Episode 3004 CWSA 10/30/25
Trump and the imaginary chhina deals, Republicans hunted, and more fun ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Come on in. We’ll give you the show that you deserve today. All right. Well, I’m lost in the Locals menus and cannot determine any way that I can see my own show. Let’s see. I’ll close Locals on that screen. Reopen. It should open
View segment →right up to where I want. Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It’s called Coffee with Scott Adams and you’ve never had a better time. But if you’d like to take a chance on elevating your experience to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shin…
View segment →simultaneous sip. And it happens now. If you’re wondering why I’m using two hands for my cup, it’s because my hands are semi-paralyzed at the moment thanks to something that’s going on with my body. I told the local subscribers before I got on here, I went to the emergency room yesterday on my doct…
View segment →ever is happening with my paralysis. But the later might help with that if I ever get it scheduled. So that’s the update. I’d like to start with a reframe to change your life. As you know, the reframes in my book *Reframe Your Brain* change people’s lives with one sentence. Although each person is…
View segment →tell them you’re competing with them. Could be a coworker, could be a classmate or something, but you just tell yourself, “Okay, I’m going to beat that one. That one I’m going to beat.” And then you’ve got a target. You’ve got something specific. And you’re far more likely to accomplish something sp…
View segment →ng an LED light without damaging healthy cells. That sounds pretty good. What will Democrats say about the development of LED light to fight cancer? What will they say? Well, we already know what they’ll say. Democrats will say, “Why would you use household disinfectants and bleach to kill cancer?”…
View segment →ding a quiet supersonic jet. So something that doesn’t go bam when it crosses the sound barrier. This one goes thud. A more acceptable noise in the atmosphere. And they’re already testing. It’s already built and they’re doing test flights and it works. And if it works and if it brings in a new era o…
View segment →“It’s an insurrection.” Well, no, not really. Because that was not the intention of any of the people who had attended. “It was an insurrection.” Yeah, but it really wasn’t. So if you get into the arguing over what the word means, then they have a chance of at least a tie because people who don’t p…
View segment →hoax. And he of course couldn’t help himself. So he posted today, “We won the war on climate change hoax.” And he said that this is what Trump said on X. “Bill Gates has finally admitted that he was completely wrong on the issue. It took courage to do so and for that we’re all grateful. MAGA.” So T…
View segment →bert live every night. I can’t promise I’ll do it every night. Actually my ability to draw could be done this week. This might be the last time I draw because my hand is increasingly paralyzed from whatever is going on medically with me. So at the moment, my two fingers and thumb on my left hand sti…
View segment →Come on in. We’ll give you the show that you deserve today.
All right. Well, I’m lost in the Locals menus and cannot determine any way that I can see my own show. Let’s see. I’ll close Locals on that screen. Reopen. It should open right up to where I want.
Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It’s called Coffee with Scott Adams and you’ve never had a better time. But if you’d like to take a chance on elevating your experience to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass or a stein, a canteen, jug or flask or vessel of any kind filled with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.
Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It’s called, that’s right, the simultaneous sip. And it happens now.
If you’re wondering why I’m using two hands for my cup, it’s because my hands are semi-paralyzed at the moment thanks to something that’s going on with my body. I told the local subscribers before I got on here, I went to the emergency room yesterday on my doctor’s orders because of the growing paralysis in my hands. And the emergency room sent me home without the MRI because they said this is no emergency. We’re not allowed to use the MRI unless it’s an emergency.
And I said, “My doctor’s here.” She even emailed ahead to make sure you knew what you were going to do so that you would do it. “Yeah, but upper back. It’s not an emergency. I’m getting paralyzed. I can barely move one hand.” “Yeah, but you’re not dying.” So a guy with a snake bite came in. He didn’t do much better, but I think they saved his life.
Anyway, so today is the first day I get my radiation treatment. It’ll just be a spot treatment for the one place that’s bothering me in my lower body. It would not be a treatment for whatever is happening with my paralysis. But the later might help with that if I ever get it scheduled. So that’s the update.
I’d like to start with a reframe to change your life. As you know, the reframes in my book *Reframe Your Brain* change people’s lives with one sentence. Although each person is different, so the sentence that changes your life will be different than the one that changes somebody else’s. But maybe today’s your day. Let’s see.
Here’s a usual frame. People tell you that you should compete against yourself. Have you ever heard that? They’ll say, you know, no, no, no. You’re not competing against other people. You’re just trying to do better than you did. Have you ever heard that advice? Very common advice. Bad advice.
Here’s some better advice. I’m going to reframe it. Instead of competing with yourself and trying to improve over time, which sounds like a good idea, you can do better. Compete against other people. You’ll do better if you compete against other people. But here’s the trick. Even if they’re unaware that you’re competing with them, so you don’t have to tell them you’re competing with them. Could be a coworker, could be a classmate or something, but you just tell yourself, “Okay, I’m going to beat that one. That one I’m going to beat.” And then you’ve got a target. You’ve got something specific. And you’re far more likely to accomplish something specific than something generic. Like everybody knows that, right?
So if you say, “I’m going to beat that person on that chemistry test,” even if they don’t know you’re competing, it’s going to help you compete. So that’s your reframe of the day. Good for young people especially.
All right, let me make sure I got all your comments. Yes, I do. Well, according to somebody named Lara Weed, best last name I could ever imagine, Lara Weed. Anyway, she’s a circadian research lab person from Stanford, so she knows what she’s talking about. And there’s a new study that says you shouldn’t change the time. You know how we do this standard versus daylight time. But here’s the new wrinkle. Changing the time is bad for people’s circadian rhythms and they have health problems and other problems. But it’s bad no matter how you change it. So if you stuck with daylight versus standard time, it would still be better than if you changed it twice a year. So it’s the change that’s the problem.
But on top of that, keeping things at standard time would be the least burden on your circadian rhythms. So at least according to one study, not that we trust science anymore, but something to talk about, that keeping it on standard time would be the healthiest. So we don’t know.
Well, according to Dr. Peter Diamandis, who I see on X, I follow on X, I guess chemo may be something that we won’t need anymore for skin cancer because there’s new research. Scientists say they can kill 92% of skin cancer cells using an LED light without damaging healthy cells. That sounds pretty good.
What will Democrats say about the development of LED light to fight cancer? What will they say? Well, we already know what they’ll say. Democrats will say, “Why would you use household disinfectants and bleach to kill cancer?” And then I would say, “What? Nobody said anything about bleach.” “Yeah, you just said bleach will cure your cancer.” No, nobody even used the word. Nobody even used the word. No, we’re talking about light. From the beginning to end, we’re talking about light. Yeah. “Were you?” Because the news said that you said bleach would do it.
Do you all remember the drinking bleach hoax, which was done exactly the same way as the fine people hoax? In both cases the hoax was because you cut off the clarifier. When Trump said, “But I’m not talking about the neo-Nazis. They should be condemned totally,” you take that off and it reverses what he said. With the drinking bleach thing, if you take off the beginning where Trump said he was talking about light and then you take off the clarifier at the end where he again emphasizes he was only talking about light, if you take those clarifiers off, it allowed the news to say that he was talking about household disinfectants or bleach because the other people had talked about it before. It’s the same hoax.
So it’s funny to see that there’s yet another light treats a disease will CNN reported as why would you put bleach on your skin? No, they won’t because Trump didn’t say it.
According to Interesting Engineering, now we can make art, we like you and I can do it. Somebody can make artificial neurons that replicate real brain chemistry. And you would do that because it might be another way to get to AI. How many times have I told you that our current big AI models, the large language models, will never get you to general intelligence? They’ll just sort of be able to do what they can do now, but maybe a little bit better. They’re not really going to get over the hump to be like a thinking conscious anything. It doesn’t have that potential in my opinion.
But there are a whole bunch of other AI approaches that are being rapidly prototyped at least because I think people know that there’s a limit to the large language models. And so this neuron replicator was specifically so they can build a better AI with a completely different method. I think I’ve read several now. There are several different approaches that all have that same quality, which is they’re not regular LLMs. They’re a completely different approach because I think that would get you to advanced general intelligence.
So if I had to bet I would bet that the LLMs are going to get leapfrogged by some smaller entity and then they’ll get bought up pretty quickly. But if some smaller entity could do that, you know, do the whole large language model without a trillion dollars, you know, if they could do it for a hundred million, some trillion dollar company’s going to buy them pretty quickly. So that’ll happen.
As you know, Elon Musk has said, and I like repeating it because every time I hear it, it makes me happy. The Optimus, the robots that Tesla is going to make and is making already will cost less than a car, twenty to thirty thousand dollars eventually. But here’s the fun part. Elon says it will be able to do anything you want. Well, anything. I don’t know about anything, but it could teach, babysit your kids, walk your dog, mow your lawn, get groceries, serve drinks, or just be your friend. Whatever you can think of, it will do. I can think of a lot of things. It’s going to be awesome.
And I think this will be the biggest product of ever of any kind. Now that’s the exciting part that we could be watching the greatest product innovation rollout trend of all time of all history and we’re going to get to watch it I think. But this would suggest that Elon Musk thinks that he has a version of AI that can get to something like general intelligence because that’s what he’s describing here. The LLMs would never get you to a robot that could do that stuff. It just isn’t the right technology. But he uses visual training. So he’s doing a lot of visual training and I think some probably some artificial worlds training too. So it looks like he thinks he has a path and if he says he has a path, I would not doubt him.
Did you know that in addition to drugs that are generics, so you know we have generic drugs, but the pharma would wish we didn’t because if there were no such thing as generics, then they could forever have a monopoly on their IP, their property. But over time their IP times out and then there can be a generic for the drug. But did you know there’s a separate category of drugs and I’m not smart enough to know what’s in the category, but the biologics? Biologics. So that’s a category of drugs.
But apparently according to RFK Jr. who just did an announcement about it, apparently the pharma was doing a great job of marketing and persuading Congress not to allow knockoffs of their biologics. And the argument was that nobody would be able to make a proper copy. That’s sort of like magic and wizardry and more like making a fine wine and you couldn’t let anybody knock off the biologics because it might be dangerous and ineffective. And somehow they sold that. Meaning that if you tried to make an imitation or copy of one of these biologics that had lost its copyright protection or whatever protection it has, that you couldn’t do it because they had put too many obstacles in the way.
But apparently there’s going to be a rules change and President Trump’s going to sign something that would allow companies to compete for this big category of biologics. And that would be, in my opinion, a huge win for RFK Jr. because it’s not the sort of thing that necessarily would have even come up had he not been running the show. So not only did he identify a problem that has potentially enormous economic value to consumers, but it looks like he acted, identified the problem, acted, solved. I mean I’m sure nothing’s that easily solved, but looks like a win to me. OANN is reporting on that.
Well, meanwhile, NASA is reportedly building or it’s well along the way of building a quiet supersonic jet. So something that doesn’t go bam when it crosses the sound barrier. This one goes thud. A more acceptable noise in the atmosphere. And they’re already testing. It’s already built and they’re doing test flights and it works. And if it works and if it brings in a new era of air travel, it could reduce the time that you go across the country to I don’t know maybe half. So imagine flying from California to New York in three hours instead of sixish. That’d be a pretty big change.
Imagine I live in California. Most of the Californians who have a little extra money like to go to Hawaii. That’s sort of our closest tropical looking place. Imagine instead of six hours to Hawaii, it’s three. It completely changes the experience for me. For me, any kind of travel, when I could travel, was all about the time you had to be in the plane. If you can reduce the time when you’re on the plane, I’m all in. But if you’re gonna tell me I need to be on a plane for fourteen hours to go to Bora Bora or something, I can’t do twenty-eight hours of sitting on a plane there and back. But if you cut it in half, yeah, suddenly it looks kind of practical. All right, so we’ll wait for that.
Supersonic flights allegedly according to Dr. Singularity, who’s got some news on X. A number of the big AI companies have built an artificial simulated fusion reactor situation. So allegedly, I’m a little skeptical about this one, but let me tell you what it is. You know, we’ve been trying to get fusion energy, but it’s really complicated and hard. We know we can do it because fusion as a technology is a proven technology but not engineered to economic success yet. So there’s an economic iteration process that has to go through. We don’t need to prove it can work. We’re already past that. We just need to engineer it so it does work and it’s reliable and safe. Fusion should be safer if you do it right, should be safer than fission, but except for the Gen 4.
And so Nvidia and some other big companies have allegedly gotten together and built an artificial fusion situation so that they can iterate a bunch of different things within a virtual world and then that will tell them what to do in the real world. Now, do you believe that they can’t build a fusion reactor yet that meets all the requirements but that they could build an accurate AI simulation of it? Does that sound like something people could do? I’m going to say no. Sorry. I’m going to say no. I don’t think people could do that. It might teach us something or it might pop up a possibility that we had not considered but I don’t think it would accurately simulate it, do you?
And how would you know if it accurately simulated it because we can’t do it in the real world. So what would you compare it to to know that it had accurately simulated it so you weren’t wasting your time seeing what the simulation would do? So let’s just say, call me skeptical.
All right. Have you heard of my book *Loserthink*? Let me grab it off the shelf. Hold on. Oh, there it is. Coming. Sorry, I meant to be more prepared.
So my book *Loserthink* has many examples of how to poorly think so that you know not to do it. One of the more important points in the book is what I call word thinking. Have you heard me talk about that before? Word thinking. So word thinking is where you’re trying to make an argument that really just forces the other person to accept your definition of a word as opposed to an argument. So word thinking is the opposite of being rational and the opposite of making an argument. It’s just trying to browbeat somebody into accepting that the word you’re using for a thing is the right word because that carries the argument with it if you buy the word.
For example, if they can sell you that Gaza was a genocide, then they don’t need to make an argument. If you accept the word, they’re done, right? But it’s really more complicated than it is or is not a word. There’s a whole backstory. There’s a context, there’s everything. So whenever you see somebody trying to force you to take their word as their definition, that’s just propaganda. That’s just power. That has nothing to do with what’s right or wrong or logical.
Now, what do Democrats say about the government shutdown? Well, Governor Newsom’s press office says, quote, “If you control all three branches of government, how are you not in charge?” So they’re using the word “control” as the word that they want you to accept. If you accept “control,” then you have accidentally accepted that the Republicans are the ones that can open the government all by themselves, right? There’s no argument there. They just want you to accept “control.” If you buy into the definition of who’s in control and they’ve defined it as who’s got control of the three parts of the government, then you are in control and therefore logically only you can open the government.
Now, everybody who pays attention to the news knows that the Democrats would have to vote for it also in at least large enough numbers to get it passed, and they’re not. So the Democrats have complete control because all they have to do is say yes and the government opens because the Republicans have already said yes to a continuing resolution which would get it done.
Now you may have seen Jessica Tarlov arguing on *The Five* the same point and what she does is she uses a wording substitution. I think the word she used, if I remember, was “incumbent.” She said that if you’re the one who owns all the, if you’re in control of the three branches of government, as Republicans are, that it is incumbent upon you to negotiate with the minority, the Democrats, and give them something in return for them agreeing to open the government.
Now, do you see the word thinking there? That’s word thinking. There’s no argument there. She’s trying to replace an argument with a word: incumbent. It’s incumbent upon you. But where is the connecting tissue? Where’s the logic that says that you’ve got two teams. One team has already said yes to open the government. The other team has not yet said yes. Why would it be incumbent on the ones who have already said yes to give something away when they’ve already agreed to do the thing that’s the thing which is open the government and pay for it? They’ve already agreed. There’s no incumbent to anything. Who wrote that rule? Is there something in the Constitution about what makes you incumbent?
Now, I hope I’m using the right word. Was it “incumbent” the word she used on *The Five*? I didn’t write it down, but from memory I think that’s what. But if it’s not “incumbent” it’s a word like that. So it’s the same point even if it’s a different word. So how many of you recognize this now? How many of you recognize that this was always word thinking and that’s all it ever was? And that a great deal of the Democrat narratives and approaches are this. They just try to get you to buy into a word.
What are some other words the Democrats are trying to get you to accept? “Insurrection” when they talk about January 6th. They don’t want to give an argument because the argument would go like this. What did those people want to accomplish? Oh, they thought the election was rigged and they were trying to pause it to make sure that we had a fair election. That’s what an actual argument would look like. But if you can’t win the argument, you try to do it with word thinking. You say, “It’s an insurrection.” Well, no, not really. Because that was not the intention of any of the people who had attended. “It was an insurrection.” Yeah, but it really wasn’t.
So if you get into the arguing over what the word means, then they have a chance of at least a tie because people who don’t pay attention to the news will think, well, half of them say it’s an insurrection and half of them say it’s not, sort of a tie, so I’ll just go with my team that says it is. It’s not a tie. It’s not even close to a tie. There probably wasn’t one person there who thought that they could take over the government by walking around unarmed and trespassing. Not one person thought that that would take over the government.
Anyway, so that’s what word thinking is when there’s no argument, but they’re trying to get you to accept their words.
Meanwhile, Trump’s been over in Asia trying to make deals. I guess he might have made a deal for some soybeans. I can’t tell if this is a good deal or a bad deal, but twenty-five million tons and twelve million tons immediately. So Bessent was announcing that and also he rents land to farmers who do soybeans. So Bessent went over there and got a deal that was good for Bessent. Was it good for anybody else? I have no context to know whether that would be good for anybody else, but certainly would be good for the soy farming landlords.
Sorry, I just needed that extra sip. All right, what else did he get? But that’s not all. We’ve got reports of other deals that Trump made. Let’s see. So we got the soybeans. So that’s good for the farmers. What I wonder about, and I don’t know if we’ll ever find this out, did our farmers grow a bunch of soybeans and then have to throw them away because they didn’t have any place to sell them? Have they already wasted the soybeans that they grew or do they have a bunch of stored up soybeans that are just ready to go and that this is just pure good news? I don’t know. Because if they already lost the whole season, which they might have, right? Isn’t it possible that farmers lost the whole season? That would put a lot of people out of business. So I don’t know how good or bad this is. Does it save us? By us, I mean the soy farmers. I don’t know.
