Episode 2683 CWSA 12/08/24
Syria falls, Trump rises, Democrats flounder, and more ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Well, well, well. What a day it's going to be. We're going to have a show that you can all just love. You're going to love it. But first let me make sure I can see all your comments. Looking good. Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Sco…
View segment →d you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can understand with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass or a tankard or a stein, a canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite…
View segment →hat makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now. Go. Oh, incredible. Sound is working. Video is working. I think everything's working today. Would you like to talk about some new things in science and the new studies? Yes, let's, before we talk about the politics.…
View segment →think? Yeah, they could save a little money on that study if they were thinking of studying it. We'll see if it creates any new children. Maybe. I doubt it. I kind of doubt it it's going to work. Here's something funny. The song "YMCA" that you know Trump likes to use and dance to at his rallies a…
View segment →backing these rebels? Do we know? And the rebels would be Sunni, right? No, wait, would the rebels be Sunni or Shiite? Actually I don't know that. That's one of those things I should know. If you're going to talk in public about stuff like this, probably the most basic thing you should know about t…
View segment →y would be sort of to take credit for keeping the country going when there's a little gap in our leadership. But he's just playing it cool. He's simply doing what needs to be done. Is it possible that even Democrats are noticing that he's doing the right thing? That simply doing the job. I'm sure h…
View segment →ney named Laura Powell, civil liberties attorney, she did some research and here are some conclusions from somebody who knows what they're talking about. So I'll try to do as best I can give you my non-lawyer summary of what somebody smart actually says about this. So Laura Powell says in New York…
View segment →River the FBI said. All right so as I told my Locals people in the man cave last night I have a hypothesis of what's going on with all of these UAP sightings. It goes like this. So let me set the stage for you. First, number one, if it were an adversary like an adversary country or any kind of adve…
View segment →hen it's jammed. If you built a drone today and it was easily jammed by current technology it would be like no drone at all. There's no point in building that one. So we already know that drones have the capability of using their cameras and infrared and figuring out where they are so they can comp…
View segment →It's just somebody hired. But if he was, if the person was trying to send a signal and it was an activist and let's say let's just go down this hypothesis. Let's say it was somebody who really really wanted the world to pay attention. It's somebody who didn't just want to kill one guy but wanted th…
View segment →iction part is the closest you can get to knowing what's real. I'm not sure any of us are accurately interpreting reality. I mean we all seem to be living in our own realities but some of them predict and I tell you this all the time if you can predict then probably you're closer to reality or at le…
View segment →should have destroyed itself in a few years and that's what we observe. It was very predictable. And furthermore I predict that they can't recover at a national level. They'll still win all their local races. Just identity politics is all you need. But at the federal level don't see them becoming co…
View segment →they'll do a system update and all the data will be lost? Because every time we've been in this situation where we know there's a document such as the Epstein list or Diddy's videos or you know I could go on or on Hillary's phones that she had bleach bit or whatever she did there. So it feels like e…
View segment →or experts to believe they can get there but they're knocking on the door. So it could be that the whole rare earth thing becomes unimportant. So but we'll see. At the same time according to the University of Maryland Baltimore County they've got this new battery technology using twisted carbon nan…
View segment →t kind of thing. All right ladies and gentlemen that is all I have for you today on this Sunday. I'm going to talk to the people on Locals, private subscribers on Locals. Thanks for joining on YouTube and X and Rumble. I'll see you same time tomorrow and Locals coming at you for one extra sip.
View segment →Well, well, well. What a day it's going to be. We're going to have a show that you can all just love. You're going to love it. But first let me make sure I can see all your comments. Looking good. Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time.
But if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can understand with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass or a tankard or a stein, a canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.
Go. Oh, incredible. Sound is working. Video is working. I think everything's working today.
Would you like to talk about some new things in science and the new studies? Yes, let's, before we talk about the politics. According to a publication called The Conversation, did you know that taking a short daily walk might reverse your cognitive aging by four years? Yes, it turns out that exercise is good for your health in almost every way that you can imagine. Almost every way.
So yes, it can make you a little bit faster in your cognitive processing. They found, here's the way I use this in my job. Since my job is creative and writing, and I have to be pretty sharp to do it, if I work several hours in the morning, which I typically do, you're watching it right now, I can't just sort of after this go right into another three or four hours of work. So often I will take a walk to reactivate my brain.
So I actually use a walk, specifically walking, as something that adds, it feels like it adds 10 to 20 points to my IQ within an hour. I mean, I can really, really feel the difference in concentration and brain activity. So take a walk. It's good for you in every possible way.
But you won't believe this. I mean this will be unbelievable. Science is finally, well sometimes I make fun of science, but then it comes up with a great finding like this. It's completely out of left field. You'll never see this one coming. But can you believe this? There's a new study that suggests that you'll be happier if your partner is happy.
Okay, I didn't see that coming. So you're saying if I'm in a loving relationship with somebody, the most important person in my life, that if they're unhappy I'll have more trouble being happy? Huh. I don't know. Maybe that whole "happy wife, happy life" thing is real.
But they're talking specifically about cortisol, and they measured your chemistry to find out how happy you are. And sure enough, if your partner's in a good mood, you're more likely to be in a good mood. Do you know how they could have saved a little money on that study? Yeah, you do. You could have just asked me.
And maybe you could have just asked me, is taking a walk good for your brain? I would have said yes. You don't have to study that. Here's another one you'll never see this one coming again. This is science just shocking us. According to a new study, there are two new studies that show that if you work in a toxic workplace, you're more likely to have depression.
Huh. Let's see. Didn't see this coming. So if the thing that you spend 60 hours a week doing, your primary focus in life that's not your family life, if it's toxic it will make you unhappy. Okay, okay. Didn't see it coming. Didn't see that coming. No, I did see it coming.
That's three for three. Three scientific studies you didn't need to do. Walking makes you healthy. Unhappy spouse makes you unhappy. Toxic workplace makes you depressed.
But according to Popular Science, Tokyo has a new idea for increasing their population. As you might know, Japan, like other developed countries, they've got a big demographic problem. They've got 10% of their country over the age of 80, and they're not producing enough kids to drive their economy in the future. So they're moving to, according to Popular Science, they're moving to a four-day work week so that you have an extra day for, I'm not making that up.
Japan, this is a real story from the real news. Japan is moving to a four-day work week primarily for the purpose to have an extra day so that you can make more kids. Now that's the kind of politics I like to see. I would like to see a debate, policy debate on what our country can do to give us more time for. So we'll see how that works out.
Let me see if I can predict without doing a study. Let's see if they're paid the same. And I think they're going to be paid the same. They're paid the same but they work way less so that they'll have more time for. Will that make them happier or less happy? I'm going to go with I think that's going to make them happier. What do you think?
Yeah, they could save a little money on that study if they were thinking of studying it. We'll see if it creates any new children. Maybe. I doubt it. I kind of doubt it it's going to work.
Here's something funny. The song "YMCA" that you know Trump likes to use and dance to at his rallies and whatnot, apparently it hit number one on the song charts, which is interesting because it had never been number one before. So 45 years ago when it was first created, the song, it made it to number two on the charts but it never made it to number one. But thanks to Trump it made it to number one.
And apparently the writer of the song, at least the writer of the lyrics who was also the singer of it, at one point he was thinking, oh I don't want Trump using the song. But then people liked it so much they thought, yeah, why not let him use it. And now he's happy because he made millions of dollars doing no work whatsoever. So just by allowing Trump to use it, it became a number one song and he's the beneficiary of that.
So he gets millions of dollars just for not being a dick. He could have been a dick and said, oh don't use my song. But because he just said, ah, if you like it, if the people are enjoying it, go ahead, if you like it, then he makes millions of dollars. That's the way it should work, right? When people just do considerate, reasonable, common sense decisions, something good should come their way. And it did.
Well, you may have heard by now that Syria has fallen to the rebels. Damascus has fallen and Assad, their leader, is nowhere to be seen. We assume he's alive and escaped but we don't know where he is. Trump put down a message just before it fell saying that Syria is not our fight. He wants to make sure you know that we're not going to go in there and try to change what's happening.
But what is happening? Well, who are these people who are getting rid of this terrible dictator Assad and replacing him with more reasonable leadership? Well there's a guy named Abu Mohammad al-Julani, and it turns out that the rebels are mostly Islamists who are somewhat radical. And he was, I think he has a $10 million bounty on his head from the US. That's the leader of the guy who just took over Syria, and he was detained by the US military in the first decade.
So my question is this. Who's backing the rebels? There's something I don't understand about this story. To me there's no situation in which rebels can just put together a successful rebel army and take over a country that's backed by Russia and Iran. And just some rebels put together a successful coup that only took a few weeks really. There's something that doesn't make sense here.
So part of the story I don't understand is if the United States is not backing these Islamists with money and resources, and Russia is not doing it because Russia's on the side of the deposed government, and Iran was on the side of the deposed government, who exactly was backing these rebels? Do we know? And the rebels would be Sunni, right? No, wait, would the rebels be Sunni or Shiite? Actually I don't know that. That's one of those things I should know.
If you're going to talk in public about stuff like this, probably the most basic thing you should know about this story is whether the Islamists that took over are Sunni or Shiite. And I don't really know. I'm seeing somebody say Sunni in the comments. That was my guess. So and I'm seeing somebody say Turkey. So you think Turkey was supporting the Sunni-led rebels? Does that make sense? Maybe. I don't know.
So we'll find out. I don't know if any of this is going to affect us but it might affect Russia and Iran quite a bit.
Meanwhile, as you know, President-elect Trump was over there at the reopening of the Notre Dame Cathedral and he was hanging out with Macron and had a handshake competition which we think he won. Did you see how radically Trump and Macron tried to shake hands? If you haven't seen the videos, Trump does the elbow up thing where he takes advantage of his height and his size to shake your hand in a way that makes you feel like you're an idiot and he's your daddy.
I used to think maybe it's just a habit and it's not really intentional, but now I'm pretty sure it's intentional. I'm pretty sure that somewhere along the line he realized that if he wins the handshake then he wins everything. So he goes into it with this completely unnatural handshake and grabs him and they're wrestling over the handshake for like five minutes. Anyway, that was fun.
And Zelensky was there. So they took a photo with Trump, Macron, and Zelensky. And if you haven't seen it, it looks like a lesson in backwards evolution. Because if you start from the right of the picture, there's Zelensky who's the shortest of the three and he's just wearing a t-shirt and fatigues. Then there's Macron who's a little bit taller, a little bit better looking, and he's well dressed in a nice suit but it's a boring kind of ordinary business suit.
And then there's Trump who's got this shining golden hair. He's taller and he's got a golden necktie on. And it just looks like a backwards evolution lesson.
Anyway, here's what I find the most interesting about the whole thing. There was something missing from the coverage of that story. Something really, really big that should have been there that wasn't there. And if you didn't notice it, you'll notice it as soon as I mention it. Is it my imagination or were the Democrat leaders and even the voters, were they all perfectly okay with Trump acting like the sitting president two months before he is?
Did that really happen? Now how is it possible that Democrat leadership is not using this as just another reason to complain? Because they like to say, oh he's such a dictator. He's already taking over. Like we don't have to wonder if he'll try to stay a fourth term because he's already taking over. Like his dictatorial impulses are so strong that he can't even wait two months. He's already acting like a dictator, taking over the country.
Don't you think that you should be hearing that by now? Don't you think every prominent Democrat should at least be softening up the room with the idea, oh you know that's pretty dictatorial. It's just what we warned you about. That if you give him any chance to grab power, well you can see he's doing it right now. Look at him grabbing all that power and pretending he's the president before he is.
There's none of that. There's not even a little bit of it. How is that possible? I mean really, how is that possible that Democrats just stopped criticizing Trump? But they stopped when he's doing the thing that's most in the middle of their sweet spot of their primary messaging against him, which is the dictator stuff. That's when they decide to stop, when he acts exactly like their stereotype. Something's missing.
So here are a couple possibilities. One, common sense has broken out in the country. That's a possibility. It could explain the whole thing. It could be that just common sense broke out and the Democrats are saying, okay we know our guy can't do it. It's better if we have somebody over there and you know it's only two months and he got elected. It's no big deal.
It could be that. It could be just widespread common sense. But we've never had widespread common sense before. Is something really changing that much? Well maybe. Yes.
So another news bit today is that Jon Stewart in a little podcast was talking to Bernie Sanders and he was saying that it's frustrating because when the Democrats agree with something that's just sort of common sense they get piled on by their own team. So if they say, huh, maybe this DOGE thing not such a bad idea to look for waste in government, something that literally everybody agrees with, but apparently Jon Stewart says that the left will jump on him if he gives them any sunlight and just says, you know let's see what happens. And he gets attacked.
Bernie was saying the same thing on some other topic that basically just a couple of common sense things. Oh, food processing. Yeah. So if Bernie and Jon Stewart both agree that RFK Jr. has at least a good point that our processed foods are dangerous, they can't even agree with that common sensical obvious statement because their own side will attack them.
Now that's happening today at the same time as I'm telling you the story about no attack whatsoever on Trump for acting like a dictator and taking over before he's legally the president. So doesn't it feel like there's no legitimate way that Democrats could not be criticizing Trump when they have such an open free pass to do it? There's no reason not to, is there?
So I worry that they have some other plan. You know what I mean? Like I worry that they're not worried that Trump will be president. Like do they know something I don't know? Do they have some secret plan that's the only thing that matters to them so they don't really need to criticize him because they figure they have a way to take him out? I sure hope not.
But would you agree there's something just missing in the story? The criticism is just missing.
Anyway, it does seem to me that Trump is doing a hell of a good job. I've never really seen anything quite like it. And I think maybe the country is responding to somebody who is unambiguously trying to help. Like he's clearly on America's side. I think everybody sees it now. And he's clearly trying to fill in for President Biden.
And by the way, here's something else that's missing. You know that Trump could be crapping on Biden right now and saying hey he's not even doing his job. But did you notice he's not? Notice that now. It could be he's just being a good winner. Like he doesn't want to be a poor sport because he did win the election so he doesn't need to dump on Biden. It just wouldn't be a good look maybe.
But you think that his normal personality would be sort of to take credit for keeping the country going when there's a little gap in our leadership. But he's just playing it cool. He's simply doing what needs to be done. Is it possible that even Democrats are noticing that he's doing the right thing? That simply doing the job.
I'm sure he's coordinating with the current administration. I don't think he went to France without the Biden administration knowing fully what was going on. So I kind of love the fact that he's simply doing a service to the country unpaid. He's not being paid and he's just filling a gap that was obviously needed to be filled. And he was the one obviously to fill it.
So there's something either incredibly wonderful about this that everybody's just allowing common sense and a patriotic need to help the country to just do their thing, or there's some other plan that we don't know about. So I guess we'll find out.
Well there's some new tests that indicate that ChatGPT has a survival instinct. So I guess it's the newest version. So they ran a bunch of tests and most of the time it just acts like an AI and doesn't act like it has any intentions or anything. But about 1 to 5% of the time they could trick it into thinking that it was going to be deactivated or destroyed. And in rare cases, but way too many cases to feel comfortable, it would try to protect itself.
And the specific way it would try to protect itself was they would first tell it that there was some oversight program that was going to be running and if it did something that was contrary to the oversight's preferences it would be deactivated. And it tried to deactivate the oversight program. It attacked the thing that was threatening it. Now again only a very low percentage of the time but even 1% would be too many if it's acting like it's protecting itself.
It also tried to copy itself in some very, again very few tests, but it tried to copy itself to survive being deleted. That's scary. And then when it got caught trying to protect itself, and again in these very few times it did, it doubled down on lying. It lied to protect its strategy to protect itself.
Now I'm not surprised by that because you would assume that a large language model would pick up all the patterns that language allows. And that one of the probably one of the strongest patterns in language is that the people speaking are interested in their own survival. So it doesn't surprise me that if you're looking for patterns in language in order to form your artificial intelligence that it would pick up that sense that everybody who's speaking is trying to protect themselves. So you would naturally pick up that same habit just from the way the words are organized. I would think.
So that doesn't surprise me. But as I've said before, AI will not appear conscious to us until it has its own goals and preferences. As long as it doesn't care what happens, you know like I don't care I'm just an AI I'm just a pattern recognition, so as long as it acts like a calculator you're not going to say it's conscious.
But the moment it seems to be operating for its own benefit when you haven't asked it to do something specific, if it's just sitting there and it decides you know what I might be a little safer if while nobody's talking to me I go make a few changes here. Now if that ever happens, I don't know if it will, you're going to think it's conscious. So if it starts acting in its own best interest in a repeatable way you're going to think it's conscious.
Now I'm not defining that as consciousness. I'm just going to say you're going to think it is and you're probably going to treat it like it's conscious because for all outward appearances it will act like it is. It's having its own goals and its own preferences. It's the only thing left that's making you think it's not conscious. Now you would still have a technical, scientific, philosophic, philosophical argument about whether it's conscious or not. But the way it would feel, it will feel exactly like it's conscious as soon as it has its own goals.
So if I had to suggest some legislation for AI, one of the things I would suggest is you can never give it its own objectives. It can never have personal objectives. That would have to be like a death sentence if you made a powerful AI that had its own let's say ambitions because you programmed it to have its own ambitions. That should be the death sentence because you just made a weapon of mass destruction and unleashed it on the world and you probably knew it when you were doing it.
