Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive May 24, 2026
Scott Adams Philosophy Archive
Search ideas
Episodes Episode #3011

Episode 3011 CWSA 11/07/25

Episode #3011 Nov 7, 2025 1:20:01 28,337 views

Trump and the fat drug cost reduction, persuasion lessons based on the news today. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.

Opening General Commentary

Good morning. How about some lights? Turn on some lights for you. Oh, my hand barely works. Oh, come on. Hand. There you go. Has anybody checked the stocks today? Stocks. Okay. Let me check and see if it's a smile or a grimace. Continue. Smile or grimace. It's a grimace. What did Tesla do after th…

View segment →
SimultaneousSip General Commentary

with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience to levels that nobody can even understand with our tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass or a tankard, stein, canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of an…

View segment →
MainContent Career & Life Strategy

ain. Uh, there you are. Comments are working. Everything's looking good. Looking good. Hey, do you know what day today is? Does anybody know what day today is? It's the day you find out that the Dilbert calendar is available and for sale for those few of you who have not already scooped it up. I se…

View segment →
MainContent Cognitive Reframing

one. Uh, death is a tragedy, and I need to feel bad about it. Do any of you have an issue about maybe you lost a loved one and you feel obligated to feel bad about it? Not just obligated, but you feel bad about it. Well, death is a tragedy and uh it's there's nothing wrong with feeling bad about it,…

View segment →
NewsReaction AI & Technology

uh it's called the uh the US Senate is looking at a bill called the No Coffee Tax Act. The No Coffee Tax Act. Now, as uh Owen Gregorian pointed out on X, that is a really bad naming convention because the first part of it is no coffee. I don't want to vote for anything that has the words no coffee i…

View segment →
NewsReaction Persuasion

at apparently there's big tariffs on coffee from Brazil in particular, which is the biggest impact on us. So the tariffs are as high as 50%. And that's enough to basically just, you know, destroy Starbucks. I don't know if it will, but that's bad enough. So, it's a big impact on our economy and on o…

View segment →
NewsReaction AI & Technology

mbrella of that guy likes that stock. It might go up. So, maybe he's trying to drive up the stock. Do not do anything that I do financially. I do not give good financial advice. You should not follow my advice. If I thought my advice was better than other people financially, I'd tell you. I'm not sh…

View segment →
MainContent Politics as Persuasion

whole 10 years. But uh even when it's paid, remember some of it goes to taxes. Nobody's going to get a check for a trillion dollars. All right. Uh, but how many of his products that he's working on now could become the biggest in that category forever? All right, here are just a few things. If Elon…

View segment →
MainContent Economics & Finance

need to do because they need to do it. And it's none of my business if it doesn't bother me. And it doesn't. So I do wonder about the tradeoff because if somebody shows up in their trans identity, uh wouldn't that be harder for the passport people to sort that out? So aren't we trying to make sure t…

View segment →
NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

did the Democrats say about this? Of course, they took one picture out of context to say that Trump must be a psychopath because he's just standing there looking. What? What? What kind of standard is that for judging people? All right, let me tell you what I saw and then you tell me if that's what y…

View segment →
NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

e he was on the floor, Dr. Oz, who I believe was the closest doctor, was already on it. He had already rushed in and was starting to give whatever doctors do when they get there first. So Dr. Oz rushes in. You, if you watch the video, you see that RFK Jr. who'd be standing in the back immediately mo…

View segment →
MainContent Health & Biohacking

rip the guy's shirt off and give him the give him some kind of a treatment or something. What exactly was he supposed to do? Was he supposed to push Dr. Oz away and say, "I got this because the cameras are rolling." No. He did exactly what I want my president to do. Not only did he hire competent pe…

View segment →
Tangent General Commentary

ue or false, you see something in the news. The first filter I put on it is what I call the category problem. Now, the category problem is that has the has something that sounds like this ever been true? Not this, but things that sound like it. For example, if you got an email that a Nigerian prince…

View segment →
MainContent Persuasion

at exercise would give you. Do you believe that's true? Category problem. It's a big category problem. No, I don't believe it's true. I do not believe that as soon as they're done testing on the rats, you know, in say 3 years or whatever, that they're going to have a pill that makes you young again…

View segment →
NewsReaction Media & Fake News

another reason. The border was a real good reason because that was just so scary and so big and it it just had so much impact on everything. But what's the thing after that? Unfortunately, it's affordability and the and the Democrats are owning affordability at the moment. So, uh, there's going to h…

View segment →
MainContent Persuasion

they all had to apply for their part, but they all have done it, so that's good. And that's the money that would transform rural health so that uh so that they can get health care to poor people in rural places that don't have I guess it's people who don't have healthcare. Um so each state has to sa…

View segment →
NewsReaction Health & Biohacking

ruled on ruling basically. Um here's a funny comment from somebody on Twitchy Doug P. He notes that Mamdani is asking people to send him money so that they could get free stuff in return, which is a funny way to frame it. And it's exactly right. So the candidate who's promising you free stuff can't…

View segment →
MainContent Politics as Persuasion

aising Mamdani's communication skills about the word affordability, somebody pushed back on me on X and said, "Scott, politicians have been promising affordability since the beginning of time. Why is that so new?" To which I said, "Really? Which politician was using the word affordability? Can you t…

View segment →
MainContent Economics & Finance

signing up for those majors, we'll be fine. Oh, here's some good news. Kazakhstan is joining the Abraham Accords. Kazakhstan. Now, a lot of you are waiting for this. A lot of people have said to me, you know, I like those Abraham Accords, but where's Kazakhstan? Why is Kazakhstan so silent over thi…

View segment →

Good morning.

How about some lights? Turn on some lights for you. Oh, my hand barely works. Oh, come on. Hand. There you go.

Has anybody checked the stocks today? Stocks. Okay. Let me check and see if it's a smile or a grimace. Continue. Smile or grimace. It's a grimace. What did Tesla do after the big announcement? Wonder if these are old. Is this yesterday's numbers? I don't see how Tesla could have gone down after yesterday. Did it? Looks like it's just wrong. Maybe that's not updated. Yeah. All right, we'll wait and see.

Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience to levels that nobody can even understand with our tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass or a tankard, stein, canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day. The thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. It happens now. Go.

All right. Let me make sure I can see your local comments. Special. It would be right over here. If you don't mind, I'm a little slow and getting a little less done because I'm literally working with one hand today. One hand and half a brain. Uh, there you are. Comments are working. Everything's looking good. Looking good.

Hey, do you know what day today is? Does anybody know what day today is? It's the day you find out that the Dilbert calendar is available and for sale for those few of you who have not already scooped it up. I see a lot of you are being smart and acting fast. I swear to God the next thing I say is actually literally true and not just the ordinary marketing thing that people say all the time in this situation. We probably didn't make enough of them. So if you're thinking to yourself, and by the way, we did that intentionally because I have to pay for them in advance because it's an American situation and we worked on a deal where I would make sure that they would limit any risk on their side, which seemed fair because of my precarious situation. Um, so I've already paid for the calendars to be printed, but I didn't want to print, you know, three times more than people might want. So we're a little bit underprinted, we think, but we don't know, right? It's hard to anticipate, but I wouldn't wait is what I'm saying. If you thought you wanted one, waiting would be a bad strategy. Sooner is better.

All right. And as you know, I like to start the show while people are streaming in with a reframe from my book that's been out for a while, but it's the newest one. Reframe Your Brain. Changing lives every day. Let's see. I'm going to change somebody's life today with a new reframe. If you're new to this, a reframe doesn't require any work on your part. You just have to hear it. And if it's a good one, and if it applies to you, uh, the hypnosis will kick in. It's not really hypnosis. It's just persuasive.

All right, here's one. Uh, death is a tragedy, and I need to feel bad about it. Do any of you have an issue about maybe you lost a loved one and you feel obligated to feel bad about it? Not just obligated, but you feel bad about it. Well, death is a tragedy and uh it's there's nothing wrong with feeling bad about it, but you don't want to do it forever. Here's the reframe. The person who's deceased has no more problems. How did I make this about me? How do you make it about yourself? This is literally only about the deceased person and their problems just ended. So as soon as you make it not about yourself, you can get by it a lot easier, right? You've solved all the problems for the deceased. They have nothing else to worry about. Their work is done. And if the reason you feel bad is because they were so good in this world or you love them so much, well then your work is really done because you have the right feeling about them and they did the right things and that was great and nothing lasts forever.

How about here's another one on the same topic. So you've got two to work with on death. Um, one is that, and this, by the way, I've used this one before, um, with the public, I mean, and some people have reported back that this completely changes their reaction to a death of somebody that they cared about. All right, listen to this one. So, the usual frame is that death is a tragedy. Duh. Of course, death is a tragedy. But that leaves you in that tragedy hole if that's how you're seeing it. If it's only a tragedy, that's pretty bad. It's going to last. But here's a way to reframe it. It's not more true or less true. It's just useful to frame it this way. Remember, it's not about truth. It's about how you manage your brain. And you can create new circuitry by just thinking about one thing more than another. That's all it takes. And that will make that circuit a little stronger. So instead of saying death is a tragedy, the reframing is it is an honor to help another person pass. I don't think there's a bigger honor than that. You know, if you've watched family members, if you've been part of it, who were an integral part of letting somebody pass to the next phase of their existence, whatever that is, that is the biggest honor you can have. And everybody's going to, you know, everybody's going to die. So, there's nothing you can do about it sometimes. So, it's not always a tragedy explicitly. Well, it's not only it's not necessarily a tragedy only. It is a tremendous honor that you get to be the person who's there on the final voyage. That will help you a lot and everybody dies.

All right. I wonder if there's any science that they didn't need to do because they could have just asked Scott. Oh, here's some in the post. Karina Petrova is writing that uh there's a new statistical model that successfully sorted people into their uh political group based on their use of X. So apparently you can feed just the raw posts from X and AI will figure out not only are they Republican or Democrat but uh it'll figure out sort of where they fit even within those worlds. Now, did they really need to do that study? Do you think I couldn't look at a politician's posts and guess where they fit in the political world? Did I really need AI to do that? No. They should have just asked me. You know, maybe Fetterman would have confused me, but the AI didn't get them all right. I think AI only gets 75% of them right. To which I say, I'm not really impressed by 75%. I'm pretty sure I could have hit 90 without breaking a sweat. So could you. Next time, just ask me.

Well, there's a new bill being floated. We don't know how it'll do, but uh it's called the uh the US Senate is looking at a bill called the No Coffee Tax Act. The No Coffee Tax Act. Now, as uh Owen Gregorian pointed out on X, that is a really bad naming convention because the first part of it is no coffee. I don't want to vote for anything that has the words no coffee in it. I don't even care that after it it says tax. I'd give you a million dollars if you drink coffee in one minute. I'd still be a little put off by the no coffee. You know what I mean? So, here's your persuasion lesson of the day. There's going to be some more. We've got some more persuasion coming up if you like that stuff. Uh, don't name your thing the opposite of what it is. The whole point of this is that we get more coffee. Coffee. Sorry, you're making me say coffee in my New York accent. I didn't mean to slip into it, but sometimes. Coffee. How do you people say it? Coffee. Coffee. Coffee. Well, I'm gonna stick with coffee for now.

Um, so what it really is is I guess uh Rand Paul is behind this and I did not know this, but uh coffee in particular. Coffee. Stop mocking me for the way I say it. You're mocking me at home. I can hear you mocking me from home. Stop it. Now you're talking to your dog saying, "Look at this guy. Can't even say coffee." Coffee. All right. Um Nick Brown from Daily Coffee News is reporting this. Nick Brown from Daily Coffee News. What a name. All right. Um the idea is that apparently there's big tariffs on coffee from Brazil in particular, which is the biggest impact on us. So the tariffs are as high as 50%. And that's enough to basically just, you know, destroy Starbucks. I don't know if it will, but that's bad enough. So, it's a big impact on our economy and on our people and on our budgets. And tariffs, you know, you could call a tariff a tax. Rand Paul does apparently. And I wouldn't argue with that. It's a form of a tax. It's just not a normal one. Uh has some advantages that taxes don't have, meaning that you can use them to negotiate with other entities. Taxes don't usually have that. But, uh, apparently they tried to get it through the no tax part. They tried to get that through with a procedure that if you have unanimous consent, meaning that there's not even one person who says no to it, you can just kind of get it through without all the trouble. So they tried that and there was exactly one person. So there's a video of the session that shows that one person, his name is he's a Republican from Idaho and his name is Senator Mike Crapo. C R A P O. So Mr. Crapo uh said no. So that's sent it back to I guess whatever process the full Senate has to follow which is going to take forever and your coffee will still cost too much. So thanks for nothing. Crapo. Crapo. Crapo. That would be better than Khan. If I were writing that Star Trek, remember the Star Trek movie where Captain Kirk is being thwarted by Khan? K h a n. And there's that famous thing where the bad actor, the bad actor playing Captain Kirk, uh, goes, "Khan." Wouldn't that be better if he was fighting Crapo? Crapo. All right, that's just me.

Well, there's a big Tesla event. I think it's the big annual event. Uh, and boy, was there news. Ow, plenty of news. Where do we start? Uh, let's see. So, apparently there there's a video of a hand, a robot hand that for Optimus that looks so amazing you can't believe that they got hands that good. So, somebody I think it was Mario posted the uh video of the hand and uh Elon said that's version two. Version three is way better. If version three robot hand is better than the version two that I saw, that's going to be a big good hand. And I heard uh Elon talking about it, the hands, and they would be better surgeons than people very soon. Maybe in a year, there'll be better surgeons than people. And uh there'll be better dexterity than people with hands. You know, you always thought that, oh, maybe they can see better or hear better or remember better, but their hands will never be as good. Well, apparently we're right at that crossover point. So, you were born in the age when robots became more capable than people. What are the odds of that? Doesn't that feel like a simulation to you? Like, what are the odds?

No, I didn't skip the sip. You missed the sip. Don't blame me for skipping the sip. Sometimes I skip the sip, but I did not skip it today. You're the skipper. I call you the skipper, not me, skipper.

All right. Uh, lots of other Tesla news. Uh, Elon says that Tesla is already the biggest robot company in the world in part because their cars are all robots. They're just robots with wheels. I accept that definition. They are the biggest robot company. Oh, I should tell you I have I do own some not a lot, but I own Tesla stock. So, anything I say about Tesla, you should put under the umbrella of that guy likes that stock. It might go up. So, maybe he's trying to drive up the stock. Do not do anything that I do financially. I do not give good financial advice. You should not follow my advice. If I thought my advice was better than other people financially, I'd tell you. I'm not shy. I'd tell you if it was better. It just isn't.

Um anyway, here are the shocking things. Uh that Elon believes that uh they're not going to have a way to get enough chips to do all the stuff, you know, their robots and cars and stuff that they need, and they might have to make their own. So, they're thinking about building a quote gigantic chip factory. What does gigantic mean in Elon's world? Because every time he does something, it's so big you can't even hold it in your head. Gigantic. And I think you said something about working with Intel. But it would make more sense to buy them, wouldn't it? Wouldn't it make more sense for Tesla just to buy a chip company? Then the part I wonder about is that um would we have the right skills in the United States to make the right kind of chips when no other country knows how to do it except you know Taiwan if Taiwan's the only place that knows how to make these chips? Are they going to help Tesla? Like why would they instead of just selling them the chips? So, I don't know where that goes, but I do trust that Elon's probably one of the few people in the world that could solve the not enough AI chips problem.

Elon also says the entire Earth can be powered by sustainable energy with tech that exists today. And then he talked about the Megapack battery storage plants. You know, whenever anybody says, "Uh, Scott, you fool. You're so behind the times when you don't understand that no matter how much solar power you have, Scott, did you know, and I know Scott, you look like an idiot, so you probably didn't know this, but I'll talk slowly so you understand, Scott, the sun is not out at night. Okay, I'm done, you fool. Like, how could you think this solar power is going to power the whole world when the sun isn't even out at night? You idiot. You fool. Get out of my house." That's what they usually say to me. But did you know there are things called batteries? Batteries. B A T T E R I E S. Batteries. It's a word you should learn. And apparently what they'll do is they will store energy. They'll actually store that energy all night long if you want if you got a big enough mega factory. So these Megapack mega factories um are a big part of the structure but also those might be as much you know for Tesla's own use. They will need these big factories for their own AI powering. But did you know that if you add in the Tesla power walls, those would be the big batteries that you could add to your private home, that they're also worked. I guess that's just part of it. So you could store things in your home battery and if you stored more than you wanted to use, you could donate that to the network if it were set to do that. Uh, I don't think it's quite set up to do exactly this, but couple of buttons and it's ready to go. Uh, so they can work together. There's already a million power walls installed. A million. He thinks big.

All right. So, they can work together as a virtual power plant. And uh, Elon also talked about the age of uh, permanent abundance. I don't know if he used those words, but that's what I meant. And he thinks that robots will basically provide all of our goods and services at what will approach zero cost over time and everybody will have everything. So poverty will be eliminated. Uh everybody will have enough food because the robots will just be out there tilling the fields as robots do and making us food. And eventually he wants to get the cost of a robot down to 20,000. Um, and here's what's interesting about this. In order for a lot of uh Elon's predictions to come right, you know, things about robots and things about power and things about cars and stuff and even things about interplanetary travel. In order for all of that stuff to work, or even any of it to work, he would have to understand human motivation and how people think and how they act and what they care about. Now, how does that fit with the common assumption that he's Asperger's or we don't use that anymore uh on the spectrum? This is this is what confuses me. How can you be on the spectrum and also be really good at humor, which he is, um and really good at figuring out human motivation, which he is. Those are pretty much as close as you can get to the opposite of being on the spectrum. Or does he compensate, not for the humor part, that's got to be natural, but does he compensate for um being different than other people by just learning how they think and just studying them like you study a maze and then you know how to get out of the maze. It's not your maze, you just studied it. So, I'm fascinated by that. You know, I've never I've never talked to him in person. It'll probably take me five minutes to figure out what's going on in person, but I only hear good things. I only hear good things. So, this is amazing.

Anyway, um but what I thought about while I was reading all these things that he's introducing to the world that he might be the first human being who could legitimately satisfy the political left and the political right. Now, he can't run for president because he wasn't born here, but he's really the only one because somehow he made most of the people on the right appreciate him because he helped Trump get elected. But then he also left under tremendous pressure by the left and but what he left too was this highly successful company that looks like it will solve the left's biggest concern, climate. Now, even if you say, "But climate is not a crisis, whatever," it's nonetheless true that he's doing exactly what the left would want somebody to do, which is build a bunch of electric solar plants and batteries and electric cars. Now, in the short run, you might argue, "But but but Scott, don't you know that they use more fossil fuels and regular fuels to build that stuff than they save?" I don't even know if that's true, but I do know that in the long run, you would get rid of those other sources and you could use the sun and then then everything that Elon's trying to do would come true. The left would be delighted even if there's no climate crisis. They'd be happy about it. And the right would be happy because they like his his general work hard, build things, America first. I mean, he's very he's very on point for the right. At the same time, he's very on point for the left. Name one other person in the world who is this perfectly suited for both the left and the right. Now, again, I don't think he's going to run for office. That'd be crazy. U if he did. Uh even, you know, he's not going to run for senator. That would be too small. And presidents out of reach because of the constitution. But boy, do I like him being involved just in general.

I guess his trillion dollar incentive package got approved by shareholders with a 75% vote. That means 25% thought it wasn't a good idea to have him properly incentivized. 25% thought it was a bad idea to give the most productive person in the history of the planet a little extra if and if he does a lot extra. A lot extra. You should see the terms of the deal for him to get a trillion dollars. Do you have any idea what he would have to accomplish to get that? Like we act like that's just going to automatically happen or something? No. You don't you don't automatically just go to work and then one day somebody gives you a trillion dollars.

