Episode 2962 CWSA 09/18/25
Kimmel canceled and lots more of Scott yammering about the world ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
It's time for us to reframe the world. That's right. We're going to reframe the whole world today. I got my comic done for the day, but I couldn't load it up to X today yet. Some kind of technical problem. I think it's on their side, not mine, but I'll try again later. All right, I'm going to get…
View segment →ating your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass or a tankard or a can or even a jug or a flask. A vessel of any kind. And fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the…
View segment →. All right. By far my favorite story of the day is that French President Emmanuel Macron and his wife, you know that Candace Owens accused Brigitte Macron of being born a man and believes that he's still a man because I guess that's the way it works. And so the news is that Macron and his wife are…
View segment →she was a man. I was amused by the whole thing and I was amazed at how much evidence that Candace could come up with that definitely looked like it was possible. I don't know if you've gone down that rabbit hole at all, but if you listen to Candace for 30 minutes talking about this, you will go away…
View segment →those glasses on and you don't really know if they're watching a TV show while you're talking to them because apparently you can have all kinds of content in the glasses? I wouldn't like it at all. I don't think I would want to spend time having a conversation with somebody who was wearing those gla…
View segment →you kidding me? Finding out that a Don Lemon interview with Piers Morgan didn't go well. That's genius. That is so good. Piers, you nailed it. There is a 100% chance I'm going to watch that because of what you said about it. It didn't go well. That's just the best tease. Well, the Fed cut the inter…
View segment →because it might goose the economy and make it too hot. But the Fed has decided to lean toward improving employment as opposed to perfectly optimizing inflation. Is that the right choice? Well, I guess we'll always argue whether it could have been sooner, but it does seem like a responsible position…
View segment →now. Would I like some revenge? Yes. Yes, I would enjoy that. But that doesn't mean I get it. That doesn't mean I should pursue it. Doesn't mean the world's a better place if it happens. Yeah. I'd like a little shot of Schadenfreude because remember I got canceled. I got canceled for something I sai…
View segment →I don't know social security reform and it didn't work. It wouldn't bother me at all. But if he told me he did strong things on the border, strong things in the city about crime, he went after other countries that weren't paying their dues. I'm gonna see a lot of strength and that is really really g…
View segment →t canceled for telling the truth but Kimmel was lying. Yeah that's not really the important part. That's not how analogies work. Analogies work when there's just one thing that they have in common that can tell a story. And the one thing is that if you're both comedians that's it. Lying is not again…
View segment →to be the teachers. But it does seem to me that as long as the students beyond a certain percentage of the class are troublemakers it wouldn't matter who your teacher is, there's no way you could overcome that. So now it could be that in the old days, let's say when I was a kid, capital punishment w…
View segment →syrup which many people say is not healthy. The Hill is reporting on this. And they also apparently they're going to halt the use of sucralose. It's a preservative I guess. And they've already removed petroleum based synthetic dyes. How many of you knew you were eating oil? That petroleum based synt…
View segment →'t you call that a really good job? Because remember at least the 400,000 are not all but a lot of them are the worst. I don't know what percentage I don't think it's a very high percentage actually but if they got a lot of the bad people first I don't know that feels very successful. I would give a…
View segment →boost. Now how do you interpret that? This is being reported by Just the News. How do you understand that except for a way for the governor to control the news? If you want your subsidy you better do positive reporting about me or do you think it's just another way for the government to launder mone…
View segment →s that are for the public good. He's not making a video game although he might someday. The things he does are so obviously good for the country if not the world. At the very least it makes the US more competitive. But it bothers me a little that the Pope would weigh in on this and be so wrong about…
View segment →. And it's not a thing that you can figure out how AI will boost global trade. Please. Really? Really? Nobody knows what AI is going to do. It might be better than that. It might be worse but nobody knows an estimate. God. All right. Nobody can legitimately estimate that sort of thing. And once you…
View segment →It's time for us to reframe the world. That's right. We're going to reframe the whole world today.
I got my comic done for the day, but I couldn't load it up to X today yet. Some kind of technical problem. I think it's on their side, not mine, but I'll try again later.
All right, I'm going to get my comments going and then we got the show of shows, often described as the best thing that has ever happened to the world. Guaranteed.
See, let's move that over there. Yeah, that's looking good.
All right. Are you ready? If you're ready, I'm ready.
Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass or a tankard or a can or even a jug or a flask. A vessel of any kind. And fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. It happens now. Go.
I'm trying something different with my lighting today, so we'll see if that works.
All right. Uh, I wonder if there's any science that says that coffee is good for you. Oh, here's some. Um, it turns out there's a new study that says that people who drink coffee have more favorable body composition and inflammatory profiles.
All right. Well, there's nobody more inflammatory than me, so I drink extra coffee just to tamp it down a little bit.
Oh, there he goes. There he goes. He's being inflammatory. Sip.
All right. By far my favorite story of the day is that French President Emmanuel Macron and his wife, you know that Candace Owens accused Brigitte Macron of being born a man and believes that he's still a man because I guess that's the way it works. And so the news is that Macron and his wife are going to present photographic and scientific evidence to a US court to prove that the French first lady is in fact a woman. Photographic evidence and scientific evidence that she's in fact a woman.
All right. Now, I've never quite bought into the idea that she was a man. I was amused by the whole thing and I was amazed at how much evidence that Candace could come up with that definitely looked like it was possible. I don't know if you've gone down that rabbit hole at all, but if you listen to Candace for 30 minutes talking about this, you will go away thinking it's real. But that's the documentary effect. You know, if you're exposed to one point of view for half an hour, you're probably going to be convinced. You know, that's all it takes is one point of view with no counterpoint for half an hour. And almost always you'll think it's true.
So I will say that it's a persuasive argument Candace makes that my own, let's say, gut feeling and common sense says probably not, probably not. But I think it's possible, you know. So the fact that she's going to give photographic evidence, what exactly would the photograph be of? Is Brigitte Macron going to, I just have this image of Brigitte Macron. She's at home and she's like, "All right." Oh, I'll do my best French accent. I'll try to. No, that's not French. I won't do a French accent.
All right. I need some pictures for the court. Click. Click. Click. Almost. Click. Click. Click. Yeah, there it is. Oh, that's beautiful.
So can we, um, maybe it's just me, but I like to look at these things from the entertainment perspective. If you do it from the entertainment perspective and you realize that Candace Owens is making the wife of the president of France take pictures of her genitalia, standing ovation. Candace, I don't know if any of it's true. I'm guessing it's not. But there's not much that's funnier than making her take a picture of her junk. All right, good job, Candace.
And other news, you know that Meta has these new glasses that have all kinds of functions and I guess they can project a screen on the glasses themselves that people will barely know you're looking at. And I saw a review from somebody who had tried a number of these different enhanced reality glasses. He said that it's the best one he's seen and it's actually kind of awesome. Costs about $800. Um, what do regular glasses cost? If you bought regular glasses, if it's like a designer pair, it's several hundred, isn't it? A designer pair.
So I don't know, maybe people will buy them for $800 if they can make those glasses prescription. I didn't see in the story that they could do that, but I assume they can, right? Do you think that they would make them prescription? It would be very disappointing if the only thing the glasses couldn't do is correct your vision. I feel like it ought to be able to do that.
However, if it really works, the odds of me trying it out at some point are pretty good. But apparently you can slightly detect when somebody's not paying attention to you. So let me ask you this. How happy would you be to spend time with a friend who has those glasses on and you don't really know if they're watching a TV show while you're talking to them because apparently you can have all kinds of content in the glasses? I wouldn't like it at all. I don't think I would want to spend time having a conversation with somebody who was wearing those glasses because I would just assume that they're distracted, you know, even if I couldn't tell. So I think that's the big question. The big question will be the social element to that.
All right. So you know how everybody's got a podcast these days? There's millions of podcasts and it's kind of hard to get attention for your one podcast. And so people do a lot of teasing. For example, I'll be on Jesse Lee Peterson's show on Friday, so that's a tease. But the best tease I ever saw for a podcast comes from Piers Morgan.
So there was a post on X that said that journalist Don Lemon showed a picture of him and it said he's waiting for his interview with Piers Morgan and then Piers reposts it, the picture of Don Lemon waiting for the interview. And he just says four words. These are the most clever four words you'll ever use to tease somebody about your upcoming podcast. And I quote, "It didn't go well." Now, how am I not going to watch that? Are you kidding me? Finding out that a Don Lemon interview with Piers Morgan didn't go well. That's genius. That is so good. Piers, you nailed it. There is a 100% chance I'm going to watch that because of what you said about it. It didn't go well. That's just the best tease.
Well, the Fed cut the interest rate 25 points, which really is 0.25. And they think there might be a few more cuts this year, maybe another in 2026. And if you're an economics nerd, you might recognize that although inflation is not quite where we want it to be, it's 2.6, but wouldn't it be good to get it down to two? However, the job market is starting to soften, and you usually have those two competing things. You don't want the interest rates high if you're trying to make sure jobs are good, but if you jack up the interest rates too much, then you might cause some inflation because it might goose the economy and make it too hot. But the Fed has decided to lean toward improving employment as opposed to perfectly optimizing inflation. Is that the right choice? Well, I guess we'll always argue whether it could have been sooner, but it does seem like a responsible position in my opinion.
Well, we have to talk about Jimmy Kimmel, don't we? How many of you were wondering what my take would be on Jimmy Kimmel? Was there any point where you said, "All right, I got to see what this guy says"? I guess Adam Carolla has not yet weighed in publicly. I will definitely watch that, whatever Adam has to say about it because they have a history from the Man Show and he's also a professional comedian type. So what do you say?
All right. I'm going to start with the conclusion and then we'll talk about it. All right. I'm on Jimmy Kimmel's side. Sorry, I'm on his side now. Would I like some revenge? Yes. Yes, I would enjoy that. But that doesn't mean I get it. That doesn't mean I should pursue it. Doesn't mean the world's a better place if it happens. Yeah. I'd like a little shot of Schadenfreude because remember I got canceled. I got canceled for something I said. Very similar. Do I think I should have been canceled? Nope. Do I think Roseanne should have been canceled? Nope. And I'm not going to change my mind because it's Jimmy Kimmel. Did he say something offensive and incorrect? Yeah. Did it make the world a worse place? Probably.
But let's talk about all the things. There are a lot of elements to this, but I would be very hypocritical if I were to be opposed to free speech.
All right. So just as a review, the only speech that's not legal would be inciting violence and immediately it's not even illegal to incite violence over time with some cumulative effect, which is what the Democrats have done. The cumulative effect of all the Hitler, Hitler stuff is that it incites violence. But the law does not recognize cumulative effect. It's only what did you say just right now and did it cause somebody to do some violence right now. That would be illegal and it's not because of the speech, it's because you'd be inciting violence. It's the violence that's the illegal part, the inciting it. So that's your little background there.
The best joke I've heard about it so far was from Joel Pollak who posted on X, "First they came for the bad comedians." I was laughing out loud at that this morning. First they came for the bad comedians.
Anyway, a lot of people are speculating because we're suspicious people. We never believe anything in the news is real. A lot of people are saying that Jimmy Kimmel's bosses, ABC, I guess ultimately Disney who owns ABC, who owns the show, etc. So some people are saying that they probably wanted to cancel him anyway because the show probably loses a ton of money. So maybe it really was a business decision having nothing to do with anything except it was an opportunity to get rid of an expensive asset. Maybe. I don't know. I would guess that it's not unrelated. Meaning that if he were making a billion dollars a year for ABC, do you think they would cancel him? Now let me ask you, if he made a profit of one billion dollars per year for his corporate owners, do you think they would have said, "Oh that's a bad thing you did. We got to get rid of you." I would say not a chance. If he was losing money every week and it looked like there was no chance it was going to reverse, would they possibly find a convenient reason to get rid of him? Maybe. Well it might not be enough. Yeah they might. All right. So I wouldn't rule that out at all. That's certainly follow the money always works. So I wouldn't say it's the only reason but it's probably in there somewhere.
He implied, and I guess some people said it was satire or parody or something, but it didn't look like it to me. It looked like he was intentionally saying they believed that some MAGA person was responsible for killing Kirk. And by the time he said it that was known with pretty high level of certainty that that was not the case. And the person who did it is almost certainly, I put it at 95 to 98 percent, that it's a left-leaning person who just hated the Trump administration and Charlie in particular.
So here's the question. How in the world is it legal for the Trump administration, the government, to put pressure on a private industry to maybe cancel somebody, which would look like a violation of free speech right now? Here's what would be a violation of free speech. If the president said, "ABC, if you don't fire this guy and shut him up I will punish you in some specific way." That would be completely illegal. Everybody understands that, right? If the government tells you you can't talk, that's illegal. That would not be allowing free speech.
But suppose, as FCC chairman Brendan Carr explains, he was on Hannity I think explaining this. The FCC has a very specific job within the government. And what it does is it's responsible for making sure that the public airwaves, which are limited by nature, right? There's not infinite TV networks. There's not enough room on the airwaves for much more than we have. So because it's a public good, the major networks, ABC, NBC, CBS, they operate at the pleasure of the government. Now that's different from almost anything else. So if Fox News said something that the government didn't like, the government has no role with Fox News because Fox News is cable. So cable is not using a limited public good which is the airwaves because the airwaves are limited. But ABC, NBC, CBS, if they violate what is the phrase, the public interest. The public interest. If they violate the public interest, then the FCC could act. And that could include potentially removing their license.
So what do you think the courts would say? Let's say that went to the Supreme Court. Do you think they'd say that has nothing to do with freedom of speech? The FCC's job is to say, "Hey, that thing you're doing is either in the public interest or is not." So if you said that's not in the public interest, would you be violating free speech? I feel like not. I feel like that wouldn't be a violation of free speech, but only if you're talking about ABC, NBC, CBS, because the FCC specifically has the responsibility to make sure they don't get out of line. And what they're accused of is a pattern. So it's not just this one thing. It's a pattern of misinformation, political especially.
Now is that a good enough reason to pressure him to come off there? And let me say this. If the government is pressuring somebody, even if it's not stated but it's obvious, let's say the entity wants to do a big merger, and I think that's part of what's going on here. The entities involved don't want to make the government mad, and the government's making it pretty clear that they don't like this Jimmy Kimmel situation. So does the government have to say directly if you keep him on we'll punish you? You know that now. Remember the FCC is a special case but just talking generally if a government said to somebody you should quiet down or else we won't approve whatever it is you ask for next. But if they say it directly, now that I got this from Grok by the way you all know that I'm not a lawyer right? So anything I say that sounds like a legal opinion, probably wrong. So do your own research on this one, I'd say. But I'll do my best.
All right. So if the government makes a direct threat, if you, outside of the FCC that's a special case. But if they made a direct threat, shut up or we'll do bad things for you. That's totally illegal. That would be absolutely a violation of free speech. But what if they don't make a direct threat but you just think they're the kind of people that would get revenge? I don't know. Because at some point it's just an opinion. Suppose the president said, "It's my opinion that Kimmel should be fired." Doesn't he have the right to just have an opinion? If he said, "You should fire him or I'll punish you," totally illegal. Totally illegal. But if he just said, "It's my opinion. They should get rid of him. The country would be a better place." Is that illegal? It's sort of a weird gray area, isn't it?
Because especially with Trump you kind of say to yourself, well I mean he's clearly not going to be friendly with them when they come to get some approval from the government, right? Would you expect the Trump administration to be fully cooperative with an entity that wasn't doing what they wanted in a fairly, what they might consider an important way? I don't know. That would be, I don't know if that kind of case has ever been tested, but some lawyer will tell me. Somebody will fill me in.
All right. So the part I don't know is if Brendan Carr, the FCC chairman, has a solid enough argument that in the special case that is the FCC doing his job to make sure that the public interest is being met. Does this meet the standard of violating the public interest? Well, maybe not because some people would say he's a comedian and it is completely legal to lie. It is completely legal to lie in the service of a joke or just entertaining the public. You're allowed to lie, unfortunately. I mean it has to be that way because otherwise everybody would be in jail. If you made it illegal to lie there'd be nobody left. So it has to be that way.
So I don't know the answer to the FCC part. If it turns out that that's completely ordinary then I might alter my opinion. But as a humorist cartoonist who has been canceled for something I said, I'm not going to be in favor of it. In fact my preference is that conservatives defend Kimmel on free speech. Now we might encourage him, you know, because remember this is private companies. Private companies can fire anybody for whatever reason they want. So the private company is in completely clear territory. It's just a business decision. So can't go after them. But I think the world would be a little better and it would change the news cycle in a way that would really flip the minds of the Democrats. I think we should support him and just say, "Nope, we do not want to go down the path of getting somebody fired."
