Episode 2895 CWSA 07/12/25
Lots of fake news today, and fake everything. Fun! Join us. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Come on in here. Let's have some fun. It's Saturday, also known as Saturday, and that means all the lazy podcasters take the day off. But not me. No, I'm here for you. I'm here for you and especially Beth. So Beth, this is the real show. Good morning everyone and welcome to th
View segment →e highlight of human civilization, possibly Martian civilization too. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating this experience to levels that no one can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, well all you ne…
View segment →hing better. It's called the simultaneous sip. And it happens. That's right. Right now. Go. Oh, you feel better. You do. Yeah, you do. Well, after our show today you might want to join Owen Gregorian, who's going to be hosting a Spaces event right after we're done. Spaces is the audio service on X…
View segment →ime or something to look into that and find out that yes, there were armed gang members standing outside the apartment building? There was no way they could have figured that out on their own for a year. Sorry. Trust in the media pretty low. Pretty low. All right, here's a story that as far as I kn…
View segment →y, but at the moment I'm going to say probably not. I'm leaning toward fake news on this one, but I could be wrong. I'm going to say 55% fake news, 45% real. That's my final answer. Well, somebody named Eddie Zu has developed AI glasses that will be used to train robots. And the way it will do that…
View segment →t's see what else. According to Just the News, Ben Whedon is writing that the Treasury has announced that in June the government will have a $27 billion surplus from tariff revenues. Surplus meaning that after the government paid all of its bills it would have an extra $27 billion left over. And tha…
View segment →poll that says only 17% of American adults believe climate change will impact where they live. Where they live. Now isn't that funny? As soon as you put the "where you live" part on climate change then suddenly the number of people who believe in it just drops way down because people have usually, i…
View segment →of talking and scrambling and maybe trying some stuff to get back in the good graces of the government because the government has them in a vice grip that says if you continue to be antisemitic and not open to different points of view such as conservative ones we will not give you the funding that y…
View segment →ntionally trying to embarrass the influencers. Now I think that goes too far. I doubt anybody would have done it intentionally but it was a bad play and it looked like it was a little bit a blown opportunity I guess. So there's some reason to believe that some people would have a reason to be mad at…
View segment →truth on this issue, let's say the Epstein issue that your base and your fans really care about, but you're not allowed to tell the truth. What would you do or what would you assume that Dan Bongino would do? Well at the very least I would make some threats and I would say look here's the deal. I th…
View segment →ined for deportation. 300. So these were two businesses. They were both pot farms and collectively they had 300 people who were undocumented and working there. What kind of pot farm needs 300 people? I would say that's a 10 robot situation. So eventually robots. But apparently one person died in the…
View segment →money into NATO and then taking it right back out to buy our weapons. So it's not really monetizing it right? It's not monetizing it. Because a lot of it's our own money. Here's why you're wrong about that. It's a concept called sunk costs. Here's how you should do that analysis. Were we going to p…
View segment →both teams. Anyway that's all I got for today. As I reminded you Owen Gregorian will have a Spaces event in a few minutes as soon as we're done here. And you can continue talking about this stuff or maybe some other stuff if you want but go to X and look for Owen Gregorian and you'll find the link…
View segment →Come on in here. Let's have some fun.
It's Saturday, also known as Saturday, and that means all the lazy podcasters take the day off. But not me. No, I'm here for you. I'm here for you and especially Beth. So Beth, this is the real show.
Good morning everyone and welcome to the highlight of human civilization, possibly Martian civilization too. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating this experience to levels that no one can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, well all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass, a tankard, a chalice, a canteen, a jug or a flask. A vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. And it happens. That's right. Right now. Go.
Oh, you feel better. You do. Yeah, you do.
Well, after our show today you might want to join Owen Gregorian, who's going to be hosting a Spaces event right after we're done. Spaces is the audio service on X. So just go there and look for Owen Gregorian or you can find the link in my X feed as Scott Adams says.
Well, I wonder if there's any news about the health benefits of coffee. Oh yeah. According to the Times of India there's a new study out of the UK somewhere and it turns out that if you have three cups of coffee every day you can reduce your risk of liver disease by 49%. Right? So what I recommend is that when you drink alcohol, you drink one cup of coffee for every drink because the alcohol will destroy your liver because it's poison, but the coffee will just rejuvenate it. You'll break even. No, do not listen to any medical advice from cartoonist podcasters. Bad idea. Bad idea.
See what else is happening. Let's do some fake news. There's some fake news today on social media. It is reporting that, this is not true by the way, so before I even say what it is, according to Grok there's no truth to this whatsoever. But the rumor is that Brigitte Macron's plastic surgeon who was going to give a tell-all has been found dead, fell out of a window. But it turns out that it's probably a Russian disinformation campaign and there's no credible source for the story.
Does Grok really know? Marcela asks. And the answer is, well, it's pretty good at checking sources, so there's no other source that says it.
All right, here's my favorite story. I was doing a pre-show before we went live here and I couldn't stop laughing for about ten minutes. So Trump just published another Truth Social in which he opines that Rosie O'Donnell, who as you know moved to Ireland because she's so unhappy with the United States, and Trump says that since Rosie is so bad for the United States he's considering removing her citizenship.
Now, I went to Grok and I said, "Can a president remove somebody's citizenship?" And he said, "No, no, a president does not have that power." I think it would be in some weird situation where they had lied on some official forms to become a citizen or something. There's a special case but basically no.
So the thing that makes me laugh is wondering what Trump was thinking or saying or who was in the room when he wrote that message because if he wrote it alone it wouldn't be as funny. But I just imagine him sitting there with some of his best friends or maybe just Melania or something like, "All right, watch this. I'm gonna send out a Truth Social that says I'm gonna take Rosie O'Donnell's citizenship away because she complained about the United States from Ireland." I don't believe that he believes he has the power to do that. And you know it's a slow news day. So the last thing that Trump wants is people talking about Epstein. So whenever the shelf of news is a little bare, Trump just comes up with something that he just creates out of nothing that creates a story you can't not talk about.
Do you think that the news can ignore the fact that Trump has called for maybe removing the citizenship of a US citizen for complaining from Ireland?
All right. I hope you liked it as much as I did. To me that's just hilarious. He obviously knows exactly what he's doing.
All right. Well according to the Daily Mail, the New York Times is admitting their fake news from last year where I guess they were accusing Trump of lying or exaggerating about the Venezuelan gangs allegedly taking over a Colorado apartment building. And then the New York Times said, "We looked into it. That's not true." And then a year later they publish an article saying well you know turns out it's a little bit complicated and we can't really say it's not true. It's true-ish maybe, kind of true, maybe it was fake news. So they might describe what they did a little differently, but the Daily Mail is blaming them for admitting their fake news. That was a big one. As fake news goes that was kind of bold because could they really not figure out what was going on there? Did the New York Times really not have the resources or the talent or the time or something to look into that and find out that yes, there were armed gang members standing outside the apartment building? There was no way they could have figured that out on their own for a year. Sorry. Trust in the media pretty low. Pretty low.
All right, here's a story that as far as I know has not been debunked, but it doesn't sound real to me. So I'm going to tell you the story but we're going to play a game where you tell me, does this sound real or does this sound a little too on the nose, like a little too perfect?
All right, here's the story. I see Ian Miller is reporting this for Outkick but I believe there were other outlets that are reporting it. And the report is that JP Morgan Chase CEO, the famous Jamie Dimon, said the following while at an overseas event. He said that quote, "I have a lot of friends who are Democrats and they're idiots." Bloomberg is reporting this while he was speaking at a foreign ministry event in Ireland. Oh well, I guess Ireland is where you go to say terrible things like Rosie. Then allegedly Jamie Dimon went on and said, "I always say they have big hearts and little brains. They do not understand how the real world works. Almost every single policy rolled out has failed."
Doesn't that sound a little bit like me? Or maybe Greg Gutfeld. One of the things that Democrats are often criticized for is policies that don't seem to understand how human beings work, that we have incentives and stuff like that. So that is so on the nose that that makes me a little suspicious. And then it goes further and he describes how the Democrats lost their way. And allegedly, and again I'm not totally sure this is real, but allegedly Jamie Dimon said they overdid DEI. "We all were devoted to reaching out to the black community, Hispanic and LGBT community, the disabled. We do all of that," Dimon said. "But the extent they got to, stop it and they've got to go back to being more practical. They're very ideological."
And I'm thinking to myself, all right well it's sort of real-ish, but he would have known he would have been quoted. Would he really say that all of his Democrat friends are idiots? Would he say that and then go back to New York City where his subordinates and his friends are Democrats? Who says that? He's a little bit too smart and too savvy to insult 75% of all of his friends knowing that it will get back to them. So is that real?
All right. But it goes further. I guess he was asked about Zohran Mamdani, who by the way you could call him Zohran Mamdani or you could call him Mamdani. So it's either Zohran or pick one. Anyway, what Jamie Dimon allegedly said, and here I'm still a little skeptical he really did, but allegedly quote, "He's more of a Marxist than a socialist." And now you see these Democrats falling all over themselves saying well he's pointing out some real problems, affordable housing and grocery prices. Okay, maybe there's the same ideological mush that means nothing in the real world.
Now again that's the sort of thing that I would say that it's sort of a word salad, meaningless nothing. Does that sound real to you? I'm going to put a pin in this one and say I'm not sure because a lot of the news today is fake or looks fake. This one I don't know. I'm not buying it. I'm willing to be talked into it being real if Jamie Dimon says, "Yeah, I said that." Or there's a video that comes out someday, but at the moment I'm going to say probably not. I'm leaning toward fake news on this one, but I could be wrong. I'm going to say 55% fake news, 45% real. That's my final answer.
Well, somebody named Eddie Zu has developed AI glasses that will be used to train robots. And the way it will do that is they'll put these AI glasses on Chinese factory workers and it will watch them work. So the glasses will be on the human and it will be watching the human doing something with their hands that's assembling something or doing some kind of assembly line kind of thing and that's how they will train robots. So they'll collect all that data and feed it into robots and then robots will know how to put everyone in China out of work. I think the Chinese government is going to have to throw him out a window because I don't think you can put a few hundred million Chinese factory workers out of work with robots. But maybe it's coming.
Well Sam Altman was talking about a delay at ChatGPT and he says they're planning to launch their open-weight model next week but they're going to delay it for more safety testing. And you might say, "What the heck is an open-weight model?" Well I didn't know. So I went to Grok. I had to go to Grok today five times while I was reading the news. Five times the news told me something that I just said, "I don't even know what that is. Why don't you tell me what that means and then maybe I'll know what I'm looking at."
But the open-weight model is an AI that is a little bit open sourced, not completely, but it allows developers to know how the model works. So if they want to build their own product on top of it, it operates with the AI in the best way. Now he's saying the tech got delayed because they want to review the high-risk areas. Now when he's talking about high risk, he's not really just talking about it having a bug, right? They're talking about, well it might be the end of all civilization, but we're going to take an extra week to make sure that it doesn't destroy civilization. Well it's possible that all humankind will be eviscerated and possibly incinerated by the end of next week, but just in case we're going to take an extra week.
I can't tell how much of this is real because there's almost nothing I've heard about AI that I understand and also scares me. So why is it that the people who know the most, way more than I know, why are they so scared of AI? Is it like a mass hysteria? Is it possible that they don't want to be the one who didn't say it was dangerous when everybody else does? So maybe they just have to take that position because it sounds more socially responsible. If something bad happens they'll say, "Well we told you it wasn't fully safe." Yeah. I've been saying since the beginning good things might go wrong. And then at least you would think, "Oh well they're not morons, but something did go wrong and now we're all dead."
So I'm a little bit worried about what the smartest people know that I don't know about AI, but still I'm not afraid of it. Does anybody else have that feeling that you're watching the news, you're hearing what the smart people say and they tell you it might be a 10 or 20% chance it will destroy all humankind and I still don't worry about it? What's up with that? How many of you actually worry about it? I don't understand the risk enough to be actually worried. It just passes through.
But I'm going to add my own prediction. I would say that we could say at this point there's a 100% chance that human evolution with our organic bodies will be replaced by machine evolution and robots. And I don't mean cyborgs, I mean just machines. And that the obvious evolutionary path is for the organic humans to die off from one thing or another, not necessarily from AI. Could be we last a million years and then the sun explodes and we haven't gotten to another planet. Could be there's a new virus that comes out of a lab and kills all the humans, but we're not there yet. But we're very close to having these artificial general intelligence and artificial super intelligence robots that could potentially take over civilization and keep things running after all human organic people are gone.
So if you look at the history of other species and you look at the history of civilizations that were here 20,000 years ago but somehow they all got wiped out, is it more likely that we humans will find a way to be permanent and just keep evolving for millions of years? Is that more likely than all the organic people being killed? Not even being murdered, but just apparently if you wait long enough there's going to be a meteor, something's going to hit the Earth, something's going to go wrong. But the robots might be capable of, as long as they can get electricity, of just rebuilding civilization. So I'm going to make my prediction right now that human civilization will turn into machine evolution and it might live forever but as machines maybe.
All right. Trump and Melania visited the Texas flood zone and he did his presidential thing. Trump is very good at the empathy and meeting with people who have had tragedy and whatever. But Melania was very good as well. She was at the table with him and Trump said, "You, Melania might have a few words." And I wasn't sure if Melania was happy about that. I didn't know if she was prepared to speak. And I still don't know if she was prepared, but she very effortlessly went into an empathy related "we feel your pain, I'll come back" kind of a thing. And I was watching Trump because you know Trump will be very careful about managing his brand and would certainly want his family members and especially his wife to look good in public. And I thought to myself that he was looking at her with a lot of pride because she was really good. Very good. I don't know how much game she has, but yeah she nailed it. She got all the notes and looked very capable and I think he was probably quite happy with her response.
Let's see what else. According to Just the News, Ben Whedon is writing that the Treasury has announced that in June the government will have a $27 billion surplus from tariff revenues. Surplus meaning that after the government paid all of its bills it would have an extra $27 billion left over. And that happens to be the amount that came in from tariffs. Does that sound real? Doesn't that sound a little bit too impossible? Did we just go from deficits that could never be solved to, oh looks like in June we spent less than we made?
So I went to Grok and said, is this true? Is it possible that even for one month of the year that we would take in more revenue as a country than we spend? And Grok said yes. But it also said that in May we spent $316 billion more than we made. So is that a thing? Can the month of May be spending over 300 billion more than you have and yet by June you're making 27 billion more than you spend? Is it possible that the way budgets work in the government is that they do most of their spending in a few months so they don't necessarily smooth it out? Is that what's going on? There's something about this story that doesn't seem like it could possibly be real. Does it? Do you think it's real that the government took in more revenue than it has spent even in one month? Any one month? I don't know. I'm going to put a pin in this one and say I don't believe it. Don't believe it.
Well Peter Navarro wrote an article for Fox News, an opinion piece, and he's talking about the CBO and how their estimates were failures. Now the CBO is the entity that tells the public if Congress does this or that this will be what happens with the deficit and GDP and all that. So if you have a plan to do something for the country you want the CBO to say that's a good plan because that's supposedly the independent nonpartisan analysis. However, what if I told you about complicated 10-year projections of anything? Could be something about the budget with lots of variables and lots of people and years and assumptions or it could be something about the climate. What do I say about all of those situations? There's no human being who can predict any of that. Those are not predictable things.
But Peter Navarro points out some specific things that the CBO does wrong. And in there there's a lesson. And so I wanted to share that with you. So one of the things that they don't do, well I guess they frontload spending. So they act like the spending happens right away which would push up maybe your inflation and your interest rates and then bad things would happen. And they also don't calculate the benefit of economic growth that might be the whole point of your spending bill. So Trump's spending bill, whatever you want to call it, the latest one is designed to give money back to taxpayers which presumably they would spend which would be good for the GDP and a bunch of other stuff which should goose the economy. But when the CBO does their analysis they do not assume that the GDP goes up more than it normally would historically.
So long story short, whoever is ever in charge of these big complicated estimates of what's going to happen in the future, the result is always based on their assumptions. It's not really based on some kind of factual thing. We like to think it is. It's not based on facts and it's not based on math. It's based on the assumptions. So if the people who do the analysis make an assumption that's friendly to the Trump administration it might look like we made money by cutting taxes, but you could very easily make different assumptions and make it look like it's a huge economic disaster. So Peter Navarro does a good job of simply pointing out that these are assumption-based estimates and not necessarily some kind of fact that you should trust. And he is quite confident that the latest moves by the administration will be good for the economy and reduce the deficit if the CBO were good at doing estimates.
Well The Post Millennial is talking about how there's a Gallup poll that says only 17% of American adults believe climate change will impact where they live. Where they live. Now isn't that funny? As soon as you put the "where you live" part on climate change then suddenly the number of people who believe in it just drops way down because people have usually, if they're adults, have lived wherever they lived for a number of years. And they probably said to themselves, I've been here for a long time and the weather looks the same to me.
So I've been in California for 46 years in roughly the same area of California. Do you know how much the climate has changed in my 46 years of being here? Not really at all. As far as I know it feels and looks the same to me. We go through some periods of drought but California always did, and then we have some rainy years and everything's okay for a while. So is this the same where you live? How many of you live somewhere where when you first moved there it was a different climate than it is now? Is there anybody? No. If you have your own experience you just look around and you go it doesn't seem like it's any different where I live. So that's going to have an impact over time and people are less worried about big horrible weather disasters than they used to be and they should because we get better at handling weather disasters every year of human existence.
