Episode 2309 Scott Adams - CWSA 12/01/23 The News Has A Pattern Lately. I'll Tell You What It Means

good morning everybody and welcome to another highlight of human civilization it's called coffee with Scott Adams because it includes both of those things and if you'd like to take this experience up to a level which nobody can even imagine with their greatest imagination all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tankered CH a canteen Jer flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparallel pleasure it's the dopam mean hit of the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous Sip and it happens now oh yeah savor it savor it well happy December I'd like to start with a human interest story about my garbage now you say to yourself that Scott how interesting could a story about your garbage be well not very but I'm going to tell you anyway so I have a garbage anxiety which the people who watch me live stream on my man cave know so there's a on Wednesday night I have to take my four garbage cans you know two of them are from outdoor Waste and Recycling and blah BL so there's four of them and I got this long kill of a driveway so it's kind of a lot of work now I have anxiety about forgetting to do it cuz by Wednesday night you know by the time it's after 5:00 on in the evening you know I I start really early sometimes 300 or 4 in the morning so you know that's the end of my day basically so I often forget so I I forgot last week or I got confused because of the holiday so I got I had two weeks full of garbage in my garbage cans now uh that the locals platform reacts to my hand gestures and when I said to it read P sign and and balloons went off uh so that's fun you can't see that but if you could you'd think it was funny anyway so I've got two weeks full of garbage in a one we can it's like T it's packed to the top but I noticed that I had you know two garbage cans in case I have these big days of garbage that happen sometimes and and both of them were like one was full and the other was full so I I reached down by hand and took out these old gnarly garbages and stuffed them in the one so that I'd have you know one less trip down the the driveway so now I've got garbage that's so heavy I can almost not drag them downhill they're so heavy well over 100 lb and uh there two of them I get them down there and I it was you know maybe close to 7:00 at night and I and I had a really hard day worked really hard got up really early been working all day and my body was really sore and I thought you know what I'm going to do something I never get to do I'm feeling good cuz my work's done my garbage is out to the street I don't have anything that I have to do the rest of the night I'm going to draw myself a hot bath when was the last time you had time to do that like the most decadent thing you could possibly do as an adult as an adult when do you have time to take a bath you just sit in hot water and have nothing else to do but this was the first time I could think of probably in a year where I just legitimately would I was done with all of my work and especially done with my garbage the best part I I could get that in my mind so I go to fill my bathtub going to put some uh EPs and salt in there and really rest my muscles and then I get a message Bing oh it's my next door neighbor your garbage cans have been hit by a car your garbage is strewn all over the street now do you ever think that the universe is just messing with you th this was actually my one of my biggest irrational concerns is remembering to put my garbage out and of all the times that I put my garbage out so I've been in this house I 15 years or something so in 15 years of putting the garbage out I'm the only one who does it every night only once only once in all those years has it been the most packed that the garbage has ever been packed only once and uh I actually got on the security cameras I won't be more specific but I got a good picture of the car taking them out it didn't stop imagine imagine driving at full speed hitting two objects that are 100 lb a piece uh knocking them all over the street and continuing on yeah probably drunk probably drunk maybe drunk or maybe there were two drivers and one of them was having a better time than the other if you know what I mean like I like to think of it in a positive way so that was my evening but uh let's get on to other things uh here's one of my topics visual persuasion and as I've told you visual persuasion uh includes somebody talking and describing something that you imagine visually so uh here's Matt Gates using amazing visual persuasion talking about the potential expulsion of George Santos from Congress for whatever behaviors that are boring and I don't care about uh but uh Matt Gates says whatever Mr.

Santos did with botox or only fans is far less concerning to me than the indictment against Senator Menendez wait for it who's holding gold bars from Egypt uh while he's still getting classified briefings now I think he actually went on to say that the gold bars actually had an Arabic on them so he had he had gold bars with Arabic writing from Egypt and he's still doing his job the one of the most critical confidential jobs in in all of the world he's still on the job but but boy we got to we got to get rid of this George Santos guy because he's told some lies and apparently he may may have used some Botox and and he looked at porn once so got to get rid of that guy anyway the the visual persuasion of the gold bars with Arabic on them from Egypt that is really really good public speaking like if if you don't catch how good that is just always look for the visual this is what Trump does you know he doesn't say we need border security he says build the wall because then you imagine the wall good technique um so you know Twitter's coming on all this uh you know great uh scrutiny for what people are claiming is you know bad people on there being matched or identif let's say content being paired that shouldn't be paired and all that but what are you things happening over at Facebook so Facebook is being accused of having too much uh I don't even want to say the word but let's just say if you're not over 18 you know you know what I mean so basically content of people who are not adults uh that should not even be legal which is you know paired with advertisements and stuff and fed to kids and all kinds of damn things and uh then other people are saying that there's a Palestinian group accusing meta the parent company of unfairly moderating speech um because of the Israel Hamas situation and I think to myself is it my imagination or is everything about Facebook feeling old and and a date like Facebook doesn't even feel relevant to anything I know it must be I mean it's gigantic but in my in my life it doesn't have any relevance at all the only time I look is you know once every several months I want to maybe check on and see what people are up to that's it like I never interact I never comment it just has no appeal at all I imagine if you got kids or something you know young kids maybe or or you like to show off your vacations maybe it's better for that but Facebook in 2023 almost 2024 feels like a dinosaur whereas the xplatform is still so edgy that we're still talking about what it is yeah we can't even decide what it is it's changing so quickly and there's so much going on the X always seems new so everything about X feels fresh and new it's about what's happening today and it's you know big things that I care about and Facebook is tiny little things that you shouldn't even see like some what somebody ate on vacation and just really I don't I have no idea how Facebook could be a viable product going forward now I get I do get Instagram and I get Whats.

App so they have they have assets that are valuable but I just don't get the core business at all anyway um people are uh canceling Disney plus and Hulu which is owned by Disney uh after the dust up between uh Elon Musk and his advertisers including Disney and I wonder do you think that Bob Iger knows that Disney doesn't have any modern and good products like I it's rare to see a company that is that completely completely right because so um they own ABC News Right do I have that right Disney owns ABC news but but television news is just the most ridiculous dinosaur in the world so I wouldn't want any I wouldn't want to own ABC news or ABC I wouldn't want to own network news but I also wouldn't want to own a uh a theme park in which you have to stand for long periods of time for a brief thrill when most of the kids have a a smartphone in their hand and they're looking at their phone and they got 700 bits of entertainment while they were waiting for your three minutes of going up and down whoa whoa I can't even imagine how theme parks could be in existence 10 more years from now how does it even make sense I feel as though you maybe virtual reality or something there'll be something that is just more interesting but if I if I were making woke movies nobody wanted to see with dying franchises that I mostly killed by my bad decisions about wokeness usually uh there is nothing happening at Disney that looks good there's nothing happening that looks good I think Bob iger's got a problem the likes of which only China can understand only China we'll talk about that later well I'm loving this story um about uh Trump's valuations and the trial about whether he overvalued his assets as you know uh and Jonathan turley's writing about this and tweeting about it um imagine that you're the the judge and you've already ruled keep in mind that the current process is to figure out what the penalty will be but the ruling is already made Trump is already guilty according to this judge of uh fraud for inflating his assets so now the question will be how big is the penalty including taking away their ability to operate their business at least in New York I guess um I mean serious like the mo the biggest penalty you could ever imagine now the essence of it is that he did something uh bad so that the the banks were on the other side of that Badness but then the bank itself testified and they said and keep in mind this is in the penalty phase not the trial phase right but in the penalty phase the testimony debunked the trial I don't know if I've ever seen that before can any you've ever heard of that here's what I mean so the trial was that Trump did a Bad Thing by overv valuating assets and that's fraud the bank said and I'm this is just just me paraphrasing right they didn't say this exactly the bank said he was a great customer we would love to work with him again again I'm paraphrasing they didn't say it exactly but the essence of it is yes a great customer he was a whale of a customer the ones we seek out we made millions of dollars would love to do that kind of business with him again and here's the punchline we never accept the borrowers word for their assets that is ordinary business to do our own investigation which we of course did and made our own decision about the value of the loan apparently we made good decisions because they were always paid back on time and we made a profit would love to do it again that's in the penalty phase here's a question for you why wasn't that in the trial probably because it didn't matter probably because the judge said it doesn't matter what the opinion of the bank is if you lied you lied that would be fraud but I assume it's something like that because isn't the most critical part of understanding what he did is what the other party to the transaction was thinking about it what the other party was thinking about it and how they turned out is not maybe not the most important thing but it's pretty close well maybe it is the most important thing the fact that there's no victim not only is there no victim but the victim would love to have it happen again like please can you victimize me again Mr.