But I guess the president and President Xi, they met, but they did not talk about Taiwan or the deal for TikTok. And I think that was the right play because it’s not like they were going to make a decision on Taiwan while they were there for an hour and a half. And it’s not like I don’t think the TikTok deal needed any extra approvals, right? He didn’t need Xi to say yes because they already said yes. So it doesn’t make sense that they would have talked about those. Those were lower priority for the meeting, I think. But they did talk about other stuff.
And Trump says he’s going to drop the tariff by ten basis points, ten percent, because China promised to do more on fentanyl. Does that sound like a win for the United States? We lowered their tariff because the tariff had been put on because they weren’t doing enough about fentanyl. But Xi said he would try harder on fentanyl. That’s a nothing. Unfortunately, that’s a nothing. Try harder. No, he’s not going to try harder. That’s a nothing. But we did reduce their tariffs, so they got a something. So China got a something, but it was also something artificial because Trump has simply made up the tariff. So Trump, Xi got something that didn’t have any actual value because it was just something that Trump made up. I’ll give you more, you know, I’ll increase your tariff. And then he took away the thing he made up. So that’s sort of a break even.
We were not getting enough help with fentanyl. We’re still not going to get enough help with fentanyl. That’s a nothing. So apparently this deal of tariffs reduced for fentanyl help, to me it looks a little more like we gave them nothing in return for nothing. To me, that’s just nothing. Love to be wrong. I would love to be wrong about that.
And then apparently China is not going to bother us on the rare earth minerals. They’re going to be somewhat unrestricted, but they can change that on a dime, right? China can change their mind on the rare earth minerals in five minutes. So does it really mean anything when they say they’re not going to try to restrict our rare earth minerals? To me, it looks more like they want to make sure that they can corner that market and not encourage us to create alternative sources because I think they know that they would have more power if we believe that we had a secure supply of rare earth from them only or if they’re the biggest source. So I got a feeling that’s strategic than being a good friend. You know, they’re like, “We’d rather maintain our total power over your rare earth. So for now, we’re going to sell you all you want.” Sort of like a drug dealer. So I don’t know. It’s better that they’re not restricting it at the moment as long as we don’t pull back from our effort to diversify our sources. I don’t think we are.
All right. What else do they agree on? That China is going to quote discuss the microchip restrictions with Nvidia. Is that anything? So they agree that somebody’s going to talk to somebody. So China’s going to talk to Nvidia. But Nvidia doesn’t get to approve or not approve the chip sales. That’s the government. So the people who can’t make the decision are going to talk about it. That’s a nothing. Again, it’s a nothing. But maybe it looks good on paper.
And then according to the Coobei letter on X, I didn’t see it anywhere else, but allegedly one of the agreements is that China and the US will quote collaborate on Ukraine. Do you think the US and China are going to collaborate on Ukraine? No. No. That’s a nothing. That couldn’t possibly be a thing. No, that’s not going to happen. And that there’s talk that a real trade deal, a more comprehensive trade deal might be coming. Maybe. I don’t see it.
So it could be that the only real thing on this list of accomplishments and you know, you’ve been with me long enough, you know I’m totally pro Trump, right? You know I’m totally pro America, pro Trump. I don’t think he got anything. Is that okay? Everybody okay with that take? I don’t think he got anything. But he didn’t lose anything. I don’t think he lost anything.
Did you see the body language when they were doing the extended handshake? God, that looked awkward, didn’t it? We’ve seen Trump shake hands with every kind of leader in the world and it always looks like he has some kind of physical dominant advantage over them. Well, President Xi obviously, you know, he’s operating at a high level and he knows what the handshake means and he knows what it looks like and he’s a big guy. He’s physically a big guy. So Xi held tight and he just kept his President Xi face. He didn’t get pulled in by the charisma. He was absolutely charisma resistant. And I didn’t see any other leader who ever even tried that.
So if you were going to grade them on their body language, it was a tie. And well maybe Xi won because he was not affected in any way by the handshake and you’re looking for him to be affected. So it looked very awkward. They looked very uncomfortable. There was no point where they looked like buddies but you know Trump’s trying to sell it as they’re best friends and they can work together which is good by the way that he should Trump should be acting like you’re my friend. We’re going to do great. China and the US can grow together. Those are all the right messages. So he’s doing the right messaging.
But no, Xi is very clearly holding his cards close to his chest. He’s not giving up anything. And you know Trump did a good job of complimenting him, saying he was a great leader of a great country. And I think those are both true statements. He’s a strong leader of a great country. So saying that is smart and good politics.
All right. What else? And also Secretary Bessent says that Trump’s coming back with two trillion in added investments. That’s not from China. That’s from the other countries, Japan, South Korea, etc. That’s pretty good. I don’t think any president has done as well as Trump in bringing business to the United States. Nobody’s even close, right? Is it fair to say that nobody’s even tried this hard to make the US the dominant place you do business?
Well, it’s a little out of order, but I was going to talk about Trump was giving a speech somewhere over there and he was talking about making America the easiest place to do business. And that is the smartest thing you’ll ever see for the US because the contrast, he didn’t have to say it out loud. The contrast is that it’s dangerous to do business in China, right? Did any of you catch that? When he was giving his speech, it looked like he was just talking about the US. We’re going to make the US the easiest place to get a permit, the easiest place to get approved, the best systems, presumably the best court systems, etc. That’s important. He didn’t say that, but that’s important.
So he’s consciously saying, I’m going to brand the United States as the best place to do business. That would be worth the whole trip. That reframe of America is the best place to do business in the context of all of us knowing, but we don’t even have to say it out loud anymore, that China is the worst place to do business because it’s going to be hard to get permits. If you get things approved, it might be yanked back. They’re going to spy on you, steal your IP, put every obstacle in the way, and then eventually steal your entire business if they can. Comparing America. You can be free, you can get here, you can set up shop, you can get a permit, you’ll get approved, the legal system will treat you right. That’s no competition. That is just no competition.
And Trump knows a winning play. So by making it a big deal to brand the US as the best place to do business, he’s sort of bringing together a bunch of things that we know to be true or could be true, which is the easy to get a permit. It’s not true yet. He has to make that true, but he can do it. This is one of the strongest, best plays you’ll ever see an American president do. It would be hard to top that as the smartest, best, most capable thing you could do if you’re president. Really, I’m just blown away by how smart that is. It seems like only a simple thing, but other people could have done it, right? If you say to yourself, “But Scott, that’s just a simple thing. It’s just a thing he’s saying in a speech.” Anybody could have said that before, right? But they didn’t. It’s the saying it that matters. The saying it matters.
Well, are you following the story of Arctic Frost? That was the legal project that Jack Smith was going after the Republicans, going after Trump. But what we know now is that part of that effort, Ted Cruz is telling us about it, is that the Department of Justice under Biden issued 197 subpoenas for 430 Republican entities and individuals. The Democrats, once Biden was elected, were literally hunting Republicans.
Do you remember when Bill Maher mocked me last week for saying that Republicans would be hunted if Biden got elected? I said that back in 2020 on X. He mocked me for that. He mocked me for saying they would be hunted while at the same time one of the biggest stories in the country is the Republicans were being hunted. Now, maybe he thought I meant with a gun and in some cases that too, but I didn’t mean that necessarily with a gun, just that they would be hunted by people who wanted them harm. I could not have been more right about this. And that’s not even counting the January 6 civilians. This is the elected Republicans. My god. Oh my god.
Now, it’s being called, of course, worse than Watergate. And you know I’m totally biased on this topic, but isn’t it worse than Watergate? It looks like it to me. Watergate was a tiny little thing when you look at it in the rearview mirror especially. You know it seemed bigger then of course because the news told you it was bigger but in the rearview mirror this looks a lot bigger. A lot bigger, like a hundred times bigger. So we’ll see where this goes. Probably nowhere.
Eric has a post on X. He was noticing on *The View* that Whoopi Goldberg was being especially stupid. I think he called her ironic. And she was talking about the Biden auto pardon. So this is Whoopi Goldberg on *The View*. And she says she wants the Biden admin, I’m sorry the Trump administration to quote stop investigating a man who is no longer in office. This is Whoopi on *The View*. Stop investigating a man who is no longer in office. Meaning Biden.
Now, did I mention that this is the same time as the Arctic Frost story is one of the biggest stories in the country? You know, the part where the Biden administration couldn’t stop investigating Trump after he was out of office at the same time. The same time it’s one of the biggest stories. And she’s saying, “Stop investigating a man who’s no longer in office.”
And here’s what Whoopi said that they should be talking about and worrying about. Are you ready for her priorities? All right, so it’s 2025 and these are Whoopi’s priorities. Soybeans solved. Epstein files don’t really exist. And those narco boats. She wants to make sure that we’ve identified them as actual criminals, not just kill them. So those are her three priorities. Soybeans solved. Epstein probably imaginary. I doubt there’s any files. And narco boats that probably the government is doing exactly what they should be doing. We just don’t know the details.
What’s missing? Do you see anything missing from the list? How about crushing national debt missing? How about their biggest concern used to be, say it, climate change? Yeah, we’ll talk about climate change a little bit too. So what happened to climate change? Suddenly that’s not a big deal. It’s all about the soybeans and the Epstein and the narco boats.
I would like to make my own list of the least important things to me. The least important things. Soybeans, Epstein files, and narco boats. I’m kind of interested in all of them. They’re interesting in their own little way, but they’re the smallest problems I have in the world. But Whoopi, she’s got to get those soybeans and Epstein files solved. Climate change, not so much.
Let’s talk about Thomas Massie and the many dust ups with President Trump. So JD Vance was asked at one of the Turning Point USA events recently. He was asked why Trump is going after Thomas Massie, which he is trying to primary him. And here’s JD’s explanation, and I’ll give you my take on this. He says, “It’s one thing to disagree with the party on an issue. Voting against the party on every single issue. Every time we’ve needed Thomas for a vote, he’s been completely unwilling to provide it. That’s why Trump turned his ire on Massie. We could never count on him for some of the most difficult votes. I say that as someone who knew Thomas well before I got into politics.”
All right, here’s my take on Thomas Massie. What JD is leaving out of his explanation is why he does it. Why would you leave out why he does it? Now, I’m not like an expert on every single thing that Thomas Massie’s ever done, but can you answer this question for me? Is it not true that his resistance to Republican things is always based on the Constitution and always based on an accurate reading of the Constitution? Am I wrong about that? That our problem with him is that he can accurately read our own Constitution and then he acts upon it. There may be some exceptions where there’s just something he knew more about than the government. You know, he’s into allowing farmers to sell things directly. I think that’s one of his issues. I don’t know if the rest of the government or the Republicans disagree with that or not. I mean he has some other issues, but I think JD, if you wanted to be fair about this, and you know, to be fair, his job is to support the president. His job is not to be completely transparent. He’s a supporter of the president, and that’s his right role. So within his role as vice president, this is totally acceptable the way he framed it.
But as a consumer and as a fan of Massie, I just need to say I like one person who’s supporting the Constitution, even if he’s a pain in the ass. I will accept his pain in the ass because it doesn’t seem to affect too many votes. How many times has he been the only one who determined which way the vote went? Has that ever happened? Or is he just reliably not in their column? Because if he’d actually changed the outcome of things that I cared about, maybe I’d reassess. But I don’t think he actually changes any outcomes. I think he’s just not reliably in their column. So anyway, I’m pro Massie. I completely understand the argument that winning is more important than maybe some niceties. But I like my Constitution and I like that there’s one person who will risk everything to remind us what’s in it.
Well, Obama is talking. He was at some event and said some scary Obama sounding things that I’ll criticize in a moment. He said, quote, “Part of what we’re going to have to do,” who is we, the government, the Democrats? “Part of what we’re going to have to do is to start experimenting with new forms of journalism.” Uh-oh. Already there’s a problem. “And how we use social media.” Uh-oh. “In ways that reaffirm facts and separate facts from opinion. We want diversity of opinion.” No, you don’t, you liar. “We don’t want diversity of facts.” That, I think, is one of the big tests of social media, by the way. “It will require some government regulatory constraints.” There it is. There it is. He wants some government regulatory constraints.
Now, the way I read this is he wants the government to be in charge of telling you what’s real and what isn’t real. Is it a fact or not a fact? Well, the government will help you with that. What’s that called? It’s called censorship. It’s the dumbest thing.
But here’s my take. Doesn’t it feel like old thinking to imagine that we know our facts are true? Can you tell me which domain we’re confident that we know the facts are true? What about those employment numbers? What about our food pyramid? What about all the pandemic data? What about our GDP? What about the inflation numbers? There’s not a true number in the country, people. There is no real reliable fact that any of us will ever agree on. So what makes this seem like an opinion from the seventies? It just feels old. It’s like Obama hasn’t noticed that everything from climate change to everything is fake. It’s all fake.
Once you realize that all the facts are fake and always will be, it’s just an idiot idea to follow the facts. There was a time when we all thought that made sense, right? If ten years ago, maybe more, let’s say twenty years ago, if twenty years ago he had said exactly this, we have to make sure that people are following facts because if they’re not following the facts, we’re all in trouble and the government will be helpful in helping you know what the facts are. Twenty years ago, I would have actually thought that was a thing. And I would have given that serious consideration knowing that there’s a censorship risk there. But I would have given that serious consideration because I would have thought, well, we’re definitely better if we follow the facts, right? Wouldn’t you say that? Following the facts has got to be better than not following the facts.
And then fast forward twenty years to 2025 and you learn the brutal truth of life. There are no facts. There are no facts. There are only narratives. There are claims. There are lies. There are lucky guesses, but there are no facts, people. There are no facts. So this is all bad. This is really just Obama saying, “We want to control what you think is true.” That’s what this is. We don’t want that.
I saw a video yesterday of I guess one of Joe Biden’s closest advisers, a guy named Mike Donilon had been I guess he was being interviewed about his Biden experience and they made him admit that he had millions of dollars on the line for keeping Biden in the race. Now you know what the problem was, right? Didn’t you know that there had to be some financial thing going on that Biden’s advisers were keeping him in the race? It always seemed to me that there would be this big class of professionals who literally would have millions of dollars apiece that were on the line if he got elected, right? Not only would they get paid for helping him get elected as this Mike Donilon said he would get up to four million if Biden became president again. Four million.
And coincidentally, Mike Donilon did not think that he should pull out of the race, right? So we all watched Biden looking like a vegetable. But the guy closest to him, who obviously knew what the situation was, had millions of dollars on the line if he lied to us and said he’s fine. Now, I’m not sure that he lied because I can’t read his mind, but I certainly wouldn’t trust the guy who’s got millions of dollars at stake.
There’s a video Libs of TikTok has a video that I don’t know exactly who this group is, but it’s a group of Democrats, I guess, who are planning to surround the Capitol on November 5th, which they call one year since the fascists got into office. And they’re going to try to increase their number of people around the Capitol until the current administration resigns. So they’re literally planning an insurrection. No exaggeration and no word thinking. So it would be word thinking if it were not an actual insurrection they were planning, but they even talk about it as removing the government before the term is over. So if you’re trying to use a protest to remove the government before the government would normally be done, that’s an insurrection, right? I mean what else would you call that? So I’m not doing word thinking. That’s just what they say they’re doing.
I don’t know who this group is. Looked like a small group in a room. I don’t know if we have to worry about them yet, but the fact that they’re even talking about that is just wow.
So as you know, Bill Gates made some news by saying that maybe climate change is not the crisis that people thought and maybe we should spend our money on feeding people and taking care of our other biggest problems. And people like me made a lot of noise about that. What’s interesting, there’s a lot interesting about this. We’ll talk about it. What’s interesting is that we’re all trying to read his mind and trying to figure out what was Bill Gates thinking before and is he really thinking now and why did he make this pivot? Well, I don’t know. So I always warn you that you can’t read his mind.
I saw that Mike Cernovich is going hard at him reasonably and calling people naive. I think he used the word naive if you think that all he did was look at the facts and adjust to the new facts. And I would agree with Mike that although I can’t read Bill Gates’ mind, I doubt it had anything to do with facts. It might have to do with the fact that he has now got approval for his Gen 4 nuclear power plant that he’s invested in because if that works out, there’s going to be he’s going to make more money from nuclear power than he’s ever made before in any other thing. I mean he could be the richest person in the world just because of Gen 4 nuclear power. I mean that would be enough.
So when somebody has a big financial incentive to say yeah let’s go strong on energy and don’t waste our money so much on these other things we’ll put it all in this area. It might be just financial but again I can’t read his mind so I don’t know. But according to Harry Enten who did a survey or looked at the numbers on CNN, he’s their data guy on CNN. He says that the climate change message has not worked for thirty-six years. So back in the year 2000, forty percent of the public I guess were alarmed about climate. Forty percent. That was in the year 2000. By the year 2020 it had gone up to forty-six percent were concerned and then after 2020 it dropped. So by 2025 only forty percent back to where it was in 2000.
So from twenty-five years of climate alarmism didn’t move the needle at all. Twenty-five years of massive propaganda in one direction didn’t move it at all. Where was Trump the whole time? Trump was saying that climate change was a hoax the whole time. Not necessarily the warming part, but the way it was treated as a crisis was a hoax. And he of course couldn’t help himself. So he posted today, “We won the war on climate change hoax.” And he said that this is what Trump said on X. “Bill Gates has finally admitted that he was completely wrong on the issue. It took courage to do so and for that we’re all grateful. MAGA.”
