Episode 2759 CWSA 02/23/25

you feel like doing it this morning you know when everything goes wrong all at the same time you've got two minutes to show time you never really recover you know that there's something about the first minute that sets the tone so just imagine I gave you the simultaneous Sip and then you had a sip because nothing's working today maybe that's what I needed maybe it was the coffee I needed audio is good good at least on locals I can't see the comments on uh X if there already but if you're on X and you're saying why is the sound not good it's because it's on my phone today technical difficulties no microphone is connected well let's talk about all the news uh I saw Joe Rogan talking about meta's new glasses you know they look like regular glasses but it allows you to see things uh extra so you'll see your regular environment but extra stuff added and uh Joe Rogan was talking about some Harvard kid who figured out how to use facial recognition software with these classes so I guess you can add your own apps and uh if you look at some somebody with the glasses that calls up their social media and Wikipedia and whatever is available about them online now Joe S seemed to think that that was a terrible idea and that um you know I guess I could find your address and everything else if you're address is public so here's my take on this you can wish that this didn't exist you could hope that people would not use these glasses for something that looks like a privacy violation of some sort but it's not going to happen so I'm not it's not that I'm in favor of it or against it it's sort of like complaining about the rain it's just going to rain whether you complain about it or not and technology is definitely going to give you this capability you will be able to to see things in your glasses that are not in the environment uh some of it will be telling you something about the person you're talking to I guarantee it there's no way around it whether it's whether it comes from individuals who are hacking it or it comes from the company meta it's just going to happen so again I'm not in favor of it or against it it's just going to happen um but in related news there's a according to the brighter side of news Joshua shaen is writing that uh there's some emotion sensitive technology that people could wear so you could tell what their emotions are in real time I guess they figured out how to use galvanic skin responses uh at a at a more granular way than we've used them before so that you can actually tell people's specific and immediate emotions based on what's happening around them now it's not exactly completely done and it's a level above you know mood rings and things that we've had before but now imagine putting these two technologies together so imagine you could walk up to a stranger and you would know something about them and let's say one of the things about them is uh they like dogs because they've got a lot of dogs on their social media you could immediately engage them in a conversation if you were shy you can walk up and say whoa you've got a corgi oh my my aunt had a corgi those are great that would be a little creepy if they didn't know you had the special glasses on but you know imagine a time when everybody has them everybody knows and then you could determine whether the things you were saying were making the person you're talking to happy or not so I don't know there could be a there could be a big benefit to shy people because shy people don't know what to say to new people that they're meeting that's the biggest problem if they knew exactly what to say nobody would be shy but imagine if you just saw enough about somebody that you could walk up to anybody and just use their name and You' know something about them it would it would solve a lot of shyness problems speaking as a shy person well I'm a recovered shy person the the best way to recover from shyness is to become famous it turns out that when you're famous all that shyness stuff just goes away I did not expect that anyway so there's two technologies that are going change things um we'll get to the the big politics in a minute so according to Fox News Alexander Hall's reporting that uh San Francisco Asian American voters are basically walking away from the Democrats now of course it's not all of them it's never all of them whoever you're talking about it's never all of anybody but um does that surprise you how many of you would be surprised to learn that asian-americans in San Francisco are starting to turn toward Trump in a fairly dramatic and very measurable way who who's surprised about that I would argue that you could only be surprised about that if you didn't have any Asian-American friends anybody who has Asian-American friends you already knew it you already knew it so I'm I'm not going to dig any deeper into that because I'd be you know sort of talking for a group that I shouldn't be talking for but if that surprised you it's only because you didn't have any contact with that Community um yeah they're there uh it's a very common sense well yeah I guess that's as far as I can go uh I'll say that the Asian-American Community is very common sense-based what works oh let's do that what doesn't work oh we'll avoid that just common sense so yeah of course they'd be driven driven toward Common Sense Solutions meanwhile our favorite crazy Democrat representative Jasmine Crockett uh she said on some radio show or podcast just recently that rep voters don't like to read or learn facts they don't like to they don't they don't like to read or learn facts what I love about this is Democrats can't learn there's just there's just no learning happening at all yeah if I could teach the Democrats just one thing just one thing don't do this do not make General statements about all all Republicans it's so dumb it's like it's like dumb on a level that is hard to even fathom but still doing it uh and uh when I say this I just say to myself we need more Jasmine Crockett because the more Jasmine Crockett there is in the world the the longer Republicans will have you know total control of the government well maybe Jasmine Crockett will have a new job opport un someday because Joy Reed's Show on MSNBC has reportedly been cancelled I guess it's going to run for the rest of this week and then she will be out now what would be the worst name to give your own TV show if there were some chance you would ever get cancelled uh it's called the read out read as in her last name re e i d That's the name for the show read out what is the news today read out yeah so uh they should have confirmed with me at the beginning it's like uh if we give it this name is anybody going to be able to mock it later and I would say yes yes they will be able to mock it later so maybe rethink that um it also made me think that if you imagine that someday the news reader will be robots and AI who would be easier to replace than Joy Reid uh allow me to do my AI robot impression of Joy Reed's replacement today in the news the weather is 85 degrees in San Francisco because of light Supremacy today in the news the New York Giants won a game because of white supremacy I mean how hard can it make an AI that just reproduces Joy Reed because of racism there's racism Trump is bad orange Hitler orange Hitler chaos there's chaos orange Hitler all right um meanwhile Trump is on true social dunking on MSNBC and he calls them msdnc as in they're basically a democ R function he says msdnc is even worse than CNN they shouldn't even have a right to broadcast only in America um now I of course believe they should have a right to broadcast because of free speech um I think he's being a little hyperbolic but it made me think um and I don't know the answer to this maybe you can tell me in the comments if you're a News Network do you get some um extra government protection in other words if you do the news does that does the government say oh you can use these Airwaves or whatever now I don't know if it applies to cable but is there anything like if you're in the news business you get some extra rights is that a thing it used to be if when the uh the Airways were limited in in bandwidth but I think it did so I'm not an expert on that but it does it does ask the question if something is pretending to be a news network but yet in every way it functions as a propaganda organ does it have a right to exist I think it does because lying is still legal you can lie all you want you can be as biased as you want but but it does raise the question is there is there anything that's different about MSNBC now there's some thought that the management of MB MSNBC is trying toh you know move away from doing nothing but criticizing Trump we'll see anyway it makes me wonder if the Trump effect took out Joy Reid do you think that Trump is the reason that Joy Reed is losing her job I wonder CU if it hadn't been Trump being president wouldn't she have some positive things to say let's say a Democrat were president wouldn't she have some positive things to say and then maybe her her ratings would not have collapsed but when you've got a president who's pulling over 50% in popularity and he's doing a lot of things that people want if the only thing you can do is call him orang shitler day after day after day I can see how your management would get tired of that so makes sense to me um and it also made me wonder if Trump can recoup all of his legal expenses from the lawfare and all of his business expenses from you know being boycotted or whatever happened to the Trump business itself uh because let's say he's he got $30 million he won from NBC for fake news about him or no just I think it was just fake news somebody else at $30 million and then uh he's suing CVS that might be a multi-million dollar settlement settlement it seems to me that the only thing you'd have to demonstrate is that the fake news knew it was fake at least whatever story they're talk about that they knew it and that they did it anyway which I'll bet is an easy standard to to achieve because if you sue somebody you get access to their emails right you probably will always find some evidence in the emails that they knew exactly what they were doing uh so maybe there's more lawsuits coming meanwhile Hezbollah held a funeral for its late leader that Israel took out some months ago and it was a annoyingly and startlingly large Gathering of Hezbollah supporters but uh Israel apparently did a flyover so all the uh has people were dancing around and uh doing their thing and Israel just does a flyover with f-15s and f-35s I think it was just to remind them we're not done so that happened um Bray bar news is reporting Francis Martell that uh Doug beram he's the uh interior secretary um and he says that Trump plans to sell energy to our friends and he's going to defund their it'll help defund the Russian aggression so part of what he's saying is that the more energy the US creates the weaker Russia will be because Russia depends on its energy so if we're competing with it should lower their their revenues increase our revenues and make make us safer but here's the question I have um although Doug beram might be a solid Choice he doesn't strike me as the person who can promote any successes he's just not he's not a promotional guy it maybe to his credit that he might be more about getting the job done but it seems to me that the single biggest good news would be if we did something really good in the energy field in other words creating more energy lowering the cost of energy approving more stuff and I was unaware of what we're doing in energy but I looked at uh I looked at Daniel Baldwin had some uh some a list of things that the Administration has already done Trump Administration that would make a difference but I don't know how real these are so one is uh finish the Constitution pipeline to bring natural gas to the Northeast I don't think that happened I think that Trump announced he wants to uh get that pipeline going because it would lower costs in the Northeast at least for natural gas but I don't think it's going so I don't know if there's anything there yet could be in the future but at the moment no there then U also listed by Daniel Baldwin is a a joint venture with as for lngg project with Japan now does that lower lower costs of energy in the United States if we're doing an LNG project with Japan or does it just open up a market I don't know um apparently India agreed to make us its leading supplier of crude oil and petroleum uh but is that isn't that just increasing Demand on our energy so so here are the two examples of increased demand increased demand doesn't lower your cost I mean if you increase production to meet the band it's still not doing anything um Trump is reopening 625 miles of ocean that Biden had banned from drilling but is anybody drilling is there anybody who's like yeah we're going to get going in that place we wanted to but weren't so wouldn't you like to know about that um they also saw that um making peace with Russia should have some impact on Energy prices because that would allow what Russia to produce more energy I don't know I think they're producing all they want so I don't see how that's going to lower our prices um and then Trump did call on OPAC to increase production which if they did that um would lower energy prices but are they doing it so you see the problem right right um Trump made a big deal about betting on energy American Energy so if we incre increase our energy production we could not only make more money by selling it yay but we could lower our own costs by having you know more Supply than there is demand at least changing the balance but is any of that happening so here's what I would suggest for the administration I feel like Doug berham needs some help and like I said he's probably a solid solid interior Minister but sometimes promotion is a whole different field and he doesn't seem like the promotion guy now I don't want to see a bunch of BS but don't you think that that real things are Brewing that could actually lower energy costs and if there aren't well I'd like to know that because um pretty much our entire future depends on energy booming and lowering our Energy prices because nothing else is going to take the price of eggs down right now I do love the things that Trump is doing the lowering you know with Doge Etc so as long as we can get Congress to not spend all those savings which I think they want to do then maybe in the long term you know prices and inflation will be controlled and that helps on prices but I'm not seeing the Trump Administration draw straight line between what they're doing and the price of eggs or even the price of energy um so we got to need that don't we it's conspicuously missing uh given that the Trump Administration is so good at promotion and Energy's got to be right at the top of the things that you would want to promote if there's something happening but I guess I'm going to say I'm not aware of anything that would make a difference so that's that's a little uh disturbing um here's there's a new study on studies I like studies about studies uh this is a study that shows uh the research papers uh they looked at 82 climate studies what do you think they found don't get ahead of me um it said that not a single Paper of those 82 disclosed a conflict of interest in over 29 years so over a 29e period nobody who did these studies ever disclosed if they had a conflict of interest