Episode 2910 CWSA 07/28/25

There you are.

Hold on.

Come on in.

It's time.

Yep.

We'll get our comments working and then it all comes together.

Um, might be a little bit loud in the office today.

There are two other mammals in here with me.

Um, and they look like they're ready to destroy something.

More on that later.

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Ah, everything's working.

Paul, your timing is perfect.

I know you do that intentionally.

You always know when I'm looking at the screen.

Good for you.

All right.

Well, um, good news.

There's a New Jersey cat cafe coming.

It will be called the Calico Cat Cafe.

It's not ready yet, but uh, Ben and Dora are opening it and they will have 12 cats and you can go in there and pet cats and play board games.

And uh good luck playing a board game with I don't think they thought this out.

Imagine combining these two things.

Board games and cats.

Do Everybody who has ever been around a cat knows you couldn't possibly have board games and cats in the same place.

Those cats are going to scatter your your board pieces.

It's It might literally be the best idea and the worst idea of all time.

It sounds so good on paper.

It's like, "Wow, I can't go and play games and and pet cats." And then the cats come in and say, "How's your chess game?" wap.

All right.

Well, as you may know, and we won't talk about this at length, the internet as a rumor uh that is false, of course, that I was pushing vaccines during the pandemic.

Well, I did the opposite of that.

And uh Jay Plemens was nice enough to put together a compilation of me doing what what Jay calls whatever is the opposite of pushing the vaccines.

So it's a compilation of all the times I say things like but I'm not promoting the vaccine.

I'm not a doctor.

Only your doctor should promote it.

Don't take medical advice from cartoonists.

So I thought to myself, will this settle the question?

Because there will be lots of people who say it's on it's on X.

And I thought, what are what are all those people going to do who were positive that I was pushing the vaccines when in fact I was not?

And what do you think happened?

Have you ever been in a situation where you were having a date with somebody might have been your spouse and because we write everything down, you know, their text messages and emails and stuff.

Have you ever had the experience where you could prove that your side of the argument was right in a way that was just undeniable?

Here it is.

Well, look, it's right there.

It's right there on that message.

Just read it yourself and you can see that I was completely right and you were completely wrong.

What happens in every domain whether it's your marriage or your co-workers or anything else?

What happens next when you prove somebody wrong with documentation that's irrefutable?

They always change the topic and pretend they were always talking about something else.

And that's what happened.

So already this morning, some of the commenters are coming in saying, "Well, it wasn't really wasn't really about the question of whether you were promoting the vax.

It was, oh, oh, I know what it was.

It was that you weren't fighting against mandates hard enough." And I thought, "What?" So that that was always the question.

So it was people who thought that if I didn't fight against the mandates hard enough, that was sort of kind of almost the same as promoting the vaccines.

So that's what happens when you prove you're right.

Somebody will say, "Well, you're not right because the topic was something related but different." That'll happen every time.

All right.

Uh, You.

Tube is on track to bring in $40 billion in ad revenue in 2025, according to a user called Dexerto.

And they say their revenue is so high because of AI making shorts.

I don't mean the kind that you wear to cover up your naughty bits.

I mean a short video.

Now, if you have not been hooked yet on You.

Tube's short video product, um, it's really good because it knows exactly what you want very quickly and it starts feeding you just pure dopamine or, you know, whatever the chemical is that makes you happy.

I have been uh battling an addiction to that that's pretty pretty bad.

On the other hand, I also tell myself, well, why would I want to quit something that feels good?

Because it's not like it's preventing me from working or falling in love or something.

It's really not preventing anything.

It's just filling in some hours.

So, I'm not sure if I'm addicted or I just found a new hobby that I like.

But uh in related news, the co-founder of You.

Tube, the one of the one of the people who invented the thing and launched it, Steve Chen, um he says he doesn't want his own kids watching You.

Tube shorts or even uh um Tik Tok or any of that kind of content because he says that pure dopamine junk, it's rewiring kids so that they won't do anything if it doesn't if it doesn't last, you know, 15 seconds.

If it's more than that, they just won't do it.

Actually, 15 minutes.

Um, and according to Steve Chen, some parents are now forcing their kids to do long form stuff, whatever that is, just so that their brains are not destroyed by all the, you know, fast form AI stuff.

So, I guess AI is what created all the um clickable content for those reels.

And I I have to say the AI generated stuff does make me click it, but it's not as good as, you know, human-made stuff that would be much more expensive to make.

It looks like somebody just has a prompt where they go in and say, "Um, hey AI, I want you to make me a video that would be like one of the viral ones on You.

Tube, and it will be about something in history that's not covered, but you can make it look interesting.

Go." And then it makes you a a little reel that's so clickable you can't believe it.

Anyway, um big the big news today is that President Trump has another big win.

He will tell you um he got a huge trade deal between the US and the European Union.

And would you be surprised to know that like everything else, this is one of those two movies on one screen situations.

Quiet, Gary.

There might be some cats in the room.

Um so the positive news about this deal with the EU is that uh even allies outside of the EU are saying that Trump got an amazing deal and the United States got everything it wanted and the European Union basically rolled over and caved on everything.

So it's basically just you know better for us.

Now, do you believe that it might be true?

I'm I'm quite uh open and willing to believe that that's the case.

This is Gary.

I want to introduce Gary who may be disturbing our future.

His brother Roman is around here somewhere roaming around.

Um but anyway, as I was saying, um not everybody will agree that this is the best trade deal of all time.

Peter Schiff, who's famous for accurately predicting things in the past.

I don't know how how he's done lately, but he's one of these famous predictors about the economy.

He says it's basically he says it's a bad deal for the US and it's good for the EU.

So there's at least one famous smart guy who believes that the uh deal is better for Europe.

But the larger consensus looks like about 99 to1 is that the US got a great deal.

And there's even some thinking about why that is.

And the why is that the European Union has become sort of an irrelevant zone of the world and the US is the hot country as Trump says and to put it uh in summary form eur Europe needs the US more than US needs Europe because they can't even defend themselves.

So, they need markets to sell to and they need somebody to defend them.

And I guess Trump did a good job of convincing them that giving us a good trade deal would be really really good for their future defensive needs, which would have been sort of a brilliant way to approach that.

So, uh, Trump's legend continues and I will point out once again the the high risk, but ultimately it's starting to look brilliant, the strategy of having all these different trade deals, which on one hand, you say to yourself, my goodness, all the chaos he created back in April, but he did tell us it would all calm down once they started making deals.

And then what happened?

He started making deals and it all calmed down and the stock market said, "Oh, all right.

No problem.

Continue." You know, go make some more deals.

So Trump's out there making deals and he gets to announce a new one at least once a week now.

It's just going to be winwin win-win.

So he Trump has created the ultimate summer event.

Normally the summer doesn't have any news, but because of these trade deals, there's going to be probably one of these a week for the rest of the summer as well.

So brilliant, brilliant, brilliant managing of the news cycle by the the Trump team.

Nobody's ever done this better.

You know, it the the one thing that the uh the Democrats and the non-Trump believers uh have in common is that even his critics have started to say that he's an amazing political athlete.

Have you heard that?

They say he's he's just the most amazing political athlete.

And do you remember in 2015 when I was the lone voice saying, um, I don't think you realize what's coming, that he has more persuasive ability than anything you've ever seen before.

And here we are.

Uh, I don't like to crow about my good predictions, but it is a show in which I make predictions and then crow about them.

So, you have to put up with it.

It is sort of baked into the uh the business model.

I make predictions, I tell you how it's going, and if they're wrong, I eat crow.

Anyway, um apparently there's a very big deal going down between Samsung and Elon Musk.

Um so Samsung is building a new Texas uh facility that will that will be dedicated entirely to making Tesla's next generation AI6 chip, which I guess is important.

Now what's important about this beyond the fact that it two big companies are having a an agreement to do something big is that uh um I think that Samsung's future in the chip making business was a little bit uncertain and this big deal with uh Elon Musk gives them you know much more stability.

