Episode 3058 CWSA 12/31/25
I'm back to talk about the news you can't use and whatnot. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Well, we'll see how this goes. My cough is under control, but I do get a little bit dizzy if I talk too much. So we'll do the best we can. I apologize for my voice. It will not
View segment →get better. Good morning, everybody. Let's do the simultaneous sip now and we'll see how far we get. I know why you're here. All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass. It can be a can, it can be a candy flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now f…
View segment →tter. It's called the simultaneous sip. It happens now. Terrific. Well, let's jump right into it, shall we? Apparently I'm very good at guessing how many calendars I'll sell in a year because we got right up to the limit. But there are still a few more. So I wouldn't wait if you don't have your Di…
View segment →e election claim that involves a big shredding truck and somebody told me today that's fake news. It's been debunked. So I removed it. But it makes me wonder how many times am I going to get fooled by fake news? Probably a lot. And I thought I should almost keep track of it because you know that's o…
View segment →a lot of people. And apparently that's what happened. And the only way that could happen, says me, is if people are afraid of being called racist. So when you calculate the damage of DEI, if I were doing the analysis of what is the damage of DEI, you could come up with a long list, but you'd have to…
View segment →an unlimited number of people who live in the building or allegedly live in the building, you can vouch that they are legally allowed to vote even if they don't have ID. So in other words, if I understand this correctly, the janitor of a big building could vouch for every person in the building even…
View segment →hey're going to move. And it could be a bluff. Maybe they prefer to stay, but they're making sure that people know that if they do go everybody would go and they would turn California into something it hasn't been. But there have been some other options for raising money that have been raised. Firs…
View segment →ould and they do they attract people from the other side. But if you're a Republican and you turn on MS Now you just go what the hell? It's just all poorly produced. So and poorly produced and they don't have as good a host. They don't have a Greg Gutfeld, for example. Right. Who is a Greg Gutfeld?…
View segment →'s pretty good. It doesn't I don't think it makes much difference to the United States whether they get away with it or not. But if somebody actually figured out how to thwart the US Navy by painting a poorly produced flag on the side of the ship, I would have a little bit of respect for that in the…
View segment →what would be the point of blowing up a residence that has zero chance of having Putin inside it? Is it because he has some family that were going after? That doesn't seem like a good plan. So I'm a little bit skeptical about why that happened. You know, I did say that it would make sense to do a fa…
View segment →Well, we'll see how this goes. My cough is under control, but I do get a little bit dizzy if I talk too much. So we'll do the best we can. I apologize for my voice. It will not get better.
Good morning, everybody. Let's do the simultaneous sip now and we'll see how far we get. I know why you're here. All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass. It can be a can, it can be a candy flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit, the other thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. It happens now.
Terrific. Well, let's jump right into it, shall we?
Apparently I'm very good at guessing how many calendars I'll sell in a year because we got right up to the limit. But there are still a few more. So I wouldn't wait if you don't have your Dilbert calendar. Amazon.com is the only place you can get it.
How about some end-of-year predictions? I always hate those, but they seem traditional. I'm going to say the obvious. 2026 will be the year of the self-driving car. I don't believe there will be robot butlers. So I'm going to say no robot butlers yet. I think the economy will surprise us, but I don't know which direction. It'll either be better than we think or worse than we think. No one can predict the economy.
Further, I predict that the topic of election rigging will become a much bigger story. And if you haven't caught up with Patrick Byrne, he was the CEO of Overstock.com. If you don't know his story, you really should catch up to it because I don't know what's true. I have no idea if his version of events captures what really happened, but he's very convincing. He's been saying it for a while, but now I think he can say it and people can run with it. So he's got this story about Venezuela being involved with the voting machines, Chinese components, and a Serbian data center. They got taken down just before they could influence the election in 2024. Is any of that true? I don't know. But I gotta say, he's very credible sounding and there's nothing about him that suggests he's making it up and he does seem to know. So I feel like this will be the year he breaks through to make that a bigger story.
And then I think the fact that we know everything else in the world is rigged as we're watching all these stories about corruption, I think that makes it easier for people to believe that the elections were rigged because I've been saying something now for a while, a few years, that nobody else picks up on. Have you noticed this? This is what I say. I say, "What are the odds that every other institution is corrupt, but our elections are not?" What are the odds of that? If you didn't know anything about election security, you'd never seen any story about it. How would you believe that it's not corrupt when everything else is?
Now, I might have been a little ahead of the game. Because the other thing I say which sets you up for that thing I just said is that whenever you have the following situation, you have corruption. There's a lot of money involved. There's lots of people involved. The stakes are high. Money or power. And you just wait because there's and assume there's no audit control because even where there are audits the audits don't catch stuff as we've seen. So if you take that as your starting point that everything is corrupt and that there's a reason built into why it's corrupt. It's not chance. It's not a weird coincidence. It's that everything that has that element to it always becomes corrupt every time.
Now add to that what I've also been saying. What is the reason for electronic voting machines? What would be the legitimate reason? And there is none. The only reason for voting machines is to cheat because they're not cheaper. They're not more reliable. They're not faster. They're not anything. So put those three axioms together, right? Everything that has this nature is rigged or fraudulent. Voting machines don't have any other purpose that we can see. And then elections sort of just fall into that category. You know, the thing that can't be explained unless there's massive fraud going on.
Now, that doesn't mean that the only fraud is the machines. It would suggest that in every way that an election can be rigged, probably is. Now, I do not claim that the only bad people in the country are Democrats, but maybe it doesn't seem likely that the only bad people are Democrats, but in my bubble, that's true.
Well, David Moss, a user on X, just completed a self-driving Tesla to drive across the entire United States without ever engaging with the car. So this was the day that somebody drove the entire coast to coast and didn't touch the steering wheel. That includes parking. It includes supercharging. So it's pretty easy to predict that this will be the year of the self-driving car.
All right, here's a question I asked myself. How many fake news stories will I fall for in the coming year? So apparently the other day, maybe yesterday, I posted, I reposted, but to my credit with skepticism, a story about some election claim that involves a big shredding truck and somebody told me today that's fake news. It's been debunked. So I removed it. But it makes me wonder how many times am I going to get fooled by fake news? Probably a lot. And I thought I should almost keep track of it because you know that's one that I should start with 2026 and find out how many times do I get fooled? Is it more? Am I more likely to be fooled because people are better at fooling people? Am I getting dumber and older? I don't know. But watch out for me, will you?
All right. Here is something that I feared was true, and I'm pretty sure it is. I don't know about you, but if you're watching this podcast, it's probably true that your news and social media bubble is non-stop stories about money laundering and Somalians and basically bad behavior as well as rigged elections. Do you have that experience that all day long I pick up my phone, I go to X, "Oh, there's another state. There's another fraud. There's another fraud. There's another fraud." And of course the algorithm is doing that. But here's what I was afraid of. I was afraid that no normies ever see these stories. And that's what I'm starting to hear. People are saying, "I went to things like I went to lunch with my neighbors and not one of them had heard about the Somalian fraud and stuff." Just hold that in your head that your neighbors haven't even heard, they're not even aware that there's a massive money laundering fraud problem. They've never heard it.
Now, that doesn't mean it's never been on the news, but the news doesn't cover it like social media does. So I'm completely immersed in this world where every freaking story is about somebody stealing my money. But if you were not paying attention to that bubble that I'm in and you were in a different bubble, you haven't even heard of it. That does not seem like a healthy situation, does it?
Oh my god. Well, speaking of the bubble, so here's some more stuff in my bubble. Eric Dordy is reporting on this. Well, part of the reason that my bubble is different is I listen to a lot of independent journalists. Apparently in Minnesota as far back as 2018, whistleblowers were reporting these frauds, these Somali basically money laundering frauds. And that they had the whistleblowers all had the same experience that they were told that they couldn't talk about it or they'd be blamed, they'd be accused of being racist or islamophobic. Now my how things change because once Trump got elected now we can talk about things that we should be talking about.
All right let's do a sip. So if Trump had not been elected and he had not basically gotten rid of DEI and our blocks on free speech, if Elon Musk had not purchased Twitter, we still wouldn't know about this. Just think about how close we were. You know, you probably saw the other day that Elon Musk estimated that at the low bound, the theft might be 1.5 trillion a year at the low end. 1.5 trillion. That would be essentially the entire deficit. And you might remember, I keep bragging about this, but I'm actually kind of proud of it that I told you that people like me who have a background in budgeting, you know, that was my day job in corporate world was a lot of budgeting. You develop a kind of intuition about where something is wrong. And several years ago, I started saying, I don't see how we could possibly be in this much of a deficit hole unless the amount of fraud was so high that is unimaginable. Now, at the time, I did not get a lot of agreement, but today I think every one of you agrees today that at least some big portion of it was just fraud. So I'm going to give myself credit for that one.
Anyway, I saw that HUD thinks they may have found 5.8 billion in improper rental aid payments according to Newsmax. That's housing and urban development. Now, they haven't confirmed that, but there are some red flags. And what I like about this is that I'm noticing in the government that they've turned spotting fraud into a competitive sport. So you should expect to see more and more department heads say, "Hey, we found some fraud. I found some fraud. I found more fraud than you did." So we're going from an environment in which if you mentioned the fraud, you were racist to an environment in which people are competing to see who can find the most. And people are competing to come up with the best idea for finding the most. That is a good sign. So 2026 might be just wild.
Speaking of that, Health and Human Services just froze child care payments to Minnesota because it was all going to fraud. Not all of it, but massive amounts were apparently going to fraud. At the same time, what do you think Tim Walz said when it was announced that the government was going to stop payments because the payments were almost all fraud? What would Tim Walz say about that? Well, here's what he said. It's almost unbelievable. He said that this is Trump's long game. Quote, "He's politicizing the issue to defund programs to help Minnesotans." Really? Really? Does he really think that Trump sits down in the morning and says, "What can I do? How can I hurt those children in Minnesota in a way that will help me?" That is just batshit crazy. It's so obvious. He has no real response to that. How in the world does that make sense to his followers? Oh, Trump has a long-term plan to damage Minnesota. What? Why would anyone have that plan? For political reasons? I mean, you really have to twist yourself up to make that make sense. No. Obviously, everything is political. You know, that part's true, but what are the odds that Trump is doing it because it's part of his long game to hurt Minnesota? That's insane.
Bill Pulte, I saw him on a show yesterday. He's the head of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and he said that they're using AI and Palantir to flag potential fraud. So I think that's the model you're going to see. I think people will be doing the Bill Pulte model where you partner with maybe private companies and the private companies spot potential flags and then you look into it. So basically every part of the government that gives away money is probably going to move to that model. Let's call it the Bill Pulte model.
And it should be no surprise, Fox News is reporting that now we know from new surveillance photos, the surveillance video that the parents in Minnesota might have been in on the fraud. So they've got video all the way back from 2018, of course, in which parents are seen to be checking their kids into daycare, but then just turning around checking them out. So I guess it was the checking in part that made it look legitimate. Are you surprised that parents might be part of the scheme? No. Nope.
All right. New York Post is reporting, I saw Liz Collin is reporting on this, that there's a former homeland security agent who claims that when reports were given to the Minnesota, he claims that prosecutors ignored Minnesota daycare fraud cases and that they quote just evaporated. So there was no shortage of people noticing and there was no shortage of people reporting it and when it was reported they just slow walked it and then made it go away. So corruption. Yeah. Do you know how much ignoring you would have to do? You would have to have a lot of people ignoring a lot of things for a long time. Like a lot of people. And apparently that's what happened. And the only way that could happen, says me, is if people are afraid of being called racist. So when you calculate the damage of DEI, if I were doing the analysis of what is the damage of DEI, you could come up with a long list, but you'd have to add trillions because of this. Trillions, the cost of DEI.
Now, here's more good news that may not turn into good news. But if you're on social media and you're watching the bubble that I'm watching, you see people like Elon Musk talking about the fraud and DOGE and talking about it. You'll see people like David Sacks and Chamath and lots of other smart people. So the good news is that the smartest people in the country, Bill Ackman would be another, the smartest people in the country are very engaged and trying figuring out how to fix this because all of their wealth at least anything that depends on the United States is completely at risk. Now, I don't think that's the only reason that they're so engaged, but they've not been engaged before. And they are the exact same people you would want to fix any big problem. Right? If you said, "We have this big problem that nobody's been able to fix. We need the smartest people in the room to really get engaged." Well, we got that. Amazing. We finally have the smartest people in the room all on the same side for the most part and focused.
But here's the problem. We might have too much diverse energy. So they're not all saying exactly the same thing and it's unclear what plan would be the best as Cernovich, add him to the list of the smartest people. So my question is this. How do we get to the point where we've focused all that smart energy? Because we're not really at a place where we can focus it. So if you said, but Scott, that's easy. All you need is a fraud czar. I don't think so. I mean that might be part of the solution but the fraud czar would get destroyed the same way they went after Musk. Now Musk is you know there's only one Musk. So he's managed to recover and even grow his business and get his compensation from Tesla and everything else. But that's rare. I don't know how many people could have survived the attacks that went after Musk. So it would really be hard to get a fraud czar who had that much risk tolerance but also had the skill and I don't know if it's enough.
And we also know that justice moves too slowly. I've heard a number of people say, "Scott, all they have to do is prosecute some high level people and this will stop." You know, if Keith Ellison, the AG in Minnesota, let's say he quickly got indicted. Well, I don't know. Would that stop anything? How long would it take? So justice moves too slowly to be the biggest part of the answer but obviously has to be part of the answer. But I like the fact as I mentioned before that finding the fraud and doing something about it is a competitive sport. So I think the best case scenario is that private companies find a way to free market this situation. So you've got Palantir and other AI companies that could be helpful. So they might have a massive potentially they might have a massive financial payoff. Rico would be slower because you have to pull together like years of everything. I mean that would be slower. We need to do it probably but it would be slower.
So what was I saying? So if you added the AI companies that might have some incentive to spot the fraud and then you add to that the qui tam rule that I didn't know about but apparently it's been a thing for years that allows you an individual private person to ask the government to sue somebody who has been ripping off the government and then if you as the whistleblower, let's say. If they succeed and they claw back some money, you get a portion of it and it could be big. It could be very big money. So here's the good news. When I talk about the smartest people being fully engaged, they're also the smartest people at creating new businesses that didn't exist. Right? Every one of them that I mentioned has done entrepreneurial things. They've got a track record, right? Every one of them. And that is exactly the people you want designing a new system. So it might not be that there's one path to fixing it. It might be that the free market has now surfaced what looks like a set of variables that could sort of automatically drift in the direction of getting rid of the fraud because essentially it would monetize getting rid of fraud, which hasn't really been the case. Well, it has been the case, but not everybody knew it. And now lots of people know it. So that's the good news.