Now keep in mind I don't believe that FCC chair Brendan Carr, I don't believe he would be taking these moves unless he knew that at least the base would be happy with it. Would you agree? Do you think the FCC would put any pressure on Kimmel unless the public felt the same way? No. No, there's not really any chance of that because remember he's operating quote in the public interest. If the public had no interest, I mean I'm using interest differently here, but if the public said we don't care he said that, that doesn't bother us at all. If they had said that, well then there'd be no reason for the FCC to be involved and I'd have a problem with it. But the fact that there are a lot of people, almost entirely on the political right, who say, "Yeah, yeah, that guy's got to be punished and it looks like there's a sort of a special case here where maybe he could be or at least pressure could be put on him. Go ahead and do it because we like the revenge and we like the Schadenfreude." I like the revenge. I'll bet aside from Roseanne there's nobody who likes this more than I do. Right. There's nobody who likes it more than I do.
But I asked Grok if Jimmy Kimmel ever mocked me for getting canceled because I didn't know. A lot of people did. And Grok says no. I need a fact check on that. Is it true that Jimmy Kimmel never mocked me for getting canceled? A lot of people did, you know, public figures, but I'll ask separately. Maybe somebody can. So Grok says no. Says there's no evidence that he ever mentioned me at all, which counts because that was a national story. And if he just wanted to pound on some conservative types, there I was. I mean I was an easy victim. But if he said to himself, and I don't know this, this would be purely mind reading speculation. If he said to himself, you know what, I'm not going to go after a humorist. I don't know if he did that, but if that's the reason he didn't mention it, I would respect that. And I'm going to return the favor. I don't want to live in a world where jokes are punished. You'd have to be a really bad joke for me to do it. So I know this is very unpopular, but if you want to be on the side of the angels, I think we got to give him a pass. I don't think it'll make a difference. I suspect that this is a decision they're not going to reverse. And I also don't think there's any chance that the majority of the political right will say, "Yeah, give him a pass" because I don't think people are thinking at it beyond the revenge level. And by the way, like I say, I'm totally in favor of revenge and mutually assured destruction so that there's a little balance and stuff. Totally in favor of that. I enjoy it. It feels good, but it's not the world I want to live in. I don't want to live in that world. So even though I believe I was treated unfairly in a similar situation I just can't live in that world. So that's my take.
All right. Here's what I mentioned this when I was on Tucker's show the other day. There's something different about the lies that are being told today compared to the old times. And it used to be that if you said, "Oh that Reagan is Hitler," people understood that as just hyperbole. They didn't think, "Oh he's actually Hitler." But when you're doing it 24 hours a day, Hitler, Hitler, Hitler, and every time you turn on CNN or MSNBC, every time somebody's comparing them to Hitler or Nazis, you should assume that young people who are exposed to that and it's all they know and they're not watching Fox News or just watching those networks, of course some of them would reach the point of violence because they'd think, well you know everybody thinks they're Hitler as far as I can tell, so if I take out Hitler I'm fine.
So the laws as they were written were about slander. You can't do slander, but you can lie and you can exaggerate and insult and all those other things. So if the cumulative effect of wall-to-wall Hitler accusations creates a situation where violence is guaranteed, is that inciting violence? The answer is not legally. No, because it has to be immediate. There's no such thing as a cumulative over time. A lot of people did a lot of things and the cumulative effect was that somebody got killed. Charlie Kirk in particular. That's not illegal. Should it be? Well it makes me wonder because when our free speech rules were created this wasn't really an option. There was no such thing as mass brainwashing that was coordinated through the government and in my opinion the news networks. So it's a danger of free speech that simply didn't exist, at least at this level until fairly recently in history. So there might be something we need to rethink about that. But in general I'm going to be biased toward free speech if there's any gray areas. This one's a gray area so I'm biased toward free speech.
Let's see what else. So what Kimmel actually said might be a little different from what people are imagining. He said the MAGA people were trying hard to make it look like they were not responsible for it. But you can interpret that two ways. One, he's saying that MAGA is responsible for killing Charlie Kirk. But would you take that seriously? The other way you could interpret those exact words is that he's not saying MAGA was responsible. He's only saying that they're trying to make sure you know they're not responsible. That's not so bad. So do you cancel somebody because they said something that could be taken two ways? You see this gets a little personal at this point. Something that could be interpreted differently than it was intended. Is that how you get canceled? That's what Roseanne got canceled for. Roseanne got canceled not for what she thought or what she said. You know that, right? It wasn't for what she thought, wasn't what she said, it was what other people misinterpreted as her intention. She got canceled for that.
I would argue that although I was intentionally trying to cause some trouble, I was trying to do it for a positive purpose, including for black America, but because people chose to interpret what I said a little bit out of context because the larger context was DEI, etc. Should I be canceled because someone else interpreted what I said in a way that's not the way I intended it? Is that a good enough reason to be canceled? I don't know. But there's some chance, and I wouldn't know because I can't read his mind. There's some chance that Kimmel was trying to walk close to the line but he wasn't quite blaming MAGA for maybe doing it.
I'm looking at a comment. It's the fact that he ignored the horror and instead went political. That's just something you don't like. That's not why you lose a job. I get what you're saying that he wasn't showing the, oh no. Actually I think he did at some point I believe he did at some point say the right words about the horror. I think he did actually. Just a different day.
I saw that Dave Portnoy weighed in on this and he said it's not canceling it's consequences. And that would be true if we're only looking at a business decision and or the FCC doing its job for the public interest. If you think that getting rid of him is a public interest. So but I do think that Dave is sort of leaving out that the FCC is part of the government and you don't ever want the government trying to directly or indirectly impinge on free speech. But I understand what Dave is saying. So he's not wrong that it's primarily a consequence situation more than a free speech situation. But if it's got a little bit of free speech in it I'm still gonna go with the free speech. You know if you say, "Well Scott it's 90% he was a dick." Okay. If it's 10% free speech I'm going to still be biased for the free speech.
Eric Swalwell was defending Kimmel. But of course the Democrats feel they have to swear and they're so bad at it. Listen to this swearing from Eric Swalwell. So he's talking about Kimmel and sort of defending him for his free speech but he says it this way. Quote, he's a comedian. Now Eric let me give you a little advice. Swearing is good if you use it right. Like Trump is just an expert at swearing in a way that people will laugh. When he swears during a rally speech people laugh because he puts it in just the right place. You don't expect it, etc. And he's also used it to make a really important point. So you know okay Trump's not kidding about this one. It's perfect use of cursing. But Swalwell is just sort of randomly throwing it in a post. He's a comedian. You know what would have worked just as well? He's a comedian. Do you think that adding the f-word made his point better? Do you think it made him look tougher? Did it make him look stronger? Did it make him look like a better politician? Didn't do any of that. No that was just a mistake in communication. And I feel like they don't even understand the point that you can definitely get away with some swearing if you're a little bit wise about when you do it. This is not wise. It's not even close to wise.
So I responded to Eric Swalwell who said he's an effing comedian by responding and I said so is Roseanne? And then I said do cartoonists count? Depending if you call me a comedian or not.
Let me give you a little micro lesson now on something I've been meaning to discuss. Trump has a technique that I don't think I've ever talked about and it's really really good. It's really good and I've never seen anybody use it. So this is one of the most persuasive things he does and he does it sort of all the time and it goes like this. He always favors strength over getting something necessarily done. So for example when he says I'm going to do this with immigration and then maybe the court blocks him and let's say it blocks him totally he doesn't win in an appeal. That would be him acting strong but he got blocked. What you remember about that is the strength. And then the next thing comes up and once again he takes the most, I don't want to say extreme because that's the wrong thing but the strongest, the firmest strongest take. I will send the National Guard into your city to stop crime. That's the strong take. Now suppose it never worked. Suppose the courts or something else blocked him from doing it. What you would remember is how strong he was in trying to stop crime. And I could give you a hundred more examples that he always takes the strong point of view even if the odds of that succeeding are low because then you remember the strength.
And the reason that that's so important is that whenever the new thing comes up, whatever the new thing is, you're going to respect how hard he's going to go at it. And that's going to modify how you respond and probably in a way that's good for Trump. So framing yourself as always the strong one in the conversation, the strong one in politics, that really works. And if I were to advise somebody say, "All right do you want to be right about everything? Do you want everything you try to do to work? Or do you want to be seen as somebody who is stronger than a typical president?" Now the risk is you get called an authoritarian and all that which we see happening. That's a risk. But I would say that the supporters of Trump are probably triggered more by the strength because you want to know that the person who's got your back, you know the one who literally has your back, you want to think he's the strongest person. So if you said to me who do you want protecting you? Because this president he tried to do something with I don't know social security reform and it didn't work. It wouldn't bother me at all. But if he told me he did strong things on the border, strong things in the city about crime, he went after other countries that weren't paying their dues. I'm gonna see a lot of strength and that is really really good persuasion. Even when stuff doesn't work out it's still the right play. That's the part people don't know. The ordinary person would say I'm only going to try to do this if I've got a pretty good chance of succeeding. He doesn't need to do that. He can try things that don't have a high chance of succeeding as long as it shows how strong he is. Does that make sense? I don't think this would work for most people but it's definitely working for him.
All right. According to the Daily Caller News Foundation, Adam Pack is writing about this. I guess Democrats are a little bit divided now over whether they should keep using incendiary rhetoric and calling the Trump administration people Nazis and Hitler. But George Takei, you remember him, Sulu from the original Star Trek. He says that Trump employing the quote Nazi playbook to exploit Charlie Kirk's assassination. Breitbart's writing about that. Paul Bois. And can you imagine being George Takei and that's the same week that Charlie Kirk is assassinated probably because of people like George Takei. Let me say it directly. People like George Takei, cumulatively, not him specifically but cumulatively they caused the death of Charlie Kirk. Does anybody even doubt that? Do you believe that there was any chance Kirk would have been assassinated? Any chance if Democrats didn't talk that way, do you think they would have said I don't like his policies and he would have been shot? I don't think there's any chance. I think they had to not like the policies but also think everybody thinks he's Hitler. I think this would be popular. I'll do this. So it will be funny to watch them make the same mistake over and over but it's not funny if it causes somebody else to take a shot.
You know the news. Blaze Media got a hold of, I guess they were first to look at it, a report by a private entity who is the Capital Research Center and they did a study on George Soros and his funding machine. So it mapped out all the nodes and where the money's coming and how much and stuff like that. Now that would be, it's a 95-page report and apparently that's going to be turned over to the Trump administration who also said they wanted to do some research on the Soros funding stuff. I guess also there's some talk about Antifa being designated as a terrorist organization. That hasn't happened yet. But remember I said Trump is famous for taking the strong position. Well what would be stronger than designating Antifa as a terrorist organization? Now suppose it doesn't work out like somehow he has to back up from that. Would it be a mistake? Nope. It wouldn't be a mistake. Even if he doesn't end up getting that done it wouldn't be a mistake because everybody would say man that's strength. He's going hard at the people who need to get a little pressure on them.
Well Israel has completed the Iron Beam system. I don't think it's fully implemented in the IDF but technology-wise has passed its tests. The Iron Beam is a laser that will shoot down drones. Now as you know lasers don't work as well on cloudy or rainy days but Israel would also still have the Iron Dome which shoots up missiles to knock down other missiles. But we are now solidly in the domain of lasers shooting down stuff.
For Scott, you got canceled for telling the truth but Kimmel was lying. Yeah that's not really the important part. That's not how analogies work. Analogies work when there's just one thing that they have in common that can tell a story. And the one thing is that if you're both comedians that's it. Lying is not against the law. I don't like it. I wish there would be less of it but it's not against the law. And so even if he does something I find very objectionable and he did, it's not objectionable in the free speech sense unfortunately. Yeah. Or maybe fortunately.
Anyway this beam, I understand somebody can give me a fact check if I'm wrong about this but my understanding is that if the US is involved in maybe funding the development of weapons in Israel that what Israel develops, and remember they're super high-tech, whatever they develop has some kind of licensing or the US has the ability to use it too. So I don't know about that for sure. That's just the information I have right now. But it's possible that Israel just developed one of the best weapons we'll ever have for defending the United States. If that happened then that would be on the plus side of arguing why funding Israel makes sense. If they happen to have a technical weapons development industry that's in any way in any pockets better than ours and we have a deal where if we funded it we have access to some of that technology that might be a gigantic benefit for the United States. So if you're looking at all the pluses and minuses I'm generally not in favor of funding other countries for anything. I mean I'm just not in favor of it. But you can't argue if that's true that we would get that technology. You can't argue that we don't get anything out of it.
In Kamala Harris, she's got her new book out and she's saying in her book that Tim Walz was not her first choice for running mate. Her first choice was Pete Buttigieg because as she said quote he is a sincere public servant with the rare talent of being able to frame liberal arguments in a way that makes it possible for conservatives to hear them. Is that what you think? Do you think Pete Buttigieg has that rare talent to frame arguments so conservatives can hear them? Wrong. That's not even a little bit true. I've listened to a lot of Pete Buttigieg. Do you think he frames things in a way that conservatives go you know huh? Oh wow. Wow. I had the opposite opinion. But now that I heard Pete Buttigieg explain it with his golden tongue I've changed my mind. That was a pretty good argument there Pete. No I don't think you'll find anyone who says oh you know Pete Buttigieg changed my mind on that topic. I don't know. Kamala Harris she's funny.
Well Trump's approval level doesn't look so good but I'm not sure I care. He's not going to run for office again. And it's kind of normal that the more somebody gets on the job as president he's going to do so many things that everyone is going to find at least one thing that they're not crazy about. So I don't know. It just feels normal that no matter who the president is at this point yeah they're probably going to be a dip. No surprise. I'm not worried about that.
The Hill is reporting that according to a Walton Family Foundation Gallup poll that just came out only 35% of respondents are satisfied with the state of K through 12 education in the United States. 35%. Now that would probably be the 35% whose kids are in good schools, don't you think?
I have a question. Is the problem with schools because they are a mess? Is it the teachers? Is it the lack of physical resources? I feel like it's the other students. What do you think? I feel like 65% of the schools have just enough troublemakers that it ruins the whole experience for everybody. Now I do think that in many cases the teachers are bad but I don't think the teachers could help if the class has too many troublemakers in it. Troublemakers. What do you think? And it seems to me that private schools solve for that because the only people who go to private schools are the people whose parents think that's going to work. And it generally gets you a less troublemaking group of people. And I feel like the private school would kick you out if you were a troublemaker whereas the public school would have more of an obligation to keep you even if you're a little bit of a troublemaker. But what is the problem? Is it mostly the other people, the other students?
Imagine if you will. I spent a lot of time imagining what it would be like to be a poor black student. Do you do that? Maybe that's weird but I literally I spend a lot of time and always have wondering could you escape that trap? So let's say you're born into a poor single parent situation and you go to school and 70% of the people in the class don't care about graduating, don't care about their grades, don't care about their future and they're just causing trouble. Can you escape that? Can you use your, let's say you've got good character and you're smart enough, you're smart enough that you should do well in life. Is that going to be enough? If you don't have the resources or wherewithal to go to a private school and you had to stay there could you possibly get a good outcome if 70% of the students just came to cause trouble? I would think there's not a chance, not a chance at all.
So the first problem with what you have to do to solve any problem is you have to figure out what the actual base problem is. Some of it has to be the teachers. But it does seem to me that as long as the students beyond a certain percentage of the class are troublemakers it wouldn't matter who your teacher is, there's no way you could overcome that. So now it could be that in the old days, let's say when I was a kid, capital punishment was still okay. I had a teacher who would beat you with a baseball bat if you got in line like an actual baseball bat. He kept it in the class and he would have fist fights. He was pretty strong. He had this big monkey muscular body and he would have fist fights with kids. And I'll tell you we were pretty well behaved after a couple of bouts of violence. And in a small town back in those days if a parent found out that the teacher punched a child the first thing they would ask is what did you do? That's the first question. What'd he do? And then he would tell them and they'd say all right well I don't love the fact that you punched him but he had it coming. Some version of that. And that unfortunately, and I'm not saying that's all good. I mean you can have some childhood PTSD from that. But generally speaking, forget about that one teacher. He was extreme. But generally speaking there was just more discipline and it helped everybody in the class. Now I don't think we should necessarily go back to the old ways but somehow you have to solve for the fact that not everybody in the room has the same goal which is to learn. Yeah you got to solve that before you have any chance.
And then back to my original point. If your only problem was that you were poor and you had a single mother but once you went to school everything worked smoothly I think you could do great. I think nothing would stop you under just those minimum conditions. As long as school is good you've got a way out. That's the way it's supposed to work right? It's supposed to be that you can work your way out of poverty by working hard, going to school, developing a skill.
Tyson Foods said it's going to halt the use of high fructose corn syrup which many people say is not healthy. The Hill is reporting on this. And they also apparently they're going to halt the use of sucralose. It's a preservative I guess. And they've already removed petroleum based synthetic dyes. How many of you knew you were eating oil? That petroleum based synthetic dyes were in your food. You're actually eating oil right? Or is it processed to the point where that's an unfair thing to say?
