Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive August 22, 2026
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Episodes Episode #1162

Episode 1162 Scott Adams - Biden's Business Partner Speaks, Borat Attacks Rudy, Iran Interference

Episode #1162 Oct 22, 2020 52:37 43,761 views

Find my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com Content: ----------- - No foreign policy discussion in debate tonight? - TDS reinforced by MSM for four years...what now? - The "big guy" was Joe Biden...per business partner - Joe Biden lied, lied, lied, lied, lied - Iran framed Proud Boys to promote Biden - Biodegradable plastic alternative from CO2 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.

Opening General Commentary

Hey everybody, come on in. Come on in. You found the right place. Of all the places on earth, nay, in the universe that you could be, you found the very best place at the right time. Congratulations to you. Your instincts are perfect. And if you'd like to enjoy this even more — I know it's hard to…

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SimultaneousSip General Commentary

t, did you say more? I could enjoy this more than I already am? Uh, wait, wait, I know it's hard to believe, but all you need is a copper mug or a margarita glass or a tankard or a chalice or a canteen, a jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And joi…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

simultaneous sip, and it happens now. Let's talk about all the good stuff in the news, because there's lots of it. And in no particular order, once again we have some new fake news about U.S. officials being allegedly targeted by a sonic weapon all around the world. That's right. It's not just a so…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

f you find no evidence of a weapon and you find no evidence of anybody behind the attacks, what does that tell you? Obviously everybody. Everybody. That's right. If there's no evidence, it's Russia. I think we've learned that. We learned it with Biden's laptops, because when they looked for evidence…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

are about two and a half pages maximum. I don't know about you. How many pages could you get about your personal sex life? I'm thinking two and a half pages. But Galen, or Jizz Lane, has 418 pages, and I think we can all be impressed by that, because that's some serious activity there. And here's t…

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MainContent Two Movie Screen

every part of everything that you have to think that's part of the decision. But here's the more impressive part that you can kind of miss because you're focusing on the laptop story. And it goes like this. How would you like to be running against an incumbent president who had done so well in fore…

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MainContent Luck, Skill & Timing

d be genuinely surprised as of today. Now, of course, anything could change in the next couple weeks, right? But as of today, I'd be amazed if he lost. Because in my world the news has been fake for a full four years, so I don't take any of this seriously. And in my world the polls are obviously fak…

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MainContent Energy & Mood Management

r regular CEO who just got hired, didn't invent anything, didn't innovate, just sort of worked up through the ranks, I don't know if that CEO makes that much difference. So that's the Dilbert view of it. I've set the slaughter meter at 100%, meaning that as of today, if nothing changed, President T…

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Tangent General Commentary

if this is one of those election year things. It's like you turn on the news. It's like, well, somebody's blaming Russia for something and something something about an old white man's penis. Must be election time. But you know I've told you before that elections are won or lost based on fear. So wh…

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MainContent Media & Fake News

A British publication owned by an Australian, Rupert Murdoch. Yeah, Rupert Murdoch has to break the news because it's basically just locked down from most of the American outlets. Now, of course the right-leaning outlets are covering it. And so once you know that Joe Biden was the big guy, once you…

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MainContent Cognitive Reframing

a massive voter suppression campaign. Now, of course none of this is true, and it's been traced back to Iran. But if you were gonna make up some kind of a BS story to influence somebody's election, you couldn't do better than that. Because first of all, there aren't that many Proud Boys. Second of…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

t if I had not seen the video where there's a very big factory that looks like a big industrial processing plant. So it looks like somebody put some tens or hundreds of millions of dollars into building it. So I got a feeling that somebody saw something that was convincing because they put many mill…

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NewsReaction Climate & Environment

do? You're going to need to impeach your own guy so you can get Kamala in the top spot, because that's what you wanted anyway. And if Joe Biden makes it easy to remove him — and of course he might just say my health is failing, I'm sorry, I didn't realize my health would fail on the day I got inaugu…

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QandA General Commentary

e to the end. But maybe Biden wins and they impeach him on the first day. I'm looking at one of my critics. Somebody says, Jesus, you weren't right, and get over it for frick's sake. How can you say I'm not right when anybody voting for Biden believes they're voting for a Kamala? Now, it's not tech…

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Closing General Commentary

ill talk to you. Somebody says that I believe in QAnon. No, idiot. I'm the opposite of the person who believes in QAnon. You'd have to be pretty ignorant to think that about me. Bye for now. All right, that's it for now.

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Hey everybody, come on in. Come on in. You found the right place. Of all the places on earth, nay, in the universe that you could be, you found the very best place at the right time. Congratulations to you. Your instincts are perfect.

And if you'd like to enjoy this even more — I know it's hard to believe, right, because you're already enjoying it so much. You're thinking, wait, did you say more? I could enjoy this more than I already am? Uh, wait, wait, I know it's hard to believe, but all you need is a copper mug or a margarita glass or a tankard or a chalice or a canteen, a jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better — everything except for Rudy Giuliani's shirt. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

Let's talk about all the good stuff in the news, because there's lots of it. And in no particular order, once again we have some new fake news about U.S. officials being allegedly targeted by a sonic weapon all around the world. That's right. It's not just a sonic weapon that is attacking our Cuban embassy, allegedly. It's a sonic weapon that's being used against American officials all over the world.

And take a guess. Take a guess who is being credited, or at least suspected of being behind these totally true attacks that, although there is no evidence whatsoever that there is such a weapon that's attacking these people, the complete lack of evidence suggests only one person. That's right. In normal criminal or other kinds of activities, what you would do is you would look for evidence, and then you would say, where does this evidence lead us? And then that would tell you, maybe if you did it right, that would tell you who was guilty of the crime.

But there's one exception to that. If you find a crime or an alleged crime that may or may not exist, such as sonic attacks all over the world, if you find no evidence of a weapon and you find no evidence of anybody behind the attacks, what does that tell you? Obviously everybody. Everybody. That's right. If there's no evidence, it's Russia. I think we've learned that. We learned it with Biden's laptops, because when they looked for evidence of who was behind it, there was none. What's that tell you? That's right, Putin.

So if you find a crime with no evidence of who was behind it, that's always Putin, because who else is so clever that they could have a sonic weapon being employed all over the globe, one person after another, no evidence? Only Putin could do that. Nobody else. So that's your news of the day.

We also have news that Ghislaine Maxwell's — let's pause for a moment to enjoy all the different ways we can pronounce Ghislaine Maxwell's first name. Jizz Lane, Gizlane, Just Laney, Glenn, Kishlane, Jeez Lane. Any of those are fine. I'm gonna go with Galen, because Jizz Lane is a little too on the nose, isn't it? A little too on the nose.

Apparently her extremely personal, as it's being called, 418-page deposition is made public, revealing secrets about Jeffrey Epstein's alleged madame's sex life. That's right. She has a deposition of 418 pages about her sex life. Does that make you feel bad? You should, because I feel as if I were deposed by law enforcement on my personal sex life, I don't know if I would have 418 pages. I feel like, depending on how succinctly I were to write my stories, I think my stories are about two and a half pages maximum. I don't know about you. How many pages could you get about your personal sex life? I'm thinking two and a half pages. But Galen, or Jizz Lane, has 418 pages, and I think we can all be impressed by that, because that's some serious activity there.

And here's the question I ask. I understand that she's being accused of horrible crimes. As far as I know, she has not been convicted of any horrible crimes. Am I right? She has not been convicted of any crimes. But is she not being punished already? Don't we usually punish people after they're convicted? Because if you were to release 418 pages of my personal sexual life, well, first of all, I'd be pretty proud about that, I think, because, you know, 418 pages, pretty impressive. But how is that right? Don't get lost in the fact that Epstein was a monster. Ghislaine was a monster. We all agree on that. We stipulate she's probably a monster. All indications. But is it our system that we punish them before they're found guilty in a court of law? In what way is this okay? How is it okay to release this private information before she's found guilty? I get that maybe there's some legal technicality or a public interest, but really, really, I feel like there's something terribly wrong with this, even if it turns out to be legal. And again, I'm not defending Jizz Lane, but I wouldn't want that standard applied to anybody else, would you?

Trump has been ramping up his campaign. He's going to do more events toward the end of the election cycle than ever before. So he's got more energy, more activity, at the same time that Joe Biden is basically hiding. He put the lid on. And so I tweeted, figuratively speaking, and this won't be funny to all of you, you have to have a certain background, but it seems that Trump is smoking Biden's lid at the same time that he's simultaneously eating Biden's lunch. That's right. He's smoking his lid while eating his lunch. I'm just proud of that pun, and I thought I'd share it with you. You don't need to remember it.

We've got the debate tonight. Big debate. Everybody going to watch the debate. I'll tell you, Trump has made politics entertaining in a way that we're really, really going to miss whenever he leaves office. And I hope that, you know, whatever day that is that Trump leaves office, I hope he doesn't leave the public stage, because we still need a certain amount of Trumpiness just to be interested. I don't know that I could get so interested in court packing and any of this other stuff if Trump wasn't part of the story.

So the debate will be tonight. The ratings will be huge, huge, I say. And of course the big debate is that the Trump campaign wants the questions to include foreign policy, and apparently that's not going to happen. There's some disagreement about whether that was ever part of the plan or not. But can somebody do a fact check on me? Would that mean that none of the debates involved foreign policy? Right? I don't know what you call the town halls, but we would have no debate on foreign policy. Correct me if I'm wrong, but something like 50% of a president's job is foreign policy, right? Depends how you count it, but at least half of the job conceptually is foreign policy. How do you not have a debate on that? How is that not even part of the mix?

Well, I have the answer for you. Do you know why it's not part of the debate? Because what you're thinking is, no, no, that would expose Biden to the questions about Hunter's laptop. That's why. You know the fix is in. Well, that might be part of it. I would certainly think that that's part of the decision. We do live in a world where bias is so baked into every part of everything that you have to think that's part of the decision.

But here's the more impressive part that you can kind of miss because you're focusing on the laptop story. And it goes like this. How would you like to be running against an incumbent president who had done so well in foreign affairs that it doesn't need to be part of the debate? Think about that. Talk about unfreaking precedented. Trump did so well — and this is not, I don't think this is an exaggeration, is it? You know, listen to it, let it settle in, and then you tell me if I'm exaggerating. I don't think I am. Trump did so well in foreign affairs that it doesn't need to be part of the conversation. I think that's what's happening right in front of us.

This is like the most incredible endorsement of a sitting president I've ever seen. You don't need to talk about it. He took ISIS from, honestly, it was one of the biggest things I worried about, to nothing. He took the threat of China, which is still a big thing, and now I feel like it's at least competently being handled in the right way. You don't know how things are going to turn out, but it looks like it's being competently handled in the right way for the first time. Look at the Middle East. I mean, it's crazy. The Middle East has never looked this good. It's just crazy. Look at our trade deals that have been completed. The NAFTA replacement deal, even the critics say, okay, I gotta admit that's better than NAFTA. Look at the South Korea deal, the Japan trade deal. I feel like Trump ran the table on foreign affairs. There's just nothing left to talk about.

The only thing left to talk about is why Biden is so bad at it, and why he's bad at it at the moment because of the laptop story. We'll talk about that in a minute. So I think they should just cancel the debate. I think if your debate doesn't want to cover half of the president's job because he did such a good job there's nothing to talk about, maybe you don't need a debate. But I guess they'll have it.

All the people who have believed that the news for the last four years was real are gonna have a real surprise if Trump wins. And I'm going to tell you that it's looking like that pretty strongly at the moment. What is going to happen to all these people who were already in Trump derangement syndrome, and then they experienced four years in which their impression of what was happening for those four years — very separate from maybe what your impression was — but their impression was that they watched a disaster unfold. And it's a disaster of unprecedented historical size. That what Trump did to the country, according to their little bubble view, was so obviously destructive in a gigantic, clear way that there's certainly no way that he could win reelection. And duh. And by the way, the New York Times poll has them down by nine nationally. Nobody wins if they're down by nine a few weeks before the election.

