Episode 1857 Scott Adams - Let's Talk About The Headlines While I Teach you Hypnosis Tips & Tricks

good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of civilization it's called coffee with scott adams and i don't think there's been a finer moment in the history of time space time or whatever the hell this is and you my lucky viewers are in for the best time of your entire day so far and all you need to take it up to amazing levels of happiness is a copper margaret glass a tanker chelsea steiner canteen joker flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine the other day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and wait do you feel it it's amazing go well today we're going to peel back the scenery and take a look at the machinery that's right we're gonna we're gonna go deep we're gonna look behind the curtain under the hood beneath the rock and then we're going to drill into the core of the planet to find secrets and truths that have never been experienced before or we'll just spend an hour or so sipping coffee and having a good time and both of those are good things i think you'd agree well in the news here are the things we know for sure long coveted definitely exists and it's really bad we also know there's no evidence whatsoever that long covet exists so those those are both true we know for example that emergency rooms are packed with people complaining of long-covered symptoms i also know because i saw a bunch of emergency room doctors this morning say there's absolutely nothing like that happening i've seen exactly zero long-covered patients say the other emergency room doctors so it is totally true that long covet is a gigantic problem that exists for millions of people and is one of the biggest variables in the entire pandemic and also there's no evidence of it whatsoever so you can choose your adventure which one of those do you like there is just as much evidence of both the situations just as much i i don't know which one's true honestly i don't also in the news we have new studies that have proven that new data proven that vaccinations are injuring people more than the uh more than the covenant itself but but hold on don't cancel me yet but also information proving the opposite so we simultaneously have really good solid information that the vaccinations have saved millions of lives and at the same time really solid information that killed people both true they're both equally true meaning that they both have something like data and there are people who believe each now the experts are solidly on one side on most of these questions but do you believe the experts anymore well well we want to we'd like to wouldn't it be nice if we could let's see what else we know um uh we also know this week that ivermecton definitely works because there's a new study showing it and also that ivermectin definitely doesn't work because there are better studies that show that it doesn't work and an observational study doesn't mean anything so these are the things we know long covet exists and doesn't exist vaccinations are good for you and not good for you and that ivormectin totally works and totally doesn't work that was that's the news today now how much of this do you think is because the people who disagree with you didn't do their homework you think that's what's going on do you think the people who are on the other side from you wherever you are on these topics do you think that it's because they don't have better they don't have good information you think that's a problem well we're going to get to that here's another other thing that uh is true and not true at the same time trump's recent speech was super divisive or the opposite of that just a lot of fun so it's both of those things it was super divisive divisive nazi sounding scary and also just a bunch of laughs same time both of those we're all looking at the same stuff everybody's looking at the same stuff um we also know that biden has been simultaneously hugely successful lots of major legislation you know he's got the unemployment rate is not bad and things are moving in the right direction at the same time everything he's done is a disaster so biden is simultaneously one of the most successful presidents in our history and also the worst president in our history same time yeah same time um so let me ask you this uh today for the first time it's sort of sort of not a good sign uh years ago when i built my house the one i live in i put it in an elevator because i said to myself if i stay here long enough eventually there's going to be a day when i don't want to walk upstairs and so i put in an elevator i didn't think that day would be today but it is this morning i actually couldn't handle the stairs it was physically too much for me now here's the weird thing i'm in really good shape i'm in great shape right physically i can you know i walk for miles ride my bike for miles go to the gym on a regular basis but i can't walk up and down my stairs anymore do you know why do you know why i can't walk up and down my stairs anymore i don't know either i don't know if if i were going to fall for the long covent story that's exactly what it feels like it feels exactly like long covet because here's what the feeling is all of my muscles hurt like crazy all of the time and i thought i was just working out too much so that i took a little time off from my workouts to just see if maybe i just overdid it no difference my muscles are sore all the time i can barely walk up and down stairs now by by mid-morning by mid-morning i will have loosened up a little bit and i i could walk up and downstairs easily i can run up and down six so by this afternoon i'll be fine later in the afternoon i will again be so tired that i will just sit on the couch and stare into space now you're going to say to yourself it's old age except that it happened at the same time i is that got coincidence did old age just sneak up on me or the same week i got covered did that happen and and were my exact covenant symptoms is it just a coincidence that the exact symptoms i had during covert which is trouble walking up the stairs are the same symptoms i have now trouble walking up and down the stairs now when did i get my vaccination you're all desperate to find out aren't you well i only got the original series for the alpha so that was over a year ago i did not get a booster beyond the the first two that were basically one shot but two parts so i didn't get anything beyond the first the first set a year went by when i didn't really have this problem as soon as i got covered i haven't been able to walk upstairs for two months now two months now and then i also have the brain fog for a while but that's i have less of the brain fog right now now here's another factoid see if you can figure this out all right when when i'm completely wiped out and i can't even move i could just barely stand up and get to my car and i mean it's a struggle i mean just in i mean at three o'clock in the afternoon the act of standing up walking to my garage and putting the key in the it's actually pretty hard it's pretty hard it's a struggle then i go to starbucks and i order a vente sized iced espresso almond milk something i don't know what it is i sit there and i drink that espresso almond milk iced tea whatever whatever ice thing it is and when i'm done i feel fine like i i want to go to the gym my body's all great pain is gone yeah i want to go work i i want to work on my book for hours now here's here's the weird part if i drink warm coffee at home it just puts me to sleep what's the difference does anybody know is it the sugar because i don't have sugar in my coffee when i'm home i just need to have black coffee but what i have in a starbucks is i assume it's got sugar in there of some kind you think it's the sugar do you think i it's the sunlight no i you know the other thing i've been doing is uh going out in the morning and standing in the sun for a few minutes every day i've been hearing good things about that like just the first thing i do as soon as i'm done with this i'll actually go stand in my driveway for 10 minutes and just feel the sun yeah now you're also going to say it's because of marijuana right right yeah the obvious things but my marijuana smoking is identical to how it's been since i was 18 years old hasn't changed that much and it's not like the the weed got better this summer i mean it's gradually improved but that's not it i i know exactly what it feels like to be stoned and this is different very different now somebody said take a nap uh i've tried that of course and then i wake up from the nap and uh my muscles are still sore so the nap doesn't help the muscles so here's the thing do i have long coved if you were to say scott you've never learned anything about psychology or confirmation bias tell us do you think you have long coveted and i'd say well i've never heard of those things you just mentioned i definitely have long coveted but then suppose you said scott you've been studying this stuff for a long time you know what confirmation bias is you know what it is you know what cognitive dissonance is now do you think you have long covert and then i say oh i do know what those things mean i don't know not only do i don't know i don't even have a good guess i'm not even sure which would be slightly more likely no idea but if you think that you're a sure in my exact situation if you could be in my exact situation and you would say to yourself i'm sure i'm sure this is long covered then you haven't learned your lesson yet and you will learn this lesson by the end of this live stream oh there's more to come watch me tie it all together in one beautiful souffle yeah you don't see it yet but it's coming together all right um i saw a tweet from pd mangan today who's a good follow pd mangan m-a-n-g-a-n um shows that 25 of women in the united states are on an antidepressant 25 percent of adult women are on an antidepressant in the united states so i saw separately another tweet that said the united states rate of antidepressants is through the roof compared to other countries surprised i'm not surprised do you know what is different about the united states compared to all those other countries where they have fewer prescriptions for antidepressants well i don't know this is true so i'll ask you for a fact check is it true that the united states is the only place that those companies can advertise directly to consumers because you you see advertisements directly to consumers don't you think that makes the consumers ask for it and that's why they do it the whole point of it is to make consumers ask for it so do you think that the united states has a much bigger problem with depression or do we have a big problem with media manipulation and brainwashing by advertisement which problem do we have maybe both yeah maybe a little bit of both it's hard to know how much of each um but does that number sound right to you let me just just test it commonsensically right so here's one of your filters if if the thing that science is telling you doesn't map with what you're observing that doesn't mean it's not true because your observations might be biased but if it doesn't match you should at least raise a flag and say okay there's a little discrepancy here why is my observation so wildly different than what i'm seeing what is your opinion of the 25 of adult women on antidepressants higher low is a higher low go or just right high or low yeah it's low almost everybody says it's low there's a few high a few say high most people think it's low yeah why is that why is that well here's my take i think that society is organized in a way that prevents us from achieving happiness now i say society i mean everything from the way we use technology to the way we get married to the way we have relationships to the way we raise kids to the way our school system works just everything just all of it is designed not designed it sort of evolved that way but we have created a civilization that couldn't possibly satisfy its people am i right if you took those same people and you know just airlifted them and dropped them into another environment let's say you just put them in another country where people are happier i don't know where that is name a happy country what's a happy country uh south korea poland albonia tahiti i don't know finland i don't know wherever wherever they're happy do you think those people would be happier if you dropped them in a happier place with a different civilization maybe i don't know maybe um but to me the 25 seems super low because what's not included is the number of people self-medicating how many people are taking illegal pills that's not in here right don't you think there are just a done of people who are taking uh an illegal xanax or an illegal adderall or an illegal something and that they're doing it to feel better and in other words it's an antidepressant of sorts yeah overeating you could say overeating is a is an antidepressant it's a very bad one this date is from 2014.