So I think what's going to happen is that RFK Jr. etc. is creating a situation where all the big companies are going to have to act and if everybody has to act then presumably there will be industries and products that pop up to be alternatives to whatever the ingredients are that seem to be unhealthy. If only one company wanted to switch to a healthier alternative it might not be enough to make an industry out of the alternative. But if everybody kind of needs to because it'd be too much pressure from the public and RFK Jr. then suddenly it's a big money situation to get healthier and people might produce that product for you. So I feel like everything's working going in the right direction on food. It's just going to take a while.
I saw a post by Siki Chen on X. Siki is in the tech world. He's well known in the tech world. He said I've lived in the United States for almost 42 years. I've been alive and never had people be openly racist to me until I heard from all the people either openly on X or privately in DMs hurling racist abuse at me for switching to the Republican party. And he says eye opening. Now that's shocking. That is shocking.
All right. So apparently the day before I saw this Daniel Greenfield wrote about this that the day before Charlie Kirk was assassinated there was a free speech ranking in a FIRE survey. FIRE being the name of the company or the name of the entity. FIRE survey of 68,000 college students, whole bunch of universities, and revealed that one in three students believe that using violence to stop a speaker they disagreed with on campus was acceptable. One in three people thought violence was acceptable to stop people from saying things you don't like. Violence. One in three.
Now here's my take. I don't believe that survey. Do you think that's true? That sounds a lot like something that college students say in an answer to a survey. It doesn't sound like something they do. So if you say to me do you think young people whose brains are not developed and they like causing trouble and maybe they like using a little hyperbole, I feel like it's something you say on a survey if you're young that isn't really something you believe or if you were in the situation you wouldn't do any violence. So I feel like it's alarming and I would certainly keep an eye on it. I wouldn't completely discount it. I could be wrong. It's happened. But I'm not entirely sure that's telling us what we think. Remember all data is fake.
I told you that the US is going to overhaul the citizenship test. Did you know that the citizenship was 100 questions but you only get 10 of them? So they randomly picked 10 of the questions. But you would have to study all 100 to make sure you can get most of them right. So it used to be that you only need to get six out of 10 right. But now you'll need 12 correct out of 20. And I looked at the questions and I'm happy to say I think I could pass it. But if you had 128 facts that you had to learn and you only had to get 12 out of 20 right how long would you have to study before you could nail that? You'd have to understand English otherwise you wouldn't be able to understand the test. And I guess it's a verbal test. It's not even written. Somebody just asks you 10 questions and then checks it off. But I don't know what was there really some reason that we had to add 28 questions. I don't know. But there's probably a good reason for it.
So according to Just the News, Ben Weingarten, already 2 million illegal residents have left the country. 400,000 directly deported and then 1.6 million self-deporting. You know when I heard this whole self-deporting thing, the commercials you see on TV with Kristi Noem and she's saying if you leave now there's a chance we would let you back in but if you don't leave and we have to get rid of you you'll never come back. So some number of people are self-deporting, way more than I thought. I thought everybody would just hang tight and try to ride it out, try to hide from the law until there's a new president or something. But if these numbers are right, and you know there's always a question about that. If really 1.6 million people left on their own on top of 400,000 deported, wouldn't you call that a really good job? Because remember at least the 400,000 are not all but a lot of them are the worst. I don't know what percentage I don't think it's a very high percentage actually but if they got a lot of the bad people first I don't know that feels very successful. I would give a high mark for that number of people in six months.
David Sacks as you know he's in the administration he's got portfolio of crypto and I think AI and he says that there's big news from China and that Huawei their big tech company over there has introduced a new AI chip that's going to compete with Nvidia here. We thought we were all awesome in the United States because we had better chips. So we could get better AI and rule the world. But Huawei is competing. Now their chips are not as good as Nvidia. And people are saying things like well it's going to be a long time before they can catch up. We don't know that. We don't know how long it'll take them to catch up. They've already figured out how to architect their lesser chips so that they act like better chips. They just use more of them and they can approximate Nvidia. They can't get there but they can get close. So China is not really desperate for our chips and they're doing essentially what we're doing by trying to do better at mining rare earth so that we don't have to depend on them. Well they're doing the same thing but what they're doing is building a chip building industry.
Now the problem is that Huawei will start selling its AI chips to other countries. And if China is the one providing the AI tech and not the United States then those countries are going to be a little bit under the thumb of China because they will depend on China for their technology and they have to have AI because everybody will have to have it. So David Sacks is warning us that maybe we should look at loosening up our sales to the non-China companies so that they don't buy from China which seems common sensical. I would say that on the surface that makes sense. But I would also say that in general I feel like it's more likely that China will match Nvidia in a few short years than the chances that they won't. There's just too much riding on it and they'll do everything from bribery to blackmail to outright IP theft. And I don't know is it impossible for them to just get one of the Nvidia chips and look at the architecture and copy it? Is that not possible? Or is it the software? Well even that they can copy. So I'm going to bet that China will surprise us in how quickly they reach parity if not more to Nvidia.
Well Ukraine has attacked yet another refinery in Russia. This a Gazprom refinery in Bashkortostan, Russia. So it's 1300 kilometers from the front line. So they're going pretty deep into Russia. And they use scores of drones and they had a direct hit on the facility. Now I don't know how much of it was destroyed or whether it stopped operation but I was wondering remember I've told you that I was guessing that if Ukraine could take out 20% that was my own estimate of the refining capacity or the energy resources in Russia that Russia's economy would be in such trouble that they might want to do a peace deal. Well according to whatever it was I was reading that I didn't write down the source they may have already, expert projections indicate that sustained disruptions to 40 or 50% of the capacity could tip the balance. So I said 20% would put them in trouble. The experts say 40 to 50%. Guess what they're at? So how much of that they disrupted so far? If I wrote it down I think it was like 17 to 24% something like that. Yeah 17 to 24%. So it's possible that Ukraine is halfway and there's nothing that would stop them from getting to 40 or 50 but they're already halfway to the number that would collapse the Russian economy. Now it's I would say it's obvious that that's the strategy because they don't really have any chance of winning a direct military battle but they could definitely take out 40 to 50% of their refinery capacity and then things get pretty sketchy assuming any of those numbers are real. Now obviously Russia would up their response so you can't predict that that would give Ukraine any victory or anything but it might make Russia sufficiently incentivized to at least talk peace. We'll see.
California legislature, I can't even believe this, passed a bill to create subsidies for news entities for media, the media entities. And it's because Governor Newsom thinks that the media entities in California need a little boost. Now how do you interpret that? This is being reported by Just the News. How do you understand that except for a way for the governor to control the news? If you want your subsidy you better do positive reporting about me or do you think it's just another way for the government to launder money? Do you think that there's anybody who's like a good friend or relative perhaps of Newsom who might be a recipient of some of those subsidies? Well that's the way it usually goes on the Democrat side. If you hear they've created any kind of funding or subsidies for anything the first thing you could know is that that money is going to go to their cronies and people are going to give some of it back to the politicians who created that law. So I would say every part of this looks dirty to me.
Well the Pope has weighed in. He's slamming Elon Musk for what he calls obscene greed. He said talking about money. He said if that is the only thing that has any value anymore then we're in big trouble. And he pointed out the continuous wider income gap. He said yesterday there was a news that Elon Musk is going to be the first trillionaire in the world. And then he says what does that mean? And so he thinks that's bad. If the only thing that has any value anymore we're in trouble blah blah blah.
Now I don't want to criticize the Pope but I would point out that the Pope's expertise does not seem to extend to the business world. Let me explain what the trillion dollars is all about. The trillion dollars is not what he's going to spend on buying what? Better t-shirts. Elon Musk wears basically a t-shirt and jeans every single day. Like what's he spending his trillion on? Is it because he has a private jet that he flies around? That would be a necessity for anyone who has that many businesses. If you have more than one business and you're a global kind of a company and you need to run businesses in different places and you've got yeah private plane is just business. There's nothing wrong with that. And it's not like he even has a mansion or anything. He doesn't have a mansion. I don't know if he ever will. He seems uninterested in that kind of stuff. So Elon Musk is the least consumer driven person I've ever seen. Steve Jobs you know arguably was in that domain. But I think it's a complete misunderstanding that the trillion dollars is just his money. No it's not. The trillion dollars is the value of SpaceX and Tesla and those other companies. He's building robots and going to Mars and solving all these physical problems with the brain chip thing. That trillion dollars is almost I'd say 98% for the public good. He only does companies that are for the public good. He's not making a video game although he might someday. The things he does are so obviously good for the country if not the world. At the very least it makes the US more competitive. But it bothers me a little that the Pope would weigh in on this and be so wrong about understanding the general situation. I want Elon Musk to have two trillion because his history is that he invests every penny he makes and that's how he got to where he is. He invests it all. So Pope come on. Come on Pope.
All right. I saw an estimate in Tech Explorer Andrew Zinnan is writing that according to the WTO AI might boost global trade values by at least 40%. So that would be a gigantic improvement in business. Do you believe that? Do you believe that the WTO can do a believable credible estimate about how much AI will boost global trade? Let's see how well I've trained you. Do you believe that's something they can estimate? No. This is as ridiculous as the climate models. No. There's no such thing as estimating the temperature in 20 years. That's not a thing. I mean not credibly doing it. And it's not a thing that you can figure out how AI will boost global trade. Please. Really? Really? Nobody knows what AI is going to do. It might be better than that. It might be worse but nobody knows an estimate. God. All right. Nobody can legitimately estimate that sort of thing. And once you learn that it will help you a lot because there's a tendency if all these experts say well we estimated this thing. And you say to yourself well experts estimated a thing. That sounds pretty good to me. But generally when experts are estimating a thing the odds that they know what they're doing and the estimate is credible, very low. It's very low.
All right that's all I got to say today. I've got my cat in my lap who has been enjoying the show more than you because the cat likes it when I'm busy doing something else and he's just laying on my lap. So Gary, I'm done now with the main show and I'm going to go private with the beloved, very beloved local subscribers and the rest of you. Thanks for joining. And we'll be back tomorrow, same time, same place.
All right locals I'm coming at you in 30 seconds. 30 seconds starting.
on in.
It's time for us to reframe the world.
That's right.
We're going to reframe the whole world today.
I got my comic done for the day, but I couldn't load it up to X today yet.
Some kind of technical problem.
I think it's on their side, not mine, but I'll try again later.
All right, I'm going to get my comments going and then we got the show of shows.
often described as the best thing that has ever happened to the world.
Guaranteed.
See, let's move that over there.
Yeah, that's looking good.
All right.
Are you ready?
If you're ready, I'm ready.
Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time.
But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains.
All you need for that is a copper mug or a glass of tanker gels in a canine jugger flask.
A vessel of any kind.
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I'm trying something different with my lighting today, so we'll see if that works.
All right.
Uh, I wonder if there's any science that says that coffee is good for you.
Oh, here's some.
Um, it turns out there's a new study that says that uh people who drink coffee have more favorable body composition and inflammatory profiles.
All right.
Well, there's nobody more inflammatory than me, so I drink extra coffee just to tamp it down a little bit.
Oh, there he goes.
There he goes.
He's being inflammatory.
sip.
All right.
By far my favorite story of the day is that uh uh French President uh Emanuel Mcronone and his wife um they're going to you you know that uh Candace Owens accused uh Bridget Mcronone of being born a man uh and believes that he's still a man because I guess that's the way it works.
And uh so the news is that uh Mcronone and his wife are going to present photographic and scientific evidence to a US court to prove the f the French first lady is in fact a woman.
Photographic evidence and scientific evidence that she's in fact a woman.
All right.
Now, I've I've never quite bought into the idea that she was a man.
I was amused by the whole thing and and I was amazed at how much evidence that Candace could come up with that definitely look like it's possible.
I don't know if you've uh gone down that rabbit hole at all, but if you listen to Candace for 30 minutes talking about this, you will go away thinking it's real.
But that's the documentary effect.
You know, if you're if you're exposed to one point of view for half an hour, you're probably going to be convinced.
You know, that's all it takes is one point of view with now no counterpoint for half an hour.
And almost always you'll think it's true.
So, I will say that it's a con it's a persuasive argument Candace makes that my my own let's say gut feeling and common sense says probably not probably not but I think it's possible you know so the fact that she's going to give photographic evidence what exactly would the photograph be of is is Bridget Mcronone going to I just have this image of Bridget Mcronone.
She's at home and she's like, "All right.
Oh, I'll do my best French accent.
I'll try to." No, that's not French.
I won't do a French accent.
All right.
I need some pictures for the court.
Click.
Click.
Click.
Almost.
Click.
Click.
Click.
Yeah, there it is.
Oh, that's beautiful.
So, can we um I maybe it's just me, but I I like to look at these things from the entertainment perspective.
If you do it from the entertainment perspective and you realize that that Candace Owens is making the the wife of the president of France take pictures of her genitalia standing ovation.
Candace, I don't know if any of it's true.
I'm guessing it's not.
But but but there's not much that's funnier than making her take a picture of her junk.
All right, good job, Candace.
And other news, uh, you know that Meta has these new glasses that have all kinds of functions and I guess they can project a a screen on the glasses themselves that people will barely know you're looking at.
And uh I saw a review somebody who had tried a number of these different you know uh enhanced reality glasses had said that it's the best one he's seen and it's actually kind of awesome.
Costs about $800.
Um what do regular glasses cost?
If you bought regular glasses, um, if it's like a designer pair, it's several hundred, isn't it?
A designer pair.
So, I don't know, maybe maybe people will buy a free $100 if they can make those glasses prescription.
I didn't see in the story that they could do that, but I assume they can, right?
Do do you think that they would make them prescription?
It would be very disappointing if the only thing the glasses couldn't do is correct your vision.
I I feel like it ought to be able to do that.
However, if it really works, the odds of me trying it out at some point are pretty pretty good.
But apparently, you can slightly detect when somebody's not paying attention to you.
So, let me ask you this.
How happy would you be to spend time with a friend who has those glasses on and you don't really know if they're watching a TV show while while you're talking to them because apparently you can have all kinds of content in the glasses.
Uh I wouldn't like it at all.
I I don't think I would want to spend time having a conversation with somebody who was wearing those glasses because I would just assume that they're distracted, you know, even if I couldn't tell.
So, I think that's the big question.
The big question will be the social element to that.
All right.
So, um, you know how everybody's got a podcast these days?
There's millions of podcasts and it's kind of hard to get attention, you know, for your your one podcast.
And um, so people do a lot of teasing.
Uh, for example, I'm I'll be on Jesse Lee Peterson show on Friday, so that's a tease.
But the best tease I ever saw for a podcast comes from Pierce Morgan.
So, uh, there was a a post on X that said that journalist Don Lemon is showed a picture of him and it said he's waiting for his interview with Pierce Morgan and then Pierce uh reposts it, the picture of Don Lemon and him waiting for the interview.
Uh, and he and he just says four words.
the these are the most clever four words you'll ever use to tease somebody about your upcoming podcast.
And I quote, "It didn't go well." Now, how am I not going to watch that?
Are you kidding me?
Finding out that a Don Lemon interview with Pierce Morgan didn't go well.
That's genius.
That is so good.
Pierce, you nailed it.
There is a 100% chance I'm going to watch that because of what you said about it.
It didn't go well.
That's just the best the best teas.
Well, the Fed cut the interest rate 25 points, which really is 0.25.
And they think there might be a few more cuts this year, maybe another in 2026.
And if you're a economics nerd, you might recognize that although inflation is not quite where we want it to be.
It's 2.6, but uh wouldn't it be good to get it down to two?
However, the job market is starting to soften, and you usually have those two competing things.
you know, you don't want the interest rates high if you're trying to make sure jobs are good, but um if you jack up the interest rates too much, then you might cause some inflation because it might goose the economy and make it too hot.
But the Fed has decided to lean toward improving employment uh as opposed to perfectly optimizing inflation.
Is that the right choice?
Well, um I guess we'll always argue whether it could have been sooner, but it does seem it does seem like a responsible position in my opinion.
Well, we have to talk about Jimmy Kimmel, don't we?
How many of you were wondering what my take would be on Jimmy Kimmel?
Was there any point where you said, "All right, I got to I got to see what this guy says." I guess Adam Corolla has not yet weighed in publicly.
Um, I will definitely watch that whatever whatever Adam has to say about it because you know they they have a history from the man show and he's also a professional comedian type.
So, what do you say?
All right.
I'm going to start with the conclusion and then we'll talk about it.
All right.
Um, I'm on Jimmy Kimmel's side.
Sorry, I'm in his side now.
Do would I like some revenge?
Yes.
Yes, I would enjoy that.
But that doesn't mean I get it.
That doesn't mean I should pursue it.
Doesn't mean the world's a better place if if it happens.
Yeah.
I'd like a little shot and Freud because remember I got cancelled.
I get cancelled for something I said.
Very similar.
Do I think I should have been cancelled?
Nope.
Do I think Roseanne should have been cancelled?
Nope.
And I'm not going to change my mind because it's Jimmy Kimmel.
Did he say something offensive and incorrect?
Yeah.
