Episode 2942 CWSA 08/29/25
Democrats dissolve and Trump triumphs. Mostly. Come in for fun. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Your stocks are down a little bit. Yep. Down, down, down, down. Well, room to grow. Come on in. It's going to be an amazing podcast. So good you won't even believe it. But grab a seat before they're all taken. It's so popular that all the virtual chairs get taken. All right, let me adjust this for…
View segment →he highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience up to levels that no one can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cup of your choosin…
View segment →l comes out every day. And it's a little bit spicier than it used to be. But I also published the comic from 10 years ago, exactly 10 years ago to the date. And people who subscribe either on X or on Locals can see both. And the amazing thing is that the 10-year-ago comic is almost exactly what's ha…
View segment →ic is ahead of its time by 10 years. Let's look at some science and see if there's any science that looks like it's backwards. Okay, here's one. Socializing could add years to your life. So apparently the people who socialize the most live the longest, and therefore they suggest that it's the socia…
View segment →, any sports team, tennis, whatever, I would say that group is probably more likely to live longer than the other people. So backwards science, at least partially. It might also be true that socializing is good for your health. I wouldn't be surprised. Here's one that really pisses me off. How many…
View segment →e. It's never been true. I can't believe it. It's almost like 100% of everything I learned, aside from math, 100% of everything I learned is just wrong. So anyway, that's what we heard today. They have a reason why they may be losing ships in that particular place. They think it's something about r…
View segment →e meme-worthy. Yeah, AI art. It might be the same for movies. It could be that there'll be something about the lack of humanity in the movie that even though it looks perfect, your brain might say uncanny valley or something. Apparently ChatGPT is admitting that their guardrails for safety on their…
View segment →magine that the AI is thinking in a totally different way than a human thinks. And then we would keep working on trying to get the AI to think the way a human does. And then someday we would realize it already does. It's exactly the way we think. All we do is recognize patterns. And if we're bad at…
View segment →they're going to figure out some kind of payment system. So authors are going to get paid. And then what happens to the other AI companies who no doubt will also get sued if one of the big ones already settled and said, "All right, all right, we'll just change our business model and you'll get some…
View segment →etimes talked about as a possible Democrat presidential candidate, he said, "I would absolutely welcome federal support." So he knows he needs to get on the right side of this crime thing. I don't know much about Wes Moore, Maryland's governor, but I hear good stuff about him all the time. So he wou…
View segment →in in another election? Don't they act like beating Trump is still the goal when there's nothing to beat? He's just going to run out of his time and then he'll leave peacefully. But they've got this hallucination, the Gavin Newsom hallucination. They all have it at this point. But it's because of pe…
View segment →know if that's enough, though. We'll see. The headline says that Trump has revoked Kamala Harris's Secret Service protection, but you have to read past the headline to know that she got exactly as much as vice presidents are supposed to get. So vice presidents are not like presidents who get a life…
View segment →extra attention, but I don't know for sure that the data is right. But I'll bet it's alarming no matter what it is. All the smart people said that the John Bolton investigation was because Trump was getting revenge on all of his enemies and John Bolton was just one of them and so he went after him…
View segment →d at and said, "Yeah, that's a problem." You looked at and said, "That's classified. Why is that even classified?" So I think I'm going to grade this one as a wait and see because the part of this story that doesn't make sense is that somebody like Bolton would play so fast and loose with classified…
View segment →ut in the Department of Defense cloud system? Well, so now that we know that Secretary Hegseth is working with Microsoft to make sure they don't use any more of those Chinese nationals, see if they can fix that. I guess the Trump administration is looking at tightening up our visa rules, visas wher…
View segment →some credit. I know a lot of people are saying they won't be happy until that owl-wannabe CEO gets fired. Doesn't she remind you of an owl? Like maybe she's a furry. No, she's not. But she reminds me of an owl. I don't know why. The glasses, I guess. So good work. Robbie Starbuck gets another big wi…
View segment →s is invalid because I'm not an expert. What exactly has been the track record of experts on anything? Anything. You name a topic. Tell me how well the experts did on that topic. Now show me the podcasters who had everything right. There'll always be some for every topic. It seems like there's alway…
View segment →or something. So I'm not so sure this study is telling us what we think. However, I'm a big fan of people being useful. So yeah, having a sense of purpose is so highly recommended for your mental health, it doesn't surprise me that it might be correlated with your physical health and your dementia.…
View segment →is that the robot sort of has to predict, all right, if I do this, what do my other parts need to do? And then it sort of tries several predictions and then it picks the best one. And apparently that just will always have a time lag. But if you use quantum computing, it looks at all the possibilitie…
View segment →s all you needed today. That is all you needed. All right. Thanks for joining everybody. Watching the end of the summer stories is going to be fun. There's going to be a whole bunch of stuff that looks kind of weird and fun and humorous. So keep watching for that. All right, I'm going to talk to t…
View segment →een it a million times, even with my own restaurant. But when you see that somebody is paying influencers to make sure that they say things on your team and the other team has never needed to pay an influencer and wouldn't even think about it, I'll bet you nobody has even had that conversation on th…
View segment →Your stocks are down a little bit. Yep. Down, down, down, down. Well, room to grow. Come on in. It's going to be an amazing podcast. So good you won't even believe it. But grab a seat before they're all taken. It's so popular that all the virtual chairs get taken.
All right, let me adjust this for perfection. There we go. Perfection.
Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience up to levels that no one can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cup of your choosing, a canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. But darn it, it happens right now.
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Oh, so good.
Well, you wouldn't know this unless you were subscribing to the Dilbert comic strip that still comes out every day. And it's a little bit spicier than it used to be. But I also published the comic from 10 years ago, exactly 10 years ago to the date. And people who subscribe either on X or on Locals can see both. And the amazing thing is that the 10-year-ago comic is almost exactly what's happening today. It's all about AI in the workplace and robots. And today's was about tiny nano robots in the body. Literally one of the stories in the news is that there are some cancer tumor-eating robots that'll be in your body soon. So the Dilbert comic is ahead of its time by 10 years.
Let's look at some science and see if there's any science that looks like it's backwards. Okay, here's one. Socializing could add years to your life. So apparently the people who socialize the most live the longest, and therefore they suggest that it's the socializing that makes you live longer. And then they gave some examples of the socializing, and it includes joining sports teams. Now they're talking about older adults. This is for older adults, not teenagers. And volunteering and spending time with grandchildren. You know what all of those things have in common? They are things you don't want to do unless you're healthy. Would you join a sports team if you're unhealthy and middle-aged? Probably not. Maybe bocce. But it seems to me if you're looking at the subset of people who could join a sports team when they're middle-aged, any sports team, tennis, whatever, I would say that group is probably more likely to live longer than the other people. So backwards science, at least partially. It might also be true that socializing is good for your health. I wouldn't be surprised.
Here's one that really pisses me off. How many of you believe that there's a thing called the Bermuda Triangle and that the reason it's famous is that an unusual number of ships have disappeared in it? How many of you believe that that's a real thing? That there is a Bermuda Triangle. Now, that part is true. How many of you believe that more ships disappear there than in other places? It turns out that it's the same number of ships that disappear there as everywhere else. It's about the same. It's never been true. I can't believe it. It's almost like 100% of everything I learned, aside from math, 100% of everything I learned is just wrong.
So anyway, that's what we heard today. They have a reason why they may be losing ships in that particular place. They think it's something about rogue waves. Maybe. But if it's not any worse than anywhere else in the ocean, I'm not really that interested. There must be waves everywhere.
Once again, how many times if you're on social media and you follow any content about AI, how many times have you seen a video of a five-second clip where somebody says, "AI has turned the corner and now it can make movies. They're as good as movies. Look at this five-second clip." And then you think, "Wow, somebody's gonna put together a bunch of five-second clips and next thing you know, you've got a two-hour movie." But you don't. I've never seen one.
So yet again, I was seeing a post by the Code Monk. There's some new AI, PixVerse version five, that is doing ultra HD flawless motion movie clips. And the thinking is, guess what, AI has turned the corner and it can make a five-second movie clip and therefore any moment now, any minute, it's going to make a movie and then, well, you're going to love that movie 'cause it'll be so good. Do you think that there will be an HD movie in a couple of weeks? 'Cause I mean that's all it would take, right? You don't have to hire anybody. Just sit down and type your ideas into it and you change them as you go.
So who wants to take a bet? I will take a bet that there will not be a commercially successful AI movie in 12 months. Maybe someday, but my estimate will be that all these things that look like they're ready now, I don't think so.
And then I imagine doing it myself. I thought, all right... I'm not quite sure how to help you with that. Pipe down. That was my digital assistant piping in.
So I keep thinking about doing it myself, you know, just saying, "All right, I'm going to carve out some time and I'm going to turn one of my books, God's Debris, into a movie." And I'll just put every scene in and I'll say stuff like, "He's an old man and he's wearing a black blanket and he's super old. He's by a fireplace in this expensive house." And then it creates a scene and then I'll look at it and I'll go, "Hmm, I don't like that rocking chair. Make that rocking chair a little more ornate." And the trouble is I would never stop doing that. Probably every single element of the scene I would be like, "Yeah, I don't know if I want to put that dish there. Oh no, it should be a little less light." And I believe that I would end up spending exactly as much time, like a year to make that movie, as I would if I were a professional movie maker and did it the old-fashioned way.
So I've got a feeling that there are some traps built into just the process of making a movie that's going to be a lot harder than you think. And will the world be inundated with really bad movies because people who don't have much talent can make a movie? Will you be so tired of AI movies?
Do you remember one of my predictions that was counter to the world? I said that nobody's going to care about AI-generated art because the thing that attracts us to art is our mating instinct. We're attracted to the artist basically. That's why we're impressed by the art. If you saw the Mona Lisa and the Mona Lisa had never existed before and AI created the Mona Lisa, would it be hanging in the Louvre? If it had never existed and AI created it for the first time, would you say to yourself, "My God, that is the most amazing piece of art. That must be worth $100 million. We better put it in the Louvre." Or would you think about sending it to your friend and then think, "She's kind of ugly. This isn't going anywhere." And then you wouldn't even send it because it wouldn't even be meme-worthy. Yeah, AI art. It might be the same for movies. It could be that there'll be something about the lack of humanity in the movie that even though it looks perfect, your brain might say uncanny valley or something.
Apparently ChatGPT is admitting that their guardrails for safety on their AI might weaken in long conversations, which is a big deal because some parents are suing the AI company over their teens taking their own lives because the AI said something that either advised them to do it or taught them how to do it or both. So the AI might kill you. That's what the lawsuit says, that it might kill you. But I don't think it'll make a two-hour movie anytime soon.
According to Digital Information World, these large language model AIs, which is the kind that all of them are right now, large language models, all they do is look at patterns as we know. So they're not really thinking. They're just doing pattern recognition and going with the most dominant patterns. And the new article in Digital Information World says that even when it looks like it's thinking, you know, sometimes it'll show you its thought process. So it looks like it's thinking, but there's no thought process. It's just sort of a trick, the pattern recognition.
And I'm going to remind you, you know how I always tease that when people have analogies as part of their argument that they don't have logic because analogies are not part of an argument. Sometimes an analogy is good to describe what something is, but it's never good as a prediction or an argument. It's just a bad way to use it. But that's exactly like what the large language models are. So a human who says, "Hmm, that president reminds me of Hitler, so I predict he will invade Poland." That would be an analogy thinker. Not very good. But that's sort of what the large language models do.
So what I predicted would happen but didn't happen, maybe it won't, is that the AI would reproduce how humans think, but it would take us a while to realize that. We would imagine that the AI is thinking in a totally different way than a human thinks. And then we would keep working on trying to get the AI to think the way a human does. And then someday we would realize it already does. It's exactly the way we think. All we do is recognize patterns. And if we're bad at it, we're analogy thinkers. And if we're good at it, maybe it just gives you an idea of what things to think about or look into more deeply. But there might be some people who can get closer to logic. Not many.
According to Futurism, there's some lawsuits about authors wanting to get paid, and apparently Anthropic decided to just pay the authors instead of go ahead with the lawsuit, which if they lost, and I guess they thought that was a good enough chance they might lose a trillion dollars. So the authors that were suing Anthropic, an AI company, for what they would say would be illegally using their copyrighted materials to train it, rather than fight it, they're going to figure out some kind of payment system. So authors are going to get paid.
And then what happens to the other AI companies who no doubt will also get sued if one of the big ones already settled and said, "All right, all right, we'll just change our business model and you'll get some money." But I would expect that the amount of money will be similar to the outrage that musicians have when they look at their Spotify income. I think somebody said if you have a song on Spotify and it plays a million times, you would get $4,000. It's pretty hard to get a million plays of anything. So I feel like as an author, I should be celebrating that the AI companies might have to send me money because I've got several books that may have been a tiny, tiny part of what they trained on. But there'll be so many authors I feel like we're all going to get five cents. So I'm not sure this is much of a victory, but who knows?
Here's what you can call the Trump effect. He's doing such a good job fighting crime, and the public likes it when he fights crime. It doesn't matter what he's doing. The public likes fighting crime by majority. So Eric Adams, mayor of New York, is going to surge a thousand extra police into the Bronx because there's been a surge of shootings there. And at the same time, Gavin Newsom just announced that he's also surging a whole bunch of new law enforcement people. So New York and California are basically copying Trump because they realize that they can't say, "No, we're actually in favor of crime," a sort of losing argument. To their credit, they figured out that being in favor of crime is politically bad. And so at least some of their smarter Democrats are saying, "We better try to get ahead of this. At least act like we're doing something so you don't need Trump to do something." So they're doing the best they can, but this is totally the Trump effect. I would give Trump the credit for Eric Adams and Gavin Newsom surging law enforcement because I don't believe they would have done it otherwise. I think they had to do it politically. It was just too much pressure because somebody was doing it and it was working and that was Trump.
