Episode 2819 CWSA 04/24/25
China, Trump, Ukraine, and lots of other fun ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
The stock market is up at the moment. Things could change quickly. You never know. I didn't think it would be up today. I thought that after that big rise yesterday it would be crashing back to Earth a little bit. Maybe it will later. We'll see. My comments will be coming online. Come on. Technolog…
View segment →like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny human brains, all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass, a tankard, a chalice, a canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unp…
View segment →, female lobbyists are more likely to gain access to meetings with policy makers. Did they really have to study that to find out that female lobbyists can get meetings with policy makers more easily? Apparently even with female policy makers. But I would have known that too. Let me tell you about m…
View segment →3 and Model Y that's delivered in the United States uses batteries that are 100% made in America? Did you think we could even do that? I didn't even know that America could make that many batteries. But apparently Tesla has been able to make all of its batteries completely in America for some time n…
View segment →e's new unredacted documents about Hunter Biden search warrants that detail payments he received from Ukraine and China and I guess some other places like Romania and elsewhere around the globe. So we have actual documents showing Hunter Biden getting money from these other countries. I'm pretty sur…
View segment →glove. If the CIA needed to get a message out, they could do it through the Washington Post. Now that's the allegation. And then when Bezos bought the Washington Post, which was bleeding money, you probably said to yourself, why would he do that? Like why would you buy something that really couldn't…
View segment →blox is and you've seen the video of him. If you haven't, it's not funny at all, but it looks like Roblox. New York Magazine has a big piece about Alex Soros and Alex Soros apparently is very committed to the far left of the Democrat party, which is interesting to me because that's what's going to…
View segment →rently this organization, the biggest financial backers are Bill Gates and George Soros Open Society Foundation. So there's a big organization, 400 NGOs, supported financially by Gates and Soros. But what's interesting is the people who are on the board. The advisory board includes everything from H…
View segment →d, and they have a shouting match. To me that's not bad news at all. That's sort of like just what you'd want. You'd want people really caring, really smart, and if they disagree they're not going to give up. They just go at each other. So I wouldn't be surprised you're going to see Elon Musk phasi…
View segment →tuff was all solved. If you solved it immediately you would still have a problem that the ships had been used for other things and there wouldn't be enough ships to make up for the shortfall because everybody would be scrambling for the same materials. So we're going to have some pretty serious shor…
View segment →id. I think it's kind of obvious at this point. He says quote one thing that I'm pretty much convinced of is that Trump will not go back to Congress for more appropriations to fund Ukraine's war or its military or whatever one wants to call it. I agree. So Trump did a big truth post about Zelensky…
View segment →all with somebody takes down a satellite or somebody tries to knock out somebody's power plant and their moon base or something like that. But I feel like space war is just guaranteed just because of human nature. So maybe and that ladies and gentlemen is all I needed to talk about today. I will te…
View segment →It's just as immoral right? It's just as unethical. It's just as evil to kill a thousand babies. But in that case because self-defense is invulnerable to morality and ethics really if the self-defense is big enough you're saving an entire country which would include saving a lot more babies than you…
View segment →a problem here. All right. So I'm having a technical problem where updating the stream is not working which suggests that I cannot go private with the people on locals at the moment but I didn't have much else to say so you're not missing anything. So I'm going to see if I can close the stream and i…
View segment →The stock market is up at the moment. Things could change quickly. You never know. I didn't think it would be up today. I thought that after that big rise yesterday it would be crashing back to Earth a little bit. Maybe it will later. We'll see.
My comments will be coming online. Come on. Technology is a little slow today. You can do it. All right, we'll get to that later, I guess.
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Spectacular. All right, everybody. Let's check in with the world of science and see if there's any scientific studies that they could have skipped just by asking Scott.
Oh, here's one. According to UCL political science, female lobbyists are more likely to gain access to meetings with policy makers. Did they really have to study that to find out that female lobbyists can get meetings with policy makers more easily? Apparently even with female policy makers. But I would have known that too.
Let me tell you about my career day when I was a senior in college. In my little college in upstate New York, when I was a senior, a bunch of local companies would come in and they would interview the seniors to maybe make job offers. And one of the big employers was a pharmaceutical company looking for sales reps. And I knew a lot of people in the college. It was a very small college. And I saw that the people I was competing against, because we were sort of lining up to do our little interviews, weren't nearly as accomplished as me academically. So I'm thinking to myself, this is going to be easy. I am so going to get this job offer to be a pharmaceutical representative.
And the other people who were in line were really hot girls who were not that good at academics. And every single one of the hot girls got an offer to be a pharmaceutical sales rep. And none of the guys, not a single male, was offered anything. And that's where I learned that you don't need to do a study to find out that women can get more access to meetings. Yes, women can definitely get more access to meetings. You could have just asked me.
All right, let's see if science has any more surprises. Oh yeah, here we go. According to Eric Dolan, who's writing in PsyPost, there's new evidence, new research in the Journal of Affective Disorders that suggests that people who engage in sexual activity at least once a week are less likely to experience symptoms of depression. Somebody actually took time and money to study that. Yes, people who are getting laid are happier than people who are not getting laid. Period.
Now, sometimes the cause and effect can go either way in that particular case. But yes, people who are having more sex, I can almost guarantee you on average are happier than people who are not having sex. So next time just ask me. You don't need to do that study. Just ask me.
In other news of hilarious science, do you remember the claims that were all over social media that some group had used some wild technology that was looking under the pyramids and they found these vast columns suggesting an entire different civilization was at work for years before the pyramids? And as soon as I saw that, I said, "No, that's not real." Well, apparently today, according to the AFP, the scientists are saying it's a rubbish claim and there's no giant structures beneath the Egyptian pyramids. But apparently all the experts who are aware of the technology that they use to image under the ground, pretty much all of them say that technology can't do that. Even if there were giant columns under the pyramids, you couldn't see them with that technology. That definitely wouldn't work.
So I could be wrong. Maybe there are giant pillars under the pyramids, but I'm going to claim at least temporarily, I'm going to claim success in debunking that without doing any research at all. As soon as I saw that one, I thought probably not. Probably not.
Here's another one. The science is all so stupid today. According to the Daily Mail, the Vatican has in its documents, you know, secret archives, it has secret links to UFOs. And some researchers now believe that the Holy See could be sitting on the biggest secret of all, proof of extraterrestrial life. Do you think the Vatican has proof of extraterrestrial life and they've been keeping it from us? I'm going to say nope. Nope. Not unless that alien life is under those pyramids. I'm going to say no on that.
All right. Here's one that is real. According to Elon Musk, your Tesla will soon be a robo taxi if you want. Now, what I think that means is you can just park your Tesla outside your garage and then if somebody has an app, now this isn't functional yet, but it's all developed and looks like it'll roll out pretty soon, you could just call up a self-driving Tesla and it will just pull out of your driveway and go pick somebody up and make some money while you're sleeping.
How many of you would let strangers use your car? I feel like it would be creepy to know that other people were in your car doing god knows what because there's no driver there. But it would be like Uber but without the driver. What's the worst thing about an Uber? It's the driver. The worst thing about an Uber is the driver. Because if you're young or you're female, you have to worry about the driver being dangerous. If you're male, you have to worry about the driver playing the radio or making a phone call or being really annoying and trying to talk to you the whole time. So there's nothing worse about Uber than the driver. There's also the thing where the driver will start to come to you and then for reasons you don't understand they cancel or they change their mind. That's not the technology doing that. That's the driver.
So if you can get rid of the driver and Tesla could be like Uber in all the other ways, yeah, that'd be pretty good.
Speaking of Tesla, I saw this in a summary. I guess the source is Tesla, but did you know that every Model 3 and Model Y that's delivered in the United States uses batteries that are 100% made in America? Did you think we could even do that? I didn't even know that America could make that many batteries. But apparently Tesla has been able to make all of its batteries completely in America for some time now. So that's interesting to know.
And according to a post I saw on X by Nick Cruz Patain, he says that Tesla vehicles share the same batteries, cameras, and computers as the Optimus robots will. So I think I kind of guessed that it would be the same AI and computers and why wouldn't they use the same batteries, you know, the smaller versions. So yeah, you're going to have robots and self-driving cars, and it's all coming quickly.
In other news, the Washington Post is reporting that Trump has ordered that schools develop some kind of AI training for American kids. I guess China's already doing this. China is forcing kids in China at the youngest age to learn AI. And now Trump's trying to catch up and he's going to put cryptobillionaire David Sacks, that's one way to describe him, I wouldn't describe him as a cryptobillionaire, that feels dismissive, but David Sacks will be involved in that. And the executive order will force schools to train students and teachers in artificial intelligence. That seems like a really wise thing to do. And I think Trump also signed an executive order to get more trade training to young people as well. That could be good.
In other news, Paramount, I guess they own CBS, they settled a discrimination suit over DEI policies. There was a specific white man who couldn't get a job within that entity within CBS because he was told directly that he didn't check any boxes for DEI. So even though he was highly qualified and experienced, he just couldn't get a job at CBS as a writer. They just needed more DEI. So America First Legal took that case and pressed it and apparently succeeded. So I don't know if there's a financial settlement, but the company Paramount and CBS decided to publicly back away from all the DEI stuff. So that's good. So only one million companies to go.
I remember when I got cancelled and I told my story about how back in the 80s and 90s it was almost impossible to get promoted if you were a white man in San Francisco. And I remember I think it was an editor, a black editor in Chicago who challenged me on X and said, "There's no evidence of that. You're making that up." And I thought, making it up? If you want to find out if it's true that in the 80s and 90s a white man couldn't get promoted as long as there was anybody who wasn't a white man who also wanted the job, you could just walk outside and just go up to any white man if they were 50 years old or older and just tap them on the shoulder and say, "Hey, were you ever discriminated against for being a white man?" They would have all said yes. You've got something like probably 30 to 50 million witnesses. And yet there was an educated, successful, professional black man in Chicago who had no idea that that existed.
Do you know why? Because if you even mentioned it, you would get cancelled. You couldn't even mention it. So now that I don't have to worry about having a boss, I can mention it. But imagine what a surprise that would be to have lived your whole life without knowing that white men were the ones most discriminated against, at least in corporate America. I think small businesses probably were the opposite. I don't know for sure. But in the big businesses, yes, it was anti-white men since at least the mid 80s and quite severely so. You know, not slightly, but it was the main texture of the employment market. So one million companies to go.
Trump also signed an executive order requiring universities to disclose their foreign funding. Now that seems like a good idea, doesn't it? You know, I never realized how vulnerable the United States was to all the clever ways that we could be influenced and infiltrated until I saw what George Soros could do with prosecutors. It's like, holy cow, he doesn't have to spend much money and then he gets all these local prosecutors and then they can do all kinds of evil. But apparently the same problem existed with colleges and universities because they took money from China and other places and there would be influence. So yes, we should know who's influencing our colleges and universities. That seems like a good idea.
According to Jerry Dunleavy who's writing for Just the News, there's new unredacted documents about Hunter Biden search warrants that detail payments he received from Ukraine and China and I guess some other places like Romania and elsewhere around the globe. So we have actual documents showing Hunter Biden getting money from these other countries. I'm pretty sure that some of this was while his father was vice president. And I guess the IRS and the FBI was fully aware that he was receiving this money from foreign sources, but there were no investigations. There were no arrests, no nothing. So apparently our major government entities that are supposed to keep people on the right side of the law, they just saw this Biden crime family situation and said, we're not going to touch this. So apparently the Biden crime family was exactly what you thought it was. They were taking money from other countries and selling their influence or at least the impression of influence. I'm not sure how much influence they actually sold.
I'm loving how the Maryland dad who may or may not be MS-13 story is developing because it couldn't be more fun. Even though it's terrible, it couldn't be more fun because every day it seems like there's a new revelation about Kilmar Abrego Garcia. So that makes it even more embarrassing for the Democrats to be fully on board supporting this guy. So the latest is you already knew that he had been once stopped while he was driving a vehicle with eight people in it who only had Garcia's home address as their address. Now that's a strong indication that he was involved in human trafficking, meaning picking up people at the border who were not citizens and delivering them to the interior of the country and having them stay here illegally. But what we've learned is that the vehicle did not belong to Kilmar. It belonged to somebody who was a target suspected of human trafficking. Apparently our authorities knew that that particular vehicle made trips to the southern border to pick up non-citizens. So pretty much for sure he was doing human trafficking.
So now the Democrats have to support somebody who is credibly accused of being an MS-13 guy and now credibly accused of being a human trafficker and credibly accused of being a wife beater. And you wonder how much deeper this can go. Like how many new things can we find out about this guy? I feel like it's going to go, and yes, it did turn out he murdered some nuns. And then a week later we'll find out, well, yes, he kept their bodies in a freezer in the basement. And then a week later it'll be like, he's a cannibal. He is a cannibal. And the Democrats will still be racing down to El Salvador to say, free the cannibal, the human trafficker wife beating MS-13 cannibal. Free him now because process makes all the difference.
You know what I worry about? This is something I learned from the Democrats. You've probably heard that there's something called the Department of Justice and they will often arrest people for things like murder and then those people will be sent to jail if they're convicted. And I'm thinking, isn't that kind of a slippery slope? If they could arrest people who are proven to have murdered people and they could put those people in jail, can't they pick up people who have never murdered anybody and never committed any crimes at all and put them in jail too? According to Democrats, that would be a risk. I learned that from the story about Kilmar Abrego Garcia.
Well, Governor Abbott in Texas just signed some legislation to give Texas their own state DOGE. So I guess they're going to build the ability to make their government more efficient. But there was one thing that I loved about the statement. This is from Abbott. He said that the new DOGE in Texas will ensure that Texas is operating at the speed of business and it will make it easier for Texans to do business blah blah. I love that framing that the government in Texas will operate at the speed of business. I don't think you could phrase that better. Now somebody said that that was a UPS slogan from long ago, but no matter where they got it, that is just such a well-chosen phrase that the state could operate at the speed of business because that's exactly what you want. You want the government not to slow you down.
Speaking of that, according to the Washington Times, the amount that businesses spend to satisfy federal regulations, of which there are thousands of new ones every year, is $2.1 trillion per year. Yeah, actually more than that. So the amount that we waste by just satisfying various infinite government federal regulations, this is just federal, this is not even state, $2.1 trillion per year. That's the same as the entire amount of the budget deficit. $2.1 trillion. I think we can do better.
According to the Hill, the Washington Post has struck a deal with OpenAI. So now if you're using OpenAI and you're searching for something that has been in the news, it will give you summaries and quotes and links from the Washington Post. So how do you feel about that? The Washington Post will be a primary, maybe the primary news source for the biggest AI, OpenAI. Does that give you anything to worry about? Well, I'll tell you, my trust in OpenAI as a source of independent and accurate information just went down 40%. Approximately 40%.
Because as you know, and of course I can't prove this, but the Washington Post has always been alleged to be kind of tight with the intelligence community of the United States, sort of working hand in glove. If the CIA needed to get a message out, they could do it through the Washington Post. Now that's the allegation. And then when Bezos bought the Washington Post, which was bleeding money, you probably said to yourself, why would he do that? Like why would you buy something that really couldn't possibly make money? And was it because Jeff Bezos wanted to control the news? There's not really any indication of that. But would it be because Jeff Bezos has a gigantic contract with the CIA for cloud services? And could it be that Jeff Bezos was asked by the CIA to buy the Washington Post so they still had an entity that they could control? Could it be?