Did it make the world a worse place?
Probably.
Um, but let's talk about all the things.
There are a lot of elements to this, but uh I would be very hypocritical if I were to be opposed to free speech.
All right.
So just as a review, um the the only speech that's not legal uh would be inciting violence and you know immediately you it's not even illegal to incite violence over time, you know, with some cumulative effect, which is what the Democrats have done.
The cumulative effect of all the Hiller Hill or Hiller stuff is that it incites violence.
But the law does not recognize cumulative effect.
It only it's only what do you what did you say just right now and did it cause somebody to do some violence right now that would be illegal and it's not because of the speech it's because you'd be inciting violence it's the violence that's the illegal part the inciting it so that's your little uh little background there uh the the best joke I've heard about it so far was from Joel Pollock who posted on Acts first They came for the bad comedians.
I was laughing out loud at that this morning.
First, they came for the bad comedians.
Anyway, uh, a lot of people are speculating because we're suspicious people.
We never believe anything in the news is real.
A lot of people are saying that, uh, Jimmy Kimmel's bosses, ABC News, I guess, ultimately.
um not ABC News but uh um Disney who owns ABC, who owns the show, etc.
So, some people are saying that uh they probably wanted to cancel him anyway because the show probably loses a ton of money.
So, you know, maybe it really was a business decision having nothing to do with anything except it was an opportunity to get rid of a expensive asset.
Maybe.
I don't know.
I I would guess that it's not unrelated.
Meaning that if he were making a billion dollars a year for ABC, do you think they would cancel?
Now, let me ask you, if he made a profit of $1 billion per year for his corporate owners, do you think they would have said, "Oh, that's that's a bad thing you did.
We got to get rid of you." I would say not a chance.
If he was losing money every week and it looked like there was no chance I was going to reverse, would they possibly find a convenient reason to get rid of them?
Maybe.
Well, it might not be enough.
Yeah, they might.
All right.
So, I wouldn't rule that out at all.
That's certainly, you know, follow the money always works.
So, I wouldn't say it's the only reason, but it's probably in there somewhere.
Um, let's see what else we got here.
So, he what he said was he he implied and I I guess some people said it was, you know, satire or parody or something, but it didn't look like it to me.
It looked like he was uh intentionally saying they believed that some MAGA person was responsible for killing uh Kirk.
And that's by the time he said it, that was known with pretty high level of certainty that that was not the case.
And the person who did it is almost certainly I put it at 95% 98% that it's a left learning leaning person who just hated uh hated the Trump administration and Charlie in particular.
So here's the question.
How in the world is it legal for the Trump administration, the government to put pressure on a private industry to maybe cancel somebody, which would look like a violation of free speech right now?
Here's what would be a violation of free speech.
If the president said, "ABC, if you don't fire this guy and shut him up, um, I will punish you in some specific way." That would be completely illegal.
Everybody understands that, right?
If the government tells you you can't talk, that's illegal.
That would not be allowing free speech.
But suppose as FCC chairman Brendan Carr explains, he was on Hannity I think explaining this.
The FCC has a very specific job within the government.
And what it does is it uh it's responsible for making sure that the public airwaves which are limited by nature, right?
There's not infinite um TV networks.
they're they're just, you know, the the uh there's not enough room on the airwaves for much more than we have.
So, because it's a public good, the the major networks, uh ABC, NBC, CBS, they operate at the pleasure of the government.
Now, that's different from almost anything else.
So if if uh Fox News said something that the government didn't like, the government has no role with Fox News because Fox News is cable.
So cable is not using a limited public good which is the airwaves because the airways are limited.
But ABC, NBC, CBS, if they if they violate what is the phrase, the public interest.
The public interest.
If they violate the public interest, then the FCC could act.
And that could include potentially removing their license.
Um, so what do what do you think the courts would say?
Let's say that went to the Supreme Court.
Do you think they'd say that's not that has nothing to do with freedom of speech?
The FCC's job is to say, "Hey, that thing you're doing is either in the public interest or is not." So, if you said that's not in the public interest, would you be violating free speech?
I feel like not.
I feel like that wouldn't be a violation of free speech, but only if you're talking about ABC, NBC, CBS, because the FCC specifically has the responsibility to make sure they don't get out of the line.
And what they're accused of is a pattern.
So, it's not just this one thing.
It's a pattern of misinformation, political especially.
Now, is that a good enough reason to pressure him to come off there?
or and and let me say this.
If the government is pressuring somebody, um even if it's not stated, but it's obvious, let's say the entity wants to do a big merger, and I think that's part of what's going on here.
Um the the entities involved don't want to make the government mad, and the government's making it pretty clear that they don't like this Jimmy Kimmel situation.
So does the government have to say directly if you keep him on we'll punish you?
You know that now the remember the FCC is a special case but just talking generally if a government said to somebody uh you should quiet down or else uh we won't approve whatever it is you ask for next.
But if they say it directly now that I got this from Grock by the way you all know that I'm not a lawyer right?
So, anything I say that sounds like a a legal opinion, probably wrong.
So, do your own research on this one, I'd say.
But I'll do my best.
All right.
So, if the government uh makes a direct threat, if you you know, outside of the FCC, that's a special case.
But if they made a direct threat, shut up or we'll do bad things for you.
That's totally illegal.
That would be absolutely a violation of free speech.
But what if they don't make a direct threat, but you just think they're the kind of people that would get revenge?
I don't know.
Because at some point, it's just an opinion.
Suppose the president said, "It's my opinion that Kimmel should be fired." Doesn't he have the right to just have an opinion?
If he said, "You should fire him or I'll punish you." totally illegal.
Totally illegal.
But if he just said, "It's my opinion.
They should get rid of him.
The country better be a better place." Is that illegal?
It's sort of a weird gray area, isn't it?
Because especially with Trump, you kind of say to yourself, well, I mean, he's clearly not going to be friendly with him when they come to get you some approval from the government, right?
Would you expect the Trump administration to be fully cooperative with an entity that wasn't doing what they wanted in a fairly what they might consider an important way?
I don't know.
That would be a I don't know if that kind of case has ever been tested, but uh some lawyer will tell me.
Somebody will fill me in.
All right.
So, the part I don't know is if uh Brendan Carr, the FCC chairman, has a solid enough argument that in the special case that is the FCC doing his job to make sure that the public interest is being met.
Does this meet the standard of violating the public interest?
Well, maybe not because some people would say, uh, he's a comedian and it is completely legal to lie.
It is completely legal to lie in the service of a joke or just entertaining the public.
You're allowed to lie, unfortunately.
I mean, it has to be that way because otherwise everybody would be in jail.
If he made it illegal to lie, there'd be nobody left.
So, it has to be that way.
Um, so, so I don't know the answer to the FCC part.
If it turns out that that's completely ordinary, then I might alter my opinion.
But as a uh humorist/carttorist who has been cancelled for something I said, uh I'm not going to be in favor of it.
In fact, uh my preference is that conservatives defend Kimmel on free speech.
Um now we might encourage him, you know, because remember this is private companies.
Private companies can fire anybody for whatever reason they want.
So the private company is in, you know, completely clear territory.
It's just a business decision.
So can't can't go after them.
But I think the world would be a little better and it it would change the news cycle in a way that would really flip the minds of the uh the Democrats.
I think we should support him and just say, "Nope, we do not want to go down the path of getting somebody fired." Now, keep in mind, I don't believe that FCC uh chair Brendan Carr, I don't believe he would be taking these moves unless he knew that at least the base would be happy with it.
Would you agree?
Do you think the FCC would would put any pressure on on Kimmel unless the public felt the same way?
No.
No, there's not really any chance of that because remember he's operating quote in the public interest.
If the public had no interest, I mean, I'm using interest differently here, but if the public said we don't care he said that, that doesn't bother us at all.
If they had said that, well, then there'd be no reason for the FCC to be involved and I'd have a problem with it.
But the fact that there are a lot of people almost entirely on the political right who say, "Yeah, yeah, that guy's got to be punished and it looks like there's a there's sort of a, you know, special case here where maybe he could be or at least pressure could be put on him.
Uh, go ahead and do it because we like the revenge and we like the Shod and Freud." I like the revenge.
I'll bet aside from Roseanne, there's nobody who likes this more than I do.
Right.
There's nobody who likes it more than I do.
But I asked Grock if Jimmy Kimmel ever mocked me for getting cancelled because I didn't know.
A lot of people did.
And Grock says no.
I I need a fact check on that.
Is it true that Jimmy Kimmel never mocked me for getting cancelled?
a lot of people did, you know, public figures, but uh I'll I'll ask separately.
Maybe somebody can.
So Grock says no.
Says there's no evidence that he ever mentioned me at all, which counts because that was a national story.
And if he just wanted to pound on some conservative types, there I was.
I mean, I was an easy I was an easy victim.
But if he said to himself, and I don't know this, this would be purely mind-reading speculation.
If he said to himself, you know what, I'm not going to go after a humorist.
I don't know if he did that, but if that's the reason he didn't mention it, I would respect that.
And I'm going to return the favor.
I don't want to live in a world where jokes are punished.
You'd have to be a really bad joke for me to do it.
So, I know this is very unpopular, but if you want to be on the side of the angels, I think we got to give them a pass.
I don't think it'll make a difference.
You know, I I suspect that this is a, you know, decision they're not going to reverse.
And I also don't think there's any chance that the majority of the political right will say, "Yeah, give them a pass." because I don't think people are thinking at it beyond the revenge, you know, the revenge level.
And by the way, like I say, I'm totally in favor of revenge and um mutually assured destruction so that there's a little balance and stuff.
Totally in favor of that.
I enjoy it.
It feels good, but it's not the world I want to live in.
I don't want to live in that world.
So even though um I believe I was treated unfairly in a similar situation um I just can't live in that world.
So that's my take.
All right.
Here's what um I mentioned this uh when I was on Tucker's uh show the other day.
There's something different about the lies that are being told today compared to the old times.
And it used to be that if you said, "Oh, that Reagan is Hitler." People understood that as just hyperbole, they didn't think, "Oh, he's actually Hitler." But when you're doing it 24 hours a day, Hitler, Hiller, Hitler, and every time you turn on CNN or MSNBC, every time somebody's comparing them to Hitler or Nazis, you should assume that young people who are exposed to that and it's all they know and they're not watching Fox News or just watching those networks.
Of course, some of them would reach the point of violence cuz they'd think, well, you know, everybody thinks they're Hitler as far as I can tell, so if I take out Hitler, I'm fine.
So, the laws as they were written were about uh slander.
You can't do slander, but you can lie and you can, you know, exaggerate and insult and all those other things.
So if the cumulative effect of wall-to-wall Hitler accusations creates a situation where violence is guaranteed, is that inciting violence?
The answer is not legally.
No, because it has to be immediate.
There's no such thing as a cumulative, you know, over time.
A lot of people did a lot of things and the cumulative effect was that somebody got killed.
Charlie Kirk in particular.
That's not illegal.
Should it be?
Well, it makes me wonder because when, you know, our free speech rules were created, this wasn't really an option.
There was no such thing as mass brainwashing that was coordinated through the government and the in my opinion and uh the news networks.
So, it's a it's a danger of free speech that simply didn't exist, at least at this level uh until fairly recently in history.
So, there might be something we need to rethink about that.
But, in general, I'm I'm going to I'm going to be biased toward free speech if there's any gray areas.
This one's a gray area, so I'm biased toward free speech.
Um, let's see what else.
Um, so what Kimmel actually said might be a little different from what people are imagining, you know.
Uh he said uh he said the MAGA people were trying hard to make it look like they were not responsible for it.
But you can interpret that two ways.
One, he's saying that MAGA is responsible for killing Charlie Kirk.
But would you take that seriously?
The other way you could interpret those exact words is that he's not saying Banker was responsible.
He's only saying that they're trying to make sure you know they're not responsible.
That's not so bad.
So, do you cancel somebody because they said something that could be taken two ways?
You see, this gets a little personal at this point.
Something that could be interpreted differently than it was intended.
Is that how you get cancelled?
That's what Roseanne got cancelled.
Roseanne got cancelled not for what she thought or what she said.
You know that, right?
It wasn't for what she thought, wasn't what she said, it was what other people misinterpreted as her intention got cancelled for that.
I would argue that although I was intentionally trying to cause some trouble, I was trying to do it for a positive uh purpose, including for black America, but because people chose to interpret what I said a little bit out of context because the larger context was, you know, DEI, etc.
Um, should I be cancelled because someone else interpreted what I said in a way that's not the way I intended it?
Is that a good enough reason to be canceled?
I don't know.
But there's some chance, and I wouldn't know because I'm not I can't read his mind.
There's some chance that Kimmel was trying to walk close to the line, but he wasn't quite not quite, you know, blaming MAGA for maybe doing it.
Um, I'm looking at a comment.
It's the fact that he ignored the horror and instead went political.
Um, that's just something you don't like.
That's not why you lose a job.
I I get what you're saying that he wasn't showing the uh Oh, no.
Actually, I think he did at some point I believe he did at some point um say the right words about the horror.
I think he did actually.
just a different day.
Um, I saw that Dave Portoi weighed in on this and he said it's not cancelling its consequences.
And that would be true if we're only looking at a business decision andor the FCC doing its job for the public interest.
If you think that getting rid of him is a public interest.
So, but I do think that Dave is, you know, sort of leaving out that the FCC is part of the government and you don't ever want the government trying to directly or indirectly, you know, impinge on free speech.
Um, but I understand what uh Dave is saying.
So, he's not wrong that it's primarily it's a consequence situation more than a more than a free speech situation.
But if it's got a little bit of free speech in it, I'm I'm still gonna go with the free speech.
You know, if you say, "Well, Scott, it's 90% he was a dick." Okay.
If it's 10% free speech, I'm going to still be biased for the free speech.
Um, Eric Swallwell uh was defending Kimmel.
Um, but of course the Democrats feel they have to swear and they're so bad at it.
Listen to this swearing from Eric Swallwell.
So he's talking about Kimmel and sort of defending him for his free speech, but he says it this way.
Quote, he's a comedian.
Now, Eric, let me give you a little advice.
Swearing is is good if you use it right.
Like, you know, Trump is just an expert at swearing in a in a way that people will laugh.
When he swears during a rally speech, people laugh because he puts it in just the right place.
You know, you don't expect it, etc.
And um he's also used it to make a really important point.
So you know, okay, Trump's not kidding about this one.
It's perfect use of cursing.
But Swallwell is just sort of randomly throwing it in a post.
He's a comedian.
You know what would have worked just as well?
He's a comedian.
Do you think that adding the fword made his point better?
Do you think it made him look tougher?
Did it make him look stronger?
Did it make him look like a better better politician?
Didn't do any of that.
No, that was just a mistake in communication.
And I it's like I feel like they don't even understand the point that you can definitely get away with some swearing if you're a little bit wise about when you do it.
This is not wise.
It's not even close to wise.
So uh I responded to Derek Swallwell who said he's an effing comedian by responding and I said so is Roseanne?
And then I said do cartoonists count?
you know, depending if you call me a comedian or not.
Um, let let me let me give you a little micro lesson now on something I've been meaning to discuss.
Trump has a technique that I don't think I've ever talked about and it's really, really good.
It's really good and I've never seen anybody use it.
So this is one of the most persuasive things he does and he he does it sort of all the time and it goes like this.
He always favors strength over getting something necessarily done.
So, for example, um when he says, uh, I'm going to do this with immigration, and then maybe the court blocks him and let's say it blocks him totally, he doesn't win in an appeal.
That would be him acting strong, but he got blocked.
What you remember about that is the strength.
And then the next thing comes up and once again he takes the most I don't want to say extreme because that's the wrong thing but the strongest the the firmst strongest take.
I will send the uh national guard into your city to stop crime.
That's the strong take.
Now suppose it never worked.
Suppose uh you know the courts or something else blocked him from doing it.
What you would remember is how strong he was in trying to stop crime.
And I could give you a hundred more examples that he always takes the strong point of view even if the odds of that succeeding are low because then you remember the strength.
And the reason that that's so important is that whenever the new thing comes up, whatever the new thing is, you're going to respect how hard he's going to go at it.
and that's going to modify how you respond and probably in a way that's good for Trump.
So, um, framing yourself as always the strong one in the conversation, the strong one in politics, that really works.
That and if I were to advise somebody say, "All right, do you want to be right about everything?
Do do you want everything you try to do to work?
or do you want to be seen as somebody who is stronger than a typical president?
Now, the risk is you get called an authoritarian and all that which we see happening.
That's a risk.
But, uh I would say that the the supporters of Trump are probably triggered more by the strength because you want to know that the person who's got your back, you know, the one who who literally has your back, you want to think he's the strongest person.
So, if you said to me, who who do you want protecting you?
Uh because this president, he tried to do something with I don't know, social security reform and it didn't work.
It wouldn't bother me at all.
But if he told me he did strong things on the border, strong things in the city about crime, you know, he went after other countries that weren't paying their their dues.
