Episode 3027 CWSA 11/23/25
Trump and Musk and MTG and Putin and Rubio and more ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Good morning everybody. Come on in here. I want you to flow in here like you're attacking a foreign country that really has it coming. And while you're doing that, I will get ready to give you the highest quality podcast you're going to see today. Because not everybody's working on a Sunday, but dar…
View segment →better time. But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, well, for that all you need is a cup or mug or a glass or tankard or jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I lik…
View segment →Dilbert calendar like it's some kind of commercial or something instead of the coffee cup. What I meant is the coffee cup. Here it comes. The simultaneous sip. Go. Well, that won't happen to you because you can only buy this calendar at Amazon. But you knew that. You knew it. You knew it.
View segment →All right. Well, let's jump into the news. It'll be so good. Did you know, Trump was going to his helicopter, I think he was, and one of the reporters asked him if he would reconcile with Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene, you know, the same way he did with Elon Musk. What do you think? He said…
View segment →have dinner. We'll be best friends." And everybody goes, "Oh, okay. I get it. It's part of the show. It's just part of the show." Once you realize it's part of the show, you can just lean back and enjoy it the way it was meant to be. So yes. Do we want Trump to dislike Marjorie Taylor Greene? No. W…
View segment →hings are important. I know the order in which they're important because you would also rank them from which one's the most predictive, right? Maybe which one is the most dangerous, but most predictive as well." And then if you did a good job, people would want to bookmark it and they would ask you…
View segment →easy-to-read dashboard where everybody agrees, yeah, these 10 things are the things we should be watching? No. And part of the reason that nobody's doing it is that the people who have access to the information that would make that dashboard are probably not getting the results that they wanted to…
View segment →piece, an op-ed about "My Dinner with Adolf." So he did a funny piece essentially mocking Bill Maher for imagining that there was a good reason to ever have dinner with Hitler, meaning that he was calling Trump Hitler. What did Bill Maher say about this now that he's had several months to marinate…
View segment →them because they're mentally insane or they're on drugs or whatever else. And he also pointed out, I didn't know this, that the economics of homelessness in California is that there's this whole industry of people get paid to take care of the homeless, as long as they don't solve their problem. If…
View segment →years ago and that's because of Elon Musk and it's because of DOGE and DOGE even exists only because of Musk, the concept of DOGE which has taken root in the government. So if you look at all the things that just Elon has done, there's the one I've mentioned and of course Mike Benz is a champion of…
View segment →ation because he can basically describe a world where you use solar power to get everything you want. They might be solar panels in space, but he already told you how to do it. We have all the technology we need to put solar panels in space and have all the energy we want. And he can show you how.…
View segment →I think it was Hakeem Jeffries who said that Obamacare will be unaffordable to a great number of people by the end of the year. How did it ever... where does all the money go? Have you ever wondered that? Like it seems to me that the health care situation must necessarily be a gigantic fraud environ…
View segment →emoved because I was infected and blah blah blah blah. So I ended up in the emergency room. Most of yesterday I probably came in contact with 20 people and maybe one of them did something that I needed. An unbelievable amount of, I don't know if all you did was look at the number of people who asked…
View segment →o I have this weird health care situation where for reasons I don't understand, I only get really bad problems on weekends. Do you have that too? You only get really sick or hurt on weekends. And then there's nobody whose job it is to take care of you. You have to go to the emergency room. So it's a…
View segment →t every time you woke up it's like a year from now am I going to have to get up and put on my makeup and drive to a prison? Is that actually going to happen to me? And it almost did. It almost did. And now that fate has been returned to Letitia James who probably has to wake up every day and wonder…
View segment →t to commit. So I think Texas has the right instinct there. I saw an article that didn't seem like it would be relevant to the United States, but now I'm thinking maybe it is. So apparently Poland, which is doing well sort of in general, it's one of those countries that has not been, let's say, to…
View segment →because we don't have any transparency and the people in charge over time you get people in charge who are willing to steal it because it's stealable and they just notice and so they do. On the same point, Remix is writing that almost every German city is now on the verge of bankruptcy. Almost ever…
View segment →t feel like we're just, we residents of the country, we're just part of the machine and we're just moving along. Oh, I guess we're moving toward war. Does anybody know why? No, you don't know why. I mean, I could tell the story of why. I mean, I could say we don't want these drugs coming in, but wha…
View segment →andon, a low IQ leader. He says, "I got a bunch of low IQ leaders." And but he also insults Governor Pritzker for being overweight. So he's going hard at Chicago. Anyway, let me ask you this. Why is it that the Democrats are not making more hay? Is that a thing? Or why are they not making a bigger…
View segment →Good morning everybody. Come on in here. I want you to flow in here like you're attacking a foreign country that really has it coming. And while you're doing that, I will get ready to give you the highest quality podcast you're going to see today. Because not everybody's working on a Sunday, but darn it, some of you are, and I definitely am.
You ready for this? Who's ready?
Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, well, for that all you need is a cup or mug or a glass or tankard or jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip.
Sorry, I accidentally picked up the incredible 2026 Dilbert calendar like it's some kind of commercial or something instead of the coffee cup. What I meant is the coffee cup. Here it comes. The simultaneous sip. Go.
Well, that won't happen to you because you can only buy this calendar at Amazon. But you knew that. You knew it. You knew it.
All right. Well, let's jump into the news. It'll be so good.
Did you know, Trump was going to his helicopter, I think he was, and one of the reporters asked him if he would reconcile with Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene, you know, the same way he did with Elon Musk. What do you think? He said, "Well, sure, why not? I get along with everybody." Is that the perfect answer? "I get along with everybody."
Because you want to argue with him, right? You're like, you don't get along with everybody. What about... Oh, okay. Well, I guess you do kind of get along with them, but what about...
First of all, it makes your hair catch on fire if you don't think it's factually true, but it's close enough to be factually true that I will allow it. But I love the fact that he has created this persona for himself where he can absolutely maul somebody in public verbally and then five minutes later he can say, "Yeah, why don't you come on over? We'll have dinner. We'll be best friends." And everybody goes, "Oh, okay. I get it. It's part of the show. It's just part of the show." Once you realize it's part of the show, you can just lean back and enjoy it the way it was meant to be.
So yes. Do we want Trump to dislike Marjorie Taylor Greene? No. We want her to be a productive part of society, a patriot. Would you not want her on your team? Think about it. Now, I get that she disagrees with you on some policy stuff, right? Or maybe she doesn't. But you wouldn't want her on your team? Think about it. If you were picking teams for anything, you wouldn't want her on your team? Yeah, of course you would. So would he. So he plays it just right in the way that only Trump can.
Hurricane season is winding down and Axios is reminding us that there have been how many named hurricanes that have made landfall in the US mainland. Anyway, how many hurricanes this year? Do you know the number? The answer is zero. Now, there usually aren't that many. You know, like a normal year might be two, but we're talking about two major storms that would cost billions of dollars. This year, none.
Do you think that all the news is talking about is how the climate crisis has been avoided and maybe it was never real in the first place? No, that's not going to happen right away. But we're heading in that direction.
I will tell you again how to run the entire country. You ready? If you wanted to take charge of the whole country and you didn't have an elected position, you're not a billionaire, you just want to figure out some clever way where you, and I mean you, like specifically you, could take over the whole country, there is a way to do that. And this hurricane situation reminded me of it. I've talked about this before.
In the corporate world, the way we think of things is that there's a line of executives and somebody reports to somebody who reports to somebody. So if you see one of those executives giving a PowerPoint slideshow to maybe that executive's boss, you think to yourself, well that executive giving the presentation is in charge of that domain and is giving a presentation to someone who's in charge of him, you know, because he's got to get approval or something. So it looks to you like the normal corporate structure is working the way you think.
However, having worked in the corporate world and having put together quite a number of slides for other executives or just for executives, here's something I learned that everyone who's been in that same position probably learned the same way. Whoever comes up with the best slide, or you could replace slide with idea or framework or reframe or way to look at something or relevant data, that person's actually in charge.
Let me plump this out a little bit and you'll see what I'm talking about. If I wanted to run the world and wasn't already, the way I'd do it is I would try to figure out what the top 10 climate variables are that people would agree, all right, if that's changing, there must be a problem with climate and humans behind it. And I would get the top 10 and then I would create an ongoing dashboard. A dashboard is sort of a corporate term. A dashboard would be usually one page on a screen that very quickly tells you some set of information that makes sense together.
So I would say, "All right, let's figure out the 10 things you should look at for climate change." And hurricanes would be one of them. But you'd also have the temperatures. You'd have the water level at certain places. So I don't even know if there are 10. Maybe there are five, but I think there are at least 10. So you would be the one who pulls together this dashboard and then you just put it on X.
What would happen if you did a good job? People would pass it around and they would say, "Whoa, I'm smarter now because I know that these 10 things are important. I know the order in which they're important because you would also rank them from which one's the most predictive, right? Maybe which one is the most dangerous, but most predictive as well." And then if you did a good job, people would want to bookmark it and they would ask you to update it when there was new information and it would take on a life of its own almost immediately.
Do you know why you could totally disrupt this mature science area without actually having any science background? Do you know why that would be so easy? Because no one else is trying. There's no one even trying. Do you know of anybody who put together a really easy-to-read dashboard where everybody agrees, yeah, these 10 things are the things we should be watching? No.
And part of the reason that nobody's doing it is that the people who have access to the information that would make that dashboard are probably not getting the results that they wanted to get. So if they were a little bit more capable at describing what's actually happening in the world, their capability would destroy their own industry because they would end up proving that maybe you didn't have to worry so much about this stuff. But since I'm not a climate scientist, I would not be bound by that. I could just tell you what you need to know as best I could do it. So I'd just start publishing it.
Then what happens when it starts working? What happens when people start recognizing, all right, we need an update on this climate story? No matter what the story is, wouldn't it make sense to have the climate dashboard referenced as just part of the story? Could be a story about the coral reefs, but also let me show you the dashboard. Could be a story about the hurricanes, but you know, proper context, let me show you the console.
So once you did this for climate, you don't think people would ask for it for crime? You don't think people would ask for it for other big topics? They would. And if you were the one who could do it best and had some reputation for being a straight shooter, pretty soon you would be the one who decides what information is relevant to this domain and what isn't. You might be right, you might be wrong, but it's not objective. There would be a lot of subjectivity in deciding what's even on the list. And then there'd be a lot of subjectivity in deciding how to measure it properly, etc.
And that would be enough subjectivity, I say, that it would put you essentially in control of the entire domain. Nobody would necessarily know it. They would just think that you were a useful person who had something to say about the data, but you would actually be running the whole show because you would determine what data anybody saw. And if you became credible, they'd kind of have to reference your data every single time they did anything important in that domain.
So that's how you do it, people. You become the PowerPoint slide expert. And if you become known as the only person who can describe this complicated thing in a very transportable, viral way, you're going to run the whole show. There you go.
I wonder if there's any backward science. Oh, here we go. Cambridge University Press found that there's a study that watching less TV could cut your depression risk by up to 43%. Does that make sense to you? Sort of. Yeah, you can see how watching less TV would... Oh, no you don't. No, it's backwards.
What do you do when you're depressed? You watch more TV. Do you know why? Well, part of being depressed is you didn't have an awesome thing to be doing instead. Would you be depressed if, let's say, I don't know, the president invited you to the Oval Office? No. You'd be all excited. You'd be excited. Watching TV is sort of the default. I got nothing going on in my life. I might as well turn on the TV. See if there's a game.
So it might also be true that watching TV makes you a little more depressed, but I guarantee you that being depressed is going to make you reach for that clicker faster than not being depressed.
I can't remember how much or if I talked about this before, but I'm sure I did. So this is from a story back in April in the New York Post. I saw the New York Post talking about it today. And it was Bill Maher who was talking about way back in April when his friend and I guess Hollywood partner, Larry David, not partner but you know another person who works in the entertainment industry. So Larry David was not happy when Bill Maher went to dinner with Trump. And so Larry David wrote a humorous piece, an op-ed about "My Dinner with Adolf." So he did a funny piece essentially mocking Bill Maher for imagining that there was a good reason to ever have dinner with Hitler, meaning that he was calling Trump Hitler.
What did Bill Maher say about this now that he's had several months to marinate on this situation? He said that Larry David was being dumb and unhelpful. Dumb and unhelpful. And then Bill Maher went on to do what he's been doing lately, which is explain that you should always talk to people. And what Trump does, and the example with Marjorie Taylor Greene is a perfect example, what Trump does is that he's willing to talk to everybody. And Bill Maher is now a complete convert, maybe he always was, to you can talk to anybody you want and we're better off if we talk than if we don't talk.
Now, you can imagine I'm 100% in agreement with Bill Maher. However, there was a specific quote that apparently Bill Maher used when he talked to Piers Morgan at about the same time as the dinner with Trump. Listen to this quote: "But I think the minute you play the Hitler card, you've lost the argument."
Now, he was talking about the op-ed by Larry David. "I think the minute you play the Hitler card, you've lost the argument." What does that sound like? How many of you remember my debate, but it wasn't really a debate, with Sam Harris around 2016 that became super viral and probably just about every one of you heard it, right? Did you hear me say that at the beginning of the debate because I think it was like 60 seconds into my talking to Sam Harris, probably a minute? Yeah, of course I'm remembering it, so I may be remembering it wrong. He brought up Hitler, compared Trump to Hitler, and I said, "Ah, we're done here." I said some version of basically, you know, that's the end of the debate. Whoever brings up Hitler, you just lost.
And then years go by, because that was probably back in 2016 or so. Now remember I keep telling you that what defines, not defines but a difference between Republicans and Democrats is that Democrats try to tell you what to think. You know this is moral, this is immoral, this is right, this is wrong. And Republicans try to tell you how to think. Which one is Bill Maher doing in this example where he says the minute you play the Hitler card, you've lost the argument? That's telling you how to think. That's not telling you what to think.
So you can see the transition, right? And when he looks at Larry David, Larry David's just Hitler, no Hitler. Hitler, no Hitler. Doesn't that just seem stupid? I mean, that's basically what Bill Maher was saying. It just looks stupid.
So this is also what Bill Maher said on the same topic and he said and also I must say, you know, come on man, Hitler, Nazis, nobody has been harder on and more prescient I must say about Donald Trump than me. Bill Maher says I don't need to be lectured on who Donald Trump is. Just the fact that I met him in person didn't change that. And the fact that I reported honestly is not a sin either.
So what is it when he says met him in person and reported honestly on it? That's process. Again, he's totally right on process. So watching Bill Maher try to navigate this situation and try to get a foot in both worlds is really fascinating and I give him a lot of credit because it's a pretty rocky road. You know, having been down that road in a more extreme version myself and finding out what happens when you say anything positive about the way Trump does business, I know how tough that is. And he's going through it. He's taken on some water. I guarantee it. This is not easy.
So in the past, you've seen me sometimes say some good things about Bill and sometimes be critical. Today, I'm going to be completely supportive. Not of his opinions. He's allowed to have different opinions, but of his apparent focus and how he's essentially training his audience the way I'm trying to train mine into how to approach a problem and not so much what the answer is. The answer is up to you. But how to approach it? Well, you want to do that, right? Right.
Along those lines, and I've often said this is sort of a related topic, that having Elon Musk on what I would call the common sense side of things, I wouldn't call him Republican or anything like that, but he's squarely on the common sense side of things. And I was thinking today how many things Elon Musk has changed and how in the process of that he's also teaching us how to think and how to act. He's kind of teaching us how to be engineers. Not the actual skill of engineering but how an engineer would approach a problem. Have any of you noticed that?
