Episode 3057 CWSA 12/29/25
Second try podcast after my coughing attack. Let's see if this works. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Sorry, I had to stop everything. I had a little bit of a coughing attack. I have that about once a day, but the timing was really bad. So we'll see how far we can get. There were some topics I just wanted to talk about so badly. So I'm not going to do the simultaneous sip because I did that in the…
View segment →how far we can get. So does it seem to you that AI has turned into a race between building data centers and building power plants as fast as they can versus there's probably somebody in some garage somewhere who's inventing a way to do it without all that energy? Does that not seem obviously true t…
View segment →use once a computer can do it, then I would argue AI could already do that. And if you can't predict why it would do it, that's going to look a lot like free choice. So what are you going to do then? Will you call it free will? I don't know. I recommend my book *God's Debris* if you want to struggl…
View segment →ars, much less 50. There's no such thing as a 50-year guarantee. So Zelensky can ask for it, but even if we wanted to give it, it's not possible because it doesn't exist. There's no such thing as a 50-year guarantee when people can just change their mind in the next 50 years. So I would first of al…
View segment →e me wonder if Iran had access to his chief of staff's phone, why would they drop that video? And the smart people say that that's a sort of a classic thing you would do to show that they have worse stuff than the stuff they presented. So it'd be sort of a blackmail situation where they say well if…
View segment →tes. All right, I made it through. So I apologize for the earlier attempt, but I thought you might miss me. So I came back. If you missed my explanation earlier, I had to bail out my first podcast because I had a coughing attack and there's nothing you can do about it but wait it out. So I waited…
View segment →Sorry, I had to stop everything. I had a little bit of a coughing attack. I have that about once a day, but the timing was really bad. So we'll see how far we can get.
There were some topics I just wanted to talk about so badly. So I'm not going to do the simultaneous sip because I did that in the one that I imported. Let's see how far we can get.
So does it seem to you that AI has turned into a race between building data centers and building power plants as fast as they can versus there's probably somebody in some garage somewhere who's inventing a way to do it without all that energy? Does that not seem obviously true to you?
Because when we're trying to predict what the future looks like, I cannot imagine that the AI companies are right that it will just take massive energy and more energy and if you want to get better you just need more energy. This seems far more likely that somebody's already inventing a way around that. So that's what I'm going to bet on.
But you know, Ron DeSantis, it turns out, is an AI skeptic and he said some interesting things. Politico is reporting on this. So he's interested in more regulation and doesn't want AI to use up all the energy, etc. So he's a little skeptical about its value.
And he put a really interesting slant on this, sort of a religious slant I hadn't heard before. He says we have to reject with every fiber of our being the idea of this transhumanist strain that would be the robots and the AI that somehow this is going to supplant humans and this other stuff. We have to reject that with every fiber of our being.
Here's the interesting part. He says we as individual human beings are the ones that are endowed by God with certain unalienable rights and all that. They did not endow machines or computers with those.
So here's my provocative question. What's going to happen to your view of free will when computers and robots obviously have it?
So if I said to you define free will, and I've had this conversation a million times, you say well it's the ability to make a choice. And I would say well AI can make a choice. So does it have free will?
And then you would say no, no, because if a computer does it, it's just programmed. And you know, there's no choice. Only one thing could happen.
But what happens when you can't figure out why the AI did what it did, which is actually the current situation? So you won't be able to trace back any kind of cause and effect. It's going to look like the AI had choices exactly like a human did and it picked one.
So will your belief in free will disappear? Because once a computer can do it, then I would argue AI could already do that. And if you can't predict why it would do it, that's going to look a lot like free choice. So what are you going to do then? Will you call it free will? I don't know.
I recommend my book *God's Debris* if you want to struggle with some of those philosophical things. The new version is called *God's Debris: The Complete Works*. So you can get it on Amazon. It's the only place you can get it.
Speaking of fraud, did you know that James Comey once had conversations with TV director Dick Wolf, which I always thought was a sketchy name, Dick Wolf, to put more FBI content in his shows because he was a very successful TV producer? And he did.
So how many of you are aware that for decades and decades Hollywood has been influenced by the government to say good things about the military, say good things about law enforcement, say good things about the FBI? Television has always been propaganda. Always has been.
But when you hear it so plainly laid out, it might shock a few people who didn't know that was the case. And I've argued that this is probably the good kind of propaganda if they do it right. For example, if the propaganda on TV is to make people more patriotic, well, is that bad? So some of it's bad, but it might be also a cover for bad FBI behavior to make them look good when in fact they might be doing some stuff you don't like.
Well, here's something. Kevin Kiley in California tells us that one-third of California community colleges, their applications for the college are fake. And the only reason people are applying, one-third of them, is for financial aid fraud.
So how many times have I told you there's anything that involves a lot of money, financial aid, and there's no audit or at least no useful audit that eventually it just turns to fraud every time? You could have predicted this so easily. Is money involved? Is the government involved? Are a lot of people involved as time goes by? All those are true. Guaranteed corruption. Sure. It's massive.
Meanwhile, did you think the fraud was going to be limited to a few states? No, of course not. Because whatever it is that made Minnesota and California so freaking fraudulent is almost certainly happening in the other states.
So now we find out that in Washington state there are 539 child care centers that list Somali as the primary language and they don't even have a street address according to Christiane. How many of those do you think are fraudulent? All of them. Yeah. Maybe all of them. Yes. Because a lot of money is involved. A lot of people are involved. There's no real audit. Obviously, 100% of the time that will turn into fraud every time. No exceptions. Sure enough.
What's happening in Ohio? Wall Street Apes is reporting that fraudulent Somali health care companies are being created where you can get as much as a quarter million dollars for being a fake health care person for your own family. You just have to have several relatives and just say, well, you know, I'm going to sit around this old relative and help. And you don't even have to prove it.
So apparently you could get $75,000 to $90,000 a year just saying that you're taking care of an elderly parent of your own or somebody else's, I guess. And if you have two parents, you can double it. And if you had your in-laws, you can get up to a quarter million dollars a year for claiming that you're helping them even if you don't do a damn thing.
Again, lots of money involved. This would be fraudulent for Medicaid, right? I'm being told that was being scammed in that last case.
I heard Owen Gregorian mention that there's this thing called qui tam, spelled Q U I space T A M. How many of you have ever heard that there is already on the books, I guess you call it a law or I'm not sure if law is the right word but it's part of some legislation that already passed some time ago called qui tam.
Now it turns out that there is an existing provision in the law in the United States that if you're a whistleblower and you turn in some major fraud against the government and this is critical and the government accepts it as a major fraud and then does some lawsuit to get it back, that you would get up to 15 to 20% of whatever was recovered.
But did you know it existed? No. But now you do. And apparently there's a startup, more than one I think, but one of them is called Anti-Fraud Co. And Alex Shray is one of the founders and he's informing us on X that they've already built a system that uses AI to identify probable fraud so that any citizen can take it to the government and it would simplify the process.
So it first identifies the fraud, the big ones, and then it would walk you through taking it to the government and if the government accepts the case, and why wouldn't they because they would have pretty good evidence by then, and if they get money back, you get a pretty big chunk of it.
So the thinking is that we already have a legal structure to essentially close down the biggest frauds because it would incentivize the public to be fraud hunters and it would give them a legal framework to do that. Now how many of you knew that was possible?
Because people like me and Chamath Palihapitiya and Bill Ackman, a bunch of other people, we've been talking about the lack of audit that would have caught these frauds but we also know that auditing doesn't work in its normal form. There would have to be some kind of major incentive for someone that can make so much money by doing it through a proper legal framework that they wouldn't need to take a bribe. And this might be the thing.
So it wouldn't work for small stuff because the bribe would still be bigger than you can make from a lawsuit. But for the big stuff, the stuff we care about, we might have actually something that looks like a working procedure because follow the money is going to work every time. And this certainly looks like a possibility.
So it's called qui tam. And if you want to know more about that, I'd recommend Grok. It gave a good background of that. That might be the thing that saves us.
And sort of on top of that, speaking of Chamath and speaking of Nick Shirley, who is that 22-year-old who did an amazing job of uncovering the fraud in Minnesota. Now people have pointed out that he isn't the first one to uncover it. The local news has already covered it a while ago, but it didn't activate anything.
So apparently people knew. There were whistleblowers that apparently got punished. There was news coverage that didn't activate anything. One assumes that the legal process within the state was probably corrupt and did not do anything.
But if you have an independent journalist who in this case made a big splash on X, the combination of X plus a really aggressive independent journalist might get you something.
So the way Chamath put it was he said we may be witnessing the Cambrian explosion that creates Doge 2.0. No, completely decentralized gonzo journalism exposing fraud all over the country. Again, the monetization is the key.
So if young people see that Nick Shirley, 22 years old, made a big dent in the universe, and if they see that he monetized it, well, you can do a lot more of it. So that's good news.
Anyway, meanwhile one of the Californian politicians, Ro Khanna, is still pushing on this idea of a wealth tax where they would confiscate one to 5%, I guess, but it would always be 5% when you're done, of the wealth of billionaires in California.
And I'm kind of entertained by this because I thought Ro Khanna was one of the smart ones, but he's not acting like it on this topic. And then I did a little research to find out if maybe his buddy Massie had helped him out to tell him how dumb this was. But Massie is kind of sticking with just lower taxes is better. So I think he's staying with the generic.
But some of the billionaires like Palmer Luckey are trying to explain to him that there's a reason that people like Larry Page and Peter Thiel are already planning to leave California, reportedly.
So I was wondering if there's no way to avoid this, is there a way to turn it into something smarter? And I gave you some suggestions yesterday, but I have a better one.
So part of the problem is that the billionaires are not necessarily liquid and they're a better allocator of funds than the government is. And it feels like theft if you just confiscate their wealth. And there's a line that you can't cross or at least you can't cross it too quickly where the people who are giving up their money move from well I hate paying high taxes of course to wait a minute you're actually stealing and this crosses that line.
So even if Ro Khanna is right that people like Peter Thiel and Larry Page, maybe they could easily afford it, maybe it wouldn't change their financial decisions, but psychologically they're going to say you're stealing from me. And if I were in that situation, I wish I were actually, if I were in that situation I would say I don't care that you think it won't change my decisions. You're stealing from me and I'm going to stop you from stealing.
It would be sort of like if a pickpocket stuck his hand in your pants. You wouldn't argue that the pickpocket has a good use for the money, right? You would argue get your hand out of my pants. So they're in the hand-in-the-pants phase now. And it's a slippery slope, right?