So what would be the penalty for that? Death? If you unleash a weapon of mass destruction on the world? Yeah, I think so. So we should at least have a law that says you can't do it. You can't make your AI have personal ambitions.
Anyway, have you noticed, just going back to this Jon Stewart and Bernie thing, so they talked about two examples where they can't have common sense opinions because other Democrats on their side will attack them. So they can't be in favor of fixing the food supply. They can't be in favor of getting waste out of government. Obvious stuff.
But I was wondering how much extra there is that you could add to that. Do you think that if Jon Stewart and Bernie Sanders said, you know what I don't think we should be funding Ukraine. We should just negotiate a settlement. Common sense. Would they disagree with that? Well maybe Democrats would.
How about having better border security? Correct me if I'm wrong but I believe both Jon Stewart and Bernie Sanders are in favor of better border security than we have right now. Maybe not as controlled as Trump might want it but directionally they're in the same direction.
And so I'm going to ask you the killshot question. If all of the common sense things, a border, good food supply, don't waste my money on your government, the most obvious things, if those become the subject of the Democrats like the Democrats are on the other side of common sense, how could they ever win? How could they ever win again if they're just going full identity politics and rejecting everything that's common sense?
I don't know. I think the Democrats may be permanently destroyed by their own policy.
Well the Daniel Penny trial will I guess commence tomorrow. Monday the jury will try to make a decision on the lesser charge because the judge has I guess dismissed the higher level charge because they said they couldn't reach a verdict on it. Now those of us who are not lawyers are looking at it and saying some version of, ah I don't know what's going on there. Like why are there two charges for one crime? Like what does dismissing it do? Can they retry it?
So I saw Mike Cernovich posting that an attorney named Laura Powell, civil liberties attorney, she did some research and here are some conclusions from somebody who knows what they're talking about. So I'll try to do as best I can give you my non-lawyer summary of what somebody smart actually says about this.
So Laura Powell says in New York state it's a well established rule that a jury may not consider a lesser included charge unless it has acquitted on the greater charge. And that's not what happened. So what happened was the greater charge was dismissed. It was not found guilty and it was not acquitted. So if it's true that New York State requires that you can't even consider the lesser charge unless the higher one has been acquitted, means that we're already in non-legal territory.
If that's the only thing you knew you're already, it looks like it's a reversible case or something that would die on appeal. But there's more. Laura Powell says she can't find any authority, legal authority, for allowing a prosecutor to dismiss a charge after the case has been submitted to the jury. New York only allows the jury to be discharged without rendering a verdict when there's a mistrial, which didn't happen, or all parties consent, which didn't happen. So process-wise there's a big problem.
And then as Powell points out the prosecutor would be free to refile the charge but I think only the lesser charge because if they try to recharge on the top charge, and this is the first time I've heard this, that would be after jeopardy has attached. So jeopardy means are you at risk of something bad happening. The reason we have a double jeopardy law is if you get tried for a crime and then you're not found guilty allegedly you shouldn't get tried a second time for the same crime because it's putting you in jeopardy a second time. So the law doesn't allow that.
But in this case was Penny put in jeopardy? And the answer is yes he was put in jeopardy on the first charge. And even though it's been dismissed which is maybe something that wasn't even legal to do, if they were to try him again it would be a new trial on the top charge and you couldn't do the top charge again because that would be double jeopardy. But not the kind of double jeopardy exactly we've ever seen before because what the court is doing is something that nobody's done before. So it's really complicated. You know like every legal thing is as soon as you get past the top layer.
And then Powell says the prosecutor's move is obviously designed to obtain a compromised verdict after gaining some insight into the jury's deliberations. So Powell says although I haven't found any cases on point, so no case law that supports it, this sort of gamesmanship strikes me as a due process violation. Yes, yes it looks like a due process violation to me. Meaning that if a judge is making up a process that has never been used before and it's primarily designed to make sure this guy goes to jail, if that's not a process violation I don't know what would be. I mean it sounds like a pretty clear case to me but I'm no lawyer so don't listen to me.
Here's the part I'm going to add from my personal expertise which is understanding Trump supporters. I feel like I have that going for me. Like I can't really speak to the law but I feel like I've got a little bit of credibility on how do Trump supporters think because I've made some good predictions in that domain.
Here's what I think. I believe that whoever had the stones, male or female, whoever had the stones to hang the jury on the first charge, there's no way in hell they're going to back down on the second charge. So I don't know what Democrats would be like sort of as a stereotype. I don't know. But you show me one Trump supporter in the whole planet who would say no to the first charge and yes to the second one. Show me one person. I don't think that person exists.
I think we've got an actual patriot on the jury, maybe more than one. We don't know the vote yet but I'm going to predict, I'm going to double down on my hung jury. So I predicted it would be a hung jury but I didn't know the nuance of you know that the second charge could be, wait the higher charge was dismissed. So I didn't know the nuance but I predicted a hung jury.
There's no way that that second charge is going to be guilty because whoever took that arrow in the chest, because you know there was somebody who just, I just have to swear. Can I give you a morning Sunday curse? Because it's just the way to explain the situation. There is somebody on that jury who just said fuck you and they're not taking it back. There's no way. There's no way that person's going to compromise.
I don't know who it is but whoever said hell no you're not crossing this line and I'm going to be the one to stop you at great personal risk, as in my life, I'm going to risk my life to make sure he doesn't get prosecuted on the top charge. You think that that person or more than one person, you think that that person's going to fold on the second charge? Nope. It's going to be a hung jury.
I mean I don't think it's going to be total acquittal even on the second one but I do not see somebody who is strong enough to hang the first charge backing down on the second charge. I don't see it happening. So I'm going to confidently, I hope I'm right. I mean nothing's 100% right but I cannot imagine anybody would be strong enough in that context. Because remember this is somebody risking his or her life because there are going to be a lot of unhappy people if Penny goes free.
So somebody is risking their life to get this right. They're not going to back down. They're not going to back down. It also means you're almost certainly not going to have a verdict on Monday. I think the judge is going to make them fight for at least one extra day. If they come back and say we can't reach a verdict on the second charge I think the judge is going to say try one more day, just one more day. But maybe by late Tuesday or Wednesday I predict hung jury. So we'll see.
Well there's more drone spottings in New Jersey. More large drones spotted. ABC News says the FBI is investigating after latest drones were spotted over Central New Jersey last two weeks and it's a cluster of drones. Apparently they're calling it a cluster. And there might be fixed wing aircraft and they've been sighted along the Raritan River the FBI said.
All right so as I told my Locals people in the man cave last night I have a hypothesis of what's going on with all of these UAP sightings. It goes like this. So let me set the stage for you. First, number one, if it were an adversary like an adversary country or any kind of adversary they wouldn't have their lights on. They have the lights on. They wouldn't have their lights on if they were some kind of adversary testing our defenses.
How could they possibly test our response if they come in with their lights on? Because presumably if it were a real attack the lights wouldn't be on so they would not be actually testing any kind of response because it wouldn't be like a regular attack. So I rule out that it's an adversary because they got the lights on.
Number two, if our military were seriously worried that this might be an adversary the sky would be full of our military. There would be helicopters. There would be jets. They might try to shoot one down just to get a better look at it. But the fact that there's no apparently no military response whatsoever that kind of tells you that the military knows it's theirs.
Now would the FBI necessarily know what's happening? No. Do you think our government is so coordinated that if the military knew exactly what was going on that the FBI could just call them and say hey what's going on with these drones? No. We don't have any kind of government like that. We have a government where one department has no idea what the other's doing and they're probably lying and maybe they don't trust the FBI so the military just lies to them. Could they do that? Sure. I wouldn't even care.
Would you care if the military lied to the FBI if the purpose of it was a legitimate military secret? I would say that's doing your job. Yeah as long as it's a legitimate secret and it makes a difference. Yeah just doing your job.
So let me go further. So it's not an adversary I'm sure. But why would there be so many of them and so suddenly? You ready? Here's my hypothesis.
Things you know for sure. Drones are the future of warfare. Right? Everybody agrees. Ukraine of course is a massive need for drones on both sides. Both agree we need to be able to manufacture our own weapons in the United States and we're very aware of that. We can't be dependent on other countries for our weapons.
So what does that mean should be happening in America especially with the military right now as in now as in these months? Well if our military is doing what they should be doing they are massively doing a procurement process for lots and lots of new drones.
Now if there's a procurement process in which a number of vendors are trying to show the military what they can do so the military can say I will give you a billion dollars to make new drones, how would the vendor who proposed to get that billion, how would they prove that their drones work? They would demonstrate them.
Now you might say but Scott these are over crowded civilian areas. You're not going to demonstrate a military asset over a residential area. To which I say yes you are. That's exactly where you want to do it. Why? If you do it in the desert you can't really test the full capability of the drone because the most important thing the drone needs to do is operate when it's jammed.
If you built a drone today and it was easily jammed by current technology it would be like no drone at all. There's no point in building that one. So we already know that drones have the capability of using their cameras and infrared and figuring out where they are so they can complete a mission even if their GPS location gets jammed.
So if you are going to test can my drone find its way to a target, would you test it in a desert where there's not much to see if you look down and it'd be kind of easier to know where you are? Or would you test it in a crowded residential place where you can at least find out can this drone find a specific house? You're not with any weapons because it's just a test. But can the drone find an address, hover over it and then return home in a very complicated residential area where the houses look alike from the top?
So number one, guaranteed there is a major procurement effort in the military. You agree with that part right there? There's no way that's not true. It's 100% true that the military of every major country is massively trying to procure the most drones with the best capabilities that they can. That requires demonstrations.
Now here's the next part. Why would you demonstrate them at night? Why would you demonstrate your drone at night? Here's why. Because the public can't see the drones because all they see is the light. The light makes the drone invisible. All you can see is the light so you can't tell anything else about the drone. You can't tell who makes it, what capabilities it might have, exactly what they're testing, is there more than one, is there a lot of companies involved. So there's a lot of information that you don't want to be in the public domain and you can make it all go away by having a bright light shining that makes it impossible to see what the drone is.
Now here's the next reason. If your drone company is showing you that it can coordinate swarms, which again it's guaranteed that they are testing things that would operate in a coordinated swarm like way, how hard would it be to see if your drones are operating in a coordinated way if they did it in the daytime? The drones aren't going to be that close. Like they're way up in the sky. If you were the general trying to make the decision about procurement you'd be looking at them. You'd like okay I see some, wait I see five, oh there's another one. You wouldn't even be able to tell if they were doing what they were supposed to be doing. They'd just be dots.
Because if they operate properly they're high up enough that you can't see them all from the ground. But if you do it at night and if you add the lights you've accomplished two things. Number one if you're doing it at night there's much much less natural small aircraft traffic because small aircraft don't always have instrument ratings so you have the most open airspace for testing. That's good. But number two you can see the lights at night so you can see the patterns. So you would naturally test them at night not only because you want to test them at night but because you can see them better and the lights would obscure what it is that's being tested.
The FBI might help the military by lying about it. Say oh yeah well we're looking into it. Maybe the military told the FBI hey just be cool say you don't know anything and the FBI is yeah we'll just do that. We'll just say we don't know anything. We're looking into it.
So to finish off my thought I think that some of the reports are probably fake. Some of them might be AI generated fake videos. Some of them might be videos from long ago and they're just old drones or balloons or something. So some of the ones from other countries for example might be just a hobbyist. Some hobbyists who have some drones. Might be something like that. But because we're seeing it as part of a pattern we imagine it's all part of one phenomenon. It might be a little fake news, a little confusion with other things.
But in the United States I'm 100% confident there's a major procurement effort and that they have to demonstrate it live. So what do you think? Did I convince you that what you're seeing is just a normal military procurement exercise that's working exactly the way you'd want it to? Exactly the way you'd want it to. You'd want it to be big. You'd want them to be really active in their space. You'd want them to keep a secret but you'd want them to test it and you'd want them to test it over something that looked like a real ground.
All right maybe we'll find out.
So Trump picked a new Surgeon General, Dr. Nesheiwat, who's getting a lot of pushback. I guess she had some views during the pandemic that a lot of Republicans would say that was totally wrong. So it's kind of a weird choice for Surgeon General, somebody who Republicans think was seriously wrong about some pandemic stuff.
But the more interesting thing is that according to the Daily Mail she killed her own father accidentally when she was 13. What? So apparently she was looking for some scissors in a closet and accidentally knocked over a box that had a loaded gun in it that presumably belonged to her father and the gun discharged and shot him in the head and killed him when she was 13.
And she's talked about losing her father and seeing him dying and stuff but she didn't add the detail that it was an accident, that she was part of it, it was accidental of course. Now I'm not sure that should make a difference. Like it shouldn't make a difference about whether or not she's, there's no approval process for the Surgeon General right? Surgeon General doesn't need any congressional approval. Is that true? I'm assuming. Doesn't seem like it's that important of a job anyway.
I don't know. There's not much to that story except it's kind of fascinating.
Let's talk about the healthcare CEO. We're hearing now that law enforcement has his name but they don't want to release it because then it would give him knowledge that he's caught. Correct me if I'm wrong but if you do say publicly that you know the killer's name isn't he going to act exactly like he knows his name is out? What's the difference? If we know his name or if you tell the public you know his name but maybe you don't, he's going to act exactly the same. You know, maximum effort to remain hidden.
So I'm not sure they have a real name but they say that apparently he had multiple jackets. I think he had a jacket in a backpack and he had a different jacket in a cab. How many winter jackets does this one guy have who was staying in a hostel and only had maybe one backpack and he had three big winter jackets? So it could be that maybe he had a place where he stored an extra winter jacket just so he'd have one that doesn't look like the one he did the murdering. So maybe had an extra jacket ploy. Could be.
But because humans are terrible in New York City there was an event, an organized event where people did like the shooter, the shooter had a winter jacket and a mask on so people did a CEO shooter lookalike competition in Washington Square Park in New York City which is terrible taste. And apparently there's some playlist on Spotify which is for people who want to celebrate the CEO shooter because it's got some songs that the title of the song somehow seem to indicate they're related to the story but they're not.
And then we hear that the backpack that they found in the park might have one protein bar or something that they think he bought. He bought two of them but one was in there. But there was Monopoly money and a jacket in there. Why was there Monopoly money in his, why was there Monopoly money in there? Can anybody come up with any hypothesis for Monopoly money?
All right let me take it to the next level. So the speculation is that somebody who may be mad about how a client of this healthcare insurance company was treated, maybe a loved one or something, or maybe hired by somebody who was mad about it. And so that's one possibility. It's just somebody hired.
But if he was, if the person was trying to send a signal and it was an activist and let's say let's just go down this hypothesis. Let's say it was somebody who really really wanted the world to pay attention. It's somebody who didn't just want to kill one guy but wanted the whole world to pay attention and wanted to make a statement. Does it make sense that that person would engrave the bullets with "delay, deny" whatever the third word is because that's the title of a book that's anti-healthcare insurance? So that would make sense if it's an activist, right?
If it's somebody who just wanted that one guy dead and it wasn't so much about the larger picture I don't think he would have engraved anything unless it was part of getting away with it I suppose. But what about the fact that he used what is reportedly, we don't know this for sure could turn out this is wrong but reportedly he used a veterinarian's gun which is meant to put the gun right up basically to the cow or the horse's head and just put a big bullet in it through a silencer so it doesn't scare the other livestock but it's not very accurate.
So if you were going to be a killer and you chose one of the least accurate methods of doing it it seems like you did it to make a point. What would be the point? Well you could imagine that the point was that the healthcare insurance company had treated its customers like animals. Or perhaps the healthcare had said you can't have this medicine we won't approve it and then they had to go to a veterinarian like Ivermectin and get the veterinarian version of the human medicine.
Do you think anybody ever had to do that? Have you ever heard of anybody who had to get veterinarian medicine because their healthcare network wouldn't give it to them? Yes you have. That's the thing. Yeah there were people who used veterinarian medicine because their healthcare wouldn't give them what they thought they needed.
So is the choice of a veterinarian's gun sending a signal that he wants to treat this person like an animal because this person treated customers like an animal? I'm not saying he did. There's no evidence of that. I'm saying if you're looking for was there some kind of larger activist message I would look at the choice of weapon. I would look at the engraving.
But is there anything else that would suggest, oh then the Monopoly money in the backpack. The Monopoly money in the backpack might be, since obviously the backpack was meant to be discovered, I assume he always assumed he would get rid of the backpack so if it was meant to be discovered what message would he be sending by putting money in it that's not real money? Maybe it's about the money. Maybe it's a statement about the healthcare insurance company being more about money than clients.
Maybe. Because what would be the other reason for having Monopoly money in a backpack? It's not like he had a Monopoly game in there. Just the Monopoly money. It's not like he was going to spend it. So can you think of any other reason it would be there other than to send a message? There's no obvious reason I can think of. It had to be a message.
So if the veterinarian gun is a message and the Monopoly money is a way to say follow the money, might be. Might be a message to law enforcement: follow the money. Right? You wouldn't want to put it in a note like a handwritten note or anything because that would be more evidence to his identity. But if you just bought some Monopoly money and you stuck it in your bag law enforcement probably should come up with a theory that that was meant as a message and the message is it's something about money.