All right, let's talk about Pam Bondi, who is not working fast enough, people say, and has prosecuted no high-profile cases. So I'm going to wade into this at my risk. You may have heard me say this on social media. And it goes like this. If I put the what I call the Dilbert filter on this situation, how do we know, we who are not lawyers, how do we know how long something should take? How do we know how many cases she's working on? How do we know how hard it is to staff when you can't get lawyers who are like 90% Democrat, but you don't want to staff up with Democrats if the whole job is to go after Democrats? How long does it take to staff up? What kind of cases is she working on that are exactly where she should be working on but they just take a long time because they're complicated? So the higher profile the case and the more complicated the case the more you should expect it would take longer than a year even to get to indictments.
So case in point, I guess Kash Patel has recommended the Department of Justice to look into the whole situation with the Russia collusion hoax. Now the Russia collusion hoax is massively complicated. It involves everybody from the ex-CIA and it involves two parts. One is making it easier for Democrats to get elected and the other is making it harder for Republicans to stay out of jail. So it involves everything from the original meetings that Obama had, the special counsels, the raid on Mar-a-Lago. There are so many moving parts. If Pam Bondi only had one thing to work on for the rest of her life, how long would that take? Then you multiply that by a thousand because remember, you've got the J6 stuff. How complicated would it be to get the other side of the J6 stuff that that was all a plot and then to wrap it all into a RICO? Because a RICO case has to show a pattern of behavior that has stretched over time and involves multiple people.
So let me say this as clearly as possible. I am as frustrated as you are that nobody important goes to jail. Can we all get on the same side of that? None of us think it's fast enough, but we also don't know what would be fast enough. What would it look like if she were doing a great job and what would it look like if she were not? Could we tell? So one lawyer online said to me, Scott, what you're missing is that big law firms are already staffed up to surge like whole groups of people into different jobs for the government or for a private company. So the thinking is that it's just business as normal to be way overworked, but to instantly or quickly correct the fact that you have too much work by going to big law firms and say, "Hey, we need two dozen lawyers today. Can you just give us a whole staff?" And then those law firms, I didn't know this by the way, are routinely set up to do that.
However, how does it work when the people you're going after are Democrats? Do you think there's a big law firm that can give you two dozen lawyers that are both good at what they do, not doing anything more important? You know, somebody said it's not the best lawyers that they send for that, but I don't know about that. And that they would do a non-biased job instead of dragging their feet because all you would have to do is get an anti-Trumper in the mix, one lawyer who drags their feet and they can just drag this thing forever. So I am skeptical that the existing model of surging lawyers into a high-profile, high workload situation could work in this situation. It might work in normal situations. And how long will it take before John Brennan is indicted?
Anyway, so don't get mad at me. I am the Dilbert filter messenger to tell you that if there's a lot of people involved and it's complicated, it's going to take way longer than you wanted to. Does everybody agree with that? Just that we're all equally frustrated, but whenever you have this complexity and this setup, it's always going to take longer than you want. And that would be sort of normal, just normal life.
Anyway, so apparently according to Wall Street Apes on X, Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison, this is Wall Street Apes' framing of it, admits the Somalis were imported to vote Democrat. Essentially he did. He said, quote, "Well, the Somali community is critical in my own election. I wouldn't be in office without the help of the Somali community." Okay. Now, that alone is not illegal. But we do know that the Somali community has made a difference not just in Minnesota, but also in Ohio and Virginia, maybe some other places. So at what point does it become illegal? It's not illegal to have people legally enter the country. If they entered legally and then they were legally allowed to vote, it would just be a good strategy, but it wouldn't be illegal, right?
However, did you know Scott Presler was reporting this yesterday and just think about the fact that what I'm about to tell you, you probably did not know and it's been true for a while that if you work for a building, so if you're an employee of some large apartment building, it doesn't matter what kind of employee, you can vouch for an unlimited number of people who live in the building or allegedly live in the building, you can vouch that they are legally allowed to vote even if they don't have ID. So in other words, if I understand this correctly, the janitor of a big building could vouch for every person in the building even if every one of them had been illegal. And that's actually a written law in Minnesota. It's a law. Now, when that law got passed, what was anybody thinking? How in the world? Yeah, there's some paperwork to vouch. How in the world did anybody think that was for anything but cheating in the election? What would be the other reason? You know, usually the Democrats say, "Well, we don't want to suppress voting, so we want to make it easy to vote." There's no way. There's no way that that particular law was to stop suppression of voting. That was purely to make it easier to cheat. I would say you can't say that any other way.
Well, are any other states or cities having problems with fraud? Oh, surprise. Real Clear Investigations says that there was some guy, a city official in Austin who had given a bunch of fake contracts to friends that were fairly gigantic, had been doing it for a while. So let's see how much he got. He was using the city credit card which he was allowed to use for city services but instead of doing city services he used it to pay 30 different vendors but the city auditor could only verify that eight of them were even real companies. And of the real companies do you think those are relatives too or people who gave them kickbacks? So most of the money or a lot of it went to places that appeared to be fake. At the same time, the guy who was doing this was earning over half a million dollars a year in salary. So he was overpaid and he was just massively doling out the city credit card to his presumably fraudster friends.
Now, how long ago was the first time you heard me say this? That all local government is criminal. All local government is criminal. And the reason is this because there's always somebody who's in charge of who gets the money and there's never enough audits or security to stop it from happening fraudulently. So again, a lot of money involved, people involved, time goes by, poor auditing procedures. Was this predictable? Yes. If you took a dart and threw it at a map of the United States and hit any city, you don't think this is happening anywhere else? I'll bet some form of this, maybe not as bad, but I'll bet you some form of this is 100% in every city. 100%. Because whoever has the wallet will be just infinitely approached by people who say, you know, if I got a little bit of what's in that city wallet, I'll bet you a lot of people would donate to your campaign. There's no way this system could produce. If you saw it on paper, if somebody said, "We've never had a city before, but we're going to invent a thing called a city, and here's how it will be run." And you simply just drew on paper who has the control, who's watching it, how money flows, how money is allocated. Anybody smart would know that that was a setup for fraud. So the cities are designed in a way that guarantees fraud, guarantees it. And sure enough, that's what we see.
Well, here's a story about further layoffs in the media world. According to The Wrap, entertainment and media layoffs are up 18%. And 17,000 jobs were slashed in 2025. Now what they mostly mean is the traditional media. So there have been some mergers and cutbacks and stuff. So the traditional media took a hit, but I would argue that that's not the bad news it looks like because the independent journalists and the independent media and I would be part of the independence vastly increased. So it's not really a story about less media employees. It's more a story about less traditional fake news stuff we don't want to see media and way way way more Nick Shattles and Scott Adams's and people who are doing a show independently. So I think that is an evolution, not some kind of a problem. And I love the fact that the jobs that are being created are being created by the people creating them. So it's not like a boss had to create a company that hired people. It's more like people like me said, "What happens if I turn this camera on and start talking? Can I monetize that?" Yep. Turns out I can.
Well, according to SciPost, Karina Petrova, there's a study that says that shocking headlines make people skeptical, but that over time they come to believe the thing that was the shocking headline. Does that surprise you? So the idea is when you first see like a headline that says shocking thing happened here or there and then you read it, you go like, well, you know, I don't know, I'm not sure that's true. Yeah, everybody says everything's shocking. So you automatically put some critical thinking on a headline that just seems a little overdone, but then over time you forget where you saw the headline and you start thinking it must be a fact. So you remember the story, but you won't remember your initial skepticism. So it makes it believable over time. I think probably only if you hear it repeated.
All right. We talked about this before, but this just blows my mind. So San Francisco, a city you would associate with being lax on crime, right? So San Francisco, most people would agree left and right that they would be soft on crime compared to other places. But despite being soft on crime, apparently they have this license plate reading technology called Flock, F-L-O-C-K, and it can read license plates and they've got about 500 of them in major roadways in San Francisco, around San Francisco, and that it's centralized. It must be in other cities too. So they have a centralized nationwide database of more than 1 billion license plate reads each month. Now they're being sued by someone who doesn't want them to be able to track you if there's no warrant. So if there's no reason to track you, at least one individual is suing because he says that should only be they should only track you if they have a warrant and these are warrantless. So apparently you can in most cases you could track a car in San Francisco from wherever it starts to wherever it ends up. How comfortable are you with that? Because remember it's tracking everyone.
Well, how in the world do you stop people from tracking their spouse? Don't you think that every engineer who has access to this thing is already tracking their ex? Find out where their ex goes when they go to work. Probably this would put an end to cheating. But it's weird that the most lenient city would be doing this of all things. Now so far all I know about it is it tracks license plates. I don't believe it does facial recognition, but it would be easy to add it. And I don't believe it has a full AI capability, although obviously that would be coming. So if you take a 500 camera system and you can track license plates, you can track faces which I just assume is coming and you can use AI to make it identify and flag things. You have created quite a monster. That is a monster where you're not going to know where does that end up like how bad will that become you know if they do it gradually like well it's just license plates then it doesn't seem as scary but once you realize there's nothing to stop them really from adding facial recognition and AI what in the world could that become I don't know.
So we always talk about this California wealth tax where they're floating the idea in California that some billionaires would have to give up 1% of their wealth per year for five years. So in the end 5% of their wealth would be taken in taxes apparently. I didn't know this but even Gavin Newsom opposes it but Bill Ackman so it might not happen because you know if the governor opposes it he could veto it. Bill Ackman warns that no one would stay if California implements a wealth tax. Now, we've already seen some billionaires in California state they're going to move. And it could be a bluff. Maybe they prefer to stay, but they're making sure that people know that if they do go everybody would go and they would turn California into something it hasn't been.
But there have been some other options for raising money that have been raised. First of all, let me say the obvious. No one wants higher taxes when your state is wasting the money. No one wants higher taxes in general, but in the current context of massive fraud, it's going to be really hard to increase taxes on anybody if you know that it's just been wasted. So we'll see how that goes. But some people have proposed that if you just raise the sales tax, it would be a more reasonable approach. The idea is that it's automatically progressive. So if a billionaire buys a boat, a yacht, that's a lot of sales tax. But if you get a stick of gum, it's a little bit of sales tax, but not much. However, the sales tax in California is already insanely high. I forget what it is. So I'm not in favor of a sales tax. It's just an alternative. However, even billionaires agree with the following that billionaires have a way to avoid taxes that ordinary people don't and that maybe that needs to be closed.
Did you know how that works? I used Grok to give me a little tutorial on how the billionaires avoid taxes. And let me see if I can explain that in a way you would understand. So a normal person gets normal income and they pay income tax. A billionaire might not have income at all. They might just have a lot of assets. So one of the ways that they can avoid paying income taxes is to make sure that their businesses do not give them a salary. So there's no income. But where do they get the money to spend if they don't have an income? And the answer is they can take a loan. So they could go to a bank and they can say give me a large personal loan. Now, it wouldn't be large compared to their assets. It would still be tiny, but it would be large to us and it would be so much money that they could spend it like income, buy mansions and yachts and stuff without any income. The bank would say, "Can you pay back this loan?" And the billionaire would say, "Are you kidding? I'm worth $20 billion. I'm only asking you for half a billion." So the bank says that's a pretty good deal and we're definitely gonna get paid back. Not definitely, but probably. So they give them a loan and it's collateralized by the assets of the billionaire. So the bank is happy. They always know they can seize the mansion or seize the stock if something goes wrong. Then the billionaire spends the personal loan just because it's their cash. They can do whatever they want. It's not a business loan. It's a personal loan. Sort of like a line of credit on your house or just the big version. Then when they die, the billionaire, they can transfer those assets to their heirs at a stepped up fair market value. And even the heirs avoid taxes. Now, I believe there's still an estate tax. So if you didn't know, the estate tax over a certain level is 40%. So when I die, if I do, my estate tax above a certain dollar amount will be taxed at 40%. Which is pretty egregious, but it's happening. Anyway, did that make sense? I'd never really spent two minutes looking into why billionaires don't pay taxes. So I would agree that seems like a loophole that needs to be closed. Seems like it.
Well, according to the Epoch Times, the CEO of the IRS, I didn't know they had a CEO, says that 94% of middle class taxpayers will see tax relief next year. So that would be under the big beautiful bill, I guess. Do you believe that? I'm primed to never believe anything about taxes going down. I always think taxes are going up even if all the reporting is it's going down for some people. So I'm going to say maybe but probably not. So it doesn't matter who's president. Doesn't matter what the law is. I never believe taxes will go down.
Whoa. Did you know there's a study SciPost is writing about this of Vladimir Hiri that mass shootings increase the local turnout for voting but do not shift presidential choices. How many of you would have known that without looking at a study that if there's a mass shooting in the news locally you might get a higher turnout for a vote but they don't change who they vote for. The people who wanted Democrats to get rid of guns still want it. And the Republicans say, "Well, it's the cost of being in a free country. Don't take my guns." So they both get more votes, but it doesn't change the mix. They could have just asked me. I knew that.
But Daniel Greenfield of Front Page magazine is reporting that MSNBC, which is now rebranded as MS Now, the ratings have collapsed, as you probably know. How bad is it? We'll see. According to Nielsen Media Research, this is fairly new. Fox News averaged 2.72 million prime time viewers and 287,000 viewers in the key demographic 25 to 54. So that was up 14%. And the key demo group was up 18%. That's pretty damn good. How did MSNBC do? Oh. They averaged 923,000 down 25% since 2024 and only 81,000 in the key demo that was down 39%. Wow. And CNN did even worse. Now the reporting doesn't give reasons. Would you like to know some reasons why MS Now is down and Fox News is up? Well, I say this a lot, but MS Now has bad producers and their on-air talent was mentally insane, right? If you look at any show on MS Now, it's poorly produced. You'll see a table of people who look crazy just yelling at each other. Rachel Maddow looks like she just has mental illness and they just seem a little weak and weird and just somebody you don't want to watch. But also, none of the shows are engineered to be as interesting as Fox. So if you've never watched the show called The Five on Fox, you haven't seen what good producing looks like. So everything from the selection of the cast to how many there are to how they always have the one person who's sort of the foil, the Democrat foil. Everything about that is well-designed and the people don't look mentally insane. So over time you can completely see how Fox News could and they do they attract people from the other side. But if you're a Republican and you turn on MS Now you just go what the hell? It's just all poorly produced. So and poorly produced and they don't have as good a host. They don't have a Greg Gutfeld, for example. Right. Who is a Greg Gutfeld? They just don't have one. Makes a big difference.
Well, here's a weird story I don't understand. So are you aware that in Iran I guess this week there were massive street protests and you know the streets are full of people who are mad at the regime. Now I think that's happened before but it didn't turn into anything. Dana Perino, Jesse Watters, every one of them are more talented than anything you see on MS Now. So at the same time the Iranian public is doing some massive protests in Israel according to the Jerusalem Post Mossad. So that would be Israel's intelligence agency. They posted a message on X in Farsi, the language of Iran, urging demonstrators to act, saying that it was with them in the streets. It's with them in the streets. And said, go out together into the streets. The time has come. It said it will join them. It says we are with you. Not only from a distance and verbally, we are with you in the field. So Mossad is admitting that they're literally on the ground participating with the protesters. Now, does that seem like a good idea to you? I'd love to know why they thought that was a good idea. Because everything I know about people is that the Iranians would be maybe plenty happy to find their own way away from the regime. But as soon as the country that's bombed them says, you know, I'm with you, doesn't that immediately make them bond together and say, wait a minute, this is up to us. Get out of here. How in the world is that good for Israel? I don't understand. Maybe I'm just speculating. Maybe Mossad thinks that if the Iranians think they have support from even Israel that would embolden them. That's not the way things usually work. Usually it works the other way. So you know, they're not stupid, obviously. Fake news. No, it was actually on the Mossad X account. So the X account I think that's real. Anyway, it's either very clever or it's not. I know. I'm just going to watch that one.
