Episode 2883 CWSA 06/30/25

All right, that should help.

There's a uh there's a button on here for sound that you press two different ways and so it fools you.

Well, I'm glad you're here.

I'm glad you waited for the uh the seven to come on.

That's better.

All right.

You happy now?

There we go.

Um it was great the whole time.

No, it wasn't.

Nice try.

All right.

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All right.

Well, we're off to a slow start, but way do you see the finish?

Oh, gets better every minute.

Well, the uh political news is a little bit boring today.

So, it'll be a little bit more about technology.

Google has uh released a new app called Doppel DPL, which is weird because years ago I tried to create this app and the name I had picked for it was Doppelganger.

So they they've actually recreated an app that I had actually formed a company and tried to create years ago before AI.

So theirs works a lot better than mine, but it's called Doppel.

And what it does since you probably wonder is uh it puts you in the clothing that you're looking at buying.

So if you're looking at a shirt or a dress to buy, you can see yourself in that shirt or dress.

So the AI will put you in it.

Now that is very cool.

I I think I told you um when I was trying to invent my version since that was before AI could do this.

Uh, my version was to find somebody who looks just like you and found a nice shirt cuz there's always somebody who's exactly your size and would be confused for you if if you were in the same room.

So, you just find that person wherever they are on Earth.

And if they say, "Hey, I got a new outfit." Well, you just look at their outfit and say, "Well, if it works for you, it probably work for me.

But, uh, Google has a better one.

Um, now the, uh, Snap app has, uh, glasses.

So, they've got those, uh, augmented reality glasses.

And now there's a third party who's made an ad blocker for people wearing glasses in the real world.

You know, the the Snap special AI glasses.

So what it does is if you're walking past a advertisement in a window or a sign that has an advertisement, it blocks it.

So instead of blocking your ads on your online stuff, it blocks advertisements in the real world.

I don't know how many people need that.

I kind of I kind of don't mind advertisements in the real world.

I only I only dislike them when they're digital.

But anyway, that's that's a real product already.

Well, according to Fox News, Kurt Nutson, I think that's how you say his name, Nutson, um there's a robotrun convenience store called Venhub that's got two robotic arms that run around and grab whatever it is you've ordered on your app.

Now, I I can't tell if this is the beginning of something big or more of a novelty cuz, you know, there there's going to be this long period of time where people are trying out all kinds of cool AI robot things and some of them will be really successful and some of them will be novelties.

Uh, we don't know what this one will be, but we won't need human beings to run our convenience stores.

Uh, have you ever seen the uh the estimates of what is the biggest expense for a convenience store?

Now, other than buying the product, but the biggest expense you would think would be, you know, employee salaries, and it might be, it might be salaries, but right up near the top of the biggest expenses um are theft.

So if you can remove the employees from your convenience store, you get rid of the biggest expense, not just their salary, but what they steal.

All right.

Um Elon Musk says that uh Gro 4, the AI that uh that Elon's working on, Grock 4, the new upgrade is going to come out right after July 4th.

and Mus says it will reason from first principles.

Now that would be very different from what the large language models have done so far.

So is that going to be sort of a general intelligence?

Will um let me see if I can catch up on your comments.

Some of you are still saying you can't hear, but that's old news.

We fixed that.

Um, so that's kind of exciting.

Apparently, uh, the new Grock will be unmatched.

Um, it'll be better than all the other AIs.

But will it really be able to reason from first principles?

So, the large language models that exist, they just predict what the next word will be in the sentence.

They don't have any understanding.

But you wouldn't be able to reason from first principles, would you?

Unless you had some kind of general intelligence.

So maybe this is the beginning of something much bigger.

We don't know.

Um Meta has apparently successfully poached some really expensive highlevel AI people to go work on Meta's AI and leave open AI.

They've taken eight um key open AI researchers.

Uh Rowan Chung is writing about that.

Do you know how much that would cost?

Now remember I told you was fake news that they're paying $und00 million signing bonus.

That's not happening.

But it's probably a lot.

It's probably a lot.

So Meta is really serious about uh poaching high talent and it's working.

So you know how almost every show it seems like I tell you about a new laboratory um came up with a new battery improvement for your cars or whatever any battery and I always tell you but that doesn't mean anybody will ever build that battery.

So, there's probably a battery breakthrough every single day in some laboratory around the world.

But it turns out that uh Tesla has been working on their own upgraded battery.

So, they're uh just finishing a factory in Sparks, Nevada that'll have this new LFB battery.

So, lithium iron phosphate and they're safer and more affordable than traditional EV batteries.

That comes from Elon Musk.

So, while all these laboratories were talking about uh the improvements in batteries, it looks like Elon Musk was building an enormous factory to make a highly improved battery safer and uh cheaper.

All right, that that might be a real big deal.

So, if you're like me, you've had some trouble figuring out what the company Palunteer actually does cuz it seems to do a variety of different things that don't seem directly related to each other.

So, I really don't know what they do, but part of what they do has something to do with, you know, having a complete index of citizens or something, I don't know, something for the government.

But there's a new thing that apparently they've got a deal for and they're going to make a uh some software.

I don't know if they already have it or they're they're building it, but they have a deal for a 5-year period to build a software platform that will help with uh putting up nuclear power plants.

Now, if you're like me, you probably said to yourself, why do you need software to build like what would you need this the specialized software for?

And I don't know, but I could imagine that building a nuclear power plant is really, really hard and complicated.

And you should make sure you do the steps in the right order.

And it would be really good if you built a power plant that somebody had already built and got approved.

So probably it makes sure that you stay within approvable limits and probably it makes sure that you can do it faster because over time you could imagine each of the steps would be a little bit more automated or so might be a big deal if we could come up with a software platform where any state who wanted to build a new nuclear power plant you could just say all All right.

First, sign up for this Palunteer platform and it will tell you the rest of the stuff and make sure that you build a power plant that doesn't blow up, I guess.

So, that's kind of cool.

Uh, I saw a user on axe, uh, Farzad, who asked Elon Musk, uh, when does Tesla expect to get a 3:1 or more robotox robo taxi to supervisor ratio.

So, at the moment, um, I believe that the cars are being watched by human beings.

I don't know if that is the same as the safety person.

Um, so the the uh the robo taxis are testing in Austin.

They have a human being who sits in the front seat um just in case there's some problem I guess because it's still a test.

And are these supervisors slash tea operators are they remote?

So are they remote human beings who are looking through the cameras of your car to make sure that the car is operating safely?

So um Farzad says you when do you get down to 3:1 so that there are more more users than our supervisors and bus says probably within a month or two.

Uh, we continue to improve the Tesla AI with each mile of it.

So, I do love the fact that it seems impossible and then it seems possible, but it seems really hard.

But, uh, Musk is willing to push through all of that.

you know, however long it takes, however many people you have to have, you know, what how however many people you are going to be in danger, just nothing stops them.

I I love that.

So, you might and apparently the reason for the question is that the robo taxi would be, according to Farzad, wonderfully profitable once you get rid of the human the human supervisors.

So, we'll see.

Um, Trump says he was talking to Maria Bartama and he says that we'll have a buyer for Tik Tok um within two weeks.

Well, within two weeks they'll announce it, but he says they already have a group of quote very wealthy people, but it's not going to be sold unless China says yes.

So, you know, we're also doing a trade discussion with China.

So, will they say yes because the alternative they think is that Tik Tok will be closed?

I don't know.

I feel like the odds are against it.

So, I feel like even if there is an approved group of wealthy people approved by the US, they would not necessarily be approved by China to buy it.

So, um, that might get delayed again.

Well, you probably heard, um, that there was some crazy shooter in Cord Alen, Idaho, who has now been neutralized.

I guess he was such a bastard, he set a fire to attract the fire department and then he shot three of them.

Three of the the firemen.

Two of them died, one of them was in bad shape.

And uh I guess his shooter is already dead.

I didn't see if the cops got him or he got himself, but the the threat has been neutralized.

Now, before you say, is that some kind of Iranian sleeper cell?

U I have no idea, but it doesn't sound like it.

If you were if you were a terrorist, you wouldn't do something where just a few people come to a remote forest and then you kill them.

He didn't shoot himself, people say.

Um, you would go into a crowded area and, you know, make as much noise as you could.