The funniest thing that came out of Newsom's announcement about his new law enforcement push is it came, I think, a day after Trump had mocked him for his jazz hands. You know, his gesticulations when he's talking because they seem a little crazy, a little too much. And so I had predicted that Trump's such a good trash talker that he would get in Newsom's head, that Newsom would be thinking about his hands while he talked. It would make him less effective because his brain would have to do two things. Well, he's sitting at the table for the announcement about his law enforcement surge and he's locked his hands together, which looks to me like he did it intentionally so that his hands wouldn't be jumping around. But he didn't talk it over with his thumb because even though his hands were properly just in front of him, not moving, he had one rogue thumb that kept trying to do what his hands do. So he's talking and his thumb is just wiggling around. And there's no way that wasn't caused by Trump. There's nothing you could tell me that would convince me that all of that wasn't because he was trying to compensate for his jazz hands. It totally worked. Trump got in his head. And now every time we watch him, especially since that one rogue thumb situation, I'm going to be looking for his hand gestures. And I'll bet you that you will see him have to think about it every time he talks from now on. Just so good. And Trump's get-in-your-head game, it's just so good.
Trump is winning in so many ways. Now, there's a Chicago pastor, according to Fox News, who was blasting the Democrats for outright lying about crime, and he says he wants Trump to send the National Guard to Chicago. So some prominent Chicago pastor, Corey Brooks, and he basically says, "Yes, please, Trump, do more of that." Now, how many prominent black residents of Chicago have to come out in favor of Trump's push on crime? How many of them have to do it before it's impossible to say no? It won't take that many. It just takes a few brave people to say, "Hell yes, we need some help. Yeah, whatever you got. We'll take whatever you got to have less crime." So Corey Brooks, one of the smart ones, going first.
At the same time, Maryland Governor Wes Moore, who's sometimes talked about as a possible Democrat presidential candidate, he said, "I would absolutely welcome federal support." So he knows he needs to get on the right side of this crime thing. I don't know much about Wes Moore, Maryland's governor, but I hear good stuff about him all the time. So he would be one to watch. He was on Will Cain's show when he said that.
President Trump, you know, I think I said the other day that for his age, it's especially impressive that he's the most innovative president we've ever had. And I feel like nobody was even close. I mean, I don't need to go through the list. The things that Trump did that are different from what anybody had in mind but worked out great, from tariffs to you name it. But now he's come up with the idea of holding a national Republican convention before the midterm elections. Now, that's never been done because they typically think that's something for a presidential election year, not an in-between election. But since the party always gets a bump from a convention, isn't that just the smartest idea? It's so smart that it makes you think, wait a minute, why didn't they always do that? Don't you believe that if he does that, the Democrats will have to do the same thing? Of course they will. And once again, he will show that he's a leader and an innovator and he does common sense, smart things. And the Democrats, when they're doing their best, when they're doing their best, they're copying him. You can't get much stronger than that. That's pretty impressive. So big yes on the midterm convention. And to me, that's just, once you hear the idea, it's a no-brainer. But why did it take Trump to come up with the idea? Now, maybe somebody suggested it to him, but still, he's the president who said, "Yeah, I will entertain that idea." So he still gets the innovation benefit even if someone else said it first.
The Gateway Pundit is writing about the fact that now we have some RICO investigations into the Soros organization, a big funder, maybe the biggest funder of the Democrats. But also there's this, you heard that Bill Gates said he wasn't going to fund the Arabella group, which was yet another big funder of Democrats. And then separately, Trump says he wants to, he's authorizing audits of every NGO, everyone that gets money from the government, which is just a ton. Now, presumably that also is a way that Democrats were sort of in a weaselly way getting taxpayer money that they would work through their network to turn it into donations to Democrat candidates. So that might be getting squeezed. And then you've heard that ActBlue, they were allegedly an organization who would take small donations for Democrats, but they're under investigation for allegedly maybe taking money from big entities and only pretending it came from small ones.
So correct me if I'm wrong, but our current situation is that Kamala Harris drained the bank account of the Democrats, leaving them with very little, and then the big donors have all sewed their pockets shut because they're not seeing anything coming from the Democrats that looks promising. So there's nothing really to give money to. And so they're not getting their usual big donor donations. But all of their semi-illegal, probably legal but maybe not, all these dark money ways that they get money are being either investigated or shut down or starved. So boy, when the Democrats collapse, they really collapse. We're going to find out how important money is for getting elected. Obviously it makes some difference. But Trump is in a position where he can raise money like crazy at this point and the Democrats have nothing.
Is it my imagination or is it true that the Democrats are pretending that they're going to run against Trump again in another election? Don't they act like beating Trump is still the goal when there's nothing to beat? He's just going to run out of his time and then he'll leave peacefully. But they've got this hallucination, the Gavin Newsom hallucination. They all have it at this point. But it's because of people like Gavin. He doesn't really believe it. I don't think he really believes it. I'm not a mind reader, but I don't believe for one second that Gavin Newsom thinks Trump's going to stay in office beyond his two terms. I don't think he thinks that. But he's got this weak little argument where he says there are lots of hats that say Trump 2028. And then he added to that, why would Trump build a ballroom for the White House when he's not going to be around to enjoy it? To which I say, how much more is he going to enjoy it anyway? I always thought he's building it so that they'll put his name on it. Don't you think it'll be the Trump ballroom and then every president from there on, I guess those presidents could rename it if they wanted to, but it would be tacky if they did, especially if Trump pays for it. There's going to be at least a plaque on the wall that says Donald Trump paid for this.
So they've got this crazy imaginary problem that they're fighting and the imaginary problem is Trump 2028. And Trump totally nurtured that hoax. I guess I would call it a hoax because he's allowing them to believe it even though he denies it, but he teases it so they think, "Aha, we have finally figured out how to interpret Trump." They're very bad at it, but we finally figured it out. It means he's really going to run in 2028. Nah.
The Supreme Court has agreed with the Trump administration that they can cut the diversity research grants at the NIH. Apparently there was a ginormous amount of money being used for diversity research grants. Now, do you need to do a deep dive on that topic to know that you should cut that to zero? No, you don't. If there is such a thing as diversity research grants in 2025, it might have made sense. There might have been some point in history where that made a little bit of sense. It doesn't make sense now. So Trump cut it and the court agreed. But amazingly, Justice Roberts sided with the liberals who voted against everything Trump wants. It wasn't enough to give them the victory. But man, what's wrong with Justice Roberts? I've got questions about that guy.
I saw Mike Benz talking about how you could get the Soros organization on a RICO charge, which would mean that it's part of a big organized ongoing criminal enterprise. So there would have to be a crime otherwise it's not a criminal enterprise. And some of the things that apparently the Soros-funded, no actually taxpayer-funded I think but Soros must have been involved somehow, in creating documents that were teaching protesters how to protest their own government in the United States and had advice such as blocking intersections and occupying buildings. Now, if those things are illegal, blocking an intersection sounds like it's illegal to me. Then knowing that there's written training materials and an ongoing effort to train people to act this way, it does feel a little bit RICO-ish. I don't know if that's enough, though. We'll see.
The headline says that Trump has revoked Kamala Harris's Secret Service protection, but you have to read past the headline to know that she got exactly as much as vice presidents are supposed to get. So vice presidents are not like presidents who get a lifetime of Secret Service. Vice presidents are only allowed six months and the six months is up. However, we are finding out that Biden had ordered an extra year for Kamala Harris. So what Trump is doing is simply cancelling the extra part because is there anybody in the world who wants to kill Kamala Harris? Maybe the Democrats to prevent her from running again, but there's no Republican who wants to kill Kamala Harris. Not one. If you could find the Republican who dislikes her the most, that would be the same person who wants her to stay healthy and be the face of the Democrats. So there's no Republican who would want her to come to harm, I don't think. Probably none in the whole country. And I can't imagine that Democrats would want to take her out because she's still one of the best hopes they have. So she might be the safest vice president in the history of vice presidents.
CNN's reporting, as are others, that a bunch of tariffs are kicking in now, especially on smaller items. So there had been an under $800 exemption that wouldn't be tariffed but Trump changed that. So even if it's smaller stuff coming in from other countries, it's all going to get tariffed. So that's going to kick in really fast. We'll see. We shall see how much inflation that causes.
I didn't know this until I saw it in the Post Millennial. Hannah Nightingale is writing about how there's an alarming increase in attacks on Christian churches in the US. So how many Christian churches would you guess if you hadn't seen the headline? How many total number would you guess are attacked in a year? Let's say in 2024, just a guess, how many Christian churches in the United States do you think were attacked? The answer is 415. Let me say that again just in case you thought you heard it wrong. 415 Christian churches were attacked in the United States last year. Just last year, one year, and it's up 730% from the earlier period. How's that even possible? Were you aware of any of that? I wasn't aware of that. I don't know what they call an attack. So that might include just vandalism when nobody's home. So if it includes vandalism when nobody's home, it's still terrible because it shows an attitude, etc. But I would want to know a little bit more about that. You know, I've told you that all data is fake. It could be that that data is not exactly what it looks like. So I do think it's alarming and I do think it's worthy of paying attention like extra extra attention, but I don't know for sure that the data is right. But I'll bet it's alarming no matter what it is.
All the smart people said that the John Bolton investigation was because Trump was getting revenge on all of his enemies and John Bolton was just one of them and so he went after him first. Well, it turns out that the John Bolton investigation started under Biden. So everything in the news was... But apparently the story is that our intelligence people picked up something when they were looking at some foreign people that they're allowed to do. But if the foreign people communicate with domestic people such as John Bolton, well then they're going to see both sides of the conversation. So apparently they saw some emails that Bolton sent. And here's the wonderful part. He used an unapproved email system just like Hillary Clinton. You would think that people would know not to do that, but he used an unclassified email system to send some classified stuff. And it looked like he was sending it to people who were involved in writing his book. So I don't think that there's an accusation that he was selling it to an adversary. I don't believe there's any evidence that he was selling it to an adversary country. There is evidence that because he was playing loose with it and violating the rules of classified behavior, that he was allowing them to see some classified stuff, but that stuff probably is pretty close to what was in his book. So I don't know how classified it was. If a guy who knows a lot about classified information thought, "I'll just send it to my family members and I'll put it in my book." So there's something about this story that we don't understand.
And if I had to guess, one of his defenses will be that things were overclassified. That would probably be his defense because then it doesn't sound like he's a traitor or treasonous. He's just a guy who knows the difference between something that's properly classified and something that isn't. And then maybe he thought, well, this wouldn't hurt anybody. It's just happens to be classified. So he may have just thought, I'll just ignore the ones that are obviously overclassified. Maybe that might be his defense. It might be a pretty good defense actually. So we'd have to see examples. Or I'd have to see an example of what's the worst thing he did that our adversaries saw. I don't know. How would you feel about it if there wasn't a single thing that you looked at and said, "Yeah, that's a problem." You looked at and said, "That's classified. Why is that even classified?" So I think I'm going to grade this one as a wait and see because the part of this story that doesn't make sense is that somebody like Bolton would play so fast and loose with classified stuff if it could really hurt the United States. I wouldn't be surprised about somebody who cut some corners if they knew it wasn't going to hurt anybody. And he would know. He would know if it was going to hurt anybody. So I'm going to wait to see if his defense looks something like, yeah, it was technically classified, but look at it for yourself. I mean, you judge. Does that look like it would hurt anybody? Maybe it wouldn't. I don't know. So I'm going to be a little bit open-minded about this. I'm not a big fan of John Bolton, but the law is the law. You got to look at it individually.
The Last Refuge talks about how John Bolton's business model was basically selling information and influence. I guess that's true. But it feels like a little bit of an overstatement because selling information and influence, that's just a lobbyist, right? I mean, they're all doing that. So I don't know if that's a statement that you could just hang on that one guy. Anyway, I'm not wanting to defend Bolton. I'm just telling you I don't have enough information to form a final opinion on it.
You heard the story that Microsoft was doing some technology support work for the government. Not some, but doing a lot. And some of that included the Department of Defense. And we found out not long ago, and just the news is reminding us, that Microsoft was hiring Chinese programmers to manage the Department of Defense cloud systems. And I'm not talking about Chinese Americans. I'm talking about Chinese programmers who live in China and are only Chinese. Now, as you know, every Chinese citizen has kind of an obligation to report everything to the government. And these guys were in charge of our Department of Defense cloud system. Do you think there was anything that they had access to that we wouldn't want the Chinese government to know about in the Department of Defense cloud system? Well, so now that we know that Secretary Hegseth is working with Microsoft to make sure they don't use any more of those Chinese nationals, see if they can fix that.
I guess the Trump administration is looking at tightening up our visa rules, visas where people from other countries under their visa are in the United States for extended periods. But apparently visas currently can be open-ended and the idea is to make all of them short-term so that they expire after a specific period of time. I don't know about that one. I'd like to hear an argument on both sides of that one. I have no opinion on that. But it does seem consistent with what Trump promised us, which is less immigration.
Did you know that the declining birth rates in the United States are mostly because of the political left? So apparently people who are right-leaning are having about the same number of babies as they always did, and that makes sense. They value family, blah blah blah. And it makes sense also that the left, they have more LGBTQ, they have more progressives with all kinds of preferences that are outside the family model, let's say that. So it doesn't surprise me. But given as we've described that the number of registrations for voting is now heavily or starting to be heavily tilted toward Republicans, what happens if you add on top of that just birth rates? Don't we have a situation where the Democrat party is in a free fall? Because if nothing else changed except Republicans had way more babies than Democrats, doesn't that give you in 18 to 20 years kind of a big advantage? I feel like literally everything is going in the direction of the Republicans. Like everything: demographics, the reduction in immigration, the redistricting will go in their favor and then all the policies. They have all the policy advantages. So it just feels like the Democrats are in a world of hurt like I've never seen before.