All right, I might have to pause a little bit. Yeah, still. All right, let me slow down a little bit.
There's an opinion that I had on the Somali theft that I had not seen before yesterday. And I never spoke it because it would have sounded racist. But time goes by and we now have a little more free speech than we used to. And I saw a post by Cynical Publius that matches what I thought to be the case. And this is not racist. This is about culture. All right?
But you know, 10 minutes ago before we had free speech, you would have been accused of being racist even though this has nothing to do with race. And the opinion is this. As Cynical Publius points out, so he spent a lot of time in his life in Africa and the Middle East. And what he tells us is this, and I already knew this but I wouldn't have said it out loud, that there are some cultures, particularly African cultures and Somalia in particular, in which the concept of fraud is not even a concept.
How many of you knew that? Now remember this is about their culture, nothing about race. In some African cultures, and the only ones I'm sure about are Somalia, the tribe comes first and there's not really even a question of fraud.
So for example, the way I heard it was if you hired a Somalian to work at your convenience store and a white American comes in and says hey, can you give me the stuff for free? The Somalian would say no, you have to buy it. But if someone from the Somalian tribe, like literally same tribe, walked in and said hey, I'm going to take this food here, the Somalian behind the counter would say have a good day and would not think, this is the weird part, would not think any crime had happened because they don't have a concept that if you're helping your tribe, how could that be wrong?
Now that's sort of mind-blowing the first time you hear it, but I'd heard this a while ago, and you can see why I wouldn't bring it up, but at the moment you can actually say that out loud. And I think it's useful to understand that if you import, as Cynical Publius says in his post, I think it's useful to know that if you import a philosophy or a point of view that's that different from the one we have and you get enough of them, there's just no way that's going to work out, right?
So you could argue whether their philosophy is better than ours, but you can't argue that they work together. You can't argue that you can just say well you guys can work together, there's no conflict here. You would have to work as hard as you can to make sure that you shift them back to wherever that would be appropriate in their minds. Then they can do whatever they want and it wouldn't affect you.
But as long as we have a concept of fraud in this country, you don't want to water that down with people who don't even think it's a concept. And then I remind you this has nothing to do with race, everything to do with some pockets of culture.
Well, you've been hearing in social media that the cuts to USAID are killing people. Have you heard that? So a lot of people on the left, presumably people who are benefiting from this money laundering operation, I would call it, they're all going to die if they have their funding cut.
Well, Mike Cernovich points out that anyone believing those USAID cuts lead to death stories is too stupid to function. Okay, that gets right to it. Although the obvious question, if it were true, why didn't the left-wing billionaires fill the shortfall? Why is it the moral duty of working Americans to fund Africa's population growth? Well, that gets right at it, doesn't it?
Yeah, that would be a perfectly reasonable thing. I do not believe the stories of people dying because the aid got cut.
Elon Musk weighed in agreeing with Cernovich and he said that the stories of the people dying, he said it was completely false. He goes on and says Bill Gates is pushing this lie despite having over 80 billion dollars in his NGO that he could easily spend to save these alleged lives that are being lost. Why doesn't he? Bill Gates is a liar. Always has been.
Well, that bad blood between Musk and Gates appears to not be getting any better.
So I saw New York Post is reporting that George Soros's family has donated a whole bunch of money to Letitia James. You know Letitia James of lawfaring against Trump and now getting lawfared herself.
And this made me wonder since we've watched that every time there's money involved, big money, and every time it's not well audited, and every time you have lots of people involved, what happens? Well, you've already heard me say it three times today. It guarantees that there's fraud.
So here's the interesting thing. Don't you think that George Soros is being massively defrauded? That he's being massively frauded of his own money, which is kind of interesting.
We have some evidence of that, really strong evidence because Soros funded Black Lives Matter and some large amount of that funding ended up in mansions and luxury cars. So what percent of all the money that George Soros has given to not just prosecutors but to various entities turned out to be money laundered and stolen from him?
You remember I brought this up maybe two years ago and I was speculating that there's no possible way that George Soros knows where his money is going. And then later even after I speculated that he didn't know where his money was going we found out that Black Lives Matter was basically a fake organization and it massively stole money, but not just other donated money, but George Soros's money.
And I speculated that Alex Soros might have been not capable of auditing where his money was going. Now that turns out to be somewhat of an unfair opinion on my part because it's not limited to Alex Soros not being able to watch where his money goes. All of these frauds in all of these states suggest that nobody can ever tell where the money goes. The military can't tell you where the money went. Nobody can.
So what were the odds that the Soros organization was the only thing that could tell where his money was going and that it was going to the right place? None. There was no chance that Soros was not being ripped off by his own team. No chance.
Now I do think that the smaller amounts that he was giving to prosecutors probably was well spent because it's smaller amounts. You could tell whether they got elected or not. Maybe the audit is less important in that case. But I'll bet you even the prosecutors were stealing his money. Do you think that Letitia James used 100% of the Soros money for legitimate election reasons? Nope. Probably not. I don't know what she used it for. But if you look at the totality of her body of work, if she could steal it, I'll bet she was.
Now under that filter, which every one of you agrees with by now, what do you think Huma Abedin is doing married to Alex Soros? Is it possible that the Clinton camp was well aware that Soros's money was basically being stolen? And could it be that the addition of Huma was to add some fiscal discipline so that the Democrats could either make sure it was going to the right place for the first time or to make sure more of it went to Clinton-related stuff?
So it changes everything, doesn't it? Once you realize that 100% of big money activities are fraudulent, then you could put that filter on Soros and you could see him as not just a bad guy if you don't like what he's funding. He's a bad guy. But he absolutely has to be a victim. He has to be a victim because there's no way that these same bunch of criminals are going to let all that money go to where it was meant to go when nobody's watching. So that might give you a laugh.
All right. So a historian wired that the dollar is ending its dominance. And an example of that is that the dollar used to make up 72% of global reserves in 1999 but now it's down to 58%. And other currencies are used as part of the reserves.
But I ask you this. Who would want to have a currency of some other country? Which country would you trust their currency more than the United States? Now I totally understand why you wouldn't trust the dollar because it's getting inflated, blah blah blah. But in order for the dollar not to become a global reserve, you'd have to have an alternative. What would that be?
But would you trust any other one country to be strong enough to protect your money? So here's what I think. I think that the other currencies are being held strictly as a diversification play because the US dollar, as bad as it is and it's definitely getting worse, there's not really any one currency you'd ever want to own to make up for that risk.
So unless you move to crypto where money becomes worthless because of AI which is possible, it seems to me that they will always need a healthy percentage of the US dollar for the global reserves and that if they own anything else such as the BRICS etc. they would do it strictly for diversification. That's just my thought about that.
Well, Putin, we'll talk about Ukraine. So Trump met with Zelensky and Scott, my ideas about ending the war. I'll tell you how to end it in a minute, but there's a report that Putin the same day that Trump and Zelensky were meeting, he was doing some public stuff dressed in his military uniform.
Now the speculation is given that Putin typically wears a suit that if he's appearing in public in a military uniform, he's signaling to Trump and to everybody else that he's not done militarily, which presumably is part of the leverage for any negotiations. And so we show that Russia doesn't have incentive to settle, has incentive to keep going because it's making slow but definite gains and it can do it as long as it wants and that Putin's in war mode and he's not necessarily in peace mode.
So maybe that's probably a good persuasion play. But speaking of persuasion, let's talk about what might be happening there with Ukraine.
So here's something that Trump said I thought was interestingly persuasive. When asked if they're making progress, he always claims yes, even when it's no, which is good persuasion. So even if he believed they were not making progress, it would be smarter if he wanted progress someday to say that they are because he could actually talk people into thinking he might be making progress even if they're involved and they don't see it.
So if he just keeps repeating we're making progress then even if they had not made progress, people are going to start to think well he thinks we're making progress. Maybe we're making progress. And if people start thinking that progress is happening, it makes it much easier for progress to happen. If people believed that nobody believed there was progress, then they would have all the freedom in the world to say well I don't see any progress. Where's the progress?
But if somebody that prominent says oh yeah, we're making progress. Look at that progress. I don't have the details yet, but progress all over the place. So persuasion-wise, he's right on point.
And then he said his exact words were that the war is either going to end or it's going to go on for a long time. Which I laugh. Nobody would say it that way. Right? That is such a Trumpian sentence. It'll either end or it's going to go on for a long time.
So what he's done there is he's shown that the alternative is what nobody wants and he turned it into a binary. Well, two possibilities. We either get something done kind of quickly or it just goes on for a long time, which nobody wants. Again, good persuasion because nobody wants the longtime option.
So he actually Trump actually said the negotiations are reaching their final stages, but that could mean one of two things. Final as in we're going to stop trying and then it goes on for a long time or final they get a deal, but it's open-ended.
All right, let's talk about where it is. So apparently the US has offered a 15-year security guarantee and Zelensky wants more up to as much as 50 years.
Here's the first way to talk about the 50 years. We cannot predict anything in 15 years, much less 50. There's no such thing as a 50-year guarantee. So Zelensky can ask for it, but even if we wanted to give it, it's not possible because it doesn't exist. There's no such thing as a 50-year guarantee when people can just change their mind in the next 50 years.
So I would first of all say that even the 15-year guarantee is kind of meaningless, which means that Trump is giving up something of no value to get something of value, which would be a peace deal. That is so Trumpian.
So Trump is creating this psychological asset called his security guarantee for 15 years that can't exist because all it takes is one of the people to change their mind. There's not really anything that would prevent that from happening.
So what do you do? Well, I wonder if the 15 years is really designed to get past Putin's lifespan. So how old is Putin? 70ish. So if you add 15 years to Putin's lifespan, what are the odds he's still going to be here and still in charge?
So it might be that privately they could say all right, it's not really about Russia versus the US, it's about Putin versus the US and we don't know what follows Putin but if we could wait him out we have a whole different world.
Then on top of that point out that we've entered the AI age. So it used to be that if you made a 15-year prediction, well you really didn't have a chance of being accurate because nobody could do that. But in the age of AI, it is absurd to imagine you could say what's going to happen after 15 years.
Somebody said that if you put a 15-year timer on it, you're really just putting a deadline on it and then Russia will attack after the 15 years. You don't know what 15 years looks like. You have no way to know what the world looks like in five years. So to make a 15-year plan or to make your plan based on what might happen in 15 years is complete nonsense. It's nonsense.