So, it doesn't have it doesn't have Iranian terrorists written all over it.

Um, I see that some of you looking at the comments, some of you know more about the story than I did because I just uh I just skimmed it before I came on.

All right, so sorry about the uh victims, but it looks like the threat has been neutralized or neutralized itself.

According to a Rasmmanson poll um that will be released this morning um 48% of the people pled I think those are usually you know voters in the United States um 48% support a special prosecutor to look into the 2020 election.

Now hold that in your head for a minute.

48% of the of the people pled, I guess that would be adults in the United States, uh 48% who think it's worth having a special prosecutor look into the 2020 election.

Now, that would probably be pretty much every Republican and maybe a few independents thrown in there, too.

So, correct me if I'm wrong, but it wasn't that long ago that if you even suggested that the 2020 election might not have been pristine, you you were just you were just cancelled.

You got sued.

It was a terrible, terrible thing to say.

And now even Ros O'Donnell is saying, you know, I think the 2024 election should be looked into.

So, we've managed to go all the way from there is no way that an election in the United States could be rigged because we have so many so many ways to check it.

It's going all the way to we're pretty sure that we should look into this.

That's a really big change in in public opinion.

A really big change.

And I wonder if what would happen to the January 6 hoax if they actually found something big about the 2020 election?

What would happen to it?

Cuz remember people like Bill Maher who were were still in serious TDS.

They believe that the reason the reason that Republicans mostly uh stormed the capital on January 6th, they believe the reason is that those citizens thought that they had genuinely lost the election but wanted to take over the country with their preferred leader Trump.

Anyway, now those of you who are not in TDS know full well that that never happened.

What I mean is there were not people who believed that that the election was uh fair who were protesting.

There were only people who genuinely believed and they could have been wrong.

They might have been wrong, but they genuinely believed that the election was obviously rigged and they were trying to delay things until we could at least find out if that was true.

So going from uh going from January 6 was an insurrection which assumes there's no way to question the accuracy of an election.

That's that's just off the table.

All the way to 48% want a special prosecutor to look into it.

And by the way 2024 might have been a little sketchy too.

That is a big big change in public opinion.

Anyway, um as you know, the supreme leader of Iran uh was immediately upon the uh the beginning of uh military action by Israel was uh taken by his military and put in their most secure bunker.

Do you know what their most secure bunker is called?

Fordau.

Okay, that's just a joke.

He was not put in Forau.

But it's kind of funny to imagine that his own military would put him in the best bunker they have.

Oh, we got a bunker that nobody could ever bust.

Why don't you put me in the bunker that's near my house?

Oh, no, no, no.

That bunker is not nearly good enough.

You got to be in the good one.

The one that's so that's so secure that even two bunker busters would not destroy it.

Would 12 bunker busters destroy it?

Stop asking questions and get in this car.

We're taking you to Fort.

Okay, that didn't happen, but it would have been funny.

However, according to Fox News, um, and people watching the satellite imagery of the Ford site, Iran is getting busy there.

So, it looks like they're trying to clear the roads and the entrances.

And we don't know what else they're doing, but let me ask you this question.

Would they spend a lot of time trying to dig stuff out of the ground if they didn't think there was some chance that important stuff survived?

Would they?

Were there human beings in Florida?

There might have been.

So, you know, maybe they want to, you know, get the bodies out to give them a proper burial.

Maybe.

Or is it possible that they think there's a secret wellprotected pocket somewhere in there that there might be some good stuff if they could find it?

We don't know, but they're they're not ignoring the site.

They're digging around.

So, they're up to something.

We'll keep an eye on them.

Meanwhile, in another other part of Iran in Tehran, uh CNN is reporting that there was a ceremony where women would show up with their babies.

So, there'd be a giant crowd of women who each had a baby and they would hold their baby up in the air and uh pledge their baby's life to martyrdom.

So, basically, it was mothers saying, "Yes, kill my baby." presumably mostly sons, I guess, maybe.

Um, so martyrdom is a pretty big concept in Iran still.

So if you're wondering, hey, I wonder if they're done fighting.

Well, I'm guessing not.

I'm guessing not because they don't have a concept of losing a fight.

The people who stop fighting, it's because they understand the concept that they lost the fight.

In Iran, apparently, they don't have that concept.

You either win or you die a martyr and that's the other way to win.

Or your child dies as a martyr.

That's another way to win.

So Iran needs to learn that there's a way to lose a war, too.

because otherwise there's just going to be more of it.

So that's suboptimal.

Well, in related news, Iran's top Shiite cleric, who is another million-year-old guy, he looks like he's already dead, has issued a fatwa against Trump and Netanyahu.

Now the fatwa is basically you know giving people permission for violence against them.

But why would it be that the top cleric issued a fatwa whereas is that something that the supreme leader normally does or could do or would endorse or wouldn't endorse?

So, it brings me back to my central question.

Is the Supreme Leader still in charge of that country?

Because I don't believe it.

I believe he's been nudged aside and that the military is already in charge.

That's that's my belief at the moment.

I could be wrong.

I wouldn't say 100%.

But if I had to put a percentage on it, 60 to 70% chance that the supreme leader is already moved aside or nudged aside.

He might still think he's in charge, but maybe the reality is a little different.

All right.

Um, according to Newsmax World, um, Israel has, uh, postponed the trial that Netanyahu was in.

So, he was accused of various corruption, uh, things.

And you remember that Trump was making some social media noise saying that uh they should stop lawfairing Netanyahu because he likes working with Netanyahu apparently.

Now remember I said when I was talking about it yesterday I guess I said uh is it even like a possibility that the Israel uh judicial system will look at a truth social post by Trump and then cancel the trial.

And I was kind of kind of mocking that as even a strategy.

Like why would Trump even think that could possibly work?

like why would he waste any time on something that couldn't possibly happen and then it got postponed.

Now we don't know why it got postponed.

It has something to do with Israel's you know vital interests um probably something military something about security but uh the court actually postponed it.

Now, postpone doesn't mean Netanyahu's out of trouble, but are these related?

Is is it possible that Trump's message actually made a difference or or was Netanyahu and his legal team working on this all the whole time and you know, they just had a breakthrough that the court was willing to accept?

I don't know, but it does seem like a bit of a coincidence that when Trump talks up, you know, speaks up about it, Israel suddenly is acting different than you imagine they would act.

So, we'll keep an eye on that.

Well, the big beautiful bill, as Trump likes to call it, uh lots of infighting going on.

Um, the two people who were not in favor of it are Ran Paul and uh Tom Tillis in the Senate, but Tillis has already he just announced that he's not going to run for reelection.

Uh, I guess Trump criticized him in recent posts and said he was going to encourage a potential primary challenger.

And if you've been paying attention to Tom Tillis lately, you probably said to yourself, he's acting like somebody who doesn't want to run for reelection.

Well, turns out he didn't.

Um, so and then I believe that uh all right, I believe it was uh Laura Trump who is being considered as his potential replacement in North Carolina.

He's North Carolina, right?

Do I have that right?

Well, so he's going away.

Um, and Rand Paul, he says he's basically above it because it increases the debt and he is opposed to anything that increases the debt.

So, not only does it push up the debt limit by five trillion, but depending on how you do the math and what weasel methods you use, it either increases the budget deficit by $3.3 trillion over the next 10 years.

That's what the CBO says.

But the Republicans have come up with some kind of new math that turned that 3.3 trillion into into you know nothing.

So what they do is they say well if we don't um increase taxes that's not a change so you don't count that.

Even though it would increase the deficit, they found a way to pretend that it that that would be counting the counting the dollars wrong.

Oh my god.

Yeah, it's as bad as you think.

So, I think Rand Paul's on the right track there.

Um Trump has said that if it doesn't get passed uh it will mean a 68% tax hike without the big beautiful bill.

How many of you believe that if the big beautiful bill doesn't get passed that we're going to have a 68% tax hike?

How in the world do you calculate that?

That's that that's not even slightly possible.

Anyway, but that number is out there now.

I was uh curious how the media would summarize the bill because I have a uh hypothesis that when it comes to public support um all that will matter is these summarizers because there's something like 25 different topics that the big beautiful bill addresses.

But if you do a if you read a story about it, it's not going to list 25 things and tell you what people think about each of those elements.

