Episode 3040 CWSA 12/08/25
News that will make you more useful. Or smarter. Or something. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
It's about time you got in here. Good to see you. I'm coming to you from my man cave slash garage. And while you're streaming in here, because we're going to have the best time you've ever had, we'll get ready for a show. We've done the pre-show already. So this is the real thing at the top of the…
View segment →a copper mug or a glass, a tankard, a growler, a stein, a canteen, a jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous…
View segment →quite the quality I was hoping for. That was the feedback I got. And this is a little bit better. It's not as good as the Shure studio microphone, but I don't have a convenient way to set that up. I bought myself a microphone stand that will allow me to put it on the floor and then have the studio m…
View segment →nd then I get to the end of the story and it says, "However, it should be noted that this was an open label study." In other words, the people who had the saffron were completely aware that they were studying their sexual function and they were studying saffron. Now, do you think that sounds like a…
View segment →dy and when. Don't you think that that's going to have an immense impact on your health? If you knew, oh, this medicine works, but not if I eat a potato within an hour, because there's a whole bunch of those things where there is a difference. So imagine when AI can actually wrap its little head ar…
View segment →ing like an Elon Musk farming—what would you call it—experiment. I know that Elon's brother has been working on indoor farming, so I think they understand the potential here, but I'd love to see it go to the next level. Here's what I think it's going to look like. If I were trying to solve all the…
View segment →publican party on lightly regulated fast expansion of AI. First of all, do you buy that summary? Do you think that the Trump presidency will depend on how well he regulates AI? Now, regulating it well might mean not regulating it much and getting the states out of the way and giving the feds primac…
View segment →is why. You know, when I built my own house, the one I'm in, it took way too long to get the approvals in my opinion. Now, in my case, I could tell you the actual person who was holding it up because we had one person in charge of approvals. Now, if that one person woke up every morning and thought…
View segment →like Trump's political opinions and America first is more of a philosophical position, I guess, which would have impact on policies. So you may have noticed that I've never embraced for myself the MAGA label. Has anybody noticed that? That I talk about MAGA all the time, but I don't call myself tha…
View segment →oubt about it. So if it's true, here's where it gets interesting. Try to connect these two thoughts and ask yourself why they're not already connected. Don't you think that all the smart people are saying that AI dominance is the future? So if you're not dominant in AI, you're basically toast. But…
View segment →nking bleach sound like a good idea? That's a terrible idea. Don't drink bleach." That's what they said when Trump suggested using a different kind of light to battle cancer in your lungs. Now, somebody else said, "Scott, Scott, you fool." Somebody that this morning in the comments said, "You fool,…
View segment →It's about time you got in here. Good to see you.
I'm coming to you from my man cave slash garage. And while you're streaming in here, because we're going to have the best time you've ever had, we'll get ready for a show.
We've done the pre-show already. So this is the real thing at the top of the hour.
And how many of you want the simultaneous sip? You do, right? You do.
And if you want that, all you need is—I'm reading my cup. It's written on the cup. All you need is a copper mug or a glass, a tankard, a growler, a stein, a canteen, a jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.
And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip and it's happening now. Go.
Ah, tremendous.
Now, for the nerds among you, and I know there are some nerds, I'm using my laptop, but I'm using the built-in microphone for the laptop. Apparently using my iPhone as a remote microphone, which is an option, didn't give me quite the quality I was hoping for. That was the feedback I got. And this is a little bit better. It's not as good as the Shure studio microphone, but I don't have a convenient way to set that up. I bought myself a microphone stand that will allow me to put it on the floor and then have the studio microphone in front of me. But that's what's happening.
Hey, you want to talk about the news? That's why you're here, right? Have some fun, hang out with each other.
By the way, I am kind of happy about the fact that I seem to have accidentally pioneered a new form of entertainment. The new form of entertainment is yeah, we're going to talk about the news and yeah, you might learn some things and maybe you get a reframe. But it's more about hanging out because it seems that the biggest problem people have—certainly at a certain age, maybe at every age, but certainly beyond a certain age—people don't really have friends. Have you noticed that? They have family members, they have co-workers, they have neighbors, but people don't really for the most part have a lot of friends.
So what I do sort of accidentally is I created this—I don't know, kind of a—I don't even want to call it entertainment although I hope to make it entertaining. But it just feels good to know that there'll be a time a day every day including weekends and holidays that I'll be here and that I do it for you and you do it for me and that just feels good.
So shall we begin? Sure.
So according to PsyPost, a writer is writing about this, that the spice saffron might help with erectile dysfunction. So I'm reading this long article about how if you give people saffron pills that they will have much better sexual function. And then I get to the end of the story and it says, "However, it should be noted that this was an open label study." In other words, the people who had the saffron were completely aware that they were studying their sexual function and they were studying saffron.
Now, do you think that sounds like a valid scientific study to you? There's a reason that they have the blind studies. This is not blind. And if there's one thing I could tell you as a hypnotist, if you suggest that somebody's taking a pill to make them hornier, they will tell you they got hornier because people like to be horny and they like to have good sexual function. And that's half of hypnosis. You know, hypnosis works best when it's something that somebody wanted and they have no resistance to it. Nobody has any resistance to that. Everybody wants to have better sexual function.
So I would say that the credibility of the study would be approximately zero. Zero. But yet, if you knew somebody who needed some extra sexual function and you gave them the pill and you told them it would work, it might actually work just psychologically and that would be good enough.
Well, that's not the only spice that's good for you. According to the University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, the spice rosemary might help with wound healing and reducing scars. So saffron is maybe good for you and then the spice rosemary is good for you.
Well, I'll tell you what. This is just my suggestion, but you might want to give some other advice on this. If you find that medical school sounds like it's too tough and you can't get in and you don't want to do all that homework, you could just become a chef. So what I do when I'm cooking is I'll put a little bit of spice on the food and then just in case, I'll put a little bit on me. Now, I'm not saying this is going to work every time, but have you noticed that there's never a study that says if you added this spice to yourself, something bad would happen, right?
So if there's no downside, and who knows, might make your sexual performance better, might make you heal better. So it goes like this. Some for the meal, some for Scott. Some for the meal, some for Scott. Now, of course, nobody wants to eat dinner with you if you're covered with spice, but that's their problem.
All right. Can you tell it's a slow news day? Is there anything about the content of this podcast that tells you it's a slow news day? Oh, I think there is. I think there is.
All right. What else is in the news? There's now according to the Karolinska Institute and Stockholm University, there's a new drug that looks like it might boost your muscles and curb your appetite and it might be better than these weight loss drugs. So if you wanted something that would make you lose weight while preserving all your muscles, they might have something. But probably not.
What are the odds there's something in the news that says this might work. It worked in a mouse. Do you know what are the odds it will work in a human if it works in a mouse? Not much. Yeah. So it's fun to talk about, but you wouldn't want to bet a lot that it's going to work out.
Here's one that I thought was interesting. Again, we don't know if this is real. You'd have to have a lot more science before you could convince me. But there is some good evidence that the time of day that you give somebody a treatment, a medical treatment, might affect how effective it is. So specifically they found that if you give an immune immunotherapy for cancer, a certain cancer treatment, that if you give it to people in the morning you get a much better response than if you give it to them at night.
Now does that surprise you? Again, remember the odds of this actually passing other scientific scrutiny and five years from now being true is not really that high. There's probably a pretty good chance that this won't stand up, but it feels like it would. Like I think your body is different enough at different times of the day that I wouldn't be surprised if when you take your medicine makes a difference.
I'll bet you this is the kind of thing that AI could discover, don't you think? Once we get to the point that AI will monitor all the things you put in your body and then it can compare it anonymously to all the other people putting things in their body. So some of it would be food, some of it would be time of day. So in other words, the AI is just measuring everything you put in your body and when.
Don't you think that that's going to have an immense impact on your health? If you knew, oh, this medicine works, but not if I eat a potato within an hour, because there's a whole bunch of those things where there is a difference. So imagine when AI can actually wrap its little head around that.
How many of you have ever heard of a thing called synesthesia? Synesthesia. I've talked about this but not in a long time. It's the phenomenon that applies to some people but not many. So maybe fewer than 10%. They have some kind of a crossover effect in their senses. So for example some people if they're listening to music they can almost feel it whereas people like me I listen to music and I like it but I don't feel it the same way like a real musician would. So that probably prevents me from being a great musician because I feel like you'd have to feel it in order to be really good at it. Probably the Beatles were all—they probably all could feel it.
But what I would have to add to this is that there's a writer version of this. So not just musicians. And I definitely have the synesthesia for writers, meaning that I feel words. I just feel them. So it's probably not an accident that without any special training on how to be a writer, I managed to have a professional career as a writer. I think that might be synesthesia because I just feel things when I write them.
Now, is that a humble brag or is that just telling you what works and what doesn't?
All right. How many times have you been told that it's good to get enough sleep? Well, believe it or not, there's another study that says it's good to get enough sleep, but they go further and they say that if you get enough sleep, you're far more likely to be as active as you want to be for good health. But they say it doesn't work the other way. So according to this study at Flinders University that sleep first, get enough sleep, then you'll get enough activity and then you have the two things that are good for you, activity and sleep.
But I don't believe that it doesn't work the other way. Let's see what you say in the comments. I believe that I can never get a good sleep if I have not been active that day. Do you have the same thing if I've not exercised that day? Now, at the moment, I'm on all kinds of drugs and stuff for my cancer. So it's different now, but in my normal healthy life, if I don't get exercise, I can't sleep. Don't you have that? It can't just be me, right?
All right. So we're gonna—I'm seeing in the comments that a lot of you are agreeing with me. So I would say that exercise helps you sleep and sleeping helps you exercise and it definitely works both ways.
So some schools are experimenting with drones to protect against school shootings. I'm going to give you a little quiz. How many school shootings do you think happened in one year? Let's see. Not one year since 2008 in just Florida alone. So only the state of Florida and we're talking about shootings in the school since 2008. Give me a number. How many do you think there's been?
Well, while you're guessing how many there's been, the answer is, at least according to this one article from The Center Square, there have been 33 school shootings since 2008. So that just feels like a lot, doesn't it? Remember, it's since 2008, so it's not one year. Yeah, your guesses are closer to a one-year guess. Well, that's a lot, but I assume that also includes just one person getting shot. So it's not necessarily mass shootings.
But what they want to do is they're testing non-lethal drones. So if there's a shooter in the school, the drone will come and distract them. So the drone will not be deadly. It won't have a gun, but it might have sirens or pepper spray or other distraction devices because if you are a school shooter and a drone comes after you, you're going to have to pay attention to the drone because that's the thing. You don't know exactly what it can do and it's going to be in your space really fast.
I like this idea. Seems pretty good. You know, it could even be better if you got rid of the humans. You know, if you equipped the school with listening devices and then it heard a gunshot, don't you think it would be useful if the drone immediately went wherever the gunshot was? Now, that doesn't mean it should intervene. You probably want a human to decide whether it should intervene, but it should definitely go there. Like it should just as soon as it hears the gunshot, it should pull into that room or as close as it can get. I think this is definitely worth testing. I wouldn't go so far as to say I know it'll work. Definitely worth testing.
Well, Trump is apparently going to announce a 12 billion dollar farm aid program. The Washington Examiner is reporting. And it kind of made me wonder because I'm a farm nerd. You know, I worked on a farm, my uncle's farm. He had a dairy farm. So I've spent a lot of time on farms and working on farms when I was a kid and a teenager. I guess I was still a kid.
But here's what I wonder. How do you make farms unprofitable? Like, what is it about a farm that would take it from, well, we've been making money until now, but now we're losing money. Well, some of it's obvious. Some of it would be over supply. So there might be a year when everybody grows too much of one thing and then the price goes down. It might be drought or flood. So it could be bad weather in a variety of ways. It could be the rising cost of seeds and the rising cost of fuel.
And I said to myself, are those all solvable problems? And let me give you my prediction slash suggestion. I guess I feel like we should have an ongoing maybe government sponsored, but it doesn't need to be. I guess it could be private. Something like an Elon Musk farming—what would you call it—experiment. I know that Elon's brother has been working on indoor farming, so I think they understand the potential here, but I'd love to see it go to the next level.
Here's what I think it's going to look like. If I were trying to solve all the problems of farming being too expensive so I could bring down the cost of food, I would build it underground. So first I'd have the Boring Company. They can do underground tunnels really inexpensively. So once you have a way to inexpensively build a tunnel, then you could also redirect the sunlight from above into it so you get all the free sunlight. You could just do it by mirrors. I'm pretty sure you get all the goodness of the sun even if you redirect it through mirrors. So you'd have all the free sun, but you wouldn't have any weather related problems.
In theory, you could create your own seeds, couldn't you? Why is it so hard to create your own seeds? I feel like that wouldn't be the hardest thing, but I don't know about that domain. So maybe seeds would be a different problem. But if you could get—oh, and you'd also have essentially free land. So if you're doing your farming below ground, it's basically free on top of owning the above ground.
So the other thing I would do is do the food processing directly above the underground farm. So it doesn't have to go very far. And then along the same lines, I'd make sure that your underground farm is really close to the store that's going to sell the food or close to the consumer. So you want to get rid of almost all the transportation. You want to get rid of all the risk of weather. And then, correct me if I'm wrong, but if you're underground and you have a controlled environment, you're not going to need fertilizer because you just keep the bugs out in the first place. And you're not going to need too much extra water because isn't it true that you can recycle your water? It's basically hydroponic. Couldn't you just—yeah.
So I'm not 100% sure, but it seems like if you iterated underground farms, you would eventually get to the point where they're cheaper than anything we do above ground. What do you think?
Fertilizer isn't just for bugs. Well, that's true, right? It's not just for bugs. It's for growing more efficiently. But if you want to go organic, you still might prefer a smaller vegetable without any fertilizer. So I'm not sure about that trade-off. Anyway, I don't want to obsess about that, but I think we don't know how to do it cheaper at the moment, but there should be similar to how we're doing nuclear power. So the government finally figured out, hey, if we can figure out how to iterate nuclear power, we can get to something that works faster. So that's what the government's doing. They should do the same thing with indoor farms and they should be underground.
By the way, if you put it above ground, then it can still get ripped up by weather. So I think underground farms are the future. And then, of course, you'd obviously have robots doing all the work. So you wouldn't have labor, you wouldn't probably—you could get rid of 80% of all the costs. That's just my guess.
All this farming talk means people have to do something. Well, nuclear plus hydroponics is a paradise farm.
All right, let's move on. You may have heard of this already, but there's some company made an AI version of an actress called Tilly Norwood. So it's an AI actress that's been created. They haven't quite fully commercialized it yet, but the idea is that it would be a hirable actress and they would try to turn it into a star so that your AI star would be not eating up all your profits.
And weirdly, the smartest thing I've heard about this was a quote by George Clooney, who of course is a movie star. And what he said about these AI actresses and actors, he said, quote, "AI is going to have the same problem that we have in Hollywood, which is making a star is not so easy." And I thought, "Holy cow, that's the smartest thing I've heard about this topic." If you can't do it with real people and it's really hard and it's somewhat accidental because nobody knows exactly why one person becomes a movie star and one person doesn't—I mean George Clooney is a seriously sexy guy, I'm told. So you can say to yourself, "Oh, he's very sexy." But aren't there millions of super sexy men? Aren't there lots of people who could probably act as well as he can? But why did we decide that this one person is the extra sexy person?
