Episode 3032 CWSA 11/30/25
Persuasion and war and mass narrative ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Morning everybody. Come on in. You're just on time. We're going to hang out a little bit this morning because, well, you missed each other and I missed you too. Come on and grab a seat. So later, maybe later today, I'm going to do a separate video with some dad gift ideas. Wouldn't that be great? S…
View segment →this? Are you ready? Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny h…
View segment →thing better. It's called the simultaneous sip. Famous around the world. Happens now. Uhhuh. That was as good as I imagined it would be. Wow. Well, do you believe it or not? By the way, I'll be doing a little bit more NPR talk today as I recover my full ability and energy, which is moving in the ri…
View segment →etween salt water and regular water. So as long as you have the two of them you can create electricity and apparently lots of it. Do you believe that? It sounds exactly like an April Fool's prank that you can make infinite energy out of water, just some of it has to be salt water. I'm going to say…
View segment →ere have been startups that tried to have little robots on the sidewalks and I guess none of them have really worked but they keep trying. But here's the funny part of the story. The only reason I'm telling you this story is that people who don't like the robots are putting their dog poop bags on to…
View segment →ng to do, especially if it's delivering food. You wouldn't want your food to be delivered with a poop bag on top. But while I don't recommend it, and I discourage it, it doesn't make it less funny. That's the important part. All right. I think I've seen this before, but it's worth mentioning, I gue…
View segment →apparently Grok's the only one and that's based on an actual study. But that's pretty alarming. It's alarming even to imagine that that's an issue, right? Oh, what is this behind my shoulder? Looks like product placement. The Dilbert calendar is sitting right back there. Twice as good as ever befor…
View segment →o see if that'll make their life better and make the world better. Well, they just ended up testing $500 a month in cash. And guess what they concluded? Well, they concluded that people really like getting $500 in cash for doing no work. So they called it a success and said they're going to do more…
View segment →y doing those things. Well, in other news, Gateway Pundit is reporting that the US Treasury, so that would be Scott Bessent, is going to start seizing remittances. So remittances in this context is talking about people who are usually non-citizens. They don't have to be non-citizens, but they're se…
View segment →lose a dollar, you lose like I don't know, the multiplier would probably be 10 maybe 10 to one. I don't know what the real number is, but it's a lot. So just letting a dollar leave our system to go back to the home country, that $1 is like $10 in terms of GDP over time. So yeah, velocity. Exactly. S…
View segment →ould be flying over Venezuela, which is what the rumor said, that it landed somewhere near the Brazilian border. And some people were saying, "Oh, that's how he can escape the country." But didn't Trump put a total cap on airline flights above Venezuela? You know, didn't Trump say that we would enfo…
View segment →when the bag is full, they would burn it. But there have been some burn bags found that were not burned. And Cash Patel says that they involve the Trump-Russia hoax, you know, the Russia collusion hoax, and that they're found in a secret room and they will be shown to the public. And Cash Patel says…
View segment →rtaining and people watch it for the let's say the hour that it lasts or whatever, they will be convinced of whatever it is you're trying to sell or whatever narrative you're putting forward. They will think it's true. So if you were to watch this documentary, which clearly is designed to show the C…
View segment →g obscure to being fairly common such that Charlie Sheen would just have that as a go-to. I've told you before that one of the things I do is try to track my own influence on events. And one of the ways I do it is by tracking uncommon word usage. And hypnotize is sort of the word I introduced about…
View segment →play which would look exactly like it? Now, I don't have any confirmation or special information that would say that the Washington Post story is literally just made up to convince people that there's a big risk of illegal orders. I don't have any proof of that. What I do have is some pattern recogn…
View segment →unless I've checked with Grok. Now, Grok could be hallucinating, right? Could be hallucinating. So grain of salt, but according to Grok, over a thousand tankers are part of this ghost fleet. Don't you think that should have been right at the top of the story? Now go check the stories. Is that propag…
View segment →ng a narrative. We're not seeing reporting. Then I asked Grok, and remember again, Grok doesn't have to be right all the time, but I'll tell you what Grok said because it's interesting. I've told you before that one of the ways you can predict the future is by looking at insurance. And so I wondere…
View segment →f and maybe that puts some pressure on Zelensky that his best friend is already being chased out of office under accusations of corruption. And I said, well, I had a few other arguments, but my argument was that we might be closer to some kind of negotiated settlement than people realize. I'm compl…
View segment →robably gain more before his legacy looks good and he can argue that it made sense to have the war in the first place because even though he doesn't need to make his population love him, you know, the way American politicians might, he still needs some kind of popular support. So I would say that U…
View segment →ed tankers, but I don't think mostly. I think it's a grab bag of basically all kinds of sketchy tanker people from around the world. That's what Grok led me to believe. Wow, that is so wrong. I can tell the people I want to ignore the most, the people who listen to my entire Ukraine prediction and…
View segment →of you and I'm going to talk to my beloved local subscribers, the best subscribers ever. And I'll see the rest of you soon. But let's see if I can get my technology to do what I want. So local supporters, beloveds.
View segment →Morning everybody. Come on in. You're just on time. We're going to hang out a little bit this morning because, well, you missed each other and I missed you too. Come on and grab a seat.
So later, maybe later today, I'm going to do a separate video with some dad gift ideas. Wouldn't that be great? Some dad gift ideas. Now, obviously, you know you need to get the Dilbert calendar for any dad who's ever worked in an office. I guarantee this is going to work for any dad who ever worked in an office. Only available on Amazon. Get them before they sell out. But I've got some other great ideas that are not all my products. You'll love them.
You guys ready for this? Are you ready? Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass or tankard, chalice, a canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. Famous around the world. Happens now.
Uhhuh. That was as good as I imagined it would be. Wow. Well, do you believe it or not? By the way, I'll be doing a little bit more NPR talk today as I recover my full ability and energy, which is moving in the right direction. But there's a story according to The Cool Down, which must be a publication of some sort, that scientists have achieved a breakthrough that could make batteries obsolete. It apparently has something to do with the barrier between salt water and regular water. And somehow they can use the difference, the chemical or electrical difference between salt water and regular water. So as long as you have the two of them you can create electricity and apparently lots of it.
Do you believe that? It sounds exactly like an April Fool's prank that you can make infinite energy out of water, just some of it has to be salt water. I'm going to say it feels a little optimistic but I remind you that there seems to be a battery related energy breakthrough almost every day so sooner or later one of them will work.
Well in Chicago according to Futurism I guess there are two startups that have these little robots that are on the sidewalks delivering things and you know that's not new. You know there have been startups that tried to have little robots on the sidewalks and I guess none of them have really worked but they keep trying. But here's the funny part of the story. The only reason I'm telling you this story is that people who don't like the robots are putting their dog poop bags on top of the robot. So if you're out walking your dog and you don't want to carry the poop bag around and a robot goes by, you just put it on top of the robot and the robot takes your poop away.
Now, I do not recommend this. It's kind of a messed up thing to do, especially if it's delivering food. You wouldn't want your food to be delivered with a poop bag on top. But while I don't recommend it, and I discourage it, it doesn't make it less funny. That's the important part.
All right. I think I've seen this before, but it's worth mentioning, I guess. Elon Musk, I think he was on Joe Rogan, maybe some other podcast, and he said that Grok is the only AI that weighs all human lives equally. I guess some of the other AIs value adult white males lower than the rest of society. And that's the technology that we're letting loose on the world. Yeah, maybe. Maybe we ought to have a look at that. So apparently Grok's the only one and that's based on an actual study. But that's pretty alarming. It's alarming even to imagine that that's an issue, right?
Oh, what is this behind my shoulder? Looks like product placement. The Dilbert calendar is sitting right back there. Twice as good as ever before.
Well, in Chicago, now this is a funny story too. According to the Post Millennial, they're covering this. Chicago, I guess they tested UBI, universal basic income, where they literally just give money to people who don't have money and they try to see if that'll make their life better and make the world better. Well, they just ended up testing $500 a month in cash. And guess what they concluded? Well, they concluded that people really like getting $500 in cash for doing no work. So they called it a success and said they're going to do more of it. That's right. The standard for judging whether it was successful was whether the people who got the free money were happy about it. I'm not making that up. Turns out that people are happy when you give them free money. Who knew? Maybe you could have asked me.
All right. Apparently the State Department is doing far fewer press briefings than before. To which I ask, why would you do any? What would the State Department tell you that Trump wouldn't tell you? It seems like if you have more than one government entity that's doing important press briefings in addition to Trump that all it does is create an opportunity for something to look like a misinterpretation or a conflict. So why would you ever have a press briefing from the State Department as long as Trump can cover all that same material, which he does on anything that matters. So yeah, that's the bar. Smart not to have them.
Well, apparently the Defense Department, or is it called the Department of War now? I don't know. They've confirmed that $11 billion, which is only a small fraction of the real number, has been stolen. $11 billion since 2017. And according to the GAO, it's only a small fraction of how much has been stolen of your tax money, just the stuff that was going to the Department of Defense. So the Pentagon, which spends about a trillion dollars a year, has never passed an audit.
Do you think we're better than Ukraine? You know, I've said this before, but when you look at the number of expensive homes and expensive cars, it doesn't really map to my understanding of how many legitimate jobs there are in the world that you can make that much money. It looks like, I mean I've been feeling this for a long time, that we're primarily a corruption economy. Not primarily, but that maybe something like 20% of the entire GDP is criminal. I don't know how big it is, but every time we look at any entity that has a budget, doesn't it always look the same? Like every time there's a big budget, be it Minneapolis, be it the Department of Defense, be it the NSA, be it USAID, every time there's a big budget, it's being stolen. New York City's budget, the city budgets, every time.
If we could solve one problem, which is the ability to audit where our money goes, everything would be different. So it feels like what the Trump administration needs to do, I don't even know if it's doable, is to find some way to insist that nobody ever gets a budget for anything unless there's a really dynamic auditing feature where everybody can see where every dollar goes. Short of that, it's just all being stolen. It doesn't matter if it's money for Ukraine or money for poor people or money for a disease or money for COVID. Every single time, every time it's being stolen. As a developed country, we can't figure out how to audit our stuff. I mean, it's crazy. It's crazy.
Anyway, here are some examples. A Pentagon contractor. I guess one of the ways or maybe the main way that this kind of money is stolen is there's kickbacks for sending money in one direction versus another. There are all these shell companies that are like fake companies pretending to do things that you would get money for but not really doing those things.
Well, in other news, Gateway Pundit is reporting that the US Treasury, so that would be Scott Bessent, is going to start seizing remittances. So remittances in this context is talking about people who are usually non-citizens. They don't have to be non-citizens, but they're sending money back to their home country or wherever they came from. Now, on one hand, I like freedom and I think people should be able to do whatever they want with their money, you know, assuming it's legally obtained. On the other hand, there's a really good reason or argument for limiting the ability for people to make money in the US and then send that money somewhere else. That doesn't help us. It helps wherever you're sending it, but it doesn't help us. So if you were to tax those remittances, you know, at least you get something out of it. Or if you were to block them or cap them, it probably would be a good idea for the United States.
So I don't know how big that number is, but it's a lot of money. And if we could just, if those dollars would simply stay circulating within the US economy, you know, you have a multiplier effect. So the dollar spent goes to another American who now has a dollar who spends it that goes to another American. Well, if you take that and you create a leak where that dollar just leaves our system, then it never has any multiplier effect. So you don't lose a dollar, you lose like I don't know, the multiplier would probably be 10 maybe 10 to one. I don't know what the real number is, but it's a lot. So just letting a dollar leave our system to go back to the home country, that $1 is like $10 in terms of GDP over time. So yeah, velocity. Exactly. Somebody took an economics course. Yeah, velocity is what we're talking about.
And let's see. So I guess they're going to flag anything that's over $2,000. That probably will go down over time. That's a lot of money actually sending back to the home country.
Well, now Trump has put a pause on US immigration, a permanent pause, well I don't know how permanent it is, from third world countries. Now, do you remember when Trump tried the so-called Muslim ban and that didn't work out? So he modified it and then it worked out. Why did he never try third world ban? It does seem like that would capture everything you didn't want. You know, that the third world would capture kind of all kinds of situations. And if you needed, I suppose if you needed to make an exception, it wouldn't be that hard. But it seems kind of clean to just say we don't let people from third world countries in unless it's a special situation because I don't know how much is helping us.
Now the other factors that are impossible to predict are the effect of a decreasing population. You know, our reproduction rate is below replacement. So it's not like we're going to be able to get away with not importing people unless the robot revolution is so fast that we just never need to import another person and then we would slowly turn into a robot country. Uh-oh. I just realized that's probably what's going to happen. Okay.
Work with me here. So let's say that we limit migration, immigration into the country and let's say that our repopulation rate stays below replacement. There would be fewer humans every day, but because we're at the beginning of the robot revolution, there would be more robots every day. Now, in the beginning, we're going to say humans are humans and robots are robots and they're just tools. But as those robots become more and more humanlike, which is guaranteed, it's going to happen fast, will we so easily call the robots tools and the humans the important thing when the number of robots starts surpassing the number of humans? What happens when the United States becomes 90% humanoid robots doing all the things that humans do and 10% humans? Are we destined to become a robot only country? You know that could happen right in the real world. There's a possibility that sometime maybe even in your lifetime, well not in your lifetime probably but there's a real possibility that the United States will be only populated by humanoid robots that can also reproduce. What would stop that from happening right? All the trends are in that direction. Our population will reduce, our immigration will go to zero, and the number of robots that are, you know, indistinguishable from humans basically will start at zero, but it's going to go to millions, you know, within just a few short years. So, robot nation coming up.
There is a rumor this morning that I do not believe is true. There's no confirmation for it, but I'll just tell you the rumor. The rumor is that Venezuelan leader Maduro may have tried to escape Venezuela in an airplane that apparently is known to be his airplane, but there is no confirmation of anything of the sort. So the news is not treating it like that's a real story yet. So I would say that is unlikely to be true. I also wouldn't understand how Maduro's plane could be flying over Venezuela, which is what the rumor said, that it landed somewhere near the Brazilian border. And some people were saying, "Oh, that's how he can escape the country." But didn't Trump put a total cap on airline flights above Venezuela? You know, didn't Trump say that we would enforce that? So how can it be true that the US would put a flight ban over Venezuela, but also that the leader's plane could be flying around? Because the last thing I would want to do if I were Maduro is get in an airplane when we've just said we'll basically shoot down planes that are in the air. Yeah, I don't think he's on that plane.
