Episode 744 Scott Adams - Troll Attacks, Loserthink in the News, Bottom Circle People, Lisa Page

um hey everybody come on in here I hope you're sleeping off your holiday weekend got enough rest and you are ready to hit it this week hit it hard and the best way to start that is with coffee or a beverage of your choice does it but it doesn't take much all it takes is a cup or a mug or glasses if there's time shell this tank your thermos flask and team Grail goblet vessels of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee enjoyed me now for the unparalleled pleasure the don't between the end of the day the thing that makes everything better the simultaneous sip ready ready ready ready come on savor it hold savor it good okay well I don't know if you've noticed but the the troubles on the Left have a new have new marching orders and man is frightening so I spent the last day or so slapping trolls on Twitter now sometimes I just you know block them and walk away but when the trolls get new marching orders and they all come in with the same kind of message it's a little more interesting and I tend to engage now one of the questions that people ask me is because there's an article from Wired Wired did a big interview with me when I was doing my book Tomer recently and the wired interview just dropped now I haven't read it because I'm in so many articles this month I don't read them all but I tweeted it and I twenty-two the article the article focuses on really there's no reason to focus on this except it was one interesting part from my book loser thang and one of the things I focused on was I talked about how to have some new rules for civility on the internet and I talked about my 48-hour rules for apology apologizing in my 20 year rule for just letting things go if somebody did something more than 20 years ago and it wasn't murder or something permanent like that they just let it go because they're different people but anyway the point is the trolls came after me and they were noting that I was insulting my trolls just for fun the internet I do have proof aden entertainment and people said Scott Scott Scott's you hypocrites you hypocrite how can you say you're in favor of civility on the Internet at the very same time you are insulting trolls insulting trolls is the opposite of civility to which I say I'm also opposed to murder but if you break into my house at night I will kill you is that inconsistent I am opposed to murder but if you break into my house in the middle of the night I will kill you are those inconsistent I don't think so I don't think so at all if a troll comes after you on Twitter you have a free punch you can be as awful as you want there's no rule of civility that says you need to be nice to rude people that's not is there any any form of manners that suggests is you need to be rude you know nice to an there's no rule like that either I don't suggest that anybody do it now you might want to know why they're being the way they're being if there's something wrong with them it's like a mental problem well then maybe you want to walk away but if patrol is coming in for political purposes or just to be a sociopath and just to hurt a stranger those people are just a free punch why would you not take a free punch on somebody who completely deserves it so I do it for fun and entertainment and fuel but so the newest batch I'm trying to figure out where they're getting their marching orders because if you noticed in the last 24 hours or so maybe maybe a little bit sooner than that they're coming with the same approach and there are lots of them and they're all trolls you can tell by the by their accounts now they may not be paid rolls but they're obviously organized because they're coming with the same messages so the messages against me always take the same form there's always the sincere guy I like the sincere troll the sincere troll is hi I used to love your comic but now because I know you're a terrible person I can never enjoy it again so I call those the sincere trolls they try to hurt me with sincerity now I don't believe they were reading Dilbert yesterday I'm sure none of it's true so that's one flavor the other flavor are the people who are asking me if I support kids and cages and or Steven Miller in the White House so apparently there's some kind of general instruction that trolls will go after whoever they think is a trump supporter and they're gonna ask them those questions do you favor kids in cages or Stephen Miller and it's sort of do you still beat your wife kind of thing because you know that they want to concentrate the entire trump presidency into one personnel question that I don't know much about I mean I couldn't tell you everything that is Stephen Miller does or thinks the same with all the rest of his advisers I don't know much about it I know people say bad things what are the odds that bad things said about a thing people on the internet are true low you know I mean could be true could be not true so I don't have an opinion about something I'm informed about and really don't have a way to become informed but that seems to be the neutral attack is going after Trump supporters directly one of the people who is supporting this idea of going after Trump supporters so remember in 2016 one of the worst of the stakes the Hillary Clinton made was the deplorable comment but even Hillary Clinton limited the deplorable to a subset of Republicans so even Hillary was saying well you got your Republicans that we just disagree with in essence I'm paraphrasing you know the ones we just disagree with politically but then they're the deplorable you know a percentage of them that are irredeemable horrible people now that didn't work out for her because people correctly or incorrectly took deplorable 's to me and she was really talking about all Trump supporters she wasn't she wasn't but it was easy to twist it into that as a political attack so calling some percentage of Trump supporters deplorable turned out to be one of the worst political moves of all time so they've decided to double down instead of saying that some portion of Trump supporters are deplorable the newest attack is that anybody who voted voted for ever says the good things about Trump is supporting kids and cages and way supremacy so they've doubled down under thing that didn't work that's so typical now there's a fellow who works senior correspondent for Fox now if I reduce a topic by saying that it came from a senior correspondent for Vox what's your first thought well here's some hot mess of thinking right here so whatever I say next you know it's just gonna be so bad crazy that I almost don't even have to say it I could just say and that a senior correspondent for Fox said some things that are batshit crazy the details probably don't even matter but I'm going to give them to you anyway so he says bub she says seems to be my my notes are out of order as soon as I find it well alright I will give it to you in rough form he said that we should go after damnit the most important thing I wanted to copy and paste sorry I'm making you wait but this is totally worth it no I guess that didn't print for some reason alright so the point is this Vox correspondent said basically he was in favor of going after people as voters so he said that the days of not going after people for being having bad opinions should be over and that you should shun people socially and you should you know go after them socially and otherwise for having bad opinions and I responded and I said remind me who gets to decide which beliefs are abhorrent so the word that he used was abhorrent and he said that you should shun people with abhorrent opinions and you shouldn't be able to ostracize them and and be bad to them and so I said who gets to decide which beliefs are abhorrent for example I don't know this to be true but I'm guessing that a senior correspondent for Fox is in favor of a more now I I stay out of the abortion question because I would rather recuse myself as the Pam let women to work it out then I'll support whatever they they come up with so I don't have a dog in the fight per se at least in terms of arguing about it but it is nonetheless a objective statement that half of the country believes that someone who supports abortion has an abhorrent belief so if we were to use his standard half of the country should buy his own standard shun him and try to drive him out in the country somehow I guess so it's probably the most bankrupt ridiculous stupid opinion you'll ever see in your life because if you don't have a standard for what abhorrent behavior looks like you can't really measure to it you can't really manage to it so this is a part of a larger thing so then the other troubles are the laundry list trolls and a whole bunch of them came down at the same time and their laundry list list looks like this this one from Glenn Craven on Twitter or maybe Scott Adams could have decided not to support a now watch the list of ironic racist narcissist con man with no real leadership acumen clearly pulled into Russia and enamored of dictators huge Rob Reiner Rob Reiner comes also with the same same kind of thing and Rob Reiner said yesterday every elected Republican knows that this president is guilty of countless impeachable offenses I would list them but then I would have to show that there are no impeachable offenses but their countless careless so many impeachable defenses I couldn't possibly list them all on Twitter but they meaning the Republicans along with many wait Evangelic ins and white supremacists have made a pact with Putin have they have the white evangelicals and white supremacists made a pact with Putin but unlike a pact with the devil this one can be unsigned in other words that the Republicans can change their mind it's not too late so when I read this I say to myself is this a political opinion or is it a cry for help in other words is Rob Reider signaling a strong political opinion or is the strong signal that he's got a mental health problem that's the actual serious question that's a being completely serious that's not a political statement is this a sign of mental illness let me read it again and just just just listen to it now imagine that this is a prominent person who knows he'll be noticed you'll be noticed by lots of other probability of people who could affect his life in his career and so he sang this in public and I would say you believe that because but he's so consistent you know I can't read his mind but he's been so consistent I assume he believes it so he thinks that every elected Republican knows that Trump is guilty of countless and peaceable offenses does that sound like a sane opinion that every Republican knows the president is guilty of countless of people offenses there's no evidence of that there's plenty of evidence to the contrary but there's certainly darkness of that even though the left there's evidence that Republicans think he's done a lot of impeachable things but they along with many white evangelicals and white supremacists have made a pact with Putin really is that is that a sane mentally stable statement they're white supremacists have made a pact with Putin what does that even mean what does that even mean I think it's just a mental health problem that's disguising as a political opinion is that too strong because I'm not trying to exaggerate you know my basic philosophy of life is that people come up with their opinions first and then they back into the rationalization well here's my opinion because of my feelings and now I'm going to you know tortured away make it sound like there was some reasoning that went into it this is the cleanest example of that because his opinion appears to be just a mental health problem and again I don't mean that as hyperbole now I'm not a mental health professional so I can't I'm not saying that he has a mental health problem I'm making the nuanced distinction I'm saying that I as an untrained professional simply observing him that he registers with me as having a met with a pretty severe mental problem that doesn't me is true and I'm certainly not saying I'm qualified to to diagnose it I'm just telling you the way its received by me my impression as a non-professional non non qualified person is that it's a mental disorder of some type that he's backed into some kind of a reason and B and you could tell me because the reasons don't make any frickin sense at all I mean who could possibly think that every elected Republican knows not just suspects not just has a few problems with the president but every elected Republican knows that this president is guilty of countless impeachable offenses you actually couldn't even count them there's so many there's just no way that that's a serious opinion from a person with a stable working intellect it just doesn't feel like it to me now I can be wrong and I'm not qualified to do diagnose mental illness but if I were I'd be looking here to find some all right so look for that I wonder if their a/b testing it but it looks like the new approach is to go after Trump Trump supporters and say do you like Stephen Miller do you like kids in cages and try to try to make all Trump supporters feel like they're garbage people in fact that's that's the most common that guy the thing I see is that I'm a garbage person because I write and talk about Trump I'm a garbage person now let me let me tell you let me show you a picture and I came up with it's like this let's see if you can see this so this little dart sorry about that I don't think I can light it up let's see if I could put on the back light hold on alright just ignore that just ignore that bright spot in there so this is how I see the world I see it I see politics is sort of a circle so up at the top of the circle you see people who are exactly in the middle of the left and right they put Biden up there just as one example he sort of close to the middle but he's he's left of it Trump is farther from the middle so I put him right in the the far right and then I put Elizabeth Warren as sort of the the opposite of that but down at the bottom which would be both the far left and the far right it's where they meet that's basically a hate based philosophy now they hate different things or different people but they all start with hate and then they rationalize it backwards so I see them as the same I don't see any difference between Nazis and anti foul you could argue the Nazis have a bigger death count but you know that's not the relevant part the relevant part is that they're all starting with hate and then their reasoning backwards from that it's like well I hate this group of people so what's that mean about my political opinions so that's how I see the world and the the trolls identify and the neo-nazis and the white waste supremacist all the same all the same category I don't make any distinction and I think that's helpful all right let's talk about a few other things Canada is going more nuclear so a group of premiers 3 premiers from three different regions in Canada got together and decided that they would start supporting the design and building of small modular nuclear power stuff now it's going to take five to ten years before any of these actually get built but it's important it's important that there were three of them and it's important that they came up with a long-range plan now on Twitter on Twitter a gentleman said that Zach Kanter so he's a the user on Twitter Zach Kanter and he saw that article he said what a huge drawback of nuclear power is that it doesn't dismantle systems of oppression it only produces clean energy this makes it unsuitable for solving the climate crisis which isn't just about the environment and then he showed a picture which is saying that one benefit of climate change let's say policy would be to dismantle the entire patriarchy system basically the entire system of government so I said to myself huh what kind of background would you have to have to have such a bad opinion and what kind of training experience would you have to have to hold this point of view because one thing I could tell you for sure it's not economics and it's not politics probably not history so I said to myself what kind of background is yeah so I looked at his Linked.