That if you simply watch how Elon Musk approaches any problem, and I would argue that maybe the All-In Pod guys, they do the same thing. If you simply observe them over time, you learn how to approach problems. And you would say to yourself, "Oh, that's like that time, I know, Chamath did this or that, or it's like the time that Elon did this or that." And then you can take that model and build it, you know, put it into your own world. Tremendously valuable.
But on top of that, I saw that RFK Jr. was saying at some event that he believes that Elon Musk rescued free speech by buying what was Twitter. Would you agree with that statement that he rescued free speech by buying Twitter? I think so. I think that's completely fair. That would put him, if you buy that as a true statement, and I do, that would put Elon in the founding father category like with, you know, the time of course is different, but that would put him squarely right in the middle of saving the republic. And I think he gets complete credit for that.
But back to my overarching theme, he didn't just say free speech is good. Hey everybody, why don't you practice some free speech? Nope. He showed you how to get it. He showed you how to get there. Sometimes you got to buy the company. Now, he could do it. You couldn't, but he showed it. He showed you how to rescue free speech. And in this case, he did it through a I guess I'd call it a free market approach. And so you can learn that if you use the free market appropriately, you can get to where you want to get, which is free speech, in a way that teaches people how to think.
Hey, the only way you're going to have real free speech is if there's a free market platform that lets you say what you need to say without getting cancelled. And then he proved it by building that platform, you know, modifying a platform. Then and that's just the beginning. He was talking today about his chip design that Tesla will be the biggest chip designer in the world in a fairly short period of time. He's also taught you how to start companies at some kind of record speed that we've never seen before.
And now he's decided that Tesla has to be the big, hey, let's get rid of a counterbalance. Counterbalance, you're going to disappear from I think you're on the YouTube platform. But that's the second time I've seen that comment. So you're going to disappear now. Maybe today, but we're going to get you.
Then so this is just you know a little one small part of what Musk and Tesla are doing but he'll probably teach you that America can build chips. So you're going to learn a whole bunch about manufacturing and chip design and all that just because he's doing it and he's transparent about how he's doing it.
Then there's the, I saw a clip I think he was on Joe Rogan talking about the economics of homelessness. And a lot of people don't understand that homelessness isn't so much just about giving people homes. They wouldn't want to live in those homes if you gave them to them because they're mentally insane or they're on drugs or whatever else. And he also pointed out, I didn't know this, that the economics of homelessness in California is that there's this whole industry of people get paid to take care of the homeless, as long as they don't solve their problem. If they solved their problem and these people were no longer homeless, which is sort of undoable, then they wouldn't get their collectively a million dollars a year to keep the people alive but homeless.
So if you followed the money, you would completely understand why there's so much homelessness. And that would be a way to think about it, wouldn't it? It's not the answer. It's a way to think about it. So if you change from, hey, if only we give these people homes, you know, then they would be on their way. They could do the rest. That way of thinking is a complete failure because it doesn't recognize that the whole industry is propped up by people trying to steal your taxpayer money and give you nothing in return.
Once Elon explains that we're trapped in this little system where the people who are running it are making a lot of money as long as they don't solve the problem, then everything makes sense, doesn't it? Now, that doesn't mean that we immediately have a solution, but at least you'd be solving the right problem, right? That's a big difference when you see the problem clearly as Elon explains it to us.
Then I saw Elon talking about how the only interesting simulations, because you know he believes that we're part of a simulation as do I, that reality is a simulation. He points out that only the interesting simulations would survive. And then he gives the reason because if we had a boring simulation we'd stop doing it because it wouldn't be doing anything for us. Just boring us. So the interesting ones are the only ones that can survive and therefore it's logical to assume that they're the only ones that do.
And I've got a version of this. So this is part of his explanation of why the world seems so interesting, I think, or why you could predict something based on how interesting it is. I have a version of that, but it's different, which is I believe that reality follows the three-act movie form. Now, that's something I've been saying since 2015, I think. And here's why I think it follows a three-act movie form. It's because we've all been trained in the three-act form. If we had not been trained in it, I don't know that it would happen.
But you take a bunch of human beings and you put them in a situation. Let's say Trump is nearly jailed and impeached. That would be a classic movie third act where, okay, there's no way he can get away from that. And then if I said, but what would it look like if it were a movie? And we would all have the same answer, which is, well, he would somehow not go to jail. Somehow the impeachment wouldn't take hold and somehow he would win re-election because that would be the most satisfying movie. Sure enough. Sure enough, that's what happened.
Now, I think that we live in a simulation and our expectations collapse reality. And so if enough of us are simply expecting things to go a certain way that it actually collapses reality in that direction. Now I wouldn't bet my life on it that my interpretation is correct but just so you know.
So also I've noted that you know how we all understand NGOs now. We didn't know what an NGO was a couple years ago and that's because of Elon Musk and it's because of DOGE and DOGE even exists only because of Musk, the concept of DOGE which has taken root in the government.
So if you look at all the things that just Elon has done, there's the one I've mentioned and of course Mike Benz is a champion of the NGO explainer class, but I don't know if you'd even know about it without Elon Musk. But let's see. I think that Elon Musk is the most important person in the climate crisis conversation because he can basically describe a world where you use solar power to get everything you want. They might be solar panels in space, but he already told you how to do it. We have all the technology we need to put solar panels in space and have all the energy we want. And he can show you how.
He's got the Neuralink, the interplanetary travel. He's figured out how to get around our energy shortage. He talks about how the robots will be free doctors. So he's solving health care. He's giving America dominance in the most important industries, right? You want to live in the country that is dominant in the most important industries. Well, he gives us that. We're dominant in the most important industries. Half of that is him.
You got the Starlink and then but I think that all of these have one thing in common that can't be underestimated. If you look at the collective work that Musk does and how he's good at explaining to us why he's doing it, why it's good for the world, how he does it, he's teaching us how to think.
Now, how many of you have felt that like you actually feel that oh, he's not just teaching us about his company, although he's doing that too. He's teaching us how to think about these situations and then apply some kind of an engineering framework to it, which usually ends up to be the right one.
Jumping to a new topic, we might pop back to that. I think it was Hakeem Jeffries who said that Obamacare will be unaffordable to a great number of people by the end of the year. How did it ever... where does all the money go? Have you ever wondered that? Like it seems to me that the health care situation must necessarily be a gigantic fraud environment because if you told me that health care costs would go up 10% because of this or that I would say some version of well I guess the price of everything goes up, inflation's bad, you know I wish it didn't go up 10%. But when you start talking about doubling, all right, we're talking about like doubling and stuff for some people. Isn't that always fraud? That's just too much. Like your instinct says I'm pretty sure that the entire problem is fraud.
Now, I'm going to give you a little update. Yesterday I had to get a catheter removed because I was infected and blah blah blah blah. So I ended up in the emergency room. Most of yesterday I probably came in contact with 20 people and maybe one of them did something that I needed. An unbelievable amount of, I don't know if all you did was look at the number of people who asked me my name and my birthday once you get into the emergency room. Unbelievably inefficient. And I'm not mocking my specific health care provider. This just looks like what we've evolved into, an insanely over something like I can't believe that if you started from scratch, you would build anything like that.
Now, fortunately, I spend a great amount of money every month so that when it's Friday night, I can talk to a doctor. How do you think that went? Do you think I can find a doctor to talk to on a Friday night? No. And if you find that doctor to talk to within my health care system, what will that doctor tell me to do? And it almost doesn't matter what the problem is. They'll tell you to go to the emergency room because there's nothing the doctor can do for you.
So I have this weird health care situation where for reasons I don't understand, I only get really bad problems on weekends. Do you have that too? You only get really sick or hurt on weekends. And then there's nobody whose job it is to take care of you. You have to go to the emergency room. So it's an hour to the emergency room. It's three hours waiting to see somebody. Then maybe I think they lost us twice. Lost us twice. So I probably spent an extra I don't know half an hour at the start and an extra hour at the end because they literally didn't know what room we were in.
So I did get everything taken care of. So instead of being in screaming pain every day, which I had been for a month, I've got a new catheter in and it doesn't hurt. It's much better. So anyway, if you spent any time in our health care system, you would say to yourself this is not a problem of reducing costs by 10%. This entire thing has to be rethought and I would like an AI doctor who just followed me around and did the stuff that my health care provider wouldn't do.
And then, by the way, there's always a variety of things which you know need to be done, but whoever you're talking to isn't allowed to do it. It's like, yeah, I know you need that, but I can't do that. You're going to have to talk to a doctor. Then you talk to a doctor and the doctor says, "Yeah, you probably do need that, but I can't do that. You have to talk to a specialist." Right. That's health care in America 2025.
Anyway, I will tell you that Kaiser's doing it. They're trying very hard to make sure I don't die because that would be bad for business. That would be very bad for business.
Apparently, according to Newsmax, Meta, the company Meta, several years ago, they did a study in 2020 to find out if using their product, using Facebook and Instagram, if that caused any harm to people. And guess what they found? Yes. Yes, it does. Apparently, using their products causes a lot of harm. And that if you deactivated Facebook and Instagram, you would be mentally healthier.
What do you think they did when they found out that their product was injuring the country? Did they say, "Oh no. We're going to have to discontinue this product." No, they discontinued the study. You already knew where that was going. They discontinued the study. So apparently they've been busted for that. Newsmax has that story.
Are you watching? Are you following the story about Attorney General Letitia James and so now she's the one who lawfared Trump, but now she's being lawfared in essentially exactly the same way. So people would argue whether it's the same way, but it's the same way. How much are you enjoying that? I'm having a little problem that I'm enjoying it too much because I've never seen anybody deserve what they're getting as much as she deserves what she's getting because it's so precise.
The fact that it's, if it were some just random bad thing happening to her, I don't think I'd be feeling the same. It's the fact that she's being charged with the same crime that typically nobody would be charged with, but she went after Trump with it. Man, if you go after my guy, if you go after my guy and it doesn't work out for you, he's going to come for you. That's one of the reasons he's my guy. You know what I mean? Yeah. He's going to come for you. And he's coming.
And if you also feel like this is too heavy-handed, you know, for the president to be coming after Letitia James, a mere attorney general, just think about this. I'm going to give you something to think about that will make you happy that her life is not going well at the moment. It goes like this. For how many months did Melania and Barron have to wonder if they'd be visiting their husband slash father in prison for the rest of his life? Imagine waking up with that in your head. Like if you're just watching on the news, you don't quite appreciate how awful this must have been.
Now, the Trumps are unusually good at being stoic and kind of acting like, you know, I'll get through this. You know, this is my problem. Don't worry about it. I got this. So they're really good at that. And they're really good at in this case the fact that we didn't hear any of them complaining about the fact they had to live in a world, they had to live in a reality where the key person in their family might be in jail any time now. That must have been awful. Like just imagining it every time you woke up it's like a year from now am I going to have to get up and put on my makeup and drive to a prison? Is that actually going to happen to me? And it almost did. It almost did.
And now that fate has been returned to Letitia James who probably has to wake up every day and wonder what things look like a year from now if she gets convicted. Now probably there's no jail, but the conviction is going to be plenty bad if she gets it.
Well, according to the Center Square, Andrew Rice is writing that California loses one taxpayer per minute and Florida gains a taxpayer every two minutes. Does that sound true? Do you believe that California is losing a taxpayer every minute while Florida is gaining two? Well, let me tell you something also from my perspective as the guy who used to make the PowerPoint slides. As I said earlier, this is not the sort of thing anybody can really measure. I would not believe the accuracy of these numbers at all. Now, could it be true? Yeah, it could be. It could totally be true. Do you think that any of us could really measure that in a way that you'd feel comfortable you'd measured it correctly? Nah. No. This is a classic I'm going to make a story. Nobody's gonna ask too many questions. Sounds right. And since it sounds right, people will assume it is right. But I'm here to tell you that's not the sort of thing that anybody can actually accurately measure.
Apparently the Texas Governor Abbott, according to Center Square, also he wants to issue some directives to make I think he's trying to make Sharia law illegal in Texas. What do you think? Do you think Sharia law, the Islamic version of a justice system, do you think that that should be made illegal or is it good enough that we live in a system where that's not your system? Well, I like the instinct to make it illegal because you don't want to play with, you know, you've got two systems. You know, they're about equally good. Why don't we use this one sometimes and this one another time? No. No. You gotta nip that in the bud. You got to get that early. You cannot allow that to progress to, oh, we got two systems. Well, why do we always have to use the one? How many people do we have in the state that would like that other system? Well, look at that. Look at all those people who would be happy to use that other system. We'll just use it a little bit. We won't use the whole thing. We'll just take a bite out of it. No. How about no. Hard no. No. No. No. None. You can't start mixing those systems. It doesn't mix. You got to commit.
So I think Texas has the right instinct there.
I saw an article that didn't seem like it would be relevant to the United States, but now I'm thinking maybe it is. So apparently Poland, which is doing well sort of in general, it's one of those countries that has not been, let's say, too impacted by immigration because they've been tough on migrants. But even they are running out of money. So apparently they're trying to give a hundred million dollars to Ukraine to Zelensky, but at the same time they don't have enough money for some I don't know hundred billion dollar Polish hospital somebody's complaining. And their budget is under duress as well.
And I'm thinking to myself, is every large everything fraud? Because I'm starting to think it is. You know, when you look at the $37 trillion deficit, I think it's 38 now. How in the world do you get to 38 trillion unless you're stealing as fast as you can? Does that look like somebody just ran the numbers wrong? It's like, oh, here's the budget. All right, great. How close are we to balancing? Wait, what? Off by three. We're off by three trillion in one year. We're off by three trillion. Can you even tell me how you could spend $3 trillion above the baseline? Now, I'm exaggerating a little bit, but not a lot. We are talking about trillions. Trillions of dollars that somehow we accidentally overspend. I don't believe it. I just believe that everything big that's got that $100 million or more, maybe $10 million or more, I think it's all fraud. And I think it's all fraud for the same reason across all the domains.
Do you know what the reason is? You can get away with it. We somehow have a political and financial system where whoever gets to allocate the funds and whoever gets to be the mayor and whoever gets to be in charge of whatever, they can apparently really easily hide a trillion dollars and just keep it or launder it or something. But it's very much looking to me like 100% of our system is corrupt and all for the same reason because we don't have any transparency and the people in charge over time you get people in charge who are willing to steal it because it's stealable and they just notice and so they do.
On the same point, Remix is writing that almost every German city is now on the verge of bankruptcy. Almost every German city. Do you think that Germans don't know how to do a spreadsheet? How in the world could all the Germans miss the budget? All the Germans. Have you heard of Germany? Have you heard of Germans? You know by pure chance a few Germans would hit the budget. Do you think that Germans want to have a balanced budget? Yeah. Yeah, they do. I'll bet the Germans want to have a balanced budget more than just about anybody except maybe Japan, you know, and I'm talking culturally. Do you think Germans want to be overspending their budget? I don't think so. And yet every single one almost everyone did in fact do it. How do you explain that except corruption and fraud? I don't have a way to do it. I think it's literally just corruption and fraud. That's what I think.
Anyway, there's some whispers. The Daily Express US is writing about this that the US is preparing or getting closer to every moment some kind of a military operation in Venezuela. I don't know if it'll be a quote all-out invasion or maybe a head fake, we don't know. But we're definitely moving, continuing to move resources there. What do you think we should do? Do you think that we're simply putting pressure on the powers that be? And it's just one of a variety of ways we're negotiating by essentially suggesting that if they don't give us what we want, there'll be a military invasion. We don't really have to say it. We just have to prepare for it. And then you don't have to say it.
