Episode 3011 CWSA 11/07/25
Trump and the fat drug cost reduction, persuasion lessons based on the news today. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Good morning. How about some lights? Turn on some lights for you. Oh, my hand barely works. Oh, come on. Hand. There you go. Has anybody checked the stocks today? Stocks. Okay. Let me check and see if it's a smile or a grimace. Continue. Smile or grimace. It's a grimace. What did Tesla do after th…
View segment →with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience to levels that nobody can even understand with our tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass or a tankard, stein, canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of an…
View segment →ain. Uh, there you are. Comments are working. Everything's looking good. Looking good. Hey, do you know what day today is? Does anybody know what day today is? It's the day you find out that the Dilbert calendar is available and for sale for those few of you who have not already scooped it up. I se…
View segment →one. Uh, death is a tragedy, and I need to feel bad about it. Do any of you have an issue about maybe you lost a loved one and you feel obligated to feel bad about it? Not just obligated, but you feel bad about it. Well, death is a tragedy and uh it's there's nothing wrong with feeling bad about it,…
View segment →uh it's called the uh the US Senate is looking at a bill called the No Coffee Tax Act. The No Coffee Tax Act. Now, as uh Owen Gregorian pointed out on X, that is a really bad naming convention because the first part of it is no coffee. I don't want to vote for anything that has the words no coffee i…
View segment →at apparently there's big tariffs on coffee from Brazil in particular, which is the biggest impact on us. So the tariffs are as high as 50%. And that's enough to basically just, you know, destroy Starbucks. I don't know if it will, but that's bad enough. So, it's a big impact on our economy and on o…
View segment →mbrella of that guy likes that stock. It might go up. So, maybe he's trying to drive up the stock. Do not do anything that I do financially. I do not give good financial advice. You should not follow my advice. If I thought my advice was better than other people financially, I'd tell you. I'm not sh…
View segment →whole 10 years. But uh even when it's paid, remember some of it goes to taxes. Nobody's going to get a check for a trillion dollars. All right. Uh, but how many of his products that he's working on now could become the biggest in that category forever? All right, here are just a few things. If Elon…
View segment →need to do because they need to do it. And it's none of my business if it doesn't bother me. And it doesn't. So I do wonder about the tradeoff because if somebody shows up in their trans identity, uh wouldn't that be harder for the passport people to sort that out? So aren't we trying to make sure t…
View segment →did the Democrats say about this? Of course, they took one picture out of context to say that Trump must be a psychopath because he's just standing there looking. What? What? What kind of standard is that for judging people? All right, let me tell you what I saw and then you tell me if that's what y…
View segment →e he was on the floor, Dr. Oz, who I believe was the closest doctor, was already on it. He had already rushed in and was starting to give whatever doctors do when they get there first. So Dr. Oz rushes in. You, if you watch the video, you see that RFK Jr. who'd be standing in the back immediately mo…
View segment →rip the guy's shirt off and give him the give him some kind of a treatment or something. What exactly was he supposed to do? Was he supposed to push Dr. Oz away and say, "I got this because the cameras are rolling." No. He did exactly what I want my president to do. Not only did he hire competent pe…
View segment →ue or false, you see something in the news. The first filter I put on it is what I call the category problem. Now, the category problem is that has the has something that sounds like this ever been true? Not this, but things that sound like it. For example, if you got an email that a Nigerian prince…
View segment →at exercise would give you. Do you believe that's true? Category problem. It's a big category problem. No, I don't believe it's true. I do not believe that as soon as they're done testing on the rats, you know, in say 3 years or whatever, that they're going to have a pill that makes you young again…
View segment →another reason. The border was a real good reason because that was just so scary and so big and it it just had so much impact on everything. But what's the thing after that? Unfortunately, it's affordability and the and the Democrats are owning affordability at the moment. So, uh, there's going to h…
View segment →they all had to apply for their part, but they all have done it, so that's good. And that's the money that would transform rural health so that uh so that they can get health care to poor people in rural places that don't have I guess it's people who don't have healthcare. Um so each state has to sa…
View segment →ruled on ruling basically. Um here's a funny comment from somebody on Twitchy Doug P. He notes that Mamdani is asking people to send him money so that they could get free stuff in return, which is a funny way to frame it. And it's exactly right. So the candidate who's promising you free stuff can't…
View segment →aising Mamdani's communication skills about the word affordability, somebody pushed back on me on X and said, "Scott, politicians have been promising affordability since the beginning of time. Why is that so new?" To which I said, "Really? Which politician was using the word affordability? Can you t…
View segment →signing up for those majors, we'll be fine. Oh, here's some good news. Kazakhstan is joining the Abraham Accords. Kazakhstan. Now, a lot of you are waiting for this. A lot of people have said to me, you know, I like those Abraham Accords, but where's Kazakhstan? Why is Kazakhstan so silent over thi…
View segment →Good morning.
How about some lights? Turn on some lights for you. Oh, my hand barely works. Oh, come on. Hand. There you go.
Has anybody checked the stocks today? Stocks. Okay. Let me check and see if it's a smile or a grimace. Continue. Smile or grimace. It's a grimace. What did Tesla do after the big announcement? Wonder if these are old. Is this yesterday's numbers? I don't see how Tesla could have gone down after yesterday. Did it? Looks like it's just wrong. Maybe that's not updated. Yeah. All right, we'll wait and see.
Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience to levels that nobody can even understand with our tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass or a tankard, stein, canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day. The thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. It happens now. Go.
All right. Let me make sure I can see your local comments. Special. It would be right over here. If you don't mind, I'm a little slow and getting a little less done because I'm literally working with one hand today. One hand and half a brain. Uh, there you are. Comments are working. Everything's looking good. Looking good.
Hey, do you know what day today is? Does anybody know what day today is? It's the day you find out that the Dilbert calendar is available and for sale for those few of you who have not already scooped it up. I see a lot of you are being smart and acting fast. I swear to God the next thing I say is actually literally true and not just the ordinary marketing thing that people say all the time in this situation. We probably didn't make enough of them. So if you're thinking to yourself, and by the way, we did that intentionally because I have to pay for them in advance because it's an American situation and we worked on a deal where I would make sure that they would limit any risk on their side, which seemed fair because of my precarious situation. Um, so I've already paid for the calendars to be printed, but I didn't want to print, you know, three times more than people might want. So we're a little bit underprinted, we think, but we don't know, right? It's hard to anticipate, but I wouldn't wait is what I'm saying. If you thought you wanted one, waiting would be a bad strategy. Sooner is better.
All right. And as you know, I like to start the show while people are streaming in with a reframe from my book that's been out for a while, but it's the newest one. Reframe Your Brain. Changing lives every day. Let's see. I'm going to change somebody's life today with a new reframe. If you're new to this, a reframe doesn't require any work on your part. You just have to hear it. And if it's a good one, and if it applies to you, uh, the hypnosis will kick in. It's not really hypnosis. It's just persuasive.
All right, here's one. Uh, death is a tragedy, and I need to feel bad about it. Do any of you have an issue about maybe you lost a loved one and you feel obligated to feel bad about it? Not just obligated, but you feel bad about it. Well, death is a tragedy and uh it's there's nothing wrong with feeling bad about it, but you don't want to do it forever. Here's the reframe. The person who's deceased has no more problems. How did I make this about me? How do you make it about yourself? This is literally only about the deceased person and their problems just ended. So as soon as you make it not about yourself, you can get by it a lot easier, right? You've solved all the problems for the deceased. They have nothing else to worry about. Their work is done. And if the reason you feel bad is because they were so good in this world or you love them so much, well then your work is really done because you have the right feeling about them and they did the right things and that was great and nothing lasts forever.
How about here's another one on the same topic. So you've got two to work with on death. Um, one is that, and this, by the way, I've used this one before, um, with the public, I mean, and some people have reported back that this completely changes their reaction to a death of somebody that they cared about. All right, listen to this one. So, the usual frame is that death is a tragedy. Duh. Of course, death is a tragedy. But that leaves you in that tragedy hole if that's how you're seeing it. If it's only a tragedy, that's pretty bad. It's going to last. But here's a way to reframe it. It's not more true or less true. It's just useful to frame it this way. Remember, it's not about truth. It's about how you manage your brain. And you can create new circuitry by just thinking about one thing more than another. That's all it takes. And that will make that circuit a little stronger. So instead of saying death is a tragedy, the reframing is it is an honor to help another person pass. I don't think there's a bigger honor than that. You know, if you've watched family members, if you've been part of it, who were an integral part of letting somebody pass to the next phase of their existence, whatever that is, that is the biggest honor you can have. And everybody's going to, you know, everybody's going to die. So, there's nothing you can do about it sometimes. So, it's not always a tragedy explicitly. Well, it's not only it's not necessarily a tragedy only. It is a tremendous honor that you get to be the person who's there on the final voyage. That will help you a lot and everybody dies.
All right. I wonder if there's any science that they didn't need to do because they could have just asked Scott. Oh, here's some in the post. Karina Petrova is writing that uh there's a new statistical model that successfully sorted people into their uh political group based on their use of X. So apparently you can feed just the raw posts from X and AI will figure out not only are they Republican or Democrat but uh it'll figure out sort of where they fit even within those worlds. Now, did they really need to do that study? Do you think I couldn't look at a politician's posts and guess where they fit in the political world? Did I really need AI to do that? No. They should have just asked me. You know, maybe Fetterman would have confused me, but the AI didn't get them all right. I think AI only gets 75% of them right. To which I say, I'm not really impressed by 75%. I'm pretty sure I could have hit 90 without breaking a sweat. So could you. Next time, just ask me.
Well, there's a new bill being floated. We don't know how it'll do, but uh it's called the uh the US Senate is looking at a bill called the No Coffee Tax Act. The No Coffee Tax Act. Now, as uh Owen Gregorian pointed out on X, that is a really bad naming convention because the first part of it is no coffee. I don't want to vote for anything that has the words no coffee in it. I don't even care that after it it says tax. I'd give you a million dollars if you drink coffee in one minute. I'd still be a little put off by the no coffee. You know what I mean? So, here's your persuasion lesson of the day. There's going to be some more. We've got some more persuasion coming up if you like that stuff. Uh, don't name your thing the opposite of what it is. The whole point of this is that we get more coffee. Coffee. Sorry, you're making me say coffee in my New York accent. I didn't mean to slip into it, but sometimes. Coffee. How do you people say it? Coffee. Coffee. Coffee. Well, I'm gonna stick with coffee for now.
Um, so what it really is is I guess uh Rand Paul is behind this and I did not know this, but uh coffee in particular. Coffee. Stop mocking me for the way I say it. You're mocking me at home. I can hear you mocking me from home. Stop it. Now you're talking to your dog saying, "Look at this guy. Can't even say coffee." Coffee. All right. Um Nick Brown from Daily Coffee News is reporting this. Nick Brown from Daily Coffee News. What a name. All right. Um the idea is that apparently there's big tariffs on coffee from Brazil in particular, which is the biggest impact on us. So the tariffs are as high as 50%. And that's enough to basically just, you know, destroy Starbucks. I don't know if it will, but that's bad enough. So, it's a big impact on our economy and on our people and on our budgets. And tariffs, you know, you could call a tariff a tax. Rand Paul does apparently. And I wouldn't argue with that. It's a form of a tax. It's just not a normal one. Uh has some advantages that taxes don't have, meaning that you can use them to negotiate with other entities. Taxes don't usually have that. But, uh, apparently they tried to get it through the no tax part. They tried to get that through with a procedure that if you have unanimous consent, meaning that there's not even one person who says no to it, you can just kind of get it through without all the trouble. So they tried that and there was exactly one person. So there's a video of the session that shows that one person, his name is he's a Republican from Idaho and his name is Senator Mike Crapo. C R A P O. So Mr. Crapo uh said no. So that's sent it back to I guess whatever process the full Senate has to follow which is going to take forever and your coffee will still cost too much. So thanks for nothing. Crapo. Crapo. Crapo. That would be better than Khan. If I were writing that Star Trek, remember the Star Trek movie where Captain Kirk is being thwarted by Khan? K h a n. And there's that famous thing where the bad actor, the bad actor playing Captain Kirk, uh, goes, "Khan." Wouldn't that be better if he was fighting Crapo? Crapo. All right, that's just me.
Well, there's a big Tesla event. I think it's the big annual event. Uh, and boy, was there news. Ow, plenty of news. Where do we start? Uh, let's see. So, apparently there there's a video of a hand, a robot hand that for Optimus that looks so amazing you can't believe that they got hands that good. So, somebody I think it was Mario posted the uh video of the hand and uh Elon said that's version two. Version three is way better. If version three robot hand is better than the version two that I saw, that's going to be a big good hand. And I heard uh Elon talking about it, the hands, and they would be better surgeons than people very soon. Maybe in a year, there'll be better surgeons than people. And uh there'll be better dexterity than people with hands. You know, you always thought that, oh, maybe they can see better or hear better or remember better, but their hands will never be as good. Well, apparently we're right at that crossover point. So, you were born in the age when robots became more capable than people. What are the odds of that? Doesn't that feel like a simulation to you? Like, what are the odds?
No, I didn't skip the sip. You missed the sip. Don't blame me for skipping the sip. Sometimes I skip the sip, but I did not skip it today. You're the skipper. I call you the skipper, not me, skipper.
All right. Uh, lots of other Tesla news. Uh, Elon says that Tesla is already the biggest robot company in the world in part because their cars are all robots. They're just robots with wheels. I accept that definition. They are the biggest robot company. Oh, I should tell you I have I do own some not a lot, but I own Tesla stock. So, anything I say about Tesla, you should put under the umbrella of that guy likes that stock. It might go up. So, maybe he's trying to drive up the stock. Do not do anything that I do financially. I do not give good financial advice. You should not follow my advice. If I thought my advice was better than other people financially, I'd tell you. I'm not shy. I'd tell you if it was better. It just isn't.
Um anyway, here are the shocking things. Uh that Elon believes that uh they're not going to have a way to get enough chips to do all the stuff, you know, their robots and cars and stuff that they need, and they might have to make their own. So, they're thinking about building a quote gigantic chip factory. What does gigantic mean in Elon's world? Because every time he does something, it's so big you can't even hold it in your head. Gigantic. And I think you said something about working with Intel. But it would make more sense to buy them, wouldn't it? Wouldn't it make more sense for Tesla just to buy a chip company? Then the part I wonder about is that um would we have the right skills in the United States to make the right kind of chips when no other country knows how to do it except you know Taiwan if Taiwan's the only place that knows how to make these chips? Are they going to help Tesla? Like why would they instead of just selling them the chips? So, I don't know where that goes, but I do trust that Elon's probably one of the few people in the world that could solve the not enough AI chips problem.
Elon also says the entire Earth can be powered by sustainable energy with tech that exists today. And then he talked about the Megapack battery storage plants. You know, whenever anybody says, "Uh, Scott, you fool. You're so behind the times when you don't understand that no matter how much solar power you have, Scott, did you know, and I know Scott, you look like an idiot, so you probably didn't know this, but I'll talk slowly so you understand, Scott, the sun is not out at night. Okay, I'm done, you fool. Like, how could you think this solar power is going to power the whole world when the sun isn't even out at night? You idiot. You fool. Get out of my house." That's what they usually say to me. But did you know there are things called batteries? Batteries. B A T T E R I E S. Batteries. It's a word you should learn. And apparently what they'll do is they will store energy. They'll actually store that energy all night long if you want if you got a big enough mega factory. So these Megapack mega factories um are a big part of the structure but also those might be as much you know for Tesla's own use. They will need these big factories for their own AI powering. But did you know that if you add in the Tesla power walls, those would be the big batteries that you could add to your private home, that they're also worked. I guess that's just part of it. So you could store things in your home battery and if you stored more than you wanted to use, you could donate that to the network if it were set to do that. Uh, I don't think it's quite set up to do exactly this, but couple of buttons and it's ready to go. Uh, so they can work together. There's already a million power walls installed. A million. He thinks big.
All right. So, they can work together as a virtual power plant. And uh, Elon also talked about the age of uh, permanent abundance. I don't know if he used those words, but that's what I meant. And he thinks that robots will basically provide all of our goods and services at what will approach zero cost over time and everybody will have everything. So poverty will be eliminated. Uh everybody will have enough food because the robots will just be out there tilling the fields as robots do and making us food. And eventually he wants to get the cost of a robot down to 20,000. Um, and here's what's interesting about this. In order for a lot of uh Elon's predictions to come right, you know, things about robots and things about power and things about cars and stuff and even things about interplanetary travel. In order for all of that stuff to work, or even any of it to work, he would have to understand human motivation and how people think and how they act and what they care about. Now, how does that fit with the common assumption that he's Asperger's or we don't use that anymore uh on the spectrum? This is this is what confuses me. How can you be on the spectrum and also be really good at humor, which he is, um and really good at figuring out human motivation, which he is. Those are pretty much as close as you can get to the opposite of being on the spectrum. Or does he compensate, not for the humor part, that's got to be natural, but does he compensate for um being different than other people by just learning how they think and just studying them like you study a maze and then you know how to get out of the maze. It's not your maze, you just studied it. So, I'm fascinated by that. You know, I've never I've never talked to him in person. It'll probably take me five minutes to figure out what's going on in person, but I only hear good things. I only hear good things. So, this is amazing.
Anyway, um but what I thought about while I was reading all these things that he's introducing to the world that he might be the first human being who could legitimately satisfy the political left and the political right. Now, he can't run for president because he wasn't born here, but he's really the only one because somehow he made most of the people on the right appreciate him because he helped Trump get elected. But then he also left under tremendous pressure by the left and but what he left too was this highly successful company that looks like it will solve the left's biggest concern, climate. Now, even if you say, "But climate is not a crisis, whatever," it's nonetheless true that he's doing exactly what the left would want somebody to do, which is build a bunch of electric solar plants and batteries and electric cars. Now, in the short run, you might argue, "But but but Scott, don't you know that they use more fossil fuels and regular fuels to build that stuff than they save?" I don't even know if that's true, but I do know that in the long run, you would get rid of those other sources and you could use the sun and then then everything that Elon's trying to do would come true. The left would be delighted even if there's no climate crisis. They'd be happy about it. And the right would be happy because they like his his general work hard, build things, America first. I mean, he's very he's very on point for the right. At the same time, he's very on point for the left. Name one other person in the world who is this perfectly suited for both the left and the right. Now, again, I don't think he's going to run for office. That'd be crazy. U if he did. Uh even, you know, he's not going to run for senator. That would be too small. And presidents out of reach because of the constitution. But boy, do I like him being involved just in general.
I guess his trillion dollar incentive package got approved by shareholders with a 75% vote. That means 25% thought it wasn't a good idea to have him properly incentivized. 25% thought it was a bad idea to give the most productive person in the history of the planet a little extra if and if he does a lot extra. A lot extra. You should see the terms of the deal for him to get a trillion dollars. Do you have any idea what he would have to accomplish to get that? Like we act like that's just going to automatically happen or something? No. You don't you don't automatically just go to work and then one day somebody gives you a trillion dollars.
First of all, let me teach you about how the news works. Years ago when Dilbert was newish and we're trying to get attention. Uh, I got a multi-book deal with a big publisher which we reported as a $25 million book deal. Do you think I got $25 million from a book deal? We told everybody it was a $25 million book deal. So, wouldn't you think that I, as the author would get $25 million? Nope. Nothing like that. Nothing like that. That was the biggest number that the publisher would pay under the most optimistic uh assumptions for for I think five books. So, first of all, it was five books. So, it'd be 5 million a piece. Second of all, I shared 50% of what I made from Dilbert Books with my publisher, I'm sorry, with my syndicate. And then I shared what's left with the publisher. And then I paid taxes. Do you know how much was left from the 25 million? I don't know. Might have been five. You know, maybe over the entire length of time. Might have been five, something like that. So when you say that somebody's got a trillion dollar uh pay package, the thing you should first ask is over how many years, the answer is 10. So a trillion dollars over 10 years is a hundred billion a year. Seems like he's worth it. But here's what he would have to deliver. He Tesla would have to go to $ 8.5 trillion market cap and it's only at 1.4 today. Now it's in 10 years. Could you get there? That would be a 466% increase from today. Do do you think he can do that? I I think you probably can, but it's not guaranteed. That's for sure. So, the first thing you need to know is you can't you can't treat a trillion dollars that you might get the same as a trillion dollars you're definitely going to get. And you can't treat money that's going to be spread over 10 years like it's money that you're getting today. First of all, you know, the uh the value of money declines over time, etc. A lot of things could happen. We don't even know if people have automobiles in 10 years.