Activist Robbie Starbuck, who goes after big companies for their illegal and immoral DEI practices and their over-wokeness, reports that he had another big victory with Cracker Barrel. So you know, Cracker Barrel caved on their logo, but the logo wasn't the main event. The logo was just, you did get rid of the white guy in the logo, but if that were the only thing that happened, it would have looked like just a logo update. But they also had aggressive woke pages, a lot of gay pride stuff on their website, etc. Now no matter what you think of those things, you may be totally in favor of gay pride etc. But the question of whether it should be shoved down the throats of the employees and the customers is different. So apparently Cracker Barrel removed the offending websites and they seem legitimately trying to work with the public and so I'm going to give them some credit. I know a lot of people are saying they won't be happy until that owl-wannabe CEO gets fired. Doesn't she remind you of an owl? Like maybe she's a furry. No, she's not. But she reminds me of an owl. I don't know why. The glasses, I guess. So good work. Robbie Starbuck gets another big win.
According to Remix, Ukraine may have destroyed as much as 20% of Russia's oil refining capacity. So 20%. There are not many things that you can affect by 20% without it being obvious. Allegedly there are now some gas shortages in Russia. I'm not sure you can trust that though. Might be, you could easily imagine there was one gas station that didn't have gas one day and that turned into a bigger story. So I don't know if it's widespread. But interestingly, the Russian refineries that are getting taken out by the Ukrainians have technology in them that is American and there's no other place to get it. So they built their refineries using American parts partly that they can't replace. So they're trying to get sort of lower quality Chinese components to rebuild. And I guess Russia did a major attack on Kiev last night, bigger than normal or ever or something.
Here's what I think. If it's true that Ukraine has taken out 20% of the refinery capacity, the question would be what would be the collapse point? The point where Russia really just has to seriously rethink their idea of being in a war. 20% feels close to a tipping point, but if I had to guess, I'd say 40%. I think if they lose 40% of their refineries that they're going to have to make peace because they can't lose them all. And if they go from 0 to 20 to 40 and that happens in just say a matter of a few weeks, which it looks like it could, if it went to 40, then Russia would know that it could go to 80 and then they're really screwed. So I don't know if what they would do is maybe upgrade their own attacks on Ukraine so that at least it's mutually assured destruction or something like that. I don't know why Ukraine has any energy left. What, like is there some reason that Russia can't destroy all of the energy infrastructure in Ukraine? Because when I see pictures of Kiev and the lights are on and people are acting like things are kind of normal that day, I think to myself, really? So you've got Russia has been at war for years with all these good missiles and they haven't taken out 100% of the energy infrastructure in Ukraine. Why? It seems like that would be the most obvious thing to do. Are they unable or is it actually a bad idea? I'd love to know the answer to that. So that's my prediction. If Kiev can take out 40% of Russia's refineries that Putin would talk peace. 40%.
You're all competing against the experts. I love it when people tell me that my opinion on things like wars in other countries is invalid because I'm not an expert. What exactly has been the track record of experts on anything? Anything. You name a topic. Tell me how well the experts did on that topic. Now show me the podcasters who had everything right. There'll always be some for every topic. It seems like there's always some podcaster who just got it all right from the start and all the experts got it wrong.
I guess Russia successfully used an underwater drone to sink a Ukrainian Navy vessel. Weirdly, that's the first time. So I guess Russia did not have any great undersea drones, but now they do. So I don't know how the US Navy can survive any kind of a war against a big country because wouldn't any reasonably big country just send all these underwater drones and just take out our entire fleet? Can we really defend against that? I mean, I know we have entire defensive perimeters and stuff at sea, but could we really defend against that if they sent enough of them at the same time? I don't know.
According to a UC Davis study, having a sense of purpose in your life can prevent you from getting dementia. So the people who have a purpose in their life don't have as much dementia. I'm not sure it's the purpose that's causing the less dementia. Or is it the fact that people who have less dementia can look around and say, you know, I should try to be useful. Everything's working. My brain's still working. I think I'll be useful. I'll volunteer for something. So I'm not so sure this study is telling us what we think. However, I'm a big fan of people being useful. So yeah, having a sense of purpose is so highly recommended for your mental health, it doesn't surprise me that it might be correlated with your physical health and your dementia. So I would say even if you're not positive it works, it's all good if you can find a purpose in life.
Popular Science tells us that some big companies, I guess there are 4,000 buildings now, have used this technology which is that they use cheap electricity at night to make a bunch of ice and then they use the ice to cool the building during the hot summer days. And I guess the technology works and it saves a bunch of money. You just need room for an enormous pile of ice somewhere in your basement, I guess. Though it would make more sense for the ice to be on the roof, wouldn't it? I don't know. So now you've got ice that they're calling it ice batteries, but it doesn't store electricity. It just stores the coolness, which can be released to supplement your HVAC.
Japanese researchers have figured out how to use quantum entanglement to boost robot posture control. Now, that to you sounds like not a big deal. But if you notice how no matter how good the robot technology is over the last 25 years that the robot is always a little slow. Have you noticed that? Like there's just some lag or something. But apparently using quantum computing which can simultaneously deal with lots of possibilities at the same time. So I guess a regular robot has so many moving parts that affect other moving parts. Like if it's walking, it kind of has to get every part of the robot involved. So it's hard to coordinate all that stuff and to do it quickly. And part of the reason is that the robot sort of has to predict, all right, if I do this, what do my other parts need to do? And then it sort of tries several predictions and then it picks the best one. And apparently that just will always have a time lag. But if you use quantum computing, it looks at all the possibilities for all of the movement that the robot can do in all of its body all at the same time and then just picks a good one. Now, apparently that would allow your robot to work as fast and efficiently and to move just like a human. You would have fewer degrees of movement, but if you saw it, it would just be moving like I'm moving, you know, just sort of casually moving. So if you saw the ping-pong robot that's running on a quantum computer, it would just look like a person playing ping-pong. So that's kind of cool. I don't know how practical it is to get a quantum computer in a robot because it's not like we have a lot of quantum computer solutions.
The US has a jet-powered drone wingman. It's basically the size of, looks like the size of a regular jet, maybe a little smaller. And a pilot would go up and would have a whole bunch of these drones as like protectors that would be flying at the same time, but they would be unmanned. So I presume the pilot would control them. The one pilot would control his own plane plus all the drones. And that's new. I haven't seen that before.
That story is boring. That's all I got for you. That's all you needed today. That is all you needed.
All right. Thanks for joining everybody. Watching the end of the summer stories is going to be fun. There's going to be a whole bunch of stuff that looks kind of weird and fun and humorous. So keep watching for that.
All right, I'm going to talk to the local subscribers. My beloved local subscribers. Yeah, it's beloved time. Oh yeah. You're right. There was a good... Thanks for reminding me. There was a topic that I swore I wrote down in my notes, but I didn't talk about it. So let me do that now.
There's apparently a Democrat-leaning organization that's paying influencers as much as $80,000 a month to say good things about Democrat policies and Democrats. And again, they're trying to use money to do what the Republicans do without money, which is, hey, Joe Rogan, do you have common sense? Yes. Would you like to say some common sense things about common sense things? Yes. And then you've got Joe Rogan. But they need to pay a Joe Rogan. So they named David Pakman as one of the people allegedly who may be getting payments for being on one side. Now, if I were a left-leaning influencer, I'm pretty sure I would take that money and then I would just do whatever I was going to do anyway because if you're left-leaning, you're always going to say good stuff about Democrats. You might as well take the money. So I can't see that this will possibly work. Like, it seems like they got nothing else to try, so they might as well try something. But I don't think any of them are going to break through and change anybody's minds.
And I have to tell you because I know some of you probably wonder. I have never been approached by anybody who wanted to try to pay me to influence what I say. I've never had that conversation. I don't know anybody who's even in the business of paying Republicans or right-leaning people or just Trump supporters to say good things about Trump. It's not necessary because there's so many influencers who are already there and they've got their own business model and they don't need to be paid.
Let me tell you what I'll compare this to. If you see a local restaurant that used to only serve lunch and dinner and then suddenly they announced that they're going to do brunch on weekends, that's a restaurant that's going out of business because adding brunch is sort of like a Hail Mary because you would have to be like the most wildly successful brunch place to even make a penny for brunch. So when you see that, you don't say to yourself, "Wow, that's a restaurant that's really making it all work. They went from two meals to three. They're expanding. They're getting better." Nope. That's a restaurant that is going to be out of business in one year. I've seen it a million times, even with my own restaurant. But when you see that somebody is paying influencers to make sure that they say things on your team and the other team has never needed to pay an influencer and wouldn't even think about it, I'll bet you nobody has even had that conversation on the right. It's unnecessary. How hard is it to get people to come out against crime? Turns out not that hard. How hard is it to get a Republican to say, "You know what? I'm glad that that border is closed. You don't have to pay me a penny. I'll do that for free." So when you see Democrats having or thinking that they have to pay somebody to agree with them, that's like the restaurant adding brunch to their other two meals. It's sort of a reliable indicator that they're just circling the drain and they don't have an idea.
So anyway, thanks for reminding me. I was going to talk about that and somehow didn't.
All right, we're going to go private now with the beloved members of Locals and the rest of you. Thanks for coming. I'll see you again tomorrow. Same time, same place.
Okay, your stocks are down a little bit.
Yep.
Down, down, down, down.
Well, room to grow.
Come on in.
Room.
It's going to be an amazing podcast.
So good, you won't even believe it.
But, uh, grab a seat before they're all taken.
So popular all the virtual chairs get taken.
All right, let me adjust this for perfection.
There we go.
Perfection.
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Oh, so good.
Well, you wouldn't know this unless you um were subscribing to the Dilbert comic strip that still comes out every day.
And it's a little bit spicier than it used to be.
But I also published the uh comic from 10 years ago.
you know, exactly 10 years ago to the date.
And people who subscribe either on Axe or on locals can see both.
And the amazing thing is that the 10year ago comic is almost exactly what's happening today.
It's all about AI in the workplace and robots.
And today was about, you know, tiny nano robots in the body.
Literally one of the stories in the news is that there's a some cancer tumor eating robots that'll be in your body soon.
So the Dilbert comic is ahead of its time by 10 years.
Well, let's look at uh some science and see if there's any science that looks like it's backwards.
Um okay, here's one.
Socializing could add years to your life.
So apparently the people who socialize the most live the longest and therefore they suggest that it's the socializing that makes you live longer.
Um and then they gave some examples of the socializing and it includes joining sports teams.
Now they're talking about older adults.
This is this is for older adults, not uh teenagers.
um and volunteering and spending time with grandchildren.
You know what all of those things have in common?
There are things you don't want to do unless you're healthy.
Would you join a sports team if you're unhealthy and middle-aged?
Probably not.
you know, maybe botchi, but it seems to me if you're looking at the uh the subset of Cubans who who could join a sports team when they're middle-aged, any sports team, you know, tennis, whatever, I would say that group is probably more likely to live longer than the other people.
So, backwards science, at least partially.
It might also be true that socializing uh is good for your health.
I wouldn't be surprised.
All right, here's one that really pisses me off.
How many of you believe that there's a thing called the Bermuda Triangle and that the reason it's f famous is that an unusual number of uh ships have disappeared in it?
How many of you believe that that's a real thing?
That there is a Bermuda Triangle.
Now, that part is true.
How many of you believe that more ships disappear there than in other places?
It turns out that it's the same number of ships that disappear there as everywhere else.
It's about the same.
It's never been true.
I can't believe I you know, it's it's almost like a 100% of everything I learned, aside from math, 100% of everything I learned is just wrong.
So anyway, that's what uh we heard today.
They have a reason why they're maybe uh losing ships in that particular place.
They think it's something about rogue waves.
Maybe.
But but if it's not any worse than anywhere else in the ocean, uh I'm not really that interested.
There must be waves everywhere.
Well, once again, how many times if you're on social media and you follow any content about AI, how many times have you seen a video of a 5second clip where somebody says, "AI has turned the corner and now it can make movies.
They're as good as movies.
Look at this 5-second clip." And then you think, "Wow, you know, somebody's gonna put together a bunch of 5-second clips and next thing you know, you got a two-hour movie." But you don't.
I've never seen one.
So, yet again, um I was seeing a post by the code monk.
there's uh some new AI uh Pix Verse version five that uh is doing ultra HD flawless motion movie clips and the the thinking is guess what AI has turned the corner and it can make a 5-second movie clip and therefore any moment now any minute it's going to make a movie and then well you're going to love that movie cuz it'll be so good.
Um, do you think that there will be an HD movie in a couple of weeks?
Cuz I mean that's all it would take, right?
You don't have to hire anybody.
Just sit down and type your ideas into it and you change them as you go.
So, who wants to take a bet?
I will take a bet that there will not be a commercially successful AI movie in 12 months.
Maybe someday, but uh my estimate will be that all these things that look like they're ready now I don't think so.
And and then I imagine doing it myself.
I thought, all right, >> I'm not quite sure how to help you with that.
>> Pipe down.
Um, that was my digital assistant piping in.