so imagine what the rate of antidepressants is now after the pandemic yeah so you got to throw in alcohol you got to throw in weed legal weed you got to throw all that in there i think it's closer to 80 percent my guess is that 80 percent of adults male and female are are actively medicating 80 and the other 20 percent wish they had but that's another story um what do you think what would be your guess as to the popularity of abortion having it legalized anyway what will happen if you make it uh well what what do you think was the predictable outcome of the supreme court all right the supreme court said it's up to the states to decide but what do you think the public on average did did the public move more pro-abortion or more anti-abortion abortion what happened and and what was predictable what was the predictable outcome see neither in both no change negligible confusion all right let's apply what we've learned from let's apply everything we've learned from persuasion okay what happened when the supreme court ruled on roe what did it do to the supply of abortions of legal abortions what happened to the supply of legal abortions it went down right you could still get them but you'd have to work harder and go somewhere else in some cases so if the supply goes down what does that do to the price it goes up it goes up right when the supply is down but the demand the demand stays high then the price goes up now price is another way to say value right roughly roughly their proxies so it's not surprising to me that when you make something harder to get like like a luxury good that people have a higher opinion of it it could be that just restricting the supply makes people want it more and and by the way you would expect that right because everything we know about restricted supply changes the psychology of how valuable it is to say oh these are hard to get if they're hard to get they must be valuable am i wrong just the fact that they're hard to get makes it seem more valuable like you'd be a little more desperate to get it if it were hard to get and also i think the supreme court decision made people think about themselves or their loved ones in that situation if it's not in the headlines you don't have to think about yourself or what if this happens to me but as soon as you think what if it happens to me or my loved ones suddenly you say to yourself i think i want options right if if you're forced to think about it in terms of your personal experience you're gonna you're gonna lean toward at least having options so it doesn't surprise me at all that there's a survey that says that legal abortion went up in popularity so i don't know if i wouldn't necessarily say that one survey is conclusive but it wouldn't be surprising that's actually the way if you understood persuasion you would kind of expect it to get more popular because it's restricted now to test my theory what about cigarette smoking cigarette smoking is actually way down compared to what it used to be it's like 10 or 11 percent of the public smokes now i think it used to be at least a third or a half or something like that it was crazy at one point so your smoking was restricted in a sense but popularity went down but it wasn't really restricted was it because anybody underage could always get his cigarettes any time they wanted so it wasn't really restricted not in any serious way yeah and then the vape was more available right so i'm not sure that's a good good example but all right have you ever heard of the festinger cognitive dissonance experiment probably not let me tell you about it here's what to take away from this experiment i'm going to describe uh first of all this is repeatable so you you could do this experiment all day long and you would get the same result so that's unusual and wonderful that is repeatable and it works like this you ask a bunch of volunteers to do a boring task they're just like piling up blocks or something it's just super boring and then at the end of it you uh you offer them either twenty dollars or one dollar back when twenty dollars was worth more than it is now you'd offer them either twenty dollars or one dollar and they wouldn't know that people were getting different offers that would be secret and you'd say i want you to tell the people in the other room that this was actually a fun and exciting task you know lie to them in other words because everybody believed it was boring but they were both groups were asked to lie so the people who were paid twenty dollars to lie lied because they were asked to and then later when they were asked their opinion about the blocks it was about the same as it was before they thought it was boring before they lied and said it wasn't boring they got twenty dollars and later they still thought it was boring so their opinion was unchanged the people who were offered one dollar also lied because they were asked to but when they checked with them later the one dollar people had by a large percentage like 30 some percent or so had decided that it was actually not that boring they'd actually convince themselves it was interesting about a third of them do you know why and there's a solid hypothesis behind it that can be reproduced at will and the and the thing is that the 20 people thought that the reason that they were lying was they were being paid for it oh you're asking me to lie i got 20 that's serious money in those days so i know i'm lying i'm just getting paid for it the people who got one dollar one dollar wasn't enough to lie most people will not lie for a dollar so when they lied for a dollar they had to explain it later to themselves and the way they explained it was well it wasn't really lying because it actually was more fun than maybe i first thought it was you know it was actually kind of it was interesting really actually i enjoyed it a lot i got i was alone with my thoughts and it was very it was a good time now here's what you should learn from this these people's brains were rewired for a dollar instantly or nearly instantly you know we're talking about within hours or days one dollar rewired a third of the people there instantly one dollar all they did was get somebody to say something that was opposite of what they believed and they would and a third of them talk themselves into it within a day okay now is that experiment does it blow your mind that is so powerful cognitive dissonance and that it's so easy to trigger it does it blow your mind it doesn't blow mine because this is something i've known for decades right these these studies have been you know replicated for decades once you understand how powerful this is then everything you see in politics and social media starts making sense so part of the reason that i can i can withstand social media silliness and it doesn't make me crazy relative to other people everybody gets a little crazy is because i see it this way i see it as people literally walking around in a fog and not knowing it if i saw them as like legitimate players who were mad at me or had like a real opinion of me that was low maybe it'd bother me i don't know but i don't see the world that way i see it as people just literally blind and just bumping into stuff and i'm like oh just stand out of the way let you let you blind people bump into stuff just just stand back a little bit and let it happen that's how i see the world i see social media as blind people bumping into stuff i don't see them as having even real opinions i mean i literally don't think their opinions are even real it's just something they heard it was assigned to them by the media somebody paid him a dollar and it reversed but everything's like that everything as soon as you think well those poor poor bastards i'm sure glad that doesn't happen to me huh aren't we happy that that doesn't happen to us it only happens to other people no no no it happens to you and you don't know when it happens to you that's the nature of it the nature of it is you can only see it in other people that's why you have the illusion that it's only happening to other people but they can see it in you but it gets worse than that most of the time when they see it in you they're projecting well i don't know if it's most of the time it would depend who you are but you can't tell the difference between when they really see some inconsistency inconsistency with what you're doing and whether they are experiencing just more cognitive dissonance and so they imagine you're the one who's with the problem you can't tell can't tell that's what makes it exciting now i have told you there's one you know there are a few little signals you you look for the person who's got the trigger right now if you if you've not been triggered for example when i heard about this uh study i said to myself oh that's exactly what i expected you know i would have predicted this exact outcome based on what i know so that's no there's no trigger for cognitive dissonance in my case because what i expected is exactly what happened but if what you expect you learn to be completely wrong that's when cognitive dissonance kicks in so that's your trigger look for somebody who found out that what they believed was totally wrong those are the ones who are triggered but we even agree about disagree about what's right and what's wrong so even that stuff all right um david frum do you all know him political commentator and writer and he's a big anti-trumper and here's how he describes uh trump's um i'm sorry not trump's biden's speech the one that people called uh satanic all right so many of you probably said to yourself that biden speech was the worst thing that ever happened there's no way you can spin that good well interestingly david frum writing in the atlantic which if you don't know the atlantic is not a serious publication it's owned by i believe it's owned by steve jobs's widow right and it's just a democrat publication trying to pretend it's not but here's what uh from titled his piece he said biden laid the trap trump walked into it so frum's take on this is that biden is so clever that he was laying a trap with this rally to try to provoke the trumpists into acting crazy and thus prove that they are crazy so this was not an old man doddering through a completely failed attempt at communicating that's what many of you think you saw no no you were mistaken this was biden cleverly laying a trap and trump just walked right into that trap he did but here's the way from described this in a tweet so he tweeted this he said early in trump's term an anonymous staffer said something like quote trump's not playing three-dimensional chess most of the time we're just trying to stop him from eating the pieces um and then he he says that biden's speech go to trump into swallowing at least a bishop now here's your next hypnosis tip and i'm not making this up this is something i specifically learned in hypnosis class so my hypnosis instructor taught me this and it's one of the most useful things i've ever learned you won't believe this is true and so you'll have the same experience i did the first time i heard it like i don't think that's true and then you you watch for it and every year that goes by you're like oh it might be a little bit true and then eventually you're like damn it damn it it's true it goes like this people tell you their sexual preferences in direct words you just don't notice it's just that your sexual instrument is such a strong part of your being that your language just naturally wraps around those preferences whether you know it or not you can't turn it off so when david frum who is a big nemesis of president trump writes biden's speech go to trump into swallowing at least a bishop my hypnosis instructor would say that is not a coincidental use of terms that's a man who has fantasies of blowing president trump now i'm not going to say that that's true because that would require my mind reading right i'm saying that's what i learned in hypnosis and that whenever whenever i noticed something like this and i could follow up and find out if it were true it was true so all of the times when i could confirm whether the thing i was hearing i think i heard something very sexual anytime i could confirm whether or not it was true it was always true it was exactly what it looked like now i have no way to confirm this one i'm just telling you the pattern i've noticed through my life is that it's not a coincidence nobody could write you swallow the bishop without feeling there's some kind of sexual connotation there really swallow the bishop uh hypnotist interpretation of this was that is that david from um sexual psetomastic feeling about trump which by the way is probably common are there any women watching this who have had sexual uh dreams about trump go any women who have had sexual dreams about trump because for a while that was a thing you know maybe before his first election all right i see one yes my wife yes mo is mostly knows but you see a sprinkling of yes right i assume it was mostly now i know to the dead right so i've heard i've heard of people who did as well so it's not unusual to have sexual fantasies about a president or anybody in power anyway that's what i see in this what else is going on what a fun day all right what about those top secret folders so here's a question i asked and doesn't this amaze you that we don't have to answer this i'll say this again i feel that there's a missing service in the news industry and the missing service is that the citizens should have a place they can go where they can say this is the question i'd like to have answered from my government and then the news people would be able to look at the list and say okay this is what people wonder about so i will ask their questions plus my own good questions but it'll be nice to know what the public wants to know and the number of times that the press simply doesn't ask the question that the public wants to know is really astounding isn't it and you don't always notice but really the reason that the questions they ask are asked is why why why does anybody why do the press people ask the specific questions they ask what is their motivation for the questions they ask yeah it's all gotcha questions right it's gotchas or it's trying to make the person look good it could go either way but more importantly it's for the reporter's career right the journalist is trying to make the journalists look good that's the motivation you know all the other motivations are are subsidiary to that the top motivation is for the journalists to look good because it's a you know career defining moment so that's all that matters so under that situation um what do you think of those blank top secret folders that were found at mar-a-lago so a bunch of empty top-secret folders and here's the question that i've not seen anybody ask so this is why we need that website to ask these questions how normal is it for a president's office to have extra top secret folders in case you need one i would think that they'd be laying around readily available would they not because it seems to me there are things that probably enter the oval office and probably get re-re-characterized on the fly don't they don't you think there are some things that come in and they're marked top secret and then the president looks at it and says all right this doesn't really need to be top secret and just throws away the folder or just tosses it on the desk has that ever happened probably i mean probably it's probably happened at least once because the president has that power the president could just say why is this top secret i just tossed this folder you know somebody write this down this one's not top secret anymore that's possibility the other possibility is that stuff comes in that looks like it's not top secret but when the people in the oval office look at it they're like oh oh actually upon better thinking we better not let anybody see this and so they reach into a drawer and slap a folder on it and then they do the paperwork but but i think you'd want to get the folder onto it right away right like i get that the paperwork has to be done but you're not going to leave it unfolded while you work through the paperwork right you're going to reach into your desk you can slap a folder on it you're going to hand it to the secretary or whoever and say you know do the paperwork to make this top secret so here's the question is it normal to have empty top secret folders somewhere in the in the working area of a president my intuition tells me that that would be common but i don't know it seems common and so if somebody threw a bunch of stuff in the box what evidence we have that it was anything but extra ones so and