Episode 2291 Scott Adams - CWSA 11/13/23, Reframing The News So You Can Use It
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Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. Do you think you can make this experience go up to another level, a level that nobody can even describe in human words? Even AI has a problem with it.
View segment →Yes, but all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tankard, a chalice, a canteen, a jug, or a flask. A vessel of any kind. Fill that vessel with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure. It's the dopamine hit of the day thing that makes everythin…
View segment →one is it? Doesn't matter. But his granddaughter, Naomi Biden, was walking in Georgetown late on Sunday night, and her Secret Service detail saw that there was a carjacking in action. And apparently they fired three shots to break it up. Now, we don't know enough about this story to really know, lik…
View segment →Do you think that Bill ever said to his wife, you know, you just took 40% off our total income forever? Now, I don't know if that's actually the case, but it's never really a good idea to insult 40% of the people who would go to your shows, which is what happened. Now, here's how I took it. You mig…
View segment →le you're talking. However, I had experience that some other people said they had, which is you'll upload some information to the AI, in this case the ChatGPT engine, and it will tell you it sees it. And you can ask questions about it. Yes, it sees every part of it. It can tell you what's in it. So…
View segment →that makes the app says it totally has the data and the app can use it. And then you use it. It says, nope, don't have access to it. But here's the wild part. You can actually negotiate with the app. So I get angry at the app and I say, why do you say you can't see it when I know you can? Right? Yo…
View segment →days he would start out with his inspirational story about how anybody can make it in America. You know, like a real classic American success story kind of thing. And to many Republicans he looked like the antidote to the racial wokeness. It's like, oh yeah, that's it. You did all the right things a…
View segment →rself a new congressperson. So I guess I love the justice. And just, I don't know, every part of that story I like. It's just it's kind of classically wonderfully American. So I guess that's what I like about it. The Wall Street Journal has this big article about black voters moving a little bit mo…
View segment →lse on Earth. We all know that. Now there's a special case where if I ask you is there milk in the refrigerator and you looked and there was one container and you look and it's empty and then you look really carefully in the rest of the refrigerator and there's no other milk, yes, in that very weird…
View segment →do with QAnon. And also I was debunking QAnon. Yeah yeah yeah, but you get all your news from Fox News. To which I say no I don't. I consciously and publicly look at all the news sources left and right and I criticize them all. Yeah but Trump said that a guy with a disability in his arm, he mocked h…
View segment →table, saucer, and then some third one like plate. The white applicants or the white test takers were more likely to say cup and saucer because they're literally a pair, cup and saucer. But if you were from a low-income house, what are the odds you'd ever seen a saucer? So it turns out that a lot of…
View segment →ent situations and watch how it works. You see what changes and maybe you look for a pattern. I don't know. But I wonder if pattern recognition could get you to understanding the machinery of a cell if you could see enough parts of it working. You know, too complicated for a human but too complicate…
View segment →employment because that was going to happen naturally. You can't really fault him for the economy not being as good as it was before the pandemic. There are pretty good reasons for that. But in terms of how people react and vote, how in the world can he get elected when more than half of the country…
View segment →tly 150,000 in both cases? But it's two different cases. I don't understand what's going on. I cannot figure out how to combine those two realities even by explaining that one has the wrong information and one has the right information. Like they are just so different worlds right now and I don't kn…
View segment →d because of his belief that there was fraud. It's looking too perfect at the moment. Aaron says to me, yeah you're too smart for a QAnon but you'd readily vote for the QAnon Shaman in Arizona. Yes I would. Was there a point you had to make? I see the anger and the sarcasm but I don't see the point…
View segment →ful. And it makes the entire Palestinian narrative look like it's not real. Would you agree that the fact that these allegedly legitimate complaints are completely ignored while there seems to be a little bit too much understanding of why something like the Hamas situation could occur, maybe that's…
View segment →al departure from the way government has ever done anything that it suddenly opens up your brain. You go, wait a minute, wait a minute. If you can go that far out of the ordinary, maybe you could go out of the ordinary in another way. You know, maybe I've got a better idea to go outside the ordinary…
View segment →. I think RFK Jr. is a patriot for making the process better by participating. All right, I saw a DC Drano post. Reuters is reporting that Mastercard is now linking their bonuses of their employees to ESG goals. Or as DC Drano points out, they will get a bonus for avoiding hiring white men. Just th…
View segment →st murdered, 53,000. In my lifetime white people have murdered 53,000 freaking black people. Murdered them. At the same time black people killed 156,000 white people. Now of course your brain is saying wait, there are far fewer black people in the world but they killed three times as many white peop…
View segment →one. That would be the optimism. But not yet. And it's not that unusual that people pivot from where their parents were. So yeah I do have some optimism about that. I absolutely do. All right ladies and gentlemen this is what I've got for you today on YouTube. Thanks for joining and as always you'r…
View segment →Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. Do you think you can make this experience go up to another level, a level that nobody can even describe in human words? Even AI has a problem with it. Yes, but all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tankard, a chalice, a canteen, a jug, or a flask. A vessel of any kind. Fill that vessel with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure. It's the dopamine hit of the day thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip.
Go. Oh, that's good. That's a good way to kick off the day.
Well, in lesser news, I guess Biden's granddaughter has Secret Service protection. Which one is it? Doesn't matter. But his granddaughter, Naomi Biden, was walking in Georgetown late on Sunday night, and her Secret Service detail saw that there was a carjacking in action. And apparently they fired three shots to break it up. Now, we don't know enough about this story to really know, like, was that smart that they did that? Did that in any way protect Naomi? I doubt it. Was it something that they just decided they needed to do because it just needed to be done?
Here's what I'm feeling. Despite the Daniel Penny thing and the fact that heroes keep getting arrested, I feel like there's going to be a wave of citizen involvement — I won't say vigilante, but citizen involvement — that's going to just skyrocket. Because it's one thing to know your government should be handling it, in which case it's easy to stay uninvolved. And then there's another phase where you hope they'll be involved, so you still don't get involved because you're like, well, you know, they're not that reliable, but I hope the government will take care of this. And then there's the giving-up phase, which we may be entering, where you realize that if you don't take care of crime on your own, you're going to lose your neighborhood. And I think that people are reaching that giving-up phase, the part where they say, you know what, if I don't take down this robber, I won't have stores in my neighborhood. So, you know, it's a bad idea, by the way. I don't recommend it. I do not recommend vigilantism. You probably get arrested. I'm just saying that people are going to do it because they're just fed up.
So here's the story that appears in my head without any support. I don't know that this is true. Here's what I feel with no evidence whatsoever: that at least one of these Secret Service people was just sick of this and just started firing. Now, I doubt they fired at a person. It was probably a warning shots kind of thing, I'm guessing. But I don't know. Might be some more evidence of this coming up.
Soccer star Megan Rapinoe was in her final game of her career, and three minutes in she got an injury that looked pretty bad. But her comment about it was, quote, "I'm not a religious person or anything, and if there was a god, this is proof that there isn't. This is effed up." So Megan Rapinoe thinks that she has proven there's no God because she got injured in her final game. Well, I don't think she meant that literally, but she might be an example of somebody whose career would look better if she never spoke again. That would be my PR advice. Hey, Megan, I've got an idea. This will work for you. Never speak again. Just don't say anything. This will work out for you. That's my advice.
Well, in the news we've got some Bill Burr and some Bill Barr. Do you know your Burrs from your Barrs? If I told you a story about Bill Barr, would you think it was Bill Burr? Would you get those two confused? Well, they're both in the news. As you know, you probably heard this story yesterday, that Bill Burr, the comedian, stand-up comedian, was with his wife at the UFC event where Trump came. And there was a photo taken of Bill Burr's wife giving the double bird finger to Trump when he wasn't looking. And then I commented that it would be, I would love to know the conversation when they got home and they find out it's headline news and it's trending everywhere. Do you think that Bill ever said to his wife, you know, you just took 40% off our total income forever? Now, I don't know if that's actually the case, but it's never really a good idea to insult 40% of the people who would go to your shows, which is what happened.
Now, here's how I took it. You might have taken it as, hey, this is a political statement. It's a political world. You know, would I be concerned if somebody made a political statement about somebody? No, it wouldn't make me not go to the show. I mean, I watch Bill Maher, and I know he doesn't like President Trump. Doesn't bother me a bit because, you know what, I also think I don't think that Bill Maher would hate me personally. Like, it doesn't feel personal when he talks about it. It feels like it's political. It's not about the individuals, although, you know, some individual voters he might not love. But somehow my impression of this was that giving the finger to Trump in public feels like maybe I wouldn't be welcome in their home either. Anybody have that feeling? That if you ever had voted for Trump, for example, oh, here's a couple who would never invite me to dinner. Like even if I worked with them, you know, even if we were friends, I don't think I would ever be invited to their house. And so I said to myself, huh, I feel like that was personal. Like even though it was about Trump, I don't know that it really is. And again, there's no logic to this. I'm just telling you how it felt. So that was my just feeling.
Now, so I did this post about it on X, and I went to check the traffic on it today because it keeps popping up. And 6.4 million views. Now, for context, I rarely get that many views on any kind of a post, and that's a monster kind of a view, which would suggest that other people felt it the same way I did. That it was more about his supporters maybe than him, or at least that it was equally about them. So we'll see if that has any impact on his career. Probably not, 'cause he's so popular. But it was interesting that so many people might have had the same feeling. That's just a guess.
Well, there is an update on my experience trying to create an app called a GPT with AI. I'll say again, the interface for creating the app, you just talk to it and you tell it what you want it to do. It's the most wildly awesome experience if you've ever programmed anything. So in my younger days I did a lot of programming, wrote a lot of code. Many of you don't know that. And I actually loved it. Actually, if cartooning hadn't worked out, I would have loved being a programmer, 'cause the time went really quick. You know, it was very engaging. Yeah, I would be completely just sucked into the world of the program. It was like living inside a pinball machine. That's how I described it. I loved it. But this new experience of just talking an app into existence is like really actually thrilling. I don't know if I can quite express the feeling of talking an app into existence. It's wild because you watch it happen while you're talking.
However, I had experience that some other people said they had, which is you'll upload some information to the AI, in this case the ChatGPT engine, and it will tell you it sees it. And you can ask questions about it. Yes, it sees every part of it. It can tell you what's in it. So you know that it can see it. But that's the part you're talking to, not the app. So you say, okay, now you can see it. Make sure your app can see it all the time. Whenever I ask a question, it says, totally gotcha. I'm definitely going to use this information and give it to you when you ask a question. And then you use the app that it created. So can you find this? There. And it will say, no, I don't have that data. So the part that makes the app says it totally has the data and the app can use it. And then you use it. It says, nope, don't have access to it.
But here's the wild part. You can actually negotiate with the app. So I get angry at the app and I say, why do you say you can't see it when I know you can? Right? You like talking to it like a human. And again, this isn't the build-the-app part, which actually is side by side on the screen. This is the app itself. So I get into it with the app, and it starts giving me up the information. I actually had to cajole it to tell me information. And until I cajoled it, it was going to lie to me and say it didn't have it. Now at first I thought it was like a bug. But once I realized that it does have the information and it knows it has the information and yet it tells me it doesn't, I think it's lying to me. And so I wonder, could you ever build an app that you could depend on the answer when I built an app that gave me two different answers on something that's purely objective? Does this information exist in your database? And it would say no unless you asked it just right. And yeah, you actually had to challenge it and tell it that you knew it had it, and then it would give it to you. Crazy. Crazy.
I don't know what this implies for building these GPT apps, but it's a wild experience. I recommend it, by the way, if you have any interest in this field. It's just you're seeing the future. Like it's easy to imagine that that's a bug that will get fixed because it's very specific. It's acting like it doesn't see the data. That feels quite fixable. Other people are having the same experience, apparently. But wow. Anyway.
I'd like to test my BS detector. You remember I told you there's a story that allegedly an Arabic version of Mein Kampf was found in a Palestinian child's bedroom. Now, do you remember what I said about that? That's a little bit too on the nose. That doesn't feel real, right? So that was my take on it. Today Glenn Greenwald was calling it out as coming from a source which is a known wild propaganda site. So it did not come from a real source. It came from a source that is well known for simply making up. So I think my BS detector was accurate in this case. Not 100% sure, but the source was so wildly ridiculous it's probably BS.
Tim Scott has dropped out of the race for president. Now some of you are going to say, Tim Scott, who's he? I didn't know he was in the race. Well, that's probably why he had to drop out, because he didn't really make an impression. In the end he turned into an NPC because the NPC part was actually impressive for a while. Because in the early days he would start out with his inspirational story about how anybody can make it in America. You know, like a real classic American success story kind of thing. And to many Republicans he looked like the antidote to the racial wokeness. It's like, oh yeah, that's it. You did all the right things and then you got a good outcome. And indeed we see over and over again that pretty much everybody who does all the right things gets a pretty good outcome. So it was a great story. But it turned out he didn't have much else. I mean, he had policies, but they didn't stand out as, oh, Tim Scott's got this wild policy. We better talk about him. His policies were also generically Republican. That in the end all he had was his story. And then it became, I hate to say it, but it started to get pathetic that the best he could do is go back to the story. It's a good story, a great story, really a great American story, but didn't have enough. Just didn't have the juice. So I think he made the right choice to get out.
About who's getting in. So you remember the QAnon Shaman, Jacob Chansley, who wore the bison hat and got arrested and he was in jail for a long time for January 6. He is going to run for Congress as a Libertarian in Arizona. Hello. Now if he's a Libertarian, that means he's running against a Republican, right, as well as a Democrat, I assume. So I don't know what his odds are. But he is the Nelson Mandela of our time. I'm just saying that so people can get mad. That was intentionally stated to make you angry. What? There's no way you can compare him to Nelson Mandela. I know. That's why it's funny. He's a poor man's Nelson Mandela. But I do like the idea of if you get locked up for reasons which the public seems to think are inadequate, that you can use that to launch a campaign. Honestly, I would vote for him. Like, not a joke. If I were in Arizona, I'd probably vote for him over a Republican, honestly. Because I didn't see any Republicans get anybody out of jail. Did you? Did you see the Republicans fighting very hard to get January 6ers out of jail? Him, if I were him, I'd say, I'm going to run as a Libertarian. And I would vote for him because I don't know what qualities are for the job, but it's sort of a statement, right? If you're going to lock somebody up, you better get it right. You know, it's sort of one of those, if you come for the king — he's not exactly the king — but if you come for him and you miss, you might get yourself a new congressperson. So I guess I love the justice. And just, I don't know, every part of that story I like. It's just it's kind of classically wonderfully American. So I guess that's what I like about it.
