Episode 1261 Scott Adams - Coffee Now!

this is sideways i swear i've had every technical problem you can have oh my god all right so let me tell you what happened there's a software i use called stream yard that lets me do a live stream simultaneously to both uh youtube and periscope now i've used it several times and it's really easy that's what i like about it you just put in your credentials pointed to those services bam and you're in so you're asking me why am i not using that simple service right now well there's one problem with it it doesn't seem to work twice and i don't know why and what happens is the the buttons for going live just don't appear sometimes meaning that there's some kind of mode where you get into that i don't know how they make that so hard basically all you do is put in your credentials and hit go live but sometimes those options exist and sometimes they don't and doesn't seem to be any pattern to it so it didn't work this this morning but i know why you're here you're here for the simultaneous sip the best thing of the day thing that was really you can't go without kenya all right well luckily i'm prepared today got my coffee it's bora bora coffee and if you'd like to enjoy this simultaneous sip all you need is a what copper mug or glass canteen jug now cover a mug of glass uh some other things they hold beverages they'd be like containers there would be several of them and if you cleverly put them together they would be sort of a almost a rhyming kind of a thing and then we would drink and if i had not woken up or awakened which is it if i had not awakened mere moments ago i'd remember that because i do say it every single day it's the reason i read it i can't memorize it but whatever you've got let's do the simultaneous sip go oh that's good all right let's talk about what's going on um of course my notes that i've made are on a device that tells me the power is going to go off at any moment now so here's the funniest story of the week so trump is according to rasmussen polls trump is leaving office or left on his last day with a approval rating of 51 it's not too bad now that's rasmussen of course so you know if you see some other poll you're going to get a different uh a result but also on rasmussen so you use the same methodology same company they have biden at 48 the day he took office so so trump is actually leaving office at at a higher approval rating than the guy who took his job and beat him soundly in the popular vote which makes total sense right now the way that's uh being explained and oh and by the way i want you to know i do know how to turn a phone sideways but it didn't work so none of my technology is working today i've got three devices and five different ways to do this and absolutely none of them work twice in a row uh yeah it's starting to rain pretty uh pretty hard right here so you can see it's not quite sunrise it's gonna be happening pretty soon all right so here are the things that are bugging people who voted for trump so you've got you've got all these data points uh more people go to trump rallies more people watched trump on youtube uh like way more like five times more more people uh let's say uh he has a higher popularity blah blah so people are thinking how in the world could biden have won this election now the the response to that is that people were voting against trump not for biden right now when you first hear that you think okay well that makes a little that makes sense they're voting against somebody so that might not show up but wouldn't that show up in the approval is there somebody who approved of trump did not approve of biden and still voted for biden you know how exactly do you get higher approval of the person you're voting against right now i'm still on the side that says there's no proof whatsoever of any election irregularity that's big enough to change the election there is however also no proof whatsoever that the election was fair now is that a reasonable thing to say you know is it does the election have to prove it's fair or is it the responsibility of those who have claims such as the allegations of fraud is it their responsibility to make their case well if it were a legal case of course you have to you have to prove that there's some crime that happened but in the rare case of an election as i've said before i think the election is the one case where i think the election system has to prove it was not fraudulent meaning it needs to be at least transparent enough or at least auditable enough that if anybody had a question it would be easy to check you just audit it it's transparent see if there's anything to it so this is the just the one example i can think of maybe you can think of another but i can't the one example in the world where the burden of proof should be on the accused i can't think of any other case that would be appropriate but for the election it it is the burden of proof on the election system to prove it was valid and fair and we don't have one that's designed so that it could do that so whether or not you wanted to do that it's not designed that you could so and then apparently we're not moving toward that would you say that the election let's say the election disagreements if you will may be the biggest uh problem in the country immediately what's biden doing to fix it for next time so biden's the president it's his job to fix stuff that's broken and the country almost got torn apart by a belief that the election was not at least transparent enough so what's he doing to fix that nothing every day that biden doesn't do something to improve the transparency of the election i think is evidence of fraud now it may not be evidence of fraud in the past but it's definitely all evidence of fraud in the future because if you don't fix something that's not transparent and in the face of people doubting it fairly uh fairly aggressively doubting it you're not really planning to do it fair next time are you because it seems like you could do a little executive ordering or at least some presidential jaw boning to to make people at least try harder to make the thing transparent but no i don't believe this will ever be a topic he cares about i'll bet he'll say something like well states have to do that they sure ought to do it better maybe but i don't think he's going to go after it now arguably it is a state state issue but that doesn't make it not his problem all right so that's happening and um again i don't have any proof that the election was anything but fair i say that's all remain on social media so biden issued an executive order rescinding one of trump's orders and it's a real uh head scratcher he rescinded trump's order that banned chinese companies which we assume can be controlled by the the government of china to prevent them from selling bulk power systems into our grid now the the worry is that if you get any kind of electronics made by a arrival if you will china that they would have maybe a software way into the whole system they could bring down our electrical grid and they would have tremendous you're disappointed in me for what sassy southern patriot i'll give you about a minute to tell me why you're disappointed in me before i block you all um because it's okay to say anything that is content-wise like why you disagree or what your opinion is or some facts i missed but i don't really wanna i don't really want you to come on here and tell me that you're disappointed because you know what i don't care about your disappointment i do not give a about your disappointment in what i've said because the moment i start caring about that i'm worthless the moment that influences me that one that somebody came on here and said i'm disappointed in you the moment that affects me this is all worthless it's all worthless the moment that that matters to me so i can't let that matter to me so don't bother saying it unless you've got something useful to say okay all right so biden receives this order that would have that by the trump's order that would have kept the chinese companies out of her power grid vendor process now wouldn't you think that rescinding an order like that would number one be headline news didn't see it didn't see it on cnn did not see it on fox news is it is it possibly fake news um so the first question i have is is this real because i because it's not covered on either cnn or fox news at least with a a quick look i didn't see it so if somebody could give me a fact check on that it would be great now it could be that the only thing that's going on is biden is pausing all the executive orders of trump so he can just look into him but what is there to look into what exactly is there to look into in this i don't know what you would look into is there an argument that says that the chinese government should have control of our power network what or is there an argument that maybe it would be racist if we prevented the country of china from controlling our power grid i hope that's not the reason or is it just because trump did it so it has to be undone what exactly is that about now of course every republican is saying uh could it be that china controls biden and that china has secrets about biden or hunter biden or anything like that now i have no reason to believe that any of that is the case well i have reason to believe it i don't have proof of it i have to be careful about my choice of words right um and don't you think that we deserve an explanation don't you think your news should be telling you right now hey there was actually a real good reason for rescinding that it's not obvious but let us explain it so you can feel comfortable with it that's not exactly what's happening right so if