Episode 2869 CWSA 06/15/25

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Well, let's start with the uh big tragic story.

As you know, uh there was a shooting in Minnesota.

a uh I guess targeted were uh four lawmakers, so state lawmakers.

Two of them were killed.

Uh two of them were wounded, husband and wife.

And the uh the man who did it is still at large.

And he had a uh a weird mask on that made him look like a bald man or made him look like me actually.

Uh but he looked like a policeman.

Somehow he had a police car and a police outfit and uh he used that as his uh entry for shooting four people.

Two of them died.

Now, of course, because we're all bad people, instead of thinking about the victims, which we should be thinking about, we think about the politics.

And most of the news is obsessed with trying to figure out is he a crazy leftist or a crazy right-wing guy.

Um, I'm going to go on record as saying I don't care because the damage is done and he's crazy.

You know, whether he's crazy left or crazy right, I'm not really keeping score that way.

Yeah, these are anecdotal.

um there's something wrong with that one person and they may or may not have a coherent set of ideas but trying to understand them I don't know it's probably not worth it but um we will look through all of his various indications to try to figure out is he left or is he right because that would uh I guess that would improve our our political ical arguments.

Is that what we need to worry about right now?

Improving our political arguments.

Well, he uh he's definitely leaving a u set of clues that could make you imagine and see it way.

So, I'm not even going to guess if he's crazy left or crazy right.

He's crazy and he's on the loose.

So, watch out.

Um, what else?

So, yesterday, as you know, was the no kings events.

So, all over the country, people uh made up signs and they marched and they said, "No kings, no kings in the United States." And it worked.

Um, I have to admit I was skeptical at first.

I was like, "Really?

I mean, do they need to do that?

Is there any benefit from doing that?

And sure enough, I woke up this morning and there were no kings.

It worked.

Man, you know, you you really don't expect that that things will work that that fast, but one day of uh marching and no kings, none at all.

So, good job.

Millions of people have participated and did their affirmations and it worked.

There are no kings today.

Um, ironically, there was a big 250th anniversary of the army military parade.

Um, what was it that the military did 250 years ago?

Oh, yeah.

They got rid of our king.

So they had a no king march that was opposing the military parade which was a celebration of the military getting rid of the king.

So if there's one thing we can all agree on, it's no kings.

It's the weirdest thing.

You know, if if the worst thing you have to worry about is that uh both the left and the right are adamant about having no kings, well, we're not doing too poorly.

So, we got that going on.

Um the no kings protest was very large but apparently it was completely overshadowed by the tragedy of the uh the four people who were shot and so it just took it right out of the news basically.

So probably half of the energy got sucked up into a different news story sadly.

Um, but on top of that, it was the war in Iran.

So, you know, if you're if you were planning a protest, you picked the wrong weekend.

That that was a very noisy, you know, newsfilled weekend.

So, sorry about that.

Um, I guess uh at the No Kings protest, according to the Amuse account, some of them tried to storm the LA ICE facility.

Yeah.

Where was that?

In Portland, that didn't work out.

So, it was mostly under control.

All right.

It was the They say it's the biggest uh single day anti-Trump protest during the second administration.

Well, it doesn't matter how big it is.

It matters how much publicity it gets.

And it didn't do well on the publicity.

So, I watched a little bit of the military parade.

Um I had a comment that I thought was just me.

until I saw a bunch of other people on social media.

Did it seem to you like the marching was especially ragged?

You know, it it's not like uh it's not like I should be criticizing anybody in the military, but did anybody have that same impression?

Like I I feel like they could marshall a little bit better than that.

Well, I don't know what that was all about, but it was a robot dog or two.

So, it's the first military parade with robot dogs.

Um, I like the voice over guy.

So, the parade would have been super boring except there was a voice over guy and I assume you could hear him at the event or not just on TV, but he was uh giving context.

you know, this uh this unit of historical soldiers did this or that, this unit did that.

That was kind of made it kind of interesting.

Um MSNBC, of course, had to cover it, but they wanted to make something negative of it.

So, here's how our MSNBC tried to spin a military parade that was celebrating the same military that got rid of our king and has protected us all these years.

And uh they decided that the way to cover it was to claim that they can read Trump's mind.

So, MSNBC was this whole mind readader thing.

We have read his mind and we have determined that Trump is not honoring the military.

No, because they read his mind there.

There's no outward indication, you know, outwardly it looks like he's honoring the military because every single outward symbol and all of his history and all of everything we know about him suggests he's honoring the military.

So MSNBC read his mind and determined that really what he was doing was uh displaying a show of force to intimidate his political rivals.

Did anybody pick up on that?

Was anybody watching the military parade and saying, "Oh, his his political rivals are going to be afraid of these people dressed in uh Revolutionary War outfits carrying musketss." Um, so that was that was a little bit crazy.

Then uh then also in MSNBC they tried to tie the uh the military parade to Trump pardoning violent January sixers and the normalization of political violence.

All right.

Did anybody get that?

So apparently the instead of honoring the military, uh, MSNBC thought it was normalizing political violence.

They had to reach pretty deep for that one.

Um, and then there was uh uh who escalate violent rhetoric.

So yeah, they're worried about violent rhetoric.

And then Jen Saki, uh, Jen Saki to the, uh, the ultimate crazy crazy lady take.

She said, uh, that what was really in Trump's head was not honoring the military, but it was his own birthday party.

and that the and that the coincidence it was the 250th anniversary uh of the military of the army I guess um that that was a coincidence but what was really in Trump's head was throwing himself a birthday party.

Now, is it is it my imagination that that's not just a a bad take?

I mean, that's just that's just bash.

You're crazy.

Anyway, um and then uh one of the correspondents, uh Veli, I think he he said he was surprised that unlike the uh Trump rallies, um that this military parade did not have and they were surprised, it did not have uh a lot of dark malevolent energy.

What what world are they living in that that Trump is throwing himself a birthday party to intimidate his uh rivals and uh he left out the dark malevolent energy this time I guess boy they had to they had to try really hard and failed.

Um well, as uh Megie Emway pointed out in a post on X, she said, "Whatever is aailing the Democrats, I'm pretty sure Democrat senators posting open hatred of the United States Army celebrating its 250th birthday is not going to help.

So once again, uh, Trump has baiten the Democrats into taking the side of the 20 in 8020 issue.

How many people are really like anti the United States having a military?

So anyway, so John Federman did his Federman thing where he uh bucked the the common thinking of the Democrats and you know he had an opinion that uh our Republicans would like.

He said regardless of your Democrat, regardless of your politics, it's appropriate to celebrate the 250 years of sacrifice, dedication, and service.

So, Federman was all in on honoring the the army.

All right.

Well, uh let's talk about Israel and Iran.

Um so, once again, um there have been missiles and rockets and bombs exchanged.

Israel's taking uh some casualties now.

eight people killed, four children, 200 injured, 35 still missing.

So, that's pretty bad.

And uh that will probably continue for some time.

We don't know how long.

Um but the the back and forth is underway.

So, we got a number of things to say about that topic.

Uh number one, I made four predictions so you can track me.

So see what you think about these four predictions.

So prediction number one, this is just from me.

Uh there will be no organic popular uprising that removes Iran's leaders.

Now I'm not saying there won't be a pretend popular uprising.

You know, maybe some kind of organized thing that got organized by the US or Israel or something.

Um, but I just don't believe the population of Iran is in the mood to gather on the streets and do a big protest and get rid of their leaders.

And the reason for that is they're under attack.

And I don't think the people under attack take the side of the attacker.

and it's the attackers who would like the um like the leadership to change.