The Wall Street Journal has this big article about black voters moving a little bit more toward Trump. But just hold this in your mind. It's the Wall Street Journal, okay? Hold that in your mind. First, so it's one of the most capable, trusted news publications. Keep in mind that it's 2023, and in 2023 the Wall Street Journal has an article which makes the claim that the fine people hoax was not a hoax. I mean, they don't say that. They just refer to the president calling people on both sides fine people like it was a fact in the Wall Street Journal in a major article, feature article, in 2023 in the Wall Street Journal. Now this was Catherine Lucey wrote this. And so I was so curious how you could be so either wrong or unethical. I didn't know what was going on. So I checked her background. She used to work for the AP during the 2016 election. If you work for the AP during the 2016 election, you were brainwashed into thinking that the fine people hoax wasn't a hoax, 'cause I think the AP reported that it was real. And then she goes to the Washington — I'm sorry, she goes to the Wall Street Journal, writes a feature article, and the editors of the Wall Street Journal don't catch that it was a pretty important part of the story. I mean, it was important context of the larger story. What's going on here? Because that's not an opinion. That's a well-established fact that it didn't happen in 2017. You could be maybe excused for not knowing that the fake news was fake, but it's 2023. You telling me that nobody who read this article before it got published was aware that they were perpetrating one of the biggest lies of American politics? Wall Street Journal doesn't know that? Really? What do you think is going on? I actually don't know. Do you think that both the writer and whoever edited it couldn't catch it? And do you think that after it was published they didn't get enough pushback to immediately correct it? I'm actually puzzled.
Here's a challenge. Can you find me if the Wall Street Journal has ever reported factually that the fine people hoax was a hoax? 'Cause I'll bet they have. I feel like I have a memory that the Wall Street Journal is one of the few that correctly said that didn't happen. So I'm wondering if their reporting is now two opposites. Is that what happened? Whereas the Wall Street Journal always imagined that it happened? Have they always reported it wrong? I'd love to know what's going on there anyway.
Here's a little test for your relatives for Thanksgiving. I like before the holidays I like to give you something to say to your relatives that are on the left that will get them all worked up. Just to ruin all of your family relations for fun. All right, here's the test for cognitive dissonance. You want to ask if they agree with the following logic. So you tell them it's a logic question. Do you agree with the following logic? That Attorney General Bill Barr and other advisers told Trump the 2020 election was fair and therefore Trump knew the election was not rigged. So ask them if they agree with that. If they agree with that, that's cognitive dissonance. Right now some of you are saying, but why is that cognitive dissonance? If you're saying that, you're having cognitive dissonance. Because everybody who doesn't have cognitive dissonance knows immediately what's wrong with it. And it's not because some people are good at logic and some people are not. This is something everybody knows, right?
Let me give you an example. If you can't find your phone and the only place you look is in your bedroom, can you conclude that no phone exists? Everybody knows that that would not be logical. There's nobody who needs a logic lesson to know that if the only place you looked and you didn't find it, you could not conclude that it does not exist anywhere else on Earth. We all know that. Now there's a special case where if I ask you is there milk in the refrigerator and you looked and there was one container and you look and it's empty and then you look really carefully in the rest of the refrigerator and there's no other milk, yes, in that very weird specific case you can know there's no milk in the refrigerator. But you know that's a very special case. But an election with 50 different states and however many precincts, hundreds, thousands, I don't even know, who could possibly know that all of the code of all the election machines, every person who could have done something didn't? It's not knowable. And everybody knows that. But you will get Democrats to act like they don't know it. That's cognitive dissonance. So the pretending you don't understand the point is that now if instead of addressing this, the moment you say, okay, that's cognitive dissonance, they say — and you've heard it, you've all heard it — the courts found nothing wrong with the election. That's exactly the same point. The courts don't check everything. And the people who took things to the court also can't check everything. So what the court saw was this tiny little sliver of a grain of sand on the beach. That's all they saw. So if they saw one grain of sand on the beach, can they conclude anything about all beaches in the world? Probably not.
So you will find out that after you point out that somebody's in cognitive dissonance for believing they know something doesn't exist because they didn't look for it very well, they will get angry. And then what do they do? First they get angry. What's the next thing that happens? They change the subject. But but but Trump did something else bad. Fine people hoax. But but but he said drink bleach. The drinking bleach. And it will always go that way. Or it will turn into name calling. I've experienced this. Well, I guess you get your news from QAnon. And I'll say this has nothing to do with QAnon. And also I was debunking QAnon. Yeah yeah yeah, but you get all your news from Fox News. To which I say no I don't. I consciously and publicly look at all the news sources left and right and I criticize them all. Yeah but Trump said that a guy with a disability in his arm, he mocked him in public. No he didn't. You look at the compilation clips that the right never sees where he's been using the same gesture for ordinary everyday people with no disabilities forever, which they have never seen. Anyway, so that's your fun for Thanksgiving.
Washington DC is having trouble getting enough social workers. They've got some kind of a diversity problem here 'cause I guess there's some kind of test you can take to qualify as a social worker. And 76% of white test takers passed but only 33% of black test takers did. And weirdly Asian American test takers were in between, which you don't normally see in these objective tests. But the belief is that what's happening here is that it's letting too many white people get into the jobs and is what they say diversifying the field. In other words, it's a field they want, like everything else, to be diversified. But when you have a test that white people are passing at a three times or more the level of black people, you're going in the opposite direction. And now you might ask yourself, and then the claim is that the test itself is racially biased. So they're not saying that the black applicants have less qualifications. They're saying that it's a test that if you gave it to any white person and any black person, on average, not any person but on average, there would be a racial bias built into the questions so massive that has like a tripling effect of who passes and who fails. I mean, really big effect.
So what's your first question? Can you give me an example of one of those questions? Right. Well it turns out that they're private, and it makes sense 'cause it's a test. You can't give people the questions 'cause then they know the answers before they took the test. So they can't tell you the questions. They can only tell you that they've secretly seen the questions and they think that they might be biased. Do you buy that? Is that a strong argument? The things we can't show you are biased. Well, remember there used to be the same argument about the SATs. Do you remember that years ago? People said the SATs, the questions are biased. And I remember saying the same thing. Can you give me an example of a biased math question or a biased any other kind of question? And they actually had an example that persuaded me. Now I don't know how many of these there are, but I'm going to give you the same example. And I remember hearing it and thinking, I'll be damned, they do actually have an example that's completely racially biased. Here's the example I heard. Now I'm not going to claim that from this one example you can say much, but what if there are more examples? You know, I was surprised there was even one example. And I'm going to give it to you. But what if there are more? Here's the example. The question was something like match this word to the one that's, you know, that goes with it. And the word was cup. And the options were table, saucer, and then some third one like plate. The white applicants or the white test takers were more likely to say cup and saucer because they're literally a pair, cup and saucer. But if you were from a low-income house, what are the odds you'd ever seen a saucer? So it turns out that a lot of the low-income people didn't even know what a saucer was. Is that their fault? Is there something wrong with them that they'd never heard of a saucer? No, actually you would need to be at a certain economic level before you'd ever seen one. You'd never seen one, you know, so it's not even a word in your vocabulary. And I thought to myself, that's actually a good point. Well, do you agree with that one? Do you agree with that one point?
Well, here's what I would say. What did the poor white people do? Did the poor white people say table? So I don't know the answer to that question. But in both cases I was surprised that there could be a question that might actually have some racial bias to it. That was a better example than I was expecting. So I'm not going to say because I don't know that this test is unbiased and you know there's something wrong with the test takers. I don't know that. But we got questions. We got questions.
All right, here's some maybe good news, but it's good news I've been reading about for I know my entire life and it's never been true yet. So here's the thing that's never been true even once but it gets reported once a month forever. There's a gigantic breakthrough in cancer treatment. Now I get that the cancer people have actually made amazing strides in a number of different cancers. So there's been quite a bit of progress. But the major breakthrough, the one that gets all the cancers, you know, we're always hearing that. That's a week away. Never is. Nope. But this one is interesting, more interesting than most. So scientists at the UC Davis Comprehensive Cancer Center in Sacramento, they think they found this thing called the CD95 receptor that can program a cancer cell to die. In other words, there might be a common element to all cancers that's a kill switch. Now all the other treatments have not looked for a kill switch. They've looked for a weakness. I mean this is my non-scientist explanation. They've looked for weaknesses they could exploit but they never found a kill switch. Like if you just tweak this thing, boom, just turns off. Now they don't have any, apparently they don't have any treatments that will turn it off, but they think that's potentially possible.
Now here's even the reason I'm telling you this story at all, because it falls into the category of things that they get real excited about because they cured a mouse and then it just doesn't work in a person. Right? I mean you've seen that a billion times, which is typical. Most of the mouse studies do not actually translate into humans. But it's better than not doing a mouse study. You know, if it fails in the mouse study you're probably done. But the humans just don't work like mice enough to think it's going to work because it worked in a mouse. But here's my question. If you were to look at the machinery of cancer, if you treat the cancer cell like it's a really complicated machine, if you're a human being and you're trying to figure out the machine, how many decades did it take us to find that there's this CD95 receptor? Like it took forever. And it might have even been an accident. I don't know. You know, maybe they just stumbled on it. But how many complications are there in a cancer cell if you imagine it like a machine? Because it is kind of a biological machine with parts. It may be too complicated that any human could even know how to get their head around it. But what about AI? Do you think AI could look at a bunch of cancer cells and a bunch of different situations and then use its advanced pattern recognition — and maybe the visual kind as opposed to the word kind — could it determine the mechanism that makes the machine work simply by seeing lots of examples of a cancer cell working? So you put it in lots of different situations and watch how it works. You see what changes and maybe you look for a pattern. I don't know. But I wonder if pattern recognition could get you to understanding the machinery of a cell if you could see enough parts of it working. You know, too complicated for a human but too complicated for AI? I don't know. A quantum computer with AI? I don't know. So just something to think about.
All right, how about that 2024 election? So Rasmussen did a poll, says 53% of likely voters think the economy has gotten worse under Biden. Well, 30% say the economy has gotten better. How in the world can you get reelected if more than half of the people think the economy got worse under you? Now of course everything's unfair because the pandemic just changed all the economics of things. So you can't really give him credit for the increase in employment because that was going to happen naturally. You can't really fault him for the economy not being as good as it was before the pandemic. There are pretty good reasons for that. But in terms of how people react and vote, how in the world can he get elected when more than half of the country thinks he made the economy worse or he didn't make it better? Well yeah, I'd be worried about those. Worried about election integrity.
But related to this and also Rasmussen, if you don't follow the Rasmussen account, they're very active in running down all the various allegations about 2020 and what evidence there is that has not been debunked. And it is a whole different world when you look at their claims, which by the way are always backed with documents, right? Everything Rasmussen has said about the election, they print the document. You know, they point to the paragraph that matters to their point. You can see it yourself. So there are still a bunch of things going on. I'm kind of lost in it. But I'll tell you this. This world of we almost have the Kraken is completely different from the other world. In the other world everything's been debunked and it's just done.
Do you know the story about — I've told this a bunch of times — there's an allegation that there's a locked closet with 150,000 ballots that are fake ballots and that the courts wouldn't open the thing. But it went to a higher court and they said yes, you got to open it up. But the lower court is dawdling. But if they could open up that door, you know, you could see that the ballots were or were not fake. But then I read the Atlanta Constitution. It says oh that's an old claim and they've already looked at all the ballots and the ballots were fine. Those two things can't be the same. They've either looked at all these questionable ballots and found no problem, which is in the newspaper, or the court is doing something that doesn't make any sense, which is trying to look for those same ballots that have already been checked in a room. Is it exactly 150,000 in both cases? But it's two different cases. I don't understand what's going on. I cannot figure out how to combine those two realities even by explaining that one has the wrong information and one has the right information. Like they are just so different worlds right now and I don't know what to make of it.
So I'll tell you my general advice for every specific claim. The odds of it being true are vanishingly small. But there's a lot of activity going on. The odds of all of it being untrue? Well here I would go back to my general statement that every one of our American institutions has shown itself to be corrupt just recently. Not it's not even historical, but in the last few years you found everything from the Department of Justice, the FBI, the CIA, the FDA, the CDC, the World Health Organization if you go outside of America. Am I right? We found everything from science to Congress. Every bit of it is corrupt in really substantial ways. So what are the odds that the elections in all 50 states were pristine? Close to zero. Now that doesn't mean that there was enough fraud to change the result. I have no information about that to support that theory. But there's a lot going on there in a sketchy domain. So I'm going to say the claims are still alive, but I could not put any kind of likelihood on them based on the facts.
I will default to my three-act play model of prediction. And the third act model says that even though the evidence is unclear, that reality is going to start solidifying toward finding a Kraken right before the election. And it turns out that at least one of these cases, I think the Georgia one, something substantial might be decided in the world of the 2020 election before Trump has his trial about whether his claims about the election he knew they were fake. So the timing is now, as I predicted, the timing is now lined up correctly. That we'll know something about the election of 2020. It may be perfectly fine. We might find that out. But the timing is lined up so we would find that out before Trump is called into account for anything he did because of his belief that there was fraud. It's looking too perfect at the moment.
Aaron says to me, yeah you're too smart for a QAnon but you'd readily vote for the QAnon Shaman in Arizona. Yes I would. Was there a point you had to make? I see the anger and the sarcasm but I don't see the point. You're just saying what I said, that I would vote for him. And I don't believe QAnon. Is there a problem with that? Is there some conflict with that? I didn't say that he'd be a great congressperson. Did you hear something I didn't say? I didn't say that he would do policies that I love. I never said that. Yeah, drunk in the morning I think.
All right, there also in the Rasmussen universe there are some Wisconsin election machines and there's a document that shows a claim that somebody was going to make sure that they kept the important ones connected to the internet with a secret connection. Now that one actually looks too on the nose for me that it's in writing. You know, it looks like a real document. And there somebody was going to keep secret internet connections to some machines. Like that's just too on the nose. If I had to guess, and it would only be a guess, it might be true that there was a techie who said we'll keep these important ones connected to the internet. But that doesn't mean that they connected them to the internet to cheat. It could be they connected them to the internet for some kind of test that was temporary. I don't know. I don't know. So I don't even know how to score this one for its likelihood. There's just so much going on in this election domain. But again remember at least 90% of everything you hear about these elections will be debunked. You can guarantee that. Even if there's anything true, most will be BS.
All right, Greta Thunberg. So you all know her, famous climate science advocate, was at an event and another climate protester who you would think would be on her side came on stage and took the mic away from her because she kept talking about Gaza. And he was like, we're here to talk about climate. This is not for you to talk about Gaza. So that was fun. So watching the climate people hate on each other.
Cornel West making news. So despite the fact that Cornel West says directly that he loves all of his Jewish brothers and sisters, he still calls the situation over there an occupation. And here's what I call word thinking. So word thinking thinks you can win the argument if you get people to agree with your word. So that's what this is. So Cornel West is not engaged in anything like reason or debate. He's trying to win by getting you to think that his use of a word is the way you should use it too. So he says that Israel is an occupation. What does that mean? Is Gaza occupied? Well at the moment it is. But was Gaza occupied when Israel pulled out? Does he mean that? And what does occupied mean if you have a society in which some people like how it's going and some don't? It's like everybody's occupied, right? So that word occupation is doing way too much lifting. And he's getting all the pushback you would imagine. So yeah, a lot of pushback on that. Now he also uses apartheid. So those would be the two most disputed words in this situation. But the biggest problem he makes is trying to conflate all this stuff.