Anyway, have you heard the update on the so-called burn bags? So did you know that the FBI found these bags that were meant for burning documents that were sensitive? And they just simply had not yet burned them. So they put them in the burn bag and then I guess when the bag is full, they would burn it. But there have been some burn bags found that were not burned. And Cash Patel says that they involve the Trump-Russia hoax, you know, the Russia collusion hoax, and that they're found in a secret room and they will be shown to the public. And Cash Patel says, quote, "You're going to see everything we found in that room in one way or another," blah blah blah. And so I saw this. Cash Patel was on an interview for the Epoch Times and Jan Jekielek was talking to him and it kind of felt like Cash was suggesting there's something in there that's going to amaze us or shock us or confirm maybe confirm something we suspected. But I don't know when we're going to see that. But I can't wait to see the burn bags. Burn bag. Open them up.
Well, according to Breitbart News, Warner Todd Huston is writing about this. There's a new documentary out that shows that Gavin Newsom and Karen Bass did nothing as the LA and Pacific Palisades burned. Now, do you believe that? Well, I believe there's a documentary, but you know how I always tell you that the documentary effect must be guarded against. The documentary effect is if you make a documentary and it's entertaining and people watch it for the let's say the hour that it lasts or whatever, they will be convinced of whatever it is you're trying to sell or whatever narrative you're putting forward. They will think it's true. So if you were to watch this documentary, which clearly is designed to show the California politicians failed, do you think you would come away with it with any other opinion than oh my god, they massively failed the state? No.
So I would warn you, I haven't seen it, but I also plan not to see it because I already know it will convince me that the politicians are crooked or incompetent, and there will not be showing the other side because even if it looks super obvious that the politicians were at fault, it looks like it to me, even then there's always another side. You know if you sat down with Newsom and said, "All right, you know, why didn't you do X? Why didn't you do Y," he might have some explanation that even though you're not a fan of Newsom, even though you're positive he could have done better, even though you're sure the state failed you, still everybody's got their version of events. And if you're not going to hear the other side, I don't know if you should spend too much time hypnotizing yourself on one side. So just beware. That said, I do think the state failed the residents.
All right. Well, I guess Charlie Sheen did an interview with Megyn Kelly. Blaze Media is writing about it. And what was interesting is that Charlie Sheen used the word hypnotized and he talked about himself and he said that he had been quote hypnotized by state-run media and that when he realized by looking at different news outlets he somehow unhypnotized himself to understand that they're two sides to the story basically and that he wasn't as anti-Trump or anti-conservative as maybe he thought he was.
But here's why I thought this was interesting. I went to Grok and I asked it, has the word hypnotized been used as often as it is now? And Grok said, "Oh my god, big difference." The word hypnotized would rarely come up let's say 10 years ago. I think I said 10 years but that in the past 10 years when people talk about politics they do actually use the word hypnotized and it is said according to Grok that hypnotized as a word used in politics went from being obscure to being fairly common such that Charlie Sheen would just have that as a go-to.
I've told you before that one of the things I do is try to track my own influence on events. And one of the ways I do it is by tracking uncommon word usage. And hypnotize is sort of the word I introduced about 10 years ago talking about persuasion and whatnot. And so I asked Grok, and I've asked other AIs this, but I had not asked Grok, if I personally was the reason that hypnotized is a common word where it used to not be common. And with a few follow-up questions, Grok did say that I'm responsible for creating a narrative of Trump being persuasive. That is the common way we see him today. And they actually credited me for that change. A change from looking at policy when you're talking about politics to looking at persuasion. And it mentioned my book Win Bigly and it said I had relentlessly hammered on it. And then Grok said that what I did for the narrative is that I gave people, this is Grok's wording, I gave people a vocabulary to understand Trump as a persuader. And if you have a vocabulary for something, that's a way of saying you have a narrative or a framework for understanding things. And then as new events happen, you can attach it to the framework and that would be called a narrative. A way of seeing the information as opposed to the information. The information is attached to the narrative. The narrative is the way you interpret it. Right?
So apparently, at least according to Grok, I changed the narrative from being the common narrative of policy and I don't know, character, the things we would normally talk about with politicians to one where people understand it as a persuasion framework. And apparently that's me. I seem to have changed the entire way that people look at politics. So you can have a different opinion and believe that I was just describing something that was there anyway. But what was there anyway is that there was always persuasion. I didn't invent that. But what I invented was the narrative of seeing it through that lens. And I think I actually did that. And when I see Charlie Sheen using the word hypnotized, and I know that that would have been an obscure use of the word 10 years ago, which is exactly when I started talking about this and talking about persuasion and Trump, I think that's me. I think that he would not have used the word hypnotized if he had not been opening his eyes in a world that I had partly created.
I'm kind of curious if you're buying this at all. Are you buying this? How I'm looking at your comments now. How many of you believe that I made a big enough difference that it changed the entire way people look at politics all the way through to affecting Charlie Sheen's choice of words? Do you think that's credible? I'm looking at your comments. Most of you think it's credible. And I would bet that the longer you've been watching my podcasts, the more credible it seems. Now, some of that is the documentary effect. So beware. Beware. If you're watching my content and you're not seeing anything else, that's probably not good enough. You probably need to see the other argument from stuff I do too. So it's not just about me. Let's just say I'm part of the documentary effect. So beware and be skeptical of everything, including me.
All right. We'll give you some persuasion lessons as we go here today. So are you following the story that the Washington Post has this exclusive story? The Washington Post, the one that is usually accused of being a CIA tool. Maybe. I mean they're accused of that. It's an allegation, but the Washington Post has a story that allegedly, and I believe this is whistleblowers. The Washington Post and whistleblowers. If you didn't even know what the story was about, would you trust it? It's the Washington Post and it's based on whistleblowers. That's pretty low credibility right there. That's pretty low. Doesn't mean it's false. It could be true, but if you were going to sort of handicap how likely it was and the only thing you knew about it was that there were whistleblowers, nah, it's not quite good enough.
But let me tell you the story if you haven't heard it. So the accusation is that at the very first Venezuelan drug boat that our military blew up that there were a couple of survivors from the attack and that the order went out to kill them all, you know, quote, kill them all and then there was a second strike that finished them off. Now, that I believe that would be a war crime if true. Now, at the same time that you've got the six Democrats, the seditious six, suggesting that the military should not follow what would be illegal orders. This would probably be an illegal order if it really happened. And if it really happened is the big part of the question.
So do you think it's a coincidence that the Washington Post, allegedly a vehicle used by the CIA and deep state for their messaging, that they have a story with whistleblowers and it happens to perfectly match the narrative that the Democrats are putting out right now, which is there might be some illegal orders. What would you do if you got the illegal orders? So does it make you think about illegal orders? Yes it does. So is that a coincidence? Or is it a deep state CIA persuasion play which would look exactly like it? Now, I don't have any confirmation or special information that would say that the Washington Post story is literally just made up to convince people that there's a big risk of illegal orders. I don't have any proof of that. What I do have is some pattern recognition. And when it's the Washington Post and it's a story that the anti-Trump world would like you to see and it fits perfectly with the narrative and it's based on whistleblowers. That's a lot of pattern recognition going into that that looks like it's just part of a persuasion op from anti-Trump forces. But I hasten to remind you I don't have any proof of that. It just the pattern is a little hard to ignore. So keep an eye on that.
Now let's look at the front page of a publication called The Hill. So keep in mind the context I just gave you. The seditious six. Then coincidentally fitting perfectly in their narrative, there's a story about allegedly Hegseth gave the order to what would be illegal orders. At the same time, The Hill had a number of stories on the front page, and I wanted to see what that looked like. And here are some of the things that were on their headlines. All right, so this is from The Hill today. One of the stories is titled "Five Ways Republicans Are Breaking With Trump." Now, I didn't read the article. This is about looking at the bigger picture, right? So five ways Republicans are breaking with Trump. So that would be a story to suggest that Trump's popularity is falling within his base. Even though the numbers suggest he's the most popular president within his party of maybe all time, he has like 87% support within Republicans. But five ways Republicans are breaking.
Another headline also on The Hill same day: "Reagan Judges Surface as Unfiltered Assessors of Trump." Oh, so there are Republicans who are even more Republican than Trump because they're Reagan-appointed judges and they have unfiltered assessments of Trump. Oh, so in other words, there are some very credible Republican types, these judges who are trying to block Trump. So that would suggest that Republicans are not all exactly on the same side. So that headline is at the same time as the headline, five ways Republicans are breaking with Trump.
Let's see. There's another headline: "Trump Approval Rating Drops to New Low According to a Poll." Okay, that is three headlines just on The Hill just today suggesting that Trump is losing his popularity. Now put it all together. Washington Post, whistleblowers, seditious six. Don't follow illegal orders if you're in the military. And then, oh look at all the ways the Republicans are abandoning Trump. In other words, making it easy to abandon Trump because you feel that other people are doing it. What would be persuasion in this case? Repetition. Repetition. Repetition. So the more they say Trump is becoming less popular, Republicans are breaking with him, you better not agree with him if he gives illegal orders. They're creating a narrative, and there's that narrative word again, a framework in which you can imagine that Trump is becoming less popular. Once that narrative is established, then anything in the news that's anti-Trump or shows somebody disagreeing with him or anything that they could stretch to make it look like it's an illegal military order. Now they all fit in that same narrative that he might give an illegal order and his popularity is shrinking within his own base, even if that's not necessarily true.
All right. Now let's look at Politico. One of the headlines is "How Trump's Base Could Break." Okay. So you can start to see that if it's true, and I don't know that it is, but if it's true that our publications, our mainstream media is at least partly just propaganda by deep state intelligence assets. If that's true, what would it look like? Wouldn't it look exactly like this? And I remind you, if you don't know what a color revolution is, you need to study up on that because I'm not sure we're in one, but I know that if you were doing pattern recognition and you were saying what would it look like? A color revolution is how the US intelligence and our other assets have overthrown some number, I don't know what the number is but multiple other countries and the accusation is that the same technique is being used internally by some presumably anti-Trump forces to destabilize the Trump administration and put back I suppose a Democrat-led thing.
So a color revolution would include suspiciously funded street protests. Do we have that? Do we have recently suspiciously funded street protests that look sort of dangerous? Yes. Yeah. They're not all dangerous looking. The no kings stuff is not especially dangerous, but we do have we're looking at the funding for Antifa, etc. So it does look like there's some kind of sketchy funding for protests. That's what you would expect we would do to another country if we were trying to get rid of them. There would also be if you were suffering from an externally imposed color revolution, there would also be the press would have a pretty unified attack on the leader. Do we see the press going after the leader, Trump? Yes. More than we've ever seen the press go after anything. So we got the sketchy street protests. We've got the media maybe influenced by intelligence sources. We don't know, but it looks like it. And attacking the leader and yeah, so those would be some of the hallmarks of it. So it looks like it, but we wouldn't know.
And then there's the part about following illegal orders. And there's a part about trying to jail the current administration because you always need some excuse to jail the person who's in charge so you can install your own person. That's how we would do it if we're overthrowing another country. And that's exactly what was happening to Trump. The lawfare was not trying to beat him electorally. It was trying to put him in jail. And there was also, it looked like to me, a huge effort to put his supporters in jail, and anybody who supported him, anybody who tried to be his lawyer, anybody who was a close confidant. So all the elements are in place for what would be a color revolution that was aimed by our country at our own country. But the part that is missing I think is who's in charge? Who's in charge? I think I've seen speculation that Obama is still in charge and he's running the things from behind. I haven't seen the proof of that or that John Brennan is still in charge. Haven't seen the proof of that. So I think one thing that's missing from the narrative is a sense of who's in charge. Like if we are undergoing a color revolution, is it just a bunch of people who knew what to do but they didn't need any central coordinating or is it actually centrally coordinated by who? The CIA, all of the CIA, some corner of the CIA, some other intelligence assets. Don't know.
So I think I would say we're short of proof that there is an organized color revolution, but all the elements are there. The part missing would be who the hell is doing it? You know, we could speculate about that, but I don't think there's any smoking gun that I'm aware of. Now certainly if you looked at the Russia collusion hoax and if you said hey whoever was behind that Russia collusion hoax unless they're in jail they'd be just doing that same stuff more of it and that would suggest Obama and it would suggest Brennan and Clapper and all the guys and gals that we know were involved in that hoax because they're still operating. I mean, nothing would stop them from doing more of it if they were doing it.
On another topic, I am quite intrigued by what Alan Dershowitz has said. I don't think this is new. I think he said this for a while, that he knows exactly who's being protected by the non-release of the Epstein files. And he promises us that it's not Trump, but that there are some number and I don't know the number of important people who are being protected by the non-release of the Epstein files. Now, Dershowitz says he's not guessing because of court cases he was involved in, he actually knows who the people are. But what he doesn't tell us is how many of them there are. Is it three people who are being protected? Because the way he talks about it, it sounds like it's a lot. I don't know what a lot would be. Like any one would be a lot in this particular context. But how many people do you think are being protected and what type of people? I think he also suggested it's all manner of important people. They're all important, but they're not necessarily elected leaders. They're not necessarily any specific kind of rich person. There are just a variety of important people who are being protected.
Does that sound right to you? I have to say that sounds completely right to me. Can't be sure, but it does feel like there's more than one person being protected. It's probably several countries involved. And I'll bet you that the US's relationship with those several countries is kind of dependent on us keeping our damn mouths shut about what their leaders were up to. So you could do your own speculation about what countries are involved, but I think Great Britain is at the top of my list. Don't have any proof, but if I had to guess who we would try so hard to protect, it feels like Great Britain, doesn't it?
Now, I know some of you are going to say Israel because that just gets thrown into every conversation. But I don't have any specific reason to think that Israel's being protected. You know, that they may or may not have been involved in some Epstein blackmail intel thing. That would be separate. So separate from whether Israel had any Epstein involvement is a question of whether any prominent Israelis are being protected. And that I don't have any specific reason to think that would be the case. But I love the fact that all of us are wondering who is being protected. But Dershowitz actually knows. Can you imagine being him? Can you imagine being one of the few people on earth who don't have to wonder? He actually knows. He knows the actual names of the people being protected. And I think he's telling the truth. So I think he does know the names. It's kind of weird.