we if it's true that he did that biden did rescind that uh eo about the chinese companies in our power grid if it's true and we don't hear any news about it from the major news sources what's that tell you well it would tell you that your news sources are corrupt both on the left and the right anybody who doesn't cover it if it's true if it turns out it's not true and i think that's at least uh i don't know at least a 50 chance right that is not even true that anything happened with that so let's find out about that all right um biden has a little trap that he set for himself which is he's uh branded himself the pro science president so if he does anything that's not pro-science he's got a little extra explaining to do ah good coffee and so every time there's any inconsistency either in logic or math or science it's going to be fun to criticize and by the way everybody who told me scott you're why are you so sad that trump lost and i would i would look at them say well i preferred that he win but do i look sad because i don't feel sad i feel as though criticizing biden will just be like this wonderful like a wonderful delicious meal that i can have every day now the country is in bad shape you know maybe we'll see but you know we'll give them a chance but it doesn't look good so far i mean biden has the worst first weeks or first start of any president i've ever seen but i could be biased let's give him a chance we'll see but here's my question the the democrats have taken the following view which i would argue is maybe not scientifically valid which is that the absence of proof of election fraud is proof of absence of fraud now you know that's not logical right just because you did not prove something happened is not proof it didn't happen because there are lots of things you can't prove happened that did in fact happen so the democrats have sold this to the public through their clowns in the media that that actually makes sense because they're not saying hey we don't know if there's fraud but you haven't proved it which actually would be a fair say the fair thing to say it would be fair to say you have not proven it to you know enough people's satisfaction that's fair but does can you logically go to therefore it's proven it doesn't exist no you can't that is a famous illogical thing which the public has accepted the public has accepted a logical fallacy one of the most famous ones really if you're going to make a list of logical fallacies that would be in the top 10 that the absence of evidence is not evidence of of absence right it's famous it's literally a famous illogical thought and it's and it's the primary news the reason that people are being banned on social media is not just claiming that they're sure that something was fraudulent but beyond that the people doing the banning kind of are buying into the logical fallacy that the absence of proof is proof of absence and that's happening right in front of you while you're looking at it like they don't even care that you know it's not logical it's not only the thing that's mind-boggling is it's not only illogical it's literally a famous example of illogic it's one of the most famous ones and we act like that isn't even true like man let's just act like that's logical we'll just go on with our day and act like that made sense all right so if there are other anti-science or illogical things that come out of the biden administration be sure to notify me because i'd like to mention all of them now to be fair i do think the democrats are on the right side of science you know in a number of cases as you know while i disagree quite a bit with the economic long-term predictions about the doom of climate science i do i do believe that they got the chemistry and the physics right in all likelihood you know you can't you can never know 100 but in all likelihood they did get that right so i think that's the case where the uh conservatives probably need to catch up with where science is on on just the the you know the physics and chemistry of adding co2 blah blah blah and as i said yesterday if you have if you believe that climate science is not real either because the sun had something to do with it instead and you think science didn't look into the sun or you think because there used to be more co2 in the distant past that means something it doesn't because everything else was different than two so i would encourage anybody who's in my audience to catch up with the science on climate change doesn't mean it's the end of the world doesn't mean you need a green new deal doesn't necessarily mean you need windmills or anything like that you don't need to buy into that that's those are different questions but buying into the that just the general question of whether there's warming i feel like it's time i think it's time for the skeptics to say um if you've ever felt yourself fooled before uh this might be one of those i'm seeing somebody else saying they're disappointed wrong disappointed all right so matthew um you i don't know if you caught the earlier discussion but when you say you're disappointed in me for my opinion that agrees with the vast majority of scientists on earth i don't care about your disappointment but i do want to block it because i don't want other people to be poisoned by such a shitty opinion so i've decided that the most interesting person in the world right now is elon musk now you could argue it used to be trump you know he's gonna he's gonna be pulling back from the from the limelight for a while it looks like and elon musk remains i think the most interesting person in the world right now and i've been watching some old youtube video clips of you know famous things that elon musk has said or interviews he's done recently and he doesn't do anything boring you can watch him all day long and whatever he says is just sort of interesting but here's what i like the most about it um elon did an interview in which he was saying that you wouldn't want to be him if you actually knew the internal life he has you know in his head i'm paraphrasing him now but he basically said that he has so many thoughts and ideas and they're streaming at him so quickly and they're so activating meaning that he feels he needs to do something about these ideas that is closer to a curse than some kind of an amazing gift now again i'm paraphrasing so i hope i got that at least approximately correct and i thought to myself there's a gigantic lesson there isn't there yeah he was literally the richest person in the united states you know recently i guess i think bezos overtook him again but you look at that you say well wouldn't that be great wouldn't you like to switch places with the you know first or second richest person in the world and then you hear him talking completely i mean honestly i don't think he was doing any i picked up no false modesty or anything like that it looked completely honest to me that it's really hard to be him and i the more i thought about it the more i was appreciating that point and think about this the biggest problems in the world if you were to look at like the really big ones it would be energy policy and then the related question of climate uh but even if you didn't worry about the climate you would certainly think we need more energy right the the world needs clean energy there's no doubt about that so elon musk you know he's got his electric cars he's got his electric battery company uh tesla the smart people think of it as adam townsend i heard him say this so i i i bought i bought a bunch of tesla stock the minute i heard this because i think adam townsend said it that you should think of tesla as an energy company if you think of it as a car company you're missing what it is it's more of an energy company and i thought to myself oh my god that's true and i bought the stock it's up 130 percent now i don't make stock recommendations so don't go and don't go buy any stocks because i said this right this is not a stock recommendation thing and you shouldn't take any stock recommendations from people like me but the fact is that that insight is a big deal because our energy is you know biggest challenge in the future probably the other challenge is space we have to get off the planet and if the united states doesn't do it first whoever gets there first is going to own the planet because if you can control space you kind of control the planet because it's easier to you know drop things down than it is to shoot things up sort of a general statement you want the high ground um so i'm oversimplifying that but the point is whoever controls space is going to control the future so aren't you glad that elon's on on your side if you're either a democracy or or an american so and that he's also putting up starlink these low earth satellites that will blanket the earth and be a secondary well no secondary but it'll be basically an internet system that's in the sky instead of wired so what's that going to do for our freedom of speech well it kind of puts it in elon's control a little bit because if he says you can be on his satellites well i guess you can and fortunately for you he's pro pro freedom pro free speech so that makes me feel pretty comfortable that there'll be some kind of some kind of an alternative to the social media pro platforms and the the common carriers that we have now so when you think when you look at the size of the problems that he's taking on or even his boring company the b-o-r-i-n-g company where that bores holes and things and then he's also turning humans into cyborgs he's got the company where they'll put the little chip into your skull literally so you can control control technology with your thoughts i guess so if