But do you notice that there's something missing in this whole Venezuela story? What is the dog not barking? What's the thing that's missing? The thing you would always have, but at the moment it's missing. I would say the thing that's missing is who are we negotiating with and what are we asking for? Do any of you know? Because I'm a little worried. It appears my country is getting ready to attack a sovereign country and I don't even know who they're talking to. I don't know what they've asked for. What would it take for them not to do it? Is there a specific ask? Because it doesn't look like it to me.
How do you get this far? And if I were to stop you on the street and say, "Are you American?" Yes. Are you familiar with the Venezuela situation? Yes. Who are we talking to? Because I don't think it's Maduro. I don't think we're talking to the head guy. Who are we talking to? And what are we asking for? And what are they saying about giving it to us? You know, part of the reason I wonder is I wonder if they've already offered to give us what we've asked for. Do you ever wonder about that? Because didn't we hear early on, I didn't believe it. So maybe it's the believing it part that's missing. But doesn't it seem like we made some threats and then Venezuela said some version of okay let's talk. Didn't that happen? I don't believe there's been a phase where they said let's talk and then we talked and then we asked for some stuff and then they said oh no we can never give you that. Did that ever happen?
So I feel like we're on some kind of weird autopilot where we know what it looks like when the fake news starts moving the country toward war. Doesn't it feel like we're just, we residents of the country, we're just part of the machine and we're just moving along. Oh, I guess we're moving toward war. Does anybody know why? No, you don't know why. I mean, I could tell the story of why. I mean, I could say we don't want these drugs coming in, but what would happen if Venezuela said, "All right, you got it. We will totally shut down the drug trade, but just don't attack us." What would we do? Would we say, "All right, you got to prove it, but that's a deal." Or would we keep pushing? I don't know. Do you? I kind of want to know.
Then apparently according to Fox News and other news President Trump says the residents of Chicago are chanting bring in Trump. Do you think that's happening? Do you think that anywhere in Chicago there's a group of residents who are chanting we want Trump. We want Trump. I think it's hilarious that it doesn't matter if they're doing that. The fact that Trump says they are makes you want to argue about it. Well, show me that video, right? You really believe that they're chanting that? No, they might be chanting something negative against Trump. Show me that video. I think you're making this up. And of course, it's just a throwaway line that they're chanting. Now, that's just funny, isn't it? If you're looking at Trump in the proper frame of mind, this is just funny that he would put it in those terms when he knows how that would upset some people. All right, good job there.
Let's see how many people were injured in Chicago. There was some downtown riot that left eight people shot and one dead. Jeez. Now you might say to yourself, Scott, there is nothing funny about that. There's nothing funny about people getting shot. Let's agree to that. At least that's what I thought until I got to the end of the story, which says the riot, which followed a Christmas tree lighting ceremony. Come on. I'm trying to act like a good citizen and not laugh at violence, but if Chicago had a riot over a Christmas tree lighting, I have some advice about traveling to Chicago. Don't do it. Don't do it. Stay away. Yep. Don't get near that Christmas tree lighting. That sounds dangerous.
Meanwhile, Trump called the mayor of Chicago, Brandon, a low IQ leader. He says, "I got a bunch of low IQ leaders." And but he also insults Governor Pritzker for being overweight. So he's going hard at Chicago.
Anyway, let me ask you this. Why is it that the Democrats are not making more hay? Is that a thing? Or why are they not making a bigger deal the fact that Trump has now labeled a number of black leaders low IQ. Has he labeled any white leaders low IQ? Because if he hasn't, I would recommend you throw a few on the list. You got to get at least one or two white leaders that are low IQ. You must have that in Portland. Portland, maybe. There's got to be something. But I wonder if he's feeling so free at this point in terms of what he can get away with and what he can say that he doesn't care about making it DEI friendly and that if he thinks somebody's stupid, he's just going to say it and it has nothing to do with anything except that's what he was thinking. He was just thinking, "Ah, you're stupid. I'll say it." I don't know. I think you'd be a little bit safer. Throw some crackers on that list if you know what I mean.
All right. Here's the reframe that you need and you'll find that this fits with what I said earlier today and you'll be amazed how it all fits together. So as you know, there's a 20 point Trump administration peace plan for Ukraine, but nobody was born yesterday. And so we don't think that we're just going to spray this plan out there and Zelensky is going to say, "Oh, that's a great idea. Why didn't we do this before?" And that Putin is going to say, "Well, thanks for the good work. This is perfect. We sign up." Nobody thinks people are just going to sign up for it. It's a starting point.
And as I posted earlier today that let me tell you what Marco Rubio said and then I'm going to put it in my words because I think he could have gone to one extra step that would have been really useful and maybe he will. So Marco said ending a complex and deadly war such as the one in Ukraine requires an extensive exchange of serious and realistic ideas. You know, 28 points, that would be extensive. And achieving a durable peace will require both sides to agree to difficult but necessary concessions. Of course, that is why we are and will continue to develop a list, listen to this, we are and will continue to develop a list of potential ideas for ending this war based on input from both sides of the conflict. Oh, that is perfect.
Once again, Marco Rubio is telling us how to think, not what to think. Now, there is a list of 28 things that we want or we think would be good. But when he describes it as a list of literally potential ideas from both sides, that's really moving forward.
Now, I'm going to put this in my own words and then when I put it in my words, see how it hits you. Okay? I'm going to say the same thing just my words. I'm going to say that packetizing, taking things and putting them in little packages which are the 28 points. Each of the 28 points is like a little packet that once you've packetized it, what can you do with it? Well, packetizing all the ideas into units that can be traded, compared, and easily communicated is the most important thing that needs to be done at this phase. We're not talking about any final agreements. We're talking about some way to take this complicated situation and turn it into little packets where you can say, "All right, there's a Donbass packet. There's a Crimea packet." You can still play with the packets, but you have to agree that there are packets. And you could call it something else, just 28 points or whatever. But until you do that, you cannot really negotiate because there's nothing to give away and there's nothing to get. You need to put them in discrete, easy to communicate packets.
And when I see Marco using his own words, speaking in those terms, pretty much what I said, but just his own way to say it, that gives me a lot of confidence. I got to admit, that gives me a lot of confidence because if I just heard we want 28 things or there are five things we have to have, I wouldn't necessarily think we've made any progress. But as soon as you tell me that the goal is to get 28 packets and we can still argue about what the packets are, excellent. That to me looks like adults trying to figure out a really complicated problem. I don't know where this approach came from or if it's really closer to a normal approach than I'm giving it credit for. Is this closer to normal than I think it is? It doesn't look normal. It looks like a whole better way of doing it. I don't know. We'll see.
Ladies and gentlemen, what you really want is a reframe to wrap things up. Would you like a reframe from my book? My book is called Reframe Your... I'm sorry, I accidentally picked up the 2026 Dilbert calendar, which you can only get on Amazon, and it's available now. It's the best thing that ever happened to you in your whole life. And there are comics on both sides. I didn't mean to pick that up. That was an accident. We'll put that over there.
But my book, Reframe Your Brain, I'm going to give you an absolutely free reframe. Wow. I sure hope I put that where I wanted it. Damn it. I seem to have put my bookmark in the middle of the book randomly. That didn't help me. All right, here's where I need to be. We'll go into the social life reframes. I know you need that.
How many of you think that marriage is about finding a soulmate? I feel like, you know, TVs and movies and our sense of romantic entitlement kind of ruins our potential for happiness because we're sort of imagining that we can have that kind of situation that they have in the movies. But if you think that marriage is about finding your soulmate, you're going to have a little problem because at some point you're going to say, "How do I know that's my soulmate? And why does my coworker act like my soulmate all the time? What's going on here?"
So the old frame or the usual frame is that marriage is about finding your soulmate. Here's a reframe. Marriage is about finding love with someone who values promises. Yeah, that's one you have to think about. But I'll give you another one. How about if you break up with somebody or maybe there's a tragic death in your life and you think to yourself, I've lost my soulmate. Oh no, I've lost my soulmate. Well, maybe you lost your soulmate. But here's another way to look at it. You have a million soulmates and you haven't met them all.
I mean, do you really think there's seven billion people and you've got exactly one soulmate? Really? Really? Do you really believe that there's just one? Just one soulmate? No. There are probably a million different people that you could come to see as your soulmate and probably a million different people that you could come to trust with your life. If you can find somebody you could trust with your life and they do what they promised to do over the entire course of your relationship and you're willing to turn them into your soulmate even if they weren't naturally that way just by being honest and let's say moral and ethical that would be an excellent situation.
So I would worry a lot less about the magic of finding your soulmate, and I would worry a lot more about how to turn any good person into somebody that you see as your soulmate just by the fact that you treat each other really well and that's your agreement. So I've always thought that relationships that are based on decision are more powerful than relationships that are based on let's say some internal feeling, right? If your relationship is based on a feeling, it could change. It could change.
All right, people. That's what I got for you today. I'm going to talk to the locals people, my beloved locals people. I hope there's something you got out of today that was useful. You could probably notice me trying to change the direction of the country. I think I'm doing a good job so far. How many of you see my influence in other public figures? I'll ask you a more specific question. How many of you think you've seen that other public figures are thinking the way I'm thinking or using the tools that I use and you think to yourself, where'd they get that? Did that come from Scott or somebody that got it from him that got it from someone else? I don't know.
I'm looking at your comments now. Yeah. So a lot of you can see it. So it's not imaginary. I remember back in 2016 and I would suggest that maybe people were listening to me and people would say, "Scott, put your ego away." And I don't think I put my ego away. But the point is, as I've said often, including today, the person with the best idea is always in charge. So if I can teach you how to think about a topic better than you were thinking about it, and maybe you share that with somebody else and they share it with somebody else, then the way to think about a topic becomes the dominant force. It's not even the personality. It's not the person whose job it is to be in charge. It's just the fact that there's something about the way somebody framed it that's so compelling that you could predict where it's going from that point on. And that's what I shoot for. Sometimes I hit it and sometimes I don't.
All right, locals coming at you. Coming at you. All right, we'll be on locals in 30 seconds.
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Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
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The dopamine hit of the day thing makes everything better.
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in it.
Sorry, I accidentally picked up the incredible 2026 Dilbert calendar like it's some kind of commercial or something instead of the coffee cup.
What I meant is the coffee cup.
Here it comes.
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Go.
Well, that won't happen to you because you can only buy this the calendar at Amazon.
But you knew that.
You knew it.
You knew it.
All right.
Well, let's jump into the news.
It'll be so good.
Uh, did you know, so this is so Trump Trump's going to his helicopter, I think he was, and one of the reporters asked him, uh, if he would reconcile with Representative Marjgery Taylor Green, you know, the same way he did with Elon Musk.
What do you think?
He said, "Well," he said, "Uh, sure, why not?
I get along with everybody.
Is that the perfect answer?
I get along with everybody." Because you want to argue with them, right?
You're like, you don't get along with everybody.
What about What about Oh, okay.
Well, I guess you do kind of get along with them, but what about what about So, first of all, it makes your hair catch on fire if you don't think it's factually true, but it's close enough to be factually true that, you know, I I I will allow it.
But I love the fact that he has created this persona for himself where he can absolutely maul somebody in public verbally and then five minutes later he can say, "Yeah, why don't you go on over?
We'll have dinner.
we'll be best friends and that everybody goes, "Oh, okay.
I get it.
It's part of the show.
It's just part of the show." Once you realize it's part of the show, you can just lean back and enjoy it the way it was meant to be.
So, yes.
Do we want Trump to dislike Marjgery Taylor Green?
No.
We want her to be a productive part of society, a patriot.
Uh, would you not want her on your team?
Think about it.
Now, I get that she disagrees with you on some policy stuff, right?
Or maybe she doesn't, but you wouldn't want her on your team.
Think about it.
If you were picking teams for anything, you wouldn't want her on your team.
Yeah, of course you would.
So would he.
So, he plays it just right in the way that Trump can.
Um, so hurricane season is winding down and Axios is reminding us that there have been uh how many named hurricanes have made made uh landfall in the US in the mainland.
Anyway, how many hurricanes this year do you know the number?
The answer is zero.
Now, there usually aren't that many.
You know, like a normal normal year might be two, but we're talking about two major storms that would, you know, cost billions of dollars.
This year, none.
Do you think that all the news is talking about is how climate crisis has been avoided and maybe it was never real in the first place?
No, that's not going to happen right away.
But we're heading in that direction.
Uh, I will tell you again how to run the entire country.
You ready?
If you wanted to take charge of the whole country and you didn't have a elected position, you're not a billionaire.
You just want to figure out some clever way where you, and I mean you, like specifically you, could take over the whole country.
There is a way to do that.
And uh this hurricane situation reminded me of it.
I've talked about this before.
In the corporate world, the way we think of things is that there's a a line of executives and somebody reports to somebody reports to somebody.
So if you see one of those executives giving a uh Power.
Point slideshow to maybe that executive's boss, you think to yourself, well that executive giving giving the presentation is in charge of that domain and uh is giving a presentation to someone who's in charge of him, you know, because he's got to get approval or something.
So it looks to you like the normal corporate structure is working the way you think.
However, having worked in the corporate world and having put together quite a number of slides for other executives or just executives, uh, here's something I learned that everyone who's been in that same position probably learned the same way.
Whoever comes up with the best slide or you could replace slide with idea or framework or reframe or way to look at something or relevant data.
This this will all be the same for my purpose.
That person's actually in charge.
Let let me plump this out a little bit and you'll see what I'm talking about.
If I wanted to run the world and wasn't already, I'll just let that sit there for a while.
If I weren't already, the way I'd do it is I would try to figure out what the top 10 climate variables are that people would agree, all right, if that's changing, there must be a problem with climate and and humans behind it.
and I would get the top 10 and then I would create an ongoing uh what do you call it a dashboard a dashboard sort that's sort of a corporate talk a dashboard would be usually one page uh on a screen that very quickly tells you some set of information that makes sense together.
So, I would say, "All right, let's figure out the 10 things you should look at for climate change." And hurricanes would be one of them.
But you'd also have the temperatures.
You'd have the the water level at certain places.
So, I don't even know if they're 10.
Maybe they're five, but I think they're at least 10.
So, you'd have So, you would be the one who pulls together this dashboard and then you just put it on X.
What would happen if you did a good job?
What would happen?
People would pass it around and they would say, "Whoa, I'm smarter now because I know that these 10 things are important.
I know the order in which they're important because you would also rank them from which one's the most predictive, right?
Maybe which one is the most, you know, dangerous, but most predictive as well." And then if you did a good job, people would want to uh bookmark it and they would ask you to update it when there was new information and it would take on a life of its own almost immediately.
Do you know why you could totally disrupt this mature science area without actually having any science background?
Do you know why that would be so easy?
Because no one else is trying.
There's no one even trying.
Do you know of anybody who put together the uh a really easy to read everybody agrees, yeah, these these 10 things are the things we should be watching?
No.
And part of the reason that nobody's doing it is that the people who have access to it, the information that would make that dashboard are probably not getting the the results that they wanted to get.
So if they were a little bit more, let's say, capable at describing what's actually happening in the world, their capability would destroy their own their own industry because they would end up proving that uh maybe you didn't have to worry so much about this stuff.
But since I'm not a climate scientist, I would not be bound by that.
I could just tell you what you need to know as best I could do it.
So I'd just start publishing it.
