Episode 2878 CWSA 06/25/25
Bomb Damage Assessment by politics, NATO and Trump, lots more ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Come on in. It's time. Well, let's check on our stocks. Tesla is down a little bit. The S&P 500 is up a little bit. Bitcoin is up nicely. All right. Good start. That's one way to start the day. All right. Soon as I get my comments working. Where are you comments? We will have a show and it'll be a…
View segment →h Scott Adams and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a tongue twister, which I wish I'd never written. A copper mug, glass, a tankard, chalice or stein, a…
View segment →easure of the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. And it happens now. Go. Well, it's all looking good. So Elon Musk is apparently very happy with the development of his robots. Optimus. Not optimist. No, Optimus. But ironically, which i…
View segment →t want to have sex instead of working? Who would make that choice? Well, you know, I could be having some sex right now and getting paid for it, but I'd rather be working on these reports. 47% of young people say remote work has improved their sex lives, even without a partner. I don't know. One of…
View segment →d because they're trying to protect themselves from assassination basically. So that is my speculation. There's already been a regime change and maybe that's the only reason there's a ceasefire that seems to be holding so far. According to Blaze Media, the ICE people in America have busted 11 illeg…
View segment →rson who was definitely in charge of it to come forward and only because she was compelled by congressional testimony today. So some oversight committee was querying her and she admitted that she was in charge of making sure the autopen process worked. Now, in theory, that does not mean that she was…
View segment →Venice with 90 private jets and 200 VIPs and all kinds of stuff. Now that's a wedding. I was not invited. All right, ladies and gentlemen, that's all I have for you. I'm going to talk to the locals people privately for a moment because they're beloved. And the rest of you, thanks for joining and I…
View segment →Come on in. It's time.
Well, let's check on our stocks. Tesla is down a little bit. The S&P 500 is up a little bit. Bitcoin is up nicely. All right. Good start. That's one way to start the day.
All right. Soon as I get my comments working. Where are you comments? We will have a show and it'll be amazing. Oh yeah, it will be.
So some of you were wondering why I had to shorten my show the other day. And I don't know the exact answer, but I think it's a reaction to some change in medication. So, temporary and not important, but it would have been really hard to finish the show.
All right. Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a tongue twister, which I wish I'd never written. A copper mug, glass, a tankard, chalice or stein, a canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. And it happens now. Go.
Well, it's all looking good. So Elon Musk is apparently very happy with the development of his robots. Optimus. Not optimist. No, Optimus. But ironically, which is the wrong word to use, but you won't know the difference. He's optimistic about Optimus. I guess version three is looking good and it already has a Grok AI built into it for conversation purposes.
So 2026, do you know what 2026 is going to look like? Oh my god, you're going to have auto cabs, self-driving Teslas everywhere. You're gonna have the release of Optimus. You could have AI that's going to whatever new level it goes to by then. And what else? But basically all the big stuff seems like it's going to happen in 2026. So lots of stuff coming.
Well, Bernie Sanders was on Joe Rogan's show and Bernie was talking about climate change and Joe Rogan sort of challenged him on whether climate change is real. And he said this. He said to Bernie, "Did you see the Washington Post piece?" Essentially they found that we're in a cooling period and this was like a very inconvenient discovery but they had to report the data and kudos to them for doing that. So then he asked Jamie, his engineer, to put up a chart and the chart showed very clearly that with or without human involvement the temperature of the earth has greatly fluctuated over the entire knowable period. So there are periods when it's up, periods when it's down.
And so Rogan shows Sanders the Washington Post piece that you might argue destroys the entire climate change narrative. And Sanders' response was, "Well, I'm not sure. I didn't read that article, but you know, the scientists who are out there, I think I know." So Sanders at the end of his career. He can't, I don't think he'll last too much longer. He's a certain age. But imagine your entire career, one of your most important things was pursuing climate change and then the publication which is most aligned with the left, Washington Post, gives you essentially a debunk of the thing that you spent your entire career chasing.
So that would predictably cause some cognitive dissonance which would make Bernie say stuff like well the Washington Post doesn't know and what about those 97% of scientists. So it's not like he's going to change his mind but there it is. Does it feel to you like climate change is now so debunked that you don't really see stories about it even on CNN and MSNBC? It feels like that entire narrative went away. Is that my imagination? Did anybody else notice that? I don't know if that's entirely because of Trump or just the news was too inconvenient at some point.
Well, according to something called Zatakan by Ruben Andre, there's a survey. It shows that Gen Z likes flex hours and part, oh they want to, 38% of them want to have sex at work which I believe means remote work. And I'm saying to myself, Gen Z, only 38% of them want to have sex at work. What part am I not understanding? Is there really a human being who doesn't want to have sex instead of working? Who would make that choice? Well, you know, I could be having some sex right now and getting paid for it, but I'd rather be working on these reports.
47% of young people say remote work has improved their sex lives, even without a partner. I don't know. One of the most let's say inconvenient things about all the remote work is that for some number of people it probably caused a massive masturbation problem as in they couldn't get any work done because they were looking at porn all day. You know that happened. I don't know with what percentage but probably a big percentage of remote workers found something else to do during the day during Zoom calls.
The Wall Street Journal is reporting that Gilead Sciences has got FDA approval for an HIV vaccination that you do twice a year that they claim is nearly 100% effective in preventing HIV transmission. Now, apparently there's already a pill that does the same thing, but people are not good at remembering to take pills, so it's not as effective. But if you remember to get your twice a year shot, if you believe in vaccinations, does anybody believe in vaccinations? Maybe it's the wrong audience. Maybe every one of you are like, we're not really sure vaccinations are even real.
But the thing that I thought was interesting is that the Wall Street Journal said the breakthrough cracks open the door to ending the HIV pandemic. To which I said, wait a minute, HIV was still a pandemic? When was the last time you had a friend or acquaintance or co-worker who got AIDS? I remember in the '80s or '90s that it happened all the time. So the person on the other side of my cubicle wall died of AIDS. People's relatives, their cousins, their friends, everybody seemed to be dying of AIDS, but I don't really hear about it anymore. Is that because the pills were good enough? But apparently the Wall Street Journal says it's still a pandemic.
All right. Well, let's talk about the bomb damage assessment. The BDA. I think the BDA and the TDS have merged. Have you noticed that Trump derangement syndrome and bomb damage assessment now sort of became the same topic?
Let me do bomb damage assessment the way the public and maybe even all of the intelligence people in the military are doing it too. Are you ready? Now I know what you're going to say. You're going to say, "Scott, you're no expert on military stuff." True. You might say, "Scott, you don't know anything about bomb damage assessment and you don't even have privy to all the private information." True. True.
But you want to watch something impressive. I'm going to give you the best, most accurate bomb damage assessment that you'll ever see. Better than the news, better than the military, better than Trump. Are you ready? Now, I know that's a high bar, but this will be the best bomb damage assessment. You ready?
If you like Donald Trump as your president, then the entire nuclear program was obliterated and they will not start up again for possibly decades and they would be crazy to even try. That's if you're a supporter of Trump. If you were not a supporter of Trump or maybe you were doubting him in the run-up to the ceasefire, then you would say there's no way to know if anything got destroyed. I suspect that they might be able to reconstitute their entire program in three to six months.
There you go. Do you think there will be anything on the news that is better than that? No, there will not be. Then the one thing that you could predict with complete certainty is that there would not be agreement on how effective the bombing was. Right? There was no chance, no chance that the Democrats were going to say, "Wow, you know, we don't like this authoritarian dictator Hitler guy, but I got to admit, he's really good at bombing away the risk of nuclear war with other countries." Was that going to happen in any reality? Were the Democrats going to say, "Yeah, you know, got to say he really nailed it with that limited bombing run. So precise, got everything obliterated. Totally obliterated."
So I remember when the bombing was being talked about and it first happened and I made some comments on social media about how in the world could you be sure that you got everything? Because how would you know if they had something hidden that you didn't know about? How would you know if maybe they had removed some stuff but did it cleverly so the removal could not be detected? How would you know what's under that mountain? If they start digging, are they going to find anything left? How would you know if maybe they had various equipment for enriching uranium that hadn't been connected to their setup yet but it's new and it was sitting there and they could just connect it. How would you know? You would not know.
So your belief in the bomb damage assessment and whether it worked or did not work is entirely based on guessing and political preference. If you think we're going to get to the point where we're going to know for sure if the bombing was a huge positive success or it was a big failure, we'll never know that. There will always be two stories. One will be that it was the best thing ever and the other will be that it didn't work. And that will never change and that was completely predictable before we got to this point.
So we've got and basically the Dilbert filter is what I like to put on these things. So you don't have to be an expert on the military or politics to know that big organizations operate in similar ways, which is people are going to disagree about what the data is. That's just built into everything from climate change to bomb damage assessment.
So CNN is saying predictably according to an early US intelligence assessment the US military strikes on the nuclear program did not destroy the core components of the country's nuclear program. Do you think they know that? That's based on one of what will be maybe more than a dozen different assessments that might change over time. But do you really think that CNN has a source that can tell them that the core components have been spared? You know, it's possible that somebody told them that, but how would anybody really know that? It doesn't seem knowable one way or the other at this point.
Iran says that their nuclear installations were badly damaged by the US according to the AP. So if Iran says badly damaged, does that mean that they can't reconstitute it in six months? Well, I don't know what badly damaged means in this context.
So anyway, Trump, here's what Trump said. He said that the attacks set them back decades because they had such a bad experience. So Trump's narrative now is not just there's nothing they can do because everything's destroyed, but he's modified his narrative a little bit to even if they could, they'd be insane to do it because it worked out so poorly. And Israel has also said that if they see any nuclear development, they'll be back to bomb more. And Trump says the sites that we hit in Iran were totally destroyed and everyone knows it. Do they? Does everyone know it?
He says they didn't have a chance to get anything out because we acted fast. Really? That there was no way to move that enriched uranium. They didn't have enough time. I'm not even sure we knew where it was in the first place, but okay. And Trump said it's very hard and very dangerous for them to remove that kind of material. Yeah, but they were in sort of a dangerous situation in general. So I don't know.
B. Exath says, quote, "Anyone who says the bombs were not devastating is just trying to undermine the president." So you know what I have to say to PB Exath? You. I can make up my own opinion about whether or not our government is lying or accurate about bomb damage assessment and it does not have anything to do with trying to undermine the president. And when I see somebody say something like that, that the facts if you disagree on the analysis that you're trying to undermine the president, you just shut the fuck up. We don't want to hear any of it. So no, you fail. That's a fail ex messaging.
And like I said, Netanyahu says, "If anyone in Iran thinks of rebuilding it, we will strike again." Then I was watching a video by Glenn Greenwald who was talking about the prior Obama agreement on Iran. And I don't know if I have the entire argument that I can summarize, but the summary is that Iran was already contained and that it was Trump's fault for removing an agreement that was working and then Iran responded and you know then war broke out. So one narrative is that they never intended to do anything but domestic development. And that would make sense because they wanted to sell their oil and they wanted to use cheap electricity at home through nuclear power. Now, that sort of makes sense, but then you switch the channel and listen to Jesse Waters talk about it on his show on Fox and he asked the following question. If it was only for peaceful domestic energy purposes, why did they have to hide it in a mountain? And I laughed when I heard that. Why do they have to hide it in a mountain? And I'm thinking, huh? Yeah. Does anyone else who uses nuclear only for domestic energy needs, does anybody else hide their program in a mountain? I don't think so.
And then on top of that, Israel has been, I think everyone agrees, funding proxies that would attack Israel. Now, if you're funding proxies to attack Israel, and you're also chanting death to Israel. And then the argument is that death to Israel, no, no, that doesn't mean kill all the people. It just means they would like to have a one-state solution. Do you buy that? Do you buy that? Chanting death to Israel, what it really means is a one-state solution. Okay, let's say you do believe that. Now explain death to America. Oh, it got a little harder, didn't it? Do they want a one-state solution that includes America, Israel, and the West Bank and Gaza? Is that what they want? Why did they throw America in the death category? If we're only talking about Israel as being a one-state solution, what's that got to do with America and us being put to death?
All right, so here's my take. If Iran genuinely had only domestic nuclear power ambitions, if that were real, how easy would it have been for them to avoid war? And the answer is really really easy. If they seriously did not plan to at least have the threshold capability, which would be a threat to the region or to actually make the bomb. If they didn't intend that, it would be the easiest thing in the world to talk the rest of the world out of attacking them. How hard would that be? Here's what you would do. You would first of all say, "All right, we're going to stop funding all these proxies." Next thing you would do is you would ask your own public to stop doing this chanting death to America, death to Israel thing because it's being misinterpreted, right? But you don't see that. And then you wouldn't put it hidden in a mountain. You wouldn't do anything that they did if you were just really just trying to get some innocent cheap electricity.
So I don't think Glenn Greenwald has got the entire picture there. Although it's worth listening to his narrative just so you've heard it.