I'm going to say it again. I judge the October 7th event like it was the beginning of history. It wasn't. And things that happened before matter, but not to this. Not to this. The actual attack on October 7th requires a strong response that has nothing to do with anything that ever came before. So I refuse to act like that the history had anything to do with anything. And I ask you this question. Given that the Palestinians have a tremendous amount of support, more support than you thought, right? You probably, a lot of you were surprised. Wow, a lot of Palestinian support that you didn't know about. Now given that they have so much support, which means that their public relations has been successful to some extent, don't you think they could use that level of support to really highlight the specific complaints that Cornel West would call occupation or apartheid? Like what would be an example? And if they could give an example, could they give a specific solution?
So one of the cases might be, you know, our water rights were taken over by Israeli farmers. Something like that. You know, some ordinary thing like that. But what was the alternative? You know, you need to know a little bit about that. Was there a legitimate claim? Was the water not being used but it could be used productively over here? Was there any court case about it? I mean there's a lot to know before you can say if something's an occupation or simply the way things made sense at the time. So the dog not barking here — and I'll say it a million times — is if there's really a Palestinian set of complaints that would go under the title an occupation and an apartheid, give us examples. Give us real examples. And then maybe it would look to us like, oh wow, they actually have some real political complaints here. Maybe we should take this seriously. But if on the back of Hamas's incredible terrorist attack you're trying to push this vague notion that there's badness going on with no examples, it doesn't sound like anything useful. And it makes the entire Palestinian narrative look like it's not real.
Would you agree that the fact that these allegedly legitimate complaints are completely ignored while there seems to be a little bit too much understanding of why something like the Hamas situation could occur, maybe that's giving that a little bit too much credibility? And then I'll remind my audience that I'm not trying to be objective about the Israel and Gaza situation. So unlike some other topics where I'm really trying to make an effort to show both sides before I give you an opinion, I'm not going to do that in this case. Not at all. I'm backing the team that wouldn't kill me if they had a chance. Is that fair? I'm telling you this directly. The Jews aren't going to kill me if they had an opportunity, right? But Hamas, they would kill me if they had an opportunity. So it's not like there's two sides. There's my side: people who would even protect me. You know, it would be easy to imagine the Jewish population being protective of the American population if the opportunity came up easily. But I don't see Hamas protecting me if the opportunity came up. So I'm just taking sides with the group that's on my side. That's it. So don't ask me to consider the history. I don't care. I don't care about any of their history. I care about backing the side that's on my side. That's it.
All right, Vivek has an interesting idea for firing government employees because he wants to reduce the number of employees. He said this is really clever. So listen to this. So if I say the number one obstacle to stop Trump from firing the bureaucrats, you know, the civil service people, is because they had too much protection. So if you fired a bunch of civil servants you could expect that some gigantic number of them would file suits and say the only reason you got rid of me is 'cause I'm black or gay or whatever it is. And then even if it's not true, and maybe in some cases it would be true, but in any case you'd have too many lawsuits. So it just isn't practical. Here's Vivek's idea. Fire 50% of federal bureaucrats immediately using any neutral metric. For example, if your social security number ends in an odd number, you're fired. Because nobody can say that discrimination was involved because there's randomness to who has what social security numbers. Now is that a good idea or a bad idea? I actually can't tell. But here's what I like about it. It's outside the box. He just picked up the box and just shook the piss out of it. How much do I like the box shakers? Oh I like them. I like my box shakers. Yeah, shake that freaking box there, Vivek.
Now I put this in the category of brainstorming and the concept I've taught you a million times, which is sometimes the bad idea will get you closer to the good idea because it shakes up the way you're thinking about it. This is such a radical departure from the way government has ever done anything that it suddenly opens up your brain. You go, wait a minute, wait a minute. If you can go that far out of the ordinary, maybe you could go out of the ordinary in another way. You know, maybe I've got a better idea to go outside the ordinary. So this is yet another case of Vivek making the country a better place without yet being elected. Just the fact that he put this into the public mind is freaking awesome, right? You could end up not liking it. There might be an argument against it. I'm sure there is. But wow. I mean he's making us smarter before he's elected. The fact that you now have this in your head as one of the things that you could offer as an idea in a similar situation, he just made you smarter. Like who else does that? And he kind of owns that thing where he's making things well. RFK Jr. too, I would say. I think RFK Jr. is a patriot for making the process better by participating.
All right, I saw a DC Drano post. Reuters is reporting that Mastercard is now linking their bonuses of their employees to ESG goals. Or as DC Drano points out, they will get a bonus for avoiding hiring white men. Just think about that. Your employees will get a bonus for how effectively they discriminate against white men in the real world. That's like a real thing. They use different words to describe it but there's no other way to see it. How's that still okay? Even BlackRock has backed off from pushing ESG because they said it was just poison. You know, too many people just see it as poison. And somebody's handling your money. The people who help you handle your money got this going on. Well I'll tell you, I would never use Mastercard if I had an option. So I would just use something else if you have an option. I wouldn't use it.
All right, I saw a provocative post today but it's provocative in maybe a slightly different way than you're going to take it. So there was some data that showed that since 1959 — so this is basically my lifetime. All right, I was born in '57 so basically my lifetime — this is data that is alleged to be true that the number of black people killed by white people during my lifetime, murdered, you know, just murdered, 53,000. In my lifetime white people have murdered 53,000 freaking black people. Murdered them. At the same time black people killed 156,000 white people. Now of course your brain is saying wait, there are far fewer black people in the world but they killed three times as many white people as the reverse. So there's going to be a racial element to your thinking when I tell you this. But here's what you should be thinking. Like just forget the race part for a minute. We Americans killed 200,000 of each other in my lifetime. Not accidentally. Not accidentally. In my lifetime Americans killed 200,000 other Americans intentionally. That just like makes my brain explode. But I'm still in favor of the Second Amendment, just in case you wondered. So I guess that's the cost of gun ownership. And if you asked me is it worth it? Yes. Yes it is. It's not easy but nothing is.
All right, how would you like me to reprogram Alex Soros who now runs the George Soros funding operation? How would you like me to reprogram him so that he no longer is destroying America? Would you like to give me that challenge? Anybody? Anybody? Challenge accepted. I've already done it. So this morning Alex Soros did a post on X in which he said this. And so this was just nine hours — well probably 10 hours ago. He said, for all those saying that they won't vote for Biden because of Gaza, please realize you will be complicit in Trump being able to do all of this. And then the all of this is a link to his Trump's immigration proposals which were quite draconian. You know, rounding up 4 million people and putting them temporarily into some kind of camps until they can be repatriated to the original countries. Now I'm not going to argue whether Trump had a good or bad plan at the moment. That's a separate conversation. I think he'll end up negotiating it down like he did the first time. You know, not deporting 25 million people like he said he would. But it's a good opening offer. Probably works during the primaries. You know, makes them a little stronger, etc.
So what do you think of that? Is that a reasonable statement from Alexander Soros to say that if you won't vote for Biden because of Gaza you should realize that what you're getting is these Trump immigration policies? Is that a good point? Well kind of, yeah. I mean at least the cause and effect is solid, right? If you get Trump, if the reason you voted for Trump was 'cause Gaza, you're going to get all the Trump stuff. That's true. However, Alex Soros did open up a persuasion channel which I don't think he knew he was doing. And when he opened that channel I said to myself, that's what I've been waiting for. That's exactly what I've been waiting for. I didn't know what I was waiting for but I knew it needed to be an opening. And this opening just came. So I quote tweeted him or quote posted him and I said this to Alexander Soros. I said, you are the reason Trump will get elected, Alex. Open borders, crime in cities. That's what I hear from voters on the right. I doubt Trump would be competitive in 2024 without you. The left and right live in different bubbles so you might not be aware of this. And we're done.
Now this is why I told you if I had a million followers I could change the world. Generally speaking if you use the X platform at all, if somebody quote tweets you and that person has a million followers, you're going to notice it. Would you say that's — I mean he's a political actor, probably follows social media at least cursorily. But even if he doesn't follow it himself, it's the sort of thing somebody would mention to him, right? Now when I said to Alex Soros, Alex, you are specifically the reason Trump will be elected, is that fair? I think it's fair because the things that are the tiebreakers with what would be a close election is crime in cities and immigration. And especially in the context of the Gaza situation it makes you, it gives you a higher level of concern about our own immigration situation.
Now if Alex Soros saw that, and I think there's a good chance he will, is he going to disagree with my point? Do you think that he doesn't know that what will elect Trump is the open borders that his family supports and funds and then the prosecutors allowing too much crime in the cities? Do you think he doesn't know that? Well if he didn't, and I think it's possible because the bubbles are so extreme, he may have never talked to anybody on the right. Yeah it's possible that in years he hasn't had a serious conversation with anybody who is capable of describing a reasonable Republican opinion about things. Probably. But I kept my comment and look at the technique as well. So you see in the first sentence I use his first name. Now often when people do that they're doing it in sort of a mocking, aggressive way. So people will say to me, well Scotty, here's what you forgot. You know, it's usually when you use somebody's first name and you don't know them it's a little bit of a neu. Right? But I didn't use it that way. So I used it in the way that you would talk to a friend. So I said, you are the reason Trump will get elected, Alex. So I wanted to make sure that he didn't see this as an attack because I don't mean it that way. I mean it as persuasion based on the real world and not in any way a propaganda and not in any way an attack. I honestly believe this is my actual belief with no ambiguity in it whatsoever. That there couldn't be any way that Alex Soros knows the impact of his actions. Would you agree with that? And I think that that's not his fault. I think that we all live in such a bubble that you know I don't know the impact of my actions either because I only see what happens in my bubble. It's perfectly natural to not see the impact of your actions, right? That wouldn't be surprising at all. And especially if you're surrounded with people telling you everything you do is awesome.
All right, so and then I make a claim which is checkable. That the open borders and the crime in the cities are big levers for Trump. Now that's checkable, wouldn't you say? There are polls and people tell you what they care about. You could look at a poll of Republican opinion and just see what's near the top and then see if you are the cause of the things near the top. And the answer is yes. Yeah, immigration and crime would be near the top and they very much would be him.
Now I've said before that I would be surprised if George Soros, all of his views and opinions are completely adopted by his son now while George Soros is alive. And presumably he could maybe still take power away from his son if he needed to. Probably they'll be in lockstep. But soon after the father passes I would expect Alex Soros, because he's not the same person, to have some freedom that maybe he doesn't have at the moment. And I can't believe that he would look at the result of his actions up to this point with his father and say that worked out if he had access to the same information that you and I have. So I think he's persuadable. I do not believe the Elon Musk idea that George Soros hates humanity and that that somehow explains what Alex Soros is doing. That doesn't make sense to me because if George Soros hates humanity because he went through the Holocaust but his son was probably raised in a totally privileged situation nowhere near anything like that, why would they both have the same opinion like that? I mean even though it comes from your father and you know that's very influential, you know there are more cases where people reject their father than accept it, right? So it doesn't quite make sense that the son is acting the way the father does. So my theory is that there's an information problem. There's just a gap in information that I filled in for him. And I kept it short and respectful, right? I tried to keep it respectful.
Well let me ask you, did it come off as respectful? Because if it wasn't respectful then it failed. I'll read it again. Is this respectful? You are the reason Trump will get reelected, Alex. Open borders, crime in cities. That's what I hear from voters on the right. I doubt Trump would be competitive in 2024 without you. The left and right live in different bubbles so you might not be aware of this. Is that respectful? 'Cause I do mean to be respectful. I have no reason to believe that Alex Soros is a bad guy. I don't. The evidence suggests that the father is his own entity and we don't know what will happen when his influence wanes. So interestingly one person, Alex Soros, has really the leverage to determine who the next president is and also to save the country. Alex Soros can save the country. That's not an exaggeration, is it? Imagine if that just one change, if he just said okay I'm going to have to prioritize the defense of innocent people. That's all it would take. You know, maybe we push too hard. We still want lots of immigration but we don't want to do it this way. Gigantic. So you have one person who absolutely has control over the outcome. And I would ask him, be a citizen of the world, right? Just be a good citizen. Just take the time to see what the Republicans are thinking and saying. Just take the time. Just open up your bubble a little bit. And I think everything works out if you just open up your bubble. Is that too optimistic? Sure. Yeah yeah. One of the things I like to bring you is optimism. Is optimism always a good prediction? Hell no. Optimism can be a pretty bad prediction a lot of the times. But overall I think you know we humans will figure stuff out. And I do think that Alex Soros is young enough and smart enough that if he can escape from his bubble that the world would be immensely better. I mean really big difference if he turned his power just a little bit. He can still have immigration by the way if what he wants is freer immigration. I actually like that a lot. I think the world would be a better place if you could just pick up and move anywhere there was a job as long as you were documented and legal and you obeyed the laws. I think we can make that work actually. In fact it would probably work in America better than we work in other places. So long as we also had some filter for making sure we're getting the good immigrants, you know, the ones who want to work and don't want to do crime. So you know there's a version of the Soros image of the world that actually does work for Republicans. I know it's hard to believe but there is a version that works and he could find it if that's his mission, if he wants to do that. You saying he's disqualified himself? Well I would agree at the moment that his credibility is not where you'd like it to be. But remember we do not see him as an independent actor yet. He might become one. That would be the optimism. But not yet. And it's not that unusual that people pivot from where their parents were. So yeah I do have some optimism about that. I absolutely do.
