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Episodes Episode #950

Episode 950 Scott Adams - Don't Miss My One-Act Play Called Kim Jong-Un Plans His Schedule

Episode #950 May 2, 2020 59:54 16,036 views

My new book LOSERTHINK, available now on Amazon https://tinyurl.com/rqmjc2a Content: Planning your day when you have 2,000 sex slaves Test kits versus herd immunity Tucker Carlson and totalitarian concerns Testosterone levels and AJ Cortes provocative tweet Success and drugs ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like my channel to have a wider audience and higher production quality, please donate via my startup (Whenhub.com) at this link: https://interface.my/ScottAdamsSays I use donations to pay for the daily conversions of the original Periscope videos into Youtube and podcast form, and to improve my production quality and search results over time.  ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Please subscribe to my channel…it REALLY helps. Like my video? Hate my video? Let me know, VOTE! Please leave a comment, let me know how I'm doing. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Opening General Commentary

Hey, boom-boom-boom-boom. Hey Greg, come on in here. Good to see you. I'm glad you joined. The rest of you, come on in. Hurry up. It's good to see all of you. It's another wonderful day. It's a perfect day for a Coffee with Scott Adams. What a way to spend your morning. What a way to wake up and joi…

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SimultaneousSip General Commentary

nd the best way to kick off the weekend, I think you know. Yeah. Yep. I think you know it requires a little thing called the simultaneous sip. And all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass or a tankard, a chalice, a stein, a canteen, a decanter, a flask, a thermos, a vessel. Fill it with your favori…

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MainContent Cognitive Reframing

will make you stop and really, really think, or it won't make any sense at all. So one of those two things is going to happen to you in a moment. You're either going to have a really profound moment, or for most of you, maybe 80 percent, you're going to say, I don't even know what that meant. It go…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

. Eighty percent of you just went, I don't even know what that's supposed to mean. So that was just for the twenty percent of you. All right, let's talk about some other things. Kim Jong-un apparently has been photographed at the opening of a fertilizer plant. Now, I had jokingly said that when the…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

w you know. "Dear Leader, we're planning your day and we have very, very important budget meetings. Can I put you down for the budget meeting at 2:00 p.m.?" Kim Jong-un: "Uh-huh. Budget meeting. Yeah, yeah, I could attend the budget meeting. That's one possibility. Or I could go to my seaside reso…

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NewsReaction Health & Biohacking

use him to lose access to his two thousand sex slaves anytime soon. So I just don't see it happening. All right. I was asked on Twitter to talk about the revised death count, which my understanding is that if we go back to work, so I think these estimates are based on we're still mitigating in all…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

ything that would allow us to test our way out. We're nowhere near the number, and we're nowhere near the number of tests available. We're nowhere near testing the right people. We're not even close. And I think that you know again people give me a hard time for bolstering the president and saying…

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Tangent Politics as Persuasion

ort of tweaking it all the time. Now assuming that this coronavirus stuff doesn't last forever, which of these rights that is being denied to us will still be denied to us in let's say the end of the year? Do you think that any of these rights will be permanent? The reduction in rights, do you thin…

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MainContent Cognitive Reframing

tness. So my mindset is that when I feel stressed, and by the way this is totally legitimate and this is a lifetime habit, so I'm not making this up because I just read this story. There's something I've done all my life. If I have a day of work and I'm really stressed out and I don't think it's goi…

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MainContent Energy & Mood Management

the fact that the averages can be the average. So I know you know somebody who is not like that. I know you're not like that. Can we agree that you and your friends are not what we're talking about? So let's get out of the anecdotal mindset. I mean yes we all know individuals are all over the board…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

I would just doubt your science because it's so freaking obvious. Now I don't know how in the world you could not see it. It's as obvious as anything could be obvious. Now what causes that? Now keep in mind there are two things happening. One is that Trump has more male supporters. So if you are si…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

you interpreted it as 17 say it's true, well probably true, then you got it completely wrong. There's nothing in the reality that would suggest the 17 intelligence agencies in the United States agreeing tells you anything. It doesn't tell you anything. That's how you should process it. All right, l…

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NewsReaction AI & Technology

China was lying? We already know that. That's public information. So what are the intelligence agencies know that we don't? Yes, Elon Musk's tweet storm. So Elon tweeted among other things, I think in last 48 hours or so, among other things that his girlfriend was having a baby on Monday. People di…

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MainContent General Commentary

, I said what a lot of people have thought but you don't want to say. If what you got addicted to is alcohol, probably that's not going to go well for you unless you're a functional alcoholic and you're in sales. If you're a functional alcoholic and you're in a sales profession it might be pretty go…

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MainContent Career & Life Strategy

rm play here. So the long-term reason for putting it on a subscription platform is that the YouTubes of the world they can't really handle my content because their business model requires them to pair content with advertisers. And the advertisers all say why would we take a chance on something that'…

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Closing General Commentary

ere on how to write humor. So these are very, very short videos on one topic where I teach you that one topic. My next will probably be designed so it'd be like five to ten minutes to bring you up to about eighty percent of what you need to be a better designer. So that's what we're going to do. And…

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Hey, boom-boom-boom-boom. Hey Greg, come on in here. Good to see you. I'm glad you joined. The rest of you, come on in. Hurry up. It's good to see all of you. It's another wonderful day. It's a perfect day for a Coffee with Scott Adams. What a way to spend your morning. What a way to wake up and join the weekend, which is going to be amazing. Best weekend in a while.

And the best way to kick off the weekend, I think you know. Yeah. Yep. I think you know it requires a little thing called the simultaneous sip. And all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass or a tankard, a chalice, a stein, a canteen, a decanter, a flask, a thermos, a vessel. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. Enjoy it with me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better, including the damn pandemic. It's called the simultaneous sip.

If it happens now... go. Mm-hmm. I can feel the hospitalization rates decreasing with every sip.

Let's talk about some stuff. I tweeted a real thinker yesterday. This one will make you stop and really, really think, or it won't make any sense at all. So one of those two things is going to happen to you in a moment. You're either going to have a really profound moment, or for most of you, maybe 80 percent, you're going to say, I don't even know what that meant.

It goes like this. Listen carefully. Twenty percent of you are going to have a profound moment. Eighty percent of you are going to wish I would just change the topic. Here's the statement: Predicting and creating would be the same thing if you were good at both of them. Yeah, let that sink in. Creating and predicting would be the same thing if you were good at both of them. Yeah. Twenty percent of you just went, whoa. Eighty percent of you just went, I don't even know what that's supposed to mean. So that was just for the twenty percent of you.

All right, let's talk about some other things. Kim Jong-un apparently has been photographed at the opening of a fertilizer plant. Now, I had jokingly said that when the news came out that he attended the opening of a fertilizer plant, I said on Twitter, but we don't know if he attended as a guest or as the fertilizer, because it seemed like both possibilities were open at the time.

But we have been provided with photographs, yes, actual photographs of something that may or may not be a fertilizer plant and which Kim Jong-un is cutting a ribbon at some place that may or may not be North Korea and may or may not have been in the last ten years. So in other words, we can't really tell from the photographs. They don't tell you as much as they... oh no, we do know he wasn't walking with a cane. And unless he got a miracle cure, do you think he went away for a week and got a miracle cure and now he doesn't need a cane? Maybe. Maybe it was such a good hospital trip that he left looking younger. Yeah, it was such a good hospital trip that they fixed him up and now he's thinner and younger and he doesn't walk with a cane. Glad we got those photographs, huh?

All right, I'm going to go on record. Here's my prediction: fake photographs. Fake photographs. Here's why. If you are going to produce real photographs, the point of which is to show that your leader is alive, they would be a little more unambiguous. You know, you don't publish ambiguous photos to prove something. No, you prove something with unambiguous photos, perhaps something called video. Even North Korea has heard of video. It's a thing with movement. Wouldn't be hard to demonstrate that Kim Jong-un was alive. Wouldn't be hard at all. In fact, it would be quite easy. But instead they went with grainy photos of a young-looking Kim. I don't know. I don't know.

So I heard the news today, and I don't know. I think I was vaguely aware of this, but when you read a story about it, it reminds you of something that you couldn't believe, which is that reportedly Kim Jong-un has, assuming he's still alive, sex slaves. Literally sex slaves who apparently will accompany him on trips to his multiple resort compounds on his train and whatnot to dance and sing and the other stuff for him and his elites. Sex slaves for Kim Jong-un.

So here's the news as best we know it. And thank goodness we have intelligence agencies, because if we didn't have intelligence agencies and a free press, we wouldn't be able to narrow it down. So we don't know exactly what Kim Jong-un is doing this week, but thanks to our press and our intelligence agencies, we have narrowed it down. It's either he's dead or he's partying at his seaside resort with two thousand sex slaves.

I've come to understand that he doesn't spend much time in between those two extremes, because think about it. You're Kim Jong-un. You have two thousand sex slaves. What else are you going to spend your time on? And so I present to you a one-act play which features Kim Jong-un's advisors talking to him about the schedule for the day.

I'll start in the role of the adviser to Kim Jong-un. You can tell who the advisor is because the advisers always have notepads. So that's how you know.

"Dear Leader, we're planning your day and we have very, very important budget meetings. Can I put you down for the budget meeting at 2:00 p.m.?"

Kim Jong-un: "Uh-huh. Budget meeting. Yeah, yeah, I could attend the budget meeting. That's one possibility. Or I could go to my seaside resort party with my two thousand sex slaves, and maybe you could attend that meeting for me. And if I hear later that things didn't go well, I could execute you and everyone who attended the meeting. How about that instead?"

"Okay, very good. Very good. I won't put you down for the two o'clock meeting. But we've got a ribbon-cutting at a fertilizer plant. That's tomorrow. Could you make the fertilizer plant ribbon-cutting, Dear Leader?"

"Yeah, yeah, that's completely possible. I could drag my fat ass across North Korea to visit a factory that literally makes... or I could go to my seaside resort and I could party with my two thousand sex slaves while you visit the fertilizer plant. And if I hear later that anything went wrong, I could execute you and kill everybody at the fertilizer plant too, just to make sure I've wrapped it all up. How about that?"

"Excellent plan. An excellent plan, Dear Leader. Do we need to talk about the rest of this schedule?"

"Not so much. Not so much."

And scene.

Now, here's this is actually an answer to a mystery that I've had all my life, and I should have known the answer because it was kind of obvious. And I always say to myself, why is it you can't get a dictator to retire? Why is there never any story about a dictator says, I've been enjoying my dictatorship, but I'll tell you what, I'll retire. We'll turn this into a democracy or whatever.

Now it turns out that the answer is that if you retire from being a dictator, you will lose, and here I'm just speculating, you will lose access to your two thousand sex slaves and you'll probably be hunted down and executed. So retiring is a really bad strategy for your typical tyrant, because they might get executed, but at the very least, whatever openness that comes with retiring and becoming democratic is really going to cut into your two thousand sex slave weekend.

How do you expect a dictator to retire when that's the proposition? Here, here's the deal. How would you like to make peace? We'll have some kind of North Korea-South Korea. You know, we won't necessarily merge right away, but there'll be more travel and openness, more connections, you know, maybe a lot more communication. And you see Kim Jong-un sitting there and thinking, yeah, yeah, yeah, we could do that. We could do that. We could have the peace and openness. I could get rid of my nukes. Or I'll just put this out there. I could keep my nukes, which keeps you out of my country, and I can keep my two thousand sex slaves. How about that?

And so the ability that Kim Jong-un's sister might be the heir apparent if Kim Jong-un actually is incapacitated or dead. And I say to myself, isn't this interesting? Isn't this interesting? Because I don't know if there are historical cases in the modern era of female dictators who have sex slaves. I kind of think they might have a few, right? If you had a female dictator, she might have a few male sex slaves, maybe a few female sex slaves. Why not? But probably not two thousand.

And if you were Kim Jong-un's sister, and let's say hypothetically you decided to make peace and have some kind of transitional stage toward a more democratic system, could you retire? Could Kim Jong-un's sister retire? Would she be safe from the reaches of the law? Don't know. Because certainly she could argue that everything that happened was her brother's fault, because I don't have any decision. She made. She just had to do what the boss said. So she could say, I didn't do anything. I just carried out orders. And by the way, I don't have two thousand sex slaves. I got three or four. Probably take them with me. But you know, maybe we could have some peace.

Because think about it. Is realistically, all joking aside, realistically, would Kim Jong-un ever do anything to ruin his situation? No, nothing. There isn't anything. There's not risk of death. There's nothing that's going to shake him out of his situation with his private train and all the booze he wants and two thousand sex slaves. There's no negotiating in which you say, all right, I got an offer. And then Kim says, before you say your offer, can you tell me how it's better than owning my own country, being a dictator, eating and drinking whatever I want, smoking a lot of pot, I assume he does, and playing with my two thousand sex slaves at my luxury resort? Is your offer better than that? And then the negotiators would say, well, in some ways. And Kim would say, uh-uh. Maybe we'll just put a hold on those negotiations.

So the bottom line is it's possible that Kim Jong-un's sister could negotiate for a peace like a real one. It is not possible, based on this new information, that Kim Jong-un would have any interest in negotiating for something that would cause him to lose access to his two thousand sex slaves anytime soon. So I just don't see it happening.

All right. I was asked on Twitter to talk about the revised death count, which my understanding is that if we go back to work, so I think these estimates are based on we're still mitigating in all the smart ways, but some of us are phasing back to work. So I think this new calculation takes that into account. The low end would be 100,000. High end would be 240,000 based on the current models. Models of course are deeply inaccurate. They don't predict. They simply give you a range of where you might expect things to be. And I would say that they do that actually pretty well. So does that range look reasonable to me? Yes.