So Trump got one of the biggest wins of all time. Imagine how he feels. Is there anything that Trump has been more mocked for besides his haircut than the fact that he called climate change a hoax? I think that was always besides the trivial stuff like hair and girlfriends and stuff. I think that was like the biggest knock against him, right? That he was anti-science and he didn’t understand what all the smart people did that we were all going to die in a climate crisis. Well, people, fast forward. He was right. He was right.
So what happened between the years 2020 and 2025 that would have caused people to have less belief in climate change? Is there anybody who got involved in that conversation around 2015? Well, you could do the math.
ABC’s Jonathan Carl was interviewing Gavin Newsom. This is funny. So you would think that ABC might be sort of pro-Democrat, especially in their news division. But here’s what Jonathan Carl actually did in a recorded podcast with Gavin Newsom. This is almost hard to believe. This is a real thing. He held up a picture of the character from the movie *American Psycho* and held it next to a picture of Gavin Newsom and told him that even his supporters note that he looks like a comic book villain from central casting.
Imagine being in an interview with a legitimate news source and the legitimate news guy holds up a picture of you as a character in a movie who’s literally a psychopath and it has no news value whatsoever except to point out that he looks like a psychopath. Now that’s funny. That’s just funny. However, you know, I have to support Jonathan Carl on this. The way people look totally matters, right? That’s something I can say because I’m just a guy on a podcast, but you can’t say that if you’re legitimate news, but he did. I mean in his own way, he’s saying it as a legitimate news guy. The way you look matters a lot.
AOC’s look. Do you think that makes a difference? Of course it does. President Trump’s height, does that make a difference? Of course it does. Of course it does. Yeah. The way people look is hugely influential. And I do believe I agree that Newsom does look like a movie or a comic book villain. He looks exactly like the Joker, doesn’t he? He’s even got the Joker’s haircut. He could walk into a role as the Joker on a Batman movie with almost no makeup. I’m not wrong about that. So if people can’t notice that, I don’t know.
Meanwhile, here’s a shock. According to the National Pulse, I guess Elise Stefanik, a Republican, just pulled the highest for a potential future governor of New York. And they haven’t had a Republican governor in New York in twenty years. So I don’t know if that’s real. That’s just one poll. You can’t really believe one poll, but it’s a new poll from the Manhattan Institute shows Elise Stefanik, Republican, leading both the current governor Hochul and Lieutenant Governor of New York too, who’s also a Democrat. So hypothetically, if they ever ran, she would win. That would be amazing. Wouldn’t expect that.
Meanwhile over in Gaza trying to figure out how to get that all settled out. Axios is reporting that there’s lots of conversations and progress I think has been made figuring out who’s going to run that place in terms of physical security. And at the moment it looks like the idea, I don’t know if this is going to work but the idea is that the US, Egypt and Jordan alongside some other, this Axios is reporting on this, along with some other Arab and Muslim countries that might include Indonesia, Azerbaijan, Egypt and Turkey might be all part of this security deal. But it sounds like if they’re talking about maybe this country, maybe that country, that sounds a lot like they don’t they’re not that close to getting any kind of a thing going. But here’s the most interesting thing that happened.
Well, let me just say this. I’m sure they’ll get it. So I don’t think there’s any risk that they won’t be able to figure out how to get some countries that want to do security there. It’s just going to take some grinding. It just looks like it’s going to be hard, but totally doable. So they’ll get there. But as you know, there have been some breaks in the ceasefire, which everybody expects. You know there are always going to be minor breaks in the ceasefire, but so far it’s holding. And even though there are breaks, that gets back on plan when it does.
But I didn’t know this, but apparently Israel had planned as sort of a retaliation for the ceasefire break that they say Hamas did, they were going to retake some part of Gaza and reoccupy it. And the reporting is that Trump said, “No, you’re not. You are not going to take more of Gaza. Stay where you are. We’re just going to sort of tap this along and act like the break of the ceasefire wasn’t the biggest deal in the world so that we can get to the phase two.” Whereas Israel might have wanted to grab some land or just move the IDF into more occupying of Gaza than they’re occupying right now, which would have just caused a giant problem and maybe derailed the entire thing. And the reporting is that Trump said, “Nope.” And he said, “No, you’re not. You’re not going to redeploy and take over that space. Even though you have a good argument for it, you’re not going to do it.”
Now, here’s my question to you. Did that really happen? Because you know it’s the news. You never know if it really happened. Did Trump really tell them not to do it? And is that really the only reason they didn’t do it? Because if the reporting is accurate, it’s kind of a blow to the Israel controls the US narrative, isn’t it? Kind of a big blow. Does it not seem to you that at least with our current president, while it will always be true that Israel does an amazingly good job of influencing the US for their own national purposes, which is their job. You know, if you’re an Israeli government, well, even if you’re just a citizen, it’s sort of your job to make sure that your country does well. Does Israel do a good job of making sure their country does well? Yeah. Yeah. A really good job. Very good job. Do we like it all the time? Not if we think that it included manipulating or pushing the US around. We don’t like that part.
But so far, we’ve heard several anecdotes that seem to suggest that at least Netanyahu is going to, I don’t want to say bow to Trump, but he’s definitely going to take very seriously what Trump wants to the point of maybe just doing what he wants. So are we watching any kind of great reversal where the power influence structure is changing or has it always been this way but we were maybe less aware of it because I’ve described in the past the US and Israel relationship to me it looks less like Israel controlling everything in America and more like a sibling situation which is that you know we have this love for them as siblings. You know, you could argue whether we should or should not, but we do. You know, Israel’s kind of special to a lot of people in the US. Not everybody, obviously. But I think we influence each other. When it matters more to the US, then we push. When it matters more to them, maybe they push harder than we push back. Sometimes they win, sometimes we win. But if it’s true, and I’ll put a big if because if you wanted to argue with the if, I wouldn’t have a response to that. If it’s true that Trump is telling them what to do in some of these situations and they’re just doing it, that would look very different, wouldn’t it? That would look very much more sibling like sometimes your brother wins, sometimes your sister wins, but it’s not really winning. It’s more like just working with each other. That’s what it looks like. I’m not close enough to the situation to know what it really is like, but it looks like that.
Homeland Security, according to NewsNation, is rolling out new rules requiring photographs and in some cases fingerprints of all non-US citizens entering the US. To which I say, wait, what? We’re only now requiring fingerprints and photographs for coming into the country? We weren’t already doing that? That’s one of those stories where you go, “What? I thought we always did that.”
Let’s see what’s happening overseas just for a minute. Over in Germany, the right-wing party has got now forty percent support which is actually more than any of the other individual parties. So the dominant party only by a little, forty to thirty-eight percent, is anti-immigration. So does that mean that Germany will start deporting people and closing their border if the biggest political entity, only biggest by a little bit, but they’re the biggest, is against it? Do you think that Germany has time to roll back their immigration standards to save Germany as whatever they want Germany to look like? Probably not. Yeah, I’m seeing in the comments too late. Feels too late, doesn’t it? Feels too late.
But speaking of that, Elon Musk who says in his provocative way, Elon said that civil war in Britain is inevitable. I think he said that on X, of course. Do you think so? Do you think that a civil war in Britain is inevitable? What he’s talking about is the native born versus the immigrant population. I think maybe he’s talking about the Islamic immigrant population specifically. He’s not being specific, but do you think there’s going to be a civil war in Britain? I’m going to say no because what would that look like? They don’t have guns. What would civil war even look like? They’re completely neutered. Who would they fight? What are they going to go out with butter knives and baseball bats and have a civil war? I don’t think there’s going to be a civil war. I think that whatever it is they wanted to preserve, they already lost. And for them, it’s probably a major tragedy. But I don’t think they can civil war their way out of it. I don’t see that happening.
And I guess Trump’s also going to end the Biden policy of automatically extending work permits. Breitbart News is reporting on this, John Binder. And that makes sense. They’re just going to make sure that the people who are working here have been vetted properly. They won’t like it.
Meanwhile, also in Germany, they’ve developed a twenty kilowatt laser for shooting down drones. Now, this will be like the twentieth time I’ve told you a story that there’s a brand new device laser for shooting down drones or other things. But what I want to add to this is that apparently if this works, and they’re already testing it and it does work, so it’s a real thing, that it will lower the cost of defending against drones dramatically. And when I’m looking at war zones, because I have an economics background, I tend to look at the economics of it to predict what’s going to happen. You know, the best economy almost always wins in war. I don’t know if you knew that, but the strongest economy usually can afford the best weapons and over time the best economy usually wins a war. But related to that would be the cost of their weapons. You know, if you’re the smaller economy, but you can figure out how to do your weapons really cheap, you effectively can punch above your weight.
So if it turns out that our adversaries are really good at building drones, but we get even better at anti-drone lasers and shooting them out of the sky for twenty cents a drone instead of a million dollars to take out a drone, we win. So it could be that the economic race to have the cheapest anti-drone defenses and also the cheapest drones, just the economics of that, that might determine who wins everything. And Germany’s got a nice little device there that might make a difference.
Well, here’s something for the Democrats to talk about for the next few weeks. According to the Guardian, the Pentagon is telling the National Guard to organize quick reaction forces for all the major parts of the US. So there’d be twenty thousand National Guard who would be trained, but no more than say five hundred for any one location. So it’s not you’re not going to see twenty thousand people in the same place, but five hundred apiece for various places. And they would be a quick reaction force for if there’s social unrest. So if there’s something that you quickly need to quell like a riot, there will always be somewhere reasonably close in every state, you’d have five hundred well-trained anti-riot people.
Now, what do you think the Democrats are going to say about that? This is weeks of content for the anti-authoritarian people. Oh, there it is. Told you. Told you. He’s organizing his private army now. If we protest, he’s going to come and get us with his five hundred National Guard people. So they’ll have something to talk about for a few weeks. We don’t want them to be bored.
All right, that’s all I have for today. I’m going to talk to the local subscribers, my beloved local subscribers. A little special. By the way, if you were a member of Locals, you’ve been watching me draw Dilbert live every night. I can’t promise I’ll do it every night. Actually my ability to draw could be done this week. This might be the last time I draw because my hand is increasingly paralyzed from whatever is going on medically with me. So at the moment, my two fingers and thumb on my left hand still work. So I’ve been doing live drawing demonstrations. So you can see how I use the computer to draw, etc. I teach you my little tricks as I’m going. Sometimes we write, sometimes I’ll write live. But so that’s on Locals. If you want to, just Google me. Google my name and Locals and you’ll find out where to sign up if you want to. But I can’t promise you I can keep doing it the drawing. So I might have to retire from drawing maybe this week. I know. It just depends if my hand keeps working. If these three fingers keep working, I can actually draw better than I’ve ever drawn before. So there’s no degradation whatsoever at the moment, but it’s right on the edge. It’s right on the edge where I’m going to lose this ability completely. I already can’t type. So since these fingers don’t work, I can’t type because I can’t feel the keyboard. But today I’ll go in and get my radiation treatment for at least one part of my body, which won’t affect this, by the way. So there’s no plan for fixing this at the moment. So I might be a quadriplegic pretty soon.
Anyway, thanks for joining. And Locals, I’m coming at you privately in thirty seconds.
Come on in.
We'll give you the show that you deserve today for the first time.
All right.
Well, I'm lost in the locals menus and cannot determine any way that I can see my own show.
Let's see.
I'll close locals on that screen.
Reopen.
It should open right up to where I want.
Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time.
But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass of tanker chalice or ste a canteen jugger flask of vessel of any kind filled with your favorite liquid.
I like coffee.
Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day.
The thing that makes everything better.
It's called, that's right, the simultaneous sip.
and it happens.
Now, if you're wondering why I'm using two hands for my cup, it's cuz my hands are semi paralyzed at the moment.
Thanks to something that's going on with my body.
went to the uh I told the local subscribers before I got on here, I went to the emergency room yesterday on my doctor's orders because of the growing paralysis in my hands.
And the emergency room sent me home without the MRI cuz they said this is no emergency.
We're not allowed to use the MRI unless it's an emergency.
And I said, "My doctor's here." She even emailed ahead to make sure you knew what you were going to do so that you would do it.
Yeah, but upper back.
It's not an emergency.
I'm getting paralyzed.
I can barely move one hand.
Yeah, but you're not dying.
So, guy with a snake bike came in.
He didn't do much better, but I think he I think they saved his life.
Anyway, so today is the first day I get my um radiation treatment.
It'll just be a spot treatment for the the one place that bothering me in my lower body.
It would not be a treatment for whatever is happening is my paralysis.
But the plator might help with that if I ever get it scheduled.
So that's the update.
I'd like to start with a reframe to change your life.
As you know, the reframes in my book, Reframe Your Brain, change people's lives with one sentence.
Although each person is different, so the sentence that changes your life will be different than the one that changes somebody else's.
But maybe maybe today's your day.
Let's see.
Here's a usual frame.
Um people tell you that you should compete against yourself.
Have you ever heard that?
They'll say, you know, no, no, no.
You're not competing against other people.
You're just trying to do better than you do.
Have you ever heard that advice?
Very common advice.
Bad advice.
Here's some better advice.
I'm going to reframe it.
Instead of competing with yourself and trying to improve over time, which sounds like a good idea, you can do better.
Compete against other people.
You'll do better.
if you compete against other people.
But here's the trick.
Even if they're unaware that you're competing with them, so you don't have to tell them you're competing with them.
Could be a co-orker, could be, you know, classmate or something, but you just tell yourself, "Okay, I'm going to beat that one.
That one I'm going to beat." And then you've got a target.
You've got something specific.
And uh you're far more likely to accomplish something specific than something generic.
Like everybody knows that, right?
So if you say, "I'm going to beat that person on that chemistry test." Even if they don't know you're competing, it's going to help you compete.
So that's your reframe of the day.
Good for young people especially.
All right, let me make sure I got all your comments.
Yes, I do.
Well, according to somebody named Lara Weed, best last name I could ever imagine, Lara Weed.
Uh, anyway, she's a circadian research lab person from Stanford, so she knows what she's talking about.
And there's a new study that says you shouldn't change the time.
You know how we do this standard versus daylight time.
But here's the new wrinkle.
Uh so so changing the time is bad for people's circadian rhythms and they have health problems and other problems.
Uh but it's bad no matter how you change it.
So if you stuck with daylight versus standard time, it would still be better than if you changed it twice a year.
So it's the change that's the problem.
But on top of that, um, keeping things at standard time would be the least burden on your circadian rhythms.
So, at least according to one study, not that we trust science anymore, but something to talk about, uh, that keeping it on standard time would be the healthiest.
So, we don't know.
Well, according to Dr.
Peter Diamandis, who I see on X, I follow on X.
Um, I guess chemo may be something that we won't need anymore for skin cancer because there's a new research.
Scientists say they can kill 92% of skin cancer cells using an LED light without damaging healthy cells.
H, that sounds pretty good.
Uh, what will Democrats say about the development of LED light to fight cancer?
What will they say?
Well, we already know what they'll say.
Democrats will say, "Why would you use household disinfectants and bleach to kill cancer?" And then I would say, "What?
Nobody said anything about bleach." Yeah, you just said bleach will cure your cancer.
No, nobody even used the word.
Nobody even used the word.
No, we're talking about light.
From the beginning to end, we're talking about light.
Yeah.
Were you?
Cuz the news said that you said bleach would do it.
Do you all remember the the uh drinking bleach hoax, which was exactly it was done exactly the same way as the fine people hoax?
In both cases, the the hoax was because you cut off the clarifier when Trump said, "But I'm, you know, but I'm not talking about the neo-Nazis.
They should be condemned totally." You take that off and it reverses what he said.
with the uh the drinking bleach thing.
If you take off the beginning where where Trump said he was talking about light and then you take off the clarifier at the end where he again emphasizes he was only talking about light.
If you take those clarifiers off, it allowed the news to say that he was talking about household disinfectants or bleach because the other people had talked about it before.
It's the same hoax.
So, it's funny to see that uh there's yet another light treats a disease will CNN reported as why would you put bleach on your skin?
No, they won't because Trump didn't say it.
According to interesting engineering, uh now we can make art, we like you and I can do it.
Somebody can make uh artificial neurons that replicate real brain chemistry.
And you would do that because it might be another way to get to AI.
How many times have I told you that our current big AI models, the large language models, will never get you to general intelligence.
They'll just sort of be able to do what they can do now, but maybe a little bit better.
They're they're not really going to get over the hump to be like a thinking conscious anything.
It doesn't have that potential in my opinion.
But there are a whole bunch of other AI approaches that are being uh rapidly prototyped at least because I think people know that there's a limit to the large language models.
And so the this neuron replicator was specifically so they can build a better AI with a completely different you know completely different method.
I I think I've read several now there are several different approaches that all have that same quality which is they're not regular LLMs.
They're a completely different approach because I think that would get you to advanced general intelligence.
So if I had to bet I would bet that the LLMs are going to get leapfrogged by some smaller entity and then they'll get bought up pretty quickly.
But uh if some smaller entity could do that, you know, do the whole large language model without a trillion dollars, you know, if they could do it for a $100, some trillion dollar company's going to buy them pretty quickly.
So that'll happen.
Uh as you know, Elon Musk has said, and I like repeating it because every time I hear it, it makes me happy.
The Optimus, the robots that Tesla is going to make and and it's making already um will cost less than a car, 20 to $30,000 eventually.
But here's the fun part.
Elon says it will be able to do anything you want.
Well, anything.
I don't know about anything, but it could teach, babysit your kids, walk your dog, mow your lawn, get groceries, serve drinks, or just be your friend.
Whatever you can think of, it will do.
I can think of a lot of things.
It's going to be awesome.
And I think this will be the biggest product of ever of any kind.
Now that's that's the exciting part that that we could be you know watching the greatest product innovation rollout trend of all time of all history and we're going to get to watch it I think.
Uh, but this would suggest that Elon Musk thinks that he has a version of AI that can get to something like general intelligence because that's what he's describing here.