Now, I agree that it is very likely that there are a lot of Iranian citizens who also want the administration to change, but they might not have to do anything about it.

They're probably saying if I just wait, it might take care of itself, if you know what I mean.

So, I don't think the uh I wouldn't wait for the the public in Iran to join the uprising.

I think they'll sit down.

Um, number two, Iran will not return to the negotiating table and give up its nuclear ambitions, but the latest says that uh Iran is actually asking uh about returning to the negotiating table.

However, uh even if they do return to the table, um I believe that they would only stall and that it would be a tactic.

I do not believe they would return to the table and legitimately say, you know what, we were really wrong about this nuclear stuff.

We give it all up.

Uh let's immediately blah blah.

Now the reason for that is that they are publicly asking for negotiations but what they're not saying is that they would be now willing to give up the the one and only thing that was the sticking point which was the nuclear program.

If they really wanted to stop the bombing and they really planned to give up their nuclear ambitions, all they'd have to do is say, "Hey, let's go back to the negotiating table and we'll talk about our our nuclear program.

It's now in play." All they'd have to do is say it's on the table and that we could talk about it and then it would look different.

But they don't say that.

So, I'm going to say that they will just never give up their nuclear ambitions.

Um, number three, I predict that that Israel will not stop attacking until they've achieved everything they want.

Now, that leaves a little wiggle room because you and I can disagree on what it is they want.

Do they want to change the regime leadership or do they want to simply destroy the current uh nuclear program and go home?

Or do they want to destroy the missile program, ballistic missile program plus the nuclear and go home?

Or do they want to destroy Iran's ability to make any kind of military action anywhere?

Or do they want to control the country with puppets?

So, we don't know what they want, but I can tell you for sure they're not going to go home until they get it.

Whatever it is they want.

Um, they do not seem in the mood to go halfway there.

It's just not the halfway administration.

It's sort of the if we're going to do this, we're going to do it all the way.

And number four, I believe that Israel's prediction that it would be done in two weeks um is not accurate.

I believe they will not not be done in two weeks.

I don't know if it'll take a month or two months or longer, but I don't know how they could be done.

Done just seems hard.

Anyway, apparently Elon Musk has activated Starlink in Iran because they lost their uh they lost their internet.

And I guess we're thinking that the public would be more organized against the the leadership if they had the internet.

But again, I'm predicting that there will not be a massive organic popular uprising.

We shall see.

Um apparently now Israel is saying that uh US involvement would be necessary to do what they need to do.

Now given that I already said they're they're not going to be done until they get everything they want.

So what is it exactly that only the American U interaction could solve?

Is it the bunker busting or is it much more than that?

Because if they if they had only said there's just one thing we need, you know, we just need to bunker bust these two bunkers, then that would be limited and that we could argue whether that's a terrible idea or a great idea.

But we know what it was.

But apparently Israel is just saying that US involvement is necessary.

So what exactly would that be?

Well, Scott Jennings happens to be over there and he issued this opinion from Israel.

Um he said that Trump would be justified in taking out the Fordo nuclear enrichment facility.

It would be a righteous decision, would it?

According to who?

And if he doesn't, no question in my mind that he would deserve the Nobel Peace Prize.

Well, I'm going to make another prediction.

You don't get the Nobel Peace Prize by dropping a bunker buster bomb on your enemies.

You know, even if you think you deserved it, that is not how you get a peace prize.

Uh avoiding a bomb might get you a peace prize.

Anyway, um apparently according to the Times of Israel, uh Trump recently told Netanyahu that the US would consider striking uh that Fordo nuclear facility, which would require some bunker busing um if it were necessary to prevent tan from requiring a nuclear weapon.

Now, this is in the times of Israel.

So one source um so we'll see now as I uh the logish message on X from investor Bill Aman who's uh getting more involved in sort of international and national politics and he's always he's always interesting because he's got wellthoughtout opinions but he's got this uh He's got an opinion on finishing the job in terms of Israel finishing the job.

And he says, um, we should not let this opportunity pass.

Uh, Israel doesn't have the equipment and arminist to complete the job, but we do, and it does not require boots in the ground.

Um, it goes, so let's help them finish the job.

finish the job.

What do you think that would look like?

So, let me let me just sort of uh tweak your imagination.

So, imagine if you will that the US helps Israel uh destroy what's left of the uh nuclear facilities in Iran.

Then what do we just leave?

And then then what happens?

Does Iran say, "Oh, darn it.

Well, we tried to build those nuclear weapons, but that didn't work out, so I guess we won't do that again." And that we won't cause any trouble cuz it might be another war.

Is that what happens?

That doesn't sound like Iran, does it?

Is it finishing the job when you replace the leadership?

Because if we replace it, it would look like a puppet.

And if they replace it, it would probably look like more hardliners.

So, what exactly would look like finishing the job?

Would it require um dominating the country and essentially owning it forever?

would it you know like I said the puppets wouldn't work and the hardliners don't work because they just reconstitute the uh the risk to Israel.

So if you can't define what finishing the job looks like and you know maybe some people have a specific idea but it's not a not a generally agreed upon idea.

How can you how can you operate in that if you don't know what the the end goal should look like?

So, we got a problem which is if we don't do anything, uh things could eventually get worse because they'll they'll be looking for revenge no matter how many years it takes them to reconstitute some kind of threat.

And it might be a different threat, you know, maybe it's not nuclear next time.

Maybe it's drones and god knows what loaded onto the drones.

So, so it seems to me that no matter what we do, we we leave them wounded and really really mad.

Don't they just come back worse than before?

I don't know.

So, I'm I'm looking for a better idea than the ones that are out there because to me it looks like every path leads to Iran reconstituting their threat whether it's 5 years from now or 10 years from now.

So, I don't know.

I don't know what finish looks like.

Um, Israel has vowed that quote we have more surprises coming for Iran.

So Fox News is reporting that um apparently Iran was projected to have 8,000 ballistic missiles within two years.

They apparently have 2,000.

I guess the ballistic missiles are the ones that are hard to stop and carry the biggest payloads.

Um so I'll ask the same question.

If we destroyed all of their ballistic missiles and all of their nuclear facilities, how long would it take them to rebuild at least the manufacturing for more ballistic missiles?

Because isn't that stuff you can, you know, you can slap together?

I mean, not a slap together, but if if you already know how to make ballistic missiles, you it seems to me that it would be maybe one year it would take to rebuild the manufacturing to build them again and then you make a 100,000 next time.

So, what does it mean to finish off or finish the job anyway?

Um, we're surprises coming.

We'll see what that is.

Um, so like I said, Iran Iran has uh apparently tried to reach the United States through Oman and Qatar to mediate with Washington, which suggests that we don't have any kind of direct communication with Iran, which is weird.

Do we really have no direct communication or is it because all of their leadership is in a don't communicate mode because then we can find them more easily.

So it might be that they have to be so careful about how they communicate that even if they could pick up the phone and just call Washington, they can't pick up the phone and just call Washington because they would get bombed within a minute and a half.

So it could be that they just have to go through these this weirdous route just so we can't track who it is who who's even giving the instructions.

So anyway, so I don't I don't think uh Iran is 100% serious about negotiating, but they might act like they are.

Um, so I guess the prime minister of Cyprus says Iran has asked them to convey a message to Israel.

And really, that's the only way they can get to Israel is through Cyprus.

I don't know.

Seems like they would have some kind of a email or something.

It seems at the very least they should be able to email Israel.

Um so uh Trump is reinforcing on his truth social that the US had nothing to do with the attack.