According to Princeton University, a writer named Colton Poore is writing about this. Did you know that geothermal energy has a lot of potential? Yes you did because you listened to my podcast. Now geothermal means that if you dig a hole that's deep enough you'll get to where the earth is super hot. And if you were to pump some water down there, or if there was a natural water source, you could superheat that water and create energy from it and it would be a real clean source of energy. No CO2 if you don't like CO2. But it's not really economical. Most places don't have the ideal place where you could dig a hole that was deep enough and the rocks would be in the right place close to the surface and all that stuff. So if you were to look at should we go hog wild on geothermal right away? Well somebody would do a CBO-like economic analysis and they would say it doesn't look like the economics are good.
However according to this article which seems right to me, the thing they don't include when they look at the economics of geothermal is that we would start by picking the ideal places. So the place you put geothermal on day one is going to be where it is economical. And then you're going to learn much more about how to do it economically. And then you'll do the next one where there's yet another place where it's perfect for geothermal. So the costs would be much lower than if you were in a place that's bad for it. And so the thinking is that we are underestimating how much of an impact geothermal will someday have because we assume that the economics will not improve that much but in fact it wouldn't be hard to improve the economics. All you have to do is make sure you're starting in the places where it's economical and then the rest would be sort of the normal decrease in technology costs over time. So they think maybe it could be the third best green source of energy until we get to better nuclear I guess.
Meanwhile over at Harvard, Harvard's having a tough time because of all the pressure from the Trump administration, but according to Newsmax they're thinking about creating a conservative think tank. So would that help? Well it wouldn't be nothing because Harvard has almost no conservatives there. So if they said hey here's our big old Harvard conservative think tank that would maybe give them a little bit of relief from the criticism. But reportedly also the Crimson, that would be the Harvard newspaper, is reporting that Harvard is dismantling some of its DEI apparatus. So it looks like Harvard is at least doing a lot of talking and scrambling and maybe trying some stuff to get back in the good graces of the government because the government has them in a vice grip that says if you continue to be antisemitic and not open to different points of view such as conservative ones we will not give you the funding that you require from the federal government. So Harvard had been trying to hang tight and not do what they're told but there might be a little movement there.
I missed part of this story so it's a few days old. But Roger Stone I guess said in a post a few days ago, why would Bannon, Steve Bannon, meet with Jeffrey Epstein both at his New York home and in Paris after Epstein was convicted on sex crimes in Florida? Why would he coach Epstein for his 60 Minutes appearance? And allegedly Bannon took 15 hours of film of Epstein for a documentary that never got produced. So here's what Elon Musk said when he saw Roger Stone's accusation. Now I don't know independently if any of this is true but you know Roger Stone is saying it and Elon Musk commented, "Bannon is in the Epstein files." Okay. Now is he just joking? Is Elon Musk just screwing with us because he knows we won't believe that? Or does he know something we don't know? Or is he just guessing? I don't know. But that would explain why Bannon is going all in on trying to destroy Musk, destroy all of his businesses, nationalize SpaceX, and then deport him. Deport Musk.
And I heard that the other day and I thought, wait is he serious? I mean I could understand why you don't want Elon Musk to be involved in politics. I can understand that. But do you really need to nationalize SpaceX which would ruin it and do you really need to deport him? What? So I wondered where was any of this coming from? So I don't know who started the fight but it looks like it's a cage match to the death because when Elon Musk says that Bannon is in the Epstein files, again this is a claim which I'm not aware of any evidence to support it. It's just a social media claim. It feels like he's going for a kill shot. And when Bannon talks about essentially destroying Elon Musk's US connection and deporting him that feels like he's trying to take a kill shot. Is that really what we want? I don't want either one of them to kill either one of them but I don't know what's real and I don't know how to value any of these claims. It's just out there.
Now let's follow up with the summer rumors about Bongino, Patel, and Bondi. So as you know we were supposed to get a big reveal about the Epstein files and Pam Bondi had suggested that maybe there was something more there. And now we hear, and again this is all rumors, I would say that the credibility of this story is about as low as you could get. We don't really know what people are thinking, feeling, said to each other privately. We don't really know. But the rumor is that Dan Bongino stopped coming to work for a few days so that he could think about whether he would resign presumably over the fact that Pam Bondi either botched the Epstein reveal or just can't work with her for some reason. And then further the rumor said, and I don't think the second part is real for sure, is that Kash Patel had said that if Bongino quits because Bondi is still there, I guess he would want her to quit first or something, that he would quit.
Now how much of that do you believe? I do believe that they probably are a little angry at each other. I don't know who would be angry at who or for what, but beyond that how much do we really know about what they think and why they're doing what they're doing? If you tell me that Bongino took some days off from work I'm going to say you mean around the 4th of July in the middle of July when he's been working like a dog for months and months and he took a few days off around a weekend and I'm supposed to make something out of that? Almost everybody in the government has taken a week off in the summer. Does that really mean anything?
Well here are some of the other facts around this story. Number one, do you remember when Pam Bondi gave some influencers some special access to the first wave of Epstein files and she invited them to the White House and had them all hold up their own file that they had been given secret advanced knowledge of the Epstein information? And then when they looked at it they found out it was all public information. There was nothing new in it whatsoever which was some say almost like intentionally trying to embarrass the influencers. Now I think that goes too far. I doubt anybody would have done it intentionally but it was a bad play and it looked like it was a little bit a blown opportunity I guess. So there's some reason to believe that some people would have a reason to be mad at Bondi.
And we don't know exactly who said tell everybody that there's nothing to see here. But don't you assume it was Trump? Don't you believe that whatever Kash Patel and Bongino and Bondi said about Epstein, don't you assume that that was all run past Trump and he said this is what you're going to say? Don't you believe that? Because I definitely don't believe that any of them went rogue and said I'll just say what I think and this is what I think. Oh there's nothing there. I don't buy it. So I think it's Trump's decisions but maybe he was influenced by one of them more than the other. Something like that.
But if you're going to try to bet whether Dan Bongino is really going to quit his job over any of this Epstein stuff I would give you the following equation. So Bongino went from the top of the pile in the best job you could ever have, what I'm doing right now. Yeah I laugh because even though I monetized my podcast I wouldn't do it unless I sort of enjoyed it every day. Well not even sort of. I enjoy it. I have absolute enjoyment of doing it. Even the prep which takes hours. Absolutely enjoy it.
Now do you think that Dan Bongino went from the top of the pile, one of the top podcasters in the country, and the podcasting is sort of the hottest area you could be in, and then he left there to have some government job that probably involves commuting and people hating him and all this drama and the rumors? How much do you think he wishes he had his old job back? Just use your common sense. Do you think he goes into the FBI every day and says man I made a good choice? I don't think so. I think he made the patriotic choice. I believe he took the job because he is a genuine patriot. That's my belief. Now again I can't read his mind and I don't know him personally but we all have to be judges of character because you can't avoid it. My judge of his character is that he's the real deal. Meaning that he would have only taken the job if he thought he could do something that would help the president and help the country because he was giving up a lot. Giving up the best job for the worst job. Who does that? Well it's like somebody joining the military because the country got attacked. It's a really big sacrifice and he made it.
Now suppose that he found out he couldn't do the honest job that he thought he wanted to do because let's say somebody, we don't have to know who, said well you know the truth but you're not allowed to say it. What would Dan Bongino say? If somebody who had enough power to make it happen said you're not allowed to tell the truth on this issue, let's say the Epstein issue that your base and your fans really care about, but you're not allowed to tell the truth. What would you do or what would you assume that Dan Bongino would do? Well at the very least I would make some threats and I would say look here's the deal. I think we botched that Epstein rollout but if we can fix it maybe I'll stay, but if we can't fix it I don't want to be part of a fraud. And I'm going to go back to my perfect job.
Now if he quit and even if he didn't tell you all the details, so this will be hypothetical, if Bongino quits and the only public statement he makes is something like my ethics were incompatible with the job I was asked to do. Suppose that's it. No details. My ethics, my moral center was incompatible with the job I was being asked to do. So I'm going to go back to podcasting. Would he retain his audience? Because it would be a little bit like admitting that he lied but telling you that he was asked to do it and then you would be noticing that he quit his job in protest which is a very clean way to tell you that he didn't mean what he said and that he's not in favor of it. Would you then say you know what I really respect that guy because he resigned. You know we always say if you really believe that why didn't you resign? We say that all the time about other people. So if we thought that he was forced to be a little disingenuous and then you saw him quit and then he said I'm not going to give you details but you know let's be honest you probably know exactly why I quit. Now going back to my podcasting job, what would his audience do? I think they would go back, wouldn't they? I think they would say you're an honest man who got caught in a bad situation. You did the best you could. It doesn't make sense for you to stay there any longer. Glad you're back to podcasting. And then his family would say oh finally you're back to doing what you love. You're not commuting to Washington. Wouldn't this be the very best time for him to quit if he wanted to quit anyway? Do you think he wanted to quit anyway? Probably. And I'm only saying that because he left the best job you could ever have, podcasting, to go to the worst job you could ever have, which is you have to do what you're told and you can't do what you think is right. The worst.
So I don't believe he's made a decision because he probably is going to wait till the last minute to make one. But if he decided to go back to podcasting with just a general statement about why he's leaving I would fully respect that. Now I would also respect if he stayed because I don't have any negative knowledge about him at all. But I wouldn't believe anything about this story until it's really confirmed. I don't believe all the who's mad at whom and why they're mad and who thinks who botched or whatever and who's talking to who. I don't know if I believe any of that but let's watch him. So Bongino is kind of the canary in the coal mine because we just assume he's going to do whatever is the right thing and we don't know what that is because we don't know what pressure he's under or anything like that. But I do think I'd expect him to do the right thing. And given that his own personal interest would suggest that quitting kind of soon and making this the reason for quitting that might kill two birds with one stone. One bird would be he could get back to his awesome career without destroying his reputation. And the other is it would tell you exactly what was going on there. At that point you would know for sure that there's something going on with the Epstein files. So anyway we'll keep an eye on that.
I like all three of them. I like Bondi, I like Bongino, and I like Kash Patel. So I'll tell you what I'm not going to do is take sides unless some new information comes up that I've never heard. To me they all look like they're loyal Trump MAGA compatible people and I wouldn't want anything bad to happen to any of them.
Anyway Bill O'Reilly is pretty sure that the president is behind whatever happened with the Epstein file release. He thinks that the president was behind how it was handled.
According to Glenn Beck at The Blaze his team has filed a FOIA request, freedom of information request, to get all of Dan Bongino's texts and emails regarding Epstein to Pam Bondi. Now that's something you could do. Are you telling me that the Freedom of Information Act would allow any citizen to just file some paperwork and then we could see the private emails of two people who are currently in the government? Is that real? When did that become real? Has that always been real? Now I understand if people were not in government anymore or time had gone by or something or maybe it was part of a legal action or something but with the redactions. With the redactions okay so that's the catch. So as long as the government can redact anything they want, I'm just gleaning this from the comments, as long as the government has the option of redacting whatever they want then I guess the citizens can ask for whatever they want. Doesn't mean they'll get it. But interesting play. It's an interesting play.
All right. Here's some more fake news, maybe. I saw a claim on social media that Epstein gave all of his money to his brother right before he died, like two days before he died. Grok says that's not technically true but that Epstein did put all of his money in a trust. I think it was an overseas trust. US Virgin Islands. And we assume that the trust beneficiary was his only relative which was his brother. So in a way he did sign over his money to his brother but probably through the mechanism of the trust. We don't know the details. And then allegedly the brother claimed his brother's body and buried it in an unmarked grave next to his parents in Palm Beach. Unmarked grave.
So if you were Jeffrey Epstein and you wanted to fake your own death would you make sure that your body could not be examined? And would you make sure that all of your money went to a trusted person so you still had access to it after you were allegedly dead? Yeah. Now I don't have a belief that he's still alive. I have a belief that if you rule that out I don't know if we can rule it out. Can we? I'm not going to say I believe it that he's still alive. I'm just going to say if you're asking me to rule it out I don't have any basis upon which to rule it out either. It looks like coincidentally he did the very things you would do if you were trying to fake your own death and still have resources when you were done. So we'll keep an eye on that.
I saw a post on X by Patrick Byrne about John Brennan. Apparently Patrick has some inside information that says John Brennan is abroad operating from a recreated MSNBC set somewhere. And that at one point he was operating from a SCIF in Australia continuing to coordinate against Trump. So do you think that John Brennan left the country because he's worried about consequences? I don't know. Maybe. Apparently seven more people who had worked with the Jack Smith team that was working on the cases against Trump they have been let go. And I guess there were already a whole bunch of them who had been fired for the same reason that they worked with Jack Smith as part of the prosecution attempt or the attempt to lawfare Trump. And what's interesting is these are not even lawyers. They were support staff. Now does that seem like going a little too far? I can totally understand why Trump would get rid of the lawyers who were acting against him for years of course. But the support staff? Really that's going a little deep. But you know it would be fair to assume that the support staff was not pro-Trump. So maybe that's all he needs. He doesn't need a reason. So he's cutting pretty deep there.
Hillary Clinton was on Smirconish on CNN with that big old Hillary Clinton pumpkin smile and she said quote, "If social media platforms don't moderate content then we lose total control." Well I guess that's saying it directly isn't it? You could interpret that sentence two different ways. One is just that bad things will happen. The other way is exactly what she said. We will lose total control. We? Who's we? And what kind of total control are they going to lose? Did Hillary say it exactly the way she meant it? That the Democrats and her posse would lose total control of the narrative if they let social media just do what it does. Unbelievable. So yeah. And you wouldn't believe if you didn't see the video of her talking about this. She could not get the smile off her face when she talked about the need to censor people on social media. I mean she seemed so genuinely happy. It's like oh yeah we're going to lose control unless we censor the hell out of them. Yeah. Can't wait. Oh she is the personification of evil.
The US State Department, Marco Rubio I guess got 1,300 staffers as part of a big overhaul of the State Department. And when I see something like that, 1,300 people have been downsized. What were those 1,300 people doing? How can you take any organization, I mean I know the answer but it's still mind-boggling, that there were 1,300 people that according to management were unnecessary and they were all being paid. They're all commuting to work. How would you like to be one of the 1,300 when you'd been working every day for maybe years and years and then somebody says oh we just realized all that work that you did for decades probably didn't need any of it. That was my corporate experience that gave birth to Dilbert. One day I realized in my corporate jobs that if I had never existed in my job nothing would be different. Nothing about the company would be different. Nothing about the stock price. That every day I was going to work and getting paid putting all these hours in and I was completely aware that none of it made any difference to anybody and you could just take me away from history.
I think comedian Nate Bargatze he has this little joke he says that if he went back in time nothing would change. I forget his exact punchline but it was something like oh so how do you make a nuclear power plant? And he'd be like I don't really know that. That wasn't his punchline. He had a better one. But the idea was that he wouldn't be able to affect history because he doesn't know enough about even our current time. That's pretty funny.
All right. So what about this story that after lots of investigation several of the agents who were protecting Trump at the Butler Pennsylvania event where he got shot in the ear, that several of the agents were suspended. Now only for days or weeks right? Not a permanent suspension. But here's my question. How could there be so many agents who on the same day and at the same time and in the same place all of them independently were doing something worthy of suspension? What? How was that even possible? What the hell were they doing that several of them were worthy of suspension? Now if they said to me well you know one of these people should have kept the door locked or one of these people should have said make sure there's somebody on the roof or one of these people should have said hey there's a guy walking around with a rangefinder and a drone. Maybe we should stop what we're doing and check this out. Now you could easily understand how there'd be one or two people there who did something that was sketchy enough that you think they should be suspended temporarily but how could there be several? Like how could you have a handful of people who all independently did something so non-standard to their job at the same time that they all get suspended? I would love to know what their particular crimes were because it does get to the question of were they doing it intentionally. Now I doubt it was a big well-organized anything because if you're going to do an assassination like that you're not going to have a dozen people in on it. And this would assume that something like a dozen people did all the wrong things to get him killed. It doesn't feel like that would be the way anybody would do a plot to have too many people involved in it.
But anyway so as you know the border enforcement people, ICE, they raided two different cannabis farms in California on Thursday and collectively they got 300 people detained for deportation. 300. So these were two businesses. They were both pot farms and collectively they had 300 people who were undocumented and working there. What kind of pot farm needs 300 people? I would say that's a 10 robot situation. So eventually robots. But apparently one person died in the process of these raids. I didn't see the details of how they died or what they died of but that's tragic. And I guess one of the cannabis farms had been donating to Governor Newsom. So but that doesn't mean anything. The thing that bothered me is that the price of weed in California is going to go up now. Hey I thought Trump was going to reduce the price of my essentials but no. No. Apparently the supply of marijuana will go down quite a bit and prices might go higher. I don't know if you know this but the prices for marijuana have dropped quite a bit in recent years since it was legal. When it was first legalized I think an ounce cost sometimes $400 or $500. And at the moment the same amount and same quality would be $250. So the price of weed did in fact respond to supply and demand and at least there was no inflation on weed. But maybe there will be.
There's a new poll that says Democrats look out of touch and woke and weak. We may have talked about this one and there was a super PAC who did the poll and they've decided that the Democrats focusing on fighting for democracy, it was still popular within the party but not in the general electorate. How much are you surprised? Remember how many times I told you that it was ridiculous that the Democrats thought that fighting to maintain our democracy was not going to resonate with the public. That's just something that news geeks say. But I don't know anybody who's just living their life who is worried about democracy being taken away by Trump. And here's the poll that supports my hunch that the public didn't really care about the stealing democracy part because they didn't see it as real. They also didn't care about the oligarchy. I'm seeing in the comments. Yeah they didn't care about the oligarchy either. If you're really into politics that's the stuff you debate. But if you're just a casual citizen and somebody said maybe your biggest problems, how many soccer moms and dads who are not paying attention to politics, how many of them would say well I'm worried about the oligarchy or I'm worried about the attack on democracy? Probably none.