The LLMs would never get you to a robot that could do with that stuff.
It just isn't just the wrong technology.
But he uses uh visual training.
So, he's doing a lot of visual training and I think some probably some artificial worlds training, too.
So, it looks like he thinks he has a path and if he says he has a path, I would not doubt him.
Um, did you know that uh in addition to drugs that are uh uh what do you call them?
Generics.
So, you know, we have generic drugs, but the pharma would wish we didn't because if if there were no such thing as generics, then they could forever have a monopoly on, you know, their IP, their their property.
But over time, their IP times out and then there can be a generic for the drug.
But did you know there's a separate category of drugs and I'm not smart enough to know what's in the category, but the biologics?
Biologics.
So that's a category of drugs.
But apparently the uh according to RFK Jr.
who just did a an announcement about it.
Apparently the pharma was doing a great job of marketing and persuading Congress not to allow knockoffs of their biologics.
And the argument was that nobody would be able to make a proper copy.
That's sort of like magic and wizardry and you more like making a fine wine and you couldn't let anybody knock off the biologics because it might be dangerous and ineffective.
And somehow they sold that.
Meaning that if you tried to make a imitation or copy of one of these biologics that had, you know, had lost its copyright protection or whatever protection has um that you could you couldn't do it because they had put too many obstacles in the way.
But, uh, apparently there's going to be a rules change and President Trump's going to sign something that would allow, um, companies to compete for this big category of biologics.
And that would be, in my opinion, a huge win for RFK Jr.
because it's not the sort of thing that necessarily would have even come up had he not been, you know, running the show.
So, not only did he identify a problem that has potentially enormous economic value to consumers, um, but it looks like he acted, identified the problem, acted, solved.
I mean, I'm sure it's nothing's that easily solved, but looks like a win to me.
ONN is reporting on that.
Well, meanwhile, NASA is reportedly building or it's well along the way of building a quiet supersonic jet.
So, something that doesn't go bam when it crosses the sound barrier.
This one goes thud.
Uh a more a more uh let's say acceptable noise in the atmosphere.
And they're already they're already testing.
It's already built and they're doing test flights and it works.
And if it works and if it brings in a new era of uh air travel, it could reduce the time that you go across the country to I don't know maybe half.
So imagine flying from, you know, California to New York in 3 hours instead of sixish.
That'd be a pretty big change.
Imagine uh you know, I live in California.
Most of the Californians who have a little extra money like to go to Hawaii.
That's sort of our the the closest, you know, tropical looking place.
Imagine instead of 6 hours to Hawaii, it's three.
It completely changes the experience for me.
For me, any kind of travel, you know, when I could travel, uh, was all about the time you had to be in the plane.
If you can reduce the time when you're on the plane, I'm all in.
But if you're gonna tell me I need to be on a plane for 14 hours to go to, you know, Bora Bora or something, I can't do 28 hours of sitting on a plane there and back.
But if you cut it in half, yeah, suddenly suddenly it looks kind of practical.
All right, so we'll wait for that.
Supersonic flights allegedly according to Dr.
Singularity, who's got some news on X.
Um, number of the big AI companies have built an artificial simulated fusion reactor situation.
So, allegedly, I'm a little skeptical about this one, but let me tell you what it is.
That uh, you know, we've been trying to get fusion energy, but it's really complicated and hard.
We know we can do it because it's now fusion as a technology is a proven technology but not not engineered to economic success yet.
So there's an economic iteration process has to go through.
We don't need to prove it can work.
We're already past that.
We just need to engineer it so it does work and it's reliable and safe.
Fusion should be safer if you do it right.
should be safer than than Fision, but uh except for the Gen 4.
And uh so Nvidia and some other big companies have allegedly gotten together and built an artificial fusion situation so that they can iterate a bunch of different things within a a virtual world and then that will tell them what to do in the real world.
Now, do you believe that they can they do you believe that they can't build a fusion reactor yet that's you know meets all the requirements but that they could build an accurate AI simulation of it.
Does that sound like something people could do?
I'm going to say no.
Sorry.
I'm going to say no.
I don't think people could do that.
It might teach us something or it might you it might you maybe pop up a possibility that we had not considered but I don't think it would accurately simulate it do you?
And how would you know if it accurately simulated it cuz we can't do it in the real world.
So what would you compare it to to know that it had accurately simulated it so you weren't wasting your time seeing what the simulation would do?
So, let's just say, call me skeptical.
All right.
Uh, have you heard of my book, Loser Think?
Let Let me grab it off the shelf.
Hold on.
Oh, there it is.
coming.
>> Sorry, I meant to be more prepared.
So, my book lose or think uh has many examples of how to poorly think so that you know not to do it.
One of the one of the more important points in the book is what I call word thinking.
Have you heard me talk about that before?
Word thinking.
So word thinking is where you're trying to make an argument that really just forces the other person to accept your definition of a word as opposed to an argument.
So word thinking is is is the opposite of being rational and the opposite of making an argument.
is just trying to browbe somebody into accepting that the word you're using for a thing is the right word because that carries the argument with it if you buy the word.
For example, if they can sell you that Gaza was a genocide, then they don't need to make an argument.
If if you accept the word, they're done, right?
But it's really, you know, more complicated than it is or is not a word.
There's a whole backstory.
There's a context, there's everything.
So whenever you see somebody trying to force you to take their word as their definition, that's just propaganda.
That's just power.
That has nothing to do with what's right or wrong or logical.
Now, what do Democrats say about the government shutdown?
Well, Governor Nuome's press office says, quote, "If you control all three branches of government, how are you not in charge?" So, they're using the word control as the word that they want you to accept.
If you accept control, then you have accidentally accepted that that the Republicans are the ones that can open the government all by themselves, right?
It's there's no argument there.
They just want you to accept control.
If you buy into the definition of who's in control and they've defined it as, you know, who's got control of the three po parts of the government, then you are in control and therefore logically only you can open the government.
Now, everybody who pays attention to the news knows that the Democrats would have to vote for it also in at least large enough numbers to get it passed, and they're not.
So the Democrats have complete control because all they have to do is say yes and the government opens because the because the Republicans have already said yes to a continuing resolution which is would get it done.
Now you may have seen Jessica Charles arguing on the five the same the same point and what she does is she uses a wording substitution.
Uh, I think the word she used, if I remember, was incumbent.
She said that if you're the one who owns all the if you're in control of the three branches of government, as Republicans are, that it is incumbent upon you to negotiate with the minority, the Democrats, and give them something in return for them agreeing to open the government.
Now, do you see the word thinking there?
That's word thinking.
There's no argument there.
>> >> She's trying to replace an argument with a word incumbent.
It's incumbent upon you.
But where is the connecting tissue?
Where's the logic that says that uh you've got two teams.
One team has already said yes to open the government.
The other team has not yet said yes.
Why would it be incumbent on the ones who have already said yes to give something away when they've already agreed to do the thing that's the thing which is open the government and pay for it?
They've already agreed.
They're not there's no incumbent to anything.
Who wrote that rule that is there something in the Constitution about what makes you incumbent?
Now, I hope I'm using the right word.
Was it incumbent the the word she used on the five?
I I didn't write it down, but I from memory I think that's what but if it's not incumbent it's a word like that.
So it's the same point even if it's a different word.
So how many of you recognize this now?
How many of you recognize that this was always word thinking and that's all it ever was?
And and that uh a great deal of the Democrat uh narratives and approaches are this.
They just try to get you to buy into a word.
What are some other words the Democrats are trying to get you accept insurrection when they talk about January 6th?
They don't want to give an argument because the argument would go like this.
What did those people want to accomplish?
Oh, they thought the election was rigged and they were trying to pause it to make sure that we had a fair election.
That's what an actual argument would look like.
But if you can't win the argument, you try to do it with word thinking.
You say, "It's an insurrection." Well, no, not really.
Because that was not the intention of any of the people who had attended.
It was an insurrection.
Yeah, but it really wasn't.
So, so if you get into the arguing over what the word means, then they have a chance of at least a tie because people who don't pay attention to the news will think, well, half of them say it's an insurrection and half of them say it's not sort of a tie, so I'll just go with my team that says it is.
It's not a tie.
It's not even close to a tie.
There probably wasn't one person there who thought that they could take over the government by walking around unarmed and a and trespassing.
Not one person thought that that would take over the government.
Anyway, so that's what word thinking is when there's no argument, but they're trying to get you to accept their words.
Meanwhile, Trump's been over in Asia trying to making deals.
I guess he might have made a deal for some soybeans.
I I can't tell if this is a good deal or a bad deal, but 25 million tons uh and 12 million tons immediately.
So, Bessent was announcing that and also he rents land to farmers who do soybeans.
So, Bessent went over there and got a deal that was good for Bentley.
Was it good for anybody else?
I have no context to know whether that would be good for anybody else, but certainly would be good for the soy farming landlords.
Sorry, I just needed that extra sip.
All right, what else did he get?
Uh, but that's not all.
We've got reports of other deals that uh Trump made.
Um, let's see.
So, we got the soybeans.
So, that's good for the farmers.
What I wonder about, and I don't know if we'll ever find this out, did our farmers grow a bunch of soybeans and then have to throw them away because they didn't have any place to sell them.
Have they already wasted the soybeans that they grew or do they have a bunch of stored up soybeans that are just ready to go and that this is just pure good news?
I don't know.
Because if they already lost the whole season, which they might have, right?
Isn't it possible that farmers lost the whole season?
That would put a lot of people out of business.
So, I I don't know how good or bad this is.
Does it save us?
By us, I mean the soy farmers.
I don't know.
Um, but I guess they the president and president Xi, they met, but they did not talk about Taiwan or the deal for Tik Tok.
And I think that was the right play because it's not like they were going to make a decision on Taiwan, you know, while they were there for an hour and a half.
And it's not like I don't think the Tik Tok deal needed any extra approvals, right?
He didn't need she to say yes because they already said yes.
So, doesn't make sense that they would have talked about those.
That those were lower priority for the meeting, I think.
But they did talk about other stuff.
And Trump says he's going to drop the tariff by by 10 basis points, 10%.
Um because China promised to do more on fentinel.
Does that sound like a win for the United States?
We lowered their tariff because the tariff had been put on because they weren't doing enough about fentinel.
Uh but she said he would try harder on fentinyl.
That's a nothing.
Unfortunately, that's a nothing.
Try harder.
No, he's not going to try harder.
That's a nothing.
Um, but we did reduce their tariffs, so they got a something.
So, China got a something, but it was also something artificial because Trump has simply made up the tariff.
So, Trump So, she got something that didn't have any actual value because it was just something that Trump made up.
I'll give you more, you know, I'll increase your tariff.
And then he took away the thing he made up.
So that's sort of a break even.
Uh we were not getting enough help with with fentinol.
We're still not going to get enough help with fentinol.
That's a nothing.
So apparently this deal for of tariffs reduced or fentinel help to me it looks a little more like we gave them nothing in return for nothing.
To me, that's just nothing.
Love to be wrong.
I would love to be wrong about that.
And then apparently, uh, China is not going to bother us on the rare earth minerals.
They're going to be somewhat unrestricted, but they can change that on a dime, right?
China can change their mind on the rare earth minerals five minutes.
So, does it really mean anything when they say they're not going to try to restrict our rare earth minerals?
To me, it looks more like they want to make sure that they can corner that market and not encourage us to create alternative sources because I think they know that they would have more power if we believe that we had a secure supply of rare earth from them only or or if it they're the biggest source.
So, I got a feeling that strategic than being a good friend.
You know, they're like, "We'd rather we'd rather maintain our total power over your rare earth.
So, for now, we're going to sell you all you want." Sort of like a drug dealer.
So, I don't know.
It's better that they're not restricting it at the moment as long as we don't pull back from our effort to diversify our sources.
I don't think we are.
All right.
What else do they agree on?
uh that China is going to quote discuss trip the microchip restrictions with Nvidia.
Is that anything?
So they agree that somebody's going to talk to somebody.
So China's going to talk to Nvidia.
But Nvidia doesn't get to approve or not approve the chip sales.
That's the government.
So the people who can't make the decision are going to talk about it.
That's a nothing.
Again, it's a nothing.
But maybe it looks good on paper.
Um, and then according to the Coobei letter on X, I didn't see it anywhere else, but uh, allegedly one of the agreements is that China and the US will quote collaborate on Ukraine.
Do you think the US and China are going to collaborate on Ukraine?
No.
No.
That's a nothing.
That couldn't possibly be a thing.
No, that's not going to happen.
Um, and that uh there's there's talk that a real trade deal, a more comprehensive trade deal might be coming.
Maybe.
I don't see it.
So, it could be that the only real thing on this list of accomplishments and and you know, you you've been with me long enough, you know, I'm totally pro Trump, right?
You know, I'm totally pro America, pro Trump.
I don't think he got anything.
Is that okay?
Everybody okay with that take?
I don't think he got anything.
But he didn't lose anything.
I don't think he lost anything.
Did you see the body language when they were doing the extended handshake?
God, that looked awkward, didn't it?
We we've seen Trump shake hands with every kind of leader in the world and it always looks like he has some kind of physical dominant advantage over them.
Well, President Xi obviously, you know, he's operating at a high level and he knows what the handshake means and he knows what it looks like and he's a big guy.
He's physically a big guy.
So, she held held tight and he just kept his President Xi face.
He didn't he didn't uh he didn't get pulled in by the charisma.
He was absolutely charisma resistant.
And I didn't see any other leader who ever even tried that.
So if you if you were going to um grade them on their body language, it was a tie.
and well maybe she won because he was not affected in any way by the handshake and you're looking for him to be affected.
So it looked very awkward.
They looked very uncomfortable.
There was no point where they look like buddies but you know Trump's trying to sell it as their best friends and they work can work together which is good by the way that he he should Trump should be acting like you're my friend.
we're going to do great.
China and the US can grow together.
Those are all the right messages.
So, he's doing the right messaging.
But no, she is very clearly, you know, holding his cards close to his chest.
He's not giving up anything.
And, you know, Trump did a good job of complimenting him, saying he was a, you know, great leader of a great country.
And I think those are both true statements.
He's a strong leader of a great country.
Um, so saying that is smart and good good politics.
All right.
What else?
Uh, and also Secretary Basant says that Trump's coming back with $2 trillion in added investments.
That's not from China.
That's from the other countries, Japan, South Korea, etc.
Um, that's pretty good.
I don't think any president has has done as well as Trump in bringing business to the United States.
Nobody's even close, right?
Is it fair to say that nobody's even tried this hard to make the US the dominant place you do business?
Well, it's a little out of order, but I was going to talk about Trump was giving a speech somewhere over there and he was talking about making America the easiest place to do business.
And um that is the smartest thing you'll ever see.
for the US because the the contrast, he didn't have to say it out loud.
The contrast is that it's dangerous to do business in China, right?
Did did any of you catch that?
When he was giving his speech, it looked like he was just talking about the US.
We're going to make the US the easiest place to get a permit, the the easiest place to get approved, the, you know, the best systems.
um presumably the best, you know, court systems, etc.
That's important.
He didn't say that, but that's important.
So, he's consciously saying, I'm going to brand the United States as the best place to do business.
That would be worth the whole trip.
that that reframe of America is the best place to do business in the context of all of us knowing, but we don't even have to say it out loud anymore, that China is the worst place to do business because it's going to be hard to get permits.
If you get things approved, it might be yanked back.
Uh they're going to spy on you, steal your IP, um put every obstacle in the way, and then eventually steal your entire business if they can.
comparing comparing America.
You can be free, you can get here, you can set up shop, you can get a permit, you'll get approved, the the legal system will treat you right.
That's no competition.
That is just no competition.
And Trump knows a winning play.
So, by making it a big deal to brand the US as the best place to do business, he's sort of bringing together a bunch of things that we know to be true or could be true, which is the easy to get a permit.
It's not true yet.
He has to make that true, but he can do it.
Um, this is one of the strongest, best plays you'll ever see an American president do.
It It would be hard to top that as the smartest, best, most capable thing you could do if you're president.
Really, I'm I'm just I'm blown away by how smart that is.
It seems like only a simple thing, but other people could have done it, right?
If you say to yourself, "But Scott, that's just a simple thing.
It's just a thing he's saying in a speech." Anybody could have said that before, right?
But they didn't.
It's the saying it that matters.
The saying it matters.
Well, are you following the story of Arctic Frost?
That was the the legal project that uh that Jack Smith was going after the Republicans, going after Trump.
But what we know now is that part of that effort, Ted Cruz is telling us about it, is that the Department of Justice under Biden issued 197 subpoenas for 430 Republican entities and individuals.
The Democrats, once Biden was elected, were literally hunting Republicans.
Do you remember when Bill Maher mocked me last week for saying that Republicans would be hunted if Biden got elected?
I said that back in 2020 on X.
He mocked me for that.
He mocked me for saying they would be hunted while at the same time one of the biggest stories in the country is the Republicans were being hunted.
Now, maybe he thought I meant with a gun and in some cases that too, but I didn't mean that necessarily with a gun, just that they would be hunted, you know, hunted by people who wanted them harm.
This is hunted by people who wanted them harm people.
I could not have been more right about this.
And that's not even counting the January 6, you know, just the civilians.
This is the the elected Republicans.
My god.
Oh my god.
Now, it's being called, of course, worse than Watergate.
Uh, and you know, I'm totally biased on this topic, but isn't it worse than Watergate?
It looks like it to me.
Watergate was a tiny little thing when you look at it in the rearview mirror especially.
You know it seemed bigger then of course because the news told you it was bigger but in the rearview mirror this looks a lot bigger.
A lot bigger you like a hundred times bigger.
So we'll see where this goes.
Probably nowhere.
Eric Dhy has a post X.
Uh he was noticing on the view that Whoopi Goldberg was being especially stupid.
