Episode 697 Scott Adams The Hypnosis Coup Gains an Admiral, Kurds in the Way, Doral G 7 Summit

boom-boom-boom-boom hey James come on in here you're right on time if not early Andrew good to see ya Dale Tyler what a treat we're all together here for yet another coffee with Scott Adams the best part of your day and what's the best part of the best part I think you know it's the simultaneous sip and it goes like this all you need is a cup or a mug her glasses snifter stein chalice tanker thermos last game team Grail goblet vessel of any kind fella with your favorite liquid I like coffee and joining me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine's ended the day the thing that makes everything better the simultaneous up go mmm Wow that's some good sippin so I just saw a survey online that said that the percentage of men and women who were not having any kind of sex in the past year has doubled in the past 10 years so used to be somewhere in the 10% range of people were not having any sex in the past year and now for men it's 28% 28% of men haven't had sex in the past year and 18% of women how do you explained that so don't we have a more promiscuous society than ever we do right seems like we have a more promiscuous society than we've ever had and yet the number of men and women having sex has plunged 28% of men did not have sex in the past year and he explained that easy I predicted it many years ago it's easy to predict it goes like this the quality of pornography started with well I hope I could find a dirty magazine somewhere and then it went to VHS tape but still a little hard to get and then it went to digital online available in infinite quantities for free and you can find exactly what you want you don't have to find approximately what you want because you can find exactly what you want so the quality of the alternative which is looking at pictures online has gone from well this is pretty good as a change of pace - I think this is better than people because think about it the average person cannot attract a superstar you know model male or female partner most people can attract somebody who looks sort of like they look and so you would expect that a large number of people would find that the quality of the alternative is just better and I think automation has largely replaced human beings for at least a quarter of the population literally there's no hyperbole there at all automation in the form of online pornography has replaced human interaction for 28% of men and I don't think part of the story is that that they're less happy that's the thing that the story doesn't include are they more happy are they less happy I don't know they don't say I would think that because there's some amount of human contact that is necessary for mental health that they're less happy but maybe they don't know it alright let's talk about something else let's talk about that turkey ceasefire that's not really a ceasefire so according to the United States there's a ceasefire between Turkey and the Kurds according to the Kurds there's no ceasefire there's just a what's the difference between pausing firing your people and ceasing firing at people well I guess the ceasing maybe seems like it's less temporary than the pausing is there anything out of you know what's the difference I have no idea what the difference is here are some things you should know when you have a cease fire or a pause what are the things you can guarantee the news will serve up are you ready in that in that area of the world the first thing you can guarantee is that one side will claim the other side bomb to hospital is there any chance that you're not going to hear that story 100% chance that if there's a ceasefire in the Middle East no matter who it is somebody is going to say the other side bomb to hospital now and of course that's exactly what is being claimed right now that the that the Turks bombed a hospital during the ceasefire now there's not a report that there's a ton of bombing going on so the report is not that there it's widespread bombing you know they're bombing all over the place but rather there's a report of a specific bombing now what are the odds that the Turks decided to do a ceasefire but also bomb just a hospital we're not gonna bomb much we'll just bomb a hospital does that seem likely seriously of all the things that they could bomb they're not bombing everything there they had apparently chose their targets very carefully because there wasn't much cheating there was just a little bit of cheating and that little bit of cheating they decided to bomb a hospital no so you always expect the fake Hospital bombing story every time and sure enough right on schedule I'm looking for it's like okay where's the fake hospital bombings or there it is fake hospital bombing story right on schedule what's the other fake story that you know is going to come oh it's already here the fake story that the turkey is using chemical weapons now are they using chemical weapons could be could be I think white phosphorus with the munitions it's entirely possible that the Turks are using some illegal chemical weapons but here's the context what were the odds that whether or not anybody used any chemical weapons what are the odds that you would hear a report within 24 hours of the cease fire there's somebody had used chemical weapons a hundred percent there was a hundred percent chance that somebody was going to claim the other side to use chemical weapons and so I pick up my my news source my i.

Pad and they say huh it's been few hours since the ceasefire where's the report of the cut there it is Chemical Weapons Hospital report chemical weapons right on schedule now I'm not saying those things didn't happen I'm not going to say a hospital wasn't bombed and I'm not going to tell you that nobody used chemical weapons I will tell you that there's a hundred percent chance both of those things would be reported in the past 24 hours whether they happen or not so can you determine if a hospital had been bombed or if somebody had used chemical weapons you cannot you cannot there is zero useful information coming out of the area we can't rule now you just don't have any information do you think that we really have some kind of an agreement meaning do you think Mike Pence has something like an actual agreement with the Turks and the Kurds and whoever else there's not a chance there's not a chance that there's an agreement there's no chance and what you should expect is that everybody involved will start telling different stories about who agreed to what who said what who's gonna do what and then everybody will wait a few days and go back to doing whatever they wanted to do anyway so you know maybe it gives the Kurds a little time to you know build some defenses or something but I don't think turkeys gonna have a ceasefire that lasts do you somebody says isn't the proof in the video so yeah that's funny with a little winky face yeah you can't trust the videos you said you all saw the picture of the mother with her alleged deceased child in her hands now I'm not saying it's a fake video I'm just saying that child look alive to me so you should always expect the fake fake dead children to video the fake hospital got bombed and the fake chemical attacks story those three are guaranteed as soon as the bullets start flying and they're all there all right Admiral Mc.

Raven who I mistakenly called general Mc.

Raven in the tweet Admiral Mc.

Raven wrote a wrote an op-ed in the New York Times at which he was saying that the president should be removed or should leave offices sooner than later but he doesn't mention impeachment per se he doesn't mention an election per se and he's an admiral what does it mean when an admiral writes a not bad this says that the president of the United States needs to leave sooner or later without mentioning how well that's a pretty dangerous thought isn't it now do you think that the military is getting ready for a coup well I think not because there's just no way it would work out but does it help the hypnosis cue the coup that will have no but rather people will be brainwashed into thinking oh yeah we have to replace this president does it help to have an admiral retired Admiral come out on the side of the hypnosis Co of course it does so part of the brainwashing that's brainwashing at least half of the country into thinking that the president needs to be changed in a non election way is really helped by this Admiral now there's some bad news here I don't know if you read between the lines there's really some bad news with this Admiral Mc.