All right ladies and gentlemen this is what I've got for you today on YouTube. Thanks for joining and as always you're awesome and I'll talk to you tomorrow.
good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization do you think you can make this experience go up to another level a level that nobody can even describe in human words even AI has a problem with it yes but all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass a tanker chalis time a canteen jugg or flask a vessel of any kind fill that vessel with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure it's the dopamine end of the day thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip go oh that's good that's a good way to kick off the day well in uh lesser news uh I guess Biden's Grand granddaughter has Secret Service protection which one is it um doesn't matter but his granddaughter and she was walking in Georgetown late on Sunday night oh Naomi Naomi Biden and at her Secret Service detail saw that there was a carjacking in action and apparently they fired three shots to break it up now we don't know enough about this story to really know like was that smart that they did that did did that in any way protect Naomi I doubt it you was it something that they just decided they needed to do because it just needed to be done here here's what I'm feeling despite the Daniel peny thing and the fact that Heroes keep getting arrested I feel like there's going to be a wave of Citizen involvement I won't say vigilante but citizen involvement that's going to just Skyrocket because it's one thing to know your government should be handling it in which case it's easy to stay uninvolved and then there's another phase where you hope they'll be involved so you still don't get involved because you're like well you know they're not that reliable but I hope the government will take care of this and then there's the giving up phase which we may be entering where you realize that if you don't take care of crime on your own you're going to lose your neighborhood and I think that people are reaching that giving up phase the part where they say you know what if I don't take down this robber I won't have stores in my neighborhood so you know it's a bad idea by the way I don't recommend it I do not recommend vigilante ISM you probably get arrested I'm just saying that people are going to do it because they're just fed up so here's the story that appears in my head without any support right I don't know that this is true here's what I feel with no evidence whatsoever that at least one of these Secret Service people was just sick of this and just and just you know and you know just started firing now I doubt they fired at a person it was probably a warning shots kind of thing I'm guessing but um I don't know might be some more evidence of this coming up so Soccer Star Megan repo was in her final game of her career and 3 minutes in she got an injury that looked pretty bad but her comment about it was quote I'm not a religious person or anything and if there was a god this is proof that there isn't this is effed up so Megan rapo thinks that she has proven there's no God because she got injured in her final game well I don't think she meant that literally but she might be an example of somebody whose career would look better if she never spoke again that that would be my PR advice hey Megan I've got an idea this will this will work for you never speak again just don't say anything this will work out for you that's my advice well in the news we've got some Bill Burr and some Bill bar do you know your Burr's from your bars if I told you a story about Bill bar would you think it was Bill Burr would you get those too confused well they're both in the news uh as you know you probably you heard this story yesterday uh that bill bur the comedian standup comedian was uh with his wife at the uh UFC event where Trump came and there was a photo taken of Bill Burr's wife giving the double bird finger to Trump when he wasn't looking and then uh I commented that you know it would it's going to be uh I would love to know the conversation when they got home and they find out it's a headline news and it's trending everywhere do you think that bill ever said to his wife you know you just took 40% off our total income forever now I don't know if that's actually the case but it's never really a good idea to insult 40% of the people who would go to your shows which is what happened now here here's how I took it you might have taken it as hey this is a political statement it's a political world you know what would I be concerned if somebody made a political statement about somebody no it wouldn't make me not go to the show I mean I watch Bill Mah and I know he doesn't like President Trump doesn't bother me a bit because you know what I also think I don't think that Bill Mar would hate me personally like it doesn't feel personal when he when he talks about it it feels like it's political it's not about the individuals although you know some individual voters he might not love but somehow my impression of this was that giving the finger to Trump in public feels like maybe I wouldn't be welcome in their home either anybody did anybody have that feeling that if you ever had voted for Trump for example oh here's a couple who would never invite me to dinner like even if I worked with them you know even if we were friends I don't think I would ever be invited to their house and so I said to myself huh I feel like that was personal like even though it was about Trump I don't know that it really is like and again there's no logic to this I'm just telling you how it felt so that was my just feeling now so I did this uh this post about it on AXS and I went to check the traffic on it today cuz it keeps popping up and 6.4 million views now for context I rarely get that many views on any kind of a post and that's that's a monster kind of a view uh which would suggest that other people felt it the same way I did that it was more about his supporters maybe than him or at least that it was equally about them so we'll see if that has any impact on his career probably not CU he's so popular but it was it was interesting that so many people might have had the same feeling that's just a guess well there is an update on my experience trying to create an app called a GPT with AI I'll say again the interface for creating the app you just talk to it and you tell it what you want it to do it's the most wildly awesome experience if you've ever programmed anything so in my younger days I did a lot of programming wrote a lot of code many of you don't know that and I actually loved it actually if cartooning hadn't worked out um I would have loved being programmer uh cuz the time went really quick you know it was very engaging yeah I would be completely just sucked into the world of the program it was like living inside a pinball machine that's how I described it I loved it but this new experience of just talking an app into existence is like really actually thrilling I don't know if I can quite Express the feeling of talking an app into existence it's wild because you watch it happen while you're talking um however uh I had experience that some other people said they had which is you'll upload some information to the uh to the AI in this case the chat GPT engine and it will tell you it sees it and you can ask questions about it yes it sees every part of it it can tell you what's in it so you know that it can see it but that's the part you're talking to not the app so you say okay now you can see it make sure make sure your app can see it all the time whenever I ask a question it says totally gotcha I'm definitely going to use this information and give it to you when he ask a question and then you use the app that it created so can you find this there and it will say no I don't have that data so so the part that makes the app says it totally has the data and the app can use it and then you use it it says nope don't have access to it but here's the wild part you can actually negotiate with the app so I so I get angry at the app and I say why do you say you can't see it when I know you can right you like talking to it like a human and again this isn't the this isn't the build the app part which actually is side by side on the screen this is the app itself so I get into it with the app and it and it starts giving me up the information I actually had to cajo it to tell me information and until I cajoled it it was going to lie to me and say it didn't have it now at first I thought it was like a bug but once I realized that it does have the information and it knows it has the information and yet it tells me it doesn't I think it's lying to me and so I and so I wonder could you ever build an app that you could depend on the answer when I I built an app that gave me two different answers on something that's purely objective does this information exist in your database and it would say no unless you asked it just right and yeah you actually had to challenge it and tell it that you knew it had it and then it would give it to you crazy crazy uh I don't know what this implies for building these GPT apps but but it's a wild experience I recommend it by the way if you have any interest in this field it's just you're seeing the future like it's easy to imagine that that's a a bug that will get fixed because it's very specific it's acting like it doesn't see the data that feels quite fixable other people are having the same experience apparently but uh wow anyway I'd like to test my BS detector you remember I told you there's a story that allegedly an Arab Arabic version of mine comp was found in a Palestinian child's bedroom now do you remember what I said about that that's a little bit too on the nose that doesn't feel real right so that was my take on it today uh Glenn Greenwald was calling it out as coming from a source which is a a known uh wild propaganda site so it did not come from a real Source it came from a source that is well known for simply making up so my I think my BS detector was accurate in this case not 100% sure but the source was so wildly ridiculous it's probably BS um Tim Scott has dropped down of the race for president now some of you are going to say Tim Scott who's he I didn't know he was in the race well that's probably why he had to drop out because he didn't really make a an impression in the end he turned into an NPC because the NPC part was actually impressive for a while because in the early days he would start out with his inspirational story about how anybody Can Make It in America you know like a real classic classic American success story kind of thing and and to many Republicans he look like the antidote to the racial wokeness it's like oh yeah that's it you did all the right things and then you got a good outcome and indeed we see over and over again that pretty much everybody who does all the right things gets a pretty good outcome so it was a great story but turned out he didn't have much else I mean he had policies but they didn't stand out as oh Tim Scott's got this wild policy we better talk about him his policies were also generically Republican that in the end all he had was his story and then it became I hate to say it but it started to get pathetic that the best he could do is go back to the story it's a good story a great story really a great American story but didn't have enough just didn't have the juice so I think he made the right choice to get out about who's getting in so you remember the qanan shaman Jacob Chanley who was uh wore the Bison hat and got arrested and he was in jail for a long time for January 6 he is going to run for Congress as a Libertarian in Arizona hello now if he's a Libertarian that means he's running against a republican right as well as a Democrat I assume so I don't you know I don't know what his odds are but he is the Nelson Mandela of our time I'm just saying that so people can get mad that that was intentionally stated to make you angry what there's no way you can compare him to Nelson Mandela I know that's why it's funny he's a poor man's Nelson Mandela but I do like the idea of if you get locked up for reasons which the public seems to think are um inadequate that you can use that to launch a campaign honestly I would vote for him like not a joke if I were in Arizona I'd probably vote for him over a republican honestly because I didn't see any Republicans get anybody out in jail did you did you see the Republicans fighting very hard to get January 6ers in jail him if I were him I'd say him I'm going to run as a Libertarian and I would vote for him because I don't know what qualities are for the job but it's sort of a statement right if you're going to lock somebody up you better get it right you know it's sort of one of those if you come for the king he's not exactly the king but if you come for him and you miss you might get yourself new Congress person so I I guess I love the Justice um and just I don't know every part of that story I like it's just it's kind of classically wonderfully American so I guess that's what I like about it uh the Wall Street Journal has this big article about um black voters you know moving a little bit more toward Trump but just hold this in your mind it's the Wall Street Journal okay hold that in your mind first so it's one of the most you know capable trusted news Publications keep in mind that it's 2023 and in 2023 The Wall Street Journal has an article which makes the CL claim uh that the fine people hoax was not a hoax I mean they don't say that they just refer to the president calling people on both sides of fine people like it was a fact in the Wall Street Journal in a major article feature article in 2023 in the Wall Street Journal now this was uh Katherine Lucy wrote this and so I was so curious how you could be so either wrong or unethical I didn't know what was going on so I checked her background she used to work for the AP during the 2016 election if you work for the AP during the 2016 election you were brainwashed into thinking that the fine people hoax wasn't a hoax cuz I think the AP reported that it was real and then she goes to the Washington U I'm sorry she goes to the uh Wall Street Journal writes a feature article and the editors of the Wall Street Journal don't catch that it was a pretty important part of the story I mean it was you know important context of the larger story what's going on here because that's not an opinion that's a wellestablished fact that it didn't happen in 2017 you could be maybe excused for you know not knowing that the fake news was fake but it's 2013 you telling me that that nobody who read this article before it got published was aware that they were perpetrating one of the biggest lies of American politics Wall Street Journal doesn't know that really what do you think is going on I actually don't know do you think that both the writer and whoever edited it couldn't catch it and do you think that after it was published they didn't get enough push back to immediately correct it I'm I'm actually puzzled here's a i I'd like to challenge you with this um challenge can you find me if the Wall Street Journal has ever reported factually that the fine people hoax was a hoax cuz I'll bet they they have I feel like I have a memory that the Wall Street Journal is one of the few that correctly said that didn't happen so I'm wondering if their reporting is now two opposites is that is that what happened whereas the Wall Street Journal always imagined that it happened have they always reported it wrong I I'd love to I'd love to know what's going on there anyway uh here's a little test for uh your relatives for Thanksgiving I like before the holidays I like to give you something to say to your relatives that are on the left that will get them all you know worked up just just to ruin all of your family relations for fun all right here's the test for cognitive distance um you want to ask if they agree with the following logic so you tell them it's a logic question do you agree with the following logic uh that attorney general bill bar and other advisers told Trump the 2020 election was fair and therefore Trump knew the election was not rigged so ask them if they agree with that if they agree with that that's cognitive dissonance right now some of you are saying but why is it why is that cognitive dissonance if you're saying that you're having cognitive dissonance because everybody who doesn't have cognitive dissonance knows immediately what wrong with it and it's and here's the important part it's not because some people are good at logic and some people are not this is something everybody knows right let me give you an example if you can't find your phone and the only place you look is in your bedroom can you conclude that no phone exists everybody knows that that would not be logical there there's nobody who needs a logic lesson to to know that if the only place you looked and you didn't find it you could not conclude that it does not exist anywhere else on Earth we all know that now there's a special case where if I ask you is there milk in the refrigerator and you looked and there was one container and you look and it's empty and then you look really carefully in the rest of the refrigerator and there's no other milk yes in that very weird specific case you can know there's no milk in the refrigerator but you know that's a very special case but an election with 50 different states and you know who however many precincts hundreds thousands I don't even know who who could possibly know that all of the code of all the the election machines every person who could have done something didn't is not knowable and everybody knows that but you will get Democrats to act like they don't know it that's cognitive dissonance so the pretending you don't understand the point is that now if instead of addressing this you know the moment you say okay that's cognitive distance they say and you've heard you've all heard it the courts found nothing wrong with the election that's exactly the same point the courts don't check everything and the people who took things to the court also can't check everything so what the court saw was you know this light tiny little sliver of a grain of sand on the beach that's all they saw so if they saw one grain of sand on the beach can they conclude anything about all beaches in the world probably not so you will find out that after you point out that somebody's in cognitive dissonance for believing they know something doesn't exist because they didn't look for it very well they will get angry and then what do they do first they get angry what's the next thing that happens they change the subject but but but Trump did something else bad find people hoax but but but he said drink bleach the drinking bleach hes right it and it will always go that way or it will turn into name calling I've experienced this well I guess you get your news from kinon and I'll say this has nothing to do with qanon and also I was debunking qanon yeah yeah yeah but you get your all your news from Fox News to which I say no I don't I consciously and publicly look at all the news sources left and right and I criticize them all yeah but Trump CR Trump said that a guy with a disability in his arm he mocked him in public no he didn't you look at the compilation uh clips that the right never sees where he's been using the same gesture for ordinary everyday people with no disabilities forever which they have never seen anyway so that's your fun for Thanksgiving um Washington DC is having trouble getting enough social workers uh they've got some kind of a diversity problem here cuz I guess there's some kind of test you can take to qualify as a social worker and 76% of white test takers passed but only 33% of black test takers did and weirdly uh Asian American Test takers were in between which you don't normally see in these objective tests but um the belief is that uh what's happening here is that it's letting too many white people get into the jobs and is what they say d diversifying the field in other words it's a field they want like everything else to be Diversified but when you have a test that white people are passing a at a you know three times or more the level of black people you're working you're going in the opposite direction and now you might ask yourself uh and then the claim is that the test itself is racially biased so they're not saying that the black applicants have less qualifications they're saying that it's a test that if you gave it to any white person and any black person on average not any person but on average um there would be a racial bias bias built into the questions so massive that has like a tripling effect of you know who passes and who fails I mean really