Trump and by the way if everything works out for you we'd love to do business with you again imagine being that judge just imagine how faced that judge is right now that that has to be the most embarrassing judicial situation I've ever heard of have you ever heard of a judge being embarrassed like that that is super embarrassing wow and I would like to go further now um I I've already bragged that because I was a banker and specifically I was a a loan officer I was I was a guy who approved loans to certain kinds of businesses and I told you early on in this process that the bank isn't going to complain because the bank always does their own checking no exceptions you can't be a lender and sometimes take their word for it that's not a thing there there is no loan ever ever anywhere you know in a Traditional Bank ever not once where where the lender said you know what you look like an honest guy I'm going to take your word for that literally never now venture capitalist might if you're a venture capitalist or especially an angel more an angel than a venture capitalist because Venture capitalists are practically Bankers but an angel might say you know what I don't know exactly even what you're talking about but you're such a good you know manager I'll just take your word for it that that does happen but not in a bank not not ever in a bank it just doesn't happen so now the public knows that but here's the interesting question how many criminals do you believe according to this judge who says if you exaggerate or lie to your bank you've committed a crime if you were to look at the uh dut bank loan files how often would you find that the person asking for the loan had grossly exaggerated the value of one of their assets how often a lot and that's why the bankers were completely unconcerned because it's actually routine completely normal that the and trust me I'm not guessing I've looked at a lot of loans and the first thing you do is you take their estimate and you cut it by half that's just the most basic banking thing you do everybody does it so isn't this the case of unequal justice so you've got let's say you've got a filing cabinet full of loan you know loans you know obviously it's digital but just imagine it and in maybe 2third of those loans the bank didn't believe the asset value and the bank was probably right Bank was right the asset value was overstated are all those people going to be tried are they all going to be put out of business by this judge how in the world how in any world could this stand a supreme court review like I'm not even a lawyer or or even close to a lawyer and to me it's obvious this this can't possibly get through any kind of you know higher Court approval how could it how in the world do do you think the Supreme Court is going to say yes uh the banker and Trump acted in the most routine way that anybody acts exactly like 2third of their other uh lenders or their other customers just like two-thirds of all the customers but one of them is going to go to jail or one of them is going to lose their business not go to jail how's that work there there's not any chance that this can hold up this is so political th this judge is how embarrassing and as you know uh Laura lomer discovered that the judges wife was posting you know F Trump memes and showing him with a shaved head in a prison suit well long before the trial how in the world does this pass any kind of Supreme Court review I mean that alone well I don't know how the Supreme Court works on that but if the Supreme Court knew that his wife was you know unambiguously biased against him how in the world does the court say yes Justice was served there how in the world it's absurd um and Trump posted about the uh judge's wife posting that stuff on Truth social all right um in 2018 my stepson died of a fental overdose and I publicly vowed that I would get even with China cartels to and I told you in 2018 I was going to persuade the world that China was unsafe to do business because I believed it was unsafe to do business but I didn't think people could see it the way I saw it so I started saying that over and over and over again and um the news today from The Wall Street Journal is that uh 5 years years later China is unsafe for business and I'll bet you every single company that invested in China a long-term investment in 2018 is kind of unhappy that that happened so do you think uh how was my prediction so I I made a prediction about the trial you know the banking trial with Trump that was right and I didn't hear any anyone else make that argument did you did you hear anyone else um in the public domain make that argument that the bankers would say there's no problem here I didn't hear it I think I was the only one now it's not because I'm smart it's because I was a banker I always teach you that having a good talent stack you know a combination of talents gives you extra Vision on things I happen to be a person who talks about the news every day but by I was also a lending officer so I I could see this before people could see it was obvious um let's take another one uh Montana tried to ban Tik Tok in their state but of course a uh US District Judge has blocked the ban so it will not be banned what did Montana do wrong and does it look like something I could have warned them about if they had listened to me would they have made this mistake well let me tell you what they got wrong the reason that Montana gave is data security yeah their argument for Banning it was not the influence part which is the actual risk it was over data security and the judge just said H you know they say they can handle the data security it's kind of an overreach Free Speech totally Montana totally botched this they they should have gone for the influence because because it can be demonstrated quite easily that China controls Chinese companies and the Chinese company has a heat button and even at this moment there's great concern that they may have pushed the heat button on the Gaza situation and it's not even legal in China I mean the argument was so good so easy and instead they went for the weakest dumbest diversion that is it's really about the data security Now the data security is not nothing but it's the least important part of the story by far so if Montana had followed my advice would they do better well they couldn't do worse at Le they would have had a chance of doing better all right here's my next prediction since I'm so good at predicting let me tell you what's going to happen with AI and movies and everybody else's opinion is wrong mine is right it goes like this um so I guess Ridley Scott was saying you know AI would just you know change everything and he probably thinks that everybody lose their jobs I think not I think what's going to happen is all the same people who make movies you know you got your directors and producers and costumers and your actors and whatnot so you got dozens of of Trades that come together for it and um here's what I think I think each of those entities will just use AI to do their part better now the the obvious question is why do you need the human you know you know even if you imagine AI is not good enough yet will it not obviously be good enough you know very soon and I say nope because here's what you're missing if you're not a this is one of those talet stack things again right I I had a good good prediction about banking because I was in that job that's the only reason I had that visibility I'm also a Creator who writes and creates and you know does artistic things so I'm going to tell you that uh AI when it comes to Artistic things has a disadvantage that um humans have and I don't know how AI would overcome it just by getting smarter and it's this humans have two brains minimum they they have several personalities going on in their head all the time but the two that matter to this conversation are somebody who's pitching an idea this is you to yourself you're pitching an idea to yourself but you're also evaluating it instantly so you're the pitcher and the catcher you're the buyer you're the seller and the buyer you're the artist and the art critic so everything you do you instantly evaluate but you do it based on this uh this instrument which is your physical body and it's the only one that matters because having a physical body which includes your brain uh allows you to to estimate what somebody else would enjoy and you can estimate it in real time in a u in a Zeitgeist uh uran way those are my douchebag um words what that means is something that's funny today and I mean literally today as in December 1st 2023 won't be the same as what's funny in a month do you get that they won't be the same what's funny in a month isn't the same as what's funny now the reason I can guess what's funny today is because I have an instrument my body is my instrument I feel it I feel the Zeitgeist the Zeitgeist is the thing everybody's thinking but maybe hasn't nobody said it yet how in the world could AI know the Zeitgeist when by definition it's the thing that people are thinking but they haven't said AI learns from what people have said it literally is trained on things you said it is not trained on things you haven't said yet what's the difference between a good joke and a bad joke you know let's say were a dad joke bad or dad joke the bad or dad joke jokes are based on like classical humor things which yeah I get it that's you had the form of a joke it had a unexpected punchline it met the criteria of a joke that was pretty good that's that's a that's a good dad joke but to tell a Chappelle joke I'll just use him as you know top of the game a Chappelle joke you think you see it coming and he says something that you were thinking kind of but you never even put it into words right hey I can't do that there's no way I can do that and I don't know how it ever could because it can't solve the timing problem of having a human body that's instantly evaluating so you know people always ask you know Elon Musk you what's going on in your head you says you it's basically it's terrible there's just too much happening in there and you wouldn't want it if you could and I can tell you that in my own my own uh creative world you know since my job is to create on some days I create 12 jokes in one day you know I might have one or two in a Dilbert comic um I might write six different jokes in one of my robots read nudes Comics it's a daily comic just for the people on locals uh and then I might might make three jokes on the xplatform and then uh I might be writing something separately that makes the jokes do you know how hard it is to come up with 12 commercial grade jokes a day it's it's crazy that's crazy level of productivity artistically and the reason I can do it is that there's a hurricane going in on in my head and my head is always pitching and criticizing pitching criticizing never stops I couldn't turn it off if I wanted to right it's just always on so I don't know how you build an AI to do that an AI would have to put it out there in the real world and have people react to it but it wouldn't be able to start with the intuition of how you feel I start with the intuition of how I feel how does an AI do that you know so I know I think everybody will have their own little AI I think the uh I think the uh um the costume let's say the costume creator if AI created the costumes you might say wow that's was pretty good for AI but a costume expert a human is going to know if it looks like a uh Academy award-winning costume right the AI is just going to stop when it's good enough okay this is definitely a costume this this fit all the criteria but the artist is going to push it a little further the artist is going to say you know this isn't what it really would look like in the real world but I'm I'm just going to I'm just going to tweak this a little bit so it's real but accentuated in a way and that's what makes it special he I can't do that same with directing um Le let's take the simplest thing let's take the simplest thing of editing you think oh but for sure my AI will do the editing for me no way you're going to need a human to tell it if it did it right because they have the attention span that AI doesn't have all right dick Durban according to Jesse Waters uh either is covering up the motion to have a spena to get the Epstein flight logs or maybe maybe they were just too busy so the excuse is they didn't have time but we'll see if it gets done today um but do you think does it seem weird to you that the Epstein flight logs are not public years after he's dead yeah makes you wonder um now I've told you that when it comes to the government they are guilty until proven innocent I would say at this point the weight of evidence suggests that we have a blackmail based government and maybe other countries as well would you say that's a fair assessment of our current government that it is a blackmail fundamentally that's the operating system of the government is blackmail Now it only makes sense because I've told you before I can't see any situation where any company any country whether it's a United States or somewhere else if you have a highly functional intelligence uh group within your country eventually they will take over the leadership there's no way around it they're trained to do it they're the type of people who don't mind doing it somebody's going to take a run at it and somebody will eventually succeed you know through blackmail so if you're if you're a group that knows how to use blackmail and has no moral qualms about any of it eventually they're going to run the country you just don't know if it happens on day one or you know day a thousand or day a million but eventually there's no way it can go any other way and I would say that the same is probably true for Russia and China probably but do you know how I think they handle it in Russia and China that as soon as they get blackmailed somebody kills them they just send somebody to kill them like even if you were the one who transmitted the message like you sat in the room with you know shei or Putin and said you know what we found out some things about you you'd be dead before you hit the hallway and anybody who published it would be dead before you know before they ate lunch so I think maybe in the totalitarian countries they they can just murder people until they get it done but I have this hypothesis that that would also cause China and Russia to have bad intelligence agencies that on on average they probably have to kill all their good people because the good people would take over the country if they didn't kill them first so it's just a guess but I bet the Dunning Krueger incompetence level of the Russian and Chinese um intelligence is off the chart because as soon as you got a good operator in there the leader would have to kill him because otherwise that leader would kill them you know basically you can't you just can't let somebody capable be in charge of your intelligence or else it'll take over the country why wouldn't they yeah most of you would if you had the chance yeah so we know that Hoover was a a black mailer and uh why would it change I can't imagine it would change so I'm going to assume that the government is guilty and that the eping logs probably are protecting somebody and that it's exactly what it looks like it's exactly what it looks like the Epstein was a blackmailer for either R Intel or maybe Israel's or somebody else's maybe he probably working for more than one anyway there is a rampant speculation that if Trump is nominated he will pick Tucker Carlson for his VP how many of you believe that do you believe that Trump would pick Tucker Carlson for his VP I'm going to put the odds of that at zero yeah everybody on locals is say no zero yeah because it would bring him more heat not less uh Tucker is has his own set of um historic you know huge group of critics you don't bring that into your campaign you and Ben Carson is a ridiculous idea honestly yeah there's no way he's going to pick Ben Carson if he picks Ben Carson that's like giving up I mean Ben Carson is like um that's like Taxidermy more than politics I mean I I need Signs of Life when when somebody said that he was considering Ben Carson I literally said to myself he still alive I thought he passed away yeah but then and then compare that to you know V or De.

Santis in the unlikely case yeah there are tons of people would be better than Tucker Tucker would be awesome and fun but it wouldn't get Trump elected all right um Ken Paxton AG of Texas is suing fizer for misrepresenting covid-19 vaccine efficacy and conspiring to censor the public discourse now the beauty of this is not that it'll necessarily win on anything but that it will cause Discovery so at least the legal system will cause uh fizer to tell us everything they know as much as possible so that could get interesting now I saw a doctor say the other day that is now well understood I guess that's debatable that the vaccine did not work um enough to make it worthwhile for any group except you know one group with comorbidities does that does that match your opinion would you say that there's still one population or people who are over a certain age and maybe had a comorbidity that they still believe maybe it was better it was more yet it was more good than than bad maybe there's bad as well but but is it true that the consensus is that everybody was worse off on average except for this uh group of special people above a certain age and with comorbidities would so I'm seeing lots of yeses seeing lots of yeses but also some NOS all right so I guess you could argue what the consensus is but my understanding is that the data still supports the idea that there was this specific group of people who benefited on average isn't amazing that we would disagree on this I don't know what's True by the way I don't know what's true I do know that doctors say that there was one group that probably came out ahe now the reason I ask is because I'm in that group but I don't know if it's true maybe we'll find out if it's true from this lawsuit but um maybe maybe and and I just point out that most of the people who mock me because I got the I got the first two shots I didn't get any boosters after that but I got the first two I'm in that group I'm dead I'm dead in the center of the comorbidity because I have asthma um which at the time they thought was a comorbidity I'm not sure it is but it can't be good to have a lung infection and Asthma at the same time so yeah I don't know just keep that in mind keep an eye on it uh there's a uh a Dutch political commentator uh Eva vinger broke vinga broke and uh she's talking out speaking out about the climate climate scam by the way uh I remember climate change used to be the thing that was always trending tring on the old Twitter and now what trends is climb a scam climb a scam is trending on at least my my version of it almost every day so it feels like there's been like a sort of a quiet but major shift I mean when Bill Gates came out and said yeah the temperature might go up but will'll handle it I I felt like that was when it all fell apart at least the you know you're all going to die from climate change messaging I think it all fell apart and then when when people realized that nuclear power with all of its problems was a probable solution to a lot of our problems that took away a lot of the a lot of the energy because we had a solution we just had to use it it takes all the energy out of it so I think that the the uh the momentum or the let's say the natural swing of the pendulum is that uh scam will be trending more than hey everything's falling apart um but I want to tell you what this Dutch political commentator who I noticed follows me on X so might be listening right now and saying get to it what are you going to say about me so in case you're listening uh Eva um so she said recently uh the talking about the climate scam so to speak quote the people behind this want to establish a One World Government a new world order in which they decide what we eat what we uh when we eat where we travel when we travel who we meet and what we allowed to spend our money on basically control over every single aspect of Our Lives they don't want us to eat foods that make us strong they want us to eat synthetic meat created by Bill Gates they want us to eat bugs they want us to drink soy milk so that we'll become weak and obedient and we do as they say does that that sound I want to get a reading of the audience is that a good summary of reality how many would say yeah that sums it up I'm saying spot on yes yes yes kind of yes yes yes yes yes yes yes so that's right down the middle of what my audience believes right I don't believe any of that I don't believe any of it because the the motivation part doesn't really makes sense like I can't imagine there's somebody room saying if only we can eat get them to eat bugs and soy milk do do you think there's really somebody having that conversation Beyond closed doors really let me try the really you think there's really somebody behind closed doors who is planning to make humans humans eat bugs but hold on they're planning to make hum eat bugs but not because they're playing to make money that you're saying that it's more of a a philosophy really I don't believe any of that here's why I don't believe it let me give you a reason right it's uh it's poor form to say I just don't believe it I I need to make my case wouldn't you say and I haven't made my case here's my case every bit of it can be explained by incompetence plus greed that's it yeah you can explain all observations by incompetence plus somebody wants to make some money that's it now on top of that I do think there are some people who have some idea of how the world would be better Bill Gates being one of them but to imagine that Bill Gates if he wanted to do all these things do you think he would be cons inspiring with other people or would Bill Gates want to be the one who's in charge so here's what's here's what's logically wrong with the thing it imagines that there are all these powerful people who are on the same page have you ever met powerful people the one thing you can always say about powerful successful people is there never on the same page they're never on the same page the thing that makes them powerful and successful is a thing that says I've got a better idea than you have and that never turns off do you think Bill Gates is Bill Gates and then when he gets in a meeting you know people will push him around and tell them what to think I don't think so so unless you can find out that there's one powerful person in charge and everybody else is bowing to them for some obvious reason like fear or money or something none of it makes sense there's no model of human behavior in which which the most powerful people by coincidence are all part of this major scheme and they all have the same idea about how to run it because the real world anything you do that changes the real world will create winners and losers let's see if you agree with that first any major change to the whole system of the world which is what we're talking about a major major change will destroy some people completely put them out of business but some other people might be able to rise so do you think that this big collection of bankers and Bill Gates and you know the the world economic forum and all these heads of Industries do you think that they all you believe they're all working together in this big Elite thing you believe all those Elites think that they would individually be better off that's insane that that there's no real world uh analogy where you've ever seen that happen anywhere even the government of every country let let me take the simplest example uh pick any country that's a a democracy well not even a democracy pick any country look at their elected leaders and you tell me all on the same page you know why why doesn't Congress in the United States collude so that everyone in Congress like comes off good and maybe at the expense of the rest of the public but why don't they do that why are they why are they against each other and fighting like crazy even Republicans fight Republicans Democrats fight Democrats why but but you believe that although every example in the history of humanity every example the powerful people are actually opposed to each other every time but this is the first exception and so the biggest thing ever and that all the all the elites kind of on the same page if we can get them to eat bugs they'll buy more oil or whatever it is if we can get them to eat bugs then we'll be able to raise their taxes if we can get them to have enough soy they won't my own military won't be able to fight I don't think soy does that to you but none of this tracks none of this makes sense even in a general directional sense none of it makes sense because it assumes something about human behavior that's absurd what is the thing that you always say about uh why Marxism and socialism doesn't work it it you know sometimes we say it creates dictators but the real reason is that it ignores human behavior humans are very predictable if you say you know what if you work harder than your uh peers you're not going to get anything extra but you'll get to share what you made with everybody will people work as hard as if you say hey you're going to be a superstar and you'll be better than everybody and you have more stuff if you work hard there's no question which one works right the reason capitalism makes more stuff than than socialis or communism is that it's just a better system but but suddenly suddenly uh an entire hundred thousand years of consistent human behavior suddenly changed because of the world economic forum and climate change or something now there isn't any chance there isn't any chance that there's anybody plotting to make you drink soy milk and eat bugs the people who want you to eat bugs if they exist are probably two types there's somebody in the buge eating business who who wants to make money so they're they're seeding the the media with stories and they're they're trying to like you know get it in so there's clearly a there's a commercial Factor here obviously no nothing gets this must nothing gets this much attention unless somebody's trying to make money off it the news doesn't just tell you what's interesting they tell you what somebody who makes money wanted them to say that's how it works when it's about Commerce and yeah if if you don't understand and then and then on the other side people like the world economic Forum there are people who like to tell you the interesting thing that they heard it's in the news you maybe it's futuristic maybe it's forward-looking so some people like to talk about you know the potential of things to come but it doesn't mean they need it or want it or it's the only thing that could happen or they're going to force you to do it none of that yeah so one one of the things that conservatives universally have as I would say a blind spot is that people are not that coordinated to me that's the big blind spot now they're they're definitely things that seem coordinated in other words the the Deep state does seem to act like one Big Blob but when you look at the Deep state are not their motivations the obvious ones that people have always had obvious they want their side to win they want good jobs and power and it's all obvious so when you looking at the blob or the Deep State and you've got a conspiracy theory about hey I think the Intel people are working with the media and the media might be working with the Democrats that's all observable it's not only directly observable you know proven in documents and you know leaks and whistleblowers and everything so you got tons of direct evidence evidence but it also completely fits the greed and selfishness model that explains all human activity forever but if you tell me there's somebody sitting in a room who wants you to eat bugs and drink soy milk unless they're making money from Bugs and soy milk no no that's not happening anyway that's my opinion um but I do think climate climate is a scam all right uh Gavin Nome and De.