He's got to he's got to deliver 20 million vehicles cumulative. I think that means since the beginning of Tesla. Uh he's got to deliver a million Optimus robots, humanoid robots sold. They actually have to be sold. A million a million robo taxis in operation and 10 million full self-driving subscriptions. Now, what we don't know is if he gets a portion of the trillion, if he gets a portion of these, but not all of them. Uh, that's a big deal. I mean, if if he really doesn't get anything, unless he gets all of them, I don't think he would agree to that deal, but it's impressive. And if successful, he would become the world's first trillionaire. No, he wouldn't. Th this is I I think this is just people who don't know how deals work. Nobody's ever going to give him a trillion dollars. There's no check for a trillion dollars. It's over 10 years. And I don't know if there's any sub payments in the 10 years or if he has to wait the whole 10 years. But uh even when it's paid, remember some of it goes to taxes. Nobody's going to get a check for a trillion dollars.
All right. Uh, but how many of his products that he's working on now could become the biggest in that category forever? All right, here are just a few things. If Elon starts making chips and he's the best at manufacturing things that people didn't know how to manufacture, and chips are mostly a challenge of how do you manufacture them? They're just hard to make. So, he would be the best person who could ever take on that challenge. So, what if he makes the biggest chip company? Totally possible. Even if the only person who buys them is his own company, you'd still be the biggest chip maker. Uh, what about his power stuff? Could he be the biggest in the world? What about his AI? Could it be the biggest in the world? What about his robots and his cars? Could he be the biggest in the world? Yep, he's worth a trillion.
Well, as you know, Nancy Pelosi has announced a retirement. And uh I wonder what Trump said about that. Now, you might know that it was only recently that uh Pelosi said some terrible things about Trump. Just terrible things. He was stealing your democracy and he's the worst I think he says she said something like he's the worst person in the world because he's not just bad but he's the president so he has power plus he's bad so he's the worst person in the world. The worst person in the world. Um, so Trump pays her back because he's uh in the press conference there. Somebody asked her about retirement and uh he made sure that he uh thought this through and gave them a quote which would guarantee that it dominated the news. Did it? Yes, it did. Here's his quote about Nancy Pelosi. I think she's an evil woman. I'm glad she's retiring. I think she did the country a great service by retiring now. Trump about Nancy Pelosi. Oh yeah. Okay. I'm just repeating the same thing. The dictation services are are funny. So I my one hand is too paralyzed now to to type. So I've been using voice dictation. And I found out that if you want to do the word country, c o u n t r y, uh I won't even tell you what it what it wrote down. It was so naughty. Very naughty.
Well, the Supreme Court made a decision that uh if you have a passport, you can only list yourself as male or female. There will be no um inbetweens or no trans, no anything but male or female. Now, I have mixed feelings about that honestly. Um for adults, and we're only going to talk about adults. We're not talking about children. Children should not be, you know, I I have the same opinion you do, but um most of you anyway. But for adults, I do think that adults should be able to run their own life. And if they want to be trans, I'm okay with that. Why wouldn't I be? It's not my life, you know? And if it doesn't bother me, yeah, just do whatever you need to do. If you're an adult and it's not, you know, scaring the horses or something, go ahead. So, I'm pro trans in the freedom sense. Everybody should have the freedom to do what they do that they need to do because they need to do it. And it's none of my business if it doesn't bother me. And it doesn't. So I do wonder about the tradeoff because if somebody shows up in their trans identity, uh wouldn't that be harder for the passport people to sort that out? So aren't we trying to make sure that it's easier faster? Easier or faster would be um I'm trans. And then the person looks at him, they go, "Oh, okay. You do look maybe they do look a little bit male. Maybe they got an Adam's apple or something. I'm no expert on any of this stuff." Uh and then that would perfectly explain why they were looking one way but listed as another way. Wouldn't that be safer? If if the only thing you care about is how safe you are, wouldn't you be safer if they listed themselves the way they look, so you could know exactly what's going on there? No. All right. So, I'm a little bit mixed on this one. I I think I could be persuaded in either direction, but that's what happened. So, I guess it's a done deal for now.
Um, did you see the video of Trump was announcing that uh they they made a tremendous success in lowering the cost of these weight loss drugs? So, um, who is involved? Uh, it's less it's less about the pharma, but there were a few pharma companies that got together and vastly lowered their cost for the weight loss drug from something like $1,000 to something like a hundred something. So, a gigantic decrease in probably the most important thing. Now, the the news part of it is that Trump is delivering on at least lowering the cost of some important drugs. But here's the part you might have missed. When uh RFK Jr. was talking about it, he had his moment to talk there at the Oval Office with all the executives assembled. And we'll talk about the the the guy who passed out, but uh RFK Jr. is explaining to us um what a big lever this is because something like half of all of our health care costs are driven by obesity and we could practically eliminate it with these drugs if they were affordable and and Trump just made them affordable for a lot more people not everybody of course but we'll have to figure out a way that everybody can get them but this goes a long way goes a long way to lowering your health care costs because it lowers them two ways it's not just immediately lowering them because you wanted to take the fat drug, but you know, you couldn't afford it, but now you can. But on top of that, he said that uh obesity is driving 50% of our health care costs. Had you ever heard that before? 50%. I knew it was a lot. But here's what I like about RFK Jr.'s approach to everything. He finds the best lever. He doesn't go for the low hanging fruit. He goes for he goes for the high hanging lever because if you can get that lever you change everything. You imagine if the United States became not an obese country 50% of I I think half of all adults are obese. If he took that down to 25% just by this action that would be one of the greatest accomplishments certainly of any cabinet member. You may be the greatest accomplishment of any cabinet member. And I don't think it would have happened without RFK Jr. Do you do you think this would have happened with just a some kind of normal, you know, ordinary corporate guy who got the job because he was connected to somebody or something? No. No. Trump took a took a chance and now you're seeing that uh his his instinct is good. Trump's instinct that he could go with somebody who's a lifelong Democrat and it would help America. That was a tough choice. Do do you do you even understand how tough that was? If this had not worked out and RFK Jr. had turned out not to be the man that he is, this would be a total problem. But not only is he the man that he is, but he might be more than the man that he is. You know, you might not even understand the level of sacrifice that he that he's taking and has taken just to get to that point where he could stand in front of the country and say, "You're all going to get the fat drug or close to it." Amazing. Amazing accomplishment.
All right. But the drama was that one of the executives who was there to just attend, he was in the background, he had some kind of medical event. We don't know the details. We don't need to. He's we're we're told that he's fine now, but he he passed out. Now, what did the Democrats say about this? Of course, they took one picture out of context to say that Trump must be a psychopath because he's just standing there looking. What? What? What kind of standard is that for judging people? All right, let me tell you what I saw and then you tell me if that's what you saw. Now, I'm just going to read my post because I liked how I wrote it. Um, so right in the middle of Trump's Oval Office announcement on slashing prices for weight loss meds like Wegovy, Zepbound, uh, this this, uh, Novo Nordisk, executive, his name is Gordon Finley. So, he, uh, he passed out. Now, here's what all the participants did when when the event happened. So the first thing that happened was that uh the man starts to collapse. You know, he's he looks like he's unsteady and the speaker notices. The speaker was one of the CEOs. So the first thing that the speaker does is he stops what he's doing and he turns his attention to the person who looks like he's having a medical problem. Was that the right thing to do? Yes, it was. Yeah. So as as gigantic as this moment was for both the pharma and for Trump, everybody knew to stop what they're doing and give their full attention to whatever this was because it was more important at the moment. The people standing next to him that just happened to be closest. They saw him going down and they grabbed him and they uh they protected him as he fell. So they protected him so he went gently down to the floor where you'd want him to be if he can't stand and didn't hit his head or anything. They just gently put him down. So they acted immediately to his service. As soon as the guy hit the floor and even before he was on the floor, Dr. Oz, who I believe was the closest doctor, was already on it. He had already rushed in and was starting to give whatever doctors do when they get there first. So Dr. Oz rushes in. You, if you watch the video, you see that RFK Jr. who'd be standing in the back immediately moves in the other direction away from the guy. What do you think he was doing? I don't know. But if I were RFK Jr., I would know that there is always medical staff on the other side of the wall from wherever the president is. Right there. There's no way there wouldn't be a gurney and an ambulance and a medical staff right on the other side of the wall cuz they wouldn't be in the room, but they would be right nearby. Now, RFK Jr. probably, and this is just a guess, I can't read his mind. Probably said, "We'd better make sure that those guys, you know, the medical people with the gurneys and the ambulance better make sure that the door is unlocked and they know to come in." So probably he did the thing that is the smartest thing he could have done, which is make sure they had already been alerted. And if they had been alerted, just open the door. Just open the door and let them in because maybe somebody needs to hold the door. So RFK did exactly what he should do because he's not the doctor. Dr. Oz did exactly what he should do because he is the doctor. And then Trump, what should Trump do in this situation? Should Trump push them away and administer CPR? No. No. He's got a room full of people who probably included more than one doctor and probably there were doctors on the other side of the the door as I said. No. What he should do because Trump is not in charge of that patient. Trump is in charge of the room. He's in charge of the room and also the country. So, what did you want him to do as the guy who's in charge of the room? I'll tell you what I wanted. I wanted him to stand up to show the respect that this situation demands. He stood up. I want him to look at what's happening because this situation demands that he look at it and assess what's going on and decide what, if any, uh, involvement he should have. Having looked at it and stood, he was then in charge of the room, not the patient. He was in charge of the room, not the patient. And the room didn't know what was going on. But having your president standing up there resolute and knowing that he's trusting the experts behind him to do what needs to be done, and they did. And fortunately, the the gentleman appears to be fine. We don't know his problem, but that's what I wanted him to do. I wanted him to show respect, wait, and know when it's his time. So, what Trump knew is that this was not his time. This was not his time. And so, he stepped back. What do you want that's better than that? You know, he's getting people are calling him a psychopath because he didn't, you know, rip the guy's shirt off and give him the give him some kind of a treatment or something. What exactly was he supposed to do? Was he supposed to push Dr. Oz away and say, "I got this because the cameras are rolling." No. He did exactly what I want my president to do. Not only did he hire competent people who immediately acted in exactly the right way, but he knew when to stay out of the way. You can't beat that really.
Um, now some of you might recognize how biased I am on this on this topic. Did you pick that up? Did you pick up any obvious bias from me on this topic? Oh, I have bias. So, here was my real my real situation. So, I you know, I uh was busy most of the day. So, I was catching up with the story, you know, the story about the guy who collapsed in the office. Um, and I'm reading about how Dr. Oz was the first one to step in. Now, Dr. Oz was also uh he he also was one of the people that Trump asked to get involved in my situation when I needed a little little boost with my health care provider. Now I don't know if you know I still don't know the reality of what did or did not happen. So I'm not blaming Kaiser for anything. Uh just that I had a lack of information for a while and it took longer than I thought. Uh, that's all I know. That took longer than I thought and I didn't know why. So, uh, Dr. Oz solved that for me. And as I'm reading the story about how he had also jumped in to fix this guy, I'm thinking to myself, why is it that these Trump related people have learned that they can do more than regular people? How do they get so much done? Like, how do they It's just how do they get so much done? And as I'm reading about Dr. Oz and I'm thinking, you know, fondly about how he had helped me personally, maybe he kept me alive. I don't know. Maybe he made the difference between life and death. Could have been. Uh my phone rings and it's Dr. Oz. I swear to God, this really happened. I'm reading about him for the first time, about this incident for the first time. And Dr. Oz calls me and he asked me how I'm doing and if I'm getting enough help from my medical providers cuz that's what he made sure happened and the answer is yes. Yes, I am. I'm getting great great reaction from my medical care Kaiser Northern California. So I'll give him a shout out. You know the way I judge everything the way I judge everything is not by any mistake. I judge everything by reaction. What did you do when somebody complained? If I judged Kaiser by how happy I was, you know, a month ago, that would be different from how happy I am now because the way they reacted to it was excellent. So, they're they're doing a great job at the moment. Um, so that's my thing. Now, do do you realize how how weird it is to be me that you're reading a story in the news and then the subject of the news calls you as you're reading the story? It's so weird. It's totally weird. But we're a simulation, maybe.
All right. So, I guess after all that, Democrats will claim that uh Trump stole their democracy by not giving CPR to the guy who fell down or some damn thing. Um, moving on. Even John Fetterman heaped praise on Trump, said that Trump was uh did a great job on slashing that weight loss drug price from $1,000 to as low as 149. Um, and he told his story about being a stroke survivor and apparently he used it for his heart health, uh, which I believe is one of the one of the drugs involved. And he said, "I've called to make these drugs more accessible, blah blah blah." All right, here's my take. If you're not tired about me talking about Fetterman too much, I get it. I get it. He's on the other side. You You don't want to give him attention, blah blah blah. But I'm going to talk about his persuasion game so that you can learn that. Okay? So, this is about learning persuasion. It's not about me wanting Fetterman to be my next president or anything like that. Just focus on the persuasion part. You'll be fine.
So, I love the fact that he found his own lane, meaning that as soon as the president does something that you could sort of imagine a reasonable Democrat might be in favor of, and this would be obviously something a reasonable Democrat should be in favor of. Um then the press knows to go to him first. Not only because he's good at the quotes that they can use because he he speaks in abbreviated non word salad way maybe because of the um stroke maybe and maybe he was just always brief. I don't know but he's he's good at being brief and that makes better quotes. So he's carved out this little niche where he will always get attention um from I don't know maybe half of all topics they'll come to him first. That is so good and persuasion wise if if you can camp out as the person they have to talk to first because everybody expects you to then you've accomplished the Trump first and most important play. Remember in 2015 everybody said, "Well, you can't win just by getting the most attention." Can't you? Maybe you can win by getting the most attention. No, that's not enough. You still have to have a lot going for you, but he solves for one of the problems that you got all these other politicians. Maybe a lot of them would like to be president someday, but he's figured out how to make them come to him. That's what Trump does. He makes them come to him just by being more interesting and by doing something that's not the same freaking thing that everybody else is doing. So in in terms of attention grabbing, A+. So learn that lesson. Learn that lesson.
But there's more. Um here here's the bigger lesson. Do you remember in uh the first term and really into the second election cycle uh the Democrats were all about Trump's bad personality? It's like, oh, he says bad things about people. Oh, our our allies will not trust us as much because he can't be trusted. Oh, he told four gazillion bazillion 14 gazillion lies. And it was all about his character and his personality. When was the last time you saw the enemy press enemy to Trump? Uh when was the last time they reported the number of lies he's told? Did anybody notice they stopped doing that? They just stopped. What wasn't it the number one thing they reported all the time? Well, he's got five more lies today and three were in this sentence and two were in this and they don't even bother fact checking him. Do you know why they don't fact check him? Because people got used to it. Remember the Virginia Adams rule? People can get used to anything if they do it long enough. Anything. So, I think the world just got used to Trump. He was normalized. And of course it only helps because you know he did a good job as president, you wouldn't want to normalize something that was bad. But he's totally normalized. So now when he says something like he he's dumping on Nancy Pelosi like earlier. Can you imagine any other president doing that? You can't. But in the old days they would have said no other president would do that and therefore it was a mistake for him to do it. Do they do that now? No they don't. Now they just say, "Uh, that's just what he does." So once you've normalized it, you have this superpower. So Trump can simply say and do things that other people can't say and do because he got you used to it. Fetterman's doing the same thing. I don't know how conscious this is, but what Fetterman is doing is making the Democrats get used to the idea that he could agree with the Republicans. The first 20 times he does it, they won't be used to it. Maybe the first 50 times they won't be used to it. But somewhere around the hundredth time, you know, because you can repeat the same things over and over. Somewhere around the hundredth time, they're just going to want to think about something else and they'll just get used to it. And then he'll be the only person who can do this and we'll be used to it. That's when he becomes dangerous. If we get used to this, meaning Democrats specifically, he's gonna have a little superpower there in persuasion. And uh just watch that.
Here's another guy named John Shewchuk. I think he's at Climate Craze. Um, one of the things he does is he looks for um for data recording stations, temperature recording stations that are out of service but have not been reported as out of service. So, so far he found his post on X 196 ghost stations where the NOAA fabricates temperatures. In other words, they just estimate the temperatures because the actual data doesn't exist. Now, how comfortable do you feel if I tell you that 196 temperature stations are not even real? And if you don't have the right data for temperature, then you have trillions of dollars that could be wasted because you had the wrong temperatures. All right, I'm watching the comments to see if you know where I'm going on this. Do you know where I'm going on this? How many times have I told you? You're gonna be mad at yourself if you didn't get this one before I tell you. What's it mean when they tell you the number without the percentage? What's it mean if they tell you the percentage but not the raw number? It means it's Now, I hate the fact that this guy's on my side because I think that the temperature measurements are probably pretty sketchy. So I'm modified in general but if you're looking at it just as persuasion when somebody gives you a raw number without the without the what's the total number of now if I had to ask you how many do you think there are how many how many uh temperature measurements stations are there what do you think 196 were ghosts didn't exist but how many how many do exist in America it's over 10,000 in the world it's over 20,000 and already according to Grok I'm going to assume that's true um so that would be 1.85% of just the US um measurements if 1.85% of the US measurements were interpolated, you know, just took an average of what was around it. Would you get necessarily a terrible answer? I don't know. I don't know. But it makes a big difference if you think 196 is a big number versus less than 2%. And but the bigger problem is really there's 10,000 of these measurements in the US, but only 20,000 in the rest of the whole world. I mean that would be another 10,000. Does that mean that what happens in the US just sort of naturally counts for more and wouldn't that distort things? So I just have a question mark about that.
All right. So uh I don't want to criticize John because I do love his work. Meaning that if he's really finding the number of uh ghost stations that could only be good. I mean there's no downside to that. So that's good work. Appreciate it. But just know that I'm teaching my audience that the raw number without the percentage, that's not good. And vice versa.
I have to drink like like Trump did in that one video where we have to use both hands. I also have to stay hydrated, get all the radiation out of me.
All right. Um, here's something I taught you on persuasion, but I'm going to give you another example which should be helpful. Um, I call it the category problem. Have you heard me talk about this? If you're trying to decide if something is true or false, you see something in the news. The first filter I put on it is what I call the category problem. Now, the category problem is that has the has something that sounds like this ever been true? Not this, but things that sound like it. For example, if you got an email that a Nigerian prince had this deal for you and was going to give you a bunch of money if you floated them a little money in advance, would you consider that likely to be true or likely to be false? Well, the category is is false every time, but that doesn't mean there couldn't ever be a Nigerian prince, right? Like maybe maybe they're all false until they're not. No, it it's best to assume it's false because the category is just such a big red flag. Here's another one. If somebody says they have a universal cancer cure in the form of a pill and it already works on rats, are you going to get that cancer pill in a few years? No, you're not. No, because how many times has cancer been cured in the news but not in reality? Thousands of times. So that category I just like there was one in the news today exactly like that. Oh, we got a cure for all cancers. I didn't even post it because it's a category that's just never true. Um, here's another one. A pill that reverses aging. If you if you see a story that the scientists have now come up with a pill that reverses aging, that's in the category of things that are never true. I don't know anything about that particular pill, but the category never true. And that brings us to my next story. Uh some scientists in China claim they've invented a pill that is uh gives you the same benefits of exercise in terms of your overall health. You know, exercise is good for you in all the different ways, but they allege they've created a pill that would give you the same benefits of exercise. You still have to exercise if you want bigger muscles. It doesn't give you muscles. So, just to be clear, it doesn't make your muscles bigger. It gives you just some of the health benefits that exercise would give you. Do you believe that's true? Category problem. It's a big category problem. No, I don't believe it's true. I do not believe that as soon as they're done testing on the rats, you know, in say 3 years or whatever, that they're going to have a pill that makes you young again or makes you feel healthier again in all the ways that youth does. I doubt it.