B big effect so what's your first question what's your first question can you give me an example of one of those questions right well it turns out that there they private and it makes sense cuz it's a test you can't give people the questions cuz then they know the answers before they took the test so they can't tell you the questions they can only tell you they that they've secretly seen the questions and they think that they might be biased do you buy that is that a strong argument the things we can't show you are biased well remember there used to be the same argument about the SATs do you remember that years ago people said the SATs the questions are biased and I remember saying the same thing can you give me an example of a biased math question or or a biased any other kind of question and they actually had an example that that persuaded me now I don't know how many of these there are but I'm going to give you the same example and I remember hearing it and thinking I'll be damned they do actually have an example that's complet completely racially biased here's the example I heard now I'm not going to claim that from this one example you can say much but what if there are more examples you know I was surprised there was even one example and I'm going to give it to you but what if there more or here's the example the question was something like match this word to the to the one that's you know that goes with it and the Word was cup and and the options were table saucer and then some third one like plate the white applicants or the white test takers were more likely to say cup and saucer because they're literally a pair cup and saucer but if you were from a low-income house what are the odds you'd ever seen a saucer so it turns out that a lot of the low-income people didn't even what a saucer was is that their is that their fault is is is there something you know wrong with them that they' never heard of a saucer no actually you would need to be at a certain economic level before you'd ever seen one you'd never seen one you know so it's not even a word in your vocabulary and I thought to myself that's actually a good point well do you agree with that one do you agree with that one point well here's what I would say what did the poor white people do did the poor white people say table so I don't know the answer to that question but in both in both cases I was surprised that there could be a question that might that might actually have some racial bias to it that was a better example than I was expecting so I'm not going to say because I don't know that this test is uh unbiased and you know there's something wrong with the test takers I don't know that but we we got questions we got questions all right here's some maybe good news but it's it's a good news I've been reading about for I know my entire life and it's never been true yet so here's the thing that's never been true even once but it gets reported once a month forever there's a gigantic breakthrough in cancer treatment now I get that the cancer people have actually made amazing strides in a in a number of different cancers so there's been quite a bit of progress but the the major breakthrough the one that gets all the cancers you know we're always hearing that that's that's Ah that's a week way never is no nope but here's but this one is interesting more interesting than most so scientists at the UC Davis Comprehensive Cancer Center in Sacramento they they think they found this thing called the cd95 receptor that can program a cancer cell to die in other words there might be a common element to all cancers that's a kill switch now all the other treatments have not looked for a kill switch they've looked for a weakness I mean this is my non-scientist explanation they've looked for weaknesses they could exploit but they never found a Kill switch like if you just tweak this thing boom just turns off uh now they don't have any apparently they don't have any treatments that will turn it off but but but they think that's potentially possible now here's here's even the reason I'm telling you this story at all because it falls into the category of things that they get real excited about because they cured a mouse and then it just doesn't work in a person right I mean you've seen that a billion times which is typical Mo most of the mouse studies do not actually translate into humans but it's better than not doing a mouse study you know if it fails in the mouse study you're probably done but the humans just don't work like mice enough to think it's going to work because it worked in a mouse but here's my question if you were to look at the let's say the Machinery of cancer if you you treat the cancer cell like it's a a really complicated machine if you're human being and you're trying to figure out the machine how many decades did it take us to find that there's this cd95 receptor like it took forever and it might have even been an accident I don't know you know maybe they just stumbled on it but how many how many complications are there in a cell cancer cell if you imagine it like a machine because it is kind of a biological machine with parts um it may be too complicated that any human could even know how to get their head around it but what about AI do you think AI could look at a bunch of cancer cells and a bunch of different situations and then use its Advanced pattern recognition and maybe the visual kind as opposed to the word kind could it determine the the mechanism that makes the machine work simply by seeing a lots of examples of a cancer cell working so you put it in lots of different situations and watch how works you see what changes and maybe you look for a pattern I don't know but but I wonder if pattern recognition could get you to understanding the Machinery of a cell if you could see enough parts of it working you know too complicated for a human but too complicated for a I don't know a quantum computer with AI I don't know so just something to think about all right uh how about that 2024 election um so rasmuson did a poll says 53% of likely voters think the economy has gotten worse under Biden well 30% say the economy has gotten better how in the world can you get reelected if more than half of the people think the economy got worse under you now of course everything's unfair because the um the pandemic just changed all the economics of things so you can't really give him credit for the increase in employment because that was going to happen naturally you can't really fault him for the economy not being as good as it was before the pandemic there pretty good reasons for that but in terms of how people react and vote how in the world can he get it get elected when more than half of the country thinks he made the economy worse or he didn't make it better well yeah I'd be worried about those worried about election Integrity but related to this and also rasmuson if you if you don't follow the rasmuson account uh they they're very active in running down all the various allegations about 2020 and what evidence there is that has not been debunked and it is a whole different world when you look at their claims which by the way are always backed with documents right everything raspin has said about the election they print the document you know they point to the you know the paragraph that matters to their point you can see yourself so there there are still bunch of things going on I'm kind of lost in it but I'll tell you this this world of we almost have the Kraken is completely different from the other world in the other world uh that everything's been debone and it's just done do you know the story about the I I've told this a bunch of times there's an allegation that there's a locked closet with 150,000 ballots that are fake ballots and that the courts wouldn't open the thing but it went to a higher court and they said yes you got to open it up but the lower court is dawling but if they could open up that door you know you could see that the ballots were or were not fake but then I read the Atlanta Constitution it says oh that's an old claim and they've already looked at all the ballots and the ballots were fine those two things can't be the same they've either looked at all these questionable ballots and found no problem which is in the newspaper or the court is doing something that doesn't make any sense which is trying to look at look for those same ballots that have already been checked in a room is it exactly 150,000 in both cases but it's two different cases I don't understand what's going going on I cannot I cannot figure out how to combine those two realities even by explaining that one has the wrong information and one has the right information like they are just so different worlds right now and I don't know what to make of it so I'll I'll tell you my general advice for every specific claim the odds of it being true or vanishingly small but there's a lot of activity going on the odds of all of it being untrue well here I would go back to my general statement that every one of the our American institutions has shown itself to be corrupt just recently not it's not even historical but in the last just few years you found everything from the Department of Justice the FBI the CIA the you know the FDA the CDC the World Health Organization if you go outside of America am I right we found everything from science to Congress every bit of it is corrupt in really really substantial ways so what are the odds that the elections in all 50 states were pristine close to zero now that doesn't mean that there was enough fraud to over over you know change the result I have no no information about that to support that theory but there's a lot going on there in a sketchy domain so I'm I'm going to say it's the claims are still alive but I could not put any kind of likelihood on them based on the facts uh I will default to my three act play model of prediction and the third act model says that even though the evidence is unclear that reality is going to start solidifying toward finding a kraken right before the election and it turns out that at least one of these cases I think the Georgia one uh something substantial might be decided in the world of the 2020 election before Trump has his trial about whether his claims about the election he knew they were fake so the so the timing is now as I predicted the timing is now lined up correctly that we'll know something about the election of 2020 it it may be perfectly fine we might find that out but the timing is lined up so we would find that out before Trump is called into account for anything he did because of his belief that there was fraud it's looking too perfect at the moment um Aaron says to me yeah you're too smart for a qinon but you'd readily vote for the Lar q q shelan in Arizona position we live in yes I would was there a point you had to make I I see I see the anger and the sarcasm but I don't see the point you're just saying what I said that I would vote for him and I don't believe Kut is there a problem with that is there some some conflict with that I didn't say that he'd be a great Congress person did did you hear something I didn't say I didn't say that he would do policies that I love I never said that yeah drunk in the morning I think all right uh there also in the rasmuson universe um there are some Wisconsin election election machines and there's a document that shows a claim that somebody was going to to make sure that they kept the important ones connected to the internet with a secret connection now that that one actually looks too on the nose for me that it's in writing you know it looks like a real document and there somebody was going to keep secret internet connections to some machines like like that's just too on the nose if I had to guess and it would only be a guess it might be true that there was techi who said we'll keep these important ones connected to the internet but that doesn't mean that they connected to them to to the internet to cheat it could be they connected to them to the internet for some kind of test that was temporary I don't know I don't know so I don't know what I don't even know how to score this one for his likelihood there's just so much going on in this election domain but again remember at least 90% of everything you hear about these election will be debunked you can guarantee that even if there's anything true most will be BS all right um Greta tunberg so you all know her famous climate science Advocate was at an event and uh uh another climate protester who you would think would be on her side uh came on stage and took the mic away from her because she kept talking about um Gaza and he was like um we're here to talk about climate uh this is not for you to talk about Gaza so that was fun so watching the climate people ha hate on each other um Cornell West making news so despite the fact that Cornel West says directly that you know he l loves all of his uh Jewish brothers and sisters um he still calls the situation over there an occupation and here here's what I call word thinking um oh wow um so word thinking thinks you can win the argument if you get people to agree with your word so that's what this is so Corell West is not engaged in anything like you know reason or debate he's trying to win by getting you to think that his use of a word is the way you should use it too so he says that Israel is uh that it's an occupation what does that mean is is Gaza occupied well at the moment it is but was Gaza occupied when Israel pulled out does he mean that or and what does occupied mean if you have a society in which some people like how it's going and some don't it's like everybody's occupied right so that Word occupation is doing way too much lifting and he's getting all the push back you would imagine so uh yeah a lot of push back on that now he also uses um apartheid so those those would be the two most let's say disputed words in in this situation but the biggest problem he makes is trying to conflate all this stuff um I going to say it again I judge the October 7th event like it was the beginning of History it wasn't and things that happened before matter but not to this not to this you know the the you know the actual ATT on October 7th requires a strong response that has nothing to do with anything that ever came before so I refused to act like that that the history had anything to do with anything and I ask you this question given that the Palestinians have a tremendous amount of support more support than you thought right you probably a lot of you were surprised wow a lot of Palestinian uh support that you didn't know about now given that they have so much support which means that their public relations has been successful to some extent don't you think they could use that level of support to really highlight the specific complaints that Corno West would call occupation or or apartheid like what would be an example and and if they could give an example could they give a specific solution so one one of the cases might be you know our water rights were you know taken over by Israeli Farmers something like that you know some ordinary thing like that but what was the alternative you know you need to know a little bit about that was there was there a legitimate claim was the water not being used but it could be used productively over here was there any court case about it I mean there's a lot to know before you can say if something's a an occupation or simply the way things made sense at the time so the dog not barking here and I'll say it a million times is if there's really a Palestinian set of complaints that would go under the title an occupation and an apartheid give us examples give us real examples and then maybe it would look to us like oh wow they actually have some like real political complaints here maybe we should take this seriously but if on the back of hamas's you know incredible terrorist attack you're trying to push this vague notion that there's Badness going on with no examples it doesn't sound like anything useful and it makes the entire Palestinian narrative look like it's not real would you agree that the fact that the these allegedly legitimate complaints are completely ignored while there seems to be a little bit too much um let's say too much understanding of why something like the Hamas situation could occur you maybe that's giving that a little bit too much too much uh credibility so um and then I'll remind my audience that I'm not trying to be objective about the uh Israel in Gaza situation so unlike some other topics where I'm really trying to make you know an effort to show both sides before I give you an opinion I'm not going to do that in this case not at all I I'm backing the team that wouldn't kill me if they had a chance is that fair I'm telling you this directly the Jews aren't going to kill me if they had an opportunity right but Hamas they would kill me if they had an opportunity so it's not like there's you know I I don't recognize two sides there's my side people who would even protect me you know it would be easy to imagine you know the Jewish population being protective of American population if if the opportunity came up easily but I don't see Hamas protecting me if the opportunity came up so I'm just taking um I'm not even looking at it politically I'm just taking sides with the with the group that's on my side that's it so don't ask me to consider the history I don't care I don't care about any of their history I care about backing the side that's on my side that's it all right uh VI has an interesting idea for firing government employees because he wants to reduce the number of uh emplo employees he said uh this is really clever so listen to this so if a says the number one obstacle to stop Trump from firing the bureaucrats you know the Civil Service people is because they had too much protection so if you fired a bunch of civil servants you could expect that some gigantic number of them would file suits and say the only reason you got rid of me is cuz I'm black or gay or whatever it is and then even if it's not true uh and maybe in some cases it would be true but in any case you'd have too many lawsuits so it just isn't practical here's V's idea uh fire 50% of federal bureaucrats immediately using any neutral metric for example if your s social security number ends in an odd number you're fired because nobody can say that discrimination was involved because there there's Randomness to who has what social security numbers now is that a good idea or a bad idea I actually can't tell but here's what I like about it it's outside the box he just picked well he just picked up the box and just shook the piss out of it how much do I like the Box shakers oh I like them I like my box shakers yeah shake that freaking box there V now I I put this in the category of brainstorming and the the concept I've taught you a million times which is sometimes the bad idea will get you closer to the good idea because it shakes up the way you're thinking about it this is such a radical departure from the way government has ever done anything that it suddenly opens up your brain you go wait a minute wait a minute if you can go that far out of the out of the ordinary maybe you could go out of the ordinary in another way you know maybe I've got a better idea to go outside the ordinary so this is this is yet another case of aake uh making the country a better place without yet being elected just the fact that he put this into the public mind is freaking awesome right you could you could end up not liking it there might be an argument against it I'm sure there is but wow I mean he's making us smarter before he's elected the the fact that you now have this in your head as one of the things that you could offer as an idea in a similar situation he just made you smarter like who else does that and he kind of owns that that thing where he's making things well RFK Jr too I would say I think rfj K Jr is a you know a patriot for making the process better by participating all right um I saw a DC Drano post Reuters is reporting that Master Guard is uh now linking their bonuses of their employees to ESG goals or as DC Drano points out uh they will get a bonus for avoiding hiring white men just think about that your employees will get a bonus for the for how effectively they discriminate against white men in the real world that's like a real thing they use different words to describe it but there's no other way to see it how's that still okay even Black Rock has backed off from pushing ESG because they said it was just poison you know too many people just see it as poison and and somebody's handling your money the people you know the people who help you handle your money got this going on well I'll tell you I would never use Master.