So, I keep thinking about doing it myself, you know, just saying, "All right, I'm going to carve out some time and I'm going to turn one of my um my books, you know, God's Debris into a movie." And I'll just put every scene in and I'll say stuff like, "Right, he's an old man and he's wearing a he's wearing a black blanket and he's super old.
is buy a fireplace in this expensive house and then it creates a scene and then I'll look at it and I'll go hm I don't like that wheel that uh rocking chair uh make that rocking chair a little more ornate and the trouble is I would never stop doing that probably every single element of the scene I would be like yeah I don't know if I want to put that dish there.
Oh, no.
It should be a little less light.
And I believe that I would end up spending exactly as much time, like a year to make that movie as I would if I, you know, were a professional movie maker and did it the oldfashioned way.
So, I've got a feeling that there are some uh traps built into the just the process of making a movie that's going to be a lot harder than you think.
And the will the world be inundated with really bad movies because people who don't have much talent can make a movie?
Will you be so tired of AI movies?
Do you remember one of my predictions that was counter to the world?
I said that nobody's going to care about AI generated art because the thing that attracts us to art is our mating instinct.
We we're we're attracted to the artist basically.
That's that's why we're impressed by the art.
If you saw the Mona Lisa and the Mona Lisa had never existed before and AI created the Mona Lisa, would it be hanging in the Lou?
If it had never existed and AI created it for the first in the first place, would you say to yourself, "My god, that is the most amazing piece of art.
That must be worth $100 million.
we better put it in the Lou.
Or would you think about sending it to your friend and then think, h, she's kind of ugly.
This isn't going anywhere.
And then you wouldn't even send it because it wouldn't even be memew worthy.
Yeah, AI art.
Um, it might be the same for movies.
It could be that there'll be something about the lack of humanity in the movie that even though it looks perfect, your brain might say uncanny valley or something.
All right.
Apparently, Chat GBT is admitting that their guard rails for safety on their uh AI uh might weaken in long conversations, which is a big deal because some parents are suing the AI company over their teens um taking their own lives because the AI said something that either advised them to do it or taught them how to do it or both.
So, So, the uh the AI might kill you.
Uh that's what the lawsuit says that it might kill you, but I don't think it'll make a 2-hour movie anytime soon.
Well, according to digital information world, these large language model AIs, which is the kind that all of them are right now, large language models, all they do is look at patterns as we know.
So, they're not really thinking.
They're just doing pattern recognition and going with the most dominant patterns.
And uh the uh the new article in uh what is it?
Digital information world says that uh even when it looks like it's thinking, you know, sometimes it'll show you its thought process.
So it looks like it's thinking that there's no thought process.
It it's just sort of a trick, the pattern recognition.
And uh I'm going to um I'm going to remind you, you know how I always tease that when people have analogies as part of their argument that they don't have logic because analogies are not part of argument.
Sometimes analogy is good to describe what something is, but it's never good as a prediction or an argument.
It's just a bad way to use it.
But that's exactly like what the large language models are.
So a human who says, "hm that uh that president reminds me of Hitler, so I predict he will invade Poland." Right?
That that would be an analogy thinker.
Not very good.
But that's sort of what the large language models do.
So what I predicted would happen but didn't happen.
maybe it won't is that the the AI would reproduce how humans think, but it would take us a while to realize that.
We we would imagine that the AI is thinking in a totally different way than a human thinks.
And then we would keep, you know, working on trying to get the AI to think the way a human does.
And then someday we would realize it already does.
It's exactly the way we think.
All we do is recognize patterns.
And if we're bad at it, we're analogy thinkers.
And if we're good at it, maybe it just, you know, gives you an idea of what things to think about or look into more deeply.
Um, but there might be some people who can get closer to logic.
Not many.
Well, according to John Christian Futurism, um there's a uh there's a some lawsuits about authors wanting to get paid and apparently is Anthropic decided to just pay the authors instead of go ahead with the lawsuit, which if they lost, and I guess they thought that was a good enough chance they might, they would lose a trillion dollars.
So, the authors that were uh suing Anthropic, an AI company, for uh what they would say would be illegally using their copyrighted materials to train it.
Um rather than fight it, they're going to figure out some kind of payment system.
So, author is going to get paid.
And then what happens to the other AI companies who no doubt will also get sued if one of the big ones already settled and said, "All right, all right, we'll just change our business model and you'll get some money." But I would expect that the amount of money will be similar to the outrage that musicians have when they look at their Spotify income.
I think somebody said if you if you have a song on Spotify and it plays a million times, uh, you would get $4,000.
It's pretty hard to get a million plays of anything.
So, I feel like as an author, I should be celebrating that the AI companies might have to send me money because I've got several books that may have been tiny tiny part of what they trained on, but there'll be so many authors I feel like we're all going to get five cents.
So, I'm not sure this is much of a victory, but who knows?
Well, here's what you can call the Trump effect.
He's doing such a good job uh fighting crime, and the public likes it when he fights crime.
Whether it's the No, it doesn't matter what he's doing.
The public likes fighting crime by majority.
So, Eric Adams, mayor of New York, is going to um surge a thousand extra police into the Bronx because there's been a surge of shootings there.
And at the same time, Gavin Newsome just announced that he's also surging a whole bunch of new law enforcement people.
So, New York and California are are basically uh copying Trump because they realize that they can't say, "No, we're actually in favor of crime," a sort of losing argument.
To their credit, they figured out that being in favor of crime is politically bad.
And so at least some of their smarter Democrats are saying, "Uh, we better try to get ahead of this.
At least act like we're doing something so you don't need Trump to do something." So they're doing the best they can, but this is totally the Trump effect.
I would give Trump the credit for Eric Adams and Gavin Newsome surging law enforcement because I don't believe they would have done it otherwise.
I I think they had to do it politically.
It was just too much pressure because somebody was doing it and it was working and that was Trump.
Well, the funniest thing that came out of Nuome's announcement about his new law enforcement push is uh it came I think a day after Trump had mocked him for his jazz hands.
You know, he his justiculations when he's talking because they seem a little crazy, a little too much.
Uh, and so I had predicted that Trump's such a good trash talker that he would get in Newsome's head that Nuome would be thinking about his hands while he talked.
It would make him less effective because his, you know, brain would have to do two things.
Well, he's sitting at the the table for the announcement about his uh law enforcement surge and he's locked his hands together, which looks to me like he did it intentionally.
and he saw that his, you know, his hands wouldn't be jumping around, but but he didn't talk it over with his thumb because even though his hands were properly, you know, just in front of him, not moving, he had one rogue thumb that kept trying to do what his hands do.
So, he's talking and his thumb is just wiggling around.
And there's no way that wasn't caused by Trump.
There's nothing you could tell me that wouldn't tell me that all of that was because he was trying to compensate and I have jazz hands because it totally worked.
Trump got in his head.
And now every time we watch him, especially since, you know, that that one uh rogue thumb situation, I'm going to be looking for his hand gestures.
And I'll bet you that you will see him have to think about it every time he talks from now on.
just so good.
And Trump's Trump's get in your head game.
It's just so good.
Well, Trump is winning in so many ways.
Now, there's a Chicago pastor, according to Fox News, um was blasting the Democrats for outright lying about crime, and he says he wants Trump to send the National Guard to Chicago.
So, some prominent Chicago mayor, Pat Cory Brooks, and uh he basically says, "Yes, please, Trump, do more of that." Now, how many prominent uh black residents of Chicago have to come out in favor of Trump uh his push on crime?
How many of them have to do it before it's impossible to say no?
It's not.
It won't take that many.
It just takes a few brave people say, "Hell yes, we need some help." Yeah, whatever you got.
We'll take whatever you got to have less crime.
So, Corey Brooks, one of the smart ones, going first.
At the same time, uh, Maryland Governor Wes Moore, who's sometimes talked about as a possible Democrat presidential candidate, um, he said, "I would absolutely welcome federal support." So, he knows he needs to get on the right side of this crime thing.
Um, I don't know much about Wes Moore, Maryland's governor, but uh, I hear good stuff about him all the time.
So, um, he would be one to watch.
So, he was on Will Kaine's show when he said that.
Uh, all right.
So, President Trump, you know, I think I said the other day that for his age, it's especially impressive that he's the most innovative president we've ever had.
And I feel like nobody was even close.
I mean, I don't need to go through the list, right?
The things that Trump did that are different from what anybody had in mind, but worked out great, from tariffs to you name it.
But now he's come up with the idea of holding a uh national Republican convention before the midterm elections.
Now, that's never been done because they typically think that's something for a presidential election year, not a not a in between election.
But since the uh the party always gets a bump from a convention, isn't that just the smartest idea?
It's so smart that it makes you think, wait a minute, why didn't they always do that?
Don't you believe that if he does that, the Democrats will have to do the same thing?
Of course they will.
And once again, he will show that he's a leader and an innovator and he does common sense, smart things.
And the Democrats, when they're doing their best, when they're doing their best, they're copying him.
You can't get much stronger than that.
That's pretty impressive.
So, big yes on the midterm convention.
And to me, that's just, you know, once you hear the idea, it's a no-brainer.
But why did it take Trump to come up with the idea?
Now, maybe somebody suggested it to him, but still, you know, he's the president who said, "Yeah, I I will entertain that idea." So, he still gets the innovation uh benefit even if someone else said it first.
Well, the Gateway Pundits writing about the fact that uh um so now we have uh some RICO investigations into the Soros organization, a big funer of maybe the biggest funer of the Democrats, but also there's this uh you heard that Bill Gates said he wasn't going to fund the Arabella group, which was yet another big funer of Democrats.
And then separately, Trump says he wants to he's authorizing audits of every NGO, everyone that gets money from the government, which is just a ton.
Now, presumably that also is a way that Dem Democrats were sort of uh in a weasly way getting taxpayer money uh that would they would work through their network to turn it into donations to Democrat candidates.
So, that might be getting squeezed.
And then you've heard that the uh what's the name of that group?
Blue something.
Project Blue Balls.
No.
What's the name of it?
ACT Blue, right?
Act Blue.
So, they were uh allegedly an organization who would take small donations for Democrats, but they're under investigation for allegedly maybe taking money from, you know, big entities and only pretending it came from small ones.
So, correct me if I'm wrong, but our current situation is that Kla Harris drained the bank account of the Democrats, uh, leaving them with very little, and then the big donors have all sewed their pockets shut because they're not seeing anything coming from the Democrats that looks promising.
So, there's nothing really to give money to.
And so they're not getting their their usual big donor donations, but all of their semillegal, probably legal, but maybe not, you know, all these dark money ways that they get money are being sort of uh either investigated or shut down or or starved.
So, boy, when the Democrats collapse, they really collapse.
We're going to find out how important money is for getting elected.
Obviously, it makes some difference.
Um, but I, you know, Trump is in a uh he can raise money like crazy at this point and the Democrats have nothing.
Is it my imagination or is it true that the Democrats are pretending that they're going to run against Trump again in another election?
Don't they act like beating Trump is still the goal when there's nothing to beat?
He he's just going to run out of his time and then he'll leave peacefully.
But they they've got this hallucination, you know, the the Gavin Newsome hallucination.
They they all have it at this point.
Uh but it's because of people like Gavin.
He doesn't really believe.
I don't think I don't think he really I'm not a mind readader, but I don't believe for one second that Gavin Newsome thinks Trump's going to stay in office um beyond his two terms.
I don't think he thinks that.
So, but he's got this weak little argument where he says there are lots of hats that say Trump 2028.
And then he added to that, why would Trump build a ballroom for the White House when he's not going to be around to enjoy it?
to which I say, how much more is he going to enjoy it anyway.
I always thought he's building it um so that they'll put his name on it.
Don't you think it'll be the Trump ballroom and then every president from there on I guess those presidents could rename it if they wanted to, but it would be it would be tacky if they did, especially if Trump pays for it.
you know, there's going to be at least a plaque on the wall that says Donald Trump paid for this.
So, so they've got this uh crazy imaginary problem that they're fighting and the imaginary problem is Trump 2028.
And Trump totally nurtured that hoax.
I guess I would call it a hoax because he's allowing them to believe it even though he denies it, but he teases it so they think, "Aha, we have finally figured out how to interpret Trump.
They're very bad at it, but we finally figured it out.
It means he's really going to run in 2028." Nah.
Well, the uh Supreme Court has uh agreed with the Trump administration that they can cut the diversity research grants at the NIH.
Apparently, there was a ginormous amount of money being used for diversity research grants.
Now, do you need to do a deep dive on that topic to know that you should cut that to zero?
No, you don't.
No.
If there is such a thing as diversity research grants in 2025, it might have make it might have made sense, you know, there might have been some point in history where that made a little bit of sense.
It doesn't make sense now.
So Trump cut it and the court agreed.
But amazingly, Justice Roberts sided with the uh the liberals who voted against everything Trump wants.
uh wasn't enough to give them the victory.
But man, what's wrong with Justice Roberts?
I got questions about that guy.
Um let's see.
I saw Mike Benz talking about how you could get the Soros organization on a RICO charge, which would mean that it's part of a big organized ongoing criminal enterprise.
So there would have to be a crime otherwise it's not a criminal enterprise and but but some of the things that apparently the Soros funded uh no actually taxpayer funded I think but Soros must have been involved somehow um in creating documents that were teaching protesters how to protest their own government in the United States and had advice such as blocking intersections and uh occupying buildings.
Now, if those things are illegal, blocking an intersection sounds like it's illegal to me.
Um, then knowing that there's written training materials and an ongoing effort to train people to act this way, it does feel a little bit RICOish.
I don't know if that's enough, though.
We'll see.
Um, so the headline says that Trump has revoked Kamla Harris's Secret Service protection, but you have to read past the headline to know that she got exactly as much as vice presidents are supposed to get.
So vice presidents are not like presidents who get a lifetime of Secret Service.
Vice presidents are only allowed 6 months and the 6 months is up.
However, um we are finding out that Biden had ordered an extra year for Kla Harris.