Uh, I'm gonna see a lot of strength and that is really, really good persuasion.
Even when stuff doesn't work out, it's still the right play.
That's the part people don't know.
The ordinary person would say, "I'm only going to try to do this if I've got a pretty good chance of succeeding." He doesn't need to do that.
He can try things that don't have a high chance of succeeding as long as it shows how strong he is.
Does that make sense?
I don't think this would work for most people, but it's definitely working for him.
All right.
Uh, according to the Daily Color News Foundation, Adam Pack is writing about this.
Uh, I guess Democrats are a little bit divided now over whether they should whether they should keep using incendiary rhetoric and calling the Trump administration people uh Nazis and Hitler.
Uh but George Takai, you remember him, Sulu from the original Star Trek.
Um he says that uh Trump employing the quote Nazi playbook to exploit Charlie Kirk's assassination.
Breitbart's writing about that Paul Boyce and uh can you imagine being George Tai and that that's the same week that Charlie Kirk is assassinated probably because of people like George Tai.
Let me say it directly.
People like George Dai cumulatively, not him specifically, but cumulatively they caused the death of Charlie Kirk.
Does anybody even doubt that?
Do you believe that there was any chance Kirk would have been assassinated?
Any chance if Democrats didn't talk that way, do you think they would have said, "I don't like his policies and he would have been shot." I don't I don't think there's any chance that I think they had to not like the policies but also think everybody thinks they sit.
I think I you know this would be popular.
I'll do this.
So um it will be funny to watch them make the same mistake over and over, but it's not funny if it causes somebody else to take a shot.
Um, you know the news, Blaze Media got a hold of, I guess they were first to look at it, a report by a private entity, who is the Capital Research Center, and they did a study on George Soros and his funding machine.
So, it I guess it mapped out all the nodes and, you know, where the money's coming and how much and stuff like that.
Now, that would be it's a 95page report and apparently uh that's going to be turned over to the Trump administration who also said they wanted to do some research on the Soros funding stuff.
I guess also uh there's some talk about Antifa being uh designated as a terrorist organization.
That hasn't happened yet.
But uh remember I said Trump is famous for taking the strong position.
Well, what would be stronger than designated Antifa as a terrorist organization?
Now suppose it doesn't work out like somehow he has to back up from that.
Would it be a mistake?
Nope.
It wouldn't be a mistake.
Even if he doesn't doesn't end up getting that dump, it wouldn't be a mistake because everybody would say, "Man, that's strength.
He's going hard at at the people who need to to get a little pressure on him.
Well, Israel has completed the iron beam system.
Um, I don't think it's fully implemented in the IDF, but technology-wise has passed its tests.
The iron beam is a laser that will shoot down drones.
Now, as you know, lasers don't work as well on cloudy or rainy days, but Israel would also still have the Iron Dome, which shoots up uh missiles to knock down other missiles.
But we are now uh we're now solidly in the domain of uh lasers shooting down stuff.
Uh, for Scott, uh, you got cancelled for telling the truth, but Kimmel was lying.
Yeah, that's not really the important part.
That's not how analogies work.
Analogies work when there's just one thing that they have in common that, you know, can tell a story.
And the one thing is that if you're both comedians, that's it.
Lying is not against the law.
I don't like it.
I wish there would be less of it, but it's not against the law.
And so, even if he does something I find very objectionable, and he did, uh, it's not objectionable in the free speech sense, unfortunately.
Yeah.
Or maybe fortunately.
Um anyway, this uh beam um I understand uh somebody can give me a fact check if I'm wrong about this, but my understanding is that um if the US is involved in maybe funding the development of weapons in Israel, that what Israel develops, and remember they're super high-tech, uh whatever they develop has some kind of licensing or or the US has the ability to use it, too.
So, I don't know about that for sure.
That's that's just the information I have right now.
But, uh, it's possible that Israel just developed one of the best weapons we'll ever have for defending the United States.
If that happened, then that would be on the plus side of arguing why funding Israel makes sense.
if they happen to have a a technical weapons development industry that's in any way in any pockets is better than ours and we have a deal where if we funded it we have access to some of that technology that might be a gigantic benefit for the United States.
So if you're looking at all the pluses and minuses I'm generally not in favor of funding other countries for anything.
I mean, I'm just not in favor of it.
But, uh, you can't argue if that's true that we would get that technology.
You can't argue that we don't get anything out of it.
In, uh, uh, what's her name?
Um, Kla Harris, she's got her new book out and she's she's saying in her book that Tim Walsh was not her first choice for running mate.
Her first choice was Pete Buddhajed because, as she said, quote, "He is a sincere public servant with the rare talent of being able to frame liberal arguments in a way that makes it possible for conservatives to hear them." Um, is that what you think?
Do you think Pete Buddha Judge has that rare talent to frame arguments so conservatives can hear them?
Wrong.
That's not even a little bit true.
I've listened to a lot of Pete Buddha judge.
Do you think he frames things in a way that conservatives go, you know, huh?
Oh, wow.
Wow.
I had the opposite opinion.
But now that I heard Pete Buddha Judge explain it with his, you know, his golden tongue, um, I've changed my mind.
That was pretty good argument there, Pete.
No, I don't think you'll find anyone who says, "Oh, you know, Pete Buddha Judge changed my mind on that topic." I don't know.
Kla Harris, she's funny.
Well, Trump's approval level doesn't look so good, but I'm not sure I care.
He's not going to run for office again.
Um, and it's kind of normal that the more somebody gets is on the job as president, he's going to do so many things that everyone is going to find at least one thing that they're not crazy about.
So, I don't know.
It just feels normal that no matter who the president is at this point, yeah, they're probably going to be a dip.
Um, no surprise.
I I'm not worried about that.
The Hill is reporting that um according to a uh Walton Family Foundation Gallup poll that just came out um only 35% of respondents are satisfied with the state of K through 12 education in the United States.
35%.
Now that would probably be the 35% whose kids are in good schools, don't you think?
Um, I have a question.
Is is the problem with schools, excuse me, is the problem with schools because they are a mess.
Is it the teachers?
Is it the lack of uh, let's say, physical resources?
I feel like it's the other students.
What do you think?
I feel like um you know 65% of the schools have just enough troublemakers that it ruins the whole experience for everybody.
Um now I do think that in many cases the teachers are bad but I don't think the teachers could help if the class has too many troublemakers in it.
you know, troublemakers.
What do you think?
And and it seems to me that private schools um solve for that because the only people who go to private schools are the people whose parents think that's going to work.
And uh it generally gets you a less troublemaking group of people.
And I I feel like the private school would kick you out if you were a troublemaker, whereas the the public school would have, you know, more of an obligation to keep you even if you're a little bit of a troublemaker.
But what is the problem?
Is it mostly the other people, the other students?
Um, imagine imagine if you will.
I spent a lot of time imagining what it would be like to be a poor black student.
Do you do that?
Maybe that's weird, but I I literally I spend a lot of time and always have wondering could you escape that trap?
So, let's say you're born into a poor single single parent situation and you go to school and 70% of the people in the class don't care about graduating, don't care about their grades, don't care about their future, and they're just causing trouble.
Can you escape that?
Can you use your, you know, let's say you've got good character and you're smart enough?
you're smart enough that you should do well in life.
Is that going to be enough?
If if you don't have the resources or wherewithal to go to a private school and you had to stay there, could you possibly get a good outcome if 70% of the students just came to cause trouble?
I would think there's not a chance, not a chance at all.
So the first problem with what you have to do to solve any problem is you have to figure out what the actual base problem is.
Some of it has to be the teachers.
But it does seem to me that as long as the students beyond a certain percentage of the class are troublemakers, it wouldn't matter who your who your teacher is, there's no way you could overcome that.
So now it could be that in the old days, let's say when I was a kid, uh, capital punishment was still okay.
I had a teacher who would beat you with a baseball bat if you got in line like an actual baseball bat.
He kept it, you know, kept it in the he actually kept it in the class and uh he would fi have fist fights.
Uh, he was pretty strong.
He he had this big monkey muscular body and he would have fist fights with kids.
And I'll tell you, we were pretty well behaved after a couple of bouts of violence.
And in a small town back in those days, if if you if a parent found out that the teacher punched a child, the first thing they would ask is, "What do you do?" That's the first question.
What'd he do?
And then he would tell them and they'd say, "Uh, all right.
Well, I don't love the fact that you punched him, but he had a common, you know, some version of that." And that unfortunately, and I'm not saying that's, you know, all good.
I mean, you you can have some childhood PTSD from that.
Um, but generally speaking, forget about that one teacher.
He was extreme, but generally speaking, there was just more discipline and it helped everybody in the class.
Now, I don't think we should necessarily go back to the old ways, but somehow you have to solve for the fact that not everybody in the room has the same goal, which is to learn.
Yeah, you got to solve that before you you have any chance.
All right.
And then back to my original point.
If your only problem was that you were poor and you had a single mother, but once you went to school, everything worked smoothly, I think you could you could do great.
I I think nothing would stop you under just those minimum conditions.
As long as school is good, you've got a way out.
That's the way it's supposed to work, right?
It's supposed to be that you can work your way out of poverty by working hard, going to school, developing a skill.
Tyson Food said it's going to halt the use of high fructose corn syrup, which many people say is not healthy.
Uh, The Hill is reporting on this.
Um, and they also apparently they already they're going to halt the use of sucralose.
It's a preservative, I guess.
And they're they've already removed petroleum based synthetic dyes.
How many of you knew you were eating oil?
That petroleum based synthetic dyes were in your food.
You're actually eating oil, right?
Or or is it processed to the point where that's an unfair thing to say?
Um so I think what's going to happen uh is that RFK Jr.
etc.
is creating a situation where all the big companies are going to have to act and if everybody has to act then presumably there will be industries and products that pop up to be alternatives to whatever the ingredients are that seem to be unhealthy.
If only one company wanted to switch to a healthier alternative.
it might not be enough to make a industry and of the alternative.
But if everybody kind of needs to because it'd be too much pressure from the public and RFK Jr.
then suddenly it's a big money situation to to get healthier and people might produce that product for you.
So I feel like everything's working going in the right direction on food.
It's just going to take a while.
Um, I saw a uh post by Siki Chen on X.
Siki is uh in in the tech world.
He's well known in the tech world.
Um, he said, "I've lived in the United States for almost 42 years.
I've been alive and never had people be openly racist to me until I heard from all the people either openly on X or privately in DMs hurling racist abuse at me for switching to the Republican party." and he says eye opening.
Now that's shocking.
That is shocking.
All right.
Um, so, so apparently the day before I saw this, Daniel Greenfield wrote about this that, uh, the day before Charlie Kirk was assassinated, there was a free speech ranking in a fire survey.
fire being the name of the company or the name of the entity fire uh fire survey of 68,000 college students whole bunch of universities and revealed that one in three students believe uh believe that using violence to stop a speaker they disagreed with on campus was acceptable.
One in three people thought violence was acceptable to stop people from saying things you don't like.
violence one and three.
Now, here's my take.
I don't believe that survey.
Do you do you think that's true?
That sounds a lot like something that college students say in an answer to a survey.
It doesn't sound like something they do.
So, you know, if you say to me, uh, do you think, uh, young people whose brains are not developed and they like causing trouble and, you know, maybe they like using a little hyperbole, I feel like it's something you say on a survey, if you're young, that isn't really something you believe or if or if you were in the situation, you wouldn't do any violence.
So, I feel like it's alarming and I would certainly keep an eye on it.
I wouldn't I wouldn't completely discount it.
I could be wrong.
It's happened, but I'm not entirely sure that's telling us what we think.
Remember, all data is fake.
Um, I told you that the US is going to overhaul the citizenship test.
Did you know that the citizenship was a 100 questions, but you only get 10 of them?
So, they randomly picked 10 of the questions.
Um, but you would have to study all hundred to make sure you can get uh most of them right.
So, so it used to be that you only need to get a six out of 10 right.
Uh, but now you'll need 12 correct out of 20.
And I looked at the questions and I'm happy to say I think I could pass it.
But if you had 128 facts that you had to learn and you only had to get 12 out of 20 right, how how long would you have to study before you could nail that?
You'd probably have to under Well, not probably, you'd have to understand English, otherwise you wouldn't be able to understand the test.
Uh, and I guess it's a verbal test.
It's not even written.
somebody somebody just asks you 10 questions and then checks it off.
But I don't know what was there really some reason that we had to add 28 questions.
I don't know.
But there's probably a good reason for it.
Um so according to just the news Ben Weeden already 2 million illegal uh residents have left the country.
400,000 directly deported and then 1.6 million self-epporting.
You know, when I heard this whole self-deporting thing, you know, the commercials you see on TV with Christy Gnome and she's saying, you know, if you leave now, there's a chance we would let you back in, but if you don't leave and we have to get rid of you, you'll never come back.
So, some number of people are self-epporting, way more than I thought.
I I thought everybody would just hang tight and try to ride it out, you know, try to hide from the law until there's a new new president or something.
But that is if if these numbers are right, and you know, there's always a question about that.
If really 1.6 million people left on their own on top of 400,000 deported, wouldn't you call that a really good job?
Because remember the at least the 400,000 are not all but a lot of them are the worst.
I don't know what percentage I don't think it's very high percentage actually but if they got a lot of the bad people first I don't know that feels very successful.
I would give a I would give a high mark for that number of people in six months.
Um David Saxs as you know he's in the administration he's got portfolio of crypto and I think AI and he says that uh there's big news from China and that Huawei their big tech company over there uh has introduced a new AI chip that's going to compete with Nvidia here.
We thought we were all awesome in the United States because we had better chips.
So, we could get better AI and, you know, rule the world.
But Huawei is uh competing.
Now, their chips are not as good as Nvidia.
And people are saying things like, "Well, it's going to be a long time before they can catch up." We don't know that.
We don't know how long it'll take them to catch up.
They've already figured out how to architect their lesser chips so that they act like better chips.
They just use more of them and they can, you know, approximate Nvidia.
They can't get there, but they can get close.
So, China is not really desperate for our chips and they're doing essentially what we're doing by trying to do better at mining rare earth so that we don't have to depend on them.
Well, they're doing the same thing, but what they're doing is building a chip building industry.
Now, um the problem is that Huawei will start selling its AI chips to other countries.
And if China is the one providing the AI tech and not the United States, then those countries are going to be a little bit under the uh thumb of China because they will depend on China for their technology and they have to have AI because everybody will have to have it.
So David Saxs is warning us that maybe uh we should look at loosening up our sales to the non-China companies so that they don't buy from China, which seems common sensical.
I would I would say that on the surface that makes sense.
Um, but I would also say that in general I feel like it's more likely that China will match Nvidia in a few short years than the chances that they won't.
Um, there's just too much too much writing on it and they'll do everything from bribery to blackmail to outright IP theft.
And I don't know, is it impossible for them to just get one of the Nvidia chips and look at the, you know, look at the architecture and copy it?
Is that not possible?
Or is it the software?
Well, even that they can copy.
So, I'm going to I'm going to bet that China will surprise us in how quickly they reach parody, if not more, to Nvidia.
Well, Ukraine has attacked yet another uh refinery in uh in Russia.
This a gasp prom refinery in Bashkurstan, Russia.
So, it's 1300 kilometers from the front line.
So, they're going pretty deep into Russia.
And they use scores of drones and they had a direct hit on the facility.
Now I don't know how much of it was destroyed or whether it stopped operation but I was wondering remember I've told you that I was guessing that if Ukraine could take out 20% that was my own estimate of the refining capacity or the energy resources in Russia that Russia's economy would be in such trouble that they might want to you know do a peace deal.
Well, according to uh whatever it was I was reading that I didn't write down the source.
Um they may have already expert projections indicate that sustained disruptions to 40 or 50% of the capacity could tip the balance.
So I said 20% would put him in trouble.
The experts say 40 to 50%.
Guess what they're at?
So, how much of that they disrupted so far?
Um, if I wrote it down, I think it was like 17 20% something like that.
Yeah, 17 to 24%.
So, it's possible that there that Ukraine is halfway and there's nothing that would stop them from getting to 40 or 50, but they're already halfway to the number that would collapse um the Russian economy.
Now, it's I would say it's obvious that that's the strategy because they don't really have any chance of winning, you know, a direct military battle, but they could definitely take out 40 to 50% of their refinery capacity and then things get pretty uh get pretty sketchy, assuming any of those numbers are real.
Now, obviously, Russia would up their uh up their response, so you can't predict that that would give Ukraine any victory or anything, but it might make Russia sufficiently incentivized to at least talk peace.
We'll see.
Um, California legislature, I can't even believe this, passed a bill to create subsidies for news entities for media, the media entities.
And uh, it's because Governor Nuome thinks that uh, the media entities in California need a little boost.
Now, how do you interpret that?
Uh, this is being reported by Just the News.
How do you how do you understand that except for a way for the governor to control the news?
Uh if you want your subsidy, you better do, you know, positive reporting about me or do you think it's just another way um for the government to launder money?