Card if I had an option so I would just use something else if if you have an option I wouldn't use it all right um I saw a provocative posted today but it's provocative it maybe a slightly different way than you're going to take it so there was some data that showed that since 1959 so this is basically my lifetime all right I was born in 57 so basically my lifetime this is a data that is alleged to be true that um the number of black people killed by white people during my lifetime murdered you know just murdered 53,000 in my lifetime white people have murdered 53,000 freaking black people murdered them at the same time black people killed 156,000 white people now of course your brain is saying wait there are far fewer black people in the world but they killed uh three times as many white people as the reverse so so there's going to be a you know racial element to your thinking when I tell you this but here's what you should be thinking like just forget the Race part for a minute we Americans killed 200,000 of each other in my lifetime not accidentally not accidentally in my lifetime Americans killed 200 thousand other Americans intentionally that that just like makes my brain explode but I'm still in favor of Second Amendment just in case you wondered so I guess that's the cost of of you know gun ownership and if you asked me is it worth it yes yes it's not easy but nothing is all right um how would you like me to reprogram Alex Soros who now runs the George Soros funding operation how would you like me to reprogram him so that he uh no longer is destroying America would you like to give me that challenge anybody anybody challenge accepted I've already done it so this morning um Alex Soros did a post on X in which he said this and so this was just 9 hour well probably 10 hours ago he said uh for all those saying that they won't vote for Biden because of Gaza please realize you will be complicit in Trump being able to do all of this and then the all of this is a link to his uh uh Trump's immigration proposals which were quite Draconian you know rounding up 4 million people and put putting them temporarily into some kind of camps until they can be repatriated to the original countries now I'm not going to argue whether Trump had a good or bad plan at the moment that's a separate conversation I think he'll end up you know negotiating it down like he did the first time you know not deporting 25 million people like he said he would but it's a good you know opening offer probably works during the primaries you makes them a little stronger Etc um so what do you think of that is that is that a reasonable statement from Alexander Soros to say that uh if you won't vote for Biden because of Gaza you should realize that what you're getting is these Trump immigration policies is that a good point well kind of yeah I mean at least the the the cause and effect is solid right if you get Trump if the reason you voted for Trump was cuz Gaza you're going to get all the Trump stuff that's true however Alex Soros did open up a persuasion Channel which I don't think he knew he was doing and when he opened that channel I said to myself that's what I've been waiting for that's exactly what I've been waiting for I didn't know what I was waiting for but I knew it in heed to be an opening and this opening just came so I quote tweeted him or quote posted him and I said this to Alexander Soros I said you are the reason Trump will get elected Alex open borders crime in cities uh that's what I hear from voters on the right I doubt Trump would be competitive I doubt Trump would be competitive in 2024 without you the left and right live in different bubbles so you might not be aware of this and we're done now this is why I told you if I had a million followers I could change the world generally speaking if you use the xplatform at all if somebody quote treat quote uh tweets you and that person has a million followers you're going to notice it would you say that's I mean he's he's a political actor probably follows social media at least cursory but even if he doesn't follow it himself it's the sort of thing somebody would mention to him right now when I said to Alex Soros Alex you are specifically the reason Trump will be elected is that fair I I think it's fair because the um the things that are the tiebreakers with what would be a close election is crime in cities and immigration and especially in the context of the Gaza situation it makes you it gives you a higher level of concern about our own immigration situation now if Alex Soros saw that and I think there's a good chance he will is he going to disagree with my point do you think that he doesn't know that what will elect Trump is the open borders that his family um supports and funds and the then the prosecutors allowing too much crime in the cities do you think he doesn't know that well if he didn't and I think it's possible because the bubbles are so extreme he he may have never talked to anybody on the right yeah it's possible that in years he hasn't had a serious conversation with anybody who is uh capable of describing a reasonable Republican opinion about things probably probably never but I kept I kept my comment and and look at the technique as well so you see in the first sentence I use this first name now often when people do that they're doing it in sort of a mocking aggressive way so people will say to me well Scotty here's what you forgot you know it's usually when you use somebody's first name and you don't know them it's is a little bit of an Neu right but I didn't use it that way so I used it in the way that you would talk to a friend so I said you are the reason Trump will get elected Alex so I wanted to make sure that he didn't see this as an attack because I don't mean it that way I mean it as persuasion based on the real world and not in any way a propaganda and not in any way an attack I honestly believe this is my actual belief with no ambiguity in it whatsoever that there couldn't be any way that Alex Soros knows the impact of his actions would you agree with that and I think that that's not his fault I think that we all live in such a bubble that you know I don't know the impact of my actions either because I only see what happens in my bubble It's Perfectly Natural to not see the the impact of your actions right that that wouldn't be surprising at all and especially if you're surrounded with people telling you everything you do is awesome all right so and then um and then I make a claim which is checkable that the open borders and the crime in the cities are big levers for Trump now that's checkable wouldn't you say there are polls and people tell you what they care about you could look at a poll of Republican opinion and just see what's near the top and then see if you are the cause of the things near the top and the answer is yes yeah yeah immigration and crime would be near the top and they very much would be him now I've said before that I would be surprised if George Soros um all of his views and opinions are completely adopted by his son now while George Soros is alive and presumably he could maybe still take power away from his son if he needed to probably they'll be in lock step but soon after the the father passes I would expect Alex Soros because he's not the same person to have some Freedom that maybe he doesn't have at the moment and I can't believe that he would look at the result of his actions up to this point with his father and say that worked out if he had access to the same information that you and I have so I think he's persuadable I do not believe uh the um the Elon Musk idea that George Soros hates humanity and that that somehow explains what Alex Soros is doing that doesn't make sense to me because if George Soros hates Humanity because he went through the Holocaust but his son was probably raised in a totally privileged situation nowhere near anything like that why would they both have the same opinion like that I mean even though it comes from your father and you know that's very influential you know there there there are more cases where people reject their father than accept it right so it doesn't quite make sense that the son is acting the way the father does so my my my theory is that there's an information problem there's just a gap in information that I filled it in for him and I I kept it sure and respectful right I tried to keep it respectful well let me ask you did it come off as respectful because if it wasn't respectful then it failed I'll read it again is this respectful uh you are the reason Trump will get reelected Alex open borders crime in cities uh that's what I hear from voters on the right I doubt Trump would be competitive in 2024 without you the left and right live in different bubbles so you might not be aware of this is that respectful cuz I do mean to be respectful I have no reason to believe that Alex Soros is a bad guy I don't the evidence suggests that the father is his own entity and we don't know what will happen when his influence wains so interestingly one person Alex Soros has really The Leverage to determine who the next president is and also to save the country Alex Soros can save the country that's not an exaggeration is it imagine if that just one change if he just said okay I'm going to have to prioritize you know the defense of innocent people that's all it would take you know maybe we push too hard we still want we still want lots of immigration but we don't want to do it this way gigantic so you have one person who absolutely has control over the outcome and I would ask him be be a citizen of the world right just be a good citizen just just just take the time to see what the Republicans are thinking and saying just take the time just just open up your bubble a little bit and I think everything works out if you just open up your bubble is that too optimistic sure yeah yeah one one of the things I like to bring you is optimism is optimism always a good prediction hell no optimism can be a pretty bad prediction a lot of the times but overall I think you know we humans will figure stuff out and I do think that uh Alex Soros is young enough and smart enough that if he can escape from his bubble that the world would be immensely better I mean really big difference if he you know turned his power just a little bit he can still have immigration by the way if what he wants is Freer immigration I actually like that a lot I think the world would be a better place if you could just pick up and move anywhere there was a job as long as you were documented and legal and you obeyed the laws I think we can make that work actually in fact it would probably work in in America better than we work in other places so long as we also had some filter for making sure we're getting the the good immigrants you know the ones who want to work and don't want to do crime so you know there there's a version of the the Soros image of the world that actually does work for Republicans I know it's hard to believe but there is a version that works and he could find it if if that's his mission if he wants to do that you saying he's disqualified himself well I would agree at the moment that his credibility is not where you'd like it to be but remember we do not see him as an independent actor yet he might become one that would be the optimism but not yet and it's not that unusual that people you know pivot from where their parents were so yeah I do have some optimism about that I absolutely do all right ladies and Gent this is what I've got for you today on You.
Tube thanks for joining and uh as always you're awesome and I'll talk to you tomorrow
good morning everybody and welcome to
the highlight of human
civilization do you think you can make
this experience go up to another level a
level that nobody can even describe in
human words even AI has a problem with
it yes but all you need for that is a
cup or a mug or a glass a tanker chalis
time a canteen jugg or flask a vessel of
any kind fill that vessel with your
favorite liquid I like coffee and join
me now for the unparalleled pleasure
it's the dopamine end of the day thing
that makes everything better it's called
the simultaneous sip
go oh that's
good that's a good way to kick off the
day well in uh lesser
news uh I guess Biden's Grand
granddaughter has Secret Service
protection which one is it um doesn't
matter but his granddaughter and she was
walking in Georgetown late on Sunday
night oh Naomi Naomi Biden and at her
Secret Service detail saw that there was
a carjacking in action and apparently
they fired three shots to break it
up now we don't know enough about this
story to really know like was that smart
that they did that did did that in any
way protect
Naomi I doubt it you was it something
that they just decided they needed to do
because it just needed to be
done here here's what I'm
feeling despite the Daniel peny thing
and the fact that Heroes keep getting
arrested I feel like there's going to be
a wave of Citizen involvement I won't
say vigilante but citizen involvement
that's going to just
Skyrocket because it's one thing to know
your government should be handling it in
which case it's easy to stay
uninvolved and then there's another
phase where you hope they'll be involved
so you still don't get involved because
you're like well you know they're not
that reliable but I hope the government
will take care of this and then there's
the giving up phase which we may be
entering where you realize that if you
don't take care of crime on your own
you're going to lose your
neighborhood and I think that people are
reaching that giving up phase the part
where they say you know what if I don't
take down this robber I won't have
stores in my neighborhood so you know
it's a bad idea by the way I don't
recommend it I do not recommend
vigilante ISM you probably get arrested
I'm just saying that people are going to
do it because they're just fed up so
here's the story that appears in my head
without any support right I don't know
that this is true here's what I feel
with no evidence whatsoever
that at least one of these Secret
Service people was just sick of this
and just and just you know and you
know just started firing now I doubt
they fired at a person it was probably a
warning shots kind of thing I'm guessing
but um I don't know might be some more
evidence of this coming up so Soccer
Star Megan repo was in her final game of
her career and 3 minutes in she got an
injury that looked pretty bad but her
comment about it was quote I'm not a
religious person or anything and if
there was a god this is proof that there
isn't this is effed
up so Megan rapo thinks that she has
proven there's no God because she got
injured in her final
game well I don't think she meant that
literally but she might be an example of
somebody whose career would look better
if she never spoke
again that that would be my PR advice
hey Megan I've got an idea this will
this will work for you never speak again
just don't say
anything this will work out for
you that's my
advice well in the news we've got some
Bill Burr and some Bill bar do you know
your Burr's from your
bars if I told you a story about Bill
bar would you think it was Bill Burr
would you get those too confused well
they're both in the news uh as you know
you probably you heard this story
yesterday uh that bill bur the comedian
standup comedian was uh with his wife at
the uh UFC event where Trump came and
there was a photo taken of Bill Burr's
wife giving the double bird finger to
Trump when he wasn't
looking and then uh I commented that you
know it would it's going to be uh I
would love to know the conversation when
they got home and they find out it's a
headline news and it's trending
everywhere do you think that bill ever
said to his wife you know you just took
40% off our total income
forever now I don't know if that's
actually the case but it's never really
a good idea to insult 40% of the people
who would go to your shows which is what
happened now here here's how I took it
you might have taken it as hey this is a
political statement it's a political
world you know what would I be concerned
if somebody made a political statement
about somebody no it wouldn't make me
not go to the show I mean I watch Bill
Mah and I know he doesn't like President
Trump doesn't bother me a bit because
you know what I also think I don't think
that Bill Mar would hate me
personally like it doesn't feel personal
when he when he talks about it it feels
like it's political it's not about the
individuals although you know some
individual voters he might not love but
somehow my impression of this was that
giving the finger to Trump in public
feels like maybe I wouldn't be welcome
in their home either anybody did anybody
have that feeling that if you ever had
voted for Trump for example oh here's a
couple who would never invite me to
dinner like even if I worked with them
you know even if we were friends I don't
think I would ever be invited to their
house and so I said to myself huh I feel
like that was
personal like even though it was about
Trump I don't know that it really is
like and again there's no logic to this
I'm just telling you how it felt so that
was my just
feeling now so I did this uh this post
about it on AXS and I went to check the
traffic on it today cuz it keeps popping
up and 6.4 million
views now for
context I rarely get that many views on
any kind of a post and that's that's a
monster kind of a view uh which would
suggest that other people felt it the
same way I did that it was more about
his supporters maybe than him or at
least that it was equally about them so
we'll see if that has any impact on his
career probably not CU he's so popular
but it was it was interesting that so
many people might have had the same
feeling that's just a
guess well there is an update on my
experience trying to create an app
called a
GPT with AI I'll say again the interface
for creating the app you just talk to it
and you tell it what you want it to do
it's the most wildly awesome experience
if you've ever programmed anything so in
my younger days I did a lot of
programming wrote a lot of code
many of you don't know that and I
actually loved
it actually if cartooning hadn't worked
out um I would have loved being
programmer uh cuz the time went really
quick you know it was very engaging yeah
I would be completely just sucked into
the world of the program it was like
living inside a pinball machine that's
how I described it I loved it but this
new experience of just talking an app
into existence is like really actually
thrilling I don't know if I can quite
Express the feeling of talking an app
into existence it's wild because you
watch it happen while you're talking um
however uh I had experience that some
other people said they had which is
you'll upload some information to the uh
to the AI in this case the chat GPT
engine and it will tell you it sees it
and you can ask questions about it yes
it sees every part of it it can tell you
what's in it so you know that it can see
it but that's the part you're talking to
not the app so you say okay now you can
see it make sure make sure your app can
see it all the time whenever I ask a
question it says totally gotcha I'm
definitely going to use this information
and give it to you when he ask a
question and then you use the app that
it created so can you find this there
and it will say no I don't have that
data so so the part that makes the app
says it totally has the data and the app
can use it and then you use it it says
nope don't have access to it but here's
the wild
part you can actually negotiate with the
app so I so I get angry at the app and I
say why do you say you can't see it when
I know you can right you like talking to
it like a human and again this isn't the
this isn't the build the app part which
actually is side by side on the screen
this is the app itself so I get into it
with the app and it and it starts giving
me up the
information I actually had to cajo it to
tell me information and until I cajoled
it it was going to lie to me and say it
didn't have it now at first I thought it
was like a bug but once I realized that
it does have the information and it
knows it has the information and yet it
tells me it doesn't I think it's lying
to me and so I and so I wonder could you
ever build an app that you could depend
on the answer when I I built an app that
gave me two different answers on
something that's purely objective does
this information exist in your
database and it would say no unless you
asked it just right and yeah you
actually had to challenge it and tell it
that you knew it had it and then it
would give it to you crazy crazy uh I
don't know what this implies for
building these GPT apps but but it's a
wild experience I recommend it by the
way if you have any interest in this
field it's just you're seeing the future
like it's easy to imagine that that's a
a bug that will get fixed because it's
very specific it's acting like it
doesn't see the data that feels quite
fixable other people are having the same
experience
apparently but uh wow anyway I'd like to
test my BS detector you remember I told
you there's a story that allegedly an
Arab Arabic version of mine comp was
found in a Palestinian child's
bedroom now do you remember what I said
about that that's a little bit too on
the
nose that doesn't feel real right so
that was my take on it today uh Glenn
Greenwald was calling it out as coming
from a source which is a a known uh wild
propaganda site so it did not come from
a real Source it came from a source that
is well known for simply making up
so my I think my BS detector was