Now I don't know do you believe that?

Do you believe we had nothing to do with it?

That might be that might be uh you know our intent but it seems like we have such close you know military arrangements with Israel that in every case we'd have some kind of indirect you know support whether we intended it that way or not.

Anyway, he says the US had nothing to do with the attacks in Iran tonight.

if we are attacked in any way um blah blah blah bad things will happen.

So there's that.

Um according to a uh expost on Vizyrad 24 uh Israel destroyed the Shiraz electronics industry plant.

That's the only place that uh no the largest producer of rad radar systems in Iran.

Now, if if Israel is targeting radar manufacturing plants in Iran, um does that mean they're running out of better targets because that would be, you know, obviously I understand why they'd want to take down a radar manufacturing plant, but it wouldn't be on the top rung of targets, would it?

because it's not an immediate thing.

Does that mean that they've already taken out all of the top level like top priority targets?

Everything that could shoot today or do radar today?

Are they just makes you wonder did they get everything that's a higher priority and now they're down to manufacturing plants even though I understand you know why they would want to target it.

So that's a little hint that maybe maybe Israel got more than we thought.

Um, of course there is always the subplot with any kind of um whenever Israel is involved in any kind of military action, there's a subplot about which side is targeting the more civilians.

So Iran is apparently um just indiscriminately targeting civilian areas.

Israel is doing their usual thing which is trying hard to hit military targets and avoid um civilian stuff but of course it's a war so civilians will inevitably you know be hurt.

Um, and one of my questions is how accurate are Iran's missiles and drones?

Can we say for sure that every time they hit an apartment building, they aimed for it?

Or are they aiming for the city and they're lucky if they hit anything?

Now, in either case, you could argue that they're targeting civilians because they're not trying to miss civilians, but it matters a little bit if they have any control.

So, I'm thinking the ballistic missiles probably are kind of accurate and maybe the drones are accurate, but smaller payloads.

So, I'm kind of curious about how much they can control.

In in either case, it's it's all bad and evil and it's war, but that's always a sublot.

Who who is uh worse on going after um civilians?

Now, Tim Walls um made a provocative statement at some event.

He said that uh maybe China will be seen as the only moral authority that would be uh able to uh talk peace with both Israel and Iran.

Now, of course, we're all, you know, that's a uh red meat for the media.

Um China being a moral authority.

Now I don't think any of us believe that China is morally superior to anyone else.

Uh but it might be true that China has not tried to make Israel or Iran an enemy.

Now from that point of view uh if he would take out the moral part and just say from a practical perspective it might be that China might be exactly the kind of energy that you know because it's not an enemy of either of either of them.

Maybe they can do something productive.

We'll see.

But uh whenever I see Tim Wals say anything positive about China, it makes me think about all the times he's visited and it makes me think I don't think that China encourages that many visits unless they're working that guy, you know, trying to turn that guy into a an asset.

And that doesn't mean he got flipped and he's any kind of a spy, although you never know.

But uh you know I have no evidence he's a spy.

But then you know he just slips in a little thing about China having the moral authority to handle this big problem.

And it makes you wonder how much brainwashing did he get in all those many trips to China because this looks a little brainwashy.

You know, like like China accomplished their goal of brainwashing Tim Walsh because he had enough trips over there.

You know, if you do how many trips they do like 30 30 trips with uh students and stuff.

I don't know.

Looks a little bit brainwashy.

Well, I guess uh Trump and Vladimir Putin had a one-hour conversation by phone on Saturday, according to Just the News.

And uh the the outcome of their one-hour conversation is that they both agree the war with Israel and Iran should end.

Uh and then Trump says he feels as I do, this war in Israel and Iran should end.

to which I explained his war should also end.

So apparently they wasted an hour.

What was the point of that conversation?

What was one of them going to say, "Oh, we'd like that war to just keep on going." No, of course they want the Israel Iran war to be end.

It doesn't, you know, there's no benefit to daddy of us.

So that was a waste of an hour.

Um, but I think Putin had uh offered to help mediate the situation.

And again, you know, I'm not going to say Putin is a moral moral authority.

But as far as I know, Putin has a good relationship with both Israel and Iran, right?

Similar to China.

So maybe maybe he can help.

And uh Putin is talking about getting back to the negotiating table with Ukraine.

I don't know if he means that.

It's hard to know if he's serious about that, but he said it.

So maybe we'll see.

Um, AOC is uh going hard at the uh the elders in her party and she said this recently about the older established people in the Democratic party.

She says it doesn't matter how much you work with them, they still will choose their old friends and and old generation every single time.

So, David Hog going after those older ones and AOC now going after the older ones.

Um, I don't think you'll see Bernie Sanders go after the older ones cuz he is one of the older ones.

So, that's a little awkward.

Little bit awkward.

AOC uh because it does seem like Bernie is one of the old ones, but not one of the old uh uh he's not one of the old network though.

it would be outside the network.

All right.

But, uh, it doesn't look like the Democrats have a good plan to, uh, come together and beat the Republicans.

It looks like they have a plan to fight with each other and maybe that will make them stronger.

We'll see.

Um, so Trump is already in uh Canada, I believe, for the G7 where the the big seven economies get together.

And uh it's sort of awkward because uh he he's there on the same weekend as the no kings event and uh Canada has a king.

So, Canada wanted to get in on this no kings thing, but they realized they have a king, which is hilarious to me.

So, they had to change it to no tyrants.

So, yeah, good luck there.

So, yeah, Trump's in G7.

So, it's also awkward because he wants to uh, you know, absorb Canada and the United States, but I think uh I think he's over that awkwardness.

Um, according to also just the news, um, the uh, curfews that have been put in place for LA because there was a lot of unrest with the anti-ICE protests.

Um, apparently the curfews worked.

So, Mayor Bass put some curfews in effect and uh it accomplished everything they wanted, which was less trouble at night.

So, what do people say when you do something that works?

They always say the same thing.

Why didn't you do it sooner?

Now, that's a kind of a fair question in this case, but if the best you have is why didn't you do it sooner?

Well, I don't know.

I'll take the win.

You know, I I I hate to be the one who says, "Why didn't you do it sooner?" Um, but here we are.

Everything good could have happened sooner.

So, it looks like the anti-ICE demonstrations wound down.

Um, but does that mean they'll just wind right back up again or they or is it like squeezing the toothpaste and now they just they just uh go later in other cities?

I don't know.

So, does anybody think any of these uh alleged anti-Trump protests are anything but theater?

None of it looks real or like it would have any kind of political impact.

It all looks totally artificial.

I think maybe the entire purpose of it is to make other people think they're part of something important.

So they'll actually, you know, vote and act and cry and, you know, worry and shake and all that other stuff.

So most of the protests I think uh are propaganda and it's to make other people who are watching think there's more energy to get rid of Trump than there is.

And have you noticed that the the people who want to get rid of Trump, they only have vague ideas of what it is that their problem is.

It's so vague.

It's like, well, he's going to steal my democracy.

And then they also talk about all the things he's already done.

To which I think, like what?

Like what?

He he's done things that the courts have reversed.

He's he's tried things that uh you know sometimes the court agrees on, but it doesn't look very authoritarian to me.

And I I loved his answer to it that uh he's far from a king because he it's just hard to get anything done, which is a really good good response.

It is so hard for any president to get anything done that they're about as far away from being a king as you could possibly be.

But uh apparently all of the uh the very worried, mentally ill Democrats have been convinced that he's up to no good and he's stealing their democracy forever.

And I I don't know where it's happening.

