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Episode 401 Scott Adams - Proposal to End the Border Wall Impasse

Episode #401 Feb 3, 2019 51:13 11,848 views

Brain damage is a known, accepted, real possibility from football Hard to enjoy watching it, knowing that…who’s playing? If our sports were invented today, would we design them the same? Jussie Smollet story, is ANYBODY believing it? Governor Northam “moonwalked” back his previous apology His wife felt the need to tell him moonwalking not appropriate He’s been in blackface so often he isn’t sure it’s him in photo? Michael Moore says AOC is now the leader of Democrat party Democrat media goes after Tulsi Gabbard President Trump can declare a national emergency now He gave GOP and DEMS multiple chances for action The GOP and DEMS have confirmed they’re worthless The country is now primed to accept the pending EO Pelosi lied and demonstrated she isn’t credible Wall cost: Both sides agree the amount of money is trivial If the cost is trivial…what diff does it make who pays? Joe Rogin / Jack Dorsey “simultaneous sip” discussion Twitter pivoted from its early customer base Periscope not originally designed for podcasts ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ I fund my Periscopes and podcasts via audience micro-donations on Patreon. I prefer this method over accepting advertisements or working for a "boss" somewhere because it keeps my voice independent. No one owns me, and that is rare. I'm trying in my own way to make the world a better place, and your contributions help me stay inspired to do that. See all of my Periscope videos here… https://www.pscp.tv/ScottAdamsSays/1nAKERDOwylGL Find my WhenHub Interface app here… https://interface.whenhub.com

Opening General Commentary

Hey everybody, come on in here. I know I'm late. I'm in a different time zone for a few days. But it's time for Coffee with Scott Adams no matter where I am, no matter where you are. Drop what you're doing unless it's a baby. If you're holding a baby, don't drop it. But otherwise just drop whatever…

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SimultaneousSip General Commentary

s, grab your stein, your container, your glass. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the simultaneous sip. Oh, that's good. I see some of you are drinking the tears of your enemies instead of coffee. That is a

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

n acceptable replacement. So I came up with a plan for ending this whole border wall problem. You know, you've got the Democrats saying walls don't work and you've got the Republicans saying walls work. And here's what I propose. Are you ready? Since we know that Democrats love complicated multiva…

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MainContent General Commentary

ding the economy and race relations and everything else. You've got to put it all in your model and you should predict 80 years into the future because, you know, there's nothing more believable than a complex multivariate model that you can't see the code that predicts something exactly 80 years in…

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MainContent General Commentary

erest in football and it wasn't because of the protests over the anthem. From the start I said the anthem protests were offensive but they were meant to be. So they were effective in the sense that they got our attention. I don't think it's been effective in making anything change but you got our at…

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MainContent Cognitive Reframing

Have you ever tried to watch tennis lately? Used to be my favorite game but then the rackets kept getting better and better. So the technology of the rackets kept improving to the point where if you have a good enough racket, the racket is so strong that the other player can barely hit the ball back…

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QandA General Commentary

about anything new today? Well it's funny you should ask because I'll just, Emma, sorry I just blocked the wrong person. So the blocking on here, I just blocked some innocent person who's wondering why they got blocked. If you try to block them as they're moving sometimes you get the wrong person. S…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

selectively edited, let's say, clip of Nancy Pelosi. And the clip was edited so that you can see all of her misspeaking. So everywhere where she struggled for a word or she paused to find the next word or she had to stop and correct herself, I saw it edited together. So if you saw it all together it…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

only rational path that will be left to him. And of course he will do it. So those things we can predict with clarity. But if you hear the Democrats say, if they start talking about he said Mexico would pay for it, you know they've lost. If all they have left is the part of the campaign promise tha…

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MainContent Career & Life Strategy

adcast from wherever you are. But as Jack was describing on Joe Rogan, that people like me started using it for podcasts which was not an original application that was originally assumed. And because people started using it for that, so the way I'm using it is more like a podcast. And so because peo…

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QandA AI & Technology

rging? I don't believe we know. I don't think we capture that. It would be easy to capture. We have the raw data so we could but I don't think that's on the dashboard that we look at our data. But it's easy for you to just scroll through it. You can scroll through the experts. You can see the prices…

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Closing General Commentary

t's just a lawn. Not bad, huh? The weather's been terrible but all right. Back to me. Sorry it's disappointing you have to look at me. Well I think that's all I have to say today and I will keep you informed about new events and I will talk to you all later.

View segment →

Hey everybody, come on in here. I know I'm late. I'm in a different time zone for a few days. But it's time for Coffee with Scott Adams no matter where I am, no matter where you are. Drop what you're doing unless it's a baby. If you're holding a baby, don't drop it. But otherwise just drop whatever you're doing and join me.

Grab your cup, your mug, your chalice, your thermos, grab your stein, your container, your glass. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the simultaneous sip.

Oh, that's good. I see some of you are drinking the tears of your enemies instead of coffee. That is an acceptable replacement.

So I came up with a plan for ending this whole border wall problem. You know, you've got the Democrats saying walls don't work and you've got the Republicans saying walls work. And here's what I propose. Are you ready?

Since we know that Democrats love complicated multivariate prediction models such as for climate change, why don't we create a complex multivariate model or just have science do some studies to find out if walls work? So why don't we commission some scientists to study the effectiveness of walls?

For example, they could run tests where you build a wall and then you have some kind of, let's say, an animal. Yeah, let's say an animal. And you have that animal run as hard as they can into the wall and then you measure how many times it works, how many times does the animal get past the wall by butting its head into it.

Now I'm not suggesting that the human beings at the border are animals. Don't take me out of context. I know you like to do that. I'm just saying that you do animal tests before you do human trials. So we should do some animal testing with walls, see if animals can get over walls first. And if walls stop animals, then we can move on to the human trials where you build a wall and then you say, hey, do you want to go over this wall or maybe you'd like to take a different route?

And then after you've done the studies, that's not enough. You need to do a complicated multivariate model that predicts the future of immigration and all of its impacts, including the economy and race relations and everything else. You've got to put it all in your model and you should predict 80 years into the future because, you know, there's nothing more believable than a complex multivariate model that you can't see the code that predicts something exactly 80 years in the future. We know the Democrats will believe that kind of thing.

So let's get busy on that. Let's turn it over to the scientists and do some studies. We've got to get to the bottom of this. Do walls work from a scientific basis or are we all just using our anecdotal information and we don't really know if walls work? So let's be the group that believes in science and study walls. Find out if walls actually stop people from going where they wanted to go without that wall.

Ah, it's not getting a simultaneous sip there. That was asynchronous. That was the asynchronous sip and I hope you didn't mind.

Super Bowl prediction. Yes, I will now give you my Super Bowl prediction. And before I give you my Super Bowl prediction, there's just one piece of information I need. Can somebody tell me who's playing?

I am vaguely aware that the Patriots are in the Super Bowl. Are they playing against another team? Is there somebody else playing? Who's the other team? Let's see how long it takes somebody in the comments to tell me who the Pats are playing.

It seems to be the Patriots versus, we don't remember, which would be very predictive, don't you think? If you can't remember, the Rams. Okay, the Patriots versus the Rams.

Well, as you know, I always like to pick winners based on whether the mascots, how the mascots would do if they fought each other. So here you have a Patriot who would obviously be armed with a musket, kind of a long rifle, probably with a bayonet. And then you have the ram. It's got these big old ram horns.

So in a battle between a ram and a Patriot, it would sort of depend how quickly the Patriot could reload his musket. Because if the Patriot gets off one lucky shot, well I'd say the Patriot beats the ram. But a few misses with the first shot, I've got a feeling the ram kills the Patriot while he's trying to reload his musket. So it depends on accuracy.

Now, do the Patriots have an accurate quarterback? Well, turns out they do. Turns out they do. So I'm gonna go with the Patriots. Don't hate me for making the obvious choice.

All right. Will Gillette be in any ads? No.

So I have to tell you that I've stopped paying attention to football. I don't know if I'll turn on the Super Bowl tonight or not. Maybe if I'm bored.

Thank you, somebody read my book "God's Debris." I liked it. It said all of the big event. I forgot about the bayonet.

Yeah, so maybe it'd be more advantage to the Patriot.

What was I talking about? Oh, football. So I lost interest in football and it wasn't because of the protests over the anthem. From the start I said the anthem protests were offensive but they were meant to be. So they were effective in the sense that they got our attention. I don't think it's been effective in making anything change but you got our attention.

Here's why I stopped watching football. It's hard to support something that we know at this point, that we know for sure, is damaging brains. And apparently pretty much every professional player, and I think even high school and college players, they all have measurable brain damage. And I don't know how I can support that.

So now when I watch football, that's sort of all I see. I just see the brain damage. So I can't enjoy it as a sport anymore because it shouldn't be happening.

By the way, I think all of our sports are completely broken. Can you imagine what sports would look like if we invented them today?

Let me tell you how some of the sports are broken. When basketball was invented, did anybody contemplate that there would be people who were seven foot six playing basketball? Probably not. Probably nobody figured there would be one person that would be three feet taller than the other person.

So first thing you do to fix basketball, just say that you can only play within your height range, right? Because we have precedent for that because we have women's sports and men's sports and there's a reason, because the men are physically stronger and it wouldn't be a good competition if you had them in the same competition. But why is it fair that a five foot eight person can play basketball against a seven foot six person? That doesn't seem fair.

So the first thing is that basketball should be limited by height. You know, maybe within like a four inch range, you just always have to play people at your height.

Tennis is completely broken because of the serve. Have you ever tried to watch tennis lately? Used to be my favorite game but then the rackets kept getting better and better. So the technology of the rackets kept improving to the point where if you have a good enough racket, the racket is so strong that the other player can barely hit the ball back. So if you got rid of the serve, tennis could be fun again because the serve just ruins everything. It makes everything boring. The first serve is almost always out and it's boring to watch.

Then take baseball. Baseball's got a problem because it's sort of a long attention span kind of a game. Need to do something to make baseball more interesting or shorter or more action or something going on there.

And then soccer. How easy would it be to fix soccer? The biggest problem of soccer is there's not enough scoring, right? So all you do is make the goals bigger. So for soccer you should make the goals bigger and maybe get rid of offsides because that just makes everything less fun.

Do not touch baseball. Somebody says yeah, I think probably baseball is held up the best of all the sports. That's the one that still makes a little bit of sense.

Then let's talk about golf. The biggest problem with golf if you're a new player is that the clubs are all different lengths. So even if you're really good at one club that doesn't make you good at the other club. And do you know why the clubs are different lengths? You know why? If you put them in the ground, you know one of them would be longer than the other? No good reason apparently. There's really no compelling reason that your clubs can't all be the same length. And in fact there's a famous story of somebody who had custom clubs made. They were all the same length and worked great.

