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Episodes Episode #315

Episode 315 Scott Adams - Why Healthcare Costs Could Fall by 75%. With Whiteboard

Episode #315 Nov 24, 2018 13:36 4,569 views

Whiteboard discussion Categories of healthcare costs and how each could cost less ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ I fund my Periscopes and podcasts via audience micro-donations on Patreon. I prefer this method over accepting advertisements or working for a "boss" somewhere because it keeps my voice independent. No one owns me, and that is rare. I'm trying in my own way to make the world a better place, and your contributions help me stay inspired to do that. See all of my Periscope videos here… https://www.pscp.tv/ScottAdamsSays/1nAKERDOwylGL Find my WhenHub Interface app here… https://interface.whenhub.com

Opening General Commentary

Hey everybody, come on in. Today is a special focused Periscope on the topic of healthcare costs. I'm going to give it to you the way you've probably never had it. Uh, that sounds a lot naughtier than I meant it to sound. So once we reach a thousand people we will share a sip of the tears of our ene…

View segment →
SimultaneousSip General Commentary

Join me now and drink the tears of our enemies. Good tears.

View segment →
MainContent Economics & Finance

One of the big challenges for even trying to understand healthcare and trying to figure out why everything is so expensive and where it's all going to go is how you categorize things. I've been trying for literally years to figure out what categories to look at to figure out where the big expenses a…

View segment →
MainContent Economics & Finance

Let's look at the cost of a doctor. We've got these direct pay options now where you can say for $150 a month you can have all the doctoring you need by the same doctor who is a direct pay doctor. So there are a number of them already. They seem to be popular and they work well. And you know, it's t…

View segment →
MainContent Economics & Finance

Insurance is kind of the tough one. But here are a few things I would say about that. One is that if you have telemedicine that's available all the time, it's going to be much easier to get a second opinion on anything. So if you make it dead simple to get a second opinion you should be able to make…

View segment →
MainContent Economics & Finance

And then in nurses, I think you're going to see something like the gig economy where the nurses are coming to your house. It's more like an Uber situation. If you need a nurse there's one there in 15 minutes and you can watch them approach on your phone. I think you're going to see a lot of medicine…

View segment →
MainContent Economics & Finance

I'll tell you one thing that I think is going to happen. Here's my prediction. I don't know how long this will take but I'll bet a lot of people will be doing some version of Airbnb for hospital stays. Meaning that your hospital bed will be an extra room in your neighbor's house or it could be anywh…

View segment →
QandA General Commentary

Scott Adams, afraid that you do not have a clue about sickness. Now the people who say that, I want you to know that my very next Periscope is going to be troll school. I'm going to be teaching troll college because I noticed that a lot of people are trolling me poorly and they need some help. So I'…

View segment →
Closing General Commentary

So that's the background on this. That's all I wanted to say on this topic. Next time you see me, troll college.

View segment →

Hey everybody, come on in. Today is a special focused Periscope on the topic of healthcare costs. I'm going to give it to you the way you've probably never had it. Uh, that sounds a lot naughtier than I meant it to sound. So once we reach a thousand people we will share a sip of the tears of our enemies. And we're going to talk about where I see the future of healthcare costs, and I think it's good news. Or it could be. Join me now and drink the tears of our enemies. Good tears.

One of the big challenges for even trying to understand healthcare and trying to figure out why everything is so expensive and where it's all going to go is how you categorize things. I've been trying for literally years to figure out what categories to look at to figure out where the big expenses are. And whenever you see an article on this or somebody's got some statistics about healthcare costs and breaking them down, they use slightly different categories. So it's just hard to make sense of where the opportunities are and where the problems are.

But I'm going to give you one breakdown that I think is close to getting in the neighborhood of useful, and then I'm going to tell you all of the developments that are good news in those categories. So I've made the following categories of costs. These are the areas, and it's just one way you could break this down. There are lots of other ways you could break it down, and the problem is that all these areas overlap with the others. So there's a problem with getting them logically consistent.