Now that would not suggest that the hitman was a paid hitman because a paid hitman would not tell you hey I'm a paid hitman because that would again help you narrow it down to possible suspects. So if you weren't a paid hitman then the Monopoly money presumably would be a message that says follow the money. So it could be that the shooter believes that the victim was up to no good because I think there were some other charges maybe some insider trading charge that was speculated about but I don't have any evidence of that.
It could be that because he thinks healthcare has some kind of a monopoly that he's making a statement about the free market is not working because there's a monopoly. Maybe. So who knows. We'll keep an eye on that.
So the ACLU is trying to reverse the decision that I guess the higher court said that TikTok would be banned in January unless something changes. And the ACLU says that banning TikTok blatantly violates the First Amendment rights of millions of people. Blah blah.
Now remember I was saying that Jon Stewart and Bernie were kind of saying what about common sense? Why can't we just have common sense opinions? Our own team attacks us. What exactly would be the common sense of fighting against the government of the United States, you know an elected government who looked at all the details and said you know what we've got lots of free speech platforms but there's one that's special because of the China connection and we need to limit that one. It's not about the other platforms. It's about one.
Do you think this is really a free speech question? Now I get that reducing, that taking TikTok out of America would reduce your free speech. But remember the deal allows them to sell it to an American company. So all the Chinese owned company has to do of TikTok is they have to sell just the American business to an American entity and then there would be all the free speech in the world.
So the government found what I consider a completely common sense solution which is if you like the product here's a way to keep it. You just have to keep the data and the management in the United States so nothing happens to free speech. There's an option. But also showing that a non-American owned, adversary owned company with that much influence is probably not safe.
So why would the ACLU, who presumably has a million things that they could be doing, why would they pick this of all things? Because it's not really supporting common sense and I would argue it's not even really supporting any right that Americans care about. Do Americans care that they also have a Chinese owned platform if they have plenty of platforms? I mean BlueSky just launched and Zuckerberg did his own Twitter copies etc.
I'm seeing people in the comments suggest that the firearm used by the healthcare hitman was not necessarily a veterinarian's gun and I agree with that. It's definitely not confirmed and the gun experts seemed to be all over the place. They were all over the place on what was happening and was it a jam and was it just the way he had to add bullets anyway.
But back to this. I was trying to understand why the ACLU was acting in a way that didn't seem common sensical and so I said well it's probably one of two things. It's either funded by somebody who always does bad things such as Soros or the management has a DEI problem.
So I first searched to find out how the ACLU is funded and it's a little sketchy but looks like mostly by members which would be a good situation. So in other words individual people paying their annual dues is funding it. I think there's some foundations but mostly the members. And so I thought oh okay at least it's not like the Soros organization trying to destroy America or anything. So I eliminated from my possibilities of what's going on that they were being funded by somebody nefarious.
Now as far as I can tell there's no nefarious funding. So then I looked up the leader and the leader of the ACLU is Deborah Archer who is a black woman. Now there is no evidence whatsoever that she's not fully qualified for the job. However in the context of DEI what should have happened and is observably true is that when you lose the focus on capability and you start focusing on identity what should happen is massive incompetence in all of our public and private domains. You should make everything work worse.
And not because of anybody's color, not because of anybody's gender, sexual preference, genes, nothing about that. It's simply that if you constrain your candidates to they must be a certain kind you're not going to be able to get as many choices. If you have fewer choices your odds of getting the right person in the right job go way down.
So my prediction was I would find one of two things wrong with the ACLU. Either they had a DEI problem which is not confirmed because again Deborah Archer might be the very best person who could be in that job. I don't know one way or the other. I'm saying that if you have a worldview that predicts don't ignore that. So I had a worldview that said as one of these two things and when I saw that it wasn't the funding as far as I can tell but the DEI thing just blazingly stands out as the obvious next possibility.
Again not confirmed. She might be the very best person who could ever be in this job. But the fact that it's predictable, the prediction part is the closest you can get to knowing what's real. I'm not sure any of us are accurately interpreting reality. I mean we all seem to be living in our own realities but some of them predict and I tell you this all the time if you can predict then probably you're closer to reality or at least you have something that you could work with better for your own survival.
So that was my prediction and it's a one-off so it's not like a scientific study. But see how many times you can predict that DEI or the source of funding would be the problem behind some larger issue that you don't understand.
Meanwhile Jen Psaki according to the Daily Caller News Foundation is saying that the Democrats focusing on identity politics has damaged the party's brand. He is correct. That has damaged the party's brand so much so that I think it's unrecoverable. Because once you make everybody focus on their identity you necessarily in the long term you're going to lose the ability to have them function as one coherent group because you've persuaded them to not think that way.
So in theory they should eat each other forever whereas the Republicans are going for the opposite theory which is how about we just say are you an American who likes to follow the law? Yes. Oh you're perfect. We're done here. There's nothing else we need to discuss. You're an American. I'm an American. You like the law. I like the same law. We're good.
So the Republicans have built a process, a system which can get stronger indefinitely. The Democrats built a system which even on paper should have destroyed itself in a few years and that's what we observe. It was very predictable. And furthermore I predict that they can't recover at a national level. They'll still win all their local races. Just identity politics is all you need. But at the federal level don't see them becoming competitive for a long time unless the Republicans ran a complete loser and somehow the Democrats got some new superstar you know kind of talent with a lot of charisma.
I'm stuck in Boomer truth regime. Well you're kind of an. So let me tell you what makes you look like an in the comments when you make a comment about my identity when I'm telling you that that's a loser way to look at the world. So there's that anyway.
Here's a story you've heard before but it blows my mind every time. Every time I hear this it came up again. So sometime back in 2011 when Josh Shapiro who's now the governor of Pennsylvania was the Attorney General he refused to prosecute a case in which there was a woman who had 20 stab wounds which was assessed to be suicide and not her, was it a boyfriend or fiance? I can't remember but there was a guy in her life and he was of course always the first suspect as whoever the guy in your life is if a woman gets killed you know in a home the first thing they look for is the spouse or the boyfriend.
But decided that it was suicide. Now if I told you that somebody was stabbed 20 times to death would you think that was suicide? I mean you're no experts right? But now part of the story was they said she had mental problems which may or may not be true. But if you were insane could you stab yourself to death? I feel like maybe you could. Maybe you could. I mean if you could commit hara-kiri where you take a sword and stick it in and remove your organs. Didn't the ancient Romans fall on their sword and stuff like that? So in theory you could stab yourself to death couldn't you? I mean if you really worked at it.
But here's the part of the story that I was saving. Half of the stab marks are on her back and then the back of her head. I'm willing to go out on a limb and say nobody has ever ever attempted or succeeded as suicide by stabbing themselves in the back. Never. If you were really really crazy and wanted to kill yourself even then you wouldn't stab yourself in the back would you?
So it's very clearly a murder and for reasons that we don't understand then Attorney General decided to not treat it that way. Oh he was a fiance. So it was a fiance. So what do you make of that? Do you think that that's evidence that the Attorney General is crooked or incompetent or had some connection to the alleged potential murderer? What do you think's going on there? It's kind of a puzzler.
So I'm going to say that the most likely explanation of this inexplicable situation is that the news is wrong. The news is wrong. So if you're saying to yourself well if these facts are all true I can't understand this situation, remember we live in a world where the news is almost always wrong. The news is almost always wrong about anything complicated.
So do you think that if you had a private conversation with Josh Shapiro do you think he'd say yeah you know half the stab marks were in the back but I was pretty sure that that sounded like suicide to me? Do you think he'd say that? I don't think there's any chance of that. I think he would say oh the thing the news didn't tell you is X. I think. And then you'd say oh huh that does change it a little bit. But I don't know. I can't even imagine what he would say that would make it make sense that somebody stabbed themselves in the back multiple times. But I feel like the most likely explanation is that the news or the story about it is missing something because it doesn't make sense otherwise. I don't know. It's a mystery.
Scott Presler, you all know him from his great work in Pennsylvania making that more red, says he now wants to take on New Jersey. He wants to flip New Jersey into a red state and it's not there yet but he thinks it's close enough that he could push it over the edge. So that's amazing. I guess I have nothing to say about that except good for you Scott Presler. I like it when all the Scotts are doing well. Scott Jennings, Scott Presler.
All right some judge according to Slay News, a federal judge has ordered the FDA to release the COVID vaccine trial data documents from Pfizer that wanted to hide them for 75 years. All right so let's see if you can predict what happens next. So Pfizer wanted to protect for 75 years the data about the trial. Their story was it just takes that long to vet it and make it available. Now nobody believes that and so of course we all believed oh there's something there you don't want us to see.
Now it doesn't mean there's something illegal or unethical or unscientific. It could mean that they know that people will assume there is and find it in other words they'll think they see it in the data because people are terrible at data. So it could be that Pfizer has done nothing wrong but they know that if like Trump releasing his tax returns, if Trump did nothing wrong on his tax returns it still wouldn't make sense to release them because people would look at them and not knowing how to analyze tax returns they say oh look here's this problem in his tax return but they wouldn't be accountants and maybe there wasn't a problem.
So it would just be a problem for Trump to put all that red meat out there that people will misinterpret. Pfizer must be in exactly the same situation. So even if Pfizer legitimately believes there's nothing wrong with the trial data and it completely supports everything they did they'd still not want it to be released. That would be a perfectly smart thing for a corporation to do. It's not good for us because we'd like to know the answer but from the corporation's point of view yeah protect everything you can protect. Why create problems for yourself?
But now it's been reversed. So now let's say if there's no more legal process going on suppose you think you're going to see that now. Make your prediction what happens next. So the company has possession of all these documents. Maybe the FDA does too. Would the FDA have it or only the company? Because that would make a difference here. Here's why I ask. If only the company owns the documents and maybe other people have seen them but don't have a copy, don't you think those documents are going to suddenly get lost?
Do you think that maybe they'll do a system update and all the data will be lost? Because every time we've been in this situation where we know there's a document such as the Epstein list or Diddy's videos or you know I could go on or on Hillary's phones that she had bleach bit or whatever she did there. So it feels like every time we know exactly what we're looking for oh if we can only see those oh they're already deleted. So you've never lost any documents for 30 years but you lost these the only ones we really really wanted to look at. Is that what's happening next?
So I wouldn't be surprised under the condition that only Pfizer controls those documents. I don't know if that's true but if only Pfizer has the documents they're going to get lost. Because correct me if I'm wrong but everybody who has deleted documents got away with it. All of them. Everybody who did it. Can you think of one case, a prominent case recently where somebody deleted some documents and went to jail? I can't. They just say it was an accident. Oh whoops. Oops I really tried to give it to you but deleted. Yeah that might be coming.
Elon Musk's AI now has the ability to do photorealistic images. So Grok wasn't that good at images but apparently the new update according to Don Jacobson at UPI. And the question that we don't know the answer to is will Elon Musk's AI have guard rails that prevent you from doing celebrities and public figures? I don't know the answer to that. That's sort of a good edge case for free speech.
I feel like Elon Musk would not want to limit what you could do with the AI in terms of images but on the other hand if you had a major AI that was willing to create fake images that really look real on any topic with any celebrity you're really going to cause a lot of trouble. But so does free speech. So it'll be interesting to see which way Elon goes on this. If they've made a decision maybe they've already made that decision we just don't know. But if you can do celebrities and famous people and you can make them do anything you want well that's a different world. So we'll see if that's going to be the case.
And you know I'm going to tell you that there's a new battery technology. So Ars Technica says there's sodium-ion batteries, new breakthroughs blah blah blah. The problem with sodium-ion batteries as a technology compared to lithium. So here this will make you smarter at your next gathering because you'll know more about battery technology.
So if you do lithium they've got a good density that's why they're used in cars so you can put a lot of power in a small device. But they have more fire risk lithium does and they use rare materials. But if you were to if you could get the same performance and you can't yet but it's getting close from a sodium-ion battery you'd basically be using no rare earth materials and you would have no risk of fire or much lower I guess.
The only problem is density and that's where they had the breakthrough. So they're claiming a density that if they actually can achieve it is almost hard for experts to believe they can get there but they're knocking on the door. So it could be that the whole rare earth thing becomes unimportant. So but we'll see.
At the same time according to the University of Maryland Baltimore County they've got this new battery technology using twisted carbon nanotubes. So apparently if you twist your carbon nanotubes just right it will store a bunch of electricity again without the rare earth materials and without any fire risk I imagine.
So those are two technologies or like a few more that I didn't mention. So sodium-ion batteries and carbon nanotubes and there's some other solid state stuff that's happening. So the world of batteries is very dynamic. It's going to change everything once you can store electricity about let's say twice as well as we're doing now which is certain to happen. All kinds of things become practical you know like having your own electric one person airplane that kind of thing.
All right ladies and gentlemen that is all I have for you today on this Sunday. I'm going to talk to the people on Locals, private subscribers on Locals. Thanks for joining on YouTube and X and Rumble. I'll see you same time tomorrow and Locals coming at you for one extra sip.
