Episode 2959 CWSA 09/15/25
China deal soon? Lots more headlines and fun stuff ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
The stock market is a little flat, but Tesla is up over 7%. We'll talk about that a little bit today. Let's get your comments going. Hey everybody, come on in. Grab a seat. Make sure you've got a delicious beverage. You're going to need it. It's good for hydration, too. So many benefits of a bevera…
View segment →with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a covered mug, a glass, a canteen, jug or flask, vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day. The thing that makes everything better. It's calle…
View segment →ink that was painkillers. I think, but I've been off the painkillers now for a number of weeks, a couple months actually. And for the first time, I'm feeling that my voice has returned. Wow. Whatever those painkillers do, they're pretty brutal. They didn't help with pain at all, but they made me st…
View segment →copyright stuff, but now Merriam-Webster is suing them because apparently they surface definitions that look like they came from Merriam-Webster's IP. So they're going to have to deal with that. And apparently the lawyers used the word "plagiarize" to make their point. So they showed the definition…
View segment →body also who knew a lot today said that you have to be really, really knowledgeable even to catch AI's mistakes and to know how to give it a prompt. So we don't seem really close to getting rid of programmers. It looks like there'll be pockets where AI makes a really big difference, but in general,…
View segment →ere's the best part. This is pure Elon Musk. He just bought, allegedly, although Grok says it's not true, but I think Grok might be a little behind. So I'll take a fact check on this if this turns out to be fake news. But I did see that Elon allegedly bought a billion dollars of Tesla shares on Frid…
View segment →a few years. So anyway, in case you don't know, I do own some Tesla stock. So when I talk about the stock price and the future of Tesla, you should know that I have a monetary incentive. I don't think it's affecting what I say, but you know, people are biased people. So in all likelihood, it's bias…
View segment →uin your garage and then there would be cars parked where you don't want them. But I like the man-cave idea that's open to the street. Kind of cool. Well, the Wall Street Journal tells us that the reason our government data is so bad is that people are not responding to surveys as much as they did.…
View segment →Jr. still has to come through and produce the goods, but I think he will. I think he will. That's one of the biggest accomplishments in the world. Let me say that again. Putting RFK Jr. and Trump together and making it work. If Charlie did that, that's one of the biggest accomplishments in the world…
View segment →That, I mean, all you can say about that is wow. That's all from one person. I don't know if this is new, but I saw a clip of Bill Maher praising the right's willingness to engage in dialogue. Actually, it is new. It's after Charlie Kirk's assassination. I should tell you that there are two account…
View segment →they will, with the exception, by the way, of Cenk, but one of the reasons I like Cenk Uygur, I think it's pronounced. I never know how to pronounce his last name, but Cenk is fabulous in letting you talk and doesn't like to be interrupted if you interrupt him. And I appreciate that as well. But eve…
View segment →oncologists are seeing lots of the young come in with cancers that sometimes they've never seen. So the young have a big uptick in cancer. So therefore, it's true that there's a big uptick in cancer since the pandemic and therefore logically it's either from the vaccinations or it's from the COVID i…
View segment →But for a while, I think almost everybody I knew thought it was happening. I doubted it from the beginning. Under the theory that if that were happening, these sports teams would not be able to stop talking about it. I mean, they would know, but they weren't. They were acting like nothing was happen…
View segment →it. He's a little bit confusing. I can't get a read on the Memphis. But Trump says that he'll maybe declare a national emergency and federalize DC if he has to. And I believe he would. I believe he would actually carry through with that. All right. And now Trump is threatening on Truth Social. He t…
View segment →t cooperating. All right. Well, that's weird. I guess it doesn't matter if he confesses or not. I mean, he might have a slightly nonzero chance of, I don't know, saying he was innocent and maybe somehow getting off. I don't know. It seems unlikely. But anyway, one of the sub-stories that is coming o…
View segment →. That's a pretty good theory. I don't know if it's true, but another one is there's so much money to be made in AI that no one wants to criticize the energy industry anymore because if you go hard on climate change and clamp down on, let's say, fossil fuels, we would kill our AI industry. But is th…
View segment →at means. Well, there have been a bunch of China negotiations. I think Rubio is doing it. And Trump is happy about the outcome. So I guess those talks are over. Trump is planning to speak to President Xi of China on Friday and there Trump is teasing that they have a TikTok deal. Now, do you believe…
View segment →Or why would they think that that was a good day to delete it? Unless they thought the trans thing would come out and they already knew more than the FBI knew. So I would say that's pretty suspicious. So we'll find out. Like most of you, I think it's nearly impossible to imagine that at least the r…
View segment →in Utah, a man named Adib Nasir has been arrested and charged with weapons of mass destruction. So apparently he was in possession of weapons of mass destruction. Now, since I assume he did not build a nuclear bomb, what would be the weapon of mass destruction? Poison, right? Some kind of chemical.…
View segment →people. You know why would you discriminate against Muslims when everybody else is coming in? You got your Hispanics, you got your Africans, you got your Asians coming in. You know, why would you discriminate against one group? The answer is you're not discriminating against the people. That would b…
View segment →going to be shipped home, and nobody's going to miss them. But that's even individuals. Well, I'm not even talking about individuals. I'm just saying, are you part of this system? You know, do you prefer that we would be Sharia law instead of our regular constitution? That's got to be a hard no for…
View segment →at would be enough to get them to the table. Now, would Russia ramp up the destruction that they're giving Ukraine? Probably. But I also wonder if maybe Ukraine, having been battered so badly and having so many friends around them, I wonder if Ukraine would be in a better position to weather the des…
View segment →The stock market is a little flat, but Tesla is up over 7%. We'll talk about that a little bit today.
Let's get your comments going. Hey everybody, come on in. Grab a seat. Make sure you've got a delicious beverage. You're going to need it. It's good for hydration, too. So many benefits of a beverage.
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So, do you all remember how much I was slurring my words for about the last five months? Mostly, I think that was painkillers. I think, but I've been off the painkillers now for a number of weeks, a couple months actually. And for the first time, I'm feeling that my voice has returned. Wow.
Whatever those painkillers do, they're pretty brutal. They didn't help with pain at all, but they made me stupid and slur. I almost had to quit podcasting because I just sounded like a drunk all the time. Anyway, enough about that.
Let's talk about the news. So, you know, the AI company Perplexity, now they're being sued. They've been sued about other stuff, copyright stuff, but now Merriam-Webster is suing them because apparently they surface definitions that look like they came from Merriam-Webster's IP. So they're going to have to deal with that. And apparently the lawyers used the word "plagiarize" to make their point. So they showed the definition on Merriam-Webster of the word "plagiarize" and then they showed how it's defined in Perplexity. Same way. That's pretty fun lawyering, using the word plagiarism as your example.
Well, you've heard that one of the best uses for AI is writing code. And now I'm getting different opinions. I saw somebody say online today on X that they used to have to supervise a bunch of Indian programmers, which is kind of hard because of the time difference and language and all that. Sometimes language. But other coders say that there are too many examples where somebody relied on AI and it created garbage that they didn't know was garbage until it was kind of too late. So apparently if you're not an expert at writing the super prompts and if you don't check every line of code that AI writes, it really doesn't work, some say. But then others say, "Oh yeah, somebody this today said, oh, I did a 50-hour project in 5 hours." So I don't know what's going on here, but there must be certain kinds. If I had to guess, if it's a type of program that has existed before, maybe it does pretty well. But what if it's a program that you've invented in your mind or it's your assignment and nobody's ever written it before? Can AI do that? I don't know. I don't know.
So, you know, I'm the resident AI skeptic that I don't think it will change the world as fast and in the way that people assume. It's just not going to take that many jobs. I just don't think it's going to work that well. I don't know that the robots will do the manual labor, you know, unless they're dedicated robots. You know, just for industry. That might happen. But no generic robots. I just don't see it happening. And coding. I had thought to myself that if I were to stop doing this podcasting, I might be tempted to spend all my day learning to code because if you add AI to your modest skills, you could theoretically get a lot done and then maybe invent an app or something. But I thought maybe I can never get there because somebody also who knew a lot today said that you have to be really, really knowledgeable even to catch AI's mistakes and to know how to give it a prompt. So we don't seem really close to getting rid of programmers. It looks like there'll be pockets where AI makes a really big difference, but in general, you're going to need somebody who really knows what they're doing or else it's useless.
Well, Elon Musk seems to be making all the right moves with Tesla lately now that he's out of politics. So one of my predictions that I kept in my head, I feel like I did not say this out loud, but maybe you can remind me if I ever said this out loud. People have really short memories. And I assumed that if Elon Musk ever left politics and just said, "All right, I'm going to work on my companies again," the people would get over it and all of their hatred for Elon would go away. And I thought in a matter of months. Well, Tesla shares have reached all the way back to I think above where they were before they took a dump when Elon got into politics. We've got the robotaxi. The robotaxi is in operation and expanding. We've got full self-driving. We've got apparently the numbers are pretty good.
I was looking at a post by Nick. He's got his affordable models coming. He's got his pay packages in place. But here's the best part. This is pure Elon Musk. He just bought, allegedly, although Grok says it's not true, but I think Grok might be a little behind. So I'll take a fact check on this if this turns out to be fake news. But I did see that Elon allegedly bought a billion dollars of Tesla shares on Friday. Now that would be sort of an unusual thing to do. You know, it's not sort of the time when people would buy a billion dollars of their stock. More likely this is the time when people would be pruning their stock and using the money for something else. But he put a billion dollars into Tesla.
Now why would he do that? Well, he said repeatedly that the stock could go up by 10x, 10 times. He obviously believes this is really going to happen, you know, with robots and self-driving cars and stuff. And so his billion dollars probably will make him $10 billion. So he made one trade. It's probably worth $10 billion in a few years.
So anyway, in case you don't know, I do own some Tesla stock. So when I talk about the stock price and the future of Tesla, you should know that I have a monetary incentive. I don't think it's affecting what I say, but you know, people are biased people. So in all likelihood, it's biasing what I say about Tesla.
I saw a post from an X user, Ryan Long, who showed a picture where he turned his garage into a pub, kind of a pub hangout place for the neighbors with a pool table in the middle and all kinds of cool bar-like decorations on the wall and stuff. And he said, "I had some people over last night to play pool in my garage. One of the best things I ever did was create a space that's easy to invite people to." And it looks like it's working. And I thought to myself, that feels like the most comfortable way you could ever get together. What would be more comfortable than being in your own neighborhood and the garage is open so you don't have to wonder what it looks like in there? You know, I'm always a little hesitant to go into a house behind a closed door because you can't see what's in there until you're in there, and then you might be stuck. You might be stuck with people you don't want to be with or something. But if the garage is open, if the weather's good, and you could see your friends are in there, you would just be drawn in. I mean, the door is open. Why wouldn't you? So I love that idea. I'd love to see that become a thing. You know, it would ruin your garage and then there would be cars parked where you don't want them. But I like the man-cave idea that's open to the street. Kind of cool.
Well, the Wall Street Journal tells us that the reason our government data is so bad is that people are not responding to surveys as much as they did. So whenever the government says did you get a job or not get a job or whatever they're surveying, they get the wrong answer because the people are just not answering. And so that doesn't give you a representative sample if people don't respond. So that's why all your government data looks a little extra hanky lately. It might not be entirely because people are lying weasels and they're trying to manipulate the numbers. It might be that they're lying weasels who don't know how to get the right number. They just don't have a mechanism and they don't want you to think they're useless because they would get fired. If somebody said to their boss, "All right, here's the deal. We can't get the numbers you need and there's no way to fix it because people don't respond to surveys and there's not any other way to do it." So what would your boss say? "All right, I think I'll keep paying you and putting out these bad numbers." Well, not in the long run. In the long run, you don't pay somebody to produce numbers you know are wildly wrong. So it's hard for the employee to ever say, "Yeah, you know, maybe you shouldn't be using these sketchy numbers. They're always wrong." But remember what I say: all data is fake.
Now, is that literally true? No. Not for, let's say, some engineer is measuring something before making a decision. That's probably true. You know, they probably got the right data if it's just some engineer measuring something. But for anything that's big and complicated and national and important in scope, that's all fake. It's all fake all the time. Every time. And that's probably the single hardest thing that I could ever convince somebody is reality. That all data that matters, you know, the big stuff is all fake. And there are reasons for that. I mean, you could go through the reasons. There's always somebody who can make money from it. In this case, the data wasn't even available. There's always a reason, but all data of anything important is fake.
Did you know RFK Jr., I guess, said at I believe he was at Charlie Kirk's vigil. There were lots of them around the country, and he was at the one at the Kennedy Center. And he revealed that Charlie Kirk was what he called the primary architect of putting RFK Jr. together with President Trump. Are you having the same reaction that I'm having when you hear that? Wait a minute. If Charlie Kirk had never done anything else in his life, if he'd never done a single thing in his life but that one thing, he was the architect, and I think that's the right word, an architect, to put RFK Jr. into a productive, super important role and have President Trump be comfortable with it, if that's the only thing he ever did. Now, of course, it's early and RFK Jr. still has to come through and produce the goods, but I think he will. I think he will. That's one of the biggest accomplishments in the world. Let me say that again. Putting RFK Jr. and Trump together and making it work. If Charlie did that, that's one of the biggest accomplishments in the world. And he got there honestly by being the person who would talk to everybody. So everybody would talk to Charlie. Didn't matter what side you were on because he was friendly and a great networker, etc. It wasn't an accident that he was in a position to make that happen. That was all just an accumulation of skill until he was in a position to do that. Now I think we're finding out all kinds of things that he advised behind the scenes that were really, really, really important to the country. So I think we're all just being wowed by his legacy as it emerges and we're learning new stuff about it. Wow. That, I mean, all you can say about that is wow. That's all from one person.
I don't know if this is new, but I saw a clip of Bill Maher praising the right's willingness to engage in dialogue. Actually, it is new. It's after Charlie Kirk's assassination. I should tell you that there are two accounts that I enjoy especially following because they summarize the news and that's really useful. So Jason Cohen is a great follow on X if you want to get summaries of all the good news stuff, makes it easy. And Mario Nawfal I've mentioned before. But Jason Cohen, you probably want to follow him if you want to know the latest. Anyway, so he had that clip. Jason did. So Bill Maher was right and here's what he said. So Bill Maher said Charlie Kirk was a guy who was always talking and I talked to him here. The right-wingers, say what you want about them, but they talk to you. Now, this is one of Bill Maher's best contributions to political discourse. He has gone into the belly of the beast, so to speak, because he talked to Trump. And although they don't agree on everything, of course, he just found out, oh wait, he's not Hillary. He's actually really, really just fun to be with. And then he hangs out with Charlie Kirk on his other show and he comes away saying, "Huh, he's totally open to talking about anything." And so the fact that he's had that experience and he's willing to take some chance with his audience to just say that that's his observed truth, really useful. Really useful. It's one of the best things he's ever done.
But he says the left really has much more of a "I don't talk to you, I don't want to deal with you, you're deplorable, I can't break bread with you" attitude. All the right-wingers, they don't have that attitude. Can you believe that? He said all the right-wingers, he said, all the right-wingers will talk to you. As far as I can tell, that's true. Can you think of any exception? Can you think of anybody who would say, "I won't talk to you." I've never seen that. Never seen it. My experience with the left is the same as yours. They don't want to talk to you. They want to talk over you and they want to make sure you don't talk. Why do they do that? I believe, and this might sound like I'm hyperbole or I'm exaggerating to make a point or something like that. I'm not. So the following is dead serious. I believe that they know that their opinions can't be supported. I believe they know their arguments don't hold together. I believe they know that. And probably the reason they know that is most people rehearse their arguments in their head, you know, so at least you know what you would have said if somebody asked you. And I think that they know on some level they can't support their views and so they go the other way. They make sure that you can't talk and that you're cancelled if you do. And once people understand that the Democrats are an anti-talking, it's easier to kill you than it is to change your mind kind of a group, that will be probably about the time that the entire Democrat party dissolves. Now, it'll come back. I'm sure it'll come back. We need two parties, but the Democrat party is teetering on the edge of something like a total collapse because the moral bankrupt element of it is kind of hard for anybody to ignore at this point. Yeah. The left doesn't talk, it talks over.
