Back to episode — Episode 950 Scott Adams - Don't Miss My One-Act Play Called Kim Jong-Un Plans His Schedule
Context —
w you know. "Dear Leader, we're planning your day and we have very, very important budget meetings. Can I put you down for the budget meeting at 2:00 p.m.?" Kim Jong-un: "Uh-huh. Budget meeting. Yeah, yeah, I could attend the budget meeting. That's one possibility. Or I could go to my seaside resort party with my two thousand sex slaves, and maybe you could attend that meeting for me. And if I h…
← Previous segment →use him to lose access to his two thousand sex slaves anytime soon. So I just don't see it happening.
All right. I was asked on Twitter to talk about the revised death count, which my understanding is that if we go back to work, so I think these estimates are based on we're still mitigating in all the smart ways, but some of us are phasing back to work. So I think this new calculation takes that into account. The low end would be 100,000. High end would be 240,000 based on the current models. Models of course are deeply inaccurate. They don't predict. They simply give you a range of where you might expect things to be. And I would say that they do that actually pretty well. So does that range look reasonable to me? Yes.
We've raced past 60,000. Are we close to 70,000 deaths already? I don't know what today's number is, but we'll be at 70,000 pretty quickly. I would expect that in the month of May we would zoom past 100,000 unless something happens really quickly. You know, it could be that the remdesivir and the hydroxychloroquine, maybe they work a little bit. Maybe we get that going in May a little bit. Maybe it reduces the daily count. Maybe it goes down on its own. But I don't really see a situation where it'll be less than 100,000 when it's all done.
Now of course there's also the issue of whether it's counted correctly. Do they throw in a lot of other things? I don't know. Don't know. I did see a chart that showed total deaths compared to what we would have expected. And here the expected is if it's a normal year. And it looked like most of the weeks were below the normal year. A couple were above it because there were so many deaths from COVID. But it looks like we're actually maybe close to break-even with total deaths if you count the ones that are saved.
Here's an update on what Bill Gates said about testing. And again this agrees with what I was thinking, but he says it better. So I'll give you his. I've been telling you that based on everything I've been hearing at the task forces about testing that you should just forget about testing. Forget about it being a path out, because there's no evidence that we're doing an
Context —
ything that would allow us to test our way out. We're nowhere near the number, and we're nowhere near the number of tests available. We're nowhere near testing the right people. We're not even close. And I think that you know again people give me a hard time for bolstering the president and saying everything he does is good, but I've been brutal about the reporting from the task force in terms of…
Next segment → →