We've raced past 60,000. Are we close to 70,000 deaths already? I don't know what today's number is, but we'll be at 70,000 pretty quickly. I would expect that in the month of May we would zoom past 100,000 unless something happens really quickly. You know, it could be that the remdesivir and the hydroxychloroquine, maybe they work a little bit. Maybe we get that going in May a little bit. Maybe it reduces the daily count. Maybe it goes down on its own. But I don't really see a situation where it'll be less than 100,000 when it's all done.

Now of course there's also the issue of whether it's counted correctly. Do they throw in a lot of other things? I don't know. Don't know. I did see a chart that showed total deaths compared to what we would have expected. And here the expected is if it's a normal year. And it looked like most of the weeks were below the normal year. A couple were above it because there were so many deaths from COVID. But it looks like we're actually maybe close to break-even with total deaths if you count the ones that are saved.

Here's an update on what Bill Gates said about testing. And again this agrees with what I was thinking, but he says it better. So I'll give you his. I've been telling you that based on everything I've been hearing at the task forces about testing that you should just forget about testing. Forget about it being a path out, because there's no evidence that we're doing anything that would allow us to test our way out. We're nowhere near the number, and we're nowhere near the number of tests available. We're nowhere near testing the right people. We're not even close.

And I think that you know again people give me a hard time for bolstering the president and saying everything he does is good, but I've been brutal about the reporting from the task force in terms of giving us useful numbers. I would say that the task force's ability to give the public useful information, effectively zero. Just a failing grade. Just a pure failing grade. I can't even give them a D-minus. It's just a pure failing grade. One of the darkest, I would say one of the maybe the biggest mistakes of the Trump administration, I would say so. Yeah, maybe I can think of a few other things because it's hard to think of everything that's happened. But I would say among the most grossly embarrassing incompetent performances is the reporting on the numbers.

Yeah, I think the overall effort is probably successful, but in terms of just specifically the question of is the public being informed? No. Now is it the administration's fault that we don't have enough tests and the right kind of tests and the right kind of priorities? Probably. Probably. Now they're doing this technique. They're using is making sure that the private sector is deeply involved and they're not trying to push too hard as long as the private sector is willing to step up. And they are. But the way the tests are, there's so many different ones. We don't know which ones are accurate.

And then Bill Gates said this on CNN I think. Apparently the tests we have, you're only going to get them if you have symptoms. All right, so if you have symptoms, you've already been spreading it. So getting the test after you have symptoms doesn't help you for all of the time that you already had symptoms and you were spreading it. And it doesn't help you get treatment before that. So in other words, they can't fix the past. And since the only people getting tests were the ones prioritized, the ones who have symptoms, you didn't help the past. But do you help the future? And the answer is it takes about three days to get a result.

You keep hearing about the fast tests. Those exist, but I don't think they're the majority. So imagine that you've had it for five days. You've got symptoms. You've been spreading it like crazy. You get the test and you still don't know. You have it for three days. What do you do for those three days? You live your normal life and you spread it around. So by the time you get it, as Bill Gates says, by the time you get the test result, you've already spread it around and you're practically over it by the time you get the result.

Now yes, there are faster tests and there are startups that have even faster tests and the media tests coming in. But what information do you have about that? Have you seen the chart that says this is how many we have, this is how many the experts say we need of this type, and this is how we're getting there or anything like that? No. No. My advice to you is to make your decision about the whole situation as if testing doesn't exist, as if it's not an option. I would say that it is so poorly reported that you have to assume it's just not even a path. And Bill Gates basically just laughed at it. He freaking laughed at it. He laughed at it that it's not even close. It's not even in the conversation of being something that could be helpful. Just think about that.

And most of the reporting, most of the experts have said we need to do more testing. We all know that. There's nobody who doesn't think if we can magically test everybody we'd be better off. But apparently it's hard to make test kits and it's hard to get it done. So I don't think that we're going to have anything like a testing solution before we have herd immunity accidentally.

I keep watching Tucker Carlson's show where he is essentially complaining the whole show about totalitarianism and how our freedom and rights have all been taken from us and how we kind of just handed them over. To which I say I feel like I'm just watching crazy town. It just looks crazy at this point. Now I'm a big fan of Tucker and I think his show is one of the best shows on TV of its type. You know, in the news genre, definitely one of the best shows of its type. But this particular theme that he's on that we've given up all our freedoms is both true and trivial and unimportant at the same time.

Because let's say you're in a coma. Have you lost your rights? Yeah, you have. Let's say because you can't do all the things you could do before. If you're in jail, have you lost your rights? Yes. If you're in a dangerous neighborhood, can you do all the things you want? No. If you're temporarily, if you have to go to work, are you free? Not really. You have to go to work. So we live in a world in which this little freedom thing is sort of fluid and we're figuring it out as we go. But we have a general idea where we want it to be, but we're always sort of tweaking it all the time.

Now assuming that this coronavirus stuff doesn't last forever, which of these rights that is being denied to us will still be denied to us in let's say the end of the year? Do you think that any of these rights will be permanent? The reduction in rights, do you think when the coronavirus is gone, do you think the government is going to say you can't go to the beach? Do you think they're going to say you can't work, go to a concert? No. No. In what world are any of these going to be permanent?

Now the ones that will be permanent were going to be permanent anyway, which is your loss of privacy. You know, you might argue that this costs you a little bit of extra loss of privacy, but not really, because the government always could have tracked where you were with your cellphone. They always had that ability. They just maybe weren't doing it unless you were a criminal. And so I don't even a little bit understand what Tucker is talking about, because all the examples are true. They're observable. Yes, they can't go to the beach. They live in a free country and without any laws passed, no constitutional authority. These things are all true. You know, the things that Tucker is reporting are true. They just don't lead to the conclusion he's concluding, which is we're in an emergency. The way you would act in an emergency should not be similar to the way you would act in the non-emergency. So why would you ever compare them?

Now if he's going to make the case that there are certain subsets of rights that have a high likelihood of going away during this and then go on, well I'd say that's a pretty good argument if I'd heard it. But I haven't heard that argument. I've only heard that we have lost our rights temporarily during an emergency. I've also heard that you know that's the way tyrants do it. Like they can always find an emergency to use as an excuse for grabbing power. But does that look like that's what's happening here? I'd say not even close, because the minimum requirement for that to happen is that the public would be okay with it.

Now one of the things that people point out is how easily the public became sheep and just quarantined themselves. To which I say, is that what happened? Is the public just turning into sheep and obeying their government? Or is it a public who were informed about a risk and decided to take it seriously, doing what the experts advised them to do? I mean I'm not seeing a problem here.

They say if somebody says because of the slippery slope, right, the slippery slope is purely imaginary. And somebody says emergency, who defines it, Scotty? Well I'm going to block you for that comment. So the comment is emergency, who defines, Scotty. Now I'm deleting. I'm blocking you forever so you'll never be part of this conversation again, because Scotty is personal. You can certainly make a comment about the facts, your opinion, etc. But when you add Scotty on there that's sort of an instant block because you're trying to minimize me. You can minimize the opinion just by saying what your opinion is. But when you add the Scotty then you're just being an and get blocked. Goodbye.

All right, what else we got going on here? There's a New York Times article that was fascinating. It said that stress is not what kills you. You know that stress can kill you, you believe, right? Stress can kill you. But it turns out the stress only kills you if you think it can. Now I'm that's a little bit of an exaggeration, but the article said that the science is pointing toward stress will kill you if you believe that stress will kill you. In other words, if your mindset is the stress is all bad, it's just all bad, it's going to kill me, then it does. It actually has that effect.

But apparently people who have a different mindset and just accept the stress as some sort of response their body has because they're trying to achieve something, stress being a normal reaction of the body, something maybe they can weaponize. You know, I use stress to power my fitness. So my mindset is that when I feel stressed, and by the way this is totally legitimate and this is a lifetime habit, so I'm not making this up because I just read this story. There's something I've done all my life. If I have a day of work and I'm really stressed out and I don't think it's going to go away right away, that's normal, right? Everybody has stressful days of work. I say to myself, man, am I going to have a good workout today? Because there's nothing that can power a good workout better than stress. And when you're done you know you're going to have less of it, less stress. And you know that you used your stress productively to lift more and push yourself and exhaust yourself and really get a good workout.

Now that's my mindset. And one of the things that people always ask me is why do you seem so not stressed. And part of it is that I make it a very much a part of my job, if you will, to avoid stress. And a big part of it is that mindset. It's like what's the first thing you think of when you're stressed? Oh my god, my blood pressure is going up. Or whoa, I'm going to really have a good lift today. And I'm not making that up. That's literally what I think when I feel stress. It's like oh, this is going to be a good run. So get your mindset right.

That's why you should be following people such as Mike Cernovich who talked about getting your mindset right. One of my favorite follows on Twitter is AJ Cortez. Does personal training. And what I like about him as someone to follow on Twitter is that first of all he takes the training to the mind-body mindset whole way. So it's more of a holistic approach where programming your body is a way to program your life. I don't think he says it in those words but it's effectively what it is. So he's more than a trainer about how to lift stuff. He does that too. But it's more about how all of this integrates into a better life.

So he got a tweet today that made me laugh. I retweeted it not because I agree with every word of it, because it's so provocative that I couldn't help it. Sometimes I just like to see people react to provocative ideas. So this was his tweet from AJ Alexander Cortes: A generation of defective men have been produced to believe that being, and he gives his list. These are the things that make them men according to AJ: agreeable, quiet, passive, desexualized, soft, gentle, and emotional. And he says that this is, this is AJ not me, don't blame me, and he says these are traits of women. And he says these men have been programmed into passive eunuch slaves to the mainstream narrative.

All right, so I retweeted it because it's so darn provocative, not because it's exactly matching my opinion of things. But let me give you my opinion. First of all let's all agree that individuals are so different that it would be ridiculous to have a list of characteristics and say that this applies to men or this applies to women. Can we all agree that individual differences are quite extreme? But that doesn't change the fact that the averages can be the average. So I know you know somebody who is not like that. I know you're not like that. Can we agree that you and your friends are not what we're talking about? So let's get out of the anecdotal mindset. I mean yes we all know individuals are all over the board on everything that people can be different about.

So it is certainly not true in a technical scientific way that women are any of these things: agreeable, quiet, passive, desexualized, soft, gentle or emotional. I think the point is that more that those are sort of traditional. You don't have to say that that's good or bad because I don't think AJ is saying these are good qualities or bad. He doesn't say that. He's just saying that there was some kind of gender difference. You can agree or disagree.

But here's where I'll take this. And it may be good to see if there was any kind of a testosterone difference in Republicans versus Democrats. So I googled that. What do you think? What do you think I found out? Do you think that Trump supporters have more testosterone than anti-Trump? Or what would you say in the comments that based on your non-scientific opinion, just observation, is it your observation that the class of people who are supporters of Trump have more testosterone than those who are opposed to? Look at the comments. The comments is it's unambiguous, right? It's very unambiguous. You could tell me that this doesn't pass the science and then I would just doubt your science because it's so freaking obvious.

Now I don't know how in the world you could not see it. It's as obvious as anything could be obvious. Now what causes that? Now keep in mind there are two things happening. One is that Trump has more male supporters. So if you are simply to measure all the testosterone in the Trump supporters you would of course get more just because there are more men in the group. So that's the first thing. Second thing is just obvious. It's just obvious.

And I had made the hypothesis before that the way people respond to Trump might be based on whatever experience they've had in the past with bullying. And my hypothesis, which I'm going to modify right now, my hypothesis had been that if you'd been the subject of bullying, a victim of it any time during your life, and you saw Trump, he triggered you to remember those situations and you say to yourself no, never again. I'm not going to be in this bullying situation so I can't support him. And then I speculated that if you had been the bully yourself or you just hadn't been bullied, that you didn't see that. And what you saw was a strong leader who may or may not agree with you but that's it. It wasn't scary.

I'm going to modify that because I feel as though the bullying thing might be a factor but not the full explanation. I feel like testosterone is the better explanation. And here's why. And again let me say that this is all speculation. It's based on anecdotal stuff. The moment there is a scientific peer-reviewed controlled study that says that there is no correlation I will immediately adopt that opinion. But at the moment there isn't. There is not that. I just looked. There's no information on that.

So here's what I think. I think that your testosterone level, if you're male, so let's just talk about men, the higher your testosterone level, the less afraid you are of other men. Do you agree with that? Let's say I think if this would be harder to answer for the women. But men, you have experienced just in your own life times when you knew your testosterone was high. Let's say you just went to the contest. You've been working out. You're feeling healthy. You know your testosterone is high. You can feel it. You also know that there have been times when you've been sick or down or you broke up with your girlfriend or whatever your problem was. You knew your testosterone was down.

So can the men here first confirm for me that they have a physical sensation and they know the difference between when their testosterone is jacked up and when it's not? Because their personality changes. I would say my entire personality is quite different if I know my testosterone is raging and I can tell. Right? Let me give you one example. I used to do a lot of public speaking. And when you're a public speaker and you're invited because you're already popular it usually goes well. The audience claps and they cheer and they laugh. If you spend an hour being the subject of affection of an audience, by the time you walk offstage and you're heading back to your hotel room, your testosterone is just raging because it's just automatic. If you become the celebrity on stage and everybody's clapping for you and literally standing, sometimes standing ovations, your testosterone is off the chart. And your personality changes too and you know it. I mean you just feel it. It's almost like you can feel it in your goosebumps and your hair. You can feel it.