They're going to pick out what they think are the, you know, the topline things.

So I was looking at the Wall Street Journal and I was curious how they would summarize the bill.

So this is their summary and you could tell I think from the summary um not 100% with certainty but it's suggestive of what the public will think about it because the media tells the public what their opinions are and if the media has summarized it one way versus another way you could kind of know what the at least their readers will uh think of it.

So, Wall Street Journal says broadly, so this would be just sort of a broad summary of the bill, the mega bill would extend tax cuts and boost defense and border funding while cutting spending on Medicaid and food aid.

It would add nearly 3.3 trillion to deficits compared to current law and compared to letting the tax cuts expire as they would otherwise.

Now, if if you knew that that was the only thing that the public would know about this bill, would it pass?

Nope.

Because the Democrats are going to look at the part where they say Medicaid and food aid will be cut and they're going to say, "Nope." And then the Republicans will look at the part where it's adding to the deficit by 3.3 trillion and they'll say, "Nope.

So, the Wall Street Journal has given both sides reason to say no.

You know, even if you like extending tax cuts and boosting defense and military, you probably rank those lower than these other hot items like Medicaid and food aid and deficit.

If you ask me, the deficit is more important than all the other stuff.

So, that would suggest there's going to be a little bit of trouble getting this approved and making it popular enough that Republicans can do well in the midterms.

Um, all right.

So, they're using weasel math to uh to make it look like they're not increasing the deficit, but every reasonable person thinks that they are.

Um, all right.

So, and I guess Tom Tillis is opposed to the Medicaid cuts as well.

Yeah.

And Laura Trump is seriously considering running for the North Carolina seat.

I believe she's from North Carolina but doesn't live there presently.

How long how much time do you need to go live someplace and have that as your main residence before you can run for the Senate?

Do you have to have just mailing address there?

Like what is the requirement for residency?

I don't know, but um it might happen.

And they say if she ran she would win easily.

I believe that.

Well, you know that uh Canada had said it was going to charge American tech companies with some kind of digital sales tax.

And Trump said, "If you're going to do a digital sales tax on our companies, we're going to cancel our our trade negotiations and just send you the bill." The bill would be here's what your tariffs are.

We're done negotiating.

and Canada said,"Well, maybe we'll drop that digital sales tax thing so we can negotiate." So, that worked.

Trump threatened them with uh with some tariff badness and Canada said, "All right, wait, wait, hold on, hold on.

All right, we'll we'll put that in pause and we'll go back to the negotiating table." But uh Europe on the other hand um still has one of these digital um these digital services taxes.

So they have not dropped it yet, but they're still negotiating.

But Trump says he's going to deal with Europe and the C all the countries that have not made deals yet, which is most of them, uh just by sending them tariff letters and telling them what they're going to pay.

So on July 9th, the current extension of u you know tariffs being held off until the negotiations were done.

Um that after July 9th, Trump is going to say um you can negotiate if you want.

We're open to negotiating, but until then here here's your bill for tariffs.

Um, apparently the the NATO agreement for the NATO countries to spend more going from 2% of their GDP up to 5% over time um might be one of the things that solves the the trade negotiations between Europe and the US because one of the big issues for Trump was that uh there was a big trade imbalance.

So, uh, we they weren't buying enough of our stuff, but the NATO increase, uh, a lot of that money will go to my American arms.

And so, just on its own, it's going to close that, uh, is going to do a lot of work to close that trade deficit.

So, the NATO stuff could have the weird effect of making the trade talks work better.

Um and let's see what else has happened.

Um Trump is also mad at Japan because uh Japan's also got a big trade deficit with us.

Meaning meaning that we buy more of their stuff than they buy from us.

And that could get fixed according to Reuters.

Um Trump is suggesting that they buy more of our energy.

Now, I don't know if there's any limitations to how much of our oil and gas they could buy, but uh that would be one way to fix it.

And uh if not, I guess they'll just get a bill.

So, Trump will send the bill for the tariffs.

Um, so there was a headline that um, Jake Tapper and CNN has conceded on the air that Trump has achieved, and this is his own words, Jake Tapper, what may be empirically, the best week of his presidency so far.

Now, isn't that an interesting way to remove credit from Trump?

They're saying it might be the best week of his presidency.

So the comparison is not leaders everywhere or presidents, you know, all the presidents we've ever had, which is what I think is the proper comparison.

They're comparing him to himself so that you don't have to give him too much credit.

It's like, well, you know, for his presidency that that was a good week.

So, it was reported like like Jake Tapper was finally giving him credit.

Well, I don't think he did.

I I think he just he said, you know, even Trump is going to have a good week compared to Trump.

So, it was sort of a compliment without the compliment.

Anyway, so uh Tapper mentioned the Supreme Court victories expanding his power, the DAO being at a high and the ceasefire between Israel and Iran and uh and in Rwanda, the Congo Rwanda thing.

So even Jake Tapper is seeing that Trump had a good week, although he should have compared him to other leaders, not to himself.

Senator Chris Murphy, who is becoming like the Grinch of the Democrats.

He he's one of these uh angry angry pundits.

You can always get an angry comment out of him.

He was asked if uh he gives Trump any credit for getting the border under control.

Now, if you were asked on camera in public, could you give Trump any credit for getting the border under control?

How in the world could you spin that into something negative for Trump?

if you had to do it as like an assignment.

I said, "It's not what you believe, but just as an assignment, could you come up with an argument that Trump has failed at the border?" Well, I I wouldn't be able to do it, but uh Chris Murphy, he says no, he's not going to give Trump credit for the border crossings being low because uh Trump administration is violating the law to get there.

And the law that he says that's being violated is the law that allows people to apply for asylum.

You know, I guess he was part of voting on that law.

So, I I didn't know this, but it sounds like the Trump administration has done something, probably an executive order, I'm guessing, that uh says you can't you cannot easily apply for asylum because that's the part that was being abused.

Everybody was just saying, "Oh, asylum." And then you could get into the country and stay here for, you know, years waiting for your asylum hearing.

And then once the asylum hearing happens, you probably in at least in the old days, you could have snuck away and stayed in the country anyway.

So that's what he's arguing for.

So the best the Democrats have, and he's one of their smarter people, the best they have is arguing against process again, except that the process was completely corrupted.

So they're not just arguing for a good process, which you could understand.

Oh, well, we had this good process, so they should be following our good process.

It was the worst process ever.

It literally effectively opened our border to anybody who wanted to walk in and claim that they were, you know, asking for asylum.

So once again, the Democrats have been I I don't even want to say tricked because they're doing it themselves.

They're taking the 80 the the 20% view on another 8020 again.

And and again, they're not arguing about the part that people care about.

Was the border open before?

Yes.

Has the border now been closed?

Yes.

That's where the public is.

Do you think that we really give a about some uh some asylum thing that might be getting gamed by the the Trump administration and I don't even know if it's being gamed or if they have, you know, solid legal standing.

It doesn't matter to me.

Does it matter to you?

I only care that they closed it.

It was an immediate security threat, an existential threat to the country.

You think I care that he bent a rule if he did?

I don't know if he did, but oh my god, how could he be so immensely tonedeaf that you can't at least say, "All right, it was good on the border, but we have all these other issues." Democrats.

Wow.

Well, uh, Tyler Winklevoss, an ex was saying, uh, quote, "I was wondering what happened to the LA riots.

They just stopped all of a sudden.

Makes sense.

They were never organic, just NGO funded propaganda." Well, apparently, and I don't know if this is related, but apparently at about the same time that the uh FBI and the IRS announced that they were going to look into who was funding the protests, the protest stopped.

Now, did the protests get what they wanted?

Did they make ICE stop doing what it was doing?

No.

Did they get anything they were demanding?

Not that I'm aware of.

So why did these massive protests just stop?

Well, my guess is that Tyler Winklevoss is exactly right and that uh the people funding it stopped funding it.

We don't know that for sure, but it looks like it.

So look how much we've grown up since 2016.

In 2016, if I had seen a national protest, you know, like Black Lives Matter, I would have thought it was organic.

I would have known that, you know, George Soros might be paying for some signs and stuff like that, but I would have thought for the most part it's organic.

It's just getting a little boost from money people.

But now I don't think that at all.