you look at the things he's doing they're literally save save civilization things now imagine this put yourself in his place and this was my little boat going by this was my uh realization yesterday you know in spider-man if you ever watch the spider-man movies there's this line where he says with great power comes great responsibility that's sort of elon musk's problem right now he can do things that other people can't do he just did this 100 million dollar uh x prize kind of thing it's not an x prize but his own thing he offered up to pay a hundred million dollars to whoever comes up with the best carbon capture technology who else did that like who else could have who else was smart enough who else knew that carbon capture technology is basically the only way to to fix things did you know that did you know that there's basically no way to fix climate change if you think it's a problem if you think it's a problem there's no way to do it and also um feed the poor i was reading an article by bill gates who was lamenting in great detail the same thing if you tried to meet the climate goals it would be so aggressive it would just destroy all the all the the poor people basically couldn't eat at that point so you might starve a billion people to make the green new deal work now i'm making up those numbers but i'm trying to give you the sense that we're not talking about a small problem you're talking about maybe you kill a billion people to get to the point where your co2 is low enough that you don't destroy the planet now that's bill gates who's really looked into it right and he's telling you you can't get there from here with any way that we can think of think about that bill gates literally says the end of the world is coming basically through climate change and we don't know how to stop it he says that directly i mean i'm paraphrasing but he says it you know essentially directly uh now that's not to say that we're doomed and i don't think so i think that we will um i think we'll innovate our way out of it and that's what elon's tried to do but my point is this yeah it's like it's like my leaf blower problem except with boats uh the problem is this for elon if he doesn't if if elon musk doesn't fix the world and save it who else will now i hear what you're saying people are saying nuclear nuclear actually if you listen to bill gates and he was very compelling you you could not build enough nuclear plants fast enough it just isn't any way to do it if you do the math there's nothing you can do fast enough that would fix the problem you can delay it and building nuclear as fast as you can would definitely help would definitely delay it definitely good to do but it doesn't come close according to bill gates it doesn't come close even if you did everything really like really aggressively it just wouldn't come close do you know what wood carbon capture if somebody can build efficient enough carbon capture then we can be let's say bad with our energy policy use too many carbon fuels but just suck them out of the air now maybe the math of that doesn't work either but i have a feeling that you know the fact that elon put 100 million into it shows me two things number one he's got a lot of money that's the first thing number two he's not uh he's not the the entrepreneur who's just gonna be funding the thing that's let's say politically hot he's going to do the thing that works because he's an engineer right so when elon says carbon capture is worth a an enormous investment 100 million dollars and plus whatever it would take to roll it out when elon musk says that you know that's probably the lever you need to start pulling right and those of you were saying carbon capture equals trees carbon capture can be done with a tree we don't have to invent that plant some more trees you can't get there from here trees are good carbon capture but you couldn't grow enough you couldn't plant enough you just can't get there there's there's no path with just trees trees plus nuclear power not enough trees plus solar and wind and every green technology pushing as hard as you can not even close you can't get there from here there's there's no path to to stop the end of the earth according to bill gates now uh he he ends his even bill gates ends his his uh opinion piece on this by saying that doesn't mean we're doomed it does mean we need to innovate so it's sorted down to engineers need to save the world has that ever happened before engineers have to save the world no way around it because the politicians aren't going to do it if they did they would be starving their own public nobody's going to do that you have to engineer your way out of it and elon musk is at the moment he's the chief engineer of the world or let's say chief engineer of the united states because uh he's figured out the most important thing to do and then he put tremendous resources you know 100 million dollars of money behind it that's how you get out of it without starving people elon musk is the only person who told you the truth on climate change think about that elon musk is the only person that i know of in the whole world any politician any any pundit i think he's the only person who's told you the truth which is if you don't go hard at this and do the carbon capture there's no way to get there so you put his money behind it and you right now he's the most important person in the world i think because he's engineering our the way out of our biggest problems our biggest problems are not guns you know or transgender sports or whatever whatever you're going to worry about today i don't worry about that one but i know you do um so anyway he's i would say he's the most uh important person in the world right now katie couric apparently was chosen to host jeopardy to replace alex trebek who passed away i thought katie couric was an interesting choice i'm not sure i would have chosen her for that job but you know she's a big name brand and she's a she's great on tv so it makes sense i guess but apparently she went on the uh bill maher show and said that republicans need to be deprogrammed and the jeopardy people said uh we just hired you for a tv show where we would like everybody to watch our show we'd kind of like conservatives to watch jeopardy as you know there's a lot of them and they like their tv so jeopardy the rumor is that jeopardy is having second thoughts about hiring her because she just turned off half well maybe a third of the country um but her statement was that republicans need to be programmed what do you think about that would i know most of you watching this is probably conservative leaning but do you believe that republicans need to be de-programmed i would say yes i would say anybody who believed in the q stuff needs to be deprogrammed i think so i think a lot of the climate opinions need to be deprogrammed it might not make any difference if you do it or not but it would be useful um i think in terms of the let's say the election security uh probably need to be deprogrammed at least to the point of knowing that the obvious ones that have been debunked have been debunked now that doesn't mean that you could yeah it's getting windy here we got a little monsoon coming up it's starting to get a little a little dicey here all right so i would say that both republicans and democrats should be deprogrammed but in different different topics all right um biden says today there's a quote nothing we can do to change the coronavirus trajectory so now that biden's president he says there's nothing we can do to stop the coronavirus and i'm thinking well it would have been nice to say that uh you know during the election uh when he ran for office would you would you have preferred hearing bite inside if i take the microphone off of my body maybe it'll help a little bit i've got a got a hurricane going on here let me walk inside all right might be a little bit better so here's the inside all right so i can i can see the the the climate change doubters doing the the laffy laffy happy faces let's see if i can get this microphone back on so um those of you who are let's say uh climate skeptics there's plenty of good reason to be a skeptic of climate because i think a lot of the climate claims are are obvious so if you're saying to me scott scott how do you not realize that the climate change sciences is how do you not see it it's obvious and here's the problem a lot of it is obvious and you're completely right but there's a whole bunch of other stuff that isn't so the problem with the climate science topic is that if you're listening to let's say somebody who's a believer in climate they're going to give you a bunch of things that are true that you should believe and then a bunch of things that are obvious if you talk to somebody who's a skeptic the skeptic will tell you a bunch of things that are true and then a bunch of things that are complete so if you think the people on the left are all wrong or you think the people on the right or let's say just pro and con of climate change not left and right but if you think one of those sides has the good argument you are wrong there are two bad arguments the ones that are pro climate change and the ones that are anti-climate change belief i guess both both sides are completely irrational meaning that um if you're going to be fair about it let me let me be a little bit uh let's see we still have the same problem out here looks like we do it's about 100 times more windy than when i first had it so let me put it this way um almost everybody needs to be deprogrammed when it comes to climate change whatever you believe if you were to make a list of all the things you say are true statements about climate whether you