do you think they have any well here's what they found out so 68% of NGO funded studies claimed that climate change drastically increased hurricane activity so more than two 2/3 of all NGO funded climate studies say oh this is making the Hurricanes much worse what do you think would be the answer of people who are not funded by an NGO now an NGO would be something like you know I'll just make this up it' be like the green climate initiative NGO so it's basically people who want the study to say that climate change is real and they want the study that they're funding to say that it's dire and 68% of the people who took money from the people who want to show how dire it is showed how dire it was 2third of them but of the people who did not take money from NOS they had a very clear you know incentive structure uh only 22% of them said that uh the hurricanes are getting worse because of climate change 22% versus 68 and so the 22% were people who just got government or academic research that was maybe a little more neutral it's like here's your money come tell us what happened whereas the NGS are you know really directly political I think in most cases so there you go your studies match the desires of the people who funded them and they didn't dis close that they had that conflict so that would be a conflict if your funding came from an NGO and the NGO definitely wanted a certain answer because you know they did you know they did and apparently the NGO grants were uh far more four times as large as the normal academic study now even in the academic world people are going to be pressed to say climate change is real and even if you're funded just by the government not through an NGO you're still going to feel like you need to come up with something that agrees with the government so climate science not really science remember they say trust the science if you knew that the source of the funding completely changed the outcomes the source of the funding not the science the source of the funding if you know that and there's such a big difference you know 22% compared to 68 that's not really science is it all right um here's what I like to say about uh climate change where do you find out about the climate models now some of you who followed me already know what I mean about that but I'm fascinated by the category of communication which is something that can't be communicated for example you you know the story about the little boy who CRI cried wolf he he warned that a wolf was coming when there wasn't so many times that when a real wolf was coming and he said there's a wolf coming everybody said Ah that's that little kid who cries wolf all the time so they ignored him so that was a case where the boy who CW cried wolf could not communicate a real thing because people weren't ready for it now that's also true if you know if you get your information from your enemy you don't believe it there's a whole bunch of categories of things that can't be communicated here's another one if uh physics came up with some great new thing but the physicist wanted to explain it to me do you think they could do it not really it' be stuff like well then the muon went to the uh the quantum phase into the multi-dimensions and I'd be I don't know what any of those mean I I I don't know what you're saying well but then the fluctuation of the schinger cat blah blah I'd say nope still nothing I have no idea what you're talking about so that would be something you can't communicate to but what I know about climate models is in that category so I used to say let me give you all my detailed explanation about why the climate models couldn't possibly be real and unless you have an hour to sit there and you can you know watch me do it on a whiteboard I can't communicate it so it's just funnier for me to say where do you find out because you will find out I I'm completely certain that the that the climate models are going to have their day of judgment where even the smart people say uh I didn't know this about the climate models but now that I know it that changes everything it's coming I guarantee it anyway the National Institute of Health stopped considering new grants because of the Doge um either the Doge cross cutting or some other effect from Doge and the idea here is that the uh scientists are feeling like oh no it's the end of the world because we have all these things we want to get funding for and grants uh but the National Institute of Health is now kind of constipated and they can't make it happen well I saw a mocking post by V prad doctor now vene um is well known at least on the internet for debunking research studies and and teaching us teaching us how unreliable the uh the scientific literature is meaning the studies so here's what he says about the NIH uh pausing their funding of new grants he goes oh oh no there are delays in a broken inadequate and corrupt system that produces fraudulent and irre irreproducible uh research and has never subjected itself to empirical testing if this keeps up we might break a system where scientists spend 60 hours a week writing grants um that's pretty brutal but here's what I would say it reminded me of Elon musk's engineering rule um he he said this a number of times one of the biggest mistakes you can make in engineering is to try to optimize something that shouldn't exist like if you have a feature that nobody uses if you're spending time making it better maybe you should just get rid of it so this is one of those things where the National Institute of Health yeah I guess i''d like to optimize it but at least the way it has been running up to now it doesn't have any credibility so maybe we just don't need it maybe we shouldn't fix it meanwhile over in Hungary prime minister Victor Orban he's uh he's got this idea that uh mothers would be exempt from income tax forever uh but you'd have to be a mother of two or more so if you had two or more kids you could be exempt from income taxes in his country forever does that sound like it could work I'd love to think that it would because you know wouldn't it be great if there were some simple formula for increasing your local population because a lot of countries would need that but doesn't that seem kind of easy to game in that system so for example if the wife's income is not taxed ever but the husband's income is taxed what do you think the family's going to do well one thing they might do if it's a small business they would just put all the income in the wife's name the other thing is if if both the man and the woman are capable of getting jobs that are similar they might say hey how about the husband stays home because he gets taxed if he works and the wife will go to work and the husband will take care of the kids because the wife goes to work and doesn't get taxed well that's not exactly what hungry is trying to accomplish they're not trying to accomplish stay-at-home husbands and new mothers who are going to work and leaving their kids at home but wouldn't that happen and how do you promise that any tax exemption will be lifelong lifelong what happens if the government changes tomorrow you can't guarantee anything lifelong that's not a thing so I guess I just wonder if they have enough controls on that I mean obviously they they had to think about all those same things I'm mentioning but it makes me wonder if it's practical we'll keep an eye on this one according to just the news Trump Administration is making it a little easier to uh get some homeschooling started I guess the Biden Administration required a federal review of quote how States approve and select um private entities for uh homeschooling and I think the Trump Administration said nah get rid of that um you States just do what you need to do and give us more homeschooling and that seems like the right decision I like that all right here's something I noticed that I thought i' noticed the pattern and so I asked grock if this pattern is real or I'm just imagining it and the pattern is that the people who know the most about the government I'm sorry the people who know the most about business the most experienced people are kind of on the same side about Doge that it's it's a good system and it's probably going to work um and the people who know the least are the ones who have the criticisms because they don't know how things work in the real world but I made a list of the dumbest takes on Doge if you have ever said any one of these things you're probably not very experienced you might have a high IQ I I see a lot of like phds and stuff weighing in on social media but they clearly don't have job experience of being a leader and having to manage big groups and stuff like that so here the worst takes I pinned this to my uh X account if you want to see it the worst takes on Doge now these all come from the most inexperienced people people with experience you know who have managed big groups who have done their own layoffs who have been through layoffs they kind of think the doge is doing the right thing which is move fast break things fix it keep moving uh that's the real world in the real world that's the way you do it exactly the way musk is Ling out but the people who don't have that Real World Experience mostly the media pundits and the academics and stuff here's what they say now I'm not going to tell you what's wrong with each of these things because again if you have experience you know exactly what's wrong with them uh and if you don't well again I can't fix that with a few lines a few lines of wisdom so I'll just tell you what the dumb mes are number one Doge should use a scalpel not a chainsaw you with me so far if you ever said do should use a scalpel not a chainsaw you really don't understand much about anything I don't even need to get into it I mean I could could but you all see it right well maybe you don't because what I'm saying is it's not based on IQ it's literally based on experience if you have experience you know that the chainsaw is the right tool all right here's another one the cuts need to be more thoughtful the cuts need to be more thoughtful what you can say that about every well I think a musk is trying to put a rocket to Mars but I think he should be more thoughtful about it all right uh somebody is doing something it doesn't matter what it is I think they should be more thoughtful about it okay isn't that kind of true of everything all the time no you shouldn't be more thoughtful about it you should cut with your chainsaw see what gets broken put it back together move on uh doge is lowering morale among the people who are affected yeah of course it's lowering morale but have you ever seen a company where they're doing big layoffs and all the people were like yeah I'm so happy I work here this week with all the layoffs and stuff no you can't do big layoffs at Cost cutting and also maintain morale for the same period that you're doing the cost cutting that's not a thing you don't even bring it up it's just not a thing nobody can do it it's never been done nobody will ever do it no morale goes down when you cut budgets that's it gotta live with it how about uh does creating chaos chaos yeah it's creating a little chaos but you're going to have to take that to the second second level which is and that's bad because the chaos stole your democracy the chaos slowed it down no the chaos came from going fast so it's not about slowing things down it it's just a generic political word have you noticed that no matter what Trump does way before Doge no matter what Trump did let's see what's that say so was trying to get my attention on something uh like to see him get more aggressive yeah so all right so Trump is saying on true social directly to Elon who responded that he wants to see Elon get more aggressive which would be more chainsaw more chaos lower morale now is that a mistake no it's not it's not a mistake it's very good that Trump is uh inserting himself to say there should be more of it that's exactly the right framing because if you're wondering if it's already going too far it's too fast and it's too chainsa it's too much chaos well there's the president of the United States saying you know we need more of it not less and all the smart people are going to say yeah yeah more would be better here's another one that's dumb do is have musk will rob the country all right musk was not elected okay um Doge needs to be more transparent could you imagine if Doge were more transparent do you know what that would look like uh we went into this organization they have 10,000 NGS and uh 400 departments uh we've decided that we'll downsize by 8% the department of uh energy democracy uh for America freedom and you'll be like what what even was that well here's a long description of what that department did I was like okay I'm not going to read that long description and here's 7,000 more of them we did today how in the world could they possibly be more transparent in a way that would help anybody because unless unless you're one of those Geniuses who's really digging into these things you don't even know what the department does you don't know if they need more of it or less of it they could be they could be the most transparent project in the world and you wouldn't know anything you would just hear the names of things and now okay all right well that sounded like the name of it was good but they're cutting it why would they cut something that has a name that sounds good but maybe the name isn't you know very indicative of what it is anyway if you find yourself tempted to say any of those things about Doge I recommend taking a week off because you're not going to look Smart in public um and then I saw on the X that ex usern named Matt van swall pointed out that Jeff Bezos laid off 1,400 people from his blue origin space company last week so he laid off 1400 people and not a single one of them is on 60 Minutes bitching and then Matt says do you get it yet okay do you get it do you think that Jeff Bezos used the scalpel do you think he used a scalpel to get rid of 1400 people I think he told his managers to do whatever they need to do to get rid of 1400 people and then they did what they needed to do I don't know how much scalping there was and do you think he did it without lowering morale oh I would think that the other people were a little bit nervous and they lost their friends who worked with them yeah of course it lowers morale but uh Jeff Bezos did it anyway because it's a smart thing to do and every big company acts the same because they know how to do this um then there's the issue of uh Doge and and musk have have demanded or asked I guess that every member of the government sends an email by I guess Monday by noon or something that says what they accomplished last week and then a lot of people are pushing back um I think uh cash Patel said um they'll do their own performance reviews they don't need other people to do it State Department had some Diplomat pushing back um so you're going to see a whole bunch of push back but if you see it as a way to figure out who to fire it's more than that it's more than that my first take was that you should see it as a reframe because if somebody says uh tell me what you did last week if you go through that cycle even once of uhoh somebody's asking me to prove that I'm doing something useful you're going to start thinking that way so you're going to say to yourself uh oh what if they ask again at the end of this week so you're going to start doing