So how in the world can they get to a security guarantee when you can't predict anything? And it would be absurd to even try.
Well, here's where the reframe comes in. And although this would be applying to the disputed zones, not the entire Ukraine. This looks to me like a Jared Kushner idea because I don't know if you know this but Jared Kushner has read my book *Win Bigly* which teaches persuasion and you know that he did the Abraham Accords which essentially reframed the Middle East into an economic opportunity.
And so we see him, I'm sure this is him more than Witkoff although Witkoff is very good. So Witkoff you may have easily agreed with this, but I'll bet you that Jared is behind the idea of reframing the situation and calling this, this is our proposal, well US proposal I guess, to designate the disputed areas on the border as free economic zones.
So again, you would reframe it from a war zone to a free economic zone. And then if you can get that reframe, you can make people think past the sale. The sale is stop fighting. But if you say it's going to be a free economic zone, then people start asking well but who's going to administer it? How would that work? Who would get what?
So that would make you think past the war and as long as people are putting their time, both sides, you would need Russia to at least engage in the conversation. If you can get them to engage in the conversation of what that would look like then the reframe starts working.
And I think Jared is the only one smart enough who would have that sensibility that that would be really the only way. It really is the only way that this could work.
So let's do that. Let's do a little speculation about what that would look like if they did it. So again, here I'm helping out by thinking past the sale, the sale being stop fighting and think about how you could both make money.
So I guess Zelensky said that Kiev, Ukraine would be the ones to administer those areas and forces would be withdrawn. So it'd be a non-military area, but that Ukraine would administer. Now what are the odds that Russia would agree that it would be administered by Ukraine? None. There's no chance of that. So let's call that a starting position.
So what would it look like if someone who's not Ukraine administered it? Well, I don't know that you'd want the United States to administer it, but that would start looking like a security guarantee if we did, right? Because the US would be counted on to protect its own interests more than it would be counted on to protect some other country's interests, even an ally.
So if we could say the US will administer this but we would also take a cut maybe of resources or something like that so that we'd have some reason to administer it and we'd have something to lose if things started going sideways.
I would also wonder if you could propose making it the first AI administered country or area. Suppose you went to Russia and you said we're going to get some independent entity to build us the first AI administered economic zone. Again, you're making people think past the sale of fighting to wait a minute, could AI do that? And I think it could.
So in other words, you want to take as many humans out of it because the humans are all the problem, right? And you say the United States will help you maybe with the help of I don't know Switzerland or United Nations or something. So you put together some kind of coalition of humans who primarily would make sure that the AI administered.
So the reframe here is we're not administering it. The AI is. You'd be lucky if you had an AI administering you because it gets rid of the fraud. Oh, what's the biggest problem in Ukraine? Fraud. What's the biggest problem in Russia? Fraud. What's the one thing that you might be able to clamp down with AI? Fraud.
So the way you get in is you say the biggest problem with a new economic zone is it'll just become a criminal organization but we will help you administer the AI. So we're not administering the zone, we would be managing the AI and then the AI would be continuously checking with citizens, doing audits. The AI would do the audits. The AI would keep everything organized. The AI would collect taxes. Or maybe it's a no tax zone.
It seems like it would be easy to get a referendum to do this with the people who live there. If you said how about no taxes? Maybe they have no taxes now. I don't know.
Who controls the AI? That is the right question. Control is not the word you want to use. You want to say that something like manage. So you would get the US and maybe a few other countries to manage and it would include Ukraine and it would include Russia. So you'd have the Russian blah blah blah and the US would manage the technology, but it would do it with open, it would have to have pretty open access technology so that anybody can audit it.
But if you're asking those questions, you're close to a deal. All right? So nothing normal is going to solve this.
So if you say we're going to have an AI administered free economic zone and we're going to do that to get rid of the fraud and we're going to use that as our security guarantee. So the security guarantee would be we would remove the reasons for war. We'd remove the reasons, but we'd have enough of an investment that we would try pretty hard to make sure that nothing went wrong.
And then the other weasel thing that would work is that you could let Russia say we won and we're getting everything we want because the people are protected. We'll call it part of Russia, but Ukraine say we won because it's not part of Russia, it's part of Ukraine. But it would really be something that's neither. There would be this sort of special economic zone.
Anyway, you could also offer to Russia that the success of the special economic zone is the only path toward normalizing relations with both Europe and the US. So if you said to Russia, here's the deal. The only way we're going to look at going back to buying your energy, Europe, and the only way we're going to go back to more of a normal relationship is if the special economic zone works. That would be a pretty good security guarantee because like I said you could never make a 15-year security guarantee is absurd.
All right. What do you think? Well, so the point is when Trump says they're getting close to a deal, I think it has everything to do with how they reframe it.
In other news, Iranian hackers allegedly got into Netanyahu's chief of staff's phone and dropped a video and they published a video from his phone of some kind of private meeting. And it made me wonder if Iran had access to his chief of staff's phone, why would they drop that video?
And the smart people say that that's a sort of a classic thing you would do to show that they have worse stuff than the stuff they presented. So it'd be sort of a blackmail situation where they say well if we have this video from the chief of staff's phone imagine what we haven't shown you. So I don't know. I have some question how much whether they have more than that. Yeah, it was embarrassing, but I don't know if it's a big deal or not.
Anyway, let me look at my notes. I've got some healthcare worker coming to do some stuff in a few minutes.
All right, I made it through. So I apologize for the earlier attempt, but I thought you might miss me. So I came back.
If you missed my explanation earlier, I had to bail out my first podcast because I had a coughing attack and there's nothing you can do about it but wait it out. So I waited it out as much as I could and took another shot at it.
All right. You did miss me. All right.
I'm going to go and grab some breakfast before the arrival of my healthcare nurse. When you're in my situation, you get a lot of people who come to the house for healthcare reasons. Always a lot of action.
All right, everybody. Thanks for understanding. Thanks for coming back a second time. And I will see you tomorrow. I hope my timing is better. Bye for now.
back.
Sorry, I had to stop everything.
I had a little bit of a coughing attack.
I have that about once a day, but the timing was really bad.
So, we'll see how far we can get.
There were some topics I just wanted to talk about so badly.
So, um I'm not going to do the simultaneous stuff because I did that in the one that I imported.
Let's see how far we can get.
So, does it seem to you that AI has turned into a race between building data centers and building power plants as fast as they can versus there's probably somebody in some garage somewhere who's inventing a way to do it without all that energy.
Does that not seem obviously true to you?
Because when we're trying to when we're trying to predict, you know, what does the future look like?
I cannot imagine that the AI companies are right that it will just take massive energy and more energy and if you want to get better, you just need more energy.
This seems seems far more likely that somebody's already inventing a way around that.
So that's what I'm going to bet on.
But you know, Ronda Santis, it turns out, is a AI skeptic and he said some interesting things.
Politico is reporting on this.
Um, so he's he's interested in more, you know, more regulation and uh doesn't want to doesn't want AI to, you know, use up all the energy, etc.
So, he's a little skeptical about his value.
And he put a really interesting slant on this, sort of a religious slant I hadn't heard before.
He says we have to reject with every fiber of our being.
Uh well, he said the idea of this transhumanist strain that would be the robots and the AI that somehow this is going to supplant humans and this other stuff.
We have to reject that with every fiber of our being.
Here's the interesting part.
He says, "We as individual human beings are the ones that are endowed by God with certain unalienable rights in Elgo and blah blah blah.
They did not endow machines or computers with us.
So here's my provocative question.
What's going to happen to your view of free will when computer when robots obviously have it?
So if I said to you define free will and I've had this conversation a million times.
You say well it's the ability to make a choice.
And I would say well AI can make a choice.
So does it have free will?
And then you would say, "No, no, because if a computer does it, it's just programmed." And you know, it's a there's no choice.
Only one thing could happen.
But what happens when you can't figure out why the AI did what it did, which is actually the current situation?
So, you won't be able to trace back any kind of cause and effect.
It's going to look like the AI had choices exactly like a human did and it picked one.
So, will your belief in free will disappear?
Because once a computer can do it, then I would argue a I could already do that.
Um, and if you can't predict why it would do it, that's going to look a lot like free choice.
So, what are you going to do then?
Um, will you call it free will?
I don't know.
I recommend my book God's Debris if you want to struggle with some of those philosophical things.
It's the the new version is called God's Debris, the complete works.
So, you can get it on Amazon.
It's the only place you get it.
Speaking of fraud, did you know that uh James Comey uh once had conversations with TV director Dick Wolf, which I always thought was a sketchy name, Dick Wolf, um to uh to put more FBI content in his shows because he was a very successful TV producer.
And he did.
So, how many of you are aware that for decades and decades, uh, Hollywood has been influenced by the government to say good things about the military, say good things about law enforcement, say good things about the FBI.
Television has always been propaganda.
Always has been.
But when you hear it so, you know, plainly laid out, it might shock a few people who didn't know that was the case.
And I've argued that this is probably the good kind of propaganda if they do it right.
For example, if the propaganda on TV is to make people more patriotic, well, is that bad?
So, some of it's bad, but it might be also a cover for, you know, bad FBI behavior to make them look good when in fact they might be doing some stuff you don't like.
Well, here's something Kevin Kylie in California tells us that one-third of California community colleges, their applications for the college are fake.
And the only reason people are applying, one-third of them, is for uh financial aid fraud.
So, how many times have I told you there's there's anything that involves a lot of money, financial aid, and there's no audit or at least no useful audit that eventually it just turns to fraud every time.
You you could have predicted this so easily.
Is it a is money involved?
Is the government involved?
Are a lot of people involved as time going by?
All those are true.
Guaranteed corruption.
Sure.
It's massive.
Meanwhile, did you think the fraud was going to be limited to a few states?
No, of course not.
because whatever it is that made Minnesota and California so friaking and fraudulent is almost certainly happening in the other states.
So now we find out that in Washington state there are 539 child care centers that list Somali as the primary language and they don't even have a street address according to Christian M.
I saw the next.
How many of those do you think are fraudulent?
All of them.
Yeah.
Maybe all of them.
Yes.
Because a lot of money is involved.
A lot of people are involved.
There's no no real audit.
Obviously, 100% of the time that will turn into fraud every time.
No exceptions.
Sure enough, what's happening in Ohio?
Wall Street Apes is reporting that uh fraudulent oh simoleon healthc care companies are being created uh where you can get as much as you can get as much as a quarter million dollars for being a fake health care person for your own family.
You just have to have several relatives and just say, "Well, you know, I'm going to sit around this old relative and help." And you don't even have to prove it.