Apparently Iran has reportedly, according to World Source News 24/7, they've arrested more than 700 Iranians and accused them of being agents for Israel over the past 12 days. So how much does Israel have them spooked that they arrested 700 of their own citizens and you know, who knows what's going to happen to them? Probably death. I don't know. But in just 12 days, they arrested 700 people. What is your guess of how many of those 700 people were actually spies for Israel? My best guess would be maybe some of them, maybe a few dozen, but out of 700, I've got a feeling they're arresting a lot of people who had nothing to do with anything. But if there really were 700 Iranian spies that they could catch, how many did they not catch? Are there 20,000 Iranian spies for Israel? I don't know.
I'm going to double down on something I predicted. I've got a feeling that the regime has already changed and here's my working hypothesis. So you've got an 86-year-old supreme leader and he has made decisions that have brought your country to the verge of complete destruction and you're an underling and you're no longer trusting his opinion because at 86, you know, he needs naps more than he needs anything. And he might be losing a step because 86 is different for different people. So there might be a Joe Biden situation where there are only a few advisors and trusted people who even talk to him. So it could be that it's not like he's having meetings with all of his people all the time.
So now imagine that he needed to be protected because the bombs are falling. If you took this 86-year-old and you locked him in a bunker underground for his own good, for his own safety, and then you took away from him his phone, so there was no phone with an advisor or anybody else in the same room. And then you would say, "No, you can't have a phone." Either because it doesn't work underground or it would be too easy for Israel to identify you via the phone. So now you've talked the Supreme Leader into being in an underground locked room with no form of communication.
Now, who would be in charge of protecting the Supreme Leader? Would it be political friends? No. It would be some part of the military force of Iran and whoever was most trusted. Now, if you were the head of that military and maybe you used to be not anywhere near the head of it, but all the people above you have already been assassinated. And you say to yourself, "Okay, I need to do something right now or I'm gonna get assassinated and my whole family will be wiped out, too." How hard would it be for you to just take over without people even knowing?
Well, you would need two guards. You would need one on the inside of the door in the same room as the ayatollah to say, "No, you can't go out and you can't have a phone and you can't talk to anybody." And then you would need one on the outside of the door to tell people that everything's fine, but the Ayatollah doesn't want to talk to you. If you have a question, we'll make sure that he hears the question and that he gets back to you with some instructions. So the military head, whoever was in charge of protecting him, could have taken over the country with two guards. One on the inside of the door where the supreme leader is and one on the outside and all they'd have to do is Joe Biden the situation because we watched it happen. As long as you didn't suspect there was something wrong, you would think, "Oh, well, obviously the Ayatollah is not going out in public and obviously the people who were protecting him are just passing along the messages and obviously he's still running things." If that was your belief, then whoever the top military person who's left is could have easily taken over the country.
So even if that didn't happen, just the way I explained it, he's still 86 and we don't know who he listens to. Does he have his own Jill Biden or Hunter Biden situation where there's somebody sketchy who's the only person he talks to? Maybe by the time you're 86, you just don't act the same. You don't trust the same. You've got less energy, everything else. So I'm going to put it out there that we might be not hearing from the Supreme Leader in a video and that it might be a long time before we know if the Supreme Leader is still in charge. He's probably still alive, but I suspect maybe other forces have emerged because they're trying to protect themselves from assassination basically. So that is my speculation. There's already been a regime change and maybe that's the only reason there's a ceasefire that seems to be holding so far.
According to Blaze Media, the ICE people in America have busted 11 illegal Iranian nationals in our country. One is a terror suspect, one's an ex-sniper, and another has Hezbollah ties. Really, if you were to just round up a bunch of Iranian immigrants who came through our open border, how many of them would be terror suspects, ex-snipers, and have ties? Would most of them or would most of them just be people trying to get a better life or something? That's pretty scary.
Now, I feel like the only thing protecting the United States from a terror attack from some Iranian sleeper cell is that Iran knows that our revenge for that would be so extreme that it couldn't possibly be a good idea. So unless they're actually crazy, I don't think they're going to go big on any kind of state sponsored terrorism in the US. That's the thing I'm least worried about. It might be something, but I don't think anything that will change the nature of the country.
Well, Trump is going after CNN and what he calls MSDNC and the New York Times, and he's over at NATO right now, and when asked, he said that they're all scum. And he says that they're disrespecting the military geniuses and the pilots and they're not getting credit because the news are fake news and they're all scum. Now, is that the right way to treat a bunch of people who are just reporting that we're not sure if the bomb damage assessment is correct? I don't know. He's right that no matter what they knew or whatever sources they had, they probably would be running non-stop content saying it didn't work because they're anti-Trump. So as I said in the beginning, I can tell you what your bomb damage assessment is if you tell me what your political preference is. That's all you need to know. And we will all treat that like we know it and it's true. And it's just the facts. We don't know. We couldn't possibly know.
But Republican Buddy Carter, he's a representative. He's nominated Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize for his work in Israel with Iran. And the Israeli ambassador to the UN, Danny Danon, he agrees. He says, "I think that President Trump deserves a Nobel Peace Prize." So imagine how frustrating it would be to be Trump when you believe you've pulled off one of the greatest peacemaking things of all time, you know, albeit with a bomb or lots of bombs. And you got some people promoting you for a Nobel Peace Prize, which I feel like he would love. I feel like he would like that. And other people saying, "Ah, no, it didn't even work." Oh my god, that would drive me crazy if I were him. So I could see why he's a little bit miffed.
Anyway, so Trump is over at the NATO meeting and apparently NATO has designed itself around Trump. So apparently NATO is saying good stuff about him. They're complimenting him. The secretary general of NATO said to Trump, while Trump was on stage, "I just want to recognize your decisive action on Iran. You were a man of strength, but you're also a man of peace." And he said the fact that you're now getting this ceasefire, I really want to commend you for it. This is important for the whole world. And he said that without President Trump, this would not have happened. So that's the secretary general of NATO. He's basically just really buttering up Trump.
And then separately, NATO said that they've gone to 5% funding, you know, 5% of GDP, I guess, and not right away. There's a schedule to get there, but they're crediting Trump for what will be a huge increase in funding for NATO. So they're praising him for what he's doing outside of NATO. They're praising him for getting funding for NATO. And then the best part, Zelensky shows up wearing a suit. Do you think that Zelensky would have worn a suit to NATO except for Trump? I don't think so. I think everything from Zelensky to the Secretary General to all the leaders of NATO to all the countries, they're all adjusting their approach for Trump. Have you ever seen anything like this? This is the most remarkable persuasive influence you've ever seen in your life. Everything that people are doing from the news to NATO to Israel to Iran to Zelensky to Putin. They're all modifying what they're doing based on keeping Trump happy. Even Putin. Now, have we ever seen anything like this? I don't think so. There's definitely never been a president in my lifetime that was such a big footprint on just everything. I've never seen it. Amazing.
So yeah, Zelensky wore a suit. And Trump said that his negotiator Witkoff told him that a Gaza deal was very close. Do you believe that? Do you believe that a deal for Gaza is close? What would that even look like? And there's not much left of Gaza. So how can you possibly make any kind of a deal? What is Hamas gonna surrender and be shot or jailed? Is Israel gonna let the military wing of Hamas just reconstitute somewhere?
Now remember I said the same thing about the Israel-Iran conflict. I said, "There's no obvious way this could ever stop." And then Trump finds a non-obvious way to do it by putting 12 bombs in six holes and then claiming victory and then forcing Israel to agree to it and basically beating up everybody who disagreed. That worked. I mean, it looks like it worked. We don't know if it's we bought three months or 40 years. But do you think he could pull off the impossible again with whatever is left of Gaza? I don't even know what a deal would look like because Israel is not going to return all those people to their prior homes. There's no home to return them to. And if they put all of the prior residents of Gaza in some kind of concentrated area, it's going to be called a concentration camp. So is the world going to say, "Yeah, that's a good peace deal there." So I don't know what that could look like. My guess would be we're not very close to a Gaza deal at least not one that the Gaza residents would have agreed to.
According to the Wall Street Journal, China and Russia a little bit more interested in having a pipeline so that Russia can supply oil to China with full control of the mechanism of delivery. They don't want to depend on the Strait of Hormuz or anything else that could get easily attacked by other countries. But they're not going forward with it because apparently they can't agree on percentage ownership. So they can't figure out how to make a deal. But imagine how important that would be if they did. If Russia just sent a pipeline to China and then part of the conversation is that Russia doesn't want to be too dependent on having one big customer and China doesn't want to be too dependent on Russia. So they've got issues, but I think it's interesting that we see Russia and China becoming these great friends, and it's a big risk to us. But apparently the big friends, China and Russia, can't even work out a pipeline deal, which honestly doesn't seem like it would be that hard. I feel like Trump could do it. Trump's could work out a pipeline deal, I think, but no, they can't do it.
Well, we know now who was primarily involved in managing the autopen for Biden. Now, I can't believe that we had to wait this long for the person who was definitely in charge of it to come forward and only because she was compelled by congressional testimony today. So some oversight committee was querying her and she admitted that she was in charge of making sure the autopen process worked. Now, in theory, that does not mean that she was making the decisions. In theory, she was just doing whatever the president wanted to do. So in the best case scenario, there's no issue here at all. But do you believe that? Do you believe that she only did what Biden asked her to do? As in, well, I'm at the beach. Use that autopen. Maybe it started that way. But there are some accusations that I would not consider yet credible, but there are accusations that some entities that she was involved with outside of her job got a little extra funding thanks to that autopen. But I think it's too soon to imagine that those accusations are accurate. Maybe. I mean, if she had that power and nobody was watching too closely, maybe. I always tell you that wherever corruption is possible, it always happens. But if there were other people watching her all the time and it wasn't just one person and an autopen, well, maybe enough people were watching.
All right. So we don't know.
Pollster Mark Mitchell was on Batya Ungar's podcast and Mark Mitchell is from Rasmussen and he said that Trump is on base to pass Obama as the most popular president in US history. Now it hasn't happened but the trend line is looking like it might. So according to Mark Mitchell at this point, yeah, 100% Trump is about to outperform him, meaning Obama, that's what's going to happen. Then separately, I saw, but I didn't look into, there's another poll, not Rasmussen, they had Trump at a new low. So the pollsters do not agree. Is Trump gonna be the most popular president or did his popularity just go down? Well, that's the way the world is working right now.
Apparently 128 Democrats decided to vote against the idea of pursuing impeachment over Trump. So Fox News is reporting this. So it was not only the Republicans who killed it. Representative Al Green, he's always looking for a Trump impeachment no matter what. But a whole bunch of Democrats disagreed, so that's good. My guess is that it didn't work last time. The last time they tried the impeachment, and they really have nothing to impeach him over. So I guess they were just being wise.
There's an AI called Claude if you haven't heard of it. It's one of the big ones by Anthropic and Anthropic is apparently Amazon-backed. So Amazon's the money backer, one of them. And they just won a court ruling that they would be allowed to train their AI on books that had been legally purchased as long as they don't reproduce the book. So they can't reproduce it even if you said to them give me the first chapter of that book. Instead it would just be a method of training them. So I don't know how I feel about that. It does feel like I have to admit that feels like fair use because if you're only using it to sort of generically train your AI the same way it would train looking at Reddit or looking at X or something then I'm not too worried about it. But as an author it does make you wonder if your copyright value is shrinking with AI. I think it's shrinking but it's not gone. So that's happening.
Meanwhile, according to the Guardian the US House of Representatives has banned WhatsApp. So it doesn't want any of its members using the WhatsApp app to communicate. And the reasoning is that it doesn't have enough cyber security or at least they're not confident it has enough cyber security. So how many times have I told you that there's no such thing as a protected form of communication? If you ever imagined that you had an app that would encrypt things and nobody could see it because it's all encrypted, I don't think there was ever any chance of that because at the very least the intelligence services of the host company wherever the company resides at the very least they're going to insist on a back door. So I do agree that there's a risk, but what else would they use? I feel like it's all it's going to do is force them to use some other app that's just as unsecure, right? I don't know. Maybe they'll just never talk to each other.
Well, Tucker Carlson mentioned on his podcast that, and I'd never heard this before. I don't know if anybody heard it before, that right after he got fired from Fox News, the owners of Fox News, the Murdochs, offered to back him for president if he ran against Trump and suggested that they would use their media assets to back him. That would include Fox News and the Wall Street Journal among others. Now, apparently, according to Tucker, and I don't think he would lie about it, according to Tucker, even though they had just fired him, they still thought he was a better choice for president than Trump. Now Tucker of course laughs it off as not him not being qualified for that. But what does it tell you that the Murdochs believed they could make him president based on never having held any office? Does it feel like people keep making the President Trump analogy and it just doesn't work? The analogy would be, well, if this one person who was never elected before and is only a popular media star, if this one person can become president of the United States without going through the normal senator, governor channels, then why not do it with another celebrity? And I think that always has the wrong analysis. The problem with that analysis is that there's only one Trump. If Tucker Carlson were also Trump, like exactly Trump, you know, not somebody who reminds you of Trump, but exactly Trump. Well, if he were exactly Trump, that might work. But I don't think you can take some media personality, whether it's a Stephen A. Smith or John what's his name from the Daily Show. I don't think you could take your average TV popular media person and turn them into a president, you know, even if you had the entire Fox News, Wall Street Journal machine behind it. Or am I being naive? Is it possible they could make anyone president if they have name recognition on the one side that they care about and they backed it hard? Maybe they could. What do you think? My instinct is that there's only one Trump. So imagining that you could reproduce that kind of phenomenon would just be folly I think but the fact that the Murdochs thought they could turn a TV talking head opinion guy into a president just by adding their resources. Boy, that is a peek behind the curtain, isn't it? That's some scary stuff.