then the other question is can't we tell if something's missing at this point so at this point the gsa whoever has a list of all the documents now we also have a list of the documents that have been recovered can't they tell us which ones are top secret and missing because the ones that were top secret they they must have been recorded as in the president's possession so again there's like obvious questions that are not being asked apparently the president at his rally had a speaker there who's been um advocating for the release of some of these january 6 defendants but one of them is uh really a sketchy case so one of them one of the jailed still jailed january 6 protester types is an actual hitler supporter like an actual nazi like actually has been photographed with a little hitler mustache talks about it openly right so so there's at least one guy that's being held in jail because he's overtly nazi sympathizer now so here's my point oh you're ahead of me hold on you'll be happy you'll be happy i know where you're going on this but hold on hold on hold on that isn't illegal that isn't illegal and do you know why the judge is holding him he has not been accused of violence he has not been accused of violence he has not been accused of violence he has not been accused of violence here's why he's being held the judge in the case said he should held a waiting trial because he posed a threat to the public and that there was a potential for a quote escalation of violence from his alleged long-held neo-nazi beliefs he is overtly and publicly and transparently being held in jail for crimes that somebody suspects he might do not for crimes he did not for crimes he did now the crime he did gives them the cover for holding him of course the crime of trespassing i suppose but um i don't care that he's a nazi sympathizer i mean i care of course i care that he's a nazi sympathizer but it's not really relevant to this question is it not really relevant this is very unacceptable and the trouble is it's a trap you see the trap because you you know you can see that trump walked into the trap the trap is that as long as they keep at least one person who is definitely a neo-nazi they've got to keep at least one who's definitely a neo-nazi because then when trump releases let's say all of them or pardons them then trump released a neo-nazi that's the game there's no way that this isn't a political imprisonment there's no way and you know all right i'm just going to say this this might be the last time you see me i always say that but you know i never know when it's going to be the last time you ever see me but one of the biggest issues is the the concern a valid concern that the public is getting whipped up against the against judges against the fbi against the department of justice and that the public might become dangerous and we don't want a world where the public is threatening judges would you agree you don't want a world where people are threatening judges do you if your judge puts somebody in jail for obviously just a political reason you don't want that person to be threatened to you no we don't want anybody to be threatened with violence but boy if anybody ever got close to the point where you would change your mind it would be somebody who put somebody in jail just to you just to you that's why and i'm not talking about the person who's in jail he's getting too but you know i don't care that much about a neo-nazi frankly frankly i don't care about him personally but in terms of the concept freedom of speech equal justice and the fact that this clearly seems to be a trap that's been set for people like me this is a trap for me right the moment i found out about this story i said to myself a i can't resist it and b i'm going to be flying really close to the sun here when i talk about this because even what i've said so far it's enough to be taken out of context isn't it i've already said enough that i could be you know rupaul edited into complete oblivion but i had to say it i had to say it and that's the trap because you can't be a good citizen and let this go unmentioned so here i have a choice of being a patriot like being a citizen being trying to be useful definitely at the risk of my entire career my entire career is risked just to say something that is right and true and good for the country it's just amazing amazing times when but um this is the sort of thing where uh a trump presidency sort of would clean some of the cobwebs out of the system and they're definitely some cobwebs there you know what i what i suspect was trump's biggest mistake politically i think it was during his debate with hillary clinton in which he said directly if he were president she would be in jail i believe that hillary was actually worried about going to jail like actual jail i think she actually was worried about that and i believe that the response of the the democrats who who sort of did things i wouldn't have expected to see the the intelligence agencies the fbi et cetera they they acted as though they were protecting hillary and the only way to do that is to take trump down so i think that what you you and i are watching is hillary trying to stay out of jail by putting trump in jail and maybe not just hillary but people associated with her you know what i mean so to me this looks like hillary and democrats trying to stay on a jail and the way they can do that is to take down trump and all of his supporters and it's working it's working so far if trump gets back in office and he doesn't need to get reelected because it's a second term i've got a feeling some people might go to jail i don't know if the system can convict a democrat frankly you know a high-ranking democrat i don't even know if this system could do it the system is so corrupt at this point i wouldn't even trust it to be able to put somebody in jail no matter how good the evidence is but that's what i see i think it's just hillary trying to stay out of jail and everything else is about that so the chief financial officer of bed bath and beyond jumped out of a hotel window noah's in his high-rise apartment jumped out of a high-rise apartment window to his death now he had been accused of pumping up the stock and and selling his shares before people knew that there was problems there so he was involved in a financial scandal but what caught my eye is that it was at his apartment where he has both a bed and a bathroom and now he's he's gone to the grade beyond so code reuse question did cnn always label its opinion opinion did they no it's not too soon he was a crook if he wasn't a crook it was too soon but allegedly he was a crook so um i can't remember because i saw that they did label dean obadiah's opinion now dean obadiah is famous for having you know the most anti-trump opinions or among the most anti-trump and he's talking about how trump's remarks are alarming giving the um you know the the unprecedented spike of threats against the fbi now what do you think of that do you think that trump is the cause of the unprecedented threats against the fbi is it trump's is he the one that caused that is it his rhetoric that's causing the increase in threats against the fbi or or i'm just going to put this out there as an alternative could it be the behavior of the fbi could it be that the behavior of the fbi itself is bringing problems to the fbi to imagine that the problem with the fbi is its critics is a pretty up opinion i'm pretty sure that you can't you didn't create the situation by criticizing them my god now so the question is since this opinion is in my opinion it's just ridiculous it's a ridiculous opinion and i don't even know if it's a real opinion it's the kind you read you go does he even think that is that a real opinion um but i wonder if the new head of cnn is making the crazy opinion people at least label it as opinion i think maybe i used to say opinion but i don't remember all right um here's another note another indication of cnn is moving toward the middle so they had a story prominently on the for on the front page of cnn that an executive of black lives matter global network foundation is accused of siphoning off 10 million dollars from donors and the suit is against executive uh chalamet bowers the foundation itself um and her consulting firm ebola so that's on cnn i don't believe fox news covered it at least i didn't see it on the front page so this is cnn with there was no there was nothing about this story that softened it this was just cnn saying boom black lives matter executive big thief you know it didn't throw in any blood it saved the world you know the the larger organization is is good nothing like that just straight news top top person was a crook that's the news do with it what you want i like this i'm liking this every time cnn does something that clearly is unbiased i'm going to call it out because i think they need a little bit of encouragement how many of you think that the if we had the if we had more explanations of why people were going to epstein's island so much we'd know something useful are you aware that many of the visitors to epstein island were adult women just famous famous prominent adult women if you knew that there were a lot of famous prominent adult women who presumably were not involved with any weird sex stuff right because they were older than 15 so probably not doesn't that tell you that whatever was happening at epstein island was at least sometimes innocent am i wrong the fact that a lot of the travelers were prominent adult women who are not accused of anything and didn't say they saw anything doesn't that tell you that some of those trips i don't know what percentage but some of those trips were completely innocent or at least for some of the people who visited that doesn't mean the other people on the plane didn't have fun i don't know who knows right now i'm not talking about glenn but i'm not sure we should make anything of the fact that famous people went there um i would think that his business model was to get as many famous people involved as he could but it's not like he blackmailed all of them i think he just wanted as many famous people you know in his in his uh field of influence as he could get all right so it's a holiday is anybody laboring i know a lot of you are stanley kubrick's death he wasn't already dead um going to work in an hour okay you're at the office right now all right you're working and watching that's what i like it's a holiday so you should be listening to me and working less adult women don't engage in kinky sex well there's no allegations that epstein was involved with anything with adult women all right yeah how many of you saw me watch my dog on livestream that that was the strangest content because half of the people were like yeah more of this and half of the people were like uh we don't want to walk so you watch a dog oh well over on locals people liked it all right good well if i wash her again i'll uh i'll televise again catering to adulthood all right well are any of my opinions actually leaks that's a very insightful question somebody asked if any of my opinions are leaks but i think you mean my predictions don't you that that would be the better question are any of my predictions fake because i already know what's going to happen well i've told you that the best predictions are the ones that are already happening but i usually stick to the ones where like i could just tell it's already happening i don't i don't need any inside information and the answer is yes i have done that more than once more than once i've made predictions that were based on inside information and you know what they are no more or less accurate than the ones that are not based on inside information let me tell you something about inside information it's not that accurate it's not that accurate i almost placed a very large bat on some inside information now the person who told it to me had a good source and it was solid it didn't turn out to be true now nothing about the election nothing about the kraken something completely different and for a moment i thought oh it was something you could bet on so the betting market had a specific question on it i thought oh man i'm gonna i'm gonna place a big bet and then i thought to myself i don't know there's something about this doesn't feel right and so i didn't and it turned out to be wrong now my understanding is that it was right when i was told but that a decision actually changed after the fact so the point is that even insider information is not reliable it really isn't you know it might be slightly better than the public stuff but it is also unreliable like nvidia uh innocent people all knew they were compromised just by being there yeah i suppose that's true do adhd all right so i uh i saw an article that i tweeted jeff pilkington uh spotted this and there was next there was an expert who was describing adhd as not somebody who is easily distracted rather it was a future blindness in other words it looks to everybody even even the person with adhd it looks to everybody who's observing like they keep getting distracted with what's in front of them and therefore they're late so they don't get places on time because they're just keeping it distracted that's what it looks like to everybody and the expert says total illusion it's a total illusion what it is is that the adhd people have future blindness meaning they can they they care about what's happening right now so that's why they're chasing the shiniest object in their environment because it's happening right now and once you i don't know if this is true yet so i'm going to present this as not necessarily true but as a filter or an alternate way of understanding what you're seeing and and here's what i liked about it if you've known anybody who had this behavior and i've i've known three people who consistently would be two hours late for stuff do you know anybody like that somebody who's consistently two hours late right most people know at least one person like that and do those people exhibit any adhd personality um characteristics probably yeah i just blew your adhd mind didn't i i'm blowing a lot of minds right now now apparently this idea has been around a little while but it's the first time i heard it and and so i'm going to offer you this experiment i want you to experiment if you have adhd or you know somebody does and you can talk to them experiment with this blindness thing and have them do this the next time they're preparing to go someplace that you know they're going to be late to just see if you can get them to do this exercise before they go to get ready just spend some time visualizing the entire path from the moment you're getting ready to you know putting on your clothes to getting in the car to getting to the place to you know what time it is and sort of imagine it as a timeline and it's all connected so what you're trying to do is is imagine what you're doing now as on a timeline bar that is connected totally to the output you know the end the end point and just spend a little time doing a picture in your head picture it so it's like a little movie in your head you're like okay now i'm putting on my shirt getting on my clothes i see them walking through the door i see the other people gathering up or getting in the car and just just talk through it as visually as you can and then just see if connecting connecting the output with the moment see if you can keep that alive while you're doing it as well now what will probably happen is that the moment you start getting busy with what's in front of you you will become future blind so there's a pretty high chance that you can't even do this exercise am i right i think if a lot of you tried you would end up saying oh i forgot to do it or you'd have some excuse but it just wouldn't happen i think that's what would happen because i think the blindness sets in and there's nothing you can do about it once you're blind you're blind i mean you can't talk yourself out of the blindness you just can't see it so the question would be whether if you practiced seeing it before you get in the putting on your makeup getting ready mode if any of that can can cross over into the bubble now my thinking is it might not work the first time it might not work the first time you might have to try it a bunch of times and maybe try some variations that you feel like would work for you just see if you get lucky and if any of you get lucky and it makes a difference let me know because i do think that well let me tell you something that hypnotists believe when hypnotists look at therapists let's say the people who are trained to deal with the problems i'm talking about