were pro or anti whichever side you were down if you just wrote down 10 things you believed to be definitely true about climate you'd be wrong on five of them and it wouldn't matter which side you were on i don't think there's anybody who talks about this topic who isn't wrong about you know the 30 percent of what they say on climate i've never seen anybody who wasn't obviously obviously in need of some deprogramming and by the way that includes me when i started uh digging into this topic and i've i've done quite a bit of looking at the skeptical arguments probably more than 99 of people and i've looked at the pro i've looked at the con i've looked at the debunks for both the pro and the con the the debunks to the debunks so i've gone down a few a few layers i'll let you look at a better scenery while you're doing this i've gone down a few layers into it and what i can tell is everybody's lying so both sides are lying or or they're just mistaken i don't know but i don't think i don't think there's anybody who's being completely honest about the climate stuff with two exceptions and you're not gonna like this right i know you're not going to like this there are two people that i believe are completely honest about it probably are really close to also being accurate in terms of understanding it all one of them is bill gates and i know you don't like that but i've been watching him for a long time and listened to a lot of what he says about this and i feel like he's as close as you can get to the real thing i would bet i don't know this for sure but i'll bet if you put elon musk and bill gates in the same room and said all right talk privately about climate change what is real and why should we not believe about climate change i'll bet it would be close not exact but i'll bet the two of them would be on the same page about what's real and what isn't i'll bet you if i said to either one of them that you know the economic project predictions are not reliable you know the ones that look like it's great doom i think they both agree with that that you can't predict 80 years of economics too much innovation too many surprises along the way so i would listen to those two people and when you see elon musk do something this uh big you know the 100 million for carbon capture you should take that really seriously i feel as if you're seeing some kind of a some kind of a political shift that i like a lot a lot and it goes like this most of our future problems are going to be technology related in other words you'd have to understand the technology in order to make the right decision so they're technology related and they're going to be complicated take any issue with china climate change whatever they're complicated who is the best type of person to make a difficult decision that's scientific and complicated a politician who's 80 years old no that would be exactly the wrong person to be in charge an 80 year old politician with no technical background you couldn't have a worse choice for a leader in today's world than somebody with that kind of a background and that's who we elect we elect the people who aren't even close to having the kind of skills that you would need to do the job now i obviously i know that the experts make recommendations to things et cetera so it's not the president who has to have all the technical knowledge but i don't see it working i don't see our presidents being technically competent just in terms of the decisions so it looks like our billionaire class let's call them the the super the super capables have decided that they have to take control and that may not be a bad thing for example you saw that amazon let's say jeff bezos it must have been behind it decided to offer to help with the vaccination roll out likewise some other big corporations are helping as well so if people like bezos and uh elon musk and gates are are just saying well we're gonna have to solve this ourselves literally i guess i'll have to do this myself that's that's how a gates or elon can think of these things because they have the they have the ability to do that they can actually solve problems themselves so maybe we're heading toward a world where our billionaire class who all call the the super capables not the ones who inherited but the ones who made a billion dollars they are super capable and if they start asserting themselves because they need to because with great power comes great responsibility this might be the way we solve stuff because we're going to have to innovate our way out of all of our problems the only way we protect ourselves against china is to out innovate the only way we protect ourselves against losing space is to out innovate the only way we get past climate change is to innovate the only way we can get to an election system that's transparent is to innovate you know probably some blockchain stuff whatever so we've kind of reached this point where the people who matter the ones who who could make a difference are the ones who can understand complicated things and are hyper-capable innovators who can push the the right direction and pull the right lever so we're lucky to have them and i don't i don't know that the our our super capables don't get enough credit rather than calling them billionaires which makes you automatically biased against them if you don't have a bill billion dollars yourself let's just call them super capables because bill k bill gates he's not like you right he's not like you and me he's super capable like whatever he chooses to do he's probably going to do it better than you would do it and elon musk is the same so you know you've got your people like your uh you know your naval ravicons your peter thiels you know there's a lot of people who i'd put in the super capable category and they have begun to assert themselves individually mostly individually i don't think they'll end up you know forming some kind of a you know billionaire cartel they could but i don't think their personalities are leaning in that direction so that's the good news if you want to know the good news our super capables have decided to step up and by the way i'm seeing it in a whole bunch of realms maybe more than you're seeing it because i just have i know people who know people that sort of thing and it does seem that the the super capables have decided they have to take matters into their own hands and now that now that i've called these people super capable uh i'll look like a dick for the next thing i'm going to say but if i've taught you anything i'm not afraid of looking like an idiot so i'm just going to say it because it's useful i told you that i was going to try to form a group of independent thinkers to review the news to tell you which news is fake news and which news you should depend on now i'm on you know stolen my honeymoon so that won't happen this week but as soon as i get back i'll start you know putting together some people who can help you sort out what's true and what isn't in the news now why do i do that like why isn't that somebody else's job why can't the news do it why didn't can the government do anything probably not so i'm just sort of sitting here saying uh maybe i can fix that you know or at least i could take a shot at it maybe learn something maybe i can learn what doesn't work uh so um i don't put myself anywhere near the bill gates elon musk you know naval ravikant super capable category but i can do some stuff right i have some some powers at a lower level and so it just felt to me that if i didn't do it it wouldn't get done and imagine imagine that feeling you know times 20 if you're bill gates or your or your elon musk if they don't do it it might not get done do you think elon musk offered 100 million dollars for carbon capture technology because he thought it would happen without him probably not he probably thought there's a good chance this isn't going to happen unless i personally make it happen that is one hell of a responsibility to have on you and my god we are so lucky so lucky that the hyper capables are on our side all right the there are more they're probably more american hyper capables or super capables than anywhere else and i don't know why some of it is you know the people we've attracted to this country some of it is i don't know our entrepreneurial way of life you know maybe promotes this sort of thing better than other places maybe it's cultural i don't know exactly what it is but we do produce more super capables than other places we just invent more stuff i don't know why um how do you gather info without a huge network uh it's a general question uh herbert hoover and jimmy carter are what happens when you let engineers run things well let me make a distinction you don't want an engineer to be your president if that's all they've done right you know i wouldn't take somebody who uh ran a peanut farm but also was an engineer and say okay we're in good shape now but the super capables are different they they made their billions through their you know inventiveness etc so when you've got an engineer who also made billions of dollars multiple times that's more than an engineer that's somebody who is an engineer plus has all of the you know all the qualities you need to make a billion dollars um somebody says is prageru content mostly true what kind of question is that i i don't even know what content you're doubting you know obviously they lean heavily right but beyond that i don't know what you're talking about um is there a pool all right just looking at your comments i don't have much more i'm gonna sign off for today maybe my technology will work better tomorrow we'll see and until now until then have a great time and i'll see you tomorrow

