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Episodes Episode #846

Episode 846 Scott Adams - Which Presidential Candidate Might Survive to Election Day, Social Distance

Episode #846 Mar 10, 2020 40:34 22,585 views

My new book LOSERTHINK, available now on Amazon https://tinyurl.com/rqmjc2a Extreme social isolation works...and we are NOT doing it Bo Biden and Kamala Harris were very close Joe Biden's cognitive decline Russia bankrupting American shale oil businesses Gavin Newsome's coronavirus leadership Google demonetization of keyword "coronavirus" ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like my channel to have a wider audience and higher production quality, please donate via my startup (Whenhub.com) at this link: https://interface.my/ScottAdamsSays I use donations to pay for the daily conversions of the original Periscope videos into Youtube and podcast form, and to improve my production quality and search results over time.  ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Please subscribe to my channel…it REALLY helps. Like my video? Hate my video? Let me know, VOTE! Please leave a comment, let me know how I'm doing. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Opening General Commentary

Hey everybody, come on in. It's time for a coffee with Scott Adams. That's why you're here. Best part of the day. Yeah, it is. It really is. You think those parts of the day where you're off having all kinds of fun are the best parts, but no, no. It's right here. This is the best part.

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SimultaneousSip General Commentary

And all you need to participate is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tankard, a chalice or stein, a canteen, a jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. Enjoy it with me now with the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes every…

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Tangent General Commentary

No, that's how to do some social distancing, right? Am I right? There's some social distancing right there.

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

Let's talk about all the stuff in the news. So over in Italy, I saw a thread from, I guess it was a doctor in a hospital over in Italy, where they're being hit hard with the coronavirus. And apparently it's Night of the Living Dead, bodies piling up, whatever's the worst you could imagine, that's ha…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

So let's talk about some other stuff. The dumbest thing that I hear in politics lately is coming from Bernie Sanders and people who say the same thing. And they say that President Trump doesn't believe in science. Now I don't think there's anybody who doesn't believe in science. What does that even…

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MainContent Luck, Skill & Timing

All right, let's talk about Joe Biden because I think we have to. As the New York Times put it, I read this somewhere and I think it was on the Fox News site, quote, "prominent Democrats began publicly insisting that the ticket, the Joe Biden ticket, include a woman, preferably a black woman." All r…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

Here are some things that are being said about Joe Biden. Dr. Jill Stein, you know her for ruining Hillary's chances because she was working with the Russians. No not really, that's what people are saying. And she ran in 2016 and got some votes and people say she siphoned them away from Hillary, pro…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

All right, did you see the video of the Biden rally? You know there were some protesters. I forget what they were protesting but they held a big sign up and Joe got a little flustered. Did you see how he handled it? If you want to see who is not going to be your next president you have to watch that…

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MainContent Economics & Finance

All right, see what else we got here. Well looks like Russia is trying to attack the United States with oil prices. So I'm learning a little bit more about this situation. So if you're not up on it it goes like this. Every country that produces oil produces it at a different cost, partly because of…

View segment →
NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

Gavin Newsom did something that shocked and amazed me yesterday. The governor of California, much maligned, much criticized governor. And you know for context there are people like me who've been saying critical things about the homeless situation and nuclear energy and some other things. But with t…

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NewsReaction AI & Technology

There's some bunch of free technology platforms for people who are going to work at home. So you've seen, and again this is beautiful and inspiring to watch, that the country, the United States, the citizens are just sort of jumping in and saying what can I do. And you're seeing the tech companies d…

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MainContent Media & Fake News

All right so let me give you an update on demonetization and YouTube. So I learned yesterday from Google, so this what I'm going to say now is not my opinion or a guessing. This is actually from my contact at Google who is the right person for this, not just an employee at Google but the person who…

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QandA General Commentary

What's going on with your show with Christina? We have beta tested that and rejected it. So Christina and I were going to do a separate thing with the two of us and we filmed a few and played it back to see if we liked what we saw. And we just didn't enjoy doing it enough. So I think if it had been…

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QandA Energy & Mood Management

Somebody says coronavirus wedding. Well here's the thing. We were engaged and we're talking about our wedding plans so we have not finalized anything. But of course all of our plans were built around some kind of travel. And one of the main places that we were planning to travel this year, or at lea…

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Closing General Commentary

All right you could Periscope and what. So the age act program. Yeah I think I'll just be doing my own thing here working on yoga, writing, math and quilting. Very good. Very good. So I think we'll you know. I'm just looking at your comments. All right thanks for the comments and I will talk to you…

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Hey everybody, come on in. It's time for a coffee with Scott Adams. That's why you're here. Best part of the day. Yeah, it is. It really is. You think those parts of the day where you're off having all kinds of fun are the best parts, but no, no. It's right here. This is the best part.

And all you need to participate is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tankard, a chalice or stein, a canteen, a jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. Enjoy it with me now with the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. Go. Mm-hmm.

No, that's how to do some social distancing, right? Am I right? There's some social distancing right there.

Let's talk about all the stuff in the news. So over in Italy, I saw a thread from, I guess it was a doctor in a hospital over in Italy, where they're being hit hard with the coronavirus. And apparently it's Night of the Living Dead, bodies piling up, whatever's the worst you could imagine, that's happening in the Italian hospitals right now because of the coronavirus.

Meanwhile some as yet publicly unnamed individual was shaking hands at CPAC, including with all kinds of senators and politicians. And we have a president who's been shaking hands, and apparently he's still going to have his rallies.

Here's my opinion as of around today. This is sort of a tipping point for me. I think it's irresponsible to have political rallies, because if you're looking at what's happening in the other countries, and you really ought to because it's not good. But if you look at Italy for example, they're in a world of hurt, and it's because the medical resources were overrun. Now there are people saying to me, "Scott, don't be so panicky because you know it just affects old people and you know most people are just gonna get a cold." Well yes, except that in Italy there's no healthcare services anymore. It's just for one purpose. Their entire healthcare system, at least the high-end stuff where you've got a hospital, it just doesn't exist anymore.

So if you break your leg in three weeks, do you know what your healthcare plan is in the United States? Limp. If you break your leg in three weeks in the United States there's a good chance that your healthcare solution will be the limp, because it won't be healthcare. It might last for a couple months. Now that's the situation in Italy and that's the situation if we don't keep it under control.

But will we keep it under control? It turns out that South Korea is actually getting a handle on theirs, and they're not doing extreme social distancing. They must be doing a lot of it but it's less extreme than some other places. So we do see some progress in South Korea. China allegedly is getting a handle on it but we don't know what that really means. Japan is doing better than Italy because they have way more, a lot more hospital resources. So Japan is not overrun yet. They're doing better but they're having some issues there.

Apparently I'm hearing also from people in Japan. The social media is great because you could hear individuals telling you what their actual life is like. And there's one person in Japan who says that there's plenty of goods in the stores and people just immediately went into extreme social isolation and it seems to have worked.

So here's what we know. We know that extreme social isolation is absolutely effective, and we know we're not doing it. And we know that the President of the United States is modeling not doing it, and the people he's competing against to be the next president are not doing it. I don't know how much longer we can put up with that. Do you?

Because let's put it this way. You know on one level it's up to the president whether he has a rally. It's up to Biden. It's up to Bernie. It's not up to us, is it? No, it's up to us. It's not up to them. It's not up to them. Don't let it be up to them. We're sort of in this together, right? The president doesn't get to decide to have a rally and then there's a rally. We have to decide. All right, everybody has to decide or else there's no rally. If only one person decides there's a rally, then there's a rally of one person.

So I'm not sure we should continue to allow, and "allow" is the right word because we can stop it. We can stop it today. I don't think we should allow our politicians to continue to do rallies, given that we know exactly what works: social isolation. And we know exactly what doesn't: continuing business as usual. It's not a mystery anymore. We know. And we know that if we don't get it early it's going to get us.

So I think it's completely irresponsible. And I would go so far as to say if we have another week of rallies, you know maybe this week is sort of an edge case, but if next week we're still doing rallies, we don't have anybody running for president who's qualified to lead us, at least in this situation. Let me say that as directly as I can. If President Trump next week, you know this week again it's on the edge, but by next week if they're still doing rallies and things are still worsening in the coronavirus global situation, none of them, none of them are qualified to be president. Unfortunately that's my opinion.

So let's talk about some other stuff. The dumbest thing that I hear in politics lately is coming from Bernie Sanders and people who say the same thing. And they say that President Trump doesn't believe in science. Now I don't think there's anybody who doesn't believe in science. What does that even mean? There's nobody who doesn't believe in science.

Now of course they'll point to climate change, but that's because the critics can't tell the difference between economics and science. What President Trump called a hoax, he wasn't saying I'm a scientist, I've looked at the science, blah blah. He was talking about the Paris agreement and the economic implications, which clearly were pretty sketchy. Now was that a belief? Who knows. But you know we can't read his mind. But the point is there was no point at which the president didn't believe in science. That's different than not believing the scientists, and it's different from believing that scientists might have control of the science but no control of the economic implications, which are the part you actually do something about, you know, beyond inventing stuff.