I think he called her ironic.
Uh and she was talking about the Biden auto patent.
So this is Whoopi Goldberg on the view.
And she says she wants she wants the Biden admin I'm sorry the Trump administration to quote stop investigating a man who is no longer in office.
This is Whoopy on the view.
Stop investigating a man who is no longer in office.
meaning Biden.
Now, did I mention that this is the same time as the Arctic Frost story is one of the biggest stories in the country?
You know, the part where the Biden administration couldn't stop investigating Trump after he was out of office at the same time.
The same time it's one of the biggest stories.
And she's saying, "Stop investigating a man who's no longer in office." Uh, and here's what Whoopi said that they should be talking about and worrying about.
Are you ready for her priorities?
All right, so it's 2025 and this are Whoopi's priorities.
Soybeans solved.
Epstein files don't really exist.
and those narco boats.
She wants to make sure that we've identified them as actual criminals, not just kill them.
So, those are her three priorities.
Soybeans solved.
Epstein probably imaginary.
I doubt there's any files.
And narco boats that probably the government is doing exactly what they should be doing.
We just don't know the details.
What's missing?
Do you see anything missing from the list?
How about crushing national debt missing?
How about their biggest concern used to be say it climate change?
Yeah, we'll talk about climate change a little bit too.
So what happened to climate change?
Suddenly that's not a big deal.
It's all about the soybeans and the epste and the narco boats.
Uh, I would like to make my own list of the least important things to me.
The least important things.
Soybeans, Epstein files, and narcoats.
I'm kind of interested in all of them.
They're interesting in their own little way, but they're the smallest problems I have in the world.
But Whoopi, she's got to get those soybeans and Epstein files solved.
Climate change, not so much.
Let's talk about Thomas Massie and the and the many dust ups with President Trump.
So JD Vance was asked at uh one of the Turning Point USA events recently.
He was asked why Trump is going after Thomas Massie, which he is trying to primary him.
And uh here's JD's explanation, and I'll give you my take on this.
He says, "It's one thing to disagree with the party on an issue.
voting against the party on every single issue.
Every time we've needed Thomas for a vote, he's been completely unwilling to provide it.
That's why Trump turned his eyeire on Massie.
We could never count on him for some of the most difficult votes.
I say that as someone who knew Thomas well before I got into politics.
All right, here's my take on Thomas Massie.
What JD is leaving out of his um explanation is why he does it.
Why would you leave out why he does it?
Now, I'm not like an expert on every single thing that Thomas Massiey's ever done, but can you answer this question for me?
Is it not true that his resistance to Republican things is always based on the Constitution and always based on an accurate reading of the Constitution?
Am I wrong about that?
That our problem with him is that he can accurately read our own Constitution and then he acts upon it.
There there may be some exceptions where there's just something he knew more about than the government.
you know, he's into the allowing farmers to sell things directly.
I think that's one of his issues.
I I don't know if the rest of the government or the Republicans disagree with that or not.
I mean, he has some other issues, but I think JD, if you wanted to be fair about this, and you know, to be fair, his job is to support the president.
His job is not to be completely transparent.
He's he's a supporter of the president, and that's his right role.
So within his role as vice president, this is totally acceptable the way he framed it.
But as a consumer and as a fan of Massie, I just need to say I like one person who's supporting the Constitution, even if he's a pain in the ass.
I will accept his pain in the assess because it doesn't seem to affect too many votes.
How many times has he been the one the only one who determined which way the vote went?
Has that ever happened?
Or is he just reliably not in their column?
Because if he'd actually changed the outcome of things that I cared about, maybe I'd reassess.
But I don't think he actually changes any outcomes.
I think he's just not reliably under vote.
So anyway, I'm pro Massie.
I completely understand the argument that winning is more important than maybe some nicities.
Um, but I like my constitution and I like that there's one person who will risk everything to remind us what's in it.
Well, Obama is talking.
He was at some event and said some scary Obama sounding things uh that I'll criticize in a moment.
He said, quote, "Part of what we're going to have to do, who is we, the government, the Democrats?
Part of what we're going to have to do is to start experimenting with new forms of journalism." Uh-oh.
Already there's a problem.
And how we use social media.
Uh-oh.
In ways that reaffirm facts and separate facts from opinion.
We want diversity of opinion.
No, you don't, you liar.
We don't want diversity of facts.
That, I think, is one of the big tests of social media, by the way.
It will require some government regulatory constraints.
There it is.
There it is.
He wants some government regulatory constraints.
Now, the way I read this is he wants the government to be in charge of telling you what's real and what isn't real.
Is it a fact or not a fact?
Well, the government the government will help you with that.
What's that called?
It's called censorship.
It's the dumbest thing.
But here's my take.
Doesn't it feel like old thinking to imagine that we know our facts are true?
Can you tell me which domain we're confident that we know the facts are true?
What about those employment numbers?
What about our uh food pyramid?
What about all the pandemic data?
What about our uh GDP?
What about the inflation numbers?
There's not a true number in the country, people.
There is no real reliable fact that any of us will ever agree on.
So, what makes this seem like an opinion from the 70s?
It just feels old.
It's like Obama hasn't noticed that everything from climate change to everything is fake.
It's all fake.
Once you realize that all of the all the facts are fake and always will be.
It's just an idiot idea to follow the facts.
There was a time when we all thought that made sense, right?
If 10 years ago, maybe more, let's say 20 years ago, if 20 years ago he had said exactly this, we have to make sure that people are following facts because if they're not following the facts, we're all in trouble and the government will be helpful in helping you know what the facts are.
20 years ago, I would have actually thought that was a thing.
And I I would have given that serious consideration knowing that there's a censorship, you know, risk there.
But I would have given that serious consideration because I would have thought, well, we're definitely better if we follow the facts, right?
Wouldn't you say that?
Following the facts has got to be better than not following the facts.
And then fast forward 20 years to 2025 and you learn the brutal truth of life.
There are no facts.
There are no facts.
There are only narratives.
There are claims.
There are lies.
There are lucky guesses, but there are no facts, people.
There are no facts.
So, this is all bad.
This is really just Obama saying, "We want to control what you think is true." That's what this is.
We don't want that.
saw a video yesterday of uh I guess one of Joe Biden's closest adviserss, a guy named Mike Donalan had been uh I guess he was being interviewed about his Biden experience and uh they made him admit that he had millions of dollars on the line for keeping o keeping Biden in the race.
Now you know what the problem was, right?
Didn't you know that there had to be some financial thing going on that Biden's adviserss were keeping him in the race?
It always seemed to me that there would be a this big class of professionals who literally would have millions of dollars a piece that were on the line if he got elected, right?
Not only would they get paid for helping him get elected as this Mike Donan said he would get up to $4 million if if Biden became president again.
$4 million.
And coincidentally, Mike Donan did not think that he should pull out of the race, right?
So, we all watched Biden looking, you know, like a vegetable.
But the guy closest to him, who obviously knew what the situation was, had millions of dollars on the line if he lied to us and said he's fine.
Now, I'm not sure that he lied because I can't read his mind, but I certainly wouldn't trust the guy who's got millions of dollars at stake.
There's a video libs of Tik Tok has a video that I don't know exactly who this group is, but it's a group of Democrats, I guess, who are planning to surround the capital on uh November 5th, which they call one year since the fascists got into office.
and they're going to try to increase their number of people around the capital until the current administration resigns.
So, they're literally planning an insurrection.
No, no exaggeration and no word thinking.
So, it would be word thinking if it were not an actual insurrection they were planning, but they even talk about it as removing the government uh before the term is over.
So, if you're if you're trying to use um a protest to remove the government before the government would normally be done, that's an insurrection, right?
I mean, what else would you call that?
So, I'm not doing word thinking.
That's just what they say they're doing.
Uh I don't know who this group is.
Look like a small group in room.
I don't know if we have to worry about them yet, but the fact that they're even talking about that is just wow.
So, as you know, Bill Gates made some news by saying that maybe climate change is not the crisis that people thought and maybe we should spend our money on feeding people and taking care of our other biggest problems.
And people like me made a lot of noise about that.
Um, what's interesting, there's a lot interesting about this.
We'll talk about it.
What's interesting is that uh we're all trying to read his mind and trying to figure out what what was Bill Gates thinking before and was he really thinking now and why do he make this pivot?
Well, I don't know.
So, I always I always warn you that you can't read his mind.
I I saw that Mike Cernovich is going hard at him um reasonably and calling people um was it naive?
I think he used the word naive if you think that all he did was look at the facts and adjust to the new facts.
And I would I would agree with Mike that although I can't read Bill Gates mind, I doubt it had anything to do with facts.
It might have to do with the fact that he has now got approval for his Gen 4 nuclear power plant that he's invested in because if that works out, there's going to be he's going to make more money from nuclear power than he's ever made before in any other thing.
I mean, he could be the richest person in the world just because of Gen 4 nuclear power.
I mean, that that would be enough.
Uh so when somebody has a big financial uh a financial incentive to say yeah let's go strong on energy and don't waste our money so much on these other things we'll put it all in this area.
It might be just financial but again I can't read his mind so I don't know.
Um but uh according to Harry Anon who did a uh survey on or looked at the numbers on CNN, he's their data guy on CNN.
Uh he says that the climate change message has not worked for 36 years.
So back in the year 2000, 40% of the public I guess were alarmed about climate.
40%.
That was in the year 2000.
by the year 2020 had gone up to 46% um were concerned and then after uh 2020 it dropped.
So by 2025 only 40% back to where it was in 2000.
So from 25 years of uh climate alarmism didn't move the needle at all.
25 years of massive propaganda in one direction didn't move it at all.
Where was Trump the whole time?
Trump was saying that climate change was a hoax the whole time.
Not necessarily the warming part, but the way it was treated as a crisis was a hoax.
And uh he he of course couldn't help himself.
So he posted today, "We won the war on climate change hoax.
And he said that uh this is what Trump said on X.
Bill Gates has finally admitted that he was completely wrong on the issue.
It took courage to do so and for that we're all grateful.
MAGA.
So, so Trump got one of the biggest wins of all time.
Imagine how he feels.
Is there anything that Trump has been more mocked for besides his haircut than the fact that he called climate change a hoax?
I think that was always besides the trivial stuff like hair and you know girlfriends and stuff.
I think that was like the biggest knock against him, right?
That he was he was anti-science and he didn't understand what all the smart people did that we were all going to die in a climate crisis.
Well, people fast forward.
He was right.
He was right.
So, what happened between the years 2020 and 2025 that would have caused that would have caused people to have, you know, less belief in climate change.
Is there anybody who got involved in that conversation around 2015?
Well, you could do the math.
All right.
Um, ABC's Jonathan Carl was interviewing uh Gavin Newsome.
This is funny.
So, you would you would think that ABC might be sort of pro-democrat, especially in their news division.
Uh, but here's what Jonathan Carl actually did in a in a recorded podcast with Gavin Newsome.
This is almost hard to believe.
This is a real thing.
He held up a picture of the character from the movie American Psycho and held it next to a picture of Gavin Newsome and told him that even his even his supporters note that he looks like a uh a comic book villain from Central Casting.
Imagine being in a uh in an interview with a legitimate news source and the legitimate news guy holds up a picture of you as a character in a movie who's literally a a psychopath and it has no news value whatsoever except to point out that he looks like a psychopath.
Now that's funny.
That's just funny.
Um, however, uh, you know, I have to support Jonathan Carl on this.
The way people look totally matters, right?
That's something I can say because I'm just, you know, a guy on a podcast, but you you can't say that if you're legitimate news, but he did.
I mean, in his own way, he's saying it as a legitimate news guy.
Uh, the way you look matters a lot.
AOCC's look.
Do you think that makes a difference?
Of course it does.
Uh President Trump's height, does that make a difference?
Of course it does.
Of course it does.
Yeah.
The the way people look is hugely influential.
And I do believe I agree that Newsome does look like a uh a movie or a comic book book villain.
He looks exactly like the Joker, doesn't he?
He's even got the Joker's haircut.
He he could walk into a role as the Joker on a Batman movie with almost no makeup.
I'm not wrong about that.
So, if people can't notice that, I don't know.
Meanwhile, here's a shock.
According to the National Pulse, uh I guess Elaine Stefonic, a uh a Republican, just pulled the highest for a potential future governor of New York.
And they haven't had a Republican governor in New York in 20 years.
So, I don't know if that's real.
That's one that's just one poll.
You can't really believe one poll, but it's new poll from the Manhattan Institute shows Elise Elise Stefonic, Republican, leading both the current governor Hawl and uh and Lieutenant Governor of New York, too, who's also a Democrat.
So, hypothetically, if they ever ran, she would win.
That would be amazing.
Wouldn't expect that.
Um, meanwhile over in Gaza trying to figure out how to get that all settled out.
Axios is reporting that there's there's some lots of conversations and progress I think has been made figuring out who's going to run that place in terms of physical security.
And at the moment it looks like the idea I don't know if this is going to work but the idea is that the US Egypt and Jordan alongside some other this Axios is reporting on this along with some uh other Arab and Muslim countries that might include Indonesia, Azeran, Egypt and Turkey might be all part of this security deal.
But it sounds like if they're talking about maybe this country, maybe that country, that sounds a lot like they don't they're not that close to getting any kind of a thing um going.
But here's the most interesting thing that happened.
Oh, well, let me let me just say this.
I'm sure they'll get it.
So, I don't think there's any risk that they won't be able to figure out how to get some countries that want to do security there.
It's just going to take some grinding.
It just looks like it's going to be hard, but totally doable.
So, they they'll get there.
But, uh, as you know, there have been some breaks in the ceasefire, which everybody expects.
You know, there there always going to be minor breaks in the ceasefire, but so far it's holding.
And, uh, even though they're breaks, that gets back on plan when it does.
But I didn't know this, but apparently uh Israel had planned as sort of a retaliation for the the ceasefire break that they say Hamas did, they were going to retake some part of Gaza and reoccupy it.
And the reporting is that Trump said, "No, you're not.
You are not going to take more of Gaza.
Stay where you are.
uh we're just going to sort of sort of just tap this along and act like the break of the ceasefire wasn't the biggest deal in the world so that we can get to the phase two.
Uh whereas Israel might want to might wanted to grab some land uh or or just move the IDF into more occupying of of Gaza than they're occupying right now, which would have just caused a giant problem and maybe derailed the entire thing.
And the reporting is that Trump said, "Nope." And he said, "No, you're not.
You're not going to redeploy and take over that space.
Even though you have a good argument for it, you're not going to do it." Now, here's my question to you.
Did that really happen?
Because, you know, it's the news.
You never know if it really happened.
Did Trump really tell them not to do it?
And is that really the only reason they didn't do it?
Because if the reporting is accurate, uh it's kind of a a blow to the Israel controls the US narrative, isn't it?
Kind of a big blow.
Does it not seem to you that at least with our current president, while it will always be true that Israel does an amazingly good job of influencing the US for their, you know, their own uh national purposes, which is their job.
You know, if you're an Israeli government, well, even if you're just a citizen, it's sort of your job to make sure that your country does well.
Does Israel do a good job of making sure their country does well?
Yeah.
Yeah.
A really good job.
Very good job.
Do we like it all the time?
Not if we think that it included manipulating or pushing the US around.
We don't like that part.
But so far, we've heard several anecdotes that seem to suggest that uh at least Netanyahu is going to I don't want to say bow to Trump, but he's he's definitely going to take very seriously what Trump wants to the point of maybe just doing what he wants.
So are we watching any kind of great reversal where the the power influence structure is changing or has it always been this way but we were maybe less aware of it cuz you know I've described in the past the US and Israel relationship to me it looks less like Israel controlling everything in America and more like a sibling situation which is that you know we have this, you know, love for them as siblings.
You know, you could argue whether we should or should not, but we do.
You know, Israel's kind of special to a lot of people in the US.
Not everybody, obviously.
Um, but I think we influence each other.
When it matters more to the US, then we push.
When it matters more to them, maybe they push harder than we push back.
Sometimes they win, sometimes we win.
But if it's true, and I'll I'll put a big if because if you wanted to argue with the if, I wouldn't I wouldn't have a, you know, response to that.
If it's true that Trump is telling them what to do in some of these situations and they're just doing it, that would look very different, wouldn't it?
That would look very much more sibling like sometimes your brother wins, sometimes your sister wins, but it's not really winning.
It's more like just working with each other.
That's what it looks like.
I'm not close enough to the situation to know what it really is like, but it looks like that.
Um, let's see.
Homeland Security, according to News Nation, is rolling out new rules requiring photographs and in some cases fingerprints of all non- US citizens entering the US.
To which I say, wait, what?
We're only now requiring uh fingerprints and photographs for coming into the country.
We we weren't already doing that.
That's a that's one of those stories where you go, "What?
I thought we always did that." All right.
Um let's see what's happening overseas just for a minute.
over in Germany, the the right-wing party has got now 40% uh um support which is actually more than all the the any of the other individual parties.
So the dominant party only by little 40 to 38% uh is anti-immigration.
So, does that mean that Germany will start deporting people and closing their border if the biggest political entity, only biggest by a little bit, but they're the biggest, um, is against it?
Do you think that Germany has time to roll back their immigration um, standards to save Germany as whatever they want Germany to look like?
Probably not.
Yeah, I'm seeing in the comments too late.
Feels too late, doesn't it?
Feels too late.
But speaking of that, Elon Musk who says uh in his provocative way, uh Elon said that civil war in Britain is inevitable.
I think he said that on Acts, of course.
Uh do you think so?
Do you think that a civil war in Britain is inevitable?
what he's talking about is the uh the nativeborn versus the immigrant population.
I think you maybe he's talking about the Islamic uh immigrant population specifically.
He's not he's not being specific, but do you think there's going to be a civil war in Britain?