But when you see that Mamdani guy when he gets all this purchase and all this attention because he said the right thing which is we're going to work on affordability. Affordability was really a good kill shot. You know I'm not a Mamdani fan because he's a socialist but when he found a message he just had energy and the right policy message. He didn't even have solutions really. I mean not practical ones but it reminded me of Trump. When people looked at Trump in the very beginning they just said oh there's no way. I mean we see that he's exciting and he's bringing a lot of energy. We get it. And when he talks about the border and the wall those are popular with his base but that's not enough. You're going to have to be an experienced politician to win an election. That's what people said. But it turns out that Trump needed two things. The right policies and the right amount of energy. And everything else we were willing to forgive or just enjoy as a show in my case. And I think that Mamdani is another example of that. He definitely got the right policy, affordability, better than I've seen anybody do it really. So he nailed the policy, not the solutions, but at least he said I feel your pain. You know sort of the Bill Clinton thing. I feel your pain. It's affordability and then he brought the energy. You could talk about all different things that he did that you might like in both cases Trump and Mamdani but I feel like it just came down to that. Do you have the right policy? I mean have you even identified the problem? And then do you have the energy to make it happen? And they both fit that energy plus the right policy according to their base.
Anyway Jen Psaki and her TV show on MSNBC that replaced Rachel Maddow's time slot is doing terrible in the ratings. Lost 44% of her audience. You know I'm always surprised. Was Rachel Maddow so popular that if you replace her with somebody who is in my opinion a bit of a clone, you know it's not like Jen Psaki is a completely different person than Rachel Maddow. So why would the viewership go down so much? It doesn't seem like that much of a change but one of my favorite hobbies is looking at Fox News and what they do right and comparing it to MSNBC and what they do wrong. MSNBC and CNN appear to be under the impression that news is something informing people especially about the bad news. So if you turn on CNN or you turn on MSNBC you're mostly going to get some bad news. And it's not all political. Some of it might be natural disasters and stuff and those will be on every network. But the thing that Fox News has been getting right for a long time is the understanding that people watch news as entertainment. How many of you are in that category? When I turn on the news I'm sort of a little bit trying to find out what's new but mostly I'm looking to be entertained. And when I'm watching Fox News I'm often entertained depending on what show I'm watching. And if I turn on CNN or MSNBC, because I do cycle through the three of them, they're not trying to entertain. They're trying to get you worked up or angry. And I can feel the difference.
But I also note that Greg Gutfeld completely changes the nature of Fox News in a way that's made them dominant. I think he more than anybody else he's proven that people will watch for the entertainment which is why he has two shows. You know he's on The Five which is the top ratings thing at that time slot and then he's got his own show Gutfeld which again is tops in the ratings. So he's now got three hours every night during the week in which it's unambiguously true that you know you're going to get entertained if you watch either of those or any of those shows. And it's amazing to me that CNN and MSNBC have not taken any kind of a learning from that. CNN I think they're still doing it. Maybe they had a show that was like a game show in which they would make fun of the news and Michael Ian Black was on that and some other people and I never found it funny because it was a little too forced. So I don't know if that's even still on but they tried.
There's some crypto executive orders that are expected from the White House. And I always have trouble following this topic but the reason that Bitcoin is going up in value, it had a good run this week. I didn't know why. But apparently it's in anticipation of it becoming a better I don't know if I want to call it an investment. I guess I would because of the upcoming executive orders and they would among other things ban a central bank digital currency. I guess that would be taking away a competitor to Bitcoin. Would protect self-custody so you don't have to keep it in the bank. And stable coins which are coins that are pegged to the dollar meaning if the dollar goes up they go up to the same amount would be backed by treasuries and then there'd be some market structure blah blah blah. So some of it I don't understand but Grok is reporting this. So there might be something big coming with crypto.
If you're watching the Trump and Jerome Powell saga which is always fun. So of course Trump wants Jerome Powell to quit as soon as possible or better yet just lower interest rates because that's what he really wants. But The Gateway Pundit is reporting that Jerome Powell is getting some pressure now and that according to Bill Pulte who's chairman of the board of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Bill posted on X quote, "I'm encouraged by reports that Jerome Powell is considering resigning. I think this will be the right decision for America and the economy will boom." Now I don't know what those rumors are. And I'm not sure that rumors can necessarily be trusted but there's quite a push and I think Bill Pulte is the right person to be pushing this because he's in the domain where the interest rates are going to affect affordability of housing in a big way. So he certainly has a dog in this fight.
Intel CEO was talking to his own company and told them it's too late for Intel to catch up in AI chips. What can you imagine? You're CEO of a chip company saying yeah it's too late. And that the big companies like AMD and Nvidia basically have already captured the market. And he said on training I think it is too late for us. So Intel, that's a little too honest. He must have been an engineer before he was the CEO. That's a little bit too honest. Yeah it's too late for us. We'll never catch up. So we're doomed. He didn't say they're doomed but it feels like it.
Well in good news the US is opening its first rare earth mine in more than 70 years and apparently it will provide six of the 17 rare earth materials and has tons and tons of supply. Now it has to be refined. I don't know who's going to do that or if we've solved that. But if you're wondering is the US moving in a useful way to be free of China's control of rare earth minerals? The answer is yes at least for six of 17. And I expect we'll see more movement there.
All right let me give you a lesson in economics so that I can say that you were smarter when you left. I had made the observation that if it's true that Trump has decided that Russia and Ukraine will never agree to a ceasefire and it does look true. I don't know that that's true but from my perspective it looks very much like Trump has given up and probably should that at least for now Russia and Ukraine prefer to fight. Now a bunch of people said to me Scott you stupid freaking idiot. Ukraine isn't choosing to fight. To which I say did they stop? If they didn't stop they choose to fight. Now what you really mean is they have a good reason to fight. I'm not talking about the reason and I'm not arguing that they don't have a good reason. I'm just saying that neither side has made a decision to stop and they would prefer fighting over whatever they see as the reasonable alternatives. So as long as they both want to fight what would be the best thing for the greatest president in our history to do?
Let me tell you if you know you can't fix it you should monetize it. And it looks like Trump might be doing that. So what he's done is he's providing weapons to Ukraine but he's making NATO pay for it. Now what's the next thing you're going to say to me Scott you idiot. I thought you understood things like this. You know that we're one of the biggest funders of NATO so it's not like it's free. We're putting the money into NATO and then taking it right back out to buy our weapons. So it's not really monetizing it right? It's not monetizing it. Because a lot of it's our own money.
Here's why you're wrong about that. It's a concept called sunk costs. Here's how you should do that analysis. Were we going to pay our 2% to NATO like the other countries were supposed to? Yes. We were going to give NATO money no matter what they did with it. That's called a sunk cost. Meaning that part's not going to change. The money will come out of our pockets and it will go to NATO. Nothing will change that. That's the most public agreed upon thing that all of the countries will try to get to their 2% in the not right away but there's a schedule for that but the United States most certainly is signed up for a certain amount of money that we will definitely take out of our pockets and definitely give to NATO. If you know that that won't change and can't change in any reasonable way then that doesn't count in the analysis. So in other words if we're going to give NATO money anyway the only question is do we want some of it back in the form of buying weapons from the US? And that's apparently what Trump's doing. So if you understand the concept of sunk costs the money we give to NATO is just going to be there no matter what no matter what they do with it. Wouldn't it make more sense for us to have as much of that as possible come right back to the United States in terms of purchasing American products, in this case warfighting products? Of course it would. Of course it would.
So we may have created a situation or Trump may have in which we don't have to solve the problem at all because the two sides that are fighting prefer the war. And again when I say they prefer the war they would both like the other side to stop fighting and for their side to get everything they wanted out of it. But that's not going to happen. So instead they don't prefer stopping because that would give the other one the win. So they prefer to fight. So Trump monetized it. I could not be more proud of my president. If that's what's really happening and you know I'm getting ahead of it a little bit. Maybe that's not what's happening but if that's what he came up with, well we can't stop it. We might as well monetize it. I would be so impressed. I mean I would just be so impressed if he monetized it.
Anyway Russian President Vladimir Putin allegedly is in favor of an Iran nuclear deal in which Iran would not be allowed to enrich uranium on their own. But since Putin is a weasel do we think he's just trying to be useful for world peace? Or is it more likely that if Iran is not allowed to enrich that they would have to depend on other countries such as Russia to provide them with the uranium that's already enriched for their medical use and for their domestic nuclear energy use. And that would give Russia some leverage over Iran. So I feel like this is more about Russia having some leverage over Iran but I doubt it's because he's trying to be useful.
In Great Britain according to The Telegraph there are some serious people who think that Britain should build more bomb shelters because they expect to be in a war with Russia. Are you following that? That the UK is acting like it's preparing for war with Russia. Why would the UK want to have a war with Russia? That seems like the worst idea in the world for both teams.
Anyway that's all I got for today. As I reminded you Owen Gregorian will have a Spaces event in a few minutes as soon as we're done here. And you can continue talking about this stuff or maybe some other stuff if you want but go to X and look for Owen Gregorian and you'll find the link to the Spaces which will begin pretty soon.
All right. And I'm going to say a few words privately to the people on Locals, my beloved subscribers. To you. Thanks for joining and I will see you tomorrow. Same time, same place. I hope. Bye for now.
Oh no it's not working again. All right. For reasons which I cannot determine. I can't go private without turning off the studio and getting back in. So I'll just see you on Locals. Or I'll see you on Spaces. All right everybody. Say see you later. I probably have to end it a different way. End and close room. All right. Going to have to close it and reopen.
Come on in here.
Let's have some fun.
It's Saturday, also known as Saturday, and that means the all the lazy podcasters take the day off.
But not me.
No, I'm here for you.
I'm here for you and especially Beth.
So Beth, this is the real show.
Good morning everyone and welcome to the highlight of human civilization, possibly Martian civilization, too.
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Oh, you feel better.
You do.
Yeah, you do.
Well, after uh after our show today, you might want to join Owen Gregorian who's going to be hosting a spaces event right after we're done.
Spaces is the audio service on X.
So, just go there and look for Owen Gregorian or you can find the uh link in my X feed as Scott Adams says.
Well, I wonder if there's any news about the health benefits of coffee.
H oh yeah.
uh according to the times of India there's a new study out of uh uh the UK somewhere and uh turns out that if you have three cups of coffee every day you can reduce your uh risk of liver disease by 49%.
Right?
So, what I recommend is that when you drink alcohol, you drink one cup of coffee for every drink cuz the alcohol will destroy your liver cuz it's poison, but the coffee will just rejuvenate it.
You'll break even.
No, do not listen to any medical advice from cartoonist podcasters.
Bad idea.
Bad idea.
see what else is happening.
Um, let's do some fake news.
There's some fake news today on social media.
O is reporting uh that uh the this is not true by the way.
So before I even say what it is, uh according to Grock, there's no truth to this whatsoever.
But the rumor is that Bridget Mcronone's plastic surgeon uh who was gonna give a tell all uh has been found dead fell out of window.
But it turns out that it's probably a Russian disinformation campaign and there's no there's no credible source and there's no credible source for the story.
Does Grock really know?
Marcela asks.
And the answer is, well, it's pretty good at checking sources, so there's no other source that uh that says it.
All right, here's my favorite story.
Um, I was doing a pre-show before we went live here and I couldn't stop laughing for about 10 minutes.
So Trump just published another truth social in which he in which he opines that Rosie O'Donnell who as you know moved to Ireland because she's so unhappy with the United States and Trump says that since Rosie is so bad for the United States he's considering removing her citizenship.
ship.
Now, I went to Grock and I said, "Can a president remove somebody's citizenship?" And he said, "No, no, a president does not have that power." Yeah.
I I think it would be in some weird situation where they had lied on a uh you know lied on some official forms to become a citizen or something.
There's a special case but basically no.
So, the thing that makes me laugh is wondering what Trump was thinking or saying or who was in the room when he wrote that when he wrote that message because if he wrote it alone, uh, it wouldn't be as funny.
But I just imagine him sitting there with with some of his, you know, best friends or, you know, maybe just Melania or something like, "All right, watch this.
I'm gonna send out a true social that says I'm gonna take Rosie O'Donnell's citizenship away because she complained about the United States from Ireland.
I I don't believe that he believes he has the power to do that.
And you know that it it's it's a slow news day.
So the last thing that Trump wants is people talking about Epstein.
So when whenever the the shelf of news is a little bear, Trump just comes up with he just comes up with something that he just creates out of nothing that that creates a story you can't not talk about.
Do do you think that the news can ignore the fact that that Trump has called for maybe removing the citizenship of a of a US citizen for complaining from Ireland.
All right.
I hope you liked it as much as I did.
To me, that's just hilarious.
He obviously knows exactly what he's doing.
All right.
Well, according to the Daily Mail, the New York Times is admitting their fake news from last year where I guess they uh they're accusing Trump of lying or exaggerating about the Venezuelan gangs allegedly taking over a Colorado apartment building.
And then the New York Times said, "We looked into it.
That's not true." And then a year later they publish an article says well you know turns out it's a little bit complicated and we can't really say it's not true.
It's uh trueish maybe kind of true maybe maybe it was fake news.
So, you know, they they might uh they might describe what they did a little differently, but the Daily Mail is uh blaming them of admitting their fake news.
That was a big one.
As as the fake news goes, that was kind of bold because could they really not figure out what was going on there?
Did the New York Times really really did they really not have the resources or the talent or the time or something to look into that and find out that yes, there were armed gang members standing outside the apartment building.
There was no way they could have figured that out on their own for a year.
Sorry.
Trust in the media pretty low.
pretty pretty low.
All right, here's a story that as far as I know has not been debunked, but it doesn't sound real to me.
So, I'm going to tell you the story, but you we're going to play a game where you tell me, does this sound real or does this sound a little too on the nose, like a little too perfect?
All right, here's the story.
Um, I see Ian Miller is reporting this for Outkick, but I believe there were other other outlets that are reporting it.
All right.
And the report is that JP Morgan Chase CEO, the famous JB Diamond, um said the following while at a overseas event.
Um he said that uh quote, "I have a lot of friends who are Democrats and they're idiots.
Um this Bloomberg is reporting this while I was speaking at a foreign ministry event in Ireland." Oh well, I guess Ireland is where you go to say terrible things like Rosie.
Then uh allegedly uh Jamie Diamond went on and said, "I always say they have big hearts and little brains.
They do not understand how the real world works.
Almost every single policy rolled out has failed.
Doesn't that sound a little bit like me?
for uh you know maybe Greg Guffeld.
One of the things that uh criticized well one of the things that uh Democrats are often criticized for is policies that don't seem to understand how human beings work that we have incentives and stuff like that.
So that is so on the nose that that makes me a little suspicious.
Um, and then it goes further and he describes how the Democrats, you know, lost their way.
And allegedly, and again, I'm not totally sure this is real, but allegedly Jaime Diamond said they overdid DEI.
We all were devoted to reaching out to the black community, Hispanic and LGBT community, the disabled.
We do all of that, Diamond said.
But the extent they got to stop it and they got to go back to being more practical, they're very ideological.
And I'm thinking to myself, all right, well, it's sort of realish, but he would have known he would have been quoted.
Would he really say that all of his Democrat friends are idiots?
Would he say that and then go back to New York City where his subordinates and his friends are Democrats?
Who says that?
He He's a little bit too smart and too savvy to insult 75% of all of his friends knowing that it will get back to them.
So, is that real?
All right.
But it goes further.
Um, I guess he was asked about Zoran Mandani, who by the way, you could call him Zoran Mandani, or you could call him Zamani.
So, it's either Zoron or Pick one.
Anyway, um, what JB Diamond allegedly said, and here I'm still a little skeptical.
He really did.
But uh allegedly, quote, he's more of a Marxist than a socialist.
And now you see these Democrats falling all over themselves saying, well, he's pointing out some real problems, affordable housing and grocery prices.
Okay, maybe uh there's the same ideological mush that means nothing in the real world.
Now again, that's the sort of thing that I would say that it's sort of a word salad mean meaningless nothing.
Does that sound real to you?
I'm I'm going to put a pin in this one and say I'm not sure cuz a lot of the news today is fake or looks fake.
This one I don't know.
I'm not buying it.
I I'm willing to be talked into it being real if if Jamie Diamond says, "Yeah, I said that." Or there's a video that comes out someday, but at the moment, I'm going to say probably not.
I'm leaning I'm leaning toward fake news on this one, but I could be wrong.
I'm going to say 55% fake news, 45% real.
That'll be my That's my final answer.
Well, somebody named Eddie Zoo has developed AI glasses that will be used to train robots.
And the way it will do that is they'll put these AI glasses on Chinese factory workers and it will watch them work.
So the glasses will be on the the human and it will be watching the human doing something with their hands that's assembling something or doing some kind of a you know assembly line kind of thing and that's how they will train robots.
So they'll collect all that data and feed it into robots and then robots will know how to put everyone in China out of work.
I think the Chinese government is going to have to throw him out a window because uh I don't think you can put a hundred few hundred million Chinese factory workers out of work with robots.
But maybe maybe it's coming.
Well, uh Sam Alman was talking about delay at chat GPT.
and he says uh they're planning to to launch their openw weight model next week, but they're going to delay it for more safety testing.
And you might say, "What the heck is an open weight model?" Well, I didn't know.
So, I went to Grock.
I had to go to Grock today five times while I was reading in the news.
Five times the news told me something that I just said, "I don't even know what that is.
like why don't you tell me what that means and then maybe I'll know what I'm looking at.
Um but the open weight model is an AI that is uh a little bit open sourced not completely but it allows developers to know how the model works.