So it is so dishonest to call anybody anti-science. It just bugs me more than other stuff. You know it's different than other lies because you could say this person did X, maybe it's a lie, maybe they did not do X. That's just a plain lie. That's bad enough. But to blame somebody for doing something that isn't a thing is sort of like a double lie. It's a lie on the stupid. It's something like blaming your opponent for dematerializing and traveling to another planet by his thoughts and throwing the revolution on the other planet and returning by beaming himself back to this planet. Okay that was a terrible example but the point is it didn't happen and it couldn't happen. So blaming somebody for something that doesn't even exist is just the height of political stupidity. And people are buying it.

All right, let's talk about Joe Biden because I think we have to. As the New York Times put it, I read this somewhere and I think it was on the Fox News site, quote, "prominent Democrats began publicly insisting that the ticket, the Joe Biden ticket, include a woman, preferably a black woman." All right, so now it's being widely reported that the important Democrat people want a black woman on the ticket with Joe Biden. Well who's that gonna be?

Now some people say it can never be Kamala Harris because she attacked him at the debate. Well it turns out there's a back story. Turns out, and I was just learning this in its depth today, I was aware of this story that I'm gonna tell you but I didn't know the depth of it. It's the depth of it that makes the difference. Turns out that Kamala Harris and Joe Biden's now deceased son Beau Biden were really close. And not just professionally. They were close. They talked to each other all the time. They were both attorneys general at different places. And so she was sort of close to Joe Biden because of that. And apparently they've rekindled whatever that was and they got past whatever happened at the debate.

So does anybody doubt that she's the first choice now? Are we at the point where you know it's not gonna be Stacey Abrams? If it's Stacey Abrams I don't know anything about anything because I've watched her and she's so weak I can't believe that the people in charge, you know the Democratic leadership, would allow that. And I don't think that's the winning formula anyway.

So he says okay, you were right in the comments. That's all I wanted to hear. I would like to remind you that I made the most ridiculous prediction you've ever heard. The first ridiculous prediction was that I could pick the candidate back in 2018 when there were lots and lots of people running. And I peered into the crowd and I said I think it's gonna be Kamala Harris. And then when she suspended her campaign, this is the fun part, I said I still predict it will be Kamala Harris. What would be a weirder prediction than predicting the person who dropped out of the race was going to get the nomination? Was that the most unpredictable prediction you've ever heard in your life?

Well let's see if it happens. I think everybody would agree at this point if whoever the vice president pick is, is going to be the shadow president. So I'm technically wrong and you know my predicted bet, I lost money because they're very specific what it means to be the presidential candidate obviously. But in effect I got this right. I think it's looking that way. Now if she doesn't get nominated I'm wrong, just flat-out wrong. But if she does it would be my best prediction of all time. I'm pretty sure.

Here are some things that are being said about Joe Biden. Dr. Jill Stein, you know her for ruining Hillary's chances because she was working with the Russians. No not really, that's what people are saying. And she ran in 2016 and got some votes and people say she siphoned them away from Hillary, probably did. And so Jill Stein is out there saying directly that Joe Biden has mental decline in public. Did I mention it's Dr. Jill Stein? Medical doctor Jill Stein. Harvard-trained medical doctor Jill Stein is saying in public, okay now it's just obvious. I'm paraphrasing but basically she's saying, she's kind of implying that you don't need to be a medical doctor to see this.

I tweeted another medical doctor and I've been reading some other folks weighing in who are actual experts at working with dementia patients and Alzheimer's people, or at least they say they are on Twitter. You can never be a hundred percent sure if anybody is who they say they are. But people who are professionals are saying in public, unabashedly, that it's obvious there's a problem.

Now do you remember when people were saying this about Trump? And do you remember that there was just a tremendous blowback from medical professionals, as they should, to say whoa, you know, medical ethics, medical ethics. We do not diagnose people who are not our patients. You don't diagnose people you haven't met, haven't examined. Never. There's no ever. Period. You do not diagnose from a distance.

Well do you? Let me give you an example. Suppose you were a doctor. Somebody showed you a picture of an automobile accident and there was a headless body over here and then a very clear picture, no doubt about what you're seeing, the actual head which has been severed ten feet from the body. The doctor sees this picture and the person on the scene says what should we do doctor, should we give them CPR? And the doctor looks at the picture and says no, I'm not there but I think it would be unnecessary to give CPR because you see the head is not actually attached to the body. Probably dead. No, certainly dead because the head is not attached to the body.

Now would that be an ethical failure because the doctor's not there, the doctor has not examined the patient, the doctor is simply just looking at a picture? Would that be unethical? No, because the head is missing. It's obvious. You don't have to be a doctor. A person with half a brain can see the head is dead. And we haven't reached that point with Joe Biden where he's a headless corpse, but we have reached the point where medical professionals are willing to say in public, okay just look. Am I right? We've crossed that line where it's no longer medically unethical for a working professional, a medical professional, to say in public yeah just look at that. That's obvious.

That's a big deal because the medical profession did not cross that line with Trump. Am I right? And when somebody did, the other medical professionals poured in and said whoa, too far, you know, and people walked it back a little bit and tried to tap-dance. Well you know I'm not saying for sure, that sort of thing. But we're not seeing that this time. It's different.

All right, did you see the video of the Biden rally? You know there were some protesters. I forget what they were protesting but they held a big sign up and Joe got a little flustered. Did you see how he handled it? If you want to see who is not going to be your next president you have to watch that video. Watch Joe Biden try to not be Trump. Because Trump would have said hey, get those bums out of here, and the security would take them out, and Trump would tell jokes and the crowd would love it. It would be part of the show. That's the way Trump handles it.

How did Joe Biden handle it? Well he needed to be different so he had to handle it in some way that's not Trump-like. So he starts saying that's all right, let him go, we'll leave him there. And as he says that the security guards are coming in and grabbing the guy. And then Joe Biden taking control of the room, it's like okay just let him go. He says this isn't the Trump rally, we don't need to do that. Just let him stay. Let him stay.

And here's the funny part. The security guards absolutely ignored him. It was like he wasn't there. And these big beefy security guards just grabbed these guys and locked them up and just started dragging them out of the room, you know on their feet but they're pulling him out. And you watch him and Joe is even as they're being taken out by these security guys, it's alright, yeah just leave him there. And I thought I was seeing in my mind like one of those expired, what do you call it, a dandelion when it's just the little white stuff that blows away in the wind. In the old day the dandelion looked like an old dandelion up there and the other dandelion. There was just nothing there. There was no leadership. There was no power. There was no control. It didn't look like he was in control of himself much less the room. He did not control the room. And wow is it obvious. It is so obvious that there's no leadership skill there whatsoever. Then you could, I don't know how you could watch that and then vote for him. That'd be hard.

All right, see what else we got here. Well looks like Russia is trying to attack the United States with oil prices. So I'm learning a little bit more about this situation. So if you're not up on it it goes like this. Every country that produces oil produces it at a different cost, partly because of the technology they use and partly because of how they're getting the oil. So it's expensive to get it in shale. It's less expensive some other ways. Russia as it turns out, both through investment and luck about the type of oil they have, has maybe the lowest, possibly the lowest production costs, or it's right in that category somewhere.

And they've decided to start a price war because the U.S. shale business in particular had been so good that it was taking market share from Russia and everybody else. And we replaced Russia as the biggest producer. So Russia wants to find out how to get its money back. When oil prices are low, we're already low. So Russia was already in trouble because prices were low-ish. But they decided to go right at OPEC and Saudi Arabia by lowering them and starting a price war, which Saudi Arabia immediately matched. So we're in a price war.

And if the price war continues it will bankrupt the shale producing parts of our energy industry, which is pretty big. It's going to bankrupt them. And this is really aggressive because the intention of Putin, according to the people who know what they're talking about, his intention is to bankrupt them. It's actually a direct, obvious, you know nobody's hiding the plan. But it's all legal because it's business, right? In business you're allowed to do whatever you want if it's legal. It's legal. And lowering your prices is completely legal. If Russia can do it they can do it.

So they're going to take out our shale business, which is a continuation of this theme which you've seen under Trump, which is that all wars that can... let me say that again. I would say that the Trump doctrine, which has never been named, that I'm just going to name it that myself. Let's call it the Trump doctrine of war or the Trump war doctrine. Now of course I'm putting, I would be putting words into his mouth so this is not coming from the president or anything like it. But by observation I would say that Trump believes that all wars are economic wars. And that if you simply treat the economics as the war, well it's the war.

So Russia basically just declared war on the United States. But I think we declared war on them first by taking over their primary business. Now here's the problem. A lot of smart people think the price of oil may never go up high again because there's just so much of it and we're so good at getting it and you know the economy is slowing down this year anyway and you know then there's green energy. We've got new developments in nuclear power etc. coming online all the time.

But the problem is that Russia's income is selling weapons and oil pretty much. You know Russia is sort of like a criminal enterprise that sells oil and weapons. And if they can't sell oil and weapons and make money the whole country's in trouble. And guess what they can't do right now? Sell weapons and oil and make money. So the only two things that they can do that, because there's not a major war. Most of the big wars seem to be winding down now. I don't know this for sure but it seems like that would be bad for the arms business, the Russian arms business. Now it could be that they have a robust business even in peacetime as people are arming up. I don't know the details there. But I have to think that a peaceful world is bad for Russia because they sell arms. And obviously the oil situation would just put them out of business if it stayed low.