First of all, let me teach you about how the news works. Years ago when Dilbert was newish and we're trying to get attention. Uh, I got a multi-book deal with a big publisher which we reported as a $25 million book deal. Do you think I got $25 million from a book deal? We told everybody it was a $25 million book deal. So, wouldn't you think that I, as the author would get $25 million? Nope. Nothing like that. Nothing like that. That was the biggest number that the publisher would pay under the most optimistic uh assumptions for for I think five books. So, first of all, it was five books. So, it'd be 5 million a piece. Second of all, I shared 50% of what I made from Dilbert Books with my publisher, I'm sorry, with my syndicate. And then I shared what's left with the publisher. And then I paid taxes. Do you know how much was left from the 25 million? I don't know. Might have been five. You know, maybe over the entire length of time. Might have been five, something like that. So when you say that somebody's got a trillion dollar uh pay package, the thing you should first ask is over how many years, the answer is 10. So a trillion dollars over 10 years is a hundred billion a year. Seems like he's worth it. But here's what he would have to deliver. He Tesla would have to go to $ 8.5 trillion market cap and it's only at 1.4 today. Now it's in 10 years. Could you get there? That would be a 466% increase from today. Do do you think he can do that? I I think you probably can, but it's not guaranteed. That's for sure. So, the first thing you need to know is you can't you can't treat a trillion dollars that you might get the same as a trillion dollars you're definitely going to get. And you can't treat money that's going to be spread over 10 years like it's money that you're getting today. First of all, you know, the uh the value of money declines over time, etc. A lot of things could happen. We don't even know if people have automobiles in 10 years.

He's got to he's got to deliver 20 million vehicles cumulative. I think that means since the beginning of Tesla. Uh he's got to deliver a million Optimus robots, humanoid robots sold. They actually have to be sold. A million a million robo taxis in operation and 10 million full self-driving subscriptions. Now, what we don't know is if he gets a portion of the trillion, if he gets a portion of these, but not all of them. Uh, that's a big deal. I mean, if if he really doesn't get anything, unless he gets all of them, I don't think he would agree to that deal, but it's impressive. And if successful, he would become the world's first trillionaire. No, he wouldn't. Th this is I I think this is just people who don't know how deals work. Nobody's ever going to give him a trillion dollars. There's no check for a trillion dollars. It's over 10 years. And I don't know if there's any sub payments in the 10 years or if he has to wait the whole 10 years. But uh even when it's paid, remember some of it goes to taxes. Nobody's going to get a check for a trillion dollars.

All right. Uh, but how many of his products that he's working on now could become the biggest in that category forever? All right, here are just a few things. If Elon starts making chips and he's the best at manufacturing things that people didn't know how to manufacture, and chips are mostly a challenge of how do you manufacture them? They're just hard to make. So, he would be the best person who could ever take on that challenge. So, what if he makes the biggest chip company? Totally possible. Even if the only person who buys them is his own company, you'd still be the biggest chip maker. Uh, what about his power stuff? Could he be the biggest in the world? What about his AI? Could it be the biggest in the world? What about his robots and his cars? Could he be the biggest in the world? Yep, he's worth a trillion.

Well, as you know, Nancy Pelosi has announced a retirement. And uh I wonder what Trump said about that. Now, you might know that it was only recently that uh Pelosi said some terrible things about Trump. Just terrible things. He was stealing your democracy and he's the worst I think he says she said something like he's the worst person in the world because he's not just bad but he's the president so he has power plus he's bad so he's the worst person in the world. The worst person in the world. Um, so Trump pays her back because he's uh in the press conference there. Somebody asked her about retirement and uh he made sure that he uh thought this through and gave them a quote which would guarantee that it dominated the news. Did it? Yes, it did. Here's his quote about Nancy Pelosi. I think she's an evil woman. I'm glad she's retiring. I think she did the country a great service by retiring now. Trump about Nancy Pelosi. Oh yeah. Okay. I'm just repeating the same thing. The dictation services are are funny. So I my one hand is too paralyzed now to to type. So I've been using voice dictation. And I found out that if you want to do the word country, c o u n t r y, uh I won't even tell you what it what it wrote down. It was so naughty. Very naughty.

Well, the Supreme Court made a decision that uh if you have a passport, you can only list yourself as male or female. There will be no um inbetweens or no trans, no anything but male or female. Now, I have mixed feelings about that honestly. Um for adults, and we're only going to talk about adults. We're not talking about children. Children should not be, you know, I I have the same opinion you do, but um most of you anyway. But for adults, I do think that adults should be able to run their own life. And if they want to be trans, I'm okay with that. Why wouldn't I be? It's not my life, you know? And if it doesn't bother me, yeah, just do whatever you need to do. If you're an adult and it's not, you know, scaring the horses or something, go ahead. So, I'm pro trans in the freedom sense. Everybody should have the freedom to do what they do that they need to do because they need to do it. And it's none of my business if it doesn't bother me. And it doesn't. So I do wonder about the tradeoff because if somebody shows up in their trans identity, uh wouldn't that be harder for the passport people to sort that out? So aren't we trying to make sure that it's easier faster? Easier or faster would be um I'm trans. And then the person looks at him, they go, "Oh, okay. You do look maybe they do look a little bit male. Maybe they got an Adam's apple or something. I'm no expert on any of this stuff." Uh and then that would perfectly explain why they were looking one way but listed as another way. Wouldn't that be safer? If if the only thing you care about is how safe you are, wouldn't you be safer if they listed themselves the way they look, so you could know exactly what's going on there? No. All right. So, I'm a little bit mixed on this one. I I think I could be persuaded in either direction, but that's what happened. So, I guess it's a done deal for now.

Um, did you see the video of Trump was announcing that uh they they made a tremendous success in lowering the cost of these weight loss drugs? So, um, who is involved? Uh, it's less it's less about the pharma, but there were a few pharma companies that got together and vastly lowered their cost for the weight loss drug from something like $1,000 to something like a hundred something. So, a gigantic decrease in probably the most important thing. Now, the the news part of it is that Trump is delivering on at least lowering the cost of some important drugs. But here's the part you might have missed. When uh RFK Jr. was talking about it, he had his moment to talk there at the Oval Office with all the executives assembled. And we'll talk about the the the guy who passed out, but uh RFK Jr. is explaining to us um what a big lever this is because something like half of all of our health care costs are driven by obesity and we could practically eliminate it with these drugs if they were affordable and and Trump just made them affordable for a lot more people not everybody of course but we'll have to figure out a way that everybody can get them but this goes a long way goes a long way to lowering your health care costs because it lowers them two ways it's not just immediately lowering them because you wanted to take the fat drug, but you know, you couldn't afford it, but now you can. But on top of that, he said that uh obesity is driving 50% of our health care costs. Had you ever heard that before? 50%. I knew it was a lot. But here's what I like about RFK Jr.'s approach to everything. He finds the best lever. He doesn't go for the low hanging fruit. He goes for he goes for the high hanging lever because if you can get that lever you change everything. You imagine if the United States became not an obese country 50% of I I think half of all adults are obese. If he took that down to 25% just by this action that would be one of the greatest accomplishments certainly of any cabinet member. You may be the greatest accomplishment of any cabinet member. And I don't think it would have happened without RFK Jr. Do you do you think this would have happened with just a some kind of normal, you know, ordinary corporate guy who got the job because he was connected to somebody or something? No. No. Trump took a took a chance and now you're seeing that uh his his instinct is good. Trump's instinct that he could go with somebody who's a lifelong Democrat and it would help America. That was a tough choice. Do do you do you even understand how tough that was? If this had not worked out and RFK Jr. had turned out not to be the man that he is, this would be a total problem. But not only is he the man that he is, but he might be more than the man that he is. You know, you might not even understand the level of sacrifice that he that he's taking and has taken just to get to that point where he could stand in front of the country and say, "You're all going to get the fat drug or close to it." Amazing. Amazing accomplishment.

All right. But the drama was that one of the executives who was there to just attend, he was in the background, he had some kind of medical event. We don't know the details. We don't need to. He's we're we're told that he's fine now, but he he passed out. Now, what did the Democrats say about this? Of course, they took one picture out of context to say that Trump must be a psychopath because he's just standing there looking. What? What? What kind of standard is that for judging people? All right, let me tell you what I saw and then you tell me if that's what you saw. Now, I'm just going to read my post because I liked how I wrote it. Um, so right in the middle of Trump's Oval Office announcement on slashing prices for weight loss meds like Wegovy, Zepbound, uh, this this, uh, Novo Nordisk, executive, his name is Gordon Finley. So, he, uh, he passed out. Now, here's what all the participants did when when the event happened. So the first thing that happened was that uh the man starts to collapse. You know, he's he looks like he's unsteady and the speaker notices. The speaker was one of the CEOs. So the first thing that the speaker does is he stops what he's doing and he turns his attention to the person who looks like he's having a medical problem. Was that the right thing to do? Yes, it was. Yeah. So as as gigantic as this moment was for both the pharma and for Trump, everybody knew to stop what they're doing and give their full attention to whatever this was because it was more important at the moment. The people standing next to him that just happened to be closest. They saw him going down and they grabbed him and they uh they protected him as he fell. So they protected him so he went gently down to the floor where you'd want him to be if he can't stand and didn't hit his head or anything. They just gently put him down. So they acted immediately to his service. As soon as the guy hit the floor and even before he was on the floor, Dr. Oz, who I believe was the closest doctor, was already on it. He had already rushed in and was starting to give whatever doctors do when they get there first. So Dr. Oz rushes in. You, if you watch the video, you see that RFK Jr. who'd be standing in the back immediately moves in the other direction away from the guy. What do you think he was doing? I don't know. But if I were RFK Jr., I would know that there is always medical staff on the other side of the wall from wherever the president is. Right there. There's no way there wouldn't be a gurney and an ambulance and a medical staff right on the other side of the wall cuz they wouldn't be in the room, but they would be right nearby. Now, RFK Jr. probably, and this is just a guess, I can't read his mind. Probably said, "We'd better make sure that those guys, you know, the medical people with the gurneys and the ambulance better make sure that the door is unlocked and they know to come in." So probably he did the thing that is the smartest thing he could have done, which is make sure they had already been alerted. And if they had been alerted, just open the door. Just open the door and let them in because maybe somebody needs to hold the door. So RFK did exactly what he should do because he's not the doctor. Dr. Oz did exactly what he should do because he is the doctor. And then Trump, what should Trump do in this situation? Should Trump push them away and administer CPR? No. No. He's got a room full of people who probably included more than one doctor and probably there were doctors on the other side of the the door as I said. No. What he should do because Trump is not in charge of that patient. Trump is in charge of the room. He's in charge of the room and also the country. So, what did you want him to do as the guy who's in charge of the room? I'll tell you what I wanted. I wanted him to stand up to show the respect that this situation demands. He stood up. I want him to look at what's happening because this situation demands that he look at it and assess what's going on and decide what, if any, uh, involvement he should have. Having looked at it and stood, he was then in charge of the room, not the patient. He was in charge of the room, not the patient. And the room didn't know what was going on. But having your president standing up there resolute and knowing that he's trusting the experts behind him to do what needs to be done, and they did. And fortunately, the the gentleman appears to be fine. We don't know his problem, but that's what I wanted him to do. I wanted him to show respect, wait, and know when it's his time. So, what Trump knew is that this was not his time. This was not his time. And so, he stepped back. What do you want that's better than that? You know, he's getting people are calling him a psychopath because he didn't, you know, rip the guy's shirt off and give him the give him some kind of a treatment or something. What exactly was he supposed to do? Was he supposed to push Dr. Oz away and say, "I got this because the cameras are rolling." No. He did exactly what I want my president to do. Not only did he hire competent people who immediately acted in exactly the right way, but he knew when to stay out of the way. You can't beat that really.

Um, now some of you might recognize how biased I am on this on this topic. Did you pick that up? Did you pick up any obvious bias from me on this topic? Oh, I have bias. So, here was my real my real situation. So, I you know, I uh was busy most of the day. So, I was catching up with the story, you know, the story about the guy who collapsed in the office. Um, and I'm reading about how Dr. Oz was the first one to step in. Now, Dr. Oz was also uh he he also was one of the people that Trump asked to get involved in my situation when I needed a little little boost with my health care provider. Now I don't know if you know I still don't know the reality of what did or did not happen. So I'm not blaming Kaiser for anything. Uh just that I had a lack of information for a while and it took longer than I thought. Uh, that's all I know. That took longer than I thought and I didn't know why. So, uh, Dr. Oz solved that for me. And as I'm reading the story about how he had also jumped in to fix this guy, I'm thinking to myself, why is it that these Trump related people have learned that they can do more than regular people? How do they get so much done? Like, how do they It's just how do they get so much done? And as I'm reading about Dr. Oz and I'm thinking, you know, fondly about how he had helped me personally, maybe he kept me alive. I don't know. Maybe he made the difference between life and death. Could have been. Uh my phone rings and it's Dr. Oz. I swear to God, this really happened. I'm reading about him for the first time, about this incident for the first time. And Dr. Oz calls me and he asked me how I'm doing and if I'm getting enough help from my medical providers cuz that's what he made sure happened and the answer is yes. Yes, I am. I'm getting great great reaction from my medical care Kaiser Northern California. So I'll give him a shout out. You know the way I judge everything the way I judge everything is not by any mistake. I judge everything by reaction. What did you do when somebody complained? If I judged Kaiser by how happy I was, you know, a month ago, that would be different from how happy I am now because the way they reacted to it was excellent. So, they're they're doing a great job at the moment. Um, so that's my thing. Now, do do you realize how how weird it is to be me that you're reading a story in the news and then the subject of the news calls you as you're reading the story? It's so weird. It's totally weird. But we're a simulation, maybe.

All right. So, I guess after all that, Democrats will claim that uh Trump stole their democracy by not giving CPR to the guy who fell down or some damn thing. Um, moving on. Even John Fetterman heaped praise on Trump, said that Trump was uh did a great job on slashing that weight loss drug price from $1,000 to as low as 149. Um, and he told his story about being a stroke survivor and apparently he used it for his heart health, uh, which I believe is one of the one of the drugs involved. And he said, "I've called to make these drugs more accessible, blah blah blah." All right, here's my take. If you're not tired about me talking about Fetterman too much, I get it. I get it. He's on the other side. You You don't want to give him attention, blah blah blah. But I'm going to talk about his persuasion game so that you can learn that. Okay? So, this is about learning persuasion. It's not about me wanting Fetterman to be my next president or anything like that. Just focus on the persuasion part. You'll be fine.

So, I love the fact that he found his own lane, meaning that as soon as the president does something that you could sort of imagine a reasonable Democrat might be in favor of, and this would be obviously something a reasonable Democrat should be in favor of. Um then the press knows to go to him first. Not only because he's good at the quotes that they can use because he he speaks in abbreviated non word salad way maybe because of the um stroke maybe and maybe he was just always brief. I don't know but he's he's good at being brief and that makes better quotes. So he's carved out this little niche where he will always get attention um from I don't know maybe half of all topics they'll come to him first. That is so good and persuasion wise if if you can camp out as the person they have to talk to first because everybody expects you to then you've accomplished the Trump first and most important play. Remember in 2015 everybody said, "Well, you can't win just by getting the most attention." Can't you? Maybe you can win by getting the most attention. No, that's not enough. You still have to have a lot going for you, but he solves for one of the problems that you got all these other politicians. Maybe a lot of them would like to be president someday, but he's figured out how to make them come to him. That's what Trump does. He makes them come to him just by being more interesting and by doing something that's not the same freaking thing that everybody else is doing. So in in terms of attention grabbing, A+. So learn that lesson. Learn that lesson.

But there's more. Um here here's the bigger lesson. Do you remember in uh the first term and really into the second election cycle uh the Democrats were all about Trump's bad personality? It's like, oh, he says bad things about people. Oh, our our allies will not trust us as much because he can't be trusted. Oh, he told four gazillion bazillion 14 gazillion lies. And it was all about his character and his personality. When was the last time you saw the enemy press enemy to Trump? Uh when was the last time they reported the number of lies he's told? Did anybody notice they stopped doing that? They just stopped. What wasn't it the number one thing they reported all the time? Well, he's got five more lies today and three were in this sentence and two were in this and they don't even bother fact checking him. Do you know why they don't fact check him? Because people got used to it. Remember the Virginia Adams rule? People can get used to anything if they do it long enough. Anything. So, I think the world just got used to Trump. He was normalized. And of course it only helps because you know he did a good job as president, you wouldn't want to normalize something that was bad. But he's totally normalized. So now when he says something like he he's dumping on Nancy Pelosi like earlier. Can you imagine any other president doing that? You can't. But in the old days they would have said no other president would do that and therefore it was a mistake for him to do it. Do they do that now? No they don't. Now they just say, "Uh, that's just what he does." So once you've normalized it, you have this superpower. So Trump can simply say and do things that other people can't say and do because he got you used to it. Fetterman's doing the same thing. I don't know how conscious this is, but what Fetterman is doing is making the Democrats get used to the idea that he could agree with the Republicans. The first 20 times he does it, they won't be used to it. Maybe the first 50 times they won't be used to it. But somewhere around the hundredth time, you know, because you can repeat the same things over and over. Somewhere around the hundredth time, they're just going to want to think about something else and they'll just get used to it. And then he'll be the only person who can do this and we'll be used to it. That's when he becomes dangerous. If we get used to this, meaning Democrats specifically, he's gonna have a little superpower there in persuasion. And uh just watch that.

Here's another guy named John Shewchuk. I think he's at Climate Craze. Um, one of the things he does is he looks for um for data recording stations, temperature recording stations that are out of service but have not been reported as out of service. So, so far he found his post on X 196 ghost stations where the NOAA fabricates temperatures. In other words, they just estimate the temperatures because the actual data doesn't exist. Now, how comfortable do you feel if I tell you that 196 temperature stations are not even real? And if you don't have the right data for temperature, then you have trillions of dollars that could be wasted because you had the wrong temperatures. All right, I'm watching the comments to see if you know where I'm going on this. Do you know where I'm going on this? How many times have I told you? You're gonna be mad at yourself if you didn't get this one before I tell you. What's it mean when they tell you the number without the percentage? What's it mean if they tell you the percentage but not the raw number? It means it's Now, I hate the fact that this guy's on my side because I think that the temperature measurements are probably pretty sketchy. So I'm modified in general but if you're looking at it just as persuasion when somebody gives you a raw number without the without the what's the total number of now if I had to ask you how many do you think there are how many how many uh temperature measurements stations are there what do you think 196 were ghosts didn't exist but how many how many do exist in America it's over 10,000 in the world it's over 20,000 and already according to Grok I'm going to assume that's true um so that would be 1.85% of just the US um measurements if 1.85% of the US measurements were interpolated, you know, just took an average of what was around it. Would you get necessarily a terrible answer? I don't know. I don't know. But it makes a big difference if you think 196 is a big number versus less than 2%. And but the bigger problem is really there's 10,000 of these measurements in the US, but only 20,000 in the rest of the whole world. I mean that would be another 10,000. Does that mean that what happens in the US just sort of naturally counts for more and wouldn't that distort things? So I just have a question mark about that.

All right. So uh I don't want to criticize John because I do love his work. Meaning that if he's really finding the number of uh ghost stations that could only be good. I mean there's no downside to that. So that's good work. Appreciate it. But just know that I'm teaching my audience that the raw number without the percentage, that's not good. And vice versa.

I have to drink like like Trump did in that one video where we have to use both hands. I also have to stay hydrated, get all the radiation out of me.

All right. Um, here's something I taught you on persuasion, but I'm going to give you another example which should be helpful. Um, I call it the category problem. Have you heard me talk about this? If you're trying to decide if something is true or false, you see something in the news. The first filter I put on it is what I call the category problem. Now, the category problem is that has the has something that sounds like this ever been true? Not this, but things that sound like it. For example, if you got an email that a Nigerian prince had this deal for you and was going to give you a bunch of money if you floated them a little money in advance, would you consider that likely to be true or likely to be false? Well, the category is is false every time, but that doesn't mean there couldn't ever be a Nigerian prince, right? Like maybe maybe they're all false until they're not. No, it it's best to assume it's false because the category is just such a big red flag. Here's another one. If somebody says they have a universal cancer cure in the form of a pill and it already works on rats, are you going to get that cancer pill in a few years? No, you're not. No, because how many times has cancer been cured in the news but not in reality? Thousands of times. So that category I just like there was one in the news today exactly like that. Oh, we got a cure for all cancers. I didn't even post it because it's a category that's just never true. Um, here's another one. A pill that reverses aging. If you if you see a story that the scientists have now come up with a pill that reverses aging, that's in the category of things that are never true. I don't know anything about that particular pill, but the category never true. And that brings us to my next story. Uh some scientists in China claim they've invented a pill that is uh gives you the same benefits of exercise in terms of your overall health. You know, exercise is good for you in all the different ways, but they allege they've created a pill that would give you the same benefits of exercise. You still have to exercise if you want bigger muscles. It doesn't give you muscles. So, just to be clear, it doesn't make your muscles bigger. It gives you just some of the health benefits that exercise would give you. Do you believe that's true? Category problem. It's a big category problem. No, I don't believe it's true. I do not believe that as soon as they're done testing on the rats, you know, in say 3 years or whatever, that they're going to have a pill that makes you young again or makes you feel healthier again in all the ways that youth does. I doubt it.