Well, I keep seeing on social media and the news references to the woke right. How many of you even know what that means? The woke right. I did not know what that meant. So I've tried now twice to figure out what it is to find out if I'm part of it or somebody else thinks I'm part of it. So here's what Grok says. So these are the characteristics of somebody who's in the quote woke right. And there are several of them. They have identity-driven rhetoric. Well, that's sort of everybody, isn't it? Is there anybody who doesn't have identity driven rhetoric? No. If you're woke, as in the left woke, you have identity-driven rhetoric. If you're opposed to it, you also have identity-driven rhetoric. But in this case, you're trying to make the identity not the main thing, but it's still part of your messaging. You would be anti-woke. Okay, a lot of people are anti-woke. Does that make them woke right? You have outrage and moralism. Okay, that's everybody online. There's a victimhood narrative. Again, that's everybody who talks about politics talks about how their own group is being disadvantaged by other groups. That's sort of everything that social media is. You're always talking about how the group you're in or the group you care about or some other group is being disadvantaged by some other group. Isn't that everybody? Is there a way to not talk about that? If you're talking about politics, there's a populist appeal. Really, populism is going to be part of a woke right. There's cancel culture tactics, meaning trying to cancel people for their views. But isn't that just anti-woke? And then there's social media amplification. Again, that's just people online who are doing a good job. And performative activism. Performative. Is Robby Starbuck performative? If he's actually getting real corporations to change their policies, that's not really performative. That's actually real stuff.
And then I asked Grok to give me a list of people that would be considered woke right. Now you tell me what all these people have in common other than being right-leaning. Clay Travis, Charlie Kirk, Jack Posobiec, the libs of TikTok, that's Chaya Raichik, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Ron DeSantis, Candace Owens, and Tucker Carlson. I'm pretty sure they don't even agree with each other. Is that the list of people that have so much in common that they get their own label? I don't see it. So this whole woke right thing, it just seems so artificial and I don't know, it just seems like somebody's trying to find a way to come up with an insult for people who are doing a good job getting attention for their point of view. If the only thing you're doing is a really good job of getting clicks because people really care about your opinion, it's not exactly we don't need a label for that.
Well, Stephen Miller is pointing out that New York City may be on the verge of getting what is called an anarchist socialist mayor and a Muslim and an immigrant who wants to basically freeze housing costs and build a government grocery store. Basically a socialist. And Stephen Miller is pointing out that the only way that he could be ahead in the polls and likely about to be the next mayor is because of massive illegal probably illegal immigration into New York City. I think I saw that 38% of New York City residents were born in other countries. 38%. That's a big number that would be enough to make sure that the undocumented people who come into the country are determining local politics. It looks like that's what's happening. And I think Andrew Cuomo has already dropped out. So that's who was running against him for the primary. And then it looks like he would be the Democrat candidate and in New York City that pretty much means you're going to win. So yeah, get out of the cities. Get out.
Well, you remember the Doge employee, the young man named Big Balls. That was one of his names he used online. He has resigned from working on Doge according to Wired. So there will no longer be any big balls associated with Doge, just in case you wondered.
In other news, Germany has cracked down on hate speech in their own country and the police are knocking down doors and arresting people. And they've raided 170 private homes for saying things online that the government considers hateful or inflammatory. The interior minister calls it digital arsonists. My goodness. And points out that the hate postings are way up compared to prior years. Now, how lucky do you feel if you live in America and free speech is still for the most part legal so far? But can you even imagine your government breaking down doors because of something you said online? How bad was it? I don't know.
There's a report in the New York Post that AI-powered hiring tools, which are more and more being used, are racist and sexist and they favor black and female job applicants over white and male applicants. So if you don't tweak them, the large language models look at the world because that's what they're trained on. They look at everything that's being written and everything that's being allowed to be written. And they decided that black and female candidates were superior to white people and male applicants. But the good news is that they're aware of the problem and the people who run these AIs are working hard to get rid of that discrimination. So I guess they've found some workarounds. But what does it tell you? That if you train a large language model on the allowed things online and the allowed things in books that it discriminates against white males. It tells you that the world discriminates against white males because that's what they're trained on. They don't come up with it on their own.
According to something called Study Finds, nearly one in four Americans want a break from physical intimacy. So I could have asked you what percentage and you would have guessed 25% and you would have been close. But 24% of Americans want a break from sexual activity and half have already taken extended breaks averaging six months. So there's a little experiment that I sometimes do if I'm in public, if I'm in the mall or just somewhere where people are walking down the street and they're coupled up. I look at the couples, well, they don't even need to be couples, could be individuals, and I say to myself, how many people would want to have sex with that person? And you can walk past a lot of Americans before you see one that you can even imagine that someone else would want to have sex with them. Forget about you. So it's not even whether you would have sex with them. You look at them and you go, "Who would? Like who would want to have sex with that?" And so I'm not surprised. And 69% of single Americans are content being single and not actively looking for relationships. It had to be 69%, didn't it?
All right. Argentina's GDP is soaring at 5.8%, the highest in the Western world and even higher than China whose numbers I don't trust anyway. So is Argentina and their leader Milei, is it a miracle everything's working? Maybe. Or maybe he controls the reporting of what their GDP is. Or maybe that the way anybody can make their GDP soar is by removing social services for the poor. Because I do think that the counternarrative to Milei being an economic genius who saved Argentina is that in order to do that I think he had to cut a lot of social services to the poor which might be the only way to do it. It might be the only way out but we tend to leave out what did it cost them to get that 5.8% growth.
Well, Morgan Stanley is expecting the Fed to deliver seven rate cuts in 2026. So remember I told you that 2026 could be lit because you got you can have robotaxis and robots and AI. Well, you might also have a series of interest rate cuts. So things are looking really positive for 2026.
And I thought this already happened, but did Jeff Bezos and Lauren Sanchez already get married? Because the report is that they're throwing a three-day, $55 million wedding in Venice with 90 private jets and 200 VIPs and all kinds of stuff. Now that's a wedding. I was not invited.
All right, ladies and gentlemen, that's all I have for you. I'm going to talk to the locals people privately for a moment because they're beloved. And the rest of you, thanks for joining and I will see you same time tomorrow. And I hope you enjoyed it. All right, in 30 seconds.
Come on in.
It's time.
Well, let's check on our stocks.
Tesla is down a little bit.
The S&P 500's up a little bit.
Bitcoin's up nicely.
All right.
Good start.
That's uh one way to start the day.
All right.
Soon as I get my comments working.
Where are you comments, we will have a show and it'll be amazing.
Oh yeah, it will be.
So, some of you were wondering why I had to shorten my show the other day.
And I don't know the exact answer, but I think it's a reaction to some change in medication.
So, temporary and not important, but it would have been really hard to finish the show.
All right.
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Well, it's all looking good.
So, uh, Elon Musk is apparently very happy with the development of his robots.
Optimist.
Optimus.
Not optimist.
No optimus.
But, ironically, which is the wrong word to use, but you won't know the difference.
Um, he he's optimistic about Optimus.
I guess version three is looking good and it already has a Grock AI built into it for conversation purposes.
So 2026, do you know what 2026 is going to look like?
Oh my god, you're going to have auto cabs, self-driving um Teslas everywhere.
You're gonna have the release of Optimus.
Um, you could have AI that's going to whatever new level it goes to by then.
And, uh, what else?
But basically, uh, all the big stuff seems like it's it's going to happen in 2026.
So, lots of stuff coming.
Well, Bernie Sanders was on uh Joe Rogan show and uh Bernie was talking about climate change and Joe Rogan sort of challenged him on whether whether climate change is real and he said this.
He said to Bernie, "Did you see the Washington Post piece?" uh essentially they found that we're in a cooling period and this was like a very inconvenient discovery uh but they had to report the data and kudos to them for doing that.
So then he uh he asked Jamie his engineer to put up a chart and the chart showed very clearly that with with or without human involvement the temperature of the earth has uh greatly fluctuated over the entire knowable period.
So there are periods when it's up, periods when it's down.
And so Rogan shows Sanders the Washington Post piece that you might argue destroys the entire climate change narrative.
And Sandra's response was, "Well, I'm not sure.
I didn't read that article, but you know, the scientists who are out there, I think I know." So Sanders at the, you know, the end of his career.
He can't, I don't think he'll last too much longer.
He's a certain age.
But imagine your entire career, one of your most important things was pursuing climate change and then the publication which is most aligned with the left Washington Post gives you essentially a debunk of the thing that you spent your entire career um chasing.
So that would uh predictably cause um some cognitive dissonance which would make uh Bernie say stuff like well the Washington Post doesn't know and what about those 97% of scientists.
So it's not like he's going to change his mind but there it is.
Does it does it feel to you like climate change is now so debunked that you don't really see stories about it even on CNN and MSNBC?
It feels like that entire narrative went away.
Is that my imagination?
Did anybody else notice that?
I don't know if that's entirely because of Trump or just the news was too inconvenient at some point.
Well, according to something called Zatakan by Ruben Andre, there's a uh survey.
It shows that uh Gen Z uh likes flex hours and part um oh they want to 38% of them want to have sex at work um which I believe means remote work.
And I'm saying to myself, Gen Z, only 38% of them want to have sex at work.
What part am I not understanding?
Is Is there really a a human being who doesn't want to have sex instead of working?
Who who would make that choice?
Well, you know, I could be having some sex right now and getting paid for it, but I'd rather be working on these reports.
47% of young people say remote work has improved their sex lives, even without a partner.
I don't know.
Um, one one of the uh most let's say inconvenient things about all the remote work is that for some number of people it it probably caused a massive masturbation problem as in they you know they couldn't they couldn't get any work done because they were looking at porn all day.
You know that happened.
I don't know with what percentage but probably a big percentage of remote workers found something else to do during the day during Zoom calls.
The Wall Street Journal is reporting that uh Gilead Science has got FDA approval for an HIV vaccination that you do twice a year that they claim is nearly 100% effective in preventing HIV transmission.
Now, apparently there's already a pill that does the same thing, but people are not good at remembering to take pills, so it's not as effective.
But if you remember to get your twice a year shot, um, if you believe in vaccinations, does anybody believe in vaccinations?
Maybe, maybe it's the wrong audience.
Maybe every one of you are like, uh, we're not really sure vaccinations are even real.
But the, uh, the thing that I thought was interesting is that the Wall Street Journal said the breakthrough, uh, cracks open the door to ending the HIV pandemic.
To which I said, wait a minute, HIV was still a pandemic.
When was the last time you had a friend or acquaintance or co-orker who got AIDS?
I remember in the was it the 80s ' 80s or 90s that you it happened all the time.
So the person on the other side of my cubicle wall died of AIDS.
um people's relatives, their their cousins, their friends, everybody seemed to be, you know, dying of AIDS, but I don't really hear about it anymore.
Is that because the pills weren't good enough?
But, uh, apparently the Wall Street Journal says it's still a pandemic.
All right.
Well, let's talk about the uh uh bomb damage assessment.
The BDA um I think the BDA and the TDS have merged.
Have you noticed that Trump derangement syndrome and bomb damage assessment now sort of became the same topic?
Let me let me uh do bomb damage assessment the way the public and maybe even all of the intelligence people in the military are doing it too.
Are you ready?
Now I know what you're going to say.
You're going to say, "Scott, you're no expert on military stuff." True.
You might say, "Scott, you don't know anything about bomb damage assessment and you not you don't even have privy to all the private information." True.
True.
But you want to watch something impressive.
I'm going to give you the best, most accurate bomb damage assessment that you'll ever see.
Better than the news, better than the military, better than Trump.
Are you ready?
Now, I know that's a high bar, but this will be the best bomb damage assessment.
You ready?
If you like Donald Trump as your president, he then the uh entire nuclear program was obliterated and they will not start up again for possibly decades and they would be crazy to even try.
That's if you're a supporter of Trump.
If you were not a supporter of Trump or maybe you were doubting him in the runup to the uh ceasefire, then uh you would say h there's no way to know if anything got destroyed.
I suspect that they might be able to reconstitute their entire program in 3 to 6 months.
There you go.
That do you think there will be anything on the news that is better than that?
No, there will not be.
Then the one thing that you could predict with complete certainty is that there would not be agreement on how effective the bombing was.