Now I think that none of them are organic and that all it is is you know fake protests and you just wait a few days and it stops, especially if you talk about who funded it.

So we're much more uh I think understanding that these protests are fake and you can just wait them out.

Um, I saw a uh an analysis on ex I don't know if it was done by somebody else, but uh Daniel Greenfield um tells us that only 5% of New Yorkers voted for the socialist candidate Mani.

Now remember, he's not elected mayor yet.

He only got through the primaries.

But the primaries are now something where most people vote and there weren't any Republicans voting because it was a Democrat primary.

So if you go through the math as Daniel Greenfield did and you look at, you know, only only Democrats and then you take out the votes for the other candidates he was running against and um etc.

only 5% of the city voted for him and he's overwhelmingly favored to win.

Now, does that does that track does it make sense to you that only 5% voted for him, but he's overwhelmingly favored to win?

It could be.

It could be if the 5% is sort of accidentally a good, you know, polling proxy for the larger market.

It could be.

And remember, the Democrats matter more than Republicans just because it's a Democrat town.

So, who whoever gets nominated as a Democrat is overwhelmingly likely to become the next mayor.

But uh it is possible uh at least this number opens up the possibility that the city could come to its senses and realize that you know he's not the best solution.

Um let's see here are some things he said.

So uh Trump is trying to label him a communist which I think is hilarious.

I don't believe he's technically qualifies as a communist, but communist is sort of the nword for socialist.

You know what I mean?

It's the word you're not supposed to use cuz it's going too far.

Um, but it's, you know, socialism sounds like maybe something you might want, whereas communism sounds like something nobody wants.

So, it is pretty good.

It's good branding.

But uh I don't know if he technically qualifies as a communist.

Um so here's what uh some one of the things that mom Dani said he was asked I guess he'd made previous comments that we shouldn't have billionaires.

And so he was asked you know to comment on that and he said I don't think that we should have billionaires.

And then he talked about fairness.

If some people are billionaires, that that's obviously a sign of an unfair system.

Now, do you remember what I always say about fairness?

U I've been saying this for years.

Fairness is a concept that was invented so that idiots and children have something to talk about.

Smart people don't really start with fairness as their standard.

And the reason is nobody agrees what fair is.

If you could get two people to agree what fair looks like.

Well, maybe, you know, maybe you could use that as your standard, but not really.

In the real world, we don't agree.

Do you think it's fair that somebody could work hard and make more money and then it could be taken away and given to somebody who didn't work hard and didn't make much money?

Is that fair?

Well, depends who you ask.

So, there's no universal standard of fairness.

If there were, well, then maybe I would say, "Yeah, go ahead and use that under some circumstance." But if nobody can even agree what fairness looks like, you can't use that as a standard, that just allows you to do anything you want and just say, "Well, I've decided this is what fair looks like." So, he wants to tax white people more.

Uh, specifically, he said tax the whiter neighborhoods more.

And now he wants to get rid of billionaires.

So, billionaire um Bill Aman was not too happy about that.

Um and now the other thing that I noticed today is I saw more anti-Muslim um commentary on X than I have ever seen before.

I think today was the high the the high limit of it.

Now, I'm not going to say that the commentary was unfair because it talked about, for example, the practices of the Iraqi uh Muslim population.

And I won't repeat some of the things that were claimed as being standard operating procedure for that uh that group of people uh because it's too horrible.

And I don't know how much is real and how much is, you know, certain people, but not everybody.

I don't know any of that.

But I will tell you that probably because of mom Donnie and maybe because of the Israel Iran conflict, um, I'm seeing people who would never have said these things out loud just going right at the Muslim culture problem.

Now my take on it is not that I'm judging anybody as being good or bad because you know who am I to judge anything but it's easy to say that the systems are not compatible.

You you can't just take a bunch of you know hardened Sharia law Muslims and drop them in the community with your non-Muslims.

It wouldn't matter what else they were if they were just anything else.

It's never going to work.

So while obviously there are tons of u Muslim citizens in this country who don't have any radical thoughts, they're not breaking any laws or not offending you in any way and they're completely, you know, part of the American experience.

Um, but we can all agree that the hardcore Muslim version just will never be compatible with, you know, the American cultural experience.

So unless uh unless the Muslims are the ones who are conforming so that they can fit into the current system, the system would have to change if you got enough people who demanded that change.

So it does seem like u there is more anti-Muslim content than I've ever seen before, but I'm not going to judge that.

It could be because this is the time to talk about it.

Well, there's a story that the the Mexican cartel hired a hacker, I guess, one of their own hackers to hack into the phone of um of an FBI assistant legal attach who was at a US embassy and he broke into the phone remotely.

So I think the only way you can do that is by sending somebody a file that they click on and it can take over their phone.

So that's probably what happened.

But they got into the phone and then they found the names of um informants.

Uh but of course the informants are who the cartel wants to kill.

So they found the name of the informants.

But then, and this is the impressive part, the same hacker hacked into the public camera system in Mexico so they could track uh where the guy who owned the phone, they could track him in public.

So, it was just like a TV show.

So, they got into his phone and they knew who who he was looking for, you know, who his informants were.

And then they could see him actually on the street and who he met with.

And that allowed them the confirmation to go out and kill the informant.

Uh I don't know if they successfully killed any, but that was that was a risk.

That's uh this is like one of those stories I read about a serial killer who who, you know, got away with it for decades and had a you know, a torture thing built in his backyard underground.

And I think, well, you know, I I certainly can't approve of the serial killer, but I got to say he's got some good work ethic there.

So, this hacker, I have the same feeling.

I do not approve of him breaking into phones, and I don't approve of his hacking, and I certainly don't approve that he's helping the cartels kill informants.

But I have to admit, that took some skill.

It was a lot of skill to do those two things.

So, there's that.

I guess the uh Duke Law School Law Journal, they sent a secret memo to minority applicants telling them they'd get extra points if they write about their race.

So, they were being coached on how to do DEI without DEI.

So they they presumably are not allowed to ask, you know, what's your race and then take that into account for admissions, but they would be allowed to read a uh to read an essay that all the applicants have to write.

So they're saying, you know, if you're going to write the essay, you might as well put something in that essay about your race.

Why?

Don't ask why.

Just put it in there.

Trust us.

We'll take care of it.

So, they're in trouble.

The Free Beacon is reporting on this.

All right, ladies and gentlemen.

It's a lazy summer Monday and the regular news is boring cuz the big beautiful bill.

I'm so tired of that damn thing.

I don't know if it'll ever be passed, but I'm definitely tired of it.

Um, I got worn down.

However, because uh Trump is still your president and the world is a crazy place, I would expect there to be some big news that breaks because there always is.

On the other hand, it's entirely possible that because the news business will be going on vacation for the 4th of July that there just won't be much news cuz you know your news is mostly mostly fake.

It's based on real stuff usually, but um the news decides what to get get you worked up about.

And so if enough of the frontline people are on vacation, you you're not going to get worked up because they won't do the kind of content that gets you worked up.

So we might be entering the boring phase of the summer or there will be another gigantic war possible.

All things are possible.

All right, that's all I have for you today.

I'm going to say hi to my beloved local subscribers and uh stock market's not doing so well.

Um all right, good.

All right, locals, I'm coming at you privately.

The rest of you, I hope to see you tomorrow.

Same time, same place.

All right.

All

right, that should help.

There's a uh there's a button on here

for sound that you press two different

ways

and so it fools you. Well, I'm glad

you're here. I'm glad you waited for the

uh the seven to come on.

That's better. All right. You happy now?

There we go.

Um it was great the whole time. No, it

wasn't.

Nice try.

All right.

Good morning everyone and welcome to the

highlight of human civilization. It's

called Coffee with Scott Adams and

you've never had a better time. But if

you'd like to take this experience

up to levels that no one can even

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Well, all you need for that is a copper

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Go.

All right. Well, we're off to a slow

start, but way do you see the finish?

Oh, gets better every minute.

Well, the uh political news is a little

bit boring today. So, it'll be a little

bit more about technology.

Google has uh released a new app called

Doppel

DPL,

which is weird because years ago I tried

to create this app and the name I had

picked for it was Doppelganger.

So they they've actually recreated an

app that I had actually formed a company

and tried to create years ago before AI.

So theirs works a lot better than mine,

but it's called Doppel.

