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Episodes Episode #2721

Episode 2721 CWSA 01/15/25

Episode #2721 Jan 15, 2025 1:44:04 32,561 views

Trump's External Revenue Service and all the news that is fun ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.

Opening General Commentary

Well, there you are. Soon as I print my notes off and get your comments working, we're going to have quite the show. You're going to be so happy about it. I've even got stuff plugged in

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SimultaneousSip General Commentary

. Look at me being prepared. Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams because that's what it is, and it's the best thing you'll ever experience in your entire life. Unless, unless you join us for the simultaneous sip. And all yo…

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MainContent Cognitive Reframing

simultaneous sip, and it happens now. Go. I am now hydrated enough to get through the entire show, so let's get going. So I've got a friend who on almost every other contact tries to tell me that he's figured out something that Elon Musk is doing that's dumb. And I say, you know, he's got five of…

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NewsReaction AI & Technology

n. Now this should not be taken as any kind of an insult to anybody. I've made this mistake before, which is if I mention somebody's on the spectrum, if I say anything like that publicly, people say whoa whoa whoa, who are you insulting? To which I say, insult? Where was the insult? Well you just sa…

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MainContent Persuasion

me. So I learned something anyway. Looks like there might be coming a ban on Chinese connected car software. Ars Technica is talking about that. I guess Congress is working on that. There might be some exemptions, but it would block Americans from having cars with Chinese software. Now I don't know…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

to yourself hey but Trump liked TikTok so he won't like it if it goes away, I remind you he's not going to be running again. And I would be really surprised if the Republicans ever field another candidate who can rule TikTok. You know that being able to control and even dominate the messaging on Tik…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

my Green Beret who's now making some claims on social media. I guess according to the Daily Mail he was led into this secret UFO crash storage at an underground Naval base and he went through all the places and they showed him the advanced alien technology. There was an orb that seemed to be operate…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

r. The hardest thing about being a professional writer when you write dialogue, and I remind you that I write dialogue for characters every single day for 35 years, there is a skill involved in writing dialogue. The main part of the skill is avoiding looking like it's scripted dialogue. Did you all…

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MainContent General Commentary

that didn't everybody know that Trump would go to jail if he wasn't elected? We all knew that. Did it help him get elected? I hope so. So we live in a system where if things go wrong they can just lawfare somebody into jail and damn near did it. The only thing that kept Trump out of jail is an amazi…

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MainContent Talent Stack

a spy hunter. Now I assume he lost his job immediately but who knows. So that's all we know about that. So beware all the undercover people who think that they're doing what's good for the world. I think this guy actually believed he was doing the right thing which is scary. It's really scary if he…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

who had less power than them to take the hit they can say look at all these good things we're doing. We're getting rid of all these white guys who say things you don't like. We're making sure that they can't be promoted. Give me an extra bonus because I've discriminated against white men. So let me…

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NewsReaction Climate & Environment

stacks I've ever seen. Because if you include his immersion in the news you know as a news person you had his talent for speaking in public you had his Ivy League background you had his really super relevant military experience and recently. That's like one of the strongest talent stacks I've ever s…

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MainContent Economics & Finance

ot. Some of it is that the number of homeless has gone through the roof. Anyway a lot of this came I read this in PJ Media. Speaking of PJ Media they report that the beginnings of what might be a recall effort against Newsom and the mayor Bass. So I don't know if that's going to happen but they're a…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

a month mortgage? Nope. I think the rental will be I'm just guessing 6,000 a month. So there's no economic way. The economics just don't work. So unless something was already rental and has been for a long time or you've owned your house and you paid off the mortgage and you don't want to sell it it…

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MainContent Economics & Finance

ound like stepping down? Isn't she moving sideways because she said she's got other you know she wants to work on other stuff so why is that down? Maybe the other stuff is better. Isn't that up? Anyway it was a weird choice of words. But she's being replaced at least temporarily with of course I che…

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Closing General Commentary

ittle. So I can add this to the collective thinking with the thinking that you know maybe it sparks somebody's better idea. You know maybe it just makes it look possible and I don't worry about the embarrassment. That's just free. There's no risk to me. So learn to be not embarrassed and you will be…

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Well, there you are. Soon as I print my notes off and get your comments working, we're going to have quite the show. You're going to be so happy about it. I've even got stuff plugged in. Look at me being prepared.

Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams because that's what it is, and it's the best thing you'll ever experience in your entire life. Unless, unless you join us for the simultaneous sip. And all you need for that is a cup or glass or tank of your choice, a canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better except fires. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

Go.

I am now hydrated enough to get through the entire show, so let's get going.

So I've got a friend who on almost every other contact tries to tell me that he's figured out something that Elon Musk is doing that's dumb. And I say, you know, he's got five of the most important businesses in the world. He's solving problems. He's going to Mars. I don't know if he's really dumb. I feel like maybe he doesn't have the mental problems you think. Now my friend has a net worth of zero, and I don't want to say, you know, you have a net worth of zero and you're giving advice to the richest man in the world, and none of it looked like luck to me. It looked like skill. So maybe you should take that into consideration that he might know a little bit more than you.

And then today I saw a post by Elon Musk, and I thought, hmm, I'm going to have to go in there and correct his thinking. Apparently I'm just an idiot. So do you know how absurd it is to say, Elon Musk has an opinion but I'm so much smarter, watch me fix it for him? But that's what I'm going to do, but only because it's a very special case. I wouldn't do this about engineering or business or most things. So it's a very special case.

Here's the situation. Dr. Peter Diamandis on X, he had a post in which he led off by saying sugar is poison, and then he did a thread on here's why sugar is poison. Now I didn't make that up. That's the title of a book. And you're all aware that I often say alcohol is poison. Now Elon Musk weighed in on the statement that sugar is poison, and he said, no, cyanide and arsenic are poisons, whereas sugar is edible. You don't see a pile of bodies outside a candy store. LMAO. And then Elon said that sugar should only be eaten occasionally and in small quantities.

Now he's not technically wrong, right? Sugar is not actually a poison like literally it's not. And sugar is edible, and if you were going to eat it in small amounts it would be not the worst thing that ever happened to you. But being the reframe guy, I couldn't let it stand. So I don't know what the comments are going to be, but I weighed in and I said reframes need not be literal. Most of the good ones are not literal. And then I noted, I wrote the book on that, "Reframe Your Brain." A reframe is a brain hack. It gives you the ability to make better decisions without changing the data. So it's just a trick. It's not supposed to be literal. And in fact being literal doesn't help it a bit. There's no advantage to being literal. You want it to work. You don't want it to be accurate.

So I pointed out that if the goal is to minimize but not eliminate sugar, calling it a poison is a perfect reframe. But then I had to acknowledge, because I think I learned something in this exchange, why would Elon Musk, clearly and unambiguously one of the smartest people in all of our experiences, not understand a simple reframe is not meant to be literal? How's that possible? Well, I don't know the exact answer, but I ended with this statement. I said I acknowledge that departing from the literal doesn't work for every brain. Now this should not be taken as any kind of an insult to anybody. I've made this mistake before, which is if I mention somebody's on the spectrum, if I say anything like that publicly, people say whoa whoa whoa, who are you insulting? To which I say, insult? Where was the insult? Well you just said somebody's on the spectrum. To which I say, right, but what's the insult? Isn't that like saying somebody's tall, somebody's black, somebody's white, somebody's male? It's just who you are. So I don't put judgment on being on the spectrum. You know, if you took away the inventions and the benefit that has been brought to the world by people who are technically on the spectrum, and I think Elon includes himself, you know he's self-identified as being on the spectrum. I'm not 100 percent sure it's true, but when I see this kind of an opinion where he's favoring the literal over the reframe that doesn't need to be literal, I think, wow, this might be one of the cases where drawing this distinction between a reframe would work for the regular public. But here's what I learned. I just learned it doesn't work if you're on the spectrum, which actually makes sense, right? So being on the spectrum would make you a little more literal, and maybe you just couldn't embrace the imaginary part of the reframe. So I learned something anyway.

Looks like there might be coming a ban on Chinese connected car software. Ars Technica is talking about that. I guess Congress is working on that. There might be some exemptions, but it would block Americans from having cars with Chinese software. Now I don't know what the real potential risk is for having, let's call China an adversary, having them have control over some number of cars in America. But how many cars do you think are on the road at any one time in America? It's a big number, right? Would it be five or ten million at any moment during the day? I don't know what the number is, but it's got to be millions. And suppose we become a self-driving car society. Seems inevitable. Might be only a few years away. What would happen if an enemy just got a hold of a million cars and just drove them into ditches? It is a weapon of mass destruction potentially to have a million cars drive off the road at the same time. So yeah, I'm in favor of banning the Chinese software even if there's no indication there's something wrong with it. There will be.

Meanwhile over at Interesting Engineering there's a pine cone inspired building shades. So they studied pine cones that apparently, I guess the little whatever you call it, the little leaves or whatever on the pine cone, it's probably a word for that, but apparently they move based on the sun. So they wanted to find some way that you can make your windows and your building open up and close based on sun and without using electricity. So we call them needles. I don't know. I'm not sure if that's right. But they do it without electricity, so that's the important part. The sun directly causes the pine cone like parts to open. Now my take on this is, doesn't your window look like a pine cone? Do you ever want your window to look like a pine cone? I don't know. I'm not sure this has potential.

Meanwhile there's the TikTok ban. As far as I know it's going to go into effect on Sunday unless something miraculous happens between now and then. Can you give me a fact check on that? Is that correct that TikTok is going to be done in the United States? It'll still be international, but is it going to be done in the United States? Because I feel like there might be another thing coming. You know there were some reports that Elon Musk was talking to China. I don't think that's true. That was never confirmed, so I don't think that was ever true. But do you think anybody could put together a purchase deal in a few days? You know I suppose they could if they felt the price was right. But I don't see any possibility that TikTok's going to say yes even if the price is right. So I don't know exactly what would be purchased if somebody purchased TikTok. But it makes me wonder if China is willing to give up billions and billions and billions of dollars they must be hiding something. In other words if somehow we got control of their software and their algorithms, would we be able to determine how much they've been putting a finger on the algorithms? Would we be able to know that just by buying it, looking at whatever they sold us? It could be that they're worried that they don't have a way to scrub that. Because you know how when Musk bought Twitter there were so many little censoring tags in it that even the owner couldn't tell what it was censoring. Like it was just too complicated. So what if China said get rid of all the incriminating stuff and then maybe we can sell it. And then TikTok would have said we could try but we probably wouldn't get close to knowing that we had all the incriminating stuff out of the software because it's not that easy. And then China might say you can't sell that thing because if they find out what we've been doing there will be repercussions. So this is speculation, but I suspect that TikTok would be unsellable unless they're hiding something and they don't know how to unhide it or they don't know how to hide it completely. I guess anyway.

If you're saying to yourself hey but Trump liked TikTok so he won't like it if it goes away, I remind you he's not going to be running again. And I would be really surprised if the Republicans ever field another candidate who can rule TikTok. You know that being able to control and even dominate the messaging on TikTok, that's purely a Trump thing. You all know that, right? So anything you say about well you know Trump did well on TikTok so why would you ban it, that's just Trump. Do you think DeSantis is going to light up TikTok if TikTok still existed? No, no he's not. That's purely Trump. So the Republicans aren't going to care if it goes away.

Some of you may remember, how many of you remember that back in 2018, 2019 I announced to you that I was going to try to put TikTok out of business? Do you remember that? And you said to yourself, well I mean that's not a thing. And then I kept saying it's a thing. Do you know what the first part of persuasion is? The first part of persuasion is you have to think it's a thing. If you don't think it's a thing everything else you say after that doesn't matter. You're like blah blah blah blah blah. But as soon as you think it's a thing then you can start looking at the pros and the cons. So I decided a few years ago I'm going to make sure everyone knows it's a thing. And I got to senators. I got to a lot of senators, a lot of people in the House just because they're natural viewers. Some of them I contacted personally, you know ones that I could DM. And in some cases I know for sure they heard the message, got it completely, and even responded. So I certainly was not pushing it for the last year or so because it looked like it was just becoming an Israel issue. So I think Israel killed it because they didn't like that it was persuading against them. Now I don't know if that'll ever be official or I don't know if history will record that Israel killed TikTok in America, but I'm pretty sure that's the case. Now normally I would have said hey Israel, another country even our ally, you can't turn off a free speech platform in our country. Stop that. But since I'm completely on the same page I just sort of step back.

Now do you remember when Trump first mentioned buying Greenland and your first reaction was come on? You know why? Because you did not believe it could be a thing. That was step one. Trump first told you it's a thing and then you would argue whether it's dumb or he's kidding or it's a joke. But when you were done you would think it's a thing and therefore you can talk about the pros and the cons. And it turns out there were a lot of pros. A lot of pros and the cons, none, you know depending on the nature of the deal maybe none. They won't necessarily be voting. Could be a territory. There might be a price that makes sense. It might work for Denmark. It might work for Greenland. But nothing would have happened, nothing, until Trump told us it's a thing. So when I said banning TikTok is a thing I got no traction on day one. I think I had zero people agreeing with me on day one. Eventually I hammered it and hammered it until you might disagree, you might agree, but you definitely knew it was a thing. And on Sunday we might find out if it's the thing.

All right. The SEC is suing Elon Musk because they have nothing else better to do. But I don't know if this one is legit. It might be. This one might be legit and it's just a money thing. So you know if you had to pay some money I could see that happening. But he's being sued because when he first bought the first shares of Twitter it was above I guess it was above some number where you're supposed to announce your purchase and it was late I guess late in registering that he'd done it. And there's some argument that because he didn't say it then he said just because he didn't say it that somehow other people lost money because they didn't know he did it. Maybe. You know I could see that argument. I just wonder if this would have been pressed against everybody because it seems like it would be easy to demonstrate. This is the day you bought the stock. This is the rule. This is when he admitted he bought it. It's after the rule. Yeah, $175 million, write us a check. So it might be valid. You know you might say to yourself yeah that would have happened to anybody. I don't know.

I watched the segment with Michael Shellenberger on Tucker's show, Tucker Carlson, and there was a little discussion on UAPs. I did notice that Tucker sort of took over that conversation and I never really got to hear what Michael Shellenberger thought was happening. So Shellenberger brought up a few of the hypotheses but I don't think he landed on what his opinion was. And part of it is because when Tucker started talking about it I think that just took the conversation in such a direction that I don't know if Michael thought that was the right time to give his own opinion on it because I'm sure he has one. But here's what Tucker said about the UAPs, quote, they're not from Mars. They're not from another planet. They're from here. They've always been here. These are spiritual entities. It's clear that these things reside deep in the earth, under the water and in the atmosphere. And then he pointed out that Elon Musk, and he'd had personal conversations with Musk, Tucker had, didn't think that there was anything coming from space. Now Tucker said, and I don't know if this is just Tucker or Elon said this as well and I'm not sure it's true, he said that we'd pick up on satellites anything entering the atmosphere. Do you think that's true? I don't. If you look at the quality of any of these systems in the United States that you thought were good, none of them are good. If you would have asked me a month ago, Scott, what do you think is one of the best fire departments in the world, I would have said well you know obviously LA because they would need it and they would have the money and enough of a population to get whatever they needed. So yeah the best fire department in the world probably LA. Well not so much. So when I hear things like well our advanced satellites would pick up any UFOs coming through our completely impenetrable digital network of surveillance, I say to myself or not. Yeah or not maybe.

So I don't know if that's a good reason. But Trump said about the UAPs, I'm going to give you a report on drones. At least we don't know if the drones are really the same as the UAPs but the drones over New Jersey I think he's talking about. We'll give it in one day into the administration. He told the governor somewhere because I think it's ridiculous that they're not telling you about what is going on with the drones. I'm going to make a prediction. He's not going to tell us what's going on with the drones. And if he does you're going to feel that it's incomplete. Like really, does that explain all the drones or did that explain some of the drones or maybe a lot of the drones? So if you think that Trump's going to get in there and then answer that question to your satisfaction, I don't think there's any chance of that. I do think he means it. I do think he is telling the truth that he's going to try to do that. I do think he will try. But no matter what he says you're going to say how do we know he wasn't told he has to leave something out? How do we know that when he hears the real reason he says oh man I really wasn't expecting that so yeah I guess I'll just say they're hobbyists and I'll leave out the rest maybe. So I'm betting you will not be satisfied with whatever comes out of that.

There's an Army Green Beret who's now making some claims on social media. I guess according to the Daily Mail he was led into this secret UFO crash storage at an underground Naval base and he went through all the places and they showed him the advanced alien technology. There was an orb that seemed to be operated by consciousness alone and there was some kind of thing you put on your arm and it was magic. But here's the part that completely made the whole story fall apart. I mean if it didn't already. Apparently he saw a door that was labeled and I quote "offworld technology." And I'm out. I'm out. No, there is no place in the world where somebody has a door labeled offworld technology. Because even if you accepted that there is such a thing as off-world technology and even if you accepted that nobody should be in that part of the building unless they had full clearance and ability to know, even then you're not going to put on the door "off world technology." That's just not going to happen in any real world. So no, sorry Army Green Beret, that doesn't pass the initial sniff test.

Speaking of sniff test, Alex Jones had a kind of an exclusive. I think he has it from a descendant. See if I get this right. So it was maybe the grandson or so of somebody who was a confidant and a very rich guy, confidant of LBJ. So the first part of the story is that LBJ was just a flat out criminal and he ran the government through blackmail through I guess J. Edgar Hoover. So according to this telling, Alex Jones and his guest, it's well documented apparently. There are books written in which LBJ was just flat out criminal. Some say he was also a murderer. Some say he ordered the hit on JFK because he was so humiliated by the way he was being treated. Now there seems to be good evidence that he was humiliated. So the part is did he really order? Well the evidence is according to the grandson he found some, he'd had them for a long time, he didn't just find them, but for a long time he had had the tapes left to him in the estates or the wills or something. So he had these little tapes and he finally had them converted so we could listen to them, whatever that took. And then those tapes were played and it showed I believe it was either his own relative talking to another close confidant and it seemed to be a phone call in which they were talking casually but in a worried way, just sort of matter of factly, that LBJ had ordered the hit on Kennedy. And it's just like right there playing on his tape.

Now Alex Jones says that the source is impeccable. So he vouches for the human being who had the tape. He knows that that person was in fact a relative of a real person who genuinely was LBJ's confidant and apparently participated in some shady stuff. He's checked to make sure that the audio was not AI generated. So he feels that he has a positive source. The recording didn't just pop up today. It's something that the source that he trusts says he's had in his possession for a long time. And that it didn't seem fake in terms of it doesn't seem like something that was not related to those two people. It does look like the two people made the tape. It's a real tape. But then I listen to it. I would like to give you my judgment. It might be the real people just as claimed. It might be exactly those two people. It may have been made at exactly that time. So I think the tape is real. The people are real and the timing is real and they really said those things. However I'm going to give you a little insight as a professional writer. The hardest thing about being a professional writer when you write dialogue, and I remind you that I write dialogue for characters every single day for 35 years, there is a skill involved in writing dialogue. The main part of the skill is avoiding looking like it's scripted dialogue. Did you all know that? The main thing that you want to avoid to be a good writer, you know someone that people will pay attention to, is your writing has to just be clearly unscripted. You know something that a real person would say. If you listen to the tape as I did and you're a professional writer you will see right away it's scripted. So it doesn't mean it's not true. That's a whole different conversation. It could be that the principals wanted to get it on tape so that it would be believed or something in future days. It might have been a protection thing. Maybe they were protecting their own lives by having a tape that would be embarrassing to JFK or to LBJ. So I do think everything about it was real except that it was in my opinion very obviously scripted. So as a professional writer that was professionally scripted. Do you want to know what the tell is? The tell is how perfect it was and how often they put the person's name in the middle of a sentence so you'd know who was talking. That was a little over the top. So it'd go like hello Saul I hope you're having a good day. Well thank you for that input Saul it's good that we have these. I'm making that up but you can see how stilted it is. Here's what real people talk like. Oh man I got this thing. What? Yeah I got a thing. And then the other one talks over him then he asks a question and then you circle it back and you apologize for saying it wrong and you correct your words. That's what real conversation looks like. This was not that. It was pretty far from natural conversation. Now I'd like a second opinion and remember I'm not doubting the veracity of the underlying claim. I wouldn't know one way or the other. I'm just saying it's scripted. Might be true but it would be scripted. If there are other professional writers who write dialogue specifically I'd love to get an opinion on that.

SpaceX is going to launch two unmanned lunar missions so that I guess there are two rovers and those rovers will be going around on the moon not Mars on the moon. So Elon Musk is launching two probes into my moon. Ouch. So that's fun. I really like having a rover on the moon. I'm pretty much rover fascinated. I'll watch whatever that rover does and takes pictures of.