Then what happened when it started working?
What what happens when people start recognizing all right uh we need an update on this climate story.
Uh no matter what no matter what the story is, wouldn't it make sense to have the climate dashboard referenced as just part of the story?
Could be a story about uh the coral reefs, but also let me show you the dashboard.
could be a story about the hurricanes, but you know, proper context.
Let me show you, you know, the console.
So once you did this for climate, you don't think people would ask for it for crime.
You don't think people would ask for it for other big topics?
They would.
And if you were the one who could do it best and had some reputation for, you know, being a straight shooter, pretty soon you would be the one who decides what information is relevant to this domain and what isn't.
You might be right, you might be wrong, but it's not objective.
There would be a lot of subjectivity in deciding what's even on the list.
And then there'd be a lot of subjectivity in deciding how to measure it properly, etc.
And that would be enough subjectivity, I say, that it would put you essentially in control of the entire domain.
Nobody would necessarily know it.
They would just think that you were a useful person who had something to say about the data, but you would actually be running the whole show because you would determine what data anybody saw.
And if you became credible, they'd kind of have to reference your data every single time they did anything important in that domain.
So that's how you do it, people.
You become the the Power.
Point slide expert.
And if you become known as the only person who can describe this complicated thing in a very transportable, viral way, you're going to run the whole show.
There you go.
Uh, I wonder if there's any backward science.
Oh, here we go.
Cambridge University Press found that uh, there's a study that watching less TV could cut your depression risk by up to 43%.
Does that make sense to you?
Sort of.
Yeah, you you can see how watching less TV would Oh, no you don't.
No, it's backwards.
What do you do when you're depressed?
You watch more TV.
Do you know why?
Well, part of being depressed is you didn't have an awesome thing to be doing instead.
Would you be depressed if, let's say, uh, I don't know, the president invited you to the Oval Office?
No.
You'd be all excited.
You'd be excited.
Watching TV is sort of the default.
Uh, I got nothing going on in my life.
I might as well turn on the TV.
See if there's a game.
No.
So, it might also be true that watching TV makes you a little more depressed, but I guarantee you that being depressed is going to make you reach for that clicker faster than not being depressed.
All right.
Um, I can't remember how much or if I talked about this before, but I'm sure I did.
So, this is a from a story back in April and the New York Post.
Uh, I saw I saw the New York Post talking about it today.
Um, and it was Bill Maher who was talking about way back in April when uh his friend and uh I guess Hollywood uh Hollywood partner uh Larry David, not partner but you know another person who works in the entertainment industry.
So Larry David was not happy when Bill Maher went to dinner with Trump.
And so Larry David wrote a humorous piece, an op-ed about uh my dinner with Adolf.
So he did a funny piece mocking essentially mocking Bill Maher for imagining that there was a you know good reason to ever have dinner with Hitler meaning that he was you know calling Trump Hitler.
What did Bill Maher say about this now that he's had several months to marinate on this situation?
He said that uh Larry David was being dumb and unhelpful.
Dumb and unhelpful.
And uh then Bill Maher went on um to do what he's been doing lately, which is uh explained that you should always talk to people.
And what Trump does, and I the example with Marjgery Taylor Green is a perfect example.
What uh Trump does is that he's willing to talk to everybody.
And Bill Maher is now a complete uh complete convert.
Maybe he always was.
uh to you can talk to anybody you want and we're better off if we talk than if we don't talk.
Now, you can imagine I'm 100% in agreement with Bill Maher.
However, there was a specific quote that apparently Bill Maher used when he talked to Piers Morgan at about the same time as the, you know, he was talking about the 20 the uh dinner with Trump.
Listen to this quote.
quote, "But I think the minute you play the Hitler card, you've lost the argument." Now, he was talking about um the op-ed by Larry David.
I think the minute you play the Hitler card, you've lost the argument.
What does that sound like?
How many of you remember my debate, but it wasn't really a debate with Sam Harris at around 2016 that became super viral and probably just about every one of you heard it, right?
Did you hear me say that at the beginning of the debate because I think it was like 60 seconds into my uh talking to Sam Harris, probably a minute.
Yeah, of course I'm remembering it, so I may be remembering it wrong.
Um, he brought up Hitler, compared Trump to Hitler, and and I said, "Ah, we're done here." I said some version of basically, you know, that's the end of the debate.
Whoever brings up Hitler, you just lost.
And then years go by, because that was probably back in 2016 or so.
Now remember I keep telling you that what defines not defines but a difference between Republicans and Democrats is that Democrats try to tell you what to think.
You know this is moral, this is immoral, this is right, this is wrong and Republicans try to tell you how to think.
Which one is Bill Maher doing in this example where he says the minute you play the Hitler card, you've lost the argument.
That's telling you how to think.
That's not telling you what to think.
So, you can see the transition, right?
And when he looks at Larry David, Larry David's just Hitler, no Hitler.
Hitler, no Hitler.
Doesn't that just seem stupid?
I mean, that's basically what what Bill Maher was saying.
It just looks stupid.
Um, yeah.
So um uh so this is also what uh Bill Maher said on the same topic and he said and also I must say you know come on man Hiller Nazis nobody nobody has been harder about and on and more preient I must say about Donald Trump than me.
Bill Maher says I don't need to be lectured on who Donald Trump is.
Just the fact that I met him in person didn't change that.
And the fact that I reported honestly is not a sin either.
So what is it when he says met him in person and reported honestly on it?
That's process.
Again, he's totally right on process.
So watching Bill Maher try to navigate this situation and try to get a foot in both worlds is really fascinating and I give him a lot of credit because um it's a pretty rocky road.
You know, having been down that road in a more extreme version myself and finding out what happens when you say anything positive about the way Trump does business.
Uh, I know how tough that is.
And he's going through he's taken on some water.
I guarantee it.
This is not easy.
So, I'm gonna uh in the past, you've seen me sometimes say some good things about Bill and sometimes be critical.
Today, I'm going to be completely supportive.
Not of his opinions.
He he's allowed to have different opinions, but of his uh apparent focus and how he's essentially training his audience the way I'm trying to train mine into how to approach a problem and not so much what the answer is.
The answer is up to you.
But how to approach it?
Well, you want to do that, right?
Right.
All right.
Well, along those lines, and I've often said, this is sort of a related topic, that having Elon Musk on what I would call the common sense uh side of things.
I wouldn't call him, you know, Republican or anything like that, but he's squarely on the common sense side of things.
And I was thinking today how many things Elon Musk has changed and how in the process of that he's also teaching us how to think and how to act.
He's kind of teaching us how to be engineers.
Not the actual skill of engineering but how an engineer would approach a problem.
Have any of you noticed that?
that if you simply watch how Elon Musk approaches any problem, and I would argue that maybe the all-in pod guys, they do the same thing.
If you simply observe them over time, you learn how to approach problems.
And you would say to yourself, "Oh, that's that's like that time, I know, Chimoth did this or that, or it's like the time that Elon did this or that." And then you can take that model and and build it, you know, put it into your own world.
Tremendously valuable.
But on top of that, um I saw that uh RFK Jr.
was saying at some event that he believes that Elon Musk rescued free speech by buying uh what was Twitter?
Would you agree with that statement that he rescued free speech by buying Twitter?
I I think so.
I think that's completely fair.
That would put him, if you buy that as a true statement, and I do, that would put Elon in the founding father's category like with without, you know, the the time of course is different, but that would put him squarely right in the middle of saving the republic.
And I and I think he gets complete credit for that.
But back to my overarching theme, he didn't just say free speech is good.
Hey everybody, why don't you practice some free speech?
Nope.
He showed you how to get it.
He showed you how to get there.
Sometimes you got to buy the company.
Now, he could do it.
You couldn't, but he showed it.
He He showed you how to rescue free speech.
And in this case, he did it through a I guess I'd call it a free market approach.
And so you can learn that if you if you use the free market appropriately, you can get to where you want to get, which is free of speech, in a way that teaches people how to think.
Hey, the only way you're going to have real free speech is if there's a free market platform that lets you say what you need to say without getting cancelled.
And then he proved it by building that platform you know modifying a platform then and that's just the beginning just he was talking today about his chip design that Tesla will be the biggest chip designer in the world in a fairly short period of time.
He's also taught you how to start companies at some kind of record speed that we've never seen before.
Uh, and now he's decided that Tesla has to be the big uh, hey, let's get rid of a counterbalance.
Counterbalance, you're going to disappear from uh, I think you're on the You.
Tube platform.
But that's that's the second time I've seen that comment.
So, you're going to disappear now.
Um, maybe today, but we're going to get you.
Um then so so this is just you know a little one small part of what Musk and Tesla are doing but he'll probably teach you that America can build um chips.
So so you're going to learn a whole bunch about manufacturing and chip design and all that just because he's doing it and he's transparent about how he's doing it.
Then there's the uh I saw him a clip I think he was on Joe Rogan talking about the economics of homelessness.
And a lot of people don't understand that homelessness isn't so much just about giving people homes.
They wouldn't want to live in those homes if you gave them to them because they're mentally insane or they're on drugs or whatever else.
Um, and he also pointed out, I didn't know this, that the economics of homelessness in California is that there's this whole industry of people get paid to take care of the homeless, as long as they don't solve their problem.
If they solved their problem and these people were no longer homeless, which is sort of undoable, uh then they wouldn't get their collectively a million dollars a year to keep the people alive but homeless.
So if you followed the money, you would completely understand why there's so much homelessness.
And that would be a way to think about it, wouldn't it?
It's not the answer.
It's a way to think about it.
So if you change from, hey, if only we give these people homes, you know, then they would be on their way.
They could do the rest.
That way of thinking is a complete failure because it doesn't recognize that uh the whole industry is propped up by people trying to steal your taxpayer money and give you nothing in return.
Once Elon explains that we're trapped in this little system where the people who are running it are making a lot of money as long as they don't solve the problem, then everything makes sense, doesn't it?
Now, that doesn't mean that we immediately have a solution, but at least you'd be solving the right problem, right?
That that's a big difference uh when you see the problem clearly as Elon, you know, explains it to us.
Um then I saw Elon talking about how the only only the interesting simulations because you know he believes that we're part of a simulation as do I that reality is a simulation.
Um he points out that only the interesting simulations would survive.
Uh and and then he gives the reason because if we had a boring simulation uh we'd stop doing it because it wouldn't be doing anything for us.
just boring us.
So, the interesting ones are the only ones that can survive and therefore it's logical to assume that they're the only ones that do.
And I've got a version of this.
So, this this is part of his explanation of why the world seems so interesting, I think, or why you could predict something based on how interesting it is.
I do a I have a version of that, but it's different, which is I believe that reality follows the three the threeact movie form.
Now, that's something I've been saying since 2015, I think.
Uh, and here's why I think it follows a threeact movie form.
It's because we've all been trained in the three-act form.
If we had not been trained in it, I don't know that it would happen.
But you take a bunch of human beings and you put them in a situation.
Let's say Trump is nearly jailed and impeached.
That would be a classic movie third act where, okay, there's no way he can get away from that.
And then if I said, but what would it look like if it were a movie?
And we would all have the same answer, which is, well, he would somehow not go to jail.
somehow the impeachment wouldn't take hold and somehow he would win re-election because that would be the most satisfying movie.
Sure enough.
Sure enough, that's what happened.
Now, I think that we live in a simulation and our expectations collapse reality.
And so, if enough of us are simply expecting things to go a certain way that it actually collapses reality in that direction.
Now I I wouldn't bet my life on it that my interpretation is correct but just so you know.
So um also I've noted that uh you know how we all understand NOS's now we didn't know what an NGO was a couple years ago and that's because of Elon Musk and it's because of Doge and Doge even exists only because of Musk.
uh the the concept of Doge which has taken root in the government.
Um, so if you look at all the things that just Elon has done, there's the one I've mentioned and of course Mike Benz is, you know, a champion of the NGO explainer class, but uh I don't know if you'd even know about it without Elon Musk, but uh let's see.
He's I I think that Elon Musk is the most important person in the climate crisis conversation because he he can basically describe a world where you use solar power to get everything you want.
They might be solar panels in space, but he already told you how to do it.
We have all the technology we need to put solar panels in space and have all the energy we want.
And he can show you how.
Uh he's got the neurolink, the interplanetary travel.
He's figured out how to uh get around our energy shortage.
He he talks about how the robots will be free doctors.
So, he's solving health care.
Uh he's giving America dominance in the most important industries, right?
You want to live in the country that is dominant in the most important industries.
Well, he gives us that.
We're dominant in the most important industries.
Half of that is him.
uh you got the Starlink and then the but I think that all of these have one thing in common that can't be underestimated.
If if you if you look at the collective work that Mus does and how he's good at explaining to us what why he's doing it, why it's good for the world, how he does it.
He's teaching us how to think.
Now, how many of you have felt that like you actually feel that oh, he's not just teaching us about his company, although he's doing that, too.
He's teaching us how to think about these situations and then apply some kind of an engineering framework to it, which usually ends up to be the right one.
All right.
Um, jumping to a new topic, we might pop back to that.
Uh, I think it was, uh, Hakee Jeff who said that Obamacare will be unaffordable to a great number of people by the end of the year.
How did it ever where does all the money go?
Have you ever wondered that?
Like it seems to me that the health care situation must necessarily be a gigantic fraud environment because if you told me that um health care costs would go up 10% because of this or that I would say some version of well I guess the price of everything goes up inflation's bad you know I wish it didn't go up 10%.
But when you start talking about doubling, all right, we're talking about like doubling and stuff for some people.
Isn't that always fraud?
That's just too much.
Like your inst your instinct says I'm pretty sure that the entire problem is fraud.
Now, I'm going to give you a little update.
Yesterday, I had to I had to uh get a uh catheter removed because I was infected and blah blah blah blah.
So, I ended up in the emergency room.
Most of yesterday I probably came in contact with 20 people and maybe one of them did something that I needed an unbelievable um amount of I don't know if all you did was look at the number of people who asked me my name and my birthday once you get into the emergency room.
unbelievably uh inefficient.
And and I'm not mocking my specific healthcare provider.
This just looks like what we've we we've sort of evolved into an insanely insanely over um over something like I I can't believe that if you started from scratch, you would build anything like that.
Now, fortunately, I spend a great amount of money every month so that when it's Friday night, I can talk to a doctor.
How do you think that went?
Do Do you think I can find a doctor to talk to on a Friday night?
No.
And if you find that doctor to talk to uh within my health care system, what will that doctor tell me to do?
And it almost doesn't matter what the problem is.
They'll tell you to go to the emergency room because there's nothing the doctor can do for you.
So, I have this weird health care situation where for reasons I don't understand, I only get really bad problems on weekends.
Do you have that, too?
You you only get really sick or hurt on weekends.
And then there's nobody whose job it is to take care of you.
You have to go to the emergency room.
So, it's an hour to the emergency room.
It's three hours waiting to see somebody.
Uh then maybe uh I think they lost us twice.
Lost us twice.
So I probably spent an extra I don't know half an hour at the start and an extra hour at the end because they literally didn't know what room we were in.
So uh I did get everything taken care of.
So instead of being in screaming pain every day, which I had been for a month, um I've got a new catheter in and doesn't hurt.
It's much better.
So anyway, if you spent any time in our health care system, you would say to yourself uh this is not a problem of reducing costs by 10%.
This entire thing has to be rethought and uh I would like an AI doctor who just followed me around and did the stuff that my healthcare provider wouldn't do.
And then, by the way, there there's always an there's always a variety of things which you know need to be done, but the whoever you're talking to isn't allowed to do it.