useful things because you know somebody's going to check on you so I think part ofly partly it's a reframe to make people think in terms of productivity instead of in Terms of just staying out of trouble or hiding at home or working at home or processing some transactions it's like how do you actually accomplish something you should be thinking about that every day if not every week so as a reframe I like it obviously there will be tons of people who don't answer at all and tons of people who just make stuff up how hard would it be to say that you accomplished something last week how hard would that be no matter what job you had because nobody's going to check it they're just going to look at the email and see if there's something on it so if you said um well I I processed 17 big projects last week I approved them and that's good uh yeah but what what Elon must said is that um what they're trying to do is maybe find people who don't who are so uninvolved in work that they don't even check their email uh and that and there's some thought that there might be people who don't do any work and maybe are not even employees somehow or you know somehow some people are getting money for fraudulent reasons and the email if they don't get an email from that person that would be the one you look into it's like H why is this one person unable to even lie about what they've done recently if you can't at least lie about it it which is the normal way business does this the employees all lie about what they accomplished if you can't at least lie about it you might not even be a real person so that would be useful so when you look at this email thing it's it's it's like Doge small Doge big is move fast break things and fix it Doge small is give us an email to say what you did cuz you know we might make some decisions based on that now that's also a really messy process you can imagine a thousand ways that it could go wrong if somebody was on vacation and didn't get the email or somebody just forgot to send an email but they're actually very productive so you see all these ways that could go wrong but still sometimes you got to shake the box and see what you learn so to imagine that um somebody like musk is could to be looking at the emails and say huh well Yep this one I guess I can cut this 10% I don't think that's going to happen I think they're just testing to see if anybody can even write an email that says they did something it's it's going to be less about what they did than whether or not they get the email and I don't think you make some broad rule like if there was if you didn't respond you're fired I doubt that but it will give them an idea where to look that might be good did I hear from the five that Democrats are holding Town Halls as kind of their response to being out of power and trying to build some kind of trump rally situation light you know like the the baby version of it is that a real thing and then there was some thought that the attendees were paid attendees and I thought that would be so weak if Trump could give these gigantic outdoor rallies but uh the democrat's response is paid attendees at an indoor Town Hall so and and I was trying to think why is it that we don't see more like Trump rally things on the left and part of the reason I think is that they hate spending time with each other if you go to a trump rally I haven't done this but I guarantee this is true based on all the reporting of people have if you go to Trump rally you going to see a whole bunch of people who are very happy to be with the other bunch of people and they're happier than they were when they were sitting home it's like oh I'm with my people but Democrats don't have that option because they got the the crazy left super left and then the normies the Nores and the crazies aren't going to exactly fit together in the same room so I don't know if Democrats even have the option of having any kind of a rally that doesn't doesn't go wrong that's real all right you've probably seen on social media that Elon Musk is having another baby mama drama and I'm not even going to mention the name of the mother you know it's a known influencer but I'm not I'm not interested in their business and we don't know enough about what they agreed to what they didn't agree to we just don't know who did what to who and we're never going to know and it's none of our business but um one of the things that came out of it is some screen captures that actually were taken with a separate device not actually screen capture of signal messages The Signal app now the signal app is what people believe is uh protected that it's encrypted and and you can set the messages to disappear but even if you set the messages to disappear it doesn't stop somebody from taking a second device and just recording what's on the screen before it disappears and that's what happened so some of elon's private very private uh messages to the baby mama um are now public they're public and here's what I want to tell you it has nothing to do with Elon Musk or anybody else if you think that your your digital messages no matter where you put put them and who you send them to if you think they're private you're so wrong you're so wrong uh and let me tell you my experience especially uh so in the 90s when Dilbert was you know much bigger phenomenon than maybe you can even imagine by today's standards I was um what would I say at least within the tech world I was quite a celebrity not so much now but uh during those days it was just wild and one of the things I noticed is that people would often you know comment to me in some private way you know something essentially a DM like situation and sometimes I would answer it' be somebody I didn't know you a complete stranger but they would ask a question or they challenge me on an opinion I'd give a full answer sometimes just to strangers now I would think to myself before I became smart you know when I was inexperienced I would think to myself this is a private conversation and the person knows it so it's going to stay that way because that's the way your other private conversations stay right here's what I don't count on but I'm smarter now so I do if you're a celebrity 100% of your messages get screenshotted 100% And they're always sent around if it's something that can embarrass you it'll be published guaranteed you know now I'm not talking about your best friends necessarily but you know even your old lovers and stuff could be doing the same thing so it's a real wakeup call so if you're Elon Musk clearly he knows at this point in his life clearly he knows that everything he says is getting screenshotted don't you think everything do do you think that when he replies or boost somebody on x you don't think that person takes a screenshot immediately and sends it to their friends hey look I do I'm also sort of kind of a celebrity and even I do that it's like hey did you see this because it means something it's meaningful right it's not nothing it's definitely something so no matter how jaded you are you still think it's kind of just kind of cool you know doesn't change your life but hey this is cool somebody that you respect agreed with you in public nice so my lesson here is there there is no privacy there is no privacy and the more well-known or controversial you are it just goes to zero but here's the thing having now read the baby Mama's messages and also Elon musk's responses I think it's obvious that Elon knows he's never private because if you look at the quality of his responses they are things which if they got public and they did you'd say Okay that was totally reasonable that's just a reasonable thing to say in that situation friendly and reasonable now that's somebody who learned the hard way that everything he writes is public one way or another it's either going to be shown to somebody's friends or their family or somebody so it was a it was just sort of fun to watch the difference because the baby mama in this case said a few things that I don't know if she wanted those to be public right that that was somebody who thought maybe her messages were still private sometimes but you see musks very straightforward ordinary Common Sense stuff you know uh the other thing I've learned not from the Elon mus situation but I've learned from uh other celebrities recently where their messages are public there are a lot of people are really bad at dirty talk now I'm not talking about must in this case I'm talking about other people but have you noticed that you never really see other people's dirty talk like I don't I mean I never see a a guy's dirty talk because it's not directly to me and and women don't really do it so to me it's like this invisible world like every everybody thinks they can do it but it's actually a skill and very few people can yeah yeah the Sometimes the best that guys are doing are stuff like can you come over here I want to put it in you what what that that that was your best dirty talk of course sometimes it works if they're you know professional athletes or something anyway Governor New California asked Congress for about $40 billion the LA Wildfire relief you know LA Times is reporting this Clara harder and it seems like the right number 40 billion like based on things I've heard that's a it's not even as high as it could be but seems like the right number but it's so depressing to know that Doge can be you know going crazy finding things to cut and cutting things and then one match in California could eat all of those savings and yeah that fire wasn't caused by match as far as we know but uh one fire and all the savings basically just absorbed that is seriously bad um now Rick grenell says that there will probably be conditions on the funding we don't know if the funding will be granted it's just been requested but if it is granted or any portion of it uh part of it might have a condition of defunding the California Coastal commission so apparently they make it really hard to build anything on the coast and Trump thinks they need to go away maybe that's maybe that's a plus well there's a story that zalinski has according to resist the mainstream uh bend the knee and that he's uh ready to agree any moment maybe it already happened but allegedly any moment now zinsky is going to sign a document that says that he agrees to that the United States will be in a partnership to exploit the rare earth minerals in Ukraine for the mutual benefit now I wouldn't hold my breath that anything's going to get assigned on that today because we've already gone through one round of uh you said you do it no I didn't I'm going to take all your funding and and I think I think one of the things that happened was that uh Trump got really mad at zalinski the this is the reports from behind the curtain and uh threaten to remove all American support if he didn't agree to the mineral deal now I don't know about the details of the mineral deal but he had to agree to a mineral deal or or Trump was just going to pull the rug out and what I love about this is that Trump doesn't Bluff I absolutely believe that if zinsky had said no no no there's no way we're going to do the mineral thing I believe that Trump would have start pulling out our funding right away now he might have reversed himself if zinsky also reversed himself and changed his mind but he actually would have I believe he would have pulled the funding and what matters is that zalinsky believed it yeah what when I say he doesn't Bluff uh I that he he makes threats that he can actually do and He will now usually the threats are so bad that if he started to implement the threat the other side would immediately cave so the caving is what he wants he doesn't want to do the threat so these are real he doesn't Bluff the the longer that the rest of the world realizes he doesn't Bluff because he doesn't need to he just doesn't need to I mean he might do it if he needed to but he doesn't need to he's got real weapons uh tools let's call it tools not weapons and but here's a little wrinkle according to the financial times you know how none of the news is real if you knew the real secret behind the news it would just be completely different every time according to the financial times uh zalinsky is the one who proposed that the US take a stake in Ukraine's Rare Minerals so the financial times says it was linsky's idea all along and he brought it up uh when back in September now that was long before Trump first said let's do something with the rare earth minerals right now I I'm not going to say the financial times reporting is correct I'm just going to point that it exists wouldn't that be wild if we got to this point thinking that zilinski was trying to hold down on the rare earth minerals and Trump was trying to get him but the entire time it was zelinsky's idea and he always liked it from the start he just wanted to make sure it was good for Ukraine I don't know don't know what to believe anymore meanwhile Britain and France trying to be helpful um according to the Wall Street Journal they they think they've got an idea that they would employ deploy Britain and France uh 30,000 European peacekeepers in Ukraine but only if there's a ceas wire that looks like it would stick and they would ask for the United States to back stop them in other words if Russia attacked while they had their forces in Ukraine that the United States would get involved to to which I say are they just Reinventing NATO let's see NATO European people coordinating to defend against Russia when us is the biggest you know footprint there but they don't want to do NATO because that's what Russia objects to so they create a little like Proto NATO they just don't call it NATO oh no it's not NATO it's just two of the most important countries and uh being backstop by the most important country okay well that's not NATO but it's very NATO is it's very NATO like so maybe this is how you solve International things you do things that maybe don't make sense on paper but you can sell it you know if you can sell it to the public it's good enough anyway here's a uh what sounds like a tiny story that could be a big one according to the guardian there's a research group that figured out how to add some uh I guess microbes or something to soil and it allows it to absorb nutrients so much better that they could use a lot less fertilizer so a lot less nitrate and phosphate now you might say Scott that's the boringest smallest story I've ever heard I never even think about nitrate and phosphat but you would if you knew that phosphate in particular fact check me if I'm wrong but I think this is true the phosphate you know one the main the main fertilizer we have an a global shortage and we don't really know how to make up the difference so the food supply is in gen a genuine threat because if fertilizer goes away or we have to use less of it you're going to get a lot less yield but this might be a technical fix so we don't know if this is going to be commercial grade yet but if they did anything that made or existing supply of fertilizer last longer that'd be a pretty big deal pretty big so that's what I've got for today um thanks for joining everybody I'm going to say uh something very loud happening outside that shouldn't be happening today I better check that out it sounds like it's on my property but I don't think it is I know you can't hear it anyway X thanks for joining I'm going to say bye to you and X will um I think we'll be able to put this up on You.

