Episode 2926 CWSA 08/13/25
Summer news is the best kind. Come in and say hi. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
All right, let's do that. Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization, except for all the technology is broken and sucks. But we'll have an X-only show today. It will not be appearing on the other platforms until we record this. I don't even know if that works, but w…
View segment →ould you like the simultaneous sip? I think you'd like it. If you'd like it, all you need is a copper mug or a glass, a tankard, a jug or a canteen, jug or flask, vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit o…
View segment →l right. Now, given that I can't tell if my audio is working, I have to check. YouTube. All right. Okay. So I'm going to put a note here on X. Rumble Studio not working. All right, that's the best I can do. Well, did you know that Meta and their AI, they think they've taken the first step towards s…
View segment →d the AI's nearly infinite? How would you even measure that? And then you go to the next layer which is these Neuralink or Synchron chips. How would you measure the IQ of a cyborg who had part human brain but could access somewhat automatically the infinite intelligence of the internet? I don't kno…
View segment →mess. Anyway, IQ I predict will be a much, much bigger part of the conversation especially because China is trying to raise super IQ warriors and babies and stuff. So a lot more on that is coming. So there's a story in the news. I saw it on social media. I think it might be true, but it's so fun t…
View segment →family. Now, I hope it's true that it's all made up because that would be a good summer news story. It seems slightly more likely that there was a Bailey family, but maybe exaggerated a little bit or something, but for now, I'm going to accept that he made it all up because it's just funnier. All…
View segment →bit in the past month. Food was flat, didn't go up or down, and shelter was a little bit up, 2%. Now, but the core inflation, that would be the stuff that's not energy, food, or shelter. I think that's what core inflation is. That had a 3.1% inflation, which would be high. So your major categories w…
View segment →m. But now we have learned according to Fox News that for Smartmatic to get the contract for LA, they may have been giving some let's say gifts to the local officials. Apparently they reportedly funneled dollars into quote a slush fund and that it provided the register recorder and clerk Dean Logan…
View segment →. They're just making up. When I see Swalwell go on TV frequently and make ridiculous claims, I do not tell myself, huh, he looks like he might be mistaken or have bad information. I never say that. He looks like he's lying. When Adam Schiff goes on TV, he doesn't look like he's misinformed. He loo…
View segment →Nobel Peace Prize, but it also works for us because when he goes into the next negotiation, I want the people that he's negotiating with to say, oh, here's that guy who always makes the peace deal work. And then he has more chance of making it work because everybody just believes it will work. That…
View segment →od for some people and bad for others. Well, the Ukraine negotiations, the meeting looks like it's going to be on Friday in Alaska and Trump is wisely making sure that his administration is talking to the Europeans because they were fearing being sidelined and left out of the deal and also talking…
View segment →d at least one pumping station were attacked by Ukrainian drones. Now, do you think that Trump has already sort of approved or authorized or said it's okay with me if Ukraine takes out Russia's energy production capacity? Because I feel like that's going to happen. I feel like Trump is going to say…
View segment →y always do as part of the cover up. Well, how do you know that it's summer? Well, one way is that one of the most interesting stories is about the new head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. I'm hoping that when the summer is over and the news becomes more meaty that I will no longer be talking ab…
View segment →d at me all the time about which is that I don't talk enough about the H-1B visas. And the reason is that I feel like you have to be pretty close to it to have a smart opinion. And I've never been close to the topic. In other words, I've never worked in a business where I had to hire somebody like t…
View segment →ans who could do all those jobs. So that would be the counterargument, and I don't know which is true, but we'll probably find out because there will be some changes made. All right. Zero Hedge is reporting that according to the Financial Times that the Macron of France secretly hired investigators…
View segment →nd if you were to just remove letters from Brigitte, you would have it. And then you remove some letters from Macron and you'd have man. So it would be it man. Now, is that a weird coincidence that the entire topic is about whether or not she's a man and that both of their names have man right in th…
View segment →rn a woman, but there's just tons of coincidental things that sort of suggest she wasn't. So I don't know what the truth is there, but I'd go 60 40 that the evidence is not conclusive, but we'll see. Maybe we'll know at some point. Rasmussen did a poll on whether people trust the New York Times. Wh…
View segment →everywhere before stabilizing the region and eventually handing leadership off to friendly Arab forces opposed to Hamas. Well, can you think of anything that would be a different plan from that that might work? I can't. You know, you don't have to be in favor of it or against it. You can simply say…
View segment →fering to buy it for about twice the value of all of Perplexity. So there is some thinking that they could get backing to do that deal and then Perplexity would own Chrome. I wouldn't bet that that's going to happen, but it might happen. Could be a big deal. And then you probably know that the Gold…
View segment →All right, let's do that.
Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization, except for all the technology is broken and sucks. But we'll have an X-only show today. It will not be appearing on the other platforms until we record this. I don't even know if that works, but we might be able to load it on the other platforms later.
But how would you like the simultaneous sip? I think you'd like it. If you'd like it, all you need is a copper mug or a glass, a tankard, a jug or a canteen, jug or flask, vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day. The thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip.
What happens now? Go.
All right. Now, given that I can't tell if my audio is working, I have to check. YouTube. All right. Okay. So I'm going to put a note here on X. Rumble Studio not working. All right, that's the best I can do.
Well, did you know that Meta and their AI, they think they've taken the first step towards super intelligence? And so Zuckerberg says he's not going to release any new versions that are their best version because their best version has super intelligence. Apparently the Meta AI has already shown signs of improving itself, meaning that they can tell it to upgrade its own code and it will rewrite its own code and make it better. Now, just in small ways, but that is the thing everybody worries about, is that the AI will figure out how to do it in big ways and it'll happen kind of instantly. And if you're not ready for it, the whole world is in trouble.
I'm going to make a counter prediction. My prediction is that AI will be able to improve itself and that'll happen right now, I guess, but that the amount it can improve itself will be severely limited. It will not be instantly becoming godlike. It will do stuff like, hey, I can improve the efficiency of my code so that I can answer faster or I can answer more completely. But I feel like that's all it's going to do. I just don't feel like the nature of intelligence is that no matter how much you have, you have the ability to improve your own intelligence. I mean, beyond those small tweaks of your code. So I'm going to bet against it.
But we already know according to the Lancet there's some concern that doctors are becoming dumber as they use AI. I'm not sure I believe this. This doesn't sound like the data would be reliable necessarily, but they studied colonoscopies that were used by doctors who were using AI to make sure that they were really getting it right. And the doctors who used AI allegedly became almost instantly worse at identifying tumors on their own. Do you believe that? Do you believe that the ones who used AI to help them identify tumors that they instantly lost the ability to do it themselves or they were 20% worse at it almost instantly?
Maybe. Maybe because if you believe that you don't need to be smart and that something else is doing the smart part for you, I believe that you probably turn down your brain power a little bit. So it wouldn't surprise me. I don't know if that'll make the world worse or not. As long as the AI is getting the job done, it doesn't matter. It doesn't matter, right? As long as you get the right answer.
Well, there's a new movement. I don't know how new it is, but Silicon Valley is apparently trying harder to get smart babies. So there are a couple ways you can do that. One of the ways is that you can hire somebody to find you a mate. So they have all these really expensive dating services where a human being will match you with people that they've vetted. Now that's for the super rich. But if you're super rich and you're smart and you want to make sure that any children you have are also smart, you can tell your human matchmaker to only pair you with somebody who's super smart. So the odds of your baby being super smart, if it's the two of you, are very good. Very good.
But the other way is that they have new technologies now that can determine the likely smartest egg, I guess. So if you've got some fertilized eggs, you can check them out to find out what their probable IQ is and then you can select based on that. But part of this story is the media has trouble acknowledging that IQ matters. So they have to throw in all these qualifiers like, well, you know, IQ is just one variable. It's just one variable. I mean, you also have your lifestyle and your upbringing and your parenting and all that. To which I say, why are we so shy about IQ? That IQ is the single most predictive variable in all of life. If somebody is super smart, that doesn't necessarily mean they'll be rich or successful, but the odds of it are way, way higher than if they're not super smart.
Is it a coincidence that all the heads of our biggest, most impressive companies are also super smart? You know, Zuckerberg and Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos and, you know, I could go on, Bill Gates. So yeah, the fact that we're struggling with the question of whether IQ matters is sort of a DEI leftover because as soon as you imagine that IQ matters, then genetics comes into the conversation and then it's all racist. So you can't even have that conversation really. However, I think we're getting closer to the point where we can.
In other news, NewsNation is reporting that there was an ALS patient, that's somebody who's lost control of their bodily functions, that learned to control an iPad entirely by thought. Now if that sounds like Neuralink, you'd be right to say it sounds like it, but it's a competing company. So I guess Neuralink now has an established competitor called Synchron. S Y N C H R O N. Synchron. And they've developed a sensor that must be really good. So it's competitive with the Neuralink stuff.
So here's what's going to happen. IQ in humans only matters so much because if you've got AI to augment your IQ, how would you measure the IQ of someone who knew how to use AI and had access to it? Yeah. See how hard that is? If you took a person who has an IQ of 100 and they didn't have AI, you'd say, oh, that person has so much capability. But if you took a person with an IQ of 100, taught them how to use AI, and then made sure that they really did use it, wouldn't their functional IQ be, it wouldn't be as high as the AI's IQ, but wouldn't it be some blend between the human's 100 IQ and the AI's nearly infinite? How would you even measure that?
And then you go to the next layer which is these Neuralink or Synchron chips. How would you measure the IQ of a cyborg who had part human brain but could access somewhat automatically the infinite intelligence of the internet? I don't know. Would that be an IQ of 100 plus of machine parts or would it be an infinite IQ? What happens if the AI does more than just answer questions? What if you've got a chip in your head and it's making suggestions? If it's making suggestions, sort of like the voice that's in your head naturally, I feel like you would have almost infinite IQ as long as you took the suggestions. You know, if you were overruling the suggestions, it might be a hot mess.
Anyway, IQ I predict will be a much, much bigger part of the conversation especially because China is trying to raise super IQ warriors and babies and stuff. So a lot more on that is coming.
So there's a story in the news. I saw it on social media. I think it might be true, but it's so fun that I'm going to treat it like it's true, even if it's not. Everybody okay with that? We're all going to say we're going to suspend our critical functions because it might be true. By the way, I don't know if it's true, but the story is that Chuck Schumer has been telling a story about a fake family for decades, and apparently he always gets away with it. Now the story is allegedly that the family doesn't exist and it's somebody called the Baileys and that over time Schumer uses them to show that he knows some middle class family that has a set of problems that he has all the solutions for. So he's added like the names of the children and their ages and you know what kind of job he has and allegedly it's all made up. There's no Bailey family.
Now, I hope it's true that it's all made up because that would be a good summer news story. It seems slightly more likely that there was a Bailey family, but maybe exaggerated a little bit or something, but for now, I'm going to accept that he made it all up because it's just funnier.
All right. Looks like our technology is working on X.
Well, the Make America Healthy Again Commission was supposed to send over their recommendation yesterday to the White House on how to combat childhood chronic diseases. So I believe that they have the report at the White House, but they're still looking over it, and there will be probably some tweaks to it before we see it. But part of it was addressing school lunches. Apparently school lunches are filled with ultra-processed food. And so we're sending kids to school to make them dumber and more mentally ill and sicker with the food that they have to eat.
Now, one thing that if you have any teenagers especially, have you noticed that the teenagers often will skip lunch because they use it for a social time instead of eating? So there's a whole lot of teenagers who don't eat anything during the day or might get a snack or something. That's it. So that's also a problem. But RFK Jr. apparently wants to improve these school lunches, but that's no easy thing because it's cheap to give them frozen, highly processed food, and it would be expensive to give them freshly prepared meals, which would require hiring more people to make them, etc. So I don't know what we're going to do because we don't want to raise the budget of schools all over the country so much. But on the other hand, we don't want to poison our children. So pick one.
Well, in the usual way that every single story becomes two movies on one screen, inflation is either really under control and it's good news or it's high and it's bad news. And both of those stories are active today. But apparently energy prices went down a little bit in the past month. Food was flat, didn't go up or down, and shelter was a little bit up, 2%. Now, but the core inflation, that would be the stuff that's not energy, food, or shelter. I think that's what core inflation is. That had a 3.1% inflation, which would be high. So your major categories were good, but some of the other ones were not. So you could find whatever story you want in the inflation numbers. It's either too high or it's not.
But to make things even more fun, the Federal Reserve, if the inflation looked high, would be highly inclined to lower the interest rates, which would be really good for markets, which is why the stocks are way up this morning. So we can't even tell if inflation is good news or bad news because if the inflation is high, the stock market goes up because that means that the interest rates will probably be artificially driven down a little bit to battle the inflation and that's good for stocks. So I can say with certainty that inflation is either up or down and that the net effect of that inflation being either up or down is that it'll be either good or bad and the cause will either be the tariffs or no effect from the tariffs. So all of those movies are playing at the same time. Pick one.
Well, in the most predictable news, the Texas Democrats went AWOL so that there would be no vote on redistricting in Texas because they didn't like how the map was being drawn. So the Democrats did their usual theater kid thing and they made a big deal about it and they made some cringy social media posts and then Texas got tough and acted like they were going to have them all hunted down and arrested and I don't know fired and their pay would be cut and all kinds of threats. But the one thing that we can all be sure of is that it wouldn't last. It's not as if the Democrats were never coming back because if they never came back, they would get removed from office. So they didn't really have any play. The only play they had was getting some attention like they're fighting.
Now, this is very consistent. And by the way, they're already back and Texas has already voted in the new redistricting map. So everything they did was a waste of time, but it fell into the Democratic strategy of cursing more and fighting harder. So it was a fake fight. They wanted to pretend that they were really serious and they're fighting hard, but they had no fight. They had no play whatsoever. In the end, Texas was definitely going to get what the majority wanted, and they did. So pathetic. Very pathetic.
Apparently Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton has threatened to lock up Beto O'Rourke because Beto was raising money to help the Democrats be AWOL and keep them in food and transportation while they're gone. And apparently Paxton has filed a motion for contempt in court against him with a maximum sentence of $500 fine and/or 6 months in jail. That's a weird law, isn't it? That the maximum sentence is either, well it could be both, but it could be $500 or it could be six months in jail. Do you think Beto O'Rourke is going to get six months in jail? I don't think so. But Paxton says, quote, "I'm working to put him behind bars." So there's another video of Beto O'Rourke cursing more and saying that they got to fight more. Fuck this, fight, fight more. That's all they got. Cursing and pretending to fight.
Well, there's a new wrinkle in the story of Smartmatic and Fox News. You may know that Smartmatic, the voting machine company, do they do only software or do they do hardware? I can't remember. But they've got a lawsuit against Fox News for defamation. I guess Fox News must have claimed that there was some irregularities with their technology and they didn't like it, so they're suing them. But now we have learned according to Fox News that for Smartmatic to get the contract for LA, they may have been giving some let's say gifts to the local officials. Apparently they reportedly funneled dollars into quote a slush fund and that it provided the register recorder and clerk Dean Logan with quote business class travel, expensive entertainment, expensive entertainment you say, and other personal benefits. Oh personal you say that could be anything. And that it was not disclosed which I guess would have made it legal.