So if they want to build their own product on top of it, it operates with the AI in the best way.
Now, so so he's saying the tech got delayed because they they want to review the high-risk areas.
Now, when he's talking about high risk, he's not really just talking about it having a bug, right?
They're talking about, well, it might be the end of all civilization, but we're going to take an extra week to make sure that it doesn't destroy civilization.
Well, it's possible that all humankind will be eviscerated and possibly incinerated by the end of next week, but just in case, we're going to take an extra week.
Um, I can't tell how much of this is real because there's almost nothing I've heard about AI that I understand and also scares me.
So, why is it that the people who know the most way more than I know, why are they so scared of AI?
Is it like a mass hysteria?
Is it possible that they don't want to be the one who didn't say it was dangerous when everybody else does?
So maybe they just have to take that position because it sounds more socially responsible.
If something bad happens, they'll say, "Well, we told you it wasn't fully safe." Yeah.
I've been saying since the beginning, good things might go wrong.
And then at least you would think, "Oh, well, they're not morons, but something did go wrong and now we're all dead." So, I'm a little bit worried about what the smartest people know that I don't know about AI, but still, I'm not afraid of it.
Does anybody else have that feeling that you're watching the news, you're hearing what the smart people say and they tell you, you know, might be a 10 or 20% chance it will destroy all humankind and I still don't worry about it.
What's up with that?
How how many of you actually worry about it?
I don't understand the risk enough to be actually worried.
I just it just you know it's like news that just passes through.
But I'm going to add my own prediction.
I would say that we could say at this point there's a 100% chance that human evolution, you know, with our organic bodies will be replaced by machine evolution and robots.
And I don't mean cyborgs, I mean just machines.
And that the the obvious evolutionary path is for the organic humans to die off from one thing or another, not necessarily from AI.
You know, could be, I don't know, could be we last a million years and then the sun explodes and we haven't gotten to another planet.
So, could be there's a new virus that comes out of a lab and kills all the humans, but we're not there yet.
But we're very close to having these uh, you know, artificial general intelligence and artificial super intelligence robots that could potentially take over civilization and keep things running.
after all human organic people are gone.
So if you look at the history of other species and you look at the history of like civilizations that that were here 20,000 years ago but somehow they all got wiped out.
Is it more likely that we humans will find a way to be permanent and just keep evolving for millions of years?
Is that more likely than all the organic people being killed?
Not even not even being murdered, but just, you know, apparently if you you wait long enough, there's going to be a meteor, something's going to hit the Earth, you know, something's going to go wrong.
But the robots might be capable of, you know, as long as they can get electricity, of just rebuilding civilization.
So, I'm going to make my prediction right now that human civilization will turn into machine evolution and it might live forever but as machines maybe.
All right.
Uh Trump and Melania visited the Texas flood zone and he did his presidential thing.
Trump is very good at the uh empathy and you know meeting with people who have had tragedy and whatever.
But uh Melania was very good as well.
She was at the the table with him and and uh and Trump said you Melania might have a few words.
And I wasn't sure if Melania was happy about that.
I didn't know if she was prepared to speak.
And I still don't know if she was prepared, but she very effortlessly um went into an empathy related we feel your pain, I'll come back kind of a thing.
And I was watching Trump cuz you know Trump will be very careful about managing his brand and would certainly want his family members and especially his wife to uh to look good in public.
And I thought to myself that he was looking at her with a lot of pride cuz she was really good.
Very good.
I I didn't know I don't know how much game she has, but uh yeah, she nailed it.
She got all the she had all the notes and looked very capable and uh um I think he was probably quite happy with her uh response.
Uh let's see what else.
According to just the news, Ben Weeden is writing that the Treasury has announced that in June the government will have a 27 billion surplus from tariff revenues.
Surplus meaning that after the government paid all of its bills, it would have an extra 27 billion left over.
And that happens to be the amount that came in from tariffs.
Does that sound real?
Doesn't that sound a little bit too impossible?
Did we just go from uh deficits that could never be solved to, oh, looks like June we spent less than we made?
So I went to Grock and said, is this true?
Is it possible that even for one month of the year that we would take in more revenue as a country, we would take in more revenue than we spend?
And uh Grock said yes.
But it also said that in May u that we spent $316 billion more than we made.
So is that a thing?
Can can the month of May be spending over 300 billion more than you have and yet by June you're making 27 billion more than you spend?
Is it possible that the way budgets work in the government is that they do most of their spending in a few months so they don't don't necessarily smooth it out.
Is that what's going on?
There's something about this story that doesn't seem like it could possibly be real.
Does it?
Do you think it's real that the government took in more revenue than it has spent even in one month?
Any one month?
I don't know.
I'm going to put a pin in this one and say I don't believe it.
Don't believe it.
Well, Peter Navaro um wrote an article for Fox News, an opinion piece, and he's talking about the uh CBO and how their estimates were failures.
Now the CBO is the entity that um tells the public if your Congress does this or that this will this will be what happens with the the deficit and GDP and all that.
So if you have a plan to do something for the country, you want the CBO to say that's a good plan because that's the supposedly would be the independent nonpartisan analysis.
However, what if I told you about complicated 10-year projections of anything?
could be uh something about the budget with lots of variables and lots of people and years and assumptions or or it could be something about the climate.
What do I say about all of those situations?
There's no human being who can predict any of that.
Those are not predictable things.
Um, but Peter Nvaro points out some specific things that the CBO does wrong.
And in there there's a lesson.
And so I wanted to share that with you.
So one of the things that they uh they don't do, well, I guess they they frontload spending.
So they act like the spending happens right away which would push up maybe your your inflation and your interest rates and then bad things would happen.
And they also don't calculate the benefit of economic growth that might be the whole point of your spending bill.
So Trump's spending bill, whatever you want to call it, the the latest one is designed to give money back to taxpayers, which presumably they would spend, which would be good for the GDP, um, and a bunch of other stuff, which should goose the economy.
But when the CBO does their analysis, they do not assume that the GDP goes up more than it normally would, you know, historically.
So, long story short, um, whoever is ever in charge of these big complicated estimates of what's going to happen in the future, the result is always based on their assumptions.
It's not really based on some kind of factual thing.
We like to think it is.
It's not based on facts and it's not based on math.
is based on the assumptions.
So if the people who do the analysis make an assumption that's friendly to the Trump administration, it might look like we made money by cutting taxes, but you could very easily make different assumptions and make it look like it's a huge economic disaster.
So, Peter Navaro does a good job of simply pointing out that these are assumption-based estimates and not necessarily some kind of fact that you should trust.
And he is quite confident that the uh latest moves by the administration will be good for the economy and reduce the deficit if the CBO were good at doing estimates.
Well, the postmillennial is talking about how there's a Gallup poll uh that says only 17% of American adults believe climate change will impact where they live.
Where they live.
Now, isn't that funny?
As soon as you put the where you live part on climate change, then suddenly the number of people who believe in it just drops way down because people have usually, if they're adults, have lived it wherever they lived for a number of years.
And they probably said to themselves, uh, I've been here for a long time and the weather looks the same to me.
So, I've been in California for 35 36 years, something like that.
No, how long have I been here?
Longer than that.
40 uh 46 years I've been in California in roughly the same area of California.
Do you know how much the climate has changed in my 46 years of being here?
Not really at all.
As far as I know, it feels and looks the same to me.
We go through some periods of drought, but California always did, and then we have some rainy years and everything's okay for a while.
So, is this the same where you live?
How many of you live somewhere where when you first moved there uh it was a different climate than it is now?
Is there anybody?
No.
If if you have your own experience, you just look around and you go, I doesn't seem like it's any different where I live.
So that's going to have an impact over time and uh people are less worried about uh big horrible weather disasters uh than than they used to be and they should because we get better at handling weather disasters every year of human existence.
Uh let's see.
Um according to Princeton University, Colton Poor is writing about this.
Um did you know that geothermal energy has a lot of potential?
Yes, you did because you listened to my podcast.
Now, geothermal means that if you dig a hole that's deep enough, you'll get to where the uh the earth is super hot.
And if you were to pump some water down there, or if there was a natural water source, um you could superheat that water and create energy from it and it would be a real clean source of energy.
No, no CO2 if you if you don't like CO2.
But it's not really economical.
Um, most places don't have the ideal place where you could dig a hole that was deep enough and the rocks would be in the right place close to the surface and all that stuff.
So if you were to look at should we go hog wild and geothermal right away?
Well, somebody would do a CBO like economic analysis and they would say, "hm, doesn't look like the economics are good." However, according to this article, which seems uh right to me, the thing they don't include when they look at the economics of geothermal is that we would start by picking the ideal places.
So the the place you put geothermal on day one is going to be where it is economical.
And then you're going to learn much more about how to do it economically.
And then you'll do the next one where there's yet another place where it's perfect for geothermal.
So the costs would be much lower than if you were in a place that's bad for it.
And so the thinking is that uh we are underestimating uh how much of an impact geothermal will someday have because we assume that the economics will not improve that much but in fact it wouldn't be hard to improve the economics.
All you have to do is make sure you're starting in the places where it's economical and then the rest would be sort of the the normal decrease in technology costs over time.
So they think maybe it could be the third best green source of energy until until uh until we get to better nuclear, I guess.
Um, meanwhile over at Harvard, Harvard's having a tough time because all the pressure from the Trump administration, but according to Newsmax, um, they're thinking about creating a conservative think tank.
So, would that help?
Well, wouldn't be nothing because uh, Harvard has almost no conservatives there.
So if they said, "Hey, here's our big old Harvard conservative think tank," that would maybe, you know, give them a little bit of relief from the criticism.
But reportedly also the Crimson, that would be the Harvard newspaper, um, is reporting that Harvard is dismantling some, they say some, of its DEI apparatus.
So, it looks like Harvard is at least doing a lot of talking and scrambling and maybe trying some stuff to get back in the good graces of the government because the government has them in a in kind of a vice grip that says if you continue to be anti-semitic and not open to let's say different points of view such as conservative ones uh we will not give you the funding that you require from the government, federal government.
So Harvard, they had been trying to hang tight and not do what they're told, but there might be a little movement there.
Um, I missed part of this story, so it's a few days old.
Um, but Roger Stone, I guess said in a post uh a few days ago, um, why would Bannon, Steve Bannon, meet with Jeffrey Epstein, both at his New York home and in Paris after Epstein was convicted on sex crimes in Florida?
Uh, why would he coach Epstein for his 60 minutes appearance?
And allegedly Bannon took 15 hours of film of Epstein for a documentary that never got produced.
So um here's what Elon Musk said when he saw Roger Stone's accusation.
Now I don't know I don't know independently if any of this is true but you know Roger Stone is saying it and Elon Musk um commented Bannon is in the Epstein files.
Okay.
Now is he just joking?
Is is uh Elon Musk just screwing with us because he knows we won't believe that?
Or does he know something we don't know?
Or is he just guessing?
I don't know.
But that would explain why Bannon is going all in on trying to destroy Musk, uh destroy all of his businesses, nationalize SpaceX, and then deport him.
deport Musk.
And I thought to I heard that the other day and I thought, wait, is he serious?
I mean, I could understand why you don't want Elon Musk to be involved in politics.
I can understand that.
But do you really need to nationalize SpaceX, which would ruin it, and do you really need to deport him?
What?
What?
So, I wondered like where where was any of this coming from?
So, I don't know who started the fight, but it looks like it's a cage match to the death because um when Elon Musk says that Ben is is in the Epstein files, again, this is a claim which I'm not aware of any evidence to support it.
It's just a social media claim.
It feels like he's going for a kill shot.
And when Bannon talks about essentially destroying Elon Musk's, you know, US connection and deporting him, that feels like he's trying to take a kill shot.
Is that really Is that really what we want?
Um, I don't I don't want either one of them to kill either one of them, but I don't know what's real and I don't know how to value any of these claims.
It's just out there.
Now, let's follow up with the summer rumors about Bonino, Patel, and Bondi.
So, as you know, we were supposed to get a big reveal about the Epstein files, and Pam Bondi had suggested that, you know, maybe there was something more there.
And now we hear and again this is all rumors.
Um I would say that the credibility of this story is about as low as you could get.
We don't really know what people are thinking, feeling said to each other privately.
We don't really know.
But the rumor is that Dan Bonino um stopped coming to work for a few days so that he could think about whether he would resign presumably over the fact that Pam Bondi uh either botched the Epstein reveal or Jay just can't work with her for some reason.
And then further the rumor said, and I don't think the second part is real for sure, is that Cash Patel had said that if Bonino quits because Bondi is still there, I guess he would want her to quit first or something.
Uh that he would quit.
Now, how much of that do you believe?
I do believe that they probably are a little angry at each other.
I don't know who would be angry who or for what, but beyond that, how much do we really know about what they think and why they're doing what they're doing?
If you tell me that Bino took some days off from work, I'm going to say, you mean around the 4th of July in the middle of July when he's been working like a dog for months and months and he took a few days off around a weekend and I'm supposed to make something out of that.
Uh, almost everybody in the government has taken a week off in the summer.
Does that really mean anything?
Well, here are some of the other facts around this story.
Um, number one, do you remember when Pam Bondi gave some influencers some special access to the first wave of Epstein files and she invited him to the White House and had them all hold up their own file that they had been given secret, you know, advanced knowledge of the Epstein information.
And then when they looked at it, they found out it was all public information.
There was nothing new in it whatsoever, which was some say almost like intentionally trying to embarrass the influencers.
Now, I think that goes too far.
I doubt anybody would have done it intentionally, but it was a bad play and it looked like it was a little bit, you know, a blown opportunity, I guess.
So there's uh there there's some reason to believe that some people would have a reason to be mad at Bondi.
And we don't know exactly who said um tell everybody that there's nothing to see here.
But don't you assume it was Trump?
Don't you believe that whatever uh Cash Patel and Bino and Bondi said about Epstein, don't you assume that that was all run past Trump and he said this is what you're going to say?
Don't you believe that?
Cuz I definitely don't believe that any of them went rogue and said, you know, I'll just say what I think and this is what I think.
Oh, there's nothing there.
I don't buy it.
So, I think it's Trump's decisions, but maybe he was influenced by one of them more than the other.
Something like that.
But if you're if you're going to try to bet whether Dan Bino is really going to quit his job over any of the subp stuff, um I would give you the following equation.
So, Bonino went from the top of the pile in the best job you could ever have, what I'm doing right now.
Yeah.
I I laugh because even though I monetized my podcast, um I wouldn't do it unless I sort of enjoyed it every day.
Well, not even sort of.
I enjoy it.
I have absolute enjoyment of doing it.
Even the prep, you know, which takes hours.
absolutely enjoy it.
Now, do you think that Dan Bonino went from the top of the pile, one of the top podcasters in the country, and the podcasting is, you know, sort of the hottest area you could be in, and then he left there to have some government job that probably involves commuting and people hating him and all this drama and the rumors.
How much do you think he wishes he had his old job back?
Just, you know, just use your common sense.
Do you think he goes into the FBI every day and says, "Man, I made a good choice." I don't think so.
I think he made the patriotic choice.
I believe he took the job because he is a genuine patriot.
That's my belief.
Now again I can't read his mind and I don't know him personally but you know we all have to be judges of character because you can't avoid it.
My judge of his character is that he's the real deal.
Meaning that he would have only taken the job if he thought he could do something that would help the president and help the country because he was giving up a lot.
giving up the best job for the worst job.
Who does that?
Well, I mean, it's like somebody joining the military because the country got attacked.
It's a really big sacrifice and he made it.
Now, suppose that he found out he couldn't do the honest job that he thought he wanted to do because let's say somebody, we don't have to know who, said, um, well, you know the truth, but you're not allowed to say it.
What would Dan Bino say?
If somebody who had enough power to make it happen said, uh, you're not allowed to tell the truth on this issue, let's say the Epstein issue that your your base and your fans really really care about, but you're not allowed to tell the truth.
What would you do or what would you assume that Dan Bonino would do?
Well, at the very least, I would make some threats and I would say, "Look, here's the deal.
I think we botched that Epstein roll out, but if we can fix it, maybe I'll stay, but if we can't fix it, I don't want to be part of a fraud.
And I'm going to go back to my perfect job." Now, if he quit and even if he didn't tell you all the details, so this will be hypothetical.
If Bonino quits and the only public statement he makes is something like um my ethics were incompatible with the job I was asked to do.
Suppose that's it.
No details.
my ethics, my my moral center was incompatible with the job I was being asked to do.
So, I'm going to go back to podcasting.
Would he retain his audience?
Because it would be a little bit like admitting admitting that he lied but telling you that he was asked to do it and then you would be noticing that he quit his job in protest which is a very clean way to tell you that he didn't mean what he said and that he's not in favor of it.
Would you then say, you know what, I really respect that guy because he he resigned.
You know, we always say if you really believe that, why didn't you resign?
We say that all the time about other people.
So, if we thought that he was forced to be a little uh disingenuous and then you saw him quit and then he said, "I'm not going to give you details, but you know, let's be honest, you probably know exactly why I quit." Now, going back to my podcasting job, what would his audience do?
I think they would go back, wouldn't they?
I think they would say, "You're an honest man who got caught in a bad situation.
You did the best you could.
It doesn't make sense for you to stay there any longer.
Glad you're back to podcasting." And then his family would say, "Oh, finally you're back to doing what you love.
You're not commuting to Washington.
Wouldn't this be the very best time for him to quit if he wanted to quit anyway?
Do you think he wanted to quit anyway?
Probably.
And I'm only saying that because he left the best job you could ever have, podcasting, to go to the worst job you could ever have, which is you have to do what you're told and you can't do what you think is right.
The worst.