And what comes along with, men back me up on this, I'm just looking for the men to answer this question. Women would not be able to. When your testosterone is jacked up, are you ever afraid of another man? Are you? And I think the answer is almost never. And I would say that I'm thinking of any situation in my life then I've ever been afraid of a man or men. Not once. And I've been in lots of situations. You know if you're a male you've been in tons of situations that are dangerous. You can't be a man in America and not have lots of experience with almost getting in a fight. You were there when the trouble went down. You know what I mean? It's just normal life that men are around. The male experience is violence and near violence all the time. It's something that women can't possibly understand. The manly men live in a permanently violent world. And I don't mean that they're actually performing violence at any given moment. I mean that our mindset is that you're ready for violence at the drop of a hat. Maybe not all of you. This also could be a testosterone difference. But I would say, and let the men in the comments confirm or deny this. Men, would you say that you are capable of violence at the drop of a hat for a reason? I'm not saying that you would do violence for no reason. I'm saying that is it true that you're always on the edge of being violent but only if there's a reason and you don't really ever turn that off, do you?

So you guys maybe you'll see some differences here. You see somebody saying correct. I don't know if they're... yeah somebody says I'm never afraid of anything. Survival of the fittest only if he's holding a gun. So I've had guns pulled on me three, four times. So I've had guns pointed at my face four times in my life. Once a Bowie knife. So I've had a knife pulled on me. Four guns. Two of them was when I was working as a bank teller and I got robbed twice. Once was getting mugged in downtown San Francisco. Another time was walking in the Mission District in San Francisco. And when I was walking in the Mission District somebody pointed a real gun out a window as I was walking by on the sidewalk. And the window was really close to the sidewalk so I mean you're looking right at the person in the window. It wasn't like there was a distance involved. And I'm walking by and the guy sticks a gun out the window, holds it up to my basically points it at my head and he pulls the trigger. And I watched the cylinder turn, click, and there wasn't a round in the chamber. He had pointed it at my head as I walked by. A real gun. Click. And pointed it up. I had walked by. So that's the neighborhood I lived in.

So just generalize that to what my neighborhood was like. You know this was when I first moved to San Francisco. It was on the border of a rough place anyway. So I've had numerous guns and weapons pointed at me. And I would say that my adrenaline went through the roof. So if you talk about adrenaline, yeah, adrenaline went through the roof. But I don't know that I was ever afraid. Like I didn't feel like any kind of experience that I would call fear. I have normal fears of normal things, right? I have ordinary appreciation for danger. I'm not a brave guy. I would say as a man I'm not especially brave or especially unbrave. Probably average.

But also I have, I'm guessing, so here's an assumption. I believe my testosterone is relatively high. How does one know that? Well I have the tells for that. So I have the balding. You know losing your hair is either a sign of testosterone or sensitivity to it. I have the squarish jawline. That's a sign of testosterone. I think there's a difference with finger length that tells you you have testosterone. But more importantly I live my lifestyle to maximize it. So you know I lift, I exercise, I eat right, I sleep. You know so I do all the things that should boost it. And my experience of it is nothing really frightens me.

So when I look at Trump I see his tool set but I always see a threat to me. I could totally imagine that if you had low testosterone you would see somebody who was bristling with it and was unpredictable and scary. Anyway so I think that could be tested but we'll leave that open question.

John Roberts reports Fox News that a senior intelligence source still tells him that there's an agreement among most of the 17 intelligence agencies that COVID-19 originated in the Wuhan lab and there was believed to be a mistake. So most of the 17 agencies agree. Does that mean anything? Does that mean anything? It doesn't. The fact that 17 intelligence agencies agree, we know that that doesn't mean anything. I remember when that when I would have heard that and says 17 intelligence agencies, well I mean what are the odds that I'll be wrong?

Now let me tell you what it means when seventeen intelligence agencies agree. If you've ever worked in a large organization you know this is true. If you haven't worked in a large organization you would be totally fooled by this. Let me explain what it means when 17 intelligence agencies agree. It means that one did the work, came up with an opinion, and the others heard about it. You get that? One agency did the work and the others heard about it. The other 16 are useless. They're not duplicating the work. Do you think that the United States has multiple agencies sending different people into North Korea? I hope not. I hope we don't have different agencies doing that. Don't you think maybe there's only one that's got that responsibility? I think there's only one intelligence agency that really has the primary responsibility to figure out what's going on there. And I don't think they know.

So when you see something like 17 intelligence agencies agree, your brain should translate that into one intelligence agency has an opinion. Sixteen of them just said yeah, whatever that guy says. You know he seems credible. And the one who had the opinion is probably not right. So that's how you should interpret it. If you interpreted it as 17 say it's true, well probably true, then you got it completely wrong. There's nothing in the reality that would suggest the 17 intelligence agencies in the United States agreeing tells you anything. It doesn't tell you anything. That's how you should process it.

All right, let's see what else we got here. Yeah that's mostly what I want to talk about today. Or anything I missed in the news today? Somebody says oh there's the question that I was going to bring up. Somebody says what organization did not agree and why exactly? Which organization did not agree? Now it doesn't say that there's an organization that disagrees. So the way I would interpret that is that of the 17 agencies one did the work. Fourteen of them said yeah that looks good to us. We didn't do the work but you know you did the work, looks good to us. And a few of them said we haven't seen it. We haven't looked at it yet. It's going to be more like that.

Somebody says when everyone's thinking the same thing nobody's thinking. Well, less there. All right. I mean you can't rule out the fact that sometimes people are right but it's a good warning. It's a peer-review rubber-stamp. Yeah, peer review I think is totally overrated too.

You got some better information? I do. I got some better information. I watched China's response. If you watched it, China's response to the coronavirus situation, it's pretty obvious that they were concealing information from the world. Do you need 17 intelligence agencies to tell you that China was lying? We already know that. That's public information. So what are the intelligence agencies know that we don't?

Yes, Elon Musk's tweet storm. So Elon tweeted among other things, I think in last 48 hours or so, among other things that his girlfriend was having a baby on Monday. People didn't know that. And that Tesla stock was overpriced in his opinion. He sure likes trouble. Talk about a guy who likes trouble. I think he enjoys it. And then some other random things that he tweeted anyway. The tweets were let's say eyebrow-raising enough that people started wondering if he was on drugs or crazy or trolling or what the heck's going on. So it's like a cottage industry trying to decide what Elon is secretly thinking.

If I had to guess I'd say drugs. It looked like somebody was on some kind of drug and tweeting. Now do I care? You know would I sell my Tesla stock if I learned that Elon had taken mushrooms? I'm just speculating. There's no evidence that he did that. But would I do anything differently with my investments if I heard that Elon took some mushrooms and tweeted too much? Nope. Because you know what? Whoever Elon Musk is today, he was the same guy a few years ago, right? If it worked. Yeah.

Oh yeah, the other thing is he was going to sell off all of his possessions, his houses, etc. Now I don't know if any that's true or whatever but it sounds like somebody was on drugs. Do I care if he was on drugs? Nope. Because if he was, he was still the same Elon Musk who broke all the rules. And you know this will always be remembered I think as one of the great entrepreneurs of our time. Do you care if Henry Ford drank too much? I don't think he drank. I'm not even sure if he did. But do you care if Steve Jobs did LSD? Because he did. Do you care? No. Do you care that almost every major company in Silicon Valley has major top employees who are microdosing on LSD every day? Do you care? Probably not. Do you care that they're using performance-enhancing drugs, Adderall and everything else? And not really. Do you care if they smoke marijuana on nights and weekends? Nope.

So I guess my take on Elon's tweeting is he's still the same person. You know he didn't become less capable of doing anything. He just is letting you know who he is.

I said the uncomfortable truth that nobody wants to say out loud. Let me say it out loud. Let me be the first person to say it out loud. Success in this world is about which drugs you get addicted to. There, I said what a lot of people have thought but you don't want to say. If what you got addicted to is alcohol, probably that's not going to go well for you unless you're a functional alcoholic and you're in sales. If you're a functional alcoholic and you're in a sales profession it might be pretty good. I mean I wouldn't recommend it but it could work out well. In fact I know several people who are clearly functional alcoholics who have tremendous lives as far as I can tell from the outside because they just funnel that drinking into sales. They're very social. They make a lot of sales. Have a good life. And they're drunk all the time and they don't seem to be any the worse for wear. So some people apparently can make that work. Now I'm not recommending that. It's a special case.

But it's also true that people can be more creative depending what they're taking. They can relax. They can, you know if they're on Adderall or other performance-enhancing drugs, sometimes they need them. Sometimes they get them recreationally or just for performance. But the point is Silicon Valley is run on drugs. You know if that wasn't clear enough let me say it as clear as possible. Silicon Valley runs on drugs. And not the legal kind all the time. Some of them are illegal. You know Adderall is legal etc. But Silicon Valley is a drug-fueled industry.

Now that's something that you don't see in the news so much. You've seen stories about it but it's not really emphasized. But the fact is I don't know what percentage but the people in Silicon Valley who are using drugs are using it not recreationally exactly. They're using it functionally. So the Silicon Valley people who are using drugs and also successful, it's because the drugs they're either addicted to or choose to use are productive.

I'll use myself for an example. I'm not, yeah technically you can't be physically addicted to marijuana but I'm certainly psychologically addicted. And I can guarantee you from my own experience that my creativity goes through the roof when I use it. In fact a lot of the ideas that you've seen coming out of me happened when I was enjoying a good 4/20 afternoon. And so would I be more or less successful? I don't know. It's hard to know. But I will tell you that a lot of the most successful people have simply chosen the right kind of drug that works for their particular situation, their particular genetic makeup, their particular whatever.

Now the reason that I don't recommend any of this is that it can kill you, right? Do you need a better reason? How about this: don't do it. It could kill you. That's it. That's a little recommendation. I'm not a doctor and if you're not a doctor don't be playing around experimenting with drugs to make you a better person. You know I'm not going to recommend that. I'm just going to say some people have for whatever reason have discovered that there are some types of drugs that make them better. Other people have found drugs that just make them worse. If you're taking a drug that just makes you worse that's where you're going to end up.

Somebody says pot doesn't kill. Yeah so there's a little bit of disagreement on that. I'm on the side of saying that you know marijuana doesn't kill you but there are other people say well but if you're doing marijuana and try to ride your motorcycle really fast you know I'm suppose you could do something foolish. Somebody says stop taking any marijuana for a while and see if you have physical results. Well I've done that of course and I know the difference. I'm very aware of how different it is.

Often drugs are a fix for an underlying mental issue. I would say every time. I would say that all drugs, unless you just you know trying them on a weekend or something you're just experimenting, but for people who are using them regularly I would say that that statement is true. That people do it to fix something that wasn't giving them enough happiness or something.

I can't drink or get high during work. It's a waste of a good buzz. Yeah most work is not compatible with marijuana but some is.

Somebody says I should plug locals.com. Yeah I will remind you that I've moved a lot of my video content. All the Periscopes will be reproduced there. I'll keep doing them here. This won't change but they're also on the Locals platform. So if you went to scottadams.locals.com you'll find my page. You can look at my Twitter profile to see it as well. And for a small subscription fee you can get extra stuff and you could have everything in one place and the algorithm will not rule you.

I'll tell you my long-term play here. So the long-term reason for putting it on a subscription platform is that the YouTubes of the world they can't really handle my content because their business model requires them to pair content with advertisers. And the advertisers all say why would we take a chance on something that's controversial? Just pair it with kitten videos. So that's the problem that YouTube has. Even if they wanted to, the advertisers would say I'd like to give you money to pair with this stuff. Half the people who watch it are going to get mad at me for just pairing it.

So the advertising-based models, including my comic strip, everything else are advertising model. They don't really work anymore for a variety of reasons. The newspaper advertising model will probably just disappear because newspapers will disappear by the end of the year. I'll probably have no regular cartooning income I would guess from newspapers. So I'm looking to reinvent my content, figure out how to adapt to the new world, the post-coronavirus world. And I'm going to try the subscription service. That's where I am at scottadams.locals.com. If you want to be part of that you get all the good stuff and more.

Where will Dilbert be syndicated? Well it's in 2,000 newspapers and it's on a lot of websites and Dilbert.com. Probably a number of them will continue online but I don't know if newspapers make enough money from just their online presence. So my guess is that the physical newspapers, the local ones, will disappear. The biggest ones don't actually carry comics. You know the biggest newspapers, Wall Street Journal, New York Times, they don't have comics. So when the little ones go away, USA Today is a big one. When the little ones go away so too does the comic business because they're associated with the local papers mostly.

Somebody says they mentioned me on The Five yesterday. I watched The Five. I didn't see that. Did I miss that part? Yeah. Seven dollars is the subscription fee per month. If you're already donating to me on the Patreon site or on the web platform, because people have done both, I would ask you to discontinue that. And whether or not you want to be on the Locals platform, that would be a separate decision. But you know you could discontinue Patreon and you could discontinue using the interface app and I would be just as happy because now I have a little home. And the people who want to use that subscription feed and see a little extra, they're going to see it.

