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Episodes Episode #2269

Episode 2269 Scott Adams - CWSA 10/22/23

Episode #2269 Oct 22, 2023 53:56 23,655 views

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NewsReaction AI & Technology

So there's a big breakthrough in quantum computing, some kind of materials breakthrough with aminofullerene and graphene. It's going to be a real big deal for quantum computing. I don't think we have any idea what's going to happen with quantum computing. Yeah, I've said this before, but I feel like…

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QandA Energy & Mood Management

whatever happens when we have quantum computers and AI. Can we make an agreement? I would like to ask you for something. Could you just, as a favor to me, never mention Styx's technical setup again? Please, never, never again. It's just different. Yeah, let's just never talk about it again. All rig…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

ally add. They're additive. Does that make sense? It's a brain processing thing. It's almost like real estate in the brain. If you take me to the wrong real estate, then I can't use the right real estate. So that's why I seem extra prickly about that. It's not that it bothers me. It's that I can't d…

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MainContent Luck, Skill & Timing

e business world, and I love the fact that he says directly that ESG could be one of the things that's destroying the world. You know, it's on his list with some other stuff. And he calls it a mass demoralization campaign against progress that has lasted 60 years. But he calls out everything: trust…

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MainContent Persuasion

t today. Warren Commission. I'll talk about that right now actually. So I started watching Oliver Stone's update to his original movie JFK about the assassination. There were more documents declassified, etc. So he's got an updated version of it. And what I always say about documentaries is that th…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

e permission of Congress and without the full knowledge of the citizens. That's what it feels like. Well, let's talk about why Israel has not attacked yet in terms of their ground attack. One theory is that Biden is restraining them. In other words, Biden said don't go in and kill a bunch of innoce…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

ur head in that situation. It definitely makes me feel, has anybody had this feeling this week that I'd have moments where I'm just petting my dog and completely relaxed, and then I would think about how bad it is in the Middle East and other places and I'd feel kind of guilty? And I was also feelin…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

he taxes on Israelis. I don't think Israelis should be taxed to take care of the Palestinians. That's too far under the current circumstance. Before maybe it was more of a conversation. Before, but now nope. I would say complete divorce and make it permanent. That would be my take on that. And I def…

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MainContent Two Movie Screen

in the air over it, you could probably turn it into a technological prison where if anybody gets out, drone is activated and hunts them down and just kills them where they're running. You could probably come up with some technical solutions for identifying tunnels that we've not seen before. You wa…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

is willing to subsidize a little bit of their overpayment. So there are a million ways that you could do some sketchy things that launder money by overpaying for a book. And that's probably what happened given the players involved and the fact that they sell influence for a living, you know, legally…

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MainContent Media & Fake News

bvious to me that I would never sell that many books. But the advance was so good that of course I said yes. It was their risk to take. So I took their money. They took the risk. And do you think that they sold enough books to justify the advance? Probably not. Probably one or two of the books yes,…

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NewsReaction Economics & Finance

s the most universal thing that everybody thinks about everybody. But here's the one that's really the tell: you should seek help. Once a person believes that the other person's point of view is so crazy that they completely give up on debating it, there are one or two possibilities. They're talking…

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MainContent Confirmation Bias

od argument or new facts that counter their opinion, they immediately go to the badness of the person. So here's the tell. If they start with facts but end up with seek help, you don't believe facts, they're probably brainwashed. But it doesn't eliminate the possibility that the person they're talk…

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Closing General Commentary

ost innovative ground offensive you've ever seen. There will be things you've never seen before. So look for that. And I will talk to you maybe in the man cave. Good night. Bye for now.

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So there's a big breakthrough in quantum computing, some kind of materials breakthrough with aminofullerene and graphene. It's going to be a real big deal for quantum computing. I don't think we have any idea what's going to happen with quantum computing. Yeah, I've said this before, but I feel like it's the only story that matters because every other one of our problems will be folded into whatever happens when we have quantum computers and AI.

Can we make an agreement? I would like to ask you for something. Could you just, as a favor to me, never mention Styx's technical setup again? Please, never, never again. It's just different. Yeah, let's just never talk about it again. All right. And if we could let the technical and sound conversation stop, that'd be great, because otherwise I'm just...

Here's the problem with it. Even though you notice that I do a pretty good job of noticing the comments as I'm talking about the topics, here's the thing that's not as obvious to you. I can do that when the topic is about the news. So if I'm talking about the news, news, and then you're talking about the news, and then I'm talking about the news, I can blend and Venn diagram all of that information. But there's a part of my head that is completely different from that mode, and that's the problem-solving, like technical head.

So the problem is not that it's a distraction. It's a specific kind of distraction that uses a different part of my brain. And then the resources I need in my head to get from technical problem-solving to talking about the news is such a big leap that I can't do it in real time. But I can do all of the newsy topics in real time. They don't distract. They actually add. They're additive. Does that make sense? It's a brain processing thing. It's almost like real estate in the brain. If you take me to the wrong real estate, then I can't use the right real estate. So that's why I seem extra prickly about that. It's not that it bothers me. It's that I can't do the job under those conditions.

All right. Mark Andreessen had this big manifesto about everything that's wrong with the business world, and I love the fact that he says directly that ESG could be one of the things that's destroying the world. You know, it's on his list with some other stuff. And he calls it a mass demoralization campaign against progress that has lasted 60 years. But he calls out everything: trust and safety and tech ethics and social responsibility and basically all these well-intended things are basically destroying the world.

But I would like to add my own theory about why empires rise and fall. This will be the best theory you've ever heard. So you heard Pat Buchanan's theory that it's war, that all the prior empires were destroyed by war. But I get that. I mean, it's highly correlated. I've got a slightly different take that you're going to like better. It goes like this: all empires are luck. That's it. You have to be lucky to become an empire in the first place. It's not just that you had some good leaders and you performed well or you had a good system. It's luck. And the one thing you can guarantee about luck is that it doesn't last. That's it. That's the whole description of empires.

For example, it was lucky that the United States was geographically protected from World War II. Nobody planned it. People didn't move here because they said, oh, in case there's a World War II. It was just luck. Yet I also consider it luck that our founders were alive and in America at the same time. I mean, what were the odds that Ben Franklin, Thomas Jefferson, George Washington, Monroe, Hamilton, what were the odds they would all be alive at the same time and have the same purpose? What were the odds that Steve Jobs would meet Woz? What were the odds? If you don't put those two together, there's no Apple computer. There's no smartphone. Maybe. Who knows?

So my take on America and all the other empires is that something weirdly rare had to happen for any empire to form in the first place. But that level of luck that it takes to stay in power can't be sustained. Just nobody can be that lucky for a thousand years. Now, once you are successful, you can do what any monopoly does. You can put up walls. So you can last way longer than you should because you can put up ways to protect yourself. But in the long run, it's still luck. Maybe there's a climate change thing. Maybe there's somebody's nuclear bomb goes off by accident. There's a pandemic that one person mismanaged but another one didn't. I think it's just luck.

So that would suggest that every empire goes away eventually. But I wouldn't worry about ours right away. That is so weird that your comment said something about the Warren Commission. That was something I was going to talk about today. Warren Commission. I'll talk about that right now actually.

So I started watching Oliver Stone's update to his original movie JFK about the assassination. There were more documents declassified, etc. So he's got an updated version of it. And what I always say about documentaries is that they're 100% persuasive, usually. They're 100% persuasive as long as you don't see the counterargument. So I'm aware while I'm watching it. I've only watched the first episode, but I was completely aware of two things. Number one, it was completely persuasive of its point of view that Kennedy was basically assassinated by the CIA and the mafia. Now, does that mean it's true? I don't know, because I'd have to hear some kind of counterpoint to really have an opinion. But it's completely convincing.

And let me tell you the most convincing part, and this part does not require any speculation. This is a real thing that I found out yesterday. I did not know this till yesterday. Do you know who? So there was this thing called the Warren Commission the government put together in order to find out for sure who killed Kennedy. You know, was it a lone gunman? Was it a conspiracy, etc.? Well, they came up with the answer: there was a lone gunman, no conspiracy.

Now, the thing I didn't know is that the chairperson of the Warren Commission was the only person who didn't have a regular job, so he was the most active because he didn't have a day job to go to. He was the recently fired head of the CIA, Allen Dulles. Right now you say to yourself, well, that's probably a pretty good person, right? Because it's somebody who's really connected, a high-level executive type who would know all the players. Yeah. Allen Dulles. Here's the thing that I did not know about until today. The chairman of the group who were trying to find out for sure who killed Kennedy, and just listen to this carefully. It's all you need to know. The chairperson of the group that by far had the most power on the Warren Commission was also the major suspect in the actual assassination. So the main suspect was the person who was put in charge of the commission to find out who the murderer was. That's a real thing. I didn't know that till yesterday. That's a real thing.

There's no question about what happened. Of course the CIA killed him. There's no way that you put the main suspect in charge of the investigation unless it's exactly what it looks like. It's exactly what it looked like. Do you need to hear anything else? Is there anything else you need to hear about this? The main suspect who had been fired by Kennedy. Do you know why he'd been fired as the head of the CIA? So first of all, he was a disgruntled employee, so that's a reason to kill somebody. Second of all, he was head of the CIA, so he had all the ability to set up some kind of a fake assassination if he wanted to. And then, but more importantly, I learned that Kennedy found out that the CIA was running its own foreign policy and even the president wasn't aware of it. And they didn't care about the president. They thought they were in charge. Did you know that? Did you know that even Kennedy, and it's on record, said that he didn't think he had any control of the CIA and didn't know what they were doing? And there were well-documented cases where they were overthrowing governments and murdering people without the president having ordered it. They were running their own government.

You think that's bad enough? No, we're not done yet. J. Edgar Hoover, who ran the FBI, same problem. The FBI was not doing what the president wanted. The FBI was its own domain and it was just doing its own thing. So Kennedy had an FBI that reported to him on paper but didn't, and a CIA that reported to him on paper but didn't. So it's exactly what it looked like. The people who were really in power didn't like that there was this guy who was called president, and so they killed him and covered it up. Yeah, amazing.

So Earl Warren. Yeah, it was Earl Warren. So you know I don't have any question about what happened. I don't have any question about what went down. To me that's confirmed.

All right. Well, so that begs an interesting question. What happens if RFK Jr. had it his way and he could dig into all the CIA's business and suppose he were in charge of the CIA? That would be interesting.

But there's a new Harvard Harris poll. So I guess it's a respected poll. And they did a poll of presidential preferences as we stand now. And if it were just Trump and Biden, Trump would win. He's up four points now. Remember, these are national, so that doesn't mean he would win in all the right districts to win the electoral vote, but it does give you kind of a general feeling of the attitude of the country. But if you throw into the mix Kennedy, Trump's lead increases by 50%. He goes from up four to up six. Now, can we conclude that Kennedy takes votes away from Biden more than he takes votes from Trump? I think so. So this is the first confirmation, and this is what I thought would happen. I thought he would take more from Biden.

But if you throw in West, so there are two third-party people running, Kennedy and West, Trump's lead goes up to seven. Every time you throw in a third party, Trump's base tends to be sticky and other candidates are a little less sticky, so they lose support whenever there's another person there. Cornel West, yes. If Trump ran against Harris instead, he would be up by seven. And if Biden ran against Nikki Haley, Biden would win by four. I don't know how Trump can survive. I mean, I feel like they're going to have to. I hate to say it, but I don't, short of him being the victim of something horrible, how did they keep him out of office? And can they allow him to get back in office knowing that he's going to rip the lid off of everything, or at least he try? I don't know. I'm real worried about his health. I gotta be honest.