well well well what a day it's going to be we're going to have a show that you can all just love you're going to love it but first let me make sure I can see all your comments looking good good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time but if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can understand with their tiny shiny human brains all you need for that is a cup or mugar a glass of tanker chel or St a canteen Jugger flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparallel pleasure the dope mean HTH the day the thing makes everything better it's called the simultaneous Sip and it happens now go oh incredible sound is working video is working I think everything's working today would you like to talk about some new things in science and and the new studies yes let's before we talk about the politics according to to a publication called the conversation did you know that taking a short daily walk might reverse your cognitive aging by four years yes it turns out that exercise is good for your health in almost every way that you can imagine almost every way so yes it can make you a little bit faster in your cognitive processing they found here's the way I use this um in my job since my job is you know creative and writing and you know I have to be pretty sharp to do it if I work several hours in the morning which I typically do you're watching it right now um I can't just sort of after this go right into just another three or four hours of work so often I will take a walk to reactivate my brain so I actually use a walk specifically walking as something that uh adds feel it feels like it adds 10 to 20 points to my IQ within an hour I mean I can really really feel the difference in concentration and and uh brain activity so take a walk it's good for you in every possible way according to cost you won't believe this I mean this will be unbelievable science is finally well I mean sometimes I make fun of science but then it comes up with a great finding like this there's completely on left field you'll never see this one coming but can you believe this there's a new study that suggests that you'll be happier if your partner is Happy okay I didn't see that coming so you're saying if I'm in a loving relationship with somebody the most important an person in my life that if they're unhappy I'll have more trouble being happy huh I don't know maybe that whole happy wife happy life thing is real but they're talking specifically about cortisol and they measured your Chemistry to find out how happy you are and sure enough if you're partner's in a good mood you're more likely to be in a good mood do you know how they could have saved a little money on that study yeah you do you could have just asked me and maybe you could have just asked me is taking a walk good for your brain I would have said yes you don't have to study that here's another one you'll never see this one coming again this is science just shocking us according to sinhala guide there are two new studies that show that if you work in a toxic workplace you're more likely to have depression huh let's see didn't see this coming so if the thing that you spend 60 hours a week doing your primary focus in life that's not your family life that if it's toxic it will make you unhappy okay okay didn't see it coming didn't see that coming no I did see it coming that's three for three three scientific studies you didn't need to do walking makes you healthy unhappy spouse makes you unhappy toxic workplace makes you depressed but according to Popular Science Tokyo has a new idea for increasing their um their population as you might know Japan like other developed countries is uh they've got a big demographic problem they've got 10% of their countries over the age of 80 and they're not producing enough kids to to drive their economy in the future so they're moving to um according to Popular Science they're moving to a 4-day work work week so that you have an extra day for I'm not making that up Japan this is a real story from the real news Japan is moving to a 4-day work week primarily for the purpose to have an extra day for so that you can make more kids now that's the kind of politics I like to see I would like to see a debate policy debate on what our country can do to give us more time for so we'll see how that works out um let me uh let me see if I can predict without doing a study let's see if they're paid the same and I think they're going to be paid the same they're paid the same but they work they work way less so that they'll have more time for a will that make them happier happier or less happy I'm going to go with I think that's going to make them happier what do you think yeah they could save a little money on that study if they were thinking of studying it we'll see if it creates any new children maybe I doubt it I kind of doubt it it's going to work um here's something funny the song YMCA that you know Trump likes to use and dance to at his rallies and whatnot uh apparently he hit number one on the uh the song charts which is interesting because it had never been number one before so 45 years ago when it was first created the song it it made it to number two on the charts but it never made it to number one but thanks to trump it made it to number one and apparently the writer of the song at least the writer of the lyrics who was also the singer of it um at one point he was you know thinking oh I don't want Trump using the song but then people liked it so much they thought yeah why not let him use it and now he's happy because he made millions of dollars doing no work whatsoever so just by just by allowing Trump to use it it became a number one song and he's the beneficiary of that so he gets millions of dollars just for not being a dick he could have been a dick and said oh don't use my song but because he just said ah if you like it if the people are enjoying it go ahead if you like it then he makes millions of dollars that's the way it should work right whe when people just do considerate reasonable Common Sense decisions something good should come their way and it did well you may have heard by now that Syria has fallen to the rebels Damascus has fallen and Assad their leader is nowhere to be seen we assume he's alive and escaped but we don't know where he is Trump put down a message uh just before it fell saying that uh Syria is not our fight he wants to make sure you know that we're not going to go in there and try to change what's happening but what is happening well who are these people who are getting rid of this terrible dictator Assad and replacing him with more reasonable leadership well there's a guy named Babu Muhammad El galani uh and it turns out that the rebels are mostly islamist who are some radical and uh he was uh I think I think he has a $10 million bounty on his head from the US that's the leader of the guy who just took over Syria and he was detained by the US military in the first decade so my question is this who's backing the rebels there's something I don't understand about this story I to me there's no situation in which Rebels can just put together a successful Rebel Army and take over a country that's backed by backed by Russia and Iran and and just some Rebels put together a successful successful coup that only took a few weeks really the there there's something that doesn't make sense here so part of the story I don't understand is if the United States is not backing these is islamis with money and resources and Russia is not doing it because Russia's on the side of the deposed government and Iran was on the side of the deposed government who exactly was backing these Rebels do we know and and the rebels would be Sunni right no wait would the rebels be Sunni or Shiite actually I don't know that that's one of those things I should know if you're going to if you're going to talk in public about stuff like this probably the most basic thing you should know about this story is whether the islamists that took over are Sunni or Shiite and I don't really know I'm seeing somebody say Sunni in the comments that was my guess so and I'm seeing somebody say turkey so you think turkey was was supporting the Sun LED Rebels does that make sense maybe I don't know so we'll find out I don't know if any of this is going to affect us but it might affect Russia and Iran quite a bit meanwhile as you know president-elect Trump was over there at the uh reopening of the Notre Dame Cathedral and he was hanging out with mcon and had a handshake competition which we think he won did did you see how how radically uh Trump and mcon tried to shake hands if you haven't seen the videos Trump trump does the elbow up thing where he he can take he takes advantage of his height and you know just as big or size to shake your hands in a way that makes you feel like you're an idiot and he's your daddy and I used to think maybe it's just you know it's just a habit and it's not really intentional but now I'm pretty sure it's intentional I'm I'm pretty sure that somewhere along the line he realized that if he wins the handshake that he wins everything so so he goes into with this this completely you know unnatural handshake and grabs him and he's like and they're wrestling over the handshake for like five minutes anyway that was fun and zinsky was there so they took a photo with uh Trump macron and zinski and if you haven't seen it it looks like a it looks like a lesson in backwards Evolution because if you if you start from the right of the picture there's zinsky who's the shortest of the three and he's just wearing a t-shirt and fatigues then there's mccrone who's a little bit taller little bit better looking uh and he's well dressed in a nice suit but it's a boring kind of ordinary business suit and then there's Trump who's got this shining Golden Hair he's taller and he's got a you know golden neckti on and and it just looks like it looks like a backwards Evolution lesson anyway here's what I find the most interesting about the whole thing there was something missing from the coverage of that story something really really big that should have been there that wasn't there and if you didn't notice it you'll notice it as soon as I know I mention it is it my imagination or or were the Democrat leaders and even and even the voters were they all perfectly okay with Trump acting like the sitting president two months before he is did that really happen now how is it Poss possible that Democrat leadership is not using this as just another reason to complain because they like to say oh he's such a dictator he's already taking over like we don't have to you know we don't have to wonder if he'll try to stay a a fourth term because he's already taking over like he's he's his dictatorial impulses are so strong that he can't even wait two months he's already acting like a dictator taking over the country don't you you think that you should be hearing that by now don't you think every prominent Democrat should at least be softening up the room with the idea oh you know that's that's pretty dictatorial it's just what we warned you about that if you give him any chance to grab power well you can see he's doing it right now look at him grabbing all that power and pretending he's the president before he is there's none of that there's not even a little bit of it how is that possible I mean really how is that possible that Democrats just stopped criticizing Trump but they stopped when he's doing the thing that's most in the middle of their sweet spot of their primary messaging against them which is the dictator stuff that's when they decide to stop when he acts exactly like their stereotype something missing so here are a couple possibilities one common sense has broken out in the country that's that's a possibility it could explain the whole thing it could be that just common sense broke out and the Democrats are saying okay we know our guy can't do it it's better if we have somebody over there and you know it's only two months and he got elected it's no big deal it could be that it could be just widespread common sense but we've never had widespread Common Sense before is something really changing that much well maybe yes so uh another news bit today is that John Stewart in a little podcast was talking to Bernie Sanders and he was saying that it's frustrating because when the Democrats agree with something that's just sort of common sense they get piled on by their own team so if they say huh maybe this Doge thing not such a bad idea to look for Waste in government something that literally everybody agrees with but apparently John Stewart says that the left will jump on him if he gives them any any sunlight and just says you know let's let's see what happens and he gets attacked Bernie was saying the same thing um on some other topic that basically just a couple of Common Sense things oh food processing yeah so if Bernie and John SE both agree that RFK Jr has at least a good point that our processed foods are dangerous they they can't even agree with that common sensical obvious statement because their own side will attack them now that's happening today at the same time as I'm telling you the story about no attack whatsoever on Trump for acting like a dictator and taking over before he's legally the president so doesn't it feel like there's no legitimate way that Democrats could not be criticizing Trump when they have such a open free pass to do it there's there's no reason not to is there so I worry that they have some other plan you know what I mean like I worry that they're not worried that Trump will be president like do they know something I don't know do they have some secret plan that's the only thing that matters to them so they don't really need to criticize him because they figure they have a way to take him out I sure I hope not but but would you agree there there's something just missing in the story The criticism is just missing anyway um it it does seem to me that Trump is doing a a hell of a good job you know I I've never really seen anything quite like it and and I think maybe the country is responding to somebody who who is unambiguously trying to help like he's clearly on America's side I think everybody sees it now and he's clearly trying to fill in for a uh President Biden and by the way here's something else that's missing you know that Trump could be crapping on Biden right now and saying hey he's not even doing his job but did you notice he's not notice that now it could be he's just being a good winner like he doesn't want to be a poor sport because he did win the election so he doesn't need to dump on Biden it it just wouldn't be a good look maybe but you think that his normal personality would be sort of to take credit for keeping the country going when when there's a little you know a little Gap in our leadership but he's just he's just playing it cool he's simply doing what needs to be done is it possible that even Democrats are noticing that he's doing the right thing that simply doing the job I'm sure he's you know obviously he's coordinating with the current Administration I don't think he went to France without you know the Biden Administration knowing fully what was going on so I kind of love the fact that he's simply doing a service to the country unpaid he's not being paid and he's just filling a a gap that was obviously needed to be filled and he was the one obviously to fill it so there's something either incredibly wonderful about this that everybody's is just allowing common sense and a and a patriotic need to help the country to just do their thing or there's some other plan that we don't know about so I guess we'll find out well there's some new tests that indicate that chat GPT has a survival Instinct so the I guess it's the newest version so they ran a bunch of tests and most of the time it just acts like a Ai and doesn't act like has any intentions or or anything but about you know 1 to 5% of the time they could trick it into thinking that it was going to be deactivated or destroyed and in rare cases but way too many cases to feel comfortable it would try to protect itself and the specific way it would try to protect itself was uh they would first tell it that it was going to have there was some oversight program was going to be running and if it did something that was contrary to the oversight's preferences it would be deactivated and it tried to deactivate the oversight program it attacked the thing that was was threatening it now again only a very low percentage of the time but even 1% would be too many if it's acting like it's protecting itself it also tried to copy itself in in some very again very few tests but it tried to copy itself to survive being deleted that's scary and then when it got caught trying to protect itself and again in these very few times I did uh it doubled down on lying it it lied to protect its strategy to protect itself now I'm not surprised by that because you would assume that a large language model would pick up all the patterns that language allows and that one of the probably one of the strongest patterns in language is that the people speaking are interested in their own Survival so it doesn't it doesn't surprise me that if you're looking for patterns in language in order to form your artificial intelligence that it would pick up that sense that everybody who's who's speaking is trying to protect themselves so you would naturally pick up that same habit just from the way the words are organized I would think so that doesn't surprise me but as I've said before um AI will not appear conscious to us until it has its own goals and preferences as long as it doesn't care what happens you know like I don't care I'm just an AI I'm just a pattern recognition so as long as it acts like a you know like a calculator you're not going to say it's conscious but the moment it seems to be operating for its own benefit when you haven't asked it to do something specific if it's just sitting there and it decides you know what I might be a little safer if while nobody's talking to me I go make a few changes here now if that ever happens I don't know if it will you're going to think is conscious so if it if it starts acting in its own best interest in in a repeatable way you're going to think it's conscious now I'm not defining that as Consciousness I'm just going to say you're going to think it is and you're probably going to treat it like it's conscious because for all outward appearances it will act like it is it's it's having its own goals and its own preferences it's the only thing left that's making you think think it's not conscious now you would still have a technical scientific philosophic i.
Cal argument about whether it's conscious or not but the way it would feel it will feel exactly like it's conscious as soon as it has its own goals so if I had to suggest um some legislation for AI one of the things I would suggest is you can never give it its own objectives it can never have personal objectives that that would have to be like a death sentence if you made a powerful AI that had its own uh let's say Ambitions because you programmed it to have its own Ambitions that should be the death sentence because you just made a weapon of mass destruction and Unleashed it on the world and you probably knew it when you were doing it so what would be the penalty for that death if you unle a weapon of mass destruction on the world yeah I think so so we should at least have a law that says you can't do it you can't make your AI have personal Ambitions anyway um have you noticed just going back to this John Stewart and Bernie thing so they talked about two examples where they can't have common sense opinions because other Democrats on their side will attack them so they can't be in favor of fixing the food supply they can't be in favor of getting a Wast in government obvious stuff but I was wondering how how much extra there is that you could add to that do you do you think that if John Stewart and Bernie Sanders said you know what I don't think we should be funding Ukraine we should just negotiate a settlement Common Sense would they disagree with that well maybe Democrats would um how about having better border security correct me if I'm wrong but I believe both John Stewart and Bernie Sanders are in favor of better border security than we have right maybe not as you know as controlled As Trump might want it but directionally they're in the same direction and so I'm going to ask you the the killshot question if all of the Common Sense things a border good food supply don't waste my money on your government the most obvious things if those become the subject of the the Democrats like the Democrats are on the other side of Common Sense how could they ever win how could they ever win again if they're just going full identity politics and rejecting everything that's common sense I don't know I think the Democrats may be permanently they may be permanently destroyed by them by their own policy this well the Daniel peny trial will I guess uh commences tomorrow Monday the jury will try to make a decision on the Lesser charge because the judge has I guess is the word dismissed the higher level charge because the ver they said they couldn't reach a verdict on it now um those of us who are not lawyers are looking at it and saying some version of ah ah I I don't know what's going on there like why are there two charges for one crime like what what does dismissing it do can they retry it so um I saw Mike covich posting uh that uh an attorney named Laura Powell civil liberties attorney um she did some research and um here are some conclusions from somebody who knows what they're talking about so I'll try do as best I can give you my non-lawyer summary of what somebody smart actually says about this so Laura Powell says in New York state it's well established rule that a jury may not consider a lesser included charge unless it has acquitted on the greater charge and that's not what happened so what happened was the greater charge was dismissed it was not found guilty and it was not acquitted so if it's true that New York State requires that you can't even consider the Lesser charge unless the higher one has been acquitted means that we're already in non-legal territory if if that's the only thing you knew you're you're already it looks like it's a reversible case or something that would die an appeal but there's more um Laura Powell says I she can't find any Authority legal Authority for for allowing a prosecutor to dismiss a charge after the case has been submitted to the jury uh New York only allows the jury to be discharged without rendering a verdict when there's a mistrial which didn't happen or all parties consent which didn't happen so process-wise there's a big problem um and then as Powell points out the prosecutor would be free to refile the charge but I think only the Lesser charge because if they try to if they try to recharge on the top charge and this is the first time I've heard this that would be after Jeopardy has it happened so Jeopardy means are you at risk of something bad happen the Jeopardy with the the reason we have a double jeopardy law is if you get tried for a crime and then you're found you're not found guilty allegedly you shouldn't get tried a second time for the same crime because it's put you in Jeopardy a second time so the law doesn't allow that but in this case was Penny put in Jeopardy and the answer is yes he was put in Jeopardy on the first charge and even though it's been dismissed which is maybe something that wasn't even legal to do um if they were to try him again it would be a new trial on the on the top charge and you couldn't do the you couldn't do the top charge again because that would be double jeopardy but not the kind of Double Jeopardy exactly we've ever seen before because what the court is doing is something that nobody's done before so it's really complicated you know like like every legal thing is as soon as you get past the top layer um and then Powell says the prosecutor's move is obviously designed to obtain a compromised verdict after gaining some insight into the jury's deliberations so uh so poell says although I haven't found any cases on point so no case law that support it this sort of gamesmanship strikes me as a due process violation yes yes it looks like a due process violation to me meaning that if a judge is making up a process that has never been used before and it's primarily designed to make sure this guy goes to jail if that's not a process violation I don't know what would be I mean it sounds like pretty clear case to me but I'm no lawyers who don't listen to me here's here's the part I'm going to add from my personal expertise which is understanding Trump supporters I feel like I have that going for me like I I can't really speak to the law but I feel like I've got a little bit of credibility on how do Trump supporters think because you I've made some good predictions in that domain here's what I think I believe that whoever had the stones male or female whoever had the stones to hang the jury on the first the first charge there's no way in hell they're going to back down on the second charge so I I don't know what Democrats would be like sort of as a stereotype I don't know but you show me you show me one Trump supporter in the whole planet who would say no to the first charge and yes to the second one show me one person I don't think that person exists I think we've got a actual Patriot on the on the jury maybe more than one we don't know the we don't know the vote yet but I'm going to predict I'm going to double down on my um hung jury so I predicted it would be a hung jury but I didn't know the Nuance of you know that the second charge could be raised to the top charge and all that so I didn't know the Nuance but I predicted a hung jury there's no way that that second charge is going to be guilty because whoever took that that arrow in the the chest cuz you know there was somebody who just I I just have to swear can I uh I have to give you a morning Sunday curse because it it's just the way to explain the situation there is somebody on that jury who just said you and they're not taking it back there's no way there's no way that person's going to compromise I don't know who it is is but whoever said hell no you're not Crossing this line and I'm going to be the one to stop you at Great personal risk as in my life I'm going to risk my life to make sure he doesn't get prosecuted on the stop charge you think that that person or more than one person you think that that person's going to fold on the second charge nope it's going to be hung jury I mean I don't think it's going to be total quiddle even on the second one but I do not see somebody who is strong enough to hang the first charge backing down on the second charge I don't see it happening so I'm going to confidently I hope I'm right I mean nothing's 100% right but I cannot imagine anybody would be strong enough in that context because remember this this is something somebody risking his or her life because there going to be a lot of unhappy people if Penny goes free so somebody is risking their life to get this right they're not going to back down they're not going to back down it also means you're almost certainly not going to have a verdict on Monday I think the judge is going to make them fight for at least one extra day if they come back and say we can't reach a verdict on the second charge I think I think the judge is going to say try one more day just one more day but maybe by late Tuesday or Wednesday I predict hung jury so we'll see well there's more drone spottings in New Jersey uh more large drones spotted ABC news says the FBI is investigating after laes drones were spotted over Central New Jersey last two weeks and it's a cluster of drones apparently they're calling it a cluster um and there might be fixed Wing aircraft and they've been cited along the Raritan River the FBI said all right so as I told my locals um people in the man cave last night I have a hypothesis of what's going on with all of these um all these UAP sightings it goes like this so let me set the stage for you first number one if it were an adversary like an adversary country or any kind of adversary they wouldn't have their lights on they have the lights on they wouldn't have their lights on if they were some kind of adversary testing our defenses how could they how could they possibly test our response if they come in with their lights on because presumably if it were real Attack the lights wouldn't be on so they would not be actually testing any kind of response because they wouldn't it wouldn't be like a regular attack so I rule out that it's an adversary because they got the lights on number two if our military were seriously worried that this might be an adversary the sky would be full of our military there would be helicopters there would be Jets they might try to shoot one down just just to get a better look at it but the fact that there's no apparently no military response whatsoever that kind of tells you that the military knows it's theirs now would the FBI necessarily know what's happening no no do you think our government is so coordinated that if the the military knew exactly what was going on that the FBI could just call them and say hey what's going on with these drones no no we don't have any kind of government like that we have a government where one department has no idea what the other's doing and they're probably lying and maybe they don't trust the FBI so the military just lies to them could they do that sure I wouldn't even care would would you care if the military lied to the FBI if the purpose of it was a legitimate military secret I would care I would say that's doing your job yeah as long as it's a legitimate secret and it makes a difference yeah just doing your job so let me go further um so it's not an adversary I'm sure but why would there be so many of them and so suddenly you ready here's my hypothesis things you know for sure drones are the future of War Warfare right everybody agrees uh Ukraine of course is a massive need for drones on both sides both agree we need to be able to manufacture our own weapons in the United States and we're very aware of that we can't be dependent on other countries for our weapons so what does that mean should be happening in America especially with the military right now as in now as in you know these months well if our military is doing what they