And what it does since you probably

wonder is uh it puts you in the clothing

that you're looking at buying. So if

you're looking at a shirt or a dress to

buy, you can see yourself in that shirt

or dress. So the AI will put you in it.

Now that is very cool. I I think I told

you um when I was trying to invent my

version since that was before AI could

do this. Uh, my version was to find

somebody who looks just like you and

found a nice shirt cuz there's always

somebody who's exactly your size and

would be confused for you if if you were

in the same room. So, you just find that

person wherever they are on Earth. And

if they say, "Hey, I got a new outfit."

Well, you just look at their outfit and

say, "Well, if it works for you, it

probably work for me.

But, uh, Google has a better one. Um,

now the, uh, Snap app has, uh, glasses.

So, they've got those, uh, augmented

reality glasses. And now there's a third

party who's made an ad blocker for

people wearing glasses in the real

world. You know, the the Snap special AI

glasses. So what it does is if you're

walking past a advertisement in a window

or a sign that has an advertisement, it

blocks it.

So instead of blocking your ads on your

online stuff, it blocks advertisements

in the real world.

I don't know how many people need that.

I kind of I kind of don't mind

advertisements in the real world. I only

I only dislike them when they're

digital.

But anyway, that's that's a real product

already.

Well, according to Fox News, Kurt

Nutson, I think that's how you say his

name, Nutson,

um there's a robotrun convenience store

called Venhub that's got two robotic

arms that run around and grab whatever

it is you've ordered on your app.

Now,

I I can't tell if this is the beginning

of something big or more of a novelty

cuz, you know, there there's going to be

this long period of time where people

are trying out all kinds of cool AI

robot things and some of them will be

really successful and some of them will

be novelties.

Uh, we don't know what this one will be,

but we won't need human beings to run

our convenience stores. Uh, have you

ever seen the uh the estimates of what

is the biggest expense for a convenience

store?

Now, other than buying the product, but

the biggest expense you would think

would be, you know, employee salaries,

and it might be, it might be salaries,

but right up near the top of the biggest

expenses

um are theft. So if you can remove the

employees from your convenience store,

you get rid of the biggest expense, not

just their salary, but what they steal.

All right.

Um Elon Musk says that uh Gro 4, the AI

that uh that Elon's working on, Grock 4,

the new upgrade is going to come out

right after July 4th.

and Mus says it will reason from first

principles.

Now that would be very different from

what the large language models have done

so far. So is that going to be sort of a

general intelligence?

Will

um let me see if I can catch up on your

comments. Some of you are still saying

you can't hear, but that's old news. We

fixed that.

Um,

so that's kind of exciting. Apparently,

uh, the new Grock will be unmatched.

Um, it'll be better than all the other

AIs. But will it really be able to

reason from first principles? So, the

large language models that exist,

they just predict what the next word

will be in the sentence. They don't have

any understanding. But you wouldn't be

able to reason from first principles,

would you?

Unless you had some kind of general

intelligence. So maybe this is the

beginning of something much bigger. We

don't know.

Um Meta has apparently successfully

poached some really expensive highlevel

AI people to go work on Meta's AI and

leave open AI. They've taken eight um

key open AI researchers.

Uh Rowan Chung is writing about that. Do

you know how much that would cost? Now

remember I told you was fake news that

they're paying $und00 million signing

bonus. That's not happening. But it's

probably a lot.

It's probably a lot. So Meta is really

serious about uh poaching high talent

and it's working.

So you know how almost every show it

seems like I tell you about a new

laboratory

um came up with a new battery

improvement for your cars or whatever

any battery and I always tell you but

that doesn't mean anybody will ever

build that battery. So, there's probably

a battery breakthrough every single day

in some laboratory around the world. But

it turns out that uh Tesla has been

working on their own upgraded battery.

So, they're uh just finishing a factory

in Sparks, Nevada that'll have this new

LFB battery.

So, lithium iron phosphate

and they're safer and more affordable

than traditional EV batteries.

That comes from Elon Musk. So, while all

these laboratories were talking about uh

the improvements in batteries, it looks

like Elon Musk was building an enormous

factory to make a highly improved

battery safer and uh cheaper. All right,

that that might be a real big deal.

So, if you're like me, you've had some

trouble figuring out what the company

Palunteer actually does

cuz it seems to do a variety of

different things that don't seem

directly related to each other. So, I

really don't know what they do, but part

of what they do has something to do

with, you know, having a complete index

of

citizens or something, I don't know,

something for the government. But

there's a new thing that apparently

they've got a deal for

and they're going to make a uh some

software. I don't know if they already

have it or they're they're building it,

but they have a deal for a 5-year period

to build a software platform that will

help with uh putting up nuclear power

plants.

Now, if you're like me, you probably

said to yourself, why do you need

software to build

like what would you need this the

specialized software for? And I don't

know, but I could imagine that building

a nuclear power plant is really, really

hard and complicated.

And you should make sure you do the

steps in the right order. And it would

be really good if you built a power

plant that somebody had already built

and got approved.

So probably it makes sure that you stay

within approvable limits

and probably it makes sure that you can

do it faster because over time you could

imagine each of the steps would be a

little bit more automated or so might be

a big deal if we could come up with a

software platform

where any state who wanted to build a

new nuclear power plant you could just

say all All right. First, sign up for

this Palunteer platform and it will tell

you the rest of the stuff and make sure

that you build a power plant that

doesn't blow up, I guess.

So, that's kind of cool.

Uh, I saw a user on axe,

uh, Farzad, who asked Elon Musk, uh,

when does Tesla expect to get a 3:1 or

more robotox robo taxi to supervisor

ratio. So, at the moment,

um, I believe that the cars are being

watched by human beings. I don't know if

that is the same as the safety person.

Um, so the the uh the robo taxis are

testing in Austin. They have a human

being who sits in the front seat um just

in case there's some problem I guess

because it's still a test.

And are these supervisors slash tea

operators are they remote?

So are they remote human beings who are

looking through the cameras of your car

to make sure that the car is operating

safely?

So

um Farzad says you when do you get down

to 3:1 so that there are more more users

than our supervisors and bus says

probably within a month or two.

Uh, we continue to improve the Tesla AI

with each mile of it.

So, I do love

the fact that it seems impossible and

then it seems possible, but it seems

really hard. But, uh, Musk is willing to

push through all of that. you know,

however long it takes, however many

people you have to have,

you know, what how however many people

you are going to be in danger, just

nothing stops them. I I love that. So,

you might and apparently the reason for

the question is that the robo taxi would

be, according to Farzad, wonderfully

profitable once you get rid of the human

the human supervisors.

So, we'll see.

Um, Trump says he was talking to Maria

Bartama and he says that we'll have a

buyer for Tik Tok

um within two weeks. Well, within two

weeks they'll announce it, but he says

they already have a group of quote very

wealthy people, but it's not going to be

sold unless China says yes.

So, you know, we're also doing a trade

discussion with China. So, will they say

yes

because the alternative they think is

that Tik Tok will be closed?

I don't know. I feel like the odds are

against it. So, I feel like even if

there is an approved group of wealthy

people approved by the US, they would

not necessarily be approved by China to

buy it. So, um, that might get delayed

again.

Well, you probably heard, um, that there

was some crazy shooter in Cord Alen,

Idaho, who has now been neutralized. I

guess he was such a bastard, he set a

fire to attract the fire department and

then he shot three of them. Three of the

the firemen. Two of them died, one of

them was in bad shape.

And uh I guess his shooter is already

dead. I didn't see if the cops got him

or he got himself, but the the threat

has been neutralized.

Now, before you say,

is that some kind of Iranian sleeper

cell? U I have no idea, but it doesn't

sound like it. If you were if you were a

terrorist, you wouldn't do something

where just a few people come to a remote

forest and then you kill them. He didn't

shoot himself, people say.

Um, you would go into a crowded area

and, you know, make as much noise as you

could. So, it doesn't have

it doesn't have Iranian terrorists

written all over it.

Um, I see that some of you looking at

the comments, some of you know more

about the story than I did because I

just uh I just skimmed it before I came

on.

All right, so

sorry about the uh victims, but it looks

like the threat has been neutralized or

neutralized itself.