Raven coming out against the president and really that's just the symptom the real problem is one of the odds now now that we've now that we've stopped supporting the Kurds how are the Kurds ever going to support us against ante Fah when when the Civil War happens and we need the courage to come over and fight with us to defend against an Tifa are they going to do it I don't think so I think the Kurds that you say hey you didn't help us against Isis we're not gonna help you against anti-shah good luck with that America me so yes there are there's a lot we're losing here according to Admiral Mc.

Raven the this president has damaged our standing with other leaders and our credibility so much so that how can we depend on them in the future for example let's say we got into a big war do you think we could you know depend on Greece coming to our rescue no Greece would look at the situation and say well look what they did to the Kurds we're not coming to help them militarily how are we going to win a war without the without the Greeks I don't see how what if what if let's say Russia sends a nuclear weapon our way and and starts a nuclear war we're not going to have the Kurds on their side so how are we going to defend against a thermonuclear war with Russia if we have no Kurds no Kurds at all like not even one Kurd is going to help us what are we gonna do well I would say we're in pretty bad shape in that case so Admiral Mc.

Raven has got a good point here who is ever gonna help the United States who who is going to help us because before this before this you can see that other countries were they were forming a line to give us money and military aid and my god other countries wanted to help the United States so much that we almost couldn't handle all the help they were giving us but now that this current situation is happening there's no line no nobody is offering us free money nobody is offering to help us in any way it's so different than it was two weeks ago very different so here's the question that I asked for all those nervous Nancy's such as Admiral Mc.

Raven who were sure that America is grievously wounded by the actions of this this impulsive president with his lack of strategy and all that what would be an example of that even even a speculative example I would guess that we don't have any examples of things that have already happened it's more of a speculative imaginary future problem but could somebody describe that for me for example what would we want to do in the future that we can't do because of the current situation I don't really see an example all right so what's gonna happen with that curd safe space I would say that we have literally no information oh I got a plug in my thing I hope I didn't lose you there so we have basically no information about what's happening with this curd safe space we don't know how that's going to turn out I wouldn't believe anything you're hearing out of the area we've heard nothing about casualties what what's the thing we keep hearing is that the Turks are slaughtering the Kurds that's what we keep hearing right the Turks are slaughtering the Kurds have we seen any reporting of even one dead card I mean I hope there are none but is there even one do we have any credible reporting that even one Kurd has been killed so far I mean obviously the risk is extreme but we don't know anything right we don't know anything about what's happening over there Trump called it tough love and and is claiming credit for solving this situation and he's now far off and I realized that you know when things that are this polarized that when I say things like well he's now far off then everybody retreats to their safe space and says Scott press'll reasoning stop your personal reasoning you will agree with the president no matter what he does no matter what he does no I disagree with the president all the time I I could give you six examples of policies I don't think are working quite right this just doesn't happen to be one of them because he was doing exactly what he promised he's getting exactly the kind of pushback you'd want and expect you'd kind of want and expect the military to be uncomfortable with this decision right that's our best our best case scenario is that the military says we're not done we don't want to leave our allies you know let us finish the job that's exactly what you want the military to say but you also sometimes what the want the non-military leadership to say I know you want to fight though we're gonna bring you home so we have kind of the ideal situation a little bit of tension between the military wants to fight perfect that's exactly the military you want they want to fight and the civilian president who says I'm not going to let you get killed over this objective that's perfect right that's right where you want to be all right um I don't see any situation in which the United States could have agreed to permanently protect the Kurds and we you're gonna start to see more reporting like that here's my prediction that no matter what this ceasefire or pause turns into and my my assumption is that the ceasefire will fail and that it will fail hard I don't trust Turkey and I expect that turkey will just you know wait a few days or they're just moving more troops in so they didn't care if they waited a few days anyway so probably they're just getting ready to do a big push and probably turkey doesn't plan to honor any agreement because their national security is at risk if they're if the roles were reversed would the United States make promises and then just do whatever it needed to do to keep its country safe yeah we would we would if if you if you change roles and you made us turkey we would promise anything we had to promise and then we do whatever we needed to do because ultimately you need to do whatever you need to do and Turkey has a legitimate security concern you might not agree with it but it's legitimate they they have people attacking them who are in this population and they can't have them on the border without having some kind of military you cap on it so is that enough about that yes that's enough about that so Mulvaney did a little press thing and he got he got attacked for his performance but I watched it and I thought it was quite good I thought Mulvaney should be doing more of these actually now the point of contention is that he said that it's normal business and you should get over it talking about any president negotiating any kind of quid pro quo with another country that's exactly the right answer exactly the right answer is yes that's exactly what he didn't you withheld some money until he got some yet he knew he had some some responsiveness from Ukraine about looking into some corruption and that corruption included some Biden stuff some Crowd.