But generally speaking you've got people, you've got buildings, you've got drugs, you've got lab tests, you've got insurance, transportation, etc. And in every one of these cases there's something good happening that might lower those costs. So let's take a look at a few of those things.

Let's look at the cost of a doctor. We've got these direct pay options now where you can say for $150 a month you can have all the doctoring you need by the same doctor who is a direct pay doctor. So there are a number of them already. They seem to be popular and they work well. And you know, it's the free market doing its thing. So that could be a huge improvement in the cost of just the doctor's time.

There's also lots of telemedicine happening both for the VA and in other places. I'm going to tell you more about that because my app will also be hosting doctors. I'll tell you more about that later. But the idea is that lots of doctors are going online. I use Kaiser and I could already email my doctor and send pictures and all that stuff. So that should make a big difference.

Of course you've got better online resources all the time. WebMD is actually pretty great and that information is improving over time. And then you've got the world of wearables, the little sensors that you can wear that will help you track what's wrong with you, catch things early, that sort of thing.

Now if you look at the world of drugs, you've got regulations that can probably be fixed to improve the competitive landscape, you know, increase the buying power. And of course Amazon is starting to work on that area with JP Morgan Chase and the third company. So you're going to see a lot on meds. But I'm wondering if someday we'll be able to 3D print some of this stuff. Probably not anytime soon, but maybe someday.

Then there's the supplies. Amazon might have something to do with that. You could have the supplies printed on demand. You could have them delivered to your home. And you'll probably see a lot more competition there. You could have, for some stuff that is not icky, there might be some ways to share it, etc.

Transportation. I thought I saw an article where Lyft was going to be doing some, let's say, low danger hospital runs for people who aren't so bad that they needed an ambulance but they don't have a way to get to the hospital themselves. And you might see more value in the telemedicine because you don't have to travel anywhere if you're just doing it by phone.

There's a real estate cost. Your doctor, your hospital, they need real estate and that costs a lot. But again the telemedicine takes that cost away. And a lot of your lab work you'll be able to put a blood sample or a urine sample in the mail and the real estate is centralized someplace cheap. So the lab, there's a number of startups that are working in the lab test space. So you should expect that this will get a lot easier. You'll do it at home. It'll be simple. It'll be cheaper.

Then there's a world of equipment, stuff that tests things and CAT scans. And there's just a ton of stuff happening here with startups. So you're going to see lower scanning devices. You're going to see very small desktop devices for testing your blood. We already have a little device that you can put into your phone that will give you an actual FDA approved EKG. So that's amazing. So there'll be more sensors that work with your phone, more miniature equipment that you could just call up your Uber driver and say, can you drop off a piece of test equipment?

I just bought at the drugstore the other day a thermometer that doesn't touch your body. Have you seen those yet? You hold it about an inch from your head and push the button and it can tell your temperature from an inch away. You just have to be in the room for half an hour so that your temperature and the room temperature have normalized. So you're seeing huge advances in the shrinking of both the cost and the size of that equipment.

Insurance is kind of the tough one. But here are a few things I would say about that. One is that if you have telemedicine that's available all the time, it's going to be much easier to get a second opinion on anything. So if you make it dead simple to get a second opinion you should be able to make a type of insurance that covers that situation. In other words, if you're a doctor and you bought malpractice insurance, should you be held responsible if your patient got another opinion? Because if there were two opinions, maybe your insurance should say that doesn't seem like your fault because you got a second opinion. Or the customer does. So that might help.

It might also help because big data is getting smarter and smarter. So more people are sharing their health information and we'll get smarter and smarter about drug interactions. We'll know more and more about nutrition and how that impacts everything that you're doing. So the more we learn big data-wise the lower the risk should be of doing something accidentally wrong. And the more easily you can get a second opinion just by picking up your smartphone and talking to a doctor in literally a minute, you should be able to take off some risk.

You also should be able to take off some risk by robot surgery. Maybe not in the short run, but eventually we might get to the point where the robots are just so much better, even if they're assisted by humans, that you just don't have as many accidents.