I'm going to say no because what would that look like?
They don't have guns.
What what would civil war even look like?
They're completely neutered.
Who Who would they fight?
What are they going to go out with butter knives and butter knives and baseball bats and have a civil war?
I don't think there's going to be a civil war.
I I think that whatever it is they wanted to preserve, they already lost.
And for them, it's probably a major tragedy.
But I don't think they can civil war their way out of it.
I don't I don't see that happening.
Um, and I guess Trump's also going to end uh the the Biden policy of automatically extending work permits.
Breitbart News is reporting on this, John Binder.
Um, and that makes sense.
They're just going to make sure that the people who are working here have been vetted properly.
They won't like it.
Meanwhile, also in Germany, they've developed a 20 kowatt laser for shooting down drones.
Now, this will be like the 20th time I've told you a story that there's a brand new device laser for shooting down drones or other things.
Um, but what I want to add to this is that apparently if this works, and they're already testing it and it does work, uh, so it's a real thing, uh, that it will lower the cost of defending against drones, you know, dramatically.
And when I'm looking at war zones, because I have a, you know, economics background, uh, I tend to look at the economics of it to predict what's happen.
You know, the best economy almost always wins in war.
I don't know if you knew that, but the strongest economy usually can afford the best weapons and over time the best economy usually wins a war.
Uh, but related to that would be the cost of their weapons.
You know, if you're the if you're the smaller economy, but you can figure out how to do your weapons really cheap, you you effectively, you know, can punch above your weight.
So, if it turns out that our adversaries are really good at building drones, um, but we get even better at anti- drone lasers and shooting them out of the sky for 20 cents a drone instead of, you know, a million dollars to take out a drone, uh, we win.
So, it could be that the economic race to have, you know, the cheapest anti- drone defenses and also the cheapest drones, just the economics of that, that might determine who wins everything.
And, you know, Germany's got a nice little device there that might make a difference.
Well, here's something for the Democrats to talk about for the next few weeks.
According to the Guardian, the Pentagon is uh telling the National Guard to organize quick reaction forces for all the major parts of the US.
So there'd be 20,000 National Guard who would be trained, but no more than say 500 for any one location.
So it's not you're not going to see 20,000 people in the same place, but 500 a piece for various places.
and they would be a quick reaction force for uh if there's social unrest.
So if there's something that you quickly need to quell like a riot, there will always be somewhere reasonably close in every state, you'd have 500 well-trained anti-riot people.
Now, what do you think the Democrats are going to say about that?
Th this is weeks of content for the anti- athoritarian people.
Oh, there it is.
Told you.
Told you.
He's organizing his private army now.
If we protest, he's going to come and get us with his 500 National Guard people.
So, they'll have something to talk about for a few weeks.
We don't want them to be bored.
All right, that's all I have for today.
Uh, I'm going to talk to the uh local subscribers, my beloved local subscribers.
Uh, a little special.
By the way, if you were a member of Locals, you've been watching me draw Dilbert live every night.
Um, I can't promise I'll do it every night.
My, you know, actually my ability to draw could be done this week.
This might be the last time I draw uh cuz my hand is increasingly paralyzed from whatever is going on medically with me.
So, at the moment, my two fingers and thumb on my left hand still work.
So, I've been doing live drawing demonstrations.
Uh, so you can see how I use the computer to draw, etc.
I teach you teach you my little tricks as I'm going.
Sometimes we write, sometimes I'll write live.
Um, but so that's on locals.
If you want to, just Google me.
Google my name and locals and you'll find out where to sign up if you want to.
But I can't promise you I can keep doing it the drawing.
So I I I might have to retire from drawing you maybe this week.
I know.
It just depends if my hand keeps working.
If these three fingers keep working, I can actually draw better than I've ever drawn before.
So there there's no degradation whatsoever at the moment, but it's right on the edge.
It's right on the edge where I'm going to lose this ability completely.
I already can't type.
So since the these fingers don't work, I can't type because I can't feel the keyboard.
But today, I'll go in and get a uh get my radiation treatment for at least one part of my body, which won't affect this, by the way.
So there's there's no plan for fixing this at the moment.
So, I might be a quadripollegic pretty soon.
Anyway, um, thanks for joining.
and locals.
I'm coming at you privately in 30 seconds.
Come on in.
We'll give you the show that you deserve
today
for the first time.
All right. Well, I'm lost in the locals
menus and cannot determine any way that
I can see my own show. Let's see.
I'll close locals on that screen.
Reopen.
It should open right up to where I want.
Good morning everybody and welcome to
the highlight of human civilization.
It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and
you've never had a better time. But if
you'd like to take a chance on elevating
your experience to levels that nobody
can even understand with their tiny
shiny human brains, all you need for
that is a copper mug or a glass of
tanker chalice or ste a canteen jugger
flask of vessel of any kind filled with
your favorite liquid. I like coffee.
Join me now for the unparalleled
pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day.
The thing that makes everything better.
It's called, that's right, the
simultaneous sip. and it happens. Now,
[sighs]
[gasps] if you're wondering why I'm
using two hands for my cup, it's cuz my
hands are semi paralyzed at the moment.
Thanks to something that's going on with
my body. went to the uh I told the local
subscribers before I got on here, I went
to the emergency room yesterday on my
doctor's orders because of the growing
paralysis in my hands.
And the emergency room sent me home
without the MRI cuz they said this is no
emergency.
We're not allowed to use the MRI unless
it's an emergency.
And I said, "My doctor's here." She even
emailed ahead to make sure you knew what
you were going to do so that you would
do it. Yeah, but upper back. It's not an
emergency. I'm getting paralyzed.
I can barely move one hand. Yeah, but
you're not dying.
So, guy with a snake bike came in. He
didn't do much better, but I think he I
think they saved his life. Anyway,
so today is the first day I get my um
radiation treatment. It'll just be a
spot treatment for the the one place
that bothering me in my lower body. It
would not be a treatment for whatever is
happening is my paralysis.
But the plator might help with that if I
ever get it scheduled. So that's the
update. I'd like to start with a reframe
to change your life. As you know, the
reframes in my book, Reframe Your Brain,
change people's lives with one sentence.
Although each person is different, so
the sentence that changes your life will
be different than the one that changes
somebody else's. But maybe maybe today's
your day. Let's see.
Here's a usual frame. Um people tell you
that you should compete against
yourself. Have you ever heard that?
They'll say, you know, no, no, no.
You're not competing against other
people. You're just trying to do better
than you do. Have you ever heard that
advice? Very common advice. Bad advice.
Here's some better advice. I'm going to
reframe it. Instead of competing with
yourself and trying to improve over
time, which sounds like a good idea, you
can do better.
Compete against other people. [laughter]
You'll do better. if you compete against
other people. But here's the trick. Even
if they're unaware that you're competing
with them,
so you don't have to tell them you're
competing with them. Could be a
co-orker,
could be, you know, classmate or
something, but you just tell yourself,
"Okay, I'm going to beat that one. That
one I'm going to beat." And then you've
got a target. You've got something
specific.
And uh you're far more likely to
accomplish something specific than
something generic. Like everybody knows
that, right? So if you say, "I'm going
to beat that person on that chemistry
test." Even if they don't know you're
competing, it's going to help you
compete. So that's your reframe of the
day. Good for young people especially.
All right, let me make sure I got all
your comments.
Yes, I do.
Well, according to somebody named Lara
Weed,
best last name I could ever imagine,
Lara Weed. Uh, anyway, she's a circadian
research lab person from Stanford, so
she knows what she's talking about. And
there's a new study that says you
shouldn't change the time. You know how
we do this standard versus daylight
time. But here's the new wrinkle. Uh so
so changing the time is bad for people's
circadian rhythms and they have health
problems and other problems. Uh but it's
bad no matter how you change it. So if
you stuck with daylight versus standard
time, it would still be better than if
you changed it twice a year. So it's the
change that's the problem. But on top of
that, um, keeping things at standard
time would be the least burden on your
circadian rhythms. So, at least
according to one study,
not that we trust science anymore, but
something to talk about, uh, that
keeping it on standard time would be the
healthiest. So, we don't know.
Well, according to Dr. Peter Diamandis,
who I see on X, I follow on X. Um, I
guess chemo
may be something that we won't need
anymore for skin cancer because there's
a new research. Scientists say they can
kill 92% of skin cancer cells using an
LED light without damaging healthy
cells.
H, that sounds pretty good. Uh, what
will Democrats say about the development
of LED light to fight cancer?
What will they say? Well, we already
know what they'll say. Democrats will
say, "Why would you use household
disinfectants and bleach to kill
cancer?"
And then I would say, "What? Nobody said
anything about bleach."
Yeah, you just said bleach will cure
your cancer. No, nobody even used the
word. Nobody even used the word. No,
we're talking about light. From the
beginning to end, we're talking about
light.
Yeah. Were you? Cuz the news said that
you said bleach would do it.
Do you all remember the the uh drinking
bleach hoax, which was exactly it was
done exactly the same way as the fine
people hoax? In both cases, the the hoax
was because you cut off the clarifier
when Trump said, "But I'm, you know, but
I'm not talking about the neo-Nazis.
They should be condemned totally." You
take that off and it reverses what he
said. with the uh the drinking bleach
thing. If you take off the beginning
where where Trump said he was talking
about light and then you take off the
clarifier at the end where he again
emphasizes he was only talking about
light. If you take those clarifiers off,
it allowed the news to say that he was
talking about household disinfectants or
bleach because the other people had
talked about it before. It's the same
hoax. So, it's funny to see that uh
there's yet another light treats a
disease
will CNN reported as why would you put
bleach on your skin? No, they won't
because Trump didn't say it.
[clears throat and snorts] According to
interesting engineering,
uh now we can make art, we like you and
I can do it. Somebody can make uh
artificial neurons that replicate real
brain chemistry. And you would do that
because it might be another way to get
to AI. How many times have I told you
that our current big AI models, the
large language models, will never get
you to general intelligence. They'll
just sort of be able to do what they can
do now, but maybe a little bit better.
They're they're not really going to get
over the hump to be like a thinking
conscious anything. It doesn't have that
potential in my opinion. But there are a
whole bunch of other AI approaches that
are being uh rapidly
prototyped at least because I think
people know that there's a limit to the
large language models. And so the this
neuron replicator was specifically so
they can build a better AI with a
completely different you know completely
different method. I I think I've read
several
now there are several different
approaches that all have that same
quality which is they're not regular
LLMs. They're a completely different
approach because I think that would get
you to advanced general intelligence.
So if I had to bet
I would bet that the LLMs are going to
get leapfrogged by some smaller entity
and then they'll get bought up pretty
quickly. But uh if some smaller entity
could do that, you know, do the whole
large language model without a trillion
dollars, you know, if they could do it
for a $100,
some trillion dollar company's going to
buy them pretty quickly.
So that'll happen. Uh as you know, Elon
Musk has said, and I like repeating it
because every time I hear it, it makes
me happy. The Optimus, the robots that
Tesla is going to make and and it's
making already um will cost less than a
car, 20 to $30,000 eventually. But
here's the fun part. Elon says it will
be able to do anything you want. Well,
anything. I don't know about anything,
but it could teach, babysit your kids,
walk your dog, mow your lawn, get
groceries, serve drinks, or just be your
friend. Whatever you can think of, it
will do. I can think of a lot of things.
It's going to be awesome. And I think
this will be the biggest product of ever
of any kind. Now that's that's the
exciting part that that we could be you
know watching the greatest product
innovation rollout
trend of all time of all history and
we're going to get to watch it I think.
Uh, but this would suggest that Elon
Musk thinks that he has a version of AI
that can get to something like general
intelligence because that's what he's
describing here. The LLMs would never
get you to a robot that could do with
that stuff. It just isn't just the wrong
technology. But he uses uh visual
training. So, he's doing a lot of visual
training and I think some probably some
artificial worlds training, too.
So, it looks like he thinks he has a
path
and if he says he has a path, I would
not doubt him.
Um, did you know that uh in addition to
drugs that are uh uh what do you call
them? Generics. So, you know, we have
generic drugs, but the pharma would wish
we didn't because if if there were no
such thing as generics, then they could
forever have a monopoly on, you know,
their IP, their their property. But over
time, their IP times out and then there
can be a generic for the drug. But did
you know there's a separate category of
drugs
and I'm not smart enough to know what's
in the category, but the biologics?
Biologics.
So that's a category of drugs. But
apparently the uh according to RFK Jr.
who just did a an [clears throat]
announcement about it. Apparently the
pharma was doing a great job of
marketing and persuading
Congress not to allow knockoffs of their
biologics. And the argument was that
nobody would be able to make a proper
copy.
That's sort of like magic and wizardry
and you more like making a fine wine and
you couldn't let anybody knock off the
biologics because it might be dangerous
and ineffective. And somehow they sold
that. Meaning that if you tried to make
a imitation or copy of one of these
biologics that had, you know, had lost
its copyright protection or whatever
protection has um
that you could you couldn't do it
because they had put too many obstacles
in the way. But, uh, apparently there's
going to be a rules change and President
Trump's going to sign something that
would allow, um, companies to compete
for this big category of biologics. And
that would be, in my opinion, a huge win
for RFK Jr. because it's not the sort of
thing that necessarily would have even
come up had he not been, you know,
running the show. So, not only did he
identify a problem that has potentially
enormous economic value to consumers,
um, but it looks like he acted,
identified the problem, acted, solved. I
mean, I'm sure it's nothing's that
easily solved, but looks like a win to
me.
ONN is reporting on that.
Well, meanwhile, NASA is reportedly
building or it's well along the way of
building a quiet supersonic jet. So,
something that doesn't go bam when it
crosses the sound barrier. This one goes
thud. Uh a more a more uh let's say
acceptable noise in the atmosphere.
And they're already they're already
testing. It's already built and they're
doing test flights and it works. And if
it works and if it brings in a new era
of uh air travel, it could reduce the
time that you go across the country to I
don't know maybe half.
So imagine flying from, you know,
California to New York in 3 hours
instead of sixish.
That'd be a pretty big change. Imagine
uh you know, I live in California. Most
of the Californians who have a little
extra money like to go to Hawaii. That's
sort of our the the closest, you know,
tropical looking place.
Imagine instead of 6 hours to Hawaii,
it's three. It completely changes the
experience for me. For me, any kind of
travel, you know, when I could travel,
uh, was all about the time you had to be
in the plane. If you can reduce the time
when you're on the plane, I'm all in.
[laughter]
But if you're gonna tell me I need to be
on a plane for 14 hours to go to, you
know, Bora Bora or something,
I can't do 28 hours of sitting on a
plane there and back. But if you cut it
in half, yeah, suddenly suddenly it
looks kind of practical.
All right, so we'll wait for that.
Supersonic flights
allegedly
according to Dr. Singularity, who's got
some news on X. Um, number of the big AI
companies have built an artificial
simulated fusion reactor situation. So,
allegedly, I'm a little skeptical about
this one, but let me tell you what it
is. That uh, you know, we've been trying
to get fusion energy, but it's really
complicated and hard. We know we can do
it because it's now fusion as a
technology is a proven technology but
not not engineered to economic success
yet. So there's an economic iteration
process has to go through. We don't need
to prove it can work. We're already past
that. We just need to engineer it so it
does work and it's reliable and safe.
Fusion should be safer if you do it
right. should be safer than than Fision,
but uh except for the Gen 4. And uh so
Nvidia and some other big companies have
allegedly gotten together and built an
artificial
fusion situation so that they can
iterate a bunch of different things
within a a virtual world and then that
will tell them what to do in the real
world. Now, do you believe
that they can they do you believe that
they can't build a fusion reactor yet
that's you know meets all the
requirements but that they could build
an accurate AI simulation of it. Does
that sound like something people could
do? I'm going to say no.
Sorry. I'm going to say no. I don't
think people could do that. It might
teach us something or it might you it
might you maybe pop up a possibility
that we had not considered but I don't
think it would accurately simulate it do
you? And how would you know if it
accurately simulated it cuz we can't do
it in the real world. So what would you
compare it to to know that it had
accurately simulated it so you weren't
wasting your time seeing what the
simulation would do? So, let's just say,
call me skeptical.
All right. Uh, have you heard of my
book, Loser Think?
Let Let me grab it off the shelf. Hold
on.
[laughter]
Oh,
there it is.
coming.
>> Sorry, I meant to be more prepared. So,
my book lose or think
uh has many examples of how to poorly
think so that you know not to do it. One
of the one of the more important points
in the book is what I call word
thinking. Have you heard me talk about
that before? Word thinking. So word
thinking is where you're trying to make
an argument
that really just forces the other person
to accept your definition of a word
as opposed to an argument. So word
thinking is is is the opposite of being
rational and the opposite of making an
argument. is just trying to browbe
somebody into accepting that the word
you're using for a thing is the right
word because that carries the argument
with it if you buy the word. For
example, if they can sell you that Gaza
was a genocide,
then they don't need to make an
argument. If if you accept the word,
they're done, right? But it's really,
you know, more complicated than it is or
is not a word. There's a whole
backstory. There's a context, there's
everything. So whenever you see somebody
trying to force you to take their word
as their definition,
that's just propaganda. That's just
power. That has nothing to do with
what's right or wrong or logical. Now,
what do Democrats say about the
government shutdown?
Well, Governor Nuome's press office
says, quote, "If you control all three
branches of government, how are you not
in charge?"
So, they're using the word control as
the word that they want you to accept.
If you accept control,
then you have accidentally accepted that
that the Republicans are the ones that
can open the government all by
themselves, [clears throat] right? It's
there's no argument there. They just
want you to accept control. If you buy
into the definition of who's in control
and they've defined it as, you know,
who's got control of the three po parts
of the government, then you are in
control and therefore logically only you
can open the government. Now, everybody
who pays attention to the news knows
that the Democrats would have to vote
for it also in at least large enough
numbers to get it passed, and they're
not. So the Democrats have complete
control because all they have to do is
say yes and the government opens because
the because the Republicans have already
said yes to a continuing resolution
which is would get it done.