I mean, there there are definitely things that um I don't love about what the the administration is doing, but it's not very it's not very dangerous looking.

It seems all entirely 100% pro-American America first stuff.

So, we'll see.

Um so Trump is uh the administration is looking at adding 36 more countries to the travel ban.

Um how many were there?

Were there a dozen?

Yeah, dozen have already been added but they're looking at 36 more mostly in Africa.

Uh the reasons for the bans are that the the records from some countries are not dependable.

So, we can't tell what we're getting.

And in some cases, uh, you know, there's in some cases there's a foreign terrorist threat.

And, uh, in some cases there are countries that have a unusual number of visa overseas.

So, if there's a country where every time somebody comes in legally, they don't leave.

when it's time to leave, then they get on the list.

So, is that uh authoritarian?

Well, like everything else, if the uh court says he can't do it, then it won't happen.

Um and if the court says he can do it, it just seems like he's protecting America.

So, you know, it's about as authoritarian as I'd want it to be.

Well, apparently according to Newsmax, the administration is also dusting off this very long dormant uh law, the Alien Registration Act uh passed in 1940, which requires anybody who's not a citizen to register.

And so it gives the uh administration one more thing to charge somebody with because if they're here illegally, uh there's a good chance they have not registered.

I guess it's a misdemeanor and they could have six months in jail or $1,000 fine.

And uh they're supposed to register and get uh fingerprinted and probably just about nobody's done that.

So, it's sort of an add-on just to make it more uncomfortable to be here illegally.

So, I think the Trump administration admits that the purpose of it is to essentially, you know, persuade uh persuade the undocumented immigrants that's a bad idea to stay.

Well, in completely different news, there was a study to show who the best tippers are by state, and California is named.

Now, if there's one thing I'm getting tired of, it's that whenever California is in the news, it's always because we suck.

When was the last time you saw a story where and then California was at the top of the list better than all the states?

It's beating all the states in I don't know education.

No.

So here is a story about the best and worst tippers.

Can you guess how California is uh handled?

Yes, of course.

They're the worst tippers.

Californians are the worst tippers.

And the best are Delaware.

So, Delaware gave us the uh Biden family and really good tipping.

Why would California be so bad at tipping?

Does anybody have any idea?

Is it because of our demographic makeup?

because we have a lot of uh a lot of noncitizens, but that wouldn't affect tipping, would it?

I don't know.

So, I guess California just sucks at everything.

Um BBC reminds us that the uh world fertility is at dangerous levels basically everywhere.

But uh they go on to say that uh the affordability of having children might be the main reason and that seems right.

You know, you know, we spend time trying to think, well, why are birth rates going down everywhere?

And we're thinking, oh, it's because testosterone is lower and we're thinking it's because of the news or because of our devices or whatever.

But I think it's just money.

I I think it's money everywhere.

I think every country um that has an affordability problem, they they're just having fewer children.

It's just cause and effect.

So, how do you fix that?

You somehow having children has to become affordable.

And I think that daycare is the biggest thing.

Um, if you could get rid of the daycare costs, it's not like the kids eat that much.

But the other thing that uh that is crazy expensive is if kids are involved in a lot of events like organizations.

If you have a kid who's in a sport and they're good at that sport, they're traveling all over the place and you've got to travel and sometimes you got to spend the night and you've got to outfit them and it's really expensive.

So if you were to fix the schools so that you know kids are not being required to pay for all this extracurricular stuff and you could fix the daycare which feels like it's fixable with some kind of shared responsibility sort of thing.

Seems like you could do it.

Then uh maybe you'd fix the uh the uh population.

We'll see.

Um I see in the comments we spend 10,000 a year on sports.

Yeah.

And that's that's probably common if you have few kids in sports.

Anyway, in other news, according to interesting engineering, uh there's new passive cooling technology for data centers.

Now, you might say to yourself, "Scott, what could be less interesting than a new passive cooling center for data centers?" Well, uh, one of the things I've been predicting is that, uh, you know, we're we think we're going to run out of electricity for AI because AI will require like, I don't know, a thousand times more electricity than we we reasonably might have anytime soon.

But as I've been telling you, um I'll bet you there will be developments that that reduce the amount of electricity you need and this is one of them.

Now it's uh it's not that close to being implemented, but it'll give you a sense of what's possible.

So it's a new fiberbased cooling technology that gives uh well, let me start back here.

Apparently 40% of your electrical costs for a data center is cooling it.

40% is just keeping at the right temperature.

So if you could take that 40% and reduce it to 10%.

You would save the equivalent of, you know, maybe maybe 300 nuclear power plants.

I'm making that up, but it would be a big difference.

So don't be surprised if you see a bunch of breakthroughs that make it easier to run AI on more um you know more power sensitive equipment and you see ways to cool um data centers that we never thought of before.

So I think the uh the need for the electricity will be falling faster than we build electricity.

So that's that's my prediction.

Anyway, uh apparently also Newsmax is saying that ICE is uh largely going to pause its raids on farms and hotels and restaurants.

And that's because Trump has agreed that in those industries, you've got a lot of people who have just been working for years and years and they're additive to the economy and if you got rid of them all at once, you'd be in real trouble.

So, I don't know how many of you agree with that.

Um, but I will tell you from the real world perspective, replacing them would be way harder than you think.

Um, you know, there there's a reason that these industries are filled with uh, you know, nonocumented workers.

And it's because it's really hard to fill these jobs with Americanborn people.

And again, if you ask me why, I would say I'm out.

I'm out.

I do not want to be in the conversation about why that is.

It's just true.

If you know anybody who works in these industries, uh, anybody who works in the farm, motel, or restaurant industry, and if they do the hiring, so they're really close to it, ask them if they could staff their enterprise with Americanborn people if they had to.

They couldn't.

It wouldn't even be a case of, well, you'd have to train them.

They wouldn't even walk in the door again.

Why?

I don't know.

I don't know why.

And you know, I've thought about it a long time, but I just don't know why.

It's just the truth.

So, I think uh you know, Trump will get a lot of push back for that because there's still a lot of people who say ship back everybody, no exceptions.

And I understand the argument, but there is a realworld friction that Trump understands.

And uh if if you think that that part would be easy, it wouldn't be easy.

You might still think it's worth doing, but it would be massively disruptive to those industries.

Um, but again, you might prefer that and that, you know, I would understand that.

All right, ladies and gentlemen, that's all I got for now.

Um, I'm going to say a few words privately to the local subscribers and the rest of you.

Thanks for joining.

Uh, we'll keep an eye on uh the news today.

See see who else is being a victim.

There's always some new victims.

And uh I'll see everybody uh tomorrow.

Same time, same place, I hope.

Come on back tomorrow.

All right, locals private in 30 seconds.

There you are. It's about time. Come on

in.

Come on in.

Yep.

And welcome.

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Wow. So good. See if we can get our

comments going

and then we've got something.

All right. Incredible. It's all working.

Well, let's start with the uh big tragic

story.

As you know, uh there was a shooting in

Minnesota. a uh

I guess targeted were uh four lawmakers,

so state lawmakers. Two of them were

killed. Uh two of them were wounded,

husband and wife. And the uh the man who

did it is still at large.

And he had a uh a weird mask on that

made him look like a bald man

or made him look like me actually.

Uh but he looked like a policeman.

Somehow he had a police car and a police

outfit

and uh he used that as his uh entry for

shooting four people. Two of them died.

Now, of course, because we're all bad

people, instead of thinking about the

victims,

which we should be thinking about, we

think about the politics.