Well, the other big question, uh, oh, and then Priscilla Chan and Mark Zuckerberg are, believe it or not, they're on the A16Z podcast, which I haven't seen yet, but I imagine is an amazing podcast because that would be amazing people involved. Um, so I guess, uh, Mark Zuckerberg and his wife Priscilla Chan were on, Dr. Priscilla Chan and uh they've created this initiative where they're trying to basically cure and prevent and manage all disease by the end of the century. All disease um by the end of the century. Well, that'll take some work. Anyway, uh do you think that they will cure all disease by the end of the century? I don't know, but I'm in favor of them trying. Sure. That you know, I always say that's the beauty of the American billionaires. If you're an American billionaire, you have a lot of pressure to invest in things that could be big, you know, benefits to the world, but the the government isn't on it for some reason. I mean, I would feel that if I were a billionaire. So, that's the good thing our billionaires can do.

James Carville said that he would quote bet a lot of money that Democrats will win in 2028 to get the presidency and the um and the house and that they would pack the Supreme Court to 13 people so they could control it. Uh he says at first they would do the normal bureaucracy thing where they would just have some committee and the committee would come back and say, "Oh yes, the fairest best thing we could do is 13 people on the Supreme Court." And then he says they'll definitely do it. And he says the Democrats will definitely win the presidency in 2028. What do I say in response to that? The Democrat will definitely win the presidency in 2028. Now, we're hearing also from a lot of pro MAGA people. Um, I think I saw Mike Cernovich say something on this this topic on X that uh we don't really have a Republican party that's strong. There's a there's a MAGA faction that's strong, but even the MAGA faction is empty without Trump. So that it's really just a Trump party and if he leaves that we don't really have anybody who could win. Is that true? Do you think JD couldn't win? Um, a lot of people act like he's the obvious choice. I've also acted like he's the obvious choice, but that doesn't mean he'll be the choice. It just means he's the obvious one from this point of view at this time, etc. And his skills are impressive. His his talent stack's impressive. He's not Trump though, right? And so what I say to uh James Carville is challenge accepted. I believe that a Republican can win in 2028, but that we have not necessarily identified that Republican. Not necessarily. Um but they would need some persuasion training, which I believe none of them have. I'd be happy to give it to them if they need it. Uh but trained properly in persuasion, uh I think a Republican who is at least Trumpy enough in in policies could win, but it would take tremendous skill. It would take a lot of skill. I do believe that Vance is somebody who could pick up a talent stack, you know, in an hour. Like that's that's the kind of intelligence we're talking about. Somebody who could learn a whole thing in an hour. Like a complicated thing and if they play it right, they can win this. But they don't have anybody, in my opinion, they probably don't have anybody who's the right person with the right training right now. Like if they if they had the election today, I don't think a Republican would win. But could they win in 2028 with the right positioning, etc.? It's doable. It's doable, but it's going to be hard. Like really hard, but doable.

Here's the weirdest part about 2028. The weirdest part is if Trump solves too many problems during his term, and he's on the verge of doing that, there won't be enough problems left to solve for a potential Republican. If the reason you voted for Trump is because of the border and it's just solved, why would you vote for the other Republican? You need another reason. The border was a real good reason because that was just so scary and so big and it it just had so much impact on everything. But what's the thing after that? Unfortunately, it's affordability and the and the Democrats are owning affordability at the moment. So, uh, there's going to have to be some problems that Trump doesn't solve just so the the next Republican candidate has something to talk about, they're running out of things to talk about, right? I mean, if it turns out that, you know, 3 years from now, everybody smart agrees that tariffs were a tremendous idea and they brought in money and it didn't break too many things. Well, then whoever the Republican is will just keep doing it. But it's not like a winning strategy or anything. So you got to find that thing that everybody understands needs to be solved. And unfortunately, I would hate to say that the only thing left to solve would be the debt because I don't know what the hell you do about that. Anyway, maybe it's the tariffs to solve the debt. So, but John Stewart, every I think we're at the phase where everybody's worried about their own team. Uh John Stewart said that Democrats are still a mess uh after the last election and he says, "I truly believe they're a mess." And then he said, I tried to uh capture the essence of this quote. I might have missed a word. He said, "There's an underlying energy in the country that none of us could have imagined and that needs to be channeled." None of us could have imagined. Uh, I'm pretty sure every Republican imagined it. That's why Trump's the president. The Republicans were totally imagining it. They didn't have to imagine it. They felt it. They were in it. They were part of it. But, so I guess he's talking about Democrats had no idea what the country is really like. Now, I love John Stewart as an entertainer and I think he adds a lot even to the political process despite being a entertainer first. But he never is. He looks like a guy who's never had like a regular job, has he? Cuz there's some things he's just sort of missing that feel like you would not be missing if you had a regular job with co-workers and stuff, you know? Maybe maybe being around normal people. The the the people who work in comedy, I think, hang around with people in comedy more than anything else. Anyway, so when he says there's an underlying energy in the country that none of us could imagine needs to be channeled, to me that's just a a word salad way of saying your policies are bad. If the Democrats had better policies, you don't think they would own everything. I think they'd be in charge. They just need better ideas. So every time they think it's not that their candidates are bad and their policies are bad, they're just lost. They're going to have to say, "Our policies are bad. Our candidates are bad. Get a better candidate. Do something."

Anyway, apparently, every state has now applied for the $50 billion or a piece of the $50 billion rural health fund, which was approved in the big beautiful bill. The Hill is writing about this, Nate Weixel. So, I guess they all had to apply for their part, but they all have done it, so that's good. And that's the money that would transform rural health so that uh so that they can get health care to poor people in rural places that don't have I guess it's people who don't have healthcare. Um so each state has to say how they're going to use the money and get it approved. Um and that was the backstop against whatever is going to happen. Now, if JD or any other future Republican could figure out a real workable plan that would either make food substantially cheaper or or make healthcare substantially cheaper, I don't think Trump's going to solve those. I think he'll take a bite out of them. Um, you know, I think he'll do he'll do what's doable, but there's always going to be something left over that's not doable easily. So, so getting everybody healthcare I think is worth doing some way, but there's got to be a Republican way to do that or I'll call it a let's say an independent way to do it. Um I don't want to do it just by giving more money to people who can pay double for Obamacare. There's got to be some just fundamental reworking of how we do stuff. And then maybe AI. I I've always always thought that the government should offer the Let me let me run this idea by you. I don't know if I've ever mentioned this before, but I always had the idea that maybe everybody could have what they want, which is what if the people who want to be socialists and want to get cheap food and all that, what if the government gave it to them and said, "All right, you guys, you guys are going to live the the socialist path." Um and the rest of you will pay as you go, but you won't have to pay for the socialist somehow. Is there any way that you could have the the socialist plan work somewhere where if you really really wanted that to be your life, you could go to, you know, let's say some part of some state and you can move there and say, "Look, you could have everything you you asked for. We don't know if that'll be good for you, but you're adults. You get you get to pick. So if you live here, you get to have a, you know, a community garden and you'll share some food and maybe you won't have a car for everybody and maybe you don't mind they have to walk everywhere, right? But it it seems like there's some way you could carve out the people who aren't going to get healthcare under a current costly system or even enough food under a costly system and just put them in their own little bucket with fewer choices. So I think they'd be okay if they had fewer choices if the alternative is not having anything. Yeah.

Anyway, um an appeals court is going to let Trump revive his bid to overturn criminal convictions in that hush money case. The hush money case or 34 34 uh convictions on that. Um so just the news is writing about this. So the second circuit court uh are going to let him keep going on that. So we'll see if that ever gets overturned. It was a three judge panel. Uh and the three judge panel said that the court had bypassed what we consider to be important issues bearing on the ultimate issue of good cause. Uh so that they did not rule on whether Trump is guilty or innocent. They just ruled on they ruled on ruling basically.

Um here's a funny comment from somebody on Twitchy Doug P. He notes that Mamdani is asking people to send him money so that they could get free stuff in return, which is a funny way to frame it. And it's exactly right. So the candidate who's promising you free stuff can't give you free stuff until you give him money. Wait, that's not free. Well, I guess you don't you don't have to personally give him money, but unless a lot of people give him money, he won't be able to give you money back. Now, I guess the promise is if you give him enough money and then he gets elected, which he did, uh, he would help you get some money back. So, basically, it's just a money laundering operation that he's he's disguised as a candidacy. That's what it looks like. Anyway, that's what's happening there.

Um and then uh Fox News is reporting that uh the reason the Democrats won big on those three big elections recently is that they focus on domestic economic policy. Emma Bushey's writing this on Fox News. Do you think that's it? Do you think it's because they focus on domestic stuff as opposed to international stuff? I don't know. I didn't really see that happening. I don't remember anybody bringing up Oh, maybe they did if you're talking about specifically Israel. Yeah, I'll withdraw my comment. Yeah, it did turn into a lot of Israel talk when it could have been a lot more about affordability. Now, when I was praising Mamdani's communication skills about the word affordability, somebody pushed back on me on X and said, "Scott, politicians have been promising affordability since the beginning of time. Why is that so new?" To which I said, "Really? Which politician was using the word affordability? Can you think of one? Can anybody think of one who used the word not the concept? I'm talking about the word affordability. I don't remember anybody doing that. They may have used it in a sentence once, but it was never a key part of any platform that I'm aware of. And so the my critic after I said I'm not aware of anybody use it. Um said he did a search and he put affordability in quotes and asked if anybody had pushed affordability in quotes as a politician. And guess what? It turns out that if you put it in quotes, people have done it. But that's not the same thing. I'm talking about the actual choice of the specific word affordability. It doesn't count if you were talking about lowering costs. You had to use the actual word. I don't remember anybody doing it. I saw some people saying Kemp and Clinton, but I was alive then. I don't remember that. Don't remember it at all.

All right. There's a study, University of British Columbia, Tom Leslie, is writing about this that uh if you talk with your hands, there's a way to do it that makes you more persuasive. But it's not just moving your hands randomly. So, I have trouble lifting my arm now. But if you were just going blah blah blah randomly with your hands, that doesn't add anything. But if you use your hands to tell the story, apparently that registers quite uh strongly as making you more persuasive. So the example they use is if you caught a fish and you're telling the story, it helps to, you know, use your hands to show the size of the fish because then it becomes like a visual slash verbal story. So just ask me, Scott, if you use your hands to make the story more visual, will it be more persuasive? Yes. I've been teaching you for years that visual beats purely audio. If you add the two of them together, it's better than either one. Either one by themselves.

Japan's going to team up with the US to mine some rare earth in the Pacific. So Bloomberg is reporting this. That seems good. They're going to go into that rare earth rich mud that's 6,000 feet down. I don't know how much work the US is doing on that, but I'm pretty happy how the administration is capitalizing on our on our allies, which might be leaning on them. We might be leaning on them a little bit, but they need the rare earth, too. So, if us plus them can get us, you know, both more rare earth, win-win. And I don't think there was a better way to do it. Don't think there was a better way to do it. But here, let let me give you an instant prediction that I've never made before because I never thought about it until right now. If the biggest problem in the world turns out to be not enough rare earth minerals, how long will it be before Elon Musk looks at all of his assets and says, "You know, robots could dig a lot of rare earth materials." You know, the electric cars could carry them away. And now he's introducing the electric uh the all electric big trucks, the big rigs. So, he can transport it. He can dig it. He can dig it. I don't know if they need satellites to locate it, but he's got those. Uh, and he would be the best engineer to figure out how to do it safely. Maybe just with robots. So, my prediction is this. If we don't get on top of this problem soon, I think there would be pressure on Elon to solve it because people would say, "We're pretty sure nobody else could solve this. It would just be capability. He'd be able to do it. Maybe nobody else could. They would just ask him ask him to step in. Could happen."

And let's see. Um, as you know, the Colombian is reporting, Kelly Livingston, that the Department of Energy wants to quadruple our nuclear power uh over the next 25 years, but that would require tripling our workforce that that are trained in nuclear stuff. We are very under skilled for nuclear compared to how much we want to build it out. So, does that seem un that that seems solvable? I think if you took a bunch of engineers or engineering students, you said you got you got three or four years to learn nuclear, they'd be in pretty good shape after three or four years. So, as long as we're producing them at the source and that enough people are signing up for those majors, we'll be fine.

Oh, here's some good news. Kazakhstan is joining the Abraham Accords. Kazakhstan. Now, a lot of you are waiting for this. A lot of people have said to me, you know, I like those Abraham Accords, but where's Kazakhstan? Why is Kazakhstan so silent over this? Well, Albania is also silent. We have heard nothing about Albania, but Kazakhstan, they're in. Maybe there'll be more later. We'll see.

All right, people. People, that's my one-handed show. No, not what you think. But it took me a little longer to uh get it all done today because I'm literally using one hand. We're hoping that some of the achievements will fix the other hand. But I don't know. Maybe, maybe. Yes. I might be done drawing because I can't draw with my left hand. And at the moment, I'm pretty sure I can't draw with my left hand, but I'll try it today just to see. So, I might be retiring today or I might be taking a month off to see if I can get my uh muscles back, but I'm going to have to work this out. So, we'll work it out together one way or the other. I I could always sketch it more generally and then have my art director finish it. Uh so, there's always a plan. It won't it won't necessarily mean there's less Dilbert. It might mean there's less of my artwork that goes into the first draft. Probably. Probably. You and you already know that I switched from right-handed to left-handed to draw because I burned out my right hand just from regular drawing. Uh yeah. Well, you know, nothing's perfect. Nothing's perfect. Everybody's got a problem.

All right. I'm going to say a few words privately to the locals subscribers. If I can get my one defective hand to click the right place. Let me get this hand off. One hand doesn't lift up and the other hand is too weak. All right. So everybody else, I'll see you I hope tomorrow. I hope you got something out of the lessons. Man, I wish I could find my cursor. There it is. And uh we're going to go privately with the local supporters in 30 seconds.

Good morning.

How about some lights?

Turn on some lights for you.

Oh, my hand barely works.

Oh, come on.

Hand.

There you go.

Has anybody checked the stocks today?

Stocks.

Okay.

Let me check and see if it's a smile or a grimace.

Continue.

Smile or grimace.

It's a grimace.

What did Tesla do after the big announcement?

Wonder if these are old.

Is this yesterday's numbers?

I don't see how Tesla could have gone down after yesterday.

Did it?

Looks like it's just wrong.

Maybe that's not updated.

Yeah.

All right, we'll wait and see.

Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time.

But if you'd like to take chance on elevating your experience to levels that nobody can even understand with her tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass of tanker shellstein canteen jugger flask a vessel of any kind.

Fill it with your favorite liquid.

I like coffee.

And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day.

The thing that makes everything better.

It's called the simultaneous sip.

It happens now.

Go.

All right.

Let me make sure I can see your local comments special.

It would be right over here.

If you don't mind, I'm a little slow and getting a little less done because I'm literally working with one hand today.

One hand and half a brain.

Uh, there you are.

Comments are working.

Everything's looking good.

Looking good.

Hey, do you know what day today is?

Does anybody know what day today is?

It's the day you find out that the Dilbert calendar is available and for sale for those few of you who have not already scooped it up.

I see a lot of you are being smart and acting fast.

I swear to God the next thing I say is actually literally true and not just the ordinary marketing thing that people say all the time in this situation.

We probably didn't make enough of them.

So, if you're thinking to yourself, and by the way, we did that intentionally because I have to pay for them advance because it's a American it's an American situation and we worked on a deal where I would make sure that they uh would limit any risk on their side, which seemed fair because my precarious situation.

Um, so I've already paid for the calendars to be printed, but I didn't want to print, you know, three times more than people might want.

So, we're a little bit underprinted, we think, but we don't know, right?

It's hard to hard to anticipate, but I wouldn't wait is what I'm saying.

If if you thought you wanted one, waiting would be a bad strategy.

Sooner is better.

All right.

And as you know, I like to start the show while people are streaming in with a reframe from my book that's been out for a while, but it's the newest one.

Reframe your brain.

Changing lives every day.

Let's see.

I'm going to change somebody's life today with a new reframe.

If you're new to this, a reframe doesn't require any work on your part.

You just have to hear it.

And if it's a good one, and if it applies to you, uh, the hypnosis will kick in.

It's not really hypnosis.

It's just persuasive.

All right, here's one.

Uh, death is a tragedy, and I need to feel bad about it.

Do any of you have an issue about maybe you lost a loved one and you feel obligated to feel bad about it?

Not just obligated, but you feel bad about it.

Well, death is a tragedy and uh it's there's nothing wrong with feeling bad about it, but you don't want to do it forever.

Here's the reframe.

The person who's deceased has no more problems.

How did I make this about me?

How do you make it about yourself?

This is literally only about the deceased person and their problems just ended.

So as soon as you make it not about yourself, you can get by it a lot easier, right?

You you've solved all the problems for the deceased.

They have nothing else to worry about.

Their work is done.

And if the reason you feel bad is because they were so good in this world or you love them so much, well then your work is really done because you have the right feeling about them and they did the right things and that was great and nothing lasts forever.

How about here's another one on the same topic.

So you've got two to work with on death.

Um, one is that, and this, by the way, I've I've used this one before, um, with with the public, I mean, and some people have reported back that this completely changes their their reaction to a death of somebody that they cared about.

All right, listen to this one.

So, the usual frame is that death is a tragedy.

Duh.

Of course, death is a tragedy.

But that leaves you in that tragedy hole if that's how you're seeing it.

If it's only a tragedy, that's pretty bad.

it's going to last.

But here's a way to reframe it.

It's not more true or less true.

It's just useful to frame it this way.

Remember, it's not about truth.

It's about how you manage your brain.

And you can create new circuitry by just thinking about one thing more than another.

That's all it takes.

And that will make that circuit a little stronger.

So instead of saying death is a tragedy, the reframing is it is an honor to help another person pass.

I don't think there's a bigger honor than that.

You know, if you've watched family members, if you you've been part of it, who were an integral part of letting somebody pass to the next phase of their existence, whatever that is, that is the biggest honor you can have.

And everybody's going to, you know, everybody's going to die.

So, there's nothing you can do about it sometimes.

So, it's not always a tragedy explicit.

Well, it's not only it's not necessarily a tragedy only.

It is a tremendous honor that you get to be the person who's there on the final voyage.

That will help you a lot and everybody dies.

All right.

I wonder if there's any science that they didn't need to do because they could have just asked Scott.

Oh, here's some in Cypost.

Karina Petrova is writing that uh there's a new statistical model that successfully sorted people into their uh political group based on their use of X.

So apparently you can feed just the raw posts from X and AI will figure out not only are they Republican or Democrat but uh it'll figure out sort of where they fit even within those worlds.

Now, did they really need to do that study?

Do you think I couldn't look at a politician's posts and and guess where they fit in the political world?

Did I really need AI to do that?

No.

They should have just asked me.

You know, maybe Federman would have confused me, but the AI didn't get them all right.

I think AI only gets 75% of them right.

To which I say, I'm not really impressed by 75%.

I'm pretty sure I could have hit 90 without without breaking a sweat.

So could you.

Next time, just ask me.

Well, there's a new bill being floated.

We don't know how it'll do, but uh it's called the uh the US Senate is looking at a bill called the No Coffee Tax Act.

The No Coffee Tax Act.

Now, as uh Owen Gregorian pointed out on X, that is a really bad naming convention because the first part of it is no coffee.

I I don't want to vote for anything that has the words no coffee in it.

I don't even care that after it it says no coffee right now, but I'll give you a million dollars if you drink coffee in one minute.

I'd still be a little put off by the no coffee.