So I think I probably won't get back into golf unless you can get rid of the people who are in front of you and behind you because they ruin it. I hate it when there are people behind me. And a lot of the clubs are different shape. Yeah, there should be maybe two clubs, something like a wedge and something like a putter. That's all you need.

I'm on vacation and I have not had enough time to watch "Hoaxed" yet. I said I was but that's on the top of my list and I'll talk about it after I watch it.

So I was gonna say something. I don't want to say what does everybody's prediction on this Smollett story. Smollett, the actor who claims to have been attacked by people wearing MAGA hats. Is anybody believing that story? I would say the credibility of that story approaches zero. But that said, you know, we cannot say with certainty what happened in a place where we weren't there and there were no video cameras capturing anything. But I would say if I had to bet on it, maybe there is betting, I doubt you could have a betting pool on this, but if you had to bet on it you would definitely bet it didn't happen.

The part that's weird is that they put a rope around his neck. I mean none of it really makes sense. It just all doesn't make sense.

Oh and then apparently Governor Northam, somebody said he walked back his apology. Well I don't think that's exactly the way to say it. I think it would be more accurate to say he moonwalked back his apology. Has anybody used that yet? Feel free to use that. Governor Northam moonwalked back his apology.

I just before I turned this on I watched the video clip of somebody asking him to moonwalk and his wife says, "Inappropriate situation." The best part about it was that Northam's wife has so little respect for his judgment that she felt she needed to tell him not to moonwalk. She felt she needed to tell him, "Don't moonwalk." And she knows him best. So if she thought he might moonwalk, the fact that his wife thought he might just like, "Yeah, but get out from behind the lectern." This is the best thing ever.

And then it gets even better because apparently he is not entirely sure how many times he's been in blackface. Apparently this has happened enough he wasn't sure if that picture was him.

All right, now here's my opinion. Although I do believe it would have been inappropriate for him to moonwalk, wouldn't it be fair to say he's so toast that I kind of want to see it? Personally I would like to see him moonwalk now because he might as well. He might as well change the conversation, right? You might as well at least, because if he moonwalks that's all we're going to be talking about.

If you could give me a video of the governor moonwalking doing a Michael Jackson tribute, think about this. The first thing that would happen is that you would see that he's probably a fan, right? Suppose he moonwalked. I'm just gonna put this out here just for fun. Suppose he moonwalked and we get that on video and of course it would be the headline. It would be all you saw on television. The news channels could not stop running that if he moonwalks.

But here's the thing. If he moonwalks really well and maybe he has some other moves, you know, other Michael Jackson moves, if he could pull off, if Northam could pull off 10 seconds of credible Michael Jackson imitation and also sell to us that he was a genuine fan, let's say he has an old record of Michael Jackson, let's say he produces a "Thriller" album from 1984 or something, whatever "Thriller" came out, would that change what you thought about that old photo?

Because if he could actually moonwalk and we could verify that he was a huge Michael Jackson fan, doesn't that make you feel different about the costume? Now I'm not going to say it was ever a good idea and I'm not gonna say that people wouldn't be offended but it would definitely change your opinion. Because if you're dressing, I mean think about a big part of why people are so angry with him is that we assume his internal thoughts were as bad as what we saw. So in other words we're looking at the picture of him dressed as apparently Michael Jackson or something and we're thinking, oh my God, big old racist, he's making fun of Michael Jackson.

But if he could actually moonwalk and he actually had some Michael Jackson moves and he had an old "Thriller" album, just pick one, and he could prove that he was a huge Michael Jackson fan, it kind of looks different, doesn't it? Doesn't it look different if he could demonstrate he was like a super fan of Michael Jackson?

Now I'm not going to say that would save his career because I don't think that could be done but he has nothing to lose at this point. He has nothing to lose at this point. And as far as that nickname, he had the nickname "Coonman." He could explain it away by saying that's what other people called him and it wasn't his nickname. If he could prove he never called himself that and that it just makes his friends look like racists because that was the nickname for him.

Now I'm not saying any of that would be good enough to save his career. I'm just saying it would be hilarious and we couldn't stop watching it.

Yeah, you jumped assuming he was the Michael Jackson look-alike. Well I think that was the question, wasn't it? I'm not predicting any of that should happen but it would be hilarious.

How do you get a nickname like Coonman? Somebody is asking me. Unless you're a racist. Simple. You once wore a Michael Jackson costume and your friends are racist. If the people who gave him the nickname were racist that would explain it.

The other possibility is he liked to hunt. Now I haven't heard anybody say this but where I grew up, if somebody used that nickname it actually wouldn't have been a racist nickname. I hate to even say this because it's going to look like I'm defending him. So let me say as clearly as possible I am not defending Northam. I'm just giving you some context.

Where I grew up in upstate New York, shooting raccoons was a fairly common thing and we called it hunting and people used the coon word to talk about raccoons. So where I grew up if you had that nickname it would more likely refer to some hunting situation or the fact that you once shot one in some famous situation or something like that.

And I'm not in the least suggesting that that explains Northam's situation. I'm just saying that if you're asking yourself how else can it be explained, and by the way one of the things I write about in my upcoming book "Loserthink" is that if your argument is based on "you can't imagine any other explanation," you have a weak argument. Doesn't matter what the situation is. If you're saying the only thing I can imagine to explain these variables is just this one thing, it probably is a failure of imagination.

So I just gave you an example of how you could easily imagine that it was a hunting-related nickname or it was given to him by other people and it was not a nickname he embraced. So those are two explanations that probably did not occur to you. And I'm not saying that they explain the situation at all. I'm just saying that you have to be careful that you assume you know the explanation for things.

Remember the Covington Catholic school situation? What did I do wrong in interpreting that initial video as being the kids surrounding the Native American guy? Well what I did wrong is that I could not imagine there was an alternative explanation. Now it turns out the alternative explanation is selective editing, which should have been right at the top of my mind but I couldn't look at that picture and imagine how that could have been selectively edited. Like my imagination was not big enough to incorporate any other possibility than what I was seeing was exactly what was happening.

So somebody just offered a third explanation for his nickname. Again not saying that this is likely but that if he was wearing a raccoon skin hat like Davy Crockett for any reason, if he'd been in a play or somebody had one as a joke or something, you could imagine him getting a nickname.

I will tell you that my college nickname was based on a sweatshirt I wore once. So I had a nickname for four years in college that was my primary name. People didn't even use my regular first name. They called me the letter W. So for four years my college friends called me W because one day I wore a sweatshirt that had a big letter W on it for the town that I went to school in.

So could he have worn a hat one time and that could cause him a nickname for the rest of his school days? Yes, because that's exactly what happened to me. I wore one shirt one time and I got a nickname that lasted me for years and I did not give that nickname to myself. It was assigned by other people as nicknames often are.

Before W. Bush you traitor. Who was a traitor?

What, I'm going to talk about anything new today? Well it's funny you should ask because I'll just, Emma, sorry I just blocked the wrong person. So the blocking on here, I just blocked some innocent person who's wondering why they got blocked. If you try to block them as they're moving sometimes you get the wrong person. So I'll see if I can unblock that person later.

Book title is "Loserthink." It'll be out in October.

Now somebody asked if I'm going to cover any new topics today. Here's the problem. There's no new news today. There's nothing in the news. I just checked CNN and Fox News and there's literally no new news. Now that might be because it's the Super Bowl today. Yeah, it might be because, I'll tell you what it is. It might be because the news is all positive for Trump. Trump has had this spectacular week but you're not going to see that in the left leaning news and the right seems to have some, you know, they're revisiting some stuff too.

Trump interview tonight leaking. I don't know about that. I did not watch the president's interview. And above all I think I saw in Fox News that Michael Moore was saying that AOC is really the leader of the Democrats. I think there's some truth to that. She's not the only leader. There's definitely some truth to that.

So yesterday somebody sent me some what I would call fake video. It's fake in the sense that it was an edited summary I guess or just selectively edited, let's say, clip of Nancy Pelosi. And the clip was edited so that you can see all of her misspeaking. So everywhere where she struggled for a word or she paused to find the next word or she had to stop and correct herself, I saw it edited together. So if you saw it all together it looked like she had some kind of fairly serious mental problem and it was really convincing.

It was also fake news because if you had seen all of those mistakes spread over the course of a long public spontaneous public speaking event that lasted a long time, there were quite a few times where she had to go for a word and struggle and they wouldn't look nearly the same if you saw them in their original context spread out. But when you see them all put together they tell a troubling story. They do the same thing for Trump. Yeah it's just a good trick. All it does is put all your mistakes together.

Am I sticking with the Schultz prediction? Which part of the Schultz prediction is that he would not ultimately run for president? And the answer is yes. I was thinking too that if Schultz runs for president it will be a serious blow to Starbucks coffee business because we know the Democrats are not going to like Schultz and the Democrats are the party of boycotts. Now it could be that people are so addicted to coffee that there's nothing they can do to stop drinking it.

Atlanta spent 23 million on the footbridge for the Super Bowl but it won't open because of security. Now I don't know about that story. I'm just reading it here.

You think Schultz will win? Well winning as a third party would be an amazing thing but I don't see it.

Somebody says Republicans don't boycott. They do but not as effectively apparently.

Somebody says they wish they had my brain. Well that would be a bloody operation and probably the transplant would not work. Might have to wait a few years for that.

So I noticed NBC taking down Tulsi Gabbard. So there's an article, an anti-Tulsi Gabbard article from NBC News. And I thought to myself, isn't NBC News the one everybody says is owned by the CIA? You know, didn't we just find out that the CIA is backing Kamala Harris by the fact that NBC News just went after Tulsi Gabbard?

Our CBS salut says I saw it on the NBC.

So I still have an NBC article. RGB prediction. What would you like me to predict? Are you asking me to predict her death? That would not be cool.

Somebody's asking me to predict whether Ruth Bader Ginsburg is alive. Yes she's definitely alive. The odds of a Supreme Court justice dying without the news getting out is zero. Yeah it's zero. Now I'm guessing she's not in very good shape but we kind of knew that.

Somebody says her taxidermist says she's fine. That's pretty funny. It's cruel but it's funny.

So let me ask you this. Let's talk about the prediction for the wall and for the emergency situation. It seems to me that President Trump has set the table for an emergency declaration that would have seemed extreme a month ago but now it's going to look like he's taking action because the government is just not being useful.