According to TechCrunch, the number of followers you have on social media has never mattered less. Now here they're talking about people monetizing, but apparently the thing that moves your traffic is not how many followers you amassed. It has to do with how good your clipping service is. So apparently there are all these young people who are making clips and that's the way people discover things now. They call it teenage clipping army. So it's now a well-developed market. So if you were an independent internet producer, you could amass a very large following. Let's say in my case I've got 1.3 million followers on X but still even with 1.3 million followers a lot of people who follow me don't see my content and I'm not alone you know people have been complaining about this for a while that they amass all these followers and they can tell that the followers are not seeing their content but what they are seeing or what people are seeing is clips. Now, you may have noticed that there are more clips from my content than you've ever seen before. I don't pay for that, in case you're wondering. But you've seen Jay and is it Jason Cohen? You've seen some other people clipping me and that does make a big difference. Sometimes it just depends if the clip goes viral. So in case you're wondering, I do not pay for a clipping service of teenagers.
Well, did you hear the story that apparently earlier this month the CIA launched a military attack on a base or a port in Venezuela and it blew up some and we never heard of it. But the weird part is Venezuela didn't mention it. How in the world did we attack a land-based major facility in Venezuela weeks ago and Venezuela never mentioned it? But apparently Trump wasn't happy about that. So he mentioned it on a radio show and he said that they destroyed quote a big plant or facility where ships come in. And then he was asked who did it and he was shy about it which everybody assumes means the CIA. And then apparently Trump wanted Venezuela to know about it or the world to know about it. So he heard it. Some in the CIA are not happy that he owned it. But obviously we didn't intend it to be a secret because we would have assumed Venezuela would have mentioned it. But they didn't. So he did anyway.
I'm loving this story about the well, let me give you some context. Have you ever watched a movie or a TV show where the villain was the interesting one and then you found yourself rooting for the villain and you didn't feel good about yourself? Like I can't root for the villain. Well, I'm having that experience in the real world because one of the tankers is empty, so there's no oil in it, but the US was going to board and seize a tanker that was leaving Venezuela. And the reason we had the authority to grab it is that it was allegedly misidentifying itself and maybe had a fake flag. But instead of surrendering, which you'd expect a tanker to do if the entire US Navy told you to slow down, we're going to board you. You would not expect them to run for it because they know they can't outrun us, right? But these are the bad guys. Yeah, I'm just using my analogy of bad guys. So the bad guys decide to do a U-turn and instead of surrendering, they're going to run for it. Now, to me, first of all, I thought, how in the world could that work? But now there's a new twist. Apparently, they painted a Russian flag on the side of it to pretend that they were a Russian flagged ship. Now, apparently this slowed down our navy because we didn't want to seize a Russian flagged ship. We wanted to seize it if it was misidentified, but we can't prove it's misidentified because we don't know for sure if Russia said, "Okay, yeah, you're Russian." You know, there's a process by which you would reflag, but there's nothing to stop Russia from saying, "All right, yeah, sure. If you want to just say you're Russian," and then they paint a Russian flag on the side of the ship, and then they can't be taken down. Again, I'll put it in the context of I don't want to root for the bad guys, but if they get away with this, that's pretty good. It doesn't I don't think it makes much difference to the United States whether they get away with it or not. But if somebody actually figured out how to thwart the US Navy by painting a poorly produced flag on the side of the ship, I would have a little bit of respect for that in the bad guy way.
Well, there's a story that says, according to Marjorie Taylor Greene, who's now out of politics, she says that when she tried to get Trump to agree to release the Epstein files, that part of that conversation involved Trump saying, and remember this is Marjorie Taylor Greene. She's the one who heard it, that if they release them, quote, his friends will get hurt. Now, that needs a lot more context, doesn't it? Because if the only reason that Trump doesn't want the files released is because his friends would get hurt, that might not be a good reason. But if he also knows that his friends are innocent, then you would care. I think you would care if your friends got hurt. And I don't disagree with that impulse to protect your friends if you know that they're not guilty of anything. I suspect though that's not the one and only reason he doesn't want them released. I suspect that the intelligence agencies are behind some of the suppression. I think so. So it seems likely to me that the CIA would suppress anything that was bad for them forever, but they would allow anything that was bad for Trump's friends to be released. So if Trump says it would be bad for my friends, he might be leaving out the part that says you're not going to learn anything useful because the CIA is definitely not going to show you that and they do have the power to block anything. So I would wonder if there's more context to his comments. So I do agree that if he knew, he probably does that nothing good can come out of it except for it would hurt his friends but in return nothing good could come out of it. What are you going to do? What would you do if you knew nothing good could come out of it except it would hurt your friends? I don't know. I might block it. I don't think that's the worst impulse in the world.
Anyway, I guess January is the month where we have to worry about the government shutting down over health care being continuously funded or not. But pollster Frank Luntz thinks that it would be bad for Trump if it doesn't get funded. I guess that means bad for Republicans in general because Trump won't be running again. But do you believe that? Do you think that if the Republicans say no, it's a waste of money, we're not going to fund it for another three years? Do you think that that would hurt the Republicans more? The polling seems to suggest yes, but I wonder if that's real because I think people just always just defer to their side. So if the Republicans shut down things, I don't know. I can see how that would be bad for Republicans, but not guaranteed.
All right, one more sip of water. One more short story. And it looks like I got through it today.
So there's a former Russian president Dmitry Medvedev who's now on Russia's security council who said about Zelensky. He was talking about the attack on Putin's residence. He said that Zelensky was quote trying to derail the settlement of the conflict. And then Medvedev said that Zelensky he wants war. But here's the provocative part. Well now at least he'll have to stay in hiding for the rest of his worthless life. How would you like to be Zelensky and allegedly, but we don't know. Allegedly tried to assassinate Putin in his residence and knowing that Putin is the most assassinating guy in the world, maybe not counting Israel. So Israel does assassinate anybody they can get to, but even Israel didn't assassinate the Supreme Leader. So if you were going to try to assassinate somebody and it didn't work, the most dangerous person you could miss would be Putin. He would definitely chase you to the end of the earth to assassinate you back. Am I right? Especially if Zelensky is out of power. The minute that Zelensky is no longer the leader of Ukraine, which has to happen someday, I think Putin is going to give the green light to all of his assassins to throw him off a balcony somewhere. So when Medvedev says, "Well, now at least he'll have to stay in hiding for the rest of his worthless life," that's probably true. I don't think there's enough security in the world that could protect Zelensky from Putin. And maybe even the Ukrainians would kill him first for making a deal. I don't know. But if you were Zelensky, the only way you have to survive is to stay in power. So that's a problem.
That's my advice. Never assassinate or attempt to assassinate the most revenge-assassinating guy in the world.
Now, my other question is this. Apparently we know that Putin has not lived in any of his residences for three years specifically because they're harder to defend and that he's been using an apartment in the Kremlin because it's easier to defend. Now, do you think that Ukraine was not aware of that? So what would be the point of blowing up a residence that has zero chance of having Putin inside it? Is it because he has some family that were going after? That doesn't seem like a good plan. So I'm a little bit skeptical about why that happened. You know, I did say that it would make sense to do a false flag. If you were Russia and you wanted to prolong the war or you wanted to do a decapitation strike on Zelensky, it would be a good false flag to say he started it. But was it a real assassination attempt? Do you think they had the ability to get an asset all the way in there, but they didn't have the ability to know he wasn't there? Why would you even do the attack if apparently people knew he was never there? So something about this doesn't add up, but I don't know what it is.
All right, ladies and gentlemen, looks like I made it. That is my show for today. Yesterday I missed because I had a coughing attack that lasted a while, but so far no coughing today. And we're wishing well for Victor Davis Hanson. Apparently he's got some major medical problems and so give him a thought today. Russia has attempted to assassinate Zelensky several times. Yeah. So they don't need a reason. It's all mysterious.
All right, everybody. Have a great day. Hope you enjoyed. I'm going to talk to the locals, my beloved locals people privately in 30 seconds. Locals.
Well, we'll see how this goes.
My cough is under control, but I do get a little bit dizzy if I talk too much.
So, we'll do the best we can.
I apologize for my voice.
It will not get better.
Good morning, everybody.
Let's do the simultaneous sip now and we'll see how far we get.
I know why you're here.
Last one in here.
All you need is a copper among your glasses.
Tanker shelves can candy flask a vessel of any kind.
Fill it with your favorite liquid.
I like coffee.
And join me now for the unpolable pleasure the dopamine the other day thing that makes everything better.
It's called the simultaneous step.
It happens now.
Terrific.
Well, let's jump right into it, shall we?
Um, apparently I'm very good at guessing how many calendars I'll sell in a year because we got right up to the right up to the limit.
But still a few more.
So I wouldn't wait if you don't have your DB calendar.
Amazon.com the only place you can get it.
How about some endofear predictions?
I always hate those, but they seem traditional.
Uh, I'm going to say the obvious.
2026 will be the year of the self-driving car.
Um, I don't believe there will be robot butlers.
So, I'm going to say no robot butlers yet.
I think the economy will surprise us, but I don't know which direction.
It'll either be better than we think or worse than we think.
No one can no one can predict the economy.
Further, I predict that the topic of election rigging will become a much bigger story.
Um, and if you haven't caught up with the Patrick Burn, he was the CEO of Overstock.com.
If you don't know his story, you really should catch up to it because I don't know what's true.
I have no idea if his version of events captures what really happened, but he's got he's very convincing.
He's been saying it for a while, but now I think he can say it and people can run it.
So he's got this story about Venezuela being involved with the voting machines, Chinese components, and a Serbian data center.
They got taken down just before they could influence the election in 2024.
Is any of that true?
I don't know.
But I gotta say, he's he's very he's very credible sounding and there's nothing about him that suggests he's making it up and he does seem to know.
So I I feel like this this will be the year he breaks through to uh make that a bigger story.
And then um you know I think the fact that we know everything else in the world is rigged as we're watching all these stories about corruption um I think that makes it easier for people to believe that the elections were rigged because I've been saying something now for a while few years that nobody else picks up on.
Have you noticed this?
This is what I say.
I say, "What are the odds that every other institution is corrupt, but our elections are not?" What are the odds of that?
If you didn't know anything about election security, you'd never seen any story about it.
How would you believe that it's not corrupt when everything else is?
Now, I might have been a little ahead of the game.
Because the other thing I say which sets you up for for that thing I just said is that whenever you have the following situation, you have corruption.
There's a lot of money involved.
There's lots of people involved.
The stakes are high.
money or power and you just wait because and there's and assume there's no audit control because even where there are audits the audits don't catch stuff as we've seen.
So if you take that as your starting point uh that everything is corrupt and that there's a reason built into why it's corrupt.
It's not it's not chance.
It's not it's not a weird coincidence.
It's that everything that has that element to it always becomes corrupt every time.
Now add to that what I've also been saying.
What is the reason for electronic voting machines?
What would be the legitimate reason?
And there is none.
The only reason for voting machines is to cheat because they're they're not cheaper.
They're not more reliable.
They're not faster.
They're not anything.
So, put those three discisms together, right?
Everything that has this nature is rigged or fraudulent.
Voting machines don't have any other purpose that we can see.
and then elections sort of just fall into that category.
You know, the thing that can't be explained unless there's massive fraud going on.
Now, that doesn't mean that the only fraud is the machines.
Sorry.
It would suggest that in every way that an election can be rigged.
Probably is.
Probably is.
Now, I do not claim that the only bad people in the country are Democrats, but um maybe it doesn't seem likely that the only bad people are Democrats, but in my bubble, that's true.
Well, David Moss, a user on X, just completed a self-driving Tesla to drive across the entire United States without ever engaging with the car.
So, so this was the day that somebody drove the entire coast to coast and didn't touch the steering wheel.
That includes parking.
includes um supercharging.
So, it's pretty easy to predict that this will be the year of the of the self-driving car.
All right, here's a question I asked myself.
How many fake news stories will I fall for in the coming year?
So apparently the other day, maybe yesterday, not the other day, I posted I reposted, but to my credit with skepticism, a story about some election claim that involves a big shredding truck and somebody told me today that's fake news.
It's been debunked.
So I removed it.
But it makes me wonder how many times am I going to get fooled by fake news?
Probably a lot.
And I thought I should almost keep track of it because you know that's one that's you know I should start start with 2026 and find out how many times do I get fooled?
Is it more you know am I am I more likely to be fooled because people are better at fooling people?
Am I getting dumber and older?
I don't know.
But watch out for me, will you?
All right.
Here is something that I feared was true, and I'm pretty sure it is.
Um, I don't know about you, but if you're if you're watching this podcast, it's probably true that your news and social media bubble is non-stop stories about um money laundering and Somalians and uh basically bad behavior as well as rigged elections.
Do you have that experience that all day long I pick up my phone, I go to ask, "Oh, there's another state.
There's another fraud.
There's another fraud.
There's another fraud." And of course, the the algorithm is doing that.
But here's what I was afraid of.
I was afraid that no normies ever see these stories.
And that's what I'm starting to hear.
People are saying, "I went to things like I went to lunch with my neighbors and not one of them had heard about the Somalian fraud and stuff." Ju just hold that in your head that your neighbors haven't even heard, they're not even aware that there's a massive uh money laundering fraud problem.
They've never heard it.
Now, that doesn't mean it's never been on the news, but the news doesn't cover it like social media does.
So, I'm I'm completely immersed in this world where every freaking story is about somebody stealing my money.
But if you were not paying attention to that bubble that I'm in and you were in a different bubble, haven't even heard of it.
That does not seem like a healthy situation, does it?
Oh my god.
Well, speaking of the bubble, so here's some more stuff in my bubble.
Eric Dordy's reporting on this.
Well, part of the reason that my bubble is different is I listen to a lot of uh independent journalists.
Um, apparently in Minnesota as far back as 2018, PE whistleblowers were reporting these frauds, these Somali basically money laundering frauds.
Um, and that they had the whistleblowers all had the same experience that uh that they were told that they couldn't talk about it or they'd be blamed, they'd be accused of being racist or islamophobic.
Now my how things change because once Trump got elected now we can talk about things that we should be talking about.
All right let's do a sip sip.
So, if Trump had not been elected and he had not uh basically gotten rid of DEI and our our blocks on free speech, if if Elon Musk had not purchased Twitter, we still wouldn't know about this.
Ju just think about how close we were.
You know, um, you probably saw the other day that Elon Musk estimated that at the low bound, the theft might be 1.5 trillion a year at the low end.
1.5 trillion.
That would be the entire essentially the deficit.