You know what I mean?

So, here's your persuasion lesson of the day.

There's going to be some more.

We've got some more persuasion coming up if you like that stuff.

Uh, don't don't name your thing the opposite of what it is.

The whole point of this is that we get more coffee.

Coffee.

Sorry, you're making me say coffee in my New York accent.

I didn't mean to slip into it, but sometimes.

Coffee.

How do you people say it?

Coffee.

Coffee.

Coffee.

Well, I'm gonna stick with coffee for now.

Um, so what it really is is I guess uh Rand Paul is behind this and I did not know this, but uh coffee in particular.

Coffee.

Stop mocking me for the way I say it.

You're mocking me at home.

I can hear you mocking me from home.

Stop it at Now you're talking to your dog saying, "Look at this guy.

Can't even say coffee." coffee.

All right.

Um Nick Brown from Daily Coffee News is reporting this.

Nick Brown from Daily Coffee News.

What a name.

All right.

Um the idea is that apparently there's big tariffs on coffee from Brazil in particular, which is the biggest impact on us.

So the tariffs are as high as 50%.

And that's enough to basically just, you know, destroy Starbucks.

I don't know if it will, but that's bad enough.

So, it's a big impact on our economy and on our people and on our budgets.

And tariffs, you know, you could call a tariff a tax.

Rand Paul does apparently.

And I wouldn't argue with that.

It's a form of a tax.

It's just not a normal one.

Uh has some advantages that taxes don't have, meaning that you can use them to negotiate with other entities.

Taxes don't usually have that.

But, uh, apparently they tried to get it through the no the no tax part.

They tried to get that through with a procedure that if you have unanimous consent, meaning that there's not even one person who says no to it, you can just kind of get it through without all the trouble.

So they tried that and there was exactly one person.

So there's a video of the session that shows that one person, his name is he's a Republican from Idaho and his name is Senator Mike Crao.

C R A P O.

So Mr.

Crapo uh said no.

So that's sent it back to I guess whatever process the full Senate has to follow which is going to take forever and your coffee will still cost too much.

So thanks for nothing.

Crapo.

Crapo.

Crapo.

That would be better than Khan.

If I were writing the that Star Trek, remember the Star Trek movie where Captain Kirk is being thwarted by Khan?

K h an K h an Khan.

And there's that famous thing where the bad actor, the the bad actor playing Captain Kirk, uh, goes, "Ch, con.

Wouldn't that be better if he was fighting crapo crapo?" All right, that's just me.

Well, there's a big Tesla event.

I think it's the big annual event.

Uh, and boy, was there news.

Ow, plenty of news.

Where do we start?

Uh, let's see the So, apparently there there's a video of a hand, a robot hand that for Optimus that looks like so amazing you can't believe that they got hands that good.

So, somebody I think it was Mario posted the uh video of the hand and uh Elon said that's version two.

Version three is way better.

If version three robot hand is better than the version two that I saw, that's going to be a big good hand.

And I heard uh Elon talking about it, the hands, and they would be better surgeons than people very soon.

Maybe in a year, there'll be better surgeons than people.

And uh there'll be better dexterity than people with hands.

You know, you always thought that, oh, maybe they can see better or hear better or remember better, but their hands will never be as good.

Well, apparently we're right at that crossover point.

So, you were born in the age when robots became more capable more capable than people.

What are the odds of that?

Is that doesn't that feel like a simulation to you?

Like, what are the odds?

No, I didn't skip the sip.

You missed the sip.

Don't blame me for skipping the sip.

Sometimes I skip the sip, but I did not skip it today.

You're the skipper.

I call you the skipper, not me, skipper.

All right.

Uh, lots of other Tesla news.

Uh, Elon says that Tesla is already the biggest robot company in the world in part because their cars are all robots.

They're just robots with wheels.

I accept that definition.

They are the biggest robot company.

Oh, I should tell you I have I do own some not a lot, but I own a Tesla stock.

So, anything I say about Tesla, you should put under the umbrella of that guy likes that stock.

It might go up.

So, maybe he's trying to drive up the stock.

Do not do anything that I do financially.

I do not give good financial advice.

You should not follow my advice.

>> >> If I thought my advice was better than other people financially, I'd tell you.

I'm not shy.

I'd tell you if it was better.

It just isn't.

Um anyway, here are the shocking things.

Uh that Elon believes that uh they're not going to have a way to get enough chips to do all the stuff, you know, their robots and cars and stuff that they need, and they might have to make their own.

So, they're thinking about building a quote gigantic chip factory.

What does gigantic mean in Elon's world?

Because every time he does something, it's so big you can't even hold it in your head.

Gigantic.

And I think you said something about working with Intel.

But it would make more sense to buy them, wouldn't it?

Wouldn't it make more sense for Tesla just to buy a chip company?

Then the part I wonder about is that um would we have the right skills in the United States to make the right kind of chips when no other country knows how to do it except you know Taiwan if Taiwan's the only place that knows how to make these chips?

Are they going to help Tesla?

Like why would they instead of just selling them the chips?

So, I don't know where that goes, but I do trust that Elon's probably one of the few people in the world that could solve the not enough AI chips problem.

Elon also says the entire Earth can be powered by sustainable energy with tech that exists today.

And then he talked about the megapac battery storage plants.

You know, whatever whenever anybody says, "Uh, Scott, you fool.

You're so behind the times when you don't understand that no matter how much solar power you have, Scott, did you know, and I know Scott, you look like an idiot, so you probably didn't know this, but I'll talk slowly so you understand, Scott, the sun is not out at night.

Okay, I'm done, you fool.

Like, how could you think this solar power is going to power the whole world when the sun isn't even down at night?

You idiot.

You fool.

Get out of my house.

That's what they usually say to me.

But did you know there are things called batteries?

Batteries.

B A T E R I E S.

Batteries.

It's a word you should learn.

And apparently what they'll do is they will store energy.

they'll actually store that energy all night long if you want if you got a big enough mega factory.

So these mega packac megaactories um are a big part of the structure but also th those might be as much you know for Tesla's own use.

They they will need these big factories for their own AI powering.

But did you know that if you add in the Tesla power walls, those would be the big batteries that you could add to your private home, that they're also worked.

I guess that's just part of it.

So you could store things in your home battery and if you stored more than you wanted to use, you could donate that to the network if it were set to do that.

Uh, I don't think it's quite set up to do exactly this, but couple of buttons and it's ready to go.

Uh, so they can work together.

There's already a million power walls installed.

A million.

He thinks big.

All right.

So, they can work together as a virtual power plant.

And uh, Elon also talked about the age of uh, permanent abundance.

I don't know if he used those words, but that's what I meant.

And he thinks that robots will basically provide all of our goods and services at what will approach zero cost over time and everybody will have everything.

So poverty will be eliminated.

Uh everybody will have enough food because the robots will just be out there tilling the fields as robots do and making us food.

And eventually he wants to get the cost of a robot down to 20,000.

Um, and here's what's interesting about this.

In order for a lot of uh Elon's predictions to come right, you know, things about robots and things about power and things about cars and stuff and even things about interplanetary travel.

In order for all of that stuff to work, or even any of it to work, he would have to understand human motivation and how people think and how they act and what they care about.

Now, how does that fit with the common assumption that he's asberers or we don't use anymore uh on the spectrum?

This is this is what confuses me.

How can you be on the spectrum and also be really good at humor, which he is, um and really good at figuring out human motivation, which he is.

Those are pretty much as close as you can get to the opposite of being on the spectrum.

Or does he compensate, not for the humor part, that's got to be natural, but does he compensate for um being different than other people by just learning how they think and just studying them like you study a maze and then you know how to get out of the maze.

It's not your maze, you just studied it.

So, I'm fascinated by that.

You know, I've never I've never talked to him in person.

It'll probably take me five minutes to figure out what's going on in person, but I only hear good things.

I only hear good things.

So, this is amazing.

Anyway, um but what I thought about while I was reading all these things that he's introducing to the world that he might be the first human being who could legitimately satisfy the political left and the political right.

Now, he can't run for president because he wasn't born here, but he's really the only one because somehow he made most of the people on the right appreciate him because he helped Trump get elected.

But then he also left under tremendous pressure by the left and but what he left too was this highly successful company that looks like it will solve the left's biggest concern, climate.

Now, even if you say, "But climate is not a crisis, whatever," it's nonetheless true that he's doing exactly what the left would want somebody to do, which is build a bunch of electric solar plants and batteries and electric cars.

Now, in the short run, you might argue, "But but but Scott, don't you know that they use more fossil fuels and regular fuels to build that stuff than they save?" I don't even know if that's true, but I do know that in the long run, you would get rid of those other sources and you could use the sun and then then everything that Elon's trying to do would come true.

The left would be delighted even if there's no climate crisis.

They'd be happy about it.

And the right would be happy because they like his his general work hard, build things, America first.

I mean, he's very he's very on point for the right.

At the same time, he's very on point for the left.

Name one other person in the world who is this perfectly suited for both the left and the right.

Now, again, I don't think he's going to write for he's not going to run for office.

That'd be crazy.

U if he did.

Uh even, you know, he's not going to run for senator.

That would be too small.

And presidents out in preach because of the constitution.

But boy, do I like him being involved just in general.

I guess his trillion dollar incentive package got approved by shareholders with a 75% vote.

That means 25% thought it wasn't a good idea to have him properly incentivized.

25% thought it was a bad idea to give the most productive person in the history of the planet a little extra if and if if he does a lot extra.

A lot extra.

You should see the terms of the deal for him to get a trillion dollars.

Do you have any idea why he would have to accomplish to get that?

Like we act like that's just going to automatically happen or something?

No.

You don't you don't automatically just go to work and then one day somebody gives you a trillion dollars.

First of all, let me teach you about how the news works.

years ago when Dilbert was newish and we're trying to get attention.

Uh, I got a multi-book book deal with a big publisher which we reported as a $25 million book deal.

Do you think I got $25 million from a book deal?

We told everybody it was a $25 million book deal.

So, wouldn't you think that I, as the author would get $25 million?

Nope.

Nothing like that.

Nothing like that.

That was the biggest number that the publisher would pay under the most optimistic uh assumptions for for I think five books.

So, first of all, it was five books.

So, it' be 5 million a piece.

Second of all, I shared 50% of what I made from Dilbert Books with my publisher, I'm sorry, with my syndicate.

And then I shared what's left with the publisher.

And then I paid taxes.

Do you know how much was left from the 25 billion?

I don't know.

Might have been five.

You know, maybe over the entire length of time.

Might have been five, something like that.

So when you say that somebody's got a trillion dollar uh pay package, the thing you should first ask is over how many years, the answer is 10.

So a trillion dollars over 10 years is a hundred billion a year.

Seems like he's worth it.

But here's what he would have to deliver.

He Tesla would have to go to $ 8.5 trillion market cap and it's only at 1.4 today.

Now it's in 10 years.

Could you get there?

That would be a 466% increase from today.

Do do you think he can do that?

I I think you probably can, but it's not guaranteed.

That's for sure.

So, the first thing you need to know is you can't you can't treat a trillion dollars that you might get the same as a trillion dollars you're definitely going to get.

And you can't treat money that's going to be spread over 10 years like it's money that you're getting today.

First of all, you know, the uh the value of money declines over time, etc.

A lot of things could happen.

We don't even know if people have automobiles in 10 years.

He's got to he's got to deliver 20 million vehicles cumulative.

I think that means since the beginning of Tesla.

Uh he's got to deliver a million Optimus robots, humanoid robots sold.

They actually have to be sold.

A million a million robo taxis taxis in operation and 10 million full self-driving subscriptions.

Now, what we don't know is if he gets a portion of the trillion, if he gets a portion of these, but not all of them.

Uh, that's a big deal.

I mean, if if he really doesn't get anything, unless he gets all of them, I don't think he would agree to that deal, but it's impressive.

And if successful, he would become the world's first trillionaire.

No, he wouldn't.

Th this is I I think this is just people who don't know how deals work.

Nobody's ever going to give him a trillion dollars.

There's no check for a trillion dollars.

It's over 10 years.

And I don't know if there's any sub payments in the 10 years or if he has to wait the whole 10 years.

But uh even when it's paid, remember some of it goes to taxes.

Nobody's going to get a check for a trillion dollars.

All right.

Uh, but how many of his products that he's working on now could become the biggest in that category forever?

All right, here are just a few things.

If Elon starts making chips and he's the best at manufacturing things that people didn't know how to manufacture, and chips are mostly a challenge of how do you manufacture them?

They're just hard to make.

So, he would be the best person who could ever take on that challenge.

So, what if he makes the biggest chip company?

Totally possible.

Even if the only person who buys them is his own company, you'd still be the biggest chip maker.

Uh, what about his power stuff?

Could he be the biggest in the world?

What about his AI?

Could it be the biggest in the world?

What about his robots and his cars?

Could he be the biggest in the world?

Yep, he's worth a trillion.

Well, as you know, Nancy Pelosi has announced a retirement.

And uh I wonder what Trump said about that.

Now, you might know that it was only recently that uh Pelosi said some terrible things about Trump.

Just terrible things.

He was stealing your democracy and he's the worst I think he says she said something like he's the worst person in the world because he's not just bad but he's the president so he has power plus he's bad so he's the worst person in the world.

The worst person in the world.

Um, so Trump pays her back because he's uh in the press conference there.

Somebody asked her about retirement and uh he made sure that he uh thought this through and gave them a gave them a quote which would guarantee that it dominated the news.

Did it?

Yes, I did.

Here's his quote about Nancy Pelosi.

I think she's an evil woman.

I'm glad she's retiring.

I think she did the country a great service by retiring now.

Trump about Nancy Pelosi.

Oh yeah.

Okay.

I'm just repeating the same thing.

The dictation services are are funny.

So I my one hand is too paralyzed now to to type.

So I've been using voice dictation.

And I found out that if you want to do the word country, c o u n t r y, uh I won't even tell you what it what it wrote down.

It was so naughty.

Very naughty.

Well, the Supreme Court made a decision that uh if you have a passport, you can only list yourself as male or female.

there will be no um inbetweens or no trans, no anything but male or female.

Now, I have mixed feelings about that honestly.

Um for adults, and we're only going to talk about adults.

We're not talking about children.

Children should not be, you know, I I have the same opinion you do, but um most of you anyway.

But for adults, I do think that adults should be able to run their own life.

And if they want to be trans, I'm okay with that.

Why wouldn't I be?

It's not my life, you know?

And if it doesn't bother me, yeah, just do whatever you need to do.

If you're an adult and it's not, you know, scaring the horses or something, go ahead.

So, I'm protrans in the freedom sense.

Everybody should have the freedom to do what they do that they need to do because they need to do it.

And it's none of my business if it doesn't bother me.

And it doesn't.

So I do wonder about the tradeoff because if somebody shows up in their trans identity, uh wouldn't that be harder for the passport people to sort that out?

So aren't we trying to make sure that it's easier faster?

easier or faster would be um I'm trans.

And then the person looks at him, they go, "Oh, okay.

You do look maybe they do look a little bit male.

Maybe they got an Adam's apple or something.

I'm no expert on any of this stuff." Uh and then that would perfectly explain why they were looking one way but listed as another way.

Wouldn't that be safer?

If if the only thing you care about is how safe you are, wouldn't you be safer if they listen to themselves the way they look, so you could know exactly what's going on there?

No.

All right.

So, I'm a little bit mixed on this one.

I I think I could be persuaded in either direction, but that's what happened.

So, I guess it's a done deal for now.

Um, did you see the video of Trump was announcing that uh they they made a tremendous success in lowering the cost of these weight loss drugs?

So, um, who is involved?

Uh, it's less it's less about the pharma, but there were a few pharma companies that got together and vastly lowered their cost for the weight loss drug from something like $1,000 to something like a hundred something.

So, a gigantic decrease in probably the most important thing.

Now, the the news part of it is that Trump is delivering on at least lowering the cost of some important drugs.

But here's the part you might have missed.

When uh RFK Jr.

was talking about it, he get he had his moment to talk there at the Oval Office with all the executives assembled.

And we'll talk about the the the guy who passed out, but uh RFK Jr.

is explaining to us um what a big lever this is because something like half of all of our health care costs are driven by obesity and we could practically eliminate it with these drugs if they were affordable and and Trump just made them affordable for a lot more people not everybody of course but we'll have to figure out a way that everybody can get them but this goes a long way goes a long way to lowering your health care costs because it lowers them two ways it's not just immediately lowering them because you wanted to take the fat drug, but you know, you couldn't afford it, but now you can.

But on top of that, he said that uh obesity is driving 50% of our health care costs.

Had you ever heard that before?

50%.

I knew it was a lot.

But here's what I like about RFK Jr.'s approach to everything.

He finds the best lever.

He doesn't go for the lowhanging fruit.

He goes for he goes for the highanging lever because if you can get that lever you change everything.

You imagine if the United States became not an obese country 50% of I I think half of all adults are obese.

If he took that down to 25% just by this action that would be one of the greatest accomplishments certainly of any cabinet member.

you may be the greatest accomplishment of any cabinet member.

And I don't think it would have happened without RFK Jr.

Do you do you think this would have happened with just a some kind of normal, you know, ordinary corporate guy who got the job because he was connected to somebody or something?

No.

No.

Trump took a took a chance and now you're seeing that uh his his instinct is good.

Trump's instinct that he could go with somebody who's a lifelong Democrat and it would help America.

That was a tough choice.

Do do you do you even understand how tough that was?

If this had not worked out and RFK Jr.

had turned out not to be the man that he is, this would be a total problem.

But not only is the is he the man that he is, but he might be more than the man that he is.

You know, you might not even understand the level of sacrifice that he t that he's taking and has taken just to get to that point where he could stand in front of the country and say, "You're all going to get the fat drug or close to it." Amazing.

Amazing accomplishment.

All right.

But the drama was that one of the executives who was there to just attend, he was in the background, he had some kind of medical event.

We don't know the details.

We don't need to.

He's we're we're told that he's fine now, but he he passed out.

Now, what did the Democrats say about this?

Of course, they took one picture out of context to say that Trump must be a psychopath because he's just standing there looking.

What?

What?

What kind of standard is that for judging people?

All right, let me tell you what I saw and then you tell me if that's what you saw.

Now, I'm just going to read my post because I liked how I wrote it.

Um, so right in the middle of Trump's Oval Office announcement on slashing prices for weight loss meds like WGON Zepbound, uh, this this, uh, Novo Nordisk, executive, his name is Gordon Finley.

So, he, uh, he passed out.

Now, here's what all the participants did when when the event happened.

So the first thing that happened was that uh the man starts to collapse.

You know, he's he looks like he's unsteady and the speaker notices.

The speaker was one of the CEOs.

So the first thing that the speaker does is he stops what he's doing and he turns his attention to the person who looks like he's having a medical problem.

Was that the right thing to do?

Yes, it was.

Yeah.

So as as gigantic as this moment was for both the pharma and for Trump, everybody knew to stop what they're doing and give their full attention to whatever this was because it was more important at the moment.

The people standing next to him that just happened to be closest.

They saw him going down and they grabbed him and they uh they protected him as he fell.

So they protected him so he went gently down to the floor where you'd want him to be if he can't stand and didn't hit his head or anything.

They just gently put him down.

So they acted immediately to his service.

As soon as the guy hit the floor and even before he was on the floor, Dr.

Oz, who I believe was the closest doctor, was already on it.

He had already rushed in and was starting to give whatever doctors do when they get there first.

So Dr.

Oz rushes in.

You, if you watch the video, you see that RFK Jr.

who' be standing in the back immediately moves in the other direction away from the guy.

What do you think he was doing?

I don't know.

But if I were RFK Jr., I would know that there is always medical staff on the other side of the wall from wherever the president is.

Right there.

There's no way there wouldn't be a gurnie and an ambulance and a medical staff right on the other side of the wall cuz they wouldn't be in the room, but they would be right nearby.

Now, RFK Jr.

probably, and this is just gas, I can't read his mind.

Probably said, "We'd better make sure that those guys, the act, you know, the medical people with the gurnies and the ambulance better make sure that the door is unlocked and they know to come in." So probably he did the thing that is the smartest thing he could have done, which is make sure they had already been alerted.

And if they had been alerted, just open the door.