Well, some of it is the media. Meaning that if People magazine puts you on the cover and says you're the sexiest person, it just sort of becomes a thing. Would they be able to do that with an AI? And I believe that the problem with AI art will be the same problem here that on day one if you hear that it's an AI you might be interested, you'd be curious how it works, but eventually you just feel like it wasn't real and I don't know if you could ever get to the point where if you know it's not real you can have the same emotional connection that you would with a real person in a movie. Even though the real person in a movie would not really be real because they're acting, but I do feel like George Clooney has the right take on this that if it's super hard to do it with a human, it's not going to be that much easier just because you have an AI.
So I would guess 99 out of 100 companies that try to make an AI movie star will fail. So it's not good odds.
All right. According to Axios, President Trump is betting his presidency and the future of the Republican party on lightly regulated fast expansion of AI. First of all, do you buy that summary? Do you think that the Trump presidency will depend on how well he regulates AI?
Now, regulating it well might mean not regulating it much and getting the states out of the way and giving the feds primacy over the regulation and then getting out of the way. So I kind of agree that that's true, but I do wonder if the public will see it that way. You know, people like us that the fact that you're even watching me on this podcast probably means you're in the top at least 5% of people paying attention to the news. Wouldn't you say? If you're watching this right now, you're probably in the top 5% of just people who care about keeping up with things.
So I don't know if the general public will even notice if Trump did a good job or a bad job on AI. And wouldn't we just argue about whether he did a good job or a bad job? And it wouldn't be so much something you could just measure. How in the world are you going to measure how well we do on AI? Like what happens if Estonia comes up with the best AI because they just have some genius who was working on it. Does that mean we did a bad job or does it just mean that Estonia had a genius?
So I don't know how you'd know if he did a good job or a bad job unless it was just screamingly obvious and I don't think it will be. I do think that Trump's doing pretty much everything right, which I attribute to the fact that he's got Sachs and a bunch of smart people advising him. I don't think you'll get too far away from something that Elon Musk would say makes sense and is sensible for the country. So Trump does have just the best advisers for AI. Just the best.
Will that be enough? Well, I don't think that Trump is going to overrule the smartest people in the world in a domain that they know a lot about and he doesn't. I think that only the Trump haters think you would do that. Anybody who's actually been paying attention knows that he loves advice from the smartest people.
All right, whoever is just yelling at me in all caps, maybe that person can disappear, if you know what I mean.
All right, so yeah, is he betting his presidency on the future of AI? Sort of. But I do think that the Trump administration has an advantage over other countries because with AI, we're not just competing companies against companies that we're also doing that. But we're competing countries against countries.
And let me ask you this. So we've watched Europe is just falling apart under its own bureaucracy. China is somewhat difficult for us to understand from the outside, but it doesn't look like they're super flexible about everything. Sometimes they can be super fast, you know, if the government says go do this, it'll happen pretty fast. But is that the same as being super flexible? Because the United States is more likely to allow certain freedoms, you know, certain freedom of speech. The US is more likely to allow AI to train on more sources, whereas China might say, "Oh, you can't look at that." So your AI cannot train on as many things because we want to control it.
So I'm feeling that there's something about the United States and maybe this is just me being biased. I don't know. So you tell me. Am I being biased? I think there's something about our DNA as a country that gives us a huge AI advantage. I mean, just the fact that there could be a Trump who I think is very flexible business-wise. I think Trump is the smartest president we've had business-wise. He's here at a time when having the smartest president business-wise is super important. You know, Bill Clinton was pretty smart, too. Got us through the dot-com era. But yeah, I do suspect that the US is going to have a DNA advantage. We're just more flexible and more willing to take more chances. I think that's exactly where we need to be to win. So that's my optimism on AI.
All right, let's talk about—we're all following the story, maybe you're not, of California trying to rebuild after the Palisades fire, Pacific Palisades fire. And I think that here's the good news. According to the Wall Street Journal, there is a house that's been built. Yay, a house. So we're coming up on a year and one house has been built, but you can't live in it. So one house has been built, but you can't buy it and you can't live in it. It's a developer model.
And if you were to go inside the developer model and walk up to the second floor and look out the window, would you see the paradise that used to be Pacific Palisades? Or would you see a bunch of burned down wasteland as far as you could see? It would be the second one. So not only can you not buy it, not only is there only one, but if you stood in the second floor, you wouldn't even want to live there. You'd be like, why would I want to be in this town?
However, it's not nothing. So it's not nothing. So there's a little bit of motion in the right direction. I don't know how long this is going to take, but you know, I'm comparing the Pacific Palisades to China's big projects. Doesn't it seem to you like China is building things that are as big as entire states and they can just pound it out? It's like, all right, we got a year. Let's build something that's as big as the entire island of Manhattan. And then you check back in a year and they're done.
Now, we can't build a house. We can't get a house built because, oh, there's bureaucracy. We need approvals. You know what's wrong with this story is that whenever I hear that there's a long delay, the person I always want to know is why. You know, when I built my own house, the one I'm in, it took way too long to get the approvals in my opinion. Now, in my case, I could tell you the actual person who was holding it up because we had one person in charge of approvals.
Now, if that one person woke up every morning and thought, "Hey, I got to get help Scott get his house built," probably I could have got all the approvals in two months, but I think it took well over a year. But there was a name to it. There was one person who if they did not have as many tasks as they have and it was mostly because they were overworked but that would be a very fixable problem. I would say all right this guy Bob can't do this in two months which we should be able to do it. It's going to take him a year. So can we get two Bobs? Can we get six Bobs? How many Bobs do we need? Can we borrow them from another place just for a year? Is there a way to unretire some people who for a little extra money?
Can we get a private entity, let's say a builder to pay the approvers with some kind of oversight, so it's not completely under control? Why is it we never hear the people? I want to know the name of the person who's not getting it done. Doesn't that feel like that's missing? It feels like it's missing to me.
So if I don't know the person who's not doing the job, and I'm not talking about politicians, like we can yell at Newsom all day long, but it's not like he's sitting in an office with a stamp and he refuses to stamp something. But there is somebody sitting in an office with a stamp and they're not stamping something. Why? Now, if you ask them, I guarantee they have a good reason. They're going to say something like, "Well, it wouldn't be safe because there's this inspection that hasn't happened." Well, who is that guy or gal? Who's that person? Who is it who doesn't have enough time to inspect it? Why don't I have 10 more of him? What would it cost me to bribe somebody who had the right skills to come in and work for a year?
I just feel like there's a whole layer here that's missing. And if we treat it like it's just a regular process and we're just yelling at it for being slow, we're not really trying. You know, if this were Elon Musk's property, do you think it would take a year to get anything approved? I don't think so. I mean, if he had full control of every part of it. No. He would just move more resources where you need them and get rid of people who weren't doing the job and next thing you know it would be a two-month approval instead of a year. That's what I think.
Well, the Trump administration is doing what they call a whole of government approach to try to lower beef prices. Now, beef appears to be something that is so important to the American psyche that it's different from other food. Would you say that's true? That if your beef is too expensive, it just feels like food is too expensive. So it's not like, oh, our broccoli costs too much because then you just eat some other vegetable. But if you really like beef, and that would describe a lot of Americans, if you can't get that at a good price, that just feels like food is too expensive. So I can see why that would be a big priority.
It's just hard to go from, well, if beef is expensive, I'll just get chicken and I'll be just as happy because you wouldn't be. We just wouldn't be just as happy. You could substitute almost any vegetable for another vegetable and people would say, "Well, you know, I prefer broccoli, but Brussels sprouts are fine."
You know, what are you yelling at me? Let me see if I can look at that comment. Very thing at the FDA, it's a bureaucracy, right? Okay. Imagine if we had an all of government approach to just get rid of bureaucracy. We kind of have that but I'd love to see it even bigger.
All right. Anyway, so the whole of government approach to make beef less expensive. Now, what would be the first question you would ask in that domain? The first question you would ask is why is it more expensive? Like what happened to it? Well, I didn't know. How many of you know why beef got way more expensive? Is there even one of you in the comments? Don't look it up. Don't look it up. Without looking it up, do you know why it's more expensive?
Well, some of it is the normal reasons. You know, energy is more expensive. Everything's a little more expensive. But apparently Mexico which was one of our bigger sources of beef they had some kind of disease. So we're working through that. It might be a year or two before we have some non-diseased Mexican cows. I don't know the details, but there was some kind of Mexican disease. And the only thing they could do is just shut down the Mexican supply until that's completely under control, and it probably will be in a year or two. But you just have to wait because it just takes a while to grow a cow.
So you're saying it's a screw worm? Is that what it is? Screw those worms. In the comments, people are yelling screw worm. So maybe that's the name of the bug.
All right. But we also could increase the amount of beef we get from Argentina. I don't know if it's as good, but that's another source. The government's also doing an anti-competitive probe to find out if foreign suppliers of food in general, I think. But beef specifically, they're trying to see if there's any anti-competitive thing going on because if there is, that would be an easy way to lower prices. Well, I don't know if it'd be easy, but it'd be possible, I guess.
And so it looks like—so work with me here. If we knew or we thought there was a high likelihood that beef would just drift down to a lower cost simply because two years from now we'd have a lot more cows, a lot more non-diseased cows. Does that not—so this is a real nerd question. Nerds, step to the front of the class. This question is for nerds only, who I love, by the way. You know, I love my nerds. I am one.
Would it be possible to use some kind of futures market to lower the cost of beef today if you felt confident that the price would be lower in the future? Did that make sense? So right now, you can't take the average cost of beef today and then take the average of it tomorrow, which would be lower. But if you could, it seems like you could lower the price today with not a 100% chance that it would be lower in the future, but you feel kind of confident that it would be. Don't you think you could get enough people to invest in that kind of a futures beef market that we could take advantage of the fact that with a high likelihood of being right, beef will probably be, I don't know, 40% cheaper in three years.
And so what you do is you start charging people less today with some kind of insurance or protection that the beef farmers would never lose because they're going to get some minimum payment. All right, nerds. Is there some reason that would or would not work?
Somebody's saying a 10-month gestation. So it's about two years to grow yourself a proper cow for eating. You think it already exists? You know, I was wondering about that. But if it already exists, would the prices be lower? So the comment I would look into first is does it exist? We obviously have futures markets for all kinds of commodities, but I don't know if we have them for beef. And I don't know if you could find some way to average the future and the current to lower the price. I don't know. I'll just put that out there.
According to Israel, there are still 100 to 200 Hamas fighters in tunnels in Gaza and they're not coming out, but they also don't have any hostages to trade and they're running out of food and water. What do you think Israel is going to do? If you were in one of those tunnels, would you come out or do you know that the minute you come out, you're either going to be in jail for the rest of your life or immediately murdered? Not murdered, cuz let's take the opinion out of it. You'd be killed. Whether you want to call that murder, that would be a whole different story. But you'd be killed or jailed forever. You're not going to walk away.
So what's going to happen? I think that they'll have to probably just wait it out and then a year from now there won't be anything left. We'll see.
So Pete Hegseth, Secretary of Defense, he's announced that there's going to be this federal investigation into Mark Kelly. You know, maybe they'll reinstitute him as in they'll bring him back into the military so that they can court martial him because he's one of the seditious six. And I've got mixed feelings about that. So I'm just going to give you my human opinion and my citizen opinion.
We don't treat people in the military like regular citizens. And most of us are okay with that, right? We acknowledge that the people in the military have or will have greater risk. You know, they've got more in the game and we sort of allow them an extra, let's say, privilege in society. And I'm okay with that because if they take an extra risk and I'm the beneficiary of that, I think we owe them. No. I guess that's the wrong word. It would feel appropriate to me that they get more privilege in society than I get because they're doing more. That fits for me.
So then when I watch the Mark Kelly and the seditious six, I don't like it. I don't like it, but I also don't like punishing them. Is anybody having that same feeling that there has to be some way we can deal with this that doesn't take a member or multiple members of the military, past or present, and punish them for what I consider really somewhat outrageously bad behavior. But because I think it's outrageously bad behavior and I live in a world with at least allegedly free speech, I don't have to say that they did the right thing. I don't have to say I approve of it, but sometimes you just can't leave somebody on the battlefield, so to speak.
So what I'd like to see is something that's short of punishment, but is long on education. I do like the fact that the entire public has been now accidentally educated on what is too far and what is appropriate behavior for the military and what is a crime in that context and what isn't. I feel like educating us should be enough. Is anybody having the same feeling? Because as soon as you get me in the business of punishing members of the military for what they said, you know, unless what they said is giving away secrets or something, but as bad as I think their behavior is, I'm just not cool punishing members of the military for that kind of behavior. There's got to be something in between. Anyway, that's just a feeling.
I guess Leslie Stahl of 60 Minutes was talking to Marjorie Taylor Greene and here's an interesting reframe if you want to call it that. So Marjorie Taylor Greene says she's not MAGA, she's America first. What do you think of that? Some of you saying no mercy, no mercy. Really? I don't think mercy is the right—I think that's the wrong frame. You know, we should be looking out for our own good as well as members of the military. And you know, maybe it's good for us that we're not punishing members of the military too aggressively. You know, there always has to be some kind of guard rails.
But anyway, back to Marjorie Taylor Greene. That's a pretty good reframe. Now, independent of what you think of her or her opinions, it's a pretty good reframe because MAGA, as she says, that's more like Trump's political opinions and America first is more of a philosophical position, I guess, which would have impact on policies.
So you may have noticed that I've never embraced for myself the MAGA label. Has anybody noticed that? That I talk about MAGA all the time, but I don't call myself that. I don't have a MAGA hat. I won't be getting one. And I've never really embraced it because I'm not a joiner in that way. I'm just not a joiner.
What are you saying about—anyway, so you don't have to take sides. I'm not talking about taking sides. I'm just saying that as a reframe, America first versus MAGA. It's kind of an interesting frame. Yeah. I like to think of myself as an independent.
All right. Tucker Carlson continues to be interesting. So you might know that people have been accusing Tucker of taking money from Qatar for I guess they would assume that he's taking their point of view or maybe he's being anti-Israel. And his claim is that he has never taken a dime from Qatar, but he's now decided to buy a home in Qatar. And apparently he's doing it as just an F you to all the people who are accusing him of taking money. And his point would be you can't affect my freedom. So if you're going to be mad at me for being friendly with Qatar, I'm going to be even friendlier with Qatar. I'm going to buy a house there.
Now, none of us know what he's thinking. So we'd be on sort of sketchy ground if we assume we know what he's thinking. We're not mind readers. But I'll tell you what I think might be going on here. Part of it might be that spite thing where it was just to make a point. If you tell me I can't do it, I'm going to do it.
But here's another reason. Have you noticed that the people who can afford it are all buying an escape country, you know, or state? So you've got a bunch of billionaires who have property in Hawaii, which has the advantage of being far away from the mainland in case the mainland turns into some kind of disaster or gets into a war. And if I were going to pick an escape country and I had unlimited money, seems like Qatar would be a good escape country, doesn't it?
So every time I see somebody who can afford it get their escape country, I get a little bit more worried about what they know that I don't know. Could it be they're just—it's just risk management and they're completely aware that every country has a risk even if you're a strong country. I don't know.
If I had to guess and I cannot know what he's thinking, my guess is that it's as much about finding a safe place for his family and him because remember it's getting very dangerous to be a conservative in the United States. Tim Pool says there somebody shot into his facility the other day like a bullet and you know I don't have to go through the other examples from Charlie Kirk to Trump getting his ear shot to all the swatting. So if I were Tucker and just imagine the number of death threats he gets just imagine it. I'm guessing it's almost every day. And some of them are serious.