Now I don't know. I don't have proof of any of that, but that's what it looks like. And what this looks like is if you assume that the CIA would really have to give some kind of backdoor control of the big AI companies, especially OpenAI. So my speculation is that the intelligence people in this country pretty much had to have a little bit of control over AI because that's where everybody's going to get their information. Probably had some control over the Washington Post, not for every story, but for things they cared about. Probably had some influence over Bezos buying the Washington Post. I don't have any proof of that whatsoever. It just sort of looks like it. And to me it looks like they're making sure that their source, the one that they would use if they needed to use it, the Washington Post, is the one that the AI refers to. So my trust in what I hear about the news from OpenAI, down 40%.
According to Scott Presler, there are 13 Democrat Senate seats up for election in 2026. So more than a third of the Democrat senators are retiring. More than a third. So isn't that incredible? So does it seem to you like if you're trying to figure out what is our system of government, some would say it's the deep state, some would say it's the uniparty. We'll talk about that in a minute. Some would say it's a competitive thing between two parties and sometimes one wins and sometimes the other. But I think we forget how much is luck because this looks like the luckiest thing that could possibly happen for Republicans that just by complete coincidence, there's no driving force for any of it, that a third of the Democrats are retiring. I mean that kind of strongly suggests that the Republicans are going to have a vice grip on the Senate for a while. So it's luck. I mean that's just pure luck. So luck is apparently what runs our country more than anything else. Just pure luck.
Well, Mike Davis was appearing on Steve Bannon's The War Room and he said he met with Trump officials inside the DOJ and arrests will come soon. And I said to myself, arrests of who? For what? Is it Epstein related? Is it deep state related? Is it something about Soros's prosecutors? Who exactly do we think is going to get arrested? And I'm going to join the skeptics because it seems to me that Kash Patel and Dan Bongino have been a little bit too quiet. Now it could be they're just playing it cool and there's something really big coming like really big arrests maybe. But I'm going to go contrarian on this and say I don't think that we're ever going to see any big arrests. Not for Epstein. Not for the Russia collusion hoax. Not for any of the bad behavior that we've all witnessed. Not for the Biden crime family. Not for anything. So I'm going to say I predict no major arrests. I just don't think it's happening.
For whatever has allowed people to run wild and commit just obvious crimes right in front of the public, there's something that's protecting them. It might be different things for different people, but I don't think the thing that's protecting them ever stopped. So whatever it is that protects them, it's probably still there. So I don't expect any big arrests, but I'd love to be wrong about that.
James O'Keefe's undercover operation, O'Keefe Media Group, they got a new video of a Department of Defense branch chief who says President Trump is quote illegitimate and the branch chief has vowed to quote resist him and everything he does. Can you believe that there's somebody who works for Trump in the Department of Defense, has what looks like a high level job, a branch chief, and would say out loud to a date that he plans to resist him and everything he does? Now I assume he's already fired by now, but it's just unbelievable that our government just doesn't even recognize the elected leader. They're just going to act like they're doing the right thing.
The weirdest thing is that the guy that's on the undercover video, he looks like a character from Roblox, which is hilarious if you know what Roblox is and you've seen the video of him. If you haven't, it's not funny at all, but it looks like Roblox.
New York Magazine has a big piece about Alex Soros and Alex Soros apparently is very committed to the far left of the Democrat party, which is interesting to me because that's what's going to keep the Democrats from winning. So I think Soros senior who was really good at keeping Democrats in power by funding just the right stuff, he's replaced by his son who is not nearly as clever according to people who know them both. And the son is very committed to the far-left stuff, the progressive stuff, which would suggest that at the moment Alex Soros would be the main reason that Democrats can never win again because as long as they cling to funding and promoting the far-left stuff, they're going to be so far from what the mainstream American actually wants, they're going to be in that 20-80 problem again.
So even though Soros says his main priority is winning, so he wants to keep Trump and the Republicans out of office, but he seems to have picked the one and only way that it can't happen by promoting the least popular things in America. So good luck. Good luck with that.
I've talked before about a researcher called Data Republican, and if you're on X you should follow Data Republican. And Data Republican has uncovered what she describes as the uniparty, like the nest. It's almost like I think there's a nest of people who are like the deep state uniparty. And apparently the nest has been discovered. Mike Benz has commented on this like this is a big discovery. But apparently there's something called the US Global Leadership Corporation. Have you ever heard of it? The US Global Leadership Corporation? No, of course you haven't. You've never heard of it. And it represents 400 NGOs, non-government organizations and businesses. And its mission is to quote support the smart power approach of elevating diplomacy and development alongside defense in order to build a better safer world.
Now as Data Republican explains, if you've been with me long enough, meaning if you follow Data Republican, you know that is code for increasing NGO influence in military affairs. So this is a group of people who are representing over 400 NGOs and all the money that would be involved in that whose main thing is to essentially be a military assistant force so that if we're going to take over a country or get military with it these NGOs would be the supporting entities.
Now apparently this organization, the biggest financial backers are Bill Gates and George Soros Open Society Foundation. So there's a big organization, 400 NGOs, supported financially by Gates and Soros. But what's interesting is the people who are on the board. The advisory board includes everything from Hillary Clinton to a bunch of ex secretaries of defense to a bunch of senators to governors. And here's the payoff. It's both parties. This is the uniparty nest.
So what Data Republican says is the importance of this cannot be understated. This is the first solid confirmation I've seen that Soros and Bill Gates are backers of the so-called uniparty network. So you know how people use the phrase uniparty whenever war is involved. So there's big differences between Democrats and Republicans on a lot of social domestic stuff like trans and sports and DEI and stuff like that. But there's another level, a higher level where we're making decisions about where the military is going to be deployed and how many trillions of dollars we're going to spend bombing other countries. That is often referred to as the uniparty because no matter how much we disagree on domestic stuff, somebody powerful is apparently all on the same page, Republican and Democrat, when it comes to war. Possibly because they benefit from it. That would be my follow the money speculation. Maybe they're just true believers and they think that the US needs this to project this kind of power in order to be successful. But I feel like it's far more likely that they're just part of an entity that supports each other and have ties to the military-industrial complex and are wagging the dog in the United States and causing at least causing from the background more wars than we might have wanted. So we'll keep an eye on that. But maybe the nest of the uniparty has been discovered. That would be kind of interesting.
The CBO has estimated that by 2035 the US debt could be $54 trillion. I think there's no chance of that. We would be dead long before that. If we get to a debt of $54 trillion in 2035, I don't think we can because I don't think we'd be able to finance that debt. I think everything would come crashing down. But apparently that's their estimate. $54 trillion by 2035. There's no way we could survive that. So if it happens, good luck.
There are reports that Elon Musk had shouting matches with Scott Bessent and that it happened in the White House and it was within hearing distance of the president and other people and it went on for a while and I guess the F-word was used and some of it had to do with staffing decisions. But here's my take. I like Elon Musk and I like the way he thinks and I like Scott Bessent and I like the way he thinks. And then I doubly like the fact that they're so passionate that they would yell it out behind closed doors. And I don't mind at all that the word got out because if they had just simply agreed on everything I'd wonder what's up. But this is sort of my perfect world when you've got two people that capable, that well-informed, and that connected to the world, and they have a shouting match. To me that's not bad news at all. That's sort of like just what you'd want. You'd want people really caring, really smart, and if they disagree they're not going to give up. They just go at each other.
So I wouldn't be surprised you're going to see Elon Musk phasing out of his government DOGE work. I think some of that is because it was going to happen anyway in May. I think his time was up. But I think that also it wasn't working because the government sort of maybe is open to anything new like a DOGE person coming in and shaking things up, but in fairly quick order they're going to want to have their own control. So I think Elon Musk was probably a little too dangerous to have running around for too long in the government. So I think he did an amazing job and may have created a structure that can continue making things more efficient and saving money, but it should be said that it never got close to the trillion dollars. And I think that's one of the things that Scott Bessent was criticizing him for. And then Musk was allegedly criticizing Bessent for being some kind of a Soros related person because I guess he worked with Soros at one point. So that's pretty exciting.
But yeah, I would expect that Elon Musk will phase his time back to Tesla. And Tesla's at a really exciting time. It's weird that their sales are down because of the political connection, but at the same time their products have never been this exciting. I mean they're right on the edge of full auto taxi, robots, use your car for an Uber. This is just the best stuff we've ever seen in technology. This is like the birth of the smartphone, the birth of the computer. So Tesla is really well set for I don't know just maybe decades of dominance in a few different areas. So it does make sense that Musk would turn his attentions back to work as we all knew he would eventually. And I hope that the political stuff doesn't create too much of a drag on a great company.
According to China, the China Commerce Ministry says there have been no economic and trade negotiations between China and the US. So if you thought to yourself, well maybe Trump hasn't talked to Chairman Xi but surely there are discussions going on at lower levels. Nope. Apparently there are not discussions going on at lower levels according to China. But let's take a look at the implications of that. According to an article in Wired, even though China is limiting US access to critical minerals, it might not be as bad as you assume because we've all been told they need these critical rare earth materials to build all kinds of technology from your phones to your robots to your electric cars and everything else. And that's true, but we're being reminded by this article that you could live without them.
So for example your electric car could certainly operate without some of the rare earth materials. It might not last as long and there might be a feature or two that it can't do, but it'd still be an electric car. And apparently there are a number of examples of that where if you had to you could just sort of make your product without some of those rare earth minerals. It's just that it wouldn't be as good, but you could still make it and it would still be commercial and people would still buy it.
And then also this is what I was wondering about but apparently Belgium has emerged as a possible reexport hub meaning that if people bought the rare earth minerals from China, China doesn't know where it goes after that and that maybe some part of the European Union could be buying these rare earth materials. They'd have a closer connection to the United States than to China. And then the next thing you know the United States has some rare earth minerals from China but China doesn't know that we have it.
Now if all the countries that we sanction can pull this off, such as Iran, they still manage to get stuff. And I'm sure Russia still manages to get stuff. I feel like we can do the same thing. You don't think we could figure a way to smuggle in that rare stuff. The other thing I learned that I didn't know is that even though it's critical materials, we don't spend a lot. It's not like trillions of dollars or anything. It's like a fairly small amount of material, very important, but small in terms of quantity, but also small in terms of dollar amount. So one of the reasons that we don't have new mines and refineries popping up for these rare earth minerals is that all it would take, according to this article in Wired, all it would take is one new factory or refinery for one of those minerals and it would create too much of the mineral. So apparently the demand is critical because they're important, but it's a small demand. Like it's not that many dollars and it's not that many pounds of material. So if you built a new refinery it would maybe crush the price for the one mineral and your business model wouldn't work. So that's interesting. I didn't know any of that. But anyway, there might be workarounds for the rare earth minerals. We'll see.
According to Ryan Peterson who follows shipping, I think he's CEO of Flexport or founder or both, but Flexport's in the shipping industry, and he says that in the three weeks since the tariffs took effect the ocean container bookings from China to the US are down 60% industrywide and he predicts we'll have mass shortages this summer as goods don't show up and even if things got fixed now it's going to take till summer to get the mass shortages. I don't know shortages of what specifically but it's going to be a lot. A lot of companies sort of ordered extra in anticipation of shortages later. So once we work through the extra that people ordered, we're going to just run dry for some things. And again I don't know which ones, but and then if we decided to suddenly ramp up, you know let's say the tariff stuff was all solved. If you solved it immediately you would still have a problem that the ships had been used for other things and there wouldn't be enough ships to make up for the shortfall because everybody would be scrambling for the same materials. So we're going to have some pretty serious shortages and maybe some of our factories will go idle and go out of business. So there's going to be some disruption and the faster the China tariff situation gets solved, the better we'll be.
Now we don't know yet and I don't know I guess if this will hurt the United States more than it will hurt China. So of course the game here is that both will pretend, well you can't hurt me. We can work with this. And each side will say, no it's worse for you than it is for me. You'll crack. I don't know. Do you think China's going to crack? I think Trump is wise to be moderating his tone so that he's treating China as a respectful peer that we negotiate with and not somebody we're trying to walk all over. So we'll see.
Apparently Trump has vetoed the idea of increasing taxes on rich people. There was an idea that the federal tax on people making over a million a year would go to something like 40%. But Trump says no because if you raise taxes on the rich they leave the country and you need the rich to pay taxes. Now I'm not sure if that's the only reason or if it's he's just being a Republican and he doesn't want to raise taxes on anybody, but he called it very disruptive. So I guess we're probably not going to see taxes on the rich go up.
According to the Wall Street Journal, and I don't know why this took so long, there's a new French study that showed that sure enough not only is it true that some of the additives in our food are bad for us and cause diabetes and whatnot, but if you combine them it's extra bad. So what the new study is is not looking at one additive, which is normally the way the studies work. They would look at what happens if you have several of these additives in the same food. And apparently it's as bad as you think. So if you add together multiple additives in the same food you've got a much higher risk of type 2 diabetes and god knows what. So the food industry of course defended it and they say it's important for food safety and quality. But then you have to ask the question, if it's important for food safety and quality, why isn't it important in Europe where a lot of this stuff's illegal? I guess they need to answer that question.
In other news related, RFK Jr. is apparently noodling on removing the CDC's COVID-19 vaccine recommendation for children. Were you even aware that the CDC was still recommending COVID-19 vaccines for children? How many of you even knew that that was a thing? Well here's the good news, and this is reported in Politico. Here's the good news. Apparently only 13% of children have gotten that COVID shot. So most parents are pretty keyed in that young people don't really have a bad time with COVID and there's no reason to add another risk on top of the COVID itself. So we don't know yet if Kennedy will actually pull that or get that reversed, but I feel like it's going to happen. If only 13% of people are getting it anyway it wouldn't be that big of a shock to the system to say okay this is not recommended. You know you could get it if you want but it's not recommended.
Here's a surprise. Senator Fetterman was asked in an interview with the Washington Free Beacon and he said that we should bomb Iran's nuclear sites. And he says quote waste that shit. He said quote you're never going to be able to negotiate with that kind of regime that has been destabilizing in the region for decades already. And now we have an incredible window I believe to do that and to strike and destroy Iran's nuclear facilities. How do you feel about Fetterman now? Not so good, right? We were enjoying watching Fetterman agree with Republicans on a lot of stuff, at least the common sense stuff. But he seems pretty pro-Israel and pretty pro-war at least in this particular context. And I have to say that his credibility just went to zero for me. Do you feel comfortable with that? That Fetterman says yeah let's go. Stop negotiating. There's nothing.
Now I don't know that he's wrong in the sense that the negotiating might never work. You know we're dealing with somebody we can't negotiate with maybe. But I also think there's a nonzero possibility that Iran might think that for its own benefit it doesn't need to be developing nuclear weapons because they would get bombed. So they might think we've got so many good missiles and so many good drones now because apparently they're pretty good at making them that militarily they would be better off using missiles and drones anyway because they're not going to get nuked if they use non-nuclear weapons. So I don't know. I think only because missiles and drones are the new way of war. I think there might be an opening in which they would think it was to their own best interest to stop refining things to weapons grade in the nuclear domain. That's what I feel like. I don't think it's likely we'll find an agreement. I think he's right that the Iran regime has shown that they can't be trusted etc. But it's a little worrying that he's so pro-war. Bomb them. Bomb them. Yeah I'm not comfortable with that at all.
Meanwhile economist Jeffrey Sachs is saying that Ukraine will have to agree to peace or continue without US backing. Now that's the same thing I said. I think it's kind of obvious at this point. He says quote one thing that I'm pretty much convinced of is that Trump will not go back to Congress for more appropriations to fund Ukraine's war or its military or whatever one wants to call it. I agree.