Now, by the way, that's a really good frame to put out there. The left doesn't talk, they talk over you. The reason is that if you say that and then you get into a debate with a leftist and they start talking over you, which they will, with the exception, by the way, of Cenk, but one of the reasons I like Cenk Uygur, I think it's pronounced. I never know how to pronounce his last name, but Cenk is fabulous in letting you talk and doesn't like to be interrupted if you interrupt him. And I appreciate that as well. But even though I quite often disagree with Cenk, I've had two online conversations with him. He does not interrupt. He does not. And when you see that, it automatically infers some credibility to his point of view. And I think he's just sensational in showing you how to do this. All right. I know you have your problems with Cenk, but he's good on free speech. Really good.
Well, you're not surprised that 23andMe, the company that was taking your DNA and telling you all about yourself, they're going out of business, but they sold your DNA. Oh my God. They sold it or gave it to a nonprofit that the founder of the company apparently is involved with. So how many of you used 23andMe with the assumption that, well, there's no way they're going to sell my DNA to somebody without permission? Well, whatever was your worst-case assumption about your privacy of your DNA? Well, here it is. Your worst-case scenario. It's apparently just available for anybody who wants it. Now that's too far. It's not available for anybody who wants it, but it's definitely not protected. Definitely not protected.
Now, I will confess that I used 23andMe and like anybody who's paying attention, I was completely aware that my DNA would not be private ever again. I didn't care. I suspect it's unlikely that that will ever matter to me. I don't prefer it. It's not my first choice. I'd rather that nobody had access to my DNA unless I let them. But I don't really expect a problem. I mean, what would it be? Somebody makes a special poison that only works on me or something like that. I mean, what are the odds? So we can agree that if we had a choice, we would not have this happen, but probably not the biggest problem in the world.
All right. I continue to be amazed and baffled by the following. How many of you say that since the pandemic there's an obvious uptick in turbo cancers? How many think that's a true statement? Since the pandemic, there is an obvious, confirmed, major uptick in cancers. True. True or false? What do you say? The answer is true-ish. So here's how you get two movies on one screen. How can it be both true and false? It is. It's both true and false. I remember the way I worded the question was, is there a major uptick in cancer since the pandemic? That is confirmed mostly in the young apparently. So the young are having an especially tough time and oncologists are seeing lots of the young come in with cancers that sometimes they've never seen. So the young have a big uptick in cancer. So therefore, it's true that there's a big uptick in cancer since the pandemic and therefore logically it's either from the vaccinations or it's from the COVID itself but you believe it's from the vaccinations. All right. How can it be true that there's a big uptick in children getting rare cancers? That part is true. But also not true that it had anything to do with the pandemic. How could both of those be true? There's a big uptick since the pandemic, but the pandemic is not blamed for the uptick. Do you believe that?
Here's how you could believe it. I don't know what's true here. I really don't know what's true, but the claim is that the uptick is a continuing trend from well before the pandemic. So in other words, if you graphed it, you would indeed see a super alarming increase in young people with cancer, but it started so far before the pandemic, like years before, that it's just a continuation of a straight line. So given that the trend was already well established and all we're seeing is the continuation of the trend, it does not give you any confirmation that the pandemic itself was much of a cause of it. Now there was a decrease because there were fewer people going to the doctor. So decrease in just spotting the cancer and then there was increase in cancer because the people had not been treated because of the pandemic. But that was a brief effect. If you look at the long-term trend, apparently there's a lot more cancer, but it doesn't seem to have a confirmed connection to the pandemic.
Now, I'm not going to ask you to believe me. You know why? All data is fake. All data is fake. Do you think you can rely on that data to know what's going on? I don't. But there are some things that at one point you may have thought was true and I wonder if you still do. How many of you believe that during the pandemic healthy young athletes were dropping dead on the field? How many of you thought that was true? I'm pretty sure that's debunked. There's no evidence that anything like that ever happened. But for a while, I think almost everybody I knew thought it was happening. I doubted it from the beginning. Under the theory that if that were happening, these sports teams would not be able to stop talking about it. I mean, they would know, but they weren't. They were acting like nothing was happening. So I thought, hmm, how could all these healthy athletes be dropping dead and yet the people who own the sports teams, they're acting like nothing's happening. So that's when I suspected that that was maybe not true. And so far, no evidence that that was ever true.
What about the stories about the autopsies that showed that people had all this coagulated blood that's totally unnatural? How many of you thought that was true? Probably still do, right? How many think that the morticians, when they're preparing the body, how many of you think they're seeing unnatural blood? That's not true. That's not happening. Yeah. Apparently the reality beyond that is that it's normal and well understood that sometimes dead people have that coagulated blood and there's nothing really that changed. Now that's what I believe to be true. So it's always useful to look at how many things you once thought were true that now there's no evidence they were ever true. Now could I be wrong about one of those things? Absolutely. Could I be wrong about everything in terms of the risks? Absolutely. Because there's no data that I would trust to set me straight or to confirm that I was right. There's no data I trust about the pandemic. But it is fascinating that such obvious questions we don't really know. Don't really know even now.
All right. There was a New Jersey nurse that got suspended for calling out a doctor who had been cheering after Charlie Kirk's death. Fox News was reporting on that. So instead of the doctor being released for bad behavior of cheering the death of a human being, seems very ungodly. Seems like the worst thing a doctor could do in his spare time. They're apparently going to suspend the nurse without pay. Terrific. Terrific there. Great job, guys.
Well, I think somebody besides me has probably mentioned this. Maybe you haven't heard it yet, but do you really believe that only the left cheers about bad things happening to people? Because I don't live in that world. Do you remember Paul Pelosi and the hammer attack? Did anybody on the right make fun of that? What was really a terrible thing. I mean, just terrible. Imagine Paul Pelosi now he's got to live with probably some permanent parts of the injury. I believe he has to think about that. He has to be in a house where that happened. So he'll think about it every day. That was terrible. But did any people on the right laugh about it? Yeah, even Trump did. Trump did a joke about Pelosi. She called that guy the homeless hammer guy. Homeless hammer guy. Yeah, even Trump did.
So I'm going to say two things that sound like they're contradictory, but I'll tell you they're not. One is I don't think either side has the monopoly on cheering for people that they think are monsters having a bad day, even if they're not a monster. I mean, I don't have a particular problem with Paul Pelosi. So I don't think there's any moral superiority going on, but what there is is a lot of payback and a lot of what I call mutually assured destruction. So the right is having a good old time cancelling as many of the Charlie Kirk haters who made the mistake of going public with their cheering. And I'm all for that. I'm all for it. Not because the right is morally superior, but because, you know, once cancelling becomes a thing, you've got to cancel back. I just don't think there's anything else you could do. Could it make things worse? Might it escalate the cancelling? Maybe. But I'll tell you what you can't do is nothing. What you can't do is nothing. And if it changes the balance of power, I'd like to see people getting cancelled for calling the right Nazis or fascists. You know, if we could take it to the next level, that'd really be fun. So I'm 100% in favor of the cancelling as cruel and tough as they are because it needs to work both ways. You can't have the cancelling work in one direction. Absolutely not.
Bad analogy. Well, let me explain analogies since 75% of the public doesn't know how an analogy works. An analogy does not try to make every element of the analogy the same as the subject you're talking about. Because if it were the same in all the ways, it wouldn't be an analogy. It would just be the same thing. And that wouldn't tell you anything. So if you can find the part about the Paul Pelosi that's the same, then you'll know what I'm saying. But if you say, "But Scott, you fool. There was no hammer involved in the Charlie Kirk thing, so your stupid analogy is terrible." No, an analogy is only focusing on one part. In both cases, something had happened to somebody on one side of the political aisle and other people had fun with it. That is a valid point. Don't give me "but he was married to a politician that's different." No, no, you don't understand how analogies work. Stop focusing on the parts that are not the point.
All right, enough of that. So Washington DC the mayor says that the police will no longer cooperate with ICE to get rid of illegal people in the city. Illegal migrants. And I believe I saw the mayor of Memphis acting a little bit like he wasn't so into having help. He seems like he's playing it both ways. It's like he's against it because he's on the left, but he's sort of in favor of it a little bit. He's a little bit confusing. I can't get a read on the Memphis. But Trump says that he'll maybe declare a national emergency and federalize DC if he has to. And I believe he would. I believe he would actually carry through with that.
All right. And now Trump is threatening on Truth Social. He threatened the governor of New York State who has now endorsed the communist Zohran Mamdani for New York City mayor. And so Trump says that he doesn't like that she is endorsing the communist as he would say. And then he says no reason we'll be watching the situation closely. No reason to be sending good money after bad. So he's actually threatening that he would withhold federal money from New York State because the governor is backing a communist for mayor. To which I ask, is that legal? Can the federal government withhold federal money that's been approved because he doesn't like the politics of one of the politicians or one or more of them? That doesn't seem like something that would pass through the courts, but I don't know. We'll see if it makes any difference.
So the updates on the Tyler Robinson, the shooter. You all know who that is. Guy who assassinated Charlie Kirk. He has not confessed and he's not cooperating. All right. Well, that's weird. I guess it doesn't matter if he confesses or not. I mean, he might have a slightly nonzero chance of, I don't know, saying he was innocent and maybe somehow getting off. I don't know. It seems unlikely. But anyway, one of the sub-stories that is coming out of this is that the governor of Utah, that's Governor Cox, is becoming very high-profile. It's getting a lot of attention. People having positive and negative thoughts about him. But so it's a story about a guy who may or may not have been a little bit trans sometime who was dating a trans and it's being handled by Governor Cox. So all I notice is there are a lot of ins in that one story.
I saw a post by Coddled Affluent Professional who noted, as I have noted as well, that it seems like the climate change hysteria has sort of magically gone away. Have you all noticed that? Remember, we used to be just inundated with, oh, the climate's going to kill you. You don't have much time left. You better spend all your billions of dollars, blah blah blah. And Coddled Affluent Professional said he had two theories for why we're not hearing so much about climate change hysteria. One is that the climate hysteria was astroturfed. In other words, maybe billionaires were funding it and they had their own reasons, but it wasn't because it was real. And funding got pulled with Biden out. So it could be that the people who were looking to make gigantic amounts of money by convincing you that the green stuff, well, not the green stuff, but more the climate hysteria was real, they don't have any money to make because the money's been getting dried up. So instead of saying, "Oh, it's worse than it was before," because now we still have the climate emergency, but can you believe it? The money to address it has been taken away. So now it's way worse, right? So if the funding had been taken away, shouldn't there be more complaining about the emergency? Not less. Unless the degree of complaining was directly related to how much important people thought they could make in terms of getting funding from the government. That's a pretty good theory. I don't know if it's true, but another one is there's so much money to be made in AI that no one wants to criticize the energy industry anymore because if you go hard on climate change and clamp down on, let's say, fossil fuels, we would kill our AI industry. But is the AI industry the same as whoever might be funding and talking about and worrying about and astroturfing the climate change? I feel like those worlds overlap but not in an important enough way. So I don't know about that.
The other possibility, I think Mike Solana mentioned this, is that now that Greta Thunberg is a Palestinian supporter, Hamas supporter, whichever way you want to go on that. So she's off the board as if it never mattered. You have to wonder why would Greta go from this is the biggest problem in the world to another problem that of course you know is dire and drastic and it's a huge tragedy but it's also just a tiny little part of the world. How do you go from climate change will kill us all, billions of people, to well, now I'm only going to pay attention to this little tiny little tiny piece of the world. So it kind of makes it look like she's just sort of into causes and not so much into worrying about climate change. It makes it look like she didn't mean it. I can't read her mind. But when you change from the biggest problem in the whole globe to a little tiny problem in one part of the world, it's hard to take you seriously what you said about the big problem. You'd still be working on it.
Somebody else said in the comments that climate change was always a luxury belief in Europe, but Europe is having financial problems. So is it really the biggest problem in the world if the first thing you do when you have financial problems is you stop paying for it? That doesn't really match the biggest problem in the world, does it? It kind of puts a lie to it. It's like, wait a minute. As soon as money gets tight, that's the first thing that gets unfunded. The biggest problem in the world. Now, I realize there's a timing difference, but even so, it feels like not being taken seriously.
And then I'm going to give you the Scott take on this. My take is that the reason it's no longer a hysteria, climate change, is that the data has been so not cooperating now for several years. And we just don't have the signs that they promised us. Has it not been how many years have we been told that the water level is going up and it didn't? This year again the number of named storms is down instead of up. The number of lives lost to climate disasters down. So pretty much everything from the coral has recovered. The ice, it's a little unknown, but it doesn't look like it's melting as fast as they said. And let me summarize that for you. All data is fake. The entire climate change thing was based on data, right? Do you think any of that data was real? I didn't. I never believed that they could measure the temperature of the Earth well enough to know how it's changing from year to year. No. No. In the real world, that's not something humans can do. It's just too hard. No, we don't have like a new technology. We've got a bunch of thermometers that we put in different places around the Earth. Yeah, they're in structures, but of course there are heat islands and you know they replace them and sometimes they guess what it would have been if it used to be there but it isn't. I mean it's just a mess. So climate change I'm not expecting to make a big comeback but I could be wrong.
According to Bank of America, 26% of US workers sought financial help in 2025, which would be up from 13% in 2023. I don't know what that means exactly to seek financial help. Does that mean they couldn't pay their bills? Does that mean that they applied for a credit card? Would that be seeking financial help? So I don't know what that means, but if it were true that 25% of workers didn't have a way to meet their bills, which I hate to say it, but that feels like that might be about right, you know, based on my lived experience. I don't see many people who can pay their bills. Do you? By that I mean, you know, obviously I know some rich people who can pay their bills, but the people who are not legitimately rich, they don't really have any plan to ever be able to pay their bills, you know, in the long run, their expenses are way more than their earning potential. It seems like there's a lot of them. And if you told me that it's up to 25%, I would say I'm not that surprised. But I would tell you again, I don't know if I mentioned this, but all data is fake. And that might be fake data. Meaning that whatever they mean by seeking financial help, who knows what that means.
Well, there have been a bunch of China negotiations. I think Rubio is doing it. And Trump is happy about the outcome. So I guess those talks are over. Trump is planning to speak to President Xi of China on Friday and there Trump is teasing that they have a TikTok deal. Now, do you believe that China agreed to a TikTok deal that Trump would be happy with without agreeing to the overall trade deal? Why would they do that? Why would they give that up unless they had gotten everything they could get from the larger trade deal? Does that sound to you likely that he's got a TikTok deal? To me, it feels like President Xi is playing Lucy with the football. I feel like she's setting him up. I don't think there's going to be a deal. I don't think there's going to be a deal. And I think it will just embarrass Trump because he'll get a little over his skis and he'll brag that he got a deal. And then something will come up as in China will say, "Well, we did think we had a deal, but then you did that thing we didn't like and well, I guess the deal's off." So I feel like it's a trick. I don't trust it at all. I would love to be wrong, but I'm going to put a stake in the ground that says I don't believe that China would give that up unless they had already gotten everything they wanted in a trade deal and the trade deal's not done. So I don't know. But Trump must think that he's pretty close on the larger trade deal issues or he probably wouldn't be planning a phone call. I don't know. We'll see.
Well, the White House has asked for $58 million more for security that I think would include for Congress. And I think we'd all agree that we're in a world where we need more security, but it's terrible that we need a tragedy to get funding for things that we need, but that's our world.
Apparently the FBI is investigating some far-left groups in Utah that might have been involved, they think, might have been, don't know, with the planning or at least knowledge of the Charlie Kirk assassination. And apparently there's a Utah-based trans mission group called Armed Queers of Salt Lake City. And they trained people to use weapons to defend trans rights. But apparently they deleted their account the day Charlie Kirk was killed. The day he was killed. So do I have this wrong? That the day that Charlie was killed, we had no idea that trans was involved in any way. Right? On day one, we didn't know anything about trans. So if the Utah-based group thought they needed to get rid of their account because they didn't want maybe to be dragged into it, why would they think they would be dragged into it? Or why would they think that that was a good day to delete it? Unless they thought the trans thing would come out and they already knew more than the FBI knew. So I would say that's pretty suspicious. So we'll find out.