So, um I don't believe he's made a decision because, you know, he probably is going to wait till the last minute to make one.
But if he decided to go back to podcasting with just a general statement about why he's leaving, I would fully respect that.
Now, I would also respect if he stayed because I don't have any negative knowledge about him at all.
Um, but I wouldn't believe anything about this story until it's really confirmed.
I don't believe all the who's mad at whom and why they're mad and who thinks who botched or whatever and who's talking to who.
I don't know if I believe any of that, but let's watch him.
So Bino is kind of the canary in the coal mine because we just assume he's going to do whatever is the right thing and we don't know what that is because we don't know what pressure he's under or anything like that.
But I do think I'd expect him to do the right thing.
And given that his own personal interest would suggest that quitting kind of soon and making this the reason for quitting that might that might kill two birds with one stone.
One bird would be he could get back to his awesome career without without destroying his reputation.
And the other is it would tell you exactly what was going on there.
Um, at that point you would know for sure that there's something going on with the the Epstein files.
So anyway, so we'll keep an eye on that.
Um, I like all three of them.
I like Bondi, I like Bungino, and I like Cash Patel.
So I'll tell you what I'm not going to do is take sides.
uh unless some new information comes up that I've never heard.
To me, they all look like they're loyal Trump mega compatible people and uh you know, I wouldn't want anything bad to happen to any of them.
Anyway, um Bill O'Reilly um is pretty sure that the president is behind whatever happened.
He had the the Epstein file release.
He thinks that the president was behind how it was handled.
Um and then uh let's see.
All right.
According to uh Glenn Beck at the Blaze, um his team has filed a foyer request, freedom of information request to get all of Dan Bonino's texts and emails regarding Epstein to Pam Bondi.
Now, that's something you could do.
Are you telling me that the Freedom of Information Act would allow any citizen to just file some paperwork and then we could see the private emails of two people who are currently in the government?
Is that real?
When did when did that become real?
Has that always been real?
Now I understand if people were not in government anymore or you know maybe time had gone by or something or maybe it was part of a you know let's say part of a legal action or something but oh with the redactions with the redactions okay so that's the catch so as long as the government can redact anything they want I'm just gleaning this from the comments as long as the government has the option of redacting whatever they want, then I guess the citizens can ask for whatever they want.
Doesn't mean they'll get it.
But, uh, interesting play.
It's an interesting play.
All right.
Um, here's some more fake news, maybe.
Um, I saw a claim on social media that Epstein gave all of his money to his brother right before he died, like two days before he died.
Um, Grock says that's not technically true, but that Epstein did um he put all of his money in a trust.
I think it was an overseas trust.
Virgin Islands.
Oh, US Virgin Islands.
And we assume that the trust beneficiary was his only relative which was his brother.
So in a way he did sign over his money to his brother but probably probably through the mechanism of the trust.
We don't know the details.
Um and then allegedly the brother claimed uh his um his brother's body and buried it in an unmarked grave next to his parents in Palm Beach.
Unmarked grave.
So if you were if you were Jeffrey Epstein and you wanted to fake your own death, would you make sure that your body could be not be examined check?
And would you make sure that all of your money went to a trusted person so you still had access to it after your debt?
You know, allegedly dead.
Yeah.
Now, I don't I don't have uh a belief that he's still alive.
I have a belief that if you rule that out, I don't know if we can rule that out.
Can we?
I'm not going to say I believe it, that he's still alive.
I'm just going to say, if you're asking me to rule it out, I don't have any basis upon which to rule it out either.
It looks like coincidentally he did the very things you would do if you were trying to fake your own death and still have still have resources when you were done.
So, we'll keep an eye on that.
Um, I saw a post on X by Patrick Burn about John Brennan.
Um, apparently Patrick has some in inside information that says John Brennan is abroad operating from a recreated MSNBC set somewhere.
Um, and that at one point he was operating from a skiff in Australia continuing to coordinate against Trump.
So, do you think that John Brennan left the country because he's worried about consequences?
Um, I don't know.
Maybe apparently uh some more seven more people who had worked with the Jack Smith team that was working on the cases against Trump, they have been let go.
And uh I guess there were already a whole bunch of them who had been fired for the same reason that they worked with Jack Smith as part of the prosecution attempt or the attempt to lawfare Trump.
And what's interesting is these are not even lawyers.
They were support staff.
Now does that seem like going a little too far?
I can totally understand why Trump would get rid of the lawyers who were acting against him for years, of course.
But the support staff really that's going a little deep, but you know, it would be fair to assume that the support staff was not pro.
Trump.
So maybe that's all he needs.
He doesn't need a reason.
Um, so he's cutting pretty deep there.
Um, Hillary Clinton was on Smirkish on CNN with that big old Hill Hillary Clinton pumpkin smile and she said, quote, "If social media platforms don't moderate content, then we lose total control." Well, I guess that's saying it directly, isn't it?
You could interpret that sentence two different ways.
One is just that bad things will happen.
The other way is exactly what she said.
We will lose total control.
We Who's we?
And what kind of total control are they going to lose?
Did Did Hillary say it exactly the way she meant it?
That the Democrats and and her posi would lose total control of the narrative if they let social media just do what it does.
Unbelievable.
So, yeah.
And you wouldn't believe if you didn't see the video of her talking about this.
She could not get the smile off her face when she talked about the need to censor people on social media.
I mean, she seemed so genuinely happy.
It's like, "Oh, yeah.
Yeah.
We're going to lose control unless we we censor the hell out of them." Yeah.
Can't wait.
Oh, she says she's the personification of evil.
The U State Department, Marco Rubio, um I guess I got 1,300 staffers as part of a big overhaul of the State Department.
And I when I see something like that, 1300 people have been downsized.
What were those 1300 people doing?
How can you take any organization?
I mean, I know the answer, but uh it's it's still mindboggling.
That there were,300 people that according to management were unnecessary and they were all being paid.
They're all commuting to work.
How would you like to be one of the 1300 when you'd been working every day for, you know, maybe years and years and then somebody says, "Oh, we just realized, you know, all that work that you did for decades probably didn't need any of it." That that was my corporate experience that gave birth to Dilbert.
One day I realized in my corporate jobs that if uh if I had never existed in my job, nothing would be different.
Nothing about the company would be different.
nothing about the stock price that every day I was going to work and getting paid, putting all the in these hours and I was completely aware that none of it made any difference to anybody and and you could just take me away from history.
I think uh comedian Nate Bargati, he has this little uh little joke he says that if he went back in time was that if he goes back in time that uh nothing would change.
I forget his exact punchline, but it was something like, "Oh, so how do you make a nuclear power plant?" and he'd be like, I don't really know that.
That wasn't his punchline.
He had a better one.
But the idea was that he wouldn't be able to affect history because he doesn't know enough about even our current time.
That's pretty funny.
All right.
Um, so what about this story that after lots of investigation, uh, several of the agents who were protecting Trump at the Butler, Pennsylvania event where he got shot in the ear, that several of the agents were suspended.
Now, only for days or weeks, right?
Not a permanent suspension.
But here's my question.
How could there be so many agents who on the same day and at the same time and in the same place all of them independently were doing something worthy of suspension?
What?
How was that even possible?
What What the hell were they doing that several of them were worthy of suspension?
Now, if they said to me, "Well, you know, one of these people should have kept the door locked, or one of these people should have said, make sure there's somebody on the roof." Or one of these people should have said, "Hey, there's a guy walking around with a rangefinder and a drone.
Maybe we should stop what we're doing and check this out." Now, you could easily understand how there'd be one or two people there who did something that was sketchy enough that you think they should be suspended for temporarily, but how could there be several?
Like, how could you have a handful of people who all independently did something so non-standard to their job at the same time that they all get suspended?
I would love to know what their particular crimes were because it does get to the question of were they doing it intentionally.
Now, I doubt it was a big um wellorganized anything because if you're going to do an assassination like that, you're not going to have a dozen people in on it.
And this would assume that, you know, something like a dozen people did all the wrong things to get him killed.
It doesn't feel like that would be the way anybody would do a plot to have too many people involved in it.
But anyway, so uh as you know the uh the border enforcement people, ICE, uh they raided two different cannabis farms in California on Thursday and collectively they they got 300 people detained for deportation.
300.
So these were two businesses.
They were both pop farms and collectively they had 300 people who were undocumented and working there.
What kind of power farm these 300 people?
Um I would say that's a 10 robot situation.
So uh eventually robots but apparently one person died in the process of these raids.
I didn't see the details of how they died or what they died of, but uh that's tragic.
Um and I guess one of the can cannabis farms had been donating to uh to Governor Nuomo.
So, but that doesn't mean anything.
Um the thing that bothered me is that the price of weed in California is going to go up now.
Hey, I thought Trump was going to reduce the price of my essentials, but no.
No.
Apparently, the supply of uh marijuana will go down quite a bit and uh prices might go higher.
I don't know if you know this, but the prices for marijuana have dropped quite a bit in recent years since it was legal.
When it was um first legalized, I think an ounce cost sometimes $400 or $500.
And at the moment, the same amount and same quality would be $250.
So, the price of weed um did in fact respond to supply and demand, and at least there was no uh no inflation on weed.
But maybe there will be.
Um there's a uh new poll that says Democrats look uh out of touch and woke and weak.
We may have talked about this one and uh the there there was a super PAC who did the poll and they've decided that the Democrats focusing on fighting for democracy.
Um, it was still popular within the party but not in the general electorate.
How much are you surprised?
Remember how many times I told you that it was ridiculous that the Democrats thought that fighting to sup to to uh maintain your democracy was not going to resonate with the public.
That's just something that, you know, news geeks say.
But I don't know anybody who's just living their life that who is worried about democracy being taken away by Trump.
And here's the poll that supports my hunch that the public didn't really care about the stealing democracy part because they didn't see it as real.
They also didn't care about the oligarchy.
I'm seeing in the comments.
Yeah, they didn't care about the oligarchy either.
If you're really into politics, that's the stuff you debate.
But if you're just a casual citizen and somebody said maybe your biggest problems, how many just soccer moms who are and dads who are not paying attention to politics, how many of them would say, "Well, I'm worried about the oligarchy or I'm worried about the attack on democracy." Probably none.
But when you see um that Mandani guy when he gets all this purchase and all this attention because he said the right thing which is we're going to work on affordability.
Affordability was really a good kill shot.
You know, I'm not a M Dani fan because he's a socialist, but when he when he found a message, he just had energy and the right policy message.
He didn't even have solutions really.
I mean, not practical ones, but it reminded me of Trump.
When people looked at Trump in the very beginning, they just said, "Oh, there's no way." I mean, we see that he's exciting.
and he's he's bringing a lot of energy.
We get it.
And uh yeah, yeah, when he talks about the border and the wall, those are popular with his base, but but that's not enough.
You know, you're going to have to be an experienced politician to win an election.
That's what people said.
But it turns out that Trump needed two things.
The right policies and the right amount of energy.
and everything else we were willing to forgive or just enjoy as a show in my case.
And I think that mom Donnie is another example of that.
He definitely got the right policy affordability um better than I've seen anybody do it really.
So he nailed the policy, not the solutions, but at least he said, "I feel your pain." You know, sort of the Bill Clinton thing.
I feel your pain.
it's affordability and then he brought the energy.
You know, you could talk about, you know, um all different things that he did that you might like in both cases, Trump and Manny, but I feel like it just came down to that.
Do you have the right policy?
I mean, have you even identified the problem?
And then do you have the energy to make it happen?
and they both fit that energy plus the right policy according to their base.
Anyway, um Jen Saki and her TV show on MSNBC that replaced uh Rachel Matto's time slot is doing terrible in the ratings.
Uh lost 44% of her audience.
You know, I'm always surprised.
Was Rachel Maddau so popular that if you replace her with somebody who is in my opinion a bit of a clone, you know, it's not like it's not like Jen Saki is a completely different person than Rachel Matto.
So, why would the why would the viewership go down so much?
It doesn't seem like that much of a change, but um one of my favorite uh hobbies is looking at Fox News and what they do right and comparing it to MSNBC and what they do wrong.
MSNBC and CNN appear to be under the impression that news is something informing people especially about the bad news.
So if you turn on CNN or you turn on MSNBC, you're mostly going to get some bad news.
And it's not all political.
you know, some of it might be natural disasters and stuff and those will be on every network.
But the the thing that Fox News has been getting right for a long time is the understanding that people watch news as entertainment.
How many of you are in that category?
When I turn on the news, I'm sort of a little bit trying to find out what's new, but mostly I'm looking to be entertained.
And when I when I'm watching Fox News, I'm often entertained depending on what show I'm watching.
And if I turn on CNN or MSNBC, cuz I do cycle through the three of them, they're not trying to entertain.
They're trying to get you worked up or angry.
And I can feel the difference.
But I I also note that um Greg Guffeld completely changes the nature of Fox News in a way that's made them dominant.
Um I think he's he more than anybody else he's proven that people will watch for the entertainment which is why he has two shows you know that he's on the five which is the top ratings uh thing at that time slot and then he's got his own show Gutfeld which again is you know tops in the ratings.
So, so he's now got, you know, two important time slots in which it's very clear to the viewer that, you know, entertainment is why you turned it on.
You learn some stuff cuz, you know, they're dealing with the same news that the other networks are.
So, it's not like you're going to be uninformed, but the intent is to make it entertaining.
And then I realized the other day that uh Jesse Waters is a similar kind of vibe.
When you watch him on the five, he's playing it for laughs and he does a great job.
And now he has his own show, so he's got his own hour, is it?
Um, in which, you know, he he plays a little bit more seriously, but you know, you can tell he's he's always got a smile on his face.
So they have something like, you know, 3 hours every night during the week in which it's unambiguously true that you know you're going to get entertained if you watch either of those or any of those shows.
And it's amazing to me that CNN and MSNBC have not taken any kind of a learning from that.
CNN u I think they're still doing it.
Maybe they had, maybe not.
But they launched that show that was like a game show um in which they would make fun of the news and uh Michael Ian Black was on that and some other people and I never found it funny because it was a little too forced.
So I don't know if that's even still on but they tried.
Um let's see what else.
Um, there's some uh crypto executive orders that are expected from the White House.
And I always have trouble following this topic, but the reason that Bitcoin is going up in value, it had a good run this week.
I didn't know why.
Um, but apparently it's in anticipation of it becoming a better uh I don't know if I want to call it an investment.
I guess I would um because of the upcoming executive orders and they would do among other things ban a central bank digital currency.
I guess that would be taking away a competitor to Bitcoin.
Uh would protect self custody so you don't have to keep it in the bank.
Um and stable coins which are coins that are pegged to the dollar meaning if the dollar goes up they go up to the same amount.
uh would be backed by the treasuries and then um there' be some market structure blah blah blah.
So some of it I don't understand but O is reporting this.
So there might be something big coming with crypto if you're watching the uh Trump and Jerome Powell saga which is always fun.
Um, so of course, uh, you know, Trump wants Jerome Powell to quit as soon as possible or better yet just lower interest rates because that's what he really wants.
Uh but the gateway pundit is reporting that uh that Jerome Powell is getting some uh pressure now and that uh according to uh Bill PE who's a chairman of the board of Fanny May and Freddy Mack um Bill Posted on X quote I'm encouraged by reports that Jerome Pal was considering resigning.
I think this will be the right decision for America and the economy will boom.
Now, I don't I don't know what uh what those rumors are.
Um and I'm not sure that rumors can necessarily be trusted, but uh there's quite a push and I think uh Bill Py is the right person to be pushing this because he's in the domain where the interest rates are going to, you know, affect affordability of housing in a big way.
So, he certainly has a he has a dog in this fight.
Um, Intel CEO was talking to his own company and told them it's too late for Intel to catch up in AI chips.
What can you imagine?
You're CEO of a chip company saying, "Yeah, it's too late." Um, and that the big companies like AMD and Nvidia basically have already captured the market.
And uh, he said on training, I think it is too late for us.
So, Intel, uh, that's a little too honest.
It must He must have been an engineer before he was the CEO.
That's a little bit too honest.
Yeah, it's too late for us.
We'll never catch up.
So, we're doomed.
He He didn't say they're doomed, but it feels like it.
Well, in uh good news, um the US is opening its first rare earth mine in more than 70 years and apparently it will provide six of the 17 rare earth materials and has tons and tons of supply.
Now, it has to be refined.
I don't know who's going to do that or if we've solved that.
But if you're wondering, is the US moving in a useful way to be free of China's um control of rare earth minerals?
The answer is yes, at least for six of 17.
And I expect we'll see more movement there.
All right, let me give you a lesson in economics so that I can say that you were smarter when you left.
Um, I had made the observation that if it's true that Trump has decided that Russia and Ukraine will never agree to a ceasefire and it does look true.
I don't know that that's true, but from my perspective, it looks very much like Trump has given up and probably should that at least for now, Russia and Ukraine prefer to fight.
Now, a bunch of people said to me, "Scott, you stupid freaking idiot.
Ukraine isn't choosing to fight." To which I say, "Did they stop?
If they didn't stop, they choose to fight.
Now, you what you really mean is they have a good reason to fight.
I'm not talking about the reason, and I'm not arguing that they don't have a good reason.
I'm just saying that neither side has made a decision to stop and they would prefer fighting over whatever they see as the reasonable alternatives.
So, as long as they both want to fight, what would be the best thing for the greatest president in our history to do?
Let me tell you, if you know you can't fix it, you should monetize it.
And it looks like Trump might be doing that.
So, what he's done is he's uh he's providing weapons to Ukraine, but he's making NATO pay for it.
Now, what's the next thing you're going to say to me, Scott?
You idiot.
I thought you understood things like this.
You know that we're one of the biggest funders of NATO, so it's not like it's free.