Santis had a debate Hannity was the moderator I tried to watch it let me tell you when I bailed out de Santa says hey can you explain why uh everybody keeps moving out of California and moving to my state in Florida so therefore I'm the winner because the people are voting with their feet the people in your state they're all you know it's it's the most U-Hauls they've ever used they're all coming to Florida and what does Des Santa say to that to Santa I'm sorry what does what does Nome say here's what Nome says no they're not they're moving from Florida to California that's when I turned it off CU I realized that the it was the format this problem how many times have I told you it if somebody can win a debate by saying something absolutely ridiculous because because half of the public doesn't have access to the news they only have access to you know propaganda disantis could lie all day long and Republicans would think what they thought of him all along it wouldn't change and Democrats would say hey that was pretty brave he went into the lion's dead and you know you roughed up De.

Santis good job new Nome totally won Nome totally won did he say anything that was true probably not did Dan santis do a better job of let's say making arguments based on facts probably did that help him no didn't make any difference yeah read the review it's like it's the exact thing you'd expect right Democrats they knew someone Republicans maybe they like the santis more right but now as long as the sanis can just deny reality and nobody knows the difference on his team he wins he wins so Nome won hands down uh simply by showing up and you know smiling and and lying and doing his thing uh but what else do we learn about this D santis says that Gavin nome's own father-in-law uh fled from California to live in Florida now that's that's kind of a funny gotcha but it doesn't win you any debates because as a human being you listen to that story and you say to yourself okay there could be a lot of reasons for that right you know it's not like that's not exactly a kill shot it's fun it's fun you might remember it but it's not really a Kill Shot um and then I guess uh you know Nome said his lockdowns were great and he saved lives and the the trouble with the and and of course nobody on the right believes that they think it's the opposite everything he did killed people and ruined children and all that but debates are worthless this this could not have been more worthless because You' never get to fact check anything I I've said it a million times somebody's going to create a debate show in which the fact Checkers are part of the debate and each team has their own and the host has their own so that if if a fact comes up instead of instead of this where you can just claim it's true and run out the clock you stop you say all right there's a fact check and then they both show their sources and then maybe the moderator says all right uh I'm going to rule that uh they're neither of them are reliable or you know it's a it's a jump ball so make your own decision at home or one of these is just wrong now one of them just lied now that's a debate I'd watch that all day long even if it took longer because you could do it live when it's a little slow because it slows down with the false claims but then when you edit it together you just fast forward with the fact checking to to get to the end of it and that would be great imagine a fast forward through all the fact checking but they always have to stop when there's a fact check that would be a debate that'd be fun all right we have a here uh uh Jason Ferris clot got your Boer itams so Jason fell for the forchan hoax that reversed all of my opinions on the pandemic Jason you should be very embarrassed about falling for that all right um so here's some oh then the STIs up the so-called poop map of San Francisco so it's a map where there was an app where you could report if there was human feces on the sidewalk somewhere so people could stay away but what happened was the entire map turned brown because there were so many so many reports of feces on sidewalks that you couldn't even use it it was just Brown now remember I said that persuasion is visual so Dan santis holds up you know the map so you can see this big pile of and he holds it up next to his face and that was his persuasion I know what he was going for now what what he was aiming for was a good visual persuasion a moment that people would remember that would really brand um Nome has a bad you know Governor what it made instead was an association of Ron de santis and a giant pile of all right the visual persuasion doesn't live completely on its own right you can't make the other mistakes you don't want to associate yourself with something that's disgusting so what I what I'll remember about that is Ronda santis his big old had here and a big old pile of right next to it that's what I remember I already knew that San Francisco had some problems so I learned nothing new from that so nothing changed because I know that San Francisco has problems but now in my head I've got a pile of in desantis's head and I can't unsee it yeah that's visual persuasion done as wrong as you could do it but I asked myself and you should ask yourself if Trump had done this would I feel differently yes you know why because for trump it would be on brand yeah it would be unbrand but Trump doesn't like to do gross stuff right Trump has like a you know he's not even a big fan of shaking hands so I don't think he would hold up a big pile of human feces and say hey remember me remember this pile of feces that would be opposite of Trump's personality I can't imagine him doing it but if he did because it's trump it would seem funnier the the see the problem is that De.

Santis if he does something that's out of brand because that was a little bit out of brand De.