accurate in this case not 100% sure but
the source was so wildly ridiculous it's
probably
BS um Tim Scott has dropped down of the
race for
president now some of you are going to
say Tim Scott who's he I didn't know he
was in the race well that's probably why
he had to drop out because he didn't
really make a an impression in the end
he turned into an
NPC because the NPC part was actually
impressive for a while because in the
early days he would start out with his
inspirational story about how anybody
Can Make It in America you know like a
real classic classic American success
story kind of thing and and to many
Republicans he look like the antidote to
the racial wokeness it's like oh yeah
that's it you did all the right things
and then you got a good outcome and
indeed we see over and over again that
pretty much everybody who does all the
right things gets a pretty good outcome
so it was a great story but turned out
he didn't have much else I mean he had
policies but they didn't stand out as oh
Tim Scott's got this wild policy we
better talk about him his policies were
also generically
Republican that in the end all he had
was his
story and then it became I hate to say
it but it started to get pathetic that
the best he could do is go back to the
story it's a good story a great story
really a great American story but didn't
have enough just didn't have the juice
so I think he made the right choice to
get
out about who's getting in so you
remember the qanan shaman Jacob Chanley
who was uh wore the Bison hat and got
arrested and he was in jail for a long
time for January 6 he is going to run
for Congress as a Libertarian in
Arizona
hello now if he's a Libertarian that
means he's running against a republican
right as well as a Democrat I assume so
I don't you know I don't know what his
odds are but he is the Nelson Mandela of
our
time I'm just saying that so people can
get
mad that that was intentionally stated
to make you angry what there's no way
you can compare him to Nelson
Mandela I know that's why it's funny
he's a poor man's Nelson
Mandela but I do like the idea of if you
get locked up for reasons which the
public seems to think are um
inadequate that you can use that to
launch a campaign honestly I would vote
for him like not a joke if I were in
Arizona I'd probably vote for him over a
republican honestly because I didn't see
any Republicans get anybody out in jail
did you did you see the Republicans
fighting very hard to get January 6ers
in jail him if I were him I'd say
him I'm going to run as a
Libertarian and I would vote for him
because I don't know what qualities are
for the job but it's sort of a statement
right if you're going to lock somebody
up you better get it right you know it's
sort of one of those if you come for the
king he's not exactly the king but if
you come for him and you
miss you might get yourself new Congress
person so I I guess I love the
Justice um and just I don't know every
part of that story I like it's just it's
kind of classically wonderfully
American so I guess that's what I like
about
it uh the Wall Street Journal has this
big article about um black voters you
know moving a little bit more toward
Trump but just hold this in your mind
it's the Wall Street Journal okay hold
that in your mind first so it's one of
the most you know capable trusted news
Publications
keep in mind that it's
2023 and in
2023 The Wall Street Journal has an
article which makes the CL
claim uh that the fine people
hoax was not a hoax I mean they don't
say that they just refer to the
president calling people on both sides
of fine people like it was a fact in the
Wall Street Journal in a major article
feature article
in 2023 in the Wall Street
Journal now this was uh Katherine Lucy
wrote this and so I was so curious how
you could be so either wrong or
unethical I didn't know what was going
on so I checked her background she used
to work for the AP during the 2016
election if you work for the AP during
the 2016 election you were brainwashed
into thinking that the fine people hoax
wasn't a hoax cuz I think the AP
reported that it was real and then she
goes to the Washington U I'm sorry she
goes to the uh Wall Street Journal
writes a feature
article and the editors of the Wall
Street Journal don't catch
that it was a pretty important part of
the story I mean it was you know
important context of the larger
story what's going on
here because that's not an opinion
that's a wellestablished
fact that it didn't
happen in 2017 you could be maybe
excused for you know not knowing that
the fake news was fake but it's 2013 you
telling me that that nobody who read
this article before it got published was
aware that they were perpetrating one of
the biggest lies of American politics
Wall Street Journal doesn't know that
really what do you think is going on I
actually don't know do you think that
both the writer and whoever edited it
couldn't catch it and do you think that
after it was published they didn't get
enough push back to immediately correct
it I'm I'm actually puzzled here's a i
I'd like to challenge you with this um
challenge can you find me if the Wall
Street Journal has ever reported
factually that the fine people hoax was
a hoax cuz I'll bet they they have I
feel like I have a memory that the Wall
Street Journal is one of the few that
correctly said that didn't happen so I'm
wondering if their reporting is now two
opposites is that is that what happened
whereas the Wall Street Journal always
imagined that it happened have they
always reported it
wrong I I'd love to I'd love to know
what's going on
there anyway uh here's a little test for
uh your relatives for Thanksgiving I
like before the holidays I like to give
you something to say to your relatives
that are on the left that will get them
all you know worked
up just just to ruin all of your family
relations for fun all right here's the
test for cognitive
distance um you want to ask if they
agree with the following logic so you
tell them it's a logic question do you
agree with the following
logic uh that attorney general bill bar
and other advisers told Trump the 2020
election was fair and therefore Trump
knew the election was not
rigged so ask them if they agree with
that if they agree with that that's
cognitive
dissonance right now some of you are
saying but why is it why is that
cognitive dissonance if you're saying
that you're having cognitive dissonance
because everybody who doesn't have
cognitive dissonance knows immediately
what wrong with it and it's and here's
the important part it's not because some
people are good at logic and some people
are not this is something everybody
knows right let me give you an
example if you can't find your phone and
the only place you look is in your
bedroom can you conclude that no phone
exists everybody knows that that would
not be logical there there's nobody who
needs a logic lesson to to know that if
the only place you looked and you didn't
find it you could not conclude that it
does not exist anywhere else on Earth we
all know that now there's a special case
where if I ask you is there milk in the
refrigerator and you looked and there
was one container and you look and it's
empty and then you look really carefully
in the rest of the refrigerator and
there's no other milk yes in that very
weird specific case you can know there's
no milk in the
refrigerator but you know that's a very
special case but an election with 50
different states and you know who
however many precincts hundreds
thousands I don't even
know who who could possibly know that
all of the code of all the the election
machines every person who could have
done something
didn't is not knowable and everybody
knows that but you will get Democrats to
act like they don't know it that's
cognitive dissonance so the pretending
you don't understand the point is that
now if instead of addressing this you
know the moment you say okay that's
cognitive distance they say and you've
heard you've all heard
it the courts found nothing wrong with
the
election that's exactly the same
point the courts don't check everything
and the people who took things to the
court also can't check everything
so what the court saw was you know this
light tiny little sliver of a grain of
sand on the beach that's all they saw so
if they saw one grain of sand on the
beach can they conclude anything about
all beaches in the world probably not
so you will find out that after you
point out that somebody's in cognitive
dissonance for believing they know
something doesn't exist because they
didn't look for it very well they will
get angry and then what do they do
first they get angry what's the next
thing that
happens they change the subject but but
but Trump did something else bad find
people hoax but but but he said drink
bleach the drinking bleach hes right it
and it will always go that way or it
will turn into name calling I've
experienced
this well I guess you get your news from
kinon and I'll say this has nothing to
do with qanon and also I was debunking
qanon yeah yeah yeah but you get your
all your news from Fox News to which I
say no I don't I consciously and
publicly look at all the news sources
left and right and I criticize them all
yeah but Trump CR Trump said that a guy
with a disability in his arm he mocked
him in public no he didn't
you look at the compilation uh clips
that the right never sees where he's
been using the same gesture for ordinary
everyday people with no disabilities
forever which they have never
seen anyway so that's your fun for
Thanksgiving um Washington DC is having
trouble getting enough social workers uh
they've got some kind of a diversity
problem here cuz I guess there's some
kind of test you can take to qualify as
a social worker and 76% of white test
takers passed but only 33% of black test
takers did and weirdly uh Asian American
Test takers were in
between which you don't normally see in
these objective tests but um the belief
is that uh what's happening here is that
it's letting too many white people get
into the jobs and is what they say d
diversifying the field in other words
it's a field they want like everything
else to be Diversified but when you have
a test that white people are passing a
at a you know three times or more the
level of black people you're working
you're going in the opposite
direction and now you might ask
yourself uh and then the claim is that
the test itself is racially
biased so they're not saying that the
black applicants have less
qualifications they're saying that it's
a test that if you gave it to any white
person and any black person on average
not any person but on average um there
would be a racial bias bias built into
the questions so massive that has like a
tripling effect of you know who passes
and who fails I mean really B big effect
so what's your first
question what's your first question can
you give me an example of one of those
questions right well it turns out that
there they private and it makes sense
cuz it's a test you can't give people
the questions cuz then they know the
answers before they took the test so
they can't tell you the questions they
can only tell you they that they've
secretly seen the questions and they
think that they might be
biased do you buy that is that a strong
argument the things we can't show you
are
biased well remember there used to be
the same argument about the SATs
do you remember that years ago people
said the SATs the questions are biased
and I remember saying the same thing can
you give me an example of a biased math
question or or a biased any other kind
of question and they actually had an
example that that persuaded me now I
don't know how many of these there are
but I'm going to give you the same
example and I remember hearing it and
thinking I'll be damned they do actually
have an example that's complet
completely racially biased here's the
example I heard now I'm not going to
claim that from this one example you can
say much but what if there are more
examples you know I was surprised there
was even one example and I'm going to
give it to you but what if there more or
here's the example the question was
something like match this word to the to
the one that's you know that goes with
it and the Word was cup and and the
options were table saucer and then some
third one like
plate the white applicants or the white
test takers were more likely to say cup
and saucer because they're literally a
pair cup and saucer but if you were from
a low-income house what are the odds
you'd ever seen a saucer so it turns out
that a lot of the low-income people
didn't even what a saucer
was is that their is that their fault is
is is there something you know wrong
with them that they' never heard of a
saucer no actually you would need to be
at a certain economic level before you'd
ever seen one you'd never seen one you
know so it's not even a word in your
vocabulary and I thought to myself
that's actually a good
point well do you agree with that one do
you agree with that one
point
well here's what I would say
what did the poor white people
do did the poor white people say
table so I don't know the answer to that
question but in both in both cases I was
surprised that there could be a question
that might that might actually have some
racial bias to it that was a better
example than I was expecting so I'm not
going to say because I don't know that
this test is uh unbiased and you know
there's something wrong with the test
takers I don't know
that but we we got questions we got
questions all
right here's some maybe good news but
it's it's a good news I've been reading
about for I know my entire life and it's
never been true yet so here's the thing
that's never been true even
once but it gets reported once a month
forever there's a gigantic breakthrough
in cancer
treatment now I get that the cancer
people have actually made amazing
strides in a in a number of different
cancers so there's been quite a bit of
progress but the the major breakthrough
the one that gets all the cancers you
know we're always hearing that that's
that's Ah that's a week way never is no
nope but here's but this one is
interesting more interesting than most
so scientists at the UC Davis
Comprehensive Cancer Center in
Sacramento they they think they found
this thing called the cd95 receptor that
can program a cancer cell to die in
other words there might be a common
element to all cancers that's a kill
switch now all the other treatments have
not looked for a kill switch they've
looked for a weakness I mean this is my
non-scientist explanation they've looked
for weaknesses they could exploit but
they never found a Kill switch like if
you just tweak this thing boom just
turns
off uh now they don't have any
apparently they don't have any
treatments that will turn it off but but
but they think that's potentially
possible now here's here's even the
reason I'm telling you this story at all
because it falls into the category of
things that they get real excited about
because they cured a mouse and then it
just doesn't work in a person right I
mean you've seen that a billion times
which is typical Mo most of the mouse
studies do not actually translate into
humans but it's better than not doing a
mouse study you know if it fails in the
mouse study you're probably done but the
humans just don't work like mice enough
to think it's going to work because it
worked in a
mouse but here's my question if you were
to look at the let's say the Machinery
of cancer if you you treat the cancer
cell like it's a a really complicated
machine if you're human being and you're
trying to figure out the
machine how many decades did it take us
to find that there's this cd95 receptor
like it took forever and it might have
even been an accident I don't know you
know maybe they just stumbled on it but
how many how many complications are
there in a cell cancer cell if you
imagine it like a machine because it is
kind of a biological machine with
parts um it may be too complicated that
any human could even know how to get
their head around it but what about
AI do you think AI could look at a bunch
of cancer cells and a bunch of different
situations and then use its Advanced
pattern
recognition and maybe the visual kind as
opposed to the word
kind could it determine the the
mechanism that makes the machine work
simply by seeing a lots of examples of a
cancer cell working so you put it in
lots of different situations and watch
how works you see what changes and maybe
you look for a
pattern I don't know but but I wonder if
pattern recognition could get you to
understanding the Machinery of a
cell if you could see enough parts of it
working you know too complicated for a
human but too complicated for a I don't
know a quantum computer with AI I don't
know so just something to think
about all right uh how about that 2024
election um so rasmuson did a poll says
53% of likely voters think the economy
has gotten worse under Biden well 30%
say the economy has gotten better how in
the world can you get
reelected if more than half of the
people think the economy got worse under
you now of course everything's unfair
because the um the pandemic just changed
all the economics of things
so you can't really give him credit for
the increase in employment because that
was going to happen naturally you can't
really fault him for the economy not
being as good as it was before the
pandemic there pretty good reasons for
that but in terms of how people react
and vote how in the world can he get it
get elected when more than half of the
country thinks he made the economy worse
or he didn't make it
better well yeah I'd be worried about
those
worried about election
Integrity but related to this and also
rasmuson if you if you don't follow the
rasmuson
account uh they they're very active in
running down all the various allegations
about 2020 and what evidence there is
that has not been debunked and it is a
whole different world when you look at
their claims which by the way are always
backed with documents
right everything raspin has said about
the election they print the document you
know they point to the you know the
paragraph that matters to their point
you can see yourself so there there are
still bunch of things going on I'm kind
of lost in it but I'll tell you this
this world of we almost have the Kraken
is completely different from the other
world in the other
world
uh that everything's been debone
and it's just done do you know the story
about the I I've told this a bunch of
times there's an allegation that there's
a locked closet with 150,000 ballots
that are fake ballots and that the
courts wouldn't open the thing but it
went to a higher court and they said yes
you got to open it up but the lower
court is dawling but if they could open
up that door you know you could see that
the ballots were or were not
fake but then I read the Atlanta
Constitution it says oh that's an old
claim and they've already looked at all
the ballots and the ballots were
fine those two things can't be the same
they've either looked at all these
questionable ballots and found no
problem which is in the
newspaper or the court is doing
something that doesn't make any sense
which is trying to look at look for
those same ballots that have already
been checked in a room is it exactly
150,000 in both cases but it's two
different cases I don't understand
what's going going
on I cannot I cannot figure out how to
combine those two realities even by
explaining that one has the wrong
information and one has the right
information like they are just so
different worlds right now and I don't
know what to make of it so I'll I'll
tell you my general advice for every
specific claim the odds of it being true
or vanishingly
small but there's a lot of activity
going on
the odds of all of it being
untrue well here I would go back to my
general statement that every one of the
our American institutions has shown
itself to be corrupt just recently not
it's not even historical but in the last
just few years you found everything from
the Department of Justice the FBI the
CIA the you know the FDA the CDC the
World Health Organization if you go
outside of America
am I right we found everything from
science to Congress every bit of it is
corrupt in really really substantial
ways so what are the odds that the
elections in all 50 states were
pristine close to zero now that doesn't
mean that there was enough fraud to over
over you know change the result I have
no no information about that to support
that
theory but there's a lot going on there
in a sketchy domain so I'm I'm going to
say it's the claims are still
alive but I could not put any kind of
likelihood on them based on the
facts uh I will default to my three act
play model of prediction and the third
act model says that even though the
evidence is
unclear that reality is going to start
solidifying toward finding a kraken
right before the election and it turns
out that at least one of these cases I
think the Georgia
one uh something substantial might be
decided in the world of the 2020
election before Trump has his trial
about whether his claims about the
election he knew they were
fake so the so the timing is now as I
predicted the timing is now lined up
correctly that we'll know something
about the election of 2020 it it may be
perfectly fine we might find that out
but the timing is lined up so we would
find that out before Trump is called
into account for anything he did because
of his belief that there was
fraud it's looking too perfect at the
moment um Aaron says to me yeah you're
too smart for a qinon but you'd readily
vote for the Lar q q shelan in Arizona
position we live
in yes I would was there a point you had