It's like, yeah, I know you need that, but I can't do that.
You're going to have to talk to a doctor.
Then you talk to a doctor and the doctor says, "Yeah, you probably do need that, but I can't do that.
You have to talk to a specialist." Right.
That that's healthcare in America 2025.
Anyway, um I will tell you that uh Kaiser's doing it.
They're trying very hard to make sure I don't die because that would be bad for business.
That would be very bad for business.
Uh what is that about?
I don't know.
Um, apparently, uh, according to Newsmax, Meta, the company Meta, uh, several years ago, they did a study in 2020 to find out if, uh, using the using their product, using Facebook and Instagram, if that, uh, cause any harm to people.
And guess what they found?
Yes.
Yes, it does.
Apparently, using their products causes a lot of harm.
um and that uh if you deactivated Facebook and Instagram, you would be mentally healthier.
What do you think they did when they found out that their product was injuring the country?
Did they say, "Oh, no.
We're going to have to discontinue this product." No, they discontinued the study.
You already knew where that was going.
They discontinued the study.
So Meta called off further work on that.
So So apparently they've been busted for that.
Uh Newsmax has that story.
Are you watching?
Are you following the uh the story about uh Attorney General Leticia James and uh so now she's she's the one who lawfared Trump, but now she's being lawfared in essentially exactly the same way.
Um, so people would argue whether it's the same way, but it's the same way.
Uh, how much are you enjoying that?
I I'm having a little problem that I'm enjoying it too much because I've never seen anybody deserve what they're getting as much as she deserves what she's getting because it's so precise.
Um, the fact that it's you, if it were some just random bad thing happening to her, I don't think I'd be feeling the same.
It's the fact that she's being she's being charged with the same crime that typically nobody would be charged with, but she went after Trump with it.
Man, if you go after my guy, if you go after my guy and it doesn't work out for you, he's going to come for you.
That's one of the reasons he's my guy.
You know what I mean?
Yeah.
He's going to come for you.
And he's coming.
Uh and and if you if you also feel like this is too heavy-handed, you know, for the president to be coming after Leticia James, a mere attorney general, just think about this.
I'm going to give you something to think about that will make you happy that her life is not going well at the moment.
It goes like this.
For how many months did Melania and Baron have to wonder if they'd be visiting uh their husband slashf father in prison for the rest of his life.
Imagine waking up with that in your head.
Like if you're just watching on the news, you don't quite appreciate uh how awful this must have been.
Now, the Trumps are unusually good at being stoic and and kind of acting like, you know, I'll get through this.
You know, this is my problem.
Don't worry about it.
I got this.
So, they're really good at that.
And they're really good at in this case the the fact that we didn't hear uh any of them complaining about the fact they had to live in a world they had to live in a reality where they're the key person in their family might be in jail any time now.
That that must have been awful.
Like just imagining it every time you woke up it's like gh a year from now am I going to have to get up and put on my makeup and drive to a prison?
Is that actually going to happen to me?
And it almost did.
It almost did.
And now uh now that fate has been returned to Leticia James who probably has to wake up every day and wonder what things look like a year from now if she gets convicted.
Now probably there's no jail, but the conviction is going to be plenty bad if she gets it.
Well, according to the center square, Andrew Rice is writing that California loses one taxpayer per minute and Florida gains a taxpayer every two minutes.
Does that sound true?
Do do you believe that California is losing a taxpayer every minute while Florida is gaining two?
Well, let me tell you something also from my perspective as the guy who used to make the Power.
Point slides.
As I said earlier, this is not the sort of thing anybody can really measure, I I would not believe the accuracy of these numbers at all.
Now, could it be true?
Yeah, it could be.
It could totally be true.
Do you think that any of us could really measure that in a way that you'd feel comfortable you'd measured it correctly?
Nah.
No.
Th this is a classic uh I'm going to make a story.
Nobody's gonna ask too many questions.
Sounds right.
And since it sounds right, people will assume it is right.
But I'm here to tell you that's not the sort of thing that anybody can actually accurately measure.
Um, apparently the Texas Governor Abbott, according to Center Square, also um he wants to issue some directives to make uh I think he's trying to make uh what do you call that?
Sharia law illegal in in Texas.
What do you think?
Do you think Sharia law, the Islamic version of a justice system, do you think that that should be made illegal or is it good enough that we live in a system where that's not your system?
Well, I like the instinct to make it illegal because you don't want to play with, you know, you've got two systems.
Uh, you know, they're about equally good.
Why don't we use this this one sometimes and this one another time?
No.
No.
You you gotta you gotta nip that in the bud.
You got to get that early.
You you cannot allow that to progress to, oh, we got two systems.
Well, why do we always have to use the one?
How many people do we have in the state that would like that other system?
Well, look at that.
Look at all those people who would be happy to use that other system.
We'll just use it a little bit.
We won't use the whole thing.
We'll just take a bite out of it.
No.
How about no hard?
No.
No.
No.
No.
None.
You You You can't start mixing those systems.
It doesn't mix.
You You You got to commit.
Um so I think Texas has the right instinct there.
Um I saw an article that didn't seem like it would be relevant to the United States, but now I'm thinking maybe it is.
So apparently Poland, which is doing well sort of in general, it's one of those countries that um has not been, let's say, too impacted by immigration because they've been tough on migrants.
But even they are running out of money.
So apparently they're trying to give a hund00 million dollars to Ukraine to Zilinski, but at the same time they don't have enough money for some I don't know hundred billion dollar Polish hospital somebody's complaining.
Um and their budget is is under uh it's under duress as well.
And I'm thinking to myself, is every large everything fraud?
because I'm starting to think it is.
You know, when you look at the $ 37 trillion deficit, I think it's 38 now.
How in the world do you get to 38 trillion unless you're stealing as as fast as you can?
Does that look like somebody just ran the numbers wrong?
It's like, oh, uh, here's the budget.
All right, great.
Uh, how close are we to balancing?
Wait, what?
off by three.
We're off by three trillion in one year.
We're off by three trillion.
Can you even tell me how you could spend $3 trillion above the baseline?
Now, I'm exaggerating a little bit, but not a lot.
We are talking about trillions.
Trillions of dollars that somehow we accidentally overspend.
I don't believe it.
I just believe that everything big that's got that $100 million or more, maybe $10 million or more, I think it's all fraud.
And I think it's all fraud for the same reason across all the domains.
Do you know what the reason is?
You can get away with it.
We we somehow have a political and financial system where whoever gets to, you know, allocate the funds and whoever gets to be the mayor and, you know, whoever gets to be in charge of whatever, they can apparently really easily hide a trillion dollars and just keep it or launder it or something.
But it's very much looking to me like 100% of our system is corrupt and all for the same reason because we don't have any transparency and the people in charge over time you get people in charge who are willing to steal it because it's stealable and they just notice and so they do.
Um, on the same point, Remix is writing that almost every German city is now on the verge of bankruptcy.
Almost every German city.
Do you think that Germans don't know how to do a spreadsheet?
Do you How in the world could all the Germans miss the budget?
All the Germans.
Have you heard of Germany?
Have you heard of Germans?
You know, by pure chance, a few Germans would would hit the budget.
You do you think that Germans want to have a balanced budget?
Yeah.
Yeah, they do.
I'll bet the Germans want to have a balanced budget more than just about anybody except maybe Japan, you know, and I'm talking culturally.
Do you think Germans want to be overspending their budget?
I don't think so.
And yet every single every single one almost everyone did in fact do it.
How do you explain that except corruption and fraud?
I don't have a way to do it.
I I I think it's literally just corruption and fraud.
That's what I think.
Anyway, there's uh some whispers.
The Daily Express US is writing about this that the US is preparing or getting closer to every moment some kind of a military operation in Venezuela.
I don't know if it'll be a quote allout invasion or maybe a head fake, we don't know.
But uh we're definitely moving continuing to move resources there.
What do you think we should do?
Um, do you think that we're simply putting pressure on the powers that be?
And, uh, it's just one of a variety of ways we're negotiating by essentially suggesting that if they don't give us what we want, uh, there'll be a military invasion.
We don't really have to say it.
We just have to prepare for it.
And then you don't have to say it.
But do you do you notice that there's something missing in this whole Venezuela story?
What what is the dog not barking?
What's the thing that's missing?
The thing you would always have, but at the moment it's missing.
I would say the thing that's missing is who are we negotiating with and what are we asking for?
Do any of you know my because I'm a little worried.
It appears my country is is getting ready to attack a sovereign country and I don't even know who they're talking to.
I don't know what they've asked for.
What would it take for them not to do it?
Is there a specific ask?
Cuz it doesn't look like it to me.
How do you get this far?
And if I were to stop you on the street and say, "Are you American?" Yes.
Uh are you familiar with the the Venezuela situation?
Yes.
Who are we talking to?
Cuz I don't think it's Madura.
I don't think we're talking to the head guy.
Who are we talking to?
And what are we asking for?
And and what are they saying about giving it to us?
You know, part of the reason I wonder is I wonder if they've already offered to give us what we've asked for.
Do you ever wonder about that?
Because didn't we hear early on, I didn't believe it.
So maybe it's the believing it part that's missing.
But doesn't it seem like we made some threats and then Venezuela some said some version of okay let's talk.
Didn't that happen?
I don't believe there's been a phase where they said let's talk and then we talked and then we asked for some stuff and then they said oh no we can never give you that.
Did that ever happen?
So, I I feel like we're on some kind of weird autopilot where we know what it looks like when when the uh the fake news starts moving the country toward war.
Doesn't it feel like we're just you, we residents of the country, we're just part of the machine and and we're just moving along.
Oh, I guess we're moving toward war.
Does anybody know why?
No, you don't know why.
I mean, I could I could tell the story of why.
I mean, I could say we don't want these drugs coming in, but but what would happen if Venezuela said, "All right, you got it.
We will totally shut down the drug trade, but just don't attack us." What would we do?
Would we say, "All right, you got to prove it, but that's a deal." Or would we keep pushing?
I don't know.
Do you?
I kind of want to know.
Then then apparently according to Fox News and and other news um President Trump says the the residents of Chicago are chanting bring in Trump.
Do you think that's happening?
Do you think that anywhere in Chicago there's a group of residents who are chanting we want Trump.
We want Trump.
I think it's hilarious that it doesn't matter if they're doing that.
The the fact that Trump says they are makes you want to argue about it.
Well, show me that video, right?
You really believe that they're chanting that?
No, they might be chanting something negative against Trump.
Show me that video.
I think you're making this up.
And of course, it's just a throwaway line that, you know, that they're chanting.
Now, that's just funny, isn't it?
I if you're looking at Trump in the proper frame of mind, this is just funny that he would put it in those terms when he knows how how that would upset some people.
All right, good job there.
Let's see how many people were injured in Chicago.
Uh there was there was some downtown riot that left eight people shot and one dead.
Jeez.
Um, now you you might say to yourself you might say to yourself, Scott, there is nothing funny about that.
There's nothing funny about people getting shot.
Let's agree to that.
Uh, at least that's what I thought until I got the end of the story, which says the riot, which followed a Christmas tree lighting ceremony.
Come on.
I I'm trying to act like a good citizen and not laugh at violence, but but if Chicago had a riot over a Christmas tree lighting, uh I have some advice about traveling to Chicago.
Don't do it.
Don't do it.
Stay away.
Yep.
Don't get near that Christmas tree lighting.
That sounds dangerous.
Meanwhile, Trump uh called the mayor of Chicago, Brandon, a low IQ leader.
He says, "I got a bunch of low IQ leaders." And uh but he also insults uh Governor Pritsker for being overweight.
So, he's going hard at Chicago.
Anyway, um let me ask you this.
Why is it that the Democrats are not making more hay?
Is that a thing?
Uh or why are they not making a bigger deal?
Uh the fact that Trump has now labeled a number of black leaders low IQ.
Has he labeled any white leaders low IQ?
Because if he hasn't, I would recommend you throw a few on the list.
You got to get at least, you know, at least one or two white leaders that are low IQ.
You must have that in Portland.
Portland, maybe.
There's got to be something.
But uh I I wonder if he's feeling so free at this point in terms of what he can get away with and what he can say that he doesn't care about making it, you know, DEI friendly and that if he thinks somebody's stupid, he's just going to say it and it has nothing to do with anything except that's what he was thinking.
He was just thinking, "Ah, you're stupid.
I'll say it." I don't know.
I think you'd be a little bit safer.
throw some crackers on that list if you know what I mean.
All right.
Uh here's the reframe that you need and you'll find that this fits with what I said earlier today and you'll be amazed how it it all fits together.
So, as you know, there's a 20 point Trump administration peace plan for Ukraine, but um nobody was born yesterday.
And so we don't think that we're just going to spray this plan out there and Zinski is going to say, "Oh, that's a great idea.
Why didn't we do this before?" And that Putin is going to say, "Well, thanks for the good work.
This is perfect.
We sign up." Nobody thinks people are just going to sign up for it.
It's a starting point.
And as I posted earlier today that uh let let me tell you what Marco Rubio said and then I'm going to put it in my words because I think he could have gone uh to one extra step that would have been really useful and maybe he will.
Uh so Marco said Marco Rubio uh said ending a complex and deadly war such as the one in Ukraine requires an extensive exchange of serious and realistic ideas.
you know, 28 points, that would be extensive.
And achieving a durable peace will require both sides to agree to difficult but necessary concessions.
Of course, uh that is why we are and will continue to develop a list, listen to this, we are and will continue to develop a list of potential ideas for ending this war based on input from both sides of the conflict.
Oh, that is perfect.
Once again, Marco Rubio is telling us how to think, not what to think.
Now, there is a list of 28 things that, you know, we want or we think would be good.
But when he describes it as a list of uh literally potential ideas from both sides, that's really moving forward.
Now, I'm going to put this in my own words and then when I put it in my words, see how it hits you.
Okay?
I'm going to say the same thing just my words.
I'm going to say that packetizing packetizing taking things and putting them in little packages which are the 28 points.
Each of the 28 points is like a little packet that once you've packetized it, what can you do with it?
Well, packetizing all the ideas into units that can be traded, compared, and easily communicated is the most important thing that needs to be done at this phase.
We're not talking about a any final agreements.
We're talking about some way to take this complicated situation and turn it into little packets where you can say, "All right, there's a there's a Donbass packet.
there's a Crimea packet.
You can still you can still play with the packets, but but you have to agree that there are packets.
Uh and you could call it something else, just 28 points or whatever.
But until you do that, you cannot really negotiate because there's nothing to give away and there's nothing to get.
You need to put them in discrete, easy to communicate packets.
And when I see Marco using his own words, speaking in those terms, pretty much what I said, but just, you know, his own way to say it, that gives me a lot of confidence.
I got to admit, that gives me a lot of confidence because if I just heard we want 28 things or uh uh there are five things we have to have, I wouldn't necessarily think we' made any progress.
But as soon as you tell me that the goal is to get 28 packets and we can still argue about what the packets are, excellent.
That to me looks like adults trying to figure figure out a really complicated problem.
I don't know where this approach came from or if it's really closer to a normal approach than I'm giving it credit for.
Is this closer to normal than I think it is?
It doesn't look normal.
Uh, it looks like a whole better way of doing it.
I don't know.
We'll see.
Ladies and gentlemen, what you really want is a reframe to wrap things up.
Would you like a reframe from my book?
Uh, my book is called Reframe Your I'm sorry, I accidentally picked up the 2026 Dilbert calendar, which you can only get on Amazon, and it's available now.