Santis is just the he's the accountant who's not going to make a mistake he's going to tell you what he's going to do and then he's going to do it and you'll be pretty happy about it like he's an operator he's and good probably one of the best governors of all time but if you're a showman and people say okay what what what is the guy who's bringing the show going to show me well you might look at it differently but it would still be a a mistake all right you know all those uh January 6 depositions that the committee the Congressional committee got and now uh the Republicans would like to get a copy of all the ones that we didn't see because there were a lot of depositions that were not public and wouldn't you like to know you know whatever the committee knew yeah um they're all missing everyone of them every one of the deposition videos not some of them not some of them every one of them is good on what should you assume about that well if this were a case about an individual American citizen I'd say well that person is innocent until proven guilty that's our standard we should not change that but what happens when it's a government and the government does something that every single person who who sees it says well that's a little sketchy and corrupt looking what should you assume you should assume guilt yeah doesn't mean it doesn't mean it's not a mistake could be a mistake but you should assume guilt because that's the that's the better system so I'm going to assume that the January 6 committee was as corrupt as they looked I mean they looked corrupt without even knowing this but I would say this is confirmation of their corruption and I think the January 6 committee committed a worse crime than anybody did on January 6th I think the committee committed a far worse crime than even the people who did violence even the people who did violence I'm including them were not nearly as bad as what the January 6 committee attempted to do because the violence as bad as it was you know clearly a tragedy we have empathy for the victims all right I'm not making light of victims but they were individuals and there weren't that many of them but when you corrupt the country you know the entire system as grossly as the January 6 committee you know even without the Bloodshed I I got to say it's worse you know if if you found out that the Republic were you know overthrown tomorrow you wouldn't say to yourself well nobody died you'd say okay that's worse because you know down the road it's going to be much worse you know so that's probably exactly what it looks like uh Kyle Becker again reporting on that um Chris chro Chris Chris Cuomo went on the uh Patrick um Ben David show do I have his name right podcast and uh here's what he said this is CUO Chris Cuomo he said as Patrick says the data is the data nobody was trying to kill us when Trump was president in a way that they're not now in the way that they're not now I think that's a typo if anything there's more hostility so pbd says so you're open to a trump vote this is Chris Cuomo uh who had been on CNN until he went to news nation and Cuomo says I am always open and I'll tell you this people say oh oh uh you're never voting for Republican in your life and CUO says wrong and not only have I the first vote I ever cast was for a republican all right let's do a test do you believe that he's telling the truth that he would consider he's not saying you would vote for him but that he would seriously consider voting for Trump you're very mixed I see lots of yeses and lots of NOS um I'm going to tell you the definitive answer to this because um so Chris Cuomo was uh among the first you can say the first uh major news person who asked to talk to me after I got canceled now it took him some convincing so we had some extensive private conversations before I appeared and I'm not going to tell you my private conversations but I will tell you with certainty he means it with certainty based on private conversations with certainty he means that he's open to it now again I want to be clear I'm not saying that he's certainly voting for Trump nothing like that I'm saying that he is absolutely open to the argument and and again if you didn't talk to him personally you wouldn't have any sense of that because you're only seeing the public version but keep in mind what's the worst thing that happened to Chris Cuomo professionally and who did it to him it wasn't Republicans getting cancelled on CNN was the worst thing that's ever happened to him and that was purely Democrats right and do you know what I said when he was getting in trouble for you know helping his brother the governor of New York I said that's he can help his brother all day long I don't care if there's a conflict of interest everybody knows that's the most obvious conflict of interest that it couldn't be more more transparent he couldn't be more honest about it he would have his brother on and do you know uh giant Q-tip jokes and obviously obviously he was going to help his brother and who would want him not to who would want him not to crazy insane but now imagine you went through that right and I I told him one you know that I was one of his supporters on that absolutely that was was that was just so wrong that they took him out for that so when I tell you that you don't know exactly um what his private thoughts are CU his his CNN performance was more of a performance but when he dealt with me it was totally straight he asked tough questions cuz he should and he listened completely to my answers he didn't talk over me um I mean no more than a normal interview and uh he was completely completely a legitimate honest agent on that issue and I think you're completely wrong in fact I'm sure of it with complete certainty he's absolutely open to looking at both sides absolutely and by the way that's called reciprocity what I just did but I'm telling you right he treated me fairly when almost nobody was so I'm defending him because I owe him so that's payback all right um Ukraine is allegedly going on defense so the new orders are to dig in and and defend rather than being on the offense so I would say that the cat is on the roof on this one in the sense that um that doesn't look like they think they're going to gain any more territory so I think that when Putin says I'm going to wait for the end of the for the election in America before I do anything I think zalinsky realizes that his best bet is to wait for the next election because it's going to happen so I feel like all the signals are pretty obvious now that it is going to get negotiated it's going to look like something like where the the current lines are I imagine it'll be right along those lines and there's no other way this is likely to go yeah I hear the stories about zalinsky buying yachts and stuff but I wouldn't necessarily believe those I don't disbelieve them but in the fog of war and knowing that Russia disinformation is really a thing I wouldn't believe anything about zilinsky getting rich I assume it's true if he ask me what I assume I assume so but if you look at any specific report about buying two yachts and stuff like that I think that's unlikely to be true even if he's stealing he's probably not buying Yachts with it that's my guess like it might be in a you know secret bank account somewhere but I I don't see him buying a yacht that you can't use all right uh uh Glenn greenall talking about MSNBC who he says uh talked about a medy uh yeah Med heran Med Med medir heran Hassan sorry I can't say his name right uh but he was cancelled he Show on MSNBC um along with two other Pro Palestinian hosts after October 7th but what's interesting is that it's a long time now so it's it's three weeks later after he got cancelled and he hasn't said a word in public that's kind of weird if you're a host of a major TV show but apparently the uh no one was watching his show anyway it was like the lowest rated show on cable news I think like it was just like invisible it was so lowly attended so I think M MSNBC made the right business decision because keeping on there wasn't making any money but it might have but it could have lost the money because they would have lost a lot of you know Jewish support but the real question is and I think Glenn Greenwald is on this page is why did he have to get cancelled just because you hate everything he says and he's you know maybe some would say he's anti-israel and pro you know two pro bad guys but doesn't he get to say that don't we have a country where you get to say that and and isn't that a point of view that um there are enough Americans who want to hear that they ought to hear it no matter how no matter how nail likee it might sound to your ears do you not get to say that in America you don't get to say something that everybody hates well not everybody obviously it's a good question I don't know where the line is because on one hand I don't want to hear what he has to say on the other hand I know that's not how the standard works the standard is for me to be able ble to say what I want to say I have to let him say what he wants to say so I've got a little bit of agreement here with Glenn Greenwald that as much as I think he is a malign bad force and his show was a disaster I hope he didn't get cancelled just because people didn't want to hear what he had to say that would be the wrong reason if if he wasn't making money and it was just too much problem for the company then it's just a business decision but I hope it wasn't because of what he was saying and again I'll remind you I'm 100% behind Israel uh for its Gaza policies anything that happened before October 7th I don't care I'm just not involved in that so I don't care about their history I don't care who did what to who October 7th I'm going to I'm going to judge everything that happens in Gaza by October 7th that's my St all right Israel has put out some fighting Maps some maps they show Gaza in a grid with numbered numbers on each of the boxes and I guess they're dropping pamphlets now because the ceasefire didn't work the ceasefire is over well the ceasefire did work because they exchanged uh prisoners but there's still some to go and the claim is that the Hamas is not doing everything they said they do so Israel is going to go back to the attack now that could also be a bluff so it could be that Israel is uh doing everything that looks like they're going on an aggressive attack to get Hamas to you know fold on the last few things about the uh the prisoners maybe or maybe it's a win either way getting ready to fight because they need to well you just need to do that but if it had the effect of causing the hostages to come back well that's good too so makes sense what they're doing and it makes sense that they would have this grid but remember I told you visual persuasion is the strongest when you actually see the map and you see that it's lots of you know lots of boxes and you see that they're going to drop there people in advance hey we're going into this box if you're a civilian get out of this box but the box is not so big that they don't know how to get out of it in other words it's all walking distance if you said you have to get out of Northern Gaza well that's too far to go like to do what how do you get out of the North the north is just too big you getting out is not no easy thing but if you make it small enough boxes everybody can walk to the next box until the bombing stops in that box now I don't know how this is going to work because um wouldn't Hamas get get out of the box too so we we'll see what happens it could be either the best idea or the worst idea but here's what's important from a persuasion Public Relation standpoint when I heard Israel saying hey Innocents can leave I said to myself okay I back Israel you know I'm on their side but can they really leave can you really walk from northern Gaza to Southern Gaza in a war zone to to me that didn't look like they could really leave did you have the same feeling it's like yeah I get in principle you say they can leave but in a practical sense there's no way it's just not there's no way so now they have a a new visual representation of the area so you can just look at it and you could look at and say oh yeah that would work like your brain instantly says well I could walk from that box to that box and wait for a day I could do that Jason you're such a bad troll like you're you're not even making a dent are you drunk already Jason yeah you act like you're drunk by the way the number of times you can make somebody go away by asking if they're drunk you should see how often that works it's crazy drunk so drunken Jason will see if he comes back he he got real quiet when I asked him if he's drunk because you're probably drunk aren't you yeah I know it's the morning but I'll bet you're drunk all right um so the fighting maps are good forum um University of California has got some conflict 150 um professors are condemning the school's president um the University of California's president's Viewpoint because he wants to make some changes and he wants to uh he wants the teachers professors to have more neutral opinions on things like climate change and Middle East atrocities and people are saying um how could we have a neutral opinion on atrocities you but of course he doesn't mean that he means that the whole context that includes the atrocities now is it a good idea for educ s to try to be objective and not insert their opinion into uh politics in the news well like your common sense says yes that's a good idea you don't want these teachers propagandizing people but here's the second question is it possible no no it's not possible you can't not inject opinion into world eventss that's not a thing because the just the word choice and what you leave out and what you emphasize your opinion will always be in it so it's impossible so the suggestion is to do something that's literally impossible and people are complaining so I don't know I think it's just more of a sign that uh the uh the higher levels of Education uh don't know how to educate cuz they don't know if they should give an opinion or they should not give an opinion and it would completely change what you were taught if you can't figure that part out so I side with the news people who say that all news is opinion and that includes uh Ida Bay Wells who's the uh what was it the 16 whatever project so yeah the 1619 um author she said that uh news people have to be have to be opinionated and biased not bias but have opinionated because that's the only reasonable thing I would argue that that's always been true oh George Santos has been expelled breaking news George Santos has been expelled is that a real thing well we'll find out about that yeah I don't think that it's realistic to expect people to not put their opinion in their teaching cuz how could you do that I mean seriously how could you do that but as a standard it might make sense to get as close to it as you can so I don't hate that but the question was how did they teach uh climate change how would you treat imagine you thought that climate change was an existential threat you're you're a professor and you really believe it and and maybe it's true I I don't know what's true but maybe it is how could you possibly allow the critics to get equal voice in that conversation if you thought one would kill the world and the other would save the world and you're going to ask your professor to be unbiased about that how because here's the problem if you're unbiased about it the Skeptics win sorry the Skeptics just have a stronger argument doesn't mean they're right doesn't mean they're right I mean that if you had an honest debate with the Skeptics and the pro-climate alarm people I believe the Skeptics would win 100% of the time if you had the right Skeptics right not all of them some of them are frauds and it's not because and I want to be clear about this it's not because I know that climate change is or is not real I I don't have magic abilities what I know is that the argument will sound more persuasive because when you say when I say for example do you really think the scientists can measure the temperature of the planet and and that they're accurate within a you know half a degree or something which you would have to be people just laugh at that go well you know if you've ever worked in a big company and you know how much big companies tell their public and tell the customers you know that's not a thing you know that's not a thing every part of your common sense tells you no they didn't put they didn't put thermometers around the world and then track it for 100 years and they were accurate to a half a percent right if you put me on that debate I would slaughter a scientist who knew a hundred times more than me because what's the scientist going to say say scientists is going to say but but but here's my uh detailed scientific study that's peer-reviewed and they say what percentage of peer-reviewed things are true well you know that's our process I know but what what percentage are true well you know it's the best process I know but what percentage of peer-reviewed studies turn out to be true in the long run just to give me a number well most of the time is it because I've got to study this says it's 50% of the time half now you tell me this if you took a bunch of scientists and you said uh if you if you say a is true you could be happy and live a happy life if you say B is true you will be destroyed is that science right in other words the the the critic argument is just super easy to understand and strong the argument that we're in trouble and and we're all going to die might be right I don't know it's too complicated for me to understand but too complicated and the only people who understand it are making money from it compared to you haven't been right for 40 years half of science is made up and you're all paid to say it's real who wins that debate and and by the way they convince you that they could put thermometers around the Earth and tell you the average temperature of the earth within half a degree right you put me on that panel I would destroy climate change in one hour as a alarm narrative but I might be wrong here that's the funny thing I'm not telling you I'm so right that my argument would win it's not because it's right it's because it's a common sense observable set of arguments common sense and observable the the other is well I can't even tell what that science is saying and aren't you paid to say it's real yeah somebody says you're right you're wrong Henry Cruz says I might be I might be wrong that's not what I would bet my life on well credit to Barry Weiss who uh in sort of an independent journalist type broke some big stories so she's got a new startup called The Free Press and apparently especially during this uh Hamas Gaza situation she seems to be getting tons of attention uh for not being a biased source of news I guess so good for her I just just want to give her a sh shout out that I think Barry Weiss has been one of the um most useful citizens in the United States over the past few years by being uh aggressively dedicated to what's real and being uh unwilling to play along with what's not real so all credit to her and uh apparently the Free Press is being quoted by notable people and getting a lot of attention and I'd like her to get a little bit of extra attention because when you do work that good maybe good things should come to you all right nature self-regulates it does not go into Cascade failure yeah so the the climate alarmists um have an argument that oh yeah maybe you can't see what's going wrong but when it reaches this breaking point you know that's where everything will fall apart I have no confidence that our scientists can look at the complexity of all the systems you know around our globe and they can tell us that there's an upcoming fall off of Cliff point there might be but how would you predict that that would be the hardest thing you could possibly predict in an environment where they can't predict anything and and I want to say this prediction is truth right if you predicted you know accurately in the past you probably have something like truth but if you can't predict you can now the history of climate is they've predicted terrible but if you ask if you ask them they say no our models are right on oh yeah maybe 30 years ago we had some crazy ideas but those guys are all dead um current batch of scientists finally got it right we got all these models if you haven't heard me explain why the models are BS allow me to do it this way nobody can predict the future you can't do it with math nobody can predict the future that's not a thing it's also not what prediction models are for models are not for predicting the future that's not even the point of them do you know what they're for they're for to tell you what the cone of possibility is from the worst case to the best case but where it is within that cone nobody can predict that yeah so that's the first thing it is way too complicated too many variables nobody can predict it um but in general in general that's true of a lot of things now that's also why I'm suspicious of the large language model AI if the large language model was built to predict what what the next word in the sequence would be and that's how it pretends to be intelligent how come it can't do it when I ask it to do it try going to your large language model and give it half a sentence and see if it can accurately complete the sentence cuz that's what it's built to do right it's built to do literally that complete the sentence try it give it give it half a sentence and see if it can complete the sentence with what you had in your mind not that it can complete it obviously it can complete it but can I complete it with what you had in mind because if it can then it's doing what they say it knows that you're likely to say this now you'd have to repeat the you know the thing to make sure that it's repeatable but if it can't fill in the sentence that you give it as just a test is that how it's thinking the only time it can't do it is when you give it the first part of the sentence but it can do it otherwise here's what I think I think the reason it can't complete your sentence is because it can't predict the future and if it could complete your sentence it could compute it could it could predict the future and it's not a thing right now I'm not sure that's a good point I haven't thought it through but I just don't understand why I can't complete my sentence if that's the entire basis for its intelligence is completing sentences it's a little mystery to me so I would say that anytime anybody tells you they have a secret process that you don't fully understand that can predict the future they do not have a secret process that you don't understand that can predict the future because nobody's done it yet haven't done it with the stock market haven't done it with anything it's just not a thing in complex systems now somebody said B Scott uh NASA predicted uh enough to send a you know ship to the moon and back and that's a lot of predicting to which I say it's a lot of predicting with very few variables in physics you know you got your gravity and your you know B basically things that we have formulas for that never never fail basically so that makes sense cuz even though your mind says that going to space is complicated it's not complicated in terms of the rules of physics would you buy that it's not complicated in terms of physics right whereas the weather is insanely complicated in ways we can't even know what the variables are exactly yeah very different uh it's not complicated just difficult that is correct all right um so that's what we know ladies and gentlemen are there any stories I left out I think I've gotten it all we'll catch up with the George Santos story in a little bit but remember get your visual persuasion right and your whole life will be better it's a big big deal what Henry Cruz is making up some news Argentina is there some news there uh SRA o Conor has passed away troops in Vegas uh Dr fun juice is asking me next time uh the other story about the troops in Vegas i s I saw your DM and I was I'm missing the context I didn't understand the context um so there there's some troops in in Las Vegas for what I don't know uh are there are there federal troops we talk about Peter Zan he quit uh X I'm the guy who pointed you toward Robert sepher you called him racist no I didn't I didn't call him a racist oh you you know there really needs to be a filter for the all caps if if You.

Tube could add the filter to just just stop the all caps people you would almost see no no trolls at all because trolls don't know how to use anything but all caps it's like they they don't know how to turn that ability off um let's see You.

Tube will not replace this yeah no I didn't you're your all caps continue to reveal you as the troll that you are all right everybody I'm going to say bye to You.

Tube I'm going to talk to the locals for a minute and I will see you later

good morning everybody and welcome to

another highlight of human civilization

it's called coffee with Scott Adams

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and if you'd like to take this

experience up to a level which nobody

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now oh yeah savor it savor it well happy