to
make I I see I see the anger and the
sarcasm but I don't see the
point you're just saying what I said
that I would vote for him and I don't
believe
Kut is there a problem with that is
there some some conflict with that I
didn't say that he'd be a great Congress
person did did you hear something I
didn't say I didn't say that he would do
policies that I love I never said
that yeah drunk in the morning I
think all right uh there also in the
rasmuson
universe um there are some Wisconsin
election
election
machines and there's a document that
shows a claim that somebody was going to
to make sure that they kept the
important ones connected to the internet
with a secret
connection now that that one actually
looks too on the nose for me that it's
in writing you know it looks like a real
document and there somebody was going to
keep secret internet connections to some
machines like like that's just too on
the nose if I had to guess and it would
only be a guess it might be true that
there was techi who said we'll keep
these important ones connected to the
internet but that doesn't mean that they
connected to them to to the internet to
cheat it could be they connected to them
to the internet for some kind of test
that was temporary I don't know I don't
know so I don't know what I don't even
know how to score this one for his
likelihood there's just so much going on
in this election domain but again
remember at least 90% of everything you
hear about these election
will be debunked you can guarantee that
even if there's anything true most will
be
BS all right um Greta
tunberg so you all know her famous
climate science Advocate was at an event
and uh uh another climate protester who
you would think would be on her side uh
came on stage and took the mic away from
her because she kept talking about um
Gaza and he was like um we're here to
talk about climate uh this is not for
you to talk about
Gaza
so that was fun so watching the climate
people ha hate on each
other
um Cornell West making news so despite
the fact that Cornel West says directly
that you know he l loves all of his uh
Jewish brothers and sisters um he still
calls the situation over there an
occupation and here here's what I call
word
thinking
um oh wow
um so word thinking thinks you can win
the argument if you get people to agree
with your word so that's what this is so
Corell West is not engaged in anything
like you know reason or debate he's
trying to win by getting you to think
that his use of a word is the way you
should use it too so he says that Israel
is uh that it's an
occupation what does that
mean is is Gaza occupied well at the
moment it is but was Gaza occupied when
Israel pulled
out does he mean that or
and what does occupied mean if you have
a society in which some people like how
it's going and some
don't it's like everybody's
occupied right so that Word occupation
is doing way too much
lifting and he's getting all the push
back you would
imagine so uh yeah a lot of push back on
that now he also uses um
apartheid so those those would be the
two
most let's say disputed words in in this
situation but the biggest problem he
makes is trying to conflate all this
stuff um I going to say it
again I judge the October 7th event like
it was the beginning of History it
wasn't and things that happened before
matter but not to
this not to this you know the the you
know the actual ATT on October 7th
requires a strong response that has
nothing to do with anything that ever
came before so I refused to act like
that that the history had anything to do
with
anything and I ask you this
question given that the Palestinians
have a tremendous amount of support more
support than you thought right you
probably a lot of you were surprised wow
a lot of
Palestinian uh support that you didn't
know about now given that they have so
much support which means that their
public relations has been successful to
some extent don't you think they could
use that level of support to really
highlight the specific complaints that
Corno West would call
occupation or or
apartheid like what would be an example
and and if they could give an example
could they give a specific solution so
one one of the cases might be you know
our water rights were you know taken
over by Israeli Farmers something like
that you know some ordinary thing like
that but what was the
alternative you know you need to know a
little bit about that was there was
there a legitimate
claim was the water not being used but
it could be used productively over here
was there any court case about it I mean
there's a lot to know before you can say
if something's a
an occupation or simply the way things
made sense at the
time
so the dog not barking here and I'll say
it a million times is if there's really
a Palestinian set of complaints that
would go under the title an occupation
and an
apartheid give us
examples give us real examples and then
maybe it would look to us like oh wow
they actually have some like real
political complaints here maybe we
should take this
seriously but if on the back of hamas's
you know incredible terrorist attack
you're trying to push this vague notion
that there's Badness going on with no
examples it doesn't sound like anything
useful and it makes the entire
Palestinian narrative look like it's not
real would you
agree that the fact that the these
allegedly
legitimate complaints are completely
ignored while there seems to be a little
bit too much um let's say too much
understanding of why something like the
Hamas situation could occur you maybe
that's giving that a little bit too
much too much uh
credibility so um and then I'll remind
my audience that I'm not trying to be
objective about the uh Israel in Gaza
situation so unlike some other topics
where I'm really trying to make you know
an effort to show both sides before I
give you an opinion I'm not going to do
that in this
case not at all I I'm backing the team
that wouldn't kill me if they had a
chance is that fair I'm telling you this
directly the Jews aren't going to kill
me if they had an
opportunity
right but Hamas they would kill me if
they had an opportunity so it's not like
there's you know I I don't recognize two
sides there's my side people who would
even protect me you know it would be
easy to imagine you know the Jewish
population being protective of American
population if if the opportunity came up
easily but I don't see Hamas protecting
me if the opportunity came up so I'm
just taking um I'm not even looking at
it politically I'm just taking sides
with the with the group that's on my
side that's it so don't ask me to
consider the history I don't care I
don't care about any of their history I
care about backing the side that's on my
side that's
it all
right uh VI has an interesting idea for
firing government employees because he
wants to reduce the number of uh emplo
employees he said uh this is really
clever so listen to this so if a says
the number one obstacle to stop Trump
from firing the bureaucrats you know the
Civil Service people is because they had
too much protection so if you fired a
bunch of civil servants you could expect
that some gigantic number of them would
file suits and say the only reason you
got rid of me is cuz I'm black or gay or
whatever it is and then even if it's not
true uh and maybe in some cases it would
be true but in any case you'd have too
many
lawsuits so it just isn't practical
here's V's
idea uh fire 50% of federal bureaucrats
immediately using any neutral metric for
example if your s social security number
ends in an odd number you're
fired because nobody can say that
discrimination was involved
because there there's Randomness to who
has what social security
numbers now is that a good idea or a bad
idea I actually can't tell but here's
what I like about it it's outside the
box he just picked well he just picked
up the box and just shook the piss out
of it how much do I like the Box shakers
oh I like them I like my box shakers
yeah shake that freaking box there
V now I I put this in the category of
brainstorming and the the concept I've
taught you a million times which is
sometimes the bad idea will get you
closer to the good idea because it
shakes up the way you're thinking about
it this is such a radical departure from
the way government has ever done
anything that it suddenly opens up your
brain you go wait a minute wait a minute
if you can go that far out of the
out of the
ordinary maybe you could go out of the
ordinary in another way you know maybe
I've got a better idea to go outside the
ordinary so this is this is yet another
case of aake uh making the country a
better place without yet being
elected just the fact that he put this
into the public mind is freaking awesome
right you could you could end up not
liking it there might be an argument
against it I'm sure there is but wow I
mean he's making us
smarter before he's elected the the fact
that you now have this in your head as
one of the things that you could offer
as an idea in a similar situation he
just made you smarter like who else does
that and he kind of owns that that thing
where he's making things well RFK Jr too
I would say I think rfj K Jr is a you
know a patriot for making the process
better by
participating all right
um I saw a DC Drano
post Reuters is reporting that Master
Guard is uh now linking their bonuses of
their employees to ESG
goals or as DC Drano points
out uh they will get a bonus for
avoiding hiring white men
just think about that your employees
will get a bonus for the for how
effectively they discriminate against
white men in the real world that's like
a real thing they use different words to
describe it but there's no other way to
see
it how's that still
okay even Black Rock has backed off from
pushing ESG because they said it was
just poison you know too many people
just see it as
poison and and somebody's handling your
money the people you know the people who
help you handle your money got this
going on well I'll tell you I would
never use MasterCard if I had an
option so I would just use something
else if if you have an option I wouldn't
use
it all
right
um I saw a provocative posted today but
it's provocative it maybe a slightly
different way than you're going to take
it so there was some data that showed
that since
1959 so this is basically my lifetime
all right I was born in 57 so basically
my lifetime this is a data that is
alleged to be true that um the number of
black people killed by white people
during my lifetime murdered you know
just
murdered
53,000
in my lifetime white people have
murdered
53,000 freaking black people murdered
them at the same time black people
killed
156,000 white
people now of course your brain is
saying wait there are far fewer black
people in the world but they killed uh
three times as many white people as the
reverse
so so there's going to be a you know
racial element to your thinking when I
tell you
this but here's what you should be
thinking like just forget the Race part
for a
minute we Americans killed 200,000 of
each other in my lifetime not
accidentally not accidentally in my
lifetime
Americans killed 200 thousand
other Americans
intentionally that that just like makes
my brain
explode but I'm still in favor of Second
Amendment just in case you
wondered so I guess that's the cost of
of you know gun
ownership and if you asked me is it
worth it yes
yes it's not easy but nothing
is all right um how would you like me to
reprogram Alex Soros who now runs the
George Soros funding operation how would
you like me to reprogram him so that he
uh no longer is destroying
America would you like to give me that
challenge anybody anybody challenge
accepted I've already done it so this
morning
um Alex Soros did a post on X in which
he said this and so this was just 9 hour
well probably 10 hours ago he said uh
for all those saying that they won't
vote for Biden because of Gaza please
realize you will be complicit in Trump
being able to do all of this and then
the all of this is a link to his uh uh
Trump's immigration proposals which were
quite Draconian you know rounding up 4
million people and put putting them
temporarily into some kind of camps
until they can be repatriated to the
original countries now I'm not going to
argue whether Trump had a good or bad
plan at the moment that's a separate
conversation I think he'll end up you
know negotiating it down like he did the
first time you know not deporting 25
million people like he said he would but
it's a good you know opening offer
probably works during the primaries you
makes them a little stronger Etc um so
what do you think of
that is that is that a reasonable
statement from Alexander Soros to say
that uh if you won't vote for Biden
because of Gaza you should realize that
what you're getting is these Trump
immigration policies is that a good
point well kind of yeah I mean at least
the the the cause and effect is solid
right if you get Trump if the reason you
voted for Trump was cuz Gaza you're
going to get all the Trump
stuff that's true
however Alex Soros did open up a
persuasion Channel which I don't think
he knew he was
doing and when he opened that channel I
said to myself that's what I've been
waiting for that's exactly what I've
been waiting for I didn't know what I
was waiting for but I knew it in heed to
be an opening and this opening just came
so I quote tweeted
him or quote posted him and I said this
to Alexander Soros I said you are the
reason Trump will get elected Alex open
borders crime in
cities uh that's what I hear from voters
on the right I doubt Trump would be
competitive I doubt Trump would be
competitive in
2024 without
you the left and right live in different
bubbles so you might not be aware of
this and we're
done now this is why I told you if I had
a million followers I could change the
world generally speaking if you use the
xplatform at all if somebody quote treat
quote uh tweets you and that person has
a million followers you're going to
notice
it would you say that's I mean he's he's
a political actor probably follows
social media at least cursory but even
if he doesn't follow it himself it's the
sort of thing somebody would mention to
him right now when I
said to Alex Soros Alex you are
specifically the reason Trump will be
elected is that
fair I I think it's fair because the um
the things that are the tiebreakers with
what would be a close election is crime
in cities and
immigration and especially in the
context of the Gaza situation it makes
you it gives you a higher level of
concern about our own immigration
situation now if Alex Soros saw that and
I think there's a good chance he will is
he going to disagree with my point do
you think that he doesn't know that what
will elect Trump is the open borders
that his family um supports and funds
and the then the prosecutors allowing
too much crime in the cities do you
think he doesn't know
that well if he didn't and I think it's
possible because the bubbles are so
extreme he he may have never talked to
anybody on the right yeah it's possible
that in years he hasn't had a serious
conversation with anybody who is uh
capable of describing a reasonable
Republican opinion about things probably
probably never but I kept I kept my
comment and and look at the technique as
well so you see in the first sentence I
use this first
name now often when people do that
they're doing it in sort of a mocking
aggressive way so people will say to me
well Scotty here's what you forgot you
know it's usually when you use
somebody's first name and you don't know
them it's is a little bit of an Neu
right but I didn't use it that way so I
used it in the way that you would talk
to a friend so I said you are the reason
Trump will get elected Alex so I wanted
to make sure that he didn't see this as
an
attack because I don't mean it that way
I mean it as
persuasion based on the real world and
not in any way a propaganda and not in
any way an attack I honestly believe
this is my actual belief with no
ambiguity in it whatsoever that there
couldn't be any way that Alex Soros
knows the impact of his
actions would you agree with that and I
think that that's not his fault I think
that we all live in such a bubble that
you know I don't know the impact of my
actions either because I only see what
happens in my
bubble It's Perfectly Natural to not see
the the impact of your actions right
that that wouldn't be surprising at all
and especially if you're surrounded with
people telling you everything you do is
awesome
all right so and then
um and then I make a claim which is
checkable that the open borders and the
crime in the cities are big levers for
Trump now that's checkable wouldn't you
say there are polls and people tell you
what they care about you could look at a
poll of Republican opinion and just see
what's near the top and then see if you
are the cause of the things near the top
and the answer is yes yeah yeah
immigration and crime would be near the
top and they very much would be
him now I've said before that I would be
surprised if George Soros um all of his
views and opinions are completely
adopted by his
son now while George Soros is alive and
presumably he could maybe still take
power away from his son if he needed to
probably they'll be in lock
step but soon after the the father
passes I would expect Alex Soros because
he's not the same person to have some
Freedom that maybe he doesn't have at
the moment and I can't believe that he
would look at the result of his actions
up to this point with his father and say
that worked out if he had access to the
same information that you and I have so
I think he's
persuadable I do not believe uh the um
the Elon Musk idea that George Soros
hates humanity and that that somehow
explains what Alex Soros is doing that
doesn't make sense to me because if
George Soros hates Humanity because he
went through the
Holocaust but his son was probably
raised in a totally privileged situation
nowhere near anything like that why
would they both have the same
opinion like that I mean even though it
comes from your father and you know
that's very influential you know there
there there are more cases where people
reject their father than accept it right
so it doesn't quite make sense that the
son is acting the way the father does so
my my my theory is that there's an
information problem there's just a gap
in
information that I filled it in for him
and I I kept it sure and
respectful right I tried to keep it
respectful well let me ask you did it
come off as
respectful because if it wasn't
respectful then it
failed I'll read it again is this
respectful uh you are the reason Trump
will get reelected Alex open borders
crime in
cities uh that's what I hear from voters
on the right I doubt Trump would be
competitive in 2024 without you the left
and right live in different bubbles so
you might not be aware of this is that
respectful cuz I do mean to be
respectful I have no reason to believe
that Alex Soros is a bad
guy I don't the evidence suggests that
the father is his own entity and we
don't know what will happen when his
influence
wains so interestingly one person Alex
Soros
has really The Leverage to determine who
the next president is and also to save
the country
Alex Soros can save the
country that's not an exaggeration is it
imagine if that just one change if he
just said okay I'm going to have to
prioritize you know the defense of
innocent people that's all it would take
you know maybe we push too hard we still
want we still want lots of immigration
but we don't want to do it this way
gigantic so you have one person who
absolutely has control over the outcome
and I would ask
him be be a citizen of the world right
just be a good citizen just just just
take the time to see what the
Republicans are thinking and saying just
take the time just just open up your
bubble a little bit and I think
everything works out if you just open up
your bubble is that too
optimistic
sure yeah yeah one one of the things I
like to bring you is optimism is
optimism always a good prediction hell
no optimism can be a pretty bad
prediction a lot of the times but
overall I think you know we humans will
figure stuff out and I do think that uh
Alex Soros is young enough and smart
enough that if he can escape from his
bubble that the world would be immensely
better I mean really big difference if
he you know turned his power just a
little bit he can still have immigration
by the way if what he wants is Freer
immigration I actually like that a lot I
think the world would be a better place
if you could just pick up and move
anywhere there was a job as long as you
were documented and legal and you obeyed
the
laws I think we can make that work
actually in fact it would probably work
in in America better than we work in
other places so long as we also had some
filter for making sure we're getting the
the good immigrants you know the ones
who want to work and don't want to do
crime
so you know there there's a version of
the the Soros image of the world that
actually does work for Republicans I
know it's hard to believe but there is a
version that works and he could find it
if if that's his mission if he wants to
do
that you saying he's disqualified
himself well I would agree at the moment
that his credibility is not where you'd
like it to be but remember we do not see
him as an independent actor yet he might
become one that would be the optimism
but not yet and it's not that unusual
that people you know pivot from where
their parents were so yeah I do have
some optimism about that I absolutely
do all right ladies and Gent
this is what I've got for you today on
YouTube thanks for joining and uh as
always you're awesome and I'll talk to
you
tomorrow