Tube and Rumble later today it takes a while to do that and uh oh I'm not feeling better no that's a different story I'll talk to the locals people privately but for now thanks for joining our next

you feel like doing it this

morning you know when everything goes

wrong all at the same time you've got

two minutes to show time you never

really

recover you know that there's something

about the first minute that sets the

tone so just imagine I gave you the

simultaneous Sip and then you had a

sip because nothing's working today

maybe that's what I needed maybe it was

the coffee I

needed audio is good good at least on

locals I can't see the comments on uh X

if there already but if you're on X and

you're saying why is the sound not good

it's because it's on my phone today

technical difficulties no microphone is

connected well let's talk about all the

news uh I saw Joe Rogan talking about

meta's new glasses you know they look

like regular glasses but it allows you

to see things uh extra so you'll see

your regular environment but extra stuff

added and uh Joe Rogan was talking about

some Harvard kid who figured out how to

use facial recognition software with

these classes so I guess you can add

your own apps and uh if you look at some

somebody with the glasses that calls up

their social media and Wikipedia and

whatever is available about them

online now Joe S seemed to think that

that was a terrible idea and that um you

know I guess I could find your address

and everything else if you're address is

public so here's my take on this you can

wish that this didn't

exist you could hope that people would

not use these glasses for something that

looks like a privacy violation of some

sort but it's not going to happen so I'm

not it's not that I'm in favor of it or

against it it's sort of like complaining

about the rain it's just going to rain

whether you complain about it or not and

technology is definitely going to give

you this capability you will be able to

to see things in your glasses that are

not in the environment uh some of it

will be telling you something about the

person you're talking to I guarantee it

there's no way around it whether it's

whether it comes from individuals who

are hacking it or it comes from the

company meta it's just going to happen

so again I'm not in favor of it or

against it it's just going to

happen um but in related news there's a

according to the brighter side of news

Joshua shaen is writing that uh there's

some emotion sensitive

technology that people could wear so you

could tell what their emotions are in

real time I guess they figured out how

to use galvanic skin

responses uh at a at a more granular way

than we've used them before so that you

can actually tell people's specific and

immediate emotions based on what's

happening around them now it's not

exactly completely done and it's a level

above you know mood rings and things

that we've had before but now imagine

putting these two technologies together

so imagine you could walk up to a

stranger and you would know something

about them and let's say one of the

things about them is uh they like dogs

because they've got a lot of dogs on

their social media you could immediately

engage them in a conversation if you

were shy you can walk up and say whoa

you've got a corgi oh my my aunt had a

corgi those are great that would be a

little creepy if they didn't know you

had the special glasses on but you know

imagine a time when everybody has them

everybody

knows and then you could determine

whether the things you were saying were

making the person you're talking to

happy or

not so I don't know there could be a

there could be a big benefit to shy

people

because shy people don't know what to

say to new people that they're meeting

that's the biggest problem if they knew

exactly what to say nobody would be shy

but imagine if you just saw enough about

somebody that you could walk up to

anybody and just use their name and You'