So what I'll be doing on the Locals app is I'm going to put a lot of micro lessons. I put my first micro lesson up there on how to write humor. So these are very, very short videos on one topic where I teach you that one topic. My next will probably be designed so it'd be like five to ten minutes to bring you up to about eighty percent of what you need to be a better designer. So that's what we're going to do. And I will talk to you tonight. Have a good day.

boom-boom-boom-boom hey Greg come on in here good to see you I'm glad you joined the rest of you come on in hurry up it's good to see all of you it's another wonderful day it's a perfect day for a coffee with Scott Adams what a way to spend your morning what a way to wake up and join the weekend which is gonna be amazing best weekend in a while and the best way to kick off the weekend I think you know yeah yep I think you know it requires a little thing called the simultaneous it and all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass on a tanker chelators Tyne a canteen director flask a festival a medica and fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee enjoyed me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes everything better including the damn pandemic it's called the simultaneous if it happens now go mm-hmm I can feel the hospitalization rates decreasing with every cent let's talk about some stuff I tweeted a real a real thinker yesterday this one will make you stop and really really think or it won't make any sense at all so one of those two things is gonna happen to you in a moment you're either gonna have a really profound moment or for most of you maybe 80% you're gonna say I don't even know what that meant it goes like this listen carefully twenty percent of you are gonna have a profound a moment eighty percent of you are gonna wish I would just change the topic here's the statement predicting and creating would be the same thing if you were good at both of them yeah let that sink in creating and predicting would be the same thing if you were good at both of them yeah twenty percent of you just went whoa eighty percent of you just went I don't even know what that's supposed to mean so that was just for the twenty percent of you alright let's talk about some other things kim janggun apparently he's been photographed at the opening of a of a fertilizer plant now I had jokingly said that when the news came out that he attended the opening of a fertilizer plant I said on Twitter but we don't know if he attended as a guest or as the fertilizer because it seemed like both possibilities were open at the time but we have been provided with photographs yes actual photographs of something that may or may not be a fertilizer plant and which Kim jong-un is cutting a ribbon as some place that may or may not be North Korea and may or may not have been in the last ten years so in other words we can't really tell from the photographs they don't tell you as much as they oh no we do know he wasn't walking with a cane and unless he got a miracle cure do you think he went away for a week and got a miracle cure and now he doesn't need a cane maybe maybe it was such a good hospital trip that he left looking younger yeah it was such a good hospital trip that they fixed him up and now he's thinner and younger and he doesn't walk with a cane glad we got those photographs huh all right I'm gonna go on record here's my prediction fake photographs fake photographs here's why if you are going to produce real photographs the point of which is to show that your leader is alive they would be a little more unambiguous you know you don't publish ambiguous photos to prove something no you prove something with unambiguous photos perhaps something called video even North Korea has heard a video it's a thing with movement wouldn't be hard to demonstrate that Kim jong-un was alive wouldn't be hard at all in fact it would be quite easy but instead they went with grainy photos of a young girl Kim I don't know I don't know so I heard the news today and I don't know I think I was vaguely aware of this but when you read a story about it it it reminds you of something that you couldn't believe which is that reportedly Kim Jong un has assuming he's still alive mm sex slaves literally mm sex slaves who apparently will accompany him on trips to his you know multiple resort compounds on his train and whatnot to dance and sing and and the other stuff for him and his elites mm sex slaves for Kim Jong un so here's here's the news as best we know it and thank goodness we have intelligence agencies because if we didn't have intelligence agencies and a free press we wouldn't be able to narrow it down so we don't know exactly what Kim Jong on it jong-un is doing this week but thanks to our press and our intelligence agencies we have narrowed it down it's either he's dead or he's partying at his seaside resort with two thousand sex slaves I've come to understand that he doesn't spend much time in between those two extremes because think about it you're Kim jong-un you have 2000 sex slaves what else are you gonna spend your time on and so I present to you a one-act play which features Kim Jong Un's advisors talking to him about the schedule for the day I'll start in the role of the adviser to Kim jong-un you can tell who the advisor is because the advisers always have notepads so that's how you know a Dear Leader we're planning your day and we have very very important budget meetings can I put you down for the budget meeting at 2:00 p.m.