Anyway, Ukraine had some military success, I guess you'd call it, with their sea drones. So that would be water-based drones. Blew up two empty oil tankers that were apparently part of what they call Russia's ghost fleet. So if you read the news as I did and you found out that two tankers, now there are oil tankers involved in avoiding sanctions. So Russia is under sanctions, but there are all these sketchy, usually rusty old tankers that have been getting around the sanctions. Now, if I told you, as I just did, that Ukraine had blown up two of them in one day in the Black Sea, would you think that that would make a difference? What's missing in the story? Well, what's missing is how many tankers are there? If they blew up two and there were only five, that's a pretty big story. But if you had to guess, how many ghost tankers do you think Russia is using every day? Not over time, but just every day. How many tankers are either carrying an illegal load of Russian oil or returning empty to get a load?
If you had to guess, so I'm looking at your numbers. 18. Well if Ukraine took out two of 18, that would be a lot for one day of work, right? Somebody's saying 200. So I went to Grok, which by the way, I don't understand any stories in the news anymore unless I've checked with Grok. Now, Grok could be hallucinating, right? Could be hallucinating. So grain of salt, but according to Grok, over a thousand tankers are part of this ghost fleet. Don't you think that should have been right at the top of the story? Now go check the stories. Is that propaganda? Because if you said to me, "Oh, they took out two of a thousand." I would say, "Oh, so they did basically nothing and they were empty, so it barely even polluted, right?" But if you thought the number of total ghost tankers was some lower number, maybe in the low hundreds, then suddenly two of them being taken out one day starts sounding like, whoa, maybe those Ukrainians are doing well.
So ask yourself this. Is it bad reporting that they don't give you the context of how many tankers there are total? Is it just bad reporting? Or is it intentionally trying to create a narrative that Ukraine has more of a chance of winning or at least pressing the war than they do? What do you think? Is that a coincidence? Do you think it's just a coincidence that the most important number isn't in the story? Or maybe they don't know. Even if they don't know how many ghost tankers there are, shouldn't they say that? As in, well, two of them went down or at least they were damaged. I don't think they went down. They were damaged and we don't know how many there are total. That feels like something that story should include, right? So the fact that it's not in the story tells me that we're seeing a narrative. We're not seeing reporting.
Then I asked Grok, and remember again, Grok doesn't have to be right all the time, but I'll tell you what Grok said because it's interesting. I've told you before that one of the ways you can predict the future is by looking at insurance. And so I wondered, are these boats privately owned? Not boats, ships. Are these tankers privately owned? And if they're privately owned, are they insured? And the answer is, you know, there are a variety of situations, but some of them, well let me cut to the important thing. I asked Grok how much a tanker can earn making one run of, you know, let's say a full ship of oil. And the answer is about $3 to $5 million for one run. And the cargo would be worth something like 15 to 30 million. So they're transporting 15 to $30 million in a ship that itself is worth maybe three to five, I'm sorry the ship would be worth something like 15 million plus but they would earn 3 to 5 million for just one let's say two-month journey there and back. So what I'm trying to communicate is that the economics of being a ghost ship owner are so good that you don't need insurance. In other words, if you just make several runs, you would earn so much that it would pay for the entire ship going down if it got taken out. And since only two of a thousand ships got taken out, then the economics are do I take this $3 million that I'll get in 30 to 60 days at the risk of I don't know maybe 1 in 500 might be the risk of losing the entire ship, but you can pay for the entire ship in maybe half a year, which would be one of the best investments you could ever have. So the problem is that the economics of avoiding sanctions even at the risk of losing your entire tanker, the entire tanker is still overwhelmingly good business. And so I think a lot of the ghost tankers are sort of rusty old older tankers that they wouldn't care that much if it went down.
So it looks to me like, well here's another story along those same lines. The Wall Street Journal has an article that says Russia is winning the drone war. So remember I've told you recently that Ukraine's only real advantage, maybe just one advantage they have, is that they seem to be ahead of Russia in building deadly drones and using them effectively. Well, according to the Wall Street Journal, that has flipped and now Russia has a decided advantage in the drone war. One of the things that caught my eye is that this is from the Wall Street Journal today. Quote, "Large-scale maneuvering remains nearly impossible on a battlefield where masses of cheap drones can see and target movement by soldiers or vehicles." So remember, I've been telling you for a while that this would turn into a robot only war and it wouldn't even be about people. That's basically what the Wall Street Journal is reporting that you wouldn't even bother putting any vehicle into the war zone because it won't last five minutes. So if you can't put human occupied, you can't do troops or a human driving a truck, it's going to be completely depopulated in the border war zone and it will be literally just drone on drone, robot on robot. So we're very close to my weird prediction that this would be our first robot on robot war. It kind of already is. Not exactly, but it's heading that way.
All right. Now, I'm going to confess some stupidity if you don't mind. Somebody said the other day that's one of the reasons they like listening to me is that I'm not overly wed to even my own opinions. If the evidence shows that I've got it wrong, then I don't have any hesitation to changing my opinion. I'm going to do that right now. So I think I said the last few days that for the first time I could kind of imagine there could be a Ukraine Russia peace deal. And until recently, I couldn't even imagine it. And I'll reiterate what I said before I tell you how wrong it was.
So my thinking was that some things have changed recently. There's pressure on Ukraine in the corruption stuff and maybe that puts some pressure on Zelensky that his best friend is already being chased out of office under accusations of corruption. And I said, well, I had a few other arguments, but my argument was that we might be closer to some kind of negotiated settlement than people realize.
I'm completely going to change that today because I spent some time trying to figure out also using Grok for context. I wanted to see how close Russia was to economic defeat. So it's a war. There's sort of a two-part war. One part of the war is killing humans and trying to be the last living humans. So that's one way to look at the war. The other way is that they're both attacking each other's economies and that the real war is economic. So whoever can economically defeat the other one will be the winner. And I was trying to figure out what would be a scenario in which Putin would be willing to make peace right now. And here's where I think I was very wrong the other day. There is no scenario in which it makes sense for him to stop the war. You know, if he's only losing two tankers that, by the way, were not even owned by Russia. The tankers that get blown up are owned by wealthy individuals and different countries. And Russia doesn't even lose anything except two out of a thousand tankers.
So there is according to Grok there is definitely impact on Russian citizens. So they've got eight or nine percent inflation. Their GDP is kind of flat and people are feeling the pinch but it's not the end of the world. You know Russia is not in any kind of a depression. And it looks like they can kind of keep going on. And one of the things that Putin has going for him is he doesn't seem to have to satisfy his public that much because he's going to stay in power and he can control his own media. And so if it doesn't get too much worse, he's better off just winning. And if you factor in ego, you know, you have to factor in ego. I don't see him quitting now because if he quit now, even if he banked the gains and said, "Okay, we have the Donbass and we've got Crimea and we got a few things we wanted." If he did, it would still look like a lot of war for not a lot of gain. I think he has to probably gain more before his legacy looks good and he can argue that it made sense to have the war in the first place because even though he doesn't need to make his population love him, you know, the way American politicians might, he still needs some kind of popular support.
So I would say that Ukraine does not look like it could take out Russia's energy infrastructure before Russia could take out Ukraine's infrastructure. And I don't see anything changing that would make Putin want to make peace because all indications are he's slowly gaining and slowly winding down Ukraine and Ukraine is losing support. You know, it's not going to be supported financially forever. So the part that I think I calculated wrong is that I just assumed without thinking about it well enough I guess I just assumed that everybody wants to end war but why would Putin apparently he's not too worried about the number of Russians being killed in the war. So if he doesn't mind that and it's sort of moving in his direction, I can't see any reason he would end the war. And the only thing that I can imagine changing it is something that changed things economically that somehow Russia would allow to happen to them without responding in kind.
Don't you think that the United States is holding back quite a bit? Because if we go too far with allowing Ukraine to have all the best weapons and stuff, if we go too far, some of that's going to come back on the homeland. You know, Russia is going to not want to put up with that without responding in kind. So I don't see any way that as long as Putin's in charge, and it looks like he'll remain in charge. So I'm going to re-up my older prediction that there's no way we get a peace within a year because there's just not enough happening that would change the balance of where we are right now. Two out of a thousand ghost tankers. I don't know. That doesn't seem like enough.
All right, what else we got going? Well, that ladies and gentlemen is my full show and I appear to be back to full power. I'm a little bit quiet today, but feel my full energy. I was telling people before everybody streamed in here that I'm going to do a separate video maybe today of dad gift ideas for Christmas. I've got some really good dad gift ideas and it's based entirely on things that I have and you know I'm especially happy about them.
Scott is wrong. Zelensky is going to get arrested. Well, that's not part of my prediction. I don't have a prediction about Zelensky not getting arrested, but I also don't have one about him getting arrested. I don't think it matters what Ukraine wants or what Zelensky wants. I don't think they're, I think it's between the United States and Russia. And I don't think it matters at all what Zelensky wants. So that's just not part of my prediction at all. Either way, whether he gets arrested or not shouldn't have any effect on whether Putin wants to keep going.
Well, you know, I wasn't going to mention the coffee warmer, but maybe I'll add that to the list. Tankers are mostly owned by Greek companies. I don't think that's true that the ghost tankers are mostly owned by Greek. I do believe that there are a lot of Greek registered tankers, but I don't think mostly. I think it's a grab bag of basically all kinds of sketchy tanker people from around the world. That's what Grok led me to believe.
Wow, that is so wrong. I can tell the people I want to ignore the most, the people who listen to my entire Ukraine prediction and then all they have to do is they say, "Scott, you should read up more." Or, "You're so wrong." That's not an opinion. You're so wrong. Tell me one thing I got wrong. Anything. Pick the top thing you think I'm misinterpreting or missing or not calculating. Just tell me one thing that you think I don't know or I have not included in my opinion and you'll get really quiet right now.
All right, ladies and gentlemen. I'm going to say goodbye for most of you and I'm going to talk to my beloved local subscribers, the best subscribers ever. And I'll see the rest of you soon. But let's see if I can get my technology to do what I want. So local supporters, beloveds.
Morning everybody.
Come on in.
You're just on time.
We're going to hang out a little bit this morning because well, you missed you missed each other and I missed you two.
Come on and grab a seat.
So later, maybe later today, I'm going to do a separate video with some dad gift ideas.
Wouldn't that be great?
Some dad gift ideas.
Now, obviously, you know, you need to get the Dilbert uh calendar for any dad who's ever worked in an office.
I guarantee this is going to work for any dad who ever worked in an office.
Only available on Amazon.
Get them before they sell out.
But I've got some other great ideas that are not all my products.
You'll love them.
You guys ready for this?
Are you ready?
Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time.
But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains.
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Fill it with your favorite liquid.
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The thing that makes everything better.
It's called the simultaneous sip.
Famous around the world happens now.
Uhhuh.
That was as good as I imagined it would be.
Wow.
Well, do you believe it or not?
By the way, I'll be doing a little bit more NPR talk today as I recover my full ability and energy, which is moving in the right direction.
But there's a uh story according to the cooldown which must be a publication of some sort that scientists have achieved a breakthrough that could make batteries obsolete.
It apparently has something to do with um the barrier between salt water and regular water.
And somehow they can use the difference the you know chemical or electrical diff between salt water and regular water.
So as long as you have the two of them you can create electricity and apparently lots of it.
Do you believe that?
It sounds exactly like a April Fool's prank.
that you can make infinite energy out of water just some of it has to be salt water I'm going to say feels a little optimistic but I remind you that there seems to be a battery related energy breakthrough almost every day so sooner or later one of them will work well in Chicago according to futurism um I Guess there are two startups that are have these little robots that are on the sidewalks delivering things and you know that's not new.
You you know there have been startups that tried to have little robots on the sidewalks and uh I guess none of them have really worked but they keep trying.
Uh but here's the funny part of the story.
The only the only reason I'm telling you this story is that people who don't like the robots are putting their dog poop bag on top of the robot.
So if you're out walking your dog and you you don't want to carry the poop bag around and a robot goes by, you just put it on top of the robot and the robot takes your poop away.
Now, I do not recommend this.
It's kind of a messed up thing to do, especially if it's delivering food.
You wouldn't want your food to be delivered with a poop bag on top.
But while I don't recommend it, and I discourage it, it doesn't make it less funny.
That's the important part.
All right.
Um, I think I've seen this before, but it's worth mentioning, I guess.
Elon Musk, I think he was on Joe Rogan, maybe some other podcast, and he said that Grock is the only AI that weighs all human lives equally.
I guess some of the other AIs uh value uh adult white males uh lower than the rest of society.
And that's the technology that we're we're letting loose on the world.
Yeah, maybe.
Maybe.
We ought we ought to have a look at that.
So, apparently Grock's the only one and uh that's based on an actual study.
Um but uh that's pretty alarming is it's alarming to even to even imagine that that's an issue, right?
Oh, what is this behind my shoulder?
Looks like product placement.
The Dilbert calendar is sitting right back there.
twice as good as ever before.
Well, in Chicago, now this is a funny story, too.
According to the post millennial, they're covering this.
Uh Chicago, I guess they tested UBI, universal basic income where they literally just give money to people who don't have money and they try to, you know, see if that'll make their life better and make the world better.
Well, they they just ended up testing $500 a month in cash.
And guess what they concluded?
Well, they concluded that people really like getting $500 in cash for doing no work.
So, they called it a success and said they're going to do more of it.
That's right.
the the standard for judging whether it was successful was whether the people who got the free money were happy about it.
I'm not making that up.
Turns out that people are happy when you give them free money.
Who knew?
Maybe you could have asked me.
All right.
Um, apparently the State Department is doing far fewer press briefings than than before.
To which I ask, why would you do any?
What What would the State Department tell you that Trump wouldn't tell you?
It seems like if you have more than one, you know, government entity that's doing important press briefings in addition to Trump that all it does is create a opportunity for something to look like a misinterpretation or or a conflict.
So why would you ever have a press briefing from the State Department as long as Trump can cover all that same material, which he does you anything that matters.
So yeah, that's the bar.
Smart not to have them.
Well, apparently the defense department or the is it called the department of war now?
I don't know.
Um they've confirmed that uh 11 billion dollars, which is only a small fraction of the real number, has been stolen.
11 billion dollars since 2017.
Uh, and according to the GAO, it's only a small fraction of how much has been stolen of your tax money, just just the stuff that was going to the Department of Defense.