The other thing you could do is by keeping people out of your building you don't have as many people getting, you know, sharing germs. One of the biggest causes of death in this country is hospital mistakes. I mean think about it. That's one of the leading causes of death, is hospital mistakes. So the fewer people who physically go to a hospital because they can do things remotely, the fewer opportunities there are to share germs and get something wrong.

The more second opinions you can get at a reasonable price, the more likely you can catch a bad decision early. The more you're doing big data, the more you've got sensors on your body, the more you can check things on your own like your own heart, the more likely you're going to avoid a big problem or at least have a second check against what your doctor is telling you.

And then in nurses, I think you're going to see something like the gig economy where the nurses are coming to your house. It's more like an Uber situation. If you need a nurse there's one there in 15 minutes and you can watch them approach on your phone.

I think you're going to see a lot of medicine go to YouTube so that when people need to do simple things, such as here's an example, let's say you got an inhaler for your asthma and you needed to know the right way to use it and how to wash it out and all that stuff, all you have to do is have a good YouTube clip that's 30 seconds long and the person can learn what a nurse would have told them. So there's a whole lot of what a nurse does that's information and that can be moved to video and moved to the internet.

And there's a lot of stuff that nurses do that's a small device test like testing your blood pressure, testing your temperature, and those devices are becoming commercial and accessible. You just do that yourself. And then maybe Amazon will be delivering small equipment and supplies someday. And it could be that the hardest thing you ever have to do is maybe dress a wound. And if you need somebody to do that for you maybe there's an app for that and you find a neighbor who will do it for $25.

So that's sort of the broad scope. The idea is that if you can break down these categories in some kind of rational groupings then you can start to see which startups and which trends are working against those groupings. And then you can figure out how do you accelerate that. What is the best thing the government could do? What could you do as an individual? What investors could do? What's the best thing you could do to goose any of these effects that are already positive? What could be more positive?

I'll tell you one thing that I think is going to happen. Here's my prediction. I don't know how long this will take but I'll bet a lot of people will be doing some version of Airbnb for hospital stays. Meaning that your hospital bed will be an extra room in your neighbor's house or it could be anywhere, but just an extra room in somebody's house if it has its own bathroom. And if the nature of your problem is not one that you need a clean environment. So let's say you don't need something like shots and you need just the simplest monitoring and recovery and somebody stops by twice a day and checks you out. Maybe there's a video camera on you so that you're actually being watched 100% of the time. So there's probably some way to take a hospital bed stay which is super expensive and compress it by 80 or 90% and somebody could still make a nice profit having a clean room in their house, a hospital room. Now of course it's only for very specific situations, right? Not for every situation, but some.

So you can see how many opportunities there are for this to improve in a substantial way.

Scott Adams, afraid that you do not have a clue about sickness. Now the people who say that, I want you to know that my very next Periscope is going to be troll school. I'm going to be teaching troll college because I noticed that a lot of people are trolling me poorly and they need some help. So I've put together, and by the way I'm not joking about this, I'm going to be teaching troll college in my very next Periscope.

So that's the background on this. That's all I wanted to say on this topic. Next time you see me, troll college.