The December inflation was 2.9. They expected it to be 2.9. So the good news is it's not going up quickly but of course the baseline of our costs are all basically unaffordable. So yeah unless it goes down it's not helping at all. Just staying where you expected it used to be good news. Not anymore.

While Trump has announced the formation of what he calls the external Revenue Service. So instead of collecting money for the government from internal citizens he's going to find ways to charge other companies or countries for stuff. So it would include any money collected from tariffs which you might say that comes from American companies that's the opposite of external. You would be right. But if it's part of the negotiations where we're going to use tariffs as a weapon, using tariffs as a weapon is going to be a whole lot more convincing if we've got an entire department who's dedicated to using that weapon and collecting the money from it.

So here's what I think is coming. It has not been in any way explicitly announced but let me tell you what's inevitably coming. We're going to have such a budget problem that Trump being Trump is going to do the smart thing that nobody's done before and it's basically a mafia play. Because we've got the biggest military and you say to the small countries that have had a free ride because your military protects them basically it'd be a shame if something happened to your little country. Well nothing's going to happen to us. We're part of NATO and you know nobody would attack this hemisphere and you know you don't have to worry. Well that's only because we're protecting you right? Right right. What if we stopped? What if we stopped protecting you? Why would you do that? It's expensive. But you're not actually sending any military here. You're just saying that if something happened you would send military here so other countries will stay away from let's say South America. And then Trump says right yeah that's the way it's been. It's not the way it's going to be. Because if you want a little military protection in advance before you need it why would that be free? When you pay for insurance you pay for it before the disaster. You don't pay for it after the war starts. That's not when we're going to start billing you. You pay now because you're buying an insurance plan.

So Trump appears to be setting the stage for the US military to be everybody's insurance plan which means that you would literally pay for it maybe even based on your population or something just like insurance. Now is that unethical or is it just a smarter way to organize a military? Well if you're another country let's say you're Costa Rica. Costa Rica has no military unless they formed one recently. I don't think so. No military. How hard would it be for a foreign power to take over a country with no military? Easy. Why is it they don't try? Because of the US military. Yeah. Do you think Costa Rica is paying us an annual payment for all that protection literally protecting the whole country? No. Now I think is that fair? No. Now you could argue that we're protecting them for our own benefit and that would be a good argument. It's like oh it's bad for America if Costa Rica falls to an adversary. But it's also true we're protecting them and they're paying nothing or not enough. So I think this might have more legs than you think. And once again Trump is doing that thing that he did with Greenland. Until he creates this department the external Revenue Service you don't really think it's a thing that they would charge other companies or other countries for protection. But now you think it's a thing don't you? You might hate it. You might love it. But guess what it's a thing. It's a thing. Trump does this maybe better than anybody's ever done it which is making the thing that's not a thing a thing. And then if the cost benefit in a purely objective sense makes sense then the thing can go on on its own and become a real thing. But first you have to change the entire national consciousness from that's not a thing to oh that's a thing. Now we can talk about it. It's brilliant. I hate to keep saying things like this because they sound so hyperbolic, so kissing his ass, so hero worshipping. I get how it sounds. But I think history is going to back me on the following statement. We've never seen anything like this. This is a level of understanding of how persuasion and people think that is so unprecedented that there's nobody even close. I know you want to say oh Reagan was the great communicator. Yes very very good. Very A+. Reagan this is a whole different level. So Reagan was A+ in junior college. You know Trump's A+ at the Indian Institute of Technology which is way more than you think it is.

All right. Special counsel Jack Smith's report is indicating that Trump would have been convicted if not elected. That's what everybody's saying. Is that news? I think everybody knew that didn't everybody know that Trump would go to jail if he wasn't elected? We all knew that. Did it help him get elected? I hope so. So we live in a system where if things go wrong they can just lawfare somebody into jail and damn near did it. The only thing that kept Trump out of jail is an amazing campaign team, his own abilities which are transcendent, and the fact that the public said that's a line too far. I think the public stopped that entirely. I mean by their vote of course but there was also an implied threat wasn't there? There was an implied threat that if half the country watched their leader be put in jail the entire social contract was going to be ripped up. And I think enough people said that that was believable. I don't know if it would be but I think it could have been the entire social contract if you know what I mean.

Meanwhile James O'Keefe and his OMG undercover video business they found an adviser to the Joint Chiefs of Staff. So this is somebody who has a high level adviser, a former FBI special agent and he called himself a spy hunter. And he went on one of these dates in which he talked too much. Fake dates. So the undercover person went on the fake date and recorded him, asked him what he thought about Trump and he said Trump's a sociopathic narcissist who was only interested in advancing his name, his wealth and his fame. He's had a lifetime of cheating. He's habitually addicted to lying about himself. Okay so the first thing you know is he's suffering from terminal TDS. These are not the words of a person whose brain is working correctly. Are it true that Trump tries to maximize his own gain like everybody? Like everybody. What was there some politician who didn't like to see himself succeed? Which one was that? Even Bernie Sanders was trying to win the damn election. So watching them try to get what's good for them, the only thing that matters is was it also good for the country? And what Trump is doing is also good for the country. So there's no real difference between doing a great job for the country and doing a great job for yourself. They're exactly the same. You know and the job is so transparent that you would literally have to do illegal things to get out of that model of what's good for the country ends up being good for you. You have to be illegal for that not to be true. And we're watching pretty closely especially Trump. So that's crazy.

But then it gets worse. He apparently was involved back in Russiagate times. He spent his time looking for all that foreign interference to explain how Trump got elected. Didn't find any. So his TDS is extreme. Couldn't even believe that Trump got elected unless there must have been some foreign interference. Nope there was foreign interference. It was against Trump. The minor little Russian memes didn't make any difference. Everybody smart knows that. And then the undercover reporter asked him if there's anything that he quote could do to protect the American people from stuff that Trump might try and he said quote I'm in conversation with a couple of retired generals to try to explore what we can do. So here's a spook who's actually having conversations with retired generals. We didn't get their names. It looks like he's planning an insurrection. So it looks like they're not looking to respond to some specific thing Trump did but rather just take him out of office through some kind of you know undercover mechanism that involves generals and somebody who's a spy hunter. Now I assume he lost his job immediately but who knows. So that's all we know about that. So beware all the undercover people who think that they're doing what's good for the world. I think this guy actually believed he was doing the right thing which is scary. It's really scary if he thought that was the right thing.

All right the inauguration is coming up and it's been announced a number of entertainers but the interesting ones that are non obvious. I mean Kid Rock is obvious but the Village People said yes. Now I love that the Village People said yes. Not only because Trump basically made them rich because I'm pretty sure he popularized the song again I don't know 30 years or 40 years after it was an original. And since the public in general assumes that they're all gay and that that's actually part of the fun you know the whole YMCA thing it's kind of a gay anthem but it's weird that they say no we're not gay but to the public it's the gayest group in the world but not in a bad way. So the beauty of what Trump did was he wasn't mocking them. He was accepting them exactly as they wanted to be accepted as really good music that we like to dance to and it's unusually fun because it breaks out of that hetero only way of being. So you know even watching Trump enjoy the pleasure of breaking out of that hetero only you know you can't act like you're enjoying that music or something. It's wonderful. And they're paying him back or maybe paying themselves. Either way it works for me by taking the chance. They're taking a chance on him. I love that. So good job Village People.

Carrie Underwood is performing. That's the one that surprised me. Why in the world would a really well established singing star want to associate with Trump if she hasn't already? Because isn't that going to cut her future revenue in half forever? It might. So both the Village People and Carrie Underwood seem to be more of an indication that Trump has been at least a little bit established as okay to say you support him now. If you're getting the entertainment people to say that you've really penetrated a whole new category because you already got the tech people saying whoa whoa whoa wait a minute the fine people hoax wasn't real. So the tech people have all caught on that it was just this major brainwashing operation. So once they found out it was all brainwashing they could see all the other brainwashing and then their vision cleared and then they just made the rational choice. But to get it into the entertainment world as deeply as Carrie Underwood is impressive. So all respect to Carrie Underwood for taking what is clearly a risk. But if she doesn't get as much push back as would end her career then I would say she's part of the solution. If you're trying to unite the country you're going to need some people who go first and take the arrows in the back. And this to me seems really brave for Carrie Underwood. I'm very impressed. I've seen her in concert by the way. I've only ever been to a few concerts in my whole life but maybe three concerts in my life but she was one of them. It was a good show.

Michelle Obama is not coming to the inauguration but Barack is. That would make two events in recent weeks that Barack went to and Michelle didn't where you would expect that normally she would. The other was the Carter funeral. Now unless she has a medical problem which I wouldn't rule out just maybe something she doesn't need to get into with the public it would suggest there's marital problems. Now I've heard the rumors. I don't think there's direct evidence to support that and you never know what's going on in somebody's relationship but it's a little hard to understand weeks apart you know same thing. It's sort of built into what you expect that they would do as a couple Barack and Michelle. So I would say the possibility of either a medical situation that doesn't resolve very quickly which could be very bad and it might be just that or there's something else going on. And so there may be an early signal of that.

Meanwhile Costco has responded to criticisms about its DEI programs by saying they're planning to keep them. So they like their DEI. They have a DEI manager I guess and they're going to keep their DEI because it's worked for them they say. At Costco Robbie Starbuck who's the activist who's had huge success getting companies to eliminate their DEI notes that Costco is not high on his list because it would be a hard one and it makes sense to do the ones you know you can get because it creates momentum to get the hard ones later. So Starbuck is telling us yeah that's not on the top of the list right now. Get to that one later maybe. But here's what I want to point out. Costco is 72 percent of top Costco managers were men and 81 percent were white. Let me remind you that I have been grossly discriminated in my life for my gender and my race. You all know the stories. I worked for a bank. They said I couldn't be promoted because I was a white male. I left. I went to the phone company. Eventually they said you can't be promoted because you're a white male. I created a TV show that lost its slot on Monday which ends up being a death blow to a show to lose your time slot because I was a white male and I had a comic about a white guy and they decided it was going to be an all African American comedy night. And of course I lost my entire publishing and syndication career because I said something that you would only be punished for if you're a white man. And people didn't even disagree with me. It wasn't even like I said something people didn't disagree with. Once they actually heard what it was in context nobody disagreed. I've never heard a single person disagree with it but I was canceled worldwide. Now here's what you need to know. Every one of those who canceled me was a white guy. All of them. They were all white guys protecting their own asses because they knew they were in that position where there should have been more diversity in their own job. But as long as they could force people like me who had less power than them to take the hit they can say look at all these good things we're doing. We're getting rid of all these white guys who say things you don't like. We're making sure that they can't be promoted. Give me an extra bonus because I've discriminated against white men.

So let me say it again. In my life I'm not aware of even one time any black American or any black person in any country ever discriminated against me. Not once. Not once have I been discriminated against by a black person. By white people yes a lot. A lot. And I hate their guts. So if you had a problem with me because you're black we have a lot more in common than you think. First of all you and I never had any problem ever. Not in person, not professionally, not in any way surprisingly. And I know this would be a surprise to you. I didn't lose any black friends. None. I only lost white friends. White people discriminating against white people is an enormous problem. And if you get it wrong and you imagine that it's the DEI hires that are the problem they don't even get those jobs. They don't even get there until there's already been massive discrimination by the white people. So is the police chief in LA you know who's a lesbian and I guess three of the top people in the fire department are lesbians, is that an indication that she's discriminating against white men? Well she probably is but you also have to open the possibility that people tend to hire people that they know. You know that's just a worldwide pattern. You know the white CEO is far more likely to hire just somebody they knew from another job. So that's probably pretty common anyway. So I'm not in favor of any of the DEI but just keep it straight. It's white people discriminated against white people is 95 percent of the problem. 95 percent. But I love black Americans. I hate powerful white Americans who discriminated against me.

Pete Hegseth nomination. I didn't watch every bit of it but I saw a lot of clips and I'm going to say my God I have to admit that when Pete Hegseth was nominated I said to myself what TV host? He's not even the top rated TV host. Like what? Why does that even make sense? Now didn't some of you have that same reaction when it was first announced? But then I found out more. I didn't know the degree of his activism on behalf of the military, the soldiers. Very impressive. I believe he signed up for twice right? He was out of the military briefly and decided to go back in right? That's impressive. He is completely dedicated to what he calls the warrior ethos instead of the DEI you know trying to be nice to everybody ethos. He has got an Ivy League education so he understands the military, the people on the ground. He's brilliant because he's got that college education pretty much certifies he's smarter than the average person by a lot. And then I heard him talk. Wow. When they say he's just a TV host that's what the critics are saying. How about he has one of the best talent stacks I've ever seen. Because if you include his immersion in the news you know as a news person you had his talent for speaking in public you had his Ivy League background you had his really super relevant military experience and recently. That's like one of the strongest talent stacks I've ever seen.

But if you haven't seen yet the meme there's a meme I would show it to you but you'll see it all over the place of Hegseth with his head is in the middle of the meme and he's just sort of looking around just casually and then there's four boxes of four of the female senators who are literally yelling at him and they all play at once while Pete is just sort of in the middle and then you hear all four of them talking over each other and their faces like rabid dogs except it's like your worst relationship experience if you've ever been male. Now I know you're going to say Scott you're being sexist because you could have put a bunch of men in that and it would have looked the same. No it wouldn't. No it wouldn't. It wouldn't look the same if you put a bunch of men there. It would look you know maybe some of them are asking crazy questions but it wouldn't be the same. Wouldn't be the same. So as memes go as soon as I saw it I thought to myself this might be one of the best I've ever seen. Because you have to know also that the context was that Pete had I think before he was nominated he said things about women in combat like him not being in favor. So the women were attacking mostly about that and some accusations about his personal life that had been debunked. But watching him answer the questions so confidently and so clearly and so perfectly state what he wanted to do which is increase the lethality of it and to focus on that and do the job of the military not all the side stuff. So well said, so well presented, so confident. Wow wow.

Now I know that I will be blamed for being all in on Trump stuff and this sounds like one of those times. I think this is just recognizing quality that's all it looks like to me. So if the Democrats ran somebody who could do what he did to basically weather this situation, give me a clear statement of exactly what he wants to do that matches exactly with what I want to do, well I would say good things about that Democrat. I promise you I would. I say good things about Fetterman when he's good. I say good things about AOC when her persuasion is right. I don't like most of the rest but I think I would compliment a Democrat in this situation. I just like this. It was totally good.

One of my favorite parts was Senator Reed asked him what does jag off mean. So JAG refers to the legal group of the military which branch is that? Just is that just the Air Force? I forget but it's legal term. So Senator I guess at some point Pete must have said something that used the phrase jag off like as an insult to the JAG people or something. And so he's asked in public what does jag off mean. Senator Reed asked that. Now think of all the ways that you could have answered that wrong. Pete just says everybody here knows what that means. Now that was the right answer. Everything else was the wrong answer. That was one of those situations where he clearly had not prepared for it like who would know that's coming. But to give that clean an answer that was a clean answer. When you've never heard that that shows that he's got a quick mind and he can read the room. So that was perfect. The people in the room knew what it meant but God I wish I knew what it meant so you know the rest of us will never know. Jag off. Any ideas? Maybe only the people in the room knew. You know too. Okay we all know. All right.

Scott Jennings did a post where he was talking about the nomination stuff for Pete and all the characters who were weighing in on it during the questioning. And Scott Jennings said they didn't lay a glove on Hegseth today. Why do Dems send their dumbest members to do this to this important committee? Now my new nickname for Scott Jennings is Clown Slayer because his specialty besides just being the best voice on the Republican side who's on CNN is that he seems to just slay clowns like the Democrats who just shouldn't even be in the conversation. And again not because they're Democrats they are just legitimately stupid. Now are there some legitimately stupid Republicans? I assume so but I don't feel like they go I don't feel like they're in front of the parade. When you hear a Republican talking it's like oh Tom Cotton right even if you disagree brilliant guy. Oh Rand Paul. Oh well you might disagree with a few things but brilliant guy. You know Thomas Massie. Oh might disagree brilliant guy. And you know you can go that in the line. But the Democrats do seem to send their stupidest people according to Scott Jennings. But now I don't usually disagree with Scott Jennings so this might be the only time I ever do. I'm not sure that's their stupidest people. I got bad news for you. It might be their smartest. It might be. I mean you tell me which one's the smart one. Yeah you tell me. Yeah not much difference.

And then Tim Kaine was prominent but Tim Kaine looked like the pointy haired boss from Dilbert except more gay. So he looked like the gay pointy haired boss. Now as far as I know he identifies as hetero but presents as a pointy haired gay guy. So that was fun. I couldn't get my eyes off it. So and again if you know me well enough you know that I never insult the LGBTQ community because I think they're amazing. The success they've had in the United States reputationally, economically, socially is just one of the most impressive things I've ever seen.

Meanwhile over in South Korea I was trying to ignore this because I thought the story would go away but the ex-president the one who was removed by impeachment his name is Yoon Suk-yeol. Now you might not recognize that as a South Korean president name but you might be confused because it's also how a southern man in the United States insults somebody. Same thing. What you don't see it right? So in Korea he would be called Yoon Suk-yeol and if it were an insult from a southern gentleman it would be you suck y'all. You suck y'all as opposed to you suck y'all. Same thing anyway. He had been impeached and they wanted to arrest him but he used his own government security to prevent him from being arrested. So he went into his little very well protected compound and when they sent authorities to arrest him his own security which is paid by the government said nope we protect him until that job changes. You're not arresting anybody. Which I really respected. Now they came back with 1,100 people so then the security force was so outnumbered that quite reasonably they knew that the smart thing to do was to stand down and they did. So he's arrested. He was a conservative. He was arrested by something more liberal on the left. There's some insurrection charges. Does any of this sound familiar to you? Huh? Impeached. Insurrection. He's the conservative. Sound familiar? Do you think we were behind this? Do you think the United States may have backed this? I don't know. I do not know but I certainly suspect it.

All right there's a little bit more in the Palisades fire. I know you're all tired of it and if you're not a Californian this may not be too important to you but I remind you that California's economy is bigger than 35 of the other states put together. And if California gets a cold or what is it if California sneezes the whole country is going to get a cold. So if you think this doesn't affect you just wait it will. It's going to affect you. I mean it affects everybody in California whether you're in the fire zone or not. So we're all you know there's a lot you haven't heard about but we're all struggling. So things are not easy right now for anybody and that includes people who have some extra resources. Everybody's in a position they haven't been in before. So the amount of pressure on everybody is through the roof and I don't know if you can fully appreciate that unless you've been near one of these yourself. But here are some of the things we're learning now that should bother you. According to Rich McHugh from NewsNation there is video proof that there was no response from the fire department to the Pacific Palisades fire 45 minutes after it was first reported. Now I think that they can tell that by some video security from one of the houses that was near the fire and may have been involved in reporting it. So I don't know if that's confirmed because I've heard other stories that the fire department did as well as you'd expect but that's out there. So I'm going to call that an allegation because I'll bet you if you ask the fire department they'd say something different. So until I hear the other story I'll just put a pin on that one but there is some concern that they didn't mobilize in time.

Michael Shellenberger talks about some of the failures and he had a good list that I'll summarize for you. First of all here's a take from Joel Pollak and Breitbart. Joel and by the way you should be following Joel Pollak if you have any interest whatsoever in the fire because he's the only person the only one who is a local and a national reporter and is working full time to make sure that people understand what's going on. And so he's doing more than well. I don't want to get too much into the details but we're going to owe him a lot when he's done. We're going to owe him a lot. A lot of people are going to owe him a lot. So he says that in LA due to budget cuts that the fire department was not deployed. Wait do I have this wrong? This may have been Shellenberger too. So there's some thought from some of the smartest people who were watching that what should happen as soon as there's a long term weather forecast and I didn't know this by the way that what LA should have done and what would have been actually normal is as soon as they had the forecast that said wait a minute we're going to have no rain and we're going to have these winds and we know there are all kinds of ignition possibilities. So in that condition what you don't do is wait for a fire. Normally that's the fire department's job is to wait for a fire and respond. In this case you know there's a fire multiple so they can know with complete certainty there will be multiple gigantic fires. What did they do in advance? Well not enough. Here's what they should have done. They should have put a truck or two everywhere there was likely to be an ignition and they know from history what places are more likely so that they could have gotten really quickly at least with one truck to anything that just flared up. Now that's a big difference from what happened. So that didn't happen. Now why didn't it happen? Well one of the reasons is budget cuts. One of the reasons is a bunch of people got let go at some point because they didn't get vaccinated. A bunch of it is like a hundred trucks were in for repair probably also a budget thing. So between the budgets and the bad management they had completely eliminated their ability to do normal stuff. And normal in this case would have been to have enough trucks and people to pre-deploy. I think that's going to be the biggest thing.