So not only is it obvious he's, according to their little bubble reality, the worst disaster of a presidency ever in the history of the world, and he's way behind in the polls, what happens if he wins? Because it looks like he's going to win. In fact, it really looks like that. In fact, I'd be pretty surprised if he didn't, honestly. I mean, I would be genuinely surprised as of today. Now, of course, anything could change in the next couple weeks, right? But as of today, I'd be amazed if he lost. Because in my world the news has been fake for a full four years, so I don't take any of this seriously. And in my world the polls are obviously fake. Now, not every poll, because the Trafalgar guys were close in 2016, probably they're close again. Rasmussen was close in 2016. And they have a much more narrow margin for the difference, probably enough that the so-called hidden Trump voters will make the difference, I think.

And so my world is complete. Everything that has happened in my perceptions in my bubble made perfect sense the whole way. I saw Trump getting elected because that made sense in my filter of the world. I saw him doing such a good job that you don't even need to talk about foreign policy during a debate. I mean, that's just crazy. Three nominations for Nobel Peace Prize. You can't do much better than that. And before the coronavirus, record unemployment. So those are all the things that I saw. Now, I didn't see coronavirus coming, but I think I could be forgiven for that. Most people didn't. And I don't think he necessarily hit a home run on coronavirus. We'll talk about that in a minute. But everything that I've seen at least makes sense. I can like some things, I can dislike some things, but there's nothing in any of my experience from 2015 probably through election day that will be inconsistent with observation and my filter on the world.

So I don't really have any way to go crazy. In fact, even if Trump didn't win, I'd say, oh, I guess the polls were a little closer than I thought. That's it. My entire worldview could become consistent just by saying, oh, you know, I thought there were more Trump supporters hidden than there were. That's it. And I can instantly be compatible with everything I've observed.

But imagine being a TDS Democrat who honestly believes that Trump was like Satan himself and everybody knows it and there's no way he can get elected again. What if he does? That is a serious mental health problem right there, not to mention civil unrest, which we should expect.

At this point I have a question for you. This is a challenge question on coronavirus. Would you say that this is true, that we still don't know why some countries are relatively more successful than others? Can we say that with certainty yet? Do you feel that that's just a safe statement that experts would generally agree with? Fact check me on this, because I feel like it's safe. It's not one of these hundred percent certainty every person is on the right same side. But as a general statement, tell me if the following is true. Even the experts don't know why some countries are doing better than others on coronavirus. Is that true?

Because even if we say masks work, and the majority of experts do say that, how much do they work? Do they work two percent? Did they work five percent? Because if masks made, let's say, a 50% difference, we'd know that, right? Wouldn't you agree that if the difference between wearing masks and not wearing masks was 50%, hypothetically if it were, we'd all know that? There wouldn't be any conversation about it, because you would just see it. You wouldn't need to do a study at all. You put your masks on, curve goes down every time, every country that does it, as soon as they put their masks on, 50% dip. We'd see that, right?

Now, the scientists do say we are seeing an improvement with masks. So they say if you really dig into the numbers, you do see it. But it feels like it's closer to two percent than fifty percent. Now, I don't know how close to two percent. Maybe it's 25%. I don't know. But it's not 50%. It's somewhere closer to two than 50.

How about the lockdowns? The difference in the lockdowns. Now, the experts are pretty united in saying that the lockdowns make a difference. That's why they do them, and they're doing them all over the world in different places under different circumstances. But generally the experts say lockdowns matter. But do they matter 50 percent or do they matter two percent? Do you know? I don't know. I have no idea. And nor have I seen any kind of study that would suggest the experts know.

Now, common sense tells you it's got to work a little bit, right? The less contact you have with people, how could that not work? So your common sense says it works. But how much? Two? Ten? We don't know. My guess is a lot, but I don't know.

How about leadership differences? How would you measure that? Because suppose you said, okay, we don't have enough leadership. This leader, some specific leader, is not going hard enough on masks. Well, suppose you were to agree that Trump's treatment of masks has been insufficiently supportive of masks. He does support masks, but he's not gung-ho on it. He's not really pushing it. And that gives people permission to be a little ambiguous about it themselves. I would say that's true. Leadership makes some difference.

But suppose the masks or not masks were only two percent of the difference, and you only got that two percent if mostly everybody complied. But what happens if 20% of the public doesn't comply? Well, then you don't get your full two percent. That's reduced by, let's say, 20%. But it's 20% of two percent. Could you tell, given all the other variables that are involved? You could maybe say yes, we should have done more on masks or done them sooner or done them differently. But it's still going to look like — and again, this is I'm asking for a fact check. Don't take this as a statement of fact. I'm no expert on masks. But the feeling I have, based on my survey of the available information as unreliable as it is, is that whatever Trump did mask-wise, it probably was a 20% difference on a two percent variable.

And to get that difference, what he traded off was we had a little more freedom. Perhaps people felt a little more free on masks. Was that worth 20% of two percent? Well, depends. If it's somebody in your family who died, you would think not. But conceptually people might think yes.

So if you added together all the effects of the masks or no masks, lockdowns and how they're done, and the leadership differences, I think if you put them all together it wouldn't really come close to explaining the different countries' behaviors. And I would say at this point genetics has to be seen as one of the big variables that we need to discover.

Now, somebody on Twitter who I'm not aware of their credentials, but somebody who looked like they knew what they were talking about — and I'll ask you to fact check this too — says that Swedes and Germans have a genetic similarity that is known to be good for avoiding disease. Is that real? So can somebody do me a fact check on this? There's some specific genetic thing which is known. We have a name for that little gene, whatever it is. Yeah, it's got a series of letters and numbers or something. And that gene is known to be in Swedes and Germans and gives them better result on things such as viruses. True or false? Give me a fact check on that. Because if it turns out that's true, I feel like we're done here in terms of understanding it.

Now, vitamin D. I think I've been saying for a while I think it's a bigger variable than anybody's admitting. And we know some countries supplement, such as Sweden. So we'll find out about that anyway.

I'm gonna die on this hill because I'm the Dilbert author, and my entire life of cartooning way prior to coronavirus, I've been saying consistently and for 30 years that leaders get credit for things that are just luck, and they get blamed for things which are just bad luck. And the leader usually has a lot less to do with the success than we give them credit for. They tend to be just in the right place at the right time. Now, there are differences, of course. Your Steve Jobs, your Bill Gates, yeah, they made a difference. But your regular CEO who just got hired, didn't invent anything, didn't innovate, just sort of worked up through the ranks, I don't know if that CEO makes that much difference. So that's the Dilbert view of it.

I've set the slaughter meter at 100%, meaning that as of today, if nothing changed, President Trump has 100% chance of reelection. But of course we've got over a week. A lot could change. So it doesn't mean it's not a prediction. The slaughter meter is a snapshot in time.

And I kind of feel it now. Do you? Do you feel as though the zeitgeist or the mood of the country, the vibe, the feel, just your gut instinct, does it feel like it changed recently in the last few days? If it feels like two weeks ago was a lifetime ago and it feels like we're feeling something that looks like people know Trump is going to get reelected, doesn't it feel like that now? I don't know if the Democrats in their bubble are feeling that. They may still not be feeling it. But I feel as though that message has even penetrated the Democrats' bubble, and on some level they're kind of scared to death. Whereas I'm seeing that the Republicans are feeling jaunty. Downright jaunty. I don't even know what that means. That's the first time I've ever used that word in public. Is jaunty like happy?

There's also a gigantic enthusiasm difference, where you have the Democrats who want to vote out of this horrid hellscape of a world that's so, you know, it's all they can do. They're beaten down. Yeah, but they can at least vote. Whereas the Trump supporters are seeing it as an opportunity for the best party ever. Which one goes to the polls?

If I said to you, Scott, you've got two choices. One, you can go across town and vote or fill out your ballot or whatever, and you might make some tiny difference in this giant hellscape of a problem. To which I'd say, well, okay, if I can make a tiny difference, I guess I want to vote a little bit. It doesn't sound like it'll make much difference, but you know, it's a hellscape, and if my vote could help, maybe. And then compare that to we're going to have an incredible party. You're not going to want to miss this party. It's going to be lit. We're going to be laughing and joking and chanting all night long. And when Trump wins, it's going to be the laugh and the feel-good vibe. It's going to feel like 2016 all over again, maybe even better. Where do you see the memes of the screaming Democrats? It's gonna be great.

Now, which one of those gets more people to go to the polls? One of them is a party, and the other one's a wake. Which one gets you off the couch? It's the party. It's the party.

Here's a little sign of the times. You know when you wake up and you see that half of the news cycle is just one story after another of an older white man's penis. So now we've got the Rudy Giuliani story. We had the Jeffrey Toobin story. You know, we've got the Ghislaine Maxwell story, which is really about Jeffrey Epstein's penis. And it feels to me as if this is one of those election year things. It's like you turn on the news. It's like, well, somebody's blaming Russia for something and something something about an old white man's penis. Must be election time.

But you know I've told you before that elections are won or lost based on fear. So whoever has a fear of things the way they're going is more likely to vote because they want to get rid of that fear. But it's starting to make me think that Democrats have a deep-seated fear of older white men's penises, because it seems like a lot of these stories come from them. So just putting that out there.

So here's the big story of the day. Joe Biden's ex-business partner has come forward and admitted that the emails are real, that the reference to the quote big guy is definitely Hunter Biden, and that the Biden family was all part of the decisions because they were all part of the scheme. Pretty believable, isn't it?

Now, we live in a world where you can't really trust any news. So who is this business partner? Is he sketchy? Can we believe him? You have to ask all those questions. But it feels true, doesn't it? And that's all that's gonna probably matter between now and election day, unless his credibility takes a bigger hit than I'm expecting. It's gonna feel true.

Now, who broke the news? Let me check. Who broke that news about Hunter Biden's business partner? Which American news outlet was all over that? New York Times? No. See, Huffington Post? Nothing. Nothing. Nope. A British publication owned by an Australian, Rupert Murdoch. Yeah, Rupert Murdoch has to break the news because it's basically just locked down from most of the American outlets. Now, of course the right-leaning outlets are covering it.

And so once you know that Joe Biden was the big guy, once you know that the emails are real and that there's a real witness, and here's the funniest part of the story. The reason that Joe Biden's business partner was willing to come forward and throw the Bidens under the bus was because they screwed him. He felt like they screwed him, and they were making deals with the Chinese behind his back, and he wasn't part of the money stream. So note to future schemers: if there's anybody who you're scheming with, you should cut them in on your deals. If you don't give your business partner a little bit of that sweet, sweet Chinese money, he might turn on you. And looks like that's what happened.

And of course this is an ex-military guy, so it gives it a little more weight, right? Lieutenant Tony Bobulinski.

Now, in any kind of a normal world in which things work the way they used to, or things work the way they should, or things work the way you would like them to work, wouldn't the Biden campaign announce either one of two things? Either he's withdrawing from the race, right? Wouldn't you expect that Joe Biden would just drop out of the race? Because I think he's going to jail. Well, no, I guess it probably isn't illegal, or at least people that rich tend not to go to jail even if they do things illegal. But it's so obviously, verifiably sketchy that you can't really have that guy as your president. That's just not a thing.

And if Trump had ever done or the Trump family had ever done anything, anything in that universe of badness, I feel like we'd know about it by now. I mean, it's the most vetted family in the history of families, so we'd kind of know about that.

So given that the reason that Joe Biden was selected to run against Trump — and I think you would agree this is true — the primary reason he was selected is that he seemed like he was the honest guy who could run against Trump, right? It seemed like it was the honest guy. But now we have absolute — I would say this is very credible. You can't trust anything absolutely in this day and age, but it looks pretty credible to me that Joe Biden is criminally — I would say criminally. I'll say that with a caveat that it doesn't mean literally criminal. I don't know about that part. But in terms of how bad it feels, it's criminally bad, if I could use the word figuratively.