Like most of you, I think it's nearly impossible to imagine that at least the romantic partner trans of the shooter, at least the romantic partner knew the plan. Don't you think? It's hard for me to imagine that they operated alone and nobody knew. So I guess we'll find out.
So the UK and the US are going to do some big nuclear energy deal with each other and BBC is reporting on this and it's supposed to generate thousands of jobs in Britain and I guess we would be providing some expertise. I don't know what else we provide, some technology and expertise. But my question is how does the United States have extra anything for the nuclear world? Now, if we did have extra anything, then probably makes perfect sense that Great Britain gets the benefit of some of that good ally. But my understanding of the nuclear energy expertise in the United States is that it's way underpopulated because there have been so many years where we're sort of out of that business or if you're talking about maybe startups or new ways of doing things maybe it doesn't matter how many there used to be because they wouldn't have the right training anyway. So are we training these great engineers and stuff from scratch and getting enough for our internal use? So many we have so many now that it makes sense for us to share those people. I have questions. I'm not sure this is a good idea for the United States, but might be.
Well, also in Utah, a man named Adib Nasir has been arrested and charged with weapons of mass destruction. So apparently he was in possession of weapons of mass destruction. Now, since I assume he did not build a nuclear bomb, what would be the weapon of mass destruction? Poison, right? Some kind of chemical. So there's some bastard in Utah that had probably the chemicals to take out a city. Well, they got him. And my question is when I see a story like this, how many things does the FBI stop? You know, the only thing I can understand why there haven't been gigantic waves of terrorist attacks like once a week in the United States. The only thing I can figure, the only way that makes sense given that we know how many people have the capability and the desire to blow things up in the US, the fact that it doesn't happen almost every day suggests that the FBI or some intelligence agency has so much control over communication in this country that they catch every one of them. Is that possible? Are we catching every one of them? Because if they talk about these things, we've got some kind of program that sniffs every single communication and says, "Well, that's a little sketchy. Let me tell the FBI about that." I can't think of any other reason that we would have relatively so little terrorism on the homeland because we're stopping it before it happens. How are we doing that? Like, how do you get them all? There's no other crime in which we catch everybody, you know. So it's got to be some kind of massive surveillance that catches every mention of explosives or weapons of mass destruction.
So the other possibility, the only other way I can explain it is that it's fake to imagine that there's a terrorist risk and that they're so rare that if you did absolutely nothing to try to stop them, you'd have about the same number. Is that possible? You know, you'd only have a big one every 24 years or something. Maybe that's just the rate that would be the most and the least. It could be that there's nothing that really changes that. I don't know.
Well, here's some math to blow your mind. Owen Gregorian did a little math and did you know that Turning Point USA, so that was Charlie Kirk's organization, had around 2,100 chapters and that represented about a quarter million students that were associated with Turning Point USA. That's a lot. Quarter million, 2,100 chapters. Does that seem like a lot? 2,100 chapters. Well, it's not a lot because apparently since the assassination there have been 32,000 requests for new chapters. From 2,100 to 32,000 requests for information about becoming a chapter. 2,100 to 32,000. Now, that's the kirking that we're all feeling. There is an amount of energy being released that we don't fully appreciate yet. And so Owen does some math and he says based on the previous numbers, if 2,100 gets you a quarter million students, then if you went to 32,000, you'd end up with something like 4 million members. Well, what if that happens? What if Turning Point USA ends up with 4 million young people? That changes just about everything.
So again, if you think you understand the impact of Charlie Kirk, you have to give him some amount of credit for Make America Healthy Again, right? And you'd have to give him credit for the Turning Point organization both before and after his death. These are enormous, just enormous contributions to the body politic.
Trump is according to Newsmax adjusting his stance on what kind of workers to let in the country. And you remember the story about the South Korean battery factory in Georgia that it was discovered that most of the employees were from South Korea. So the whole reason that we ask other countries to build things in our country is so that the jobs go to Americans. But they beat the system by building in the US to get all the benefits of doing that. And then they shipped in employees from South Korea because there really weren't that many people who would know how to work in a battery factory in the US. So they probably didn't have the option of hiring locally anyway. So they just had to do what they had to do. But so I believe that they decided to pack up their factory and go back to South Korea. I heard that. I'm not positive. But Trump is now saying that well maybe we should let skilled people come in for a situation like this. But they would have to do it temporarily until they had trained up enough Americans to do the jobs that you know maybe the trained people from another country started out in. To which I don't know how practical that is. If you were a trained person from another country and they said, "Hey, we want you to relocate to the United States but only for three years because your job is to train Americans to take your job." I don't know. Is anybody going to take that job? Maybe if you pay him enough.
There's a post by Joel Pollak that Netanyahu did a joint presser with Rubio and this is an interesting quote from Netanyahu. He said weak governments are putting pressure on us, Israel, because they are collapsing under the pressure of Islamist minorities. That European countries are collapsing under the pressure of Islamist minorities. Well, it sounds like we're naming the problem now. But on the plus side, if you want to look on the positive side. On the positive side, there's no real risk that Russia will want to conquer Europe if Europe becomes Islamic because there's no way that Putin wants more of that business. So at some point there's going to have to be some reckoning with the fact that we can't combine. Oh, we'll see if I get cancelled forever for saying this. I like Islamic people. I like Muslims as long as they're peaceful and they're part of the program. But there's no way that the system that comes necessarily with large Islamic populations, there's no way that the system and the beliefs and the preferences can be assimilated into the United States kind of a constitutional free everything. You can't really combine them. And we're not taking that seriously because we're locked into the model that hey people are people. Yeah, people are people but systems are not systems. So if the only thing that was happening is hey just some different people. You know why would you discriminate against Muslims when everybody else is coming in? You got your Hispanics, you got your Africans, you got your Asians coming in. You know, why would you discriminate against one group? The answer is you're not discriminating against the people. That would be not really the American way. But we could absolutely discriminate against the system if the system would destroy our system and our system we like. So yeah, maybe that's the reframe. The reframe is we can't bring in anybody who's part of a system. Now, would that be wild? Well, we're already denying people entry into the country because of their opinion about Charlie Kirk. That's happening, right? We're looking for people who wanted to be in this country, have visas, but may have said something in social media celebrating the demise of Charlie Kirk. Those people are going to be shipped home, and nobody's going to miss them. But that's even individuals. Well, I'm not even talking about individuals. I'm just saying, are you part of this system? You know, do you prefer that we would be Sharia law instead of our regular constitution? That's got to be a hard no for immigration. If somebody says, you know, all things being equal, if I can get it, I'd rather Sharia law. If you say those words, and I believe, weirdly, I believe most people would answer honestly and they say, "Yeah, I prefer Sharia." There's no way you should be allowed in the country. That would be ridiculous because that would just be asking for our own doom. I think Europe is stupid enough to not recognize the danger until it's too late. I think we still have time.
Well, if you're on social media at all, you know that there's a sub-conspiracy theory that Israel is somehow part of the Charlie Kirk assassination. Now, I won't name names, but there are some prominent podcasters who are kind of putting that out there, not as a conclusion, but as a well, you know, it really looks like it, kind of feels like it. Here's my take. There's no way in the world that Netanyahu seems to be a master of risk management. Whatever else you want to say about him, you know, you could be all mad at him for any number of things, but you can't deny that Netanyahu is brilliant and specifically brilliant in knowing when to take a risk and when to sit it out for a while. That's his seemingly his special skill. And you know, it's impressive. The more you watch it, the more you think, wow, he took some risks and somehow he's making that work. That's amazing. Do you believe that Netanyahu would take the risk of being caught because we're good at catching murders? You know, we're pretty good at catching stuff. You know, if we put all of our resources into it, we're pretty good at it. Do you think he would take a chance no matter what he thought was the benefit of taking Charlie off the field? Because there, you know, some cases I think Charlie Kirk was not so much in favor of attacking Iran, but I don't know what else they might have some disagreement with. And Israel did say recently that they're probably not done with Iran, so I don't know what that means. But I see no way. No way. No way. No way, no way that somebody as smart as Netanyahu would take a 0.00001% chance of getting caught assassinating a beloved character in the United States. So even if you say to yourself, "Oh, I think they're evil enough." Or even if you say, "Oh, I think there's an upside for them to do it." It doesn't make sense on a risk-reward basis. The right amount of risk to risk losing the United States forever because that's what would happen. They would lose the United States forever. Do you think he's going to take that chance? Well, the only way it would make sense is if. No. Even Mossad wouldn't take that chance. There's nobody who would take that chance. So I'm going to say hard no on the possibility that Israel was in any way involved. And on top of that, the worst plan I could ever imagine is to try to control some crazy trans guy and or trans-loving guy in Utah. You wouldn't have the control over the situation that you needed, you know, and yeah, there's none of that sounds convincing to me.
All right. Conor McGregor announced he's going to withdraw from his plans to run for Irish president. I think that has more to do with the fact that he can't get through the nomination process. Ireland has some kind of nomination process that does not involve voters. So I guess it's the, I don't know the details, but it doesn't involve voting. So he would have to get other people who were already in the government to nominate him. It looks like that's not going to happen. So he's out. It's too bad. That would have been fun to watch to see if he could make it all the way.
I think this is new news, but the AP is saying that Ukraine drones, they created fire at one of Russia's top refineries. They've attacked that one before, but did minor damage before. They might have done more now. Now, part of the story by the AP is that there are in fact gas shortages in Russia and that Russia has paused gasoline exports. I don't know how much gas they exported versus oil, but they've paused gasoline exports with officials declaring a full ban until September 30th. Uh huh. Now, do you think that Ukraine has a workable strategy? At least, you know, not to win the war and conquer Russia, but do they have a workable strategy to push Russia to the point where Russia will make a peace deal that could last? I wouldn't bet on it. So if you said, you know, gun to head, would you bet that the Ukrainian strategy will work? I wouldn't. I'd probably bet against it, but it's not impossible.
I feel like if they're already experiencing gas shortages, it feels like they may be getting very close to turning Russia into not the economy that they thought they used to be. And I don't think you have to destroy the whole economy to get them to talk peace. If you took 20%, I'll just pick a number. If you could knock down their energy production by 20%. And it looks like you could keep doing it like you could never go above that. You just keep bombing stuff. You wouldn't have to get 80%. 20% would probably get you a peace deal. Can they get there? Do you think they can degrade? And again, I'm just picking a number that feels about right. Do you think that Ukraine could take out 20% of Russia's because they can reach anything now? They're going a thousand miles into Russia. I feel like that's doable, 20%. And that would be enough to get them to the table. Now, would Russia ramp up the destruction that they're giving Ukraine? Probably. But I also wonder if maybe Ukraine, having been battered so badly and having so many friends around them, I wonder if Ukraine would be in a better position to weather the destruction of their energy platforms. You know, would Europe and the US just step up and say, "All right, well, you took out all of their domestic oil, but we got oil, so make sure they have oil." I don't know. But if it's true that Ukraine could handle destruction of their energy resources better or maybe they're willing to just take a bigger hit, you know, maybe Ukraine could handle losing half of their energy. I'm just picking numbers for argument here. Maybe they could handle half, which would be really, really hard, but they have lots of friends, you know, maybe the friends could make up the difference. Would Russia have enough friends, China, North Korea, Iran? Would they have enough friends that if they lost 20% of their energy, they could find a way to make it up? I don't know. So I think there's some chance, obviously, I'm no military or energy expert, but just watching from the sidelines, I would say there's some chance that this will get Russia to the table. We'll see.
All right, ladies and gentlemen, that is my prepared show for today. I'm going to talk to the local subscribers, the beloved, beloved, beloved local subscribers. And that'll be private. So in 30 seconds, I'll disappear. But for the rest of you, thanks for coming. I hope you come again tomorrow. You learn so much, don't you? Yeah. Bye for now.
Stock market is a little flat, but Tesla is up over 7%.
We'll talk about that a little bit today.
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So, do you all remember how much I was slurring my words for about the last five months?
Mostly, I think that was painkillers.
I think um but I've been off the painkillers now for number of weeks, couple months actually.
And for the first time, I'm feeling that my voice has returned.
Wow.
Whatever those painkillers do, they're they're pretty brutal.
They didn't help with pain at all, but they made me stupid and slur.
I almost had to quit podcasting cuz I just sounded like a drunk all the time.
Anyway, enough about that.
Let's talk about the news.
So, you know, the AI company Perplexity, now they're being sued.
They've been sued about other stuff, copyright stuff, but now Mariam Webster is suing them because apparently they surface definitions that look like they came from Miam Webster's IP.
So, they're going to have to deal with that.
And apparently, the lawyers used the word plagiarize to make their point.
So they showed the definition on Miriam Webster of the word plagiarize and then they showed how it's defined in perplexity.
Same way that's pretty that's pretty fun lawyering using the word uh plagiarism as your example.
Well, you've heard that uh one of the best uses for AI is writing code.
And now I'm I'm getting different opinions.
I saw somebody say online today on X that they used to have to supervise a bunch of Indian programmers which is kind of hard because of the time difference and language and all that sometimes language.
Um, but other uh coders say that there are lot too many examples where somebody relied on AI and it created garbage that they didn't know was garbage and until it was kind of too late.
So apparently if you're not an expert at writing the super prompts and if you don't check every line of code that AI writes, it really doesn't work.
some say, but then others say, "Oh, yeah, somebody this today said, oh, I I did a 50hour project in 5 hours." So, I don't know what's going on here, but there must be certain kinds of, if I if I had to guess, if it's a type of program that has existed before, maybe it does pretty well.
But what if it's a program that you've invented in your mind or it's your assignment and nobody's ever written it before?
Can AI do that?
I don't know.
I don't know.
So, you know, I'm the uh resident AI skeptic that I don't think it will change the world as fast and in the way that people assume.
It's just not going to take that many jobs.
I just don't think it's going to work that well.
I don't know that the robots will do the manual labor, you know, unless they're dedicated robots.
They're, you know, just for industry.
That might that might happen.
But no generic robots.
I just don't see it happening.
and coding.
I had thought to myself um that if I were to stop doing this podcasting, I might be tempted to spend all my day learning to code because if you add AI to your, you know, modest skills, you could theoretically get a lot done and then you maybe invent an app or something.
But I thought maybe I can never get there because somebody also who knew a lot today said that uh you have to be really really knowledgeable even to catch AI's mistakes and to know how to give it a prompt.
So we don't seem really close to getting rid of programmers.
We It looks like there'll be pockets where AI makes a really big difference, but in general, you're going to need somebody who really knows what they're doing or else it's useless.
Well, Elon Musk seems to be making all the right moves with Tesla lately now that he's out of politics.
So, one of my predictions that I kept in my head, I I feel like I did not say this out loud, but maybe you can remind me if I ever said this out loud.
People have really short memories.
And I assumed that if uh Elon Musk ever left politics and just said, "All right, I'm going to work on my my companies again." the people would get over it and all of their hatred for Elon would get go away and I thought in a matter of months.
Well, well, Tesla shares have reached uh all the way back to I think above where they were before they took a dump when uh Elon got into politics.
We've got the the robotoax.
The robo taxi is in operation and expanding.
We've got full self-driving.
Uh we've got apparently the numbers are pretty good.
Um I was looking at a post by Nick Cruz Pantain Patane.
He has this um there are more affordable models coming.
He's got his pay packages in place.
But here's the best part.
This this is pure Elon Musk.
He just bought it allegedly.
Uh although Grock says it's not true, but I think Grock might be a little behind.
So I'll I'll take a fact check on this if this turns out to be fake news.
But um I did see that Elon allegedly bought a billion dollars of Tesla shares on Friday.
Now that would be sort of an unusual thing to do.
um you know it's not sort of the the time when people would buy a billion dollars of their stock.
More likely this is the time when people would be pruning their stock and using the money for something else.
But he put a billion dollars into Tesla.
Now why would he do that?
Well he said he said repeatedly that the stock could go up by 10x 10 times.
He obviously believes this is really going to happen, you know, with robots and self-driving cars and stuff.
And so his billion dollars probably will make him $10 billion.
So he made one trade.
It's probably worth $10 billion in a few years.
So anyway, in case you don't know, I do own some Tesla stock.
So when I talk about the stock price and the the future of Tesla, you should know that I have a monetary incentive.
I don't think it's affecting what I say, but you know, people are biased people.
So in all likelihood, it's biasing what I say about Tesla.