December I'd like to start with a human

interest story about my

garbage now you say to yourself that

Scott how interesting could a story

about your garbage be well not very but

I'm going to tell you anyway so I have a

garbage anxiety which the people who

watch me live stream on my man cave know

so there's a on Wednesday night I have

to take my four garbage cans you know

two of them are from outdoor Waste and

Recycling and blah BL so there's four of

them and I got this long kill of a

driveway so it's kind of a lot of work

now I have anxiety about forgetting to

do it cuz by Wednesday night you know by

the time it's after 5:00 on in the

evening you know I I start really early

sometimes 300 or 4 in the morning so you

know that's the end of my day

basically so I often forget so I I

forgot last week or I got confused

because of the holiday so I got I had

two weeks full of garbage in my garbage

cans

now uh that the locals platform reacts

to my hand gestures and when I said to

it read P sign and and balloons went

off uh so that's fun you can't see that

but if you could you'd think it was

funny anyway so I've got two weeks full

of garbage in a one we can it's like T

it's packed to the top but I noticed

that I had you know two garbage cans in

case I have these big days of garbage

that happen sometimes and and both of

them were like one was full and the

other was full so I I reached down by

hand and took out these old gnarly

garbages and stuffed them in the one so

that I'd have you know one less trip

down the the driveway so now I've got

garbage that's so heavy I can almost not

drag them

downhill they're so heavy well over 100

lb and uh there two of them I get them

down there and I it was you know maybe

close to 7:00 at night and I and I had a

really hard day worked really hard got

up really early been working all day and

my body was really sore and I thought

you know what I'm going to do something

I never get to do I'm feeling good cuz

my work's done my garbage is out to the

street I don't have anything that I have

to do the rest of the night I'm going to

draw myself a hot bath when was the last

time you had time to do that like the

most decadent thing you could possibly

do as an adult as an adult when do you

have time to take a

bath you just sit in hot water and have

nothing else to do but this was the

first time I could think of probably in

a year where I just legitimately would I

was done with all of my work and

especially done with my garbage the best

part I I could get that in my mind so I

go to fill my bathtub going to put some

uh EPs and salt in there and really rest

my

muscles and then I get a message

Bing oh it's my next door

neighbor your garbage cans have been hit

by a car your garbage is strewn all over

the

street now do you ever think that the

universe is just messing with

you th this was actually my one of my

biggest irrational concerns is

remembering to put my garbage

out and of all the times that I put my

garbage out so I've been in this house I

15 years or something so in 15 years of

putting the garbage out I'm the only one

who does it every night only once only

once in all those years has it been the

most packed that the garbage has ever

been packed only

once and uh I actually got on the

security cameras I won't be more

specific but I got a good picture of the

car taking them out it didn't

stop imagine imagine driving at full

speed hitting two objects that are 100

lb a piece uh knocking them all over the

street and continuing

on yeah probably drunk probably drunk

maybe drunk or maybe there were two

drivers and one of them was having a

better time than the other if you know

what I mean like I like to think of it

in a positive

way so that was my evening but uh let's

get on to other things uh here's one of

my topics visual

persuasion and as I've told you visual

persuasion uh includes somebody talking

and describing something that you

imagine visually so uh here's Matt Gates

using amazing visual persuasion talking

about the potential expulsion of George

Santos from Congress for whatever

behaviors that are boring and I don't

care about uh but uh Matt Gates says

whatever Mr Santos did with botox or

only fans is far less concerning to me

than the indictment against Senator

Menendez wait for it who's holding gold

bars from

Egypt uh while he's still getting

classified briefings now I think he

actually went on to say that the gold

bars actually had an Arabic on them

so he had he had gold bars with Arabic

writing from Egypt and he's still doing

his

job the one of the most critical

confidential jobs in in all of the world

he's still on the

job but but boy we got to we got to get

rid of this George Santos guy because

he's told some lies and apparently he

may may have used some Botox and and he

looked at porn once so got to get rid of

that guy

anyway the the visual persuasion of the

gold bars with Arabic on them from Egypt

that is really really good public

speaking like if if you don't catch how

good that is just always look for the

visual this is what Trump does you know

he doesn't say we need border security

he says build the wall because then you

imagine the wall good

technique um so you know Twitter's

coming on all this uh you know great uh

scrutiny for what people are claiming is

you know bad people on there being

matched or identif let's say content

being paired that shouldn't be paired

and all that but what are you things

happening over at Facebook so Facebook

is being accused of having too much uh I

don't even want to say the word but

let's just say if you're not over 18

you know you know what I mean so

basically content of people who are not

adults uh that should not even be legal

which is you know paired with

advertisements and stuff and fed to kids

and all kinds of damn things and uh then

other people are saying that there's a

Palestinian group accusing meta the

parent company of unfairly moderating

speech um because of the Israel Hamas

situation

and I think to

myself is it my imagination or is

everything about

Facebook feeling

old and and a

date like Facebook doesn't even feel

relevant to anything I know it must be I

mean it's gigantic but in my in my life

it doesn't have any relevance at all the

only time I

look is you know once every several

months I want to maybe check on and see

what people are up to that's it like I

never interact I never comment it just

has no appeal at all I imagine if you

got kids or something you know young

kids maybe or or you like to show off

your vacations maybe it's better for

that but Facebook in 2023 almost 2024

feels like a

dinosaur whereas the xplatform is still

so edgy that we're still talking about

what it is yeah we can't even decide

what it is it's changing so quickly and

there's so much going on the X always

seems

new so everything about X feels fresh

and new it's about what's happening

today and it's you know big things that

I care about and Facebook is tiny little

things that you shouldn't even see like

some what somebody ate on

vacation and just really I

don't I have no idea how Facebook could

be a viable product going forward now I

get I do get Instagram and I get

WhatsApp so they have they have assets

that are valuable but I just don't get

the core business at all anyway um

people are uh canceling Disney plus and

Hulu which is owned by Disney uh after

the dust up

between uh Elon Musk and his advertisers

including

Disney

and I wonder do you think that Bob Iger

knows that Disney doesn't have any

modern and good

products like I it's rare to see a

company that is that completely

completely right because so um they own

ABC News Right do I have that right

Disney owns ABC

news but but television news

is just the most ridiculous dinosaur in

the world so I wouldn't want any I

wouldn't want to own ABC news or ABC I

wouldn't want to own network

news but I also wouldn't want to own a

uh a theme

park in which you have to stand for long

periods of time for a brief thrill when

most of the kids have a a smartphone in

their hand and they're looking at their

phone and they got 700 bits of

entertainment while they were waiting

for your three minutes of going up and

down whoa

whoa I can't even imagine how theme

parks could be in existence 10 more

years from now how does it even make

sense I feel as

though you maybe virtual reality or

something there'll be something that is

just more interesting but if I if I were

making woke movies nobody wanted to see

with dying franchises that I mostly

killed by my bad decisions about

wokeness

usually uh there is nothing happening at

Disney that looks

good there's nothing happening that

looks good I think Bob iger's got a

problem the likes of which only China

can understand only

China we'll talk about that later well

I'm loving this story um

about uh Trump's valuations and the

trial about whether he overvalued his

assets as you know uh and Jonathan

turley's writing about this and tweeting

about it um imagine that you're the the

judge and you've already ruled keep in

mind that the current process is to

figure out what the penalty will be but

the ruling is already made Trump is

already guilty according to this judge

of uh fraud for inflating his assets so

now the question will be how big is the

penalty including taking away their

ability to operate their business at

least in New York I guess um I mean

serious like the mo the biggest penalty

you could ever imagine now the essence

of it is that he did something uh bad so

that the the banks were on the other

side of that Badness but then the bank

itself testified

and they said and keep in mind this is

in the penalty phase not the trial

phase right but in the penalty

phase the testimony debunked the

trial I don't know if I've ever seen

that before can any you've ever heard of

that here's what I mean so the trial was

that Trump did a Bad Thing by overv

valuating assets and that's fraud the

bank said and I'm this is just just me

paraphrasing right they didn't say this

exactly the bank said he was a great

customer we would love to work with him

again again I'm paraphrasing they didn't

say it exactly but the essence of it is

yes a great customer he was a whale of a

customer the ones we seek out we made

millions of dollars would love to do

that kind of business with him again and

here's the

punchline we never accept the borrowers

word for their assets that is ordinary

business to do our own investigation

which we of course did and made our own

decision about the value of the loan

apparently we made good decisions

because they were always paid back on

time and we made a profit would love to

do it

again that's in the penalty

phase here's a question for you why

wasn't that in the

trial probably because it didn't matter

probably because the judge said it

doesn't matter what the opinion of the

bank is if you lied you lied that would

be

fraud but I assume it's something like

that because isn't the most critical

part of understanding what he did is

what the other party to the transaction

was thinking about it what the other

party was thinking about it and how they

turned

out is not maybe not the most important

thing but it's pretty

close well maybe it is the most

important thing the fact that there's no

victim not only is there no victim but

the victim would love to have it happen

again like please can you victimize me

again Mr Trump and by the way if

everything works out for you we'd love

to do business with you again imagine

being that judge just

imagine how faced that judge is right

now

that that has to be the most

embarrassing judicial situation I've

ever heard of have you ever heard of a

judge being embarrassed like

that that is super

embarrassing

wow and I would like to go

further now um I I've already bragged

that because I was a banker and

specifically I was a a loan officer I

was I was a guy who approved loans to

certain kinds of businesses and I told

you early on in this process that the

bank isn't going to complain because the

bank always does their own

checking no exceptions you can't be a

lender and sometimes take their word for

it that's not a thing there there is no

loan ever ever anywhere you know in a

Traditional Bank ever not once where

where the lender said you know what you

look like an honest guy I'm going to

take your word for

that literally never now venture

capitalist might if you're a venture

capitalist or especially an angel more

an angel than a venture capitalist

because Venture capitalists are

practically Bankers but an angel might

say you know what I don't know exactly

even what you're talking about but

you're such a good you know manager I'll

just take your word for it that that

does happen but not in a bank

not not ever in a bank it just doesn't

happen so now the public knows that but

here's the interesting

question how many criminals do you

believe according to this judge who says

if you exaggerate or lie to your bank

you've committed a crime if you were to

look at the uh dut bank loan

files how often would you find that the

person asking for the loan had grossly

exaggerated the value of one of their

assets how

often a

lot and that's why the bankers were

completely

unconcerned because it's actually

routine completely normal that the and

trust me I'm not guessing I've looked at

a lot of loans and the first thing you

do is you take their estimate and you

cut it by half that's just the most

basic banking thing you do everybody

does it

so isn't this the case of unequal

justice so you've got let's say you've

got a filing cabinet full of loan you

know loans you know obviously it's

digital but just imagine it

and in maybe 2third of those loans the

bank didn't believe the asset value and

the bank was probably right Bank was

right the asset value was

overstated are all those people going to

be

tried are they all going to be put out

of business by this judge how in the

world how in any world could this stand

a supreme court review like I'm not even

a lawyer or or even close to a lawyer

and to me it's obvious this this can't

possibly get through any kind of you

know higher Court approval how could it

how in the world do do you think the

Supreme Court is going to say yes uh the

banker and Trump acted in the most

routine way that anybody acts exactly

like 2third of their other uh lenders or

their other customers just like

two-thirds of all the customers but one

of them is going to go to jail or one of

them is going to lose their business not

go to jail how's that work there there's

not any chance that this can hold up

this is so political th this judge

is how embarrassing and as you know uh

Laura lomer discovered that the judges

wife was posting you know F Trump memes

and showing him with a shaved head in a

prison suit well long before the trial

how in the world does this pass any kind

of Supreme Court review I mean that

alone well I don't know how the Supreme

Court works on that but if the Supreme

Court knew that his wife was you know

unambiguously biased against him how in

the world does the court say yes Justice

was served there how in the world it's

absurd um and Trump posted about the uh

judge's wife posting that stuff on Truth

social all

right um in

2018 my stepson died of a fental

overdose and I publicly vowed that I

would get even with

China cartels to and I told you in 2018

I was going to persuade the world that

China was unsafe to do

business because I believed it was

unsafe to do business but I didn't think

people could see it the way I saw it so

I started saying that over and over and

over again

and um the news today from The Wall

Street Journal is that uh 5 years years

later China is unsafe for

business and I'll bet you every single

company that invested in China a

long-term investment in 2018 is kind of

unhappy that that

happened

so do you think uh how was my prediction

so I I made a prediction about the trial

you know the banking trial with Trump

that was right and I didn't hear any

anyone else make that argument did you

did you hear anyone else um in the

public domain make that argument that

the bankers would say there's no problem

here I didn't hear it I think I was the

only

one now it's not because I'm smart it's

because I was a banker I always teach

you that having a good talent stack you

know a combination of talents gives you

extra Vision on

things I happen to be a person who talks

about the news every day but by

I was also a lending officer so I I

could see this before people could see

it was

obvious um let's take another one uh

Montana tried to ban Tik Tok in their

state but of course a uh US District

Judge has blocked the ban so it will not

be banned what did Montana do wrong and

does it look like something I could have

warned them about if they had listened

to me would they have made this mistake

well let me tell you what they got wrong

the reason that Montana gave is data

security yeah their argument for Banning

it was not the influence part which is

the actual risk it was over data

security and the judge just said H you

know they say they can handle the data

security it's kind of an overreach Free

Speech totally Montana totally botched

this

they they should have gone for the

influence because because it can be

demonstrated quite easily that China

controls Chinese companies and the

Chinese company has a heat button and

even at this moment there's great

concern that they may have pushed the

heat button on the Gaza

situation and it's not even legal in

China I mean the argument was so good so

easy and instead they went for the

weakest dumbest diversion

that is it's really about the data

security Now the data security is not

nothing but it's the least important

part of the story by

far so if Montana had followed my advice

would they do better well they couldn't

do