know something about them it would it

would solve a lot of shyness problems

speaking as a shy person well I'm a

recovered shy person the the best way to

recover from shyness is to become

famous it turns out that when you're

famous all that shyness stuff just goes

away I did not expect that anyway so

there's two technologies that are going

change things um we'll get to the the

big politics in a minute so according to

Fox News Alexander Hall's reporting that

uh San Francisco Asian American voters

are basically walking away from the

Democrats now of course it's not all of

them it's never all of them whoever

you're talking about it's never all of

anybody but um does that surprise you

how many of you would be surprised to

learn that asian-americans in San

Francisco are starting to turn toward

Trump in a fairly dramatic and very

measurable way who who's surprised about

that I would argue that you could only

be surprised about that if you didn't

have any Asian-American

friends anybody who has Asian-American

friends you already knew it you already

knew it so I'm I'm not going to dig any

deeper into that because I'd be you know

sort of talking for a group that I

shouldn't be talking for but if that

surprised you it's only because you

didn't have any contact with that

Community um yeah they're there uh it's

a very common sense well yeah I guess

that's as far as I can go uh I'll say

that the Asian-American Community is

very common sense-based what works oh

let's do that what doesn't work oh we'll

avoid that just common sense so yeah of

course they'd be driven driven toward

Common Sense

Solutions meanwhile our favorite crazy

Democrat representative Jasmine

Crockett uh she said on some radio show

or podcast just recently that rep voters

don't like to read or learn

facts they don't like to they don't they

don't like to read or learn

facts what I love about this is

Democrats can't learn there's just

there's just no learning happening at

all yeah if I could teach the Democrats

just one thing just one thing don't do

this do not make General statements

about all all

Republicans it's so dumb it's like it's

like dumb on a level that is hard to

even fathom but still doing it uh and uh

when I say this I just say to myself we

need more Jasmine Crockett because the

more Jasmine Crockett there is in the

world the the longer Republicans will

have you know total control of the

government well maybe Jasmine Crockett

will have a new job opport un someday

because Joy Reed's Show on MSNBC has

reportedly been cancelled I guess it's

going to run for the rest of this week

and then she will be out now what would

be the worst name to give your own TV

show if there were some chance you would

ever get

cancelled uh it's called the read out

read as in her last name re e i d That's

the name for the show read out what is

the news today read out yeah so uh they

should have confirmed with me at the

beginning it's like uh if we give it

this name is anybody going to be able to

mock it later and I would say yes yes

they will be able to mock it later so

maybe rethink

that

um it also made me think that if you

imagine that someday the news reader

will be robots and

AI who would be easier to replace than

Joy

Reid uh allow me to do my AI robot

impression of Joy Reed's

replacement today in the news the

weather is 85 degrees in San

Francisco because of light

Supremacy today in the news the New York

Giants won a game because of white

supremacy I mean how hard can it make an

AI that just reproduces Joy Reed because

of racism there's racism Trump is bad

orange Hitler orange Hitler chaos

there's chaos orange

Hitler all right um meanwhile Trump is

on true social dunking on

MSNBC and he calls them

msdnc as in they're basically a democ

R

function he says msdnc is even worse

than CNN they shouldn't even have a

right to broadcast only in

America um

now I of course believe they should have

a right to broadcast because of free

speech um I think he's being a little

hyperbolic but it made me think um and I

don't know the answer to this maybe you

can tell me in the comments if you're a

News

Network do you get some um extra

government protection in other words if

you do the news does that does the

government say oh you can use these

Airwaves or whatever now I don't know if

it applies to

cable but is there anything like if

you're in the news business you get some

extra rights is that a thing it used to

be if when the uh the Airways were

limited in in

bandwidth but I think it did so I'm not

an expert on that but it does it does

ask the question if something is

pretending to be a news network but yet

in every way it functions as a

propaganda

organ does it have a right to exist I

think it does because lying is still

legal you can lie all you want you can

be as biased as you want but but it does

raise the question

is there is there

anything that's different about MSNBC

now there's some thought that the

management of MB MSNBC is trying toh you

know move away from doing nothing but

criticizing Trump we'll

see anyway it makes me wonder if the

Trump effect took out Joy

Reid do you think that Trump is the

reason that Joy Reed is losing her

job I wonder CU if it hadn't been Trump

being president wouldn't she have some

positive things to say let's say a

Democrat were president wouldn't she

have some positive things to say and

then maybe her her ratings would not

have

collapsed but when you've got a

president who's pulling over 50% in

popularity and he's doing a lot of

things that people want if the only

thing you can do is call him orang

shitler day after day after day I can

see how your management would get tired

of that so makes sense to

me um and it also made me wonder if

Trump can recoup all of his legal

expenses from the lawfare and all of his

business expenses from you know being

boycotted or whatever happened to the

Trump business

itself uh because let's say he's he got

$30

million he won from NBC for fake news

about him or no just I think it was just

fake news somebody else at $30 million

and then uh he's suing CVS that might be

a multi-million dollar settlement

settlement it seems to me that the only

thing you'd have to demonstrate is that

the fake news knew it was fake at least

whatever story they're talk about that

they knew it and that they did it

anyway which I'll bet is an easy

standard to to achieve because if you

sue somebody you get access to their

emails right you probably will always

find some evidence in the emails that

they knew exactly what they were

doing uh so maybe there's more lawsuits

coming meanwhile Hezbollah held a

funeral for its late leader that Israel

took out some months ago and it was a

annoyingly and startlingly large

Gathering of Hezbollah supporters but uh

Israel apparently did a flyover so all

the uh has people were dancing around

and uh doing their thing and Israel just

does a flyover with f-15s and

f-35s I think it was just to remind them

we're not

done so that

happened

um Bray bar news is reporting Francis

Martell that uh Doug beram he's the uh

interior

secretary um and he says that Trump

plans to sell energy to our friends and

he's going to defund their it'll help

defund the Russian aggression so part of

what he's saying is that the more energy

the US creates the weaker Russia will be

because Russia depends on its energy so

if we're competing with it should lower

their their revenues increase our

revenues and make make us safer but

here's the question I have um although

Doug beram might be a solid Choice he

doesn't strike me as the person who can

promote any successes he's just not he's

not a promotional guy it maybe to his

credit that he might be more about

getting the job done but it seems to me

that the single biggest good

news would be if we did something really

good in the energy field in other words

creating more energy lowering the cost

of energy approving more stuff and I was

unaware of what we're doing in energy

but I looked at uh I looked at Daniel

Baldwin had some uh some a list of

things that the Administration has

already done Trump Administration that

would make a difference but I don't know

how real these are so one is uh finish

the Constitution pipeline to bring

natural gas to the Northeast I don't

think that happened I think that Trump

announced he wants to uh get that

pipeline going because it would lower

costs in the Northeast at least for

natural gas but I don't think it's going

so I don't know if there's anything

there yet could be in the future but at

the moment no there then U also

listed by Daniel Baldwin is a a joint

venture with as for lngg project with

Japan now does that lower lower costs of

energy in the United States if we're

doing an LNG project with Japan or does

it just open up a

market I don't know um apparently India

agreed to make us its leading supplier

of crude oil and

petroleum uh but is

that isn't that just increasing Demand

on our

energy so so here are the two examples

of increased demand increased demand

doesn't lower your cost

I mean if you increase production to

meet the band it's still not doing

anything um Trump is reopening 625 miles

of ocean that Biden had banned from

drilling but is anybody drilling is

there anybody who's like yeah we're

going to get going in that place we

wanted to but weren't so wouldn't you

like to know about

that um they also saw

that um making peace with Russia

should have some impact on Energy

prices because that would allow what

Russia to produce more energy I don't

know I think they're producing all they

want so I don't see how that's going to

lower our

prices um and then Trump did call on

OPAC to increase

production which if they did that um

would lower energy prices but are they

doing it so you see the problem right

right um Trump made a big deal about

betting on energy American Energy so if

we incre increase our energy production

we could not only make more money by

selling it yay but we could lower our

own costs by having you know more Supply

than there is demand at least changing

the balance but is any of that happening

so here's what I would suggest for the

administration I feel like Doug berham

needs some help

and like I said he's probably a solid

solid interior Minister but sometimes

promotion is a whole different field and

he doesn't seem like the promotion guy

now I don't want to see a bunch of

BS but don't you think that that real

things are Brewing that could actually

lower energy costs and if there aren't

well I'd like to know that because um

pretty much our entire future depends on

energy booming and lowering our Energy

prices because nothing else is going to

take the price of eggs down right now I

do love the things that Trump is doing

the lowering you know with Doge Etc so

as long as we can get Congress to not

spend all those savings which I think

they want to