Well, here's some fake news based on real news. China has moved multiple warships into the Middle East. So China's big boats are over there with America's strike force. I guess we've got two carrier strike groups over there. But it sounded on first report, it sounded like this was to counter the American power. On second look, it looks like it was just a planned maritime naval practice. What do you call it? What do you call it when the military practices? What's that called? Exercise. Yes. So they had some exercise. It might be just that. But the United States, does it seem to you like Biden is stealthily preparing for war that would involve America without now saying, hey, we're getting ready for war? I feel like there's something missing in the process, as in some honesty, as in if this happens American boots will be on the ground. I don't like just sort of being over there and being ready and then America not being told at the same time that we don't have a speaker of the house. I don't like anything about this. I think it probably makes sense from a commander-in-chief perspective. You've got to put your military where it might make a difference. It definitely might make a difference. At least mentally, the psychology of the situation is certainly different because our military's there. But I do worry that we're preparing for war without the permission of Congress and without the full knowledge of the citizens. That's what it feels like.

Well, let's talk about why Israel has not attacked yet in terms of their ground attack. One theory is that Biden is restraining them. In other words, Biden said don't go in and kill a bunch of innocent people while trying to get the bad guys. So that's possible. So that's certainly a force that's working on them. It's not the only force that's happening. And Anatole Lubarsky added that it probably takes three weeks after mobilization to actually be ready to launch. Now that matches my point of view that it just takes longer than they have. They've had so far to just get ready because they don't want to be partly ready right now.

Here's a really ugly thought. The ground invasion or not, or how it goes or how it doesn't go, is largely an economic decision. Isn't that ugly? It's an economic decision. And the reason is because it would be really expensive to surround Gaza and just wait. Waiting is very expensive. I mean, war is expensive too, but if they're going to have the war anyway, you don't want to have the war plus the expense of the siege. That's a lot of expense. So there's, I hate to say it, but there's an economic force, which is they can't wait forever. It would just be too expensive. You can't turn it into a permanent outdoor jail and just do a better job of security. I think that's the comic Dave Smith approach, just better security and not just, but that being a big part of it. So the timing of it is going to be based on economics probably, which is the creepiest, most disgusting thought you could ever have in your life. But it's also the real world, right? Money is an asset of the military. You don't have money, you don't have an army. So it's always money. It's just that there are bullets flying at the same time.

All right. Apparently Israel has created a special unit to hunt and kill every participant in the Hamas terror attack. How would they know exactly? I guess somehow they might be able to capture a list of who was involved. So I don't even know how they would know who to go after. But that's very Israel. I think the psychology of that is great. The psychology of it is to tell the citizens no matter how long it takes, because they've done this before, you know, no matter how long it takes, we will get every one of them. And I think they mean it and I think they will take as long as it takes.

So Joel Pollak is over there now reporting, and I can't stop thinking about how terrible that would be to be over there, to actually just put yourself in the most stressful country in the world right now, where apparently the entire country is just in war mode and everybody's mind is focused on this as it should be. And I can't even imagine it, just seeing the evidence of the devastation and having to just put your head in that situation. It definitely makes me feel, has anybody had this feeling this week that I'd have moments where I'm just petting my dog and completely relaxed, and then I would think about how bad it is in the Middle East and other places and I'd feel kind of guilty? And I was also feeling like maybe it won't last. I feel like my peace is not going to last. It feels like all of this is coming for us. I just don't know when. That's what it feels like. But we can be smart and maybe push it back.

Well, Vivek Ramaswamy is very outspoken in a good way. I think he's adding lots of good context and comparisons and giving us stuff to think about about Gaza. And he's very opposed to combining the funding package into one big let's go to war package. And I'm opposed to that too on system and process grounds. That's different from being opposed to the funding of each. That's a separate question. I'm against putting them together. We absolutely have to vote on war individually. You know what you don't want to vote on? Oh, how about war but plus the farm package? No, sorry, get the farm package out of there. How about war or war plus climate change? Nope, nope. War has got to be by itself. There's no wiggle room there. And indeed I don't ever want a speaker of the house if such speaker of the house is going to put war packages together or war with anything else. It's got to be war by itself. Some of the other stuff, you know, the other pork and stuff, I can kind of see why maybe there's some advantages and disadvantages of combining them sometimes. But you don't bundle war. Bundling war together is just a big old you to the citizens of the United States. That is disrespectful. That's not even politics. That is just pure disrespectful. And I don't think I've seen anything like this in politics before, where it's not really an opinion or a preference. This is just pure disrespect for the citizens and the voters. That's all. I feel like it's a bad problem and needs to be solved, but my visceral feeling is my God, you have no respect for the citizens whatsoever to even imagine that you would combine these two things just to shove it down our throats. Yeah, unacceptable.

So I'm 100% behind Vivek on the don't put funding into one package. The other thing he says, and again this is a great addition to the debate, one of the things that Vivek is so valuable for, win or lose, is that he broadens and improves the debate wherever he goes. Even if you disagree with him, he has very clear points about it, defends his points, and even extends the argument into places where it hasn't been extended but needs to be. It's so positive.

But one of the things he says is that he wouldn't be in favor of funding unless Israel has a plan for what happens to the Palestinians after the ground offensive. Do you agree with that or not? You say to yourself, well, screw them. It's not Israel's problem. Why should they have a plan? Now remember, the plan doesn't mean Israel will fix everything. It doesn't have to be, but it could be a plan for how Palestinians will survive. The plan could include we're going to build a multi-government coalition of Arab countries to manage and help the Palestinians. Something like that, right? So it doesn't have to be on Israel's dime. If you tell me Israel shouldn't spend a penny to help even the innocent suffering Palestinians, I would say I can see that. In a normal situation you'd say humanity has to win over politics and all that other stuff. But in this specific situation, I think Israel has a right to walk away and just say, you know what, there are a lot of Muslims in the world. If you can't take care of each other, don't ask my religion to do it. Because that's basically what's happening. People are saying, hey, our religion is failing. Can your religion come over here and take care of us? And how about no? And I'm not sure that that's cruel, given that there are many wealthy Arab Islamic countries surrounding the area with a deep interest in the well-being of these people. Let them take all of it. I think that's what I do.

So I like Vivek's addition that there should be a plan, but I would disagree that that plan should be increasing the taxes on Israelis. I don't think Israelis should be taxed to take care of the Palestinians. That's too far under the current circumstance. Before maybe it was more of a conversation. Before, but now nope. I would say complete divorce and make it permanent. That would be my take on that. And I definitely wouldn't open the border to let anybody come in and work ever again. Wouldn't do that just because of the risk.

Let's see. Let's also talk about what's going to happen next. I like to use what I call the movie script prediction method. I've talked about this many times. It's the idea that reality follows movies and movies have this three-act scenario. And the key act is the third act where the heroes have an unsolvable problem. That's where we are. Israel has an unsolvable problem from a movie script perspective. That is to say, if they don't go in with a ground attack, that would be like losing because it would just leave Hamas intact. They would reconstitute someday. They come back and attack. So they can't do nothing. They don't have an option of not doing a ground attack. But if they do the ground attack, it's guaranteed to have unacceptable losses on civilians. And you can guarantee that those unacceptable losses will be magnified forever to become a stain on Israel's reputation that will hurt them in different ways as much as if they did or didn't do the ground assault.

So they have two ways to go and they're both losing directions. Don't do a ground assault, you definitely lose. Do a ground assault, there'll definitely be too many civilian deaths and you lose. So they only have two choices and they're both guaranteed loss. Do you agree so far? That's what the third act looks like. No matter what you do, it's all bad. You don't have any path to victory.

So how does a movie get resolved when the third act presents an impossibility to the hero? Well, it's always the same way. Some clever solution that was not obvious to the viewers of the movie. That's what makes it fun to watch. But in the real world that's also what happens. It's going to be a third option. And here's what I predict. I predict the third option. The third option is that Israel shows the world the most clever way to handle this situation, like so clever it becomes a standard for this kind of warfare for the rest of time.

Here's what I don't think they're going to do: knock on doors and get IED and booby trapped and take huge losses. I don't think that's going to happen. Here's what I think. I think that they're getting super active, the Israelis and allies, and figuring out technical solutions to Hamas. And that would include, some people have suggested ideas. One would be to filter the good people out of the Hamas-controlled areas, which is happening. I call it the filter fence. The filter fence is where you let all the good people out so that all that's left is the people who want to be there for whatever reason, and then you just turn it into a prison. Now if you make the area small enough, if you can chew away at the edges, then it's easier to control the entire perimeter of let's say a little piece of Northern Gaza. Way easier than trying to control the entire perimeter.

Now there's still tunneling and paragliding and there are ways they can get out, but if you are super serious about putting a permanent drone army in the air over it, you could probably turn it into a technological prison where if anybody gets out, drone is activated and hunts them down and just kills them where they're running. You could probably come up with some technical solutions for identifying tunnels that we've not seen before.

You want to hear the most low-tech idea I ever had? You take a Roomba, one of those little vacuum cleaner robots, and if you find one of the tunnel openings, it wouldn't be hard to find one, you just put the Roomba in there and you let it map the entire inside of the tunnels. Now you'd have to have some way to get the signal out before they destroyed it. So you put the Roomba in and it just goes Roomba, Roomba, and it figures out where the walls are. It kind of maps the place until the first terrorist sees it and then blows it up. But then you send something down to kill that terrorist and then send in another Roomba. You just destroy them with Roombas, you know, little robots with bombs on them.

So the problem with using robotics or drones is that you will lose your signal, right? If you send in a little drone like a little flying drone into a tunnel, eventually it would lose signal. But there are new technologies, and in fact I just talked about one yesterday, in which you can put AI onto the device with the small little chip, which they have an alpha version of it right now, that would make AI-related decisions on its own once it lost signal. So we're pretty close to you know Skynet kind of thing because the intelligence to make their own decisions is going into drones and it's happening now. Like that's current technology, is putting an entire AI onto a chip, putting it in the robot, and then the robot goes off and makes its own decisions from that point on. That's real. That's current technology.

So could it be that some of the robots that would normally be used to clear the tunnel, normally you would use it remotely with some remote control, but maybe they send some independent ones down there and maybe they send as many as you need. You know, just keep sending them, just keep making them in sets of them. And you know they'd get destroyed, but before they did maybe some would get back, maybe some would find out how to send a signal, something like that. So you'd end up mapping and killing everything in the tunnels without ever going down in a tunnel if you had enough robots and AI.

The other possibility is just gas. I believe I saw the brother, the son of the leader of Hamas who is pro-Israel and anti-Hamas, weirdly. So he was actually saying you're probably going to need to use gas, to which I said, huh, what kind of gas? And I thought it could be all kinds. Somebody suggested skunk. Why not? Why not put a smell down there that's so bad that you just couldn't exist without a gas mask? Yeah, we could drop Eric Swalwell down there, just dangle him on a rope, let him do the rest. Or other possibilities are sleeping gas, etc.

But the one that I like to suggest is they should be running out of that captagon drug pretty soon if you wait long enough. So that's the one that makes them stay up all night and want to fight and do horrible things. As I've said before, Israel should already be making fake versions of captagon so that four out of five are either normal captagon or they're a little underpowered, and the fifth one's just an overdose waiting to happen. The fifth one's actually designed to kill you but it's mixed in with the ones that aren't. So you want to get rid of all of their legal forms so that their only choices are Russian roulette with the next pill. Because I'm guessing that they're addicted. What do you think? You think the captagon has already made them addicted? Like if they run out, there's nothing that they're going to do not to get some more. So if you could give them deadly captagon at the same time they run out and they're addicted, they're going to start popping the stuff that kills one out of five people, right? Because they're like, well, four out of five chance, that's not bad.

The ADL is embarrassing itself in the midst of this Hamas situation. They put out a statement saying white supremacists are still a big problem. Not really reading the room right. What have the white supremacists done lately? Can you think of anything the white supremacists have done? Well, I can think of something. Let's see if you can think of something else. Here's something the white supremacists have done recently: backed Israel. That's all I need to say about that.