In profile he has a BA in science and marketing pretty good and he's involved in some startups so he is technical and he also has some marketing pretty good smart guy so I'm gonna say if you know if he were tape to take an IQ test probably do really well because he's got an advanced degrees but what would science and marketing tell you about changing the economic and political system in this country now much right so he's got this giant blank spot if you study economics you're certainly not well if you're honest about it you're not trying to turn the country into a completely different socialist experiment but here's the thing that most smart economists would know if your country is doing better than it has ever done in the history of humankind your economy is the strongest and separate and and on pretty much every metric we're improving under those conditions do you make a large a risky change to your system it is the right time to make a large risky change to your entire system you're dismantling it rebuilding it when things are going better than they've ever gone before now know is that a hundred percent of economists would tell you the same thing you know unless they're also in politics in which case you know that that can change things but I don't think there's any anybody who has business experience or economics experience who would tell you that a good time to change everything like a big risky major change from the ground up into your society in your economics and everything is when everything is better than December bent that's exactly the time you don't do that so this is a perfect example of what I call loser think which is that the person involved Zac Cantor from all indications is a very high IQ person so there's nothing about what I'm saying which should be construed as saying anything about his general intelligence because it looks pretty high but he's got clearly a blind spot for something really important somebody says he's trawling meaning that you can't tell the difference between parity and reality right because I tweeted that this morning this is one of those opinions where you look at you go I don't know is he just a really good troll or does he actually believe this then I look at his background I go oh you could believe this he's got a blind spot for economics all right one of the weird effects of the Democrats voter shaming project so that's what's happening now that Democrats are trying to shame Trump supporters into not voting for them what is the unintended consequence of that well they're probably a few that we can't predict well one of the unintended consequences is that all of your political polls will be shitty from now on would you trust a political poll in an environment where people are being ashamed for supporting one of the candidates no you would not so the voter shaving should have the effect of making all future political polls complete because the Republicans are just going to stop answering honestly now let me make a recommendation if you're a trump supporter you should answer the poll you know if somebody calls you and says let me pull you and there you should lie you should lie to the pollsters because it'd be really funny I know some people are already doing it's obvious to me it's obvious that some Republicans are just lying could be because they don't want to be overheard by their own spouse that's a real thing but I would recommend it to all Trump supporters if you get a chance to be part of a poll because it's funny you should lie somebody says we already did and are and I've got a feeling I didn't need to tell you that I I think I didn't need to tell you that I think is just sort of spontaneously happening one of the reasons is Republicans like a good practical joke am I right people conservatives enjoy a good practical joke and I'm not sure the people left have the same type of sense of humor on average you know obviously individuals are are all over the place but not average I think the left doesn't like a good practical joke as much as people on the right so play a good practical joke somebody says I lied four years ago yeah if somebody says yes it's a reflex yeah look at all the people saying that they already lied to pollsters well I think that's gonna go down to overdrive imagine how much fun you will have on an election day if all the polls were wrong again and Trump gets re-elected in a landslide can you imagine how much fun you're gonna have if he gets re-elected in a landslide and all the polls were wrong right up to Election Day come on that would be funny you know it would all right let's see what else we got going on all right a few more topics here Mexico just had this gigantic gun battle between the military and police and the cartels 21 people dead and that's not even counting wounded so this just happened I think yesterday 21 people dead in a gun battle between police and the cartels could you imagine that kind of news happening in this country and apparently what started it all was the cartel you know rolled into some town in Mexico near the border and and actually tried to take over the town like Isis that the cartel actually came in with a military sized contingent to actually just take over town and they succeeded they took over a town they held territory and the Mexican military came in and killed them and a few of the several cops were or policemen were killed at the same time unfortunately now apparently the murder rate in Mexico is a hundred a day on average a hundred a day so let's make no mistake the cartels are now a essentially a Chinese proxy force too strong there's a too strong to say that the cartels are a Chinese proxy military I think they are I mean that's not how they see themselves of course but in effect because they're handling Chinese fentanyl which is shifted to this country and kills tens of thousands and that's supported by China it's supported by their leadership because they they have the ability to stop it they choose not to so I think war is guaranteed between the United States and the cartels and I'm going to make a further prediction it will not necessarily I'll put it necessarily to add you a little bit there won't necessarily be with the cooperation of the government of Mexico do you think there's any chance that the government of Mexico is not armed by the cartels there's no chance of that the cartels have clearly controlled the government of Mexico so getting the Mexican government to agree to u.s.