Um, I saw a post from an ex user, Ryan Lungquist, who uh showed a picture where he turned his his garage into a pub, kind of a pub hangout place for the neighbors um with a pool table in the middle and, you know, all kinds of cool barlike decorations in the wall and stuff.
And uh he said, "I had some people over last night to play pool in my garage.
One of the best things I ever did was create a space that's easy to invite people to.
Um, and it looks like it's working.
And I thought to myself, that feels like the most comfortable way you could ever get together.
What What would be more comfortable than being on your own neighborhood and the the garage is open so you don't have to wonder what it looks like in there?
You know, I'm I'm always a little hesitant to go into a house behind a closed door because you can't see what's in there until you're in there, and then you might be stuck.
You might be stuck with people you don't want to be with or something.
But if the garage is open, if the weather's good, uh, and you could say your friends are in there, you would you would just be drawn in.
I mean, the the door is open.
Why wouldn't you?
So, I love that idea.
I'd love to see that become a thing.
You know, it would ruin your garage and then there would be cars parked where you don't want them.
But I like the man cave idea that's open to the the street.
Kind of cool.
Well, the Wall Street Journal tells us that the reason our government data is so bad uh is that people are not responding to surveys as much as they did.
So whenever the government says did you get a job or not get a job or whatever they're surveying uh they get the wrong answer because the people are they're just not answering at least and the and so that doesn't give you a representative sample if people don't respond.
So that's why all your government data looks a little extra hanky lately.
It might not be entirely because people are, you know, lying weasels and and they're trying to manipulate the numbers.
It might be that they're lying weasels who don't know how to get the right number.
They just don't have a mechanism and they don't want you to think they're useless because they would get fired.
If somebody said to their boss, "All right, here's the deal.
We can't get the numbers you need and there's no way to fix it because people don't respond to surveys and there's not any other way to do it.
So what would your boss say?
All right, I think I'll keep paying you and putting out these bad numbers.
Well, not in the long run.
In the long run, you don't pay somebody to produce numbers you know are wildly wrong.
So, it's hard for the employee to ever say, "Yeah, you know, maybe maybe you shouldn't be using this sketchy these sketchy numbers.
They're always wrong." But remember what I say, all data is fake.
Now, is that literally true?
No.
Not for, let's say, some engineer is measuring something before making a decision.
That's probably true.
You know, they probably got the right data.
if it's, you know, just some engineer measuring something.
But for anything that's big and complicated and national and important in scope, that's all fake.
It's all fake all the time.
Every time.
And that's that's probably the single hardest thing that I could ever convince somebody is reality.
That all data that matters.
You know, the big stuff is all fake.
And there are reasons for that.
I mean, you could go through the reasons.
There's always somebody who can make money from it.
In this case, the data wasn't even available.
There's always a reason, but all all data of anything important is fake.
Did you know RFK Jr., I guess, said at uh I believe he was at Charlie Kirk's uh vigil.
There were lots of them around the country, and he was at the one at the Kennedy Center.
and uh he revealed that Charlie Kirk was what he called the primary architect of putting RFK Jr.
together with President Trump.
Are you having the same reaction that I'm having when you hear that?
Wait a minute.
If Charlie Kirk had never done anything else in his life, if he'd never done a single thing in his life but that one thing, he he was the architect and I think that's the right the right word, an architect to put RFK Jr.
into a productive super important role and have President Trump be comfortable with it if that's the only thing he ever did.
Now, of course, it's early or if Gay Junior soft has to come through and, you know, produce the goods, but I think he will.
I think he will.
Um, that's one of the biggest accomplishments in the world.
Let me say that again.
Putting RFK Jr.
and Trump together and making it work.
If Charlie did that, that's one of the biggest accomplishments in the world.
And he got there honestly by being the person who would talk to everybody.
So everybody would talk to Charlie.
Didn't matter what side you were on because he was friendly and great networker, etc.
It wasn't an accident that he was in a position to make that happen.
That was all just a accumulation of skill until he was in a position to do that.
Now we're I think we're finding out all kinds of things that he advised behind the scenes that were really really really important to the country.
So I think we're all just being wowed by his legacy as it emerges and we're we're learning new stuff about it.
Wow.
That I mean all you can say about that is wow.
That's all from one person.
Uh I don't I don't know if this is new, but I saw a clip of uh Bill Maher praising the rights willingness to engage in dialogue.
Uh actually, it is new.
It's after Charlie Kirk's assassination.
Um I should tell you that there are two accounts that I enjoy especially following because they summarize the news and that's really useful.
So Jason Cohen um is a great follow on X if you want to get summaries of all the good news stuff makes it easy and Mario and Noel I've mentioned before but Jason Cohen you probably want to follow him if you if you want to know the latest anyway so he write so he had that clip Jason did so Bill Maher was right and here's what he said so Bill Maher said Charlie Kirk was a guy who was always talking and I talked to him here the right-wingers say what you want about them, but they talk to you.
Now, this is one of Bill Maher's best contributions to political discourse.
He has gone into the belly of the beast, so to speak, because he talked to Trump.
And although they don't agree on everything, of course, he just found out, oh, wait, he's not Hillary.
He's he's actually really really just fun to be with.
And then he then he hangs out with Charlie Kirk on his on his other show and he comes away saying, "Huh, he's totally open to talking about anything." And so the fact that he's had that experience and he's willing to take some chance with his audience to just say that that's that's his observed truth, really useful.
Really useful.
It's one of the best things he's ever done.
Um, but he says the left really has much more of a I don't talk to you, I don't want to deal with you.
You're deplorable, I can't break bread with you attitude.
All the right-wingers, they don't have that attitude.
Can you believe that?
He said all the right-wingers, he said, all the right-wingers will talk to you.
As far as I can tell, that's true.
Can you think of any exception?
Can you think of anybody who would say, "I won't talk to you." I've never seen that.
Never seen it.
My experience with the left is the same as yours.
They don't want to talk to you.
They want to talk over you and they want to make sure you don't talk.
Why do they do that?
I believe and and this this might sound like I'm, you know, hyperbole or, you know, I'm exaggerating to make a point or something like that.
I'm not.
So, the following is dead serious.
I believe that they know that their opinions can't be supported.
I believe they know their arguments don't hold together.
I believe they know that.
And probably the reason they know that is most people rehearse their arguments in their head, you know, so at least you know what you would have said if somebody asked you.
And I think that they know on some level they can't support their views and so they um they go the other way.
They make sure that you can't talk and that you're you're cancelled if you do.
And uh once once I think uh people understand that the Democrats are an anti-talking um it's easier to kill you than it is to change your mind kind of a group.
That will be probably about the time that the entire uh Democrat party dissolves.
Now, it'll come back.
It I'm sure it'll come back.
We need two parties, but the Democrat party is teetering on the edge of something like a total collapse because the moral bankrupt uh element of it is kind of hard for anybody to ignore at this point.
Yeah.
The left doesn't talk, it talks over.
Now, by the way, that's a really good frame to put out there.
The left doesn't talk, they talk over you.
The reason is that if you say that and then you get into a debate with a leftist and they start talking over you, which they will u with the exception, by the way, of Jenk, but one of the reasons I like Jenk, uh, Wager, I think it's pronounced.
I never know how to pronounce his last name, but Jenk um is fabulous in letting you talk and doesn't like to be interrupted if if you interrupt him.
And I appreciate that as well.
But um even though I quite often disagree with Jenk, um I've had two, you know, online conversations with him.
He does not interrupt.
He does not.
And when you see that, it automatically infers some credibility to his point of view.
Um, and I think he's just sensational in the showing you how to do this.
Uh, all right.
I know you have your problems with Jenk, but uh, he's he's good on free speech.
Really good.
Well, you're not surprised that 23 and me, the company that was taking your DNA and telling you all about yourself, they're going out of business, but they sold your DNA.
Oh my god.
They sold it or gave it to a nonprofit that the founder of the company apparently is involved with.
So, how many of you use 23 and me with the assumption that, well, there's no way they're going to sell my DNA to somebody without permission?
Well, whatever was your worstc case assumption about your privacy of your DNA?
Well, here it is.
Your worst case scenario.
It's apparently just available for anybody who wants it.
Um, now that's too far.
is not available for anybody who wants it, but it's definitely not protected.
Definitely not protected.
Now, I will confess that I used 23 and me and like anybody who's paying attention, I was completely aware that my DNA would not be private ever again.
I didn't care.
I I suspect it's unlikely that that will ever matter to me.
I don't prefer it.
It's not my first choice.
I'd rather that they that nobody had access to my DNA unless I let them.
But I don't really expect a problem.
I mean, what would it be?
Somebody makes a special poison that only works on me or something like that.
I mean, what are the odds?
So, um, we can agree that if we had a choice, we would not have this happen.
but probably not the biggest problem in in the world.
Um, all right.
I continue to be amazed and baffled by the following.
How many of you say that since the pandemic there's an obvious uptick in turbo cancers?
How many think that's a true statement?
Since the pandemic, there is a uh obvious confirmed uh major uptick in cancers.
True.
True or false?
What do you say?
The answer is trueish.
So, here's how you get two movies on one screen.
How can it be both true and false?
It is.
It's both true and false.
I remember the way I worded the question was is there a major uptick in cancer since the pandemic?
That is confirmed mostly in the young apparently.
So the young are having an especially tough time and oncologists are seeing lots of the young come in with cancers that sometimes they've never seen.
So the young have a big uptick in cancer.
So therefore, it's true that there's a big uptick in cancer since the pandemic and therefore logically it's either from the vaccinations or it's from the co itself but you believe it's from the vaccinations.
All right.
How how can it be true that there's a big uptick in children getting rare cancers?
That part is true.
but also not true that it had anything to do with the pandemic.
How could both of those be true?
There's a big uptick since the pandemic, but the pandemic is not blamed for the uptick.
Do you believe that?
Here's how you could believe it.
I don't know what's true here.
I really don't know what's true, but the claim is that the uptick is a continuing trend from well before the pandemic.
So in other words, if you graphed it, you would indeed see an a super alarming increase in young people with cancer, but it started so far before the pandemic, like years before that it's just a continuation of a straight line.
So given that the trend was already well established and all we're seeing is that the continuation of the trend, it does not um give you any confirmation that the pandemic itself was much of a cause of it.
Now there was a decrease because there was fewer people going to the doctor.
So decrease in just spotting the cancer and then there was increase in cancer because the people had not been treated because of the pandemic.
But that was a brief effect.
If you look at the long-term trend, uh apparently there's a lot more of it cancer, but it doesn't seem to have a, you know, confirmed um confirmed uh, you know, connection to the pandemic.
Now, I'm not going to ask you to believe me.
You know why?
All data is fake.
All data is fake.
Do you think you can rely on that data to know what's going on?
I don't I don't I don't.
But there are some things that um there at one point you may have thought was true and I wonder if you still do.
How many of you believe that during the pandemic healthy young athletes were dropping dead on the field?
How many how many of you thought that was true?
I'm pretty sure that's debunked.
There's no evidence that anything like that ever happened.
But for a while, I think almost everybody I knew thought it was happening.
I I doubted it from the beginning.
Um under the theory that if that were happening, these sports teams would not be able to stop talking about it.
I mean, they would know, but they weren't.
They were acting like nothing was happening.
So I thought, hm, how could all these healthy athletes be dropping dead and yet the the people who own the sports teams, they they're acting like nothing's happening.
So that's when I suspected that that was maybe not true.
And so far, no evidence that that was ever true.
What about the stories about the um the autopsies that showed that people had all this coagulated blood that's totally unnatural?
How many of you thought that was true?
Probably still do, right?
How many think that the the um the I'm sorry, the morticians when they're preparing the body, how many of you think they're seeing uh unnatural blood?
That's not true.
That's not happening.
Yeah.
Apparently the reality beyond that is that it's normal and well understood that sometimes dead people have that coagulated blood and there's nothing really that changed.
Now that's what I believe to be true.
So it's always useful to look at how many things you once thought were true that now there's no evidence they were ever true.
Now could I be wrong about one of those things?
Absolutely.
Could I be wrong about everything um in terms of the risks?
Absolutely.
Because there's no data that I would trust to set me straight or to confirm that I was right.
There's no data I trust about the pandemic.
But it is fascinating that such obvious questions we don't really know.
Don't really know even now.
All right.
Um, let's see.
So, there was a New Jersey nurse that got suspended for calling out a doctor who had been cheering after Charlie Kirk's death.
Fox News was reporting on that.
So instead of the doctor being released for bad behavior of cheering the death of a human being, seems very undoly.
Seems like the worst thing a doctor could do in his spare time.
Um they're apparently going to suspend the nurse without pay.
Terrific.
Terrific there.
Great job, guys.
Well, I I think somebody besides me has probably mentioned this.
Maybe you haven't heard it yet, but do you really believe that only the left cheers about bad things happening to people?
Cuz I don't live in that world.
Do you remember Paul Pelosi and the hammer attack?
Did anybody on the right make fun of that?
what was really a terrible thing.
I mean, just terrible.
Imagine Paul Pelosi now he's got to live with probably some permanent parts of the injury.
I believe he had to he has to think about that.
He has to be in a house where that happened.
So, he'll think about it every day.
He I mean, that was terrible.
But did any people on the right laugh about it?
Yeah, even Trump did.
Trump did a joke about uh Pelosi is what she call him a she called that guy the homeless hammer guy.
Homeless hammer guy.
Yeah, even Trump did.
So, um I'm going to say two things that sound like they're contradictory, but I'll tell you they're not.
One is I don't think either side has the monopoly on, you know, cheering for people that they think are monsters having a bad day, even if they're not a monster.
I mean, I don't have a particular problem with Paul Pelosi.
Um, so I don't I don't think there's any moral superiority going on, but what there is is a lot of payback and a lot of what I call mutually assured destruction.
So, the right is having a good old time cancelling as many of the Charlie Kirk haters who who made the mistake of going public with their cheering.
And I'm all for that.
I'm all for it.
Not because the right is morally superior, but because, you know, once cancelling becomes a thing, you got to you got to cancel back.
Uh I just don't think there's anything else you could do.
Could it make things worse?
Might it escalate the cancelling?
Maybe.
But I'll tell you what you can't do is nothing.
What you can't do is nothing.
And um if it uh you know, if it changes the balance of power, um I'd like to see people getting cancelled for calling the right Nazis or fascists.
You know, if we could take it to the next level, that'd really be fun.
really be fun.
So, I'm 100% in favor of the cancelling as cruel and you know tough as they are because it needs to work both ways.
You you can't have the cancelling work in one direction.
Absolutely not.
Bad analogy.
Well, let me explain analogies since 75% of the public doesn't know how an analogy works.
An analogy does not try to make every element of the analogy the same as the subject you're talking about.
Because if it were the same in all the ways, it wouldn't be an analogy.
It would just be the same thing.
And that wouldn't tell you anything.
So if you can find the part about the Paul Pelosi that's the same, then you'll know what I'm saying.
But if you say, "But Scott, you fool.
There was no hammer involved in the Charlie Kirk thing, so your stupid analogy is terrible." No, an analogy is only focusing on one part.
In both cases, something had happened to somebody on one side of the political aisle and other people had fun with it.
That is a valid point.
Don't don't give me but he was married to a politician that's different.
No no you don't understand how analogies work.
Stop focusing on the part that are not the point.
All right enough of that.
Um so Washington DC the mayor says that the police will no longer cooperate with ICE to get rid of illegal people in the city.
illegal migrants.
Um, and I believe I saw the the mayor of Memphis uh acting a little bit like he wasn't so into having help.
He he seems like he's playing it both ways.
It's like he's against it because he's on the left, but he's sort of in favor of it a little bit.
He's a little bit confusing.
I can't I can't get a read on the Memphis.
Um, but Trump says that he'll uh he'll maybe declare a national the hell was that cat?
Uh, we'll declare a national emergency and federalize DC if he has to.
Um, and I believe he would.
I believe he would actually carry through with that.
All right.
Um, and now Trump is threatening on a true social.
He threatened uh the governor of New York State who has now endorsed the communist Zoran Mandami for New York City mayor.
And uh so Trump says um that he doesn't like that she uh is endorsing the communist as he would say.
And then he says no reason um we'll be wa we'll be watching the situation closely.