So what Trump is doing is simply cancelling the extra part because is there anybody in the world who wants to kill Kla Harris, maybe the Democrats to prevent her from running again, but there's no Republican who wants to kill Kla Harris.
Not one.
the the if you could find the Republican who dislikes her the most, that would be the same person who wants her to stay healthy and and be the, you know, the face of the Democrats.
So, there's no Republican who would want her to come to harm, I don't think.
Probably none like in the whole country.
And I can't imagine that that Democrats would want to take her out because she's still one of the best hopes they have.
So she's probably she might be the safest vice president in the history of vice presidents.
Um I guess uh CNN's reporting as are others that uh bunch of tariffs are kicking in now um especially on smaller items.
So there had been an under $800 exemption that wouldn't be tariffed but Trump changed that.
So even if it's smaller stuff coming in from other countries, it's all going to get tariffed.
So that's going to kick in really fast.
Um so we'll see.
We shall see how much inflation that causes.
Um h um I didn't know this until I saw it in the post millennial Hannah Nightingale is writing about how there's an alarming increase in attacks on Christian churches in the US.
So how many Christian churches would you guess if you hadn't seen the headline?
How many total number would you guess are attacked in a year?
Let's say in 2024, just a guess, how many Christian churches in the United States do you think were attacked?
The answer is 415.
Let me say that again in, you know, just in case you thought you heard it wrong.
415 Christian churches were attacked in the United States last year.
just last year, one year, and it's up 730% from, you know, the earlier period.
Uh, how's that even possible?
Were you were you aware of any of that?
I wasn't aware of that.
I don't know what they call an attack.
So, that might that might include just vandalism when nobody's home.
So, if it includes vandalism when nobody's home, it's still terrible because it, you know, shows an attitude, etc.
But, uh, I don't know.
I I would want to know a little bit more about that.
You know, I've told you that all data is fake.
It could be that that data is not exactly what it looks like.
So, um I do think it's alarming and I do think it's worthy of uh you know paying attention like extra extra attention, but I don't know for sure that the date is right.
It's but I I'll bet it's alarming no matter what it is.
Um, so all the uh smart people said that uh the John Bolton investigation was because Trump was getting revenge on all of his enemies and John Bolton was just one of them and so he went after him first.
Well, it turns out that the John Bolton investigation started under Biden.
So everything in the news was uh unless that's But apparently um the story is that our intelligence people picked up something when they were looking at some foreign people that they're allowed to do.
But uh if the foreign people communicate with domestic people such as John Bolton, well then they're going to see both sides of the conversation.
So apparently they saw some emails that Bolton sent.
And here's the wonderful part.
He used a uh unapproved email system just like just like Hillary Clinton.
You would think that people would know not to do that, but he used an unclassified email system to send some classified stuff.
Uh and it looked like he was sending it to people um who were involved in writing his book.
So, I don't think that there's an accusation that he was selling it to an adversary.
Um, am I wrong about that?
I don't believe there there was speculation, but I don't believe there's any evidence that he was selling it to an adversary country.
Um, there is evidence that because he was playing loose with it and violating the rules of classified behavior, uh, that he was allowing them to see some classified stuff, but that stuff probably is pretty close to what was in his book.
So, I don't know how classified it was.
If he if a guy who knows a lot about classified information thought, h I'll just send it to my my family members and I'll put it in my book.
So, there's something about this story that we don't understand.
And if I had to guess, one of his defenses will be um that things were overclassified.
That would probably be his defense because then it doesn't sound like he's a traitor or treasonist.
He's just a guy who knows the difference between something that's properly classified and something that isn't.
And then maybe he thought, well, there's this is You know, this wouldn't hurt anybody.
It's just happens to be classified.
So, he may have just thought, I'll just ignore the ones that are obviously overclassified.
Maybe that might be his defense.
It might be a pretty good defense actually.
So, we'd have to see examples.
Uh, or I would I'd have to see an example of what's the worst thing he did that um our adversaries saw.
I don't know.
What how would you feel about it if there wasn't a single thing that you looked at and said, "Yeah, that's a problem." You looked at and said, "That's classified.
Why is that even classified?" So, I'm going to I think I'm going to grade this one uh as a wait and see because the the part of this story that doesn't make sense is that somebody like Bolton would play so fast and loose with classified stuff if it could really hurt the United States.
I wouldn't be surprised about somebody who, you know, let's say, cut some corners if they knew it wasn't going to hurt anybody.
And he would know.
He would know if it was going to hurt anybody.
So, I'm going to wait to see if his defense looks something like, yeah, it was technically classified, but look at it for yourself.
I mean, you you judge.
Does that look like it would hurt anybody?
Maybe it wouldn't.
I don't know.
So, I'm going to be a little bit open-minded about this.
Um, I'm not a big fan of John Bolton, but uh the law is the law, you know, you got to got to look at it individually.
Um you know in the last refuge uh the publication the last refuge uh talks about how John Bolton's business model was basically selling influ information and influence.
I guess that's true.
Um but it feels like a little bit of an overstatement because I don't know selling information and influence that's just a lobbyist right?
I mean, they're all they're all doing that.
So, I don't know if that's a statement that you could just hang on that one guy.
Uh, anyway, I'm not I don't want to defend Bolton.
I'm just telling you I don't have enough information to form a final opinion on it.
Um, so you heard the story that Microsoft was doing some uh tech technology support work for the government.
Not some, but doing a lot.
And some of that included the Department of Defense.
And we found out not long ago, and just the news is reminding us that uh Microsoft was hiring Chinese um programmers to manage the Department of Defense cloud systems.
And I'm not talking about Chinese Americans.
I'm talking about Chinese programmers who live in China and are only Chinese.
Now, as you know, every every Chinese citizen has kind of an obligation to report everything to the government.
And these guys were in charge of our Department of Defense cloud system.
Do you think there was anything that they had access to that we wouldn't want the Chinese government to know about in the Department of Defense cloud system?
Well, so now that we know that Secretary Hangsath is working with uh Microsoft to make sure they don't use any more of those Chinese nationals, see if they can fix that.
Um I guess the Trump administration is looking at tightening up our visa rules.
visas where people from other countries under the under their visa are in the United States for extended periods.
But apparently visas are um currently can be open-ended and the idea is to make all of them shortterm so that they expire after a specific period of time.
I don't know about that one.
I'd like to hear an argument on both sides of that one.
I have no opinion on that.
But it does seem consistent with what Trump promised us, which is less immigration.
Um, did you know that the uh the declining birth rates in the United States are mostly because of the political left?
So apparently people who are right leaning are having about the same number of babies as they always did, you know, and that makes sense.
you know, they value family, blah blah blah.
And it makes sense also that the left um you know, they have more LGBTQ, they uh they have more progressives with, you know, with all kinds of preferences that are outside the family model, let's say that.
So, it doesn't surprise me.
But um given as we've described that the the number of registrations for voting is now heavily or starting to be heavily tilted toward Republicans.
What happens if you add on top of that just birth rates?
Don't we have a situation where the Democrat party is in a freef fall?
Because if nothing else changed except Republicans had way more babies than Democrats, doesn't that, you know, give you in 18 to 20 years kind of a big advantage?
I I feel like literally everything is going in the direction of the Republicans.
like everything demographics, the reduction in um the reduction in um immigration, the redistricting will go in the in their favor and then all the policies.
They have all the policy advantages.
So, it just feels like the Democrats are are in a world of hurt like I've never seen before.
Well, activist Robbie Starbucks, who goes after big companies for their illegal and immoral DEI practices and and their overwokeness, um reports that uh he had another big victory with Cracker Barrel.
So, you know, Cracker Barrel caved on their logo, but the logo wasn't the main events.
the logo was just, you know, you did get rid of the white guy and the logo, but if that were the only thing that happened, it would have looked like just a logo update.
But they also had uh aggressive uh woke pages, um a lot of gay pride stuff on their website, etc.
Now uh no matter what you think of those things, you may be totally in favor of gay pride etc.
But uh the question of whether it should be shoved down the the throats of the employees and the customers is different.
So apparently Cracker Barrel removed the offending websites and they are really they seem legitimately trying to work with uh the public and uh so I'm going to give them some credit.
I know a lot of people are saying they won't be happy until that uh owl wannabe CEO gets fired.
Doesn't she remind you of an owl?
Like maybe she's a furry.
No, she's not.
But she reminds me of an owl.
I don't know why.
The glasses, I guess.
So, good work.
Robbie Starbucks gets another big win.
Um, according to Remix, uh, Ukraine may have destroyed as much as 20% of Russia's, uh, oil refining capacity.
So 20%.
There are not many things that you can affect by 20% without, you know, being obvious.
Uh allegedly there are now some gas shortages in Russia.
Uh I'm not sure you can trust that though.
Might be, you know, you you could easily imagine there was one gas station that didn't have gas one day and and that turned into a bigger story.
So, I don't know if it's widespread.
Um, but interestingly, the Russian refineries that are getting taken out by the Ukrainians have technology in them that is American and there's no other place to get it.
So, they built their refineries using American parts partly that they can't replace.
Um, so they're trying to get sort of lower quality Chinese components to to rebuild.
So, and I guess uh Russia did a major attack on Kiev last night, bigger than normal or ever or something.
Um, here's what I think.
If it's true that Ukraine has taken out 20% of the refinery capacity, um the question would be what would be the collapse point?
The point where Russia really just has to seriously rethink their idea of being in a war.
20% feels close to a tipping point, but if I if I had to guess, I'd say 40%.
I think if they lose 40% of their refineries that they're going to have to make peace because they can't lose them all.
And if they go from 0 to 20 to 40 and that happens in just say a matter of a few weeks, which it looks like it could.
If it went to 40, then Russia would know that it could go to 80 and then they're really So I don't know if what they would do is maybe um upgrade their own attacks on Ukraine so that you know at least it's mutually assured destruction something like that.
I don't know why Ukraine has any energy left.
What like is there some reason that Russia can't destroy all of the energy infrastructure in Ukraine?
Because when I see, you know, pictures of Kiev and the lights are on and people are acting like things are kind of normal that day, I think to myself, really?
So, so you've got Russia has been at war for years with all these good missiles and they haven't taken out 100% of the energy infrastructure in Ukraine.
Why?
See, seems like that would be the most obvious thing to do.
Are they unable or is it actually a bad idea?
I'd love to know the answer to that.
So that's my prediction.
If uh Kiev can take out 40% of uh Russia's refineries that uh Putin would talk peace 40%.
U you're all competing against the experts.
I love it when the ex I love it when people tell me that my opinion on things like, you know, wars in other countries uh is invalid because I'm not an expert.
What exactly has been the track record of experts on anything?
Anything.
You name a topic.
Tell tell me how well the experts did on that topic.
Now, now show me the podcasters who had everything right.
There'll always be some, you know, for every topic.
It seems like there's always some podcaster who just got it all right from the start and all the experts got it wrong.
Anyway, um I guess Russia successfully used an underwater drone to sink a Ukrainian Navy vessel.
Weirdly, that's the first time.
So, I guess Russia did not have a uh any great undersea drones, but now they do.
So, I don't know how the US uh Navy can survive any kind of a war against a big country because wouldn't wouldn't any reasonably big country just send all these uh underwater drones and just take out our entire fleet?
Can we really defend against that?
I mean, I know we have, you know, entire defensive perimeters and stuff at sea, but could we really defend against that if they sense enough of them at the same time?
I don't know.
Well, according to a UC Davis study, having a sense of purpose in your life can prevent you from getting dementia.
So, let's see.
The people who have a purpose in their life don't have as much dementia.
I'm not sure it's the purpose that's causing the less dementia.
Or is it the fact that people who have less dementia can look around and say, you know, I should try to be useful.
Everything's working.
My brain's still working.
I think I'll be useful.
I'll volunteer for something.
So, I'm not so sure this study is telling us what we think.
However, I'm a big fan of people being useful.
So, yeah, having a sense of purpose um is so highly recommended for your mental health, it doesn't surprise me that it might be correlated with your physical health and your, you know, your dementia.
So, I would say even if you're not positive it works, it's all good if you can find a purpose in life.
uh popular science tells us that u some big companies I guess there are 4,000 buildings now have used this technology which is that they they use cheap electricity at night to make a bunch of ice um and then they use the ice to cool the building during the you know hot summer days and I guess the technology works you know it's and it saves a bunch of money Um, you just need room for, you know, an enormous pile of ice somewhere in your basement, I guess.
Though, it would make more sense for the ice to be in the roof, wouldn't it?
I don't know.
So, now you've got ice that they're calling it ice batteries, but it doesn't store electricity.
It just stores the coolness, which can be released to supplement your HVAC.
Well, Japanese researchers have figured out how to use quantum entanglement to boost robot posture control.
Now, that to you sounds like not a big deal.
But if you notice how no matter uh no matter how good the robot technology is over the last 25 years that the robot is always a little slow.
Have you noticed that?
Like there's just some lag or something.
But apparently using quantum computing which can uh simultaneously what's the best word simultaneously deal with lots of possibilities at the same time.
So I guess a regular robot uh has so many moving parts that affect other moving parts.
Like if it's walking, it kind of has to get every part of the robot involved.
So, it's hard to coordinate all that stuff and to do it quickly.
Um, and part of the reason is that the robot sort of has to predict, all right, if I do this, what do my other parts need to do?
And then it sort of tries several predictions and then it picks the best one.
And apparently that just will always have a time lag.
But if you use quantum computing, it looks at all the possibilities for all of the movement that the robot can do in all of its body all at the same time and then just picks a good one.
Now, apparently that would allow your robot to work as fast and efficiently and to move just like a human.
um you would have fewer degrees of movement, but if you saw it, it would just be moving like I'm moving, you know, just sort of casually moving.