And not, yeah, because I don't think that they're crazy about Hamas is what I think.

Well, my old nemesis Chen, who some say is a Chinese operative but Chen says no, he's just a guy on the X platform saying stuff. But he's talking about the British Broadcasting Company, which some call the BBC. He points out that it said that 1,400 Israelis were quote massacred but 4,000 Palestinians were quote killed. And Chen points out it's extreme bias in choosing the words is staggering. Well, okay, it does matter. The intention doesn't it? The Hamas were intending to slaughter and disembowel people. That was literally what they were planning to do and then they did it. The Israelis were trying to protect themselves and trying to avoid civilian deaths if they could. Not really the same, Chen. But I only point it out not because he makes a good point or not even a bad point. It's just sort of a stupid point. But is sort of anti-Israel and he's, I believe he's an approved Chinese voice in their foreign influence campaign. So that would mean that he's sort of suggestive of what Chinese leadership would also say. So they seem to be taking sides.

Have you seen the story that's partially fake news about Biden paying cash for his beach house, the one he uses now? So at some point back in 2017 I guess he paid $2.75 million in cash for his Rehoboth beach home. He paid cash. Who pays cash for a house? Some people. But it's suggested by the people who are chasing his bad behavior that this is a symbol of the sort of thing he's doing with or was doing with his ill-gotten criminal gains from selling his influence or something like that. But to me it just looks like a story. You know why? So remember the propaganda isn't only coming from the left. So this was pure propaganda I saw on the right. So the story starts out saying blah blah Biden crime family. So you're all primed to think this is a criminal thing. And then they tell you he paid cash for a $2.75 million home and you're thinking, whoa, on a senator's salary or a vice president's salary, can you do that? And then at the end of the article it says that it was about the same time he got $1 million in royalties for his book. Isn't that the whole story? He made a lot of money on a book and then he bought a beach house. Like the fact that the anti-Biden people tied together what looks like a public and completely understanding source of money but put that at the end of the article.

Here's how that article should have been. I forget who wrote it but it doesn't matter. The article should have said at about the same time he was making millions of dollars on his book he bought a beach house. That's it. That should have been the whole story. Why did we have to assume that this money came from some other source when he got paid $11 million? So the fact that it was worded all of his bad behavior first, oh bad behavior, bad behavior, but he also bought a beach house for cash. So the bad behavior and the cash he paid for the beach house, that must be the same story, right? That's what the Democrats do to you. That's what the Democrats do. You know if you see a story like that from your own side, you know, let's say you lean right and it's a right-leaning entity that writes it, that's just, right now I'm not defending Joe Biden. I'm saying you're going to need to do better than that. If you're proving he made a whole bunch of legal money that's well disclosed and then he spent some of it, that should be the whole story. Separately maybe he did some scabby things but that's separate. I wouldn't put those together. So the propaganda is not coming from just one direction. Just be aware of that.

Is writing a book a good way to make a million? Well, let me explain book publishing. Number one, it could be a way to launder funds. In other words if he got an unusually high advance for his book, you know, way more than they expected to sell the books, that would be suggestive that maybe there's a publisher who wanted a favor from somebody in the government so they were willing to overpay a little bit. You know, maybe there's a billionaire involved with the publisher who is willing to subsidize a little bit of their overpayment. So there are a million ways that you could do some sketchy things that launder money by overpaying for a book. And that's probably what happened given the players involved and the fact that they sell influence for a living, you know, legally perhaps. I don't know that Joe or Hunter did anything illegal but it's obvious they were selling influence. That part seems well established by everybody basically. So be careful of that. Having said that, there's something sketchy happening with the Biden family. We just don't know exactly what.

Oh, let me finish one other point about book advances. If you say to yourself, Scott, the likely number of total sales of a Biden book could never justify an $11 million or whatever the advance was, we don't know what the advance was, could never justify that much of a payment. Here's what you need to know about publishers. For the big-name books, and he would be a big-name book, they don't often, they don't always try to make money. Did you know that? Sometimes they will overpay for a big-name author so that they can tell the next author, well, we have this author. I mean we just did the big Biden book so you should work with us. It's almost marketing. So a big publishing house will overpay a big name. And how do I know this? This happened to me. When Dilbert was a huge, well-respected hit, I negotiated a big book deal after I'd written The Dilbert Principle and it was a number one book. But when they offered the advance for it, it was like a five-book deal. Even I could tell they were overpaying. I mean it was obvious to me that I would never sell that many books. But the advance was so good that of course I said yes. It was their risk to take. So I took their money. They took the risk. And do you think that they sold enough books to justify the advance? Probably not. Probably one or two of the books yes, but probably the entire five-book catalog, probably not. But they said directly at one point that they like to have big names in their stable. And as long as I came close to break even then it was a marketing thing and they went. So I heard that directly. So yes, Biden might have been overpaid because there was something sketchy going on, but he could have been overpaid just because that's exactly how publishers operate. They overpay for the big-name books.

All right. Home costs have doubled since 2019. At least the affordability of a new home has doubled. Wait, no, your dollar goes half as far as it did at the end of 2020. Yeah, so basically same story. Wow, wow.

All right. Here's a little story that I have to wonder about. You'll probably wonder the same thing. So Trump has a new video out, campaign video, in which it shows people being brainwashed by Hillary and uses, and even Trump did a truth post on it in which he said brainwashed. So they're using the word brainwashed and they're using the video of Hillary saying that she wants to deprogram Trump supporters. Trump is going directly at the brainwashing propaganda part of the Democrat engine, which is pretty interesting. I don't know that anybody's going after that directly before, have they? But it's exactly what's happening. It's a brainwashing operation. And if he can convince anybody that it is, that's an interesting line of attack. And the beauty of it is you don't have to argue about policy if you're arguing about whether there's a brainwashing operation, because the brainwashing operation you can simply point to it. It's like, well, here's another example. And it also creates a confirmation bias trap. Have you ever seen him do that before? It's classic Trump. When he nicknamed Hillary Clinton as Crooked Hillary, it was because he knew for sure that during the campaign there would be new things to come out, allegations that you would say to yourself, huh, that sounds like Hillary did something crooked. Oh, of course she's Crooked Hillary. Makes perfect sense. And then your brain stores all of her crooked deeds under his framing Crooked Hillary. So he's literally changing the real estate in your brain with these nicknames that make all the information seem like confirmation. But it could be confirmation bias, right?

So now when he calls it brainwashing, every time you see something that looks like it's in that domain you're going to say, instead of that's a lie, which you would have said otherwise, you can say, oh, that's what Trump's talking about. There's that brainwashing. So he's created another little rental property in your head and he calls it brainwashing. Now every time you see something that you would have interpreted as just a lie or just politics or something like that, you're going to say to yourself, hey, are they trying to brainwash me? Who are they trying to brainwash? So this is probably brilliant. Probably brilliant. The gaslighting thing never worked because everybody's gaslighting everybody and nobody knows what the word means exactly. But everybody knows what brainwashing means. Yeah, everybody knows what brainwash is. So that's the perfect Trump frame. A word we all know that's a confirmation trap for the future. He's so good at this.

I have a way to spot the brainwashed which annoys me because I think that I've used it myself. So I'm going to tell you how to spot brainwashed people. But you don't need to tell me, but Scott I feel like I've seen you do that. To which I say I have done that. Was I brainwashed? If you're not at least asking yourself that question, you're brainwashed. Let me say that as clearly as possible. If you're not continuously asking yourself is somebody brainwashing me right now, you know when you're looking at political stuff, you're being brainwashed. The only defense is if you're asking yourself every single time something happens, which I do. That doesn't, it's not a complete protection. You know, smart people, well-informed people could be brainwashed, but it's at least a little bit of something. It's not nothing. So I'm asking myself this about this.

But here's the tell. Saw this today on the X platform. A user named James English. So he was in a back and forth debate with some folks about what is true or not true about something Trump related. But he ends with this, responding to someone else not to me. He goes, no it means I follow facts, you follow beliefs. You should seek help. There it is. You should seek help. It truly is a sickness. Or maybe you are a child because only children follow beliefs. Adults follow facts. Now that's a brainwashed person, right?

So let me break it down. So here's somebody who believes that the person they're talking to is the only person in politics who doesn't think facts matter and that they're just operating on belief as just one person, and you know not just one, but and that that's the only problem here is that one of them doesn't believe in facts and they're following beliefs. Now that's the most universal thing that everybody thinks about everybody. But here's the one that's really the tell: you should seek help. Once a person believes that the other person's point of view is so crazy that they completely give up on debating it, there are one or two possibilities. They're talking to somebody who actually is just crazy and they're in their own little world, or the person who's talking is the one who's brainwashed. And when presented with a good argument or new facts that counter their opinion, they immediately go to the badness of the person.

So here's the tell. If they start with facts but end up with seek help, you don't believe facts, they're probably brainwashed. But it doesn't eliminate the possibility that the person they're talking about is brainwashed. So it's a little tricky. But certainly if somebody has, if you've retreated from, let me say this in a more precise way, if you've completely retreated from the idea of arguing about the facts and now you've gone to there's something wrong with you, you're just broken, one of you is brainwashed or both. That's what's happening there. Yeah, but like I say, since I've been the one to tell people to seek help because in my mind it did look like they just had a mental problem, some kind of TDS. So it makes me wonder, huh, wonder if I'm brainwashed when I say that. Just something to think about.

All right, ladies and gentlemen. All right. I got some questions I could answer. I think we've done what we need to do today. It's time for brunch. Exactly. You should all go off and have an amazing Sunday today and enjoy all the good times if you have them because it's a precarious world. I do think the United States will be fine, certainly in your lifetime, but we've got a lot of stuff to take care of. Have to fix a lot of stuff. So let's go fix a lot of stuff and we'll be fine. And I think Israel is going to be clever. So remember my prediction. It won't be a standard ground offensive and it won't be no ground offensive. It will be the most innovative ground offensive you've ever seen. There will be things you've never seen before. So look for that. And I will talk to you maybe in the man cave. Good night. Bye for now.