So Trump did a big truth post about Zelensky not wanting to give up Crimea in order for peace. And Trump explained in his post that Crimea is a major Russian submarine base. So he's explaining why that's not really in play. Apparently it's mostly ethnic Russians. I don't know if Trump said that but that's what I knew. So Crimea is mostly ethnic Russians. How much do they want to be in Ukraine? I don't know. I'm not sure if we can tell. But don't you think that the people who are mostly ethnic Russians would be probably just as happy being part of Russia because it's not like Ukraine is the country where everything works well. It's the most corrupt country in the world. So I don't know. The fact that they're mostly ethnic Russians suggests to me anyway, and I'm no expert, I have not visited there, but it suggests to me that they probably would be happier with Russia control.
And I guess Zelensky may have thought that he was being asked to recognize Crimea as Russian owned. And Trump is telling him nobody's asking you to do that. The United States might. The United States might agree to recognize Crimea as part of Russia but he's not asking Ukraine to do it. So that's worth something. And he calls Zelensky the man with no cards to play and he says he should close this deal right away. Yes he should.
Now at the same time I think last night Russia bombed Kiev and killed several people and it was a pretty bad attack. And Trump did a separate truth telling Vladimir what the hell are you doing? Stop homie we're trying to work out a deal here. It was kind of weirdly personal. Even though he did it in public. What are you doing? Stop bombing Kiev. We're so close to a deal. It's crazy. So we'll see if that works.
According to Politico. All right here's a test of your fake news nose sniffer. Let's see if you can spot the BS here. According to Politico the White House is debating lifting sanctions on Russian energy assets and the Nord Stream. Now that sounds believable right? Because there's negotiations about our interaction with Russia and our interaction with Ukraine. And you could imagine that Russia would ask for those sanctions to be lifted. So it wouldn't be a big surprise if the White House was debating whether they should do it or not. So that sounds like it could be true right?
Well according to Marco Rubio who would certainly know what's true or not in that domain he said in a post on X this is unequivocally false. But listen to the specificity of how he debunks it. It's a little too specific. The report is that the White House is debating it. So that's the report. When he debunks it he says this. Neither Steve Witkoff nor I have had any conversations about lifting sanctions against Russia as part of a deal with Ukraine. Huh. Well that's not exactly what Politico said is it? Politico said the White House. The White House is a lot of different people including the president. But in the debunking of it Rubio says only two people, Steve Witkoff and Rubio. Now that might be 100% true that neither he nor Witkoff have had any conversations about it. But does that mean there's nobody in the White House who's debating that? It seems like his denial or his debunking is a little too specific. And he says this is journalistic malpractice. If Politico has an ounce of integrity they'll retract this fiction. Okay. I'm going to say that that's the sort of thing you would expect people in the White House to be debating but if what Rubio is saying is that the people who are critical to that question are not talking about it it does mean something. So it's not nothing but that's a very specific denial. That's usually a key that there's a little something left out.
According to the Daily Mail, I didn't even know this but apparently China and Russia are getting quite cozy with their space programs. And now there are plans that China and Russia would build a nuclear power plant on the moon to power their mining and their laboratories and god knows what else they put up there. Probably military stuff. But I'll tell you if you didn't think there was going to be a war in space I hate to tell you there's going to be war in space. Yeah war in space feels just guaranteed. It might start small with somebody takes down a satellite or somebody tries to knock out somebody's power plant and their moon base or something like that. But I feel like space war is just guaranteed just because of human nature.
So maybe and that ladies and gentlemen is all I needed to talk about today. I will tell you that people have been prodding me on X to say bad things about Israel. And people are saying to me Scott when have you ever said anything bad about Israel? And I'm going to remind you that what's the difference what my opinion is of Israel? Can anybody give me a reason why anybody would care about my opinion of Israel? It's not my country. It's not my country at all.
But what I will note and I've noted this before is that the people who seem to be debating it are debating it on the ethical and moral level. Like who's the most immoral? Who's doing the most unethical things? To which I say none of that is relevant. Somebody's opinion of what is moral or ethical I'm not even sure that's a variable that has anything to do with anything because countries do what's good for countries. And as soon as you get into people are dying it's it all looks immoral. It all looks unethical. And if you say to me but Israel had a good reason because of October 7th then I say to you sure if I were Israel I would make the same claim. It would be a strong claim. And I would use that opportunity to do the things that I wanted to do but couldn't do before which is improve security. And in this case it looks like trying to destroy Hamas completely.
And then I saw some people say all right imagine this thought experiment. If Israel decided to lay down all of its arms and not fight what would Hamas do? And then of course the answer is Hamas would kill everybody in Israel. And then the question would be but if Hamas laid down their arms what would be the response? And of course everybody says oh Israel would just accept the peace and then everybody would live in peace. So therefore Hamas is the bad one. But again that gets into the sort of ethical moral dimension which I don't have any interest in whatsoever.
What I see is a power play and whoever is in power is going to execute based on their national interest and what their power can get them. And so when I watch a country doing something that's clearly in their best interest which is what Israel is doing clearly they're operating in their own best interest it's hard for me to criticize that because if the situation were I won't say reversed but if the United States were in that same situation we would do whatever is good for the United States and it might be absolutely brutal and whoever's on the receiving end of it wouldn't like it at all. But I think the most I hate to say the most normal thing in the world is that the people with the power will pursue their national interest in ways that other people aren't going to like at all. And most countries are founded on the backs of somebody who got conquered anyway. That is the most normal thing.
So I was trying to think of some story or analogy that would explain it the best. And so I'm going to try one even though analogies are not part of reason. We'll see if this gets anywhere. If somebody said to me Scott the only way you could save your life is to kill a thousand babies. What do you choose? Well I'd like to think it's easy for me to say since it's hypothetical. I'd like to think I would say oh man I'd hate to die but I don't want to kill a thousand babies. That would be immoral and unethical. No I can't do that. I will sacrifice myself for the thousand babies. Wouldn't you? I think you'd agree with that right? I mean it would be tough to be in this situation but at least in an ideal situation I would choose the thousand babies over me.
Now let's modify that a little bit and somebody says Scott the only way you can save your entire country the United States every single person is going to die unless you kill a thousand babies. What do I do then? It's just as immoral right? It's just as unethical. It's just as evil to kill a thousand babies. But in that case because self-defense is invulnerable to morality and ethics really if the self-defense is big enough you're saving an entire country which would include saving a lot more babies than you would kill. I would say where are those babies and when could I get started because saving the country would be a bigger priority than saving a thousand babies.
So the thing I would add to the conversation is if Israel is doing something to you that looks like killing a thousand babies but their alternative looks to them and they're the only ones who get to decide. It looks to them like they could lose their entire country to a rising force that wants to kill every one of them. Then it's sort of none of my business. They get to make that decision. Everybody gets to decide what your own self-defense looks like. And other people don't get to tell them that was unethical or that was immoral or we wish you hadn't done it. I mean we could move our lips but it's not really part of the decision.
So when I look at Israel doing some pretty brutal stuff with Gaza I don't say to myself is it ethical or moral? I say to myself is it self-defense? And if it's self-defense or they reasonably believe it's self-defense I don't even have to be the judge of whether it is. If they reasonably believe it's self-defense it's not really a moral or ethical question. It's self-defense. And I do think they have an argument that it's self-defense. And it wasn't Israel's fault that Hamas wraps itself around the civilian population. It does make it a gigantic tragedy. So I'm not devaluing the horror of it. You could still say the horror is a 10 out of 10. Okay. But in the real world when people have a self-defense motivation and they've got one shot and October 7th made it possible for Israel to take its one shot don't be surprised if they take it.
But here's the important thing. If you thought that I just gave you an opinion on Israel it was the opposite. All I did is describe the world. I didn't give you an opinion on Israel because my opinion on Israel is completely irrelevant. Israel will do what's good for Israel because they have the power to do so. If Hamas had the power they would do what Hamas wants and it would be pretty brutal. And my opinion wouldn't matter to that either. So stop trying to drag me into it because it's really just a way to find a way to criticize public figures. So I'm not in this fight. I care what's good for America and I care about America's self-defense and America's well-being. Israel's on its own. If you ask me should we pay for it? I'd say no because that's not my best interest. So just keep me out of the Israel Hamas thing because my opinion of what's ethical or moral has nothing to do with anything. It's a power play. It's a self-defense play. It's a national interest play. And the people who have the power are going to get what they want. And that's just the way the world works. And that's an observation not an opinion. You don't need my opinion. It has no value here whatsoever.
All right so I just wanted to clarify that because people have been asking me on X.
All right ladies and gentlemen I'm going to say some stuff privately to the local subscribers and the rest of you. Thanks for joining. Come back tomorrow same time same place. And locals coming at you in 30 seconds. Just enough time for oops. Is that working? Might have a problem here. All right. So I'm having a technical problem where updating the stream is not working which suggests that I cannot go private with the people on locals at the moment but I didn't have much else to say so you're not missing anything. So I'm going to see if I can close the stream and if that doesn't work I'll have to close the application. All right. Say goodbye. Let's see if this works. No that's not working. So I have to close the application and reopen it and close it. But then we will disappear.
at the moment.
The stock market is up at the moment.
Things could change quickly.
You never know.
I didn't think it would be up today.
I I thought that after that big rise yesterday, it would be crashing back to Earth a little bit.
Maybe it will later.
We'll see.
See, my comments will be coming online.
Come on.
Technology is a little slow today.
You can do it.
All right, we'll get to that later, I guess.
Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
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Spectacular.
All right, everybody.
Let's uh check in with the world of science and see if there's any scientific studies that they could have skipped just by asking Scott.
Oh, here's one.
Um, according to UCL uh political science, um, female lobbyists are more likely to gain access to meetings with policy makers.
Did they really have to study that to find out that female lobbyists can get meetings with policy makers more easily?
Apparently, even with female policy makers, but I would have known that, too.
Let me tell you about my career day when I was a senior in college.
So, uh, in my little college in upstate New York, uh, when I was a senior, the, uh, bunch of local companies would come in and they would interview the seniors to maybe make job offers.
And one of the big employers was a pharmaceutical company looking for sales reps.
And um I knew a lot of people in the college.
It was a very small college.
And I saw that the people I was competing against cuz we were sort of lining up to do our little interviews.
Um weren't nearly as accomplished as me academically.
So I'm thinking to myself, uh this is going to be easy.
I am so going to get this job offer to be a pharmaceutical representative.
And the other people who were in line were really hot.
really hot girls who were not that good at academics.
And every single one of the hot girls got an offer to be a pharmace pharmaceutical sales rep.
And none of the guys, not not a single male was offered anything.
And that's where I learned that you don't need to do a study to find out that women can get more access to meetings.
Yes, women can definitely get more access to meetings.
You could have just asked me.
All right, let's see what Let's see if science has any more surprises.
Um, oh yeah, here we go.
According to Eric Dolan, who's writing in Scypost, uh, there's new This one's just funny.
There's new evidence, new research that there's new research in the Journal of Effective Disorders that suggests that people who engage in sexual activity at least once a week are less likely to experience symptoms of depression.
Somebody actually somebody here somebody actually took time and money to study that.
Yes.
Yes, people who are getting laid are happier than people who are not getting laid.
Period.
Now, sometimes it's cause, you know, the cause and effect, you know, can go either way in that particular case.
But yes, people who are having more sex, I can almost guarantee you on average are happier than people who are not having sex.
So, next time just ask me.
You You don't need to do that study.
Just ask me.
Uh, in other news of hilarious science, uh, do you remember the claims that were all over social media that, uh, some group had used some wild technology that was looking under the pyramids and they found these vast columns uh, suggesting an entire different civilization was, you know, at work for years before the the pyramids.
And as soon as I saw that, I said, "No, that's not real." Well, apparently today, according to the AFP, uh the scientists are saying it's a rubbish claim and there's no giant structures beneath the Egyptian pyramids.
But apparently uh all the experts who are aware of the technology that they use to image under the ground, pretty much all of them say that technology can't do that.
Even if there were giant columns under the pyramids, you couldn't see them with that technology.
That definitely wouldn't work.
So I could be wrong.
Maybe there are giant pillars under the pyramids, but uh I'm going to claim at least temporarily.
I'm going to claim success in debunking that without doing any research at all.
As soon as I saw that one, I thought probably not.
Probably not.
Here's another one.
The science is all so stupid today.
Uh according to the Daily Mail, the Vatican has uh in its documents, you know, secret archives, it has secret links to UFOs.
And some researchers now believe that the Holy Sea could be sitting on the biggest secret of all, proof of extraterrestrial life.
Do do you think the Vatican has proof of extraterrestrial life and they've been keeping it from us?
I'm going to say nope.
Nope.
Not unless that uh alien life is under those pyramids.
I'm going to say no on that.
All right.
Here's one that is real.
Um, according to Elon Musk, your Tesla will soon be a robo taxi if you want.
Now, what I think that means is you can just park your Tesla outside your garage and then if somebody has an app, now it does, this isn't functional yet, but it's all developed and looks like it'll roll out pretty soon.
Um, you could just call up a self-driving Tesla and it will just pull out of your driveway and go pick somebody up and make some money while you're sleeping.
How many of you How many of you would let strangers use your car?
I feel like I feel like it would be creepy to know that other people were in your car doing god knows what because there's no driver there.
But it would be like Uber but without the driver.
What's the worst thing about an Uber?
It's the driver.
The The worst thing about an Uber is the driver.
Because if you're, let's say, young or you're female, uh, you have to worry about the driver being dangerous.
If you're male, you have to worry about the driver playing the radio or making a phone call or being really annoying and trying to talk to you the whole time.
So, there's nothing worse about Uber than the driver.
There there's also the thing where the driver will start to come to you and then for reasons you don't understand, they cancel or they change their mind.
That's not the technology doing that.
That's that's the driver.
So, if you can get rid of the driver and Tesla could be like Uber in all the other ways, yeah, that'd be pretty good.
Speaking of Tesla, I saw this in Mario summary.
I guess the source is Tesla, but did you know that every Model 3 and Model Y that's uh delivered in the United States uses batteries that are 100% made in America?
Did you think we could even do that?
I didn't even know that America could make that many batteries.
But apparently um Tesla has been able to make all of its batteries completely in America for some time now.
Um so that's that's interesting to know.
And according to a post I saw on X by Nick Cruz Patain, he says that Tesla vehicles share the same batteries, cameras, and computers as the Optimus robots will.
So, I I think I kind of guessed that that it would be the same AI and, you know, computers and why wouldn't they use the same batteries, you know, the smaller versions.
So, yeah, you're going to have uh you're going to have robots and self-driving cars, and it's all coming quickly.
Um, in other news, Washington Post is reporting that Trump has ordered that uh schools develop some kind of AI training for American kids.
I guess China's already doing this.
China is forcing forcing.
Um, kids in China at the youngest age have to learn AI.
And now Trump's trying to catch up and he's going to put uh cryptobillionaire David Sachs.
That's one way to describe him.
I wouldn't describe him as a cryptobillionaire.
That that feels dismissive.
But uh David Sachs will be involved in that.
Um and the executive order will uh force schools to train students and teachers in artificial intelligence.
That seems like a really wise thing to do.
And I think Trump also signed an executive order to get more trade training to young people as well.
That could be good.
In other news, uh Paramount, that's the uh I guess that own they own CBS.
They settled a discrimination suit over DI policies.
there was a specific uh white man who couldn't get a job within that entity within CBS uh because he was told directly that he didn't check any boxes for DEI.
So even though he was highly qualified and experienced, he just couldn't get a job at CBS as a writer, they just needed more DEI.
So, America First Legal um took that case and pressed it and apparently succeeded.