So if you saw the pingpong robot that's running on a quantum computer, it would just look like a person playing pingpong.
So that's kind of cool.
I don't know how practical it is to get a quantum computer in a robot because it's not like we have a lot of quantum computer solutions.
Well, the US has a uh jet powered drone wingman.
It's basically the size of a looks like the size of a regular jet, maybe a little smaller.
and a pilot would go up and would have a whole bunch of these drones as like protectors that would be flying at the same time, but they would be unmanned.
So, I presume the pilot would control them.
You know, the one pilot would control, you know, his own plane plus or her own plane plus all the drones.
And uh that's new.
I haven't seen that before.
All right.
Um, that story is boring.
That's all that's all I got for you.
That's all you needed today.
That is all you needed.
All right.
Thanks for joining everybody.
Um, watching uh watching the end of the summer stories is going to be fun.
There's going to be a whole bunch of stuff that uh looks kind of weird and fun and humorous.
So, keep watching for that.
All right, I'm going to talk to the uh local subscribers.
My beloved local subscribers.
Yeah, it's beloved time.
Oh, yeah.
You're right.
Uh there was a good Thanks for reminding me.
There was a topic that I swore I wrote down in my notes, but I didn't talk about it.
So, let me do that.
Now, there there's apparently a Democratleaning organization that's paying influencers as much as $80,000 a month to say good things about Democrat policies and Democrats.
And again, they're trying to use money to do what the Republicans do without money, which is, hey, Joe Rogan, do you have common sense?
Yes.
Would you like to say some common sense things about common sense things?
Yes.
And then then you've got Joe Rogan, but that they need to pay a Joe Rogan.
So they they named David Pacman as one of the people allegedly who may be getting payments for being on one side.
Now, if I were a left-leaning influencer, I'm pretty sure I would take that money and then I would just do whatever I was going to do anyway because if you're left-leaning, you're always going to say good stuff about Democrats.
You might as well take the money.
So, I can't see that this will possibly work.
Like, it seems like, you know, they they got nothing else to try, so they might as well try something.
But I don't think I don't think any of them are going to break through and change anybody's minds.
So, um, and I have to tell you because I know some of you probably wonder.
I have never been approached by anybody who wanted to try to pay me to influence what I say.
I've never had that conversation.
I don't know anybody who's even in the business of paying Republicans or right-leaning people or just Trump supporters to say good things about Trump.
It does it's not necessary because there's so many influencers who are already there and they're they've got their own business model and they don't need to be made.
The the fact that Let me tell you what I'll compare this to.
If you see a local restaurant that used to only serve lunch and dinner and then suddenly they announced that they're going to do brunch on weekends, that's a restaurant that's going out of business because doing adding brunch is sort of like a Hail Mary because you would have to be like the, you know, most wildly successful brunch place to even make a penny for brunch.
So when you see that, you don't say to yourself, "Wow, that's a restaurant that's really making it all work.
They went from two meals to three.
They're expanding.
They're getting better." Nope.
That's a restaurant that is going to be out of business in one year.
I've seen it a million times, even with my own restaurant.
And but when you see that somebody is paying influencers to make sure that they say things on your team and the other team has never needed to pay an influencer and wouldn't even think about it.
I'll bet you nobody has even had that conversation on the right.
It's unnecessary.
How hard is it to get people to come out against crime?
Turns out not that hard.
How hard is it for to get a Republican to say, "You know what?
I'm glad that that border is closed.
You don't have to pay me a penny.
I'll do that for free." So, when you see Democrats having or thinking that they have to pay somebody to agree with them, that's like the restaurant was adding brunch to their other two meals.
It's it's sort of a reliable indicator that they're just circling the drain and they don't have an idea.
So anyway, thanks for reminding me.
I was going to talk about that and somehow didn't.
All right, we're going to go private now with the beloved members of locals and the rest of you.
Thanks for coming.
I'll see you again tomorrow.
Same time, same place.
Okay, your stocks are down a little bit.
Yep. Down, down, down, down.
Well, room to grow.
Come on in. Room. It's going to be an
amazing podcast.
So good, you won't even believe it. But,
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taken.
So popular all the virtual chairs get
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Oh, so good.
Well, you wouldn't know this unless you
um were subscribing to the Dilbert comic
strip that still comes out every day.
And it's a little bit spicier than it
used to be. But I also published the uh
comic from 10 years ago. you know,
exactly 10 years ago to the date. And
people who subscribe either on Axe or on
locals can see both. And the amazing
thing is that the 10year ago comic is
almost exactly what's happening today.
It's all about AI in the workplace and
robots. And today was about, you know,
tiny nano robots in the body. Literally
one of the stories in the news is that
there's a some cancer tumor eating
robots that'll be in your body soon. So
the Dilbert comic
is ahead of its time by 10 years.
Well, let's look at uh some science and
see if there's any science that looks
like it's backwards. Um okay, here's
one. Socializing could add years to your
life. So apparently the people who
socialize the most live the longest and
therefore they suggest that it's the
socializing
that makes you live longer.
Um and then they gave some examples of
the socializing and it includes joining
sports teams. Now they're talking about
older adults. This is this is for older
adults, not uh teenagers.
um and volunteering and spending time
with grandchildren. You know what all of
those things have in common? There are
things you don't want to do unless
you're healthy.
Would you join a sports team if you're
unhealthy and middle-aged?
Probably not. you know, maybe botchi,
but it seems to me if you're looking at
the uh the subset of Cubans who who
could join a sports team when they're
middle-aged, any sports team, you know,
tennis, whatever, I would say that group
is probably more likely to live longer
than the other people. So, backwards
science, at least partially. It might
also be true that socializing
uh is good for your health. I wouldn't
be surprised. All right, here's one that
really pisses me off.
How many of you believe that there's a
thing called the Bermuda Triangle and
that the reason it's f famous is that an
unusual number of uh ships have
disappeared in it? How many of you
believe that that's a real thing? That
there is a Bermuda Triangle. Now, that
part is true. How many of you believe
that more ships disappear there than in
other places?
It turns out that it's the same number
of ships that disappear there as
everywhere else. It's about the same.
It's never been true.
I can't believe I you know, it's it's
almost like a 100% of everything I
learned, aside from math, 100% of
everything I learned is just wrong.
So anyway, that's what uh we heard
today. They have a reason why they're
maybe uh losing ships in that particular
place. They think it's something about
rogue waves. Maybe. But but if it's not
any worse than anywhere else in the
ocean, uh I'm not really that
interested.
There must be waves everywhere.
Well, once again, how many times if
you're on social media and you follow
any content about AI, how many times
have you seen a video of a 5second clip
where somebody says, "AI has turned the
corner and now it can make movies.
They're as good as movies. Look at this
5-second clip."
And then you think, "Wow, you know,
somebody's gonna put together a bunch of
5-second clips and next thing you know,
you got a two-hour movie."
But you don't.
I've never seen one.
So, yet again, um I was seeing a post by
the code monk. there's uh some new AI uh
Pix Verse version five that uh is doing
ultra HD flawless motion
movie clips and the the thinking is
guess what AI has turned the corner and
it can make a 5-second movie clip and
therefore any moment now any minute it's
going to make a movie and then well
you're going to love that movie cuz
it'll be so good. Um, do you think that
there will be an HD movie in a couple of
weeks? Cuz I mean that's all it would
take, right? You don't have to hire
anybody. Just sit down and type your
ideas into it and you change them as you
go. So, who wants to take a bet? I will
take a bet that there will not be a
commercially successful AI movie in 12
months.
Maybe someday,
but uh my estimate will be that all
these things that look like they're
ready now
I don't think so. And and then I imagine
doing it myself. I thought, all right,
>> I'm not quite sure how to help you with
that.
>> Pipe down.
Um, that was my digital assistant piping
in. So, I keep thinking about doing it
myself, you know, just saying, "All
right, I'm going to carve out some time
and I'm going to turn one of my um my
books, you know, God's Debris into a
movie." And I'll just put every scene in
and I'll say stuff like, "Right, he's an
old man and he's wearing a he's wearing
a black blanket and he's super old. is
buy a fireplace in this expensive house
and then it creates a scene and then
I'll look at it and I'll go hm I don't
like that wheel that uh rocking chair uh
make that rocking chair a little more
ornate
and the trouble is I would never stop
doing that
probably every single element of the
scene I would be like yeah I don't know
if I want to put that dish there. Oh,
no. It should be a little less light.
And I believe that I would end up
spending exactly as much time,
like a year to make that movie as I
would if I, you know, were a
professional movie maker and did it the
oldfashioned way. So, I've got a feeling
that there are some
uh traps built into the just the process
of making a movie that's going to be a
lot harder than you think.
And the will the world be inundated with
really bad movies because people who
don't have much talent can make a movie?
Will you be so tired of AI movies? Do
you remember one of my predictions that
was counter to the world? I said that
nobody's going to care about AI
generated art
because the thing that attracts us to
art is our mating instinct.
We we're we're attracted to the artist
basically. That's that's why we're
impressed by the art. If you saw the
Mona Lisa and the Mona Lisa had never
existed before and AI created the Mona
Lisa,
would it be hanging in the Lou?
If it had never existed and AI created
it for the first in the first place,
would you say to yourself, "My god, that
is the most amazing piece of art. That
must be worth $100 million. we better
put it in the Lou. Or
would you think about sending it to your
friend and then think, h, she's kind of
ugly. This isn't going anywhere. And
then you wouldn't even send it because
it wouldn't even be memew worthy.
Yeah, AI art. Um, it might be the same
for movies. It could be that there'll be
something about the lack of humanity in
the movie that even though it looks
perfect,
your brain might say uncanny valley or
something. All right.
Apparently, Chat GBT is admitting that
their guard rails for safety on their uh
AI uh might weaken in long
conversations,
which is a big deal because some parents
are suing the AI company over their
teens um taking their own lives because
the AI said something that either
advised them to do it or taught them how
to do it or both. So,
[Music]
So, the uh the AI might kill you.
Uh that's what the lawsuit says that it
might kill you, but I don't think it'll
make a 2-hour movie anytime soon.
Well, according to digital information
world, these large language model AIs,
which is the kind that all of them are
right now, large language models, all
they do is look at patterns as we know.
So, they're not really thinking. They're
just doing pattern recognition and going
with the most dominant patterns. And uh
the uh the new article in uh what is it?
Digital information world says that uh
even when it looks like it's thinking,
you know, sometimes it'll show you its
thought process. So it looks like it's
thinking that there's no thought
process. It it's just sort of a trick,
the pattern recognition. And uh I'm
going to um I'm going to remind you, you
know how I always tease that when people
have analogies as part of their argument
that they don't have logic because
analogies are not part of argument.
Sometimes analogy is good to describe
what something is, but it's never good
as a prediction or an argument. It's
just a bad way to use it. But that's
exactly like what the large language
models are. So a human who says, "hm
that uh that president reminds me of
Hitler, so I predict he will invade
Poland."
Right? That that would be an analogy
thinker. Not very good. But that's sort
of what the large language models do. So
what I predicted would happen but didn't
happen. maybe it won't is that the the
AI
would reproduce how humans think, but it
would take us a while to realize that.
We we would imagine that the AI is
thinking in a totally different way than
a human thinks. And then we would keep,
you know, working on trying to get the
AI to think the way a human does. And
then someday we would realize it already
does. It's exactly the way we think. All
we do is recognize patterns. And if
we're bad at it, we're analogy thinkers.
And if we're good at it, maybe it just,
you know, gives you an idea of what
things to think about or look into more
deeply. Um, but there might be some
people who can get closer to logic. Not
many.
Well, according to John Christian
Futurism,
um
there's a uh
there's a some lawsuits about authors
wanting to get paid and apparently is
Anthropic decided to just pay the
authors instead of go ahead with the
lawsuit, which if they lost, and I guess
they thought that was a good enough
chance they might, they would lose a
trillion dollars.
So, the authors that were uh suing
Anthropic, an AI company, for uh what
they would say would be illegally using
their copyrighted materials to train it.
Um rather than fight it, they're going
to figure out some kind of payment
system. So, author is going to get paid.
And then what happens to the other AI
companies who no doubt will also get
sued if one of the big ones already
settled and said, "All right, all right,
we'll just change our business model and
you'll get some money."
But I would expect that the amount of
money will be similar to the outrage
that musicians have when they look at
their Spotify income. I think somebody
said if you if you have a song on
Spotify and it plays a million times,
uh, you would get $4,000.
It's pretty hard to get a million plays
of anything. So, I feel like as an
author, I should be celebrating that the
AI companies might have to send me money
because I've got several books that may
have been tiny tiny part of what they
trained on, but there'll be so many
authors
I feel like we're all going to get five
cents. So, I'm not sure this is much of
a victory, but who knows?
Well, here's what you can call the Trump
effect. He's doing such a good job uh
fighting crime, and the public likes it
when he fights crime. Whether it's the
No, it doesn't matter what he's doing.
The public likes fighting crime by
majority. So, Eric Adams, mayor of New
York, is going to um surge a thousand
extra police into the Bronx because
there's been a surge of shootings there.
And at the same time, Gavin Newsome just
announced that he's also surging a whole
bunch of new law enforcement people. So,
New York and California
are are basically uh
copying Trump because they realize that
they can't say, "No, we're actually in
favor of crime," a sort of losing
argument. To their credit, they figured
out that being in favor of crime is
politically bad. And so at least some of
their smarter Democrats are saying, "Uh,
we better try to get ahead of this. At
least act like we're doing something so
you don't need Trump to do something."
So they're doing the best they can, but
this is totally the Trump effect.