We're putting the money into NATO and then taking it right back out to buy our weapons.
So, it's not really monetizing it, right?
It's not monetizing it.
Because a lot of it's our own money.
Here's why you're wrong about that.
It's a concept called sunk costs.
Here's how you should do that analysis.
Were we going to pay our 5% to NATO like the other countries were supposed to?
Yes.
We were going to give NATO money no matter what they did with it.
That's called a sunk cost.
Meaning that part's not going to change.
The money will come out of our pockets and it will go to NATO.
Nothing will change that.
that that's that's the most public agreed upon thing that all of the countries will try to get to their 5% you know in the not right away but there's a schedule for that but the United States most certainly is signed up for a certain amount of money that we will definitely take out of our pockets and definitely give to NATO.
If you know that that won't change and can't change in any reasonable way, then that doesn't count in the analysis.
So, in other words, if we're going to give NATO money anyway, the only question is, do we want some of it back in the form of buying weapons from the US?
And that's apparently what Trump's doing.
So if you understand the concept of sunk costs, the money we give to NATO is just going to be there no matter what, no matter what they do with it.
Wouldn't it make more sense for us to have as much of that as possible come right back to the United States in terms of purchasing American products, in this case warfighting products?
Of course it would.
Of course it would.
So we may have created a situation or Trump may have in which we don't have to solve the problem at all because the two sides that are fighting prefer the war.
And again when I say they prefer the war they would both like the other side to stop fighting and for their side to get everything they wanted out of it.
But that's not going to happen.
So instead, they don't prefer stopping because that would give the other one the win.
So they prefer to fight.
So Trump monetized it.
I could not be more proud of my president.
If that's what's really happening, and you know, I'm I'm getting ahead of it a little bit.
Maybe that's not what's happening, but if that's what he came up with, well, we can't stop it.
We might as well monetize it.
I would be so impressed.
I mean, I would just be so so impressed if he monetized it.
Anyway, um Russian President Vladimir Putin uh allegedly is in favor of an Iran nuclear deal in which Iran would not be allowed to enrich uranium on their own.
But since Putin is a weasel, do we think he's just trying to be useful for world peace?
Or is it more likely that if uh Iran is not allowed to enrich that they would have to depend on other countries such as Russia to provide them with the uranium that's already enriched for their medical use and for their domestic nuclear energy use.
And that would give Russia some uh leverage over Iran.
So, I feel like this is more about Russia having some leverage over Iran, but I doubt it's because he's trying to be useful in Great Britain.
According to the Telegraph, um there are some serious people who think that Britain should build more bomb shelters because they expect to be in a war with Russia.
Are you following that?
that the UK is acting like it's preparing for war with Russia.
Why would the UK want to have a war with Russia?
That seems like the worst idea in the world for both teams.
Anyway, that's all I got for today.
Um, as I reminded you, Owen Gregorian will have a spaces event in a few minutes as soon as we're done here.
And you can continue talking about this stuff or maybe some other stuff if you want, but go to X and look for Owen Gregorian and you'll find the link to the spaces which will begin pretty soon.
All right.
Um, and I'm going to say a few words privately to the people on locals, my beloveds subscribers to you.
Thanks for joining and I will see you tomorrow.
Same time, same place.
I hope.
Bye for now.
Oh no, it's not working again.
All right.
for reasons which I cannot determine.
Um, I can't go private without turning off the studio and getting back in.
So, I'll just see you on locals.
Um, or I'll see you on uh spaces.
All right, everybody.
Say see you later.
I probably have to end it a different way.
Uh, end and close room.
All right.
Going to have to close it and reopen
Come on in here.
Let's have some fun. It's Saturday, also
known as Saturday,
and that means the all the lazy
podcasters take the day off. But not me.
No, I'm here for you.
I'm here for you and especially Beth.
So Beth, this is the real show.
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Oh, you feel better. You do. Yeah, you
do.
Well,
after uh after our show today,
you might want to join Owen Gregorian
who's going to be hosting a spaces event
right after we're done. Spaces is the
audio service on X. So, just go there
and look for Owen Gregorian or you can
find the uh link in my X feed as Scott
Adams says.
Well, I wonder if there's any news about
the health benefits of coffee. H oh
yeah. uh according to the times of India
there's a new study out of uh uh the UK
somewhere and uh turns out that if you
have three cups of coffee every day you
can reduce your uh risk of liver disease
by 49%.
Right? So, what I recommend is that when
you drink alcohol, you drink one cup of
coffee for every drink cuz the alcohol
will destroy your liver cuz it's poison,
but the coffee will just rejuvenate it.
You'll break even. No, do not listen to
any medical advice from cartoonist
podcasters. Bad idea. Bad idea.
see what else is happening.
Um, let's do some fake news. There's
some fake news today on social media. O
is reporting
uh that uh the this is not true by the
way. So before I even say what it is, uh
according to Grock, there's no truth to
this whatsoever. But the rumor is that
Bridget Mcronone's plastic surgeon uh
who was gonna give a tell all uh has
been found dead fell out of window.
But it turns out that it's probably a
Russian disinformation campaign and
there's no there's no credible source
and there's no credible source for the
story. Does Grock really know? Marcela
asks. And the answer is, well, it's
pretty good at checking sources, so
there's no other source that uh that
says it.
All right, here's my favorite story. Um,
I was doing a pre-show before we went
live here and I couldn't stop laughing
for about 10 minutes.
So Trump just published another truth
social in which he
in which he opines that Rosie O'Donnell
who as you know moved to Ireland because
she's so unhappy with the United States
and Trump says that since Rosie is so
bad for the United States he's
considering removing her citizenship.
ship.
Now, I went to Grock and I said, "Can a
president remove somebody's
citizenship?"
And he said, "No,
no, a president does not have that
power." Yeah. I I think it would be in
some weird situation where they had lied
on a uh you know lied on some official
forms to become a citizen or something.
There's a special case but basically no.
So, the thing that makes me laugh is
wondering what Trump was thinking or
saying or who was in the room when he
wrote that when he wrote that message
because if he wrote it alone,
uh, it wouldn't be as funny. But I just
imagine him sitting there with with some
of his, you know, best friends or, you
know, maybe just Melania or something
like, "All right, watch this. I'm gonna
send out a true social
that says I'm gonna take Rosie
O'Donnell's citizenship away because she
complained about the United States from
Ireland.
I I don't believe that he believes he
has the power to do that. And you know
that it it's it's a slow news day.
So the last thing that Trump wants is
people talking about Epstein.
So when whenever the the shelf of news
is a little bear,
Trump just comes up with
he just comes up with something that he
just creates out of nothing that that
creates a story you can't not talk
about.
Do do you think that the news can ignore
the fact that that Trump has called for
maybe removing the citizenship of a of a
US citizen for complaining from Ireland.
All right. I hope you liked it as much
as I did. To me, that's just hilarious.
He obviously knows exactly what he's
doing.
All right. Well, according to the Daily
Mail,
the New York Times is admitting their
fake news from last year where I guess
they uh they're accusing Trump of lying
or exaggerating about the Venezuelan
gangs allegedly taking over a Colorado
apartment building. And then the New
York Times said, "We looked into it.
That's not true." And then a year later
they publish an article says well you
know turns out it's a little bit
complicated
and we can't really say it's not true.
It's uh trueish maybe kind of true maybe
maybe it was fake news.
So,
you know, they they might uh they might
describe what they did a little
differently, but the Daily Mail is uh
blaming them of admitting their fake
news. That was a big one. As as the fake
news goes, that was kind of bold because
could they really not figure out what
was going on there? Did the New York
Times really really did they really not
have the resources or the talent or the
time or something to look into that and
find out that yes, there were armed gang
members standing outside the apartment
building.
There was no way they could have figured
that out on their own for a year.
Sorry. Trust in the media pretty low.
pretty pretty low.
All right, here's a story
that as far as I know has not been
debunked,
but it doesn't sound real to me.
So, I'm going to tell you the story, but
you we're going to play a game where you
tell me, does this sound real or does
this sound a little too on the nose,
like a little too perfect?
All right, here's the story. Um, I see
Ian Miller is reporting this for
Outkick, but I believe there were other
other outlets that are reporting it. All
right. And the report is that JP Morgan
Chase CEO, the famous JB Diamond,
um said the following while at a
overseas event.
Um he said that uh quote, "I have a lot
of friends who are Democrats and they're
idiots.
Um this Bloomberg is reporting this
while I was speaking at a foreign
ministry event in Ireland." Oh well, I
guess Ireland is where you go to say
terrible things like Rosie.
Then uh allegedly
uh Jamie Diamond went on and said, "I
always say they have big hearts and
little brains. They do not understand
how the real world works. Almost every
single policy rolled out has failed.
Doesn't that sound a little bit like me?
for uh you know maybe Greg Guffeld.
One of the things that uh criticized
well one of the things that uh Democrats
are often criticized for is policies
that don't seem to understand how human
beings work that we have incentives and
stuff like that. So that is so on the
nose that that makes me a little
suspicious.
Um, and then it goes further and he
describes how the Democrats, you know,
lost their way. And allegedly, and
again, I'm not totally sure this is
real, but allegedly Jaime Diamond said
they overdid DEI. We all were devoted to
reaching out to the black community,
Hispanic and LGBT community, the
disabled. We do all of that, Diamond
said. But the extent they got to stop it
and they got to go back to being more
practical, they're very ideological. And
I'm thinking to myself, all right, well,
it's sort of realish,
but he would have known he would have
been quoted.
Would he really say that all of his
Democrat friends are idiots? Would he
say that and then go back to New York
City where his subordinates and his
friends are Democrats?
Who says that? He He's a little bit too
smart and too savvy to insult 75% of all
of his friends knowing that it will get
back to them. So, is that real? All
right. But it goes further.
Um, I guess he was asked about Zoran
Mandani, who by the way, you could call
him Zoran Mandani,
or you could call him Zamani.
So, it's either Zoron or Pick
one. Anyway, um, what JB Diamond
allegedly said, and here I'm still a
little skeptical. He really did. But uh
allegedly, quote, he's more of a Marxist
than a socialist. And now you see these
Democrats falling all over themselves
saying, well, he's pointing out some
real problems, affordable housing and
grocery prices. Okay, maybe uh there's
the same ideological
mush that means nothing in the real
world.
Now again, that's the sort of thing that
I would say that it's sort of a word
salad mean meaningless nothing.
Does that sound real to you?
I'm I'm going to put a pin in this one
and say I'm not sure cuz a lot of the
news today is fake or looks fake. This
one
I don't know. I'm not buying it.
I I'm willing to be talked into it being
real if if Jamie Diamond says, "Yeah, I
said that." Or there's a video that
comes out someday, but at the moment,
I'm going to say probably not. I'm
leaning I'm leaning toward fake news on
this one, but I could be wrong. I'm
going to say 55% fake news, 45% real.
That'll be my That's my final answer.
Well, somebody named Eddie Zoo has
developed AI glasses that will be used
to train robots. And the way it will do
that is they'll put these AI glasses on
Chinese factory workers and it will
watch them work. So the glasses will be
on the the human and it will be watching
the human doing something with their
hands that's assembling something or
doing some kind of a you know assembly
line kind of thing and that's how they
will train robots.
So they'll collect all that data and
feed it into robots and then robots will
know how to put everyone in China out of
work.
I think the
Chinese government is going to have to
throw him out a window because uh I
don't think you can put a hundred few
hundred million Chinese factory workers
out of work with robots. But maybe maybe
it's coming.
Well, uh Sam Alman
was talking about delay at chat GPT.
and he says uh they're planning to to
launch their openw weight model next
week, but they're going to delay it for
more safety testing. And you might say,
"What the heck is an open weight model?"
Well, I didn't know. So, I went to
Grock. I had to go to Grock today
five times while I was reading in the
news. Five times the news told me
something that I just said, "I don't
even know what that is.
like why don't you tell me what that
means and then maybe I'll know what I'm
looking at. Um but the open weight model
is an AI that is uh a little bit open
sourced not completely but it allows
developers to know how the model works.
So if they want to build their own
product on top of it, it operates with
the AI in the best way.
Now, so so he's saying the tech got
delayed because they they want to review
the high-risk areas.
Now, when he's talking about high risk,
he's not really just talking about it
having a bug, right?
They're talking about, well, it might be
the end of all civilization,
but we're going to take an extra week to
make sure that it doesn't destroy
civilization.
Well, it's possible that all humankind
will be eviscerated and possibly
incinerated by the end of next week, but
just in case, we're going to take an
extra week.
Um,
I can't tell how much of this is real
because there's almost nothing I've
heard about AI that I understand and
also scares me.
So, why is it that the people who know
the most way more than I know, why are
they so scared of AI?
Is it like a mass hysteria? Is it
possible that they don't want to be the
one who didn't say it was dangerous when
everybody else does? So maybe they just
have to take that position because it
sounds more socially responsible. If
something bad happens, they'll say,
"Well, we told you it wasn't fully
safe." Yeah. I've been saying since the
beginning, good things might go wrong.
And then at least you would think, "Oh,
well, they're not morons, but something
did go wrong and now we're all dead."
So, I'm a little bit worried
about what the smartest people know that
I don't know about AI, but still, I'm
not afraid of it.
Does anybody else have that feeling that
you're watching the news, you're hearing
what the smart people say and they tell
you, you know, might be a 10 or 20%
chance it will destroy all humankind
and I still don't worry about it. What's
up with that?
How how many of you actually worry about
it? I don't understand the risk enough
to be actually worried. I just it just
you know it's like news that just passes
through.
But I'm going to add my own prediction.
I would say that we could say at this
point there's a 100% chance that human
evolution,
you know, with our organic bodies
will be replaced by machine evolution
and robots. And I don't mean cyborgs,
I mean just machines.
And that the the obvious evolutionary
path is for the organic humans to die
off from one thing or another, not
necessarily from AI. You know, could be,
I don't know, could be we last a million
years and then the sun explodes and we
haven't gotten to another planet. So,
could be there's a new virus that comes
out of a lab and kills all the humans,
but we're not there yet.
But we're very close to having these uh,
you know, artificial general
intelligence and artificial super
intelligence robots that could
potentially
take over civilization and keep things
running. after all human organic people
are gone.
So if you look at the history of other
species
and you look at the history of like
civilizations that that were here 20,000
years ago but somehow they all got wiped
out. Is it more likely
that we humans will find a way to be
permanent and just keep evolving for
millions of years? Is that more likely
than all the organic people being
killed?
Not even not even being murdered, but
just, you know, apparently if you you
wait long enough, there's going to be a
meteor,
something's going to hit the Earth, you
know, something's going to go wrong. But
the robots
might be capable of, you know, as long
as they can get electricity, of just
rebuilding civilization.
So, I'm going to make my prediction
right now that human civilization will
turn into machine evolution
and it might live forever but as
machines
maybe. All right. Uh Trump and Melania
visited the Texas flood zone and he did
his presidential thing. Trump is very
good at the uh empathy and you know
meeting with people who have had tragedy
and whatever. But uh Melania was very
good as well. She was at the the table
with him and and uh and Trump said you
Melania might have a few words. And I
wasn't sure if Melania was happy about
that. I didn't know if she was prepared
to speak. And I still don't know if she
was prepared, but she very effortlessly
um went into an empathy related we feel
your pain, I'll come back kind of a
thing. And I was watching Trump cuz you
know Trump will be very careful about
managing his brand and would certainly
want his family members and especially
his wife to uh to look good in public.
And I thought to myself that he was
looking at her with a lot of pride cuz
she was really good. Very good. I I
didn't know I don't know how much game
she has, but uh yeah, she nailed it. She
got all the she had all the notes and
looked very capable and uh
um I think he was probably quite happy
with her uh response.
Uh let's see what else. According to
just the news, Ben Weeden is writing
that the Treasury has announced that in
June the government will have a 27
billion surplus from tariff revenues.
Surplus meaning that after the
government paid all of its bills,
it would have an extra 27 billion left
over. And that happens to be the amount
that came in from tariffs.
Does that sound real?
Doesn't that sound a little bit too
impossible?
Did we just go from uh deficits that
could never be solved to, oh, looks like
June we spent less than we made?
So I went to Grock and said, is this
true?
Is it possible that even for one month
of the year that we would take in more
revenue as a country, we would take in
more revenue than we spend?
And uh Grock said yes.
But it also said that in May
u that we spent $316 billion more than
we made.
So is that a thing? Can can the month of
May be spending over 300 billion more
than you have and yet by June you're
making 27 billion more than you spend?
Is it possible that the way budgets work
in the government is that they do most
of their spending in a few months so
they don't don't necessarily smooth it
out. Is that what's going on?
There's something about this story that
doesn't seem like it could possibly be
real. Does it?
Do you think it's real that the
government took in more revenue than it
has spent even in one month? Any one
month? I don't know. I'm going to put a
pin in this one and say I don't believe
it. Don't believe it.
Well, Peter Navaro
um wrote an article for Fox News, an
opinion piece, and he's talking about
the uh CBO
and how their estimates were failures.
Now the CBO is the entity that um tells
the public if your Congress does this or
that this will this will be what happens
with the the deficit and GDP and all
that. So if you have a plan to do
something for the country, you want the
CBO to say that's a good plan because
that's the supposedly would be the
independent nonpartisan
analysis.
However,
what if I told you about complicated
10-year
projections of anything?
could be uh something about the budget
with lots of variables and lots of
people and years and assumptions or or
it could be something about the climate.
What do I say about all of those
situations?
There's no human being who can predict
any of that. Those are not predictable
things.