Do you think that there's anybody who's like a good friend or relative perhaps of Newsome who might be a recipient of some of those subsidies?
Well, that's the way it usually goes on the Democrat side.
If you hear they've created any kind of funding or subsidies for anything, the first thing you could know is that that money is going to go to their cronies and people were going to give some of it back to the politicians who who created that law.
So, I would say every part of this looks dirty to me.
Well, the Pope has weighed in.
He's slamming Elon Musk for what he calls obscene greed.
He said uh talking about money.
He said, "If that is the only thing that has any value anymore, then we're in big trouble." And he pointed out the continuous wider income gap.
He said, "Yesterday there was a news that Elon Musk is going to be the first trillionaire in the world." And then he says,"What does that mean?" And um so he he thinks that's bad.
If the only thing that has any value anymore, we're in trouble, blah blah blah.
Um now, I don't want to criticize the Pope, but I would point out that the Pope's expertise does not seem to extend to the business world.
Let me explain what the trillion dollars is all about.
The trillion dollars is not what he's going to spend on buying what?
Better t-shirts.
Elon Musk wears basically a t-shirt and jeans every single day.
Like what's he spending his trillion on?
Is it because he he has a private jet that he flies around?
That would be a necessity for anyone who has that many businesses.
If you have more than one business and you're a global kind of a company and uh you need to run businesses in different places and you've got yeah private plane is just business.
There's nothing wrong with that.
And it's not like he even has a mansion or anything.
He doesn't have a mansion.
I don't know if he ever will.
He seems uninterested in that kind of stuff.
So Elon Musk is the least consumerdriven person I've ever seen.
You know, Steve Jobs, you know, arguably was in that domain.
But I think it's a complete misunderstanding that the trillion dollars is just his money.
No, it's not.
The trillion dollars is the value of SpaceX and, you know, Tesla and those other companies.
He's building robots and going to Mars and, you know, solving all these uh physical problems with um the the brain chip thing.
Uh that trillion dollars is almost, I'd say, 98% for the public good.
He only does companies that are for the public good.
He's not making a video game, although he might someday.
the the things he does are so obviously good for the country, if not the world.
At the very least, it makes the US more competitive.
But it bothers me a little that the Pope would weigh in on this and be so wrong about understanding the general situation.
I want Elon Musk to have $2 trillion because his history is that he invests every penny he makes and that that's how he got to where he is.
He invests it all.
So, Pope, come on.
Come on, Pope.
All right.
I saw an estimate in tech explorer Andrew Zinnan is writing that according to the WTO AI might boost global trade values by at least 40%.
So so that would be a gigantic, you know, improvement in in business.
Do you believe that?
Do you believe that the WTO can do a a believable credible estimate about how much AI will boost global trade?
Let's see how well I've trained you.
Do you believe that's that's something they can estimate?
No.
This is as ridiculous as the climate models.
No.
There's no such thing as estimating the temperature in 20 years.
That's not a thing.
I mean, not credibly doing it.
And it's not a thing that you can figure out how AI will boost global trade.
Please.
Really?
Really?
Nobody knows what AI is going to do.
It might be better than that.
It might be worse, but nobody knows an estimate.
God.
All right.
Nobody can legitimately estimate that sort of thing.
And once you learn that, it will help you a lot because there there's a tendency if all these experts say, "Well, we we estimated this thing." And you say to yourself, "Well, experts estimated a thing.
That sounds pretty good to me." Um, but generally when experts are estimating a thing, the odds that they know what they're doing and the estimate is credible, very low.
It's very low.
All right, that's all I got to say today.
I've got my cat in my lap who has been enjoying the show more than you because the cat likes it when I'm busy doing something else and he's just laying on my lap.
So, Gary, uh, I'm done now with the main show and I'm going to go private with the, uh, beloved, very beloved local subscribers and the rest of you.
Thanks for joining.
Um, and we'll be back tomorrow, same time, same place.
All right, locals, I'm coming at you in 30 seconds.
30 seconds starting.
on in. It's time for us to reframe the
world. That's right. We're going to
reframe the whole world today.
I got my comic done for the day, but I
couldn't load it up to X today yet.
Some kind of technical problem. I think
it's on their side, not mine, but I'll
try again later.
All right, I'm going to get my comments
going and then we got the show of shows.
often described as the best thing that
has ever happened to the world.
Guaranteed.
See, let's move that over there. Yeah,
that's looking good.
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All right. Are you ready? If you're
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Good morning everybody and welcome to
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It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and
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The thing that makes everything better.
It's called the simultaneous sip. It
happens now. Go.
I'm trying something different with my
lighting today,
so we'll see if that works.
All right. Uh, I wonder if there's any
science that says that coffee is good
for you. Oh, here's some. Um, it turns
out there's a new study that says that
uh people who drink coffee have more
favorable body composition and
inflammatory profiles.
All right. Well, there's nobody more
inflammatory than me, so I drink extra
coffee just to tamp it down a little
bit. Oh, there he goes. There he goes.
He's being inflammatory.
sip.
All right.
By far my favorite story of the day is
that uh uh French President uh Emanuel
Mcronone and his wife um they're going
to you you know that uh Candace Owens
accused uh Bridget Mcronone of being
born a man
uh and believes that he's still a man
because I guess that's the way it works.
And uh so the news is that uh Mcronone
and his wife are going to present
photographic and scientific evidence to
a US court to prove the f the French
first lady is in fact a woman.
[Laughter]
Photographic evidence and scientific
evidence that she's in fact a woman. All
right. Now,
I've I've never quite bought into the
idea that she was a man.
I was amused by the whole thing and and
I was amazed at how much evidence that
Candace could come up with that
definitely look like it's possible.
I don't know if you've uh gone down that
rabbit hole at all, but if you listen to
Candace for 30 minutes talking about
this, you will go away thinking it's
real.
But that's the documentary effect. You
know, if you're if you're exposed to one
point of view for half an hour, you're
probably going to be convinced. You
know, that's all it takes is one point
of view with now no counterpoint for
half an hour. And almost always you'll
think it's true.
So, I will say that it's a con it's a
persuasive argument Candace makes that
my
my own let's say gut feeling and common
sense says probably not probably not but
I think it's possible you know so the
fact that she's going to give
photographic evidence what exactly would
the photograph be of is is Bridget
Mcronone going to
I just have this image of Bridget
Mcronone. She's at home and she's like,
"All right. Oh, I'll do my best French
accent. I'll try to." No, that's not
French. I won't do a French accent. All
right. I need some pictures for the
court.
Click. Click. Click.
Almost. Click. Click. Click.
Yeah, there it is. Oh, that's beautiful.
So,
can we um I maybe it's just me, but I I
like to look at these things from the
entertainment perspective. If you do it
from the entertainment perspective and
you realize that
that Candace Owens is making the the
wife of the president of France take
pictures of her genitalia
standing ovation.
Candace,
I don't know if any of it's true. I'm
guessing it's not. But
but
but there's not much that's funnier than
making her take a picture of her junk.
All right, good job, Candace.
And other news,
uh, you know that Meta has these new
glasses that have all kinds of functions
and I guess they can project a a screen
on the glasses themselves that people
will barely know you're looking at. And
uh I saw a review somebody who had tried
a number of these different you know uh
enhanced reality
glasses had said that it's the best one
he's seen and it's actually kind of
awesome.
Costs about $800.
Um what do regular glasses cost?
If you bought regular glasses,
um, if it's like a designer pair, it's
several hundred, isn't it? A designer
pair. So, I don't know, maybe maybe
people will buy a free $100 if they can
make those glasses prescription.
I didn't see in the story that they
could do that, but I assume they can,
right? Do do you think that they would
make them prescription?
It would be very disappointing if the
only thing the glasses couldn't do is
correct your vision. I I feel like it
ought to be able to do that.
However, if it really works, the odds of
me trying it out at some point are
pretty pretty good. But apparently, you
can slightly detect when somebody's not
paying attention to you. So, let me ask
you this. How happy would you be to
spend time with a friend who has those
glasses on and you don't really know if
they're watching a TV show while while
you're talking to them
because apparently you can have all
kinds of content in the glasses.
Uh I wouldn't like it at all. I I don't
think I would want to spend time having
a conversation with somebody who was
wearing those glasses because I would
just assume that they're distracted, you
know, even if I couldn't tell. So, I
think that's the big question. The big
question will be the social element to
that.
All right. So, um, you know how
everybody's got a podcast these days?
There's millions of podcasts and it's
kind of hard to get attention, you know,
for your your one podcast. And um, so
people do a lot of teasing. Uh, for
example, I'm I'll be on Jesse Lee
Peterson show on Friday, so that's a
tease. But the best tease I ever saw for
a podcast comes from Pierce Morgan.
So, uh, there was a a post on X that
said that journalist Don Lemon is showed
a picture of him and it said he's
waiting for his interview with Pierce
Morgan
and then Pierce uh reposts it, the
picture of Don Lemon and him waiting for
the interview.
Uh, and he and he just says four words.
the these are the most clever four words
you'll ever use to tease somebody about
your upcoming podcast. And I quote, "It
didn't go well."
Now, how am I not going to watch that?
Are you kidding me? Finding out that a
Don Lemon interview with Pierce Morgan
didn't go well.
That's genius. That is so good. Pierce,
you nailed it.
There is a 100% chance I'm going to
watch that because of what you said
about it. It didn't go well.
That's just the best the best teas.
Well, the Fed cut the interest rate 25
points, which really is 0.25.
And they think there might be a few more
cuts this year, maybe another in 2026.
And if you're a economics nerd, you
might recognize that although inflation
is not quite where we want it to be.
It's 2.6, but uh wouldn't it be good to
get it down to two? However, the job
market is starting to soften, and you
usually have those two competing things.
you know, you don't want the interest
rates high if you're trying to make sure
jobs are good, but
um if you jack up the interest rates too
much, then you might cause some
inflation because it might goose the
economy and make it too hot. But the Fed
has decided to lean toward improving
employment
uh as opposed to perfectly optimizing
inflation. Is that the right choice?
Well, um I guess we'll always argue
whether it could have been sooner,
but it does seem it does seem like a
responsible position in my opinion.
Well, we have to talk about Jimmy
Kimmel, don't we?
How many of you were wondering what my
take would be on Jimmy Kimmel? Was there
any point where you said, "All right, I
got to I got to see what this guy says."
I guess Adam Corolla has not yet weighed
in publicly. Um, I will definitely watch
that whatever whatever Adam has to say
about it because you know they they have
a history from the man show
and he's also a professional comedian
type. So, what do you say? All right.
I'm going to start with the conclusion
and then we'll talk about it. All right.
Um, I'm on Jimmy Kimmel's side.
Sorry,
I'm in his side now.
Do would I like some revenge?
Yes. Yes, I would enjoy that. But that
doesn't mean I get it. That doesn't mean
I should pursue it. Doesn't mean the
world's a better place if if it happens.
Yeah. I'd like a little shot and Freud
because remember I got cancelled. I get
cancelled for something I said. Very
similar. Do I think I should have been
cancelled? Nope. Do I think Roseanne
should have been cancelled? Nope. And
I'm not going to change my mind because
it's Jimmy Kimmel. Did he say something
offensive and incorrect?
Yeah. Did it make the world a worse
place?
Probably.
Um, but let's talk about all the things.
There are a lot of elements to this,
but uh I would be very hypocritical
if I were to be opposed to free speech.
All right. So just as a review,
um the the only speech that's not legal
uh would be inciting violence and you
know immediately you it's not even
illegal to incite violence over time,
you know, with some cumulative effect,
which is what the Democrats have done.
The cumulative effect of all the Hiller
Hill or Hiller stuff is that it incites
violence. But the law does not recognize
cumulative effect. It only it's only
what do you what did you say just right
now and did it cause somebody to do some
violence right now that would be illegal
and it's not because of the speech it's
because you'd be inciting violence it's
the violence that's the illegal part the
inciting it
so that's your little uh little
background there uh the the best joke
I've heard about it so far was from Joel
Pollock who posted on Acts first They
came for the bad comedians.
I was laughing out loud at that this
morning. First, they came for the bad
comedians. Anyway, uh, a lot of people
are speculating because we're suspicious
people. We never believe anything in the
news is real. A lot of people are saying
that, uh, Jimmy Kimmel's bosses, ABC
News, I guess, ultimately. um not ABC
News but uh um Disney who owns ABC, who
owns the show, etc. So, some people are
saying that uh they probably wanted to
cancel him anyway because the show
probably loses a ton of money. So, you
know, maybe it really was a business
decision having nothing to do with
anything except it was an opportunity to
get rid of a expensive asset. Maybe. I
don't know. I I would guess that it's
not unrelated. Meaning that if he were
making a billion dollars a year for ABC,
do you think they would cancel? Now, let
me ask you, if he made a profit of $1
billion per year for his corporate
owners, do you think they would have
said, "Oh, that's that's a bad thing you
did. We got to get rid of you."
I would say not a chance. If he was
losing money every week and it looked
like there was no chance I was going to
reverse, would they possibly find a
convenient reason to get rid of them?
Maybe.
Well, it might not be enough. Yeah, they
might. All right. So, I wouldn't rule
that out at all. That's certainly, you
know, follow the money always works. So,
I wouldn't say it's the only reason, but
it's probably in there somewhere.
Um, let's see what else we got here. So,
he what he said was he he implied and I
I guess some people said it was, you
know, satire or parody or something, but
it didn't look like it to me. It looked
like he was uh intentionally saying they
believed that some MAGA person was
responsible for killing uh Kirk. And
that's by the time he said it, that was
known with pretty high level of
certainty that that was not the case.
And the person who did it is almost
certainly I put it at 95% 98% that it's
a left learning leaning person who just
hated uh hated the Trump administration
and Charlie in particular.
So here's the question. How in the world
is it legal for the Trump
administration, the government to put
pressure on a private industry to maybe
cancel somebody, which would look like a
violation of free speech right now?
Here's what would be a violation of free
speech. If the president said, "ABC, if
you don't fire this guy and shut him up,
um, I will punish you in some specific
way." That would be completely illegal.
Everybody understands that, right? If
the government tells you you can't talk,
that's illegal. That would not be
allowing free speech. But suppose
as FCC chairman Brendan Carr explains,
he was on Hannity I think explaining
this. The FCC has a very specific job
within the government. And what it does
is it uh it's responsible for making
sure that the public airwaves which are
limited by nature, right? There's not
infinite um TV networks. they're they're
just, you know, the the uh there's not
enough room on the airwaves for much
more than we have. So, because it's a
public good, the the major networks, uh
ABC, NBC, CBS, they operate at the
pleasure of the government.
Now, that's different from almost
anything else. So if if uh Fox News said
something that the government didn't
like, the government has no role with
Fox News because Fox News is cable. So
cable is not using a limited public good
which is the airwaves because the
airways are limited. But ABC, NBC, CBS,
if they if they violate what is the
phrase, the public interest. The public
interest.
If they violate the public interest,
then the FCC could act. And that could
include potentially removing their
license.
Um, so what do what do you think the
courts would say? Let's say that went to
the Supreme Court. Do you think they'd
say that's not that has nothing to do
with freedom of speech? The FCC's job is
to say, "Hey, that thing you're doing is
either in the public interest or is
not." So, if you said that's not in the
public interest,
would you be violating free speech?
I feel like not. I feel like that
wouldn't be a violation of free speech,
but only if you're talking about ABC,
NBC, CBS, because the FCC specifically
has the responsibility to make sure they
don't get out of the line. And what
they're accused of is a pattern. So,
it's not just this one thing. It's a
pattern of misinformation, political
especially.
Now, is that a good enough reason to
pressure him to come off there? or and
and let me say this. If the government
is pressuring somebody, um even if it's
not stated, but it's obvious, let's say
the entity wants to do a big merger, and
I think that's part of what's going on
here. Um the the entities involved don't
want to make the government mad, and the
government's making it pretty clear that
they don't like this Jimmy Kimmel
situation. So does the government have
to say directly if you keep him on we'll
punish you? You know that now the
remember the FCC is a special case but
just talking generally if a government
said to somebody uh you should quiet
down or else uh we won't approve
whatever it is you ask for next. But if
they say it directly now that I got this
from Grock by the way you all know that
I'm not a lawyer right? So, anything I
say that sounds like a a legal opinion,
probably wrong.
So, do your own research on this one,
I'd say. But I'll do my best. All right.
So, if the government
uh makes a direct threat, if you you
know, outside of the FCC, that's a
special case. But if they made a direct
threat, shut up or we'll do bad things
for you. That's totally illegal. That
would be absolutely a violation of free
speech. But what if they don't make a
direct threat, but you just think
they're the kind of people that would
get revenge?
I don't know. Because at some point,
it's just an opinion. Suppose the
president said, "It's my opinion that
Kimmel should be fired."
Doesn't he have the right to just have
an opinion?