According to a Rasmmanson poll um that

will be released this morning

um 48% of the people pled I think those

are usually you know voters in the

United States um 48% support a special

prosecutor to look into the 2020

election.

Now hold that in your head for a minute.

48%

of the of the people pled, I guess that

would be adults in the United States, uh

48%

who think it's worth having a special

prosecutor look into the 2020 election.

Now, that would probably be pretty much

every Republican

and maybe a few independents thrown in

there, too. So,

correct me if I'm wrong, but it wasn't

that long ago that if you even suggested

that the 2020 election might not have

been pristine, you you were just you

were just cancelled. You got sued. It

was a terrible, terrible thing to say.

And now even Ros O'Donnell is saying,

you know, I think the 2024 election

should be looked into.

So, we've managed to go all the way from

there is no way that an election in the

United States could be rigged because we

have so many so many ways to check it.

It's going all the way to we're pretty

sure that we should look into this.

That's a really big change in in public

opinion. A really big change. And I

wonder if what would happen to the

January 6 hoax

if they actually found something big

about the 2020 election? What would

happen to it? Cuz remember people like

Bill Maher who were were still in

serious TDS.

They believe that the reason the reason

that Republicans mostly uh stormed the

capital on January 6th, they believe the

reason is that those citizens thought

that they had genuinely lost the

election but wanted to take over the

country with their preferred leader

Trump. Anyway,

now those of you who are not in TDS know

full well that that never happened.

What I mean is there were not people who

believed that that the election was uh

fair

who were protesting.

There were only people who genuinely

believed and they could have been wrong.

They might have been wrong, but they

genuinely believed that the election was

obviously rigged and they were trying to

delay things until we could at least

find out if that was true.

So

going from uh going from January 6 was

an insurrection which assumes there's no

way to question the accuracy of an

election. That's that's just off the

table. All the way to 48% want a special

prosecutor to look into it. And by the

way 2024 might have been a little

sketchy too.

That is a big big change in public

opinion.

Anyway,

um

as you know, the supreme leader of Iran

uh was immediately upon the uh the

beginning of uh military action by

Israel was uh taken by his military and

put in their most secure bunker.

Do you know what their most secure

bunker is called?

Fordau.

Okay, that's just a joke. He was not put

in Forau. But it's kind of funny to

imagine that his own military would put

him in the best bunker they have. Oh, we

got a bunker that nobody could ever

bust. Why don't you put me in the bunker

that's near my house? Oh, no, no, no.

That bunker is not nearly good enough.

You got to be in the good one. The one

that's so that's so secure that even two

bunker busters would not destroy it.

Would 12 bunker busters destroy it? Stop

asking questions and get in this car.

We're taking you to Fort. Okay, that

didn't happen, but it would have been

funny.

However, according to Fox News,

um, and people watching the satellite

imagery of the Ford site, Iran is

getting busy there. So, it looks like

they're trying to clear the roads and

the entrances.

And we don't know what else they're

doing, but let me ask you this question.

Would they spend a lot of time trying to

dig stuff out of the ground if they

didn't think there was some chance that

important stuff survived?

Would they? Were there human beings in

Florida? There might have been. So, you

know, maybe they want to, you know, get

the bodies out to give them a proper

burial. Maybe.

Or is it possible that they think

there's a secret wellprotected pocket

somewhere in there that there might be

some good stuff if they could find it?

We don't know, but they're they're not

ignoring the site. They're digging

around. So, they're up to something.

We'll keep an eye on them. Meanwhile, in

another other part of Iran in Tehran,

uh CNN is reporting that there was a

ceremony where women would show up with

their babies. So, there'd be a giant

crowd of women who each had a baby and

they would hold their baby up in the air

and uh pledge their baby's life to

martyrdom.

So, basically, it was mothers saying,

"Yes, kill my baby." presumably mostly

sons, I guess, maybe. Um,

so martyrdom is a pretty big concept in

Iran still. So if you're wondering, hey,

I wonder if they're done fighting. Well,

I'm guessing not. I'm guessing not

because they don't have a concept of

losing a fight.

The people who stop fighting, it's

because they understand the concept that

they lost the fight.

In Iran, apparently, they don't have

that concept. You either win

or you die a martyr and that's the other

way to win. Or your child dies as a

martyr. That's another way to win. So

Iran needs to learn that there's a way

to lose a war, too.

because otherwise there's just going to

be more of it. So that's suboptimal.

Well, in related news, Iran's top Shiite

cleric, who is another million-year-old

guy, he looks like he's already dead,

has issued a fatwa

against Trump and Netanyahu.

Now the fatwa is basically you know

giving people permission for violence

against them.

But

why would it be that the top cleric

issued a fatwa

whereas is that something that the

supreme leader normally does or could do

or would endorse or wouldn't endorse?

So, it brings me back to my central

question.

Is the Supreme Leader still in charge of

that country? Because I don't believe

it. I believe he's been nudged aside and

that the military is already in charge.

That's that's my belief at the moment. I

could be wrong. I wouldn't say 100%.

But if I had to put a percentage on it,

60 to 70% chance that the supreme leader

is already moved aside or nudged aside.

He might still think he's in charge, but

maybe the reality is a little different.

All right. Um, according to Newsmax

World,

um, Israel has, uh, postponed the trial

that Netanyahu was in. So, he was

accused of various corruption, uh,

things. And you remember that Trump was

making some social media noise saying

that uh they should stop lawfairing

Netanyahu because he likes working with

Netanyahu apparently.

Now remember I said when I was talking

about it yesterday I guess I said uh is

it even like a possibility

that the Israel uh judicial system will

look at a truth social post by Trump and

then cancel the trial.

And I was kind of kind of mocking that

as even a strategy. Like why would Trump

even think that could possibly work?

like why would he waste any time on

something that couldn't possibly happen

and then it got postponed. Now we don't

know why it got postponed. It has

something to do with Israel's you know

vital interests um probably something

military something about security but uh

the court actually postponed it. Now,

postpone doesn't mean Netanyahu's out of

trouble, but are these related?

Is is it possible that Trump's message

actually made a difference or

or was Netanyahu and his legal team

working on this all the whole time and

you know, they just had a breakthrough

that the court was willing to accept? I

don't know, but it does seem like a bit

of a coincidence that when Trump talks

up, you know, speaks up about it, Israel

suddenly is acting different than you

imagine they would act. So, we'll keep

an eye on that.

Well, the big beautiful bill, as Trump

likes to call it, uh lots of infighting

going on. Um, the two people who were

not in favor of it are Ran Paul and uh

Tom Tillis in the Senate, but Tillis has

already he just announced that he's not

going to run for reelection.

Uh, I guess Trump criticized him in

recent posts and said he was going to

encourage a potential primary

challenger.

And if you've been paying attention to

Tom Tillis lately,

you probably said to yourself, he's

acting like somebody who doesn't want to

run for reelection.

Well, turns out he didn't.

Um, so

and then I believe that uh

all right, I believe it was uh Laura

Trump who is being considered as his

potential replacement in North Carolina.

He's North Carolina, right? Do I have

that right?

Well, so he's going away. Um, and Rand

Paul, he says he's basically above it

because it increases the debt and he is

opposed to anything that increases the

debt. So, not only does it push up the

debt limit by five trillion,

but depending on how you do the math and

what weasel methods you use, it either

increases the budget deficit by $3.3

trillion over the next 10 years. That's

what the CBO says.

But the Republicans have come up with

some kind of new math that turned that

3.3 trillion into

into you know nothing.

So what they do is they say well if we

don't um increase taxes

that's not a change

so you don't count that. Even though it

would increase the deficit, they found a

way to pretend that it that that would

be counting the counting the dollars

wrong. Oh my god.

Yeah, it's as bad as you think.

So, I think Rand Paul's on the right

track there.

Um Trump has said that if it doesn't get

passed

uh it will mean a 68% tax hike without

the big beautiful bill. How many of you

believe

that if the big beautiful bill doesn't

get passed that we're going to have a

68% tax hike?

How in the world do you calculate that?

That's that that's not even slightly

possible.

Anyway, but that number is out there

now.