So So apparently you could get $75,000 to $90,000 a year just saying that you're taking care of an elderly parent of your own or somebody else's, I guess.
And if you have two parents, you can double it.
And if you had your in-laws, you can get up to a quarter billion dollars a year for claiming that you're helping them even if you don't do a damn thing.
Again, lots of money involved.
Let's see.
This would be fraudulent for Medicare, right?
Is Medicare every single time.
Well, um I heard Owen Gregorian mention that there's this thing called qui TAM spelled QI space T A M.
How many of you have ever heard that there is already on the books a I guess you call the law or I'm not sure if law is the right word but it's you know part of a uh some legislation that already passed some time ago called quam.
Now, it turns out that there is an exist.
It's Medicaid, not Medicare.
I'm being told that was being scammed in that last case.
Um, so I'm being told that this has already existed for years.
And what it is is a provision in the law in the United States that if you if you're a whistleblower and you turn in some major fraud against the government and this is critical and the government accepts it as a major fraud and then does some legis does some uh let's say a lawsuit to to get it back that you would get up to 15 to 20% of whatever was recovered.
But did you know it existed?
No.
But now you do.
And apparently there's a startup um more than one I think.
But one of them is called Anti- Fraud Co.
Um, and Alex Sheay is one of the founders and he's informing us on X that they've already built a system that uses AI to identify probable fraud so that any citizen can take it to the government and it would simplify, I think, the lawsuit, you know, the process.
So it first identify the fraud, the big ones, and then it would walk you through taking it to the government and if the government accepts the case, and why wouldn't they?
Because they would have pretty good evidence by then.
Uh, and if they get money back, you get a you get a pretty big chunk of it.
So the thinking is that we already have um a legal structure to essentially close down the biggest frauds because it would incentivize the public to be fraud hunters and it would give them a legal a legal framework to do that.
Now how many of you knew that was possible?
um you know because people like me and Jimatha Pelipatia and Bill Aman a bunch of other people we've been talking about the lack of audit that that would have caught these frauds but we also know that auditing doesn't work in its in its normal form.
There would have to be some kind of major incentive for someone that can make so much money by doing it through a proper legal framework that they wouldn't need to take a bribe.
And this might be the thing.
So it wouldn't work for small stuff because the bribe would still be bigger than you can make from, you know, a lawsuit.
But for the big stuff, the stuff we care about, we might have actually something that looks like a working procedure because follow the money is going to work every time.
And this is a it certainly looks like a possibility.
So it's called quam qi space tam.
And if you want to know more about that, I'd recommend Grock.
it gave a gave a good background of that that might be the thing that saves us.
Um, and sort of on top of that, speaking of Shimath, um, and speaking of Nick Shirley, who is that 22year-old who did an amazing job of uncovering the fraud in in Minnesota.
Now, people have pointed out that he isn't the first one to uncover it.
The local news has already covered it and a while ago, but it didn't activate anything.
So apparently people knew there were whistleblowers that apparently got punished.
There were news coverage that didn't activate anything.
There must have been a one assumes that the the the legal process within the state was probably corrupt and did not do anything.
But if you have a independent journalist who in this case made a big splash on X, the combination of X plus a really, you know, aggressive independent uh journalist might get you something might get you something.
So the way Shimath put it was he said we may be witnessing the Cambrian explosion that creates Doge 2.0 No, completely decentralized Gonzo journalism exposing fraud all over the country.
Again, the monetization is the key.
So, if if young people see that Nick Shirley, 22 years old, um made a big a big dent in the universe, and if they see that he monetized it, well, you can do a lot more of it.
So that's good news.
Anyway, meanwhile, uh, one of the Californian politicians who broke Kana is still pushing on this idea of a wealth tax where they would confiscate, you know, one to 5%, I guess, but it would always be 5% when you're done of the wealth of billionaires in California.
And I'm kind of I'm kind of entertained by this because I thought Ro Conor was one of the smart ones, but he's not acting like it on this topic.
And then I I did a little research to find out if you know maybe his buddy Massie had helped him out to tell him how dumb this was.
But Massie is kind of sticking with, you know, just lower taxes is better.
So I think he's staying with the generic.
Um, but some of the billionaires like Lucky Palmer are trying to explain to him that there's a reason that people like Larry Page and Peter Teal are already planning to leave California reportedly.
Reportedly.
So, I was wondering if there's no way to avoid this, is there a way to turn it into something smarter?
And I gave you some suggestions yesterday, but I have a better one.
So, part of the problem is that the billionaires are not necessarily liquid and they're they're a better allocator of funds than the government is.
And it feels like theft.
um if you just confiscate their wealth and there there's a line that you can't cross or at least you can't cross it too quickly where where the people who are giving up their money move from well I hate paying high taxes of course to wait a minute you're actually stealing and this is this crosses that line so even if Roana is right that people like uh Peter Teal and Larry Page, maybe they could easily afford it.
Maybe it wouldn't change their financial decisions, but psychologically they're going to say, "You're stealing from me." And if I were in that situation, I wish I were actually.
If I were in that situation, I would say, "I don't care that you think it won't change my decisions." you're stealing from me and I'm gonna stop you from stealing.
It would be sort of like if a pickpocker if a pickpocket stuck his hand in your pants.
You wouldn't argue that the pickpocket has a good use for the money, right?
You would argue, "Get your hand out of my pants." So, they're in the hands in the pants phase now.
And it's a slippery slope, right?
All right, I might have to pause a little bit.
Yeah, still.
All right, let me slow down a little bit.
There's an opinion that I had on the uh Somalian theft that I had not seen before yesterday.
And I never spoken it because it would have sounded racist.
But time goes by and we now have a little more free speech than we used to.
And I saw a post by cynical Publus that matches what I thought to be the case.
And this is not racist.
This is about culture.
All right?
But you know, 10 minutes ago before we had free speech, you would have been accused of being racist even though this has nothing to do with race.
And the opinion is this.
as cynical publicist points out.
So he spent a lot of time in his uh life in Africa and um the Middle East.
And what he tells us is this and I already knew this but I wouldn't have said it out loud that there are some cultures particularly African cultures and Somalia in particular in which the concept of fraud is not even a concept.
How many of you knew that?
Now remember this is about their culture, nothing about race.
The in some African cultures and the only ones I'm sure about are Somalia.
Um the tribe comes first and there's not really even a question of fraud.
So, for example, the way I heard it was if you hired a Somalian to work at your uh convenience store and a you know, let's say some white American comes in and says, "Hey, can you give me the stuff for free?" The Simoleon would say, "No, you have to buy it." But if someone from the Somalian tribe, like literally same tribe, walked in and said, "Hey, I'm going to I'm going to take this food here." The Simoleon behind the counter would say, "Have a good day." and would not think, this is the weird part, would not think any crime had happened because they don't have a concept that if you're helping your tribe, how could that be wrong?
Now, that that's sort of mind-blowing the first time you hear it, but I I'd heard this a while ago, and I you can see why I wouldn't bring it up, but at the moment, you can actually say that out loud.
And I think I think it's useful to understand that if you import as cynical publicist says in his post, I think it's useful to know that if you import a philosophy or a point of view that's that different from the one we have and and you get enough of them, there's just no way that's going to work out, right?
So you could argue whether their their philosophy is better than ours, but you can't argue that they work together.
You can't argue that you can just say, well, you know, you guys can work together.
There's no conflict here.
You can't that those you would have to work as hard as you can to make sure that you, you know, shift them back to wherever that would be appropriate in their minds.
then they can do whatever they want and it wouldn't affect you.
But as long as we have a concept of fraud in this country, you don't want to water that down with people who don't even think it's a concept.
And then I remind you this has nothing to do with race, everything to do with with some pockets of of culture.
Well, you've been hearing in social media that the cuts to USA ID are killing people.
Have you heard that?
So, a lot of people on the left, presumably people who are benefiting from this money laundering operation, I would call it.
Um, they're all going to die if they have their funding cut.
Well, Mike Cernovich points out that uh anyone believing those USAD custo leads to death stories is too stupid to function.
Okay, that gets right to it.
Although the obvious question, if it were true, why didn't the left-wing billionaires fill the shortfall?
Why is it the moral duty of working Americans to fund Africa's population growth?
Well, that gets right at it, doesn't it?
Yeah, that would be a perfectly reasonable thing.
I do not believe the stories of people dying because the aid got cut.
Elon Musk weighed in agreeing with Sono and he said that the stories of the people dying, he said it was completely false.
He goes on and says, "Bill Gates is pushing this lie despite having over 80 billion dollars in his NGO that he could easily spend to save these alleged lives that are being lost.
Why doesn't he?
Bill Gates is a liar.
Always has been." Well, that bad blood between Musk and Gates appears to not be getting any better.
So, I saw New York Post is reporting that uh George Soros's family has donated a whole bunch of money to uh Leticia James.
You know, you know, Leticia James of law fairing against Trump and now getting lawfared herself.
And this made me wonder since we've watched that every time there's money involved, big money, and every time it's not well audited, and every time you have lots of people involved, what happens?
Well, you've already heard me say it three times today.
It guarantees that there's fraud.
So, here's the interesting thing.
Don't you think that George Soros is being massively defrauded or frauded?
That he's being massively frauded of his own money, which is kind of interesting.
We we have some evidence of that, really strong evidence because Soros funded Black Lives Matter and some large amount of that funding ended up in mansions and luxury cars.
So what percent of all the money that George Soros has given to not just prosecutors but to various entities turned out to be money laundered and stolen from him?
You remember I you remember I brought this up maybe two years ago and I was speculating that there's no possible way that George Soros knows where his money is going because you know and then and then later even after I speculated that he didn't know where his money was going uh we found out that Black Lives Matter was basically a fake organization and uh it massively stolen money, but not just other donated money, but George Soros's money.
And I speculated that Alex Soros might have been not capable of auditing where his money was going.
Now, that turns out to be somewhat of an unfair opinion on my part because it's not limited to to Alex Soros not being able to watch where his money goes.
All of these frauds in all of these states suggest that nobody can ever tell where the money goes.
The military can't tell you where the money went.
You know, nobody can.
So, what were the odds that the Soros organization was the only thing that could tell where his money was going and that it was going to the right place?
None.
There was no chance that Soros was not being ripped off by his own team.
No chance.
Now, I do think that the smaller amounts that he was giving to prosecutors probably was well spent because it's smaller amounts.
You could tell whether they got elected or not.