So, I don't know if there's a financial settlement, but uh but the company Paramount and CBS, they they decided to publicly back away from all the DEI stuff.
So, that's good.
So, only one million companies to go.
I remember when I got cancelled Um, and I told my story about how, you know, back in the 80s and 90s, um, it was almost impossible to get promoted if you were a white man in San Francisco.
And I remember, uh, I think it was an editor, a black editor in in Chicago who challenged me on X and said, "There's no evidence of that.
You're making that up." And I thought, "Making it up?
If you want to find out if it's true that in the 80s and 90s a white man couldn't get promoted as long as there was anybody who wasn't a white man who also wanted the job.
You could just walk outside and just go up to any white man if they were 50 years old or older and just tap them on the shoulder and say, "Hey, were you ever discriminated against for being a white man?" They would have all said yes.
you you've got something like probably 30 to 50 million witnesses and and yet there was a uh an educated, successful, professional black man in Chicago who had no idea no idea that that existed.
Do you know why?
Because if you even mentioned it, you would get cancelled.
You couldn't even mention it.
So, you know, now that I don't have to worry about having a boss, I can mention it.
But imagine what a surprise that would be to have lived your whole life without knowing that white men were being the ones most discriminated against, at least in corporate America.
I think small businesses probably were the opposite.
I don't know for sure, but in the big businesses, yes, it was anti-white men since at least the mid 80s and and quite severely so.
You know, not slightly, but it was the main the main texture of the employment market.
So, 1 million companies to go.
Um, Trump also signed an executive order requiring uh, universities to disclose their foreign funding.
Now, that seems like a good idea, doesn't it?
You know, I never realized how vulnerable the United States was to all the, you know, the clever ways that we could be influenced and infiltrated until I saw what uh, George Soros could do with prosecutors.
It's like, holy cow, he doesn't have to spend much money and then he gets all these local prosecutors and and then they can do all kinds of evil.
But apparently the same problem existed with colleges and universities because they took money from China and other places and there would be influence.
So yes, we should know who's influencing our colleges and universities.
That seems like a good idea.
According to uh Jerry Dun Levy, who's writing for Just the News, um there's new unredacted documents about Hunter Biden search warrants uh that details payments he received from Ukraine and China and I guess some other places like Romania and elsewhere around the globe.
So we have actual documents showing Hunter Biden getting money from these other countries.
Uh I'm pretty sure that some of this was while his father was vice president.
And I guess the IRS and the FBI was fully aware that he was receiving this money from foreign sources, but there were no investigations.
There were no, you know, no arrests, no nothing.
So apparently our, you know, major government entities that are supposed to keep people, you know, on the right side of the law, they just saw this Biden crime family situation and said, "Uh, we're not going to touch this." So apparently that the Biden crime family was exactly what you thought it was.
They were taking money from other countries and selling their influence or at least the impression of influence.
I'm not sure how much influence they actually sold.
Uh well, I'm loving I'm loving how the Marilyn Dad who may or may not be MS-13 story is developing because it couldn't be more fun.
Even though it's terrible, it couldn't be more fun because every day it seems like there's a new revelation about the uh Kilar Abrigo Garcia.
So that that makes it even more embarrassing for the Democrats to be fully on board supporting this guy.
So, the latest is you already knew that he had been once stopped uh while he was driving a vehicle with eight people in it who only had Garcia's home address as their address.
Now, that's a strong indication that he was involved in human trafficking.
human trafficking, meaning picking up people at the border who were not citizens and delivering them to the interior of the country and having them, you know, stay here illegally.
But what we've learned is that the vehicle did not belong to Kilmar.
It belonged to a somebody who was a target suspected of human trafficking.
Apparently the uh our authorities knew that that particular vehicle made trips to the southern border to pick up non-citizens.
So pretty much for sure he was doing human trafficking.
So now the Democrats have to support somebody who who is credibly accused of being an MS-13 guy and now credibly accused of being a human trafficker and credibly accused of being a wife be Peter.
And you wonder how much deeper this can go.
Like like how many new things can we find out about this guy?
I I feel like it's going to go.
And uh well, yes, it it did turn out he murdered some nuns.
And uh then a week later, we'll find out, well, yes, he kept their bodies in a freezer in the basement.
And then a week later, it'll be like, he's a cannibal.
He is a cannibal.
And and the Democrats will still be racing down to El Salvador to say, "Free the cannibal.
The human trafficker wife beating MS-13 cannibal.
free him now because process makes all the difference.
You know what I worry about?
This is something I learned from the Democrats.
Um, you've probably heard that there's something called the Department of Justice and they will often arrest people for things like murder and then those people will be sent to jail, you know, if they if they're convicted.
And I'm thinking, isn't that kind of a slippery slope?
If they could arrest people who are proven to have murdered people and they could put those people in jail, can't they pick up people who have never murdered anybody and never committed any crimes at all and put them in jail, too?
According to Democrats, that would be a risk.
I learned that from the story about Kilar Abrigo Garcia.
Well, Governor Abbott in Texas uh just signed some legislation to give Texas their own state doge.
So, I guess they're going to build the ability to make their government more efficient.
But there was one thing that I loved about the statement.
Um so, this is from Abbott.
He said that the uh new Doge in Texas uh it will ensure that Texas is operating at the speed of business and it will make it easier for Texans to do business blah blah.
I love that framing that uh the government in Texas will operate at the speed of business.
I don't think you could phrase that better.
Now, somebody said that that was a UPS um slogan from long ago, but no matter where they got it, that is just such a well-chosen phrase that the state could operate at the speed of business because that's exactly what you want.
You want the the government not to slow you down.
Speaking of that, according to the Washington Times, um the amount the amount that businesses spend to satisfy federal regulations, of which there are thousands of new ones every year, is $2.1 trillion per year.
Yeah, actually more than that.
So the amount that we waste by just satisfying various infinite government federal this is just federal this is not even state 2.1 trillion per year that's the same as the entire amount of the uh the budget deficit 2.1 trillion I think we can do better maybe we So, according to the Hill, the Washington Post has struck a deal with Open AI.
So, now if you're using Open AI and you're searching for something that has been in the news, it will give you uh summaries and quotes and links from the Washington Post.
So, how do you feel about that?
The Washington Post will be a primary, maybe the primary news source for the biggest AI, Open AI.
Does it does that give you anything to worry about?
Well, I'll tell you, my trust in Open AI as a source of independent and accurate information just went down 40%.
Approximately 40%.
Because as you know, and of course I can't prove this, but the Washington Post has always been alleged to be kind of tight with the intelligence community of the United States.
You know, sort of working handinand glove.
If the CIA needed to get a message out, they could do it through the Washington Post.
Now, that that's the allegation.
And then when Bezos bought the Washington Post, which was bleeding money, you probably said to yourself, why would he do that?
Like, why would you buy something that really couldn't possibly make money?
And was it because Jeff Bezos wanted to control the news?
There's not really any indication of that, but would it be because Jeff Bezos has a gigantic contract with the CIA for cloud services?
And could it be that Jeff Bezos was asked by the CIA to buy the Washington Post so they still had an entity that they could control?
Could it be?
Now, I don't know.
I don't have proof of any of that, but that's what it looks like.
And what this looks like is if you assume that the CIA would really have to give some kind of backdoor control of the big AI companies, especially Open AI.
So my speculation is that the intelligence people in this country pretty much had to have a, you know, a little bit of control over AI because that's where everybody's going to get their information.
Probably had some control over the Washington Post, not for every story, but for things they cared about.
Probably had some influence over Bezos buying the Washington Post.
I don't have any proof of that whatsoever.
It just sort of looks like it.
And to me, it looks like they're making sure that their source, you know, the one that they would use if they needed to use it, the Washington Post, is the one that the AI refers to.
So, my trust in what I hear about the news from Open AI down 40%.
According to Scott Presler, there are 13 Democrat Senate seats up for reelection in 2020 or up for election in 2026.
So more than a third of the Democrat senators are retiring.
More than a third.
So isn't that like incredible?
So, does it seem to you like if you're trying to figure out what is our system of government, you know, some would say it's the deep state, some would say it's the uni party.
We'll talk about that in a minute.
Some would say, you know, it's a competitive thing between two parties and sometimes one wins and sometimes the other.
But I think we forget how much is luck because this looks like the luckiest thing that could possibly happen for Republicans that just by complete coincidence, you know, there's no driving force for any of it.
That a third of the Democrats are up for uh retiring.
I mean, that kind of strongly suggests that the Republicans are going to have a vice grip on the Senate for a while.
So, it's luck.
I mean, that's just pure luck.
So, luck is apparently what runs our country more than anything else.
Just pure luck.
Well, Mike Davis was appearing on Steve Bannon's The War Room and he said he met with Trump officials inside the DOJ and arrests will come soon.
And I said to myself, arrests of who?
for what is it?
Epstein related?
Is it deep state related?
Is it something about Soros's prosecutors?
Who exactly do you do we do you think is going to get arrested?
And I'm going to join the skeptics.
Um cuz it seems to me that Cash Patel and Dan Bonino have been a little bit too quiet.
Now it could be they're just playing it cool and there's something really big coming like really big arrests maybe.
But I'm going to go contrarian on this and say I don't think that we're ever going to see any big arrests.
Not for Epstein.
Not for not for the Russia collusion hoax.
Not for any of the bad behavior that we've all witnessed.
Not for the Biden crime family.
Not for anything.
So, I'm going to say I predict no major arrests.
I just don't think it's happening.
For whatever whatever has allowed people to run wild and commit just obvious crimes right in front of the public, there's something that's protecting them.
It might be, you know, different things for different people, but I don't think the thing that's protecting them ever stopped.
So, whatever it is that protects them, it's probably still there.
So, I don't expect any big arrests, but I'd love to be wrong about that.
Well, James O'Keefe's uh undercover operation, OMG, they got a new video of uh a Department of Defense branch chief who says President Trump is quote illegitimate and the branch chief has vowed to quote resist him and everything he does.
Can you believe that there's somebody who works for Trump in the Department of Defense, has a looks like a high level job, a branch chief, and would say out loud to a date that he plans to resist him and everything he does.
Now, I assume he's already fired by now, but it it's just unbelievable that our government just doesn't even recognize the elected leader.
They're they're just going to act like like they're doing the right thing.
The weirdest thing is that the the guy that's on the undercover video, he looks like a character from Roblox, which is hilarious if you know what Roblox is and you've seen the video of him.
if you haven't.
It's not funny at all, but it looks like Roblox.
Um anyway, so New York Magazine has a uh big piece about Alex Soros and um Alex Soros apparently um is very committed to the far left of the Democrat party, which is interesting to me because that's what's going to keep the Democrats from winning.
So I think Soros senior who was really good at you know keeping Democrats in power by funding just the right stuff.
He's replaced by his son who is not nearly as clever according to people who know them both.
And the son is very committed to uh the far-left stuff, the progressive stuff, which would suggest that at the moment Alex Soros would be the main reason that Democrats can never win again because as long as they cling to, you know, funding and promoting the far-left stuff, they're going to be so far from what the mainstream, you know, American actually wants, they're going to be in that 2080 problem again.
So even though Soros says his main priority is uh winning, so he wants to keep Trump and the Republicans out of office, but he seems to have picked the one and only way that it can't happen by promoting the least popular things in America.
So good luck.
Good luck with that.
Well, I've talked before about a researcher called Data Republican, and if you're on X, you should follow Data Republican.
And Data Republican has uncovered uh what she describes as the uni party, like the the nest, you know, it's almost like I think there's a a nest of people who are like the deep state uni party.
And apparently the NASA has been discovered.
Now, uh Mike Benz has, you know, sort of commented on this like this is a big discovery, but apparently there's something called the US Global Leadership Corporation.
Have you ever heard of it?
The US Global Leadership Corporation?
No, of course you haven't.
You You've never heard of it.
and it represents 400 NOS, non-government organizations and businesses.
And it mission is to quote support the smart power approach of elevating diplomacy and development alongside defense in order to build a better safer world.
Now, as Data Republican explains, if you've been with me long enough, meaning if you follow Data Republican, you know that is code for increasing NGO influence in military affairs.
So this is a group of people who are representing over 400 NOS's and all the money that would be involved in that whose main thing is to essentially be a military um assistant force so that if we're going to take over a country or get you know get military with it um these NOS's would be the supporting entities.
Now apparently this organization the biggest financial backers are Bill Gates and George Soros Open Society Foundation.
So there's a big organization 400 NOS's supported financially by Gase and Soros.
But what's interesting is the people who are on the board.
So the the advisory board includes everything from Hillary Clinton to a bunch of ex secretaries of defense to a bunch of senators to governors.
And here's the payoff.
It's both parties.
This is the uni party nest.
So um so what uh so what uh data republican says is the importance of this cannot be understated.
This is the first solid confirmation I've seen that Soros and Bill Gates are backers of the so-called uniarty network.
So you know how people use the phrase uni party whenever war is involved.
So there's big differences between Democrats and Republicans on a lot of social domestic stuff, you know, like trans and sports and, you know, DEI and stuff like that.
But there's another level, you know, a higher level where we're making decisions about where the military is going to be deployed and how how many trillions of dollars we're going to spend bombing other countries.
That is often referred to as the uni party because no matter how much we disagree on domestic stuff, somebody powerful is apparently all on the same page, Republican and Democrat when it comes to war.
Possibly because they benefit from it.
That would be my follow the money speculation.
Maybe they're just true believers and they think that, you know, the the US needs this to project this kind of power in order to be successful.
But I feel like it's far more likely that they're just part of a an entity that supports each other and have ties to the, you know, military-industrial complex and are wagging the dog in the United States and causing at least causing from the background more wars than we might have wanted.
So, we'll keep an eye on that.
But maybe the nest of the uni party has been discovered.
That would be kind of interesting.
Um, the CBO has estimated that by 2035 the US debt could be $54 trillion.
I think there's no chance of that.
We would be dead long before that.
Um, if we get to a debt of $54 trillion in 2035, I don't think we can because I don't think we'd be able to finance that debt.
I I think we everything would come crashing down.
But apparently that's their estimate.
$54 trillion by 2035.
There's no way we could survive that.
So if it happens, good luck.
Um there are reports that uh Elon Musk had shouting matches with Scott Basend um and that it happened in the White House and it was within hearing distance of the president and other people and it went on for a while and I guess the F-word was used and um some of it had to do with staffing decisions.
Um but here's my take.
I like Elon Musk and I like, you know, the way he thinks and I like Scott Bent and I like the way he thinks.
And then I doubly like the fact that they're so passionate that they would yell it out behind closed doors.
And I don't mind at all that the word got out because if if they had just simply agreed on everything, I'd wonder what's up.
But, uh, this is sort of my perfect world when you've got two people that capable, that well-informed, and that connected to the world, and they have a shouting match.
To to me, that's not bad news at all.
That That's sort of like, you know, just what you'd want.
You'd want people really, really caring, really, really smart, and if they disagree, they're not going to give up.
They they just go at each other.
So, I wouldn't be surprised.
You're going to see uh Elon Musk's phasing out of his his government doge work.
Um I think some of that is because it was going to happen anyway in May.
I think his time was up.
But I think that also it wasn't working because because I think the uh government sort of, you know, maybe is open to anything new like a like a Doge person coming in and shaking things up, but in fairly quick order, they're going to want to have their own control.
So, I think Elon Musk was probably a little too dangerous to have running around for too long in the government.
So, I think he did an amazing job and may have created a structure that can continue making things more efficient and saving money, but it should be said that um it never got close to the trillion dollars.