There's reporting that the fire department did not know that the reservoir had been drained but the reservoir had been drained for nine years. If the fire department didn't know that their main source of water at least for that one area had disappeared after nine years it wasn't anybody. So I'm going to say I doubt the reporting that the fire department was not aware. It might be true that they were not officially informed but not aware a whole reservoir didn't have water and it was one of their main water sources for a place that certainly was going to catch on fire. It's not like it maybe will catch on fire. It was certainly. They didn't have anything in the air that noticed. There was no resident who pointed it out. I don't know. I'm not sure I believe that they didn't know.

Let's see what else. They should of course have water sources that were near the fires. They should have required more clearing of bushes and debris. I think that might have been a budget cut issue but the canyons were just filled with trees and debris. I don't know how much you can clean a canyon like can you really do that? Can you remove the fire debris sufficiently from a canyon that it makes that much difference? I'm going to say yes because the experts are saying so but I don't know if that's really that much of a thing.

The state or county could have spent 50 million and had a bunch of trucks maybe not the best ones they could have been used ones or lower end ones but they could be staged near the fire and that would make a big difference. The number of calls that the LA firefighters make in a year has tripled over the last 30 years while the staffing has declined by a third. So clearly they did not. Some of it is that the number of homeless has gone through the roof. Anyway a lot of this came I read this in PJ Media. Speaking of PJ Media they report that the beginnings of what might be a recall effort against Newsom and the mayor Bass. So I don't know if that's going to happen but they're about 17 yesterday when I checked. The Palisades fire was only 17 percent contained but seemed like the other fires were definitely getting under control but not that one. And there'll be new winds whipping things up so I don't know if anybody's going to get recalled. Some smart people say Gavin Newsom will come through fine just by blaming Karen Bass for everything and that might not be far off. You know honestly I don't think Newsom should keep his job for a variety of reasons but I don't know if this specifically was his fault. You know the fact that he said some things that you didn't like and acted like a clown I don't know if it made anything worse. But Karen Bass has some explaining to do.

One of the things Gavin's done or I don't know if this is state or this is local this might be local but you can't do price gouging because that's bad if you're price gouging but on the other hand it's kind of impossible for the displaced people to find any place to live unless new places become available that weren't available before. So in other words nobody's going to make anything available unless they already made it available. So if the economics and incentives were there before the fire to have a rental well maybe that's still there but if you want somebody to open up that in-law room that used to have Grandma but she died they weren't planning on renting. So if you want them to rent maybe they're going to charge more than the market rate because they're saying oh well I can help somebody and I wouldn't want to rent it but if somebody wants to pay a little more or even a lot more why would I stop them? So you've got the economics of a free market and the availability that is driven by economics fighting against the we don't want to have price gouging and those two compete. You kind of have to pick one. I think the smart economics in this particular case is to let the price gouging happen and let competition erase it. So imagine if you will that somebody says hey the rent here is double because you have so few options. What's that going to do to your neighbor? Your neighbor is going to say how much did you get? They paid that much rent? Whoa I'll try it too. Now you've got competition. Then the next person who says well I'll try it too they can't get a renter unless they lower the price so they're competing with the other rentals. So competition should make a temporary spike in rents that is completely unconscionable you know like people just actually just abusing the people who have already been abused by the fire itself. That will definitely happen in a free market but it's also the only way you get real places that are available and everybody's happy with the price. There's no other way to get there. The government can't get you there. So it's a tough choice and one understands the impulse to limit gouging but it's worse than you think.

So if you were to look at the price of a house in LA let's say you own a house and you wanted to say oh I was thinking of moving and maybe I can rent out my house I'm leaving behind. If you buy a house in California three bedroom house down there in LA in that zip code 90402 would be about 2.85 million which means that if you bought it you'd be paying 20,000 a month on your mortgage. What do you think you could charge in rent in that three bedroom house? Do you think you can get enough to pay your 20,000 a month mortgage? Nope. I think the rental will be I'm just guessing 6,000 a month. So there's no economic way. The economics just don't work. So unless something was already rental and has been for a long time or you've owned your house and you paid off the mortgage and you don't want to sell it it doesn't work to rent. I remember when people used to say Scott you've got a little extra money why don't you buy some property and turn them into rentals to which I say that's not a thing. There's nothing I could buy that wouldn't be more expensive for me to own than compared to what I could get. The only special cases you can do that where there's some weird thing that got you a deal or you've already paid it off or something.

Meanwhile over on CNN somebody named Aisha Mills, Democrat strategy strategist. She's a black woman which is important to the story and I think she was complaining about Trump once saying that there were a lot of bad genes among the migrants. Now if you know how language works and you interpret Trump correctly a lot of bad genes means there are a lot of criminals and if their genes are bad as opposed to society is giving them a bad start then there's nothing you can do about it and the only thing you should do to keep out people with bad genes, criminals, is to not let them in in the first place. So that's how I take it. But apparently Aisha and some of the Democrats have taken that as racism. Oh are you saying that everybody who comes across the border has bad genes? No he didn't say that. Oh you're saying that on average they have worse genes than white people? No he did not say that. What he said was a lot of bad genes. A lot is not all of them. A lot is too many. How many people who are just going to be committing crimes you know in America we already have people who do like all the crimes right? Some tiny amount of people do all the crimes. Do you think that they're genetically the same as the people who are the same demographic as them? I don't think so. You show me the black guy who's got like 25 convictions and then compare them to your black friend in the cubicle next to you. Do they have the same genes? No they have different genes. Whatever is causing the 25 crimes in a row situation is not what's happening to Bob in the cubicle next to you. So to imagine that that's a statement about the demographic group it's just weird. Like who would take it that way? You'd have to aggressively want to interpret it wrong to get to all the ways she got. But anyway so during that conversation there was a bald white guy whose name I can't remember but he does a pretty good job of supporting the Trump side of things and she said to him on the air quote I'm not going to be lectured by some white man who has no idea what he's talking about. Now suppose a white man said that about her. Let's just reverse it because both of the characters on CNN are presumably very successful professionals you know they've got high end jobs like really high end. So we can treat them as not like one is the oppressor and one's the victim. They're both in a good shape compared to the average person in society. Do you think that if the man she'd been talking to, a white man, had said I'm not going to be lectured by some black woman who has no idea what she's talking about how long would that guy last as a guest on that show? That would be the end of it. They probably would just go to commercial and say all right you're not invited back and I think the host would say you're never coming back we don't do that here. She should have said the same thing the other way. We don't do that here. Yeah don't do that. Now even if that's the only thing that happened I'd be totally happy. What was the host? The host was Erin I'm forgetting your last name but man you know I didn't see what happened after but if she didn't say we have some standards that's beyond our standard if you want to be invited back that's not working. That's all I wanted. I just wanted a little bit of push back. I'm not asking for jail. I'm not even asking that she'd not be invited back. I just need that just a recognition that that's not acceptable anyway.

Guess Pfizer has this lawsuit coming against them for anti-white discrimination. Greg Piper is writing about that in Just the News and there was some challenge to that and that got passed so that lawsuit will go forward. So Pfizer going to have a little bit more to worry about.

Over at MSNBC the head of the network Rashida Jones is stepping down. Now that's a weird phrase isn't it stepping down? What does that sound like stepping down? Isn't she moving sideways because she said she's got other you know she wants to work on other stuff so why is that down? Maybe the other stuff is better. Isn't that up? Anyway it was a weird choice of words. But she's being replaced at least temporarily with of course I checked a white woman and I said to myself hmm replaced with a white woman. Now I don't see an indication that the white woman is a lesbian and so is that diverse enough for MSNBC? You know women are good they like women but I think they like women who you know if you're going to be in prime time you got to be a little extra. A woman and black a woman and gay you know lesbian. So I don't know it was a white woman and so I was first thinking I don't know I don't think they've nailed that because it's a white woman and she just doesn't seem entirely on brand. But then I saw what eyeglasses she was wearing and then I understood. Let me explain it to you without showing you the glasses. You know if somebody walks around the corner you make an instant judgment. If somebody walks around the corner with glasses like mine I'm hoping they say oh there's a guy with glasses and that's it right? But I'm just going to tell you what would happen if the new head of MSNBC which again might be temporary if you saw her coming around the corner you would instantly see her glasses the type and style and you would say to yourself oh God. So if you haven't looked her up yet do this and have a good laugh. Just go look at what glasses she's wearing and then ask yourself what you would do if she walked around the corner in any context any context. She walks around the corner and you look at her and you go just the glasses. Oh God. Check it out you'll think it's funny anyway.

Hamas says they reached a deal with Israel to release a third of the hostages. There's some people who say that didn't happen. I don't know maybe. But I'm wondering if Israel has figured out the ultimate prisoner exchange. So as I understand it Israel typically will give up lots of people for every one person that they get in return. So it might be 50 to 1, 10 to 1. So there are going to be a whole bunch of people that Israel thinks belong in jail that would be returned. And my first impression was how's that right? I mean you can all those down you know it seems like you're just making it worse. There's the picture. But I wonder if Israel is so clever that they're going to return all the hostages to the war zone so they can kill them more effectively later. So it'd be better to kill them than to keep them in jail. So it feels like they're going to get their prisoners back and take them to a safe place but the ones that they wanted to keep in prison are probably the ones who want to go back to the war zone which is probably exactly where Israel wants them to be so they can kill them. I feel like Israel just found a way to kill their prisoners. They just have to do it indirectly. Stage one we'll release them. Stage two we'll put them back in Gaza where they want to go. Stage three goodbye.

All right I'm going to close with I'm going to throw in a bad idea okay. Now the way I do this is that the bad idea the purpose of it is to make you think of a better idea. So this is to make you think differently. It's not that I necessarily think this is a good idea because there may be some hidden problems etc. And here what it's an idea for DOGE. So right now people pay six and a half percent on their salary to Social Security. So my idea is to make that go away. That goes to zero. So everybody who has a salary gets this instant 6.5 percent raise which is more than 6.5 percent because well 6.5 percent raise. So that would give everybody some extra cash so they would be able to spend a little bit more. But how do you fund retirement? Well here's the bad idea right. Remember I'm calling it a bad idea but I don't know why so you'll tell me why it's bad because I'm pretty sure it's bad. But if you look at the total value of the Fortune 500 you know the total capitalization its value if you added up all the stock basically it'd be over 50 trillion. If you were to say we've got to cover 1.3 trillion in Social Security payments at the moment and growing how much of that stock would you have to effectively tax to pay for it? So imagine if instead of anybody paying anything that for several years that you know maybe up to 10, 5 to 10 years suppose that we keep the old system in place where we'll while we're building up a new system and the new system would look like this. Once a year every company in the Fortune 500 has to print some new stock which would dilute their existing shareholders a little bit and 2.5 percent of their capital value would go to a fund that would be for everybody's retirement.

Now what you're saying is Scott you're just taking a tax away from the citizens and their paychecks and you're just giving it to their employers so you know doesn't it end up the same? No I'm not giving it to their employers. I'm taxing the stockholders and if you own a lot of stock in the Fortune 500 nobody feels sorry for you. So it's automatically a progressive tax. The people who own the most assets would be hit the hardest but since the stock market goes up 8 percent a year or more you know it sort of still is okay. Now you ask yourself but Scott people nobody's going to invest in the Fortune 500 which is the biggest investment vehicle right now because you're degrading the return to which I say no the Fortune 500 is 25 percent better than all the alternatives. All it does is make them equal and if you wanted to do what's easy and safe you'd buy that you know which is what I do. I have most of my money is in the Fortune 500. So on one hand it's a transfer of a dollar for a dollar from one part of society to another. So it's from the people who need to buy things to the people who add extra money and put it in the stock market. So the first thing is the people who are the employees have extra money so they spend more. Who is the main beneficiary of employees having more money to spend? It's the Fortune 500. So the Fortune 500 could potentially put 2.5 percent well dilute its value to add some stock and it'd be 2.5 percent pay it every year but the economy would be so juiced that their profits would probably go up 2.5 percent you know or something compensating amount. So if you tax the people who don't have money the result is people spend less. That's bad for the Fortune 500. If you let them spend more they're happier because they're buying stuff they need and the 500 has a massive amount 1 trillion extra spending that just didn't exist. So my question is is that better? Because from the government's perspective there would be kind of out of the business of Social Security. They might be still managing the payments and stuff like that and policing it but it wouldn't be part of the budget so it wouldn't be something you paid and it wouldn't be something that the government took from your salary and gave to the retirement. Now it would have to be adjusted for the fact that there are more retirees and everything else but my main question is this. If you look at all the pluses and minuses it's the same amount of money that goes to the retirees but since the stock you collect would especially if you built up 5 to 10 years of these collections the stock you collect would go up on its own and you're not giving it out the same day that you're getting it with so you would have the possibility that if you collected a few trillion the several trillion could sit there gaining just as things gain and then you're basically keeping up with inflation and better.

So I do not claim that I've thought of everything and these are all good ideas. This is more of a buy Greenland idea. So you see what I'm doing. This is a buy Greenland. This is the external Revenue Service. It's the same persuasion. First I'm going to make you think well maybe it's a thing and then you'll say what are the pluses and the minuses and then we'll have a productive conversation. Eventually smarter people will get involved a lot smarter than me and then they'll decide if that's good or bad. But you're not going to have that conversation and it won't remind you of a better one unless you first say huh I wonder if that's a thing. Is that a thing? And it could be that you know it turns into some hybrid where you get stuck sometimes instead of payments maybe you can opt in that sort of thing. Who knows. But first just imagine that it's a thing that you could get rid of the Social Security tax and you might do something that's some kind of an equivalent with the Fortune 500.

Oh here's the part I forgot to tell you that's actually very important. Do you know why companies like to get into Fortune 500? It's because their stock goes up. Once you're in the 500 you have an enduring systemic advantage over everybody who's not in the top 500 because the big funds all buy the top 500. So the moment your stock goes into it every stock index fund buys that and your price goes up in theory. So why does the 500 and first company get none of that benefit? Is that fair? So taxing the Fortune 500 you're basically taking from them only the unfair advantage they get by being in the top 500. So do Democrats hate that? No we all kind of hate that the elites have special privileges we don't. Being in the top 500 is a special privilege for a company. It's not like other things. So if the only thing you're doing is modifying this special privilege so it's a little closer to other companies that doesn't feel unfair. And especially since the Fortune 500 gets the most benefit from anything that juices the economy in a legitimate way. So it's a surprisingly robust idea isn't it? I don't think I've got the math right and I've probably forgotten some things but the funny part is it's not instantly rejectable. Doesn't mean it's good. I would be very surprised if it's a clean good idea but I added it to the mix trying to be helpful.

Now I remind you one of the superpowers I claim to hold is resistance to embarrassment. So do you think I would bring this up unless I had almost complete resistance to embarrassment? Nope nope. Because I'm probably five minutes away from somebody saying ah you idiot you forgot X and then I'm going to say oh man you're right I totally forgot X. Will I be embarrassed? Not even a little. So I can add this to the collective thinking with the thinking that you know maybe it sparks somebody's better idea. You know maybe it just makes it look possible and I don't worry about the embarrassment. That's just free. There's no risk to me. So learn to be not embarrassed and you will be much better value to the people around you.

That's all I got for you today. I'm going to say hi to the locals people privately in 30 seconds. The rest of you I'll see you tomorrow and enjoy your day.

well there you are soon as I print my notes off and get your comments working we're going to have quite the show you're going to be so happy about it I've even got stuff plugged in look at me being prepared good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called coffee with Scott Adams because that's what it is and it's the best thing you'll ever experience in your entire life unless unless you join us for the simultaneous Sip and all you need for that is a cuper glass of tank your chice sign a canteen Jugger flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparallel pleasure of the dopamine h of the day the thing that makes everything better except fires it's called the simultaneous Sip and happens now go I am now hydrated enough to get through the entire show so let's get going so I've got a friend who on almost every other contact tries to tell me uh that he's he's figured out something that Elon Musk is doing that's dumb and I say you know he's got five of the most important businesses in the world he's solving problems he's going to Mars I don't know if he's really dumb I I feel like maybe he doesn't have you know the the mental problems you think now my friend is has a net worth of zero and I don't want to say you know you have a net worth of zero and you're giving advice to the richest man in the world and none of it looked like luck to me it looked like skill so maybe you should take that into consideration that he might know a little bit more than you and then today I saw a post by Elon Musk and I thought hm I'm going to have to go in there and correct his thinking apparently I'm just I'm just an idiot so do do you know how absurd it is to say h Elon Musk has an opinion but I'm so much smarter watch me fix it for him but that's what I'm going to do but only because it's a very special case I wouldn't do I wouldn't do this about engineering or business or or most things so it's a very special case here's the situation uh Dr.