And most of the news is obsessed with

trying to figure out is he a crazy

leftist or a crazy right-wing guy.

Um, I'm going to go on record as saying

I don't care

because the damage is done and he's

crazy. You know, whether he's crazy left

or crazy right, I'm not really keeping

score that way. Yeah, these are

anecdotal.

um there's something wrong with that one

person and they may or may not have a

coherent set of ideas but trying to

understand them I don't know it's

probably not worth it

but um we will look through all of his

various indications to try to figure out

is he left or is he right because that

would uh I guess that would improve our

our political ical arguments.

Is that what we need to worry about

right now? Improving our political

arguments.

Well, he uh he's definitely leaving a

u set of clues that could make you

imagine and see it way. So, I'm not even

going to guess if he's crazy left or

crazy right. He's crazy and he's on the

loose. So, watch out. Um,

what else? So, yesterday, as you know,

was the no kings events. So, all over

the country, people uh made up signs and

they marched and they said, "No kings,

no kings in the United States." And it

worked. Um, I have to admit I was

skeptical at first. I was like, "Really?

I mean, do they need to do that? Is

there any benefit from doing that? And

sure enough, I woke up this morning and

there were no kings.

It worked. Man, you know, you you really

don't expect that that things will work

that that fast,

but one day of uh marching and no kings,

none at all. So, good job. Millions of

people have participated

and did their affirmations

and it worked. There are no kings today.

Um, ironically, there was a big 250th

anniversary of the army military parade.

Um, what was it that the military did

250 years ago? Oh, yeah. They got rid of

our king.

So they had a no king march that was

opposing the military parade which was a

celebration of the military getting rid

of the king. So if there's one thing we

can all agree on, it's no kings.

It's the weirdest thing. You know, if if

the worst thing you have to worry about

is that uh both the left and the right

are adamant about having no kings, well,

we're not doing too poorly.

So, we got that going on. Um the no

kings protest was very large but

apparently it was completely

overshadowed by the tragedy of the uh

the four people who were shot

and so it just took it right out of the

news basically. So probably half of the

energy got sucked up into a different

news story sadly.

Um, but on top of that, it was the war

in Iran.

So, you know, if you're if you were

planning a protest,

you picked the wrong weekend.

That that was a very noisy, you know,

newsfilled weekend. So, sorry about

that. Um, I guess uh at the No Kings

protest, according to the Amuse account,

some of them tried to storm the LA ICE

facility. Yeah. Where was that? In

Portland,

that didn't work out.

So, it was mostly under control.

All right. It was the They say it's the

biggest uh single day anti-Trump protest

during the second administration.

Well, it doesn't matter how big it is.

It matters how much publicity it gets.

And it didn't do well on the publicity.

So, I watched a little bit of the

military parade. Um I had a comment that

I thought was just me. until I saw a

bunch of other people on social media.

Did it seem to you like the marching was

especially ragged?

You know, it it's not like uh it's not

like I should be criticizing anybody in

the military, but did anybody have that

same impression?

Like I I feel like they could marshall a

little bit better than that. Well, I

don't know what that was all about, but

it was a robot dog or two. So, it's the

first military parade with robot dogs.

Um, I like the voice over guy.

So, the parade would have been super

boring except there was a voice over guy

and I assume you could hear him at the

event or not just on TV, but he was uh

giving context. you know, this uh this

unit of historical

soldiers did this or that, this unit did

that. That was kind of made it kind of

interesting. Um

MSNBC,

of course, had to cover it, but they

wanted to make something negative of it.

So, here's how our MSNBC

tried to spin a military parade that was

celebrating the same military that got

rid of our king

and has protected us all these years.

And uh they decided that the way to

cover it was to claim that they can read

Trump's mind.

So, MSNBC was this whole mind readader

thing. We have read his mind and we have

determined that Trump is not honoring

the military.

No, because they read his mind there.

There's no outward indication, you know,

outwardly it looks like he's honoring

the military because every single

outward symbol and all of his history

and all of everything we know about him

suggests he's honoring the military. So

MSNBC read his mind and determined that

really what he was doing was uh

displaying a show of force to intimidate

his political rivals.

Did anybody pick up on that? Was anybody

watching the military parade and saying,

"Oh, his his political rivals are going

to be afraid of these people dressed in

uh Revolutionary War outfits carrying

musketss."

Um, so that was that was a little bit

crazy. Then uh

then also in MSNBC they tried to tie the

uh the military parade to Trump

pardoning violent January sixers and the

normalization of political violence.

All right. Did anybody get that?

So apparently the instead of honoring

the military,

uh, MSNBC thought it was normalizing

political violence.

They had to reach pretty deep for that

one. Um, and then there was uh

uh who escalate violent rhetoric. So

yeah, they're worried about violent

rhetoric.

And then Jen Saki,

uh, Jen Saki to the, uh, the ultimate

crazy crazy lady take. She said, uh,

that what was really in Trump's head was

not honoring the military, but it was

his own birthday party. and that the

and that the coincidence it was the

250th anniversary

uh of the military of the army I guess

um that that was a coincidence but what

was really in Trump's head was throwing

himself a birthday party.

Now, is it is it my imagination

that that's not just a a bad take? I

mean, that's just that's just bash.

You're crazy. Anyway,

um and then uh one of the

correspondents, uh Veli, I think he he

said he was surprised that unlike the uh

Trump rallies,

um that this military parade did not

have and they were surprised, it did not

have uh a lot of dark malevolent energy.

What what world are they living in that

that Trump is throwing himself a

birthday party to intimidate his uh

rivals and uh he left out the dark

malevolent energy this time I guess

boy they had to they had to try really

hard and failed. Um well, as uh Megie

Emway pointed out in a post on X, she

said, "Whatever is aailing the

Democrats, I'm pretty sure Democrat

senators posting open hatred of the

United States Army celebrating its 250th

birthday is not going to help.

So once again, uh, Trump has baiten the

Democrats into taking the side of the 20

in 8020 issue. How many people are

really like anti the United States

having a military?

So anyway, so John Federman did his

Federman thing where he uh bucked the

the common thinking of the Democrats and

you know he had an opinion that uh our

Republicans would like. He said

regardless of your Democrat, regardless

of your politics, it's appropriate to

celebrate the 250 years of sacrifice,

dedication, and service. So, Federman

was all in on honoring the the army.

All right. Well, uh let's talk about

Israel and Iran. Um so, once again,

um there have been missiles and rockets

and bombs exchanged.

Israel's taking uh some casualties now.

eight people killed, four children, 200

injured, 35 still missing. So, that's

pretty bad. And uh that will probably

continue for some time. We don't know

how long. Um but the the back and forth

is underway. So, we got a number of

things to say about that topic. Uh

number one, I made four predictions so

you can track me. So see what you think

about these four predictions.

So prediction number one, this is just

from me. Uh there will be no organic

popular uprising that removes Iran's

leaders.

Now I'm not saying there won't be a

pretend

popular uprising. You know, maybe some

kind of organized thing that got

organized by the US or Israel or

something.

Um, but I just don't believe the

population of Iran is in the mood to

gather on the streets and do a big

protest and get rid of their leaders.

And the reason for that is they're under

attack.

And I don't think the people under

attack take the side of the attacker.

and it's the attackers who would like

the

um like the leadership to change. Now, I

agree that it is very likely that there

are a lot of Iranian citizens who also

want the administration to change, but

they might not have to do anything about

it. They're probably saying if I just

wait,

it might take care of itself, if you

know what I mean.

So, I don't think the uh I wouldn't wait

for the the public in Iran to join the

uprising. I think they'll sit down.