And I think that's one of the things that Scott Bent was criticizing him for.
And then uh Musk was allegedly criticizing Basent for being some kind of a Soros related person cuz I guess he worked with Soros at one point.
Uh so that that's pretty exciting.
But yeah, I would expect that Ela Musk will uh phase his time back to Tesla.
And uh Tesla's at a really exciting time.
It it's weird that their sales are down because the political connection, but at the same time, their products have never been this exciting.
I mean, they're right in the edge of full auto taxi, robots, um, you know, use your car for an Uber.
This is just the best stuff we've ever seen in technology.
This this is like, you know, the birth of the smartphone, the birth of the computer.
So Tesla is really really well set for I don't know just maybe decades of dominance in a few different areas.
So it does make sense that uh Musk would turn his attentions back to work as we all knew he would eventually.
Um and I hope that the political stuff doesn't you know create too much of a drag on a great company.
Well, according to China, the China Commerce Ministry says there have been no economic and trade negotiations between China and the US.
So, if you thought to yourself, well, maybe Trump hasn't talked to Chairman Xi, but surely there are discussions going on at lower levels.
Nope.
Apparently, there are not discussions going on at lower levels according to China.
Um but let's uh let's take a look at the implications of that.
According to an article in Wired by Zeang, uh even though China is limiting u US access to critical minerals, it might not be as bad as you assume because we've all been told they need these critical rare earth materials um to build all kinds of technology from your phones to your robots to your electric cars and everything else.
And that's true, but um we're being reminded by this article that uh you could live without them.
So, for example, your your electric car could certainly operate without some of the rare earth materials.
It might not last as long and there might be a feature or two that it can't do, but it'd still be an electric car.
Um, and apparently there are a number of examples of that where if you had to, you could just sort of make your product without some of those rare earth minerals.
It's just that it wouldn't be as good, but you could still make it and it would still be commercial and people would still buy it.
And then also u this is what I was wondering about but apparently Belgium has emerged as a possible reexport hub meaning that if people bought the rare earth minerals from China um China doesn't know where it goes after that and that maybe some part of the European Union could be buying these rare earth materials.
they'd have a closer connection to the United States than to China.
And then the next thing you know, the United States has some rare earth minerals from China.
But China doesn't know that we have it.
Now, if if all the countries that we sanction can pull this off, such as Iran, they still manage to get stuff.
And I'm sure Russia still manages to get stuff.
I feel like we can do the same thing.
you you don't think we could figure a way to smuggle in that rarer stuff.
The other thing I learned that I didn't know is that even though it's critical materials, we don't spend a lot.
It It's not like trillions of dollars or anything.
It's like a fairly small amount of material, very important, but small in terms of quantity, but also small in terms of dollar amount.
So, one of the reasons that we don't have, you know, new mines and refineries popping up for these rare earth minerals is that all it would take, according to this article in Wired, all it would take is one new factory or refinery for one of those minerals and it would create too much of the mineral.
So apparently the demand is critical because they're important, but it's a small demand.
Like it's not that many dollars and it's not that many pounds of material.
So if you built a new refinery, it would maybe crush the price for the one mineral and your your business model wouldn't work.
So that's interesting.
I didn't know any of that.
But anyway, there might be workarounds for the rare earth minerals.
We'll see.
Um, according to Ryan Peterson, who follows shipping, he's uh I think he's uh CEO of Flexport, um or founder of or both, but uh Flexports in the the shipping uh industry.
and uh he says that in the 3 weeks since the tariffs took effect um the ocean container bookings from China to the US are down 60% industrywide and he predicts we'll have mass shortages this summer as goods don't show up and even if things got fixed now it's going to take till summer to get the mass shortages I don't know shortages of what specifically but it's going to be a lot of Um, a lot of companies sort of ordered extra in anticipation of shortages later.
So once we work through the extra that that people ordered, we're going to just run dry for some things.
And again, I don't know which ones, but um and then if we decided to suddenly ramp up, you know, let's say the um tariff stuff was all solved.
If you solved it immediately, you would still have a problem that the ships had been used for other things and there wouldn't be enough ships to make up for the shortfall because everybody would be scrambling for the same materials.
So, we're going to have some pretty serious shortages and maybe some our factories will go idle and go out of business.
So, there's going to be some disruption and the the faster the China tariff situation gets solved, the better we'll be.
Now, we don't know yet uh and I don't know, I guess if this will hurt the United States more than it will hurt China.
So, of course, the game here is that both will pretend, well, you can't hurt me.
We can we can work with this.
And each side will say, "No, it's worse for you than it is for me.
You'll you'll crack." I don't know.
Do you think China's going to crack?
I I think Trump is uh wise to be moderating his tone so that he's treating China as a respectful, you know, peer that we negotiate with and not somebody we're trying to walk all over.
So, we'll see.
Apparently, Trump has vetoed the idea of increasing taxes on rich people.
There was an idea that the federal tax on people making over a million a year would go to something like 40%.
But uh Trump says no because if you raise taxes on the rich, they leave the country and you need the rich to pay taxes.
Now, I I'm not sure if that's the only reason or if it's he's just being a Republican and he doesn't want to raise taxes on anybody, but uh he called it very disruptive.
So, I guess we're probably not going to see taxes on the rich go up.
According to the Wall Street Journal, and this uh I don't know why this took so long, there's new French study that showed that uh sure enough, not only is it true that some of the additives in our food are bad for us and cause diabetes and whatnot.
Um but if you combine them, it's extra bad.
So what the new study is is not looking at one additive, which is normally the way the studies work.
They would look at what happens if you have several of these additives in the same food.
And apparently it's as bad as you think.
So if you add together multiple additives in the same food, you've got a much higher risk of type 2 diabetes and god knows what.
So the food industry of course defended it.
uh and they say it's important for food safety and quality.
But then you have to ask the question, if it's important for food safety and quality, why isn't it important in Europe where a lot of this stuff's illegal?
I I guess they need to answer that question.
Well, in other news related, RFK Jr.
is uh apparently noodling on um removing the CDC's COVID 19 vaccine recommendation for children.
Were you even aware that the CDC was still recommending COVID 19 vaccines for children?
How many of you even knew that that was a a thing?
Well, here's the good news, and this is reported in Politico.
Here's the good news.
Apparently only 13% of children have gotten that COVID shot.
So most parents are pretty keyed in that uh young people don't really have a bad time with CO and there's no reason to add another risk on top of the CO itself.
So we don't know yet if Kennedy will will actually pull that or get that reversed, but I feel like it's going to happen.
If only 13% of people are getting it anyway, it wouldn't be that big of a shock to the system to say, "Okay, this is not recommended." You know, you could get it if you want, but it's not it's not recommended.
Well, here's a surprise.
Um, so Senator Federman was asked an interview with the Washington Free Beacon, and he he said that we should bomb uh Iran's nuclear sites.
and he says, quote, "Waste that shit." He said, quote, "You're never going to be able to negotiate with that kind of regime that has been destabilizing in the region for decades already.
And now we have an incredible window, I believe, to do that and to strike and destroy Iran's nuclear facilities." How do you feel about Federman now?
Not so good, right?
We we were enjoying watching Fedman agree with Republicans on, you know, a lot of stuff, at least the common sense stuff.
Um, but uh he seems pretty pro-Israel and pretty pro-war, at least in this particular context.
And I have to say that his credibility just went to zero for me.
Um, that do you feel comfortable with that?
the Fedman says, "Yeah, let's go." You know, stop negotiating.
There's nothing.
Now, I don't know that he's wrong uh in the sense that the negotiating might never work.
You know, we're dealing with somebody we can't negotiate with, maybe.
But uh I also think there's a nonzero possibility that Iran might think that for its own benefit it doesn't need to be developing nuclear weapons cuz they would get bombed.
So they might think we've got so many, you know, good missiles and so many good drones now cuz apparently they're pretty good at making them that uh militarily they would be better off using missiles and drones anyway because they're not going to get nuked if they, you know, if they use non-uclear weapons.
So I don't know.
I I think only because missiles and drones are the new way of war.
Um, I think there might be an opening in which they would think it was to their own best interest to stop, you know, refining things to weapons grade in the nuclear domain.
That's what I feel like.
I don't I don't think it's likely we'll find an agreement.
I think he's right that, you know, the Iran regime has shown that they can't be trusted, etc.
But it's a little worrying that he's so pro-war.
Bomb him.
Bomb him.
Yeah, I'm not I'm not comfortable with that at all.
Um, meanwhile, economist Jeffrey Sachs um is saying that Ukraine will have to agree to peace or continue without US backing.
Now, that's same thing I said.
Um, I think it's kind of obvious at this point.
He says, uh, quote, "One thing that I'm pretty much convinced of is that Trump will not go back to Congress for more appropriations to fund Ukraine's war or its military or whatever one wants to call it." I agree.
So, Trump uh did a big truth post about Zalinski, you know, not wanting to give up Crimea in order for peace.
And Trump explained in his post that uh Crimea is a major Russian submarine base.
So he's explaining why that's not really in play.
Apparently it's mostly ethnic Russians.
I don't know if Trump said that, but that's what I knew.
So Crimea is mostly ethnic Russians.
How much do they want to be in Ukraine?
I don't know.
I'm not sure if we can tell.
But don't you think that the people who are mostly Russian ethnic Russians would be probably just as happy being part of Russia because it's not like Ukraine is the, you know, the country where everything works well.
Yeah.
It's the most corrupt country in the world.
So, I don't know.
The fact that they're mostly ethnic Russians suggests to me anyway, and I'm no expert.
I have not visited there, but it suggests to me that they probably would be happier with Russia control.
And uh I guess Zilinski may have thought that he was being asked to recognize Crimea as Russianowned.
And Trump is telling him, "Nobody's asking you to do that.
The United States might.
The United States might agree to recognize Crimea as part of Russia, but he's not asking Ukraine to do it.
So, that's worth something.
And he and he calls Zalinski the man with no cards to play and he says he should close this deal right away.
Um, yes, he should.
Now, at the same time, I think last night, um, Russia bombed Kiev and killed several people and it was a pretty bad attack.
And, uh, Trump did a separate truth telling Vladimir, "What the hell are you doing?
stop Homi of we're we're trying to work out a deal here.
It it was kind of weirdly personal.
You even though he did it in public, you know, what are you doing?
Stop bombing cave.
We're we're so close to a deal.
It's crazy.
So, we'll see if that works.
Uh, according to Politico.
All right, here's a test of your fake news nose sniffer.
Let's see if you can spot the BS here.
According to Politico, the white the White House is debating lifting sanctions on Russian energy assets and the Nordstream.
Now, that sounds believable, right?
Because, you know, there's negotiations about, you know, our our interaction with Russia and our interaction with Ukraine.
And you could imagine that Russia would ask for that sanctions to be lifted.
So it wouldn't be a big surprise if the White House was debating whether they should do it or not.
So that that sounds like it could be true, right?
Well, according to Marco Rubio, who would certainly know what's true or not in that domain, he said in a post on X, this is unequivocably false.
But listen to the specificity of how he debunks it.
It's a little too specific.
right now.
The report is that the quote white house is debating it.
So that's the report.
When he debunks it, he says this.
Neither Steve Wickoff nor I have had any conversations about lifting sanctions against Russia as part of a deal with Ukraine.
Huh.
Well, that's not exactly what Politico said, is it?
Politico said the White House.
The White House is a lot of different people.
you know, including the president.
But in the in the debunking of it, Rubio says only two people, Steve Wickoff and Rubio.
Now, that might be 100% true that neither he nor Wickoff have had any conversations about it.
But does that mean there's nobody in the White House who's debating that?
It seems like his denial or his debunking is a little too specific.
And he says, "This is journalistic malpractice.
If Politico has an ounce of integrity, they'll retract this fiction." Um, okay.
Uh, I'm going to say that that's the sort of thing you would expect people in the White House to be debating, but if what Rubio is saying is that the people who are, you know, critical to that question are not talking about it, it does mean something.
So, it's not nothing, but that's a very specific denial.
You know, that that's usually a key that there's a little something left out.
All right.
According to the Daily Mail, um I didn't even know this, but apparently China and Russia uh are getting quite cozy with their space programs.
And now there are plans that China and Russia would build a nuclear power plant on the moon to power their mining and their their laboratories and god knows what else they put up there.
Probably military stuff.
But I'll tell you, if you didn't think there was going to be a war in space, I hate to tell you, there's going to be war in space.
Yeah, war in space feels just guaranteed.
You know, it might start small with somebody takes down a satellite or somebody tries to knock out somebody's power plant and their, you know, their moon base or something like that.
But I feel like space war is just guaranteed, you know, just because of human nature.
So maybe and that ladies and gentlemen is all I needed to talk about today.
Um, I will tell you that people have been proddding me on X to say bad things about Israel.
And people are saying to me, Scott, when have you ever said anything bad about Israel?
And I'm going to remind you that what's the difference what my opinion is of Israel?
Can anybody give me a reason why anybody would care about my opinion of Israel?
It's not my country.
It's not my country at all.
But what I will note, and I've noted this before, is that the people who seem to be debating it are debating it on the ethical and moral level.
Like who's who's the most immoral?
Who's doing the most unethical things?
to which I say none of that is relevant.
Somebody's opinion of what is moral or ethical, I'm not even sure that's a variable that has anything to do with anything because countries do what's good for countries.
And you know, as soon as you get into people are dying, it's it all looks immoral.
It all looks unethical.
And if you say to me, but but but Israel had a good reason because of October 7th, then I say to you, sure, if I were Israel, I would make the same claim.
It would be a strong claim.
And I would use that opportunity to do the things that I wanted to do but couldn't do before, which is improve security.
And in this case, it looks like trying to destroy Hamas completely.
And then I saw some people say, "All right, imagine this thought experiment.
If Israel decided to lay down all of its arms and not fight, what would Hamas do?" And then of course the answer is Hamas would kill everybody in Israel.
And then the question would be, "But if Hamas laid down their arms, what would be the response?" And of course, everybody says, "Oh, Israel would just accept the peace and then everybody would live in peace." So therefore, Hamas is the bad one.
But again, that gets into the sort of ethical moral dimension, which I don't have any interest in whatsoever.
uh what I see is a power play and whoever is in power is going to you know execute based on their national interest and what their power can get them.
And so when I watch a country doing something that's clearly in their best interest, which is what Israel is doing, clearly they're operating in their own best interest, um it's hard for me to criticize that because if the situation were I won't say reversed, but if the United States were in that same situation, we would do whatever is good for the United States and it might be absolutely brutal and whoever's on the receiving end of it wouldn't like it at all.
But I think the most I hate to say the most normal thing in the world is that the people with the power will pursue their national interest in ways that other people aren't going to like at all.
And you know, most countries are founded on the backs of somebody who got conquered anyway.
You know, that is the most normal thing.
So I was trying to think of some story or analogy that would explain it the best.
And so I'm going to try one you even though analogies are not part of reason.
We'll see if this gets anywhere.
If somebody said to me, Scott, the only way you could save your life is to kill a thousand babies.
What do you choose?
Well, I'd like to think, you know, it's easy for me to say since it's hypothetical.
I'd like to think I would say, "Oh, man.
Uh, I'd hate to die, but I don't want to kill a thousand babies.
That would be immoral and ethical." No, I can't do that.
I I will sacrifice myself for the thousand babies.
Wouldn't you?
I think you'd agree with that, right?
I mean it would be tough to be in this situation but at least in a ideal situation I would choose the thousand babies over me.
Now let's modify that a little bit and somebody says Scott the only way you can save your entire country the United States the every single person is going to die unless you kill a thousand babies.