Um, so the the Pentagon, which spends about a trillion dollars a year, has never passed an audit.
Do you think we're better than um Ukraine?
You know, I I've said this before, but when you look at the number of expensive homes and expensive cars, it doesn't really map to my understanding of how many legitimate jobs there are in the world that you can make that much money.
It looks like I mean, I've been feeling this for a long time that we're primarily a corruption economy.
Not primarily, but that maybe something like I 20% of the entire GDP is criminal.
I don't know how big it is, but every time we we look at any entity that has a budget, doesn't it always look the same?
like every time there's a big budget, be it Minneapolis, be it the uh Department of Defense, be it the NOS's, be it USAD, every time there's a big budget, it's being stolen.
New York City's budget, the city budgets, every time.
If we could solve one problem, which is the ability to audit where our money goes, everything would be different.
So, it feel it feels like it feels like what the Trump administration needs to do, I don't even know if it's doable, is to find some way to insist that nobody ever gets a budget for anything unless there's a really dynamic auditing feature where everybody can see where every dollar goes.
Short of that, it's just all being stolen.
It doesn't matter if it's money for Ukraine or money for poor people or money for a disease or money for COVID.
Every single time, every time it's being stolen, a as a, you know, as a developed country, we can't figure out how to audit our stuff.
I mean, it's crazy.
It's crazy.
Anyway, here are some examples.
a uh Pentagon contractor.
I guess one of the ways or maybe the main way that this kind of money is stolen is there's kickbacks for for sending money in one direction versus another.
There are all these shell companies that are like fake companies pretending to do things that you would get money for but not really doing those things.
Well, in other news, um, Gateway Pundit is reporting that, uh, the US Treasury, so that would be Scott Bessant is, uh, is going to start seizing remittances.
So, remittances in this context is talking about, uh, people who are usually usually non-citizens.
They don't have to be non-citizens, but they're sending money back to their home country or wherever they came from.
Now, on one hand, I like freedom and I think people should be able to do whatever they want with their money, you know, assuming it's legally obtained.
On the other hand, there's a really good reason or argument for limiting the ability for people to make money in the US and then send that money somewhere else.
That doesn't help us.
It helps wherever you're sending it, but it doesn't help us.
So, if you were to tax those remittances, um, you know, at least you get something out of it.
or if you were to block them or cap them, it probably would be a good idea for the United States.
So, I don't I don't know how big that number is, but it's a lot of money.
And if we could just um if those dollars would simply stay circulating within the US economy, you know, you have a you have a multiplier effect.
So the dollar spent goes to another American who now has a dollar who spends it that goes to another American.
Well, if you take that and you you create a leak where that dollar just leaves our system, then it never has any multiplier effect.
So you don't lose a dollar, you lose like I don't know, the multiplier would probably be 10 maybe 10 to one.
I don't know what the real number is, but it's a lot.
So just letting a dollar leave our system to go back to the home country, that $1 is like $10 in terms of GDP over time.
So yeah, velocity.
Exactly.
Somebody took an economics course.
Yeah, velocity is what we're talking about.
And let's see.
So I guess they're going to flag uh anything that's over $2,000.
That probably will go down over time.
That's a lot of money actually sending back to the the home country.
Well, now Trump has uh put a pause on US immigration uh permanent pause.
Well, I don't know how permanent it is.
Uh from third world countries.
Now, do you remember when Trump tried the uh the so-called Muslim ban and that didn't work out?
So, he modified it and then it worked out.
Um, why did he never try third world ban?
It it does seem like that would capture everything you didn't want.
You know, that the third world would capture kind of all kinds of situations.
And if you needed, I suppose if you needed to make an exception, it wouldn't be that hard.
But it seems kind of clean to just say we don't let people from third world countries in unless it's a special situation because I don't know how much is helping us.
Now the other factors that are impossible to predict are the effect of a decreasing population.
you know, our our reproduction rate is below replacement.
So, it's not like we're going to be able to get away with not importing people unless the robot u revolution is so fast that we just never need to import another person and then we would slowly turn into a robot country.
Uh-oh.
I just realized that's probably what's going to happen.
Okay.
uh work with me here.
So let's say that uh we limit migration immigration into the country and let's say that our um our repopulation rate stays below replacement.
There would be fewer humans every day, but because we're at the beginning of the robot revolution, there would be more robots every day.
Now, in the beginning, we're going to say humans are humans and robots are robots and they're just tools.
But as those robots become more and more humanlike, which is guaranteed, it's going to happen fast, will we so easily call the robots tools and the humans the important thing when the number of robots starts surpassing the number of humans?
What happens when the United States becomes 90% humanoid robots doing all the things that humans do and 10% humans?
Are we destined to become a robot only country?
you know that could happen right in in the real world there's a possibility that sometime maybe even in your lifetime uh well not in your lifetime probably but there's a real possibility that the United States will be only populated by humanoid robots that can also reproduce what would stop that from happening right all the trends are in that direction Our population will reduce, our immigration will go to zero, and the number of robots that are, you know, indistinguishable from humans basically will start at zero, but it's going to go to millions, you know, within just a few short years.
So, robot nation coming up.
There is a rumor this morning that I do not believe is true.
There's no confirmation for it, but I'll just tell you the rumor.
the rumors that uh Venezuelan leader Maduro uh may have tried to escape Venezuela in an airplane that apparently is known to be his airplane, but there is no confirmation of anything of the sort.
So, the news is not treating it like that's a real story yet.
So, I would say that is unlikely to be true.
Um, I also wouldn't understand how Maduro's plane could be flying over Venezuela, which is what the rumor said, that it landed landed somewhere near the Brazilian border.
And some people were saying, "Oh, that's how he can escape the country." Um, but didn't Trump put a um what would you call it?
a a total cap on airline flight above Venezuela.
You know, didn't Trump say that we would enforce that?
So, how can it be true that the US would put a flight ban over Venezuela, but also that the leader plane could be flying around?
Because the last thing I would want to do if I were Maduro is get in an airplane when we've just had we'll basically shoot down planes that are in the air.
Uh yeah, I don't think he's on that plane.
Anyway, um have you heard the update on the so-called burn bags?
So, did you know that the FBI found these bags that were meant for burning documents that were sensitive?
Uh, and they just simply had not yet burned them.
So, they put them in the burn bag and then I guess when the bag is full, they would burn it.
But there have been some burn bags found that were not burned.
And uh Cash Patel says that it they involve the Trump Russia hoax, you know, the Russia collusion hoax, and that they're found in a secret room and they will be shown to the public.
And Cash Patel says, quote, "You're going to see everything we found in that room in one way or another, uh blah blah blah." And uh so I saw this Cash Patel was uh on an interview uh for the Epic Times and Yan Yelik was talking to him and it kind of felt like Cash was suggesting there's something in there that's going to amaze us or shock us or confirm maybe confirm something we suspected.
But I don't know when we're going to see that.
But I can't wait to see the burn bags.
Burn bag.
Open them up.
Well, according to Breitbart News, uh Warner Todd Houston's writing about this.
There's a new documentary out uh that shows that uh Gavin Newsome and Karen Bass did nothing as the LA and Pacific Palisades burned.
Now, do you believe that?
Well, I believe there's a documentary, but uh you know how I always tell you that the documentary effect must be guarded against.
The documentary effect is um if you if you make a documentary and it's entertaining and people watch it for the let's say the hour that it lasts or whatever, they will be convinced of whatever it is you're trying to sell or whatever narrative you're putting forward.
they will think is true.
So if you were to watch this documentary, which clearly is designed to show the California politicians failed, do you think you would come away with it with any other opinion than oh my god, they massively failed the, you know, the state?
No.
So, I would warn you, um, I haven't seen it, but I also plan not to see it because I already know it will convince me that the politicians are crooked or incompetent, um, and there will not be showing the other side cuz, you know, even if it looks super obvious that the politicians were at fault, it looks like it to me, uh, even then there's always another side, you You know, if if you sat down with Newsome and said, "All right, you know, why didn't you do X?
Why didn't you do Y," he might have some explanation that even though you're not like a fan of Newsome, even though you're positive he could have done better, even though you're sure the state failed you, still everybody's got a, you know, they've got their version of events.
And if you're not going to hear the other side, I don't know if you should spend too much time hypnotizing yourself on one side.
So, just beware.
That said, I do think the state failed failed uh the residents.
All right.
Well, I guess Charlie Sheen did an interview with Megan Kelly.
Um Blaze media is writing about it.
And uh what was interesting is uh that Charlie Sheen used the word hypnotized and he talked about himself and he said that he had been quote hypnotized by staterun media and that when he realized by looking at you know different news outlets he somehow unhypnotized himself um to understand that they're you know two sides to the story basically and that He wasn't as, you know, anti-Trump or anti- conservative as maybe he thought he was.
But here's why I thought this was interesting.
Um, I I went to Grock and I asked it.
Has the word hypnotized been used as often as it is now?
And Grock said, "Oh my god, you know, big difference." Um the word hypnotized would rarely come up you know let's say 10 years ago uh I think I said 10 years but that in the past 10 years when people talk about politics they do actually use the word hypnotized and uh it is said according to Grock that hypnotized as a word used in politics went from being obscure to being fairly common s such that Charlie Sheen would just, you know, have that as a go-to.
Um, I've told you before that one of the things I do is try to track my own influence on events.
And one of the ways I do it is by tracking uncommon word usage.
And hypnotize is sort of the word I introduced about 10 years ago talking about persuasion and whatnot.
And so I asked Grock, and I've asked I've asked other AIS this, but I had not asked Grock, um, if I personally uh, was the reason that hypnotized is a common word where it used to not be common.
And uh with a few follow-up questions, Grock did say that uh I'm responsible for creating a narrative of Trump being persuasive.
That is the common way we see him today.
And uh they actually credited me for that change.
A change from looking at policy when you're talking about politics to looking at persuasion.
and it mentioned my book win bigly and and it said I had relentlessly hammered on it.
Um and then Grock said that what I did for the let's say the narrative is that I gave people this is Grock's wording I gave people a vocabulary to understand Trump as a persuader.
And if you have a vocabulary for something, that's a way of saying you have a narrative or a framework for understanding things.
And then as new events happen, you can attach it to the framework and that would be called a narrative.
A a way of seeing the information as opposed to the information.
The information is attached to the narrative.
The narrative is the way you interpret it.
Right?
So apparently, at least according to Grock, um I changed the narrative from being, you know, the common narrative of policy and I don't know, character, the things we would normally talk about with politicians to one where people understand it um as a persuasion framework.
And apparently that's me.
I seem to have changed the entire way I I seem to have changed the entire way that people look at um politics.
So you you can have a different opinion and uh believe that I was just a I don't know just describing something that was there anyway.
But what was there anyway is that there was always persuasion.
I didn't invent that.
But what I invented was the narrative of seeing it through that lens.
And I think I actually did that.
Um, and when I see Charlie Sheen using the word hypnotized, and I know that that would have been an obscure use of the word 10 years ago, which is exactly when I started talking about this and talking about persuasion and Trump.
Uh, I think that's me.
I think that he would not have used the word hypnotized if he had not been, let's say, opening his eyes in a world that I had partly created.
I'm kind of curious if you're buying this at all.
Are you buying this?
How I'm looking at your comments now.
How many of you believe that I made a big enough difference that it changed the entire way people look at politics all the way through to affecting Charlie Sheen's choice of words?
Do do you think that's credible?
I'm looking at your comments.
Most of most of you think it's credible.
And I would bet that the longer you've been watching my podcasts, the more credible it seems.
Now, some of that is the documentary effect.
So, beware.
Beware.
If you're watching my content and you're not seeing anything else, that's probably not good enough.
You probably need to, you know, you you need to see the other argument from stuff I do, too.
So, it's not just about, you know, it includes me.
Let's just say I'm part of the documentary effect.
So, beware and be skeptical of everything, including me.
All right.
We'll give you some persuasion lessons as we go here today.
Um, so are you following the story that the Washington Post has this exclusive story?
Hm.
the Washington Post, the one that is usually accused of being a CIA tool.
H maybe um I mean they're accused of that.
It's an allegation, but the Washington Post has a story that allegedly, and I believe this is whistleblowers.
Let's see.
The Washington Post and whistleblowers.
If you didn't even know what the story was about, would you trust it?
It's the Washington Post and it's based on whistleblowers.
That's That's pretty low credibility right there.
That's pretty low.
Doesn't mean it's false.
It could be true, but if you were going to sort of handicap how likely it was and the only thing you knew about it was that there were whistleblowers, nah, it's not quite good enough.
But let me tell you the story if you haven't heard it.
So, the accusation is that the at the very first uh Venezuelan drug boat that our military blew up that there were a couple of survivors from the attack and that the order went out to kill them all, you know, quote, kill them all and then there was a second strike that finished them off.
Now, that I believe that would be a war crime if true.
Now, at the same time that you've got the six Democrats, the sedicious six, suggesting that the military should not follow what would be illegal orders.
This would probably be an illegal order if it really happened.
And if it really happened is, you know, the big part of the question.
So, do you think it's a coincidence that the Washington Post H allegedly a vehicle used by the CIA and deep state for their messaging that they have a story with whistleblowers h whistleblowers and it happens to perfectly match the narrative that the Democrats are putting out right now, which is there might be some illegal orders.
What would you do if you got the illegal orders?
So, does it make you think about illegal orders?
Yes, it does.
So, is that a coincidence?
Is it a or is it a deep state CIA persuasion play which would look exactly like it?
Now, I don't have any confirmation or special information that would say that the Washington Post story is literally just made up to convince people that there's a big risk of illegal orders.
I don't have any proof of that.
What I do have is some pattern recognition.
And when it's the Washington Post and it's a story that the anti-Trump world would like you to see and it fits perfectly with the narrative and it's based on whistleblowers.
That's a lot of pattern recognition going into that that looks like it's just part of a persuasion op from anti-Trump forces.
But I I hasten to remind you I don't have any proof of that.
It just the pattern is a little hard to ignore.
So keep an eye on that.
Now let's look at uh the front page of a publication called The Hill.
So keep in mind the context I just gave you.
the sedicious sex.
Then coincidentally fitting perfectly in their narrative, there's a story about allegedly Haggath gave the order to what would be illegal orders.
H um at the same time, The Hill had a number of stories in the front page, and I wanted to see what uh what that looked like.