Kim jong-un uh-huh budget meeting yeah yeah I could attend the budget meeting that's that's one possibility or I could go to my seaside resort party with my two thousand sex slaves and maybe you could attend that meeting for me and if I hear later that things didn't go well I could execute you and everyone who attended the meeting how about that instead okay very good very good I won't put you down for the two o'clock meeting but we've got a a ribbon-cutting at a fertilizer plant that's tomorrow could you make the fertilizer plant ribbon-cutting Dear Leader yeah yeah that's completely possible I could drag my fat ass across North Korea to visit a factory that literally makes or or I could go to my seaside resort and I could party with my two thousand sex slaves while you visit the fertilizer plant and if I hear later that anything went wrong I could execute you and kill everybody at the fertilizer plant too just to make sure I've wrapped it all up how about that excellent plan an excellent plan dear leader do we need to talk about the rest of this schedule not so much not so much and seen now here's this is actually an answer to a I guess a mystery that I've had all my life and I should have known the answer because it was kind of obvious and I always say to myself why is it you can't get a dictator to retire why is there never any story about a dictator says uh I've been enjoying my dictatorship but I'll tell you what I'll get a retire will turn this into a democracy or whatever now it turns out that the answer is that if you retire from being a dictator you will lose and here I'm just speculating you will lose access to your two thousand sex slaves and you'll probably be hunted down and executed so retiring is a really bad strategy for your typical tyrant because they might get executed but at the very least whatever openness that comes with retiring and becoming democratic is really going to cut into your 2000 sex slave weekend how do you expect a dictator to retire when that's the proposition here here's the deal how would you like to make peace we'll have some kind of North Korea South Korea you know we won't necessarily merge right away but there'll be more travel and openness more connections you know maybe a lot more communication and you see Kim Jong and sitting there and thinking yeah yeah yeah we could do that we could do that we could have the peace and openness I could get rid of my nukes or or or I'll just put this out there I could keep my nukes which keeps you out of my country and I can keep my two thousand sex slaves how about that and so the ability that Kim Jong Un's is sister might be the heir apparent if Kim jong-un actually is sacred capacitated or dead and I say to myself isn't this interesting isn't this interesting because I don't know if there are historical cases in the modern era of female dictators who have sex slaves I kind of think they might have a few right if you had a female dictator she might have a few male sex slaves maybe a few female sex slaves why not but probably not 2,000 and if you were a kim jong un's sister and let's say hypothetically you decided to make peace and have some kind of transitional stage toward a more democratic system could you retire could Kim Jong Un's sister retire would she be safe from the reaches of the law don't know because certainly she could argue that everything that happened was her brother's fault because I don't have any decision she made she just had to do what the the boss said so she could say I didn't do anything I just carried out orders and by the way I don't have 2000 sex slaves I got three or four probably take them with me but you know maybe we could have some peace because think about it is realistically all joking aside realistically would Kim jong-un ever do anything to ruin his situation no nothing there isn't anything there's not risk of death there's nothing that's going to shake him out of his situation with his private train and all the booze he wants and two thousand sex slaves there's no there's no negotiating in which you say all right I got an offer and then Kim says before you say your offer can you tell me how it's better than owning my own country being a dictator eating and drinking whatever I want smoking a lot of pot I assume he does and playing with my two thousand sex slaves that my luxury resort is your offer better than that and then the negotiators negotiators would say well in some ways and Kim would say uh-uh maybe we'll just put a hold on those negotiations so the bottom line is it's possible that Kim jong-un's sister could negotiate for a piece like a real one it is not possible based on this new information that Kim jong-un would have any interest in the negotiating for something that would cause him to lose access to his 2,000 sex slaves anytime soon so I just don't see it happening all right I was asked on Twitter to talk about the revised death count which my understanding is that if we go back to work so I think these estimates are based on we're still mitigating in all the smart ways but some of us are phasing back to work so I think this new calculation takes that into account the low end would be a hundred thousand si and would be 240,000 based on the current model models of course are deeply inaccurate they don't predict they simply give you a range of where you might expect things to be and I would say that they do that actually pretty well so does that range look reasonable to me yes we've we've raced past 60,000 are we close to seventy thousand deaths already I don't know what today's today's number is but we'll be at 70,000 pretty quickly I would expect that in the month of May we would zoom past a hundred thousand unless something happens really quickly you know it could be that at the rim des of ear and the hydroxychloroquine maybe they work a little bit maybe we get that going in May a little bit maybe maybe it reduces the daily count maybe it goes down on its own but I wrote I don't really see a situation will be less than a hundred when it's all done now of course there's also the issue of whether it's counted correctly do they throw in a lot of other things I don't know don't know I did see a chart that showed total deaths compared to what we would have expected and here the expected is if it's a normal year and it looked like most of the weeks were below the normal year a couple were above it because there were so many deaths from kovat but it looks like we're actually maybe close to break-even with total deaths if you count the ones that are saved here's an update on what Bill Gates said about testing and again this agrees with what I was thinking but he says it better so I'll give you his I've been telling you that based on everything I've been hearing at the task forces about testing that you should just forget about testing forget about it being a path out because there's no there's no evidence that we're doing anything that would allow us to test our way out we're nowhere near the number and we're nowhere near the number of tests available we're no near nowhere near testing the right people we're not even close and I think that you know again people give me a hard time for you know bolstering the president and saying everything he does is good but I've been brutal about the reporting from the task force in terms of the in terms of giving us useful numbers I would say that the task force's ability to give the public useful information effectively zero but just a failing grade just a pure failing grade I can't even give them a d-minus it's just a pure failing grade one of the darkest I would say one of the maybe the biggest mistake of the Trump administration I would say so yeah maybe I can think of a few other things because it's hard to think of everything that's happened but I would say among the most grossly embarrassing incompetent performances is the reporting on the numbers yeah I think the overall effort is probably successful but in terms of just specifically the question of is the public being informed know now is it the administration's fault that we don't have enough tests and the right kind of tests and the right kind of priorities probably probably now they're doing this the technique they're using is making sure that the private sector is deeply involved and they're not trying to push too hard as long as the private sector is willing to step up and they are but the the way the tests are there's so many different ones we don't know which ones are accurate and then Bill Gates said this on CNN I think apparently the tests we have you're only going to get them if you have symptoms all right so if you have symptoms you've already been spreading it so so getting the test after you have symptoms doesn't help you for all of the time that you already had symptoms and you were spreading it and it doesn't help you get treatment before that so in other words they can't fix the past and since the only people are getting tests were the ones prioritized the ones who have symptoms you didn't help the past but do you help the future and the answer is it takes about three days to get a result you keep hearing about the fast tests those exist but I don't think they're the majority so imagine that you you've you've had it for five days you've got symptoms you've been spreading it like crazy you get the test and you still don't know you have it for three days what do you do for those three days you live your normal life and you spread it around so by the time you get it as Bill Gates says by the time you get the test result you've already spread it around you and you're practically over it by the time you get the result now yes there are faster tests and they're they're a startups have even faster tests and the media tests coming in that but what information do you have about that have you seen the chart that says this is how many we have this is how many the experts say we need of this type and this is how we're getting there or anything like that no no my advice to you is to make your decision about you know the whole situation as if testing doesn't exist as if it's not an option I I would say that it is so poorly reported that you have to assume it's just not even a path and Bill Gates basically just laughed at it he freaking laughed at it he laughed at it that it's not even close it's not even in the it's not even in the conversation of being something that could be helpful just think about that and most of the reporting most of the experts have said we need to do more testing we all know that there's nobody who doesn't think if we can magically test everybody we'd be better off but apparently it's hard to make test kits and it's hard to get it done so I don't think that we're gonna have anything like a testing solution before we have herd immunity accidentally I keep watching Tucker Carlson show where he is essentially complaining the whole show about totalitarianism and how our freedom and rights have all been taken from us and how we kind of just handed them over to which I say I feel like I'm just watching crazy town it just looks crazy at this point now I'm a big fan of Tucker and I think his show is one of the best shows on TV of its type you know in the in the news genre definitely one of the best shows of its type but this particular theme that he's on that we've given up all our freedoms is both true and trivial and unimportant at the same time because let's say you're in a coma have you lost your rights yeah you have let's say because you can't do all the things you could do before if you're in jail if you lost your rights yes if you're in a dangerous neighborhood can you do all the things you want yes if you're you know temporarily if you have to go to work are you free not really you have to go to work so we live in a world in which this little freedom thing is sort of fluid and we're figuring it out as we go but we have a general idea where we want it to be but we're always sort of tweaking it all the time now assuming that this coronavirus stuff doesn't last forever which of these rights that is being denied to us will still be denied to us in let's say the end of the year do you think that any of these rights will be permanent yeah I mean the reduction in Rights do you think of the when the coronavirus is gone do you think the government is going to say you can't go to the beach do you think they're gonna say you can't work go to a concert no no in what world and what world are any of these going to be permanent now the ones that will be permanent we're going to be permanent anyway which is your loss of privacy you know you might argue that this costs you a little bit of extra loss of privacy but not really because the government always could have tracked where you were with your cellphone they always had that ability they just maybe weren't doing it unless you were a criminal and so I don't even even a little bit understand what talk Tucker is talking about because all the examples are true they're observable yes they can't go to the beach they live in a free country and without any laws passed no constitutional authority these things are all true you know the things that Tucker is reporting are true they just don't lead to the conclusion they use concluding which is we're in an emergency the way you would act in an emergency should not be similar to the way you would act in the non-emergency so why would you ever compare them now if he's going to make the case that there are certain subsets of Rights that have a high likelihood of of going away during this and then go on well I'd say that's a pretty good argument if I'd heard it but I haven't heard that argument I've only heard that we have lost our rights temporarily during an emergency I've also heard that you know that's the way tyrants do it like they can always find an emergency to use as or excuse for grabbing power but does that look like that's what's happening here I'd say not even close because the minimum requirement for that to happen is that the public would be okay with it now one of the things that people point out is how easily the public became sheep and just quarantined themselves to which I say is that what happened is that the public just turning into sheep and obeying their their government or is it a public who were informed about a risk and decided to take you seriously doing what the experts advise them to do I mean I'm not seeing a problem here they say if somebody says because of the slippery slope right the slippery slope is purely imaginary and somebody says emergency who defines it Scotty well I'm gonna I'm gonna block you for that comment so the comment is emergency who defines Scotty now I'm I'm deleting I'm blocking you forever so you'll never be part of this conversation again because Scotty is personal you can certainly make a comment about the facts your opinion etc but when you add Scotty on there that's sort of an instant block because you're trying to minimize me you can minimize the opinion just by saying what your opinion is but when you add the Scotty then you're just being an and get blocked goodbye all right what else we got going on here there's a New York Times article that was fascinating it said that stress is not what kills you you know that stress can kill you you believe right stress can kill you but it turns out the stress only kills you if you think it can now I'm that's a little bit of an exaggeration but the article said that the science is pointing toward stress will kill you if you believe that stress will kill you in other words if your mindset is the stress is all bad it's just all bad it's gonna kill me then it does it actually has that that effect but apparently people who have a different mindset and just accept the stress as some sort of response their body has because they're trying to achieve something stress being a normal reaction of the body something maybe they can weaponize you know I use stress to power my fitness so my mindset is that when I feel stressed and by the way this is totally legitimate and this is a lifetime a lifetime habit so I'm not making this up because I just read this story there's something I've done all my life if I have a day of work and I'm really stressed out and I don't think it's gonna go away right away that's normal right everybody has stressful days of work I say to myself man am I gonna have a good workout today because there's nothing that can power a good work out better than stress and when you're done you know you're gonna have less of it less stress and you know that you used your stress productively to lift more and push yourself and exhaust yourself and really really get a good at good working out now that's my mindset and one of the things that people always ask me is why do you seem so not stressed and part of it is that I make it a very much a part of my job if you will to avoid stress and a big part of it is that mindset it's like what's the first thing you think of when you're stressed oh my god my blood pressure is going up or whoa I'm gonna really have a good lift today and I'm not making that up that's that literally what I think when I when I feel stress it's like oh this is gonna be a good run so get your mindset right that's why you should be following people such as Mike son of who talked about getting your mind set right one of my favorite follows on Twitter is AJ Cortez does personal training and what I like about him has a someone to follow on Twitter is that first of all he's he takes the training to the mind body mindset you know whole way so it's more of a holistic approach where programing your body is a way to program your life I don't think he says it in those words but it's effectively what it is so he's more than a trainer about how to lift stuff he does that too but it's more about how all of this integrates into a you know a better life so he got a tweet today that made me laugh i retweeted it not because I agree with every word of it because it's so provocative that I couldn't help it sometimes I just like to see people react to provocative ideas so this was his tweet from AJ Alexander Cortes a generation of defective men have been produced to believe that being and they gives his list these are the things that make them men according to AJ agreeable quiet passive desexualized soft gentle and emotional and he says that this is the this is AJ not me don't blame me and he says these are traits of women and he says these men have been programmed into passive eunuch slaves to the mainstream narrative all right so i retweeted it because it's so darn provocative not not because it's exactly matching my opinion of things but let me give you my opinion the thing so first of all let's all agree that individuals are so different that it would be ridiculous to have a list of characteristics and say that this applies to men or this applies to women can we all agree that individual differences are quite extreme but that doesn't change the fact that the averages can be the average so I know you know somebody who is not like that I know you're not like that can we agree that you and your friends are not what we're talking about so let's get out of the anecdotal headset mindset I mean yes we all know individuals are all over the board on everything that people can be you know different about so it is certainly not true in in a technical scientific way that women are any of these things agreeable quiet passive desexualized soft gentle or emotional I think the point is that more that those are sort of traditional you know you don't have to say that that's good or bad because I don't think AJ is saying these are good qualities are bad he doesn't say that he's just saying that there was some kind of gender difference you can agree or disagree but here's where I'll take this and it may be Google to see if there was any kind of a testosterone difference in Republicans versus Democrats so I googled that what do you think what do you think I found out do you think that Trump supporters have more testosterone than anti-trump or what would you say in the comments that based on your non-scientific opinion just observation is it your observation that the class of people who are supporters of Trump have more testosterone than those were opposed to look at the comments that the comments is it's unambiguous right it's very unambiguous you you could tell me that this doesn't pass the science and then I would just doubt your science because it's so freakin obvious now I don't know how in the world you could not see it it's as obvious as anything could be obvious now what causes that now keep in mind there are two there are two things happening one is that Trump has more male supporters so if you are simply to you know measure all the testosterone and the the Trump supporters you would of course get more just because there are more men in the group so that's the first thing second thing is just obvious it's just obvious and I had made the hypothesis before that the way people respond to Trump might be based on whatever experience they've had in the past with bullying and my hypothesis which I'm going to modify right now my hypothesis had been that if you'd been the subject of bullying a victim of it any time during your life and you saw Trump he triggered you to remember those situations and you say to yourself no never again I'm not going to be in this bullying situation so I can't support him and then I speculated that if he had been the bully yourself or he just hadn't been bullied that you didn't see that and what you saw was a strong leader who may or may not agree with you but that's it it wasn't scary I'm gonna modify that because I feel as though the bullying thing might be a factor but not the full explanation I feel like testosterone is the better s explanation and here's why and again let me say that this is all speculation it's based on anecdotal stuff the moment there is a scientific peer-reviewed controlled study that says that there is no correlation I will immediately adopt that opinion but at the moment there isn't there is not that I just looked there's no information on that so here's what I think I think that your testosterone level if you're male so let's just talk about men the higher your testosterone level the less afraid you are of other men what do you agree with that let's say I think if this would be harder to answer for the women but men you have experienced you've experienced just in your own life times when you knew your test dose testosterone was high let's say you just want to contest you've been working out you're feeling healthy you know your testosterone is high you can feel it you also know that there have been times wouldn't even sick or down or you broke up with your girlfriend or whatever your problem was you knew your testosterone was down so can the men here first confirm for me that they have a physical sensation and they know the difference between when their testosterone is is jacked up and when it's not because their personality changes I would say my entire personality is quite different if I know my testosterone is raging and I can tell right let me give you one example I used to do a lot of public speaking and when you're a public speaker and you're invited because you're already popular it usually goes well the audience claps and they cheer and they laugh if you spend an hour being the subject of affection of an audience by the time you walk offstage and you're heading back to your hotel room your testosterone is just raging because it's just automatic if you become you know the the celebrity on stage and everybody's clapping for you and literally standing sometimes standing ovations your testosterone is off the chart and you and your personality changes too and you know it I mean if you just feel it it's almost like you can feel it in your goosebumps and your hair you can feel it and what comes along with men men back me up on this I'm just looking for the men to answer this question women would not be able to when your testosterone is jacked up are you ever afraid of another man are you and I think the answer is almost never and I would say that I'm think of any situation in my life then I've ever been afraid of a man or men not once and I've been in lots of situations you know if you're a male you've been in tons of situations that are dangerous you can't be a man in America and not have lots of experience with almost getting in a fight you were there when the trouble went down you know I mean it's just normal life that men are around the male experience is violence and near violence all the time it's something that women can't possibly understand the manly men live in a permanently violent world and I don't mean that they're actually performing violence at any given moment I mean that our mindset is that you're ready for violence at the drop of a hat maybe not all of you this also could be a testosterone difference but I would say and let the men in the comments confirm or deny this men would you say that you are capable of violence at the drop of the Hat for a reason I'm not saying that you would do violence for no reason I'm saying that is it true that you're always on the edge of being violent but only if there's a reason and you don't really ever turn that off do you so you guys maybe you'll see some differences here you see somebody saying correct I don't know if they're yeah somebody says I'm never afraid of anything survival of the fittest only if he's holding a gun so I've had guns pulled on me three four times so I've had guns pointed at my face four times in my life once a bowie knife so I I've had a knife pulled on me four guns two of them was when I was working as a bank teller and I got robbed twice once was getting mugged in downtown San Francisco and other time was walking in the Mission District in San Francisco and when I was walking in the Mission District somebody pointed a a real gun at a window as I was walking by in the sidewalk and that and the window was really close to the sidewalk so I mean you're looking right at the person in the window it wasn't like there was a distance involved and I'm walking by and it guy sticks a gun out the window holds it up to my basically points it at my head and he pulls the trigger and and I watched the I watched the cylinder turn click and there wasn't a there wasn't around in the chamber he had a pointed at my head as I walked by a real gun click and pointed it up I had when I walked by so that's the neighborhood I lived in so just just generalize that to what my neighborhood it was like you know this was when I first moved to San Francisco is a it was a it was on the border of a rough rough place anyway so I've had numerous guns and weapons pointed at me and I would say that my my adrenaline went through the roof so if you talk about adrenaline yeah adrenaline went through the roof but I don't know that I was ever afraid like I didn't feel like any kind of experience that I would call fear I have you know normal fears of normal things right I have you know ordinary appreciation for danger I'm not like the brave I'm not a brave guy I would say as a man I'm not especially brave or especially on brave probably average but I also have I'm guessing so here's an assumption I believe my testosterone is relatively high how does one know that well I have that I have the towels for that so I have the balding you know losing your hair is either a sign of testosterone or sensitivity to it I have the squarish jawline that's a sign of testosterone I think there's a difference with a finger length that tells you you have testosterone but more importantly I live my lifestyle to maximize it so you know I lift I exercise I eat right I sleep you know so I do all the things that should boost it and my experience of it is nothing really frightens me so when I look at I look at Trump I see his tool set but I always see a threat to me I could totally imagine that if you had low testosterone you would see somebody who was bristling with it and was unpredictable and scary anyway so I think that could be tested but we'll leave that open question John Roberts reports Fox News that a senior intelligence source still tells him that there's a agreement among most of the 17 intelligence agencies they covet 19 originated in the wuhan law lab and there was believed to be a mistake so most of the 17 agencies agree does that mean anything does that mean anything it doesn't doesn't the fact that 17 intelligence agencies agree we know that that doesn't mean anything I remember when that when I would have heard that and says 17 intelligence agencies well I mean what are the odds that I'll be wrong now let me tell you what it means when seventeen intelligence agencies agree if you've ever worked in a large organization you know this is true if you haven't worked in a loriatlarge organization you would be totally fooled by this let me explain what it means when 17 intelligence agencies agree it means that one did the work came up with an opinion and the others heard about it you get that one agency did the work and the others heard about it the other 16 are useless they're not duplicating the work do you think that the United States has multiple agencies you know sending different people in to North Korea I hope not I hope we don't have different agencies doing that don't you think maybe there's only one this kind of that's got that responsibility I think there's only one intelligence agency that really has the primary responsibility to figure out what's going on there and I don't think they know so when you see something like 17 intelligence agencies agree your brain should translate that into one intelligence agency has an opinion 16 of them just said yeah whatever that guy says you know he seems credible toss and the one who had the opinion is probably not right that's so that's how you should interpret it if you interpreted it as 17 say it's 17 agencies say it's true well probably true then you got it completely wrong that there's nothing in the reality that would suggest the 17 intelligence agencies in the United States agreeing tells you anything it doesn't tell you anything that's how you should process it all right let's see what else we got here yeah that's mostly what I want to talk about today or anything I missed in the news today somebody says oh there's the question that I was going to bring up some somebody says what organization did not agree and why exactly which organization did not agree now it doesn't say that there's an organization that disagrees so the way I would interpret that is that of the 17 agencies one did the work 14 of them said yeah that looks good to us we didn't do the work but you know you did the work looks good to us and a few of them said we haven't seen a way you've done we haven't looked at it yet it's gonna be more like that somebody says when everyone's thinking the same thing nobody's thinking well less there all right I mean you can't rule out the fact that sometimes people are right but it's it's a good warning it's a peer-review rubber-stamp yeah peer review I think is totally overrated - you got some better information I do I got some better information I watched China's response if you watched it China's response to the coronavirus situation it's pretty obvious that they were concealing information from the world do you need 17 intelligence agencies to tell you that that China was lying we already know that that's public information so what are the intelligence agencies know that we don't yes Elon Musk's tweet storm so Elon tweeted among other things I think in last 48 hours or so among other things that he was his girlfriend was having a baby on Monday people didn't know that and that Tesla stock was overpriced in his opinion he sure likes trouble talk about a guy who likes trouble I think he enjoys it and then some other random things that he tweeted anyway the the tweets were let's say eyebrow-raising enough that people started wondering if he was on drugs or crazy or trolling or what the heck's going on so so it's like a cottage industry trying to decide what Elon is is secretly thinking if I had to guess I'd say drugs to be it look like somebody was on some kind of drug and tweeting now do I care you know would I sell my Tesla stock if I learned that you'll on had taking mushrooms I'm just speculating there's no evidence that he did that but would I do anything differently with my investments if I heard that Elon took some mushrooms and tweeted too much nope because you know what whoever Elon Musk is today he was the same guy a few years ago right if it worked yeah oh yeah the other thing is he was gonna sell off all of his possessions his houses etc now I don't know if any that's true or whatever but it sounds like somebody was on drugs do I care if he was on drugs nope because if he was he was still the same agiel on musk who broke all the rules and you know this will always be remembered I think as one of the great entrepreneurs of our time do you care if Henry Ford drank too much I don't think he drank I'm not even sure if he did but do you care if Steve Jobs did LSD because he did do you care No do you care that almost every major company in Silicon Valley has major top employees or micro dosing on LSD every day do you care probably not do you care that they're using performance-enhancing drugs adderall and everything else and not really do you care if they smoke marijuana on nights and weekends nope so I guess my take on Ilan's tweeting is he's still the same person you know he didn't become less capable of doing anything he just is letting you know who he is I said the the uncomfortable truth that nobody wants to say out loud let me say it out loud let me be the first person to say it out loud success in this world is about which drugs you get addicted to there I said what a lot of people have thought but you don't want to say if what you got addicted to is alcohol probably that's not going to go well for you unless you're a functional alcoholic and you're in sales if you're a functional alcoholic and you're in a sales profession it might be pretty good I mean I wouldn't recommend it but it could work out well in fact I know several people who are clearly functional alcoholics who have tremendous lives as far as I can tell from the outside because they just they just funnel that drinking into sales they're very social they make a lot of sales have a good life and they're drunk all the time and they don't seem to be you know any the worse for wear so some people apparently can make that work now I'm not recommending that it's a special case but it's also true that people can be more creative depending what they're taking they can relax they can you know if they're on adderall or other any performance-enhancing drugs sometimes they need them sometimes they get them recreationally or just for performance but the point is Silicon Valley is is run on drugs you know if that wasn't clear enough let me say it as clear as possible Silicon Valley runs on drugs and not the legal kind all the time some of them are illegal you know adderall is legal etc but Silicon Valley is a drug-fueled industry now that's something that you don't see in the news so much you've seen stories about it but it's not really emphasized but the fact is I don't know what percentage but the the people in Silicon Valley who are using drugs are using it not recreationally exactly they're using it functionally so the Silicon Valley people were using drugs and also successful it's because the drugs are either addicted to or choose to be a day two are productive I'll use myself for an example I'm not yeah technically you can't be physically addicted to marijuana but I'm certainly psychologically addicted and I can I can guarantee you from my own experience that my creativity goes through the roof when I use it in fact a lot of the ideas that you've seen coming out of me happened you know when I was enjoying a good 4/20 afternoon and so would I be more or less successful I don't know it's hard to know but I will tell you that a lot of the most successful people have simply chosen the right kind of drug their works for their particular situation their particular genetic makeup their particular whatever now the reason that I don't recommend any of this is that it can kill you right do you need a better reason how about this don't do it it could kill you that's it that's that's a little recommendation I'm not a doctor and if you're not a doctor don't be playing around experimenting with drugs to make you a better person you know I'm not gonna recommend that I'm just gonna saying some people have for whatever reason have discovered that there are some types of drugs that make them better other people have found drugs that just make them worse if you're taking a drug that just makes you worse that's that's where you're gonna end up somebody says pot doesn't kill yeah so there's a little bit of disagreement on that I'm on the side of saying that you know marijuana doesn't kill you but there are other people say well but if you're doing marijuana and tried to ride your motorcycle really fast you know I'm suppose you could do something foolish somebody says stop taking any marijuana for a while and see if you have physical results well I've done that of course and I know I know the difference I'm very aware of how different it is often drugs are try for a fix for an underlying mental issue I would say every time I would say that all drugs unless you just you know trying them on a weekend or something you're just experimenting but four people are using them regularly I would say that that statement is true that people do it to fix something that wasn't giving them enough happiness or something I can't drink or get high during work it's a waste of a good buzz yeah most work is not compatible with marijuana but some is somebody says I should plug locals calm yeah I will remind you that I've moved moved a lot of my video content all the periscopes will be reproduced there I'll keep doing them here this won't change but they're also on the locals platform so if you went to Scott Adams Scott Adams dot locals calm you'll find my page you can look at my Twitter profile to see it as well and for a for a small subscription fee you can get extra stuff and you could have everything in one place and the algorithm will not rule you I'll tell you my long-term play here so the long-term reason for putting it on a subscription platform is that the the youtubes of the world they can't really handle my content because their business model requires them to pair content with advertisers and the advertisers all say why would we take a chance on something that's controversial just Paris with kitten videos so that's the problem that You.