Well, the other big question, uh, oh, and then Priscilla Chan and Mark Zuckerberg are, believe it or not, they're on the A16Z podcast, which I haven't seen yet, but I imagine is an amazing podcast because that would be amazing people involved. Um, so I guess, uh, Mark Zuckerberg and his wife Priscilla Chan were on, Dr. Priscilla Chan and uh they've created this initiative where they're trying to basically cure and prevent and manage all disease by the end of the century. All disease um by the end of the century. Well, that'll take some work. Anyway, uh do you think that they will cure all disease by the end of the century? I don't know, but I'm in favor of them trying. Sure. That you know, I always say that's the beauty of the American billionaires. If you're an American billionaire, you have a lot of pressure to invest in things that could be big, you know, benefits to the world, but the the government isn't on it for some reason. I mean, I would feel that if I were a billionaire. So, that's the good thing our billionaires can do.
James Carville said that he would quote bet a lot of money that Democrats will win in 2028 to get the presidency and the um and the house and that they would pack the Supreme Court to 13 people so they could control it. Uh he says at first they would do the normal bureaucracy thing where they would just have some committee and the committee would come back and say, "Oh yes, the fairest best thing we could do is 13 people on the Supreme Court." And then he says they'll definitely do it. And he says the Democrats will definitely win the presidency in 2028. What do I say in response to that? The Democrat will definitely win the presidency in 2028. Now, we're hearing also from a lot of pro MAGA people. Um, I think I saw Mike Cernovich say something on this this topic on X that uh we don't really have a Republican party that's strong. There's a there's a MAGA faction that's strong, but even the MAGA faction is empty without Trump. So that it's really just a Trump party and if he leaves that we don't really have anybody who could win. Is that true? Do you think JD couldn't win? Um, a lot of people act like he's the obvious choice. I've also acted like he's the obvious choice, but that doesn't mean he'll be the choice. It just means he's the obvious one from this point of view at this time, etc. And his skills are impressive. His his talent stack's impressive. He's not Trump though, right? And so what I say to uh James Carville is challenge accepted. I believe that a Republican can win in 2028, but that we have not necessarily identified that Republican. Not necessarily. Um but they would need some persuasion training, which I believe none of them have. I'd be happy to give it to them if they need it. Uh but trained properly in persuasion, uh I think a Republican who is at least Trumpy enough in in policies could win, but it would take tremendous skill. It would take a lot of skill. I do believe that Vance is somebody who could pick up a talent stack, you know, in an hour. Like that's that's the kind of intelligence we're talking about. Somebody who could learn a whole thing in an hour. Like a complicated thing and if they play it right, they can win this. But they don't have anybody, in my opinion, they probably don't have anybody who's the right person with the right training right now. Like if they if they had the election today, I don't think a Republican would win. But could they win in 2028 with the right positioning, etc.? It's doable. It's doable, but it's going to be hard. Like really hard, but doable.
Here's the weirdest part about 2028. The weirdest part is if Trump solves too many problems during his term, and he's on the verge of doing that, there won't be enough problems left to solve for a potential Republican. If the reason you voted for Trump is because of the border and it's just solved, why would you vote for the other Republican? You need another reason. The border was a real good reason because that was just so scary and so big and it it just had so much impact on everything. But what's the thing after that? Unfortunately, it's affordability and the and the Democrats are owning affordability at the moment. So, uh, there's going to have to be some problems that Trump doesn't solve just so the the next Republican candidate has something to talk about, they're running out of things to talk about, right? I mean, if it turns out that, you know, 3 years from now, everybody smart agrees that tariffs were a tremendous idea and they brought in money and it didn't break too many things. Well, then whoever the Republican is will just keep doing it. But it's not like a winning strategy or anything. So you got to find that thing that everybody understands needs to be solved. And unfortunately, I would hate to say that the only thing left to solve would be the debt because I don't know what the hell you do about that. Anyway, maybe it's the tariffs to solve the debt. So, but John Stewart, every I think we're at the phase where everybody's worried about their own team. Uh John Stewart said that Democrats are still a mess uh after the last election and he says, "I truly believe they're a mess." And then he said, I tried to uh capture the essence of this quote. I might have missed a word. He said, "There's an underlying energy in the country that none of us could have imagined and that needs to be channeled." None of us could have imagined. Uh, I'm pretty sure every Republican imagined it. That's why Trump's the president. The Republicans were totally imagining it. They didn't have to imagine it. They felt it. They were in it. They were part of it. But, so I guess he's talking about Democrats had no idea what the country is really like. Now, I love John Stewart as an entertainer and I think he adds a lot even to the political process despite being a entertainer first. But he never is. He looks like a guy who's never had like a regular job, has he? Cuz there's some things he's just sort of missing that feel like you would not be missing if you had a regular job with co-workers and stuff, you know? Maybe maybe being around normal people. The the the people who work in comedy, I think, hang around with people in comedy more than anything else. Anyway, so when he says there's an underlying energy in the country that none of us could imagine needs to be channeled, to me that's just a a word salad way of saying your policies are bad. If the Democrats had better policies, you don't think they would own everything. I think they'd be in charge. They just need better ideas. So every time they think it's not that their candidates are bad and their policies are bad, they're just lost. They're going to have to say, "Our policies are bad. Our candidates are bad. Get a better candidate. Do something."
Anyway, apparently, every state has now applied for the $50 billion or a piece of the $50 billion rural health fund, which was approved in the big beautiful bill. The Hill is writing about this, Nate Weixel. So, I guess they all had to apply for their part, but they all have done it, so that's good. And that's the money that would transform rural health so that uh so that they can get health care to poor people in rural places that don't have I guess it's people who don't have healthcare. Um so each state has to say how they're going to use the money and get it approved. Um and that was the backstop against whatever is going to happen. Now, if JD or any other future Republican could figure out a real workable plan that would either make food substantially cheaper or or make healthcare substantially cheaper, I don't think Trump's going to solve those. I think he'll take a bite out of them. Um, you know, I think he'll do he'll do what's doable, but there's always going to be something left over that's not doable easily. So, so getting everybody healthcare I think is worth doing some way, but there's got to be a Republican way to do that or I'll call it a let's say an independent way to do it. Um I don't want to do it just by giving more money to people who can pay double for Obamacare. There's got to be some just fundamental reworking of how we do stuff. And then maybe AI. I I've always always thought that the government should offer the Let me let me run this idea by you. I don't know if I've ever mentioned this before, but I always had the idea that maybe everybody could have what they want, which is what if the people who want to be socialists and want to get cheap food and all that, what if the government gave it to them and said, "All right, you guys, you guys are going to live the the socialist path." Um and the rest of you will pay as you go, but you won't have to pay for the socialist somehow. Is there any way that you could have the the socialist plan work somewhere where if you really really wanted that to be your life, you could go to, you know, let's say some part of some state and you can move there and say, "Look, you could have everything you you asked for. We don't know if that'll be good for you, but you're adults. You get you get to pick. So if you live here, you get to have a, you know, a community garden and you'll share some food and maybe you won't have a car for everybody and maybe you don't mind they have to walk everywhere, right? But it it seems like there's some way you could carve out the people who aren't going to get healthcare under a current costly system or even enough food under a costly system and just put them in their own little bucket with fewer choices. So I think they'd be okay if they had fewer choices if the alternative is not having anything. Yeah.
Anyway, um an appeals court is going to let Trump revive his bid to overturn criminal convictions in that hush money case. The hush money case or 34 34 uh convictions on that. Um so just the news is writing about this. So the second circuit court uh are going to let him keep going on that. So we'll see if that ever gets overturned. It was a three judge panel. Uh and the three judge panel said that the court had bypassed what we consider to be important issues bearing on the ultimate issue of good cause. Uh so that they did not rule on whether Trump is guilty or innocent. They just ruled on they ruled on ruling basically.
Um here's a funny comment from somebody on Twitchy Doug P. He notes that Mamdani is asking people to send him money so that they could get free stuff in return, which is a funny way to frame it. And it's exactly right. So the candidate who's promising you free stuff can't give you free stuff until you give him money. Wait, that's not free. Well, I guess you don't you don't have to personally give him money, but unless a lot of people give him money, he won't be able to give you money back. Now, I guess the promise is if you give him enough money and then he gets elected, which he did, uh, he would help you get some money back. So, basically, it's just a money laundering operation that he's he's disguised as a candidacy. That's what it looks like. Anyway, that's what's happening there.
Um and then uh Fox News is reporting that uh the reason the Democrats won big on those three big elections recently is that they focus on domestic economic policy. Emma Bushey's writing this on Fox News. Do you think that's it? Do you think it's because they focus on domestic stuff as opposed to international stuff? I don't know. I didn't really see that happening. I don't remember anybody bringing up Oh, maybe they did if you're talking about specifically Israel. Yeah, I'll withdraw my comment. Yeah, it did turn into a lot of Israel talk when it could have been a lot more about affordability. Now, when I was praising Mamdani's communication skills about the word affordability, somebody pushed back on me on X and said, "Scott, politicians have been promising affordability since the beginning of time. Why is that so new?" To which I said, "Really? Which politician was using the word affordability? Can you think of one? Can anybody think of one who used the word not the concept? I'm talking about the word affordability. I don't remember anybody doing that. They may have used it in a sentence once, but it was never a key part of any platform that I'm aware of. And so the my critic after I said I'm not aware of anybody use it. Um said he did a search and he put affordability in quotes and asked if anybody had pushed affordability in quotes as a politician. And guess what? It turns out that if you put it in quotes, people have done it. But that's not the same thing. I'm talking about the actual choice of the specific word affordability. It doesn't count if you were talking about lowering costs. You had to use the actual word. I don't remember anybody doing it. I saw some people saying Kemp and Clinton, but I was alive then. I don't remember that. Don't remember it at all.
All right. There's a study, University of British Columbia, Tom Leslie, is writing about this that uh if you talk with your hands, there's a way to do it that makes you more persuasive. But it's not just moving your hands randomly. So, I have trouble lifting my arm now. But if you were just going blah blah blah randomly with your hands, that doesn't add anything. But if you use your hands to tell the story, apparently that registers quite uh strongly as making you more persuasive. So the example they use is if you caught a fish and you're telling the story, it helps to, you know, use your hands to show the size of the fish because then it becomes like a visual slash verbal story. So just ask me, Scott, if you use your hands to make the story more visual, will it be more persuasive? Yes. I've been teaching you for years that visual beats purely audio. If you add the two of them together, it's better than either one. Either one by themselves.
Japan's going to team up with the US to mine some rare earth in the Pacific. So Bloomberg is reporting this. That seems good. They're going to go into that rare earth rich mud that's 6,000 feet down. I don't know how much work the US is doing on that, but I'm pretty happy how the administration is capitalizing on our on our allies, which might be leaning on them. We might be leaning on them a little bit, but they need the rare earth, too. So, if us plus them can get us, you know, both more rare earth, win-win. And I don't think there was a better way to do it. Don't think there was a better way to do it. But here, let let me give you an instant prediction that I've never made before because I never thought about it until right now. If the biggest problem in the world turns out to be not enough rare earth minerals, how long will it be before Elon Musk looks at all of his assets and says, "You know, robots could dig a lot of rare earth materials." You know, the electric cars could carry them away. And now he's introducing the electric uh the all electric big trucks, the big rigs. So, he can transport it. He can dig it. He can dig it. I don't know if they need satellites to locate it, but he's got those. Uh, and he would be the best engineer to figure out how to do it safely. Maybe just with robots. So, my prediction is this. If we don't get on top of this problem soon, I think there would be pressure on Elon to solve it because people would say, "We're pretty sure nobody else could solve this. It would just be capability. He'd be able to do it. Maybe nobody else could. They would just ask him ask him to step in. Could happen."
And let's see. Um, as you know, the Colombian is reporting, Kelly Livingston, that the Department of Energy wants to quadruple our nuclear power uh over the next 25 years, but that would require tripling our workforce that that are trained in nuclear stuff. We are very under skilled for nuclear compared to how much we want to build it out. So, does that seem un that that seems solvable? I think if you took a bunch of engineers or engineering students, you said you got you got three or four years to learn nuclear, they'd be in pretty good shape after three or four years. So, as long as we're producing them at the source and that enough people are signing up for those majors, we'll be fine.
Oh, here's some good news. Kazakhstan is joining the Abraham Accords. Kazakhstan. Now, a lot of you are waiting for this. A lot of people have said to me, you know, I like those Abraham Accords, but where's Kazakhstan? Why is Kazakhstan so silent over this? Well, Albania is also silent. We have heard nothing about Albania, but Kazakhstan, they're in. Maybe there'll be more later. We'll see.
All right, people. People, that's my one-handed show. No, not what you think. But it took me a little longer to uh get it all done today because I'm literally using one hand. We're hoping that some of the achievements will fix the other hand. But I don't know. Maybe, maybe. Yes. I might be done drawing because I can't draw with my left hand. And at the moment, I'm pretty sure I can't draw with my left hand, but I'll try it today just to see. So, I might be retiring today or I might be taking a month off to see if I can get my uh muscles back, but I'm going to have to work this out. So, we'll work it out together one way or the other. I I could always sketch it more generally and then have my art director finish it. Uh so, there's always a plan. It won't it won't necessarily mean there's less Dilbert. It might mean there's less of my artwork that goes into the first draft. Probably. Probably. You and you already know that I switched from right-handed to left-handed to draw because I burned out my right hand just from regular drawing. Uh yeah. Well, you know, nothing's perfect. Nothing's perfect. Everybody's got a problem.
All right. I'm going to say a few words privately to the locals subscribers. If I can get my one defective hand to click the right place. Let me get this hand off. One hand doesn't lift up and the other hand is too weak. All right. So everybody else, I'll see you I hope tomorrow. I hope you got something out of the lessons. Man, I wish I could find my cursor. There it is. And uh we're going to go privately with the local supporters in 30 seconds.
Good morning.
How about some lights?
Turn on some lights for you.
Oh, my hand barely works.
Oh, come on.
Hand.
There you go.
Has anybody checked the stocks today?
Stocks.
Okay.
Let me check and see if it's a smile or a grimace.
Continue.
Smile or grimace.
It's a grimace.
What did Tesla do after the big announcement?
Wonder if these are old.
Is this yesterday's numbers?
I don't see how Tesla could have gone down after yesterday.
Did it?
Looks like it's just wrong.
Maybe that's not updated.
Yeah.
All right, we'll wait and see.
Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time.
But if you'd like to take chance on elevating your experience to levels that nobody can even understand with her tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass of tanker shellstein canteen jugger flask a vessel of any kind.
Fill it with your favorite liquid.
I like coffee.
And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day.
The thing that makes everything better.
It's called the simultaneous sip.
It happens now.
Go.
All right.
Let me make sure I can see your local comments special.
It would be right over here.
If you don't mind, I'm a little slow and getting a little less done because I'm literally working with one hand today.
One hand and half a brain.
Uh, there you are.
Comments are working.
Everything's looking good.
Looking good.
Hey, do you know what day today is?
Does anybody know what day today is?
It's the day you find out that the Dilbert calendar is available and for sale for those few of you who have not already scooped it up.
I see a lot of you are being smart and acting fast.
I swear to God the next thing I say is actually literally true and not just the ordinary marketing thing that people say all the time in this situation.
We probably didn't make enough of them.
So, if you're thinking to yourself, and by the way, we did that intentionally because I have to pay for them advance because it's a American it's an American situation and we worked on a deal where I would make sure that they uh would limit any risk on their side, which seemed fair because my precarious situation.
Um, so I've already paid for the calendars to be printed, but I didn't want to print, you know, three times more than people might want.
So, we're a little bit underprinted, we think, but we don't know, right?
It's hard to hard to anticipate, but I wouldn't wait is what I'm saying.
If if you thought you wanted one, waiting would be a bad strategy.
Sooner is better.
All right.
And as you know, I like to start the show while people are streaming in with a reframe from my book that's been out for a while, but it's the newest one.
Reframe your brain.
Changing lives every day.
Let's see.
I'm going to change somebody's life today with a new reframe.
If you're new to this, a reframe doesn't require any work on your part.
You just have to hear it.
And if it's a good one, and if it applies to you, uh, the hypnosis will kick in.
It's not really hypnosis.
It's just persuasive.
All right, here's one.
Uh, death is a tragedy, and I need to feel bad about it.
Do any of you have an issue about maybe you lost a loved one and you feel obligated to feel bad about it?
Not just obligated, but you feel bad about it.
Well, death is a tragedy and uh it's there's nothing wrong with feeling bad about it, but you don't want to do it forever.
Here's the reframe.
The person who's deceased has no more problems.
How did I make this about me?
How do you make it about yourself?
This is literally only about the deceased person and their problems just ended.
So as soon as you make it not about yourself, you can get by it a lot easier, right?
You you've solved all the problems for the deceased.
They have nothing else to worry about.
Their work is done.
And if the reason you feel bad is because they were so good in this world or you love them so much, well then your work is really done because you have the right feeling about them and they did the right things and that was great and nothing lasts forever.
How about here's another one on the same topic.
So you've got two to work with on death.
Um, one is that, and this, by the way, I've I've used this one before, um, with with the public, I mean, and some people have reported back that this completely changes their their reaction to a death of somebody that they cared about.
All right, listen to this one.
So, the usual frame is that death is a tragedy.
Duh.
Of course, death is a tragedy.
But that leaves you in that tragedy hole if that's how you're seeing it.
If it's only a tragedy, that's pretty bad.
it's going to last.
But here's a way to reframe it.
It's not more true or less true.
It's just useful to frame it this way.
Remember, it's not about truth.
It's about how you manage your brain.
And you can create new circuitry by just thinking about one thing more than another.
That's all it takes.
And that will make that circuit a little stronger.
So instead of saying death is a tragedy, the reframing is it is an honor to help another person pass.
I don't think there's a bigger honor than that.
You know, if you've watched family members, if you you've been part of it, who were an integral part of letting somebody pass to the next phase of their existence, whatever that is, that is the biggest honor you can have.
And everybody's going to, you know, everybody's going to die.
So, there's nothing you can do about it sometimes.
So, it's not always a tragedy explicit.
Well, it's not only it's not necessarily a tragedy only.
It is a tremendous honor that you get to be the person who's there on the final voyage.
That will help you a lot and everybody dies.
All right.
I wonder if there's any science that they didn't need to do because they could have just asked Scott.
Oh, here's some in Cypost.
Karina Petrova is writing that uh there's a new statistical model that successfully sorted people into their uh political group based on their use of X.
So apparently you can feed just the raw posts from X and AI will figure out not only are they Republican or Democrat but uh it'll figure out sort of where they fit even within those worlds.
Now, did they really need to do that study?
Do you think I couldn't look at a politician's posts and and guess where they fit in the political world?
Did I really need AI to do that?
No.
They should have just asked me.
You know, maybe Federman would have confused me, but the AI didn't get them all right.
I think AI only gets 75% of them right.
To which I say, I'm not really impressed by 75%.
I'm pretty sure I could have hit 90 without without breaking a sweat.
So could you.
Next time, just ask me.
Well, there's a new bill being floated.
We don't know how it'll do, but uh it's called the uh the US Senate is looking at a bill called the No Coffee Tax Act.
The No Coffee Tax Act.
Now, as uh Owen Gregorian pointed out on X, that is a really bad naming convention because the first part of it is no coffee.
I I don't want to vote for anything that has the words no coffee in it.
I don't even care that after it it says no coffee right now, but I'll give you a million dollars if you drink coffee in one minute.
I'd still be a little put off by the no coffee.
You know what I mean?
So, here's your persuasion lesson of the day.
There's going to be some more.
We've got some more persuasion coming up if you like that stuff.
Uh, don't don't name your thing the opposite of what it is.
The whole point of this is that we get more coffee.
Coffee.
Sorry, you're making me say coffee in my New York accent.
I didn't mean to slip into it, but sometimes.
Coffee.
How do you people say it?
Coffee.
Coffee.
Coffee.
Well, I'm gonna stick with coffee for now.