No reason to be sending good money after bad.
So, he's actually threatening that he would withhold federal money from New York State because the governor is backing a communist for mayor.
To which I ask, is that legal?
Can the federal government withhold federal money that's been approved uh because he doesn't like the politics of one of the politicians or one or more of them?
That doesn't seem like something that would pass through the courts, but I don't know.
We'll see if it makes any difference.
So, the updates on the Tyler Robinson, the uh the shooter.
You all know who that is.
Guy who assassinated Charlie Kirk.
He has not confessed and he's not cooperating.
All right.
Well, that's weird.
Um, I guess it doesn't matter if he confesses or not.
I mean, he might have a slightly nonzero chance of, I don't know, saying he was innocent and maybe somehow getting off.
I don't know.
It seems unlikely.
But anyway, um, one of the sub stories that is coming out of this is that the governor of Utah, that's Governor Cox, uh, is becoming very high-profile.
It's getting a lot of attention.
people having positive and negative thoughts about him.
But uh so it's a story about a guy who may or may not have been a little bit trans sometime who was dating a trans um and uh it's being handled by Governor Cox.
So all I notice is there are a lot of in that one story.
Okay.
Um, I saw a post by coddled affluent professional who noted, as I have noted as well, that it seems like the climate change hysteria has sort of magically gone away.
Have you all noticed that?
Remember, we used to be just inundated with, oh, the climate's going to kill you.
You don't have much time left.
You better spend all your billions of dollars.
um blah blah blah and uh cuddled affluent professional said he had two theories for why we're not hearing so much about climate change hysteria.
Um one is that the climate hysteria was astroturfed.
In other words, maybe billionaires were funding it and uh they had some they had their own reasons, but it wasn't because it was real.
and funding got pulled with Biden out.
So, it could be that the people who were looking to make gigantic amounts of money by convincing you that the green stuff, well, not the green stuff, but more the climate hysteria was real.
Um, they don't have any money to make because the the money's been getting dried up.
So instead of saying, "Oh, it's worse than it was before," because now we still have the climate emergency, but can you believe it?
The money to address it has been taken away.
So now it's way worse, right?
So if the funding had been taken away, shouldn't there be more complaining about the emergency?
Not less.
Unless the degree of complaining was directly related to how much important people thought they could make in terms of getting funding from the government.
That's a pretty good theory.
I don't know if it's true, but another one is there's so much money to be made in AI that no one wants to criticize the energy industry anymore because if you go hard on climate change and clamp down on, let's say, fossil fuels, we would kill our AI industry.
But is the AI industry the same as whoever might be funding and talking about and worrying about and astroturfing the climate change?
I feel like those worlds overlap but not in an important enough way.
So I don't know about that.
The other possibility, I think Mike Servich mentioned this, is that now that Greta Tunberg is a uh I guess she's a Palestinian supporter, Hamas supporter, whichever way you want to go on that.
Um, so she's off the board as if it never mattered.
You have to wonder why would Greta go from this is the biggest problem in the world to another problem that of course you know is is dire and and drastic and uh it's a huge tragedy but it's also just a tiny little part of the world.
How do you go from climate change will kill us all, billions of people, to well, now I'm only going to pay attention to this little tiny little tiny piece of the world.
So, it kind of makes it look like she's just sort of into causes and not so much into worrying about climate change.
It makes it look like she didn't mean it.
I can't can't read her mind.
But when you change from the biggest problem in the whole globe to a little tiny problem in one part of the world, it's hard to take you seriously what you said about the big problem.
You'd still be working on it.
Somebody else said in the comments that climate change was always a luxury belief in Europe, but Europe is having financial problems.
So, is it really the biggest problem in the world if the first thing you do when you have financial problems is you stop paying paying for it?
That doesn't really match the biggest problem in the world, does it?
It kind of puts a lie to it.
It's like, wait a minute.
As soon as money gets tight, that's the first thing that gets unfunded.
The biggest problem in the world.
Now, I realize there's a timing difference, but even so, it feels like not being taken seriously.
And then um uh I'm going to give you the Scott take on this.
My take is that the reason it's no longer a hysteria, climate change, is that the data has been so not cooperating now for several years.
And we don't have we just don't have the signs that they promised us.
Has it not been how many years have we been told that the water level is going up and it didn't?
This year again the number of name storms is down instead of up.
Um the number of uh you know lives lost to uh climate disasters down.
So, pretty much everything from the coral has recovered.
Uh, the ice, it's a little it's a little unknown, but it doesn't look like it's melting as fast as they said.
Um, and let me let me summarize that for you.
All data is fake.
The entire climate change thing was based on data, right?
Do you think any of that data was real?
I didn't.
I never believed that they could measure the temperature of the Earth well enough to know how it's changing from year to year.
No.
No.
In the real world, that's not something humans can do.
It's just too hard.
No, we don't have like a new technology.
We've got a bunch of thermometers that we put in different places around the Earth.
Yeah, they're in structures, but of course there are heat islands and you know they replace them and sometimes they guess what it would have been if it used to be there but it isn't.
I mean it's just a mess.
So climate change I'm not expecting to make a big comeback but I could be wrong.
According to Bank of America, 26% of US workers sought financial help in 2025, which would be up from 13% in 2023.
Uh, I don't know what that means exactly to seek financial help.
Does that mean they couldn't pay their bills?
Does that mean that they applied for a credit card?
Would that be seeking financial help?
So, I don't know what that means, but if it were true that 25% of workers didn't have a way to meet their bills, which I hate to say it, but that feels like that might be about right, you know, based on my lived experience.
I don't see many people who can pay their bills.
Do you?
By that I mean, you know, obviously I know some rich people who can pay their bills, but the people who are not, you know, legitimately rich, they don't really have any plan to ever be able to pay their bills, you know, in the long run, their expenses are way more than their earning potential.
It seems like there's a lot of them.
And if you told me that it's up to 25%, I would say I'm not that surprised.
But I would uh tell you again, I don't know if I mentioned this, but all data is fake.
And that might be fake data.
Meaning that whatever they mean by seeking financial help, who knows what that means.
Well, there have been a bunch of China negotiations.
I think Rubio is doing it.
And Trump is happy about the outcome.
So I guess those talks are over.
Trump is planning to speak to President Xi of China on Friday and uh there Trump is uh teasing that they have a tick tock deal.
Now, do you believe that China agreed to a tick- tock deal that that Trump would be happy with uh without agreeing to the overall trade deal?
Why would they do that?
Why would they give that up unless they had gotten everything they could get from the larger trade deal?
Does that sound Does it sound to you likely that he's got a tick tock feel?
To me, it feels like President Xi is is playing, you know, Lucy with the football.
I feel like she's setting him up.
I don't think there's going to be a deal.
I don't think there's going to be a deal.
And I think it will just embarrass Trump because he'll get a little over his skis and he'll brag that he got a deal.
And then something will come up as in China will say, "Well, we did think we had a deal, but then then you did that thing we didn't like and well, I guess the deal's off." So, I feel like it's a trick.
I don't trust it at all.
I would love to be wrong, but I I'm going to I'm going to put a stake in the ground that says I don't believe that China would give that up unless they had already gotten everything they wanted in a trade deal and the trade deal's not done.
So, I don't know.
But, uh, Trump must think that he's pretty close on the larger trade deal issues or he probably wouldn't be planning a phone call.
I don't know.
We'll see.
Well, the White House has asked for $58 million more for security that I think would include for Congress.
And I think we'd all agree that we're in a world where we need more security, but um it's terrible that we need a tragedy to get funding for things that we need, but that's not our world.
Um, apparently the FBI is investigating uh some far-left groups in Utah that might have been involved, they think, might have been, don't know, with the planning or at least knowledge of the Charlie Kirk um assassination.
And apparently there's a Utah based transmission group called Armed Queers of Salt Lake City.
And they trained people to use weapons to defend trans rights.
But apparently they deleted their account the day Charlie Kirk was killed.
The day he was killed.
So do I have this wrong?
That the day that Charlie was killed, we had no idea that trans was involved in any way.
Right?
On day one, we didn't know anything about trans.
So, if the Utah based group thought they needed to get rid of their account because they didn't want maybe to be dragged into it, why would they think they would be dragged into it?
Or why why would they think that that was a good day to delete it?
Unless they thought the trans thing would come out and they already knew more than the FBI knew.
So, I would say that's pretty suspicious.
So, we'll find out.
Uh, like most of you, I think it's nearly impossible to imagine that at least the the what do you call it?
The romantic partner trans uh of the shooter.
At least the romantic partner knew the plan.
Don't you think?
It's hard for me to imagine that they operated alone and you know nobody knew.
So I guess we'll find out.
So the UK and the US are going to do some big nuclear energy deal with each other and BBC is reporting on this and it's uh supposed to generate thousands of jobs in Britain and um I I guess we would be providing some expertise.
I don't know what else we provide some technology and expertise.
Um, but my question is how does the United States have extra anything for the the nuclear world?
Now, if we did have extras anything, then probably makes perfect sense that Great Britain gets the benefit of some of that good ally.
But my understanding of the the nuclear energy expertise in the United States is that it's way way uh underp populated because there have been so many years where we're sort of out of that business or if you're talking about you know maybe startups or new ways of doing things maybe it doesn't matter how many there used to be because they wouldn't have the right training anyway.
So, are we are we training these great engineers and stuff from scratch and getting enough for our internal use?
So many we have so many now that it makes sense for us to share those people.
I have questions.
I'm not sure this is a good idea for the United States, but might be.
Well, also in Utah, a man named Adib Nasir has been arrested and charged with uh weapons of mass destruction.
So, apparently he was in possession of weapons of mass destruction.
Now, since I assume he did not build a nuclear bomb, what would be the weapon of mass destruction?
Poison, right?
Some kind of chemical.
So, there's some bastard in Utah that had probably the chemicals to take out a city.
Well, they got him.
And my question is when I see a story like this, how many things does the FBI stop?
You know, there the only thing I can understand why there there haven't been, you know, gigantic wave of terrorist attacks like once a week in the United States.
The only thing I can figure, the only way that makes sense given that we know how many people have the capability and the desire to blow things up in the US, the fact that it doesn't happen almost every day suggests that the FBI or some intelligence agency has so much control over communication in this country that they catch every one of them.
Is that possible?
Are we catching every one of them?
Because if they talk about these things, we've got some kind of program that sniffs every single communication and says, "Well, that's a little sketchy.
Let me tell the FBI about that." I I can't think of any other reason that we would have relatively so little terrorism on the homeland because we're stopping it before it happens.
How are we doing that?
Like, how do you get them all?
There's no other crime in which we catch everybody, you know.
So, it it's got to be some kind of, you know, massive surveillance that catches every mention of uh explosives or weapons of mass destruction.
So the other possibility, the only other way I can explain it is that it's fake to imagine that there's a terrorist risk and that they're so rare that if you did absolutely nothing to try to stop them, you'd have about the same number.
Is that possible?
You know, you'd only have a big one every 24 years or something.
Maybe that's just the rate that would be the most and the least.
It just it could be that there's nothing that really changes that.
I don't know.
Well, here's some uh math to blow your mind.
Uh Owen Gregorian did a little math and uh did you know that Turning Point USA so that was Charlie Kirk's organization had around 21 chapters 2100 chapters and uh that represented about a quarter million students that were associated with Turning Point USA.
That's a lot.
Quarter million 2100 chapters.
Does that seem like a lot?
2100 chapters.
Well, it's not a lot because apparently since the assassination there have been 32,000 requests for new chapters from 2100 to 32,000 requests for information about becoming a chapter.
2100 to 32,000.
Now, that's the kirking that we're all feeling.
There is an amount of energy being released that we don't fully appreciate yet.
Um, and uh, so Owen does some math and he says based on the previous numbers, if 2100 gets you quarter million students, uh, then if you went to 32,000, you'd end up with something like 4 million members.
Well, what if that happens?
What What if Turning Point USA ends up with 4 million young people?
That changes just about everything.
So again, if you if you think you understand the impact of uh Charlie Kirk, you you have to give him some amount of credit for Make America Healthy Again, right?
And uh you'd have to give him credit for the Turning Point organization both before and after his his death.
These are enormous just enormous contributions to the the body politic.
Um Trump is according to Newsmax is uh adjusting his stance on what kind of workers to let in the country.
And uh you remember the story about the South Korean battery factory in Georgia that uh it was discovered that most of the employees were from South Korea.
So the whole reason that we as ask uh other countries to build things in our country is so that the jobs go to Americans.
But they beat the system by building in the US to get all the benefits of doing that.
And then they shipped in employees from South Korea because there really weren't that many people who would know how to work in a battery factory in the US.
So that they probably didn't have the option of hiring locally anyway.
So they just had to do what they had to do.
But uh so I believe that they decided to pack up their factory and go back to South Korea.
I I heard that.
I'm not positive.
But uh Trump is now saying that well maybe we should let skilled people come in for a situation like this.
But they would have to do it temporarily until they had trained up enough Americans to do the jobs that you know maybe the trained people from another country started out in to which I don't know how practical that is.
would if you were a trained person from another country and they said, "Hey, we want you to relocate to the United States but only for three years because your job is to train Americans to take your job." I don't know.
Is anybody going to take that job?
Maybe if you pay him enough.
Um there's a post by Joel Pollock that uh Netanyahu did a joint presser with uh Rubio and this is an interesting quote from Netanyahu.
He said weak governments are putting pressure on us Israel because they are collapsing under the pressure of Islamist minorities.
that European countries are collapsing under the pressure of Islamist minorities.
Well, it sounds like we're naming the problem now.
Um, but on the plus side, if you want to, you know, I like to look on the the positive side.
On the positive side, there's no real risk that Russia will want to conquer Europe if Europe becomes Islamic because there's no way that Putin wants more of that business.
So, um, at some point there's going to have to be some reckoning with the fact that we can't combine Oh, we'll see if I get cancelled forever for saying this.
Um, I like Islamic people.
I like Muslims as long as they're, you know, peaceful and they're part of the program.
Um, but there's no way that the system that comes necessarily with large Islamic populations, there's no way that the system and the beliefs and the preferences can be assimilated into the United States kind of a, you know, constitutional free everything.
You can't really combine them.
And we're not taking that seriously because we're locked into the model that hey people are people.
Yeah, people are people but systems are not systems.
So if the only thing that was happening is hey just some different people.
You know why would you discriminate against Muslims when you know everybody else is coming in?
You got your Hispanics, you got your Africans, you got your Asians coming in.
You know, why would you discriminate against one group?
The answer is you're not discriminating against the people that would be not really the American way.
But we could absolutely discriminate against the system if the system would destroy our system and our system we like.
So, um yeah, maybe maybe that's the reframe.
The reframe is we can't bring in anybody who's part of a system.
Now, would that be wild?
Well, we're already denying people entry into the country because of their opinion about Charlie Kirk.
That's happening, right?
We're looking for people who wanted to be in this country, have visas, but may have said something in social media celebrating the demise of Charlie Kirk.
Those people are going to be shipped home, and nobody's going to miss them.
But that's even individuals.
Well, I'm not even talking about individuals.
I'm just saying, are you part of this system?
You know, do you prefer that we would be Sharia law instead of our regular constitution?
That's got to be a hard no for immigration.
If if somebody says, you know, all things being equal, if I can get it, I'd rather Sharia law.
If you say those words, and I believe, weirdly, I believe most people would answer honestly and they say, "Yeah, I prefer Sharia." Um, there's no way you should be allowed in the country.
That that would be ridiculous because that would just be asking for our own doom.
I think I think Europe is stupid enough to not recognize the danger until it's too late.
I think we still have time.
Well, if you're on social media at all, you know that there's a subconspiracy theory that Israel is somehow part of the Charlie Kirk assassination.
Now, I won't name names, but there are some prominent podcasters who are kind of putting that out there, not as a conclusion, but as a well, you know, it really looks like it, kind of feels like it.
Here's my take.
There's no way in the world that Netanyahu is seems to be a master of risk management.
Whatever else you want to say about him, you know, you you could be all mad at him for any number of things, but you can't deny that Netanyahu is brilliant and specifically brilliant in knowing when to take a risk and and when to set it out for a while.
That's his seemingly his special skill.
And you know, it's impressive.