So wouldn't you say, let me say this. I think the strongest play for the president is not to say, well here's the best way to frame it. If he goes for the emergency declaration for the wall, which I think is close to guaranteed at this point, if he had tried to do an emergency declaration a few months ago it would have been just a huge uproar and it would have been a big problem politically in every other way. I think the system would have taken some strain on that.

But now that the president has acted reasonably and he has allowed the Democrats to have their negotiations with the government open and now that they've clearly demonstrated that they're not credible players, this is a big deal. Because until we actually witnessed the Democrats trying to negotiate and not being even serious about it you could have imagined that maybe they could have. So until they failed right in front of us it was easy to imagine, well maybe if they did have some meetings they could work this out.

But now you don't have to wonder because the president gave them enough rope to hang themselves. He actually baited them or they baited themselves. I don't know if it was his clever plan or it just worked out this way. But because he gave them room to negotiate and he let them fail spectacularly in public and he let them die on the sword of "we're going to ignore the experts and the engineers," which is what he did, right?

So when the negotiations fail and it's obvious that there's no chance that they could succeed at this point, when they fail the president is going to say we talked to the experts, we talked to the engineers, and they said unequivocally and no doubt about it that in these specific areas you need some wall. The Democrats failed to listen to the experts, failed to listen to the engineers, and now because they are useless, I'm going to make a decision for the American people within my authority as commander-in-chief.

And at this point it's gonna go down. It'll always go down a little hard but at this point the country is primed to accept it. If you're a Democrat you cannot look at this situation and tell yourself your side played it fairly. You cannot look at the situation as a Democrat and say yeah the Democrats were really negotiating in good faith for this wall stuff. That never happened. Even their own side knows that they played it politically instead of playing it for the benefit of the country.

Well that is no longer in question or it won't be when they finally give up with this stupid committee stuff. And you could always say well that's always been the case, the Democrats have always been obstructionist. Well because of the way we got here, the closing of the government, Pelosi's demand that if we open the government everybody could play nice with each other and then it didn't happen. So we saw essentially Pelosi being not a credible participant in the effort to fix things.

So I think the president has total clearance now to do what he needs to do. You can always tell when the Democrats are losing. What is it the Democrats say whenever it looks like they're gonna lose hard? Yeah when it comes to border security. Because at this point you can kind of already project forward. You know that the committee won't work, that nothing will come out of that. You know that the president's not going to close the government again because that didn't work last time. And you know that he will do the emergency declaration because it's the only rational path that will be left to him. And of course he will do it.

So those things we can predict with clarity. But if you hear the Democrats say, if they start talking about he said Mexico would pay for it, you know they've lost. If all they have left is the part of the campaign promise that was more really a joke and marketing than it was serious at least in a direct way, if they're arguing that the indirect way we're getting money from Mexico is not the same as a direct way, well they will be technically correct but they will be dealing with trivialities. If that's all they have left that's not a strong play.

So every time I see somebody say oh yeah but what about he said Mexico would pay for it, once you've gotten to the point where everyone agrees that the dollar amounts are trivial it kind of doesn't matter who pays for it at that point does it? Yeah because nobody's saying 5.7 billion will break the bank. No, nobody is saying that the United States can't afford 5.7 billion dollars. Nobody's saying that.

So if you've already admitted that money isn't really a problem, taking that to the next level and saying okay there are two things we know for sure. The amount of money is totally trivial and you said Mexico would pay for it. What about Mexico paying for it? That is the weakest attack you'll ever see. So the more they're talking about Mexico not paying for it the more you should celebrate if you want a wall.

All right. Yeah there was a story about Iran admitting that they were cheating on their enriching uranium. You see that? I'm not sure that that's a confirmed story but so I think I'm not going to talk about it because I don't think that's sufficiently confirmed.

So I did go and watch the video clip of Joe Rogan and Jack Dorsey. They were talking about Coffee with Scott Adams and the simultaneous sip. And that brings up an interesting point.

If you take a startup to venture capitalists or any kind of people who are experienced funders and you say here's my startup and here's what I want to do, the experts will always say the same thing. They'll say who is your specific customer? And if you say everybody's my customer, I'm marketing this to basically everybody, you can't get funded. So that's one of those universal truths in startups that if you say your customer is everyone you can't get funding because they need a specific customer so they can judge whether you can go get that specific customer.

But look at Facebook. What is Facebook's specific customer? It's everybody, right? And they didn't even start out with that thought. They started out trying to meet some girls in college. So they started with a specific customer but it didn't make any difference because it ended up with their customer was everyone.

And then speaking of the Joe Rogan broadcast with interviewing Jack Dorsey, the history of Twitter is that it started as something completely different. It was some kind of limited message service but the public decided they liked it in some form that evolved to what you're seeing now, modern Twitter. And so Twitter didn't have a specific customer that lasted. They had a specific use case but it had nothing to do with or very little to do with what Twitter became. And who is Twitter for? Who's the customer for Twitter? Well kind of everyone, right?

And then on the broadcast they're talking about Periscope. Periscope was originally imagined as its original format where you just turn it on and it's a live broadcast from wherever you are. But as Jack was describing on Joe Rogan, that people like me started using it for podcasts which was not an original application that was originally assumed. And because people started using it for that, so the way I'm using it is more like a podcast. And so because people started using it like that they started adding features to satisfy that market.

So in other words here again Periscope started with a certain application and market in mind but they listened to the audience and they moved where the audience wanted it to go. Same with, I'm pretty sure you could just go down the list and you could find company after company that started as one thing and became something else.

You know who is Google's customer? Everyone. Who is Apple's customer? Well it's everyone who has money, right? Because their products is a little higher end than the competition. Well it's basically everyone.

So I'm trying to square these two things. Oh and let's take Dilbert for example. Dilbert started out as just being a comic for people who had the same sense of humor as I did which turned out to be a small audience. But the audience told me hey we like it when he's doing workplace stuff. So because the audience told me I moved Dilbert to a workplace comic and then it succeeded.

So what I observe, and by the way we've got a feature change on my Interface by WhenHub app that's out now. And when you see the feature change you're going to see this effect. So we're adding the feature and I'll tell you about it when we release it I think in a week or so. That is completely dependent on what customers wanted and it's a completely different application in addition to the things that it already does.

So you're gonna see that there are two ways to get where you want to get. One is to have a specific customer and really chase that customer and that's the way you can get funding more easily. But once you're chasing a specific customer you end up listening to the audience and then adjusting your product in a variety of different ways until it becomes a different product and the audience tells you what that is.

So the wisdom of people who fund startups is almost directly opposite of how we observe the world to work and I've never quite squared those two things, how they can be.

Somebody said their daughter went on there as a script doctor. That's a good use. So the script doctor is somebody who looks at a script that's been written let's say for a movie or a TV show and they know how to fix it from a raw form into something that's punchy and good. That would be a perfect use for the app actually.

Okay I'm just gonna tell you what the feature is. You ready? Yeah should I tell you? I wonder if my partners will get mad at me if I tell you. I'm just gonna tell you. We're adding a donate button.

So in other words if you sign up for the Interface by WhenHub app and you have a profile on there you won't need to be live. In other words you don't have to be available for a call and people can still donate to you. So if you are a let's say a conservative artist and you don't want to be on Patreon or you don't want to be on, let's say you got defunded on other platforms, you'd have one more option. So it would be one way to make sure people could donate to you with no friction. I think it would take 30 seconds or well not 30 but it might take you a full 60 seconds to add your profile to the Interface by WhenHub app and then you just tell people to go search for your name and hit the button and they can donate to you.

Now why did we add this feature? And it's not that way yet so you have to wait. I'll tell you what, it's maybe a week or so. It's been I believe it's been tested and already submitted to the App Stores. But the reason we added it is because largely people on Periscope asked me for it. So you're actually seeing, you see how these platforms interact. So because I'm on Periscope I get lots of comments. You see them going by and quite a few of you commented here and in other ways that people reach me. A lot of people said the same thing. They said hey why don't you add a way on your app that people can donate to artists who are being deplatformed on other sites or just want another way. You know even if you're not being deplatformed you might just want another way that people can give to you. And so we added it.

Now if you talk to me a year from now am I going to tell you that that's the biggest use of the app? Maybe. I don't know. Might be. But it would be based on what the audience asked for.

Can I be a parent expert? I don't have kids but yes you can. You can be a parent expert and you can set your price.

No Super Bowl ad for this app. Yeah those are pretty pricey.

You can hear a lot more about the app in the next week or two. We've got some exciting things besides that. That's just one of the things happening but there's a whole bunch of really important things happening that I'll tell you about.

Do you have stats on what different experts are charging? I don't believe we know. I don't think we capture that. It would be easy to capture. We have the raw data so we could but I don't think that's on the dashboard that we look at our data. But it's easy for you to just scroll through it. You can scroll through the experts. You can see the prices.

Somebody's saying will I allow Alex Jones. So here's the thing. We're an open platform like a telephone call or like a FaceTime call or any other communication tool. So I'm sure there are things people could do that would cause them to get kicked off but we probably would not kick anyone off for doing something on other platforms. But we'll see. I mean I'm sure there's, yeah you never want to say never. There are certainly things that could get you kicked off of any platform and I think we'd all agree on some of them.

Somebody coming in here with the anti-semitic stuff. I could never tell when I see stuff like that. I could never tell how serious it is or how troll-like it is. It's scary either way.

All right. Yeah I'm not gonna say who's in there out but if they're not bothering me they're probably going to be fine.

Would you like to see my view? For those of you who can't be here it'll take you a look. So you see that island over there? That entire island is owned by Larry Ellison, Oracle founder. So he bought the entire island. Poor guy. Now that's just a lawn. Not bad, huh? The weather's been terrible but all right.

Back to me. Sorry it's disappointing you have to look at me.