If he said, "You should fire him or I'll
punish you." totally illegal. Totally
illegal. But if he just said, "It's my
opinion. They should get rid of him. The
country better be a better place." Is
that illegal?
It's sort of a weird gray area, isn't
it? Because especially with Trump, you
kind of say to yourself, well, I mean,
he's clearly not going to be friendly
with him when they come to get you some
approval from the government, right?
Would you expect the Trump
administration to be fully cooperative
with an entity that wasn't doing what
they wanted in a fairly what they might
consider an important way?
I don't know. That would be a I don't
know if that kind of case has ever been
tested, but uh some lawyer will tell me.
Somebody will fill me in. All right.
So, the part I don't know is if uh
Brendan Carr, the FCC chairman, has a
solid enough argument that in the
special case that is the FCC doing his
job to make sure that the public
interest is being met. Does this meet
the standard of violating the public
interest? Well,
maybe not because some people would say,
uh, he's a comedian
and it is completely legal to lie. It is
completely legal to lie in the service
of a joke or just entertaining the
public. You're allowed to lie,
unfortunately. I mean, it has to be that
way because otherwise everybody would be
in jail. If he made it illegal to lie,
there'd be nobody left.
So, it has to be that way. Um,
so,
so I don't know the answer to the FCC
part. If it turns out that that's
completely ordinary, then I might alter
my opinion. But as a uh
humorist/carttorist
who has been cancelled for something I
said, uh I'm not going to be in favor of
it. In fact, uh my preference is that
conservatives defend Kimmel on free
speech. Um now we might encourage him,
you know, because remember this is
private companies. Private companies can
fire anybody for whatever reason they
want. So the private company is in, you
know, completely clear territory. It's
just a business decision.
So can't can't go after them. But I
think the world would be a little better
and it it would change the news cycle in
a way that would really flip the minds
of the uh the Democrats. I think we
should support him and just say, "Nope,
we do not want to go down the path of
getting somebody fired." Now, keep in
mind, I don't believe that FCC uh chair
Brendan Carr, I don't believe he would
be taking these moves unless he knew
that at least the base would be happy
with it. Would you agree?
Do you think the FCC would would put any
pressure on on Kimmel unless
the public
felt the same way? No. No, there's not
really any chance of that because
remember he's operating quote in the
public interest. If the public had no
interest, I mean, I'm using interest
differently here, but if the public said
we don't care he said that, that doesn't
bother us at all. If they had said that,
well, then there'd be no reason for the
FCC to be involved and I'd have a
problem with it. But the fact that there
are a lot of people almost entirely on
the political right who say, "Yeah,
yeah, that guy's got to be punished and
it looks like there's a there's sort of
a, you know, special case here where
maybe he could be or at least pressure
could be put on him. Uh, go ahead and do
it because we like the revenge and we
like the Shod and Freud." I like the
revenge. I'll bet aside from Roseanne,
there's nobody who likes this more than
I do.
Right. There's nobody who likes it more
than I do. But I asked Grock if Jimmy
Kimmel ever mocked me for getting
cancelled because I didn't know. A lot
of people did. And Grock says no.
I I need a fact check on that. Is it
true that Jimmy Kimmel never mocked me
for getting cancelled? a lot of people
did, you know, public figures, but uh
I'll I'll ask separately. Maybe somebody
can. So Grock says no. Says there's no
evidence that he ever mentioned me at
all, which counts because that was a
national story. And if he just wanted to
pound on some conservative types, there
I was. I mean, I was an easy I was an
easy victim.
But if he said to himself, and I don't
know this, this would be purely
mind-reading speculation. If he said to
himself, you know what, I'm not going to
go after a humorist. I don't know if he
did that, but if that's the reason he
didn't mention it, I would respect that.
And I'm going to return the favor. I
don't want to live in a world where
jokes are punished.
You'd have to be a really bad joke for
me to do it. So, I know this is very
unpopular,
but if you want to be on the side of the
angels,
I think we got to give them a pass.
I don't think it'll make a difference.
You know, I I suspect that this is a,
you know, decision they're not going to
reverse. And I also don't think there's
any chance that the majority of the
political right will say, "Yeah, give
them a pass." because I don't think
people are thinking at it beyond the
revenge, you know, the revenge level.
And by the way, like I say, I'm totally
in favor of revenge and um mutually
assured destruction so that there's a
little balance and stuff. Totally in
favor of that. I enjoy it. It feels
good, but it's not the world I want to
live in. I don't want to live in that
world. So even though um I believe I was
treated unfairly in a similar situation
um I just can't live in that world. So
that's my take. All right.
Here's what um I mentioned this uh when
I was on Tucker's uh show the other day.
There's something different about the
lies that are being told today compared
to the old times. And it used to be that
if you said, "Oh, that Reagan is
Hitler."
People understood that as just
hyperbole, they didn't think, "Oh, he's
actually Hitler." But when you're doing
it 24 hours a day, Hitler, Hiller,
Hitler, and every time you turn on CNN
or MSNBC, every time somebody's
comparing them to Hitler or Nazis, you
should assume that young people who are
exposed to that and it's all they know
and they're not watching Fox News or
just watching those networks. Of course,
some of them would reach the point of
violence cuz they'd think, well, you
know, everybody thinks they're Hitler as
far as I can tell, so if I take out
Hitler, I'm fine. So, the laws as they
were written were about uh slander. You
can't do slander, but you can lie
and you can, you know, exaggerate and
insult and all those other things. So if
the cumulative effect of wall-to-wall
Hitler accusations
creates a situation where violence is
guaranteed, is that inciting violence?
The answer is not legally. No, because
it has to be immediate. There's no such
thing as a cumulative, you know, over
time. A lot of people did a lot of
things and the cumulative effect was
that somebody got killed. Charlie Kirk
in particular.
That's not illegal. Should it be? Well,
it makes me wonder because when, you
know, our free speech rules were
created,
this wasn't really an option. There was
no such thing as mass brainwashing that
was coordinated through the government
and the in my opinion and uh the news
networks. So, it's a it's a danger of
free speech that simply didn't exist, at
least at this level uh until fairly
recently in history. So, there might be
something we need to rethink about that.
But, in general, I'm I'm going to I'm
going to be biased toward free speech if
there's any gray areas. This one's a
gray area, so I'm biased toward free
speech.
Um, let's see what else.
Um,
so
what Kimmel actually said might be a
little different from what people are
imagining, you know. Uh
he said uh he said the MAGA people were
trying hard to make it look like they
were not responsible for it. But you can
interpret that two ways. One, he's
saying that MAGA is responsible for
killing Charlie Kirk. But
would you take that seriously? The other
way you could interpret those exact
words is that he's not saying Banker was
responsible. He's only saying that
they're trying to make sure you know
they're not responsible.
That's not so bad. So, do you cancel
somebody because they said something
that could be taken two ways? You see,
this gets a little personal at this
point. Something that could be
interpreted differently than it was
intended. Is that how you get cancelled?
That's what Roseanne got cancelled.
Roseanne got cancelled not for what she
thought or what she said. You know that,
right? It wasn't for what she thought,
wasn't what she said, it was what other
people misinterpreted
as her intention got cancelled for that.
I would argue that although I was
intentionally trying to cause some
trouble, I was trying to do it for a
positive
uh purpose, including for black America,
but because people chose to interpret
what I said a little bit out of context
because the larger context was, you
know, DEI, etc. Um,
should I be cancelled because someone
else interpreted what I said in a way
that's not the way I intended it? Is
that a good enough reason to be
canceled? I don't know. But there's some
chance, and I wouldn't know because I'm
not I can't read his mind. There's some
chance that Kimmel was trying to walk
close to the line, but he wasn't quite
not quite, you know, blaming MAGA for
maybe doing it.
Um, I'm looking at a comment. It's the
fact that he ignored the horror and
instead went political.
Um,
that's just something you don't like.
That's not why you lose a job.
I I get what you're saying that he
wasn't showing the uh Oh, no. Actually,
I think he did at some point I believe
he did at some point um say the right
words about the horror. I think he did
actually.
just a different day.
Um, I saw that Dave Portoi weighed in on
this and he said it's not cancelling its
consequences. And that would be true if
we're only looking at a business
decision andor the FCC doing its job for
the public interest. If you think that
getting rid of him is a public interest.
So, but I do think that Dave is, you
know, sort of leaving out that the FCC
is part of the government and you don't
ever want the government trying to
directly or indirectly, you know,
impinge on free speech. Um, but I
understand what uh Dave is saying. So,
he's not wrong that it's primarily it's
a consequence situation more than a more
than a free speech situation. But if
it's got a little bit of free speech in
it, I'm I'm still gonna go with the free
speech. You know, if you say, "Well,
Scott, it's 90% he was a dick."
Okay. If it's 10% free speech, I'm going
to still be biased for the free speech.
Um, Eric Swallwell
uh was defending Kimmel. Um, but of
course the Democrats feel they have to
swear and they're so bad at it. Listen
to this swearing from Eric Swallwell. So
he's talking about Kimmel and sort of
defending him for his free speech, but
he says it this way. Quote, he's a
comedian.
Now, Eric,
let me give you a little advice.
Swearing is is good if you use it right.
Like, you know, Trump is just an expert
at swearing in a in a way that people
will laugh. When he swears during a
rally speech, people laugh because he
puts it in just the right place. You
know, you don't expect it, etc. And um
he's also used it to make a really
important point. So you know, okay,
Trump's not kidding about this one. It's
perfect use of cursing. But Swallwell is
just sort of randomly throwing it in a
post. He's a comedian. You know
what would have worked just as well?
He's a comedian.
Do you think that adding the fword
made his point better? Do you think it
made him look tougher? Did it make him
look stronger? Did it make him look like
a better better politician? Didn't do
any of that. No, that was just a mistake
in communication. And I it's like I feel
like they don't even understand the
point that you can definitely get away
with some swearing if you're a little
bit wise about when you do it. This is
not wise. It's not even close to wise.
So uh I responded to Derek Swallwell who
said he's an effing comedian by
responding and I said so is Roseanne?
And then I said do cartoonists count?
you know, depending if you call me a
comedian or not. Um,
let let me let me give you a little
micro lesson now on something I've been
meaning to discuss. Trump has a
technique that I don't think I've ever
talked about and it's really, really
good. It's really good and I've never
seen anybody use it. So this is one of
the most persuasive
things he does and he he does it sort of
all the time and it goes like this. He
always favors strength
over getting something necessarily done.
So, for example, um when he says, uh,
I'm going to do this with immigration,
and then maybe the court blocks him and
let's say it blocks him totally, he
doesn't win in an appeal. That would be
him acting strong,
but he got blocked. What you remember
about that is the strength. And then the
next thing comes up and once again he
takes the most I don't want to say
extreme because that's the wrong thing
but the strongest the the firmst
strongest take. I will send the uh
national guard into your city to stop
crime. That's the strong take. Now
suppose it never worked. Suppose uh you
know the courts or something else
blocked him from doing it. What you
would remember is how strong he was in
trying to stop crime.
And I could give you a hundred more
examples that he always takes the strong
point of view even if the odds of that
succeeding are low because then you
remember the strength. And the reason
that that's so important is that
whenever the new thing comes up,
whatever the new thing is, you're going
to respect how hard he's going to go at
it. and that's going to modify how you
respond and probably in a way that's
good for Trump. So,
um, framing yourself as always the
strong one in the conversation, the
strong one in politics, that really
works. That and if I were to advise
somebody say, "All right, do you want to
be right about everything? Do do you
want everything you try to do to work?
or do you want to be seen as somebody
who is stronger than a typical
president? Now, the risk is you get
called an authoritarian and all that
which we see happening. That's a risk.
But, uh I would say that the the
supporters of Trump are probably
triggered more by the strength because
you want to know that the person who's
got your back, you know, the one who who
literally has your back, you want to
think he's the strongest person. So, if
you said to me, who who do you want
protecting you? Uh because this
president, he tried to do something with
I don't know, social security reform and
it didn't work.
It wouldn't bother me at all. But if he
told me he did strong things on the
border, strong things in the city about
crime, you know, he went after other
countries that weren't paying their
their dues. Uh, I'm gonna see a lot of
strength and that is really, really good
persuasion. Even when stuff doesn't work
out, it's still the right play. That's
the part people don't know. The ordinary
person would say, "I'm only going to try
to do this if I've got a pretty good
chance of succeeding." He doesn't need
to do that. He can try things that don't
have a high chance of succeeding as long
as it shows how strong he is. Does that
make sense?
I don't think this would work for most
people, but it's definitely working for
him.
All right. Uh, according to the Daily
Color News Foundation, Adam Pack is
writing about this. Uh, I guess
Democrats are a little bit divided now
over whether they should whether they
should keep using incendiary rhetoric
and calling
the Trump administration people uh Nazis
and Hitler. Uh but George Takai, you
remember him, Sulu from the original
Star Trek. Um he says that uh Trump
employing the quote Nazi playbook to
exploit Charlie Kirk's assassination.
Breitbart's writing about that Paul
Boyce and uh can you imagine being
George Tai
and that
that's the same week that Charlie Kirk
is assassinated probably because of
people like George Tai. Let me say it
directly. People like George Dai
cumulatively, not him specifically, but
cumulatively they caused the death of
Charlie Kirk. Does anybody even doubt
that? Do you believe that there was any
chance Kirk would have been
assassinated?
Any chance if Democrats didn't talk that
way, do you think they would have said,
"I don't like his policies and he would
have been shot." I don't I don't think
there's any chance that I think they had
to not like the policies but also think
everybody thinks they sit. I think I you
know this would be popular. I'll do
this.
So
um it will be funny to watch them make
the same mistake over and over, but it's
not funny if it causes somebody else to
take a shot.
Um, you know the news, Blaze Media got a
hold of, I guess they were first to look
at it, a report by a private entity, who
is the Capital Research Center, and they
did a study on George Soros and his
funding machine. So, it I guess it
mapped out all the nodes and, you know,
where the money's coming and how much
and stuff like that. Now, that would be
it's a 95page report and apparently uh
that's going to be turned over to the
Trump administration who also said they
wanted to do some
research on the Soros funding stuff.
I guess also uh
there's some talk about Antifa being uh
designated as a terrorist organization.
That hasn't happened yet. But uh
remember I said Trump is famous for
taking the strong position. Well, what
would be stronger than designated Antifa
as a terrorist organization? Now suppose
it doesn't work out like somehow he has
to back up from that. Would it be a
mistake? Nope. It wouldn't be a mistake.
Even if he doesn't doesn't end up
getting that dump, it wouldn't be a
mistake because everybody would say,
"Man, that's strength. He's going hard
at at the people who need to to get a
little pressure on him.
Well, Israel has completed the iron beam
system. Um, I don't think it's fully
implemented in the IDF, but
technology-wise has passed its tests.
The iron beam is a laser that will shoot
down drones. Now, as you know, lasers
don't work as well on cloudy or rainy
days, but Israel would also still have
the Iron Dome, which shoots up uh
missiles to knock down other missiles.
But we are now uh we're now solidly in
the domain of uh lasers shooting down
stuff.
Uh,
for Scott, uh, you got cancelled for
telling the truth, but Kimmel was lying.
Yeah, that's not really the important
part. That's not how analogies work.
Analogies work when there's just one
thing that they have in common that, you
know, can tell a story. And the one
thing is that if you're both comedians,
that's it. Lying is not against the law.
I don't like it. I wish there would be
less of it, but it's not against the
law. And so, even if he does something I
find very objectionable,
and he did, uh, it's not objectionable
in the free speech sense, unfortunately.
Yeah. Or maybe fortunately.
Um anyway, this uh beam um
I understand
uh somebody can give me a fact check if
I'm wrong about this, but my
understanding is that um if the US is
involved in maybe funding the
development of weapons in Israel, that
what Israel develops, and remember
they're super high-tech, uh whatever
they develop has some kind of licensing
or or the US has the ability to use it,
too. So, I don't know about that for
sure. That's that's just the information
I have right now. But, uh, it's possible
that Israel just developed one of the
best weapons we'll ever have for
defending the United States. If that
happened, then that would be on the plus
side of arguing why funding Israel makes
sense. if they happen to have a a
technical weapons development industry
that's in any way in any pockets is
better than ours
and we have a deal where if we funded it
we have access to some of that
technology
that might be a gigantic benefit for the
United States. So if you're looking at
all the pluses and minuses I'm generally
not in favor of funding other countries
for anything. I mean, I'm just not in
favor of it. But, uh, you can't argue if
that's true that we would get that
technology. You can't argue that we
don't get anything out of it.
In, uh,
uh, what's her name? Um, Kla Harris,
she's got her new book out and she's
she's saying in her book that Tim Walsh
was not her first choice for running
mate. Her first choice was Pete
Buddhajed because, as she said, quote,
"He is a sincere public servant with the
rare talent of being able to frame
liberal arguments in a way that makes it
possible for conservatives to hear
them."
Um, is that what you think? Do you think
Pete Buddha Judge has that rare talent
to frame arguments so conservatives can
hear them?