What do I do then?
It's just as immoral, right?
It's just as unethical.
It's just as evil to kill a thousand babies.
But in that case, because self-defense is is invulnerable to morality and ethics really, uh if the self-defense is big enough, you're saving an entire country, which would include saving a lot more babies than you would kill.
I would say where are those babies and when could I get started because saving the country would be a you know a bigger priority than saving a thousand babies.
So the thing I would add to the conversation is if Israel is doing something to you that looks like killing a thousand babies but their alternative looks to them and they're the only ones who get to decide.
It looks to them like they could lose their entire country to, you know, a rising force that wants to kill every one of them.
Then it's sort of none of my business.
They get to make that decision.
Everybody gets to decide what your own self-defense looks like.
And other people don't get to tell them that was unethical or that was immoral or we wish you hadn't done it.
I mean, we could we could move our lips But it's not really part of the decision.
So when I look at Israel doing some pretty brutal stuff with Gaza, I don't say to myself, is it ethical or moral?
I say to myself, is it self-defense?
And if it's self-defense or they reasonably believe it's self-defense, I don't even have to be the the judge of whether it is.
If they reasonably believe it's self-defense, it's not really a moral or ethical question.
It's self-defense.
And I do think they have an argument that it's self-defense.
Um, and it wasn't I don't think it's Israel's fault that Hamas wraps itself around the um around this civilian population.
It does make it a gigantic tragedy.
So, I'm not I'm not uh devaluing the the horror of it.
You could still say the horror is a 10.
10 out of 10.
Okay.
But in the real world, when people have a self-defense motivation and they've got one shot and October 7th made it possible for Israel to take its one shot, don't be surprised if they take it.
But here's the important thing.
If you thought that I just gave you an opinion on Israel, it was the opposite.
All I did is describe the world.
I didn't give you an opinion on Israel because my opinion on Israel is completely irrelevant.
Israel will do what's good for Israel because they have the power to do so.
If Hamas had the power, they would do what Hamas wants and it would be pretty brutal.
and my opinion wouldn't matter to that either.
So, stop trying to drag me into it because it's really just a up way to find a way to criticize public figures.
So, I'm not in this fight.
Uh, I care what's good for America and I care about America's self-defense and America's well-being.
Israel's on its own.
If you ask me, should we pay for it?
I'd say no.
because that's not my best interest.
So just keep me out of the Israel Hamas thing because my opinion of what's ethical or moral has nothing to do with anything.
It's a power play.
It's a self-defense play.
It's a national interest play.
And the people who have the power are going to get what they want.
And that's just the way the world works.
And that's an observation, not an opinion.
You don't need my opinion.
has no value here whatsoever.
All right, so I just wanted to clarify that because people have been asking me on X.
All right, ladies and gentlemen, I'm going to say some stuff privately to the local subscribers and the rest of you.
Thanks for joining.
Come back tomorrow, same time, same place.
And locals coming at you in 30 seconds.
Just enough time for Oops.
Is that working?
Might have a problem here.
All right.
So, I'm having a technical problem where updating the stream is not working, which suggests that I cannot go private with the people on locals at the moment, but I didn't have much else to say, so you're not missing anything.
Um, so I'm going to see if I can close the stream, and if that doesn't work, I'll have to close the application.
All right.
Say goodbye.
Let's see if this works.
Uh, no, that's not working.
So, I have to close the application and reopen it and close it.
But then we will disappear.
at the
moment. The stock market is up at the
moment. Things could change quickly. You
never
know. I didn't think it would be up
today. I I thought that after that big
rise yesterday, it would be crashing
back to Earth a little bit. Maybe it
will later. We'll see.
See, my comments will be coming
online. Come on. Technology is a little
slow today. You can do it. All right,
we'll get to that later, I
guess. Good morning, everybody, and
welcome to the highlight of human
civilization. It's called Coffee with
Scott Adams, and you've never had a
better time. But if you'd like to take
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Spectacular. All right, everybody. Let's
uh check in with the world of science
and see if there's any scientific
studies that they could have skipped
just by asking Scott. Oh, here's one.
Um, according to UCL uh political
science,
um, female lobbyists are more likely to
gain access to meetings with policy
makers. Did they really have to study
that to find out that female lobbyists
can get meetings with policy makers more
easily? Apparently, even with female
policy makers, but I would have known
that, too.
Let me tell you about my career day when
I was a senior in college. So, uh, in my
little college in upstate New York, uh,
when I was a senior, the, uh, bunch of
local companies would come in and they
would interview the seniors to maybe
make job offers. And one of the big
employers was a pharmaceutical company
looking for sales reps.
And um I knew a lot of people in the
college. It was a very small college.
And I saw that the people I was
competing against cuz we were sort of
lining up to do our little interviews.
Um weren't nearly as accomplished as me
academically. So I'm thinking to myself,
uh this is going to be easy. I am so
going to get this job offer to be a
pharmaceutical
representative. And the other people who
were in line were really hot. really hot
girls who were not that good at
academics. And every single one of the
hot girls got an offer to be a pharmace
pharmaceutical sales
rep. And none of the
guys, not not a single male was offered
anything.
And that's where I learned that you
don't need to do a study to find out
that women can get more access to
meetings. Yes, women can definitely get
more access to
meetings. You could have just asked
me. All right, let's see what Let's see
if science has any more surprises. Um,
oh yeah, here we go. According to Eric
Dolan, who's writing in Scypost, uh,
there's
new This one's just funny.
There's new
evidence, new research
that there's new research in the Journal
of Effective Disorders that suggests
that people who engage in sexual
activity at least once a week are less
likely to experience symptoms of
[Laughter]
depression. Somebody actually somebody
here somebody actually took time and
money to study that. Yes. Yes, people
who are getting laid are happier than
people who are not getting laid. Period.
Now, sometimes it's cause, you know, the
cause and effect, you know, can go
either way in that particular case. But
yes, people who are having more sex, I
can almost guarantee you on average are
happier than people who are not having
sex. So, next time just ask me. You You
don't need to do that study. Just ask
me. Uh, in other news of hilarious
science, uh, do you remember the claims
that were all over social media that,
uh, some group had used some wild
technology that was looking under the
pyramids and they found these vast
columns
uh, suggesting an entire different
civilization was, you know, at work for
years before the the pyramids.
And as soon as I saw that, I said,
"No, that's not
real." Well, apparently today, according
to the AFP, uh the scientists are saying
it's a rubbish claim and there's no
giant structures beneath the Egyptian
pyramids. But apparently uh all the
experts who are aware of the technology
that they use to image under the ground,
pretty much all of them say that
technology can't do that. Even if there
were giant columns under the pyramids,
you couldn't see them with that
technology. That definitely wouldn't
work. So I could be wrong. Maybe there
are giant pillars under the pyramids,
but uh I'm going to claim at least
temporarily. I'm going to claim success
in debunking that without doing any
research at all. As soon as I saw that
one, I
thought probably not. Probably
not. Here's another
one. The science is all so stupid today.
Uh according to the Daily
Mail, the Vatican has uh in its
documents, you know, secret archives, it
has secret links to
[Laughter]
UFOs. And some researchers now believe
that the Holy Sea could be sitting on
the biggest secret of all, proof of
extraterrestrial life.
Do do you think the Vatican has proof of
extraterrestrial life and they've been
keeping it from
us? I'm going to say
nope. Nope. Not unless that uh alien
life is under those pyramids. I'm going
to say no on
that. All right. Here's one that is
real. Um, according to Elon Musk, your
Tesla will soon be a robo taxi if you
want. Now, what I think that means is
you can just park your Tesla outside
your garage and then if somebody has an
app, now it does, this isn't functional
yet, but it's all developed and looks
like it'll roll out pretty soon. Um, you
could just call up a self-driving Tesla
and it will just pull out of your
driveway and go pick somebody up and
make some money while you're
sleeping. How many of you How many of
you would let strangers use your
car? I feel like I feel like it would be
creepy to know that other people were in
your car doing god knows what because
there's no driver there. But it would be
like Uber but without the driver. What's
the worst thing about an
Uber? It's the driver. The The worst
thing about an Uber is the driver.
Because if you're, let's say, young or
you're female,
uh, you have to worry about the driver
being dangerous. If you're male, you
have to worry about the driver playing
the radio or making a phone call or
being really annoying and trying to talk
to you the whole time. So, there's
nothing worse about Uber than the
driver. There there's also the thing
where the driver will start to come to
you and then for reasons you don't
understand, they cancel or they change
their mind. That's not the technology
doing that. That's that's the driver.
So, if you can get rid of the
driver and Tesla could be like Uber in
all the other ways, yeah, that'd be
pretty good.
Speaking of
Tesla, I saw this in Mario summary. I
guess the source is Tesla, but did you
know that every Model 3 and Model Y
that's uh delivered in the United States
uses batteries that are 100% made in
America? Did you think we could even do
that? I didn't even know that America
could make that many batteries. But
apparently um Tesla has been able to
make all of its batteries completely in
America for some time now. Um so that's
that's interesting to
know. And according to a post I saw on X
by Nick Cruz Patain, he says that Tesla
vehicles share the same batteries,
cameras, and computers as the Optimus
robots will. So, I I think I kind of
guessed that that it would be the same
AI and, you know, computers and why
wouldn't they use the same batteries,
you know, the smaller
versions. So, yeah, you're going to have
uh you're going to have robots and
self-driving cars, and it's all coming
quickly.
Um, in other news, Washington Post is
reporting that Trump has ordered that uh
schools develop some kind of AI training
for American kids. I guess China's
already doing this. China is forcing
forcing. Um, kids in China at the
youngest age have to learn AI.
And now Trump's trying to catch up and
he's going to put uh cryptobillionaire
David Sachs. That's one way to describe
him. I wouldn't describe him as a
cryptobillionaire. That that feels
dismissive. But uh David Sachs will be
involved in that. Um and the executive
order will uh force schools to train
students and teachers in artificial
intelligence. That seems like a really
wise thing to do. And I think Trump also
signed an executive order to get more
trade training to young people as well.
That could be
good. In other news,
uh
Paramount, that's the uh I guess that
own they own CBS. They settled a
discrimination suit over DI policies.
there was a specific uh white man who
couldn't get a job within that entity
within CBS
uh because he was told directly that he
didn't check any boxes for DEI. So even
though he was highly qualified and
experienced, he just couldn't get a job
at CBS as a writer, they just needed
more DEI. So, America First Legal um
took that case and pressed it and
apparently succeeded. So, I don't know
if there's a financial settlement, but
uh but the company Paramount and CBS,
they they decided to publicly back away
from all the DEI
stuff. So, that's good. So, only one
million companies to go. I remember when
I got cancelled
Um, and I told my story about how, you
know, back in the 80s and 90s, um, it
was almost impossible to get promoted if
you were a white man in San Francisco.
And I remember, uh, I think it was an
editor, a black editor in in Chicago who
challenged me on X and said, "There's no
evidence of that. You're making that
up." And I thought, "Making it up? If
you want to find out if it's true that
in the 80s and 90s a white man couldn't
get promoted as long as there was
anybody who wasn't a white man who also
wanted the job. You could just walk
outside and just go up to any white man
if they were 50 years old or older and
just tap them on the shoulder and say,
"Hey, were you ever discriminated
against for being a white man?" They
would have all said yes. you you've got
something like probably 30 to 50 million
witnesses and and yet there was a uh an
educated, successful, professional black
man in Chicago who had no idea no idea
that that existed. Do you know why?
Because if you even mentioned it, you
would get cancelled. You couldn't even
mention it. So, you know, now that I
don't have to worry about having a boss,
I can mention it. But imagine what a
surprise that would be to have lived
your whole life without knowing that
white men were being the ones most
discriminated against, at least in
corporate America. I think small
businesses probably were the opposite. I
don't know for sure, but in the big
businesses, yes, it was anti-white men
since at least the mid 80s and and quite
severely so. You know, not slightly, but
it was the main the main texture of the
employment
market. So, 1 million companies to go.
Um, Trump also signed an executive order
requiring uh, universities to disclose
their foreign
funding. Now, that seems like a good
idea, doesn't it? You know, I never
realized how vulnerable the United
States was to all the, you know, the
clever ways that we could be influenced
and infiltrated until I saw what uh,
George Soros could do with prosecutors.
It's like, holy cow, he doesn't have to
spend much money and then he gets all
these local prosecutors and and then
they can do all kinds of evil. But
apparently the same problem existed with
colleges and universities because they
took money from China and other places
and there would be
influence. So yes, we should know who's
influencing our colleges and
universities. That seems like a good
idea. According to uh Jerry Dun Levy,
who's writing for Just the News, um
there's new unredacted documents about
Hunter Biden search warrants uh that
details payments he received from
Ukraine and China and I guess some other
places like
Romania and elsewhere around the globe.
So we have actual
documents showing Hunter Biden getting
money from these other countries. Uh I'm
pretty sure that some of this was while
his father was vice
president. And I guess the IRS and the
FBI was fully aware that he was
receiving this money from foreign
sources, but there were no
investigations. There were no, you know,
no arrests, no nothing. So apparently
our, you know, major government entities
that are supposed to keep people, you
know, on the right side of the law, they
just saw this Biden crime family
situation and said, "Uh, we're not going
to touch
this." So apparently that the Biden
crime family was exactly what you
thought it was. They were taking money
from other countries and selling their
influence or at least the impression of
influence. I'm not sure how much
influence they actually
sold. Uh well, I'm loving I'm loving how
the Marilyn Dad who may or may not be
MS-13 story is developing because it
couldn't be more fun. Even though it's
terrible, it couldn't be more fun
because every day it seems like there's
a new revelation about the uh Kilar
Abrigo Garcia. So that that makes it
even more embarrassing for the Democrats
to be fully on board supporting this
guy. So, the latest is you already knew
that he had been once stopped uh while
he was driving a vehicle with eight
people in it who only had Garcia's home
address as their address. Now, that's a
strong indication that he was involved
in human trafficking. human trafficking,
meaning picking up people at the border
who were not citizens and delivering
them to the interior of the country and
having them, you know, stay here
illegally. But what we've learned is
that the vehicle did not belong to
Kilmar. It belonged to a somebody who
was a target suspected of human
trafficking.
Apparently the uh our authorities knew
that that particular vehicle made trips
to the southern border to pick up
non-citizens.
So pretty much for sure he was doing
human
trafficking. So now the Democrats have
to support somebody who who is credibly
accused of being an MS-13 guy and now
credibly accused of being a human
trafficker and credibly accused of being
a wife be
Peter. And you wonder how much deeper
this can go. Like like how many new
things can we find out about this guy? I
I feel like it's going to go. And uh
well, yes, it it did turn out he
murdered some nuns. And uh then a week
later, we'll find out, well, yes, he
kept their bodies in a freezer in the
basement. And then a week later, it'll
be like, he's a cannibal. He is a
cannibal. And and the Democrats will
still be racing down to El Salvador to
say, "Free the cannibal. The human
trafficker wife beating MS-13 cannibal.
free him now because process makes all
the difference. You know what I worry
about? This is something I learned from
the
Democrats. Um, you've probably heard
that there's something called the
Department of Justice and they will
often arrest people for things like
murder and then those people will be
sent to
jail, you know, if they if they're
convicted. And I'm thinking, isn't that
kind of a slippery slope? If they could
arrest people who are proven to have
murdered people and they could put those
people in jail, can't they pick up
people who have never murdered anybody
and never committed any crimes at all
and put them in jail, too? According to
Democrats, that would be a
risk. I learned that from the story
about Kilar Abrigo Garcia.