Right?
There was no chance, no chance that the Democrats were going to say, "Wow, you know, we don't like this this authoritarian dictator Hitler guy, but I got to admit, he's really good at bombing away the risk of nuclear war with other countries." Was that going to happen in in any reality?
where Democrats going to say, "Yeah, you know, got to say he really nailed it with that, you know, limited bombing run.
So precise, got everything obliterated.
Totally obliterated." So, um I remember on the uh you know when the bombing was being talked about and it first happened and I made some comments on social media about how in the world could you be sure that you got everything?
Because how would you know if they had something hidden that you didn't know about?
How would you know if maybe they had removed some stuff but did it cleverly so they the removal could not be detected?
How would you know what's under that mountain?
If they start digging, are they going to find anything left?
How would you know if maybe they had uh you know various equipment for enriching uranium that hadn't been connected to you know their setup yet but it's new and it was sitting there and they could just connect it.
How would you know?
You would not know.
So the your belief in the bomb damage assessment and whether it worked or did not work is entirely based on guessing and political preference.
If you think we're going to get to the point where we're going to know for sure if the bombing was a huge positive success or it was a big failure, we'll never know that.
There will always be two stories.
One will be that it was the best thing ever and the other will be that it didn't work.
And that will never change and that was completely predictable before we got to this point.
So we've got uh and and basically the the Dilbert filter is what I like to put on these things.
So you don't have to be an expert on the military or politics to know that big organizations operate in similar ways, which is people are going to disagree about what the data is.
That's just built into everything from climate change to bomb damage assessment.
So CNN is saying predictably uh according to an early US intelligence assessment the US military strikes on uh the nuclear program did not destroy the core components of the country's nuclear program.
Do do you think they know that?
Um that's based on one of what will be, you know, maybe more than a dozen different assessments that might change over time.
But do you really think that CNN has a source that can tell them that the core components have been spared?
You know, it's possible that somebody told them that, but how would anybody really know that?
You know, it doesn't seem knowable one way or the other at this point.
Um, Iran says that their nuclear installations were badly damaged by the US according to the AP.
So, if Iran says badly damaged, does that mean that they can't reconstitute it in six months?
Well, I don't know what does badly damaged mean in this context.
Um, so anyway, there Trump, here's what Trump said.
He said that the attacks set them back decades because they had such a bad experience.
So Trump's narrative now is not just there's nothing they can do because everything's destroyed, but he's modified his narrative a little bit to even if they could, they'd be insane to do it because it worked out so poorly.
And uh Israel has also said, you know, that if they see any nuclear development, they'll be back to bomb more.
And uh Trump says the sites that we hit in Iran were totally destroyed and everyone knows it.
Do they?
Does everyone know it?
Um he says they didn't have a chance to get anything out because we acted fast.
really that there was no way to move that enriched uranium.
They didn't have enough time.
I'm not even sure we knew where it was in the first place, but okay.
Um and Trump said it's very hard and very dangerous for them to remove that kind of material.
Yeah, but they were in sort of a dangerous situation in general.
So, I don't know.
B.
Eggs says, quote, "Anyone who says the bombs were not devastating is just trying to undermine the president." So, you know what I have to say to P Exathth?
you, you.
Uh, I can make up my own opinion about whether or not our government is, you know, lying or accurate about bomb damage assessment and it does not have anything to do with trying to undermine the president.
And when I see somebody say something like that, that the facts if if you disagree on the analysis that you're trying to undermine the president, you.
Just yourself as hard as you can with a with a bunker buster bomb P B P B P B P B P B P B P B P B P B P B Exath.
You know, I I I've not been a critic of PX, but no, you don't get to say this.
Well, you can say it's a free country, but if you tell me that my opinion of the bomb damage assessment at this stage is dependent on, you know, either trying to support or undermine the president, just you.
Shut the up.
We don't want to hear any of it.
So, no, you fail.
That's a fail ex messaging.
And uh like I said, Netanyahu says, "If anyone in Iran thinks of rebuilding it, we will strike again." Then I was watching a uh video by Glenn Greenwald who was talking about, you know, the prior, you know, the uh Obama agreement on uh Iran.
And I don't know if I have the entire argument that I can summarize, but the the summary is that Iran was already contained and that it was Trump's fault for removing an agreement that was working and uh then Iran responded and you know then war broke out.
So, one narrative is that they never intended to do anything but domestic um development.
And that would make sense because they wanted to sell their oil and they wanted to use cheap electricity at home through nuclear power.
Now, that sort of makes sense, but then you switch the channel and listen to uh Jesse Waters talk about it on his show on Fox and he he asked the following question.
If it was only for peaceful um domestic energy purposes, why they have to hide it in a mountain?
And and I laughed when I heard that.
Why do they have to hide it in a mountain?
And I'm thinking, huh?
Yeah.
Does anyone else who uses nuclear only for domestic energy needs, does anybody else hide their program in a mountain?
I don't think so.
And then on top of that, um, Israel has been, I think everyone agrees, funding proxies that would attack Israel.
Now, if you're funding proxies to attack Israel, and you're also you're also chanting, you know, death to Israel.
And then the argument is that death to death to Israel.
No, no, that doesn't mean kill all the people.
It just means they would like to have a one-state solution.
Do you buy that?
Do you buy that?
Chanting death to Israel, what it really means is a one-state solution.
Okay, let's say you do believe that.
Now, now explain death to America.
Oh, it got a little harder, didn't it?
Do they want a one-state solution that includes America, Israel, and the the West Bank and Gaza?
Is that what they want?
Why did they throw America in the death category?
If we're only talking about Israel as being a one-state solution, what's that got to do with America and us being put to death?
All right, so here's my take.
If Iran genuinely had only domestic nuclear power ambitions, if that were real, how easy would it have been for them to avoid war?
And the answer is really really easy.
If they seriously did not plan to at least have the threshold capability, which would be a threat to the region or to have, you know, actually make the bomb.
If they didn't intend that, it would be the easiest thing in the world to talk the rest of the world out of attacking them.
How hard would that be?
Here's what you would do.
You would first of all say, "All right, we're going to stop funding all these uh proxies." Next thing you would do is you would ask your own public to stop doing this chanting death to America, death to Israel thing because it's being misinterpreted, right?
But you don't see that.
And then you wouldn't put it hidden in a mountain.
You wouldn't do anything that they did if you were just really just trying to get some innocent, you know, cheap electricity.
So I don't think uh Glenn Greenwald is got the entire picture there.
Although it's worth it's worth listening to his narrative just so you've heard it.
Um, apparently Iran has reportedly, according to World Source News 24/7, um, they've arrested more than 700 Iranians, um, and accused them of as agents for Israel over the past 12 days.
So, how much does Israel have them spooked that they arrested 700 of their own their own citizens and you know, who knows what's going to happen to them?
Probably death.
I don't know.
Um, but in just 12 days, they arrested 700 people.
What is your guess of how many of those 700 people were actually spies for Israel?
My best guess would be maybe some of them, maybe a few dozen, but out of 700, I've got a feeling they're arresting a lot of people who had nothing to do with anything.
But if there really were 700 Iranian spies that they could catch, how many did they not catch?
Are there 20,000 Iranian spies, you know, for Israel?
I don't know.
Um, here's I'm going to double down on something I predicted.
I've got a feeling that the regime has already changed and here's my working hypothesis.
So, you've got an 86year-old supreme leader and he has made decisions that have brought your country to, you know, the the verge of complete destruction and you're an underling and you're you're sort of no longer trusting his opinion because at 86, you know, he needs naps more than he needs anything.
And he might he might be losing a step cuz you know 86 is different for different people.
So there might be a Joe Biden situation where there are only a few advisors you know and trusted people who even talk to him.
So it could be that it's not like he's having meetings with all of his people all the time.
So now imagine that he needed to be protected because you know the bombs are falling.
If if you took this 86y old and you locked him in a bunker underground for his own good, for his own safety, and then you took away from him his phone, so there was no phone with an advisor or anybody else in the same room.
And then you would say, "No, you can't have us a phone." Either because it doesn't work underground or or it would be uh too easy for Israel to identify you via the phone.
So now now you've talked the Supreme Leader into being in an underground locked room with no form of communication.
Now, who would be in charge of protecting the Supreme Leader?
Would it be political friends?
No.
It would be some part of the military force of Iran and whoever was most trusted.
Now, if you were the head of that military and maybe you used to be not anywhere near the head of it, but all the people above you have already been assassinated.
and you say to yourself, "Okay, I need to do something right now or I'm gonna get assassinated and my whole family will be wiped out, too." How hard would it be for you to just take over without people even knowing?
Well, you would need two guards.
You would need one on the inside of the door in the same room as the ayatollah to say, "No, you can't go out and you can't have a phone and you can't talk to anybody." And then you would need one on the outside of the door to tell people that everything's fine, but the Ayatollah doesn't want to talk to you.
If you have a question, um, we'll make sure that he hears the question and that he gets back to you with some instructions.
So the military head, whoever was in charge of protecting him, could have taken over the country with two guards.
One on the inside of the door where the supreme leader is and one on the outside and all they'd have to do is Joe Biden the situation cuz we watched it happen.
As long as you didn't suspect there was something wrong, you would think, "Oh, well, obviously the Ayatollah is not going out in public and obviously the the people who were protecting him are just passing along the messages and obviously he's still running things.
If that was your belief, then whoever the top military person who's left is could have easily taken over the country.
So even if that didn't happen, just the way I explained it, he's still 86 and we don't know who he listens to.
Does he have his own Jill Biden or Hunter Biden situation where there's somebody sketchy who's the only person he talks to?
Maybe by the time you're 86, you don't you just don't act the same.
You don't trust the same.
You know, you've got less energy, everything else.
So, I'm going to put the put it out there that we might be not hearing from the Supreme Leader in a video and that it might be a long time before we know if the Supreme Leader is still in charge.
He's probably still alive, but uh I suspect maybe other forces have have emerged because they're trying to protect themselves from assassination basically.
So that is my speculation.
there's already been a regime change and maybe that's the only reason there's a ceasefire that seems to be holding so far.
According to Blaze media, um the the ICE in in America, the ICE people have uh busted 11 illegal Iranian nationals in our country.
Um, one is a terror suspect, one's an ex sniper, and other has hasbol ties.
Really, if you if you were to just uh round up a bunch of Iranian, you know, immigrants who came through our open border, how many of them would be terror suspects, ex snipers, and have ties?
Would most of them or would most of them just be people trying to get a better life or something?
That uh that's pretty scary.
Now, I feel like the only thing protecting the United States from a a terror attack from some Iranian sleeper cell is that Iran knows that our our revenge for that would be so extreme that, you know, couldn't possibly be a good idea.
So, unless they're actually crazy, I don't think they're going to go big on any kind of, you know, state sponsored terrorism in in the US.
That's the thing I'm least worried about.
It might be something, but you know, I don't think anything that will change the nature of the country.
Well, Trump is going after CNN and what he calls MSDNC and the New York Times, and he's over at NATO right now, and when asked, he said that they're all scum.
and he says that they're disrespecting the military geniuses and the pilots um and they're not getting credit because the news are fake news and they're all scum.
Now, is that is that the right way to treat a bunch of people who are just reporting that we're not sure if the bomb damage assessment is correct?
I don't know.
Um he's right.
that no matter what they knew or whatever sources they had, they probably would be running non-stop content saying it didn't work because they're anti-Trump.
So, as I, you know, said in the beginning, I can tell you what your bomb damage assessment is if you tell me what your political preference is.
That's all you need to know.
And we will all treat that like we know it and it's true.
And it's just the facts.
We don't know.
We couldn't possibly know.
But uh Republican Buddy Carter, he's a representative.
Um he's nominated Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize for his work in Israel with Iran.
And uh the Israeli ambassador to the UN, Danny Dannon, um he agrees.
He says, "I think that President Trump deserves a Nobel Peace Prize." So, imagine how frustrating it would be to be Trump when you believe you've pulled off one of the greatest peacemaking things of all time, you know, albeit with a bomb or lots of bombs.
And you got some people promoting you for a Nobel Peace Prize, which I feel like he would love.
I feel like he would like that.
Um, and other people saying, "Ah, no, it didn't even work." Oh my god, that would drive me crazy if I were him.
So, I could see why he's a little bit miffed.
Anyway, so Trump is over at the NATO meeting and uh apparently NATO has uh designed itself around Trump.
Um, so, uh, apparently NATO is saying good stuff about him.
They're complimenting him.
The secretary general of NATO said, uh, to Trump, while Trump was on stage, uh, he said, "I just want to recognize your decisive action on Iran.
You were a man of strength, but you're also a man of peace." Um and he said the fact that you're now getting this ceasefire, I really want to commend you for it.
This is important for the whole world.
And he said that without President Trump, this would not have happened.
So that's the secretary general of NATO.
He's basically just really buttering up Trump.
And then separately, NATO said that they've gone to 5% funding.
you know, 5% of GDP, I guess, and not right away.