Tube has even if they wanted to the advertisers would say I'd like to give you money to pair with this stuff half the people who watch it are going to get me for just pairing it so the advertising based models including my comic strip everything else or advertising model they don't really work anymore for a variety of reasons the newspaper advertising model will probably just disappear because newspapers will disappear by the end of the year I'll probably have no no regular cartooning income I would guess from newspapers so I'm looking to you know re reinvent my content you know figure out how to how to adapt to the new world the post coronavirus world and I'm gonna try the subscription service that's where I am at Scott Adams not locals with an S dot-com if you want to be part of that you get all the good stuff and more where will Dilbert be syndicated well it's in 2000 newspapers and it's on a lot of websites and said Dilbert com probably a number of them will continue online but I don't know if newspapers make enough money from just their online presence so my guess is that the physical newspapers the local ones will disappear the biggest ones don't actually carry comics you know the biggest newspapers Wall Street Journal New York Times they don't have comics so when the little ones go away USA Today is a big one when the little ones go away so so too does the comic business because they're associated with the local papers mostly somebody says they mentioned me on the 5 yesterday I watched the 5 I didn't see that did I did I miss that part yeah $7 is the subscription fee per month if you're already donating to me on the patreon site or on the web platform because people have done both I would ask you to discontinue that and whether or not whether or not you want to be on the locals platform that would be a separate decision but you know you could discontinue patreon and you could discontinue using the interface app and I would be just as happy because now I have a little home and the people who want to use that subscription feed and see a little extra they're going to see it so what I'll be doing on the the locals app is I'm going to put a lot of micro lessons I put my first micro lesson up there on how to write humor so these are very very short videos on one topic where I teach you that one topic my next we'll probably be designed so it'd be like five to ten minutes to bring you up to about eighty percent of what you need to be a better designer so that's what we're going to do and I will talk to you tonight have a good day

boom-boom-boom-boom

hey Greg come on in here good to see you

I'm glad you joined the rest of you come

on in

hurry up it's good to see all of you

it's another wonderful day

it's a perfect day for a coffee with

Scott Adams what a way to spend your

morning what a way to wake up and join

the weekend which is gonna be amazing

best weekend in a while and the best way

to kick off the weekend I think you know

yeah yep

I think you know it requires a little

thing called the simultaneous it and all

you need is a cup or a mug or a glass on

a tanker chelators Tyne a canteen

director flask a festival a medica and

fill it with your favorite liquid I like

coffee enjoyed me now for the

unparalleled pleasure the dopamine hit

of the day the thing that makes

everything better including the damn

pandemic it's called the simultaneous if

it happens now go mm-hmm I can feel the

hospitalization rates decreasing with

every cent let's talk about some stuff I

tweeted a real a real thinker yesterday

this one will make you stop and really

really think or it won't make any sense

at all so one of those two things is

gonna happen to you in a moment you're

either gonna have a really profound

moment or for most of you maybe 80%

you're gonna say I don't even know what

that meant it goes like this listen

carefully twenty percent of you are

gonna have a profound a moment

eighty percent of you are gonna wish I

would just change the topic here's the

statement

predicting and creating would be the

same thing if you were good at both of

them yeah let that sink in creating and

predicting would be the same thing if

you were good at both of them yeah

twenty percent of you just went whoa

eighty percent of you just went I don't

even know what that's supposed to mean

so that was just for the twenty percent

of you alright let's talk about some

other things kim janggun apparently he's

been photographed at the opening of a of

a fertilizer plant now I had jokingly

said that when the news came out that he

attended the opening of a fertilizer

plant I said on Twitter but we don't

know if he attended as a guest or as the

fertilizer because it seemed like both

possibilities were open at the time but

we have been provided with photographs

yes actual photographs of something that

may or may not be a fertilizer plant and

which Kim jong-un is cutting a ribbon as

some place that may or may not be North

Korea and may or may not have been in

the last ten years so in other words we

can't really tell from the photographs

they don't tell you as much as they oh

no we do know he wasn't walking with a

cane and unless he got a miracle cure do

you think he went away for a week and

got a miracle cure and now he doesn't

need a cane maybe maybe it was such a

good hospital trip that he left looking

younger yeah it was such a good hospital

trip that they fixed him up and now he's

thinner and younger and he doesn't walk

with a cane glad we got those

photographs huh all right I'm gonna go

on record here's my prediction fake

photographs fake photographs here's why

if you are going to produce

real photographs the point of which is

to show that your leader is alive they

would be a little more unambiguous you

know you don't publish ambiguous photos

to prove something

no you prove something with unambiguous

photos perhaps something called video

even North Korea has heard a video it's

a thing with movement wouldn't be hard

to demonstrate that Kim jong-un was

alive wouldn't be hard at all in fact it

would be quite easy but instead they

went with grainy photos of a young girl

Kim I don't know I don't know so I heard

the news today and I don't know I think

I was vaguely aware of this but when you

read a story about it it it reminds you

of something that you couldn't believe

which is that reportedly Kim Jong un has

assuming he's still alive mm sex slaves

literally mm sex slaves who apparently

will accompany him on trips to his you

know multiple resort compounds on his

train and whatnot to dance and sing and

and the other stuff for him and his

elites mm sex slaves for Kim Jong un so

here's here's the news as best we know

it and thank goodness we have

intelligence agencies because if we

didn't have intelligence agencies and a

free press we wouldn't be able to narrow

it down so we don't know exactly what

Kim Jong on it jong-un is doing this

week but thanks to our press and our

intelligence agencies we have narrowed

it down it's either he's dead or he's

partying at his seaside resort with two

thousand sex slaves

I've come to understand that he doesn't

spend much time in between those two

extremes because think about it

you're Kim jong-un you have 2000 sex

slaves what else are you gonna spend

your time on and so I present to you a

one-act play which features Kim Jong

Un's advisors talking to him about the

schedule for the day I'll start in the

role of the adviser to Kim jong-un you

can tell who the advisor is because the

advisers always have notepads so that's

how you know a Dear Leader we're

planning your day and we have very very

important budget meetings can I put you

down for the budget meeting at 2:00 p.m.