The more you watch it, the more the more you think, wow, he took some risks and somehow he's making that work.
Uh, that's amazing.
Do you believe that Netanyahu would take the risk of being caught because we're good at catching murders?
You know, we're pretty good at catching stuff.
You know, if we put all of our resources into it, we're pretty good at it.
Do you think he would take a chance no matter what he thought was the benefit of taking Charlie off the field?
Because there, you know, some cases I think I think Charlie Kirk was not so much in favor of attacking Iran, but I don't know what else they might have some disagreement with.
And Israel did say recently that they're probably not done with Iran, so I don't know what that means.
But I see no way.
No way.
No way.
No way, no way that somebody as smart as Netanyahu would take a 0.00001% chance of getting caught assassinating a beloved character in the United States.
So even if you say to yourself, "Oh, I think they're evil enough." Or even if you say, "Oh, I think there's an upside for them to do it." It doesn't make sense on a riskreward basis.
the right amount of risk to risk losing the United States forever because that's what would happen.
They would lose the United States forever.
Do you think he's going to take that chance?
Well, the only way it would make sense is if is if he No.
Even Even Msad wouldn't take that chance.
There's nobody who would take that chance.
So, I'm going to say hard no on the possibility that Israel was in any way involved.
And on top of that, the worst plan I could ever imagine is to try to control some crazy trans guy and or transloving guy in Utah.
It you wouldn't have you just wouldn't have the control over the situation that you needed, you know, and yeah, there there's none of that sounds convincing to me.
Um, all right.
Conor Mc.
Gregor announced he's going to withdraw from his plans to run for Irish president.
Um I think that has more to do with the fact that he can't get through the nomination process.
Uh Ireland has some kind of nomination process that does not involve voters.
So I guess it's the I don't know the details, but it doesn't involve voting.
So he would have to get other people who were already in the government to nominate him.
It looks like that's not going to happen.
So, he's out.
It's too bad.
That would have been fun to watch to see if he could make it all the way.
Um, I I think this is new news, but the AP is saying that Ukraine drones, they created fire at one of Russia's top refineries.
They've attacked that one before, but did minor damage before.
They might have did more now.
Now, part of the story um by the AP is that there are in fact gas shortage in Russia and that Russia has paused gasoline exports.
I don't know how much gas they exported versus, you know, oil, but uh but they've paused gasoline exports um with officials declaring a full ban until September 30th.
Uh huh.
Now, do you think that Ukraine has a workable strategy?
At least, you know, not to win the war and conquer Russia, but do they have a workable strategy to Russia to the point where Russia will make a peace deal that could last?
I would I wouldn't bet on it.
So, if you said, you know, guntohead, would you bet that the Ukrainian strategy will work?
I wouldn't.
I'd probably bet against it, but it's not impossible.
Um, I feel like if they're already experiencing gas shortages, it feels like they may getting be getting very close to turning Russia into not the economy that they thought they used to be.
And and I don't think you have to destroy the whole economy to get them to talk peace.
If you took 20% I'll just pick a number.
If you could knock down their uh their energy production by 20%.
And it looks like you could keep doing it like like you could never go above that.
You just keep bombing stuff.
You wouldn't have to get 80%.
20% would probably get you a peace deal.
Can they get there?
Do you think they can degrade?
And again, I'm just picking a number that feels about right.
Do you think that Ukraine could take out 20% of uh Russia's because they can reach anything now?
They're they're going a,000 miles into uh into Russia.
I feel like that's doable 20%.
And that would be enough to get them to the table.
Now, would Russia ramp up the uh destruction that they're giving Ukraine?
Probably.
But I also wonder if maybe Ukraine, having been battered so badly and having so many friends around them, I wonder if Ukraine would be in a better position to weather the destruction of their energy platforms.
You know, would would Europe and the US just step up and say, "All right, well, you you took out all of their domestic oil, but we got oil, so make sure they have oil." I don't know.
But if it's true that Ukraine could handle destruction of their energy resources better or or maybe they're willing to just take a bigger hit, you know, may maybe Ukraine could handle losing half of their energy.
I'm just picking numbers for argument here.
Maybe they could handle half, which would be really, really hard, but they have lots of friends, you know, maybe the friends could make up the difference.
Would Russia have enough friends, China, North Korea, Iran?
Would they have enough friends that if they lost 20% of their energy, they could find a way to make it up?
I don't know.
So, I think there's some chance, obviously, I'm no military or energy expert, but just watching from the sidelines, I would say there's some chance that this will get Russia to the table.
We'll see.
All right, ladies and gentlemen, that is my prepared show for today.
Uh I'm going to talk to the local subscribers, the beloved, beloved, beloved local subscribers.
And uh that'll be private.
So in 30 seconds, I'll disappear.
But for the rest of you, thanks for coming.
I hope you come again tomorrow.
You learn so much, don't you?
Yeah.
Bye for now.
Stock market is a little flat, but Tesla
is up over 7%. We'll talk about that a
little bit today.
Let's get your comments going. Hey
everybody, come on in. Grab a seat. Make
sure you've got a delicious beverage.
You're going to need it.
It's good for hydration, too.
So many benefits of a beverage.
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So, do you all remember how much I was
slurring my words for about the last
five months?
Mostly, I think that was painkillers. I
think um but I've been off the
painkillers now for number of weeks,
couple months actually. And for the
first time, I'm feeling that my voice
has returned.
Wow. Whatever those painkillers do,
they're they're pretty brutal. They
didn't help with pain at all, but they
made me stupid and slur.
I almost had to quit podcasting cuz I
just sounded like a drunk all the time.
Anyway, enough about that. Let's talk
about the news. So, you know, the AI
company Perplexity,
now they're being sued. They've been
sued about other stuff, copyright stuff,
but now Mariam Webster is suing them
because apparently they surface
definitions that look like they came
from Miam Webster's IP.
So, they're going to have to deal with
that. And apparently, the lawyers used
the word plagiarize to make their point.
So they showed the definition on Miriam
Webster of the word plagiarize and then
they showed how it's defined in
perplexity.
Same way
that's pretty that's pretty fun
lawyering using the word uh plagiarism
as your example.
Well, you've heard that uh one of the
best uses for AI is writing code. And
now I'm I'm getting different opinions.
I saw somebody say online today on X
that they used to have to supervise a
bunch of Indian programmers which is
kind of hard because of the time
difference and language and all that
sometimes language. Um,
but other uh coders say that there are
lot too many examples where somebody
relied on AI and it created garbage that
they didn't know was garbage and until
it was kind of too late. So apparently
if you're not an expert at writing the
super prompts and if you don't check
every line of code that AI writes, it
really doesn't work.
some say, but then others say, "Oh,
yeah, somebody this today said, oh, I I
did a 50hour project in 5 hours." So, I
don't know what's going on here, but
there must be certain kinds of, if I if
I had to guess, if it's a type of
program that has existed before, maybe
it does pretty well. But what if it's a
program that you've invented in your
mind or it's your assignment and
nobody's ever written it before? Can AI
do that?
I don't know. I don't know. So, you
know, I'm the uh resident AI skeptic
that I don't think it will change the
world as fast and in the way that people
assume. It's just not going to take that
many jobs. I just don't think it's going
to work that well. I don't know that the
robots will do the manual labor, you
know, unless they're dedicated robots.
They're, you know, just for industry.
That might that might happen. But no
generic robots. I just don't see it
happening. and coding. I had thought to
myself
um that if I were to stop doing this
podcasting, I might be tempted to spend
all my day learning to code because if
you add AI to your, you know, modest
skills, you could theoretically get a
lot done and then you maybe invent an
app or something. But I thought maybe I
can never get there because somebody
also who knew a lot today said that uh
you have to be really really
knowledgeable even to catch AI's
mistakes and to know how to give it a
prompt. So we don't seem really close to
getting rid of programmers.
We It looks like there'll be pockets
where AI makes a really big difference,
but in general, you're going to need
somebody who really knows what they're
doing or else it's useless.
Well, Elon Musk seems to be making all
the right moves with Tesla lately now
that he's out of politics. So, one of my
predictions that I kept in my head, I I
feel like I did not say this out loud,
but maybe you can remind me if I ever
said this out loud.
People have really short memories.
And I assumed that if uh Elon Musk ever
left politics and just said, "All right,
I'm going to work on my my companies
again." the people would get over it and
all of their hatred for Elon would get
go away and I thought in a matter of
months.
Well,
well, Tesla shares have reached uh all
the way back to I think above where they
were before they took a dump when uh
Elon got into politics. We've got the
the robotoax. The robo taxi is in
operation and expanding. We've got full
self-driving. Uh we've got apparently
the numbers are pretty good. Um I was
looking at a post by Nick Cruz Pantain
Patane. He has this um there are more
affordable models coming. He's got his
pay packages in place. But here's the
best part.
This this is pure Elon Musk. He just
bought it allegedly. Uh although Grock
says it's not true, but I think Grock
might be a little behind. So I'll I'll
take a fact check on this if this turns
out to be fake news. But um I did see
that Elon allegedly bought a billion
dollars of Tesla shares on Friday.
Now that would be sort of an unusual
thing to do. um you know it's not sort
of the the time when people would buy a
billion dollars of their stock. More
likely
this is the time when people would be
pruning their stock and using the money
for something else. But he put a billion
dollars into Tesla.
Now why would he do that? Well he said
he said repeatedly that the stock could
go up by 10x
10 times.
He obviously believes this is really
going to happen, you know, with robots
and self-driving cars and stuff. And so
his billion dollars probably will make
him $10 billion.
So he made one trade.
It's probably worth $10 billion in a few
years. So anyway, in case you don't
know, I do own some Tesla stock. So when
I talk about the stock price and the the
future of Tesla, you should know that I
have a monetary incentive. I don't think
it's affecting what I say, but you know,
people are biased people. So in all
likelihood, it's biasing what I say
about Tesla. Um, I saw a post
from an ex user, Ryan Lungquist,
who uh showed a picture where he turned
his his garage into a pub, kind of a pub
hangout place for the neighbors um with
a pool table in the middle and, you
know, all kinds of cool barlike
decorations in the wall and stuff. And
uh he said, "I had some people over last
night to play pool in my garage. One of
the best things I ever did was create a
space that's easy to invite people to.
Um, and it looks like it's working. And
I thought to myself,
that feels like the most comfortable way
you could ever get together. What What
would be more comfortable than being on
your own neighborhood and the the garage
is open so you don't have to wonder what
it looks like in there? You know, I'm
I'm always a little hesitant to go into
a house behind a closed door because you
can't see what's in there until you're
in there, and then you might be stuck.
You might be stuck with people you don't
want to be with or something. But if the
garage is open,
if the weather's good, uh, and you could
say your friends are in there, you would
you would just be drawn in. I mean, the
the door is open. Why wouldn't you? So,
I love that idea. I'd love to see that
become a thing. You know, it would ruin
your garage and then there would be cars
parked where you don't want them. But I
like the man cave idea that's open to
the the street. Kind of cool.
Well, the Wall Street Journal tells us
that the reason our government data is
so bad
uh is that people are not responding to
surveys as much as they did. So whenever
the government says did you get a job or
not get a job or whatever they're
surveying uh they get the wrong answer
because the people are they're just not
answering at least and the and so that
doesn't give you a representative sample
if people don't respond.
So that's why all your government data
looks a little extra hanky lately. It
might not be entirely because people
are, you know, lying weasels and and
they're trying to manipulate the
numbers. It might be that they're lying
weasels who don't know how to get the
right number. They just don't have a
mechanism and they don't want you to
think they're useless because they would
get fired.
If somebody said to their boss, "All
right, here's the deal. We can't get the
numbers you need and there's no way to
fix it because people don't respond to
surveys and there's not any other way to
do it. So what would your boss say? All
right, I think I'll keep paying you and
putting out these bad numbers.
Well, not in the long run. In the long
run, you don't pay somebody to produce
numbers you know are wildly wrong. So,
it's hard for the employee to ever say,
"Yeah, you know, maybe maybe you
shouldn't be using this sketchy these
sketchy numbers. They're always wrong."
But remember what I say, all data is
fake.
Now, is that literally true? No. Not
for, let's say, some engineer is
measuring something before making a
decision. That's probably true. You
know, they probably got the right data.
if it's, you know, just some engineer
measuring something. But for anything
that's big and complicated and national
and important in scope, that's all fake.
It's all fake all the time. Every time.
And that's that's probably the single
hardest thing that I could ever convince
somebody is reality. That all data that
matters. You know, the big stuff is all
fake. And there are reasons for that. I
mean, you could go through the reasons.
There's always somebody who can make
money from it. In this case, the data
wasn't even available. There's always a
reason, but all all data of anything
important is fake.
Did you know RFK Jr., I guess, said at
uh I believe he was at Charlie Kirk's uh
vigil. There were lots of them around
the country, and he was at the one at
the Kennedy Center. and uh he revealed
that Charlie Kirk was what he called the
primary architect of putting RFK Jr.
together with President Trump.
Are you having the same reaction that
I'm having when you hear that? Wait a
minute. If Charlie Kirk had never done
anything else in his life, if he'd never
done a single thing in his life but that
one thing, he he was the architect and I
think that's the right the right word,
an architect to put RFK Jr. into a
productive super important role
and have President Trump be comfortable
with it
if that's the only thing he ever did.
Now, of course, it's early or if Gay
Junior soft has to come through and, you
know, produce the goods, but I think he
will. I think he will. Um, that's one of
the biggest
accomplishments
in the world.
Let me say that again. Putting RFK Jr.
and Trump together and making it work.
If Charlie did that, that's one of the
biggest accomplishments
in the world. And he got there honestly
by being the person who would talk to
everybody. So everybody would talk to
Charlie. Didn't matter what side you
were on because he was friendly and
great networker, etc. It wasn't an
accident that he was in a position to
make that happen. That was all just a
accumulation of skill until he was in a
position to do that. Now we're I think
we're finding out all kinds of things
that he advised behind the scenes that
were really really really
important to the country.
So I think we're all just being wowed by
his legacy as it emerges and we're we're
learning new stuff about it. Wow.
That I mean all you can say about that
is wow. That's all from one person.
Uh I don't I don't know if this is new,
but I saw a clip of uh Bill Maher
praising the rights willingness to
engage in dialogue. Uh actually, it is
new. It's after Charlie Kirk's
assassination. Um I should tell you that
there are two accounts that I enjoy
especially following because they
summarize the news and that's really
useful. So Jason Cohen um is a great
follow on X if you want to get summaries
of all the good news stuff makes it easy
and Mario and Noel I've mentioned before
but Jason Cohen you probably want to
follow him if you if you want to know
the latest anyway so he write so he had
that clip Jason did so Bill Maher was
right and here's what he said so Bill
Maher said Charlie Kirk was a guy who
was always talking and I talked to him
here the right-wingers say what you want
about them, but they talk to you.
Now, this is one of Bill Maher's best
contributions
to political discourse. He has gone into
the belly of the beast, so to speak,
because he talked to Trump. And although
they don't agree on everything, of
course, he just found out, oh, wait,
he's not Hillary. He's he's actually
really really just fun to be with. And
then he then he hangs out with Charlie
Kirk on his on his other show and he
comes away saying, "Huh, he's totally
open to talking about anything." And so
the fact that he's had that experience
and he's willing to take some chance
with his audience to just say that
that's that's his observed truth, really
useful. Really useful. It's one of the
best things he's ever done. Um, but he
says the left really has much more of a
I don't talk to you, I don't want to
deal with you. You're deplorable, I
can't break bread with you attitude. All
the right-wingers, they don't have that
attitude.
Can you believe that? He said all the
right-wingers,
he said, all the right-wingers
will talk to you. As far as I can tell,
that's true. Can you think of any
exception? Can you think of anybody who
would say, "I won't talk to you." I've
never seen that. Never seen it. My
experience with the left is the same as
yours. They don't want to talk to you.
They want to talk over you and they want
to make sure you don't talk. Why do they
do that?
I believe and and this this might sound
like I'm, you know, hyperbole or, you
know, I'm exaggerating to make a point
or something like that. I'm not. So, the
following is dead serious.
I believe that they know that their
opinions can't be supported.