And so the belief is that Smartmatic may have tried to bribe some local government people so they could get that contract to which I say have I mentioned that all local government is a criminal activity. You cannot have a local government in charge of very large contracts. That's it. That's the whole statement. You can't have a local government that's in charge of distributing who gets contracts because it's too much power and they're going to steal it. They're going to give it to their friends and their friends are going to find some indirect hidden way to reward them for giving them the contract. And I feel like that's going to happen every time in every city. And whenever they look for it, they seem to find it. Like you could throw a dart at the United States and hit any city and then say, all right, we're going to do a deep audit and find out if the people who got all of the contracts that the city gives out, how many of them are friends of the people who were in elected office? And you would find out most of them that the whole system is not just corrupt, but it's designed in a way that guarantees it. It's a guaranteed corrupt system. It's going to be that way every time. Now, not every contract every time, but over time, you know, over the length of time that we're alive, you can guarantee that every one of these local entities will be staffed with corrupt politicians who are just making tons of money allocating money to contractors.
Well, there's some new declassified documents from the FBI. Kash Patel continues to feed us little stuff. And this one says that Comey ordered the FBI to assist the New York Times in writing one of the articles. And there's also information that Comey had some kind of a PR professional that was working just to feed news to the media that would make Comey look good. And as part of the FBI's assistance to the New York Times, they made available Peter Strzok and Lisa Page to be interviewed by the New York Times. And then what else we know? According to some new documents also Eric Swalwell is reportedly the source of a lot of leaked information and had to be counseled to be more careful.
Now are you having the same impression I have about the Democrats? I remember at the very beginning when the Russia collusion hoax was being hatched and I would watch Brennan and Clapper talk about it on TV and I would say to myself, huh, I'm no body language expert, but it seems to me very obvious by their demeanor and the choice of words and their body language that they're completely lying about all of this. But I didn't know. I mean, it was just my impression when I looked at it. I was like, huh? You know, I don't think that every single person who goes on television is lying, even if they're on what I would consider the other team. Sometimes there's just different opinions and different facts and there's two movies on one screen and all that. But Brennan and Clapper look like they literally were just making up. And it turns out, looks like that's what they were doing. They're just making up.
When I see Swalwell go on TV frequently and make ridiculous claims, I do not tell myself, huh, he looks like he might be mistaken or have bad information. I never say that. He looks like he's lying. When Adam Schiff goes on TV, he doesn't look like he's misinformed. He looks like he's lying. And it just seems really obvious. And again, I don't say that about every member of Congress or every Democrat. It's not about them being Democrats. They are the designated liars. Jamie Raskin, whenever he's talking, I just assume it's a lie and that he knows it's a lie, not that he's mistaken.
So do Republicans have something like that? I mean, I realize that Trump is always in the hyperbole world and he's always exaggerating his accomplishments, etc., but that doesn't feel the same because Trump knows that we know that he's a salesman. So it's a little bit like we have an agreement with him. All right. Yeah. Okay. You can brag about that a little bit. It's good for the country. If Trump can convince the country that the US is now the hottest country and everybody should be making deals with us, it's good for the country. So I definitely accept that when Trump is exaggerating, it's just part of the process and it works and it unambiguously it works. But these Democrats, they just look like they're really bad liars and it just looks completely different. Like they're just making stuff up out of nothing.
Let's see what else we got here. And there's now worldwide calls for President Trump to receive the Nobel Peace Prize. I kind of like the fact that Trump is lobbying directly and indirectly to win a Nobel Peace Prize. So it makes it more like the Academy Awards. You know, to get an Academy Award, you have to do more than just make a good movie or be good at whatever you did for the movie. You have to sort of lobby for it, you know, kind of politic for it a little bit. And I don't know if that was ever the case for the Nobel Peace Prize. I thought people used to win these prizes without even knowing they were nominated necessarily.
But we do know that the following according to the White House, they put down a social media post on this that the following countries and/or leaders have recommended the Nobel Peace Prize for Trump. You got the prime minister of Armenia, president of Azerbaijan, prime minister of Cambodia, the president of Gabon. Is it Gabon? G A B O N Gabon. Gabon. There's a word I've never said aloud. Then there's Israel and Netanyahu. And there's the government of Pakistan. And there's the foreign minister of Rwanda.
Now, it's funny that it's the government of Pakistan but not the government of India when Trump allegedly was instrumental in getting Pakistan and India to stand down from their little conflict. But I think India's story is that Trump didn't really make a difference and Pakistan is saying that he did. So once again, does it matter if Trump is exaggerating the calls for him to get a Nobel Peace Prize? No, no, that's an exaggeration that works for him if he gets a Nobel Peace Prize, but it also works for us because when he goes into the next negotiation, I want the people that he's negotiating with to say, oh, here's that guy who always makes the peace deal work. And then he has more chance of making it work because everybody just believes it will work. That will be extra important this week probably. We'll talk about that in a minute.
According to, I saw Chanel Rion on OAN talking to Harmeet Dhillon, assistant attorney general, and apparently the Trump Department of Justice is going to review all the 50 states and make them clean up their voter rolls and restore public confidence in elections. How much difference do you think that will make? I'm a little undecided if cleaning up the voter rolls is going to just wildly change the outcome of elections. It might wildly change the outcome because we believe, but I have no evidence to support this. It's just a belief that Democrats are more likely to game the system with names they should not be on the election voter rolls. Now, I don't know if that's true, but if they clean up the voter rolls, we might find out. So I love that.
There's also some mystery going around Trump's view of marijuana. Axios is reporting that it might be another one of those situations where the Republicans can steal a topic that normally you'd expect the Democrats would be more progressive on like marijuana legalization and/or decriminalization. And Axios points out that the Trump administration banned food dyes which you'd sort of expect would be a Democrat thing, calls for an end to animal lab testing, which you would imagine would be a Democrat thing, and embraced psychedelics for mental health, which again, you would assume would have been a Democrat thing, but they missed all three of them. I assume RFK Jr. is the reason that Trump is doing some of the things that you'd expect would have come from Democrats.
But the conversation about marijuana is not to make it legal at a federal level, but to reschedule it. And there's a little ambiguity about what that really means. But if you reschedule it, it will look like you did something, but it won't change the world that much because it's not legalizing it. It's just rescheduling it, which would be it might be officially recognized for medicinal use. So the federal government could say, well, it's not legal, but if you're using it for medicinal use, and maybe if you've got a prescription from a doctor, then the feds are okay with it. And that might be enough to allow the weed manufacturers to have a little extra freedom for banking and whatever else that they've been restricted from doing.
But certainly you're probably aware that Republicans are not unified on this. However, how much of the world is unified on it? I think 88% according to a Pew Research Center poll, 88% of people favor medical or recreational use. 88%. Now, it's medical or recreational use. So my guess is that almost everybody's in favor of medical use because almost everybody knows at this point they almost all know somebody who used it medically and it worked. So I can see why there'd be 88% support.
I will say again that my view on marijuana and legalization is it's a lot like guns. There's no such thing as guns are good or guns are bad. Guns are good for some people. It makes them safer and it's definitely bad for other people. So if somebody's in favor of guns and somebody's not in favor of guns, it's not like you can take the average. The best you can do is hope that there are more people who agree with your take on it and then that's where the law goes. So marijuana is like that. It would be catastrophic for some people's lives if you make it easier and less stigmatized. Almost certainly that would result in just killing some people. But that would be the same with guns. It'd be the same with having swimming pools. It's legal to build a swimming pool in your backyard and that's just a death trap. You know, sometimes you have to put a gate around it and stuff, but still it's still sort of a death trap. So a swimming pool could be the greatest thing for people who really like it and can afford it and all that, but also it's a death trap reliably. I mean, you can know for sure a certain number of people drowned in swimming pools, most of them children.
So marijuana is neither bad nor good. It's life-changingly good for some people and I'm one of them. I should just admit to you, I wouldn't be able to do my podcast without it. This morning, as every morning, I'm on some meds right now that give me just insane cramping and stomach aches. And it just pops up maybe three times a day, but marijuana makes it go away. And since I'm a chronic user, I don't get all the psychedelic, that's the wrong word, but I don't get strong reactions from the drug. All it does is calm my stomach. So I'm very high right now. Could you tell the difference? Probably not. If you had never had marijuana before and you tried doing it right before you did a podcast in front of tens of thousands of people, would that be a good idea? No, that would be a very bad idea. But I happen to be a chronic lifetime user and it has very predictable benefits to me. So my stomach right now, perfect, completely cured, takes about 15 minutes. So I just give myself the cure, wait about 15 minutes, and a tremendous amount of pain, I mean it's a lot of pain, just goes away. So right now I have no pain in my stomach. So I would like people like me to have access to it, but I acknowledge that in a free world, it will cause other people to die. And that's not ideal, but it's a way we make decisions about all the stuff that's good for some people and bad for others.
Well, the Ukraine negotiations, the meeting looks like it's going to be on Friday in Alaska and Trump is wisely making sure that his administration is talking to the Europeans because they were fearing being sidelined and left out of the deal and also talking to Zelenskyy and trying to make sure that they're somewhat on the same page. Now, I do agree that Trump should meet with Putin without them because if you add too many voices too soon, nothing good happens. I mean, the decision makers are Putin and probably Trump. Everybody else just has to be browbeat to get on board if they can come up with some kind of a deal. So it does make sense to me that Trump would have this conversation with just Putin. I feel like that moves the ball ahead a little bit. I don't think there's really any chance that they'll make a deal on this one meeting. Do you? I feel like there's not enough to work with. It might be important to the process of continuing to talk and working it out and maybe somebody will come up with the idea that works, but I doubt it.
Here's what I think is going to happen. Axios is reporting that insiders are saying that Trump is quote still pissed off at Putin for yanking him around all these times and not being serious about peace, which is kind of embarrassing for Trump because he made some promises that he could wrap up that war quickly and nothing like that is happening. But if it's true that Trump is pissed off at Putin, then I want this meeting to be between Trump and Putin because if we know anything about Trump, he's going to say something like this. This is also from Axios that there are more ways that basically Trump could close down the Russian economy. Now that would be a much bigger step than anything that's happened so far. But do you think that Trump will threaten it? There's no way that Trump is going to threaten nuclear war because that wouldn't sound believable and it'd be a bad idea. But we know that Trump likes to threaten and I doubt that he's going to have a personal conversation with Putin who he is pissed off at and not threaten him. There's going to be some threats. Now how he words the threats, there's a lot of variability. It might be offensive and it might be polite. We don't know. But I feel like Trump is going to sit in the room with Putin and he's going to say, here's the deal. You just made me look like a chump. No good. I'm going to have to destroy your whole economy unless you give me a peace deal because you made me, Putin, you made me look like an idiot. I promised I would wrap this war up and then you're working on the other side from that. I'm pissed off at you. You need to make this right. Otherwise if you and I are never right, say goodbye to your little economy. I'm going to find 10 new ways to squeeze you into dust because you with me.
Now, would he be able to say that if the room was full of Zelenskyy and European leaders? Not really. Not really. He wouldn't be able to say it as clearly as it needs to be said. But what I suspect is that Trump's leverage is his personal feeling about this. Let me say that again. Putin is working with lots of different variables. You know, there's the military, the economy, there's the personalities and all this. And most of those things he has some kind of advantage. There is one thing he does not have an advantage in, which is how Trump feels about the situation. If he leaves the meeting, Trump, and he's more pissed off at Putin, Putin loses. We don't know what he loses. We don't know if we'll be worse off than Russia will. There'll still be lots of questions. But if he pisses off Trump more than Trump is already pissed off, Trump is going to find a way to close down his whole economy. And he won't really have a choice because you can't let Putin grab you by the nads and swing you around in front of the entire public if you're the United States and certainly if you're Trump. So although I don't believe any of this was planned in a clever way, the situation is that if Putin doesn't give Trump something that Trump can take home and say, you know, we got some progress, there's going to be real trouble. And I think we're at the point where Trump can just squeeze the big Jesus out of what's left of their economy. And he can do it forever and he can just keep making money from Europe buying our weapons. So if Trump creates a situation where the US keeps profiting selling weapons and Putin is just losing stuff, you know, he's just spending money on the war and he's also having his economy squeezed in all the ways that we can squeeze it. Trump has some leverage. So the personal feeling of Trump is his biggest leverage right now. Putin cannot ignore that because Trump won't ignore it and I wouldn't want him to. So maybe something will happen but it will depend how well Trump threatens Putin whether Putin believes it.
Well, to that point, apparently overnight some Russian pipelines and at least one pumping station were attacked by Ukrainian drones. Now, do you think that Trump has already sort of approved or authorized or said it's okay with me if Ukraine takes out Russia's energy production capacity? Because I feel like that's going to happen. I feel like Trump is going to say to Putin, here's the deal. The only reason Ukraine hasn't taken out your entire energy infrastructure is because some of our allies need the energy. But we're kind of done with that. And if you don't give me a deal, I'm going to say, look, Ukraine, we'll sell you weapons. And if you want to take out all of Russia's energy production, that's up to you. That's between you guys. And that would scare Putin. I think it would. So could be it's not a coincidence that those energy production things got hit right before the Friday conversation. Damn it. Don't use that word.
Well, the National Guard is now deployed in the Washington DC area. 100 guard members and 500 federal agents. And we'll see how that goes. MSNBC, of course, is still reporting the hoax crime numbers. MSNBC doesn't seem to want to admit or tell its viewers that the crime numbers are just complete because all they have to do is recategorize things and reclassify things and suddenly it looks like crime is going down when it's not. But even Joe Scarborough is not buying into the Democrat messaging this time. So good for him. And he read aloud a text he got from a quote very liberal person which is I guess if you're on MSNBC and you're disagreeing with the network's narrative that you don't say that you disagree you read a text from somebody who is very liberal. Well this is not my opinion but I'm going to read this text from some person you don't know. And the text apparently said from this very liberal person, quote, "This may sound controversial, but I'm not totally opposed to Trump's National Guard move in DC. I know he's doing it for politics, but crime remains rampant." And the stranger said, the highly liberal stranger said to Joe Scarborough by text, "I've had too many friends carjacked, shot at. None of us will walk more than three blocks after 8:00 p.m. 13 year olds are committing many of these crimes. It's quite a change from a decade ago when things were much calmer."
And so Scarborough was talking to Symone Sanders who used to be Bernie's head of his campaign and then worked for Biden. And Scarborough says to Symone, "You don't think more police make streets safer?" Now that's not a real question, right? Because 100% of the world knows that more police makes your streets safer. It's not really something you debate, right? So Scarborough puts that out there. You don't think more police make streets safer? Symone Sanders says, "No, I'm a black woman in America." So is that an answer to the question? You don't think more police make streets safer? No. I'm a black woman in America. Okay. I have nothing to say about that.
But then one of their other regular guests, the guy who looks like he has the flaming hair. Do you know the guy who's got the gray hair that he's teased so it looks like a gray flame on top of his head? Anyway, Anand Giridharadas. And he said on MSNBC, quote, "When I go to DC, I'm not afraid of losing my wallet so much as I'm afraid of losing my vote." He goes on, "I'm not afraid of losing my wallet so much as I'm afraid that my children's freedom to breathe will be stolen in a world where climate change policy is non-existent." Is everybody on MSNBC dumb? Because they're making Joe Scarborough look like the smartest guy in America just because he's not buying into the crazy part of this narrative.