do then maybe in the long term you know

prices and inflation will be controlled

and that helps on prices but I'm not

seeing the Trump Administration draw

straight line between what they're doing

and the price of eggs or even the price

of

energy um so we got to need that don't

we it's conspicuously missing uh given

that the Trump Administration is so good

at promotion and Energy's got to be

right at the top of the things that you

would want to promote if there's

something happening but I guess I'm

going to say I'm not aware of anything

that would make a

difference so that's that's a little uh

disturbing um here's there's a new study

on studies I like studies about

studies uh this is a

study that shows

uh the research papers uh they looked at

82 climate

studies what do you think they

found don't get ahead of me um it said

that not a single Paper of those 82

disclosed a conflict of interest in over

29 years so over a 29e period nobody who

did these studies ever disclosed if they

had a conflict of interest do you think

they have any well here's what they

found

out so 68% of NGO funded studies claimed

that climate change drastically

increased hurricane activity so more

than two

2/3 of all NGO funded climate studies

say oh this is making the Hurricanes

much worse what do you think would be

the answer of people who are not funded

by an

NGO now an NGO would be something like

you know I'll just make this up it' be

like the green climate initiative NGO so

it's basically people who want the study

to say that climate change is real and

they want the study that they're funding

to say that it's

dire and 68% of the people who took

money from the people who want to show

how dire it is showed how dire it was

2third of them but of the people who did

not take money from NOS they had a very

clear you know incentive

structure uh only 22% of them said that

uh the hurricanes are getting worse

because of climate change 22%

versus

68 and so the 22% were people who just

got government or academic research that

was maybe a little more neutral it's

like here's your money come tell us what

happened whereas the NGS are you know

really directly political I think in

most cases so there you go your studies

match the desires of the people who

funded them and they didn't dis close

that they had that conflict so that

would be a conflict if your funding came

from an NGO and the NGO definitely

wanted a certain answer because you know

they did you know they

did and apparently the NGO grants were

uh far more four times as large as the

normal academic study now even in the

academic world people are going to be

pressed to say climate change is real

and even if you're funded just by the

government not through an NGO

you're still going to feel like you need

to come up with something that agrees

with the

government so climate science not really

science remember they say trust the

science if you knew that the source of

the funding completely changed the

outcomes the source of the funding not

the science the source of the

funding if you know that and there's

such a big difference you know 22%

compared to

68 that's not really science is

it all right

um here's what I like to say about uh

climate

change where do you find out about the

climate

models now some of you who followed me

already know what I mean about that but

I'm fascinated by the category of

communication which is something that

can't be communicated for example you

you know the story about the little boy

who CRI cried wolf he he warned that a

wolf was coming when there wasn't so

many times that when a real wolf was

coming and he said there's a wolf coming

everybody said Ah that's that little kid

who cries wolf all the time so they

ignored him so that was a case where the

boy who CW cried wolf could not

communicate a real thing because people

weren't ready for it now that's also

true if you know if you get your

information from your enemy you don't

believe it there's a whole bunch of

categories of things that can't be

communicated here's another one if uh

physics came up with some great new

thing but the physicist wanted to

explain it to me do you think they could

do it not really it' be stuff like well

then the muon went to the uh the quantum

phase into the

multi-dimensions and I'd be I don't know

what any of those mean I I I don't know

what you're saying well but then the

fluctuation of the schinger cat blah

blah I'd say nope still nothing I have

no idea what you're talking about so

that would be something you can't

communicate to but what I know about

climate

models is in that

category so I used to say let me give

you all my detailed explanation about

why the climate models couldn't possibly

be

real and unless you have an hour to sit

there and you can you know watch me do

it on a whiteboard I can't communicate

it so it's just funnier for me to say

where do you find

out because you will find out I I'm

completely certain that the that the

climate models are going to have their

day of judgment where even the smart

people say uh I didn't know this about

the climate models but now that I know

it that changes everything it's

coming I guarantee

it anyway the National Institute of

Health stopped considering new grants

because of the

Doge um either the Doge cross cutting or

some other effect from Doge and the idea

here is that the uh scientists are

feeling like oh no it's the end of the

world because we have all these things

we want to get funding for and grants uh

but the National Institute of Health is

now kind of constipated and they can't

make it happen

well I saw a mocking post by V prad

doctor now

vene um is well known at least on the

internet for debunking research studies

and and teaching us teaching us how

unreliable the uh the scientific

literature is meaning the

studies so here's what he says about the

NIH uh pausing their funding of new

grants he goes oh oh no there are delays

in a broken inadequate and corrupt

system that produces fraudulent and irre

irreproducible uh research and has never

subjected itself to empirical testing if

this keeps up we might break a system

where scientists spend 60 hours a week

writing

grants um that's pretty brutal but

here's what I would say it reminded me

of Elon musk's engineering rule

um he he said this a number of times one

of the biggest mistakes you can make in

engineering is to try to optimize

something that shouldn't exist like if

you have a feature that nobody uses if

you're spending time making it better

maybe you should just get rid of it so

this is one of those things where the

National Institute of Health yeah I

guess i''d like to optimize

it but at least the way it has been

running up to now it doesn't have any

credibility so maybe we just don't need

it maybe we shouldn't fix

it meanwhile over in Hungary prime

minister Victor Orban he's uh he's got

this idea that uh mothers would be

exempt from income tax

forever uh but you'd have to be a mother

of two or more so if you had two or more

kids you could be exempt from income

taxes in his country

forever does that sound like it could

work

I'd love to think that it would because

you know wouldn't it be great if there

were some simple formula for increasing

your local population because a lot of

countries would need that but doesn't

that seem kind of easy to game in that

system so for example if the wife's

income is not taxed ever but the

husband's income is taxed what do you

think the family's going to

do well one thing they might do if it's

a small business they would just put all

the income in the wife's

name the other thing is if if both the

man and the woman are capable of getting

jobs that are similar they might say hey

how about the husband stays home because

he gets taxed if he works and the wife

will go to work and the husband will

take care of the kids because the wife

goes to work and doesn't get taxed well

that's not exactly what hungry is trying

to accomplish they're not trying to

accomplish stay-at-home husbands and new

mothers who are going to work and

leaving their kids at home but wouldn't

that

happen and how do you promise that any

tax exemption will be lifelong lifelong

what happens if the government changes

tomorrow you can't guarantee anything

lifelong that's not a thing so I guess I

just wonder if they have enough controls

on that I mean obviously they they had

to think about all those same things I'm

mentioning but it makes me wonder if

it's practical we'll keep an eye on this

one according to just the news Trump

Administration is making it a little

easier to uh get some homeschooling

started I guess the Biden Administration

required a federal review of quote how

States approve and select um private

entities for uh

homeschooling and I think the Trump

Administration said nah get rid of that

um you States just do what you need to

do and give us more

homeschooling and that seems like the

right

decision I like

that all right here's something I

noticed that I thought i' noticed the

pattern and so I asked grock if this

pattern is real or I'm just imagining it

and the pattern is that the people who

know the most about the government I'm

sorry the people who know the most about

business the most experienced people are

kind of on the same side about

Doge that it's it's a good system and

it's probably going to

work um and the people who know the

least are the ones who have the

criticisms because they don't know how

things work in the real world but I made

a list of the dumbest takes on Doge if

you have ever said any one of these

things you're probably not very

experienced you might have a high IQ I I

see a lot of like phds and stuff

weighing in on social media but they

clearly don't have job experience of

being a leader and having to manage big

groups and stuff like that so here the

worst takes I pinned this to my uh X

account if you want to see it the worst

takes on Doge now these all come from

the most inexperienced people people

with experience you know who have

managed big groups who have done their

own layoffs who have been through

layoffs

they kind of think the doge is doing the

right thing which is move fast break

things fix it keep

moving uh that's the real world in the

real world that's the way you do it

exactly the way musk is Ling out but the

people who don't have that Real World

Experience mostly the media pundits and

the academics and stuff here's what they

say now I'm not going to tell you what's

wrong with each of these things because

again if you have experience you know

exactly what's wrong with them

uh and if you don't well again I can't

fix that with a few lines a few lines of

wisdom so I'll just tell you what the

dumb mes are number one Doge should use

a scalpel not a

chainsaw you with me so

far if you ever said do should use a

scalpel not a

chainsaw you really don't understand