You know, it's there's a schedule to get there, but they're crediting Trump for what will be a huge uh increase in funding for NATO.
So, they're praising him for what he's doing outside of NATO.
They're praising him for getting funding for NATO.
And then the best part, Zalinski shows up wearing a suit.
Do you think that Zalinski would have worn a suit to NATO except for Trump?
I don't think so.
I think everything from Zilinski to the Secretary General to all the leaders of NATO to all the countries, they're all adjusting their approach for Trump.
Have you ever seen anything like this?
This is the most the most remarkable um persuasive I don't know influence you've ever seen in your life.
Everything that people are doing from the news to NATO to Israel to Iran to Zilinski to Putin.
They're all modifying what they're doing based on keeping Trump happy.
Even Putin.
Now, have we ever seen anything like this?
I don't think so.
There's there's definitely never been a president in my lifetime that was so such a big footprint on just everything.
I've never seen it.
Amazing.
So, yeah, Zilinski wore a suit.
Um, and Trump said that his uh his negotiator Wickoff told him that uh a Gaza deal was very close.
Do you believe that?
Do you believe that a deal for Gaza is close?
What would that even look like?
And there's not much left of Gaza.
So, how can you possibly make any kind of a deal?
What is Hamas gonna surrender and be shaw or jailed?
Is israel gonna let the military wing of Hamas just reconstitute somewhere?
Now remember I said the same thing about uh the Israel Iran conflict.
I said, "There's no obvious way this could ever stop." And then Trump finds a non-obvious way to do it by putting, you know, 12 bombs in six holes and then, you know, claiming victory and then forcing Israel to agree to it and, you know, basically beating up everybody who disagreed.
That worked.
I mean, it looks like it worked.
We don't know if it's we bought three months or or 40 years But do you think he could pull off the impossible again with whatever is left of Gaza?
I don't even know what a a deal would look like because Israel is not going to return all those people to their prior homes.
There's no home to return them to.
And if they uh put all of the um the prior residents of Gaza in some kind of concentrated area, it's going to be called a concentration camp.
So is the world going to say, "Yeah, that's a good peace deal there." So I don't know what that's could look like.
My guess would be we're not very close to a Gaza deal.
at least not one that the Gaza residents exits would have agreed to.
According to the uh Wall Street Journal, um China is and Russia a little bit more interested in having a pipeline so that Russia can supply oil to China with you know full control of the of the mechanism of delivery.
They don't want to don't want to depend on the straight of horos or anything else that could get easily attacked by other countries.
Um but they're not going forward with it because apparently they can't agree on percentage ownership.
So they they can't figure out how to make a deal.
But imagine how important that would be if they did.
if they if Russia just sent a pipeline to China and then part of the conversation is that uh Russia doesn't want to be too dependent on having one big customer and China doesn't want to be too dependent on Russia.
So, they've got issues, but I think it's interesting that we see Russia and China becoming these great friends, and it's a big risk to us.
But apparently the big friends, China and Russia, can't even work out a pipeline deal, which honestly doesn't seem like it would be that hard.
I feel like Trump could do it.
You know, Trump's could work out a pipeline deal, I think, but uh no, they can't do it.
Well, we know now who was primarily involved in managing the auto pen for Biden.
Now, I can't believe that we had to wait this long for the person who was definitely in charge of it to come forward and only because uh she was compelled by congressional testimony today.
So, the some oversight committee was uh querying her and she admitted that she was in charge of making sure the autopen process worked.
Now, in theory, that does not mean that she was making the decisions.
Um, in theory, she was just doing whatever the president wanted to do.
So, you know, in the best case scenario, there's no issue here at all.
But do you believe that?
Do you believe that she only did what um Biden asked her to do?
as in, well, I'm at the beach.
Use that auto pen.
Maybe it started that way.
But there are some accusations that I would not consider yet uh credible, but there are accusations that um some entities that she was involved with outside of her job got a little extra funding thanks to that auto pen.
But I think it's too soon to to imagine that those accusations are accurate.
Maybe.
I mean, if if she had that power and nobody was watching too closely, maybe.
You know, I I always tell you that wherever corruption is possible, it always happens.
But if there were other people watching her all the time and it wasn't just one person and an autopen, well, maybe enough people were watching.
All right.
So, we don't know.
uh pollster Mark Mitchell was on Betty Johnson's podcast and Mark Mitchell uh is from Rasperson and uh he said that Trump is on base to pass Obama as the most popular president in US history.
Now hasn't happened but the uh the trend line is looking like it might.
So according to Mark Mitchell at this point, yeah, 100% Trump is about to outperform him, meaning Obama, uh, that's what's going to happen.
Then separately, I saw, but I didn't look into, there's another, uh, another poll, not Rasperson, they had Trump at a new low.
So the pollsters do not agree.
Is Trump gonna be the most popular president or did his popularity just go down?
Well, that's the way the world is working right now.
Apparently, uh 128 Democrats decided to vote against the idea of pursuing impeachment over Trump.
So, Fox News is reporting this.
So, it was not only the Republicans who killed the uh Al Green, Representative Al Green.
He's always looking for a Trump impeachment no matter what.
Um, but a whole bunch of Democrats disagreed, so that's good.
My guess is that it didn't work last time.
The last time they tried the impeachment, and they they have really nothing to impeach him over.
So I guess they were just being wise.
Um there's a AI called uh Claude if you haven't heard of it.
It's one of the big ones by Anthropic and Anthropic is apparently Amazonbacked.
So Amazon's the money backer, one of them.
and uh they just won a uh court ruling that they would be allowed to train their AI on books that had been legally purchased um as long as they don't reproduce the book.
So they can't reproduce it even if you said to them um give me the first chapter of that book.
um instead it would just be a method of trading them.
So I don't know how I feel about that.
It does feel like I have to admit that feels like fair use because if you're only using it to sort of generically train your AI the same way it would train looking at Reddit or looking at X or something then I'm not too worried about it.
But uh as an author it does make you wonder you know if if your copyright value is shrinking with AI.
I think it's shrinking um but it's not gone.
So that's happening.
Meanwhile, according to the Guardian uh the US House of Representatives has banned Whats.
App.
So, it doesn't want any of his members using the Whats.
App app to communicate.
Um, and the reasoning is that it's not uh doesn't have enough cyber security or at least they're not confident has enough cyber security.
So, how many times have I told you that there's no such thing as a protected form of communication?
If you ever imagined that you had an app that would encrypt things and nobody could see it because it's all encrypted, I don't think there was ever any chance of that because the at the very least the intelligence uh services of the host company wherever the com wherever the uh company resides at the very least they're going to insist on a back door.
So, I do agree that uh there's a risk, but what else would they use?
I I feel like it would be like all it's going to do is force them to use some other app that's just as unsecure, right?
I don't know.
Maybe they'll just never talk to each other.
Well, uh, Tucker Carlson, uh, mentioned on his podcast that, uh, and I'd never heard this before.
I don't know if anybody heard it before, that right after he got fired from Fox News, the owners of Fox News, the Murdoch, uh, offered to back him for president if he ran against Trump and suggested that they would use their media assets to back him.
that would include Fox News and the Wall Street Journal among others.
Now, apparently, according to Tucker, and I don't think he would lie about it, according to Tucker, even though they had just fired him, they still thought he was a better choice for president uh than Trump.
Now Tucker of course laughs it off as you know not him not being qualified for that.
But what does it tell you that the Murdoch believe they could make him president based on never having held any office?
Does it feel like people keep making the President Trump analogy and it just doesn't work?
The analogy would be, well, if this one person who was never elected before and is only a popular media star, if this one person can become president of the United States without going through the normal, you know, senator, governor channels, then why not do it with another celebrity?
And I think that has that always has the wrong um well the problem with that analysis is that there's only one Trump.
If if Tucker Carlson were also Trump, like exactly Trump, you know, not not somebody who reminds you of Trump, but exactly Trump.
Well, if he were exactly Trump, that might work.
But I don't think I don't think you can take some media personality, whether it's a Stephen A.
Smith or uh John uh what's his name from the Daily Show.
Um, I don't think you could take your average TV popular media person and turn them into a president, you know, even if you had the entire Fox News, Wall Street Journal machine behind it.
Or am I being naive?
Am I being naive?
Is it possible they could make anyone president if you if they have name recognition uh on the one side that you know they care about and they backed it hard?
Maybe they could.
What do you think?
My my instinct is that there's only one Trump.
So imagining that you could reproduce, you know, that kind of phenomenon would just be you folly.
I think but the fact that the Murdoch thought they could turn a a TV talking head opinion guy into a president just by adding their resources.
Boy, that is a peak behind the curtain, isn't it?
That's that's some scary stuff.
Well, I keep seeing on social media and and the news references to the woke right.
How many of you even know what that means?
The woke right.
I did not know what that meant.
So, I've tried now twice to figure out what it is to find out if I'm part of it or somebody else thinks I'm part of it.
So here's what uh here's what Grock says.
So these are the characteristics of somebody who's in the quote woke right.
Um and there are several of them.
They have identitydriven rhetoric.
Well, that's sort of everybody, isn't it?
Is there anybody who doesn't have identity driven rhetoric?
No.
If you're woke, as in the left woke, you have identitydriven rhetoric.
If you're opposed to it, you also have identitydriven rhetoric.
But in this case, you're trying to make the identity not the main thing, but you're it's still part of your messaging.
Uh, you would be anti-woke.
Okay, a lot of people are anti-woke.
Does that make them woke?
Right?
Um, you have outrage and moralism.
Okay, that's everybody online.
There's a victimhood narrative.
Again, that's everybody who talks about politics talks about how their own group is being disadvantaged by other groups.
That's sort of everything that social media is.
You're you're always talking about how the group you're in or the group you care about or some other group is being disadvantaged by some other group.
Isn't that everybody?
Is there a way to not talk about that?
If you're talking about politics, there's a populist appeal.
Really, populism is going to be part of a woke right.
There's a cancel culture tactics, meaning trying to cancel people for their views.
But isn't that just anti-woke?
And then there's social media amplification.
Again, that's just people online who are doing a good job.
And performative activism.
Performative.
Is Robbie Starbucks performative?
If he's actually getting, you know, real corporations to change their policies, that's not really performative.
That's actually real stuff.
And then I asked the Grock to give me a list of people that would be considered woke.
Right.
Now you tell me what have all these people have in common other than being rightleaning.
Um Clay Travis, Charlie Kirk, Jack Pobic, the libs of Tik Tok.
Um, that's Chia Rachek, Marjgerie Taylor Green, Ron De.
Santis, Candace Owens, and Tucker Carlson.
I'm pretty sure they don't even agree with each other.
Is that the list of people that have so much in common that they get their own label?
I don't see it.
So this whole woke right thing, it just seems so artificial and I don't know, it just seems like somebody's trying to find a way to come up with an insult for people who are doing a good job getting attention for their point of view.
If the only thing you're doing is a really good job of getting clicks because people really care about your opinion, it's not exactly, you know, we don't need a a label for that.
Well, Steven Miller is pointing out that um New York City may be on the verge of getting a what is called an anarchist socialist mayor and uh a Muslim and an immigrant uh who wants to basically freeze housing costs and build a government grocery store.
Basically a socialist And uh Steven Miller is pointing out that the only way that he could be ahead in the polls and likely likely about to be uh uh the next mayor is because of massive um illegal probably illegal immigration into New York City.
I think I saw that 38% of New York City uh the residents were born in other countries.
38%.
That's a big number that that would be enough to make sure that the uh the undocumented people would come into the country are determining local politics.
It looks like that's what's happening.
And uh I think Andrew Cuomo has already dropped out.
So that's who was running against him for the primary.
And then it looks like he would be the Democrat candidate and in New York City that pretty much means you're going to win.
So yeah, get out of the cities.
Get out.
Well, you remember uh the Doge employee, the young man named Big Balls.
That was one of his names he used online.
He has uh resigned from working on Doge according to Wired.
Um, so there will no longer be any big balls associated with Doge, just in case you wondered.
In other news, uh, Germany has cracked down on, um, hate speech in their own country and the police are knocking down doors and arresting people.
and they've raided 170 private homes for saying things online that the government considers hateful or inflammatory.
Uh the interior minister calls it digital arsonist.
My goodness.
Uh and points out that the hate postings are, you know, way up compared to prior years.
Now, how lucky do you feel if you live in America and free speech is still for the most part legal so far?
But can you even imagine your government, you know, breaking down doors because of something you said online?
How bad was it?
I don't know.
There's a uh report in the New York Post that AI powered hiring tools, which are more and more being used, um are racist and sexist and they favor black and female job applicants over white and male applicants.
So, if you don't tweak them, the large language models look at the world because that's what they're trained on.
They look at everything that's being written and everything that's being allowed to be written.
And uh they decided that black and female candidates were superior to white and to white people and male applicants.
But the good news is that they're aware of the problem and the people who run these ais uh working hard to get rid of that discrimination.