Well I think that's all I have to say today and I will keep you informed about new events and I will talk to you all later.

purple pom pom pom pom pom pom hey everybody come on in here I know I'm late I'm in a different time zone for a few days but it's time for coffee with Scott Adams no matter where I am no matter where you are drop what you're doing unless it's a baby if you're holding the baby don't drop it but otherwise just drop whatever you're doing and join me grab your cup your mug your chalice your thermos grab your stein your container your glass fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the simultaneous scent oh that's good I see some of you or drop it drinking the tears of your enemies instead of coffee that is an acceptable replacement it is so I came up with a plan for ending this whole border wall problem you know you got the Democrats saying walls don't work and you've got the Republicans saying walls work and here's what I propose are you ready since we know that Democrats love complicated multivariate prediction models such as for climate change why don't we create a complex multivariate model or just have science do some studies to find out if walls work so why don't we Commission some scientists to study the effectiveness of walls so for example they could run tests where you build a wall and then you have some kind of let's say an animal or yeah let's say the animal and you have that animal we run as hard as they can into the wall and then you measure how many times it works how many times does the animal get past the wall by budding is head into it now I'm not suggesting that the human being at the border our animals don't take me out of context I know you like to do that I'm just saying that you do animal tests before you do human trials so we should do some some animal testing with walls see if see if see if animals can get over walls first and if if walls stop animals then we can move on to the human the human trials where you build a wall and then you say hey do you want to go over this wall or maybe you'd like to take a different route so and then after you've done the studies that's not enough you need to do a complicated multivariate model that predicts the future of immigration and all of its impacts including economic and the cry and and race relations and everything else you got to put it all in your model and you should predict there for 80 years into the future because you know there's nothing more believable than a complex multivariate model that you can't see the code that predicts something exact 80 years in the future we know we know the Democrats will believe that kind of thing so let's get busy on that let's let's turn it over to the scientists and do some studies we've got to get to the bottom of this do walls work from a scientific basis or are we all just using our anecdotal information and we don't really know if walls work so let's be the let's be the group that believes in science and study walls find that if walls actually stop people from going where they wanted to go without that wall ah it's not getting a simultaneous sip there that was asynchronous that was the asynchronous sip and I hope you didn't mind Super Bowl prediction yes I will now give you my Super Bowl prediction and before I give you my Super Bowl prediction there's just one piece of information I need can somebody tell me who's playing I am vaguely aware that the Patriots are the safer Super Bowl are they playing against another team is there somebody else playing who's the other team let's see how long it takes somebody in the comments to tell me who the Pats are play it seems to be the Patriots versus we don't remember which would be very predictive don't you think if you can't remember the Rams okay the Patriots versus the Rams well as you know I always like to pick winners based on whether the mascots how the mascots would do if they fought each other so here you have a patriot who would obviously be armed with a whistling kind of a long rifle probably with the musket and then you have the RAM it's got these big old ram horns so in a battle between a ram and a Patriots who would sort of depend how quickly the patriot could reload his musket because if if the pig if the Patriot gets off one lucky shot well I'd say the Patriot beats the RAM but a few misses of the first shot I've got a feeling the ram the ram kills the patriot while he's trying to reload his musket so it depends on accuracy now do the so do the Patriots have an accurate quarterback well turns out they do turns out they do so I'm gonna go with the Patriots don't hate me for making the obvious all right um will Gillette be any ads no so I have to tell you that I've stopped paying attention to football I don't know if I'll turn on the Super Bowl tonight or not maybe if I'm bored thank you somebody read my book gods debris I liked it set all of the big event I forgot about the bayonet yeah so maybe it'd be a more advantage to the Patriot what was I talking about Oh football so I lost interest in football and it wasn't for me it wasn't because of the protests over the emblem from the start I said the anthem protests were offensive but they were meant to be that so they were effective in the sense that they got our attention I don't think it's been effective in making anything change but you got our attention here's why I stopped watching a football it's hard to support something that we know at this point that we know for sure is damaging brains and apparently pretty much every professional player and you know I think even high school and college players they all have it seems to be they all have measurable measurable brain damage and I don't know how I can support that so now when I watch football that's sort of all I see I just see the brain damage so I can't I can't enjoy it as a sport anymore because it shouldn't be happening by the way I think all of our sports are completely broken can you imagine what sports would look like if we invented them today let me let me tell you how some of the sports are broken when basketball was invented did anybody contemplate that there would be people who were seven foot seven foot six playing basketball probably not Hey probably nobody figured there would be you know one person that would be three feet taller than the other person so first thing you do to fix basketball just say that you can only play within your height range right because we have precedent for that because we have you know women's sports and men's sports and there's a reason because the men are physically stronger and it wouldn't be a good competition if he had them on the same team we're in the same same competition but why is it fair that a five foot eight person can play basketball against the seven foot seven foot six person that doesn't seem fair so the first thing is that basketball should be limited by height you know maybe within like a four inch range you just you always have to play people at your height tennis is completely broken because of the serve have you ever tried to watch tennis lately used to be my favorite game but then the rackets kept getting better and better so the technology of the rackets kept improving to the point where if you have a good enough racket the racket is strong just right the other player can barely hit the ball back so if you got rid of the serve tennis could be fun again because the serve just ruins everything it makes everything boring the first serve is almost always out and it's it's boring to watch then take baseball baseball's got a problem because it's sort of a long attention span kind of a game need to do something to make baseball more interesting or shorter or more action or something going on there and then soccer how easy would it be to fix soccer the biggest problem of soccer is there's not enough ring right so all you do is make the goals bigger so soccer you should make the goals bigger and maybe get rid of offsides because that just makes everything less fun do not touch baseball do not somebody says yeah I think probably baseball is held up the best of all the sports that's the one that still makes a little bit of sense then let's talk about golf the biggest problem with golf if you're a new player is that the clubs are all different lengths so even if you're really good at one club that doesn't make you good at the other Club and do you know why the clubs are different lengths you know why why if you put them put a club in the ground you know one of them would be longer than the other no good reason apparently there's no good reason there's really no compelling reason that your clubs can't all be the same length and in fact there's a famous story of somebody who had custom clubs made they were all the same length and work great so I think I probably won't get back into golf unless you can get rid of the people who are in front of you and behind you because they ruin it I hate it when they're people behind me and well a lot of the lot of the clubs are a lot of the clubs are different shape yeah there should be maybe maybe two clubs something something like a wedge it is something like a putter that's all you need I'm on vacation and I have not had enough time to watch hoaxed yet I said I was but that's on the top of my list and I'll talk about it after we watch it so I was gonna say something I don't want to say what does everybody's prediction on this Smollett the story smaller or is it a smaller or smaller the actor who claims to have been attacked by people wearing Maggie hats is anybody believing that story I would say the the credibility of that story approaches zero but that wasn't there you know we cannot say with certainty what happened in a place where we weren't there and then there were no video cameras capturing anything but I would say if I had to bet on it maybe there is a betting I doubt you could have a betting pool on this but if you had to bet on it you were definitely bet it didn't happen the the part that's weird is that they put a rope around his neck I mean none of it really makes sense it just just all doesn't make sense oh and then apparently the governor Northam somebody said he he walked back his apology well I don't think that's exactly the way to say it I think it would be me it would be more accurate to say he mooned walked it back is anybody used that yet you feel free to use that governor north room moon walked back his apology I just before I turned this on I watched the video clip of somebody asking them to moonwalk and his wife his what his wife says inappropriate a situation the best part about it was that north rooms wife has so little she has so little respect for his judgment as she felt she needed to tell him not to move she felt she needed to tell him don't moonwalk and she knows him best so if if she thought he might moonwalk the fact the fact that his wife thought he biked you might just like yeah but get out from behind the lectern sermon this is the best thing ever and then and it gets even better because apparently he is not he's not entirely sure how many times he's been in use his he used to dress up in blackface apparently his happens somebody it's happened enough he wasn't sure if that picture was him all right now here's my opinion although I do believe it would have been inappropriate for him to moonwalk wouldn't it be fair to say he's he's so toast that I kind of want to see it personally I would like to see him moonwalk now because he might he might as well he might as well changed the conversation right you might as well at least because if he moved walks that's all we're going to be talking about okay if you could give me a video of the governor moonwalking doing a Michael Jackson tribute to think about this the first thing that would happen is the first thing you'd happen is that you would see that he's probably a fan right suppose you suppose he moved walked I'm just gonna put this out here just for fun suppose he moon walked and we get that on video and of course it would be it would be the headline it would be it would be all you saw in television you know there the news channels could not stop running that if he moonwalks but here's the thing if he moonwalks really well and maybe he has some other moves you know other Michael Jackson moves if he could pull off if north rim could pull off 10 seconds of credible Michael Jackson imitation and also sells to us that he was a genuine fan let's say let's say he has an old an old record of Michael Jackson let's say he produces a Thriller album from 1984 or something whatever thriller came out and would that change what you thought about that old photo because if he could actually moonwalk and he was and we could verify that he was a huge Michael Jackson fan doesn't that make you feel different about the costume now I'm not going to say it separate there was ever a good idea and I'm not gonna say that people wouldn't be offended but it would definitely chant it would change your opinion because if you're dressing I mean think about the the entire not the entire but a big part of a big part of why people are so angry with them is that we assume his internal thoughts were as as say as bad as what we saw so in other words we're looking at the video you know looking at a picture of him dressed as apparently Michael Jackson or something and and we're thinking oh my god Big Oil racist he's making fun of Michael Jackson but if he could actually moon moon dance yeah moonwalk and he actually had some Michael Jackson moves and he had an old Thriller album just pick one and he could prove that he was a huge Michael Jackson fan it kind of looks different doesn't it doesn't it look different if he could demonstrate he was a like a super fan of Michael Jackson now I'm not going to say that would save his career because I don't think that could be done but he has nothing to lose at this one he has nothing to lose at this point and as far as that nickname he had the nickname he could explain the way by saying that's what other people called him and it wasn't his nickname nothing you know if he could prove he never called himself that and that it just makes his friends look like racist because that was the nickname for him now I'm not saying any of that would be good enough to save his career I'm just saying it would be hilarious and we couldn't stop watching it yeah he you jumped assuming he was the Michael Jackson look like well I think that was the question wasn't it I'm not predicting any that should happen but it would be hilarious how do you get a nickname like c oom ma n somebody is asking me unless you're a racist simple you once wore Michael Jackson costume and your friends are racist if if the people who gave him the nickname were racist that would explain it the the other possibility is he liked to hunt now I haven't heard anybody say this but where I grew up where I grew up if somebody used that nickname it actually wouldn't have been a racist nickname I hate to even say this because it's going to look like I'm you know I'm defending him so let me say as clearly as possible I am NOT defending North Rim I'm just giving you some context where I grew up in upstate New York shooting raccoons was a fairly common thing and we called it hunting and people use the CEO n-word to talk about raccoons so where I grew up if you had that nickname it would more likely it would more likely refer to some hunting situation or the fact that you once shot one in some famous situation or something like that and I'm not I'm not in the least suggesting that that explains Northam situation I'm just saying that if you're if you're asking yourself how else can it be explained and by the way one of the things I write about in my upcoming book loser think is that if your argument is based on you can't imagine any other explanation you have a weak argument doesn't matter what the situation is if if if you're saying the only thing I can imagine to explain these variables is just this one thing it probably is a failure of imagination so if you you know I just gave you an example of how you could you could easily imagine that it was a hunting related nickname or it was given to him by other people and it was not a nickname he embraced so those are two explanations that probably did not occur to you and I'm not saying that they explain the situation at all I'm just saying that you have to be careful you have to be careful that you assume you know the explanation for things remember the Covington Catholic school situation what was month what what did I do wrong in interpreting that initial video as being the kids surrounding the Native American guy well what I did wrong is what is that I could not imagine there was an alternative explanation now it turns out the alternative explanation is selective editing which should have been should have been right in the top of my mind but I couldn't look at that picture and imagine how that could have been selectively edited like my imagination was not big enough to incorporate any other possibility than what I was seeing was exactly what what was happening so somebody just offered a third explanation for for his nickname again not saying that this is likely but that if he was wearing a raccoon skin hat like Davy Crockett for any reason if he'd been in a play or somebody had one as a joke or something you could imagine him getting a nickname I will tell you that my college nickname was based on a sweatshirt I wore once so I had a nickname for four years in college that was my primary name people didn't even use my foot regular first name they called me the letter W so for four years my college friends called me W because one day I were a sweatshirt that had a big letter W