So this is a really, really big change with COVID. And it gets it kind of speaks to this question which I've been asking for a long time, which is why are we enemies with Russia? You know I've been saying this forever. Why don't we just say hey Russia, you know if we get along we're both better off. It's obvious. So let's just get along. You can see we do it with our other allies. When we get along with them we all get rich. When we don't get along we don't. So let's just get along. Then I always wonder why wouldn't that work with Russia? And I think we just got the answer.

The answer is they can't sell their oil if we're selling our oil to the same people. In other words Russia can't really coexist with the United States being a gigantic oil producer because they need all of that money to stay alive. So I'm not sure that they can be our economic partner because they have to compete with us so directly. It's way more directly than other countries compete with us and on that important industry, the energy. So maybe there's nothing we can do there where Russia will just always be enemies until one of us gets out of the oil business I guess. I think it comes down to that.

So I think Russia, well let me say it directly, based on the current trajectory of things the Russian state is doomed, right? Because they can't survive low oil prices and it doesn't look like anything is going to change the low oil prices. So that doesn't mean that they won't actually do it because people are pretty good at scrambling and surviving and doing what they need to do. But the trajectory for Russia is doomed just if nothing big changes. And I don't see anything big that's going to change. So that's a big problem. Might make them more flexible but it might make them the opposite.

Gavin Newsom did something that shocked and amazed me yesterday. The governor of California, much maligned, much criticized governor. And you know for context there are people like me who've been saying critical things about the homeless situation and nuclear energy and some other things. But with this coronavirus stuff he was giving a press conference, Gavin Newsom was, and he was asked whether President Trump and the administration are helping him. And he gave an unabashedly positive response and essentially said everything that we've asked them for, everything they promised, they did. Which is a big thing to say in politics. It was very clearly supportive of the administration's efforts on coronavirus. And it wasn't a hedged, you know it would be easy for a politician to say well you know for once they're doing something right, you know to kind of hedge it. Or to say you know well we're not getting everything we want to keep the pressure on but we're getting a lot. That would have been easy to say but he didn't. He didn't. Gavin Newsom stood in front of the world and he said that the federal government is absolutely doing everything he needs, everything he's asked for.

And I thought to myself that's some good leadership there. Okay I like to play fair, you know, because I've criticized this guy quite a bit. I'm not sure he needs to be our governor much longer. But this was really strong leadership. That was exactly what I wanted to see him say to make me feel the way I needed to feel and do the things I need to do. He made me feel that the government is effective. And I'm sure that there must be tons of little hiccups and problems and they don't, you think that the reality is that things never move as smoothly as the politicians say when they say things are good. Well but just for him to come out and give this little bit of positive reinforcement that the government and the state is working well together was powerful. It was useful. It was right. It was good for the country. It was not political. It was pure leadership. And I appreciated it. So thank you Gavin Newsom. Great job.

There's some bunch of free technology platforms for people who are going to work at home. So you've seen, and again this is beautiful and inspiring to watch, that the country, the United States, the citizens are just sort of jumping in and saying what can I do. And you're seeing the tech companies do this. And I tweeted around a list of technology platforms that are good for working at home like Dropbox and WebEx and those kinds. So if you're in a company and you've just been told to work at home and you don't know what all the good tools are for doing that, you know how do you share files and how do you work remotely and stuff, look at my Twitter feed for the list of platforms that are free. They're free during the crisis. So you got that going on.

All right so let me give you an update on demonetization and YouTube. So I learned yesterday from Google, so this what I'm going to say now is not my opinion or a guessing. This is actually from my contact at Google who is the right person for this, not just an employee at Google but the person who does this job who is my contact. And I've been assigned this contact because I was complaining about demonetization and they were demonetizing any reference to coronavirus. And I believe they still are but they have now stated publicly now that they recognize that that's an issue because most of the coronavirus coverage is people trying to be helpful. All right I'm doing nothing but talking about coronavirus except trying to be helpful.

So the demonetizing has two impacts but one of them is obvious. I'm a little uncertain of the other. So my Google contact told me yesterday something that I believe I don't understand correctly or I disagree with or there's something going on that I need to figure out. But anyway she said that demonetizing doesn't change how many people see it but I'm almost positive that's not true. So I'm gonna verify that and I think maybe we're talking about different things. Because here's what I believe to be true. I believe that their recommendation engine favors monetized content because why wouldn't it, right? Why wouldn't it favor its own monetized content? Yeah if it's going to suggest things for people to see, things which are monetized are by definition the things that are great for YouTube, right?

Somebody says there are thieves but I don't think there's any evidence that ads are playing that people are not getting paid for. I don't think that's going on. I've not seen any evidence of that. I think they either show ads or don't show ads. They don't show the ads and then keep the money. That's the opposite. It wouldn't make sense. The reason that Google demonetizes those things is on behalf of their advertisers. If Google made all the decisions with nobody else giving input they would monetize everything. Why the heck wouldn't they? If they're gonna allow the content on their platform at all of course they would monetize it if they could.

So be careful about who's Google making a decision and who's the advertisers making a decision. I have confirmed the experience I'm having is identical to what David Pakman is experiencing on YouTube. I just saw an update from him and his experience, he's an anti-Trump left-leaning guy, and his demonetization experience is identical to mine. So if you're thinking oh Scott, Scott's got, they're blaming the advertisers but really it's Google that's doing it, mm-hmm there's no evidence of that. The evidence is that liberals and conservatives are both being demonetized because of the content. If you mentioned politics or coronavirus it's just automatic. So we're trying to work through that but there appears to be no solution to that as far as I can tell.

Somebody says it's both the advertisers and the Google bias. That's the speculation that I don't see evidence of it but I neither could I disprove it. Can't prove a negative. Somebody says Google has proven to be biased in search engines. Yes but this isn't search. So I'm not saying they're not biased. I'm just saying I don't have any evidence that would lead me to say that, given that liberals and conservatives are both affected.

What's going on with your show with Christina? We have beta tested that and rejected it. So Christina and I were going to do a separate thing with the two of us and we filmed a few and played it back to see if we liked what we saw. And we just didn't enjoy doing it enough. So I think if it had been bad but we loved doing it we probably would have done it until we could do it well. But it was bad and we didn't love doing it. A lot of it has to do with just two people trying to schedule the same thing at the same time and agree on it. And it just added a level of relationship complexity that we didn't need. So we tried it. That's always my strategy. My strategy is if you don't know, give it a try. Worst thing that happens is you get embarrassed and you don't do it.

Oh but separately Christina will be producing more piano solos. So she's working on her repertoire, building up her number of songs. So every day I go downstairs and she's practicing Chopin and she's working up two lists I guess. She's got one to play. So yeah geez she's super gifted. Watching Christy play Chopin, which I've just learned is among the hardest of all pieces to play, it's really remarkable. I just look at it I go I don't know how anybody could do that. It just seems impossible.

Somebody says coronavirus wedding. Well here's the thing. We were engaged and we're talking about our wedding plans so we have not finalized anything. But of course all of our plans were built around some kind of travel. And one of the main places that we were planning to travel this year, or at least I was, I was going to tell her about that later, but was Italy. And Italy of course is off the list as is travel basically.

So here's the good news. This coronavirus is bad for extroverts but it's not bad for everybody if you know what I mean. Introverts and people who didn't like crowds anyway are just saying are you serious? I just got an excuse for being exactly the way I want to be anyway. And the answer is yeah you did. You just got an excuse for being exactly the way you wanted to be anyway, which is stick to yourself, keep your numbers low.

So we don't have a plan yet but you are right it probably will be a coronavirus wedding. Which means you know that awkward part where you don't know who to invite? I think we might be able to avoid the awkward part where you don't know who to invite because that's coronavirus. Well if it will invite nobody or just a few people anyway we'll work that out. Yeah introverts are kind of winning in this I have to admit that. I'm sort of a converted introvert. I would say that I'm genetically inclined to introversion and I like lots of alone time. I need lots of alone time. I need hours every day where I don't see other people or else I get a little squirrely.

So I have a Periscope wedding. Oh my god that's a good idea. That's a good idea. I don't think I could convince Christina but I'd do it if it were up to me. I'd do it. I don't think there's any chance she would agree to it but that is a damn good idea. I'll bet you. Yeah I bet you. Good to see a bunch of video weddings right because nobody wants to go infect all their own relatives. That's the worst thing in the world.

So like I said I'm gonna be enjoying my alone time. I think I'm gonna be doing the experience in Italy which was really scary. I think I'm gonna be doing a lot of social distancing. I told you that it's helpful to have a project. So if you too are going to be social distancing and I hope that you do, you should have a project. And the project is not something you're working on all the time but just something you have as a fun thing that you want to improve, a skill you're working on. And in my case I've decided to work on my arms. And again it doesn't matter what it is. Just something you always wanted to do that you wouldn't have had time to do before because in your busy life but now you're gonna be home a lot.

So my goal is I'm going to try to work on my muscles so you can look at it before and after. So I'm telling you now that three months from now since I'll have so much time in my home gym I hope to make a muscle and it's bigger. And then I'm going to say huh well I was locked up for three or four months but look at these guns. Now of course that's a vain and not very important objective. You might want to learn a language. You might want to pick up a skill. Take an online class. But take advantage of it because I'm not entirely sure we're worse off by pulling back and maybe you know having a little alone time. Maybe learn to meditate. I hear that's good for your body.