Strike stuff so Mulvaney just says yeah we do that all the time that's just normal business to which I say exactly right that is exactly the right answer every time you say yes we did it and it's normal that's the strongest attack the weakest attack is we didn't do it or it's not what you think or it's not really a quid pro quo or they didn't see it that way were just don't say any of that just say exactly what you did yes checking on checking on corruption in Ukraine before we give them a massive amount of money it is important not only for the money we're sending but to make sure we're getting what we want we don't send the money for nothing we're not sending the money that the whole point is sending the money is quid pro quo right is there any reason we send the money other than we think it will make them flexible in dealing with us mostly I mean we could say it's to I don't defend against Russia or something but mostly we send people for Dade because we think that'll make them flexible with us quid pro quo so I love Mulvaney just going right at it just looking at people and say yeah let's just get over that's what we do we did it before we do it all the time we're gonna do it in the future you don't want us to stop doing it stop talking about it it's nothing I love that answer the calmly Harris's campaign accidently accidentally did something right but then they quickly reversed it so they continue to be the worst campaign I've ever seen I mean they're actually humorously bad so what happened was you all remember the famous photo of Nancy Pelosi got the meeting recently about you yeah about Ukraine no the meeting about Syria and Nancy is standing up and pointing at the president and you know it's a roomful of older white men so it makes the picture even more interesting because the contrast welcomed the Harrises team humorously replace President Trump with a picture of Kamala not sitting but standing and you know posing with her arms crossed and and the caption was you know it's time for an upgrade so they were showing Kamala replacing President Trump in that room situation with you know time for an upgrade now apparently that was deleted I guess was the campaign manager or somebody put that meme up there but deleted it because people were changing the photo and photoshopping it and turning turning it into anti Kamala stuff here's what I say it was the best thing the campaign has done so far not because it was necessarily that funny it was funny enough I mean it you know I enjoyed seeing it it gave me a little charge of that's pretty funny I like what they did there and it wasn't the funniest thing in the world but it was funny it was funny enough so on that level as just a meme pretty good but here's the great part about it the great part about it is it allowed you to imagine her president and working the job and that's one of the biggest persuasion objectives as you first have to be able to imagine any of these candidates in the job this is what I wrote about and talked about extensively when President Trump was candidate Trump and he was running for office and you couldn't imagine this you know orange you know force of nature becoming a president each you literally couldn't put it in your brain Trump in in the White House uh my brain and then he did Saturday Night Live and he greenlit because of course the candidate has to approve whatever's get there they appear in so he approved the skin in which he showed himself as the president working in the Oval Office doing the job of a president now there were jokes but we don't remember any of the jokes we remember the visual there was the president the nor candidate Trump looking like he was already in the job it was great persuasion then what did Hillary Clinton do she also went on Saturday Night Live and she and she accepted a skit in which she played somebody at a bar drinking too much she she actually approved an image of herself drinking trump approved an image of himself as the working president those are not equal those are not equal one of them did it right one of them did it as long as you could possibly do it calm lose team accidentally apparently did exactly the right thing they allowed us to imagine her working the job and and because of the gender thing surrounded by all these unhappy looking men it was just a powerful meme and and the fact that their campaign deleted it because I guess there were some funny responses all that was also a mistake well that was the mistake the mistake was deleting it because the more attention the original picture got even if the subsequent ones were more insulting the better it is for gamla the better it is so that happened all right one of my favorite stories of the week is that Trump has decided to select his own Doral golf course as the site for the g7 so just when we're talking about hunter Biden and conflict of interests and all this from a list of I don't know ten places coincidentally out of all those ten places the very best place was Trump's own resort I love this story here's why I love it what the president does better than anything in the world is control your attention it's not an accident that he puts this out here just one everybody's complaining about Ukraine and everybody's complaining about Syria it gives you a new thing to complain about but do you notice how less important it is that on the on the scale of things you should care about where where is your level of caring that he chose his own the Golf Resort Golf Course I guess not a resort he chose his own golf course which they plan to do at cost so really it's gonna be priced I cost them they say how important is it they picked his own golf course in the world events it's the least important thing that happened in the entire world there's there's nothing less important than that and if it makes everybody talk about that even as a criticism they're talking about the least important thing that they could possibly be talking about do you think anybody do you think anybody's going to vote for him or not vote for him because he chose Doral as the location no nobody cares nobody cares about that I mean it's something to talk about nobody cares especially a few prices at cost or anything the cost now here's my second part of that tape was there a better place to have the g7 because that's really the question right if if there had been a better place then I would say there was a better place so this is looking a little sketchy but was there a better place now it turns out that the facility apparently is is well suited for it but don't you think that out of that list of ten places isn't it reasonable to assume that at least one other place was also suitable so there had to be at least one other place that was you know as suitable as that so I don't think you can say it was the best physical place you know Bar None maybe it was I mean it's possible but there probably was something close here's why it was the best idea ever what's the point of the g7 what's the point of it why do we have it it's so leaders can meet socially is that why do we have a g7 so people can get together and have a few drinks and shake hands and go home no it's a functional meaning it is a functional meeting in which negotiating and persuasion and yet even your personal relationships are the top ticket you're trying to negotiate persuade make connections what's the best place in the world for President Trump to negotiate persuade and influence people you know to be allies and stuff his own house now I say his own house meaning his property this president understands that before you walk into the room to negotiate you have you heard me say this before set the table that's right he uses the phrase all the time it's he talks about it in the art of the deal you always set the table you create this situations so that before you negotiate you've already put variables in your favor what is better than waking up in your own property and walking I don't know I mean I assume you'll probably stay at his own property right he'll be comfortable it will be familiar he will have everything he wants you will have no jet lag and he'll just get up feeling fresh and like a daisy now what will the other leaders feel when they're not only talking to the President of the United States but they're doing it at his luxury resort which I understand is impressive in other words the leaders are going to look around and say not only to see the President of the United States but everything here is his think about that the whole point of the g7 is to influence these other leaders the home-field advantage he gave it to himself anybody who says this isn't the right decision doesn't really understand how things work now I I get the people saying hey it's a bad look does this gonna look like it was you know you just did it for yourself and maybe you did yeah well I I'm not I'm not a mind-reader maybe he did it primarily to bring attention to his resort maybe he did it's still the best decision for the country because you want your president to wake up in one of his own beds feeling good feeling familiar having everything he wants with no question you know the food he wants the type of service environment he wants everything he wants you want him walking waking up into that while all the people he has to influence are also waking up to it they're waking up to his place it's amazingly smart why am I the first person to say that let me ask you have you heard anybody say what I