Back to episode — Episode 2182 Scott Adams - UFOs, Hunter, Trump Indictments, Lots More Fun
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not work hard but maybe not send that same message to, let's say, China? What would be a platform that would do that? I mean, who would tell Americans to be lazier because it's awesome while not telling Chinese citizens to be lazy because it's not awesome? Who would do that? The answer is TikTok. Are you surprised? Oh, big surprise. A trend that's really bad for Americans seems to be running on Ti…
← Previous segment →ecrets, right? If he had boxes that were full of, let's say, sensitive conversations with a foreign adversary or for an ally or maybe something that we'd found about a foreign adversary, we would have heard that. We just wouldn't hear the details of it, right? What's the one thing that could be in the boxes that even the government wouldn't even say anything about? Aliens. Aliens. There have to be aliens in the boxes because it's the only thing they wouldn't want to say anything about. Otherwise they would just say, well, yes, he has them. We just can't tell you the details. But they can't tell you that they do have aliens. They just don't want to tell you which ones. See, they can't tell you that. Okay, I'm joking. If you can't tell, I'm joking. I'm joking.
All right. Elon Musk weighed in on an Andrew Tate tweet. Tate was talking about men who sleep with a lot of women and vice versa, and Musk tweeted to that. He said, to sleep with women endlessly without love is a cursed and hollow life. Well, if you were not already hating Elon Musk for being the richest person in the world, can you hate him now for apparently knowing the answer to this question? How you feel when you have slept with endless women without love. It didn't sound like he was guessing. I feel like if you're the richest man in the world and you're unmarried, you have experienced sleeping with endless women without love. I think that's probably what a Tuesday looks like for him. Number three, make sure there's no love. So we hate him for knowing the answer to that question. What does it feel like to have sex with endless women? But I'm glad that he did it so we don't have to. Am I right, guys? Are you glad that Elon Musk told us what it feels like to sleep with endless women without love? Because I was going to go out and do it. I had plans for the week. I was like, you know what I'm going to do this week? I haven't tried this before, but I'm going to try having endless sex with women who don't love me, see what it's all about. But then I would have found out it was a cursed and hollow life, and so I'm glad that Musk did it so I don't have to.
But there is something left out of this analysis. Sleeping with women endlessly without love is a cursed and hollow life. How does it compare to being married to one person? I mean, I think that's the valid comparison. I would agree with him that maybe it isn't a cursed and hollow life, but how does it compare to the alternative? You know what the worst advice anybody ever gave is? The worst advice is "follow your passion." You know what the second worst advice is? "Find a good mate." It's the worst advice anybody's ever given. Find a good mate, you know, one that will make your life better. And do you know why that's the worst advice in the world? Because I'm no expert. I'm not a marriage expert. I'm just going to put this out there. See, you can do with it what you will. I'm almost positive that a hundred percent of people who get married think they picked the right one. Do you have a different feeling about that? Are there a lot of people getting married saying, you know, this mate I picked is total shit but I just feel like getting married? No. I believe that everybody enters an illusion in which they figure that whatever flaws the other person has, they'll work it out, and there are no new flaws. There won't be any new ones. You've seen everything there is to see. And so therefore a reasonable and a smart person using good judgment can go out and find a good solid mate and have a solid life because of it.