on it for the town that I went to school so could he have worn a hat one time and that could cause him a nickname for the rest of his school days yes because that's exactly what happened to me I wore one shirt one time and I got a nickname that lasted me for years and I did not give that nickname to myself it was assigned by other people as nicknames often are before w bush you traitor who was a traitor what I'm going to talk about anything new today well it's funny you should ask because I'll just Emma sorry I just blocked the wrong person so the blocking on here I just blocked some innocent person who's wondering why they get blocked if you try to block them as they're moving sometimes you get the wrong person so I'll see if I can unblock that person later book title is loser think it'll be out and knocked over now somebody asked if I'm going to cover any new new topics today here's the problem there there's no new news today there's there's nothing there's nothing in the news i just checked i just checked CNN and fox news and there's literally no new news now that might be because it's the Superbowl today yeah it might be because I'll tell you what it is it might be it might be because the news is all positive for Trump Trump has had this spectacular week but you're not going to see that in the left and the right seems to have some you know they're revisiting some stuff too Trump interview tonight leaking I don't know about that I do not watch the president's interview and above all I think I saw in Fox News that Michael Moore was saying that AOC is really the leader of the Democrats I think there's some truth to that she's not the only leader there's definitely some truth to that so yesterday somebody sent me some what I would call fake video it's fake in the sense that it was a an edited an edited summary I guess or just selectively edited let's say clip of Nancy Pelosi and the clip was edited so that you can see all of her miss speaking so everywhere where she struggled for a word or she paused to find the next word or she had to stop and correct herself I saw it edited together so if you saw it all together it looked like she had some kind of fairly serious mental problem and it was really convincing it was also fake news because if you I'm sure if you had seen all of those mistakes you know spread them over the course of a long public spontaneous public speaking event that lasted a long time there were quite a few times where she had to you know go for a word and struggle and they wouldn't look nearly the same if you saw them in their original context spread out but when you see them all put together they they tell us they tell they tell a troubling story they do the same thing for Trump yeah it's just a good trick all it does is put all your mistakes together am i sticking with the Schultz prediction which pert of the Schultz prediction is that he would not ultimately run for president and the answer is yes I was thinking too that if she'll run for president it will be a serious blow to starbucks coffee business because we know the democrats are not going to like Schultz and the Democrats are the party of boycotts now it could be that people are so addicted to coffee that there's nothing they can do to stop drinking it Atlanta spent 23 million on the footbridge for the Superbowl but it won't open because of security now I don't know about that story I'm just reading here you think Schulz will win well winning as a third party would be an amazing thing but I don't see happy somebody says Republicans don't boycott they do but not as effectively apparently somebody says they wish they had my brain well that would be a bloody operation and probably the transplant would not work might have to wait a few years for that so I noticed NBC taking down tulsi gabbard so there's an article an anti tell see Gabbard article them NBC News and I thought to myself isn't NBC News the one everybody says is owned by the CIA you know haven't we did we just find out that the CIA is backing Kamala Harris by the fact that NBC News just went after Tulsi Gabbard our CPS salut says I saw it on the NBC so I still have an NBC article RGB prediction what am what would you like me to predict are you asking me to predict or death that would not be that would not be cool Oh somebody's asking me to predict whether our Ruth Gish Ruth Bader Ginsburg is alive yes she's definitely alive the the the odds of a Supreme Court justice dying without the news getting out is zero yeah it's zero now I'm guessing she's not in very good shape but we kinda know he kind of knew that somebody says her taxidermist and says she's fine that's pretty funny it's cruel but it's funny so let me ask you this let's talk about the prediction for the wall and for the emergency situation it seems to me that President Trump has set the table for an emergency declaration that would have seen extreme a month ago but now it's going to look like he's taking action because the government is just not being useful so wouldn't you say let me say this I think the strongest play for the president is not to say well here's the best way to frame if he goes for the emergency declaration for the wall which i think is close to guaranteed at this point if he had tried to do an emergency declaration a few months ago it would have been just a huge uproar and it would have been it would have been a big problem politically in every other way I think the system would have taken some strain on that but now that the president has acted reasonably and he isn't he's allowed the Democrats to have their negotiations with the government open and now that they've they've clearly demonstrated that they're not they're not credible players this is a big deal because until we actually witnessed the Democrats trying to negotiate and not being even serious about it you could have imagined that maybe they could have so until they until they failed right in front of us it was easy to imagine well maybe if they maybe if they did have some meetings they could work this out but now you don't have to wonder because the president gave them enough rope to hang themselves he actually he actually you know baited them or they baited themselves I don't know I don't know if it was his clever plan or it just worked out this way but because he gave them room to negotiate and he let them fail spectacularly in public and he let them die on the sword of we're going to ignore the experts and the engineers which is what he did right so when when the negotiations fail and it's obvious that there's no chance that they could succeed at this point when they fail the president is going to say we talked to the experts we talked to the engineers and they said unequivocally unequivocably and no doubt about it that in these specific areas you need some wall the the Democrats failed to listen to the experts fail to listen to the engineers and now because they are useless they are useless I'm going to make a decision for the American people within my authority as commander-in-chief and at this point it's gonna go down you know it'll always good add a little hard but at this point it can the country is primed to accept it if you're a Democrat you cannot look at this situation and tell yourself the year side played it fairly you cannot look at the situation as a Democrat and say yeah the Democrats were really negotiating in good faith for this wall stuff that never happened even their own side knows that they played it politically instead of playing it for the benefit of the country well that is no longer in question or it won't be when they finally give up with this stupid committee stuff yeah and you could always say well that's always been the case the Democrats have always been obstructionist well because of the way we got here that the closing of the government policies demand that if we open the government they could you know everybody could play nice with each other and then it didn't happen so we saw essentially Pelosi being a not a not a credible participant in the in the effort to fix things so I think the president has total clearance now to do what he needs to do you could you can always tell when the the Democrats are are losing what is it what is it the Democrats say whenever it looks like they're gonna lose hard yeah when it comes to border security because at this point you can kind of already project forward you you know that the committee won't work that nothing will come out of that you know that the president's not going to close the government again because that didn't work last time and you know that he will do the emergency declaration because it's it's the only rational path that will be left to him and of course he will do it so so those things we can predict with with clarity but if if you hear the Democrats say if they start talking about he said Mexico would pay for it and you know they've lost if all they have left is the part of the campaign promise that was more really as more joke and marketing than it was serious at least in a direct way if they're arguing that the indirect way we're getting money from Mexico is not the same as a direct way well they will be technically correct but they will be dealing with trivialities that's if that's all they have left that's that's not a strong play so every time I see somebody say oh yeah but what about he said Mexico would pay for it once you've gotten to the point where everyone agrees that the dollar amounts are trivial it kind of doesn't matter who pays for it at that point does it yeah because nobody's saying 5.7 billion will break the bank no nobody is saying that the United States can't afford five point seven billion dollars nobody say that so if you've already admitted that money isn't really a problem taking that to the next level and saying okay there are two things we know for sure the amount of money is totally trivial and you said Mexico would pay for it what about Mexico paying for it that is the weakest attack you'll ever see so the more they're talking about Mexico not paying for it the more you should celebrate if you want to wall all right yeah there was a story better Ram admitting that they were cheating on their enriching uranium you see that I'm not sure that that's a confirmed story but so I think I'm not going to talk about it because I don't think that's sufficiently confirmed so I did go and watch the video clip of Joe Rogan and Jack Dorsey we're talking about they're talking about this they were talking about coffee with Scott Adams and the simultaneous N and that brings up an interesting point if if you take a start-up to venture capitalists or any kind of people who are experienced funders and you say here's my startup and here's what I want to do if you do that the the experts will always say the same thing they'll say who is your specific customer and if you say everybody's my customer I'm marketing this to basically everybody you can't get funded so that that's one of those universal truths in startups that if you say your customer is everyone you can't get funding because they need a specific customer so they can judge whether you can go get that specific customer but look at Facebook what it what is Facebook's specific customer it's everybody right and they didn't even start out with that thought they started out trying to meet some girls in college right so they started that with a specific customer but they didn't make any difference because it ended up with their customer was everyone and then speaking of the Joe Rogan broadcast with interviewing Jack Dorsey the the history of Twitter is that it started as something completely different it was some kind of limited message service but the public decided they liked it in in some form that evolved to what you're saying now modern Twitter and so Twitter didn't have a specific customer that lasted they had a specific use case but it had nothing to do with or very little to do with what Twitter became and who is Twitter for who is who's the customer for Twitter well kind of everyone right and then on the broadcasts are talking about periscope periscope was originally you know imagined as its its original forum where you just turn it on and it's a live broadcast from wherever you are but as Jack was describing on Joe Rogan that people like me started using it for podcasts which was not an original it wasn't an application that was originally assumed and because people started using it for that so the way I'm using it is more like a podcast and so because people started using it like that they started adding features to satisfy that market so in other words here again periscope started with a certain application and market in mind but they listened to the audience and they moved where the audience wanted it to go same with I'm pretty sure you could just go down the list and you could find company after company that started as one thing and became something else you know who is Google's customer everyone who is I who is a Apple's customer well it's everyone who has money right because they their products is a little higher end than the competition well it's basically everyone so I'm trying to I'm trying to square these two things oh and let's let's take Dilbert for example Dilbert started out as just being a comic for people who had the same sense of humor as I did which turned out to be a small audience but the audience told me hey we like it when he's doing workplace stuff so so because the audience told me I move Dilbert to a workplace comic and then it succeeded so what I observe and and by the way we've got a we've got a feature change on my interface by when hub app that's out now and when you see the future change you're going to see this effect so we're adding the feature and I'll tell you about it when we release it I think in a week or so that is completely dependent on what customers wanted and s4 and it's a completely different application in addition to the things that it already does so you're gonna see that there are two ways to get where you want to get one is to have a specific customer and really chase that customer and that's the way you can get funding more easily but once you're chasing a specific customer you end up listening to the audience and then adjusting your product in a variety of different ways until it becomes a different product and the audience tells you what that is so the wisdom of people who fund startups is almost directly opposite of how we observe the world to work and I've never quite squared those two things how they can be Oh somebody said their daughter went on there as a script doctor that's a good use so the script doctor is somebody who looks at a script that's been written let's say for a movie or a TV show and they know how to fix it from a raw form into something that's punchy and good that would be a perfect use for the app actually okay I'm just gonna tell you what the feature is very ready yeah should I tell you I wonder if my partners will get mad at me if I tell you I'm just gonna tell you we're adding a donate button so in other words in it if you sign up for the interface by when hub app and you have a profile on there you won't need to be live in other words you don't have to be available for a call and people can still donate to you so if you are a let's say a conservative artist and you don't want to be on patreon or you don't want to be on it let's say you got defunded on other platforms you'd have one more option so it would be one way to make sure people could donate to you with no friction I think it would take 30 seconds or well not 36 but it might take you a full 60 seconds to add your profile to the interface by win hub app and then you just tell people to go search for your name and hit the button and they can they can donate to you now why did we add this feature and it's not that way yet so you have to wait I'll tell you what it's a maybe a week or so it's been I believe it's been tested and already submitted to the App Store's but the reason we added it is because largely people on periscope asked me for it so you're actually seeing you see how these platforms interact so because I'm on periscope I get lots of comments you see them going by and a quite a few of you commented here and in in other ways that people reach me a lot of people said the same thing they said hey why don't you add a way on your app that people can donate to artists who are being you know DD platformed on other sites or just want another way you know even if you not be platform you might just want another way that people can getting Tony and so we added it now if you talk to me a year from now am I going to tell you that the year for now am I going to tell you that that's the biggest use of the app maybe I don't know might be but it would be based on what the audience asked for can I be a parent expert I don't have but yes you can you can you can be a parent experts and you can set your price no Super Bowl ad for this app yeah those are pretty pricey you can hear a lot more about the app in the next week or two we've got some exciting things besides that that's just one of the things happening but there's a whole bunch of really important things happening that I'll tell you about do you have stats on what different experts are charging I don't believe we know I don't think we capture that it would be easy to capture we have the raw data so we could but I don't think that's on the dashboard that we we look at our data but it's easy for you to just scroll through it you can see you can scroll through the experts you can see the prices somebody's saying will I allow Alex Jones so here's the thing we're we're an open platform like a telephone call or like a Face.

