Episode 1472 Scott Adams - Not Just a Lyricist and Vocalist. I Also Sip Coffee & Talk About the News

good morning everybody and it's time for one of your favorite things yeah coffee with scott adams today you'll hear about the headlines you will have fun you will you'll be entertained you'll be stimulated and amused all of those things every one of them and all you need to make it special is a copper mug or glass a tanker chelsea style you know can't enjoy a flash of vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dope being here today the thing that makes everything better is called the simultaneous sip and watch it work go wait wait we have a special request i saw this go by on the locals platform the special request is that sometimes a sip is not enough can we agree on that it's not enough so today i'd like to introduce thanks to a follower recommendation the simultaneous slurp everybody one more time except go big ah yeah that was both disgusting and exhilarating at the same time you don't get that often well let's talk about all the things first of all i'm i'm now streaming on two platforms locals and youtube i tried to stream on rumble have you heard of it rumble is a sort of a video streaming service competes with youtube let's see if i get uh demonetized one two three yeah should be happening about now um but here's the process for me to become a live streamer on rumble if you want to be a producer you click a button to to request whatever they need to make you a producer and then the way the process works is that after you've clicked that button nothing happens and then the next day nothing happens they may or may not be sending mail to my spam i don't know but if you'd like to see me on rumble could you talk to somebody at rumble and say i don't know how to get on there i'll click the button i suppose you might be sending me email that i don't see but your process is not quite connecting the dots so i would be i would be live streaming there if i could um remember i told you that a lifelong weird dream of mine came true this is the weirdest thing you know i've told you too many stories about uh unusual successes in my life things which uh were totally unlikely such as becoming a famous cartoonist being a number one author you know best-selling author getting invited to the white house so i've had all these weird weird things and the weirdest of all was i always had a a dream to be a lyricist and apparently that that came true without any effort on my part because some of my podcast stuff has been turned into music uh by adding music to it and the product is called meaning wave you could just google it and you'll you'll find the music by akira the dawn and there's some new music coming out but akira messaged me and reminded me that here i'd been crowing about the fact that i had accomplished this highly unusual goal of being a lyricist with no musical training i don't even listen to music much i mean rarely and it was the most unlikely goal i've ever had in my life and it actually happened but as akira pointed out there's something even more unlikely about it that i somehow i missed my uh somehow i didn't even notice that i'm also a vocalist because it's my actual voice that appears in the in the songs that was just samples of my voice but what were the odds that i would go from literally not being able to speak i'll remind you of this story many of you have already heard it a number of years ago i lost the ability to speak for about three and a half years to a rare condition called spasmodic dysphonia long story short i found the only doctor in the world who had a surgery experimental surgery to fix it and i became one of the first people in the world to fix that problem but my affirmations at the time is that i scott will speak perfectly now that seemed unlikely because i didn't speak perfectly before i got the spasmodic dysphonia it was kind of nasally and you know nobody really wanted to hear my voice but because i did lots of voice training before the surgery and took years to rehab it the weirdest thing happened i'm a professional vocalist now well not professional because i didn't get paid for it but but there's an actual commercial song with my voice on it that's actually music literally my voice is music now if you told me that that goal could have actually happened when i couldn't speak just keep in mind put the context on this that when i couldn't speak i had a very specific affirmation that i repeated every day that i scott will speak perfectly i'm actually featured on music i can't get i can't this is blowing my mind so hard that you can't even believe it i suppose this is this is more for me than it is for you all right how about more more about you so apparently the california governor recall race is uh really going to be close and larry elder looks to be the leading person to take the job if newsom doesn't get uh if newsom does get recalled and here's here's my take on the strangest thing about this story it's another one of these uh the dog not barking has anyone mentioned that larry elder is black right it's not even a story and if it gets mentioned at all and literally i've never even heard a mention how do you have a black guy running for a governor probably will win and should we take a moment to celebrate should we take a moment to celebrate that being black wasn't even part of the question or if it was it was considered an advantage am i right if you thought about it for a minute and you said to yourself hey larry elder's running for governor he's black didn't you think that would help him you did didn't you i mean think about it think about how far we've come right lots of work to do blah blah blah blah we're not saying you know i'm not saying you know systemic racism is solved or anything like that but just think about the fact that the guy who might be governor in just a few weeks i mean there's a really good shot he's running as a black man and nobody cared and if they did care they thought it was a positive at least politically so i don't know i feel like that's super noteworthy because it's not being talked about specifically yeah the less is talked about the happier we are where are all the where is the narrative about all the the racist republicans aren't the republicans all supposed to be a bunch of racists so how could it be that the very the moment larry elder entered the race the moment he entered the race he took the lead where are all the racist republicans is there anybody who who cares about his race i don't think so except in a positive way um another question do you remember it wasn't that many years ago when the biggest debate it seemed like in public was about teaching intelligent design in schools whatever happened to that but i noted in a tweet that once elon musk told you that you were you were almost certainly a simulated uh reality and that you were probably programmed by some other intelligence kind of ruined the whole topic didn't it i i feel like you can't have that debate anymore as soon as you throw in the the the well the statistical near certainty that we are a simulation created by some other form of intelligence and by the way that argument is just based on math and common sense that if one simulation could be created and we know we'll be able to make one in my lifetime we'll be able to make a simulation where the the creatures in it i think they're real because they were programmed to think they're real if we can make one they're going to be more than one might mean millions of them could be trillions of them if you make a good enough simulation the people in the simulation can make their own simulation or they think they did so it seems like the question of intelligent design we can't even have the argument anymore because the simulation theory just ruined the argument anyway i just point out that there are some things you think are the most important thing in the world and then they can just go away on their own i don't even know what happened um somebody said i'm looking in the comments um oh okay well never mind i thought it was a different comment question um well before we get to that i love watching fox news and cnn fight i don't know there's it's one of the most amusing things um i think i was a uh probably an outlier in the sense that uh i liked watching chris cuomo and his brother uh do their little show on cnn if you don't take it seriously and you shouldn't because obviously that's not real news but just watching the two successful brothers banter i liked it i know you didn't i'm not telling you you should like what i like i'm just telling you i liked it from an entertainment perspective i didn't take any of the news part of it seriously but um here's some more of that little back and forth between fox news and cnn so apparently uh chris cuomo's show is just uh hemorrhaging female voter female viewers which is no surprise since he sported his brother and his brother was accused of uh some a lot of me too stuff so cuomo prime time i guess average 86 000 female viewers in the in the age group that they want the most and last week it was down 33 percent compared to the second quarter totals wow a key demographic was down 33 percent because of what his brother did wow and down uh stunning as fox says a stunning 56 compared to the last year now mostly compared to last year's because trump was in the news that's not not anything to do with cnn per se but here's what i like about this fox news refers to chris cuomo as quote the troubled cnn's troubled anchor troubled anchor now here's what i'm at here's my question do you ever see cnn use disgraced they'll throw in disgrace in front of you know somebody's name or or title as if it's just the fact that they're disgraced um what is the dividing line between being troubled being a troubled anchor and being a disgraced anchor what's the dividing line where it is troubled turned into disgrace because you know if if this had been reversed i feel like cnn would have called you know let's say if it happened to you know if hannity had a brother who was a uh a governor or if if typhoon carlson had a brother who was a governor i think they would call them the disgraced anchor disgraced so this is a little persuasion trick for you just insert disgraced in front of anybody you don't like let me give you an example disgraced president biden talked about the afghanistan withdrawal debacle pretty good um uh oh well it looks like i'm already getting some help connecting on rumble thank you amanda um back to the news can we all get doctor's notes to wear no masks and if we can't why not why not why can't you go to the doctor and say let's say i'll use myself as an example doctor i'm fit and healthy and i've been vaccinated recently so it hasn't even worn off and i i find it very disturbing to wear masks and it itches my face and makes me psychologically unhappy etc can i get my doctor to write me a note and says oh yeah okay you don't need a mask because yes it would help perhaps it would help but all things considered you've looked at your risks your rewards and as your doctor i i certify your choice yes there's some extra risk of not wearing the mask would say my doctor i imagine my doctor would say that but it's a low risk and uh i i signed your note saying that you can take that risk you're it's a reasonable risk why can't i do that and if i did do that who's going to fight with my doctor right let's say you go into your uh your employer and your employer says you have to wear a mask you can't come in he says oh yes i know that here's my note from my doctor can your employer override your doctor i mean they can right because if it's a private company they make their own rules they can but would they turley says no oh interesting i'm saying in the comments that jonathan turley says no now the reason i stopped is because there are just a few people in the world who if they have an opinion i just stop and say okay they're probably right um oh thank you um so they're probably right sorry getting a lot of getting a lot of help here today so if turley says that a doctor's note would be good enough not to wear a mask and i think he's right right how do you overrule a doctor's note what employer is going to overrule a doctor's note i just don't see it happening so i feel i feel i feel like i guess better turn off my alerts i'm getting a lot of help on rumble today um i feel as if we could all get a doctor's note now have you ever tried to get a doctor's prescription for a weed if you live in a state where you need a doctor to get weed you probably already know this there are specialists that's right there are weed doctors at least in california probably other places so a weed doctor basically just does one thing and you just go in hey i need some weed they do a you know brief question about your health and look at your health records and then they say yes or no now why couldn't we have mask specialist doctors let's say a retired doctor who just wants to put in an you know 800 number do telehealth right do it by phone and you call your doctor and you say hey here's my situation can i get a note why not would we see that popping up i mean it would be short-term business we hope but you would expect the market to respond to that um i looked at the headlines today i was looking at all the looking for all the deaths how many of you can answer the following questions how many people on average so in the comments i want to see how informed you are in the comments tell me how many people per day die in the united states from all costs so we're not talking about the pandemic yet but from all causes how many people per day die in the united states go put it in the comments and let me see if you're close i'll read out some of them i'm saying 800 8 000 8 000 10 000 2 2500 these are all your guesses 20 000 50 000 1000.