All right you could Periscope and what. So the age act program. Yeah I think I'll just be doing my own thing here working on yoga, writing, math and quilting. Very good. Very good. So I think we'll you know. I'm just looking at your comments. All right thanks for the comments and I will talk to you later.

hey everybody come on in it's time for a coffee with Scott Adams that's why you're here best part of the day yeah it is it really is you think those parts of the day where you're off having all kinds of a dull are the best parts but no no which it's right here this is the best part and all you need to participate is a cup or a mug or a class a tanker cello sur Stein a canteen jerger flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee enjoyed me now with the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine Yetta the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous it go mm-hmm no that's how to do some social distancing right am i right there's some social distancing right there let's talk about all the stuff in the news so over in Italy I I saw a thread from I guess was a doctor in a hospital over in Italy where they're being hit hard with the coronavirus and apparently it's Night of the Living Dead bodies piling up whatever's the worst you could imagine that's happening in the Italian hospitals right now because of the corona virus meanwhile some as yet publicly unnamed individual was shaking hands at CPAC including with all kinds of senators and politicians and we have a president who's been shaking hands and apparently he's still going to have his rallies here's my opinion as of around today this is sort of a tipping point for me I think it's irresponsible to have political rallies because if you're looking at what's happening in the other countries and you really oughta because it's not good but if you look at Italy for example they're there in a world of hurt and it's because the medical resources were over up now there are people saying to me Scott's got sucked don't be so panicky because you know it just affects old people and you know most people are just gonna cold well yes except that in Italy there's no health care services anymore it's just for one purpose their entire health care system at least let the high-end stuff you know where you've got a hospital it just doesn't exist anymore so if you break your leg in three weeks do you know what your health care plan is in the United States limp right if you break your leg in three weeks in the United States there's a good chance that your health care solution will be the limp because it won't be in health care it might last for a couple months now that's the situation in Italy and that's a situation if we don't keep it under control but will we keep it under the code control it turns out the South Korea is actually getting a handle on theirs and they're not doing extreme social distancing they must be doing a lot of it but it's less extreme than some other places so we do see some progress in South Korea China allegedly is getting a handle on it but we don't know what that really means Japan is doing better than Italy because they have way more a lot more hospital resources so Japan is not overrun yet they're doing better but they're they're having some issues there apparently I'm hearing also from people in Japan the social media is great because you could hear individuals telling tell you what their actual life is like and there's one person in Japan who says that there's plenty of goods in the stores and people are just just immediately went into extreme social isolation and it seems to have worked so here's what we know we know that extreme social isolation is absolutely effective and we know we're not doing it and we know that the President of the United States is modeling not doing it and the people he's competing against to be the next president are not doing it I don't know how much longer we can put up with that do you because let's let's put it this way you know on one level you know it's up to the president whether he has a rally you know it's up to Biden it's up to Bernie you know it's not up to us is it no it's up to us it's not up to them it's not up to them don't let it be up to them we're sort of in this together right the president doesn't get this to decide to have a rally and then there's a rally we have to decide - all right everybody has to decide or else there's no rally if only one person decides there's a rally and then there's a rally of one person so I'm not sure we should continue to allow and it allow is the right word because we can stop it we can stop it today I don't think we should allow our our politicians to continue to do rallies given that we know exactly what works social isolation and we know exactly what doesn't continuing business as usual it's not a mystery anymore we know and we know that if we don't get it early it's going to get us so I think it's completely irresponsible and I would go so far as to say if we have another week of rallies you know maybe this week sort of an edge case but if next week we're still doing rallies we don't have anybody running for president who's qualified to leave us at least in this situation I let me say that is directly as I can if President Trump next week you know this week again it's on the edge but by next week if they're still doing rallies and things are still worsening in the coronavirus global situation none of them none of them are qualified to be President unfortunately that's my opinion so let's talk about some other stuff the dumbest thing that I hear in politics lately is coming from Bernie Sanders and and people who say the same thing and they say that President Trump doesn't believe in science now I don't think there's anybody who doesn't believe in science what does that even mean there's nobody who doesn't believe in science now of course they'll point to climate change but that's because the the critics can't tell the difference between economics and science what President Trump called a hoax he wasn't saying I'm a scientist I've looked at the science blah blah he was talking about the Paris agreement and the the economic implications which clearly were pretty sketchy now was that I / believe who knows but you know we can't read his mind but the point is there there's no point at which the president didn't believe in science that's different than not believing the scientists and it's different from believing that scientists might have a control of the science but no control of the economic implications which are the part you actually do something about you know beyond inventing stuff so so it's it is so dishonest to call anybody anti science it just bugs me more than other stuff you know it's different than other lies because you could say this person did X maybe it's a lie maybe they did not do X that's just a plain lie that's bad enough but to blame somebody for doing something that isn't a thing is sort of like a double lie it's a lie on the stupid it's something like blaming your opponent for dematerializing and traveling to another planet by his thoughts and throwing the revolution on the other planet and returning by beaming himself back to the planet okay that was a terrible example but the point is it didn't happen and it is a couldn't happen so blaming something for something that doesn't even exist is just the the height of political stupidity and people are buying it all right let's talk about Joe Biden because I think we have to as the New York Times put it I read this somewhere and I think I'm Fox News site quote provident Democrats began publicly began publicly insisting that the ticket the Joe Biden ticket included include a woman preferably a black woman all right so now it's being widely reported that the important Democrat people want a black woman on the ticket with Joe Biden well who's that gonna be now some people say no it can never become Harris because she attacked them at the debate well it turns out there's a back story turns out and I was just learning this in its depth today I was aware of this story that I'm gonna tell you but I didn't know the depth of it it's the depth of it that makes the difference turns out the Carmel Harris and Joe Biden's now deceased son Beau Biden were really close and not just professionally they were they were close they talked to each other all the time they were both attorney generals at different places and and so she was sort of close to Joe Biden because of that and apparently they've rekindled whatever that was and they got past whatever happened that's a debate so does anybody doubt that she's the first choice now are we at the point where you know Stacy it's not gonna be Stacy Abrams if it's Stacy Abrams I don't know anything about anything because I've watched her act and so weak I can't believe that the the people in charge you know the Democratic leadership would allow that and I don't think that's the winning formula anyway so he says okay you were right in the comments that's all I wanted to hear I would like to remind you that I made the most ridiculous prediction you've ever heard the first ridiculous prediction was that I could pick the the candidate back in 2018 when there were lots and lots of people running and I peered into the crowd and I said I think it's gonna be Connell Harris and then when she what she's suspended her campaign this is the fun part I said I still predict it will be Kabul Harris what would be a weirder prediction than predicting the person who dropped out of the race was going to get the nomination was that the most unpredictable prediction you've ever heard in your life well let's see if it happens I think everybody would agree at this point if whoever the vice president pick is is going to be the shadow president so I'm technically wrong and you know my predicted bet I lost money because they're they're very specific what it means to be the you know the presidential candidate obviously but in effect I can't I got this right I think it's looking that way now if she doesn't get nominated I'm wrong just flat-out wrong but if she does it would be my best prediction of all time I'm pretty sure here are some things that are saying about Joe Biden dr.

Jill Stein you know her for ruining Hillary's chances because she was working with the Russians no not really that's what people are saying and she is so she ran in 2016 and got some votes and people say it's safe and them away from Hillary probably did and so Jill Stein is out was saying directly that Joe Biden has you know mental decline in public did I mention it's dr.