Um, so what it really is is I guess uh Rand Paul is behind this and I did not know this, but uh coffee in particular.
Coffee.
Stop mocking me for the way I say it.
You're mocking me at home.
I can hear you mocking me from home.
Stop it at Now you're talking to your dog saying, "Look at this guy.
Can't even say coffee." coffee.
All right.
Um Nick Brown from Daily Coffee News is reporting this.
Nick Brown from Daily Coffee News.
What a name.
All right.
Um the idea is that apparently there's big tariffs on coffee from Brazil in particular, which is the biggest impact on us.
So the tariffs are as high as 50%.
And that's enough to basically just, you know, destroy Starbucks.
I don't know if it will, but that's bad enough.
So, it's a big impact on our economy and on our people and on our budgets.
And tariffs, you know, you could call a tariff a tax.
Rand Paul does apparently.
And I wouldn't argue with that.
It's a form of a tax.
It's just not a normal one.
Uh has some advantages that taxes don't have, meaning that you can use them to negotiate with other entities.
Taxes don't usually have that.
But, uh, apparently they tried to get it through the no the no tax part.
They tried to get that through with a procedure that if you have unanimous consent, meaning that there's not even one person who says no to it, you can just kind of get it through without all the trouble.
So they tried that and there was exactly one person.
So there's a video of the session that shows that one person, his name is he's a Republican from Idaho and his name is Senator Mike Crao.
C R A P O.
So Mr.
Crapo uh said no.
So that's sent it back to I guess whatever process the full Senate has to follow which is going to take forever and your coffee will still cost too much.
So thanks for nothing.
Crapo.
Crapo.
Crapo.
That would be better than Khan.
If I were writing the that Star Trek, remember the Star Trek movie where Captain Kirk is being thwarted by Khan?
K h an K h an Khan.
And there's that famous thing where the bad actor, the the bad actor playing Captain Kirk, uh, goes, "Ch, con.
Wouldn't that be better if he was fighting crapo crapo?" All right, that's just me.
Well, there's a big Tesla event.
I think it's the big annual event.
Uh, and boy, was there news.
Ow, plenty of news.
Where do we start?
Uh, let's see the So, apparently there there's a video of a hand, a robot hand that for Optimus that looks like so amazing you can't believe that they got hands that good.
So, somebody I think it was Mario posted the uh video of the hand and uh Elon said that's version two.
Version three is way better.
If version three robot hand is better than the version two that I saw, that's going to be a big good hand.
And I heard uh Elon talking about it, the hands, and they would be better surgeons than people very soon.
Maybe in a year, there'll be better surgeons than people.
And uh there'll be better dexterity than people with hands.
You know, you always thought that, oh, maybe they can see better or hear better or remember better, but their hands will never be as good.
Well, apparently we're right at that crossover point.
So, you were born in the age when robots became more capable more capable than people.
What are the odds of that?
Is that doesn't that feel like a simulation to you?
Like, what are the odds?
No, I didn't skip the sip.
You missed the sip.
Don't blame me for skipping the sip.
Sometimes I skip the sip, but I did not skip it today.
You're the skipper.
I call you the skipper, not me, skipper.
All right.
Uh, lots of other Tesla news.
Uh, Elon says that Tesla is already the biggest robot company in the world in part because their cars are all robots.
They're just robots with wheels.
I accept that definition.
They are the biggest robot company.
Oh, I should tell you I have I do own some not a lot, but I own a Tesla stock.
So, anything I say about Tesla, you should put under the umbrella of that guy likes that stock.
It might go up.
So, maybe he's trying to drive up the stock.
Do not do anything that I do financially.
I do not give good financial advice.
You should not follow my advice.
>> >> If I thought my advice was better than other people financially, I'd tell you.
I'm not shy.
I'd tell you if it was better.
It just isn't.
Um anyway, here are the shocking things.
Uh that Elon believes that uh they're not going to have a way to get enough chips to do all the stuff, you know, their robots and cars and stuff that they need, and they might have to make their own.
So, they're thinking about building a quote gigantic chip factory.
What does gigantic mean in Elon's world?
Because every time he does something, it's so big you can't even hold it in your head.
Gigantic.
And I think you said something about working with Intel.
But it would make more sense to buy them, wouldn't it?
Wouldn't it make more sense for Tesla just to buy a chip company?
Then the part I wonder about is that um would we have the right skills in the United States to make the right kind of chips when no other country knows how to do it except you know Taiwan if Taiwan's the only place that knows how to make these chips?
Are they going to help Tesla?
Like why would they instead of just selling them the chips?
So, I don't know where that goes, but I do trust that Elon's probably one of the few people in the world that could solve the not enough AI chips problem.
Elon also says the entire Earth can be powered by sustainable energy with tech that exists today.
And then he talked about the megapac battery storage plants.
You know, whatever whenever anybody says, "Uh, Scott, you fool.
You're so behind the times when you don't understand that no matter how much solar power you have, Scott, did you know, and I know Scott, you look like an idiot, so you probably didn't know this, but I'll talk slowly so you understand, Scott, the sun is not out at night.
Okay, I'm done, you fool.
Like, how could you think this solar power is going to power the whole world when the sun isn't even down at night?
You idiot.
You fool.
Get out of my house.
That's what they usually say to me.
But did you know there are things called batteries?
Batteries.
B A T E R I E S.
Batteries.
It's a word you should learn.
And apparently what they'll do is they will store energy.
they'll actually store that energy all night long if you want if you got a big enough mega factory.
So these mega packac megaactories um are a big part of the structure but also th those might be as much you know for Tesla's own use.
They they will need these big factories for their own AI powering.
But did you know that if you add in the Tesla power walls, those would be the big batteries that you could add to your private home, that they're also worked.
I guess that's just part of it.
So you could store things in your home battery and if you stored more than you wanted to use, you could donate that to the network if it were set to do that.
Uh, I don't think it's quite set up to do exactly this, but couple of buttons and it's ready to go.
Uh, so they can work together.
There's already a million power walls installed.
A million.
He thinks big.
All right.
So, they can work together as a virtual power plant.
And uh, Elon also talked about the age of uh, permanent abundance.
I don't know if he used those words, but that's what I meant.
And he thinks that robots will basically provide all of our goods and services at what will approach zero cost over time and everybody will have everything.
So poverty will be eliminated.
Uh everybody will have enough food because the robots will just be out there tilling the fields as robots do and making us food.
And eventually he wants to get the cost of a robot down to 20,000.
Um, and here's what's interesting about this.
In order for a lot of uh Elon's predictions to come right, you know, things about robots and things about power and things about cars and stuff and even things about interplanetary travel.
In order for all of that stuff to work, or even any of it to work, he would have to understand human motivation and how people think and how they act and what they care about.
Now, how does that fit with the common assumption that he's asberers or we don't use anymore uh on the spectrum?
This is this is what confuses me.
How can you be on the spectrum and also be really good at humor, which he is, um and really good at figuring out human motivation, which he is.
Those are pretty much as close as you can get to the opposite of being on the spectrum.
Or does he compensate, not for the humor part, that's got to be natural, but does he compensate for um being different than other people by just learning how they think and just studying them like you study a maze and then you know how to get out of the maze.
It's not your maze, you just studied it.
So, I'm fascinated by that.
You know, I've never I've never talked to him in person.
It'll probably take me five minutes to figure out what's going on in person, but I only hear good things.
I only hear good things.
So, this is amazing.
Anyway, um but what I thought about while I was reading all these things that he's introducing to the world that he might be the first human being who could legitimately satisfy the political left and the political right.
Now, he can't run for president because he wasn't born here, but he's really the only one because somehow he made most of the people on the right appreciate him because he helped Trump get elected.
But then he also left under tremendous pressure by the left and but what he left too was this highly successful company that looks like it will solve the left's biggest concern, climate.
Now, even if you say, "But climate is not a crisis, whatever," it's nonetheless true that he's doing exactly what the left would want somebody to do, which is build a bunch of electric solar plants and batteries and electric cars.
Now, in the short run, you might argue, "But but but Scott, don't you know that they use more fossil fuels and regular fuels to build that stuff than they save?" I don't even know if that's true, but I do know that in the long run, you would get rid of those other sources and you could use the sun and then then everything that Elon's trying to do would come true.
The left would be delighted even if there's no climate crisis.
They'd be happy about it.
And the right would be happy because they like his his general work hard, build things, America first.
I mean, he's very he's very on point for the right.
At the same time, he's very on point for the left.
Name one other person in the world who is this perfectly suited for both the left and the right.
Now, again, I don't think he's going to write for he's not going to run for office.
That'd be crazy.
U if he did.
Uh even, you know, he's not going to run for senator.
That would be too small.
And presidents out in preach because of the constitution.
But boy, do I like him being involved just in general.
I guess his trillion dollar incentive package got approved by shareholders with a 75% vote.
That means 25% thought it wasn't a good idea to have him properly incentivized.
25% thought it was a bad idea to give the most productive person in the history of the planet a little extra if and if if he does a lot extra.
A lot extra.
You should see the terms of the deal for him to get a trillion dollars.
Do you have any idea why he would have to accomplish to get that?
Like we act like that's just going to automatically happen or something?
No.
You don't you don't automatically just go to work and then one day somebody gives you a trillion dollars.
First of all, let me teach you about how the news works.
years ago when Dilbert was newish and we're trying to get attention.
Uh, I got a multi-book book deal with a big publisher which we reported as a $25 million book deal.
Do you think I got $25 million from a book deal?
We told everybody it was a $25 million book deal.
So, wouldn't you think that I, as the author would get $25 million?
Nope.
Nothing like that.
Nothing like that.
That was the biggest number that the publisher would pay under the most optimistic uh assumptions for for I think five books.
So, first of all, it was five books.
So, it' be 5 million a piece.
Second of all, I shared 50% of what I made from Dilbert Books with my publisher, I'm sorry, with my syndicate.
And then I shared what's left with the publisher.
And then I paid taxes.
Do you know how much was left from the 25 billion?
I don't know.
Might have been five.
You know, maybe over the entire length of time.
Might have been five, something like that.
So when you say that somebody's got a trillion dollar uh pay package, the thing you should first ask is over how many years, the answer is 10.
So a trillion dollars over 10 years is a hundred billion a year.
Seems like he's worth it.
But here's what he would have to deliver.
He Tesla would have to go to $ 8.5 trillion market cap and it's only at 1.4 today.
Now it's in 10 years.
Could you get there?
That would be a 466% increase from today.
Do do you think he can do that?
I I think you probably can, but it's not guaranteed.
That's for sure.
So, the first thing you need to know is you can't you can't treat a trillion dollars that you might get the same as a trillion dollars you're definitely going to get.
And you can't treat money that's going to be spread over 10 years like it's money that you're getting today.
First of all, you know, the uh the value of money declines over time, etc.
A lot of things could happen.
We don't even know if people have automobiles in 10 years.
He's got to he's got to deliver 20 million vehicles cumulative.
I think that means since the beginning of Tesla.
Uh he's got to deliver a million Optimus robots, humanoid robots sold.
They actually have to be sold.
A million a million robo taxis taxis in operation and 10 million full self-driving subscriptions.
Now, what we don't know is if he gets a portion of the trillion, if he gets a portion of these, but not all of them.
Uh, that's a big deal.
I mean, if if he really doesn't get anything, unless he gets all of them, I don't think he would agree to that deal, but it's impressive.
And if successful, he would become the world's first trillionaire.
No, he wouldn't.
Th this is I I think this is just people who don't know how deals work.
Nobody's ever going to give him a trillion dollars.
There's no check for a trillion dollars.
It's over 10 years.
And I don't know if there's any sub payments in the 10 years or if he has to wait the whole 10 years.
But uh even when it's paid, remember some of it goes to taxes.
Nobody's going to get a check for a trillion dollars.
All right.
Uh, but how many of his products that he's working on now could become the biggest in that category forever?
All right, here are just a few things.
If Elon starts making chips and he's the best at manufacturing things that people didn't know how to manufacture, and chips are mostly a challenge of how do you manufacture them?
They're just hard to make.
So, he would be the best person who could ever take on that challenge.
So, what if he makes the biggest chip company?
Totally possible.
Even if the only person who buys them is his own company, you'd still be the biggest chip maker.
Uh, what about his power stuff?
Could he be the biggest in the world?
What about his AI?
Could it be the biggest in the world?
What about his robots and his cars?
Could he be the biggest in the world?
Yep, he's worth a trillion.
Well, as you know, Nancy Pelosi has announced a retirement.
And uh I wonder what Trump said about that.
Now, you might know that it was only recently that uh Pelosi said some terrible things about Trump.
Just terrible things.
He was stealing your democracy and he's the worst I think he says she said something like he's the worst person in the world because he's not just bad but he's the president so he has power plus he's bad so he's the worst person in the world.
The worst person in the world.
Um, so Trump pays her back because he's uh in the press conference there.
Somebody asked her about retirement and uh he made sure that he uh thought this through and gave them a gave them a quote which would guarantee that it dominated the news.
Did it?
Yes, I did.
Here's his quote about Nancy Pelosi.
I think she's an evil woman.
I'm glad she's retiring.
I think she did the country a great service by retiring now.
Trump about Nancy Pelosi.
Oh yeah.
Okay.
I'm just repeating the same thing.
The dictation services are are funny.
So I my one hand is too paralyzed now to to type.
So I've been using voice dictation.
And I found out that if you want to do the word country, c o u n t r y, uh I won't even tell you what it what it wrote down.
It was so naughty.
Very naughty.
Well, the Supreme Court made a decision that uh if you have a passport, you can only list yourself as male or female.
there will be no um inbetweens or no trans, no anything but male or female.
Now, I have mixed feelings about that honestly.
Um for adults, and we're only going to talk about adults.
We're not talking about children.
Children should not be, you know, I I have the same opinion you do, but um most of you anyway.
But for adults, I do think that adults should be able to run their own life.
And if they want to be trans, I'm okay with that.
Why wouldn't I be?
It's not my life, you know?
And if it doesn't bother me, yeah, just do whatever you need to do.
If you're an adult and it's not, you know, scaring the horses or something, go ahead.
So, I'm protrans in the freedom sense.
Everybody should have the freedom to do what they do that they need to do because they need to do it.
And it's none of my business if it doesn't bother me.
And it doesn't.
So I do wonder about the tradeoff because if somebody shows up in their trans identity, uh wouldn't that be harder for the passport people to sort that out?
So aren't we trying to make sure that it's easier faster?
easier or faster would be um I'm trans.
And then the person looks at him, they go, "Oh, okay.
You do look maybe they do look a little bit male.
Maybe they got an Adam's apple or something.
I'm no expert on any of this stuff." Uh and then that would perfectly explain why they were looking one way but listed as another way.
Wouldn't that be safer?
If if the only thing you care about is how safe you are, wouldn't you be safer if they listen to themselves the way they look, so you could know exactly what's going on there?
No.
All right.
So, I'm a little bit mixed on this one.
I I think I could be persuaded in either direction, but that's what happened.
So, I guess it's a done deal for now.
Um, did you see the video of Trump was announcing that uh they they made a tremendous success in lowering the cost of these weight loss drugs?
So, um, who is involved?
Uh, it's less it's less about the pharma, but there were a few pharma companies that got together and vastly lowered their cost for the weight loss drug from something like $1,000 to something like a hundred something.
So, a gigantic decrease in probably the most important thing.
Now, the the news part of it is that Trump is delivering on at least lowering the cost of some important drugs.
But here's the part you might have missed.
When uh RFK Jr.
was talking about it, he get he had his moment to talk there at the Oval Office with all the executives assembled.
And we'll talk about the the the guy who passed out, but uh RFK Jr.
is explaining to us um what a big lever this is because something like half of all of our health care costs are driven by obesity and we could practically eliminate it with these drugs if they were affordable and and Trump just made them affordable for a lot more people not everybody of course but we'll have to figure out a way that everybody can get them but this goes a long way goes a long way to lowering your health care costs because it lowers them two ways it's not just immediately lowering them because you wanted to take the fat drug, but you know, you couldn't afford it, but now you can.
But on top of that, he said that uh obesity is driving 50% of our health care costs.
Had you ever heard that before?
50%.
I knew it was a lot.
But here's what I like about RFK Jr.'s approach to everything.
He finds the best lever.
He doesn't go for the lowhanging fruit.
He goes for he goes for the highanging lever because if you can get that lever you change everything.
You imagine if the United States became not an obese country 50% of I I think half of all adults are obese.
If he took that down to 25% just by this action that would be one of the greatest accomplishments certainly of any cabinet member.
you may be the greatest accomplishment of any cabinet member.
And I don't think it would have happened without RFK Jr.
Do you do you think this would have happened with just a some kind of normal, you know, ordinary corporate guy who got the job because he was connected to somebody or something?
No.
No.
Trump took a took a chance and now you're seeing that uh his his instinct is good.
Trump's instinct that he could go with somebody who's a lifelong Democrat and it would help America.
That was a tough choice.
Do do you do you even understand how tough that was?
If this had not worked out and RFK Jr.
had turned out not to be the man that he is, this would be a total problem.
But not only is the is he the man that he is, but he might be more than the man that he is.
You know, you might not even understand the level of sacrifice that he t that he's taking and has taken just to get to that point where he could stand in front of the country and say, "You're all going to get the fat drug or close to it." Amazing.
Amazing accomplishment.
All right.
But the drama was that one of the executives who was there to just attend, he was in the background, he had some kind of medical event.
We don't know the details.
We don't need to.
He's we're we're told that he's fine now, but he he passed out.
Now, what did the Democrats say about this?
Of course, they took one picture out of context to say that Trump must be a psychopath because he's just standing there looking.
What?
What?
What kind of standard is that for judging people?
All right, let me tell you what I saw and then you tell me if that's what you saw.
Now, I'm just going to read my post because I liked how I wrote it.
Um, so right in the middle of Trump's Oval Office announcement on slashing prices for weight loss meds like WGON Zepbound, uh, this this, uh, Novo Nordisk, executive, his name is Gordon Finley.
So, he, uh, he passed out.
Now, here's what all the participants did when when the event happened.
So the first thing that happened was that uh the man starts to collapse.
You know, he's he looks like he's unsteady and the speaker notices.
The speaker was one of the CEOs.
So the first thing that the speaker does is he stops what he's doing and he turns his attention to the person who looks like he's having a medical problem.
Was that the right thing to do?
Yes, it was.
Yeah.
So as as gigantic as this moment was for both the pharma and for Trump, everybody knew to stop what they're doing and give their full attention to whatever this was because it was more important at the moment.
The people standing next to him that just happened to be closest.
They saw him going down and they grabbed him and they uh they protected him as he fell.
So they protected him so he went gently down to the floor where you'd want him to be if he can't stand and didn't hit his head or anything.
They just gently put him down.
So they acted immediately to his service.
As soon as the guy hit the floor and even before he was on the floor, Dr.
Oz, who I believe was the closest doctor, was already on it.
He had already rushed in and was starting to give whatever doctors do when they get there first.
So Dr.
Oz rushes in.
You, if you watch the video, you see that RFK Jr.
who' be standing in the back immediately moves in the other direction away from the guy.
What do you think he was doing?
I don't know.
But if I were RFK Jr., I would know that there is always medical staff on the other side of the wall from wherever the president is.
Right there.
There's no way there wouldn't be a gurnie and an ambulance and a medical staff right on the other side of the wall cuz they wouldn't be in the room, but they would be right nearby.
Now, RFK Jr.
probably, and this is just gas, I can't read his mind.
Probably said, "We'd better make sure that those guys, the act, you know, the medical people with the gurnies and the ambulance better make sure that the door is unlocked and they know to come in." So probably he did the thing that is the smartest thing he could have done, which is make sure they had already been alerted.
And if they had been alerted, just open the door.
Just open the door and let them in because maybe somebody needs to hold the door.
So RFK did exactly what he should do because he's not the doctor.
Dr.
Oz did exactly what he should do because he is the doctor.
And then Trump, what should Trump do in this situation?
Should Trump push them away and administer CPR?
No.
No.
He's got a room full of people who probably included more than one doctor and probably there were doctors on the other side of the the door as I said.
No.