all right you're all over the board all over the board the correct answer is approximately 8 000 per day all right so you're going to be the first bunch of people who ever heard context on the pandemic tell me if you've heard this anywhere else that about 8 000 people a day or die from all causes now your second question is how many of the 8 thousand are dying at the moment you know that could go up but at the moment how many are dying per day out of the eight thousand from covent covid is how many of the eight thousand go in the comments i'll read your comments i'm saying zero five hundred two hundred a thousand one hundred eight thousand three hundred uh five hundred ten all right so your guesses are all over the board the answer is about a thousand so about one thousand of the eight thousand people who are dying every day at the moment one out of eight is dying of covet now do you count that one out of eight the same as you count the other people well probably because that seems fair but we have to also include the fact that these are people who might have only lived another year if they're elderly for example they might have had only a few years left so that thousand people is dying is a little misleading because if you looked at life years denied you know a child would have maybe 80 years ahead of them a senior citizen might have won so what happens if the of the 800 of the thousand people who died what happens if 800 of them only had a couple years left there's more like a few hundred people dying isn't it it's more like a few hundred because the people who only lost a year or two you have to count that i mean if you're doing you know life and death math you don't you don't get the choice of oh everybody lives got to make choices and i think we're the fact that this isn't in the headline and instead we're talking about icu beds should tell us that the news is manipulating us and trying to tell us it's a bigger problem that it is now is the icu beds problem a problem well i think the new york times said uh i think uh 20 of the hospitals are having capacity problems with the icus but what does that mean well in many cases it means that they just repurpose other space it doesn't mean that they turn you away if you go to the hospital you'll still get treated even even with the hospitals that are over capacity they'll just open up another they might keep you in the emergency room they might open up another wing or something it will impact other stuff but the other hospitals that are not impacted probably you could still go there so there's at least some flexibility so um definitely the icu beds are a problem but what we don't get is reporting on how much capability hospitals have to handle surges if you're looking at one of the other benefits of the pandemic is that we learned how to handle surges think about it every every major hospital in every city probably i'm guessing by now has a pretty detailed plan of what it looks like to have to surge your icu capacity you know up by 30 or something i bet every hospital knows how to do it now they know exactly which space to use now of course staffing would be a problem because that you can't surge staff too easily but anyway that's the full situation um i got a new mascot now a lot of you say hey you're a podcaster why do you need a mascot well i didn't really need one but i got one um so somebody says norway tested and found out that the r for this is lower than the regular flu i don't know about that anyway my mascot is twitter user anomaly some of you have heard him he's my critic but he refuses to tell me what we disagree with he's very very sure that if he would debate me in public he would embarrass me but he gave me four things that he disagrees with me let's go through them number one he says anomaly says me you are wrong about sweden and i was right to which i say wrong about what the sweden exists can you give me a hint what was it that i said that you disagreed with i don't even know so number one is something about sweden i have no idea what that is so i can't respond to that number two he said you're wrong about saying the that the unvaccinated are in a pandemic and you're not well that was my opinion of how i feel when i'm vaccinated when i got vaccinated i felt as though i was no longer in a pandemic well you guys are if you're unvaccinated now was that a fact no was it uh reasoning no it was literally how i feel so anomaly is arguing with me about how i feel i feel like i could win that argument anomaly i think he feels this way scott how do you feel not that way end of end of debate number three that says anomaly you need to get in line for your booster shot soon okay and what was the part i disagreed with what was it was i arguing that i like booster shots i sure wish we had booster shots or was i arguing that they would never happen i don't recall even thinking about it so what exactly are we disagreeing about i don't know and then number four israel is having more cases and that's this august than last august without the jab now this is obviously a cherry-picked data but let me ask you this do you think israel wishes they had not vaccinated do you think the the experts in israel anomaly do you think that they're not happy they vaccinated as much as they did do you think that they think it was a mistake why is it that nobody in the medical profession in israel knows what anomaly knows that it was all a big sham and i guess those vaccinations didn't help but israel itself doesn't know that anyway so i would like to call anomaly a critic but he doesn't actually criticize anything that's even slightly sensible so i'm going to call him a mascot for now rasmussen did a poll on voter regrets for 2020 the presidential race so i guess uh conservatives and liberals were about the same six percent of conservatives and five percent of liberals had some regret but twelve percent of moderates who decides elections moderates right it's the moderates that at least have the ability to to swing both ways the others the liberals and conservatives mostly not but the moderates 12 regret that's pretty big let's dig down a little bit turns out according to rasmussen that uh 70 of the people that they surveyed that's not the national thing but of people that they surveyed um 70 percent said they uh voted for biden 77 70 of black citizens but only 54 said they would now the black support for biden just crashed why what happened wasn't wasn't biden the antidote to trump except what happened i think the only thing that people know about biden is he's trying to get him vaccinated and a lot of them don't like it maybe maybe what happened was everything you heard about trump you realize was maybe maybe all those things you thought would go wrong under trump turned out to be like you know uh opportunity zones he funded and he you know trump funded the historically black colleges you know he had i mean he didn't do anything you don't like trump actually killed it for you know prison reforms thank you yeah trump consistently rolled out one thing after another that sounded pretty good to black people because it was what's biden done well biden has one accomplishment he made black lives matter stop protesting but nothing changed they just stopped protesting so maybe the black population is noticing that they they got taken by the the news industry well the golden age is still possible um it turns out that moderna you know of course they created one of the mrna vaccines they're going to start human trials for an hiv vaccine because it uses the same technology so i guess everything we learned about hiv after 37 years of studying it made us smart enough to create the mrna platform for the pandemic but then what we learned in the pandemic made us smart enough that we could circle back and work on aids and apparently apparently there's some kind of virtuous circle of science um that somebody else pointed out not me i didn't write down the name i wish i had but uh this is kind of cool and correct me if i'm wrong but i think this platform has some potential for cancer or some forms of cancer so this is big let me tell you another one that you didn't see coming i didn't see it coming i uh do you have any any of you have any kids in school what happened when your kids went back to school after a year of virtual learning tell me in the comments first week of school kids happy or unhappy tell me in the comments uh let's see just tell me happy or unhappy in the comments first happy love that yeah happy happy happy happy happy happy happy happy oh well yeah you're getting some colds i guess um yeah you know what else happened um at least i this is anecdotal but i'd love to hear it from you uh a lot of the cliques you know the little groups the kids form they dissolved and people were able to make new friends that maybe they could not have penetrated before there's something about the pandemic that rebooted the social structure of the kids because they lost their friends during the pandemic or they you know modified their friend group and now they're going back almost like it's new because you can get really locked out of a group but what i'm i'm being told that everybody's being more welcoming than they normally had been so here's some advice for your kids do you have any kids in school here's the advice more for the teens go make some friends go talk to some people who wouldn't have talked to you two years ago everybody seems to be more open and it might be a limited window where everybody's just a little more flexible because they're just so damn happy to see other people so go make some friends you'll never have if you're a teenager your whole life you'll never have a better time to make a friend this this could be the best time to make a friend all right um jeffrey toobin uh so you may remember i might be the only person who gave a full-throated uh defense of jeffrey toobin's uh job when he got in trouble for his little zoom masturbation thing i said let's not make that a career ending thing let's just call that a human moment let's not make that about his job and and i don't know anybody else who said that i i don't know did anybody else say let him keep his job but i did and now i'm glad because he came out with a an article on cnn in which he says he doesn't think trump should be charged with any crimes for the january 6 stuff boy did people not like that do you know what reasons jeffrey tubin gave for why trump should not be charged with a crime there wasn't any evidence of a crime he wrote this for cnn so cnn spared jeffrey toobin and you know i don't think this is literally true but it but it looks like i'll just say it looks like for fun it looks like they said okay we're going to spare you but you need to do one suicide mission for us in return and he was like i don't like that deal but it's the best i'll get and the suicide mission is tubin has to explain are you ready for this this is fun toobin has to explain on behalf of cnn why everything they've reported about trump breaking all the laws was not true so tuban has to take the arrows for informing cnn's audience that everything they've told them about trump so far is a lie because there's no chance of him getting prosecuted for anything here are the reasons it's ambiguous that he wanted any violence because he said go march but don't be violent how do you get how do you get prosecuted for inciting violence when you said don't be violent and jeffrey toobin correctly points out i mean i'm no lawyer but it sounds pretty logical to me that if you didn't say do violence and you said don't do violence it's going to be hard to say you were in favor of violence it's ambiguous and certainly well beyond the you know reasonable doubt standard um and let's see what it what else so he didn't do that and anything he told let's say the attorney general to do if trump believed what he was telling the attorney general to say which is that the election was fraudulent that's what trump wanted him to say if trump believed that was true there's no crime telling your attorney general to tell the truth as you see it even if you're wrong it's not a crime not a crime so as uh as as tuban correctly points out there's literally no evidence of a crime now that doesn't mean no crime happened i'm just saying there's no evidence of one and he had to be the guy the sacrificial lamb who went out and told the cnn's audience you know everything we've been telling you for a while it's kind of there's no crime here and he did a good job anyway so i find that i am proud to have supported jeffrey tubin's uh career and still am because i think he