worse at Le they would have had a chance

of doing

better all right here's my next

prediction since I'm so good at

predicting let me tell you what's going

to happen with AI and movies and

everybody else's opinion is wrong mine

is right it goes like

this um so I guess Ridley Scott was

saying you know AI would just you know

change everything and he probably thinks

that everybody lose their jobs I think

not I think what's going to happen is

all the same people who make movies you

know you got your directors and

producers and costumers and your actors

and whatnot so you got dozens of of

Trades that come together for it and

um here's what I think I think each of

those entities will just use AI to do

their part better now the the obvious

question is why do you need the human

you know you know even if you imagine AI

is not good enough yet will it not

obviously be good enough you know very

soon and I say nope because here's what

you're missing if you're not a this is

one of those talet stack things again

right I I had a good good prediction

about banking because I was in that job

that's the only reason I had that

visibility I'm also a Creator who writes

and creates and you know does artistic

things so I'm going to tell you that uh

AI when it comes to Artistic things has

a disadvantage that um humans have and I

don't know how AI would overcome it just

by getting

smarter and it's this humans have two

brains minimum they they have several

personalities going on in their head all

the time but the two that matter to this

conversation are somebody who's pitching

an idea this is you to yourself you're

pitching an idea to yourself but you're

also evaluating it instantly so you're

the pitcher and the catcher you're the

buyer you're the seller and the buyer

you're the artist and the art

critic so everything you do you

instantly evaluate but you do it based

on this uh this instrument which is your

physical body and it's the only one that

matters because having a physical body

which includes your brain uh allows you

to to estimate what somebody else would

enjoy and you can estimate it in real

time in a u in a

Zeitgeist uh uran way those are my

douchebag um words what that means is

something that's funny today and I mean

literally today as in December 1st

2023 won't be the same as what's funny

in a

month do you get that they won't be the

same what's funny in a month isn't the

same as what's funny now the reason I

can guess what's funny today is because

I have an instrument my body is my

instrument I feel it I feel the

Zeitgeist the Zeitgeist is the thing

everybody's thinking but maybe hasn't

nobody said it

yet how in the world could AI know the

Zeitgeist when by definition it's the

thing that people are thinking but they

haven't said AI learns from what people

have said it literally is trained on

things you said it is not trained on

things you haven't said

yet what's the difference between a good

joke and a bad joke you know let's say

were a dad joke bad or dad joke the bad

or dad joke jokes are based on like

classical humor things which yeah I get

it that's you had the form of a joke it

had a unexpected punchline it met the

criteria of a joke that was pretty good

that's that's a that's a good dad

joke but to tell a Chappelle joke I'll

just use him as you know top of the game

a Chappelle

joke you think you see it

coming and he says something that you

were thinking kind of but you never even

put it into

words right hey I can't do that there's

no way I can do that and I don't know

how it ever could because it can't solve

the timing problem of having a human

body that's instantly evaluating so you

know people always ask you know Elon

Musk you what's going on in your head

you says you it's basically it's

terrible there's just too much happening

in there and you wouldn't want it if you

could

and I can tell you that in my own my own

uh creative world you know since my job

is to create on some days I create 12

jokes in one day you know I might have

one or two in a Dilbert comic um I might

write six different jokes in one of my

robots read nudes Comics it's a daily

comic just for the people on locals uh

and then I might might make three jokes

on the

xplatform and then uh I might be writing

something separately that makes the

jokes do you know how hard it is to come

up with 12 commercial grade jokes a

day it's it's crazy that's crazy level

of productivity artistically and the

reason I can do it is that there's a

hurricane going in on in my head and my

head is always pitching and criticizing

pitching criticizing never stops I

couldn't turn it off if I wanted to

right it's just always on so I don't

know how you build an AI to do that an

AI would have to put it out there in the

real world and have people react to it

but it wouldn't be able to start with

the intuition of how you feel I start

with the intuition of how I

feel how does an AI do that you know

so I know I think everybody will have

their own little AI I think the uh I

think the

uh um the costume let's say the costume

creator

if AI created the costumes you might say

wow that's was pretty good for AI but a

costume expert a human is going to know

if it looks like a uh Academy

award-winning costume right the AI is

just going to stop when it's good enough

okay this is definitely a costume this

this fit all the criteria but the artist

is going to push it a little further the

artist is going to say you know this

isn't what it really would look like in

the real world but I'm I'm just going to

I'm just going to tweak this a little

bit so it's real but accentuated in a

way and that's what makes it special he

I can't do that same with

directing um Le let's take the simplest

thing let's take the simplest thing of

editing you think oh but for sure my AI

will do the editing for me no way you're

going to need a human to tell it if it

did it right because they have the

attention span that AI doesn't have all

right dick Durban according to Jesse

Waters uh either is covering up the

motion to have a spena to get the

Epstein flight logs or maybe maybe they

were just too busy so the excuse is they

didn't have time but we'll see if it

gets done today um but do you

think does it seem weird to you that the

Epstein flight

logs are not

public years after he's

dead yeah makes you

wonder um now I've told you that when it

comes to the government they are guilty

until proven innocent I would say at

this point the weight of evidence

suggests that we have a blackmail based

government and maybe other countries as

well would you say that's a fair

assessment of our current government

that it is a blackmail fundamentally

that's the operating system of the

government is

blackmail Now it only makes sense

because I've told you before I can't see

any situation where any company any

country whether it's a United States or

somewhere else if you have a highly

functional intelligence uh group within

your country eventually they will take

over the

leadership there's no way around it

they're trained to do it they're the

type of people who don't mind doing it

somebody's going to take a run at it and

somebody will eventually succeed you

know through blackmail so if you're if

you're a group that knows how to use

blackmail and has no moral qualms about

any of it

eventually they're going to run the

country you just don't know if it

happens on day one or you know day a

thousand or day a million but eventually

there's no way it can go any other

way and I would say that the same is

probably true for Russia and

China probably but do you know how I

think they handle it in Russia and

China that as soon as they get

blackmailed somebody kills

them they just send somebody to kill

them like even if you were the one who

transmitted the message like you sat in

the room with you know shei or Putin and

said you know what we found out some

things about you you'd be dead before

you hit the hallway and anybody who

published it would be dead before you

know before they ate lunch so I think

maybe in the totalitarian countries they

they can just murder people until they

get it done but I have this

hypothesis that that would also cause

China and Russia to have bad

intelligence

agencies that on on average they

probably have to kill all their good

people because the good people would

take over the country if they didn't

kill them first so it's just a guess but

I bet the Dunning Krueger incompetence

level of the Russian and Chinese um

intelligence is off the chart because as

soon as you got a good operator in there

the leader would have to kill

him because otherwise that leader would

kill them you know basically you can't

you just can't let somebody capable be

in charge of your intelligence or else

it'll take over the country why wouldn't

they yeah most of you would if you had

the

chance yeah so we know that Hoover was a

a black mailer and uh why would it

change I can't imagine it would change

so I'm going to assume that the

government is guilty and that the eping

logs probably are protecting

somebody and that it's exactly what it

looks like it's exactly what it looks

like the Epstein was a blackmailer for

either R Intel or maybe Israel's or

somebody else's maybe he probably

working for more than one

anyway there is a rampant speculation

that if Trump is nominated he will pick

Tucker Carlson for his VP how many of

you believe that do you believe that

Trump would pick Tucker Carlson for his

VP I'm going to put the odds of that at

zero yeah everybody on locals is say no

zero yeah because it would bring him

more heat not

less uh Tucker is has his own set of um

historic

you know

huge group of critics you don't bring

that into your campaign you and Ben

Carson is a ridiculous idea honestly

yeah there's no way he's going to pick

Ben Carson if he picks Ben Carson that's

like giving

up I mean Ben Carson is like um that's

like Taxidermy more than

politics I mean I I need Signs of Life

when when somebody said that he was

considering Ben Carson I literally said

to myself he still

alive I thought he passed

away yeah but then and then compare that

to you know V or DeSantis in the

unlikely

case yeah there are tons of people would

be better than Tucker Tucker would be

awesome and fun but it wouldn't get

Trump

elected all right um Ken Paxton AG of

Texas is suing fizer for misrepresenting

covid-19 vaccine

efficacy and conspiring to censor the

public

discourse now the beauty of this is not

that it'll necessarily win on anything

but that it will cause Discovery so at

least the legal system will cause uh

fizer to tell us everything they know as

much as possible so that could get

interesting now I saw a doctor say the

other day

that is now well understood I guess

that's debatable that the vaccine did

not work um enough to make it worthwhile

for any group except you know one group

with

comorbidities does that does that match

your opinion would you say that there's

still one population or people who are

over a certain age and maybe had a

comorbidity that they still believe

maybe it was better it was more yet it

was more good than than bad maybe

there's bad as well but but is it true

that the

consensus is that everybody was worse

off on average except for this uh group

of special people above a certain age

and with

comorbidities would so I'm seeing lots

of

yeses seeing lots of yeses but also some

NOS all right so I guess you could argue

what the consensus is but my

understanding is that the data still

supports the idea that there was this

specific group of people who benefited

on

average isn't amazing that we would

disagree on

this I don't know what's True by the way

I don't know what's true I do know that

doctors say that there was one group

that probably came out ahe now the

reason I ask is because I'm in that

group but I don't know if it's true

maybe we'll find out if it's true from

this lawsuit but

um maybe maybe and and I just point out

that most of the people who mock me

because I got the I got the first two

shots I didn't get any boosters after

that but I got the first two I'm in that

group I'm dead I'm dead in the center of

the comorbidity because I have asthma um

which at the time they thought was a

comorbidity I'm not sure it is but it

can't be good to have a lung infection

and Asthma at the same time so

yeah I don't know just keep that in mind

keep an eye on it uh there's a

uh a Dutch political commentator uh Eva

vinger broke vinga

broke and uh she's talking out speaking

out about the climate climate scam by

the

way uh I remember climate change used to

be the thing that was always trending

tring on the old Twitter and now what

trends is climb a

scam climb a scam is trending on at

least my my version of it almost every

day so it feels like there's been like a

sort of a quiet but major shift I mean

when Bill Gates came out and said yeah

the temperature might go up but will'll

handle it I I felt like that was when it

all fell apart at least the you know

you're all going to die from climate

change messaging I think it all fell

apart and then when when people realized

that nuclear power with all of its

problems was a probable solution to a

lot of our problems that took away a lot

of the a lot of the energy because we

had a solution we just had to use it it

takes all the energy out of it so I

think that the the uh the momentum or

the let's say the natural

swing of the pendulum is that uh scam

will be trending more than hey

everything's falling apart um but I want

to tell you what this Dutch political

commentator who I noticed follows me on

X so might be listening right now and

saying get to it what are you going to

say about me so in case you're listening

uh Eva um so she said recently uh the

talking about the climate scam so to

speak quote the people behind this want

to establish a One World Government a

new world order in which they decide

what we eat what we uh when we eat where

we travel when we travel who we meet and

what we allowed to spend our money on

basically control over every single

aspect of Our Lives they don't want us

to eat foods that make us strong they

want us to eat synthetic meat created by

Bill Gates they want us to eat bugs they

want us to drink soy milk so that we'll

become weak and obedient and we do as

they

say does that that sound I want to get a

reading of the

audience is that a good summary of

reality how many would say yeah that

sums it up I'm saying spot on yes yes

yes kind of yes yes yes yes yes yes yes

so that's right down the middle of what

my audience believes right I don't

believe any of that I don't believe any

of

it because the the motivation part

doesn't really makes

sense like I can't imagine there's

somebody room saying if only we can eat

get them to eat

bugs and soy

milk do do you think there's really

somebody having that conversation Beyond

closed

doors

really let me try the really you think

there's really somebody behind closed

doors who is planning to make humans

humans eat bugs but hold on they're

planning to make hum eat bugs but not

because they're playing to make money

that you're saying that it's more of a a

philosophy

really I don't believe any of

that here's why I don't believe it let

me give you a reason right it's uh it's

poor form to say I just don't believe it

I I need to make my case wouldn't you

say and I haven't made my case here's my

case

every bit of it can be explained by

incompetence plus

greed that's

it yeah you can explain all observations

by incompetence plus somebody wants to

make some money that's it now on top of

that I do think there are some people

who have some idea of how the world

would be better Bill Gates being one of

them but to imagine that Bill Gates if

he wanted to do all these things do you

think he would be cons inspiring with

other people or would Bill Gates want to

be the one who's in

charge so here's what's here's what's

logically wrong with the thing it

imagines that there are all these

powerful people who are on the same

page have you ever met powerful people

the one thing you can always say about

powerful successful people is there

never on the same page they're never on

the same page the thing that makes them

powerful and successful

is a thing that says I've got a better

idea than you have and that never turns

off do you think Bill Gates is Bill

Gates and then when he gets in a meeting

you know people will push him around and

tell them what to think I don't think so

so unless you can find out that there's

one powerful person in charge and

everybody else is bowing to them for

some obvious reason like fear or money

or something none of it makes sense

there's no model of human behavior in

which which the most powerful people by

coincidence are all part of this major

scheme and they all have the same idea

about how to run it because the real

world anything you do that changes the

real world will create winners and

losers let's see if you agree with that

first any major change to the whole

system of the world which is what we're

talking about a major major change will

destroy some people completely put them

out of business but some other people

might be able to

rise so do you think that this big

collection of bankers and Bill Gates and

you know the the world economic forum

and all these heads of Industries do you

think that they all you believe they're

all working together in this big Elite

thing you believe all those Elites think

that they would

individually be better

off that's

insane that that there's no real world

uh analogy where you've ever seen that

happen

anywhere even the government of every

country let let me take the simplest

example uh pick any country that's a a

democracy well not even a democracy pick

any country look at their elected

leaders and you tell me all on the same