so there's a big breakthrough in Quantum Computing some kind of materials breakthrough with Amino ferine and graphine and it's a it's going to be a real big deal for Quantum Computing I I don't think we have any idea what's going to happen with Quantum Computing yeah I've said this before but I feel like it's the only story that matters because every other one of our problems will be folded into whatever ever happens when we have quantum computers and AI so uh can we make an agreement I I would like to ask you for something could you just as a favor to me never mention sticks his technical setup again please never never again it's just different yeah let's just never talk about it again all right uh and if we could let the technical and sound conversation stop that'd be great because otherwise I'm just so here's the problem with it even though you notice that I do a pretty good job of noticing the comments as I'm talking about uh the topics but here's the thing that's not as obvious to you I can do that when the topic is about the news so if I'm talking about the news news and then you're talking about the news and then I'm talking about the news I can I can blend and vend diagram all of that information but there's a part of my head that is completely different from that mode and that's the problem solving like technical head so the problem is not that it's a distraction it's a a specific kind of distraction that uses a different part of my brain and then the uh the resources I needed my head to get from technical problem solving to talking about the news is such a big leap that I can't do it in real time but I can do all of the newsy topics in real time they don't they don't distract they actually add more additive does that make sense it it's a brain processing thing it's almost like real state in the brain if you take me to the wrong real State then I can't I can't use the right real estate so that's why I seem um extra extra prickly about that it's not that it bothers me it's that I can't do the job under those conditions all right um Mark andreon had this big Manifesto about everything that's wrong with the business world and I love the fact that he says directly that ESG could be one of the things that's destroying the world you know it's on his list with some other stuff uh and he calls it a mass demoral ization campaign against progress that has lasted 60 years but he calls out everything trust and safety and Tech ethics and social responsibility and ba basically all these well-intended things um are basically destroying the world but I would like to add my own theory about why Empires rise and fall this will be the best theory you've ever heard so you heard P Buchanan's theory that is war that all the prior Empires were destroyed by War but well I I get that I mean it's highly correlated I've got a slightly different take that you're going to like better it goes like this all Empires are luck that's it you have to be lucky to become an empire in the first place it's not just you know that you had some good leaders and you performed well or you had a good system right it's luck and the one thing you can guarantee about luck is that it doesn't last that's it that's the whole that's the whole description of Empires for example it was lucky that the United States was geographically um protected from World War II nobody planned it right people didn't move here because they said oh in case there's a World War II it was just luck yet I also consider it luck that our Founders were alive and in America at the same time I mean what were the odds that Ben Franklin Thomas Jefferson George Washington Monroe Hamilton what of the odds they would all be alive at the same time and have the same the same purpose what are the odds that Steve Jobs would meet wnc what were the odds if you don't put them to those two together there's no Apple computer there's no smartphone maybe who knows so so my take on America and all the other Empires is that something weirdly rare had to happen for any Empire to form in the first place but that that level of lock that it takes to stay in power can't be sustained just nobody can be that lucky for a thousand years now once you are successful you can do what any Monopoly does you can put up walls so you can last way longer than you should because you can put up you know ways to protect yourself but in the long run it's still luck maybe there's a climate change thing maybe there's a you know somebody's nuclear bomb goes off by accident um there's a pandemic that one one person mismanaged but another one didn't I think it's just that it's just luck so that would suggest that every Empire goes away eventually there's a uh uh but I wouldn't worry about ours right away think oh that is so weird that your comment said something the Warren Commission that was something I was going to talk about today Warren Commission I'll talk about that right now actually so I I started watching uh uh Oliver Stone's update to his original movie JFK about the assassination so there's there were more documents are Declassified Etc so he's got an updated version of it and what I always say about documentaries is that they're 100% persuasive usually they're 100% persuasive as long as you don't see the counter argument so I'm aware while I'm watching it I've only watched the first episode but I was completely aware of two things number one it was completely persuasive of its point of view that Kennedy was basically assassinated by the CIA and the mafia now does that mean it's true I don't know because I'd have to hear some kind of Counter.