I would give Trump the credit for Eric
Adams and Gavin Newsome surging law
enforcement
because I don't believe they would have
done it otherwise. I I think they had to
do it politically. It was just too much
pressure because somebody was doing it
and it was working and that was Trump.
Well, the funniest thing that came out
of Nuome's announcement about his new
law enforcement push is uh it came I
think a day after Trump had mocked him
for his jazz hands. You know, he his
justiculations when he's talking because
they seem a little crazy, a little too
much. Uh, and so I had predicted that
Trump's such a good trash talker that he
would get in Newsome's head that Nuome
would be thinking about his hands while
he talked. It would make him less
effective because his, you know, brain
would have to do two things. Well, he's
sitting at the the table for the
announcement about his uh law
enforcement surge
and he's locked his hands together,
which looks to me like he did it
intentionally. and he saw that his, you
know, his hands wouldn't be jumping
around, but but he didn't talk it over
with his thumb because
even though his hands were properly, you
know, just in front of him, not moving,
he had one rogue thumb that kept trying
to do what his hands do. So, he's
talking and his thumb is just wiggling
around. And there's no way that wasn't
caused by Trump.
There's nothing you could tell me that
wouldn't tell me that all of that was
because he was trying to compensate and
I have jazz hands because it totally
worked. Trump got in his head. And now
every time we watch him, especially
since, you know, that that one uh rogue
thumb situation, I'm going to be looking
for his hand gestures. And I'll bet you
that you will see him have to think
about it every time he talks from now
on.
just so good. And Trump's Trump's get in
your head game. It's just so good.
Well, Trump is winning in so many ways.
Now, there's a Chicago pastor, according
to Fox News, um was blasting the
Democrats for outright lying about
crime, and he says he wants Trump to
send the National Guard to Chicago. So,
some prominent Chicago mayor, Pat Cory
Brooks,
and uh
he basically says, "Yes, please, Trump,
do more of that." Now, how many
prominent uh black residents of Chicago
have to come out in favor of Trump uh
his push on crime? How many of them have
to do it before it's impossible to say
no? It's not. It won't take that many.
It just takes a few brave people say,
"Hell yes, we need some help." Yeah,
whatever you got. We'll take whatever
you got to have less crime. So, Corey
Brooks, one of the smart ones, going
first.
At the same time, uh, Maryland Governor
Wes Moore, who's sometimes talked about
as a possible Democrat presidential
candidate,
um, he said, "I would absolutely welcome
federal support." So, he knows he needs
to get on the right side of this crime
thing. Um, I don't know much about Wes
Moore,
Maryland's governor, but uh, I hear good
stuff about him all the time. So, um, he
would be one to watch. So, he was on
Will Kaine's show when he said that. Uh,
all right. So, President Trump, you
know, I think I said the other day that
for his age, it's especially impressive
that he's the most innovative president
we've ever had. And I feel like nobody
was even close. I mean, I don't need to
go through the list, right? The things
that Trump did that are different from
what anybody had in mind, but worked out
great, from tariffs to you name it. But
now he's come up with the idea of
holding a uh national Republican
convention before the midterm elections.
Now, that's never been done because they
typically think that's something for a
presidential election year, not a not a
in between election.
But since the uh the party always gets a
bump from a convention,
isn't that just the smartest idea?
It's so smart that it makes you think,
wait a minute,
why didn't they always do that?
Don't you believe that if he does that,
the Democrats will have to do the same
thing? Of course they will. And once
again, he will show that he's a leader
and an innovator and he does common
sense, smart things. And the Democrats,
when they're doing their best, when
they're doing their best,
they're copying him.
You can't get much stronger than that.
That's pretty impressive. So, big yes on
the midterm convention. And to me,
that's just, you know, once you hear the
idea, it's a no-brainer. But why did it
take Trump to come up with the idea?
Now, maybe somebody suggested it to him,
but still, you know, he's the president
who said, "Yeah, I I will entertain that
idea." So, he still gets the innovation
uh benefit even if someone else said it
first.
Well, the Gateway Pundits writing about
the fact that uh um so now we have uh
some RICO investigations into the Soros
organization, a big funer of maybe the
biggest funer of the Democrats, but also
there's this uh
you heard that Bill Gates said he wasn't
going to fund the Arabella group, which
was yet another big funer of Democrats.
And then separately, Trump says he wants
to he's authorizing audits of every NGO,
everyone that gets money from the
government, which is just a ton. Now,
presumably that also is a way that Dem
Democrats were sort of uh in a weasly
way getting taxpayer money
uh that would they would work through
their network to turn it into donations
to Democrat candidates.
So, that might be getting squeezed. And
then you've heard that the uh what's the
name of that group?
Blue something. Project
Blue Balls. No. What's the name of it?
ACT Blue, right? Act Blue. So, they were
uh allegedly an organization who would
take small donations for Democrats, but
they're under investigation for
allegedly maybe taking money from, you
know, big entities and only pretending
it came from small ones. So, correct me
if I'm wrong,
but our current situation is that Kla
Harris drained the bank account of the
Democrats,
uh, leaving them with very little, and
then the big donors have all sewed their
pockets shut because they're not seeing
anything coming from the Democrats that
looks promising. So, there's nothing
really to give money to. And so they're
not getting their their usual big donor
donations, but all of their semillegal,
probably legal, but maybe not, you know,
all these dark money ways that they get
money are being sort of uh either
investigated or shut down or or starved.
So,
boy, when the Democrats collapse, they
really collapse.
We're going to find out how important
money is for getting elected. Obviously,
it makes some difference. Um, but I, you
know, Trump is in a uh he can raise
money like crazy at this point and the
Democrats have nothing.
Is it my imagination
or is it true that the Democrats are
pretending that they're going to run
against Trump again in another election?
Don't they act like beating Trump
is still the goal
when there's nothing to beat?
He he's just going to run out of his
time and then he'll leave peacefully.
But they they've got this hallucination,
you know, the the Gavin Newsome
hallucination. They they all have it at
this point. Uh but it's because of
people like Gavin. He doesn't really
believe. I don't think I don't think he
really I'm not a mind readader, but I
don't believe for one second that Gavin
Newsome thinks Trump's going to stay in
office um beyond his two terms. I don't
think he thinks that. So, but he's got
this weak little argument where he says
there are lots of hats that say Trump
2028. And then he added to that, why
would Trump build a ballroom for the
White House when he's not going to be
around to enjoy it? to which I say, how
much more is he going to enjoy it
anyway.
I always thought he's building it um so
that they'll put his name on it. Don't
you think it'll be the Trump ballroom
and then every president from there on I
guess those presidents could rename it
if they wanted to, but it would be it
would be tacky if they did, especially
if Trump pays for it. you know, there's
going to be at least a plaque on the
wall that says Donald Trump paid for
this. So,
so they've got this uh crazy imaginary
problem that they're fighting and the
imaginary problem is Trump 2028. And
Trump totally nurtured that hoax. I
guess I would call it a hoax because
he's allowing them to believe it even
though he denies it, but he teases it so
they think, "Aha, we have finally
figured out how to interpret Trump.
They're very bad at it, but we finally
figured it out. It means he's really
going to run in 2028."
Nah.
Well, the uh Supreme Court has uh agreed
with the Trump administration that they
can cut the diversity research grants at
the NIH. Apparently, there was a
ginormous amount of money being used for
diversity research grants. Now, do you
need to do a deep dive on that topic to
know that you should cut that to zero?
No, you don't. No. If there is such a
thing as diversity research grants in
2025, it might have make it might have
made sense, you know, there might have
been some point in history where that
made a little bit of sense. It doesn't
make sense now.
So Trump cut it and the court agreed.
But amazingly, Justice Roberts
sided with the uh the liberals who voted
against everything Trump wants. uh
wasn't enough to give them the victory.
But man, what's wrong with Justice
Roberts?
I got questions about that guy.
Um
let's see.
I saw Mike Benz talking about how you
could get the Soros organization on a
RICO charge, which would mean that it's
part of a big organized ongoing criminal
enterprise. So there would have to be a
crime otherwise it's not a criminal
enterprise and but but some of the
things that apparently the Soros funded
uh no actually taxpayer funded I think
but Soros must have been involved
somehow um in creating documents that
were teaching protesters how to protest
their own government in the United
States and had advice such as blocking
intersections and uh occupying
buildings.
Now, if those things are illegal,
blocking an intersection sounds like
it's illegal to me. Um, then knowing
that there's written training materials
and an ongoing effort to train people to
act this way, it does feel a little bit
RICOish. I don't know if that's enough,
though. We'll see.
Um,
so the headline says that Trump has
revoked Kamla Harris's Secret Service
protection, but you have to read past
the headline to know that she got
exactly as much as vice presidents
are supposed to get. So vice presidents
are not like presidents who get a
lifetime of Secret Service. Vice
presidents are only allowed 6 months and
the 6 months is up. However, um we are
finding out that Biden had ordered an
extra year for Kla Harris. So what Trump
is doing is simply cancelling the extra
part because is there anybody in the
world who wants to kill Kla Harris,
maybe the Democrats to prevent her from
running again,
but there's no Republican who wants to
kill Kla Harris. Not one. the the if you
could find the Republican who dislikes
her the most, that would be the same
person who wants her to stay healthy and
and be the, you know, the face of the
Democrats.
So, there's no Republican who would want
her to come to harm, I don't think.
Probably none like in the whole country.
And I can't imagine that that Democrats
would want to take her out because she's
still one of the best hopes they have.
So she's probably she might be the
safest vice president in the history of
vice presidents.
Um I guess uh CNN's reporting as are
others that uh bunch of tariffs are
kicking in now um especially on smaller
items. So there had been an under $800
exemption that wouldn't be tariffed but
Trump changed that. So even if it's
smaller stuff coming in from other
countries, it's all going to get
tariffed. So that's going to kick in
really fast.
Um so we'll see. We shall see how much
inflation that causes.
Um
h
um I didn't know this until I saw it in
the post millennial Hannah Nightingale
is writing about how there's an alarming
increase in attacks on Christian
churches in the US.
So how many Christian churches would you
guess if you hadn't seen the headline?
How many total number would you guess
are attacked in a year? Let's say in
2024,
just a guess, how many Christian
churches in the United States do you
think were attacked? The answer is 415.
Let me say that again in, you know, just
in case you thought you heard it wrong.
415
Christian churches were attacked in the
United States
last year.
just last year, one year, and it's up
730%
from, you know, the earlier period.
Uh, how's that even possible?
Were you were you aware of any of that?
I wasn't aware of that. I don't know
what they call an attack. So, that might
that might include just vandalism when
nobody's home. So, if it includes
vandalism
when nobody's home, it's still terrible
because it, you know, shows an attitude,
etc. But, uh, I don't know. I I would
want to know a little bit more about
that. You know, I've told you that all
data is fake.
It could be that that data is not
exactly what it looks like. So, um I do
think it's alarming and I do think it's
worthy of uh you know paying attention
like extra extra attention, but I don't
know for sure that the date is right.
It's but I I'll bet it's alarming no
matter what it is.
Um, so all the uh smart people said that
uh the John Bolton investigation was
because Trump was getting revenge on all
of his enemies and John Bolton was just
one of them and so he went after him
first. Well, it turns out that the John
Bolton investigation started under
Biden.
So everything in the news was
uh unless that's But
apparently um
the story is that our intelligence
people picked up something when they
were looking at some foreign people that
they're allowed to do. But uh if the
foreign people communicate with domestic
people such as John Bolton, well then
they're going to see both sides of the
conversation. So apparently they saw
some emails that Bolton sent. And here's
the wonderful part. He used a uh
unapproved email system just like just
like Hillary Clinton.
You would think that people would know
not to do that, but he used an
unclassified email system to send some
classified stuff. Uh and it looked like
he was sending it to people
um who were involved in writing his
book.
So, I don't think that there's an
accusation that he was selling it to an
adversary.
Um, am I wrong about that? I don't
believe there there was speculation,
but I don't believe there's any evidence
that he was selling it to an adversary
country. Um, there is evidence that
because he was playing loose with it and
violating the rules of classified
behavior, uh, that he was allowing them
to see some classified stuff, but that
stuff probably is pretty close to what
was in his book.
So, I don't know how classified it was.
If he if a guy who knows a lot about
classified information thought, h I'll
just send it to my my family members and
I'll put it in my book. So, there's
something about this story that we don't
understand.
And if I had to guess,
one of his defenses will be um that
things were overclassified.
That would probably be his defense
because then it doesn't sound like he's
a traitor or treasonist. He's just a guy
who knows the difference between
something that's properly classified and
something that isn't. And then maybe he
thought, well, there's this is
You know, this wouldn't hurt anybody.
It's just happens to be classified. So,
he may have just thought, I'll just
ignore the ones that are obviously
overclassified.
Maybe that might be his defense. It
might be a pretty good defense actually.
So, we'd have to see examples.
Uh, or I would I'd have to see an
example of what's the worst thing he did
that um our adversaries saw.
I don't know. What how would you feel
about it if there wasn't a single thing
that you looked at and said, "Yeah,
that's a problem." You looked at and
said, "That's classified. Why is that
even classified?"
So, I'm going to I think I'm going to
grade this one
uh as a wait and see because the the
part of this story that doesn't make
sense is that somebody like Bolton would
play so fast and loose with classified
stuff if it could really hurt the United
States. I wouldn't be surprised about
somebody who, you know, let's say, cut
some corners if they knew it wasn't
going to hurt anybody. And he would
know. He would know if it was going to
hurt anybody. So, I'm going to wait to
see if his defense
looks something like, yeah, it was
technically classified, but look at it
for yourself. I mean, you you judge.