What he should do because Trump is not in charge of that patient.
Trump is in charge of the room.
He's in charge of the room and also the country.
So, what did you want him to do as the guy who's in charge of the room?
I'll tell you what I wanted.
I wanted him to stand up to show the respect that this situation demands.
He stood up.
I want him to look at what's happening because this situation demands that he look at it and assess what's going on and decide what, if any, uh, involvement he should have.
having looked at it and stood, he was then in charge of the room, not the patient.
He was in charge of the room, not the patient.
And the room didn't know what was going on.
But having your president standing up there resolute and knowing that he's trusting the experts behind him to do what needs to be done, and they did.
And fortunately, the the gentleman is appears to be fine.
We don't know this problem, but that's what I wanted him to do.
I wanted him to show respect, wait, and know when it's his time.
So, what Trump knew is that this was not his time.
This was not his time.
And so, he stepped back.
What do you want that's better than that?
You know, he's getting people are calling him a psychopath because he didn't, you know, rip the guy's shirt off and give him the give him some kind of a treatment or something.
What exactly was he supposed to do?
Was he supposed to push Dr.
Oz away and say, "I got this because the cameras are rolling." No.
He did exactly what I want my president to do.
Not only did he hire competent people who immediately acted in exactly the right way, but he knew when to stay out of the way.
You can't beat that really.
Um, now some of you might recognize how biased I am on this on this topic.
Did you pick that up?
Did you pick up any obvious bias from me on this topic?
Oh, I have bias.
So, here was my real my real situation.
So, I you know, I uh was busy most of the day.
So, I was catching up with the story, you know, the story about the guy who collapsed in the office.
Um, and I'm reading about how Dr.
Oz was the first one to step in.
Now, Dr.
Graz was also uh he he also was one of the people that Trump asked to get involved in my situation when I needed a little little boost with my healthc care provider.
Now I don't know if you know I still don't know the reality of what did or did not happen.
So I'm not blaming Kaiser for anything.
Uh just that I had a lack of information for a while and it took longer than I thought.
Uh, that's all I know.
That took longer than I thought and I didn't know why.
So, uh, Dr.
Oz solved that for me.
And as I'm reading the story about how he had also jumped in to fix this guy, I'm thinking to myself, why is it that these Trump related people have learned that they can do more than regular people?
How do they get so much done?
Like, how do they It's just how do they get so much done?
And as I'm reading about Dr.
Oz and I'm thinking, you know, fondly about how he had helped me personally, maybe he kept me alive.
I don't know.
Maybe he made the difference between life and death.
Could have been.
Uh my phone rings and it's Dr.
Oz.
I swear to God, this really happened.
I'm reading about him for the first time, about this incident for the first time.
And Dr.
calls me and he asked me how I'm doing and if I'm getting enough help from my medical providers cuz that's what he made sure happened and the answer is yes.
Yes, I am.
I'm getting great great reaction from my medical care Kaiser Northern California.
So I'll give him a shout out.
You know the way I judge everything the way I judge everything is not by any mistake.
I judge everything by reaction.
What' you do when somebody complained?
If I judged Kaiser by how happy I was, you know, a month ago, that would be different from how happy I am now because the way they reacted to it was excellent.
So, they're they're doing a great job at the moment.
Um, so that's my thing.
Now, do do you realize how how weird it is to be me that you're reading a story in the news and then the subject of the news calls you as you're reading the story?
It's so weird.
It's totally weird.
But we're a simulation, maybe.
All right.
So, I guess after all that, Democrats will claim that uh Trump stole their democracy by not giving CPR to the guy who fell down or some damn thing.
Um, moving on.
Even John Federman, heaped praise on Trump, said that Trump was uh did a great job on slashing that weight loss drug price from $1,000 to as low as 149.
Um, and he told his story about being a stroke survivor and apparently he used Monero for his heart health, uh, which I believe is one of the one of the drugs involved.
and he said, "I've called to make these drugs more accessible, blah blah blah." All right, here's my take.
If you're not tired about me talking about Fedman too much, I get it.
I get it.
He's on the other side.
You You don't want to give him attention, blah blah blah.
But I'm going to talk about his persuasion game so that you can learn that.
Okay?
So, this is about learning persuasion.
It's not about me wanting Federman to be my next president or anything like that.
Just focus on the persuasion part.
You'll be fine.
So, I love the fact that he found his own lane, meaning that as soon as the president does something that you could sort of imagine a reasonable Democrat might be in favor of, and this would be obviously something a reasonable Democrat should be in favor of.
um then the press knows to go to him first.
Not only because he's good at the quotes that they can use because he he speaks in abbreviated nonword salad way maybe because of the um stroke maybe and maybe he was just always brief.
I don't know but he's he's good at being brief and that makes better quotes.
So he's carved out this little niche where he will always get attention um from I don't know maybe half of all topics they'll come to him first.
That is so good and persuasion wise if if you can camp out as the person they have to talk to first because everybody expects you to then you've accomplished the Trump first and most important play.
Remember in 2015 everybody said, "Well, you can't win just by getting the most attention." Can't you?
Maybe you can win by getting the most attention.
No, that's not enough.
You still have to have a lot going for you, but he solves for one of the problems that you got all these other politicians.
Maybe a lot of them would like to be president someday, but he's figured out how to make them come to him.
That's what Trump does.
he makes them come to him just by being more interesting and by doing something that's not the same freaking thing that everybody else is doing.
So in in terms of attentiongrabbing, A+.
So learn that lesson.
Learn that lesson.
But there's more.
Um here here's the bigger lesson.
Do you remember in uh the first term and really into the second election cycle uh the Democrats were all about Trump's bad personality?
It's like, oh, he says bad things about people.
Oh, our our allies will not trust us as much because he can't be trusted.
Oh, he told four gazillion bazillion 14 gazillion lies.
And it was all about his character and his personality.
When was the last time you saw the enemy press enemy to Trump?
Uh when was the last time they reported the number of lies he's told?
Did anybody notice they stopped doing that?
They just stopped.
What wasn't it the number one thing they reported all the time?
Well, he's got five more lies today and three were in this sentence and two were in this and they don't even bother factchecking him.
Do you know why they don't fact check them?
Because people got used to it.
Remember the Virginia Adams rule?
People can get used to anything if they do it long enough.
Anything.
So, I think the world just got used to Trump.
He was normalized.
And of course it only helps because you know he did a good job as president, you wouldn't want to normalize something that was bad.
But he's totally normalized.
So now when he says something like he he's dumping on Nancy Pelosi like earlier.
Can you imagine any other president doing that?
You can't.
But in the old days they would have said no other president would do that and therefore it was a mistake for him to do it.
Do they do that now?
No they don't.
Now they just say, "Uh, that's just what he does." So once you've normalized it, you have this superpower.
So Trump can simply say and do things that other people can't say and do because he got you used to it.
Fedman's doing the same thing.
I don't know how conscious this is, but what Fedman is doing is making the Democrats get used to the idea that he could agree with the rep Republicans.
The first 20 times he does it, they won't be used to it.
Maybe the first 50 times they won't be used to it.
But somewhere around the hundth time, you know, because you can repeat the same things over and over.
Somewhere around the hundth time, they're just going to want to think about something else and they'll just get used to it.
And then he'll be the only person who can do this and we be used to it.
That's when he becomes dangerous.
If we get used to this, meaning Democrats specifically, he's gonna have a little superpower there in persuasion.
And uh just watch that.
Here's another guy named John Shuchuk.
I think he's at Climate Craze.
Um, one of the things he does is he looks for um for data recording stations, temperature recording stations that are out of service but have not been reported as out of service.
So, so far he found his post on X 196 ghost stations where the NOA fabricates temperatures.
In other words, they just estimate the temperatures because the actual data doesn't exist.
Now, how comfortable do you feel if I tell you that 196 temperature stations are not even real?
And if you don't have the right data for temperature, then you have trillions of dollars that could be wasted because you had the wrong temperatures.
All right, I'm watching the comments to see if you know where I'm going on this.
Do you know where I'm going on this?
How many times have I told you?
You You're gonna be mad at yourself if you didn't get this one before I tell you.
What's it mean when they tell you the number without the percentage?
What's it mean if they tell you the percentage but not the raw number?
It means it's Now, I hate the fact that this guy's on my side because I think that the temperature measurements are probably pretty sketchy.
So I'm modified in general but if you're looking at it just as persuasion when somebody gives you a raw number without the without the what's the total number of now if I had to ask you how many do you think there are how many how many uh temperature measurements stations are there what do you think 196 were ghosts didn't exist but how many how many do exist in America it's over 10,000 in the world it's over 20,000 and already according to Grock I'm going to assume that's true um so that would be 1.85% of just the US um measurements if 1.85% 85% of the US measurements were interpolated, you know, just took an average of what was around it.
Would you get necessarily a terrible answer?
I don't know.
I don't know.
But it makes a big difference if you think 196 is a big number versus less than 2%.
And but the bigger problem is really there's 10,000 of these measurements in the US, but only 20,000 in the rest of the whole world.
I mean that would be another 10,000.
Does that mean that what happens in the US just sort of naturally counts for more and wouldn't that distort things?
So I just have a question mark about that.
All right.
So uh I don't want to criticize John because I do love his work.
Meaning that if he's really finding the number of uh ghost stations that could only be good.
I mean there's no downside to that.
So that's good work.
Appreciate it.
But just know that I'm teaching my audience that the raw number without the percentage, that's not good.
And vice versa.
I have to drink like like Trump did in that one video where we have to use both hands.
I also have to stay hydrated, get all the radiation out of me.
All right.
Um, here's something I taught you on persuasion, but I'm going to give you another example which should be helpful.
Um, I call it the category problem.
Have you heard me talk about this?
If you're trying to decide if something is true or false, you see something in the news.
The first filter I put on it is what I call the category problem.
Now, the category problem is that has the has something that sounds like this ever been true?
Not this, but things that sound like it.
For example, if you got an email that a Nigerian prince had this deal for you and was going to give you a bunch of money if you floated them a little money in advance, would you consider that likely to be true or likely to be false?
Well, the category is is false every time, but that doesn't mean there couldn't ever be a Nigerian prince, right?
Like maybe maybe they're all false until they're not.
No, it it's best to assume it's false because the category is just such a big red flag.
Here's another one.
If somebody says they have a universal cancer cure in the form of a pill and it already works on rats, are you going to get that cancer pill in a few years?
No, you're not.
No, because how many times has cancer been cured in the news but not in reality?
Thousands of times.
So that category I just like there was one in the news today exactly like that.
Oh, we got a cure for all cancers.
I didn't even post it because it's a category that's just never true.
Um, here's another one.
A pill that reverses aging.
If you if you see a story that the scientists have now come up with a pill that reverses aging, that's in the category of things that are never true.
I don't know anything about that particular pill, but the category never true.
And that brings us to my next story.
uh some scientists in China claim they've invented a pill that is uh gives you the same benefits of exercise in terms of your overall health.
You know, exercise is good for you in all the different ways, but they allege they've created a pill that would give you the same benefits of exercise.
You still have to exercise if you want bigger muscles.
It doesn't give you muscles.
So, just to be clear, it doesn't make your muscles bigger.
It gives you just some of the health benefits that exercise would give you.
Do you believe that's true?
Category problem.
It's a big category problem.
No, I don't believe it's true.
I do not believe that as soon as they're done testing on the rats, you know, in say 3 years or whatever, that they're going to have a pill that makes you young again or makes you feel healthier again in all the ways that youth does.
I doubt it.
Well, the other big question, uh, oh, and then Priscilla Chan and Mark Zuckerberg are, believe it or not, they're on the A16Z podcast, which I haven't seen yet, but I imagine is an amazing podcast because that would be amazing people involved.
Um, so I guess, uh, Mark Zuckerberg and his wife Priscilla Chan were on, Dr.
Priscilla Chan and uh they've created this initiative where they're trying to basically cure and prevent and manage all disease by the end of the century.
All disease um by the end of the century.
Well, that'll take some work.
Anyway, uh do you think that they will cure all disease by the end of the century?
I don't know, but I'm in favor of them trying.
Sure.
That you know, I always say that's the beauty of the American billionaires.
If you're an American billionaire, you have a lot of pressure to invest in things that could be big, you know, benefits to the world, but the the government isn't on it for some reason.
I mean, I would feel that if I were a billionaire.
So, that's the good thing our billionaires can do.
James Carville said that he would quote bet a lot of money that Democrats will win in 2028 to get the presidency and the um and the house and that they would pack the Supreme Court to 13 people so they could control it.
Uh he says at first they would do the normal bureaucracy thing where they would just have some committee and the committee would come back and say, "Oh yes, the fairest best thing we could do is 13 people on the Supreme Court." And then he says they'll definitely do it.
And he says the def the Democrats will definitely win the presidency in 2028.
What do I say in response to that?
the Democrat will definitely win the presidency in 2028.
Now, we're hearing also from a lot of pro MAGA people.
Um, I think I saw Mike Cernovich say something on this this topic on X that uh we don't really have a Republican party that's strong.
There's a there's a MAGA faction that's strong, but even the MAGA faction is empty without Trump.
So that it's really just a Trump party and if he leaves that we don't really have anybody who could win.
Is that true?
Do you think JD couldn't win?
Um, a lot of people act like he's the obvious choice.
I've also acted like he's the obvious choice, but that doesn't mean he'll be the choice.
It just means he's the obvious one from this point of view at this time, etc.
And his skills are impressive.
his his skill stacks impressive.
He's not Trump though, right?
And so what I say to uh James Garville is challenge accepted.
I believe that a Republican can win in 2028, but that we have not necessarily identified that Republican.
Not necessarily.
Um but they would need some persuasion training, which I believe none of them have.
I'd be happy to give it to them if they need it.
Uh but trained properly in persuasion, uh I think a Republican who is at least Trumpy enough in in policies could win, but it would take tremendous skill.
It would take a lot of skill.
I do believe that Vance is somebody who could pick up a talent sack, you know, in an hour.
Like that's that's the kind of intelligence we're talking about.
Somebody who could learn a whole thing in an hour.
like a complicated thing and if they play it right, they can win this.
But they don't have anybody, in my opinion, they probably don't have anybody who's the right person with the right training right now.
Like if they if they had the election today, I don't think a Republican would win.
But could they win in 2028 with the right positioning, etc.?
It's doable.
It's doable, but it's going to be hard.
Like really hard, but doable.
Here's the weirdest part about 2028.
The weirdest part is if Trump solves too many problems during his term, and he's on the verge of doing that, there won't be enough problems left to solve for a potential Republican.
If the reason you voted for Trump is because of the border and it's just solved, why would you vote for the other Republican?
You need another reason.
The border was a real good reason because that was just so scary and so big and it it just had so much impact on everything.
But what's the thing after that?
Unfortunately, it's affordability and the and the Democrats are owning affordability at the moment.
So, uh, there's going to have to be some problems that Trump doesn't solve just so the the next Republican candidate has something to talk about, they're running out of things to talk about, right?
I mean, if it turns out that, you know, 3 years from now, everybody smart agrees that tariffs were a tremendous idea and they brought in money and it didn't break too many things.
Well, then whoever the Republican is will just keep doing it.
But it's not like a winning strategy or anything.
So you got to find that thing that everybody understands needs to be solved.
And unfortunately, I would hate to say that the only thing left to solve would be the debt because I don't know what the hell you do about that.
Anyway, maybe it's the tariffs to solve the debt.
So, but John Stewart, every I think we're at the phase where everybody's worried about their own team.
uh John Stewart said that Democrats are still a mess uh after the last election and he says, "I truly believe they're a mess." And then he said, I tried to uh capture the essence of this quote.
I might have missed a word.
He said, "There's an underlying energy in the c in the country that none of us could have imagined and that needs to be channeled." None of us could have imagined.
Uh, I'm pretty sure every Republican imagined it.
That's why Trump's the president.
The Republicans were totally imagining it.
They didn't have to imagine it.
They felt it.
They were in it.
They were part of it.
But, so I guess he's talking about Democrats had no idea what the country is really like.
Now, I love John Stewart as an entertainer and I think he adds a lot even to the political process despite being a entertainer first.
But he never is.
He looks like a guy who's never had like a regular job, has he?
Cuz there's some things he's just sort of missing that feel like you would not be missing if you had a regular job with co-workers and stuff, you know?
Maybe maybe being around normal people.
The the the people who work in comedy, I think, hang around with people in comedy more than anything else.
Anyway, so when he says there's an underlying energy in the country that none of us could imagine needs to be channeled, to me that's just a a word salad way of saying your policies are bad.
If the Democrats had better policies, you don't think they would own everything.
I think they'd be in charge.
They just need better ideas.
So every time they think it's not that their candidates are bad and their policies are bad, they're just lost.
They're going to have to say, "Our policies are bad.
Our candidates are bad.
Get a better candidate.
Do something." Anyway, apparently, every state has now applied for the $50 billion or a piece of the $50 billion rural health fund, which was approved in the big beautiful bill.
The Hill is writing about this, Nate Wakesel.
So, I guess they all had to apply for their part, but they all have done it, so that's good.
And that's the money that would transform rural health so that uh so that they can get health care to poor people in rural places that don't have I guess it's people who don't have healthcare.
Um so each state has to say how they're going to use the money and get it approved.
Um and that was the backs stop against whatever is going to happen.
Now, if JD or any other future Republican could figure out a real workable plan that would either make food substantially cheaper or or make healthcare substantially cheaper, I don't think Trump's going to solve those.
I think he'll take a bite out of them.
Um, you know, I think he'll do he'll do what's doable, but there's always going to be something left over that's not doable easily.
So, so getting everybody healthare I think is worth doing some way, but there's got to be a Republican way to do that or I'll call it a let's say an independent way to do it.
Um I don't want to do it just by giving more money to people who can pay double for Obamacare.
There's got to be some just fundamental reworking of how we do stuff.
And then maybe AI.
I I've always always thought that the government should offer the Let me let me run this idea by you.
I don't know if I've ever mentioned this before, but I always had the idea that maybe everybody could have what they want, which is what if the people who want to be socialists and want to get cheap food and all that, what if the government gave it to them and said, "All right, you guys, you guys are going to live the the socialist path." um and the rest of you will pay as you go, but you won't have to pay for the socialist somehow.
Is there any way that you could have the the socialist plan work somewhere where if you really really wanted that to be your life, you could go to, you know, let's say some part of some state and you can move there and say, "Look, you could have everything you you asked for.
We don't know if that'll be good for you, but you're adults.
You get you get to pick.
So if you live here, you get to have a, you know, a community garden and you'll share some food and maybe you won't have a car for everybody and maybe you don't mind they have to walk everywhere, right?
But it it seems like there's some way you could carve out the people who aren't going to get healthcare under a current costly system or even enough food under a costly system and just put them in their own little bucket with fewer choices.
So I think they'd be okay if they had fewer choices if the alternative is not having anything.
Yeah.
Anyway, um an appeals court is going to let Trump revive his bid to overturn criminal convictions in that hush money case.
The hush money case or 34 34 uh convictions on that.
Um so just the news is writing about this.
So the second circuit court uh are going to let him keep going on that.
So we'll see if that ever gets overturned.
It was a three judge panel.
Uh and the three judge panel said that the court had bypassed what we consider to be important issues bearing on the ultimate issue of good cause.
Uh so that they did not rule on whether Trump is guilty or innocent.
They just ruled on they ruled on ruling basically.
Um here's a funny comment from somebody on Twitchy Doug P.
He notes that Mam Dami is asking people to send him money so that they could get free stuff in return, which is a funny way to frame it.
And it's exactly right.
So the candidate who's promising you free stuff can't give you free stuff until you give him money.
Wait, that's not free.
Well, I guess you don't you don't have to personally give him money, but unless a lot of people give him money, he won't be able to give you money back.
Now, I guess the promise is if you give him enough money and then he gets elected, which he did, uh, he would help you get some money back.
So, basically, it's just a money laundering operation that he's he's disguised as a candidacy.
That's what it looks like.
Anyway, that's what's happening there.
Um and then uh Fox News is reporting that uh the reason the Democrats won big on those three big elections recently is that they focus on domestic economic policy.