gave us a straight he gave us a strange story on this somebody says it was a stroke of genius all right yes the puns fall like water so of course cnn has to target whoever is the strongest gop candidate for president next time which is ron desantis if not trump so if trump runs of course he'll get nominated but desantis would be the obvious number two and so chrysalis is going after ron desantis for getting rid of masked mandates in schools i guess a few schools are getting sanctioned or something by the state for having them anyway but i read the article about chrystal is his hit piece on desantis but all he had was sarcasm he didn't have any reasons imagine a hit piece on cnn against a republican and the best they could do was sarcasm no reasons so for example um desantis said that florida was in quote coven's season now what he meant was that when it's hot people spend more time indoors where you get more recovered so desantis was basically saying yeah you know we expected a spike because people are getting their air conditioning they're inside and chris salisa uses sarcasm to say there's no coven season there's no coven season no there's no covet season there's just a season in which the covet is expected to be more for an obvious reason people are indoors that's it that was his best hit on desantis was something that you completely agree with and he actually said he agreed with him and but before he agreed with him he treated him sarcastically like well there's no cove in season overseas that's it are you kidding me that's the best they could come up with is that desantis did something popular oh well in the bad timing news bad timing news um kamala harris had long planned a trip to vietnam which is going to coincide with the the fall of afghanistan the withdrawal of afghanistan now just a coincidence that that was that that was planned but how bad is the timing that we're going to be made to think about vietnam at the same time the biden administration wants you to think about anything but vietnam can you see the meeting it's like all right guys this is the biden administration we've got quite the pr problem with the afghanistan thing but we'll be okay if people don't make the vietnam comparison as long as we keep vietnam out of the news i think we can manage this crisis and spin it so all right everybody what are you doing joe biden what are you doing i'll be hiding and uh i'll make one statement to say i made no mistakes good good that's good everybody else will be saying whatever joe biden says we'll just good good you're good anybody anybody else kamala harris what do you be doing i'll be traveling to vietnam nope bad diving all right um do you remember when you became a military genius it was this week i remember not going to school for military planning and yet despite my not going to school for military planning i like everybody else in america this week military geniuses and let me tell you let me tell you when i look at this afghanistan poland i say to myself you know i have no experience in logistics no experience in military anything but you know what despite my complete lack of information and experience i could have done better in afghanistan and so could all of you right because we're pretty smart with our complete lack of information about what was really happening on the ground and all of our military genius now isn't it weird think about this what are the odds of this you think the simulation theory is weird what about this seven plus billion people in the world how many of them are military geniuses almost all of them almost all seven billion are military geniuses because they all told you what went wrong in afghanistan but one of the odds there was seven billion military geniuses not one of them was involved in anything in afghanistan planning the withdrawal because it seems like even just one genius would have made a difference but none they had no geniuses is that why you believe do you believe that all the geniuses were everywhere else except afghanistan take a moment just take a moment and think about that how stupid are we really do you think that the people who are in charge of the afghanistan withdrawal with do you think they didn't think of what you thought of do you think there's anything that you thought of that the planners in afghanistan they didn't think of it really really they didn't think of it they didn't they they had not considered the taliban coming in and really but you thought of it but nobody there thought of it let me suggest that there's another explanation of what happened and i think it's the obvious one now you don't know right because we're all speculating so i'm speculating as much as you are right we're both kind of guessing here but i'll tell you what seems most likely did you hear about uh the president of afghanistan's departure he made it kind of quickly and why did he leave kabul when the as the taliban were coming in why did the president of afghanistan leave kabul well obviously part of it was he didn't want to be killed but what was the other part he didn't want a bloodbath in kabul because if the president stayed they would be fighting and it would get bloody and then what would be the outcome kabul would fall anyway right kabul was going to fall anyway and what did the intel for the united states say about the taliban taking over when we left our own intel said that in six months they were going to take over so the one thing we knew is that the taliban were going to take over was sometime within six months why do you wait what was the benefit exactly of waiting now you say to yourself well you'd avoid all that airport stuff but what would you not avoid what you what you wouldn't avoid is six months of civil war do you think that six months of civil war would have created more or less death than a terribly planned hasty withdrawal it's not even close the civil war would have been much worse the hasty withdrawal as bad as it was for everybody as bad as it was it was better than not staying i think biden was 100 right faster is better you have two choices fast disaster get it over with slow disaster that's it we had two freaking choices slow disaster or fast disaster biden chose a fast disaster good leadership i'm sorry i'm never going to change that opinion it's good leadership if you have two choices slow disaster or fast disaster good leadership picks the fast one because bad leadership lets you just string it along and do what you were doing don't get in trouble slow disaster oh it wasn't my fault we did what we could do too bad the taliban did better than we thought pulled that band-aid off biden did it and he didn't and he didn't apologize for it and i will always give him credit for that now could we have done a better job of preparing to get our allies out probably not probably not you you as a military genius believe that if we had done a lot more to get um to protect the people that we wanted to protect and we do want to protect them if we'd done a lot more to protect them we'd be in better shape but what would have happened if we had uh worked really hard to protect the people who were escaping with us the government would have fallen like right away because you would have sent the signal that you're all doomed if you start massively deporting the people who helped us the government falls right away and the taliban just walks in you didn't have a choice of winning the the moment you think there was a good way out you're you're just in crazy land do you think that there was some good way out and the experts in logistics and military strategy couldn't find it really do you know that our military is pretty well trained right our military is really really well trained somebody thought of the way to do it and figured out that it wouldn't work i'm guessing now of course i'm speculating as much as you are right could we find out tomorrow that it really was just massive stupidity yeah yeah we could but i don't have any evidence of that i see no evidence of failure and i believe i'm the only one saying this i don't know if i've heard even one person say anything close to what i'm saying there's no evidence of failure could be very very very possible i'd even give it you know maybe more than 50 chance but we don't see it it's not an evidence all right um will the taliban support terrorists setting up camps i don't know all the smart people are telling you that the al-qaeda and the bad guys are all just going to reconstitute under the taliban but does the taliban want that did the taliban learn nothing does the taliban want us to come back i feel like the taliban might do a little self-policing for for their own you know interests don't know yet but i wouldn't rule out the fact that the taliban doesn't want al qaeda there um of course the big question is is it trump's fault or somebody else's rasmussen did a poll on that found 51 percent think it's biden's failure the afghanistan and 33 percent think trump i think that 33 is sort of a rock bottom for politics i don't think you can dislodge a third of the public from their opinions no matter what um but apparently uh trump is being faulted for believing the taliban might keep their end of the deal did he really believe that or did he just sell it so we know he sold it in other words he told people hey you know i think i got to deal with the taliban but do you think he believed it i don't know because i don't think it mattered because whether the taliban were going to keep their end of the deal or not we were still going to bug out right one way or the other he got the taliban to say yeah we'll do some things and then they didn't do them but i don't think it mattered so was that trump's fault for believing the taliban i would say it's not in evidence what he believed it's only an evidence what he tried to sell and that might have been a good strategy just you know just to figure out a way to get out of there i also think that there's going to be a big question mark about what happens with women in afghanistan because i don't know that the i don't know you can put the toothpaste back in the bottle now they did it once the taliban did you know oppress women once when they were in charge i just think it's going to be harder it's going to be harder and i don't know what that does because the remember the taliban is acting weirdly non-taliban-y in some ways right they said they would respect women's rights within the within the boundaries of islam who knows what that is um so you know i think the odds are it's a it's a disaster for women but i'm not so sure i think there's at least some chance that the taliban is going to change i mean remember it's been 20 years you know you know even the taliban might morph a little bit in 20 years don't know all right so those were the things that i wanted to talk about today but i'm going to throw this in there's a new study by yale school of management they studied which which mitigation strategies for the pandemic worked and they studied masks and mask effectiveness if you haven't seen it yet what do you think they found yale school of management so let's let's assume that they know how to do statistics right it's yale so let's assume it's smart people who did it what do they think that they determined about mass effectiveness go without seeing it what do you think ohm uh pandemic mitigation did it help in the pandemic masks 12 percent they say 12 of deaths were avoided now twelve percent of deaths let's see we had over six hundred thousand deaths so let's say maybe sixty five thousand deaths were avoided was that worth wearing masks in the comments if it was true now of course we you know you have to be skeptical of any kind of science and those who criticize me for not being skeptical of things that agree with me this would be one of those cases so yes be skeptical of this even though it agrees with me so that's about what we expected mass to be 15 12 you know somewhere in that range um so if this is true and that that's a big f if it's true i would say that masks were a smart idea that have now reached the end of the the trade-off where it's worth doing in my opinion saving 12 percent of a thousand deaths a day maybe not worth it for the for the lack of freedom that it gives you and the lifestyle change it gives you etc so um i throw that out there for anomaly my mascot who doesn't believe that that study will be valid and maybe it isn't like every other study so don't assume that's the final word but maybe someday we'll find out and by the way this study did find that closing down non-critical places didn't matter all right bye for now gotta run