So that would put another uh chipm entity in the United States proper.

So that's a big deal and it would be related to um you know our most advanced technologies.

So that's all good.

Um but Elon has uh made it even more interesting because he said on X that um the Samsung agreed to allow Tesla to assist in maximizing manufacturing efficiency.

So, uh, so apparently, um, Elon Musk personally, and I assume some of his lieutenants will be able to, um, inspect the the Samsung factory for making chips and figure out how to make it more efficient, which is sort of his expertise.

You making manufacturing efficient, not sort of, it's his expertise.

And imagine if you were Samsung and Elon Musk said to you, you know that factory you're building, do you mind if I give you some suggestions?

If you were Samsung, like you wouldn't be able to get the smile off your face.

You'd be like, "Uh, really?

Are you serious?

You you personally want to walk the line and uh make suggestions about make this more efficient.

Yes.

Oh my god.

So obviously they said yes to that.

Although I I suppose you could imagine a world in which they made the wrong decision, but they did not.

Um so Samsung will be a little more stable.

Tesla's got a big um source for their chips and uh something big's happening there.

So, as we're watching these big businesses um some of them foreignowned but coming back to America and uh revitalizing things, it's happening pretty quickly.

Pretty quickly.

So, uh, Assistant Attorney General Hermit Dylan, whose job it is, among other things, is to, uh, get rid of all the, uh, racism in the country.

Get rid of all of it.

That's all that's all she has to do.

Get rid of all racism.

But one of the things she's calling out is that apparently, I guess it was last night in Cincinnati, there was some kind of a mob that attacked some white tourists.

I guess the attackers were black and the people being attacked were white tourists and they got beaten um quite vigorously.

And I don't know anything about that specific situation, so I'm not going to wade into the the outrage of it.

Um, I feel like with these individual crime situations, it's too easy to say this is telling you the story of everything.

It might be just something that was very unique to that situation and you don't you don't want to generalize it to the rest of the country, but um, Har Dylan is says she's got her eye on it.

So, if it turns out that that was literally a racial hate crime, which it might have been, it might have been just that, um, she's on it.

Good.

Well, as you know, uh, Gileain Maxwell answered all the questions that were asked of her by the Justice Department and about 100 people were um mentioned or talked about and I guess there's some talk of um clemency, but uh um Trump has not made any kind of opinion on that yet.

So, we'll see.

That'll be controversial if it happens.

It will it will break apart the mega coalition.

You know what's funny is that I totally understand when people get mad about one issue with Trump, but I feel like people ultimately will understand their own best interest.

If you thought that Trump did 25 great things and two of them you really thought were, you know, you would have gone the other way, but you observe that there are plenty of people who are on your team who think Trump was right about those two that you don't like as well.

Would you would you not vote for Republicans because you didn't get your two things?

Is that the way you'd play it?

Sorry, my cat's in my coffee.

Cats, don't get in the coffee.

No.

All right, take a look at her at him.

That's scary with the red collar on.

All right.

So, every time Trump gets another victory like this European Union trade deal, it's going to be harder and harder to say that you won't vote for him because of something about Ebene.

And he's back.

All right.

Uh, so Representative Thomas Massie and Democrat Roana are uh pushing for some legislation to release all of the government's files on Epstein.

And this raises a question to me.

Can Congress overrule the president just by passing some legislation that says release all of that stuff?

And wouldn't the president need to sign it?

So if you need the president to sign the legislation, but also the president could just tell people to release it anyway.

What does the legislation do?

So, this is yet another one of those situations where if I had, you know, an extra minute, I would have used Grock to look into it and say, "Can you explain why we need legislation for something that the president could just say, yeah, release all that?" I So, I'm missing something.

And by the way, uh here's a good here's a good general rule for you.

If someone who is clearly smarter than you has a different opinion about what to do, you should assume that the problems on your end.

And that's what I'm doing on this one.

Uh, you know, Thomas Massie, he's got an MIT degree.

Um, if he and I took an IQ test, I wouldn't like how that would work out for me.

He's definitely smarter than me in a lot of obvious ways.

So if he thinks this legislation is necessary or useful, he's probably right.

So when I tell you I don't understand why we need it, that's pretty much on me.

So my assumption is that the problems on my end.

You should always do that.

If somebody's smarter than you and you don't get why they're doing what they're doing, don't assume the problems on their end.

They didn't suddenly get dumb.

Well, Dan Bino um left a cryptic message on X that um I think is just wonderful.

So, I'm going to read it to you because the whole thing is pretty interesting.

It's a little bit long, but Dan Banino posts, "During my tenure here as the deputy director of the FBI, I have been repeatedly relayed to you.

I have repeatedly related to you that things are happening that might not be immediately visible but they are happening.

All right.

So the first thing we need to know is that there might be a bunch of things that are really a big deal that um are coming our way but we don't know when.

The director and I are committed to stamping out public corruption and the political weaponization of both law enforcement and intelligence operations.

It is a priority for us.

Okay.

But now it gets to the good stuff.

But what I have learned in the course of our properly predicated and necessary investigations into these aforementioned matters has shocked me down to my core.

Wait, listen to this.

We cannot run a republic like this.

I'll never be the same after learning what I've learned.

Wow.

I'll never be the same after learning what I've learned.

Now, might I point out that Dan Bonino has seen a few things in his life?

How hard would it be to shock him?

Wouldn't it be really hard?

I mean, unlike the uh the public that's not paying attention, he he's watched everything.

He's seen behind the curtain.

He's seen the ugliest political shenanigans.

He's seen crimes, the kind that you and I, you know, we're lucky that we haven't seen.

What in the world would change him permanently?

I'll never be the same after learning what I've learned.

What in the world could that be?

The only thing I can imagine is as um maybe an an Epstein thing or maybe he learned that the way the government is really being run uh nobody really understands maybe that I don't know but wow he knows how to tease us.

So he says we can't go on like this which clearly indicates that we're going to find out what he knows.

at least that summary level.

Do you think it's aliens?

No, it's not aliens.

He He's uh he's clearly telling you that you're going to find out.

Uh yeah, I mean the obvious guess would be something Epstein and child related, but I don't know.

I also feel like well maybe he learned that the entire governments of the world are all run by blackmail.

That's possible.

I don't know.

Um I saw a post uh yesterday I guess by Joel Pollock of Breitbart and he said the sub of Tulsi Gabbard's revelations.

Now, I think there's more coming, so we might see some more stuff.

Maybe it's already dropped this morning, but here here are the three things that Joel uh summarizes of what we've learned from Tulsi.

Number one, um Obama ordered a new intelligence assessment after the first one said Russia did not help Trump.

Right, that's a good summary.

So, we know that Obama had an intelligence assessment that said that uh Russia did not change any votes uh but that Obama ordered a new one that would mention that Russia was meddling in the election.

All right.

Number two, the Russians expected Hillary Clinton to win and had dirt on her.

So, we did learn that and that's new and that does change the narrative because if you know that the Russians were um not really even taking seriously that that Trump could win, that makes everything look different.

Obviously, they weren't trying to help him win.

They were just trying to weaken um Hillary Clinton's inevitable government, they assumed.

And the steel dossier was part of the new report, the new thing that Obama ordered.

And Brennan lied to Congress when he said it wasn't.

And um this part I told you about the other day.

I guess Brennan found a clever way to include the steel dossier, but put it in the top secret area so that people couldn't tell that it was in there.

Oh, just trust us.

There's also some top secret stuff that goes into this analysis.

Well, separately, um, there's more coming.

So, CIA director Ratcliffe says there's more evidence coming.

Um, and it d and there's at least some people are speculating that whatever is new is coming implicates Hillary Clinton even more than she's already implicated.

I think Gunther Eagleman had that that take today.

Um Devin Nunes, who you know was the hero who took all the arrows going after the Russia collusion hoax when it was brand new and he was in the government.