hey everybody come on in here today is a special focused Periscope on the topic of healthcare cost I'm going to give it to you the way you've probably never had it uh that sounds a lot naughtier than I meant it to sound so once we reach thousand people we will share a sip of the tears of our enemies and we're going to talk about where I see the future of healthc care costs and I think it's good news or it could be join me now and drink the tears of our enemies good tears all right one of the big challenges for even trying to understand healthc care and trying to figure out why everything is so expensive and where it's all going to go is how you categorize things and I've been trying for literally years to figure out what categories to look at to figure out where the big expenses are and whenever you see an article on this or somebody's got some statistics about healthare costs and breaking them down they use slightly different categories so it's just hard to make sense of where the opportunities are and where the problems are but I'm going to give you one breakdown that I think is close to getting in the neighborhood of useful and then I'm going to tell you all of the developments that are good news in those categories so I've made the following categories of costs so these are the areas and it's just one way you could break this down there are lots of other ways you could break it down and the problem is that all these areas overlap with the others so there's there's a a problem with getting them logically consistent but generally speaking you've got people you've got buildings you've got drugs you've got lab tests you've got insurance um transportation Etc and in every one of these cases there's something good happening that might lower those costs so let's take a look at a few of those things let's look at the cost of a doctor uh we've got these direct pay options now where you can say for $150 a month you can have all the doctoring you need by the same Doctor Who is a direct pay a doctor so there are a number of them already they seem to be popular and they work well and and you know it's the free market doing his thing so that that could be a huge Improvement in the cost of just the doctor's time there's also lots of tele medicine happening both for the VA and in other places I'm going to tell you more about that because my app um will also be uh hosting doctors uh I'll tell you more about that later but the idea is that lots of doctors are going online um I use uh Kaiser and I could already email my doctor and send pictures and and all that stuff so that should make a big difference um of course you've got uh better uh online resources all the time WebMD is actually pretty great and that information is improving over time and then you've got the world of a wearables the little sensors that you can wear that will will help you uh track what's wrong with you catch Things Early that sort of thing now if you look at the world of drugs you've got regulations that can probably be fixed to improve the competitive landscape you know increase the bu buying power and of course Amazon is starting to work on that area with uh uh JP Morgan Chase and uh the third company but the so you're going to see a lot uh on meds but I'm wondering if someday we'll be able to 3D print some of this stuff probably not anytime soon but maybe someday then there's the supplies Amazon might have something to do with that you could have the supplies printed on demand you could have them delivered to your home uh and you'll probably see a lot more competition there you could have for some stuff that is not icky there might be some ways to to share it Etc Transportation uh I thought I saw an article where Lyft was going to be doing some uh let's say low danger um Hospital runs for people who aren't so bad that they needed an ambulance but they don't have a way to get to the hospital themselves um and you might see more value in the tele medicine because you don't have to travel anywhere if you're just doing it by phone there's a real estate cost your doctor your hospital they need real estate and that costs a lot but again the tele medicine takes that cost away and a lot of your lab work you'll be able to you know put a blood sample or a urine sample in the mail and uh the real estate is centralized someplace cheap so the lab there's a number of startups that are working in the lab test space so you should expect that this will get a lot easier you'll do it at home it'll be simple it'll be cheaper then there's a world of equipment stuff that tests things and CAT scans and there's just a ton of stuff Happening Here with startups so you're going to see lower scanning devices you're going to see um uh very small desktop devices for testing your blood uh we already have a little device that you can put into your phone that will give you an actual FDA approved uh EKG so that's amazing so there'll be more sensors that work with your phone more miniature equipment that you could uh just call up your Uber driver and say say can you drop off a piece of test equipment I just bought at the drugstore the other day a uh uh thermometer that doesn't touch your body have you seen those yet you hold it you hold it about an inch from your head and push the button and it can tell your temperature from an inch away you just have to be in the room for half an hour so that your temperature in the room temperature have normalized so you're seeing huge advances in the shrinking of both the cost and the size of that equipment insurance is kind of the tough one but here are a few things I would say about that one is that if you have tele medicine that's available all the time it's going to be much easier to get a second opinion on anything so if you make it if you make it dead simple to get a second opinion you should be able to make a a type of insurance that covers that situation in other words if you're a doctor and you're you bought malpractice insurance should you be held responsible if your patient got another opinion CU if there were two op two opinions you know maybe maybe your insurance should say that doesn't uh that doesn't seem like your fault because you got a second opinion or the customer do so that might help it might also help because big data is is getting smarter and smarter so more people are sharing their health information and we'll we'll get smarter and smarter about drug interactions we'll know more and more about nutrition and how that impacts everything that you're doing so the more we learn big datawise the lower the risk should be of doing something accidentally wrong and the the more easily you can get a second opinion just by picking up your smartphone and talking to a doctor in you know literally a minute you should be able to take off some risk you also should be able to take off some Risk by robot surgery maybe not in the short run but eventually we might get to the point where the robots are just so much better even if they're assisted by humans that you just don't have as many accidents the other thing you could do is by keeping people out of your building you don't have as many people getting um you know sharing germs one of the biggest one of the biggest causes of death in this country is is uh Hospital mistakes I mean think about it that's one of the leading causes of death is Hospital mistakes so the fewer people who physically go to a hospital because they can do things remotely the fewer opportunities there are to share germs and get something wrong the more second opinions you can get at a reasonable price the more likely you can catch a bad a bad decision early the more you're doing big data the more you've got sensors on your body the more you can check things on your own like your own heart the more likely you're going to avoid a big problem or at least have a a second check against what your doctor is telling you uh and then in nurses um I think you're going to see something like the gig economy where the nurses are coming to your house it's more like an Uber situation if you need a nurse there's one there in 15 minutes and you can watch them approach on your on your phone uh I think you're going to see a lot of medicine go to You.