just said that the purposes negotiating you always set the table the president just set the table better than you've ever seen is that you have never seen anybody set a table that well you've never seen it it's completely outside of our experience how smart that is so it's just an invisible I think if you'd seen this happen even once before you'd say oh yeah that's what you know Eisenhower did or you'd say yeah yeah Nixon did the same thing it's smart you have your home territory did did certain of it say that it's funny somebody's saying in the comments that Mike sort of it said the same thing and just before I read that comment I was going to say I was actually gonna mention him and say he probably said the same thing even though I didn't see it because he would have he would have noticed the same thing all right there's news that China's GDP is slowing to a near 30-year low because of tariffs so they're saying it's down to 6% GDP now of course if the United States ever got up to 6% we think it was the best thing in the world but all the smart people say China lies about its GDP it's probably flat or negative so can you win a trade war remember everybody said you can't win the trade war and the president said effectively sure I can watch this they need us more than we need them watch this is he not right can we not say at this point that China's economy is suffering and ours apparently is now suffering at all you know the farmers are suffering and you know I think maybe more could be done there to move some tariffs in their directions so that they can get some benefits but it looks like it looks like the president called it right they needed us more than we needed them now I do not predict that we'll ever have a comprehensive trade deal with China because I don't think they want a fair deal and we wouldn't sign an unfair deal so I just don't think it'll ever happen I think their economy will continue to suffer forever and ours ours will probably just keep getting better all right so you we're hearing reports about Turkey's president Dwan and how he reacted to trumps let's say way too casual letter which was also a little bit threatening so you all read the letter by now his friendly letter to turkish president in which he basically said hey let's be friends but if if you don't want to be friends i will crash your economy i did it before so don't be a fool play as smart and the report is there do one read that letter and throw it in the trash and then there's another report about he's somehow threatened that will pay for this insult you know you'll get us back for the insult here's what you should here's how you should respond to that letter or how you should respond to those reports nobody knows what we're doin did when he read the letter do you think we really had somebody in the room and there's somebody who accurately reported that aired one read the letter and crumpled it up and threw it in the trash i mean maybe maybe as possible but there's there's no such thing as an accurate report about what happened in the room in turkey that's the stupid report I mean as possible but nobody knows that that's not a credible report you should not take that as meaning anything likewise whatever third one is thinking about the letter we assume he didn't like it but was it a letter that was written with the hope that the recipient would like the letter it was not it was written with the intention of threatening him in public the letter was written as a threat should we expect her Duan to like being threatened no should we expect that he would like it being essentially insulted by the letter no no we should not expect him to like that but he is a NATO ally and he proudly needs to work with us and we probably need to work with Turkey so does it make any difference probably not probably not makes no difference so I got a question I noticed that most of not all of my critics on Twitter and I don't know if this is any different than it's ever been but there are almost a hundred percent going after me personally now so they don't even so I'll say something about politics or I'll make some point about something that's happening in the news and no longer do people disagree with the point they just send tweets and say I'm incredibly stupid I'm the Dilber guy and since I'm such a loser because I make a bad cartoon nobody should listen to me and I think to myself what what is the internal process that's going on now some of them are just paid trolls and they're just there to cause trouble but the people who are like real people they wake up in the morning and I was looking at one of them one of the trolls that came after me and I often look at the profiles of the trolls just to have a sense of who they are and why they're saying what they're saying and his profile said something like you know dad you know husband basically use just like this nice guy but he gets on Twitter and he becomes a Satanist like an actual Satanist and by Satanist I mean he did something to hurt a stranger for no particular gain that is obvious other than the pleasure of hurting somebody and I think to myself that's very revealing that somebody would wake up and say huh I have a free pass as Twitter is sort of the Wild West I will go to a stranger and I'll say something deeply insulting in hopes that the stranger reads it and and I think to myself why is there internal process for that you know some of them are just political so maybe they're trying to scare people off of Twitter or whatever but I don't think most of them I think most of them actually get pleasure and of sadism of the ability to hurt somebody in a distance without any risk of being hurt back and I think maybe Twitter needs to add another button you know so right now you can retweet and you can lie things and I guess you can report a troll but what if somebody is not exactly a troll in the sense that they're not you know a pager or a bot or something they're just a real person but they're also a Satanist shouldn't we have a button to mark sameness so that eventually they only can get to see each other in other words I should be able to mark that guy not as a troll because I'm not asking that he be removed from Twitter at all his free speech he said something I don't like that's not a reason to be kicked off of Twitter but I'd like to mark him and say oh here's somebody who finds pleasure from hurting strangers why can't I make that part of his permanent record just say oh this guy says he's like a dad and the softball coach or whatever seems like a nice guy but here's a perfect example it's public here's a person who likes hurting people for fun yeah somebody's saying Tom Arnold yeah people are complicated so Tom Arnold might like it for the attention you know there are other things going on but I'm talking about the anonymous person who only gets out of it the pleasure of hurting a stranger or the hope that they hurt you because they said something you won't like there should be some way to mark say this now of course you don't want people illegitimate Lee marked because then everybody would say Scott you're the safest I mark you a sadist so there should be some way you can you know check for yourself something like that I don't know maybe there's no system that would work for that well I don't think sadists should be allowed to mingle with non sadists it's one thing to disagree but it's another thing to just insult somebody for the fun of insulting you should be marked as the say myst now i some of you know that I quite often insult people online you've seen it a million times if you follow my Twitter account but I almost always limit it to these two categories it's either somebody who's you know major politician so that's a different category or somebody who started it you know if somebody starts at first that's a free slap I always take a free slap it's part of the entertainment I do it for fun I do it because other people read it so when I when I respond to people I'm trying to be clever enough that other people will enjoy reading it so that's usually what I'm going for but yeah I don't go to somebody's Twitter feed just to give them an insult if they're a random person alright enough about that I think we've hit all the big points give us a break get over it what's that mean that's all the left has is a dominance yeah have you noticed that the complaints against the president have turned entirely imaginary now all of the complaints about the president are well things are going well but what if somebody sees his personality and then acts in a way in the future that we can't quite predict but might be bad for us in some unspecified way that's it there may be some unspecified that we can't define that something bad might happen to us in the future but we don't know what that is could it be bad meanwhile the economy's plugging along all right let me mention again that if you have not already purchased my amazing book loser think you will be way behind because on November 5th when it comes out you can pre-order it now everywhere that you can pre-order amazon.com etc and once it comes out two people are going to be using that word loser think a lot and you don't want to be left behind so make sure you get your copy it's gonna be very useful for you to debate with people online I did some book signings for this I might do some more but I'll tweet about that if I do and well thank you Sharon for your nice words and that's all for now talk to you later