So if I got that many threats and I had, especially if I had a family or a spouse I'm protecting, I feel like I would be doing my job as head of the household if I had an escape plan. You know, if it gets too bad, we're going to walk directly over to this private jet and we're going to go directly to Qatar and we're just going to stay there until it's safe. Now, that's what I'd want to see from my head of household if they can afford it and looks like he can afford it. So that's what I think is going on, but some of it might be the spite thing. But I think if you looked at the spite versus the personal safety, probably the personal safety is the bigger variable, but I don't think you'd want to necessarily say that out loud. Necessarily.
All right. I guess the New York Times has an article, I haven't read it, but the article is about Ukraine corruption and how all the cronies of Zelensky contributed to the corruption allegations. And now they're asking the question, where'd all the money go? Where did all the money go?
Now, here's a mental experiment. What we know is that when the war broke out that the United States funded Ukraine to help them attack Russia, would we have been better off bombing Ukraine? Now, I'm not suggesting we do that. I'm just putting it out there as a mental experiment. If we had bombed Ukraine, the whole thing would have been over in a week because they wouldn't have anybody on their side, and we would have killed very few Ukrainians, but we could have taken out all their corrupt leadership.
Now, Russia would of course be the beneficiary, but aren't they going to be the beneficiary anyway? So let me be very clear. I am not suggesting that would have been a good idea. I'm only doing a mental thing where you can imagine it. And it's actually a little bit hard to explain why we would have been better off getting to the place we are now. Won't Russia still have its way in the long run? Did we not spend tremendous amount of money? And did not that tremendous amount of money go into corrupt Ukrainian hands?
I mean, I think we should probably—oh, can I say this? I might not be able to say this in public. I'll say it in the least dangerous way. We should, we meaning the United States, should be putting a lot of effort into tracking down and bringing a legal process to the people that we think stole all our money, the Ukrainians. And if we're not doing that, somebody needs to tell me why. Because we're talking about hundreds of billions of dollars, are we not? Yeah.
So I don't know where any of that's going, but Trump says that Russia likes the current version of the proposed peace deal, and Zelensky hasn't read it. And Trump's a little bit miffed that it's only 28 points or maybe fewer at this point. We don't really know. And Zelensky is acting like he's not even interested enough to stop what he's doing and read it. What exactly was Zelensky doing that was more important than catching up with the current version of the peace proposal? What?
Anyway, according to Wall Street Journal, Russia has a big problem with AI. Now what I mean is that Russia like all the major countries when AI became a thing wanted to have AI supremacy. How is Russia doing in their AI supremacy? I don't know if you saw their humanoid robot that they unleashed and it just fell on its face. And they don't have a better one than that than the one that fell on its face in the public demonstration.
So you've got, first of all, the top Russian scientists, if they can get out of the country, are going to do it as soon as possible because if you're a top Russian AI scientist, the worst place you could be would be Russia or maybe China. But if you could get out of there and go to some other freer country, you'll be the richest, smartest, most valuable person in that country. So they're going to lose their best brains. And apparently they don't have much else going for them.
Let's say Russian AI companies, this is the Wall Street Journal, the Russian AI companies attracted about $30 million in venture funding last year. $30 million. How much do you think OpenAI alone? Just one American company. How much funding do you think OpenAI got last year? The answer is $6 billion dollars. So the entire Russian AI enterprise raised $30 million. One company in the US raised six billion.
And do you think our AI scientists are better than theirs? If they're not, they will be there's no doubt about it. So if it's true, here's where it gets interesting. Try to connect these two thoughts and ask yourself why they're not already connected. Don't you think that all the smart people are saying that AI dominance is the future? So if you're not dominant in AI, you're basically toast.
But the Wall Street Journal is reporting that if you look at the funding, you look at what they've done so far, that Russia doesn't have any chance of being AI dominant. They might make good drones, but they're not going to be AI dominant. Now, maybe the US will be the dominant one. Maybe it's China, but it won't be Russia.
So if you believe that your entire country is toast if you're not AI dominant, does it matter if Russia conquers Ukraine or even gets another big chunk of it? Because all the AI people will tell you, well, they're basically Russia's going to go out of business anyway. It's just a matter of time. Is that true?
Maybe it's never been true that if you're not AI dominant, you're going to be toast. I mean, you weren't toast when the United States became dominant, right? Other countries still exist. Russia still has an army. So maybe we've made too much of this AI dominance thing. What do you think? It could be that the whole AI thing is just so overrated that there's nothing there. You know, maybe your drones will be a little better, but that's about it. I don't know.
So try to connect the two thoughts. One is that Russia is definitely going to get everything they want from Ukraine, but also how's that fit with Russia will be completely toast in a very short time because they'll never be dominant in AI and they'll never even be good probably. They'll probably not even be average good. Can both of those things be true? I don't know.
Well, there's a company called—I'll see in a moment—called biological—there's a platform called the biological interface system to cortex or BISC. So there's a developed by teams at Columbia University and it's a new form of chip for your brain. Now as you know Elon Musk has a company Neuralink that makes a brain interface that's been super impressive so far.
But allegedly, and there's a big allegedly on this, allegedly this other startup slash entity has a super impressive chip that does not need a bunch of connections to your brain and somehow can control more of your brain for much less cost. It uses much less real estate. So basically, it's a whole other higher level of brain interface.
Now, like everything in technology, it's probably overrated, but it does tell you where things are going. And if it's true that Neuralink has a real legitimate competitor, that should make things go a little bit faster, right? Even if what happens is Neuralink buys the other entity and just takes their technology, we're probably at the point where the potential for these chips becomes mainstream because today if you asked me Scott do you want a hole in your skull? We're going to put a chip there and a bunch of good things are going to happen. I would say no thank you. Why don't you go first?
But suppose this new technology was so good that I knew two or three people who had the chip and they were just delighted by it and it gave them a superpower. Well then I'm going to be a cyborg as fast as I can. And it does look like I have to admit I wasn't sure this whole Neuralink thing had that much of a future. You know, even if you assume, oh, technology always improves and never assume it will stop improving because it always improves. Even with that, I wasn't really sure that we could put a chip on your brain and make it talk to it. But at the moment, I do. At the moment, I think that this is something where the potential is hard to imagine.
And imagine if you will that you had all the powers of AI automatically and it was just in your brain. You wouldn't need a phone, right? You wouldn't need a phone. You wouldn't need a computer. Maybe you could just see the things floating in front of you even though they're not there. So that's exciting. It's exciting that there's a potentially a big competitor to Neuralink.
Well, here's a story you have to be careful with. There's—let's see, this is the Okayama University. Some researchers found that at least in mice, there's a green light, so a certain kind of light that apparently will kill cancer. So if I told you that there's a type of light that would kill cancer, what would be your first reaction? Well, if you were CNN, your first reaction would be, "Wait a minute. Why does drinking bleach sound like a good idea? That's a terrible idea. Don't drink bleach." That's what they said when Trump suggested using a different kind of light to battle cancer in your lungs.
Now, somebody else said, "Scott, Scott, you fool." Somebody that this morning in the comments said, "You fool, Scott. How are you going to get the light inside your body?" To which I said, same way Trump was talking about. They were talking about essentially a stent or there's a word for it, but you could put a light device down somebody's lungs and let's say somebody had lung cancer and let's say if you could look at their lungs from the inside, maybe you could see those cancer things. Yeah.
So is it possible that you could introduce a light with an endoscope? Somebody say, "Could you introduce a light to the lungs?" And the answer is, "I think so."
Here's another one. Have you ever heard of—I think this is an existing process—where somebody can—this is probably a non-medical bad analogy, but I'm going to make it anyway. So you know if you were doing let's say getting your kidneys— what's the word for that? When you run your blood through an external device because your kidneys are not working. What's that called? Anyway, so we know that we can take people's blood, run it through some kind of process, some kind of medical process, and then reintroduce it into their body.
Could you—dialysis? Yes. So dialysis, if I understand it correctly, is taking your blood out of your body, cleaning it, and then reintroducing it to your body. Is that accurate? What would stop you from taking the blood out of the body, running it through a light, and then reintroducing it to the body? Because it would come back to the body without cancer. Now, I'm not suggesting that would work. I'm just saying it's not crazy that you could in fact introduce light to at least some specific kinds of cancers. Blood cancer and maybe something else.
Anyway, I'm mostly bringing this up to mock CNN for being such a bad reporting element or entity that they turned that into drinking bleach. At least when Trump said it, they turned it into drinking bleach.
All right, ladies and gentlemen, that's all I got for you today. You may have noticed that it's a slow news week. Oh my god, it's a slow news week, but we had fun anyway, didn't we? It's better than nothing.
All right. I'm going to talk privately to my beloved members of the Locals platform. So Locals, I'll be coming at you in 30 seconds privately. The rest of you, thanks for joining and I will see you tomorrow, same time, same place for more of this.
It's about time you got in here.
Good to see you.
I'm coming to you from my man cave slashg garage.
And uh while you're streaming in here because we're going to have the best time you've ever had, we'll uh get ready for a show.
We've done the pre-show already.
So, this is the real thing at the top of the hour.
And uh how many of you want the simultaneous sip?
You do, right?
You do.
And if you want that, all you need is I'm reading my cup.
It's written on the cup.
Uh all you need is a copper mug or a glass, a tanker, gelserstein, a canteen jugger, flask, a vessel of any kind.
Fill it with your favorite liquid.
I like coffee.
And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better.
It's called the simultaneous sip and it's happening now.
Go.
Ah, tremendous.
Now, for the nerds among you, and I know there are some nerds, uh, I'm using my laptop, but I'm using the built-in microphone for the laptop.
Apparently, the using my i.
Phone as a remote microphone, which is an option, uh didn't give me quite the quality I was hoping for.
Uh that was the feedback I got.
And uh this is a little bit better.
It's not as good as the shore, you know, studio microphone, but I don't have a convenient way to set that up.
I bought myself a uh a microphone stand that will allow me to put it on the floor and and then have the studio microphone in front of me.
But that's what's happening.
Hey, you want to talk about the news?
That's why you're here, right?
Have some fun, hang out with each other.
By the way, I am I am kind of happy about the fact that I seem to have accidentally pioneered a new form of entertainment.
The new form of entertainment is yeah, we're going to talk about the news and yeah, you might learn some things and maybe you get a reframe and but it's more about hanging out because it seems that the biggest problem people have um certainly at a certain age, maybe at every age, but certainly beyond a certain age, people don't really have friends.
Have you noticed that?
They have family members, they have co-workers, they have neighbors, but people don't really for the most part have a lot of friends.
So what I do sort of accidentally is I created this this uh I don't know kind of a I don't even want to call it entertainment although I hope to make it entertaining but it just feels good to know that there'll be a time a day every day including weekends and holidays that I'll be here and that I do it for you and uh you do it for me and that just feels good.
So shall we begin?
Sure.
So according to Scypost Psychology News, Vladimir Hedrin's writing about this that the spice saffron uh might help with erectile dysfunction.
So I'm reading this long article about how if you give people saffron pills that uh they will have much better sexual function.
And then I get I get to the end of the story and it says, "However, it should be noted that this was an open label study.
In other words, the people who had the saffron were completely aware that they were studying their sexual function and they were studying saffron." Now, do you think that sounds like a valid scientific study to you?
There's a reason that they have, you know, the the blind studies.
This is not blind.
And if there's one thing I could, you know, tell you as a hypnotist, if you suggest that somebody's taking a pill to make them hornier, they will tell you they got hornier because people like to be horny and they like to have good sexual function.
And that's half of hypnosis.
You know, hypnosis works best when it's something that somebody wanted and they have no resistance to it.
Nobody has any resistance to that.
Everybody wants to have better sexual function.
So I would say that the credibility of the study would be approximately zero.
Zero.
But yet, if you knew somebody who needed some extra sexual function and you gave them the pill and you told them it would work, it might it might actually work just psychologically and that would be good enough.
Well, that's not the only spice that's good for you.
According to the Pennsylvania School of Medicine, uh the spice of rosemary might help with wound healing and reducing scars.
So, uh so saffron is maybe good for you and and uh then the then the spice uh rosemary is good for you.
Well, I'll tell you what.
Um this is just my suggestion, but you might want to give some other advice on this.
Um, if you find that medical school sounds like it's too tough and you can't get in and you don't want to do all that homework, you could just become a chef.
So, what I do when I'm cooking is I'll put a little bit of spice on the food and then just in case, I'll put a little bit on me.
Now, I'm not saying this is going to work every time, but have you noticed that there's never a study that says if you added this spice to yourself, something bad would happen, right?
So, if there's no downside, and who knows, might make your sexual performance better, might make your might make you heal better.
So, it goes like this.
Some for the meal, some for Scott, some for the meal, some for Scott.
Now, of course, nobody wants to eat dinner with you if you're covered with spice, but that's their problem.
All right.
Can you tell it's a slow news day?
Is there anything about the content of this podcast that tells you it's a slow news day?
Oh, I think there is.
I think there is.
All right.
What else is in the news?
Um there's now according to uh the Karolinska Institute of and Stockholm University, there's a new drug that looks like it might uh boost your muscles and uh curb your appetite and it might be better than these weight loss drugs.
So, if you wanted something that would make you lose weight while preserving all your muscles, they might have something.
Um, but probably not.
What What are the odds there's something in the news that says this might work.
It worked in a mouse.
Do you know what are the odds it will work in a human if it works in a mouse?
Not much.
Yeah.
So, it's fun to talk about, but you wouldn't want to bet a lot that it's going to work out.
Here's one that I thought was interesting.
Again, we don't know if this is real.
you'd have to have a lot more science before you could convince me.
But there is uh there is some good evidence that the time of day that you give somebody a treatment, a medical treatment might affect how effective it is.
So specifically um they found that if you give a I think it's a immune immunotherapy for cancer the certain it's a cancer treatment that if you give it to people in the morning you get a much better response than if you give it to them at night.
Now does that surprise you?
Again, remember the odds of this actually passing other scientific scrutiny and, you know, 5 years from now being true is not really that high.
You know, there there's probably a pretty good chance that this won't stand up, but it feels like it would.
Like I, you know, I think your body is different enough at different times of the day that I wouldn't be surprised if if when you take your medicine makes a difference.
I'll bet you this is the kind of thing that AI could discover, don't you think?
Once we get to the point that AI will uh monitor all the things you put in your body and then it can compare it anonymously to all the other people putting things in their body.
So some of it would be food, some of it would be time of day.
So in other words, it's just the AI is just measuring everything you put in your body and when.
Don't you think that that's going to have an immense impact on your health?
If you knew, oh, this this medicine works, but not if I eat a potato within an hour, because there's a whole bunch of those things where where there is a difference.
So imagine when AI can actually get a wrap its little head around that.
How many of you have ever heard of a thing called synthesia?
Synthesia.
I've talked about this but not in a long time.
It's the um phenomenon that applies to some people but not many.
So it's you know maybe maybe fewer than 10%.
um they can they they have some kind of a crossover effect in their senses.
So for example um some people if they're listening to music they can almost feel it whereas people like me I listen to music and I like it but I don't feel it the same way like a real musician would.
So that probably probably prevents me from being a great musician because I feel like you'd have to feel it in order to be really good at it.
You know, probably the Beatles were all they probably all could feel it.
Um, but what I would have to add to this is that there's a writer version of this.
So, not just musicians.
And I definitely have the synthesia for writers, meaning that I feel words.
I just feel them.