this is sideways

i swear i've had every technical problem

you can have

oh my god all right so let me tell you

what happened

there's a software i use called stream

yard that lets me

do a live stream simultaneously to both

uh youtube and periscope now i've used

it several times

and it's really easy that's what i like

about it you just put in

your credentials pointed to those

services bam

and you're in so you're asking me

why am i not using that simple service

right now

well there's one problem with it

it doesn't seem to work twice and i

don't know why

and what happens is the the buttons for

going live just

don't appear sometimes meaning that

there's some kind of mode where you get

into that

i don't know how they make that so hard

basically all you do is put in your

credentials and hit go live

but sometimes those options exist and

sometimes they don't

and doesn't seem to be any pattern to it

so it didn't work this

this morning but i know why you're here

you're here for the simultaneous sip

the best thing of the day thing that was

really

you can't go without kenya all right

well luckily i'm prepared today

got my coffee it's bora bora coffee

and if you'd like to enjoy this

simultaneous sip all you need is a

what copper mug or glass canteen jug

now cover a mug of glass

uh some other things they hold beverages

they'd be like containers there would be

several of them

and if you cleverly put them together

they would be sort of a almost a rhyming

kind of a thing

and then we would drink and if i had not

woken up

or awakened which is it if i had not

awakened

mere moments ago i'd remember that

because i do say it every single day

it's the reason i read it i can't

memorize it

but whatever you've got let's do the

simultaneous sip

go

oh that's good all right let's talk

about what's going on

um of course my notes that i've made

are on a device that tells me the power

is going to go off at any moment now

so here's the funniest story of the week

so trump is

according to rasmussen polls trump is

leaving office

or left on his last day with a approval

rating

of 51 it's not too bad

now that's rasmussen of course so you

know if you see some other

poll you're going to get a different uh

a result

but also on rasmussen so you use the

same methodology same company

they have biden at 48 the day he

took office so so trump is actually

leaving office

at at a higher approval rating

than the guy who took his job and beat

him soundly

in the popular vote which makes total

sense right

now the way that's uh being explained

and oh and by the way i want you to know

i do know how to turn a phone sideways

but it didn't work so none of my

technology is working today

i've got three devices and five

different ways to do this and absolutely

none of them work

twice in a row uh yeah it's starting to

rain pretty uh pretty hard right here so

you can see

it's not quite sunrise

it's gonna be happening pretty soon

all right so here are the things that

are bugging

people who voted for trump so you've got

you've got all these

data points uh more people go to trump

rallies

more people watched trump on youtube

uh like way more like five times more

more people uh let's say

uh he has a higher popularity

blah blah so people are thinking how in

the world

could biden have won this election now

the

the response to that is that people were

voting

against trump not for biden

right now when you first hear that you

think

okay well that makes a little that makes

sense they're voting against

somebody so that might not show up but

wouldn't that

show up in the approval

is there somebody who approved of trump

did not approve of biden and still voted

for biden

you know how exactly do you get higher

approval of the person you're voting

against right now

i'm still on the side that says there's

no proof whatsoever

of any election irregularity that's big

enough to change the election

there is however also no proof

whatsoever

that the election was fair now

is that a reasonable thing to say you

know is it does the election have to

prove it's fair

or is it the responsibility of those who

have claims

such as the allegations of fraud

is it their responsibility to make their

case

well if it were a legal case of course

you have to you have to prove that

there's some crime that happened

but in the rare case of an election as

i've said before

i think the election is the one case

where i think the election system has to

prove it was

not fraudulent meaning it needs to be at

least

transparent enough or at least auditable

enough

that if anybody had a question it would

be easy to check

you just audit it it's transparent see

if there's anything to it

so this is the just the one example i

can think of maybe you can think of

another but i can't

the one example in the world where the

burden of proof should be

on the accused i can't think of any

other case that would be appropriate

but for the election it it is the burden

of proof

on the election system to prove it was

valid and

fair and we don't have one that's

designed

so that it could do that so whether or

not you wanted to do that

it's not designed that you could so and

then

apparently we're not moving toward that

would you say that the election

let's say the election disagreements if

you will

may be the biggest uh problem in the

country immediately

what's biden doing to fix it for next

time

so biden's the president it's his job to

fix

stuff that's broken and the country

almost

got torn apart by a belief that the

election was not

at least transparent enough so what's he

doing to fix that

nothing every day that

biden doesn't do something to improve

the transparency of the election

i think is evidence of fraud

now it may not be evidence of fraud in

the past

but it's definitely all evidence of

fraud in the future

because if you don't fix something

that's not transparent

and in the face of people doubting it

fairly uh

fairly aggressively doubting it you're

not really planning to do it fair next

time are you

because it seems like you could do a

little executive ordering

or at least some presidential jaw boning

to

to make people at least try harder to

make the thing transparent

but no i don't believe this will ever be

a topic he cares about i'll bet he'll

say something like well

states have to do that they sure ought

to do it better maybe

but i don't think he's going to go after

it now

arguably it is a state state issue

but that doesn't make it not his problem

all right so that's happening and um

again i don't have any proof that the

election

was anything but fair i say that's all

remain on social media

so biden issued an executive order

rescinding one of

trump's orders and it's a real uh

head scratcher he rescinded trump's

order that banned

chinese companies which we assume can be

controlled by the

the government of china to prevent them

from

selling bulk power systems into our grid

now the the worry is that if you get any

kind of electronics made by

a arrival if you will china

that they would have maybe a software

way into the whole system

they could bring down our electrical

grid and they would have tremendous

you're disappointed in me for what

sassy southern patriot i'll give you

about a minute to tell me why you're

disappointed in me

before i block you all um

because it's okay to say anything that

is content-wise like why you disagree

or what your opinion is or some facts i

missed

but i don't really wanna i don't really

want you to come on here and tell me

that you're disappointed

because you know what i don't care about

your disappointment

i do not give a about your

disappointment

in what i've said because the moment i

start caring about that

i'm worthless the moment that

influences me that one that somebody

came on here and said

i'm disappointed in you the moment that

affects me

this is all worthless it's all worthless

the moment that that matters to me

so i can't let that matter to me so

don't bother saying it unless you've got

something useful to say okay

all right so biden receives this order

that would have

that by the trump's order that would

have kept the chinese companies out of

her power grid

vendor process now

wouldn't you think that rescinding an

order like that would

number one be headline news

didn't see it didn't see it on cnn did

not see it on

fox news is it

is it possibly fake news

um so the first question i have is

is this real because i because it's not

covered on either cnn or fox

news at least with a a quick look i

didn't see it

so if somebody could give me a fact

check on that it would be great

now it could be that the only thing

that's going on is biden is pausing

all the executive orders of trump so he

can just look into him

but what is there to look into

what exactly is there to look into in

this

i don't know what you would look into is

there an argument that says that the

chinese government

should have control of our power network

what or is there an argument that maybe

it would be racist

if we prevented the country of china

from controlling our power grid i hope

that's not the reason

or is it just because trump did it so it

has to be undone

what exactly is that about

now of course every republican is saying

uh could it be that china controls biden

and that china has secrets about biden

or

hunter biden or anything like that now i

have no reason to believe that any of

that

is the case well i have reason to

believe it

i don't have proof of it i have to be

careful about my choice of words right

um and don't you think that we deserve

an explanation

don't you think your news should be

telling you right now

hey there was actually a real good

reason for rescinding that

it's not obvious but let us explain it

so you can feel comfortable with it

that's not exactly what's happening

right

so if we if it's true