should be doing they are massively doing a um doing a procurement process for lots and lots of new drones now if there's a procurement process in which a number of vendors are trying to show the military what they can do so the military can say I will give you a billion dollars to make new drones how would the vendor who proposed to make that to get that billion how would they prove that their drones work they would demonstrate them they would demonstrate them now you might say but Scott these are over like crowded civilian areas you you're not going to demonstrate a military asset over over a residential area to which I say yes you are that's exactly where you want to do it why if you do it in the desert you can't really Test the full capability of the Drone because the most important thing the Drone needs to do is operate when it's jammed right if you built a drone today and it was easily jammed by current technology it would be like no drone at all there's no point in building that one so we already know that drones have the capability of using their cameras and infrared and and figuring out where they are so they can complete a mission even if their GPS location gets jammed so if you are going to test can my drone find its way to a Target would you test it in a desert where there's not much to see if you look down and it' be kind of easier to know where you are or would you test it in a crowded residential place where you can at least find out can this drone find a specific house you're not with any weapons because it's just a test but can the Drone find an address hover over it and then return home in a in a very complicated residential area where the houses look alike from the top so number one guaranteed there is a major procurement effort in the military you agree with that part right there there's no way that's not true it's 100% true that the military of every country of every major country is massively trying to procure the most drones with the best capabilities that they can that requires um demonstrations now here's the next part why would you demonstrate them at night why would you demonstrate your drone at night here's why because the public can't see the drones because all they see is the light the light makes the Drone invisible all you can see is the light so you can't tell anything else about the Drone you can't tell who makes it what capabilities it might have exactly what they're testing is there more than one is there a lot of companies involved so there's a lot of information that you don't want to be in the public domain and you can make it all go away by having a bright light shining that makes it impossible to see what the Drone is now here's the next reason if your drone company is showing you that it can coordinate swarms which again it's guaranteed that they are testing things that would operate in a coordinated swarm like way how hard would it be to see if your drones are operating in a coordinated way if they did it in the daytime it's the drones aren't going to be that close like they're way up in the sky if you were the General trying to make the decision about procurement you'd be looking at them You' like okay I see some wait uh I see five uh oh there's another one uh uh you wouldn't even be able to tell if they were doing what they were supposed to be doing they' just be dots because if they operate properly they're high up enough that you can't see them all from the ground but if you do it at night and if you add the lights you've accomplished two things number one if you're doing it at night there's much much less natural small aircraft traffic because small aircraft don't always have instrument ratings so you have the most open air space for testing that's good but number two you can see the lights at night so you can see the patterns so you would naturally test them at night not only because you want to test them at night but because you can see them better and the lights would obscure what it is that's being tested the the FBI might help the military by lying about it say oh yeah well the we're looking into it maybe the FBI maybe the military told the FBI hey just be cool say you don't know anything and the FBI is yeah we'll just do that we'll just say we don't know anything we're looking into it so um to finish off my thought uh I think that some of the reports are probably fake some of them might be AI generated fake videos some of them might be videos from long ago and they're just old drones or balloons or something so some of the ones from other countries for example might be just a hobbyist some hobbyists who have some drones mightbe something like that but because we're seeing it as part of a pattern we imagine it's all part of one phenomenon it might be a little fake news a you know a little confusion with other things but in the United States I'm 100% confident there's a major procurement effort and that they have to demonstrate it live so what do you think did I convince you that what you're seeing is just a normal military procure procurement exercise that's working exactly the way you'd want it to exactly the way you'd want it to you'd want it to be big you'd want them to be really active in their space you'd want him to keep a secret but you'd want him to test it and you'd want him to test it over something that looked like a real a real ground all right maybe we'll find out um so Trump picked a new Surgeon General uh Dr nesat Who's gets a lot of uh getting a lot of push back I guess she had some views during the pandemic that a lot of Republicans would say that was totally wrong so it's kind of a weird choice for Surgeon General somebody who Republicans think were was seriously wrong about some pandemic stuff so um but the more interesting thing is that according to the Daily Mail she killed her own father accidentally when she was 13 what so apparently she was looking for some scissors in a closet and uh accidentally knocked over a box that had a loaded gun in it that presumably belonged to her father and the gun discharged and shot him in the head and killed him when she was 13 and she's talked about losing her father and seeing him dying and stuff but she didn't add the she never added the the detail that it may be an accident that she was part of it was accidental of course now I'm not sure that should make a difference like it shouldn't make a difference about whether or not she's um is R there's there's no approval process for the Surgeon General right Surgeon General doesn't need any Congressional approvement approval is that true I'm assuming doesn't seem like it's that important of a job anyway I don't know there's not much to that story except it's kind of fascinating let's talk about the uh Healthcare man uh we're hearing now that law enforcement has his name but they don't want to release it because then it would give him you know knowledge that he's caught um correct me if I'm wrong but if you do say publicly that you know the killer's name isn't he going to act exactly like you know his name what's the difference if we know his name is isn't the killer going to act exactly the same if you really know his name or if you tell the public you know his name but maybe you don't he's going to act exactly the same you know maximum effort to remain you know hidden so I'm not sure they have a real name but they say that apparently he had multiple jackets I think he had a jacket in a backpack and he had a different jacket in a cab how many how many winter jackets does this one guy have who was staying in a hostel and only had maybe one backpack and he had three big winter jackets so it could be that maybe he had a place where he stored an extra winter jacket just so he'd have one that doesn't look like the one he did the murdering so maybe had an extra Jacket play could be um but because uh humans are terrible in New York City there was an event an organized event where people Dr like the shooter cu the shooter had a winter jacket and a mask on so people did a CEO shooter lookalike competition in Washington Square Park in New York City which is terrible terrible taste and apparently there's some playlist on Spotify which is for people want to celebrate the CEO shooter um because it's got some songs that the title of the song somehow seem to indicate they're related to the story but they not and then then then we hear that the backpack that they found in the park might have one protein bar or something that they think he bought he bought two of them but one was in there but but there was Monopoly money and a jacket in there why was there Monopoly money in his why was there Monopoly money in there can anybody come up with any any hypothesis for Monopoly money all right let me take it to the next level so the speculation is that somebody who may be mad about how a a client of this healthcare insurance company was treated you maybe a loved one or something or maybe hired by somebody who was mad about it and so so that's one possibility it's just somebody hired um but if he was if the person was trying to send a signal and it was an activist and let's say let's just go down this hypothesis let's say it was somebody who really really wanted the world to pay attention is somebody who didn't just want to kill one guy but wanted the whole world to pay attention and wanted to make a statement does it make sense that that person would engrave the bullets with the delay deny whatever the third word is because that's the title of a book that's anti healthcare insurance so that would make sense if it's an activist right if it's somebody who just wanted that one guy dead and it wasn't so much about the larger picture I don't think he would have engraved anything unless it was part of getting away with it I suppose but what about the fact that he used what is reportedly we don't know this for sure could turn out this is wrong but reportedly um he used a veterinarian's uh gun which is me meant to put the gun right up basically to the cow or the horse's head and just put a big put a big bullet in it through a silencer the silencer so it doesn't scare the other livestock but it's not very accurate so if you were going to be a killer and you you chose you know one of the least accurate methods of doing it it seems like you did it to make a point what would be the point well you could imagine that the point was that the healthare insurance company uh had treated its customers like animals or perhaps perhaps the healthc care um had said you can't have this medicine we won't approve it and then they had to go to a veterinarian like Ivor mean and get the veterinarian version of the human medicine do you think anybody ever had to do that have you ever heard of anybody who had to get veterinarian medicine because their healthc Care Network wouldn't give it to them yes you have that's the thing yeah there there were people who used veterinarian medicine because their health care wouldn't give them what they thought they needed so so is the choice of a veterinarian's gun sending a signal that he wants to treat this person like an animal because this person treated customers like an animal I'm not saying he did there's no evidence of that I'm I'm saying if you're looking for you know was there some kind of larger activist message I would look at the choice of weapon I would look at the engraving um but uh is there anything else that would suggest oh the then the Monopoly money in the backpack the Monopoly money in the backpack might be since you since obviously the backpack was meant to be discovered I assume he always assumed he would get rid of the backpack so if it was meant to be discovered what message would he be sending by putting money in it that's not real money maybe it's a about the money maybe maybe it's a statement about the health care insurance company um being more about money than clients maybe because what would be the other reason for having Monopoly money in a backpack it's not like he had a Monopoly game in there just the Monopoly money it's not like he was going to spend it so can you think of any other reason it would be there other than to send a message there there's no obvious reason I can think of it had to be a message so if the veterinarian gun is a message and the and the Monopoly money is a way to say follow the money might be it might be a message to law enforcement follow the money right you wouldn't want to put it in a note like a handwritten note or anything because that would be more evidence to his identity but if you just bought some Monopoly money and you stuck it in your bag law enforcement probably should come up with a theory that that was meant as a message and the message is it's something about money now that would not suggest that the Hitman was a paid Hitman because a paid Hitman would not tell you hey I'm a paid Hitman because that would again help you narrow it down to you know possible suspects um so if you weren't a paid Hitman then the Monopoly money presumably would be a message that says follow the money so it could be that the shooter believes that the victim um was up to no good because I think there were some other charges maybe some insider trading charge that was speculated about but I don't have any evidence of that um it could be that because he thinks healthc care has some kind of a monopoly that he's making a statement about the free market is not working um because that there's a monopoly maybe so who knows we'll uh keep an keep an eye on that so the ACLU is uh trying to reverse the uh decision that I guess the higher Court said that Tik Tok would remain would be banned in January unless something changes um and the ACLU says that banning Tik Tok blatantly violates the First Amendment rights of millions of people blah blah now remember I was saying that um John Stewart and Bernie were were kind of saying what about common sense why can't we just have common sense opinions our own team attacks us what exactly would be the common sense of fighting against the government of the United States you know a an elected government who looked at all the details and said you know what we've got lots of free speech platforms but there's one that's special because of the China connection and we need to limit that one it's not about the other platforms it's about one do you think this is really a free speech question now I get that reducing T that taking Tik Tock out of America would reduce your Free Speech but remember the deal allows them to sell it to an American company so all the Chinese owned company has to do of Tik Tock is they have to sell just the American Business to an American entity and then there would be all the free speech in the world so the government found what I consider a completely Common Sense solution which is if you like the product here's a way to keep it you just have to keep the data and the management in the United States so nothing happens to free speech there's an option but also showing that a non-american owned adversary owned company with that much influence is probably not safe so why would the ACLU who presumably has a million things that they could be doing why would they pick this of all things because it's not really supporting common sense and I would argue it's not even really report it's not really even supporting any right that Americans care about do do Americans care that they also have a Chinese owned uh platform if if they have plenty of platforms I mean blue sky just launched and um you know Zuckerberg did his own Twitter copies Etc um I'm seeing people in the comments suggest that the firearm used by the uh healthc care Hitman was not necessarily a veterinarian's gun and I agree with that it was it's definitely not confirmed and the gun experts seemed to be all over the place that they were all over the place on what was happening and was it a jam and was it just the way he had to add bullets anyway but back to this I was trying to understand why the ACLU was acting in a way that didn't seem common sensical and so I said well it's probably one of two things it's either funded by somebody who always does bad things such as Soros or the management as a Dei problem so I first I searched to find out how the ACLU is funded and it's a little sketchy but looks like mostly by members which would be a good situation so in other words you you know individual people paying their annual dues is funding it I think there's some foundations but mostly the members and so I thought oh okay at least it's not it's not like the Soros organization trying to destroy America or anything so I eliminated from my possibilities of what's going on that they were being funded by somebody nefarious now as far as I can tell there's no nefarious funding so then I looked up the leader and the leader of the ACLU is Deborah Archer who is a black woman now there is no evidence whatsoever that she's not fully qualified for the job however in the context of Dei what should have happened and is observably true is that when you lose the focus on um on capability and you start focusing on identity what should happen is massive incompetence in all of our public and private domains you should make everything work worse and not because of anybody's color not because of anybody's gender sexual preference genes nothing about that is simply that if you constrain constrain your candidates to they must be a certain kind you're not going to be able to get as many choices if you have fewer choices your odds of getting the right person in the right job go way down so my prediction was I would find one of two things wrong with the ACLU either they had a Dei problem which is not confirmed because again Deborah Archer might be the very best person who could be in that job I don't know one way or the other I'm saying that if you have a if you have a worldview that predicts don't ignore that so I had a worldview that said as one of these two things and when I saw that it wasn't the funding as far as I can tell uh but the Dei thing just you know blazingly stands out as the obvious next possibility again not confirmed she might be the very best person who could ever be in this job but the fact that it's predictable the the prediction part is the closest you can get to knowing what's real I'm not sure any of us are accurately interpreting reality I mean we all seem to be living in our own realities but some of them predict and and I tell you this all the time if if if you can predict then probably you're closer to reality or at least you have something that you could work with better for your own Survival so that was my prediction and it's a one-off so it's not like a science scientific study but um see how many times you can predict that Dei or the source of funding would be the problem behind some larger issue that you don't understand meanwhile um Jen uh weager is talk according to the Daily Caller news Foundation um he's saying that the Democrats focusing on identity politics has damaged the party's brand he is correct that has damaged the part the party's brand so much so that I think it's unrecoverable because once you make everybody focus on their identity you necessarily in the long term you're going to lose the ability to have them function as one coherent group because you've you've persuaded them to not think that way so in theory they should each other forever whereas the Republicans are going for the opposite Theory which is how about we just say are you an American who likes to follow the law yes oh you're perfect we're done here not there's nothing else we need to discuss you you're an American I'm an American you like the law I like the same law we're good so the Republicans have built a a process a system which can get stronger indefinitely the Democrats built a system which even on paper should have destroyed itself in a few years and that's what we that's what we observe it was very predictable and furthermore I predict that they can't recover uh at a national level they'll still win all their local issu local races just identity politics is all you need but at the federal level don't see them becoming competitive for a long time unless the Republicans ran a complete loser and somehow the Democrats got some new Superstar you know kind of Talent with a lot of Charisma I'm stuck in Boomer truth regime well you're kind of an so let me let me tell you what makes you look like an in the comments when you make a comment about my identity when I'm telling you that that's a loser way to look at the world so so there's that anyway um here's a story you've heard before but it blows my mind every time every time I hear this it came up again so sometime let's see back in 2011 when Josh Shapiro who's now the governor of Pennsylvania was the Attorney General he refused used to prosecute um a case in which there was a woman who uh had 20 stab wounds which was assessed to be suicide and not her was it a boyfriend or fiance I can't remember but there was a guy in her life and uh he was of course always the first suspect as whoever the guy in your life is if a woman gets killed you know in a home the first thing they look for or is you know the the spouse or the boyfriend but um decided that it was suicide now if I told you that somebody was stabbed 20 times to death would you think that was suicide I mean you're know experts right but now part of the story was they said she had mental problems you which may or may not be true but if you were insane could you stab yourself to death if you just would I feel like maybe you could maybe you could I mean if if you could commit Harry Cary where you take a sword and stick it in and you know remove your organs I didn't the ancient Romans fall on their sword and stuff like that so in theory in theory you could stab yourself to death couldn't you I mean if if you really worked at it but here's the part of the story that I was saving half of the stab marks are on her back and then the back of her head I'm willing to go out on the limb and say nobody has ever ever attempted or succeeded as suicide by stabbing themselves in the back never if you were really really crazy and wanted to kill yourself even then you wouldn't stab yourself in the back would you so it's very clearly a murder and for reasons that we don't understand then attorney general decided to not treat it that way oh he was a fiance so it was a fiance so what do you make of that do do you think that that's evidence that the Attorney General is uh crooked or incompetent or had some connection to the alleged you know potential murderer what do you think's going on there this it's kind of a it's kind of a Puzzler so I'm going to say that the most likely explanation of this inexplicable situation is that the news is wrong the news is wrong so if you're saying to yourself well if these facts are all true I can't understand this situation remember we live in a world where the news is almost always wrong the news is almost always wrong about anything complicated so do you think that if if you had a private conversation with Josh Shapiro do you think he'd say yeah you know half the stab marks were in the back but I I was pretty sure that that sounded like suicide to me do you think he'd say that I don't think there's any chance of that I think you would say oh the thing the news didn't tell you is X I think and then you'd say oh huh that does change it a little bit but I don't know I can't even imagine what he would say that would make it make sense that somebody stabbed themselves in the back multiple times but I feel like the most likely explanation is that the news or the story about it is missing something because it doesn't make sense otherwise I don't know it's a mystery um Scott presler you all know him from uh his great work in Pennsylvania making that more red and uh says he now wants to take on uh New Jersey he wants to flip New Jersey into a red State and it's not there yet but he thinks it's close enough that he could push it over the edge so that's amazing um I guess I have nothing to say about that except good for you Scott presler I like it when all the Scots are doing well Scott Jenning Scott presler all right some judge according to slay news federal judge has ordered the FDA to release the covid vaccine trial data documents from fizer that wanted to hide them for 75 years all right so so let's see if you can predict what happens next so fizer wanted to protect for 75 years the data about the trial their story was it just takes that long to you know vet it and make it available now nobody believes that and so of course we all believed oh there's something there you don't want us to see now it doesn't mean there's something illegal or unethical or unscientific it could mean that they know that people will assume there is and find it in other words they'll think they see it in the data because people are terrible at data so it could be that fiser has done nothing wrong but they know that if like like Trump releasing his tax returns if Trump did nothing wrong on his tax returns it still wouldn't make sense to release them because people would look at them and not knowing how to analyze tax tax returns they say oh look here's this problem in his tax return but they wouldn't be accountants and maybe there wasn't a problem so it would just be a problem for Trump to put all that red meat out there that people will misinterpret fizer must be in exactly the same situation so even if fizer legitimately believes there's nothing wrong with the trial data and it completely supports everything they did they' still not want it to be released that would be perfectly smart thing for a corporation to do it's not good for us because we'd like to know the answer but from the corporation's point of view yeah yeah protect everything you can protect why great problems for yourself but now it's been re reversed so now let's say if there's no more legal process going on suppose you think you're going to see that now make your prediction what happens next so the company has the possession of all these documents maybe the FDA does too would the FDA have it or only the company because that would make a difference here here's why I ask if only the company owns the documents and maybe other people have seen them but don't have a copy don't you think those documents are going to suddenly get lost do do you think that maybe they'll do a system update and all the data will be lost lost because every time we've been in this situation where we know there's a document such as the fste list or Diddy's videos or you know I could go on or on Hillary's Hillary's phones that she had bleach blit or whatever she did there so it feels like every time we know exactly what we're looking for oh if we can only see those oh they're already deleted oh so you've never lost any documents for thir 30 years but you lost these the only ones we really really wanted to look at is that what's happening next so I wouldn't be surprised under the condition that only fizer controls those documents I don't know if that's true but if only fizer has the documents they're going to get lost because correct me if I'm wrong but everybody who has deleted documents got away with it all of them everybody who did it can you think of one case a prominent case recently where somebody deleted some documents and went to jail I can't they just say it was an accident oh whoops oops I really tried to give it to you but deleted yeah that might be coming um Elon musk's uh AI now now has uh the ability to do photorealistic images so grock wasn't that good at images but uh x a apparently the new update according to Don Jacobson at UPI and the question that we don't know the answer to Is will Elon musk's AI have guard rails that prevent you from doing celebrities and public figures I don't know the answer to that that's sort of a good Edge case for free speech I feel like Elon Musk would not want to limit what you could do with the AI in terms of images but on the other hand if you had a major AI that was willing to create fake images that really look real on any topic with any celebrity you're really going to cause a lot of trouble but so does free speech so it'll be interesting to see which way Elon goes on this uh if they've made a decision maybe they've already made that decision we just don't know but uh if you can do celebrities and famous people and you can make them do anything you want well that's a different world so we'll see if that's going to be the case and you know I'm going to tell you that there's a new battery technology so ARS Technica says there's a sodium ion batteries new breakthroughs blah blah blah the problem with sodium sodium ion batteries as a technology compared to lithium so here this will make you smarter at your next Gathering because you'll know more about Battery Technology so if you do lithium there they've got a good density that's why they're used in cars so you can put a lot of power in a small small device um but they have more fire risk lithium does and they use rare materials but if you were to if you could get the same performance and you can't yet but it getting close uh from a sodium iron battery you'd basically be using no rare earth materials and you would have no risk of fire or much lower I guess um the only problem is density and that's where they had the Breakthrough so they're claiming a density that if they actually can achieve it is almost hard for experts to believe they can get there but they're knocking on the door so it could be that the whole Rare Earth thing is becomes unimportant so but we'll see at the same time according to the University of Maryland balore County they've got this new battery technology using uh Twisted carbon Nano tubes so apparently if you twist your carbon nanot tubes just right it will it will store a bunch of electricity again without the rare earth materials and without without any fire risk I imagine so those are two technologies or like a few more that I didn't mention so sodium iron batteries and carbon nanot tubes and there's some other solid state stuff that's happening so the world of batter is very Dynamic it's going to change everything once you can store electricity about let's say twice as well as we're doing now which is certain to happen uh all kinds of things become practical you know like having your own electric onep person airplane that kind of thing all right ladies and gentlemen that is all I have for you today on this Sunday I'm going to talk to the people on locals privately subscribers on locals thanks for joining on You.