military action because the cartels couldn't ever happen because the cartels own the military and if somebody in the eye oh the government there's somebody in the government of Mexico said yeah go ahead come on in and help us get rid of these cartel people well that politician would be dead by the afternoon so we can't get Mexico's government's approval and we can't let a Chinese military proxy force on our border so I think we have to attack China by wiping out the cartels now if the cartels decided to change their business from not being you know to something that's not a Chinese proxy military force well I might change my idea of what we need to do about it but given that it is an active attack on the United States by a Chinese proxy force the cartels I think we have every right to go in militarily without anybody's permission and and in fact there's no practical way to get anybody's permission you could ask but there's nobody really to ask because it's just cartels and people controlled by cartels alright I was wondering if there's something that might be called a Trump effect that has changed the psychology of the Hong Kong protesters as well as the Iranian public apparently the Iranian public is getting pretty serious about protesting and rioting and trying to take down their government or at least influence their government so there's a lot going on in Iran we don't have a lot of reporting from it but it's getting pretty pretty hot down there and Hong Kong as well and the thing that you would say about both of those situations is one of the odds the Hong Kong could ever prevail over China like just on the surface of it you'd say well zero right I mean if you had to bet if you had to make a long-term bet all right 20 years from now does China have full control of Hong Kong or did Hong Kong somehow win their autonomy which way would you bet well you put all your money on China eventually having full control of just geographically there there's just no way that's not going to happen right and yet the Hong Kong protesters are fighting as if they feel they can win because if you didn't feel you could win you wouldn't put up this kind of fight you'd move or you'd put up with it or something so there's something about the psychology of the Hong Kong protesters that makes them think they can prevail in what looks like an impossible situation likewise the Iranian protesters apparently feel they can make some kind of a difference so they wouldn't be doing what they're doing yet one of the odds that that the street protests can overthrow you know the regime given the control that the regime has very low what do you say no not impossible you know nothing's impossible but what are the odds that the Iranian protesters will succeed on the surface of things looks pretty low but they don't think so apparently because they're working pretty hard at doing it so that's what I'm calling the Trump effect I think there are people fighting for freedom who maybe before didn't think it was within reach there's something about Trump that makes you think anything's possible I mean partly because he got elected and then he keeps doing things that are supposed to be impossible but he's doing them fairly routinely how about starting to trade world with China impossible well okay he's doing that about wiping out Isis's territorial holdings I said Bob okay he did that and you could think of other examples right how about moving the moving our embassy to Jerusalem he can't do that okay he just did that how about recognizing the Golan Heights as part of Israel he can't okay he just did that I feel as though there's something about the psychology of the world and you see the Hong Kong protesters in particular waving American flags and thanking the president for signing the that Hong Kong legislation that puts some pressure on China so I feel as though Trump has changed the psychology of struggling people in oppressive places he just might have convinced them that they've got a shot now I think I I hope they're not depending on the United States to step in because they might be and I hope that's not the only thing to rely on because I don't know how I don't know how much we could possibly step in and either these situations without making them far worse because if the United States gets involved directly you know in some obvious way then you know the the regimes in both cases can get tougher because then it's like they're fighting the United States so it's a tough place to be but I think the world is being affected by the the Trump example in some way here is here's some yeah I've got a couple of other topics and that is oh let's talk about Lisa Paige you know I like to update you on my diction's both good and bad for example on the bad side I predicted a year ago that Kabul Harris would get the nomination for the Democrats if you had to guess today you'd probably say Scott that might be your worst prediction but I'm sticking with it because the reason for it didn't change it just I found out new information which is she's the worst campaigner in the history of campaigners but it's also fixable she has the only problem that could be fixed get rid of your sister as your campaign very easy now I don't know that she'll fix it because firing your sister is pretty tough but let me say this as clearly as possible if you can't fire your sister you can't be our president table Harris I'm talking to you if you can't fire your sister you don't have what it takes to be President fire your sister show us you got you got at least a little spunk show us that you're in charge and not your sister because it's based on the reporting it's pretty obvious that the sister is the problem so that would be an example of what will probably be a wrong prediction but I'm sticky sticky with it because I think it wouldn't be fair to revise my prediction on that you know just because the there's some new information but there was one prediction I made a long time ago that as far as I know I am the only person in the world who made it I so fact-checked me on this this is a prediction I made that I believe I believe I'm literally the only person who ever made this prediction it had to do with the the texts and emails between lousã Paige and Peter struck in which they mentioned they quote insurance policy and you know that everybody on the right said of the insurance policy clearly and unambiguously refers to the fact that we need to get rid of Trump with you know our clever legal Nations as an insurance policy in case he gets elected right and I said it was I said it was nothing I said that once you heard the context of it you would not think that the meeting was we have to get rid of Trump this way in case he gets elected so now she is testified and she said that what the insurance policy referred to is the following that they had this investigation in which there wasn't much in the way of evidence that there might be some suspicion of Trump campaign colluding with Russia if we elected Trump and he had that connection to Russia that'd be a big problem but since they they expressly believed it was very unlikely he would get elected they were kind of slow walking the investigation because they thought it would probably not matter you know it was just one battery he just wouldn't get elected it doesn't matter the insurance policy was in case he got elected in which case you really do need to know if there's a Russian connection but it wasn't so much about removing him from office it was simply in the context of doing her job if you're if you're sending President as a Russia and Tango mint then you better make sure you've looked into it so the insurance policy was just looking into that's it in case it was a Russian entanglement somebody says do you believe here all right so that's a fair question so the fair question is do you believe her version of it or do you believe that she well let's let's diagram that out in order to believe I stay with the year in order to believe that what she meant was we need to remove the president in sort of a coup if he gets elected in order to believe the coup version of the insurance policy you would have to believe that Lisa page thought it would be a good idea to have a discoverable digital record of her coup attempt do you believe that do that a lawyer involved in the FBI who was with an FBI guy her boyfriend do you believe that she would have written in a discoverable digital text her intention to be part of a coup attempt to overthrow the government do you think that because you would have to believe that in order to accept your interpretation that she was talking about a coup and she just put it right there in a text message maybe you know that falls into the category of anything's possible right now compare that to the interpretation that she was just a government person doing her job because her interpretation fits all of the evidence and it is perfectly within her job description it is perfectly consistent with how you'd want an employee to act would you want her to treat the investigation as her highest priority given that there was a in her opinion 91% chance it would never matter she did exactly what you would want your employee to do she she slow walked a little bit but made sure that they had you know they were looking to win it enough just in case there was something to worry about now I know that some of you are hating this because it's triggering you into cognitive dissonance if you just spent the last couple of years thinking there was a smoking gun and it was Lisa Paige talking about the insurance policy you have to compare that interpretation yeah I think I'll put my coup attempt in a discoverable digital form she's a lawyer working with the FBI nobody who's a lawyer working for the FBI puts a coup attempt in a discoverable electronic form nobody you know it'll never happen I did say anything's possible but there's nothing less likely than that now what are the odds that she did her job the way you should do a job which is she said her priorities she said what her priorities were and then she told you how she was working too your priorities what are the odds that that happened most normal thing in the world so one interpretation is the most normal thing in the world that you prioritize your work and see Centeno this probably won't matter but as an insurance policy let's make sure we're chipping away at it most normal thing in the world versus the most unusual thing in the world that a lawyer working with the FBI would put her coup attempt in a discoverable text message seriously seriously I mean sure anything's possible but that's pretty unlikely so I believe I am the only person who said that there were that there would emerge an ordinary explanation can anybody fact check me on this from the very beginning did I not say and am I not the only person who said this find me one other person who ever said this I said that there would emerge and ordinary explanation for the insurance policy there it is now you can disbelieve it but are you but aren't you arrogance let me talk to Jack Lew one who is saying with the question mark arrogance if you care handle this periscope in which I clearly started with an example where I was very wrong and that I gave an example in which I'm right so I could balance it out and your comment is arrogance you need to step up your game there jack all right this periscope you're allowed to say when you do good things and you are allowed to say when you do bad things if that looks like arrogance do you need to check yourself maybe that's something about you that's making you interpret it that way people can do people can be right about things and people can be wrong if I only talked about the things I was right about well you might have a you know you'd have a point there but you don't I think you're missing some big pieces of the story like Mc.