And then Jamie Raskin was asked about it, about the new emphasis on DC crime, and he says that Raskin says Trump wants to put the National Guard in the streets of DC because of quote graffiti and homeless people. So Jamie Raskin, one of the designated liars, I always tell you that there's a small group of people like Swalwell and Raskin whose only job is to say the things that other Democrats would be embarrassed to say because it's just so obviously ridiculous. No, I don't think Trump brought in the National Guard to work on the graffiti or the homeless people. And then Raskin says that Trump knows DC crime well because he quote incited a violent mass insurrection in DC. So he goes back to January 6.
Now Raskin will be one of the 10 poll protectors. Now as you know, everybody watching this knows January 6 was a hoax and a coup attempt by the Democrats. And what it was is they probably stole the election. Now my belief that 2020 was a stolen election is based on the way they treat the January 6 because they have such a pattern of projection, which is blaming the Republicans for the thing that they're actively doing right then that you can use it to predict. So I don't have any direct evidence that the 2020 election was stolen. I don't have direct evidence, but I do see that they're blaming the Republicans for trying to do an insurrection when clearly that wasn't happening. So why would they be projecting that? Because they're doing it. So their projection about January 6 is for me as a let's say as a jaded observer of politics to me that's confirmation that they it wouldn't even occur to them to blame the Republicans of an insurrection unless they had just pulled one off and it looks like they had. So my opinion is that the longer they go with this January 6 hoax, the more certain I am that they have something to cover up and that they're using projection as they always do as part of the cover up.
Well, how do you know that it's summer? Well, one way is that one of the most interesting stories is about the new head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. I'm hoping that when the summer is over and the news becomes more meaty that I will no longer be talking about the new person at the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. But apparently this new guy E.J. Antoni is getting a lot of push back from Democrats who say that his resume is kind of weak. He hasn't he's not enough of a superstar to be in that job. But other people like Wall Street Mav on X was saying that he's a huge fan of E.J. Antoni and that he's been on TV a bunch of times. He's been on Steve Bannon's podcast. And then I understood, oh, I get it. He's good on TV. So his resume is a little bit light. But he's a loyal MAGA guy, it looks like. And he's been on all the right shows and he must be good on TV. So those are I think that's enough to put him in the job because his job is to figure out how to fix the numbers. I don't think he has to make up the numbers. I don't believe he has to sit at a desk and call upon his economics expertise to just make up numbers. I believe that the job is how to find better, more reliable and timely sources. Is he capable of doing that? Probably most people would be able to do that. You wouldn't have to be an economist to say, all right, can somebody tell me where we can get good numbers and what's stopping us from using them? So no, you don't need to be the world's most published economist to figure out that the numbers were bad and they need a better source. And you'll talk to smart people who know where those numbers can be improved and presumably have better numbers someday.
So there's a topic which people are mad at me all the time about which is that I don't talk enough about the H-1B visas. And the reason is that I feel like you have to be pretty close to it to have a smart opinion. And I've never been close to the topic. In other words, I've never worked in a business where I had to hire somebody like that or I was working with a lot of people who had H-1B visas. So I don't have even a glancing experience with it. And so every time I'd read about it, I would say to myself, huh, I'll bet this story in the news is bullshit. And the reason I think that is because all the other stories are. So I feel like not only do I not know enough about the pros and cons of the H-1B, but that I could not learn it by reading the news. I don't think that I could use AI to tell me cuz it looks like it's just a bunch of people lying about stuff.
So here's what I think is true. What I think is true is that there are some well-meaning people who say, let's just use these visas to bring in people from other countries who have very specific skills that for whatever reason Americans can't match. That might make sense. But others say, Scott, you fool. You fool. Don't you realize that the system will be gamed and it will just turn into a way for big companies to replace American workers who might be too expensive with cheaper labor and then pretend there was no way to hire anybody who could have done that job who was already here as an American. So I feel like that captures the argument, right? The argument is if you could do it right, you might get a lot of people to agree with it because it would be a small number of people with specific expertise and we couldn't match it with Americans. But the reality is you could probably match everything. The counterpoint would be there's no such thing as something an American can't do. There is no such thing. You might have to try a little harder to hire an American, but there are Americans who could do all those jobs. So that would be the counterargument, and I don't know which is true, but we'll probably find out because there will be some changes made.
All right. Zero Hedge is reporting that according to the Financial Times that the Macron of France secretly hired investigators to dig up dirt on Candace Owens. Because you might know that Candace Owens is being sued by the Macrons because Candace has done a series of content claiming that Brigitte Macron was born a male and specifically was the person who looks like her little brother in old pictures and that she's still a man basically. She of course would say that's not true. But here's something I noticed today that just tells you we live in a simulation. If I had to bet on it, I would bet against Brigitte Macron having been born a man. And the only reason is because they could make this whole thing go away just by proving she's a woman. And that feels like an easy thing to prove. Doesn't it? Could you not release at least the DNA part of the report that said what you were born as? Couldn't they do that? You know, maybe they don't want all of her DNA to be in the public domain, but you couldn't have somebody just say, all right, the only part we're going to talk about is, yeah, definitely a woman. Seems like it'd be easy. They can make the whole thing go away with a minimal amount of effort. But instead they're doing this big legal thing and digging through things etc.
But what I wanted to mention is here's how you know that we're a simulation. So Brigitte Macron's husband is Emmanuel Macron. Did you know that the word man is the middle of the word Emmanuel and that you couldn't spell Macron without man? So he's got man in his first name and his last name has man. Biggest funnier. He's married to Brigitte Macron. And if you were to just remove letters from Brigitte, you would have it. And then you remove some letters from Macron and you'd have man. So it would be it man. Now, is that a weird coincidence that the entire topic is about whether or not she's a man and that both of their names have man right in their name? What are the odds of that?
Anyway, so I'm going to bet against her having been born a man, but let me use the Candace Owens hypothesis to make a point I made yesterday. I told you how if you don't understand that things could be not true and yet there'd be tons of evidence that says it's true. This might be one of those. It might be that you know she was born a woman, but there's just tons of coincidental things that sort of suggest she wasn't. So I don't know what the truth is there, but I'd go 60 40 that the evidence is not conclusive, but we'll see. Maybe we'll know at some point.
Rasmussen did a poll on whether people trust the New York Times. What percent of likely US voters said they had quote a lot of trust in news coverage from the New York Times? What percent said they had a lot of trust in the New York Times? That's right. If I could see your comments, I would know that you're saying 25%. The answer is 23. But there is another 27 that have some trust. They've got a little bit some trust. So that's not good. That's as close as you can get to having nobody trust you is if a quarter of the people say they do. That is as close as these polls get to zero, which I've described to you in the past.
Well, let's do an update on the Democrats, the dumbest Democrats. And Beto O'Rourke is doubling down on the cursing cuz that's what they think is the problem. Not enough cursing. He said at an event, "Who cares about the effing rules right now? Throw some punches. Win some effing power." And everybody cheered. Now maybe the crowd is the problem because they shouldn't cheer for that. He just described a losing strategy. The losing strategy is to once again ignore policy and ignore the rules of decorum and throw some punches and fight harder and swear more. And everybody's like, yeah, yeah, that's not good advice. That's a terrible idea. That's not going to get you anything. And the things he focuses on are the fight and the winning of power. Shouldn't he be focusing on how he's going to help the people who have been ignored the middle class? Shouldn't he be telling us how he's going to decrease the national debt or keep us out of wars? None of that. No, just some vague fight and swear a lot. So that's a Democrat update.
Well, Hamas is trying to broker some kind of a deal before Israel does what it says it's going to do, which is a complete occupation of Gaza City and some other places. And they're going to destroy every last trace of Hamas before they turn over. Their plan is to turn over Gaza to a friendly Arab occupation. So Israel says they don't want to own Gaza. They want to just get rid of Hamas and then have it run by some Arab coalition maybe that doesn't like Hamas either. So Netanyahu says, our goal is not to occupy Gaza. Our goal is to free Gaza. That's a good reframe. The goal is to free Gaza. He says the goal is to fully root out Hamas everywhere before stabilizing the region and eventually handing leadership off to friendly Arab forces opposed to Hamas.
Well, can you think of anything that would be a different plan from that that might work? I can't. You know, you don't have to be in favor of it or against it. You can simply say, what the hell else are they going to do? Like, what else would they do? I can't think of anything. So as plans go, it looks like the most workable plan of all the plans that aren't workable. I wouldn't bet it's going to be successful, but it's better than anything else.
Well, India and China are trying to restore their economic links and friendliness. It's been a problem since the 2020 border clash. But it looks like Modi might need to put a little pressure on Trump by saying, well, you know, if we don't get everything we want with our tariffs, etc., we might have to get a little closer to China. And you wouldn't want that, would you? So looks like Modi is playing a clever game in which he's improving things with China, but it puts a little pressure on the US and our tariff game. So we'll see where that goes.
Well, the AI company called Perplexity has offered to buy the Chrome browser from Google because Google's got this antitrust case going on. And part of the antitrust case is that they might be asked to sell off some of their assets that are non-competitive like Chrome. Non-competitive meaning too competitive. They have too much of the market. And Perplexity is offering to buy it for about twice the value of all of Perplexity. So there is some thinking that they could get backing to do that deal and then Perplexity would own Chrome. I wouldn't bet that that's going to happen, but it might happen. Could be a big deal.
And then you probably know that the Golden Dome is being planned and implemented and that would protect the United States from incoming missiles. And apparently it's we know a little bit more about the plan. It'll have a four layer defense system. And they presented their idea to 3,000 defense contractors so that people could bid on parts of it. So I guess it's better to have a golden dome than not to have a golden dome. So that's good.
All right. I can't see your comments because I'm broadcasting only on X. Had a little problem with the Rumble Studio this morning. It wasn't allowing me to stream to the other platforms. We'll get that worked out by tomorrow. So I think if I just end this, it will save it. So I'm going to push that little X in the corner and say goodbye. And locals, I'll catch up with you in the morning tomorrow when everything works. So I hope this worked cuz I can't really tell if the sound and the video worked the entire time.
All right, let's do that.
Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization except for all the technology is broken and sucks.
But we'll have a XON show today.
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I don't even know if that works, but we might be able to load it on the other platforms later.
But um how would you like the simultaneous sip?
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Fill it with your favorite liquid.
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And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day.
The thing makes everything better.
It's called the simultaneous sip.
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Go.
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Now, given that I can't tell if my audio is working, I have to check your note.
I see you.
No, You.
Tube.
Uh, right.
Okay.
So, I'm going to put a note here on X.
Stop it today.
Bumble studio not working.
All right, that's the best I can do.
Well, uh, did you know that Meta and their AI, they think they've taken the first step towards super intelligence?
And, uh, so Zuckerberg says he's not going to release, um, any new versions that are their best version because their best version has super intelligence.
Apparently, the uh Meta AI has already shown signs of improving itself, meaning that they can tell it to upgrade its own code and it will rewrite its own code and make it better.
Now, just in small ways, but that is the uh the thing everybody worries about is that the AI will figure out how to do it in big ways and it'll happen kind of instantly.
And if you're not ready for it, the whole world is in trouble.
I'm going to I'm going to make a counter um prediction.
My prediction is that AI will be able to improve itself and that'll happen you right now, I guess, but that the amount it can improve itself will be severely limited.
It will not be instantly becoming godlike.
It will do stuff like, hey, I can improve the efficiency of my code so that I can answer faster or I can answer more completely.
But I feel like that's all it's going to do.
I just don't feel like I don't feel like the nature of intelligence is that no matter how much you have, you have the ability to improve your own intelligence.
I mean, beyond those small tweaks of your code.
So, I'm going to bet against it.
Um, but we already know according to the Lancet, there's some concern that doctors are becoming dumber as they use AI.
I'm not sure I believe this.
This doesn't sound like the data would be reliable necessarily, but uh they studied colonoscopies that were used by doctors who were using AI to make sure that they were really getting it right.
And the people, the doctors who used AI allegedly became almost instantly worse at identifying tumors on their own.
Do you believe that?
Do you believe that the ones who used AI to help them identify tumors that they instantly lost the ability to do it themselves or they're I think they were 20% worse at it almost instantly?
Maybe.
Maybe because if you believe that you don't need to be smart and that something else is doing the smart part for you, I I believe that you probably turn down your brain power a little bit.
So, it wouldn't surprise me.
I don't know if that'll make the world worse or not.
As long as the AI is getting the job done, doesn't matter.
It doesn't matter, right?
As long as you get the right answer.
Well, there's a new movement.
I don't know how new it is, but Silicon Valley is apparently uh trying harder to get smart babies.
So, there are a couple ways you can do that.
One of the ways is that you can hire a um hire somebody to find you a mate.
So, they have all these really expensive uh dating services where a human being will match you with people that they've vetted.
Now, that's for the super rich.
But if you're super rich and you're smart and you want to make sure that any children you have are also smart, you can tell your Cuban matchmaker to only pair you with somebody who's super smart.
So, the odds of your baby being super smart, if it's the two of you, are very good.
Very good.
But the other way is that they have new technologies now that can determine the likely smartest um egg, I guess.
So if you've got some fertilized eggs, you can check them out to find out what their probable IQ is and then you can select based on that.
So, um, but part of this story is the, uh, the media has trouble acknowledging that IQ matters.
So, so they have to throw in all these qualifiers like, well, you know, IQ is just one variable.
It's just one variable.
I mean, you also have your lifestyle and your upbringing and your parenting and all that.
To which I say, Why do we why are we so shy about IQ?
That IQ is the single most predictive variable in all of life.
If if somebody is super smart, that doesn't necessarily mean they'll be rich or successful, but the odds of it are way way higher than if they're not super smart.
Is it a coincidence that all the heads of our biggest, most impressive companies are also super smart?
You know, Zuckerberg and Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos and, you know, I could go on, Bill Gates.
Um, so yeah, the the fact that we're struggling with the question of whether IQ matters is a sort of a DEI leftover because as soon as you imagine that IQ matters, then genetics comes into the conversation and then it's all racist.
So you can't even have that conversation really.
However, I think we're getting closer to the point where we can.
In other news, News Nation is reporting that there was an ALS patient.
Um, that's somebody who's lost control of their bodily functions that learned to control an i.
Pad entirely by thought.
Now, if that sounds like Neuralink, you'd be right to say it sounds like it, but it's a competing company.
So I guess Neurolink now has a uh established competitor called Singron.
S Y N C H R O N.
Singron and they've developed a sensor that must be really good.
So it's competitive with the Neuralink stuff.
So here's what's going to happen.
IQ in humans only matters so much because if you've got AI to augment your IQ, how would you measure the IQ of someone who knew how to use I um knew how to use AI and had access to it?
Yeah.
See how hard that is?
If you took a person who has an IQ of a 100 and they didn't have IQ, they didn't have AI, you'd say, "Oh, that's person has so much capability." But if you took a person with an IQ of 100, taught them how to use AI, and then made sure that they really did use it, wouldn't their functional IQ be it wouldn't be as high as the AI's IQ, but wouldn't it be some blend between the humans 100 IQ and the AI's nearly infinite?
How would you even measure that?
And then then you go to the next layer which is these neurolink or synchron chips.
How would you um measure the IQ of a cyborg who had part human brain but could access somewhat automatically the infinite intelligence of the internet?
I don't know.
Would that be an IQ of a 100 plus of machine parts or would it be an infinite IQ?