And you might remember, I keep bragging about this, but I'm actually kind of proud of it that I told you that people like me who have a background in budgeting, you know, that was my day job in corporate world was a lot of budgeting.
You develop a kind of intuition about where something is wrong.
And several years ago, I started saying, um, I don't see how we could possibly be in this much of a deficit hole unless the amount of fraud was so high that is unimaginable.
Now, at the time, I did not get a lot of agreement, but today I think every one of you agrees today that at least some big portion of it was just fraud.
So, I'm going to give give myself credit for that one.
Anyway, um I saw that HUD thinks they may have found 5.8 8 billion in improper rental aid payments according to Newsmax.
That's housing and urban development.
Now, they haven't confirmed that, but there are some red flags.
And what I like about this is that I'm noticing in the government that they've turned spotting fraud into a competitive sport.
So you should expect to see more and more department heads say, "Hey, we found some fraud.
I found some fraud.
I found more fraud than you did." So we're going from an environment in which if you mention the fraud, you were racist to an environment in which people are competing to see who can find the most.
And people are competing to come up with the best idea for finding the most.
That is a good sign.
So 2026 might be just wild.
Speaking of that, um, Health and Human Services just froze child care payments to Minnesota because it was all going to fraud.
Not all of it, but um, massive amounts were apparently going to fraud.
At the same time, uh, what do you think, uh, what do you think Tim Walsh said when it was announced that the government was going to stop payments because the payments were almost all fraud?
What would what would Tim Wall say about that?
Well, here's what he said.
It's almost unbelievable.
He said, uh, that this is Trump's long game.
quote, "He's politicizing the issue to defund programs to help motans." Really?
Really?
Does he really think that Trump sits down in the morning and says, "What can I do?
How can I hurt those children in Minnesota in a way that will help me?" That is just bastard crazy.
It's so obvious.
He has no no real response to that.
How in the world does that make sense to his followers?
Oh, Trump has a long-term plan to damage Minnesota.
What?
What?
Why would anyone have that plan?
For political reasons?
I mean, you really have to you got to press all yourself up to make that make sense.
No.
No.
Obviously, everything is political.
You know, that part's true, but what are the odds that Trump is doing it because it's part of his long game to hurt Minnesota?
That's insane.
Um, Bill P, I saw him on a show yesterday.
uh he's he's the head of Fanny May and Freddy Mack and he said that they're using AI and and Palanteer to flag potential uh you know potential fraud.
So I think that's the model you're going to see.
I think people will be doing the bill py model where you uh partner with maybe private companies and the private companies spot potential flags or I should just say flags for for stuff and then you look into it.
So so basically every part of the government that gives away money is probably going to move to that model.
Let's call it the Bill PE model.
And it should be no surprise, Fox News is reporting that uh now we know from uh new surveillance photos, the surveillance video that uh the parents in Minnesota might have been in on the fraud.
So, they've got video all the way back from 2018, of course, in which parents are seen to be checking their kids into daycare, but then just turning around checking them out.
So, I guess it was the checking in part that made it look legitimate.
Are you surprised that parents might be part of the scheme?
No.
Nope.
All right.
Uh, New York Post is reporting, I saw Liz Collins reports reporting on this, that there's a former home homeland security agent who claims that when uh reports were given to the uh Minnesota, let's see, he said that uh he claims that prosecutors ignored Minnesota daycare fraud cases and that they quote just evaporated.
So there was no shortage of people noticing and there was no shortage of people reporting it and when it was reported they just slow walked it and then made it go away.
So corruption.
Yeah.
Do you know how much ignoring you would have to do?
You would have to have a lot of people ignoring a lot of things for a long time.
like a lot of people.
And apparently that's what happened.
And the only way that could happen, says me, is if people are afraid of being called racist.
So when you calculate the damage of DEI, if I were doing the analysis of what is the damage of DEI, you could come up with a long list, but you'd have to add trillions because of this trillions the cost of DEI.
Now, here's more good news that may not turn into good news.
But if you're on if you're on social media and you're you're watching the bubble that I'm watching, you see people like Elon Musk talking about the fraud and Doge and talking about it.
You'll see people like David Saxs and Chimath and, you know, lots of other smart people.
Um so the good news is that the smartest people in the country um Bill Aman would be another the smartest people in the country are very engaged and trying figuring out how to fix this because all of their wealth at least anything that depends on the United States is completely a risk.
Now, I don't think that's the only reason that they're so engaged, but they've not been engaged before.
And they are the exact same people you would want to fix any big problem.
Right?
If you said, "We have this big problem that nobody's been able to fix.
We need the smartest people in the room to really get engaged." Well, we got that.
Amazing.
we we finally have the smartest people in the room all on the same side for the most part um and focused.
But here's the problem.
We might have too much um diverse energy.
So they're not all saying exactly the same thing and it's unclear what plan would be the best as Cernovich add him to the list of the smartest people.
Um, so my question is this.
How do we get to the point where we've focused all that smart energy?
Because we're not really at a place where we can focus it.
Um, so if you said, but Scott, that's easy.
All you need is a fraud zar.
I don't think so.
I mean that might be part of the solution but the fraud ZAR would get destroyed the same way they went after Musk.
Now Musk is you know there's only one Musk.
So he's managed to recover and even grow his business and get his get his compensation from Tesla and everything else.
But that's rare.
I don't know how many people could have survived the attacks on that went after Musk.
So it would really be hard to get a fraudzar who had that much risk risk tolerance but also had the skill and I don't know if it's enough.
So uh and we also know that justice moves too slowly.
I've heard a number of people say, "Scott, all they have to do is prosecute some high level people and this will stop." You know, if Larry Ellison, um, the AG in Minnesota, let's say he quickly got indicted.
Well, I don't know.
Would that stop anything?
Um, how long would it take?
So justice moves too slowly to be the biggest part of the answer but obviously has to be part of the answer.
Um but I like the fact as I mentioned before that finding the fraud and uh doing something about it is a competitive sport.
So I think the best case scenario is that private companies find a way to free market this situation.
So you've got Palunteer and other AI companies that could be helpful.
So they might have, you know, a massive uh potentially they might have a massive financial payoff.
Uh no, Rico would be slower because you have to RICO you have to pull together like years of everything.
I mean that would be slower.
Um we need to do it probably but it would be slower.
So what was I saying?
Uh so if you added the AI companies that might have some incentive to spot the fraud and then you add to that the quam rule that I didn't know about but apparently it's been a thing for years that allows you an individual private person to to ask the government to sue somebody who has been ripping off the government and then if you as the whistle blower, let's say.
Um, if they succeed and they claw back some money, you get a portion of it and it could be big.
It could be very big money.
So, here's the good news.
When I talk about the smartest people being fully engaged, they're also the smartest people at creating new businesses that didn't exist.
Right?
Every one of them that I mentioned has done entrepreneurial things.
They've got a track record, right?
Every one of them.
Um, and that is exactly the people you want designing a new system.
So it might not be that there's one one path to fixing it.
It might be that the free market has now surfaced what looks like a set of variables that could sort of automatically drifted in the direction of getting rid of the fraud because essentially it would monetize getting rid of fraud, which hasn't really been the case.
Well, it has been the case, but not everybody knew it.
And now lots of people know it.
So that's that's the good news.
All right, let's talk about Pam Bondi, who is not working fast enough, people say, and has prosecuted no high-profile cases.
So I'm going to wait into this at the at my risk.
Um, you may have heard me say this on social media.
And it goes like this.
If I put the what I call the Dilbert filter on this situation, how do we know, we who are not lawyers, how do we know how long something should take?
How do we know how many cases she's working on?
How do we know how hard it is to staff when you can't get when when lawyers are like 90% Democrat, but you don't want to staff up with Democrats if the whole job is to go after Democrats?
How long does it take to to staff up?
>> >> um what kind of cases is she working on that are exactly where she should be working on but they just take a long time because they're complicated.
So the higher profile the case and the more complicated the case the more you should expect it would take longer than a year even even to get to indictments.
So case in point, I guess uh Cash Patella has recommended the Department of Justice to look into the whole uh situation with um the Russia collusion hoax.
Now the Russia collusion hoax is massively complicated.
It involves everybody from extracurren CIA um and it involves two parts.
one is making it easier for Democrats to get elected and the other is making it harder for Republicans to stay out of jail.
So, it involves everything from uh the original meetings that Obama had, um the special councils, the the raid on Mara Lago.
There are so many moving parts.
If Pam Bodi only had one thing to work on for the rest of her life, how long would that take?
Then you multiply that by a thousand because remember, you've got the J6 stuff.
How complicated would it be to get the other side of the JX stuff that that was all a plot and then to wrap it all into a RICO?
because a RICO case has to show a pattern of behavior that has stretched over time and involves you know multiple people.
So I am let me say this as clearly as possible.
I am as frustrated as you are that nobody important goes to jail.
Can can we all get in the same side of that?
you know, none of us think is fast enough, but we also don't know what would be fast enough.
What What would it look like if she were doing a great job and what would it look like if she were not?
Could we tell?
So, one lawyer online said to me, "Scott, what you I'm paraphrasing here.
What you're missing is that big law firms are already staffed up to surge like whole groups of people into uh different jobs for the government or for a private company.
So the the thinking is that it's just business as normal to be way overworked, but to instantly or or quickly correct the fact that you have too much work by going to big law firms and say, "Hey, we need we need two dozen lawyers today.
You know, can you just give us a whole staff?" And then those law firms, I didn't know this, by the way, um are routinely routinely set up to do that.
However, how does it work when the people you're going after are Democrats?
Do you think there's a big law firm that can give you two dozen lawyers that are both good at what they do, not doing anything more important?
You know, somebody said it's not the best lawyers that they said for that, but I don't know about that.
uh you know they didn't already have something important to do so they could sort of instantly go over and and that they would do a nonbiased job instead of dragging their feet because all you would have to do is get an anti-Trumper in the mix you know one lawyer who drags your feet and they can just drag this thing forever so I am skeptical that the existing model of surging lawyers into a highprofile, you know, high workload situation could work in this situation.
It might work in normal situations.
And how long will it take before John Brennan is indicted?
Anyway, so don't get mad at me.
I am the Dilbert filter messenger to tell you that if there's a lot of people involved and it's complicated, it's going to take way longer than you wanted to.
Does everybody agree with that?
Just just that we're all equally frustrated, but whenever you have this complexity and this setup, it's always going to take longer than you want.
you and that would be sort of normal just normal life.
Anyway, so apparently according to Wall Street apes on X, Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison, uh this is Wall Street apes framing of it, admits the Simoleons were imported to vote Democrat.
Um essentially he did.
He said, quote, "Well, the Somali community is critical in my own election.
I wouldn't be in office without the help of the Somali community." Okay.
Now, that alone is not illegal.
Um, but we do know that the Somali community has made a difference not just in Minnesota, but also in Ohio and Virginia, maybe some other places.
So, at what point does it become illegal?
It's not illegal to have people legally enter the country.
If they entered legally and then they were legally allowed to vote, it would just be a good strategy, but it wouldn't be illegal, right?
However, did you know Scott Presler was reporting this yesterday and and just think about the fact that what I'm about to tell you, you probably did not know and and it's been true for a while that if you're that if you work for a building, so if you're an employee of some large apartment building, it doesn't matter what kind of employee, you can vouch for an unlimited number of people who live in the building or allegedly live in the building, you can vouch that they are legally allowed to uh to vote even if they don't have ID.
So in other words, if I understand this correctly, the janitor of a big building could could uh vouch for every person in the building even if every one of them had been illegal.
And that's actually a written law in Minnesota.
It's a law.
Now, when that law got passed, what was anybody thinking?
How in the world?
Yeah, there's some paperwork to vouch.
How in the world did anybody think that was for anything but cheating in the election?
What would be the other reason?
You know, usually the Democrats say, "Well, we don't want to suppress voting, so we want to make it easy to vote." There's no way.
There's no way that that particular law was to stop suppression of voting.
That was purely to make it easier to cheat.
I I would say you can't say that any other way.
Well, are any other states or cities having problems with fraud?
Oh, surprise.
Real clear investigation says that uh there was a some guy, a city official in Austin who had uh let's see, given a bunch of fake contracts to friends that were fairly gigantic, had been doing it for a while.
So, let's see how much he get.
Uh he was he was using the city credit card which he was allowed to use for city services but instead of doing city services he used it to pay 30 different vendors but the city auditor could only verify that eight of them were even real companies.
And of the real companies do you think those are relatives too or people who gave them kickbacks?
So most of the money or a lot of it went to places that uh appeared to be fake.
At the same time, the guy who was doing this was earning over half a million dollars a year in salary.
So he was overpaid and he was just massively doing out the city credit card to his presumably fraudster friends.
Now, h how long ago was the first time you heard me say this?
that all local government is criminal.
All local government is criminal.
And the reason is this because there's always somebody who's in charge of who gets the money and there's never enough audits um let's say security to stop it from happening fraudulently.
So again, a lot of money involved, people involved, time goes by, poor auditing procedures.
Was this predictable?
Yes.
If you took a dart and threw it at map of the United States and hit any city, you don't think this is happening anywhere else?
I'll bet some form of this, maybe not as bad, but I'll bet you some form of this is 100% in every city.
100%.
because whoever has the the uh the wallet will be just infinitely approached by people who say, you know, if I got a little bit of what's in that city wallet, I'll bet you a lot of people would donate to your campaign.
There's no way this system could produce.
If you saw it on paper, if somebody said, "We've never had a city before, but we're going to we're going to invent a thing called a city, and here's how it will be run." And you simply just drew on paper who has the control, who's watching it, how money flows, how money is allocated.
Anybody smart would know that that was a settle for fraud.
So the cities are designed in a way that guarantees fraud, guarantees it.
And sure enough, that's what we see.
Well, here's a story about further layoffs in the media world.
According to the RAP, uh, entertainment and media layoffs are up 18%.
And 17,000 jobs were slashed in 2025.
Now what they mostly mean is the traditional media.
So there've been some mergers and cutbacks and stuff.
So the traditional media uh took a hit, but I would argue that that's not the bad news it looks like um because the the independent journalists and the independent media and I I would be part of the independence um vastly increased.
So, it's not really a story about less media employees.
It's more a story about less traditional fake news stuff we don't want to see media and way way way more Nick Shirley's and Scott Adams's and people who, you know, are doing a show independently.
So, I think that is an evolution, not some kind of a problem.
And I love the fact that the the jobs that are being created are being created by the people creating them.
So it's not like a a boss had to create a company that hired people.
It's more like people like me said, "What happens if I turn this camera on and start talking?
Can I monetize that?" Yep.
Turns out I can.
Well, according to Sai Post Karina Petrova, there's a study that says that shocking headlines make people skeptical, but that over time they come to believe the thing that was the shocking headline.
Does that surprise you?
So the idea is when you first see like a headline that says shocking thing happened here or there and then you read it, you go like, well, you know, I don't know, I'm not sure that's true.
Yeah, everybody says everything's shocking.
So, so you automatically put some critical thinking on a headline that just seems a little overdone, but then over time you forget where you saw the headline and you start thinking it must be a fact.
So you you remember the story, but you won't remember your initial skepticism.