adhd being late so the people were experts on that the experts will tell you well it's going to take lots of sessions and you know we'll work on it over time but they also get paid by the hour so the people who get paid by the hour will tell you it's going to take lots of sessions the hypnotist who might be you know let's say volunteering to do it for free will tell you it's either going to be fast or it doesn't work do you know why well some hypnotists also charge by the hour so those symptoms will tell you well it's going to take many sessions but let's say you've got somebody to do it for free the person who's going to do it for free is not going to tell you that it takes many sessions because i don't think any hypnosis believes that the one who does it for free is going to say one to three sessions one to three because that after the third one if it doesn't work it's not going to work it's just not going to work but if you saw some progress in the first three you say oh let's let's keep pushing this this might work for you not work for everybody everybody's different but you can find something that works for everybody usually so that that's my hypothesis and and the hypnotist would say that this type of problem is almost instantly solvable not for everybody i have to throw in the not for everybody anytime i'm talking about persuasion you should hear that automatically not for everybody not all the time not quickly right those those are the universals not for everybody not all the time not quickly but this is one of those that it could work for some people quickly it could there's some people who might be able to do an exercise maybe not that exercise but something in a similar vein that would actually cure you instantly that's that's a distinct possibility within the hypnosis world view so we'll see but it's something you could test and i guarantee it won't hurt you right imagining imagining the path to your destination is not going to hurt you there's no downside to this it'll either work and then you'll tell me about it and we'll solve the problems for the world or it won't by the way i was adding up the number of cures things i've cured and i'll tell you it's a really long list of like medical problems i've cured in people and some of it is because i reframed something they stopped drinking they lost weight sometimes it's because i told somebody a fix was available so i just told them of a medical solution that they didn't know about and so then they got fixed but if you count the number of people i've advised correctly who got the right treatment and they got fixed it's it's hundreds if not thousands i mean i have no way to count it but it's at least hundreds of people i've cured not me alone but i've put them on the path to a cure so when i when i tell you hey i think maybe the collectively the you know i call this the collaborative iq so it's not my intelligence that's driving this process i'm i'm just sort of an organizer but the intelligence is the collective intelligence right and that's always true because if i got outside of what all of you thought was reasonable you'd stop watching so basically you constrain you constrain me and then i boost what you're thinking and it's like this collaborative intelligence so could a collaborative intelligence that does a b testing cure adhd for some people some of the time not necessarily correctly all right we got a npc alert and all capital letters from philip your arrogance is strong today let us analyze philip for what is wrong with his personality philip you're very insecure very insecure here's the thing are you are you threatened by the fact that i've cured people and i can demonstrate it i mean all i'd have to do is ask people here have i cured you of any health problems and you would see a stream of confirmation it'd be easy and i've done it lots of times and people write to me all the time so i know it's true i don't know how many that would be different but if if if you think that telling you that i can cure you of sometimes incurable diseases if you think that what you're seeing there is my arrogance you're kind of throwing out the baby with the bathwater aren't you you don't think you could handle a little bit of my the feeling that i'm being arrogant you don't think that that would be sort of a small price to pay for the fact that people are actually solving lifetime problems health problems why would you want to discourage me from doing that philip i i have a hypothesis that i learned when i was developing dilbert in my cubicle here's sort of a deep psychological hypothesis for you that men unless you're truly a best friend or a family member they don't really like your success man can you confirm this for me unless you're truly a best friend you don't really like other men's success you don't really like it it's threatening we're just built that way there's nothing you can do about it right now if it's a family member like a true friend yes in those cases you are genuinely happy but if it's just somebody you heard about maybe you're not so happy right here's how i discover this when i was developing dilbert in my cubicle i would often do a comic that i would draw on my white board that was just about the office and something that happened and people liked it they liked it enough that they encouraged me to become a professional now what did women do when they walked into my cubicle here's what women would do sometimes they'd read the comic and they would laugh or not laugh right do you know what men would do here is what the three-quarters of all the men would do they would accidentally lean on the board and erase part of it with their back a lot a lot in other words they were accidentally destroying the thing that allowed me to show off because women were walking into my office and being oh you can do that you can draw a comic oh that's cool you have a skill and men were making sure that that got hidden or destroyed who would be texting me at this time of the day all right so have you ever noticed that have you ever noticed that men will accidentally destroy something that allows you to show off right now that's what that's a little bit what you were seeing there so there was somebody in the comments who was listening to me literally curing people of health curing people of health problems and he had a problem with it do you know what his problem was was it my arrogance now i'm not i'm not saying i'm not arrogant that's not even the question so we're not doing yes no whether he's accurate i'm just saying what was his motivation let's say he was accurate even if he was accurate that i was acting arrogant was that worth a comment is that why you did it now my world view is this that men can't allow me to show a quality that anybody would respect that some men are really uncomfortable with that and it usually has to do with their own life and they need to suppress other men in every way that they can so that they feel better about whatever they're not getting done themselves so that's what that's all i see so here's here's another answer to the question scott how can you go into this sewer of social media and watch streams of insults about your character your looks your intentions everything how can you do that and survive and part of it is reframing like just that when i see that comment that doesn't look like it's about me am i wrong the person who called me arrogant in this context specifically the context of healing people from health problems mostly just by telling them that there's a solution that they can go get right i mean if you're gonna if you're gonna on that there's something going on with you right so this is a good model and by the way it's not like i invented or anything a lot of smart people use this model when somebody comes at you like that in a personal way they're not attacking the argument they're attacking the person they have a personal problem that's just being expressed through their bad attitude and if you can learn to see them as damaged you don't see them as your critic i see them as just damaged they go oh there's some debris laying by the road i don't think the debris laying by the road is a threat to me if i see roadkill you know what i don't think oh what's it think of me no i i try not to hit it with my car i try to avoid it right so when i see comments like that like oh you're arrogant oh you're so arrogant that doesn't feel personal it feels like somebody's damaged and they're acting out so it makes a lot easier right so that's why i don't have to go after this is done i will not have to go cry myself to sleep because somebody had a bad opinion of me because i don't think that happened i don't think there was any opinion of me i think there was somebody had a personal problem and then they acted out in public and then i observed it that's all i experienced i didn't experience an insult now is my interpretation of it accurate well some of you would say no he actually insulted you scott but i say if you can reframe your experience in one that doesn't hurt go ahead and do it so i just reframe my experience in a way that doesn't bother me and so it's legal it's available to me so i just do it and it works that's a reframe exactly that is a reframe well i don't think i cured him of his problem but but but he might have some insight is in the book yet uh not exactly but i might revisit that i'm still adding or reframes let me ask you this is there a reframe that i haven't already talked about that i've ever mentioned that ever helped you now i know that alcohol is poisoned help people but are there other reframes that you sort of picked up just along the way and you say oh i'm thinking about it that way from now on anything that helped you because those are the ones i want to include in the book if there's one that i didn't even think of as a reframe but you took it that way um if you can't sleep oh if you can't sleep you didn't put in enough work okay oh hearing cha-ching for criticisms in my writing that's a good one um do the alcohol one again it's just alcohol is poison that's it that's the whole thing systems not habits yeah the suicide refrain what was that oh the suicide reframe was to curiosity right right so let me say that again if you have a really bad day where you're in a bad mood if you waste that you're don't waste that don't waste that i had a bad day the other day so i had to fire somebody so i just used it to fire somebody and then i felt i felt good because it was something i needed to do and it got off my list so if you're wasting a bad attitude you're really missing out because when i have a bad day do you ever have a bad day when there's nothing that could bother you it's so bad like you know nothing could bother me today because i'm already in such a bad mood it's not going to make any difference at all and then you can just do all those things that would have bothered you otherwise yeah all those things uh any manager can take criticism nobody can take humiliation did i say that sounds like something i might have said oh saying it was your honor to take care of your mother before she died even though she was a crappy parent that's one of my favorites yeah well my favorite for dealing with tragedy which is usually the death of a loved one is that it's not a tragedy it's an honor it's an honor if you can be one of the last ones in the room that's an honor and i certainly feel that way for my animals there's no way i wouldn't be in the room for my cat's passing that's an honor a view on pardon dangling it's good strategy pardon dangling is good political strategy people will vote on that basis uh that's why you tell your patients families as a hospice nurse well good so a hospice nurse is confirming that reframe that's good to hear oh i'm sorry about your dog jack oh yeah somebody likes my everyone is addicted to something i don't think i have that in the book yet oh remind me to put that in the book yeah everyone's addicted to something you just have to pick one an addiction that's good for you you know exercise that's a good addiction and if you had if you had to pick a mind-altering one there are definitely some that are better than others now i don't recommend anybody you smoke marijuana because i'm not a doctor and it is a drug legal or not it's a drug so i don't recommend a drug to anybody talk to your doctor but of all the drugs that i personally could do given that i don't metabolize alcohol very well etc it's the best it's the best addiction for me now it has its downsides as everything does but of all the addictions i could choose it's the best one for me but yours would be different uh your wife mindy is listening she says hello and won't stop commenting during the stream mindy mindy i think mindy uh we have to give her the uh the listener award mindy you are listener of the week i'm gonna give you an award for this because you're the most engaged listener that i've heard of all morning so everybody give mindy uh some respect because mindy mindy's engaged she's involved a post-divorce reframe um i offer you mine you got married because you both wanted to get married and you probably got divorced because you both wanted to get divorced that's usually the way it works so you got what you wanted twice that's how it works that's your best case scenario things go wrong all the time do you know what would be far worse not getting a divorce it sounds like that would have been worse now i also like the uh um and i'm in this situation right now so this weekend i'll have basically you know close to no human contact for like three days it's not exactly true but you know i would say 23 out of 24 hours i'll have no human contact for the three three days could you handle that could you handle that little human contact for three days in a row a lot of you say yes yeah you prefer it you know i love i love my privacy when i don't have to have it i like privacy uh if it's optional i don't like it if it's forced on me yeah so so i'm in a situation now where i have to rebuild who i am right after my first divorce and after the first you know there's a relationship before that each time i had to start from scratch and just figure out who i am there's a uh imagine dragon song that got me through my first divorce and it was um you'll probably help me you'll have to help me with the title of it it's about starting from the bottom and building building back what's the name of it it's imagine dragons and you're starting at the bottom and you're working yourself back it was sort of an inspirational story what's the title of it anyway but the uh the essence of it was there was somebody who if i understood the lyrics right it was somebody who was dropping out of music some kind of performing arts school i assume this is the actual biographical story of the singer and he dropped out with not knowing what was next and he he called us starting from the bottom and building back up is it radioactive or is it called start over i don't know whichever ones um no it's not called start over is it that's the actual name of the song i don't think so but the point is this this is very much the freedoms just another word for nothing left to lose so if you're focused on the stuff you lost you're going to miss the fact that you just opened up all of your options and you finally are experiencing freedom and it's really scary so last night at i don't know eight o'clock or so um it was still really hot and i decided to go swimming and just use my hot tub and i was all alone except for the dog and as much as i love swimming at night by myself normally a terrific thing the fact that i didn't have the option like i just didn't have anybody to be with at that time that it was really disturbing it was disturbing and i i tried to see if i could reframe it as a plus to just enjoy see if i could enjoy the quiet so i put my phone aside and just tried to look at the sky and tried to remember what it ever felt like before i had a phone and i have some good advice on youtube to get a gay house boy thank you now i had not considered that option but i'll put that on the list okay um and it worked and it worked i would say that i did manage to calm my restless social media driven mind and i could simply enjoy being alone just for what it was it wasn't easy it wasn't easy at all but it but it worked all right um what did you call an escort here's a pro tip if you're calling an escort on a holiday you're not going to get the a-team and there's a story i'm going to tell to the locals people but i'm going to turn off i'm going to turn off youtube first all right stay stay tuned you've got a good story coming and that's it for youtube i'll talk to you tomorrow

