the Republicans get mad and talk about

it oh they're hoaxing us again they're

hoaxing us that they'll have less

pressure to talk about policies or to

have Harris in front of the press so as

a distraction the hoaxes are really

working worked on

me well Oprah is at the DN and she said

uh quote I have been on the receiving

end of racism sexism and income

inequality but somehow she fought

through and now she's worth billions of

dollars and got invited to the DNC

so anyway but here's the funniest part

of that um the way CNN was covering her

speech so CNN's got the camera on Oprah

and Oprah's uh going on and Oprah says

and by the way the Vigilant Fox um

account on X C this that uh Oprah wire

is talking and mocking JD Vance she's

mocking him uh about the childless cat

lady uh comment and as hoprah is mocking

him about childless cat ladies CNN

decides to cut to a closeup of a

audience member who is a woman who may

or may not be child

and a cat lady now there's no mention of

whether she's childless or a cat lady

but the fact that they cut to

her was

hilarious and childless cat ladies and

suddenly there's this big old face of

somebody somebody in the audience who's

really could have been you I don't know

but she could be a childless cat lady

she had that

look all right um

Bill Clinton uh was a speaker too and uh

he hilariously mispronounced Kamala as

camela now am I the only person who's

noticed how many uh Black Americans call

Kamala

Kamala black Americans do not pronounce

her name correctly white Americans do

not pronounce her name correctly L

president ex-presidents do not pronounce

your name

correctly maybe it's the

name maybe it's the

name uh there's something about that

name that's difficult to remember how

how to pronounce it now part of the

reason it's hard to remember how to

pronounce it is that so many people who

are in the business are mispronouncing

it if I didn't see people who should

know how to do a corly consistently

doing it wrong I would remember it

correctly so maybe it's just the

name can can we find a little Common

Ground

there I I would believe we we should all

be able to meet at this place which is

we'd all like to use people's proper

name you know if we're being polite

human beings we do want to use their

name

correctly but it's

hard uh I think that's the the better uh

framing is it's just our name to

remember you know nobody needs a

nickname more than she does she needs a

nickname like a positive nickname from

her own team something something that

isn't

coach try trying think go Tim walz coach

is just giving me every creepy Vibe oh

my God I just I can't even watch

it anyway MSNBC is Rachel madow

she was uh on air talking about uh the

how happy everybody was that Tim wals

was giving his speech and she actually

said this about the onair talent at

MSNBC that they were literally got up

and danced in

Jubilation to toh Tim

wals that's the

news so the news people who job it is to

tell you the news now obviously they're

opinion people but they're on a news

network uh they say they they danced in

Jubilation you nobody yeah thank you I I

see the wrap up messages I'll I'll wrap

up pretty soon um I've got about five

more minutes so I should be fine thank

you anyway

um well that tells you everything you

need to know if if they're literally

dancing to the happiness that one team

could win Daniel Dale the most uh

embarrassing job in the world which is

to be the political fact Checker and

ignore most of the lies by one side uh

they brought him on to fact check the

claim by one of the DNC people that

Trump wrote a project 2025 which he did

not so Daniel Dale to his credit says

that Trump is not named as an author of

the

document and then he went on to debunk

all of the other no he didn't

now I don't know what else Daniel Dale

debunked but I guarantee he didn't

debunk any of the big

ones so I think you have to see this

debunk in the context of

misinformation here's

why if you were watching that and you

saw that the only thing that got

debunked was that one Claim about that

document which has the authors listed

right on it but Daniel Dale could say

he's not listed as an author

that is a fake fact check what makes it

fake is not that it's wrong because it's

actually right what makes it fake is if

you watch the network and that's the

only thing that got fact checked you

would believe the other you'd

say well they would fact check it they

got this guy whose only job is to fact

check so all that other stuff must be

true so Daniel Dale actually ended up

being the person who's most responsible

for spreading fake news

by factchecking

correctly only this one thing in this

sea of other fake news or at least fake

claims so uh that's humiliating to be

him and I can't even imagine how he

sleeps at night honestly I mean he must

feel that he's part of a huge

disinformation campaign how could he not

feel that and how can you be okay with

that if your your only job is lying and

you're okay with it

anyway kim.com

uh noted that the poly Market I guess

that's a betting Market uh now has Trump

handily up on Harris 53 to 46 they were

recently tied and even before that

Harris was slightly had and as kim.com

uh cleverly says the more they talk the

more they

drop so the longer the DNC goes on the

betting markets are like uh maybe

not not so much maybe

not right uh I'll wrap it up in a minute

here um we just found out that Thomas

krooks the attempted assassin

guy um his we knew he had encrypted

messaging apps but now we know that

they're on platforms located in Belgium

New Zealand and

Germany now as general Flynn noted

we knew that probably in 24 hours we

meaning the government knew it why did

they wait till now to tell us and by the

way by the way Belgium New Zealand and

Germany what possible reason would you

have to use an encrypted app that is

platformed in those

countries well to keep the United States

from seeing your plans would be one but

it does suggest there might be some

foreign involvement it doesn't it's not

evidence for it but it's a situation

which would be cond conducive to

it it's hard for me to imagine that this

kid had enough wherewithal and knowledge

to use these foreign encrypted

apps but if he were being let's say

managed by somebody in an intelligence

group either domestic or foreign they

could certainly Point him toward those

things and say you know you should be

off the grid you'd better use these

foreign encrypted apps because America's

in the back door of

ours so curiouser and curiouser all

right the funniest thing is that the the

head of Hamas

senoir uh he's added a requirement to

the ceasefire negotiations he is uh

politely asking if they do a ceasefire

could you please not kill

me so so one of the requirements of the

ceasefire is that Israel has to promise

not to kill the guy who was in charge of

October

7th let me see if I can uh take a bet on

whether Israel will accept that they

will let the Mastermind of the October

7th uh

Slaughter uh live so that they can get a

ceasefire

no so there are two possibilities either

either Israel will say no we're not

going to agree with that and then they

kill him or Israel says oh we took

totally agree with that and then they

kill

him here's what's not in question Israel

is going to kill him there is 100%

chance they're going to kill

them they might do it today they might

do it tomorrow it could take eight years

they're G to kill them there's

nothing that's going to stop it and by

the way if you were Israel you'd feel

the same way now am I uh encouraging it

promoting it embracing it I'm not even

involved I'm just observing there's

nothing that will stop Israel from

killing that guy and you do the

same thing so I don't have an opinion on

it no opinion is needed it's we we'll

just watch what happens and there's only

one way it

goes so he's pretty dead that ladies and

gentlemen is the end of my show I've got

to do some veterinarian stuff with my

dog she's got a torn ACL and so she's

not too happy but we're going to see

about getting that fixed if we can

thanks for joining uh I can't I can't go

private with you today on locals because

I got to run but thanks for joining and

uh I'll see you tomorrow and locals I'll

see you in the man cave tonight and bye

for now everybody have a great

day I think there's a little delay here

so this will be my 202nd fake delay

while I'm waiting for the feed to catch

up so it doesn't seem like I cut you

off okay I think that's long enough