I believe they know their arguments
don't hold together. I believe they know
that. And probably the reason they know
that is most people rehearse their
arguments in their head, you know, so at
least you know what you would have said
if somebody asked you. And I think that
they know on some level they can't
support their views and so they um they
go the other way. They make sure that
you can't talk and that you're you're
cancelled if you do. And uh once once I
think uh people understand that the
Democrats are an anti-talking
um it's easier to kill you than it is to
change your mind kind of a group. That
will be probably about the time that the
entire uh Democrat party dissolves. Now,
it'll come back. It I'm sure it'll come
back. We need two parties, but the
Democrat party is teetering on the edge
of something like a total collapse
because the moral bankrupt uh element of
it is kind of hard for anybody to ignore
at this point.
Yeah. The left doesn't talk, it talks
over. Now, by the way, that's a really
good frame to put out there. The left
doesn't talk, they talk over you. The
reason is that if you say that and then
you get into a debate with a leftist and
they start talking over you, which they
will u with the exception, by the way,
of Jenk,
but one of the reasons I like Jenk, uh,
Wager, I think it's pronounced. I never
know how to pronounce his last name, but
Jenk um is fabulous
in letting you talk and doesn't like to
be interrupted if if you interrupt him.
And I appreciate that as well. But um
even though I quite often disagree with
Jenk, um I've had two, you know, online
conversations with him. He does not
interrupt. He does not. And when you see
that, it automatically infers some
credibility to his point of view. Um,
and I think he's just sensational in the
showing you how to do this. Uh, all
right. I know you have your problems
with Jenk, but uh,
he's he's good on free speech. Really
good.
Well, you're not surprised that 23 and
me, the company that was taking your DNA
and telling you all about yourself,
they're going out of business, but they
sold your DNA.
Oh my god. They sold it or gave it to a
nonprofit that the founder of the
company apparently is involved with. So,
how many of you use 23 and me with the
assumption that, well,
there's no way they're going to sell my
DNA to somebody without permission?
Well, whatever was your worstc case
assumption about your privacy of your
DNA? Well, here it is. Your worst case
scenario. It's apparently just available
for anybody who wants it. Um, now that's
too far. is not available for anybody
who wants it, but it's definitely not
protected. Definitely not protected.
Now, I will confess that I used 23 and
me and like anybody who's paying
attention, I was completely aware that
my DNA would not be private ever again.
I didn't care. I I suspect it's unlikely
that that will ever matter to me. I
don't prefer it. It's not my first
choice. I'd rather that they that nobody
had access to my DNA unless I let them.
But I don't really expect a problem. I
mean, what would it be? Somebody makes a
special poison that only works on me or
something like that. I mean, what are
the odds? So,
um, we can agree that if we had a
choice, we would not have this happen.
but probably not the biggest problem in
in the world. Um,
all right. I continue to be amazed and
baffled by the following.
How many of you say that since the
pandemic there's an obvious uptick in
turbo cancers? How many think that's a
true statement? Since the pandemic,
there is a uh obvious confirmed
uh major uptick in cancers.
True. True or false? What do you say?
The answer is
trueish.
So, here's how you get two movies on one
screen. How can it be both true and
false? It is. It's both true and false.
I remember the way I worded the question
was is there a major uptick in cancer
since the pandemic? That is confirmed
mostly in the young apparently. So the
young are having an especially tough
time and oncologists are seeing lots of
the young come in with cancers that
sometimes they've never seen. So the
young have a big uptick in cancer. So
therefore, it's true that there's a big
uptick in cancer since the pandemic and
therefore logically it's either from the
vaccinations
or it's from the co itself
but you believe it's from the
vaccinations.
All right. How how can it be true that
there's a big uptick in children getting
rare cancers? That part is true. but
also not true that it had anything to do
with the pandemic. How could both of
those be true? There's a big uptick
since the pandemic,
but the pandemic is not blamed for the
uptick. Do you believe that?
Here's how you could believe it. I don't
know what's true here. I really don't
know what's true, but the claim is that
the uptick is a continuing trend from
well before the pandemic. So in other
words, if you graphed it, you would
indeed see an a super alarming increase
in young people with cancer, but it
started so far before the pandemic, like
years before that it's just a
continuation of a straight line. So
given that the trend was already well
established and all we're seeing is that
the continuation of the trend, it does
not
um give you any confirmation that the
pandemic itself was much of a cause of
it. Now there was a decrease because
there was fewer people going to the
doctor. So decrease in just spotting the
cancer and then there was increase in
cancer because the people had not been
treated because of the pandemic. But
that was a brief effect. If you look at
the long-term trend, uh apparently
there's a lot more of it cancer, but it
doesn't seem to have a,
you know, confirmed
um confirmed uh, you know, connection to
the pandemic. Now, I'm not going to ask
you to believe me. You know why? All
data is fake.
All data is fake. Do you think you can
rely on that data to know what's going
on? I don't I don't I don't. But there
are some things that um there at one
point you may have thought was true and
I wonder if you still do. How many of
you believe that during the pandemic
healthy young athletes were dropping
dead on the field? How many how many of
you thought that was true? I'm pretty
sure that's debunked. There's no
evidence that anything like that ever
happened. But for a while,
I think almost everybody I knew thought
it was happening. I I doubted it from
the beginning. Um
under the theory that if that were
happening, these sports teams would not
be able to stop talking about it. I
mean, they would know, but they weren't.
They were acting like nothing was
happening. So I thought, hm, how could
all these healthy athletes be dropping
dead and yet the the people who own the
sports teams,
they they're acting like nothing's
happening. So that's when I suspected
that that was maybe not true. And so
far, no evidence that that was ever
true.
What about the stories about the um the
autopsies
that showed that people had all this
coagulated blood that's totally
unnatural? How many of you thought that
was true? Probably still do, right? How
many think that the the um the I'm
sorry, the morticians when they're
preparing the body, how many of you
think they're seeing uh unnatural
blood?
That's not true. That's not happening.
Yeah. Apparently the reality beyond that
is that it's normal and well understood
that sometimes dead people have that
coagulated blood and there's nothing
really that changed. Now that's what I
believe to be true. So it's always
useful to look at how many things you
once thought were true that now there's
no evidence they were ever true.
Now could I be wrong about one of those
things? Absolutely. Could I be wrong
about everything
um in terms of the risks? Absolutely.
Because there's no data that I would
trust to set me straight or to confirm
that I was right. There's no data I
trust about the pandemic.
But it is fascinating that such obvious
questions we don't really know. Don't
really know even now.
All right.
Um,
let's see.
So, there was a New Jersey nurse that
got suspended for calling out a doctor
who had been cheering after Charlie
Kirk's death. Fox News was reporting on
that. So instead of the doctor being
released for bad behavior of cheering
the death of a human being, seems very
undoly.
Seems like the worst thing a doctor
could do in his spare time. Um
they're apparently going to suspend the
nurse without pay. Terrific. Terrific
there. Great job, guys.
Well,
I I think somebody besides me has
probably mentioned this. Maybe you
haven't heard it yet, but do you really
believe that only the left cheers about
bad things happening to people?
Cuz I don't live in that world. Do you
remember Paul Pelosi and the hammer
attack?
Did anybody on the right make fun of
that? what was really
a terrible thing. I mean, just terrible.
Imagine Paul Pelosi now he's got to live
with probably some permanent parts of
the injury. I believe he had to he has
to think about that. He has to be in a
house where that happened. So, he'll
think about it every day. He I mean,
that was terrible.
But did any people on the right laugh
about it? Yeah, even Trump did. Trump
did a joke about uh Pelosi is what she
call him a she called that guy the
homeless hammer guy. Homeless hammer
guy. Yeah, even Trump did. So,
um I'm going to say two things that
sound like they're contradictory, but
I'll tell you they're not. One is I
don't think either side has the monopoly
on, you know, cheering for people that
they think are monsters having a bad
day, even if they're not a monster. I
mean, I don't have a particular problem
with Paul Pelosi. Um,
so I don't I don't think there's any
moral superiority going on, but what
there is is a lot of payback and a lot
of what I call mutually assured
destruction. So, the right is having a
good old time cancelling as many of the
Charlie Kirk haters who who made the
mistake of going public with their
cheering. And I'm all for that. I'm all
for it. Not because the right is morally
superior,
but because,
you know, once cancelling becomes a
thing, you got to you got to cancel
back. Uh I just don't think there's
anything else you could do. Could it
make things worse? Might it escalate the
cancelling? Maybe. But I'll tell you
what you can't do is nothing. What you
can't do is nothing. And
um if it uh you know, if it changes the
balance of power, um I'd like to see
people getting cancelled for calling the
right Nazis or fascists.
You know, if we could take it to the
next level, that'd really be fun.
really be fun. So, I'm 100% in favor of
the cancelling
as cruel and you know tough as they are
because it needs to work both ways. You
you can't have the cancelling work in
one direction. Absolutely not.
Bad analogy.
Well, let me explain analogies since 75%
of the public doesn't know how an
analogy works. An analogy
does not try to make every element of
the analogy the same as the subject
you're talking about. Because if it were
the same in all the ways, it wouldn't be
an analogy. It would just be the same
thing.
And that wouldn't tell you anything.
So if you can find the part about the
Paul Pelosi that's the same, then you'll
know what I'm saying. But if you say,
"But Scott, you fool. There was no
hammer involved in the Charlie Kirk
thing, so your stupid analogy is
terrible."
No, an analogy is only focusing on one
part. In both cases, something had
happened to somebody on one side of the
political aisle and other people had fun
with it.
That is a valid point.
Don't don't give me but he was married
to a politician that's different. No no
you don't understand how analogies work.
Stop focusing on the part that are not
the point.
All right enough of that.
Um so Washington DC the mayor says that
the police will no longer cooperate with
ICE to get rid of illegal people in the
city. illegal migrants.
Um, and I believe I saw the the mayor of
Memphis
uh acting a little bit like he wasn't so
into having help. He he seems like he's
playing it both ways. It's like he's
against it because he's on the left, but
he's sort of in favor of it a little
bit. He's a little bit confusing. I
can't I can't get a read on the Memphis.
Um, but Trump says that he'll uh he'll
maybe declare a national
the hell was that cat? Uh, we'll declare
a national emergency and federalize DC
if he has to. Um, and I believe he
would. I believe he would actually carry
through with that.
All right. Um,
and now Trump is threatening on a true
social. He threatened uh the governor of
New York State who has now endorsed the
communist Zoran Mandami for New York
City mayor. And uh so Trump says um that
he doesn't like that she uh is endorsing
the communist as he would say. And then
he says no reason um we'll be wa we'll
be watching the situation closely. No
reason to be sending good money after
bad.
So, he's actually threatening that he
would withhold federal money from New
York State because the governor is
backing a communist for mayor. To which
I ask,
is that legal?
Can the federal government withhold
federal money that's been approved uh
because he doesn't like the politics of
one of the politicians or one or more of
them? That doesn't seem like something
that would pass through the courts, but
I don't know.
We'll see if it makes any difference.
So, the updates on the Tyler Robinson,
the
uh the shooter. You all know who that
is. Guy who assassinated Charlie Kirk.
He has not confessed and he's not
cooperating.
All right. Well, that's weird. Um, I
guess it doesn't matter if he confesses
or not. I mean, he might have a slightly
nonzero chance of, I don't know, saying
he was innocent and maybe somehow
getting off. I don't know. It seems
unlikely. But anyway, um,
one of the sub stories that is coming
out of this is that the governor of
Utah, that's Governor Cox, uh, is
becoming very high-profile. It's getting
a lot of attention. people having
positive and negative thoughts about
him. But uh so it's a story about a guy
who may or may not have been a little
bit trans sometime who was dating a
trans
um and uh it's being handled by Governor
Cox.
So all I notice is there are a lot of
in that one story.
Okay. Um,
I saw a post by coddled affluent
professional who noted, as I have noted
as well, that it seems like the climate
change hysteria has sort of magically
gone away. Have you all noticed that?
Remember, we used to be just inundated
with, oh, the climate's going to kill
you. You don't have much time left. You
better spend all your billions of
dollars.
um blah blah blah and uh cuddled
affluent professional said he had two
theories for why we're not hearing so
much about climate change hysteria.
Um one is that the climate hysteria was
astroturfed. In other words, maybe
billionaires were funding it and uh they
had some they had their own reasons, but
it wasn't because it was real. and
funding got pulled with Biden out. So,
it could be that the people who were
looking to make gigantic amounts of
money by convincing you that the green
stuff, well, not the green stuff, but
more the climate hysteria was real. Um,
they don't have any money to make
because the the money's been getting
dried up. So instead of saying, "Oh,
it's worse than it was before," because
now we still have the climate emergency,
but can you believe it? The money to
address it has been taken away. So now
it's way worse, right? So if the funding
had been taken away, shouldn't there be
more complaining about the emergency?
Not less.
Unless
the degree of complaining was directly
related to how much important people
thought they could make in terms of
getting funding from the government.
That's a pretty good theory. I don't
know if it's true, but
another one is there's so much money to
be made in AI that no one wants to
criticize the energy industry anymore
because if you go hard on climate change
and clamp down on, let's say, fossil
fuels, we would kill our AI industry.
But is the AI industry the same as
whoever might be funding and talking
about and worrying about and
astroturfing the climate change? I feel
like those worlds
overlap but not in an important enough
way. So I don't know about that. The
other possibility, I think Mike Servich
mentioned this, is that now that Greta
Tunberg is a uh I guess she's a
Palestinian supporter, Hamas supporter,
whichever way you want to go on that.
Um, so she's off the board as if it
never mattered. You have to wonder why
would Greta
go from this is the biggest problem in
the world to another problem that of
course you know is is dire and and
drastic and uh it's a huge tragedy but
it's also just a tiny little part of the
world. How do you go from climate change
will kill us all, billions of people, to
well, now I'm only going to pay
attention to this little tiny little
tiny piece of the world. So, it kind of
makes it look like she's just sort of
into causes and not so much into
worrying about climate change. It makes
it look like she didn't mean it. I can't
can't read her mind. But when you change
from the biggest problem in the whole
globe to a little tiny problem in one
part of the world, it's hard to take you
seriously what you said about the big
problem. You'd still be working on it.
Somebody else said in the comments that
climate change was always a luxury
belief in Europe, but Europe is having
financial problems.
So, is it really the biggest problem in
the world if the first thing you do when
you have financial problems is you stop
paying paying for it?
That doesn't really match the biggest
problem in the world, does it? It kind
of puts a lie to it. It's like, wait a
minute. As soon as money gets tight,
that's the first thing that gets
unfunded. The biggest problem in the
world. Now, I realize there's a timing
difference, but even so, it feels like
not being taken seriously.
And then
um
uh I'm going to give you the Scott take
on this. My take is that the reason it's
no longer a hysteria, climate change, is
that the data has been so not
cooperating now for several years.
And we don't have we just don't have the
signs that they promised us. Has it not
been
how many years have we been told that
the water level is going up and it
didn't? This year again the number of
name storms is down instead of up. Um
the number of uh you know lives lost to
uh climate disasters down.
So, pretty much everything from the
coral has recovered. Uh, the ice, it's a
little it's a little unknown, but it
doesn't look like it's melting as fast
as they said. Um, and
let me let me summarize that for you.
All data is fake.
The entire climate change thing was
based on data, right? Do you think any
of that data was real?
I didn't. I never believed that they
could measure the temperature of the
Earth
well enough to know how it's changing
from year to year. No. No. In the real
world, that's not something humans can
do. It's just too hard. No, we don't
have like a new technology. We've got a
bunch of thermometers that we put in
different places around the Earth. Yeah,
they're in structures, but of course
there are heat islands and you know they
replace them and sometimes they guess
what it would have been if it used to be
there but it isn't. I mean it's just a
mess.
So
climate change I'm not expecting to make
a big comeback but I could be wrong.
According to Bank of America, 26% of US
workers sought financial help in 2025,
which would be up from 13% in 2023.
Uh, I don't know what that means exactly
to seek financial help. Does that mean
they couldn't pay their bills?
Does that mean that they applied for a
credit card? Would that be seeking
financial help? So, I don't know what
that means, but if it were true that 25%
of workers didn't have a way to meet
their bills,
which I hate to say it, but that feels
like that might be about right, you
know, based on my lived experience. I
don't see many people who can pay their
bills. Do you?