Um, and here are some of the things that uh were on their headlines.
All right, so this is from The Hill today.
One of the stories is titled five ways Republicans are breaking up with Trump or breaking with Trump.
Now, I didn't read the article.
Uh, this is about looking at the the bigger picture, right?
So, five ways Republicans are breaking with Trump.
So that would be a story to suggest that Trump's popularity is falling within his base.
Even though the numbers suggest he's the most popular president within his party of maybe all time, he has like 87% support within Republicans.
But five ways Republicans are breaking.
Another another headline also on the Hill same day.
Reagan judges surfaced as unfiltered assessors of Trump.
Oh, so there are Republicans who are even more Republican than Trump because they're Reaganapp appointed judges and uh and they have unfiltered assessments of Trump.
Oh, so in other words, there are some very credible Republican types, these judges who are trying to block Trump.
So that would suggest that Republicans are not all exactly on the same side.
So that that headline is at the same way at the same time as the headline, five ways Republicans are breaking with Trump.
Let's see.
There's another headline.
Trump approval rating drops to new low according to a poll.
Okay, that is three headlines just on the Hill just today suggesting that Trump is losing his popularity.
Now put it all together, Washington Post, whistleblowers, right?
sedicious six.
Uh, don't follow um, you know, don't follow the orders of you any illegal orders if you're in the military.
And then, oh, look at all the ways the Republicans are abandoning Trump.
In other words, making it easy to abandon Trump because you feel that other people are doing it.
What would be persuasion in this case?
Repetition.
Repetition.
Repetition.
So the more they say, uh, Trump is becoming less popular, uh, Republicans are breaking with him, you better not agree with him if he gives illegal orders.
They're they're creating a narrative, and there's that narrative word again, a framework in which you can imagine that Trump is becoming less popular.
Once that narrative is established, then anything in the news that's anti-Trump or shows somebody disagreeing with him or anything that they could, you know, stretch to make it look like it's an illegal military order.
Now, they all fit in that same narrative that he might give an illegal order and his popularity is shrinking within his own base, even if that's not necessarily true.
All right.
Now, let's look at Politico.
Uh, one of the headlines is how Trump's base could break.
Okay.
So you you can start to see that if it's true, and I don't know that it is, but if it's true that our our publications, our mainstream media is at least partly just propaganda by deep state intelligence assets.
If that's true, what would it look like?
Wouldn't it look exactly like this?
And I remind you, if you don't know what a color revolution is, you need to study up on that because I'm not sure we're in one, but I know that if you were doing pattern recognition and you were say, well, what what would it look like?
A color revolution is how the US intelligence uh and our other assets have overthrown some number I don't know what the number is but multiple other countries and the accusation is that the same technique is being used internally by some presumably anti-Trump forces to destabilize the Trump administration and put back I suppose a a Democrat lead thing.
So, so a color revolution would include um suspiciously funded street protests.
Do we have that?
Do we have recently suspiciously funded treat street protests that look sort of sort of dangerous?
Yes.
Yeah.
Um they're not all dangerous looking.
the the no kings stuff is not especially dangerous, but we do have um we're looking at the funding for Antifa, etc.
So, it does look like there's some kind of sketchy funding for protests.
That's what you would expect we would do to another country if we were trying to get rid of them.
There would also be uh if you were if you were suffering from an externally imposed color revolution, you there would also be the press would have a pretty unified attack on the leader.
Do we see the press going after the leader, Trump?
Yes.
More than we've ever seen the press go after anything.
So, we got the sketchy street protests.
We've got the media maybe influenced by intelligent sources.
We don't know, but it looks like it.
And uh attacking the leader and uh yeah, so those would be some of the hallmarks of it.
So, it looks like it, but we wouldn't know.
And then there's the part about following illegal orders.
And there's a part about trying to jail the current administration because you always need you always need some um excuse to jail the person who's in charge so you can install your own person.
That's what that's how we would do it if we're overthrowing another country.
Um and that's exactly what was happening to Trump.
The lawfare was not trying to beat him electorally.
It was trying to put him in jail.
And there was also, it looked like to me, a huge effort to put his supporters in jail, and anybody who supported him, anybody who tried to be his lawyer, anybody who was a close confidant.
So all the elements are in place for what would be a color revolution that was aimed by our country at our own country.
Um but the the part that uh is missing I think is who's in charge?
Who's in charge?
I think I saw um I I've seen speculation that you know that Obama is still in charge and he's running the things from behind.
I haven't seen the proof of that or that John Brennan is still in charge.
Haven't seen the proof of that.
Um so I think one thing that's missing from the narrative is a sense of who's in charge.
Like I if we are undergoing a color revolution, is it just a bunch of people who knew what to do but they didn't need any central coordinating or is it actually centrally coordinated by who?
The CIA, all of the CIA, some corner of the CIA, um some other intelligence assets.
Don't know.
So I I think I would say we're short of proof that there is a um organized color revolution, but all the elements are there.
The the part missing would be who the hell is doing it?
You know, we we could speculate about that, but I don't think there's any smoking gun that I'm aware of.
Now certainly if you looked at the Russia collusion hoax and if you said hey whoever was behind that Russia collusion hoax unless they're in jail they'd be just doing that same stuff more of it and that would suggest Obama and it would suggest Brennan and Clapper and uh all the uh all the guys that we know were involved guys and gals that we know were involved.
olved in that hoax because they're still they're still operating.
I mean, nothing would stop them from doing more of it if they were doing it.
On another topic, um I am quite intrigued by what uh Alan Dersuit has said.
I don't think this is new.
I think he said this for a while, that he knows exactly who's being protected by the non-release of the Epstein files.
and he promises us that it's not Trump, but that there are some number and I don't know the number of important people who are being protected by the non-release of the Epstein files.
Now, Durowitz says he's not guessing because he uh because of court cases he was involved in, he actually knows who the people are.
But what he doesn't tell us is how many of them there are.
Is it three people who are being protected?
Because the way he talks about it, it sounds like it's a lot.
I don't know what a lot would be.
Like any one would be a lot in this particular con uh context.
But how many people do you think are being protected and what type of people?
I I think he also suggested it's um all manner of important people.
They're all important, but they're not necessarily elected leaders.
They're not necessarily any specific kind of rich person.
There are just a variety of important people who are being protected.
Does that sound right to you?
I have to say that sounds completely right to me.
can't be sure, but it does feel like there's more than, you know, more than one person being protected.
It's probably probably several countries involved.
And I'll bet you that the US's relationship with those several countries is kind of dependent on us keeping our damn mouths shut about what their leaders were up to.
So, you could do you could do your own uh your own speculation about what countries are involved, but uh I think Great Britain is at the top of my list.
Don't have any proof, but if I had to guess who we would try so hard to protect, it feels like Great Britain, doesn't it?
Now, I know some of you are going to say Israel because that just gets thrown into every conversation.
But I don't have any specific reason to think that Israel's um being protected.
You know, that they may or may not have been involved in some Epstein blackmail intel thing.
That would be separate.
So separate from whether Israel had any Epstein involvement is a question of whether any prominent Israelis are being protected.
And that I don't have any I don't have any specific reason to think that would be the case.
But I love the fact that all of us are wondering who is being protected.
But Duruitz actually knows.
Can you imagine being him?
Can you can you imagine being one of the few people on earth who don't have to wonder?
He actually knows.
He knows the actual names of the people being protected.
And I I think he's telling the truth.
So I think he does know the names.
It's kind of weird.
Anyway, um Ukraine had uh some military success, I guess you'd call it, um with their uh sea drones.
So that would be water-based drones.
uh blew up two empty um oil tankers that were apparently part of what's they call Russia's ghost fleet.
So if you read the news as I did and you found out that two um tankers now there are oil tankers involved in the avoiding sanctions.
So, Russia is under sanctions, but there are these all these sketchy, usually rusty old um tankers that have been getting around the sanctions.
Now, if I told you, as I just did, that Ukraine had blown up two of them in one one day in the Black Sea, would you think that that would make a difference?
What's the What's missing in the story?
Well, what's missing is how many tankers are there?
If they blew up two and there were only five, that's a pretty big story.
But if you had to guess, how many how many ghost tankers do you think Russia is using every day?
Not not over time, but just every day.
How many tankers are either carrying an illegal load of Russian oil or returning empty to get a load?
If you had to guess, so I'm looking at your numbers.
Uh 18.
Well, if if Ukraine took out two of 18, that would be a lot for one day of of work, right?
Somebody's saying 200.
So, I went to Grock, which by the way, I I don't understand any stories in the news anymore unless I've checked with Grock.
Now, Grock could be hallucinating, right?
Could be hallucinating.
So, grain assault, but um according to Grock, over a thousand uh tankers are part of this ghost fleet.
Don't you think that should have been right at the top of the story?
Now go check the stories.
Is that propaganda?
Because if you said to me, "Oh, they they took out two of a thousand." I would say, "Oh, so they did basically nothing and they were empty, so it barely even polluted, right?" Um, but if you thought the number of total ghost tankers was some lower number, maybe in the low hundreds, then suddenly two of them being taken out one day starts sounding like, whoa, maybe those Ukrainians are doing well.
So ask yourself this.
Is it bad reporting that they don't give you the context of how many how many tankers there are total?
Is it just bad reporting?
Or is it intentionally trying to create a narrative that Ukraine has more of a chance of winning or at least, you know, pressing the war than they do?
What do you think?
Is it is that a coincidence?
Do you think it's just a coincidence that the most important number isn't in the story?
Or or maybe they don't know.
Even if they don't know how many uh ghost tankers there are, shouldn't they say that?
As in, well, two of them went down or at least they were damaged.
I don't think they went down.
Uh they were damaged and we don't know how many uh there are total.
That feels like something that story should include, right?
So, the fact that it's not in the story tells me that we're seeing a narrative.
We're not seeing reporting.
Um, then I asked Grock, and remember again, Grock doesn't have to be right all the time, but I'll tell you what Grock said because it's interesting.
Um, I've told you before that one of the ways you can predict the future is by looking at insurance.
And so I wondered, are these boats privately owned?
Not boats, ships.
Are are these tankers privately owned?
And if they're privately owned, are they insured?
And the answer is, you know, there are a variety of situations, but some of them uh well, let me cut to the important thing.
I asked Grock how much a tanker can earn making one run of, you know, let's say a a full uh ship of oil.
And the answer is about $3 to5 million for one run.
And the cargo would be worth something like 15 to30 million.
So they're transporting 15 to $30 million in a in a ship that itself is worth maybe three to five um I'm sorry the ship would be worth something like 15 million plus but they would earn 3 to 5 million for just one let's say two-month journey there and back.
So the what I'm trying to communicate is that the economics of being a ghost ship owner are so good that you don't need insurance.
In other words, if you just make uh several runs, you would earn so much that it would pay for the entire ship going down if it got taken out.
And since only two of a thousand ships got taken out, then the economics are h do I take this $3 million that I'll get in 30 to 60 days at the risk of I don't know maybe 1500 might be the risk of losing the entire ship, but you can pay for the entire ship in maybe half a year, which would be one of the best investments you could ever have.
So the problem is that the economics of avoiding sanctions even at the risk of losing your entire tanker, the entire tanker is still overwhelmingly good business.
And so I think a lot of the ghost tankers are uh sort of rusty old older tankers that they wouldn't they wouldn't care that much if it went down.
So, it looks to me like um well, here's another story along those same lines.
The Wall Street Journal has an article that says Russia is winning the drone war.
So, remember I've told you recently that Ukraine's only real advantage, maybe just one advantage they have, is that they seem to be ahead of Russia in building deadly drones and using them effectively.
Well, according to the Wall Street Journal, that has flipped and now Russia has a decided advantage in the drone war.
The one of the things that caught my eye is that uh this is from the Wall Street Journal today.
Quote, "Largecale maneuvering remains nearly impossible on a battlefield where masses of cheap drones can see and target movement by soldiers or vehicles." So remember, I've been telling you for a while that this would turn into a robot only war and it it wouldn't even be about people.
That's basically what the Wall Street Journal is reporting that you wouldn't even bother putting any vehicle into the war zone because it won't last 5 minutes.
So if you can't put human occupied, you can't do troops or a human driving a truck, it's going to be completely de depopulated in the the border war zone and it will be literally just drone on drone, robot on robot.
So we're very close to my weird prediction that this would be our first robot on robot war.
It kind of already is.
Not exactly, but it's heading that way.
All right.
Now, I'm going to um let's see.
I'm going to confess some stupidity if you don't mind.
Somebody said the other day that's one of the reasons they like listening to me is that I'm not uh I'm not overly wed to even my own opinions.
If if the evidence shows that I've got it wrong, then I don't have any hesitation to changing my opinion.
I'm going to do that right now.
So, I think I said the last few days that for the first time I could kind of imagine there could be a Ukraine Russia peace deal.
And until recently, I couldn't even imagine it.
And I'll tell I'll reiterate what I said before I tell you how wrong it was.
Okay.
So, my thinking was that some things have changed recently.
Uh there's pressure on Ukraine in the in the uh corruption um stuff and maybe that puts some pressure on Zilinski that his best friend is already being chased out of office um under accusations of corruption.
Um, and uh, I said, well, I had a few other arguments, but my my argument was that we might be closer to some some kind of negotiated settlement than people realize.
I'm completely going to change that today because I spent some time trying to figure out also using Grock for context.
I wanted to see um how close Russia was to economic defeat.
So, it's a war.
There's sort of a two-part war.
One part of the war is um killing humans and trying to be the last living humans.
So, that's, you know, that's one way to look at the war.
The other way is that they're both attacking each other's economies and that the real war is economic.
So, whoever can the other one economically will will be the winner.
And I was trying to figure out what would be a scenario in which Putin would be willing to make peace right now.
And here's where I think I was very wrong yet the other day.
There is no scenario in which it makes sense for him to stop the war.
You know, if he's only losing two tankers that, by the way, were not even owned by Russia.
The the tankers that get blown up are owned by wealthy individuals and different countries.
And Russia doesn't even lose anything except two out of a thousand tankers.
So there there is a uh according to Grock there there is definitely impact on Russian citizens.
So they've got eight or nine% inflation.
Uh their GDP is kind of flat and uh people are feeling the pinch but it's not the end of the world.
You know Russia is not in a any kind of a depression.