Emma Busy's writing this on Fox News.
Do you think that's it?
Do you think it's because they focus on domestic stuff as opposed to international stuff?
I don't know.
I didn't really see that happening.
I don't remember anybody bringing up Oh, maybe they did if you're talking about specifically Israel.
Yeah, I'll withdraw my comment.
Yeah, it did turn into a lot of Israel talk when it could have been a lot more about affordability.
Now, when I was praising U mom Donniey's communication skills about the word affordability, somebody pushed back on me on X and said, "Scott, politicians have been promising affordability since the beginning of time.
Why is that so new?" To which I said, "Really?
Which politician was using the word affordability?
Can you think of one?
Can anybody think of one who used the word not the concept?
I'm talking about the word affordability.
I don't remember anybody doing that.
They may have used it in a sentence once, but it was never a key part of any platform that I'm aware of.
And so the my critic after I said I'm not aware of anybody use it.
um said he did a search and he put affordability in quotes and asked if anybody had pushed affordability in quotes as a politician.
And guess what?
It turns out that if you put it in quotes, people have done it.
But that's not the same thing.
I'm talking about the actual choice of the specific word affordability.
It doesn't count if you were talking about lowering costs.
You had to use the actual word.
I don't remember anybody doing it.
I saw some people saying Kemp and Clinton, but I was alive then.
I don't remember that.
Don't remember it at all.
All right.
There's a study, University of British Columbia, Tom Leslie, is writing about this that uh if you talk with your hands, there's a way to do it that makes you more persuasive.
But it's not just moving your hands randomly.
So, I have trouble lifting my arm now.
But if you were just going blah blah blah randomly with your hands, that doesn't add anything.
But if you use your hands to tell the story, apparently that registers quite uh strongly as making you more persuasive.
So the example they use is if you caught a fish and you're telling the story, it helps to, you know, use your hands to show the size of the fish because then it becomes like a visual slashverbal story.
So just asked me, Scott, if you use your hands to make the story more visual, will it be more persuasive?
Yes.
I've been teaching you for years that visual beats purely audio.
If you add the two of them together, it's better than either one.
Either one by themselves.
Japan's going to team up with the US to mine some rare earth in the Pacific.
So Bloomberg is reporting this.
That seems good.
They're going to go into that rare earth rich mud that's 6,000 feet down.
I don't know how much work the US is doing on that, but I'm pretty happy how the administration is capitalizing on our on our allies, which might be leaning on them.
We might be leaning on them a little bit, but they need the rare earth, too.
So, if us plus them can get us, you know, both more rare earth, win-win.
And I don't think there was a better way to do it.
Don't think there was a better way to do it.
But here, let let me give you an instant prediction that I've never made before because I never thought about it until right now.
If the biggest problem in the world turns out to be not enough rare earth minerals, how long will it be before Elon Musk looks at all of his assets and says, "You know, robots could dig a lot of rare earth materials." you know, the electric cars could carry them away.
And now he's introducing the electric uh the all electric big trucks, the big rigs.
So, he can transport it.
He can dig it.
He can dig it.
I don't know if they need satellites to locate it, but he's got those.
Uh, and he would be the best engineer to figure out how to do it safely.
Maybe just with robots.
So, my prediction is this.
If we don't get on top of this problem soon, I think there would be pressure on Elon to solve it because people would say, "We're pretty sure nobody else could solve this.
It would just be capability.
He'd be able to do it.
Maybe nobody else could.
They would just ask him ask him to step in.
Could happen." And let's see.
Um, as you know, the Colombian is reporting, Kelly Livingston, that the Department of Energy wants to quadruple our nuclear power uh over the next 25 years, but that would require tripling our workforce that that are trained in nuclear stuff.
We are very underkilled for nuclear compared to how much we want to build it out.
So, does that seem un that that seems solvable?
I think if you took a bunch of engineers or engineering students, you said you got you got three or four years to learn nuclear, they'd be in pretty good shape after three or four years.
So, as long as we're producing them at the source and that enough people are signing up for those majors, we'll be fine.
Oh, here's some good news.
Kazakhstan is joining the Abraham Accords.
Kazakhstan.
Now, a lot of you are waiting for this.
A lot of people have said to me, you know, I like those Abraham Accords, but where's Kazakhstan?
Why is Kazakhstan so silent over this?
Well, Albonia is also silent.
We have heard nothing about Albonia, but Kazakhstan, they're in.
Maybe there'll be more later.
We'll see.
All right, people.
People, that's my one-handed show.
No, not what you think.
But it took me a little longer to uh get it all done today because I'm literally using one hand.
We're hoping that some of the achievements will fix the other hand.
But I don't know.
Maybe, maybe.
Yes.
I might be done drawing because I can't draw with my left hand.
And at the moment, I'm pretty sure I can't draw with my left hand, but I'll try it today just to see.
So, I might be retiring today or I might be taking a month off to see if I can get my uh muscles back, but I'm going to have to work this out.
So, we'll work it out together one way or the other.
I I could always sketch it more generally and then have my art director finish it.
Uh so, there's always a plan.
It won't it won't necessarily mean there's less Dilbert.
It might mean there's less of my artwork that goes into the first draft.
Probably.
Probably.
You and you already know that I switched from right-handed to left-handed to draw because I burned out my right hand just from regular drawing.
Uh yeah.
Well, you know, nothing's perfect.
Nothing's perfect.
Everybody's got a problem.
All right.
I'm going to say a few words privately to the locals subscribers.
If I can get my one defective hand to click the right place.
Let me get this hand off.
One hand doesn't lift up and the other hand is too weak.
All right.
So everybody else, I'll see you I hope tomorrow.
I hope you got something out of the lessons.
Man, I wish I could find my cursor.
There it is.
And uh we're going to go privately with the local supporters in 30 seconds.
Good morning.
How about some lights?
Turn on some lights for you. Oh, my hand
barely works. Oh, come on. Hand. There
you go.
Has anybody checked the stocks today?
Stocks. Okay.
Let me check and see if it's a smile or
a grimace.
Continue.
Smile or grimace.
It's a grimace.
What did Tesla do after the big
announcement?
Wonder if these are old. Is this
yesterday's numbers?
I don't see how Tesla could have gone
down after yesterday.
Did it? Looks like it's just wrong.
Maybe that's not updated.
Yeah. All right, we'll wait and see.
Good morning everybody and welcome to
the highlight of human civilization.
It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and
you've never had a better time. But if
you'd like to take chance on elevating
your experience to levels that nobody
can even understand with her tiny shiny
human brains,
all you need for that is a copper mug or
a glass of tanker shellstein canteen
jugger flask a vessel of any kind. Fill
it with your favorite liquid. I like
coffee. And join me now for the
unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit
of the day. The thing that makes
everything better. It's called the
simultaneous sip. It happens now. Go.
All right. Let me make sure I can see
your local comments
special.
It would be right over here.
[clears throat] If you don't mind, I'm a
little slow and getting a little less
done because I'm literally working with
one hand
today. One hand and half a brain.
Uh, there you are. Comments are working.
Everything's looking good. Looking good.
Hey,
do you know what day today is? Does
anybody know what day today is? It's the
day you find out that the Dilbert
calendar is available and for sale for
those few of you who have not already
scooped it up. I see a lot of you are
being smart and acting fast. I swear to
God the next thing I say is actually
literally true and not just the ordinary
marketing thing that people say all the
time in this situation. We probably
didn't make enough of them. [laughter]
So, if you're thinking to yourself, and
by the way, we did that intentionally
because I have to pay for them advance
because it's a American it's an American
situation and we worked on a deal where
I would make sure that they uh would
limit any risk on their side, which
seemed fair because my precarious
situation. Um,
so I've already paid for the calendars
to be printed, but I didn't want to
print, you know, three times more than
people might want. So, we're a little
bit underprinted, we think, but we don't
know, right? It's hard to hard to
anticipate, but I wouldn't wait is what
I'm saying. If if you thought you wanted
one, waiting would be a bad strategy.
Sooner is better. All right. And as you
know, I like to start the show while
people are streaming in with a reframe
from my book that's been out for a
while, but it's the newest one. Reframe
your brain. Changing lives every day.
Let's see. I'm going to change
somebody's life today with a new
reframe.
If you're new to this, a reframe doesn't
require any work on your part. You just
have to hear it. And if it's a good one,
and if it applies to you, uh, the
hypnosis will kick in. It's not really
hypnosis. It's just persuasive.
All right, here's one. Uh, death is a
tragedy, and I need to feel bad about
it. Do any of you have an issue about
maybe you lost a loved one and you feel
obligated to feel bad about it?
Not just obligated, but you feel bad
about it. Well, death is a tragedy and
uh it's there's nothing wrong with
feeling bad about it, but you don't want
to do it forever. Here's the reframe.
The person who's deceased has no more
problems. How did I make this about me?
How do you make it about yourself?
This is literally only about the
deceased person and their problems just
ended. So as soon as you make it not
about yourself,
you can get by it a lot easier, right?
You you've solved all the problems for
the deceased. They have nothing else to
worry about. Their work is done. And if
the reason you feel bad is because they
were so good in this world or you love
them so much, well then your work is
really done because you have the right
feeling about them and they did the
right things and that was great and
nothing lasts forever. How about here's
another one on the same topic. So you've
got two to work with on death. Um, one
is that, and this, by the way, I've I've
used this one before, um, with with the
public, I mean, and some people have
reported back that this completely
changes their their reaction to a death
of somebody that they cared about. All
right, listen to this one. So, the usual
frame is that death is a tragedy. Duh.
Of course, death is a tragedy. But that
leaves you in that tragedy hole if
that's how you're seeing it. If it's
only a tragedy,
that's pretty bad. it's going to last.
But here's a way to reframe it. It's not
more true or less true. It's just useful
to frame it this way. Remember, it's not
about truth. It's about how you manage
your brain. And you can create new
circuitry by just thinking about one
thing more than another. That's all it
takes. And that will make that circuit a
little stronger. So instead of saying
death is a tragedy,
the reframing is it is an honor to help
another person pass.
I don't think there's a bigger honor
than that. You know, if you've watched
family members, if you you've been part
of it, who were an integral part of
letting somebody pass to the next phase
of their existence, whatever that is,
that is the biggest honor you can have.
And everybody's going to, you know,
everybody's going to die. So, there's
nothing you can do about it sometimes.
So, it's not always a tragedy explicit.
Well, it's not only it's not necessarily
a tragedy only.
It is a tremendous honor that you get to
be the person who's there on the final
voyage.
That will help you a lot and everybody
dies.
All right. I wonder if there's any
science that they didn't need to do
because they could have just asked
Scott. Oh, here's some in Cypost. Karina
Petrova is writing that uh there's a new
statistical model that successfully
sorted people into their uh political
group based on their use of X. So
apparently you can feed just the raw
posts from X and AI will figure out not
only are they Republican or Democrat
but uh it'll figure out sort of where
they fit even within those worlds.
Now, did they really need to do that
study?
Do you think I couldn't look at a
politician's posts and and guess where
they fit in the political world? Did I
really need AI to do that? No. They
should have just asked me. You know,
maybe Federman would have confused me,
but the AI didn't get them all right. I
think AI only gets 75% of them right. To
which I say, I'm not really impressed by
75%.
I'm pretty sure I could have hit 90
without without breaking a sweat. So
could you. Next time, just ask me.
Well, there's a new bill being floated.
We don't know how it'll do, but uh it's
called the uh the US Senate is looking
at a bill called the No Coffee Tax Act.
The No Coffee Tax Act. Now, as uh Owen
Gregorian pointed out on X, that is a
really bad naming convention because the
first part of it is no coffee.
I I don't want to vote for anything that
has the words no coffee in it. I don't
even care that after it it says no
coffee right now, but I'll give you a
million dollars if you drink coffee in
one minute. I'd still be a little put
off by the no coffee. You know what I
mean? So, here's your persuasion
lesson of the day. There's going to be
some more. We've got some more
persuasion coming up if you like that
stuff. Uh, don't don't name your thing
the opposite of what it is. The whole
point of this is that we get more
coffee. Coffee. Sorry, you're making me
say coffee in my New York accent. I
didn't mean to slip into it, but
sometimes.
Coffee. How do you people say it?
Coffee. Coffee.
Coffee.
Well, I'm gonna stick with coffee for
now. Um,
so what it really is is I guess uh Rand
Paul is behind this and I did not know
this, but uh coffee in particular.
Coffee.
Stop mocking me for the way I say it.
You're mocking me at home. I can hear
you mocking me from home.
Stop it at Now you're talking to your
dog saying, "Look at this guy. Can't
even say coffee." coffee. All right. Um
Nick Brown from Daily Coffee News is
reporting this. Nick [clears throat]
Brown from Daily Coffee News. What a
name. All right. Um the idea is that
apparently there's big tariffs on coffee
from Brazil in particular, which is the
biggest impact on us. So the tariffs are
as high as 50%.
And that's enough to basically just, you
know, destroy Starbucks. I don't know if
it will, but that's bad enough. So, it's
a big impact on our economy and on our
people and on our budgets.
And [clears throat] tariffs, you know,
you could call a tariff a tax. Rand Paul
does apparently. And I wouldn't argue
with that. It's a form of a tax. It's
just not a normal one. Uh has some
advantages that taxes don't have,
meaning that you can use them to
negotiate with other entities. Taxes
don't usually have that. But, uh,
apparently they tried to get it through
the no the no tax part. They tried to
get that through with a procedure that
if you have unanimous consent, meaning
that there's not even one person who
says no to it, you can just kind of get
it through without all the trouble.
So they tried that and there was exactly
one person.
So there's a video of the session that
shows that one person, his name is he's
a Republican from Idaho and his name is
Senator Mike Crao.
C R A P O. So Mr. Crapo uh said no. So
that's sent it back to I guess whatever
process the full Senate has to follow
which is going to take forever and your
coffee will still cost too much. So
thanks for nothing. Crapo.
Crapo.
Crapo.
That would be better than Khan.
If I were writing the that Star Trek,
remember the Star Trek movie where
Captain Kirk is being thwarted by Khan?
K h an K h an Khan. And there's that
famous thing where the bad actor,
the the bad actor playing Captain Kirk,
uh, goes, "Ch, con. Wouldn't that be
better if he was fighting crapo crapo?"
All right, that's just me. Well, there's
a big Tesla event. I think it's the big
annual event. Uh, and boy, was there
news. Ow,
plenty of news. Where do we start?
Uh, let's see the
So, apparently there there's a video of
a hand, a robot hand that for Optimus
that looks like so amazing you can't
believe that they got hands that good.
So, somebody I think it was Mario posted
the uh video of the hand and uh Elon
said that's version two. Version three
is way better. [laughter]
If version three robot hand is better
than the version two that I saw, that's
going to be a big good hand. And I heard
uh Elon talking about it, the hands, and
they would be better surgeons than
people very soon. Maybe in a year,
there'll be better surgeons than people.
And uh there'll be better dexterity than
people with hands. You know, you always
thought that, oh, maybe they can see
better or hear better or remember
better, but their hands will never be as
good. Well, apparently we're right at
that crossover point. So, you were born
in the age when robots became more
capable more capable than people. What
are the odds of that?
Is that doesn't that feel like a
simulation to you? Like, what are the
odds?
No, I didn't skip the sip. You missed
the sip. Don't blame me for skipping the
sip. Sometimes I skip the sip, but I did
not skip it today. You're the skipper. I
call you the skipper, not me, skipper.
All right. Uh, lots of other Tesla news.
Uh, Elon says that Tesla is already the
biggest robot company in the world in
part because their cars are all robots.
They're just robots with wheels. I
accept that definition. They are the
biggest robot company. Oh, I should tell
you I have I do own some not a lot, but
I own a Tesla stock. So, anything I say
about Tesla, you should put under the
umbrella of that guy likes that stock.
It might go up. So, maybe he's trying to
drive up the stock. Do not do anything
that I do financially. I do not give
good financial advice. You should not
follow my advice.
>> [clears throat]
>> If I thought my advice was better than
other people financially, I'd tell you.
I'm not shy. I'd tell you if it was
better. It just isn't.
Um anyway, here are the shocking things.
Uh that Elon believes that uh they're
not going to have a way to get enough
chips to do all the stuff, you know,
their robots and cars and stuff that
they need, and they might have to make
their own. So, they're thinking about
building a quote gigantic chip factory.
What does gigantic mean in Elon's world?
Because every time he does something,
it's so big you can't even hold it in
your head. Gigantic. And I think you
said something about working with Intel.
But it would make more sense to buy
them, wouldn't it? Wouldn't it make more
sense for Tesla just to buy
a chip company? Then the part I wonder
about is that um would we have the right
skills in the United States to make the
right kind of chips when no other
country knows how to do it except you
know Taiwan if Taiwan's the only place
that knows how to make these chips? Are
they going to help Tesla?
Like why would they instead of just
selling them the chips?
So, I don't know where that goes, but I
do trust that Elon's probably one of the
few people in the world that could solve
the not enough AI chips problem.
Elon also says the entire Earth can be
powered by sustainable energy with tech
that exists today. And then he talked
about the megapac battery storage
plants. You know, whatever whenever
anybody says, "Uh, Scott, you fool.
You're so behind the times when you
don't understand that no matter how much
solar power you have, Scott, did you
know, and I know Scott, you look like an
idiot, so you probably didn't know this,
but I'll talk slowly so you understand,
Scott, the sun is not out at night.
Okay, I'm done, you fool. Like, how
could you think this solar power is
going to power the whole world when the
sun isn't even down at night? You idiot.
You fool. Get out of my house. That's
what they usually say to me.
But did you know there are things called
batteries?
Batteries.
B A T E R I E S. Batteries. It's a word
you should learn. And apparently what
they'll do is they will store energy.
they'll actually store that energy all
night long if you want if you got a big
enough mega factory. So these mega
packac megaactories
um are a big part of the structure but
also th those might be as much you know
for Tesla's own use. They they will need
these big factories for their own AI
powering. But did you know that if you
add in the Tesla power walls, those
would be the big batteries that you
could add to your private home, that
they're also worked. I guess that's just
part of it. So you could store things in
your home battery and if you stored more
than you wanted to use, you could donate
that to the network if it were set to do
that. Uh, I don't think it's quite set
up to do exactly this, but couple of
buttons and it's ready to go. Uh, so
they can work together. There's already
a million power walls installed. A
million.
He thinks big. All right. So, they can
work together as a virtual power plant.
And uh, Elon also talked about the age
of uh, permanent abundance. I don't know
if he used those words, but that's what
I meant. And he thinks that robots will
basically provide all of our goods and
services at what will approach zero cost
over time
and everybody will have everything. So
poverty will be eliminated. Uh everybody
will have enough food because the robots
will just be out there tilling the
fields as robots do and making us food.
And eventually he wants to get the cost
of a robot down to 20,000.
Um, and here's what's interesting about
this.
In order for a lot of uh Elon's
predictions to come right, you know,
things about robots and things about
power and things about cars and stuff
and even things about interplanetary
travel. In order for all of that stuff
to work, or even any of it to work, he
would have to understand human
motivation
and how people think and how they act
and what they care about. Now, how does
that fit
with the common assumption that he's
asberers or we don't use anymore uh on
the spectrum?
This is this is what confuses me. How
can you be on the spectrum and also be
really good at humor, which he is,
um and really good at figuring out human
motivation,
which he is. Those are pretty much as
close as you can get to the opposite of
being on the spectrum. Or does he
compensate,
not for the humor part, that's got to be
natural, but does he compensate for
um being different than other people by
just learning how they think and just
studying them like you study a maze and
then you know how to get out of the
maze. It's not your maze, you just
studied it. So, I'm fascinated by that.
You know, I've never I've never talked
to him in person. It'll probably take me
five minutes to figure out what's going
on in person, but I only hear good
things. I only hear good things. So,
this is amazing. Anyway, um but what I
thought about while I was reading all
these things that he's introducing to
the world that he might be the first
human being who could legitimately
satisfy the political left and the
political right.