Uh he's not part of the government now, but uh he's very relevant.

So he's been on a lot of podcasts and stuff, news reports, and he says Devon Nunes says that the raid on Mara Lago might be an important element of the whole Russia hoax conspiracy story, even though you thought they were completely unrelated because it could be that they were raiding Mora Lago just to make sure that Trump had not taken some of the Russia hoax documents with him.

for what?

I don't know, blackmail or something.

Um, and that maybe the point of the Mara Lago raid was to look for Russia collusion hoax evidence that they could then hide.

I guess I'm not so sure that I would jump to assume that that's those stories are connected.

I think it would be just as likely, maybe more likely, that um the bad guys were just doing everything they could to get Trump in every way, every possible way.

All right.

Uh there's a pollster named Matt Towery who the Daily C the Daily Color News Foundation is talking about him.

He was on uh somebody's show recently.

I guess he was on Fox News on Friday and he says that the pollsters are sort of uh full of BS and that he believes that Trump's actual approval rating is far bigger than than what the media claims.

Now the media looks at the pollsters and both of them are fake news apparently.

So not every pollster.

There are some pollsters that uh are let's say assertively saying that the other pollsters are fake.

So um Rasmusson would be one of the ones who asserts that the other pollsters may not be as accurate as people think.

Um but they've got a great track record with presidential stuff especially.

Um anyway, so somebody who's in the business, professional pollster Matt Towry, believes that uh the polls are just sort of rigged and fixed, that Trump is way more popular than the polling shows.

Do you believe that?

Does that uh line up with your, let's say, anecdotal lived life experience?

I can't tell.

because I'm definitely in a bubble.

I don't I just don't know what, you know, the average person thinks.

I just don't spend time with the average person, I guess.

So, I don't know.

So, pollster, uh, I guess he would be a pollster, Frank Luns.

Um, he says that Gavin Newsome and the Democrats are doing a bad job on the attacking Trump stuff.

Now, other people have said it, but when Frank L says it, it's, you know, it's a little bit more of a professional opinion than when people like me say it.

Um, so apparently, um, Frank L is saying that attacking Trump is just bad.

And if the way you're attacking Trump is by acting like him, um, you can't out Trump.

So, um, so he he's sort of mocking and criticizing the Democrats who say, "Well, we just have to fight harder." And he says, quote, "And so we need to punch them in the face harder than they're punching us." And Lun said, "You cannot out Trump Donald Trump.

It will not work." It's why the Democratic Party has its lowest numbers nationwide that it's ever had.

Um, yeah.

So, he says the negativity just isn't working.

Now, the you can't out Trump.

Um, you've heard me say that as well, right?

And this is where that authenticity thing happens.

The reason that Trump can be the way he is is that that's who he is.

It's authentic.

That's who he is.

He He's literally being the way he's always been and he's just being Trump.

So, you can accept a lot when people are transparent and consistent.

You just get used to him.

So, we've we've now sort of gotten used to Trump.

But you can't suddenly be the person who is nothing like that and then try to just layer that over your existing personality and sell it.

That's going to look the opposite of authentic.

Why would it look the opposite of authentic?

Because it literally is by design.

They're they're really they're literally telling Democrats that they should act.

They should act.

Nobody tells Trump he should act.

Because you're getting full, you know, full unadulterated Trump all day long.

He doesn't need to act anything.

You know, sometimes he could be full of hyperbole, say, so to speak, but that's who he is.

That's who he is.

Well, Harry Anton of CNN points out that Democrat favorability has in fact hit a new low.

CNN is recording them at negative 26 points in favorability and the Wall Street Journal has them at -30.

And these are numbers that we haven't seen for 35 years or you know some very long time.

So yeah they are uh completely falling apart.

There's a Princeton political scientist I saw I think on Fox News Dr.

Lauren Wright, who says that uh, you know, Democrats are abandoning the party in part because they don't like being lied to and that the whole episode about Biden's brain um might might have turned off Democrats.

I have not seen that.

Have you?

But again, I'm in a bubble, so what I see is not really a guide to anything.

But do you believe that people are turning on Democrats like the existing Democrats, not Biden?

Biden is already everybody knows this is out of the picture.

So are Democrats just Democrat voters who are casually paying attention to politics, do you think they really cared about the Biden brain coverup and that that their own team was lying to them the whole time?

I don't know that people really care about that.

I think they really care about capability and personality and uh who can get something done that they want done.

I don't believe that they're activated by that.

It might be a little bit, but I'm not even sure the average voter could even describe to you the whole auto pen story.

I mean, that's something that the political right is ding out on, but I don't know if the political left even sees the story or cares about it or, you know, they saw it once on CNN, but didn't follow up on it.

I don't know.

And then the other lie according to Dr.

Lauren Wright is that uh when Trump got in office democracy would die but that we don't observe any democracy dying.

So the Democrats are losing credibility.

To which I say again are they?

Because the Democrats would say you can see with your own eyes that he's destroyed your democracy.

Now that wouldn't be true.

but they believe it.

So, I don't think that they've wised up and seen that their party is a bunch of hoaxers and liars.

And I don't think they're affected by the Russia collusia hoax and knowing that, you know, that the top people in the party were probably colluding to run a coup in the country and that January 6 was a total uh um you know, projection sort of play that they always do that they they would run coups and then accuse the other the other side of running a coup and there's no evidence that happened.

So yeah, um I just think that the lack of having any policy ideas and the lack of a charismatic national uh candidate is all you need to explain why the Democrats aren't looking good.

They lost everything.

So people don't like losers and they don't have anybody who has a positive message that they could turn that around.

So you don't want to be associated with somebody who number one lost everything and number two has absolutely no idea what to do about it and basically tells you that by the way they basically tell you we have no no idea what to do about it.

We we think we have to punch people in the nose harder.

So yeah, I guess I understand why they're not so popular anymore.

Well, here's another story.

I don't know if I believe this one, but um what's the word for luxury belief?

So, I'm going to make this one of my luxury beliefs.

I think I'm using I'm using the term wrong.

Um but the idea is I want to believe this is true.

All right.

So the story is that Trump got Thailand and Camb Cambodia to drop their uh their war their very brief war against each other.

I guess they were they went to war and uh the story is that Trump convinced them to have an unconditional ceasefire which they've done um and that he may have done it by threatening to give them tariffs.

Isn't that a little bit too neat that all he did was get on the phone and tell two waring countries, uh, I'll give you bad trade deals unless you stop firing.

And then they immediately just said, all right, all right.

And they they backed down.

I feel like that might have been a case of what I call the fake because um probably Cambodia and Thailand really really didn't want to be in a war as in really really didn't want to like really really really didn't want to be in a war.

But they would have national pride and ego and you know you can't just say never mind.

Oh never mind.

I really don't want to be in a war.

you'd look like a loser.

So, you need some some excuse.

You need some outside pressure to say, "Well, okay, given that outside pressure, I guess we'll do a ceasefire." So Trump, because he's got this new little weapon he's created out of nothing, which is the tariff, which by the way is the smartest thing anybody ever did in politics to create a weapon and then use it right in front of people.

He just created it.

The the whole tariff idea, it didn't really exist.

I mean, it existed as a, you know, a thing that people can do, but nobody uses it this way.

And it's possible that the tariffs ended a war.

It's like Trump wakes up, you know, ends a war and then he golfs.

How many wars has he ended while golfing?

But he's still got two big ones.

He's got Gaza and he's got Ukraine that he is not successful at, but he'll find a way to monetize both of those.

Um, apparently there's a big FBI sweep about uh in which 205 child predators were arrested.

I hate these kinds of stories.

I usually stay away from them because they're just too ick.

Um but this is looks like a major deal and 55 field offices, FBI field offices were involved.

So I often wonder how big this uh you know child predator thing is.

I mean if you went by what you see on social media, you would think it's you know half of your neighbors are in on this.

But I don't know because I don't have, you know, the good news is I don't have any connection to that world.