Uh, and it looks like they can kind of keep going on.
And one of the things that Putin has going for him is he doesn't seem to have to satisfy his public that much because he's going to stay in power and he can control his own media.
Um, and so if it doesn't get too much worse, he's better off just winning.
And if you factor in ego, you know, you have to factor in ego.
I don't see him quitting now because if he quit now, even if he, you know, even if he banked the gains and said, "Okay, we have the Donbass and we've got Crimea and we got a few things we wanted." Um, if he did, it would still look like a lot of war for not a lot of gain.
I think he has to probably gain more before his legacy is looks good and he can argue that it made sense to have the war in the first place because even though he doesn't need to make his population love him, you know, the way American politicians might, he still needs some kind of popular support.
So, I would say that Ukraine does not look like it could take out Russia's energy infrastructure before Russia could take out Ukraine's infrastructure.
Um, and I don't see anything changing that would make Putin want to make peace because all indications are he's slowly gaining and slowly winding down Ukraine and Ukraine is losing losing support.
You know, it's not going to be won't be supported financially forever.
So the part that I think I calculated wrong is that I just assumed without thinking about it well enough I guess I just assumed that everybody wants to end war but why would Putin apparently he's not too worried about the number of Russian being killed in the war.
So if he doesn't mind that and it's sort of moving in his direction, I can't see any reason he would end the war.
And the only thing that I can imagine changing it is something that changed things economically that somehow Russia would allow to happen to them without responding in kind.
Don't you think that the United States is holding back quite a bit?
Because if we go too far um with allowing Ukraine to have all the best weapons and stuff, if we go too far, some of that's going to come back on the homeland.
You know, Russia is going to not want to put up with that without responding and kind.
So, I don't see any way that as long as Putin's in charge, and it looks like he'll remain in charge.
Um, so I'm going to I'm going to re-up my older my older uh prediction that there's no way we get a piece within a year because there's just not enough happening that would change the balance of where we are right now.
Two out of a thousand ghost anchors.
I don't know.
That doesn't seem like enough.
All right, what else we got going?
Well, that ladies and gentlemen is my full show and I appear to be back to full power.
I'm a little bit quiet today, but feel my full energy.
I was telling people before uh before everybody streamed in here that I'm going to do a separate video maybe today of dad gift ideas for Christmas.
I've got some really good dad gift ideas and it's based entirely on things that I have and you know I'm especially happy about them.
Uh Scott is wrong.
Zalinski is going to get arrested.
Well, that's that's not part of my prediction.
I don't have a prediction about Zalinski not getting arrested, but I also don't have one about him getting arrested.
I I don't think it matters what Ukraine wants or what Zilinski wants.
I don't think they're I think it's between the United States and Russia.
And um I don't think it matters at all what Zilinski wants.
So, that's just not part of my prediction at all.
Either way, whether he gets arrested or not shouldn't affect have any effect on whether uh Putin wants to keep going.
Well, you know, I wasn't going to mention the coffee warmer, but maybe I'll add that to the list.
Uh tankers are mo mostly owned by Greek companies.
I don't think that's true that the ghost tankers are mostly owned by Greek.
Uh I I do believe that there are a lot of Greek registered tankers, but I don't think mostly.
I think it's a grabag of basically all kinds of sketchy tanker people from around the world.
That's what Grock led me to believe.
Wow, that is so wrong.
I can tell the people I want to ignore the most, the the people who listen to my entire uh Ukraine prediction and then all they have to do is they say, "Scott, you should read up more." Or, "You're so wrong." That's not an opinion.
You're so wrong.
Tell me one thing I got wrong.
Anything.
Pick pick the top thing you think I'm misinterpreting or missing or not calculating.
Just tell me one thing that you think I don't know or I have not included in my opinion and uh you'll get really quiet right now.
All right, ladies and gentlemen.
I'm going to say goodbye for most of you and I'm going to uh talk to my beloved local subscribers, the best subscribers ever.
And uh I'll see the rest of you soon.
But let's see if I can get my technology to do what I want.
So, local supporters, beloveds,
Morning everybody. Come on in.
You're just on time. We're going to hang
out a little bit this morning because
well, you missed you missed each other
and I missed you two. Come on and grab a
seat.
So later, maybe later today,
I'm going to do a separate video with
some dad gift ideas.
Wouldn't that be great? Some dad gift
ideas.
Now, obviously, you know, you need to
get the Dilbert uh calendar for any dad
who's ever worked in an office. I
guarantee this is going to work for any
dad who ever worked in an office. Only
available on Amazon. Get them before
they sell out.
But I've got some other great ideas that
are not all my products. You'll love
them. You guys ready for this? Are you
ready?
Good morning everybody and welcome to
the highlight of human civilization.
It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and
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now.
Uhhuh. That was as good as I imagined it
would be. Wow.
Well, do you believe it or not? By the
way, I'll be doing a little bit more NPR
talk today
as I recover my full ability
and energy, which is moving in the right
direction. But there's a uh story
according to the cooldown which must be
a publication of some sort
that scientists have achieved a
breakthrough that could make batteries
obsolete.
It apparently has something to do with
um the barrier between salt water and
regular water. And somehow they can use
the difference the you know chemical or
electrical diff
between salt water and regular water. So
as long as you have the two of them you
can create electricity and apparently
lots of it. Do you believe that? It
sounds exactly like a April Fool's
prank. that you can make infinite energy
out of water [snorts]
just some of it has to be salt water I'm
going to say feels a little optimistic
but I remind you
that there seems to be a battery related
energy breakthrough almost every day so
sooner or later one of them will work
well in Chicago according to futurism
um I Guess there are two startups that
are have these little robots that are on
the sidewalks delivering things and you
know that's not new. You you know there
have been startups that tried to have
little robots on the sidewalks and uh I
guess none of them have really worked
but they keep trying. Uh but here's the
funny part of the story. The only the
only reason I'm telling you this story
is that people who don't like the robots
are putting their dog poop bag on top of
the robot. [laughter]
[gasps] So if you're out walking your
dog and you you don't want to carry the
poop bag around and a robot goes by,
[laughter]
you just put it on top of the robot and
the robot takes your poop away. Now, I
do not recommend this. It's kind of a
messed up thing to do, especially
if it's delivering food.
You wouldn't want your food to be
delivered with a poop bag on top. But
while I don't recommend it, and I
discourage it, it doesn't make it less
funny.
That's the important part. All right.
Um, I think I've seen this before, but
it's worth mentioning, I guess. Elon
Musk, I think he was on Joe Rogan, maybe
some other podcast, and he said that
Grock is the only AI that weighs all
human lives equally.
I guess some of the other AIs uh value
uh adult white males uh lower than the
rest of society.
And that's the technology that we're
we're letting loose on the world.
Yeah, maybe. Maybe. We ought we ought to
have a look at that. So, apparently
Grock's the only one
and uh that's based on an actual study.
Um
but uh that's pretty alarming is it's
alarming to even to even imagine that
that's an issue, right? Oh, what is this
behind my shoulder? Looks like product
placement. The Dilbert calendar is
sitting right back there. twice as good
as ever before.
Well, in Chicago, now this is a funny
story, too. According to the post
millennial, they're covering this. Uh
Chicago, I guess they tested UBI,
universal basic income where they
literally just give money to people who
don't have money and they try to, you
know, see if that'll make their life
better and make the world better. Well,
they they just ended up testing $500 a
month in cash. And guess what they
concluded?
Well, they concluded that people really
like getting $500 in cash for doing no
work.
So, they called it a success
and said they're going to do more of it.
That's right. the the standard for
judging whether it was successful
was whether the people who got the free
money were happy about it.
I'm not making that up. Turns out that
people are happy when you give them free
money. Who knew? Maybe you could have
asked me.
All right. Um,
apparently the State Department is doing
far fewer press briefings than than
before. To which I ask, why would you do
any? What What would the State
Department tell you that Trump wouldn't
tell you? It seems like if you have more
than one, you know, government entity
that's doing important press briefings
in addition to Trump that all it does is
create a opportunity for something to
look like a misinterpretation or or a
conflict. So why would you ever have a
press briefing from the State Department
as long as Trump can cover all that same
material, which he does you anything
that matters.
So yeah, that's the bar. Smart not to
have them.
Well, apparently the defense department
or the is it called the department of
war now? I don't know. Um they've
confirmed that uh 11 billion dollars,
which is only a small fraction of the
real number, has been stolen.
11 billion dollars since 2017.
Uh, and according to the GAO,
it's only a small fraction of how much
has been stolen of your tax money, just
just the stuff that was going to the
Department of Defense.
Um, so the the Pentagon,
which spends about a trillion dollars a
year, has never passed an audit.
Do you think we're better than um
Ukraine?
You know, I I've said this before, but
when you look at the number of expensive
homes and expensive cars, it doesn't
really map to my understanding of how
many legitimate jobs there are in the
world that you can make that much money.
It looks like I mean, I've been feeling
this for a long time that we're
primarily a corruption economy.
Not primarily, but that maybe something
like
I 20% of the entire GDP is criminal. I
don't know how big it is, but every time
we we look at any entity that has a
budget, doesn't it always look the same?
like every time there's a big budget, be
it Minneapolis, be it the uh Department
of Defense, be it the NOS's, be it USAD,
every time there's a big budget, it's
being stolen.
New York City's budget, the city
budgets, every time. If we could solve
one problem,
which is the ability to audit where our
money goes,
everything would be different. So, it
feel it feels like it feels like what
the Trump administration needs to do, I
don't even know if it's doable, is to
find some way to insist that nobody ever
gets a budget for anything
unless there's a really dynamic auditing
feature where everybody can see where
every dollar goes. Short of that, it's
just all being stolen. It doesn't matter
if it's money for Ukraine or money for
poor people or money for a disease or
money for COVID. Every single time,
every time it's being stolen,
a as a, you know, as a developed
country, we can't figure out how to
audit our stuff. I mean, it's crazy.
It's crazy.
Anyway, here are some examples. a uh
Pentagon contractor.
I guess one of the ways or maybe the
main way that this kind of money is
stolen is there's kickbacks
for
for sending money in one direction
versus another. There are all these
shell companies that are like fake
companies pretending to do things that
you would get money for but not really
doing those things.
Well, in other news, um, Gateway Pundit
is reporting that, uh, the US Treasury,
so that would be Scott Bessant is, uh,
is going to start seizing remittances.
So, remittances in this context is
talking about, uh, people who are
usually usually non-citizens. They don't
have to be non-citizens, but they're
sending money back to their home country
or wherever they came from. Now, on one
hand,
I like freedom and I think people should
be able to do whatever they want with
their money, you know, assuming it's
legally obtained. On the other hand,
there's a really good reason or argument
for limiting the ability for people to
make money in the US and then send that
money somewhere else.
That doesn't help us. It helps wherever
you're sending it, but it doesn't help
us. So, if you were to tax those
remittances,
um, you know, at least you get something
out of it. or if you were to block them
or cap them, it probably would be a good
idea for the United States. So, I don't
I don't know how big that number is, but
it's a lot of money. And if we could
just um if those dollars would simply
stay circulating within the US economy,
you know, you have a you have a
multiplier effect. So the dollar spent
goes to another American who now has a
dollar who spends it that goes to
another American. Well, if you take that
and you you create a leak where that
dollar just leaves our system,
then it never has any multiplier effect.
So you don't lose a dollar, you lose
like I don't know, the multiplier would
probably be 10 maybe 10 to one. I don't
know what the real number is, but it's a
lot. So just letting a dollar leave our
system to go back to the home country,
that $1 is like $10 in terms of GDP over
time.
So yeah, velocity. Exactly. Somebody
took an economics course. Yeah, velocity
is what we're talking about.
And let's see. So I guess they're going
to flag uh anything that's over $2,000.
That probably will go down over time.
That's a lot of money actually sending
back to the the home country.
Well, now Trump has uh put a pause on US
immigration
uh permanent pause. Well, I don't know
how permanent it is. Uh from third world
countries.
Now, do you remember when Trump tried
the uh the so-called Muslim ban
and that didn't work out? So, he
modified it and then it worked out. Um,
why did he never try third world ban?
It it does seem like that would capture
everything you didn't want.
You know, that the third world would
capture kind of all kinds of situations.
And if you needed, I suppose if you
needed to make an exception, it wouldn't
be that hard. But it seems kind of clean
to just say we don't let people from
third world countries in unless it's a
special situation
because I don't know how much is helping
us. Now the other factors that are
impossible to predict are the effect of
a decreasing population. you know, our
our reproduction rate is below
replacement. So, it's not like
we're going to be able to get away with
not importing people unless the robot u
revolution is so fast that we just never
need to import another person and then
we would slowly turn into a robot
country.
Uh-oh. I just realized that's probably
what's going to happen.
Okay. uh work with me here. So let's say
that uh we limit migration immigration
into the country and let's say that our
um our repopulation rate stays below
replacement.
There would be fewer humans every day,
but because we're at the beginning of
the robot revolution,
there would be more robots every day.
Now, in the beginning, we're going to
say humans are humans and robots are
robots and they're just tools. But as
those robots become more and more
humanlike, which is guaranteed, it's
going to happen fast, will we so easily
call the robots tools and the humans the
important thing when the number of
robots starts surpassing the number of
humans?
What happens
when the United States becomes 90%
humanoid robots doing all the things
that humans do and 10% humans?
Are we destined to become a robot only
country?
you know that could happen right
in in the real world there's a
possibility that sometime maybe even in
your lifetime uh well not in your
lifetime probably but there's a real
possibility that the United States will
be only populated by humanoid robots
that can also reproduce
what would stop that from happening
right all the trends are in that
direction Our population will reduce,
our immigration will go to zero, and the
number of robots that are, you know,
indistinguishable from humans basically
will start at zero,
but it's going to go to millions, you
know, within just a few short years. So,
robot nation coming up. There is a rumor
this morning that I do not believe is
true. There's no confirmation for it,
but I'll just tell you the rumor. the
rumors that uh Venezuelan leader Maduro
uh may have tried to escape Venezuela in
an airplane
that apparently is known to be his
airplane, but there is no confirmation
of anything of the sort. So, the news is
not treating it like that's a real story
yet. So, I would say that is unlikely to
be true.
Um, I also wouldn't understand
how Maduro's plane could be flying over
Venezuela,
which is what the rumor said, that it
landed landed somewhere near the
Brazilian border. And some people were
saying, "Oh, that's how he can escape
the country."