Peter diamandis on X he had a post in which he let off by saying sugar is poison and then you know he did a thread on here's why sugar is poison now I didn't make that up that's the title of a book and you're all aware that I often say alcohol is poison now Elon Musk we in on the statement that sugar is poison and he said um no Cyanide and arsenic are poisons whereas sugar is edible you don't see a pile of bodies outside a candy store LMO and then Elon said that said sugar should only be eaten occasionally and in small quantities now he's not technically wrong right it it's sugar is not actually a poison like literally it's not um and sugar is edible and if you were going to eat it small amount would be you know not the worst thing that ever happened to you but uh being the being the reframe guy I I couldn't let it stand so I don't know what the comments are going to be but I weighed in and I said uh reframes need not be literal most of the good ones are not literal and then I noted I wrote the book on that reframe your brain a reframe is a brain hack it gives you the ability to make better decisions without changing the data so it's just a trick it's not supposed to be literal and in fact being literal doesn't help it a bit there there's no advantage to being literal you you want it to work you don't want it to be accurate um so I pointed out that uh if the goal is to minimize but not eliminate sugar calling it a poise is a perfect reframe and but then I had to uh acknowledge because I think I learned something in this exchange why would Elon Musk clearly and unambiguously one of the smartest people in you know all of our experiences not understand a simple reframe is not meant to be literal how's that possible well um I don't know the exact answer but I I ended with this state I said I acknowledge that departing from the literal doesn't work for every brain now this this should not be taken as any kind of an insult to anybody uh I've made this mistake before which is if I mention somebody's on the Spectrum if I say anything like that publicly people say whoa whoa whoa who are you insulting to which I say insult where was the insult well you just said Somebody's on the Spectrum to which I say right but but what's the insult isn't that like saying somebody's tall somebody's somebody's black somebody's white somebody's male some it's just who you are so I don't put judgment on being in the Spectrum you know if you if you took away the inventions and the benefit that has been brought to the World by people who are technically on the Spectrum and I think Elon includes himself you know he's he's self-identified as you know being on the spectr I'm not 100% sure it's true but when I see this kind of an opinion where he's favoring the literal over the over the reframe that doesn't need to be literal I think wow that this might be one of the cases where drawing this distinction between a reframe would work for the regular public but here's what I learned I just learned it doesn't work if you're on the Spectrum which actually makes sense right so being on the Spectrum would make you a little more literal and maybe you just couldn't embrace the imaginary part of the reframe so I learn something anyway uh looks like there might be coming a ban on Chinese connected car software ARS techn is talking about that I guess that's uh the Congress is working on that there might be some exemptions but it would block um Americans from having cars with Chinese software now I don't know what the real potential risk is for having a let's call China an adversary um having them have control over some number of cars in America but how many cars do you think are on the road at any one time in America it's a big number right would it be five or 10 million at any moment during the day I don't know what the number is but it's got to be millions and suppose we become a self-driving car seems inevitable might be only a few years away what would happen if an enemy just got a hold of a million cars and just and just drove them into ditches it is a weapon of mass destruction potentially to have a million cars drive off the road at the same time so yeah I'm in favor of banning the Chinese software um even if there's no indication there's something wrong with it there will be there will be uh meanwhile over at interesting engineering there's a pine cone inspired building Shades so they studied pine cones that apparently I guess the little uh whatever you call it the the what what would you call the little leaves or whatever the on the pine cone it's probably a word for that um but apparently they move based on the Sun so they wanted to find some way that you can make your windows and your building uh open up and close based on sun and without using electricity so oh we call them needles I don't know I'm not sure if that's right but uh they do it without electricity so that's the important part the sun directly causes the pine cone like parts to open now my take on this is doesn't your window look like a pine cone do you do you ever want your window to look like a pine cone I don't know I'm not sure this has potential meanwhile there's a uh the Tic Tac Tick Tock ban as far as I know it's going to go into effect on Sunday unless something miraculous happens between now and then can you give me a fact check on that is that correct that Tik Tok is going to be done in the United States it'll still be International but is it going to be done in the United States because I feel like there might be another thing coming you know there were some reports that Elon Musk was talking to China I don't think that's true that was never confirmed so I don't think that was ever true but do you think anybody could put together a purchase deal in a few days you know I suppose they could if they felt the price was right but I don't see any possibility that Tik tok's going to say yes even if the price is right so I don't know exactly what would be purchased if somebody purchased Tik Tock but it makes me wonder if China is willing to give up billions and billions and billions of dollars they must be hiding something in other words if if somehow we got control of their software and their algorithms would we be able to determine how much they've been putting a finger on the algorithms would we be able to know that just by buying it looking at whatever they sold this it could be that they're worried that they don't have a way to scrub that because you know how when uh musk uh bought Twitter there were so many little censoring tags in it that that even the owner couldn't tell what it was censoring like it was just too complicated so what if China said get rid of all the get rid of all the incriminating stuff and then maybe we can sell it and then Tik Tok would have said uh we could try but we probably wouldn't get close to knowing that we had all the incriminating stuff out of the software because it's not that easy and then China might say uh you can't sell that thing because if they find out what we've been doing there will be repercussions so this is speculation but I Su I suspect that uh Tik Tok would be sellable unless they're hiding something and they don't know how to unhide it or they don't know how to hide it completely I guess anyway um if you're saying to yourself hey but Trump liked Tik Tock so he won't like it if it goes away I remind you he's not going to be running again and I would be really surprised if the Republicans ever fed another candidate who can rule Tick Tock you know that you know that being able to control and even dominate the mess meing on Tik Tok that's purely a trump thing you all know that right so anything you say about well you know Trump trump did well on Tik Tok so why would you ban it that's just Trump that do you think disantis is going to light up Tik Tok here if Tik Tok still existed no no he's not that's purely Trump so the Republicans aren't going to care if it goes away will see some of you may remember how many of you remember that back in 2018 2019 uh I announced to you that I was going to try to put Tik Tock out a business do you remember that and you said to yourself well I mean that's that's not a thing and then I kept saying it's a thing do you know what the first part of persuasion is the first part of persuasion is you have to think it's a thing if you don't think it's a thing everything else you say after that doesn't matter you're like blah blah blah blah blah but as soon as you think it's a thing then you can start looking at the pros and the cons so I decided a few years ago I'm going to make sure everyone knows it's a thing and I got to Senators I I got to a lot of senators a lot of people in the house just because they're natural viewers some of them I contacted personally you know ones that I could DM and in some cases I know for sure they heard the message got it completely and uh even responded so I certainly was not pushing it for the last you know year or so because it looked like it was just becoming an Israel issue so I think Israel killed it because they didn't like they didn't like that it was persuading against them now I don't know if that'll ever be official or I don't know if history will record that Israel killed Tik Tock in America but but I'm pretty sure that's the case now normally I would have said hey Israel another country even our Ally you can't you can't turn off a free speech platform in our country stop that but since I'm completely on the same page I just sort of step back now do you remember when uh Trump first mentioned buying Greenland and your first reaction was come on you know why because you did not believe it could be a thing that was step one Trump first told you it's a thing and then you would argue whether it's dumb or he's kidding or it's a joke but when you were done you would think it's a thing and therefore you can talk about the pros and cons and it turns out there were a lot of Pros a lot of pros and the cons none you know depending on the nature of the deal maybe none they they won't necessarily be voting could be a territory there might be a price that makes sense it might work for Denmark it might work for Greenland but nothing would have happened nothing until Trump told us it's a thing so when I said Banning Tik Tock is a thing I got no traction on day one I think I had zero people agreeing with me on day one eventually I hammered it and hammered it until you might disagree you might agree but you definitely knew it was a thing and on Sunday we might find out if it's the thing all right uh the SEC is suing yon muss because they have nothing else better to do but uh I don't know if this one is legit it might be this one might be legit and it's just a money thing so you know if you had to pay some money I could see that happening but he's being sued because when he first bought the first shares of Twitter it was above I guess it was above some number where you're supposed to announce your your purchase and it was late I guess late in registering that he' done it and there's some argument that because he didn't say it um then then he said just because uh you know he didn't say it that somehow other people lost money because they didn't know they did it maybe you know I I could see that argument I just I just wonder if this would have been pressed against everybody because it seems like it' be easy it would be easy to demonstrate this is the day you bought the stock this is the rule this is when he you know when he admitted he bought it it's after the rule yeah $175 million write us a check so it it's just it might be valid you know you you might say to yourself yeah that would have happened to anybody I don't know um I watched the segment with Michael shellenberger on Tucker's show Tucker Carlson and there was a little discussion on uaps I did notice that Tucker sort of took over that conversation and I never really got to hear what Michael shellenberger thought was happening so shellenberger brought up a few of the hypothesis but I don't think he landed on you know what his opinion was and part of it is because when Tucker started talking about it I think that just took the conversation in such a a direction that I don't know if Michael thought that was the right time to give his own opinion on it because I'm sure he has one but here's what Tucker said about the the UAP is quote they're not from Mars they're not from another planet they're from here they've always been here these are spiritual entities it's clear that these things reside deep in the earth under the water and in the atmosphere and then he pointed out that Elon Musk and he'd had personal conversations with musk Tucker had um didn't think that there was anything coming from space now Tucker said and I don't know if this is just Tucker or Elon said this as well and I'm not sure it's true he said that uh we'd pick up on satellites anything entering the atmosphere do you think that's true I don't if you look at the quality of any of these systems in the United States that you thought were good none of them are good you you if you would asked me a month ago Scott what do you think is one of the you know best fire departments in the world I would have said well you know obviously LA because they would need it and they would have the money and you know the enough of population to get whatever they needed so yeah the best Fire Department in the world probably BL well not so much so when I hear things like well our Advanced satellites would pick up any UFOs coming through our completely impenetrable digital network of surveillance I say to myself or not yeah or not maybe um so I don't know if that's a good reason but Trump said about the uaps uh um I'm going to give you a report on drones uh at least we don't know if the drones are really the same as the uaps but the drones over New Jersey I think he's talking about uh we'll give it in one day into the administration he told the governor somewhere because I think it's ridiculous that they're not telling you about what is going on with the drones I'm going to make a prediction he's not going to tell us what's going on with the drones and if he does you're can feel that it's incomplete like really does that explain all the drones or did that explain some of the drones or maybe a lot of the drones so if you think that Trump's going to get in there and then answer that question to your satisfaction I don't think there's any chance of that I do think he means it I do think he is telling the truth that he's going to try to do that I do think he'll will try but no matter what he says you're going to say how do we know he wasn't told he has to leave something out how do we know that when he hears the real reason he says oh man I really wasn't expecting that so yeah I guess I'll just say they're hobbyists and I'll leave out the rest maybe so I'm betting you will not be satisfied with whatever comes out of that uh there's an army Green Beret who's now making some claims on social media I guess according to the Daily Mail he was led into this secret UFO UFO crash storage at an underground Naval base and he went through all the all the places and they showed him the advanced alien technology there was an orb that seemed to be operated by Consciousness alone and there was some kind of thing you put on your arm and it was magic but here's the part that completely made the whole story fall apart I mean if it didn't already uh apparently he saw a door that was labeled and I quote offworld technology uh and I'm out and I'm out no there is no place in the world where somebody has a door labeled offworld technology cuz even if even if you you accepted that there is such a thing as off-world technology and even if you accepted that nobody should be in that part of the the building unless they had you know full clearance and ability to know even then you're not going to put on the door off world technology that's just not going to happen in any real world so no sorry army green beret that that doesn't pass the initial sniff test speaking of sniff test Alex Jones had a kind of an exclusive I think he he has a from a descendant see if I get this right so it was maybe the grandson or so of somebody who was a confidant U and a very rich guy confident of LBJ so the first part of the story is that LBJ was just a flat out criminal and he ran the government through um blackmail through I guess J G Hoover so it what according to this telling um so Alex Jones and his guest um it's welln well documented apparently there are books written in which LBJ was just flat out criminal some say he was also a murderer some say he ordered the hit on uh JFK because he was so uh humiliated by the way he was being treated now there is seems to be good evidence that he was humiliated so the part is did he really order well the evidence is according to the grandson he found some he'd had him for a long time he didn't just find him but for a long time he had had the tapes left to him you know in the Estates or the wills or something so he had these little tapes and he finally had them you know uh converted so we could listen Len to him whatever that took and then those tapes were played and it showed I I believe it was either you know his own relative talking to another close Confidant and it seemed to be a phone call in which they were talking casually but in a worried way just sort of matter of factly the LBJ had ordered the hit on Kennedy and it's just like right there playing his day now um Alex Jones says that the source is impeccable so he vouches for the the the human being who had the tape he knows that that person was in fact a relative is in fact a relative of a real person who genuinely was you know lbj's Confidant and apparently participated in some shady stuff um he he's checked to make sure that the a that the audio was not AI generated so he feels that he has a positive source the the recording didn't just pop up today it's something that the source that he trusts says he's had in his possession for a long time and that um it didn't seem fake fake in terms of it doesn't seem like something that that was not related to those two people it does look like the two people made the tape it's a real tape but then I listen to it I would like to give you my judgment it might be the real people just just like as claimed it might be exactly those two people it may have been made at exactly that time so I think the tape is real the people are real and the timing is real and they really said those things however I'm going to give you a little insight as a professional writer the hardest thing about being a professional writer when you write dialogue and I remind you that I write dialogue for characters every single day for 35 years there is a skill involved in writing dialogue the main part of the skill is avoiding looking like its scripted dialogue did you all know that the main thing that you want to avoid to be a good writer you know some one that people will pay attention to is your writing have has to just be clearly unscripted you know something that a real person would say if you listen to the tape as I did and you're a professional writer you will see right away it's scripted so it doesn't mean it's not true that that's a whole different conversation it could be that the principles wanted to get it on tape so that it would be you know believed or something in Future Days it might have been a protection thing maybe they were protecting their own lives by you having a tape that would be embarrassing to JFK or to LBJ so I do think everything about it was real except that it was in my opinion very obviously scripted so as a professional writer that was professionally scripted do you know do you want know what the tell is the tell is how perfect it was and how often they put the person's name in the middle of a sentence so you'd know that who was talking that that was a little over the top it so go like hello Saul I hope you're having a good day well thank you for that input Saul it's good that we have these I'm making that up but you can see how stilted it is here here's what our real people talk oh man I I got this thing what uh yeah I got a thing and then the other one talks over him then he asks a question and then you you you Circle it back and you you apologize for saying it wrong and you correct your words that's what real conversation looks like this was not that it was pretty far from natural conversation now I'd like a second opinion and remember I'm not doubting the veracity of the underlying claim I wouldn't know one way or the other I'm just saying it's scripted might be true but it would be scripted um if if there are other professional writers who write dialogue specifically I'd love to get an opinion on that uh SpaceX is going to launch two unmanned lunar missions so that I guess there are two Rovers and those Rovers will be going around on Mars not not Mars on the moon so Elon Musk is lo launching two probes into my moon ouch um so that's fun I I really like having a Rover on the moon I'm pretty much Rover fascinated I'll watch whatever that Rover does and takes takes pictures of um the December uh inflation was 2.9 they expected it to be 2.9 so the good news is it's not going up quickly but of course the the Baseline of our costs are all basically unaffordable so yeah unless it goes down it's not helping at all just staying where you expected it used to be good news not anymore uh while Trump has announced the formation of the what he calls the external Revenue Service so instead of collecting money for the government from internal citizens he's going to find ways to charge other companies or countries for stuff so it would include uh any money collected from tariffs which you might say uh that comes from American companies that's the opposite of external you would be right but if if it's part of the if it's part of the negotiations you where where we're going to use tariffs as a weapon using tariffs as a weapon is going to be a whole lot more convincing if we've got an entire department who's dedicated to using that weapon and and and collecting the money from it um so here's what I think is coming it has not been in any way explicitly announced but let me tell you what's inevitably coming we're going to have such a budget problem that Trump being Trump is going to do the smart thing that nobody's done before and it's basically a mafia play because we've got the biggest military and you say to the small countries that have have had a free ride because your military protects them basically it be be a shame if something happened to your little country well nothing's going to happen to us we're part of NATO and you know nobody would attack this Hemisphere and you know you don't have to worry you well that's only because we're protecting you right right right what if we stopped what what if we stopped protecting you why would you do that it's expensive but you're not actually sending any military here you're just saying that if something happened you would send military here so other countries will stay away from let's say South America and then Trump says right yeah that's that's the way it's been it's not the way it's going to be because if you want a little military protection in advance before you need it why would that be free when you pay for insurance you pay for it before the disaster you don't pay for it after the war starts that that's not when we're going to start billing you you pay now because you're buying an insurance plan so Trump appears to be setting the stage for the US military to be everybody's insurance plan which means that you would literally pay for it maybe even based on your population or something just like insurance now is that unethical or is it just a smarter way to organize a military well if you're another country let's say you're Costa Rico Costa Rica has no military unless unless they formed one recently I don't think so no military how hard would it be for a foreign power to take over a country with no military easy why is it they don't try because of the US military yeah do you think Costa Rica is paying us a annual payment for all that protection literally protecting the whole country no now I think is that fair no now you could argue that we're protecting them for our own benefit and that would be a good argument it's like oh it's bad for America if Costa Rica Falls to an adversary but it's also true we're protecting them and they're paying nothing or not enough so I I think this might have more legs than you think and once again Trump is doing that thing that he did with Greenland until he creates this department the external Revenue Service you don't really think it's a thing that they would charge other companies or other countries for protection but now you think it's a thing don't you you might hate it you might love it but guess what it's a thing it's a thing it Trump does this maybe better than anybody's ever done it which is making the thing that's not a thing a thing and then if the if the cost benefit in a purely objective sense make sense then the thing can go on on its own and and become a real thing but first you have to change the entire National Consciousness from that's not a thing to oh that's a thing now we can talk about it it's brilliant it the I hate to keep saying things like this cuz they sound so hyperbolic so so kissing his ass so you know hero worshipping I get how it sounds but I think history is going to back me on the following statement we've never seen anything like this this is a level of understanding understanding of how persuasion and and people think that is so unprecedented that there's nobody even cloaks I know you want to say oh Reagan was the great communicator yes very very good very A+ Reagan this is a whole different level So Reagan was A+ in junior college you know Trump's A+ at the India Institute of Technology which is way which is way more than you think it is all right special Council Jack Smith's report is indicating that Trump would have been convicted if not elected that's what everybody's saying uh is that news I think everybody knew that didn't everybody know that Trump would be Trump would go to jail if he wasn't elected we all knew that did it help him get elected I hope so so we live in a system where if things go wrong they can just laware somebody into jail and damn near did it the only thing that kept Trump on of jail is is an amazing campaign team his own abilities which are Transcendent and the fact that the public said that's a line too far I I think the public stopped that entirely I mean by their vote of course but there was also an implied threat wasn't there there was an implied threat that if half the country watched their leader be put in jail the entire social contract was going to be ripped up and I think enough people said that that was believable um I don't know if it would be but I but I think it could have been the entire social contract if you know what I mean uh meanwhile James o'keith and his OMG uh undercover uh video business they found an adviser to the Joint Chiefs of Staff so this is a somebody has a high level adviser a former FBI special agent and he called himself a Spy Hunter and and he went on one of these dates in which he talked too much fake dates so the undercover person went on the fake date and recorded him asked him what he thought about Trump and he said uh Trump's a sociopathic narcissist who was only interested in advancing his name his wealth and his Fame he's had a lifetime of cheating he's habitually addicted to lying about himself okay so the first thing you know is he's suffering from terminal TDS these are not the words of a person who's is working correctly are is it true that Trump uh tries to maximize his own gain like everybody like everybody what was there some politician who didn't like to see himself succeed which one was that even Bernie Sanders was trying to win the damn election so watching them try to get what's good for them the only thing that matters is was it also good for the country and what Trump is doing is also good for the country so there's no real difference between doing a great job for the country and doing a great job for yourself they're exactly the same you know and and the job is so transparent that you would literally have to do illegal things to get out of that model of what's good for the country ends up being good for you you have to be illegal for that not to be true and we're watching Pretty closely especially Trump so that's crazy but then it gets worse um he apparently was involved in back in Russia gate times he spent his time uh looking for all that foreign interference to explain how Trump got elected didn't find any so his TDs is Extreme couldn't even believe that Trump got elected unless there must have been for some foreign interference nope there was foreign interference it was against Trump uh the the minor little Russian memes didn't make any difference everybody smart knows that um and then the uh undercover reporter asked him if there's anything that he quote could do to protect the American people from stuff that Trump might try and he said quote I'm in conversation with a couple of retired generals to try to explore what we can do so here's a spook who's actually having conversations with retired generals we didn't get their names uh it looks like he's planning an Insurrection so it looks like they're not looking to respond to some specific thing Trump did but rather just take him out of office through some kind of you know undercover mechanism that involves generals and somebody who's a spy hunter now I assume he lost his job immediately but who knows so that's all we know about that so beware all the undercover people who think that they're doing what's good for the world I think this guy actually believed he was doing the right thing which is scary it's really scary if he thought that was the right thing all right the inauguration is coming up and uh it's been announced a number of entertainers but the interesting ones that are non obvious I mean uh Kid Rock is obvious but the the Village People said yes now I love that the Village People said yes not only because Trump you know Trump basically made them Rich because I'm pretty sure he popularized the song again I don't know 30 years or 40 years after it was an original and um since the public in general assumes that they're all gay and and that that's actually part of the fun you know the whole YMCA thing it's kind of a gay anthem but it's weird that they say no we're not gay but to the public it's the gayest group in the world but not in a bad way so the beauty of what Trump did was he wasn't mocking them he was accepting them exactly as they wanted to be accepted as really good music that we like to dance to and it's unusually fun because it breaks out of that hetero only you know way of being so you know even watching Trump enjoy the pleasure of breaking into of that hetero only you know you can't act like you're enjoying that music or something it's wonderful and uh they're they're paying him back or maybe paying themselves either way it works for me by uh taking the chance they're taking a chance on them I love that so good job Village People uh Carrie Underwood is performing that's the one that surprised me why in the world would a really wellestablished uh singing star want to associate with Trump if if she hasn't already uh because isn't that going to cut her future Revenue in half forever it might so both the V Village People and Carrie Underwood seem to be more of a indication that he that Trump has been at least a little bit established as okay to say you you support them now if you're getting the if you're getting the entertainment to people to say that you've really penetrated a whole new category because you already got the tech people saying whoa whoa whoa wait a minute the fine people hoax wasn't real so the the tech people have all caught on that that it was just this major brainwashing operation so once they found out it was all brainwashing they could see all the other brainwashing and then then their Vision cleared and then they just made the the rational choice but uh to get it into the entertainment world as deeply as Carrie Underwood is impressive so uh all respect to Carrie Underwood for taking what is clearly a risk but if she doesn't get as much push back as would end her career then I would say she's part of the solution if you're trying to unite the country you're going to need some people who go first and take the arrows in the back and this to me seems really brave for Carrie Underwood I'm very impressed I've seen her in concert by the way I've only I've only ever been to a few concerts in my whole life but maybe three concerts in my life but she was one of them it was a good show Michelle Obama is not coming to the inauguration but Barack is that would make two events in recent weeks that Rock went to and Michelle didn't where you would expect that normally she would the other was the cter funeral now unless she has a medical problem which I wouldn't rule out just maybe something she doesn't need to get into with the public it would suggests there's marital problems now there's I I I've heard the rumors I don't think there's direct evidence to support that and you never know what's going on in somebody's relationship but it's a little hard to understand weeks apart you know same thing it's it's sort of built into what you expect that they would do as a couple Brock and Michelle so I would say the possibility of either a medical situation that doesn't resolve very quickly which could be very bad and it might be just that um or there's something else going on and so there may be an early signal of that meanwhile Costco has uh responded to criticisms about his Dei programs by saying they're planning to keep them um so they like their Dei they have a Dei manager I guess and they're going to keep their Dei because it's worked for them they say at Costco Robbie Starbuck who's the activist who's had huge success getting companies to eliminate their Dei uh notes that Costco is not high on his list because it would be a hard one and it makes sense to do the ones you know you can get because it it creates momentum to get the hard ones later so so Starbuck is telling us yeah that's that's not on the top of the list right now get to that one later maybe but here's what I want to point out uh Costco is uh 72% of top Costco managers were men and 81% were white let let me remind you that I have been grossly discriminated in my life for my G gender and my race you you all know the stories I worked for a bank they said I couldn't be promoted because I was a white male I left I went to the phone company eventually they said you can't be promoted because you're a white male I created a TV show that uh lost its slot on Monday which ends up you know being a death it's sort of a death blow to a show to lose your time slot because I was a white male and I had a comic about a white guy and they decided it was going to be an all African-American comedy night and of course I lost my entire uh publishing and syndication career because I said something that you would only be punished for if you're a white man and people didn't even disagree with me it it wasn't even like I said something people didn't disagree with once they actually heard what it was in context nobody disagreed I've never heard a single person disagree with it but I was canceled worldwide now here's what you need to know every one of those who cancelled me was a white guy all of them they were all white guys protecting their own asses because they knew they were in that position where there should have been more diversity in their own job but as long as they could force people like me who had less power than them to take the hit they can say look at all these good things we're doing we're getting rid of all these white guys who say things you don't like we're we're making sure that they can't be promoted give me an extra bonus because I've discriminated against white men so let me say it again in my life I'm not aware of even one time any black American or any black person in any country ever discriminated against me not once not once have I been discriminated against by white people yes a lot a lot and I hate their guts so if you had a problem with me because you're black we have a lot more in common than you think first of all you and I never had any problem ever not in person not professionally not in any way surprisingly and I know this would be a surprise to you I didn't lose any black friends none I only lost white friends white people discrimina against white people is an enormous problem and if you get it wrong and you imagine that it's the Dei hire that that are the problem they don't even get those jobs they don't even get there until there's already been massive discrimination by the white people so is is the you know is the police chief uh in La you know who's a lesbian and I guess three of the top people in the fire department are lesbians is that an indication that she's discriminating against white men well she probably is but you also have to open the possibility that people tend to hire people that they know you know that's just a that's a worldwide pattern you know the white CEO is far more likely to hire just somebody they knew from another job so that's probably pretty pretty common anyway so I'm not in favor of it any of the Dei but just keep it straight it's white people discriminated against white people is 95% of the problem 95% but I love black Americans uh I hate powerful white Americans who discriminated against me um Pete Heth nomination I didn't watch every bit of it but I saw a lot of clips and I'm going to say my God I have to admit that when Pete Heth was nominated I said to myself what TV host he he's not even the like top rated TV host like what what why does that even make sense now didn't some of you have that same reaction when it was first announced but then I found out more I I didn't know the degree of his activism on behalf of the military the soldiers very impressive um I believe he signed up for twice right he was out of the military briefly and decided to go back in right uh that's impressive he is he's completely dedicated to the the what he calls the warrior ethos instead of the Dei you know trying to be nice to everybody ethos he has got an iv League education so he understands the military the people the people on the ground um he's brilliant because he's got that college education pretty much certifies he's smarter than the average person by a lot and then I heard him talk wow when they say he's just a TV host that's what the critics are saying uh how about he has one of the best talent Stacks I've ever seen because if you if you include you know his his immersion in the news you know as a news person you had his talent for speaking in public you had his ivy league background you had his really super relevant military experience and recently that's like one of the strongest Talon Stacks I've ever seen But if you haven't seen yet the meme there's a meme I I would show it to you but you'll see it on all over the place of heg Seth with his head is in the middle of the meme and he's just sort of looking you know looking around just casually and then there's four boxes of four of the female senators who are literally yelling at him and they all play at once while p is just sort of in the middle and then you you hear all four of them talking over each other and their faces like rabid dogs except it's it's like your worst you know your worst relationship experience if you've ever been male now I know you're gonna say Scott you're being sexist because you could have put a bunch of men in that and it would have looked the same no it wouldn't no it wouldn't it wouldn't look the same if you put a bunch of men there it would look you know maybe some of them are asking crazy questions but it wouldn't be the same wouldn't be the same so as memes go it's as soon as I saw it I thought to myself this might be one of the best I've ever seen because you have to know also that the context was that um Pete had I think before he was nominated he said things about women in combat like him not being in favor so the women were attacking mostly about the that and some accusations about his personal life that had been debunked but uh watching him um answer the questions so confidently and so clearly and so perfectly State what he wanted to do which is you know increase the The lethality of it and to focus on that and do the job of the military not not all the not all the side stuff so well said so well presented so confident wow wow now I know that I will be blamed for you know being all in on Trump stuff and this sounds like one of those times I think this is just just recognizing quality that's all it looks like to me so if the if the Democrats ran somebody who could do what he did to basically you know weather this situation give me a clear statement of exactly what he wants to do that matches exactly with with what I want to do well I would say good things about that Democrat I I I promise you I would right I say good things about Federman when he's good I say good things about AOC when when her persuasion is WR I don't like most of the rest but I think I would I would compliment a democrat in this situation I just like this game it was totally good uh one of the my favorite Parts was uh Senator Reed ask him what does jag off mean so Jag refers to the you know Jag and the military the the legal the legal group of the military uh which branch is that just is that just the Air Force I forget but it's legal term so so Senator I I guess at some point uh um Pete must have said something that used the phrase jag off like as a insult to the Jag people or something and so he's asked in public what does jag off mean Senator Reed asked that now think of all the ways that you could have answered that wrong Pete just says everybody here knows what that means now that was the right answer everything else was the wrong answer there's that was one of those situations where he clearly had not prepared for it like who would know that's coming but to give that that clean an answer that was a clean answer when you you've never heard that that shows that he's got a quick mind and he he can read the room so that was perfect the people in the room knew what it meant but uh God I wish I knew what it meant so you know the rest of us will never know jag off h any ideas maybe only the people in the room knew what you know too okay we all know all right uh Scott Jennings did a post where he was talking about the uh nomination stuff for pth and and all the characters who were weighing in on it uh during the questioning and uh Scott Jennings said they didn't lay a glove on Heth today why do dem send their dumbest members to do this to this important committee now my new nickname for Scott Jennings is clown Slayer because his specialty besides just you know being the best voice on the Republican side who's on CNN uh is that he seems to just slay clowns like the Democrats who just shouldn't even be in the conversation and and again not because they're Democrats they are just legitimately stupid now are there some legitimately stupid Republicans I assume so but I don't feel like they go I don't feel like they're in front of the the parade right when when you hear a republican talking it's like oh Tom Cotton right even if you disagree brilliant guy oh uh ran M ran Paul oh well you might disagree with a few things but brilliant guy you know Thomas Massie oh might disagree brilliant guy and you know you can go that in the line but the the Democrats do seem to send their stupidest people according to Scott Jennings but now I don't usually disagree with Scott Jennings so this might be the only time I ever do I'm not sure that's their stupidest people I got bad news for you it might be their smartest it might be I mean you tell me which one's the smart SM one yeah you tell me yeah not much difference and then Tim Kane uh was prominent but Tim Kane looked like a the pointy here boss from Dilbert except more gay so he looked like the gay pointy horde boss now as far as I know he's identifies as hro but uh presents as a pointy here at gay guy so that was fun I couldn't I couldn't get my eyes off it so and again if you know me well enough you know that I never insult the lgbtq community because I think they're amazing uh the success they've had in the United States reputationally economically socially is just one of the most impressive things I've ever seen meanwhile over in South Korea I was trying to ignore this because I thought the story would go away but uh the ex-president the one who was removed by impeachment his name is uh uh yuk yal y n middle name s last name ye o l now you might not recognize that as a South Korean president name but you might be confused because it's also how a southern man in the United States insults somebody same thing what you don't see it right so in Korea he would be called yunak and if it were an insult from a southern gentleman it would be you suck y'all you suck y'all as opposed to you suck y'all same thing anyway he uh he had been impeached and they wanted to arrest him but he used his own uh uh his government security to prevent him from being arrested so he went into his little very well protected compound and when they send authorities to arrest him his own security which is paid by the government said nope we we protect him until that job changes you're not arresting anybody which I which I I really respected now they came back with 1100 people so then the security force was so outnumbered that quite reasonably they knew that the smart thing to do was to stand down than they did so he's arrested uh he was a conservative he was arrested by something more liberal on the left uh there's some Insurrection charges does any of this sound familiar to you huh impeached Insurrection he's the conservative sound familiar do you think we were behind this do you think the United States may have backed this I don't know I do not know but uh certainly suspect it all right there's a little bit more in the Palisades fire I know you're all tired of it and if you're not a Californian this may not be too important to you but I remind you that California's economy is bigger than 35 of the other states put together and if California gets a cold or what is it if California sneezes the whole country is going to get a cold so if you think this doesn't affect you just wait it will it's going to affect you I mean it affects everybody in California whether you're in the fire zone or not so we're all you know there's a lot you haven't heard about but we're all struggling so things are not easy right now for anybody and and that includes people who have some extra resources uh everybody's in a position they haven't been in before so that the amount of pressure on everybody is through the roof and I don't know if you can fully appreciate that if unless you've been near a near one of these yourself but here are some of the things we're learning now that should bother you um according to Rich Mc.