boom-boom-boom-boom

hey James come on in here you're right

on time if not early Andrew

good to see ya Dale Tyler what a treat

we're all together here for yet another

coffee with Scott Adams the best part of

your day and what's the best part of the

best part I think you know it's the

simultaneous sip and it goes like this

all you need is a cup or a mug her

glasses snifter stein chalice tanker

thermos last game team Grail goblet

vessel of any kind fella with your

favorite liquid I like coffee and

joining me now for the unparalleled

pleasure

the dopamine's ended the day the thing

that makes everything better

the simultaneous up go mmm

Wow that's some good sippin so I just

saw a survey online that said that the

percentage of men and women who were not

having any kind of sex in the past year

has doubled in the past 10 years so used

to be somewhere in the 10% range of

people were not having any sex in the

past year and now for men it's 28% 28%

of men haven't had sex in the past year

and 18% of women how do you explained

that so don't we have a more promiscuous

society than ever we do right seems like

we have a more promiscuous society than

we've ever had and yet the number of men

and women having sex has plunged 28% of

men did not have sex in the past year

and he explained that easy I predicted

it many years ago it's easy to predict

it goes like this the quality of

pornography

started with well I hope I could find a

dirty magazine somewhere and then it

went to VHS tape but still a little hard

to get and then it went to digital

online available in infinite quantities

for free

and you can find exactly what you want

you don't have to find approximately

what you want because you can find

exactly what you want so the quality of

the alternative which is looking at

pictures online has gone from well this

is pretty good as a change of pace - I

think this is better than people because

think about it the average person cannot

attract a superstar you know model male

or female partner most people can

attract somebody who looks sort of like

they look and so you would expect that a

large number of people would find that

the quality of the alternative is just

better

and I think automation has largely

replaced human beings for at least a

quarter of the population literally

there's no hyperbole there at all

automation in the form of online

pornography has replaced human

interaction for 28% of men and I don't

think part of the story is that that

they're less happy that's the thing that

the story doesn't include are they more

happy are they less happy I don't know

they don't say I would think that

because there's some amount of human

contact that is necessary for mental

health that they're less happy but maybe

they don't know it alright let's talk

about something else let's talk about

that turkey ceasefire that's not really

a ceasefire so according to the United

States there's a ceasefire between

Turkey and the Kurds according to the

Kurds there's no ceasefire there's just

a

what's the difference between pausing

firing your people and ceasing firing at

people well I guess the ceasing maybe

seems like it's less temporary than the

pausing is there anything out of you

know what's the difference I have no

idea what the difference is here are

some things you should know

when you have a cease fire or a pause

what are the things you can guarantee

the news will serve up are you ready in

that in that area of the world the first

thing you can guarantee is that one side

will claim the other side bomb to

hospital is there any chance that you're

not going to hear that story 100% chance

that if there's a ceasefire in the

Middle East no matter who it is somebody

is going to say the other side bomb to

hospital now and of course that's

exactly what is being claimed right now

that the that the Turks bombed a

hospital during the ceasefire now

there's not a report that there's a ton

of bombing going on so the report is not

that there it's widespread bombing you

know they're bombing all over the place

but rather there's a report of a

specific bombing now what are the odds

that the Turks decided to do a ceasefire

but also bomb just a hospital we're not

gonna bomb much we'll just bomb a

hospital does that seem likely seriously

of all the things that they could bomb

they're not bombing everything there

they had apparently chose their targets

very carefully because there wasn't much

cheating there was just a little bit of

cheating and that little bit of cheating

they decided to bomb a hospital no so

you always expect the fake Hospital

bombing story every time and sure enough

right on schedule

I'm looking for it's like okay where's

the fake hospital bombings or there it

is fake hospital bombing story right on

schedule what's the other fake story

that you know is going to come oh it's

already here

the fake story that the turkey is using

chemical weapons now are they using

chemical weapons could be could be I

think white phosphorus with the

munitions it's entirely possible that

the Turks are using some illegal

chemical weapons but here's the context

what were the odds that whether or not

anybody used any chemical weapons what

are the odds that you would hear a

report within 24 hours of the cease fire

there's somebody had used chemical

weapons a hundred percent there was a

hundred percent chance that somebody was

going to claim the other side to use

chemical weapons and so I pick up my my

news source my iPad and they say huh

it's been few hours since the ceasefire

where's the report of the cut there it

is

Chemical Weapons Hospital report

chemical weapons right on schedule now

I'm not saying those things didn't

happen I'm not going to say a hospital

wasn't bombed and I'm not going to tell

you that nobody used chemical weapons I

will tell you that there's a hundred

percent chance both of those things

would be reported in the past 24 hours

whether they happen or not so can you

determine if a hospital had been bombed

or if somebody had used chemical weapons

you cannot you cannot there is zero

useful information coming out of the

area we can't rule now you just don't

have any information do you think that

we really have some kind of an agreement

meaning do you think Mike Pence has

something like an actual agreement with

the Turks and the Kurds and whoever else

there's not a chance

there's not a chance that there's an

agreement there's no chance and what you

should expect is that everybody involved

will start telling different stories

about who agreed to what who said what

who's gonna do what and then everybody

will wait a few days and go back to

doing whatever they wanted to do anyway

so you know maybe it gives the Kurds a

little time to you know build some

defenses or something but I don't think

turkeys gonna have a ceasefire that

lasts do you

somebody says isn't the proof in the

video so yeah that's funny

with a little winky face yeah you can't

trust the videos you said you all saw

the picture of the mother with her

alleged deceased child in her hands now

I'm not saying it's a fake video I'm

just saying that child look alive to me

so you should always expect the fake

fake dead children to video the fake

hospital got bombed and the fake

chemical attacks story those three are

guaranteed as soon as the bullets start

flying and they're all there all right

Admiral McRaven who I mistakenly called

general McRaven in the tweet Admiral

McRaven wrote a wrote an op-ed in the

New York Times at which he was saying

that the president should be removed or

should leave offices sooner than later

but he doesn't mention impeachment per

se he doesn't mention an election per se

and he's an admiral what does it mean

when an admiral writes a not bad this

says that the president of the United

States needs to leave sooner or later

without mentioning how well that's a

pretty dangerous thought isn't it now do

you think that the military is getting

ready for a coup well I think not

because there's just no way it would

work out but does it help the hypnosis

cue the coup that will have no

but rather people will be brainwashed

into thinking oh yeah we have to replace

this president does it help to have an

admiral retired Admiral come out on the

side of the hypnosis Co of course it

does

so part of the brainwashing

that's brainwashing at least half of the

country into thinking that the president

needs to be changed in a non election

way is really helped by this Admiral now

there's some bad news here I don't know

if you read between the lines there's

really some bad news with this Admiral

McRaven coming out against the president

and really that's just the symptom the