It's the best thing that ever happened to you in your whole life.
And there are comics on both sides.
I didn't mean to pick that up.
That That was an accident.
We'll put that over there.
But my book, Reframe Your Brain, I'm going to give you an absolutely free reframe.
Wow.
Um I sure hope I put that where I wanted it.
Damn it.
I seem to have put my my bookmark in the middle of the book randomly.
That didn't help me.
All right, here's where I need to be.
Uh, we'll go into the uh social life reframes.
I need I know you need that.
All right.
Um, how many of you think that marriage is about finding a soulmate?
I I feel like, you know, TVs and movies and our sense of romantic entitlement uh kind of ruins our potential for happiness because we're we're sort of imagining that we can have that that kind of situation that they have in the movies.
But uh if you think that marriage is about finding your soulmate, you're going to have a little problem because at some point you're going to say, "How do I know that's my soulmate?
And why does my coworker act like my soulmate all the time?
What's going on here?" So the old frame or the usual frame is that marriage is about finding your soulmate.
Here's a reframe.
Uh marriage is about finding love with someone who values promises.
promises.
Yeah, that that's one you have to think about.
But I'll give you another one.
Uh how about uh how about if you you break up with somebody or maybe there's a tragic death in your in your life and uh you think to yourself, I've lost my soulmate.
Oh no, I've lost my soulmate.
Well, maybe you lost your soulmate.
But here's another way to look at it.
You have a million soul mates and you haven't you haven't met them all?
I mean, do you really think do you really think there's seven billion people and you've got exactly one soulmate?
Really?
Really?
Do you really believe that there just one?
Just one soulmate?
No.
There are probably a million different people that you could come to see as your soulmate and probably a million different people that you could come to trust with your life.
If you can find somebody you could trust with your life and they do what they promised to do over the entire course of your relationship and you're willing to turn them into your soulmate even if they weren't naturally that way just by being honest and uh let's say moral and ethical that would be an excellent situation.
So, I would worry a lot less about the magic of finding your soulmate, and I would worry a lot more about how to turn any good person into somebody that you see as your soulmate um just by the fact that you treat each other really well and that's your agreement.
So, I've always thought that relationships that are based on uh decision are more powerful than relationships that are based on um let's say some internal feeling, right?
If your relationship is based on a feeling, it could change.
It could change.
All right, people.
That's what I got for you today.
Um, I'm going to talk to the uh locals people, my beloved locals people.
Uh, I hope there's something you got out of today that was useful.
Um, you you could probably notice me trying to change the uh the direction of the country.
I think I've I think I'm doing a good job so far.
Uh, how many of you see my influence in other public figures?
I'll ask you a more specific question.
How many of you think you've seen that other public figures are thinking the way I'm thinking or using the tools that I use and you think to yourself, where'd they get that?
Did that come from Scott or somebody that somebody who got it from him?
that got it from someone else.
I don't know.
I'm looking at your comments now.
Yeah.
So, a lot of a lot of you can see it.
So, it's not imaginary.
I remember back in 2016 and I would suggest that maybe people were listening to me and people would say, "Uh, Scott, put your ego away." And I don't think I put my ego away.
But the point is, um, as I've said often, including today, the person with the best idea is always in charge.
So if I can teach you how to think about a topic better than you were thinking about it, and maybe you share that with somebody else and they share it with somebody else, then the way to think about a topic becomes the dominant force.
It's not even the personality.
It's not the person whose job it is to be in charge.
It's just the fact that there's something about the way somebody framed it that's so compelling that you could predict where it's going from that point on.
And that's what I shoot for.
Um, sometimes I hit it and sometimes I don't.
All right, locals coming at you.
Coming at you.
All right, we'll be on locals in 30 seconds.
Good morning everybody.
Come on in here. I want you to flow in
here like you're a you're attacking a
foreign country that really has it
coming. [gasps] And while you're doing
that, I will get ready to give you the
highest quality podcast you're going to
see today. Because not everybody's
working on a Sunday, but darn it, some
of you are, and I definitely
[clears throat] am. You ready for this?
Who's ready?
Good morning everybody and welcome to
the highlight of human civilization.
It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and
you've never had a better time. But if
you'd like to take a chance, yeah, you
want to take a chance on elevating your
experience to levels that nobody can
even understand with their tiny shiny
human brains. Well, for that all you
need is
a cuper mug or a glass of tanker challen
jug or flask a vessel of any kind. Fill
it with your favorite liquid. I like
coffee. And join me now for the
unparalleled pleasure. The dopamine hit
of the day thing makes everything
better. It's called the simultaneous
sip. in it.
Sorry, I accidentally picked up the
incredible 2026 Dilbert calendar like
it's some kind of commercial or
something instead of the coffee cup.
What I meant is the coffee cup. Here it
comes. The simultaneous sip. Go.
[sighs]
Well, that won't happen to you because
you can only buy this the calendar at
Amazon. But you knew that. You knew it.
You knew it.
All right. Well, let's jump into the
news. It'll be so good. Uh, did you
know,
so this is so Trump Trump's going to his
helicopter, I think he was, and one of
the reporters asked him, uh, if he would
reconcile with Representative Marjgery
Taylor Green, you know, the same way he
did with Elon Musk. What do you think?
He said,
"Well," he said, "Uh, sure, why not? I
get along with everybody.
[laughter]
Is that the perfect answer? I get along
with everybody." Because you want to
argue with them, right? You're like, you
don't get along with everybody. What
about What about Oh, okay. Well, I guess
you do kind of get along with them, but
what about what about So, first of all,
it makes your hair catch on fire if you
don't think it's factually true, but
it's close enough to be factually true
that, you know, I I I will allow it. But
I love the fact that he has created this
persona for himself where he can
absolutely maul somebody in public
verbally and then five minutes later he
can say, "Yeah, why don't you go on
over? We'll have dinner. we'll be best
friends and that everybody goes, "Oh,
okay. I get it. It's part of the show.
It's just part of the show." Once you
realize it's part of the show, you can
just lean back and enjoy it the way it
was meant to be. So, yes.
[clears throat] Do we want Trump to
dislike Marjgery Taylor Green? No. We
want her to be a productive
part of society, a patriot. Uh, would
you not want her on your team?
Think about it. Now, I get that she
disagrees with you on some policy stuff,
right? Or maybe she doesn't, but you
wouldn't want her on your team. Think
about it. If you were picking teams for
anything, you wouldn't want her on your
team. Yeah, of course you would. So
would he. So, he plays it just right in
the way that Trump can. Um, so hurricane
season is winding down and Axios is
reminding us that there have been uh how
many named hurricanes have made made uh
landfall in the US in the mainland.
Anyway, how many hurricanes this year do
you know the number? The answer is zero.
Now, there usually aren't that many. You
know, like a normal normal year might be
two, but we're talking about two major
storms that would, you know, cost
billions of dollars. This year, none. Do
you think that all the news is talking
about is how climate crisis has been
avoided and maybe it was never real in
the first place? No, that's not going to
happen right away. But we're heading in
that direction.
Uh, I will tell you again
how to run the entire country. You
ready? If you wanted to take charge of
the whole country and you didn't have a
elected position, you're not a
billionaire. You just want to figure out
some clever way where you, and I mean
you, like specifically you, could take
over the whole country. There is a way
to do that.
And uh this hurricane situation reminded
me of it. I've talked about this before.
In the corporate world, the way we think
of things is that there's a a line of
executives and somebody reports to
somebody reports to somebody. So if you
see one of those executives giving a uh
PowerPoint slideshow to maybe that
executive's boss, you think to yourself,
well that executive giving giving the
presentation is in charge of that domain
and uh is giving a presentation to
someone who's in charge of him, you
know, because he's got to get approval
or something. So it looks to you like
the normal corporate structure is
working the way you think. However,
having worked in the corporate world and
having put together quite a number of
slides for other executives or just
executives,
uh, here's something I learned that
everyone who's been in that same
position probably learned the same way.
Whoever comes up with the best slide or
you could replace slide with idea or
framework or reframe or way to look at
something or relevant data. This this
will all be the same for my purpose.
That person's actually in charge.
Let let me
plump this out a little bit and you'll
see what I'm talking about. If I wanted
to run the world and wasn't already,
I'll just let that sit there for a
while. If I weren't already, the way I'd
do it is I would try to figure out what
the top 10 climate variables are that
people would agree, all right, if that's
changing, there must be a problem with
climate and and humans behind it. and I
would get the top 10 and then I would
create an ongoing
uh what do you call it a dashboard a
dashboard sort that's sort of a
corporate talk a dashboard would be
usually one page
uh on a screen that very quickly tells
you some set of information that makes
sense together. So, I would say, "All
right, let's figure out the 10 things
you should look at for climate change."
And hurricanes would be one of them. But
you'd also have the temperatures. You'd
have the the water level at certain
places. So, I don't even know if they're
10. Maybe they're five, but I think
they're at least 10. So, you'd have So,
you would be the one who pulls together
this dashboard and then you just put it
on X. What would happen if you did a
good job? What would happen? People
would pass it around and they would say,
"Whoa, I'm smarter now because I know
that these 10 things are important. I
know the order in which they're
important because you would also rank
them from which one's the most
predictive,
right? Maybe which one is the most, you
know, dangerous, but most predictive as
well." And then if you did a good job,
people would want to uh bookmark it and
they would ask you to update it when
there was new information and it would
take on a life of its own almost
immediately. Do you know why you could
totally disrupt this mature science area
without actually having any science
background? Do you know why that would
be so easy? Because no one else is
trying. There's no one even trying. Do
you know of anybody who put together the
uh a really easy to read everybody
agrees, yeah, these these 10 things are
the things we should be watching? No.
And part of the reason that nobody's
doing it is that the people who have
access to it, the information that would
make that dashboard are probably not
getting the the results that they wanted
to get. So if they were a little bit
more, let's say, capable
at describing what's actually happening
in the world, their capability would
destroy their own their own industry
because they would end up proving that
uh maybe you didn't have to worry so
much about this stuff. But since I'm not
a climate scientist,
I would not be bound by that. I could
just tell you what you need to know as
best I could do it. So I'd just start
publishing it. Then what happened when
it started working? What what happens
when people start recognizing all right
uh we need an update on this climate
story. Uh no matter what no matter what
the story is, wouldn't it make sense to
have the climate dashboard referenced as
just part of the story? Could be a story
about uh the coral reefs, but also let
me show you the dashboard. could be a
story about the hurricanes, but you
know, proper context. Let me show you,
you know, the console. So once you did
this for climate, you don't think people
would ask for it for crime.
You don't think people would ask for it
for other big topics? They would. And if
you were the one who could do it best
and had some reputation for, you know,
being a straight shooter, pretty soon
you would be the one who decides what
information is relevant to this domain
and what isn't. You might be right, you
might be wrong, but it's not objective.
There would be a lot of subjectivity in
deciding what's even on the list. And
then there'd be a lot of subjectivity in
deciding how to measure it properly,
etc.
And that would be enough subjectivity,
I say, that it would put you essentially
in control of the entire domain. Nobody
would necessarily know it. They would
just think that you were a useful person
who had something to say about the data,
but you would actually be running the
whole show because you would determine
what data anybody saw. And if you became
credible, they'd kind of have to
reference your data every single time
they did anything important in that
domain. So that's how you do it, people.
You become the the PowerPoint slide
expert. And if you become known as the
only person who can describe this
complicated thing in a very
transportable,
viral way, you're going to run the whole
show.
There you go.
Uh, I wonder if there's any backward
science. Oh, here we go. Cambridge
University Press found that uh, there's
a study that watching less TV could cut
your depression risk by up to 43%.
Does that make sense to you? Sort of.
Yeah, you you can see how watching less
TV would Oh, no you don't. [laughter]
No, it's backwards. What do you do when
you're depressed? You watch more TV. Do
you know why? Well, part of being
depressed is you didn't have an awesome
thing to be doing instead. Would you be
depressed if, let's say, uh, I don't
know, the president invited you to the
Oval Office? No. You'd be all excited.
You'd be excited. Watching TV is sort of
the default. Uh, I got nothing going on
in my life. I might as well turn on the
TV. See if there's a game. No.
So, it might also be true that watching
TV makes you a little more depressed,
but I guarantee you that being depressed
is going to make you reach for that
clicker faster than not being depressed.
All right.
Um, I can't remember how much or if I
talked about this before, but I'm sure I
did. So, this is a from a story back in
April and the New York Post. Uh, I saw I
saw the New York Post talking about it
today. Um, and it was Bill Maher who was
talking about way back in April when uh
his friend and uh I guess Hollywood uh
Hollywood partner uh Larry David, not
partner but you know another person who
works in the entertainment industry.
So Larry David was not happy when Bill
Maher went to dinner with Trump.
And so Larry David wrote a humorous
piece, an op-ed about uh my dinner with
Adolf.
So he did a funny piece
mocking essentially mocking Bill Maher
for imagining that there was a you know
good reason to ever have dinner with
Hitler meaning that he was you know
calling Trump Hitler. What did Bill
Maher say about this now that he's had
several months to marinate on this
situation? He said that uh Larry David
was being dumb and unhelpful.
Dumb and unhelpful.
And uh then Bill Maher went on
um to do what he's been doing lately,
which is uh explained that you should
always talk to people. And what Trump
does, and I the example with Marjgery
Taylor Green is a perfect example. What
uh Trump does is that he's willing to
talk to everybody. And Bill Maher is now
a complete uh complete convert. Maybe he
always was. uh to you can talk to
anybody you want and we're better off if
we talk than if we don't talk. Now, you
can imagine I'm 100% in agreement with
Bill Maher. However, there was a
specific quote that apparently Bill
Maher used when he talked to Piers
Morgan at about the same time as the,
you know, he was talking about the 20
the uh dinner with Trump. Listen to this
quote. quote, "But I think the minute
you play the Hitler card, you've lost
the argument." Now, he was talking about
um the op-ed by Larry David. I think the
minute you play the Hitler card, you've
lost the argument.
What does that sound like?
How many of you remember my debate, but
it wasn't really a debate with Sam
Harris at around 2016 that became super
viral and probably just about every one
of you heard it, right? Did you hear me
say that at the beginning of the debate
because I think it was like 60 seconds
into my uh talking to Sam Harris,
probably a minute. Yeah, of course I'm
remembering it, so I may be remembering
it wrong. Um, he brought up Hitler,
compared Trump to Hitler, and and I
said, "Ah, we're done here." I said some
version of basically, you know, that's
the end of the debate. Whoever brings up
Hitler, you just lost. And then years go
by, because that was probably back in
2016 or so. Now remember I keep telling
you that
what defines not defines but a
difference between Republicans and
Democrats is that Democrats try to tell
you what to think. You know this is
moral, this is immoral, this is right,
this is wrong and Republicans try to
tell you how to think.
Which one is Bill Maher doing in this
example where he says the minute you
play the Hitler card, you've lost the
argument.
That's telling you how to think. That's
not telling you what to think. So, you
can see the transition, right?
And when he looks at Larry David, Larry
David's just Hitler, no Hitler. Hitler,
no Hitler. Doesn't that just seem
stupid? I mean, that's basically what
what Bill Maher was saying. It just
looks stupid. Um, yeah.
So
um
uh so this is also what uh Bill Maher
said on the same topic and he said and
also I must say you know come on man
Hiller Nazis nobody nobody has been
harder about and on and more preient I
must say about Donald Trump than me.