Um,
but Peter Nvaro points out some specific
things that the CBO does wrong. And in
there there's a lesson. And so I wanted
to share that with you. So one of the
things that they uh they don't do, well,
I guess they they frontload spending. So
they act like the spending happens right
away which would push up maybe your your
inflation and your interest rates and
then bad things would happen. And they
also don't calculate the benefit of
economic growth that might be the whole
point of your spending bill. So Trump's
spending bill, whatever you want to call
it, the the latest one is designed to
give money back to taxpayers, which
presumably they would spend, which would
be good for the GDP,
um, and a bunch of other stuff, which
should goose the economy. But when the
CBO does their analysis,
they do not assume that the GDP goes up
more than it normally would, you know,
historically.
So, long story short,
um, whoever is ever in charge of these
big complicated estimates of what's
going to happen in the future, the
result is always
based on their assumptions.
It's not really based on some kind of
factual thing. We like to think it is.
It's not based on facts and it's not
based on math. is based on the
assumptions. So if the people who do the
analysis make an assumption that's
friendly to the Trump administration, it
might look like we made money by cutting
taxes,
but you could very easily make different
assumptions and make it look like it's a
huge economic disaster.
So, Peter Navaro does a good job of
simply pointing out that these are
assumption-based estimates and not
necessarily some kind of fact that you
should trust.
And he is quite confident that the uh
latest moves by the administration will
be good for the economy and reduce the
deficit if the CBO were good at doing
estimates.
Well, the postmillennial
is talking about how there's a Gallup
poll
uh that says only 17% of American adults
believe climate change will impact where
they live. Where they live. Now, isn't
that funny? As soon as you put the where
you live part on climate change, then
suddenly the number of people who
believe in it just drops way down
because people have usually, if they're
adults, have lived it wherever they
lived for a number of years. And they
probably said to themselves, uh, I've
been here for a long time and the
weather looks the same to me. So, I've
been in California for
35 36 years, something like that. No,
how long have I been here? Longer than
that.
40
uh 46 years I've been in California in
roughly the same area of California. Do
you know how much the climate has
changed in my 46 years of being here?
Not really at all. As far as I know, it
feels and looks the same to me. We go
through some periods of drought, but
California always did, and then we have
some rainy years and everything's okay
for a while. So, is this the same where
you live? How many of you live somewhere
where when you first moved there
uh it was a different climate than it is
now?
Is there anybody?
No. If if you have your own experience,
you just look around and you go, I
doesn't seem like it's any different
where I live. So that's going to have an
impact over time
and uh people are less worried about uh
big horrible weather disasters
uh than than they used to be and they
should because we get better at handling
weather disasters every year of human
existence.
[Music]
Uh let's see.
Um according to Princeton University,
Colton Poor is writing about this. Um
did you know that geothermal energy has
a lot of potential? Yes, you did because
you listened to my podcast. Now,
geothermal means that if you dig a hole
that's deep enough, you'll get to where
the uh the earth is super hot. And if
you were to pump some water down there,
or if there was a natural water source,
um you could superheat that water and
create energy from it and it would be a
real clean source of energy. No, no CO2
if you if you don't like CO2.
But it's not really economical.
Um, most places don't have the ideal
place where you could dig a hole that
was deep enough and the rocks would be
in the right place close to the surface
and all that stuff. So if you were to
look at should we go hog wild and
geothermal right away?
Well, somebody would do a CBO like
economic analysis and they would say,
"hm, doesn't look like the economics are
good."
However, according to this article,
which seems uh right to me, the thing
they don't include when they look at the
economics of geothermal is
that we would start by picking the ideal
places.
So the the place you put geothermal on
day one is going to be where it is
economical.
And then you're going to learn much more
about how to do it economically.
And then you'll do the next one where
there's yet another place where it's
perfect for geothermal. So the costs
would be much lower than if you were in
a place that's bad for it.
And so the thinking is that uh we are
underestimating
uh how much of an impact geothermal will
someday have because we assume that the
economics will not improve that much but
in fact it wouldn't be hard to improve
the economics. All you have to do is
make sure you're starting in the places
where it's economical and then the rest
would be sort of the the normal decrease
in technology costs over time. So they
think maybe it could be the third best
green source of energy until until uh
until we get to better nuclear, I guess.
Um, meanwhile over at Harvard,
Harvard's having a tough time because
all the pressure from the Trump
administration,
but according to Newsmax, um, they're
thinking about creating a
conservative think tank.
So, would that help?
Well, wouldn't be nothing because uh,
Harvard has almost no conservatives
there. So if they said, "Hey, here's our
big old Harvard conservative think
tank," that would maybe, you know, give
them a little bit of relief from the
criticism.
But reportedly also the Crimson, that
would be the Harvard newspaper,
um, is reporting that Harvard is
dismantling some, they say some, of its
DEI apparatus.
So, it looks like Harvard is at least
doing a lot of talking and scrambling
and maybe trying some stuff to get back
in the good graces of the government
because the government has them in a in
kind of a vice grip that says if you
continue to be anti-semitic
and not open to let's say different
points of view such as conservative ones
uh we will not give you the funding that
you require from the government, federal
government. So Harvard, they had been
trying to hang tight and not do what
they're told, but there might be a
little movement there.
Um, I missed part of this story, so it's
a few days old.
Um, but Roger Stone, I guess said in a
post uh a few days ago, um, why would
Bannon, Steve Bannon, meet with Jeffrey
Epstein, both at his New York home and
in Paris after Epstein was convicted on
sex crimes in Florida? Uh, why would he
coach Epstein for his 60 minutes
appearance?
And allegedly
Bannon took 15 hours of film of Epstein
for a documentary that never got
produced.
So
um here's what Elon Musk said when he
saw Roger Stone's accusation. Now I
don't know I don't know independently if
any of this is true
but you know Roger Stone is saying it
and Elon Musk um commented Bannon is in
the Epstein files.
Okay.
Now is he just joking?
Is is
uh Elon Musk just screwing with us
because he knows we won't believe that?
Or does he know something we don't know?
Or is he just guessing? I don't know.
But that would explain why Bannon is
going all in on trying to destroy Musk,
uh destroy all of his businesses,
nationalize SpaceX, and then deport him.
deport Musk. And I thought to I heard
that the other day and I thought, wait,
is he serious? I mean, I could
understand why you don't want Elon Musk
to be involved in politics. I can
understand that. But do you really need
to nationalize SpaceX, which would ruin
it, and do you really need to deport
him? What? What? So, I wondered like
where where was any of this coming from?
So, I don't know who started the fight,
but it looks like it's a cage match to
the death because
um when Elon Musk says that Ben is is in
the Epstein files, again, this is a
claim which I'm not aware of any
evidence to support it. It's just a
social media claim. It feels like he's
going for a kill shot. And when Bannon
talks about essentially destroying Elon
Musk's, you know, US connection and
deporting him, that feels like he's
trying to take a kill shot.
Is that really Is that really what we
want? Um, I don't
I don't want either one of them to kill
either one of them, but I don't know
what's real and I don't know how to
value any of these claims. It's just out
there. Now,
let's follow up with the summer rumors
about Bonino, Patel, and Bondi.
So, as you know, we were supposed to get
a big reveal about the Epstein files,
and Pam Bondi had suggested that, you
know, maybe there was something more
there. And now we hear and again this is
all rumors. Um I would say that the
credibility of this story is about as
low as you could get. We don't really
know what people are thinking, feeling
said to each other privately. We don't
really know. But the rumor is that Dan
Bonino um stopped coming to work for a
few days so that he could think about
whether he would resign presumably over
the fact that Pam Bondi uh either
botched the Epstein reveal
or Jay just can't work with her for some
reason. And then further the rumor said,
and I don't think the second part is
real for sure, is that Cash Patel had
said that if Bonino quits because Bondi
is still there, I guess he would want
her to quit first or something. Uh that
he would quit. Now, how much of that do
you believe?
I do believe that they probably are a
little angry at each other. I don't know
who would be angry who or for what, but
beyond that,
how much do we really know about what
they think and why they're doing what
they're doing?
If you tell me that Bino took some days
off from work,
I'm going to say, you mean around the
4th of July in the middle of July when
he's been working like a dog for months
and months and he took a few days off
around a weekend and I'm supposed to
make something out of that.
Uh, almost everybody in the government
has taken a week off in the summer.
Does that really mean anything?
Well,
here are some of the other facts around
this story. Um,
number one, do you remember when Pam
Bondi gave some influencers some special
access to the first wave of Epstein
files and she invited him to the White
House and had them all hold up their own
file that they had been given secret,
you know, advanced knowledge of the
Epstein information. And then when they
looked at it, they found out it was all
public information. There was nothing
new in it whatsoever, which was some say
almost like intentionally trying to
embarrass the influencers.
Now, I think that goes too far. I doubt
anybody would have done it
intentionally,
but it was a bad play and it looked like
it was a little bit, you know, a blown
opportunity, I guess.
So
there's uh there there's some reason to
believe that some people would have a
reason to be mad at Bondi. And we don't
know exactly who said um tell everybody
that there's nothing to see here. But
don't you assume it was Trump?
Don't you believe that whatever uh Cash
Patel and Bino and Bondi said about
Epstein,
don't you assume
that that was all run past Trump and he
said this is what you're going to say?
Don't you believe that? Cuz I definitely
don't believe that any of them went
rogue and said, you know, I'll just say
what I think and this is what I think.
Oh, there's nothing there.
I don't buy it. So, I think it's Trump's
decisions,
but maybe he was influenced by one of
them more than the other. Something like
that. But if you're if you're going to
try to bet whether Dan Bino is really
going to quit his job over any of the
subp stuff,
um I would give you the following
equation.
So, Bonino went from the top of the pile
in the best job you could ever have,
what I'm doing right now.
Yeah. I I laugh because even though I
monetized my podcast,
um I wouldn't do it unless I sort of
enjoyed it every day. Well, not even
sort of. I enjoy it. I have absolute
enjoyment of doing it. Even the prep,
you know, which takes hours. absolutely
enjoy it. Now, do you think that Dan
Bonino went from the top of the pile,
one of the top podcasters in the
country, and the podcasting is, you
know, sort of the hottest area you could
be in, and then he left there to have
some government job
that probably involves commuting and
people hating him and all this drama and
the rumors. How much do you think he
wishes he had his old job back?
Just, you know, just use your common
sense. Do you think he goes into the FBI
every day and says, "Man, I made a good
choice." I don't think so.
I think he made the patriotic choice.
I believe he took the job because he is
a genuine patriot. That's my belief. Now
again I can't read his mind and I don't
know him personally but you know we all
have to be judges of character because
you can't avoid it. My judge of his
character is that he's the real deal.
Meaning that he would have only taken
the job if he thought he could do
something that would help the president
and help the country because he was
giving up a lot.
giving up the best job
for the worst job. Who does that? Well,
I mean, it's like somebody joining the
military because the country got
attacked.
It's a really big sacrifice
and he made it. Now, suppose that he
found out he couldn't do the honest job
that he thought he wanted to do because
let's say somebody, we don't have to
know who, said, um, well, you know the
truth, but you're not allowed to say it.
What would Dan Bino say? If somebody who
had enough power to make it happen said,
uh, you're not allowed to tell the truth
on this issue, let's say the Epstein
issue that your your base and your fans
really really care about, but you're not
allowed to tell the truth.
What would you do or what would you
assume that Dan Bonino would do? Well,
at the very least, I would make some
threats and I would say, "Look, here's
the deal. I think we botched that
Epstein roll out, but if we can fix it,
maybe I'll stay,
but if we can't fix it, I don't want to
be part of a fraud.
And I'm going to go back to my perfect
job." Now, if he quit and even if he
didn't tell you all the details, so this
will be hypothetical. If Bonino quits
and the only public statement he makes
is something like um my ethics were
incompatible with the job I was asked to
do.
Suppose that's it. No details. my
ethics, my my moral center was
incompatible with the job I was being
asked to do. So, I'm going to go back to
podcasting.
Would he retain his audience?
Because it would be a little bit like
admitting
admitting that he lied but telling you
that he was asked to do it and then you
would be noticing that he quit his job
in protest which is a very clean way to
tell you that he didn't mean what he
said and that he's not in favor of it.
Would you then say, you know what, I
really respect that guy because he he
resigned. You know, we always say if you
really believe that, why didn't you
resign? We say that all the time about
other people. So, if we thought that he
was forced to be a little uh
disingenuous
and then you saw him quit and then he
said, "I'm not going to give you
details, but you know, let's be honest,
you probably know exactly why I quit."
Now, going back to my podcasting job,
what would his audience do?
I think they would go back, wouldn't
they? I think they would say, "You're an
honest man who got caught in a bad
situation. You did the best you could.
It doesn't make sense for you to stay
there any longer. Glad you're back to
podcasting." And then his family would
say, "Oh, finally you're back to doing
what you love. You're not commuting to
Washington. Wouldn't
this be the very best time for him to
quit if he wanted to quit anyway?
Do you think he wanted to quit anyway?
Probably.
And I'm only saying that because he left
the best job you could ever have,
podcasting, to go to the worst job you
could ever have, which is you have to do
what you're told and you can't do what
you think is right. The worst.
So, um I don't believe he's made a
decision
because, you know, he probably is going
to wait till the last minute to make
one. But if he decided
to go back to podcasting with just a
general statement about why he's
leaving, I would fully respect that.
Now, I would also respect if he stayed
because I don't have any negative
knowledge about him at all. Um,
but I wouldn't believe anything about
this story until it's really confirmed.
I don't believe all the who's mad at
whom and why they're mad and who thinks
who botched or whatever and who's
talking to who. I don't know if I
believe any of that, but let's watch
him. So Bino is kind of the canary in
the coal mine because we just assume
he's going to do whatever is the right
thing
and we don't know what that is because
we don't know what pressure he's under
or anything like that. But I do think
I'd expect him to do the right thing.
And given that his own personal interest
would suggest that quitting kind of soon
and making this the reason for quitting
that might that might kill two birds
with one stone. One bird would be he
could get back to his awesome career
without without destroying his
reputation. And the other is it would
tell you exactly what was going on
there.
Um,
at that point you would know for sure
that there's something going on with the
the Epstein files. So
anyway, so we'll keep an eye on that.
Um, I like all three of them. I like
Bondi, I like Bungino, and I like Cash
Patel. So I'll tell you what I'm not
going to do is take sides.
uh unless some new information comes up
that I've never heard. To me, they all
look like they're loyal Trump
mega compatible people
and uh you know,
I wouldn't want anything bad to happen
to any of them.
Anyway,
um
Bill O'Reilly
um is pretty sure that the president is
behind whatever happened. He had the the
Epstein file release. He thinks that the
president was behind how it was handled.
Um
and then uh let's see.
All right. According to uh Glenn Beck at
the Blaze,
um his team has filed a foyer request,
freedom of information request to get
all of Dan Bonino's texts and emails
regarding Epstein to Pam Bondi.
Now, that's something you could do. Are
you telling me that the Freedom of
Information Act would allow any citizen
to just file some paperwork and then we
could see the private emails of two
people who are currently in the
government?
Is that real?
When did when did that become real? Has
that always been real? Now I understand
if people were not in government anymore
or you know maybe time had gone by or
something or maybe it was part of a you
know let's say part of a legal action or
something but oh with the redactions
with the redactions okay so that's the
catch so as long as the government can
redact anything they want I'm just
gleaning this from the comments as long
as the government has the option of
redacting whatever they want, then I
guess the citizens can ask for whatever
they want. Doesn't mean they'll get it.
But, uh, interesting play. It's an
interesting play.
All right. Um, here's some more fake
news, maybe. Um, I saw a claim on social
media that Epstein gave all of his money
to his brother right before he died,
like two days before he died. Um, Grock
says that's not technically true, but
that Epstein did um he put all of his
money in a trust. I think it was an
overseas trust. Virgin Islands. Oh, US
Virgin Islands.
And we assume that the trust beneficiary
was his only relative which was his
brother. So in a way
he did sign over his money to his
brother but probably probably through
the mechanism of the trust. We don't
know the details.
Um and then allegedly the brother
claimed uh his um his brother's body and
buried it in an unmarked grave next to
his parents in Palm Beach.
Unmarked grave. So
if you were
if you were Jeffrey Epstein and you
wanted to fake your own death,
would you make sure that your body could
be not be examined check?
And would you make sure that all of your
money went to a trusted person so you
still had access to it after your debt?
You know, allegedly dead. Yeah.
Now, I don't I don't have
uh a belief that he's still alive. I
have a belief that if you rule that out,
I don't know if we can rule that out.
Can we? I'm not going to say I believe
it, that he's still alive. I'm just
going to say,
if you're asking me to rule it out, I
don't have any basis upon which to rule
it out either. It looks like
coincidentally he did the very things
you would do if you were trying to fake
your own death and still have still have
resources when you were done.
So, we'll keep an eye on that.
Um,
I saw a post on X by Patrick Burn about
John Brennan.
Um, apparently Patrick has some in
inside information that says John
Brennan is abroad operating from a
recreated MSNBC set somewhere.
Um, and that at one point he was
operating from a skiff in Australia
continuing to coordinate against Trump.
So, do you think that John Brennan left
the country
because he's worried about
consequences?
Um, I don't know. Maybe
apparently uh some more seven more
people who had worked with the Jack
Smith team that was working on the cases
against Trump, they have been let go.
And uh I guess there were already a
whole bunch of them who had been fired
for the same reason that they worked
with Jack Smith as part of the
prosecution attempt or the attempt to
lawfare Trump. And what's interesting is
these are not even lawyers. They were
support staff.
Now does that seem like going a little
too far? I can totally understand why
Trump would get rid of the lawyers who
were acting against him for years, of
course. But the support staff
really
that's going a little deep, but you
know, it would be fair to assume that
the support staff was not proTrump. So
maybe that's all he needs. He doesn't
need a reason. Um, so he's cutting
pretty deep there.