Wrong.
That's not even a little bit true. I've
listened to a lot of Pete Buddha judge.
Do you think he frames things in a way
that conservatives go, you know, huh?
Oh, wow. Wow. I had the opposite
opinion. But now that I heard Pete
Buddha Judge explain it with his, you
know, his golden tongue,
um, I've changed my mind. That was
pretty good argument there, Pete. No,
I don't think you'll find anyone who
says, "Oh, you know, Pete Buddha Judge
changed my mind on that topic."
I don't know. Kla Harris, she's funny.
Well, Trump's approval level doesn't
look so good, but I'm not sure I care.
He's not going to run for office again.
Um, and it's kind of normal that the
more somebody gets is on the job as
president, he's going to do so many
things that everyone is going to find at
least one thing that they're not crazy
about. So, I don't know. It just feels
normal that no matter who the president
is at this point, yeah, they're probably
going to be a dip. Um, no surprise. I
I'm not worried about that. The Hill is
reporting that
um
according to a uh Walton Family
Foundation Gallup poll that just came
out um only 35% of respondents
are satisfied with the state of K
through 12 education in the United
States. 35%.
Now that would probably be the 35% whose
kids are in good schools, don't you
think?
Um, I have a question.
Is is the problem with schools, excuse
me, is the problem with schools because
they are a mess. Is it the teachers?
Is it the lack of uh, let's say,
physical resources?
I feel like it's the other students.
What do you think?
I feel like um you know 65% of the
schools have just enough troublemakers
that it ruins the whole experience for
everybody.
Um now I do think that in many cases the
teachers are bad but I don't think the
teachers could help if the class has too
many troublemakers in it.
you know, troublemakers.
What do you think? And and it seems to
me that private schools um solve for
that because the only people who go to
private schools are the people whose
parents think that's going to work. And
uh it generally gets you a less
troublemaking group of people. And I I
feel like the private school would kick
you out if you were a troublemaker,
whereas the the public school would
have, you know, more of an obligation to
keep you even if you're a little bit of
a troublemaker. But what is the problem?
Is it mostly the other people, the other
students?
Um, imagine imagine if you will. I spent
a lot of time imagining what it would be
like to be a poor black student. Do you
do that?
Maybe that's weird, but I I literally I
spend a lot of time and always have
wondering
could you escape that trap? So, let's
say you're born into a poor single
single parent situation and you go to
school and 70% of the people in the
class don't care about graduating, don't
care about their grades, don't care
about their future, and they're just
causing trouble.
Can you escape that? Can you use your,
you know, let's say you've got good
character and you're smart enough?
you're smart enough that you should do
well in life. Is that going to be
enough? If if you don't have the
resources or wherewithal to go to a
private school and you had to stay
there, could you possibly get a good
outcome if 70% of the students just came
to cause trouble?
I would think there's not a chance, not
a chance at all.
So the first problem with
what you have to do to solve any problem
is you have to figure out what the
actual base problem is. Some of it has
to be the teachers. But it does seem to
me that as long as the students beyond a
certain percentage of the class are
troublemakers, it wouldn't matter who
your who your teacher is, there's no way
you could overcome that.
So now it could be that in the old days,
let's say when I was a kid, uh, capital
punishment was still okay. I had a
teacher who would beat you with a
baseball bat if you got in line like an
actual baseball bat. He kept it, you
know, kept it in the he actually kept it
in the class and uh he would fi have
fist fights. Uh, he was pretty strong.
He he had this big monkey muscular body
and he would have fist fights with kids.
And I'll tell you, we were pretty well
behaved after a couple of bouts of
violence. And in a small town back in
those days, if if you if a parent found
out that the teacher punched a child,
the first thing they would ask is, "What
do you do?" That's the first question.
What'd he do? And then he would tell
them and they'd say, "Uh, all right.
Well, I don't love the fact that you
punched him, but he had a common, you
know, some version of that." And that
unfortunately, and I'm not saying
that's, you know, all good. I mean, you
you can have some childhood PTSD from
that. Um, but generally speaking, forget
about that one teacher. He was extreme,
but generally speaking, there was just
more discipline
and it helped everybody in the class.
Now, I don't think we should necessarily
go back to the old ways, but somehow you
have to solve for the fact that not
everybody in the room has the same goal,
which is to learn. Yeah, you got to
solve that before you you have any
chance.
All right.
And then back to my original point. If
your only problem was that you were poor
and you had a single mother, but once
you went to school, everything worked
smoothly, I think you could you could do
great. I I think nothing would stop you
under just those minimum conditions. As
long as school is good, you've got a way
out. That's the way it's supposed to
work, right? It's supposed to be that
you can work your way out of poverty by
working hard, going to school,
developing a skill. Tyson Food said it's
going to halt the use of high fructose
corn syrup, which many people say is not
healthy. Uh, The Hill is reporting on
this. Um, and they also apparently they
already
they're going to halt the use of
sucralose.
It's a preservative, I guess. And
they're they've already removed
petroleum based synthetic dyes. How many
of you knew you were eating oil?
That petroleum
based synthetic dyes were in your food.
You're actually eating oil,
right? Or or is it processed to the
point where that's an unfair thing to
say? Um
so I think what's going to happen uh is
that RFK Jr. etc. is creating a
situation where all the big companies
are going to have to act and if
everybody has to act then presumably
there will be industries and products
that pop up to be alternatives to
whatever the ingredients are that seem
to be unhealthy. If only one company
wanted to switch to a healthier
alternative. it might not be enough to
make a industry and of the alternative.
But if everybody kind of needs to
because it'd be too much pressure from
the public and RFK Jr. then suddenly
it's a big money situation to to get
healthier and people might produce that
product for you. So I feel like
everything's working going in the right
direction on food. It's just going to
take a while.
Um, I saw a uh post by Siki Chen on X.
Siki is uh in in the tech world. He's
well known in the tech world. Um, he
said, "I've lived in the United States
for almost 42 years. I've been alive and
never had people be openly racist to me
until I heard from all the people either
openly on X or privately in DMs hurling
racist abuse at me for switching to the
Republican party." and he says eye
opening.
Now that's shocking.
That is shocking. All right.
Um,
so,
so apparently the day before I saw this,
Daniel Greenfield wrote about this that,
uh, the day before Charlie Kirk was
assassinated,
there was a free speech ranking in a
fire survey. fire being the name of the
company or the name of the entity fire
uh fire survey of 68,000 college
students whole bunch of universities and
revealed that one in three students
believe uh believe that using violence
to stop a speaker they disagreed with on
campus was acceptable.
One in three people thought violence was
acceptable to stop people from saying
things you don't like. violence one and
three.
Now, here's my take. I don't believe
that survey.
Do you do you think that's true? That
sounds a lot like something that college
students say in an answer to a survey.
It doesn't sound like something they do.
So, you know, if you say to me, uh, do
you think, uh, young people whose brains
are not developed and they like causing
trouble and, you know, maybe they like
using a little hyperbole,
I feel like it's something you say on a
survey, if you're young,
that isn't really something you believe
or if or if you were in the situation,
you wouldn't do any violence. So, I feel
like it's alarming and I would certainly
keep an eye on it. I wouldn't I wouldn't
completely discount it. I could be
wrong.
It's happened, but I'm not entirely sure
that's telling us what we think.
Remember, all data is fake.
Um, I told you that the US is going to
overhaul the citizenship test. Did you
know that the citizenship was a 100
questions, but you only get 10 of them?
So, they randomly picked 10 of the
questions. Um, but you would have to
study all hundred to make sure you can
get uh most of them right. So, so it
used to be that you only need to get a
six out of 10 right. Uh, but now you'll
need 12 correct out of 20.
And I looked at the questions and I'm
happy to say I think I could pass it.
But if you had 128 facts that you had to
learn and you only had to get 12 out of
20 right, how how long would you have to
study before you could nail that? You'd
probably have to under Well, not
probably, you'd have to understand
English, otherwise you wouldn't be able
to understand the test. Uh, and I guess
it's a verbal test. It's not even
written. somebody somebody just asks you
10 questions and then checks it off. But
I don't know what was there really some
reason that we had to add 28 questions.
I don't know.
But there's probably a good reason for
it.
Um so according to just the news Ben
Weeden already 2 million illegal uh
residents have left the country. 400,000
directly deported and then 1.6 million
self-epporting.
You know, when I heard this whole
self-deporting thing, you know, the
commercials you see on TV with Christy
Gnome and she's saying, you know, if you
leave now, there's a chance we would let
you back in, but if you don't leave and
we have to get rid of you, you'll never
come back. So, some number of people are
self-epporting,
way more than I thought. I I thought
everybody would just hang tight and try
to ride it out, you know, try to hide
from the law until there's a new new
president or something. But that is if
if these numbers are right, and you
know, there's always a question about
that. If really 1.6 million people left
on their own on top of 400,000 deported,
wouldn't you call that a really good
job? Because remember the at least the
400,000 are not all but a lot of them
are the worst. I don't know what
percentage I don't think it's very high
percentage actually but if they got a
lot of the bad people first I don't know
that feels very successful. I would give
a I would give a high mark for that
number of people in six months.
Um David Saxs as you know he's in the
administration he's got portfolio of
crypto and I think AI and he says that
uh there's big news from China and that
Huawei their big tech company over there
uh has introduced a new AI chip that's
going to compete with Nvidia here. We
thought we were all awesome in the
United States because we had better
chips. So, we could get better AI and,
you know, rule the world. But Huawei is
uh competing. Now, their chips are not
as good as Nvidia.
And people are saying things like,
"Well, it's going to be a long time
before they can catch up." We don't know
that. We don't know how long it'll take
them to catch up. They've already
figured out how to architect their
lesser chips so that they act like
better chips. They just use more of them
and they can, you know, approximate
Nvidia. They can't get there, but they
can get close.
So, China is not really desperate for
our chips and they're doing essentially
what we're doing by trying to do better
at mining rare earth so that we don't
have to depend on them. Well, they're
doing the same thing, but what they're
doing is building a chip building
industry. Now, um
the problem is that Huawei will start
selling its AI chips to other countries.
And if China is the one providing the AI
tech and not the United States, then
those countries are going to be a little
bit under the uh thumb of China because
they will depend on China for their
technology and they have to have AI
because everybody will have to have it.
So David Saxs is warning us that maybe
uh we should look at loosening up our
sales to the non-China companies so that
they don't buy from China,
which seems common sensical. I would I
would say that on the surface that makes
sense.
Um, but I would also say that in general
I feel like it's more likely that China
will match Nvidia in a few short years
than the chances that they won't. Um,
there's just too much too much writing
on it and they'll do everything from
bribery to blackmail to outright IP
theft. And I don't know, is it
impossible for them to just get one of
the Nvidia chips and look at the, you
know, look at the architecture and copy
it? Is that not possible? Or is it the
software? Well, even that they can copy.
So, I'm going to I'm going to bet that
China will surprise us in how quickly
they reach parody, if not more, to
Nvidia.
Well, Ukraine has attacked yet another
uh refinery in uh in Russia. This a gasp
prom refinery in Bashkurstan,
Russia. So, it's 1300 kilometers from
the front line. So, they're going pretty
deep into Russia. And they use scores of
drones and they had a direct hit on the
facility. Now I don't know how much of
it was destroyed or whether it stopped
operation but I was wondering remember
I've told you that I was guessing that
if Ukraine could take out 20% that was
my own estimate of the refining capacity
or the energy resources in Russia that
Russia's economy would be in such
trouble that they might want to you know
do a peace deal.
Well, according to
uh whatever it was I was reading that I
didn't write down the source. Um they
may have already expert projections
indicate that sustained disruptions to
40 or 50% of the capacity could tip the
balance. So I said 20% would put him in
trouble. The experts say 40 to 50%.
Guess what they're at?
So, how much of that they disrupted so
far? Um,
if I wrote it down, I think it was like
17 20% something like that. Yeah, 17 to
24%. So, it's possible that there that
Ukraine is halfway
and there's nothing that would stop them
from getting to 40 or 50, but they're
already halfway to the number that would
collapse um the Russian economy. Now,
it's I would say it's obvious that
that's the strategy because they don't
really have any chance of winning, you
know, a direct military battle, but they
could definitely take out 40 to 50% of
their refinery capacity and then things
get pretty uh
get pretty sketchy, assuming any of
those numbers are real.
Now, obviously, Russia would up their uh
up their response, so you can't predict
that that would give Ukraine any victory
or anything, but it might make Russia
sufficiently incentivized to at least
talk peace. We'll see.
Um, California legislature, I can't even
believe this, passed a bill to create
subsidies for news entities for media,
the media entities. And uh, it's because
Governor Nuome thinks that uh, the media
entities in California need a little
boost. Now, how do you interpret that?
Uh, this is being reported by Just the
News. How do you how do you understand
that except for a way for the governor
to control the news? Uh if you want your
subsidy,
you better do, you know, positive
reporting about me or do you think it's
just another way um for the government
to launder money? Do you think that
there's anybody who's like a good friend
or relative perhaps of Newsome who might
be a recipient of some of those
subsidies? Well, that's the way it
usually goes on the Democrat side. If
you hear they've created any kind of
funding or subsidies for anything, the
first thing you could know is that that
money is going to go to their cronies
and people were going to give some of it
back to the politicians who who created
that law. So, I would say every part of
this looks dirty to me.
Well, the Pope has weighed in. He's
slamming Elon Musk for what he calls
obscene greed. He said uh talking about
money. He said, "If that is the only
thing that has any value anymore, then
we're in big trouble." And he pointed
out the continuous wider income gap. He
said, "Yesterday there was a news that
Elon Musk is going to be the first
trillionaire in the world." And then he
says,"What does that mean?" And um so he
he thinks that's bad. If the only thing
that has any value anymore, we're in
trouble, blah blah blah. Um now, I don't
want to criticize the Pope,
but I would point out that the Pope's
expertise does not seem to extend to the
business world. Let me explain what the
trillion dollars is all about. The
trillion dollars is not what he's going
to spend on buying what? Better
t-shirts.
Elon Musk wears basically a t-shirt and
jeans every single day. Like what's he
spending his trillion on? Is it because
he he has a private jet that he flies
around? That would be a necessity for
anyone who has that many businesses.
If you have more than one business and
you're a global kind of a company and uh
you need to run businesses in different
places and you've got yeah private plane
is just business. There's nothing wrong
with that. And it's not like he even has
a mansion or anything. He doesn't have a
mansion. I don't know if he ever will.
He seems uninterested in that kind of
stuff. So Elon Musk is the least
consumerdriven person I've ever seen.
You know, Steve Jobs, you know, arguably
was in that domain.
But I think it's a complete
misunderstanding that the trillion
dollars is just his money.
No, it's not. The trillion dollars is
the value of SpaceX and, you know, Tesla
and those other companies. He's building
robots and going to Mars and, you know,
solving all these uh physical problems
with um the the brain chip thing. Uh
that trillion dollars is almost,
I'd say,
98%
for the public good. He only does
companies that are for the public good.
He's not making a video game, although
he might someday.
the the things he does are so obviously
good for the country, if not the world.
At the very least, it makes the US more
competitive.
But it bothers me a little that the Pope
would weigh in on this and be so wrong
about understanding the general
situation. I want Elon Musk to have $2
trillion
because his history is that he invests
every penny he makes and that that's how
he got to where he is. He invests it
all. So,
Pope, come on.
Come on, Pope.
All right. I saw an estimate in tech
explorer Andrew Zinnan is writing that
according to the WTO AI might boost
global trade values by at least 40%.
So so that would be a gigantic, you
know, improvement in in business.
Do you believe that? Do you believe that
the WTO can do a a believable credible
estimate about how much AI will boost
global trade?
Let's see how well I've trained you. Do
you believe that's that's something they
can estimate?
No. This is as ridiculous as the climate
models. No. There's no such thing as
estimating the temperature in 20 years.
That's not a thing. I mean, not credibly
doing it. And it's not a thing that you
can figure out how AI will boost global
trade. Please. Really? Really? Nobody
knows what AI is going to do. It might
be better than that. It might be worse,
but nobody knows an estimate. God.
All right. Nobody can legitimately
estimate that sort of thing. And once
you learn that, it will help you a lot
because there there's a tendency if all
these experts say, "Well, we we
estimated this thing." And you say to
yourself, "Well, experts estimated a
thing. That sounds pretty good to me."
Um, but generally when experts are
estimating a thing, the odds that they
know what they're doing and the estimate
is credible, very low. It's very low.
All right, that's all I got to say
today. I've got my cat in my lap
who has been enjoying the show more than
you because the cat likes it when I'm
busy doing something else and he's just
laying on my lap. So, Gary,
uh, I'm done now with the main show and
I'm going to go private with the, uh,
beloved,
very beloved local subscribers and the
rest of you. Thanks for joining.
Um, and we'll be back tomorrow, same
time, same place. All right, locals, I'm
coming at you in 30 seconds.
30 seconds starting.