real problem is one of the odds now now

that we've now that we've stopped

supporting the Kurds how are the Kurds

ever going to support us against ante

Fah

when when the Civil War happens and we

need the courage to come over and fight

with us to defend against an Tifa are

they going to do it I don't think so

I think the Kurds that you say hey you

didn't help us against Isis we're not

gonna help you against anti-shah good

luck with that

America me so yes there are there's a

lot we're losing here

according to Admiral McRaven the this

president has damaged our standing with

other leaders and our credibility so

much so that how can we depend on them

in the future for example let's say we

got into a big war do you think we could

you know depend on Greece coming to our

rescue

no Greece would look at the situation

and say well look what they did to the

Kurds we're not coming to help them

militarily how are we going to win a war

without the without the Greeks I don't

see how what if what if let's say Russia

sends a nuclear weapon our way and and

starts a nuclear war we're not going to

have the Kurds on their side so how are

we going to defend against a

thermonuclear war with Russia if we have

no Kurds no Kurds at all like not even

one Kurd is going to help us what are we

gonna do well I would say we're in

pretty bad shape in that case so Admiral

McRaven has got a good point here who is

ever gonna help the United States who

who is going to help us because before

this before this you can see that other

countries were they were forming a line

to give us money and military aid and my

god

other countries wanted to help the

United States so much that we almost

couldn't handle all the help they were

giving us but now that this current

situation is happening there's no line

no nobody is offering us free money

nobody is offering to help us in any way

it's so different than it was two weeks

ago very different so here's the

question that I asked for all those

nervous Nancy's such as Admiral McRaven

who were sure that America is grievously

wounded by the actions of this this

impulsive president with his lack of

strategy and all that what would be an

example of that even even a speculative

example I would guess that we don't have

any examples of things that have already

happened it's more of a speculative

imaginary future problem but could

somebody describe that for me for

example what would we want to do in the

future that we can't do because of the

current situation I don't really see an

example

all right so what's gonna happen with

that curd safe space I would say that we

have literally no information oh I got a

plug in my thing I hope I didn't lose

you there so we have basically no

information about what's happening with

this curd safe space we don't know how

that's going to turn out I wouldn't

believe anything you're hearing out of

the area we've heard nothing about

casualties what what's the thing we keep

hearing is that the Turks are

slaughtering the Kurds that's what we

keep hearing right the Turks are

slaughtering the Kurds have we seen any

reporting of even one dead card I mean I

hope there are none but is there even

one do we have any credible reporting

that even one Kurd has been killed so

far I mean obviously the risk is extreme

but we don't know anything right we

don't know anything about what's

happening over there Trump called it

tough love and and is claiming credit

for solving this situation and he's now

far off and I realized that you know

when things that are this polarized that

when I say things like well he's now far

off then everybody retreats to their

safe space and says Scott press'll

reasoning stop your personal reasoning

you will agree with the president no

matter what he does no matter what he

does no I disagree with the president

all the time I I could give you six

examples of policies I don't think are

working quite right this just doesn't

happen to be one of them because he was

doing exactly what he promised he's

getting exactly the kind of pushback

you'd want and expect you'd kind of want

and expect the military to be

uncomfortable with this decision right

that's our best our best case scenario

is that the military says

we're not done we don't want to leave

our allies you know let us finish the

job that's exactly what you want the

military to say but you also sometimes

what the want the non-military

leadership to say I know you want to

fight though we're gonna bring you home

so we have kind of the ideal situation a

little bit of tension between the

military wants to fight perfect that's

exactly the military you want they want

to fight and the civilian president who

says I'm not going to let you get killed

over this objective that's perfect right

that's right where you want to be all

right um I don't see any situation in

which the United States could have

agreed to permanently protect the Kurds

and we you're gonna start to see more

reporting like that here's my prediction

that no matter what this ceasefire or

pause turns into and my my assumption is

that the ceasefire will fail and that it

will fail hard

I don't trust Turkey and I expect that

turkey will just you know wait a few

days or they're just moving more troops

in so they didn't care if they waited a

few days anyway so probably they're just

getting ready to do a big push and

probably turkey doesn't plan to honor

any agreement because their national

security is at risk if they're if the

roles were reversed would the United

States make promises and then just do

whatever it needed to do to keep its

country safe

yeah we would we would if if you if you

change roles and you made us turkey we

would promise anything we had to promise

and then we do whatever we needed to do

because ultimately you need to do

whatever you need to do and Turkey has a

legitimate security concern you might

not agree with it but it's legitimate

they they have people attacking them who

are in this population and they can't

have them on the border without having

some kind of military you cap on it so

is that enough about that

yes that's enough about that so Mulvaney

did a little press thing and he got he

got attacked for his performance but I

watched it and I thought it was quite

good

I thought Mulvaney should be doing more

of these actually now the point of

contention is that he said that it's

normal business and you should get over

it talking about any president

negotiating any kind of quid pro quo

with another country that's exactly the

right answer exactly the right answer is

yes that's exactly what he didn't you

withheld some money until he got some

yet he knew he had some some

responsiveness from Ukraine about

looking into some corruption and that

corruption included some Biden stuff

some CrowdStrike stuff so Mulvaney just

says yeah we do that all the time that's

just normal business to which I say

exactly right that is exactly the right

answer every time you say yes we did it

and it's normal that's the strongest

attack the weakest attack is we didn't

do it or it's not what you think or it's

not really a quid pro quo or they didn't

see it that way were just don't say any

of that just say exactly what you did

yes

checking on checking on corruption in

Ukraine before we give them a massive

amount of money it is important not only

for the money we're sending but to make

sure we're getting what we want we don't

send the money for nothing we're not

sending the money that the whole point

is sending the money is quid pro quo

right is there any reason we send the

money other than we think it will make

them flexible in dealing with us mostly

I mean we could say it's to I don't

defend against Russia or something but

mostly we send people for Dade because

we think that'll make them flexible with

us quid pro quo

so I love Mulvaney just going right at

it just looking at people and say yeah

let's just get over that's what we do we

did it before we do it all the time

we're gonna do it in the future you

don't want us to stop doing it stop

talking about it

it's nothing I love that answer the

calmly Harris's campaign accidently

accidentally did something right but

then they quickly reversed it so they

continue to be the worst campaign I've

ever seen I mean they're actually

humorously bad so what happened was you

all remember the famous photo of Nancy

Pelosi got the meeting recently about

you yeah about Ukraine no the meeting

about Syria and Nancy is standing up and

pointing at the president and you know

it's a roomful of older white men so it

makes the picture even more interesting

because the contrast welcomed the