good morning everybody

and it's time for one of your

favorite things

yeah coffee with scott adams today

you'll hear about the headlines you will

have fun you will you'll be entertained

you'll be stimulated and amused all of

those things every one of them and all

you need to make it special is a copper

mug or glass a tanker chelsea style you

know can't enjoy a flash of vessel of

any kind

fill it with your favorite liquid i like

coffee

and join me now

for the unparalleled pleasure the dope

being here today the thing that makes

everything better is called the

simultaneous sip and watch it work go

wait wait we have a special request

i saw this go by on the locals platform

the special request is that sometimes a

sip is not enough can we agree on that

it's not enough

so today i'd like to introduce

thanks to a follower recommendation the

simultaneous slurp everybody one more

time except go big

[Music]

ah

yeah

that was both disgusting

and exhilarating at the same time

you don't get that often

well let's talk about all the things

first of all i'm i'm now

streaming on two platforms locals and

youtube i tried to stream on rumble have

you heard of it

rumble is a sort of a video streaming

service

competes with youtube

let's see if i get uh demonetized

one two three yeah should be happening

about now

um

but here's the process for me to become

a live streamer on rumble

if you want to be a producer you click a

button

to

to request whatever they need to make

you a producer

and then the way the process works is

that after you've clicked that button

nothing happens

and then the next day nothing happens

they may or may not be sending mail to

my spam i don't know but if you'd like

to see me on rumble

could you talk to somebody at rumble and

say

i don't know how to get on there i'll

click the button i suppose you might be

sending me email that i don't see

but your process is not quite connecting

the dots so i would be

i would be live streaming there if i

could

um

remember i told you that a lifelong

weird dream of mine came true

this is the weirdest thing you know i've

told you

too many stories about uh unusual

successes in my life

things which uh were totally unlikely

such as becoming a famous cartoonist

being a number one

author

you know best-selling author getting

invited to the white house so i've had

all these weird weird things and the

weirdest of all

was i always had a

a dream to be a lyricist

and apparently that that came true

without any effort on my part because

some of my podcast stuff has been turned

into music

uh by adding music to it and the product

is called meaning wave you could just

google it and you'll you'll find the

music

by akira the dawn

and there's some new music coming out

but

akira messaged me and reminded me that

here i'd been crowing about the fact

that

i had accomplished this highly unusual

goal

of being a lyricist with no musical

training

i don't even listen to music much i mean

rarely

and

it was the most unlikely goal i've ever

had in my life

and it actually happened

but as akira pointed out there's

something even more unlikely about it

that i somehow

i

missed my uh

somehow i didn't even notice

that i'm also a vocalist

because it's my actual voice that

appears in the in the songs that was

just samples of my voice

but what were the odds that i would go

from literally not being able to speak

i'll remind you of this story many of

you have already heard it

a number of years ago i lost the ability

to speak for about three and a half

years

to a rare condition called spasmodic

dysphonia long story short i found the

only doctor in the world who had a

surgery

experimental surgery to fix it and i

became one of the first people in the

world

to fix that problem

but my affirmations at the time is that

i scott will speak perfectly

now that seemed unlikely because i

didn't speak perfectly before i got the

spasmodic dysphonia it was kind of

nasally and you know nobody really

wanted to hear my voice

but because i did lots of voice training

before the surgery and took years to

rehab it

the weirdest thing happened i'm a

professional vocalist now

well not professional because i didn't

get paid for it but but there's an

actual commercial song

with my voice on it

that's actually music

literally

my voice is music

now if you told me that that goal

could have actually happened

when i couldn't speak

just keep in mind put the context on

this

that when i couldn't speak

i had a very specific affirmation that i

repeated every day

that i scott will speak perfectly

i'm actually

featured on music

i can't get i can't this is blowing my

mind

so hard that you can't even believe it i

suppose this is this is more for me than

it is for you

all right how about more more about you

so apparently the california governor

recall race is uh really going to be

close and larry elder looks to be the

leading person to take the job

if newsom doesn't get uh if newsom does

get recalled

and here's here's my take on

the strangest thing about this story

it's another one of these uh the dog not

barking

has anyone mentioned

that larry elder is black

right

it's not even a story

and if it gets mentioned at all and

literally i've never even heard a

mention

how do you have

a black guy running for a governor

probably will win

and

should we take a moment to celebrate

should we take a moment to celebrate

that being black wasn't even part of the

question

or if it was

it was considered an advantage

am i right

if you thought about it for a minute

and you said to yourself hey larry

elder's running for governor he's black

didn't you think that would help him

you did didn't you

i mean think about it

think about how far we've come

right lots of work to do blah blah blah

blah we're not saying you know i'm not

saying you know systemic racism is

solved or anything like that but just

think about the fact

that the guy who might be governor in

just a few weeks i mean there's a really

good shot

he's running as a black man and nobody

cared and if they did care they thought

it was a positive at least politically

so i don't know i feel like that's

super noteworthy because it's not being

talked about

specifically

yeah the less is talked about the

happier we are where are all the where

is the narrative about all the the

racist republicans

aren't the republicans all supposed to

be a bunch of racists

so how could it be

that the very the moment larry elder

entered the race the moment he entered

the race

he took the lead

where are all the racist republicans

is there anybody who who cares about his

race i don't think so except in a

positive way

um

another question

do you remember it wasn't that many

years ago when the biggest debate it

seemed like in public

was about teaching intelligent design in

schools

whatever happened to that

but

i noted in a tweet that once elon musk

told you that you were you were almost

certainly a simulated uh reality and

that you were probably programmed by

some other intelligence

kind of ruined the whole topic didn't it