And we know that he's a habitual liar, which was the other thing that he was running against Trump for. Now, I'm not going to defend Trump's fact-checking. I'm not suicidal. That would be crazy. Yeah, Trump has some fact-checking irregularities, let's say, maybe 20,000 of them. But Biden was running against that. And now he's demonstrated to have lied about the laptop. He lied about Trump calling service people losers and suckers. That never happened. He lied about the fine people hoax. He's lied about what Trump's going to do with health care. Basically he is the most thorough liar since, I don't know, Hillary Clinton.

So does his team see this or not? Because I feel like they don't see it. It's still hidden from them because they're not going to read a British publication for the most part. They're just going to read CNN and whatever they were reading before, and they just won't know. And we could actually get to election day with most of the public, or most of the Democrats, most of them not knowing the biggest story in the country. They won't know it because that's how thoroughly the news and social media is managed by the gatekeepers. And that's mind-blowing. It's even hard for me to hold it in my head.

And I've speculated this, that the way we're acting as a country doesn't seem related to what we're observing. Because I think we're all observing, especially with the Clapper and Brennan stuff trying to say there was Russian disinformation on the laptop, we're observing with no ambiguity whatsoever, in my opinion, the leaders and important people who have run our government acting so illegitimately that they should be run off the stage, and if not jailed in some cases. And yet what will happen to these people who are actively trying to overthrow the government, actively running a disinformation campaign against the American people from the experience of being the heads of intel agencies? Is anything worse than that? Like if you were to make a list of the worst things anybody could do, I suppose you'd have like genocide up at the top, but somewhere in the top five would be ex-intel heads running a disinformation campaign in their own country. That's really close to the top of bad behavior.

And what will happen because of it? In my prediction, nothing. My prediction is that Brennan and Clapper will just go on with their life. There'll be no penalty, no nothing. And it's mind-boggling. And I try to think to myself — thinking to myself is the way I do it a lot. A lot of people think to other people, I guess. But what I think, I can't reconcile what we're clearly observing with the complete lack of activity or action to be the response to it. The response is completely disconnected from the observation now.

And here's the best way I can explain it. Our brain can't accept what we're seeing, and so we're rejecting it as actually happening. Your brain can't really process that the ex-heads of intel are running a disinformation campaign, and it's the second time they've done it. And the Russia collusion thing is completely transparent now, completely discovered to have been an illegal or at least illegitimate disinformation campaign in the effort to overthrow the legally elected government of the United States. And what will you do about it tomorrow? Nothing. What will I do about that? Nothing. What will the government do about it? As far as I can tell, nothing. And what will the public do about it in terms of how it changes their votes? It won't. It won't even change a vote, because the people who didn't like the Democrats still don't like them, and vice versa.

So my best guess in terms of the psychology of what's happening is that because the thing we're observing can't exist — it does exist, it absolutely 100% exists, and we're looking right at it — but it can't exist in our minds. Our mind can't say that that's real even while we're looking at it. And so we go on with our lives as if it were not real, because we can't reconcile it. It just can't be part of my mental model because it doesn't fit anywhere. I think that's what's happening. That's my best understanding of why we could be observing this and our actions have nothing to do with the observation. We just can't handle it.

John Ratcliffe, I guess. His last name is Ratcliffe. Let me say this. If you wanted to have a high public official, let's say the head of intel, and you wanted to give him a last name that would make you feel that he's telling you the truth and you can trust this guy, you would not want his last name to be Ratcliffe, because I don't like rats and I don't like cliffs and I don't like rats standing on cliffs, because none of that's good. So he needs to change his name to something I can feel better about. Ratcliffe, come on, simulation.

So he says that there's no evidence of Russian disinformation, which of course the news on the right turns into there's proof of no Russian disinformation, which is not what happened, because you can't prove something didn't happen. We can only say there's no evidence of it, which is close to being the same, but it's not the same. Could it be that the Russians had found a way to do it without being discovered? Well, hypothetically I suppose. But I believe the Russians were not involved with this laptop.

But we do have news now that Russia and Iran are interfering with the elections. I don't know what the Russian examples were, but the Iranian example was hilarious. I think that we give the foreign intelligence groups a little bit too much credit, because I don't have the exact text here, but apparently Iran is being blamed for making up some fake social media posts that blame the Proud Boys for the, I guess the allegation is that the Proud Boys would be at election places and threatening to beat people up who didn't vote for Trump, and therefore the Proud Boys are part of a massive voter suppression campaign.

Now, of course none of this is true, and it's been traced back to Iran. But if you were gonna make up some kind of a BS story to influence somebody's election, you couldn't do better than that. Because first of all, there aren't that many Proud Boys. Second of all, this doesn't sound even a little bit true. Thirdly, the Proud Boys don't do anything like that. The Proud Boys are not an offensive organization, right? Correct me if I'm wrong. But no matter what you think of the Proud Boys, my understanding of them is that they don't start fights. They're pretty good at finishing fights, and they seem to enjoy fights and drinking and fellowship and whatever else they're doing. But under no scenario can you see the Proud Boys going somewhere to intimidate somebody into voting differently. It's sort of ridiculous because it doesn't make any sense with who they are as an organization. Even if you don't like them, it doesn't make any sense with who they are.

So I asked myself, are you telling me that Iran can't do a better job than that? I mean, I'm not going to make myself available to Iran for consulting, but if I did, I'm pretty sure they could have had a better product than that. That was pretty lame.

So the Proud Boys will not beat you up if you vote. I feel like I can say this with some confidence. The Proud Boys will not beat you up if you vote. Because you know what the Proud Boys like? Hold on, this will blow your mind, and Iran doesn't know this apparently. But do you know what the Proud Boys like? Voting. Yeah, yeah, the Proud Boys like voting because they're patriots. Is there any patriot who doesn't like voting? Is there a patriot who thinks that we should discourage people from voting? That's sort of the opposite, pretty much the opposite of the Proud Boys. And it's not my job to defend the Proud Boys. So later when somebody says, whoa, that's Scott Adams, he was defending the Proud Boys. That's just not my job. I'm just telling you there's an inconsistency with who they are and with this Iranian thing.

Here's the good news. Climate change has been solved. Okay, maybe I'm getting ahead of myself a little bit, but apparently this following story is very real because I saw the video of the company that can do this. They found a way. A company did, called Newlight Technologies, and they found a way to make biodegradable plastic alternatives out of CO2. They can take CO2, I think, out of the air and turn it into plastic straws that are not plastic. They're made out of the CO2. So they can remove greenhouse gases, and at the same time they can turn it into biodegradable plastic replacements so you don't need the petroleum and it doesn't sit in your ocean and not degrade for thousands of years. That's like a really big thing.

You know, I've been saying since the beginning that although climate change appears real as far as I can tell — you know, my best guess is that the science of humans influencing climate is basically real. I don't know if they have every detail right, and I don't believe predictions over 80 years ever. There's no situation where I would believe that. But I think the basic problem is almost certainly real. I could be wrong, but that's my current take on it.

But I have been saying that you don't need to worry about the end of the earth or anything like it, because people are really good at adjusting and finding solutions, and we have lots of time. This is the sort of thing that you could have predicted was coming if you read my book Loserthink. You see a bunch of other examples in there of companies that are doing similar things. They're turning CO2 into some kind of product, or they're finding innovative new energy sources. So I think we're going to solve climate change, and this might be part of it. Might be good.

Is everybody going to — somebody's asking if it's fake. You know, I would have thought it was fake, or at least I would have been less believing of it if I had not seen the video where there's a very big factory that looks like a big industrial processing plant. So it looks like somebody put some tens or hundreds of millions of dollars into building it. So I got a feeling that somebody saw something that was convincing because they put many millions of dollars into building that thing.

What's the name of the company? I don't think that they have any stock. I would imagine that they're private. But in the story it's called Newlight Technologies, and Newlight is one word. Newlight. And the product they're calling AirCarbon, all one word, AirCarbon.

So who knows? We might see a thousand stories like this, and maybe 990 of them are not real in the end. But I feel like this one might be.

Looking at some of your questions. Somebody's asking me, didn't you predict Biden would pick Kamala because she has a personal connection? Yes, I did. Now, given the Biden laptop story and given that the partner has confirmed it, and I think that's going to hold — you know, sometimes you have to wait 48 hours because everything you hear about a new story turns out to be false and two days later it's obvious. But I don't think we're gonna find out that this Biden partner is lying, because it would be a weird lie, wouldn't it? You know, anybody could lie for any reason. But the way the partner responded to the story and his reason for coming forward and his details, that reads true to me, just completely true.

So I'm expecting that story to hold. And doesn't that take away the negative contention? Wouldn't you say it kind of makes it as if Kamala is the one running for president? And at this point here's what I would expect. If Joe Biden got elected, they would have to start impeachment proceedings on inauguration day, wouldn't they? Now, just do a fact check with me. If the facts hold up that the Biden business partner is telling the right story, and if his version is true that the entire Biden family is basically a criminal organization using Hunter as the rainmaker to give funds that would benefit all of them, if that's true and it certainly looks like it's true, and if Biden somehow got elected anyway, wouldn't you have to start impeachment on inauguration day? Right? Is that an exaggeration?

Now, depending on who's in charge of Congress, your odds of succeeding in impeachment may be close to zero. But I'm wondering if even the Democrats wouldn't impeach him at this point. Imagine you're a Democrat and you get a Biden-Harris ticket and they win. Imagine they win. It could happen. Anything could happen. I'm still predicting Trump will win easily. But imagine they win. What's the first thing you're going to need to do? You're going to need to impeach your own guy so you can get Kamala in the top spot, because that's what you wanted anyway. And if Joe Biden makes it easy to remove him — and of course he might just say my health is failing, I'm sorry, I didn't realize my health would fail on the day I got inaugurated, but there it is, I'm stepping aside. So he probably wouldn't get impeached. He would probably get talked into saying that his health isn't so good and maybe it's time to go, and Kamala is a good replacement.

So let me ask you this. A few days before election, what do you think of my prediction that Kamala would be the candidate? Right? Because even when Kamala got picked as vice president and you said to yourself, okay, Scott, I get your argument that Joe is declining mentally, so maybe she's really the real candidate. And everybody sort of agreed with that. The entire press, I think even the Democrats agreed with that case. But now with the laptop story that really makes Biden completely non-viable, regardless of his health. So it feels to me like Kamala Harris is the candidate, because I don't imagine any scenario in which Biden could not be impeached upon inauguration or resign so he doesn't have to get impeached.

I do think it's too close to election for them to change the ticket. If they did, it would be an amazing thing, as I don't even know if it's possible. I suppose they could just say it verbally and say, hey everybody, you're really voting for Kamala. You just treat it like she's the candidate. I suppose they could just say that and that would be good enough. People would get the message. But I don't think they'll physically change the ticket. It's too close to the end. But maybe Biden wins and they impeach him on the first day.

I'm looking at one of my critics. Somebody says, Jesus, you weren't right, and get over it for frick's sake. How can you say I'm not right when anybody voting for Biden believes they're voting for a Kamala? Now, it's not technically right, but it's about as right as you can be while being technically wrong. I don't know how you could be more right but still technically wrong than this example.

That's all for now, and I will talk to you. Somebody says that I believe in QAnon. No, idiot. I'm the opposite of the person who believes in QAnon. You'd have to be pretty ignorant to think that about me. Bye for now.