page you know why why doesn't Congress

in the United States collude so that

everyone in Congress

like comes off good and maybe at the

expense of the rest of the public but

why don't they do that why are they why

are they against each other and fighting

like crazy even Republicans fight

Republicans Democrats fight Democrats

why but but you believe that although

every example in the history of humanity

every example the powerful people are

actually opposed to each other every

time but this is the first exception and

so the biggest thing ever and that all

the all the elites kind of on the same

page if we can get them to eat bugs

they'll buy more oil or whatever it is

if we can get them to eat bugs then

we'll be able to raise their

taxes if we can get them to have enough

soy they

won't my own military won't be able to

fight I don't think soy does that to you

but none of this tracks

none of this makes sense even in a

general directional sense none of it

makes sense because it assumes something

about human behavior that's

absurd what is the thing that you always

say about uh why Marxism and socialism

doesn't

work it it you know sometimes we say it

creates dictators but the real reason is

that it ignores human

behavior humans are very predictable

if you say you know what if you work

harder than your uh peers you're not

going to get anything extra but you'll

get to share what you made with

everybody will people work as hard as if

you say hey you're going to be a

superstar and you'll be better than

everybody and you have more stuff if you

work hard there's no question which one

works right the reason capitalism makes

more stuff than than socialis or

communism is that it's just a better

system but but suddenly

suddenly uh an entire hundred thousand

years of consistent human behavior

suddenly changed because of the world

economic forum and climate change or

something now there isn't any chance

there isn't any chance that there's

anybody plotting to make you drink soy

milk and eat

bugs the people who want you to eat bugs

if they exist are probably two types

there's somebody in the buge eating

business who who wants to make money so

they're they're seeding the the media

with stories and they're they're trying

to like you know get it

in so there's clearly a there's a

commercial Factor here obviously no

nothing gets this must nothing gets this

much attention unless somebody's trying

to make money off it the news doesn't

just tell you what's interesting they

tell you what somebody who makes money

wanted them to say that's how it works

when it's about Commerce

and yeah if if you don't understand and

then and then on the other side people

like the world economic Forum there are

people who like to tell you the

interesting thing that they heard it's

in the news you maybe it's futuristic

maybe it's forward-looking so some

people like to talk about you know the

potential of things to come but it

doesn't mean they need it or want it or

it's the only thing that could happen or

they're going to force you to do it none

of that

yeah so one one of the things that

conservatives universally have as I

would say a blind spot is that people

are not that

coordinated to me that's the big blind

spot now they're they're definitely

things that seem coordinated in other

words the the Deep state does seem to

act like one Big Blob but when you look

at the Deep state are not their

motivations the obvious ones that people

have always had

obvious they want their side to win they

want good jobs and power and it's all

obvious so when you looking at the blob

or the Deep State and you've got a

conspiracy theory about hey I think the

Intel people are working with the media

and the media might be working with the

Democrats that's all observable it's not

only directly observable you know proven

in documents and you know leaks and

whistleblowers and everything so you got

tons of direct evidence evidence but it

also completely fits the greed and

selfishness model that explains all

human activity forever but if you tell

me there's somebody sitting in a room

who wants you to eat bugs and drink soy

milk unless they're making money from

Bugs and soy

milk no no that's not

happening anyway that's my opinion

um but I do think climate

climate is a scam all right uh Gavin

Nome and DeSantis had a debate Hannity

was the moderator I tried to watch it

let me tell you when I bailed

out de Santa says hey can you explain

why uh everybody keeps moving out of

California and moving to my state in

Florida so therefore I'm the winner

because the people are voting with their

feet the people in your state they're

all you know it's it's the most U-Hauls

they've ever used they're all coming to

Florida and what does Des Santa say to

that to Santa I'm sorry what does what

does Nome say here's what Nome says no

they're not they're moving from Florida

to

California that's when I turned it off

CU I realized that the it was the format

this problem how many times have I told

you it if somebody can win a debate by

saying something absolutely

ridiculous because because half of the

public doesn't have access to the news

they only have access to you know

propaganda disantis could lie all day

long and Republicans would think what

they thought of him all along it

wouldn't change and Democrats would say

hey that was pretty brave he went into

the lion's dead and you know you roughed

up DeSantis good job new Nome totally

won

Nome totally won did he say anything

that was true probably not did Dan

santis do a better job of let's say

making arguments based on facts probably

did that help him

no didn't make any difference yeah read

the review it's like it's the exact

thing you'd expect right Democrats they

knew someone Republicans maybe they like

the santis more

right but now as long as the sanis can

just deny reality and nobody knows the

difference on his team he wins he wins

so Nome won hands down uh simply by

showing up and you know smiling and and

lying and doing his thing uh but what

else do we learn about this D santis

says that Gavin nome's own father-in-law

uh fled from California to live in

Florida

now that's that's kind of a funny gotcha

but it doesn't win you any debates

because as a human being you listen to

that story and you say to yourself okay

there could be a lot of reasons for that

right you know it's not like that's not

exactly a kill shot it's fun it's fun

you might remember it but it's not

really a Kill Shot um and then I guess

uh you know Nome said his lockdowns were

great and he saved lives and the the

trouble with the and and of course

nobody on the right believes that they

think it's the opposite everything he

did killed people and ruined children

and all that but debates are

worthless this this could not have been

more worthless because You' never get to

fact check anything I I've said it a

million times somebody's going to create

a debate show in which the fact Checkers

are part of the debate and each team has

their own and the host has their own

so that if if a fact comes up instead of

instead of this where you can

just claim it's true and run out the

clock you stop you say all right there's

a fact check and then they both show

their sources and then maybe the

moderator says all right uh I'm going to

rule that uh they're neither of them are

reliable or you know it's a it's a jump

ball so make your own decision at home

or one of these is just wrong now one of

them just lied

now that's a

debate I'd watch that all day long even

if it took longer because you could do

it live when it's a little slow because

it slows down with the false claims but

then when you edit it together you just

fast forward with the fact checking to

to get to the end of it and that would

be great imagine a fast forward through

all the fact checking but they always

have to stop when there's a fact check

that would be a debate that'd be

fun all right we have a

here uh

uh Jason Ferris clot got your Boer

itams so Jason fell for the forchan hoax

that reversed all of my opinions on the

pandemic Jason you should be very

embarrassed about falling for

that all

right um so here's some oh then the STIs

up the so-called poop map of San

Francisco so it's a map where there was

an app where you could report if there

was human feces on the sidewalk

somewhere so people could stay away but

what happened was the entire map turned

brown because there were so many so many

reports of feces on sidewalks that you

couldn't even use it it was just

Brown now remember I said that

persuasion is

visual so Dan santis holds up you know

the map

so you can see this big pile of

and he holds it up next to his

face and that was his

persuasion I know what he was going

for now what what he was aiming for was

a good visual persuasion a moment that

people would remember that would really

brand um Nome has a bad you know

Governor what it made instead was an

association of Ron de santis and a giant

pile of

all right the visual persuasion

doesn't live completely on its own right

you can't make the other mistakes you

don't want to associate yourself with

something that's

disgusting so what I what I'll remember

about that is Ronda santis his big old

had here and a big old pile of

right next to it that's what I remember

I already knew that San Francisco had

some problems so I learned nothing new

from that so nothing changed because I

know that San Francisco has problems but

now in my head I've got a pile of

in desantis's head and I can't unsee it

yeah that's visual persuasion done as

wrong as you could do

it but I asked

myself and you should ask yourself if

Trump had done this would I feel

differently yes you know why because for

trump it would be on

brand yeah it would be unbrand but Trump

doesn't like to do gross

stuff right Trump has like a you know

he's not even a big fan of shaking hands

so I don't think he would hold up a big

pile of human feces

and say hey remember me remember this

pile of feces that would be opposite of

Trump's personality I can't imagine him

doing it but if he

did because it's trump it would seem

funnier the the see the problem is that

DeSantis if he does something that's out

of brand because that was a little bit

out of brand DeSantis is just the he's

the accountant who's not going to make a

mistake he's going to tell you what he's

going to do and then he's going to do it

and you'll be pretty happy about it like

he's an operator he's and good probably

one of the best governors of all

time but if you're a showman and people

say okay what what what is the guy who's

bringing the show going to show me well

you might look at it differently but it

would still be a a

mistake all right you know all those uh

January 6 depositions that the committee

the Congressional committee got and now

uh

the Republicans would like to get a copy

of all the ones that we didn't see

because there were a lot of depositions

that were not public and wouldn't you

like to know you know whatever the

committee knew

yeah um they're all missing everyone of

them every one of the deposition

videos not some of them not some of them

every one of them is good

on what should you assume about

that well if this were a case about an

individual American citizen I'd say well

that person is innocent until proven

guilty that's our standard we should not

change

that but what happens when it's a

government and the government does

something that every single person who

who sees it says well that's a little

sketchy and corrupt looking what should

you assume

you should assume guilt yeah doesn't

mean it doesn't mean it's not a mistake

could be a mistake but you should assume

guilt because that's the that's the

better system so I'm going to assume

that the January 6 committee was as

corrupt as they looked I mean they

looked corrupt without even knowing this

but I would say this is confirmation of

their corruption and I think the January

6 committee committed a worse crime than

anybody did on January 6th I think the

committee

committed a far worse crime than even

the people who did

violence even the people who did

violence I'm including them were not

nearly as bad as what the January 6

committee attempted to do because the

violence as bad as it was you know

clearly a tragedy we have empathy for

the victims all right I'm not making

light of

victims but they were

individuals and there weren't that many

of

them but when you corrupt the country

you know the entire system as grossly as

the January 6

committee you know even without the

Bloodshed I I got to say it's worse you

know if if you found out that the

Republic were you know overthrown

tomorrow you wouldn't say to yourself

well nobody died you'd say okay that's

worse because you know down the road

it's going to be much worse you

know so that's probably exactly what it

looks like uh Kyle Becker again

reporting on that um Chris chro Chris

Chris Cuomo went on the uh Patrick um

Ben David show do I have his name right

podcast and uh here's what he

said this is CUO Chris Cuomo he said as

Patrick says the data is the data nobody

was trying to kill us when Trump was

president in a way that they're not now

in the way that they're not now I think

that's a typo if anything there's more

hostility so pbd says so you're open to

a trump

vote this is Chris Cuomo uh who had been

on CNN until he went to news nation and

Cuomo says I am always

open and I'll tell you this people say

oh oh uh you're never voting

for Republican in your life and CUO says

wrong and not only have I the first vote

I ever cast was for a

republican all right let's do a test do

you believe that he's telling the truth

that he would consider he's not saying

you would vote for him but that he would

seriously consider voting for

Trump you're very mixed I see lots of

yeses and lots of NOS um I'm going to

tell you the definitive answer to

this because um so Chris Cuomo was uh

among the first you can say the first uh

major news person who asked to talk to

me after I got canceled now it took him

some convincing so we had some extensive

private conversations before I appeared

and I'm not going to tell you my private

conversations but I will tell you with

certainty he means

it with

certainty based on private conversations

with certainty he means that he's open

to it now again I want to be clear I'm

not saying that he's certainly voting

for Trump nothing like that I'm saying

that he is

absolutely open to the

argument and and again if you didn't

talk to him personally you wouldn't have

any sense of that because you're only

seeing the public version but keep in

mind what's the worst thing that

happened to Chris Cuomo

professionally and who did it to him

it wasn't Republicans getting cancelled

on CNN was the worst thing that's ever

happened to him and that was purely

Democrats right and do you know what I

said when he was getting in trouble for

you know helping his brother the

governor of New York I said that's

he can help his brother all day

long I don't care if there's a conflict

of interest everybody knows that's the

most obvious conflict of interest that

it couldn't be more more transparent he

couldn't be more honest about it he

would have his brother on and do you

know uh giant Q-tip jokes and

obviously obviously he was going to help

his brother and who would want him not

to who would want him not to crazy

insane but now imagine you went through

that right and I I told him one you know

that I was one of his supporters on that

absolutely that was was that was just so

wrong that they took him out for

that so when I tell you that you don't

know

exactly um what his private thoughts are

CU his his CNN performance was more of a

performance but when he dealt with

me it was totally straight he asked

tough questions cuz he should and he

listened completely to my answers he

didn't talk over me um I mean no more

than a normal interview

and uh he was completely completely a

legitimate honest agent on that issue

and I think you're completely wrong in

fact I'm sure of it with complete

certainty he's absolutely open to

looking at both sides

absolutely and by the way that's called

reciprocity what I just did but I'm

telling you right he treated me fairly

when almost nobody was so I'm defending

him because I owe

him so that's

payback all right um Ukraine is

allegedly going on defense so the new

orders are to dig in and and defend

rather than being on the offense so I

would say that the cat is on the roof on

this one in the sense that um that

doesn't look like they think they're

going to gain any more

territory so I think that when Putin

says I'm going to wait for the end of

the for the election in America before I

do anything I think zalinsky realizes

that his best bet is to wait for the

next election because it's going to

happen so I feel like all the signals

are pretty obvious now that it is going

to get negotiated it's going to look

like something like where the the

current lines are I imagine it'll be

right along those lines and there's no

other way this is likely to go yeah I

hear the stories about zalinsky buying

yachts and stuff but I wouldn't

necessarily believe those I don't

disbelieve them but in the fog of war

and knowing that Russia disinformation

is really a

thing I wouldn't believe anything about

zilinsky getting rich I assume it's true

if he ask me what I assume I assume so

but if you look at any specific report

about buying two yachts and stuff like

that I think that's unlikely to be true

even if he's stealing he's probably not

buying Yachts with

it that's my guess like it might be in a

you know secret bank account somewhere

but I I don't see him buying a yacht

that you can't

use all right uh uh Glenn greenall

talking about MSNBC who he says uh

talked about a medy uh yeah Med

heran Med Med medir heran Hassan sorry I