Just open the door and let them in because maybe somebody needs to hold the door.

So RFK did exactly what he should do because he's not the doctor.

Dr.

Oz did exactly what he should do because he is the doctor.

And then Trump, what should Trump do in this situation?

Should Trump push them away and administer CPR?

No.

No.

He's got a room full of people who probably included more than one doctor and probably there were doctors on the other side of the the door as I said.

No.

What he should do because Trump is not in charge of that patient.

Trump is in charge of the room.

He's in charge of the room and also the country.

So, what did you want him to do as the guy who's in charge of the room?

I'll tell you what I wanted.

I wanted him to stand up to show the respect that this situation demands.

He stood up.

I want him to look at what's happening because this situation demands that he look at it and assess what's going on and decide what, if any, uh, involvement he should have.

having looked at it and stood, he was then in charge of the room, not the patient.

He was in charge of the room, not the patient.

And the room didn't know what was going on.

But having your president standing up there resolute and knowing that he's trusting the experts behind him to do what needs to be done, and they did.

And fortunately, the the gentleman is appears to be fine.

We don't know this problem, but that's what I wanted him to do.

I wanted him to show respect, wait, and know when it's his time.

So, what Trump knew is that this was not his time.

This was not his time.

And so, he stepped back.

What do you want that's better than that?

You know, he's getting people are calling him a psychopath because he didn't, you know, rip the guy's shirt off and give him the give him some kind of a treatment or something.

What exactly was he supposed to do?

Was he supposed to push Dr.

Oz away and say, "I got this because the cameras are rolling." No.

He did exactly what I want my president to do.

Not only did he hire competent people who immediately acted in exactly the right way, but he knew when to stay out of the way.

You can't beat that really.

Um, now some of you might recognize how biased I am on this on this topic.

Did you pick that up?

Did you pick up any obvious bias from me on this topic?

Oh, I have bias.

So, here was my real my real situation.

So, I you know, I uh was busy most of the day.

So, I was catching up with the story, you know, the story about the guy who collapsed in the office.

Um, and I'm reading about how Dr.

Oz was the first one to step in.

Now, Dr.

Graz was also uh he he also was one of the people that Trump asked to get involved in my situation when I needed a little little boost with my healthc care provider.

Now I don't know if you know I still don't know the reality of what did or did not happen.

So I'm not blaming Kaiser for anything.

Uh just that I had a lack of information for a while and it took longer than I thought.

Uh, that's all I know.

That took longer than I thought and I didn't know why.

So, uh, Dr.

Oz solved that for me.

And as I'm reading the story about how he had also jumped in to fix this guy, I'm thinking to myself, why is it that these Trump related people have learned that they can do more than regular people?

How do they get so much done?

Like, how do they It's just how do they get so much done?

And as I'm reading about Dr.

Oz and I'm thinking, you know, fondly about how he had helped me personally, maybe he kept me alive.

I don't know.

Maybe he made the difference between life and death.

Could have been.

Uh my phone rings and it's Dr.

Oz.

I swear to God, this really happened.

I'm reading about him for the first time, about this incident for the first time.

And Dr.

calls me and he asked me how I'm doing and if I'm getting enough help from my medical providers cuz that's what he made sure happened and the answer is yes.

Yes, I am.

I'm getting great great reaction from my medical care Kaiser Northern California.

So I'll give him a shout out.

You know the way I judge everything the way I judge everything is not by any mistake.

I judge everything by reaction.

What' you do when somebody complained?

If I judged Kaiser by how happy I was, you know, a month ago, that would be different from how happy I am now because the way they reacted to it was excellent.

So, they're they're doing a great job at the moment.

Um, so that's my thing.

Now, do do you realize how how weird it is to be me that you're reading a story in the news and then the subject of the news calls you as you're reading the story?

It's so weird.

It's totally weird.

But we're a simulation, maybe.

All right.

So, I guess after all that, Democrats will claim that uh Trump stole their democracy by not giving CPR to the guy who fell down or some damn thing.

Um, moving on.

Even John Federman, heaped praise on Trump, said that Trump was uh did a great job on slashing that weight loss drug price from $1,000 to as low as 149.

Um, and he told his story about being a stroke survivor and apparently he used Monero for his heart health, uh, which I believe is one of the one of the drugs involved.

and he said, "I've called to make these drugs more accessible, blah blah blah." All right, here's my take.

If you're not tired about me talking about Fedman too much, I get it.

I get it.

He's on the other side.

You You don't want to give him attention, blah blah blah.

But I'm going to talk about his persuasion game so that you can learn that.

Okay?

So, this is about learning persuasion.

It's not about me wanting Federman to be my next president or anything like that.

Just focus on the persuasion part.

You'll be fine.

So, I love the fact that he found his own lane, meaning that as soon as the president does something that you could sort of imagine a reasonable Democrat might be in favor of, and this would be obviously something a reasonable Democrat should be in favor of.

um then the press knows to go to him first.

Not only because he's good at the quotes that they can use because he he speaks in abbreviated nonword salad way maybe because of the um stroke maybe and maybe he was just always brief.

I don't know but he's he's good at being brief and that makes better quotes.

So he's carved out this little niche where he will always get attention um from I don't know maybe half of all topics they'll come to him first.

That is so good and persuasion wise if if you can camp out as the person they have to talk to first because everybody expects you to then you've accomplished the Trump first and most important play.

Remember in 2015 everybody said, "Well, you can't win just by getting the most attention." Can't you?

Maybe you can win by getting the most attention.

No, that's not enough.

You still have to have a lot going for you, but he solves for one of the problems that you got all these other politicians.

Maybe a lot of them would like to be president someday, but he's figured out how to make them come to him.

That's what Trump does.

he makes them come to him just by being more interesting and by doing something that's not the same freaking thing that everybody else is doing.

So in in terms of attentiongrabbing, A+.

So learn that lesson.

Learn that lesson.

But there's more.

Um here here's the bigger lesson.

Do you remember in uh the first term and really into the second election cycle uh the Democrats were all about Trump's bad personality?

It's like, oh, he says bad things about people.

Oh, our our allies will not trust us as much because he can't be trusted.

Oh, he told four gazillion bazillion 14 gazillion lies.

And it was all about his character and his personality.

When was the last time you saw the enemy press enemy to Trump?

Uh when was the last time they reported the number of lies he's told?

Did anybody notice they stopped doing that?

They just stopped.

What wasn't it the number one thing they reported all the time?

Well, he's got five more lies today and three were in this sentence and two were in this and they don't even bother factchecking him.

Do you know why they don't fact check them?

Because people got used to it.

Remember the Virginia Adams rule?

People can get used to anything if they do it long enough.

Anything.

So, I think the world just got used to Trump.

He was normalized.

And of course it only helps because you know he did a good job as president, you wouldn't want to normalize something that was bad.

But he's totally normalized.

So now when he says something like he he's dumping on Nancy Pelosi like earlier.

Can you imagine any other president doing that?

You can't.

But in the old days they would have said no other president would do that and therefore it was a mistake for him to do it.

Do they do that now?

No they don't.

Now they just say, "Uh, that's just what he does." So once you've normalized it, you have this superpower.

So Trump can simply say and do things that other people can't say and do because he got you used to it.

Fedman's doing the same thing.

I don't know how conscious this is, but what Fedman is doing is making the Democrats get used to the idea that he could agree with the rep Republicans.

The first 20 times he does it, they won't be used to it.

Maybe the first 50 times they won't be used to it.

But somewhere around the hundth time, you know, because you can repeat the same things over and over.

Somewhere around the hundth time, they're just going to want to think about something else and they'll just get used to it.

And then he'll be the only person who can do this and we be used to it.

That's when he becomes dangerous.

If we get used to this, meaning Democrats specifically, he's gonna have a little superpower there in persuasion.

And uh just watch that.

Here's another guy named John Shuchuk.

I think he's at Climate Craze.

Um, one of the things he does is he looks for um for data recording stations, temperature recording stations that are out of service but have not been reported as out of service.

So, so far he found his post on X 196 ghost stations where the NOA fabricates temperatures.

In other words, they just estimate the temperatures because the actual data doesn't exist.

Now, how comfortable do you feel if I tell you that 196 temperature stations are not even real?

And if you don't have the right data for temperature, then you have trillions of dollars that could be wasted because you had the wrong temperatures.

All right, I'm watching the comments to see if you know where I'm going on this.

Do you know where I'm going on this?

How many times have I told you?

You You're gonna be mad at yourself if you didn't get this one before I tell you.

What's it mean when they tell you the number without the percentage?

What's it mean if they tell you the percentage but not the raw number?

It means it's Now, I hate the fact that this guy's on my side because I think that the temperature measurements are probably pretty sketchy.

So I'm modified in general but if you're looking at it just as persuasion when somebody gives you a raw number without the without the what's the total number of now if I had to ask you how many do you think there are how many how many uh temperature measurements stations are there what do you think 196 were ghosts didn't exist but how many how many do exist in America it's over 10,000 in the world it's over 20,000 and already according to Grock I'm going to assume that's true um so that would be 1.85% of just the US um measurements if 1.85% 85% of the US measurements were interpolated, you know, just took an average of what was around it.

Would you get necessarily a terrible answer?

I don't know.

I don't know.

But it makes a big difference if you think 196 is a big number versus less than 2%.

And but the bigger problem is really there's 10,000 of these measurements in the US, but only 20,000 in the rest of the whole world.

I mean that would be another 10,000.

Does that mean that what happens in the US just sort of naturally counts for more and wouldn't that distort things?

So I just have a question mark about that.

All right.

So uh I don't want to criticize John because I do love his work.

Meaning that if he's really finding the number of uh ghost stations that could only be good.

I mean there's no downside to that.

So that's good work.

Appreciate it.

But just know that I'm teaching my audience that the raw number without the percentage, that's not good.

And vice versa.

I have to drink like like Trump did in that one video where we have to use both hands.

I also have to stay hydrated, get all the radiation out of me.

All right.

Um, here's something I taught you on persuasion, but I'm going to give you another example which should be helpful.

Um, I call it the category problem.

Have you heard me talk about this?

If you're trying to decide if something is true or false, you see something in the news.

The first filter I put on it is what I call the category problem.

Now, the category problem is that has the has something that sounds like this ever been true?

Not this, but things that sound like it.

For example, if you got an email that a Nigerian prince had this deal for you and was going to give you a bunch of money if you floated them a little money in advance, would you consider that likely to be true or likely to be false?

Well, the category is is false every time, but that doesn't mean there couldn't ever be a Nigerian prince, right?

Like maybe maybe they're all false until they're not.

No, it it's best to assume it's false because the category is just such a big red flag.

Here's another one.

If somebody says they have a universal cancer cure in the form of a pill and it already works on rats, are you going to get that cancer pill in a few years?

No, you're not.

No, because how many times has cancer been cured in the news but not in reality?

Thousands of times.

So that category I just like there was one in the news today exactly like that.

Oh, we got a cure for all cancers.

I didn't even post it because it's a category that's just never true.

Um, here's another one.

A pill that reverses aging.

If you if you see a story that the scientists have now come up with a pill that reverses aging, that's in the category of things that are never true.

I don't know anything about that particular pill, but the category never true.

And that brings us to my next story.

uh some scientists in China claim they've invented a pill that is uh gives you the same benefits of exercise in terms of your overall health.

You know, exercise is good for you in all the different ways, but they allege they've created a pill that would give you the same benefits of exercise.

You still have to exercise if you want bigger muscles.

It doesn't give you muscles.

So, just to be clear, it doesn't make your muscles bigger.

It gives you just some of the health benefits that exercise would give you.

Do you believe that's true?

Category problem.

It's a big category problem.

No, I don't believe it's true.

I do not believe that as soon as they're done testing on the rats, you know, in say 3 years or whatever, that they're going to have a pill that makes you young again or makes you feel healthier again in all the ways that youth does.

I doubt it.

Well, the other big question, uh, oh, and then Priscilla Chan and Mark Zuckerberg are, believe it or not, they're on the A16Z podcast, which I haven't seen yet, but I imagine is an amazing podcast because that would be amazing people involved.

Um, so I guess, uh, Mark Zuckerberg and his wife Priscilla Chan were on, Dr.

Priscilla Chan and uh they've created this initiative where they're trying to basically cure and prevent and manage all disease by the end of the century.

All disease um by the end of the century.

Well, that'll take some work.

Anyway, uh do you think that they will cure all disease by the end of the century?

I don't know, but I'm in favor of them trying.

Sure.

That you know, I always say that's the beauty of the American billionaires.

If you're an American billionaire, you have a lot of pressure to invest in things that could be big, you know, benefits to the world, but the the government isn't on it for some reason.

I mean, I would feel that if I were a billionaire.

So, that's the good thing our billionaires can do.

James Carville said that he would quote bet a lot of money that Democrats will win in 2028 to get the presidency and the um and the house and that they would pack the Supreme Court to 13 people so they could control it.

Uh he says at first they would do the normal bureaucracy thing where they would just have some committee and the committee would come back and say, "Oh yes, the fairest best thing we could do is 13 people on the Supreme Court." And then he says they'll definitely do it.

And he says the def the Democrats will definitely win the presidency in 2028.

What do I say in response to that?

the Democrat will definitely win the presidency in 2028.

Now, we're hearing also from a lot of pro MAGA people.

Um, I think I saw Mike Cernovich say something on this this topic on X that uh we don't really have a Republican party that's strong.

There's a there's a MAGA faction that's strong, but even the MAGA faction is empty without Trump.

So that it's really just a Trump party and if he leaves that we don't really have anybody who could win.

Is that true?

Do you think JD couldn't win?

Um, a lot of people act like he's the obvious choice.

I've also acted like he's the obvious choice, but that doesn't mean he'll be the choice.

It just means he's the obvious one from this point of view at this time, etc.

And his skills are impressive.

his his skill stacks impressive.

He's not Trump though, right?

And so what I say to uh James Garville is challenge accepted.

I believe that a Republican can win in 2028, but that we have not necessarily identified that Republican.

Not necessarily.

Um but they would need some persuasion training, which I believe none of them have.

I'd be happy to give it to them if they need it.

Uh but trained properly in persuasion, uh I think a Republican who is at least Trumpy enough in in policies could win, but it would take tremendous skill.

It would take a lot of skill.

I do believe that Vance is somebody who could pick up a talent sack, you know, in an hour.

Like that's that's the kind of intelligence we're talking about.

Somebody who could learn a whole thing in an hour.

like a complicated thing and if they play it right, they can win this.

But they don't have anybody, in my opinion, they probably don't have anybody who's the right person with the right training right now.

Like if they if they had the election today, I don't think a Republican would win.

But could they win in 2028 with the right positioning, etc.?

It's doable.

It's doable, but it's going to be hard.

Like really hard, but doable.

Here's the weirdest part about 2028.

The weirdest part is if Trump solves too many problems during his term, and he's on the verge of doing that, there won't be enough problems left to solve for a potential Republican.

If the reason you voted for Trump is because of the border and it's just solved, why would you vote for the other Republican?

You need another reason.

The border was a real good reason because that was just so scary and so big and it it just had so much impact on everything.

But what's the thing after that?

Unfortunately, it's affordability and the and the Democrats are owning affordability at the moment.

So, uh, there's going to have to be some problems that Trump doesn't solve just so the the next Republican candidate has something to talk about, they're running out of things to talk about, right?

I mean, if it turns out that, you know, 3 years from now, everybody smart agrees that tariffs were a tremendous idea and they brought in money and it didn't break too many things.

Well, then whoever the Republican is will just keep doing it.

But it's not like a winning strategy or anything.

So you got to find that thing that everybody understands needs to be solved.

And unfortunately, I would hate to say that the only thing left to solve would be the debt because I don't know what the hell you do about that.

Anyway, maybe it's the tariffs to solve the debt.

So, but John Stewart, every I think we're at the phase where everybody's worried about their own team.

uh John Stewart said that Democrats are still a mess uh after the last election and he says, "I truly believe they're a mess." And then he said, I tried to uh capture the essence of this quote.

I might have missed a word.

He said, "There's an underlying energy in the c in the country that none of us could have imagined and that needs to be channeled." None of us could have imagined.

Uh, I'm pretty sure every Republican imagined it.

That's why Trump's the president.

The Republicans were totally imagining it.

They didn't have to imagine it.

They felt it.

They were in it.

They were part of it.

But, so I guess he's talking about Democrats had no idea what the country is really like.

Now, I love John Stewart as an entertainer and I think he adds a lot even to the political process despite being a entertainer first.

But he never is.

He looks like a guy who's never had like a regular job, has he?

Cuz there's some things he's just sort of missing that feel like you would not be missing if you had a regular job with co-workers and stuff, you know?

Maybe maybe being around normal people.

The the the people who work in comedy, I think, hang around with people in comedy more than anything else.

Anyway, so when he says there's an underlying energy in the country that none of us could imagine needs to be channeled, to me that's just a a word salad way of saying your policies are bad.

If the Democrats had better policies, you don't think they would own everything.

I think they'd be in charge.

They just need better ideas.

So every time they think it's not that their candidates are bad and their policies are bad, they're just lost.

They're going to have to say, "Our policies are bad.

Our candidates are bad.

Get a better candidate.

Do something." Anyway, apparently, every state has now applied for the $50 billion or a piece of the $50 billion rural health fund, which was approved in the big beautiful bill.

The Hill is writing about this, Nate Wakesel.

So, I guess they all had to apply for their part, but they all have done it, so that's good.

And that's the money that would transform rural health so that uh so that they can get health care to poor people in rural places that don't have I guess it's people who don't have healthcare.

Um so each state has to say how they're going to use the money and get it approved.

Um and that was the backs stop against whatever is going to happen.

Now, if JD or any other future Republican could figure out a real workable plan that would either make food substantially cheaper or or make healthcare substantially cheaper, I don't think Trump's going to solve those.

I think he'll take a bite out of them.

Um, you know, I think he'll do he'll do what's doable, but there's always going to be something left over that's not doable easily.

So, so getting everybody healthare I think is worth doing some way, but there's got to be a Republican way to do that or I'll call it a let's say an independent way to do it.

Um I don't want to do it just by giving more money to people who can pay double for Obamacare.

There's got to be some just fundamental reworking of how we do stuff.

And then maybe AI.

I I've always always thought that the government should offer the Let me let me run this idea by you.

I don't know if I've ever mentioned this before, but I always had the idea that maybe everybody could have what they want, which is what if the people who want to be socialists and want to get cheap food and all that, what if the government gave it to them and said, "All right, you guys, you guys are going to live the the socialist path." um and the rest of you will pay as you go, but you won't have to pay for the socialist somehow.

Is there any way that you could have the the socialist plan work somewhere where if you really really wanted that to be your life, you could go to, you know, let's say some part of some state and you can move there and say, "Look, you could have everything you you asked for.

We don't know if that'll be good for you, but you're adults.

You get you get to pick.

So if you live here, you get to have a, you know, a community garden and you'll share some food and maybe you won't have a car for everybody and maybe you don't mind they have to walk everywhere, right?

But it it seems like there's some way you could carve out the people who aren't going to get healthcare under a current costly system or even enough food under a costly system and just put them in their own little bucket with fewer choices.

So I think they'd be okay if they had fewer choices if the alternative is not having anything.

Yeah.

Anyway, um an appeals court is going to let Trump revive his bid to overturn criminal convictions in that hush money case.

The hush money case or 34 34 uh convictions on that.

Um so just the news is writing about this.

So the second circuit court uh are going to let him keep going on that.

So we'll see if that ever gets overturned.

It was a three judge panel.

Uh and the three judge panel said that the court had bypassed what we consider to be important issues bearing on the ultimate issue of good cause.

Uh so that they did not rule on whether Trump is guilty or innocent.

They just ruled on they ruled on ruling basically.

Um here's a funny comment from somebody on Twitchy Doug P.

He notes that Mam Dami is asking people to send him money so that they could get free stuff in return, which is a funny way to frame it.

And it's exactly right.

So the candidate who's promising you free stuff can't give you free stuff until you give him money.

Wait, that's not free.

Well, I guess you don't you don't have to personally give him money, but unless a lot of people give him money, he won't be able to give you money back.

Now, I guess the promise is if you give him enough money and then he gets elected, which he did, uh, he would help you get some money back.