Tube so that when people need to do simple things such as here's an example let's say you got an inhaler for your asthma and you needed to know the right way to use it and how to wash it out and and all that stuff all you have to do is have a a good You.

Tube clip that's 30 seconds long and the person can learn what a nurse would have told them so there's a whole lot of what a nurse does that's information and that can be moved to video and moved to the internet and there's a lot of stuff that nurses do that's a a small device test like testing your blood pressure testing your temperature and those devices are becoming you know commercial and accessible you just do that yourself um and then maybe Amazon will be delivering small equipment and supplies someday and the it could be that the hardest thing you ever have to to do is maybe dress a wound and if you needs somebody to do that for you maybe there's an app for that and you find a neighbor who will do it for $25 so that's sort of the the uh the broad scope the idea is that if you can break down these categories in some kind of rational groupings then you can start to see which startups and which Trends are working against those groupings and then you can figure out how do you accelerate that what what is the best thing the government could do what you could do as an individual what investors could do what's the best thing you could do to Goose any of these effects that are already positive what could be more positive I I'll tell you one thing that I think is going to happen um here's my prediction I don't know how long this will take but I'll bet a lot of people will be doing some version of Airbnb for uh hospital stays meaning that your hospital bed will be an extra room in your neighbor's house or you know it could be anywhere but just an extra room in somebody's house if it has its own bathroom and if the if the nature of your problem is not one that you need a clean environment so let's say you don't need um something like shots and you need just the simplest monitoring and you know recovery and somebody stops by twice a day and checks you out maybe there's a video camera on you so that you're actually being watched 100% of the time so there's probably some way to take a hospital bed stay which is super expensive and compress it by 80 90% and somebody could still make a nice profit having a clean room in their house you know a hospital room now of course it's only for very specific situations right not not for every situation but some um so you can see how many opportunities there are for this to improve in a in a substantial way uh Scott afraid that you do not have a clue about sickness now the people who say that um I I want you to know that my very next periscope is going to be troll school um I'm going to be teaching troll College because I noticed that a lot of people are trolling me poorly and and they need some help so I've put together and by the way I'm not joking about this I'm going to be teaching uh troll College in my very next Periscope um so that's that's the background on this that's all I wanted to say on this top topic next time you see me troll College