All right, that's it for now.

hey everybody come on in come on in you found the right place of all the places on earth nay in the universe that you could be you found the very best place at the right time congratulations to you your instincts are perfect and if you'd like to enjoy this even more i know it's hard to believe right because you're already enjoying it so much you're thinking wait did you say more i could enjoy this more than i already am uh wait wait i know it's hard to believe but all you need is a copper margarita glass of tank for challenges i had a canteen jagger flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes everything better everything except for rudy giuliani's shirt it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now go ah let's talk about all the good stuff in the news because there's lots of it and um in no particular order once again we have some new fake news about uh u.s officials being allegedly allegedly targeted by a sonic weapon all around the world that's right it's not just a sonic weapon that is attacking our cuban embassy allegedly it's a sonic weapon that's being used against american officials all over the world and take a guess take a guess who is being credited or at least suspected of being behind these totally true attacks that although there is no evidence whatsoever that there is such a weapon that's attacking these people the complete lack of evidence suggests only one person that's right in normal criminal or other kinds of activities what you would do is you would look for evidence and then you would say where does this evidence lead us and then that would tell you maybe if you did it right that would tell you who was guilty of the crime but there's one exception to that if you find a crime or an alleged crime that may or may not exist such as sonic attacks all over the world if you find no evidence of a weapon and you find no evidence of anybody behind the attacks what does that tell you obviously everybody everybody that's right if there's no evidence it's russia i think we've learned that we learned it with biden's laptops because when they looked for evidence of who was behind it there was none what's that tell you that's right putin so if you find a crime with no evidence of who was behind it that's always putin because who else is so clever that they could have a sonic weapon being employed all over the globe one person after another no evidence only putin could do that nobody else so that's your news of the day we also have news that galen maxwell's let's pause for a moment to enjoy all the different ways we can pronounce galaine maxwell's first name jizz lane gizlane just laney glenn kishlane jeez lane any of those are fine i'm gonna go with galen because jizz lane is a little too on the nose isn't it a little too on the nose all right um apparently her extremely personal as it's being called 418 page deposition is made public revealing secrets about jeffrey epstein's alleged madame's sex life that's right she has a deposition of 418 pages about her sex life does that make you feel bad you should because i feel as if i were deposed by law enforcement on my personal sex life i don't know if i would have 480 pages i feel like depending on how succinctly i were to write my stories i think my stories are it's about a two and a half pages maximum i don't know about you how many pages could you get about your personal sex life i'm thinking two and a half pages but galen or jizzling um has 418 pages and i think we can all be impressed by that because that's some serious activity there all right and here's the question i ask i understand that she's being accused of horrible crimes as far as i know she has not been convicted of any horrible crimes am i right she has not been convicted of any crimes but is she not being punished already don't we usually punish people after they're convicted because if you were to release 418 pages of my personal sexual uh life well first of all i'd be pretty proud about that i think because you know 418 pages pretty pretty impressive but how is that right you know don't don't get lost in the fact that epstein was a monster galain was a monster we all agree on that we stipulate she's probably a monster you know all indications but is it our system that we punish them before they're guilty i mean found guilty in a court of law in in what way is this okay how is it okay to release this private information before she's found guilty like i i get that maybe there's some legal technicality or a public interest but really really i feel like there's something terribly wrong with this even if it turns out to be legal um and again i'm not defending jizz lane but i wouldn't want that standard applied to anybody else would you all right um trump has been ramping up his campaign he's going to do more uh more events toward the end of the election cycle than ever before so he's more energy more more activity at the same time that joe biden is basically hiding he put the lid on and so i tweeted figuratively speaking figuratively speaking and this won't be funny to all of you you have to have a certain background but it seems that trump is smoking biden's lid yeah at the same time that he's simultaneously eating biden's lunch that's right he's smoking his lid while eating his lunch i'm just proud of that pun and i thought i'd share it with you you don't need to remember it all right so we got the debate tonight big debate everybody going to watch the debate i'll tell you trump has made politics entertaining in a way that we're really really going to miss whenever he leaves office and i hope that you know whatever day that is that trump leaves office i hope he doesn't leave the public stage because we still need a certain amount of trumpiness just to be interested i don't know that i could get so interested in court packing and any of this other stuff if trump wasn't part of the story so the debate will be tonight the ratings will be huge huge i say and of course the big debate is that the trump campaign wants the questions to include foreign policy and apparently that's not going to happen there's some disagreement about whether that was ever part of the plan or not but can somebody do a fact check on me would that mean that none of the debates or uh yeah that would mean that none of the debates involved foreign policy right i don't know what you call the town halls but we would have no debate on foreign policy correct me if i'm wrong but something like 50 of a president's job is foreign policy right you know depends how you how you count it but at least half of the job conceptually is foreign policy how do you not have a debate on that how is that not even part of the mix well i have the answer for you do you know why it's not part of the debate because what you're thinking is no no that would be it would expose biden to the questions about hunter's laptop that's why you know the fix is in well that might be part of it i would certainly think that that's part of the part of the decision we do live in a world where bias is so baked into every part of everything that you have to think that's part of the decision but here's the more impressive part that you can kind of miss because you're focusing on the laptop story and it goes like this how would you like to be running against an incumbent president who had done so well in foreign affairs that it doesn't need to be part of the debate think about that talk about unfreaking precedented trump did so well and this is not i don't think this is an exaggeration is it you know listen to it let it settle in and then you tell me if i'm exaggerating i don't think i am trump did so well in foreign affairs that it doesn't need to be part of the conversation i think that's what's happening right in front of us this is like the most incredible endorsement of a sitting president i've ever seen you don't need to talk about it he took he took isis from honestly it was one of the biggest things i worried about to nothing he took the threat of china which is still a big thing and now i feel like it's it's at least competently being handled in the right way you know you don't know how things are going to turn out but it looks like it's being competently handled in the right way for the first time look at the middle east i mean it's crazy the middle east has never looked this good it's just crazy look at our trade deals that have been completed you know the nafta replacement deal even the critics say oh okay i gotta admit that's better better than nafta look at the south korea deal the japan trade deal i feel like i feel like trump ran the table on foreign affairs there's just nothing left to talk about the only thing left to talk about is why bat why biden is so bad at it and why he's bad at it at the moment because of the laptop story we'll talk about in a minute so i think they should just cancel the debate i think if your debate doesn't want to cover half of the president's job because he did such a good job there's nothing to talk about maybe you don't need a debate but i guess they'll have it all right um all the people who have believed that the news for the last four years was real are gonna have a real surprise if trump wins and i'm going to tell you that it's looking like that pretty strongly at the moment what is going to happen to all these people who were already in trump derangement syndrome and then they experienced four years in which their impression of what was happening for those four years very separate from maybe what your impression was but their impression was that they they watched a disaster unfold and it's a disaster of unprecedented historical size that what trump did to the country according to their their little bubble view was so obviously destructive in a gigantic clear way that there's certainly no way that he could win reelection and duh and by the way the new york times poll has them down by nine nationally nobody wins if they're down by nine a few weeks before the election so not only is it obvious he's according to their little bubble reality that it's the worst disaster of a presidency ever in the history of the world and he's way behind in the polls what happens if he wins because it looks like he's going to win in fact it really looks like that in fact i'd be pretty surprised if he didn't honestly i mean i would be genuinely surprised as of today now of course anything could change in the next couple weeks right but as of today i'd be amazed if he lost because in my world the news has been fake for a full four years so i don't take any of this seriously and in my world the polls are obviously fake now not every poll because the the trafalgar guys were close in 2016.

probably they're close again rasmussen was close in 2016.

and they and they have a you know much more narrow margin for the the difference probably enough that the the so-called the hidden trump voters will make the difference i think and so my world is complete everything that everything that has happened in my perceptions in my bubble made perfect sense the whole way i saw trump getting elected because that made sense in my filter of the world i saw him doing such a good job that you do you don't even need to talk about foreign policy during a debate i mean that's just crazy three nominations for nobel peace prize you can't do much better than that and you know before the coronavirus record unemployment so those are all the things that i saw now i didn't see coronavirus coming but i think i could be forgiven for that most people didn't um and you know i don't think he necessarily hit a home run on coronavirus we'll talk about that in a minute but everything that i've seen at least makes sense you know i can like some things i can dislike some things but there's nothing in any of my experience from 2015 probably through election day that will be inconsistent with observation and my filter on the world so i don't really have any way to go crazy in fact even if trump didn't win i'd say oh i guess i guess the polls were a little closer than i thought that's it my entire world view could be become consistent just by saying oh you know i thought there were more more trump supporters hidden than there were that's it and i can instantly be compatible with everything i've observed but imagine being a tds democrat who honestly believes that trump was like satan himself and everybody knows it and there's no way he can get elected again what if he does that is serious mental health problem right there not to mention civil unrest which we should expect all right um at this point i have a question for you this is a challenge question on coronavirus would you say that this is true that we still don't know why some countries are relatively more successful than others can we say that with certainty yet do you feel that that's just a safe statement that experts would generally agree with fact check me on this because i feel like it's safe you know it's not it's not one of these hundred percent certainty every person is on the right same side but as a general statement tell me if the following is true even the experts don't know why some countries are doing better than others on coronavirus is that true because even if we say masks work and the majority of experts do say that how much do they work do they work two percent did they work five percent because if masks made let's say a 50 difference we'd know that right wouldn't you agree that if the difference between wearing masks and not wearing masks was 50 hypothetically if it were we'd all know that there wouldn't be any conversation about it because you would just see it you wouldn't need to do a study at all you put your masks on curve goes down every time every country that does it as soon as they put their masks on 50 dip we'd see that right now the scientists do say we are seeing an improvement with masks so they say if you really dig into the numbers you do see it but it feels like it's closer to two percent than fifty percent now i don't know how close to two percent maybe it's 25 i don't know but it's not 50.

it's somewhere closer to two than 50.