So I have no independent way to say, yeah, they don't they don't know the half of it, which might be true.

Or, oh, they're making a big deal about it, but it's so rare, which I don't know to be true.

Um, I have no idea how to size this.

Obviously, if it's one person, it's way too much.

and or say all the NPC things you have to say.

It's the worst thing ever.

And even if it happened only once to one person, we should do everything in our power to stop it.

We all agree.

All right.

Um Trump says that Caleris broke the law by paying for endorsements.

Uh that would include Beyonce, Oprah, and L Sharpton.

I believe all three of them say um we didn't pay her.

We didn't we didn't get paid for these endorsements.

I think they would say oh no um all they did is reimburse the production company so that we weren't paying you.

Um and El Sharpton maybe something got donated to a charity he's involved with something like that.

So they would say no.

No, technically we did not get paid for endorsements.

Um I don't I don't know which way that would go.

I suspect that even if uh they went to court, I don't think that they would be found guilty, but I don't know.

Maybe.

Well, what else is happening?

So, you know how people say that the world fertility rate is going down everywhere.

Um, and we think it's because the internet or smartphones.

Well, Mark and Dre points out um with a chart that showed that the fertility rate in the world has dropped since 1960 and that was well before internet and phones.

So whatever it is that's taking the average number of children from five five worldwide it was five uh down to you know less than two uh whatever it is it started well before the internet and smartphones.

So what is it?

Well, I saw Chimath Pelapatia on X comment to that.

He said, "What actually happened was that we stopped valuing having a family and instead became hyperfocused on individual goals." Now, he doesn't say that that happened to women, although some of you want to want to stick that in, right?

Um the myriad books, courses, content, slogans over the past 50 years all reinforce the same incentive.

your fulfillment is largely from professional endeavors.

So, double down and lean in.

Again, he doesn't say that that message was for women cuz I feel like men always thought their profession was their identity.

Um, but here's what I think.

So I I think he's he's definitely on to something which is that we stopped valuing it and started valuing individual attainment.

But um I think it's a follow the money situation and for other countries it's also a follow the birth control.

They may just have more birth control.

It could be that if you eliminate the accidents, you know, your birth rate drops really fast.

Um, but I was I would give you this advice.

Don't get married until you can afford the divorce.

That's the best marriage advice you'll ever get.

Don't get married until you can afford the divorce.

That was always my plan because uh the people giving you the worst advice were commenting to my comment and the worst advice is this.

Don't worry about divorce.

Just make sure you meet somebody that would never get divorced.

How in the world do you think that you can identify the person who will never want a divorce?

That's not a thing.

Every person who gets married thinks that they found the one person that they could be with forever.

And half of them are wrong and they get divorced.

And of the ones that don't get divorced, I suspect half of them wish they had the money to get get divorced.

So, if you look at the odds, that whole idea of, well, I'm going to game the system by being so smart, I'll pick the best mate and we'll never have to worry about divorce.

Well, okay.

Some of you will get lucky, but the world is not full of awesome people where everybody can get one of those.

Not so easy.

All right.

Uh Trump says he's going to reduce his 50-day deadline he gave Putin to come up with something to do with peace in Ukraine.

Um and after the 50 days, which now Trump is talking about reducing um because he says he knows what Putin's going to say, which is no to peace, that I guess he's going to sanction him harder.

So that's coming.

The Israeli government is reportedly opening up some humanitarian aid routes to get food to the starving Gaza people.

Uh I will remind you that I don't believe much of anything that comes out of the war zone.

So everything that comes out of the war zone is either from one side or the other.

And they're only going to release it if it makes their side look good, the other side look bad.

So, I don't know what caused the food not to get where it was going.

I don't know whose fault that was, but if the uh kids get fed, that's good.

Um, I will just point out that when Trump is asked about this, he frames it perfectly because they're trying to they're trying to fool people like him into taking a side and saying, "Oh, Israel's bad." Or, "Oh, Israel's doing a great job." and Hamas is the ones who's keeping the food from people.

And I frankly have no idea what's going on because I don't believe anything that comes out of there.

But uh when Trump was asked about it, he said, quote, "I'm looking for getting people fed right now." That's perfect.

So if they try to get him to talk about the ethics and the morality and which side was good and which side was bad and who's lying, it's just a it's just a dead end.

I mean, nothing good can come from that.

So instead, he just makes you focus on the part that mattered.

I'm looking for getting people fed right now.

Nicely done.

Um, yeah.

Then then he just says, "You have a lot of starving people and he wants the European nations to step up as well." Um, Senator Lindsey Graham believes that Trump and the Israeli leaders do not believe a ceasefire deal with Hamas is possible or maybe not desirable, which would be the same thing.

Um, you will recognize that opinion as the one I had at the beginning of the conflict.

At the very beginning, I said, "You don't think that they're just going to give Gaza back, right?" Um, I feel like I was the first one to say that out loud.

And they were, and Israel was saying from the start that they were looking for, quote, total victory.

What does total victory mean?

It doesn't mean we give him a black eye and then put him back in business.

That's not total victory.

That's the opposite.

Total victory looks like Japan after World War II or Germany after World War II where there's an unconditional surrender and one side completely redo the culture and education system and government of the conquered country.

So given that Hamas is never going to go the way of uh of of uh Japan or Germany, there's no realistic possibility they're going to say, "All right, you won fair and square.

We're going to play along because that's our best bet." It's just not going to happen.

So to act as if it might, is crazy.

So, it looks like Lindsey Graham and Trump and Israel have all the same opinion that the one and only thing they can do is uh completely completely dominate Gaza, kill everybody in Hamas and probably depopulate it.

Um because it would otherwise it just reconstitutes the way it was.

So, um I would expect nothing to happen about a ceasefire.

You're not going to see a ceasefire anytime soon.

Um and I would like to give you a way to know you want to debate.

If you get into lots of debates with people, as I find I often do on X, um, if the other person's point depends on making up a um, your opinion and putting it in quotes, you can declare a victory, you don't need to debate anymore.

Because if somebody has a real point, they'll say, "You said," and then they'll quote you correctly and then they'll make their point about it.

if they have a good point.

If they don't have any point at all, a frequent thing that people who have no point do will say, "Well, you said," and then they'll put quotes around something that you definitely didn't say and would never have said, and then they'll demand that you defend the thing that they just made up.

That happened to me twice yesterday.

Twice people quoted me just making up something.

It wasn't wasn't anything I said.

They just made it up and put it in quotes and said, "Well, if you're saying this, that means you won.

If somebody misqu, you don't need to go on.

That is your victory right there." All right, ladies and gentlemen, that is all I have for you today.

I'm going to talk privately to the locals people, the beloved locals people.

And uh the rest of you, thanks for joining.

We'll be here tomorrow, same time, same place.

Sorry I missed uh yesterday.

Um I had a just an insane stomach problem.

I feel as though I have the same problem this today.

I just decided to power through it and pretend I'm not in severe pain.

But uh it seems like it might be a reaction to my new meds cuz uh apparently that's a known side effect.

So I think that's what's going on, but I'll look into it a little bit more.

Uh and locals coming at you privately in 30 seconds.

There you are.

Hold on.

Come on in. It's time.

Yep.

We'll get our comments working and then

it all comes together. Um, might be a

little bit loud in the office today.

There are two other mammals in here with

me.

Um, and they look like they're ready to

destroy something.

More on that later.

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Ah, everything's working.

Paul, your timing is perfect.

I know you do that intentionally.

You always know when I'm looking at the

screen.

Good for you. All right. Well,

um, good news.

There's a New Jersey cat cafe coming. It

will be called the Calico Cat Cafe. It's

not ready yet, but uh, Ben and Dora are

opening it and they will have 12 cats

and you can go in there and pet cats and

play board games.

And uh good luck playing a board game

with

I don't think they thought this out.

Imagine combining these two things.

Board games and cats.