Point to really have an opinion but it's completely convincing and let me tell you the most convincing part and this part does not require any speculation this is a real thing that I found out yesterday I did not know this till yesterday do you know who so there was this thing called the warrant commission the government put together in order to find out for sure who killed Kennedy you know was it a lone gunman was it a conspiracy Etc well they came up with the answer there was a lone gunman no conspiracy now the thing I didn't know is that the chairperson of the Warren Commission was the only person who didn't have a regular job so he was the most active because he didn't have a day job to go to he was the recently fired uh head of the CIA Dallas right now you say to yourself well that's probably a pretty good person right because it's somebody who's really connected a high level executive type wouldn't know all the players yeah Ellen Ellen delis here's a thing that I did not know about until today the chairman of the group who are trying to find out for sure who killed Kennedy and just listen to this carefully it's all you need to know the chairperson of the group that was by by far had the most power on the warrant commission was also the major suspect in the actual assassination so the the main suspect was the person who was put in charge of the commission to find out who the murderer was that's a real thing I didn't know that till yesterday that's a real thing there's no there's no question about what happened of course the CIA killed him there's no way that you put the main suspect in charge of the investigation unless unless it's exactly what it looks like it's exactly what it looked like do you need to hear anything else is there anything else you need to hear about this the main suspect who had been fired by Kennedy do you know why he'd been fired as the head of the CIA so first of all he was a disgruntled employee so that's a reason to kill somebody second of all he was a CI head of the CIA so he had all the ability to set up some kind of a fake assassination if he wanted to and then but more importantly I learned that Kennedy found out that the CIA was running its own foreign policy and even the president wasn't aware of it and they didn't care about the president they thought they were in charge did you know that did you know that even Kennedy and it's on record said that he didn't think he had any control of the CA and didn't know what they were doing and there were well documented cases where they were overthrowing governments and murdering people without the president having ordered it they were running their own government you think that's bad enough no we're not done yet Jay Edgar Hoover who ran the FBI same problem the FBI was not doing what the president wanted the FBI was its own domain and uh it was just doing its own thing so Kennedy had an FBI that reported to him on paper but didn't and a CIA that reported to him on paper but didn't so it's exactly what it looked like the people who were really in power didn't like that there was this guy who was called president and so they killed him and covered it up yeah amazing so uh Earl Warren yeah it was Earl Warren so you know I don't have any question about what happened I don't have any question about what went down to me that's confirmed for confirmation or something yeah all right well so that uh begs a interesting question what happens if uh RFK Jr had it his way and he could dig into all the cia's business and suppose he were in charge of the CIA that would be interesting uh but there's a new pole Harvard uh and Harris poll so I guess it's a respected poll and they did a poll of presidential preferences as we stand now and if it were just Trump and Biden Trump would win by he's up four four points now remember these are National so that doesn't mean you would win in all the right districts to win the electoral vote but it does give you kind of a general feeling of the attitude of the country but if you throw into the mix uh Kennedy um Trump's lead increases es by 50% he goes from up four to up six now can we can we conclude that Kennedy takes votes away from Biden more than he takes votes from Trump I think so so this is the first confirmation and uh this is what I thought would happen I I thought he would take more from Biden but um if you throw in uh West so that there are two third party people running Kennedy and West Trump's lead goes up to seven every time you throw in a third party uh Trump's base tends to be sticky and other candidates are a little less sticky so they lose support whenever there's another person there ornell West yes um if Trump ran against against Harris instead he would be up by seven and if he and if Biden ran against Nikki Haley Biden would win by four I don't know how Trump can survive I mean I feel like they're GNA have to I hate to say it but I don't short of him you know being the victim of something horrible how did they keep him out of office and can they allow him to get back in office knowing that he's going to rip the lid off of everything or at least he try I don't know I'm real worried about his health I gotta be honest well here's some fake news based on real news um China has moved multiple warships into the Middle East so they're China's big boats are over there with America's Strike Force I guess we've got two carrier strike groups over there but it sounded on first report it sounded like this was to counter the American power on second look it looks like it was just a planned um they had some planned Maritime Naval practice what do you call it what do you call it when the military practices what's that called exercise yes so they had some ex it might be just that um but the United States does it seem to you like Biden is stealthily preparing for war that would involve America when now was saying hey we're getting ready for War I feel like there's something missing in the process as in some honesty as in if this happens American boots will be on the ground I don't like just sort of being over there and being ready and then America not being told at the same time that we don't have a speaker of the house I don't like anything about this I I think it probably makes sense from a commander-in-chief perspective you got to put your military where it might make a difference it definitely might make a difference at least me mentally the psychology of the situation is certainly different because or military there but um I do worry that we're preparing for war without the permission of Congress and without the full knowledge of the citizens that's what it feels like well let's talk about why Israel has not attacked yet in terms of their ground attack um one theory is that Biden is restraining them in other words Biden said don't go in and kill a bunch of uh innocent people while trying to get the bad guys so that's possible so that that's certainly a force that's working on them it's not the only Force that's happening uh anat told lubarski added uh that it probably takes three weeks after mobilization to actually be ready to launch now that that matches my point of view that it just takes longer than they have they've had so far to just get ready because they don't want to be partly ready right now here's a really ugly thought the ground Invasion or not or how it goes or how it doesn't go is largely an economic decision isn't that ugly it's an economic decision and the reason is because it would be really expensive to surround Gaza and just wait waiting is very expensive I mean war is expensive too but if they're going to have the war anyway you don't want to have the war plus the expense of The Siege that's a lot of expense so there's I hate to say it but there's an economic Force which is they they can't wait forever it would just be too expensive you can't turn it into a permanent outdoor jail and and just do a better job of security I think that's the comic Dave Smith approach just to better security and not just but that being a big part of it um so the the timing of it is going to be based on economics probably which is the creepiest most disgusting thought you could ever have in your life but it's also the real world right money is an asset of the military you don't have money you don't have an army so it's always money it's just just that there are bullets flying at the same time all right um apparently uh Israel has created a special unit to hunt and kill every participant in the Hamas terror attack how would they know exactly I guess somehow they might be able to capture a list of who was involved so I don't even know how they would know who to go after but that's very Israel I think the psychology of that is great the the psychology of it is to tell the citizens no matter how long it takes because they've done this before you know no matter how long it takes we will get every one of them and I think they mean it and I think they will take as long as it takes so uh Joel Pollock is over there now reporting and uh I can't stop thinking about how terrible that would be to be over there to to actually just put yourself in the most stressful country in the world right now where apparently the entire country is just in war mode and everybody's mind is focused on this as it should be H and I can't even imagine it just seeing the evidence of the devastation and uh having to just put your head in that situation it definitely makes me feel has anybody had this feeling this week that I'd have moments where I'm just petting my dog and you know completely relaxed and then I would think about how bad it is you know in the Middle East and other places and I'd feel kind of guilty and I was also feeling like maybe it won't last you know I I feel like my peace is not going to last it feels like all of this is coming for us I just don't know when that's what it feels like uh but we can be smart and and uh maybe maybe push it back well V ramaswami is uh very outspoken in a good way I think he's adding lots of good uh context and comparisons and giving us stuff to think about about Gaza and he's very opposed to combining the funding package into one big let's go to war package and I'm opposed to that too on on system and process grounds that's different from being opposed to the funding of each that's a separate question I'm against putting them together we absolutely have to vote on war individually you know what you don't want to vote on oh how about war but plus the farm package no sorry get the farm pack well that's not a real thing I'm making that up get the farm package out of there how about war or War plus climate change nope nope War has got to be by itself there's no wiggle R there and indeed I don't ever want I don't ever want a speaker of the house if such speaker of the house is going to put War packages together or war with anything else it's got to be War by itself some of the other stuff you know the the other uh pork and stuff I can kind of see why maybe there's some advantages and disadvantages of combining them sometimes but you don't bundle War bundling War together is just a big old you to the citizens of the United States that is disrespectful that's not even politics that is just pure disrespectful and I don't think I've seen anything like this in politics before where where it's not really an opinion or a preference this is just pure disrespect for the citizens and the voters that's all I feel like I feel it's a bad problem and needs to be solved but my visceral feeling is my God you have no respect for the citizens whatsoever to to even imagine that you would combine these two things just to shove it down our throats yeah unacceptable so uh uh I'm 100% behind V on the don't put funding into one package the other thing he says and again this is a great addition to the to the debate one of the things that V is so valuable for win or lose is that he broadens and improves the debate wherever he goes even if you disagree with him he has very clear points about it defends his points and even extends the argument into places where it hasn't been extended but needs to to be it's so positive but one of the things he says is that he he wouldn't be in favor of I think funding unless the unless Israel has a plan for what happens to the Palestinians after the ground defensive do you agree with that or not you say to yourself well screw them it's not Israel's problem why should they have a plan now remember the plan doesn't mean Israel will fix everything doesn't have to be but it could be a plan for how Palestinians Will Survive the plan could include uh we're going to we're going to build a let's say multi-g government Coalition of Arab countries to manage and help the Palestinians something like that right so it doesn't have to be on Israel's dime if you tell me Israel shouldn't spend a penny to help even the innocent suffering Palestinians I would say H I can see that in a normal situation you'd say Humanity has to win over politics and all that other stuff but in this specific situation uh I think Israel has a right to walk away and just say you know what there are a lot of Muslims in the world if you can't take care of each other don't ask my religion to do it because that that's basically what's happening people are saying hey our religion is failing can your religion come over here and take care of us and how about no and I'm not sure that that's cruel given that there are many wealthy Arab Islamic countes surrounding the area with a deep interest in the well-being of these people let them take all of it I think that's what I do so um I like V's addition that there should be a plan but I would disagree that that plan should be uh increasing ing the taxes on Israelis you know I I don't think Israelis should be taxed to take care of the Palestinians that's too far under the current circumstance before maybe it was more of a conversation before but now nope I I would say complete divorce and make it permanent that would be my take on that uh and I definitely wouldn't open the border to let anybody come in and work ever again wouldn't do that just because of the risk um let's see let's also talk about what's going to happen next let's use I like to use what I call the movie um script prediction method I've talked about this many times it's the idea that reality follows movies and movies have this threea scenario and the key Act is the third act where the heroes have an unsolvable problem that's where we are Israel has an unsolvable problem from a movie script perspective that is to say if they if they don't go in with a ground attack that would be like losing because it would just leave Hamas intact they would reconstitute someday they come back and attack so they can't do nothing they don't they don't have an option of not doing a ground attack but if they do the ground attack it's guaranteed to have uh you know unacceptable uh losses on civilians and you can guarantee that those unacceptable losses will be magnified forever to become a a stain on Israel's reputation that will hurt them in different ways as much as if they did you know did or didn't do the ground assault so they have two ways to go and they're both losing directions don't do a ground assault you definitely lose do a ground assault there definitely be too many civilian deaths and you lose so they only have two choices and they're both guaranteed loss do you agree so far that's what the third act looks like no matter what you do it's all bad you don't have a you don't have any path to Victory so how does a movie get resolved when the third act presents an impossibility to the hero well it's always the same way some clever solution that was not obvious to the viewers of the movie that's what makes it fun to watch but in the real world that's also what happens it's going to be a third option and here's what I predict I predict the third option the third option is that Israel shows the world the most clever way to handle this situation like so clever it becomes a standard for this kind of Warfare for the rest of time here's what I don't think they're going to do knock on doors and get you know get IED and booby trapped and take huge losses I don't think that's going to happen here's what I think I think that they're uh getting Super Active the Israelis and allies and figuring out Technical Solutions to Hamas and that would include i' some people have suggested ideas one would turn um would be to filter the good people out of the Hamas controlled areas which is happening I call it the filter fence the filter fence is where you you let all the good people out so that all that's left is the people want to be there for whatever reason and then you just turn it into a prison now if you make the area small enough if you can chew away at the edges then it's easier to control the entire perimeter of let's say a little piece of Northern Gaza you know way way easier than trying to control the entire perimeter now there's still tunneling and you know paragliding and there ways they can get down but if you are super serious about putting a let's say a drone permanent drone Army in the air over it you could probably turn it into a technological prism where if anybody gets out drone is activated and hunts them down and and just kills them where they where they're running you could probably come up with some Technical Solutions for identifying tunnels that we've not seen before uh you want to hear the most low Tech idea I ever had you take a Roomba one of those little uh vacuum cleaner robots and you