Kim jong-un uh-huh budget meeting yeah

yeah I could attend the budget meeting

that's that's one possibility or I could

go to my seaside resort party with my

two thousand sex slaves and maybe you

could attend that meeting for me and if

I hear later that things didn't go well

I could execute you and everyone who

attended the meeting how about that

instead okay very good very good I won't

put you down for the two o'clock meeting

but we've got a a ribbon-cutting at a

fertilizer plant that's tomorrow could

you make the fertilizer plant

ribbon-cutting Dear Leader yeah yeah

that's completely possible I could drag

my fat ass across North Korea to visit a

factory that literally makes or or

I could go to my seaside resort and I

could party with my two thousand sex

slaves while you visit the fertilizer

plant and if I hear later that anything

went wrong I could execute you and kill

everybody at the fertilizer plant too

just to make sure I've wrapped it all up

how about that excellent plan an

excellent plan dear leader do we need to

talk about the rest of this schedule not

so much not so much and seen now here's

this is actually an answer to a I guess

a mystery that I've had all my life and

I should have known the answer because

it was kind of obvious and I always say

to myself why is it you can't get a

dictator to retire why is there never

any story about a dictator says uh I've

been enjoying my dictatorship but I'll

tell you what I'll get a retire will

turn this into a democracy or whatever

now it turns out that the answer is that

if you retire from being a dictator you

will lose and here I'm just speculating

you will lose access to your two

thousand sex slaves and you'll probably

be hunted down and executed so retiring

is a really bad strategy for your

typical tyrant because they might get

executed but at the very least whatever

openness that comes with retiring and

becoming democratic is really going to

cut into your 2000 sex slave weekend how

do you expect a dictator to retire when

that's the proposition here here's the

deal how would you like to make peace

we'll have some kind of North Korea

South Korea you know we won't

necessarily merge right away but

there'll be more travel and openness

more connections you know maybe a lot

more communication and you see Kim Jong

and sitting there and thinking yeah yeah

yeah we could do that we could do that

we could have the peace and openness I

could get rid of my nukes or or or I'll

just put this out there I could keep my

nukes which keeps you out of my country

and I can keep my two thousand sex

slaves how about that and so the

ability that Kim Jong Un's is sister

might be the heir apparent

if Kim jong-un actually is sacred

capacitated or dead and I say to myself

isn't this interesting

isn't this interesting because I don't

know if there are historical cases in

the modern era of female dictators who

have sex slaves I kind of think they

might have a few right if you had a

female dictator she might have a few

male sex slaves maybe a few female sex

slaves why not but probably not 2,000

and if you were a kim jong un's sister

and let's say hypothetically you decided

to make peace and have some kind of

transitional stage toward a more

democratic system could you retire could

Kim Jong Un's sister retire

would she be safe from the reaches of

the law don't know because certainly she

could argue that everything that

happened was her brother's fault because

I don't have any decision she made

she just had to do what the the boss

said so she could say I didn't do

anything I just carried out orders and

by the way I don't have 2000 sex slaves

I got three or four probably take them

with me but you know maybe we could have

some peace because think about it is

realistically all joking aside

realistically would Kim jong-un ever do

anything to ruin his situation no

nothing there isn't anything there's not

risk of death there's nothing that's

going to shake him out of his situation

with his private train and all the booze

he wants and two thousand sex slaves

there's no there's no negotiating in

which you say all right I got an offer

and then Kim says before you say your

offer can you tell me how it's better

than owning my own country being a

dictator

eating and drinking whatever I want

smoking a lot of pot I assume he does

and playing with my two thousand sex

slaves that my luxury resort is your

offer better than that and then the

negotiators negotiators would say well

in some ways and Kim would say uh-uh

maybe we'll just put a hold on those

negotiations so the bottom line is it's

possible that Kim jong-un's sister could

negotiate for a piece like a real one it

is not possible based on this new

information that Kim jong-un would have

any interest in the negotiating for

something that would cause him to lose

access to his 2,000 sex slaves anytime

soon

so I just don't see it happening all

right

I was asked on Twitter to talk about the

revised death count which my

understanding is that if we go back to

work so I think these estimates are

based on we're still mitigating in all

the smart ways but some of us are

phasing back to work so I think this new

calculation takes that into account the

low end would be a hundred thousand si

and would be 240,000 based on the

current model models of course are

deeply inaccurate they don't predict

they simply give you a range of where

you might expect things to be and I

would say that they do that actually

pretty well so does that range look

reasonable to me yes we've we've raced

past 60,000 are we close to seventy

thousand deaths already I don't know

what today's today's number is but we'll

be at 70,000 pretty quickly I would

expect that in the month of May we would

zoom past a hundred thousand unless

something happens really quickly you

know it could be that at the rim des of

ear and the hydroxychloroquine maybe

they work a little bit maybe we get that

going in May a little bit maybe maybe it

reduces the daily count maybe it goes

down on its own but I wrote I don't

really see a situation will be less than

a hundred

when it's all done now of course there's

also the issue of whether it's counted

correctly do they throw in a lot of

other things I don't know don't know I

did see a chart that showed total deaths

compared to what we would have expected

and here the expected is if it's a

normal year and it looked like most of

the weeks were below the normal year a

couple were above it because there were

so many deaths from kovat but it looks

like we're actually maybe close to

break-even with total deaths if you

count the ones that are saved here's an

update on what Bill Gates said about

testing and again this agrees with what

I was thinking but he says it better so

I'll give you his I've been telling you

that based on everything I've been

hearing at the task forces about testing

that you should just forget about

testing forget about it being a path out

because there's no there's no evidence

that we're doing anything that would

allow us to test our way out we're

nowhere near the number and we're

nowhere near the number of tests

available we're no near nowhere near

testing the right people we're not even

close and I think that you know again

people give me a hard time for you know

bolstering the president and saying

everything he does is good but I've been

brutal about the reporting from the task

force in terms of the in terms of giving

us useful numbers I would say that the

task force's ability to give the public

useful information effectively zero but

just a failing grade just a pure failing

grade I can't even give them a d-minus

it's just a pure failing grade one of

the darkest I would say one of the maybe

the biggest mistake of the Trump

administration I would say so

yeah maybe I can think of a few other

things because it's hard to think of

everything that's happened but I would

say among the

most grossly embarrassing incompetent

performances is the reporting on the

numbers yeah I think the overall effort

is probably successful but in terms of

just specifically the question of is the

public being informed know now is it the

administration's fault that we don't

have enough tests and the right kind of

tests and the right kind of priorities

probably probably now they're doing this

the technique they're using is making

sure that the private sector is deeply

involved and they're not trying to push

too hard as long as the private sector

is willing to step up and they are but

the the way the tests are there's so

many different ones we don't know which

ones are accurate and then Bill Gates

said this on CNN I think apparently the

tests we have you're only going to get

them if you have symptoms all right so

if you have symptoms you've already been

spreading it so so getting the test

after you have symptoms doesn't help you

for all of the time that you already had

symptoms and you were spreading it and

it doesn't help you get treatment before

that so in other words they can't fix

the past and since the only people are

getting tests were the ones prioritized

the ones who have symptoms you didn't

help the past but do you help the future

and the answer is it takes about three

days to get a result you keep hearing

about the fast tests those exist but I

don't think they're the majority so

imagine that you you've you've had it

for five days you've got symptoms you've

been spreading it like crazy you get the

test and you still don't know you have

it for three days what do you do for

those three days you live your normal

life and you spread it around so by the

time you get it as Bill Gates says by

the time you get the test result

you've already spread it around you and

you're practically over it by the time

you get the result now yes there are

faster tests and they're they're a

startups have even faster tests and the

media tests coming in

that but what information do you have

about that have you seen the chart that

says this is how many we have this is

how many the experts say we need of this

type and this is how we're getting there

or anything like that no no my advice to

you is to make your decision about you

know the whole situation as if testing

doesn't exist as if it's not an option

I I would say that it is so poorly

reported that you have to assume it's

just not even a path and Bill Gates

basically just laughed at it he freaking

laughed at it he laughed at it that it's

not even close

it's not even in the it's not even in

the conversation of being something that

could be helpful just think about that

and most of the reporting most of the

experts have said we need to do more

testing we all know that there's nobody

who doesn't think if we can magically

test everybody we'd be better off but

apparently it's hard to make test kits

and it's hard to get it done so I don't

think that we're gonna have anything

like a testing solution before we have

herd immunity accidentally I keep

watching Tucker Carlson show where he is

essentially complaining the whole show

about totalitarianism and how our

freedom and rights have all been taken

from us and how we kind of just handed

them over to which I say I feel like I'm

just watching crazy town

it just looks crazy at this point now

I'm a big fan of Tucker and I think his

show is one of the best shows on TV of

its type you know in the in the news

genre definitely one of the best shows

of its type but this particular theme

that he's on that we've given up all our

freedoms is both true and trivial and

unimportant at the same time because

let's say you're in a coma have you lost

your rights yeah you have let's say

because you can't do all the things you

could do before

if you're in jail if you lost your

rights yes if you're in a dangerous

neighborhood can you do all the things

you want yes if you're you know

temporarily if you have to go to work

are you free not really you have to go

to work so we live in a world in which

this little freedom thing is sort of

fluid and we're figuring it out as we go

but we have a general idea where we want

it to be but we're always sort of

tweaking it all the time now assuming

that this coronavirus stuff doesn't last

forever

which of these rights that is being

denied to us will still be denied to us

in let's say the end of the year do you

think that any of these rights will be

permanent yeah I mean the reduction in

Rights do you think of the when the

coronavirus is gone do you think the

government is going to say you can't go

to the beach do you think they're gonna

say you can't work go to a concert no no

in what world and what world are any of

these going to be permanent now the ones

that will be permanent

we're going to be permanent anyway which

is your loss of privacy you know you

might argue that this costs you a little

bit of extra loss of privacy but not

really because the government always

could have tracked where you were with

your cellphone they always had that

ability they just maybe weren't doing it

unless you were a criminal and so I

don't even even a little bit understand

what talk Tucker is talking about

because all the examples are true

they're observable yes they can't go to

the beach they live in a free country

and without any laws passed no

constitutional authority these things

are all true you know the things that

Tucker is reporting are true

they just don't lead to the conclusion

they use concluding which is we're in an

emergency the way you would act in an

emergency should not be similar to the

way you would act in the non-emergency

so why would you ever compare them now

if he's going to make the case that

there are certain subsets of Rights that

have a high likelihood of of going away

during this and then

go on well I'd say that's a pretty good

argument if I'd heard it but I haven't

heard that argument I've only heard that

we have lost our rights temporarily

during an emergency I've also heard that

you know that's the way tyrants do it

like they can always find an emergency

to use as or excuse for grabbing power

but does that look like that's what's

happening here I'd say not even close

because the minimum requirement for that

to happen is that the public would be

okay with it now one of the things that

people point out is how easily the

public became sheep and just quarantined

themselves to which I say is that what

happened is that the public just turning

into sheep and obeying their their

government or is it a public who were

informed about a risk and decided to

take you seriously doing what the

experts advise them to do I mean I'm not

seeing a problem here

they say if somebody says because of the

slippery slope right the slippery slope

is purely imaginary and somebody says

emergency who defines it Scotty well I'm

gonna I'm gonna block you for that

comment so the comment is emergency who

defines Scotty now I'm I'm deleting I'm

blocking you forever so you'll never be

part of this conversation again because

Scotty is personal you can certainly

make a comment about the facts your

opinion etc but when you add Scotty on

there that's sort of an instant block

because you're trying to minimize me you

can minimize the opinion just by saying

what your opinion is but when you add

the Scotty then you're just being an

and get blocked goodbye

all right what else we got going on here

there's a New York Times article that

was fascinating it said that stress is

not what kills you you know that stress

can kill you you believe right stress

can kill you but it turns out the stress

only kills you if you think it can now

I'm that's a little bit of an

exaggeration but the article said that

the science is pointing toward stress

will kill you if you believe that stress

will kill you in other words if your

mindset is the stress is all bad it's

just all bad it's gonna kill me then it

does it actually has that that effect

but apparently people who have a

different mindset and just accept the

stress as some sort of response their

body has because they're trying to

achieve something stress being a normal

reaction of the body something maybe

they can weaponize you know I use stress

to power my fitness so my mindset is

that when I feel stressed and by the way

this is totally legitimate and this is a

lifetime a lifetime habit so I'm not

making this up because I just read this

story there's something I've done all my

life if I have a day of work and I'm

really stressed out and I don't think

it's gonna go away right away that's

normal right everybody has stressful

days of work I say to myself man am I

gonna have a good workout today because

there's nothing that can power a good

work out better than stress and when

you're done you know you're gonna have

less of it less stress and you know that

you used your stress productively to

lift more and push yourself and exhaust

yourself and really really get a good at

good working out now that's my mindset

and one of the things that people always

ask me is why do you seem so not

stressed and part of it is that I make

it a very much a part of my job if you

will to avoid stress and a big part of

it is that mindset it's like what's the

first thing you think of when you're

stressed

oh my god my blood pressure is going up

or whoa I'm gonna really have a good

lift today and I'm not making that up

that's that literally what I think when

I when I feel stress it's like oh this

is gonna be a good run

so get your mindset right that's why you

should be following people such as Mike

son of who talked about getting

your mind set right one of my favorite

follows on Twitter is AJ Cortez does

personal training and what I like about

him has a someone to follow on Twitter

is that first of all he's he takes the

training to the mind body mindset you

know whole way so it's more of a

holistic approach where programing your

body is a way to program your life I

don't think he says it in those words

but it's effectively what it is so he's

more than a trainer about how to lift

stuff he does that too but it's more

about how all of this integrates into a

you know a better life so he got a tweet

today that made me laugh i retweeted it

not because I agree with every word of

it because it's so provocative that I

couldn't help it sometimes I just like

to see people react to provocative ideas

so this was his tweet from AJ Alexander

Cortes a generation of defective men

have been produced to believe that being

and they gives his list these are the

things that make them men according to

AJ agreeable quiet passive desexualized

soft gentle and emotional and he says

that this is the this is AJ not me don't

blame me and he says these are traits of

women and he says these men have been

programmed into passive eunuch slaves to

the mainstream narrative all right so i

retweeted it because it's so darn

provocative not not because it's exactly

matching my opinion of things but let me

give you my opinion the thing

so first of all let's all agree that

individuals are so different that it

would be ridiculous to have a list of

characteristics and say that this

applies to men or this applies to women

can we all agree that individual

differences are quite extreme but that

doesn't change the fact that the

averages can be the average so I know

you know somebody who is not like that I

know you're not like that can we agree

that you and your friends are not what

we're talking about so let's get out of

the anecdotal headset mindset I mean yes

we all know individuals are all over the

board on everything that people can be

you know different about so it is

certainly not true

in in a technical scientific way that

women are any of these things agreeable

quiet passive desexualized soft gentle

or emotional I think the point is that

more that those are sort of traditional

you know you don't have to say that

that's good or bad because I don't think

AJ is saying these are good qualities

are bad he doesn't say that he's just

saying that there was some kind of

gender difference you can agree or

disagree but here's where I'll take this

and it may be Google to see if there was

any kind of a testosterone difference in

Republicans versus Democrats so I

googled that what do you think what do

you think I found out do you think that

Trump supporters have more testosterone

than anti-trump or what would you say in

the comments that based on your

non-scientific opinion just observation

is it your observation that the class of

people who are supporters of Trump have

more testosterone than those were

opposed to look at the comments that the

comments is it's unambiguous right it's

very unambiguous

you you could tell me that this doesn't

pass the science and then I would just

doubt your science because it's so

freakin obvious now I don't know how in

the world you could not see it it's as

obvious as anything could be obvious now

what causes that now keep in mind there

are two there are two things happening

one is that Trump has more male