Harrises team humorously replace

President Trump with a picture of Kamala

not sitting but standing and you know

posing with her arms crossed and and the

caption was you know it's time for an

upgrade so they were showing Kamala

replacing President Trump in that room

situation with you know time for an

upgrade now apparently that was deleted

I guess was the campaign manager or

somebody put that meme up there but

deleted it because people were changing

the photo and photoshopping it and

turning turning it into anti Kamala

stuff here's what I say it was the best

thing the campaign has done so far not

because it was necessarily that funny it

was funny enough I mean it you know I

enjoyed seeing it it gave me a little

charge of that's pretty funny I like

what they did there and it wasn't the

funniest thing in the world but it was

funny it was funny enough so on that

level as just a meme pretty good but

here's the great part about it the great

part about it is it allowed you to

imagine her

president and working the job and that's

one of the biggest persuasion objectives

as you first have to be able to imagine

any of these candidates in the job this

is what I wrote about and talked about

extensively when President Trump was

candidate Trump and he was running for

office and you couldn't imagine this you

know orange you know force of nature

becoming a president each you literally

couldn't put it in your brain Trump in

in the White House uh my brain and then

he did Saturday Night Live and he

greenlit because of course the candidate

has to approve whatever's get there they

appear in so he approved the skin in

which he showed himself as the president

working in the Oval Office doing the job

of a president now there were jokes but

we don't remember any of the jokes we

remember the visual there was the

president the nor candidate Trump

looking like he was already in the job

it was great persuasion then what did

Hillary Clinton do she also went on

Saturday Night Live

and she and she accepted a skit in which

she played somebody at a bar drinking

too much she she actually approved an

image of herself drinking trump approved

an image of himself as the working

president those are not equal those are

not equal one of them did it right one

of them did it as long as you could

possibly do it calm lose team

accidentally apparently did exactly the

right thing they allowed us to imagine

her working the job and and because of

the gender thing surrounded by all these

unhappy looking men it was just a

powerful meme and and the fact that

their campaign deleted it because I

guess there were some funny responses

all that was also a mistake well that

was the mistake the mistake was deleting

it because

the more attention the original picture

got even if the subsequent ones were

more insulting the better it is for

gamla the better it is so that happened

all right one of my favorite stories of

the week is that Trump has decided to

select his own Doral golf course as the

site for the g7 so just when we're

talking about hunter Biden and conflict

of interests and all this from a list of

I don't know ten places coincidentally

out of all those ten places the very

best place was Trump's own resort I love

this story here's why I love it what the

president does better than anything in

the world is control your attention it's

not an accident that he puts this out

here just one everybody's complaining

about Ukraine and everybody's

complaining about Syria it gives you a

new thing to complain about but do you

notice how less important it is that on

the on the scale of things you should

care about where where is your level of

caring that he chose his own the Golf

Resort Golf Course I guess not a resort

he chose his own golf course which they

plan to do at cost

so really it's gonna be priced I cost

them they say how important is it they

picked his own golf course in the world

events it's the least important thing

that happened in the entire world

there's there's nothing less important

than that and if it makes everybody talk

about that even as a criticism they're

talking about the least important thing

that they could possibly be talking

about do you think anybody do you think

anybody's going to vote for him or not

vote for him because he chose Doral as

the location no nobody cares nobody

cares about that I mean it's something

to talk about nobody cares

especially a few prices at cost or

anything

the cost now here's my second part of

that tape was there a better place to

have the g7 because that's really the

question right if if there had been a

better place then I would say there was

a better place so this is looking a

little sketchy but was there a better

place now it turns out that the facility

apparently is is well suited for it but

don't you think that out of that list of

ten places isn't it reasonable to assume

that at least one other place was also

suitable so there had to be at least one

other place that was you know as

suitable as that so I don't think you

can say it was the best physical place

you know Bar None maybe it was I mean

it's possible but there probably was

something close here's why it was the

best idea ever

what's the point of the g7 what's the

point of it why do we have it it's so

leaders can meet socially is that why do

we have a g7 so people can get together

and have a few drinks and shake hands

and go home no it's a functional meaning

it is a functional meeting in which

negotiating and persuasion and yet even

your personal relationships are the top

ticket you're trying to negotiate

persuade make connections what's the

best place in the world for President

Trump to negotiate persuade and

influence people you know to be allies

and stuff his own house now I say his

own house meaning his property this

president understands that before you

walk into the room to negotiate you have

you heard me say this before set the

table that's right

he uses the phrase all the time it's he

talks about it in the art of the deal

you always set the table you create this

situations so that before you negotiate

you've already put variables in your

favor what is better than waking up in

your own property and walking I don't

know I mean I assume you'll probably

stay at his own property right he'll be

comfortable it will be familiar he will

have everything he wants you will have

no jet lag and he'll just get up feeling

fresh and like a daisy now what will the

other leaders feel when they're not only

talking to the President of the United

States but they're doing it at his

luxury resort which I understand is

impressive in other words the leaders

are going to look around and say not

only to see the President of the United

States but everything here is his think

about that the whole point of the g7 is

to influence these other leaders the

home-field advantage he gave it to

himself anybody who says this isn't the

right decision doesn't really understand

how things work now I I get the people

saying hey it's a bad look

does this gonna look like it was you

know you just did it for yourself and

maybe you did yeah well I I'm not I'm

not a mind-reader maybe he did it

primarily to bring attention to his

resort maybe he did it's still the best

decision for the country because you

want your president to wake up in one of

his own beds feeling good feeling

familiar having everything he wants with

no question you know the food he wants

the type of service environment he wants

everything he wants you want him walking

waking up into that while all the people

he has to influence are also waking up

to it they're waking up to his place

it's amazingly smart why am I the first

person to say that let me ask you have

you heard anybody say what I just said

that the

purposes negotiating you always set the

table the president just set the table

better than you've ever seen is that you

have never seen anybody set a table that

well you've never seen it it's

completely outside of our experience how

smart that is so it's just an invisible

I think if you'd seen this happen even

once before you'd say oh yeah that's

what you know Eisenhower did or you'd

say yeah yeah Nixon did the same thing

it's smart

you have your home territory did did

certain of it say that it's funny

somebody's saying in the comments that

Mike sort of it said the same thing and

just before I read that comment I was

going to say I was actually gonna

mention him and say he probably said the

same thing even though I didn't see it

because he would have he would have

noticed the same thing all right there's

news that China's GDP is slowing to a

near 30-year low because of tariffs so