Um, number two, Iran will not return to

the negotiating table and give up its

nuclear ambitions,

but the latest says that uh Iran is

actually asking

uh about returning to the negotiating

table.

However, uh even if they do return to

the table,

um I believe that they would only stall

and that it would be a tactic. I do not

believe they would return to the table

and legitimately

say, you know what, we were really wrong

about this nuclear stuff. We give it all

up. Uh let's immediately blah blah. Now

the reason for that is that they are

publicly asking for

negotiations

but what they're not saying is that they

would be now willing to give up the the

one and only thing that was the sticking

point which was the nuclear program. If

they really wanted to stop the bombing

and they really planned to give up their

nuclear ambitions, all they'd have to do

is say, "Hey, let's go back to the

negotiating table and we'll talk about

our our nuclear program. It's now in

play."

All they'd have to do is say it's on the

table and that we could talk about it

and then it would look different. But

they don't say that. So, I'm going to

say that they will just never give up

their nuclear ambitions.

Um, number three, I predict that that

Israel will not stop attacking until

they've achieved everything they want.

Now, that leaves a little wiggle room

because you and I can disagree on what

it is they want. Do they want to change

the regime leadership

or do they want to simply destroy the

current uh nuclear program and go home?

Or do they want to destroy the missile

program, ballistic missile program plus

the nuclear and go home? Or do they want

to destroy

Iran's ability to make any kind of

military action anywhere?

Or do they want to control the country

with puppets?

So, we don't know what they want, but I

can tell you for sure they're not going

to go home until they get it. Whatever

it is they want. Um, they do not seem in

the mood to go halfway

there. It's just not the halfway

administration. It's sort of the if

we're going to do this, we're going to

do it all the way. And number four, I

believe that Israel's prediction that it

would be done in two weeks

um is not accurate. I believe they will

not not be done in two weeks. I don't

know if it'll take a month or two months

or longer, but I don't know how they

could be done.

Done just seems hard.

Anyway, apparently Elon Musk has

activated Starlink in Iran because they

lost their uh they lost their internet.

And I guess we're thinking that the

public would be more organized against

the the leadership if they had the

internet. But again, I'm predicting that

there will not be a massive organic

popular uprising.

We shall see.

Um

apparently now Israel is saying that uh

US involvement would be necessary to do

what they need to do. Now given that I

already said they're they're not going

to be done until they get everything

they want. So what is it exactly that

only the American

U interaction could solve? Is it the

bunker busting

or is it much more than that?

Because if they if they had only said

there's just one thing we need, you

know, we just need to bunker bust these

two bunkers,

then that would be limited and that we

could argue whether that's a terrible

idea or a great idea. But we know what

it was. But apparently Israel is just

saying that US involvement is necessary.

So what exactly would that be? Well,

Scott Jennings happens to be over there

and he issued this opinion from Israel.

Um he said that Trump would be justified

in taking out the Fordo nuclear

enrichment facility. It would be a

righteous decision, would it? According

to who? And if he doesn't, no question

in my mind that he would deserve the

Nobel Peace Prize.

Well, I'm going to make another

prediction. You don't get the Nobel

Peace Prize by dropping a bunker buster

bomb on your enemies.

You know, even if you think you deserved

it, that is not how you get a peace

prize. Uh avoiding a bomb might get you

a peace prize.

Anyway, um apparently according to the

Times of Israel,

uh Trump recently told Netanyahu that

the US would consider striking uh that

Fordo nuclear facility, which would

require some bunker busing um if it were

necessary to prevent tan from requiring

a nuclear weapon. Now, this is in the

times of Israel. So one source

um

so we'll see

now as I uh the logish message on X from

investor Bill Aman who's uh getting more

involved in sort of international and

national politics and he's always he's

always interesting because he's got

wellthoughtout opinions but he's got

this uh He's got an opinion on finishing

the job

in terms of Israel finishing the job.

And he says,

um, we should not let this opportunity

pass.

Uh, Israel doesn't have the equipment

and arminist to complete the job, but we

do, and it does not require boots in the

ground. Um, it goes, so

let's help them finish the job.

finish the job.

What do you think that would look like?

So, let me let me just sort of uh tweak

your imagination.

So, imagine if you will that the US

helps Israel

uh destroy what's left of the uh nuclear

facilities in Iran. Then what

do we just leave?

And then then what happens? Does Iran

say, "Oh, darn it. Well, we tried to

build those nuclear weapons, but that

didn't work out, so I guess we won't do

that again."

And that we won't cause any trouble cuz

it might be another war. Is that what

happens?

That doesn't sound like Iran, does it?

Is it finishing the job when you replace

the leadership?

Because if we replace it, it would look

like a puppet. And if they replace it,

it would probably look like more

hardliners.

So, what exactly would look like

finishing the job?

Would it require

um dominating the country and

essentially owning it forever?

would it you know like I said the

puppets wouldn't work and the hardliners

don't work because they just

reconstitute the uh the risk to Israel.

So if you can't define

what finishing the job looks like and

you know maybe some people have a

specific idea but it's not a not a

generally agreed upon idea. How can you

how can you operate in that if you don't

know what the the end goal should look

like? So, we got a problem

which is if we don't do anything,

uh things could eventually get worse

because they'll they'll be looking for

revenge no matter how many years it

takes them to reconstitute some kind of

threat. And it might be a different

threat, you know, maybe it's not nuclear

next time. Maybe it's drones and god

knows what loaded onto the drones. So,

so it seems to me that no matter what we

do, we we leave them wounded and really

really mad.

Don't they just come back worse than

before?

I don't know. So, I'm I'm looking for a

better idea than the ones that are out

there because to me it looks like every

path leads to Iran reconstituting their

threat whether it's 5 years from now or

10 years from now. So, I don't know. I

don't know what finish looks like. Um,

Israel has vowed that quote we have more

surprises coming for Iran.

So Fox News is reporting that um

apparently

Iran was projected to have 8,000

ballistic missiles within two years.

They apparently have 2,000. I guess the

ballistic missiles are the ones that are

hard to stop and carry the biggest

payloads.

Um so I'll ask the same question.

If we destroyed all of their ballistic

missiles and all of their nuclear

facilities,

how long would it take them to rebuild

at least the manufacturing for more

ballistic missiles?

Because isn't that stuff you can, you

know, you can slap together? I mean, not

a slap together, but if if you already

know how to make ballistic missiles,

you it seems to me that it would be

maybe one year it would take to rebuild

the manufacturing to build them again

and then you make a 100,000 next time.

So, what does it mean

to finish off or finish the job anyway?

Um, we're surprises coming. We'll see

what that is.

Um,

so like I said, Iran Iran has uh

apparently tried to reach the United

States through Oman and Qatar

to mediate with Washington, which

suggests

that we don't have any kind of direct

communication with Iran, which is weird.

Do we really have no direct

communication or is it because all of

their leadership

is in a don't communicate mode because

then we can find them more easily.

So it might be that they have to be so

careful about how they communicate that

even if they could pick up the phone and

just call Washington, they can't pick up

the phone and just call Washington

because they would get bombed within a

minute and a half. So it could be that

they just have to go through these this

weirdous

route just so we can't track who it is

who who's even giving the instructions.

So

anyway, so I don't I don't think uh Iran

is 100% serious about negotiating, but

they might act like they are.

Um, so I guess the prime minister of

Cyprus

says Iran has asked them to convey a

message to Israel.

And really, that's the only way they can

get to Israel is through Cyprus.

I don't know. Seems like they would have

some kind of a email or something.