hey everybody come on in here today is a

special focused Periscope on the topic

of healthcare cost I'm going to give it

to you the way you've probably never had

it uh that sounds a lot naughtier than I

meant it to sound so once we reach

thousand people we will share a sip of

the tears of our enemies and we're going

to talk about where I see the future of

healthc care costs and I think it's good

news or it could be join me now and

drink the tears of our

enemies good

tears all right one of the big

challenges for even trying to understand

healthc care and trying to figure out

why everything is so expensive and where

it's all going to go is how you

categorize things and I've been trying

for literally years to figure out what

categories to look at to figure out

where the big expenses are and whenever

you see an article on this or somebody's

got some statistics about healthare

costs and breaking them down they use

slightly different categories so it's

just hard to make sense of where the

opportunities are and where the problems

are but I'm going to give you one

breakdown that I think is close to

getting in the neighborhood of useful

and then I'm going to tell you all of

the developments that are good news in

those categories so I've made the

following categories of costs so these

are the areas and it's just one way you

could break this down there are lots of

other ways you could break it down and

the problem is that all these areas

overlap with the others so there's

there's a a problem with getting them

logically

consistent but generally speaking you've

got people you've got buildings you've

got drugs you've got lab tests you've

got insurance um transportation Etc and

in every one of these cases there's

something good happening that might

lower those costs so let's take a look

at a few of those things let's look at

the cost of a doctor uh we've got these

direct pay options now where you can say

for $150 a month you can have all the

doctoring you need by the same Doctor

Who is a direct pay a doctor so there

are a number of them already they seem

to be popular and they work well and and

you know it's the free market doing his

thing so that that could be a huge

Improvement in the cost of just the

doctor's time there's also lots of tele

medicine happening both for the VA and

in other places I'm going to tell you

more about that because my app um will

also be uh hosting doctors uh I'll tell

you more about that later but the idea

is that lots of doctors are going online

um I use uh Kaiser and I could already

email my doctor and send pictures and

and all that stuff so that should make a

big difference um of course you've got

uh better uh online resources all the

time WebMD is actually pretty great and

that information is improving over time

and then you've got the world of a

wearables the little sensors that you

can wear that will will help you uh

track what's wrong with you catch Things

Early that sort of thing now if you look

at the world of drugs you've got

regulations that can probably be fixed

to improve the competitive landscape you

know increase the bu buying power and of

course Amazon is starting to work on

that area with uh uh JP Morgan Chase

and uh the third company but the so

you're going to see a lot uh on

meds but I'm wondering if someday we'll

be able to 3D print some of this stuff

probably not anytime soon but maybe

someday then there's the supplies Amazon

might have something to do with that you

could have the supplies printed on

demand you could have them delivered to

your home uh and you'll probably see a

lot more competition there you could

have for some stuff that is not icky

there might be some ways to to share it

Etc Transportation uh I thought I saw an

article where Lyft was going to be doing

some uh let's say low danger um Hospital

runs for people who aren't so bad that

they needed an ambulance but they don't

have a way to get to the hospital

themselves um and you might see more

value in the tele medicine because you

don't have to travel anywhere if you're

just doing it by phone there's a real

estate cost your doctor your hospital

they need real estate and that costs a

lot but again the tele medicine takes

that cost away and a lot of your lab

work you'll be able to you know put a

blood sample or a urine sample in the

mail and uh the real estate is

centralized someplace cheap so the lab

there's a number of startups that are

working in the lab test space so you

should expect that this will get a lot

easier you'll do it at home it'll be

simple it'll be cheaper then there's a

world of equipment stuff that tests

things and CAT scans and there's just a

ton of stuff Happening Here with

startups so you're going to see lower

scanning devices you're going to see um

uh very small desktop devices for

testing your blood uh we already have a

little device that you can put into your

phone that will give you an actual FDA

approved uh

EKG so that's amazing so there'll be

more sensors that work with your phone

more miniature equipment that you could

uh just call up your Uber driver and say

say can you drop off a piece of test

equipment I just bought at the drugstore

the other day a uh uh

thermometer that doesn't touch your body

have you seen those yet you hold it you

hold it about an inch from your head and

push the button and it can tell your

temperature from an inch away you just

have to be in the room for half an hour

so that your temperature in the room

temperature have normalized so you're

seeing huge advances in the shrinking of

both the cost and the size of that

equipment insurance is kind of the tough

one but here are a few things I would

say about

that one is that if you have tele

medicine that's available all the time