Do

Everybody who has ever been around a cat

knows you couldn't possibly have board

games and cats in the same place.

Those cats are going to scatter your

your board pieces.

It's It might literally be the best idea

and the worst idea of all time.

It sounds so good on paper. It's like,

"Wow, I can't go and play games and and

pet cats." And then the cats come in and

say, "How's your chess game?" wap.

All right. Well,

as you may know, and we won't talk about

this at length, the internet as a rumor

uh that is false, of course, that I was

pushing vaccines during the pandemic.

Well, I did the opposite of that. And uh

Jay Plemens was nice enough to put

together a compilation of me doing what

what Jay calls whatever is the opposite

of pushing the vaccines. So it's a

compilation of all the times I say

things like but I'm not promoting the

vaccine. I'm not a doctor. Only your

doctor should promote it. Don't take

medical advice from cartoonists.

So I thought to myself, will this settle

the question? Because there will be lots

of people who say it's on it's on X.

And I thought, what are what are all

those people going to do who were

positive that I was pushing the vaccines

when in fact I was not?

And what do you think happened? Have you

ever been in a situation where you were

having a date with somebody might have

been your spouse and because we write

everything down, you know, their text

messages and emails and stuff. Have you

ever had the experience where you could

prove that your side of the argument was

right in a way that was just undeniable?

Here it is. Well, look, it's right

there. It's right there on that message.

Just read it yourself and you can see

that I was completely right and you were

completely wrong. What happens in every

domain whether it's your marriage or

your co-workers or anything else? What

happens next when you prove somebody

wrong with documentation that's

irrefutable?

They always change the topic and pretend

they were always talking about something

else. And that's what happened. So

already this morning, some of the

commenters are coming in saying, "Well,

it wasn't really

wasn't really about the question of

whether you were promoting the vax. It

was, oh, oh, I know what it was. It was

that you weren't fighting against

mandates hard enough."

And I thought, "What?"

So that that was always the question.

So it was people who thought that if I

didn't fight against the mandates hard

enough,

that was sort of kind of almost the same

as promoting the vaccines.

So that's what happens when you prove

you're right. Somebody will say, "Well,

you're not right because the topic was

something related but different."

That'll happen every time. All right.

Uh, YouTube is on track to bring in $40

billion in ad revenue in 2025,

according to a user called Dexerto.

And they say their revenue is so high

because of AI making shorts.

I don't mean the kind that you wear to

cover up your naughty bits. I mean a

short video. Now, if you have not been

hooked yet on YouTube's short video

product,

um, it's really good because it knows

exactly what you want very quickly and

it starts feeding you just pure dopamine

or, you know, whatever the chemical is

that makes you happy. I have been uh

battling an addiction to that that's

pretty pretty bad. On the other hand,

I also tell myself, well, why would I

want to quit

something that feels good? Because it's

not like it's preventing me from working

or falling in love or something.

It's really not preventing anything.

It's just filling in some hours. So, I'm

not sure if I'm addicted or I just found

a new hobby that I like. But uh in

related news, the co-founder of YouTube,

the one of the one of the people who

invented the thing and launched it,

Steve Chen,

um he says he doesn't want his own kids

watching YouTube shorts or even uh um

Tik Tok or any of that kind of content

because he says that pure dopamine junk,

it's rewiring kids so that they won't do

anything if it doesn't if it doesn't

last, you know, 15 seconds. If it's more

than that, they just won't do it.

Actually, 15 minutes. Um, and according

to Steve Chen, some parents are now

forcing their kids to do long form

stuff, whatever that is, just so that

their brains are not destroyed by all

the, you know, fast form AI stuff. So, I

guess AI is what created all the um

clickable content for those reels. And I

I have to say the AI generated stuff

does make me click it, but it's not as

good as, you know, human-made stuff that

would be much more expensive to make. It

looks like somebody just has a prompt

where they go in and say, "Um, hey AI, I

want you to make me a video that would

be like one of the viral ones on

YouTube, and it will be about something

in history that's not covered, but you

can make it look interesting. Go." And

then it makes you a a little reel that's

so clickable you can't believe it.

Anyway, um big the big news today is

that President Trump has another big

win. He will tell you um he got a huge

trade deal between the US and the

European Union. And would you be

surprised to know that like everything

else, this is one of those two movies on

one screen situations.

Quiet, Gary.

There might be some cats in the room. Um

so the positive news about this deal

with the EU is that uh even allies

outside of the EU are saying that Trump

got an amazing deal and the United

States got everything it wanted and the

European Union basically rolled over and

caved on everything. So it's basically

just you know better for us.

Now,

do you believe that

it might be true? I'm I'm quite uh open

and willing to believe that that's the

case.

This is Gary.

I want to introduce Gary who may be

disturbing our future.

His brother Roman is around here

somewhere roaming around. Um but anyway,

as I was saying, um not everybody will

agree that this is the best trade deal

of all time. Peter Schiff, who's famous

for accurately predicting things in the

past. I don't know how how he's done

lately, but he's one of these famous

predictors about the economy. He says

it's basically he says it's a bad deal

for the US and it's good for the EU. So

there's at least one famous smart guy

who believes that the uh deal is better

for Europe. But the larger consensus

looks like about 99 to1 is that the US

got a great deal. And there's even some

thinking about why that is. And the why

is that the European Union has become

sort of an irrelevant zone of the world

and the US is the hot country as Trump

says and to put it uh in summary form

eur Europe needs the US more than US

needs Europe because they can't even

defend themselves. So, they need markets

to sell to and they need somebody to

defend them. And I guess Trump did a

good job of convincing them that giving

us a good trade deal would be really

really good for their future defensive

needs, which would have been sort of a

brilliant way to approach that. So,

uh, Trump's legend continues and I will

point out once again the the high risk,

but ultimately it's starting to look

brilliant, the strategy of having all

these different trade deals,

which on one hand, you say to yourself,

my goodness, all the chaos he created

back in April, but he did tell us it

would all calm down once they started

making deals. And then what happened? He

started making deals and it all calmed

down and the stock market said, "Oh, all

right. No problem. Continue." You know,

go make some more deals. So Trump's out

there making deals and he gets to

announce a new one at least once a week

now. It's just going to be winwin

win-win.

So he Trump has created the ultimate

summer event.

Normally the summer doesn't have any

news, but because of these trade deals,

there's going to be probably one of

these a week for the rest of the summer

as well. So brilliant, brilliant,

brilliant managing of the news cycle by

the the Trump team. Nobody's ever done

this better. You know, it the the one

thing that

the uh the Democrats and the non-Trump

believers

uh

have in common is that even his critics

have started to say that he's an amazing

political athlete. Have you heard that?

They say he's he's just the most amazing

political athlete.

And

do you remember in 2015 when I was the

lone voice saying, um, I don't think you

realize what's coming,

that he has more persuasive ability than

anything you've ever seen before. And

here we are.

Uh, I don't like to crow about my good

predictions,

but it is a show in which I make

predictions and then crow about them.

So, you have to put up with it. It is

sort of baked into the uh the business

model. I make predictions, I tell you

how it's going, and if they're wrong,

I eat crow. Anyway,

um apparently there's a very big deal

going down between Samsung and Elon

Musk.

Um so Samsung is building a new Texas uh

facility that will that will be

dedicated entirely to making Tesla's

next generation AI6 chip, which I guess

is important. Now what's important about

this beyond the fact that it two big

companies are having a an agreement to

do something big is that uh

um I think that Samsung's future in the

chip making business was a little bit

uncertain and this big deal with uh Elon

Musk gives them you know much more

stability. So that would put another uh

chipm entity in the United States

proper. So that's a big deal and it

would be related to um you know our most

advanced technologies. So that's all

good. Um but Elon has

uh made it even more interesting because

he said on X that um the Samsung agreed

to allow Tesla to assist in maximizing

manufacturing efficiency.