i i feel like you can't have that debate

anymore

as soon as you throw in the the

the

well the

statistical

near certainty that we are a simulation

created by some other form of

intelligence

and by the way that argument is just

based on math and common sense

that if one simulation could be created

and we know we'll be able to make one in

my lifetime we'll be able to make a

simulation where the the creatures in it

i think they're real because they were

programmed to think they're real

if we can make one they're going to be

more than one

might mean millions of them could be

trillions of them if you make a good

enough simulation the people in the

simulation can make their own simulation

or they think they did

so it seems like the question of

intelligent design we can't even have

the argument anymore because the

simulation theory just ruined the

argument anyway i just point out that

there are some things you think are the

most important thing in the world and

then they can just go away on their own

i don't even know what happened

um

somebody said

i'm looking in the comments

um

oh okay well never mind i thought it was

a different comment

question

um well before we get to that i love

watching

fox news and cnn fight

i don't know there's it's one of the

most amusing things

um i think i was a

uh probably an outlier in the sense that

uh i liked watching chris cuomo and his

brother uh do their little show on cnn

if you don't take it seriously and you

shouldn't because obviously that's not

real news but just watching the two

successful brothers banter

i liked it

i know you didn't i'm not telling you

you should like what i like i'm just

telling you i liked it from an

entertainment perspective i didn't take

any of the news part of it seriously

but

um

here's some more of that little back and

forth between fox news and cnn

so apparently uh

chris cuomo's show

is just uh hemorrhaging female voter

female viewers which is no surprise

since he sported his brother and his

brother was accused of uh some a lot of

me too stuff

so

cuomo prime time i guess

average 86 000 female viewers in the in

the age group that they want the most

and last week it was down 33 percent

compared to the second quarter totals

wow

a key demographic

was down 33 percent because of what his

brother did

wow

and down uh stunning as fox says a

stunning

56

compared to the last year

now mostly compared to last year's

because trump was in the news that's not

not anything to do with cnn per se

but here's what i like about this fox

news refers to

chris cuomo as quote

the troubled cnn's troubled anchor

troubled anchor

now here's what i'm at here's my

question do you ever see cnn use

disgraced

they'll throw in disgrace in front of

you know somebody's name or or title

as if it's just the fact that they're

disgraced

um

what is the dividing line between being

troubled

being a troubled anchor and being a

disgraced anchor

what's the dividing line

where it is troubled turned into

disgrace

because you know

if if this had been reversed

i feel like cnn would have called you

know let's say if it happened to you

know if hannity had a brother who was a

uh a governor or if if typhoon carlson

had a brother who was a governor i think

they would call them the disgraced

anchor

disgraced

so this is a little persuasion trick for

you

just insert disgraced

in front of anybody you don't like

let me give you an example

disgraced president biden

talked about the afghanistan withdrawal

debacle

pretty

good um

uh

oh well it looks like i'm already

getting some help connecting on rumble

thank you amanda

um

back to the news

can we all get doctor's notes to wear no

masks

and if we can't

why not

why not

why can't you go to the doctor and say

let's say i'll use myself as an example

doctor

i'm fit

and healthy

and i've been vaccinated

recently so it hasn't even worn off

and i i find it very disturbing to wear

masks and it itches my face and makes me

psychologically unhappy

etc

can i get my doctor to write me a note

and says oh yeah okay you don't need a

mask

because

yes it would help perhaps it would help

but

all things considered you've looked at

your risks your rewards and as your

doctor i

i certify your choice yes there's some

extra risk

of not wearing the mask would say my

doctor i imagine my doctor would say

that but

it's a low risk

and uh i i signed your note saying that

you can take that risk you're it's a

reasonable risk

why can't i do that

and if i did do that

who's going to fight with my doctor

right

let's say you go into your uh your

employer

and your employer says you have to wear

a mask you can't come in he says oh yes

i know that here's my note

from my doctor can your employer

override your doctor

i mean they can

right because

if it's a private company they make

their own rules they can

but would they

turley says no oh interesting i'm saying

in the comments that jonathan turley

says no now the reason i stopped

is because there are just a few people

in the world

who if they have an opinion i just stop

and say okay

they're probably right

um

oh thank you

um

so they're probably right

sorry getting a lot of getting a lot of

help here today

so if turley says that a doctor's note

would be good enough not to wear a mask

and i think he's right right how do you

overrule a doctor's note

what employer is going to overrule a

doctor's note i just don't see it

happening so i feel

i feel i feel like i guess better turn

off my alerts i'm getting a lot of help

on rumble today

um

i feel as if we could all get a doctor's

note

now

have you ever tried to get a doctor's

prescription for a weed

if you live in a state where you need a

doctor to get weed you probably already

know this

there are specialists

that's right there are weed doctors at

least in california probably other

places

so a weed doctor

basically just

does one thing and you just go in hey i

need some weed they do a you know brief

question about your health and look at

your health records and then they say

yes or no now why couldn't we have mask

specialist doctors let's say a retired

doctor

who just wants to put in an you know 800

number

do telehealth right do it by phone and

you call your doctor and you say hey

here's my situation can i get a note

why not

would we see that popping up i mean it

would be short-term business we hope

but

you would expect the market to respond

to that

um

i looked at the headlines today i was

looking at all the

looking for all the deaths

how many of you can answer the following

questions

how many people on average so in the

comments i want to see how informed you

are in the comments tell me

how many people

per day die in the united states from

all costs so we're not talking about the

pandemic yet

but from all causes how many people per

day

die in the united states go put it in

the comments and let me see if you're

close

i'll read out some of them i'm saying

800 8 000 8 000 10 000 2

2500 these are all your guesses 20 000

50 000 1000.