I was uh curious how the media would

summarize the bill because I have a uh

hypothesis that when it comes to public

support um all that will matter is these

summarizers because there's something

like 25 different topics that the big

beautiful bill addresses. But if you do

a if you read a story about it, it's not

going to list 25 things and tell you

what people think about each of those

elements. They're going to pick out what

they think are the, you know, the

topline things. So I was looking at the

Wall Street Journal

and I was curious how they would

summarize the bill. So this is their

summary and you could tell I think from

the summary

um not 100% with certainty but it's

suggestive of what the public will think

about it because the media tells the

public what their opinions are and if

the media has summarized it one way

versus another way you could kind of

know what the at least their readers

will uh think of it. So, Wall Street

Journal says broadly, so this would be

just sort of a broad summary of the

bill, the mega bill would extend tax

cuts and boost defense and border

funding while cutting spending on

Medicaid and food aid. It would add

nearly 3.3 trillion to deficits compared

to current law and compared to letting

the tax cuts expire as they would

otherwise.

Now, if if you knew that that was the

only thing that the public would know

about this bill, would it pass?

Nope.

Because the Democrats are going to look

at the part where they say Medicaid and

food aid will be cut and they're going

to say, "Nope." And then the Republicans

will look at the part where it's adding

to the deficit by 3.3 trillion and

they'll say, "Nope.

So, the Wall Street Journal has given

both sides reason to say no. You know,

even if you like extending tax cuts and

boosting defense and military, you

probably rank those lower than these

other hot items like Medicaid and food

aid and deficit. If you ask me,

the deficit is more important than all

the other stuff.

So,

that would suggest there's going to be a

little bit of trouble getting this

approved and making it popular enough

that Republicans can do well in the

midterms.

Um,

all right. So, they're using weasel math

to uh to make it look like they're not

increasing the deficit, but every

reasonable person thinks that they are.

Um,

all right. So, and I guess Tom Tillis is

opposed to the Medicaid cuts as well.

Yeah. And Laura Trump is seriously

considering running for the North

Carolina seat. I believe she's from

North Carolina but doesn't live there

presently. How long how much time do you

need to go live someplace

and have that as your main residence

before you can run for the Senate?

Do you have to have just mailing address

there? Like what is the requirement for

residency? I don't know,

but um it might happen. And they say if

she ran she would win easily. I believe

that.

Well, you know that uh Canada had said

it was going to charge American tech

companies with some kind of digital

sales tax. And Trump said, "If you're

going to do a digital sales tax on our

companies, we're going to cancel our our

trade negotiations and just send you the

bill." The bill would be here's what

your tariffs are. We're done

negotiating. and Canada said,"Well,

maybe we'll drop that digital sales tax

thing so we can negotiate." So, that

worked. Trump threatened them with uh

with some tariff badness and Canada

said, "All right, wait, wait, hold on,

hold on. All right, we'll we'll put that

in pause and we'll go back to the

negotiating table."

But uh Europe on the other hand

um still has one of these digital um

these digital services taxes. So they

have not dropped it yet, but they're

still negotiating. But Trump says he's

going to deal with Europe and the C all

the countries that have not made deals

yet, which is most of them, uh just by

sending them tariff letters and telling

them what they're going to pay. So on

July 9th,

the current extension of u you know

tariffs being held off until the

negotiations were done. Um that after

July 9th, Trump is going to say um you

can negotiate if you want. We're open to

negotiating, but until then here here's

your bill for tariffs.

Um, apparently the the NATO agreement

for the NATO countries to spend more

going from 2% of their GDP up to 5% over

time um might be one of the things that

solves the the trade negotiations

between Europe and the US because

one of the big issues for Trump was that

uh

there was a big trade imbalance.

So, uh, we they weren't buying enough of

our stuff, but the NATO increase, uh, a

lot of that money will go to my American

arms.

And so, just on its own, it's going to

close that, uh, is going to do a lot of

work to close that trade deficit. So,

the NATO stuff could have the weird

effect of making the trade talks work

better.

Um

and let's see what else has happened.

Um Trump is also mad at Japan because uh

Japan's also got a big trade deficit

with us. Meaning meaning that we buy

more of their stuff than they buy from

us. And that could get fixed according

to Reuters. Um Trump is suggesting that

they buy more of our energy.

Now, I don't know if there's any

limitations to how much of our oil and

gas they could buy, but uh that would be

one way to fix it. And uh if not, I

guess they'll just get a bill.

So, Trump will send the bill for the

tariffs.

Um,

so there was a headline that um, Jake

Tapper and CNN has conceded on the air

that Trump has achieved, and this is his

own words, Jake Tapper, what may be

empirically, the best week of his

presidency so far. Now, isn't that an

interesting way to remove credit from

Trump? They're saying it might be the

best week of his presidency.

So the comparison is not leaders

everywhere or presidents, you know, all

the presidents we've ever had, which is

what I think is the proper comparison.

They're comparing him to himself

so that you don't have to give him too

much credit. It's like, well, you know,

for his presidency that that was a good

week.

So, it was reported like like Jake

Tapper was finally giving him credit.

Well, I don't think he did.

I I think he just he said, you know,

even Trump is going to have a good week

compared to Trump.

So, it was sort of a compliment without

the compliment.

Anyway, so uh Tapper mentioned the

Supreme Court victories expanding his

power, the DAO being at a high and the

ceasefire between Israel and Iran and uh

and in Rwanda, the Congo Rwanda thing.

So even Jake Tapper is seeing that Trump

had a good week, although he should have

compared him to other leaders, not to

himself.

Senator Chris Murphy, who is becoming

like the Grinch of the Democrats. He

he's one of these uh angry

angry pundits. You can always get an

angry comment out of him.

He was asked if uh he gives Trump any

credit for getting the border under

control.

Now, if you were asked on camera in

public, could you give Trump any credit

for getting the border under control?

How in the world could you spin that

into something negative for Trump?

if you had to do it as like an

assignment. I said, "It's not what you

believe, but just as an assignment,

could you come up with an argument that

Trump has failed at the border?"

Well, I I wouldn't be able to do it, but

uh Chris Murphy,

he says no, he's not going to give Trump

credit for the border crossings being

low because uh Trump administration is

violating the law to get there. And the

law that he says that's being violated

is the law that allows people to apply

for asylum.

You know, I guess he was part of voting

on that law. So,

I I didn't know this, but it sounds like

the Trump administration has

done something, probably an executive

order, I'm guessing, that uh says you

can't you cannot easily apply for asylum

because that's the part that was being

abused. Everybody was just saying, "Oh,

asylum." And then you could get into the

country and stay here for, you know,

years waiting for your asylum hearing.

And then once the asylum hearing

happens, you probably in at least in the

old days, you could have snuck away and

stayed in the country anyway. So that's

what he's arguing for.

So the best the Democrats have, and he's

one of their smarter people, the best

they have is arguing against process

again, except that the process

was completely corrupted.

So they're not just arguing for a good

process, which you could understand. Oh,

well, we had this good process, so they

should be following our good process. It

was the worst process ever. It literally

effectively opened our border to anybody

who wanted to walk in and claim that

they were, you know, asking for asylum.

So once again, the Democrats have been

I I don't even want to say tricked

because they're doing it themselves.

They're taking the 80 the the 20% view

on another 8020 again. And and again,

they're not arguing about the part that

people care about. Was the border open

before? Yes.

Has the border now been closed?

Yes. That's where the public is. Do you

think that we really give a about

some uh some asylum thing that might be

getting gamed by the the Trump

administration and I don't even know if

it's being gamed or if they have, you

know, solid legal standing. It doesn't

matter to me. Does it matter to you? I

only care that they closed it. It was an

immediate security threat, an

existential threat to the country. You

think I care that he bent a rule if he

did? I don't know if he did, but oh my

god, how could he be so immensely

tonedeaf

that you can't at least say, "All right,

it was good on the border, but we have

all these other issues."

Democrats. Wow.

Well, uh, Tyler Winklevoss,

an ex was saying, uh, quote, "I was

wondering what happened to the LA riots.

They just stopped all of a sudden. Makes

sense. They were never organic, just NGO

funded propaganda." Well, apparently,

and I don't know if this is related, but

apparently at about the same time that

the uh FBI and the IRS announced that

they were going to look into who was

funding the protests, the protest

stopped.

Now, did the protests get what they

wanted?

Did they make ICE stop doing what it was

doing? No.

Did they get anything they were

demanding?