Um, Hillary Clinton was on Smirkish on
CNN with that big old Hill Hillary
Clinton pumpkin smile and she said,
quote, "If social media platforms don't
moderate content, then we lose total
control."
Well, I guess that's saying it directly,
isn't it? You could interpret that
sentence two different ways. One is just
that bad things will happen. The other
way is exactly what she said. We will
lose total control. We Who's we?
And what kind of total control are they
going to lose?
Did Did Hillary say it exactly the way
she meant it? That the Democrats and and
her posi would lose total control of the
narrative if they let social media just
do what it does.
Unbelievable.
So, yeah. And you wouldn't believe if
you didn't see the video of her talking
about this. She could not get the smile
off her face when she talked about the
need to censor people on social media. I
mean, she seemed so genuinely happy.
It's like, "Oh, yeah.
Yeah. We're going to lose control unless
we we censor the hell out of them."
Yeah.
Can't wait.
Oh, she says she's the personification
of evil. The U State Department, Marco
Rubio,
um I guess I got 1,300 staffers as part
of a big overhaul of the State
Department.
And
I when I see something like that, 1300
people have been downsized.
What were those 1300 people doing?
How can you take any organization? I
mean, I know the answer, but uh it's
it's still mindboggling. That there
were,300 people that according to
management were unnecessary
and they were all being paid. They're
all commuting to work. How would you
like to be one of the 1300
when you'd been working every day for,
you know, maybe years and years and then
somebody says, "Oh, we just realized,
you know, all that work that you did for
decades probably didn't need any of it."
That that was my corporate experience
that gave birth to Dilbert.
One day I realized in my corporate jobs
that if uh
if I had never existed in my job,
nothing would be different. Nothing
about the company would be different.
nothing about the stock price
that every day I was going to work and
getting paid, putting all the in these
hours and I was completely aware that
none of it made any difference to
anybody and and you could just take me
away from history.
I think uh comedian Nate Bargati, he has
this little uh little joke he says that
if he went back in time
was that if he goes back in time that uh
nothing would change.
I forget his exact punchline, but it was
something like, "Oh, so how do you make
a nuclear power plant?" and he'd be
like,
I don't really know
that. That wasn't his punchline. He had
a better one. But the idea was that he
wouldn't be able to affect history
because he doesn't know enough about
even our current time.
That's pretty funny. All right.
Um,
so what about this story that after lots
of investigation,
uh, several of the agents who were
protecting Trump at the Butler,
Pennsylvania event where he got shot in
the ear, that several of the agents were
suspended. Now, only for days or weeks,
right? Not a permanent suspension. But
here's my question. How could there be
so many agents
who on the same day and at the same time
and in the same place all of them
independently
were doing something worthy of
suspension?
What? How was that even possible?
What What the hell were they doing that
several of them were worthy of
suspension? Now, if they said to me,
"Well, you know, one of these people
should have kept the door locked, or one
of these people should have said, make
sure there's somebody on the roof."
Or one of these people should have said,
"Hey, there's a guy walking around with
a rangefinder and a drone. Maybe we
should stop what we're doing and check
this out." Now, you could easily
understand how there'd be one or two
people there who did something that was
sketchy enough
that you think they should be suspended
for temporarily,
but how could there be several?
Like, how could you have a handful of
people who all independently
did something so non-standard to their
job at the same time that they all get
suspended?
I would love to know what their
particular crimes were
because it does get to the question of
were they doing it intentionally.
Now, I doubt it was a big um
wellorganized anything because if you're
going to do an assassination like that,
you're not going to have a dozen people
in on it. And this would assume that,
you know, something like a dozen people
did all the wrong things to get him
killed.
It doesn't feel like that would be the
way anybody would do a plot to have too
many people involved in it. But anyway,
so uh as you know the uh the border
enforcement people, ICE,
uh they raided two different cannabis
farms in California on Thursday
and collectively they they got 300
people detained for deportation. 300.
So these were two businesses. They were
both pop farms and collectively they had
300 people who were undocumented and
working there. What kind of power farm
these 300 people? Um I would say that's
a 10 robot situation. So uh eventually
robots
but apparently one person died in the
process of these raids. I didn't see the
details of how they died or what they
died of, but uh that's tragic.
Um and I guess one of the can cannabis
farms had been donating to
uh to Governor Nuomo.
So, but that doesn't mean anything. Um
the thing that bothered me is that the
price of weed in California is going to
go up now. Hey, I thought Trump was
going to reduce the price of my
essentials, but no. No. Apparently, the
supply of uh marijuana will go down
quite a bit and uh prices might go
higher. I don't know if you know this,
but the prices for marijuana have
dropped quite a bit in recent years
since it was legal. When it was um first
legalized,
I think an ounce cost
sometimes $400 or $500.
And at the moment, the same amount and
same quality would be
$250.
So, the price of weed um did in fact
respond to supply and demand, and at
least there was no uh
no inflation on weed. But maybe there
will be.
Um
there's a uh new poll that says
Democrats look uh out of touch and woke
and weak. We may have talked about this
one and uh
the there there was a super PAC who did
the poll and they've decided that the
Democrats focusing on fighting for
democracy.
Um, it was still popular within the
party but not in the general electorate.
How much are you surprised?
Remember how many times I told you that
it was ridiculous that the Democrats
thought that fighting to sup to to
uh maintain your democracy
was not going to resonate with the
public. That's just something that, you
know, news geeks say. But I don't know
anybody who's just living their life
that who is worried about democracy
being taken away by Trump.
And here's the poll that supports my
hunch that the public didn't really care
about the stealing democracy part
because they didn't see it as real. They
also didn't care about the oligarchy.
I'm seeing in the comments. Yeah, they
didn't care about the oligarchy either.
If you're really into politics,
that's the stuff you debate. But if
you're just a casual citizen and
somebody said maybe your biggest
problems, how many just soccer moms who
are and dads who are not paying
attention to politics, how many of them
would say, "Well, I'm worried about the
oligarchy or I'm worried about the
attack on democracy."
Probably none.
But when you see um that Mandani guy
when he gets all this purchase and all
this attention because he said the right
thing which is we're going to work on
affordability.
Affordability
was really a good kill shot.
You know, I'm not a M Dani fan because
he's a socialist, but when he when he
found a message,
he just had energy
and the right policy message. He didn't
even have solutions really. I mean, not
practical ones, but it reminded me of
Trump.
When people looked at Trump in the very
beginning, they just said, "Oh, there's
no way." I mean, we see that he's
exciting. and he's he's bringing a lot
of energy. We get it. And uh yeah, yeah,
when he talks about the border and the
wall, those are popular with his base,
but but that's not enough. You know,
you're going to have to be an
experienced politician to win an
election. That's what people said. But
it turns out that Trump needed two
things.
The right policies and the right amount
of energy.
and everything else we were willing to
forgive or just enjoy as a show in my
case. And I think that mom Donnie is
another example of that. He definitely
got the right policy affordability
um better than I've seen anybody do it
really. So he nailed the policy, not the
solutions, but at least he said, "I feel
your pain." You know, sort of the Bill
Clinton thing. I feel your pain. it's
affordability
and then he brought the energy. You
know, you could talk about, you know, um
all different things that he did that
you might like in both cases, Trump and
Manny, but I feel like it just came down
to that. Do you have the right policy? I
mean, have you even identified the
problem? And then do you have the energy
to make it happen? and they both fit
that energy plus the right policy
according to their base.
Anyway,
um Jen Saki and her TV show on MSNBC
that replaced uh Rachel Matto's time
slot is doing terrible in the ratings.
Uh lost 44% of her audience.
You know, I'm always surprised.
Was Rachel Maddau so popular
that if you replace her with somebody
who is in my opinion a bit of a clone,
you know, it's not like it's not like
Jen Saki is a completely different
person than Rachel Matto.
So, why would the why would the
viewership go down so much? It doesn't
seem like that much of a change, but
um one of my favorite uh hobbies is
looking at Fox News and what they do
right and comparing it to MSNBC and what
they do wrong. MSNBC
and CNN appear to be under the
impression that news
is something informing people
especially about the bad news. So if you
turn on CNN or you turn on MSNBC, you're
mostly going to get some bad news.
And
it's not all political. you know, some
of it might be natural disasters and
stuff and those will be on every
network. But the the thing that Fox News
has been getting right for a long time
is the understanding that people watch
news as entertainment.
How many of you are in that category?
When I turn on the news, I'm sort of a
little bit trying to find out what's
new,
but mostly I'm looking to be
entertained.
And when I when I'm watching Fox News,
I'm often entertained depending on what
show I'm watching. And if I turn on CNN
or MSNBC, cuz I do cycle through the
three of them, they're not trying to
entertain.
They're trying to get you worked up or
angry. And I can feel the difference.
But I I also note that um Greg Guffeld
completely changes the nature of Fox
News in a way that's made them dominant.
Um I think he's he more than anybody
else he's proven that people will watch
for the entertainment which is why he
has two shows you know that he's on the
five which is the top ratings uh thing
at that time slot and then he's got his
own show Gutfeld which again is you know
tops in the ratings. So, so he's now
got, you know, two important time slots
in which it's very clear to the viewer
that, you know, entertainment is why you
turned it on. You learn some stuff cuz,
you know, they're dealing with the same
news that the other networks are. So,
it's not like you're going to be
uninformed, but the intent is to make it
entertaining. And then I realized the
other day that uh Jesse Waters is a
similar kind of vibe. When you watch him
on the five, he's playing it for laughs
and he does a great job. And now he has
his own show, so he's got his own hour,
is it? Um, in which, you know, he he
plays a little bit more seriously, but
you know, you can tell he's he's always
got a smile on his face. So
they have something like, you know, 3
hours every night during the week in
which it's unambiguously true that you
know you're going to get entertained if
you watch either of those or any of
those shows. And it's amazing to me that
CNN and MSNBC have not taken any kind of
a learning from that.
CNN u I think they're still doing it.
Maybe they had, maybe not. But they
launched that show that was like a game
show
um in which they would make fun of the
news and uh Michael Ian Black was on
that and some other people and I never
found it funny because it was a little
too forced. So I don't know if that's
even still on but they tried.
Um let's see what else.
Um, there's some uh crypto executive
orders that are expected from the White
House.
And I always have trouble following this
topic, but the reason that Bitcoin is
going up in value, it had a good run
this week. I didn't know why. Um, but
apparently it's in anticipation of it
becoming a better uh I don't know if I
want to call it an investment. I guess I
would um because of the upcoming
executive orders and they would do among
other things ban a central bank digital
currency. I guess that would be taking
away a competitor to Bitcoin. Uh would
protect self custody so you don't have
to keep it in the bank. Um and stable
coins which are coins that are pegged to
the dollar meaning if the dollar goes up
they go up to the same amount. uh would
be backed by the treasuries and then
um there' be some market structure blah
blah blah. So some of it I don't
understand but
O is reporting this. So there might be
something big coming with crypto
if you're watching the uh Trump and
Jerome Powell saga which is always fun.
Um,
so of course, uh, you know, Trump wants
Jerome Powell to quit as soon as
possible or better yet just lower
interest rates because that's what he
really wants. Uh but the gateway pundit
is reporting that uh that Jerome Powell
is getting some uh pressure now and that
uh according to uh Bill PE who's a
chairman of the board of Fanny May and
Freddy Mack um Bill Posted on X quote
I'm encouraged by reports that Jerome
Pal was considering resigning. I think
this will be the right decision for
America and the economy will boom.
Now, I don't I don't know what uh what
those rumors are.
Um and I'm not sure that rumors can
necessarily be trusted,
but uh there's quite a push
and I think uh Bill Py is the right
person to be pushing this because he's
in the domain where the interest rates
are going to, you know, affect
affordability of housing in a big way.
So, he certainly has a he has a dog in
this fight.
Um, Intel CEO was talking to his own
company and told them it's too late for
Intel to catch up in AI chips. What can
you imagine? You're CEO of a chip
company saying, "Yeah, it's too late."
Um, and that the big companies like AMD
and Nvidia
basically have already captured the
market. And uh, he said on training, I
think it is too late for us.
So, Intel,
uh, that's a little too honest. It must
He must have been an engineer before he
was the CEO. That's a little bit too
honest. Yeah, it's too late for us.
We'll never catch up. So, we're doomed.
He He didn't say they're doomed, but it
feels like it.
Well, in uh good news, um the US is
opening its first rare earth mine in
more than 70 years
and apparently it will provide six of
the 17 rare earth materials
and has tons and tons of supply. Now, it
has to be refined. I don't know who's
going to do that or if we've solved
that. But if you're wondering, is the US
moving in a useful way to be free of
China's um control of rare earth
minerals? The answer is yes, at least
for six of 17. And I expect we'll see
more movement there. All right, let me
give you a lesson in economics
so that I can say that you were smarter
when you left. Um,
I had made the observation that if it's
true that Trump has decided that Russia
and Ukraine will never agree to a
ceasefire and it does look true. I don't
know that that's true, but from my
perspective, it looks very much like
Trump has given up and probably should
that at least for now, Russia and
Ukraine
prefer to fight. Now, a bunch of people
said to me, "Scott, you stupid freaking
idiot. Ukraine isn't choosing to fight."
To which I say, "Did they stop?
If they didn't stop, they choose to
fight. Now, you what you really mean is
they have a good reason to fight. I'm
not talking about the reason, and I'm
not arguing that they don't have a good
reason. I'm just saying that neither
side has made a decision to stop and
they would prefer fighting over whatever
they see as the reasonable alternatives.
So, as long as they both want to fight,
what would be the best thing for the
greatest president in our history to do?
Let me tell you,
if you know you can't fix it,
you should monetize it.
And it looks like Trump might be doing
that.
So, what he's done is he's uh he's
providing weapons to Ukraine, but he's
making NATO pay for it.
Now, what's the next thing you're going
to say to me, Scott? You idiot. I
thought you understood things like this.
You know that we're one of the biggest
funders of NATO,
so it's not like it's free. We're
putting the money into NATO and then
taking it right back out to buy our
weapons. So, it's not really monetizing
it, right? It's not monetizing it.
Because a lot of it's our own money.
Here's why you're wrong about that. It's
a concept called sunk costs.
Here's how you should do that analysis.
Were we going to pay our 5% to NATO like
the other countries were supposed to?
Yes. We were going to give NATO money no
matter what they did with it. That's
called a sunk cost. Meaning that part's
not going to change. The money will come
out of our pockets and it will go to
NATO. Nothing will change that. that
that's that's the most public agreed
upon thing that all of the countries
will try to get to their 5% you know in
the not right away but there's a
schedule for that
but the United States most certainly is
signed up for a certain amount of money
that we will definitely take out of our
pockets and definitely give to NATO.
If you know that that won't change and
can't change in any reasonable way, then
that doesn't count in the analysis.
So, in other words, if we're going to
give NATO money anyway, the only
question is, do we want some of it back
in the form of buying weapons from the
US? And that's apparently what Trump's
doing. So if you understand the concept
of sunk costs, the money we give to NATO
is just going to be there no matter
what, no matter what they do with it.
Wouldn't it make more sense for us to
have as much of that as possible come
right back to the United States in terms
of purchasing American products, in this
case warfighting products? Of course it
would. Of course it would.
So
we may have created a situation or Trump
may have in which we don't have to solve
the problem at all because the two sides
that are fighting
prefer
the war. And again when I say they
prefer the war they would both like the
other side to stop fighting and for
their side to get everything they wanted
out of it. But that's not going to
happen.
So instead, they don't prefer stopping
because that would give the other one
the win.
So they prefer to fight. So Trump
monetized it.
I could not be more proud of my
president. If that's what's really
happening, and you know, I'm I'm getting
ahead of it a little bit. Maybe that's
not what's happening, but if that's what
he came up with, well, we can't stop it.
We might as well monetize it.
I would be so impressed. I mean, I would
just be so so impressed if he monetized
it. Anyway,
um Russian President Vladimir Putin
uh allegedly is in favor of an Iran
nuclear deal in which Iran would not be
allowed to enrich uranium on their own.
But since Putin is a weasel, do we think
he's just trying to be useful for world
peace? Or is it more likely that if uh
Iran is not allowed to enrich
that they would have to depend on other
countries such as Russia
to provide them with the uranium that's
already enriched for their medical use
and for their domestic nuclear energy
use. And that would give Russia some uh
leverage over Iran.
So, I feel like this is more about
Russia having some leverage over Iran,
but I doubt it's because he's trying to
be useful
in Great Britain. According to the
Telegraph,
um
there are some serious people who think
that Britain should build more bomb
shelters because they expect to be in a
war with Russia. Are you following that?
that the UK is acting like it's
preparing for war with Russia.
Why would the UK want to have a war with
Russia?
That seems like the worst idea in the
world for both teams. Anyway, that's all
I got for today. Um, as I reminded you,
Owen Gregorian will have a spaces event
in a few minutes as soon as we're done
here. And you can continue talking about
this stuff or maybe some other stuff if
you want, but go to X and look for Owen
Gregorian and you'll find the link to
the spaces which will begin pretty soon.
All right.
Um,
and I'm going to say a few words
privately to the people on locals, my
beloveds
subscribers
to you. Thanks for joining and I will
see you tomorrow. Same time, same place.
I hope. Bye for now.
Oh no, it's not working again. All
right. for reasons which I cannot
determine.
Um, I can't go private without turning
off the studio and getting back in. So,
I'll just see you on locals. Um, or I'll
see you on uh spaces. All right,
everybody. Say see you later. I probably
have to end it a different way.
Uh, end and close room. All
right.
Going to have to close it and reopen