So, it's probably not uh an accident that uh without any special training on how to be a writer, I I managed to have a professional career as a writer.
I think that's that might be sesthesia because I just feel things when I write them.
>> >> Now, is that a humble brag or is that just telling you what works and what doesn't?
All right.
Um, how many times have you been told that it's good to get enough sleep?
Well, believe it or not, there's another study that says it's good to get enough sleep, but they go further and they say that if you get enough sleep, you're far more likely to be uh as active as you want to be for good health.
But they say it doesn't work the other way.
So according to this study at Flenders or Flenders University that uh sleep first, get enough sleep, then you'll get enough activity and then you have the two things that are good for you, activity and sleep.
But I don't believe that it doesn't work the other way.
Let's let's see what you say in the comments.
I believe that I can never get a good sleep if I have not been active that day.
Do you have the same same thing if I've not exercised that day?
Now, at the moment, I'm on all kinds of, you know, drugs and stuff for my cancer.
So, it's it's different now, but in my normal healthy life, if I don't get exercise, I can't sleep.
Don't you have that?
It can't just be me, right?
All right.
So, we're gonna I'm seeing in the comments that a lot of you are agreeing with me.
So I would say that uh exercise helps you sleep and sleeping helps you exercise and it definitely works both ways.
So some schools are experimenting with drones uh to protect against school shootings.
I'm going to give you a little quiz.
How many school shootings do you think happened in one year?
Let's see.
not one year since 2008 in just Florida alone.
So only the state of Florida and we're talking about shootings in the school since 2008.
Give me a number.
How many do you think there's been?
Well, while you're guessing how many there's been, the answer is, at least according to this one one uh article from the center square, Maril Lee Gastner is writing that there have been uh 33 school shootings since 2008.
So, that just feels like a lot, doesn't it?
Remember, it's since 2008, so it's not one year.
Yeah, your guesses are closer to a one-year guess.
Well, that's a lot, but I I assume that also includes just one person getting shot.
So, it's not necessarily mass shootings.
Um, but what they want to do is they're testing non-lethal drones.
So, if there's a shooter in the school, the drone will uh come and distract them.
So, the drone will not be deadly.
It won't have a gun, but it might have uh it might have sirens or pepper sprays or other distraction devices because if you are a school shooter and a drone comes after you, you're going to have to pay attention to the drone because that's the thing.
You don't know exactly what it can do and it's it's going to be in your space really fast.
I like this idea.
Seems pretty good.
You know, it it could even be better if you got rid of the humans.
You know, if you equipped the school with listening devices and then it heard a gunshot, don't you think it would be useful if the drone immediately went wherever the gunshot was?
Now, that doesn't mean it should intervene.
You probably want a human to decide whether it should intervene, but it should definitely go there.
Like, it it should just as soon as it hears the gunshot, it should pull into that room or as close as it can get.
I think this is a definitely worth testing.
I wouldn't go so far as to say I know it'll work.
Definitely worth testing.
Well, Trump is apparently going to announce a 12 billion dollar farm aid program.
The Washington Examiner is reporting.
And it kind of made me wonder because I'm a uh farm nerd.
You know, I uh I worked on a farm, my uncle's farm.
He had a dairy farm.
So, I've spent a lot of time on a on farms and and working on farms when I was a kid and a teenager.
I guess I was still a kid.
But, uh, here's what I wonder.
How do you make farms unprofitable?
Like, what is it about a farm that would take it from, well, we've been making money until now, but now we're losing money.
Well, some of it's obvious.
Some of it would be over supply.
So there might be a year when when everybody grows too much of one thing and then the price goes down.
It might be drought or flood.
So it could be bad weather in a variety of ways.
Um it could be the rising cost of seeds and the rising cost of fuel.
And I said to myself, are those all solvable problems?
And let me give you my prediction slash suggestion.
I guess I feel like we should have an ongoing um maybe government sponsored, but it doesn't need to be.
I guess it could be private.
Something like a an Elon Musk um farming, what would you call it?
Experiment.
I I know that uh Elon's brother has been working on indoor farming, so I think they understand the potential here, but I'd love to see it go to the next level.
Here's what I think it's going to look like.
If I were trying to solve all the problems of farming being too expensive so I could bring down the cost of food, I would build it underground.
So, first I'd have the Boring Company.
they can, you know, do underground tunnels really inexpensively.
So once you have a way to inexpensively um build a tunnel, then you could also redirect the sunlight from above into it so you get all the free sunlight.
You could just do it by mirrors.
I'm pretty sure you get all the goodness of the sun even if you redirect it through mirrors.
So you you'd have all the free sun, but you wouldn't have any weather related problems.
In theory, you could create your own seeds, couldn't you?
Why is it so hard to create your own seeds?
I I feel like that wouldn't be the hardest thing, but I don't know about that domain.
So, may maybe seeds would be a different problem.
But if you could get uh Oh, and you'd also have essentially free land.
So if you're if you're doing your farming below ground, it's basically free on top of owning the above ground.
So the other thing I would do is do the food processing directly above the underground farm.
So it doesn't have to go very far.
And then along the same lines, I'd make sure that your underground farm is really close to the store that's going to sell the food or or close to the consumer.
So, you want to get rid of almost all the transportation.
You want to get rid of all the risk of um weather.
And then, correct me if I'm wrong, but if you're underground and you have a controlled environment, you're not going to need um fertilizer because you just keep the bugs out in the first place.
Um, and you're not going to need too much extra water because isn't it true that you can recycle your water?
It's basically hydroponic.
Couldn't you just um Yeah.
So, I'm not 100% sure, but it seems like if you iterated um underground farms, you would eventually get to the point where they're cheaper than anything we do above ground.
What do you think?
Fertilizer isn't just for bugs.
Well, that's true, right?
It's not just for bugs.
It's for growing more efficiently.
But if you want to go organic, you still might prefer a smaller vegetable without any fertilizer.
So, that I'm not sure about that trade-off.
Anyway, I don't want to obsess about that, but I think we we don't know how to do it cheaper at the moment, but there should be similar to how we're doing um uh nuclear power.
So, the government finally figured out, hey, if we can figure out how to iterate nuclear power, we can get to something that's that works faster.
So, that's what the government's doing.
They should do the same thing with indoor farms and they should be underground.
By the way, if you put it above ground, then it can still get ripped up by weather.
So, I think underground farms are the future.
And then, of course, you'd obviously have robots doing all the work.
So, you wouldn't have labor, you wouldn't have uh probably you could get rid of 80% of all the costs.
That's just my guess.
Uh, all this farming talk means people have to do something.
Well, nuclear plus hydroponics is a paradise farm.
All right, let's move on.
Um, you may have heard of this already, but uh there's a some company made an AI version of an actress uh called Tilly Norway.
Norwood.
Tilly Norwood.
So, it's an AI actress that's been created for they haven't quite fully commercialized it yet, but but the idea is that it would be a hirable actress and uh they would try to turn it into a star so that your AI star would be, you know, not eating up all your profits.
Uh, and weirdly, the smartest thing I've heard about this was a quote by George Clooney, who of course is a movie star.
And what he said about these AI actresses and actors, he said, quote, "AI is going to have the same problem that we have in Hollywood, which is making a star is not so easy." And I thought, "Holy cow, that's the smartest thing I've heard about this topic." If if you can't do it with real people and it's really hard and it's somewhat accidental because nobody knows exactly why one person becomes a movie star and one person doesn't.
I mean George Clooney is a seriously, you know, sexy guy, I'm told.
So you can say to yourself, "Oh, he's very sexy." But aren't there millions of super sexy men?
Uh, aren't there lots of people who could probably act as well as he can?
But why did we decide that this one person is the extra sexy person?
Well, some of it is the media.
Meaning that if People magazine puts you on the cover and says you're the sexiest person, it just sort of becomes a thing.
Would they be able to do that with an AI?
And I believe that there the problem with AI art will um will be the same problem here that on day one if you hear that it's a AI you might be interested it' be you know you'd be curious how it works but eventually you just feel like it wasn't real and I don't know if you could ever get to the point where if you know it's not real you can have the same emotional connection that you would with a real person in a movie.
Even though the real person in a movie would not really be real because they're acting, but I do feel like George Clooney has the right take on this that if it's super super hard to do it with a human, it's not going to be that much easier just because you have an AI.
So I would guess 99 out of 100 companies that try to make an AI movie star will fail.
So it's not not good odds.
All right.
Uh according to Axios, President Trump is betting his presidency uh and the future of the Republican party on lightly regulated fast expansion of AI.
First of all, do you buy that summary?
Do you think that the Trump presidency will depend on how well he regulates AI?
Now, regulating it well might mean not regulating it much and getting the states out of the way and giving the feds primacy over the regulation and then getting out of the way.
So, I kind of agree that uh that that's true, but I do wonder if the public will see it that way.
You know, people like us that the fact that you're even watching me on this podcast probably means you're in the top, you know, at least 5% of people paying attention to the news.
Wouldn't you say?
If you're watching this right now, you're probably in the top 5% of just people who care about keeping up with things.
So, I don't know if the general public will even notice if Trump did a good job or a bad job on AI.
Um, do you and and wouldn't we just argue about whether he did a good job or a bad job?
And it wouldn't be so much, you know, something you could just measure.
How in the world are you going to measure how well we do on AI?
Like what happens if you know Estonia comes up with the best AI because they just have some genius who was working on it.
Does that mean we did a bad job or does it just mean that Estonia had a genius?
So I don't know how you'd know if he did a good job or a bad job unless it was just screamingly obvious and I don't think it will be.
I do think that Trump's doing pretty much everything right, which I attribute to the fact that he's got, you know, Sachs and a bunch of smart people advising him.
I I don't think you'll get too far away from something that Elon Musk would say, you know, makes sense and is sensible for the country.
So Trump does have just the best advisers for AI.
Just the best.
Will that be enough?
Well, I don't think that Trump is going to overrule the smartest people in the world in a domain that they know a lot about and he doesn't.
Uh I I think that only the Trump haters think you would do that do that.
Anybody who's actually been paying attention knows that he loves advice from the smartest people.
All right, whoever is just yelling at me in all caps, maybe that person can disappear, if you know what I mean.
All right, so yeah, is he betting his presidency on the future of AI?
Sort of.
But I do think that the Trump administration has an advantage over other countries because with AI, we're not just competing companies against companies that we're also doing that.
But we're competing countries against countries.
And let me ask you this.
So we've watched Europe is just falling apart under its own bureaucracy.
China is somewhat difficult for us to understand from the outside, but it doesn't look like they're super flexible about everything.
Sometimes they can be super fast, you know, if the if the government says go do this, it'll happen pretty fast.
But is that the same as being super flexible?
because the United States is more likely to allow certain freedoms, you know, certain freedom of speech.
Uh the US is more likely to allow AI to train on more sources, whereas China might say, "Oh, you can't look at that." So your AI cannot train as on as many things because we want to control it.
So, I'm feeling that uh there's something about the United States uh and may maybe this is just me being biased.
I don't know.
So, you you tell me.
Am I being biased?
I think there's something about our DNA as a country that gives us a huge AI advantage.
I mean, just the fact that there could be a Trump who I think is very flexible business-wise, he would be the smartest.
I I I think Trump is the smartest president we've had business-wise.
He's here at a time when having the smartest president business-wise is super important.
You know, Bill Clinton was pretty smart, too.
You know, got us through the dot era.
But, uh, yeah, I I I do suspect that the US is going to have a DNA advantage.
we're just more flexible and more willing to take more chances.
I think that's exactly where we need to be to win.
So, that's my optimism on AI.
All right, let's talk about uh we're we're all following the story, maybe you're not, of uh California trying to rebuild after the Palisades fire, Pacific Palisades fire.
And I I think that here's the good news.
According to the Wall Street Journal, there is a house that's been built.
Yay, a house.
So, we're coming up on a year and uh one house has been built, but uh you can't live in it.
So, one house has been built, but you can't buy it and you can't live in it.
It's a developer model.
And if you were to get go inside the developer model and walk up to the second floor and look out the window, would you see the paradise that used to be Pacific Palisades?
Or would you see a bunch of burned down wasteland as far as you could see?
It would be the second one.
So, not only can you not buy it, not only is there only one, but if you stood in the second floor, you wouldn't even want to live there.
you'd be like, uh, why would I want to be in this this town?
However, it's not nothing.
So, it's not nothing.
So, there's a little bit of uh, you know, motion in the right direction.
I don't know how long this is going to take, but you know, I'm comparing the Pacific Palisades to China's big projects.
Doesn't it seem to you like China is building things that are as big as entire states and and they can just pound it out?
It's like, "All right, we got a year.
Let's build something that's as big as the entire island of Manhattan." And then you check back in a year and they're done.
Now, we can't build a house.
We We can't get a house built because, oh, there's bureaucracy.
We need approvals.
You know what's wrong with this story?
is that whenever I hear that there's a, you know, long delay, the per I always want to know is why, you know, when I when I built my own house, the the one I'm in, it took uh way too long to get the approvals in my opinion.
Now, in my case, I could tell you the actual person who was holding it up because we had one person in charge of approvals.
Now, if that one person uh woke up every morning and thought, "Hey, I got to get help Scott get his house built, probably I could have got all the approvals in two months, but I think it took well over a year." But there was a name to it.
There was one person who if they did not have as many tasks as they have and it was mostly because they they were overworked but that would be a very fixable problem.
I would say all right this guy Bob can't do this in two months which we should be able to do it.
It's going to take him a year.
So can we get two bobs?
Can we get six bobs?
How many bobs do we need?
Can we borrow them from another place just for a year?
Is there a way to unretire some people who, you know, for a little extra money?
Can we get, let's say, private Can we get a private entity, let's say a builder to pay the approvers with some kind of oversight, so it's not completely under control?
Why is why is it we never hear the people?
I want to know the name of the person who's not getting it done.
Doesn't that feel like that's missing?
It feels like it's missing to me.
So, if I don't know the person who's not doing the job, and I'm not talking about politicians, like we can we can yell at Nome all day long, but it's not like he's sitting in an office with a stamp and he refuses to stamp something.
But there is somebody there's somebody sitting in an office with a stamp and they're not stamping something.
Why?
Now, if you ask them, I I guarantee they have a good reason.
They're going to say something like, "Well, it wouldn't be safe because there's this inspection that hasn't happened." Well, who is that guy or gal?
Who's that person?
Who is it who doesn't have enough time to inspect it?
Why don't I have 10 more of him?
What What would it cost me to bribe somebody who had the right skills to come in and work for a year?
I just feel like there's a whole layer here that's missing.
And and if we treat it like it's just a regular process and we're just yelling at it for being slow, we're not really trying.
You know, if this were Elon Musk's property, do you think it would take a year to get anything approved?
I don't think so.
I mean, if he had full control of every part of it.
No.
No.
he would just move more resources where you need them and get rid of people who weren't doing the job and next thing you know it would be a two-month approval instead of a year.
That's what I think.
Well, the uh government Trump administration is doing what they call a whole of government approach to try to lower beef prices.
Now, beef appears to be something that is so uh important to the American psyche that it's different from other food.
Would you say that's true?
That if your beef is too expensive, it just feels like food is too expensive.
So, it's not like, oh, our broccoli costs too much because then you just eat some other vegetable.
But if you really like beef, and that would describe a lot of Americans, uh if you can't get that at a good price, that just feels like food is too expensive.
So, I can see why that would be, you know, a big uh like a big priority.
Um it's just hard to go from, well, if beef is expensive, I'll just get chicken and I'll be just as happy because you wouldn't be.