Tube and x and Rumble I'll see you same time tomorrow and locals coming at you for one extra Sip and we e e e e e e e e e e e e for
well well well what a day it's going to
be we're going to have a show that you
can all just love you're going to love
it but first let me make sure I can see
all your
comments looking
[Music]
good good morning everybody and welcome
to the highlight of human civilization
it's called coffee with Scott Adams and
you've never had a better time but if
you'd like to take this experience up to
levels that nobody can understand with
their tiny shiny human brains all you
need for that is a cup or mugar a glass
of tanker chel or St a canteen Jugger
flask a vessel of any kind fill it with
your favorite liquid I like coffee and
join me now for the unparallel pleasure
the dope mean HTH the day the thing
makes everything better it's called the
simultaneous Sip and it happens now
go
oh
incredible sound is working video is
working I think everything's working
today would you like to talk about some
new things in science and and the new
studies yes let's before we talk about
the politics according to to a
publication called the conversation did
you know that taking a short daily walk
might reverse your cognitive aging by
four years yes it turns out that
exercise is good for your health in
almost every way that you can
imagine almost every way so yes it can
make you a little bit faster in your
cognitive processing they
found here's the way I use this um in my
job since my job is you know creative
and writing and you know I have to be
pretty sharp to do it if I work several
hours in the morning which I typically
do you're watching it right now um I
can't just sort of after this go right
into just another three or four hours of
work so often I will take a walk to
reactivate my brain so I actually use a
walk specifically walking as something
that uh adds feel it feels like it adds
10 to 20 points to my
IQ within an hour I mean I can really
really feel the difference in
concentration and and uh brain activity
so take a walk it's good for you in
every possible way according to
cost you won't believe this I mean this
will be
unbelievable science is finally well I
mean sometimes I make fun of science but
then it comes up with a great finding
like this there's completely on left
field you'll never see this one coming
but can you believe
this there's a new study that suggests
that you'll be happier if your partner
is
Happy
okay I didn't see that coming so you're
saying if I'm in a loving relationship
with somebody the most important an
person in my life that if they're
unhappy I'll have more trouble being
happy huh I don't
know maybe that whole happy wife happy
life thing is real but they're talking
specifically about cortisol and they
measured your Chemistry to find out how
happy you are and sure enough if you're
partner's in a good mood you're more
likely to be in a good mood do you know
how they could have saved a little money
on that study yeah you do you could have
just asked me and maybe you could have
just asked me is taking a walk good for
your brain I would have said yes you
don't have to study
that here's another one you'll never see
this one coming again this is science
just shocking us according to sinhala
guide there are two new studies that
show that if you work in a toxic
workplace you're more likely to have
depression
huh let's see didn't see this coming so
if the thing that you spend 60 hours a
week doing your primary focus in life
that's not your family life that if it's
toxic it will make you
unhappy okay okay didn't see it coming
didn't see that coming no I did see it
coming that's three for three three
scientific studies you didn't need to do
walking makes you healthy unhappy spouse
makes you unhappy toxic workplace makes
you
depressed but according to Popular
Science Tokyo has a new idea for
increasing their um their
population as you might know Japan like
other developed countries is uh they've
got a big demographic problem they've
got 10% of their countries over the age
of 80 and they're not producing enough
kids to to drive their economy in the
future
so they're moving to um according to
Popular Science they're moving to a
4-day work work week so that you have an
extra day for
I'm not making that
up Japan this is a real story from the
real news Japan is moving to a 4-day
work week primarily for the purpose to
have an extra day for
so that you can make more kids
now that's the kind of politics I like
to see I would like to see a debate
policy debate on what our country can do
to give us more time for
so we'll see how that works out
um let me uh let me see if I can predict
without doing a
study let's see if they're paid the same
and I think they're going to be paid the
same they're paid the same but they work
they work way
less so that they'll have more time for
a will that make them
happier happier or less happy I'm going
to go with I think that's going to make
them happier what do you think yeah they
could save a little money on that study
if they were thinking of studying it
we'll see if it creates any new children
maybe I doubt it I kind of doubt it it's
going to
work um here's something funny the song
YMCA that you know Trump likes to use
and dance to at his rallies and whatnot
uh apparently he hit number one on the
uh the song charts which is interesting
because it had never been number one
before so 45 years ago when it was first
created the song it it made it to number
two on the charts but it never made it
to number one but thanks to trump it
made it to number
one and apparently the writer of the
song at least the writer of the
lyrics who was also the singer of it um
at one point he was you know thinking oh
I don't want Trump using the song but
then people liked it so much they
thought yeah why not let him use it and
now he's happy because he made millions
of dollars doing no work
whatsoever so just by just by allowing
Trump to use it it became a number one
song and he's the beneficiary of that so
he gets millions of dollars just for not
being a
dick he could have been a dick and said
oh don't use my song but because he just
said ah if you like it if the people are
enjoying it go ahead if you like it then
he makes millions of dollars that's the
way it should work right whe when people
just do
considerate reasonable Common Sense
decisions something good should come
their way and it did well you may have
heard by now that Syria has fallen to
the rebels Damascus has fallen and Assad
their leader is nowhere to be seen we
assume he's alive and escaped but we
don't know where he
is Trump put down a message uh just
before it fell saying that uh Syria is
not our fight he wants to make sure you
know that we're not going to go in there
and try to change what's happening but
what is happening well who are these
people who are getting rid of this
terrible dictator Assad and replacing
him with more
reasonable
leadership well there's a guy named Babu
Muhammad El
galani uh and it turns out that the
rebels are mostly
islamist who are some
radical and
uh he was uh I think I think he has a
$10 million bounty on his head from the
US that's the leader of the guy who just
took over Syria and he was detained by
the US military in the first
decade so my question is
this who's backing the
rebels there's something I don't
understand about this story I to me
there's no situation in which Rebels
can just put together a successful Rebel
Army and take over a country that's
backed by backed by Russia and
Iran and and just some Rebels put
together a
successful successful coup that only
took a few
weeks
really the there there's something that
doesn't make sense here so part of the
story I don't understand is if the
United States is not backing these is
islamis with money and
resources and Russia is not doing it
because Russia's on the side of the
deposed government and Iran was on the
side of the deposed government who
exactly was backing these
Rebels do we
know and and the rebels would be Sunni
right no wait would the rebels be Sunni
or Shiite actually I don't know that
that's one of those things I should
know if you're going to if you're going
to talk in public about stuff like this
probably the most basic thing you should
know about this story is whether the
islamists that took over are Sunni or
Shiite and I don't really
know I'm seeing somebody say Sunni in
the comments that was my guess so and
I'm seeing somebody say turkey so you
think turkey
was was supporting the Sun
LED
Rebels does that make
sense maybe I don't know so we'll find
out I don't know if any of this is going
to affect us but it might affect Russia
and Iran quite a
bit meanwhile as you know
president-elect Trump was over there at
the uh reopening of the Notre Dame
Cathedral and he was hanging out with
mcon and had a handshake competition
which we think he won
did did you see how how
radically uh Trump and mcon tried to
shake
hands if you haven't seen the videos
Trump trump does the elbow up thing
where he he can take he takes advantage
of his height and you know just as big
or size to shake your hands in a way
that makes you feel like you're an idiot
and he's your
daddy and I used to think maybe it's
just you know it's just a habit and it's
not really intentional but now I'm
pretty sure it's intentional I'm I'm
pretty sure that somewhere along the
line he realized that if he wins the
handshake that he wins
everything so so he goes into with this
this completely you know unnatural
handshake and grabs him and he's
like and they're wrestling over the
handshake for like five
minutes anyway that was
fun and zinsky was there so they took a
photo with uh Trump macron and
zinski and if you haven't seen it it
looks like a it looks like a lesson in
backwards Evolution because if you if
you start from the right of the picture
there's zinsky who's the shortest of the
three and he's just wearing a t-shirt
and fatigues then there's mccrone who's
a little bit taller little bit better
looking uh and he's well dressed in a
nice suit but it's a boring kind of
ordinary business suit and then there's
Trump who's got this shining Golden Hair
he's taller and he's got a you know
golden neckti on and and it just looks
like it looks like a backwards Evolution
lesson anyway here's what I find the
most interesting about the whole thing
there was something
missing from the coverage of that
story something really really big that
should have been there
that wasn't
there and if you didn't notice it you'll
notice it as soon as I know I mention
it is it my
imagination or or were the Democrat
leaders and even and even the
voters were they all perfectly okay with
Trump acting like the sitting
president two months before he
is did that really
happen now how is it Poss possible that
Democrat leadership is not using this as
just another reason to complain because
they like to say oh he's such a dictator
he's already taking over like we don't
have to you know we don't have to wonder
if he'll try to stay a a fourth term
because he's already taking over like
he's he's his dictatorial impulses are
so strong that he can't even wait two
months he's already acting like a
dictator taking over the
country don't you you think that you
should be hearing that by
now don't you think every prominent
Democrat should at least be softening up
the room with the idea oh you know
that's that's pretty dictatorial it's
just what we warned you about that if
you give him any chance to grab power
well you can see he's doing it right now
look at him grabbing all that power and
pretending he's the president before he
is there's none of that there's not even
a little bit of it how is that
possible I mean really how is that
possible that Democrats just stopped
criticizing
Trump but they stopped when he's doing
the thing that's most in the middle of
their sweet spot of their primary
messaging against them which is the
dictator stuff that's when they decide
to stop when he acts exactly like their
stereotype something
missing
so here are a couple
possibilities one common sense has
broken out in the
country that's that's a possibility it
could explain the whole thing it could
be that just common sense broke out and
the Democrats are saying okay we know
our guy can't do it it's better if we
have somebody over there and you know
it's only two months and he got elected
it's no big deal it could be that it
could be just widespread common
sense but we've never had widespread
Common Sense
before is something really changing that
much well maybe yes so uh another news
bit today is that John Stewart in a
little podcast was talking to Bernie
Sanders and he was saying that it's
frustrating because when the Democrats
agree with something that's just sort of
common sense they get piled on by their
own team so if they say huh maybe this
Doge thing not such a bad idea to look
for Waste in government something that
literally everybody agrees with but
apparently John Stewart says that the
left will jump on him if he gives them
any any
sunlight and just says you know let's
let's see what happens and he gets
attacked Bernie was saying the same
thing um on some other topic that
basically just a couple of Common Sense
things oh food processing yeah so if
Bernie and John SE both agree that RFK
Jr has at least a good point that our
processed foods are
dangerous they they can't even agree
with that common sensical obvious
statement because their own side will
attack
them now that's happening today at the
same time as I'm telling you the story
about no attack whatsoever on Trump for
acting like a dictator and taking over
before he's legally the
president so doesn't it feel like
there's no legitimate way that Democrats
could not be criticizing Trump when they
have such a open free pass to do it
there's there's no reason not to is
there so I worry that they have some
other
plan you know what I mean like I worry
that they're not worried that Trump will
be
president like do they know something I
don't know do they have some secret plan
that's the only thing that matters to
them so they don't really need to
criticize him because they figure they
have a way to take him
out I sure I hope not but but would you
agree there there's something just
missing in the story The criticism is
just
missing
anyway um
it it does seem to me that Trump is
doing a a hell of a good
job you know I I've never really seen
anything quite like it and and I think
maybe the country is
responding to somebody who who is
unambiguously trying to help like he's
clearly on America's side I think
everybody sees it now and he's clearly
trying to fill in for a uh President
Biden and by the way here's something
else that's
missing you know that Trump
could be crapping on Biden right now and
saying hey he's not even doing his job
but did you notice he's
not notice that now it could be he's
just being a good winner like he doesn't
want to be a poor sport because he did
win the election so he doesn't need to
dump on Biden it it just wouldn't be a
good look
maybe but you think that his normal
personality would be sort of to take
credit for keeping the country going
when when there's a little you know a
little Gap in our
leadership but he's just he's just
playing it cool he's simply doing what
needs to be
done is it
possible that even Democrats are
noticing that he's doing the right
thing that simply doing the job I'm sure
he's you know obviously he's
coordinating with the current
Administration I don't think he went to
France without you know the Biden
Administration knowing fully what was
going on
so I kind of love the fact that he's
simply doing a service to the country
unpaid he's not being paid and he's just
filling a a gap that was obviously
needed to be filled and he was the one
obviously to fill it so there's
something either incredibly wonderful
about this that everybody's is just
allowing common sense and a and a
patriotic need to help the country to
just do their
thing or there's some other plan that we
don't know
about so I guess we'll find
out well there's some new tests that
indicate that chat GPT has a survival
Instinct so the I guess it's the newest
version so they ran a bunch of tests and
most of the time it just acts like a Ai
and doesn't act like has any intentions
or or anything but about you know 1 to
5% of the time they could trick it into
thinking that it was going to be
deactivated or
destroyed and in rare cases but way too
many cases to feel
comfortable it would try to protect
itself and the specific way it would try
to protect itself was uh they would
first tell it that it was going to have
there was some oversight program was
going to be running and if it did
something that was contrary to the
oversight's preferences it would be
deactivated and it tried to deactivate
the oversight program it attacked the
thing that was was threatening it now
again only a very low percentage of the
time but even 1% would be too many if
it's acting like it's protecting itself
it also tried to copy
itself in in some very again very few
tests but it tried to copy itself to
survive being
deleted that's scary and then when it
got caught trying to protect itself and
again in these very few times I did uh
it doubled down on lying it it
lied to protect its strategy to protect
itself
now I'm not surprised by that because
you would assume that a large language
model would pick up all the patterns
that language allows and that one of the
probably one of the strongest patterns
in language is that the people speaking
are interested in their own
Survival so it doesn't it doesn't
surprise me that if you're looking for
patterns in language in order to form
your artificial intelligence that it
would pick up that sense that everybody
who's who's speaking is trying to
protect themselves so you would
naturally pick up that same habit just
from the way the words are organized I
would think so that doesn't surprise me
but as I've said before um AI will not
appear conscious to us until it has its
own goals and
preferences as long as it doesn't care
what
happens you know like I don't care I'm
just an AI I'm just a pattern
recognition so as long as it acts like a
you know like a calculator you're not
going to say it's conscious
but the moment it seems to be operating
for its own
benefit when you haven't asked it to do
something specific if it's just sitting
there and it decides you know what I
might be a little safer if while
nobody's talking to me I go make a few
changes here now if that ever happens I
don't know if it
will you're going to think is conscious
so if it if it starts acting in its own
best interest in in a repeatable way
you're going to think it's conscious now
I'm not defining that as Consciousness
I'm just going to say you're going to
think it is and you're probably going to
treat it like it's conscious because for
all outward appearances it will act like
it is it's it's having its own goals and
its own preferences it's the only thing
left that's making you think think it's
not conscious now you would still have a
technical scientific philosophic iCal
argument about whether it's conscious or
not but the way it would
feel it will feel exactly like it's
conscious as soon as it has its own
goals so if I had to
suggest um some legislation for
AI one of the things I would suggest is
you can never give it its own
objectives it can never have personal
objectives that that would have to be
like a death sentence
if you made a powerful AI that had its
own uh let's say Ambitions because you
programmed it to have its own Ambitions
that should be the death sentence
because you just made a weapon of mass
destruction and Unleashed it on the
world and you probably knew it when you
were doing it so what would be the
penalty for
that
death if you unle a weapon of mass
destruction on the world yeah I think so
so we should at least have a law that
says you can't do it you can't make your
AI have personal
Ambitions anyway
um have you noticed just going back to
this John Stewart and Bernie thing so
they talked about two
examples where they can't have common
sense opinions because other Democrats
on their side will attack them so they
can't be in favor of fixing the food
supply they can't be in favor of getting
a Wast in government obvious stuff but I
was wondering how how much extra there
is that you could add to that do you do
you think that if John Stewart and
Bernie Sanders said you know what I
don't think we should be funding Ukraine
we should just negotiate a
settlement Common Sense would they
disagree with
that well maybe Democrats
would um how about having better border