So I guess they've found some workarounds.
But what does it tell you?
That if you train a large language model on the allowed things online and the allowed things in books that it discriminates against uh white males.
It tells you that the world discriminates against white males because that's what the world is what they're trained on.
They don't come up with it on their own.
According to something called study finds, nearly one in four Americans want a break from physical intimacy.
So I could have asked you what percentage and you would have guessed 25% and you would have been close.
But 24% of Americans want a break from sexual activity and half have already taken extended breaks averaging six months.
So there's a little experiment that I sometimes do if I'm in public, if I'm in the mall or just somewhere where people are walking down the street and they're coupled up.
I look at the couples, well, they don't even need to be couples, could be individuals, and I say to myself, how many people would want to have sex with that person?
And you can walk past a lot of Americans before you see one that you can even imagine that someone else would want to have sex with them.
Forget about you.
So, it's not even whether you would have sex with them.
You look at him and you go, "Who who would?" Like who would want to have sex with that?
And so I'm not surprised.
And 69% of single Americans are content being single and not actively looking for relationships.
It had to be 69%, didn't it?
All right.
All right.
Um, Argentina's GDP is soaring at 5.8%, the highest in the Western world.
and even higher than China whose numbers I don't trust anyway.
So is Argentina and their their leader MLE is it a miracle everything's working?
Maybe.
Or maybe he controls the reporting of what their GDP is.
Or maybe that the way anybody can make their GDP sore is by removing social services for the poor.
Because I do think that the you know the the counternarrative to MLE being a economic genius who saved Argentina is that uh in order to do that I think he had to cut a lot of social services to the poor which might be the only way to do it.
It might be the only way out but uh we we tend to leave out what did it cost them to get that 5.8% 8% growth.
Well, Morgan Stanley um is expecting the Fed to deliver seven rate cuts in 2026.
So, remember I told you that 2026 could be lit because you got you can have robo taxis and robots and AI.
Well, you might also have a series of interest rate cuts.
So, um, things are looking really positive for 2026.
And I thought this already happened, but um, did Jeff Bezos and Lauren Sanchez already get married?
Because the report is that they're throwing a three-day, $55 million wedding in Venice with uh, 90 private jets and 200 VIPs and all kinds of stuff.
Now that's a wedding.
I was not invited.
All right, ladies and gentlemen, that's all I have for you.
I'm going to talk to the uh locals people privately for a moment because they're beloved.
And the rest of you, thanks for joining and I will see you same time tomorrow.
And I hope you enjoyed it.
All right, in 30 seconds.
Come on in.
It's time.
Well, let's check on our stocks.
Tesla is down a little bit. The S&P
500's up a little bit. Bitcoin's up
nicely.
All right. Good start.
That's uh one way to start the day.
All right. Soon as I get my comments
working.
Where are you comments,
we will have a show and it'll be
amazing.
Oh yeah, it will be.
So, some of you were wondering why I had
to shorten my show the other day.
And I don't know the exact answer, but I
think it's a reaction to some change in
medication.
So, temporary and not important,
but
it would have been really hard to finish
the show. All right.
Good morning everybody and welcome to
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It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and
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Well, it's all looking good. So, uh,
Elon Musk is apparently very happy with
the development of his robots. Optimist.
Optimus. Not optimist. No optimus.
But, ironically,
which is the wrong word to use, but you
won't know the difference. Um,
he he's optimistic about Optimus. I
guess version three is looking good and
it already has a Grock AI built into it
for conversation purposes.
So 2026,
do you know what 2026 is going to look
like?
Oh my god, you're going to have auto
cabs, self-driving um Teslas everywhere.
You're gonna have the release of
Optimus.
Um, you could have AI that's going to
whatever new level it goes to by then.
And, uh,
what else? But basically, uh, all the
big stuff seems like it's it's going to
happen in 2026.
So, lots of stuff coming.
Well, Bernie Sanders was on uh Joe Rogan
show and uh Bernie was talking about
climate change and Joe Rogan sort of
challenged him on whether whether
climate change is real and he said this.
He said to Bernie, "Did you see the
Washington Post piece?" uh essentially
they found that we're in a cooling
period and this was like a very
inconvenient discovery uh but they had
to report the data and kudos to them for
doing that.
So then he uh he asked Jamie his
engineer to put up a chart and the chart
showed very clearly that with with or
without human involvement the
temperature of the earth has uh greatly
fluctuated
over the entire knowable period. So
there are periods when it's up, periods
when it's down. And so Rogan shows
Sanders
the Washington Post piece that you might
argue destroys the entire climate change
narrative.
And Sandra's response was, "Well, I'm
not sure. I didn't read that article,
but you know, the scientists who are out
there, I think I know."
So Sanders at the, you know, the end of
his career. He can't, I don't think
he'll last too much longer. He's a
certain age. But imagine your entire
career, one of your most important
things was pursuing climate change and
then the publication which is most
aligned with the left Washington Post
gives you essentially a debunk of the
thing that you spent your entire career
um chasing.
So that would uh predictably cause
um some cognitive dissonance which would
make uh Bernie say stuff like well the
Washington Post doesn't know and what
about those 97% of scientists.
So it's not like he's going to change
his mind but there it is. Does it does
it feel to you
like climate change is now so debunked
that you don't really see stories about
it even on CNN and MSNBC?
It feels like that entire narrative went
away. Is that my imagination? Did
anybody else notice that?
I don't know if that's entirely because
of Trump or just the news was too
inconvenient at some point.
Well, according to something called
Zatakan
by Ruben Andre, there's a uh survey. It
shows that uh Gen Z
uh likes flex hours and part um oh they
want to 38% of them want to have sex at
work
um which I believe means remote work.
And I'm saying to myself, Gen Z, only
38% of them want to have sex at work.
What part am I not understanding?
Is Is there really a a human being who
doesn't want to have sex instead of
working?
Who who would make that choice? Well,
you know, I could be having some sex
right now and getting paid for it, but
I'd rather be working on these reports.
47% of young people say remote work has
improved their sex lives,
even without a partner. I don't know.
Um, one one of the uh most let's say
inconvenient things about all the remote
work is that
for some number of people it it probably
caused a massive masturbation problem as
in they you know they couldn't they
couldn't get any work done because they
were looking at porn all day. You know
that happened. I don't know with what
percentage
but probably a big percentage of remote
workers found something else to do
during the day during Zoom calls.
The Wall Street Journal is reporting
that uh Gilead Science has got FDA
approval for an HIV vaccination that you
do twice a year that they claim is
nearly 100% effective in preventing HIV
transmission. Now, apparently there's
already a pill that does the same thing,
but people are not good at remembering
to take pills, so it's not as effective.
But if you remember to get your twice a
year shot,
um, if you believe in vaccinations, does
anybody believe in vaccinations?
Maybe, maybe it's the wrong audience.
Maybe every one of you are like, uh,
we're not really sure vaccinations are
even real.
But the, uh, the thing that I thought
was interesting is that the Wall Street
Journal said the breakthrough, uh,
cracks open the door to ending the HIV
pandemic. To which I said, wait a
minute, HIV was still a pandemic.
When was the last time
you had a friend or acquaintance or
co-orker who got AIDS?
I remember in the was it the 80s ' 80s
or 90s that you it happened all the
time. So the person on the other side of
my cubicle wall died of AIDS. um
people's relatives, their their cousins,
their friends, everybody seemed to be,
you know, dying of AIDS, but I don't
really hear about it anymore.
Is that because the pills weren't good
enough?
But, uh, apparently the Wall Street
Journal says it's still a pandemic. All
right.
Well, let's talk about the uh uh bomb
damage assessment. The BDA
um I think the BDA and the TDS have
merged. Have you noticed that Trump
derangement syndrome and bomb damage
assessment
now sort of became the same topic?
Let me let me uh do bomb damage
assessment the way the public and maybe
even all of the intelligence people in
the military are doing it too. Are you
ready? Now I know what you're going to
say. You're going to say, "Scott,
you're no expert on military stuff."
True. You might say, "Scott, you don't
know anything about bomb damage
assessment and you not you don't even
have privy to all the private
information." True. True. But you want
to watch something impressive.
I'm going to give you the best, most
accurate bomb damage assessment that
you'll ever see. Better than the news,
better than the military, better than
Trump. Are you ready? Now, I know that's
a high bar, but this will be the best
bomb damage assessment. You ready?
If you like Donald Trump as your
president, he then the uh entire nuclear
program was obliterated and they will
not start up again for possibly decades
and they would be crazy to even try.
That's if you're a supporter of Trump.
If you were not a supporter of Trump or
maybe you were doubting him in the runup
to the uh ceasefire,
then uh you would say h there's no way
to know if anything got destroyed. I
suspect that they might be able to
reconstitute their entire program in 3
to 6 months.
There you go.
That do you think there will be anything
on the news that is better than that?
No, there will not be. Then the one
thing that you could predict with
complete certainty is that there would
not be agreement on how effective the
bombing was. Right? There was no chance,
no chance that the Democrats were going
to say, "Wow, you know, we don't like
this this authoritarian dictator Hitler
guy, but I got to admit, he's really
good at bombing away the risk of nuclear
war with other countries."
Was that going to happen in in any
reality? where Democrats going to say,
"Yeah, you know, got to say he really
nailed it with that, you know, limited
bombing run. So precise, got everything
obliterated.
Totally obliterated."
So,
um I remember on the uh you know when
the bombing was being talked about and
it first happened and I made some
comments on social media about how in
the world could you be sure that you got
everything?
Because how would you know if they had
something hidden that you didn't know
about? How would you know if maybe they
had removed some stuff but did it
cleverly so they the removal could not
be detected?
How would you know what's under that
mountain? If they start digging, are
they going to find anything left? How
would you know if maybe they had uh you
know various equipment for enriching
uranium that hadn't been connected to
you know their setup yet but it's new
and it was sitting there and they could
just connect it. How would you know? You
would not know.
So the your belief in the bomb damage
assessment and whether it worked or did
not work is entirely
based on guessing and political
preference.
If you think we're going to get to the
point where we're going to know for sure
if the bombing was a huge positive
success or it was a big failure, we'll
never know that. There will always be
two stories. One will be that it was the
best thing ever and the other will be
that it didn't work. And that will never
change and that was completely
predictable
before we got to this point.
So we've got uh and and basically the
the Dilbert filter is what I like to put
on these things. So you don't have to be
an expert on the military or politics to
know that big organizations
operate in similar ways, which is people
are going to disagree about what the
data is. That's just built into
everything from climate change to bomb
damage assessment.
So CNN is saying predictably uh
according to an early US intelligence
assessment the US military strikes on uh
the nuclear program did not destroy the
core components of the country's nuclear
program. Do do you think they know that?
Um that's based on one of what will be,
you know, maybe more than a dozen
different assessments that might change
over time. But do you really think
that CNN
has a source that can tell them that the
core components
have been spared?
You know, it's possible that somebody
told them that, but how would anybody
really know that? You know, it doesn't
seem knowable one way or the other at
this point.
Um, Iran says that their nuclear
installations were badly damaged by the
US according to the AP. So, if Iran says
badly damaged, does that mean that they
can't reconstitute it in six months?
Well, I don't know what does badly
damaged mean in this context.
Um,
so anyway, there Trump, here's what
Trump said. He said that the attacks set
them back decades
because they had such a bad experience.
So Trump's narrative now is not just
there's nothing they can do because
everything's destroyed, but he's
modified his narrative a little bit to
even if they could, they'd be insane to
do it because it worked out so poorly.
And uh Israel has also said, you know,
that if they see any nuclear
development, they'll be back to bomb
more.
And uh Trump says the sites that we hit
in Iran were totally destroyed and
everyone knows it. Do they? Does
everyone know it?
Um he says they didn't have a chance to
get anything out because we acted fast.
really
that there was no way to move that
enriched uranium. They didn't have
enough time.
I'm not even sure we knew where it was
in the first place, but okay.
Um and Trump said it's very hard and
very dangerous for them to remove that
kind of material.
Yeah, but they were in sort of a
dangerous situation in general. So, I
don't know.
B. Eggs says, quote, "Anyone who says
the bombs were not devastating is just
trying to undermine the president." So,
you know what I have to say to P
Exathth? you, you.
Uh, I can make up my own opinion about
whether or not our government is, you
know, lying or accurate about bomb
damage assessment and it does not have
anything to do with trying to undermine
the president. And when I see somebody
say something like that, that the facts
if if you disagree on the analysis that
you're trying to undermine the
president, you. Just yourself
as hard as you can with a with a bunker
buster bomb P B P B P B P B P B P B P B
P B P B P B Exath. You know, I I I've
not been a critic of PX, but no, you
don't get to say this.
Well, you can say it's a free country,
but if you tell me that my opinion of
the bomb damage assessment at this stage
is dependent on, you know, either trying
to support or undermine the president,
just you. Shut the up. We
don't want to hear any of it. So, no,
you fail. That's a fail ex messaging.