Time call or any other communication tool so I'm sure there are things people could do that would cause them to get kicked off but we probably would not kick it but anyone off for doing something on other platforms but we'll see I mean I'm sure there's yeah you never want to say never there are certainly things that could get you kicked off of any platform and I think we'd all agree on some of them somebody coming in here with the anti-semitic stuff I could never tell when I see stuff like that I could never tell I can never tell how serious it is or how troll-like it is it's scary either way all right yeah I'm not gonna say who's in there out but if they're not bothering me they're probably going to be fine would you like to see my view for those of you who can't be here it'll take you over take a look so you see that Island over there that entire island is owned by Larry Ellison Oracle founder so he bought the entire island poor 3 now that's just a long not bad huh the weather's been terrible but all right back to me sorry it's disappointing you have to look at me well I think that's all I have to say today and I will keep you informed about new new events and I will talk to you all later

purple pom pom pom pom pom pom hey

everybody

come on in here I know I'm late I'm in a

different time zone for a few days but

it's time for coffee with Scott Adams no

matter where I am no matter where you

are drop what you're doing unless it's a

baby if you're holding the baby

don't drop it but otherwise just drop

whatever you're doing and join me grab

your cup your mug your chalice your

thermos grab your stein your container

your glass fill it with your favorite

liquid I like coffee and join me now for

the simultaneous scent oh that's good I

see some of you or drop it drinking the

tears of your enemies instead of coffee

that is an acceptable replacement it is

so I came up with a plan for ending this

whole border wall problem you know you

got the Democrats saying walls don't

work and you've got the Republicans

saying walls work and here's what I

propose

are you ready since we know that

Democrats love complicated multivariate

prediction models such as for climate

change why don't we create a complex

multivariate model or just have science

do some studies to find out if walls

work so why don't we Commission some

scientists to study the effectiveness of

walls so for example they could run

tests where you build a wall and then

you have some kind of let's say an

animal or yeah let's say the animal and

you have that animal we run as hard as

they can into the wall and then you

measure how many times it works how many

times does the animal get past the wall

by budding is head into it now I'm not

suggesting that the human being

at the border our animals don't take me

out of context I know you like to do

that I'm just saying that you do animal

tests before you do human trials so we

should do some some animal testing with

walls see if see if see if animals can

get over walls first and if if walls

stop animals then we can move on to the

human the human trials where you build a

wall and then you say hey do you want to

go over this wall or maybe you'd like to

take a different route so and then after

you've done the studies that's not

enough you need to do a complicated

multivariate model that predicts the

future of immigration and all of its

impacts including economic and the cry

and and race relations and everything

else you got to put it all in your model

and you should predict there for 80

years into the future because you know

there's nothing more believable than a

complex multivariate model that you

can't see the code that predicts

something exact 80 years in the future

we know we know the Democrats will

believe that kind of thing so let's get

busy on that let's let's turn it over to

the scientists and do some studies we've

got to get to the bottom of this do

walls work from a scientific basis or

are we all just using our anecdotal

information and we don't really know if

walls work so let's be the let's be the

group that believes in science and study

walls find that if walls actually stop

people from going where they wanted to

go without that wall

ah it's not getting a simultaneous sip

there that was asynchronous that was the

asynchronous sip and I hope you didn't

mind Super Bowl prediction yes I will

now give you my Super Bowl prediction

and before I give you my Super Bowl

prediction there's just one piece of

information I need can somebody tell me

who's playing

I am vaguely aware that the Patriots are

the safer Super Bowl are they playing

against another team is there somebody

else playing who's the other team let's

see how long it takes somebody in the

comments to tell me who the Pats are

play it seems to be the Patriots versus

we don't remember which would be very

predictive don't you think if you can't

remember the Rams okay the Patriots

versus the Rams well as you know I

always like to pick winners based on

whether the mascots how the mascots

would do if they fought each other so

here you have a patriot who would

obviously be armed with a whistling kind

of a long rifle probably with the musket

and then you have the RAM it's got these

big old ram horns so in a battle between

a ram and a Patriots who would sort of

depend how quickly the patriot could

reload his musket because if if the pig

if the Patriot gets off one lucky shot

well I'd say the Patriot beats the RAM

but a few misses of the first shot I've

got a feeling the ram the ram kills the

patriot while he's trying to reload his

musket so it depends on accuracy now do

the so do the Patriots have an accurate

quarterback well turns out they do turns

out they do

so I'm gonna go with the Patriots don't

hate me for making the obvious

all right um will Gillette be any ads no

so I have to tell you that I've stopped

paying attention to football I don't

know if I'll turn on the Super Bowl

tonight or not maybe if I'm bored

thank you somebody read my book gods

debris I liked it

set all of the big event I forgot about

the bayonet yeah so maybe it'd be a more

advantage to the Patriot what was I

talking about Oh football so I lost

interest in football and it wasn't for

me it wasn't because of the protests

over the emblem from the start I said

the anthem protests were offensive but

they were meant to be that so they were

effective in the sense that they got our

attention I don't think it's been

effective in making anything change but

you got our attention here's why I

stopped watching a football it's hard to

support something that we know at this

point that we know for sure is damaging

brains and apparently pretty much every

professional player and you know I think

even high school and college players

they all have it seems to be they all

have measurable measurable brain damage

and I don't know how I can support that

so now when I watch football that's sort

of all I see I just see the brain damage

so I can't I can't enjoy it as a sport

anymore because it shouldn't be

happening by the way I think all of our

sports are completely broken

can you imagine what sports would look

like if we invented them today

let me let me tell you how some of the

sports are broken when basketball was

invented

did anybody contemplate that there would

be people who were seven foot seven foot

six playing basketball probably not

Hey probably nobody figured there would

be you know one person that would be

three feet taller than the other person

so first thing you do to fix basketball

just say that you can only play within

your height range right because we have

precedent for that because we have you

know women's sports and men's sports and

there's a reason because the men are

physically stronger and it wouldn't be a

good competition if he had them on the

same team we're in the same same

competition but why is it fair that a

five foot eight person can play

basketball against the seven foot seven

foot six person that doesn't seem fair

so the first thing is that basketball

should be limited by height you know

maybe within like a four inch range you

just you always have to play people at

your height tennis is completely broken

because of the serve have you ever tried

to watch tennis lately used to be my

favorite game but then the rackets kept

getting better and better so the

technology of the rackets kept improving

to the point where if you have a good

enough racket the racket is strong just

right the other player can barely hit

the ball back so if you got rid of the

serve tennis could be fun again because

the serve just ruins everything it makes

everything boring the first serve is

almost always out and it's it's boring

to watch

then take baseball baseball's got a

problem because it's sort of a long

attention span kind of a game need to do

something to make baseball more

interesting or shorter or more action or

something going on there and then soccer

how easy would it be to fix soccer the

biggest problem of soccer is there's not

enough

ring right so all you do is make the

goals bigger so soccer you should make

the goals bigger and maybe get rid of

offsides because that just makes

everything less fun

do not touch baseball do not somebody

says yeah I think probably baseball is

held up the best of all the sports

that's the one that still makes a little

bit of sense then let's talk about golf

the biggest problem with golf if you're

a new player is that the clubs are all

different lengths so even if you're

really good at one club that doesn't

make you good at the other Club and do

you know why the clubs are different

lengths you know why why if you put them

put a club in the ground you know one of

them would be longer than the other no

good reason apparently there's no good

reason there's really no compelling

reason that your clubs can't all be the

same length and in fact there's a famous

story of somebody who had custom clubs

made they were all the same length and

work great so I think I probably won't

get back into golf unless you can get

rid of the people who are in front of

you and behind you because they ruin it

I hate it when they're people behind me

and well a lot of the lot of the clubs

are a lot of the clubs are different

shape yeah there should be maybe maybe

two clubs something something like a

wedge it is something like a putter

that's all you need I'm on vacation and

I have not had enough time to watch

hoaxed yet I said I was but that's on

the top of my list and I'll talk about

it after we watch it

so I was gonna say something I don't

want to say what does everybody's

prediction on this Smollett the story

smaller or is it a smaller or smaller

the actor who claims to have been

attacked by people wearing Maggie hats

is anybody believing that story I would

say the the credibility of that story

approaches zero but that wasn't there

you know we cannot say with certainty

what happened in a place where we

weren't there and then there were no

video cameras capturing anything but I

would say if I had to bet on it maybe

there is a betting I doubt you could

have a betting pool on this but if you

had to bet on it you were definitely bet

it didn't happen the the part that's

weird is that they put a rope around his

neck I mean none of it really makes

sense it just just all doesn't make

sense oh and then apparently the

governor Northam somebody said he he

walked back his apology well I don't

think that's exactly the way to say it I

think it would be me it would be more

accurate to say he mooned walked it back

is anybody used that yet you feel free

to use that governor north room moon

walked back his apology

I just before I turned this on I watched

the video clip of somebody asking them

to moonwalk and his wife his what his

wife says inappropriate a situation the

best part about it was that north rooms

wife has so little she has so little

respect for his judgment as she felt she

needed to tell him not to move she felt

she needed to tell him don't moonwalk

and she knows him best so if if she

thought he might moonwalk the fact the

fact that his wife thought he biked you

might just like yeah but get out from

behind the lectern sermon this is the

best thing ever and then and it gets

even better because apparently he is not

he's not entirely sure how many times

he's been in use his he used to dress up

in blackface apparently his happens

somebody it's happened enough he wasn't

sure if that picture was him all right

now here's my opinion although I do

believe it would have been inappropriate

for him to moonwalk wouldn't it be fair

to say he's he's so toast that I kind of

want to see it

personally I would like to see him

moonwalk now because he might he might

as well he might as well changed the