put it in if you find one of the tunnel openings it wouldn't be hard to find one you just put the room in there and you let it you let it map the entire inside of the uh the tunnels now you'd have to have some way to get the signal out before they destroyed it so you put the Roomba in and it just goes Roomba Roomba and it figures out where the walls are it kind of maps the place you know until the first terrorist sees it and then blows it up but then you uh you know send something down to kill that terrorist and then send it in another Roomba you just destroy them with roombas you know little little robots with bombs on them um so the problem with using robotics or drones is that you will lose your signal right if you send in a little drone like a little flying drone into a tunnel eventually it would lose signal but there are new technologies and in fact I just talked about one yesterday uh in which you can put AI onto to the device with the small little chip which they have an alpha version of it right now that would make AI related decisions on its own once it lost signal so we're pretty close to you know Skylink kind of thing because the intelligence to make their own decisions is going into drones and it's happening now like that's current technology is putting an entire AI on to a chip putting it in the robot and then the robot goes off and makes its own decisions from that point on that's real that's current technology so could it be that some of the robots that would normally be used clear on the tunnel normally you would use it remotely with some remote control but maybe they send some uh independent ones down there and maybe they send as many as you need you know just keep sending them just keep making them in s of them and you know they'd get destroyed but before they did you know maybe some would get back maybe some would find out how to send a signal something like that so You' end up mapping and killing everything in the tunnels without ever going down in a tunnel if you had enough robots and AI the other possibility is just gas um I believe I saw the Bro the son of the leader of Hamas who is pro-israel and anti Hamas weirdly so he was actually saying you're probably going to need to use gas to which I said huh what kind of gas and I thought could be all kinds somebody suggested uh skunk why not why not put a smell down there that's so bad that you just couldn't couldn't exist without a gas mask yeah we could drop uh uh Eric swell down there just dangle him on a rope let him do the rest um or other possibilities are sleeping gas Etc but uh the one that I like to uh suggest is they should be running out of that captagon drug pretty soon if you wait long enough so that's the one that makes them you know stay up all night and want to fight and do horrible things uh as I've said before they Israel should already be making fake versions of captagon so that you know four out of five are either normal captagon or they're a little underpowered and the fifth one's just an overdose waiting to happen you know the fifth one's actually designed to kill you but it's mixed in with the ones that aren't so you want to get rid of all of their legal forms so that their only choices are uh Russian roulette with the next pill because I'm guessing that they're addicted what do you think you think the captagon has already made them addicted like if they run out there's nothing that they're going to do not to get some more so if you could give them deadly Capon at the same time they run out and they're addicted they're going to start popping the stuff that kills one out of five people right because they're like well four and a five chance that's not bad yeah um the ADL uh is embarrassing itself in the in the midst of this Hamas situation they put on a statement saying white supremacist is still big problem not not really reading the room right what what are the white supremacist done lately can you think of anything the white supremacists have done well I can think of something let's see if you can think of something else here's something the white supremacists have done recently backed Israel that's that's all I need to say about that all right um and not yeah because I don't think that they're crazy about Hamas is what I think uh well uh my old Nemesis Chen who some say is a Chinese operative but Chen says no uh he's just a guy on on the xplatform saying stuff um but he's talking about the British Broadcasting Company which some call the BBC uh he points out that it said that uh 1400 Israelis were quote massacred but 4,000 Palestinians were quote killed and Chen points out it's extreme bias in choosing the words is staggering well okay it does matter the intention doesn't it the Hamas were intending to slaughter and you know disembowel people that was literally what they were planning to do and then they did it the Israelis were trying to protect themselves and trying to avoid civilian deaths if they could not really the same Chen but uh I only point it out not because he makes a good point or not even a bad point it's just sort of a stupid point but uh is sort of anti-israel and he's a I believe he's an approved Chinese voice in their foreign influence campaign so that would mean that he's uh sort of a suggestive of what Chinese leadership would also say so they seem to be taking sides um have you seen the story that's partially f F news about uh Biden paying cash for his Beach House the one he uses now so at some point back in 2017 I guess he paid uh 2.75 million in cash for his re reoboth beach home he paid cash who pays cash for a house some people um but it's suggested by the people who are you know chasing his bad behavior that this is a uh a symbol of the sort of thing he's doing with or was doing with his ill gotten criminal gains from selling his influence or something like that but to me it just looks like a story you know why so remember the the propaganda isn't only coming from the left so this this was pure propaganda I saw on the right right so the story starts out saying blah blah uh Biden crime family so you're all primed to think this is a criminal thing and then they tell you you paid cash for a $2.75 million home and you're thinking whoa on a on a senator's salary or a vice president's salary can you do that and then at the end of the article it says that um it was about the same time he got $1 million in royalties for his book um isn't that the whole story he made a lot of money on a book and then he bought a beach house like the the fact that the the anti-biden people tied together what looks like a public and completely understanding source of money but put that at the end of the article here's how that article should have been I forget who wrote it but it doesn't matter the article should have said at about the same time he was making millions of dollars on his book he bought a beach house that's it that should have been the whole story why did we have to why do why do we assume that this money came from some other source when he got paid 11 million so the fact that that it was worded all of his bad behavior first oh bad behavior bad behavior but he also he also bought a beach house for cash so the bad behavior and the cash he paid for the beach house that must be the same story right that's what the Democrats do to you that's what the Democrats do you know if you see a story like that from your own side you know let's say you lean right and it's a right leading entity that writes it that's just right now I'm not defending Joe Biden I'm saying you're going to need to do better than that if you're proving he made a whole bunch of legal money that's well disclosed and then he spent some of it that should be the whole story separately maybe he did some you know scabby things but that's separate I wouldn't put those together so the propaganda is not coming from Just One Direction just be aware of that um is writing a book a good way to make a million well let me explain uh book publishing number one it could be a way to launder funds in other words if he got an unusually high advance for his book you know way more than they expected to sell the books that would be that would be suggestive that maybe there's a publisher who wanted a favor from somebody in the government so they were willing to overpay a little bit you know maybe there's a billionaire involved with the publisher who is willing to subsidize a little bit of their overpayment so there are million ways that you could do some sketchy things that launder money by overpaying for a book and that's probably what happened given the players involved and the fact that they sell influence for a living you know legally perhaps I don't know that Jo that Joe or Hunter did anything illegal but it's obvious they were selling influence that part seems well established by everybody basically so be careful of that um yeah having said that there's something sketchy happening with the uh Biden family we just don't know exactly what um oh let me finish one other point about book um advances if you say to yourself Scott the likely number of total sales of a Biden book could never justify an $1 million or whatever the advance was we don't know what the advanced was uh could never never justify that much of a payment here's what you need to know about Publishers for the bigname books and he would be a bigname book they don't often they don't always try to make money did you know that sometimes they they will overpay for a bigname author so that they can tell the next author well we have this author I mean we just did the big Biden book so you should work with us it's almost marketing so a big publishing house will overpay a big name uh and how do I know this this happened to me when when Dilbert was a huge well-respected hit uh I I negotiated a big book deal uh after I'd written the de principal and it was a number one book but when they when they offered the advance for it was like a five book deal even I could tell they were overpaying I mean it was obvious to me that I would never sell that many books uh but the advance was so good that of course I said yes it was their it was their risk to take so I took their money they took the risk and do you think that they sold enough books to justify the advance probably not probably one or two of the books yes but probably the entire five book catalog probably not but they said directly at one point that they like to have you know big names in their stable and as long as I came you know close to break even then it was a marketing thing and they went so I heard that directly so yes Biden might have been overpaid uh because there was something sketchy going on but he could have been overpaid just because that's exactly how Publishers operate they overpay for the big name books all right how in cost have doubled since 2019 what uh at least the affordability of a new home has doubled uh wait no your dollar goes half as far as it did at the end of 2020 Yeah so basically same same story uh wow wow all right here's a little story that uh I have to wonder about you'll probably wonder the same thing so Trump has a new video out campaign video um in which is shows people being brainwashed by Hillary and uses and even Trump did a truth post on it in which he said brainwashed so they're using the word brainwashed and they're using the video of Hillary saying that she wants to deprogram Trump supporters so Trump is going directly at the brainwashing propaganda part of the Democrat engine which is pretty interesting yeah I don't know that anybody's going after that directly before have they but it's exactly what's happening it's a brainwashing operation and if he can if he can convince anybody that it is that's an interesting line of attack and the beauty of it is you don't have to argue about policy if you're arguing about whether there's a brainwashing operation because the brainwashing operation you can simply point to it it's like well here's another example and and it also creates a confirmation bias trap have you ever seen him do that before it's classic Trump whe when he nicknamed uh Hillary Clinton as crooked Hillary it was because he knew for sure that during the campaign there would be new things to come out allegations that you would say to yourself huh that sounds like Hillary did something crooked oh of course she's crooked Hillary makes perfect sense and then your brain stores all of her crooked Deeds under his framing crooked Hillary so he's literally changing the real estate in your brain with these nicknames that make all the information seemed like confirmation but it could be confirmation bias right so now when he calls down brainwashing every time you see something that looks like it's in that domain you're going to say instead of that's a lie which you would have said otherwise you can say oh that's what Trump's talking about there's that brainwashing so he's created another little uh little rental property in your head and he calls it brainwashing now every time you see something that you would have interpreted as just a lie or just politics or something like that you're going to say to yourself hey are they trying to brainwash me who are they trying to brainwash so this is probably brilliant probably brilliant the gaslighting thing never worked because everybody's gaslighting everybody and nobody knows what the word means exactly but everybody knows what brainwashing means yeah everybody knows what brainwash is so that's the perfect Trump frame a word we all know that's a confirmation trap for the future he's so good at this um I have a way to spot the brainwashed which uh annoys me because I think that I've used it myself so I'm going to tell you how to spot brainwashing people but you don't need to tell me but Scott I feel like I've seen you do that to which I say I have done that was I brainwashed if you're not at least asking yourself that question you're brainwashed let me say that as clearly as possible if you're not continuously asking yourself is somebody brainwashing me right now you know when you're looking at political stuff you're being brainwashed the only defense is if you're asking yourself every single time something happens which I do that doesn't it's not a complete protection you know smart people well-informed people could be brainwashed but it's at least a little bit of something it's not nothing so I'm asking myself this about this but here's the tell saw this today on the xplatform a user named James English so he was in a back and forth debate with some folks about what is true or not true about something Trump related but he ends he ends with this uh responding to someone else not to me he goes no it means I follow facts you follow beliefs you should seek help there it is you should seek help it truly is a sickness or maybe you are a child because only children follow beliefs adults follow facts now that's that's a brainwashed person right so let me break it down so here's somebody who believes that the person they're talking to is the only person in politics who doesn't think facts matter and that they're just operating on belief as just as one person and you know not not just one but uh and that that's the only problem here is that one of them doesn't believe in facts and they're following beliefs now that's the most universal thing that everybody thinks about everybody but here's the here's the one that's really the tell you should see seek help once a person believes that the other person's point of view is so crazy that they completely give up on debating it there are one or two possibilities they're talking to somebody who actually is just crazy and they're you know in their own little world or the person who's talking is the one who's brainwashed and and when presented with a good argument or new facts that counter their opinion they immediately go to the Badness of the person so here's the tell if they start with facts but end up with seek help you don't believe facts they're they're probably brainwashed but it doesn't it doesn't eliminate the possibility that the person they're talking about is brainwashed so it's a little tricky but certainly if somebody has uh if you've retreated from let me say this in a more pris Bo if you've completely retreated from the idea of arguing about the facts and now you've you've gone to there's something wrong with you you're just broken uh one of you is brainwashed or both that's what's happening there yeah but like I say since I've been I've been the one to tell people to seek help because in my mind it did look like they just had a mental problem some kind of TDS yes uh so it makes me wonder huh wonder if I'm brainwashed when I say that just something to think about all right ladies and gentlemen um all right I got some questions I could answer I think we've done what we need to do today it's time for brunch exactly you should all go off and have an amazing Sunday today um and uh enjoy uh enjoy all the good times if you have them because it's a precarious world I do think the United States will be fine uh certainly in your lifetime but uh we got a lot of stuff to take care of have to fix a lot of stuff so let's go fix a lot of stuff and uh we'll be fine and I think Israel is going to be clever so remember my prediction it won't be a standard ground defensive and it won't be no ground defensive it will be the most Innovative ground defensive you've ever seen there will be things you've never seen before so look for that and I will talk to you maybe in the man cave good night bye for now