Um, but didn't Trump put a um what would
you call it? a a total cap on airline
flight above Venezuela.
You know, didn't Trump say that we would
enforce that? So, how can it be true
that the US would put a flight ban over
Venezuela, but also that the leader
plane could be flying around? Because
the last thing I would want to do if I
were Maduro is get in an airplane when
we've just had we'll basically shoot
down planes that are in the air. Uh
yeah, I don't think he's on that plane.
Anyway,
um have you heard the update on the
so-called burn bags?
So, did you know that the FBI found
these bags that were meant for burning
documents that were sensitive? Uh, and
they just simply had not yet burned
them. So, they put them in the burn bag
and then I guess when the bag is full,
they would burn it. [snorts] But there
have been some burn bags found that were
not burned.
And uh Cash Patel says that it they
involve the Trump Russia hoax, you know,
the Russia collusion hoax, and that
they're found in a secret room and they
will be shown to the public.
And Cash Patel says, quote, "You're
going to see everything we found in that
room in one way or another, uh blah blah
blah." And uh so I saw this Cash Patel
was uh on an interview uh for the Epic
Times and Yan Yelik was talking to him
and it kind of felt like Cash was
suggesting there's something in there
that's
going to amaze us or shock us or confirm
maybe confirm something we suspected.
But I don't know when we're going to see
that. But I can't wait to see the burn
bags. Burn bag. Open them up.
Well, according to Breitbart News, uh
Warner Todd Houston's writing about
this. There's a new documentary out
uh that shows that uh Gavin Newsome and
Karen Bass did nothing as the LA and
Pacific Palisades burned.
Now, do you believe that? Well, I
believe there's a documentary, but uh
you know how I always tell you that the
documentary effect must be guarded
against. The documentary effect is um if
you if you make a documentary
and it's entertaining
and people watch it for the let's say
the hour that it lasts or whatever, they
will be convinced of whatever it is
you're trying to sell or whatever
narrative you're putting forward. they
will think is true. So if you were to
watch this documentary,
which clearly is designed to show the
California politicians failed, do you
think you would come away with it with
any other opinion than oh my god, they
massively failed the, you know, the
state? No. So, I would warn you, um, I
haven't seen it, but I also plan not to
see it because I already know it will
convince me that the politicians are
crooked or incompetent,
um, and there will not be showing the
other side cuz, you know, even if it
looks super obvious that the politicians
were at fault, it looks like it to me,
uh, even then
there's always another side, you You
know, if if you sat down with Newsome
and said, "All right, you know, why
didn't you do X? Why didn't you do Y,"
he might have some explanation that even
though you're not like a fan of Newsome,
even though you're positive he could
have done better, even though you're
sure
the state failed you, still everybody's
got a, you know, they've got their
version of events. And if you're not
going to hear the other side,
I don't know if you should spend too
much time hypnotizing yourself on one
side. So, just beware.
That said, I do think the state failed
failed uh the residents.
All right. Well, I guess Charlie Sheen
did an interview with Megan Kelly. Um
Blaze media is writing about it. And uh
what was interesting is uh that Charlie
Sheen used the word hypnotized
and he talked about himself and he said
that he had been quote hypnotized by
staterun media and that when he realized
by looking at you know different news
outlets he somehow unhypnotized himself
um to understand that they're you know
two sides to the story basically and
that He wasn't as, you know, anti-Trump
or anti-
conservative as maybe he thought he was.
But here's why I thought this was
interesting. Um, I I went to Grock and I
asked it.
Has the word hypnotized
been used as often as it is now? And
Grock said, "Oh my god, you know, big
difference." Um the word hypnotized
would rarely come up you know let's say
10 years ago uh I think I said 10 years
but that in the past 10 years when
people talk about politics they do
actually use the word hypnotized
and uh it is said according to Grock
that hypnotized as a word used in
politics went from being obscure
to being fairly common s such that
Charlie Sheen would just, you know, have
that as a go-to.
Um, I've told you before that one of the
things I do is try to track my own
influence on events. And one of the ways
I do it is by tracking uncommon word
usage.
And hypnotize
is sort of the word I introduced about
10 years ago talking about persuasion
and whatnot. And so I asked Grock, and
I've asked I've asked other AIS this,
but I had not asked Grock, um, if I
personally
uh, was the reason that hypnotized
is a common word where it used to not be
common. And uh with a few follow-up
questions, Grock did say
that uh I'm responsible for creating a
narrative of Trump being persuasive.
That is the common way we see him today.
And uh they actually credited me for
that change. A change from looking at
policy when you're talking about
politics to looking at persuasion. and
it mentioned my book win bigly and and
it said I had relentlessly hammered on
it.
Um
and then Grock said that what I did for
the let's say the narrative is that I
gave people this is Grock's wording I
gave people a vocabulary to understand
Trump as a persuader.
And if you have a vocabulary for
something, that's a way of saying you
have a narrative or a framework for
understanding things. And then as new
events happen, you can attach it to the
framework and that would be called a
narrative. A a way of seeing the
information as opposed to the
information. The information is attached
to the narrative. The narrative is the
way you interpret it. Right? So
apparently, at least according to Grock,
um I changed the narrative
from being, you know, the common
narrative of policy and I don't know,
character, the things we would normally
talk about with politicians to one where
people understand it um as a persuasion
framework.
And apparently that's me.
I seem to have changed the entire way
[laughter]
[clears throat] I I seem to have changed
the entire way that people look at um
politics. So you you can have a
different opinion and uh believe that I
was just a I don't know just describing
something that was there anyway.
But what was there anyway is that there
was always persuasion. I didn't invent
that. But what I invented was the
narrative of seeing it through that
lens.
And I think I actually did that. Um, and
when I see Charlie Sheen using the word
hypnotized,
and I know that that would have been an
obscure use of the word 10 years ago,
which is exactly when I started talking
about this and talking about persuasion
and Trump. Uh, I think that's me. I
think that he would not have used the
word hypnotized
if he had not been, let's say, opening
his eyes in a world that I had partly
created.
[laughter]
I'm [clears throat] kind of curious if
you're buying this at all. Are you
buying this? How I'm looking at your
comments now. How many of you believe
that I made a big enough difference that
it changed the entire way people look at
politics all the way through to
affecting Charlie Sheen's choice of
words?
Do do you think that's credible?
I'm looking at your comments. Most of
most of you think it's credible. And I
would bet that the longer you've been
watching my podcasts, the more credible
it seems. Now, some of that is the
documentary effect. So, beware. Beware.
If you're watching my content and you're
not seeing anything else, that's
probably not good enough. You probably
need to, you know, you you need to see
the other argument from stuff I do, too.
So, it's not just about, you know,
it includes me. Let's just say I'm part
of the documentary effect. So, beware
and be skeptical of everything,
including me.
All right.
We'll give you some persuasion lessons
as we go here today. Um, so are you
following the story that the Washington
Post has this exclusive story? Hm. the
Washington Post, the one that is usually
accused of being a CIA tool. H maybe um
I mean they're accused of that. It's an
allegation, but the Washington Post has
a story that allegedly, and I believe
this is whistleblowers. Let's see. The
Washington Post
and whistleblowers.
If you didn't even know what the story
was about,
would you trust it? It's the Washington
Post [laughter]
and it's based on whistleblowers.
That's That's pretty low credibility
right there. That's pretty low. Doesn't
mean it's false. It could be true, but
if you were going to sort of handicap
how likely it was and the only thing you
knew about it was that there were
whistleblowers, nah,
it's not quite good enough. But let me
tell you the story if you haven't heard
it. So, the accusation is that the at
the very first uh Venezuelan drug boat
that our military blew up that there
were a couple of survivors from the
attack and that the order went out to
kill them all, you know, quote, kill
them all and then there was a second
strike that finished them off. Now, that
I believe that would be a war crime if
true. Now, at the same time that you've
got the six Democrats, the sedicious
six, suggesting that the military should
not follow
what would be illegal orders. This would
probably be an illegal order if it
really happened. And if it really
happened is, you know, the big part of
the question. So, do you think it's a
coincidence that the Washington Post H
allegedly a vehicle used by the CIA and
deep state for their messaging that they
have a story with whistleblowers h
whistleblowers and it happens to
perfectly match the narrative that the
Democrats are putting out right now,
which is there might be some illegal
orders. What would you do if you got the
illegal orders? So, does it make you
think about
illegal orders? Yes, it does. So, is
that a coincidence?
Is it a or is it a deep state CIA
persuasion play which would look exactly
like it?
Now, I don't have any confirmation or
special information that would say that
the Washington Post story is literally
just made up to convince people that
there's a big risk of illegal orders. I
don't have any proof of that. What I do
have is some pattern recognition.
And when it's the Washington Post
and it's a story that the anti-Trump
world would like you to see and it fits
perfectly with the narrative and it's
based on whistleblowers.
That's a lot of pattern recognition
going into that that looks like it's
just part of a persuasion op from
anti-Trump forces. But I I hasten to
remind you I don't have any proof of
that. It just the pattern is a little
hard to ignore. So keep an eye on that.
Now
let's look at uh the front page of a
publication called The Hill.
So keep in mind the context I just gave
you. the sedicious sex. Then
coincidentally fitting perfectly in
their narrative, there's a story about
allegedly Haggath gave the order to what
would be illegal orders. H
um at [clears throat] the same time, The
Hill had a number of stories in the
front page, and I wanted to see what uh
what that looked like. Um, and here are
some of the things that uh were on their
headlines. All right, so this is from
The Hill today.
One of the stories is titled five ways
Republicans are breaking up with Trump
or breaking with Trump. Now, I didn't
read the article. Uh, this is about
looking at the the bigger picture,
right? So, five ways Republicans are
breaking with Trump. So that would be a
story to suggest that Trump's popularity
is falling within his base. Even though
the numbers suggest he's the most
popular president within his party of
maybe all time, he has like 87% support
within Republicans. But five ways
Republicans are breaking. Another
another headline also on the Hill same
day. Reagan judges surfaced as
unfiltered assessors of Trump. Oh, so
there are Republicans who are even more
Republican than Trump because they're
Reaganapp appointed judges and uh and
they have unfiltered assessments of
Trump. Oh, so in other words, there are
some very credible Republican types,
these judges who are trying to block
Trump. So that would suggest that
Republicans are not all exactly on the
same side. So that that headline is at
the same way at the same time as the
headline, five ways Republicans are
breaking with Trump. Let's see. There's
another headline.
Trump approval rating drops to new low
according to a poll. Okay, that is three
headlines just on the Hill just today
suggesting that Trump is losing his
popularity.
Now put it all together,
Washington Post,
whistleblowers,
right? sedicious six. Uh, don't follow
um, you know, don't follow the orders of
you any illegal orders if you're in the
military. And then, oh, look at all the
ways the Republicans are abandoning
Trump.
In other words, making it easy to
abandon Trump because you feel that
other people are doing it. What would be
persuasion in this case? Repetition.
Repetition.
Repetition.
So the more they say, uh, Trump is
becoming less popular, uh, Republicans
are breaking with him, you better not
agree with him if he gives illegal
orders. They're they're creating a
narrative, and there's that narrative
word again, a framework in which you can
imagine that Trump is becoming less
popular. Once that narrative is
established, then anything in the news
that's anti-Trump or shows somebody
disagreeing with him or anything that
they could, you know, stretch to make it
look like it's an illegal military
order. Now, they all fit in that same
narrative that he might give an illegal
order and his popularity is shrinking
within his own base, even if that's not
necessarily true.
All right. Now, let's look at Politico.
Uh, one of the headlines is how Trump's
base could break.
Okay.
So
you you can start to see that if it's
true, and I don't know that it is, but
if it's true that our our publications,
our mainstream media is at least partly
just propaganda by deep state
intelligence assets. If that's true,
what would it look like?
Wouldn't it look exactly like this?
And I remind you, if you don't know what
a color revolution is, you need to study
up on that because I'm not sure we're in
one, but I know that if you were doing
pattern recognition and you were say,
well, what what would it look like? A
color revolution is how the US
intelligence
uh and our other assets have overthrown
some number I don't know what the number
is but multiple other countries and the
accusation is that the same technique is
being used internally by some presumably
anti-Trump
forces to destabilize the Trump
administration and put back I suppose a
a Democrat lead thing.
So,
so a color revolution would include
um suspiciously funded street protests.
Do we have that? Do we have recently
suspiciously funded treat street
protests that look sort of sort of
dangerous? Yes. Yeah. Um they're not all
dangerous looking. the the no kings
stuff is not especially dangerous, but
we do have um we're looking at the
funding for Antifa, etc. So, it does
look like there's some kind of sketchy
funding for protests. That's what you
would expect we would do to another
country if we were trying to get rid of
them. There would also be
uh if you were if you were suffering
from an externally imposed color
revolution, you there would also be the
press would have a pretty unified
attack on the leader. Do we see the
press going after the leader, Trump?
Yes. More than we've ever seen the press
go after anything. So, we got the
sketchy street protests. We've got the
media
maybe influenced by intelligent sources.
We don't know, but it looks like it. And
uh attacking the leader
and uh
yeah, so those would be some of the
hallmarks of it. So, it looks like it,
but we wouldn't know. And then there's
the part about
following illegal orders. And there's a
part about trying to jail the current
administration
because you always need you always need
some
um excuse to jail the person who's in
charge so you can install your own
person. That's what that's how we would
do it if we're overthrowing another
country. Um and that's exactly what was
happening to Trump. The lawfare was not
trying to beat him electorally.
It was trying to put him in jail. And
there was also, it looked like to me, a
huge effort to put his supporters in
jail, and anybody who supported him,
anybody who tried to be his lawyer,
anybody who was a close confidant. So
all the elements are in place for what
would be a color revolution that was
aimed by our country at our own country.
Um but the the part that uh is missing I
think is who's in charge?
Who's in charge? I think I saw um
I I've seen speculation that you know
that Obama is still in charge and he's
running the things from behind. I
haven't seen the proof of that or that
John Brennan is still in charge. Haven't
seen the proof of that. Um so I think
one thing that's missing from the
narrative is a sense of who's in charge.
Like I if we are undergoing a color
revolution, is it just a bunch of people
who knew what to do but they didn't need
any central coordinating or is it
actually centrally coordinated
by who? The CIA,
all of the CIA, some corner of the CIA,
um some other intelligence assets.