So So it makes it makes it believable over time.
I think probably only if you hear it repeated.
All right.
Uh we talked about this before, but this this is just blows my mind.
So, San Francisco, a a city you would associate with being lax on crime, right?
So, San Francisco, most people would agree left and right that they would be soft on crime compared to other places.
But despite being soft on crime, uh, apparently they have this this license plate reading technology called Flock, F L O C K, and it can read license plates and it has they've got about 500 of them in major roadways in San Francisco, around San Francisco, and that it's centralized.
It must be in other cities, too.
So they have a centralized nationwide database uh of more than 1 billion license plate reads each month.
Now they're being sued by someone who doesn't want them to be able to track you if there's no warrant.
So, if there's no, you know, reason to track you, um, at least one individual is suing because he says that should only be they should only track you, uh, if they have a warrant and these are warrantless.
So, apparently you can in most cases you could track a car in San Francisco from wherever it starts to wherever it ends up.
How comfortable are you with that?
because remember it's tracking everyone.
Well, how in the world do you stop people from tracking their spouse?
Don't you think that every engineer who has access to this thing is already tracking their ex?
Find out where their ex goes when they go to work.
Probably this would put an end to cheating.
Uh, but it's weird that the most lenient city would be doing this of all things.
Now, now so far all I know about it is it attracts license plates.
I don't believe it does facial recognition, but it would be easy to add it.
And I don't believe it has a full AI capability, although obviously that would be coming.
So if you take a 500 camera system and you can track license plates, you can track faces which I just assume is coming and you can use AI to make it, you know, identify and flag things.
You have created quite a monster.
That is a monster where you're not going to know where does that end up like how bad will that become you know if they if they do it gradually like well it's just license plates then it doesn't seem as scary but once you realize there's nothing to stop them really from adding facial recognition and uh and AI what in the world could that become I don't know So we always talk about this California wealth tax where they're floating the idea in California that the some billionaires would have to give up 1% of their wealth per year for five years.
So in the end 5% of their wealth would be taken in taxes apparently.
I didn't know this but even Gavin Newsome opposes it but Bill Aman so it might not happen because you know if the governor opposes it he could veto it.
Um, Bill Aman warns that no one would say if California implements a wealth tax.
Now, we've already seen some billionaires in California state they're going to move.
And it could be a bluff.
um maybe they prefer to stay, but uh they're making sure that people know that if they do go um you know, everybody would go and they would turn California into something it hasn't been.
But um there have been some other some other options for raising money that have been raised.
Uh first of all, let me say the obvious.
No one wants higher taxes when your estate is wasting the money.
No one wants higher taxes in general, but in the current context of massive fraud, it's going to be really hard to increase taxes on anybody if you know that it's just been wasted.
So, we'll see how that goes.
But some people have proposed that if you just raise the sales tax, it would be a a more reasonable approach.
The idea is that it's automatically progressive.
So if a billionaire buys a boat, a yacht, that's a lot of sales tax sacks.
But if you if you get a stick of gum, it's a little bit of sales tax, but not much.
However, the sales tax in California is already is insanely high.
I forget what it is.
So, I'm not in favor of a sales tax.
It's just an alternative.
Um, however, even billionaires agree with the following that billionaires have a way to avoid taxes that ordinary people don't and that maybe that needs to be closed.
Did you know how that works?
Um, I used Grock to to give me a little tutorial on how the billionaires avoid taxes.
And let me see if I can explain that in a way you would understand.
So a normal person gets normal income and they pay income tax.
A billionaire u might not have income at all.
They might just have a lot of assets.
So, one of the ways that they can avoid paying uh income taxes is to make sure that their businesses do not give them a salary.
So, there's no income.
But where do they get the money to spend if they don't have an income?
And the answer is they can make they can take a loan.
So, they could go to a bank and they can say give me a large personal loan.
Now, it wouldn't be large compared to their assets.
It would still be tiny tiny, but it would be large to us and it would be so much money that they could spend it like income, buy mansions and yachts and stuff uh without any income.
The bank would say, "Can you pay back this loan?" And the billionaire would say, "Are you kidding?
I have I'm worth, you know, $20 billion.
I'm only asking you for half a billion.
So the bank says that's a pretty good deal and we're definitely gonna get paid back.
Not definitely, but probably.
So they give them a loan and is it's collateralized by the assets of the billionaire.
So the bank is happy.
They always know they can, you know, seize the seize the mansion or seize the stock if something goes wrong.
Then the billionaire spends spends the personal loan just because it's their cash.
They can do whatever they want.
It's not a business loan.
It's a personal loan.
Sort of sort of like a line of credit on your house or just the big version.
Then when they die, the billionaire, they can transfer those assets to their heirs at a stepped up fair market value.
And even the heirs avoid taxes.
Now, I believe there's still a uh uh what do you call it?
A estate tax.
So, if you didn't know, the estate tax over a certain level is 40%.
So, when I die, if I do, my estate tax um above a certain certain dollar amount will be taxed at 40%.
which is pretty egregious, but uh but it's happening.
Anyway, did that make sense?
I'd never really I never really spent two minutes looking into why billionaires don't pay taxes.
So, I would agree, but that seems like a loophole that needs to be closed.
Seems like it.
Well, according to the Epoch Times, the CEO of the IRS, I didn't know they had a CEO, um, says that 94% of middle class taxpayers will see tax relief next year.
So, that would be under the big beautiful bill, I guess.
Do you believe that?
I I'm I'm uh primed to never believe anything about taxes going down.
I always think taxes are going up even if all the reporting is it's going down for some people.
So I'm going to say maybe maybe but probably not.
So it doesn't matter who's president.
Doesn't matter what the law is.
I never believe taxes will go down.
Whoa.
Did you know there's a study site post is writing about this of Vladimir Hedri that mass shootings increase the local turnout for voting but do not shift presidential choices.
How many of you would have known that without looking at a study that if there's a mass shooting in the news uh locally you might get a higher turnout for a vote but they don't they don't change who they vote for.
The people who wanted Democrats to get rid of guns still want it.
And the Republicans say, "Well, it's the cost of being in a free country.
Don't take my guns." Um, so they both So they both get more votes, but it doesn't change the mix.
They could have just asked me.
I knew that.
But Daniel Greenfield of Front Page magazine is reporting that the MSNBC, which is now rebranded as MS Now, the ratings have collapsed, as you probably know.
Uh, how bad is it?
We'll see.
According to Neielson Media Research, this is fairly new.
Fox News averaged 2.72 million prime time viewers and 287,000 viewers in the key demographic 25 to 54.
So that was up it was up 14%.
Uh and the the key demo group was up 18%.
That's pretty damn good.
How did MSNBC do?
Oh.
Oh.
Oh, sorry.
They averaged 920,000 923,000 down 25% since 2024 and only 81,000 in the key demo that was down 39%.
Wow.
And CNN did even worse.
Now the reporting doesn't give reasons.
Would you like to know some reasons why MS Now is down and Fox News is up?
Well, I say I say this a lot, but um MS Now has bad producers and their honor talent was mentally insane, right?
If you look at any show on MS Now, it's poorly produced.
You'll be a table of people who look crazy just yelling at each other.
You Rachel Matto looks like she just has mental illness and they just seem a little weak and weird and just somebody you don't want to watch.
But also, none of the shows are engineered to be as interesting as Fox.
So, if you've never watched um the show called The Five on uh Fox, you haven't seen what good producing looks like.
So, everything from the selection of the cast to how how many there are to um you know, how they how they always have the the one person who's sort of the the foil, you know, the Democrat foil.
um everything about that is welldesigned and the people don't look mentally insane.
So over time you can completely see how Fox News could um and they do they attract people from the other side.
But if you're if you're a Republican and you turn on MS Now you just go what the what the hell?
It's just all poorly produced.
So, and poorly produced and they don't have as good a host.
They don't they don't have a Greg Guffeld, for example.
Right.
Who who is a Greg Guffeld?
They just don't have one.
Makes a big difference.
Well, here's a weird story I don't understand.
So are you aware that in Iran uh I guess this week there were massive street protests and you know the streets are full of people who are bad at the regime.
Now I think that's happened before but it didn't turn into anything.
Yeah.
Dana Pino, Jesse Waters, every one of them are more talented than anything you see on MS Now.
So at the same time the Iranian public is doing some massive protests uh in Israel according to the Jerusalem Post MSAD.
So that would be Israel's, you know, intelligence agency.
They posted a message on X in in Farsy, the language of Iran, urging demonstrators to to act, saying that it was with them in the streets.
It's with them in the streets.
And said, go out together into the streets.
The time has come.
He said it will join them.
It says we are with you.
not only from a distance and verbally, we are with you in the field.
So MSAD is admitting that they're literally on the ground participating with the protesters.
Now, does that seem like a good idea to you?
I'd love to know why they thought that was a good idea.
Because everything I know about people is that the Iranians would be maybe plenty happy to find their own way away from the regime.
But as soon as they're uh as soon as the country that's bombed them says, you know, I'm with you, doesn't that immediately doesn't that immediately make them bond together and say, wait a minute, wait a minute, this is up to us.
Get out of here.
How in the world is that good for Israel?
I don't understand.
Maybe I'm just speculating.
Maybe MSAD thinks that if the Iranians think they have support from even Israel that would embolden them.
That's not the way things usually work.
Usually the, you know, usually works the other way.
So, you know, they're not stupid, obviously.
fake news.
No, it was actually on the MSAD X account.
So, the X account is uh I think that's real.
H anyway, it's either very clever uh or it's not.
I know.
I'm just going to watch that one.
Um, according to Tech Crunch, the number of followers you have on social media has never mattered less.
Now, here they're talking about people monetizing, but apparently um the thing that moves your traffic is not how not how many followers you amassed.
It has to do with how good your clipping services.
So apparently there are all these young people who are making clips um and that's the way people discover things now.
They call it teenage clipping army.
So it's a now a well-developed market.
So if you were an independent um internet producer, you could amass a very large following.
Let's say in my case I've got 1.3 million followers on X but still even with 1.3 million followers um a lot of people who follow me don't see my content and I'm not alone you know people have been complaining about this for a while uh that they amass all these followers and they can tell that the followers are not seeing their content but what they are seeing or what people are seeing is clips Now, you may have noticed that there are more of more clips from my content than you've ever seen before.
I don't pay for that, in case you're wondering, right?
Uh but you've seen Yeah.
You you you've seen Jay and uh is it Jason Cohen?
You've seen some other people clipping me and that does make a big difference.
Sometimes it just depends if the clip goes viral.
So, in case you're wondering, I do not pay for a clipping service of teenagers.
Well, did you hear the story that apparently earlier this month the CIA launched a military attack on a uh base like a base or a port in Venezuela and it blew up some and uh we never heard of it.
But the weird part is Venezuela didn't mention it.
How in the world do did we attack a landbased major facility in Venezuela weeks ago and Venezuela never mentioned it?
Yeah.
How in the world?
But apparently Trump wasn't happy about that.
So he mentioned it on a radio show and he said that they destroyed quote a big plant or facility where ships come in.
And then he was asked who did it and he was shy about it which everybody assumes means the CIA.
And then apparently Trump wanted Venezuela to know about it or the world to know about it.
So he heard it.
Some in the CIA are not happy that he owned it.
But obviously obviously we didn't intend it to be a secret because we would have assumed Venezuela would have mentioned it.
But they didn't.
So he did anyway.
on the on the Venezuela side.
Um I'm loving this story about the well, let me give you some context.
Have you ever watched a movie or a TV show where the villain was the interesting one and then you found you found yourself rooting for the villain and you didn't feel good about yourself?
Like I can't I can't root for the villain.
Well, I'm having that experience in the real world because one of the tankers uh is empty, so there's no oil in it, but the US was going to board and seize a tanker uh that was leaving Venezuela.
And the reason we had the authority to grab it is that it was allegedly uh misidentifying itself and maybe maybe had a fake flag.
Um, but instead of instead of surrendering, which you'd expect a tanker to do if the entire if the US Navy told you to slow down, we're going to board you.
You would not expect them to run for it because they know they can't outrun us, right?
But but these are the bad guys.
Yeah, I'm just using my analogy of bad guys.
So, the bad guys decide to do a U-turn and instead of surrendering, they're going to run for it.
Now, to me, first of all, I thought, how in the world could that work?
But now there's a new twist.
Apparently, they painted a Russian flag on the side of it to pretend that they were Russian flagged ship.
Now, apparently this slowed down our navy because we didn't want to seize a Russian flagged ship.
We wanted to seize it if it was misidentified, but we can't prove it's misidentified because we don't know for sure if Russia said, "Okay, yeah, you're Russian." You know, there's there's a process by which you would reflag, but there's nothing to stop Russia from saying, "All right, yeah, sure.
Yeah, if you want to just say you're Russian," and then they paint a Russian flag on the side of the ship, and then they can't be taken down.
Again, I'll put it in the context of I don't want to rule for the bad guys, but if they get away with this, that's pretty good.
That's pretty good.
It doesn't I don't think it makes much difference to the United States whether they get away with it or not.
But if somebody actually figured out how to thwart the US Navy by painting a poorly produced flag on the side of the ship, I would have a little bit of respect for that in the in the bad guy way.
Well, there's a story that says, according to Marjorie Taylor Green, who's now out of politics, she says that when she tried to get Trump to agree to release the Epstein files, that part of that conversation involved Trump saying, and remember this is Marjgerie Taylor Green.
She's the she's the one who heard it, that if they release him, quote, his friends will get hurt.
Now, that needs a lot more context, doesn't it?
Because if the only reason that Trump doesn't want the FC rever released is because his friends would get hurt, that might not be a good reason.
But if he also knows that his friends are innocent, then you would care.
I think you would care if your friends got hurt.
And I don't I don't disagree with that impulse to protect your friends if you know that they're not guilty of anything.
Um I suspect though that's not the one and only reason he doesn't want released.
I suspect that the you know the intelligence agencies are behind some of the suppression.
I think so.
So, it seems likely to me that the CIA would suppress anything that was bad for them forever, but they would allow anything that was bad for Trump's friends to be released.
So, if Trump says it would be bad for my friends, he might be leaving out the part that says you're not going to learn anything useful because the CIA is definitely not going to show you that and they do have the power to block anything.
Um, so I would wonder if there's more context to his comments.
So I do agree that if he knew, he probably does that nothing good can come out of it uh except for it would hurt his friends but in return nothing good could come out of it.
What are you going to do?
What would you do if you knew nothing good could come out of it except it would hurt your friends?
I don't know.
I might block it.
I don't think that's the worst impulse in the world.
Anyway, I guess uh January is the month where we have to worry about the government shutting down over uh healthc care being continuously funded or not.
But pollster Frank Lent thinks that it would be bad for Trump if it doesn't get funded.
I guess that means bad for Republicans in general because Trump won't be running again.
But do you believe that?
Do you think that if the if the Republicans say no, it's a waste of money, we're not going to fund it for another three years?
Do you think that that would hurt the Republicans more?
The polling seems to suggest yes, but I wonder if that's real because I think people just always just defer to their side.