You know, maybe the audit is less important in that case.
But I'll bet you even the prosecutors were stealing his money.
Do you think that Leticia James used 100% of the Soros money for legitimate election reasons?
Nope.
Probably not.
I don't know what she used it for.
But if you look at the totality of her body of work, if she could steal it, I'll bet she was.
Now, under that filter, which every one of you agrees with, by now, what do you think Uma Abedine is doing married to Alex Soros?
Is it possible that the Clinton camp was well aware that Soros's money was basically being stolen?
And could it be that the addition of UMA was to add some fiscal discipline so that the Democrats could either could either make sure it was going to the right place for the first time uh or to make sure more of it went to Clinton related stuff.
So it changes everything, doesn't it?
Once you realize that 100% of big money uh activities are fraudulent, then you you could put that filter on Soros and you could see him as not just a bad guy.
If you don't like what he's funding, he's a bad guy.
But he absolutely has to be a victim.
He has to be a victim because there's no way that these same bunch of criminals are going to let all that money go to where it was meant to go when nobody's watching.
So that might give you a laugh.
All right.
So historian wired that the dollar is ending its dominance.
And an example of that is that the dollar used to make up 72% of global reserves in 1999 but now it's down to 58%.
And other other currencies are used as part of the reserves.
But I ask you this, who would want to who would want to have a currency of some other country?
Which country would you trust their currency more than the United States?
Now, I totally understand why you wouldn't trust the dollar because it's getting inflated, blah, blah, blah.
But in order for the dollar not to become a global reserve, you'd have to have an alternative.
What would that be?
But would you trust any other one country to be strong enough to protect your money?
So, here's what I think.
I think that the other currencies are being held strictly as a diversification play because the US dollar as bad as it is and the and it's definitely getting worse, there's not really any one currency you'd ever want to own, you know, to to make up for that risk.
So if unless you move to crypto where money becomes worthless because of AI which is possible seems to me that they will always need a healthy percentage of the US dollar for the reserve global reserves and that if they own anything else such as the bricks etc they would do it strictly for diversification.
That's just my thought about that.
Well, Putin uh we we'll talk about Ukraine.
So, Trump met with Zilinski and Scott my ideas about ending the war.
I I'll tell you how to end it in a minute, but there's a report that Putin the same day that Trump and Silinski were meeting, he was doing some public stuff dressed in his military uniform.
Now, the speculation is given that Putin typically wears a suit that if he's appearing in public in a military uniform, he's signaling to Trump and to everybody else that he's not done militarily, which presumably is part of the leverage for any negotiations.
And uh so we show that Russia doesn't have incentive to settle.
as an incentive to keep going because it's making, you know, slow but, you know, definite gains and it can do it as long as it wants and that and that Putin's in war war mode and he's not in necessarily peace mode.
So maybe that's probably a good Yeah, that would be a smart persuasion play.
But speaking of persuasion, let's talk about uh what might be happening there with Ukraine.
So, here's something that Trump said I thought was interestingly uh persuasive.
When asked if uh they're making progress, he always claims yes, even even when it's no, which is good persuasion.
So even if he believed they were not making progress, it would be smarter if he wanted progress someday to say that they are because he could actually talk people into thinking he might be making progress even if they're involved in the progress even if they're involved and they don't see it.
So if he just keeps repeating we're making progress then even if they had not made progress, people are going to start to think well he thinks we're making progress.
Maybe we're making progress.
And if people start thinking that progress is happening, it makes it much easier for progress to happen.
If people believed that nobody believed there was progress, then they would have all the freedom in the world to say, "Well, I don't see any progress.
Where's the progress?" But if somebody that prominent says, "Oh, yeah, we're making progress.
Look at that progress.
I don't have the details yet, but progress all over the place." So, persuasion wise, he's right on point.
And then he said uh his exact words were that the war is either going to end or it's going to go on for a long time.
Which I laugh.
Nobody would say it that way.
Right?
That is such a Trumpian sentence.
It'll either end or it's going to go on for a long time.
So what he's done there is he's shown that the alternative is what nobody wants.
and he he turned it into a binary.
Well, two possibilities.
We either get something done, you know, kind of quickly or it just goes on for a long time, which nobody wants.
Again, good persuasion because nobody wants the longtime option.
Um, so he actually Trump actually said the negotiations are reaching their final stages, but that could mean one of two things.
Final as in we're going to stop trying and then it goes on for a long time or final they get a deal, but it's open-ended.
All right, let's talk about where it is.
So apparently the US has offered a 15-year security guarantee and Zalinski wants more up to as much as 50 years.
Here's the first way to talk about the 50 years.
We cannot predict anything in 15 years, much less 50.
There's no such thing as a 50-year guarantee.
So as Lensky can ask for it, but even if we wanted to give it, it's not possible because it doesn't exist.
There's no such thing as a 50-year guarantee when people can just change their mind in the next 50 years.
So, I would first of all say that even the 15-year 15 guarantee is kind of meaningless, which means that Trump is giving up something of no value to get something of value, which would be a peace deal.
That is so Trumpian.
So, so Trump is creating this psychological asset called his security guarantee for 15 years.
that can't exist because all it takes is one of the people to change their mind.
There's not really anything that would change, you know, that from happening.
So, so what do you do?
Well, I wonder if the 15 years is really designed to get past Putin's lifestyle, I'm sorry, lifespan.
So, how old is Putin?
70ish.
So if you add 15 years to Putin's lifespan, what are the odds he's still going to be here and still in charge?
So it might be that privately they could say, "All right, it's not really about Russia versus the US.
is about Putin versus the US and we don't know what follows Putin but um if we could weigh him out we have a whole different world then on top of that um point out that we've entered the AI age.
So, it used to be that if you made a 15-year prediction, well, you you really didn't have a chance of being accurate because nobody's nobody could do that.
But in the age of AI, it is absurd to imagine you could say what's going to happen after 15 years.
Somebody said that if you put a 15-year timer on it, you're really just putting a deadline on it and then Russia will attack after the 15 years.
You don't know what 15 years looks like.
You have no way to know what the world looks like in five years.
So to make a 15-year plan or to make your plan based on what might happen in 15 years is complete nonsense.
It's nonsense.
So, how in the world can they get to a security guarantee when you can't predict anything?
And it would be absurd to even try.
Well, here's where the reframe comes in.
And although this would be applying to the uh the disputed zones, not the not the entire Ukraine.
Um this looks to me like a a Jared Kushner idea because I don't know if you know this but Jared Kushner has read my book Win Bigley which teaches persuasion and you know that he did the the uh uh Abraham's accords.
Abraham Accords which essentially reframed the Middle East into an economic opportunity.
And so we see him uh I'm sure this is him more than Wickoff although Wickoff is very good.
So Wickoff, you may have easily agreed with this, but I'll bet you that Jared is behind the idea of reframing the situation and calling this this is our proposal, well, US proposal, I guess, to to designate the disputed areas on the border uh as free economic zones.
So again, you would reframe it from a war zone to a free economic zone.
And then if you can get that reframe, you can make people think past the sale.
The sale is, you know, stop fighting.
But if you say it's going to be a free economic zone, then people start asking, well, but who's going to administer it?
How would that work?
Who would get what?
So that would make you think past the the war and as long as people are putting their time both sides you need you would need Russia to at least engage in the conversation.
If you can get them to engage in the conversation of what that would look like then the reframe starts working.
And I think Jerry is the only one smart enough who would have that that sensibility that that would be the really the only way he can it really is the only way that this could work.
So let's do that.
Let's do a little speculation about what that would look like if they did it.
So again, here I'm helping out by thinking past the sale, the sale being stop fighting and think about how you could both make money.
So I guess Zalinski said that uh Kiev, Ukraine would be the ones to administer those areas and forces would be withdrawn.
So, it'd be a non-military area, but that that Ukraine would administer.
Now, what are the odds that Russia would agree that it would be administered by Ukraine?
None.
There's no chance of that.
So, let's let's call that a starting position.
So, what would it look like if someone who's not Ukraine administered it?
Whoops.
Well, I don't know that you'd want the United States to administer it, but that would start looking like a security guarantee if we did, right?
Because the US would be counted on to protect its own interests more than it would be counted on to protect some other country's interests, even an ally.
So if we could say the US will administer this but we would also take a cut maybe of resources or something like that so that so we'd have some reason to administer it and we'd have something to lose if things started going sideways.
I would also wonder if you could if you could propose making it the first AI administered um country or area.
Suppose you went to Russia and you said um we're going to get some independent entity to build us the first AI administered economic zone.
Again, you're making people think past the sale of fighting to wait a minute, could AI do that?
And I think it could.
So, in other words, you want to take as many humans out of it because the humans are all the problem, right?
and you say the United States will will help you maybe with the help of I don't know Switzerland or United Nations or something.
So you put together some kind of coalition of humans who primarily would make sure that the AI um administered.
So the reframe here is we're not administering it.
The AI is, you know, you'd be lucky if you had an AI administering you because it gets rid of the fraud.
Oh, what's the biggest problem in Ukraine?
Fraud.
What's the biggest problem in Russia?
Fraud.
What's the one thing that you might be able to champ down with AI?
Fraud.
So the way you get in is you say uh the biggest problem with a new economic zone is it'll just become a criminal organization but we will help you administer the AI.
So we're not administering the zone we would be managing the AI and then the AI would be continuously checking with citizens finding out yeah doing audits.
The AI would do the audits.
The AI would keep everything organized.
The AI would collect taxes.
Or maybe it's a no tax zone.
It it seems like it would be easy to get a referendum to um do this with the the people who live there.
If you said, "How about no taxes?" Maybe they have no taxes now.
I don't know.
Who controls the AI?
That is the right question.
control is not the word you want to use.
You want to say that um something like manage.
So you would get the US and maybe a few other countries to manage and it would include Ukraine and it would include Russia.
So you'd have, you know, the Russian blah blah blah and uh so the US would, let's say, manage the technology, but it would do it with, you know, open, it would have to have pretty open access technology so that anybody can audit it.
But if you're asking those questions, you're close to a deal.
All right?
So nothing normal is going to solve this.
So if you say we're going to have an AI administered um free economic zone and we're going to do that to get rid of the fraud and we're going to use that as our um let's say we're going to use that as our um economic no as our security guarantee.
So the security guarantee would be we would remove the reasons for war.
We'd remove the reasons, but we'd have we'd have enough of a investment that we would try pretty hard to make sure that nothing went wrong.