that he did that biden did rescind that

uh eo about the chinese companies in our

power grid

if it's true and we don't hear any news

about it from the major news sources

what's that tell you well it would tell

you that your

news sources are corrupt both on the

left and the right

anybody who doesn't cover it if it's

true if it turns out

it's not true and i think that's at

least uh

i don't know at least a 50 chance right

that is not even true

that anything happened with that so

let's find out about that all right

um biden has a little trap that he set

for himself

which is he's uh branded himself the

pro science president

so if he does anything that's not

pro-science

he's got a little extra explaining to do

ah good coffee and

so every time there's any inconsistency

either in

logic or math or science it's going to

be fun to criticize

and by the way everybody who told me

scott you're why are you so sad

that trump lost and i would i would look

at them say

well i preferred that he win but do i

look sad

because i don't feel sad i feel as

though

criticizing biden will just be like this

wonderful like a wonderful delicious

meal

that i can have every day now the

country is in bad shape

you know maybe we'll see but you know

we'll give them a chance

but it doesn't look good so far i mean

biden has the worst

first weeks or first start of any

president i've ever seen

but i could be biased let's give him a

chance we'll see

but here's my question

the the democrats have taken the

following view

which i would argue is maybe not

scientifically

valid which is that the absence of

proof of election fraud

is proof of absence of fraud

now you know that's not logical right

just because you did not prove something

happened

is not proof it didn't happen because

there are lots of things you can't prove

happened

that did in fact happen so the democrats

have sold this to the public through

their clowns in the media

that that actually makes sense because

they're not saying

hey we don't know if there's fraud

but you haven't proved it which actually

would be a fair say the fair thing to

say

it would be fair to say you have not

proven it to you know

enough people's satisfaction that's fair

but does can you logically go to

therefore it's proven it doesn't exist

no you can't that is a famous illogical

thing

which the public has accepted the public

has accepted

a logical fallacy one of the most famous

ones really if you're going to make a

list

of logical fallacies that would be in

the top 10

that the absence of evidence is not

evidence of

of absence right it's famous it's

literally

a famous illogical thought and it's

and it's the primary news the reason

that people are being

banned on social media is not just

claiming that they're sure that

something was fraudulent

but beyond that the people doing the

banning

kind of are buying into the logical

fallacy

that the absence of proof is proof of

absence

and that's happening right in front of

you while you're looking at it

like they don't even care that you know

it's not logical it's not only

the thing that's mind-boggling is it's

not only illogical

it's literally a famous example of

illogic

it's one of the most famous ones and we

act like that isn't even true

like man let's just act like that's

logical we'll just go on with our day

and

act like that made sense

all right

so if there are other

anti-science or illogical things that

come out of the biden administration

be sure to notify me because i'd like to

mention all of them

now to be fair i do think the democrats

are on the right side of science you

know in

a number of cases as you know

while i disagree quite a bit with

the economic long-term predictions about

the doom of climate science

i do i do believe that they got the

chemistry and the physics right

in all likelihood you know you can't you

can never know 100 but in all likelihood

they did get that right

so i think that's the case where the uh

conservatives

probably need to catch up with where

science is

on on just the the you know the

physics and chemistry of adding co2 blah

blah blah

and as i said yesterday if you have if

you believe that climate science is not

real

either because the sun had something to

do with it instead

and you think science didn't look into

the sun or you think because there used

to be more co2

in the distant past that means something

it doesn't

because everything else was different

than two so

i would encourage anybody who's in my

audience to

catch up with the science on climate

change

doesn't mean it's the end of the world

doesn't mean you need a green new deal

doesn't necessarily mean you need

windmills or anything like that you

don't need to buy into that

that's those are different questions but

buying into the

that just the general question of

whether there's warming

i feel like it's time i think it's time

for the skeptics

to say um if you've ever felt yourself

fooled before

uh this might be one of those

i'm seeing somebody else saying they're

disappointed wrong

disappointed all right so

matthew um you i don't know if you

caught the earlier discussion

but when you say you're disappointed in

me for my opinion

that agrees with the vast majority of

scientists on earth

i don't care about your disappointment

but i do want to block it because i

don't want other people to be

poisoned by such a shitty opinion

so i've decided that the most

interesting person in the world right

now

is elon musk now

you could argue it used to be trump you

know he's gonna he's gonna be pulling

back from the

from the limelight for a while it looks

like

and elon musk remains

i think the most interesting person in

the world right now

and i've been watching some old

youtube video clips of you know

famous things that elon musk has said or

interviews he's done recently

and he doesn't do anything boring

you can watch him all day long and

whatever he says

is just sort of interesting but here's

what i like the most about it

um elon did an interview in which he was

saying that

you wouldn't want to be him if you

actually knew

the internal life he has you know in his

head

i'm paraphrasing him now but he

basically said

that he has so many thoughts and ideas

and they're streaming at him so quickly

and they're so activating meaning that

he feels he needs to do something about

these ideas

that is closer to a curse than some kind

of an

amazing gift now again i'm paraphrasing

so i hope i got that at least

approximately correct

and i thought to myself there's a

gigantic lesson there isn't there

yeah he was literally the richest person

in the united states

you know recently i guess i think bezos

overtook him again but you look at that

you say well wouldn't that be great

wouldn't you like to switch places with

the

you know first or second richest person

in the world and then you hear him

talking

completely i mean honestly i don't think

he was doing any

i picked up no false modesty or anything

like that

it looked completely honest to me that

it's really hard to be him and i

the more i thought about it the more i

was appreciating that point

and think about this the biggest

problems in the world

if you were to look at like the really

big ones it would be

energy policy and then the related

question of

climate uh but even if you didn't worry

about the climate

you would certainly think we need more

energy right the the world needs

clean energy there's no doubt about that

so elon musk you know he's got his

electric cars he's got his electric

battery company

uh tesla the smart people think of it as

adam townsend i heard him say this so i

i i bought i bought a bunch of tesla

stock

the minute i heard this because i think

adam townsend said it

that you should think of tesla as an

energy company

if you think of it as a car company

you're missing what it is

it's more of an energy company and

i thought to myself oh my god that's

true

and i bought the stock it's up 130

percent

now i don't make stock recommendations

so don't go and

don't go buy any stocks because i said

this right this is not a stock

recommendation

thing and you shouldn't take any stock

recommendations from people like me

but the fact is that that insight

is a big deal because our energy

is you know biggest challenge in the

future probably

the other challenge is space we have to

get off the planet

and if the united states doesn't do it

first whoever gets there first is going

to own the planet

because if you can control space you

kind of control the planet

because it's easier to you know drop

things down than it is to shoot things

up sort of a general statement you want

the high ground

um so i'm oversimplifying that but the

point is whoever controls space is

going to control the future so aren't

you glad that

elon's on on your side if you're either

a democracy or

or an american so

and that he's also putting up starlink

these low

earth satellites that will blanket the

earth

and be a secondary well no secondary but

it'll be basically an internet system

that's in the sky

instead of wired so what's that going to

do for our freedom of speech

well it kind of puts it in elon's

control a little bit

because if he says you can be on his

satellites well i guess you can

and fortunately for you he's pro

pro freedom pro free speech so that

makes me feel pretty comfortable that

there'll be some kind of

some kind of an alternative to the

social media pro

platforms and the the common carriers

that we have now

so when you think when you look at the

size of the

problems that he's taking on or even his

boring company

the b-o-r-i-n-g company where that bores

holes and things and then he's also

turning humans into cyborgs he's got the

company where

they'll put the little chip into your

skull literally so you can control

control technology with your thoughts i

guess

so if you look at the things he's doing