Jill Stein medical doctor Jill Stein harvard-trained medical doctor Jill Stein is saying in public okay now it's just obvious I'm paraphrasing but basically she's saying she's kind of implying that you don't need to be a medical doctor to see this I tweeted another medical doctor and I've been reading some other folks weighing in who are actual experts at working with dementia patients and Alzheimer's people or at least they say they're on Twitter you can never be hundred percent sure if anybody is who they say they are but people who are professionals are saying in public unabashedly that it's obvious there's a problem now do you remember when people are saying this about Trump and do you remember the there was just a tremendous blowback from medical professionals as they should to say whoa you know medical ethics medical ethics we do not diagnose people who are not our patients you don't diagnose people you haven't met haven't examined never there's no ever period you do not diagnose from a distance well do you let me give you an example suppose you were a doctor somebody showed you a picture of automobile accident and there was a headless body over here and then a very clear picture the no doubt or what what you're seeing the actual head which has been severed ten feet from the body the doctor sees this picture and the person on the scene says what should we do doctor should we give them CPR and the doctor looks at the picture and says no I'm not there but I think it would be unnecessary to give CPR because you see the head is not actually attached to the body probably dead no certainly death because head is not attached to the body now would that be an ethical failure because the doctors not there the doctor has not examined the patient the doctor is simply just looking at a picture would that be unethical no because the head is missing it's obvious you don't have to be a doctor a person with that the head is dead and we haven't reached that point with Joe Biden where he's a headless corpse but we have reached the point where medical professionals are willing to say in public okay just look am i right we've crossed that line where it's no longer medically unethical for a working professional a medical professional to say in public yeah just look at that that's obvious that's a big deal because the medical profession did not cross that line with Trump am i right and when somebody did the other medical professionals poured in and said whoa too far you know and people walked it back a little bit and tried to try to tap-dance well you know I'm not saying for sure that sort of thing but we're not seeing that this time it's differently all right did you see the video of the Biden rally you know wish there were some protesters I forget what they were protesting but they held a big sign up and Joe got a little flustered did you see how he handled it if you want to see who is not going to be your next president you have to watch that video watch Joe Biden try to not be Trump because Trump would have said hey get those bums out of here and the security would take him out and and and Trump would tell jokes and the the crowd would love it it would be part of the show that's the way Trump handles it how did it Joe bad Biden and late' well he needed to be different so he had to handle it in some way that's not Trump like so he starts saying that's all right let him go he'll leave him there and as you say that the security guards are coming in and grabbing the guy and then Joe Biden taking control of the room it's like okay just let him go he says this is in the Trump rally we don't need to do that just let him stay let him stay and here's the funny part the security guards absolutely ignored him it was like he wasn't there and these big beefy security guards just grab these guys and lock them up and just start dragging them out of the room you know on their feet but they're they're pulling him out and you watch him and Joe is even as that being taken out by DISA it's alright yeah just just leave him there and I thought I was seeing in my mind like like one of those expired what he called it a dandelion when it's just the little white stuff that blows away in the wind in the old day of the line it looked like an old dead line up there and the other died the dais just there was nothing there there was no leadership there was no power there was no control it didn't look like he was in control of himself much less the room he did not control the room and Wow is it obvious it is so obvious that there's no leadership skill there whatsoever then you could I don't know how you could watch that and then vote for him it that'd be hard all right see what else we got here well looks like Russia is trying to attack the United States with oil prices so I'm learning a little bit more about this situation so if you're not up on it it goes like this so every country that produces oil produces it at a different cost partly because the technology they use and partly because of how they're getting the oil so it's expensive to get it in a shale it's less expensive some other ways Russia as it turns out both through investment and luck about the type of oil they have has maybe the lowest possibly the lowest production costs or it's right in that category somewhere and they've decided to start a price war because the US shale business in particular had been so good that it was taking market share from Russia and everybody else and we we replaced Russia as the biggest producer so Russia wants to find out how to get his money back when oil prices are low were already low so Russia was already in trouble because prices were low ish but they decided to go right at OPEC and Saudi Arabia by lowering them and starting a price war which Saudi Arabia immediately matched so we're in a price war and if the price war continues it will bankrupt the shale producing parts of our energy industry which is pretty big it's going to bankrupt them and this is really aggressive because the intention of Putin according to the people who know what they're talking about his intention is to bankrupt them it's actually a direct obvious you know nobody's hiding the plan but it's all legal because it's business right in business you're allowed to do whatever you want if it's legal it's legal and and lowering your prices is completely legal if Russia can do it they can do it so they're going to take out our shale business which is a continuation of this theme which you've seen under Trump which is that all wars that can the core let me say that again I would say that the trumpet doctrine which has never been named that I'm just going to name it that myself let's call it the Trump doctrine of war or the Trump war doctrine now of course I'm putting I would be putting words into his mouth so this this is not coming from the president or anything like it but by observation I would say that Trump believes that all wars economic war and that if you simply treat the economics as the war well it's the war so so Russia basically just declared war on the United States but I think we declared war on them first by taking over their primary business now here's the problem a lot of smart people think the price of oil may never go up high again because there's just so much of it and we're so good at getting it and you know the economy is slowing down this year anyway and you know then there's green energy energy we've got new developments in nuclear power etc coming online all the time but the problem is that Russia's income is selling weapons and oil pretty much you know Russia is sort of like a a criminal enterprise this sells oil and weapons and if they can't sell oil and weapons and make money the whole country's in trouble and guess what they can't do right now sell weapons and oil and make money so the only two things that they can do that because there's not a major war that most of the big war seem to be winding down now I don't know this for sure but it seems like that would be bad for the arms business the Russian arms business now it could be that they have a robust business even in peacetime as people are you know arming up I don't know the details there but I have to think that a peaceful world is bad for Russia because they sell arms and obviously the oil situation would just put them out of business if it stayed low so this is a really really big change coven and it gets it kind of speaks to this question which I've been asking for a long time which is why are we enemies with Russia you know I've been saving this forever why don't we just say hey Russia you know if we get along we're both we're both better off it's obvious so let's just get along you can see we do it with their other allies when we get along with them we all get rich when we don't get along we don't so let's just get along then I always wonder why wouldn't that work with Russia and I think we just got the answer the answer is they can't sell their oil if we're selling our oil to the same people in other words Russia can't really coexist with the United States being a gigantic oil producer because they need all of that money to stay alive so I'm not sure that they can be our economic partner because they have to compete with us so directly it's way more directly than other countries compete with us and on that important industry the energy so maybe there's there's nothing we can do there where the Russia will just always be enemies until one of us gets out of the oil business I guess I think it comes down to that so I think Russia well let me say it directly based on the current trajectory of things the Russian state is doomed right because they can't survive low gasp oil prices and it doesn't look like anything is going to change the low oil prices so that doesn't mean that they were actually do because people are pretty good at scrambling and surviving and doing what they need to do but the trajectory for Russia is do just if nothing big changes and I don't see anything being this going to change so that's a big problem might become flexible but it might make them the opposite Gavin Newsom did something that shocked and amazed me yesterday the governor of California much maligned much criticized governor and you know for context there are people like me you've been saying critical things that is the homeless situation and nuclear energy and some other things but with this coronavirus stuff he was giving a press conference Gavin Newsom was and he was asked whether President Trump and the administration are helping him and he gave an unabashedly positive response and essentially said everything that we've asked them for they everything they promised they did which is a big thing to say in politics it was very clearly supportive of the administration's efforts on coronavirus and and it wasn't a hedged you know it would be easy for a politician to say well you know for once they're doing something right you know to kind of hedge it or to say you know well we're not getting everything you know want to keep the pressure on but we're getting a lot that would have been easy to say but he didn't he didn't gavin newsom stood in front of the world and he said that the that the federal government is absolutely doing everything he needs everything he's asked for and i thought to myself that's some good leadership there okay I like to I like to play a fair you know because I've criticized this guy quite a bit I'm not sure he needs to be our mayor I'm sorry I'm not sure he needs to be our governor much longer but this was really strong leadership that was exactly what I wanted to see him say to make me feel the way I needed to feel and do the things I need to do he made me feel that the government is effective and I'm sure that there must be tons of little hiccups and problems and they don't you think that the reality is that things never move as smoothly as the politicians say when they say things are good well but just for him to come out and give this little bit of positive reinforcement that the government's in the state is working well together was powerful it was useful it was right it was good for the common it was not political it was pure leadership and I appreciated it so thank you gavin newsom great job there's some a bunch of free technology platforms for people who are going to work at home so you've seen the and again this is this is beautiful and inspiring to watch that the country the United States the citizens are just sort of jumping in and saying what can I do and you're seeing the tech companies do this and I I tweeted around a list of technology platforms that are good for working at home like Dropbox and Web.

Ex and those guides so if you're if you're in a company and you've been just been told to work at home and you don't know what all the good tools are for doing that you know how do you share files and how do you work remotely and stuff look at my Twitter feed for the list of Twitter platforms that are free they're free during the crisis so you got that going on all right so let me give you an update on D monetization and You.

Tube so I am yesterday that I'd learned from from Google so this what I'm going to say now is not my opinion or a guessing this is actually from my contact at Google who who is the right person for this not just an employee at Google but the person who does this job who is my contact and I've been assigned this contact because I was complaining about D monetization and they were d monetizing any reference to coronavirus and I believe they still are but they have now they've been they've stated publicly now that they recognize that that's an issue because most of the coronavirus coverage is people trying to be helpful all right I'm doing nothing talking about coronavirus except trying to be helpful so the d monetizing has two impacts but one of them is Louisville I'm a little uncertain of so my Google contact told me yesterday something that I believe I don't understand correctly or I disagree with or there's something going on that I need to figure out but anyway she said that deep monetizing doesn't change how many people see it but I'm almost positive that's not true so I'm gonna verify that and I think maybe we're talking about different things because here's here's what what I believe to be true I believe that their recommendation engine favours monetized content because why wouldn't it right why wouldn't it favor its own monetized comments yeah if it's going to suggest things for people to see things which are monetized are by definition the things that are you know great for You.

Tube right somebody says there are thieves but I don't I don't think there's any evidence that ads are playing that people are not getting paid for I don't think that's going on I've I've not seen any evidence of that I think they either show ads or don't show ads they don't show the ads of them keep the money that's the opposite of it wouldn't make sense that the reason that Google do you monetize those things is on behalf of their advertisers if Google made all the decisions with nobody else giving input they would monetize everything why the heck wouldn't they if they're gonna allow the content on their platform at all of course they would monetize it if they could so be careful about who's who's Google making a decision and who's the advertisers making a decision I have confirmed does the experience I'm having is identical to what David Pakman is experiencing on You.