So if the Republicans shut down things, I don't know.
I I can see how that would be bad for Republicans, but not guaranteed.
All right, one more sip of water.
One more short story.
And it looks like I got through it today.
So there's a former Russian president Dimmitri Medvidev who's now on Russia's security council who said about Zalinski.
He was talking about the attack on Putin's residence.
He said uh that uh Zalinski was quote trying to derail the settlement of the conflict.
And then Medvid said that Zilinski he wants war.
But here's the provocative part.
Uh well now at least he'll have to stay in hiding for the rest of his worthless life.
How would you like to be Zilinski and allegedly, but we don't know.
allegedly uh tried to assassinate Putin in his residence and knowing that Putin is the most assassinating guy in the world, maybe not counting Israel.
So, Israel does assassinate anybody they can get to, but even Israel didn't assassinate the Supreme Leader.
So if you were going to try to assassinate somebody and it didn't work, the most dangerous person you could miss would be Putin.
He he he would definitely chase you to the end of the earth to assassinate you back.
Am I right?
Especially if Zilinski is out of power.
The minute that Zalinski is no longer a the leader of Ukraine, which has to happen someday, I think Putin is going to give the green light to all of his assassinators to throw him off a balcony somewhere.
So when when Medv when Medvadev says, "Well, now at least he'll have to stay in hiding for the rest of his worthless life," that's probably true.
I don't think there's enough security in the world that could protect Zilinski from Putin.
And and maybe even the Ukrainians would kill him first for making a deal.
I don't know.
But if you were Zilinski, the only the only way you have to survive is to uh stay in power.
So that's a problem.
Do that's my advice.
never assassinate or attempt to assassinate the most revenge assassinating guy in the world.
Now, my other question is this.
Apparently, apparently we know that Putin has not lived in any of his residences for three years specifically because they're harder to defend and that he's been using an apartment in u in the Kremlin because it's easier to defend.
Now, do you think that Ukraine was not aware of that?
So, what would be the point of blowing up a residence that has zero chance of having Putin inside it?
Is it because he has some family that were going after?
That doesn't seem like a good plan.
So, I'm a little bit skeptical about why that happened.
You know, I did say that it would make sense to do a false flag.
If you were Russia and you wanted to prolong the war or you wanted to do a decapitation strike on Zilinski, it would be a good false flag to say he started it.
But did he did was it was it a real assassination attempt?
Do you think they had the ability to, you know, get a asset all the way in there, but they didn't have the ability to know he wasn't there?
Why would you even do the attack if if apparently people knew he was never there?
So, something about this doesn't add up, but I don't know what it is.
All right, ladies and gentlemen, looks like I made it.
That is my show for today.
Uh yesterday I missed because I had a coughing attack that lasted a while, but so far no coughing today.
And uh we're we're wishing well for Victor Davis Hansen.
Apparently he's got some major medical problems and so give him a thought today.
Russia has attempted to assassinate Zilinski several times.
Yeah.
So they don't need a reason.
It's all mysterious.
All right, everybody.
Have a great day.
Hope you enjoyed.
I'm going to talk to the locals, my beloved locals people privately in 30 seconds.
Locals.
Well, we'll see how this goes.
My cough is under control,
but I do get a little bit dizzy if I
talk too much.
So, we'll do the best we can. I
apologize for my voice. It will not get
better.
Good morning, everybody.
Let's do the simultaneous sip
now and we'll see how far we get.
[snorts]
I know why you're here.
Last one in here.
All you need is a copper among your
glasses. Tanker shelves can candy flask
a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your
favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join
me now for the unpolable pleasure the
dopamine the other day thing that makes
everything better. It's called the
simultaneous step. It happens now.
Terrific.
Well, let's jump right into it, shall
we? Um, apparently I'm very good at
guessing how many calendars I'll sell in
a year because we got right up to the
right up to the limit. But still a few
more.
So I wouldn't wait if you don't have
your DB calendar. Amazon.com the only
place you can get it.
How about some endofear predictions?
I always hate those, but they seem
traditional.
Uh, I'm going to say the obvious. 2026
will be the year of the self-driving
car.
Um,
I don't believe there will be robot
butlers.
So, I'm going to say no robot butlers
yet.
I think the economy will surprise us,
but I don't know which direction.
It'll either be better than we think or
worse than we think. No one can no one
can predict the economy.
Further, I predict that the topic of
election rigging will become a much
bigger story.
Um, and if you haven't caught up with
the Patrick Burn, he was the CEO of
Overstock.com. If you don't know his
story,
you really should catch up to it because
I don't know what's true. I have no idea
if his version of events captures what
really happened, but he's got he's very
convincing. He's been saying it for a
while, but now I think he can say it and
people can run it. So he's got this
story about Venezuela being involved
with the voting machines, Chinese
components, and a Serbian data center.
They got taken down just before they
could influence the election in 2024.
Is any of that true? I don't know. But I
gotta say, he's he's very he's very
credible sounding
and there's nothing about him that
suggests he's making it up and he does
seem to know.
So I I feel like this this will be the
year he breaks through to uh make that a
bigger story.
And then
um you know I think the fact that we
know everything else in the world is
rigged
as we're watching all these stories
about corruption
um I think that makes it easier for
people to believe that the elections
were rigged
because I've been saying something now
for a while few years that nobody else
picks up on. Have you noticed this? This
is what I say. I say, "What are the odds
that every other institution is corrupt,
but our elections are not?"
What are the odds of that? If you didn't
know anything
about election security,
you'd never seen any story about it. How
would you believe that it's not corrupt
when everything else is?
Now, I might have been a little ahead of
the game.
Because the other thing I say which sets
you up for for that thing I just said is
that whenever you have the following
situation, you have corruption.
There's a lot of money involved.
There's lots of people involved.
The stakes are high.
money or power
and you just wait
because and there's and assume there's
no audit control because even where
there are audits the audits don't catch
stuff as we've seen.
So
if you take that as your starting point
uh that everything is corrupt and that
there's a reason built into why it's
corrupt. It's not it's not chance.
It's not it's not a weird coincidence.
It's that everything that has that
element to it always becomes corrupt
every time.
Now add to that what I've also been
saying. What is the reason for
electronic voting machines?
What would be the legitimate reason? And
there is none. The only reason for
voting machines is to cheat because
they're they're not cheaper. They're not
more reliable. They're not faster.
They're not anything. So, put those
three discisms together,
right? Everything that has this nature
is rigged or fraudulent.
Voting machines
don't have any other purpose that we can
see.
and then elections sort of just fall
into that category. You know, the thing
that can't be explained
unless there's massive fraud going on.
Now, that doesn't mean that the only
fraud is the machines. [clears throat]
Sorry. It would suggest that in every
way that an election can be rigged.
Probably is. Probably is. Now, I do not
claim
that the only bad people in the country
are Democrats,
but um maybe [laughter]
it doesn't seem likely that the only bad
people are Democrats, but in my bubble,
that's true.
Well, David Moss, a user on X, just
completed a self-driving Tesla to drive
across the entire United States without
ever engaging with the car.
So, so this was the day that somebody
drove the entire coast to coast
and didn't touch the steering wheel.
That includes parking. includes um
supercharging.
So, it's pretty easy to predict
that this will be the year of the of the
self-driving car.
All right, here's a question I asked
myself.
How many fake news stories will I fall
for in the coming year?
So apparently the other day, maybe
yesterday,
not the other day, I posted I reposted,
but to my credit with skepticism, a
story about some election claim that
involves a big shredding truck and
somebody told me today that's fake news.
It's been debunked. So I removed it. But
it makes me wonder how many times am I
going to get fooled by fake news?
Probably a lot.
And I thought I should almost keep track
of it because you know that's one that's
you know I should start start with 2026
and find out how many times do I get
fooled? Is it more
you know am I am I more likely to be
fooled because people are better at
fooling people? Am I getting dumber and
older? I don't know. But watch out for
me, will you?
All right. Here is something that I
feared was true, and I'm pretty sure it
is.
Um, I don't know about you, but if
you're if you're watching this podcast,
it's probably true that your news and
social media bubble is non-stop stories
about um money laundering and Somalians
and uh basically bad behavior as well as
rigged elections. Do you have that
experience
that all day long I pick up my phone, I
go to ask, "Oh, there's another state.
There's another fraud. There's another
fraud. There's another fraud." And of
course, the the algorithm is doing that.
But here's what I was afraid of.
I was afraid that no normies ever see
these stories. And that's what I'm
starting to hear. People are saying, "I
went to things like I went to lunch with
my neighbors and not one of them had
heard about the Somalian fraud and
stuff."
Ju just hold that in your head that your
neighbors
haven't even heard, they're not even
aware that there's a massive uh money
laundering fraud problem. They've never
heard it.
Now, that doesn't mean it's never been
on the news, but the news doesn't cover
it like social media does. So, I'm I'm
completely immersed in this world where
every freaking story is about somebody
stealing my money. But if you were not
paying attention to that bubble that I'm
in and you were in a different bubble,
haven't even heard of it.
That does not seem like a healthy
situation, does it?
Oh my god.
Well, speaking of the bubble, so here's
some more stuff in my bubble. Eric
Dordy's reporting on this. Well, part of
the reason that my bubble is different
is I listen to a lot of uh independent
journalists.
Um, apparently in Minnesota as far back
as 2018,
PE whistleblowers were reporting these
frauds, these Somali basically money
laundering frauds. Um, and that they had
the whistleblowers all had the same
experience
that uh that they were told that they
couldn't talk about it or they'd be
blamed, they'd be accused of being
racist or islamophobic.
Now my how things change because once
Trump got elected
now we can talk about things that we
should be talking about.
All right let's do a sip
sip.
So, if Trump had not been elected and he
had not uh basically gotten rid of DEI
and our our blocks on free speech, if if
Elon Musk had not purchased Twitter,
we still wouldn't know about this.
Ju just think about how close we were.
You know, um, you probably saw the other
day that Elon Musk estimated that at the
low bound, the theft might be 1.5
trillion a year at the low end.
1.5 trillion. That would be the entire
essentially the deficit.
And you might remember, I keep bragging
about this, but I'm actually kind of
proud of it that I told you that people
like me who have a background in
budgeting, you know, that was my day job
in corporate world was a lot of
budgeting. You develop a kind of
intuition
about where something is wrong.
And several years ago, I started saying,
um, I don't see how we could possibly be
in this much of a deficit hole unless
the amount of fraud was so high that is
unimaginable.
Now, at the time, I did not get a lot of
agreement,
but today I think every one of you
agrees today that at least some big
portion of it was just fraud.
So, I'm going to give give myself credit
for that one.
Anyway, um
I saw that HUD
thinks they may have found 5.8 8 billion
in improper rental aid payments
according to Newsmax. That's housing and
urban development. Now, they haven't
confirmed that, but there are some red
flags.
And what I like about this is that I'm
noticing in the government that they've
turned spotting fraud into a competitive
sport.
So you should expect to see more and
more department heads say, "Hey, we
found some fraud. I found some fraud. I
found more fraud than you did." So we're
going from an environment in which if
you mention the fraud, you were racist
to an environment in which people are
competing to see who can find the most.
And people are competing to come up with
the best idea for finding the most. That
is a good sign. So 2026 might be just
wild.
Speaking of that, um, Health and Human
Services just froze child care payments
to Minnesota because it was all going to
fraud. Not all of it, but um, massive
amounts were apparently going to fraud.
At the same time,
uh, what do you think, uh, what do you
think Tim Walsh said when it was
announced that the government was going
to stop payments because the payments
were almost all fraud? What would what
would Tim Wall say about that?
Well, here's what he said. It's almost
unbelievable.
He said, uh, that this is Trump's long
game. quote, "He's politicizing the
issue to defund programs to help
motans."
Really?
Really?
Does he really think that Trump sits
down in the morning and says, "What can
I do? How can I hurt those children in
Minnesota in a way that will help me?"
That is just bastard crazy. It's so
obvious. He has no no real response to
that. How in the world
does that make sense to his followers?
Oh, Trump has a long-term plan to damage
Minnesota.
What?
What? Why would anyone have that plan?
For political reasons? I mean, you
really have to
you got to press all yourself up to make
that make sense. No.
No. Obviously, everything is political.
You know, that part's true, but what are
the odds that Trump is doing it because
it's part of his long game to hurt
Minnesota?
That's insane.
Um, Bill P,
I saw him on a show yesterday. uh he's
he's the head of Fanny May and Freddy
Mack and he said that they're using AI
and and Palanteer to flag potential uh
you know potential fraud. So I think
that's the model you're going to see. I
think people will be doing the bill py
model where you uh partner with maybe
private companies and the private
companies spot potential flags or I
should just say flags for for stuff and
then you look into it. So so basically
every part of the government that gives
away money is probably going to move to
that model. Let's call it the Bill PE
model.
And it should be no surprise, Fox News
is reporting that uh now we know from uh
new surveillance photos, the
surveillance video that uh the parents
in Minnesota might have been in on the
fraud. So, they've got video all the way
back from 2018,
of course, in which parents are seen to
be checking their kids into daycare, but
then just turning around checking them
out. So, I guess it was the checking in
part that made it look legitimate.
Are you surprised
that parents might be part of the
scheme? No. Nope.
All right. Uh, New York Post is
reporting, I saw Liz Collins reports
reporting on this, that there's a former
home homeland security agent who claims
that when uh reports were given to the
uh Minnesota, let's see, he said that uh
he claims that prosecutors ignored
Minnesota daycare fraud cases and that
they quote just evaporated.
So there was no shortage of people
noticing
and there was no shortage of people
reporting it
and when it was reported they just slow
walked it and then made it go away.
So corruption.
Yeah. Do you know how much ignoring you
would have to do? You would have to have
a lot of people ignoring a lot of things
for a long time. like a lot of people.
And apparently that's what happened. And
the only way that could happen, says me,
is if people are afraid of being called
racist.
So when you calculate the damage of DEI,
if I were doing the analysis of what is
the damage of DEI,
you could come up with a long list, but
you'd have to add trillions
because of this trillions
the cost of DEI.
Now, here's more good news that may not
turn into good news. But if you're on if
you're on social media and you're you're
watching the bubble that I'm watching,
you see people like Elon Musk talking
about the fraud and Doge and talking
about it. You'll see people like David
Saxs and Chimath and, you know, lots of
other smart people.
Um
so the good news is that the smartest
people in the country
um Bill Aman would be another the
smartest people in the country are very
engaged and trying figuring out how to
fix this because all of their wealth at
least anything that depends on the
United States is completely a risk. Now,
I don't think that's the only reason
that they're so engaged, but they've not
been engaged before.
And they are the exact same people you
would want to fix any big problem.
Right? If you said, "We have this big
problem that nobody's been able to fix.
We need the smartest people in the room
to really get engaged." Well, we got
that.
Amazing. we we finally have the smartest
people in the room all on the same side
for the most part um and focused. But
here's the problem. We might have too
much
um diverse energy.
So they're not all saying exactly the
same thing
and it's unclear what plan would be the
best as Cernovich add him to the list of
the smartest people. Um,
so my question is this. How do we get to
the point where we've focused all that
smart energy? Because we're not really
at a place where we can focus it.