Now, he can't run for president because
he wasn't born here, but [clears throat]
he's really the only one because somehow
he made most of the people on the right
appreciate him because he helped Trump
get elected. But then he also left under
tremendous pressure by the left and but
what he left too was this highly
successful company that looks like it
will solve the left's biggest concern,
climate. Now, even if you say, "But
climate is not a crisis, whatever," it's
nonetheless true that he's doing exactly
what the left would want somebody to do,
which is build a bunch of electric solar
plants and batteries and electric cars.
Now, in the short run, you might argue,
"But but but Scott, don't you know that
they use more fossil fuels and regular
fuels to build that stuff than they
save?" I don't even know if that's true,
but I do know that in the long run, you
would get rid of those other sources and
you could use the sun and then then
everything that Elon's trying to do
would come true. The left would be
delighted even if there's no climate
crisis. They'd be happy about it. And
the right would be happy because they
like his his general work hard, build
things, America first. I mean, he's very
he's very on point for the right. At the
same time, he's very on point for the
left. Name one other person in the world
who is this perfectly suited for both
the left and the right. Now, again, I
don't think he's going to write for he's
not going to run for office. That'd be
crazy. U if he did. Uh even, you know,
he's not going to run for senator. That
would be too small. And presidents out
in preach because of the constitution.
But boy, do I like him being involved
just in general. I guess his trillion
dollar incentive package got approved by
shareholders with a 75% vote. That means
25% thought it wasn't a good idea to
have him properly incentivized.
25% [clears throat]
thought it was a bad idea to give the
most productive person in the history of
the planet a little extra if and if if
he does a lot extra. A lot extra. You
should see the terms of the deal for him
to get a trillion dollars. Do you have
any idea why he would have to accomplish
to get that? Like we act like that's
just going to automatically happen or
something? No. You don't you don't
automatically just go to work and then
one day somebody gives you a trillion
dollars. First of all, let me teach you
about how the news works.
years ago when Dilbert was newish and
we're trying to get attention. Uh, I got
a multi-book book deal with a big
publisher which we reported as a $25
million book deal. Do you think I got
$25 million from a book deal?
We told everybody it was a $25 million
book deal. So, wouldn't you think that
I, as the author would get $25 million?
Nope. [laughter]
Nothing like that. Nothing like that.
That was the biggest number that the
publisher would pay under the most
optimistic uh assumptions for for I
think five books. So, first of all, it
was five books. So, it' be 5 million a
piece. Second of all, I shared 50% of
what I made from Dilbert Books with my
publisher, I'm sorry, with my syndicate.
And then I shared what's left
with [clears throat] the publisher.
And then I paid taxes.
Do you know how much was left from the
25 billion? I don't know. Might have
been five. You know, maybe over the
entire length of time. Might have been
five, something like that.
So when you say that somebody's got a
trillion dollar uh pay package, the
thing you should first ask is over how
many years, the answer is 10.
So a trillion dollars over 10 years
is a hundred billion a year. Seems like
he's worth it. But here's what he would
have to deliver. He Tesla would have to
go to $ 8.5 trillion market cap and it's
only at 1.4 today. Now it's in 10 years.
Could you get there? That would be a
466%
increase from today.
Do do you think he can do that? I I
think you probably can, but it's not
guaranteed. That's for sure. So, the
first thing you need to know is you
can't you can't treat a trillion dollars
that you might get the same as a
trillion dollars you're definitely going
to get. And you can't treat money that's
going to be spread over 10 years like
it's money that you're getting today.
First of all, you know, the uh the value
of money declines over time, etc. A lot
of things could happen. We don't even
know if people have automobiles in 10
years. He's got to he's got to deliver
20 million vehicles cumulative. I think
that means since the beginning of Tesla.
Uh he's got to deliver a million Optimus
robots, humanoid robots sold. They
actually have to be sold. A million a
million robo taxis taxis in operation
and 10 million full self-driving
subscriptions. Now, what we don't know
is if he gets a portion of the trillion,
if he gets a portion of these, but not
all of them.
Uh, that's a big deal. I mean, if if he
really doesn't get anything,
unless he gets all of them, I don't
think he would agree to that deal, but
it's impressive.
And if successful, he would become the
world's first trillionaire. No, he
wouldn't. [laughter]
Th [clears throat] this is I I think
this is just people who don't know how
deals work. Nobody's ever going to give
him a trillion dollars. There's no check
for a trillion dollars. It's over 10
years. And I don't know if there's any
sub payments in the 10 years or if he
has to wait the whole 10 years. But uh
even when it's paid, remember
some of it goes to taxes.
Nobody's going to get a check for a
trillion dollars. All right.
Uh, but how many of his products that
he's working on now could become the
biggest in that category forever?
All right, here are just a few things.
If Elon starts making chips and he's the
best at manufacturing things that people
didn't know how to manufacture, and
chips are mostly a challenge of how do
you manufacture them? They're just hard
to make. So, he would be the best person
who could ever take on that challenge.
So, what if he makes the biggest chip
company? Totally possible. Even if the
only person who buys them is his own
company, you'd still be the biggest chip
maker. Uh, what about his power stuff?
Could he be the biggest in the world?
What about his AI? Could it be the
biggest in the world? What about his
robots and his cars? Could he be the
biggest in the world? Yep, he's worth a
trillion. Well, as you know, Nancy
Pelosi has announced a retirement.
And uh
I wonder what Trump said about that.
Now, you might know that it was only
recently that uh Pelosi said some
terrible things about Trump. Just
terrible things. He was stealing your
democracy and he's the worst I think he
says she said something like he's the
worst person in the world because he's
not just bad but he's the president so
he has power plus he's bad so he's the
worst person in the world. The worst
person in the world. Um, so Trump pays
her back because he's uh in the press
conference there. Somebody asked her
about retirement and uh he made sure
that he uh thought this through and gave
them a gave them a quote which would
guarantee that it dominated the news.
Did it? Yes, I did. [laughter] Here's
his quote about Nancy Pelosi. I think
she's an evil woman. I'm glad she's
retiring. I think she did the country a
great service by retiring now. Trump
about Nancy Pelosi. Oh yeah. Okay. I'm
just repeating the same thing. The
dictation services are
are funny. So I my one hand is too
paralyzed now to to type. So I've been
using voice dictation. And I found out
that if you want to do the word country,
c o u n t r y,
uh I won't even tell you what it what it
wrote down. It was so naughty. Very
naughty. Well, the Supreme Court made a
decision that uh if you have a passport,
you can only list yourself as male or
female. there will be no um inbetweens
or no trans, no anything but male or
female.
Now, I have mixed feelings about that
honestly. Um for adults, and we're only
going to talk about adults. We're not
talking about children. Children should
not be, you know, I I have the same
opinion you do, but um most of you
anyway. But for adults, I do think that
adults should be able to run their own
life. And if they want to be trans,
I'm okay with that. Why wouldn't I be?
It's not my life, you know? And if it
doesn't bother me, yeah, just do
whatever you need to do. If you're an
adult and it's not, you know, scaring
the horses or something, go ahead. So,
I'm protrans in the freedom sense.
Everybody should have the freedom to do
what they do that they need to do
because they need to do it. And it's
none of my business if it doesn't bother
me. And it doesn't.
So I do wonder about the tradeoff
because if somebody shows up in their
trans identity,
uh wouldn't that be harder for the
passport people to sort that out?
So aren't we trying to make sure that
it's easier faster?
easier or faster would be um I'm trans.
And then [clears throat] the person
looks at him, they go, "Oh, okay. You do
look maybe they do look a little bit
male. Maybe they got an Adam's apple or
something. I'm no expert on any of this
stuff." Uh and then that would perfectly
explain why they were looking one way
but listed as another way. Wouldn't that
be safer? If if the only thing you care
about is how safe you are,
wouldn't you be safer if they listen to
themselves the way they look, so you
could know exactly what's going on
there?
No. All right. So, I'm a little bit
mixed on this one. I I think I could be
persuaded in either direction, but
that's what happened. So, I guess it's a
done deal for now.
Um, did you see the video of Trump was
[clears throat] announcing that uh they
they made a tremendous success in
lowering the cost of these weight loss
drugs? So,
um, who is involved?
Uh, it's less it's less about the
pharma, but there were a few pharma
companies that got together and vastly
lowered their cost for the weight loss
drug from something like $1,000 to
something like a hundred something. So,
a gigantic decrease in probably the most
important thing. Now, the the news part
of it is that Trump is delivering on at
least lowering the cost of some
important drugs. But here's the part you
might have missed. When uh RFK Jr. was
talking about it, he get he had his
moment to talk there at the Oval Office
with all the executives assembled. And
we'll talk about the the the guy who
passed out, but uh RFK Jr. is explaining
to us um what a big lever this is
because something like half of all of
our health care costs are driven by
obesity and we could practically
eliminate it with these drugs if they
were affordable and and Trump just made
them affordable for a lot more people
not everybody of course but we'll have
to figure out a way that everybody can
get them but this goes a long way goes a
long way to lowering your health care
costs because it lowers them two ways
it's not just immediately lowering them
because you wanted to take the fat drug,
but you know, you couldn't afford it,
but now you can. But on top of that, he
said that uh obesity is driving 50% of
our health care costs. Had you ever
heard that before? 50%.
I knew it was a lot. But here's what I
like about RFK Jr.'s approach to
everything. He finds the best lever. He
doesn't go for the lowhanging fruit. He
goes for he goes for the highanging
lever because if you can get that lever
you change everything. You imagine if
the United States became not an obese
country 50% of I I think half of all
adults are obese.
If he took that down to 25%
just by this action that would be one of
the greatest accomplishments
certainly of any cabinet member. you may
be the greatest accomplishment of any
cabinet member. And I don't think it
would have happened without RFK Jr. Do
you do you think this would have
happened with just a some kind of
normal, you know, ordinary corporate guy
who got the job because he was connected
to somebody or something? No. No. Trump
took a took a chance and now you're
seeing that uh his his instinct
is good. Trump's instinct that he could
go with somebody who's a lifelong
Democrat
and it would help America.
That was a tough choice.
Do do you do you even understand how
tough that was? If this had not worked
out and RFK Jr. had turned out not to be
the man that he is,
this would be a total problem. But not
only [clears throat] is the is he the
man that he is, but he might be more
than the man that he is. You know, you
might not even understand the level of
sacrifice that he t that he's taking and
has taken just to get to that point
where he could stand in front of the
country and say, "You're all going to
get the fat drug or close to it."
Amazing. Amazing accomplishment. All
right. But the drama was that one of the
executives who was there to just attend,
he was in the background, he had some
kind of medical event. We don't know the
details. We don't need to. He's we're
we're told that he's fine now, but he he
passed out. Now, what did the Democrats
say about this? Of course, they took one
picture out of context to say that Trump
must be a psychopath because he's just
standing there looking.
What? What? What kind of standard is
that for judging people? All right, let
me tell you what I saw and then you tell
me if that's what you saw. Now, I'm just
going to read my post because I liked
how I wrote it.
Um,
so right in the middle of Trump's Oval
Office announcement on slashing prices
for weight loss meds like WGON Zepbound,
uh, this this, uh, Novo Nordisk,
executive, his name is Gordon Finley.
So, he, uh, he passed out. Now, here's
what all the participants did when when
the event happened.
So the first thing that happened
was that uh the man starts to collapse.
You know, he's he looks like he's
unsteady
and the speaker notices. The speaker was
one of the CEOs.
So the first thing that the speaker does
is he stops what he's doing and he turns
his attention to the person who looks
like he's having a medical problem. Was
that the right thing to do? Yes, it was.
Yeah. So as as gigantic as this moment
was for both the pharma and for Trump,
everybody knew to stop what they're
doing and give their full attention to
whatever this was because it was more
important at the moment. The people
standing next to him that just happened
to be closest. They saw him going down
and they grabbed him and they uh they
protected him as he fell. So they
protected him so he went gently down to
the floor where you'd want him to be if
he can't stand and didn't hit his head
or anything. They just gently put him
down. So they acted immediately
to his service.
As soon as the guy hit the floor and
even before he was on the floor, Dr. Oz,
who I believe was the closest doctor,
was already on it. He had already rushed
in and was starting to give whatever
doctors do when they get there first.
[laughter] So Dr. Oz rushes in. You, if
you watch the video, you see that RFK
Jr. who' be standing in the back
immediately moves in the other direction
away from the guy. What do you think he
was doing? I don't know. But if I were
RFK Jr., I would know that there is
always medical staff on the other side
of the wall from wherever the president
is. Right there. There's no way there
wouldn't be a gurnie and an ambulance
and a medical staff right on the other
side of the wall cuz they wouldn't be in
the room, but they would be right
nearby. Now, RFK Jr. probably, and this
is just gas, I can't read his mind.
Probably said, "We'd better make sure
that those guys, the act, you know, the
medical people with the gurnies and the
ambulance better make sure that the door
is unlocked and they know to come in."
So probably he did the thing that is the
smartest thing he could have done, which
is make sure they had already been
alerted. And if they had been alerted,
just open the door. Just open the door
and let them in because maybe somebody
needs to hold the door. So RFK did
exactly what he should do because he's
not the doctor. Dr. Oz did exactly what
he should do because he is the doctor.
And then Trump, [clears throat] what
should Trump do in this situation?
Should Trump push them away and
administer CPR?
No. No. He's got a room full of people
who probably included more than one
doctor and probably there were doctors
on the other side of the the door as I
said. No. What he should do because
Trump is not in charge of that patient.
Trump is in charge of the room.
He's in charge of the room and also the
country.
So, what did you want him to do as the
guy who's in charge of the room? I'll
tell you what I wanted. I wanted him to
stand up to show the respect that this
situation demands. He stood up. I want
him to look at what's happening because
this situation demands that he look at
it and assess what's going on and decide
what, if any, uh, involvement he should
have. having looked at it and stood, he
was then in charge of the room, not the
patient. He was in charge of the room,
not the patient. And the room didn't
know what was going on. But having your
president standing up there resolute and
knowing that he's trusting the experts
behind him to do what needs to be done,
and they did. And fortunately, the the
gentleman is appears to be fine. We
don't know this problem, but that's what
I wanted him to do. I wanted him to show
respect, wait, and know when it's his
time. So, what Trump knew is that this
was not his time.
This was not his time. And so, he
stepped back. What do you want that's
better than that? You know, he's getting
people are calling him a psychopath
because he didn't, you know, rip the
guy's shirt off and give him the give
him some kind of a treatment or
something. What exactly was he supposed
to do? Was he supposed to push Dr. Oz
away and say, "I got this because the
cameras are rolling." No. He did exactly
what I want my president to do. Not only
did he hire competent people who
immediately acted in exactly the right
way,
but he knew when to stay out of the way.
You can't beat that really.
Um, now
some of you might recognize how biased I
am on this on this topic. Did you pick
that up? Did you pick up any obvious
bias from me on this topic? Oh, I have
bias. So, here was my real my real
situation.
So, I you know, I uh was busy most of
the day. So, I was catching up with the
story, you know, the story about the guy
who collapsed in the office. Um, and I'm
reading about how Dr. Oz was the first
one to step in.
Now, [clears throat] Dr. Graz was also
uh he he also was one of the people that
Trump asked to get involved in my
situation when I needed a little little
boost with my healthc care provider. Now
I don't know if you know I still don't
know the reality of what did or did not
happen. So I'm not blaming Kaiser for
anything. Uh just that I had a lack of
information for a while and it took
longer than I thought. Uh, that's all I
know. That took longer than I thought
and I didn't know why. So, uh, Dr. Oz
solved that for me. And as I'm reading
the story about how he had also jumped
in to fix this guy, I'm thinking to
myself, why is it that these Trump
related people have learned that they
can do more than regular people? How do
they get so much done? Like, how do they
It's just how do they get so much done?
And as I'm reading about Dr. Oz and I'm
thinking, you know, fondly about how he
had helped me personally, maybe he kept
me alive. I don't know. Maybe he made
the difference between life and death.
Could have been. Uh my phone rings and
it's Dr. Oz.
I swear to God, this really happened.
I'm reading about him for the first
time, about this incident for the first
time. And Dr. calls me and he asked me
how I'm doing and if I'm getting enough
help from my medical providers cuz
that's what he made sure happened and
the answer is yes. Yes, I am. I'm
getting great great reaction from my
medical care Kaiser Northern California.
So I'll give him a shout out. You know
the way I judge everything the way I
judge everything is not by any mistake.
I judge everything by reaction.
What' [clears throat] you do when
somebody complained?
If I judged Kaiser by how happy I was,
you know, a month ago, that would be
different from how happy I am now
because the way they reacted to it was
excellent. So, they're they're doing a
great job at the moment.
Um,
so that's my thing.
Now, do do you realize how how weird it
is to be me that you're reading a story
in the news and then the subject of the
news calls you as you're reading the
story? It's so weird. It's totally
weird.
But we're a simulation, maybe. All
right. So, I guess after all that,
Democrats will claim that uh Trump stole
their democracy by not giving CPR to the
guy who fell down or some damn thing.
Um,
moving on. Even John Federman, heaped
praise on Trump, said that Trump was uh
did a great job on slashing that weight
loss drug price from $1,000 to as low as
149.
Um,
and he told his story about being a
stroke survivor and apparently he used
Monero for his heart health, uh, which I
believe is one of the one of the drugs
involved. and he said, "I've called to
make these drugs more accessible, blah
blah blah." All right, here's my take.
If you're not tired about me talking
about Fedman too much, I get it. I get
it. He's on the other side. You You
don't want to give him attention, blah
blah blah. But I'm going to talk about
his persuasion game so that you can
learn that. Okay? So, this is about
learning persuasion. It's not about me
wanting Federman to be my next president
or anything like that. Just focus on the
persuasion part. You'll be fine. So, I
love the fact that he found his own
lane,
meaning that as soon as the president
does something that you could sort of
imagine a reasonable Democrat might be
in favor of, and this would be obviously
something a reasonable Democrat should
be in favor of. um then the press knows
to go to him first. Not only because
he's good at the quotes
that they can use because he he speaks
in abbreviated nonword salad way maybe
because of the um stroke maybe and maybe
he was just always brief. I don't know
but he's he's good at being brief and
that makes better quotes. So he's carved
out this little niche where he will
always get attention
um from I don't know maybe half of all
topics they'll come to him first. That
is so good and persuasion wise if if you
can camp out as the person they have to
talk to first because everybody expects
you to then you've accomplished the
Trump
first and most important play. Remember
in 2015
everybody said, "Well, you can't win
just by getting the most attention."
Can't you? Maybe you can win by getting
the most attention. No, that's not
enough. You still have to have a lot
going for you, but he solves for one of
the problems that you got all these
other politicians. Maybe a lot of them
would like to be president someday, but
he's figured out how to make them come
to him. That's what Trump does. he makes
them come to him just by being more
interesting and by doing something
that's not the same freaking thing that
everybody else is doing. So in in terms
of attentiongrabbing,
A+. So learn that lesson. Learn that
lesson. But there's more.
Um
[clears throat]
here here's the bigger lesson. Do you
remember in uh the first term and really
into the second election cycle uh the
Democrats were all about Trump's bad
personality? It's like, oh, he says bad
things about people. Oh, our our allies
will not trust us as much because he
can't be trusted. Oh, he told four
gazillion bazillion 14 gazillion lies.
And it was all about his character and
his personality.
When was the last time you saw the enemy
press enemy to Trump? Uh when was the
last time they reported the number of
lies he's told?
Did anybody notice they stopped doing
that?
They just stopped. What wasn't it the
number one thing they reported all the
time? Well, he's got five more lies
today and three were in this sentence
and two were in this and they don't even
bother factchecking him. Do you know why
they don't fact check them?
Because people got used to it. Remember
the Virginia Adams rule? People can get
used to anything if they do it long
enough. Anything. So, I think the world
just got used to Trump. He was
normalized. And of course it only helps
because you know he did a good job as
president, you wouldn't want to
normalize something that was bad. But
he's totally normalized. So now when he
says something like he he's dumping on
Nancy Pelosi like earlier. Can you
imagine any other president doing that?
You can't. But in the old days they
would have said no other president would
do that and therefore it was a mistake
for him to do it. Do they do that now?
No they don't. Now they just say, "Uh,
that's just what he does." So once
you've normalized it, you have this
superpower. So Trump can simply say and
do things that other people can't say
and do because he got you used to it.