So,

uh, so apparently, um, Elon Musk

personally, and I assume some of his

lieutenants will be able to, um, inspect

the the Samsung factory for making chips

and figure out how to make it more

efficient, which is sort of his

expertise. You making manufacturing

efficient, not sort of, it's his

expertise.

And imagine if you were Samsung and Elon

Musk said to you, you know that factory

you're building, do you mind if I give

you some suggestions?

If you were Samsung, like you wouldn't

be able to get the smile off your face.

You'd be like, "Uh, really? Are you

serious?

You you personally want to walk the line

and uh make suggestions about make this

more efficient. Yes. Oh my god.

So obviously they said yes to that.

Although I I suppose you could imagine a

world in which they made the wrong

decision, but they did not. Um so

Samsung will be a little more stable.

Tesla's got a big um source for their

chips and uh something big's happening

there. So, as we're watching these big

businesses um some of them foreignowned

but coming back to America and uh

revitalizing things, it's happening

pretty quickly.

Pretty quickly.

So, uh,

Assistant Attorney General Hermit Dylan,

whose job it is, among other things, is

to, uh, get rid of all the, uh, racism

in the country. Get rid of all of it.

That's all that's all she has to do. Get

rid of all racism. But one of the things

she's calling out is that apparently, I

guess it was last night in Cincinnati,

there was some kind of a mob that

attacked some white tourists. I guess

the attackers were black and the people

being attacked were white tourists and

they got beaten um quite vigorously.

And I don't know anything about that

specific situation, so I'm not going to

wade into the the outrage of it. Um, I

feel like with these individual crime

situations,

it's too easy to say this is telling you

the story of everything. It might be

just something that was very unique to

that situation and you don't you don't

want to generalize it to the rest of the

country, but

um, Har Dylan is says she's got her eye

on it. So, if it turns out that that was

literally a racial hate crime, which it

might have been, it might have been just

that,

um, she's on it. Good.

Well, as you know, uh, Gileain Maxwell

answered all the questions that were

asked of her by the Justice Department

and about 100 people were um mentioned

or talked about and I guess there's some

talk of um clemency,

but uh

um Trump has not made any kind of

opinion on that yet. So, we'll see.

That'll be controversial

if it happens. It will it will break

apart the mega

coalition. You know what's funny is that

I totally understand when people get mad

about one issue with Trump,

but

I feel like people ultimately will

understand their own best interest.

If you thought that Trump did 25 great

things and two of them you really

thought were, you know, you would have

gone the other way, but you observe

that there are plenty of people who are

on your team who think Trump was right

about those two that you don't like as

well. Would you would you not vote for

Republicans

because you didn't get your two things?

Is that the way you'd play it?

Sorry, my cat's in my coffee. Cats,

don't get in the coffee.

No.

All right, take a look at her at him.

That's scary with the red collar on.

All right.

So,

every time Trump gets another victory

like this European Union trade deal,

it's going to be harder and harder to

say that you won't vote for him because

of something about Ebene.

And he's back.

All

right. Uh, so Representative Thomas

Massie and Democrat Roana are uh pushing

for some legislation to release all of

the government's files on Epstein.

And this raises a question to me.

Can Congress overrule the president just

by passing some legislation that says

release all of that stuff? And wouldn't

the president need to sign it?

So if you need the president to sign the

legislation,

but also the president could just tell

people to release it anyway.

What does the legislation do?

So, this is yet another one of those

situations where if I had, you know, an

extra minute, I would have used Grock to

look into it and say, "Can you explain

why we need legislation for something

that the president could just say, yeah,

release all that?" I So, I'm missing

something. And by the way, uh here's a

good here's a good general rule for you.

If someone who is clearly smarter than

you has a different opinion about what

to do, you should assume that the

problems on your end.

And that's what I'm doing on this one.

Uh, you know, Thomas Massie, he's got an

MIT degree. Um, if he and I took an IQ

test, I wouldn't like how that would

work out for me. He's definitely smarter

than me in a lot of obvious ways. So if

he thinks this legislation is necessary

or useful, he's probably right. So when

I tell you I don't understand why we

need it, that's pretty much on me. So my

assumption is that the problems on my

end. You should always do that. If

somebody's smarter than you and you

don't get why they're doing what they're

doing,

don't assume the problems on their end.

They didn't suddenly get dumb.

Well, Dan Bino um

left a cryptic message on X that um I

think is just wonderful. So, I'm going

to read it to you because the whole

thing is pretty interesting. It's a

little bit long, but Dan Banino posts,

"During my tenure here as the deputy

director of the FBI, I have been

repeatedly relayed to you. I have

repeatedly related to you that things

are happening that might not be

immediately visible but they are

happening. All right. So the first thing

we need to know is that there might be a

bunch of things that are really a big

deal that

um are coming our way but we don't know

when. The director and I are committed

to stamping out public corruption and

the political weaponization of both law

enforcement and intelligence operations.

It is a priority for us. Okay.

But now it gets to the good stuff. But

what I have learned in the course of our

properly predicated and necessary

investigations into these aforementioned

matters has shocked me down to my core.

Wait, listen to this. We cannot run a

republic like this. I'll never be the

same after learning what I've learned.

Wow.

I'll never be the same after learning

what I've learned.

Now, might I point out that Dan Bonino

has seen a few things in his life? How

hard would it be to shock him?

Wouldn't it be really hard? I mean,

unlike the uh the public that's not

paying attention, he he's watched

everything.

He's seen behind the curtain. He's seen

the ugliest political shenanigans. He's

seen crimes, the kind that you and I,

you know, we're lucky that we haven't

seen.

What in the world

would change him permanently?

I'll never be the same after learning

what I've learned. What in the world

could that be?

The only thing I can imagine is as

um maybe an an Epstein thing or maybe he

learned that the way the government is

really being run uh nobody really

understands

maybe that I don't know but wow he knows

how to tease us. So he says we can't go

on like this which clearly indicates

that we're going to find out what he

knows. at least that summary level. Do

you think it's aliens?

No, it's not aliens.

He He's uh he's clearly telling you that

you're going to find out. Uh

yeah, I mean the obvious guess would be

something Epstein and child related,

but

I don't know. I also feel like well

maybe he learned that the entire

governments of the world are all run by

blackmail. That's possible. I don't

know.

Um I saw a post uh yesterday I guess by

Joel Pollock of Breitbart and he said

the sub of Tulsi Gabbard's revelations.

Now, I think there's more coming, so we

might see some more stuff. Maybe it's

already dropped this morning, but here

here are the three things

that Joel uh summarizes of what we've

learned from Tulsi. Number one, um Obama

ordered a new intelligence assessment

after the first one said Russia did not

help Trump. Right, that's a good

summary. So, we know that Obama had an

intelligence assessment

that said that uh Russia did not change

any votes

uh but that Obama ordered a new one that

would mention that Russia was meddling

in the election. All right. Number two,

the Russians expected Hillary Clinton to

win and had dirt on her. So, we did

learn that and that's new and that does

change the narrative because if you know

that the Russians were um not really

even taking seriously that that Trump

could win, that makes everything look

different. Obviously, they weren't

trying to help him win. They were just

trying to weaken

um Hillary Clinton's inevitable

government, they assumed.

And the steel dossier was part of the

new report, the new thing that Obama

ordered. And Brennan lied to Congress

when he said it wasn't. And um this part

I told you about the other day. I guess

Brennan found a clever way to include

the steel dossier, but put it in the top

secret area so that people couldn't tell

that it was in there.

Oh, just trust us. There's also some top

secret stuff that goes into this

analysis.