they're literally

save save civilization things

now imagine this put yourself in his

place

and this was my

little boat going by this was my uh

realization yesterday

you know in spider-man if you ever watch

the spider-man movies there's this line

where he says with great power comes

great responsibility

that's sort of elon musk's problem right

now

he can do things that other people can't

do

he just did this 100 million dollar uh

x prize kind of thing it's not an x

prize but his own thing

he offered up to pay a hundred million

dollars

to whoever comes up with the best carbon

capture technology

who else did that like who else could

have who else was smart enough

who else knew that carbon capture

technology is basically the only way to

to fix things did you know that

did you know that there's basically no

way

to fix climate change if you think it's

a problem if you think it's a problem

there's no way to do it and also um feed

the poor

i was reading an article by bill gates

who was lamenting

in great detail the same thing if you

tried

to meet the climate goals it would be so

aggressive it would just destroy

all the all the the poor people

basically couldn't eat at that point

so you might starve a billion people

to make the green new deal work now i'm

making up those numbers

but i'm trying to give you the sense

that we're not talking about a small

problem

you're talking about maybe you kill a

billion people

to get to the point where your

co2 is low enough that you don't destroy

the planet

now that's bill gates who's really

looked into it right and he's telling

you

you can't get there from here with any

way that we can think of

think about that bill gates literally

says

the end of the world is coming basically

through climate change

and we don't know how to stop it he says

that directly

i mean i'm paraphrasing but he says it

you know essentially directly

uh now that's not to say that we're

doomed and i don't think so i think that

we will

um i think we'll innovate our way out of

it and that's what elon's tried to do

but my point is this yeah it's like it's

like my leaf blower problem except with

boats

uh the problem is this for elon

if he doesn't if if elon musk doesn't

fix the world and save it who else will

now i hear what you're saying people are

saying nuclear nuclear actually

if you listen to bill gates and he was

very compelling

you you could not build enough nuclear

plants fast enough it just isn't any way

to do it

if you do the math there's nothing you

can do

fast enough that would fix the problem

you can delay it

and building nuclear as fast as you can

would definitely help

would definitely delay it definitely

good to do

but it doesn't come close according to

bill gates it doesn't come close

even if you did everything really like

really

aggressively it just wouldn't come close

do you know what wood carbon capture

if somebody can build efficient enough

carbon capture

then we can be let's say bad with our

energy policy

use too many carbon fuels but just suck

them out of the air

now maybe the math of that doesn't work

either

but i have a feeling that you know the

fact that

elon put 100 million into it shows me

two things number one he's got a lot of

money

that's the first thing number two he's

not

uh he's not the the entrepreneur who's

just gonna be funding the thing that's

let's say politically hot he's going to

do the thing that works

because he's an engineer right so

when elon says carbon capture is worth a

an enormous investment 100 million

dollars

and plus whatever it would take to roll

it out when elon musk says that

you know that's probably the lever you

need to start pulling

right and those of you were saying

carbon capture equals trees

carbon capture can be done with a tree

we don't have to invent that

plant some more trees you can't get

there from here

trees are good carbon capture but you

couldn't grow enough you couldn't plant

enough

you just can't get there there's there's

no path with just

trees trees plus nuclear power

not enough trees plus solar and wind and

every green technology pushing as hard

as you can

not even close you can't get there from

here there's there's no path

to to stop the end of the earth

according to bill gates

now uh he he ends his even bill gates

ends his

his uh opinion piece on this by saying

that doesn't mean we're

doomed it does mean we need to innovate

so it's sorted down to engineers

need to save the world has that ever

happened before

engineers have to save the world

no way around it because the politicians

aren't going to do it if they did they

would be starving their own public

nobody's going to do that you have to

engineer your way out of it

and elon musk is at the moment he's the

chief engineer of the world or let's say

chief engineer of the united states

because uh he's figured out the most

important thing to do

and then he put tremendous resources you

know 100 million dollars of

money behind it that's how you get out

of it without starving people

elon musk is the only person who told

you the truth

on climate change think about that

elon musk is the only person that i know

of

in the whole world any politician

any any pundit i think he's the only

person who's told you the truth

which is if you don't go hard at this

and do the carbon capture there's no way

to get there

so you put his money behind it and you

right now he's the most important person

in the world i think

because he's engineering our the way out

of our biggest problems

our biggest problems are not guns you

know or

transgender sports or whatever whatever

you're going to worry about today

i don't worry about that one but i know

you do um

so anyway he's i would say he's the most

uh

important person in the world right now

katie couric apparently was

chosen to host jeopardy

to replace alex trebek who passed away

i thought katie couric was an

interesting choice i'm not sure i would

have

chosen her for that job but you know

she's a big name brand and

she's a she's great on tv so it makes

sense i guess

but apparently she went on the uh bill

maher show

and said that republicans need to be

deprogrammed

and the jeopardy people said uh we just

hired you for a tv show where we would

like

everybody to watch our show we'd kind of

like conservatives to watch

jeopardy as you know there's a lot of

them and they like their tv

so jeopardy the rumor is that jeopardy

is having second thoughts about hiring

her because she just turned off half

well maybe a third of the country

um but her statement was that

republicans need to be

programmed what do you think about that

would i know most of you watching this

is probably conservative leaning but

do you believe that republicans need to

be de-programmed

i would say yes i would say anybody who

believed in the

q stuff needs to be deprogrammed i think

so

i think a lot of the climate opinions

need to be deprogrammed it might not

make any difference if you do it or not

but

it would be useful um i think in terms

of the

let's say the election security uh

probably need to be deprogrammed at

least to the point

of knowing that the obvious ones that

have been debunked have been debunked

now that doesn't mean that you could

yeah it's getting windy here we got a

little monsoon coming up

it's starting to get a little a little

dicey here

all right

so i would say that both republicans and

democrats

should be deprogrammed but in different

different

topics all right

um biden says today there's a quote

nothing we can do to change the

coronavirus trajectory

so now that biden's president he says

there's nothing we can do to stop the

coronavirus and i'm thinking well it

would have been nice to say that

uh you know during the election

uh when he ran for office would you

would you have preferred hearing bite

inside

if i take the microphone off of my body

maybe it'll help a little bit

i've got a got a hurricane going on here

let me walk inside

all right might be a little bit better

so here's the inside

all right so i can

i can see the the

the climate change doubters doing the

the laffy laffy happy faces

let's see if i can get this microphone

back on

so um those of you who are

let's say uh climate skeptics

there's plenty of good reason to be a

skeptic

of climate because i think a lot of the

climate claims

are are obvious so if you're

saying to me

scott scott how do you not realize

that the climate change sciences

is how do you not see it it's

obvious

and here's the problem a lot of it is

obvious and you're completely

right but there's a whole bunch of other

stuff that isn't

so the problem with the climate science

topic

is that if you're listening to let's say

somebody who's a believer in climate

they're going to give you a bunch of

things that are true

that you should believe and then a bunch

of things that are obvious

if you talk to somebody who's a skeptic

the skeptic will tell you

a bunch of things that are true and then

a bunch of things that are complete

so if you think the people on the left

are all wrong

or you think the people on the right or

let's say just pro and con of climate

change not left and right

but if you think one of those sides has

the good argument

you are wrong there are two bad

arguments

the ones that are pro climate change and

the ones that are

anti-climate change belief i guess

both both sides are completely

irrational meaning that

um if you're going to be fair about it

let me

let me be a little bit uh let's see

we still have the same problem out here

looks like we do it's about 100 times

more windy than when i first had it

so let me put it this way um

almost everybody needs to be

deprogrammed when it comes to climate

change

whatever you believe if you were to make

a list of all the things you say are

true statements about climate whether