so there's a big breakthrough in Quantum

Computing some kind of materials

breakthrough with Amino ferine and

graphine and it's a it's going to be a

real big deal for Quantum Computing I I

don't think we have any idea what's

going to happen with Quantum

Computing yeah I've said this before but

I feel like it's the only story that

matters because every other one of our

problems will be folded into whatever

ever happens when we have quantum

computers and

AI

so uh can we make an agreement I I would

like to ask you for something could you

just as a favor to me never mention

sticks his technical setup

again please never never again it's just

different yeah let's just never talk

about it again

all right uh and if we could let the

technical and sound conversation stop

that'd be great because otherwise I'm

just so here's the problem with

it even though you notice that I do a

pretty good job of noticing the comments

as I'm talking about uh the

topics but here's the thing that's not

as obvious to you I can do that when the

topic is about the news so if I'm

talking about the news news and then

you're talking about the news and then

I'm talking about the news I can I can

blend and vend diagram all of that

information but there's a part of my

head that is completely different from

that mode and that's the problem solving

like technical head so the problem is

not that it's a distraction it's a a

specific kind of distraction that uses a

different part of my brain and then the

uh the resources I needed my head

to get from technical problem solving to

talking about the news is such a big

leap that I can't do it in real time but

I can do all of the newsy topics in real

time they don't they don't distract they

actually add more additive does that

make sense it it's a brain processing

thing it's almost like real state in the

brain if you take me to the wrong real

State then I can't I can't use the right

real

estate so that's why I seem um

extra extra prickly about that it's not

that it bothers me it's that I can't do

the job under those

conditions all right

um Mark andreon had this big Manifesto

about everything that's wrong with the

business world and I love the fact that

he says directly that ESG could be one

of the things that's destroying the

world you know it's on his list with

some other stuff uh and he calls it a

mass demoral ization campaign against

progress that has lasted 60

years but he calls out everything trust

and safety and Tech ethics and social

responsibility and ba

basically all these well-intended

things um are basically destroying the

world but I would like to add my own

theory about why Empires rise and fall

this will be the best theory you've ever

heard so you heard P Buchanan's

theory that is war that all the prior

Empires were destroyed by War but well I

I get that I mean it's highly correlated

I've got a slightly different take that

you're going to like better it goes like

this all

Empires are

luck that's it

you have to be lucky to become an empire

in the first place it's not just you

know that you had some good leaders and

you performed well or you had a good

system right it's luck and the one thing

you can guarantee about luck is that it

doesn't

last that's it that's the whole that's

the whole description of Empires for

example it was lucky that the United

States was geographically um protected

from World War II nobody planned it

right people didn't move here because

they said oh in case there's a World War

II it was just luck yet I also consider

it luck that our Founders were alive and

in America at the same time I mean what

were the odds that Ben Franklin Thomas

Jefferson George Washington Monroe

Hamilton what of the odds they would all

be alive at the same time and have the

same the same

purpose what are the odds that Steve

Jobs would meet

wnc what were the odds if you don't put

them to those two together there's no

Apple computer there's no smartphone

maybe who knows so so my take on America

and all the other Empires is that

something weirdly rare had to happen for

any Empire to form in the first place

but that that level of lock that it

takes to stay in power can't be

sustained just nobody can be that lucky

for a thousand years now once you are

successful you can do what any Monopoly

does you can put up walls so you can

last way longer than you should because

you can put up you know ways to protect

yourself but in the long run it's still

luck maybe there's a climate change

thing maybe there's a you know

somebody's nuclear bomb goes off by

accident um there's a pandemic that one

one person mismanaged but another one

didn't I think it's just that it's just

luck so that would suggest that every

Empire goes away

eventually there's a

uh uh but I wouldn't worry about ours

right away

think oh that is so weird that your

comment said something the Warren

Commission that was something I was

going to talk about

today Warren

Commission I'll talk about that right

now actually so I I started watching uh

uh Oliver Stone's update to his original

movie JFK about the

assassination so there's there were more

documents are Declassified Etc so he's

got an updated version of it and what I

always say about documentaries is that

they're 100% persuasive usually they're

100% persuasive as long as you don't see

the counter

argument so I'm aware while I'm watching

it I've only watched the first episode

but I was completely aware of two things

number one it was completely persuasive

of its point of view that Kennedy was

basically assassinated by the CIA and

the mafia now does that mean it's true I

don't know because I'd have to hear some

kind of CounterPoint to really have an

opinion but it's completely convincing

and let me tell you the most convincing

part and this part does not require any

speculation this is a real thing that I

found out yesterday I did not know this

till

yesterday do you know who so there was

this thing called the warrant commission

the government put together in order to

find out for sure who killed Kennedy you

know was it a lone gunman was it a

conspiracy Etc well they came up with

the answer there was a lone gunman no

conspiracy now the thing I didn't know

is that the chairperson of the Warren

Commission was the only person who

didn't have a regular job so he was the

most active because he didn't have a day

job to go to he was the recently

fired uh head of the CIA

Dallas right now you say to yourself

well that's probably a pretty good

person right because it's somebody who's

really connected a high level executive

type wouldn't know all the players yeah

Ellen Ellen delis here's a thing that I

did not know about until

today the chairman of the group who are

trying to find out for sure who killed

Kennedy and just listen to this

carefully it's all you need to know the

chairperson of the group that was by by

far had the most power on the warrant

commission was

also the major suspect in the actual

assassination so the the main

suspect was the person who was put in

charge of the commission to find out who

the murderer

was that's a real

thing I didn't know that till

yesterday that's a real thing

there's no there's no question about

what happened of course the CIA killed

him there's no way that you put the main

suspect in charge of the

investigation

unless unless it's exactly what it looks

like it's exactly what it looked like do

you need to hear anything else is there

anything else you need to hear about

this the main suspect who had been fired

by Kennedy do you know why he'd been

fired as the head of the

CIA so first of all he was a disgruntled

employee so that's a reason to kill

somebody second of all he was a CI head

of the CIA so he had all the ability to

set up some kind of a fake assassination

if he wanted

to and then but more importantly I

learned that Kennedy found out that the

CIA was running its own foreign policy

and even the president wasn't aware of

it and they didn't care about the

president they thought they were in

charge did you know that did you know

that even Kennedy and it's on record

said that he didn't think he had any

control of the CA and didn't know what

they were doing and there were well

documented cases where they were

overthrowing governments and murdering

people without the president having

ordered it they were running their own

government you think that's bad enough

no we're not done yet Jay Edgar Hoover

who ran the

FBI same problem the FBI was not doing

what the president wanted the FBI was

its own domain and uh it was just doing

its own thing so Kennedy had an FBI that

reported to him on paper but didn't and

a CIA that reported to him on paper but

didn't

so it's exactly what it looked like the

people who were really in power didn't

like that there was this guy who was

called president and so they killed him

and covered it

up yeah amazing so uh Earl Warren yeah

it was Earl

Warren so you know I don't have any

question about what happened I don't

have any question about what went down

to me that's confirmed

for confirmation or

something yeah all right well so that uh

begs a interesting question what happens

if uh RFK

Jr had it his way and he could dig into

all the cia's business and suppose he

were in charge of the

CIA that would be

interesting uh but there's a new pole

Harvard uh and Harris poll so I guess

it's a respected poll and they did a

poll of presidential preferences as we

stand now and if it were just Trump and

Biden Trump would win by he's up four

four points now remember these are

National so that doesn't mean you would

win in all the right districts to win

the electoral vote but it does give you

kind of a general feeling of the

attitude of the country but if you throw

into the mix uh

Kennedy um Trump's lead increases es by

50% he goes from up four to up

six

now can

we can we conclude that Kennedy takes

votes away from Biden more than he takes

votes from

Trump I think so so this is the first

confirmation

and uh this is what I thought would

happen I I thought he would take more

from Biden but um if you throw in uh

West so that there are two third party

people running Kennedy and West Trump's

lead goes up to

seven every time you throw in a third

party uh Trump's base tends to be sticky

and other candidates are a little less

sticky so they lose support whenever

there's another person there ornell West

yes

um if Trump ran against against Harris

instead he would be up by

seven and if he and if Biden ran against

Nikki Haley Biden would win by

four I don't know how Trump can survive

I mean I feel like they're GNA have to I

hate to say

it but I don't short of

him you know being the victim of

something horrible how did they keep him

out of office

and can they allow him to get back in

office knowing that he's going to rip

the lid off of everything or at least he

try I don't

know I'm real worried about his health I

gotta be

honest well here's some fake news based

on real news um China has moved multiple

warships into the Middle

East so they're China's big boats are

over there with America's Strike Force I

guess we've got two carrier strike

groups over there but it sounded on

first report it sounded like this was to

counter the American power on second

look it looks like it was just a planned

um they had some planned Maritime

Naval practice what do you call

it what do you call it when the military

practices what's that called exercise

yes so they had some ex it might be just

that um but the United

States does it seem to you like Biden is

stealthily preparing for war that would

involve America when now was saying hey

we're getting ready for

War I feel like there's something

missing in the process as in some

honesty as in if this happens American

boots will be on the ground

I don't like just sort of being over

there and being

ready and then America not being told at

the same time that we don't have a

speaker of the

house I don't like anything about

this I I think it probably makes sense

from a commander-in-chief perspective

you got to put your military where it

might make a difference it definitely

might make a difference at least me

mentally the psychology of the situation

is certainly different because or

military

there

but um I do worry that we're preparing

for

war without the permission of Congress

and without the full knowledge of the

citizens that's what it feels like well

let's talk about why Israel has not

attacked yet in terms of their ground

attack um one theory is that Biden is

restraining them

in other words Biden said don't go in

and kill a bunch of uh innocent people

while trying to get the bad

guys so that's possible so that that's

certainly a force that's working on them

it's not the only Force that's happening

uh anat told lubarski added uh that it

probably takes three weeks after

mobilization to actually be ready to

launch now that that matches my point of

view that it just takes longer than they

have they've had so far to just get

ready because they don't want to be

partly

ready right now here's a really ugly

thought the ground Invasion or not or

how it goes or how it doesn't

go is largely an economic

decision isn't that ugly it's an

economic decision and the reason is

because it would be really expensive to

surround

Gaza and just wait waiting is very

expensive I mean war is expensive too

but if they're going to have the war

anyway you don't want to have the war

plus the expense of The

Siege that's a lot of expense so there's

I hate to say it but there's an economic

Force which is they they can't wait

forever it would just be too expensive

you can't turn it into a permanent

outdoor jail and and just do a better

job of security I think that's the comic

Dave Smith approach just to better

security and not just but that being a

big part of it

um so the the timing of it is going to

be based on economics probably which is

the

creepiest most disgusting thought you

could ever have in your life but it's

also the real world right money is an

asset of the military you don't have

money you don't have an army so it's

always money it's just just that there

are bullets flying at the same

time all

right

um apparently uh Israel has created a

special unit to hunt and kill every

participant in the Hamas terror attack

how would they know

exactly I guess somehow they might be

able to capture a list of who was

involved so I don't even know how they

would know who to go after but that's

very Israel I think the psychology of

that is great

the the psychology of it is to tell the

citizens no matter how long it takes

because they've done this before you

know no matter how long it takes we will

get every one of them and I think they

mean it and I think they will take as

long as it

takes so uh Joel Pollock is over there

now reporting and uh I can't stop

thinking about how terrible that would

be to be over there to to actually just

put yourself in the most stressful

country in the world right now where

apparently the entire country is just in

war mode and everybody's mind is focused

on this as it should be H and I can't

even imagine it just seeing the evidence

of the devastation and uh having to just

put your head in that situation it

definitely makes me feel has anybody had

this feeling this

week that I'd have moments where I'm

just petting my dog and you know

completely relaxed and then I would

think about how bad it is you know in

the Middle East and other places and I'd

feel kind of

guilty and I was also feeling like maybe

it won't last you know I I feel like my

peace is not going to last it feels like

all of this is coming for us I just

don't know when that's what it feels

like uh but we can be smart and and uh

maybe maybe push it back well V

ramaswami is uh very outspoken in a good

way I think he's adding lots of good uh

context and comparisons and giving us

stuff to think about about Gaza and he's

very opposed to combining the funding

package into one big let's go to war

package and I'm opposed to that too on

on system and process grounds that's

different from being opposed to the

funding of each that's a separate

question I'm against putting them

together we absolutely have to vote on

war individually you know what you don't

want to vote on oh how about war but

plus the farm package no sorry get the

farm pack well that's not a real thing

I'm making that up get the farm package

out of there how about war or War plus

climate change nope

nope War has got to be by itself there's

no wiggle R there and indeed I don't

ever want I don't ever want a speaker of

the house if such speaker of the house

is going to put War packages together or

war with anything

else it's got to be War by itself some

of the other stuff you know the the

other uh pork and stuff I can kind of

see why maybe there's some advantages

and disadvantages of combining them

sometimes but you don't bundle

War bundling War together is just a big

old you to the citizens of the

United States that is

disrespectful that's not even politics

that is just

pure

disrespectful and I don't think I've

seen anything like this in politics

before where where it's not really an

opinion or a preference

this is just pure disrespect for the

citizens and the voters that's all I

feel like I feel it's a bad problem and

needs to be solved but my visceral

feeling is my God you have no respect

for the citizens whatsoever to to even

imagine that you would combine these two

things just to shove it down our

throats yeah unacceptable so uh uh I'm

100% behind V on the don't put funding

into one package the other thing he says

and again this is a great addition to

the to the debate one of the things that

V is so valuable for win or lose is that

he broadens and improves the debate

wherever he goes even if you disagree

with him he has very clear points about

it defends his points and even extends

the argument into places where it hasn't

been extended but needs to to be it's so

positive but one of the things he says

is

that he he wouldn't be in favor of I

think funding unless the unless Israel

has a plan for what happens to the

Palestinians after the ground defensive

do you agree with that or not you say to

yourself well screw them it's not

Israel's problem why should they have a

plan now remember the plan doesn't mean

Israel will fix everything doesn't have

to be but it could be a plan for how

Palestinians Will Survive the plan could

include uh we're going to we're going to

build a let's say multi-g

government Coalition of Arab countries

to manage and help the

Palestinians something like that right

so it doesn't have to be on Israel's

dime if you tell me Israel shouldn't

spend a penny to help even the innocent

suffering Palestinians I would say H I

can see that in a normal situation you'd

say Humanity has to win over politics

and all that other stuff but in this

specific

situation uh I think Israel has a right

to walk away and just say you know what

there are a lot of Muslims in the world

if you can't take care of each other

don't ask my religion to do it because

that that's basically what's happening

people are saying hey our religion is

failing can your religion come over here

and take care of us and how about

no and I'm not sure that that's cruel

given that there are many wealthy Arab

Islamic countes surrounding the area

with a deep interest in the well-being

of these

people let them take all of it I think

that's what I do so um I like V's

addition that there should be a plan but

I would disagree that that plan should

be uh increasing ing the taxes on

Israelis you know I I don't think

Israelis should be taxed to take care of

the Palestinians that's too

far under the current circumstance

before maybe it was more of a

conversation before but now nope I I

would say complete divorce and make it

permanent that would be my take on that

uh and I definitely wouldn't open the

border to let anybody come in and work

ever again wouldn't do that just because

of the

risk

um let's see let's also talk about

what's going to happen next let's use I

like to use what I call the

movie um script prediction method I've

talked about this many times it's the

idea that reality follows movies and

movies have this threea scenario and the

key Act is the third act where the

heroes have an unsolvable problem that's

where we are Israel has an unsolvable

problem from a movie script perspective

that is to say if they if they don't go

in with a ground attack that would be

like losing because it would just leave

Hamas intact they would reconstitute

someday they come back and attack so

they can't do nothing they don't they