Hugh from news Nation there is video proof that there was no response to from the fire department to the Pacific Palisades fire 45 minutes after it was first reported now I think that they can tell that by some uh V video security from one of the houses that was near the fire and may may have been involved in reporting it so I don't know if that's confirmed because I've heard other stories that the fire department did as well as you'd expect but that's out there so that I'm going to call that in uh an allegation because I'll bet you if you ask the fire department they'd say something different so until I hear the other story I'll just put a pin on that one but there is some concern that they didn't mobilize in Time Michael shellenberger um talks about uh some of the failures and he had a good list that I'll summarize for you uh first of all here's a here's a take from Joel Pollock and Breitbart uh Joel and by the way you should be following Joel Pollock if you have any interest whatsoever in the fire because he's the only person the only one who is a local and a you know a national reporter and is working full-time to make sure that people understand what's going on and uh so he's he's doing more than well I I don't want to get too much into the details but um we're gonna we're gonna owe him a we're gonna owe him a lot when he's done we're GNA owe him a lot a lot of people are going to owe him a lot um so he says that uh in La due to budget budget cuts that uh the fire department was not um deployed wait do I have this wrong this may have been sheld andberg or too so there's some there some thought that uh from some of the smartest people who were watching that what should happen as soon as there's a long-term weather forecast and I didn't know this by the way that what La should have done and what would have been actually normal is as soon as they had the forecast as said wait a minute we're going to have no rain and we're going to have these winds and we know there are all kinds of ignition possibilities so in that condition what you don't do is wait for a fire normally that's the fire department's job is to wait for a fire and respond in this case you know there's a fire multiple so they can know with complete certainty there will be multiple gigantic fires what did they do in advance well not enough here's what they should have done they should have put a truck or two everywhere there was likely to be an ignition and they know from history what places are more likely so that they could have gotten really quickly at least with one truck to anything that just flared up now that's a big difference from what happened so that didn't happen now why didn't it happen well one of the reasons is budget cuts one of the reasons is uh a bunch of people got let go at some point because they didn't get vaccinated a bunch of it is like a hundred trucks were in for repair probably also a budget thing so between the budgets and the bad management they had completely eliminated their ability to do normal stuff and normal in this case would have been to have enough trucks and people to predeployment is the biggest in the end I think that's going to be the biggest thing um there's reporting that the fire department did not know that the reservoir had been drained but the reservoir had been drained for 9 years if the firemen if the fire department didn't know that their main source of water at least for that one area had disappeared after N9 years it wasn't anybody so I'm going to say I doubt the reporting that the fire department was not aware it might be true that they were not officially informed but not aware a whole Reservoir didn't have water and it was one of their main main water sources for a place that certainly was going to catch on fire it's not like it maybe will catch on fire it was certainly they didn't have anything in the air that noticed there was no resident who pointed it out I don't know I'm not not sure I believe that they didn't know um let's see what else they should and of course they should have have water sources that were near the fires um they should have required more clearing of bushes and bushes and debris I think that might have been a budget cut issue but the Canyons were just filled with trees and debris I don't know how much you can clean a canyon like can you really do that can you remove the fire debris sufficiently from a Canyon that it makes that much difference I'm going to say yes because the experts are saying so but I don't know if that's really that much of a thing um let's see the state or County could have spent $50 million and had a bunch of trucks maybe not the best ones they could have be used ones or lower-end ones but they could be staged near the fire and that would make a big difference um the number of calls that the LA firefighters Mak in a year has tripled over the last 30 years while the Staffing is declined by a third so clearly they did not you know some of it is that the you number of homeless has gone through the roof um anyway a lot of this came I read this in PJ media speaking of PJ media uh they report that uh the beginnings of what might be a recall effort against Nome and the mayor bass uh so I don't know if uh that's going to happen but they're about 17 yesterday when I checked the Palisades fire were only 177% contained um but seemed like the other fires were definitely getting under control but not that that one uh and there'll be new winds whipping things up so I don't know if anybody's going to get recalled some smart people say Gavin Newsome will come through a fine just by blaming Karen bass for everything and that might not be far off you know honestly I don't think uh Nome should keep his job for a variety of reasons but I don't know if this specifically was his fault you know the the fact that he said some things that you didn't like and you know acted like a clown I don't know if it made anything worse but Karen bass has some explaining to do um one of the things Gavin's done or I don't know if this is state or this is local this might be local but there are there's a you can't do price gouging because that's you know it's bad if you're price gouging but on the other hand um it's kind of impossible for the displaced people to find any place to live unless new places become available that weren't available before so in other words no nobody's going to make anything available unless they already made it available so if the economics and incentives were there before the fire to have a rental well maybe that's still there but if you want somebody to open up that you know the the in-law room that you know used to have Grandma but she died they weren't planning on renting so if you want them to rent maybe they're going to charge more than the market rate because they're saying oh well I can help somebody and I wouldn't want to rent it but if somebody wants to pay a little more or even a lot more why would I stop them so you you've got the economics of a free market and the availability that is driven by economics fighting against the we don't want to have price gouging and those two compete you kind of have to pick one um I think the smart economics in this particular case is to let the price scouching happen and let competition erase it so imagine if you will that um somebody says hey uh the rent here is double because you have so few options what's that going to do to your neighbor your neighbor is going to say how much did you get they paid that much rent whoa I'll try it too now you've got competition then the next person who says well I'll try it too they can't get a a renter um unless they lower the price so they're competing with the other they're going to compete with the other rentals so competition should make a temporary spike in rents that is completely unconscionable you know like people just actually just abusing the the people who have already been abused by the fire itself that will definitely happen in a free market but it's also the only way you get real places that are available and everybody's happy with the price there's no other way to get there the government can't get you there so it's a tough choice and one understands the impulse to limit gouging but uh it's worse than you think so um if you were to look at the price of a house in La let's say you you own a house and you wanted to say oh I was thinking of moving and maybe I can rent out my house I'm leaving behind if you buy a house in California bedroom house down there in LA in that in that zip code 90402 would be about $2.85 million um which means that the pay if you bought it you'd be paying 20,000 a month on your mortgage what do you think you could charge in rent in that three-bedroom house do you think you can get enough to pay your $20,000 a month mortgage nope you you know I think the rental will be I'm just guessing 6,000 a month so there's no economic way the the the the economics just don't work so unless something was already rental and has been for a long time or you've owned your house and you paid off the mortgage and you don't want to sell it it doesn't work to rent I remember when people used to say Scott you've got a little extra money why don't you buy some property and turn them into rentals to which I say that's not a thing there there's nothing I could buy that wouldn't be more expensive for me to own than compared to what I could get the only special cases you can do that where there's some weird thing that got you a deal or you've already paid it off or something meanwhile over on CNN uh somebody named Aisha Mills Democrat strategy strategist she's a black woman which is important to the story and I think she was complaining about Trump once saying that there were a lot of bad genes among the migrants now if you know how language works and you interpret Trump correctly a lot of bad genes means they're a lot of criminals and if their genes are bad as opposed to society is giving them a bad start then there's nothing you can do about it and the only thing you should do to keep out people with bad genes criminals is to not let them in in the first place so that's how I take it but apparently Aisha and some of the Democrats have taken that as racism oh are you saying that everybody who comes across the border has bad genes no he didn't say that oh you're saying that on average they have worse genes than white people no he did not say that what he said was a lot of bad genes a lot is not all of them Allah is too many how many people who are just going to be committing crimes you know in America we already have people who do like all the crimes right some tiny amount of people do all the crimes do you think that they're genetically the same as the people who are the same demographic as them I don't think so you show me the black guy who's got like 25 convictions and then compare them to you know your your black friend in the cubicle next to you do they have the same genes no they have different genes the what whatever is causing the 25 crimes in a row situation is not what's happening to Bob and the cubicle next to you so to imagine that that's a statement about the demographic group it's just weird like who who would take it that way you'd have to you'd have to aggressively want to interpret it wrong to to get to all the ways she got but anyway so during that conversation there was a bald white guy whose name I can't remember but he does a pretty good job of supporting the Trump side of things and she said to him on the air quote I'm not going to be lectured by some white man who has no idea what he's talking about now suppose a white man said that about her let's just reverse it because both of the characters on CNN are presumably very successful professionals you know they they've got high-end jobs like really high-end so we we can treat them as you know not like one is the oppressor and one's the victim they're they're both in a good good shape compared to the average person in society do you think that if the man she'd been talking to a white man had said I'm not going to be lectured by some black woman who has no idea what she's talking about how long would that guy last as a guest on that show that would be the end of it they probably would just go to Commercial and say all right you're not invited back and I think the host would say you're never coming back we don't do that here she should have said the same thing the other way we don't do that here yeah don't do that now even if that's the only thing that happened I'd be totally happy uh what was the host the host was Aaron I'm forgetting your last name but uh man you know I didn't see what happened after but if but if she didn't say we have some standards that that's beyond our standard if you want to be invited back that's that's that's not working that's all I wanted I I just wanted a little bit of push back I'm not asking for jail I'm not even asking that she'd not be invited back I just need that just that just a recognition that that's not acceptable anyway uh guess fiser has this lawsuit coming against them for anti-white discrimination uh Greg Piper is writing about that in just the news and there was some challenge to that and that got passed so that lawsuit will go forward so fizer going to have a little bit more to worry about over at MSNBC uh the head of the network Rashida Jones is stepping down now that's a weird phrase isn't it stepping down don't does what does that sound like stepping down isn't she moving sideways because she said she's got other you know she wants to work on other stuff so why is that down maybe the other stuff is better isn't that up anyway it was a weird choice of words um but she's being replaced at least temporarily with a of course I checked a white woman and I said to myself hm replaced with a white woman now I don't see an indication that the white woman is a lesbian and so is that diverse enough for MSNBC you know women are good they they like women but I think they like women who you know if you're going to be in prime time you got to be little extra a woman in black a woman and gay you know lesbian so I don't know it was a white woman and so I was first thinking I don't know I don't think they've they've nailed that cuz it's a white woman and she just doesn't seem on entirely on brand uh but then I saw what iear she was wearing her glasses and then I understood let me explain it to you without showing you the glasses you know if somebody walks around the corner you make an instant judgment If somebody walks around the corner with glasses like mine I'm hoping they say oh there's a guy with glasses and that's it right but I'm just going to tell you what would happen if the new head of MSNBC which again might be temporary U if you saw her coming around the corner you would instantly see her glasses the the type in style and you would say to yourself oh God so if you haven't looked her up yet do this and have a good laugh just go look at what glasses she's wearing and then ask you yourself what you would do if she walked around the corner in any context any context she walks around the corner and you look at her and you go just the glasses oh God check it out you'll think it's funny anyway Hamas says they reached a deal with Israel to release a third of the hostages um there's some people who say that didn't happen I don't know maybe but I'm wondering if Israel is figured out the ultimate prisoner exchange so as I understand it Israel typically will give up lots of people for every one person that they get in return so it might be 50 to1 10 to1 so there going to be a whole bunch of people that Israel thinks belong in jail that that would be returned and is my first impression was how's that right I mean you can all those down you know it seems like you're just making it worse there's the picture yeah uh um but I wonder if Israel is so clever that they're going to return all the hostages to the war zone so they can kill them more effectively later so it'd be better to kill them than to keep them in jail so it feels like they're going to get their prisoners back and take them to a safe place but the ones that they wanted to keep in prison are probably the ones who want to go back to the war zone which is probably exactly where Israel wants them to be so they can kill them I feel like Israel just found a way to kill their prisoners they just have to do it indirectly stage one we'll release them stage two we'll put them back in in the Gaza where they want to go stage three goodbye all right I'm going to close with I'm going to I'm going to throw in a bad idea okay now the way I do this is that the bad idea the purpose of it is to to make you think of a better idea so this is to make you think differently it's not that I necessarily think this is a good idea because there may be some hidden problems Etc and here what it's a idea for Doge so right now people pay 6 and a half% on their salary to Social Security so my idea is to make that go away that goes to zero so everybody who has a salary gets this instant 65% raise which is more than 65% because well 6 and half% raise um so that would uh that would give everybody some extra cash so they would be able to spend a little bit more but how do you fund retirement well here's the bad idea right remember I'm I'm calling it a bad idea but I don't know why so you'll tell me why it's bad because I'm I'm pretty sure it's bad but uh if you look at at the total value of the Fortune 500 uh you know the total capitalization it's um value if you added up all the stock basically it'd be over $50 trillion if you were to say we've got to cover $1.3 trillion in Social Security payments at the moment and growing um how much of that stock would you have to effectively tax um to pay for it so imagine if instead of anybody paying anything that for several years that you know maybe up to 10 5 to 10 years suppose that we keep the old system in place where we'll while we're building up a new system and the new system would look like this once a year every company in the Fortune 500 has to print some new stock which would dilute their existing shareholders a little bit uh and 2 and a half% of their Capital value would go to a fund that would be for everybody's retirement now what you're saying is Scott you're just taking a tax away from the citizens and their paychecks and you're just giving it to their employers so you know doesn't it end up the same no I'm not giving it to their employers I'm giving I'm I'm taxing the stockholders and if you own a lot of stock in the Fortune of 500 nobody feels sorry for you so it's automatically uh you know a progressive tax the people who own the most assets would be hit the hardest but since the stock market goes up 8% a year or more um you know the it sort sort of still is okay now you ask yourself but Scott people nobody's going to invest in the Fortune 500 which is the biggest investment vehicle right now because you're degrading the return to which I say no The Fortune 500 is 25% better than all the Alternatives all it does is make them equal and if you wanted to do what's easy and safe you'd buy that you know which is what I do I have most of my money is in the Fortune 500 so on one hand it's a transfer of a dollar for a dollar from one part of society to another so it's from the people who need to buy buy things to the people who add extra money and put it in the stock market so the first thing is the people who are the employees have extra money so they spend more who is the main beneficiary of employees having more money to spend it's the Fortune 500 so the Fortune 500 could potentially put 2 and a half% well dilute its dilute its value to add the Y add some stock and it'd be 2% 2 and a half% pay it every year but the economy would be so Juiced that their profits would probably go up to and a half percent you know or something compensating amount so if you if you tax the people who don't have money the result is people spend less that's bad for the Fortune 500 if you let them spend more they're they're happier because they're buying stuff they need and the 500 has a massive amount 1 trillion extra spending that just didn't exist so my question is this is that better because from the government's perspective there would be kind of out of the business of Social Security they might be still managing the payments and stuff like that and you know policing it but it wouldn't be part of the budget so it wouldn't be something you paid and it wouldn't be something that the government took from your salary and gave to the retirement now it have to be adjusted for the fact that there are more retire and everything else but my main question is this if if you look at all the pluses and minuses it's the same amount of money that goes to the retirees but since the the stock you collect would especially if you built up you know 5 to 10 years of these collections the stock you collect would go up on its own and you're not giving it out the same day that you're getting it with with so you would have the possibility that if you collected you know a few trillion the several trillion could sit there gaining just as things gain and then you're you're basically keeping up with inflation and better so I do not claim that I've I've thought of everything and these are all good ideas is this is more of a bu Greenland idea so you see what I'm doing this is a bu Greenland this is the external re Revenue Service this it's the same persuasion first I'm going to make you think well maybe it's a thing and then you'll say what are the pluses and the minuses and then we'll have a productive conversation eventually smarter people will get involved smart a lot smarter than me and then they'll decide if that's good or bad but you're not going to have that conversation and it won't remind you of a better one unless you first say huh I wonder if that's a thing is that a thing and it could be that you know it turns into some hybrid where you get stuck sometimes instead of payments maybe you can opt in that sort of thing who knows but first just imagine that it's a thing that you could get rid of the Social Security tax and you might do something that's some kind of an equivalent with the Fortune 500 oh here's the here's the part I forgot to tell you that's actually very important do you know why companies like to get into Fortune 500 it's because their stock goes up once you're in the 500 you have an enduring systemic advantage over everybody who's not in the top 500 because the big um funds all by the top 500 so the moment your stock goes in into it every stock index fund buys that and your price goes up in theory so why does the 500 and first company get none of that benefit is that fair so taxing the Fortune 500 you're basically taking from them only the unfair Advantage they get by being in the top 500 so do Democrats hate that no we all kind of hate that the elites have special privileges we don't being in the top 500 is a special privilege for a company it's not like other things so if the only thing you're doing is modifying this special privilege so it's a little closer to other companies that doesn't feel unfair and especially since the Fortune 500 gets the most benefit from anything that gooses the economy in a legitimate way so it's surprisingly a surprisingly robust idea isn't it I don't think I've got the the math right and I've probably forgotten some things but the funny part is it's not instantly it's not instantly rejectable doesn't mean it's good I would be very surprised if if it's a clean good idea but I I added to the mix trying to be helpful now I remind you one of the superpowers I claim to hold uh is resistance to EMB embarrassment so do you think I would bring this up unless I had almost complete resistance to embarrassment nope nope because I'm probably five minutes away from somebody saying ah you idiot uh you forgot X and then I'm going to say oh man you're right I totally forgot X will I be embarrassed not even a little so so I can I can add this to the collective thinking with the thinking that you know maybe it Sparks somebody's better idea you know maybe it just makes it look possible and I don't worry about the embarrassment that's just free there's no risk to me so learn to be not embarrassed and you will be much better value to the people around you that's all I got for you today I'm going to say hi to the locals people privately in 30 seconds the rest of you I'll see you tomorrow and enjoy your day e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e