It seems at the very least they should

be able to email Israel.

Um

so uh Trump is reinforcing on his truth

social that the US had nothing to do

with the attack. Now I don't know do you

believe that? Do you believe we had

nothing to do with it?

That might be that might be uh you know

our intent but it seems like we have

such close you know military

arrangements with Israel that in every

case we'd have some kind of indirect

you know support whether we intended it

that way or not. Anyway, he says the US

had nothing to do with the attacks in

Iran tonight. if we are attacked in any

way um blah blah blah bad things will

happen. So there's that.

Um according to a uh expost on Vizyrad

24

uh Israel destroyed the Shiraz

electronics industry plant. That's the

only place that uh no the largest

producer of rad radar systems in Iran.

Now, if if Israel is targeting

radar manufacturing plants in Iran,

um does that mean they're running out of

better targets

because that would be, you know,

obviously I understand why they'd want

to take down a radar manufacturing

plant, but it wouldn't be on the top

rung of targets, would it? because it's

not an immediate thing. Does that mean

that they've already taken out all of

the top level

like top priority targets?

Everything that could shoot today or do

radar today? Are they just makes you

wonder did they get everything that's a

higher priority and now they're down to

manufacturing plants even though I

understand you know why they would want

to target it. So that's a little hint

that maybe maybe Israel got more than we

thought.

Um, of course there is always the

subplot with any kind of um whenever

Israel is involved in any kind of

military action, there's a subplot about

which side is targeting the more

civilians.

So Iran is apparently um just

indiscriminately targeting civilian

areas. Israel is doing their usual thing

which is trying hard to hit military

targets and avoid

um civilian stuff but of course it's a

war so civilians will inevitably

you know be hurt. Um,

and one of my questions is how accurate

are Iran's missiles and drones?

Can we say for sure that every time they

hit an apartment building, they aimed

for it? Or are they aiming for the city

and they're lucky if they hit anything?

Now, in either case, you could argue

that they're targeting civilians because

they're not trying to miss civilians,

but it matters a little bit if they have

any control.

So, I'm thinking the ballistic missiles

probably are kind of accurate and maybe

the drones are accurate, but smaller

payloads.

So, I'm kind of curious about how much

they can control. In in either case,

it's it's all bad and evil and it's war,

but that's always a sublot. Who who is

uh worse on going after um civilians?

Now, Tim Walls um made a provocative

statement at some event. He said that uh

maybe China will be seen as the only

moral authority that would be uh able to

uh talk peace with both Israel and Iran.

Now, of course, we're all, you know,

that's a uh red meat for the media. Um

China being a moral authority. Now I

don't think any of us believe that China

is morally superior to anyone else.

Uh but it might be true that China has

not tried to make Israel or Iran an

enemy.

Now from that point of view uh if he

would take out the moral part and just

say from a practical perspective it

might be that China

might be exactly the kind of energy that

you know because it's not an enemy of

either of either of them.

Maybe they can do something productive.

We'll see. But uh whenever I see Tim

Wals say anything positive about China,

it makes me think about all the times

he's visited and it makes me think

I don't think that China encourages that

many visits unless they're working that

guy, you know, trying to turn that guy

into a an asset. And that doesn't mean

he got flipped and he's any kind of a

spy, although you never know. But uh you

know I have no evidence he's a spy.

But then you know he just slips in a

little thing about China having the

moral authority to handle this big

problem. And it makes you wonder how

much brainwashing did he get in all

those many trips to China because this

looks a little brainwashy.

You know, like like China accomplished

their goal of brainwashing Tim Walsh

because he had enough trips over there.

You know, if you do how many trips they

do like 30 30 trips with uh students and

stuff. I don't know. Looks a little bit

brainwashy.

Well, I guess uh Trump and Vladimir

Putin had a one-hour conversation by

phone on Saturday, according to Just the

News. And uh the the outcome of their

one-hour conversation is that they both

agree the war with Israel and Iran

should end. Uh and then Trump says he

feels as I do, this war in Israel and

Iran should end. to which I explained

his war should also end. So apparently

they wasted an hour.

What was the point of that conversation?

What was one of them going to say, "Oh,

we'd like that war to just keep on

going." No, of course they want the

Israel Iran war to be end. It doesn't,

you know, there's no benefit to daddy of

us. So that was a waste of an hour. Um,

but I think Putin had uh offered to help

mediate the situation. And again, you

know, I'm not going to say Putin is a

moral moral authority. But as far as I

know, Putin has a good relationship with

both Israel and Iran, right? Similar to

China.

So maybe maybe he can help. And uh Putin

is talking about getting back to the

negotiating table with Ukraine.

I don't know if he means that. It's hard

to know if he's serious about that, but

he said it. So maybe we'll see. Um, AOC

is uh going hard at the uh the elders in

her party

and she said this recently about the

older established people in the

Democratic party. She says it doesn't

matter how much you work with them, they

still will choose their old friends and

and old generation every single time.

So, David Hog going after those older

ones and AOC now going after the older

ones. Um, I don't think you'll see

Bernie Sanders go after the older ones

cuz he is one of the older ones. So,

that's a little awkward. Little bit

awkward. AOC

uh because it does seem like Bernie is

one of the old ones, but not one of the

old uh uh he's not one of the old

network though. it would be outside the

network.

All right. But, uh, it doesn't look like

the Democrats have a good plan to, uh,

come together and beat the Republicans.

It looks like they have a plan to fight

with each other and maybe that will make

them stronger. We'll see.

Um,

so Trump is already in uh Canada, I

believe, for the G7 where the the big

seven economies get together. And uh

it's sort of awkward

because uh he he's there on the same

weekend as the no kings event

and uh Canada has a king.

So, Canada wanted to get in on this no

kings thing, but they realized they have

a king,

which is hilarious to me. So, they had

to change it to no tyrants.

So, yeah, good luck there.

So, yeah, Trump's in G7. So, it's also

awkward because he wants to uh, you

know, absorb Canada and the United

States, but I think uh I think he's over

that awkwardness.

Um, according to also just the news,

um, the uh, curfews that have been put

in place for LA because there was a lot

of unrest with the anti-ICE protests.

Um, apparently the curfews worked. So,

Mayor Bass put some curfews in effect

and uh

it accomplished everything they wanted,

which was less trouble at night. So,

what do people say when you do something

that works?

They always say the same thing.

Why didn't you do it sooner?

Now, that's a kind of a fair question in

this case, but if the best you have is

why didn't you do it sooner? Well, I

don't know. I'll take the win. You know,

I I I hate to be the one who says, "Why

didn't you do it sooner?"

Um, but here we are. Everything good

could have happened sooner. So, it looks

like the anti-ICE demonstrations wound

down. Um,

but does that mean they'll just wind

right back up again or they or is it

like squeezing the toothpaste and now

they just they just uh go later in other

cities?

I don't know. So, does anybody think any

of these uh alleged anti-Trump protests

are anything but theater?

None of it looks real or like it would

have any kind of political impact. It

all looks totally artificial. I think

maybe the entire purpose of it is to

make other people think they're part of

something important. So they'll

actually, you know, vote and act and cry

and, you know, worry and shake and all

that other stuff.

So most of the protests I think uh are

propaganda

and it's to make other people who are

watching

think there's more energy to get rid of

Trump than there is.

And have you noticed that the the people

who want to get rid of Trump, they only

have vague ideas of what it is that

their problem is. It's so vague. It's

like, well, he's going to steal my

democracy. And then they also talk about

all the things he's already done. To

which I think, like what?

Like what? He he's done things that the

courts have reversed.