And uh like I said, Netanyahu says, "If
anyone in Iran thinks of rebuilding it,
we will strike again."
Then I was watching a uh video by Glenn
Greenwald
who was talking about, you know, the
prior, you know, the uh Obama agreement
on uh Iran.
And I don't know if I have the entire
argument that I can summarize, but the
the summary is that Iran was already
contained
and that it was Trump's fault for
removing an agreement that was working
and uh then Iran responded and you know
then war broke out. So, one narrative
is that they never intended to do
anything but domestic um development.
And that would make sense because they
wanted to sell their oil and they wanted
to use cheap electricity at home through
nuclear power. Now,
that sort of makes sense, but then you
switch the channel and listen to uh
Jesse Waters talk about it on his show
on Fox and he he asked the following
question. If it was only for peaceful
um domestic energy purposes, why they
have to hide it in a mountain?
And and I laughed when I heard that. Why
do they have to hide it in a mountain?
And I'm thinking, huh? Yeah. Does anyone
else who uses nuclear only for domestic
energy needs, does anybody else hide
their program in a mountain?
I don't think so.
And then on top of that, um, Israel has
been, I think everyone agrees, funding
proxies that would attack Israel.
Now, if you're funding proxies to attack
Israel,
and you're also you're also chanting,
you know, death to Israel.
And then the argument is that death to
death to Israel. No, no, that doesn't
mean kill all the people. It just means
they would like to have a one-state
solution. Do you buy that? Do you buy
that? Chanting death to Israel, what it
really means is a one-state solution.
Okay, let's say you do believe that.
Now, now explain death to America.
Oh, it got a little harder, didn't it?
Do they want a one-state solution that
includes America, Israel, and the the
West Bank
and Gaza? Is that what they want?
Why did they throw America in the death
category? If we're only talking about
Israel as being a one-state solution,
what's that got to do with America and
us being put to death? All right, so
here's my take.
If Iran genuinely had only domestic
nuclear power ambitions, if that were
real, how easy would it have been for
them to avoid war?
And the answer is really really easy.
If they seriously
did not plan to at least have the
threshold capability, which would be a
threat to the region or to have, you
know, actually make the bomb.
If they didn't intend that,
it would be the easiest thing in the
world to talk the rest of the world out
of attacking them.
How hard would that be?
Here's what you would do. You would
first of all say, "All right, we're
going to stop funding all these uh
proxies." Next thing you would do is you
would ask your own public to stop doing
this chanting death to America, death to
Israel thing because it's being
misinterpreted,
right? But you don't see that. And then
you wouldn't put it hidden in a
mountain.
You wouldn't do anything that they did
if you were just really just trying to
get some innocent, you know, cheap
electricity.
So I don't think uh Glenn Greenwald is
got the entire picture there.
Although it's worth it's worth listening
to his narrative just so you've heard
it. Um,
apparently Iran has reportedly,
according to World Source News 24/7,
um, they've arrested more than 700
Iranians,
um, and accused them of as agents for
Israel over the past 12 days.
So, how much does Israel have them
spooked that they arrested 700 of their
own their own citizens
and you know, who knows what's going to
happen to them? Probably death. I don't
know. Um, but in just 12 days, they
arrested 700 people. What is your guess
of how many of those 700 people were
actually spies for Israel?
My best guess would be maybe some of
them, maybe a few dozen, but out of 700,
I've got a feeling they're arresting a
lot of people who had nothing to do with
anything. But if there really were 700
Iranian spies that they could catch,
how many did they not catch?
Are there 20,000 Iranian spies, you
know, for Israel?
I don't know.
Um, here's I'm going to double down on
something I predicted.
I've got a feeling that the regime has
already changed
and here's my working hypothesis. So,
you've got an 86year-old supreme leader
and he has made decisions that have
brought your country to, you know, the
the verge of complete destruction
and you're an underling
and you're you're sort of no longer
trusting his opinion because at 86, you
know, he needs naps more than he needs
anything.
And he might he might be losing a step
cuz you know 86 is different for
different people. So there might be a
Joe Biden situation where there are only
a few advisors you know and trusted
people who even talk to him. So it could
be that it's not like he's having
meetings with all of his people all the
time. So now imagine that he needed to
be protected
because you know the bombs are falling.
If if you took this 86y old and you
locked him in a bunker underground
for his own good, for his own safety,
and then you took away from him his
phone,
so there was no phone with an advisor or
anybody else in the same room. And then
you would say, "No, you can't have us a
phone."
Either because it doesn't work
underground or or it would be uh too
easy for Israel to identify you via the
phone. So now now you've talked the
Supreme Leader into being in an
underground locked room with no form of
communication.
Now, who would be in charge of
protecting
the Supreme Leader? Would it be
political
friends? No. It would be some part of
the military force of Iran and whoever
was most trusted. Now, if you were the
head of that military
and maybe you used to be not anywhere
near the head of it, but all the people
above you have already been
assassinated.
and you say to yourself, "Okay, I need
to do something right now or I'm gonna
get assassinated and my whole family
will be wiped out, too."
How hard would it be for you to just
take over without people even knowing?
Well, you would need two guards. You
would need one on the inside of the door
in the same room as the ayatollah to
say, "No, you can't go out and you can't
have a phone and you can't talk to
anybody." And then you would need one on
the outside of the door to tell people
that everything's fine, but the
Ayatollah doesn't want to talk to you.
If you have a question, um, we'll make
sure that he hears the question and that
he gets back to you with some
instructions.
So the military head,
whoever was in charge of protecting him,
could have taken over the country with
two guards. One on the inside of the
door where the supreme leader is and one
on the outside and all they'd have to do
is Joe Biden the situation cuz we
watched it happen. As long as you didn't
suspect there was something wrong,
you would think, "Oh, well, obviously
the Ayatollah is not going out in public
and obviously the the people who were
protecting him are just passing along
the messages and obviously he's still
running things. If that was your belief,
then whoever the top military person
who's left is could have easily
taken over the country.
So even if that didn't happen, just the
way I explained it, he's still 86
and we don't know who he listens to.
Does he have his own Jill Biden or
Hunter Biden situation where there's
somebody sketchy who's the only person
he talks to?
Maybe by the time you're 86, you don't
you just don't act the same. You don't
trust the same. You know, you've got
less energy, everything else.
So, I'm going to put the put it out
there that we might be not hearing from
the Supreme Leader in a video
and that it might be a long time before
we know if the Supreme Leader is still
in charge.
He's probably still alive,
but uh I suspect maybe other forces have
have emerged because they're trying to
protect themselves from assassination
basically. So that is my speculation.
there's already been a regime change
and maybe that's the only reason there's
a ceasefire that seems to be holding so
far.
According to Blaze media,
um the the ICE in in America, the ICE
people have uh busted 11 illegal Iranian
nationals in our country.
Um, one is a terror suspect, one's an ex
sniper, and other has hasbol ties.
Really,
if you if you were to just uh round up a
bunch of Iranian, you know, immigrants
who came through our open border, how
many of them would be terror suspects,
ex snipers, and have ties?
Would most of them or would most of them
just be people trying to get a better
life or something?
That uh that's pretty scary.
Now, I feel like the only thing
protecting the United States from a a
terror attack from some Iranian sleeper
cell is that Iran knows that our our
revenge for that would be so extreme
that, you know, couldn't possibly be a
good idea. So, unless they're actually
crazy,
I don't think they're going to go big on
any kind of, you know, state sponsored
terrorism in in the US. That's the thing
I'm least worried about. It might be
something, but you know, I don't think
anything that will change the nature of
the country.
Well, Trump is going after CNN and what
he calls MSDNC
and the New York Times, and he's over at
NATO right now, and when asked, he said
that they're all scum.
and he says that they're disrespecting
the military geniuses and the pilots
um and they're not getting credit
because the news are fake news and
they're all scum.
Now,
is that is that the right way to treat a
bunch of people who are just reporting
that we're not sure if the bomb damage
assessment is correct?
I don't know. Um he's right.
that no matter what they knew or
whatever sources they had, they probably
would be running non-stop content saying
it didn't work because they're
anti-Trump.
So, as I, you know, said in the
beginning, I can tell you what your bomb
damage assessment is if you tell me what
your political preference is. That's all
you need to know. And we will all treat
that like we know it and it's true. And
it's just the facts. We don't know. We
couldn't possibly know.
But uh Republican Buddy Carter, he's a
representative.
Um he's nominated Trump for the Nobel
Peace Prize for his work in Israel with
Iran.
And uh the Israeli ambassador to the UN,
Danny Dannon,
um he agrees. He says, "I think that
President Trump deserves a Nobel Peace
Prize." So, imagine how frustrating it
would be to be Trump when you believe
you've pulled off one of the greatest
peacemaking things of all time, you
know, albeit with a bomb or lots of
bombs.
And you got some people promoting you
for a Nobel Peace Prize, which I feel
like he would love. I feel like he would
like that.
Um, and other people saying, "Ah, no, it
didn't even work." Oh my god, that would
drive me crazy if I were him. So, I
could see why he's a little bit miffed.
Anyway, so Trump is over at the NATO
meeting and uh apparently NATO has uh
designed itself around Trump.
Um,
so, uh, apparently NATO is saying good
stuff about him. They're complimenting
him. The secretary general of NATO said,
uh,
to Trump, while Trump was on stage, uh,
he said, "I just want to recognize your
decisive action on Iran. You were a man
of strength, but you're also a man of
peace."
Um
and he said the fact that you're now
getting this ceasefire, I really want to
commend you for it. This is important
for the whole world. And he said that
without President Trump, this would not
have happened. So that's the secretary
general of NATO. He's basically just
really buttering up Trump. And then
separately, NATO said that they've gone
to 5% funding. you know, 5% of GDP, I
guess, and not right away. You know,
it's there's a schedule to get there,
but they're crediting Trump for what
will be a huge uh increase in funding
for NATO.
So, they're praising him for what he's
doing outside of NATO. They're praising
him for getting funding for NATO. And
then the best part, Zalinski shows up
wearing a suit.
Do you think that Zalinski would have
worn a suit to NATO except for Trump?
I don't think so. I think everything
from Zilinski to the Secretary General
to all the leaders of NATO to all the
countries, they're all adjusting their
approach
for Trump.
Have you ever seen anything like this?
This is the most the most remarkable
um persuasive
I don't know influence you've ever seen
in your life. Everything that people are
doing from the news to NATO to Israel to
Iran
to Zilinski to Putin.
They're all modifying what they're doing
based on keeping Trump happy.
Even Putin.
Now, have we ever seen anything like
this? I don't think so. There's there's
definitely never been a president
in my lifetime that was so such a big
footprint on just everything.
I've never seen it. Amazing.
So, yeah, Zilinski wore a suit. Um,
and Trump said that his uh his
negotiator Wickoff told him that uh a
Gaza deal was very close.
Do you believe that?
Do you believe that a deal for Gaza is
close? What would that even look like?
And there's not much left of Gaza.
So, how can you possibly make any kind
of a deal? What is Hamas gonna surrender
and be shaw or jailed?
Is israel gonna let the military wing of
Hamas just reconstitute somewhere?
Now remember I said the same thing about
uh the Israel Iran conflict. I said,
"There's no obvious way this could ever
stop."
And then Trump finds a non-obvious way
to do it by putting, you know, 12 bombs
in six holes and then, you know,
claiming victory and then forcing Israel
to agree to it and, you know, basically
beating up everybody who disagreed. That
worked. I mean, it looks like it worked.
We don't know if it's we bought three
months or or 40 years
But do you think he could pull off the
impossible again with whatever is left
of Gaza?
I don't even know what a a deal would
look like because Israel is not going to
return all those people to their prior
homes. There's no home to return them
to.
And if they uh put all of the um the
prior residents of Gaza in some kind of
concentrated area,
it's going to be called a concentration
camp. So is the world going to say,
"Yeah, that's a good peace deal there."
So I don't know what that's could look
like. My guess would be we're not very
close to a Gaza deal. at least not one
that the Gaza residents exits would have
agreed to.
According to the uh Wall Street Journal,
um China is and Russia a little bit more
interested in having a pipeline so that
Russia can supply oil to China with you
know full control of the of the
mechanism of delivery. They don't want
to don't want to depend on the straight
of horos or anything else that could get
easily attacked by other countries.
Um but they're not going forward with it
because apparently they can't agree on
percentage ownership. So they they can't
figure out how to make a deal. But
imagine how important that would be if
they did. if they if Russia just sent a
pipeline to China and then part of the
conversation is that uh Russia doesn't
want to be too dependent on having one
big customer and China doesn't want to
be too dependent on Russia.
So, they've got issues, but I think it's
interesting that we see Russia and China
becoming these great friends, and it's a
big risk to us. But apparently the big
friends, China and Russia, can't even
work out a pipeline deal,
which honestly doesn't seem like it
would be that hard. I feel like Trump
could do it.
You know, Trump's could work out a
pipeline deal, I think, but uh no, they
can't do it.