So, basically, it's just a money laundering operation that he's he's disguised as a candidacy.

That's what it looks like.

Anyway, that's what's happening there.

Um and then uh Fox News is reporting that uh the reason the Democrats won big on those three big elections recently is that they focus on domestic economic policy.

Emma Busy's writing this on Fox News.

Do you think that's it?

Do you think it's because they focus on domestic stuff as opposed to international stuff?

I don't know.

I didn't really see that happening.

I don't remember anybody bringing up Oh, maybe they did if you're talking about specifically Israel.

Yeah, I'll withdraw my comment.

Yeah, it did turn into a lot of Israel talk when it could have been a lot more about affordability.

Now, when I was praising U mom Donniey's communication skills about the word affordability, somebody pushed back on me on X and said, "Scott, politicians have been promising affordability since the beginning of time.

Why is that so new?" To which I said, "Really?

Which politician was using the word affordability?

Can you think of one?

Can anybody think of one who used the word not the concept?

I'm talking about the word affordability.

I don't remember anybody doing that.

They may have used it in a sentence once, but it was never a key part of any platform that I'm aware of.

And so the my critic after I said I'm not aware of anybody use it.

um said he did a search and he put affordability in quotes and asked if anybody had pushed affordability in quotes as a politician.

And guess what?

It turns out that if you put it in quotes, people have done it.

But that's not the same thing.

I'm talking about the actual choice of the specific word affordability.

It doesn't count if you were talking about lowering costs.

You had to use the actual word.

I don't remember anybody doing it.

I saw some people saying Kemp and Clinton, but I was alive then.

I don't remember that.

Don't remember it at all.

All right.

There's a study, University of British Columbia, Tom Leslie, is writing about this that uh if you talk with your hands, there's a way to do it that makes you more persuasive.

But it's not just moving your hands randomly.

So, I have trouble lifting my arm now.

But if you were just going blah blah blah randomly with your hands, that doesn't add anything.

But if you use your hands to tell the story, apparently that registers quite uh strongly as making you more persuasive.

So the example they use is if you caught a fish and you're telling the story, it helps to, you know, use your hands to show the size of the fish because then it becomes like a visual slashverbal story.

So just asked me, Scott, if you use your hands to make the story more visual, will it be more persuasive?

Yes.

I've been teaching you for years that visual beats purely audio.

If you add the two of them together, it's better than either one.

Either one by themselves.

Japan's going to team up with the US to mine some rare earth in the Pacific.

So Bloomberg is reporting this.

That seems good.

They're going to go into that rare earth rich mud that's 6,000 feet down.

I don't know how much work the US is doing on that, but I'm pretty happy how the administration is capitalizing on our on our allies, which might be leaning on them.

We might be leaning on them a little bit, but they need the rare earth, too.

So, if us plus them can get us, you know, both more rare earth, win-win.

And I don't think there was a better way to do it.

Don't think there was a better way to do it.

But here, let let me give you an instant prediction that I've never made before because I never thought about it until right now.

If the biggest problem in the world turns out to be not enough rare earth minerals, how long will it be before Elon Musk looks at all of his assets and says, "You know, robots could dig a lot of rare earth materials." you know, the electric cars could carry them away.

And now he's introducing the electric uh the all electric big trucks, the big rigs.

So, he can transport it.

He can dig it.

He can dig it.

I don't know if they need satellites to locate it, but he's got those.

Uh, and he would be the best engineer to figure out how to do it safely.

Maybe just with robots.

So, my prediction is this.

If we don't get on top of this problem soon, I think there would be pressure on Elon to solve it because people would say, "We're pretty sure nobody else could solve this.

It would just be capability.

He'd be able to do it.

Maybe nobody else could.

They would just ask him ask him to step in.

Could happen." And let's see.

Um, as you know, the Colombian is reporting, Kelly Livingston, that the Department of Energy wants to quadruple our nuclear power uh over the next 25 years, but that would require tripling our workforce that that are trained in nuclear stuff.

We are very underkilled for nuclear compared to how much we want to build it out.

So, does that seem un that that seems solvable?

I think if you took a bunch of engineers or engineering students, you said you got you got three or four years to learn nuclear, they'd be in pretty good shape after three or four years.

So, as long as we're producing them at the source and that enough people are signing up for those majors, we'll be fine.

Oh, here's some good news.

Kazakhstan is joining the Abraham Accords.

Kazakhstan.

Now, a lot of you are waiting for this.

A lot of people have said to me, you know, I like those Abraham Accords, but where's Kazakhstan?

Why is Kazakhstan so silent over this?

Well, Albonia is also silent.

We have heard nothing about Albonia, but Kazakhstan, they're in.

Maybe there'll be more later.

We'll see.

All right, people.

People, that's my one-handed show.

No, not what you think.

But it took me a little longer to uh get it all done today because I'm literally using one hand.

We're hoping that some of the achievements will fix the other hand.

But I don't know.

Maybe, maybe.

Yes.

I might be done drawing because I can't draw with my left hand.

And at the moment, I'm pretty sure I can't draw with my left hand, but I'll try it today just to see.

So, I might be retiring today or I might be taking a month off to see if I can get my uh muscles back, but I'm going to have to work this out.

So, we'll work it out together one way or the other.

I I could always sketch it more generally and then have my art director finish it.

Uh so, there's always a plan.

It won't it won't necessarily mean there's less Dilbert.

It might mean there's less of my artwork that goes into the first draft.

Probably.

Probably.

You and you already know that I switched from right-handed to left-handed to draw because I burned out my right hand just from regular drawing.

Uh yeah.

Well, you know, nothing's perfect.

Nothing's perfect.

Everybody's got a problem.

All right.

I'm going to say a few words privately to the locals subscribers.

If I can get my one defective hand to click the right place.

Let me get this hand off.

One hand doesn't lift up and the other hand is too weak.

All right.

So everybody else, I'll see you I hope tomorrow.

I hope you got something out of the lessons.

Man, I wish I could find my cursor.

There it is.

And uh we're going to go privately with the local supporters in 30 seconds.

Good morning.

How about some lights?

Turn on some lights for you. Oh, my hand

barely works. Oh, come on. Hand. There

you go.

Has anybody checked the stocks today?

Stocks. Okay.

Let me check and see if it's a smile or

a grimace.

Continue.

Smile or grimace.

It's a grimace.

What did Tesla do after the big

announcement?

Wonder if these are old. Is this

yesterday's numbers?

I don't see how Tesla could have gone

down after yesterday.

Did it? Looks like it's just wrong.

Maybe that's not updated.

Yeah. All right, we'll wait and see.

Good morning everybody and welcome to

the highlight of human civilization.

It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and

you've never had a better time. But if

you'd like to take chance on elevating

your experience to levels that nobody

can even understand with her tiny shiny

human brains,

all you need for that is a copper mug or

a glass of tanker shellstein canteen

jugger flask a vessel of any kind. Fill

it with your favorite liquid. I like

coffee. And join me now for the

unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit

of the day. The thing that makes

everything better. It's called the

simultaneous sip. It happens now. Go.

All right. Let me make sure I can see

your local comments

special.

It would be right over here.

[clears throat] If you don't mind, I'm a

little slow and getting a little less

done because I'm literally working with

one hand

today. One hand and half a brain.

Uh, there you are. Comments are working.

Everything's looking good. Looking good.

Hey,

do you know what day today is? Does

anybody know what day today is? It's the

day you find out that the Dilbert

calendar is available and for sale for

those few of you who have not already

scooped it up. I see a lot of you are

being smart and acting fast. I swear to

God the next thing I say is actually

literally true and not just the ordinary

marketing thing that people say all the

time in this situation. We probably

didn't make enough of them. [laughter]

So, if you're thinking to yourself, and

by the way, we did that intentionally

because I have to pay for them advance

because it's a American it's an American

situation and we worked on a deal where

I would make sure that they uh would

limit any risk on their side, which

seemed fair because my precarious

situation. Um,

so I've already paid for the calendars

to be printed, but I didn't want to

print, you know, three times more than

people might want. So, we're a little

bit underprinted, we think, but we don't

know, right? It's hard to hard to

anticipate, but I wouldn't wait is what

I'm saying. If if you thought you wanted

one, waiting would be a bad strategy.

Sooner is better. All right. And as you

know, I like to start the show while

people are streaming in with a reframe

from my book that's been out for a

while, but it's the newest one. Reframe

your brain. Changing lives every day.

Let's see. I'm going to change

somebody's life today with a new

reframe.

If you're new to this, a reframe doesn't

require any work on your part. You just

have to hear it. And if it's a good one,

and if it applies to you, uh, the

hypnosis will kick in. It's not really

hypnosis. It's just persuasive.

All right, here's one. Uh, death is a

tragedy, and I need to feel bad about

it. Do any of you have an issue about

maybe you lost a loved one and you feel

obligated to feel bad about it?

Not just obligated, but you feel bad

about it. Well, death is a tragedy and

uh it's there's nothing wrong with

feeling bad about it, but you don't want

to do it forever. Here's the reframe.

The person who's deceased has no more

problems. How did I make this about me?

How do you make it about yourself?

This is literally only about the

deceased person and their problems just

ended. So as soon as you make it not

about yourself,

you can get by it a lot easier, right?

You you've solved all the problems for

the deceased. They have nothing else to

worry about. Their work is done. And if

the reason you feel bad is because they

were so good in this world or you love

them so much, well then your work is

really done because you have the right

feeling about them and they did the

right things and that was great and

nothing lasts forever. How about here's

another one on the same topic. So you've

got two to work with on death. Um, one

is that, and this, by the way, I've I've

used this one before, um, with with the

public, I mean, and some people have

reported back that this completely

changes their their reaction to a death

of somebody that they cared about. All

right, listen to this one. So, the usual

frame is that death is a tragedy. Duh.

Of course, death is a tragedy. But that

leaves you in that tragedy hole if

that's how you're seeing it. If it's

only a tragedy,

that's pretty bad. it's going to last.

But here's a way to reframe it. It's not

more true or less true. It's just useful

to frame it this way. Remember, it's not

about truth. It's about how you manage

your brain. And you can create new

circuitry by just thinking about one

thing more than another. That's all it

takes. And that will make that circuit a

little stronger. So instead of saying

death is a tragedy,

the reframing is it is an honor to help

another person pass.

I don't think there's a bigger honor

than that. You know, if you've watched

family members, if you you've been part

of it, who were an integral part of

letting somebody pass to the next phase

of their existence, whatever that is,

that is the biggest honor you can have.

And everybody's going to, you know,

everybody's going to die. So, there's

nothing you can do about it sometimes.

So, it's not always a tragedy explicit.

Well, it's not only it's not necessarily

a tragedy only.

It is a tremendous honor that you get to

be the person who's there on the final

voyage.

That will help you a lot and everybody

dies.

All right. I wonder if there's any

science that they didn't need to do

because they could have just asked

Scott. Oh, here's some in Cypost. Karina

Petrova is writing that uh there's a new

statistical model that successfully

sorted people into their uh political

group based on their use of X. So

apparently you can feed just the raw

posts from X and AI will figure out not

only are they Republican or Democrat

but uh it'll figure out sort of where

they fit even within those worlds.

Now, did they really need to do that

study?

Do you think I couldn't look at a

politician's posts and and guess where

they fit in the political world? Did I

really need AI to do that? No. They

should have just asked me. You know,

maybe Federman would have confused me,

but the AI didn't get them all right. I

think AI only gets 75% of them right. To

which I say, I'm not really impressed by

75%.

I'm pretty sure I could have hit 90

without without breaking a sweat. So

could you. Next time, just ask me.

Well, there's a new bill being floated.

We don't know how it'll do, but uh it's

called the uh the US Senate is looking

at a bill called the No Coffee Tax Act.

The No Coffee Tax Act. Now, as uh Owen

Gregorian pointed out on X, that is a

really bad naming convention because the

first part of it is no coffee.

I I don't want to vote for anything that

has the words no coffee in it. I don't

even care that after it it says no

coffee right now, but I'll give you a

million dollars if you drink coffee in

one minute. I'd still be a little put

off by the no coffee. You know what I

mean? So, here's your persuasion

lesson of the day. There's going to be

some more. We've got some more

persuasion coming up if you like that

stuff. Uh, don't don't name your thing

the opposite of what it is. The whole

point of this is that we get more

coffee. Coffee. Sorry, you're making me

say coffee in my New York accent. I

didn't mean to slip into it, but

sometimes.

Coffee. How do you people say it?

Coffee. Coffee.

Coffee.

Well, I'm gonna stick with coffee for

now. Um,

so what it really is is I guess uh Rand

Paul is behind this and I did not know

this, but uh coffee in particular.

Coffee.

Stop mocking me for the way I say it.

You're mocking me at home. I can hear

you mocking me from home.

Stop it at Now you're talking to your

dog saying, "Look at this guy. Can't

even say coffee." coffee. All right. Um

Nick Brown from Daily Coffee News is

reporting this. Nick [clears throat]

Brown from Daily Coffee News. What a

name. All right. Um the idea is that

apparently there's big tariffs on coffee

from Brazil in particular, which is the

biggest impact on us. So the tariffs are

as high as 50%.

And that's enough to basically just, you

know, destroy Starbucks. I don't know if

it will, but that's bad enough. So, it's

a big impact on our economy and on our

people and on our budgets.

And [clears throat] tariffs, you know,

you could call a tariff a tax. Rand Paul

does apparently. And I wouldn't argue

with that. It's a form of a tax. It's

just not a normal one. Uh has some

advantages that taxes don't have,

meaning that you can use them to

negotiate with other entities. Taxes

don't usually have that. But, uh,

apparently they tried to get it through

the no the no tax part. They tried to

get that through with a procedure that

if you have unanimous consent, meaning

that there's not even one person who

says no to it, you can just kind of get

it through without all the trouble.

So they tried that and there was exactly

one person.

So there's a video of the session that

shows that one person, his name is he's

a Republican from Idaho and his name is

Senator Mike Crao.

C R A P O. So Mr. Crapo uh said no. So

that's sent it back to I guess whatever

process the full Senate has to follow

which is going to take forever and your

coffee will still cost too much. So

thanks for nothing. Crapo.

Crapo.

Crapo.

That would be better than Khan.

If I were writing the that Star Trek,

remember the Star Trek movie where

Captain Kirk is being thwarted by Khan?

K h an K h an Khan. And there's that

famous thing where the bad actor,

the the bad actor playing Captain Kirk,

uh, goes, "Ch, con. Wouldn't that be

better if he was fighting crapo crapo?"

All right, that's just me. Well, there's

a big Tesla event. I think it's the big

annual event. Uh, and boy, was there

news. Ow,

plenty of news. Where do we start?

Uh, let's see the

So, apparently there there's a video of

a hand, a robot hand that for Optimus

that looks like so amazing you can't

believe that they got hands that good.

So, somebody I think it was Mario posted

the uh video of the hand and uh Elon

said that's version two. Version three

is way better. [laughter]

If version three robot hand is better

than the version two that I saw, that's

going to be a big good hand. And I heard

uh Elon talking about it, the hands, and

they would be better surgeons than

people very soon. Maybe in a year,

there'll be better surgeons than people.

And uh there'll be better dexterity than

people with hands. You know, you always

thought that, oh, maybe they can see

better or hear better or remember

better, but their hands will never be as

good. Well, apparently we're right at

that crossover point. So, you were born

in the age when robots became more

capable more capable than people. What

are the odds of that?

Is that doesn't that feel like a

simulation to you? Like, what are the

odds?

No, I didn't skip the sip. You missed

the sip. Don't blame me for skipping the

sip. Sometimes I skip the sip, but I did

not skip it today. You're the skipper. I

call you the skipper, not me, skipper.

All right. Uh, lots of other Tesla news.

Uh, Elon says that Tesla is already the

biggest robot company in the world in

part because their cars are all robots.

They're just robots with wheels. I

accept that definition. They are the

biggest robot company. Oh, I should tell

you I have I do own some not a lot, but

I own a Tesla stock. So, anything I say

about Tesla, you should put under the

umbrella of that guy likes that stock.

It might go up. So, maybe he's trying to

drive up the stock. Do not do anything

that I do financially. I do not give

good financial advice. You should not

follow my advice.

>> [clears throat]

>> If I thought my advice was better than

other people financially, I'd tell you.

I'm not shy. I'd tell you if it was

better. It just isn't.

Um anyway, here are the shocking things.

Uh that Elon believes that uh they're

not going to have a way to get enough

chips to do all the stuff, you know,

their robots and cars and stuff that

they need, and they might have to make

their own. So, they're thinking about

building a quote gigantic chip factory.

What does gigantic mean in Elon's world?

Because every time he does something,

it's so big you can't even hold it in

your head. Gigantic. And I think you

said something about working with Intel.

But it would make more sense to buy

them, wouldn't it? Wouldn't it make more

sense for Tesla just to buy

a chip company? Then the part I wonder

about is that um would we have the right

skills in the United States to make the

right kind of chips when no other

country knows how to do it except you

know Taiwan if Taiwan's the only place

that knows how to make these chips? Are

they going to help Tesla?

Like why would they instead of just

selling them the chips?

So, I don't know where that goes, but I

do trust that Elon's probably one of the

few people in the world that could solve

the not enough AI chips problem.

Elon also says the entire Earth can be

powered by sustainable energy with tech

that exists today. And then he talked

about the megapac battery storage

plants. You know, whatever whenever

anybody says, "Uh, Scott, you fool.

You're so behind the times when you

don't understand that no matter how much

solar power you have, Scott, did you

know, and I know Scott, you look like an

idiot, so you probably didn't know this,

but I'll talk slowly so you understand,

Scott, the sun is not out at night.

Okay, I'm done, you fool. Like, how

could you think this solar power is

going to power the whole world when the

sun isn't even down at night? You idiot.

You fool. Get out of my house. That's

what they usually say to me.

But did you know there are things called

batteries?

Batteries.

B A T E R I E S. Batteries. It's a word

you should learn. And apparently what

they'll do is they will store energy.

they'll actually store that energy all

night long if you want if you got a big

enough mega factory. So these mega

packac megaactories

um are a big part of the structure but

also th those might be as much you know

for Tesla's own use. They they will need

these big factories for their own AI

powering. But did you know that if you

add in the Tesla power walls, those

would be the big batteries that you

could add to your private home, that

they're also worked. I guess that's just

part of it. So you could store things in

your home battery and if you stored more

than you wanted to use, you could donate

that to the network if it were set to do

that. Uh, I don't think it's quite set

up to do exactly this, but couple of

buttons and it's ready to go. Uh, so

they can work together. There's already

a million power walls installed. A

million.

He thinks big. All right. So, they can

work together as a virtual power plant.

And uh, Elon also talked about the age

of uh, permanent abundance. I don't know

if he used those words, but that's what

I meant. And he thinks that robots will

basically provide all of our goods and

services at what will approach zero cost

over time

and everybody will have everything. So

poverty will be eliminated. Uh everybody

will have enough food because the robots

will just be out there tilling the

fields as robots do and making us food.

And eventually he wants to get the cost

of a robot down to 20,000.

Um, and here's what's interesting about

this.

In order for a lot of uh Elon's

predictions to come right, you know,

things about robots and things about

power and things about cars and stuff

and even things about interplanetary

travel. In order for all of that stuff

to work, or even any of it to work, he

would have to understand human

motivation

and how people think and how they act

and what they care about. Now, how does

that fit

with the common assumption that he's

asberers or we don't use anymore uh on

the spectrum?

This is this is what confuses me. How

can you be on the spectrum and also be

really good at humor, which he is,

um and really good at figuring out human

motivation,

which he is. Those are pretty much as

close as you can get to the opposite of

being on the spectrum. Or does he

compensate,

not for the humor part, that's got to be

natural, but does he compensate for

um being different than other people by

just learning how they think and just

studying them like you study a maze and

then you know how to get out of the

maze. It's not your maze, you just

studied it. So, I'm fascinated by that.

You know, I've never I've never talked

to him in person. It'll probably take me

five minutes to figure out what's going

on in person, but I only hear good

things. I only hear good things. So,

this is amazing. Anyway, um but what I

thought about while I was reading all

these things that he's introducing to

the world that he might be the first

human being who could legitimately

satisfy the political left and the

political right.