Well, separately, um, there's more

coming. So, CIA director Ratcliffe says

there's more evidence coming. Um, and it

d and there's at least some people are

speculating that whatever is new is

coming implicates Hillary Clinton even

more than she's already implicated. I

think Gunther Eagleman had that that

take today. Um Devin Nunes, who you know

was the hero who took all the arrows

going after the Russia collusion hoax

when it was brand new and he was in the

government. Uh he's not part of the

government now, but uh he's very

relevant. So he's been on a lot of

podcasts and stuff, news reports, and he

says Devon Nunes says that the raid on

Mara Lago might be an important element

of the whole Russia hoax conspiracy

story, even though you thought they were

completely unrelated because it could be

that they were raiding Mora Lago just to

make sure that Trump had not taken some

of the Russia hoax documents with him.

for what? I don't know, blackmail or

something. Um, and that maybe the point

of the Mara Lago raid was to look for

Russia collusion hoax evidence that they

could then hide. I guess

I'm not so sure that I would jump to

assume that that's those stories are

connected. I think it would be just as

likely, maybe more likely, that um the

bad guys were just doing everything they

could to get Trump in every way, every

possible way.

All right. Uh there's a pollster named

Matt Towery who the Daily C the Daily

Color News Foundation is talking about

him. He was on uh somebody's show

recently. I guess he was on Fox News on

Friday and he says that the pollsters

are sort of uh full of BS and that he

believes that Trump's actual approval

rating is far bigger than than what the

media claims. Now the media looks at the

pollsters and both of them are fake news

apparently. So not every pollster. There

are some pollsters that uh are let's say

assertively

saying that the other pollsters are

fake. So

um Rasmusson would be one of the ones

who asserts that the other pollsters may

not be as accurate as people think. Um

but they've got a great track record

with presidential stuff especially.

Um

anyway,

so somebody who's in the business,

professional pollster Matt Towry,

believes that uh the polls are just sort

of rigged and fixed, that Trump is way

more popular than the polling shows. Do

you believe that? Does that uh line up

with your, let's say, anecdotal lived

life experience?

I can't tell.

because I'm definitely in a bubble.

I don't I just don't know what, you

know, the average person thinks. I just

don't spend time with the average

person, I guess. So, I don't know.

So, pollster, uh, I guess he would be a

pollster, Frank Luns.

Um, he says that Gavin Newsome and the

Democrats are doing a bad job on the

attacking Trump stuff. Now, other people

have said it, but when Frank L says it,

it's, you know, it's a little bit more

of a professional opinion than when

people like me say it. Um,

so apparently,

um, Frank L is saying that attacking

Trump is just bad. And if the way you're

attacking Trump is by acting like him,

um, you can't out Trump.

So,

um, so he he's sort of mocking and

criticizing the Democrats who say,

"Well, we just have to fight harder."

And he says, quote, "And so we need to

punch them in the face harder than

they're punching us." And Lun said, "You

cannot out Trump Donald Trump. It will

not work." It's why the Democratic Party

has its lowest numbers nationwide that

it's ever had. Um,

yeah. So, he says the negativity just

isn't working. Now, the you can't out

Trump.

Um, you've heard me say that as well,

right? And this is where that

authenticity thing happens. The reason

that Trump can be the way he is is that

that's who he is.

It's authentic. That's who he is. He

He's literally being the way he's always

been and he's just being Trump. So, you

can accept a lot when people are

transparent and consistent. You just get

used to him. So, we've we've now sort of

gotten used to Trump. But you can't

suddenly be the person who is nothing

like that and then try to just layer

that over your existing personality and

sell it. That's going to look the

opposite of authentic.

Why would it look the opposite of

authentic? Because it literally is by

design.

They're they're really they're literally

telling Democrats that they should act.

They should act. Nobody tells Trump he

should act.

Because you're getting full, you know,

full unadulterated Trump all day long.

He doesn't need to act anything. You

know, sometimes he could be full of

hyperbole, say, so to speak, but that's

who he is. That's who he is.

Well, Harry Anton of CNN points out that

Democrat favorability has in fact hit a

new low. CNN is recording them at

negative 26 points in favorability and

the Wall Street Journal has them at -30.

And these are numbers that we haven't

seen for 35 years or you know some very

long time. So yeah they are uh

completely falling apart. There's a

Princeton political scientist I saw I

think on Fox News Dr. Lauren Wright,

who says that uh, you know, Democrats

are abandoning the party in part because

they don't like being lied to and that

the whole episode about Biden's brain

um might might have turned off

Democrats.

I have not seen that. Have you? But

again, I'm in a bubble, so what I see is

not really a guide to anything. But do

you believe that people are turning on

Democrats like the existing Democrats,

not Biden? Biden is already everybody

knows this is out of the picture. So are

Democrats just Democrat voters who are

casually paying attention to politics,

do you think they really cared about the

Biden brain coverup

and that that their own team was lying

to them the whole time?

I don't know that people really care

about that. I think they really care

about capability

and personality

and uh who can get something done that

they want done.

I don't believe that they're

activated by that. It might be a little

bit, but I'm not even sure the average

voter could even describe to you

the whole auto pen story. I mean, that's

something that the political right is

ding out on, but I don't know if the

political left even sees the story or

cares about it or, you know, they saw it

once on CNN, but didn't follow up on it.

I don't know.

And then the other lie according to Dr.

Lauren Wright is that uh when Trump got

in office democracy would die but that

we don't observe any democracy dying. So

the Democrats are losing credibility. To

which I say again are they?

Because the Democrats would say you can

see with your own eyes that he's

destroyed your democracy. Now that

wouldn't be true.

but they believe it. So, I don't think

that they've wised up and seen that

their party is a bunch of hoaxers and

liars. And I don't think they're

affected by the Russia collusia hoax and

knowing that, you know, that the top

people in the party were probably

colluding to run a coup in the country

and that January 6 was a total uh um you

know, projection sort of play that they

always do that they they would run coups

and then accuse the other the other side

of running a coup and there's no

evidence that happened.

So yeah, um I just think that the lack

of having any policy ideas and the lack

of a charismatic national uh candidate

is all you need to explain why the

Democrats aren't looking good. They lost

everything. So people don't like losers

and they don't have anybody who has a

positive message that they could turn

that around. So you don't want to be

associated with somebody who number one

lost everything

and number two has absolutely no idea

what to do about it and basically tells

you that by the way they basically tell

you we have no no idea what to do about

it. We we think we have to punch people

in the nose harder.

So yeah, I guess I understand why

they're not so popular anymore.

Well, here's another story.

I don't know if I believe this one, but

um what's the word for luxury belief?

So, I'm going to make this one of my

luxury beliefs. I think I'm using I'm

using the term wrong. Um but the idea is

I want to believe this is true. All

right.

So the story is that Trump got Thailand

and Camb Cambodia to drop their uh their

war their very brief war against each

other. I guess they were they went to

war and uh the story is that Trump

convinced them to have an unconditional

ceasefire which they've done um and that

he may have done it by threatening to

give them tariffs.

Isn't that a little bit too neat

that all he did was get on the phone and

tell two waring countries, uh, I'll give

you bad trade deals unless you stop

firing. And then they immediately just

said, all right, all right. And they

they backed down. I feel like that might

have been a case of what I call the fake

because

um probably Cambodia and Thailand really

really didn't want to be in a war as in

really really didn't want to like really

really really didn't want to be in a

war. But they would have national pride

and ego and you know you can't just say

never mind. Oh never mind. I really

don't want to be in a war. you'd look

like a loser. So, you need some some

excuse. You need some outside pressure

to say, "Well, okay, given that outside

pressure, I guess we'll do a ceasefire."

So Trump, because he's got this new

little weapon he's created out of

nothing, which is the tariff, which by

the way is the smartest thing anybody

ever did in politics to create a weapon

and then use it right in front of

people. He just created it. The the

whole tariff idea, it didn't really

exist. I mean, it existed as a, you

know, a thing that people can do, but

nobody uses it this way. And it's

possible that the tariffs ended a war.

It's like Trump wakes up, you know, ends

a war

and then he golfs.

How many wars has he ended while

golfing? But he's still got two big

ones. He's got Gaza and he's got Ukraine

that he is not successful at, but he'll

find a way to monetize both of those.