Don't know. So I I think I would say
we're short of
proof that there is a um organized color
revolution, but all the elements are
there. The the part missing would be who
the hell is doing it?
You know, we we could speculate about
that, but I don't think there's any
smoking gun that I'm aware of. Now
certainly if you looked at the Russia
collusion hoax and if you said hey
whoever was behind that Russia collusion
hoax unless they're in jail
they'd be just doing that same stuff
more of it and that would suggest Obama
and it would suggest Brennan and Clapper
and uh all the uh all the guys that we
know were involved guys and gals that we
know were involved. olved in that hoax
because they're still they're still
operating. I mean, nothing would stop
them from doing more of it if they were
doing it.
On another topic,
um I am quite intrigued
by what uh Alan Dersuit has said. I
don't think this is new. I think he said
this for a while, that he knows exactly
who's being protected by the non-release
of the Epstein files. and he promises us
that it's not Trump, but that there are
some number and I don't know the number
of important people who are being
protected by the non-release of the
Epstein files. Now, Durowitz says he's
not guessing because he uh because of
court cases he was involved in, he
actually knows who the people are.
But what he doesn't tell us is how many
of them there are. Is it three people
who are being protected? Because the way
he talks about it, it sounds like it's a
lot. I don't know what a lot would be.
Like any one would be a lot in this
particular con uh context. But how many
people do you think are being protected
and what type of people? I I think he
also suggested it's um all manner of
important people. They're all important,
but they're not necessarily elected
leaders. They're not necessarily any
specific kind of rich person. There are
just a variety of important people who
are being protected.
Does that sound right to you?
I have to say that sounds completely
right to me.
can't be sure, but it does feel like
there's more than, you know, more than
one person being protected. It's
probably probably several countries
involved. And I'll bet you that the US's
relationship with those several
countries is kind of dependent
[clears throat]
on us keeping our damn mouths shut about
what their leaders were up to. So, you
could do you could do your own uh your
own speculation about what countries are
involved, but uh I think Great Britain
is at the top of my list. Don't have any
proof, but if I had to guess who we
would try so hard to protect,
it feels like Great Britain, doesn't it?
Now, I know some of you are going to say
Israel because that just gets thrown
into every conversation. But I don't
have any specific reason to think that
Israel's
um being protected. You know, that they
may or may not have been involved in
some Epstein blackmail intel thing. That
would be separate. So separate from
whether Israel had any Epstein
involvement is a question of whether any
prominent Israelis
are being protected. And that I don't
have any I don't have any specific
reason to think that would be the case.
But I love the fact that all of us are
wondering who is being protected. But
Duruitz actually knows. Can you imagine
being him? Can you can you imagine being
one of the few people on earth who don't
have to wonder? He actually knows. He
knows the actual names of the people
being protected. And I I think he's
telling the truth. So I think he does
know the names. It's kind of weird.
Anyway, um Ukraine had uh some military
success, I guess you'd call it, um with
their uh sea drones. So that would be
water-based drones. uh blew up two empty
um oil tankers that were apparently part
of what's they call Russia's ghost
fleet.
So if you read the news as I did and you
found out that two um tankers now there
are oil tankers involved in the avoiding
sanctions.
So, Russia is under sanctions, but there
are these all these sketchy, usually
rusty old um tankers that have been
getting around the sanctions. Now, if I
told you, as I just did, that Ukraine
had blown up two of them in one one day
in the Black Sea, would you think that
that would make a difference?
What's the What's missing in the story?
Well, what's missing is how many tankers
are there? If they blew up two and there
were only five,
[laughter]
that's a pretty big story. But if you
had to guess, how many how many ghost
tankers do you think Russia is using
every day? Not not over time, but just
every day. How many tankers are either
carrying an illegal load of Russian oil
or returning empty to get a load? If you
had to guess, so I'm looking at your
numbers. Uh 18.
Well, if if Ukraine took out two of 18,
that would be a lot for one day of of
work, right? Somebody's saying 200. So,
I went to Grock, which by the way, I I
don't understand any stories in the news
anymore unless I've checked with Grock.
Now, Grock could be hallucinating,
right? Could be hallucinating. So, grain
assault, but um according to Grock, over
a thousand
uh tankers are part of this ghost fleet.
Don't you think that should have been
right at the top of the story?
Now go check the stories.
Is that propaganda?
Because if you said to me, "Oh, they
they took out two of a thousand." I
would say, "Oh, so they did basically
nothing and they were empty, so it
barely even polluted, right?"
Um, but if you thought the number of
total ghost tankers was some lower
number, maybe in the low hundreds, then
suddenly two of them being taken out one
day starts sounding like, whoa, maybe
those Ukrainians are doing well. So ask
yourself this. Is it bad reporting that
they don't give you the context of how
many how many tankers there are total?
Is it just bad reporting?
Or is it intentionally trying to create
a narrative that Ukraine has more of a
chance of winning or at least, you know,
pressing the war than they do?
What do you think? Is it is that a
coincidence? Do you think it's just a
coincidence that the most important
number isn't in the story?
Or or maybe they don't know. Even if
they don't know how many uh ghost
tankers there are, shouldn't they say
that? As in, well, two of them went down
or at least they were damaged. I don't
think they went down. Uh they were
damaged and we don't know how many uh
there are total.
That feels like something that story
should include, right? So, the fact that
it's not in the story
tells me that we're seeing a narrative.
We're not seeing reporting.
Um, then I asked Grock, and remember
again, Grock doesn't have to be right
all the time, but I'll tell you what
Grock said because it's interesting. Um,
I've told you before that one of the
ways you can predict the future is by
looking at insurance.
And so I wondered, are these boats
privately owned? Not boats, ships. Are
are these tankers privately owned? And
if they're privately owned, are they
insured?
And the answer is, you know, there are a
variety of situations, but some of them
uh well, let me cut to the important
thing. I asked Grock how much a tanker
can earn making one run of, you know,
let's say a a full uh ship of oil.
And the answer is about $3 to5 million
for one run.
And the cargo would be worth something
like 15 to30 million.
So they're transporting 15 to $30
million in a in a ship that itself is
worth maybe three to five um I'm sorry
the ship would be worth something like
15 million plus
but they would earn 3 to 5 million for
just one let's say two-month journey
there and back.
So the what I'm trying to communicate is
that the economics of being a ghost ship
owner are so good that you don't need
insurance.
In other words, if you just make uh
several runs, you would earn so much
that it would pay for the entire ship
going down if it got taken out. And
since only two of a thousand ships got
taken out, then the economics are h do I
take this $3 million that I'll get in 30
to 60 days at the risk of I don't know
maybe 1500 might be the risk of losing
the entire ship, but you can pay for the
entire ship in maybe half a year, which
would be one of the best investments you
could ever have. So the problem is that
the economics of avoiding sanctions even
at the risk of losing your entire
tanker, the entire tanker is still
overwhelmingly
good business. And so I think a lot of
the ghost tankers are uh sort of rusty
old older tankers that they wouldn't
they wouldn't care that much if it went
down.
So,
it looks to me like um
well, here's another story along those
same lines.
The Wall Street Journal has an article
that says Russia is winning the drone
war. So, remember I've told you recently
that Ukraine's only real advantage,
maybe just one advantage they have, is
that they seem to be ahead of Russia in
building deadly drones and using them
effectively. Well, according to the Wall
Street Journal, that has flipped and now
Russia has a
decided advantage in the drone war.
The one of the things that caught my eye
is that uh this is from the Wall Street
Journal today. Quote, "Largecale
maneuvering remains nearly impossible on
a battlefield where masses of cheap
drones can see and target movement by
soldiers or vehicles." So remember, I've
been telling you for a while that this
would turn into a robot only war and it
it wouldn't even be about people. That's
basically what the Wall Street Journal
is reporting that you wouldn't even
bother putting any vehicle into the war
zone because it won't last 5 minutes. So
if you can't put human occupied,
you can't do troops or a human driving a
truck, it's going to be completely de
depopulated
in the the border war zone and it will
be literally just drone on drone, robot
on robot. So we're very close to my
weird prediction that this would be our
first robot on robot war. It kind of
already is. Not exactly, but it's
heading that way.
All right. Now, I'm going to
um let's see. I'm going to confess some
stupidity
if you don't mind.
Somebody said the other day that's one
of the reasons they like listening to me
is that I'm not uh I'm not overly wed to
even my own opinions. If if the evidence
shows that I've got it wrong, then I
don't have any hesitation to changing my
opinion. I'm going to do that right now.
So, I think I said the last few days
that for the first time I could kind of
imagine there could be a Ukraine Russia
peace deal. And until recently, I
couldn't even imagine it. And I'll tell
I'll reiterate what I said before I tell
you how wrong it was. Okay. So, my
thinking was that some things have
changed recently. Uh there's pressure on
Ukraine in the in the uh corruption um
stuff and maybe that puts some pressure
on Zilinski that his best friend
is already being chased out of office um
under accusations of corruption.
Um,
and uh, I said, well, I had a few other
arguments, but my my argument was that
we might be closer to some some kind of
negotiated settlement than people
realize. I'm completely going to change
that today because I spent some time
trying to figure out also using Grock
for context. I wanted to see um how
close Russia was to economic defeat.
So, it's a war. There's sort of a
two-part war. One part of the war is um
killing humans and trying to be the last
living humans. So, that's, you know,
that's one way to look at the war. The
other way is that they're both attacking
each other's economies and that the real
war is economic. So, whoever can
the other one economically
will will be the winner. And I was
trying to figure out what would be a
scenario in which Putin would be willing
to make peace right now. And here's
where I think I was very wrong yet the
other day. There is no scenario in which
it makes sense for him to stop the war.
You know, [clears throat] if he's only
losing two tankers that, by the way,
were not even owned by Russia. The the
tankers that get blown up are owned by
wealthy individuals and different
countries. And Russia doesn't even lose
anything except two out of a thousand
tankers. So
there there is a uh according to Grock
there there is definitely impact on
Russian citizens. So they've got eight
or nine% inflation. Uh their GDP is kind
of flat and uh people are feeling the
pinch but it's not the end of the world.
You know Russia is not in a any kind of
a depression.
Uh, and it looks like they can kind of
keep going on. And one of the things
that Putin has going for him is he
doesn't seem to have to satisfy his
public that much because he's going to
stay in power and he can control his own
media. Um, and so if it doesn't get too
much worse,
he's better off just winning. And if you
factor in ego,
you know, you have to factor in ego. I
don't see him quitting now because if he
quit now, even if he, you know, even if
he banked the gains and said, "Okay, we
have the Donbass and we've got Crimea
and we got a few things we wanted." Um,
if he did, it would still look like a
lot of war for not a lot of gain.
I think he has to probably gain more
before his legacy is looks good and he
can argue that it made sense to have the
war in the first place because even
though he doesn't need to make his
population love him, you know, the way
American politicians might, he still
needs some kind of popular support.
So, I would say that Ukraine does not
look like it could take out Russia's
energy infrastructure
before Russia could take out Ukraine's
infrastructure. Um, and I don't see
anything changing
that would make Putin want to make peace
because all indications are he's slowly
gaining and slowly winding down Ukraine
and Ukraine is losing losing support.
You know, it's not going to be won't be
supported financially forever. So the
part that I think I calculated wrong is
that I just assumed
without thinking about it well enough I
guess I just assumed that everybody
wants to end war
but why would Putin apparently he's not
too worried about the number of Russian
being killed in the war. So if he
doesn't mind that and it's sort of
moving in his direction,
I can't see any reason he would end the
war.
And the only thing that I can imagine
changing it is something that changed
things economically
that somehow Russia would allow to
happen to them without responding in
kind.
Don't you think that the United States
is holding back quite a bit? Because if
we go too far
um with allowing Ukraine to have all the
best weapons and stuff, if we go too
far, some of that's going to come back
on the homeland. You know, Russia is
going to not want to put up with that
without responding and kind. So, I don't
see any way that as long as Putin's in
charge, and it looks like he'll remain
in charge. Um, so I'm going to I'm going
to re-up my older
my older uh prediction that there's no
way we get a piece within a year because
there's just not enough happening that
would change the balance of where we are
right now. Two out of a thousand ghost
anchors. I don't know.
That doesn't seem like enough.
All right,
what else we got going?
Well, that ladies and gentlemen is my
full show and I appear to be back to
full power. I'm a little bit quiet
today, but feel my full energy. I was
telling people before uh before
everybody streamed in here that I'm
going to do a separate video maybe today
of dad gift ideas for Christmas. I've
got some really good dad gift ideas
[laughter] and it's based entirely on
things that I have and you know I'm
especially happy about them.
Uh Scott is wrong. Zalinski is going to
get arrested. Well, that's that's not
part of my prediction. I don't have a
prediction about Zalinski not getting
arrested, but I also don't have one
about him getting arrested. I I don't
think it matters
what Ukraine wants or what Zilinski
wants. I don't think they're I think
it's between the United States and
Russia.
And
um I don't think it matters at all what
Zilinski wants.
So, that's just not part of my
prediction at all. Either way, whether
he gets arrested or not shouldn't affect
have any effect on whether uh Putin
wants to keep going.
Well, you know, I wasn't going to
mention the coffee warmer, but maybe
I'll add that to the list.
Uh tankers are mo mostly owned by Greek
companies. I don't think that's true
that the ghost tankers are mostly owned
by Greek. Uh I I do believe that there
are a lot of Greek registered tankers,
but I don't think mostly. I think it's a
grabag of basically all kinds of sketchy
tanker people from around the world.
That's what Grock led me to believe.
Wow, that is so wrong.
I can tell the people I want to ignore
the most, the the people who listen to
my entire uh Ukraine
prediction and then all they have to do
is they say, "Scott, you should read up
more." Or, "You're so wrong." That's not
an opinion. You're so wrong. Tell me one
thing I got wrong. Anything. Pick pick
the top thing you think I'm
misinterpreting or missing or not
calculating. Just tell me one thing that
you think I don't know or I have not
included in my opinion and uh you'll get
really quiet right now.
All right,
ladies and gentlemen. I'm going to say
goodbye for most of you and I'm going to
uh talk to my beloved
local subscribers,
the best subscribers ever. And uh I'll
see the rest of you soon. But let's see
if I can get my technology to do what I
want. So, local supporters,
beloveds,