how about the lockdowns the difference in the lockdowns now the experts are pretty pretty united in saying that the lockdowns make a difference that's why they do them and they're they're doing them all over the world in different places under different circumstances but generally the experts say lockdowns matter but do they matter 50 percent or do they matter two percent do you know i don't know i have no idea and nor have i seen any kind of study that would suggest the experts know now common sense tells you it's got to work a little bit right the less contact you have with people how could that not work so your common sense says it works but how much 2 10 we don't know you know my guess is a lot but i don't know how about leadership differences how would you measure that because suppose you said okay we don't have enough leadership of this leader some specific leader is not going hard enough on masks well suppose suppose you you were to agree that trump's treatment of masks has been insufficiently uh supportive of mass he does support mass but he's not gung-ho on it he's not really pushing it and that gives people permission to be a little ambiguous about it themselves i would say that's true leadership makes some difference but suppose the masks or not masks were only two percent of the difference and you only got that two percent if mostly everybody complied but what happens if twenty percent of the public doesn't comply well then you don't get your full two percent that's reduced by let's say twenty percent but it's twenty percent of two percent could you tell given all the other variables that are involved you could maybe say yes we should have done more on masks or done them sooner or done them differently but it's still going to look like and again this is i'm asking for a fact check don't take this as a statement of fact i'm no expert on masks but the feeling i have based on my survey of the you know available information as unreliable as it is is that whatever trump did mask wise it probably was a 20 difference on a two percent variable and to get that difference what he traded off was we had a little more freedom perhaps people felt a little more free on masks was that worth twenty percent of two percent well depends if it's somebody in your family who died you would think not but conceptually people might think yes so if you added together all the effects of the masks or no mass lockdowns and how they're done and the leadership differences i think if you put them all together it wouldn't really come close to explaining the different countries behaviors and i would say at this point genetics has to be seen as one of the big variables that we need to discover now somebody on twitter who i'm not aware of their credentials but somebody who looked like they knew what they were talking about and i'll ask you to fact check this too says that swedes and germans have a genetic similarity that is known to be good for um avoiding disease are you is that real so can somebody do me a fact check on this there's some specific genetic thing which is known you know we we have a name for that little gene whatever it is yeah it's got a series of letters and numbers or something and that that gene is known to be in swedes and germans and gives them better result on things such as viruses true or false give me give me a fact check on that because if it turns out that's true i feel like we're done here in terms of understanding it now vitamin d i think i've been saying for a while i think it's a bigger variable than anybody's admitting and we know some countries supplement such as sweden so we'll find out about that anyway i'm i'm gonna uh i'm gonna die on this hill because i'm the the dilbert author and my entire life of cartooning way prior to coronavirus i've been saying consistently and for 30 years that leaders get credit for things that are just luck and they get blamed for things which are just bad luck and the leader usually has a lot less to do with the success than we give them credit for you know they they tend to be just in the right place at the right time now there are differences of course your steve jobs your bill gates yeah they made a difference but your regular ceo who just got hired didn't invent anything didn't innovate just sort of worked worked up through the ranks i don't know if that ceo makes that much difference so that's the dilbert view of it i've set the slaughter meter at a hundred percent meaning that as of today if nothing changed president trump has 100 chance of reelection but of course we got over a week a lot could change so it doesn't mean uh it's not a prediction the slaughter meter isn't it's a snapchat snapchat and time snapchat a snap shot in time um and i kind of feel it now do you do you feel as though the the zeitgeist or the the mood of the country the vibe the feel just your gut instinct does it feel like it changed recently in the last few days if it feels like two weeks ago was a lifetime ago and it feels like we're feeling something that looks like people know trump is going to get reelected doesn't it feel like that now i don't know if the democrats in their bubble are feeling that they may still not be feeling it but i feel as though that message has even penetrated the democrats bubble and on some level they're kind of scared to death whereas i'm seeing that the republicans are feeling jaunty downright jaunty i don't even know what that means that's the first time i've ever used that word in public is jaunty like happy um you all there's also a gigantic enthusiasm difference where you have the democrats who want to vote uh out of this horrid hellscape of a world that's so you know it's all they can do they're beaten down yeah but they can at least vote whereas the trump supporters are seeing it as an opportunity for the best party ever which one goes to the polls if i said to you is uh scott you've got two choices one you can go across town and vote or fill out your ballot or whatever and uh you might make some tiny difference in this giant hellscape of a problem to which i'd say well okay if i can make a tiny difference i guess i want to vote a little bit it doesn't sound like it'll make much difference but you know it's a hellscape and if my vote could help maybe and then compare that to we're going to have an incredible party you're not going to want to miss this party it's going to be lit we're going to be laughing and joking and chanting all night long and when trump wins it's going to be the laugh and the feel-good vibe that's it's going to feel like 2016 all over again maybe even better where do you see the memes of the screaming democrats it's gonna be great now which one of those gets more people to go to the polls one of them is a party and the other one's awake which one gets you off the couch it's the party it's the party all right uh here's a little uh sign of the times um you know when you wake up and you see the half of the news cycle is just one story after another of an older white man's penis so now we've got the rudy giuliani story we had the the jeffrey toobin story you know we've got the galen maxwell story which is really about jeffrey epstein's penis and it feels to me as if this is one of those election year things it's like you turn on the news it's like well um somebody's blaming russia for something and uh something something about an old white man's penis must be election time um but you know i've told you before that elections are won or lost based on fear so whoever has you know a fear of things the way they're going is more likely to vote because they want to you know get rid of that fear but it's starting to make me think that democrats have a deep-seated fear of older white men's penises because it seems like a lot of these stories come from them so just putting that out there so here's the big story of the day that uh uh so joe biden's uh ex-business partner has uh come forward and admitted that the emails are real that the reference to the quote big guy is definitely hunter biden and that the biden family was all part of the decisions because they were all part of the the scheme pretty believable isn't it now we live in a world where you can't really trust any news so you know who is this business partner is he sketchy can we believe him you know you have to ask all those questions but it feels true doesn't it and that's all that's gonna probably matter between now and election day unless unless his credibility takes a bigger hit than i'm expecting it's gonna feel true now who broke the news uh let me check uh who broke that news about hunter biden's business partner which which american news outlet was all over that uh new york times no see uh huffington post uh nothing nothing um you know nope a british publication owned by an australian rupert murdoch yeah rupert murdoch has to break the news because it's basically just locked down from most of the american outlets now of course the right-leaning outlets are covering it and so once you know that joe biden was the big guy once you know that the emails are real and that there's a real witness and here's the funniest part of the story the reason that joe biden's business partner was willing to come forward and throw the bidens under the bus was because they screwed him he felt like they screwed him and they were making deals with the chinese behind his back and he wasn't part of the the money stream so note to future schemers if there's anybody who you're scheming with you should cut them in on your deals if you don't if you don't give your business partner a little bit of that sweet sweet chinese money he might turn on you and uh looks like that's what happened so that's uh and of course this is an ex-military guy so it gives it a little more weight right lieutenant tony uh bobolinsky now in any kind of a normal world in which things work the way they used to or things work the way they should or things work the way you would like them to work wouldn't the biden campaign announce either one of two things either he's withdrawing from the race right wouldn't you expect that joe biden would just drop out of the race because i think he's going to jail well no i guess it probably isn't illegal or at least people that rich tend not to go to jail even if they do things illegal but it's so obviously verifiably sketchy that you can't really have that guy as your president that's just not a thing and if trump had ever done or the trump family had ever done anything anything in that universe of badness i feel like we'd know about it by now i mean it's the most vetted family in the history of families so we'd kind of know about that so given that the reason that joe biden was selected to run against trump and i think you would agree this is true the primary reason he was selected is that he seemed like he was the honest guy who could run against trump right it seemed like it seemed like uh it was the honest guy but now we have absolute i would say this is very credible you know you can't trust anything absolutely in this day and age but it looks pretty credible to me that joe biden is um criminally i would say criminally i'll say that with a caveat that it doesn't mean literally criminal i don't know about that part but in terms of how bad it feels it's criminally bad if i could use the words figuratively and we know that he's a habitual liar which was the other thing that he was running against trump for now i'm not going to defend trump's fact-checking i'm not i'm not suicidal that would be crazy yeah trump has some fact-checking uh irregularities let's say maybe 20 000 of them but biden was running against that and now he's demonstrated to have lied about the laptop he lied about trump's calling service people losers and suckers that never happened he lied about the fine people hoax he's lied about uh he lied about what trump's going to do with health care basically he is the most thorough liar since i don't know hillary clinton um so does his team see this or not because i feel like they don't see it it's still hidden from them because they're not going to read a british publication for the most part they're just going to read cnn and whatever they were reading before and they just won't know and we could actually get to election day with most of the public or most of the democratic republic the democrats most of them not knowing the biggest story in the country they won't know it because that's how thoroughly the news and social media is managed by the gatekeepers and that's it's mind-blowing it's it's even hard it's hard for me to hold it in my head and i've speculated this that the way we're acting as a country doesn't seem related to what we're observing because i think we're all observing especially with the clapper and brennan stuff trying to say there was russian disinformation on the laptop we're we're observing with no ambiguity whatsoever in my opinion the you know leaders and important people who have run our government acting um so illegitimately that they should be run off the stage and if not jailed in some cases and yet what will happen to these people who are actively trying to overthrow the government actively running a disinformation campaign against the american people from the from the experience of being the heads of intel agencies is anything worse than that like if you were to make a list of the worst things anybody could do you know i suppose you'd have like genocide up at the top but somewhere in the top five would be ex-intel heads running a disinformation campaign in their own country that's really close to the top of bad behavior and what will happen because of it in my my prediction is nothing my prediction is that brennan and clapper will just go on with their life there'll be no penalty no no nothing and it's mind-boggling and i try to i try to think to myself why thinking to myself is the way i do it a lot of people think to other people i guess but what i think i can't reconcile what we're clearly observing with the complete lack of activity or action to be the response to it the response is completely disconnected from the observation now and here's the best way i can explain it our brain can't accept what we're seeing and so we're rejecting it as actually happening your brain can't really process that the ex-heads of intel are running a disinformation campaign and it's the second time they've done it and the russia collusion thing is completely transparent now completely discovered to have been an illegal you know or at least illegitimate disinformation campaign in the effort to overthrow the legally elected government of the united states and what will you do about it tomorrow nothing what will i do about that nothing what will the government do about it as far as i can tell nothing and what will the vote what will the public do about it in terms of how it changes their votes it won't it won't even change a vote because the people who didn't like the democrats still don't like him and vice versa so my best guess in terms of the psychology of what's happening is that because the thing we're observing can't exist it does exist it absolutely 100 exists and we're looking right at it but it can't exist in our minds our mind can't say that that's real even while we're looking at it and so we go on with our lives as if it were not real because we can't we can't reconcile it it just can't be part of my my mental model because it doesn't fit anywhere i think that's what's happening that's my best understanding of why we could be observing this and our actions have nothing to do with the observation we just can't handle it all right um rap i guess james ratcliffe is that his first name but his last name is ratcliffe um let me say this if you wanted to have a high public official let's say the head of intel and you wanted to give him a last name that would make you feel that he's telling you the truth and you can trust this guy you would not want his last name to be rat cliff because i don't like rats and i don't like cliffs and i don't like rats standing on cliffs because none of that's good so he needs to change his name to something i can i can feel better about ratcliffe come on simulation all right so he says that there's no evidence of russian disinformation which of course the news on the right turns into there's proof of no russian disinformation which is not what happened because you can't prove something didn't happen we can only say there's no evidence of it which is close to being the same but it's not the same could it be that the russians had found a way to do it without being discovered well hypothetically i suppose but i i believe the russians were not involved with this laptop but we do have news now that russia and iran are interfering with the elections i don't know what the russian examples were but the iranian example was hilarious i think that we give the foreign intelligence groups a little bit too much credit because i i don't have the exact uh text here but apparently iran is being blamed for making up some fake uh social media posts that blame the proud boys for uh the i guess the allegation is that the proud boys would be at uh election places and threatening to beat people up who didn't vote for trump and therefore the proud boys are part of a massive voter suppression campaign now of course none of this is true and it's been traced back to iran but if you were gonna if you were gonna make up some kind of a you know a bs story to influence somebody's election you couldn't do better than that because first of all there aren't that many proud boys second of all this doesn't sound even a little bit true thirdly the proud boys don't do anything like that the the proud boys are not an offensive organization right correct me if i'm wrong but no matter what you think of the proud boys my understanding of them is that they don't start fights they're pretty good at finishing fights and they seem to enjoy fights and drinking and you know fellowship and whatever else they're doing but under under no scenario can you see the proud boys going somewhere to intimidate somebody into voting differently it's sort of ridiculous because it doesn't make any sense with who they are as an organization even if you don't like them it doesn't make any sense with who they are so i asked myself are you telling me that iran can't do a better job than that i mean i'm not going to make myself available to iran for consulting but if i did i'm pretty sure they could have had a better product than that that was pretty lame all right um so the the proud boys will not be you up if you if you vote i feel like i can say this with some confidence the proud boys will not beat you up if you vote because you know what the proud boys like hold on this will blow your mind and iran doesn't know this apparently but do you know what the proud boy is like the voting yeah yeah the proud boys like voting because they're they're patriots is there any patriot who doesn't like voting is there a patriot who thinks that we should discourage people from voting that's sort of the opposite pretty much the opposite of the proud voice and it's not my job to defend the proud boys so later when somebody says who that's scott adams he was defending the proud boys that's just not my job i'm just telling you there's an inconsistency with their who they are and with this iranian thing um here's the good news climate change has been solved okay maybe i'm getting ahead of myself a little bit but apparently this following story is very real because i saw the video of the company that can do this they found a way a company did uh called new light technologies and they found a way to make biodegradable plastic alternatives out of co2 they can take co2 i think out of the air and turn it into plastic straws that are not plastic they're made out of the co2 so they can remove greenhouse gases and at the same time they can turn it into biodegradable plastic replacements so you don't need the petroleum and it doesn't sit in your ocean and not degrade for thousands of years that's like a really big thing you know i've been saying since the beginning that although climate change appears real as far as i can tell you know my best guess is that uh the science of humans influencing climate is basically real i don't know if they have every detail right or and i i don't believe predictions over 80 years ever there's no situation where i would believe that but i you know i think the the basic problem is almost certainly real i could be wrong but that's my that's my current take on it um but i have been saying that you you don't need to worry about the end of the earth or anything like it because people are really good at adjusting and finding solutions and we have lots of time this is the sort of thing that you could have predicted was coming if you read my book loser think you see a bunch of other examples in there of companies that are doing similar things they're turning co2 into some kind of product uh or they're finding innovative new energy sources so i think we're going to solve climate change and this might be might be part of it might be good all right is everybody going to somebody's asking if it's fake you know i would have thought it was fake or at least i would have been less believing of it if i had not seen the video where there's a very big factory that looks it looks like a big industrial uh processing plant so it looks like somebody put some you know tens or hundreds of millions of dollars into building it so i got a feeling that somebody saw something that was convincing because they put many millions of dollars into building that thing um what's the name of the company i don't think that they have any stock i would imagine that they're private but in the story it's called new light technologies and new light is one word new light and the product they're calling air carbon all one word air carbon all right so who knows we might see a thousand stories like this and maybe 990 of them are not real in the end but uh i feel like this one might be um looking at some of your questions somebody's asking me didn't you predict biden would pick kamala because she has a personal connection yes i did now given the uh the biden laptop story and given that the partner has confirmed it and i think that's going to hold you know sometimes you have to wait 48 hours because everything you hear about a new story turns out to be you know false and two days later it's obvious but i don't think we're gonna find out that this biden partner is lying because it would be a weird lie wouldn't it you know anybody could lie for any reason but uh the way the the way the partner responded to the story and his reason for coming forward and his details that reads true to me just completely true um so i'm expecting that story to hold and doesn't that take by the negative contention wouldn't you say it kind of makes it as if kamala is the one running for president and at this point here's what i would expect if joe biden got elected they would have to start impeachment proceedings on inauguration day wouldn't they now just do a fact check with me if if the facts hold up that the biden business partner is telling the right story and if his version is true that the entire biden family is basically a criminal organization using hunter as the the rain maker to to give funds that get funds that would benefit all of them if that's true and it certainly looks like it's true and if biden somehow got elected anyway wouldn't you have to start impeachment on inauguration day right that is that an exaggeration now depending on who you know who's in charge of congress your odds of succeeding in impeachment maybe you know close to zero but i'm wondering if even the democrats wouldn't impeach him at this point imagine you're a democrat and you get a biden harris ticket and they win imagine they win it could happen anything could happen i'm still predicting trump will win easily but imagine they win what's the first thing you're going to need to do you're going to need to impeach your own guy so you can get kamala in the top spot because that's what you wanted anyway and if joe biden makes it easy to remove him and of course he might just say my health is failing i'm sorry i didn't realize my health would fail on the day i got inaugurated but there it is i'm stepping aside so he probably wouldn't get impeached he would probably get talked into saying that his health isn't so good and maybe it's time to go and kamala is a good replacement so let me ask you this a few days before election what do you think of my prediction that kamala would be the candidate right because even even when kamala got picked as vice president and you said to yourself okay scott i get your argument that joe is is declining mentally so maybe she's really the the real candidate and everybody sort of agreed with that the entire the entire press i think even the democrats agreed with that case but now with the the laptop story that really makes biden completely non-viable regardless of regardless of his health so it feels to me like kamal harris is the candidate because i don't imagine any scenario in which biden could not be impeached upon inauguration or or resign so he doesn't have to get impeached i do think it's too close to election for them to change the ticket if they did it would be an amazing thing as i don't even know if it's possible i suppose i could just say it verbally and say hey everybody you're really voting for kamala you just treat it like she's the candidate i suppose i could just say that and that would be good enough people would get the message but i don't think they'll physically change the tickets to too close to the end but maybe maybe biden wins and they impeach him on on the first day all right i'm looking at one of my critics somebody says jesus you weren't right and get over it for for frick's sake how can you say i'm not right when anybody voting for biden believes they're voting for a kamala now it's not technically right but it's about as right as you can be while being technically wrong i don't know how you could be more right but still technically wrong than this example all right that's all for now and i will talk to you somebody says that i believe in q anon no idiot i'm the opposite of the person who believes in cu anon you'd have to be pretty ignorant to to think that about me bye for now all right that's it for now