[Music]

[Applause]

good morning everybody

and welcome

to the highlight of civilization it's

called coffee with scott adams and i

don't think there's been a finer moment

in the history of

time

space time

or whatever the hell this is

and you

my lucky viewers

are in for

the best time of your entire day so far

and all you need to take it up to

amazing levels of happiness is a copper

margaret glass a tanker chelsea steiner

canteen joker flask a vessel of any kind

fill it with your favorite liquid

i like coffee

and join me now for the unparalleled

pleasure

the dopamine the other day the thing

that makes everything better

it's called the simultaneous sip

and wait do you feel it it's amazing

go

well today

we're going to peel back

the scenery

and take a look at

the machinery

that's right

we're gonna we're gonna go deep

we're gonna look behind the curtain

under the hood

beneath the rock

and then we're going to drill into the

core of the planet

to find secrets

and truths

that have never been experienced before

or we'll just spend an hour or so

sipping coffee and having a good time

and both of those are good things i

think you'd agree

well in the news here are the things we

know for sure

long coveted definitely exists

and it's really bad

we also know there's no evidence

whatsoever that long covet exists

so those those are both true

we know for example that emergency rooms

are packed with people

complaining of long-covered symptoms

i also know because i saw a bunch of

emergency room doctors this morning say

there's absolutely nothing like that

happening

i've seen exactly zero long-covered

patients

say the other emergency room doctors

so it is totally true that long covet is

a gigantic problem that exists for

millions of people and is one of the

biggest variables in the entire pandemic

and also

there's no evidence of it whatsoever

so you can

choose your adventure which one of those

do you like

there is just as much evidence of both

the situations

just as much

i i don't know which one's true honestly

i don't

also in the news we have new studies

that have proven that new data proven

that vaccinations are injuring people

more than the uh

more than the covenant itself but but

hold on don't cancel me yet

but also information proving the

opposite

so we simultaneously have really good

solid information

that the vaccinations have saved

millions of lives

and at the same time

really solid information that killed

people

both true

they're both equally true

meaning that they both have

something like

data

and there are people who believe each

now the experts are solidly on one side

on most of these questions

but do you believe the experts anymore

well

well

we want to

we'd like to

wouldn't it be nice if we could

let's see what else we know um

uh we also know this week that

ivermecton definitely works because

there's a new study showing it and also

that ivermectin definitely doesn't work

because there are better studies that

show that it doesn't work and an

observational study doesn't mean

anything

so these are the things we know long

covet exists and doesn't exist

vaccinations are good for you and not

good for you and that ivormectin totally

works and totally doesn't work

that was that's the news today

now

how much of this do you think is because

the people who disagree with you

didn't do their homework

you think that's what's going on

do you think the people who are on the

other side from you wherever you are on

these topics do you think that it's

because they don't have better they

don't have good information

you think that's a problem

well we're going to get to that

here's another other thing that uh is

true and not true at the same time

trump's recent speech

was super divisive

or the opposite of that

just a lot of fun

so it's both of those things it was

super divisive divisive nazi sounding

scary

and also just a bunch of laughs

same time

both of those we're all looking at the

same stuff

everybody's looking at the same stuff

um

we also know that biden has been

simultaneously hugely successful

lots of major legislation you know he's

got the

unemployment rate is not bad and things

are moving in the right direction

at the same time everything he's done is

a disaster

so biden is simultaneously one of the

most successful presidents in our

history and also the worst president in

our history

same time

yeah same time

um

so let me ask you this

uh

today for the first time

it's sort of sort of not a good sign uh

years ago when i built my house the one

i live in i put it in an elevator

because i said to myself if i stay here

long enough

eventually there's going to be a day

when i don't want to walk upstairs

and so i put in an elevator

i didn't think that day would be today

but it is

this morning i actually couldn't handle

the stairs

it was physically too much for me

now here's the weird thing

i'm in really good shape

i'm in great shape

right physically i can you know i walk

for miles ride my bike for miles go to

the gym on a regular basis but i can't

walk up and down my stairs anymore do

you know why

do you know why i can't walk up and down

my stairs anymore

i don't know either

i don't know

if if i were going to fall for the long

covent story

that's exactly what it feels like

it feels exactly like long covet because

here's what the feeling is

all of my muscles hurt like crazy all of

the time

and i thought i was just working out too

much

so that i took a little time off from my

workouts to just see if maybe i just

overdid it

no difference

my muscles are sore all the time

i can barely walk up and down stairs

now by

by mid-morning

by mid-morning i will have loosened up a

little bit and i i could walk up and

downstairs easily i can run up and down

six so by this afternoon

i'll be fine

later in the afternoon i will again be

so tired that i will just sit on the

couch and stare into space

now you're going to say to yourself it's

old age

except that it happened at the same time

i

is that got

coincidence did old age just sneak up on

me or the same week i got covered

did that happen

and and were my exact covenant symptoms

is it just a coincidence that the exact

symptoms i had during covert which is

trouble walking up the stairs

are the same symptoms i have now

trouble walking up and down the stairs

now

when did i get my vaccination you're all

desperate to find out aren't you

well i only got the original series for

the alpha

so that was over a year ago

i did not get a booster beyond the the

first

two that were basically one shot but two

parts

so i didn't get anything beyond the

first

the first set

a year went by

when i didn't really have this problem

as soon as i got covered

i haven't been able to walk upstairs for

two months now

two months

now

and then i also have the brain fog for a

while but that's

i have less of the brain fog right now

now here's another factoid see if you

can figure this out

all right

when when i'm completely wiped out and i

can't even move

i could just barely stand up and get to

my car and i mean it's a struggle

i mean just in

i mean at three o'clock in the afternoon

the act of standing up

walking to my garage and putting the key

in the it's actually pretty hard

it's pretty hard it's a struggle

then i go to starbucks

and i order a vente sized iced

espresso

almond milk something i don't know what

it is

i sit there and i drink that espresso

almond milk iced tea whatever whatever

ice thing it is and when i'm done i feel

fine

like i i want to go to the gym

my body's all great

pain is gone

yeah i want to go work i i want to work

on my book for hours

now here's here's the weird part

if i drink warm coffee at home

it just puts me to sleep

what's the difference

does anybody know

is it the sugar because i don't have

sugar in my coffee when i'm home i just

need to have black coffee

but what i have in a starbucks is i

assume it's got sugar in there of some

kind

you think it's the sugar

do you think i

it's the sunlight no i you know the

other thing i've been doing is uh going

out in the morning and standing in the

sun for a few minutes every day

i've been hearing good things about that

like just the first thing i do as soon

as i'm done with this i'll actually go

stand in my driveway for 10 minutes and

just feel the sun

yeah now you're also going to say it's

because of marijuana right

right

yeah the obvious things

but my marijuana smoking is identical to

how it's been

since i was

18 years old

hasn't changed that much and it's not

like the the weed got better this summer

i mean it's gradually improved but

that's not it

i i know exactly what it feels like to

be stoned

and this is different very different

now somebody said take a nap

uh i've tried that of course

and then i wake up from the nap and uh

my muscles are still sore

so the nap doesn't help the muscles

so here's the thing do i have long coved

if you were to say scott you've never

learned anything about psychology or

confirmation bias

tell us do you think you have long

coveted and i'd say well i've never

heard of those things you just mentioned

i definitely have long coveted

but then suppose you said scott

you've been studying this stuff for a

long time you know what confirmation

bias is

you know what it is you know what

cognitive dissonance is

now

do you think you have long covert

and then i say oh i do know what

those things mean

i don't know

not only do i don't know i don't even

have a good guess

i'm not even sure which would be

slightly more likely

no idea

but if you think that you're a sure

in my exact situation

if you could be in my exact situation

and you would say to yourself

i'm sure i'm sure this is long covered

then you haven't learned your lesson yet

and you will learn this lesson by the

end of this live stream oh there's more

to come

watch me tie it all together in one

beautiful souffle

yeah you don't see it yet but it's

coming together

all right um

i saw a tweet from pd mangan today who's

a good follow

pd

mangan m-a-n-g-a-n

um

shows that 25 of women in the united

states are on an antidepressant

25 percent of adult women are on an

antidepressant in the united states

so i saw separately another tweet that

said the united states rate of

antidepressants

is through the roof compared to other

countries

surprised

i'm not surprised

do you know what is different about the

united states compared to all those

other countries

where they have fewer

prescriptions for antidepressants

well i don't know this is true so i'll

ask you for a fact check

is it true that the united states is the

only place that those companies can

advertise directly to consumers

because you you see advertisements

directly to consumers don't you think

that makes the consumers ask for it

and that's why they do it the whole

point of it is to make consumers ask for

it

so

do you think that the united states has

a much bigger problem with depression

or do we have a big problem with media

manipulation and brainwashing by

advertisement

which problem do we have

maybe both

yeah maybe a little bit of both

it's hard to know how much of each

um

but does that number sound right to you

let me just just test it

commonsensically right so here's one of

your filters

if if the thing that science is telling

you

doesn't map with what you're observing

that doesn't mean it's not true because

your observations might be biased

but if it doesn't match you should at

least raise a flag and say okay there's

a little discrepancy here

why is my observation so wildly

different than what i'm seeing

what is your opinion of the 25 of adult

women on antidepressants

higher low is a higher low go

or just right high or low

yeah it's low

almost everybody says it's low there's a

few high

a few say high most people think it's

low

yeah

why is that

why is that

well

here's my take

i think that society is organized in a

way that prevents us from achieving

happiness

now i say society i mean everything from

the way we use technology to the way we

get married to the way we have

relationships to the way we raise kids

to the way our school system works just

everything

just all of it

is designed

not designed

it sort of evolved that way

but we have created a civilization that

couldn't possibly satisfy its people

am i right

if you took those same people and you

know just airlifted them and dropped

them into another environment

let's say you just put them in another

country where people are happier i don't

know where that is

name a happy country

what's a happy country

uh south korea

poland albonia tahiti i don't know

finland

i don't know

wherever wherever they're happy

do you think those people would be

happier if you dropped them in a happier

place with a different civilization

maybe

i don't know

maybe

um

but to me the 25 seems super low because

what's not included is the number of

people self-medicating

how many people are taking illegal pills

that's not in here right don't you think

there are just a done of people who

are taking uh an illegal xanax or an

illegal

adderall or an illegal something

and that they're doing it to feel better

and in other words it's an

antidepressant of sorts

yeah overeating you could say overeating

is a is an antidepressant

it's a very bad one

this date is from 2014.