Well, Governor Abbott in Texas uh just
signed some legislation to give Texas
their own state doge. So, I guess
they're going to build the ability to
make their government more efficient.
But there was one thing that I loved
about the statement. Um so, this is from
Abbott. He said that the uh new Doge in
Texas uh it will ensure that Texas is
operating at the speed of business and
it will make it easier for Texans to do
business blah blah. I love that
framing that uh the government in Texas
will operate at the speed of business. I
don't think you could phrase that
better. Now, somebody said that that was
a UPS
um slogan from long ago, but no matter
where they got it, that is just such a
well-chosen phrase that the state could
operate at the speed of business because
that's exactly what you want. You want
the the government not to slow you down.
Speaking of that, according to the
Washington Times,
um the amount the amount that businesses
spend to satisfy federal regulations, of
which there are thousands of new ones
every year, is $2.1 trillion per year.
Yeah, actually more than that.
So the amount that we
waste by just satisfying various
infinite government federal this is just
federal this is not even
state 2.1 trillion per year that's the
same as the entire amount of the uh the
budget
deficit 2.1
trillion I think we can do
better maybe we
So, according to the Hill, the
Washington Post has struck a deal with
Open AI. So, now if you're using Open AI
and you're searching for something that
has been in the news, it will give you
uh summaries and quotes and links from
the Washington
Post. So, how do you feel about that?
The Washington Post will be a primary,
maybe the primary news source for the
biggest AI, Open
AI. Does it does that give you anything
to worry
about? Well, I'll tell you, my trust in
Open AI as a source of independent and
accurate information just went down
40%. Approximately 40%.
Because as you know, and of course I
can't prove this, but the Washington
Post has always been alleged to be kind
of tight with the intelligence community
of the United States. You know, sort of
working handinand glove. If the CIA
needed to get a message out, they could
do it through the Washington Post. Now,
that that's the allegation.
And then when Bezos bought the
Washington Post, which was bleeding
money, you probably said to yourself,
why would he do that? Like, why would
you buy something that really couldn't
possibly make money? And was it because
Jeff Bezos wanted to control the news?
There's not really any indication of
that, but would it be because Jeff Bezos
has a gigantic contract with the CIA for
cloud
services? And could it be that Jeff
Bezos was asked by the CIA to buy the
Washington Post so they still had an
entity that they could
control? Could it be? Now, I don't know.
I don't have proof of any of that, but
that's what it looks like.
And what this looks like is if you
assume that the CIA would really have to
give some kind of backdoor control of
the big AI companies, especially Open
AI. So my speculation is
that the intelligence people in this
country pretty much had to have a, you
know, a little bit of control over AI
because that's where everybody's going
to get their information. Probably had
some control over the Washington Post,
not for every story, but for things they
cared about. Probably had some influence
over Bezos buying the Washington Post. I
don't have any proof of that whatsoever.
It just sort of looks like it. And to
me, it looks
like they're making sure that their
source, you know, the one that they
would use if they needed to use it, the
Washington Post, is the one that the AI
refers
to. So, my trust in what I hear about
the news from Open
AI down
40%.
According to Scott
Presler, there are 13 Democrat Senate
seats up for reelection in 2020 or up
for election in
2026. So more than a third of the
Democrat senators are
retiring. More than a
third. So isn't that like incredible?
So, does it seem to you like if you're
trying to figure out what is our system
of government, you know, some would say
it's the deep state, some would say it's
the uni party. We'll talk about that in
a minute. Some would say, you know, it's
a competitive thing between two parties
and sometimes one wins and sometimes the
other. But I think we forget how much is
luck because this looks like the
luckiest thing that could possibly
happen for Republicans that just by
complete coincidence, you know, there's
no driving force for any of it. That a
third of the Democrats are up for uh
retiring. I mean, that kind of strongly
suggests that the Republicans are going
to have a vice grip on the Senate for a
while.
So, it's luck. I mean, that's just pure
luck. So, luck is apparently what runs
our country more than anything else.
Just pure
luck. Well, Mike Davis was appearing on
Steve Bannon's The War Room and he said
he met with Trump officials inside the
DOJ and arrests will come
soon. And I said to myself, arrests of
who?
for
what is it? Epstein
related? Is it deep state
related? Is it something about Soros's
prosecutors? Who exactly do you do we do
you think is going to get
arrested? And I'm going to join the
skeptics. Um cuz it seems to me that
Cash Patel and Dan
Bonino have been a little bit too quiet.
Now it could be they're just playing it
cool and there's something really big
coming like really big arrests maybe.
But I'm going to go contrarian on this
and say I don't think that we're ever
going to see any big arrests. Not for
Epstein. Not
for not for the Russia collusion hoax.
Not for any of the bad behavior that
we've all witnessed. Not for the Biden
crime family. Not for anything. So, I'm
going to say I predict no major arrests.
I just don't think it's happening. For
whatever whatever has allowed people to
run wild and commit just obvious crimes
right in front of the
public, there's something that's
protecting them. It might be, you know,
different things for different people,
but I don't think the thing that's
protecting them ever stopped. So,
whatever it is that protects them, it's
probably still there. So, I don't expect
any big arrests, but I'd love to be
wrong about
that. Well, James O'Keefe's uh
undercover operation, OMG, they got a
new video of uh a Department of Defense
branch
chief who says President Trump is quote
illegitimate and the branch chief has
vowed to quote resist him and everything
he does.
Can you believe that there's somebody
who works for Trump in the Department of
Defense, has a looks like a high level
job, a branch chief, and would say out
loud to a date that he plans to resist
him and everything he does.
Now, I assume he's already fired by now,
but it it's just unbelievable that our
government just doesn't even recognize
the elected leader. They're they're just
going to act like like they're doing the
right thing. The weirdest thing is that
the the guy that's on the undercover
video, he looks like a character from
Roblox, which is hilarious if you know
what Roblox is and you've seen the video
of him. if you haven't. It's not funny
at all, but it looks like Roblox.
Um
anyway, so New York Magazine has a uh
big piece about Alex
Soros and
um Alex Soros apparently um is very
committed to the far left of the
Democrat party, which is interesting to
me because that's what's going to keep
the Democrats from winning. So I think
Soros
senior who was really good at you know
keeping Democrats in power by funding
just the right stuff. He's replaced by
his son who is not nearly as clever
according to people who know them both.
And the son is very committed to uh the
far-left stuff, the progressive stuff,
which would suggest that at the moment
Alex Soros would be the main reason that
Democrats can never win again because as
long as they cling to, you know, funding
and promoting the far-left stuff,
they're going to be so far from what the
mainstream, you know, American actually
wants, they're going to be in that 2080
problem again.
So even though Soros says his main
priority is uh winning, so he wants to
keep Trump and the Republicans out of
office, but he seems to have picked the
one and only way that it can't
happen by promoting the least popular
things in
America. So good luck. Good luck with
that.
Well, I've talked before about a
researcher called Data
Republican, and if you're on X, you
should follow Data Republican. And Data
Republican has uncovered
uh what she describes as the uni party,
like the the nest, you know, it's almost
like I think there's a a nest of people
who are like the deep state uni party.
And apparently the NASA has been
discovered. Now, uh Mike Benz has, you
know, sort of commented on this like
this is a big discovery, but apparently
there's something called the US Global
Leadership
Corporation. Have you ever heard of it?
The US Global Leadership Corporation?
No, of course you haven't. You You've
never heard of it. and it
represents 400 NOS, non-government
organizations and
businesses. And it mission is to quote
support the smart power approach of
elevating diplomacy and development
alongside defense in order to build a
better safer world.
Now, as Data Republican explains, if
you've been with me long enough, meaning
if you follow Data Republican, you know
that is code for increasing NGO
influence in military affairs. So this
is a group of people who are
representing over 400 NOS's and all the
money that would be involved in that
whose main thing is to
essentially be a military
um assistant force so that if we're
going to take over a country or get you
know get military with it um these NOS's
would be the supporting entities. Now
apparently this organization the biggest
financial backers are Bill Gates and
George Soros Open Society
Foundation. So there's a big
organization 400
NOS's supported financially by Gase and
Soros. But what's interesting is the
people who are on the board. So the the
advisory board includes everything from
Hillary Clinton to a bunch of ex
secretaries of defense to a bunch of
senators to governors. And here's the
payoff. It's both
parties. This is the uni party nest.
So
um so what
uh so what uh data republican says is
the importance of this cannot be
understated. This is the first solid
confirmation I've seen that Soros and
Bill Gates are backers of the so-called
uniarty network. So you know how people
use the phrase uni party whenever war is
involved. So there's big differences
between Democrats and Republicans on a
lot of social domestic stuff, you know,
like trans and sports and, you know, DEI
and stuff like that. But there's another
level, you know, a higher level where
we're making decisions about where the
military is going to be deployed and how
how many trillions of dollars we're
going to spend bombing other countries.
That is often referred to as the uni
party because no matter how much we
disagree on domestic stuff,
somebody powerful is apparently all on
the same page, Republican and Democrat
when it comes to
war. Possibly because they benefit from
it. That would be my follow the money
speculation.
Maybe they're just true believers and
they think that, you know, the the US
needs this to project this kind of power
in order to be successful. But I feel
like it's far more likely that they're
just part of a an entity that supports
each other and have ties to the, you
know, military-industrial complex and
are wagging the dog in the United States
and causing at least causing from the
background more wars than we might have
wanted. So, we'll keep an eye on that.
But maybe the nest of the uni party has
been discovered. That would be kind of
interesting.
Um, the CBO has estimated that by 2035
the US debt could be $54 trillion. I
think there's no chance of that. We
would be dead long before that. Um, if
we get to a debt of $54 trillion in
2035, I don't think we can because I
don't think we'd be able to finance that
debt. I I think we everything would come
crashing down. But apparently that's
their estimate. $54 trillion by 2035.
There's no way we could survive that. So
if it happens, good luck.
Um there are reports that uh Elon Musk
had shouting matches with Scott Basend
um and that it happened in the White
House and it was within hearing distance
of the president and other people and it
went on for a while and I guess the
F-word was used and um some of it had to
do with staffing decisions.
Um but here's my take. I like Elon Musk
and I like, you know, the way he thinks
and I like Scott Bent and I like the way
he thinks. And then I doubly like the
fact that they're so passionate that
they would yell it out behind closed
doors. And I don't mind at all that the
word got
out because if if they had just simply
agreed on everything, I'd wonder what's
up.
But, uh, this is sort of my perfect
world when you've got two people that
capable, that well-informed, and that
connected to the world, and they have a
shouting
match. To to me, that's not bad news at
all. That That's sort of like, you know,
just what you'd want. You'd want people
really, really caring, really, really
smart, and if they disagree, they're not
going to give up. They they just go at
each other. So, I wouldn't be surprised.
You're going to see uh Elon Musk's
phasing out of his his government doge
work. Um I think some of that is because
it was going to happen anyway in May. I
think his time was
up. But I think that also it wasn't
working because because I think the uh
government sort of, you know, maybe is
open to anything new like a like a Doge
person coming in and shaking things up,
but in fairly quick order, they're going
to want to have their own
control. So, I think Elon Musk was
probably a little too dangerous to have
running around for too long in the
government. So, I think he did an
amazing job and may have created a
structure that can continue making
things more efficient and saving money,
but it should be said that um it never
got close to the trillion dollars. And I
think that's one of the things that
Scott Bent was criticizing him for. And
then uh Musk was allegedly criticizing
Basent for being some kind of a Soros
related person cuz I guess he worked
with Soros at one point. Uh so that
that's pretty exciting. But yeah, I
would expect that Ela Musk will uh phase
his time back to Tesla. And uh Tesla's
at a really exciting time. It it's weird
that their sales are down because the
political connection, but at the same
time, their products have never been
this exciting. I mean, they're right in
the edge of full auto taxi, robots,
um, you know, use your car for an
Uber. This is just the best stuff we've
ever seen in technology. This this is
like, you know, the birth of the
smartphone, the birth of the computer.
So Tesla is really really well
set for I don't know just maybe decades
of dominance in a few different areas.
So it does make sense that uh Musk would
turn his attentions back to work as we
all knew he would eventually. Um and I
hope that the political stuff doesn't
you know create too much of a drag on a
great company.
Well, according to China, the China
Commerce Ministry says there have been
no economic and trade negotiations
between China and the US. So, if you
thought to yourself, well, maybe Trump
hasn't talked to Chairman Xi, but surely
there are discussions going on at lower
levels. Nope. Apparently, there are not
discussions going on at lower levels
according to China.
Um but let's uh let's take a look at the
implications of that. According to an
article in Wired by Zeang,
uh even though China is limiting u US
access to critical minerals, it might
not be as bad as you assume because
we've all been told they need these
critical rare earth materials
um to build all kinds of technology from
your phones to your robots to your
electric cars and everything else. And
that's true, but um we're being reminded
by this article that uh you could live
without them. So, for example, your your
electric car could certainly operate
without some of the rare earth
materials. It might not last as long and
there might be a feature or two that it
can't do, but it'd still be an electric
car.
Um, and apparently there are a number of
examples of that where if you had to,
you could just sort of make your product
without some of those rare earth
minerals. It's just that it wouldn't be
as good, but you could still make it and
it would still be commercial and people
would still buy it.
And then also u this is what I was
wondering about but apparently Belgium
has emerged as a possible reexport hub
meaning that if people bought the rare
earth minerals from China
um China doesn't know where it goes
after that and that maybe some part of
the European Union could be buying these
rare earth materials. they'd have a
closer connection to the United States
than to China. And then the next thing
you know, the United States has some
rare earth minerals from China. But
China doesn't know that we have it. Now,
if if all the countries that we sanction
can pull this off, such as Iran, they
still manage to get stuff. And I'm sure
Russia still manages to get stuff. I
feel like we can do the same thing. you
you don't think we could figure a way to
smuggle in that rarer stuff. The other
thing I learned that I didn't know is
that even though it's critical
materials, we don't spend a
lot. It It's not like trillions of
dollars or anything. It's like a fairly
small amount of material, very
important, but small in terms of
quantity, but also small in terms of
dollar amount. So, one of the reasons
that we don't have, you know, new mines
and refineries popping up for these rare
earth minerals is that all it would
take, according to this article in
Wired, all it would take is one new
factory or refinery for one of those
minerals and it would create too much of
the mineral.
So apparently the demand is critical
because they're important, but it's a
small demand. Like it's not that many
dollars and it's not that many pounds of
material. So if you built a new
refinery, it would maybe crush the price
for the one mineral and your your
business model wouldn't work. So that's
interesting. I didn't know any of
that. But anyway, there might be
workarounds for the rare earth minerals.
We'll see. Um, according to Ryan
Peterson, who follows shipping, he's uh
I think he's
uh CEO of Flexport,
um or founder of or both, but uh
Flexports in the the shipping uh
industry. and uh he says that in the 3
weeks since the tariffs took effect
um the ocean container bookings from
China to the US are down 60%
industrywide and he predicts we'll have
mass shortages this summer as goods
don't show
up and even if things got fixed now it's
going to take till summer to get the
mass shortages I don't know shortages of
what specifically but it's going to be a
lot of
Um, a lot of companies sort of ordered
extra in anticipation of shortages
later. So once we work through the extra
that that people ordered, we're going to
just run dry for some things. And again,
I don't know which ones, but um and then
if we decided to suddenly ramp up, you
know, let's say the um tariff stuff was
all solved. If you solved it
immediately, you would still have a
problem that the ships had been used for
other things and there wouldn't be
enough ships to make up for the
shortfall because everybody would be
scrambling for the same materials. So,
we're going to have some pretty
serious shortages and maybe some our
factories will go idle and go out of
business. So, there's going to be some
disruption and the the faster the China
tariff situation gets solved, the better
we'll be. Now, we don't know yet
uh and I don't know, I guess if this
will hurt the United States more than it
will hurt China. So, of course, the game
here is that both will pretend, well,
you can't hurt me. We can we can work
with this. And each side will say, "No,
it's worse for you than it is for me.