well there you are soon as I print my

notes off and get your comments working

we're going to have quite the

show you're going to be so happy about

it I've even got stuff plugged in look

at me being prepared

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going

so I've got a

friend

who on almost every other contact tries

to tell

me uh that he's he's figured out

something that Elon Musk is doing that's

dumb and I say you know he's got five of

the most important businesses in the

world he's solving problems he's going

to Mars I don't know if he's really dumb

I I feel like maybe he doesn't have you

know the the mental problems you

think now my friend is has a net worth

of

zero and I don't want to say you know

you have a net worth of zero and you're

giving advice to the richest man in the

world and none of it looked like luck to

me it looked like skill so maybe you

should take that into consideration that

he might know a little bit more than you

and then today I saw a post by Elon Musk

and I thought hm I'm going to have to go

in there and correct his

thinking apparently I'm just I'm just an

idiot

so do do you know how absurd it is to

say h Elon Musk has an opinion but I'm

so much smarter watch me fix it for him

but that's what I'm going to do but only

because it's a very special case I

wouldn't do I wouldn't do this about

engineering or business or or most

things so it's a very special case

here's the

situation uh Dr Peter diamandis on X he

had a post in which he let off by saying

sugar is poison and then you know he did

a thread on here's why sugar is poison

now I didn't make that up that's the

title of a book and you're all aware

that I often say alcohol is poison now

Elon Musk we in on the statement that

sugar is poison and he said um no

Cyanide and arsenic are poisons whereas

sugar is edible you don't see a pile of

bodies outside a candy store

LMO and then Elon said that said sugar

should only be eaten occasionally and in

small

quantities now he's not technically

wrong

right it it's sugar is not actually a

poison like literally it's not um and

sugar is

edible and if you were going to eat it

small amount would be you know not the

worst thing that ever happened to

you but uh being the being the reframe

guy I I couldn't let it

stand so I don't know what the comments

are going to be but I weighed in and I

said uh reframes need not be

literal most of the good ones are not

literal and then I noted I wrote the

book on that reframe your brain a

reframe is a brain hack it gives you the

ability to make better decisions without

changing the data so it's just a trick

it's not supposed to be literal and in

fact being literal doesn't help it a bit

there there's no advantage to being

literal you you want it to

work you don't want it to be

accurate

um so I pointed out that uh if the goal

is to minimize but not eliminate sugar

calling it a poise is a perfect

reframe and but then I had to uh

acknowledge because I think I learned

something in this exchange why would

Elon

Musk clearly and unambiguously one of

the smartest people in you know all of

our

experiences not understand a simple

reframe is not meant to be literal how's

that possible well um I don't know the

exact answer but I I ended with this

state

I said I acknowledge that departing from

the literal doesn't work for every brain

now this this should not be taken as any

kind of an insult to anybody uh I've

made this mistake before which is if I

mention somebody's on the

Spectrum if I say anything like that

publicly people say whoa whoa whoa who

are you insulting to which I say

insult where was the insult well you

just said Somebody's on the

Spectrum to which I say right but but

what's the

insult isn't that like saying somebody's

tall

somebody's somebody's black somebody's

white somebody's male some it's just who

you are so I don't put judgment on being

in the Spectrum you know if you if you

took away the inventions and the benefit

that has been brought to the World by

people who are technically on the

Spectrum and I think Elon includes

himself you know he's he's

self-identified as you know being on the

spectr I'm not 100% sure it's true but

when I see this kind of an opinion where

he's favoring the literal over the over

the reframe that doesn't need to be

literal I think wow that this might be

one of the cases where drawing this

distinction between a reframe would work

for the regular public but here's what I

learned I just learned it doesn't work

if you're on the Spectrum which actually

makes sense right so being on the

Spectrum would make you a little more

literal and maybe you just couldn't

embrace the imaginary part of the

reframe so I learn something anyway uh

looks like there might be coming a ban

on Chinese connected car software ARS

techn is talking about that I guess

that's uh the Congress is working on

that there might be some exemptions but

it would block um Americans from having

cars with Chinese software now I don't

know what the real potential risk is for

having a let's call China an

adversary um having them have control

over some number of cars in America but

how many cars do you think are on the

road at any one time in America it's a

big number right would it be five or 10

million at any moment during the day I

don't know what the number is but it's

got to be

millions and suppose we become a

self-driving car

seems inevitable might be only a few

years away what would happen if an enemy

just got a hold of a million cars and

just and just drove them into

ditches it is a weapon of mass

destruction potentially to have a

million cars drive off the road at the

same time so yeah I'm in favor of

banning the Chinese software um even if

there's no indication there's something

wrong with it there will

be there will

be uh meanwhile over at interesting

engineering there's a pine cone inspired

building Shades so they studied pine

cones that apparently I guess the little

uh whatever you call it the the what

what would you call the little leaves or

whatever the on the pine cone it's

probably a word for that um but

apparently they move based on the Sun so

they wanted to find some way that you

can make your windows and your building

uh open up and close based on sun and

without using electricity so oh we call

them

needles I don't know I'm not sure if

that's right but uh they do it without

electricity so that's the important part

the sun directly causes the pine cone

like parts to open now my take on this

is doesn't your window look like a pine

cone do you do you ever want your window

to look like a pine cone

I don't know I'm not sure this has

potential meanwhile there's a uh the Tic

Tac Tick Tock ban as far as I know it's

going to go into effect on Sunday unless

something miraculous happens between now

and then can you give me a fact check on

that is that correct that Tik Tok is

going to be done in the United States

it'll still be International but is it

going to be done in the United

States because I feel like there might

be another thing coming you know there

were some reports that Elon Musk was

talking to China I don't think that's

true that was never confirmed so I don't

think that was ever true but do you

think anybody could put together a

purchase deal in a few

days you know I suppose they could if

they felt the price was right but I

don't see any possibility that Tik tok's

going to say yes even if the price is

right so I don't know exactly what would

be purchased if somebody purchased Tik

Tock but it makes me wonder if China is

willing to give up billions and billions

and billions of

dollars they must be hiding

something in other words if if somehow

we got control of their software and

their algorithms would we be able to

determine how much they've been putting

a finger on the

algorithms would we be able to know that

just by buying it looking at whatever

they sold this it could be that they're

worried that they don't have a way to

scrub that because you know how when uh

musk uh bought Twitter there were so

many little censoring tags in it that

that even the owner couldn't tell what

it was censoring like it was just too

complicated so what if China said get

rid of all the get rid of all the

incriminating stuff and then maybe we

can sell it and then Tik Tok would have

said uh we could

try but we probably wouldn't get close

to knowing that we had all the

incriminating stuff out of the software

because it's not that easy and then

China might say uh you can't sell that

thing because if they find out what

we've been

doing there will be repercussions so

this is speculation but I Su I suspect

that uh Tik Tok would be sellable unless

they're hiding something and they don't

know how to unhide it or they don't know

how to hide it completely I guess anyway

um if you're saying to yourself hey but

Trump liked Tik Tock so he won't like it

if it goes away I remind you he's not

going to be running again and I would be

really surprised if the Republicans ever

fed another candidate who can rule Tick

Tock you know that you know that being

able to control and even dominate the

mess meing on Tik Tok that's purely a

trump thing you all know that right so

anything you say about well you know

Trump trump did well on Tik Tok so why

would you ban it that's just

Trump that do you think disantis is

going to light up Tik Tok here if Tik

Tok still

existed no no he's not that's purely

Trump so the Republicans aren't going to

care if it goes

away will see some of you may

remember how many of you remember that

back in 2018

2019 uh I announced to you that I was

going to try to put Tik Tock out a

business do you remember that and you

said to yourself well I mean that's

that's not a

thing and then I kept saying it's a

thing do you know what the first part of

persuasion is the first part of

persuasion is you have to think it's a

thing

if you don't think it's a thing

everything else you say after that

doesn't matter you're like blah blah

blah blah blah but as soon as you think

it's a thing then you can start looking

at the pros and the cons so I decided a

few years ago I'm going to make sure

everyone knows it's a thing and I got to

Senators I I got to a lot of senators a

lot of people in the house just because

they're natural viewers some of them I

contacted personally you know ones that

I could DM and in some cases I know for

sure they heard the message got it

completely and uh even

responded so I certainly was not pushing

it for the last you know year or so

because it looked like it was just

becoming an Israel issue so I think

Israel killed it because they didn't

like they didn't like that it was

persuading against them now I don't know

if that'll ever be official or I don't

know if history will record that Israel

killed Tik Tock in America but but I'm

pretty sure that's the case now normally

I would have said hey Israel another

country even our Ally you can't you

can't turn off a free speech platform in

our country stop that but since I'm

completely on the same

page I just sort of step back now do you

remember when uh Trump first mentioned

buying Greenland and your first reaction

was come on you know why because you did

not believe it could be a

thing that was step one Trump first told

you it's a thing and then you would

argue whether it's dumb or he's kidding

or it's a joke but when you were done

you would think it's a thing and

therefore you can talk about the pros

and cons and it turns out there were a

lot of

Pros a lot of pros and the

cons none

you know depending on the nature of the

deal maybe none they they won't

necessarily be voting could be a

territory there might be a price that

makes sense it might work for Denmark it

might work for Greenland but nothing

would have happened nothing until Trump

told us it's a

thing so when I said Banning Tik Tock is

a thing I got no traction on day one I

think I had zero people agreeing with me

on day one eventually I hammered it and

hammered it until you might disagree you

might agree but you definitely knew it

was a thing and on Sunday we might find

out if it's the thing all right uh the

SEC is suing yon muss because they have

nothing else better to do but uh I don't

know if this one is

legit it might be this one might be

legit and it's just a money thing so you

know if you had to pay some money I

could see that happening but he's being

sued because when he first bought the

first shares of Twitter it was above I

guess it was above some number where

you're supposed to announce your your

purchase and it was late I guess late in

registering that he' done it and there's

some argument that because he didn't say

it

um then then he said just because uh you

know he didn't say it that somehow other

people lost money because they didn't

know they did it maybe you know I I

could see that argument I just I just

wonder if this would have been pressed

against everybody because it seems like

it' be easy it would be easy to

demonstrate this is the day you bought

the stock this is the rule this is when

he you know when he admitted he bought

it it's after the

rule yeah $175 million write us a

check so it it's just

it might be valid you know you you might

say to yourself yeah that would have

happened to anybody I don't know um I

watched the segment with Michael

shellenberger on Tucker's show Tucker

Carlson and there was a little

discussion on uaps I did

notice that Tucker sort of took over

that conversation and I never really got

to hear what Michael shellenberger

thought was

happening so shellenberger brought up a

few of the hypothesis

but I don't think he landed on you know

what his opinion was and part of it is

because when Tucker started talking

about it I think that just took the

conversation in such a a direction that

I don't know if Michael thought that was

the right time to give his own opinion

on it because I'm sure he has one but

here's what Tucker said about the the

UAP is quote they're not from Mars

they're not from another planet they're

from here they've always been here these

are spiritual entities it's clear that

these things reside deep in the earth

under the water and in the atmosphere

and then he pointed out that Elon Musk

and he'd had personal conversations with

musk Tucker had um didn't think that

there was anything coming from space now

Tucker said and I don't know if this is

just Tucker or Elon said this as well

and I'm not sure it's true he said that

uh we'd pick up on satellites anything

entering the

atmosphere do you think that's true

I

don't if you look at the quality of any

of these systems in the United States

that you thought were good none of them

are good you you if you would asked me a

month ago Scott what do you think is one

of the you know best fire departments in

the world I would have said well you

know obviously LA because they would

need it and they would have the money

and you know the enough of population to

get whatever they needed so yeah the

best Fire Department in the world

probably

BL well not so much so when I hear

things like well our Advanced satellites

would pick up any UFOs coming through

our completely impenetrable digital

network of surveillance I say to myself

or not yeah or not

maybe um so I don't know if that's a

good reason but

Trump said about the uaps uh um I'm

going to give you a report on

drones uh at least we don't know if the

drones are really the same as the uaps

but the drones over New Jersey I think

he's talking about uh we'll give it in

one day into the administration he told

the governor somewhere because I think

it's ridiculous that they're not telling

you about what is going on with the

drones I'm going to make a prediction

he's not going to tell us what's going

on with the

drones and if he does you're can feel

that it's

incomplete like really does that explain

all the

drones or did that

explain some of the drones or maybe a

lot of the

drones so if you think that Trump's

going to get in there and then answer

that question to your satisfaction I

don't think there's any chance of that I

do think he means it I do think he is

telling the truth that he's going to try

to do that I do think he'll will try but

no matter what he says you're going to

say how do we know he wasn't told he has

to leave something out how do we know

that when he hears the real reason he

says oh man I really wasn't expecting

that so yeah I guess I'll just say

they're hobbyists and I'll leave out the

rest maybe so I'm betting you will not

be satisfied with whatever comes out of

that uh there's an army Green Beret

who's now making some claims on social

media I guess according to the Daily

Mail he was led into this secret

UFO UFO crash storage at an underground

Naval base and he went through all the

all the places and they showed him the

advanced alien technology there was an

orb that seemed to be operated by

Consciousness alone and there was some

kind of thing you put on your arm and it

was magic but here's the part that

completely made the whole story fall

apart I mean if it didn't

already uh apparently he saw a door that

was labeled and I quote offworld

technology uh and I'm

out and I'm out no there is no place in

the

world where somebody has a door

labeled offworld

technology cuz even if even if you you

accepted that there is such a thing as

off-world technology and even if you

accepted that nobody should be in that

part of the the building unless they had

you know full clearance and ability to

know even then you're not going to put

on the door off world

technology that's just not going to

happen in any real world so no sorry

army green

beret that that doesn't pass the initial

sniff test speaking of sniff test Alex

Jones had a kind of an exclusive I think

he he has a from a descendant see if I

get this right so it was maybe the

grandson or so of somebody who was a

confidant U and a very rich guy

confident of

LBJ so the first part of the story is

that LBJ was just a flat out criminal

and he ran the government through um

blackmail

through I guess J G Hoover so it what

according to this telling um so Alex

Jones and his guest um it's welln well

documented apparently there are books

written in which LBJ was just flat out

criminal some say he was also a

murderer some say he ordered the hit on

uh JFK because he was so uh humiliated

by the way he was being treated

now there is seems to be good evidence

that he was

humiliated so the part is did he really

order

well the evidence is according to the

grandson he found some he'd had him for

a long time he didn't just find him but

for a long time he had had the tapes

left to him you know in the Estates or

the wills or something so he had these

little tapes and he finally had them you

know uh converted so we could listen Len

to him whatever that took and then those

tapes were played and it showed I I

believe it was either you know his own

relative talking to another close

Confidant and it seemed to be a phone

call in which they were talking casually

but in a worried way just sort of matter

of factly the LBJ had ordered the hit on

Kennedy and it's just like right there

playing his day now um Alex Jones says

that the source is impeccable so he

vouches for the the the human being who

had the tape he knows that that person

was in fact a relative is in fact a

relative of a real person who genuinely

was you know lbj's Confidant and

apparently participated in some shady

stuff um he he's checked to make sure

that the a that the audio was not AI

generated so he feels that he has a

positive source the the recording didn't

just pop up today it's something that

the source that he trusts says he's had

in his possession for a long time and

that um it didn't seem fake fake in

terms of it doesn't seem like something

that that was not related to those two

people it does look like the two people

made the tape it's a real tape but then

I listen to it I would like to give you

my

judgment it might be the real people

just just like as claimed it might be

exactly those two people it may have

been made at exactly that time so I

think the tape is real the people are

real and the timing is real and they

really said those

things however I'm going to give you a

little insight as a professional

writer the hardest thing about being a

professional writer when you write

dialogue and I remind you that I write

dialogue for characters every single day

for 35 years there is a skill involved

in writing dialogue the main part of the

skill is avoiding looking like its

scripted

dialogue did you all know that the main

thing that you want to avoid to be a

good writer you know some one that

people will pay attention to is your

writing have has to just be clearly

unscripted you know something that a

real person would say

if you listen to the tape as I did and

you're a professional writer you will

see right away it's

scripted so it doesn't mean it's not

true that that's a whole different

conversation it could be that the

principles wanted to get it on tape so

that it would be you know believed or

something in Future Days it might have

been a protection thing maybe they were

protecting their own lives by you having

a tape that would be embarrassing to JFK

or to LBJ

so I do think everything about it was

real except that it was in my opinion

very obviously scripted so as a

professional writer that was

professionally scripted do you know do

you want know what the tell is the tell

is how perfect it was and how often they

put the person's name in the middle of a

sentence so you'd know that who was

talking that that was a little over the

top it so go like hello Saul I hope

you're having a good

day well thank you for that input Saul

it's good that we have these I'm making

that up but you can see how stilted it

is here here's what our real people talk

oh man I I got this thing what uh

yeah I got a thing and then the other

one talks over him then he asks a

question and then you you you Circle it

back and you you apologize for saying it

wrong and you correct your words that's

what real conversation looks like this

was not

that it was pretty far from natural

conversation now I'd like a second

opinion and remember I'm not doubting

the veracity of the underlying claim I

wouldn't know one way or the other I'm

just saying it's

scripted might be true but it would be

scripted um if if there are other

professional writers who write dialogue

specifically I'd love to get an opinion

on

that uh SpaceX is going to launch two

unmanned lunar missions so that I guess

there are two Rovers and those Rovers

will be going around on Mars not not

Mars on the

moon so Elon Musk is lo launching two

probes into my

moon ouch

um so that's fun I I really like having

a Rover on the moon

I'm pretty much Rover fascinated I'll

watch whatever that Rover does and takes

takes pictures of um the December uh

inflation was 2.9 they expected it to be

2.9 so the good news is it's not going

up quickly but of course the the

Baseline of our costs are all basically

unaffordable so yeah unless it goes down

it's not helping at all

just staying where you expected it used

to be good news not

anymore uh while Trump has announced the

formation of the what he calls the

external Revenue Service so instead of

collecting money for the government from

internal citizens he's going to find

ways to charge other companies or

countries for stuff so it would include

uh any money collected from

tariffs which you might say uh that

comes from American

companies that's the opposite of

external you would be

right but if if it's part of the if it's

part of the

negotiations you where where we're going

to use tariffs as a weapon using tariffs

as a weapon is going to be a whole lot

more convincing if we've got an entire

department who's dedicated to using that

weapon and and and collecting the money

from it um so here's what I think is

coming it has not been in any way

explicitly announced but let me tell you

what's inevitably coming we're going to

have such a budget problem that Trump

being Trump is going to do the smart

thing that nobody's done before and it's

basically a mafia play because we've got

the biggest military and you say to the

small countries that have have had a

free ride because your military protects

them basically it be be a shame if

something happened to your little

country well nothing's going to happen

to us we're part of NATO and you know

nobody would attack this Hemisphere and

you know you don't have to worry you

well that's only because we're

protecting you right right right what if

we stopped what what if we stopped

protecting you why would you do that

it's

expensive but you're not actually

sending any military here you're just