hey everybody

come on in come on in you found the

right place

of all the places on earth

nay in the universe that you could be

you found

the very best place at the right time

congratulations to you your instincts

are perfect and if you'd like to enjoy

this

even more i know it's hard to believe

right

because you're already enjoying it so

much you're thinking wait did you say

more

i could enjoy this more than i already

am

uh wait wait i know it's hard to believe

but all you need is a copper margarita

glass of tank for challenges i had a

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a vessel of any kind fill it with your

favorite liquid i like coffee and join

me now for the unparalleled pleasure the

dopamine hit of the day

the thing that makes everything better

everything

except for rudy giuliani's shirt

it's called the simultaneous sip and it

happens now go

ah

let's talk about all the good stuff in

the news

because there's lots of it and um

in no particular order once again we

have some new fake news about

uh u.s officials being allegedly

allegedly targeted by a sonic weapon

all around the world that's right it's

not just a sonic weapon that

is attacking our cuban embassy

allegedly it's a sonic weapon that's

being used against

american officials all over the world

and take a guess

take a guess who is being credited

or at least suspected of being behind

these totally true attacks that although

there is no evidence whatsoever

that there is such a weapon that's

attacking these people

the complete lack of evidence suggests

only one person that's right in normal

criminal or other kinds of activities

what you would do is you would look for

evidence

and then you would say where does this

evidence lead us

and then that would tell you maybe if

you did it right that would tell you who

was guilty of the crime

but there's one exception to that if you

find a crime

or an alleged crime that may or may not

exist

such as sonic attacks all over the world

if you find no evidence of a weapon

and you find no evidence of anybody

behind the attacks

what does that tell you obviously

everybody everybody that's right if

there's no evidence

it's russia i think we've learned that

we learned it with biden's laptops

because when they looked for evidence of

who was behind it

there was none what's that tell you

that's right putin so if you find a

crime with

no evidence of who was behind it that's

always putin because who else is so

clever

that they could have a sonic weapon

being employed all over the globe

one person after another no evidence

only putin could do that nobody else

so that's your news of the day

we also have news that galen maxwell's

let's pause for a moment to enjoy

all the different ways we can pronounce

galaine maxwell's first name

jizz lane gizlane just laney

glenn kishlane jeez lane

any of those are fine i'm gonna go with

galen

because jizz lane is a little too on the

nose isn't it

a little too on the nose all right um

apparently her extremely personal as

it's being called

418 page deposition is made public

revealing secrets about jeffrey

epstein's alleged

madame's sex life that's right

she has a deposition of 418 pages

about her sex life does that make

you feel bad you should because i feel

as if i were deposed

by law enforcement on my personal sex

life

i don't know if i would have 480 pages

i feel like depending on how

succinctly i were to write my stories

i think my stories are it's about a

two and a half pages maximum i don't

know about you how many pages could you

get

about your personal sex life i'm

thinking two and a half pages

but galen or jizzling um

has 418 pages and i think we can all be

impressed by that because

that's some serious activity there all

right

and here's the question i ask i

understand that she's being accused of

horrible crimes

as far as i know she has not been

convicted

of any horrible crimes am i right she

has not been convicted

of any crimes but is she not being

punished already

don't we usually punish people after

they're convicted

because if you were to release 418 pages

of my

personal sexual uh life well first of

all i'd be pretty proud about that i

think

because you know 418 pages pretty

pretty impressive but

how is that right you know don't don't

get lost in the fact that

epstein was a monster galain was a

monster

we all agree on that we stipulate she's

probably a monster

you know all indications but is it

our system that we punish them before

they're guilty

i mean found guilty in a court of law in

in what way is this okay how is it okay

to release this private information

before she's found guilty

like i i get that maybe there's some

legal

technicality or a public interest but

really

really i feel like there's something

terribly wrong with this

even if it turns out to be legal um

and again i'm not defending jizz lane

but i wouldn't want that standard

applied to anybody else

would you all right

um trump has been ramping up his

campaign

he's going to do more uh more events

toward the end of the election cycle

than ever before so he's more energy

more

more activity at the same time that

joe biden is basically hiding he put the

lid on

and so i tweeted figuratively speaking

figuratively speaking and this won't be

funny to all of you

you have to have a certain background

but it seems that trump is smoking

biden's lid

yeah at the same time that he's

simultaneously eating biden's lunch

that's right he's smoking his lid while

eating his lunch

i'm just proud of that pun and i thought

i'd share it with you

you don't need to remember it all right

so we got the debate tonight

big debate everybody going to watch the

debate

i'll tell you trump has made politics

entertaining in a way that we're really

really going to miss

whenever he leaves office and i hope

that

you know whatever day that is that trump

leaves office

i hope he doesn't leave the public stage

because we still need

a certain amount of trumpiness

just to be interested i don't know that

i could get so interested in

court packing and any of this other

stuff if trump wasn't part of the story

so the debate will be tonight the

ratings will be huge

huge i say and of course the big debate

is that the trump campaign wants the

questions to include

foreign policy and apparently that's not

going to happen

there's some disagreement about whether

that was ever part of the plan

or not but can somebody do a fact check

on me

would that mean that none of the debates

or

uh yeah that would mean that none of the

debates involved

foreign policy right i don't know what

you call the town halls

but we would have no debate on foreign

policy

correct me if i'm wrong but something

like 50

of a president's job is foreign policy

right you know depends how you

how you count it but at least half of

the job

conceptually is foreign policy

how do you not have a debate on that how

is that

not even part of the mix well i have the

answer for you

do you know why it's not part of the

debate because what you're thinking is

no no that would be

it would expose biden to the questions

about hunter's laptop

that's why you know the fix is in well

that might be part of it

i would certainly think that that's part

of the part of the decision

we do live in a world where bias is so

baked into every part of everything that

you have to think that's part of the

decision but here's

the more impressive part

that you can kind of miss because you're

focusing on the laptop story

and it goes like this how would you like

to be running against

an incumbent president who had done

so well in foreign affairs that it

doesn't need to be part of the debate

think about that talk about unfreaking

precedented trump did so well

and this is not i don't think this is an

exaggeration is it

you know listen to it let it settle in

and then you tell me if i'm exaggerating

i don't think i am trump did so well

in foreign affairs that it doesn't

need to be part of the conversation

i think that's what's happening right in

front of us

this is like the most incredible

endorsement of a sitting president

i've ever seen you don't need to

talk about it he took he took isis

from honestly it was one of the biggest

things i worried about

to nothing he took the threat of china

which is still a big thing and now i

feel like it's

it's at least competently being handled

in the right way

you know you don't know how things are

going to turn out but it looks like it's

being competently handled in the right

way

for the first time look at the middle

east

i mean it's crazy the middle east has

never looked this good

it's just crazy look at our

trade deals that have been completed you

know the nafta replacement deal

even the critics say oh okay i gotta

admit that's better

better than nafta look at the south

korea deal

the japan trade deal i feel like

i feel like trump ran the table on

foreign affairs

there's just nothing left to talk about

the only thing left to talk about

is why bat why biden is so bad at it

and why he's bad at it at the moment

because of the

laptop story we'll talk about in a

minute so

i think they should just cancel the

debate

i think if your debate doesn't want to

cover

half of the president's job because he

did such a good job there's nothing to

talk about

maybe you don't need a debate but i

guess they'll have it

all right um

all the people who have believed that

the news

for the last four years was real

are gonna have a real surprise

if trump wins and i'm going to tell you

that it's looking like that

pretty strongly at the moment what is

going to happen to all these people who

were already in

trump derangement syndrome and then they

experienced four years

in which their impression of what was

happening

for those four years very separate from

maybe what your impression was

but their impression was that they they

watched a disaster unfold

and it's a disaster of unprecedented

historical size that what trump did to

the country according to their

their little bubble view was so

obviously destructive in a

gigantic clear way

that there's certainly no way that he

could win reelection

and duh and by the way the new york

times poll has them down by nine

nationally nobody wins if they're down

by nine a few weeks before the election

so not only is it obvious he's according

to their little bubble reality

that it's the worst disaster of a

presidency

ever in the history of the world and

he's way behind in the polls

what happens if he wins because

it looks like he's going to win in fact

it really looks like that in fact

i'd be pretty surprised if he didn't

honestly

i mean i would be genuinely surprised as

of today now of course anything could

change in the next

couple weeks right but as of today i'd

be amazed if he lost

because in my world the news has been

fake

for a full four years so i don't take

any of this seriously

and in my world the polls

are obviously fake now not every poll

because the the trafalgar guys were

close in 2016.