What happens if the AI does more than just answer questions?
What if you've got a chip in your head and it's making suggestions?
If it's making suggestions, sort of like the voice that's in your head naturally, I feel like you would have almost infinite IQ as long as you took the suggestions.
You know, if you were overruling the suggestions, it might be a hot mess.
Anyway, IQ I predict will be a much much bigger part of the conversation especially because China is trying to raise super IQ warriors and babies and stuff.
So a lot more on that is coming.
Um so there's a story in the news.
I saw it on social media.
I think it might be true, but it's so fun that I'm going to treat it like it's true, even if it's not.
Everybody okay with that?
We're all going to say we're going to suspend our critical functions because it might be true.
By the way, I don't know if it's true, but the story is that Chuck Schumer has been telling a story about a fake family for decades, and apparently he always gets away with it.
Now the the story is allegedly that the family doesn't exist and it's somebody called the Bailey's and that over time Schumer uses them to um show that he knows some middle class family that has a set of problems that he has all the solutions for.
So he's added like the names of the children and their ages and you know what kind of job he has and allegedly it's all made up.
There's no Bailey family.
Now, I hope it's true that it's all made up because that would be a good summer news story.
Um, it seems slightly more likely that there was a Bailey family, but maybe exaggerated a little bit or something, but for now, I'm going to accept that he made it all up because it's just funnier.
All right.
Uh, that's not good.
>> A little bit or something, but for now.
>> All right.
Looks like our technology is working on X.
Well, the uh Make America Healthy Again Commission was supposed to send over their recommendation yesterday to the White House on how to combat childhood chronic diseases.
So, I believe that they have the report at the White House, but they're still looking over it, and there will be some uh probably some tweaks to it before we see it.
But part of it was addressing school lunches.
Apparently, school lunches are filled with uh ultrarocessed food.
And so, we're sending kids to school to make them dumber and more mentally ill and uh sicker with the food that they have to eat.
Now, one thing that if do you if you have any uh teenagers especially, have you noticed that the teenagers often will skip lunch um because they use it for a social time instead of eating?
So, there's a whole lot of teenagers who don't eat anything during the day or might get a snack or something.
That's it.
So, that's also a problem.
But, uh RFK Jr.
apparently wants to improve these school lunches, but that's no easy thing because it's cheap to give them frozen, highly processed food, and it would be expensive to give them freshly prepared meals, which would require hiring more people to make them, etc.
So, I don't know what we're going to do because we don't want to raise the budget of schools all over the country so much.
Um but on the other hand, we don't want to poison our children.
So pick one.
Well, in the usual way that uh every single story becomes two movies on one screen, inflation is either really under control and it's uh good news or it's high and it's bad news.
And both of those stories are active today.
But apparently uh energy prices went down a little bit in the past month.
Food was flat, didn't go up or down, and shelter was a little bit up, 2%.
Now, uh, but the core inflation, that would be the stuff that's not energy, food, or shelter.
I think I think that's what core inflation is.
Um, that had a 3.1% inflation, which would be high.
So your your major categories were good, but some of the other ones were not.
So you could find whatever story you want in the inflation numbers.
It's either too high or it's not.
But to make things even more fun, the uh Federal Reserve, if the inflation looked high, would be highly inclined to lower the interest rates, which would be really good for markets, which is why the stocks are way up this morning.
So we can't even tell if inflation is good news or bad news because if the inflation is high, the stock market goes up because that means that the interest rates will probably be, you know, artificially driven down a little bit to battle the inflation and that's good for stocks.
So I can say with certainty that inflation is either up or down and that the net effect of that inflation being either up or down is that it'll be either good or bad and the cause will either be the tariffs or no effect from the tariffs.
So all of those movies are playing at the same time.
Pick one.
Well, in the most predictable news, the Texas Democrats went awall so that there would be no vote on redistricting in Texas because they didn't like how the map was being drawn.
So, the Democrats did their usual theater kid thing and they made a big deal about it and they made some cringy social media posts and then Texas got tough and acted like they were going to have them all hunted down and arrested and I don't know fired and their pay would be cut and all kinds of threats.
But the one thing that we can all be sure of is that it wouldn't last.
It was It's not as if the Democrats were never coming back.
because if they never came back, they would get removed from office.
So, they didn't really have any play.
The the only play they had was getting some attention like they're fighting.
Now, this is very consistent.
And by the way, they're already back and uh Texas has already voted in the new redistricting map.
So everything they did was a waste of time, but it fell into the Democratic strategy of cursing more and fighting fighting hard.
So it it was a fake fight.
They they wanted to pretend that they were, you know, really serious and they're fighting hard, but they had no fight.
They had no play whatsoever.
In the end, Texas was definitely going to get what the majority wanted, and they did.
So pathetic.
Very pathetic.
Um, apparently Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton has threatened to lock up Betto Aor because Betto was raising money to help the uh Democrats be awall and, you know, keep them in uh keep them in food and transportation while they're gone.
And uh apparently Paxton has filed a motion for contempt in court against her work as a maximum sentence um of $500 fine andor 6 months in jail.
That's a weird law, isn't it?
That the maximum sentence is either uh Well, it could be both, but it could be $500 or it could be six months in jail.
Do you think Bento work is going to get six months in jail?
I don't think so.
But Paxton says, quote, "I'm working to put him behind bars." So, there's another video of Betto Aor cursing more and saying that they got to fight more.
F this, fat, fight more.
That's all they got.
Cursing and pretending to fight.
Well, there's a new wrinkle in the story of Smartmatic and Fox News.
You may know that um Smartmatic, the uh the uh voting machine company, do they do only software or do they do hardware?
I can't remember.
But they're uh they've got a lawsuit against Fox News for defamation.
I guess Fox News must have claimed that there was some irregularities with their technology and they didn't like it, so they're suing them.
Um but now we have learned according to Fox News um that uh for Smartmatic to get the contract for LA, they may have uh they been may have been giving some uh let's say gifts to the local officials.
Apparently they reportedly they they funneled dollars into quote a slush fund.
Um and that it provided uh the register recorder and clerk Dean Logan with quote business class travel expensive entertainment.
Expensive entertainment you say and other personal benefits.
Oh personal you say that could be anything.
uh and that it was not disclosed which I guess would have made it legal.
Um and so the uh the belief is that smatic may have tried to bribe some local government people so they could get that contract to which I say have I mentioned that all local government is a criminal activity.
You cannot have a local government in charge of very large contracts.
That's it.
That's that's the whole statement.
You can't have a local government that's in charge of distributing who gets contracts because it's too much power and they're going to steal it.
They're going to they're going to give it to their friends and their friends are going to find some indirect hidden way to reward them for giving them the contract.
And I feel like that's going to happen every time in every city.
And whenever they look for it, they seem to find it.
Like you could throw a dart at the United States and hit any city and then say, "All right, we're going to do a deep audit and find out if the people who got all of the contracts that the city gives out, how many of them are friends of the people who were in elected office?" And you would find out most of them that the the whole system is not just corrupt, but it's designed in a way that guarantees it.
It's a guaranteed corrupt system.
It's going to be that way every time.
Now, not every contract every time, but over time, you know, over the length of time that we're alive, you can guarantee that every one of these local uh local entities will be staffed with corrupt politicians who are just making tons of money allocating money to contractors.
Well, there's some new declassified documents from the FBI.
Cash Patel continues to feed us little stuff.
And this one says that uh Comey ordered the FBI to assist the New York Times in writing one of the articles.
And there's also information that Comey had some kind of a PR professional that was working just to feed news to the the media that would make Comey look good.
And uh as part of the FBI's assistance to the New York Times, they made available Peter Stro and Lisa Page to be interviewed by the New York Times.
And then what else we know?
According to um according to some new documents also um Eric Swallwell uh is reportedly the source of a lot of leaked information and had to be counseledled to be more careful.
Now are you having the same impression I have about the Democrats?
I remember at the very beginning when the Russia collusion hoax was being hatched and I would watch Brennan and Clapper talk about it on TV and I would say to myself, "Huh, I'm no body language expert, but it seems to me very obvious by their demeanor and the choice of words and their body language that they're completely lying about all of this." But I didn't know.
I mean, it was just my impression when I looked at I was like, "Huh?" You know, I I don't think that every single person who goes on television is lying, even if they're on what I would consider the other team.
Sometimes there's just different opinions and, you know, different facts and there's two movies on one screen and all that.
But Brennan and Clapper look like they literally were just making up.
And it turns out, looks like that's what they were doing.
They're just making up.
When I see Swallwell go on TV frequently and make ridiculous claims, I do not tell to tell myself, "Huh, he looks like he might be mistaken or have bad information." I never say that.
He looks like he's lying.
When Adam Schiff goes on TV, he doesn't look like he's misinformed.
He looks like he's lying.
And it just it seems really obvious.
And again, I don't say that about every member of Congress, you know, or every Democrat.
It's not about them being Democrats.
They are the designated liars.
Jamie Rascin, whenever he's talking, I just assume it's a lie and that he knows it's a lie, not that he's mistaken.
So, do do Republicans have something like that?
I mean, I realize that Trump is always in the hyperbole world and he's always exaggerating, you know, his accomplishments, etc., but that doesn't feel the same because, you know, that Trump knows that we know that he's a salesman.
So, it's a little bit like we have an agreement with him.
All right.
Yeah.
Okay.
You can you can brag about that a little bit.
It's good for the country.
If if uh if Trump can convince the country that the US is now the hottest country and everybody should be making deals with us, it's good for the country.
So I I definitely accept that when Trump is exaggerating, um it's just part of the process and it works and it unambiguously it works.
But these Democrats, they just look like they're really bad liars and it it just looks completely different.
Like they're just making stuff up out of nothing.
Let's see what else we got here.
Um and there's a now worldwide calls for President Trump to receive the Nobel Peace Prize.
I I kind of like the fact that Trump is lobbying directly and indirectly to win a Nobel Peace Prize.
So it makes it more like the uh the Academy Awards.
You know, to get an Academy Award, it is you have to do more than just make a good movie or be good at whatever you did for the movie.
You you have to sort of lobby for it, you know, kind of politic for it a little bit.
And I don't know if that was ever the case for the Nobel Peace Prize.
I thought people used to win these prizes without even knowing they were nominated necessarily.
But uh we do know that the following uh according to the White House, they put down a put down a social media post on this that the following countries andor leaders have recommended the Nobel Peace Prize for Trump.
You got the uh prime minister of Armenia, president of Azerbashan, prime minister of Cambodia, the president of Gabon.
Is it Gabon?
G- a b- o n gabon.
Gabon.
There's a word I've never said l.
Then uh there's Israel and Nanyahu.
And there's the government of Pakistan.
Uh and there's the foreign minister of Rwanda.
Now, it's funny that it's the government of Pakistan but not the government of India.
when when Trump allegedly was uh instrumental in getting Pakistan and India to stand down from their little conflict.
But I think India's story is that Trump didn't really make a difference and Pakistan is saying that he did.
So once again, does it matter if Trump is exaggerating the calls for him to get a Nobel Peace Prize?
No, no, that's a exaggeration that works for him if you know he gets a Nobel Peace Prize, but it also works for us because when he goes into the next negotiation, I want the people that he's negotiated with to say, "Oh, here's that guy who always makes the peace deal work." And then he has more chance of making it work because everybody just believes it will work.
that will be extra important this week probably.
We'll talk about that in a minute.
Um, according to I saw Chanel Ryan on O talking to Har Dylan, assistant attorney general and uh apparently the Trump Department of Justice is going to review all the 50 states and make them clean up their voter roles and uh restore public confidence in elections.
How much difference do you think that will make?
I I'm a little undecided if cleaning up the voter roles is going to just wildly change the the outcome of elections.
It might it might wildly change the outcome because we believe, but I have no evidence to support this.
It's just a belief that um Democrats are more likely to game the system with names they should not be on the election voter roles.
Now, I don't know if that's true, but if they clean up the voter roles, we might find out.
So, I love that.
Um, there's also some mystery going around uh Trump's view of marijuana.
Axios is reporting that uh it might be another one of those situations where the Republicans can steal a topic that normally you'd expect the Democrats would be more progressive on like marijuana legalization andor decriminalization.
And uh Axio points out that the Trump administration banned food dyes, which you'd sort of expect would be a Democrat thing.
Uh calls for an end to animal lab testing, which you would imagine would be a Democrat thing, and embraced psychedelics for mental health, which again, you would assume would have been a Democrat thing, but they missed all three of them.
I assume RFK Jr.
is the reason that um Trump is doing some sort of things that you'd expect would have come from Democrats.
There's also some mystery going around uh Trump's view of marijuana.
Axios is reporting that uh it might be another one of those situations where the Republicans can steal a topic that normally you'd expect the Democrats would be more progressive on like marijuana legalization andor decriminalization.
And uh Axio points out that the Trump administration banned food dies which you'd sort of expect would be a Democrat thing.
uh calls for an end to animal lab testing, which you would imagine would be a Democrat thing, and embraced psychedelics for mental health, which again, you would assume would have been a Democrat thing, but they missed all three of them.
I assume RFK Jr.
is the reason that um Trump is doing some sort of things that you'd expect would have come from Democrats.
But the conversation about marijuana is not to make it legal at a federal level, but to uh reschedu it.
And I there's a little ambiguity about what that really means.
But if you reschedu it, it will look like you did something, but it won't change the world that much because it's not legalizing it.
It's just rescheduling it, which would be it might be officially recognized for medicinal use.
So, the federal government could say, "Well, it's not legal, but if you're using it for medicinal use, and maybe if you've got a prescription from a doctor, then the feds are okay with it." Um, and that might be enough to allow the the weed manufacturers to have a little extra freedom for banking and whatever else that they've been restricted from doing.
But uh the uh certainly you're probably aware that Republicans are not unified on this.
However, how much of the world is unified on it?
I think 88% uh according to a Pew Research Center poll, uh 88% of people favor medical or recreational use.
88%.
Now, it's medical or recreational use.
So my guess is that almost everybody's in favor of medical use because almost everybody knows at this point they almost all know somebody who used it medically and it worked.
So I can see why there'd be 88% support.
Uh I will say again that my view on marijuana and legalization is it's a lot like guns.
There's no such thing as guns are good or guns are bad.
Guns are good for some people.
It makes them safer and it's definitely bad for other people.
So, if somebody's in favor of guns and somebody's not in favor of guns, it's not like you can take the average.
The best you can do is hope that there are more people who agree with your your take on it and then that's where the law goes.
So, marijuana is like that.
It would be catastrophic for some people's lives if you make it easier and, you know, let's say less stigmatized.
Almost certainly that would result in just killing some people.
But that would be the same with guns.
It' be the same with having swimming pools.
It's legal to build a swimming pool in your backyard and that's just a death trap.
You know, sometimes you have to put a gate around it and stuff, but still it's still sort of a death trap.
Um, so a swimming pool could be the greatest thing for people who really like it and can afford it and all that, but also it's a death trap reliably.
I mean, you can know for sure a certain number of people drowned in swimming pools, most of them children.
Um, so marijuana is neither bad nor good.
It's lifech changingly good for some people and I'm one of them.
Um, I don't know.
I I should just admit to you, I wouldn't be able to do my podcast without it.
Um, this morning, as every morning, I'm on some meds right now that give me just insane cramping and stomach aches.