Not that I'm aware of. So why did these

massive protests

just stop?

Well, my guess is that Tyler Winklevoss

is exactly right and that uh the people

funding it stopped funding it.

We don't know that for sure, but it

looks like it. So look how much we've

grown up since 2016.

In 2016,

if I had seen a national protest, you

know, like Black Lives Matter, I would

have thought it was organic.

I would have known that, you know,

George Soros might be paying for some

signs and stuff like that, but I would

have thought for the most part it's

organic. It's just getting a little

boost from money people. But now I don't

think that at all. Now I think that none

of them are organic and that all it is

is you know fake protests and you just

wait a few days and it stops, especially

if you talk about who funded it. So

we're much more

uh I think understanding

that these protests are fake and you can

just wait them out.

Um, I saw a uh an analysis on ex

I don't know if it was done by somebody

else, but uh Daniel Greenfield

um tells us that only 5% of New Yorkers

voted for the socialist candidate Mani.

Now remember, he's not elected mayor

yet. He only got through the primaries.

But the primaries are now something

where most people vote and there weren't

any Republicans voting because it was a

Democrat primary. So if you go through

the math as Daniel Greenfield did and

you look at, you know, only only

Democrats and then you take out the

votes for the other candidates he was

running against and um etc. only 5% of

the city voted for him and he's

overwhelmingly favored to win.

Now,

does that does that track

does it make sense to you that only 5%

voted for him, but he's overwhelmingly

favored to win? It could be. It could be

if the 5% is sort of accidentally a

good, you know, polling proxy for the

larger market. It could be. And

remember, the Democrats matter more than

Republicans

just because it's a Democrat town. So,

who whoever gets nominated as a Democrat

is overwhelmingly

likely to become the next mayor.

But uh it is possible

uh at least this number opens up the

possibility that the city could come to

its senses and realize that you know

he's not the best solution.

Um let's see here are some things he

said.

So uh Trump is trying to label him a

communist which I think is hilarious. I

don't believe he's technically qualifies

as a communist, but communist is sort of

the nword for socialist.

You know what I mean? It's the word

you're not supposed to use cuz it's

going too far. Um, but it's, you know,

socialism sounds like maybe something

you might want, whereas communism sounds

like something nobody wants. So, it is

pretty good. It's good branding.

But uh I don't know if he technically

qualifies as a communist. Um so here's

what uh some one of the things that mom

Dani said he was asked I guess he'd made

previous comments that we shouldn't have

billionaires.

And

so he was asked you know to comment on

that and he said I don't think that we

should have billionaires.

And then he talked about fairness. If

some people are billionaires, that

that's obviously a sign of an unfair

system.

Now, do you remember what I always say

about fairness?

U I've been saying this for years.

Fairness is a concept that was invented

so that idiots and children have

something to talk about.

Smart people

don't really start with fairness as

their standard. And the reason is nobody

agrees what fair is.

If you could get two people to agree

what fair looks like. Well, maybe, you

know, maybe you could use that as your

standard, but not really. In the real

world, we don't agree. Do you think it's

fair that somebody could work hard and

make more money and then it could be

taken away and given to somebody who

didn't work hard and didn't make much

money? Is that fair?

Well, depends who you ask. So, there's

no universal standard of fairness. If

there were, well, then maybe I would

say, "Yeah, go ahead and use that under

some circumstance." But if nobody can

even agree what fairness looks like, you

can't use that as a standard, that just

allows you to do anything you want and

just say, "Well, I've decided this is

what fair looks like."

So, he wants to tax white people more.

Uh, specifically, he said tax the whiter

neighborhoods more. And now he wants to

get rid of billionaires. So, billionaire

um Bill Aman was not too happy about

that.

Um

and now the other thing that I noticed

today is I saw more anti-Muslim

um commentary on X than I have ever seen

before. I think today was the high the

the high limit of it. Now, I'm not going

to say that the commentary was unfair

because it talked about, for example,

the practices of the Iraqi uh Muslim

population.

And I won't repeat some of the things

that were claimed as being standard

operating procedure for that uh that

group of people uh because it's too

horrible. And I don't know how much is

real and how much is, you know, certain

people, but not everybody. I don't know

any of that.

But I will tell you that probably

because of mom Donnie and maybe because

of the Israel Iran conflict,

um, I'm seeing people who would never

have said these things out loud just

going right at the Muslim culture

problem. Now my take on it is not that

I'm judging anybody as being good or bad

because you know who am I to judge

anything but it's easy to say that the

systems are not compatible.

You you can't just take a bunch of you

know hardened Sharia law Muslims and

drop them in the community with your

non-Muslims. It wouldn't matter what

else they were if they were just

anything else. It's never going to work.

So while obviously there are tons of u

Muslim citizens in this country who

don't have any radical thoughts, they're

not breaking any laws or not offending

you in any way and they're completely,

you know, part of the American

experience.

Um,

but we can all agree

that the hardcore Muslim version just

will never be compatible with, you know,

the American cultural experience.

So unless uh unless the Muslims are the

ones who are conforming so that they can

fit into the current system, the system

would have to change if you got enough

people who demanded that change. So it

does seem like u there is more

anti-Muslim content than I've ever seen

before, but I'm not going to judge that.

It could be because this is the time to

talk about it.

Well, there's a story that the the

Mexican cartel hired a hacker, I guess,

one of their own hackers to hack into

the phone of

um of an FBI assistant legal attach who

was at a US embassy and he broke into

the phone remotely.

So I think the only way you can do that

is by sending somebody a file that they

click on and it can take over their

phone. So that's probably what happened.

But they got into the phone and then

they found the names of um informants.

Uh but of course the informants are who

the cartel wants to kill. So they found

the name of the informants. But then,

and this is the impressive part, the

same hacker hacked into the public

camera system in Mexico so they could

track

uh where the guy who owned the phone,

they could track him in public.

So, it was just like a TV show. So, they

got into his phone and they knew who who

he was looking for, you know, who his

informants were. And then they could see

him actually on the street and who he

met with. And that allowed them the

confirmation to go out and kill the

informant.

Uh I don't know if they successfully

killed any, but that was that was a

risk.

That's uh this is like one of those

stories I read about a serial killer who

who, you know, got away with it for

decades and had a you know, a torture

thing built in his backyard underground.

And I think, well, you know, I I

certainly can't approve of the serial

killer, but I got to say he's got some

good work ethic there. So, this hacker,

I have the same feeling. I do not

approve of him breaking into phones, and

I don't approve of his hacking, and I

certainly don't approve that he's

helping the cartels kill informants.

But I have to admit, that took some

skill.

It was a lot of skill to do those two

things. So, there's that.

I guess the uh Duke Law School Law

Journal, they sent a secret memo to

minority applicants telling them they'd

get extra points if they write about

their race.

So, they were being coached

on how to do DEI without DEI. So they

they presumably are not allowed to ask,

you know, what's your race and then take

that into account for admissions, but

they would be allowed to read a uh to

read an essay that all the applicants

have to write. So they're saying, you

know, if you're going to write the

essay, you might as well put something

in that essay about your race.

Why? Don't ask why. Just put it in

there. Trust us. We'll take care of it.

So, they're in trouble. The Free Beacon

is reporting on this.

All right, ladies and gentlemen. It's a

lazy summer Monday and the regular news

is boring cuz the big beautiful bill.

I'm so tired of that damn thing. I don't

know if it'll ever be passed, but I'm

definitely tired of it. Um, I got worn

down. However, because uh Trump is still

your president and the world is a crazy

place, I would expect there to be some

big news that breaks

because there always is.

On the other hand, it's entirely

possible that because the news business

will be going on vacation for the 4th of

July that there just won't be much news

cuz you know your news is mostly mostly

fake. It's based on real stuff usually,

but um the news decides what to get get

you worked up about. And so if enough of

the frontline people are on vacation,

you you're not going to get worked up

because they won't do the kind of

content that gets you worked up. So we

might be entering the boring phase of

the summer

or there will be another gigantic war

possible. All things are possible. All

right, that's all I have for you today.

I'm going to say hi to my beloved local

subscribers

and uh stock market's not doing so well.

Um all right,

good. All right, locals, I'm coming at

you privately. The rest of you, I hope

to see you tomorrow. Same time, same

place.

All right.