Now some of you say, Scott, you idiot, you idiot. There are plenty of examples. I mean, maybe it's not over 50 percent of the population, but there are plenty of examples of people who looked and they found the right person. Are you going to tell me that? Would you like to tell me that there are many examples? You've seen it yourself. Many of you are the example where the correct mate, which you wisely and with your good judgment and your free will, you chose that good mate and because of your good choice things are better for you. How many years? Raise your hand if you're in that category. You wisely picked the right mate and it totally worked out for you. Go. How many of you? So and therefore it would be a good technique, right? Yeah, all right. Does anybody see what's wrong with your analysis? Do I have to be the first one to tell you? You see what's wrong with the analysis? All right, you take a million people and you randomly pair them with each other, just randomly. Would some of them have happy marriages, just randomly paired? What do you say? Of course they would. Of course they would. Yeah. Suppose you had an AI match people. Would some of them have amazing marriages? I think so. I think so. Yeah. Does that indicate that you can choose the right mate because lots of people have done it? Alexa, cancel. I don't know what that was all about. But so would you say that the evidence is there? There are plenty of examples of people who consciously, and this is the important part, they were consciously looking for a good mate. They found one. They lived their whole life happy that they found one, and that's proof that it's a good idea. Would you agree with that statement? It's basically solid. Well, maybe not proof in a scientific sense, but it's very solid evidence because you know lots of people. You personally know lots of people who put the effort in, found somebody, and it worked and it worked their whole life and they were really happy about it, right? That's not really thinking what you're doing there. There's no sense of reason or logic to that whatsoever. It's just the law of big numbers. If you have a lot of people doing something, somebody's going to win. That's it. That's the whole story. If a lot of people are doing a thing, some of them are going to get lucky every time. Not sometimes. Every time.
So what would you imagine would be the rate of people getting lucky that would indicate it's luck versus something that would indicate it's a solid plan? Well, let me give you an example. Another solid plan would be if you wanted a good life, you would stay in school, you'd learn some skills, you'd basically stay off drugs, do some things. How often does that keep you from being poor? If you do those few simple things that anybody can do, it's hard but anybody can do it, and the answer is almost no poor people in that group. If you build skills, go to school, stay in school, do the basics, pretty much all of you are successful. What's the success rate for picking a spouse? Now remember, you're not discounting the people who get divorced. You have to include the people who stayed married but kind of wish they hadn't, right? So marriage is more of a maybe. I'd say a 25 percent success rate if you talk about your whole life. 25 percent. Does 25 percent sound like chance or the result of people who knew exactly what they were doing? They knew exactly what a good mate would look like and they went out and tried to get one. Does it look like that? Have you ever noticed that people tend to marry the people they work with? What are the odds you met your soulmate at work? It's mostly where people meet people, right? The thing we know about people is that they can fall in love with whoever's around. Would you agree with that statement? We're not looking for our soulmate among the 8 billion people on Earth. We easily fall in love with whoever's nearby. Just proximity seems to be enough. So how many of the people who just fell in love because they happened to be in the proximity of another person who was willing to say yes, how many of them are a good match? It would be kind of weird if they were. So I would say that 25 percent success rate of picking the right mate and making it last a lifetime could be a little more, could be a little less. It's definitely not over 50 percent. So what kind of advice is it to give somebody advice that could not work more than half the time? Is that a solid advice? Advice that will not work at least half of the time? I would call that bad advice because you do not have a mechanism or the capability to pick a good mate. Now I suppose there's some really super obvious stuff like somebody who's been in and out of jail their entire life and with no intention of stopping. I wouldn't marry that person, right? But I don't think that's what anybody's talking about. I think most people are looking at average-looking people and saying, I think that's my person. I think that's the one that will work. But it's not because they're so smart or they knew how to pick a good person. No, I think it's pure magical thinking that you can pick the right person. That said, you should try as hard as you can to pick the right person. I'm just saying it's magical thinking to think that's some kind of formula for success. It's not. Something you should try to do, but you really don't know how to do it. Nobody does, because it's mostly luck.
All right, there's yet another announcement about AI movies, and now this Gen 2, I don't know if it's Runway or Gen 2 or whatever it is, but there's some new AI that can make movies, make an entire movie just from some prompts. Here's my prediction about movies made by AI. Do you know why I don't watch television right now besides the fact the content is bad? It's because there are so many streaming services and each one takes a lot of effort to make it work on any given day. Like I've got streaming services that work on some devices but not others. I could probably fix that, but sometimes I just want to watch a show so I'll just go to the other streaming device. So I've got all these streaming devices, and as I've said many times, instead of watching content, which is what I used to do, now I just look for content and I'm sure that there's something better
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I haven't found yet, and then I never watch any content. So the amount of content made watching content impractical. Would you agree? You understand what I'm saying, right? It's like going to the Cheesecake Factory and they've got the 50-page menu and you're sitting there with somebody who's not good at making decisions about food. Don't go to the Cheesecake Factory. DoorDash. Do not go there with…
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