Tube I just saw an update from him and his experience he's he's a anti-trump left leading guy and his D monetization experience is identical to mine so if you're thinking oh Scott Scott's got they're blaming the advertisers but really it's Google that's doing it mm-hmm there's no evidence of that the evidence that the Liberals and the Conservatives are both being demonetised because of the content if you mentioned politics or coronavirus is just automatic so we're trying to work through that but there appears to be no solution to that as far as I can tell somebody says it's both the advertisers in the Google bias that's the speculation that I don't see evidence of it but I neither could I disprove it can't prove a negative somebody says Google has proven to be biased in search engines yes but this isn't search engine seized so I'm not saying they're not biased I'm just saying I don't have any evidence that would lead me to say that given that liberals and conservatives are both affected what's going on with your show with Christina we have a be tested that and rejected it so Christina and I were going to do do a separate you know the thing with the two of us and we we filmed a few and played it back to see if we liked what we saw and we just didn't enjoy doing it enough so I think if it had been bad but we loved doing it we probably would have done it until we could do it well but it was bad and we didn't love doing it a lot of it has to do with just two people trying to schedule the same thing at the same time and agree on it and it it just added the level of relationship complexity that we didn't need so we tried it said that's always my strategy my strategy is if you don't know give it a try worst thing that happens is you get embarrassed and you don't do it oh but separately Christina will be producing more piano solos so she's she's working on her working on her repertoire building up her number of songs so every day I go downstairs and she's practicing Chopin and she's working up two lists I guess he's our as one to play so yeah geez she's super gifted watch watching a christy to play Chopin which I've just learned is among the hardest of all pieces to play it's really remarkable I just look at it I go I don't know I don't know how anybody could do that it just seems impossible somebody says Corona Beauty wedding well here's the thing we were you know we're engaged and we're talking about our wedding plans so we have not finalized anything but of course all of our plans were built around some kind of travel and one of the main places that were planning to travel this year or at least I was I was going to tell her about that later but was Italy and Italy of course is off the list as is travel basically so uh here's the good news here's the good news this Pronovias is bad for extroverts but it's not bad for everybody if you know what I mean introverts and people who didn't like crowds anyway are just saying are you serious I just got an excuse for being exactly the way I want to be anyway and the answer is yeah you did you just got an excuse for being exactly the way you wanted to be any way which is stick to yourself keep your and keep your numbers low so we don't have a plan yet but you are right it probably will be a coronavirus wedding which means do you know that awkward part where you don't know to invite I think we might be able to avoid the awkward part where you don't know who to invite because that's coronavirus well if I will invite nobody or just a few people anyway we'll work that out yeah introverts are kind of winning in this I have to admit that I'm I'm sort of a converted introvert I would say that I'm genetically inclined to introversion and I like lots of lots of a long time I need lots of a long time I need hours every day where I don't see other people or else I get a little squirrely so I have a periscope wedding oh my god that's a good idea that's a good idea I don't think I could convince Christina but I'd do it if it were up to me I'd do it I don't think there's any chance she would agree to it but that is a damn good idea I'll bet you yeah I bet you good to see a bunch of video weddings right because nobody wants to go infect all their own relatives that's the worst thing in the world so like I said I'm gonna be enjoying my alone time I think I'm gonna have to really the experience in Italy which was really scary I think I'm gonna be doing a lot of social distancing I told you that it's helpful to have a project so if you two are going to be social distancing and I hope that you do you should have a project and the project is not something you're working on all the time but just something you have as a you know a fun thing that you want to improve a system you're working on and in my case I've decided to work on my arms it and again it doesn't matter what it is just something you always wanted to do that you wouldn't have had time to do before because in your busy life but now you're gonna be home a lot so by my oh my good my goal is I'm going to try to work on my muscles so you can look at it before and after so I'm telling you now that three months from now since I'll have so much time in my home gym I hope to make a muscle and it's bigger and then I'm going to say huh well I was locked up for three four three months but look at these guns now of course that's a vein and not very important objective you might want to learn language you might want to pick up a skill take it take it online in class but take advantage of it because I'm not entirely sure we're worse off by by pulling back and maybe you know having a little alone time maybe learn to meditate I hear that's good for your your body all right you could periscope and what so the the age Act program yeah I think I'll just be doing my own thing here working on yoga writing math and quilting very good very good so I think we'll you know I'm inch sized I don't know I'm just looking at just looking at your comments all right thanks for the comments and I will talk to you later

[Music]