conversation right you might as well at

least because if he moved walks that's

all we're going to be talking about okay

if you could give me a video of the

governor moonwalking doing a Michael

Jackson tribute to think about this the

first thing that would happen is the

first thing you'd happen is that you

would see that he's probably a fan right

suppose you suppose he moved walked I'm

just gonna put this out here just for

fun

suppose he moon walked and we get that

on video and of course it would be it

would be the headline it would be it

would be all you saw in television you

know there the news channels could not

stop running that if he moonwalks but

here's the thing if he moonwalks really

well and maybe he has some other moves

you know other Michael Jackson moves if

he could pull off if north rim could

pull off 10 seconds of credible Michael

Jackson imitation and also sells to us

that he was a genuine fan let's say

let's say he has an old an old record of

Michael Jackson let's say he produces a

Thriller album from 1984 or something

whatever thriller came out and would

that change what you thought about that

old photo because if he could actually

moonwalk and he was and we could verify

that he was a huge Michael Jackson fan

doesn't that make you feel different

about the costume now I'm not going to

say it separate there was ever a good

idea and I'm not gonna say that people

wouldn't be offended but it would

definitely chant it would change your

opinion because if you're dressing I

mean think about the the entire not the

entire but a big part of

a big part of why people are so angry

with them is that we assume his internal

thoughts were as as say as bad as what

we saw so in other words we're looking

at the video you know looking at a

picture of him dressed as apparently

Michael Jackson or something and and

we're thinking oh my god

Big Oil racist he's making fun of

Michael Jackson but if he could actually

moon moon dance

yeah moonwalk and he actually had some

Michael Jackson moves and he had an old

Thriller album just pick one and he

could prove that he was a huge Michael

Jackson fan it kind of looks different

doesn't it doesn't it look different if

he could demonstrate he was a like a

super fan of Michael Jackson now I'm not

going to say that would save his career

because I don't think that could be done

but he has nothing to lose at this one

he has nothing to lose at this point and

as far as that nickname he had the

nickname he could explain the way by

saying that's what other people called

him and it wasn't his nickname nothing

you know if he could prove he never

called himself that

and that it just makes his friends look

like racist because that was the

nickname for him now I'm not saying any

of that would be good enough to save his

career I'm just saying it would be

hilarious and we couldn't stop watching

it

yeah he you jumped

assuming he was the Michael Jackson look

like well I think that was the question

wasn't it I'm not predicting any that

should happen but it would be hilarious

how do you get a nickname like c oom ma

n somebody is asking me unless you're a

racist simple you once wore Michael

Jackson costume and your friends are

racist if if the people who gave him the

nickname were racist that would explain

it

the the other possibility is he liked to

hunt now I haven't heard anybody say

this but where I grew up where I grew up

if somebody used that nickname it

actually wouldn't have been a racist

nickname I hate to even say this because

it's going to look like I'm you know I'm

defending him so let me say as clearly

as possible I am NOT defending North Rim

I'm just giving you some context where I

grew up in upstate New York

shooting raccoons was a fairly common

thing and we called it hunting and

people use the CEO n-word to talk about

raccoons so where I grew up if you had

that nickname it would more likely it

would more likely refer to some hunting

situation or the fact that you once shot

one in some famous situation or

something like that and I'm not I'm not

in the least suggesting that that

explains Northam situation I'm just

saying that if you're if you're asking

yourself how else can it be explained

and by the way one of the things I write

about in my upcoming book loser think

is that if your argument is based on you

can't imagine any other explanation you

have a weak argument doesn't matter what

the situation is if if if you're saying

the only thing I can imagine to explain

these variables is just this one thing

it probably is a failure of imagination

so if you you know I just gave you an

example of how you could you could

easily imagine that it was a hunting

related nickname or it was given to him

by other people and it was not a

nickname he embraced so those are two

explanations that probably did not occur

to you and I'm not saying that they

explain the situation at all I'm just

saying that you have to be careful you

have to be careful that you assume you

know the explanation for things

remember the Covington Catholic school

situation what was month what what did I

do wrong in interpreting that initial

video as being the kids surrounding the

Native American guy well what I did

wrong is what is that I could not

imagine there was an alternative

explanation now it turns out the

alternative explanation is selective

editing which should have been should

have been right in the top of my mind

but I couldn't look at that picture and

imagine how that could have been

selectively edited like my imagination

was not big enough to incorporate any

other possibility than what I was seeing

was exactly what what was happening so

somebody just offered a third

explanation for for his nickname again

not saying that this is likely but that

if he was wearing a raccoon skin hat

like Davy Crockett for any reason if

he'd been in a play or somebody had one

as a joke or something you could imagine

him getting a nickname I will tell you

that my college nickname was based on

a sweatshirt I wore once so I had a

nickname for four years in college that

was my primary name people didn't even

use my foot regular first name they

called me the letter W so for four years

my college friends called me W because

one day I were a sweatshirt that had a

big letter W on it for the town that I

went to school so could he have worn a

hat one time and that could cause him a

nickname for the rest of his school days

yes because that's exactly what happened

to me I wore one shirt one time and I

got a nickname that lasted me for years

and I did not give that nickname to

myself it was assigned by other people

as nicknames often are

before w bush you traitor who was a

traitor what I'm going to talk about

anything new today well it's funny you

should ask because I'll just Emma

sorry I just blocked the wrong person so

the blocking on here I just blocked some

innocent person who's wondering why they

get blocked if you try to block them as

they're moving sometimes you get the

wrong person so I'll see if I can

unblock that person later book title is

loser think it'll be out and knocked

over now somebody asked if I'm going to

cover any new new topics today here's

the problem there there's no new news

today there's there's nothing there's

nothing in the news i just checked i

just checked CNN and fox news and

there's literally no new news now that

might be because it's the Superbowl

today yeah it might be because I'll tell

you what it is it might be it might be

because the news is all positive for

Trump Trump has had this spectacular

week but you're not going to see that in

the left and the right seems to have

some you know they're revisiting some

stuff too

Trump interview tonight leaking I don't

know about that I do not watch the

president's interview

and above all I think I saw in Fox News

that Michael Moore was saying that AOC

is really the leader of the Democrats I

think there's some truth to that she's

not the only leader there's definitely

some truth to that

so yesterday somebody sent me some what

I would call fake video it's fake in the

sense that it was a an edited an edited

summary I guess or just selectively

edited let's say clip of Nancy Pelosi

and the clip was edited so that you can

see all of her miss speaking so

everywhere where she struggled for a

word or she paused to find the next word

or she had to stop and correct herself

I saw it edited together so if you saw

it all together it looked like she had

some kind of fairly serious mental

problem and it was really convincing it

was also fake news because if you I'm

sure if you had seen all of those

mistakes you know spread them over the

course of a long public spontaneous

public speaking event that lasted a long

time there were quite a few times where

she had to you know go for a word and

struggle and they wouldn't look nearly

the same if you saw them in their

original context spread out but when you

see them all put together they they tell

us they tell they tell a troubling story

they do the same thing for Trump yeah

it's just a good trick all it does is

put all your mistakes together

am i sticking with the Schultz

prediction which pert of the Schultz

prediction is that he would not

ultimately run for president and the

answer is yes I was thinking too that if

she'll run for president

it will be a serious blow to starbucks

coffee business because we know the

democrats are not going to like Schultz

and the Democrats are the party of

boycotts now it could be that people are

so addicted to coffee that there's

nothing they can do to stop drinking it

Atlanta spent 23 million on the

footbridge for the Superbowl but it

won't open because of security now I

don't know about that story I'm just

reading here

you think Schulz will win well winning

as a third party would be an amazing

thing but I don't see happy somebody

says Republicans don't boycott they do

but not as effectively apparently

somebody says they wish they had my

brain well that would be a bloody

operation and probably the transplant

would not work might have to wait a few

years for that so I noticed NBC taking

down

tulsi gabbard so there's an article an

anti tell see Gabbard article them NBC

News and I thought to myself isn't NBC

News the one everybody says is owned by

the CIA you know haven't we did we just

find out that the CIA is backing Kamala

Harris by the fact that NBC News just

went after Tulsi Gabbard

our CPS salut says I saw it on the NBC

so I still have an NBC article

RGB prediction what am what would you

like me to predict are you asking me to

predict or death that would not be that

would not be cool Oh somebody's asking

me to predict whether our Ruth Gish Ruth

Bader Ginsburg is alive

yes she's definitely alive the the the

odds of a Supreme Court justice dying

without the news getting out is zero

yeah it's zero now I'm guessing she's

not in very good shape but we kinda know

he kind of knew that somebody says her

taxidermist and says she's fine that's

pretty funny it's cruel but it's funny

so let me ask you this let's talk about

the prediction for the wall and for the

emergency situation it seems to me that

President Trump has set the table for an

emergency declaration that would have

seen extreme a month ago but now it's

going to look like he's taking action

because the government is just not being

useful so wouldn't you say let me say

this I think the strongest play for the

president is not to say well here's the

best way to frame if he goes for the

emergency declaration for the wall which

i think is close to guaranteed at this

point if he had tried to do an emergency

declaration a few months ago it would

have been just a huge uproar and it

would have been it would have been a big

problem politically in every other way I

think the system would have taken some

strain on that

but now that the president has acted

reasonably and he isn't he's allowed the

Democrats to have their negotiations

with the government open and now that

they've they've clearly demonstrated

that they're not they're not credible

players this is a big deal because until

we actually witnessed the Democrats

trying to negotiate and not being even

serious about it you could have imagined

that maybe they could have so until they

until they failed right in front of us

it was easy to imagine well maybe if

they maybe if they did have some

meetings they could work this out but

now you don't have to wonder because the

president gave them enough rope to hang

themselves he actually he actually you

know baited them or they baited

themselves I don't know I don't know if

it was his clever plan or it just worked

out this way but because he gave them

room to negotiate and he let them fail