Um, apparently there's a big FBI sweep

about uh in which 205 child predators

were arrested. I hate these kinds of

stories. I usually stay away from them

because they're just too ick. Um but

this is looks like a major deal and 55

field offices, FBI field offices were

involved.

So

I often wonder

how big this uh you know child predator

thing is. I mean if you went by what you

see on social media, you would think

it's you know half of your neighbors are

in on this. But I don't know because I

don't have, you know, the good news is I

don't have any connection to that world.

So I have no independent way to say,

yeah, they don't they don't know the

half of it, which might be true. Or, oh,

they're making a big deal about it, but

it's so rare, which I don't know to be

true. Um, I have no idea how to size

this. Obviously, if it's one person,

it's way too much. and or say all the

NPC things you have to say. It's the

worst thing ever. And even if it

happened only once to one person, we

should do everything in our power to

stop it. We all agree.

All right.

Um Trump says that Caleris broke the law

by paying for endorsements.

Uh that would include Beyonce, Oprah,

and L Sharpton. I believe all three of

them say um we didn't pay her. We didn't

we didn't get paid for these

endorsements. I think they would say oh

no um all they did is reimburse the

production company so that we weren't

paying you. Um and El Sharpton maybe

something got donated to a charity he's

involved with something like that. So

they would say no. No, technically we

did not get paid for endorsements.

Um I don't I don't know which way that

would go. I suspect

that even if uh they went to court, I

don't think that they would be found

guilty, but I don't know.

Maybe.

Well, what else is happening?

So, you know how people say that the

world fertility rate is going down

everywhere. Um, and we think it's

because the internet or smartphones.

Well, Mark and Dre points out

um with a chart that showed that the

fertility rate in the world has dropped

since 1960

and that was well before internet and

phones. So whatever it is

that's taking the average number of

children from five

five worldwide it was five uh down to

you know less than two

uh whatever it is it started well before

the internet and smartphones. So what is

it?

Well, I saw Chimath Pelapatia on X

comment to that. He said, "What actually

happened was that we stopped valuing

having a family and instead became

hyperfocused on individual goals." Now,

he doesn't say that that happened to

women,

although some of you want to want to

stick that in, right? Um the myriad

books, courses, content, slogans over

the past 50 years all reinforce the same

incentive. your fulfillment is largely

from professional endeavors. So, double

down and lean in. Again, he doesn't say

that that message was for women cuz I

feel like men always thought their

profession was their identity. Um,

but here's what I think. So I I think

he's he's definitely on to something

which is that we stopped valuing it and

started valuing individual attainment.

But um I think it's a follow the money

situation

and for other countries it's also a

follow the birth control. They may just

have more birth control. It could be

that if you eliminate the accidents, you

know, your birth rate drops really fast.

Um,

but I was I would give you this advice.

Don't get married until you can afford

the divorce.

That's the best marriage advice you'll

ever get. Don't get married until you

can afford the divorce.

That was always my plan because uh the

people giving you the worst advice were

commenting to my comment and the worst

advice is this.

Don't worry about divorce.

Just make sure you meet somebody that

would never get divorced.

How in the world do you think that you

can identify the person who will never

want a divorce? That's not a thing.

Every person who gets married thinks

that they found the one person that they

could be with forever.

And half of them are wrong and they get

divorced. And of the ones that don't get

divorced, I suspect half of them wish

they had the money to get get divorced.

So, if you look at the odds,

that whole idea of, well, I'm going to

game the system by being so smart, I'll

pick the best mate and we'll never have

to worry about divorce. Well, okay. Some

of you will get lucky,

but the world is not full of awesome

people where everybody can get one of

those.

Not so easy. All right.

Uh Trump says he's going to reduce his

50-day deadline he gave Putin to come up

with something to do with peace in

Ukraine.

Um and after the 50 days, which now

Trump is talking about reducing

um because he says he knows what Putin's

going to say, which is no to peace, that

I guess he's going to sanction him

harder. So that's coming.

The Israeli government is reportedly

opening up some humanitarian aid routes

to get food to the starving Gaza people.

Uh I will remind you that I don't

believe much of anything that comes out

of the war zone. So everything that

comes out of the war zone is either from

one side or the other. And they're only

going to release it if it makes their

side look good, the other side look bad.

So, I don't know what caused the food

not to get where it was going. I don't

know whose fault that was, but if the uh

kids get fed, that's good. Um, I will

just point out that when Trump is asked

about this, he frames it perfectly

because they're trying to they're trying

to fool people like him into taking a

side and saying, "Oh, Israel's bad." Or,

"Oh, Israel's doing a great job." and

Hamas is the ones who's keeping the food

from people. And I frankly have no idea

what's going on because I don't believe

anything that comes out of there. But uh

when Trump was asked about it, he said,

quote, "I'm looking for getting people

fed right now." That's perfect.

So if they try to get him to talk about

the ethics and the morality and which

side was good and which side was bad and

who's lying, it's just a it's just a

dead end. I mean, nothing good can come

from that. So instead, he just makes you

focus on the part that mattered. I'm

looking for getting people fed right

now. Nicely done. Um,

yeah. Then then he just says, "You have

a lot of starving people and he wants

the European nations to step up as

well." Um, Senator Lindsey Graham

believes that Trump and the Israeli

leaders do not believe a ceasefire deal

with Hamas is possible or maybe not

desirable, which would be the same

thing.

Um, you will recognize that opinion as

the one I had at the beginning of the

conflict. At the very beginning, I said,

"You don't think that they're just going

to give Gaza back, right?"

Um, I feel like I was the first one to

say that out loud. And they were, and

Israel was saying from the start that

they were looking for, quote, total

victory.

What does total victory mean? It doesn't

mean we give him a black eye and then

put him back in business. That's not

total victory. That's the opposite.

Total victory looks like Japan after

World War II or Germany after World War

II where there's an unconditional

surrender and one side completely redo

the culture and education system and

government of the conquered country.

So given that Hamas is never going to go

the way of uh of of uh Japan or Germany,

there's no realistic possibility they're

going to say, "All right, you won fair

and square. We're going to play along

because that's our best bet." It's just

not going to happen. So to act as if it

might, is crazy. So, it looks like

Lindsey Graham and Trump and Israel have

all the same opinion that the one and

only thing they can do is uh completely

completely dominate Gaza, kill everybody

in Hamas and probably depopulate it. Um

because it would otherwise it just

reconstitutes the way it was. So,

um I would expect

nothing to happen about a ceasefire.

You're not going to see a ceasefire

anytime soon.

Um and I would like to give you a way to

know you want to debate. If you get into

lots of debates with people, as I find I

often do on X,

um, if the other person's point depends

on making up a um, your opinion and

putting it in quotes, you can declare a

victory, you don't need to debate

anymore. Because if somebody has a real

point, they'll say, "You said," and then

they'll quote you correctly and then

they'll make their point about it. if

they have a good point. If they don't

have any point at all, a frequent thing

that people who have no point do will

say, "Well, you said," and then they'll

put quotes around something that you

definitely didn't say and would never

have said, and then they'll demand that

you defend the thing that they just made

up. That happened to me twice yesterday.

Twice people quoted me just making up

something. It wasn't wasn't anything I

said. They just made it up and put it in

quotes and said, "Well, if you're saying

this,

that means you won. If somebody misqu,

you don't need to go on. That is your

victory right there."

All right,

ladies and gentlemen, that is all I have

for you today. I'm going to talk

privately to the locals people, the

beloved locals people. And uh the rest

of you, thanks for joining. We'll be

here tomorrow, same time, same place.

Sorry I missed uh yesterday. Um I had a

just an insane stomach problem. I feel

as though I have the same problem this

today. I just decided to power through

it and pretend I'm not in severe pain.

But uh it seems like it might be a

reaction to my new meds cuz uh

apparently that's a known side effect.

So I think that's what's going on, but

I'll look into it a little bit more. Uh

and locals coming at you privately in 30

seconds.