Uh, and it just pops up maybe three times a day, but marijuana makes it go away.
And since I'm a uh chronic user, I don't get all the psychedelic, that's the wrong word, but I don't get a strong reactions from the drug.
All it does is calm my stomach.
So, I'm very high right now.
Could you tell the difference?
Probably not.
If if you had never had marijuana before and you tried doing it right before you did a podcast in front of, you know, tens of thousands of people, would that be a good idea?
No, no, that would be a very bad idea.
But I happen to be a chronic lifetime user and it has very predictable benefits to me.
So my stomach right now, perfect, completely cured, takes about 15 minutes.
So I I just give myself the uh the cure, wait about 15 minutes, and a tremendous amount of pain.
I mean, it's a lot of pain just goes away.
So right now I have no pain in my stomach.
So I would like people like me to have access to it, but I acknowledge that in a free world, it will cause other people to die.
Um, and that's not ideal, but it's a way we make decisions about all the stuff that's good for some people and bad for others.
Well, the the Ukraine conversation, oh, I shouldn't say conversation, I hate that word.
the Ukraine negotiations, the meeting uh looks like it's going to be on Friday in Alaska and Trump is wisely making sure that his administration is talking to the Europeans because they were fearing being sidelined and left out of the deal and uh also talking to Zilinski um and trying to make sure that uh they're somewhat on the same page.
Now, I do agree that Trump should meet with Putin without them because if you add too many voices too soon, nothing good happens.
I mean, yet the decision makers are Putin and probably Trump.
Everybody else just has to be browbeat to get on board if they can come up with some kind of a deal.
So, it does make sense to me that Trump would have this conversation with just Putin.
I feel like that that moves the uh the ball ahead a little bit.
I don't think there's really any chance that they'll make a deal on this one meeting.
Do you?
I I feel like there's not enough to work with.
It might it might be important to the process of continuing to talk and working it out and you maybe somebody will come up with the idea that works, but I doubt it.
Here's what I think is going to happen.
Uh, Axios is reporting that insiders are saying that Trump is quote still pissed off at Putin for, you know, yanking him around all these times and not being serious about peace, which is kind of embarrassing for Trump because he made some promises that he could wrap up that war quickly and nothing like that is happening.
Um, but if it's true that Trump is pissed off at Putin, then I want this meeting to be between Trump and Putin because if we know anything about Trump, he's going to say something like this.
Um, this is also from Axios that there are more ways uh that that basically Trump could close down the Russian economy.
Now, that would be a much bigger step than anything that's happened so far.
But do you think that Trump will threaten it?
There's no way that Trump is going to threaten, you know, nuclear war because that wouldn't sound believable and it'd be a bad idea.
But we know that Trump likes to threaten and I doubt that he's going to have a personal conversation with Putin who he is pissed off at, and not threaten him.
There's going to be some threats.
Now, how he words the threats, there's a lot of variability.
It might be offensive and it might be polite.
We don't know.
But I feel like Trump is going to sit in the room with Putin and he's going to say, "Here's the deal.
You just made me look like a chimp.
No good.
I'm going to have to destroy your whole economy.
Um, unless you give me a peace deal because you made me, Putin, you made me look like an idiot.
I promised I would wrap this war up and then you're working on the other side from that.
I'm pissed off at you.
You need to make this right.
Otherwise, if you and I are never right, say goodbye to your little economy.
I'm going to find 10 new ways to squeeze you into dust because you with me.
Now, would he be able to say that if the room was full of Zilinski and European leaders?
Not really.
Not really.
He wouldn't be able to say it as clearly as it needs needs to be said.
But what I suspect is that um Trump's leverage is his personal feeling about this.
Let me say that again.
Putin is working with lots of different variables.
you know, there's the military, the the economy, there's the personalities and all this.
And most of those things he has some kind of advantage.
There is one thing he does not have an advantage in, which is how Trump feels about the situation.
If if he leaves the meeting, Trump, and he's more pissed off at Putin, Putin loses.
We don't know what he loses.
We don't know if we'll be worse off than Russia will.
There'll still be lots of questions.
But if he pisses off Trump more than Trump is already pissed off, Trump is going to find a way to close down his whole economy.
And he won't really have a choice because you can't let Putin grab you by the nads and swing you around in front of the entire public if you're the United States and certainly if you're not Trump.
So although I don't believe any of this was planned in a clever way, the situation is that if Putin doesn't give Trump something that Trump can take home and say, you know, we got some progress, there's going to be real trouble.
And I think we're at the point where Trump can just squeeze the the big Jesus out of their uh what's left of their economy.
and uh he can do it forever and he can just keep making money from uh Europe buying our weapons.
So if Trump creates a situation where the US keeps profiting selling weapons and uh Putin is just losing stuff, you know, he's just spending money on it in the war and he's also having his economy squeezed in all the ways that we can squeeze it.
Um Trump has some leverage So the personal the personal feeling of Trump is his biggest leverage right now.
Putin cannot ignore that because Trump won't he won't ignore it and I wouldn't want him to.
So um maybe something will happen but it will depend how well uh Trump threatens Putin whether Putin believes it.
Well, to that point, apparently uh overnight um some Russian pipelines and at least one pumping station were attacked by Ukrainian drones.
Now, do you think that that Trump has already sort of approved or authorized or said it's okay with me if Ukraine takes out Russia's um energy production capacity?
because I feel like that's going to happen.
I feel like Trump is going to say to Putin, "Here's the deal.
The only reason Ukraine hasn't taken out your entire energy infrastructure is because some of our allies need the energy." But we're kind of done with that.
And if you don't give me a deal, I'm going to say, "Look, Ukraine, we'll sell you weapons.
And if you want to take out all of Russia's energy production, that's up to you.
That's between you guys.
And that would scare Putin.
I think it would.
So, could be it's not a coincidence that those energy production things got hit right before the Friday conversation.
Conversation.
Damn it.
Don't use that word.
Well, the National Guard is now deployed in the Washington DC area.
pay 100 guard members and 500 federal agents.
Um, and uh, we'll see how that goes.
Uh, MSNBC, of course, is still reporting the hoax crime numbers.
MSNBC doesn't seem to want to admit or tell its viewers that the crime numbers are just complete because all they have to do is recategorize things and reclassify things and suddenly it looks like crime is going down when it's not.
But even Joe Scarboro is is not buying into the Democrat messaging this time.
So good for him.
and he read aloud a text he got from a quote very liberal person which is I guess if you're on MSNBC and you're disagreeing with the the network's narrative that you don't say that you disagree you read a text from somebody who is very liberal uh well this is not my opinion but I'm going to read this text from some person you don't know and uh the text apparently said from this very liberal person.
Um, quote, "This may sound controversial, but I'm not totally opposed to Trump's National Guard move in DC, I know he's doing it for politics, but crime remains rampant." And the stranger said, the highly liberal stranger said to Joe Scarboro by text, "I've had too many friends carjacked, shot at.
None of us will walk more than three blocks after 8:00 p.m.
13 year olds are committing many of these crimes.
Uh it's quite a change from a decade ago when things were much calmer.
Um and so Scarbor was talking to Simone Sanders who used to be uh Bernie's head of his campaign and then worked for Biden.
And uh Scar Bro says to Simone, "You don't think more police make streets safer?" Now, that's not a real question, right?
Because 100% of the world knows that more police makes your streets safer.
It's not really something you debate, right?
So Scarboro puts that out there.
You don't think more police make streets safer?
Simone Sanders says, "No, I'm a black woman in America.
So, is is that an answer to the question?
You don't think more police make streets safer?
No.
I'm a black woman in America.
Okay.
Uh I have nothing to say about that.
Um but then one of their other regular guests, the guy who looks like has the flaming hair.
Do you know the guy who's got the gray hair that he's teased so it it looks like a gray flame on top of his head?
Uh anyway, Anand Girahoradaras Haroradus.
Giraadus.
It's tough to pronounce.
Um, and he said on MSNBC, quote, "When I go to DC, I'm not afraid of losing my wallet so much as I'm afraid of losing my vote." He goes on, "I'm not afraid of losing my wallet so much as I'm afraid that my children's freedom to breathe will be stolen in a world where climate change policy is non-existent." Is everybody on MSNBC dumb?
Because they're making Joe Scarboro look like the smartest guy in America just because he's he's not buying into the crazy part of this narrative.
Uh, and then Jamie Rascin was asked about it, about the the uh new emphasis on DC crime, and he says that Rasin says Trump wants to put the National Guard in the streets of DC because of quote graffiti and homeless people.
So Jamie Rascin, one of the designated liars, I always tell you that there's a small group of people like Swallwell and Rascin whose only job is to say the things that other Democrats would be embarrassed to say because it's just so obviously ridiculous.
No, I don't think Trump brought in the National Guard to work on the graffiti or the homeless people.
Uh, and then Rascin says that Trump knows DC crime well because he quote uh, incited a violent mass insurrection in DC.
So, he goes back to January 6.
Now, Rascin will be one of the 10 pole protectors.
Now, as you know, everybody watching this knows January 6 was a uh, a hoax and a coup attempt by the Democrats.
And what it was is they probably stole the election.
Now, uh, my belief that 2020 was a stolen election is based on the way they treat the January 6 because they so they have such a pattern of projection, which is blaming the Republicans for the thing that they're actively doing right then that you can use it to predict.
So, I don't have any direct evidence that the 2020 election was stolen.
I don't have direct evidence, but I do see that they're blaming the Republicans for trying to do an insurrection when clearly that wasn't happening.
So, why would they be projecting that?
Because they're doing it.
So their projection about January 6 is for me as a let's say as a jaded observer of politics to me that's confirmation that they it wouldn't even occur to them to blame the the Republicans of an insurrection unless they had just pulled one off and it looks like they had.
So, my opinion is that the longer they go with this January 6 hoax, the more certain I am that they have something to cover up and that they're using projection as they always do as part of the cover up.
Well, how do you know that it's summer?
Well, one way is that one of the most interesting stories is about the new head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
I'm hoping that when the summer is over and the news becomes more meaty that I will no longer be talking about the new person at the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
But apparently this new guy uh EJ Antony uh is getting a lot of push back from Democrats who say that his resume is kind of weak.
He hasn't he's not enough of a superstar to be in that job.
Um, but other people like Wall Street Mav uh on X was saying that they're he's a huge fan of EJ and Tony and uh that that he's been on TV a bunch of times.
He's been on Steve Bannon's podcast.
And then I understood, oh, I get it.
He's good on TV.
So, his resume is a little bit light.
Uh, but he's a loyal MAGA guy, it looks like.
Uh, and he's been on all the right shows and he must be good on TV.
So, those are I think that's enough to put him in the job because his job is to figure out how to fix the numbers.
I don't think he has to make up the numbers.
I don't believe he has to sit at a desk and call upon his economics expertise to just make up numbers.
I believe that the job is how to find better, more reliable and timely sources.
Is he capable of doing that?
Probably most people would be able to do that.
You wouldn't have to be an economist to say, "All right, can somebody tell me where we can get good numbers and what's stopping us from using them?" So, no, you don't need to be the world's most published economist to figure out that the numbers were bad and they need a better source.
and you'll talk to smart people who know where those numbers can be improved and presumably have better numbers someday.
Um, so there's a topic which people are mad at me all the time about which is that I don't talk enough about the H1B visas.
And the reason is that I feel like you have to be pretty close to it to have a smart opinion.
And I haven't I've never been close to the topic.
In other words, I've I've never worked in a business where I had to hire somebody like that or I was working with a lot of people who had H-1B visas.
So, I don't have I don't even have a glancing um experience with it.
And so, every time I'd read about it, I would say to myself, "Huh, I'll bet this story in the news is bullshit." And the reason I think that is because all the other stories are So, I feel like not only do I not know enough about the pros and cons of the H1B, but that I could not learn it by reading the news.
I don't think that I could, you know, use AI to tell me cuz it looks like it's just a bunch of people lying about stuff.
So, here's what I think is true.
What I think is true is that there are some well-meaning people who say, "Let's just use these visas to bring in people from other countries who have very specific skills that for whatever reason Americans can't match." That might make sense.
But others say, "Scott, you fool.
You fool.
Don't you realize that the system will be gamed and it will just turn into a way for big companies to replace American workers who might be too expensive with cheaper labor and then pretend there was no way to hire anybody who could have done that job who was already here as an American.
So I feel like that captures the argument, right?
The argument is if you could do it right, you might get a lot of people to agree with it because it would be a small number of people with specific expertise and we couldn't match it with Americans.
But the reality is you could probably match everything.
The the the counterpoint would be there's no such thing as something an American can't do.
There is no such thing.
you might have to try a little harder, you know, to hire an American, but there are Americans who could do all those jobs.
So, that would be the counterargument, and I don't know which is true, but we'll probably find out because there will be some changes made.
All right.
Zero Hedge is reporting that uh according to the Financial Times that the Mcron of France uh secretly hired investigators to dig up dirt on Candace Owens.
Because you might know that Candace Owens is being sued by the Mcron because Candace has uh done a series of uh content claiming that uh Bridget Mcronone was born a male and specifically was the person who looks like her little brother in old pictures and that uh and she's still a man basically.
Um, she of course would say that's not true.
But here's something I noticed today that just tells you we live in a simulation.
If I had to bet on it, I would bet against Breijit Mcronone having been born a man.
And the only reason is because they could make this whole thing go away just by proving she's a woman.
And that feels like an easy thing to prove.
doesn't it?
Uh, could you not release at least the DNA part of the report that said what you were born as?
Couldn't they do that?
You know, maybe they don't want all of her DNA to be in the public domain, but you couldn't have somebody just say, "All right, the only part we're going to talk about is, yeah, definitely a woman." Seems like it'd be easy.
They can make the whole thing go away with a a minimal amount of effort.
but instead they're doing this big legal thing and digging through things etc.
But what I wanted to mention is here's how you know that we're a simulation.
So Brejid Mcronone's husband is Emanuel Mcronone.
Did you know that the word man is the middle of the word Emmanuel and that you couldn't spell Mcronone without m?
So he's got man in his first name and his last name.
Biggest funnier.
He's married to Breijit Mcronone.
And if you were to just remove letters from Breijit, you would have it.
And then you remove some letters from Mcronone and you'd have man.
So it would be it man.
Now, is that a weird coincidence that the entire topic is about whether or not she's a man and that both of their names have man right in their name?
What are the odds of that?
Anyway, so I'm going to bet against her being uh having been born a man, but and let me let me use the Candace Owens hypothesis to make a point I made yesterday.
I told you how if you don't understand that things could be not true and yet there'd be tons of evidence that says it's true.
This might be one of those.
It might be that uh that you know she was born a woman, but there's just tons of coincidental things that sort of suggest she wasn't.
So, I don't know what the truth is there, but I'd go 60 40 that uh that the evidence is not conclusive, but we'll see.
Maybe we'll know at some point.
Rasmusson did a poll on uh whether people trust the New York Times.
What percent of Let's see how good you are at answering this question.
What percent of likely US voters said they had quote a lot of trust in news coverage from the New York Times?
What percent said they had a lot of trust in the New York Times?
That's right.
Uh I if I could see your comments, I would know that you're saying 25%.
The answer is 23.
But there is another 27 that have some trust.
They've got a little bit some trust.
Um, so that's not good.