you were pro or anti whichever side you

were down

if you just wrote down 10 things you

believed to be definitely true about

climate

you'd be wrong on five of them and it

wouldn't matter which side you were on

i don't think there's anybody who talks

about this topic who isn't wrong about

you know the 30 percent of what they say

on climate

i've never seen anybody who wasn't

obviously

obviously in need of some deprogramming

and by the way that includes me when i

started uh digging into this topic

and i've i've done quite a bit of

looking at the skeptical arguments

probably more than 99 of people

and i've looked at the pro i've looked

at the con i've looked at the debunks

for both the pro and the con the the

debunks to the debunks

so i've gone down a few a few layers

i'll let you look at a better scenery

while you're doing this

i've gone down a few layers into it and

what i can tell is everybody's lying so

both sides are lying

or or they're just mistaken

i don't know but i don't think

i don't think there's anybody who's

being completely

honest about the climate stuff

with two exceptions and you're not gonna

like this

right i know you're not going to like

this

there are two people that i believe are

completely

honest about it probably are really

close to also being

accurate in terms of understanding it

all

one of them is bill gates and i know you

don't like that

but i've been watching him for a long

time and listened to a lot of what he

says about this

and i feel like he's as close as you can

get to the real thing

i would bet i don't know this for sure

but i'll bet if you put elon musk and

bill gates in the same room and said all

right

talk privately about climate change what

is real

and why should we not believe about

climate change i'll bet it would be

close

not exact but i'll bet the two of them

would be on the same page about what's

real

and what isn't i'll bet you if i said to

either one of them

that you know the economic project

predictions are not reliable you know

the ones that

look like it's great doom i think they

both agree with that that you can't

predict 80 years of economics

too much innovation too many surprises

along the way

so i would listen to those two people

and

when you see elon musk

do something this uh big you know the

100 million

for carbon capture

you should take that really seriously i

feel as if

you're seeing some kind of a some kind

of a political shift

that i like a lot a lot and it goes like

this

most of our future problems are going to

be

technology related in other words you'd

have to understand the technology in

order to make the right decision

so they're technology related and

they're going to be complicated

take any issue with china climate change

whatever

they're complicated who is the best

type of person to make a difficult

decision

that's scientific and complicated

a politician who's 80 years old

no that would be exactly the wrong

person to be in charge

an 80 year old politician with no

technical background

you couldn't have a worse choice for a

leader

in today's world than somebody with that

kind of a background and that's who we

elect

we elect the people who aren't even

close

to having the kind of skills that you

would need to do the job

now i obviously i know that the experts

make recommendations to things

et cetera so it's not the president who

has to have all the technical knowledge

but i don't see it working i don't see

our presidents

being technically competent

just in terms of the decisions

so it looks like our billionaire class

let's call them the the super the super

capables

have decided that they have to take

control

and that may not be a bad thing for

example you saw that

amazon let's say jeff bezos it must have

been behind it

decided to offer to help with the

vaccination

roll out likewise some other big

corporations are helping as well

so if people like bezos and uh

elon musk and gates are are just saying

well we're gonna have to solve this

ourselves

literally i guess i'll have to do this

myself that's

that's how a gates or elon can think of

these things because they have the

they have the ability to do that they

can actually solve problems themselves

so maybe we're heading toward a world

where our billionaire class

who all call the the super capables not

the ones who inherited but the ones who

made a billion dollars

they are super capable and if they start

asserting themselves because they need

to

because with great power comes great

responsibility

this might be the way we solve stuff

because we're going to have to

innovate our way out of all of our

problems

the only way we protect ourselves

against china

is to out innovate the only way we

protect ourselves against

losing space is to out innovate

the only way we get past climate change

is to innovate

the only way we can get to an election

system that's transparent

is to innovate you know probably some

blockchain stuff whatever

so we've kind of reached this point

where the people who matter the ones who

who could make a difference are the ones

who can understand

complicated things and are

hyper-capable innovators who can push

the the right

direction and pull the right lever so

we're lucky to have them

and i don't i don't know that

the our our super capables don't get

enough

credit rather than calling them

billionaires

which makes you automatically biased

against them if you don't have a bill

billion dollars yourself let's just call

them super capables

because bill k bill gates he's not like

you

right he's not like you and me he's

super capable like whatever he

chooses to do he's probably going to do

it better than you would do it

and elon musk is the same so you know

you've got your people like your

uh you know your naval ravicons your

peter thiels you know there's a lot of

people

who i'd put in the super capable

category

and they have begun to assert themselves

individually mostly individually i don't

think they'll end up you know forming

some kind of a

you know billionaire cartel they could

but i don't think their personalities

are leaning in that direction

so that's the good news if you want to

know the good news

our super capables have decided to step

up

and by the way i'm seeing it in a whole

bunch of realms

maybe more than you're seeing it because

i just have

i know people who know people that sort

of thing and

it does seem that the the super capables

have decided they have to take matters

into their own hands

and now that now that i've called these

people super capable

uh i'll look like a dick for the next

thing i'm going to say

but if i've taught you anything i'm not

afraid of looking like an idiot

so i'm just going to say it because it's

useful

i told you that i was going to try to

form a group

of independent thinkers

to review the news to tell you which

news is fake news and which news you

should depend on

now i'm on you know stolen my honeymoon

so

that won't happen this week but as soon

as i get back i'll start

you know putting together some people

who can help you sort out what's true

and what isn't

in the news now why do i do that

like why isn't that somebody else's job

why can't the news do it why didn't

can the government do anything probably

not

so i'm just sort of sitting here saying

uh maybe i can fix that

you know or at least i could take a shot

at it maybe learn something

maybe i can learn what doesn't work uh

so um i don't put myself

anywhere near the bill gates elon musk

you know naval ravikant super capable

category but i can do some stuff

right i have some some powers

at a lower level and so it just felt to

me that if i didn't do it it wouldn't

get done

and imagine imagine that feeling you

know times 20

if you're bill gates or your or your

elon musk

if they don't do it it might not get

done

do you think elon musk offered 100

million dollars

for carbon capture technology because he

thought it would happen without

him probably not he probably thought

there's a good chance this

isn't going to happen unless i

personally make it happen

that is one hell of a responsibility to

have on you

and my god

we are so lucky

so lucky that the hyper capables

are on our side all right the

there are more they're probably more

american

hyper capables or super capables

than anywhere else and i don't know why

some of it is

you know the people we've attracted to

this country

some of it is i don't know our

entrepreneurial

way of life you know maybe promotes this

sort of thing

better than other places maybe it's

cultural

i don't know exactly what it is but we

do produce more

super capables than other places we just

invent more stuff

i don't know why

um how do you gather info without a huge

network uh it's a general question

uh herbert hoover and jimmy carter are

what happens when you let

engineers run things well let me make a

distinction

you don't want an engineer to be your

president if that's all they've done

right you know

i wouldn't take somebody who uh ran a

peanut farm but also was an engineer and

say okay

we're in good shape now but the super

capables are different

they they made their billions through

their you know inventiveness etc

so when you've got an engineer who also

made

billions of dollars multiple times

that's more than an engineer

that's somebody who is an engineer plus

has all of the

you know all the qualities you need to

make a billion dollars

um somebody says is prageru content

mostly true

what kind of question is that i i don't

even know what content you're doubting

you know obviously they lean heavily

right

but beyond that i don't know what you're

talking about

um

is there a pool all right just looking

at your comments

i don't have much more i'm gonna sign

off for today

maybe my technology will work better

tomorrow we'll see

and until now until then have a great

time and i'll see you tomorrow