We just wouldn't be just as happy.
You could substitute almost any vegetable for another vegetable and people would say, "Well, you know, I prefer broccoli, but Brussels sprouts are fine." You know, what are you yelling at me?
Let me see if I can look at that comment.
Uh, very thing at the FDA, it's a bureaucracy, right?
Okay.
Imagine if we had a all of government approach to just get rid of bureaucracy.
We kind of have that but but I'd love to see it even bigger.
All right.
Anyway, so the whole of government approach to make beef less expensive.
Now, what would be the first question you would ask in that domain?
The first question you would ask is why is it more expensive?
Like what happened to it?
Well, I didn't know.
How many of you know why beef got way more expensive?
Is there even one of you in the comments?
Don't look it up.
Don't look it up.
Without looking it up, do you know why it's more expensive?
Well, some of it is the normal reasons.
You know, energy is more expensive.
Everything's a little more expensive.
But uh apparently Mexico uh which was one of our bigger sources of beef um they had some kind of disease.
So we're working through that.
It might be might be a year or two before we we have some non-deseased Mexican cows.
I don't know the details, but there was some kind of Mexican disease.
And the only thing they could do is just shut down the Mexican supply until that's completely under control, and it probably will be in a year or two.
But you just have to wait because it just takes a while to grow a cow.
So, you're saying it's a screw worm?
Is that what it is?
Screw those worms.
In the comments, people are yelling screworm.
So maybe that's the name of the name of the bug.
All right.
But uh we also could increase the amount of beef we get from Argentina.
I don't know if it says good, but that's another source.
Um, the government's also doing an anti-competitive probe to find out if foreign suppliers of food in general, I think.
But beef specifically, they're trying to see if there's any anti-competitive thing going on because if there is, that would be an easy way to lower prices.
Uh, well, I don't know if it'd be easy, but it'd be possible, I guess.
Um and uh so it looks like so so work with me here.
If we knew or we thought there was a high likelihood that beef would just drift down to a lower cost simply because two years from now we'd have a lot more cows, a lot more non-deseased cows.
Does that not?
So, this is a real nerd question.
Nerds, step to the step to the front of the class.
This question is for nerds only, who I love, by the way.
You know, I love my nerds.
I am one.
Um, would it be possible to use some kind of futures market to lower the cost of beef today if you felt confident that the price would be lower in the future?
Did that make sense?
So, right now, you can't you can't take the average cost of beef today and then take the average of it tomorrow, which would be lower.
But if you could, it seems like you could lower the price today with not a 100% chance that it would be lower in the future, but you feel kind of confident that it would be.
Don't you think you could get enough people to invest in that kind of a futures beef market that we could take advantage of the fact that with a high likelihood of being right, beef will probably be, I don't know, 40% cheaper in 3 years.
And so what you do is you start um charging people less today with some kind of insurance or protection that the beef farmers would never lose because they're they're going to get, you know, some some minimum payment.
All right, nerds.
Is there some reason that would or would not work?
Somebody's saying a 10-month gestation.
So it's about 2 years to grow yourself a proper cow for eating.
You think it already exists?
You know, I was wondering about that.
But if it already exists, would the prices be lower?
So the the comment I would look into first is does it exist?
We obviously have futures markets for all kinds of commodities, but I don't know if we have them for beef.
And I don't know if you could find some way to average the future and the current to lower the price.
I don't know.
I'll just put that out there.
Um, according to Israel, there are still 100 to 200 Hamas fighters in tunnels in Gaza and they're not coming out, but they also don't have any hostages to trade and they're running out of food and water.
What do you think Israel is going to do?
If if you were in one of those tunnels, would you come out or do you know that the minute you come out, you're either going to be in jail for the rest of your life or immediately murdered?
Not murdered, cuz let's let's take the uh let's take the opinion out of it.
You'd be killed.
Whether you want to call that murder, that would be a whole different story.
But you'd be killed or jailed forever.
You're not going to walk away.
So, um, what's going to happen?
I think that they'll have to probably just wait it out and then a year from now there won't be anything left.
We'll see.
Uh, so P Ath, Secretary of War, uh, he's announced that there's going to be this federal investigation into Mark Kelly.
you know, maybe they'll reinstitute him as in the they'll uh bring him back into the military so that they can court marshall him because he's one of the sedicious sex.
And I've got mixed feelings about that.
So, I'm just going to give you my human opinion and my citizen opinion.
We don't treat people in the military like regular citizens.
And most of us are okay with that, right?
We we acknowledge that uh the people in the military have or will have greater risk.
You know, they they've got more in the game and we we sort of allow them, you know, an extra, let's say, privilege in society.
And I'm okay with that because if they take an extra risk and I'm the beneficiary of that, I think we, you know, we owe them.
No.
Oh, I guess that's the wrong word.
It would feel appropriate to me that they get more privilege in society than I get because they're doing more.
That that fits for me.
So then when I watch the uh the Mark Kelly and the Sedicious Sex, I don't like it.
I don't like it, but I also don't like punishing them.
Is anybody having that same feeling that there has to be some way we can deal with this that doesn't take a member or multiple members of the military, past or present, and punish them for what I consider really somewhat outrageously bad behavior.
But because I think it's outrageously bad behavior and I live in a world with, you know, at least allegedly free speech, I don't have to say that they did the right thing.
I don't have to say I approve of it, but sometimes you just can't leave somebody on the, you know, a wounded person on the battlefield, so to speak.
So, what I'd like to see is something that's short of punishment, but is long on education.
I do like the fact that the entire public has been now accidentally educated on what is too far and what is appropriate behavior for the military and what is a crime in that context and what isn't.
I feel like educating us should be enough.
Is anybody having the same feeling?
Because as soon as you get me in the business of punishing members of the military for what they said, you know, unless what they said is giving away, you know, like secrets or something, but um as bad as I think their behavior is, I'm just not cool punishing members of the military for that kind of behavior.
There's got to be something in between.
Anyway, that's just a feeling.
Um, I guess uh Leslie Stall of 60 Minutes was talking to Marjorie Taylor Green and here's an interesting reframe if you want to call it that.
So Marjorie Taylor Green says she's not MAGA, she's America first.
What do you think of that?
Some of you saying no mercy, no mercy.
Really?
I don't think mercy is the right um I think that's the wrong frame.
You know, we we should be looking out for our own good as well as members of the military.
And you know, maybe it's good for us that we're not punishing members of the military too too aggressively.
You know, there always has to be some kind of guard rails.
But anyway, back to Marjorie Taylor Green.
Um, that's a pretty good reframe.
Now, independent of what you think of her or her opinions, it's a pretty good reframe because BAG, as she says, that's more like Trump's political opinions and America first is more of a philosophical position, I guess, which would have impact on policies.
So, um, you may have noticed that I've never embraced for myself the MAGA label.
Has anybody noticed that?
That I talk about MAGA all the time, but I don't call myself that.
I don't have a MAGA hat.
I won't be getting one.
And I've never really embraced it because I'm not a joiner in that way.
I'm just not a joiner.
Um, what are you saying about Anyway, so you don't have to take sides.
Um, I'm not talking about taking sides.
I'm just saying that as a reframe, America first versus mega.
It's kind of an interesting frame.
Yeah.
I I like to think of myself as an independent.
All right.
Tucker Carlson continues to be interesting.
So, you might know that people have been accusing Tucker of taking money from uh Qatar for I guess they would assume that he's taking their point of view or maybe he's being anti-Israel.
And uh he his claim is that he has never taken a dime from Qatar, but uh he's now decided to buy a home in Qatar.
and and uh apparently he's doing it as just an F to you to all the people who are accusing him of taking money.
And his point would be uh you can't affect my freedom.
So if if you're going to be mad at me for being friendly with guitar, I'm going to be even friendlier with guitar.
I'm going to buy a house there.
Now, none of us know what he's thinking.
So we we'd be on, you know, sort of sketchy ground if we assume we know what he's thinking.
We're not mind readers.
But I'll tell you what I think might be going on here.
Part of it might be that spite thing where it was just to make a point.
If you tell me I can't do it, I'm going to do it.
But here's another reason.
Have you noticed that the people who can afford it are all buying an escape country, you know, or state?
So, you've got a bunch of billionaires who have property in Hawaii, which has the advantage of being far away from the mainland in case the mainland turns into some kind of disaster or gets into a war.
And if I were going to pick a an escape country and I had, you know, unlimited money, seems like Qatar would be or cutter, whatever you want to call it.
Seems like that would be a good escape country, doesn't it?
So, every time I see somebody who can afford it get their escape country, I get a little bit more worried about what they know that I don't know.
Could it be they're just it's just risk management and and they're completely aware that you know every country has a risk even if you're a strong country.
I don't know.
I if if I had to guess and I cannot know what he's thinking.
My guess is that it's as much about finding a safe place for his family and him because remember it's getting very dangerous to be a conservative in the United States.
Tim P uh says there somebody shot into his facility uh the other day like a bullet and you know I don't have to go through the other examples from Charlie Kirk to Trump getting his ear shot to you know all the all the uh what do you call it the swatting.
So if I were Tucker and just imagine the number of death threats he gets just imagine it.
I'm guessing it's almost every day.
And some of them are serious.
So, if I got that many threats and I had, especially if I had a family or a spouse I'm protecting, I feel like I would be doing my job as, you know, head of the household if I had an escape plan.
you know, if it gets too bad, we're going to walk directly over to this private jet and we're going to go directly to to Qatar and we're just going to stay there until it's safe.
Now, that's what I'd want to see from my head of household if they can afford it and looks like he can afford it.
So, that's what I think is going on, but some of it might be the spite thing.
But I think if you looked at the spite versus the personal safety, probably the personal safety is the bigger variable, but I don't think you'd want to necessarily say that out loud.
Necessarily.
All right.
Uh, I guess the New York Times has an article, I haven't read it, but the article is about uh Ukraine corruption and how all the cronies of Zilinski contributed to the, you know, the corruption allegations.
And uh, now they're asking the question, where'd all the money go?
Where did all the money go?
Now, here here's a uh just a mental test.
What do you call it?
A mind, there's a word for that, a mind experiment, a mental experiment.
There, that's not the right name for it, but you know what I mean.
So, what we know is that when the the war broke out that the United States funded um Ukraine to help them attack Russia, would we have been better off bombing Ukraine?
Now, I'm not suggesting we do that.
I'm just putting it out there as a mental experiment.
If we had bombed Ukraine, the whole thing would have been over in a week because they wouldn't have anybody on their side, and we would have killed very few Ukrainians, but we could have taken out all their corrupt leadership.
Now, Russia would of course, you know, be the beneficiary, but aren't they going to be the beneficiary anyway?
So, let me be very clear.
I am not suggesting that would have been a good idea.
I'm only I'm only doing a a mental thing where you can imagine it.
And it's actually a little bit hard to explain why we would have been better off getting to the place we are now.
Is won't Russia still have its way in the long run?
Did we not spend tremendous amount of money?
And did did not that tremendous amount of money go into corrupt Ukrainian hands?
I mean, I think we should probably Oh, can I say this?
I might not be able to say this in public.
Um, I'll say it in the least, um, dangerous way.
We should, we, meaning the United States, should be putting a lot of effort into tracking down and bringing a legal process to the people that we think stole all our money, the Ukrainians.
And if we're not doing that, somebody needs to tell me why.
because you know we might we're talking about hundreds of billions of dollars, are we not?
Yeah.
So, I don't know where any of that's going, but um Trump Trump says that uh that Russia likes the current version of the proposed peace deal, and Zilinski hasn't read it.
And Trump's a little bit miffed that it's only 28 points or maybe fewer at this point.
We don't really know.
Uh, and Zalinski is acting like he's not even interested enough to stop what he's doing and read it.
What exactly was Zalinski doing that was more important than catching up with the current version of the peace proposal?
What?
What?
Anyway, um, according to Wall Street Journal, um, Russia has a big problem with AI.
Now uh what I mean is that Russia like all the major countries when AI became a thing wanted to have AI supremacy.
How is Russia doing in their AI supremacy?
I don't know if you saw their humanoid robot that they unleashed and it just fell on its face.
And they don't have a better one than that than the one that fell on its face in the public demonstration.
Um, so you've got, first of all, the the top Russian scientists, if they can get out of the country, are going to do it as soon as possible because if you're a top Russian AI scientist, the worst place you could be would be Russia or maybe China.
But if you could get out of there and go to some other freer country, you, you know, you'll be the richest, smartest, you know, most valuable person in that country.
So they're going to lose their best brains.
And uh apparently they don't have much else going for them.
Let's say Russian AI companies, this is the Wall Street Journal, the Russian AI companies attracted about $30 million in venture funding last year.
$30 million.
How much do you think Open AI alone?
Just one American company.
How much how much funding do you think Open AI got last year?
The answer is$6 billion dollars.
So the entire Russian AI enterprise raised $30 million.
One company in the US raised six billion.
And do you think our AI scientists are better than theirs?
If they're not, they will be there's no doubt about it.
So if it's true, here's where it gets interesting.
Try to try to connect these two thoughts and ask yourself why they're not already connected.
Don't you think that uh all the smart people are saying that AI dominance is the future?
So if you're not dominant in AI, you're basically toast.
But the Wall Street Journal is reporting that if you look at the funding, you look at what they've done so far, that Russia doesn't have any chance of being AI dominant.
They might make good drones, but they're not going to be AI dominant.
Now, maybe the US uh will be the dominant one.
Maybe it's China, but it won't be Russia.
So if you believe that your entire country is toast if you're not AI dominant, does it matter if if Russia conquers Ukraine or even gets another big chunk of it?
Because all the AI people will tell you, well, they're basically Russia's going to go out of business anyway.
It's just a matter of time.
Is that true?
Maybe it's never been true that if you're not AI dominant, you're going to be toast.
I mean, it wasn't you weren't toast when the United States became uh dominant, right?
Other countries still exist.
Russia still has an army.
So maybe maybe we've made too much of this AI dominance thing.
What do you think?
It could be that the whole AI thing is just so overrated that uh there's nothing there.
You know, maybe your drones will be a little better, but that's about it.
I don't know.
So, try to connect the two thoughts.
One is that Russia is definitely going to get everything they want from Ukraine, but also how's that fit with Russia will be completely toast in a very short time because they're they'll never be dominant in AI and they'll never even be good probably.
They'll probably not even be average good.
Can both of those things be true?
I don't know.
Well, there's a company called uh uh I'll see in a moment uh called biological oh there's a platform called the biological interface systems to cortex or bisque so there's a developed by teams at Columbia University and it's a new form of chip for your brain now as you know Elon Musk has a company neuro neurolink that makes a you know brain interface that's been super impressive so far.
But allegedly, and there there's a big big allegedly on this.
Allegedly, this other startup slash entity um has a super impressive chip that does not need a bunch of connections to your brain um and somehow can control more of your brain for much less cost.
It uses much less real estate.
So basically, it's a whole other higher level of brain interface.
Now, like everything in technology, it's probably overrated, but it does tell you where things are going.
And if it's true that uh that uh Neurolink has a real legitimate competitor, um that should make things go a little bit faster, right?
Even even if what happens is Neurolink buys the other entity and just you know takes their technology, we're probably at the point where the where the uh potential for these chips becomes mainstream because today if you asked me Scott do you want a hole in your skull?
We're going to put a chip there and a bunch of good things are going to happen.
I would say no thank you.
Why don't you go first?
But suppose this new technology was so good that I knew two or three people who had the chip and they were just delighted by it and it gave them a superpower.