That that's as close as you can get to having nobody trust you is if a quarter of the people say they do, that is as close as these polls get to zero, which I've described to you in the past.
Well, let's do a update on the Democrats, uh, the dumbest Democrats.
Um and uh Betto Orc is uh doubling down on the cursing cuz that's what they think is the problem.
Not enough cursing.
He said at a event, "Who cares about the effing rules right now?
Throw some punches.
Win some effing power." And everybody cheered.
Now maybe the crowd is the problem because they shouldn't cheer for that.
He just described a losing strategy.
The losing strategy is to once again ignore policy and uh ignore the rules of decorum and throw some punches and fight harder and swear more.
And everybody's like, "Yeah, yeah, that's not good advice.
That's a terrible idea.
That's not going to get you anything." and and and the things he focuses on are the fight and the winning of power.
Shouldn't he be focusing on how he's going to help the people who have been ignored the middle class?
Shouldn't he be telling us how he's going to decrease the national debt or keep us out of wars?
None of that.
No, just some vague fight and swear a lot.
So, that's a Democrat update.
Well, Hamas um is trying to broker some kind of a deal before Israel does what it says it's going to do, which is a complete occupation of Gaza City and some other places.
And uh they're going to destroy every last trace of uh Hamas before they turn over.
Their plan is to turn over Gaza to a friendly Arab occupation.
So, Israel says they don't want to own Gaza.
They want to just get rid of Hamas and then have it run by some uh Arab coalition maybe that doesn't like Hamas either.
So, Nanyahu says, "Our goal is not to occupy Gaza.
Our goal is to free Gaza.
That's a good reframe.
The goal is to free Gaza.
Um he says the uh the goal is to fully root out Hamas everywhere before stabilizing the region and eventually handing leadership off to friendly Arab forces opposed to Hamas.
Well, can you think of anything that would be a different plan from that that might work?
I can't.
You know, you don't have to be in favor of it or against it.
You can simply say, "What the hell else are they going to do?" Like, what else would they do?
I can't think of anything.
So, as plans go, it looks like the most workable plan of all the plans that aren't workable.
Um, I I wouldn't bet it's going to be successful, but it's better than anything anything else.
Well, India and China are trying to restore their economic links and friendliness.
It's been a problem since the 2020 border clash.
Um, but it looks like Modi might need to put a little pressure on Trump um by by saying, well, you know, if we don't get everything we want with our tariffs, etc., we might have to get a little closer to China.
And you wouldn't want that, would you?
So, looks like Modi is playing a uh a clever game in which he's improving things with China, but it puts a little pressure on uh the US and our tariff game.
So, we'll see where that goes.
Well, the AI company called Perplexity has offered to buy the Chrome browser from Google because Google's got this antirust case going on.
And part of the antitrust case is that they might be asked to sell off some of their assets that are non-competitive like Chrome.
Non-competitive meaning too competitive.
They have too much of the market.
And uh Perplexity is offering to buy it for about twice the value of all of Perplexity.
So there is some thinking that they could get uh backing to view that deal and then Perplexity would own Chrome.
I wouldn't bet that that's going to happen, but it might happen.
Could be a big deal.
And then uh you probably know that the u the Golden Dome is being uh um planned and implemented and that would protect the United States from incoming missiles.
And apparently it's we know a little bit more about the plan.
It'll have a four layer defense system.
and they presented their idea to 3,000 defense contractors so that people could bid on parts of it.
So, I guess it's better to have a golden dome than not to have a golden dome.
So, that's good.
All right.
I can't see your comments um because I'm broadcasting only on X.
Had a little problem with the Rumble Studio this morning.
It wasn't it wasn't allowing me to stream to the other platforms.
We'll get that worked out by tomorrow.
Um, so I think if I just end this, it will save it.
So, I'm going to push that little X in the corner and say goodbye.
And locals, I'll catch up with you in the morning tomorrow um when everything works.
So, I hope uh I hope this worked cuz I can't I can't really tell if the sound and the video worked the entire
All right, let's do that.
Good morning everybody and welcome to
the highlight of human civilization
except for all the technology is broken
and sucks.
But we'll have a XON show today. It will
not be appearing on the other platforms
until we record this. I don't even know
if that works, but we might be able to
load it on the other platforms later.
But um how would you like the
simultaneous sip?
I think you'd like it.
If you'd like it, all you need is a
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Fill it with your favorite liquid. I
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unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine
hit of the day. The thing makes
everything better. It's called the
simultaneous sip. What happens now? Go.
All right.
Now, given that I can't tell
if my audio is working, I have to check
your note. I see you. No, YouTube.
Uh, right. Okay. So, I'm going to put a
note here on X.
Stop it
today.
Bumble studio
not working.
All right,
that's the best I can do.
Well, uh, did you know that Meta and
their AI, they think they've taken the
first step towards super intelligence?
And, uh, so Zuckerberg says he's not
going to release,
um, any new versions that are their best
version because their best version has
super intelligence. Apparently, the uh
Meta AI has already shown signs of
improving itself, meaning that they can
tell it to upgrade its own code and it
will rewrite its own code and make it
better. Now, just in small ways,
but that is the uh the thing everybody
worries about is that the AI will figure
out how to do it in big ways and it'll
happen kind of instantly. And if you're
not ready for it, the whole world is in
trouble. I'm going to I'm going to make
a counter um prediction. My prediction
is that AI will be able to improve
itself and that'll happen you right now,
I guess, but that the amount it can
improve itself will be severely limited.
It will not be instantly becoming
godlike. It will do stuff like, hey, I
can improve the efficiency of my code so
that I can answer faster or I can answer
more completely. But I feel like that's
all it's going to do. I just don't feel
like I don't feel like the nature of
intelligence is that no matter how much
you have, you have the ability to
improve your own intelligence. I mean,
beyond those small tweaks of your code.
So, I'm going to bet against it.
Um, but we already know according to the
Lancet, there's some concern that
doctors are becoming dumber as they use
AI.
I'm not sure I believe this. This
doesn't sound like the data would be
reliable necessarily, but uh they
studied colonoscopies
that were used by doctors who were using
AI to make sure that they were really
getting it right. And the people, the
doctors who used AI allegedly became
almost instantly worse at identifying
tumors on their own.
Do you believe that? Do you believe that
the ones who used AI to help them
identify tumors that they instantly lost
the ability to do it themselves or
they're I think they were 20% worse at
it almost instantly?
Maybe. Maybe because if you believe that
you don't need to be smart and that
something else is doing the smart part
for you, I I believe that you probably
turn down your brain power a little bit.
So, it wouldn't surprise me.
I don't know if that'll make the world
worse or not. As long as the AI is
getting the job done, doesn't matter. It
doesn't matter, right? As long as you
get the right answer. Well, there's a
new movement.
I don't know how new it is, but Silicon
Valley is apparently uh trying harder to
get smart babies. So, there are a couple
ways you can do that. One of the ways is
that you can hire a um hire somebody to
find you a mate. So, they have all these
really expensive uh dating services
where a human being will match you with
people that they've vetted. Now, that's
for the super rich. But if you're super
rich and you're smart and you want to
make sure that any children you have are
also smart,
you can tell your Cuban matchmaker to
only pair you with somebody who's super
smart. So, the odds of your baby being
super smart, if it's the two of you, are
very good. Very good. But the other way
is that they have new technologies now
that can determine the likely smartest
um egg, I guess. So if you've got some
fertilized eggs, you can check them out
to find out what their probable IQ is
and then you can select based on that.
So,
um, but part of this story is the, uh,
the media has trouble acknowledging that
IQ matters. So, so they have to throw in
all these qualifiers like, well, you
know, IQ is just one variable. It's just
one variable. I mean, you also have your
lifestyle and your upbringing and your
parenting and all that. To which I say,
Why do we why are we so shy about IQ?
That IQ is the single most predictive
variable in all of life. If if somebody
is super smart, that doesn't necessarily
mean they'll be rich or successful, but
the odds of it are way way higher than
if they're not super smart. Is it a
coincidence that all the heads of our
biggest, most impressive companies are
also super smart? You know, Zuckerberg
and Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos and, you
know, I could go on, Bill Gates. Um, so
yeah, the the fact that we're struggling
with the question of whether IQ matters
is a sort of a DEI leftover because as
soon as you imagine that IQ matters,
then genetics comes into the
conversation
and then it's all racist.
So you can't even have that conversation
really.
However, I think we're getting closer to
the point where we can. In other news,
News Nation is reporting that there was
an ALS patient. Um,
that's somebody who's lost control of
their bodily functions that learned to
control an iPad entirely by thought.
Now, if that sounds like Neuralink,
you'd be right to say it sounds like it,
but it's a competing company. So I guess
Neurolink now has a uh established
competitor called Singron. S Y N C H R O
N. Singron
and they've developed a sensor that must
be really good. So it's competitive with
the Neuralink stuff. So here's what's
going to happen.
IQ in humans only matters so much
because if you've got AI to augment your
IQ, how would you measure the IQ of
someone who knew how to use I um knew
how to use AI and had access to it?
Yeah. See how hard that is? If you took
a person who has an IQ of a 100 and they
didn't have IQ, they didn't have AI,
you'd say, "Oh, that's person has so
much capability." But if you took a
person with an IQ of 100, taught them
how to use AI, and then made sure that
they really did use it, wouldn't their
functional IQ be
it wouldn't be as high as the AI's IQ,
but wouldn't it be some blend between
the humans 100 IQ and the AI's nearly
infinite? How would you even measure
that? And then then you go to the next
layer which is these neurolink or
synchron chips. How would you
um measure the IQ of a cyborg who had
part human brain but could access
somewhat automatically the infinite
intelligence of the internet?
I don't know. Would that be an IQ of a
100 plus of machine parts or would it be
an infinite IQ?
What happens if the AI does more than
just answer questions? What if you've
got a chip in your head and it's making
suggestions?
If it's making suggestions, sort of like
the voice that's in your head naturally,
I feel like you would have almost
infinite IQ as long as you took the
suggestions. You know, if you were
overruling the suggestions, it might be
a hot mess.
Anyway,
IQ
I predict will be a much much bigger
part of the conversation especially
because China is trying to raise super
IQ warriors and babies and stuff. So a
lot more on that is coming.
Um
so there's a story in the news. I saw it
on social media. I think it might be
true, but it's so fun that I'm going to
treat it like it's true, even if it's
not. Everybody okay with that? We're all
going to say we're going to suspend our
critical functions because it might be
true. By the way, I don't know if it's
true, but the story is that Chuck
Schumer has been telling a story about a
fake family for decades, and apparently
he always gets away with it. Now the the
story is allegedly that the family
doesn't exist and it's somebody called
the Bailey's and that over time Schumer
uses them to um show that he knows some
middle class family that has a set of
problems that he has all the solutions
for. So he's added like the names of the
children and their ages and you know
what kind of job he has and allegedly
it's all made up. There's no Bailey
family. Now, I hope it's true that it's
all made up because that would be a good
summer news story. Um, it seems slightly
more likely that there was a Bailey
family, but maybe exaggerated a little
bit or something, but for now, I'm going
to accept that he made it all up because
it's just funnier.
All right.
Uh, that's not good.
>> A little bit or something, but for now.
>> All right. Looks like our technology is
working on X.
Well, the uh Make America Healthy Again
Commission was supposed to send over
their recommendation yesterday to the
White House on how to combat childhood
chronic diseases. So, I believe that
they have the report at the White House,
but they're still looking over it, and
there will be some uh probably some
tweaks to it before we see it. But part
of it was addressing school lunches.
Apparently, school lunches are filled
with uh ultrarocessed food. And so,
we're sending kids to school to make
them dumber and more mentally ill and uh
sicker with the food that they have to
eat. Now, one thing that if do you if
you have any uh teenagers especially,
have you noticed that the teenagers
often will skip lunch um because they
use it for a social time instead of
eating? So, there's a whole lot of
teenagers who don't eat anything during
the day or might get a snack or
something. That's it. So, that's also a
problem. But, uh RFK Jr. apparently
wants to improve these school lunches,
but that's no easy thing because it's
cheap to give them frozen, highly
processed food, and it would be
expensive to give them freshly prepared
meals, which would require hiring more
people to make them, etc. So, I don't
know what we're going to do because we
don't want to raise the budget of
schools all over the country so much. Um
but on the other hand, we don't want to
poison our children. So pick one.
Well, in the usual way that uh every
single story becomes two movies on one
screen, inflation is either really under
control and it's uh good news or it's
high and it's bad news. And both of
those stories are active today. But
apparently uh energy prices went down a
little bit in the past month. Food was
flat, didn't go up or down, and shelter
was a little bit up, 2%. Now, uh, but
the core inflation, that would be the
stuff that's not energy, food, or
shelter. I think I think that's what
core inflation is. Um, that had a 3.1%
inflation, which would be high. So your
your major categories were good, but
some of the other ones were not. So you
could find whatever story you want in
the inflation numbers. It's either too
high or it's not. But to make things
even more fun, the uh Federal Reserve,
if the inflation looked high, would be
highly inclined to lower the interest
rates, which would be really good for
markets, which is why the stocks are way
up this morning. So we can't even tell
if inflation is good news or bad news
because if the inflation is high, the
stock market goes up because that means
that the interest rates will probably
be, you know, artificially driven down a
little bit to battle the inflation and
that's good for stocks. So I can say
with certainty that inflation is either
up or down and that the net effect of
that inflation being either up or down
is that it'll be either good or bad and
the cause will either be the tariffs or
no effect from the tariffs. So all of
those movies are playing at the same
time. Pick one.
Well, in the most predictable news, the
Texas Democrats went awall so that there
would be no vote on redistricting in
Texas because they didn't like how the
map was being drawn. So, the Democrats
did their usual theater kid thing and
they made a big deal about it and they
made some cringy social media posts and
then Texas got tough and acted like they
were going to have them all hunted down
and arrested and I don't know fired and
their pay would be cut and all kinds of
threats. But the one thing that we can
all be sure of is that it wouldn't last.
It was It's not as if the Democrats were
never coming back.
because if they never came back, they
would get removed from office. So, they
didn't really have any play. The the
only play they had was getting some
attention like they're fighting. Now,
this is very consistent. And by the way,
they're already back and uh Texas has
already voted in the new redistricting
map. So everything they did was a waste
of time, but it fell into the Democratic
strategy of cursing more and fighting
fighting hard.
So it it was a fake fight. They they
wanted to pretend that they were, you
know, really serious and they're
fighting hard,
but they had no fight. They had no play
whatsoever. In the end, Texas was
definitely going to get what the
majority wanted, and they did. So
pathetic. Very pathetic.
Um,
apparently Texas Attorney General Ken
Paxton has threatened to lock up Betto
Aor because Betto was raising money to
help the uh Democrats be awall and, you
know, keep them in uh keep them in food
and transportation while they're gone.
And uh apparently
Paxton has filed a motion for contempt
in court against her work as a maximum
sentence um of $500 fine andor 6 months
in jail.
That's a weird law, isn't it? That the
maximum sentence is either
uh
Well, it could be both, but it could be
$500 or it could be six months in jail.
Do you think Bento work is going to get
six months in jail?
I don't think so.
But Paxton says, quote, "I'm working to
put him behind bars."
So, there's another video of Betto Aor
cursing more and saying that they got to
fight more. F this, fat, fight more.
That's all they got. Cursing and
pretending to fight.