By that I mean, you know, obviously I
know some rich people who can pay their
bills, but the people who are not, you
know, legitimately rich,
they don't really have any plan to ever
be able to pay their bills, you know, in
the long run, their expenses are way
more than their earning potential. It
seems like there's a lot of them. And if
you told me that it's up to 25%, I would
say I'm not that surprised. But I would
uh tell you again, I don't know if I
mentioned this, but all data is fake.
And that might be fake data. Meaning
that whatever they mean by seeking
financial help, who knows what that
means.
Well, there have been a bunch of China
negotiations. I think Rubio is doing it.
And Trump is happy about the outcome. So
I guess those talks are over. Trump is
planning to speak to President Xi of
China on Friday
and uh
there Trump is uh teasing that they have
a tick tock deal. Now, do you believe
that China agreed to a tick- tock deal
that that Trump would be happy with uh
without agreeing to the overall trade
deal?
Why would they do that?
Why would they give that up unless they
had gotten everything they could get
from the larger trade deal?
Does that sound Does it sound to you
likely that he's got a tick tock feel?
To me, it feels like President Xi is is
playing, you know, Lucy with the
football. I feel like she's setting him
up. I don't think there's going to be a
deal. I don't think there's going to be
a deal. And I think it will just
embarrass Trump because he'll get a
little over his skis and he'll brag that
he got a deal. And then
something will come up as in China will
say, "Well, we did think we had a deal,
but then then you did that thing we
didn't like and well, I guess the deal's
off." So, I feel like it's a trick. I
don't trust it at all. I would love to
be wrong, but I I'm going to I'm going
to put a stake in the ground that says I
don't believe that China would give that
up unless they had already gotten
everything they wanted in a trade deal
and the trade deal's not done. So, I
don't know. But, uh, Trump must think
that he's pretty close on the larger
trade deal issues or he probably
wouldn't be planning a phone call. I
don't know. We'll see.
Well, the White House has asked for $58
million more for security that I think
would include for Congress. And I think
we'd all agree that we're in a world
where we need more security, but um it's
terrible that we need a tragedy to get
funding for things that we need, but
that's not our world.
Um, apparently the FBI is investigating
uh some far-left groups in Utah that
might have been involved, they think,
might have been, don't know, with the
planning or at least knowledge of the
Charlie Kirk um assassination. And
apparently there's a Utah based
transmission group
called Armed Queers of Salt Lake City.
And they trained people to use weapons
to defend trans rights. But apparently
they deleted their account the day
Charlie Kirk was killed.
The day he was killed.
So do I have this wrong? That the day
that Charlie was killed, we had no idea
that trans was involved in any way.
Right? On day one, we didn't know
anything about trans.
So, if the Utah based group thought they
needed to get rid of their account
because they didn't want maybe to be
dragged into it, why would they think
they would be dragged into it? Or why
why would they think that that was a
good day to delete it? Unless
they thought the trans thing would come
out and they already knew more than the
FBI knew. So, I would say that's pretty
suspicious.
So, we'll find out. Uh, like most of
you, I think it's nearly impossible to
imagine that at least the the what do
you call it? The romantic partner trans
uh of the shooter. At least the romantic
partner knew the plan. Don't you think?
It's hard for me to imagine that they
operated alone and you know nobody knew.
So I guess we'll find out. So the UK and
the US are going to do some big nuclear
energy deal with each other and BBC is
reporting on this and it's uh supposed
to generate thousands of jobs in Britain
and um I I guess we would be providing
some expertise.
I don't know what else we provide some
technology and expertise. Um, but my
question is how does the United States
have extra anything for the the nuclear
world? Now, if we did have extras
anything, then probably makes perfect
sense that Great Britain gets the
benefit of some of that good ally. But
my understanding of the the nuclear
energy expertise in the United States is
that it's way way
uh underp populated because there have
been so many years where we're sort of
out of that business
or if you're talking about you know
maybe startups or new ways of doing
things maybe it doesn't matter how many
there used to be because they wouldn't
have the right training anyway. So, are
we are we training these great engineers
and stuff from scratch and getting
enough for our internal use? So many we
have so many now that it makes sense for
us to share
those people. I have questions. I'm not
sure this is a good idea for the United
States, but might be.
Well, also in Utah, a man named Adib
Nasir has been arrested and charged with
uh weapons of mass destruction. So,
apparently he was in possession of
weapons of mass destruction. Now, since
I assume he did not build a nuclear
bomb, what would be the weapon of mass
destruction?
Poison, right? Some kind of chemical.
So, there's some bastard in Utah that
had probably
the chemicals to take out a city.
Well, they got him. And my question is
when I see a story like this, how many
things does the FBI stop?
You know, there the only thing I can
understand why there there haven't been,
you know, gigantic wave of terrorist
attacks like once a week in the United
States. The only thing I can figure, the
only way that makes sense given that we
know how many people have the capability
and the desire to blow things up in the
US, the fact that it doesn't happen
almost every day
suggests that the FBI or some
intelligence agency has so much control
over communication in this country that
they catch every one of them. Is that
possible? Are we catching every one of
them? Because if they talk about these
things, we've got some kind of program
that sniffs every single communication
and says, "Well, that's a little
sketchy. Let me tell the FBI about
that." I I can't think of any other
reason
that we would have relatively so little
terrorism on the homeland because we're
stopping it before it happens. How are
we doing that? Like, how do you get them
all? There's no other crime in which we
catch everybody, you know. So, it it's
got to be some kind of, you know,
massive surveillance that catches every
mention of uh explosives or weapons of
mass destruction.
So the other possibility, the only other
way I can explain it is that it's fake
to imagine that there's a terrorist risk
and that they're so rare that if you did
absolutely nothing to try to stop them,
you'd have about the same number. Is
that possible? You know, you'd only have
a big one every 24 years or something.
Maybe that's just the rate
that would be the most and the least. It
just it could be that there's nothing
that really changes that. I don't know.
Well, here's some uh math to blow your
mind. Uh Owen Gregorian did a little
math and uh did you know that Turning
Point USA so that was Charlie Kirk's
organization had around 21 chapters 2100
chapters
and uh that represented about a quarter
million students that were associated
with Turning Point USA. That's a lot.
Quarter million 2100 chapters. Does that
seem like a lot? 2100 chapters.
Well, it's not a lot because apparently
since the assassination there have been
32,000 requests for new chapters
from 2100
to 32,000
requests for information about becoming
a chapter.
2100
to 32,000.
Now, that's the kirking that we're all
feeling. There is an amount of energy
being released that we don't fully
appreciate yet.
Um, and uh, so Owen does some math and
he says based on the previous numbers,
if 2100 gets you quarter million
students, uh, then if you went to
32,000, you'd end up with something like
4 million members.
Well, what if that happens? What What if
Turning Point USA ends up with 4 million
young people?
That changes
just about everything.
So again, if you if you think you
understand the impact of uh Charlie
Kirk,
you you have to give him some amount of
credit for Make America Healthy Again,
right? And uh you'd have to give him
credit for the Turning Point
organization both before and after his
his death.
These are enormous
just enormous contributions to the the
body politic.
Um
Trump is according to Newsmax is uh
adjusting his stance on what kind of
workers to let in the country. And uh
you remember the story about the South
Korean battery factory in Georgia that
uh it was discovered that most of the
employees were from South Korea. So the
whole reason that we as ask uh other
countries to build things in our country
is so that the jobs go to Americans. But
they beat the system by building in the
US to get all the benefits of doing
that. And then they shipped in employees
from South Korea because there really
weren't that many people who would know
how to work in a battery factory in the
US. So that they probably didn't have
the option of hiring locally anyway. So
they just had to do what they had to do.
But uh so I believe that they decided to
pack up their factory and go back to
South Korea. I I heard that. I'm not
positive. But uh Trump is now saying
that well maybe we should let skilled
people come in for a situation like
this. But they would have to do it
temporarily until they had trained up
enough Americans to do the jobs that you
know maybe the trained people from
another country started out in to which
I don't know how practical that is.
would if you were a trained person from
another country and they said, "Hey, we
want you to relocate to the United
States but only for three years because
your job is to train Americans to take
your job."
I don't know. Is anybody going to take
that job?
Maybe if you pay him enough.
Um
there's a post by Joel Pollock that uh
Netanyahu did a joint presser with uh
Rubio and this is an interesting quote
from Netanyahu. He said weak governments
are putting pressure on us Israel
because they are collapsing under the
pressure of Islamist minorities.
that European countries are collapsing
under the pressure of Islamist
minorities.
Well, it sounds like we're naming the
problem now. Um, but on the plus side,
if you want to, you know, I like to look
on the the positive side. On the
positive side, there's no real risk that
Russia will want to conquer Europe if
Europe becomes Islamic because there's
no way that Putin wants more of that
business.
So, um,
at some point there's going to have to
be some reckoning with the fact that we
can't combine Oh, we'll see if I get
cancelled forever for saying this. Um,
I like Islamic people.
I like Muslims as long as they're, you
know, peaceful and they're part of the
program. Um,
but there's no way that the system that
comes necessarily with large Islamic
populations, there's no way that the
system and the beliefs and the
preferences can be assimilated into the
United States kind of a, you know,
constitutional
free everything. You can't really
combine them. And we're not taking that
seriously because we're locked into the
model that hey people are people. Yeah,
people are people but systems are not
systems.
So if the only thing that was happening
is hey just some different people. You
know why would you discriminate against
Muslims when you know everybody else is
coming in? You got your Hispanics, you
got your Africans, you got your Asians
coming in. You know, why would you
discriminate against one group? The
answer is you're not discriminating
against the people that would be
not really the American way. But we
could absolutely discriminate against
the system if the system would destroy
our system and our system we like. So,
um
yeah, maybe maybe that's the reframe.
The reframe is we can't bring in anybody
who's part of a system. Now, would that
be wild? Well, we're already denying
people entry into the country because of
their opinion about Charlie Kirk. That's
happening, right? We're looking for
people who wanted to be in this country,
have visas, but may have said something
in social media celebrating the demise
of Charlie Kirk. Those people are going
to be shipped home, and nobody's going
to miss them. But that's even
individuals.
Well, I'm not even talking about
individuals. I'm just saying, are you
part of this system? You know, do you
prefer that we would be Sharia law
instead of our regular constitution?
That's got to be a hard no for
immigration. If if somebody says, you
know, all things being equal,
if I can get it, I'd rather Sharia law.
If you say those words, and I believe,
weirdly, I believe most people would
answer honestly and they say, "Yeah, I
prefer Sharia." Um, there's no way you
should be allowed in the country. That
that would be ridiculous because that
would just be asking for our own doom. I
think I think Europe is stupid enough
to not recognize the danger until it's
too late. I think we still have time.
Well, if you're on social media at all,
you know that there's a subconspiracy
theory that Israel is somehow part of
the Charlie Kirk assassination. Now, I
won't name names, but there are some
prominent podcasters who are kind of
putting that out there, not as a
conclusion, but as a well, you know, it
really looks like it, kind of feels like
it. Here's my take. There's no way in
the world that Netanyahu is seems to be
a master of risk management. Whatever
else you want to say about him, you
know, you you could be all mad at him
for any number of things, but you can't
deny that Netanyahu is brilliant and
specifically brilliant in knowing when
to take a risk and and when to set it
out for a while. That's his seemingly
his special skill. And you know, it's
impressive. The more you watch it, the
more the more you think, wow, he took
some risks and somehow he's making that
work. Uh, that's amazing. Do you believe
that Netanyahu
would take the risk of being caught
because we're good at catching murders?
You know, we're pretty good at catching
stuff. You know, if we put all of our
resources into it, we're pretty good at
it. Do you think he would take a chance
no matter what he thought was the
benefit of taking Charlie off the field?
Because there, you know, some cases I
think I think Charlie Kirk was not so
much in favor of attacking Iran, but I
don't know what else they might have
some disagreement with.
And Israel did say recently that they're
probably not done with Iran, so I don't
know what that means. But I see no way.
No way. No way. No way, no way that
somebody as smart as Netanyahu would
take a 0.00001%
chance
of getting caught assassinating a
beloved character in the United States.
So even if you say to yourself, "Oh, I
think they're evil enough." Or even if
you say, "Oh, I think there's an upside
for them to do it." It doesn't make
sense on a riskreward basis. the right
amount of risk to risk losing the United
States forever because that's what would
happen. They would lose the United
States forever. Do you think he's going
to take that chance?
Well, the only way it would make sense
is if is if he No. Even Even Msad
wouldn't take that chance. There's
nobody who would take that chance. So,
I'm going to say hard no on the
possibility that Israel was in any way
involved.
And on top of that, the worst plan I
could ever imagine is to try to control
some crazy trans guy and or transloving
guy in Utah. It you wouldn't have you
just wouldn't have the control over the
situation that you needed, you know, and
yeah, there there's none of that sounds
convincing to me. Um, all right. Conor
McGregor announced he's going to
withdraw from his plans to run for Irish
president. Um I think that has more to
do with the fact that he can't get
through the nomination process. Uh
Ireland has some kind of nomination
process that does not involve voters. So
I guess it's the I don't know the
details, but it doesn't involve voting.
So he would have to get other people who
were already in the government to
nominate him. It looks like that's not
going to happen. So, he's out.
It's too bad. That would have been fun
to watch to see if he could make it all
the way. Um,
I I think this is new news, but the AP
is saying that Ukraine drones, they
created fire at one of Russia's top
refineries. They've attacked that one
before, but did minor damage before.
They might have did more now. Now, part
of the story
um by the AP is that there are in fact
gas shortage in Russia
and that Russia has paused gasoline
exports.
I don't know how much gas they exported
versus, you know, oil, but uh but
they've paused gasoline exports
um with officials declaring a full ban
until September 30th.
Uh huh. Now,
do you think that Ukraine has a workable
strategy? At least, you know, not to win
the war and conquer Russia, but do they
have a workable strategy to
Russia to the point where Russia will
make a peace deal that could last?
I would I wouldn't bet on it. So, if you
said, you know, guntohead, would you bet
that the Ukrainian strategy will work? I
wouldn't. I'd probably bet against it,
but it's not impossible.
Um, I feel like if they're already
experiencing gas shortages, it feels
like they may getting be getting very
close to turning Russia into not the
economy that they thought they used to
be. And and I don't think you have to
destroy the whole economy to get them to
talk peace. If you took 20%
I'll just pick a number. If you could
knock down their uh their energy
production by 20%.
And it looks like you could keep doing
it like like you could never go above
that. You just keep bombing stuff. You
wouldn't have to get 80%.
20% would probably get you a peace deal.
Can they get there? Do you think they
can degrade? And again, I'm just picking
a number that feels about right. Do you
think that Ukraine could take out 20%
of uh Russia's because they can reach
anything now? They're they're going
a,000 miles into uh into Russia. I feel
like that's doable 20%. And that would
be enough to get them to the table. Now,
would Russia ramp up the uh destruction
that they're giving Ukraine? Probably.
But I also wonder if maybe Ukraine,
having been battered so badly and having
so many friends around them, I wonder if
Ukraine would be in a better position to
weather the destruction of their energy
platforms.
You know, would would Europe and the US
just step up and say, "All right, well,
you you took out all of their domestic
oil, but we got oil, so make sure they
have oil."
I don't know. But if it's true that
Ukraine could handle destruction of
their energy resources better or or
maybe they're willing to just take a
bigger hit, you know, may maybe Ukraine
could handle losing half of their
energy. I'm just picking numbers for
argument here. Maybe they could handle
half, which would be really, really
hard, but they have lots of friends, you
know, maybe the friends could make up
the difference. Would Russia have enough
friends, China, North Korea, Iran? Would
they have enough friends that if they
lost 20% of their energy, they could
find a way to make it up? I don't know.
So,
I think there's some chance, obviously,
I'm no military or energy expert, but
just watching from the sidelines, I
would say there's some chance that this
will get Russia to the table.
We'll see.
All right, ladies and gentlemen, that is
my prepared show for today. Uh I'm going
to talk to the local subscribers,
the beloved, beloved, beloved local
subscribers. And uh that'll be private.
So in 30 seconds, I'll disappear. But
for the rest of you, thanks for coming.
I hope you come again tomorrow. You
learn so much, don't you?
Yeah.
Bye for now.