Well then I'm going to be a cyborg as fast as I can.
And it does look like I have to admit I wasn't sure this whole neurolink thing had you know that much of a future.
you know, even if you assume, oh, technology always improves and, you know, never assume it will stop improving because it always improves.
Even with that, I wasn't really sure that we could put a a chip on your brain and make it talk to it.
But at the moment, I do.
At the moment, I think that this is something where the potential is hard to imagine.
And imagine if you will that you had all the powers of AI automatically and it was just in your brain.
You wouldn't need a phone, right?
You wouldn't need a phone.
You wouldn't need a computer.
Maybe you could just see the things, you know, floating in front of you even though they're not there.
So that's exciting.
It's exciting that there's a potentially a big competitor to Neuralink.
Well, here's a story you have to be careful with.
There's a uh there's uh let's see, this is the Okyama University.
Some researchers found that uh at least in mice, there's a green light, so a certain kind of light that apparently will kill cancer.
So, if I told you that there's a type of light that would kill cancer, what would be your first reaction?
Well, if you were CNN, your first reaction would be, "Wait a minute.
Why does drinking bleach sound like a good idea?
That's a terrible idea.
Don't drink bleach." That's what they said when Trump suggested using a different kind of light to battle cancer in your lungs.
Now, somebody else said, "Scott, Scott, you fool." Somebody that this morning in the comments said, "You fool, Scott.
How are you going to get the light inside your body?
To which I said, same way Trump was.
Uh they were talking about a essentially a what would you call it?
a stent or a there's a word for it, but you could put a light device down somebody's lungs and let's say somebody had lung cancer and let's say if you could look at their lungs from the inside, maybe you could see those cancer things.
Yeah.
So, is it possible that you could introduce a light with an endoscope?
Somebody say, "Could you introduce a light to the lungs?" And the answer is, "I think so." Here's another one.
Um, have you ever heard of uh I think this is an existing process uh where somebody can uh uh this is probably a non-medical bad analogy, but I'm going to make it anyway.
So, you know, if you were doing uh let's say getting your kidneys What's the word for that?
When you run your blood through an external device because your kidneys are not working.
What's that called?
Anyway, so we know that we can uh take people's blood, run it through some kind of process, some kind of medical process, and then reintroduce it into their body.
Could you dial dialysis?
Yes.
So dialysis, if I understand it correctly, is taking your active blood out of your body, uh, cleaning it, and then reintroducing it to your body.
Is that is that accurate?
What would stop you from taking the blood out of the body, running it through a light, and then reintroducing it to the body?
Because it would come, it would come back to the body without cancer.
Now, I'm not suggesting that would work.
I'm just saying it's not crazy that you could in fact introduce light to at least some specific kinds of cancers.
Um, blood cancer and maybe something else.
Anyway, uh I'm um mostly bring this up to Moxy and Adam for being such a bad s such a bad reporting uh element or entity that they that they turned that into drinking bleach.
At least when Trump said it, they turned it into drinking bleach.
All right, ladies and gentlemen, that's all I got for you today.
You may have noticed that it's a slow news week.
Oh my god, it's a slow news week, but we had fun anyway, didn't we?
It's better than nothing.
All right.
Uh, I'm going to talk privately to my beloved uh members of uh the locals platform.
So, locals, I'll be coming at you in 30 seconds privately.
the rest of you.
Thanks for joining and I will see you tomorrow, same time, same place for more of Yes.
It's about time you got in here. Good to
see you. I'm coming to you from my man
cave slashg garage.
And uh while you're streaming in here
because we're going to have the best
time you've ever had,
we'll uh get ready for a show. We've
done the pre-show already. So, this is
the real thing at the top of the hour.
And uh how many of you want the
simultaneous sip? You do, right? You do.
And if you want that, all you need is
I'm reading my cup. It's written on the
cup. Uh all you need is a copper mug or
a glass, a tanker, gelserstein, a
canteen jugger, flask, a vessel of any
kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid.
I like coffee. And join me now for the
unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit
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Go.
Ah, tremendous.
Now, for the nerds among you, and I know
there are some nerds,
uh, I'm using my laptop, but I'm using
the built-in microphone for the laptop.
Apparently, the using my iPhone as a
remote microphone, which is an option,
uh didn't give me quite the quality I
was hoping for. Uh that was the feedback
I got. And uh this is a little bit
better. It's not as good as the shore,
you know, studio microphone, but I don't
have a convenient way to set that up. I
bought myself a uh a microphone stand
that will allow me to put it on the
floor and and then have the studio
microphone in front of me. But that's
what's happening. Hey, you want to talk
about the news?
That's why you're here, right? Have some
fun, hang out with each other.
By the way, I am I am kind of happy
about the fact that I seem to have
accidentally pioneered a new form of
entertainment.
The new form of entertainment is yeah,
we're going to talk about the news and
yeah, you might learn some things and
maybe you get a reframe and but it's
more about hanging out because it seems
that the biggest problem people have um
certainly at a certain age, maybe at
every age, but certainly beyond a
certain age, people don't really have
friends. Have you noticed that? They
have family members, they have
co-workers, they have neighbors,
but people don't really for the most
part have a lot of friends. So what I do
sort of accidentally is I created this
this uh I don't know kind of a I don't
even want to call it entertainment
although I hope to make it entertaining
but it just feels good to know that
there'll be a time a day every day
including weekends and holidays that
I'll be here and that I do it for you
and uh you do it for me and that just
feels good. So shall we begin? Sure. So
according to Scypost Psychology News,
Vladimir Hedrin's writing about this
that the spice saffron
uh might help with erectile dysfunction.
So I'm reading this long article about
how if you give people saffron pills
that uh they will have much better
sexual function. And then I get I get to
the end of the story and it says,
"However, it should be noted that this
was an open label study. In other words,
the people who had the saffron were
completely aware that they were studying
their sexual function and they were
studying saffron."
Now, do you think that sounds like a
valid scientific study to you? There's a
reason that they have, you know, the the
blind studies.
This is not blind. And if there's one
thing I could, you know, tell you as a
hypnotist, if you suggest that
somebody's taking a pill to make them
hornier, they will tell you they got
hornier
because people like to be horny and they
like to have good sexual function. And
that's half of hypnosis. You know,
hypnosis works best when it's something
that somebody wanted and they have no
resistance to it. Nobody has any
resistance to that. Everybody wants to
have better sexual function. So I would
say that the credibility of the study
would be approximately
zero. Zero.
But yet,
if you knew somebody who needed some
extra sexual function
and you gave them the pill and you told
them it would work, it might it might
actually work just psychologically and
that would be good enough. Well, that's
not the only spice that's good for you.
According to the Pennsylvania School of
Medicine,
uh the spice of rosemary might help with
wound healing and reducing scars.
So, uh so saffron is maybe good for you
and and uh then the then the spice uh
rosemary is good for you. Well, I'll
tell you what. Um this is just my
suggestion, but you might want to give
some other advice on this. Um, if you
find that medical school sounds like
it's too tough and you can't get in and
you don't want to do all that homework,
you could just become a chef. So, what I
do when I'm cooking is I'll put a little
bit of spice on the food and then just
in case, I'll put a little bit on me.
Now, I'm not saying this is going to
work every time, but have you noticed
that there's never a study that says if
you added this spice to yourself,
something bad would happen, right? So,
if there's no downside, and who knows,
might make your sexual performance
better, might make your might make you
heal better. So, it goes like this. Some
for the meal, some for Scott, some for
the meal, some for Scott. Now, of
course, nobody wants to eat dinner with
you if you're covered with spice, but
that's their problem.
All right. Can you tell it's a slow news
day? [laughter]
Is there anything about the content of
this podcast that tells you it's a slow
news day? Oh, I think there is. I think
there is. All right. What else is in the
news?
Um
there's now according to uh the
Karolinska Institute of and Stockholm
University,
there's a new drug that looks like it
might uh boost your muscles and uh
curb your appetite and it might be
better than these weight loss drugs. So,
if you wanted something that would make
you lose weight while preserving all
your muscles, they might have something.
Um, but probably not.
[clears throat] What What are the odds
there's something in the news that says
this might work. It worked in a mouse.
Do you know what are the odds it will
work in a human if it works in a mouse?
Not much. Yeah. So, it's fun to talk
about, but you wouldn't want to bet a
lot that it's going to work out.
Here's one that I thought was
interesting. Again, we don't know if
this is real. you'd have to have a lot
more science before you could convince
me. But there is
uh there is some good evidence
that the time of day that you give
somebody
a treatment, a medical treatment might
affect how effective it is. So
specifically
um they found that if you give a I think
it's a immune immunotherapy
for cancer the certain it's a cancer
treatment that if you give it to people
in the morning you get a much better
response than if you give it to them at
night.
Now does that surprise you? Again,
remember the odds of this actually
passing other scientific scrutiny and,
you know, 5 years from now being true is
not really that high. You know, there
there's probably a pretty good chance
that this won't stand up, but it feels
like it would.
Like I, you know, I think your body is
different enough at different times of
the day that I wouldn't be surprised if
if when you take your medicine makes a
difference. I'll bet you this is the
kind of thing that AI could discover,
don't you think?
Once we get to the point that AI will uh
monitor all the things you put in your
body and then it can compare it
anonymously to all the other people
putting things in their body. So some of
it would be food, some of it would be
time of day. So in other words, it's
just the AI is just measuring everything
you put in your body and when. Don't you
think that that's going to have an
immense impact on your health? If you
knew, oh, this this medicine works, but
not if I eat a potato within an hour,
because there's a whole bunch of those
things where where there is a
difference. So imagine when AI can
actually get a wrap its little head
around that.
How many of you have ever heard of a
thing called
synthesia?
Synthesia. I've talked about this but
not in a long time. It's the um
phenomenon that applies to some people
but not many. So it's you know maybe
maybe fewer than 10%.
um they can they they have some kind of
a crossover effect in their senses.
So for example um some people if they're
listening to music they can almost feel
it whereas people like me I listen to
music and I like it but I don't feel it
the same way like a real musician would.
So that probably probably prevents me
from being a great musician because I
feel like you'd have to feel it in order
to be really good at it. You know,
probably the Beatles were all they
probably all could feel it. Um, but what
I would have to add to this is that
there's a writer version of this. So,
not just musicians. And I definitely
have the synthesia for writers, meaning
that I feel words. I just feel them. So,
it's probably not uh an accident
that uh without any special training on
how to be a writer, I I managed to have
a professional career as a writer. I
think that's that might be sesthesia
because I just feel things when I write
them.
>> [laughter]
>> Now, is that a humble brag or is that
just telling you what works and what
doesn't?
All right.
Um,
how many times have you been told that
it's good to get enough sleep? Well,
believe it or not, there's another study
that says it's good to get enough sleep,
but they go further and they say that if
you get enough sleep, you're far more
likely to be uh as active as you want to
be for good health. But they say it
doesn't work the other way. So according
to this study at Flenders or Flenders
University that uh sleep first, get
enough sleep, then you'll get enough
activity and then you have the two
things that are good for you, activity
and sleep. But I don't believe that it
doesn't work the other way.
Let's let's see what you say in the
comments. I believe that I can never get
a good sleep if I have not been active
that day.
Do you have the same same thing if I've
not exercised that day? Now, at the
moment, I'm on all kinds of, you know,
drugs and stuff for my cancer. So, it's
it's different now, but in my normal
healthy life, if I don't get exercise, I
can't sleep. Don't you have that? It
can't just be me, right? All right. So,
we're gonna I'm seeing in the comments
that a lot of you are agreeing with me.
So I would say that uh exercise helps
you sleep and sleeping helps you
exercise and it definitely works both
ways.
So some schools are experimenting with
drones
uh to protect against school shootings.
I'm going to give you a little quiz. How
many school shootings do you think
happened in one year?
Let's see. not one year since 2008 in
just Florida alone. So only the state of
Florida and we're talking about
shootings in the school since 2008. Give
me a number. How many do you think
there's been?
Well, while you're guessing how many
there's been, the answer is, at least
according to this one one uh article
from the center square, Maril Lee
Gastner is writing that there have been
uh 33 school shootings since 2008.
So, that just feels like a lot, doesn't
it? Remember, it's since 2008, so it's
not one year.
Yeah, your guesses are closer to a
one-year guess. Well, that's a lot, but
I I assume that also includes just one
person getting shot. So, it's not
necessarily mass shootings. Um, but what
they want to do is they're testing
non-lethal drones. So, if there's a
shooter in the school, the drone will uh
come and distract them. So, the drone
will not be deadly. It won't have a gun,
but it might have uh it might have
sirens or pepper sprays or other
distraction devices because if you are a
school shooter and a drone comes after
you, you're going to have to pay
attention to the drone because that's
the thing. You don't know exactly what
it can do and it's it's going to be in
your space really fast. I like this
idea. Seems pretty good. You know, it it
could even be better if you got rid of
the humans.
You know, if you equipped the school
with listening devices and then it heard
a gunshot,
don't you think it would be useful if
the drone immediately went wherever the
gunshot was? Now, that doesn't mean it
should intervene. You probably want a
human to decide whether it should
intervene, but it should definitely go
there. Like, it it should just as soon
as it hears the gunshot,
it should pull into that room or as
close as it can get. I think this is a
definitely worth testing. I wouldn't go
so far as to say I know it'll work.
Definitely worth testing.
Well, Trump is apparently going to
announce a 12 billion dollar farm aid
program. The Washington Examiner is
reporting. And it kind of made me wonder
because I'm a uh farm nerd.
You know, I uh I worked on a farm, my
uncle's farm. He had a dairy farm. So,
I've spent a lot of time on a on farms
and and working on farms when I was a
kid and a teenager. I guess I was still
a kid. But, uh, here's what I wonder.
How do you make farms unprofitable?
Like, what is it about a farm that would
take it from, well, we've been making
money until now, but now we're losing
money. Well, some of it's obvious. Some
of it would be over supply. So there
might be a year when when everybody
grows too much of one thing and then the
price goes down. It might be drought or
flood. So it could be bad weather in a
variety of ways. Um it could be the
rising cost of seeds and the rising cost
of fuel. And I said to myself, are those
all solvable problems?
And let me give you my prediction slash
suggestion. I guess I feel like we
should have an ongoing
um maybe government sponsored, but it
doesn't need to be. I guess it could be
private. Something like a an Elon Musk
um farming,
what would you call it? Experiment.
I I know that uh Elon's brother has been
working on indoor farming, so I think
they understand the potential here, but
I'd love to see it go to the next level.
Here's what I think it's going to look
like. If I were trying to solve all the
problems of farming being too expensive
so I could bring down the cost of food,
I would build it underground.
So, first I'd have the Boring Company.
they can, you know, do underground
tunnels really inexpensively.
So once you have a way to inexpensively
um build a tunnel, then you could also
redirect the sunlight from above into it
so you get all the free sunlight. You
could just do it by mirrors. I'm pretty
sure you get all the goodness of the sun
even if you redirect it through mirrors.
So you you'd have all the free sun, but
you wouldn't have any weather related
problems.
In theory, you could create your own
seeds,
couldn't you? Why is it so hard to
create your own seeds?
I I feel like that wouldn't be the
hardest thing, but I don't know about
that domain. So, may maybe seeds would
be a different problem. But if you could
get uh Oh, and you'd also have
essentially free land.
So if you're if you're doing your
farming below ground, it's basically
free on top of owning the above ground.