Cabe's secret meeting who well the secret meeting rotted enough they used the word secret but by far the most likely explanation or ordinary things so I'm gonna stick with that so representative carried Adler's panel is drawing up articles of impeachment and are you not completely over this with beach band stuff I feel as if the Democrats I just put a tourniquet around their own necks and they're twisting it it's like you know we'll get them a couple more twists and we'll get him I'm just gonna twist this tourniquet on my own neck a few more times than that Trump will be an oval office oh I mean a vessel that's what it looks like he means Lisa's arrogance OS the if the arrogance comment was about the lawyer you you think you think that was huge the arrogance would explain why a lawyer for the FBI would put treason in a discoverable text message I don't think arrogance arrogance doesn't quite fit that situation I didn't block him out Ukrainian president olenski continued once again to deny he spoke with President Trump quote from the position of a quid pro quo so he gave this interview to some big publications and he was asked about that and he said look I never talked to the president from the position of a quid pro quo Solinsky said and they said that's not my thing I don't want us to look like beggars now um you ask yourself how did this comedian become president and then you see this sentence sentence that's not my thing I don't want us to look like beggars that sentence completely persuaded me because until then until he until I read this exact sentence I thought to myself yeah well you know maybe nobody said quid pro quo but you know he had to at least feel that way like he had to at least feel like you know there was something going on it certainly must have felt that way but look at this it's just this perfect wording because that's not my thing when somebody says that's not my thing that's really persuasive I use that a lot by the way people will accuse me of whatever the people who accuse me of horrible things and if you've ever tried this it works really well you say you know that's not that's not my thing do you feel how how persuasive that is because if somebody is really guilty and they're just trying to defend themselves they use like you know lawyerly arguments like well that's not exactly what I said and maybe you misheard me and you know well I don't think you're looking at the full context but when somebody is truly and clearly nowhere even in the same zip code as the accusation depending on the accusation sometimes this is just really persuasive you just say you know that's not my thing it's just nothing I would do now I don't have to defend I don't have to defend it in this situation because I don't have to defend it in any situation that's in the category of things I don't do it's just not my thing it's very effective think about it and then he goes on to say I don't want us to look like beggars and I thought oh once again good command of language because when he says I don't want us to look like beggars do you feel how do you feel when you hear that the way you feel is you believe it is so persuasive I don't want us to look like beggars the reason you believe that is that you would believe that no matter who said it it wouldn't matter who said it that's sort of this statement I don't want us to look like beggars everybody believes that nobody wants to look like a beggar right so that's not my thing I don't want us to look like beggars this is the first time I've been convinced that it literally never crossed his mind that there was any kind of a quid pro quo hanging over it he says but you have to understand we're at war if you're our strategic partner talking about the United States then you can't go blocking anything for us so he's saying it's not a quid pro quo it's it's it's a simple question we're at war you're our allies there's stuff you said you'd give us I'm not negotiating math that's the wrong context is it's not even a question of negotiating it's like you should just be giving us this because it's already agreed very good framing then he says I think that's just about fairness it's not about a quid pro quo and he goes it just goes without saying although he said it now fairness of course is a persuasion term it's not there's nothing fair in the real world but in this context it works really well so interesting no I don't think that matters because you know impeachment will go on no matter if there's a victim or not a victim or whether the victim knows he is a victim nothing that's going to matter all right pretty sure I had at least one other thing to talk about here let's see if I do yeah that's about it so I think you're gonna see a lot of race grifters coming after you in the coming months between having the election they'll all disappear right after the election but the of the Biden video of his finger Biden so Biden Biden Joe Biden there's a photo of him biting his wife's finger now if you see it ahead of context while talking about the hair and leg thing - if you see that out of context that looks really bad if you see it in context it only looks a little bit bad but it's weird so his wife was speaking and gesturing and she didn't know that he was he was standing to her side and when she was gesturing with her hand her hand was sort of going in front of his face and he was he was reacting in a funny way to the crowd by going you know I tried to avoid her hand in a humorous way and then to sell the gag you know where her head was still out there he just went and bit her hand so he was just being funny but if you see it at a context you just see him biting a hand and the first thing you think is so it works or somebody says what's a race grifter a race grifter is all the people who were coming after Trump supporters to say that if you support kids and cages and Stephen Miller that you know you're a bad person so they're using race to get a result so their race grifters they don't really care about the kids and cages they really don't they care about usually that's an issue so they're just grifters because they don't care about the issue they care about the power the other video of Joe Biden has to be seen to be believed unless attuned to be believed it's the one about he talks about being in a swimming pool and the funniest part is you see me surrounded by African American children and he wanted to say you could tell he wanted to say this and if you didn't catch this replay the video and watch it because you'll find out why he went off the rails he started to say that he had hairs on his legs because he said he had very hairy legs and that the hairs were and then he paused did he see that and then because the hairs are it looks around and it's all african-american kids rather and he wanted to say white he wanted to say the hairs of my leg were white but he looks around and he realizes that that's somehow the wrong word if you're standing in a group of african-american children and he goes the hairs on my leg which are blood do people have blond hair leg I guess they do but he goes blood and from that point he was just lost the rails he talks about people in the pool reaching and and smoothing the his blood leg hairs just so they could watch them come up again and I just I'm watching this video and you know just like he Wow what am I seeing so that was video alone that video alone is certainly enough to take him out of the race all right so if you think there's any chance of Joe Biden winning the election just watch that video a lot of the other videos like that the compilation videos of his gas are really an exaggerated way to look at something that's not as bad as it probably looks but this video this is the real deal this is a guy who's not quite up to the task alright alright I think that's all I had for now and I will talk to you later

[Music]