Bill Maher says I don't need to be
lectured on who Donald Trump is. Just
the fact that I met him in person didn't
change that. And the fact that I
reported honestly is not a sin either.
So what is it when he says met him in
person and reported honestly on it?
That's process.
Again, he's totally right on process. So
watching Bill Maher try to navigate this
situation and try to get a foot in both
worlds is really fascinating and I give
him a lot of credit because
um it's a pretty rocky road. [laughter]
[clears throat] You know, having been
down that road in a more extreme version
myself and finding out what happens when
you say anything positive about the way
Trump does business. Uh, I know how
tough that is. And he's going through
he's taken on some water. I guarantee
it. This is not easy. So, I'm gonna uh
in the past, you've seen me sometimes
say some good things about Bill and
sometimes be critical. Today, I'm going
to be completely supportive. Not of his
opinions. He he's allowed to have
different opinions, but of his uh
apparent
focus and how he's essentially training
his audience the way I'm trying to train
mine into how to approach a problem and
not so much what the answer is. The
answer is up to you. But how to approach
it? Well, you want to do that, right?
Right.
All right. Well, along those lines, and
I've often said, this is sort of a
related topic, that having Elon Musk on
what I would call the common sense uh
side of things. I wouldn't call him, you
know, Republican or anything like that,
but he's squarely on the common sense
side of things. And I was thinking today
how many things Elon Musk has changed
and how in the process of that he's also
teaching us how to think and how to act.
He's kind of teaching us how to be
engineers. Not the actual skill of
engineering but how an engineer would
approach a problem. Have any of you
noticed that? that if you simply watch
how Elon Musk approaches any problem,
and I would argue that maybe the all-in
pod guys, they do the same thing. If you
simply observe them over time,
you learn how to approach problems. And
you would say to yourself, "Oh, that's
that's like that time, I know, Chimoth
did this or that, or it's like the time
that Elon did this or that." And then
you can take that model and and build
it, you know, put it into your own
world. Tremendously valuable. But on top
of that, um I saw that uh RFK Jr. was
saying at some event that he believes
that Elon Musk rescued free speech
by buying uh what was Twitter? Would you
agree with that statement that he
rescued free speech by buying Twitter? I
I think so. I think that's completely
fair. That would put him, if you buy
that as a true statement, and I do, that
would put Elon in the founding father's
category like with without, you know,
the the time of course is different, but
that would put him squarely right in the
middle of saving the republic. And I and
I think he gets complete credit for
that. But back to my overarching theme,
he didn't just say free speech is good.
Hey everybody, why don't you practice
some free speech? Nope. He showed you
how to get it. He showed you how to get
there. Sometimes you got to buy the
company. Now, he could do it. You
couldn't, but he showed it. He He showed
you how to rescue free speech. And in
this case, he did it through a I guess
I'd call it a free market approach.
And so you can learn that if you if you
use the free market appropriately,
you can get to where you want to get,
which is free of speech, in a way that
teaches people how to think. Hey, the
only way you're going to have real free
speech is if there's a free market
platform that lets you say what you need
to say without getting cancelled.
And then he proved it by building that
platform you know modifying a platform
then and that's just the beginning just
he was talking today about his chip
design that Tesla will be the biggest
chip designer in the world in a fairly
short period of time. He's also taught
you how to start companies at some kind
of record speed that we've never seen
before. Uh, and now he's decided that
Tesla has to be the big uh, hey, let's
get rid of a counterbalance.
Counterbalance, you're going to
disappear from uh, I think you're on the
YouTube platform. But that's that's the
second time I've seen that comment. So,
you're going to disappear now. Um, maybe
today, but we're going to get you.
Um
then so so this is just you know a
little one small part of what Musk and
Tesla are doing but he'll probably teach
you that America can build um chips.
So so [clears throat] you're going to
learn a whole bunch about manufacturing
and chip design and all that just
because he's doing it and he's
transparent about how he's doing it.
Then there's the uh I saw him a clip I
think he was on Joe Rogan talking about
the economics of homelessness.
And a lot of people don't understand
that homelessness
isn't so much just about giving people
homes. They wouldn't want to live in
those homes if you gave them to them
because they're mentally insane or
they're on drugs or whatever else. Um,
and he also pointed out, I didn't know
this, that the economics of homelessness
in California
is that there's this whole industry of
people get paid to take care of the
homeless, as long as they don't solve
their problem. If they solved their
problem and these people were no longer
homeless, which is sort of undoable, uh
then they wouldn't get their
collectively a million dollars a year to
keep the people alive but homeless.
So if you followed the money, you would
completely understand why there's so
much homelessness. And that would be a
way to think about it, wouldn't it? It's
not the answer. It's a way to think
about it. So if you change from, hey, if
only we give these people homes,
you know, then they would be on their
way. They could do the rest. That way of
thinking is a complete failure because
it doesn't recognize that uh the whole
industry is propped up by people trying
to steal your taxpayer money and give
you nothing in return. Once Elon
explains that we're trapped in this
little system where the people who are
running it are making a lot of money as
long as they don't solve the problem,
then everything makes sense, doesn't it?
Now, that doesn't mean that we
immediately have a solution, but at
least you'd be solving the right
problem, right? That that's a big
difference uh when you see the problem
clearly as Elon, you know, explains it
to us. Um then I saw Elon talking about
how the only only the interesting
simulations because you know he believes
that we're part of a simulation as do I
that reality is a simulation. Um he
points out that only the interesting
simulations would survive.
Uh and and then he gives the reason
because if we had a boring simulation uh
we'd stop doing it because it wouldn't
be doing anything for us. just boring
us. So, the interesting ones are the
only ones that can survive
and therefore it's logical to assume
that they're the only ones that do.
And I've got a version of this. So, this
this is part of his explanation of why
the world seems so interesting, I think,
[laughter] or why you could predict
something based on how interesting it
is. I do a I have a version of that, but
it's different, which is I believe that
reality follows the three the threeact
movie form. Now, that's something I've
been saying since 2015, I think. Uh, and
here's why I think it follows a threeact
movie form. It's because we've all been
trained in the three-act form. If we had
not been trained in it, I don't know
that it would happen. But you take a
bunch of human beings and you put them
in a situation. Let's say Trump is
nearly jailed and impeached. That would
be a classic movie third act where,
okay, there's no way he can get away
from that. And then if I said, but what
would it look like if it were a movie?
And we would all have the same answer,
which is, well, he would somehow not go
to jail. somehow the impeachment
wouldn't take hold and somehow he would
win re-election because that would be
the most satisfying movie. Sure enough.
Sure enough, that's what happened. Now,
I think that we live in a simulation and
our expectations collapse reality. And
so, if enough of us are simply expecting
things to go a certain way that it
actually collapses reality in that
direction. Now
I I wouldn't bet my life on it that my
interpretation is correct but just so
you know. So
um also I've noted that uh you know how
we all understand NOS's
now we didn't know what an NGO was a
couple years ago and that's because of
Elon Musk and it's because of Doge and
Doge even exists only because of Musk.
uh the the concept of Doge which has
taken root in the government. Um, so if
you look at all the things that just
Elon has done, there's the one I've
mentioned and of course Mike Benz is,
you know, a champion of the NGO
explainer class, but uh I don't know if
you'd even know about it without Elon
Musk, but uh let's see. He's I I think
that Elon Musk is the most important
person in the climate crisis
conversation
because he he can basically describe a
world where you use solar power to get
everything you want. They might be solar
panels in space, but he already told you
how to do it. We have all the technology
we need to put solar panels in space and
have all the energy we want. And he can
show you how. Uh he's got the neurolink,
the interplanetary travel. He's figured
out how to uh get around our energy
shortage. He he talks about how the
robots will be free doctors. So, he's
solving health care. Uh he's giving
America dominance in the most important
industries, right? You want to live in
the country that is dominant in the most
important industries. Well, he gives us
that.
We're dominant in the most important
industries. Half of that is him. uh you
got the Starlink and then the but I
think that all of these have one thing
in common that can't be underestimated.
If if you if you look at the collective
work that Mus does and how he's good at
explaining to us what why he's doing it,
why it's good for the world, how he does
it. He's teaching us how to think.
Now, how many of you have felt that like
you actually feel that oh, he's not just
teaching us about his company, although
he's doing that, too. He's teaching us
how to think about these situations and
then apply some kind of an engineering
framework to it, which usually ends up
to be the right one.
All right.
Um,
jumping to a new topic, we might pop
back to that. Uh, I think it was, uh,
Hakee Jeff who said that Obamacare
will be unaffordable to a great number
of people by the end of the year. How
did it ever
where does all the money go?
Have you ever wondered that? Like it
seems to me that the health care
situation must necessarily be a gigantic
fraud environment because if you told me
that um health care costs would go up
10% because of this or that I would say
some version of well I guess the price
of everything goes up inflation's bad
you know I wish it didn't go up 10%. But
when you start talking about doubling,
all right, we're talking about like
doubling and stuff for some people.
Isn't that always fraud? That's just too
much. Like your inst your instinct says
I'm pretty sure that the entire problem
is fraud. Now, I'm going to give you a
little update. Yesterday, I had to I had
to uh get a uh catheter removed because
I was infected and blah blah blah blah.
So, I ended up in the emergency room.
Most of yesterday
I probably
came in contact with 20 people and maybe
one of them did something that I needed
an unbelievable
um amount of I don't know if all you did
was look at the number of people who
asked me my name and my birthday once
you get into the emergency room.
unbelievably
uh inefficient. And and I'm not mocking
my specific healthcare provider. This
just looks like what we've we we've sort
of evolved into an insanely insanely
over
um over something like I I can't believe
that if you started from scratch, you
would build anything like that. Now,
fortunately, I spend a great amount of
money every month so that when it's
Friday night, I can talk to a doctor.
How do you think that went? Do Do you
think I can find a doctor to talk to on
a Friday night? No. And if you find that
doctor to talk to uh within my health
care system, what will that doctor tell
me to do? And it almost doesn't matter
what the problem is. They'll tell you to
go to the emergency room because there's
nothing the doctor can do for you. So, I
have this weird health care situation
where for reasons I don't understand, I
only get really bad problems on
weekends. Do you have that, too? You you
only get really sick or hurt on
weekends. And then there's nobody whose
job it is to take care of you. You have
to go to the emergency room. So, it's an
hour to the emergency room. It's three
hours waiting to see somebody. Uh then
maybe uh I think they lost us twice.
Lost us twice. So I probably spent an
extra I don't know half an hour at the
start and an extra hour at the end
because they literally didn't know what
room we were in.
[laughter]
So uh I did get everything taken care
of. So instead of being in screaming
pain every day, which I had been for a
month, um I've got a new catheter in and
doesn't hurt.
It's much better. So anyway, if you
spent any time in our health care
system, you would say to yourself uh
this is not a problem of reducing costs
by 10%.
This entire thing has to be rethought
and uh I would like an AI doctor
who just followed me around and did the
stuff that my healthcare provider
wouldn't do. And then, by the way, there
there's always an there's always a
variety of things which you know need to
be done, but the whoever you're talking
to isn't allowed to do it. It's like,
yeah, I know you need that, but I can't
do that. You're going to have to talk to
a doctor. Then you talk to a doctor and
the doctor says, "Yeah, you probably do
need that, but I can't do that. You have
to talk to a specialist."
Right. That that's healthcare in America
2025.
Anyway, um I will tell you that uh
Kaiser's doing it. They're trying very
hard to make sure I don't die because
that would be bad for business.
That would be very bad for business.
Uh
what is that about? I don't know. Um,
apparently, uh, according to Newsmax,
Meta, the company Meta, uh, several
years ago, they did a study in 2020 to
find out if, uh, using the using their
product, using Facebook and Instagram,
if that, uh, cause any harm to people.
And guess what they found? Yes. Yes, it
does. Apparently, using their products
causes a lot of harm.
um and that uh if you deactivated
Facebook and Instagram, you would be
mentally healthier. What do you think
they did when they found out that their
product was injuring the country? Did
they say, "Oh, no. We're going to have
to discontinue this product." No, they
discontinued the study. [laughter]
You already knew where that was going.
They discontinued the study. [laughter]
So Meta called off further work
on that. So So apparently they've been
busted for that. Uh Newsmax has that
story.
Are you watching? Are you following the
uh the story about uh Attorney General
Leticia James and uh so now she's she's
the one who lawfared Trump, but now
she's being lawfared in essentially
exactly the same way. Um, so people
would argue whether it's the same way,
but it's the same way. Uh, how much are
you enjoying that? I I'm having a little
problem that I'm enjoying it too much
because I've never seen anybody deserve
what they're getting as much as she
deserves what she's getting because it's
so precise. Um, the fact that it's you,
if it were some just random bad thing
happening to her, I don't think I'd be
feeling the same. It's the fact that
she's being she's being charged with the
same crime that typically nobody would
be charged with, but she went after
Trump with it. Man, if you go after my
guy,
if you go after my guy and it doesn't
work out for you, he's going to come for
you.
That's one of the reasons he's my guy.
You know what I mean? [laughter]
Yeah. He's going to come for you. And
he's coming. Uh
and and if you if you also feel like
this is too heavy-handed,
you know, for the president to be coming
after Leticia James, a mere attorney
general,
just think about this. I'm going to give
you something to think about that will
make you happy that her life is not
going well at the moment. It goes like
this. For how many months did Melania
and Baron have to wonder if they'd be
visiting uh their husband slashf father
in prison for the rest of his life.
Imagine waking up with that in your
head. Like if you're just watching on
the news, you don't quite appreciate
uh how awful this must have been. Now,
the Trumps are unusually good at being
stoic and and kind of acting like, you
know, I'll get through this. You know,
this is my problem. Don't worry about
it. I got this. So, they're really good
at that. And they're really good at in
this case the the fact that we didn't
hear
uh any of them complaining about the
fact they had to live in a world they
had to live in a reality
where they're the key person in their
family might be in jail any time now.
That that must have been awful. Like
just imagining it every time you woke up
it's like gh a year from now am I going
to have to get up and put on my makeup
and drive to a prison? Is that actually
going to happen to me? And it almost
did. It almost did.
And now uh now that fate has been
returned to Leticia James who probably
has to wake up every day and wonder what
things look like a year from now if she
gets convicted. Now probably there's no
jail, but the conviction is going to be
plenty bad if she gets it.
Well, according to the center square,
Andrew Rice is writing that California
loses one taxpayer per minute and
Florida gains a taxpayer every two
minutes.
Does that sound true? Do do you believe
that California is losing a taxpayer
every minute while Florida is gaining
two? Well, let me tell you something
also from my perspective as the guy who
used to make the PowerPoint slides. As I
said earlier, this is not the sort of
thing anybody can really measure,
I I would not believe the accuracy of
these numbers at all. Now, could it be
true? Yeah, it could be. It could
totally be true. Do you think that any
of us could really measure that in a way
that you'd feel comfortable you'd
measured it correctly?
Nah. No. Th this is a classic uh I'm
going to make a story. Nobody's gonna
ask too many questions. Sounds right.
And since it sounds right, people will
assume it is right. But I'm here to tell
you that's not the sort of thing that
anybody can actually accurately measure.
Um,
apparently the Texas Governor Abbott,
according to Center Square, also um he
wants to issue some directives to make
uh I think he's trying to make uh
what do you call that? Sharia law
illegal in in Texas. What do you think?
Do you think Sharia law, the Islamic
version of a justice system, do you
think that that should be made illegal
or is it good enough that we live in a
system where that's not your system?
Well, I like the instinct to make it
illegal because you don't want to play
with, you know, you've got two systems.