Um, so if you said, but Scott, that's
easy. All you need is a fraud zar. I
don't think so. I mean that might be
part of the solution but the fraud ZAR
would get destroyed the same way they
went after Musk. Now Musk is you know
there's only one Musk. So he's managed
to recover
and even grow his business and get his
get his compensation from Tesla and
everything else. But that's rare. I
don't know how many people could have
survived the attacks on that went after
Musk. So it would really be hard to get
a fraudzar who had that much risk
risk tolerance but also had the skill
and I don't know if it's enough.
So
uh and we also know that justice moves
too slowly. I've heard a number of
people say, "Scott, all they have to do
is prosecute some high level people and
this will stop." You know, if Larry
Ellison,
um, the AG in Minnesota, let's say he
quickly got indicted.
Well, I don't know. Would that stop
anything?
Um, how long would it take?
So justice moves too slowly to be the
biggest part of the answer but obviously
has to be part of the answer.
Um but I like the fact as I mentioned
before that finding the fraud
and uh doing something about it is a
competitive sport. So I think the best
case scenario is that private companies
find a way to free market this
situation.
So you've got Palunteer and other AI
companies that could be helpful. So they
might have, you know, a massive uh
potentially they might have a massive
financial payoff.
Uh no, Rico would be slower because you
have to RICO you have to pull together
like years of everything. I mean that
would be slower.
Um we need to do it probably but it
would be slower.
So what was I saying? Uh
so if you added the AI companies that
might have some incentive to spot the
fraud and then you add to that the quam
rule that I didn't know about but
apparently it's been a thing for years
that allows you an individual private
person to to ask the government to sue
somebody who has been ripping off the
government and then if you as the
whistle blower, let's say. Um, if they
succeed and they claw back some money,
you get a portion of it and it could be
big. It could be very big money. So,
here's the good news. When I talk about
the smartest people being fully engaged,
they're also the smartest people at
creating new businesses that didn't
exist. Right? Every one of them that I
mentioned has done entrepreneurial
things. They've got a track record,
right? Every one of them. Um, and that
is exactly
the people you want designing a new
system. So it might not be that there's
one one path to fixing it. It might be
that the free market has now surfaced
what looks like a set of variables that
could sort of automatically
drifted in the direction of getting rid
of the fraud because essentially it
would monetize getting rid of fraud,
which hasn't really been the case. Well,
it has been the case, but not everybody
knew it. And now lots of people know it.
So that's that's the good news. All
right, let's talk about Pam Bondi,
who is not working fast enough, people
say,
and has prosecuted no high-profile
cases.
So I'm going to wait into this
at the at my risk.
Um, you may have heard me say this on
social media.
And it goes like this. If I put the what
I call the Dilbert filter on this
situation,
how do we know, we who are not lawyers,
how do we know how long something should
take? How do we know how many cases
she's working on? How do we know how
hard it is to staff when you can't get
when when lawyers are like 90% Democrat,
but you don't want to staff up with
Democrats if the whole job is to go
after Democrats?
How long does it take to to staff up?
>> [snorts]
>> um what kind of cases is she working on
that are exactly where she should be
working on but they just take a long
time because they're complicated. So the
higher profile the case and the more
complicated the case the more you should
expect it would take longer than a year
even even to get to indictments.
So case in point,
I guess uh Cash Patella has recommended
the Department of Justice to look into
the whole uh situation with um the
Russia collusion hoax.
Now the Russia collusion hoax is
massively complicated. It involves
everybody from extracurren CIA
um and it involves two parts.
one is making it easier for Democrats to
get elected and the other is making it
harder for Republicans to stay out of
jail.
So, it involves everything from
uh the original meetings that Obama had,
um the special councils,
the the [snorts] raid on Mara Lago.
There are so many moving parts. If Pam
Bodi only had one thing to work on for
the rest of her life,
how long would that take?
Then you multiply that by a thousand
because remember, you've got the J6
stuff. How complicated would it be
to get the other side of the JX stuff
that that was all a plot
and then to wrap it all into a RICO?
because a RICO case has to show a
pattern of behavior that has stretched
over time and involves you know multiple
people.
So I am let me say this as clearly as
possible. I am as frustrated as you are
that nobody important goes to jail. Can
can we all get in the same side of that?
you know, none of us think is fast
enough, but we also don't know what
would be fast enough. What [snorts] What
would it look like if she were doing a
great job and what would it look like if
she were not? Could we tell? So, one
lawyer online said to me, "Scott, what
you I'm paraphrasing here. What you're
missing is that big law firms are
already staffed up to surge like whole
groups of people into uh different jobs
for the government or for a private
company. So the the thinking is that
it's just business as normal to be way
overworked,
but to instantly or or quickly correct
the fact that you have too much work by
going to big law firms and say, "Hey, we
need we need two dozen lawyers today.
You know, can you just give us a whole
staff?" And then those law firms, I
didn't know this, by the way, um are
routinely
routinely set up to do that.
However,
how does it work when the people you're
going after are Democrats?
Do you think there's a big law firm that
can give you two dozen lawyers that are
both good at what they do,
not doing anything more important?
You know, somebody said it's not the
best lawyers that they said for that,
but I don't know about that. uh you know
they didn't already have something
important to do so they could sort of
instantly go over and and that they
would do a nonbiased job instead of
dragging their feet
because all you would have to do is get
an anti-Trumper in the mix you know one
lawyer who drags your feet and they can
just drag this thing forever
so I am skeptical that the existing
model of surging lawyers
into a highprofile,
you know, high workload situation could
work in this situation. It might work in
normal situations.
And how long will it take before John
Brennan is indicted?
Anyway, so don't get mad at me. I am the
Dilbert filter messenger to tell you
that if there's a lot of people involved
and it's complicated, it's going to take
way longer than you wanted to. Does
everybody agree with that? Just just
that
we're all equally frustrated,
but whenever you have this complexity
and this setup, it's always going to
take longer than you want. you and that
would be sort of normal just normal
life.
Anyway,
so apparently according to Wall Street
apes on X, Minnesota Attorney General
Keith Ellison,
uh this is Wall Street apes framing of
it, admits the Simoleons were imported
to vote Democrat.
Um essentially he did. He said, quote,
"Well, the Somali community is critical
in my own election. I wouldn't be in
office without the help of the Somali
community." Okay. Now, that alone is not
illegal.
Um,
but we do know that the Somali community
has made a difference not just in
Minnesota, but also in Ohio and
Virginia, maybe some other places. So,
at what point
does it become illegal?
It's not illegal to
have people legally enter the country.
If they entered legally
and then they were legally allowed to
vote,
it would just be a good strategy, but it
wouldn't be illegal, right?
However,
did you know Scott Presler was reporting
this yesterday and and just think about
the fact that what I'm about to tell
you, you probably did not know
and and it's been true for a while that
if you're that if you work for a
building, so if you're an employee of
some large apartment building, it
doesn't matter what kind of employee,
you can vouch for an unlimited number of
people who live in the building or
allegedly live in the building, you can
vouch that they are legally allowed to
uh to vote
even if they don't have ID. So in other
words, if I understand this correctly,
the janitor of a big building could
could uh vouch for every person in the
building even if every one of them had
been illegal.
And that's actually a written law in
Minnesota. It's a law. Now, when that
law got passed,
what was anybody thinking? How in the
world? Yeah, there's some paperwork to
vouch. How in the world did anybody
think that was for anything but cheating
in the election? What would be the other
reason? You know, usually the Democrats
say, "Well, we don't want to suppress
voting, so we want to make it easy to
vote." There's no way.
There's no way that that particular law
was to stop suppression of voting. That
was purely to make it easier to cheat.
I I would say you can't say that any
other way.
Well, are any other states or cities
having problems with fraud? Oh,
surprise. Real clear investigation says
that uh there was a some guy, a city
official in Austin
who had uh let's see, given a bunch of
fake contracts to friends that were
fairly gigantic,
had been doing it for a while.
So, let's see how much he get. Uh he was
he was using the city credit card which
he was allowed to use for city services
but instead of doing city services he
used it to pay 30 different vendors but
the city auditor could only verify that
eight of them were even real companies.
And of the real companies
do you think those are relatives too or
people who gave them kickbacks?
So most of the money or a lot of it went
to places that uh appeared to be fake.
At the same time, the guy who was doing
this was earning over half a million
dollars a year in salary. So he was
overpaid and he was just massively doing
out the city credit card to his
presumably fraudster friends.
Now, h how long ago was the first time
you heard me say this? that all local
government is criminal.
All local government is criminal. And
the reason is this because there's
always somebody who's in charge of who
gets the money and there's never enough
audits um let's say security to stop it
from happening fraudulently.
So again, a lot of money involved,
people involved, time goes by, poor
auditing procedures.
Was this predictable? Yes. If you took a
dart and threw it at map of the United
States and hit any city, you don't think
this is happening anywhere else? I'll
bet some form of this, maybe not as bad,
but I'll bet you some form of this is
100% in every city. 100%. because
whoever has the the uh the wallet will
be just infinitely approached by people
who say, you know, if I got a little bit
of what's in that city wallet, I'll bet
you a lot of people would donate to your
campaign.
There's no way this system could
produce. If you saw it on paper,
if somebody said, "We've never had a
city before, but we're going to we're
going to invent a thing called a city,
and here's how it will be run." And you
simply
just drew on paper who has the control,
who's watching it, how money flows, how
money is allocated. Anybody smart would
know that that was a settle for fraud.
So the cities are designed in a way that
guarantees fraud,
guarantees it. And sure enough, that's
what we see.
Well, here's a story about further
layoffs in the media world. According to
the RAP,
uh, entertainment and media layoffs are
up 18%.
And 17,000 jobs were slashed in 2025.
Now what they mostly mean is the
traditional media. So there've been some
mergers and cutbacks and stuff. So the
traditional media
uh took a hit, but I would argue that
that's not the bad news it looks like um
because the the independent journalists
and the independent media and I I would
be part of the independence um vastly
increased.
So, it's not really a story about less
media employees. It's more a story about
less traditional fake news
stuff we don't want to see media and way
way way more Nick Shirley's and Scott
Adams's and people who, you know, are
doing a show independently.
So, I think that is an evolution,
not some kind of a problem.
And I love the fact that the the jobs
that are being created are being created
by the people creating them. So it's not
like a a boss had to create a company
that hired people. It's more like people
like me said, "What happens if I turn
this camera on and start talking?
Can I monetize that?" Yep. Turns out I
can.
Well, according to Sai Post
Karina Petrova, there's a study that
says that shocking headlines
make people skeptical,
but that over time they come to believe
the thing that was the shocking
headline. Does that surprise you? So the
idea is when you first see like a
headline that says shocking thing
happened here or there and then you read
it, you go like, well, you know, I don't
know, I'm not sure that's true. Yeah,
everybody says everything's shocking.
So, so you automatically put some
critical thinking on a headline that
just seems a little overdone, but then
over time you forget where you saw the
headline and you start thinking it must
be a fact. So you you remember the
story, but you won't remember your
initial skepticism. So So it makes it
makes it believable over time. I think
probably only if you hear it repeated.
All right.
Uh
we talked about this before, but this
this is just blows my mind. So, San
Francisco,
a a city you would associate with being
lax on crime, right? So, San Francisco,
most people would agree left and right
that they would be soft on crime
compared [clears throat] to other
places. But despite being soft on crime,
uh, apparently they have this this
license plate reading technology called
Flock, F L O C K, and it can read
license plates and it has they've got
about 500 of them in major roadways in
San Francisco, around San Francisco,
and that it's centralized. It must be in
other cities, too. So they have a
centralized nationwide database
uh of more than 1 billion license plate
reads each month.
Now they're being sued by someone who
doesn't want them to be able to track
you if there's no warrant. So, if
there's no, you know, reason to track
you, um, at least one individual is
suing because he says that should only
be they should only track you, uh, if
they have a warrant and these are
warrantless.
So, apparently you can in most cases you
could track a car in San Francisco from
wherever it starts to wherever it ends
up.
How comfortable are you with that?
because remember it's tracking everyone.
Well, how in the world do you stop
people from tracking their spouse?
Don't you think that every engineer who
has access to this thing is already
tracking their ex? Find out where their
ex goes when they go to work.
Probably this would put an end to
cheating.
Uh, but it's weird that the most lenient
city
would be doing this of all things.
Now, now so far all I know about it is
it attracts license plates. I don't
believe it does facial recognition, but
it would be easy to add it. And I don't
believe it has a full AI capability,
although obviously that would be coming.
So if you take a 500 camera system and
you can track license plates, you can
track faces which I just assume is
coming and you can use AI to make it,
you know, identify and flag things. You
have created quite a monster.
That is a monster where you're not going
to know where does that end up like how
bad will that become
you know if they if they do it gradually
like well it's just license plates then
it doesn't seem as scary but once you
realize there's nothing to stop them
really from adding facial recognition
and uh and AI what in the world could
that become
I don't know
So we always talk about this California
wealth tax where they're floating the
idea in California that the some
billionaires would have to give up 1% of
their wealth per year for five years. So
in the end 5% of their wealth would be
taken in taxes
apparently. I didn't know this but even
Gavin Newsome opposes it but Bill Aman
so it might not happen because you know
if the governor opposes it he could veto
it. Um, Bill Aman warns that no one
would say if California implements a
wealth tax.
Now, we've already seen some
billionaires in California state they're
going to move. And it could be a bluff.
um maybe they prefer to stay, but uh
they're making sure that people know
that if they do go um you know,
everybody would go and they would turn
California into something it hasn't
been. But um there have been some other
some other options for raising money
that have been raised.
Uh first of all, let me say the obvious.
No one wants higher taxes
when your estate is wasting the money.
No one wants higher taxes in general,
but in the current context of massive
fraud, it's going to be really hard to
increase taxes on anybody if you know
that it's just been wasted. So, we'll
see how that goes. But some people have
proposed that if you just raise the
sales tax,
it would be a a more reasonable
approach. The idea is that it's
automatically progressive.
So if a billionaire buys a boat,
a yacht, that's a lot of sales tax
sacks. But if you if you get a stick of
gum, it's a little bit of sales tax, but
not much. However, the sales tax in
California is already
is insanely high. I forget what it is.
So, I'm not in favor of a sales tax.
It's just an alternative.
Um, however,
even billionaires agree with the
following that billionaires have a way
to avoid taxes that ordinary people
don't and that maybe that needs to be
closed. Did you know how that works? Um,
I used Grock to to give me a little
tutorial on how the billionaires avoid
taxes.
And let me see if I can explain that
in a way you would understand. So a
normal person gets normal income and
they pay income tax. A billionaire u
might not have income at all. They might
just have a lot of assets.
So, one of the ways that they can avoid
paying uh income taxes is to make sure
that their businesses do not give them a
salary. So, there's no income. But where
do they get the money to spend if they
don't have an income?