He's he's tried things that uh you know

sometimes the court agrees on,

but it doesn't look very authoritarian

to me. And I I loved his answer to it

that uh he's far from a king because he

it's just hard to get anything done,

which is a really good good response. It

is so hard for any president to get

anything done that they're about as far

away from being a king as you could

possibly be. But uh apparently all of

the uh the very worried, mentally ill

Democrats have been convinced that he's

up to no good and he's stealing their

democracy forever.

And I I don't know where it's happening.

I mean, there there are definitely

things that um I don't love about what

the the administration is doing, but

it's not very

it's not very dangerous looking. It

seems all entirely 100% pro-American

America first stuff. So, we'll see. Um

so Trump is uh the administration is

looking at adding 36 more countries to

the travel ban.

Um how many were there? Were there a

dozen? Yeah, dozen have already been

added but they're looking at 36 more

mostly in Africa. Uh the reasons for the

bans are that the the records from some

countries are not dependable. So, we

can't tell what we're getting. And in

some cases, uh, you know, there's in

some cases there's a foreign terrorist

threat.

And, uh, in some cases there are

countries that have a unusual number

of visa overseas.

So, if there's a country where every

time somebody comes in legally, they

don't leave. when it's time to leave,

then they get on the list. So, is that

uh authoritarian?

Well, like everything else, if the uh

court says he can't do it, then it won't

happen.

Um and if the court says he can do it,

it just seems like he's protecting

America. So,

you know, it's about as authoritarian as

I'd want it to be.

Well, apparently according to Newsmax,

the administration is also dusting off

this very long dormant uh law, the Alien

Registration Act uh passed in 1940,

which requires anybody who's not a

citizen to register.

And so it gives the uh administration

one more thing to charge somebody with

because if they're here illegally,

uh there's a good chance they have not

registered. I guess it's a misdemeanor

and they could have six months in jail

or $1,000 fine. And uh they're supposed

to register and get uh fingerprinted

and probably just about nobody's done

that. So, it's sort of an add-on just to

make it more uncomfortable to be here

illegally. So, I think the Trump

administration admits that the purpose

of it is to essentially,

you know, persuade uh persuade the

undocumented immigrants that's a bad

idea to stay.

Well, in completely different news,

there was a study to show who the best

tippers are by state,

and California is named. Now, if there's

one thing I'm getting tired of,

it's that whenever California is in the

news, it's always because we suck.

When was the last time you saw a story

where and then California was at the top

of the list better than all the states?

It's beating all the states in I don't

know education. No.

So here is a story about the best and

worst tippers.

Can you guess how California is uh

handled?

Yes, of course. They're the worst

tippers. Californians are the worst

tippers. And the best are Delaware.

So, Delaware gave us the uh Biden family

and really good tipping.

Why would California be so bad at

tipping? Does anybody have any idea? Is

it because of our demographic makeup?

because we have a lot of uh

a lot of noncitizens,

but that wouldn't affect tipping, would

it? I don't know. So, I guess California

just sucks at everything.

Um

BBC reminds us that the uh world

fertility is at dangerous levels

basically everywhere. But uh they go on

to say that uh the affordability of

having children might be the main reason

and that seems right.

You know, you know, we spend time trying

to think, well, why are birth rates

going down everywhere? And we're

thinking, oh, it's because testosterone

is lower and we're thinking it's because

of the news or because of our devices or

whatever. But I think it's just money.

I I think it's money everywhere. I think

every country

um that has an affordability problem,

they they're just having fewer children.

It's just cause and effect. So,

how do you fix that?

You somehow

having children has to become

affordable. And I think that daycare is

the biggest thing. Um, if you could get

rid of the daycare costs, it's not like

the kids eat that much. But the other

thing that uh that is crazy expensive is

if kids are involved in a lot of events

like organizations. If you have a kid

who's in a sport and they're good at

that sport,

they're traveling all over the place and

you've got to travel and sometimes you

got to spend the night and you've got to

outfit them and it's really expensive.

So if you were to fix the schools

so that you know kids are not being

required to pay for all this

extracurricular stuff and you could fix

the daycare

which feels like it's fixable with some

kind of shared responsibility sort of

thing. Seems like you could do it. Then

uh maybe you'd fix the uh the uh

population.

We'll see.

Um I see in the comments we spend 10,000

a year on sports. Yeah. And that's

that's probably common if you have few

kids in sports.

Anyway,

in other news, according to interesting

engineering,

uh there's new passive cooling

technology for data centers. Now, you

might say to yourself, "Scott, what

could be less interesting than a new

passive cooling center for data

centers?"

Well, uh, one of the things I've been

predicting is that, uh, you know, we're

we think we're going to run out of

electricity for AI because AI will

require like, I don't know, a thousand

times more electricity than we we

reasonably might have anytime soon. But

as I've been telling you, um I'll bet

you there will be developments that that

reduce the amount of electricity you

need and this is one of them. Now it's

uh it's not that close to being

implemented, but it'll give you a sense

of what's possible.

So it's a new fiberbased cooling

technology

that gives uh well, let me start back

here. Apparently 40% of your electrical

costs for a data center is cooling it.

40% is just keeping at the right

temperature. So if you could take that

40%

and reduce it to 10%.

You would save the equivalent of, you

know, maybe maybe 300 nuclear power

plants. I'm making that up, but it would

be a big difference. So don't be

surprised if you see a bunch of

breakthroughs that make it easier to run

AI on more um you know more power

sensitive equipment and you see ways to

cool

um data centers that we never thought of

before. So I think the uh the need for

the electricity will be falling faster

than we build electricity.

So that's that's my prediction.

Anyway, uh apparently also Newsmax is

saying that ICE is uh largely going to

pause its raids on farms and hotels and

restaurants. And that's because Trump

has agreed that in those industries,

you've got a lot of people who have just

been working for years and years and

they're additive to the economy and if

you got rid of them all at once, you'd

be in real trouble. So,

I don't know how many of you agree with

that.

Um, but I will tell you from the real

world perspective,

replacing them would be way harder than

you think.

Um, you know, there there's a reason

that these industries are filled with

uh, you know, nonocumented

workers. And it's because it's really

hard to fill these jobs with

Americanborn people. And again, if you

ask me why,

I would say I'm out. I'm out. I do not

want to be in the conversation about why

that is. It's just true.

If you know anybody who works in these

industries, uh, anybody who works in the

farm, motel, or restaurant industry, and

if they do the hiring, so they're really

close to it, ask them if they could

staff their enterprise with Americanborn

people if they had to.

They couldn't. It wouldn't even be a

case of, well, you'd have to train them.

They wouldn't even walk in the door

again. Why? I don't know. I don't know

why. And you know, I've thought about it

a long time, but I just don't know why.

It's just the truth. So, I think uh you

know, Trump will get a lot of push back

for that because there's still a lot of

people who say ship back everybody, no

exceptions.

And I understand the argument, but there

is a realworld

friction that Trump understands. And uh

if if you think that that part would be

easy,

it wouldn't be easy. You might still

think it's worth doing, but it would be

massively disruptive to those

industries.

Um, but again, you might prefer that and

that, you know, I would understand that.

All right, ladies and gentlemen, that's

all I got for now.

Um, I'm going to say a few words

privately to the local subscribers and

the rest of you. Thanks for joining. Uh,

we'll keep an eye on uh the news today.

See see who else is being a victim.

There's always some new victims. And uh

I'll see everybody uh tomorrow. Same

time, same place, I hope. Come on back

tomorrow. All right, locals private in

30 seconds.