much about

anything I don't even need to get into

it I mean I could could but you all see

it right well maybe you don't because

what I'm saying is it's not based on IQ

it's literally based on experience if

you have experience you know that the

chainsaw is the right

tool all right here's another one the

cuts need to be more

thoughtful the cuts need to be more

thoughtful

what you can say that about every

well I think a musk is trying to put a

rocket to Mars but I think he should be

more thoughtful about it all

right uh somebody is doing something it

doesn't matter what it is I think they

should be more thoughtful about it okay

isn't that kind of true of everything

all the time no you shouldn't be more

thoughtful about it you should cut with

your chainsaw see what gets broken put

it back together move

on uh doge is lowering morale among the

people who are affected yeah of course

it's lowering morale but have you ever

seen a company where they're doing big

layoffs and all the people were like

yeah I'm so happy I work here this week

with all the layoffs and stuff no you

can't do big layoffs at Cost cutting and

also maintain morale for the same period

that you're doing the cost cutting

that's not a thing you don't even bring

it up it's just not a thing nobody can

do it it's never been done nobody will

ever do it no morale goes down when you

cut budgets that's it gotta live with it

how about uh does creating

chaos

chaos yeah it's creating a little chaos

but you're going to have to take that to

the second second level which is

and that's bad because

the chaos stole your

democracy the

chaos slowed it down no the chaos came

from going

fast so it's not about slowing things

down it it's just a generic political

word have you noticed that no matter

what Trump does way before Doge no

matter what Trump

did let's see what's that say so was

trying to get my attention on

something

uh like to see him get more aggressive

yeah so all right so Trump is saying on

true social directly to Elon who

responded that he wants to see Elon get

more

aggressive which would be more

chainsaw more

chaos lower

morale now is that a mistake no it's not

it's not a mistake it's very good that

Trump

is uh inserting himself to say there

should be more of it that's exactly the

right framing because if you're

wondering if it's already going too far

it's too fast and it's too chainsa it's

too much chaos well there's the

president of the United States saying

you know we need more of it not less and

all the smart people are going to say

yeah yeah more would be

better here's another one that's dumb

do is have musk will rob the

country all

right musk was not

elected okay um Doge needs to be more

transparent could you imagine if Doge

were more

transparent do you know what that would

look

like uh we went into this organization

they have 10,000 NGS and uh 400

departments uh we've decided that we'll

downsize by 8% the department of uh

energy

democracy uh for America

freedom and you'll be like what what

even was that well here's a long

description of what that department did

I was like okay I'm not going to read

that long description and here's 7,000

more of them we did

today how in the world could they

possibly be more transparent in a way

that would help anybody because unless

unless you're one of those Geniuses

who's really digging into these things

you don't even know what the department

does you don't know if they need more of

it or less of it they could be they

could be the most transparent project in

the world and you wouldn't know anything

you would just hear the names of things

and now okay all right well that sounded

like the name of it was good but they're

cutting it why would they cut something

that has a name that sounds good but

maybe the name isn't you know very

indicative of what it

is anyway if you find yourself tempted

to say any of those things about Doge I

recommend taking a week off because

you're not going to look Smart in

public um and then I saw on the X that

ex usern named Matt van swall pointed

out that Jeff Bezos laid off 1,400

people from his blue origin space

company last week so he laid off 1400

people and not a single one of them is

on 60 Minutes

bitching and then Matt says do you get

it yet okay do you get it do you think

that Jeff Bezos used the

scalpel do you think he used a scalpel

to get rid of 1400

people I think he told his managers to

do whatever they need to do to get rid

of 1400 people and then they did what

they needed to do I don't know how much

scalping there was and do you think he

did it without lowering morale

oh I would think that the other people

were a little bit nervous and they lost

their friends who worked with them yeah

of course it lowers morale but uh Jeff

Bezos did it anyway because it's a smart

thing to do and every big company acts

the same because they know how to do

this um then there's the issue of uh

Doge and and musk have have demanded or

asked I guess that every member of the

government sends an email by I guess

Monday by noon or something that says

what they accomplished last

week and then a lot of people are

pushing back um I think uh cash Patel

said um they'll do their own performance

reviews they don't need other people to

do it State Department had some Diplomat

pushing back um so you're going to see a

whole bunch of push back

but if you see it as a way to figure out

who to fire

it's more than that it's more than that

my first take was that you should see it

as a

reframe because if somebody says uh tell

me what you did last week if you go

through that cycle even once of uhoh

somebody's asking me to prove that I'm

doing something useful you're going to

start thinking that way so you're going

to say to yourself uh oh what if they

ask again at the end of this week so

you're going to start doing useful

things because you know somebody's going

to check on you so I think part ofly

partly it's a reframe to make people

think in terms of productivity instead

of in Terms of just staying out of

trouble or hiding at home or working at

home or processing some transactions

it's like how do you actually accomplish

something you should be thinking about

that every day if not every week so as a

reframe I like it obviously there will

be tons of people who don't answer at

all and tons of people who just make

stuff up how hard would it be to say

that you accomplished something last

week how hard would that be no matter

what job you had because nobody's going

to check it they're just going to look

at the email and see if there's

something on it so if you said um well I

I processed 17 big projects last week I

approved them and that's

good uh yeah but what what Elon must

said is that um what they're trying to

do is maybe find people who don't who

are so uninvolved in work that they

don't even check their

email uh and that and there's some

thought that there might be people who

don't do any work and maybe are not even

employees somehow or you know somehow

some people are getting money for

fraudulent reasons and the email if they

don't get an email from that person that

would be the one you look into it's like

H why is this one person unable to even

lie about what they've done recently if

you can't at least lie about it it which

is the normal way business does this the

employees all lie about what they

accomplished if you can't at least lie

about it you might not even be a real

person so that would be useful so when

you look at this email thing it's it's

it's like

Doge

small Doge big is move fast break things

and fix it Doge small is give us an

email to say what you did cuz you know

we might make some decisions based on

that now that's also a really messy

process you can imagine a thousand ways

that it could go wrong if somebody was

on vacation and didn't get the email or

somebody just forgot to send an email

but they're actually very productive so

you see all these ways that could go

wrong but

still sometimes you got to shake the box

and see what you learn so to imagine

that um somebody like musk is could to

be looking at the emails and say huh

well Yep this one I guess I can cut this

10% I don't think that's going to happen

I think they're just testing to see if

anybody can even write an email that

says they did something it's it's going

to be less about what they did than

whether or not they get the

email and I don't think you make some

broad rule like if there was if you

didn't respond you're fired I doubt that

but it will give them an idea where to

look that might be

good did I hear

from the five that Democrats are holding

Town Halls as kind of their response to

being out of power and trying to build

some kind of trump rally situation light

you know like the the baby version of it

is that a real thing and then there was

some thought that the attendees were

paid

attendees and I thought that would be so

weak if Trump could give these gigantic

outdoor rallies but uh the democrat's

response is paid attendees at an indoor

Town

Hall so and and I was trying to think

why is it that we don't see more like

Trump rally things on the

left and part of the reason I think is

that they hate spending time with each

other if you go to a trump rally I

haven't done this but I guarantee this

is

true based on all the reporting of

people have if you go to Trump rally you

going to see a whole bunch of people who

are very happy to be with the other

bunch of people and they're happier than

they were when they were sitting home

it's like oh I'm with my people but

Democrats don't have that option because

they got the the crazy left super left

and then the normies the Nores and the

crazies aren't going to exactly fit

together in the same room so I don't

know if Democrats even have the option

of having any kind of a rally that

doesn't doesn't go wrong that's

real all

right you've probably seen on social

media that Elon Musk is having another

baby mama drama and I'm not even going

to mention the name of the mother you

know it's a known influencer but I'm not

I'm not interested in their business and

we don't know enough about what they

agreed to what they didn't agree to we

just don't know who did what to who and

we're never going to know and it's none

of our business but um one of the things

that came out of it is some screen

captures that actually were taken with a

separate device not actually screen

capture of signal messages The Signal

app now the signal app is what people

believe is uh protected that it's

encrypted and and you can set the

messages to

disappear but even if you set the

messages to disappear it doesn't stop

somebody from taking a second device and

just recording what's on the screen

before it

disappears and that's what happened so

some of elon's private very private uh

messages to the baby mama um are now

public they're