saying that if something happened you

would send military here so other

countries will stay away from let's say

South

America and then Trump

says right yeah that's that's the way

it's been it's not the way it's going to

be because if you want a little military

protection in advance before you need it

why would that be free when you pay for

insurance you pay for it before the

disaster you don't pay for it after the

war starts that that's not when we're

going to start billing you you pay now

because you're buying an insurance plan

so Trump appears to be setting the

stage for the US

military to be everybody's insurance

plan which means that you would

literally pay for it maybe even based on

your population or something just like

insurance now is that unethical

or is it just a smarter way to organize

a military well if you're another

country let's say you're Costa Rico

Costa Rica has no military unless unless

they formed one recently I don't think

so no military how hard would it be for

a foreign power to take over a country

with no

military easy why is it they don't

try because of the US

military yeah do you think Costa Rica is

paying us a annual payment for all that

protection literally protecting the

whole country no now I think is that

fair no now you could argue that we're

protecting them for our own benefit and

that would be a good argument it's like

oh it's bad for

America if Costa Rica Falls to an

adversary but it's also true we're

protecting them and they're paying

nothing or not enough

so I I think this might have more legs

than you think and once again Trump is

doing that thing that he did with

Greenland until he creates this

department the external Revenue Service

you don't really think it's a thing that

they would charge other companies or

other countries for protection but now

you think it's a thing don't you you

might hate it you might love it but

guess what it's a

thing it's a thing it Trump does this

maybe better than anybody's ever done it

which is making the thing that's not a

thing a thing and then if the if the

cost benefit in a purely objective sense

make sense then the thing can go on on

its own and and become a real thing but

first you have to change the entire

National Consciousness from that's not a

thing to oh that's a thing now we can

talk about it it's brilliant it the I

hate to keep saying things like this

cuz they sound so hyperbolic so so

kissing his ass so you know hero

worshipping I get how it

sounds but I think history is going to

back me on the following statement we've

never seen anything like

this this is a level of

understanding understanding of how

persuasion and and people think that is

so unprecedented that there's nobody

even cloaks I know you want to say oh

Reagan was the great communicator yes

very very good very A+ Reagan this is a

whole different level So Reagan was A+

in junior college you know Trump's

A+ at the India Institute of Technology

which is way which is way more than you

think it is all

right special Council Jack Smith's

report is indicating that Trump would

have been convicted if not elected

that's what everybody's saying

uh is that news I think everybody knew

that didn't everybody know that Trump

would be Trump would go to jail if he

wasn't elected we all knew that did it

help him get elected I hope

so so we live in a

system where if things go

wrong they can just laware somebody into

jail and damn near did it the only thing

that kept Trump on of jail is is an

amazing campaign team his own abilities

which are Transcendent and the fact that

the public said that's a line too

far I I think the public stopped that

entirely I mean by their vote of course

but there was also an implied threat

wasn't

there there was an implied

threat that if half the country watched

their leader be put in

jail the entire social contract was

going to be ripped up

and I think enough people said that that

was

believable um I don't know if it would

be but I but I think it could have been

the entire social

contract if you know what I mean uh

meanwhile James o'keith and his

OMG uh undercover uh video business they

found an adviser to the Joint Chiefs of

Staff so this is a somebody has a high

level adviser a former FBI special agent

and he called himself a Spy Hunter and

and he went on one of these dates in

which he talked too much fake dates so

the undercover person went on the fake

date and recorded him asked him what he

thought about Trump and he said uh

Trump's a sociopathic narcissist who was

only interested in advancing his name

his wealth and his Fame he's had a

lifetime of cheating he's habitually

addicted to lying about himself okay so

the first thing you know is he's

suffering from terminal TDS these are

not the words of a person who's is

working

correctly are is it true that Trump uh

tries to maximize his own gain like

everybody like everybody what was there

some politician who didn't like to see

himself succeed which one was that even

Bernie Sanders was trying to win the

damn

election so watching them try to get

what's good for them the only thing that

matters is was it also good for the

country and what Trump is doing is also

good for the country so there's no real

difference between doing a great job for

the country and doing a great job for

yourself they're exactly the same you

know and and the job is so transparent

that you would literally have to do

illegal things to get out of that model

of what's good for the country ends up

being good for you you have to be

illegal for that not to be true and

we're watching Pretty closely especially

Trump so that's

crazy but then it gets worse um he

apparently was involved in back in

Russia gate times he spent his time uh

looking for all that foreign

interference to explain how Trump got

elected didn't find

any so his TDs is Extreme couldn't even

believe that Trump got elected unless

there must have been for some foreign

interference nope there was foreign

interference it was against Trump

uh the the minor little Russian memes

didn't make any difference everybody

smart knows

that um and then the uh undercover

reporter asked him if there's anything

that he quote could do to protect the

American people from stuff that Trump

might

try and he said quote I'm in

conversation with a couple of retired

generals to try to explore what we can

do so here's a spook who's actually

having conversations with retired

generals we didn't get their

names

uh it looks like he's planning an

Insurrection so it looks like they're

not looking to respond to some specific

thing Trump did but rather just take him

out of office through some kind of you

know undercover mechanism that involves

generals and somebody who's a spy

hunter now I assume he lost his job

immediately

but who knows so that's all we know

about that so beware all the undercover

people who think that they're doing

what's good for the world I think this

guy actually believed he was doing the

right

thing which is scary it's really scary

if he thought that was the right

thing all right the inauguration is

coming up and uh it's been announced a

number of entertainers but the

interesting ones that are non obvious I

mean uh Kid Rock is obvious but the the

Village People said yes now I love that

the Village People said yes not only

because Trump you know Trump basically

made them

Rich because I'm pretty sure he

popularized the song again I don't know

30 years or 40 years after it was an

original

and um since the public in general

assumes that they're all gay and and

that that's actually part of the fun you

know the whole YMCA thing it's kind of a

gay anthem but it's weird that they say

no we're not

gay but to the public it's the gayest

group in the world but not in a bad way

so the beauty of what Trump did was he

wasn't mocking them he was accepting

them exactly as they wanted to be

accepted as really good music that we

like to dance to and it's unusually fun

because it breaks out of that hetero

only you know way of being so you know

even watching Trump enjoy the pleasure

of breaking into of that hetero only you

know you can't act like you're enjoying

that music or something it's wonderful

and uh they're they're paying him back

or maybe paying themselves either way it

works for me by uh taking the chance

they're taking a chance on them I love

that so good job Village

People uh Carrie Underwood is performing

that's the one that surprised me why in

the

world would a really wellestablished uh

singing star want to associate with

Trump if if she hasn't

already uh because isn't that going to

cut her future Revenue in half

forever it might so both the V Village

People and Carrie

Underwood seem to be more of a

indication that he that Trump has been

at least a little bit established as

okay to say you you support them now if

you're getting the if you're getting the

entertainment to people to say that

you've really penetrated a whole new

category because you already got the

tech people saying whoa whoa whoa wait a

minute the fine people hoax wasn't real

so the the tech people have all caught

on that that it was just this major

brainwashing operation so once they

found out it was all brainwashing they

could see all the other brainwashing and

then then their Vision cleared and then

they just made the the rational choice

but uh to get it into the entertainment

world as deeply as Carrie Underwood is

impressive so uh all respect to Carrie

Underwood for taking what is clearly a

risk but if she doesn't get as much push

back as would end her career then I

would say she's part of the solution if

you're trying to unite the

country you're going to need some people

who go first and take the arrows in the

back and this to me seems really brave

for Carrie Underwood I'm very impressed

I've seen her in concert by the way I've

only I've only ever been to a few

concerts in my whole life but

maybe three concerts in my life but she

was one of them it was a good

show Michelle Obama is not coming to the

inauguration but Barack is that would

make two events in recent weeks that

Rock went to and Michelle didn't where

you would expect that normally she would

the other was the cter funeral now

unless she has a medical

problem which I wouldn't rule out just

maybe something she doesn't need to get

into with the public it would suggests

there's marital

problems now there's I I I've heard the

rumors I don't think there's direct

evidence to support that and you never

know what's going on in somebody's

relationship but it's a little hard to

understand weeks

apart you know same thing it's it's sort

of built into what you expect that they

would do as a couple Brock and Michelle

so I would say the possibility of either

a medical situation that doesn't resolve

very quickly which could be very bad and

it might be just that um or there's

something else going on and so there may

be an early signal of that meanwhile

Costco has uh responded to criticisms

about his Dei programs by saying they're

planning to keep

them um so they like their Dei they have

a Dei manager I guess and they're going

to keep their Dei because it's worked

for them they say at Costco Robbie

Starbuck who's the activist who's had

huge success getting companies to

eliminate their Dei uh notes that Costco

is not high on his list because it would

be a hard one and it makes sense to do

the ones you know you can get because it

it creates momentum to get the hard ones

later so so Starbuck is telling us yeah

that's that's not on the top of the list

right now get to that one later

maybe but here's what I want to point

out uh Costco is uh 72% of top Costco

managers were men and 81% were

white let let me remind you that I have

been grossly discriminated in my life

for my G gender and my race you you all

know the stories I worked for a bank

they said I couldn't be promoted because

I was a white male I left I went to the

phone company eventually they said you

can't be promoted because you're a white

male I created a TV show that uh lost

its slot on Monday which ends up you

know being a death it's sort of a death

blow to a show to lose your time slot

because I was a white male and I had a

comic about a white guy and they decided

it was going to be an all

African-American comedy night and of

course I lost my entire uh publishing

and syndication career because I said

something that you would only be

punished for if you're a white

man and people didn't even disagree with

me it it wasn't even like I said

something people didn't disagree with

once they actually heard what it was in

context nobody disagreed I've never

heard a single person disagree with it

but I was canceled worldwide

now here's what you need to know every

one of those who cancelled

me was a white

guy all of them they were all white guys

protecting their own asses because they

knew they were in that position where

there should have been more diversity in

their own job but as long as they could

force people like me who had less power

than them to take the hit they can say

look at all these good things we're

doing we're getting rid of all these

white guys who say things you don't like

we're we're making sure that they can't

be promoted give me an extra bonus

because I've discriminated against white

men so let me say it again in my life

I'm not aware of even one time any black

American or any black person in any

country ever discriminated against me

not once not once have I been

discriminated against by white people

yes a lot a lot and I hate their

guts

so if you had a problem with me because

you're black we have a lot more in

common than you think first of all you

and I never had any problem ever not in

person not professionally not in any way

surprisingly and I know this would be a

surprise to you I didn't lose any black

friends none I only lost white friends

white people discrimina against white

people is an enormous problem

and if you get it wrong and you imagine

that it's the Dei hire

that that are the problem they don't

even get those jobs they don't even get

there until there's already been massive

discrimination by the white people so is

is

the you know is the police chief uh in

La you know who's a lesbian and I guess

three of the top people in the fire

department are lesbians is that an

indication that she's discriminating

against white men well she probably is

but you also have to open the

possibility that people tend to hire

people that they know you know that's

just a that's a worldwide pattern you

know the white CEO is far more likely to

hire just somebody they knew from

another job so that's probably pretty

pretty common anyway so I'm not in favor

of it any of the Dei but just keep it

straight it's white people discriminated

against white people is 95% of the

problem

95% but I love black

Americans uh I hate powerful white

Americans who discriminated against

me um Pete Heth nomination I didn't

watch every bit of it but I saw a lot of

clips and I'm going to say my

God I have to admit that when Pete Heth

was nominated I said to myself what TV

host he he's not even the like top rated

TV host

like what what why does that even make

sense now didn't some of you have that

same reaction when it was first

announced but then I found out more I I

didn't know the degree of his activism

on behalf of the military the soldiers

very impressive um I believe he signed

up

for twice right he was out of the

military briefly and decided to go back

in

right uh that's impressive

he is he's completely dedicated to the

the what he calls the warrior ethos

instead of the Dei you know trying to be

nice to everybody ethos he has got an iv

League education so he understands the

military the people the people on the

ground um he's brilliant because he's

got that college education pretty much

certifies he's smarter than the average

person by a lot and then I heard him

talk

wow when they say he's just a TV host

that's what the critics are saying uh

how about he has one of the best talent

Stacks I've ever

seen because if you if you include you

know his his immersion in the news you

know as a news person you had his talent

for speaking in public you had his ivy

league background you had his really

super relevant military experience and

recently that's like one of the

strongest Talon Stacks I've ever seen

But if you haven't seen yet the meme

there's a meme I I would show it to you

but you'll see it on all over the place

of heg Seth with his head is in the

middle of the meme and he's just sort of

looking you know looking around just

casually and then there's four boxes of

four of the female senators who are

literally yelling at him and they all

play at once while p is just sort of in

the middle

and then you you hear all four of them

talking over each

other and their

faces like rabid dogs except it's it's

like your worst you know your worst

relationship experience if you've ever

been

male now I know you're gonna say Scott

you're being

sexist because you could have put a

bunch of men in that and it would have

looked the same no it wouldn't

no it wouldn't it wouldn't look the same

if you put a bunch of men there it would

look you know maybe some of them are

asking crazy

questions but it wouldn't be the same

wouldn't be the same so as memes go it's

as soon as I saw it I thought to myself

this might be one of the best I've ever

seen because you have to know also that

the context was that um Pete had I think

before he was nominated he said things

about women in combat like him not being

in favor so the women were attacking

mostly about the that and some

accusations about his personal life that

had been

debunked but uh watching him um answer

the

questions so confidently and so clearly

and so perfectly State what he wanted to

do which is you know increase the The

lethality of it and to focus on that and

do the job of the military not not all

the not all the side stuff so well said

so well presented so

confident wow wow now I know that I will

be blamed for you know being all in on

Trump stuff and this sounds like one of

those

times I think this is just just

recognizing

quality that's all it looks like to me

so if the if the Democrats ran somebody

who could do what he did

to basically you know weather this

situation give me a clear statement of

exactly what he wants to do that matches

exactly with with what I want to do well

I would say good things about that

Democrat I I I promise you I would right

I say good things about Federman when

he's good I say good things about AOC

when when her persuasion is WR I don't

like most of the rest but I think I

would I would compliment a democrat in

this situation I just like this game it

was totally

good uh one of the my favorite Parts was

uh Senator Reed ask him what does jag

off mean so Jag refers to the you know

Jag and the military the the legal the

legal group of the

military uh which branch is that just is

that just the Air Force I forget but

it's legal term so so Senator I I guess

at some point uh um Pete must have said

something that used the phrase jag off

like as a insult to the Jag people or

something and so he's asked in public

what does jag off mean Senator Reed

asked

that now think of all the ways that you

could have answered that

wrong Pete just says everybody here

knows what that

means now that was the right

answer everything else was the wrong

answer there's

that was one of those situations where

he clearly had not prepared for it like

who would know that's coming but to give

that that clean an answer that was a

clean answer when you you've never heard

that that shows that he's got a quick

mind and he he can read the room so that

was perfect the people in the room knew

what it meant but uh God I wish I knew

what it

meant so you know the rest of us will

never

know jag off h

any

ideas maybe only the people in the room

knew what you know too okay we all

know all right uh Scott Jennings did a

post where he was talking about the uh

nomination stuff for pth and and all the

characters who were weighing in on it uh

during the questioning and uh Scott

Jennings said they didn't lay a glove on

Heth today why do dem send their dumbest

members to do this to this important

committee now my new nickname for Scott

Jennings is clown

Slayer because his specialty besides

just you know being the best voice on

the Republican side who's on

CNN uh is that he seems to just slay

clowns like the Democrats who just

shouldn't even be in the conversation

and and again not because they're

Democrats they are just legitimately

stupid now are there some legitimately

stupid Republicans I assume so but I

don't feel like they go I don't feel

like they're in front of the the parade

right when when you hear a republican

talking it's like oh Tom Cotton right

even if you disagree brilliant guy oh uh

ran M ran Paul oh well you might

disagree with a few things but brilliant

guy you know Thomas Massie oh might

disagree brilliant guy and you know you

can go that in the line but the the

Democrats do seem to send their

stupidest

people according to Scott Jennings but

now I don't usually disagree with Scott

Jennings so this might be the only time

I ever do I'm not sure that's their

stupidest

people I got bad news for

you it might be their

smartest it might

be I mean you tell me which one's the

smart SM

one yeah you tell

me yeah not much difference and then Tim

Kane uh was prominent but Tim Kane

looked like a the pointy here boss from

Dilbert except more gay so he looked

like the gay pointy horde boss now as

far as I know he's identifies as hro but

uh presents as a pointy here at gay

guy so that was fun I couldn't I

couldn't get my eyes off

it so and again if you know me well

enough you know that I never insult the

lgbtq community because I think they're

amazing uh the success they've had in

the United States reputationally

economically socially is just one of the

most impressive things I've ever

seen meanwhile over in South Korea I was

trying to ignore this because I thought

the story would go away but uh the

ex-president the one who was removed by

impeachment his name is uh uh

yuk

yal y n middle name

s last name ye o l now you might not

recognize that as a South Korean

president name but you might be confused

because it's also how a southern man in

the United States insults

somebody same

thing what you don't see it right so in

Korea he would be called

yunak and if it were an insult from a

southern gentleman it would be you suck

y'all you suck y'all as opposed to you

suck

y'all same thing anyway he uh he had

been impeached and they wanted to arrest

him but he used his own uh uh his

government security to prevent him from

being arrested

so he went into his little very well

protected compound and when they send

authorities to arrest him his own

security which is paid by the government

said nope we we protect him until that

job changes you're not arresting

anybody which I which I I really

respected now they came back with 1100

people so then the security force was so

outnumbered that quite reasonably they

knew that the smart thing to do was to

stand down than they did so he's

arrested uh he was a conservative he was

arrested by something more liberal on

the left uh there's some Insurrection

charges does any of this sound familiar

to you huh impeached Insurrection he's

the

conservative sound

familiar do you think we were behind

this do you think the United States may

have backed this I don't know

I do not

know but uh certainly suspect it all

right there's a little bit more in the

Palisades fire I know you're all tired

of it and if you're not a Californian

this may not be too important to you but

I remind you that California's economy

is bigger than 35 of the other states

put together and if California gets a

cold or what is it if California sneezes

the whole country is going to get a cold

so if you think this doesn't affect you

just wait it will it's going to affect

you I mean it affects everybody in

California whether you're in the fire

zone or not so we're all you know

there's a lot you haven't heard about

but we're all

struggling so things are not easy right

now for anybody and and that includes

people who have some extra resources uh

everybody's in a position they haven't

been in before so that the amount of

pressure on everybody is through the

roof and I don't know if you can fully

appreciate that if unless you've been

near a near one of these yourself but

here are some of the things we're

learning now that should bother you um

according to Rich McHugh from news

Nation there is video proof that there

was no response to from the fire

department to the Pacific Palisades fire