Uh, you know, they're about equally
good. Why don't we use this this one
sometimes and this one another time? No.
No. You you gotta you gotta nip that in
the bud. You got to get that early.
[laughter]
You you cannot allow that to progress
to, oh, we got two systems. Well, why do
we always have to use the one?
How many people do we have in the state
that would like that other system? Well,
look at that. Look at all those people
who would be happy to use that other
system. We'll just use it a little bit.
We won't use the whole thing. We'll just
take a bite out of it. No. How about no
hard? No. No. No. No. None. You You You
can't start mixing those systems.
It doesn't mix. You You You got to
commit.
Um so I think Texas has the right
instinct there.
Um I saw an article that didn't seem
like it would be relevant to the United
States, but now I'm thinking maybe it
is. So apparently Poland,
which is doing well sort of in general,
it's one of those countries that um has
not been, let's say, too impacted by
immigration because they've been tough
on migrants.
But even they are running out of money.
So apparently they're trying to give a
hund00 million dollars to Ukraine to
Zilinski, but at the same time they
don't have enough money for some I don't
know hundred billion dollar Polish
hospital somebody's complaining.
Um and their budget is is under uh it's
under duress as well. And I'm thinking
to myself,
is every large everything fraud?
because I'm starting to think it is.
You know, when you look at the $ 37
trillion deficit, I think it's 38 now.
How in the world do you get to 38
trillion unless you're stealing as as
fast as you can? Does that look like
somebody just ran the numbers wrong?
It's like, oh, uh, here's the budget.
All right, great. Uh, how close are we
to balancing?
Wait, what?
off by three. We're off by three
trillion
in one year.
We're off by three trillion. Can you
even tell me how you could spend $3
trillion
above the baseline? Now, I'm
exaggerating a little bit, but not a
lot. We are talking about trillions.
Trillions of dollars that somehow we
accidentally overspend.
I don't believe it. I just believe that
everything big that's got that $100
million or more, maybe $10 million or
more, I think it's all fraud. And I
think it's all fraud for the same reason
across all the domains. Do you know what
the reason is? You can get away with it.
We we somehow have a political and
financial system where whoever gets to,
you know, allocate the funds and whoever
gets to be the mayor and, you know,
whoever gets to be in charge of
whatever, they can apparently
really easily hide a trillion dollars
and just keep it or launder it or
something. But
it's very much looking to me like 100%
of our system is corrupt and all for the
same reason because we don't have any
transparency and the people in charge
over time you get people in charge who
are willing to steal it because it's
stealable and they just notice and so
they do. Um, on the same point, Remix is
writing that almost every German city is
now on the verge of bankruptcy.
Almost every German city. Do you think
that Germans don't know how to do a
spreadsheet?
Do you [laughter]
How in the world could all the Germans
miss the budget? All the Germans. Have
you heard of Germany? Have you heard of
Germans?
You know, by pure chance, a few Germans
would would hit the budget. You do you
think that Germans want to have a
balanced budget?
Yeah. Yeah, they do. I'll bet the
Germans want to have a balanced budget
more than just about anybody
except maybe Japan, you know, and I'm
talking culturally. Do you think Germans
want to be overspending their budget? I
don't think so. And yet every single
every single one almost everyone did in
fact do it. How do you explain that
except corruption and fraud? I don't
have a way to do it. I I I think it's
literally just corruption and fraud.
That's what I think.
Anyway, there's uh some whispers. The
Daily Express US is writing about this
that the US is preparing or getting
closer to every moment some kind of a
military operation in Venezuela.
I don't know if it'll be a quote allout
invasion or maybe a head fake, we don't
know. But uh we're definitely moving
continuing to move resources there. What
do you think we should do?
Um, do you think that we're simply
putting pressure on the powers that be?
And, uh, it's just one of a variety of
ways we're negotiating by essentially
suggesting that if they don't give us
what we want, uh, there'll be a military
invasion. We don't really have to say
it. We just have to prepare for it. And
then you don't have to say it.
But do you do you notice that there's
something missing in this whole
Venezuela story?
What what is the dog not barking? What's
the thing that's missing? The thing you
would always have, but at the moment
it's missing. I would say the thing
that's missing is who are we negotiating
with and what are we asking for? Do any
of you know my because I'm a little
worried. It appears my country is is
getting ready to attack a sovereign
country and I don't even know who
they're talking to. I don't know what
they've asked for. What would it take
for them not to do it? Is there a
specific ask? Cuz it doesn't look like
it to me.
How do you get this far? And if I were
to stop you on the street and say, "Are
you American?" Yes. Uh are you familiar
with the the Venezuela situation? Yes.
Who are we talking to? Cuz I don't think
it's Madura. I don't think we're talking
to the head guy. Who are we talking to?
And what are we asking for? And and what
are they saying about giving it to us?
You know, part of the reason I wonder is
I wonder if they've already offered to
give us what we've asked for.
Do you ever wonder about that? Because
didn't we hear early on, I didn't
believe it. So maybe it's the believing
it part that's missing. But doesn't it
seem like we made some threats and then
Venezuela some said some version of okay
let's talk. Didn't that happen?
I don't believe there's been a phase
where they said let's talk and then we
talked and then we asked for some stuff
and then they said oh no we can never
give you that. Did that ever happen?
So, I I feel like we're on some kind of
weird autopilot where we know what it
looks like when when the uh the fake
news starts moving the country toward
war. Doesn't it feel like we're just
you, we residents of the country, we're
just part of the machine and and we're
just moving along. Oh, I guess we're
moving toward war. Does anybody know
why? No, you don't know why. I mean, I
could I could tell the story of why. I
mean, I could say we don't want these
drugs coming in, but but what would
happen if Venezuela said, "All right,
you got it.
We will totally shut down the drug
trade, but just don't attack us." What
would we do? Would we say, "All right,
you got to prove it, but that's a deal."
Or would we keep pushing? I don't know.
Do you? I kind of want to know. Then
then apparently according to Fox News
and and other news
um President Trump says the the
residents of Chicago are chanting bring
in Trump. [laughter]
Do you think that's happening? Do you
think that anywhere in Chicago there's a
group of residents who are chanting we
want Trump. We want Trump.
I think it's [clears throat] hilarious
that it doesn't matter if they're doing
that. The the fact that Trump says they
are makes you want to argue about it.
Well, show me that video, right? You
really believe that they're chanting
that? No, they might be chanting
something negative against Trump. Show
me that video. I think you're making
this up. And of course, it's just a
throwaway line that, you know, that
they're chanting.
Now, that's [clears throat] just funny,
isn't it? I if you're looking at Trump
in the proper frame of mind, this is
just funny that he would put it in those
terms when he knows how how that would
upset some people.
All right, good job there.
Let's see how many people were injured
in Chicago.
Uh there was there was some downtown
riot that left eight people shot and one
dead. Jeez.
Um, now you you might say to yourself
you might say to yourself, Scott, there
is nothing funny about that.
There's nothing funny about people
getting shot. Let's agree to that. Uh,
at least that's what I thought until I
got the end of the story, which says the
riot, which followed a Christmas tree
lighting ceremony.
Come on. I I'm trying to act like a good
citizen and not laugh at violence,
but but if Chicago had a riot over a
Christmas tree lighting, [snorts] uh I
have some advice about traveling to
Chicago.
Don't do it.
Don't do it. Stay away. [laughter]
Yep. Don't get near that Christmas tree
lighting. That sounds dangerous.
Meanwhile, Trump uh called the mayor of
Chicago, Brandon, a low IQ leader. He
says, "I got a bunch of low IQ leaders."
And uh but he also insults uh Governor
Pritsker for being overweight. So, he's
going hard at Chicago.
Anyway, um let me ask you this.
Why is it that the Democrats are not
making more hay? Is that a thing? Uh or
why are they not making a bigger deal?
Uh the fact that Trump has now labeled a
number of black leaders low IQ.
Has he labeled any white leaders low IQ?
Because if he hasn't, I would recommend
you throw a few on the list. You got to
get at least, you know, at least one or
two white leaders that are low IQ. You
must have that in Portland. Portland,
maybe. There's got to be something. But
uh I I wonder if he's feeling so free at
this point in terms of what he can get
away with and what he can say that he
doesn't care about making it, you know,
DEI friendly and that if he thinks
somebody's stupid, he's just going to
say it and it has nothing to do with
anything except that's what he was
thinking. He was just thinking, "Ah,
you're stupid. I'll say it." I don't
know. I think you'd be a little bit
safer.
throw some crackers on that list if you
know what I mean. All right. Uh
here's the reframe that you need and
you'll find that this fits with what I
said earlier today and you'll be amazed
how it it all fits together. So, as you
know, there's a 20 point Trump
administration peace plan for Ukraine,
but um nobody was born yesterday. And so
we don't think that we're just going to
spray this plan out there and Zinski is
going to say, "Oh, that's a great idea.
Why didn't we do this before?" And that
Putin is going to say, "Well, thanks for
the good work. This is perfect. We sign
up." Nobody thinks people are just going
to sign up for it. It's a starting
point. And as I posted earlier today
that uh let let me tell you what Marco
Rubio said and then I'm going to put it
in my words because I think he could
have gone uh to one extra step that
would have been really useful and maybe
he will. Uh so Marco said Marco Rubio uh
said ending a complex and deadly war
such as the one in Ukraine requires an
extensive exchange of serious and
realistic ideas. you know, 28 points,
that would be extensive. And achieving a
durable peace will require both sides to
agree to difficult but necessary
concessions. Of course, uh that is why
we are and will continue to develop a
list, listen to this, we are and will
continue to develop a list of potential
ideas for ending this war based on input
from both sides of the conflict.
Oh, that is perfect.
Once again, Marco Rubio is telling us
how to think, not what to think. Now,
there is a list of 28 things that, you
know, we want or we think would be good.
But when he describes it as a list of uh
literally potential ideas
from both sides, that's really moving
forward. Now, I'm going to put this in
my own words and then when I put it in
my words, see how it hits you. Okay? I'm
going to say the same thing just my
words. I'm going to say that packetizing
packetizing taking things and putting
them in little packages which are the 28
points. Each of the 28 points is like a
little packet that once you've
packetized it, what can you do with it?
Well, packetizing all the ideas into
units that can be traded,
compared,
and easily communicated
is the most important thing that needs
to be done at this phase. We're not
talking about a any final agreements.
We're talking about some way to take
this complicated situation and turn it
into little packets where you can say,
"All right, there's a there's a Donbass
packet. there's a Crimea packet. You can
still you can still play with the
packets, but but you have to agree that
there are packets. Uh and you could call
it something else, just 28 points or
whatever. But until you do that, you
cannot really negotiate because there's
nothing to give away and there's nothing
to get. You need to put them in
discrete, easy to communicate packets.
And when I see Marco using his own
words, speaking in those terms, pretty
much what I said, but just, you know,
his own way to say it, that gives me a
lot of confidence. I got to admit, that
gives me a lot of confidence because if
I just heard we want 28 things or uh uh
there are five things we have to have,
I wouldn't necessarily think we' made
any progress. But as soon as you tell me
that the goal is to get 28 packets and
we can still argue about what the
packets are,
excellent. That to me looks like adults
trying to figure figure out a really
complicated problem. I don't know where
this approach came from or if it's
really closer to a normal approach than
I'm giving it credit for. Is this closer
to normal than I think it is? It doesn't
look normal.
Uh, it looks like a whole better way of
doing it. I don't know. We'll see.
Ladies and gentlemen, what you really
want is a reframe to wrap things up.
Would you like a reframe from my book?
Uh, my book is called Reframe Your I'm
sorry, I accidentally picked up the 2026
Dilbert calendar, which you can only get
on Amazon, and it's available now. It's
the best thing that ever happened to you
in your whole life. And there are comics
on both sides. I didn't mean to pick
that up. That That was an accident.
We'll put that over there.
But my book, Reframe Your Brain, I'm
going to give you an absolutely free
reframe. Wow.
Um I sure hope I put that where I wanted
it. Damn it. I seem to have put my
[laughter] my bookmark in the middle of
the book randomly. That didn't help me.
All right, here's where I need to be.
Uh, we'll go into the uh social life
reframes. I need I know you need that.
All right. Um,
how many of you think that marriage is
about finding a soulmate?
I I feel like, you know, TVs and movies
and our sense of romantic entitlement
uh kind of ruins our potential for
happiness
because we're we're sort of imagining
that we can have that that kind of
situation that they have in the movies.
But uh if you think that marriage is
about finding your soulmate,
you're going to have a little problem
[laughter]
because at some point you're going to
say, "How do I know that's my soulmate?
And why does my coworker act like my
soulmate all the time? What's going on
here?" So the old frame or the usual
frame is that marriage is about finding
your soulmate. Here's a reframe. Uh
marriage is about finding love with
someone who values promises.
promises.
Yeah, that that's one you have to think
about. But I'll give you another one. Uh
[clears throat]
how about uh
how about if you you break up with
somebody or maybe there's a tragic death
in your in your life and uh you think to
yourself, I've lost my soulmate. Oh no,
I've lost my soulmate. Well, maybe you
lost your soulmate. But here's another
way to look at it. You have a million
soul mates and you haven't you haven't
met them all? I mean, do you really
think do you really think there's seven
billion people and you've got exactly
one soulmate?
Really?
Really? Do you really believe that there
just one? Just one soulmate? No. There
are probably a million different people
that you could come to see as your
soulmate and probably a million
different people that you could come to
trust with your life. If you can find
somebody you could trust with your life
and they do what they promised to do
over the entire course of your
relationship
and you're willing to turn them into
your soulmate even if they weren't
naturally that way just by being honest
and uh let's say moral and ethical
that would be an excellent situation.
So, I would worry a lot less about the
magic of finding your soulmate, and I
would worry a lot more about how to turn
any good person into somebody that you
see as your soulmate
um just by the fact that you treat each
other really well and that's your
agreement. So, I've always thought that
relationships that are based on uh
decision
are more powerful than relationships
that are based on um let's say some
internal feeling, right? If your
relationship is based on a feeling, it
could change.
It could change. All right, people.
That's what I got for you today.
Um, I'm going to talk to the uh locals
people, my beloved locals people. Uh, I
hope there's something you got out of
today that was useful. Um, you you could
probably notice me trying to change the
uh the direction of the country.
[laughter]
I think I've I think I'm doing a good
job so far.
Uh, how many of you see my influence in
other public figures?
I'll ask you a more specific question.
How many of you think you've seen
that other public figures are thinking
the way I'm thinking or using the tools
that I use and you think to yourself,
where'd they get that? Did that come
from Scott or somebody that
somebody who got it from him? that got
it from someone else.
I don't know.
I'm looking at your comments now. Yeah.
So, a lot of a lot of you can see it.
So, it's not imaginary. I remember back
in 2016
and I would suggest that maybe people
were listening to me and people would
say, "Uh, Scott, put your ego away."
And I don't think I put my ego away. But
the point is, um, as I've said often,
including today, the person with the
best idea is always in charge.
So if I can teach you how to think about
a topic better than you were thinking
about it, and maybe you share that with
somebody else and they share it with
somebody else, then the way to think
about a topic becomes the dominant
force. It's not even the personality.
It's not the person whose job it is to
be in charge. It's just the fact that
there's something about the way somebody
framed it that's so compelling that you
could predict where it's going from that
point on. And that's what I shoot for.
Um, sometimes I hit it and sometimes I
don't.
All right,
locals coming at you.
Coming at you.
All right, we'll be on locals in 30
seconds.