um hey everybody come on in here I hope

you're sleeping off your holiday weekend

got enough rest and you are ready to hit

it this week hit it hard and the best

way to start that is with coffee or a

beverage of your choice does it but it

doesn't take much all it takes is a cup

or a mug or glasses if there's time

shell this tank your thermos flask and

team Grail goblet vessels of any kind

fill it with your favorite liquid I like

coffee enjoyed me now for the

unparalleled pleasure the don't between

the end of the day the thing that makes

everything better

the simultaneous sip ready ready ready

ready come on savor it hold savor it

good okay well I don't know if you've

noticed but the the troubles on the Left

have a new have new marching orders and

man is frightening so I spent the last

day or so

slapping trolls on Twitter now sometimes

I just you know block them and walk away

but when the trolls get new marching

orders and they all come in with the

same kind of message it's a little more

interesting and I tend to engage now one

of the questions that people ask me is

because there's an article from Wired

Wired did a big interview with me when I

was doing my book Tomer recently and the

wired interview just dropped now I

haven't read it because I'm in so many

articles this month I don't read them

all but I tweeted it and

I twenty-two the article the article

focuses on really there's no reason to

focus on this except it was one

interesting part from my book loser

thang

and one of the things I focused on was I

talked about how to have some new rules

for civility on the internet and I

talked about my 48-hour rules for

apology apologizing in my 20 year rule

for just letting things go if somebody

did something more than 20 years ago and

it wasn't murder or something permanent

like that they just let it go because

they're different people but anyway the

point is the trolls came after me and

they were noting that I was insulting my

trolls just for fun the internet I do

have proof aden entertainment and people

said Scott Scott Scott's you hypocrites

you hypocrite how can you say you're in

favor of civility on the Internet at the

very same time you are insulting trolls

insulting trolls is the opposite of

civility to which I say I'm also opposed

to murder but if you break into my house

at night I will kill you is that

inconsistent I am opposed to murder

but if you break into my house in the

middle of the night I will kill you are

those inconsistent I don't think so I

don't think so at all if a troll comes

after you on Twitter you have a free

punch you can be as awful as you want

there's no rule of civility that says

you need to be nice to rude people

that's not is there any any form of

manners that suggests is you need to be

rude you know nice to an there's

no rule like that either I don't suggest

that anybody do it now

you might want to know why they're being

the way they're being if there's

something wrong with them it's like a

mental problem well then maybe you want

to walk away

but if patrol is coming in for political

purposes or just to be a sociopath and

just to hurt a stranger those people are

just a free punch why would you not take

a free punch on somebody who completely

deserves it so I do it for fun and

entertainment and fuel but so the newest

batch I'm trying to figure out where

they're getting their marching orders

because if you noticed in the last 24

hours or so maybe maybe a little bit

sooner than that they're coming with the

same approach and there are lots of them

and they're all trolls you can tell by

the by their accounts now they may not

be paid rolls but they're obviously

organized because they're coming with

the same messages so the messages

against me always take the same form

there's always the sincere guy I like

the sincere troll the sincere troll is

hi I used to love your comic but now

because I know you're a terrible person

I can never enjoy it again so I call

those the sincere trolls they try to

hurt me with sincerity now I don't

believe they were reading Dilbert

yesterday I'm sure none of it's true

so that's one flavor the other flavor

are the people who are asking me if I

support kids and cages and or Steven

Miller in the White House so apparently

there's some kind of general instruction

that trolls will go after whoever they

think is a trump supporter and they're

gonna ask them those questions

do you favor kids in cages or Stephen

Miller and it's sort of do you still

beat your wife kind of thing because you

know that they want to concentrate the

entire trump presidency into one

personnel question that I don't know

much about I mean I couldn't tell you

everything that is Stephen Miller does

or thinks the same with all the rest of

his advisers I don't know much about it

I know people say bad things

what are the odds that bad things said

about a thing people on the internet are

true low you know I mean could be true

could be not true so I don't have an

opinion about something I'm informed

about and really don't have a way to

become informed but that seems to be the

neutral attack is going after Trump

supporters directly one of the people

who is supporting this idea of going

after Trump supporters so remember in

2016 one of the worst of the stakes the

Hillary Clinton made was the deplorable

comment but even Hillary Clinton limited

the deplorable to a subset of

Republicans so even Hillary was saying

well you got your Republicans that we

just disagree with in essence I'm

paraphrasing you know the ones we just

disagree with politically but then

they're the deplorable

you know a percentage of them that are

irredeemable horrible people now that

didn't work out for her because people

correctly or incorrectly took deplorable

's to me and she was really talking

about all Trump supporters she wasn't

she wasn't but it was easy to twist it

into that as a political attack so

calling some percentage of Trump

supporters deplorable turned out to be

one of the worst political moves of all

time so they've decided to double down

instead of saying that some portion of

Trump supporters are deplorable the

newest attack is that anybody who voted

voted for ever says the good things

about Trump is supporting kids and cages

and way supremacy so they've doubled

down under thing that didn't work that's

so typical now there's a fellow who

works senior correspondent for Fox now

if I

reduce a topic by saying that it came

from a senior correspondent for Vox

what's your first thought well here's

some hot mess of thinking right here so

whatever I say next you know it's just

gonna be so bad crazy that I almost

don't even have to say it I could just

say and that a senior correspondent for

Fox said some things that are batshit

crazy the details probably don't even

matter but I'm going to give them to you

anyway

so he says bub

she says seems to be my my notes are out

of order as soon as I find it well

alright I will give it to you in rough

form he said that we should go after

damnit

the most important thing I wanted to

copy and paste sorry I'm making you wait

but this is totally worth it no I guess

that didn't print for some reason

alright so the point is this Vox

correspondent said basically he was in

favor of going after people as voters so

he said that the days of not going after

people for being having bad opinions

should be over and that you should shun

people socially and you should you know

go after them socially and otherwise for

having bad opinions and I responded and

I said remind me who gets to decide

which beliefs are abhorrent so the word

that he used was abhorrent and he said

that you should shun people with

abhorrent opinions and you shouldn't be

able to ostracize them and and be bad to

them and so I said who gets to decide

which beliefs are abhorrent

for example I don't know this to be true

but I'm guessing that a senior

correspondent for Fox is in favor of a

more

now I I stay out of the abortion

question because I would rather recuse

myself as the Pam let women to work it

out then I'll support whatever they they

come up with so I don't have a dog in

the fight

per se at least in terms of arguing

about it but it is nonetheless a

objective statement that half of the

country believes that someone who

supports abortion has an abhorrent

belief so if we were to use his standard

half of the country should buy his own

standard shun him and try to drive him

out in the country somehow I guess so

it's probably the most bankrupt

ridiculous stupid opinion you'll ever

see in your life because if you don't

have a standard for what abhorrent

behavior looks like you can't really

measure to it you can't really manage to

it so this is a part of a larger thing

so then the other troubles are the

laundry list trolls and a whole bunch of

them came down at the same time and

their laundry list list looks like this

this one from Glenn Craven on Twitter or

maybe Scott Adams could have decided not

to support a now watch the list of

ironic racist narcissist con man with no

real leadership acumen clearly pulled

into Russia and enamored of dictators

huge Rob Reiner

Rob Reiner comes also with the same same

kind of thing and Rob Reiner said

yesterday every elected Republican knows

that this president is guilty of

countless impeachable offenses I would

list them but then I would have to show

that there are no impeachable offenses

but their countless careless so many

impeachable defenses I couldn't possibly

list them all on Twitter but they

meaning the Republicans along with many

wait Evangelic ins and white

supremacists have made a pact with Putin

have they

have the white evangelicals and white

supremacists made a pact with Putin

but unlike a pact with the devil this

one can be unsigned in other words that

the Republicans can change their mind

it's not too late

so when I read this I say to myself is

this a political opinion or is it a cry

for help

in other words is Rob Reider signaling a

strong political opinion or is the

strong signal that he's got a mental

health problem that's the actual serious

question

that's a being completely serious

that's not a political statement is this

a sign of mental illness let me read it

again and just just just listen to it

now imagine that this is a prominent

person who knows he'll be noticed

you'll be noticed by lots of other

probability of people who could affect

his life in his career and so he sang

this in public and I would say you

believe that because but he's so

consistent you know I can't read his

mind but he's been so consistent I

assume he believes it so he thinks that

every elected Republican knows that

Trump is guilty of countless and

peaceable offenses does that sound like