So the other thing I would do is do the
food processing directly above the
underground farm. So it doesn't have to
go very far. And then along the same
lines, I'd make sure that your
underground farm is really close to the
store that's going to sell the food or
or close to the consumer. So, you want
to get rid of almost all the
transportation.
You want to get rid of all the risk of
um weather. And then, correct me if I'm
wrong, but if you're underground and you
have a controlled environment, you're
not going to need um fertilizer
because you just keep the bugs out in
the first place.
Um, and you're not going to need too
much extra water because isn't it true
that you can recycle your water? It's
basically hydroponic.
Couldn't you just um Yeah.
So,
I'm not 100% sure, but it seems like if
you iterated
um underground farms, you would
eventually get to the point where
they're cheaper than anything we do
above ground.
What do you think?
Fertilizer isn't just for bugs. Well,
that's true, right? It's not just for
bugs. It's for growing more efficiently.
But if you want to go organic, you still
might prefer a smaller vegetable without
any fertilizer.
So, that I'm not sure about that
trade-off. Anyway, I don't want to
obsess about that, but I think we we
don't know how to do it cheaper at the
moment, but there should be similar to
how we're doing um
uh nuclear power. So, the government
finally figured out, hey, if we can
figure out how to iterate nuclear power,
we can get to something that's that
works faster. So, that's what the
government's doing. They should do the
same thing with indoor farms and they
should be underground. By the way, if
you put it above ground, then it can
still get ripped up by weather.
So, I think underground farms are the
future. And then, of course, you'd
obviously have robots doing all the
work. So, you wouldn't have labor, you
wouldn't have
uh probably you could get rid of 80% of
all the costs.
That's just my guess.
Uh, all this farming talk means people
have to do something. Well,
nuclear plus hydroponics is a paradise
farm.
All right, let's move on.
Um, you may have heard of this already,
but uh there's a some company made an AI
version of an actress
uh called Tilly Norway. Norwood. Tilly
Norwood. So, it's an AI actress that's
been created for they haven't quite
fully commercialized it yet, but but the
idea is that it would be a hirable
actress
and uh they would try to turn it into a
star so that your AI star would be, you
know, not eating up all your profits.
Uh, and weirdly, the smartest thing I've
heard about this was a quote by George
Clooney, who of course is a movie star.
And what he said about these AI
actresses and actors, he said, quote,
"AI is going to have the same problem
that we have in Hollywood, which is
making a star is not so easy." And I
thought, "Holy cow, that's the smartest
thing I've heard about this topic." If
if you can't do it with real people and
it's really hard and it's somewhat
accidental because nobody knows exactly
why one person becomes a movie star and
one person doesn't. I mean George
Clooney is a seriously, you know, sexy
guy, I'm told.
So you can say to yourself, "Oh, he's
very sexy." But aren't there millions of
super sexy men? Uh, aren't there lots of
people who could probably act as well as
he can? But why did we decide that this
one person is the extra sexy person?
Well, some of it is the media. Meaning
that if People magazine puts you on the
cover and says you're the sexiest
person, it just sort of becomes a thing.
Would they be able to do that with an
AI?
And I believe that there the problem
with AI art
will um will be the same problem here
that on day one if you hear that it's a
AI you might be interested it' be you
know you'd be curious how it works but
eventually you just feel like it wasn't
real
and I don't know if you could ever get
to the point where if you know it's not
real you can have the same emotional
connection that you would with a real
person in a movie. Even though the real
person in a movie would not really be
real because they're acting,
but I do feel like George Clooney has
the right take on this that if it's
super super hard to do it with a human,
it's not going to be that much easier
just because you have an AI.
So I would guess
99 out of 100 companies that try to make
an AI movie star will fail. So it's not
not good odds.
All right. Uh according to Axios,
President Trump is betting his
presidency
uh and the future of the Republican
party on lightly regulated fast
expansion of AI. First of all, do you
buy that summary?
Do you think that the Trump presidency
will depend on how well he regulates AI?
Now, regulating it well might mean not
regulating it much and getting the
states out of the way and giving the
feds primacy over the regulation and
then getting out of the way.
So, I kind of agree that uh that that's
true, but I do wonder if the public will
see it that way. You know, people like
us that the fact that you're even
watching me on this podcast probably
means you're in the top, you know, at
least 5% of people paying attention to
the news. Wouldn't you say? If you're
watching this right now, you're probably
in the top 5% of just people who care
about keeping up with things. So, I
don't know if the general public will
even notice if Trump did a good job or a
bad job on AI.
Um,
do you and and wouldn't we just argue
about whether he did a good job or a bad
job? And it wouldn't be so much, you
know, something you could just measure.
How in the world are you going to
measure how well we do on AI? Like what
happens if you know Estonia comes up
with the best AI because they just have
some genius who was working on it. Does
that mean we did a bad job or does it
just mean that Estonia had a genius?
So I don't know how you'd know if he did
a good job or a bad job unless it was
just screamingly obvious and I don't
think it will be. I do think that
Trump's doing pretty much everything
right, which I attribute to the fact
that he's got, you know, Sachs and a
bunch of smart people advising him. I I
don't think you'll get too far away from
something that Elon Musk would say, you
know, makes sense and is sensible for
the country. So Trump does have just the
best advisers for AI. Just the best.
Will that be enough? Well, I don't think
that Trump is going to overrule the
smartest people in the world in a domain
that they know a lot about and he
doesn't.
Uh I I think that only the Trump haters
think you would do that do that. Anybody
who's actually been paying attention
knows that he loves advice from the
smartest people.
All right, whoever is just yelling at me
in all caps, maybe that person can
disappear,
if you know what I mean.
All right, so yeah, is he betting his
presidency on the future of AI? Sort of.
But I do think that the Trump
administration has an advantage over
other countries because with AI, we're
not just competing companies against
companies that we're also doing that.
But we're competing countries against
countries.
And let me ask you this. So we've
watched Europe is just falling apart
under its own bureaucracy.
China is somewhat difficult for us to
understand from the outside, but it
doesn't look like they're super flexible
about everything. Sometimes they can be
super fast,
you know, if the if the government says
go do this, it'll happen pretty fast.
But is that the same as being super
flexible?
because the United States is more likely
to allow certain freedoms, you know,
certain freedom of speech. Uh the US is
more likely to allow AI to train on more
sources, whereas China might say, "Oh,
you can't look at that." So your AI
cannot train as on as many things
because we want to control it. So, I'm
feeling that uh there's something about
the United States
uh and may maybe this is just me being
biased. I don't know. So, you you tell
me. Am I being biased? I think there's
something about our DNA as a country
that gives us a huge AI advantage.
I mean, just the fact that there could
be a Trump who I think is very flexible
business-wise, he would be the smartest.
I I I think Trump is the smartest
president we've had business-wise.
He's here at a time when having the
smartest president business-wise is
super important. You know, Bill Clinton
was pretty smart, too. You know, got us
through the dot era. But, uh,
yeah, I I I do suspect that the US is
going to have a DNA advantage. we're
just more flexible and more willing to
take more chances. I think that's
exactly where we need to be to win. So,
that's my optimism on AI.
All right, let's talk about uh we're
we're all following the story, maybe
you're not, of uh California trying to
rebuild after the Palisades fire,
Pacific Palisades fire. And I I think
that here's the good news. According to
the Wall Street Journal, there is a
house that's been built. Yay, a house.
So, we're coming up on a year and uh one
house has been built, but uh you can't
live in it.
So, one house has been built, but you
can't buy it and you can't live in it.
It's a developer model.
And if you were to get go inside the
developer model and walk up to the
second floor and look out the window,
would you see the paradise that used to
be Pacific Palisades? Or would you see a
bunch of burned down wasteland as far as
you could see? It would be the second
one. So, not only can you not buy it,
not only is there only one, but if you
stood in the second floor, you wouldn't
even want to live there. you'd be like,
uh, why would I want to be in this this
town? However, it's not nothing. So,
it's not nothing. So, there's a little
bit of uh, you know, motion in the right
direction. I don't know how long this is
going to take, but you know, I'm
comparing the Pacific Palisades to
China's big projects.
Doesn't it seem to you like China is
building things that are as big as
entire states
and and they can just pound it out? It's
like, "All right, we got a year. Let's
build something that's as big as the
entire island of Manhattan."
And then you check back in a year and
they're done. Now, we can't build a
house.
We We can't get a house built because,
oh, there's bureaucracy. We need
approvals. You know what's wrong with
this story?
is that whenever I hear that there's a,
you know, long delay, the per I always
want to know is why,
you know, when I when I built my own
house, the the one I'm in, it took uh
way too long to get the approvals in my
opinion.
Now, in my case, I could tell you the
actual person who was holding it up
because we had one person in charge of
approvals. Now, if that one person
uh woke up every morning and thought,
"Hey, I got to get help Scott get his
house built,
probably I could have got all the
approvals in
two months, but I think it took well
over a year." But there was a name to
it. There was one person who if they did
not have as many tasks as they have and
it was mostly because they they were
overworked but that would be a very
fixable problem. I would say all right
this guy Bob
can't do this in two months which we
should be able to do it. It's going to
take him a year. So can we get two bobs?
Can we get six bobs? How many bobs do we
need? Can we borrow them from another
place just for a year? Is there a way to
unretire some people who, you know, for
a little extra money? Can we get, let's
say, private Can we get a private
entity, let's say a builder to pay the
approvers with some kind of oversight,
so it's not completely under control?
Why is why is it we never hear the
people? I want to know the name of the
person who's not getting it done.
Doesn't that feel like that's missing?
It feels like it's missing to me.
So, if I don't know the person who's not
doing the job, and I'm not talking about
politicians, like we can we can yell at
Nome all day long, but it's not like
he's sitting in an office with a stamp
and he refuses to stamp something. But
there is somebody there's somebody
sitting in an office with a stamp and
they're not stamping something. Why?
Now, if you ask them, I I guarantee they
have a good reason. They're going to say
something like, "Well, it wouldn't be
safe because there's this inspection
that hasn't happened." Well, who is that
guy or gal? Who's that person? Who is it
who doesn't have enough time to inspect
it? Why don't I have 10 more of him?
What What would it cost me to bribe
somebody who had the right skills to
come in and work for a year?
I just feel like there's a whole layer
here that's missing. And and if we treat
it like it's just a regular process and
we're just yelling at it for being slow,
we're not really trying. You know, if
this were Elon Musk's property, do you
think it would take a year to get
anything approved?
I don't think so. I mean, if he had full
control of every part of it. No. No. he
would just move more resources where you
need them and get rid of people who
weren't doing the job and next thing you
know it would be a two-month approval
instead of a year.
That's what I think.
Well, the uh government Trump
administration is doing what they call a
whole of government approach to try to
lower beef prices. Now, beef appears to
be something that is so
uh important to the American psyche that
it's different from other food. Would
you say that's true? That if your beef
is too expensive, it just feels like
food is too expensive.
So, it's not like, oh, our broccoli
costs too much because then you just eat
some other vegetable. But if you really
like beef, and that would describe a lot
of Americans, uh if you can't get that
at a good price, that just feels like
food is too expensive. So, I can see why
that would be, you know, a big uh like a
big priority. Um it's just hard to go
from, well, if beef is expensive, I'll
just get chicken and I'll be just as
happy because you wouldn't be.
[laughter]
We just wouldn't be just as happy. You
could substitute almost any vegetable
for another vegetable and people would
say, "Well, you know, I prefer broccoli,
but Brussels sprouts are fine." You
know,
what are you yelling at me? Let me see
if I can look at that comment.
Uh, very thing at the FDA,
it's a bureaucracy, right? Okay.
Imagine if we had a all of government
approach to just get rid of bureaucracy.
We kind of have that
but but I'd love to see it even bigger.
All right. Anyway, so the whole of
government approach to make beef less
expensive. Now, what would be the first
question you would ask in that domain?
The first question you would ask is why
is it more expensive? Like what happened
to it? Well, I didn't know. How many of
you know why beef got way more
expensive? Is there even one of you in
the comments?
Don't look it up. Don't look it up.
Without looking it up, do you know why
it's more expensive? Well, some of it is
the normal reasons. You know, energy is
more expensive. Everything's a little
more expensive. But uh apparently Mexico
uh which was one of our bigger sources
of beef
um they had some kind of disease.
So we're working through that. It might
be might be a year or two before we we
have some non-deseased Mexican cows. I
don't know the details, but there was
some kind of Mexican disease. And the
only thing they could do is just shut
down the Mexican supply until that's
completely under control, and it
probably will be in a year or two. But
you just have to wait because it just
takes a while to grow a cow.
So, you're saying it's a screw worm?
Is that what it is? Screw those worms.
In the comments, people are yelling
screworm. So maybe that's the name of
the name of the bug. All right. But uh
we also could increase the amount of
beef we get from Argentina. I don't know
if it says good, but that's another
source.
Um,
the government's also doing an
anti-competitive probe to find out if
foreign suppliers of food in general, I
think. But beef specifically, they're
trying to see if there's any
anti-competitive thing going on because
if there is, that would be an easy way
to lower prices. Uh, well, I don't know
if it'd be easy, but it'd be possible, I
guess.
Um
and uh so it looks like
so so work with me here. If we knew or
we thought there was a high likelihood
that beef would just drift down to a
lower cost simply because two years from
now we'd have a lot more cows, a lot
more non-deseased cows. Does that not?
So, this is a real nerd question. Nerds,
step to the step to the front of the
class. This question is for nerds only,
who I love, by the way. You know, I love
my nerds. I am one. Um, would it be
possible to use some kind of futures
market to lower the cost of beef today
if you felt confident that the price
would be lower in the future?
Did that make sense? So, right now, you
can't you can't take the average cost of
beef today and then take the average of
it tomorrow, which would be lower. But
if you could,
it seems like you could lower the price
today with not a 100% chance that it
would be lower in the future, but you
feel kind of confident that it would be.
Don't you think you could get enough
people to invest in that kind of a
futures beef market that we could take
advantage of the fact that with a high
likelihood of being right, beef will
probably be, I don't know, 40% cheaper
in 3 years.
And so what you do is you start um
charging people less today with some
kind of insurance or protection that the
beef farmers would never lose
because they're they're going to get,
you know, some some minimum payment.
All right, nerds.
Is there some reason that would or would
not work?
Somebody's saying a 10-month gestation.
So it's about 2 years to grow yourself a
proper cow for eating. You think it
already exists? You know, I was
wondering about that. But if it already
exists,
would the prices be lower?
So the the comment I would look into
first is does it exist? We obviously
have futures markets for all kinds of
commodities, but I don't know if we have
them for beef. And I don't know if you
could
find some way to average the future and
the current to lower the price. I don't
know. I'll just put that out there.
Um, according to Israel, there are still
100 to 200 Hamas fighters in tunnels in
Gaza and they're not coming out, but
they also don't have any hostages to
trade and they're running out of food
and water.
What do you think Israel is going to do?
If if you were in one of those tunnels,
would you come out or do you know that
the minute you come out, you're either
going to be in jail for the rest of your
life or immediately murdered? Not
murdered, cuz let's let's take the uh
let's take the opinion out of it. You'd
be killed. Whether you want to call that
murder, that would be a whole different
story. But you'd be killed or jailed
forever. You're not going to walk away.
So,
um, what's going to happen? I think that
they'll have to
probably just wait it out and then a
year from now there won't be anything
left.
We'll see.
Uh, so P Ath,
Secretary of War, uh, he's announced
that there's going to be this federal
investigation into Mark Kelly. you know,
maybe they'll reinstitute him as in the
they'll uh bring him back into the
military so that they can court marshall
him because he's one of the sedicious
sex.