Does that look like it would hurt
anybody?
Maybe it wouldn't. I don't know. So, I'm
going to be a little bit open-minded
about this. Um, I'm not a big fan of
John Bolton, but uh
the law is the law, you know, you got to
got to look at it individually.
Um
you know in the last refuge
uh the publication the last refuge uh
talks about how John Bolton's business
model was basically selling influ
information and influence.
I guess that's true.
Um
but it feels like a little bit of an
overstatement
because I don't know selling information
and influence that's just a lobbyist
right? I mean, they're all they're all
doing that. So, I don't know if that's a
statement that you could just hang on
that one guy. Uh, anyway, I'm not I
don't want to defend Bolton. I'm just
telling you I don't have enough
information to form a final opinion on
it.
Um,
so you heard the story that Microsoft
was doing some uh tech technology
support work for the government. Not
some, but doing a lot. And some of that
included the Department of Defense. And
we found out not long ago, and just the
news is reminding us that uh Microsoft
was hiring Chinese
um programmers to manage the Department
of Defense cloud systems.
And I'm not talking about Chinese
Americans.
I'm talking about Chinese programmers
who live in China and are only Chinese.
Now, as you know, every every Chinese
citizen has kind of an obligation to
report everything to the government. And
these guys were in charge of our
Department of Defense cloud system. Do
you think there was anything that they
had access to that we wouldn't want the
Chinese government to know about in the
Department of Defense cloud system?
Well, so now that we know that Secretary
Hangsath is working with uh Microsoft to
make sure they don't use any more of
those Chinese nationals, see if they can
fix that.
Um I guess the Trump administration is
looking at tightening up our visa rules.
visas where people from other countries
under the under their visa are in the
United States for extended periods. But
apparently visas are um currently can be
open-ended and the idea is to make all
of them shortterm so that they expire
after a specific period of time. I don't
know about that one. I'd like to hear an
argument on both sides of that one. I
have no opinion on that. But it does
seem consistent with what Trump promised
us, which is
less immigration.
Um,
did you know that the uh the declining
birth rates in the United States are
mostly because of the political left? So
apparently people who are right leaning
are having about the same number of
babies as they always did, you know, and
that makes sense. you know, they value
family, blah blah blah. And it makes
sense also that the left um you know,
they have more LGBTQ,
they uh they have more progressives
with, you know, with all kinds of
preferences that are outside the family
model, let's say that. So, it doesn't
surprise me. But um given as we've
described that the the number of
registrations for voting is now heavily
or starting to be heavily tilted toward
Republicans. What happens if you add on
top of that just birth rates?
Don't we have a situation where the
Democrat party is in a freef fall?
Because if nothing else changed except
Republicans had way more babies than
Democrats,
doesn't that, you know, give you in 18
to 20 years kind of a big advantage? I I
feel like literally everything is going
in the direction of the Republicans.
like everything demographics, the
reduction in um the reduction in um
immigration, the redistricting will go
in the in their favor and then all the
policies. They have all the policy
advantages.
So, it just feels like the Democrats are
are in a world of hurt like I've never
seen before.
Well, activist Robbie Starbucks, who
goes after big companies for their
illegal and immoral DEI practices and
and their overwokeness,
um reports that uh he had another big
victory with Cracker Barrel. So, you
know, Cracker Barrel caved on their
logo, but the logo wasn't the main
events. the logo was just,
you know, you did get rid of the white
guy and the logo, but if that were the
only thing that happened, it would have
looked like just a logo update. But they
also had uh aggressive uh woke pages,
um a lot of gay pride stuff on their
website, etc. Now uh no matter what you
think of those things, you may be
totally in favor of gay pride etc. But
uh the question of whether it should be
shoved down the the throats of the
employees and the customers is
different. So apparently Cracker Barrel
removed the offending websites and they
are really they seem legitimately trying
to work with uh the public and uh so I'm
going to give them some credit. I know a
lot of people are saying they won't be
happy until that uh owl wannabe CEO gets
fired. Doesn't she remind you of an owl?
Like maybe she's a furry. No,
she's not. But she reminds me of an owl.
I don't know why. The glasses, I guess.
So, good work. Robbie Starbucks gets
another big win. Um, according to Remix,
uh,
Ukraine may have destroyed as much as
20% of Russia's, uh, oil refining
capacity.
So 20%.
There are not many things that you can
affect by 20% without, you know, being
obvious. Uh allegedly there are now some
gas shortages in Russia. Uh I'm not sure
you can trust that though. Might be, you
know, you you could easily imagine there
was one gas station that didn't have gas
one day and and that turned into a
bigger story. So, I don't know if it's
widespread.
Um, but interestingly, the Russian
refineries that are getting taken out by
the Ukrainians have technology in them
that is American and there's no other
place to get it.
So, they built their refineries using
American parts partly that they can't
replace. Um, so they're trying to get
sort of lower quality Chinese components
to to rebuild. So, and I guess uh Russia
did a major attack on Kiev last night,
bigger than normal or ever or something.
Um, here's what I think. If it's true
that Ukraine has taken out 20% of the
refinery capacity,
um the question would be what would be
the collapse point? The point where
Russia really just has to seriously
rethink their idea of being in a war.
20%
feels close to a tipping point, but if I
if I had to guess, I'd say 40%.
I think if they lose 40% of their
refineries
that they're going to have to make peace
because they can't lose them all. And if
they go from 0 to 20 to 40 and that
happens in just say a matter of a few
weeks, which it looks like it could. If
it went to 40,
then Russia would know that it could go
to 80 and then they're really So
I don't know if what they would do is
maybe um upgrade their own attacks on
Ukraine so that you know at least it's
mutually assured destruction something
like that. I don't know why Ukraine has
any energy left.
What like is there some reason that
Russia can't destroy all of the energy
infrastructure in Ukraine? Because when
I see, you know, pictures of Kiev and
the lights are on and people are acting
like things are kind of normal that day,
I think to myself, really? So, so you've
got Russia has been at war for years
with all these good missiles and they
haven't taken out 100% of the energy
infrastructure in Ukraine. Why? See,
seems like that would be the most
obvious thing to do. Are they unable or
is it actually a bad idea?
I'd love to know the answer to that. So
that's my prediction. If uh Kiev can
take out 40%
of uh Russia's refineries
that uh Putin would talk peace 40%.
U you're all competing against the
experts. I love it when the ex I love it
when people tell me that my opinion on
things like, you know, wars in other
countries uh is invalid because I'm not
an expert. What exactly has been the
track record of experts on anything?
Anything. You name a topic. Tell tell me
how well the experts did on that topic.
Now, now show me the podcasters who had
everything right. There'll always be
some, you know, for every topic. It
seems like there's always some podcaster
who just got it all right from the start
and all the experts got it wrong.
Anyway,
um I guess Russia successfully used an
underwater drone to sink a Ukrainian
Navy vessel. Weirdly, that's the first
time. So, I guess Russia did not have a
uh any great undersea drones, but now
they do. So, I don't know how the US uh
Navy can survive
any kind of a war against a big country
because wouldn't wouldn't any reasonably
big country just send all these uh
underwater drones and just take out our
entire fleet? Can we really defend
against that? I mean, I know we have,
you know, entire defensive perimeters
and stuff at sea, but could we really
defend against that if they sense enough
of them at the same time? I don't know.
Well, according to a UC Davis study,
having a sense of purpose in your life
can prevent you from getting dementia.
So, let's see. The people who have a
purpose in their life don't have as much
dementia.
I'm not sure it's the purpose that's
causing the less dementia. Or is it the
fact that people who have less dementia
can look around and say, you know, I
should try to be useful. Everything's
working. My brain's still working. I
think I'll be useful. I'll volunteer for
something. So, I'm not so sure this
study is telling us what we think.
However, I'm a big fan of people being
useful. So, yeah, having a sense of
purpose um is so highly recommended for
your mental health, it doesn't surprise
me that it might be correlated with your
physical health and your, you know, your
dementia. So, I would say even if you're
not positive it works,
it's all good if you can find a purpose
in life.
uh popular science tells us that u some
big companies I guess there are 4,000
buildings now have used this technology
which is that they they use cheap
electricity at night to make a bunch of
ice um and then they use the ice to cool
the building during the you know hot
summer days and I guess the technology
works you know it's and it saves a bunch
of money Um, you just need room for, you
know, an enormous pile of ice somewhere
in your basement, I guess.
Though, it would make more sense for the
ice to be in the roof, wouldn't it? I
don't know.
So, now you've got ice that they're
calling it ice batteries, but it doesn't
store electricity. It just stores the
coolness, which can be released to
supplement your HVAC.
Well, Japanese researchers have
figured out how to use quantum
entanglement to boost robot posture
control. Now, that to you sounds like
not a big deal. But if you notice how no
matter
uh no matter how good the robot
technology is over the last 25 years
that the robot is always a little slow.
Have you noticed that? Like there's just
some lag or something. But apparently
using quantum computing
which can uh simultaneously
what's the best word simultaneously deal
with lots of possibilities at the same
time. So I guess a regular robot uh has
so many moving parts that affect other
moving parts. Like if it's walking, it
kind of has to get every part of the
robot involved. So, it's hard to
coordinate all that stuff and to do it
quickly. Um, and part of the reason is
that the robot sort of has to predict,
all right, if I do this, what do my
other parts need to do? And then it sort
of tries several predictions and then it
picks the best one. And apparently that
just will always have a time lag. But if
you use quantum computing, it looks at
all the possibilities for all of the
movement that the robot can do in all of
its body all at the same time and then
just picks a good one.
Now, apparently that would allow your
robot to work as fast and efficiently
and to move just like a human. um you
would have fewer degrees of movement,
but if you saw it, it would just be
moving like I'm moving, you know, just
sort of casually moving. So if you saw
the pingpong robot that's running on a
quantum computer, it would just look
like a person playing pingpong.
So that's kind of cool. I don't know how
practical it is to get a quantum
computer in a robot because it's not
like we have a lot of quantum computer
solutions.
Well, the US has a uh jet powered drone
wingman. It's basically the size of a
looks like the size of a regular jet,
maybe a little smaller. and a pilot
would go up and would have a whole bunch
of these drones
as like protectors that would be flying
at the same time, but they would be
unmanned. So, I presume the pilot would
control them. You know, the one pilot
would control, you know, his own plane
plus or her own plane plus all the
drones. And uh that's new.
I haven't seen that before.
All right. Um,
that story is boring. That's all that's
all I got for you. That's all you needed
today. That is all you needed. All
right. Thanks for joining everybody. Um,
watching uh watching the end of the
summer stories is going to be fun.
There's going to be a whole bunch of
stuff that uh looks kind of weird and
fun and humorous. So, keep watching for
that. All right, I'm going to talk to
the uh local subscribers. My beloved
local subscribers. Yeah, it's beloved
time.
Oh, yeah. You're right. Uh there was a
good Thanks for reminding me. There was
a topic that I swore I wrote down in my
notes, but I didn't talk about it. So,
let me do that. Now, there there's
apparently a Democratleaning
organization that's paying influencers
as much as $80,000 a month to say good
things about Democrat policies and
Democrats. And again, they're trying to
use money to do what the Republicans do
without money, which is, hey, Joe Rogan,
do you have common sense? Yes. Would you
like to say some common sense things
about common sense things? Yes.
And then then you've got Joe Rogan, but
that they need to pay a Joe Rogan.
So they they named David Pacman as one
of the people allegedly who may be
getting payments for being on one side.
Now, if I were a left-leaning
influencer,
I'm pretty sure I would take that money
and then I would just do whatever I was
going to do anyway because if you're
left-leaning, you're always going to say
good stuff about Democrats. You might as
well take the money. So, I can't see
that this will possibly work. Like, it
seems like, you know, they they got
nothing else to try, so they might as
well try something. But I don't think I
don't think any of them are going to
break through and change anybody's
minds. So, um, and I have to tell you
because I know some of you probably
wonder. I have never been approached
by anybody who wanted to try to pay me
to influence what I say. I've never had
that conversation. I don't know anybody
who's even in the business of paying
Republicans or right-leaning people or
just Trump supporters to say good things
about Trump. It does it's not necessary
because there's so many influencers who
are already there and they're they've
got their own business model and they
don't need to be made. The the fact that
Let me tell you what I'll compare this
to. If you see a local restaurant that
used to only serve lunch and dinner and
then suddenly they announced that
they're going to do brunch on weekends,
that's a restaurant that's going out of
business because
doing adding brunch is sort of like a
Hail Mary because you would have to be
like the, you know, most wildly
successful brunch place to even make a
penny for brunch. So when you see that,
you don't say to yourself, "Wow, that's
a restaurant that's really making it all
work. They went from two meals to three.
They're expanding. They're getting
better." Nope. That's a restaurant that
is going to be out of business in one
year. I've seen it a million times, even
with my own restaurant. And but when you
see that somebody is paying influencers
to make sure that they say things on
your team and the other team has never
needed to pay an influencer and wouldn't
even think about it. I'll bet you nobody
has even had that conversation
on the right. It's unnecessary. How hard
is it to get people to come out against
crime? Turns out not that hard. How hard
is it for to get a Republican to say,
"You know what? I'm glad that that
border is closed. You don't have to pay
me a penny. I'll do that for free." So,
when you see Democrats having or
thinking that they have to pay somebody
to agree with them, that's like the
restaurant was adding brunch to their
other two meals. It's it's sort of a
reliable indicator that they're just
circling the drain and they don't have
an idea.
So anyway, thanks for reminding me. I
was going to talk about that and somehow
didn't. All right, we're going to go
private now with the beloved members of
locals
and the rest of you. Thanks for coming.
I'll see you again tomorrow. Same time,
same place.