supporters so if you are simply to you

know measure all the testosterone and

the the Trump supporters you would of

course get more just because there are

more men in the group so that's the

first thing second thing is just obvious

it's just obvious and I had made the

hypothesis before that the way people

respond to Trump might be based on

whatever experience they've had in the

past with bullying and my hypothesis

which I'm going to modify right now

my hypothesis had been that if you'd

been the subject of bullying a victim of

it any time during your life and you saw

Trump he triggered you to remember those

situations and you say to yourself no

never again I'm not going to be in this

bullying situation so I can't support

him and then I speculated that if he had

been the bully yourself or he just

hadn't been bullied that you didn't see

that and what you saw was a strong

leader who may or may not agree with you

but that's it it wasn't scary I'm gonna

modify that because I feel as though the

bullying thing might be a factor but not

the full explanation I feel like

testosterone is the better s explanation

and here's why and again let me say that

this is all speculation it's based on

anecdotal stuff the moment there is a

scientific peer-reviewed controlled

study that says that there is no

correlation I will immediately adopt

that opinion but at the moment there

isn't there is not that I just looked

there's no information on that so here's

what I think I think that your

testosterone level if you're male

so let's just talk about men the higher

your testosterone level the less afraid

you are of other men

what do you agree with that let's say I

think if this would be harder to answer

for the women but men you have

experienced you've experienced just in

your own life

times when you knew your test dose

testosterone was high let's say you just

want to contest you've been working out

you're feeling healthy you know your

testosterone is high you can feel it you

also know that there have been times

wouldn't even sick or down or you broke

up with your girlfriend or whatever your

problem was you knew your testosterone

was down so can the men here first

confirm for me that they have a physical

sensation and they know the difference

between when their testosterone is is

jacked up and when it's not because

their personality changes I would say my

entire personality is quite different if

I know my testosterone is raging and I

can tell right let me give you one

example I used to do a lot of public

speaking and when you're a public

speaker and you're invited because

you're already popular it usually goes

well the audience claps and they cheer

and they laugh if you spend an hour

being the subject of affection of an

audience by the time you walk offstage

and you're heading back to your hotel

room your testosterone is just raging

because it's just automatic if you

become you know the the celebrity on

stage and everybody's clapping for you

and literally standing sometimes

standing ovations your testosterone is

off the chart and you and your

personality changes too and you know it

I mean if you just feel it it's almost

like you can feel it in your goosebumps

and your hair you can feel it and what

comes along with men men back me up on

this I'm just looking for the men to

answer this question women would not be

able to when your testosterone is jacked

up are you ever afraid of another man

are you and I think the answer is almost

never and I would say that I'm think of

any situation in my life then I've ever

been afraid of a man or men not once and

I've been in lots of situations you know

if you're a male you've been in tons of

situations that are dangerous you can't

be a man in America and not have lots of

experience with almost getting in a

fight you were there when the trouble

went down you know I mean it's just

normal life that men are around the male

experience is violence and near violence

all the time it's something that women

can't possibly understand the manly men

live in a permanently violent world and

I don't mean that they're actually

performing violence at any given moment

I mean that our mindset is that you're

ready for violence at the drop of a hat

maybe not all of you this also could be

a testosterone difference but I would

say and let the men in the comments

confirm or deny this men would you say

that you are capable of violence at the

drop of the Hat for a reason I'm not

saying that you would do violence for no

reason I'm saying that is it true that

you're always on the edge of being

violent but only if there's a reason and

you don't really ever turn that off do

you so you guys maybe you'll see some

differences here you see somebody saying

correct I don't know if they're yeah

somebody says I'm never afraid of

anything

survival of the fittest only if he's

holding a gun so I've had guns pulled on

me three four times so I've had guns

pointed at my face four times in my life

once a bowie knife so I I've had a knife

pulled on me four guns two of them was

when I was working as a bank teller and

I got robbed twice once was getting

mugged

in downtown San Francisco and other time

was walking in the Mission District in

San Francisco and when I was walking in

the Mission District somebody pointed a

a real gun at a window as I was walking

by in the sidewalk and that and the

window was really close to the sidewalk

so I mean you're looking right at the

person in the window it wasn't like

there was a distance involved and I'm

walking by and it guy sticks a gun out

the window holds it up to my basically

points it at my head and he pulls the

trigger and and I watched the I watched

the cylinder turn click and there wasn't

a there wasn't around in the chamber

he had a pointed at my head as I walked

by a real gun click and pointed it up I

had when I walked by so that's the

neighborhood I lived in so just just

generalize that to what my neighborhood

it was like you know this was when I

first moved to San Francisco is a it was

a it was on the border of a rough rough

place anyway so I've had numerous guns

and weapons pointed at me and I would

say that my my adrenaline went through

the roof so if you talk about adrenaline

yeah adrenaline went through the roof

but I don't know that I was ever afraid

like I didn't feel like any kind of

experience that I would call fear I have

you know normal fears of normal things

right I have you know ordinary

appreciation for danger I'm not like the

brave I'm not a brave guy I would say as

a man I'm not especially brave or

especially on brave probably average but

I also have I'm guessing so here's an

assumption I believe my testosterone is

relatively high how does one know that

well I have that I have the towels for

that so I have the balding you know

losing your hair is either a sign of

testosterone or sensitivity to it I have

the squarish jawline

that's a sign of testosterone I think

there's a difference with a finger

length that tells you you have

testosterone but more importantly I live

my lifestyle to maximize it so you know

I lift I exercise I eat right I sleep

you know so I do all the things that

should boost it and my experience of it

is nothing really frightens me

so when I look at I look at Trump

I see his tool set but I always see a

threat to me

I could totally imagine that if you had

low testosterone you would see somebody

who was bristling with it and was

unpredictable

and scary anyway so I think that could

be tested but we'll leave that open

question John Roberts reports

Fox News that a senior intelligence

source still tells him that there's a

agreement among most of the 17

intelligence agencies they covet 19

originated in the wuhan law lab and

there was believed to be a mistake so

most of the 17 agencies agree does that

mean anything does that mean anything it

doesn't doesn't the fact that 17

intelligence agencies agree we know that

that doesn't mean anything I remember

when that when I would have heard that

and says 17 intelligence agencies well I

mean what are the odds that I'll be

wrong now let me tell you what it means

when seventeen intelligence agencies

agree if you've ever worked in a large

organization you know this is true if

you haven't worked in a loriatlarge

organization you would be totally fooled

by this let me explain what it means

when 17 intelligence agencies agree it

means that one did the work came up with

an opinion and the others heard about it

you get that one agency did the work and

the others heard about it the other 16

are useless they're not duplicating the

work do you think that the United States

has multiple agencies you know sending

different people in to North Korea I

hope not I hope we don't have different

agencies doing that don't you think

maybe there's only one this kind of

that's got that responsibility I think

there's only one intelligence agency

that really has the primary

responsibility to figure out what's

going on there and I don't think they

know so when you see something like 17

intelligence agencies agree your brain

should translate that into one

intelligence agency has an opinion 16 of

them just said yeah whatever that guy

says you know he seems credible toss and

the one who had the opinion is probably

not right that's so that's how you

should interpret it if you interpreted

it as 17 say it's 17 agencies say it's

true well probably true then you got it

completely wrong that there's nothing in

the reality that would suggest the 17

intelligence agencies in the United

States agreeing tells you anything

it doesn't tell you anything that's how

you should process it all right let's

see what else we got here yeah that's

mostly what I want to talk about today

or anything I missed

in the news today somebody says oh

there's the question that I was going to

bring up some somebody says what

organization did not agree and why

exactly which organization did not agree

now it doesn't say that there's an

organization that disagrees so the way I

would interpret that is that of the 17

agencies one did the work 14 of them

said yeah that looks good to us we

didn't do the work but you know you did

the work looks good to us and a few of

them said we haven't seen a way you've

done we haven't looked at it yet it's

gonna be more like that

somebody says when everyone's thinking

the same thing

nobody's thinking well less there all

right I mean you can't rule out the fact

that sometimes people are right but it's

it's a good warning

it's a peer-review rubber-stamp yeah

peer review I think is totally overrated

- you got some better information I do I

got some better information

I watched China's response if you

watched it China's response to the

coronavirus situation it's pretty

obvious that they were concealing

information from the world do you need

17 intelligence agencies to tell you

that that China was lying we already

know that that's public information so

what are the intelligence agencies know

that we don't yes Elon Musk's tweet

storm so Elon tweeted among other things

I think in last 48 hours or so among

other things that he was his girlfriend

was having a baby on Monday people

didn't know that and that Tesla stock

was overpriced in his opinion he sure

likes trouble talk about a guy who likes

trouble I think he enjoys it and then

some other random things that he tweeted

anyway the the tweets were let's say

eyebrow-raising

enough that people started wondering if

he was on drugs or crazy or trolling or

what the heck's going on so so it's like

a cottage industry trying to decide what

Elon is is secretly thinking if I had to

guess I'd say drugs to be it look like

somebody was on some kind of drug and

tweeting now do I care you know would I

sell my Tesla stock if I learned that

you'll on had

taking mushrooms I'm just speculating

there's no evidence that he did that but

would I do anything differently with my

investments if I heard that Elon took

some mushrooms and tweeted too much nope

because you know what whoever Elon Musk

is today he was the same guy a few years

ago right if it worked yeah oh yeah the

other thing is he was gonna sell off all

of his possessions his houses etc now I

don't know if any that's true or

whatever but it sounds like somebody was

on drugs do I care if he was on drugs

nope because if he was he was still the

same agiel on musk who broke all the

rules and you know this will always be

remembered I think as one of the great

entrepreneurs of our time do you care if

Henry Ford drank too much I don't think

he drank I'm not even sure if he did but

do you care if Steve Jobs did LSD

because he did do you care

No do you care that almost every major

company in Silicon Valley has major top

employees or micro dosing on LSD every

day do you care probably not do you care

that they're using performance-enhancing

drugs adderall and everything else and

not really do you care if they smoke

marijuana on nights and weekends nope

so I guess my take on Ilan's tweeting is

he's still the same person you know he

didn't become less capable of doing

anything he just is letting you know who

he is I said the the uncomfortable truth

that nobody wants to say out loud let me

say it out loud let me be the first

person to say it out loud success in

this world is about which drugs you get

addicted to

there I said what a lot of people have

thought but you don't want to say if

what you got addicted to is alcohol

probably that's not going to go well for

you unless you're a functional alcoholic

and you're in sales if you're a

functional alcoholic and you're in a

sales profession it might be pretty good

I mean I wouldn't recommend it but it

could work out well in fact I know

several people who are clearly

functional alcoholics who have

tremendous lives as far as I can tell

from the outside because they just they

just funnel that drinking into sales

they're very social they make a lot of

sales have a good life and they're drunk

all the time

and they don't seem to be you know any

the worse for wear so some people

apparently can make that work

now I'm not recommending that it's a

special case but it's also true that

people can be more creative depending

what they're taking they can relax they

can you know if they're on adderall or

other any performance-enhancing drugs

sometimes they need them sometimes they

get them recreationally or just for

performance but the point is Silicon

Valley is is run on drugs you know if

that wasn't clear enough let me say it

as clear as possible Silicon Valley runs

on drugs and not the legal kind all the

time some of them are illegal you know

adderall is legal etc but Silicon Valley

is a drug-fueled industry now that's

something that you don't see in the news

so much you've seen stories about it but

it's not really emphasized but the fact

is I don't know what percentage but the

the people in Silicon Valley who are

using drugs are using it not

recreationally exactly they're using it

functionally so the Silicon Valley

people were using drugs and also

successful it's because the drugs are

either addicted to or choose to be a day

two are productive I'll use myself for

an example I'm not yeah technically you

can't be physically addicted to

marijuana but I'm certainly

psychologically addicted and I can I can

guarantee you from my own experience

that my creativity goes through the roof

when I use it in fact a lot of the ideas

that you've seen coming out of me

happened you know when I was enjoying a

good 4/20 afternoon and so would I be

more or less successful I don't know

it's hard to know but I will tell you

that a lot of the most successful people

have simply chosen the right kind of

drug their works for their particular

situation their particular genetic

makeup their particular whatever now the

reason that I don't recommend any of

this is that it can kill you right do

you need a better reason how about this

don't do it it could kill you that's it

that's that's a little recommendation

I'm not a doctor and if you're not a

doctor

don't be playing around experimenting

with drugs to make you a better person

you know I'm not gonna recommend that

I'm just gonna saying some people have

for whatever reason have discovered that

there are some types of drugs that make

them better other people have found

drugs that just make them worse if

you're taking a drug that just makes you

worse that's that's where you're gonna

end up

somebody says pot doesn't kill yeah so

there's a little bit of disagreement on

that I'm on the side of saying that you

know marijuana doesn't kill you but

there are other people say well but if

you're doing marijuana and tried to ride

your motorcycle really fast you know I'm

suppose you could do something foolish

somebody says stop taking any marijuana

for a while and see if you have physical

results well I've done that of course

and I know I know the difference I'm

very aware of how different it is often

drugs are try for a fix for an

underlying mental issue I would say

every time I would say that all drugs

unless you just you know trying them on

a weekend or something you're just

experimenting but four people are using

them regularly I would say that that

statement is true that people do it to

fix something that wasn't giving them

enough happiness or something

I can't drink or get high during work

it's a waste of a good buzz yeah most

work is not compatible with marijuana

but some is somebody says I should plug

locals calm yeah I will remind you that

I've moved moved a lot of my video

content all the periscopes will be

reproduced there I'll keep doing them

here this won't change but they're also

on the locals platform so if you went to

Scott Adams Scott Adams dot locals calm

you'll find my page you can look at my

Twitter profile to see it as well and

for a for a small subscription fee you

can get extra stuff and you could have

everything in one place and the

algorithm will not rule you I'll tell

you my long-term play here so the

long-term reason for putting it on a

subscription platform is that the the

youtubes of the world they can't really

handle my content because their business

model requires them to pair content with

advertisers and the advertisers all say

why would we take a chance on something

that's controversial just Paris with

kitten videos so that's the problem that

YouTube has even if they wanted to the

advertisers would say I'd like to give

you money to pair with this stuff half

the people who watch it are going to get

me for just pairing it so the

advertising based models including my

comic strip everything else or

advertising model they don't really work

anymore for a variety of reasons the

newspaper advertising model will

probably just disappear because

newspapers will disappear by the end of

the year I'll probably have no no

regular cartooning income I would guess

from newspapers so I'm looking to you

know re reinvent my content you know

figure out how to how to adapt to the

new world the post coronavirus world and

I'm gonna try the subscription service

that's where I am at Scott Adams not

locals with an S dot-com if you want to

be part of that you get all the good

stuff and more where will Dilbert be

syndicated well it's in 2000 newspapers

and it's on a lot of websites and said

Dilbert com

probably a number of them will continue

online but I don't know if newspapers

make enough money from just their online

presence so my guess is that the

physical newspapers the local ones will

disappear the biggest ones don't

actually carry comics you know the

biggest newspapers Wall Street Journal

New York Times they don't have comics so

when the little ones go away USA Today

is a big one when the little ones go

away so so too does the comic business

because they're associated with the

local papers mostly somebody says they

mentioned me on the 5 yesterday I

watched the 5 I didn't see that did I

did I miss that part yeah $7 is the

subscription fee per month if you're

already donating to me on the patreon

site or on the web platform because

people have done both I would ask you to

discontinue that and whether or not

whether or not you want to be on the

locals platform that would be a separate

decision but you know you could

discontinue patreon and you could

discontinue using the interface app and

I would be just as happy because now I

have a little home

and the people who want to use that

subscription feed and see a little extra

they're going to see it so what I'll be

doing on the the locals app is I'm going

to put a lot of micro lessons I put my

first micro lesson up there on how to

write humor so these are very very short

videos on one topic where I teach you

that one topic my next we'll probably be

designed so it'd be like five to ten

minutes to bring you up to about eighty

percent of what you need to be a better

designer so that's what we're going to

do and I will talk to you tonight

have a good day