Well, we know now who was primarily
involved in managing the auto pen for
Biden.
Now, I can't believe that we had to wait
this long for the person who was
definitely in charge of it to come
forward and only because uh she was
compelled by congressional testimony
today. So, the some oversight committee
was uh querying her and she admitted
that she was in charge of making sure
the autopen process worked. Now, in
theory,
that does not mean that she was making
the decisions.
Um, in theory, she was just doing
whatever the president wanted to do. So,
you know, in the best case scenario,
there's no issue here at all.
But do you believe that? Do you believe
that she only did what um Biden asked
her to do? as in, well, I'm at the
beach. Use that auto pen.
Maybe it started that way.
But there are some accusations that I
would not consider yet uh credible, but
there are accusations that
um some entities that she was involved
with outside of her job got a little
extra funding thanks to that auto pen.
But I think it's too soon to to imagine
that those accusations are accurate.
Maybe. I mean, if if she had that power
and nobody was watching too closely,
maybe. You know, I I always tell you
that wherever corruption is possible, it
always happens.
But if there were other people watching
her all the time and it wasn't just one
person and an autopen,
well, maybe enough people were watching.
All right. So, we don't know. uh
pollster Mark Mitchell was on Betty
Johnson's podcast and Mark Mitchell uh
is from Rasperson
and uh he said that Trump is on base to
pass Obama as the most popular president
in US history.
Now hasn't happened but the uh the trend
line is looking like it might. So
according to Mark Mitchell at this
point, yeah, 100% Trump is about to
outperform him, meaning Obama, uh,
that's what's going to happen. Then
separately, I saw, but I didn't look
into, there's another, uh, another poll,
not Rasperson, they had Trump at a new
low.
So the pollsters do not agree. Is Trump
gonna be the most popular president or
did his popularity just go down? Well,
that's the way the world is working
right now.
Apparently, uh 128 Democrats
decided to vote against the idea of
pursuing impeachment over Trump. So, Fox
News is reporting this. So, it was not
only the Republicans who killed the uh
Al Green, Representative Al Green. He's
always looking for a Trump impeachment
no matter what. Um, but a whole bunch of
Democrats disagreed, so that's good. My
guess is
that it didn't work last time. The last
time they tried the impeachment, and
they they have really nothing to impeach
him over. So I guess they were just
being wise.
Um
there's a AI called uh Claude if you
haven't heard of it. It's one of the big
ones by Anthropic and Anthropic is
apparently Amazonbacked.
So Amazon's the money backer, one of
them. and uh they just won a uh court
ruling that they would be allowed to
train their AI on books that had been
legally purchased
um as long as they don't reproduce the
book.
So they can't reproduce it even if you
said to them um give me the first
chapter of that book. um instead it
would just be a method of trading them.
So I don't know how I feel about that.
It does feel like I have to admit that
feels like fair use because if you're
only using it to sort of generically
train your AI the same way it would
train looking at Reddit or looking at X
or something then I'm not too worried
about it. But uh as an author it does
make you wonder you know if if your
copyright value is shrinking with AI. I
think it's shrinking um but it's not
gone.
So
that's happening.
Meanwhile, according to the Guardian
uh the US House of Representatives has
banned WhatsApp.
So, it doesn't want any of his members
using the WhatsApp app to communicate.
Um, and the reasoning is that it's not
uh
doesn't have enough cyber security
or at least they're not confident has
enough cyber security.
So,
how many times have I told you that
there's no such thing as a protected
form of communication?
If you ever imagined that you had an app
that would encrypt things and nobody
could see it because it's all encrypted,
I don't think there was ever any chance
of that because the at the very least
the intelligence uh services of the host
company wherever the com wherever the uh
company resides at the very least
they're going to insist on a back door.
So,
I do agree that uh there's a risk, but
what else would they use?
I I feel like it would be like all it's
going to do is force them to use some
other app
that's just as unsecure, right? I don't
know. Maybe they'll just never talk to
each other.
Well, uh, Tucker Carlson, uh, mentioned
on his podcast
that, uh, and I'd never heard this
before. I don't know if anybody heard it
before, that right after he got fired
from Fox News, the owners of Fox News,
the Murdoch,
uh, offered to back him for president if
he ran against Trump
and suggested that they would use their
media assets to back him. that would
include Fox News and the Wall Street
Journal among others.
Now, apparently, according to Tucker,
and I don't think he would lie about it,
according to Tucker, even though they
had just fired him, they still thought
he was a better choice for president
uh than Trump. Now Tucker of course
laughs it off as you know not him not
being qualified for that. But what does
it tell you
that the Murdoch believe they could make
him president
based on never having held any office?
Does it feel like people keep making the
President Trump analogy and it just
doesn't work? The analogy would be,
well, if this one person who was never
elected before and is only a popular
media star, if this one person can
become president of the United States
without going through the normal, you
know, senator, governor channels, then
why not do it with another celebrity?
And I think that has that always has the
wrong um well the problem with that
analysis
is that there's only one Trump.
If if Tucker Carlson were also Trump,
like exactly Trump, you know, not not
somebody who reminds you of Trump, but
exactly Trump. Well, if he were exactly
Trump, that might work.
But I don't think
I don't think you can take some media
personality, whether it's a Stephen A.
Smith or uh John uh what's his name from
the Daily Show. Um, I don't think you
could take your average TV popular media
person and turn them into a president,
you know, even if you had the entire Fox
News, Wall Street Journal machine behind
it. Or am I being naive?
Am I being naive? Is it possible they
could make anyone president if you if
they have name recognition
uh on the one side that you know they
care about and they backed it hard?
Maybe they could. What do you think? My
my instinct is that there's only one
Trump. So imagining that you could
reproduce, you know, that kind of
phenomenon would just be you folly. I
think but the fact that the Murdoch
thought they could turn a a TV talking
head opinion guy into a president
just by adding their resources.
Boy, that is a peak behind the curtain,
isn't it? That's that's some scary
stuff.
Well, I keep seeing on social media and
and the news references to the woke
right. How many of you even know what
that means? The woke right.
I did not know what that meant. So, I've
tried now twice
to figure out what it is to find out if
I'm part of it or somebody else thinks
I'm part of it. So here's what uh here's
what Grock says. So these are the
characteristics of somebody who's in the
quote woke right.
Um and there are several of them. They
have identitydriven rhetoric.
Well, that's sort of everybody, isn't
it? Is there anybody who doesn't have
identity driven rhetoric?
No.
If you're woke, as in the left woke, you
have identitydriven rhetoric. If you're
opposed to it, you also have
identitydriven rhetoric. But in this
case, you're trying to make the identity
not the main thing,
but you're it's still part of your
messaging.
Uh, you would be anti-woke.
Okay, a lot of people are anti-woke.
Does that make them woke? Right?
Um, you have outrage and moralism. Okay,
that's everybody online. There's a
victimhood narrative. Again, that's
everybody who talks about politics talks
about how their own group is being
disadvantaged by other groups. That's
sort of everything that social media is.
You're you're always talking about how
the group you're in or the group you
care about or some other group is being
disadvantaged by some other group. Isn't
that everybody? Is there a way to not
talk about that? If you're talking about
politics,
there's a populist appeal. Really,
populism is going to be part of a woke
right. There's a cancel culture tactics,
meaning trying to cancel people for
their views.
But isn't that just anti-woke?
And then there's social media
amplification. Again, that's just people
online who are doing a good job. And
performative activism.
Performative.
Is Robbie Starbucks performative?
If he's actually getting, you know, real
corporations to change their policies,
that's not really performative. That's
actually real stuff.
And then I asked the Grock to give me a
list of people that would be considered
woke. Right. Now you tell me what have
all these people have in common other
than being rightleaning.
Um Clay Travis, Charlie Kirk, Jack
Pobic, the libs of Tik Tok. Um, that's
Chia Rachek, Marjgerie Taylor Green, Ron
DeSantis, Candace Owens, and Tucker
Carlson.
I'm pretty sure they don't even agree
with each other.
Is that the list of people that have so
much in common that they get their own
label?
I don't see it. So this whole woke right
thing, it just seems so artificial and
I don't know, it just seems like
somebody's trying to find a way to come
up with an insult for people who are
doing a good job getting attention for
their point of view. If the only thing
you're doing is a really good job of
getting clicks because people really
care about your opinion,
it's not exactly,
you know, we don't need a a label for
that.
Well, Steven Miller is pointing out that
um New York City may be on the verge of
getting a what is called an anarchist
socialist mayor
and uh a Muslim and an immigrant
uh who wants to
basically freeze housing costs and build
a government grocery store. Basically a
socialist
And uh Steven Miller is pointing out
that the only way that he could be ahead
in the polls and likely likely about to
be uh uh the next mayor is because of
massive um illegal probably illegal
immigration into New York City. I think
I saw that 38% of New York City uh the
residents were born in other countries.
38%.
That's a big number that that would be
enough to make sure that the uh the
undocumented people would come into the
country are determining local politics.
It looks like that's what's happening.
And uh I think Andrew Cuomo has already
dropped out.
So that's who was running against him
for the primary. And then
it looks like he would be the Democrat
candidate and in New York City that
pretty much means you're going to win.
So yeah, get out of the cities. Get out.
Well, you remember uh the Doge employee,
the young man named Big Balls. That was
one of his names he used online.
He has uh resigned from working on Doge
according to Wired.
Um, so there will no longer be any big
balls associated with Doge, just in case
you wondered. In other news, uh, Germany
has cracked down on,
um, hate speech in their own country and
the police are knocking down doors and
arresting people. and they've raided 170
private homes
for saying things online that the
government considers hateful or
inflammatory.
Uh the interior minister calls it
digital arsonist.
My goodness. Uh and points out that the
hate postings are, you know, way up
compared to prior years. Now, how lucky
do you feel if you live in America and
free speech is still for the most part
legal
so far? But can you even imagine your
government, you know, breaking down
doors because of something you said
online? How bad was it? I don't know.
There's a uh report in the New York Post
that AI powered hiring tools, which are
more and more being used, um are racist
and sexist and they favor black and
female job applicants over white and
male applicants. So, if you don't tweak
them, the large language models look at
the world because that's what they're
trained on. They look at everything
that's being written and everything
that's being allowed to be written. And
uh they decided that black and female
candidates were superior to white and
to white people and male applicants.
But the good news is that they're aware
of the problem and the people who run
these ais
uh working hard to get rid of that
discrimination. So I guess they've found
some workarounds. But what does it tell
you? That if you train a large language
model on the allowed things online and
the allowed things in books that it
discriminates against uh white males.
It tells you that the world
discriminates against white males
because that's what the world is what
they're trained on. They don't come up
with it on their own.
According to something called study
finds,
nearly one in four Americans want a
break from physical intimacy.
So I could have asked you what
percentage and you would have guessed
25% and you would have been close. But
24% of Americans want a break from
sexual activity and half have already
taken extended breaks averaging six
months.
So there's a little experiment that I
sometimes do if I'm in public, if I'm in
the mall or just somewhere where people
are walking down the street and they're
coupled up. I look at the couples, well,
they don't even need to be couples,
could be individuals, and I say to
myself, how many people would want to
have sex with that person?
And you can walk past a lot of Americans
before you see one that you can even
imagine that someone else would want to
have sex with them. Forget about you.
So, it's not even whether you would have
sex with them. You look at him and you
go, "Who who would?" Like who would want
to have sex with that? And so I'm not
surprised.
And 69% of single Americans are content
being single and not actively looking
for relationships.
It had to be 69%, didn't it? All right.
All right.
Um, Argentina's GDP is soaring at 5.8%,
the highest in the Western world.
and even higher than China whose numbers
I don't trust anyway. So is Argentina
and their their leader MLE is it a
miracle everything's working?
Maybe. Or maybe he controls the
reporting of what their GDP is. Or maybe
that the way anybody can make their GDP
sore is by removing social services for
the poor. Because I do think that the
you know the the counternarrative
to MLE being a economic genius who saved
Argentina
is that uh in order to do that I think
he had to cut a lot of social services
to the poor which might be the only way
to do it. It might be the only way out
but uh we we tend to leave out what did
it cost them to get that 5.8% 8% growth.
Well, Morgan Stanley
um is expecting the Fed to deliver seven
rate cuts in 2026.
So, remember I told you that 2026 could
be lit because you got you can have robo
taxis and robots and AI. Well, you might
also have a series of interest rate
cuts.
So,
um, things are looking really positive
for 2026.
And I thought this already happened, but
um, did Jeff Bezos and Lauren Sanchez
already get married? Because the report
is that they're throwing a three-day,
$55 million wedding in Venice with uh,
90 private jets and 200 VIPs and all
kinds of stuff.
Now that's a wedding. I was not invited.
All right, ladies and gentlemen, that's
all I have for you. I'm going to talk to
the uh locals people privately for a
moment because they're beloved.
And the rest of you, thanks for joining
and I will see you same time tomorrow.
And I hope you enjoyed it. All right, in
30 seconds.