And I've got mixed feelings about that.
So, I'm just going to give you my human
opinion and my citizen opinion.
We don't treat people in the military
like regular citizens.
And most of us are okay with that,
right? We we acknowledge that uh the
people in the military have or will have
greater risk. You know, they they've got
more in the game and we we sort of allow
them,
you know, an extra, let's say, privilege
in society. And I'm okay with that
because if they take an extra risk and
I'm the beneficiary of that,
I think we, you know, we owe them. No.
Oh, I guess that's the wrong word. It
would feel appropriate to me that they
get more privilege in society than I get
because they're doing more. That that
fits for me. So then when I watch the uh
the Mark Kelly and the Sedicious Sex, I
don't like it.
I don't like it, but I also don't like
punishing them.
Is anybody having that same feeling that
there has to be some way we can deal
with this that doesn't take a member or
multiple members of the military, past
or present, and punish them for what I
consider really somewhat outrageously
bad behavior. But because I think it's
outrageously bad behavior and I live in
a world with, you know, at least
allegedly free speech, I don't have to
say that they did the right thing. I
don't have to say I approve of it, but
sometimes you just can't leave somebody
on the, you know, a wounded person on
the battlefield, so to speak.
So, what I'd like to see is something
that's short of punishment,
but is long on education.
I do like the fact that the entire
public has been now accidentally
educated on what is too far and what is
appropriate behavior for the military
and what is a crime in that context and
what isn't. I feel like educating us
should be enough.
Is anybody having the same feeling?
Because as soon as you get me in the
business of punishing members of the
military for what they said, you know,
unless what they said is giving away,
you know, like secrets or something, but
um as bad as I think their behavior is,
I'm just not cool punishing members of
the military for that kind of behavior.
There's got to be something in between.
Anyway, that's just a feeling.
Um,
I guess uh Leslie Stall of 60 Minutes
was talking to Marjorie Taylor Green and
here's an interesting reframe if you
want to call it that. So Marjorie Taylor
Green says she's not MAGA,
she's America first.
What do you think of that?
Some of you saying no mercy, no mercy.
Really? I don't think mercy is the right
um I think that's the wrong frame.
You know, we we should be looking out
for our own good as well as members of
the military. And you know, maybe it's
good for us that we're not punishing
members of the military too too
aggressively.
You know, there always has to be some
kind of guard rails. But anyway, back to
Marjorie Taylor Green. Um,
that's a pretty good reframe. Now,
independent of what you think of her or
her opinions, it's a pretty good reframe
because BAG, as she says, that's more
like Trump's political opinions and
America first
is more of a philosophical position, I
guess, which would have impact on
policies.
So,
um, you may have noticed that I've never
embraced for myself the MAGA label.
Has anybody noticed that? That I talk
about MAGA all the time, but I don't
call myself that. I don't have a MAGA
hat. I won't be getting one. And I've
never really embraced it because I'm not
a joiner in that way. I'm just not a
joiner. Um,
what are you saying about Anyway,
so you don't have to take sides. Um, I'm
not talking about taking sides. I'm just
saying that as a reframe, America first
versus mega. It's kind of an interesting
frame.
Yeah. I I like to think of myself as an
independent. All right. Tucker Carlson
continues to be interesting. So, you
might know that people have been
accusing Tucker of taking money from uh
Qatar
for I guess they would assume that he's
taking their point of view or maybe he's
being anti-Israel.
And uh he his claim is that he has never
taken a dime from Qatar, but uh he's now
decided to buy a home in Qatar.
and [clears throat] and uh apparently
he's doing it as just an F to you to all
the people who are accusing him of
taking money. And his point would be uh
you can't affect my freedom. So if if
you're going to be mad at me for being
friendly with guitar, I'm going to be
even friendlier with guitar. I'm going
to buy a house there. Now, none of us
know what he's thinking.
So we we'd be on, you know, sort of
sketchy ground if we assume we know what
he's thinking. We're not mind readers.
But I'll tell you
what I think might be going on here.
Part of it might be that spite thing
where it was just to make a point. If
you tell me I can't do it, I'm going to
do it. But here's another reason. Have
you noticed that the people who can
afford it are all buying an escape
country,
you know, or state? So, you've got a
bunch of billionaires who have property
in Hawaii,
which has the advantage of being far
away from the mainland in case the
mainland turns into some kind of
disaster or gets into a war. And if I
were going to
pick a an escape country and I had, you
know, unlimited money, seems like Qatar
would be or cutter, whatever you want to
call it. Seems like that would be a good
escape country, doesn't it? So, every
time I see somebody who can afford it
get their escape country, I get a little
bit more worried about what they know
that I don't know.
Could it be they're just it's just risk
management
and and they're completely aware that
you know every country has a risk even
if you're a strong country. I don't
know. I if if I had to guess and I
cannot know what he's thinking. My guess
is that it's as much about finding a
safe place for his family and him
because remember it's getting very
dangerous to be a conservative in the
United States. Tim P uh says there
somebody shot into his facility uh the
other day like a bullet and you know I
don't have to go through the other
examples from Charlie Kirk to Trump
getting his ear shot to you know all the
all the uh what do you call it the
swatting. So if I were Tucker
and just imagine the number of death
threats he gets just imagine it.
I'm guessing it's almost every day. And
some of them are serious.
So, if I got that many threats and I
had, especially if I had a family or a
spouse I'm protecting, I feel like I
would be doing my job as, you know, head
of the household if I had an escape
plan. you know, if it gets too bad,
we're going to walk directly over to
this private jet and we're going to go
directly to to Qatar and we're just
going to stay there until it's safe.
Now, that's what I'd want to see from my
head of household if they can afford it
and looks like he can afford it.
So, that's what I think is going on, but
some of it might be the spite thing. But
I think if you looked at the spite
versus the personal safety, probably the
personal safety is the bigger variable,
but I don't think you'd want to
necessarily say that out loud.
Necessarily.
All right. Uh,
I guess the New York Times has an
article, I haven't read it, but the
article is about uh Ukraine corruption
and how all the cronies of Zilinski
contributed to the, you know, the
corruption allegations. And uh, now
they're asking the question, where'd all
the money go?
Where did all [clears throat] the money
go? Now, here here's a uh just a mental
test. What do you call it? A mind,
there's a word for that, a mind
experiment, a mental experiment.
[snorts] There, that's not the right
name for it, but you know what I mean.
So,
what we know is that when the the war
broke out that the United States funded
um Ukraine to help them attack Russia,
would we have been better off bombing
Ukraine?
Now, I'm not suggesting we do that.
I'm just putting it out there as a
mental experiment. If we had bombed
Ukraine, the whole thing would have been
over in a week because they wouldn't
have anybody on their side,
and we would have killed very few
Ukrainians,
but we could have taken out all their
corrupt leadership.
Now, Russia would of course, you know,
be the beneficiary,
but aren't they going to be the
beneficiary anyway?
So, let me be very clear. I am not
suggesting that would have been a good
idea. I'm only I'm only doing a a mental
thing where you can imagine it. And it's
actually a little bit hard to explain
why we would have been better off
getting to the place we are now. Is
won't Russia still have its way in the
long run? Did we not spend tremendous
amount of money? And did did not that
tremendous amount of money go into
corrupt Ukrainian hands? I mean, I think
we should probably Oh, can I say this?
I might not be able to say this in
public.
Um,
I'll say it in the least,
um, dangerous way.
We should, we, meaning the United
States, should be putting a lot of
effort into tracking down and bringing a
legal process to the people that we
think stole all our money, the
Ukrainians.
And if we're not doing that,
somebody needs to tell me why. because
you know we might we're talking about
hundreds of billions of dollars, are we
not?
Yeah. So,
I don't know where any of that's going,
but
um Trump Trump says that uh that Russia
likes the current version of the
proposed peace deal, and Zilinski hasn't
read it. And Trump's a little bit miffed
that it's only 28 points or maybe fewer
at this point. We don't really know. Uh,
and Zalinski is acting like he's not
even interested enough to stop what he's
doing and read it. What exactly was
Zalinski doing that was more important
than catching up with the current
version of the peace proposal?
What? What?
Anyway, um,
according to Wall Street Journal,
um, Russia has a big problem with AI.
Now
uh what I mean is that Russia like all
the major countries when AI became a
thing wanted to have AI supremacy.
How is Russia doing in their AI
supremacy?
I don't know if you saw their humanoid
robot that they unleashed and it just
fell on its face.
And they don't have a better one than
that than the one that fell on its face
in the public demonstration. Um, so
you've got, first of all, the the top
Russian scientists, if they can get out
of the country, are going to do it as
soon as possible because if you're a top
Russian AI scientist, the worst place
you could be would be Russia or maybe
China. But if you could get out of there
and go to some other freer country, you,
you know, you'll be the richest,
smartest, you know, most valuable person
in that country. So they're going to
lose their best brains.
And uh apparently they don't have much
else going for them. Let's say Russian
AI companies, this is the Wall Street
Journal, the Russian AI companies
attracted about $30 million in venture
funding last year. $30 million. How much
do you think Open AI alone? Just one
American company. How much how much
funding do you think Open AI got last
year? The answer is$6 billion dollars.
So the entire Russian AI enterprise
raised $30 million.
One company
in the US raised six billion. And do you
think our AI scientists are better than
theirs?
If they're not, they will be
there's no doubt about it. So if it's
true, here's where it gets interesting.
Try to try to connect these two thoughts
and ask yourself why they're not already
connected.
Don't you think
that uh all the smart people are saying
that AI dominance is the future? So if
you're not dominant in AI, you're
basically toast.
But the Wall Street Journal is reporting
that if you look at the funding, you
look at what they've done so far, that
Russia doesn't have any chance of being
AI dominant. They might make good
drones, but they're not going to be AI
dominant.
Now, maybe the US uh will be the
dominant one. Maybe it's China, but it
won't be Russia.
So if you believe that your entire
country is toast if you're not AI
dominant,
does it matter if if Russia conquers
Ukraine or even gets another big chunk
of it? Because all the AI people will
tell you, well, they're basically
Russia's going to go out of business
anyway. It's just a matter of time. Is
that true?
Maybe it's never been true that if
you're not AI dominant, you're going to
be toast.
I mean, it wasn't you weren't toast when
the United States became uh dominant,
right? Other countries still exist.
Russia still has an army. So maybe maybe
we've made too much of this AI dominance
thing. What do you think? It could be
that the whole AI thing is just so
overrated that uh there's nothing there.
You know, maybe your drones will be a
little better, but that's about it.
I don't know. So, try to connect the two
thoughts. One is that Russia is
definitely going to get everything they
want from Ukraine, but also how's that
fit with Russia will be completely toast
in a very short time because they're
they'll never be dominant in AI and
they'll never even be good probably.
They'll probably not even be average
good.
Can both of those things be true?
I don't know.
Well, there's a company called uh
uh I'll see in a moment uh called
biological oh there's a platform called
the biological interface systems to
cortex or bisque so there's a developed
by teams at Columbia University and it's
a new form of chip for your brain now as
you know Elon Musk has a company neuro
neurolink that makes a you know brain
interface that's been super impressive
so far. But allegedly, and there there's
a big big allegedly on this. Allegedly,
this other startup slash entity um has a
super impressive chip that does not need
a bunch of connections to your brain um
and somehow can control more of your
brain for much less cost. It uses much
less real estate. So basically, it's a
whole other higher level of brain
interface.
Now,
like everything in technology, it's
probably overrated,
but it does tell you where things are
going.
And if it's true that uh that uh
Neurolink has a real legitimate
competitor,
um that should make things go a little
bit faster, right? Even even if what
happens is Neurolink buys the other
entity and just you know takes their
technology, we're probably at the point
where the where the uh potential for
these chips
becomes mainstream
because today if you asked me Scott do
you want a hole in your skull? We're
going to put a chip there and a bunch of
good things are going to happen. I would
say no thank you. Why don't you go
first? But suppose this new technology
was so good that I knew two or three
people who had the chip and they were
just delighted by it and it gave them a
superpower.
Well then I'm going to be a cyborg as
fast as I can.
And it does look like I have to admit I
wasn't sure this whole neurolink thing
had you know that much of a future. you
know, even if you assume, oh, technology
always improves and, you know, never
assume it will stop improving because it
always improves. Even with that, I
wasn't really sure that we could put a a
chip on your brain and make it talk to
it. But at the moment, I do. At the
moment, I think that this is
something where the potential is hard to
imagine. And imagine if you will that
you had all the powers of AI
automatically and it was just in your
brain. You wouldn't need a phone,
right? You wouldn't need a phone. You
wouldn't need a computer. Maybe you
could just see the things, you know,
floating in front of you even though
they're not there. So that's exciting.
It's exciting that there's a potentially
a big competitor to Neuralink.
Well, here's a story you have to be
careful with. There's a uh there's uh
let's see, this is the Okyama
University. Some researchers found that
uh at least in mice, there's a green
light, so a certain kind of light that
apparently will kill cancer.
So, if I told you that there's a type of
light that would kill cancer, what would
be your first reaction?
Well, if you were CNN, your first
reaction would be, "Wait a minute. Why
does drinking bleach sound like a good
idea? That's a terrible idea. Don't
drink bleach."
That's what they said when Trump
suggested using a different kind of
light to battle cancer in your lungs.
Now, somebody else said, "Scott, Scott,
you fool." Somebody that this morning in
the comments said, "You fool, Scott.
How are you going to get the light
inside your body?
To which I said,
same way Trump was. Uh they were talking
about a essentially a what would you
call it? a stent or a there's a word for
it, but you could put a light device
down somebody's lungs and let's say
somebody had lung cancer and let's say
if you could look at their lungs from
the inside, maybe you could see those
cancer things. Yeah. So, is it possible
that you could introduce a light with an
endoscope? Somebody say, "Could you
introduce a light to the lungs?" And the
answer is, "I think so." Here's another
one.
Um, have you ever heard of uh I think
this is an existing process uh where
somebody can uh
uh this is probably a non-medical bad
analogy, but I'm going to make it
anyway. So, you know, if you were doing
uh let's say
getting your kidneys
What's the word for that? When you run
your blood through an external device
because your kidneys are not working.
What's that called? Anyway, so we know
that we can uh take people's blood, run
it through some kind of process, some
kind of medical process, and then
reintroduce it into their body. Could
you
dial dialysis? Yes. So dialysis, if I
understand it correctly, is taking your
active blood out of your body, uh,
cleaning it, and then reintroducing it
to your body. Is that is that accurate?
What would stop you from taking the
blood out of the body, running it
through a light, and then reintroducing
it to the body?
Because it would come, it would come
back to the body without cancer.
Now, I'm not suggesting that would work.
I'm just saying it's not crazy that you
could in fact introduce light to at
least some specific kinds of cancers.
Um, blood cancer and maybe something
else.
Anyway, uh I'm um mostly bring this up
to Moxy and Adam for being such a bad
s such a bad reporting uh element or
entity that they that they turned that
into drinking bleach. At least when
Trump said it, they turned it into
drinking bleach.
All right, ladies and gentlemen, that's
all I got for you today. You may have
noticed that it's a slow news week. Oh
my god, it's a slow news week, but we
had fun anyway, didn't we?
It's better than nothing.
All right. Uh, I'm going to talk
privately to my beloved
uh members of uh the locals platform.
So, locals, I'll be coming at you in 30
seconds privately. the rest of you.
Thanks for joining and I will see you
tomorrow, same time, same place for more
of Yes.