spectacularly in public and he let them

die on the sword of we're going to

ignore the experts and the engineers

which is what he did right so when when

the negotiations fail and it's obvious

that there's no chance that they could

succeed at this point when they fail the

president is going to say we talked to

the experts we talked to the engineers

and they said unequivocally

unequivocably and no doubt about it

that in these specific areas you need

some wall the the Democrats failed to

listen to the experts fail to listen to

the engineers and now because they are

useless they are useless I'm going to

make a decision for the American people

within my authority as

commander-in-chief and

at this point it's gonna go down

you know it'll always good add a little

hard but at this point it can the

country is primed to accept it if you're

a Democrat you cannot look at this

situation and tell yourself the year

side played it fairly you cannot look at

the situation as a Democrat and say yeah

the Democrats were really negotiating in

good faith for this wall stuff that

never happened even their own side knows

that they played it politically instead

of playing it for the benefit of the

country well that is no longer in

question or it won't be when they

finally give up with this stupid

committee stuff yeah and you could

always say well that's always been the

case the Democrats have always been

obstructionist well because of the way

we got here that the closing of the

government policies demand that if we

open the government they could you know

everybody could play nice with each

other and then it didn't happen so we

saw essentially Pelosi being a not a not

a credible participant in the in the

effort to fix things so I think the

president has total clearance now to do

what he needs to do

you could you can always tell when the

the Democrats are are losing what is it

what is it the Democrats say whenever it

looks like they're gonna lose hard yeah

when it comes to border security because

at this point you can kind of already

project forward you you know that the

committee won't work that nothing will

come out of that you know that the

president's not going to close the

government again because that didn't

work last time and you know that he will

do the emergency declaration because

it's it's the only rational path that

will be left to him and of course he

will do it so so those things we can

predict with with clarity but if if you

hear the Democrats say if they start

talking about

he said Mexico would pay for it and you

know they've lost if all they have left

is the part of the campaign promise that

was more really as more joke and

marketing than it was serious at least

in a direct way if they're arguing that

the indirect way we're getting money

from Mexico is not the same as a direct

way well they will be technically

correct but they will be dealing with

trivialities that's if that's all they

have left that's that's not a strong

play so every time I see somebody say oh

yeah but what about he said Mexico would

pay for it once you've gotten to the

point where everyone agrees that the

dollar amounts are trivial it kind of

doesn't matter who pays for it at that

point does it yeah because nobody's

saying 5.7 billion will break the bank

no nobody is saying that the United

States can't afford five point seven

billion dollars nobody say that so if

you've already admitted that money isn't

really a problem taking that to the next

level and saying okay there are two

things we know for sure the amount of

money is totally trivial and you said

Mexico would pay for it what about

Mexico paying for it

that is the weakest attack you'll ever

see so the more they're talking about

Mexico not paying for it the more you

should celebrate if you want to wall all

right

yeah there was a story better Ram

admitting that they were cheating on

their enriching uranium you see that I'm

not sure that that's a confirmed story

but so I think I'm not going to talk

about it because I don't think that's

sufficiently confirmed so I did go and

watch the video clip of Joe Rogan and

Jack Dorsey we're talking about they're

talking about this they were talking

about coffee with Scott Adams and the

simultaneous N and that brings up an

interesting point if if you take a

start-up to venture capitalists or any

kind of people who are experienced

funders and you say here's my startup

and here's what I want to do if you do

that the the experts will always say the

same thing they'll say who is your

specific customer and if you say

everybody's my customer I'm marketing

this to basically everybody you can't

get funded so that that's one of those

universal truths in startups that if you

say your customer is everyone you can't

get funding because they need a specific

customer so they can judge whether you

can go get that specific customer but

look at Facebook what it what is

Facebook's specific customer it's

everybody right and they didn't even

start out with that thought they started

out trying to meet some girls in college

right so they started that with a

specific customer but they didn't make

any difference because it ended up with

their customer was everyone and then

speaking of the Joe Rogan broadcast with

interviewing Jack Dorsey the the history

of Twitter is that it started as

something completely different it was

some kind of limited message service but

the public decided they liked it in in

some form that evolved to what you're

saying now

modern Twitter and so Twitter didn't

have a specific customer that lasted

they had a specific use case but it had

nothing to do with or very little to do

with what Twitter became and who is

Twitter for who is who's the customer

for Twitter well kind of everyone right

and then on the broadcasts are talking

about periscope periscope was originally

you know imagined as its its original

forum where you just turn it on and it's

a live broadcast from wherever you are

but as Jack was describing on Joe Rogan

that people like me started using it for

podcasts which was not an original

it wasn't an application that was

originally assumed and because people

started using it for that so the way I'm

using it is more like a podcast and so

because people started using it like

that

they started adding features to satisfy

that market so in other words here again

periscope started with a certain

application and market in mind but they

listened to the audience and they moved

where the audience wanted it to go same

with I'm pretty sure you could just go

down the list and you could find company

after company that started as one thing

and became something else you know who

is Google's customer everyone who is I

who is a Apple's customer well it's

everyone who has money right because

they their products is a little higher

end than the competition well it's

basically everyone so I'm trying to I'm

trying to square these two things oh and

let's let's take Dilbert for example

Dilbert started out as just being a

comic for people who had the same sense

of humor as I did which turned out to be

a small audience but the audience told

me hey we like it when he's doing

workplace stuff so so because the

audience told me I move Dilbert to a

workplace comic and then it succeeded so

what I observe and and by the way we've

got a we've got a feature change on my

interface by when hub app that's out now

and when you see the future change

you're going to see this effect so we're

adding the feature and I'll tell you

about it when we release it I think in a

week or so that is completely dependent

on what customers wanted and s4 and it's

a completely different application in

addition to the things that it already

does so you're gonna see that there are

two ways to get where you want to get

one is to have a specific customer and

really chase that customer and that's

the way you can get funding more easily

but once you're chasing a specific

customer you end up listening to the

audience and then adjusting your product

in a variety of different ways until it

becomes a different product and the

audience tells you what that is

so the wisdom of people who fund

startups is almost directly opposite of

how we observe the world to work and

I've never quite squared those two

things how they can be Oh somebody said

their daughter went on there as a script

doctor that's a good use so the script

doctor is somebody who looks at a script

that's been written let's say for a

movie or a TV show and they know how to

fix it from a raw form into something

that's punchy and good that would be a

perfect use for the app actually

okay I'm just gonna tell you what the

feature is very ready yeah should I tell

you

I wonder if my partners will get mad at

me if I tell you I'm just gonna tell you

we're adding a donate button so in other

words in it if you sign up for the

interface by when hub app and you have a

profile on there you won't need to be

live in other words you don't have to be

available for a call and people can

still donate to you so if you are a

let's say a conservative artist and you

don't want to be on patreon or you don't

want to be on it let's say you got

defunded on other platforms you'd have

one more option so it would be one way

to make sure people could donate to you

with no friction I think it would take

30 seconds or well not 36 but it might

take you a full 60 seconds to add your

profile to the interface by win hub app

and then you just tell people to go

search for your name and hit the button

and they can they can donate to you now

why did we add this feature and it's not

that way yet so you have to wait I'll

tell you what it's a maybe a week or so

it's been I believe it's been tested and

already submitted to the App Store's but

the reason we added it is because

largely people on periscope asked me for

it

so you're actually seeing you see how

these platforms interact so because I'm

on periscope I get lots of comments you

see them going by and a quite a few of

you commented here and in in other ways

that people reach me a lot of people

said the same thing they said hey why

don't you add a way on your app that

people can donate to artists who are

being you know DD platformed on other

sites or just want another way you know

even if you not be platform you might

just want another way that people can

getting Tony and so we added it now if

you talk to me a year from now am I

going to tell you that the year for now

am I going to tell you that that's the

biggest use of the app maybe I don't

know might be but it would be based on

what the audience asked for can I be a

parent expert I don't have but yes you

can you can you can be a parent experts

and you can set your price no Super Bowl

ad for this app yeah those are pretty

pricey you can hear a lot more about the

app in the next week or two we've got

some exciting things besides that that's

just one of the things happening but

there's a whole bunch of really

important things happening that I'll

tell you about do you have stats on what

different experts are charging I don't

believe we know I don't think we capture

that it would be easy to capture we have

the raw data so we could but I don't

think that's on the dashboard that we we

look at our data but it's easy for you

to just scroll through it you can see

you can scroll through the experts you

can see the prices somebody's saying

will I allow Alex Jones so here's the

thing we're we're an open platform like

a telephone call or like a FaceTime call

or any other communication tool so I'm

sure there are things people could do

that would cause them to get kicked off

but we probably would not kick it but

anyone off for doing something on other

platforms but we'll see I mean I'm sure

there's yeah you never want to say never

there are certainly things that could

get you kicked off of any platform and I

think we'd all agree on some of them

somebody coming in here with the

anti-semitic stuff I could never tell

when I see stuff like that I could never

tell I can never tell how serious it is

or how troll-like it is it's scary

either way all right

yeah I'm not gonna say who's in there

out but if they're not bothering me

they're probably going to be fine

would you like to see my view for those

of you who can't be here

it'll take you over take a look

so you see that Island over there that

entire island is owned by Larry Ellison

Oracle founder so he bought the entire

island

poor 3 now that's just a long

not bad huh

the weather's been terrible but

all right back to me sorry it's

disappointing you have to look at me

well I think that's all I have to say

today and I will keep you informed about

new new events and I will talk to you

all later