all right you're all over the board

all over the board the correct answer is

approximately 8 000 per day

all right so you're going to be the

first

bunch of people who ever heard context

on the pandemic

tell me if you've heard this anywhere

else

that about 8 000 people a day or die

from all causes now your second question

is how many of the 8 thousand

are dying at the moment you know that

could go up but at the moment how many

are dying per day out of the eight

thousand

from covent

covid is how many of the eight thousand

go in the comments i'll read your

comments i'm saying zero five hundred

two hundred a thousand one hundred eight

thousand

three hundred

uh five hundred ten

all right so your guesses are all over

the board the answer is about a thousand

so about one thousand

of the eight thousand people who are

dying every day

at the moment

one out of eight

is dying of covet

now

do you count that one out of eight the

same as you count the other people

well probably because that seems fair

but we have to also

include the fact that these are people

who might have only lived another year

if they're elderly for example they

might have had only a few years left

so that thousand people is dying is a

little misleading

because if you looked at life years

denied you know a child would have maybe

80 years ahead of them

a senior citizen might have won

so what happens if the of the 800 of the

thousand people who died what happens if

800 of them

only had a couple years left

there's more like a few hundred people

dying isn't it

it's more like a few hundred

because

the people who only lost a year or two

you have to count that i mean if you're

doing

you know life and death math you don't

you don't get the choice of oh everybody

lives

got to make choices

and i think we're the fact that this

isn't in the headline and instead we're

talking about icu beds should tell us

that the news is manipulating us and

trying to tell us it's a bigger problem

that it is

now

is the icu beds problem

a problem

well i think the new york times said uh

i think uh 20 of the hospitals are

having capacity problems with the icus

but

what does that mean

well in many cases it means that they

just repurpose other space

it doesn't mean that they turn you away

if you go to the hospital you'll still

get treated even even with the hospitals

that are over capacity they'll just open

up another

they might keep you in the emergency

room they might open up another wing or

something it will impact other stuff

but the other hospitals that are not

impacted probably you could still go

there

so there's at least some flexibility

so

um definitely the icu beds are a problem

but what we don't get is reporting on

how much

capability hospitals have to handle

surges if you're looking at one of the

other benefits of the pandemic

is that we learned how to handle surges

think about it every every major

hospital in every city

probably i'm guessing

by now has a pretty detailed plan of

what it looks like to have to surge your

icu capacity

you know up by 30 or something i bet

every hospital knows how to do it now

they know exactly which space to use

now of course staffing would be a

problem because

that you can't surge staff

too easily

but anyway that's the full situation

um

i got a new mascot

now

a lot of you say hey you're a podcaster

why do you need a mascot well i didn't

really need one

but i got one

um

so somebody says norway tested and found

out that the r for this is lower than

the regular flu i don't know about that

anyway my mascot is twitter user anomaly

some of you have heard him

he's my critic but he refuses to tell me

what we disagree with

he's very very sure

that if he would debate me in public

he would embarrass me

but he gave me four things that he

disagrees with me let's go through them

number one he says anomaly says me you

are wrong about sweden and i was right

to which i say

wrong about what

the sweden exists

can you give me a hint

what was it that i said that you

disagreed with

i don't even know so number one

is something about sweden

i have no idea what that is so i can't

respond to that number two he said

you're wrong about saying the that the

unvaccinated are in a pandemic and

you're not

well that was my opinion

of how i feel

when i'm vaccinated

when i got vaccinated i felt as though i

was no longer in a pandemic well you

guys are if you're unvaccinated now

was that a fact no

was it

uh reasoning

no

it was literally how i feel

so anomaly is arguing with me about how

i feel

i feel like i could win that argument

anomaly

i think he feels this way scott how do

you feel not that way

end of end of debate

number three

that

says anomaly you need to get in line for

your booster shot soon

okay

and what was the part i disagreed with

what was it was i arguing that i like

booster shots i sure wish we had booster

shots

or was i arguing that they would never

happen

i don't recall even thinking about it so

what exactly are we disagreeing about

i don't know and then number four

israel is having more cases and that's

this august than last august without the

jab

now this is obviously a cherry-picked

data but let me ask you this

do you think israel wishes they had not

vaccinated

do you think the the experts in israel

anomaly do you think that they're not

happy they vaccinated as much as they

did do you think that they think it was

a mistake

why is it that nobody in the medical

profession in israel

knows what anomaly knows that it was all

a big sham and i guess those

vaccinations didn't help

but israel itself doesn't know that

anyway so i would like to call anomaly a

critic but he doesn't actually criticize

anything that's even slightly sensible

so i'm going to call him a mascot

for now

rasmussen

did a poll on voter regrets for 2020 the

presidential race so i guess uh

conservatives and liberals were about

the same

six percent of conservatives and five

percent of liberals had some regret but

twelve percent of moderates

who decides elections

moderates right it's the moderates that

at least have the ability to to swing

both ways the others the liberals and

conservatives mostly not

but

the moderates 12 regret

that's pretty big let's dig down a

little bit

turns out according to rasmussen that uh

70 of the people that they surveyed

that's not the national thing but of

people that they surveyed

um 70 percent

said they uh voted for biden 77 70 of

black citizens

but only 54 said they would now

the black support for biden just crashed

why

what happened

wasn't wasn't biden the antidote to

trump

except what happened

i think the only thing that people know

about biden is he's trying to get him

vaccinated and a lot of them don't like

it

maybe

maybe what happened was everything you

heard about trump

you realize was

maybe

maybe all those things you thought would

go wrong under trump

turned out to be like

you know uh opportunity zones he funded

and he you know trump funded the

historically black colleges

you know he had

i mean he didn't do anything you don't

like

trump actually

killed it

for you know prison reforms thank you

yeah

trump consistently rolled out one thing

after another that sounded pretty good

to black people because it was

what's biden done

well biden has one accomplishment he

made black lives matter stop protesting

but nothing changed

they just stopped protesting

so

maybe the black population is noticing

that they they got taken by the the news

industry

well the golden age is still

possible

um it turns out that moderna

you know of course they created one of

the mrna

vaccines they're going to start human

trials for an hiv vaccine

because it uses the same technology

so i guess everything we learned about

hiv after 37 years of studying it

made us smart enough to create the mrna

platform for the

pandemic

but then what we learned in the pandemic

made us smart enough that we could

circle back and work on aids

and apparently apparently there's some

kind of virtuous circle of science

um that somebody else pointed out not me

i didn't write down the name i wish i

had but uh

this is kind of cool

and correct me if i'm wrong but i think

this platform has some potential for

cancer or some forms of cancer

so this is big

let me tell you another one that you

didn't see coming i didn't see it coming

i uh do you have any any of you have any

kids in school

what happened when your kids went back

to school after a year of virtual

learning

tell me in the comments

first week of school

kids happy or unhappy tell me in the

comments