probably they're close again rasmussen

was close in 2016.

and they and they have a you know much

more narrow margin for the the

difference

probably enough that the the so-called

the hidden

trump voters will make the difference i

think

and so my world is

complete everything that everything that

has happened

in my perceptions in my bubble made

perfect sense

the whole way i saw trump getting

elected

because that made sense in my filter of

the world

i saw him doing such a good job that you

do

you don't even need to talk about

foreign policy during a debate

i mean that's just crazy three

nominations for

nobel peace prize you can't do much

better than that

and you know before the coronavirus

record unemployment

so those are all the things that i saw

now i didn't see coronavirus coming

but i think i could be forgiven for that

most people didn't

um and you know i don't think he

necessarily hit a home run on

coronavirus we'll talk about that in a

minute

but everything that i've seen at least

makes sense

you know i can like some things i can

dislike some things

but there's nothing in any of my

experience from

2015 probably through election day

that will be inconsistent with

observation and my filter on the world

so i don't really have any way to go

crazy in fact even if trump didn't win

i'd say oh i guess i guess the polls

were a little closer than i thought

that's it my entire world view

could be become consistent just by

saying oh

you know i thought there were more more

trump supporters hidden than there were

that's it and i can instantly be

compatible with everything i've observed

but imagine being a tds democrat

who honestly believes that trump was

like satan himself and everybody knows

it

and there's no way he can get elected

again what if he does

that is serious mental health problem

right there

not to mention civil unrest which we

should expect

all right um at this point i have a

question for you

this is a challenge question on

coronavirus

would you say that this is true that we

still don't know why some countries are

relatively more successful than others

can we say that with certainty yet do

you feel that that's just a safe

statement

that experts would generally agree with

fact check me on this because i feel

like it's

safe you know it's not it's not one of

these hundred percent

certainty every person is on the right

same side but as a general statement

tell me if the following is true even

the experts

don't know why some countries are doing

better than others on coronavirus

is that true because even if we say

masks

work and the majority of experts do say

that

how much do they work do they work

two percent did they work five percent

because if masks made let's say a 50

difference we'd know that right

wouldn't you agree that if the

difference between wearing masks and not

wearing masks

was 50 hypothetically if it were

we'd all know that there wouldn't be any

conversation about it

because you would just see it you

wouldn't need to do a study at all

you put your masks on curve goes down

every time

every country that does it as soon as

they put their masks on

50 dip we'd see that

right now the scientists do say we are

seeing an improvement with masks

so they say if you really dig into the

numbers you do see it

but it feels like it's closer to two

percent

than fifty percent now i don't know how

close to two percent maybe it's 25

i don't know but it's not 50. it's

somewhere closer to two than 50. how

about

the lockdowns the difference in the

lockdowns

now the experts are pretty pretty united

in saying that the lockdowns make a

difference that's why they do them

and they're they're doing them all over

the world in different places

under different circumstances but

generally the experts say lockdowns

matter

but do they matter 50 percent

or do they matter two percent

do you know i don't know i have no idea

and nor have i seen any kind of study

that would suggest

the experts know now common sense tells

you

it's got to work a little bit right the

less contact you have with people

how could that not work so your common

sense says it works

but how much 2

10 we don't know you know my guess is

a lot but i don't know how about

leadership

differences how would you measure that

because suppose you said okay we don't

have enough leadership

of this leader some specific leader is

not

going hard enough on masks well suppose

suppose you you were to agree that

trump's

treatment of masks has been

insufficiently

uh supportive of mass he does support

mass

but he's not gung-ho on it he's not

really pushing it

and that gives people permission to be a

little ambiguous about it themselves

i would say that's true leadership makes

some difference

but suppose the masks or not masks

were only two percent of the difference

and you only got that two percent

if mostly everybody complied

but what happens if twenty percent of

the public

doesn't comply well then you don't get

your full

two percent that's reduced by let's say

twenty percent but it's twenty percent

of two percent

could you tell given all the other

variables that are involved

you could maybe say yes we should have

done more on masks or done them sooner

or done them differently

but it's still going to look like and

again this is i'm asking for a fact

check

don't take this as a statement of fact

i'm no expert on masks

but the feeling i have based on my

survey of the

you know available information as

unreliable as it is

is that whatever trump did

mask wise it probably was a 20

difference on a two percent variable

and to get that difference what he

traded off was we had a little more

freedom perhaps

people felt a little more free on masks

was that worth twenty percent of two

percent well

depends if it's somebody in your family

who died you would think not

but conceptually people might think yes

so

if you added together all the effects of

the masks or no mass

lockdowns and how they're done and the

leadership differences

i think if you put them all together it

wouldn't really

come close to explaining the different

countries

behaviors and i would say at this point

genetics

has to be seen as one of the big

variables that

we need to discover now somebody on

twitter who

i'm not aware of their credentials but

somebody who looked like they knew what

they were talking about

and i'll ask you to fact check this too

says that swedes

and germans have a genetic similarity

that is known to be good for um avoiding

disease

are you is that real so can somebody do

me a fact check on this there's some

specific genetic

thing which is known you know we we have

a name for that little gene

whatever it is yeah it's got a series of

letters and numbers or something

and that that gene is known to be in

swedes and germans

and gives them better result on things

such as

viruses true or false give me give me a

fact check on that

because if it turns out that's true i

feel like we're done here

in terms of understanding it now vitamin

d

i think i've been saying for a while i

think it's a bigger variable than

anybody's

admitting and we know some countries

supplement

such as sweden so we'll find out about

that

anyway i'm i'm gonna uh i'm gonna die on

this hill

because i'm the the dilbert author and

my entire life

of cartooning way prior to coronavirus

i've been saying consistently and for 30

years

that leaders get credit for things that

are just luck

and they get blamed for things which are

just bad luck

and the leader usually has a lot less to

do with the success

than we give them credit for you know

they they tend to be just in the right

place at the right time

now there are differences of course your

steve jobs

your bill gates yeah they made a

difference

but your regular ceo who just got hired

didn't invent anything didn't innovate

just sort of worked worked up through

the ranks

i don't know if that ceo makes that much

difference

so that's the dilbert view of it i've

set the slaughter meter at a hundred

percent

meaning that as of today if nothing

changed president trump has 100

chance of reelection but of course we

got over a week

a lot could change so it doesn't mean uh

it's not a prediction the slaughter

meter isn't it's a snapchat

snapchat and time snapchat a snap

shot in time um

and i kind of feel it now do you

do you feel as though the the zeitgeist

or the the mood of the country

the vibe the feel just your gut instinct

does it feel like it changed recently

in the last few days if it feels like

two weeks ago was a lifetime ago and it

feels like

we're feeling something that looks like

people know trump is going to get

reelected

doesn't it feel like that now i don't

know if the democrats in their bubble

are feeling that they may still not be

feeling it

but i feel as though that message has

even penetrated the democrats bubble

and on some level they're kind of

scared to death whereas

i'm seeing that the republicans are

feeling

jaunty downright

jaunty i don't even know what that means

that's the first time i've ever used

that word in public

is jaunty like happy

um you all there's also a gigantic

enthusiasm difference

where you have the democrats who want to

vote

uh out of this horrid hellscape of a

world that's so

you know it's all they can do they're

beaten down

yeah but they can at least vote whereas

the trump supporters are seeing it as an

opportunity for the best party ever

which one goes to the polls if i said to

you is

uh scott you've got two choices one you

can go across town and vote or fill out

your ballot or whatever

and uh you might make some tiny

difference

in this giant hellscape of a problem

to which i'd say well okay if i can make

a tiny difference

i guess i want to vote a little bit it

doesn't sound like it'll make much

difference

but you know it's a hellscape and if my

vote could help

maybe and then compare that to

we're going to have an incredible party

you're not going to want to miss this

party it's going to be

lit we're going to be laughing and

joking and chanting

all night long and when trump wins it's

going to be the laugh

and the feel-good vibe that's it's going

to feel like 2016 all over again maybe

even better where do you see the memes

of the screaming democrats

it's gonna be great now which one of

those gets more people to go to the

polls

one of them is a party and the other

one's awake

which one gets you off the couch it's

the party

it's the party

all right uh here's a little uh sign of

the times um

you know when you wake up and you see

the half of the news cycle

is just one story after another of an

older white man's penis

so now we've got the rudy giuliani story

we had the

the jeffrey toobin story you know we've

got the

galen maxwell story which is really

about jeffrey epstein's penis

and it feels to me

as if this is one of those election year

things

it's like you turn on the news it's like

well um

somebody's blaming russia for something

and uh something something about an old

white man's penis

must be election time um

but you know i've told you before that

elections are won or lost based on fear

so whoever has you know a fear of things

the way they're going

is more likely to vote because they want

to you know get rid of that fear

but it's starting to make me think that

democrats have a deep-seated fear of

older white men's penises because it

seems like a lot of these stories come

from them

so just putting that out there

so here's the big story of the day that

uh

uh so joe biden's

uh ex-business partner

has uh come forward and admitted that

the emails are real

that the reference to the quote big guy

is definitely hunter biden

and that the biden family was all part

of the decisions

because they were all part of the the

scheme

pretty believable isn't it now we live

in a world

where you can't really trust any news so

you know who is this business partner

is he sketchy can we believe him you

know you have to ask all those questions

but it feels true doesn't it

and that's all that's gonna probably

matter between now and election day

unless

unless his credibility takes a bigger

hit than i'm expecting

it's gonna feel true now

who broke the news uh let me check

uh who broke that news about hunter

biden's business partner

which which american news outlet

was all over that uh new york times

no see uh huffington post

uh nothing nothing um you know

nope a british publication

owned by an australian rupert murdoch

yeah rupert murdoch has to break the

news

because it's basically just locked down

from most of the american outlets now of

course the right-leaning

outlets are covering it

and so once you know that joe biden

was the big guy once you know that the

emails are real and that there's a real

witness

and here's the funniest part of the

story the reason that joe biden's

business partner

was willing to come forward and throw

the bidens under the bus

was because they screwed him

he felt like they screwed him and they

were making deals with the chinese

behind his back

and he wasn't part of the the money

stream so

note to future schemers if there's

anybody who you're scheming with

you should cut them in on your deals if

you don't if you don't give your

business partner a little bit of that

sweet sweet chinese money

he might turn on you and uh looks like

that's what happened

so that's uh and of course this is an

ex-military guy

so it gives it a little more weight

right lieutenant tony

uh bobolinsky now

in any kind of a normal world

in which things work the way they used

to

or things work the way they should or

things work the way

you would like them to work wouldn't the

biden campaign

announce either one of two things either

he's withdrawing from the race

right wouldn't you expect that joe biden

would

just drop out of the race because

i think he's going to jail well no i

guess

it probably isn't illegal or

at least people that rich tend not to go

to jail even if they do things

illegal but it's so obviously

verifiably sketchy that you can't really

have that guy as your president

that's just not a thing and if trump had

ever done or the trump family

had ever done anything anything

in that universe of badness i feel like

we'd know about it by now

i mean it's the most vetted family in

the history of families

so we'd kind of know about that so

given that the reason that joe biden was

selected to run against trump and i

think you would agree this is true

the primary reason he was selected

is that he seemed like he was the honest

guy

who could run against trump right

it seemed like it seemed like uh

it was the honest guy but

now we have absolute i would say this is

very credible

you know you can't trust anything

absolutely in this day and age

but it looks pretty credible to me that

joe biden

is um criminally

i would say criminally i'll say that

with a caveat that it doesn't mean

literally criminal

i don't know about that part but in

terms of how bad it feels

it's criminally bad if i could use the

words figuratively

and we know that he's a habitual liar

which was the other thing that he was

running against trump for

now i'm not going to defend trump's

fact-checking

i'm not i'm not suicidal that would be