can't say his name right uh but he was

cancelled he Show on

MSNBC um along with two other Pro

Palestinian hosts after October 7th but

what's interesting is that it's a long

time now so it's it's three weeks later

after he got cancelled and he hasn't

said a word in

public that's kind of weird if you're a

host of a major TV show but apparently

the uh

no one was watching his show anyway it

was like the lowest rated show on cable

news I think like it was just like

invisible it was so lowly attended so I

think M MSNBC made the right business

decision because keeping on there wasn't

making any money but it might have but

it could have lost the money because

they would have lost a lot of you know

Jewish

support but the real question is and I

think Glenn Greenwald is on this page

is why did he have to get

cancelled just because you hate

everything he says and he's you know

maybe some would say he's anti-israel

and pro you know two pro bad guys but

doesn't he get to say

that don't we have a country where you

get to say that and and isn't that a

point of view that um there are enough

Americans who want to hear that they

ought to hear

it

no matter how no matter how nail likee

it might sound to your

ears do you not get to say that in

America you don't get to say something

that everybody hates well not everybody

obviously it's a good question I don't

know where the line is because on one

hand I don't want to hear what he has to

say on the other hand I know that's not

how the standard works the standard

is for me to be able ble to say what I

want to say I have to let him say what

he wants to say so I've got a little bit

of agreement here with Glenn

Greenwald that as much as I think he is

a malign bad force and his show was a

disaster I hope he didn't get cancelled

just because people didn't want to hear

what he had to say that would be the

wrong reason if if he wasn't making

money and it was just too much problem

for the company then it's just a

business decision but I hope it wasn't

because of what he was

saying and again I'll remind you I'm

100% behind Israel uh for its Gaza

policies anything that happened before

October 7th I don't care I'm just not

involved in that so I don't care about

their history I don't care who did what

to who October

7th I'm going to I'm going to judge

everything that happens in Gaza by

October 7th that's my

St all right Israel has put out some

fighting Maps some maps they show Gaza

in a grid with numbered numbers on each

of the boxes and I guess they're

dropping pamphlets now because the

ceasefire didn't work the ceasefire is

over well the ceasefire did work because

they exchanged uh prisoners but there's

still some to go and the claim is that

the Hamas is not doing everything they

said they do so Israel is going to go

back to the attack now that could also

be a

bluff so it could be that Israel is uh

doing everything that looks like they're

going on an aggressive attack to get

Hamas to you know fold on the last few

things about the uh the prisoners maybe

or maybe it's a win either way getting

ready to fight because they need to well

you just need to do that but if it had

the effect of causing the hostages to

come back well that's good too so makes

sense what they're doing and it makes

sense that they would have this grid but

remember I told you visual

persuasion is the

strongest when you actually see the map

and you see that it's lots of you know

lots of boxes and you see that they're

going to

drop there people in advance hey we're

going into this box if you're a civilian

get out of this box but the box is not

so big that they don't know how to get

out of it in other words it's all

walking distance if you said you have to

get out of Northern Gaza well that's too

far to go like to do what how do you get

out of the North the north is just too

big you getting out is not no easy thing

but if you make it small enough

boxes everybody can walk to the next box

until the bombing stops in that

box now I don't know how this is going

to

work

because um wouldn't Hamas get get out of

the box

too so we we'll see what happens it

could be either the best idea or the

worst idea but here's what's important

from a persuasion Public Relation

standpoint when I heard Israel saying

hey Innocents can leave I said to myself

okay I back Israel you know I'm on their

side but can they really leave can you

really walk from northern Gaza to

Southern Gaza in a war zone to to me

that didn't look like they could really

leave did you have the same feeling it's

like yeah I get in principle you say

they can leave but in a practical sense

there's no way it's just not there's no

way so now they have a a new visual

representation of the area so you can

just look at it and you could look at

and say oh yeah that would work like

your brain instantly says well I could

walk from that box to that box and wait

for a day I could do

that

Jason you're such a bad

troll like you're you're not even making

a

dent are you drunk already Jason yeah

you act like you're

drunk by the way the number of times you

can make somebody go away by asking if

they're

drunk you should see how often that

works it's

crazy drunk so drunken Jason will see if

he comes back he he got real quiet when

I asked him if he's drunk

because you're probably drunk aren't you

yeah I know it's the morning but I'll

bet you're

drunk all right

um so the fighting maps are good

forum um University of California has

got some conflict

150 um professors are condemning the

school's president um the University of

California's president's Viewpoint

because he wants to make some changes

and he wants to uh he wants the teachers

professors to have more neutral opinions

on things like climate change and Middle

East

atrocities and people are saying um how

could we have a neutral opinion on

atrocities you but of course he doesn't

mean that he means that the whole

context that includes the atrocities now

is it a good idea for educ s to try to

be objective and not insert their

opinion into uh politics in the news

well like your common sense says yes

that's a good idea you don't want these

teachers propagandizing people but

here's the second question is it

possible no no it's not possible you

can't not inject opinion into world

eventss that's not a thing because the

just the word choice and what you leave

out and what you

emphasize your opinion will always be in

it so it's

impossible so the suggestion is to do

something that's literally

impossible and people are

complaining so I don't know I think it's

just more of a sign that uh the uh the

higher levels of

Education uh don't know how to educate

cuz they don't know if they should give

an opinion or they should not give an

opinion and it would completely change

what you were taught if you can't figure

that part out so I side with the news

people who say that all news is

opinion and that includes uh Ida Bay

Wells who's the uh what was it the 16

whatever project so yeah the

1619 um author

she said that uh news people have to be

have to be opinionated and biased not

bias but have opinionated because that's

the only reasonable thing I would argue

that that's always been true oh George

Santos has been

expelled breaking news George Santos has

been expelled is that a real thing well

we'll find out about that yeah I don't

think that it's realistic to expect

people to not put their opinion in their

teaching cuz how could you do that I

mean seriously how could you do

that but as a standard it might make

sense to get as close to it as you can

so I don't hate

that but the question was how did they

teach uh climate

change how would you treat imagine you

thought that climate change was an

existential threat you're you're a

professor and you really believe

it and and maybe it's true I I don't

know what's true but maybe it is how

could you possibly allow the critics to

get equal voice in that conversation if

you thought one would kill the world and

the other would save the world and

you're going to ask your professor to be

unbiased about that how because here's

the problem if you're unbiased about it

the Skeptics

win sorry

the Skeptics just have a stronger

argument doesn't mean they're right

doesn't mean they're right I mean that

if you had an honest debate with the

Skeptics and the pro-climate alarm

people I believe the Skeptics would win

100% of the time if you had the right

Skeptics right not all of them some of

them are

frauds and it's not because and I want

to be clear about this it's not because

I know that climate change is or is not

real I I don't have magic abilities what

I know is that the argument will sound

more

persuasive because when you say when I

say for example do you really think the

scientists can measure the temperature

of the

planet and and that they're accurate

within a you know half a degree or

something which you would have to

be people just laugh at that go well you

know if you've ever worked in a big

company and you know how much

big companies tell their public and tell

the customers you know that's not a

thing you know that's not a thing every

part of your common sense tells you no

they didn't put they didn't put

thermometers around the world and then

track it for 100 years and they were

accurate to a half a

percent right if you put me on that

debate I would slaughter a scientist who

knew a hundred times more than me

because what's the scientist going to

say say scientists is going to say but

but but here's my uh detailed scientific

study that's

peer-reviewed and they say what

percentage of peer-reviewed things are

true well you know that's our process I

know but what what percentage are true

well you know it's the best process I

know but what percentage of

peer-reviewed studies turn out to be

true in the long run just to give me a

number well most of the time is it

because I've got to study this says it's

50% of the time half now you tell me

this if you took a bunch of scientists

and you said uh if you if you say a is

true you could be happy and live a happy

life if you say B is true you will be

destroyed is that

science right in other words the the the

critic argument is just super easy to

understand and strong the argument that

we're in trouble and and we're all going

to die might be right I don't know it's

too complicated for me to understand but

too complicated and the only people who

understand it are making money from it

compared to you haven't been right for

40

years half of science is made up and

you're all paid to say it's real who

wins that

debate and and by the way they convince

you that they could put thermometers

around the Earth and tell you the

average temperature of the earth within

half a

degree right you put me on that panel I

would destroy climate change in one

hour as a alarm narrative but I might be

wrong here that's the funny thing I'm

not telling you I'm so right that my

argument would win it's not because it's

right it's because it's a common sense

observable set of arguments common sense

and observable the the other is well I

can't even tell what that science is

saying and aren't you paid to say it's

real yeah somebody says you're right

you're wrong Henry Cruz says I might be

I might be wrong that's not what I would

bet my life

on well credit to Barry Weiss who uh in

sort of an independent journalist type

broke some big stories so she's got a

new startup called The Free Press

and apparently especially during this uh

Hamas Gaza situation she seems to be

getting tons of attention uh for not

being a biased source of news I guess so

good for her I just just want to give

her a sh shout out that I think Barry

Weiss has been one of

the um most useful citizens in the

United States over the past few years by

being uh aggressively dedicated to

what's real and being uh unwilling to

play along with what's not real so all

credit to her and uh apparently the Free

Press is being quoted by notable people

and getting a lot of attention and I'd

like her to get a little bit of extra

attention because when you do work that

good maybe good things should come to

you all right nature self-regulates it

does not go into Cascade failure yeah so

the the climate

alarmists um have an argument that oh

yeah maybe you can't see what's going

wrong but when it reaches this breaking

point you know that's where everything

will fall

apart I have no confidence that our

scientists can look at the complexity of

all the systems you know around our

globe and they can tell us that there's

an upcoming fall off of Cliff

point there might be but how would you

predict that that would be the hardest

thing you could possibly predict in an

environment where they can't predict

anything and and I want to say

this prediction is truth right if you

predicted you know accurately in the

past you probably have something like

truth but if you can't predict you can

now the history of climate is they've

predicted terrible but if you ask if you

ask them they say no our models are

right on oh yeah maybe 30 years ago we

had some crazy ideas but those guys are

all dead um current batch of scientists

finally got it right we got all these

models if you haven't heard me explain

why the models are BS allow me to do it

this

way nobody can predict the

future you can't do it with

math nobody can predict the

future that's not a

thing it's also not what prediction

models are

for models are not for predicting the

future that's not even the point of them

do you know what they're for they're for

to tell you what the cone of possibility

is from the worst case to the best case

but where it is within that cone nobody

can predict that yeah so that's the

first thing it is way too complicated

too many variables nobody can predict it

um but in

general in general that's true of a lot

of things now that's also why I'm

suspicious of the large language model

AI if the large language model was built

to predict what what the next word in

the sequence would be and that's how it

pretends to be intelligent how come it

can't do it when I ask it to do it try

going to your large language model and

give it half a sentence and see if it

can accurately complete the

sentence cuz that's what it's built to

do right it's built to do literally that

complete the sentence try it give it

give it half a sentence and see if it

can complete the sentence with what you

had in your mind not that it can

complete it obviously it can complete it

but can I complete it with what you had

in mind because if it can then it's

doing what they say it knows that you're

likely to say this now you'd have to

repeat the you know the thing to make

sure that it's repeatable but if it

can't fill in the sentence that you give

it as just a test is that how it's

thinking the only time it can't do it is

when you give it the first part of the

sentence but it can do it

otherwise here's what I think I think

the reason it can't complete your

sentence is because it can't predict the

future and if it could complete your

sentence it could compute it could it

could predict the future and it's not a

thing right now I'm not sure that's a

good point I haven't thought it through

but I just don't understand why I can't

complete my sentence if that's the

entire basis for its intelligence is

completing

sentences it's a little mystery to me so

I would say that anytime anybody tells

you they have a secret process that you

don't fully understand that can predict

the future they do not have a secret

process that you don't understand that

can predict the future because nobody's

done it yet haven't done it with the

stock market haven't done it with

anything it's just not a thing in

complex systems now somebody said B

Scott uh NASA

predicted uh enough to send a you know

ship to the moon and back and that's a

lot of predicting to which I say it's a

lot of predicting with very few

variables in physics you know you got

your gravity and your you know B

basically things that we have formulas

for that never never fail

basically so that makes sense cuz even

though your mind says that going to

space is complicated it's not

complicated in terms of the rules of

physics would you buy

that it's not complicated in terms of

physics

right whereas the weather is insanely

complicated in ways we can't even know

what the variables are exactly yeah very

different

uh it's not complicated just difficult

that is

correct all

right

um so that's what we

know ladies and gentlemen are there any

stories I left

out I think I've gotten it all we'll

catch up with the George Santos story in

a little bit but remember get your

visual persuasion right and your whole

life will be better it's a big big

deal

what Henry Cruz is making up some

news Argentina is there some news

there uh SRA o Conor has passed

away troops in

Vegas uh Dr fun

juice is asking me next time uh the

other story about the troops in Vegas i

s I saw your DM and I was I'm missing

the context I didn't understand the

context um so there there's some troops

in in Las Vegas

for what I don't

know uh are there are there federal

troops we talk about Peter Zan he quit

uh

X I'm the guy who pointed you toward

Robert sepher you called him racist no I

didn't I didn't call him a

racist oh you you know there really

needs to be a filter for the all caps if

if YouTube could add the filter to just

just stop the all caps people you would

almost see no no trolls at all because

trolls don't know how to use anything

but all

caps it's like they they don't know how

to turn that ability

off um let's

see YouTube will not replace

this yeah no I didn't you're your all

caps continue to reveal you as the troll

that you

are all

right

everybody I'm going to say bye to

YouTube I'm going to talk to the locals

for a minute and I will see you later