Well, there's a new wrinkle in the story
of Smartmatic and Fox News. You may know
that um Smartmatic, the uh the uh voting
machine company, do they do only
software or do they do hardware? I can't
remember. But they're uh
they've got a lawsuit against Fox News
for defamation. I guess Fox News must
have claimed that there was some
irregularities with their technology and
they didn't like it, so they're suing
them. Um
but now we have learned according to Fox
News um that uh for Smartmatic to get
the contract for LA, they may have uh
they been may have been giving some uh
let's say gifts to the local officials.
Apparently they reportedly they they
funneled dollars into quote a slush
fund. Um
and that it provided uh the register
recorder and clerk Dean Logan with quote
business class travel expensive
entertainment.
Expensive entertainment you say and
other personal benefits. Oh personal you
say that could be anything. uh and that
it was not disclosed which I guess would
have made it legal. Um and so the uh the
belief is that smatic may have tried to
bribe some local government people so
they could get that contract to which I
say have I mentioned that all local
government is a criminal activity.
You cannot have a local government in
charge of very large contracts.
That's it. That's that's the whole
statement. You can't have a local
government that's in charge of
distributing who gets contracts
because it's too much power and they're
going to steal it. They're going to
they're going to give it to their
friends and their friends are going to
find some indirect hidden way to reward
them for giving them the contract. And I
feel like that's going to happen every
time in every city. And whenever they
look for it, they seem to find it. Like
you could throw a dart at the United
States and hit any city and then say,
"All right, we're going to do a deep
audit and find out if the people who got
all of the contracts that the city gives
out, how many of them are friends of the
people who were in elected office?" And
you would find out most of them that the
the whole system is not just corrupt,
but it's designed in a way that
guarantees it. It's a guaranteed corrupt
system. It's going to be that way every
time. Now, not every contract every
time, but over time, you know, over the
length of time that we're alive, you can
guarantee that every one of these local
uh local entities will be staffed with
corrupt politicians who are just making
tons of money allocating money to
contractors.
Well, there's some new declassified
documents from the FBI. Cash Patel
continues to feed us little stuff. And
this one says that uh Comey ordered the
FBI to assist the New York Times in
writing one of the articles. And there's
also information that Comey had some
kind of a PR professional that was
working just to feed news to the the
media that would make Comey look good.
And uh as part of the FBI's assistance
to the New York Times, they made
available Peter Stro and Lisa Page to be
interviewed by the New York Times.
And then what else we know? According to
um
according to some new documents also um
Eric Swallwell
uh is reportedly the source of a lot of
leaked information and had to be
counseledled to be more careful.
Now are you having the same impression I
have about the Democrats? I remember at
the very beginning when the Russia
collusion hoax was being hatched and I
would watch Brennan and Clapper talk
about it on TV and I would say to
myself, "Huh, I'm no body language
expert, but it seems to me very obvious
by their demeanor and the choice of
words and their body language that
they're completely lying about all of
this." But I didn't know. I mean, it was
just my impression when I looked at I
was like, "Huh?" You know, I I don't
think that every single person who goes
on television is lying, even if they're
on what I would consider the other team.
Sometimes there's just different
opinions and, you know, different facts
and there's two movies on one screen and
all that. But Brennan and Clapper look
like they literally
were just making up. And it turns
out,
looks like that's what they were doing.
They're just making up. When I see
Swallwell go on TV frequently and make
ridiculous claims, I do not tell to tell
myself, "Huh, he looks like he might be
mistaken or have bad information."
I never say that. He looks like he's
lying. When Adam Schiff goes on TV, he
doesn't look like he's misinformed. He
looks like he's lying. And it just it
seems really obvious. And again, I don't
say that about every member of Congress,
you know, or every Democrat. It's not
about them being Democrats. They are the
designated liars. Jamie Rascin, whenever
he's talking, I just assume it's a lie
and that he knows it's a lie, not that
he's mistaken.
So,
do do Republicans have something like
that? I mean, I realize that Trump is
always in the hyperbole world and he's
always exaggerating, you know, his
accomplishments, etc., but that doesn't
feel the same because, you know, that
Trump knows that we know that he's a
salesman. So, it's a little bit like we
have an agreement with him. All right.
Yeah. Okay. You can you can brag about
that a little bit. It's good for the
country. If if uh if Trump can convince
the country that the US is now the
hottest country and everybody should be
making deals with us, it's good for the
country. So I I definitely accept that
when Trump is exaggerating,
um it's just part of the process and it
works and it unambiguously it works.
But these Democrats, they just look like
they're really bad liars and it it just
looks completely different. Like they're
just making stuff up out of nothing.
Let's see what else we got here. Um
and
there's a now worldwide calls for
President Trump to receive the Nobel
Peace Prize.
I I kind of like the fact that Trump is
lobbying directly and indirectly to win
a Nobel Peace Prize. So it makes it more
like the uh the Academy Awards. You
know, to get an Academy Award, it is you
have to do more than just make a good
movie or be good at whatever you did for
the movie. You you have to sort of lobby
for it, you know, kind of politic for it
a little bit. And I don't know if that
was ever the case for the Nobel Peace
Prize. I thought people used to win
these prizes without even knowing they
were nominated necessarily. But uh we do
know that the following uh according to
the White House, they put down a put
down a social media post on this that
the following countries andor leaders
have recommended the Nobel Peace Prize
for Trump. You got the uh prime minister
of Armenia, president of Azerbashan,
prime minister of Cambodia, the
president of Gabon. Is it Gabon? G- a b-
o n gabon. Gabon. There's a word I've
never said l. Then uh there's Israel and
Nanyahu. And there's the government of
Pakistan.
Uh and there's the foreign minister of
Rwanda. Now, it's funny that it's the
government of Pakistan but not the
government of India.
when when Trump allegedly
was uh instrumental in getting Pakistan
and India to stand down from their
little conflict. But I think India's
story is that Trump didn't really make a
difference and Pakistan is saying that
he did. So once again, does it matter
if Trump is exaggerating
the calls for him to get a Nobel Peace
Prize? No, no, that's a exaggeration
that works for him if you know he gets a
Nobel Peace Prize, but it also works for
us because when he goes into the next
negotiation,
I want the people that he's negotiated
with to say, "Oh, here's that guy who
always makes the peace deal work." And
then he has more chance of making it
work because everybody just believes it
will work.
that will be extra important this week
probably. We'll talk about that in a
minute. Um, according to I saw Chanel
Ryan on O talking to Har Dylan,
assistant attorney general and uh
apparently the Trump Department of
Justice is going to review all the 50
states and make them clean up their
voter roles and uh restore public
confidence in elections. How much
difference do you think that will make?
I I'm a little undecided if cleaning up
the voter roles is going to just wildly
change the the outcome of elections. It
might it might wildly change the outcome
because we believe, but I have no
evidence to support this. It's just a
belief that um Democrats are more likely
to game the system with names they
should not be on the election voter
roles. Now, I don't know if that's true,
but if they clean up the voter roles, we
might find out.
So, I love that. Um,
there's also some mystery going around
uh Trump's view of marijuana. Axios is
reporting that uh it might be another
one of those situations where the
Republicans can steal a topic that
normally you'd expect the Democrats
would be more progressive on like
marijuana legalization andor
decriminalization.
And uh Axio points out that the Trump
administration banned food dyes, which
you'd sort of expect would be a Democrat
thing. Uh calls for an end to animal lab
testing, which you would imagine would
be a Democrat thing, and embraced
psychedelics for mental health, which
again, you would assume would have been
a Democrat thing, but they missed all
three of them.
I assume RFK Jr. is the reason that um
Trump is doing some sort of things that
you'd expect would have come from
Democrats. There's also some mystery
going around uh Trump's view of
marijuana. Axios is reporting that uh it
might be another one of those situations
where the Republicans can steal a topic
that normally you'd expect the Democrats
would be more progressive on like
marijuana legalization andor
decriminalization.
And uh Axio points out that the Trump
administration banned food dies which
you'd sort of expect would be a Democrat
thing. uh calls for an end to animal lab
testing, which you would imagine would
be a Democrat thing, and embraced
psychedelics for mental health, which
again, you would assume would have been
a Democrat thing, but they missed all
three of them.
I assume RFK Jr. is the reason that um
Trump is doing some sort of things that
you'd expect would have come from
Democrats.
But the conversation about marijuana is
not to make it legal at a federal level,
but to uh reschedu it. And I there's a
little ambiguity about what that really
means. But if you reschedu it, it will
look like you did something, but it
won't change the world that much because
it's not legalizing it. It's just
rescheduling it, which would be it might
be officially recognized for medicinal
use. So, the federal government could
say, "Well, it's not legal, but if
you're using it for medicinal use, and
maybe if you've got a prescription from
a doctor, then the feds are okay with
it." Um, and that might be enough to
allow the the weed manufacturers to have
a little extra freedom for banking and
whatever else that they've been
restricted from doing. But uh the uh
certainly you're probably aware that
Republicans are not unified on this.
However,
how much of the world is unified on it?
I think 88%
uh according to a Pew Research Center
poll, uh 88% of people favor medical or
recreational use. 88%.
Now, it's medical or recreational use.
So my guess is that almost everybody's
in favor of medical use because almost
everybody knows at this point they
almost all know somebody who used it
medically and it worked. So I can see
why there'd be 88% support. Uh I will
say again
that my view on marijuana and
legalization is it's a lot like guns.
There's no such thing as guns are good
or guns are bad. Guns are good for some
people. It makes them safer and it's
definitely bad for other people.
So, if somebody's in favor of guns and
somebody's not in favor of guns, it's
not like you can take the average. The
best you can do is hope that there are
more people who agree with your your
take on it and then that's where the law
goes.
So, marijuana is like that. It would be
catastrophic for some people's lives if
you make it easier and, you know, let's
say less stigmatized. Almost certainly
that would result in just killing some
people. But that would be the same with
guns. It' be the same with having
swimming pools. It's legal to build a
swimming pool in your backyard and
that's just a death trap. You know,
sometimes you have to put a gate around
it and stuff, but still it's still sort
of a death trap. Um, so a swimming pool
could be the greatest thing for people
who really like it and can afford it and
all that, but also it's a death trap
reliably. I mean, you can know for sure
a certain number of people drowned in
swimming pools, most of them children.
Um, so
marijuana is neither bad nor good. It's
lifech changingly good for some people
and I'm one of them. Um,
I don't know. I I should just admit to
you, I wouldn't be able to do my podcast
without it. Um, this morning, as every
morning, I'm on some meds right now that
give me just insane cramping and stomach
aches. Uh, and it just pops up maybe
three times a day, but marijuana makes
it go away. And since I'm a uh chronic
user, I don't get all the psychedelic,
that's the wrong word, but I don't get a
strong reactions from the drug. All it
does is calm my stomach. So, I'm very
high right now.
Could you tell the difference? Probably
not. If if you had never had marijuana
before and you tried doing it right
before you did a podcast in front of,
you know, tens of thousands of people,
would that be a good idea? No, no, that
would be a very bad idea. But I happen
to be a chronic lifetime user and it has
very predictable benefits to me. So my
stomach right now, perfect, completely
cured, takes about 15 minutes. So I I
just give myself the uh the cure, wait
about 15 minutes, and a tremendous
amount of pain. I mean, it's a lot of
pain just goes away. So right now I have
no pain in my stomach.
So I would like people like me to have
access to it, but I acknowledge that in
a free world, it will cause other people
to die. Um, and that's not ideal, but
it's a way we make decisions about all
the stuff that's good for some people
and bad for others.
Well, the the Ukraine conversation, oh,
I shouldn't say conversation, I hate
that word. the Ukraine negotiations, the
meeting uh looks like it's going to be
on Friday in Alaska and Trump is wisely
making sure that his administration is
talking to the Europeans because they
were fearing being sidelined and left
out of the deal and uh also talking to
Zilinski
um and trying to make sure that uh
they're somewhat on the same page. Now,
I do agree that Trump should meet with
Putin without them because if you add
too many voices too soon, nothing good
happens. I mean, yet the decision makers
are Putin and probably Trump. Everybody
else just has to be browbeat to get on
board if they can come up with some kind
of a deal. So, it does make sense to me
that Trump would have this conversation
with just Putin. I feel like that that
moves the uh the ball ahead a little
bit. I don't think there's really any
chance that they'll make a deal on this
one meeting. Do you? I I feel like
there's not enough to work with. It
might it might be important to the
process of continuing to talk and
working it out and you maybe somebody
will come up with the idea that works,
but I doubt it. Here's what I think is
going to happen.
Uh, Axios is reporting that insiders are
saying that Trump is quote still pissed
off at Putin for, you know, yanking him
around all these times and not being
serious about peace, which is kind of
embarrassing for Trump because he made
some promises that he could wrap up that
war quickly and nothing like that is
happening. Um,
but if it's true that Trump is pissed
off at Putin, then I want this meeting
to be between Trump and Putin because if
we know anything about Trump, he's going
to say something like this. Um, this is
also from Axios that there are more ways
uh that that basically Trump could close
down the Russian economy.
Now, that would be a much bigger step
than anything that's happened so far.
But do you think that Trump will
threaten it? There's no way that Trump
is going to threaten, you know, nuclear
war because that wouldn't sound
believable and it'd be a bad idea. But
we know that Trump likes to threaten and
I doubt that he's going to have a
personal conversation with Putin who he
is pissed off at, and not threaten him.
There's going to be some threats.
Now, how he words the threats, there's a
lot of variability. It might be
offensive and it might be polite. We
don't know. But I feel like Trump is
going to sit in the room with Putin and
he's going to say, "Here's the deal. You
just made me look like a chimp.
No good. I'm going to have to destroy
your whole economy.
Um, unless you give me a peace deal
because you made me, Putin, you made me
look like an idiot. I promised I would
wrap this war up and then you're working
on the other side from that. I'm
pissed off at you. You need to make this
right. Otherwise, if you and I are never
right, say goodbye to your
little economy. I'm going to find 10 new
ways to squeeze you into dust because
you with me.
Now, would he be able to say that if the
room was full of Zilinski and European
leaders? Not really. Not really. He
wouldn't be able to say it as clearly as
it needs needs to be said. But what I
suspect is that um Trump's leverage
is his personal feeling about this.
Let me say that again. Putin is working
with lots of different variables. you
know, there's the military, the the
economy, there's the personalities and
all this. And most of those things he
has some kind of advantage. There is one
thing he does not have an advantage in,
which is how Trump feels about the
situation.
If if he leaves the meeting, Trump, and
he's more pissed off at Putin, Putin
loses.
We don't know what he loses. We don't
know if we'll be worse off than Russia
will. There'll still be lots of
questions. But if he pisses off Trump
more than Trump is already pissed off,
Trump is going to find a way to close
down his whole economy. And he
won't really have a choice because you
can't let Putin grab you by the nads and
swing you around in front of the entire
public if you're the United States and
certainly if you're not Trump. So
although I don't believe any of this was
planned in a clever way, the situation
is that if Putin doesn't give Trump
something that Trump can take home and
say, you know, we got some progress,
there's going to be real trouble. And I
think we're at the point where Trump can
just squeeze the the big Jesus out of
their uh what's left of their economy.
and uh he can do it forever and he can
just keep making money from uh Europe
buying our weapons. So if Trump creates
a situation where the US keeps profiting
selling weapons and uh Putin is just
losing stuff,
you know, he's just spending money on it
in the war and he's also having his
economy squeezed in all the ways that we
can squeeze it. Um
Trump has some leverage
So the personal the personal feeling of
Trump is his biggest leverage right now.