crazy

yeah trump has some fact-checking uh

irregularities let's say

maybe 20 000 of them but biden was

running against

that and now he's demonstrated to have

lied about the laptop

he lied about trump's calling

service people losers and suckers that

never happened

he lied about the fine people hoax he's

lied about

uh he lied about what trump's going to

do with health care

basically he is the most thorough

liar since i don't know

hillary clinton um so

does his team see this or not because

i feel like they don't see it it's still

hidden from them

because they're not going to read a

british publication

for the most part they're just going to

read cnn and whatever they were reading

before and they just won't know

and we could actually get to election

day with most of the public

or most of the democratic republic the

democrats

most of them not knowing the biggest

story in the country

they won't know it because that's how

thoroughly

the news and social media is managed by

the

gatekeepers and that's it's mind-blowing

it's it's even hard it's hard for me to

hold it in my head

and i've speculated this that

the way we're acting as a country

doesn't seem related

to what we're observing because i think

we're all observing

especially with the clapper and brennan

stuff

trying to say there was russian

disinformation on the laptop

we're we're observing with no ambiguity

whatsoever

in my opinion the you know leaders and

important people who have run our

government acting

um so illegitimately that they should be

run off the stage and

if not jailed in some cases and yet

what will happen to these people who are

actively trying to overthrow the

government

actively running a disinformation

campaign against the american people

from the from the experience of being

the heads of intel agencies

is anything worse than that like if you

were to make a list

of the worst things anybody could do you

know i suppose you'd have like genocide

up at the top

but somewhere in the top five would be

ex-intel heads running a disinformation

campaign

in their own country that's really close

to the top of bad behavior

and what will happen because of it in my

my prediction

is nothing my prediction is that brennan

and clapper will just go on with their

life

there'll be no penalty no no nothing

and it's mind-boggling and i try to i

try to think to myself

why thinking to myself is the way i do

it a lot of people

think to other people i guess but what i

think

i can't reconcile what we're clearly

observing

with the complete lack of activity

or action to be the response to it

the response is completely disconnected

from the observation now

and here's the best way i can explain it

our brain

can't accept what we're seeing and so

we're rejecting it as actually happening

your brain can't really process

that the ex-heads of intel are running a

disinformation campaign

and it's the second time they've done it

and the russia collusion thing is

completely transparent now

completely discovered to have been an

illegal

you know or at least illegitimate

disinformation

campaign in the effort to overthrow the

legally elected government of the united

states

and what will you do about it tomorrow

nothing

what will i do about that nothing

what will the government do about it as

far as i can tell

nothing and what will the vote

what will the public do about it in

terms of how it changes their votes

it won't it won't even change a vote

because the people who didn't like the

democrats still don't like him

and vice versa so my best

guess in terms of the psychology of

what's happening

is that because the thing we're

observing can't exist

it does exist it absolutely 100

exists and we're looking right at it but

it can't exist in our minds

our mind can't say that that's real even

while we're looking at it

and so we go on with our lives

as if it were not real because we can't

we can't reconcile it

it just can't be part of my my mental

model because it doesn't fit anywhere

i think that's what's happening that's

my best understanding of why

we could be observing this and our

actions have nothing to do with the

observation

we just can't handle it all right um

rap i guess james ratcliffe is that his

first name

but his last name is ratcliffe um

let me say this if you wanted to have a

high public official

let's say the head of intel and you

wanted to give him a last name

that would make you feel that he's

telling you the truth

and you can trust this guy you would not

want his last name to be

rat cliff because

i don't like rats and i don't like

cliffs

and i don't like rats standing on cliffs

because none of that's good so he needs

to change his name to something i can

i can feel better about ratcliffe come

on

simulation all right so he says that

there's no evidence of russian

disinformation

which of course the news on the right

turns into

there's proof of no russian

disinformation which is not what

happened

because you can't prove something didn't

happen we can only say there's no

evidence of it

which is close to being the same but

it's not the same

could it be that the russians had found

a way to do it without being discovered

well hypothetically i suppose but i i

believe the russians were not involved

with this

laptop but we do have news now that

russia and iran

are interfering with the elections i

don't know what the russian examples

were

but the iranian example was hilarious

i think that we give the foreign

intelligence groups

a little bit too much credit because i i

don't have the exact

uh text here but apparently iran

is being blamed for making up some fake

uh

social media posts that blame the proud

boys

for uh the i guess the allegation is

that the proud boys

would be at uh election places and

threatening to beat people up

who didn't vote for trump and therefore

the proud boys are part of a massive

voter suppression campaign

now of course none of this is true and

it's been traced back to iran but if you

were gonna

if you were gonna make up some kind of a

you know a bs

story to influence somebody's election

you couldn't do better than that because

first of all there aren't that many

proud boys

second of all this doesn't sound even a

little bit true

thirdly the proud boys don't do anything

like that

the the proud boys

are not an offensive organization

right correct me if i'm wrong but no

matter what you think of the proud boys

my understanding of them is that they

don't start fights

they're pretty good at finishing fights

and they seem to enjoy fights

and drinking and you know fellowship and

whatever else they're doing

but under under no scenario

can you see the proud boys going

somewhere to intimidate

somebody into voting differently it's

sort of ridiculous

because it doesn't make any sense with

who they are as an

organization even if you don't like them

it doesn't make any sense with who they

are

so i asked myself are you telling me

that iran can't do a better job than

that

i mean i'm not going to make myself

available to iran for consulting

but if i did i'm pretty sure they could

have had a better product than that

that was pretty lame all right um

so the the proud boys will not be you up

if you if you vote i feel like i can say

this with some confidence

the proud boys will not beat you up

if you vote because you know what the

proud boys like

hold on this will blow your mind and

iran doesn't know this apparently

but do you know what the proud boy is

like the voting

yeah yeah the proud boys like voting

because they're

they're patriots is there any patriot

who doesn't

like voting is there a patriot

who thinks that we should discourage

people from voting

that's sort of the opposite pretty much

the opposite of the proud voice

and it's not my job to defend the proud

boys so

later when somebody says who that's

scott adams he was defending the proud

boys

that's just not my job i'm just telling

you there's an inconsistency with their

who they are and with this iranian thing

um here's the good news climate change

has been solved

okay maybe i'm getting ahead of myself a

little bit but

apparently this following story is very

real because

i saw the video of the company that can

do this

they found a way a company did uh called

new light technologies and they found a

way to make biodegradable plastic

alternatives out of

co2 they can take co2 i think out of the

air

and turn it into plastic straws

that are not plastic they're made out of

the co2

so they can remove greenhouse gases

and at the same time they can turn it

into biodegradable plastic

replacements so you don't need the

petroleum and it doesn't sit in your

ocean

and not degrade for thousands of years

that's like a really big thing

you know i've been saying since the

beginning that although climate change

appears real as far as i can tell you

know

my best guess is that uh the science

of humans influencing climate is

basically real

i don't know if they have every detail

right or and i i don't believe

predictions over 80 years ever there's

no

situation where i would believe that but

i you know i think the the basic problem

is almost certainly real i could be

wrong but that's my

that's my current take on it um

but i have been saying that you you

don't need to worry

about the end of the earth or anything

like it

because people are really good at

adjusting and finding solutions and we

have lots of time

this is the sort of thing that you could

have predicted was coming if you read

my book loser think you see a bunch of

other examples in there of companies

that are doing similar things they're

turning co2

into some kind of product uh or they're

finding

innovative new energy sources

so i think we're going to solve climate

change and this might be

might be part of it might be good all

right is everybody going to

somebody's asking if it's fake you know

i would have thought it was fake

or at least i would have been less

believing of it

if i had not seen the video where

there's a very big factory that looks

it looks like a big industrial uh

processing plant so it looks like

somebody put

some you know tens or hundreds of

millions of dollars into building it

so i got a feeling that somebody saw

something that was convincing

because they put many millions of

dollars into building that thing

um what's the name of the company i

don't think that they have any

stock i would imagine that they're

private but in the story it's called

new light technologies and new light

is one word new light and the product

they're calling air carbon

all one word air carbon all right

so who knows we might see a thousand

stories like this and maybe 990 of them

are not real

in the end but uh i feel like this one

might be

um looking at some of your questions

somebody's asking me

didn't you predict biden would pick

kamala

because she has a personal connection

yes

i did now given the uh

the biden laptop story and given that

the partner has confirmed it

and i think that's going to hold you

know sometimes you have to wait 48 hours

because everything you hear about a new

story turns out to be you know

false and two days later it's obvious

but i don't think we're gonna find out

that this biden partner

is lying because it would be a weird lie

wouldn't it

you know anybody could lie for any

reason but

uh the way the the way the partner

responded to the story

and his reason for coming forward and

his details

that reads true to me just

completely true um so i'm expecting that

story to hold

and doesn't that take by the negative

contention

wouldn't you say it kind of makes it as

if kamala is the one running for

president

and at this point here's what i would

expect

if joe biden got elected they would have

to start

impeachment proceedings

on inauguration day wouldn't they

now just do a fact check with me if if

the facts hold up

that the biden business partner is

telling the right story

and if his version is true that the

entire biden family is

basically a criminal organization using

hunter as the

the rain maker to to give funds that

get funds that would benefit all of them

if that's true and it certainly looks

like it's true

and if biden somehow got elected anyway

wouldn't you have to start impeachment

on inauguration day right

that is that an exaggeration now

depending on who

you know who's in charge of congress

your odds of succeeding in impeachment

maybe

you know close to zero but i'm wondering

if even the democrats wouldn't

impeach him at this point imagine you're

a democrat

and you get a biden harris ticket and

they win

imagine they win it could happen

anything could happen i'm still

predicting

trump will win easily but imagine they

win

what's the first thing you're going to

need to do

you're going to need to impeach your own

guy so you can get kamala in the

top spot because that's what you wanted

anyway

and if joe biden makes it easy to remove

him

and of course he might just say my

health is failing

i'm sorry i didn't realize my health

would fail on the day i got inaugurated

but there it is

i'm stepping aside so he probably

wouldn't get impeached

he would probably get talked into saying

that his health isn't so good and maybe

it's time to go

and kamala is a good replacement so let

me ask you this

a few days before election what do you

think of my prediction

that kamala would be the candidate

right because even even when kamala got

picked as

vice president and you said to yourself

okay scott i get your argument

that joe is is declining mentally so

maybe she's really the the real

candidate

and everybody sort of agreed with that

the entire the entire press i think even

the democrats agreed with that

case but now with the the laptop story

that really makes biden completely

non-viable regardless of

regardless of his health so it feels to

me

like kamal harris is the candidate

because i don't imagine any scenario

in which biden could not be impeached

upon inauguration or or resign

so he doesn't have to get impeached

i do think it's too close to election

for them to change the ticket

if they did it would be an amazing thing

as

i don't even know if it's possible i

suppose i could just say it verbally and

say

hey everybody you're really voting for

kamala you just treat it like she's the

candidate i suppose i could just say

that and

that would be good enough people would

get the message

but i don't think they'll physically

change the tickets

to too close to the end

but maybe maybe biden wins

and they impeach him on on the first day

all right

i'm looking at one of my critics

somebody says

jesus you weren't right and

get over it for for frick's sake

how can you say i'm not right when

anybody voting for biden

believes they're voting for a kamala now

it's not technically right

but it's about as right as you can be

while being technically wrong

i don't know how you could be more right

but still technically wrong

than this example all right

that's all for now and i will talk to

you

somebody says that i believe in q anon

no

idiot i'm the opposite of the person who

believes in cu anon

you'd have to be pretty ignorant to to

think that about me

bye for now

all right that's it for now