so imagine what the rate of

antidepressants is now

after the pandemic

yeah so you got to throw in alcohol you

got to throw in weed legal weed you got

to throw all that in there i think it's

closer to 80 percent

my guess is that 80 percent of adults

male and female

are

are actively

medicating

80

and the other 20 percent wish they had

but that's another story

um

what do you think what would be your

guess

as to the popularity of abortion

having it legalized anyway

what will happen if you make it uh

well what what do you think was the

predictable outcome of the supreme court

all right the supreme court said it's up

to the states to decide but what do you

think the public

on average did

did the public move more pro-abortion

or more anti-abortion abortion

what happened and and what was

predictable

what was the predictable outcome

see neither in both

no change negligible

confusion

all right let's apply what we've learned

from

let's apply everything we've learned

from persuasion okay

what happened when the supreme court

ruled on roe

what did it do to the supply

of abortions of legal abortions what

happened to the supply of legal

abortions it went down right

you could still get them but you'd have

to work harder and go somewhere else in

some cases

so if the supply goes down

what does that do to the price

it goes up

it goes up right when the supply is down

but the demand the demand stays high

then the price goes up

now price is another way to say

value

right roughly roughly their

proxies

so it's not surprising to me that when

you make something harder to get

like

like a luxury good

that people have a higher opinion of it

it could be

that just restricting the supply makes

people want it more

and and by the way you would expect that

right because everything we know about

restricted supply

changes the psychology of how valuable

it is to say oh these are hard to get

if they're hard to get they must be

valuable

am i wrong

just the fact that they're hard to get

makes it

seem more valuable

like you'd be a little more desperate to

get it if it were hard to get

and also i think the supreme court

decision made people think about

themselves or their loved ones in that

situation

if it's not in the headlines you don't

have to think about yourself or what if

this happens to me

but as soon as you think what if it

happens to me or my loved ones

suddenly you say to yourself i think i

want options

right

if if you're forced to think about it in

terms of your personal experience you're

gonna you're gonna lean toward at least

having options

so it doesn't surprise me at all that

there's a survey that says

that legal abortion went up in

popularity

so i don't know if i wouldn't

necessarily say that one survey is

conclusive

but it wouldn't be surprising

that's actually the way if you

understood persuasion

you would kind of expect it to get more

popular because it's restricted

now

to test my theory what about cigarette

smoking

cigarette smoking is actually way down

compared to what it used to be it's like

10 or 11 percent of the public smokes

now i think it used to be at least a

third or a half or something like that

it was crazy at one point

so your smoking was restricted

in a sense

but

popularity went down

but it wasn't really restricted was it

because anybody underage could always

get his cigarettes any time they wanted

so it wasn't really restricted not in

any serious way

yeah and then the vape was more

available

right

so i'm not sure that's a good good

example but

all right have you ever heard of the

festinger cognitive dissonance

experiment probably not

let me tell you about it

here's what to take away from this

experiment i'm going to describe

uh first of all this is repeatable

so you you could do this experiment all

day long and you would get the same

result

so that's unusual and wonderful that is

repeatable

and it works like this you ask a bunch

of volunteers

to do a boring task

they're just like piling up blocks or

something it's just super boring

and then at the end of it

you uh you offer them either twenty

dollars or one dollar back when twenty

dollars was worth more than it is now

you'd offer them either twenty dollars

or one dollar

and they wouldn't know that people were

getting different offers

that would be secret

and you'd say i want you to tell the

people in the other room that this was

actually a fun and exciting task

you know lie to them in other words

because everybody believed it was boring

but they were both groups were asked to

lie

so the people who were paid twenty

dollars to lie

lied because they were asked to

and

then later when they were asked their

opinion about the blocks it was about

the same as it was before

they thought it was boring before they

lied and said it wasn't boring they got

twenty dollars

and later they still thought it was

boring so their opinion was unchanged

the people who were offered one dollar

also lied because they were asked to

but when they checked with them later

the one dollar people

had

by a large percentage like 30 some

percent or so

had decided that it was actually not

that boring they'd actually convince

themselves it was interesting

about a third of them

do you know why

and there's a solid hypothesis behind it

that can be reproduced at will

and the and the thing is that the 20

people

thought that the reason that they were

lying was they were being paid for it

oh you're asking me to lie i got 20

that's serious money in those days

so

i know i'm lying i'm just getting paid

for it

the people who got one dollar one dollar

wasn't enough to lie

most people will not lie for a dollar

so when they lied

for a dollar

they had to explain it later to

themselves and the way they explained it

was well it wasn't really lying

because it actually was more fun than

maybe i first thought it was you know it

was actually kind of it was interesting

really actually i enjoyed it a lot i got

i was alone with my thoughts and it was

very it was a good time

now here's what you should learn from

this

these people's brains were rewired for

a dollar

instantly

or nearly instantly you know we're

talking about within hours or days

one dollar

rewired a third of the people there

instantly

one dollar

all they did was get somebody to say

something that was opposite of what they

believed and they would and a third of

them talk themselves into it within a

day

okay now

is that experiment does it blow your

mind

that is so powerful cognitive dissonance

and that it's so easy to trigger it

does it blow your mind

it doesn't blow mine because this is

something i've known for decades right

these these studies have been

you know replicated for decades

once you understand how powerful this is

then everything you see in politics and

social media starts making sense

so part of the reason that i can i can

withstand social media silliness

and it doesn't make me crazy

relative to other people

everybody gets a little crazy

is because i see it this way

i see it as people literally walking

around in a fog and not knowing it

if i saw them as like legitimate players

who were mad at me or had like a real

opinion of me that was low maybe it'd

bother me i don't know but i don't see

the world that way

i see it as people just literally blind

and just bumping into stuff and i'm like

oh just stand out of the way

let you let you blind people bump into

stuff just just stand back a little bit

and let it happen that's how i see the

world i see social media as blind people

bumping

into stuff

i don't see them as having

even real opinions

i mean i literally don't think their

opinions are even real

it's just something they heard it was

assigned to them by the media

somebody paid him a dollar and it

reversed

but everything's like that

everything

as soon as you think well

those poor poor bastards

i'm sure glad that doesn't happen to me

huh

aren't we happy that that doesn't happen

to us it only happens to other people

no

no

no it happens to you

and you don't know when it happens to

you that's the nature of it the nature

of it is you can only see it in other

people

that's why you have the illusion that

it's only happening to other people

but they can see it in you

but it gets worse than that

most of the time when they see it in you

they're projecting

well i don't know if it's most of the

time it would depend who you are

but

you can't tell the difference between

when they really see some inconsistency

inconsistency with what you're doing and

whether they are experiencing just more

cognitive dissonance

and so they imagine you're the one who's

with the problem

you can't tell

can't tell that's what makes it exciting

now i have told you there's one you know

there are a few little signals

you you look for the person who's got

the trigger

right now if you if you've not been

triggered for example when i heard about

this uh study

i said to myself oh that's exactly what

i expected

you know i would have predicted this

exact outcome based on what i know so

that's no there's no trigger for

cognitive dissonance in my case

because what i expected is exactly what

happened

but if what you expect you learn to be

completely wrong that's when cognitive

dissonance kicks in so that's your

trigger look for somebody who found out

that what they believed was totally

wrong

those are the ones who are triggered but

we even agree about disagree about

what's right and what's wrong so even

that stuff

all right

um

david frum do you all know him political

commentator and writer

and he's a big anti-trumper

and

here's how he describes uh trump's

um i'm sorry not trump's biden's speech

the one that people called

uh

satanic

all right so many of you probably said

to yourself that biden speech was the

worst thing that ever happened

there's no way you can spin that good

well interestingly

david frum writing in the atlantic

which if you don't know the atlantic is

not a serious

publication

it's owned by i believe it's owned by

steve jobs's widow right

and

it's just a democrat publication

trying to pretend it's not

but

here's what uh from titled his piece

he said biden laid the trap trump walked

into it

so frum's take on this

is that biden is so clever that he was

laying a trap with this rally

to try to provoke

the trumpists into acting crazy

and thus prove that they are crazy

so this was not an old man doddering

through a completely failed attempt at

communicating

that's what many of you think you saw no

no

you were mistaken

this was biden cleverly laying a trap

and trump just walked right into that

trap he did

but here's the way

from described this in a tweet so he

tweeted this

he said early in trump's term an

anonymous staffer said something like

quote

trump's not playing three-dimensional

chess

most of the time we're just trying to

stop him from eating the pieces

um

and then he he says that biden's speech

go to trump into swallowing at least a

bishop

now here's your next

hypnosis tip

and i'm not making this up

this is something i specifically learned

in hypnosis class

so my hypnosis instructor taught me this

and it's one of the most useful things

i've ever learned

you won't believe this is true

and so you'll have the same experience i

did the first time i heard it like i

don't think that's true and then you you

watch for it

and every year that goes by you're like

oh

it might be a little bit true

and then eventually you're like

damn it

damn it

it's true

it goes like this

people tell you their sexual preferences

in direct words

you just don't notice

it's just that your sexual instrument is

such a strong part of your being

that your language just naturally wraps

around those preferences whether you

know it or not

you can't turn it off

so when david frum who is a big nemesis

of president trump

writes biden's speech go to trump into

swallowing at least a bishop

my hypnosis instructor would say

that is not a coincidental use of terms

that's a man who has fantasies of

blowing president trump

now

i'm not going to say that that's true

because that would require my mind

reading right

i'm saying that's what i learned in

hypnosis

and that whenever whenever i noticed

something like this

and i could follow up and find out if it

were true

it was true

so all of the times when i could confirm

whether the thing i was hearing i think

i heard something very sexual

anytime i could confirm whether or not

it was true it was always true

it was exactly what it looked like

now

i have no way to confirm this one

i'm just telling you the pattern i've

noticed through my life is that it's not

a coincidence

nobody could write you swallow the

bishop

without

feeling there's some kind of sexual

connotation there

really swallow the bishop

uh hypnotist interpretation of this was

that is that david from

um

sexual psetomastic

feeling about trump

which by the way is probably common

are there any women watching this who

have had sexual uh dreams about trump

go

any women

who have had sexual dreams about trump

because for a while that was a thing

you know maybe before his first election

all right i see one yes

my wife yes

mo is mostly knows

but you see a sprinkling of yes right

i assume it was mostly now

i know to the dead right so i've heard

i've heard of people who did as well so

it's not unusual to have sexual

fantasies about a president or anybody

in power

anyway that's what i see in this

what else is going on what a fun day

all right what about those top secret

folders so here's a question i asked and

doesn't this amaze you that we don't

have to answer this

i'll say this again

i feel that there's a missing service in

the news industry and the missing

service

is that the

citizens should have a place they can go

where they can say this is the question

i'd like to have answered

from my government

and then the news people would be able

to look at the list and say okay this is

what people wonder about

so i will ask their questions plus my

own good questions but it'll be nice to

know what the public wants to know

and the number of times that the press

simply doesn't ask the question that the

public wants to know

is really astounding isn't it

and you don't always notice

but really the reason that the questions

they ask are asked is why

why why does anybody

why do the press people ask the specific

questions they ask

what is their motivation for the

questions they ask

yeah it's all gotcha questions right

it's gotchas or it's trying to make the

person look good

it could go either way

but more importantly it's for the

reporter's career

right the journalist is trying to make

the journalists look good

that's the motivation

you know all the other motivations are

are subsidiary to that the top

motivation is for the journalists to

look good because it's a you know career

defining moment

so that's all that matters

so

under that situation

um

what do you think of those blank top

secret folders that were found at

mar-a-lago so a bunch of empty

top-secret folders

and here's the question that i've not

seen anybody ask

so this is why we need that website to

ask these questions

how normal is it for a president's

office to have extra top secret folders

in case you need one

i would think that they'd be laying

around

readily available

would they not

because it seems to me there are things

that probably enter the

oval office

and probably get

re-re-characterized on the fly don't

they

don't you think there are some things

that come in and they're marked top

secret and then the president looks at

it and says all right this doesn't

really need to be top secret and just

throws away the folder or just tosses it

on the desk

has that ever happened probably i mean

probably it's probably happened at least

once because the president has that

power

the president could just say why is this

top secret i just tossed this folder you

know somebody write this down this one's

not top secret anymore that's

possibility the other possibility is

that stuff comes in

that looks like it's not top secret

but when the people in the oval office

look at it they're like oh

oh actually upon better thinking we

better not let anybody see this

and so they reach into a drawer and slap

a folder on it and then they do the

paperwork

but but i think you'd want to get the

folder onto it

right away

right

like i get that the paperwork has to be

done

but you're not going to leave it

unfolded

while you work through the paperwork

right you're going to reach into your

desk you can slap a folder on it you're

going to hand it to the secretary or

whoever and say you know do the

paperwork to make this top secret

so here's the question

is it normal

to have empty top secret folders

somewhere in the

in the working area of a president

my intuition tells me that that would be

common

but i don't know

it seems common

and so if somebody threw a bunch of

stuff in the box

what evidence we have that it was

anything but extra ones

so and then the other question is can't