hey everybody come on in it's time for a

coffee with Scott Adams that's why

you're here best part of the day yeah it

is it really is you think those parts of

the day where you're off having all

kinds of a dull are the best parts

but no no which it's right here this is

the best part

and all you need to participate is a cup

or a mug or a class a tanker cello sur

Stein a canteen jerger flask a vessel of

any kind fill it with your favorite

liquid I like coffee enjoyed me now with

the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine

Yetta the day the thing that makes

everything better

it's called the simultaneous it go

mm-hmm no that's how to do some social

distancing right am i right there's some

social distancing right there let's talk

about all the stuff in the news so over

in Italy I I saw a thread from I guess

was a doctor in a hospital over in Italy

where they're being hit hard with the

coronavirus and apparently it's Night of

the Living Dead bodies piling up

whatever's the worst you could imagine

that's happening in the Italian

hospitals right now because of the

corona virus meanwhile some as yet

publicly unnamed individual was shaking

hands at CPAC including with all kinds

of senators and politicians and we have

a president who's been shaking hands and

apparently he's still going to have his

rallies here's my opinion as of around

today this is sort of a tipping point

for me I think it's irresponsible to

have political rallies

because if you're looking at what's

happening in the other countries and you

really oughta because it's not good but

if you look at Italy for example they're

there in a world of hurt and it's

because the medical resources were over

up now there are people saying to me

Scott's got sucked

don't be so panicky because you know it

just affects old people and you know

most people are just gonna cold

well yes except that in Italy there's no

health care services anymore it's just

for one purpose their entire health care

system at least let the high-end stuff

you know where you've got a hospital it

just doesn't exist anymore so if you

break your leg in three weeks do you

know what your health care plan is in

the United States limp right if you

break your leg in three weeks in the

United States there's a good chance that

your health care solution will be the

limp because it won't be in health care

it might last for a couple months now

that's the situation in Italy and that's

a situation if we don't keep it under

control but will we keep it under the

code control it turns out the South

Korea is actually getting a handle on

theirs and they're not doing extreme

social distancing they must be doing a

lot of it but it's less extreme than

some other places so we do see some

progress in South Korea China allegedly

is getting a handle on it but we don't

know what that really means Japan is

doing better than Italy because they

have way more a lot more hospital

resources so Japan is not overrun yet

they're doing better but they're they're

having some issues there apparently I'm

hearing also from people in Japan the

social media is great because you could

hear individuals telling tell you what

their actual life is like

and there's one person in Japan who says

that there's plenty of goods in the

stores and people are just just

immediately went into extreme social

isolation and it seems to have worked so

here's what we know we know that extreme

social isolation is absolutely effective

and we know we're not doing it and we

know that the President of the United

States is modeling not doing it and the

people he's competing against to be the

next president are not doing it I don't

know how much longer we can put up with

that do you because let's let's put it

this way you know on one level you know

it's up to the president whether he has

a rally you know it's up to Biden it's

up to Bernie you know it's not up to us

is it no it's up to us it's not up to

them it's not up to them don't let it be

up to them

we're sort of in this together right the

president doesn't get this to decide to

have a rally and then there's a rally we

have to decide - all right everybody has

to decide or else there's no rally if

only one person decides there's a rally

and then there's a rally of one person

so I'm not sure we should continue to

allow and it allow is the right word

because we can stop it we can stop it

today I don't think we should allow our

our politicians to continue to do

rallies given that we know exactly what

works social isolation and we know

exactly what doesn't continuing business

as usual it's not a mystery anymore we

know and we know that if we don't get it

early it's going to get us so

I think it's completely irresponsible

and I would go so far as to say if we

have another week of rallies you know

maybe this week sort of an edge case but

if next week we're still doing rallies

we don't have anybody running for

president who's qualified to leave us at

least in this situation I let me say

that is directly as I can if President

Trump next week you know this week again

it's on the edge but by next week if

they're still doing rallies and things

are still worsening in the coronavirus

global situation none of them none of

them are qualified to be President

unfortunately that's my opinion so let's

talk about some other stuff the dumbest

thing that I hear in politics lately is

coming from Bernie Sanders and and

people who say the same thing and they

say that President Trump doesn't believe

in science now I don't think there's

anybody who doesn't believe in science

what does that even mean there's nobody

who doesn't believe in science now of

course they'll point to climate change

but that's because the the critics can't

tell the difference between economics

and science what President Trump called

a hoax he wasn't saying I'm a scientist

I've looked at the science blah blah he

was talking about the Paris agreement

and the the economic implications which

clearly were pretty sketchy now was that

I / believe who knows but you know we

can't read his mind but the point is

there there's no point at which the

president didn't believe in science

that's different than not believing the

scientists and it's different from

believing that scientists might have a

control of the science but no control of

the economic implications which are the

part you actually do something about you

know beyond inventing stuff so so it's

it is so dishonest to call anybody anti

science

it just bugs me more than other stuff

you know it's different than other lies

because you could say this person did X

maybe it's a lie maybe they did not do X

that's just a plain lie that's bad

enough but to blame somebody for doing

something that isn't a thing is sort of

like a double lie it's a lie on the

stupid it's something like blaming your

opponent for dematerializing and

traveling to another planet by his

thoughts and throwing the revolution on

the other planet and returning by

beaming himself back to the planet okay

that was a terrible example but the

point is it didn't happen and it is a

couldn't happen so blaming something for

something that doesn't even exist is

just the the height of political

stupidity and people are buying it all

right let's talk about Joe Biden because

I think we have to as the New York Times

put it I read this somewhere and I think

I'm Fox News site quote provident

Democrats began publicly began publicly

insisting that the ticket the Joe Biden

ticket included include a woman

preferably a black woman all right so

now it's being widely reported that the

important Democrat people want a black

woman on the ticket with Joe Biden well

who's that gonna be now some people say

no it can never become Harris because

she attacked them at the debate well it

turns out there's a back story turns out

and I was just learning this in its

depth today I was aware of this story

that I'm gonna tell you but I didn't

know the depth of it it's the depth of

it that makes the difference

turns out the Carmel Harris and Joe

Biden's now deceased son Beau Biden were

really close and not just professionally

they were they were close they talked to

each other all the time they were both

attorney generals at different places

and and so she was sort of close to Joe

Biden because of that and apparently

they've rekindled whatever that was and

they got past whatever happened that's a

debate so does anybody doubt that she's

the first choice now are we at the point

where you know Stacy it's not gonna be

Stacy Abrams if it's Stacy Abrams I

don't know anything about anything

because I've watched her act and so weak

I can't believe that the the people in

charge you know the Democratic

leadership would allow that and I don't

think that's the winning formula anyway

so he says okay you were right in the

comments that's all I wanted to hear I

would like to remind you that I made the

most ridiculous prediction you've ever

heard the first ridiculous prediction

was that I could pick the the candidate

back in 2018 when there were lots and

lots of people running and I peered into

the crowd and I said I think it's gonna

be Connell Harris and then when she what

she's suspended her campaign this is the

fun part I said I still predict it will

be Kabul Harris what would be a weirder

prediction than predicting the person

who dropped out of the race was going to

get the nomination was that the most

unpredictable prediction you've ever

heard in your life well let's see if it

happens I think everybody would agree at

this point if whoever the vice president

pick is is going to be the shadow

president so I'm technically wrong and

you know my predicted bet I lost money

because they're they're very specific

what it means to be the you know the

presidential candidate obviously but in

effect I can't I got this right I think

it's looking that way now if she doesn't

get nominated I'm wrong just flat-out

wrong but if she does it would be my

best prediction of all time I'm pretty

sure here are some things that

are saying about Joe Biden dr. Jill

Stein you know her for ruining Hillary's

chances because she was working with the

Russians no not really

that's what people are saying and she is

so she ran in 2016 and got some votes

and people say it's safe and them away

from Hillary probably did and so Jill

Stein is out was saying directly that

Joe Biden has you know mental decline in

public did I mention it's dr. Jill Stein

medical doctor Jill Stein

harvard-trained medical doctor Jill

Stein is saying in public okay now it's

just obvious I'm paraphrasing but

basically she's saying she's kind of

implying that you don't need to be a

medical doctor to see this I tweeted

another medical doctor and I've been

reading some other folks weighing in who

are actual experts at working with

dementia patients and Alzheimer's people

or at least they say they're on Twitter

you can never be hundred percent sure if

anybody is who they say they are but

people who are professionals are saying

in public unabashedly that it's obvious

there's a problem now do you remember

when people are saying this about Trump

and do you remember the there was just a

tremendous blowback from medical

professionals as they should to say whoa

you know medical ethics medical ethics

we do not diagnose people who are not

our patients you don't diagnose people

you haven't met haven't examined never

there's no ever period you do not

diagnose from a distance well do you let

me give you an example suppose you were

a doctor

somebody showed you a picture of

automobile accident and there was a

headless body over here and then a very

clear picture the

no doubt or what what you're seeing the

actual head which has been severed ten

feet from the body the doctor sees this

picture and the person on the scene says

what should we do doctor should we give

them CPR and the doctor looks at the

picture and says no I'm not there but I

think it would be unnecessary to give

CPR because you see the head is not

actually attached to the body probably

dead no certainly death because head is

not attached to the body now would that

be an ethical failure because the

doctors not there the doctor has not

examined the patient the doctor is

simply just looking at a picture would

that be unethical

no because the head is missing it's

obvious you don't have to be a doctor a

person with that the head is dead and we

haven't reached that point with Joe

Biden where he's a headless corpse but

we have reached the point where medical

professionals are willing to say in

public okay just look am i right we've

crossed that line where it's no longer

medically unethical for a working

professional a medical professional to

say in public yeah just look at that

that's obvious that's a big deal because

the medical profession did not cross

that line with Trump am i right and when

somebody did the other medical

professionals poured in and said whoa

too far you know and people walked it

back a little bit and tried to try to

tap-dance well you know I'm not saying

for sure that sort of thing but we're

not seeing that this time it's

differently all right did you see the

video of the Biden rally you know wish

there were some protesters I forget what

they were protesting but they held a big

sign up and Joe got a little flustered

did you see how he handled it

if you want to see who is not going to

be your next president you have to watch

that video watch Joe Biden try to not be

Trump because Trump would have said hey

get those bums out of here and the

security would take him out and and and

Trump would tell jokes and the the crowd

would love it it would be part of the

show that's the way Trump handles it how

did it Joe bad Biden and late' well he

needed to be different so he had to

handle it in some way that's not Trump

like so he starts saying that's all

right let him go he'll leave him there

and as you say that the security guards

are coming in and grabbing the guy and

then Joe Biden taking control of the

room it's like okay just let him go he

says this is in the Trump rally we don't

need to do that just let him stay let

him stay

and here's the funny part the security

guards absolutely ignored him it was

like he wasn't there and these big beefy

security guards just grab these guys and

lock them up and just start dragging

them out of the room you know on their

feet but they're they're pulling him out

and you watch him and Joe is even as

that being taken out by DISA

it's alright yeah just just leave him

there and I thought I was seeing in my

mind like like one of those expired what

he called it a dandelion when it's just

the little white stuff that blows away

in the wind in the old day of the line

it looked like an old dead line up there

and the other died the dais just there

was nothing there

there was no leadership there was no

power there was no control it didn't

look like he was in control of himself

much less the room he did not control

the room and Wow is it obvious it is so

obvious that there's no leadership skill

there whatsoever then you could I don't

know how you could watch that and then

vote for him it that'd be hard all right

see what else we got here

well looks like Russia is trying to

attack the United States with oil prices

so I'm learning a little bit more about

this situation so if you're not up on it

it goes like this so every country that

produces oil produces it at a different

cost partly because the technology they

use and partly because of how they're

getting the oil so it's expensive to get

it in a shale it's less expensive some

other ways Russia as it turns out both

through investment and luck about the

type of oil they have has maybe the

lowest possibly the lowest production

costs or it's right in that category

somewhere and they've decided to start a

price war because the US shale business

in particular had been so good that it

was taking market share from Russia and

everybody else and we we replaced Russia

as the biggest producer so Russia wants

to find out how to get his money back

when oil prices are low were already low