You'll you'll crack." I don't know. Do
you think China's going to crack? I I
think Trump is uh wise to be moderating
his tone so that he's treating China as
a respectful, you know, peer that we
negotiate with and not somebody we're
trying to walk all over. So, we'll
see. Apparently, Trump has vetoed the
idea of increasing taxes on rich people.
There was an idea that the federal tax
on people making over a million a year
would go to something like
40%. But uh Trump says no because if you
raise taxes on the rich, they leave the
country and you need the rich to pay
taxes.
Now, I I'm not sure if that's the only
reason or if it's he's just being a
Republican and he doesn't want to raise
taxes on anybody, but uh he called it
very disruptive. So, I guess we're
probably not going to see taxes on the
rich go
up. According to the Wall Street
Journal, and this uh I don't know why
this took so long, there's new French
study that showed that uh sure enough,
not only is it true that some of the
additives in our food are bad for us and
cause diabetes and
whatnot. Um but if you combine them,
it's extra bad. So what the new study is
is not looking at one additive, which is
normally the way the studies work. They
would look at what happens if you have
several of these additives in the same
food. And apparently it's as bad as you
think. So if you add together multiple
additives in the same food, you've got a
much higher risk of type 2 diabetes and
god knows
what. So the food industry of course
defended it. uh and they say it's
important for food safety and quality.
But then you have to ask the question,
if it's important for food safety and
quality, why isn't it important in
Europe where a lot of this stuff's
illegal? I I guess they need to answer
that
question. Well, in other news related,
RFK Jr. is uh apparently noodling on
um removing the CDC's COVID 19 vaccine
recommendation for
children. Were you even aware that the
CDC was still recommending COVID 19
vaccines for children? How many of you
even knew that that was a a
thing? Well, here's the good news, and
this is reported in Politico. Here's the
good news. Apparently only 13% of
children have gotten that COVID shot. So
most parents are pretty keyed in that uh
young people don't really have a bad
time with CO and there's no reason to
add another risk on top of the CO
itself. So we don't know yet if Kennedy
will will actually pull that or get that
reversed, but I feel like it's going to
happen. If only 13% of people are
getting it anyway, it wouldn't be that
big of a shock to the system to say,
"Okay, this is not recommended." You
know, you could get it if you want, but
it's not it's not
recommended. Well, here's a
surprise. Um, so Senator Federman was
asked an interview with the Washington
Free Beacon, and he he said that we
should bomb uh Iran's nuclear sites. and
he says, quote, "Waste that shit." He
said, quote, "You're never going to be
able to negotiate with that kind of
regime that has been destabilizing in
the region for decades already. And now
we have an incredible window, I believe,
to do that and to strike and destroy
Iran's nuclear
facilities." How do you feel about
Federman
now? Not so good, right?
We we were enjoying watching Fedman
agree with Republicans on, you know, a
lot of stuff, at least the common sense
stuff. Um, but uh he seems pretty
pro-Israel and pretty pro-war, at least
in this particular context. And I have
to say that his credibility just went to
zero for me.
[Music]
Um, that do you feel comfortable with
that? the Fedman says, "Yeah, let's go."
You know, stop negotiating. There's
nothing. Now, I don't know that he's
wrong
uh in the sense that the negotiating
might never work. You know, we're
dealing with somebody we can't negotiate
with, maybe.
But uh I also think there's a nonzero
possibility that Iran might think that
for its own benefit it doesn't need to
be developing nuclear weapons cuz they
would get bombed. So they might think
we've got so many, you know, good
missiles and so many good drones now cuz
apparently they're pretty good at making
them that uh
militarily they would be better off
using missiles and drones anyway because
they're not going to get nuked if they,
you know, if they use non-uclear
weapons. So I don't know. I I think only
because missiles and drones are the new
way of war. Um, I think there might be
an opening in which they would think it
was to their own best interest to stop,
you know, refining things to weapons
grade in the nuclear
domain. That's what I feel like. I don't
I don't think it's likely we'll find an
agreement. I think he's right that, you
know, the Iran regime has shown that
they can't be trusted,
etc. But it's a little worrying that
he's so pro-war. Bomb him. Bomb him.
Yeah, I'm not I'm not comfortable with
that at
all. Um, meanwhile, economist Jeffrey
Sachs
um is saying that Ukraine will have to
agree to peace or continue without US
backing. Now, that's same thing I said.
Um, I think it's kind of obvious at this
point. He says, uh, quote, "One thing
that I'm pretty much convinced of is
that Trump will not go back to Congress
for more appropriations to fund
Ukraine's war or its military or
whatever one wants to call it." I
agree. So, Trump uh did a big truth post
about
Zalinski, you know, not wanting to give
up Crimea in order for peace. And Trump
explained in his post that uh Crimea is
a major Russian submarine base. So he's
explaining why that's not really in
play. Apparently it's mostly ethnic
Russians. I don't know if Trump said
that, but that's what I knew. So Crimea
is mostly ethnic Russians. How much do
they want to be in
Ukraine? I don't know. I'm not sure if
we can tell. But don't you think that
the people who are mostly Russian ethnic
Russians would be probably just as happy
being part of Russia because it's not
like Ukraine is the, you know, the
country where everything works
well. Yeah. It's the most corrupt
country in the world. So, I don't know.
The fact that they're mostly ethnic
Russians suggests to me anyway, and I'm
no expert. I have not visited there, but
it suggests to me that they probably
would be happier with Russia
control. And uh I guess Zilinski may
have thought that he was being asked to
recognize Crimea as Russianowned. And
Trump is telling him, "Nobody's asking
you to do that. The United States might.
The United States might agree to
recognize Crimea as part of Russia, but
he's not asking Ukraine to do it. So,
that's worth something. And he and he
calls Zalinski the man with no cards to
play and he says he should close this
deal right
away. Um, yes, he should. Now, at the
same time, I think last night, um,
Russia bombed Kiev and killed several
people and it was a pretty bad attack.
And, uh, Trump did a separate truth
telling Vladimir, "What the hell are you
doing? stop Homi of we're we're trying
to work out a deal here. It it was kind
of weirdly personal. You even though he
did it in public, you know, what are you
doing? Stop bombing cave. We're we're so
close to a deal. It's crazy. So, we'll
see if that
works. Uh, according to Politico. All
right, here's a test of your fake news
nose sniffer. Let's see if you can spot
the BS here. According to Politico, the
white the White House is debating
lifting sanctions on Russian energy
assets and the
Nordstream. Now, that sounds believable,
right? Because, you know, there's
negotiations about, you know, our our
interaction with Russia and our
interaction with Ukraine. And you could
imagine that Russia would ask for that
sanctions to be lifted. So it wouldn't
be a big surprise if the White House was
debating whether they should do it or
not. So that that sounds like it could
be true, right? Well, according to Marco
Rubio, who would certainly know what's
true or not in that domain, he said in a
post on X, this is
unequivocably false. But listen to the
specificity of how he debunks
it. It's a little too specific. right
now. The report is that the quote white
house is debating it. So that's the
report. When he debunks it, he says
this. Neither Steve Wickoff nor I have
had any conversations about lifting
sanctions against Russia as part of a
deal with Ukraine. Huh. Well, that's not
exactly what Politico said, is it?
Politico said the White House. The White
House is a lot of different people. you
know, including the president. But in
the in the debunking of it, Rubio says
only two people, Steve Wickoff and
Rubio. Now, that might be 100% true that
neither he nor Wickoff have had any
conversations about it. But does that
mean there's nobody in the White House
who's debating that?
It seems like his denial or his
debunking is a little too
specific. And he says, "This is
journalistic malpractice. If Politico
has an ounce of integrity, they'll
retract this
fiction." Um, okay. Uh, I'm going to say
that that's the sort of thing you would
expect people in the White House to be
debating, but if what Rubio is saying is
that the people who are, you know,
critical to that question are not
talking about it, it does mean
something. So, it's not nothing, but
that's a very specific
denial. You know, that that's usually a
key that there's a little something left
out. All right. According to the Daily
Mail,
um I didn't even know this, but
apparently China and Russia uh are
getting quite cozy with their space
programs. And now there are plans that
China and Russia would build a nuclear
power plant on the
moon to power their mining and their
their laboratories and god knows what
else they put up there. Probably
military stuff. But I'll tell you, if
you didn't think there was going to be a
war in
space, I hate to tell you, there's going
to be war in space. Yeah, war in space
feels just
guaranteed. You know, it might start
small with somebody takes down a
satellite or somebody tries to knock out
somebody's power plant and their, you
know, their moon base or something like
that. But I feel like space war is just
guaranteed, you know, just because of
human nature.
So
maybe and that ladies and gentlemen is
all I needed to talk about today. Um, I
will tell you that people have been
proddding me on
X to say bad things about
Israel. And people are saying to me,
Scott, when have you ever said anything
bad about
Israel? And I'm going to remind you that
what's the difference what my opinion is
of Israel?
Can anybody give me a reason why anybody
would care about my opinion of Israel?
It's not my
country. It's not my country at all. But
what I will note, and I've noted this
before, is that the people who seem to
be debating it are debating it on the
ethical and moral level. Like who's
who's the most immoral? Who's doing the
most unethical things? to which I say
none of that is
relevant. Somebody's opinion of what is
moral or ethical, I'm not even sure
that's a variable that has anything to
do with anything because countries do
what's good for
countries. And you know, as soon as you
get into people are dying, it's it all
looks immoral. It all looks unethical.
And if you say to me, but but but Israel
had a good reason because of October
7th, then I say to you, sure, if I were
Israel, I would make the same claim. It
would be a strong claim. And I would use
that opportunity to do the things that I
wanted to do but couldn't do before,
which is improve security. And in this
case, it looks like trying to destroy
Hamas completely.
And then I saw some people say, "All
right, imagine this thought experiment.
If Israel decided to lay down all of its
arms and not fight, what would Hamas
do?" And then of course the answer is
Hamas would kill everybody in Israel.
And then the question would be, "But if
Hamas laid down their arms, what would
be the response?" And of course,
everybody says, "Oh, Israel would just
accept the peace and then everybody
would live in peace." So therefore,
Hamas is the bad one. But again, that
gets into
the sort of ethical moral dimension,
which I don't have any interest in
whatsoever.
uh what I see is a power play and
whoever is in power is going to you know
execute based on their national interest
and what their power can get them. And
so when I watch a country doing
something that's clearly in their best
interest, which is what Israel is doing,
clearly they're operating in their own
best interest, um it's hard for me to
criticize that because if the situation
were I won't say reversed, but if the
United States were in that same
situation, we would do whatever is good
for the United States and it might be
absolutely brutal and whoever's on the
receiving end of it wouldn't like it at
all. But I think the most I hate to say
the most normal thing in the world is
that the people with the power will
pursue their national interest in ways
that other people aren't going to like
at all. And you know, most countries are
founded on the backs of somebody who got
conquered anyway. You know, that is the
most normal
thing. So I was trying to think of
some story or analogy that would explain
it the best. And so I'm going to try one
you even though analogies are not part
of reason. We'll see if this gets
anywhere. If somebody said to me, Scott,
the only way you could save your life is
to kill a thousand
babies. What do you
choose? Well, I'd like to think, you
know, it's easy for me to say since it's
hypothetical. I'd like to think I would
say, "Oh,
man. Uh, I'd hate to die, but I don't
want to kill a thousand babies. That
would be immoral and ethical." No, I
can't do that. I I will sacrifice myself
for the thousand babies. Wouldn't
you? I think you'd agree with that,
right? I mean it would be tough to be in
this situation but at least in a ideal
situation I would choose the thousand
babies over me. Now let's modify that a
little bit and somebody says Scott the
only way you can save your entire
country the United
States the every single person is going
to die unless you kill a thousand
babies.
What do I do then? It's just as immoral,
right? It's just as unethical. It's just
as evil to kill a thousand
babies. But in that case, because
self-defense is is invulnerable to
morality and ethics really, uh if the
self-defense is big enough, you're
saving an entire country, which would
include saving a lot more babies than
you would kill.
I would say where are those babies and
when could I get started because saving
the country would be a you know a bigger
priority than saving a thousand
babies. So the thing I would add to the
conversation is if Israel is doing
something to you that looks like killing
a thousand
babies but their
alternative looks to them and they're
the only ones who get to decide. It
looks to them like they could lose their
entire country to, you know, a rising
force that wants to kill every one of
them. Then it's sort of none of my
business. They get to make that
decision. Everybody gets to decide what
your own self-defense looks like. And
other people don't get to tell them that
was unethical or that was immoral or we
wish you hadn't done it. I mean, we
could we could move our lips
But it's not really part of the
decision. So when I look at Israel doing
some pretty brutal stuff with
Gaza, I don't say to myself, is it
ethical or moral? I say to myself, is it
self-defense? And if it's self-defense
or they reasonably believe it's
self-defense, I don't even have to be
the the judge of whether it is. If they
reasonably believe it's self-defense,
it's not really a moral or ethical
question. It's
self-defense. And I do think they have
an argument that it's
self-defense. Um, and it wasn't I don't
think it's Israel's fault that Hamas
wraps itself around the um around this
civilian population. It does make it a
gigantic tragedy.
So, I'm not I'm not uh devaluing the the
horror of it. You could still say the
horror is a 10. 10 out of 10. Okay. But
in the real world, when people have a
self-defense motivation and they've got
one shot and October 7th made it
possible for Israel to take its one
shot, don't be surprised if they take
it. But here's the important thing. If
you thought that I just gave you an
opinion on Israel, it was the
opposite. All I did is describe the
world. I didn't give you an opinion on
Israel because my opinion on Israel is
completely
irrelevant. Israel will do what's good
for Israel because they have the power
to do so. If Hamas had the power, they
would do what Hamas wants and it would
be pretty brutal.
and my opinion wouldn't matter to that
either. So, stop trying to drag me into
it because it's really just a up
way to find a way to criticize public
figures. So, I'm not in this fight. Uh,
I care what's good for
America and I care about America's
self-defense and America's
well-being. Israel's on its
own. If you ask me, should we pay for
it? I'd say no. because that's not my
best
interest. So just keep me out of the
Israel Hamas thing because my opinion of
what's ethical or moral has nothing to
do with anything. It's a power play.
It's a self-defense play. It's a
national interest play. And the people
who have the power are going to get what
they want. And that's just the way the
world works. And that's an
observation, not an opinion. You don't
need my opinion. has no value here
whatsoever. All right, so I just wanted
to clarify that because people have been
asking me on
X. All right, ladies and gentlemen, I'm
going to say some stuff privately to the
local
subscribers and the rest of you. Thanks
for joining. Come back tomorrow, same
time, same place. And locals coming at
you in 30
seconds. Just enough time for Oops. Is
that
working? Might have a problem here. All
right. So, I'm having a technical
problem where updating the stream is not
working, which suggests that I cannot go
private with the people on locals at the
moment, but I didn't have much else to
say, so you're not missing anything. Um,
so I'm going to see if I can close the
stream, and if that doesn't work, I'll
have to close the application. All
right.
Say
goodbye. Let's see if this
works. Uh, no, that's not working. So, I
have to close the application and reopen
it and close it. But then we will
disappear.