So, um, and then the other weasel thing that would work is that you could let Russia say we won and we we're getting everything we want because the people are protected.
We'll call it part of Russia, but Ukraine say we won because it's not part of Russia, it's part of Ukraine.
But it would really be something that's neither.
there would be this sort of special economic zone.
Anyway, you could also you could also offer to Russia that the success of the special economic zone is the only path toward normalizing relations with both Europe and the US.
So if you said to Russia, here's the deal.
the one only way we're going to look at going back to uh buying your energy Europe and the only way we're going to go back to you know more of a normal relationship is that if the special economic zone works that would be a pretty good security guarantee because like I said you could never make you know a 15-year security guarantee is is absurd All right.
What do you think?
Well, so the point is when Trump says they're getting close to a deal, I think it has everything to do with the how they reframe it.
In other news, Iranian hackers allegedly got into uh Netanyahu's chief of staff's phone and dropped a video and they published a video from his phone of some kind of private meeting.
And it made me wonder if Iran had access to his chief of staff's phone, um why would they drop that video?
And the smart people say that that's a sort of a classic thing you would do to show that uh they have worse stuff than the stuff they presented.
So it'd be sort of a sort of a blackmail situation where they say well if we have this video from the chief of staff's phone imagine what we haven't shown you.
So, I don't know.
I have some question how much, you know, whether they have more than that.
Yeah, it was embarrassing, but I don't know if it's a big deal or not.
Anyway, let me look at my notes.
Um, I've got some healthcare worker coming to do some stuff in a few minutes.
All right, I made it through.
So, I apologize for the earlier attempt, but I thought you might miss me.
So, I came back.
Um, if you missed my explanation earlier, I had to bail out my first podcast because I had a a coughing attack and there's nothing you can do about it but wait it out.
So, I waited it out as much as I could and took another shot at it.
All right.
You did miss me.
All right.
Uh, I'm going to go and grab some breakfast before my uh arrival of my healthcare nurse.
When you're in my situation, you get a lot of people who come to the house for healthc care reasons.
Always a lot of action.
All right, everybody.
Thanks for understanding.
Thanks for coming back a second time.
And I will see you tomorrow.
I hope my timing is better.
Bye for now.
back. Sorry, I had to stop everything. I
had a little bit of a coughing attack.
I have that about once a day, but the
timing was really bad.
So, we'll see how far we can get. There
were some topics I just wanted to talk
about so badly.
So, um I'm not going to do the
simultaneous stuff because I did that in
the one that I imported.
Let's see how far we can get.
So, does it seem to you that AI has
turned into a race between building data
centers and building power plants as
fast as they can versus there's probably
somebody in some garage somewhere who's
inventing a way to do it without all
that energy.
Does that not seem obviously true to
you? Because when we're trying to when
we're trying to predict, you know, what
does the future look like?
I cannot imagine
that the AI companies are right that it
will just take massive energy and more
energy and if you want to get better,
you just need more energy. This seems
seems far more likely that somebody's
already inventing a way around that.
So that's what I'm going to bet on. But
you know, Ronda Santis, it turns out, is
a AI skeptic
and he said some interesting things.
Politico is reporting on this. Um, so
he's he's interested in more, you know,
more regulation
and uh doesn't want to doesn't want AI
to, you know, use up all the energy,
etc. So, he's a little skeptical about
his value.
And he put a really interesting slant on
this, sort of a religious slant I hadn't
heard before. He says we have to reject
with every fiber of our being.
Uh well, he said the idea of this
transhumanist strain that would be the
robots and the AI that somehow this is
going to supplant humans and this other
stuff. We have to reject that with every
fiber of our being. Here's the
interesting part. He says, "We as
individual human beings are the ones
that are endowed by God
with certain unalienable rights in Elgo
and blah blah blah. They did not endow
machines or computers with us. So here's
my provocative question.
What's going to happen to your view of
free will when computer when robots
obviously have it?
So if I said to you define free will and
I've had this conversation a million
times. You say well it's the ability to
make a choice.
And I would say well AI can make a
choice.
So does it have free will? And then you
would say, "No, no, because if a
computer does it, it's just programmed."
And you know, it's a there's no choice.
Only one thing could happen.
But what happens when you can't figure
out why the AI did what it did, which is
actually the current situation?
So, you won't be able to trace back any
kind of cause and effect.
It's going to look like the AI had
choices
exactly like a human did and it picked
one. So, will your belief in free will
disappear?
Because once a computer can do it, then
I would argue a I could already do that.
Um, and if you can't predict why it
would do it, that's going to look a lot
like free choice. So, what are you going
to do then?
Um, will you call it free will? I don't
know. I recommend my book God's Debris
if you want to struggle with some of
those philosophical things. It's the the
new version is called God's Debris, the
complete works. So, you can get it on
Amazon. It's the only place you get it.
Speaking of fraud,
did you know that uh James Comey uh once
had conversations with TV director Dick
Wolf, which I always thought was a
sketchy name, Dick Wolf,
um
to uh to put more FBI content in his
shows because he was a very successful
TV producer.
And he did.
So, how many of you are aware that for
decades and decades, uh, Hollywood has
been influenced by the government to say
good things about the military, say good
things about law enforcement, say good
things about the FBI.
Television has always been
propaganda.
Always has been. But when you hear it
so, you know, plainly laid out, it might
shock a few people who didn't know that
was the case.
And I've argued that this is probably
the good kind of propaganda if they do
it right. For example, if the propaganda
on TV
is to make people more patriotic,
well, is that bad?
So, some of it's bad, but it might be
also a cover for, you know, bad FBI
behavior to make them look good when in
fact they might be doing some stuff you
don't like.
Well, here's something Kevin Kylie in
California tells us that one-third of
California community colleges, their
applications for the college are fake.
And the only reason people are applying,
one-third of them, is for uh financial
aid fraud.
So, how many times have I told you
there's there's anything that involves a
lot of money, financial aid,
and there's no audit or at least no
useful audit
that eventually it just turns to fraud
every time.
You you could have predicted this so
easily.
Is it a is money involved? Is the
government involved? Are a lot of people
involved as time going by? All those are
true. Guaranteed
corruption. Sure. It's massive.
Meanwhile, did you think the fraud was
going to be limited to a few states? No,
of course not. because whatever it is
that made Minnesota and California so
friaking and fraudulent is almost
certainly happening in the other states.
So now we find out that in Washington
state there are 539 child care centers
that list Somali as the primary language
and they don't even have a street
address according to Christian M. I saw
the next.
How many of those do you think are
fraudulent?
All of them.
Yeah. Maybe all of them. Yes. Because a
lot of money is involved. A lot of
people are involved. There's no no real
audit. Obviously,
100% of the time that will turn into
fraud every time. No exceptions.
Sure enough, what's happening in Ohio?
Wall Street Apes is reporting that uh
fraudulent oh simoleon healthc care
companies are being created uh where you
can get as much as you can get as much
as a quarter million dollars for being a
fake health care person for your own
family.
You just have to have several relatives
and just say, "Well, you know, I'm going
to sit around this old relative and
help." And you don't even have to prove
it. So So apparently you could get
$75,000 to $90,000 a year just saying
that you're taking care of an elderly
parent of your own or somebody else's, I
guess. And if you have two parents, you
can double it.
And if you had your in-laws, you can get
up to a quarter billion dollars a year
for claiming that you're helping them
even if you don't do a damn thing.
Again, lots of money involved.
Let's see. This would be fraudulent for
Medicare, right?
Is Medicare
every single time.
Well, um I heard Owen Gregorian mention
that there's this thing called qui TAM
spelled QI
space T A M. How many of you have ever
heard that there is already on the books
a I guess you call the law or I'm not
sure if law is the right word but it's
you know part of a uh some legislation
that already passed some time ago called
quam.
Now, it turns out that there is an
exist. It's Medicaid, not Medicare. I'm
being told that was being scammed in
that last case. Um, so I'm being told
that this has already existed for years.
And what it is is a provision in the law
in the United States that if you if
you're a whistleblower
and you turn in some major fraud against
the government and this is critical and
the government accepts it as a major
fraud and then does some legis does some
uh let's say a lawsuit to to get it back
that you would get up to 15 to
20%
of whatever was recovered.
But did you know it existed? No. But now
you do. And apparently there's a startup
um more than one I think. But one of
them is called Anti- Fraud Co.
Um, and Alex Sheay is one of the
founders and he's informing us on X that
they've already built a system that uses
AI to identify probable fraud so that
any citizen can take it to the
government and it would simplify, I
think, the lawsuit, you know, the
process. So it first identify the fraud,
the big ones, and then it would walk you
through taking it to the government and
if the government accepts the case, and
why wouldn't they? Because they would
have pretty good evidence by then. Uh,
and if they get money back, you get a
you get a pretty big chunk of it.
So the thinking is that we already have
um a legal structure
to essentially close down the biggest
frauds because it would incentivize the
public to be fraud hunters and it would
give them a legal a legal framework to
do that. Now how many of you knew that
was possible?
um you know because people like me and
Jimatha Pelipatia and Bill Aman a bunch
of other people we've been talking about
the lack of audit
that that would have caught these frauds
but we also know that auditing doesn't
work in its in its normal form. There
would have to be some kind of major
incentive for someone that can make so
much money by doing it through a proper
legal framework that they wouldn't need
to take a bribe.
And this might be the thing. So it
wouldn't work for small stuff because
the bribe would still be bigger than you
can make from, you know, a lawsuit. But
for the big stuff, the stuff we care
about,
we might have actually something that
looks like a working procedure because
follow the money is going to work every
time.
And this is a it certainly looks like a
possibility.
So it's called quam
qi space tam. And if you want to know
more about that, I'd recommend Grock. it
gave a gave a good background of that
that might be the thing that saves us.
Um, and sort of on top of that,
speaking of Shimath,
um, and speaking of Nick Shirley, who is
that 22year-old who did an amazing job
of uncovering the fraud in in Minnesota.
Now, people have pointed out that he
isn't the first one to uncover it. The
local news has already covered it and a
while ago, but it didn't activate
anything. So apparently people knew
there were whistleblowers that
apparently got punished. There were news
coverage that didn't activate anything.
There must have been a
one assumes that the the the legal
process within the state was probably
corrupt and did not do anything. But if
you have a independent journalist who in
this case made a big splash on X, the
combination of X
plus a really, you know, aggressive
independent uh journalist might get you
something might get you something. So
the way Shimath put it was he said we
may be witnessing the Cambrian explosion
that creates Doge 2.0 No, completely
decentralized Gonzo journalism exposing
fraud all over the country.