don't have an option of not doing a

ground attack

but if they do the ground attack it's

guaranteed to have uh you know

unacceptable uh losses on

civilians and you can guarantee that

those unacceptable losses will be

magnified forever to become a a stain on

Israel's reputation that will hurt them

in different ways as much as if they did

you know did or didn't do the ground

assault so they have two ways to go and

they're both losing directions don't do

a ground assault you definitely lose do

a ground assault there definitely be too

many civilian deaths and you lose so

they only have two choices and they're

both guaranteed

loss do you agree so far that's what the

third act looks like no matter what you

do it's all bad you don't have a you

don't have any path to Victory so how

does a movie get resolved when the third

act presents an impossibility to the

hero well it's always the same

way some clever solution that was not

obvious to the viewers of the movie

that's what makes it fun to watch but in

the real world that's also what happens

it's going to be a third option and

here's what I predict I predict the

third

option the third option is that Israel

shows the world the most clever way to

handle this

situation like so clever it becomes a

standard for this kind of Warfare for

the rest of time here's what I don't

think they're going to do knock on doors

and get you know get IED and booby

trapped and take huge losses I don't

think that's going to

happen here's what I think I think that

they're uh getting Super Active the

Israelis and allies and figuring out

Technical

Solutions to Hamas and that would

include i' some people have suggested

ideas one would turn um would be to

filter the good people out of the Hamas

controlled areas which is happening I

call it the filter fence the filter

fence is where you you let all the good

people out so that all that's left is

the people want to be there for whatever

reason and then you just turn it into a

prison now if you make the area small

enough if you can chew away at the edges

then it's easier to control the entire

perimeter of let's say a little piece of

Northern Gaza you know way way easier

than trying to control the entire

perimeter now there's still tunneling

and you know paragliding and there ways

they can get down but if you are super

serious about putting a let's say a

drone permanent drone Army in the air

over it you could probably turn it into

a technological prism where if anybody

gets out drone is activated and hunts

them down and and just kills them where

they where they're

running you could

probably come up with some Technical

Solutions for identifying

tunnels that we've not seen before uh

you want to hear the most low Tech idea

I ever

had you take a

Roomba one of those little uh vacuum

cleaner robots and you put it in if you

find one of the tunnel openings it

wouldn't be hard to find one you just

put the room in

there and you let it you let it map the

entire inside of the uh the tunnels

now you'd have to have some way to get

the signal out before they destroyed it

so you put the Roomba in and it just

goes Roomba Roomba and it figures out

where the walls are it kind of maps the

place you know until the first terrorist

sees it and then blows it up but then

you uh you know send something down to

kill that terrorist and then send it in

another

Roomba you just destroy them with

roombas you know little little robots

with bombs on them

um so the problem with using

robotics or drones is that you will lose

your

signal right if you send in a little

drone like a little flying drone into a

tunnel eventually it would lose signal

but there are new technologies and in

fact I just talked about one yesterday

uh in which you can put

AI onto to the device with the small

little chip which they have an alpha

version of it right now that would make

AI related decisions on its own once it

lost

signal so we're pretty close to you know

Skylink kind of thing because the

intelligence to make their own decisions

is going into

drones and it's happening now like

that's current technology is putting an

entire AI on to a chip putting it in the

robot and then the robot goes off and

makes its own decisions from that point

on that's real that's current

technology

so could it be that some of the robots

that would normally be used clear on the

tunnel normally you would use it

remotely with some remote control but

maybe they send some uh independent ones

down there and maybe they send as many

as you

need you know just keep sending them

just keep making them in s of them and

you know they'd get destroyed but before

they did you know maybe some would get

back maybe some would find out how to

send a signal something like that so

You' end up mapping and killing

everything in the tunnels without ever

going down in a tunnel if you had enough

robots and AI the other possibility is

just

gas um I believe I saw the Bro the son

of the leader of Hamas who is pro-israel

and anti Hamas weirdly so he was

actually saying you're probably going to

need to use

gas to which I said huh what kind of gas

and I thought could be all kinds

somebody suggested uh

skunk why not why not put a smell down

there that's so bad that you just

couldn't couldn't exist without a gas

mask yeah we could drop uh uh Eric swell

down there just dangle him on a

rope let him do the

rest um

or other possibilities are sleeping gas

Etc but uh the one that I like to uh

suggest is they should be running out of

that captagon drug pretty

soon if you wait long enough so that's

the one that makes them you know stay up

all night and want to fight and do

horrible

things uh as I've said before they

Israel should already be making fake

versions of

captagon so that you know four out of

five are either normal captagon or

they're a little underpowered and the

fifth one's just an overdose waiting to

happen you know the fifth one's actually

designed to kill you but it's mixed in

with the ones that aren't so you want to

get rid of all of their legal forms so

that their only choices are uh Russian

roulette with the next pill

because I'm guessing that they're

addicted what do you think you think the

captagon has already made them addicted

like if they run out there's nothing

that they're going to do not to get some

more so if you could give them deadly

Capon at the same time they run out and

they're addicted they're going to start

popping the stuff that kills one out of

five

people right because they're like well

four and a five chance that's not

bad

yeah um the

ADL uh is embarrassing itself in the in

the midst of this Hamas

situation they put on a statement saying

white supremacist is still big

problem not not really reading the room

right what what are the white

supremacist done

lately can you think of anything the

white supremacists have done well I can

think of something let's see if you can

think of something else here's something

the white supremacists have done

recently backed

Israel that's that's all I need to say

about

that all right um and not yeah because I

don't think that they're crazy about

Hamas is what I

think uh well uh my old Nemesis

Chen who some say is a Chinese operative

but Chen says no uh he's just a guy on

on the xplatform saying stuff um but

he's talking about the British

Broadcasting Company which some call the

BBC uh he points out that it said that

uh 1400 Israelis were quote massacred

but 4,000 Palestinians were quote killed

and Chen points out it's extreme bias in

choosing the words is

staggering well

okay it does matter the intention

doesn't

it the Hamas were intending to slaughter

and you know disembowel people that was

literally what they were planning to do

and then they did it the Israelis were

trying to protect themselves and trying

to avoid civilian deaths if they could

not really the same Chen but uh I only

point it out not because he makes a good

point or not even a bad point it's just

sort of a stupid point

but uh is sort of

anti-israel and he's a I believe he's an

approved Chinese voice in their foreign

influence campaign so that would mean

that he's

uh sort of a suggestive of what Chinese

leadership would also

say so they seem to be taking

sides um have you seen the story that's

partially f F news about uh Biden paying

cash for his Beach House the one he uses

now so at some point back in 2017 I

guess he paid uh

2.75 million in cash for his re reoboth

beach

home he paid cash who pays cash for a

house some people um

but it's suggested by the people who are

you know chasing his bad behavior that

this is a uh a symbol of the sort of

thing he's doing with or was doing with

his ill gotten criminal gains from

selling his influence or something like

that but to me it just looks like a

story you know

why so remember the the propaganda isn't

only coming from the left so this this

was pure propaganda I saw on the right

right so the story starts out saying

blah blah uh Biden crime family so

you're all primed to think this is a

criminal thing and then they tell you

you paid cash for a $2.75 million home

and you're thinking whoa on a on a

senator's salary or a vice president's

salary can you do that and then at the

end of the

article it says that um it was about the

same time he got $1 million in royalties

for his

book um isn't that the whole

story he made a lot of money on a book

and then he bought a beach

house like the the fact that the the

anti-biden people tied together what

looks like a public and completely

understanding source of money but put

that at the end of the

article here's how that article should

have been I forget who wrote it but it

doesn't matter the article should have

said at about the same time he was

making millions of dollars on his book

he bought a beach

house that's it that should have been

the whole story why did we have to why

do why do we assume that this money came

from some other source when he got paid

11

million so the fact that that it was

worded all of his bad behavior first oh

bad behavior bad behavior but he also he

also bought a beach house for cash so

the bad behavior and the cash he paid

for the beach house that must be the

same story right that's what the

Democrats do to you that's what the

Democrats

do you know if you see a story like that

from your own side you know let's say

you lean right and it's a right leading

entity that writes it that's just

right now I'm not

defending Joe Biden I'm saying you're

going to need to do better than that if

you're proving he made a whole bunch of

legal money that's well

disclosed and then he spent some of it

that should be the whole

story separately maybe he did some you

know scabby things but that's separate I

wouldn't put those

together so the propaganda is not coming

from Just One Direction just be aware of

that um is writing a book a good way to

make a million well let me explain uh

book

publishing number one it could be a way

to launder funds in other words if he

got an unusually high advance for his

book you know way more than they

expected to sell the books that would be

that would be

suggestive that maybe there's a

publisher who wanted a favor from

somebody in the government so they were

willing to overpay a little bit you know

maybe there's a billionaire involved

with the publisher who is willing to

subsidize a little bit of their

overpayment so there are million ways

that you could do some sketchy things

that launder money by overpaying for a

book and that's probably what happened

given the players involved and the fact

that they sell influence for a living

you know legally perhaps I don't know

that Jo that Joe or Hunter did anything

illegal but it's obvious they were

selling influence that part seems well

established by everybody basically so be

careful of that

um

yeah having said

that there's something sketchy happening

with the uh Biden family we just don't

know exactly

what um oh let me finish one other point

about book um advances if you say to

yourself Scott the likely number of

total sales of a Biden

book could never justify an $1 million

or whatever the advance was we don't

know what the advanced was uh could

never never justify that much of a

payment here's what you need to know

about

Publishers for the bigname books and he

would be a bigname book they don't often

they don't always try to make money did

you know

that sometimes they they will overpay

for a bigname author so that they can

tell the next author well we have this

author I mean we just did the big Biden

book so you should work with us it's

almost marketing so a big publishing

house will overpay a big name uh and how

do I know this this happened to

me when when Dilbert was a huge

well-respected

hit uh I I negotiated a big book deal uh

after I'd written the de principal and

it was a number one book but when they

when they offered the advance for it was

like a five book deal even I could tell

they were overpaying I mean it was

obvious to me that I would never sell

that many books uh but the advance was

so good that of course I said yes it was

their it was their risk to take so I

took their money they took the risk and

do you think that they sold enough books

to justify the

advance probably not probably one or two

of the books yes but probably the entire

five book

catalog probably not but they said

directly at one point that they like to

have you know big names in their stable

and as long as I came you know close to

break even then it was a marketing thing

and they

went so I heard that directly so yes

Biden might have been

overpaid uh because there was something

sketchy going on but he could have been

overpaid just because that's exactly how

Publishers operate they overpay for the

big name

books all right how in cost have doubled

since 2019

what uh at least the affordability of a

new home has

doubled uh wait no your dollar goes half

as far as it did at the end of 2020 Yeah

so basically same same

story uh wow

wow all right here's a little story that

uh I have to

wonder about you'll probably wonder the

same thing so Trump has a new video out

campaign

video um in which is shows people being

brainwashed by Hillary and uses and even

Trump did a truth post on it in which he

said

brainwashed so they're using the word

brainwashed and they're using the video

of Hillary saying that she wants to

deprogram Trump

supporters so Trump is going directly at

the brainwashing

propaganda part of the Democrat

engine which is pretty

interesting yeah I don't know that

anybody's going after that directly

before have they but it's exactly what's

happening it's a brainwashing

operation and if he can if he can

convince anybody that it is that's an

interesting line of attack and the

beauty of it is you don't have to argue

about policy if you're arguing about

whether there's a brainwashing operation

because the brainwashing operation you

can simply point to it it's like well

here's another example and and it also

creates a confirmation bias trap have

you ever seen him do that before it's

classic Trump whe when he nicknamed uh

Hillary Clinton as crooked Hillary it

was because he knew for sure that during

the campaign there would be new things

to come out allegations that you would

say to yourself huh that sounds like

Hillary did something crooked oh of

course she's crooked Hillary makes

perfect sense and then your brain stores

all of her crooked Deeds under his

framing crooked Hillary so he's

literally changing the real estate in

your brain with these nicknames that

make all the information seemed like

confirmation but it could be

confirmation bias right so now when he

calls down

brainwashing every time you see

something that looks like it's in that

domain you're going to say instead of

that's a lie which you would have said

otherwise you can say oh that's what

Trump's talking about there's that

brainwashing so he's created another

little uh little rental property in your

head and he calls it brainwashing now

every time you see something that you

would have interpreted as just a lie or

just politics or something like that

you're going to say to yourself hey are

they trying to brainwash me who are they

trying to

brainwash

so this is probably

brilliant probably brilliant the

gaslighting thing never worked because

everybody's gaslighting everybody and

nobody knows what the word means exactly

but everybody knows what brainwashing

means

yeah everybody knows what brainwash is

so that's the perfect Trump frame a word

we all know that's a confirmation trap

for the future he's so good at

this um I have a way to spot the

brainwashed which uh annoys me because I

think that I've used it

myself so I'm going to tell you how to

spot brainwashing people but you don't

need to tell me but Scott I feel like

I've seen you do that to which I say I

have done that was I

brainwashed if you're not at least

asking yourself that question you're

brainwashed let me say that as clearly

as possible if you're not continuously

asking yourself is somebody brainwashing

me right now you know when you're

looking at political stuff you're being

brainwashed the only defense is if

you're asking yourself every single time

something happens which I do that

doesn't it's not a complete protection

you know smart people well-informed

people could be brainwashed but it's at

least a little bit of something it's not

nothing so I'm asking myself this about

this but here's the tell saw this today

on the xplatform a user named James

English so he was in a back and forth

debate with some folks about what is

true or not true

about something Trump related but he

ends he ends with this uh responding to

someone else not to me he goes no it

means I follow facts you follow beliefs

you should seek help there it is you

should seek help it truly is a sickness

or maybe you are a child because only

children follow beliefs adults follow

facts now that's that's a brainwashed

person right so let me break it down so

here's somebody who believes that the

person they're talking

to is the only person in politics who

doesn't think facts

matter and that they're just operating

on belief as just as one person and you

know not not just one but uh and that

that's the only problem here is that one

of them doesn't believe in facts and

they're following beliefs now that's the

most universal thing that everybody

thinks about

everybody but here's the here's the one

that's really the tell you should see

seek help once a person believes that

the other person's point of view is so

crazy that they completely give up on

debating

it there are one or two

possibilities they're talking to

somebody who actually is just crazy and

they're you know in their own little

world or the person who's talking is the

one who's brainwashed and and when

presented with a good argument or new

facts that counter their opinion they

immediately go to the Badness of the

person so here's the

tell if they start with facts but end up

with seek help you don't believe

facts they're they're probably

brainwashed but it

doesn't it doesn't eliminate the

possibility that the person they're

talking about is brainwashed so it's a

little

tricky but certainly if somebody has uh

if you've retreated from let me say this

in a more pris Bo if you've completely

retreated from the

idea of arguing about the facts and now

you've you've gone to there's something

wrong with you you're just

broken uh one of you is brainwashed or

both that's what's happening

there yeah but like I say since I've

been I've been the one to tell people to

seek help because in my mind it did look

like they just had a mental problem some

kind of TDS

yes uh so it makes me wonder huh wonder

if I'm brainwashed when I say that just

something to think

about all right ladies and

gentlemen

um all right I got some questions I

could answer I think we've done what we

need to do today it's time for brunch

exactly you should all go off and have

an amazing Sunday

today um and uh enjoy uh enjoy all the

good

times if you have them because it's a

precarious world I do think the United

States will be

fine uh certainly in your

lifetime but uh we got a lot of stuff to

take care

of have to fix a lot of stuff so let's

go fix a lot of stuff and uh we'll be

fine and I think Israel is going to be

clever so remember my prediction it

won't be a standard ground defensive and

it won't be no ground defensive it will

be the

most

Innovative ground defensive you've ever

seen there will be things you've never

seen

before so look for that and I will talk

to

you maybe in the man cave good night bye

for

now