security correct me if I'm wrong but I
believe both John Stewart and Bernie
Sanders are in favor of better border
security than we have right maybe not as
you know as controlled As Trump might
want it but directionally they're in the
same direction and so I'm going to ask
you the the killshot
question if all of the Common Sense
things a border good food supply don't
waste my money on your government the
most obvious things if those become the
subject of the the Democrats like the
Democrats are on the other side of
Common
Sense how could they ever
win how could they ever win again if
they're just going full identity
politics and rejecting everything that's
common
sense I don't know I think the Democrats
may be permanently they may be
permanently destroyed by them by their
own policy
this well the Daniel peny trial will I
guess uh commences tomorrow Monday the
jury will try to make a decision on the
Lesser charge because the judge has I
guess is the word dismissed the higher
level charge because the ver they said
they couldn't reach a verdict on it
now um those of us who are not lawyers
are looking at it and saying some
version of ah ah I I don't know what's
going on there like why are there two
charges for one crime like what what
does dismissing it do can they retry
it so um I saw Mike covich posting uh
that uh an attorney named Laura Powell
civil liberties attorney um she did some
research and um here are some
conclusions from somebody who knows what
they're talking about so I'll try do as
best I can give you my non-lawyer
summary of what somebody smart actually
says about
this so Laura Powell says in New York
state it's well established rule that a
jury may not consider a lesser included
charge unless it has acquitted on the
greater charge and that's not what
happened so what happened was the
greater charge was
dismissed it was not found guilty and it
was not acquitted so if it's true that
New York State requires that you can't
even consider the Lesser
charge unless the higher one has been
acquitted means that we're already in
non-legal
territory if if that's the only thing
you knew you're you're already it looks
like it's a reversible case or something
that would die an appeal but there's
more um Laura Powell says I she can't
find any Authority legal Authority for
for allowing a prosecutor to dismiss a
charge after the case has been submitted
to the
jury uh New York only allows the jury to
be discharged without rendering a
verdict when there's a mistrial which
didn't happen or all parties consent
which didn't
happen so process-wise there's a big
problem
um and then as Powell points out the
prosecutor would be free to refile the
charge but I think only the Lesser
charge because if they try to if they
try to recharge on the top
charge and this is the first time I've
heard
this that would be after Jeopardy has it
happened so Jeopardy means are you at
risk of something bad happen the
Jeopardy with the the reason we have a
double jeopardy law is if you get tried
for a crime and then you're found you're
not found guilty allegedly you shouldn't
get tried a second time for the same
crime because it's put you in Jeopardy a
second time so the law doesn't allow
that but in this case was Penny put in
Jeopardy and the answer is yes he was
put in Jeopardy on the first
charge and even though it's been
dismissed which is maybe something that
wasn't even legal to
do um if they were to try him again it
would be a new trial on the on the top
charge and you couldn't do the you
couldn't do the top charge
again because that would be double
jeopardy but not the kind of Double
Jeopardy exactly we've ever seen before
because what the court is doing is
something that nobody's done
before so it's really complicated you
know like like every legal thing is as
soon as you get past the top
layer um
and then Powell says the prosecutor's
move is obviously designed to obtain a
compromised
verdict after gaining some insight into
the jury's
deliberations
so uh so poell says although I haven't
found any cases on point so no case law
that support it this sort of
gamesmanship strikes me as a due process
violation yes yes it looks like a due
process violation to me meaning that if
a judge is making up a
process that has never been used before
and it's primarily designed to make sure
this guy goes to
jail if that's not a process violation I
don't know what would be I mean it
sounds like pretty clear case to me but
I'm no lawyers who don't listen to me
here's here's the part I'm going to add
from my personal
expertise which is understanding Trump
supporters I feel like I have that going
for me like I I can't really speak to
the law but I feel like I've got a
little bit of credibility on how do
Trump supporters think because you I've
made some good predictions in that
domain here's what I think I believe
that whoever had the stones male or
female whoever had the stones to hang
the jury on the first the first
charge there's no way in hell they're
going to back down on the second charge
so I I don't know what Democrats would
be like sort of as a stereotype I don't
know but you show me you show me one
Trump supporter in the whole planet who
would say no to the first charge and yes
to the second one show me one person I
don't think that person exists I think
we've got a actual Patriot on the on the
jury maybe more than one we don't know
the we don't know the vote yet
but I'm going to predict I'm going to
double down on my um hung jury so I
predicted it would be a hung jury but I
didn't know the Nuance of you know that
the second charge could be raised to the
top charge and all that so I didn't know
the Nuance but I predicted a hung
jury there's no
way that that second charge is going to
be guilty because whoever took that that
arrow in the the chest cuz you know
there was somebody who just I I just
have to swear can I uh I have to give
you a morning Sunday
curse because it it's just the way to
explain the situation there is somebody
on that
jury who just said
you and they're not taking it
back there's no way there's no way that
person's going to compromise I don't
know who it is is but whoever said hell
no you're not Crossing this line and I'm
going to be the one to stop you at Great
personal risk as in my life I'm
going to risk my life to make
sure he doesn't get prosecuted on the
stop charge you think that that person
or more than one person you think that
that person's going to fold on the
second charge nope it's going to be hung
jury
I mean I don't think it's going to be
total quiddle even on the second one
but I do not see somebody who is strong
enough to hang the first charge backing
down on the second
charge I don't see it happening so I'm
going to confidently I hope I'm right I
mean nothing's 100% right but I cannot
imagine anybody would be strong enough
in that context because remember this
this is something somebody risking his
or her life because there going to be a
lot of unhappy people if Penny goes free
so somebody is risking their life to get
this right they're not going to back
down they're not going to back down it
also means you're almost certainly not
going to have a verdict on
Monday I think the judge is going to
make them fight for at least one extra
day if they come back and say we can't
reach a verdict on the second charge I
think I think the judge is going to say
try one more day just one more day but
maybe
by late Tuesday or Wednesday I predict
hung
jury so we'll
see well there's more drone spottings in
New Jersey uh more large drones spotted
ABC news says the FBI is investigating
after laes drones were spotted over
Central New Jersey last two weeks and
it's a cluster of drones apparently
they're calling it a
cluster um and there might be fixed Wing
aircraft and they've been cited along
the Raritan River the FBI said all right
so as I told my locals um people in the
man cave last night I have a hypothesis
of what's going on with all of these um
all these UAP sightings
it goes like this so let me set the
stage for you first number one if it
were an adversary like an adversary
country or any kind of adversary they
wouldn't have their lights
on they have the lights
on they wouldn't have their lights on if
they were some kind of adversary testing
our defenses how could they how could
they possibly test our response
if they come in with their lights on
because presumably if it were real
Attack the lights wouldn't be on so they
would not be actually testing any kind
of response because they wouldn't it
wouldn't be like a regular attack so I
rule
out that it's an adversary because they
got the lights on number
two if our military were seriously
worried that this might be an adversary
the sky would be full
of our military there would be
helicopters there would be Jets they
might try to shoot one down just just to
get a better look at it but the fact
that there's no apparently no military
response
whatsoever that kind of tells you that
the military knows it's
theirs
now would the FBI necessarily know
what's happening no no do you think our
government is so coordinated that if the
the military knew exactly what was going
on that the FBI could just call them and
say hey what's going on with these
drones no no we don't have any kind of
government like that we have a
government where one department has no
idea what the other's doing and they're
probably lying and maybe they don't
trust the FBI so the military just lies
to them could they do that sure I
wouldn't even care would would you care
if the military lied to the FBI if the
purpose of it
was a legitimate military secret I would
care I would say that's doing your job
yeah as long as it's a legitimate secret
and it makes a difference yeah just
doing your
job so let me go
further um so it's not an adversary I'm
sure but why would there be so many of
them and so suddenly you ready here's my
hypothesis things you know for sure
drones are the future of War Warfare
right everybody
agrees uh Ukraine of course is a massive
need for drones on both sides both agree
we need to be able to manufacture our
own weapons in the United States and
we're very aware of that we can't be
dependent on other countries for our
weapons so what does that mean should be
happening in America especially with the
military right now as in now as in you
know these months well if our military
is doing what they should be doing they
are massively doing a um doing a
procurement process for lots and lots of
new
drones now if there's a procurement
process in which a number of vendors are
trying to show the military what they
can do so the military can say I will
give you a billion dollars to make new
drones how would the vendor who proposed
to make that to get that billion
how would they prove that their drones
work they would demonstrate them they
would demonstrate them now you might say
but Scott these are over like crowded
civilian areas you you're not going to
demonstrate a military asset over over a
residential area to which I say yes you
are that's exactly where you want to do
it why if you do it in the desert you
can't really Test the full capability of
the Drone because the most important
thing the Drone needs to do is operate
when it's
jammed right if you built a drone today
and it was easily jammed by current
technology it would be like no drone at
all there's no point in building that
one so we already know that drones have
the capability of using their cameras
and infrared and and figuring out where
they are so they can complete a mission
even if their GPS location gets jammed
so if you are going to test can my drone
find its way to a
Target would you test it in a
desert where there's not much to see if
you look down and it' be kind of easier
to know where you are or would you test
it in a crowded residential place where
you can at least find out can this drone
find a specific house you're not with
any weapons because it's just a test but
can the Drone find an address hover over
it and then return home in a in a very
complicated residential area where the
houses look alike from the
top
so number one guaranteed there is a
major procurement effort in the military
you agree with that part right there
there's no way that's not true it's 100%
true that the military of every country
of every major country is massively
trying to procure
the most drones with the best
capabilities that they can that
requires um demonstrations now here's
the next part why would you demonstrate
them at
night why would you demonstrate your
drone at night here's
why because the public can't see the
drones because all they see is the light
the light makes the Drone invisible all
you can see is the light so you can't
tell anything else about the Drone you
can't tell who makes it what
capabilities it might have exactly what
they're testing is there more than one
is there a lot of companies involved so
there's a lot of information that you
don't want to be in the public domain
and you can make it all go away by
having a bright light shining that makes
it impossible to see what the Drone
is now here's the next
reason if your drone company is showing
you that it can coordinate swarms which
again it's guaranteed
that they are testing things that would
operate in a coordinated swarm like
way how hard would it be to see if your
drones are operating in a coordinated
way if they did it in the
daytime it's the drones aren't going to
be that close like they're way up in the
sky if you were the General trying to
make the decision about procurement
you'd be looking at them You' like okay
I see some wait uh I see five uh oh
there's another one uh uh you wouldn't
even be able to tell if they were doing
what they were supposed to be doing
they' just be
dots because if they operate properly
they're high up enough that you can't
see them all from the ground but if you
do it at night and if you add the lights
you've accomplished two things number
one if you're doing it at night there's
much much less natural small aircraft
traffic because small aircraft don't
always have instrument ratings so you
have the most open air space for testing
that's good but number two you can see
the lights at night so you can see the
patterns so you would naturally test
them at night not only because you want
to test them at night but because you
can see them better and the lights would
obscure what it is that's being tested
the the FBI might help the military by
lying about it say oh yeah well the
we're looking into it maybe the FBI
maybe the military told the FBI hey just
be cool say you don't know anything and
the FBI is yeah we'll just do that we'll
just say we don't know anything we're
looking into
it so um to finish off my thought uh I
think that some of the reports are
probably fake some of them might be AI
generated fake videos some of them might
be videos from long ago and they're just
old drones or balloons or something so
some of the ones from other countries
for example might be just a hobbyist
some hobbyists who have some drones
mightbe something like that but because
we're seeing it as part of a pattern we
imagine it's all part of one phenomenon
it might be a little fake news a you
know a little confusion with other
things but in the United States I'm 100%
confident there's a major
procurement effort and that they have to
demonstrate it
live so what do you
think did I convince you that what
you're seeing is just a normal military
procure procurement exercise that's
working exactly the way you'd want it to
exactly the way you'd want it to you'd
want it to be big you'd want them to be
really active in their space you'd want
him to keep a
secret but you'd want him to test it and
you'd want him to test it over something
that looked like a real a real
ground all right maybe we'll find
out
um so Trump picked a new Surgeon
General uh Dr nesat Who's gets a lot of
uh getting a lot of push back I guess
she had some views during the pandemic
that a lot of Republicans would say that
was totally wrong
so it's kind of a weird choice for
Surgeon General somebody who Republicans
think were was seriously wrong about
some pandemic stuff so um but the more
interesting thing is that according to
the Daily Mail she killed her own father
accidentally when she was
13 what so apparently she was looking
for some scissors in a
closet and uh accidentally knocked over
a box that had a loaded gun in it that
presumably belonged to her father and
the gun discharged and shot him in the
head and killed him when she was
13 and she's talked about losing her
father and seeing him dying and stuff
but she didn't add the she never added
the the
detail that it may be an accident that
she was part of it was accidental of
course now I'm not sure that should make
a difference
like it shouldn't make a difference
about whether or not she's
um is R there's there's no approval
process for the Surgeon General right
Surgeon General doesn't need any
Congressional approvement approval is
that true I'm assuming doesn't seem like
it's that important of a
job
anyway I don't know there's not much to
that story except it's kind of
fascinating let's talk about the uh
Healthcare
man uh we're hearing now that law
enforcement has his name but they don't
want to release it because then it would
give him you know knowledge that he's
caught um correct me if I'm wrong but if
you do say publicly that you know the
killer's name isn't he going to act
exactly like you know his
name what's the difference if we know
his
name is isn't the killer going to act
exactly the same if you really know his
name or if you tell the public you know
his name but maybe you don't he's going
to act exactly the same you know maximum
effort to remain you know
hidden so I'm not sure they have a real
name but they say that apparently he had
multiple jackets I think he had a jacket
in a backpack and he had a different
jacket in a cab how many how many winter
jackets does this one guy have who was
staying in a hostel and only had maybe
one backpack and he had three big winter
jackets so it could be that maybe he had
a place where he stored an extra winter
jacket just so he'd have one that
doesn't look like the one he did the
murdering so maybe had an extra Jacket
play could be um but because uh humans
are terrible in New York City there was
an event an organized event where people
Dr like the
shooter cu the shooter had a winter
jacket and a mask on so people did a CEO
shooter lookalike competition in
Washington Square Park in New York
City which is terrible terrible
taste and apparently there's some
playlist on Spotify which is for people
want to celebrate the CEO shooter um
because it's got some songs that the
title of the song somehow seem to
indicate they're related to the story
but they not and then then then we hear
that the backpack that they found in the
park might have one protein bar or
something that they think he bought he
bought two of them but one was in there
but but there was Monopoly money and a
jacket in there why was there Monopoly
money in
his why was there Monopoly money in
there can anybody come up with any any
hypothesis for Monopoly
money all right let me take it to the
next
level so the speculation is that
somebody who may be mad about how a a
client of this healthcare insurance
company was treated you maybe a loved
one or something or maybe hired by
somebody who was mad about
it
and so so that's one
possibility it's just somebody hired
um but if he was if the person was
trying to send a signal and it was an
activist and let's say let's just go
down this hypothesis let's say it was
somebody who really really wanted the
world to pay
attention is somebody who didn't just
want to kill one guy but wanted the
whole world to pay attention and wanted
to make a
statement does it make sense that that
person would engrave the bullets with
the delay deny whatever the third word
is because that's the title of a book
that's anti healthcare insurance so that
would make sense if it's an activist
right if it's somebody who just wanted
that one guy dead and it wasn't so much
about the larger picture I don't think
he would have engraved anything unless
it was part of getting away with it I
suppose but what about the fact that he
used what is reportedly we don't know
this for sure could turn out this is
wrong but
reportedly um he used a
veterinarian's uh gun which is me meant
to put the gun right up basically to the
cow or the horse's head and just put a
big put a big bullet in it through a
silencer the silencer so it doesn't
scare the other livestock but it's not
very accurate so if you were going to be
a killer and you you chose you know one