Again, the monetization is the key. So,
if if young people see that Nick
Shirley, 22 years old, um made a big a
big dent in the universe,
and if they see that he monetized it,
well, you can do a lot more of it. So
that's good news.
Anyway, meanwhile,
uh, one of the Californian politicians
who broke Kana is still pushing on this
idea of a wealth tax
where they would confiscate,
you know, one to 5%,
I guess, but it would always be 5% when
you're done of the wealth of
billionaires in California.
And
I'm kind of I'm kind of entertained by
this because I thought Ro Conor was one
of the smart ones,
but he's not acting like it on this
topic. And then I I did a little
research to find out if you know maybe
his buddy Massie had helped him out to
tell him how dumb this was. But Massie
is kind of sticking with, you know, just
lower taxes is better. So I think he's
staying with the generic.
Um, but some of the billionaires like
Lucky Palmer are trying to explain to
him that there's a reason that people
like Larry Page and Peter Teal are
already planning to leave California
reportedly.
Reportedly.
So, I was wondering if there's no way to
avoid this,
is there a way to turn it into something
smarter?
And I gave you some suggestions
yesterday, but I have a better one. So,
part of the problem is that the
billionaires are not necessarily liquid
and they're they're a better allocator
of funds than the government is. And it
feels like theft.
um if you just confiscate their wealth
and there there's a line that you can't
cross or at least you can't cross it too
quickly where where the people who are
giving up their money move from well I
hate paying high taxes of course to wait
a minute you're actually stealing
and this is this crosses that line
so even if
Roana is right that people like uh Peter
Teal and Larry Page, maybe they could
easily afford it.
Maybe it wouldn't change their financial
decisions, but psychologically
they're going to say, "You're stealing
from me." And if I were in that
situation, I wish I were actually. If I
were in that situation, I would say, "I
don't care that you think it won't
change my decisions."
you're stealing from me and I'm gonna
stop you from stealing. It would be sort
of like if a pickpocker if a pickpocket
stuck his hand in your pants.
You wouldn't argue that the pickpocket
has a good use for the money, right? You
would argue, "Get your hand out of my
pants." So, they're in the hands in the
pants phase now.
And it's a slippery slope, right?
All right, I might have to pause a
little bit.
Yeah, still. All right, let me slow down
a little bit.
There's an opinion that I had
on the uh Somalian theft
that I had not seen before yesterday.
And I never spoken it because it would
have sounded racist.
But time goes by and we now have a
little more free speech than we used to.
And I saw a post by cynical Publus
that matches what I thought to be the
case. And this is not racist.
This is about culture. All right? But
you know, 10 minutes ago before we had
free speech, you would have been accused
of being racist even though this has
nothing to do with race. And the opinion
is this. as cynical publicist points
out. So he spent a lot of time in his uh
life in Africa and
um the Middle East. And what he tells us
is this and I already knew this but I
wouldn't have said it out loud that
there are some cultures
particularly African cultures and
Somalia in particular in which the
concept of fraud is not even a concept.
How many of you knew that?
Now remember this is about their
culture,
nothing about race.
The in some African cultures and the
only ones I'm sure about are Somalia. Um
the tribe comes first
and there's not really even a question
of fraud.
So, for example, the way I heard it was
if you hired a Somalian to work at your
uh convenience store
and a you know, let's say some white
American comes in and says, "Hey, can
you give me the stuff for free?" The
Simoleon would say, "No, you have to buy
it."
But if someone from the Somalian tribe,
like literally same tribe, walked in and
said, "Hey, I'm going to I'm going to
take this food here."
The Simoleon behind the counter would
say, "Have a good day." and would not
think, this is the weird part, would not
think any crime had happened because
they don't have a concept
that if you're helping your tribe, how
could that be wrong?
Now, that that's sort of mind-blowing
the first time you hear it, but I I'd
heard this a while ago, and I you can
see why I wouldn't bring it up, but at
the moment, you can actually say that
out loud. And I think I think it's
useful
to understand that if you import as
cynical publicist says in his post, I
think it's useful to know that if you
import a philosophy or a point of view
that's that different from the one we
have and and you get enough of them,
there's just no way that's going to work
out,
right? So you could argue whether their
their philosophy is better than ours,
but you can't argue that they work
together. You can't argue that you can
just say, well, you know, you guys can
work together. There's no conflict here.
You can't that those you would have to
work as hard as you can to make sure
that you, you know, shift them back to
wherever that would be appropriate in
their minds. then they can do whatever
they want and it wouldn't affect you.
But as long as
we have a concept of fraud in this
country,
you don't want to water that down with
people who don't even think it's a
concept. And then I remind you this has
nothing to do with race, everything to
do with with some pockets of of culture.
Well, you've been hearing in social
media that the cuts to USA ID are
killing people. Have you heard that? So,
a lot of people on the left, presumably
people who are benefiting from this
money laundering operation, I would call
it. Um, they're all going to die if they
have their funding cut. Well, Mike
Cernovich points out that uh anyone
believing those USAD custo leads to
death stories is too stupid to function.
Okay, that gets right to it. Although
the obvious question, if it were true,
why didn't the left-wing billionaires
fill the shortfall? Why is it the moral
duty of working Americans to fund
Africa's population growth? Well, that
gets right at it, doesn't it?
Yeah, that would be a perfectly
reasonable thing. I do not believe the
stories of people dying because the aid
got cut. Elon Musk weighed in agreeing
with Sono and he said that the stories
of the people dying, he said it was
completely false. He goes on and says,
"Bill Gates is pushing this lie despite
having over 80 billion dollars in his
NGO that he could easily spend to save
these alleged lives that are being lost.
Why doesn't he? Bill Gates is a liar.
Always has been."
Well, that bad blood between Musk and
Gates appears to not be getting any
better.
So, I saw New York Post is reporting
that uh George Soros's family has
donated a whole bunch of money to uh
Leticia James. You know, you know,
Leticia James of law fairing against
Trump and now getting lawfared herself.
And this made me wonder
since we've watched that every time
there's money involved,
big money,
and every time it's not well audited,
and every time you have lots of people
involved,
what happens? Well, you've already heard
me say it three times today. It
guarantees that there's fraud.
So, here's the interesting thing.
Don't you think that George Soros is
being massively defrauded
or frauded?
That he's being massively frauded of his
own money,
which is kind of interesting. We we have
some evidence of that, really strong
evidence because Soros funded Black
Lives Matter and some large amount of
that funding ended up in mansions and
luxury cars.
So what percent of all the money that
George Soros has given to not just
prosecutors but to various entities
turned out to be money laundered and
stolen from him?
You remember I you remember I brought
this up
maybe two years ago and I was
speculating that there's no possible way
that George Soros knows where his money
is going because you know and then and
then later even after I speculated that
he didn't know where his money was going
uh we found out that Black Lives Matter
was basically a fake organization
and uh it massively stolen
money, but not just other donated money,
but George Soros's money. And I
speculated that Alex Soros might have
been
not capable of auditing where his money
was going. Now, that turns out to be
somewhat of an unfair opinion on my part
because it's not limited to to Alex
Soros not being able to watch where his
money goes. All of these frauds in all
of these states suggest that nobody can
ever tell where the money goes. The
military can't tell you where the money
went. You know, nobody can. So, what
were the odds that the Soros
organization was the only thing that
could tell where his money was going and
that it was going to the right place?
None. There was no chance that Soros was
not being ripped off by his own team.
No chance. Now, I do think that the
smaller amounts that he was giving to
prosecutors
probably was well spent because it's
smaller amounts. You could tell whether
they got elected or not. You know, maybe
the audit is less important in that
case. But I'll bet you even the
prosecutors were stealing his money. Do
you think that Leticia James used 100%
of the Soros money for legitimate
election reasons?
Nope. Probably not. I don't know what
she used it for. But if you look at the
totality of her body of work, if she
could steal it, I'll bet she was.
Now, under that filter, which every one
of you agrees with, by now, what do you
think Uma Abedine is doing married to
Alex Soros?
Is it possible
that the Clinton camp was well aware
that Soros's money was basically being
stolen?
And could it be that the addition of UMA
was to add some fiscal discipline so
that the Democrats could either could
either make sure it was going to the
right place for the first time uh or to
make sure more of it went to Clinton
related stuff.
So it changes everything, doesn't it?
Once you realize that 100% of big money
uh activities are fraudulent,
then you you could put that filter on
Soros and you could see him as not just
a bad guy. If you don't like what he's
funding, he's a bad guy. But he
absolutely
has to be a victim.
He has to be a victim because there's no
way that these same bunch of criminals
are going to let all that money go to
where it was meant to go when nobody's
watching.
So that might give you a laugh.
All right.
So historian wired
that the dollar is ending its dominance.
And an example of that is that the
dollar used to make up 72% of global
reserves in 1999
but now it's down to 58%.
And other other currencies are used as
part of the reserves. But I ask you
this,
who would want to who would want to have
a currency of some other country?
Which country would you trust their
currency more than the United States?
Now, I totally understand why you
wouldn't trust the dollar because it's
getting inflated, blah, blah, blah. But
in order for the dollar not to become a
global reserve, you'd have to have an
alternative.
What would that be?
But would you trust any other one
country
to be strong enough to protect your
money? So, here's what I think. I think
that the other currencies are being held
strictly as a diversification play
because the US dollar as bad as it is
and the and it's definitely getting
worse,
there's not really any one currency
you'd ever want to own,
you know, to to make up for that risk.
So if unless you move to crypto where
money becomes worthless because of AI
which is possible seems to me that they
will always need a healthy percentage of
the US dollar for the reserve global
reserves and that if they own anything
else such as the bricks etc they would
do it strictly for diversification.
That's just my thought about that.
Well, Putin
uh we we'll talk about Ukraine. So,
Trump met with Zilinski
and Scott my ideas about ending the war.
I I'll tell you how to end it in a
minute, but there's a report that Putin
the same day
that Trump and Silinski were meeting, he
was doing some public stuff dressed in
his military uniform.
Now, the speculation is given that Putin
typically wears a suit that if he's
appearing in public in a military
uniform, he's signaling to Trump and to
everybody else that he's not done
militarily,
which presumably is part of the leverage
for any negotiations.
And uh so we show that Russia doesn't
have incentive to settle. as an
incentive to keep going because it's
making, you know, slow but, you know,
definite gains and it can do it as long
as it wants and that and that Putin's in
war war mode and he's not in necessarily
peace mode.