we tell if something's missing at this

point

so at this point the gsa whoever has a

list of all the documents

now we also have a list of the documents

that have been recovered

can't they tell us which ones are top

secret and missing

because the ones that were top secret

they they must have been recorded as in

the president's

possession

so again there's like obvious questions

that are not being asked

apparently the president at his rally

had a speaker there who's been um

advocating for the release of some of

these january 6 defendants but one of

them is uh really a sketchy case

so one of them

one of the jailed still jailed

january 6 protester types

is

an

actual

hitler supporter

like an actual nazi

like actually has been photographed with

a little hitler mustache

talks about it openly

right so so there's at least one guy

that's being held in jail

because he's overtly

nazi sympathizer

now

so here's my point oh

you're ahead of me hold on you'll be

happy you'll be happy

i know where you're going on this but

hold on hold on

hold on

that isn't illegal

that isn't illegal

and do you know why the judge is holding

him he has not been accused of violence

he has not been accused of violence he

has not been accused of violence

he has not been accused of violence

here's why he's being held

the judge in the case said he should

held a waiting trial because he posed a

threat to the public

and that there was a potential for a

quote escalation of violence from his

alleged long-held neo-nazi beliefs

he is overtly

and publicly

and transparently being held in jail

for crimes that somebody suspects he

might

do not for crimes he did

not for crimes he did now the crime he

did gives them the cover for holding him

of course

the crime of trespassing i suppose

but

um

i don't care that he's a nazi

sympathizer i mean i care of course i

care that he's a nazi sympathizer but

it's not really relevant to this

question is it

not really relevant

this is very unacceptable

and the trouble is it's a trap you see

the trap

because you you know you can see that

trump walked into the trap the trap is

that as long as they keep at least one

person who is definitely a neo-nazi

they've got to keep at least one who's

definitely a neo-nazi

because then when trump releases let's

say all of them or pardons them

then trump released a neo-nazi

that's the game

there's no way that this isn't a

political

imprisonment

there's no way

and

you know all right i'm just going to say

this

this might be the last time you see me i

always say that but you know i never

know when it's going to be the last time

you ever see me

but one of the biggest issues is the the

concern a valid concern

that the public is getting whipped up

against the against judges against the

fbi

against the department of justice

and that the public might

become dangerous and we don't want a

world where the public is

threatening judges would you agree

you don't want a world where people are

threatening judges

do you

if your judge puts somebody in jail for

obviously just a political reason

you don't want that person to be

threatened to you

no

we don't want anybody to be threatened

with violence but boy if anybody ever

got close to the point where you would

change your mind

it would be somebody who put somebody in

jail just to you

just to you

that's why

and i'm not talking about the person

who's in jail

he's getting too

but you know i don't care that much

about a neo-nazi

frankly

frankly i don't care about him

personally

but in terms of the concept

freedom of speech equal justice and the

fact that this clearly seems to be a

trap that's been set for people like me

this is a trap

for me

right the moment i found out about this

story i said to myself a i can't resist

it

and b i'm going to be flying really

close to the sun here when i talk about

this because even what i've said so far

it's enough to be taken out of context

isn't it i've already said enough that i

could be

you know

rupaul edited into complete oblivion

but i had to say it

i had to say it

and that's the trap because you can't be

a good citizen and let this

go unmentioned

so here i have a choice of being a

patriot

like being a citizen being trying to be

useful

definitely at the risk of my entire

career

my entire career is risked just to say

something that is right and true

and good for the country

it's just amazing amazing times when

but

um

this is the sort of thing where uh

a trump presidency sort of

would clean some of the

cobwebs out of the system

and they're definitely some cobwebs

there

you know what i what i suspect was

trump's biggest mistake politically

i think it was during his

debate with hillary clinton

in which he said directly if he were

president she would be in jail

i believe that hillary was actually

worried about going to jail like actual

jail

i think she actually was worried about

that and i believe that the response

of the the democrats who who sort of did

things i wouldn't have expected to see

the the intelligence agencies the fbi et

cetera they they acted as though they

were protecting hillary and the only way

to do that is to take trump down

so i think that what you you and i are

watching

is hillary trying to stay out of jail

by putting trump in jail

and maybe not just hillary but people

associated with her

you know what i mean so to me this looks

like hillary and democrats trying to

stay on a jail

and the way they can do that is to take

down trump and all of his supporters and

it's working

it's working so far

if trump gets back in office

and he doesn't need to get reelected

because it's a second term

i've got a feeling some people might go

to jail

i don't know if the system can convict a

democrat frankly

you know a high-ranking democrat i don't

even know if this system could do it

the system is so corrupt at this point i

wouldn't even trust it to be able to put

somebody in jail no matter how good the

evidence is

but that's what i see i think it's just

hillary trying to stay out of jail and

everything else is about that

so the chief financial officer of bed

bath and beyond

jumped out of a hotel window

noah's in his high-rise apartment jumped

out of a high-rise apartment window to

his death

now he had been accused of pumping up

the stock and and selling his shares

before people knew that there was

problems there

so he was involved in a financial

scandal

but what caught my eye is that it was at

his apartment

where he has both a bed and a bathroom

and now he's he's gone to the grade

beyond

so

code reuse

question

did cnn always label its opinion opinion

did they

no it's not too soon

he was a crook

if he wasn't a crook it was too soon

but

allegedly he was a crook

so

um

i can't remember because i saw that they

did label dean obadiah's opinion now

dean obadiah is famous for having you

know the most anti-trump opinions

or among the most anti-trump

and

he's talking about how trump's remarks

are alarming

giving the

um

you know the the unprecedented spike of

threats against the fbi

now what do you think of that do you

think that trump is the cause

of the unprecedented threats against the

fbi is it trump's is he the one that

caused that

is it his rhetoric that's causing the

increase in threats against the fbi

or

or

i'm just going to put this out there as

an alternative

could it be the behavior of the fbi

could it be that the behavior of the fbi

itself

is bringing

problems to the fbi

to imagine that the problem with the fbi

is its critics

is a pretty up opinion

i'm pretty sure that you can't

you didn't create the situation by

criticizing them

my god

now

so the question is since this opinion is

in my opinion it's just ridiculous it's

a ridiculous opinion and i don't even

know if it's a real opinion it's the

kind you read you go does he even think

that

is that a real opinion um

but i wonder if the new head of cnn is

making the crazy opinion people at least

label it as opinion

i think maybe i used to say opinion but

i don't remember

all right um

here's another note

another indication of cnn is moving

toward the middle

so they had a story prominently on the

for on the front page of cnn

that an executive of black lives matter

global network foundation

is accused of siphoning off 10 million

dollars from donors

and the suit is against executive uh

chalamet bowers

the foundation itself um and her

consulting firm ebola

so

that's on cnn

i don't believe fox news covered it

at least i didn't see it on the front

page

so this is cnn

with there was no

there was nothing about this story that

softened it

this was just cnn saying boom black

lives matter executive big thief

you know it didn't throw in any blood it

saved the world you know the the larger

organization

is is good nothing like that just

straight news

top top person was a crook that's the

news do with it what you want

i like this

i'm liking this

every time cnn does something that

clearly is

unbiased i'm going to call it out

because i think they need a little bit

of encouragement

how many of you think that

the if we had the

if we had more explanations of why

people were going to epstein's island so

much

we'd know something useful

are you aware that many of the

visitors to epstein island were adult

women just famous

famous prominent adult women

if you knew that there were a lot of

famous prominent adult women

who presumably were not involved with

any weird sex stuff

right because they were older than 15 so

probably not

doesn't that tell you that whatever was

happening at epstein island was at least

sometimes innocent

am i wrong

the fact that a lot of the travelers

were prominent adult women who are not

accused of anything

and didn't say they saw anything

doesn't that tell you that some of those

trips i don't know what percentage

but some of those trips were completely

innocent

or at least for some of the people who

visited that doesn't mean the other

people on the plane didn't have fun i

don't know who knows

right now i'm not talking about glenn

but

i'm not sure we should make anything of

the fact that famous people went there

um i would think that his business model

was to get as many famous people

involved as he could

but it's not like he blackmailed all of

them

i think he just wanted as many famous

people

you know in his in his uh

field of influence as he could get

all right

so

it's a holiday

is anybody laboring

i know a lot of you are

stanley kubrick's death

he wasn't already

dead

um

going to work in an hour okay

you're at the office right now all right

you're working and watching that's what

i like it's a holiday so you should be

listening to me and working less

adult women don't engage

in kinky sex

well there's no allegations that epstein

was involved with anything with adult

women

all right

yeah

how many of you saw me watch my dog on

livestream

that that was the strangest content

because half of the people were like

yeah more of this

and half of the people were like uh we

don't want to walk so you watch a dog

oh well over on locals people liked it

all right good

well

if i wash her again

i'll uh i'll televise again

catering to adulthood

all right well are any of my opinions

actually leaks

that's a very insightful question

somebody asked if any of my opinions are

leaks

but i think you mean my predictions

don't you

that that would be the better question

are any of my predictions

fake because i already know what's going

to happen well i've told you that the

best predictions are the ones that are

already happening

but i usually stick to the ones where

like i could just tell it's already

happening i don't i don't need any

inside information

and the answer is yes i have done that

more than once

more than once i've made predictions

that were based on inside information

and you know what

they are no more or less accurate than

the ones that are not based on inside

information

let me tell you something about inside

information

it's not that accurate

it's not that accurate

i almost placed a very large bat

on some inside information

now the person who told it to me had a

good source

and it was solid it didn't turn out to

be true now nothing about the election

nothing about the kraken something

completely different and for a moment i

thought oh it was something you

could bet on

so the betting market had a specific

question on it i thought oh man

i'm gonna i'm gonna place a big bet

and then i thought to myself

i don't know there's something about

this doesn't feel right

and so i didn't

and it turned out to be wrong

now my understanding is that it was

right when i was told but that a

decision actually changed after the fact

so the point is that even insider

information is not reliable it really

isn't

you know it might be slightly better

than the public stuff but

it is also unreliable

like nvidia

uh

innocent people all knew they were

compromised just by being there yeah i

suppose

that's true

do adhd

all right

so

i uh

i saw an article that i tweeted jeff

pilkington uh spotted this

and there was next there was an expert

who was describing adhd

as not somebody who is easily distracted

rather it was a

future blindness

in other words it looks to everybody

even even the person with adhd it looks

to everybody who's observing

like they keep getting distracted with

what's in front of them and therefore

they're late

so they don't get places on time because

they're just

keeping it distracted that's what it

looks like to everybody

and the expert says total illusion it's

a total illusion

what it is is that the adhd people have

future blindness

meaning they can

they they care about what's happening

right now so that's why they're chasing

the shiniest object in their environment

because it's happening right now

and

once you

i don't know if this is true yet

so i'm going to present this as not

necessarily true

but as a filter or an alternate way of

understanding what you're seeing

and and here's what i liked about it if

you've known anybody who had this

behavior and i've i've known three

people

who consistently would be two hours late

for stuff do you know anybody like that

somebody who's consistently

two hours late

right

most people know at least one person

like that and do those people

exhibit any adhd

personality

um characteristics

probably

yeah i just blew your adhd mind didn't i

i'm blowing a lot of minds right now now

apparently this idea has been around a

little while but it's the first time i

heard it

and

and so i'm going to offer you this

experiment

i want you to experiment if you have

adhd

or you know somebody does and you can

talk to them experiment with this

blindness thing

and have them do this

the next time they're preparing to go

someplace that you know they're going to

be late to

just see if you can get them to do this

exercise

before they go to get ready

just spend some time visualizing the

entire path

from the moment you're getting ready

to you know putting on your clothes to

getting in the car to getting to the

place to you know what time it is and

sort of imagine it as a timeline and

it's all connected

so what you're trying to do is is

imagine

what you're doing now as on a timeline

bar

that is connected totally to the output

you know the end the end point and just

spend a little time

doing a picture in your head

picture it so it's like a little movie

in your head you're like okay now i'm

putting on my shirt getting on my

clothes i see them walking through the

door i see the other people gathering up

or getting in the car and just just talk

through it as visually as you can

and then just see

if connecting

connecting the output with the moment

see if you can keep that alive while

you're doing it as well

now what will probably happen is that

the moment you start getting busy with

what's in front of you

you will become

future blind

so there's a pretty high chance that you

can't even do this exercise

am i right

i think if a lot of you tried

you would end up saying oh i forgot to

do it or you'd have some excuse

but it just wouldn't happen

i think that's what would happen because

i think the blindness sets in and

there's nothing you can do about it

once you're blind you're blind

i mean you can't talk yourself out of

the blindness

you just can't see it so the question

would be whether if you practiced seeing

it before you get in the putting on your

makeup getting ready mode if any of that

can can cross over into the bubble

now my thinking is it might not work the

first time

it might not work the first time

you might have to try it a bunch of

times

and maybe try some variations that you

feel like would work for you

just see if you get lucky

and if any of you get lucky and it makes

a difference

let me know

because i do think that

well let me tell you something that

hypnotists believe

when hypnotists look at therapists let's

say the people who are trained to deal

with the problems i'm talking about adhd