so Russia was already in trouble because

prices were low ish but they decided to

go right at OPEC and Saudi Arabia by

lowering them and starting a price war

which Saudi Arabia immediately matched

so we're in a price war and if the price

war continues it will bankrupt the shale

producing parts of our energy industry

which is pretty big it's going to

bankrupt them and this is really

aggressive because the intention of

Putin according to the people who know

what they're talking about his intention

is to bankrupt them it's actually a

direct obvious you know nobody's hiding

the plan but it's all legal because it's

business right in business you're

allowed to do whatever you want if it's

legal it's legal and and lowering your

prices is completely legal if Russia can

do it they can do it so they're going to

take out our shale business which is a

continuation of this theme which you've

seen under Trump which is that all wars

that can

the core let me say that again I would

say that the trumpet doctrine which has

never been named that I'm just going to

name it that myself let's call it the

Trump doctrine of war or the Trump war

doctrine

now of course I'm putting I would be

putting words into his mouth so this

this is not coming from the president or

anything like it but by observation I

would say that Trump believes that all

wars economic war and that if you simply

treat the economics as the war well it's

the war so so Russia basically just

declared war on the United States but I

think we declared war on them first by

taking over their primary business now

here's the problem a lot of smart people

think the price of oil may never go up

high again because there's just so much

of it and we're so good at getting it

and you know the economy is slowing down

this year anyway and you know then

there's green energy energy we've got

new developments in nuclear power etc

coming online all the time but the

problem is that Russia's income is

selling weapons and oil pretty much you

know Russia is sort of like a a criminal

enterprise this sells oil and weapons

and if they can't sell oil and weapons

and make money the whole country's in

trouble and guess what they can't do

right now sell weapons and oil and make

money so the only two things that they

can do that because there's not a major

war that most of the big war seem to be

winding down now I don't know this for

sure but it seems like that would be bad

for the arms business the Russian arms

business now it could be that they have

a robust business even in peacetime as

people are you know arming up I don't

know the details there but I have to

think that a peaceful world is bad for

Russia because they sell arms and

obviously the oil situation would just

put them out of business if it stayed

low so this is a really really big

change coven and it gets it kind of

speaks to this question which I've been

asking for a long time which is why are

we enemies with Russia you know I've

been saving this forever why don't we

just say hey Russia you know if we get

along

we're both we're both better off it's

obvious so let's just get along you can

see we do it with their other allies

when we get along with them we all get

rich when we don't get along we don't so

let's just get along then I always

wonder why wouldn't that work with

Russia and I think we just got the

answer the answer is they can't sell

their oil if we're selling our oil to

the same people in other words Russia

can't really coexist with the United

States being a gigantic oil producer

because they need all of that money to

stay alive so I'm not sure that they can

be our economic partner because they

have to compete with us so directly it's

way more directly than other countries

compete with us and on that important

industry the energy so maybe there's

there's nothing we can do there where

the Russia will just always be enemies

until one of us gets out of the oil

business I guess I think it comes down

to that so I think Russia well let me

say it directly based on the current

trajectory of things the Russian state

is doomed right because they can't

survive low gasp oil prices and it

doesn't look like anything is going to

change the low oil prices so that

doesn't mean that they were actually do

because people are pretty good at

scrambling and surviving and doing what

they need to do but the trajectory for

Russia is do just if nothing big changes

and I don't see anything being this

going to change so that's a big problem

might become flexible but it might make

them the opposite Gavin Newsom did

something that shocked and amazed me

yesterday the governor of California

much maligned much criticized governor

and you know for context there are

people like me you've been saying

critical things that is the homeless

situation and nuclear energy and some

other things but with this coronavirus

stuff he was giving a press conference

Gavin Newsom was and he was asked

whether President Trump and the

administration are helping him and he

gave an unabashedly positive response

and essentially said everything that

we've asked them for they everything

they promised they did which is a big

thing to say in politics it was very

clearly supportive of the

administration's efforts on coronavirus

and and it wasn't a hedged you know it

would be easy for a politician to say

well you know for once they're doing

something right you know to kind of

hedge it or to say you know well we're

not getting everything you know want to

keep the pressure on but we're getting a

lot that would have been easy to say but

he didn't he didn't gavin newsom stood

in front of the world and he said that

the that the federal government is

absolutely doing everything he needs

everything he's asked for and i thought

to myself that's some good leadership

there okay I like to I like to play a

fair you know because I've criticized

this guy quite a bit I'm not sure he

needs to be our mayor I'm sorry I'm not

sure he needs to be our governor much

longer but this was really strong

leadership that was exactly what I

wanted to see him say to make me feel

the way I needed to feel and do the

things I need to do he made me feel that

the government is effective and I'm sure

that there must be tons of little

hiccups and problems and they don't you

think that the reality is that things

never move as smoothly as the

politicians say when they say things are

good well but just for him to come out

and give this little bit of positive

reinforcement that the government's in

the state is working well together was

powerful it was useful it was right it

was good for the common

it was not political it was pure

leadership and I appreciated it so thank

you gavin newsom great job there's some

a bunch of free technology platforms for

people who are going to work at home so

you've seen the and again this is this

is beautiful and inspiring to watch that

the country the United States the

citizens are just sort of jumping in and

saying what can I do and you're seeing

the tech companies do this and I I

tweeted around a list of technology

platforms that are good for working at

home like Dropbox and WebEx and those

guides so if you're if you're in a

company and you've been just been told

to work at home and you don't know what

all the good tools are for doing that

you know how do you share files and how

do you work remotely and stuff look at

my Twitter feed for the list of Twitter

platforms that are free they're free

during the crisis so you got that going

on all right so let me give you an

update on D monetization and YouTube so

I am yesterday that I'd learned from

from Google so this what I'm going to

say now is not my opinion or a guessing

this is actually from my contact at

Google who who is the right person for

this not just an employee at Google but

the person who does this job who is my

contact and I've been assigned this

contact because I was complaining about

D monetization and they were d

monetizing any reference to coronavirus

and I believe they still are but they

have now they've been they've stated

publicly now that they recognize that

that's an issue because most of the

coronavirus coverage is people trying to

be helpful

all right I'm doing nothing talking

about coronavirus except trying to be

helpful

so the d monetizing has two impacts but

one of them is Louisville I'm a little

uncertain of

so my Google contact told me yesterday

something that I believe I don't

understand correctly or I disagree with

or there's something going on that I

need to figure out but anyway she said

that deep monetizing doesn't change how

many people see it but I'm almost

positive that's not true so I'm gonna

verify that and I think maybe we're

talking about different things because

here's here's what what I believe to be

true I believe that their recommendation

engine favours monetized content because

why wouldn't it right why wouldn't it

favor its own monetized comments yeah if

it's going to suggest things for people

to see things which are monetized are by

definition the things that are you know

great for YouTube right somebody says

there are thieves but I don't I don't

think there's any evidence that ads are

playing that people are not getting paid

for I don't think that's going on I've

I've not seen any evidence of that I

think they either show ads or don't show

ads they don't show the ads of them keep

the money that's the opposite of it

wouldn't make sense that the reason that

Google do you monetize those things is

on behalf of their advertisers if Google

made all the decisions with nobody else

giving input they would monetize

everything why the heck wouldn't they if

they're gonna allow the content on their

platform at all of course they would

monetize it if they could so be careful

about who's who's Google making a

decision and who's the advertisers

making a decision I have confirmed does

the experience I'm having is identical

to what David Pakman is experiencing on

YouTube I just saw an update from him

and his experience he's he's a

anti-trump left leading guy and his D

monetization experience is identical to

mine so if you're thinking oh Scott

Scott's got they're blaming the

advertisers but really it's Google

that's doing it mm-hmm

there's no evidence of that the evidence

that the Liberals and the Conservatives

are both being demonetised because of

the content if you mentioned politics or

coronavirus is just automatic so we're

trying to work through that but there

appears to be no solution to that as far

as I can tell somebody says it's both

the advertisers in the Google bias

that's the speculation that I don't see

evidence of it but I neither could I

disprove it can't prove a negative

somebody says Google has proven to be

biased in search engines yes but this

isn't search engine seized so I'm not

saying they're not biased I'm just

saying I don't have any evidence that

would lead me to say that given that

liberals and conservatives are both

affected what's going on with your show

with Christina we have a be tested that

and rejected it so Christina and I were

going to do do a separate you know the

thing with the two of us and we we

filmed a few and played it back to see

if we liked what we saw and we just

didn't enjoy doing it enough so I think

if it had been bad but we loved doing it

we probably would have done it until we

could do it well but it was bad and we

didn't love doing it a lot of it has to

do with just two people trying to

schedule the same thing at the same time

and agree on it and it it just added the

level of relationship complexity that we

didn't need so we tried it said that's

always my strategy my strategy is if you

don't know give it a try worst thing

that happens is you get embarrassed and

you don't do it oh but separately

Christina will be producing more piano

solos so she's she's working on her

working on her repertoire building up

her number of songs so every day I go

downstairs and she's practicing Chopin

and she's working up two lists

I guess he's our as one to play

so yeah geez she's super gifted watch

watching a christy to play Chopin which

I've just learned is among the hardest

of all pieces to play it's really

remarkable I just look at it I go I

don't know I don't know how anybody

could do that it just seems impossible

somebody says Corona Beauty wedding well

here's the thing we were you know we're

engaged and we're talking about our

wedding plans so we have not finalized

anything but of course all of our plans

were built around some kind of travel

and one of the main places that were

planning to travel this year or at least

I was I was going to tell her about that

later but was Italy and Italy of course

is off the list as is travel basically

so uh here's the good news here's the

good news

this Pronovias is bad for extroverts but

it's not bad for everybody if you know

what I mean introverts and people who

didn't like crowds anyway are just

saying are you serious I just got an

excuse for being exactly the way I want

to be anyway and the answer is yeah you

did you just got an excuse for being

exactly the way you wanted to be any way

which is stick to yourself keep your and

keep your numbers low so we don't have a

plan yet but you are right it probably

will be a coronavirus wedding which

means do you know that awkward part

where you don't know to invite I think

we might be able to avoid the awkward

part where you don't know who to invite

because that's coronavirus well if I

will invite nobody or just a few people

anyway we'll work that out

yeah introverts are kind of winning in

this I have to admit that I'm I'm sort

of a converted introvert I would say

that I'm genetically inclined

to introversion and I like lots of lots

of a long time I need lots of a long

time I need hours every day where I

don't see other people or else I get a

little squirrely so I have a periscope

wedding oh my god that's a good idea

that's a good idea I don't think I could

convince Christina but I'd do it if it

were up to me I'd do it I don't think

there's any chance she would agree to it

but that is a damn good idea I'll bet

you yeah I bet you good to see a bunch

of video weddings right because nobody

wants to go infect all their own

relatives that's the worst thing in the

world so like I said I'm gonna be

enjoying my alone time I think I'm gonna

have to really the experience in Italy

which was really scary I think I'm gonna

be doing a lot of social distancing I

told you that it's helpful to have a

project so if you two are going to be

social distancing and I hope that you do

you should have a project and the

project is not something you're working

on all the time but just something you

have as a you know a fun thing that you

want to improve a system you're working

on and in my case I've decided to work

on my arms it and again it doesn't

matter what it is just something you

always wanted to do that you wouldn't

have had time to do before because in

your busy life but now you're gonna be

home a lot so by my oh my good my goal

is I'm going to try to work on my

muscles so you can look at it before and

after so I'm telling you now that three

months from now since I'll have so much

time in my home gym I hope to make a

muscle and it's bigger and then I'm

going to say huh well I was locked up

for three four three months but look at

these guns now of course that's a vein

and not very important objective you

might want to learn language you might

want to pick up a skill take it take it

online in class

but take advantage of it because I'm not

entirely sure we're worse off by by

pulling back and maybe you know having a

little alone time maybe learn to

meditate I hear that's good for your

your body all right

you could periscope and what so the the

age Act program yeah I think I'll just

be doing my own thing here working on

yoga writing math and quilting very good

very good so I think we'll you know I'm

inch sized I don't know I'm just looking

at just looking at your comments all

right thanks for the comments and I will

talk to you later