a sane opinion that every Republican

knows the president is guilty of

countless of people offenses

there's no evidence of that there's

plenty of evidence to the contrary but

there's certainly darkness of that even

though the left there's evidence that

Republicans think he's done a lot of

impeachable things but they along with

many white evangelicals and white

supremacists have made a pact with Putin

really is that is that a sane mentally

stable statement they're white

supremacists have made a pact with Putin

what does that even mean what does that

even mean

I think it's just a mental health

problem that's disguising as a political

opinion is that too strong because I'm

not trying to exaggerate

you know my basic philosophy of life is

that people come up with their opinions

first and then they back into the

rationalization well here's my opinion

because of my feelings and now I'm going

to you know tortured away make it sound

like there was some reasoning that went

into it this is the cleanest example of

that because his opinion appears to be

just a mental health problem and again I

don't mean that as hyperbole now I'm not

a mental health professional so I can't

I'm not saying that he has a mental

health problem I'm making the nuanced

distinction I'm saying that I as an

untrained professional simply observing

him that he registers with me as having

a met with a pretty severe mental

problem that doesn't me is true and I'm

certainly not saying I'm qualified to to

diagnose it I'm just telling you the way

its received by me my impression as a

non-professional non non qualified

person is that it's a mental disorder of

some type that he's backed into some

kind of a reason and B and you could

tell me because the reasons don't make

any frickin sense at all I mean who

could possibly think that every elected

Republican knows not just suspects not

just has a few problems with the

president but every elected Republican

knows that this president is guilty of

countless impeachable offenses you

actually couldn't even count them

there's so many there's just no way that

that's a serious opinion from a person

with a stable working intellect it just

doesn't feel like it to me now I can be

wrong and I'm not qualified to do

diagnose mental illness but if I were

I'd be looking here to find some

all right so look for that I wonder if

their a/b testing it but it looks like

the new approach is to go after Trump

Trump supporters and say do you like

Stephen Miller do you like kids in cages

and try to try to make all Trump

supporters feel like they're garbage

people

in fact that's that's the most common

that guy the thing I see is that I'm a

garbage person because I write and talk

about Trump I'm a garbage person now let

me let me tell you let me show you a

picture and I came up with it's like

this let's see if you can see this so

this little dart sorry about that I

don't think I can light it up let's see

if I could put on the back light hold on

alright just ignore that just ignore

that bright spot in there so this is how

I see the world I see it I see politics

is sort of a circle so up at the top of

the circle you see people who are

exactly in the middle of the left and

right they put Biden up there just as

one example he sort of close to the

middle but he's he's left of it Trump is

farther from the middle so I put him

right in the the far right and then I

put Elizabeth Warren as sort of the the

opposite of that but down at the bottom

which would be both the far left and the

far right it's where they meet that's

basically a hate based philosophy now

they hate different things or different

people but they all start with hate and

then they rationalize it backwards so I

see them as the same I don't see any

difference between Nazis and anti foul

you could argue the Nazis have a bigger

death count but you know that's not the

relevant part the relevant part is that

they're all starting with hate and then

their reasoning backwards

from that it's like well I hate this

group of people so what's that mean

about my political opinions so that's

how I see the world and the the trolls

identify and the neo-nazis and the white

waste supremacist all the same all the

same category I don't make any

distinction and I think that's helpful

all right let's talk about a few other

things Canada is going more nuclear so a

group of premiers 3 premiers from three

different regions in Canada got together

and decided that they would start

supporting the design and building of

small modular nuclear power stuff now

it's going to take five to ten years

before any of these actually get built

but it's important it's important that

there were three of them and it's

important that they came up with a

long-range plan now on Twitter on

Twitter a gentleman said that Zach

Kanter so he's a the user on Twitter

Zach Kanter and he saw that article he

said what a huge drawback of nuclear

power is that it doesn't dismantle

systems of oppression it only produces

clean energy this makes it unsuitable

for solving the climate crisis which

isn't just about the environment and

then he showed a picture which is saying

that one benefit of climate change let's

say policy would be to dismantle the

entire patriarchy system basically the

entire system of government so I said to

myself huh what kind of background would

you have to have to have such a bad

opinion and what kind of training

experience

would you have to have to hold this

point of view because one thing I could

tell you for sure it's not economics and

it's not politics

probably not history so I said to myself

what kind of background is yeah so I

looked at his LinkedIn profile he has a

BA in science and marketing pretty good

and he's involved in some startups so he

is technical and he also has some

marketing pretty good smart guy so I'm

gonna say if you know if he were tape to

take an IQ test probably do really well

because he's got an advanced degrees

but what would science and marketing

tell you about changing the economic and

political system in this country now

much right so he's got this giant blank

spot if you study economics you're

certainly not well if you're honest

about it you're not trying to turn the

country into a completely different

socialist experiment but here's the

thing that most smart economists would

know if your country is doing better

than it has ever done in the history of

humankind your economy is the strongest

and separate and and on pretty much

every metric we're improving under those

conditions do you make a large a risky

change to your system it is the right

time to make a large risky change to

your entire system you're dismantling it

rebuilding it when things are going

better than they've ever gone before

now know is that a hundred percent of

economists would tell you the same thing

you know unless they're also in politics

in which case you know that that can

change things but I don't think there's

any anybody who has business experience

or economics experience who would tell

you that a good time to change

everything like a big

risky major change from the ground up

into your society in your economics and

everything is when everything is better

than December bent that's exactly the

time you don't do that so this is a

perfect example of what I call loser

think which is that the person involved

Zac Cantor from all indications is a

very high IQ person so there's nothing

about what I'm saying which should be

construed as saying anything about his

general intelligence because it looks

pretty high but he's got clearly a blind

spot for something really important

somebody says he's trawling meaning that

you can't tell the difference between

parity and reality right because I

tweeted that this morning this is one of

those opinions where you look at you go

I don't know is he just a really good

troll or does he actually believe this

then I look at his background I go oh

you could believe this he's got a blind

spot for economics all right one of the

weird effects of the Democrats voter

shaming project so that's what's

happening now that Democrats are trying

to shame Trump supporters into not

voting for them what is the unintended

consequence of that well they're

probably a few that we can't predict

well one of the unintended consequences

is that all of your political polls will

be shitty from now on would you trust a

political poll in an environment where

people are being ashamed for supporting

one of the candidates no you would not

so the voter shaving should have the

effect of making all future political

polls complete because the

Republicans are just going to stop

answering honestly now let me make a

recommendation if you're a trump

supporter you should answer the poll you

know if somebody calls you and says let

me pull you

and there you should lie you should lie

to the pollsters because it'd be really

funny I know some people are already

doing it's obvious to me it's obvious

that some Republicans are just lying

could be because they don't want to be

overheard by their own spouse that's a

real thing

but I would recommend it to all Trump

supporters if you get a chance to be

part of a poll because it's funny you

should lie somebody says we already did

and are and I've got a feeling I didn't

need to tell you that I I think I didn't

need to tell you that I think is just

sort of spontaneously happening

one of the reasons is Republicans like a

good practical joke am I right people

conservatives enjoy a good practical

joke and I'm not sure the people left

have the same type of sense of humor on

average you know obviously individuals

are are all over the place but not

average I think the left doesn't like a

good practical joke as much as people on

the right so play a good practical joke

somebody says I lied four years ago yeah

if somebody says yes it's a reflex yeah

look at all the people saying that they

already lied to pollsters well I think

that's gonna go down to overdrive

imagine how much fun you will have on an

election day if all the polls were wrong

again and Trump gets re-elected in a

landslide can you imagine how much fun

you're gonna have if he gets re-elected

in a landslide and all the polls were

wrong right up to Election Day come on

that would be funny you know it would

all right let's see what else we got

going on

all right a few more topics here Mexico

just had this gigantic gun battle

between the military and police and the

cartels 21 people dead and that's not

even counting wounded so this just

happened I think yesterday 21 people

dead in a gun battle between police and

the cartels

could you imagine that kind of news

happening in this country and apparently

what started it all was the cartel you