Putin cannot ignore that because Trump
won't he won't ignore it and I wouldn't
want him to. So um maybe something will
happen but it will depend how well uh
Trump threatens Putin whether Putin
believes it.
Well, to that point, apparently uh
overnight
um some Russian pipelines and at least
one pumping station were attacked by
Ukrainian drones.
Now,
do you think that that Trump has already
sort of approved or authorized or said
it's okay with me if Ukraine takes out
Russia's
um energy production capacity?
because I feel like that's going to
happen. I feel like Trump is going to
say to Putin, "Here's the deal. The only
reason Ukraine hasn't taken out your
entire energy infrastructure
is because some of our allies need the
energy." But we're kind of done with
that. And if you don't give me a deal,
I'm going to say, "Look, Ukraine, we'll
sell you weapons. And if you want to
take out all of Russia's energy
production,
that's up to you.
That's between you guys. And that would
scare Putin. I think it would.
So, could be it's not a coincidence that
those energy production things got hit
right before the Friday conversation.
Conversation. Damn it. Don't use that
word.
Well, the National Guard is now deployed
in the Washington DC area. pay 100 guard
members and 500 federal agents. Um, and
uh, we'll see how that goes. Uh, MSNBC,
of course, is still reporting the hoax
crime numbers. MSNBC doesn't seem to
want to admit or tell its viewers that
the crime numbers are just complete
because all they have to do is
recategorize things and reclassify
things and suddenly it looks like crime
is going down when it's not. But
even Joe Scarboro
is is not buying into the Democrat
messaging this time. So good for him.
and he read aloud a text he got from a
quote very liberal person which is I
guess if you're on MSNBC and you're
disagreeing with the the network's
narrative that you don't say that you
disagree you read a text from somebody
who is very liberal
uh well this is not my opinion but I'm
going to read this text from some person
you don't know and uh
the text apparently said from this very
liberal person. Um, quote, "This may
sound controversial, but I'm not totally
opposed to Trump's National Guard move
in DC, I know he's doing it for
politics, but crime remains rampant."
And the stranger said, the highly
liberal stranger said to Joe Scarboro by
text, "I've had too many friends
carjacked, shot at. None of us will walk
more than three blocks after 8:00 p.m.
13 year olds are committing many of
these crimes. Uh it's quite a change
from a decade ago when things were much
calmer.
Um and so Scarbor was talking to Simone
Sanders who used to be uh Bernie's head
of his campaign and then worked for
Biden. And uh Scar Bro says to Simone,
"You don't think more police make
streets safer?"
Now,
that's not a real question, right?
Because 100% of the world knows that
more police makes your streets safer.
It's not really something you debate,
right? So Scarboro puts that out there.
You don't think more police make streets
safer? Simone Sanders says, "No, I'm a
black woman in America.
So,
is is that an answer to the question?
You don't think more police make streets
safer? No. I'm a black woman in America.
Okay.
Uh I have nothing to say about that. Um
but then one of their other regular
guests, the guy who looks like has the
flaming hair. Do you know the guy who's
got the gray hair that he's teased so it
it looks like a gray flame on top of his
head? Uh anyway, Anand
Girahoradaras
Haroradus.
Giraadus.
It's tough to pronounce. Um, and he said
on MSNBC, quote, "When I go to DC, I'm
not afraid of losing my wallet so much
as I'm afraid of losing my vote."
He goes on, "I'm not afraid of losing my
wallet so much as I'm afraid that my
children's freedom to breathe will be
stolen in a world where climate change
policy is non-existent."
Is everybody on MSNBC dumb?
Because they're making Joe Scarboro look
like the smartest guy in America just
because he's he's not buying into the
crazy part of this narrative.
Uh, and then Jamie Rascin was asked
about it, about the the uh new emphasis
on DC crime, and he says that Rasin says
Trump wants to put the National Guard in
the streets of DC because of quote
graffiti and homeless people.
So Jamie Rascin, one of the designated
liars, I always tell you that there's a
small group of people like Swallwell and
Rascin whose only job is to say the
things that other Democrats would be
embarrassed to say because it's just so
obviously ridiculous. No, I don't think
Trump brought in the National Guard to
work on the graffiti or the homeless
people.
Uh, and then Rascin says that Trump
knows DC crime well because he quote uh,
incited a violent mass insurrection in
DC. So, he goes back to January 6. Now,
Rascin will be one of the 10 pole
protectors. Now, as you know, everybody
watching this knows January 6 was a uh,
a hoax and a coup attempt by the
Democrats. And what it was is they
probably stole the election. Now, uh, my
belief that 2020 was a stolen election
is based on the way they treat the
January 6 because they so they have such
a pattern of projection, which is
blaming the Republicans for the thing
that they're actively doing right then
that you can use it to predict. So, I
don't have any direct evidence that the
2020 election was stolen. I don't have
direct evidence, but I do see that
they're blaming the Republicans for
trying to do an insurrection when
clearly that wasn't happening. So, why
would they be projecting that? Because
they're doing it. So their projection
about January 6 is for me as a let's say
as a jaded observer of politics to me
that's confirmation that they it
wouldn't even occur to them to blame the
the Republicans of an insurrection
unless they had just pulled one off and
it looks like they had. So, my opinion
is that the longer they go with this
January 6 hoax, the more certain I am
that they have something to cover up and
that they're using projection as they
always do as part of the cover up.
Well, how do you know that it's summer?
Well, one way is that one of the most
interesting stories is about the new
head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
I'm hoping that when the summer is over
and the news becomes more meaty that I
will no longer be talking about the new
person at the head of the Bureau of
Labor Statistics.
But apparently this new guy uh EJ Antony
uh is getting a lot of push back from
Democrats who say that his resume is
kind of weak. He hasn't he's not enough
of a superstar to be in that job. Um,
but other people like Wall Street Mav uh
on X was saying that they're he's a huge
fan of EJ and Tony and uh that that he's
been on TV a bunch of times. He's been
on Steve Bannon's podcast. And then I
understood, oh, I get it. He's good on
TV.
So, his resume is a little bit light.
Uh, but he's a loyal MAGA guy, it looks
like. Uh, and he's been on all the right
shows and he must be good on TV. So,
those are I think that's enough to put
him in the job because his job is to
figure out how to fix the numbers. I
don't think he has to make up the
numbers. I don't believe he has to sit
at a desk and call upon his economics
expertise to just make up numbers. I
believe that the job is how to find
better, more reliable and timely
sources. Is he capable of doing that?
Probably most people would be able to do
that. You wouldn't have to be an
economist to say, "All right, can
somebody tell me where we can get good
numbers and what's stopping us from
using them?" So, no, you don't need to
be the world's most published economist
to figure out that the numbers were bad
and they need a better source. and
you'll talk to smart people who know
where those numbers can be improved and
presumably
have better numbers someday.
Um, so there's a topic which people are
mad at me all the time about which is
that I don't talk enough about the H1B
visas. And the reason is that I feel
like you have to be pretty close to it
to have a smart opinion. And I haven't
I've never been close to the topic. In
other words, I've I've never worked in a
business where I had to hire somebody
like that or I was working with a lot of
people who had H-1B visas. So, I don't
have I don't even have a glancing
um experience with it. And so, every
time I'd read about it, I would say to
myself, "Huh, I'll bet this story in the
news is bullshit." And the reason I
think that is because all the other
stories are So, I feel like
not only do I not know enough about the
pros and cons of the H1B, but that I
could not learn it by reading the news.
I don't think that I could, you know,
use AI to tell me cuz it looks like it's
just a bunch of people lying about
stuff. So, here's what I think is true.
What I think is true is that there are
some well-meaning people who say, "Let's
just use these visas to bring in people
from other countries who have very
specific skills that for whatever reason
Americans can't match." That might make
sense. But others say, "Scott, you fool.
You fool. Don't you realize that the
system will be gamed and it will just
turn into a way for big companies to
replace American workers who might be
too expensive with cheaper labor and
then pretend there was no way to hire
anybody who could have done that job who
was already here as an American. So I
feel like that captures the argument,
right? The argument is if you could do
it right, you might get a lot of people
to agree with it because it would be a
small number of people with specific
expertise and we couldn't match it with
Americans. But the reality is you could
probably match everything. The the the
counterpoint would be there's no such
thing as something an American can't do.
There is no such thing. you might have
to try a little harder, you know, to
hire an American, but there are
Americans who could do all those jobs.
So, that would be the counterargument,
and I don't know which is true, but
we'll probably find out because there
will be some changes made. All right.
Zero Hedge is reporting
that uh according to the Financial Times
that the Mcron of France uh secretly
hired investigators to dig up dirt on
Candace Owens. Because you might know
that Candace Owens is being sued by the
Mcron because Candace has uh done a
series of uh content claiming that uh
Bridget Mcronone was born a male and
specifically was the person who looks
like her little brother in old pictures
and that uh
and she's still a man basically. Um, she
of course would say that's not true. But
here's something I noticed today that
just tells you we live in a simulation.
If I had to bet on it, I would bet
against Breijit Mcronone having been
born a man. And the only reason is
because they could make this whole thing
go away just by proving she's a woman.
And that feels like an easy thing to
prove.
doesn't it? Uh, could you not release at
least the DNA part of the report that
said what you were born as? Couldn't
they do that? You know, maybe they don't
want all of her DNA to be in the public
domain, but you couldn't have somebody
just say, "All right, the only part
we're going to talk about is, yeah,
definitely a woman."
Seems like it'd be easy. They can make
the whole thing go away with a a minimal
amount of effort. but instead they're
doing this big legal thing and digging
through things etc. But what I wanted to
mention is here's how you know that
we're a simulation.
So Brejid Mcronone's husband is Emanuel
Mcronone.
Did you know that the word man is the
middle of the word Emmanuel
and that you couldn't spell Mcronone
without m?
So he's got man in his first name and
his last name. Biggest funnier. He's
married to Breijit Mcronone.
And if you were to just remove letters
from Breijit, you would have it. And
then you remove some letters from
Mcronone and you'd have man. So it would
be it man.
Now, is that a weird coincidence that
the entire topic is about whether or not
she's a man and that both of their names
have man right in their name? What are
the odds of that? Anyway, so I'm going
to bet against her being uh having been
born a man, but and let me let me use
the Candace Owens hypothesis to make a
point I made yesterday.
I told you how if you don't understand
that things could be not true and yet
there'd be tons of evidence that says
it's true. This might be one of those.
It might be that uh that you know she
was born a woman, but there's just tons
of coincidental things that sort of
suggest she wasn't. So, I don't know
what the truth is there, but I'd go 60
40 that uh that the evidence is not
conclusive,
but we'll see. Maybe we'll know at some
point.
Rasmusson did a poll on uh whether
people trust the New York Times. What
percent of Let's see how good you are at
answering this question. What percent of
likely US voters said they had quote a
lot of trust in news coverage from the
New York Times? What percent said they
had a lot of trust in the New York
Times?
That's right. Uh I if I could see your
comments, I would know that you're
saying 25%. The answer is 23. But there
is another 27 that have some trust.
They've got a little bit some trust.
Um,
so that's not good.
That that's as close as you can get to
having nobody trust you is if a quarter
of the people say they do, that is as
close as these polls get to zero, which
I've described to you in the past. Well,
let's do a update on the Democrats,
uh, the dumbest Democrats.
Um and uh Betto Orc is uh doubling down
on the cursing cuz that's what they
think is the problem. Not enough
cursing. He said at a event, "Who cares
about the effing rules right now? Throw
some punches. Win some effing power."
And everybody cheered.
Now maybe the crowd is the problem
because they shouldn't cheer for that.
He just described a losing strategy. The
losing strategy is to once again ignore
policy
and uh ignore the rules of decorum
and throw some punches and fight harder
and swear more.
And everybody's like, "Yeah, yeah,
that's not good advice. That's a
terrible idea. That's not going to get
you anything." and and and the things he
focuses on are the fight and the winning
of power.
Shouldn't he be focusing on how he's
going to help the people who have been
ignored the middle class? Shouldn't he
be telling us how he's going to decrease
the national debt or keep us out of
wars? None of that. No, just some vague
fight and swear a lot. So, that's a
Democrat update.
Well, Hamas
um
is trying to broker some kind of a deal
before Israel does what it says it's
going to do, which is a complete
occupation of Gaza City and some other
places. And uh they're going to destroy
every last trace of uh Hamas before they
turn over. Their plan is to turn over
Gaza to a friendly Arab occupation.
So, Israel says they don't want to own
Gaza. They want to just get rid of Hamas
and then have it run by some uh Arab
coalition maybe that doesn't like Hamas
either. So, Nanyahu says, "Our goal is
not to occupy Gaza.
Our goal is to free Gaza. That's a good
reframe. The goal is to free Gaza. Um he
says the uh the goal is to fully root
out Hamas everywhere before stabilizing
the region and eventually handing
leadership off to friendly Arab forces
opposed to Hamas.
Well,
can you think of anything that would be
a different plan from that that might
work? I can't. You know, you don't have
to be in favor of it or against it. You
can simply say, "What the hell else are
they going to do?" Like, what else would
they do? I can't think of anything. So,
as plans go,
it looks like the most workable plan of
all the plans that aren't workable. Um,
I I wouldn't bet it's going to be
successful,
but it's better than anything anything
else.
Well, India and China are trying to
restore their economic links and
friendliness. It's been a problem since
the 2020 border clash. Um, but it looks
like Modi might need to put a little
pressure on Trump um by by saying, well,
you know, if we don't get everything we
want with our tariffs, etc., we might
have to get a little closer to China.
And you wouldn't want that, would you?
So, looks like Modi is playing a uh a
clever game in which he's improving
things with China, but it puts a little
pressure on uh the US and our tariff
game.
So, we'll see where that goes. Well, the
AI company called Perplexity has offered
to buy the Chrome browser from Google
because Google's got this antirust case
going on. And part of the antitrust case
is that they might be asked to sell off
some of their assets that are
non-competitive like Chrome.
Non-competitive meaning too competitive.
They have too much of the market. And uh
Perplexity
is offering to buy it for about twice
the value of all of Perplexity.
So there is some thinking that they
could get uh backing to view that deal
and then Perplexity would own Chrome. I
wouldn't bet that that's going to
happen, but it might happen. Could be a
big deal. And then uh
you probably know that the u the Golden
Dome is being uh um planned and
implemented and that would protect the
United States from incoming missiles.
And apparently it's we know a little bit
more about the plan. It'll have a four
layer defense system.
and
they presented their idea to 3,000
defense contractors
so that people could bid on parts of it.
So, I guess it's better to have a golden
dome than not to have a golden dome. So,
that's good. All right. I can't see your
comments um because I'm broadcasting
only on X. Had a little problem with the
Rumble Studio this morning. It wasn't it
wasn't allowing me to stream to the
other platforms. We'll get that worked
out by tomorrow. Um, so I think if I
just end this,
it will save it. So, I'm going to push
that little X in the corner and say
goodbye. And locals, I'll catch up with
you in the morning tomorrow um when
everything works. So, I hope uh I hope
this worked cuz I can't I can't really
tell if the sound and the video worked
the entire