And the answer is they can make they can
take a loan. So, they could go to a bank
and they can say give me a large
personal loan. Now, it wouldn't be large
compared to their assets. It would still
be tiny tiny, but it would be large to
us and it would be so much money that
they could spend it like income, buy
mansions and yachts and stuff uh without
any income. The bank would say, "Can you
pay back this loan?" And the billionaire
would say, "Are you kidding? I have I'm
worth, you know, $20 billion.
I'm only asking you for half a billion.
So the bank says that's a pretty good
deal and we're definitely gonna get paid
back. Not definitely, but probably. So
they give them a loan and is it's
collateralized
by the assets of the billionaire. So the
bank is happy. They always know they
can, you know, seize the seize the
mansion or seize the stock if something
goes wrong. Then the billionaire spends
spends the personal loan
just because it's their cash. They can
do whatever they want. It's not a
business loan. It's a personal loan.
Sort of sort of like a line of credit on
your house or just the big version.
Then when they die, the billionaire,
they can transfer those assets to their
heirs at a stepped up fair market value.
And even the heirs avoid taxes.
Now, I believe there's still a uh uh
what do you call it? A estate tax. So,
if you didn't know, the estate tax over
a certain level is 40%.
So, when I die, if I do, my estate tax
um above a certain certain dollar amount
will be taxed at 40%. which is pretty
egregious, but
uh but it's happening. Anyway, did that
make sense? I'd never really I never
really spent two minutes looking into
why billionaires don't pay taxes.
So, I would agree,
but that seems like a loophole that
needs to be closed.
Seems like it.
Well, according to the Epoch Times, the
CEO of the IRS, I didn't know they had a
CEO, um, says that 94% of middle class
taxpayers will see tax relief next year.
So, that would be under the big
beautiful bill, I guess. Do you believe
that?
I I'm I'm uh primed to never believe
anything about taxes going down.
I always think taxes are going up even
if all the reporting is it's going down
for some people. So I'm going to say
maybe
maybe
but probably not.
So it doesn't matter who's president.
Doesn't matter what the law is.
I never believe taxes will go down.
Whoa. Did you know
there's a study site post is writing
about this of Vladimir Hedri that mass
shootings increase the local turnout for
voting but do not shift presidential
choices.
How many of you would have known that
without looking at a study that if
there's a mass shooting in the news
uh locally you might get a higher
turnout for a vote but they don't they
don't change who they vote for. The
people who wanted Democrats to get rid
of guns still want it. And the
Republicans say, "Well, it's the cost of
being in a free country. Don't take my
guns." Um, so they both So they both get
more votes, but it doesn't change the
mix.
They could have just asked me. I knew
that.
But Daniel Greenfield
of Front Page magazine is reporting that
the MSNBC, which is now rebranded as MS
Now, the ratings have collapsed, as you
probably know. Uh, how bad is it? We'll
see. According to Neielson Media
Research, this is fairly new. Fox News
averaged 2.72 million prime time viewers
and 287,000 viewers in the key
demographic 25 to 54. So that was up it
was up 14%.
Uh and the the key demo group was up
18%. That's pretty damn good. How did
MSNBC do? Oh. Oh. Oh, sorry.
They averaged 920,000
923,000
down
25% since 2024
and only 81,000 in the key demo that was
down 39%.
Wow. And CNN did even worse.
Now the reporting doesn't give reasons.
Would you like to know some reasons why
MS Now is down and Fox News is up?
Well, I say I say this a lot,
but um MS Now has bad producers
and their honor talent was mentally
insane,
right? If you look at any show on MS
Now,
it's poorly produced. You'll be a table
of people who look crazy just yelling at
each other.
You Rachel Matto looks like she just has
mental illness and they just seem a
little weak and weird and
just somebody you don't want to watch.
But also, none of the shows are
engineered to be as interesting as Fox.
So, if you've never watched um the show
called The Five on uh Fox, you haven't
seen what good producing looks like. So,
everything from the selection of the
cast to how how many there are to um you
know, how they how they always have the
the one person who's sort of the the
foil, you know, the Democrat foil. um
everything about that is welldesigned
and the people don't look mentally
insane. So over time you can completely
see how Fox News could um and they do
they attract people from the other side.
But if you're if you're a Republican and
you turn on MS Now you just go what the
what the hell? It's just all poorly
produced.
So, and poorly produced and they don't
have as good a host. They don't they
don't have a Greg Guffeld, for example.
Right. Who who is a Greg Guffeld? They
just don't have one. Makes a big
difference.
Well, here's a weird story I don't
understand.
So are you aware that in Iran
uh I guess this week there were massive
street protests
and you know the streets are full of
people who are bad at the regime. Now I
think that's happened before but it
didn't turn into anything. Yeah. Dana
Pino, Jesse Waters, every one of them
are more talented than anything you see
on MS Now.
So at the same time the Iranian public
is doing some massive protests uh in
Israel according to the Jerusalem Post
MSAD. So that would be Israel's, you
know, intelligence agency. They posted a
message on X in in Farsy, the language
of Iran, urging demonstrators to to act,
saying that it was with them in the
streets.
It's with them in the streets.
And said, go out together into the
streets. The time has come.
He said it will join them.
It says we are with you. not only from a
distance and verbally, we are with you
in the field.
So MSAD is admitting
that they're literally on the ground
participating with the protesters.
Now, does that seem like a good idea to
you? I'd love to know why they thought
that was a good idea. Because everything
I know about people is that the Iranians
would be maybe plenty happy to find
their own way away from the regime. But
as soon as they're uh as soon as the
country that's bombed them says, you
know, I'm with you, doesn't that
immediately
doesn't that immediately make them bond
together and say, wait a minute, wait a
minute, this is up to us. Get out of
here. How in the world is that good for
Israel?
I don't understand. Maybe
I'm just speculating. Maybe MSAD thinks
that if the Iranians think they have
support from even Israel that would
embolden them.
That's not the way things usually work.
Usually the, you know, usually works the
other way. So, you know, they're not
stupid, obviously.
fake news. No, it was actually on the
MSAD X account.
So, the X account is uh I think that's
real.
H anyway, it's either very clever
uh or it's not. I know. I'm just going
to watch that one.
Um, according to Tech Crunch, the number
of followers you have on social media
has never mattered less. Now, here
they're talking about people monetizing,
but apparently um the thing that moves
your traffic is not how not how many
followers you amassed. It has to do with
how good your clipping services. So
apparently there are all these young
people who are making clips
um and that's the way people discover
things now. They call it teenage
clipping army.
So it's a now a well-developed market.
So if you were an independent
um internet producer,
you could amass a very large following.
Let's say in my case I've got 1.3
million followers on X but still even
with 1.3 million followers
um a lot of people who follow me don't
see my content and I'm not alone you
know people have been complaining about
this for a while uh that they amass all
these followers and they can tell that
the followers are not seeing their
content but what they are seeing or what
people are seeing is clips
Now, you may have noticed that there are
more of more clips from my content than
you've ever seen before. I don't pay for
that, in case you're wondering, right?
Uh but you've seen Yeah.
You you you've seen Jay and uh is it
Jason Cohen? You've seen some other
people clipping me and that does make a
big difference. Sometimes it just
depends if the clip goes viral.
So, in case you're wondering,
I do not pay for a clipping service of
teenagers.
Well, did you hear the story that
apparently earlier this month the CIA
launched a military attack on a uh base
like a base or a port in Venezuela and
it blew up some and uh we never
heard of it. But the weird part is
Venezuela didn't mention it.
How in the world do did we attack a
landbased
major facility in Venezuela weeks ago
and Venezuela never mentioned it? Yeah.
How in the world?
But apparently Trump wasn't happy about
that. So he mentioned it on a radio show
and he said that they destroyed quote a
big plant or facility where ships come
in.
And then he was asked who did it and he
was shy about it which everybody assumes
means the CIA.
And then apparently Trump wanted
Venezuela to know about it or the world
to know about it. So he heard it. Some
in the CIA are not happy that he owned
it. But obviously obviously we didn't
intend it to be a secret because we
would have assumed Venezuela would have
mentioned it. But they didn't. So he did
anyway.
on the on the Venezuela side. Um I'm
loving this story about the well, let me
give you some context. Have you ever
watched a movie or a TV show where the
villain was the interesting one and then
you found you found yourself rooting for
the villain and you didn't feel good
about yourself? Like I can't I can't
root for the villain. Well, I'm having
that experience in the real world
because one of the tankers
uh is empty, so there's no oil in it,
but the US was going to board and seize
a tanker uh that was leaving Venezuela.
And the reason we had the authority to
grab it is that it was allegedly uh
misidentifying itself and maybe maybe
had a fake flag.
Um, but instead of instead of
surrendering, which you'd expect a
tanker to do if the entire
if the US Navy told you to slow down,
we're going to board you. You would not
expect them to run for it because they
know they can't outrun us, right? But
but these are the bad guys. Yeah, I'm
just using my analogy of bad guys. So,
the bad guys decide to do a U-turn and
instead of surrendering, they're going
to run for it.
Now, to me, first of all, I thought, how
in the world could that work? But now
there's a new twist.
Apparently, they painted a Russian flag
on the side of it to pretend that they
were Russian flagged ship.
Now, apparently this slowed down our
navy because we didn't want to seize a
Russian flagged ship. We wanted to seize
it if it was misidentified,
but we can't prove it's misidentified
because we don't know for sure if Russia
said, "Okay, yeah, you're Russian." You
know, there's there's a process by which
you would reflag, but there's nothing to
stop Russia from saying, "All right,
yeah, sure. Yeah, if you want to just
say you're Russian," and then they paint
a Russian flag on the side of the ship,
and then they can't be taken down.
Again, I'll put it in the context of I
don't want to rule for the bad guys, but
if they get away with this,
that's pretty good.
That's pretty [clears throat] good. It
doesn't I don't think it makes much
difference to the United States whether
they get away with it or not. But if
somebody actually figured out how to
thwart the US Navy by painting a poorly
produced flag on the side of the ship, I
would have a little bit of respect for
that in the in the bad guy way.
Well, there's a story that says,
according to Marjorie Taylor Green,
who's now out of politics, she says that
when she tried to get Trump to agree to
release the Epstein files, that part of
that conversation involved Trump saying,
and remember this is Marjgerie Taylor
Green. She's the she's the one who heard
it, that if they release him, quote, his
friends will get hurt.
Now, that needs a lot more context,
doesn't it? Because if the only reason
that Trump doesn't want the FC rever
released is because his friends would
get hurt, that might not be a good
reason. But if he also knows that his
friends are innocent,
then you would care. I think you would
care if your friends got hurt. And I
don't I don't disagree with that impulse
to protect your friends if you know that
they're not guilty of anything. Um I
suspect though that's not the one and
only reason he doesn't want released. I
suspect that the you know the
intelligence agencies are behind some of
the suppression.
I think so. So, it seems likely to me
that the CIA would suppress anything
that was bad for them forever, but they
would allow anything that was bad for
Trump's friends to be released.
So, if Trump says it would be bad for my
friends, he might be leaving out the
part that says you're not going to learn
anything useful because the CIA is
definitely not going to show you that
and they do have the power to block
anything.
Um, so I would wonder if there's more
context to his comments.
So I do agree that if he knew, he
probably does that nothing good can come
out of it uh except for it would hurt
his friends but in return nothing good
could come out of it. What are you going
to do? What would you do if you knew
nothing good could come out of it except
it would hurt your friends?
I don't know. I might block it. I don't
think that's the worst impulse in the
world.
Anyway, I guess uh January is the month
where we have to worry about the
government shutting down over uh healthc
care being continuously funded or not.
But pollster Frank Lent
thinks that it would be bad for Trump if
it doesn't get funded.
I guess that means bad for Republicans
in general because Trump won't be
running again. But do you believe that?
Do you think that if the if the
Republicans say no, it's a waste of
money,
we're not going to fund it for another
three years? Do you think that that
would hurt the Republicans more? The
polling seems to suggest yes, but I
wonder if that's real because I think
people just always just defer to their
side. So if the Republicans shut down
things,
I don't know. I I can see how that would
be bad for Republicans, but not
guaranteed.
All right, one more sip of water.
One more short story.
And it looks [clears throat] like I got
through it today.
So there's a former Russian president
Dimmitri Medvidev
who's now on Russia's security council
who said about Zalinski. He was talking
about the attack on Putin's residence.
He said uh that uh Zalinski was quote
trying to derail the settlement of the
conflict. And then Medvid said that
Zilinski he wants war. But here's the
provocative part. Uh well now at least
he'll have to stay in hiding for the
rest of his worthless life.
[gasps] How would you like to be
Zilinski
and allegedly, but we don't know.
allegedly
uh tried to assassinate Putin in his
residence
and knowing that Putin is the most
assassinating guy in the world, maybe
not counting Israel. So, Israel does
assassinate anybody they can get to, but
even Israel didn't assassinate the
Supreme Leader.
So if you were going to try to
assassinate somebody and it didn't work,
the most dangerous person you could miss
would be Putin. He he he would
definitely chase you to the end of the
earth to assassinate you back. Am I
right? Especially if Zilinski is out of
power. The minute that Zalinski is no
longer a the leader of Ukraine, which
has to happen someday, I think Putin is
going to give the green light to all of
his assassinators to throw him off a
balcony somewhere. So when when Medv
when Medvadev says, "Well, now at least
he'll have to stay in hiding for the
rest of his worthless life," that's
probably true. I don't think there's
enough security in the world that could
protect Zilinski from Putin. And and
maybe even the Ukrainians would kill him
first for making a deal. I don't know.
But if you were Zilinski,
the only the only way you have to
survive
is to uh stay in power.
So that's a problem.
Do that's my advice. never assassinate
or attempt to assassinate the most
revenge assassinating guy in the world.
Now, my other question is this.
Apparently,
apparently we know that Putin has not
lived in any of his residences for three
years specifically because they're
harder to defend and that he's been
using an apartment in u in the Kremlin
because it's easier to defend.
Now, do you think that Ukraine was not
aware of that? So, what would be the
point of blowing up a residence that has
zero chance of having Putin inside it?
Is it because he has some family that
were going after? That doesn't seem like
a good plan. So, I'm a little bit
skeptical
about why that happened. You know, I did
say that it would make sense to do a
false flag. If you were Russia and you
wanted to prolong the war or you wanted
to do a decapitation strike on Zilinski,
it would be a good false flag to say he
started it. But did he did was it was it
a real assassination attempt? Do you
think they had the ability to, you know,
get a asset all the way in there, but
they didn't have the ability to know he
wasn't there? Why would you even do the
attack
if if apparently people knew he was
never there? So, something about this
doesn't add up, but I don't know what it
is. All right, ladies and gentlemen,
looks like I made it. That is my show
for today. Uh yesterday I missed because
I had a coughing attack that lasted a
while, but so far no coughing today.
And uh we're we're wishing well for
Victor Davis Hansen. Apparently he's got
some major medical problems and so give
him a thought today.
Russia has attempted to assassinate
Zilinski several times. Yeah. So they
don't need a reason. It's all
mysterious.
All right, everybody.
Have a great day. Hope you enjoyed. I'm
going to talk to the locals, my beloved
locals people privately in 30 seconds.
Locals.