uh

let's see

just tell me happy or unhappy

in the comments first happy

love that yeah happy happy happy happy

happy happy happy happy oh well yeah

you're getting some colds i guess

um yeah you know what else happened

um

at least i this is anecdotal but i'd

love to hear it from you

uh a lot of the cliques you know the

little groups the kids form

they dissolved

and people were able to make new friends

that maybe they could not have

penetrated before there's something

about the pandemic that rebooted

the social structure of the kids

because they lost their friends during

the pandemic or they you know modified

their friend group and now they're going

back almost like it's new

because you can get really locked out of

a group

but what i'm i'm being told that

everybody's being more welcoming than

they normally had been so here's some

advice for your kids

do you have any kids in school here's

the advice

more for the teens

go make some friends

go talk to some people who wouldn't have

talked to you two years ago

everybody seems to be more open and it

might be a limited window

where everybody's just a little more

flexible because they're just so damn

happy to see other people

so go make some friends

you'll never have if you're a teenager

your whole life you'll never have a

better time to make a friend this this

could be the best time to make a friend

all right um jeffrey toobin uh

so you may remember

i might be the only person who gave a

full-throated uh defense of jeffrey

toobin's uh job

when he got in trouble for his little

zoom masturbation thing

i said let's not make that a career

ending thing let's just call that a

human moment

let's not make that about his job and

and i don't know anybody else who said

that

i i don't know did anybody else say

let him keep his job

but i did

and now i'm glad

because he came out with a

an article on cnn in which he says he

doesn't think trump should be charged

with any crimes for the january 6 stuff

boy did people not like that

do you know what reasons jeffrey tubin

gave for why trump should not be charged

with a crime

there wasn't any evidence of a

crime he wrote this for cnn

so cnn spared jeffrey toobin

and you know i don't think this is

literally true but it but it looks like

i'll just say it looks like

for fun

it looks like they said okay we're going

to spare you

but you need to do one suicide mission

for us in return

and he was like i don't like that deal

but it's the best i'll get and the

suicide mission is

tubin has to explain are you ready for

this this is fun

toobin has to explain on behalf of cnn

why everything they've reported about

trump breaking all the laws

was not true

so tuban

has to take the arrows

for informing cnn's audience that

everything they've told them about trump

so far is a lie because there's no

chance of him getting prosecuted for

anything

here are the reasons

it's ambiguous that he wanted any

violence because he said

go march but don't be violent

how do you get

how do you get prosecuted for inciting

violence when you said don't be violent

and jeffrey toobin correctly points out

i mean i'm no lawyer but it sounds

pretty logical to me

that if you didn't say do violence and

you said don't do violence it's going to

be hard to say you were in favor of

violence

it's ambiguous and certainly well beyond

the you know reasonable doubt standard

um

and let's see what it what else so he

didn't

do that

and anything he told let's say the

attorney general to do

if trump believed what he was telling

the attorney general to say

which is that the election was

fraudulent that's what trump wanted him

to say

if trump believed that was true

there's no crime

telling your attorney general to tell

the truth

as you see it even if you're wrong it's

not a crime

not a crime

so

as

uh as as tuban correctly points out

there's literally no evidence of a crime

now that doesn't mean no crime happened

i'm just saying there's no evidence of

one

and he had to be the guy the sacrificial

lamb

who went out and told the cnn's audience

you know everything we've been telling

you for a while it's kind of

there's no crime here

and he did a good job anyway so i find

that i am proud to have supported

jeffrey tubin's

uh career

and still am

because i think he gave us a straight he

gave us a strange story on this

somebody says it was a stroke of genius

all right yes the puns

fall like water

so of course cnn has to target whoever

is the strongest gop candidate for

president next time which is ron

desantis if not trump so if trump runs

of course he'll get nominated

but desantis would be the obvious number

two

and so chrysalis is going after ron

desantis for

getting rid of masked mandates in

schools i guess a few schools

are getting sanctioned or something by

the state for having them anyway

but i read the article about chrystal is

his hit piece on desantis but all he had

was sarcasm

he didn't have any reasons

imagine a hit piece

on cnn against a republican

and the best they could do was sarcasm

no reasons so for example

um

desantis said that

florida was in quote coven's season

now what he meant was that when it's hot

people spend more time indoors where you

get more recovered

so desantis was basically saying yeah

you know we expected a spike because

people are getting their air

conditioning they're inside

and chris salisa

uses sarcasm to say

there's no coven season

there's no coven season

no there's no covet season

there's just a season

in which the covet is expected to be

more

for an obvious reason people are indoors

that's it

that was his best hit

on desantis

was something that you completely agree

with and he actually said he agreed with

him

and but before he agreed with him he

treated him sarcastically like well

there's no cove in season overseas

that's it

are you kidding me

that's the best they could come up with

is that desantis did something popular

oh well

in the bad timing news

bad timing news

um

kamala harris had long planned a trip to

vietnam

which is going to coincide with the the

fall of afghanistan

the withdrawal of afghanistan

now

just a coincidence that that was that

that was planned

but

how bad is the timing that we're going

to be made to think about vietnam at the

same time

the biden administration wants you to

think about anything but vietnam

can you see the meeting it's like all

right

guys this is the biden administration

we've got quite the pr problem with the

afghanistan thing but we'll be okay

if people don't make the vietnam

comparison

as long as we keep vietnam out of the

news

i think we can manage this crisis and

spin it

so all right everybody what are you

doing joe biden what are you doing i'll

be hiding and uh i'll make one statement

to say i made no mistakes good good

that's good everybody else will be

saying whatever joe biden says we'll

just good good you're good anybody

anybody else kamala harris what do you

be doing

i'll be traveling to vietnam

nope

bad diving

all right

um do you remember when you became a

military genius

it was this week

i remember not going to school for

military planning and yet

despite my not going to school for

military planning

i

like everybody else in america

this week

military geniuses and let me tell you

let me tell you when i look at this

afghanistan poland i say to myself

you know i have no experience in

logistics

no experience in military anything

but you know what

despite my complete lack of information

and experience

i could have done better

in afghanistan and so could all of you

right

because we're pretty smart

with our complete lack of information

about what was really happening on the

ground

and all of our military genius

now isn't it weird

think about this what are the odds of

this

you think the simulation theory is weird

what about this

seven

plus billion people in the world

how many of them are military geniuses

almost all of them

almost all seven billion are military

geniuses because they all told you what

went wrong in afghanistan but one of the

odds

there was seven billion military

geniuses not one of them

was involved in anything in afghanistan

planning the withdrawal

because it seems like even just one

genius would have made a difference

but none

they had no geniuses

is that why you believe

do you believe that all the geniuses

were

everywhere else except

afghanistan

take a moment

just take a moment and think about that

how stupid are we

really

do you think that the people who are in

charge of the afghanistan withdrawal

with do you think they didn't think of