Now, he can't run for president because

he wasn't born here, but [clears throat]

he's really the only one because somehow

he made most of the people on the right

appreciate him because he helped Trump

get elected. But then he also left under

tremendous pressure by the left and but

what he left too was this highly

successful company that looks like it

will solve the left's biggest concern,

climate. Now, even if you say, "But

climate is not a crisis, whatever," it's

nonetheless true that he's doing exactly

what the left would want somebody to do,

which is build a bunch of electric solar

plants and batteries and electric cars.

Now, in the short run, you might argue,

"But but but Scott, don't you know that

they use more fossil fuels and regular

fuels to build that stuff than they

save?" I don't even know if that's true,

but I do know that in the long run, you

would get rid of those other sources and

you could use the sun and then then

everything that Elon's trying to do

would come true. The left would be

delighted even if there's no climate

crisis. They'd be happy about it. And

the right would be happy because they

like his his general work hard, build

things, America first. I mean, he's very

he's very on point for the right. At the

same time, he's very on point for the

left. Name one other person in the world

who is this perfectly suited for both

the left and the right. Now, again, I

don't think he's going to write for he's

not going to run for office. That'd be

crazy. U if he did. Uh even, you know,

he's not going to run for senator. That

would be too small. And presidents out

in preach because of the constitution.

But boy, do I like him being involved

just in general. I guess his trillion

dollar incentive package got approved by

shareholders with a 75% vote. That means

25% thought it wasn't a good idea to

have him properly incentivized.

25% [clears throat]

thought it was a bad idea to give the

most productive person in the history of

the planet a little extra if and if if

he does a lot extra. A lot extra. You

should see the terms of the deal for him

to get a trillion dollars. Do you have

any idea why he would have to accomplish

to get that? Like we act like that's

just going to automatically happen or

something? No. You don't you don't

automatically just go to work and then

one day somebody gives you a trillion

dollars. First of all, let me teach you

about how the news works.

years ago when Dilbert was newish and

we're trying to get attention. Uh, I got

a multi-book book deal with a big

publisher which we reported as a $25

million book deal. Do you think I got

$25 million from a book deal?

We told everybody it was a $25 million

book deal. So, wouldn't you think that

I, as the author would get $25 million?

Nope. [laughter]

Nothing like that. Nothing like that.

That was the biggest number that the

publisher would pay under the most

optimistic uh assumptions for for I

think five books. So, first of all, it

was five books. So, it' be 5 million a

piece. Second of all, I shared 50% of

what I made from Dilbert Books with my

publisher, I'm sorry, with my syndicate.

And then I shared what's left

with [clears throat] the publisher.

And then I paid taxes.

Do you know how much was left from the

25 billion? I don't know. Might have

been five. You know, maybe over the

entire length of time. Might have been

five, something like that.

So when you say that somebody's got a

trillion dollar uh pay package, the

thing you should first ask is over how

many years, the answer is 10.

So a trillion dollars over 10 years

is a hundred billion a year. Seems like

he's worth it. But here's what he would

have to deliver. He Tesla would have to

go to $ 8.5 trillion market cap and it's

only at 1.4 today. Now it's in 10 years.

Could you get there? That would be a

466%

increase from today.

Do do you think he can do that? I I

think you probably can, but it's not

guaranteed. That's for sure. So, the

first thing you need to know is you

can't you can't treat a trillion dollars

that you might get the same as a

trillion dollars you're definitely going

to get. And you can't treat money that's

going to be spread over 10 years like

it's money that you're getting today.

First of all, you know, the uh the value

of money declines over time, etc. A lot

of things could happen. We don't even

know if people have automobiles in 10

years. He's got to he's got to deliver

20 million vehicles cumulative. I think

that means since the beginning of Tesla.

Uh he's got to deliver a million Optimus

robots, humanoid robots sold. They

actually have to be sold. A million a

million robo taxis taxis in operation

and 10 million full self-driving

subscriptions. Now, what we don't know

is if he gets a portion of the trillion,

if he gets a portion of these, but not

all of them.

Uh, that's a big deal. I mean, if if he

really doesn't get anything,

unless he gets all of them, I don't

think he would agree to that deal, but

it's impressive.

And if successful, he would become the

world's first trillionaire. No, he

wouldn't. [laughter]

Th [clears throat] this is I I think

this is just people who don't know how

deals work. Nobody's ever going to give

him a trillion dollars. There's no check

for a trillion dollars. It's over 10

years. And I don't know if there's any

sub payments in the 10 years or if he

has to wait the whole 10 years. But uh

even when it's paid, remember

some of it goes to taxes.

Nobody's going to get a check for a

trillion dollars. All right.

Uh, but how many of his products that

he's working on now could become the

biggest in that category forever?

All right, here are just a few things.

If Elon starts making chips and he's the

best at manufacturing things that people

didn't know how to manufacture, and

chips are mostly a challenge of how do

you manufacture them? They're just hard

to make. So, he would be the best person

who could ever take on that challenge.

So, what if he makes the biggest chip

company? Totally possible. Even if the

only person who buys them is his own

company, you'd still be the biggest chip

maker. Uh, what about his power stuff?

Could he be the biggest in the world?

What about his AI? Could it be the

biggest in the world? What about his

robots and his cars? Could he be the

biggest in the world? Yep, he's worth a

trillion. Well, as you know, Nancy

Pelosi has announced a retirement.

And uh

I wonder what Trump said about that.

Now, you might know that it was only

recently that uh Pelosi said some

terrible things about Trump. Just

terrible things. He was stealing your

democracy and he's the worst I think he

says she said something like he's the

worst person in the world because he's

not just bad but he's the president so

he has power plus he's bad so he's the

worst person in the world. The worst

person in the world. Um, so Trump pays

her back because he's uh in the press

conference there. Somebody asked her

about retirement and uh he made sure

that he uh thought this through and gave

them a gave them a quote which would

guarantee that it dominated the news.

Did it? Yes, I did. [laughter] Here's

his quote about Nancy Pelosi. I think

she's an evil woman. I'm glad she's

retiring. I think she did the country a

great service by retiring now. Trump

about Nancy Pelosi. Oh yeah. Okay. I'm

just repeating the same thing. The

dictation services are

are funny. So I my one hand is too

paralyzed now to to type. So I've been

using voice dictation. And I found out

that if you want to do the word country,

c o u n t r y,

uh I won't even tell you what it what it

wrote down. It was so naughty. Very

naughty. Well, the Supreme Court made a

decision that uh if you have a passport,

you can only list yourself as male or

female. there will be no um inbetweens

or no trans, no anything but male or

female.

Now, I have mixed feelings about that

honestly. Um for adults, and we're only

going to talk about adults. We're not

talking about children. Children should

not be, you know, I I have the same

opinion you do, but um most of you

anyway. But for adults, I do think that

adults should be able to run their own

life. And if they want to be trans,

I'm okay with that. Why wouldn't I be?

It's not my life, you know? And if it

doesn't bother me, yeah, just do

whatever you need to do. If you're an

adult and it's not, you know, scaring

the horses or something, go ahead. So,

I'm protrans in the freedom sense.

Everybody should have the freedom to do

what they do that they need to do

because they need to do it. And it's

none of my business if it doesn't bother

me. And it doesn't.

So I do wonder about the tradeoff

because if somebody shows up in their

trans identity,

uh wouldn't that be harder for the

passport people to sort that out?

So aren't we trying to make sure that

it's easier faster?

easier or faster would be um I'm trans.

And then [clears throat] the person

looks at him, they go, "Oh, okay. You do

look maybe they do look a little bit

male. Maybe they got an Adam's apple or

something. I'm no expert on any of this

stuff." Uh and then that would perfectly

explain why they were looking one way

but listed as another way. Wouldn't that

be safer? If if the only thing you care

about is how safe you are,

wouldn't you be safer if they listen to

themselves the way they look, so you

could know exactly what's going on

there?

No. All right. So, I'm a little bit

mixed on this one. I I think I could be

persuaded in either direction, but

that's what happened. So, I guess it's a

done deal for now.

Um, did you see the video of Trump was

[clears throat] announcing that uh they

they made a tremendous success in

lowering the cost of these weight loss

drugs? So,

um, who is involved?

Uh, it's less it's less about the

pharma, but there were a few pharma

companies that got together and vastly

lowered their cost for the weight loss

drug from something like $1,000 to

something like a hundred something. So,

a gigantic decrease in probably the most

important thing. Now, the the news part

of it is that Trump is delivering on at

least lowering the cost of some

important drugs. But here's the part you

might have missed. When uh RFK Jr. was

talking about it, he get he had his

moment to talk there at the Oval Office

with all the executives assembled. And

we'll talk about the the the guy who

passed out, but uh RFK Jr. is explaining

to us um what a big lever this is

because something like half of all of

our health care costs are driven by

obesity and we could practically

eliminate it with these drugs if they

were affordable and and Trump just made

them affordable for a lot more people

not everybody of course but we'll have

to figure out a way that everybody can

get them but this goes a long way goes a

long way to lowering your health care

costs because it lowers them two ways

it's not just immediately lowering them

because you wanted to take the fat drug,

but you know, you couldn't afford it,

but now you can. But on top of that, he

said that uh obesity is driving 50% of

our health care costs. Had you ever

heard that before? 50%.

I knew it was a lot. But here's what I

like about RFK Jr.'s approach to

everything. He finds the best lever. He

doesn't go for the lowhanging fruit. He

goes for he goes for the highanging

lever because if you can get that lever

you change everything. You imagine if

the United States became not an obese

country 50% of I I think half of all

adults are obese.

If he took that down to 25%

just by this action that would be one of

the greatest accomplishments

certainly of any cabinet member. you may

be the greatest accomplishment of any

cabinet member. And I don't think it

would have happened without RFK Jr. Do

you do you think this would have

happened with just a some kind of

normal, you know, ordinary corporate guy

who got the job because he was connected

to somebody or something? No. No. Trump

took a took a chance and now you're

seeing that uh his his instinct

is good. Trump's instinct that he could

go with somebody who's a lifelong

Democrat

and it would help America.

That was a tough choice.

Do do you do you even understand how

tough that was? If this had not worked

out and RFK Jr. had turned out not to be

the man that he is,

this would be a total problem. But not

only [clears throat] is the is he the

man that he is, but he might be more

than the man that he is. You know, you

might not even understand the level of

sacrifice that he t that he's taking and

has taken just to get to that point

where he could stand in front of the

country and say, "You're all going to

get the fat drug or close to it."

Amazing. Amazing accomplishment. All

right. But the drama was that one of the

executives who was there to just attend,

he was in the background, he had some

kind of medical event. We don't know the

details. We don't need to. He's we're

we're told that he's fine now, but he he

passed out. Now, what did the Democrats

say about this? Of course, they took one

picture out of context to say that Trump

must be a psychopath because he's just

standing there looking.

What? What? What kind of standard is

that for judging people? All right, let

me tell you what I saw and then you tell

me if that's what you saw. Now, I'm just

going to read my post because I liked

how I wrote it.

Um,

so right in the middle of Trump's Oval

Office announcement on slashing prices

for weight loss meds like WGON Zepbound,

uh, this this, uh, Novo Nordisk,

executive, his name is Gordon Finley.

So, he, uh, he passed out. Now, here's

what all the participants did when when

the event happened.

So the first thing that happened

was that uh the man starts to collapse.

You know, he's he looks like he's

unsteady

and the speaker notices. The speaker was

one of the CEOs.

So the first thing that the speaker does

is he stops what he's doing and he turns

his attention to the person who looks

like he's having a medical problem. Was

that the right thing to do? Yes, it was.

Yeah. So as as gigantic as this moment

was for both the pharma and for Trump,

everybody knew to stop what they're

doing and give their full attention to

whatever this was because it was more

important at the moment. The people

standing next to him that just happened

to be closest. They saw him going down

and they grabbed him and they uh they

protected him as he fell. So they

protected him so he went gently down to

the floor where you'd want him to be if

he can't stand and didn't hit his head

or anything. They just gently put him

down. So they acted immediately

to his service.

As soon as the guy hit the floor and

even before he was on the floor, Dr. Oz,

who I believe was the closest doctor,

was already on it. He had already rushed

in and was starting to give whatever

doctors do when they get there first.

[laughter] So Dr. Oz rushes in. You, if

you watch the video, you see that RFK

Jr. who' be standing in the back

immediately moves in the other direction

away from the guy. What do you think he

was doing? I don't know. But if I were

RFK Jr., I would know that there is

always medical staff on the other side

of the wall from wherever the president

is. Right there. There's no way there

wouldn't be a gurnie and an ambulance

and a medical staff right on the other

side of the wall cuz they wouldn't be in

the room, but they would be right

nearby. Now, RFK Jr. probably, and this

is just gas, I can't read his mind.

Probably said, "We'd better make sure

that those guys, the act, you know, the

medical people with the gurnies and the

ambulance better make sure that the door

is unlocked and they know to come in."

So probably he did the thing that is the

smartest thing he could have done, which

is make sure they had already been

alerted. And if they had been alerted,

just open the door. Just open the door

and let them in because maybe somebody

needs to hold the door. So RFK did

exactly what he should do because he's

not the doctor. Dr. Oz did exactly what

he should do because he is the doctor.

And then Trump, [clears throat] what

should Trump do in this situation?

Should Trump push them away and

administer CPR?

No. No. He's got a room full of people

who probably included more than one

doctor and probably there were doctors

on the other side of the the door as I

said. No. What he should do because

Trump is not in charge of that patient.

Trump is in charge of the room.

He's in charge of the room and also the

country.

So, what did you want him to do as the

guy who's in charge of the room? I'll

tell you what I wanted. I wanted him to

stand up to show the respect that this

situation demands. He stood up. I want

him to look at what's happening because

this situation demands that he look at

it and assess what's going on and decide

what, if any, uh, involvement he should

have. having looked at it and stood, he

was then in charge of the room, not the

patient. He was in charge of the room,

not the patient. And the room didn't

know what was going on. But having your

president standing up there resolute and

knowing that he's trusting the experts

behind him to do what needs to be done,

and they did. And fortunately, the the

gentleman is appears to be fine. We

don't know this problem, but that's what

I wanted him to do. I wanted him to show

respect, wait, and know when it's his

time. So, what Trump knew is that this

was not his time.

This was not his time. And so, he

stepped back. What do you want that's

better than that? You know, he's getting

people are calling him a psychopath

because he didn't, you know, rip the

guy's shirt off and give him the give

him some kind of a treatment or

something. What exactly was he supposed

to do? Was he supposed to push Dr. Oz

away and say, "I got this because the

cameras are rolling." No. He did exactly

what I want my president to do. Not only

did he hire competent people who

immediately acted in exactly the right

way,

but he knew when to stay out of the way.

You can't beat that really.

Um, now

some of you might recognize how biased I

am on this on this topic. Did you pick

that up? Did you pick up any obvious

bias from me on this topic? Oh, I have

bias. So, here was my real my real

situation.

So, I you know, I uh was busy most of

the day. So, I was catching up with the

story, you know, the story about the guy

who collapsed in the office. Um, and I'm

reading about how Dr. Oz was the first

one to step in.

Now, [clears throat] Dr. Graz was also

uh he he also was one of the people that

Trump asked to get involved in my

situation when I needed a little little

boost with my healthc care provider. Now

I don't know if you know I still don't

know the reality of what did or did not

happen. So I'm not blaming Kaiser for

anything. Uh just that I had a lack of

information for a while and it took

longer than I thought. Uh, that's all I

know. That took longer than I thought

and I didn't know why. So, uh, Dr. Oz

solved that for me. And as I'm reading

the story about how he had also jumped

in to fix this guy, I'm thinking to

myself, why is it that these Trump

related people have learned that they

can do more than regular people? How do

they get so much done? Like, how do they

It's just how do they get so much done?

And as I'm reading about Dr. Oz and I'm

thinking, you know, fondly about how he

had helped me personally, maybe he kept

me alive. I don't know. Maybe he made

the difference between life and death.

Could have been. Uh my phone rings and

it's Dr. Oz.

I swear to God, this really happened.

I'm reading about him for the first

time, about this incident for the first

time. And Dr. calls me and he asked me

how I'm doing and if I'm getting enough

help from my medical providers cuz

that's what he made sure happened and

the answer is yes. Yes, I am. I'm

getting great great reaction from my

medical care Kaiser Northern California.

So I'll give him a shout out. You know

the way I judge everything the way I

judge everything is not by any mistake.

I judge everything by reaction.

What' [clears throat] you do when

somebody complained?

If I judged Kaiser by how happy I was,

you know, a month ago, that would be

different from how happy I am now

because the way they reacted to it was

excellent. So, they're they're doing a

great job at the moment.

Um,

so that's my thing.

Now, do do you realize how how weird it

is to be me that you're reading a story

in the news and then the subject of the

news calls you as you're reading the

story? It's so weird. It's totally

weird.

But we're a simulation, maybe. All

right. So, I guess after all that,

Democrats will claim that uh Trump stole

their democracy by not giving CPR to the

guy who fell down or some damn thing.

Um,

moving on. Even John Federman, heaped

praise on Trump, said that Trump was uh

did a great job on slashing that weight

loss drug price from $1,000 to as low as

149.

Um,

and he told his story about being a

stroke survivor and apparently he used

Monero for his heart health, uh, which I

believe is one of the one of the drugs

involved. and he said, "I've called to

make these drugs more accessible, blah

blah blah." All right, here's my take.

If you're not tired about me talking

about Fedman too much, I get it. I get

it. He's on the other side. You You

don't want to give him attention, blah

blah blah. But I'm going to talk about

his persuasion game so that you can

learn that. Okay? So, this is about

learning persuasion. It's not about me

wanting Federman to be my next president

or anything like that. Just focus on the

persuasion part. You'll be fine. So, I

love the fact that he found his own

lane,

meaning that as soon as the president

does something that you could sort of

imagine a reasonable Democrat might be

in favor of, and this would be obviously

something a reasonable Democrat should

be in favor of. um then the press knows

to go to him first. Not only because

he's good at the quotes

that they can use because he he speaks

in abbreviated nonword salad way maybe

because of the um stroke maybe and maybe

he was just always brief. I don't know

but he's he's good at being brief and

that makes better quotes. So he's carved

out this little niche where he will

always get attention

um from I don't know maybe half of all

topics they'll come to him first. That

is so good and persuasion wise if if you

can camp out as the person they have to

talk to first because everybody expects

you to then you've accomplished the

Trump

first and most important play. Remember

in 2015

everybody said, "Well, you can't win

just by getting the most attention."

Can't you? Maybe you can win by getting

the most attention. No, that's not

enough. You still have to have a lot

going for you, but he solves for one of

the problems that you got all these

other politicians. Maybe a lot of them

would like to be president someday, but

he's figured out how to make them come

to him. That's what Trump does. he makes

them come to him just by being more

interesting and by doing something

that's not the same freaking thing that

everybody else is doing. So in in terms

of attentiongrabbing,

A+. So learn that lesson. Learn that

lesson. But there's more.

Um

[clears throat]

here here's the bigger lesson. Do you

remember in uh the first term and really

into the second election cycle uh the

Democrats were all about Trump's bad

personality? It's like, oh, he says bad

things about people. Oh, our our allies

will not trust us as much because he

can't be trusted. Oh, he told four

gazillion bazillion 14 gazillion lies.

And it was all about his character and

his personality.

When was the last time you saw the enemy

press enemy to Trump? Uh when was the

last time they reported the number of

lies he's told?

Did anybody notice they stopped doing

that?

They just stopped. What wasn't it the

number one thing they reported all the

time? Well, he's got five more lies

today and three were in this sentence

and two were in this and they don't even

bother factchecking him. Do you know why

they don't fact check them?

Because people got used to it. Remember

the Virginia Adams rule? People can get

used to anything if they do it long

enough. Anything. So, I think the world

just got used to Trump. He was

normalized. And of course it only helps

because you know he did a good job as

president, you wouldn't want to

normalize something that was bad. But

he's totally normalized. So now when he

says something like he he's dumping on

Nancy Pelosi like earlier. Can you

imagine any other president doing that?

You can't. But in the old days they

would have said no other president would

do that and therefore it was a mistake

for him to do it. Do they do that now?