being late so the people were experts on

that

the experts will tell you well it's

going to take lots of sessions and you

know we'll work on it over time but they

also get paid by the hour

so the people who get paid by the hour

will tell you it's going to take lots of

sessions

the hypnotist who might be you know

let's say volunteering to do it for free

will tell you it's either going to be

fast or it doesn't work

do you know why

well some hypnotists also charge by the

hour so those symptoms will tell you

well it's going to take many sessions

but let's say you've got somebody to do

it for free

the person who's going to do it for free

is not going to tell you that it takes

many sessions

because i don't think any hypnosis

believes that

the one who does it for free is going to

say one to three sessions

one to three

because that after the third one if it

doesn't work it's not going to work

it's just not going to work

but if you saw some progress in the

first three

you say oh let's let's keep pushing this

this might work for you not work for

everybody everybody's different but you

can find something that works for

everybody usually

so that that's my hypothesis and and the

hypnotist would say

that this type of problem is almost

instantly solvable

not for everybody

i have to throw in the not for everybody

anytime i'm talking about persuasion

you should hear that automatically not

for everybody

not all the time not quickly

right those those are the universals not

for everybody not all the time not

quickly

but this is one of those that it could

work for some people

quickly it could

there's some people who might be able to

do an exercise maybe not that exercise

but something in a similar vein

that would actually cure you instantly

that's that's a distinct possibility

within the hypnosis world view

so we'll see but it's something you

could test and i guarantee it won't hurt

you

right imagining imagining the path to

your destination is not going to hurt

you

there's no downside to this

it'll either work and then you'll tell

me about it and we'll solve the problems

for the world

or it won't

by the way i was adding up the number of

cures things i've

cured and

i'll tell you it's a really long list

of like medical problems i've cured in

people

and

some of it is because i reframed

something they stopped drinking they

lost weight

sometimes it's because i told somebody a

fix was available

so i just told them of a medical

solution that they didn't know about

and so then they got fixed but if you

count the number of people i've advised

correctly who got the right treatment

and they got fixed

it's it's hundreds

if not thousands

i mean i have no way to count it but

it's at least hundreds

of people i've

cured not me alone but i've put them on

the path to a cure

so when i when i tell you hey i think

maybe the collectively the you know i

call this the collaborative iq

so it's not my intelligence that's

driving this process

i'm i'm just sort of an organizer

but the intelligence is the collective

intelligence

right

and that's always true because if i got

outside of

what all of you thought was reasonable

you'd stop watching

so basically you constrain you constrain

me

and then i boost what you're thinking

and it's like this collaborative

intelligence so

could a collaborative intelligence that

does a b testing

cure adhd

for some people

some of the time

not necessarily correctly

all right we got a npc alert

and all capital letters from philip your

arrogance is strong today

let us analyze philip for what is wrong

with his personality

philip

you're very insecure

very

insecure here's the thing

are you

are you threatened by the fact that i've

cured people

and i can demonstrate it i mean all i'd

have to do is ask people here have i

cured you of any health problems and you

would see a stream of confirmation it'd

be easy and i've done it lots of times

and people write to me all the time so i

know it's true i don't know how many

that would be different

but

if if

if you think that telling you

that i can cure you of

sometimes incurable diseases if you

think that what you're seeing there is

my arrogance

you're kind of throwing out the baby

with the bathwater aren't you

you don't think you could handle a

little bit of my

the feeling that i'm being arrogant you

don't think that that would be sort of a

small

price to pay

for the fact that people are actually

solving lifetime problems health

problems

why would you want to discourage me from

doing that

philip

i i have a hypothesis that i learned

when i was developing dilbert in my

cubicle here's sort of a deep

psychological hypothesis for you

that men

unless you're truly a best friend or a

family member

they don't really like your success

man can you confirm this for me unless

you're truly a best friend

you don't really like other men's

success

you don't really like it

it's threatening we're just built that

way there's nothing you can do about it

right

now if it's a family member

like a true friend yes

in those cases you are genuinely happy

but if it's just somebody you heard

about

maybe you're not so happy right

here's how i discover this when i was

developing dilbert in my cubicle

i would often do a comic that i would

draw on my white board that was just

about the office and something that

happened

and people liked it they liked it enough

that they encouraged me to become a

professional

now what did

women do when they walked into my

cubicle

here's what women would do

sometimes they'd read the comic and they

would laugh or not laugh

right

do you know what men would do

here is what the three-quarters of all

the men would do

they would accidentally lean on the

board

and erase part of it with their back

a lot

a lot in other words they were

accidentally destroying the thing

that allowed me to show off

because women were walking into my

office and being oh you can do that you

can draw a comic oh that's cool you have

a skill

and men were making sure that that got

hidden or destroyed

who would be texting me at this time of

the day

all right

so have you ever noticed that

have you ever noticed that men will

accidentally

destroy something that allows you to

show off

right

now that's what that's a little bit what

you were seeing there

so there was somebody in the comments

who was listening to me literally curing

people of health

curing people of health problems

and he had a problem with it do you know

what his problem was

was it my arrogance

now i'm not i'm not saying i'm not

arrogant that's not even the question

so we're not doing yes no whether he's

accurate

i'm just saying what was his motivation

let's say he was accurate

even if he was accurate that i was

acting arrogant was that worth a comment

is that why you did it

now my world view is this

that men can't allow me to show a

quality that anybody would respect

that some men are really uncomfortable

with that and it usually has to do with

their own life

and they need to suppress other men in

every way that they can

so that they feel better about whatever

they're not getting done themselves

so that's what that's all i see

so here's here's another answer to the

question

scott how can you go into this sewer

of social media and watch

streams of insults about your character

your looks your intentions

everything

how can you do that and survive

and part of it is reframing

like just that when i see that comment

that doesn't look like it's about me

am i wrong

the person who called me arrogant in

this context specifically the context

of healing people from health problems

mostly just by telling them that there's

a solution that they can go get

right

i mean if you're gonna if you're gonna

on that there's something going on

with you

right

so this is a good model

and by the way it's not like i invented

or anything a lot of smart people use

this model when somebody comes at you

like that in a personal way they're not

attacking the argument they're attacking

the person

they have a personal problem

that's just being expressed through

their bad attitude

and if you can learn to see them as

damaged

you don't see them as your critic

i see them as just damaged

they go oh

there's some debris laying by the road

i don't think the debris laying by the

road

is a threat to me

if i see roadkill

you know what i don't think

oh what's it think of me

no i i try not to hit it with my car i

try to avoid it

right so when i see comments like that

like oh you're arrogant oh you're so

arrogant

that doesn't feel personal

it feels like somebody's damaged

and they're acting out

so it makes a lot easier right

so that's why i don't have to go

after this is done

i will not have to go

cry myself to sleep

because somebody had a bad opinion of me

because i don't think that happened

i don't think there was any opinion of

me

i think there was somebody had a

personal problem

and then they acted out in public

and then i observed it

that's all i experienced

i didn't experience an insult

now

is my interpretation of it accurate

well some of you would say no he

actually insulted you scott

but i say if you can

reframe your experience in one that

doesn't hurt

go ahead and do it

so i just reframe my experience in a way

that doesn't bother me and so

it's legal it's available to me

so i just do it

and it works

that's a reframe exactly that is a

reframe

well i don't think i cured him of his

problem but

but but he might have some insight

is in the book yet uh

not exactly but i might revisit that

i'm still adding

or reframes

let me ask you this

is there a reframe

that i haven't already talked about

that i've ever mentioned that ever

helped you

now i know that alcohol is poisoned help

people

but are there other reframes

that you sort of picked up

just along the way and you say oh i'm

thinking about it that way from now on

anything that helped you

because those are the ones i want to

include in the book if there's one that

i didn't even think of as a reframe

but you took it that way

um

if you can't sleep oh if you can't sleep

you didn't put in enough work okay

oh hearing cha-ching for criticisms in

my writing that's a good one

um

do the alcohol one again it's just

alcohol is poison that's it that's the

whole thing

systems not habits yeah

the suicide refrain what was that

oh the suicide reframe was to curiosity

right

right

so let me say that again

if you have a really bad day where

you're in a bad mood

if you waste that you're don't waste

that

don't waste that i had a bad day the

other day so i had to fire somebody

so i just used it to fire somebody

[Laughter]

and then i felt i felt good

because it was something i needed to do

and it got off my list

so

if you're wasting a bad attitude

you're really missing out

because when i have a bad day

do you ever have a bad day when there's

nothing that could bother you it's so

bad

like you know nothing could bother me

today because i'm already in such a bad

mood it's not going to make any

difference at all

and then you can just do all those

things that would have bothered you

otherwise

yeah all those things

uh any manager can take criticism nobody

can take humiliation did i say that

sounds like something i might have said

oh saying it was your honor to take care

of your mother before she died even

though she was a crappy parent

that's one of my favorites

yeah

well my favorite for dealing with

tragedy which is usually the death of a

loved one

is that it's not a tragedy it's an honor

it's an honor

if you can be

one of the last ones in the room

that's an honor

and i certainly feel that way for my

animals

there's no way i wouldn't be in the room

for my cat's passing

that's an honor

a view on pardon dangling it's good

strategy

pardon dangling is good political

strategy people will vote on that basis

uh

that's why you tell your patients

families as a hospice nurse well good so

a hospice nurse is

confirming that reframe that's good to

hear

oh i'm sorry about your dog jack

oh yeah somebody likes my everyone is

addicted to something

i don't think i have that in the book

yet

oh remind me to put that in the book

yeah everyone's addicted to something

you just have to pick one an addiction

that's good for you you know exercise

that's a good addiction

and if you had if you had to pick a

mind-altering one

there are definitely some that are

better than others

now i don't recommend anybody you smoke

marijuana because i'm not a doctor and

it is a drug

legal or not it's a drug so i don't

recommend a drug to anybody

talk to your doctor

but

of all the drugs that i personally could

do given that i don't metabolize alcohol

very well etc

it's the best it's the best addiction

for me

now it has its downsides

as everything does

but of all the addictions i could choose

it's the best one

for me but yours would be different

uh your wife mindy is listening she says

hello and won't stop commenting during

the stream mindy

mindy

i think mindy uh

we have to give her the uh the listener

award

mindy you are listener of the week i'm

gonna give you an award for this

because you're the most engaged listener

that i've heard of all morning

so everybody give mindy

uh some respect

because mindy mindy's engaged

she's involved

a post-divorce

reframe um i offer you mine

you got married because you both wanted

to get married

and you probably got divorced because

you both wanted to get divorced that's

usually the way it works

so you got what you wanted twice

that's how it works

that's your best case scenario

things go wrong

all the time do you know what would be

far worse

not getting a divorce

it sounds like that would have been

worse

now i also like the uh

um and i'm in this situation right now

so this weekend i'll have basically

you know close to no human contact

for like three days

it's not exactly true but you know i

would say

23 out of 24 hours

i'll have no human contact for the

three three days

could you handle that

could you handle that little human

contact

for three days in a row

a lot of you say yes

yeah you prefer it you know i love i

love my privacy when i don't have to

have it

i like privacy

uh if it's optional i don't like it if

it's forced on me

yeah so so i'm in a situation now where

i have to rebuild who i am

right after my first divorce and after

the first you know there's a

relationship before that each time i had

to start from scratch and just figure

out who i am

there's a uh

imagine dragon song

that got me through my first divorce

and it was um

you'll probably help me you'll have to

help me with the title of it it's about

starting from the bottom and

building building back

what's the name of it

it's imagine dragons

and you're starting at the bottom and

you're working yourself back it was sort

of an inspirational

story what's the title of it

anyway

but the uh the essence of it was there

was somebody who

if i understood the lyrics right it was

somebody who was dropping out of music

some kind of performing arts school i

assume this is the actual biographical

story of the singer

and

he dropped out with not knowing what was

next

and he he called us starting from the

bottom and building back up is it

radioactive

or is it called start over

i don't know whichever ones

um

no it's not called start over is it

that's the actual name of the song

i don't think so

but

the point is this

this is very much the

freedoms just another word for nothing

left to lose

so if you're focused on the stuff you

lost you're going to miss the fact that

you just opened up all of your options

and you finally are experiencing freedom

and it's really scary

so last night

at i don't know eight o'clock or so

um it was still really hot

and i decided to go swimming

and just use my hot tub

and

i was all alone

except for the dog

and as much as i love

swimming at night

by myself normally a terrific thing the

fact that i didn't have the option

like i just didn't have anybody to be

with at that time

that

it was really disturbing

it was disturbing

and i i tried to see if i could reframe

it as a plus

to just enjoy see if i could enjoy the

quiet

so i put my phone aside

and just tried to look at the sky

and tried to remember what it ever felt

like before i had a phone

and

i have some good advice on youtube to

get a gay house boy

thank you

now i had not considered that option but

i'll put that on the list okay

um

and it worked and it worked i would say

that i did manage

to

calm my restless

social media driven mind

and i could simply enjoy being alone

just for what it was

it wasn't easy it wasn't easy at all

but it but it worked

all right

um

what did you call an escort

here's a pro tip

if you're calling an escort

on a holiday

you're not going to get the a-team

and there's a story i'm going to tell to

the locals people but i'm going to turn

off i'm going to turn off youtube first

all right stay stay tuned you've got a

good story coming

and that's it for youtube i'll talk to

you tomorrow