what you thought of

do you think there's anything that you

thought of

that the planners in afghanistan they

didn't think of it

really

really

they didn't think of it

they didn't they they had not considered

the taliban coming in and

really

but you thought of it but nobody there

thought of it

let me suggest that there's another

explanation of what happened

and i think it's the obvious one

now you don't know right because we're

all speculating so i'm speculating as

much as you are right we're both kind of

guessing here

but i'll tell you what seems most likely

did you hear about uh the

president of afghanistan's departure he

made it kind of quickly and why did he

leave kabul when the

as the taliban were coming in

why did the president of afghanistan

leave kabul well obviously part of it

was he didn't want to be killed

but what was the other part

he didn't want a bloodbath in kabul

because if the president stayed they

would be fighting and it would get

bloody and then what would be the

outcome

kabul would fall anyway

right kabul was going to fall anyway

and what did the intel for the united

states say

about

the taliban taking over when we left

our own intel said that in six months

they were going to take over

so the one thing we knew is that the

taliban were going to take over

was sometime within six months

why do you wait

what was the benefit

exactly

of waiting now you say to yourself well

you'd avoid all that airport stuff

but what would you not avoid what you

what you wouldn't avoid is six months of

civil war

do you think that six months of civil

war

would have created more or less death

than a terribly planned hasty withdrawal

it's not even close the civil war would

have been much worse

the hasty withdrawal

as bad as it was

for everybody

as bad as it was

it was better than not staying

i think biden was 100 right faster is

better you have two choices

fast disaster get it over with

slow disaster

that's it

we had two freaking choices slow

disaster or fast disaster biden chose a

fast disaster

good leadership

i'm sorry i'm never going to change that

opinion

it's good leadership if you have two

choices slow disaster or fast disaster

good leadership picks the fast one

because bad leadership lets you just

string it along and do what you were

doing don't get in trouble

slow disaster oh it wasn't my fault we

did what we could do

too bad the taliban did better than we

thought

pulled that band-aid off biden did it

and he didn't and he didn't apologize

for it and i will always give him credit

for that

now

could we have done a better job of

preparing to get our allies out

probably not

probably not you you as a military

genius believe that if we had done a lot

more to get um to protect the people

that we wanted to protect and we do want

to protect them if we'd done a lot more

to protect them

we'd be in better shape

but what would have happened

if we had uh worked really hard to

protect the people who were escaping

with us

the government would have fallen

like right away

because you would have sent the signal

that you're all doomed

if you start massively deporting the

people who helped us

the government falls right away

and the taliban just walks in

you didn't have a choice of winning

the the moment you think there was a

good way out

you're you're just in crazy land

do you think that there was some good

way out and the experts in logistics and

military strategy

couldn't find it

really

do you know that our military is pretty

well trained right

our military is really really well

trained

somebody thought of the way to do it and

figured out that it wouldn't work

i'm guessing now of course i'm

speculating as much as you are right

could we find out tomorrow that it

really was just massive stupidity yeah

yeah we could but i don't have any

evidence of that

i see no evidence

of failure

and i believe i'm the only one saying

this i don't know if i've heard even one

person say anything close to what i'm

saying

there's no evidence of failure could be

very very very possible i'd even give it

you know maybe more than 50 chance

but we don't see it

it's not an evidence

all right

um

will the taliban support terrorists

setting up camps

i don't know

all the smart people are telling you

that the al-qaeda and the bad guys are

all just going to

reconstitute under the taliban

but does the taliban want that

did the taliban learn nothing

does the taliban want us to come back

i feel like the taliban

might do a little self-policing for

for their own you know interests

don't know yet but i wouldn't rule out

the fact that the taliban doesn't want

al qaeda there

um

of course the big question is is it

trump's fault or somebody else's

rasmussen did a poll on that

found 51 percent think it's biden's

failure the afghanistan and 33 percent

think trump i think that 33 is sort of a

rock bottom for politics

i don't think you can dislodge a third

of the public from their opinions no

matter what

um

but apparently uh trump is being faulted

for believing the taliban might keep

their end of the deal

did he really believe that or did he

just sell it

so we know he sold it

in other words he told people hey you

know i think i got to deal with the

taliban but do you think he believed it

i don't know because i don't think it

mattered

because whether the taliban were going

to keep their end of the deal or not

we were still going to bug out

right one way or the other he got the

taliban to say yeah we'll do some things

and then they didn't do them but i don't

think it mattered

so was that trump's

fault for believing the taliban

i would say it's not in evidence what he

believed it's only an evidence what he

tried to sell

and that might have been a good strategy

just you know just to figure out a way

to get out of there

i also think that there's going to be a

big question mark about what happens

with women

in afghanistan because i don't know that

the i don't know you can put the

toothpaste back in the bottle now they

did it once

the taliban did you know oppress women

once when they were in charge

i just think it's going to be harder

it's going to be harder

and i don't know what that does because

the remember the taliban is acting

weirdly

non-taliban-y in some ways right they

said they would respect women's rights

within the

within the boundaries of

islam who knows what that is

um

so you know i think the odds are it's a

it's a disaster for women

but i'm not so sure

i think there's at least some chance

that the taliban is going to change i

mean remember it's been 20 years

you know

you know even the taliban might morph a

little bit in 20 years

don't know

all right so those were the things that

i wanted to talk about today but i'm

going to throw this in

there's a new study by yale

school of management

they studied which

which mitigation strategies for the

pandemic worked and they studied masks

and mask effectiveness if you haven't

seen it yet

what do you think they found

yale school of management so let's let's

assume that they know how to do

statistics right it's yale

so let's assume it's smart people who

did it

what do they think that they determined

about mass effectiveness

go without seeing it what do you think

ohm

uh

pandemic mitigation did it help in the

pandemic masks

12 percent

they say 12 of deaths were avoided

now twelve percent of deaths let's see

we had over six hundred thousand deaths

so let's say maybe sixty five thousand

deaths were avoided

was that worth wearing masks

in the comments if it was true now of

course we you know you have to be

skeptical of any kind of science and

those who criticize me for not being

skeptical of things that agree with me

this would be one of those cases

so yes be skeptical of this

even though it agrees with me

so that's about what we expected mass to

be 15 12

you know somewhere in that range

um

so if this is true

and that that's a big f

if it's true i would say that masks were

a smart idea

that have now reached the end of the the

trade-off where it's worth doing

in my opinion

saving 12 percent of a thousand deaths a

day

maybe not worth it for the for the lack

of freedom that it gives you and the

lifestyle change it gives you etc

so um i throw that out there for anomaly

my mascot who doesn't believe that that

study will be valid and maybe it isn't

like every other study so don't assume

that's the final word but maybe someday

we'll find out and by the way this study

did find that

closing down non-critical places didn't

matter

all right bye for now

gotta run