No they don't. Now they just say, "Uh,

that's just what he does." So once

you've normalized it, you have this

superpower. So Trump can simply say and

do things that other people can't say

and do because he got you used to it.

Fedman's doing the same thing. I don't

know how conscious this is, but what

Fedman is doing is making the Democrats

get used to

the idea that he could agree with the

rep Republicans.

The first 20 times he does it, they

won't be used to it. Maybe the first 50

times they won't be used to it. But

somewhere around the hundth time, you

know, because you can repeat the same

things over and over. Somewhere around

the hundth time, they're just going to

want to think about something else and

they'll just get used to it. And then

he'll be the only person who can do this

and we be used to it. That's when he

becomes dangerous. If we get used to

this, meaning Democrats specifically,

he's gonna have a little superpower

there in persuasion.

And uh

just watch that. Here's another guy

named John Shuchuk. I think he's at

Climate Craze. Um, one of the things he

does is he looks for um

for data recording stations, temperature

recording stations that are out of

service but have not been reported as

out of service. So, so far he found his

post on X 196 ghost stations where the

NOA

fabricates temperatures. In other words,

they just estimate the temperatures

because the actual data doesn't exist.

Now, how comfortable do you feel if I

tell you that 196 temperature stations

are not even real?

And if you don't have the right data for

temperature, then you have trillions of

dollars that could be wasted because you

had the wrong temperatures.

All right, I'm watching the comments to

see if you know where I'm going on this.

Do you know where I'm going on this? How

many times have I told you?

You You're gonna be mad at yourself if

you didn't get this one before I tell

you.

What's it mean when they tell you the

number without the percentage?

What's it mean if they tell you the

percentage but not the raw number?

It means it's [laughter]

Now, I [clears throat] hate the fact

that this guy's on my side because I

think that the temperature measurements

are probably pretty sketchy. So I'm

modified in general but if you're

looking at it just as persuasion when

somebody gives you a raw number without

the without the what's the total number

of now if I had to ask you how many do

you think there are how many how many uh

temperature measurements stations are

there

what do you think

196 were ghosts didn't exist but how

many how many do exist

in America it's over 10,000

in the world it's over 20,000 and

already according to Grock I'm going to

assume that's true um so that would be

1.85% of just the US

um measurements

if 1.85% 85% of the US measurements were

interpolated, you know, just took an

average of what was around it. Would you

get necessarily a terrible answer? I

don't know. I don't know. But it makes a

big difference if you think 196 is a big

number versus less than 2%.

And but the bigger problem is really

there's 10,000 of these measurements in

the US, but only 20,000 in the rest of

the whole world. I mean that would be

another 10,000.

Does that mean that what happens in the

US just sort of naturally counts for

more and wouldn't that distort things?

So I just have a question mark about

that.

All right.

So uh I don't want to criticize John

because I do love his work. Meaning that

if he's really finding the number of uh

ghost stations that could only be good.

I mean there's no downside to that. So

that's good work. Appreciate it. But

just know that I'm teaching my audience

that the raw number without the

percentage,

that's not good. And vice versa.

I have to drink like like Trump did in

that one video where we have to use both

hands.

I also have to stay hydrated, get all

the radiation out of me.

All right. Um, here's something I taught

you on persuasion, but I'm going to give

you another example which should be

helpful.

Um, I call it the category problem. Have

you heard me talk about this? If you're

trying to decide if something is true or

false, you see something in the news.

The first filter I put on it is what I

call the category problem. Now, the

category problem is that has the has

something that sounds like this ever

been true? Not this, but things that

sound like it. For example, if you got

an email that a Nigerian prince

had this deal for you and was going to

give you a bunch of money

if you floated them a little money in

advance, would you consider that likely

to be true or likely to be false? Well,

the category is is false every time, but

that doesn't mean there couldn't ever be

a Nigerian prince, right? Like maybe

maybe they're all false until they're

not. No, it it's best to assume it's

false because the category is just such

a big red flag. Here's another one. If

somebody says they have a universal

cancer cure in the form of a pill and it

already works on rats,

are you going to get that cancer pill in

a few years? No, you're not. No, because

how many times has cancer been cured in

the news but not in reality? Thousands

of times. So that category I just like

there was one in the news today exactly

like that. Oh, we got a cure for all

cancers. I didn't even post it because

it's a category that's just never true.

Um, here's another one. A pill that

reverses aging.

If you if you see a story that the

scientists have now come up with a pill

that reverses aging, that's in the

category of things that are never true.

I don't know anything about that

particular pill, but the category never

true. And that brings us to my next

story. uh some scientists in China claim

they've invented a pill that is uh gives

you the same benefits of exercise in

terms of your overall health. You know,

exercise is good for you in all the

different ways, but they allege they've

created a pill that would give you the

same benefits of exercise. You still

have to exercise if you want bigger

muscles. It doesn't give you muscles.

So, just to be clear, it doesn't make

your muscles bigger. It gives you just

some of the health benefits that

exercise would give you. Do you believe

that's true?

Category problem. It's a big category

problem. No, [clears throat] I don't

believe it's true. I do not believe that

as soon as they're done testing on the

rats,

you know, in say 3 years or whatever,

that they're going to have a pill that

makes you young again or makes you feel

healthier again in all the ways that

youth does. I doubt it.

Well, the other big question, uh, oh,

and then Priscilla Chan and Mark

Zuckerberg are, believe it or not,

they're on the A16Z

podcast, which I haven't seen yet, but I

imagine is an amazing podcast because

that would be amazing people involved.

Um,

so I guess, uh, Mark Zuckerberg and his

wife Priscilla Chan were on, Dr.

Priscilla Chan and uh they've created

this initiative where they're trying to

basically cure and prevent and manage

all disease by the end of the century.

All disease

um by the end of the century. Well,

that'll take some work. Anyway, uh do

you think that they will cure all

disease by the end of the century? I

don't know, but I'm in favor of them

trying.

Sure. That you know, I always say that's

the beauty of the American billionaires.

If you're an American billionaire, you

have a lot of pressure to invest in

things that could be big, you know,

benefits to the world, but the the

government isn't on it for some reason.

I mean, I would feel that if I were a

billionaire. So, that's the good thing

our billionaires can do. James Carville

said that he would quote bet a lot of

money that Democrats will win in 2028 to

get the presidency and the um and the

house and that they would pack the

Supreme Court to 13 people so they could

control it. Uh he says at first they

would do the normal bureaucracy thing

where they would just have some

committee and the committee would come

back and say, "Oh yes, the fairest best

thing we could do is 13 people on the

Supreme Court." And then he says they'll

definitely do it. And he says the def

the Democrats will definitely win the

presidency in 2028.

What do I say in response to that?

the Democrat will definitely win the

presidency in 2028.

Now, we're hearing also from a lot of

pro MAGA people. Um, I think I saw Mike

Cernovich say something on this this

topic on X that uh we don't really have

a Republican party that's strong.

There's a there's a MAGA faction that's

strong, but even the MAGA faction is

empty without Trump. So that it's really

just a Trump party and if he leaves that

we don't really have anybody who could

win. Is that true? Do you think JD

couldn't win? Um, a lot of people act

like he's the obvious choice. I've also

acted like he's the obvious choice, but

that doesn't mean he'll be the choice.

It just means he's the obvious one from

this point of view at this time, etc.

And his skills are impressive.

his his skill stacks impressive. He's

not Trump though, right?

And so what I say to uh James Garville

is challenge accepted.

I believe that a Republican can win in

2028, but that we have not necessarily

identified that Republican. Not

necessarily. Um but they would need some

persuasion training, which I believe

none of them have. I'd be happy to give

it to them if they need it.

Uh but trained properly in persuasion,

uh I think a Republican who is at least

Trumpy enough in in policies

could win, but it would take tremendous

skill. It would take a lot of skill. I

do believe that Vance is somebody who

could pick up a talent sack, you know,

in an hour. Like that's that's the kind

of intelligence we're talking about.

Somebody who could learn a whole thing

in an hour.

like a complicated thing and

if they play it right, they can win

this. But they don't have anybody, in my

opinion, they probably don't have

anybody who's the right person with the

right training

right now. Like if they if they had the

election today, I don't think a

Republican would win. But could they win

in 2028 with the right positioning,

etc.? It's doable.

It's doable, but it's going to be hard.

Like really hard, but doable.

Here's the weirdest part about 2028.

The weirdest part is if Trump solves too

many problems during his term, and he's

on the verge of doing that, there won't

be enough problems left to solve for a

potential Republican. If the reason you

voted for Trump is because of the border

and it's just solved, why would you vote

for the other Republican? You need

another reason. The border was a real

good reason because that was just so

scary and so big and it it just had so

much impact on everything. But what's

the thing after that? Unfortunately,

it's affordability and the and the

Democrats are owning affordability at

the moment. So, uh, there's going to

have to be some problems that Trump

doesn't solve just so the the next

Republican candidate has something to

talk about, they're running out of

things to talk about,

right? I mean, if it turns out that, you

know, 3 years from now, everybody smart

agrees that tariffs were a tremendous

idea and they brought in money and it

didn't break too many things. Well, then

whoever the Republican is will just keep

doing it. But it's not like a winning

strategy or anything. So you got to find

that thing that everybody understands

needs to be solved. And unfortunately, I

would hate to say that the only thing

left to solve would be the debt because

I don't know what the hell you do about

that.

Anyway, maybe it's the tariffs to solve

the debt.

So,

but John Stewart, every I think we're at

the phase where everybody's worried

about their own team. uh John Stewart

said that Democrats are still a mess

uh after the last election and he says,

"I truly believe they're a mess." And

then he said, I tried to uh capture the

essence of this quote. I might have

missed a word. He said, "There's an

underlying energy in the c in the

country that none of us could have

imagined and that needs to be

channeled."

None of us could have imagined.

Uh, I'm pretty sure every Republican

imagined it. [laughter]

That's why Trump's the president. The

Republicans were totally imagining it.

They didn't have to imagine it. They

felt it. They were in it. They were part

of it. But, so I guess he's talking

about Democrats had no idea what the

country is really like. Now,

I love John Stewart as an entertainer

and I think he adds a lot even to the

political process despite being a

entertainer first. But he never is. He

looks like a guy who's never had like a

regular job, has he?

Cuz there's some things he's just sort

of missing that feel like you would not

be missing if you had a regular job with

co-workers and stuff, you know? Maybe

maybe being around normal people. The

the the people who work in comedy, I

think, hang around with people in comedy

more than anything else.

Anyway, so when he says there's an

underlying energy in the country that

none of us could imagine needs to be

channeled, to me that's just a a word

salad way of saying your policies are

bad.

If the Democrats had better policies,

you don't think they would own

everything. I think they'd be in charge.

They just need better ideas. So every

time they think it's not that their

candidates are bad and their policies

are bad, they're just lost. They're

going to have to say, "Our policies are

bad. Our candidates are bad. Get a

better candidate. Do something." Anyway,

apparently, every state has now applied

for the $50 billion or a piece of the

$50 billion rural health fund, which was

approved in the big beautiful bill. The

Hill is writing about this, Nate

Wakesel. So, I guess they all had to

apply for their part, but they all have

done it, so that's good. And that's the

money that would transform rural health

so that uh so that they can get health

care to poor people in rural places that

don't have I guess it's people who don't

have healthcare. Um so each state has to

say how they're going to use the money

and get it approved.

Um and that was the backs stop against

whatever is going to happen. Now,

if JD or any other future Republican

could figure out a real workable plan

that would either make food

substantially cheaper or or make

healthcare substantially cheaper, I

don't think Trump's going to solve

those. I think he'll take a bite out of

them. Um, you know, I think he'll do

he'll do what's doable, but there's

always going to be something left over

that's not doable easily. So, so getting

everybody healthare I think is worth

doing some way, but there's got to be a

Republican way to do that or I'll call

it a let's say an independent way to do

it. Um I don't want to do it just by

giving more money to people who can pay

double for Obamacare.

There's got to be some just fundamental

reworking of how we do stuff. And then

maybe AI.

I I've always always thought that the

government should offer the Let me let

me run this idea by you. I don't know if

I've ever mentioned this before, but I

always had the idea that maybe everybody

could have what they want, which is what

if the people who want to be socialists

and want to get cheap food and all that,

what if the government gave it to them

and said, "All right, you guys, you guys

are going to live the the socialist

path."

um and the rest of you will pay as you

go, but you won't have to pay for the

socialist somehow. Is there any way

that you could have the the socialist

plan work somewhere where if you really

really wanted that to be your life, you

could go to, you know, let's say some

part of some state and you can move

there and say, "Look, you could have

everything you you asked for. We don't

know if that'll be good for you, but

you're adults. You get you get to pick.

So if you live here, you get to have a,

you know, a community garden and you'll

share some food and maybe you won't have

a car for everybody and maybe you don't

mind they have to walk everywhere,

right?

But it it seems like there's some way

you could carve out the people who

aren't going to get healthcare under a

current costly system or even enough

food under a costly system and just put

them in their own little bucket with

fewer choices. So I think they'd be okay

if they had fewer choices

if the alternative is not having

anything.

Yeah. Anyway,

um an appeals court is going to let

Trump revive his bid to overturn

criminal convictions in that hush money

case.

The hush money case or 34 34 uh

convictions on that. Um so just the news

is writing about this. So the second

circuit court uh are going to let him

keep going on that. So we'll see if that

ever gets overturned. It was a three

judge panel. Uh and the three judge

panel said that the court had bypassed

what we consider to be important issues

bearing on the ultimate issue of good

cause.

Uh so that they did not rule on whether

Trump is guilty or innocent. They just

ruled on they ruled on ruling basically.

Um here's a funny comment from somebody

on Twitchy Doug P. He notes that Mam

Dami is asking people to send him money

so that they could get free stuff in

return, [laughter]

which is a funny way to frame it. And

it's exactly right. So the candidate

who's promising you free stuff can't

give you free stuff until you give him

money.

Wait, that's not free. Well, I guess you

don't you don't have to personally give

him money, but unless a lot of people

give him money, he won't be able to give

you money back. Now, I guess the promise

is if you give him enough money and then

he gets elected, which he did, uh, he

would help you get some money back. So,

basically, it's just a money laundering

operation that he's he's disguised as a

candidacy.

That's what it looks like.

Anyway,

that's what's happening there. Um

and then uh Fox News is reporting that

uh the reason the Democrats won big on

those three big elections recently is

that they focus on domestic economic

policy. Emma Busy's writing this on Fox

News. Do you think that's it? Do you

think it's because they focus on

domestic stuff as opposed to

international stuff? I don't know. I

didn't really see that happening. I

don't remember anybody bringing up

Oh, maybe they did if you're talking

about specifically Israel. Yeah, I'll

withdraw my comment.

Yeah, it did turn into a lot of Israel

talk when it could have been a lot more

about affordability. Now, when I was

praising U mom Donniey's communication

skills about the word affordability,

somebody pushed back on me on X and

said, "Scott, politicians have been

promising affordability since the

beginning of time. Why is that so new?"

To which I said, "Really? Which

politician was using the word

affordability?

Can you think of one?

Can anybody think of one who used the

word not the concept? I'm talking about

the word affordability. I don't remember

anybody doing that. They may have used

it in a sentence once, but it was never

a key part of any platform that I'm

aware of.

And so the my critic after I said I'm

not aware of anybody use it. um said he

did a search and he put affordability in

quotes and asked if anybody had pushed

affordability in quotes as a politician.

And guess what?

It turns out that if you put it in

quotes, people have done it. But that's

not the same thing. I'm talking about

the actual choice of the specific word

affordability. It doesn't count if you

were talking about lowering costs. You

had to use the actual word. I don't

remember anybody doing it.

I saw some people saying Kemp and

Clinton, but I was alive then. I don't

remember that.

Don't remember it at all. All right.

There's a study, University of British

Columbia, Tom Leslie, is writing about

this that uh if you talk with your

hands, there's a way to do it that makes

you more persuasive.

But it's not just moving your hands

randomly. So, I have trouble lifting my

arm now. But if you were just going blah

blah blah randomly with your hands, that

doesn't add anything. But if you use

your hands to tell the story, apparently

that registers quite uh strongly as

making you more persuasive. So the

example they use is if you caught a fish

and you're telling the story, it helps

to, you know, use your hands to show the

size of the fish because then it becomes

like a visual slashverbal story. So just

asked me, Scott, if you use your hands

to make the story more visual, will it

be more persuasive? Yes. I've been

teaching you for years that visual beats

purely audio. If you add the two of them

together, it's better than either one.

Either one by themselves.

Japan's going to team up with the US to

mine some rare earth in the Pacific.

So Bloomberg is reporting this. That

seems good. They're going to go into

that rare earth rich mud that's 6,000

feet down. I don't know how much work

the US is doing on that, but I'm pretty

happy how the administration is

capitalizing on our on our allies, which

might be leaning on them. [laughter]

We might be leaning on them a little

bit, but they need the rare earth, too.

So, if us plus them can get us, you

know, both more rare earth, win-win. And

I don't think there was a better way to

do it.

Don't think there was a better way to do

it. But here, let let me give you an

instant prediction that I've never made

before because I never thought about it

until right now. If the biggest problem

in the world turns out to be not enough

rare earth minerals, how long will it be

before Elon Musk looks at all of his

assets and says, "You know,

robots could dig a lot of rare earth

materials." you know,

the electric cars could carry them away.

And now he's introducing the electric uh

the all electric big trucks, the big

rigs. So, he can transport it. He can

dig it. He can dig it. I don't know if

they need satellites to locate it, but

he's got those. Uh, and he would be the

best engineer to figure out how to do it

safely. Maybe just with robots.

So, my prediction is this.

If we don't get on top of this problem

soon, I think there would be pressure on

Elon to solve it because people would

say, "We're pretty sure nobody else

could solve this. It would just be

capability. He'd be able to do it. Maybe

nobody else could. They would just ask

him ask him to step in. Could happen."

And let's see. Um, as you know, the

Colombian is reporting, Kelly

Livingston, that the Department of

Energy wants to quadruple our nuclear

power uh over the next 25 years, but

that would require tripling our

workforce

that that are trained in nuclear stuff.

We are very underkilled

for nuclear compared to how much we want

to build it out. So,

does that seem un that that seems

solvable? I think if you took a bunch of

engineers or engineering students, you

said you got you got three or four years

to learn nuclear,

they'd be in pretty good shape after

three or four years. So, as long as

we're producing them at the source and

that enough people are signing up for

those majors, we'll be fine. Oh, here's

some good news. Kazakhstan is joining

the Abraham Accords.

Kazakhstan. Now, a lot of you are

waiting for this. A lot of people have

said to me, you know, I like those

Abraham Accords, but where's Kazakhstan?

Why is Kazakhstan so silent over this?

Well, Albonia is also silent. We have

heard nothing about Albonia, but

Kazakhstan, they're in.

Maybe there'll be more later. We'll see.

All right,

people. People, that's my one-handed

show. No, not what you think. But it

took me a little longer to uh get it all

done today because I'm literally using

one hand. We're hoping that some of the

achievements will fix the other hand.

But I don't know. Maybe, maybe. Yes. I

might be done drawing

because I can't draw with my left hand.

And at the moment, I'm pretty sure I

can't draw with my left hand, but I'll

try it today just to see. So, I might be

retiring today or I might be taking a

month off to see if I can get my uh

muscles back, but I'm going to have to

work this out. So, we'll work it out

together one way or the other. I I could

always sketch it more generally and then

have my art director finish it. Uh so,

there's always a plan. It won't it won't

necessarily mean there's less Dilbert.

It might mean there's less of my artwork

that goes into the first draft.

Probably.

Probably. You and you already know that

I switched from right-handed to

left-handed to draw because I burned out

my right hand just from regular drawing.

Uh

yeah. Well, you know, nothing's perfect.

Nothing's perfect.

[snorts] Everybody's got a problem. All

right. I'm going to say a few words

privately to the locals subscribers.

If I can get my one defective hand to

click the right place. Let me get this

hand off.

One hand doesn't lift up and the other

hand is too weak.

All right.

So everybody else, I'll see you I hope

tomorrow. I hope you got something out

of the lessons.

Man, I wish I could find my cursor.

There it is. And uh we're going to go

privately with the local supporters in

30 seconds.