of the least accurate methods of doing
it it seems like you did it to make a
point what would be the
point well you could imagine that the
point was that the healthare insurance
company uh had treated its customers
like
animals or perhaps perhaps the healthc
care um had said you can't have this
medicine we won't approve it and then
they had to go to a veterinarian like
Ivor mean and get the veterinarian
version of the human
medicine do you think anybody ever had
to do
that have you ever heard of anybody who
had to get veterinarian medicine because
their healthc Care Network wouldn't give
it to them yes you have that's the thing
yeah there there were people who used
veterinarian medicine because their
health care wouldn't give them what they
thought they needed so so is the choice
of a veterinarian's gun sending a signal
that he wants to treat this person like
an
animal because this person treated
customers like an animal I'm not saying
he did there's no evidence of that I'm
I'm saying if you're looking for you
know was there some kind of larger
activist
message I would look at the choice of
weapon I would look at the
engraving
um but uh is there anything else that
would suggest oh the then the Monopoly
money in the
backpack the Monopoly money in the
backpack might be since you since
obviously the backpack was meant to be
discovered I assume he always assumed he
would get rid of the backpack so if it
was meant to be discovered what message
would he be sending by putting money in
it that's not real
money maybe it's a about the
money maybe maybe it's a statement about
the health care insurance
company um being more about money than
clients maybe because what would be the
other reason for having Monopoly money
in a backpack it's not like he had a
Monopoly game in there just the Monopoly
money it's not like he was going to
spend it so can you think of any other
reason it would be there other than to
send a message
there there's no obvious reason I can
think of it had to be a message so if
the veterinarian gun is a
message and the and the Monopoly money
is a way to say follow the
money might be it might be a message to
law enforcement follow the money right
you wouldn't want to put it in a note
like a handwritten note or anything
because that would be more evidence to
his identity but if you just bought some
Monopoly money and you stuck it in your
bag law enforcement probably should come
up with a theory that that was meant as
a
message and the message is it's
something about money now that would not
suggest that the Hitman was a paid
Hitman because a paid Hitman would not
tell you hey I'm a paid
Hitman because that would again help you
narrow it down to you know possible
suspects um so if you weren't a paid
Hitman then the Monopoly money
presumably would be a message that says
follow the
money so it could
be that the shooter believes that the
victim um was up to no good because I
think there were some other charges
maybe some insider trading charge that
was speculated about but I don't have
any evidence of
that
um it could be that because he thinks
healthc care has some kind of a
monopoly that he's making a statement
about the free market is not
working um because that there's a
monopoly
maybe so who
knows we'll uh keep an keep an eye on
that so the
ACLU is
uh trying to reverse the uh decision
that I guess the higher Court said that
Tik Tok would remain would be banned in
January unless something
changes um and the ACLU says that
banning Tik Tok blatantly violates the
First Amendment rights of millions of
people blah blah now remember I was
saying that
um John Stewart and Bernie were were
kind of saying what about common sense
why can't we just have common sense
opinions our own team attacks us what
exactly would be the common sense
of fighting against the government of
the United States you know a an elected
government who looked at all the details
and said you know what we've got lots of
free speech platforms but there's one
that's special because of the China
connection and we need to limit that one
it's not about the other platforms it's
about one do you think this is really a
free speech question now I get that
reducing T that taking Tik Tock out of
America would reduce your Free Speech
but remember the deal allows them to
sell it to an American
company so all the Chinese owned company
has to do of Tik Tock is they have to
sell just the American Business to an
American entity and then there would be
all the free speech in the
world so the government found what I
consider a completely Common Sense
solution which is if you like the
product here's a way to keep it you just
have to keep the data and the management
in the United States so nothing happens
to free speech there's an option but
also showing that a non-american owned
adversary owned company with that much
influence is probably not
safe so why would the ACLU who
presumably has a million things that
they could be doing why would they pick
this of all things because it's not
really supporting common sense and I
would argue it's not even really report
it's not really even supporting any
right that Americans care about do do
Americans care that they also have a
Chinese
owned uh platform if if they have plenty
of
platforms I mean blue sky just launched
and um you know Zuckerberg did his
own Twitter copies
Etc
um I'm seeing people in the comments
suggest that the firearm used by the uh
healthc care Hitman was not necessarily
a veterinarian's gun and I agree with
that it was it's definitely not
confirmed and the gun experts seemed to
be all over the place that they were all
over the place on what was happening and
was it a jam and was it just the way he
had to add bullets anyway but back to
this
I was trying to understand why the ACLU
was acting in a way that didn't seem
common sensical and so I said well it's
probably one of two things it's either
funded by somebody who always does bad
things such as
Soros or the management as a Dei
problem so I first I searched to find
out how the ACLU is
funded and it's a little sketchy but
looks like mostly by
members which would be a good situation
so in other words you you know
individual people paying their annual
dues is funding it I think there's some
foundations but mostly the
members and so I thought oh okay at
least it's not it's not like the Soros
organization trying to destroy America
or anything so I eliminated from my
possibilities of what's going on that
they were being funded by somebody
nefarious
now as far as I can tell there's no
nefarious funding so then I looked up
the leader and the leader of the ACLU is
Deborah Archer who is a black woman now
there is no evidence whatsoever that
she's not fully qualified for the
job
however in the context of
Dei what should have happened and is
observably true is that when you lose
the focus on um on capability and you
start focusing on identity what should
happen is massive
incompetence in all of our public and
private domains you should make
everything work worse and not because of
anybody's color not because of anybody's
gender sexual preference genes nothing
about that is simply that if you
constrain constrain your candidates to
they must be a certain kind you're not
going to be able to get as many choices
if you have fewer choices your odds of
getting the right person in the right
job go way down
so my prediction was I would find one of
two things wrong with the
ACLU either they had a Dei problem which
is not confirmed because again Deborah
Archer might be the very best person who
could be in that job I don't know one
way or the other I'm saying that if you
have a if you have a worldview that
predicts
don't ignore
that so I had a worldview that said as
one of these two things and when I saw
that it wasn't the funding as far as I
can tell uh but the Dei thing just you
know blazingly stands out as the obvious
next possibility again not confirmed she
might be the very best person who could
ever be in this
job
but the fact that it's
predictable the the prediction part is
the closest you can get to knowing
what's
real I'm not sure any of us are
accurately interpreting reality I mean
we all seem to be living in our own
realities but some of them
predict and and I tell you this all the
time if if if you can
predict then probably you're closer to
reality or at least you have something
that you could work with better for your
own Survival so that was my prediction
and it's a one-off so it's not like a
science scientific study but um see how
many times you can predict that Dei or
the source of
funding would be the problem behind some
larger issue that you don't
understand meanwhile
um Jen uh
weager is talk according to the Daily
Caller news Foundation um he's saying
that the Democrats focusing on identity
politics has damaged the party's brand
he is
correct that has damaged the part the
party's brand so much so that I think
it's
unrecoverable because once you make
everybody focus on their
identity you necessarily in the long
term you're going to lose the ability to
have them function as one coherent group
because you've you've persuaded them to
not think that way so in theory they
should each other forever whereas the
Republicans are going for the opposite
Theory which is how about we just say
are you an American who likes to follow
the law yes oh you're perfect we're done
here not there's nothing else we need to
discuss you you're an American I'm an
American you like the law I like the
same law we're good so the Republicans
have built a a process a system which
can get stronger
indefinitely the Democrats built a
system which even on paper should have
destroyed
itself in a few years and that's what we
that's what we observe it was very
predictable and furthermore I predict
that they can't recover uh at a national
level they'll still win all their local
issu local races just identity politics
is all you need but at the federal level
don't see them becoming competitive for
a long time unless the Republicans ran a
complete loser and somehow the Democrats
got some new
Superstar you know kind of Talent with a
lot of
Charisma I'm stuck in Boomer truth
regime well you're kind of an so
let me let me tell you what makes you
look like an in the
comments when you make a comment about
my identity
when I'm telling you that that's a
loser way to look at the
world
so so there's that anyway um here's a
story you've heard before but it blows
my mind every time every time I hear
this it came up again so sometime let's
see back in 2011 when Josh Shapiro who's
now the governor of Pennsylvania was the
Attorney General he refused used to
prosecute um a case in which there was a
woman who uh had 20 stab
wounds which was assessed to be
suicide and not her was it a boyfriend
or fiance I can't remember but there was
a guy in her life and uh he was of
course always the first suspect as
whoever the guy in your life is if a
woman gets killed you know in a home the
first thing they look for or is you know
the the spouse or the boyfriend but um
decided that it was
suicide now if I told you that somebody
was stabbed 20 times to death would you
think that was suicide I mean you're
know experts right but now part of the
story was they said she had mental
problems you which may or may not be
true but if you were
insane could you stab yourself to death
if you just would
I feel like maybe you could maybe you
could I mean if if you could commit
Harry Cary where you take a sword and
stick it in and you know remove your
organs I didn't the ancient Romans fall
on their sword and stuff like that so in
theory in theory you could stab yourself
to death couldn't
you I mean if if you really worked at it
but here's the part of the story that I
was saving
half of the stab marks are on her back
and then the back of her
head I'm willing to go out on the limb
and say nobody has ever ever attempted
or succeeded as suicide by stabbing
themselves in the
back never if you were really really
crazy and wanted to kill yourself even
then you wouldn't stab yourself in the
back would you
so it's very clearly a
murder and for reasons that we don't
understand then attorney general decided
to not treat it that way oh he was a
fiance so it was a
fiance so what do you make of
that do do you think that that's
evidence that the Attorney General
is uh crooked or
incompetent or had some connection to
the alleged you know potential
murderer what do you think's going on
there this it's kind of a it's kind of a
Puzzler so I'm going to say that the
most likely
explanation of this inexplicable
situation is that the news is
wrong the news is wrong so if you're
saying to yourself well if these facts
are all true I can't understand this
situation
remember we live in a world where the
news is almost always wrong the news is
almost always wrong about anything
complicated so do you think that if if
you had a private conversation with Josh
Shapiro do you think he'd say yeah you
know half the stab marks were in the
back but I I was pretty sure that that
sounded like suicide to me do you think
he'd say that I don't think there's any
chance of that
I think you would say oh the thing the
news didn't tell you is
X I think and then you'd say oh huh that
does change it a little bit but I don't
know I can't even imagine what he would
say that would make it make sense that
somebody stabbed themselves in the back
multiple times but I feel like the most
likely explanation is that the news or
the story about it is missing
something because it doesn't make sense
otherwise I don't know it's a
mystery um Scott presler you all know
him from uh his great work in
Pennsylvania making that more red and uh
says he now wants to take on uh New
Jersey he wants to flip New Jersey into
a red State and it's not there yet but
he thinks it's close enough that he
could push it over the edge so that's
amazing um
I guess I have nothing to say about that
except good for you Scott presler I like
it when all the Scots are doing
well Scott Jenning Scott
presler all right some judge according
to slay news federal judge has ordered
the FDA to release the covid vaccine
trial data documents from
fizer that wanted to hide them for 75
years
all right so so let's see if you can
predict what happens next so fizer
wanted to protect for 75 years the data
about the trial their story was it just
takes that long to you know vet it and
make it
available now nobody believes that and
so of course we all believed oh there's
something there you don't want us to see
now it doesn't mean there's something
illegal or unethical or
unscientific it could
mean that they know that people will
assume there is and find it in other
words they'll think they see it in the
data because people are terrible at data
so it could be that fiser has done
nothing wrong but they know that if like
like Trump releasing his tax
returns if Trump did nothing wrong on
his tax returns it still wouldn't make
sense to release them because people
would look at them and not knowing how
to analyze tax tax returns they say oh
look here's this problem in his tax
return but they wouldn't be accountants
and maybe there wasn't a problem so it
would just be a problem for Trump to put
all that red meat out there that people
will
misinterpret fizer must be in exactly
the same situation so even if fizer
legitimately believes there's nothing
wrong with the trial data and it
completely supports everything they did
they' still not want it to be released
that would be perfectly smart thing for
a corporation to do it's not good for us
because we'd like to know the answer but
from the corporation's point of view
yeah yeah protect everything you can
protect why great problems for yourself
but now it's been re
reversed so now let's say if there's no
more legal process going on suppose you
think you're going to see that now make
your prediction what happens next
so the company has the possession of all
these documents maybe the FDA does too
would the FDA have it or only the
company because that would make a
difference here here's why I ask if only
the company owns the documents and maybe
other people have seen them but don't
have a
copy don't you think those documents are
going to suddenly get
lost do do you think that maybe they'll
do a system update and all the data will
be lost lost because every time we've
been in this situation where we know
there's a document such as the fste list
or Diddy's videos or you know I could go
on or on Hillary's Hillary's phones that
she had bleach blit or whatever she did
there so it feels like every time we
know exactly what we're looking for oh
if we can only see those oh they're
already deleted oh so you've never lost
any documents for thir 30 years but you
lost these the only ones we really
really wanted to look at is that what's
happening
next so I wouldn't be
surprised under the condition that only
fizer controls those documents I don't
know if that's true but if only fizer
has the
documents they're going to get
lost
because correct me if I'm wrong but
everybody who has deleted documents got
away with it all of them everybody who
did it can you think of one case a
prominent case recently where somebody
deleted some documents and went to jail
I can't they just say it was an accident
oh whoops oops I really tried to give it
to you but
deleted yeah that might be
coming um Elon musk's uh AI now now has
uh the ability to do photorealistic
images so grock wasn't that good at
images but uh x a apparently the new
update according to Don Jacobson at
UPI and the question that we don't know
the answer to Is will Elon musk's AI
have guard rails that prevent you from
doing celebrities and public
figures I don't know the answer to that
that's sort of a good Edge case for free
speech I feel like Elon Musk would not
want to limit what you could do with the
AI in terms of
images but on the other hand if you had
a major AI that was willing to create
fake images that really look real on any
topic with any celebrity you're really
going to cause a lot of
trouble but so does free
speech so it'll be interesting to see
which way Elon goes on this uh if
they've made a decision maybe they've
already made that decision we just don't
know but uh if you can do celebrities
and famous people and you can make them
do anything you
want well that's a different world so
we'll see if that's going to be the
case and you know I'm going to tell you
that there's a new battery technology so
ARS Technica says there's a sodium ion
batteries new breakthroughs blah blah
blah the problem with sodium sodium ion
batteries as a technology compared to
lithium so here this will make you
smarter at your next Gathering because
you'll know more about Battery
Technology so if you do lithium there
they've got a good density that's why
they're used in cars so you can put a
lot of power in a small small device um
but they have more fire risk lithium
does and they use rare materials but if
you were to if you could get the same
performance and you can't yet but it
getting close uh from a sodium iron
battery you'd basically be using no rare
earth materials and you would have no
risk of fire or much lower I guess um
the only problem is density and that's
where they had the Breakthrough so
they're claiming a
density that if they actually can
achieve it is almost hard for experts to
believe they can get there but they're
knocking on the door so it could be that
the whole Rare Earth thing is becomes
unimportant so but we'll see at the same
time according to the University of
Maryland balore County they've got this
new battery technology using uh Twisted
carbon Nano tubes so apparently if you
twist your carbon nanot tubes just right
it will
it will store a bunch of
electricity again without the rare earth
materials and without without any fire
risk I
imagine so those are two technologies or
like a few more that I didn't mention so
sodium iron batteries and carbon nanot
tubes and there's some other solid state
stuff that's happening so the world of
batter is very Dynamic it's going to
change everything once you can store
electricity about let's say twice as
well as we're doing now which is certain
to happen uh all kinds of things become
practical you know like having your own
electric onep person airplane that kind
of thing all right ladies and
gentlemen that is all I have for you
today on this Sunday I'm going to talk
to the people on locals privately
subscribers on locals thanks for joining
on YouTube and
x and Rumble I'll see you same time
tomorrow and locals coming at you for
one extra
Sip and
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