Now you may have seen Jessica Charles
arguing on the five the same the same
point
and what she does is she uses a wording
substitution. Uh, I think the word she
used, if I remember, was incumbent.
She said that if you're the one who owns
all the if you're in control of the
three branches of government, as
Republicans are, that it is incumbent
upon you to negotiate with the minority,
the Democrats, and give them something
in return for them agreeing to open the
government.
Now, do you see the word thinking there?
That's word thinking. There's no
argument there.
>> [laughter]
>> She's trying to replace an argument with
a word incumbent. It's incumbent upon
you. But where is the connecting tissue?
Where's the logic that says that uh
you've got two teams. One team has
already said yes to open the government.
The other team has not yet said yes. Why
would it be incumbent on the ones who
have already said yes to give something
away when they've already agreed to do
the thing that's the thing which is open
the government and pay for it? They've
already agreed. They're not there's no
incumbent to anything. Who wrote that
rule that is there something in the
Constitution about what makes you
incumbent?
Now, I hope I'm using the right word.
Was it incumbent the the word she used
on the five? I I didn't write it down,
but I from memory I think that's what
but if it's not incumbent it's a word
like that. So it's the same point even
if it's a different word. So how many of
you recognize this now? How many of you
recognize that this was always word
thinking
and that's all it ever was?
And and that uh a great deal of the
Democrat uh narratives and approaches
are this.
They just try to get you to buy into a
word. What are some other words the
Democrats are trying to get you accept
insurrection
when they talk about January 6th?
They don't want to give an argument
because the argument would go like this.
What did those people want to
accomplish? Oh, they thought the
election was rigged and they were trying
to pause it to make sure that we had a
fair election.
That's what an actual argument would
look like. But if you can't win the
argument, you try to do it with word
thinking. You say, "It's an
insurrection." Well, no, not really.
Because that was not the intention of
any of the people who had attended. It
was an insurrection.
Yeah, but it really wasn't.
So, so if you get into the arguing over
what the word means, then they have a
chance of at least a tie because people
who don't pay attention to the news will
think, well, half of them say it's an
insurrection and half of them say it's
not sort of a tie, so I'll just go with
my team that says it is. It's not a tie.
It's not even close to a tie. There
probably wasn't one person there who
thought that they could take over the
government by walking around unarmed and
a and trespassing. Not one person
thought that that would take over the
government.
Anyway, so that's what word thinking is
when there's no argument, but they're
trying to get you to accept their words.
Meanwhile, Trump's been over in Asia
trying to making deals. I guess he might
have made a deal for some soybeans. I I
can't tell if this is a good deal or a
bad deal, but 25 million tons
uh and 12 million tons immediately. So,
Bessent was announcing that and also he
rents land to farmers who do soybeans.
So, Bessent went over there and got a
deal that was good for Bentley.
Was it good for anybody else? I have no
context to know whether that would be
good for anybody else, but certainly
would be good for the soy farming
landlords.
Sorry, I just needed that extra sip. All
right, what else did he get? Uh, but
that's not all.
We've got reports of other deals that uh
Trump made. Um, let's see. So, we got
the soybeans. So, that's good for the
farmers.
What I wonder about, and I don't know if
we'll ever find this out, did our
farmers grow a bunch of soybeans and
then have to throw them away because
they didn't have any place to sell them.
Have they already wasted the soybeans
that they grew or do they have a bunch
of stored up soybeans that are just
ready to go and that this is just pure
good news? I don't know. Because if they
already lost the whole season,
which they might have, right? Isn't it
possible that farmers lost the whole
season?
That would put a lot of people out of
business. So, I I don't know how good or
bad this is. Does it save us? By us, I
mean the soy farmers. I don't know. Um,
but I guess they the president and
president Xi, they met, but they did not
talk about Taiwan or the deal for Tik
Tok. And I think that was the right play
because it's not like they were going to
make a decision on Taiwan,
you know, while they were there for an
hour and a half. And it's not like
I don't think the Tik Tok deal needed
any extra approvals, right? He didn't
need she to say yes because they already
said yes. So, doesn't make sense that
they would have talked about those. That
those were lower priority for the
meeting, I think. But they did talk
about other stuff. And Trump says he's
going to drop the tariff by by 10 basis
points, 10%. Um because China promised
to do more on fentinel. Does that sound
like a win for the United States? We
lowered their tariff because the tariff
had been put on because they weren't
doing enough about fentinel. Uh but she
said he would try harder on fentinyl.
That's a nothing.
Unfortunately, that's a nothing. Try
harder. No, he's not going to try
harder.
That's a nothing.
Um, but we did reduce their tariffs, so
they got a something. So, China got a
something, but it was also something
artificial because Trump has simply made
up the tariff.
So, Trump So, she got something that
didn't have any actual value because it
was just something that Trump made up.
I'll give you more, you know, I'll
increase your tariff. And then he took
away the thing he made up. So that's
sort of a break even. Uh we were not
getting enough help with with fentinol.
We're still not going to get enough help
with fentinol. That's a nothing. So
apparently this deal
for of tariffs reduced
or fentinel help to me it looks a little
more like we gave them nothing in return
for nothing. To me, that's just nothing.
Love to be wrong. I would love to be
wrong about that.
And then apparently, uh, China is not
going to bother us on the rare earth
minerals. They're going to be somewhat
unrestricted,
but they can change that on a dime,
right? China can change their mind on
the rare earth minerals five minutes.
So, does it really mean anything when
they say they're not going to try to
restrict our rare earth minerals? To me,
it looks more like they want to make
sure that they can corner that market
and not encourage us to create
alternative sources because I think they
know that they would have more power if
we believe that we had a secure supply
of rare earth from them only or or if it
they're the biggest source. So, I got a
feeling that strategic than being a good
friend. You know, they're like, "We'd
rather we'd rather maintain our total
power over your rare earth. So, for now,
we're going to sell you all you want."
Sort of like a drug dealer.
So, I don't know. It's better that
they're not restricting it at the moment
as long as we don't
pull back from our effort to diversify
our sources. I don't think we are. All
right. What else do they agree on? uh
that China is going to quote discuss
trip the microchip restrictions with
Nvidia. Is that anything? So they agree
that somebody's going to talk to
somebody. So China's going to talk to
Nvidia. But Nvidia doesn't get to
approve or not approve the chip sales.
That's the government. So the people who
can't make the decision are going to
talk about it. That's a nothing.
[laughter]
Again, it's a nothing. But maybe it
looks good on paper. Um, and then
according to the Coobei letter on X, I
didn't see it anywhere else, but uh,
allegedly one of the agreements is that
China and the US will quote collaborate
on Ukraine.
Do you think the US and China are going
to collaborate on Ukraine? No.
[laughter]
No. That's a nothing. That couldn't
possibly be a thing. No, that's not
going to happen.
Um,
and that uh there's there's talk that a
real trade deal, a more comprehensive
trade deal might be coming.
Maybe. I don't see it.
So, it could be that the only real thing
on this list of accomplishments
and and you know, you you've been with
me long enough, you know, I'm totally
pro Trump, right? You know, I'm totally
pro America, pro Trump.
I don't think he got anything.
Is that okay?
Everybody okay with that take? I don't
think he got anything.
But he didn't lose anything. I don't
think he lost anything. Did you see the
body language when they were doing the
extended handshake?
God, that looked awkward, didn't it? We
we've seen Trump shake hands with every
kind of leader in the world and it
always looks like he has some kind of
physical
dominant advantage over them. Well,
President Xi obviously, you know, he's
operating at a high level and he knows
what the handshake means and he knows
what it looks like and he's a big guy.
He's physically a big guy. So, she held
held tight and he just kept his
President Xi face. He didn't he didn't
uh he didn't get pulled in by the
charisma. He was absolutely charisma
resistant.
And I didn't see any other leader who
ever even tried that.
So if you if you were going to um grade
them on their body language, it was a
tie.
and well maybe she won because he was
not affected in any way by the handshake
and you're looking for him to be
affected. So it looked very awkward.
They looked very uncomfortable.
There was no point where they look like
buddies but you know Trump's trying to
sell it as their best friends and they
work can work together which is good by
the way that he he should Trump should
be acting like you're my friend. we're
going to do great. China and the US can
grow together. Those are all the right
messages. So, he's doing the right
messaging. But no, she is very clearly,
you know, holding his cards close to his
chest. He's not giving up anything. And,
you know, Trump did a good job of
complimenting him, saying he was a, you
know, great leader of a great country.
And I think those are both true
statements. He's a strong leader of a
great country. Um, so saying that is
smart and good good politics.
All right. What else? Uh, and also
Secretary Basant says that Trump's
coming back with $2 trillion in added
investments. That's not from China.
That's from the other countries, Japan,
South Korea, etc. Um, that's pretty
good. I don't think any president has
has done as well as Trump in bringing
business to the United States. Nobody's
even close, right? Is it fair to say
that nobody's even tried this hard to
make the US the dominant place you do
business? Well, it's a little out of
order, but I was going to talk about
Trump was giving a speech somewhere over
there and he was talking about making
America the easiest place to do
business.
And
um that is the smartest thing you'll
ever see. for the US because the the
contrast, he didn't have to say it out
loud. The contrast is that it's
dangerous to do business in China,
right? Did did any of you catch that?
When he was giving his speech, it looked
like he was just talking about the US.
We're going to make the US the easiest
place to get a permit, the the easiest
place to get approved,
the, you know, the best systems.
um presumably the best, you know, court
systems, etc. That's important. He
didn't say that, but that's important.
So, he's consciously saying, I'm going
to brand the United States as the best
place to do business. That would be
worth the whole trip.
that that reframe of America is the best
place to do business in the context of
all of us knowing, but we don't even
have to say it out loud anymore, that
China is the worst place to do business
because it's going to be hard to get
permits. If you get things approved, it
might be yanked back. Uh they're going
to spy on you, steal your IP,
um put every obstacle in the way, and
then eventually steal your entire
business if they can.
comparing comparing America. You can be
free, you can get here, you can set up
shop, you can get a permit, you'll get
approved, the the legal system will
treat you right. That's no competition.
That is just no competition. And Trump
knows a winning play. So, by making it a
big deal to brand the US as the best
place to do business, he's sort of
bringing together a bunch of things that
we know to be true or could be true,
which is the easy to get a permit. It's
not true yet. He has to make that true,
but he can do it. Um, this is one of the
strongest, best
plays you'll ever see an American
president do. It It would be hard to top
that as the smartest, best, most capable
thing you could do if you're president.
Really, I'm I'm just I'm blown away by
how smart that is.
It seems like only a simple thing, but
other people could have done it, right?
If you say to yourself, "But Scott,
that's just a simple thing. It's just a
thing he's saying in a speech." Anybody
could have said that before,
right? But they didn't. It's the saying
it that matters. The saying it matters.
Well, are you following the story of
Arctic Frost? That was the the legal
project that uh that Jack Smith was
going after the Republicans, going after
Trump. But what we know now is that part
of that effort, Ted Cruz is telling us
about it, is that the Department of
Justice under Biden issued
197 subpoenas for 430 Republican
entities and individuals.
The Democrats,
once Biden was elected,
were literally hunting Republicans.
Do you remember when Bill Maher mocked
me last week for saying that Republicans
would be hunted if Biden got elected? I
said that back in 2020 on X. He mocked
me for that. He mocked me for saying
they would be hunted while at the same
time one of the biggest stories in the
country is the Republicans were being
hunted.
Now, maybe he thought I meant with a gun
and in some cases that too, but I didn't
mean that necessarily with a gun, just
that they would be hunted, you know,
hunted by people who wanted them harm.
This is hunted by people who wanted them
harm people. I could not have been more
right about this. And that's not even
counting the January 6, you know, just
the civilians. This is the the elected
Republicans. My god. Oh my god. Now,
it's being called, of course, worse than
Watergate.
Uh,
and you know, I'm totally biased on this
topic, but isn't it worse than
Watergate?
It looks like it to me. Watergate was a
tiny little thing when you look at it in
the rearview mirror especially. You know
it seemed bigger then of course because
the news told you it was bigger but in
the rearview mirror this looks a lot
bigger. A lot bigger you like a hundred
times bigger.
So we'll see where this goes. Probably
nowhere.
[clears throat]
Eric Dhy
has a post X. Uh he was noticing on the
view that Whoopi Goldberg was being
especially stupid. I think he called her
ironic. Uh and she was talking about the
Biden auto patent. So this is Whoopi
Goldberg on the view. And she says she
wants she wants the Biden admin I'm
sorry the Trump administration to quote
stop investigating a man who is no
longer in office.
This is Whoopy on the view. Stop
investigating a man who is no longer in
office. meaning Biden.
Now, did I mention that this is the same
time as the Arctic Frost story is one of
the biggest stories in the country?
You know, the part where the Biden
administration couldn't stop
investigating Trump after he was out of
office
at the same time. The same time it's one
of the biggest stories. And she's
saying, "Stop investigating a man who's
no longer in office." Uh,
and here's what Whoopi said that they
should be talking about and worrying
about. Are you ready for her priorities?
All right, so it's 2025
and this are Whoopi's priorities.
Soybeans solved. Epstein files don't
really exist.
and those narco boats. She wants to make
sure that we've identified them as
actual criminals,
not just kill them.
So, those are her three priorities.
Soybeans solved. Epstein probably
imaginary. I doubt there's any files.
And narco boats that probably the
government is doing exactly what they
should be doing. We just don't know the
details. What's missing? Do you see
anything missing from the list?
How about crushing national debt
missing?
How about their biggest concern used to
be say it climate change? Yeah, we'll
talk about climate change a little bit
too. So what happened to climate change?
Suddenly that's not a big deal. It's all
about the soybeans and the epste and the
narco boats. Uh, I would like to make my
own list of the least important things
to me. The least important things.
Soybeans, Epstein files, and narcoats.
I'm kind of interested in all of them.
[laughter] They're interesting in their
own little way, but they're the smallest
problems I have in the world.
But Whoopi, she's got to get those
soybeans and Epstein files solved.
Climate change, not so much.
Let's talk about Thomas Massie and the
and the many dust ups with President
Trump. So JD Vance was asked at uh one
of the Turning Point USA events
recently. He was asked why Trump is
going after Thomas Massie, which he is
trying to primary him. And uh here's
JD's explanation, and I'll give you my
take on this. He says, "It's one thing
to disagree with the party on an issue.
voting against the party on every single
issue. Every time we've needed Thomas
for a vote, he's been completely
unwilling to provide it. That's why
Trump turned his eyeire on Massie. We
could never count on him for some of the
most difficult votes. I say that as
someone who knew Thomas well before I
got into politics. All right, here's my
take on Thomas Massie.
What JD is leaving out of his um
explanation is why he does it.
Why would you leave out why he does it?
Now, I'm not like an expert on every
single thing that Thomas Massiey's ever
done, but can you answer this question
for me?
Is it not true that his resistance to
Republican things is always based on the
Constitution
and always based on an accurate reading
of the Constitution? Am I wrong about
that?
That our problem with him is that he can
accurately read our own Constitution and
then he acts upon it.
There there may be some exceptions where
there's just something he knew more
about than the government. you know,
he's into the allowing farmers to sell
things directly. I think that's one of
his issues. I I don't know if the rest
of the government or the Republicans
disagree with that or not. I mean, he
has some other issues, but I think JD,
if you wanted to be fair about this, and
you know, to be fair, his job is to
support the president. His job is not to
be completely transparent. He's he's a
supporter of the president, and that's
his right role. So within his role as
vice president, this is totally
acceptable the way he framed it. But as
a consumer and as a fan of Massie, I
just need to say I like one person who's
supporting the Constitution, even if
he's a pain in the ass.
I will accept his pain in the assess
because it doesn't seem to affect too
many votes.
How many times has he been the one the
only one
who determined which way the vote went?
Has that ever happened? Or is he just
reliably not in their column?
Because if he'd actually changed the
outcome of things that I cared about,
maybe I'd reassess. But I don't think he
actually changes any outcomes. I think
he's just not reliably under vote. So
anyway, I'm pro Massie. I completely
understand the argument that winning is
more important than maybe some nicities.
Um, but I like my constitution and I
like that there's one person who will
risk everything to remind us what's in
it.
Well, Obama is talking. He was at some
event and said some scary Obama sounding
things uh that I'll criticize in a
moment. He said, quote, "Part of what
we're going to have to do,
who is we, the government, the
Democrats? Part of what we're going to
have to do is to start experimenting
with new forms of journalism." Uh-oh.
Already there's a problem. And how we
use social media. Uh-oh. In ways that
reaffirm facts and separate facts from
opinion.
We want diversity of opinion. No, you
don't, you liar. We don't want diversity
of facts. That, I think, is one of the
big tests of social media, by the way.
It will require some government
regulatory constraints. There it is.
There it is. He wants some government
regulatory constraints. Now, the way I
read this is he wants the government to
be in charge of telling you what's real
and what isn't real. Is it a fact or not
a fact? Well, the government the
government will help you with that.
What's that called? [laughter]
It's called censorship.
It's the dumbest thing. But here's my
take. Doesn't it feel like old thinking
to imagine that we know our facts are
true? Can you tell me which domain we're
confident that we know the facts are
true? What about those employment
numbers?
What about our uh food pyramid?
What about all the pandemic data?
What about our uh GDP?
What about the inflation numbers?
There's not a true number in the
country, people. There is no real
reliable fact that any of us will ever
agree on. So, what makes this seem like
an opinion from the 70s? It just feels
old. It's like Obama hasn't noticed that
everything from climate change
to everything is fake. It's all fake.