know rolled into some town in Mexico

near the border and and actually tried

to take over the town like Isis that the

cartel actually came in with a military

sized contingent to actually just take

over town and they succeeded they took

over a town they held territory and the

Mexican military came in and killed them

and a few of the several cops were or

policemen were killed at the same time

unfortunately now apparently the murder

rate in Mexico is a hundred a day on

average a hundred a day so let's make no

mistake the cartels are now a

essentially a Chinese proxy force too

strong there's a too strong to say that

the cartels are a Chinese proxy military

I think they are I mean that's not how

they see themselves of course but in

effect because they're handling Chinese

fentanyl which is shifted to this

country and kills tens of thousands and

that's supported by China it's supported

by their leadership because they they

have the ability to stop it they choose

not to so I think war is guaranteed

between the United States and the

cartels

and I'm going to make a further

prediction

it will not necessarily

I'll put it necessarily to add you a

little bit there won't necessarily be

with the cooperation of the government

of Mexico do you think there's any

chance that the government of Mexico is

not armed by the cartels there's no

chance of that the cartels have clearly

controlled the government of Mexico

so getting the Mexican government to

agree to u.s. military action because

the cartels couldn't ever happen because

the cartels own the military and if

somebody in the eye oh the government

there's somebody in the government of

Mexico said yeah go ahead come on in and

help us get rid of these cartel people

well that politician would be dead by

the afternoon so we can't get Mexico's

government's approval and we can't let a

Chinese military proxy force on our

border so I think we have to attack

China by wiping out the cartels

now if the cartels decided to change

their business from not being you know

to something that's not a Chinese proxy

military force well I might change my

idea of what we need to do about it but

given that it is an active attack on the

United States by a Chinese proxy force

the cartels I think we have every right

to go in militarily without anybody's

permission and and in fact there's no

practical way to get anybody's

permission you could ask but there's

nobody really to ask because it's just

cartels and people controlled by cartels

alright I was wondering if there's

something that might be called a Trump

effect that has changed the psychology

of the Hong Kong protesters as well as

the Iranian public apparently the

Iranian public is getting pretty serious

about protesting and rioting and trying

to take down their government or at

least influence their government

so there's a lot going on in Iran we

don't have a lot of reporting from it

but it's getting pretty pretty hot down

there and Hong Kong as well and the

thing that you would say about both of

those situations is one of the odds the

Hong Kong could ever prevail over China

like just on the surface of it you'd say

well zero right I mean if you had to bet

if you had to make a long-term bet all

right 20 years from now does China have

full control of Hong Kong or did Hong

Kong somehow win their autonomy which

way would you bet well you put all your

money on China eventually having full

control of just geographically there

there's just no way that's not going to

happen right

and yet the Hong Kong protesters are

fighting as if they feel they can win

because if you didn't feel you could win

you wouldn't put up this kind of fight

you'd move or you'd put up with it or

something so there's something about the

psychology of the Hong Kong protesters

that makes them think they can prevail

in what looks like an impossible

situation likewise the Iranian

protesters apparently feel they can make

some kind of a difference so they

wouldn't be doing what they're doing yet

one of the odds that that the street

protests can overthrow you know the

regime given the control that the regime

has very low what do you say no not

impossible you know nothing's impossible

but what are the odds that the Iranian

protesters will succeed on the surface

of things

looks pretty low but they don't think so

apparently because they're working

pretty hard at doing it so that's what

I'm calling the Trump effect I think

there are people fighting for freedom

who maybe before didn't think it was

within reach there's something about

Trump that makes you think anything's

possible I mean partly because he got

elected and then he keeps doing things

that are supposed to be impossible but

he's doing

them fairly routinely how about starting

to trade world with China

impossible well okay he's doing that

about wiping out Isis's

territorial holdings I said Bob okay he

did that and you could think of other

examples right how about moving the

moving our embassy to Jerusalem he can't

do that okay he just did that

how about recognizing the Golan Heights

as part of Israel he can't okay he just

did that I feel as though there's

something about the psychology of the

world and you see the Hong Kong

protesters in particular waving American

flags and thanking the president for

signing the that Hong Kong legislation

that puts some pressure on China so I

feel as though Trump has changed the

psychology of struggling people in

oppressive places he just might have

convinced them that they've got a shot

now I think I I hope they're not

depending on the United States to step

in because they might be and I hope

that's not the only thing to rely on

because I don't know how I don't know

how much we could possibly step in and

either these situations without making

them far worse because if the United

States gets involved directly you know

in some obvious way then you know the

the regimes in both cases can get

tougher because then it's like they're

fighting the United States so it's a

tough place to be but I think the world

is being affected by the the Trump

example in some way here is here's some

yeah I've got a couple of other topics

and that is oh let's talk about Lisa

Paige you know I like to update you on

my

diction's both good and bad for example

on the bad side I predicted a year ago

that Kabul Harris would get the

nomination for the Democrats if you had

to guess today you'd probably say Scott

that might be your worst prediction but

I'm sticking with it because the reason

for it didn't change it just I found out

new information which is she's the worst

campaigner in the history of campaigners

but it's also fixable she has the only

problem that could be fixed

get rid of your sister as your campaign

very easy now I don't know that she'll

fix it because firing your sister is

pretty tough

but let me say this as clearly as

possible if you can't fire your sister

you can't be our president table Harris

I'm talking to you if you can't fire

your sister you don't have what it takes

to be President fire your sister show us

you got you got at least a little spunk

show us that you're in charge and not

your sister because it's based on the

reporting it's pretty obvious that the

sister is the problem so that would be

an example of what will probably be a

wrong prediction but I'm sticky sticky

with it because I think it wouldn't be

fair to revise my prediction on that you

know just because the there's some new

information but there was one prediction

I made a long time ago that as far as I

know I am the only person in the world

who made it I so fact-checked me on this

this is a prediction I made that I

believe I believe I'm literally the only

person who ever made this prediction it

had to do with the the texts and emails

between lousã Paige and Peter struck in

which they mentioned they quote

insurance policy and you know that

everybody on the right said of the

insurance policy clearly and

unambiguously refers to the fact that we

need to get rid of Trump with you know

our clever legal

Nations as an insurance policy in case

he gets elected right and I said it was

I said it was nothing I said that once

you heard the context of it you would

not think that the meeting was we have

to get rid of Trump this way in case he

gets elected so now she is testified and

she said that what the insurance policy

referred to is the following that they

had this investigation in which there

wasn't much in the way of evidence that

there might be some suspicion of Trump

campaign colluding with Russia if we

elected Trump and he had that connection

to Russia that'd be a big problem

but since they they expressly believed

it was very unlikely he would get

elected they were kind of slow walking

the investigation because they thought

it would probably not matter you know it

was just one battery he just wouldn't

get elected it doesn't matter the

insurance policy was in case he got

elected in which case you really do need

to know if there's a Russian connection

but it wasn't so much about removing him

from office

it was simply in the context of doing

her job if you're if you're sending

President as a Russia and Tango mint

then you better make sure you've looked

into it so the insurance policy was just

looking into that's it in case it was a

Russian entanglement somebody says do

you believe here all right so that's a

fair question so the fair question is do

you believe her version of it or do you

believe that she well let's let's

diagram that out in order to believe I

stay with the year in order to believe

that what she meant was we need to

remove the president in sort of a coup

if he gets elected in order to believe

the coup version of the insurance policy

you would have to believe that Lisa page

thought it would be a good idea to have

a discoverable digital record of her

coup attempt do you believe that do

that a lawyer involved in the FBI who

was with an FBI guy her boyfriend

do you believe that she would have

written in a discoverable digital text

her intention to be part of a coup

attempt to overthrow the government do

you think that because you would have to

believe that in order to accept your

interpretation that she was talking

about a coup and she just put it right

there in a text message maybe you know

that falls into the category of

anything's possible right now compare

that to the interpretation that she was

just a government person doing her job

because her interpretation fits all of

the evidence and it is perfectly within

her job description it is perfectly

consistent with how you'd want an

employee to act would you want her to

treat the investigation as her highest

priority given that there was a in her

opinion 91% chance it would never matter