So maybe
that's probably a good Yeah, that would
be a smart persuasion play. But speaking
of persuasion, let's talk about uh what
might be happening there with Ukraine.
So, here's something that Trump said I
thought was interestingly
uh persuasive.
When asked if uh they're making
progress, he always claims yes, even
even when it's no, which is good
persuasion.
So even if he believed they were not
making progress,
it would be smarter if he wanted
progress someday to say that they are
because he could actually talk people
into thinking he might be making
progress even if they're involved in the
progress even if they're involved and
they don't see it. So if he just keeps
repeating we're making progress then
even if they had not made progress,
people are going to start to think well
he thinks we're making progress.
Maybe we're making progress. And if
people start thinking that progress is
happening, it makes it much easier for
progress to happen. If people believed
that nobody believed there was progress,
then they would have all the freedom in
the world to say, "Well, I don't see any
progress. Where's the progress?" But if
somebody that prominent says, "Oh, yeah,
we're making progress. Look at that
progress. I don't have the details yet,
but progress all over the place." So,
persuasion wise, he's right on point.
And then he said
uh his exact words were
that the war is either going to end or
it's going to go on for a long time.
Which I laugh. Nobody would say it that
way. Right? That is such a Trumpian
sentence. It'll either end or it's going
to go on for a long time. So what he's
done there is he's shown that the
alternative is what nobody wants.
and he he turned it into a binary. Well,
two possibilities. We either get
something done, you know, kind of
quickly or it just goes on for a long
time, which nobody wants. Again, good
persuasion
because nobody wants the longtime
option.
Um,
so he actually Trump actually said the
negotiations are reaching their final
stages, but that could mean one of two
things. Final as in we're going to stop
trying and then it goes on for a long
time or final they get a deal, but it's
open-ended.
All right, let's talk about
where it is. So apparently the US has
offered a 15-year
security guarantee
and Zalinski wants more up to as much as
50 years.
Here's the first way to talk about the
50 years.
We cannot predict anything in 15 years,
much less 50. There's no such thing as a
50-year guarantee.
So as Lensky can ask for it, but even if
we wanted to give it, it's not possible
because it doesn't exist. There's no
such thing as a 50-year guarantee when
people can just change their mind in the
next 50 years. So, I would first of all
say that even the 15-year 15 guarantee
is kind of meaningless,
which means that Trump is giving up
something of no value
to get something of value, which would
be a peace deal. That is so Trumpian.
So, so Trump is creating this
psychological asset
called his security guarantee for 15
years.
that
can't exist
because all it takes is one of the
people to change their mind. There's not
really anything that would change, you
know, that from happening.
So, so what do you do? Well, I wonder if
the 15 years is really designed to get
past Putin's lifestyle, I'm sorry,
lifespan.
So, how old is Putin?
70ish.
So if you add 15 years to Putin's
lifespan,
what are the odds he's still going to be
here and still in charge? So it might be
that privately they could say, "All
right, it's not really about Russia
versus the US. is about Putin versus the
US and we don't know what follows Putin
but um if we could weigh him out we have
a whole different world then on top of
that
um point out that we've entered the AI
age.
So, it used to be that if you made a
15-year prediction,
well, you you really didn't have a
chance of being accurate because
nobody's nobody could do that. But in
the age of AI, it is absurd
to imagine you could say what's going to
happen after 15 years.
Somebody said that if you put a 15-year
timer on it, you're really just putting
a deadline on it and then Russia will
attack after the 15 years.
You don't know what 15 years looks like.
You have no way to know what the world
looks like in five years. So to make a
15-year plan or to make your plan based
on what might happen in 15 years is
complete nonsense. It's nonsense.
So, how in the world can they get to a
security guarantee
when you can't predict anything? And it
would be absurd to even try.
Well, here's where the reframe comes in.
And although this would be applying to
the uh the disputed zones, not the not
the entire Ukraine. Um this looks to me
like a a Jared Kushner idea
because I don't know if you know this
but Jared Kushner has read my book Win
Bigley which teaches persuasion and you
know that he did the the uh uh Abraham's
accords. Abraham Accords which
essentially reframed
the Middle East into an economic
opportunity.
And so we see him uh I'm sure this is
him more than Wickoff although Wickoff
is very good. So Wickoff, you may have
easily agreed with this, but I'll bet
you that Jared is behind the idea of
reframing the situation and calling this
this is our proposal, well, US proposal,
I guess, to to designate the disputed
areas on the border uh as free economic
zones. So again, you would reframe it
from a war zone to a free economic zone.
And then if you can get that reframe,
you can make people think past the sale.
The sale is, you know, stop fighting.
But if you say it's going to be a free
economic zone, then people start asking,
well, but who's going to administer it?
How would that work? Who would get what?
So that would make you think past the
the war and as long as people are
putting their time both sides you need
you would need Russia to at least engage
in the conversation. If you can get them
to engage in the conversation of what
that would look like
then the reframe starts working.
And I think Jerry is the only one smart
enough who would have that that
sensibility that that would be the
really the only way he can it really is
the only way that this could work. So
let's do that.
Let's do a little speculation
about what that would look like if they
did it. So again, here I'm helping out
by thinking past the sale, the sale
being stop fighting and think about how
you could both make money.
So I guess Zalinski said that uh Kiev,
Ukraine would be the ones to administer
those areas
and forces would be withdrawn. So, it'd
be a non-military area, but that that
Ukraine would administer. Now, what are
the odds
that Russia would agree that it would be
administered by Ukraine? None.
There's no chance of that. So, let's
let's call that a starting position.
So, what would it look like if someone
who's not Ukraine
administered it? Whoops.
Well, I don't know that you'd want the
United States to administer it, but that
would start looking like a security
guarantee if we did, right? Because the
US would be counted on to protect its
own interests
more than it would be counted on to
protect some other country's interests,
even an ally. So if we could say the US
will administer this but we would also
take a cut maybe of resources or
something like that so that so we'd have
some reason to administer it and we'd
have something to lose
if things started going sideways.
I would also wonder if you could if you
could propose making it the first AI
administered
um country or area.
Suppose you went to Russia and you said
um we're going to get some independent
entity to build us the first AI
administered economic zone.
Again, you're making people think past
the sale of fighting to wait a minute,
could AI do that? And I think it could.
So, in other words, you want to take as
many humans out of it because the humans
are all the problem, right? and you say
the United States will will help you
maybe with the help of I don't know
Switzerland or United Nations or
something. So you put together some kind
of coalition of humans who primarily
would make sure that the AI
um administered.
So the reframe here is we're not
administering it. The AI is, you know,
you'd be lucky if you had an AI
administering you because it gets rid of
the fraud. Oh, what's the biggest
problem in Ukraine? Fraud. What's the
biggest problem in Russia? Fraud. What's
the one thing that you might be able to
champ down with AI?
Fraud. So the way you get in is you say
uh the biggest problem with a new
economic zone is it'll just become a
criminal organization
but we will help you administer the AI.
So we're not administering the zone we
would be managing the AI and then the AI
would be continuously checking with
citizens finding out yeah doing audits.
The AI would do the audits. The AI would
keep everything organized. The AI would
collect taxes.
Or maybe it's a no tax zone.
It it seems like it would be easy to get
a referendum
to um do this with the the people who
live there. If you said, "How about no
taxes?"
Maybe they have no taxes now. I don't
know.
Who controls the AI?
That is the right question. control
is not the word you want to use. You
want to say that um something like
manage.
So you would get the US and maybe a few
other countries to manage and it would
include Ukraine and it would include
Russia. So you'd have, you know, the
Russian blah blah blah and uh so the US
would, let's say, manage the technology,
but it would do it with, you know, open,
it would have to have pretty open access
technology so that anybody can audit it.
But if you're asking those questions,
you're close to a deal. All right? So
nothing normal is going to solve this.
So if you say we're going to have an AI
administered
um free economic zone and we're going to
do that to get rid of the fraud
and we're going to use that as our um
let's say we're going to use that as our
um economic no as our security
guarantee. So the security guarantee
would be we would remove the reasons for
war. We'd remove the reasons, but we'd
have we'd have enough of a
investment
that we would try pretty hard to make
sure that nothing went wrong.
So,
um, and then the other weasel thing that
would work is that you could let Russia
say we won and we we're getting
everything we want because the people
are protected. We'll call it part of
Russia, but Ukraine say we won because
it's not part of Russia, it's part of
Ukraine. But it would really be
something that's neither. there would be
this sort of special economic zone.
Anyway, you could also
you could also offer to Russia that the
success of the special economic zone is
the only path toward normalizing
relations with both Europe and the US.
So if you said to Russia, here's the
deal. the one only way we're going to
look at going back to uh buying your
energy Europe and the only way we're
going to go back to you know more of a
normal relationship is that if the
special economic zone works
that would be a pretty good security
guarantee because like I said you could
never make you know a 15-year security
guarantee is is absurd All
right. What do you think? Well, so the
point is when Trump says they're getting
close to a deal,
I think it has everything to do with the
how they reframe it.
In other news, Iranian hackers allegedly
got into uh Netanyahu's chief of staff's
phone and dropped a video and they
published a video from his phone of some
kind of private meeting.
And it made me wonder if Iran had access
to his chief of staff's phone,
um
why would they drop that video? And the
smart people say that that's a sort of a
classic thing you would do to show that
uh they have worse stuff than the stuff
they presented. So it'd be sort of a
sort of a blackmail situation where they
say well if we have this video from the
chief of staff's phone imagine what we
haven't shown you.
So, I don't know. I have some question
how much, you know, whether they have
more than that.
Yeah, it was embarrassing,
but I don't know if it's a big deal or
not.
Anyway,
let me look at my notes.
Um, I've got some
healthcare worker coming to
do some stuff in a few minutes.
All right, I made it through. So, I
apologize for the earlier attempt,
but I thought you might miss me. So, I
came back. Um,
if you missed my explanation earlier, I
had to bail out my first podcast because
I had a a coughing attack
and there's nothing you can do about it
but wait it out. So, I waited it out as
much as I could and
took another shot at it.
All right. You did miss me.
All right. Uh, I'm going to go and grab
some breakfast
before my
uh arrival of my healthcare nurse. When
you're in my situation, you get a lot of
people who come to the house for healthc
care reasons.
Always a lot of action.
All right, everybody. Thanks for
understanding. Thanks for coming back a
second time. And I will see you
tomorrow. I hope my timing is better.
Bye for now.