45 minutes after it was first

reported now I think that they can tell

that by some uh V video security from

one of the houses that was near the fire

and may may have been involved in

reporting it so I don't know if that's

confirmed because I've heard other

stories that the fire department did as

well as you'd

expect but that's out there so that I'm

going to call that

in uh an

allegation because I'll bet you if you

ask the fire department they'd say

something different so until I hear the

other story I'll just put a pin on that

one but there is some concern that they

didn't mobilize in Time Michael

shellenberger

um talks about uh some of the failures

and he had a good list that I'll

summarize for you uh first of all here's

a here's a take from Joel Pollock and

Breitbart uh Joel and by the way you

should be following Joel Pollock if you

have any interest whatsoever in the fire

because he's the only person the only

one who is a local and a you know a

national reporter and is working

full-time to make sure that people

understand what's going on and uh so

he's he's doing more than well I I don't

want to get too much into the details

but um we're gonna we're gonna owe him a

we're gonna owe him a lot when he's done

we're GNA owe him a lot a lot of people

are going to owe him a lot

um so he says that uh in La due to

budget budget cuts

that uh the fire department was not um

deployed wait do I have this wrong this

may have been sheld andberg or too so

there's some there some thought that uh

from some of the smartest people who

were watching that what should happen as

soon as there's a long-term weather

forecast and I didn't know this by the

way that what La should have done and

what would have been actually normal is

as soon as they had the forecast as said

wait a minute

we're going to have no rain and we're

going to have these winds and we know

there are all kinds of ignition

possibilities so in that condition what

you don't do is wait for a fire normally

that's the fire department's job is to

wait for a fire and respond in this case

you know there's a fire multiple so they

can know with complete certainty there

will be multiple gigantic fires what did

they do in advance

well not enough here's what they should

have done they should have put a truck

or two everywhere there was likely to be

an ignition and they know from history

what places are more likely so that they

could have gotten really quickly at

least with one truck to anything that

just flared up now that's a big

difference from what

happened so that didn't happen now why

didn't it happen well one of the reasons

is budget cuts one of the reasons is uh

a bunch of people got let go at some

point because they didn't get vaccinated

a bunch of it is like a hundred trucks

were in for repair probably also a

budget thing so between the budgets and

the bad management they had completely

eliminated their ability to do normal

stuff and normal in this case would have

been to have enough trucks and people to

predeployment is

the biggest in the end I think that's

going to be the biggest

thing um there's reporting that the fire

department did not know that the

reservoir had been drained but the

reservoir had been drained for 9 years

if the firemen if the fire department

didn't know that their main source of

water at least for that one area had

disappeared after N9 years it wasn't

anybody so I'm going to say I doubt the

reporting

that the fire department was not aware

it might be true that they were not

officially informed but not

aware a whole Reservoir didn't have

water and it was one of their main main

water sources for a place that certainly

was going to catch on fire it's not like

it maybe will catch on fire it was

certainly they didn't have anything in

the air that noticed there was no

resident who pointed it

out I don't know I'm not not sure I

believe that they didn't

know um

let's

see what else they should and of course

they should have have water sources that

were near the fires um they should have

required more clearing of bushes and

bushes and debris I think that might

have been a budget cut issue but the

Canyons were just filled with trees and

debris I don't know how much you can

clean a

canyon like can you really do that can

you remove the fire debris sufficiently

from a Canyon that it makes that much

difference I'm going to say yes because

the experts are saying so but I don't

know if that's really that much of a

thing um let's see the state or County

could have spent $50 million and had a

bunch of trucks maybe not the best ones

they could have be used ones or

lower-end ones but they could be staged

near the fire and that would make a big

difference um the number of calls that

the LA firefighters Mak in a year has

tripled over the last 30 years while the

Staffing is declined by a third so

clearly they did not you know some of it

is that the you number of homeless has

gone through the roof um anyway a lot of

this came I read this in PJ

media speaking of PJ

media uh they report that uh the

beginnings of what might be a recall

effort against Nome and the mayor bass

uh

so I don't know if uh that's going to

happen but they're about 17 yesterday

when I checked the Palisades fire were

only 177%

contained um but seemed like the other

fires were definitely getting under

control but not that that

one uh and there'll be new winds

whipping things up so I don't know if

anybody's going to get recalled some

smart people say Gavin Newsome will come

through a fine just by blaming Karen

bass for everything

and that might not be far off you know

honestly I don't think uh Nome should

keep his job for a variety of reasons

but I don't know if this specifically

was his fault you know the the fact that

he said some things that you didn't like

and you know acted like a clown I don't

know if it made anything worse but Karen

bass has some explaining to

do um one of the things Gavin's

done or I don't know if this is state or

this is local this might be

local but there are there's a you can't

do price gouging because that's you know

it's bad if you're price gouging but on

the other hand um it's kind of

impossible for the displaced people to

find any place to live unless new places

become available that weren't available

before so in other words

no nobody's going to make anything

available unless they already made it

available so if the economics and

incentives were there before the fire to

have a rental well maybe that's still

there but if you want somebody to open

up that you know the the in-law room

that you know used to have Grandma but

she died they weren't planning on

renting so if you want them to rent

maybe they're going to charge more than

the market rate because they're saying

oh well I can help somebody and I

wouldn't want to rent it but if somebody

wants to pay a little more or even a lot

more why would I stop them so you you've

got the economics of a free market and

the availability that is driven by

economics fighting against the we don't

want to have price

gouging and those two compete you kind

of have to pick one um I think the smart

economics in this particular case is to

let the price scouching happen and let

competition erase it so imagine if you

will that um somebody says hey uh the

rent here is double because you have so

few options what's that going to do to

your neighbor your neighbor is going to

say how much did you get they paid that

much rent whoa I'll try it

too now you've got competition then the

next person who says well I'll try it

too they can't get a a

renter um unless they lower the price so

they're competing with the other they're

going to compete with the other rentals

so

competition should make a temporary

spike in rents that is completely

unconscionable you know like people just

actually just abusing the the people who

have already been abused by the fire

itself that will definitely happen in a

free market but it's also the only

way you get real places that are

available and everybody's happy with the

price there's no other way to get there

the government can't get you there so

it's a tough choice and one understands

the impulse to limit

gouging but uh it's worse than you

think so um if you were to look at the

price of a house in La let's say you you

own a house and you wanted to say oh I

was thinking of moving and maybe I can

rent out my house I'm leaving

behind if you buy a house in California

bedroom house down there in LA in that

in that zip code 90402 would be about

$2.85

million um which means that the pay if

you bought it you'd be paying 20,000 a

month on your

mortgage what do you think you could

charge in

rent in that three-bedroom house do you

think you can get enough to pay your

$20,000 a month

mortgage

nope you you know I think the rental

will be I'm just

guessing 6,000 a month so there's no

economic way the the the the economics

just don't work so unless something was

already rental and has been for a long

time or you've owned your house and you

paid off the mortgage and you don't want

to sell it it doesn't work to rent I

remember when people used to say Scott

you've got a little extra money why

don't you buy some property and turn

them into rentals to which I say that's

not a thing there there's nothing I

could buy that wouldn't be more

expensive for me to own than compared to

what I could get the only special cases

you can do that where there's some weird

thing that got you a deal or you've

already paid it off or

something meanwhile over on CNN uh

somebody named Aisha Mills Democrat

strategy strategist she's a black woman

which is important to the story and I

think she was complaining about Trump

once saying that there were a lot of bad

genes among the

migrants now if you know how language

works and you interpret Trump correctly

a lot of bad genes means they're a lot

of criminals and if their genes are bad

as opposed to society is giving them a

bad start then there's nothing you can

do about it and the only thing you

should do to keep out people with bad

genes criminals is to not let them in in

the first place so that's how I take it

but apparently Aisha and some of the

Democrats have taken that as racism oh

are you saying that everybody who comes

across the border has bad genes no he

didn't say that oh you're saying that on

average they have worse genes than white

people no he did not say that what he

said was a lot of bad genes a lot is not

all of them Allah is too many how many

people who are just

going to be committing crimes you know

in America we already have people who do

like all the crimes right some tiny

amount of people do all the crimes do

you think that they're genetically the

same as the people who are the same

demographic as them I don't think so you

show me the black guy who's got like 25

convictions and then compare them to you

know your your black friend in the

cubicle next to you do they have the

same genes no they have different genes

the what whatever is causing the 25

crimes in a row situation is not what's

happening to Bob and the cubicle next to

you so to imagine that that's a

statement about the demographic

group it's just

weird like who who would take it that

way you'd have to you'd have to

aggressively want to interpret it wrong

to to get to all the ways she got but

anyway so during that conversation there

was a bald white guy whose name I can't

remember but he does a pretty good job

of supporting the Trump side of things

and she said to him on the air quote I'm

not going to be lectured by some white

man who has no idea what he's talking

about now suppose a white man said that

about

her let's just reverse it because both

of the characters on CNN are presumably

very successful professionals you know

they they've got high-end jobs like

really high-end so we we can treat them

as you know not like one is the

oppressor and one's the victim they're

they're both in a good good shape

compared to the average person in

society do you think that if the man

she'd been talking to a white man had

said I'm not going to be lectured by

some black woman who has no idea what

she's talking about how long would that

guy

last as a guest on that show that would

be the end of it they probably would

just go to Commercial and say all right

you're not invited back and I think the

host would say you're never coming back

we don't do that

here she should have said the same thing

the other way we don't do that here yeah

don't do that now even if that's the

only thing that happened I'd be totally

happy uh what was the host the host was

Aaron I'm forgetting your last name but

uh man you know I didn't see what

happened after but if but if she didn't

say we have some standards that that's

beyond our standard if you want to be

invited back that's that's that's not

working that's all I wanted I I just

wanted a little bit of push back I'm not

asking for jail I'm not even asking that

she'd not be invited back I just need

that just that just a recognition that

that's not

acceptable anyway uh guess fiser has

this lawsuit coming against them for

anti-white

discrimination uh Greg Piper is writing

about that in just the news and there

was some challenge to that and that got

passed so that lawsuit will go forward

so

fizer going to have a little bit more to

worry

about over at

MSNBC uh the head of the network Rashida

Jones is stepping down now that's a

weird phrase isn't it stepping down

don't does what does that sound

like stepping

down isn't she moving sideways because

she said she's got other you know she

wants to work on other stuff so why is

that

down maybe the other stuff is better

isn't that up anyway it was a weird

choice of words

um but she's being replaced at least

temporarily with a of course I checked a

white woman and I said to myself

hm replaced with a white woman now I

don't see an indication that the white

woman is a

lesbian and so is that diverse enough

for MSNBC you know women are good they

they like women but I think they like

women who you know if you're going to be

in prime time you got to be little extra

a woman in black a woman and gay you

know lesbian so I don't know it was a

white woman and so I was first thinking

I don't know I don't think they've

they've nailed that cuz it's a white

woman and she just doesn't seem on

entirely on

brand uh but then I saw what iear she

was wearing her glasses and then I

understood let me explain it to you

without showing you the

glasses you know if somebody walks

around the corner you make an instant

judgment If somebody walks around the

corner with glasses like mine I'm hoping

they say oh there's a guy with glasses

and that's it right but I'm just going

to tell you what would happen if the new

head of

MSNBC which again might be temporary U

if you saw her coming around the corner

you would instantly see her glasses the

the type in style and you would say to

yourself oh

God so if you haven't looked her up yet

do this and have a good laugh just go

look at what glasses she's wearing and

then ask you yourself what you would do

if she walked around the corner in any

context any context she walks around the

corner and you look at her and you go

just the glasses oh

God check it out you'll think it's funny

anyway Hamas says they reached a deal

with Israel to release a third of the

hostages um there's some people who say

that didn't happen I don't know

maybe but I'm wondering if Israel is

figured out the ultimate prisoner

exchange so as I understand it Israel

typically will give up lots of people

for every one person that they get in

return so it might be 50 to1 10 to1 so

there going to be a whole bunch of

people that Israel thinks belong in jail

that that would be returned and is my

first impression was how's that right I

mean you can all those down you know it

seems like you're just making it worse

there's the picture yeah

uh um but I wonder if Israel is so

clever that they're going to return all

the hostages to the war zone so they can

kill them more effectively later so it'd

be better to kill them than to keep them

in jail so it feels like they're going

to get their prisoners back and take

them to a safe place but the ones that

they wanted to keep in prison are

probably the ones who want to go back to

the war zone which is probably exactly

where Israel wants them to be so they

can kill them

I feel like Israel just found a way to

kill their prisoners they just have to

do it

indirectly stage one we'll release them

stage two we'll put them back in in the

Gaza where they want to go stage

three

goodbye all right I'm going to close

with I'm going to I'm going to throw in

a bad

idea okay now the way I do this is that

the bad idea the purpose of it is to to

make you think of a better idea so this

is to make you think differently it's

not that I necessarily think this is a

good idea because there may be some

hidden problems Etc and here what it's a

idea for

Doge so right now people pay 6 and a

half% on their salary to Social Security

so my idea is to make that go away that

goes to zero so everybody who has a

salary gets this instant 65% raise which

is more than

65% because well 6 and half% raise um so

that would uh that would give everybody

some extra cash so they would be able to

spend a little bit more but how do you

fund retirement well here's the bad idea

right remember I'm I'm calling it a bad

idea but I don't know why so you'll tell

me why it's bad because I'm I'm pretty

sure it's bad but uh if you look at at

the total value of the Fortune 500 uh

you know the total capitalization it's

um value if you added up all the stock

basically it'd be over $50

trillion if you were to say we've got to

cover $1.3 trillion in Social Security

payments at the moment and

growing um how much of that stock would

you have to effectively tax um to pay

for it so imagine if instead of anybody

paying anything that for several years

that you know maybe up to 10 5 to 10

years suppose that we keep the old

system in place where we'll while we're

building up a new system and the new

system would look like this once a year

every company in the Fortune 500 has to

print some new stock which would dilute

their existing shareholders a little bit

uh and 2 and a half% of their Capital

value

would go to a fund that would be for

everybody's

retirement now what you're saying is

Scott you're just taking a tax away from

the citizens and their paychecks and

you're just giving it to their

employers

so you know doesn't it end up the same

no I'm not giving it to their employers

I'm giving I'm I'm taxing the

stockholders and if you own a lot of

stock in the Fortune of 500 nobody feels

sorry for you so it's automatically uh

you know a progressive tax the people

who own the most assets would be hit the

hardest but since the stock market goes

up 8% a year or more um you know the it

sort sort of still is okay now you ask

yourself but Scott people nobody's going

to invest in the Fortune 500 which is

the biggest investment vehicle right now

because you're degrading the return to

which I say

no The Fortune 500 is 25% better than

all the Alternatives all it does is make

them equal and if you wanted to do

what's easy and

safe you'd buy that you know which is

what I do I have most of my money is in

the Fortune

500 so on one hand it's a transfer of a

dollar for a dollar from one part of

society to another so it's from the

people who need to buy buy things to the

people who add extra money and put it in

the stock

market so the first thing is the people

who are the employees have extra money

so they spend more who is the main

beneficiary of employees having more

money to spend it's the Fortune 500 so

the Fortune 500 could potentially put 2

and a half% well dilute its dilute its

value to add the Y add some stock and

it'd be 2% 2 and a half% pay it every

year but the economy would be so

Juiced that their profits would probably

go up to and a half

percent you know or something

compensating amount so if you if you tax

the people who don't have money the

result is people spend less that's bad

for the Fortune 500 if you let them

spend more they're they're happier

because they're buying stuff they need

and the 500 has a massive amount 1

trillion extra spending that just didn't

exist so my question is

this is that better because from the

government's perspective there would be

kind of out of the business of Social

Security they might be still managing

the payments and stuff like that and you

know policing it but it wouldn't be part

of the

budget so it wouldn't be something you

paid and it wouldn't be something that

the government took from your salary and

gave to the retirement now it have to be

adjusted for the fact that there are

more retire and everything else but my

main question is

this if if you look at all the pluses

and minuses it's the same amount of

money that goes to the retirees but

since the the stock you

collect would especially if you built up

you know 5 to 10 years of these

collections the stock you collect

would go up on its own and you're not

giving it out the same day that you're

getting it with with so you would have

the possibility that if you collected

you

know a few trillion the several trillion

could sit there gaining just as things

gain and then you're you're basically

keeping up with inflation and better so

I do not claim that I've I've thought of

everything and these are all good ideas

is this is more of a bu Greenland

idea so you see what I'm doing this is a

bu Greenland this is the external re

Revenue Service this it's the same

persuasion first I'm going to make you

think well maybe it's a

thing and then you'll say what are the

pluses and the minuses and then we'll

have a productive conversation

eventually smarter people will get

involved smart a lot smarter than me and

then they'll decide if that's good or

bad but you're not going to have that

conversation and it won't remind you of

a better one unless you first say huh I

wonder if that's a thing is that a thing

and it could be that you know it turns

into some hybrid where you get stuck

sometimes instead of payments maybe you

can opt in that sort of thing who knows

but

first just imagine that it's a thing

that you could get rid of the Social

Security tax and you might do something

that's some kind of an equivalent with

the Fortune 500 oh here's the here's the

part I forgot to tell you that's

actually very important do you know why

companies like to get into Fortune

500 it's because their stock goes up

once you're in the 500 you have an

enduring systemic advantage over

everybody who's not in the top 500

because the big um funds all by the top

500 so the moment your stock goes in

into

it every stock index fund buys that and

your price goes up in theory so why does

the 500 and first company get none of

that benefit is that fair so taxing the

Fortune 500 you're basically taking from

them only the unfair Advantage they get

by being in the top

500 so do Democrats hate that no we all

kind of hate that the elites have

special privileges we don't being in the

top 500 is a special privilege for a

company it's not like other things so if

the only thing you're doing is modifying

this special privilege so it's a little

closer to other companies that doesn't

feel

unfair and especially since the Fortune

500 gets the most benefit from anything

that gooses the economy in a legitimate

way so it's surprisingly a surprisingly

robust idea isn't it I don't think I've

got the the math right and I've probably

forgotten some things but the funny part

is it's not

instantly it's not instantly

rejectable doesn't mean it's good I

would be very surprised if if it's a

clean good idea but I I added to the mix

trying to be helpful now I remind

you one of the superpowers I claim to

hold uh is resistance to EMB

embarrassment so do you think I would

bring this

up unless I had almost complete

resistance to embarrassment

nope nope because I'm probably five

minutes away from somebody saying ah you

idiot uh you forgot X and then I'm going

to say oh man you're right I totally

forgot X will I be embarrassed not even

a little so so I can I can add this to

the collective

thinking with the thinking that you know

maybe it Sparks somebody's better idea

you know maybe it just makes it look

possible and I don't worry about the

embarrassment that's just free there's

no risk to me so learn to be not

embarrassed and you will be much better

value to the people around you that's

all I got for you today I'm going to say

hi to the locals people privately in 30

seconds the rest of you I'll see you

tomorrow and enjoy your day

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