Fedman's doing the same thing. I don't
know how conscious this is, but what
Fedman is doing is making the Democrats
get used to
the idea that he could agree with the
rep Republicans.
The first 20 times he does it, they
won't be used to it. Maybe the first 50
times they won't be used to it. But
somewhere around the hundth time, you
know, because you can repeat the same
things over and over. Somewhere around
the hundth time, they're just going to
want to think about something else and
they'll just get used to it. And then
he'll be the only person who can do this
and we be used to it. That's when he
becomes dangerous. If we get used to
this, meaning Democrats specifically,
he's gonna have a little superpower
there in persuasion.
And uh
just watch that. Here's another guy
named John Shuchuk. I think he's at
Climate Craze. Um, one of the things he
does is he looks for um
for data recording stations, temperature
recording stations that are out of
service but have not been reported as
out of service. So, so far he found his
post on X 196 ghost stations where the
NOA
fabricates temperatures. In other words,
they just estimate the temperatures
because the actual data doesn't exist.
Now, how comfortable do you feel if I
tell you that 196 temperature stations
are not even real?
And if you don't have the right data for
temperature, then you have trillions of
dollars that could be wasted because you
had the wrong temperatures.
All right, I'm watching the comments to
see if you know where I'm going on this.
Do you know where I'm going on this? How
many times have I told you?
You You're gonna be mad at yourself if
you didn't get this one before I tell
you.
What's it mean when they tell you the
number without the percentage?
What's it mean if they tell you the
percentage but not the raw number?
It means it's [laughter]
Now, I [clears throat] hate the fact
that this guy's on my side because I
think that the temperature measurements
are probably pretty sketchy. So I'm
modified in general but if you're
looking at it just as persuasion when
somebody gives you a raw number without
the without the what's the total number
of now if I had to ask you how many do
you think there are how many how many uh
temperature measurements stations are
there
what do you think
196 were ghosts didn't exist but how
many how many do exist
in America it's over 10,000
in the world it's over 20,000 and
already according to Grock I'm going to
assume that's true um so that would be
1.85% of just the US
um measurements
if 1.85% 85% of the US measurements were
interpolated, you know, just took an
average of what was around it. Would you
get necessarily a terrible answer? I
don't know. I don't know. But it makes a
big difference if you think 196 is a big
number versus less than 2%.
And but the bigger problem is really
there's 10,000 of these measurements in
the US, but only 20,000 in the rest of
the whole world. I mean that would be
another 10,000.
Does that mean that what happens in the
US just sort of naturally counts for
more and wouldn't that distort things?
So I just have a question mark about
that.
All right.
So uh I don't want to criticize John
because I do love his work. Meaning that
if he's really finding the number of uh
ghost stations that could only be good.
I mean there's no downside to that. So
that's good work. Appreciate it. But
just know that I'm teaching my audience
that the raw number without the
percentage,
that's not good. And vice versa.
I have to drink like like Trump did in
that one video where we have to use both
hands.
I also have to stay hydrated, get all
the radiation out of me.
All right. Um, here's something I taught
you on persuasion, but I'm going to give
you another example which should be
helpful.
Um, I call it the category problem. Have
you heard me talk about this? If you're
trying to decide if something is true or
false, you see something in the news.
The first filter I put on it is what I
call the category problem. Now, the
category problem is that has the has
something that sounds like this ever
been true? Not this, but things that
sound like it. For example, if you got
an email that a Nigerian prince
had this deal for you and was going to
give you a bunch of money
if you floated them a little money in
advance, would you consider that likely
to be true or likely to be false? Well,
the category is is false every time, but
that doesn't mean there couldn't ever be
a Nigerian prince, right? Like maybe
maybe they're all false until they're
not. No, it it's best to assume it's
false because the category is just such
a big red flag. Here's another one. If
somebody says they have a universal
cancer cure in the form of a pill and it
already works on rats,
are you going to get that cancer pill in
a few years? No, you're not. No, because
how many times has cancer been cured in
the news but not in reality? Thousands
of times. So that category I just like
there was one in the news today exactly
like that. Oh, we got a cure for all
cancers. I didn't even post it because
it's a category that's just never true.
Um, here's another one. A pill that
reverses aging.
If you if you see a story that the
scientists have now come up with a pill
that reverses aging, that's in the
category of things that are never true.
I don't know anything about that
particular pill, but the category never
true. And that brings us to my next
story. uh some scientists in China claim
they've invented a pill that is uh gives
you the same benefits of exercise in
terms of your overall health. You know,
exercise is good for you in all the
different ways, but they allege they've
created a pill that would give you the
same benefits of exercise. You still
have to exercise if you want bigger
muscles. It doesn't give you muscles.
So, just to be clear, it doesn't make
your muscles bigger. It gives you just
some of the health benefits that
exercise would give you. Do you believe
that's true?
Category problem. It's a big category
problem. No, [clears throat] I don't
believe it's true. I do not believe that
as soon as they're done testing on the
rats,
you know, in say 3 years or whatever,
that they're going to have a pill that
makes you young again or makes you feel
healthier again in all the ways that
youth does. I doubt it.
Well, the other big question, uh, oh,
and then Priscilla Chan and Mark
Zuckerberg are, believe it or not,
they're on the A16Z
podcast, which I haven't seen yet, but I
imagine is an amazing podcast because
that would be amazing people involved.
Um,
so I guess, uh, Mark Zuckerberg and his
wife Priscilla Chan were on, Dr.
Priscilla Chan and uh they've created
this initiative where they're trying to
basically cure and prevent and manage
all disease by the end of the century.
All disease
um by the end of the century. Well,
that'll take some work. Anyway, uh do
you think that they will cure all
disease by the end of the century? I
don't know, but I'm in favor of them
trying.
Sure. That you know, I always say that's
the beauty of the American billionaires.
If you're an American billionaire, you
have a lot of pressure to invest in
things that could be big, you know,
benefits to the world, but the the
government isn't on it for some reason.
I mean, I would feel that if I were a
billionaire. So, that's the good thing
our billionaires can do. James Carville
said that he would quote bet a lot of
money that Democrats will win in 2028 to
get the presidency and the um and the
house and that they would pack the
Supreme Court to 13 people so they could
control it. Uh he says at first they
would do the normal bureaucracy thing
where they would just have some
committee and the committee would come
back and say, "Oh yes, the fairest best
thing we could do is 13 people on the
Supreme Court." And then he says they'll
definitely do it. And he says the def
the Democrats will definitely win the
presidency in 2028.
What do I say in response to that?
the Democrat will definitely win the
presidency in 2028.
Now, we're hearing also from a lot of
pro MAGA people. Um, I think I saw Mike
Cernovich say something on this this
topic on X that uh we don't really have
a Republican party that's strong.
There's a there's a MAGA faction that's
strong, but even the MAGA faction is
empty without Trump. So that it's really
just a Trump party and if he leaves that
we don't really have anybody who could
win. Is that true? Do you think JD
couldn't win? Um, a lot of people act
like he's the obvious choice. I've also
acted like he's the obvious choice, but
that doesn't mean he'll be the choice.
It just means he's the obvious one from
this point of view at this time, etc.
And his skills are impressive.
his his skill stacks impressive. He's
not Trump though, right?
And so what I say to uh James Garville
is challenge accepted.
I believe that a Republican can win in
2028, but that we have not necessarily
identified that Republican. Not
necessarily. Um but they would need some
persuasion training, which I believe
none of them have. I'd be happy to give
it to them if they need it.
Uh but trained properly in persuasion,
uh I think a Republican who is at least
Trumpy enough in in policies
could win, but it would take tremendous
skill. It would take a lot of skill. I
do believe that Vance is somebody who
could pick up a talent sack, you know,
in an hour. Like that's that's the kind
of intelligence we're talking about.
Somebody who could learn a whole thing
in an hour.
like a complicated thing and
if they play it right, they can win
this. But they don't have anybody, in my
opinion, they probably don't have
anybody who's the right person with the
right training
right now. Like if they if they had the
election today, I don't think a
Republican would win. But could they win
in 2028 with the right positioning,
etc.? It's doable.
It's doable, but it's going to be hard.
Like really hard, but doable.
Here's the weirdest part about 2028.
The weirdest part is if Trump solves too
many problems during his term, and he's
on the verge of doing that, there won't
be enough problems left to solve for a
potential Republican. If the reason you
voted for Trump is because of the border
and it's just solved, why would you vote
for the other Republican? You need
another reason. The border was a real
good reason because that was just so
scary and so big and it it just had so
much impact on everything. But what's
the thing after that? Unfortunately,
it's affordability and the and the
Democrats are owning affordability at
the moment. So, uh, there's going to
have to be some problems that Trump
doesn't solve just so the the next
Republican candidate has something to
talk about, they're running out of
things to talk about,
right? I mean, if it turns out that, you
know, 3 years from now, everybody smart
agrees that tariffs were a tremendous
idea and they brought in money and it
didn't break too many things. Well, then
whoever the Republican is will just keep
doing it. But it's not like a winning
strategy or anything. So you got to find
that thing that everybody understands
needs to be solved. And unfortunately, I
would hate to say that the only thing
left to solve would be the debt because
I don't know what the hell you do about
that.
Anyway, maybe it's the tariffs to solve
the debt.
So,
but John Stewart, every I think we're at
the phase where everybody's worried
about their own team. uh John Stewart
said that Democrats are still a mess
uh after the last election and he says,
"I truly believe they're a mess." And
then he said, I tried to uh capture the
essence of this quote. I might have
missed a word. He said, "There's an
underlying energy in the c in the
country that none of us could have
imagined and that needs to be
channeled."
None of us could have imagined.
Uh, I'm pretty sure every Republican
imagined it. [laughter]
That's why Trump's the president. The
Republicans were totally imagining it.
They didn't have to imagine it. They
felt it. They were in it. They were part
of it. But, so I guess he's talking
about Democrats had no idea what the
country is really like. Now,
I love John Stewart as an entertainer
and I think he adds a lot even to the
political process despite being a
entertainer first. But he never is. He
looks like a guy who's never had like a
regular job, has he?
Cuz there's some things he's just sort
of missing that feel like you would not
be missing if you had a regular job with
co-workers and stuff, you know? Maybe
maybe being around normal people. The
the the people who work in comedy, I
think, hang around with people in comedy
more than anything else.
Anyway, so when he says there's an
underlying energy in the country that
none of us could imagine needs to be
channeled, to me that's just a a word
salad way of saying your policies are
bad.
If the Democrats had better policies,
you don't think they would own
everything. I think they'd be in charge.
They just need better ideas. So every
time they think it's not that their
candidates are bad and their policies
are bad, they're just lost. They're
going to have to say, "Our policies are
bad. Our candidates are bad. Get a
better candidate. Do something." Anyway,
apparently, every state has now applied
for the $50 billion or a piece of the
$50 billion rural health fund, which was
approved in the big beautiful bill. The
Hill is writing about this, Nate
Wakesel. So, I guess they all had to
apply for their part, but they all have
done it, so that's good. And that's the
money that would transform rural health
so that uh so that they can get health
care to poor people in rural places that
don't have I guess it's people who don't
have healthcare. Um so each state has to
say how they're going to use the money
and get it approved.
Um and that was the backs stop against
whatever is going to happen. Now,
if JD or any other future Republican
could figure out a real workable plan
that would either make food
substantially cheaper or or make
healthcare substantially cheaper, I
don't think Trump's going to solve
those. I think he'll take a bite out of
them. Um, you know, I think he'll do
he'll do what's doable, but there's
always going to be something left over
that's not doable easily. So, so getting
everybody healthare I think is worth
doing some way, but there's got to be a
Republican way to do that or I'll call
it a let's say an independent way to do
it. Um I don't want to do it just by
giving more money to people who can pay
double for Obamacare.
There's got to be some just fundamental
reworking of how we do stuff. And then
maybe AI.
I I've always always thought that the
government should offer the Let me let
me run this idea by you. I don't know if
I've ever mentioned this before, but I
always had the idea that maybe everybody
could have what they want, which is what
if the people who want to be socialists
and want to get cheap food and all that,
what if the government gave it to them
and said, "All right, you guys, you guys
are going to live the the socialist
path."
um and the rest of you will pay as you
go, but you won't have to pay for the
socialist somehow. Is there any way
that you could have the the socialist
plan work somewhere where if you really
really wanted that to be your life, you
could go to, you know, let's say some
part of some state and you can move
there and say, "Look, you could have
everything you you asked for. We don't
know if that'll be good for you, but
you're adults. You get you get to pick.
So if you live here, you get to have a,
you know, a community garden and you'll
share some food and maybe you won't have
a car for everybody and maybe you don't
mind they have to walk everywhere,
right?
But it it seems like there's some way
you could carve out the people who
aren't going to get healthcare under a
current costly system or even enough
food under a costly system and just put
them in their own little bucket with
fewer choices. So I think they'd be okay
if they had fewer choices
if the alternative is not having
anything.
Yeah. Anyway,
um an appeals court is going to let
Trump revive his bid to overturn
criminal convictions in that hush money
case.
The hush money case or 34 34 uh
convictions on that. Um so just the news
is writing about this. So the second
circuit court uh are going to let him
keep going on that. So we'll see if that
ever gets overturned. It was a three
judge panel. Uh and the three judge
panel said that the court had bypassed
what we consider to be important issues
bearing on the ultimate issue of good
cause.
Uh so that they did not rule on whether
Trump is guilty or innocent. They just
ruled on they ruled on ruling basically.
Um here's a funny comment from somebody
on Twitchy Doug P. He notes that Mam
Dami is asking people to send him money
so that they could get free stuff in
return, [laughter]
which is a funny way to frame it. And
it's exactly right. So the candidate
who's promising you free stuff can't
give you free stuff until you give him
money.
Wait, that's not free. Well, I guess you
don't you don't have to personally give
him money, but unless a lot of people
give him money, he won't be able to give
you money back. Now, I guess the promise
is if you give him enough money and then
he gets elected, which he did, uh, he
would help you get some money back. So,
basically, it's just a money laundering
operation that he's he's disguised as a
candidacy.
That's what it looks like.
Anyway,
that's what's happening there. Um
and then uh Fox News is reporting that
uh the reason the Democrats won big on
those three big elections recently is
that they focus on domestic economic
policy. Emma Busy's writing this on Fox
News. Do you think that's it? Do you
think it's because they focus on
domestic stuff as opposed to
international stuff? I don't know. I
didn't really see that happening. I
don't remember anybody bringing up
Oh, maybe they did if you're talking
about specifically Israel. Yeah, I'll
withdraw my comment.
Yeah, it did turn into a lot of Israel
talk when it could have been a lot more
about affordability. Now, when I was
praising U mom Donniey's communication
skills about the word affordability,
somebody pushed back on me on X and
said, "Scott, politicians have been
promising affordability since the
beginning of time. Why is that so new?"
To which I said, "Really? Which
politician was using the word
affordability?
Can you think of one?
Can anybody think of one who used the
word not the concept? I'm talking about
the word affordability. I don't remember
anybody doing that. They may have used
it in a sentence once, but it was never
a key part of any platform that I'm
aware of.
And so the my critic after I said I'm
not aware of anybody use it. um said he
did a search and he put affordability in
quotes and asked if anybody had pushed
affordability in quotes as a politician.
And guess what?
It turns out that if you put it in
quotes, people have done it. But that's
not the same thing. I'm talking about
the actual choice of the specific word
affordability. It doesn't count if you
were talking about lowering costs. You
had to use the actual word. I don't
remember anybody doing it.
I saw some people saying Kemp and
Clinton, but I was alive then. I don't
remember that.
Don't remember it at all. All right.
There's a study, University of British
Columbia, Tom Leslie, is writing about
this that uh if you talk with your
hands, there's a way to do it that makes
you more persuasive.
But it's not just moving your hands
randomly. So, I have trouble lifting my
arm now. But if you were just going blah
blah blah randomly with your hands, that
doesn't add anything. But if you use
your hands to tell the story, apparently
that registers quite uh strongly as
making you more persuasive. So the
example they use is if you caught a fish
and you're telling the story, it helps
to, you know, use your hands to show the
size of the fish because then it becomes
like a visual slashverbal story. So just
asked me, Scott, if you use your hands
to make the story more visual, will it
be more persuasive? Yes. I've been
teaching you for years that visual beats
purely audio. If you add the two of them
together, it's better than either one.
Either one by themselves.
Japan's going to team up with the US to
mine some rare earth in the Pacific.
So Bloomberg is reporting this. That
seems good. They're going to go into
that rare earth rich mud that's 6,000
feet down. I don't know how much work
the US is doing on that, but I'm pretty
happy how the administration is
capitalizing on our on our allies, which
might be leaning on them. [laughter]
We might be leaning on them a little
bit, but they need the rare earth, too.
So, if us plus them can get us, you
know, both more rare earth, win-win. And
I don't think there was a better way to
do it.
Don't think there was a better way to do
it. But here, let let me give you an
instant prediction that I've never made
before because I never thought about it
until right now. If the biggest problem
in the world turns out to be not enough
rare earth minerals, how long will it be
before Elon Musk looks at all of his
assets and says, "You know,
robots could dig a lot of rare earth
materials." you know,
the electric cars could carry them away.
And now he's introducing the electric uh
the all electric big trucks, the big
rigs. So, he can transport it. He can
dig it. He can dig it. I don't know if
they need satellites to locate it, but
he's got those. Uh, and he would be the
best engineer to figure out how to do it
safely. Maybe just with robots.
So, my prediction is this.
If we don't get on top of this problem
soon, I think there would be pressure on
Elon to solve it because people would
say, "We're pretty sure nobody else
could solve this. It would just be
capability. He'd be able to do it. Maybe
nobody else could. They would just ask
him ask him to step in. Could happen."
And let's see. Um, as you know, the
Colombian is reporting, Kelly
Livingston, that the Department of
Energy wants to quadruple our nuclear
power uh over the next 25 years, but
that would require tripling our
workforce
that that are trained in nuclear stuff.
We are very underkilled
for nuclear compared to how much we want
to build it out. So,
does that seem un that that seems
solvable? I think if you took a bunch of
engineers or engineering students, you
said you got you got three or four years
to learn nuclear,
they'd be in pretty good shape after
three or four years. So, as long as
we're producing them at the source and
that enough people are signing up for
those majors, we'll be fine. Oh, here's
some good news. Kazakhstan is joining
the Abraham Accords.
Kazakhstan. Now, a lot of you are
waiting for this. A lot of people have
said to me, you know, I like those
Abraham Accords, but where's Kazakhstan?
Why is Kazakhstan so silent over this?
Well, Albonia is also silent. We have
heard nothing about Albonia, but
Kazakhstan, they're in.
Maybe there'll be more later. We'll see.
All right,
people. People, that's my one-handed
show. No, not what you think. But it
took me a little longer to uh get it all
done today because I'm literally using
one hand. We're hoping that some of the
achievements will fix the other hand.
But I don't know. Maybe, maybe. Yes. I
might be done drawing
because I can't draw with my left hand.
And at the moment, I'm pretty sure I
can't draw with my left hand, but I'll
try it today just to see. So, I might be
retiring today or I might be taking a
month off to see if I can get my uh
muscles back, but I'm going to have to
work this out. So, we'll work it out
together one way or the other. I I could
always sketch it more generally and then
have my art director finish it. Uh so,
there's always a plan. It won't it won't
necessarily mean there's less Dilbert.
It might mean there's less of my artwork
that goes into the first draft.
Probably.
Probably. You and you already know that
I switched from right-handed to
left-handed to draw because I burned out
my right hand just from regular drawing.
Uh
yeah. Well, you know, nothing's perfect.
Nothing's perfect.
[snorts] Everybody's got a problem. All
right. I'm going to say a few words
privately to the locals subscribers.
If I can get my one defective hand to
click the right place. Let me get this
hand off.
One hand doesn't lift up and the other
hand is too weak.
All right.
So everybody else, I'll see you I hope
tomorrow. I hope you got something out
of the lessons.
Man, I wish I could find my cursor.
There it is. And uh we're going to go
privately with the local supporters in
30 seconds.