public and here's what I want to tell

you it has nothing to do with Elon Musk

or anybody else if you think that your

your digital messages no matter where

you put put them and who you send them

to if you think they're private you're

so wrong you're so wrong uh and let me

tell you my experience especially uh so

in the

90s when Dilbert was you know much

bigger phenomenon than maybe you can

even imagine by today's standards I was

um what would I say at least within the

tech world I was quite a celebrity not

so much now but uh during those days it

was just wild and one of the things I

noticed is that people would often you

know comment to me in some private way

you know something essentially a DM like

situation and sometimes I would answer

it' be somebody I didn't know you a

complete stranger but they would ask a

question or they challenge me on an

opinion I'd give a full answer sometimes

just to strangers now I would think to

myself before I became smart you know

when I was inexperienced I would think

to myself this is a private

conversation and the person knows it so

it's going to stay that way because

that's the way your other private

conversations stay right here's what I

don't count on but I'm smarter now so I

do if you're a

celebrity 100% of your messages get

screenshotted 100% And they're always

sent around if it's something that can

embarrass you it'll be published

guaranteed you know now I'm not talking

about your best friends necessarily but

you know even your old lovers and stuff

could be doing the same thing so it's a

real wakeup call so if you're Elon Musk

clearly he knows at this point in his

life clearly he knows that everything he

says is getting screenshotted don't you

think everything do do you think that

when he replies or boost somebody on x

you don't think that person takes a

screenshot immediately and sends it to

their friends hey look I

do I'm also sort of kind of a

celebrity and even I do that it's like

hey did you see this because it means

something it's meaningful right it's not

nothing it's definitely something so no

matter how jaded you are you still think

it's kind of just kind of cool you know

doesn't change your life but hey this is

cool somebody that you respect agreed

with you in public

nice so my lesson here is there there is

no

privacy there is no privacy and the more

well-known or controversial you are it

just goes to zero but here's the thing

having now read the baby Mama's messages

and also Elon musk's

responses I think it's obvious that Elon

knows he's never

private because if you look at the

quality of his responses they are things

which if they got public and they did

you'd say Okay that was totally

reasonable that's just a reasonable

thing to say in that situation friendly

and

reasonable now that's somebody who

learned the hard way that everything he

writes is public one way or another it's

either going to be shown to somebody's

friends or their family or

somebody so it was a it was just sort of

fun to watch

the difference because the baby mama in

this case said a few things

that I don't know if she wanted those to

be

public right that that was somebody who

thought maybe her messages were still

private sometimes but you see

musks very straightforward ordinary

Common Sense stuff you know uh the other

thing I've

learned not from the Elon mus situation

but I've learned from uh other

celebrities recently where their

messages are public there are a lot of

people are really bad at dirty

talk now I'm not talking about must in

this case I'm talking about other people

but have you noticed that you never

really see other people's dirty talk

like I don't I mean I never see a a

guy's dirty talk because it's not

directly to me and and women don't

really do it so to me it's like this

invisible world like every everybody

thinks they can do it but it's actually

a skill and very few people can yeah

yeah the Sometimes the best that guys

are doing are stuff like can you come

over here I want to put it in

you

what what that that that was your best

dirty talk of course sometimes it works

if they're you know professional

athletes or

something anyway Governor New California

asked Congress for about $40 billion the

LA Wildfire

relief you know LA Times is reporting

this Clara harder and it seems like the

right number 40 billion like based on

things I've heard that's a it's not even

as high as it could be but seems like

the right number but it's so

depressing to know that Doge can be you

know going crazy finding things to cut

and cutting things and then one match in

California could eat all of those

savings and yeah that fire wasn't caused

by match as far as we know but uh one

fire and all the savings basically just

absorbed that is

seriously bad

um now Rick grenell says that there will

probably be conditions on the funding we

don't know if the funding will be

granted it's just been requested but if

it is granted or any portion of it uh

part of it might have a condition of

defunding the California Coastal

commission so apparently they make it

really hard to build anything on the

coast and Trump thinks they need to go

away maybe that's maybe that's a

plus well there's a story that zalinski

has according to resist the mainstream

uh bend the knee and that he's uh ready

to agree any moment maybe it already

happened but allegedly any moment now

zinsky is going to sign a document that

says that he agrees to that the United

States will be in a partnership to

exploit the rare earth minerals in

Ukraine for the mutual benefit now I

wouldn't hold my breath that anything's

going to get assigned on that today

because we've already gone through one

round of uh you said you do it no I

didn't I'm going to take all your

funding and and I think I think one of

the things that happened was that uh

Trump got really mad at zalinski the

this is the reports from behind the

curtain and uh threaten to remove all

American support if he didn't agree to

the mineral deal now I don't know about

the details of the mineral deal but he

had to agree to a mineral deal or or

Trump was just going to pull the rug out

and what I love about this is that Trump

doesn't

Bluff I absolutely believe

that if zinsky had said no no no there's

no way we're going to do the mineral

thing I believe that Trump would have

start pulling out our funding right away

now he might have reversed himself if

zinsky also reversed himself and changed

his mind but he actually would have I

believe he would have pulled the funding

and what matters is that zalinsky

believed

it yeah what when I say he doesn't

Bluff uh I that he he makes threats that

he can actually do and He will now

usually the threats are so bad that if

he started to implement the threat the

other side would immediately cave so the

caving is what he wants he doesn't want

to do the threat so these are real he

doesn't Bluff the the longer that the

rest of the world realizes he doesn't

Bluff because he doesn't need to he just

doesn't need to I mean he might do it if

he needed to but he doesn't need to he's

got real weapons uh tools let's call it

tools not

weapons and but here's a little wrinkle

according to the financial times you

know how none of the news is real if you

knew the real secret behind the news it

would just be completely different every

time according to the financial times uh

zalinsky is the one who proposed that

the US take a stake in Ukraine's Rare

Minerals so the financial times says it

was linsky's idea all along and he

brought it up uh when back in

September now that was long before Trump

first said let's do something with the

rare earth minerals right now I I'm not

going to say the financial times

reporting is correct I'm just going to

point that it exists wouldn't that be

wild if we got to this point thinking

that zilinski was trying to hold down on

the rare earth minerals and Trump was

trying to get him but the entire time it

was zelinsky's idea and he always liked

it from the start he just wanted to make

sure it was good for

Ukraine I don't know don't know what to

believe

anymore meanwhile Britain and France

trying to be helpful um according to the

Wall Street Journal they they think

they've got an idea that they would

employ deploy Britain and France uh

30,000 European peacekeepers in Ukraine

but only if there's a ceas wire that

looks like it would stick and they would

ask for the United States to back stop

them in other words if Russia attacked

while they had their forces in Ukraine

that the United States would get

involved to to which I say are they just

Reinventing NATO let's see

NATO

European people coordinating to defend

against Russia when us is the biggest

you know footprint there but they don't

want to do NATO because that's what

Russia objects to so they create a

little like Proto NATO they just don't

call it NATO oh no it's not NATO it's

just two of the most important countries

and uh being backstop by the most

important

country okay well that's not NATO but

it's very NATO is it's very NATO

like so maybe this is how you solve

International things you do things that

maybe don't make sense on

paper but you can sell it you know if

you can sell it to the public it's good

enough anyway here's a uh what sounds

like a tiny story that could be a big

one according to the

guardian there's a research group that

figured out how to add some uh I guess

microbes or something to

soil and it allows it to absorb

nutrients so much better that they could

use a lot less fertilizer

so a lot less nitrate and phosphate now

you might say Scott that's the boringest

smallest story I've ever heard I never

even think about nitrate and

phosphat but you would if you knew that

phosphate in particular fact check me if

I'm wrong but I think this is true the

phosphate you know one the main the main

fertilizer we have an a global

shortage and we don't really know how to

make up the difference so the food

supply is

in gen a genuine threat because if

fertilizer goes away or we have to use

less of it you're going to get a lot

less yield but this might be a technical

fix so we don't know if this is going to

be commercial grade yet but if they did

anything that made or existing supply of

fertilizer last longer that'd be a

pretty big deal pretty big

so that's what I've got for

today um thanks for joining

everybody I'm going to say

uh something very loud happening outside

that shouldn't be happening

today I better check that

out it sounds like it's on my property

but I don't think it is I know you can't

hear it anyway X thanks for joining I'm

going to say bye to you and X will

um I think we'll be able to put this up

on YouTube and Rumble later today it

takes a while to do that

and uh oh I'm not feeling better no

that's a different story I'll talk to

the locals people

privately but for now thanks for joining

our next