Once you realize that all of the all the
facts are fake and always will be.
It's just an idiot idea to follow the
facts.
There was a time when we all thought
that made sense, right? If 10 years ago,
maybe more,
let's say 20 years ago, if 20 years ago
he had said exactly this, we have to
make sure that people are following
facts because if they're not following
the facts, we're all in trouble and the
government will be helpful in helping
you know what the facts are. 20 years
ago, I would have actually thought that
was a thing. And I I would have given
that serious consideration knowing that
there's a censorship, you know, risk
there. But I would have given that
serious consideration because I would
have thought, well, we're definitely
better if we follow the facts, right?
Wouldn't you say that? Following the
facts has got to be better than not
following the facts. And then fast
forward 20 years to 2025 and you learn
the brutal truth of life. There are no
facts.
There are no facts. There are only
narratives. There are claims.
There are lies. There are lucky guesses,
but there are no facts, people. There
are no facts. So, this is all bad. This
is really just Obama saying, "We want to
control what you think is true." That's
what this is. We don't want that.
saw a video yesterday of uh I guess one
of Joe Biden's closest adviserss, a guy
named Mike Donalan
had been uh I guess he was being
interviewed about his Biden experience
and uh they made him admit that he had
millions of dollars on the line for
keeping o keeping Biden in the race.
Now you know what the problem was,
right?
Didn't you know that there had to be
some financial thing going on that
Biden's adviserss were keeping him in
the race? It always seemed to me that
there would be a this big class of
professionals who literally would have
millions of dollars a piece that were on
the line if he got elected,
right? Not only would they get paid for
helping him get elected as this Mike
Donan said he would get up to $4 million
if if Biden became president again. $4
million.
And coincidentally,
Mike Donan did not think that he should
pull out of the race,
right?
So, we all watched Biden looking, you
know, like a vegetable. But the guy
closest to him, who obviously knew what
the situation was, had millions of
dollars on the line if he lied to us and
said he's fine.
Now, I'm not sure that he lied because I
can't read his mind, but I certainly
wouldn't trust the guy who's got
millions of dollars at stake.
There's a video libs of Tik Tok has a
video that I don't know exactly who this
group is, but it's a group of Democrats,
I guess, who are planning to surround
the capital on uh November 5th, which
they call one year since the fascists
got into office. and they're going to
try to increase their number of people
around the capital until the current
administration
resigns.
So, they're literally planning an
insurrection.
No, no exaggeration and no word
thinking. So, it would be word thinking
if it were not an actual insurrection
they were planning, but they even talk
about it as removing the government
uh before the term is over. So, if
you're if you're trying to use um a
protest to remove the government before
the government would normally be done,
that's an insurrection, right? I mean,
what else would you call that? So, I'm
not doing word thinking. That's just
what they say they're doing. Uh I don't
know who this group is. Look like a
small group in room. I don't know if we
have to worry about them yet, but the
fact that they're even talking about
that is just wow.
So,
as you know, Bill Gates made some news
by saying that maybe climate change is
not the crisis that people thought and
maybe we should spend our money on
feeding people and taking care of our
other biggest problems.
And people like me made a lot of noise
about that. Um, what's interesting,
there's a lot interesting about this.
We'll talk about it. What's interesting
is that uh we're all trying to read his
mind and trying to figure out what what
was Bill Gates thinking before and was
he really thinking now and why do he
make this pivot? Well, I don't know. So,
I always I always warn you that you
can't read his mind. I I saw that Mike
Cernovich is going hard at him um
reasonably
and calling people um
was it naive? I think he used the word
naive if you think that all he did was
look at the facts and adjust to the new
facts. [laughter]
And I would I would agree with Mike that
although I can't read Bill Gates mind, I
doubt it had anything to do with facts.
It might have to do with the fact that
he has now got approval for his Gen 4
nuclear power plant that he's invested
in because if that works out, there's
going to be he's going to make more
money from nuclear power
than he's ever made before in any other
thing. I mean, he could be the richest
person in the world just because of Gen
4 nuclear power. I mean, that that would
be enough. Uh so when somebody has a big
financial
uh a financial incentive
to say yeah let's go strong on energy
and don't waste our money so much on
these other things we'll put it all in
this area. It might be just financial
but again I can't read his mind so I
don't know. Um
but uh according to Harry Anon
who did a uh survey on or looked at the
numbers on CNN, he's their data guy on
CNN. Uh he says that the climate change
message has not worked for 36 years. So
back in the year 2000,
40% of the public I guess were alarmed
about climate. 40%. That was in the year
2000. by the year 2020
had gone up to 46%
um were concerned
and then after uh 2020 it dropped. So by
2025 only 40% back to where it was in
2000. So from 25 years
of uh climate alarmism
didn't move the needle at all.
25 years of massive propaganda in one
direction
didn't move it at all. Where was Trump
the whole time? Trump was saying that
climate change was a hoax the whole
time. Not necessarily the warming part,
but the way it was treated as a crisis
was a hoax. And uh he he of course
couldn't help himself. So he posted
today, "We won the war on climate change
hoax.
And he said that uh this is what Trump
said on X. Bill Gates has finally
admitted that he was completely wrong on
the issue. It took courage to do so and
for that we're all grateful. MAGA.
So,
so Trump got one of the biggest wins of
all time.
Imagine how he feels.
Is there anything that Trump has been
more mocked for besides his haircut than
the fact that he called climate change a
hoax?
I think that was always besides the
trivial stuff like hair and you know
girlfriends and stuff. I think that was
like the biggest knock against him,
right? That he was he was anti-science
and he didn't understand what all the
smart people did that we were all going
to die in a climate crisis. Well, people
fast forward. He was right.
He was right. So, what happened between
the years 2020 and 2025
that would have caused
that would have caused people to have,
you know, less belief in climate change.
Is there anybody who got involved in
that conversation around 2015?
Well, you could do the math. All right.
Um, ABC's Jonathan Carl was interviewing
uh Gavin Newsome. This is funny. So, you
would you would think that ABC might be
sort of pro-democrat, especially in
their news division. Uh, but here's what
Jonathan Carl actually did in a in a
recorded podcast with Gavin Newsome.
This is almost hard to believe. This is
a real thing. He held up a picture
[laughter]
of the character from the movie American
Psycho and held it next to a picture of
Gavin Newsome and told him that even his
even his supporters note that he looks
like a uh a comic book villain from
Central Casting. [laughter]
Imagine
being in a uh in an interview with a
legitimate news source and the
legitimate news guy holds up a picture
of you as a character in a movie who's
literally a a psychopath
and it has no news value whatsoever
except to point out that he looks like a
psychopath.
[laughter]
Now that's funny. That's just funny. Um,
however,
uh, you know, I have to support Jonathan
Carl on this. The way people look
totally matters, right? That's something
I can say because I'm just, you know, a
guy on a podcast, but you you can't say
that if you're legitimate news, but he
did. I mean, in his own way, he's saying
it as a legitimate news guy. Uh, the way
you look matters a lot. AOCC's look. Do
you think that makes a difference? Of
course it does. Uh President Trump's
height, does that make a difference? Of
course it does. Of course it does. Yeah.
The the way people look is hugely
influential. And I do believe I agree
that Newsome does look like a uh a movie
or a comic book book villain. He looks
exactly like the Joker, doesn't he? He's
even got the Joker's haircut. He he
could walk into a role as the Joker on a
Batman movie with almost no makeup. I'm
not wrong about that. So, if people
can't notice that, I don't know.
Meanwhile, here's a shock. According to
the National Pulse, uh I guess Elaine
Stefonic,
a uh a Republican,
just pulled the highest for a potential
future
governor of New York.
And they haven't had a Republican
governor in New York in 20 years. So, I
don't know if that's real. That's one
that's just one poll. You can't really
believe one poll, but it's new poll from
the Manhattan Institute shows Elise
Elise Stefonic, Republican, leading both
the current governor Hawl
[snorts]
and uh and Lieutenant Governor of New
York, too, who's also a Democrat.
So, hypothetically, if they ever ran,
she would win.
That would be amazing. Wouldn't expect
that.
Um, meanwhile over in Gaza trying to
figure out how to get that all settled
out. Axios is reporting that
there's there's some lots of
conversations and progress I think has
been made figuring out who's going to
run that place in terms of physical
security. And at the moment it looks
like the idea I don't know if this is
going to work but the idea is that the
US Egypt and Jordan alongside some other
this Axios is reporting on this along
with some uh other Arab and Muslim
countries
that might include Indonesia, Azeran,
Egypt and Turkey
might be all part of this security deal.
But it sounds like if they're talking
about maybe this country, maybe that
country, that sounds a lot like they
don't they're not that close to getting
any kind of a thing um going.
But here's the most interesting thing
that happened. Oh, well, let me let me
just say this. I'm sure they'll get it.
So, I don't think there's any risk that
they won't be able to figure out how to
get some countries that want to do
security there. It's just going to take
some grinding. It just looks like it's
going to be hard, but totally doable.
So, they they'll get there.
But, uh, as you know, there have been
some breaks in the ceasefire, which
everybody expects. You know, there there
always going to be minor breaks in the
ceasefire, but so far it's holding. And,
uh, even though they're breaks, that
gets back on plan when it does. But I
didn't know this, but apparently uh
Israel had planned as sort of a
retaliation for the the ceasefire break
that they say Hamas did, they were going
to retake some part of Gaza and reoccupy
it. And the reporting is that Trump
said, "No, you're not. You are not going
to take more of Gaza. Stay where you
are. uh we're just going to sort of sort
of just tap this along and act like the
break of the ceasefire wasn't the
biggest deal in the world so that we can
get to the phase two. Uh whereas Israel
might want to might wanted to grab some
land
uh or or just move the IDF into more
occupying of of Gaza than they're
occupying right now, which would have
just caused a giant problem and maybe
derailed the entire thing. And the
reporting is that Trump said, "Nope."
And he said, "No, you're not. You're not
going to redeploy and take over that
space. Even though you have a good
argument for it, you're not going to do
it." Now, here's my question to you. Did
that really happen? Because, you know,
it's the news. You never know if it
really happened. Did Trump really tell
them not to do it? And is that really
the only reason they didn't do it?
Because if the reporting is accurate,
uh it's kind of a a blow to the Israel
controls the US narrative, isn't it?
Kind of a big blow. Does it not seem to
you that at least with our current
president, while it will always be true
that Israel does an amazingly good job
of influencing the US for their, you
know, their own uh national purposes,
which is their job. You know, if you're
an Israeli government, well, even if
you're just a citizen, it's sort of your
job to make sure that your country does
well. Does Israel do a good job of
making sure their country does well?
Yeah. Yeah. A really good job. Very good
job. Do we like it all the time?
Not if we think that it included
manipulating or pushing the US around.
We don't like that part. But so far,
we've heard several anecdotes that seem
to suggest that uh at least Netanyahu is
going to I don't want to say bow to
Trump, but he's he's definitely going to
take very seriously what Trump wants to
the point of maybe just doing what he
wants.
So are we watching any kind of great
reversal where the the power influence
structure is changing
or has it always been this way but we
were maybe less aware of it cuz you know
I've described in the past the US and
Israel relationship
to me it looks less like Israel
controlling everything in America and
more like a sibling situation
which is that you know we have this, you
know, love for them as siblings. You
know, you could argue whether we should
or should not, but we do. You know,
Israel's kind of special to a lot of
people in the US. Not everybody,
obviously. Um, but I think we influence
each other.
When it matters more to the US,
then we push. When it matters more to
them, maybe they push harder than we
push back. Sometimes they win, sometimes
we win. But if it's true, and I'll I'll
put a big if because if you wanted to
argue with the if, I wouldn't I wouldn't
have a, you know, response to that. If
it's true that Trump is telling them
what to do in some of these situations
and they're just doing it, that would
look very different, wouldn't it? That
would look very much more sibling like
sometimes your brother wins, sometimes
your sister wins, but it's not really
winning. It's more like just working
with each other.
That's what it looks like. I'm not close
enough to the situation to know what it
really is like, but it looks like that.
Um,
let's see. Homeland Security, according
to News Nation, is rolling out new rules
requiring photographs and in some cases
fingerprints of all non- US citizens
entering the US. To which I say, wait,
what?
We're only now requiring
uh fingerprints and photographs for
coming into the country.
We we weren't already doing that.
[laughter]
That's a that's one of those stories
where you go, "What? I thought we always
did that." All right.
Um let's see what's happening overseas
just for a minute. over in Germany, the
the right-wing party has got now 40% uh
um support which is actually more than
all the the any of the other individual
parties. So the dominant party only by
little 40 to 38%
uh is anti-immigration.
So, does that mean that Germany will
start deporting people and closing their
border if the biggest political entity,
only biggest by a little bit, but
they're the biggest, um, is against it?
Do you think that Germany has time to
roll back their immigration
um, standards to save Germany as
whatever they want Germany to look like?
Probably not. Yeah, I'm seeing in the
comments too late. Feels too late,
doesn't it?
Feels too late. But speaking of that,
Elon Musk who says uh in his provocative
way, uh Elon said that civil war in
Britain is inevitable. I think he said
that on Acts, of course. Uh do you think
so? Do you think that a civil war in
Britain is inevitable? what he's talking
about is the
uh the nativeborn versus the immigrant
population. I think you maybe he's
talking about the Islamic uh immigrant
population specifically. He's not he's
not being specific, but do you think
there's going to be a civil war in
Britain?
I'm going to say no because what would
that look like? They don't have guns.
[laughter]
What what would civil war even look
like? They're completely neutered.
Who Who would they fight? What are they
going to go out with butter knives and
butter knives and baseball bats and have
a civil war?
I don't think there's going to be a
civil war. I I think that whatever it is
they wanted to preserve, they already
lost.
And for them, it's probably a major
tragedy.
But I don't think they can civil war
their way out of it. I don't I don't see
that happening.
Um, and I guess Trump's also going to
end uh the the Biden policy of
automatically extending work permits.
Breitbart News is reporting on this,
John Binder.
Um, and that makes sense. They're just
going to make sure that the people who
are working here have been vetted
properly.
They won't like it. Meanwhile, also in
Germany, they've developed a 20 kowatt
laser for shooting down drones. Now,
this will be like the 20th time I've
told you a story that there's a brand
new device laser for shooting down
drones or other things.
Um,
but what I want to add to this is that
apparently if this works, and they're
already testing it and it does work, uh,
so it's a real thing, uh, that it will
lower the cost of defending against
drones, you know, dramatically. And when
I'm looking at war zones, because I have
a, you know, economics background, uh, I
tend to look at the economics of it to
predict what's happen. You know, the
best economy almost always wins in war.
I don't know if you knew that, but the
strongest economy usually can afford the
best weapons and over time the best
economy usually wins a war. Uh, but
related to that would be the cost of
their weapons.
You know, if you're the if you're the
smaller economy, but you can figure out
how to do your weapons really cheap, you
you effectively, you know, can punch
above your weight. So, if it turns out
that our adversaries are really good at
building drones,
um, but we get even better at anti-
drone lasers and shooting them out of
the sky for 20 cents a drone instead of,
you know, a million dollars to take out
a drone, uh, we win.
So, it could be that the economic race
to have, you know, the cheapest anti-
drone defenses and also the cheapest
drones, just the economics of that, that
might determine who wins everything.
And, you know, Germany's got a nice
little device there that might make a
difference.
Well, here's something for the Democrats
to talk about for the next few weeks.
According to the Guardian, the Pentagon
is uh telling the National Guard to
organize quick reaction forces for all
the major parts of the US. So there'd be
20,000 National Guard who would be
trained, but no more than say 500 for
any one location. So it's not you're not
going to see 20,000 people in the same
place, but 500 a piece for various
places. and they would be a quick
reaction force for uh if there's social
unrest.
So if there's something that you quickly
need to quell
like a riot, there will always be
somewhere reasonably close in every
state, you'd have 500 well-trained
anti-riot people. Now, what do you think
the Democrats are going to say about
that? [laughter]
Th this is weeks of content for the
anti- athoritarian people. Oh, there it
is. Told you. Told you. He's organizing
his private army now. If we protest,
he's going to come and get us with his
500 National Guard people.
[snorts] So, they'll have something to
talk about for a few weeks. We don't
want them to be bored. All right, that's
all I have for today. Uh, I'm going to
talk to the uh local subscribers, my
beloved local subscribers. Uh, a little
special. By the way, if you were a
member of Locals, you've been watching
me draw Dilbert live every night. Um, I
can't promise I'll do it every night.
My, you know, actually my ability to
draw
could be done this week. This might be
the last time I draw uh cuz my hand is
increasingly
paralyzed from whatever is going on
medically with me. So, at the moment, my
two fingers and thumb on my left hand
still work.
So, I've been doing live drawing
demonstrations. Uh, so you can see how I
use the computer to draw, etc. I teach
you teach you my little tricks as I'm
going. Sometimes we write, sometimes
I'll write live. Um, but so that's on
locals. If you want to, just Google me.
Google my name and locals and you'll
find out where to sign up if you want
to. But I can't promise you I can keep
doing it the drawing. So I I I might
have to retire from drawing
you maybe this week. I know. It just
depends if my hand keeps working. If
these three fingers keep working, I can
actually draw better
than I've ever drawn before. So there
there's no degradation whatsoever at the
moment, but it's right on the edge. It's
right on the edge where I'm going to
lose this ability completely. I already
can't type. So since the these fingers
don't work, I can't type because I can't
feel the keyboard.
But today, I'll go in and get a uh get
my radiation treatment for at least one
part of my body, which won't affect
this, by the way. So there's there's no
plan for fixing this at the moment.
So, I might be a quadripollegic pretty
soon. Anyway, um, thanks for joining.
and locals. I'm coming at you privately
in 30 seconds.