they're saying it's down to 6% GDP now

of course if the United States ever got

up to 6% we think it was the best thing

in the world but all the smart people

say China lies about its GDP it's

probably flat or negative so can you win

a trade war remember everybody said you

can't win the trade war and the

president said effectively sure I can

watch this they need us more than we

need them watch this

is he not right can we not say at this

point that China's economy is suffering

and ours apparently is now suffering at

all you know the farmers are suffering

and you know I think maybe more could be

done there to move some tariffs in their

directions so that they can get some

benefits but it looks like it looks like

the president called it right they

needed us more than we needed them now I

do not predict that we'll ever

have a comprehensive trade deal with

China because I don't think they want a

fair deal and we wouldn't sign an unfair

deal so I just don't think it'll ever

happen I think their economy will

continue to suffer forever and ours ours

will probably just keep getting better

all right so you we're hearing reports

about Turkey's president Dwan and how he

reacted to trumps let's say way too

casual letter which was also a little

bit threatening so you all read the

letter by now his friendly letter to

turkish president in which he basically

said hey let's be friends but if if you

don't want to be friends i will crash

your economy i did it before so don't be

a fool play as smart and the report is

there do one read that letter and throw

it in the trash and then there's another

report about he's somehow threatened

that will pay for this insult you know

you'll get us back for the insult here's

what you should here's how you should

respond to that letter or how you should

respond to those reports nobody knows

what we're doin did when he read the

letter do you think we really had

somebody in the room and there's

somebody who accurately reported that

aired one read the letter and crumpled

it up and threw it in the trash

i mean maybe maybe as possible but

there's there's no such thing as an

accurate report about what happened in

the room in turkey that's the stupid

report I mean as possible but nobody

knows that that's not a credible report

you should not take that as meaning

anything likewise whatever third one is

thinking about the letter we assume he

didn't like it but was it a letter that

was written with the hope that the

recipient would like the letter it was

not it was written with the intention of

threatening him in public

the

letter was written as a threat should we

expect her Duan to like being threatened

no should we expect that he would like

it being essentially insulted by the

letter no no we should not expect him to

like that but he is a NATO ally and he

proudly needs to work with us and we

probably need to work with Turkey so

does it make any difference probably not

probably not makes no difference so I

got a question I noticed that most of

not all of my critics on Twitter and I

don't know if this is any different than

it's ever been but there are almost a

hundred percent going after me

personally now so they don't even so

I'll say something about politics or

I'll make some point about something

that's happening in the news and no

longer do people disagree with the point

they just send tweets and say I'm

incredibly stupid

I'm the Dilber guy and since I'm such a

loser because I make a bad cartoon

nobody should listen to me and I think

to myself what what is the internal

process that's going on now some of them

are just paid trolls and they're just

there to cause trouble but the people

who are like real people they wake up in

the morning and I was looking at one of

them one of the trolls that came after

me and I often look at the profiles of

the trolls just to have a sense of who

they are and why they're saying what

they're saying and his profile said

something like you know dad you know

husband basically use just like this

nice guy but he gets on Twitter and he

becomes a Satanist like an actual

Satanist and by Satanist I mean he did

something to hurt a stranger for no

particular gain that is obvious other

than the pleasure of hurting somebody

and I think to myself that's very

revealing that somebody would wake up

and say huh

I have a free pass as Twitter is sort of

the Wild West I will go to a stranger

and I'll say something deeply insulting

in hopes that the stranger reads it and

and I think to myself why is there

internal process for that you know some

of them are just political so maybe

they're trying to scare people off of

Twitter or whatever but I don't think

most of them I think most of them

actually get pleasure and of sadism of

the ability to hurt somebody in a

distance without any risk of being hurt

back and I think maybe Twitter needs to

add another button you know so right now

you can retweet and you can lie things

and I guess you can report a troll but

what if somebody is not exactly a troll

in the sense that they're not you know a

pager or a bot or something they're just

a real person but they're also a

Satanist shouldn't we have a button to

mark sameness so that eventually they

only can get to see each other in other

words I should be able to mark that guy

not as a troll because I'm not asking

that he be removed from Twitter at all

his free speech he said something I

don't like that's not a reason to be

kicked off of Twitter but I'd like to

mark him and say oh here's somebody who

finds pleasure from hurting strangers

why can't I make that part of his

permanent record just say oh this guy

says he's like a dad and the softball

coach or whatever seems like a nice guy

but here's a perfect example it's public

here's a person who likes hurting people

for fun yeah somebody's saying Tom

Arnold yeah people are complicated

so Tom Arnold might like it for the

attention you know there are other

things going on but I'm talking about

the anonymous person who only gets out

of it the pleasure of hurting a stranger

or the hope that they hurt you because

they said something you won't like there

should be some way to mark say this now

of course

you don't want people illegitimate Lee

marked because then everybody would say

Scott you're the safest I mark you a

sadist so there should be some way you

can you know check for yourself

something like that I don't know maybe

there's no system that would work for

that well I don't think sadists should

be allowed to mingle with non sadists

it's one thing to disagree but it's

another thing to just insult somebody

for the fun of insulting you should be

marked as the say myst now i some of you

know that I quite often insult people

online you've seen it a million times if

you follow my Twitter account but I

almost always limit it to these two

categories it's either somebody who's

you know major politician so that's a

different category or somebody who

started it you know if somebody starts

at first that's a free slap I always

take a free slap it's part of the

entertainment I do it for fun I do it

because other people read it so when I

when I respond to people I'm trying to

be clever enough that other people will

enjoy reading it so that's usually what

I'm going for

but yeah I don't go to somebody's

Twitter feed just to give them an insult

if they're a random person alright

enough about that I think we've hit all

the big points give us a break get over

it what's that mean that's all the left

has is a dominance yeah have you noticed

that the complaints against the

president have turned entirely imaginary

now all of the complaints about the

president are well things are going well

but what if somebody sees his

personality and then acts in a way in

the future that we can't quite predict

but might be bad for us in some

unspecified way that's it there may be

some unspecified

that we can't define that something bad

might happen to us in the future but we

don't know what that is

could it be bad meanwhile the economy's

plugging along all right let me mention

again that if you have not already

purchased my amazing book loser think

you will be way behind because on

November 5th when it comes out you can

pre-order it now everywhere that you can

pre-order amazon.com etc and once it

comes out two people are going to be

using that word loser think a lot and

you don't want to be left behind so make

sure you get your copy it's gonna be

very useful for you to debate with

people online I did some book signings

for this I might do some more but I'll

tweet about that if I do and well thank

you Sharon for your nice words and

that's all for now talk to you later