she did exactly what you would want your

employee to do she she slow walked a

little bit but made sure that they had

you know they were looking to win it

enough just in case there was something

to worry about now I know that some of

you are hating this because it's

triggering you into cognitive dissonance

if you just spent the last couple of

years thinking there was a smoking gun

and it was Lisa Paige talking about the

insurance policy you have to compare

that interpretation yeah I think I'll

put my coup attempt in a discoverable

digital form she's a lawyer working with

the FBI nobody who's a lawyer working

for the FBI puts a coup attempt in a

discoverable electronic form nobody you

know it'll never happen

I did say anything's possible but

there's nothing less likely than that

now what are the odds that she did her

job the way you should do a job which is

she said her priorities

she said what her priorities were and

then she told you how she was working

too

your priorities what are the odds that

that happened most normal thing in the

world

so one interpretation is the most normal

thing in the world that you prioritize

your work and see Centeno this probably

won't matter but as an insurance policy

let's make sure we're chipping away at

it most normal thing in the world versus

the most unusual thing in the world that

a lawyer working with the FBI would put

her coup attempt in a discoverable text

message seriously seriously

I mean sure anything's possible but

that's pretty unlikely so I believe I am

the only person who said that there were

that there would emerge an ordinary

explanation

can anybody fact check me on this from

the very beginning did I not say and am

I not the only person who said this find

me one other person who ever said this I

said that there would emerge and

ordinary explanation for the insurance

policy there it is

now you can disbelieve it but are you

but aren't you arrogance let me talk to

Jack Lew one who is saying with the

question mark arrogance if you care

handle this periscope in which I clearly

started with an example where I was very

wrong and that I gave an example in

which I'm right so I could balance it

out and your comment is arrogance you

need to step up your game there jack all

right this periscope you're allowed to

say when you do good things and you are

allowed to say when you do bad things if

that looks like arrogance do you need to

check yourself maybe that's something

about you that's making you interpret it

that way people can do people can be

right about things and people can be

wrong if I only talked about the things

I was right about well you might have a

you know you'd have a point there

but you don't I think you're missing

some big pieces of the story like

McCabe's secret meeting who

well the secret meeting rotted enough

they used the word secret but by far the

most likely explanation or ordinary

things so I'm gonna stick with that so

representative carried Adler's panel is

drawing up articles of impeachment and

are you not completely over this with

beach band stuff I feel as if the

Democrats I just put a tourniquet around

their own necks and they're twisting it

it's like you know we'll get them a

couple more twists and we'll get him I'm

just gonna twist this tourniquet on my

own neck a few more times than that

Trump will be an oval office

oh I mean a vessel that's what it looks

like he means Lisa's arrogance OS the if

the arrogance comment was about the

lawyer you you think you think that was

huge

the arrogance would explain why a lawyer

for the FBI would put treason in a

discoverable text message I don't think

arrogance arrogance doesn't quite fit

that situation I didn't block him out

Ukrainian president olenski continued

once again to deny he spoke with

President Trump quote from the position

of a quid pro quo so he gave this

interview to some big publications and

he was asked about that and he said look

I never talked to the president from the

position of a quid pro quo Solinsky said

and they said that's not my thing

I don't want us to look like beggars now

um you ask yourself how did this

comedian become president and then you

see this sentence

sentence that's not my thing I don't

want us to look like beggars that

sentence completely persuaded me because

until then until he until I read this

exact sentence I thought to myself yeah

well you know maybe nobody said quid pro

quo but you know he had to at least feel

that way like he had to at least feel

like you know there was something going

on it certainly must have felt that way

but look at this it's just this perfect

wording because that's not my thing when

somebody says that's not my thing that's

really persuasive I use that a lot by

the way people will accuse me of

whatever the people who accuse me of

horrible things and if you've ever tried

this it works really well you say you

know that's not that's not my thing

do you feel how how persuasive that is

because if somebody is really guilty and

they're just trying to defend themselves

they use like you know lawyerly

arguments like well that's not exactly

what I said and maybe you misheard me

and you know well I don't think you're

looking at the full context but when

somebody is truly and clearly nowhere

even in the same zip code as the

accusation depending on the accusation

sometimes this is just really persuasive

you just say you know that's not my

thing

it's just nothing I would do now I don't

have to defend I don't have to defend it

in this situation because I don't have

to defend it in any situation that's in

the category of things I don't do it's

just not my thing it's very effective

think about it and then he goes on to

say I don't want us to look like beggars

and I thought oh once again good command

of language because when he says I don't

want us to look like beggars do you feel

how do you feel when you hear that the

way you feel is you believe it

is so persuasive I don't want us to look

like beggars the reason you believe that

is that you would believe that no matter

who said it it wouldn't matter who said

it that's sort of this statement I don't

want us to look like beggars everybody

believes that nobody wants to look like

a beggar right so that's not my thing I

don't want us to look like beggars this

is the first time I've been convinced

that it literally never crossed his mind

that there was any kind of a quid pro

quo hanging over it he says but you have

to understand we're at war if you're our

strategic partner talking about the

United States then you can't go blocking

anything for us so he's saying it's not

a quid pro quo it's it's it's a simple

question we're at war

you're our allies there's stuff you said

you'd give us I'm not negotiating math

that's the wrong context is it's not

even a question of negotiating it's like

you should just be giving us this

because it's already agreed very good

framing then he says I think that's just

about fairness it's not about a quid pro

quo and he goes it just goes without

saying although he said it now fairness

of course is a persuasion term it's not

there's nothing fair in the real world

but in this context it works really well

so interesting no I don't think that

matters because you know impeachment

will go on no matter if there's a victim

or not a victim or whether the victim

knows he is a victim nothing that's

going to matter all right pretty sure I

had at least one other thing to talk

about here let's see if I do yeah that's

about it

so I think you're gonna see a lot of

race grifters coming after you in the

coming months between having the

election they'll all disappear right

after the election

but the of the Biden video of his finger

Biden so Biden Biden Joe Biden there's a

photo of him biting his wife's finger

now if you see it ahead of context while

talking about the hair and leg thing -

if you see that out of context that

looks really bad if you see it in

context it only looks a little bit bad

but it's weird so his wife was speaking

and gesturing and she didn't know that

he was he was standing to her side and

when she was gesturing with her hand her

hand was sort of going in front of his

face and he was he was reacting in a

funny way to the crowd by going you know

I tried to avoid her hand in a humorous

way and then to sell the gag you know

where her head was still out there he

just went and bit her hand so he was

just being funny but if you see it at a

context you just see him biting a hand

and the first thing you think is so it

works or somebody says what's a race

grifter a race grifter is all the people

who were coming after Trump supporters

to say that if you support kids and

cages and Stephen Miller that you know

you're a bad person

so they're using race to get a result so

their race grifters they don't really

care about the kids and cages they

really don't they care about usually

that's an issue so they're just grifters

because they don't care about the issue

they care about the power the other

video of Joe Biden has to be seen to be

believed

unless attuned to be believed it's the

one about he talks about being in a

swimming pool and the funniest part is

you see me surrounded by African

American children and he wanted to say

you could tell he wanted to say this and

if you didn't catch this replay the

video and watch it because you'll find

out why he went off the rails he started

to say that he had hairs on his legs

because he said he had very hairy legs

and that the hairs were and then he

paused did he see that

and then because the hairs are it looks

around and it's all african-american

kids rather and he wanted to say white

he wanted to say the hairs of my leg

were white but he looks around and he

realizes that that's somehow the wrong

word if you're standing in a group of

african-american children and he goes

the hairs on my leg which are blood do

people have blond hair leg I guess they

do but he goes blood and from that point

he was just lost the rails he talks

about people in the pool reaching and

and smoothing the his blood leg hairs

just so they could watch them come up

again and I just I'm watching this video

and you know just like he Wow what am I

seeing

so that was video alone that video alone

is certainly enough to take him out of

the race

all right so if you think there's any

chance of Joe Biden winning the election

just watch that video a lot of the other

videos like that the compilation videos

of his gas are really an exaggerated way

to look at something that's not as bad

as it probably looks but this video this

is the real deal this is a guy who's not

quite up to the task

alright alright I think that's all I had

for now and I will talk to you later