it's going to be much easier to get a

second opinion on anything so if you

make it if you make it dead simple to

get a second

opinion you should be able to make a a

type of insurance that covers that

situation in other words if you're a

doctor and you're you bought malpractice

insurance should you be held responsible

if your patient got another opinion CU

if there were two op two

opinions you know maybe maybe your

insurance should say that doesn't uh

that doesn't seem like your fault

because you got a second opinion or the

customer do so that might help it might

also help because big data is is getting

smarter and smarter so more people are

sharing their health

information and we'll we'll get smarter

and smarter about drug interactions

we'll know more and more about nutrition

and how that impacts everything that

you're doing so the more we learn big

datawise the lower the risk should be of

doing something accidentally wrong and

the the more easily you can get a second

opinion just by picking up your

smartphone and talking to a doctor in

you know literally a minute you should

be able to take off some risk you also

should be able to take off some Risk by

robot surgery maybe not in the short run

but eventually we might get to the point

where the robots are just so much better

even if they're assisted by humans that

you just don't have as many accidents

the other thing you could do is by

keeping people out of your building you

don't have as many people getting um you

know sharing germs one of the biggest

one of the biggest causes of death in

this country is is uh Hospital

mistakes I mean think about it that's

one of the leading causes of death is

Hospital mistakes so the fewer people

who physically go to a hospital because

they can do things

remotely the fewer opportunities there

are to share germs and get something

wrong the more second opinions you can

get at a reasonable price the more

likely you can catch a bad a bad

decision early the more you're doing big

data the more you've got sensors on your

body the more you can check things on

your own like your own heart the more

likely you're going to avoid a big

problem or at least have a a second

check against what your doctor is

telling you uh and then in nurses um I

think you're going to see something like

the gig economy where the nurses are

coming to your house it's more like an

Uber situation if you need a nurse

there's one there in 15 minutes and you

can watch them approach on your on your

phone uh I think you're going to see a

lot of medicine go to YouTube so that

when people need to do simple things

such as here's an example let's say you

got an inhaler for your asthma and you

needed to know the right way to use it

and how to wash it out and and all that

stuff all you have to do is have a a

good YouTube clip that's 30 seconds long

and the person can learn what a nurse

would have told them so there's a whole

lot of what a nurse does

that's

information and that can be moved to

video and moved to the internet and

there's a lot of stuff that nurses do

that's a a small device test like

testing your blood pressure testing your

temperature and those devices are

becoming you know commercial and

accessible you just do that

yourself um and then maybe Amazon will

be delivering small equipment and

supplies someday and the it could be

that the hardest thing you ever have to

to do is maybe dress a wound and if you

needs somebody to do that for you maybe

there's an app for that and you find a

neighbor who will do it for

$25

so that's sort of the the uh the broad

scope the idea is that if you can break

down these categories in some kind of

rational groupings then you can start to

see which startups and which Trends are

working against those groupings and then

you can figure out how do you accelerate

that what what is the best thing the

government could do what you could do as

an individual what investors could do

what's the best thing you could do to

Goose any of these effects that are

already positive what could be more

positive I I'll tell you one thing that

I think is going to

happen um here's my prediction I don't

know how long this will take but I'll

bet a lot of people will be doing some

version of

Airbnb for uh hospital

stays meaning that your hospital bed

will be an extra room in your neighbor's

house or you know it could be anywhere

but just an extra room in somebody's

house if it has its own bathroom and if

the if the nature of your problem is not

one that you need a clean

environment so let's say you don't need

um something like shots and you need

just the simplest monitoring and you

know recovery and somebody stops by

twice a day

and checks you out maybe there's a video

camera on you so that you're actually

being watched 100% of the time so

there's probably some way to take a

hospital bed stay which is super

expensive and compress it by 80

90% and somebody could still make a nice

profit having a clean room in their

house you know a hospital room now of

course it's only for very specific

situations right not not for every

situation

but

some um so you can see how many

opportunities there are for this to

improve in a in a substantial

way

uh Scott afraid that you do not have a

clue about

sickness now the people who say

that um I I want you to know that my

very next periscope is going to be troll

school um I'm going to be teaching troll

College because I noticed that a lot of

people are trolling me poorly and and

they need some help so I've put together

and by the way I'm not joking about this

I'm going to be

teaching uh troll College in my very

next

Periscope um so that's that's the

background on this that's all I wanted

to say on this top topic next time you

see me troll College